Author: Lex Fridman Podcast

  • #450 – Bernie Sanders Interview

    AI transcript
    0:00:19 The following is a conversation with Bernie Sanders, Senator from Vermont and two time presidential candidate, both times as the underdog who against the long odds captivated the support and excitement of millions of people both on the left and the right.
    0:00:39 And now, a quick few second mention of each sponsor. Check them out in the description. It’s the best way to support this podcast. We got Aidsley for Naps, Saley for Esim, Magic, Ground News for nonpartisan presentation of the truth, AG1 for vitamins and element for electrolytes.
    0:00:47 Choose wisely my friends. Also, if you want to get in touch with me for a multitude of reasons, go to lexfreedman.com/contact.
    0:00:57 And now onto the full ad reads. No ads in the middle. I try to make these interesting, but if you skip them, please still check out our sponsors. I enjoyed their stuff. Maybe you will too.
    0:01:17 This episode is brought to you by Aidsleep and it’s pod for ultra. I have some travel coming up and one of, if not the biggest thing I will miss is not sleeping on a bed that has the ability to cool itself on both sides.
    0:01:35 It really is a magical reminder of what technology has been able to achieve since the industrial revolution. Yes, there’s endless ways in which suffering has been alleviated across the world and it continues to and the quality of life continues to improve.
    0:02:04 But this little inkling, this little reminder is a beautiful one to be able to lay down on a cold surface using an app control the temperature of that surface, put on a warm blanket and I am forever lost in the creation of the millions of engineers who came before us and the millions of engineers who will come after who are doing everything they can to build a better world.
    0:02:16 And that’s what I dream about when I’m taking a nap is that better world. Go to Aidsleep.com/Lex and use code Lex to get $350 off the pod for ultra.
    0:02:28 This episode is also brought to you by Saley, a brand new eSIM service app that offers several affordable data plans in over 150 countries.
    0:02:48 That for me has been the biggest pain when traveling is to make sure when I get to the airport when I leave the airport, I’m able to communicate with the world or just communicate with a map that can make sure I don’t get completely lost in this new country where I don’t speak the language and all the other complexities of travel.
    0:03:03 Everything is made easier when you have an internet connection. And again, just a reminder how lucky we are in the 21st century, billions of people are able to be seamlessly connected with each other.
    0:03:20 So anyway, I’ve had countless and countless experiences where I have a terrible internet and the SIM situation is complicated. Do I buy a new SIM at the airport? It is just a mess. And so Saley takes on this problem, make sure it’s affordable, but also make sure it’s super easy.
    0:03:35 If you’re traveling and you want to make sure you stay connected, try them out. Go to Saley.com/lex and get 15% off any eSIM data plan. That’s Saley.com/lex to get 15% off.
    0:03:52 This episode is also brought to you by Ground News, a nonpartisan news aggregator that I use to compare media coverage from across the political spectrum in these days and weeks, especially a site like this is just priceless.
    0:04:18 Reporting on the different things going on in the world, whether it’s local, whether it’s national, whether it’s international, it’s really nice to be able to get multiple perspectives and for that perspective to be presented with a clear indication of the best kind of estimate from which side of the political spectrum this reporting is coming from.
    0:04:34 Anyway, Ground News is doing an amazing thing that I always thought should exist and I’m glad they’re building it, basically creating a tech solution to the problem of the division of the completely biased subjective reporting,
    0:04:48 presenting itself as if it’s objective. So breaking through all of that and they’re doing a lot of really nice other things like the blind spot feed shows discrepancies in media coverage on the left and the right. There’s just a lot of really nice features.
    0:05:05 Go check them out. It’s groundnews.com/lex and you’ll get 40% off the Ground News Vantage plan, giving you access to all of their features. Trust me, it’s worth it. That’s Ground G-R-O-U-N-D News.com/lex.
    0:05:18 This episode is also brought to you by AG1 and all in one daily drink to support better health and peak performance. I drink it twice a day, usually after training.
    0:05:33 That training could be a long run or jiu-jitsu, grappling, which I really love and I’ve loved the fact that I’ve been injury free, not even really minor injuries for quite a long time.
    0:05:47 I’ve been able to knock on wood. I’ve been able to train really hard and enjoy doing it. And of course, go through the whole roller coaster of training, which is when you go against people that are really good.
    0:06:00 You sometimes get humbled and that humbling could be emotionally challenging. But then from that you grow and it’s the beautiful journey of the sport, especially as you get older.
    0:06:09 Somebody has better technique than you. Somebody has better timing than you on that particular day. And together you figure out what works and what doesn’t.
    0:06:32 And through that process of humbling, you chip away at the ego that most human beings have. I think it just makes you a better person when you realize that you’re somewhere in the food chain, nowhere close to the top, and you’re mortal, and you kind of suck at most things.
    0:06:44 And the only way to get better is by working really hard. All of those truths hit you really hard when you’re doing a combat sport, because you can’t pretend you didn’t just get your ass kicked.
    0:06:56 So it’s a beautiful process of humbling. And when you should try AG1, they’ll give you one month supply of fish oil when you sign up at drinkag1.com/lex.
    0:07:04 This episode is also brought to you by Element, my daily zero sugar and delicious electrolyte mix.
    0:07:15 Whenever you see me drinking something that looks like water, during the podcast, it’s almost always water mixed with watermelon salt flavored element.
    0:07:29 I take one of them Powerade bottles that are 28 ounces. I fill it with water, shake up one packet of element, put in the fridge, and after like 30 minutes it’s ready, and it’s delicious.
    0:07:39 I’m surprised how many problems in the mind in the body are solved by making sure you get enough water, getting enough sodium, potassium, magnesium.
    0:07:52 To me, probably sodium is the most important, then magnesium, then potassium, but electrolytes, it’s crazy how I’m just feeling tired or having a headache or any of those kinds of feelings can go away.
    0:08:09 If you, as the meme goes, just drink water. If you’re thirsty, just drink water. It’s true, like water and electrolytes and a nap and a shower, those four things can like transform your mind entirely in a matter of minutes.
    0:08:25 It’s crazy. Humans are such fragile creatures, at once resilient and at once fragile. Anyway, get a sample pack for free with any purchase. Try it at drinkelement.com/lex.
    0:08:35 This is the Lex Freeman podcast. To support it, please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, dear friends, here’s Bernie Sanders.
    0:08:50 [Music]
    0:08:53 Growing up, did you ever think you’d be a politician?
    0:08:54 Nope.
    0:08:56 A million years.
    0:09:01 Yeah, I know that you hate talking about yourself, which is rare for a politician, I would say.
    0:09:06 What’s your philosophy behind that? You like talking about the issues you’re talking about.
    0:09:20 Yeah, I do. I mean, you know, everybody talks about themselves. It’s not about me. You know, nice guy, not a nice guy. What’s the, what, you know, politics should be about is the issues facing the people of our country, the people of the world and how we’re going to address it. That’s what it should be.
    0:09:41 That said, there’s interesting aspects to your life story. For example, in 1963, you were very active in the Civil Rights Movement, got arrested even for protesting segregation in Chicago, and you attended the famous March on Washington, where MLK gave his “I Have a Dream” speech. What was that like?
    0:09:56 It’s extraordinary. I took a bus ride down with fellow students from the University of Chicago, and it was a zillion people there. I’m not sure if it was the first time I’d ever been in Washington in my life, but it was, you know, it was a very impressive moment.
    0:10:10 And what he was talking about with people very often forget about that. It was not only racial justice, it was jobs. Jobs and justice, that was the name of that rally. And so, it’s something I’ve never forgotten.
    0:10:17 What influence did he have on you? What would you learn about the way he enacted change in the world?
    0:10:43 King was a very impressive guy. More impressive, I think, than people think that he was. And what he did is he created his movement from the bottom on up. In some ways, he developed real organization, grassroots organization, which put pressure on communities and officials to end segregation, to open up voting patterns.
    0:10:54 And I think what has to also be remembered about King, which is really quite extraordinary, is, you know, he won the Nobel Peace Prize and never said, “Oh, you’re great, you’re wonderful.”
    0:11:07 But then, to the end of his life, he took on Lyndon Johnson on the war in Vietnam. And as soon as he did that, suddenly the editorial pages throughout America established from papers, no longer thought he was so great.
    0:11:23 In fact, the message sent out, “You’re black, deal with civil rights, don’t worry about foreign policy, we’ll take care of that.” But he said, you know, “If I talk about peace and nonviolence, I can’t sit back and allow what’s going on in Vietnam to continue without speaking out.”
    0:11:41 Incredible courage to do that. And, by the way, when he was assassinated at a fighting for the rights of AFSCME workers, garbage, guys with a little bit of garbage, who were treated terribly, low wages, bad working conditions, he went out to support their right to form a union.
    0:11:43 That’s when he got killed.
    0:12:00 So, on the war front, one of the things that people don’t often talk about, your work in politics, you gave what I think is a truly brave speech on the Iraq war in 2002, I believe.
    0:12:12 You voted no on the Iraq resolution, you voted no on the Patriot Act, and you basically predicted very accurately what would happen if we go into Iraq.
    0:12:19 What was your thinking at the time, behind those speeches, behind voting no on the Patriot Act on the Iraq resolution?
    0:12:30 It maybe, ironically, came out of maybe the war in Vietnam and the ease and lies that people told. We went into Vietnam under a lie.
    0:12:38 We lost close to 60,000 Americans, millions of people in Vietnam. Cambodia died as a result of that.
    0:12:50 So, you think twice about it. And then the war in Iraq, you had people like Dick Cheney and others telling us, “Oh, they have nuclear weapons and all that stuff. It’s the only way we can resolve the issue.”
    0:12:57 I didn’t believe it. I didn’t agree with it. It turns out historically, I was right.
    0:13:04 What’s the way to fight this thing that Martin Luther King tried to fight, which is the military industrial complex?
    0:13:17 It’s huge. I mean, it gets to the broader issue where we are as a nation. And what I almost uniquely in Congress talk about is the fact that we are moving lex to an oligarchic form of society.
    0:13:27 Not a lot of people are familiar with that term, but what it means, we talk about oligarchy in Russia. “Oh, I’m putting this around by the oligarchs.” Well, guess what? What do you think is happening in the United States?
    0:13:44 So, what you have right now is an economy with more concentration of ownership than we’ve ever had. That means whether it’s agriculture, transportation, healthcare, whatever it may be, fewer and fewer massively large corporations control what’s produced and the prices we pay.
    0:13:56 And then you look at our political system, and we don’t talk about it. What is the reality of the political system today? And that is that billionaires are spending huge amounts of money to buy this election.
    0:14:06 In Trump’s campaign, he got three multi-billionaires spending over $200 million. Three people. Democrats have their billionaires. It’s not quite as concentrated.
    0:14:17 But at the end of the day, billionaires play an enormous role in terms of electing politicians and in Washington in determining what legislation gets seen and not seen.
    0:14:21 But it’s not just single billionaires. It’s companies with lobbyists.
    0:14:29 You got it. Let me give you one example. Lobbyists. We pay in the United States by far the highest prices in the world for prescription drugs.
    0:14:38 This is an issue I’ve been working hard on with some success. Take a wild and crazy guess. How many lobbyists are there from the drug companies in Washington, DC?
    0:14:40 Over a thousand.
    0:14:56 Over a thousand? There are 100 members of the Senate, 435 members of the House, 535 members of Congress. There are 1,800 well-paid lobbyists representing the drug companies, including former leaders of the Republican and Democratic Party.
    0:15:04 That is why, one of the reasons why we pay the highest prices in the world for prescription drugs, military industrial complex. You got a revolving door.
    0:15:11 People go from the military into the general dynamics, into Lockheed Martin and the other large companies.
    0:15:19 And what we see there is an institution in the Pentagon. We spend a trillion dollars a year on the Pentagon.
    0:15:25 It is the only federal agency that is not able to submit to an independent audit.
    0:15:32 So if you think there’s not massive fraud and waste and cost overruns in the Pentagon, you would be sort of mistaken.
    0:15:40 Do you think most politicians are corrupt in accepting the money or is the system corrupt or is it a bit of both?
    0:15:51 If the corrupt means that, hey, here’s $10,000 vote this way, it doesn’t work like that. Very, very rare. Occasionally, very, very rare. That’s corruption.
    0:16:03 What happens is that if you are in a campaign and right now the amount of money that people have to raise, you’re running for a Senate in Ohio, you’re talking about $50, $60 million.
    0:16:06 Where the hell are you going to get that money? It’s not going to be $10 donations.
    0:16:13 You’re going to be surrounding yourself with people who have the money. You’re going to go $5,000 a plate, dinners, et cetera.
    0:16:21 So you surround yourself with those people who say, oh, these are my problems. This is what I need. I need a tax break for billionaires, blah, blah, blah, blah.
    0:16:29 So you become, you live in that world. They are your financial support. They are, in a sense, your political base.
    0:16:43 So you’re very cognizant of what you do in terms of not upsetting them. So it’s not corruption in the sense of people taking envelopes with huge amounts of money to vote a certain way.
    0:16:51 That very, very rarely, if ever happens. It is the power of big money to make politicians dependent on those folks.
    0:17:02 And that’s why, you know, when I ran for president, what I probably may be most proud of is the fact that we received millions and millions of campaign contributions averaging $27 a piece, I think, in 2016.
    0:17:06 Have companies, lobbyists ever tried to buy you, tried to influence you?
    0:17:15 We don’t welcome them into our office. I do deal with these guys, but it’s usually on a confrontational tone, though, so they don’t come into my office very often telling me their problems.
    0:17:18 So how do we fix the system? How do we get money out of politics?
    0:17:26 This is not, you know, like many other issues, we don’t have to reinvent the wheel here. It exists in other countries.
    0:17:37 If you go to, you know, every country has their own election system, but nobody has a system where billionaires can spend unlimited sums of money through super PACs to elect the candidates of their choice.
    0:17:48 So first thing you got to do, you know, one of the things, Lex, I found that the more important the issue, the less discussion there is, the less important the issue, the more discussion there is.
    0:17:58 A number of years ago, the United States Supreme Court in one of its more pathetic decisions passed the Citizens United decision.
    0:18:09 And what Citizens United decision said is you’re a multi-billionaire. You want the freedom. You’re a free person in a free country. You want the freedom to buy the government.
    0:18:16 And how terrible it would be to deny you the freedom to spend hundreds of millions of dollars on a campaign to elect the candidates.
    0:18:21 And they said, that’s your freedom. And that’s what Citizens United is about.
    0:18:27 We’ve got to end that. In my view, we move to public funding of elections. That means you want to run for governing.
    0:18:36 You want to run for Senate. Show that you have some support, get, you know, $5 contributions from X number of people to show you, you know, you’re not a flake.
    0:18:43 You have some support and government will pay a certain amount more and there will be a limited amount of money that can be spent.
    0:18:49 So it’ll be a real, you can run against me and I’m not going to outspend you 10 to one. That’s what we should be moving toward in my view.
    0:18:58 How do we make that happen when there’s so much money in the system and the politicians owe to the people who paid for their election?
    0:19:05 Does it have to come from the very top, essentially sort of a really strong popular populist president?
    0:19:13 You’re right. You raised exactly the question. If I am getting a huge amount of money from billionaires, do you think I’m going to go out and announce?
    0:19:18 I think billionaires should not be involved in buying elections. I doubt that very much.
    0:19:26 So what you’re going to need, and you tell me if I’m missing something but I pay attention, you don’t hear either of the major candidates talking about that issue, do you?
    0:19:32 I think what happens is when an individual politician speaks out about it, they get punished.
    0:19:49 But I think this is a popular idea. So if a lot of them speak out, that’s why if it came from the top, if a president was using a very large platform to basically speak out, it provides a safety blanket for the other politicians to get it out of the system.
    0:19:51 But there has to be kind of a mass movement.
    0:20:01 Yes, it does. I mean, and every place I go, I always speak about the issue and it always, people understand that you’re a Republican, you’re a Democrat, you’re progressive, you’re conservative.
    0:20:10 Who really believes that we are democracy when billionaires can spend, you know, tens and tens of millions of dollars to buy elections.
    0:20:15 So it is a very popular issue. It’s important. You’re right. We need political leaders to be speaking out on that.
    0:20:22 But we need a grassroots movement to say, when somebody is at a town meeting, you’re running for the Senate, you’re running for the House, what’s your view on Citizens United?
    0:20:29 Are you prepared to vote to overturn that decision and move to public funding of elections? Extraordinarily important.
    0:20:33 So many of your policy proposals are quite radical.
    0:20:35 No, they’re not. I beg to differ.
    0:20:36 Okay, great.
    0:20:37 Go to.
    0:20:46 Well, they’re popular. So what I mean is relative to what the way other politicians speak, it’s usually a little bit more moderate.
    0:20:56 So from everything you’ve learned from politics, is it better to go sort of radical, maybe you can come up with a different word versus a more moderate, safe, ambiguous kind of policy?
    0:21:01 Okay, let’s talk about it. Fair enough. We talked about one issue, very important, money in politics.
    0:21:02 Money, yes.
    0:21:05 Getting money out of, big money out of politics. Do you think that’s a radical idea?
    0:21:18 Well, I mean, yeah, it’s a popular idea. It’s an idea that makes sense. But in order to implement it and actually make it happen, it requires, I mean, to flip the system upside down, right?
    0:21:19 In that sense, it’s radical.
    0:21:27 In that sense, it’s radical. But if you go to walk down the street here and you say, do you think billionaires should be able to spend as much money as they want to buy politicians?
    0:21:31 I would say nine out of 10 people say, that’s crazy. That’s not what Americans are supposed to be about.
    0:21:39 So in that sense, it’s certainly not radical. Let’s talk about health care. Go out on the street. Do it. Do a poll. I’ve done the polling.
    0:21:46 Is health care a human right? Should every American be able to go to a doctor when they need regardless of their income?
    0:21:51 You know what people say? I would say about 85, 90% of the people say, of course.
    0:22:03 The idea that health care is a human right available to all exists, Lex, in every major country on earth except the United States.
    0:22:16 So you’re here with me in Burlington, Vermont, right? If you got a car, go 50 miles north to Canada. Walk a little Canadian, you know, walk into Canada and ask people, when you go to the hospital, how much does it cost you?
    0:22:25 Which kind of bill? What are you talking about? Doesn’t cost us anything. Doesn’t cost us a nickel. That’s the case in virtually every country in Europe.
    0:22:41 So the idea that health care should be available to all, that there should be no out-of-pocket expense because it’s a human right, is widespread around the world and very much agreed to in this country.
    0:22:54 Bottom line is that because of our corrupt political system, we have a health care system designed not to provide health care to all people to make huge profits for the drug companies and the insurance companies.
    0:23:01 And that is what’s happening. And we got to change that system. So I’m a strong advocate and I’ve led the effort on Medicare for All.
    0:23:12 Okay, let’s talk about Medicare for All. If you could snap your fingers today and implement the best possible health care system for the United States of America, what would that look like?
    0:23:23 Well, we have a pretty good system, not great, but a pretty good system in Medicare. So it’s there for the elderly and Lyndon Johnson passed that in the 1960s, a huge step forward.
    0:23:36 It is being chopped away by the private insurance companies through Medicare Advantage. But if you strengthen Medicare and you do away with the kind of deductibles that seniors now have to pay, you do away with other stuff.
    0:23:46 And you say, basically, right now, you’re a senior in America. You go to any doctor you want. You know, when you’re in the hospital, Medicare will pay the entire bill.
    0:23:52 If you expand Medicare to cover dental, hearing and vision, which it doesn’t now cover, you do all of those things.
    0:24:05 And then the next thing you do is say, okay, to be eligible for Medicare, now you have to be 65. First year, we’re going to lower it to 55, then we’ll lower it to 45, then we’ll lower it to 35, then we’ll have everybody in the system.
    0:24:16 So I think in a four or five year period, you can strengthen Medicare and have everybody in the system. And when you do that, and this is not just me talking, number of studies have pointed this out.
    0:24:26 When you take the profit motive out of it from the insurance companies and the drug companies, you can end up providing quality care to all people and no more than we’re spending right now.
    0:24:34 Because right now, we are spending twice as much per person in healthcare as the people of any other nation. Incredibly wasteful system.
    0:24:42 So the way to pay for the system is to increase taxes. But you’re saying if you cut that cost and increase the taxes, you’re saying it’s going to cost a lot.
    0:24:54 That’s the story. And I’ve gotten my share of 30 second ads attacking me on this. Bernie Sanders wants to raise your taxes on health care in a progressive way.
    0:24:56 But right now, do you have health insurance?
    0:24:57 Yes.
    0:25:04 Okay. Somebody’s paying for your health insurance. It depends if you are working, most people get their health insurance through their jobs.
    0:25:13 Okay. So if you’re working for a large company, your employer is paying your health insurance. And by the way, that comes out of your wages. Health care costs in America are very high.
    0:25:20 And your employer will tell you, honestly, look, I can’t give you more than a 3% wage increase because I got a 10% increase in your health care costs.
    0:25:26 You want that? Or if you’re a union negotiating, you know what they will say, hey, you want decent wages, we’re going to have to cut back on your health care.
    0:25:30 That’s what every union has to deal with, you know, every negotiating session.
    0:25:40 So we’re paying for it through employers out of pocket. We pay through it through Medicare, Medicaid, Veterans Administration, etc.
    0:25:54 What I am proposing is really not radical. It’s what exists in Canada and other countries. It is publicly funded, like the police departments and like libraries are like public education is publicly funded in a progressive way.
    0:26:12 So right now, rather than paying out of your own pocket, if you are a family, let’s just say you’re self-employed right now and you are, you know, you want to have a couple of kids and a wife, it could cost you $15,000, $20,000 a year in insurance costs.
    0:26:22 Well, that’s all eliminated. Will you have to pay more in taxes? Of course you will. Maybe it depends on your income level, but it could be that you’d be paying $12,000 more in taxes,
    0:26:34 but not $20,000 more in premiums, copayments and deductibles. You save money. So it’s paying taxes rather than paying money to the insurance company. You got a better deal through the tax system.
    0:26:46 So the most painful thing in today’s system is these surprise bills, the No. 1 cause of bankruptcy and the psychological pain that comes from that, just worrying, stressed in debt.
    0:26:55 You got it. And just basically afraid constantly of getting sick because you don’t know if insurance is going to cover it and if you’re not insured, you don’t know how much it’s going to cost.
    0:27:05 So you’re not going to go to the hospital, even if there’s something wrong with you, if there’s pain and all that. So you just live in a state of fear, psychological fear. That’s the No. 1 problem. It’s just not just financial, psychological.
    0:27:19 Look, and I think you said it very well. I’m chairman of the committee that deals with this stuff. So I talk to a lot of doctors. And doctors in Vermont and all over this country tell me that they are astounded.
    0:27:30 People walk into their offices much sicker than they should have been. And the doctor said, “Why didn’t you come here six months ago when you first felt your symptoms?”
    0:27:37 And they said, “Well, you know, I have a high deductible of a $10,000 deductible. I don’t have any money to pay. I’m uninsured.”
    0:27:50 Some of those people don’t make it. Other people, and this is what is totally crazy, they end up in the hospital at huge expense to the system rather than getting the care they need when they needed it.
    0:28:01 So that is how– I’ll give you another example of it. We pay the highest prices in the world for prescription drugs. One out of four Americans can’t afford the drugs their doctors prescribed.
    0:28:07 So you walk into the doctor’s office and they say, “Okay, Lex, you got this, that, and the other thing. Here’s your prescription. You can’t afford to fill it.”
    0:28:14 What happens? You get sicker. You end up in the emergency room, which is an extremely expensive proposition. Okay?
    0:28:24 Or you end up in the hospital rather than dealing with the problem when it occurs. And what is not talked about– I mentioned earlier how we don’t talk about some of the major issues.
    0:28:34 The estimate is that some 60,000 people in America die every single year unnecessarily because they can’t get to a doctor when they need because of financial reasons.
    0:28:43 And you want to hear it even crazier. One out of four people who get cancer treatment in this country either go bankrupt or deplete their financial resources or their family.
    0:28:51 So your point is right. You know, if somebody diagnosed you with cancer, you’re scared to death. You’re worried about how you’re going to live. You’re going to die. What’s going to happen?
    0:28:57 And then on top of that, you’ve got to worry about whether your family goes bankrupt. How insane and cruel is that?
    0:29:08 So to me, you know, I think health care is what unites us all. Everybody has family. They get sick. We’ll get born. We all die. We all want care.
    0:29:14 And we all have got to come together to create a system that works for all of us, not just the drug companies or the insurance companies.
    0:29:20 There’s just so many stories and not even the horrific stories. It’s countless horrific stories, but just basic stories of cost.
    0:29:34 Like my friend, a doctor, Peter Atia, has this story where he happens to be wealthy so he can afford it, but he had to take his son to the emergency room and the son was dehydrated and the bill was $6,000.
    0:29:42 They just did a basic test and gave him an IV, a basic thing. And he has really good insurance and the insurance covered $4,000 of it.
    0:29:53 So he had to, at the end, pay $2,000 for a basic emergency room visit. And there’s a lot of families for whom that one visit for such a simple thing would be just financially devastating.
    0:30:02 And you know what? People know that. And you know what they say, you know, I don’t feel well today. Something’s wrong. I ain’t going to go to that emergency room.
    0:30:08 Because I don’t want a $6,000 bill. And what happens if he had insurance that paid two-thirds of it, right?
    0:30:14 So what happens if he didn’t? What happens if he didn’t have money? He’d be handed by bill collectors for the rest of his life.
    0:30:27 So it is a disgusting system. It is an inhumane system. But you know, the insurance companies and the drug companies are very powerful and they make a lot of campaign contributions, have a lot of lobbyists and we are where we are.
    0:30:32 But you know, I think, you know, the American people want fundamental changes there.
    0:30:39 So that’s another good example, a really popular idea that is not implemented because of the money in politics.
    0:30:47 You got it. That’s a wonder. And I’ll tell you that not only that, not only is it not implemented because of money, it’s not even discussed.
    0:30:57 Alright, so I’m saying here, and no one disputes me, we are spending twice as much per person on healthcare, right?
    0:31:05 And yet 85 million Americans are uninsured or underinsured and our life expectancy is lower than virtually every other major country.
    0:31:09 Do you think that might be an issue that we’d be discussing?
    0:31:20 Again, if a single politician discusses it, they get punished for it. So there needs to be a mass movement and probably, I mean, from my perspective, it has to come from the very top.
    0:31:27 It has to come from the president and the president has to be a populist president where they don’t care about the parties with the rich people.
    0:31:32 They just speak out because they know it’s a popular message and they know it’s the right thing.
    0:31:40 So speaking of that, you had a historic campaign run for president in 2016.
    0:31:52 And in the eyes of many people, mine included, you were screwed over by the DNC as the, especially the WikiLeaks emails showed.
    0:31:57 What’s your just looking back feelings about that? Are you angry? Are you upset?
    0:32:11 Yeah, of course, I’m angry and of course, I’m upset. But, you know, when you take on, in this case, the democratic establishment who have controlled their party forever,
    0:32:20 money to interest in the democratic party, you know, you’re taking on corporate America when you’re taking on the corporate media.
    0:32:31 And when you’re calling for a political revolution that creates the government that works for all and not just the few, you know, the opposition is going to be extraordinary.
    0:32:41 But what I am extremely proud of from that campaign in 2020 as well is that we tip con the anointed candidate of the establishment.
    0:32:50 And we showed, you know, we showed, despite the fact, the entire establishment I had in the Senate, I had one supporter.
    0:32:57 There were 50 Democrats. I had one supporter. I had no governor supporting me, I think, maybe a few people in the house.
    0:33:10 But we took on the whole political establishment and we did, you know, got millions of votes and the ideas that we brought forth were ideas that they had to eventually deal with in one way or another.
    0:33:20 If you look at the American rescue plan, which I’m proud to have helped write during the midst of COVID, a lot of the ideas that we fought for were implemented in that bill.
    0:33:22 And I want to make them obviously permanent.
    0:33:28 And you almost won. And a lot of people thought that you would win against Donald Trump.
    0:33:32 I think we would have. I think we would have.
    0:33:38 You know, I think Trump is a very, you know, I think he’s a little bit crazy between you and me, but he is a smart politician.
    0:33:44 And he’s appealing to a lot of the anger that working class people feel.
    0:33:58 And you know what, working class people should feel angry, but they should make sure that their anger is directed in the right direction and not against people who are even worse off than they are, which is what demagogues like Trump always do.
    0:34:07 So, you know, I think we had as I went around the country then and now we have a lot of support from working class people who understand that there is something wrong.
    0:34:10 And this is an incredible fact that no one talks about.
    0:34:14 All right, I’m going to ask you a question. Are you ready for this? Let’s go. Here we go.
    0:34:23 Over the last 50 years, there’s been a massive increase in worker productivity as a result of technology, right? Everyone agrees that.
    0:34:30 And it’s, I don’t know exactly what it is, but the worker today is producing a lot more than the worker 50 years ago doing something similar.
    0:34:37 Is the worker today in real inflation account for dollars making more money than that worker 50 years ago?
    0:34:41 Well, there’s a lot of close arguments there, but your point is well taken.
    0:34:45 It’s either the same or a little bit higher or a little bit lower, depending on the statistics.
    0:34:50 It has not increased significantly and the wealth inequality has increased significantly.
    0:34:51 That is the point.
    0:35:00 So you would think that if a worker is producing a lot more, that worker would be better off, would be working lesser hours, etc.
    0:35:02 That hasn’t been the case.
    0:35:15 And what has happened in that 50 years is according to the Rand Corporation, there has been a 50 trillion trillion with the T redistribution of wealth from the bottom 90% to the top 1%.
    0:35:19 You got CEOs today making 300 times more than their workers.
    0:35:24 You got three people on top owning more wealth than the bottom half of American society.
    0:35:32 So that’s why people are angry and they’re worried that their kids may have a lower standard of living than they in the wealthiest country in the history of the world.
    0:35:34 So there’s a lot of anger out there.
    0:35:43 And I think we tap some of that anger in a constructive way, essentially saying, you know what, we don’t need so few to have so much in wealth and power.
    0:35:46 Let’s distribute it more fairly in America.
    0:35:51 I got to get back to 2016 because it’s such a historic moment.
    0:36:01 So there’s a lot of fans of yours that wanted you to keep fighting because you forgave in the end the establishment and join them in support.
    0:36:08 And your fans wanted to keep fighting for a takeover for progressive takeover the Democratic Party.
    0:36:13 If you just look back and had to do it all over again, what would you do different?
    0:36:17 Well, by the way, in terms of a takeover the Democratic Party, we did try.
    0:36:23 We ran, you know, Keith Ellison is Keith is now the attorney general of the state of Minnesota.
    0:36:27 He’s doing a great job really, one of the outstanding attorney generals in the country.
    0:36:39 And Keith was then a member of Congress and we ran Keith to become the head of the DNC and the establishment from the president of the United States on down when crazy.
    0:36:42 And they beat him by a few votes, not a whole lot.
    0:36:50 So it’s look you’re faced and you know, that’s the exact same position that many of us are in right today.
    0:36:53 So people say, well, why did you support Hillary Clinton?
    0:36:55 Yeah, what’s the alternative Donald Trump?
    0:37:01 I think Donald Trump is an extremely dangerous person trying to undermine American democracy.
    0:37:03 So I can’t support him.
    0:37:07 You know, Hillary Clinton obviously views are very, very different than mine.
    0:37:12 But that in that moment, you know, that’s where politics becomes really tricky.
    0:37:14 And it ain’t easy.
    0:37:20 And, you know, sometimes you have to do things that you’re not really all that excited about.
    0:37:27 But I think it was right to try to do what I could to prevent Trump from getting elected.
    0:37:32 And in 2020, I did the same with Biden and we had more success with Biden than we had with Clinton.
    0:37:41 Well, there’s this interesting story about a long time coming meeting between you and Obama in 2018, I believe.
    0:37:50 So Ari Ravenhaft, who was a former deputy campaign manager wrote a great book, I would say about you called The Fighting Soul on the Road with Bernie Sanders.
    0:37:56 And he tells many great stories, but one of them is your meeting with Obama.
    0:38:02 And he says that Obama told you, Bernie, I wish I could do a good Obama impression.
    0:38:07 Bernie, you’re an Old Testament prophet, a moral voice for our party giving us guidance.
    0:38:11 Here’s the thing, though, prophets don’t get to be king.
    0:38:13 Kings have to make choices, prophets don’t.
    0:38:16 Are you willing to make those choices?
    0:38:23 Basically, Obama’s making the case that you have to sort of moderate your approach in order to win.
    0:38:25 So was Obama right?
    0:38:31 Look, and again, that’s why politics is very, very fascinating.
    0:38:35 You know, sometimes you can run and lose and you really win.
    0:38:41 If your goal is not just individual power, but transforming society.
    0:38:45 One of my heroes, you mentioned Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr., who is one of my heroes?
    0:38:48 Another one of my heroes is Eugene Victor Debs.
    0:38:49 That ring a bell?
    0:38:50 Yeah, yes.
    0:38:51 Okay.
    0:38:52 For many reasons, yes.
    0:38:53 All right.
    0:38:58 Debs, many listeners may not know who Debs was.
    0:39:16 Debs was a union organizer in the early 1900s, helped form the American Railway Union, ran for president, I think, five times, ran the last time while he was in a jail cell because of his opposition to World War I and got a million votes doing that.
    0:39:20 Debs lost badly in every race that he ran in.
    0:39:29 In 1932, Franklin Delano Roosevelt ran for president and much of what Roosevelt ended up doing was at least some of what Debs had talked about.
    0:39:32 Debs helped lay the groundwork for ideas.
    0:39:37 So sometimes you can lose and win if you’re into transforming society.
    0:39:46 What my view is where I disagree with Obama is I think you have got to raise consciousness among ordinary people.
    0:39:53 And when people know what’s going on and are prepared in an organized way to fight for change, they can make incredible changes.
    0:39:55 And we’ve seen that in recent years.
    0:40:02 You know, today we take for granted, well, we have a woman running for president of the United States, so I’m supporting.
    0:40:04 We have had other women running for president.
    0:40:11 We have women governors and senators not so many years ago in the United States Senate, there were 98 men, two women.
    0:40:15 Even before that, 1920, it was when women got the right to vote.
    0:40:17 How did that change?
    0:40:19 How did women’s role in society change?
    0:40:22 It changed because women and their male allies stood up and fought.
    0:40:28 Gay rights, you know, old enough to remember that anybody I knew who was gay, you think they would talk about it?
    0:40:29 Come out about it?
    0:40:30 No, they wouldn’t.
    0:40:32 That’s changed.
    0:40:36 We have seen, you know, in terms of civil rights, massive changes.
    0:40:41 Change happens when people at the grassroots level demand that we talked about healthcare a moment ago.
    0:40:47 We will get universal Medicare for all when millions of people make it clear that’s what they want.
    0:40:52 So I believe politics starts at the grassroots level, and that’s how you got to bring about change.
    0:41:01 So just to go back to Obama, though, in many ways, he too is a singular historic figure in American politics who has brought about a lot of change.
    0:41:05 He’s a symbol I think they’ll be remembered for a long time.
    0:41:09 What do you, what do you admire most about Obama?
    0:41:14 Well, you know, I know him, we’re not best friends, but I know him well and we chat every once in a while.
    0:41:24 First of all, don’t underestimate what it was in 2008 to be the first black president in the history of this country.
    0:41:37 And I think few would deny that he’s an extraordinarily intelligent guy, very, very articulate, one of the best speakers that there is in America.
    0:41:41 And that he and his family, and again, it’s a lot harder than it looks.
    0:41:57 He and his family for eight years, that’s his wife, Michelle and his kids, really held that office in a way that earned, I think, the respect of the American people, even if people disagreed with him politically.
    0:42:03 So he deserves, and again, don’t ever, don’t underestimate.
    0:42:11 I think, you know, years ago, there were people who said a black president in our lifetimes, never going to happen, can’t happen, too racist the country, he did it.
    0:42:14 And that is a huge accomplishment.
    0:42:21 And I think, you know, he has had some significant achievements in his presidential tenure.
    0:42:27 He and I, you know, did disagree on a number of issues.
    0:42:35 I think he would tell you, I think his public stance is that, yeah, if you had to start all over again, he would do Medicare for all single payer.
    0:42:38 But where we are right now, the best he could do is the Affordable Care Act.
    0:42:41 Well, we disagree on that, and we disagree on other things.
    0:42:47 But, you know, I think he deserves an enormous amount of credit for what he has accomplished.
    0:42:53 And he, like you, also gave a damn good speech opposing the Iraq War before running for president.
    0:42:55 And that takes courage.
    0:42:56 Yes, it does.
    0:43:04 But then it also shows that once you get into office, it’s not so easy to oppose or to work against the military industrial complex.
    0:43:06 It is very hard.
    0:43:18 People do not fully appreciate how powerful the establishment is, whether it is the healthcare industry, whether it’s the military industrial complex, whether it’s the fossil fuel industry.
    0:43:27 These people have unlimited amounts of money. They have very smart lobbyists in Washington, D.C., and they are very, very greedy people. They want it all.
    0:43:30 I have to ask you about capitalism, the pros and cons.
    0:43:34 So you wrote a book. It’s okay to be angry about capitalism.
    0:43:40 That is a thorough, rigorous criticism of, I would say, hyper-capitalism.
    0:43:41 Yes, that’s right.
    0:43:47 A certain kind of capitalism that you argue that we are existing in today in the United States.
    0:44:02 A lot of people would attribute to capitalism all the amazing technological innovations over the past 70 plus years that have contributed to increase in quality of life in GDP,
    0:44:11 in decrease in poverty, decrease in infant mortality, increase in expected life, life expectancy.
    0:44:19 So what are the sort of, how do you see the tension, the pros of capitalism and the cons of capitalism?
    0:44:24 You know, some of my European friends, they say, you know, Bernie, in the United States, you’re considered to be very radical.
    0:44:33 If you were here in, you know, France or Denmark or someplace, you’d be kind of mainstream left guy. Not all that radical.
    0:44:40 So this is what I think. I mean, I think the best that we could do right now, where we are right now, is to create,
    0:44:55 a society which does two things. It encourages innovation, but at the same time, it makes sure that all people in a wealthy nation have a decent standard of living.
    0:45:00 In some countries, if you look at Scandinavia, and this shocks people because we don’t talk about this at all.
    0:45:09 So in Scandinavia, it has been the case, you know, Denmark, Finland, Norway, for years that people have health care.
    0:45:13 That’s not a big deal. You end up in a hospital, so what? They don’t pay a bill.
    0:45:21 You have, and this shocks people, in America right now, we have people who get one week, two weeks off paid vacation.
    0:45:25 Sometimes we look at nothing, you know that? There are people out there with no vacation rule.
    0:45:33 You know, in Germany, you get six weeks paid vacation, and other holidays as well. People are shocked by that.
    0:45:38 In America, we don’t have paid family and medical leave. The only major country not to do it.
    0:45:44 You know, other countries, you know, your wife gets sick, you stay home with her. Your kids get sick, not a big deal.
    0:45:50 You get a certain amount of paid family and medical leave. Cost of prescription drugs are far more affordable.
    0:45:56 So what you want to do is create what’s called a social safety net. That means, I don’t care what your income is.
    0:46:01 Of course, you’re going to have health care as a human right. Of course, you’re going to have housing that is affordable.
    0:46:08 Of course, your kids are going to have great quality education from child care to university without much cost.
    0:46:13 You know, every country has a little bit different, but there are countries in the world right now, I think in Germany.
    0:46:23 I think college is now tuition free, as I recall. For obvious reasons, they want to have the best educated workforce they can.
    0:46:36 So in terms of government playing a role in a civilized democratic society, are providing all basic needs, health care, education, housing, retirement benefits.
    0:46:42 Yes, that is what we’ve got to do. Now, does that mean then that the government is going to run every mom and pop store in the corner?
    0:46:49 Of course not. You want innovation. You want, you know, you want to go out and start a business, produce a product. Good luck to you, make money.
    0:46:56 But on the other hand, in terms of even making money, we want you to be able to do that, come up with good products, good services.
    0:47:01 But do I think you should end up with a hundred billion dollars? I don’t.
    0:47:09 And you know what’s funny? I had, I did an interview with Bill Gates, who was, I think, the third wealthiest guy in the country.
    0:47:14 Uh, struggling behind, uh, Musk and Bezos, I think.
    0:47:18 And he’s only worth a hundred plus a billion, but he gets by.
    0:47:22 And I said to him, Bill, he was supposed to ask me questions. I asked him the question. I said, Bill, tell me something.
    0:47:26 You know, you’re an innovator with Microsoft and all that stuff.
    0:47:31 Did you know that you’d become a multi-billionaire? And was that motivated you? That would motivate you?
    0:47:38 And he said, no. And I believe he was honest. I love doing what I love programming. I was a kid. He started doing it. He loved it. He was motivated by it.
    0:47:45 Do you think that there are scientists out there who work in day and night trying to develop drugs to deal with Alzheimer’s or cancer?
    0:47:49 That they motivate, oh boy, if I come up with this drug, I’m going to become a billionaire?
    0:47:55 So I think, you know, we want to reward success. Fine. But you don’t need a billion dollars.
    0:48:03 We want people to get satisfaction from what they accomplished, the work they’re doing, whether it’s cleaning the street or developing a new, you know, drug.
    0:48:11 So I think we have gone a little bit too far. And you’re right in talking about the book was an attack on, you call it hypercapitalism or ubercapitalism.
    0:48:22 But right now, and this is not an American issue. This is a global issue. You know, it’s not an accident that Musk is over there in Saudi Arabia talking to the, you know, trillionaire families in the mid-east.
    0:48:35 These guys that were Putin and his friends, you got a probably not more than, you know, five, 10,000 extraordinarily wealthy families who have unbelievable economic power over 7 billion people on this planet.
    0:48:40 Well, Elon Musk is actually an interesting case because he’s investing all the money back into the businesses.
    0:48:53 So I think there is a balance to be struck. And you just spoke to it, which is we can still celebrate even big companies that are bringing wealth to the world that are building cool stuff that are improving quality of life.
    0:49:03 But we can question of why is it that the working class does not have a living wage in many cases and sort of trying to find that balance.
    0:49:10 Right. That is the story. Look, I am no great fan of Elon Musk, especially in the role that he’s playing right now in Trump’s campaign.
    0:49:21 But is he a brilliant guy? Of course he is. Does he work like a dog? Of course he does. Does he come up with these incredible innovations in companies? Yes, he does. Does he deserve credit for that? Yeah, he does.
    0:49:33 But, you know, even in terms of encouraging innovation, I would hope that we are focusing on the important issues. I would love to see great innovators figure out how we build the affordable housing that we need.
    0:49:41 Come up with the great drugs that we need to solve, many of the terrible illnesses that plague people. Climate change for God’s sakes.
    0:49:51 All right, do we need innovation? You know, we’re making good some progress in this country. Should we do more? What kind of technologies out there can really cut back on carbon emissions?
    0:50:04 So, you know, I hope we focus on some of the most important issues that impact humanity. But, you know, reward innovators, I don’t have a problem with that, but I do have a problem when three people end up owning more wealth at the bottom half of American society.
    0:50:16 Maybe you can briefly speak to something you tweeted recently about Donald Trump going to McDonald’s and the minimum wage, I believe, of seven and a half dollars. Can you just speak to that tweet?
    0:50:27 Look, nothing new. Trump didn’t invent it. That’s of course a photo opportunity. I’ve done one or two in my life, too. So you go to a place he puts on an apron. He got old Donald Trump, just another McDonald’s worker.
    0:50:38 But anyhow, he was sublime. He did his photo op. That’s fine. Kamala Harris was in North Carolina handing out food to people who were victims of the hurricane. Fine. That’s what politicians do.
    0:50:55 But some reporter asked them. They said, you know, Mr. Trump, are you for raising the minimum wage? And that was a fair question because she got, I don’t know how many, but many, many thousands of McDonald’s workers and millions of other American workers right now
    0:51:06 are trying to get by on nine, 10, 11 bucks an hour. Federal minimum wage is seven and a quarter. You have people working in McDonald’s right now for sure who are working with 12, 13 bucks an hour.
    0:51:14 So the reporter said, how, you know, what do you think about raising the federal minimum wage? And he’s, oh, these are great workers. I love McDonald’s. So he didn’t answer the question.
    0:51:21 Well, I think that in the richest country in the history of the world, if you work 40 hours a week, you should not be living in poverty.
    0:51:30 And that means we should have a federal minimum wage, not absurdly seven and a quarter an hour. But in my view, $17 an hour.
    0:51:36 Will that solve all the economic problems for working class people? No, it won’t. It’ll help. It’ll help.
    0:51:46 Since running for president, you’ve often been attacked, especially from the right, about being worth, I believe, $2 million and owning three houses.
    0:51:55 So from my perspective, the answer to that is most of your wealth has been earned from writing books and selling those books.
    0:52:06 And you are one of the most famous politicians in the world. And so your wealth and the context in comparison to other people of that fame level and other politicians is actually quite modest.
    0:52:13 So what’s your response usually to those attacks? Do I own three residences? Yeah, I do.
    0:52:20 I live here in Burlington, Vermont. We live in a middle class neighborhood. Nice house.
    0:52:28 Guess what? I’m a United States senator and I own a home in Washington, D.C. as the most senators. You know, you live there year after year.
    0:52:34 When I first went there, actually when I was in Congress for 16 years, I rented all the time. But I got elected. Okay, you got a six year term.
    0:52:41 You know what? Let’s buy a house. So we bought a house. And guess what? Like many thousands of people in the state of Vermont, I have a summer camp.
    0:52:52 It’s a nice one on Lake Champlain. That’s it. Now, how did I get the money? You’re right. I wrote two bestselling books, including this book on capitalism.
    0:53:01 It was The York Times bestseller for a while. And also another book was a youth book. And that’s what I make, I don’t know, 175,000 a year.
    0:53:06 And that’s more or less how I became the zillionaire that I am.
    0:53:13 I should also mention that sometimes the word mansion is used, and I think your residences are quite modest, at least from my perspective.
    0:53:18 Yeah, my home house is in Brooklyn. You know, middle class house is a very nice house.
    0:53:22 So when you started in politics, I read you were worth $1,100.
    0:53:23 Not much?
    0:53:30 Yeah, that much. That’s right. Has the increase in wealth changed your ability to relate to the working class?
    0:53:43 Well, that’s a good question. And obviously growing up in a working class family has been maybe the most significantly significant aspect of my politics.
    0:53:49 It’s, you know, I grew up without money in a family that lived in a rent control department in Brooklyn, New York.
    0:53:57 So that has impacted me. I’ll tell you, I don’t really give a damn about money. I drive a car that’s 11 years old, you know, it’s an old car.
    0:54:06 And money, here’s my jewelry, it’s the Soul of Watch, and my wedding ring, that’s about it. I don’t have a Rolex watch, would not be interested in it.
    0:54:12 But I’ll tell you what has impacted me. My wife, who also grew up in a working class family, will tell you the same.
    0:54:19 We don’t worry. You raise that issue, you know, if we have to go to the doctor, if our kids have to go to the doctor, we go to the doctor.
    0:54:25 I don’t spend nights worrying. I used to, there was a time I have to worry about how to pay my electric bill. I don’t worry about that anymore.
    0:54:34 So what has happened, that stress, that economic stress of not worrying about a financial disaster, that’s gone. And that is enormous.
    0:54:45 I, you know, maybe as much or more than any other member of the Senate work hard, not only for, but with working class people and chairman of the committee of deals with labor issues.
    0:54:51 We have been involved probably in dozens of strikes all over this country. I’ve been on picket lines.
    0:55:00 So, you know, I do my best. It’s a very easy trap to fall into. You can get separate, separated from ordinary people and their struggles, not hard to do.
    0:55:03 I try as hard as I can not to do that.
    0:55:20 So sometimes people say, can money buy happiness? I think I agree with you that worry, sort of being able to fill up your car and not worry about how much it’s going to cost or be able to get food for dinner and not worry about how much it’s going to cost.
    0:55:33 Or even, you know, I’ve been very, I’ve been poor most of my life, but I’ve been very fortunate recently to have enough wealth to not worry about health care, to have insurance and be able to afford an emergency room visit.
    0:55:37 And that worry is just such a giant lift off your shoulders.
    0:55:43 Lexi, I think you said it very well. I remember even to, and I saw this change in myself.
    0:55:52 When I used to go out and I do the grocery shop, my wife does a lot of the cooking. I do the grocery shop. I used to look at the prices of everything. I do that less now.
    0:55:57 You know, I said, what the hell, so what? It costs 50 cents more for this can of stuff. So what?
    0:56:02 But that’s a luxury you have when you don’t have to worry about that. And I don’t have to worry about that.
    0:56:16 But your point is, again, to me, I don’t like big, fancy cars or big, fancy homes don’t go on. My wife will tell you, we’ve not been on a real vacation for God knows how long because I work pretty hard.
    0:56:21 But the major thing about having money, which is enormously important is just what you said.
    0:56:30 I don’t have to worry if somebody in my family gets sick. I don’t have to worry about it. I don’t have to worry about putting food on the table or paying the mortgage.
    0:56:32 So that’s what money has done.
    0:56:46 Okay. Let me ask you about the future of the Democratic Party. So one of the biggest impacts you’ve had is you’ve been the fuel, the catalyst for the increase of the progressive caucus, the progressive movement within the Democratic Party.
    0:56:53 Do you think that is the future? The progressives, even Democratic socialist leaders will take over the party?
    0:56:58 That is the most important question regarding, to my mind, American politics.
    0:57:13 One of the successes that we’ve had, and I’m proud to have played a role in this, is that if you go to the House of Representatives right now, you will see almost a hundred members of the progressive caucus led very well by a woman from Washington,
    0:57:28 Jayapal does a great job. You know, it’s people like Alexandra Acasio-Cortez in Ilhan Omar and many others. Many of them are young, often women, people of color, and many of them come from working class backgrounds.
    0:57:38 So what we have been able to do in recent years, elect a number of strong progressives who represent working families very, very effectively.
    0:57:45 The struggle in the Democratic Party is between the corporate wing and the progressive wing.
    0:58:04 The corporate wing takes a whole lot of money, sees its salvation in getting a whole lot of money from wealthy individuals and large corporations, and is not very vigorous in my view in representing the needs of working class people.
    0:58:13 If they were, we would have health care for all. We would have a minimum wage that was a living wage. We would not have a housing crisis.
    0:58:21 We would not have a tax system in which billionaires pay an effective tax rate that is lower than a truck driver or a nurse.
    0:58:37 So I think one of the reasons that Trump has had political success is he is not so much his ideas. Most working class people don’t think we should give tax breaks to billionaires or worry about the size of, you know, Arnold Palmer’s genitalia.
    0:58:49 But they are angry. People are angry. And the Democrats have not responded effectively to that anger. So the struggle that we are waging right now is the future of the Democratic Party.
    0:59:00 Will it be a party of the working class and represent working class issues, whether you’re black or white or Latino or Asian or whatever you may be? Or will it be a corporately dominated party? That’s the struggle we’re in right now.
    0:59:11 Did you consider running in 2024? From my perspective, I would have loved it if you ran. I think you would have had a great chance of winning, not just the primary, but the presidency.
    0:59:34 I gave about five minutes thought to it. And the reason was we have a slogan in the progressive movement. It’s not about me. It’s about us. And, you know, to have taken on Biden, who in my view, on domestic issues has been quite strong, would have really split the Democratic Party and laid the groundwork for an easy Trump victory.
    0:59:45 And that I did not want to see. So sometimes in life, and I know that a lot of younger people don’t agree with me, but, you know, you got to make choices which are painful.
    1:00:01 So I strongly supported Biden because I liked his domestic record. He’s done some good things against a lot of opposition. And I’m supporting Kamala right now. But I’m doing my best to see that a dangerous guy like Donald Trump does not become president.
    1:00:06 And the hope for you is that there will be future candidates that are populist, that are progressive.
    1:00:07 Yes, absolutely.
    1:00:22 Let me ask you about AOC. She’s become one of the most influential voices for the progressive cause in the United States. You two had a great conversation on your podcast. And in general, you worked together. So what’s to use most impressive about her?
    1:00:39 I really like Alexandra a whole lot. She is a young woman who comes from a working class background. She helped her mother clean houses. She was a bartender in the Bronx, New York.
    1:00:57 And I’m very proud that my campaign for president inspired her to run. And she ran on a progressive working class program. And she took on one of the more powerful guys, a guy named Joe Crowley, who was pretty high up in the Democratic Party.
    1:01:08 And she knocked on doors. She had no money. She did a very strong grassroots effort. And I appreciate that. So that’s number one. I like what she stands for. She’s incredibly smart.
    1:01:22 And she has that certain charisma that, you know, maybe you’re born with it, maybe you develop it. I don’t know. She, a couple of years ago, she came up here to Vermont, this was the time she and her partner Riley came up.
    1:01:34 And we were out in the street and people saw her and they said, “Oh, Congresswoman!” And she just smiled. And she had an approach to people, which was beautiful. I mean, it wasn’t phony. It was real.
    1:01:41 But to be a politician, you got to know how to, you know, you could be a great intellectual, but you can’t relate to people. She relates well to people.
    1:01:53 And so I think both from a personality perspective, from an intellect perspective, from an ideological perspective, she helped create the Green New Deal concept.
    1:02:03 The need to create jobs as we transform our energy system away from fossil fuel. Strong advocate for Medicare for all workers rights. So I’m a big fan of Alexandria.
    1:02:11 What do you think is the most powerful and enduring impact you’ve had on American politics? Looking back, you’ve been in it for quite a bit.
    1:02:23 Well, you know, I don’t know, I can give you a singular answer. You know, I was mayor of the city and proud of what we accomplished here. Proud of my accomplishments as a U.S. senator, you know, when COVID was devastating this country.
    1:02:31 And we had a massive economic downturn. As chairman of the Budget Committee, I helped write the American Rescue Plan, which put a lot of money into people’s pockets.
    1:02:41 We got childhood poverty by 40% by providing a child tax credit. We kept hospitals going. We kept colleges going. Kept people from getting evicted.
    1:02:54 I helped get public health out of people getting the vaccines. You know, I’m proud of that. But at the end of the day, I think what I have shown is that the ideas gets back to the early part of this conversation.
    1:03:01 The ideas that I am talking about are ideas that are widely supported, you know.
    1:03:16 So, you know, Donald Trump says, “Oh, Bernie Sanders is a far left!” You know, it’s like I’m some kind of extremist coming up with ideas that nobody supports. Everything that I talk about, raising them in ways healthcare for all, a tax system which demands the billionaires pay their fair share.
    1:03:24 Those are all popular ideas, but people didn’t know. You got to run for president and have 20,000 people come out to your rallies and win 23 states.
    1:03:37 They say, “Hmm, well, maybe those ideas are not so crazy after all.” And we got to entertain them. The establishment doesn’t like that. They really don’t. They want to tell you, and this is their main, this is how they succeed.
    1:03:49 What they say, Lex, is the world is the way it is. It always will be this way. We got the wealth. We got the power. And don’t think of anything else. This is the way it is. You have no power. Give up.
    1:04:05 They don’t say it quite that way, but that’s really what the intent is. And what we showed is, guess what? You know, running an outsider campaign, we took on the democratic establishment, we came close to winning it, and we did win 23 states.
    1:04:10 And the ideas that we’re talking about are the ideas that working class people, young people believe in.
    1:04:16 Yeah, you showed that it’s possible to win. And that’s an idea that will resonate for decades to come.
    1:04:24 And out of that came dozens of candidates now in the House of Representatives, people on city council, people on state legislature, who did win.
    1:04:41 So we mentioned about the worry of getting sick, the worry of life that many people in the working class are suffering from, but there’s also the worry that we all experience of the finiteness of life. Do you ponder your own mortality? Are you afraid of it?
    1:04:47 Well, when you’re 83, it does come across. Yeah, of course I do.
    1:04:48 Are you afraid of it?
    1:05:01 No, I’m not afraid of death. What I am afraid of, I think, is infirmity. I have been knocked on wood, this is wood, I think. Reasonably healthy, with an exception, I had a heart attack five years ago.
    1:05:12 And what blew me away was that my body failed me for the very first time in my life. That was stunning to me, that suddenly I was in a hospital bed.
    1:05:31 I have a great deal of compassion for people as we speak who are in nursing homes, having a hard time walking, maybe your mental agility is slipping a little bit. That’s tough. That’s what worries me. We’re all going to die, and that’s that.
    1:05:38 So I’m not afraid of that, but that aspect of getting older, and that does concern me.
    1:05:53 That said, your mind is as sharp as any politician that I’ve ever heard, and also just off-mic, I should say, just the warmth that you radiate, and I deeply, deeply appreciate that as a human being.
    1:06:08 So you still got it, after all that, after all those speeches, after all those houses, after all of it, there’s still the humility and just the sharpness, the wit is all there.
    1:06:16 So Bernie, yeah, like I said, I wish you would have ran this year, but I also wish that there’s future candidates.
    1:06:30 And there will be, Lex. I absolutely do. And I think, you know, you asked about my legacy and the idea that they’re all wonderful, really, really wonderful people who are now got involved in the political process and are fighting for justice. That’s a great legacy.
    1:06:34 What gives you hope about the future of this country, about the future of the world?
    1:06:48 You know, sometimes one can become very cynical. You look at the terrible wars that are going on right now. You look at the dizziness in this country, the ugliness, the poverty. You look at climate change.
    1:06:58 You know, you get depressed from all of that, but I am lucky in this sense, and that I’ve had the opportunity. People often have, what inspires you? How do you keep going?
    1:07:09 And I remember, it actually was in California where it really crystallized. There was a rally in the agricultural area of California, and we did a rally. It was sunset.
    1:07:26 Thousands of people were out, and you looked around the crowd, and there were young people, black and white and Latino and Asian American, huge cross-section. They’re older people, and they all wanted to make America a very much better country.
    1:07:40 And it really moved me. I mean, I see that time and time. I’ve just been on the campaign trail, and you see great people, really beautiful people who are not interested in becoming billionaires. They want to improve life for other people in this country.
    1:07:48 So, you know, I am grateful that I, you know, it sounds like a platitude. You know, it’s what every politician says, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
    1:08:05 But when you go out around the country, you know, you go to Native American reservations, and you go to factories and everything, and you see so many wonderful people. You know, I have been able to see things that many others have not been to every state in the country, and that inspires me.
    1:08:13 I share their optimism. I share your optimism. Bernie, I’ve been a fan for a long time. It’s a great honor to speak to you today. Thank you so much.
    1:08:16 Well, thank you very much for what you’re doing. Let me just say a word about what you’re doing.
    1:08:17 Okay, let’s go.
    1:08:30 The compliments here. You know, I think there is a growing dissatisfaction with corporate media, and not because it’s fake news or the report is live all the time. That’s nonsense. They don’t.
    1:08:45 But I think people want to hear folks really talk about in a calm manner about some of the very important issues which are not discussed in corporate media, and I think that’s what you and some others are doing. So, I thank you very much. It’s a very important service to the country.
    1:08:53 And thank you from a mayor perspective of creating a wonderful town, and I look forward to looking at the fall leaves walking around tonight.
    1:08:57 I think Mike rate the leaves. I did create some other things.
    1:08:59 Okay, thank you so much, Bernie.
    1:09:00 Thank you, Alex.
    1:09:11 Thanks for listening to this conversation with Bernie Sanders. To support this podcast, please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, let me leave you with some words from Aristotle.
    1:09:30 The real difference between democracy and oligarchy is poverty and wealth. Wherever men rule by reason of their wealth, whether they be few or many, that is an oligarchy. And where the poor rule, that is democracy.
    1:09:34 Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time.
    1:09:49 (music)

    Bernie Sanders is a US Senator from Vermont and a two-time presidential candidate.
    Thank you for listening ❤ Check out our sponsors: https://lexfridman.com/sponsors/ep450-sc
    See below for timestamps, and to give feedback, submit questions, contact Lex, etc.

    CONTACT LEX:
    Feedback – give feedback to Lex: https://lexfridman.com/survey
    AMA – submit questions, videos or call-in: https://lexfridman.com/ama
    Hiring – join our team: https://lexfridman.com/hiring
    Other – other ways to get in touch: https://lexfridman.com/contact

    EPISODE LINKS:
    Bernie’s Website: https://berniesanders.com
    Bernie’s X: https://x.com/BernieSanders
    Bernie’s Instagram: https://instagram.com/berniesanders
    Bernie’s YouTube: https://youtube.com/@BernieSanders
    Bernie’s Facebook: https://facebook.com/berniesanders

    Bernie’s Books:
    It’s OK to Be Angry About Capitalism: https://amzn.to/4fiIqS3
    Where We Go from Here: https://amzn.to/4eUSJMj
    Bernie Sanders Guide to Political Revolution: https://amzn.to/3YkVAa4
    Our Revolution: https://amzn.to/40cIbnf
    Outsider in the White House: https://amzn.to/3BSfD8u

    SPONSORS:
    To support this podcast, check out our sponsors & get discounts:
    Eight Sleep: Temp-controlled smart mattress.
    Go to https://eightsleep.com/lex
    Saily: An eSIM for international travel.
    Go to https://saily.com/lex
    Ground News: Unbiased news source.
    Go to https://groundnews.com/lex
    AG1: All-in-one daily nutrition drinks.
    Go to https://drinkag1.com/lex
    LMNT: Zero-sugar electrolyte drink mix.
    Go to https://drinkLMNT.com/lex

    OUTLINE:
    (00:00) – Introduction
    (08:51) – MLK Jr
    (11:43) – Corruption in politics
    (23:00) – Healthcare in US
    (31:33) – 2016 election
    (37:32) – Barack Obama
    (43:26) – Capitalism
    (51:35) – Response to attacks
    (56:32) – AOC and progressive politics
    (1:04:24) – Mortality
    (1:06:30) – Hope for the future

    PODCAST LINKS:
    – Podcast Website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast
    – Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr
    – Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8
    – RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/
    – Podcast Playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLrAXtmErZgOdP_8GztsuKi9nrraNbKKp4
    – Clips Channel: https://www.youtube.com/lexclips

  • #449 – Graham Hancock: Lost Civilization of the Ice Age & Ancient Human History

    AI transcript
    0:00:18 The following is a conversation with Graham Hancock, a journalist and author who for over 30 years has explored the controversial possibility that there existed a law civilization during the last Ice Age and that it was destroyed in a global cataclysm some 12,000 years ago.
    0:00:36 He is the presenter of the Netflix documentary series, Ancient Apocalypse, the second season of which has just been released and it’s focused on the distant past of the Americas, a topic I recently discussed with the archaeologist Ed Barnhart.
    0:00:49 Let me say that Ed represents the kind of archaeologist, scholar I love talking to on the podcast, extremely knowledgeable, humble, open-minded and respectful in disagreement.
    0:00:54 I’ll do many more podcasts on history, including ancient history.
    0:01:08 Our distant past is full of mysteries and I find it truly exciting to explore those mysteries with people both on the inside and the outside of the mainstream in the various disciplines involved.
    0:01:28 And now a quick few second-mention of each sponsor. Check them out in the description. It’s the best way to support this podcast. We’ve got Notion for note-taking, Riverside for making amazing looking podcasts online, Element for hydration, Shopify for selling stuff online, and BetterHelp for your mind.
    0:01:45 Choose wise and my friends. Also, if you want to get in touch with me for whatever reason, go to LexReven.com/contact and now onto the full adaries. As always, no ads in the middle. I try to make these interesting, but if you skip them, please do check out our sponsors. I enjoy their stuff. Maybe you will too.
    0:02:05 This episode is brought to you by Notion, a note-taking and team collaboration tool. To me, Notion is hands down the best integration of LLMs into the note-taking process when there’s a lot of documents, a lot of different kinds of documents, and a lot of different kinds of people creating the documents.
    0:02:19 In the same way that, in the recent episode I talked about with the cursor, can query the code base, Notion generalizes that, and can query the document base.
    0:02:26 So all the wikis and projects and all the notes that you take, all of that can be query. You can ask questions about it. You can find stuff.
    0:02:34 You can summarize, especially when there’s multiple people on the team, you can summarize all the progress made in a particular project, all that kind of stuff.
    0:02:43 You show up at the beginning of the day and you want to know, okay, what happened yesterday? Where can I help? Those kinds of questions can be answered with Notion.
    0:02:52 Try Notion AI for free when you go to Notion.com/lex. That’s all lowercase Notion.com/lex to try the power of Notion AI today.
    0:03:03 This episode is also brought to you by Riverside. It really is just an incredible platform for recording podcasts online. A lot of people are doing podcasts.
    0:03:08 And the natural question that people ask me and people ask on the internet is how to do it easy.
    0:03:17 I think Riverside is the place to go to achieve easy, professional level quality on both the audio and the video.
    0:03:24 I’ve used it a bunch over the years to record remote podcasts. In fact, I need to be doing more remote podcasts.
    0:03:35 The point is the technology is super easy because you have double-ended recording, so you have extremely high-quality recording on both ends. All you do is just log in on the browser. It just works.
    0:03:49 I’m so glad this exists. It just works. And of course, they have a bunch of nice features that are leveraging AI, for example. You have a text-based editor for both audio and video, which is just incredible.
    0:04:01 The syncing of the multiple guests. Obviously, simple, seeming thing, but hard to do seamlessly and flawlessly. And they do just that.
    0:04:09 I mean, it’s just incredible. They do. They pulled it off. It’s not easy to pull off. And they make it look easy, which is wonderful.
    0:04:15 So it’s a product that I recommend to a lot of people who are interested in doing a podcast of any kind.
    0:04:27 Like I said, I record my remote interviews with Riverside. Give it a try at riverside.fm and use code LEX for 30% off. That’s riverside.fm and use code LEX.
    0:04:37 This episode is brought to you by Element, my daily zero sugar, delicious electrolyte mix. I drink it throughout the day. I’m drinking it now.
    0:04:46 And I’m actually pretty low on water and electrolytes at the moment because I did a really hard training session.
    0:04:58 The training session was about an hour and a half, and I think I only took one round off. It was just hard training round after round after round.
    0:05:16 And by the end of it, I was just sort of both in the zone, technique wise, but also kind of psychologically accepting whatever happens in each particular puzzle that is jiu-jitsu.
    0:05:27 So I trained against some really strong dudes today. It was wrestlers intense. The technique was there too. So it’s like it’s a battle for everything.
    0:05:35 Lots of just attacking for submissions over and over and over everything in the transitions. There’s no stalling in a particular position.
    0:05:43 It’s just movement and movement and movement and constant attacks. Yeah, it was exhausting. Plus the heat, just all of that sweating.
    0:05:53 And I usually don’t drink during training. So by the time I’m done, I’m just like, no water in me. And that’s when the element really helps out.
    0:06:02 I go from feeling really shitty to feeling really good. So get a sample pack for free with any purchase. Try to drink element.com/lex.
    0:06:11 This episode is also brought to you by Shopify, a platform designed for anyone to sell anywhere with a great looking online store.
    0:06:32 I set up a store on lexfumi.com/store. And I need to add shirts there, especially shirts that don’t have my face on them. I keep getting all kinds of ideas, but just haven’t gotten around to it, even though it’s super easy.
    0:06:50 No, here’s an interesting thing. I’ve been getting more and more into programming languages that I haven’t used before because I’m doing interviews with more and more programmers coming up, planning on it, thinking about it, excited for it.
    0:07:14 Programming makes me happy. Anyway, I found out that Shopify, you know, the product of service, the website was originally maybe still built with Rails, Ruby on Rails. So Ruby on Rails is this technology that’s super sexy, super popular, or was for a long time and I never just got around to using it.
    0:07:29 So one of the things I would like to do is to get better at that so I can get a greater understanding of what it takes to program for the web so that I can talk to people who excel at that, who are experts at that.
    0:07:48 Anyway, all that said, you can build incredible stuff with Ruby on Rails, which is Shopify, and you can sell stuff. Whatever it is you want to sell, you can sell it with Shopify. Sign up for a dollar per month trial period at Shopify.com/Lex. That’s all lowercase. Go to Shopify.com/Lex to take your business to the next level today.
    0:08:11 This episode was also brought to you by BetterHelp, spelled H-E-L-P Help. They figure out what you need and match you with a licensed therapist in under 48 hours. I think at the end of the podcast, Graham called death a leap into the next great adventure. Something like that.
    0:08:32 And I remember that made me smile, a kind of smile that just warms my heart and the warmth stays there for a time. It’s the kind of joyful acceptance of the transitory nature of life, those words and the way he said them.
    0:09:02 And just as he said, death indeed is one of the great concerns for us humans, whether we’re acknowledged or not. It is the darkness beneath the surface waves of our daily concerns. At least I personally believe that there is a fear there, a great fear, that must be confronted and dealt with and integrated into our conception of what it means to be a human being.
    0:09:05 And how to survive the waves.
    0:09:18 Anyway, I’m a big believer that talking is one of the tools that should be used to understand your mind and to figure out what strategies can be used to navigate life.
    0:09:31 And yeah, that’s what talk therapy can do. And I recommend the easiest way to do that is BetterHelp. Check them out at betterhelp.com/Lex and save in your first month. That’s betterhelp.com/Lex.
    0:09:42 This is a Lex Friedman podcast. To support it, please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, dear friends, here’s Graham Hancock.
    0:10:21 Let’s start with a big foundational idea that you have about human history, that there was an advanced ice age civilization that came before and perhaps seeded what people now call the six cradles of civilization, Mesopotamia, Egypt, India, China, Andes, and Mesoamerica. So let’s talk about this idea that you have. Can you at the highest possible level describe it?
    0:10:43 It would be better to describe it as a foundational sense of puzzlement and incompleteness in the story that we are taught about our past, which envisages more or less, there have been a few ups and downs, but more or less straightforward evolutionary progress.
    0:10:56 We start out as hunter foragers. Then we become agriculturalists. The hunter for the forager phase could go back hundreds of thousands of years.
    0:11:08 I mean, this is where it’s also is also important to mention that anatomically modern humans and we’re not the only humans. We had Neanderthals from, I don’t know, 400,000 years ago to about 40,000 years ago.
    0:11:16 They were certainly human because anatomically modern humans interbred with them and we carry Neanderthal genes.
    0:11:32 They were the Denisovans, maybe 300,000 to perhaps even as recently as 30,000 years ago. And again, interbreeding took place. They’re obviously a human species. So, you know, we’ve got this background of humans who didn’t look quite like us.
    0:11:46 And then we have anatomically modern humans. And I think the earliest anatomically modern human skeletal remains are from Jebeler Hood in Morocco and date to about 310,000 years ago.
    0:12:00 So the question is what were our ancestors doing after that? And I think we can include the Neanderthals and the Denisovans in that in that general picture. And why did it take so long? This is one of the puzzles, one of the questions that bother me.
    0:12:15 Why did it take so long when we have creatures who are physically identical to us? We cannot actually weigh and measure their brains. But from the work that’s been done on the crania, it looks like they had the same brains that we do with the same wiring.
    0:12:34 So if we’ve been around for 300,000 plus years at least, and if ultimately in our future was the process to create civilization or civilizations, why didn’t it happen sooner? Why did it take so long? Why was it such a long time?
    0:12:53 Even the story of anatomically modern humans has kept on changing. I remember a time when it was said that there hadn’t been anatomically modern humans before 50,000 years ago. And then it became 196,000 years ago with the findings in Ethiopia and then 310,000 years ago.
    0:13:19 There’s a lot of missing pieces in the puzzle there. But the big question for me in that timeline is why didn’t we do it sooner? Why did it take so long? Why did we wait until after 12,000 years ago, really after 10,000 years ago, to start seeing the beginnings, what are selected as the beginnings of civilization in places like Turkey, for example?
    0:13:30 And then there’s a relatively slow process of adopting agriculture. And by 6,000 years ago, we see ancient Sumer emerging as a civilization.
    0:13:45 And we’re then in the pre-dynastic period in ancient Egypt as well, 6,000 years ago, beginning to see definite signs of what will become the dynastic civilization of Egypt about 5,000 years ago.
    0:14:04 And interestingly, around about the same time, you have the Indus Valley civilization popping up out of nowhere. And by the way, the Indus Valley civilization was a lost civilization until the 1920s, when railway workers accidentally stumbled across some ruins.
    0:14:17 I’ve been to Harappa and Mohenjo-Daro, and these are extraordinarily beautifully centrally planned cities. Clearly, they’re the work of an already sophisticated civilization.
    0:14:27 One of the things that strikes me about the Indus Valley civilization is that we find a steatite seal of an individual seated in a recognizable yoga posture.
    0:14:37 And that seal is 5,000 years old. And the yoga posture is Mula Bandhasana, which involves a real contortion of the ankles and twisting the feet back.
    0:14:48 It’s an advanced yoga posture. So there it is 5,000 years ago. And that raises the question, well, how long did yoga take to get to that place when it was already so advanced 5,000 years ago?
    0:14:58 What’s the background to this? China, the Yellow River civilization. Again, it’s around about the same period. 5,000 to 6,000 years ago, you get these first signs of something happening.
    0:15:14 So it’s very odd that all around the world, we have this sudden upsurge of civilization about 6,000 years ago preceded by what seems like a natural evolutionary process that would lead to a civilization.
    0:15:23 And yet certain ideas being being carried down and manifested and expressed in many of these in many of these different civilizations.
    0:15:40 I just find that that whole idea very puzzling and very and very disturbing, especially when I look at this radical break that takes place in not just the human story, but the story of all life on earth,
    0:15:48 which was the last great cataclysm that the earth went through, which was the Younger Dryas event. It was an extinction level event.
    0:16:01 That’s when all the great megafauna of the Ice Age went extinct. It’s after that, it’s after that event that we start seeing this, what are taken to be the beginnings of the first gradual steps towards civilization.
    0:16:08 We come out of the upper Paleolithic as it’s defined the old end of the old Stone Age and into the Neolithic.
    0:16:13 And that’s when the wheels are supposedly set in motion to start civilization rolling.
    0:16:17 But but what happened before that? And why did that? Why did that suddenly happen then?
    0:16:24 And I can’t help feeling and I felt this for a very long while that there are major missing pieces in our story.
    0:16:34 It’s often said that I’m claiming to have proved that there was an advanced lost civilization in the Ice Age, and I am not claiming to have proved that.
    0:16:43 That is a hypothesis that I am putting forward to answer some of the questions that I have about about prehistory.
    0:16:56 And and I think it’s worthwhile to inquire into those possibilities because the Younger Dryas event was a massive global cataclysm, whatever caused it.
    0:17:03 And and it’s strange that just after it, we start seeing these these first signs.
    0:17:16 So the current understanding in mainstream archaeology is that after the Younger Dryas is when the civilizations popped up in different places of the globe with a lot of similarities.
    0:17:26 But they popped up independently independently and and by coincidence and by coincidence, those those big civilizations that we all remember as the first civilizations.
    0:17:32 Sumer, Egypt, the Indus Valley civilization, China, they all pop up at the pretty much the same time.
    0:17:35 That is that is the mainstream view.
    0:17:36 And then I’ll just pop up.
    0:17:39 They kind of build up gradually first.
    0:17:40 There’s some settlements.
    0:17:40 Oh, definitely.
    0:17:41 Yes.
    0:17:45 And then there’s different dynamics of how they build up and the role of the role of agriculture.
    0:17:54 And that is also not obvious, but it’s just there’s a first kind of settlement, a stabilization of where the people are living.
    0:17:55 Then they start using agriculture.
    0:17:58 Then they start getting urban centers and that kind of stuff.
    0:17:59 It seems like an entirely reasonable argument.
    0:18:01 Everything everything about that makes sense.
    0:18:13 There is no doubt that you’re seeing evolutionary progress, social evolution taking taking place in those thousands of years before Sumer emerges.
    0:18:22 But what’s happening now really, I spent much of the 90s and the late 1980s investigating this issue of a lost civilization.
    0:18:24 I wrote a series of books about it.
    0:18:34 But by 2002, when I published a book called Underworld, which was the most massive and most heavy book that I’ve ever written because I was writing very defensively at the time.
    0:18:46 By the time I finished that book, my wife, Santa, and I spent seven years scuba diving all around the world looking for structures under water, often led by local fishermen or local divers to anomalies that they’d seen underwater.
    0:18:50 By the time that book was finished, I thought, actually, I’ve done this story.
    0:18:51 I’ve walked the walk.
    0:18:53 I really don’t have much more to say about it.
    0:19:02 And I turned in another direction and I wrote a book called Supernatural Meetings with the Ancient Teachers of Mankind recently retitled Visionary.
    0:19:10 And that was about the role of fundamentally about the role of psychedelics in the evolution of human human culture.
    0:19:14 And I didn’t think that I would go back to the lost civilization issue.
    0:19:26 But Gobekli Tepe in Turkey kept on forcing itself upon me the more and more discoveries there, the eleven thousand six hundred year date from enclosure D, which is the two largest megalithic pillars.
    0:19:30 And I reached a point where I realized I have to get back in.
    0:19:33 I have to get back in the water and I have to investigate this again.
    0:19:36 And Gobekli Tepe was a game changer.
    0:19:45 But I think it’s a game changer for everything because Gobekli Tepe, the extraordinary nature of it, we’re looking at a major megalithic side.
    0:19:56 Which is at least five and a half thousand years older than, say, Gigantia in Malta, which was previously considered to be the oldest megalithic site in the world.
    0:20:09 And this led, of course, to a huge amount of interest and attention, both from the Turkish government, who see the potential tourism potential of having the world’s oldest megalithic site and from archaeologists.
    0:20:14 And this in turn has led to exploration and excavation throughout the region.
    0:20:34 And what they’re finding throughout that whole region around Gobekli Tepe and going down into Syria and further down into the Jordan Valley, as far as Jericho and even across a bit of the Mediterranean into Cyprus is what Turkish archaeologists are now calling the Tass-Tepeler civilization.
    0:20:51 They’re calling it a civilization, the Stone Hills civilization, with very definite identifying characteristics, semi-subterranean circular structures, the use of T-shaped megalithic pillars, sometimes not anywhere near as big as those at Gobekli Tepe.
    0:20:55 It’s clear that Gobekli Tepe now was not the beginning of this process.
    0:20:57 It was actually in a way the end of this process.
    0:21:03 It was the summation of everything that that Stone Hills civilization had achieved.
    0:21:09 But what is becoming clear is that this is a period before the foundation of Gobekli Tepe.
    0:21:16 As far as we know, that date of 11,600 years ago is the oldest date for Gobekli Tepe.
    0:21:18 But of course, there’s a lot of Gobekli Tepe still underground.
    0:21:25 So we can’t say for sure that that’s the oldest, but it’s the oldest so far excavated.
    0:21:36 What we’re seeing is that in that whole region around there, there was something was in motion and it began to go into motion round about the beginning of the Younger Dryas.
    0:21:39 And this is where these two dates are really important.
    0:21:49 The Younger Dryas around the figures off begins around 12,800 years ago and it ends around 11,600 years ago.
    0:21:57 So Gobekli Tepe’s construction date, if it is 11,600 years ago, if they don’t find older materials, marks the end of the Younger Dryas.
    0:22:07 But the beginning of the Younger Dryas, we’re already seeing the stirrings of the kind of culture that manifests in full form at Gobekli Tepe.
    0:22:17 And after the construction of Gobekli Tepe, in fact, even during the construction of Gobekli Tepe, we see agriculture beginning to be adopted.
    0:22:23 The people who created Gobekli Tepe were all hunter foragers at the beginning.
    0:22:42 But by the time Gobekli Tepe was finished and it was definitely deliberately finished, closed off, closed down, deliberately buried, covered with earth, covered with rubble, and then topped off with a hill, which is why Gobekli Tepe is called what it is.
    0:22:46 Gobekli Tepe means potbellied hill or the hill of the naval.
    0:22:53 For a long time, Gobekli Tepe was thought to be just a hill that looked a bit like a potbelly.
    0:22:55 Can you say how it was discovered?
    0:22:58 I think this is one of the most fascinating things on earth, period.
    0:23:01 So maybe can you say what it is and how it was discovered?
    0:23:11 Well, Gobekli Tepe is, first of all, the oldest fully elaborated megalithic site that we know of anywhere in the world.
    0:23:16 It doesn’t mean that older ones won’t be found, but it is the oldest so far found.
    0:23:25 The part of the site that’s been excavated, which is a tiny percentage of the whole site, we do know, my first visit to Gobekli Tepe was in 2013, and Dr.
    0:23:27 Klaus Schmidt, the late Dr.
    0:23:34 Klaus Schmidt, who died a year later, was very generous to me and showed me around the site for over a period of three days.
    0:23:39 And he explained to me that they’ve already used ground penetrating radar on the site.
    0:23:42 And they know that there’s much more Gobekli Tepe still underground.
    0:23:48 So anything is, anything is possible in terms of the, in terms of the dating of Gobekli Tepe.
    0:23:58 But what we have at the moment is a series of almost circular, but not quite circular enclosures, which are, which are walled with relatively small stones.
    0:24:02 And then inside them, you have pairs of megalithic pillars.
    0:24:18 And the archetypal part of that site is enclosure D, which contains the two largest upright megaliths, about 18 feet tall and reckoned to weigh somewhere in the range of 20 tons, if I have my memory correct.
    0:24:20 They’re substantial, hefty pieces of stone.
    0:24:29 It isn’t, it isn’t some kind of extraordinary feat to create a 20 foot tall or 20 ton megalith, nor is it an extraordinary feat to move it.
    0:24:33 There’s nothing, there’s nothing magical or, or really weird about that.
    0:24:40 Human beings can do that and always have, besides the quarry for the megaliths is right there.
    0:24:44 It’s within 200 meters of the, of the main enclosure.
    0:24:54 So that’s not a mystery, but the mystery is, the mystery is why suddenly this, this new form of architecture, this massive, massive megalithic pillars appear.
    0:25:00 And the pillars, what one of the things that interests me about the pillars is their alignment.
    0:25:07 And there is good work that’s been done, which suggests that enclosure D aligns to the rising of the star Sirius.
    0:25:15 And the rising points of the star Sirius appear to be mapped by the other enclosures, which are all oriented in slightly different directions.
    0:25:28 It was the work entirely of hunter foragers, but by the time Gobekli Tepe was completed, agriculture was being introduced and was, was, was taking place there.
    0:25:31 Now you asked how Gobekli Tepe was found.
    0:25:40 The answer to that is that there was a survey of that potbellied hill in the 1960s by some American archaeologists.
    0:25:47 And they were looking, absolutely looking for stone age material for material from the Paleolithic.
    0:25:52 And they had found some Paleolithic flints, upper Paleolithic flints around there.
    0:25:53 So it looked like a good place to look.
    0:26:02 But then they noticed sticking out of the side of the hill, some very finely cut stone bits of very large and very finely cut stone.
    0:26:10 And looking at that, the workmanship was so good that those archaeologists were confident that it had nothing to do with the stone age.
    0:26:15 And they thought they were looking at perhaps some Byzantine remains.
    0:26:18 And they abandoned the site and never looked at it further.
    0:26:20 And it wasn’t until the German Archaeological Institute got involved.
    0:26:34 And particularly Klaus Schmidt, who I think was a genius, had real insight into this and started to dig at Gobekli Tepe that they realized what they’d found that they’d found potentially the oldest megalithic site in the world.
    0:26:45 And they’d found it at a place where agriculture, according to the established historical timeline, that’s where agriculture at any rate in Europe and Western Asia begins.
    0:26:51 It begins in Anatolia, in Turkey, and then it gradually disseminates westward from there.
    0:26:56 And yet the understanding is it was created by hunter-gatherers.
    0:26:58 It was created by hunter-gatherers, yeah.
    0:27:13 There was no agriculture 11,600 years ago in Gobekli Tepe, but by the time Gobekli Tepe was decommissioned, and I use that word deliberately, was closed down and buried, agriculture was all around it.
    0:27:18 And this was agriculture of people who knew how to cultivate plants.
    0:27:27 Do we have an understanding when it was turned into, if I could say, a time capsule, so protected by forming a mound around it?
    0:27:29 Is it around that similar time?
    0:27:38 It stood from roughly 11,600 years ago to about 10,400 years ago to about 8,400 BC.
    0:27:44 So around 1,200 years, it was there and it continued to be elaborated as a site.
    0:27:48 And while it was being elaborated as a site, we see agriculture.
    0:27:51 I’m going to use the word being introduced.
    0:27:55 It had not, there’d been no sign of it before and suddenly it’s there.
    0:27:57 And to me, that’s another of the mysteries about Gobekli Tepe.
    0:28:06 And then with the new work that’s being done, we realize that it’s part of a much wider phenomenon, which spreads across an enormous distance.
    0:28:12 And the puzzling thing is that after Gobekli Tepe, there almost seems to be a decline.
    0:28:14 Things fall down again.
    0:28:26 And then we enter this long, slow process of the Neolithic thousands of years, gradual developments until we come to ancient Sumer and Mesopotamia.
    0:28:30 But agriculture has taken a firm, a firm route by then.
    0:28:37 Actually, one of the things I’ll just say this in passing, when I talk about a lost civilization, introducing ideas to people.
    0:28:42 I’m often accused of stealing credit from the indigenous people who had those ideas in the first place.
    0:28:52 So I do find it slightly hypocritical that archaeology is fully accepts that the idea of agriculture was introduced to Western Europe from Turkey.
    0:28:57 And that Western Europeans didn’t invent agriculture.
    0:29:01 It was absolutely introduced by Anatolian farmers who traveled west.
    0:29:07 So the notion of dissemination of ideas perhaps shouldn’t be so annoying to archaeologists as it is.
    0:29:18 And perhaps we should also state, if you look at the entirety of history of hominids, humans or hominids have been explorers.
    0:29:23 I didn’t even know this when I was preparing for this, looking at Homo erectus.
    0:29:29 Yeah, 1.9 million years ago, almost right away, they spread out through the whole world.
    0:29:33 And we, Homo sapiens evolved from them.
    0:29:43 And we should also mention, since we’re talking about a sort of controversial debates going on, as I understand, there’s still debates about the dynamics of all that was going on there.
    0:29:52 Like we mentioned in Africa that it’s, you know, I think the current understanding, we didn’t come from one particular point of Africa that there’s multiple locations.
    0:29:55 This is the out of Africa theory.
    0:29:58 I think it’s more than a theory, it’s really strongly evidenced.
    0:30:03 Why? Because we’re part of the great ape family and it’s an African family.
    0:30:08 There’s no doubt that human beings, our deep origins are in Africa.
    0:30:19 But then there, as you rightly say, there were these very early migrations out of Africa by species that are likely ancestral to anatomically modern humans,
    0:30:25 including definitely Homo erectus and the astonishingly distant travels that they undertook.
    0:30:30 Yes, I think there is an urge to explore in all of humanity.
    0:30:36 I think there is an urge to find out what’s around the next corner, what’s over the brow of the next hill.
    0:30:40 And I think that goes very deep into human character.
    0:30:47 And I think it was being manifested in those early adventures of people who left Africa and traveled all around the world.
    0:30:57 And then settling in different parts of the world, I think a lot of anatomically modern human evolution took place outside Africa as well, not only in Africa.
    0:31:16 So I guess the general puzzlement that you’re filled with is, given that these creatures explore and spread and try out different environments, why did it take hundreds of thousands of years for them to develop complicated society settlements?
    0:31:17 That’s the first big question.
    0:31:18 Why did it take so long?
    0:31:22 And that raises in my mind a hypothesis, a possibility.
    0:31:24 Maybe it didn’t take so long.
    0:31:31 Maybe things were happening that we haven’t yet got hold of in the archaeological record, which await to be discovered.
    0:31:38 And of course, there are huge parts of the world that have not been studied at all by archaeology.
    0:31:48 But the fact that the fact that huge parts of the world have not been studied at all by archaeology is not on its own enough to suggest that we’re missing a chapter in the human story.
    0:31:54 The reason that I come to that isn’t only puzzlement about that 300,000 year gap.
    0:32:07 It’s also to do with the fact that there’s common iconography, there’s common myths and traditions, and there’s common spiritual ideas that are found all around the world.
    0:32:17 And they’re found amongst cultures that are geographically distant from one another and that are also distant from one another in time.
    0:32:20 They don’t necessarily occur at the same time.
    0:32:35 And this is where I think that archaeology is perhaps desperately needing a history of ideas, as well as just a history of things, because an idea can manifest again and again throughout the human story.
    0:32:45 So there are particular issues, for example, the notion of the afterlife destiny of the soul, what happens to us when we die.
    0:32:52 And believe me, when you reach my age, that’s something you do think about, what happens.
    0:32:58 I used to feel immortal when I was in my forties, but now that I’m 74, I definitely know that I’m not.
    0:33:03 Well, it would be natural for human beings all around the world to have that same feeling, that same idea.
    0:33:14 But why would they all decide that what happens to the soul after death is that it makes a leap to the heavens, to the Milky Way, that it makes a journey along the Milky Way,
    0:33:26 that there it is confronted by challenges, by monsters, by closed gates, the course of the life that that person has lived will determine their destiny in that afterlife journey.
    0:33:36 And this idea, the path of souls, the Milky Way is called the path of souls, it’s very strongly found in the Americas, right from South America, through Mexico, through into North America.
    0:33:43 But it’s also found in ancient Egypt, in ancient India, in ancient Mesopotamia, the same the same idea.
    0:33:46 And I don’t feel that that can be a coincidence.
    0:34:00 I feel I feel that what we’re looking at is an inheritance of an idea, a legacy that’s been passed down from a remote common source to cultures all around the world and that and then has taken on a life of its own within those cultures.
    0:34:07 So the remote common source would explain both the similarities and the differences in the expression of these ideas.
    0:34:18 The other thing, very puzzling thing, is this sequence of numbers that are a result of the precession of the equinoxes.
    0:34:21 At least I think that’s the best theory to explain them.
    0:34:31 Here, I think it’s important to pay tribute to the work of Giorgio de Santillana and Hirthavondeshend.
    0:34:38 Giorgio de Santillana was Professor of History of Science, actually at MIT, where you’re based back in the sixties.
    0:34:43 And Hirthavondeshend was Professor of the History of Science at Frankfurt University.
    0:35:00 And they wrote an immense book in the 1960s called Hamlet’s Mill, and Hamlet’s Mill differs very strongly from established opinion on the issue of the phenomenon of precession.
    0:35:02 And I’ll explain what precession is in a moment.
    0:35:09 Generally, it’s held that it was the Greeks who discovered the precession.
    0:35:15 And the dating on that is put back not very far, maybe 2,300 years ago or so.
    0:35:22 Santillana and Vundeshend are pointing out that knowledge of precession is much, much older than that, thousands of years older than that.
    0:35:30 And they do actually trace it, I think I’m quoting them pretty much correctly, to some almost unbelievable ancestor civilization.
    0:35:36 Reading that book was one of the several reasons that I got into this mystery in the first place.
    0:35:49 OK, now, the precession of the equinoxes, to give it its full name, is results from the fact that our planet is the viewing platform from which we observe the stars.
    0:35:55 And our planet, of course, is rotating on its own axis at roughly 1,000 miles an hour at the equator.
    0:35:59 But what’s less obvious is that it’s also wobbling on its axis.
    0:36:10 And that, so if you imagine the extended North Pole of the Earth pointing up at the sky, in our time, it’s pointing at the star Polaris, and that is our pole star.
    0:36:16 But Polaris has not always been the pole star precisely because of this wobble on the axis of the Earth.
    0:36:22 Other stars have occupied the pole position, and sometimes the extended North Pole of the Earth points at empty space.
    0:36:24 There is no pole star.
    0:36:28 That’s one of the obvious results of the wobble on the Earth’s axis.
    0:36:39 The other one is that there are 12 well-known constellations in our time, the 12 constellations of the zodiac, that lie along what is referred to as the path of the sun.
    0:36:48 The Earth is orbiting the sun, and we are seeing what’s in direct line with the sun in our view.
    0:36:52 And the zodiacal constellations all lie along the path of the sun.
    0:36:57 So at different times of the year, the sun will rise against the background of a particular zodiacal constellation.
    0:37:07 Today, we live in the age of Pisces, and it’s definitely not an accident that the early Christians used the fish as their symbol.
    0:37:10 This is another area where I differ from archaeology.
    0:37:16 I think the constellations of the zodiac were recognized as such much earlier than we suppose.
    0:37:24 Anyway, to get to the point, the key marker of the year, certainly in the northern hemisphere, was the spring equinox.
    0:37:30 This was the question was, what constellation is rising behind the sun?
    0:37:34 What constellation is housing the sun at dawn on the spring equinox?
    0:37:36 Right now, it’s Pisces.
    0:37:39 In another 150 years or so, it’ll be Aquarius.
    0:37:42 We do live in the dawning of the age of Aquarius.
    0:37:51 Back in the time of the late ancient Egyptians, it was Ares, going back to the time of Ramesses or before.
    0:37:54 Before that, it was Taurus, and so on and so forth.
    0:38:04 It’s backwards through the zodiac until 12,500 years ago, you come to the age of Leo, when the constellation of Leo houses the sun on the spring equinox.
    0:38:09 Now, this process unfolds very, very, very, very slowly.
    0:38:19 The whole cycle, and it is a cycle, it repeats itself roughly every 26,000 years, put a more exact figure on it, 25,920 years.
    0:38:21 That may be a convention.
    0:38:25 Some scholars would say it was a bit less than that, a bit more, but you’re talking fractions.
    0:38:29 It’s in that area, 25,920 years.
    0:38:40 And to observe it, you really need more than one human lifetime, because it unfolds very, very slowly at a rate of one degree every 72 years.
    0:38:45 And the parallel that I often give is, hold your finger up to the horizon, the distant horizon.
    0:38:51 The movement in one lifetime in a period of 72 years is about the width of your finger.
    0:38:55 It’s not impossible to notice in a lifetime, but it’s difficult.
    0:38:56 You’ve got to pass it on.
    0:39:05 And what seems to have happened is that some ancient culture, the culture that Santigana and Vondeshan call some almost unbelievable ancestor culture,
    0:39:17 worked out the entire process of procession and selected the key numbers of procession, of which the most important number, the governing number, is the number 72.
    0:39:23 But we also have numbers related to the number 72.
    0:39:29 72 plus 36 is 108. 108 divided by 2 is 54.
    0:39:35 These numbers are also found in mythology all around the world.
    0:39:47 There were 72 conspirators who were involved in killing the goddess Cyrus in ancient Egypt and nailing him up in a wooden coffer and dumping him in the Nile.
    0:39:52 There are 432,000 in the Rig Vesa.
    0:39:56 432,000 is a multiple of 72.
    0:40:04 And at Angkor in Cambodia, for example, you have the bridge to Angkor Tom.
    0:40:13 And on that bridge, you have figures on both sides, sculpted figures, which are holding the body of a serpent.
    0:40:19 That serpent is Vazuki. And what they’re doing is they’re churning the milky ocean.
    0:40:26 It’s the same metaphor of churning and turning that’s defined in the story of Hamlet’s Mill, of Amladi’s Mill.
    0:40:31 There are 54 on each side. 54 plus 54 is 108.
    0:40:33 108 is 72 plus 36.
    0:40:38 It’s a pre-sessional number, according to the work that Santigana and Vondeshan did.
    0:41:01 And the fascination with this number system and its discovery all around the world is one of the puzzles that intrigue me and suggest to me that we are looking at ancestral knowledge that was passed down and probably was passed down from a specific single common source at one time, but then was spread out very, very widely around the world.
    0:41:19 So one of the defining ways that you approach the study of human history that I think contrasts with mainstream archaeology is you take this sort of astronomical symbolism and the relationship between humans and the stars very seriously.
    0:41:21 I do, as I believe the ancients did.
    0:41:28 I think it’s important to sort of consider what humans would have thought about back then.
    0:41:43 Now we have a lot of distractions, we have social media, we can watch videos on YouTube and whatever, but back then, especially before sort of electricity, the stars is like the sexiest thing to talk about.
    0:41:44 There’s no light pollution.
    0:41:45 There’s no light pollution.
    0:41:57 So there’s that in your space, every single night, you’re spending looking up at the stars and you can imagine there’s a lot of sort of status value to be the guy who’s very good at studying the stars.
    0:42:06 And sort of the scientists of the day, and I’m sure there’s going to be these geniuses that emerge, they’re able to do two things.
    0:42:16 One, tell stories about the gods or whatever based on the stars, and then also as we’ll probably talk about, use the stars practically for navigation, for example.
    0:42:31 So it makes sense that the stars had primal importance for the ideas of the times, for the status, for religious explorations.
    0:42:37 It was an ever-present reality, and it was bright, and it was brilliant, and it was full of lights.
    0:42:44 It’s inconceivable that the ancients would not have paid attention to it, it was an overwhelming presence.
    0:42:55 And that’s one of the reasons why I’m really confident that the constellations that we now recognize as the constellations of the zodiac were recognized much earlier, because it’s hard to miss when you pay attention to the sky.
    0:43:02 That the sun over the course of the solar year is month by month rising against the background of different constellations.
    0:43:08 And then there’s a much longer process, the process of procession, which takes that journey backwards.
    0:43:15 And where we have a period of 2,160 years for each sign of the zodiac, I think it would have been hard for the ancients to have missed that.
    0:43:20 They might not have identified the constellations in exactly the same way we do today.
    0:43:28 That may well be a Babylonian or Greek convention, but that the constellations were there, I think was very clear.
    0:43:35 And that there were special constellations, unlike other ones higher up in the sky, which were not on the path of the sun, that people paid attention to.
    0:43:42 Well, but detecting the procession of the equinox is hard, because especially they don’t have any writing systems.
    0:43:44 They don’t have any mathematical systems.
    0:43:46 So everything is told through words.
    0:43:50 Yeah, well, they have let’s not underestimate oral traditions.
    0:43:55 The oral traditions, that’s something we’ve lost in our culture today.
    0:44:01 One of the things that happens with the written word is that you gradually lose your memory.
    0:44:12 Actually, there’s a nice story from from ancient Egypt about the God Thoth, the God of Wisdom, who is very proud of himself, because he has invented writing.
    0:44:17 Look at this gift, he says to a mythical pharaoh of that time.
    0:44:20 Look at the gift that I am giving humanity writing.
    0:44:21 This is a wonderful thing.
    0:44:25 It’ll enable you to preserve so much that you would otherwise lose.
    0:44:32 And the pharaoh in this story replies to him, “No, you have not given us a wonderful gift.
    0:44:34 You have destroyed the art of memory.
    0:44:36 We will forget everything.
    0:44:43 Words will roam free around the world, not accompanied by any wise advice to set them into context.”
    0:44:46 And actually, that’s a very interesting point.
    0:44:52 And we do know that cultures that still do have oral traditions are able to preserve information for very long periods of time.
    0:44:58 One thing I think is clear in any time, in any period of history, is human beings love stories.
    0:44:59 We love great stories.
    0:45:06 And one way to preserve information is to encode it, embed it in a great story.
    0:45:15 And so carefully done that actually it doesn’t matter whether the storyteller knows that they’re passing on that information or not.
    0:45:23 The story itself is the vehicle and as long as it’s repeated faithfully, the information contained within it will be will be passed on.
    0:45:27 And I do think this is this is part of the story of the preservation of knowledge.
    0:45:31 So that’s one of the reasons that you take myths seriously?
    0:45:35 I take them very seriously and the other many reasons.
    0:45:48 But I can’t help being deeply impressed and deeply puzzled by the worldwide tradition of a global cataclysm within human memory.
    0:45:55 I mean, we know that we know scientifically that there have been many, many cataclysms in the past going back millions of years.
    0:46:01 I mean, the best known one, of course, is the K-PG event, as it’s now called, that made the dinosaurs extinct.
    0:46:06 65 million or 66 million years ago.
    0:46:11 But has there been such a cataclysm in the lifetime of the human species?
    0:46:17 Yeah, the Mount Toba eruption about 70,000 years ago was pretty bad.
    0:46:28 But a global cataclysm, the Younger Dryas really ticks all the boxes as a worldwide disaster, which definitely involved sea level rise,
    0:46:32 both at the beginning and at the end of the Younger Dryas.
    0:46:36 It definitely involved the swallowing up of lands that previously had been above water.
    0:46:47 And I think it’s an excellent candidate for this worldwide tradition of a global cataclysm, of which one of, but not the only distinguishing characteristics was a flood,
    0:46:54 an enormous flood and the submergence of lands that had previously been above water, underwater.
    0:47:05 The fact that this story is found all around the world suggests to me that the archaeological explanation is, look, people suffer local floods all the time.
    0:47:14 I mean, as we’re talking, there’s flooding in Florida, but I don’t think anybody in Florida is going to make the mistake of believing that that’s a global flood.
    0:47:20 They know it’s local, but that’s the argument largely of archaeology dealing with the flood myths.
    0:47:29 So that some local population experienced a nasty local flooding event, and they decided to say that it was that it affected the whole world.
    0:47:44 I’m not persuaded by that, particularly since we know there was a nasty epoch, the Younger Dryas, when flooding did occur and when the earth was subjected to events cataclysmic enough to extinguish entirely the megafauna of the Ice Age.
    0:47:55 So there is the Younger Dryas Impact Hypothesis that provides an explanation of what happened during this period that resulted in such rapid environmental change.
    0:47:57 So can you explain this hypothesis?
    0:48:10 Yes, the Younger Dryas Impact Hypothesis, YDIH for short, is not a lunatic fringe theory as its opponents often attempt to write it off.
    0:48:22 It’s the work of more than 60 major scientists working across many different disciplines, including archaeology and including oceanography as well.
    0:48:37 And they are collectively puzzled by the sudden onset of the Younger Dryas and by the fact that it is accompanied 12,800 years ago by a distinct layer in the earth.
    0:48:44 You can see it most clearly at Murray Springs in Arizona, for example.
    0:48:54 You can see it’s about the width of a human hand, and there’s a draw there that’s been cut by flash flooding at some time, and that draw has revealed the sides of the draw.
    0:49:03 And you can see the cross-section, and in the cross-section is this distinct dark layer that runs through the earth, and it contains evidence of wildfires.
    0:49:05 There’s a lot of soot in it.
    0:49:08 There are also nanodiamonds in it.
    0:49:11 There is shocked quartz in it.
    0:49:16 There is quartz that’s been melted at temperatures in excess of 2,200 degrees centigrade.
    0:49:19 There are carbon microspherules.
    0:49:23 All of these are proxies for some kind of cosmic impact.
    0:49:26 I talked a moment ago about the extinction of the dinosaurs.
    0:49:36 Lewis and Walter Alvarez, who made that incredible discovery, initially, their discovery was based entirely on impact proxies just as the Younger Dryas is.
    0:49:49 There was no crater, and for a long time they were disbelieved because they couldn’t produce a crater, but when they finally did produce that deeply buried chicks-glued crater, that’s when people started to say, “Yeah, they have to be right.”
    0:49:51 But they weren’t relying on the crater.
    0:49:59 They were relying on the impact proxies, and they’re the same impact proxies that we find in what’s called the Younger Dryas boundary layer all around the world.
    0:50:12 So it’s the fact that at the moment when the earth tips into a radical climate shift, it’s been warming up for at least 2,000 years before 12,800 years ago.
    0:50:15 People at the time must have been feeling a great sense of relief.
    0:50:19 You know, we’ve been living through this really cold time, but it’s getting better.
    0:50:34 Things are getting better, and then suddenly around 12,800 years ago, some might say 12,860 years ago, there’s a massive global plunge in global temperatures, and the world suddenly gets as cold as it was at the peak of the ice age.
    0:50:37 And it’s almost literally overnight.
    0:50:39 It’s very, very, very rapid.
    0:50:49 Normally, in an epoch, when the earth is going into a freeze, you would not expect sea levels to rise, but there is a sea level rise, a sudden one, right at the beginning of the Younger Dryas.
    0:51:14 And then you have this long frozen period from 12,800 to 11,600 years ago, and then equally dramatically and equally suddenly, the Younger Dryas comes to an end, and the world very rapidly warms up, and you have a recognized pulse of meltwater at that time as the last of the glaciers collapse into the sea, called Meltwater Pulse 1B, around about 11,600 years ago.
    0:51:37 So this is a period which is very tightly defined, it’s a period when we know that human populations were grievously disturbed, that’s when the so-called Clovis culture of North America vanished entirely from the record during the Younger Dryas, and it’s the time when the mammoths and the saber-toothed tigers vanished from the record as well.
    0:51:48 Is there a good understanding of what happened geologically, whether there was an impact or not? Like, what explains this huge dip in temperature and then rise in temperature?
    0:52:17 The abrupt cessation of the global meridional overturning circulation, of which the Gulf Stream is the best known part. The main theory that’s been put forward up to now, and I don’t dispute that theory at all, is that the sudden freeze was caused by the cutting off of the Gulf Stream, basically, which is part of the central heating system of our planet, so no wonder it became cold.
    0:52:31 But what’s not really been addressed before is why that happened, why the Gulf Stream was cut, why a sudden pulse of meltwater went into the world ocean, and it was so much of it, and it was so cold that actually stopped the Gulf Stream in its tracks.
    0:52:38 And that’s where the Younger Dryas Impact Hypothesis offers a very elegant and very satisfactory solution to the problem.
    0:52:49 Now, the hypothesis, of course, is broader than that. Amongst the scientists working on it are, for example, Bill Napier, an astrophysicist and astronomer.
    0:53:07 They have assembled a great deal of evidence, which suggests that the culprit in the Younger Dryas Impact event, or events, was what we now call the Torrid Meteor Stream, which the Earth still passes through twice a year.
    0:53:18 It’s now about 30 million kilometers wide. It takes the Earth a couple of days to pass through it on its orbit. It passes through it in June, and it passes through it at the end of October.
    0:53:39 The suggestion is that the Torrid Meteor Stream is the end product of a very large comet that entered the solar system around about 20,000 years ago, came in from the Oort cloud, got trapped by the gravity of the sun, and went into orbit around the sun, an orbit that crossed the orbit of the Earth.
    0:54:00 However, when it was one object, the likelihood of a collision with the Earth was extremely small. But as it started to do what all comets do, which was to break up into multiple fragments, because these are chunks of rock held together by ice, and as they warm up, they split and disintegrate and break into pieces,
    0:54:22 as it passed through that, its debris stream became larger and larger and wider and wider. And the theory is that 12,800 years ago, the Earth passed through a particularly dense part of the Torrid Meteor Stream and was hit by multiple impacts all around the planet, certainly from the west of North America, as far east as Syria.
    0:54:45 And that we are by and large not talking about impacts that would have caused craters, although there certainly were some. We’re talking about air bursts. When an object is 100 or 150 meters in diameter, and it’s coming in very fast into the Earth’s atmosphere, it is very unlikely to reach the Earth.
    0:55:03 It’s going to blow up in the sky. And the best known recent example of that is the Tunguska event in Siberia, which took place on the 30th of June, 1908. The Tunguska event was nobody disputes. It was definitely an air burst of a cometary fragment.
    0:55:18 And the date is interesting, because the 30th of June is the height of the beta torrid. It’s one of the two times when the Earth is going through the Torrid Meteor Stream. Well, luckily, that part of Siberia wasn’t inhabited, but 2,000 square miles of forest were destroyed.
    0:55:28 If that had happened over a major city, we would all be thinking very hard about objects out of the Torrid Meteor Stream and about the risk of cosmic impact.
    0:55:44 So the suggestion is that it wasn’t one impact. It wasn’t two impacts. It wasn’t three impacts. It was hundreds of air bursts all around the planet, coupled with a number of bigger objects, which the scientists working on this think hit the North American ice cap largely.
    0:55:58 Some of the may also have hit the Northern European ice cap, resulting in that sudden, otherwise unexplained, flooded meltwater that went into the world ocean and caused the cooling that then took place.
    0:56:13 But this was a disaster for life all over the planet. And it’s interesting that one of the sites where they find the Younger Dryas boundary and where they find overwhelming evidence of an air burst and where they find all the shocked quartz,
    0:56:23 the carbon microspherials, the nanodiamonds, the Trinitite and so on and so forth. All of those impact proxies are found at Apoherera.
    0:56:31 That was a settlement within 150 miles of Gobekli Tepe. And it was hit 12,800 years ago and it was obliterated.
    0:56:40 Interestingly, it was re-inhabited by human beings within probably five years, but it was completely obliterated at that time.
    0:56:55 And it’s difficult to imagine that the people who lived in that area would not have been very impressed by what they saw happening by these massive explosions in the sky and the obliteration of Apoherera.
    0:57:03 Now, this is a theory. The Younger Dryas impact, it’s a hypothesis actually. It’s not even a theory. A theory is, I think, considered a higher level than a hypothesis.
    0:57:10 That’s why it’s the Younger Dryas impact hypothesis. And of course, it has many opponents and there are many who disagree with it.
    0:57:19 And there have been a series of peer-reviewed papers that have been published supposedly debunking the Younger Dryas impact hypothesis.
    0:57:37 One, I think, was in 2011. It was called a Requiem for the Younger Dryas impact hypothesis. And there’s one just been published a few months ago or a year ago called a complete refutation of the Younger Dryas impact hypothesis, something like that, some lengthy title.
    0:57:48 So it’s a hypothesis that has its opponents. And even within those of us who are looking at the alternative side of history, there are different points of view.
    0:57:59 Robert Shock from Boston University, the geologist who demonstrated that the erosion on the Sphinx may well have been caused by exposure to a long period of very heavy rainfall.
    0:58:09 He doesn’t go for the Younger Dryas impact hypothesis. He fully accepts that the Younger Dryas was a global cataclysm and that the extinctions took place.
    0:58:20 But he thinks it was caused by some kind of massive solar outburst. So what everybody’s agreed on is the Younger Dryas was bad, but there is dispute about what caused it.
    0:58:29 I personally have found the Younger Dryas impact hypothesis to be the most persuasive, which most effectively explains all the evidence.
    0:58:45 How important is the impact hypothesis to your understanding of the Ice Age advanced civilizations? So is it possible to have another explanation for environmental factors that could have erased most of an advanced civilization during this period?
    0:58:57 In a sense, it’s not the impact hypothesis that is central to what I’m saying. It’s the Younger Dryas that’s central to what I’m saying. And the Younger Dryas required a trigger. Something caused it.
    0:59:11 I think the Younger Dryas impact hypothesis, the notion that we’re looking at a debris stream of a fragment in Comet, and we can still see that debris stream because it’s still up there and we still pass through it twice a year, is the best explanation.
    0:59:19 But I don’t mind other explanations. It’s good that there are other explanations. The Younger Dryas is a big mystery, and it’s not a mystery that’s been solved yet.
    0:59:40 And that word advanced civilization, this is another word that is easily misunderstood. And I’ve tried to make clear many, many times that when we consider the possibility of something like a civilization in the past, we shouldn’t imagine that it’s us, that it’s something like us.
    1:00:05 We should expect it to be completely different from us, but that it would have achieved certain things. So amongst the clues that intrigue me are those precessional numbers that are found all around the world, and are a category of ancient maps called Portolanos, which suddenly started to appear just after the crusade that entered Constantinople and sacked Constantinople.
    1:00:18 The Portolanos suddenly start to appear, and they’re extremely accurate maps. The most of the ones that have survived are extremely accurate maps of the Mediterranean alone, but some of them show much wider areas.
    1:00:34 For example, on these Portolanos style maps, you do find a depiction of Antarctica again and again. And another thing that these maps have in common is that many of the map makers state that they based their maps on multiple older source maps, which have not survived.
    1:00:40 These maps are intriguing because they have very accurate relative longitudes.
    1:00:50 Our civilization did not crack the longitude problem until the mid 18th century with Harrison’s chronometer, which was able to keep accurate time at sea.
    1:00:58 So you could have the time in London, and you could have the local time at sea at the same time, and then you could work out your longitude.
    1:01:07 There might be other ways of working out longitude as well, but there it is. The fact is these Portolanos have extremely accurate relative longitudes.
    1:01:23 Secondly, some of them show the world to my eye as it looked during the Ice Age. They show a much extended Indonesia and Malaysian Peninsula, and the series of islands that make up Indonesia today are all grouped together into one land mass.
    1:01:41 And that was the case during the Ice Age. That was the Sunda shelf. And the presence of Antarctica on some of these maps also puzzles and intrigues me and is not satisfactorily explained in my view by archaeology, which says, oh, those map makers, they felt that the world needed something underneath it to balance it.
    1:01:52 So they put a fictional land mass there. I don’t think that makes sense. I think somebody was mapping the world during the last Ice Age, but that doesn’t mean that they had our kind of tech.
    1:02:09 It means that they were following that exploration instinct, that they knew how to navigate. They’d been watching the stars for thousands of years before. They knew how to navigate and they knew how to build sea-going ships, and they explored the world and they mapped the world.
    1:02:28 Those maps were made a very, very long time ago. Some of them, I believe, were likely preserved in the library of Alexandria. I think even then they were being copied and recopied. We don’t know exactly what happened to the library of Alexandria, except that it was destroyed.
    1:02:47 I suggest it’s likely this was during the period of the Roman Empire. I suggest it’s likely that some of those maps were taken out of the library and taken to Constantinople, and that’s where they were liberated during the Crusade and entered world culture again and started to be copied and recopied.
    1:03:02 From this perspective, when we talk about advanced Ice Age civilization, it could have been a relatively small group of people with the technology of their scholars of the stars and their expert seafaring navigators.
    1:03:15 Yes. That’s about as far as I would take it. When I say that, as I have said on a number of occasions, that it had technology equivalent to ours in the 18th century, I’m referring specifically to the ability to calculate longitude.
    1:03:20 I’m not saying that they were building steam engines. I don’t see any evidence for that.
    1:03:26 And perhaps some building tricks and skills of how to–
    1:03:49 Well, definitely. And this again is where you come to a series of mysteries which are perhaps best expressed on the Giza Plateau in Egypt with the Three Great Pyramids and the extraordinary megalithic temples that many people don’t pay much attention to on the Giza Plateau and the Great Sphinx itself.
    1:03:55 This is an area of particular importance in understanding this issue.
    1:04:01 Well, can you actually describe the Sphinx and the Great Pyramids and what you find most mysterious and interesting about them?
    1:04:21 Well, first of all, the astronomy. And here I must pay tribute to two individuals, actually three individuals in particular. One of them is John Anthony West, passed away in 2018. He was the first person in our era to begin to wonder if the Sphinx was much older than it had been.
    1:04:34 Actually, he got that idea from a philosopher called Shwala Dilubix who’d noticed what he thought was water erosion on the body of the Sphinx. John West picked that up and he was a great amateur Egyptologist himself.
    1:04:50 He spent most of his life in Egypt and he was hugely versed in ancient Egypt. And when he looked at the Sphinx and at the strange scalloped erosion patterns and the vertical fishes, particularly in the trench around the Sphinx, he began to think maybe Shwala was right.
    1:05:13 Maybe there was some kind of flooding here. And that’s when he brought Robert Shock, second person I’d like to recognize, geologist at Boston University. He brought Shock to Giza and Shock was the first geologist to stick his neck out, risk the ryer, the ire of Egyptologists and say, well, it looks to me like the Sphinx was exposed to at least a thousand years of heavy rainfall.
    1:05:29 And as Shock’s calculations have continued, as he’s continued to be immersed in this mystery, he’s continuously pushed that back. And he’s now, again, looking at the date of around 12,000, 12 and a half thousand years ago during the younger dryers for the creation of the great Sphinx.
    1:05:42 And then, of course, this is the period of the wet Sahara, the humid Sahara. The Sahara was a completely different place during the Ice Age. There were rivers in it. There were lakes in it. It was fertile.
    1:05:52 It was possibly densely populated. And there was a lot of rain. There’s not no rain in Giza today, but there’s relatively little rain.
    1:06:01 The next person, not enough rain to cause that erosion damage on the Sphinx. The next person who needs to be mentioned in this context is Robert Boval.
    1:06:19 Robert and I have co-authored a number of books together. Unfortunately, Robert has been very ill for the last seven years. He’s got a very bad chest infection. And I think also that Robert became very demoralized by the attacks of Egyptologists on his work.
    1:06:33 But Robert is the genius. And it does take a genius some time to make these connections because nobody noticed it before that the three pyramids of Giza are laid out on the ground in the pattern of the three stars of Orion’s belt.
    1:06:49 And skeptics will say, well, you can find any buildings and line them up with any stars you want. But Orion actually isn’t any old constellation. Orion was the God of Cyrus in the sky. He was the ancient Egyptians called the Orion constellation Sahu.
    1:07:00 And they recognize it as the celestial image of the God of Cyrus. So what’s being copied on the ground is the belt of a deity, of a celestial deity. It’s not just a random constellation.
    1:07:07 And then when we take precession into account, you find something else very intriguing happening.
    1:07:19 First of all, you find that the exact orientation of the pyramids as it is today and pretty much as it was when they’re supposed to have been built 4,500 years ago.
    1:07:28 It’s not precisely related to how Orion’s belt looked at that time. There’s a bit of a twist is they’re not quite right.
    1:07:45 But as you precess the stars backwards, as you go back and back and back and you come to around 10,500 BC, 12 and a half thousand years ago, in the younger dryers, you find that suddenly they lock perfectly, they match perfectly with the three pyramids on the ground.
    1:07:54 And that’s the same moment that the great Sphinx, an equinoctial monument, aligned perfectly to the rising sun on the spring equinox.
    1:08:04 Anybody can test this for themselves. Just go to Giza on the 21st of March, be there before dawn, stand behind the Sphinx, and you will see the sun rising directly in line with the gaze of the Sphinx.
    1:08:15 But the question is, what constellation was behind the Sphinx? And 12 and a half thousand years ago, it was the constellation of Leo. And actually, the constellation of Leo has a very Sphinx-like look.
    1:08:33 And I and my colleagues are pretty sure that the Sphinx was originally a lion entirely, and that it, over the thousands of years, it became damaged, it became eroded, particularly the part of it that sticks out the head.
    1:08:38 There were periods when the Sphinx was completely covered in sand, but still the head stuck out.
    1:08:51 By the time you come to the fourth dynasty, when the great pyramids are supposedly built, by the time you come to the fourth dynasty, the head of the lion, the original lion head, would have been a complete mess.
    1:09:01 And we suggest that it was then re-carved into a pharaonic head. Egyptologists think it was the pharaoh kafre, but there’s no real strong resemblance.
    1:09:06 But it’s definitely wearing the nemesis headdress of an ancient Egyptian pharaoh.
    1:09:13 And we think that that’s the result of a re-carving of what was originally not only a lion-bodied, but also a lion-headed monument.
    1:09:21 It wouldn’t make sense if you create an equinoctial marker in the time of kafre 4,500 years ago.
    1:09:28 And the Sphinx is an equinoctial marker. I mean, it’s 270 feet long and 70 feet high, and it’s looking directly at the rising sun on the equinox.
    1:09:40 If you create it then, you’d be more likely to create it in the shape of a bull, because that was the age of Taurus, when the constellation of Taurus housed the sun on the spring equinox.
    1:09:56 So why is it a lion? And again, we think that’s because of that observation of the skies and putting on the ground as above, so below, putting on the ground an image of the sky at a particular time.
    1:10:04 Now, the fact that the Giza plateau, it’s a fact, of course, that Egyptologists completely dispute.
    1:10:18 But the fact that the principal monuments of the Giza plateau, the three great pyramids and the great Sphinx all lock astronomically on the date of around 10,500 BC, to me is most unlikely to be an accident.
    1:10:24 And actually, if you look at computer software at the sky at that time, you’ll see that the Milky Way is very prominent.
    1:10:28 And seems to be mirrored on the ground by the River Nile.
    1:10:36 I suggest that maybe one of the reasons amongst many why Giza was chosen as the site for this very special place.
    1:10:50 So the point I want to make is that an astronomical design on the ground, which memorializes a very ancient date, does not have to have been done 12,500 years ago.
    1:11:02 If from the ancient Egyptian point of view, you’re there 4,500 years ago, and there’s a time 8,000 years before that, which is very, very, very important to you.
    1:11:13 You could use astronomical language and megalithic architecture to memorialize that date on the Giza plateau, which is what we think we’re looking at, except for one thing.
    1:11:22 And that’s the erosion patterns on the Sphinx. And we’re pretty sure that the Sphinx at least does date back to 12,500 years ago.
    1:11:34 And with it, the megalithic temples, the so-called Vali temple, which stands just to the east and just to the south of the Sphinx.
    1:11:40 And the Sphinx temple, which stands directly in front of the Sphinx. The Sphinx temple has largely been destroyed.
    1:11:53 But the Vali temple attributed to Kafe on no good grounds whatsoever is a huge megalithic construction with blocks of limestone that weigh up to 100 tons each.
    1:11:59 And yet it has been remodeled, refaced with granite.
    1:12:04 There are granite blocks that are placed on top of the core limestone blocks.
    1:12:10 And those core limestone blocks were already eroded when the granite granite blocks were put there. Why?
    1:12:20 Because the granite blocks have actually been purposefully and deliberately cut to fit into the erosion marks on the, we believe, much older megalithic blocks there.
    1:12:23 So I think the Giza is a very complicated site.
    1:12:36 I would never seek to divorce the dynastic ancient Egyptians from the Great Pyramids. They were closely involved in the construction of the Great Pyramids as we see them today.
    1:12:56 But what I do suggest is that there were very low platforms on the Giza plateau that are much older and that the, when we look at the three Great Pyramids, we’re looking at a renovation and a restoration and an enhancement of much older structures that had existed on the Giza plateau for a much longer period before that.
    1:13:08 Actually, the Great Pyramid is built around a natural hill. And that natural hill might have been seen as the original primeval mound to the ancient Egyptians.
    1:13:19 So the idea is that this thing was there long before the pyramids and the pyramids were built by the Egyptian to celebrate further an already holy place.
    1:13:31 Yeah. And there were platforms in place where the pyramids stand, not the pyramids as we see them today, but the bases, the base of those pyramids was already in place at that time.
    1:13:40 So what’s the case, what’s the evidence that the Egyptologists used to make the attributions that they do for the dating of the pyramids and the Sphinx?
    1:13:55 Well, the three Great Pyramids of Giza are different from later pyramids. This is another problem that I have with the whole thing, is the story of pyramid building. When did it really begin?
    1:14:12 The timeline that we get from Egyptology is the first pyramid, is the pyramid of the pharaoh Zoser, the steppe pyramid at Sakara, about 100 years or so before the Giza pyramids are built.
    1:14:30 And then we have this explosion in the fourth dynasty of true pyramids. We have three of them attributed to a single pharaoh, Sneferu, who built supposedly the pyramid at Maidum and the two pyramids at Dashur, the Benton, the Red Pyramid.
    1:14:38 And then within that same 100 year span, we have the Giza pyramids being built. This is according to the Orthodox chronology.
    1:14:45 And then suddenly, once the Giza project is finished, pyramid building goes into a massive slump in ancient Egypt.
    1:14:56 And the pyramids of the fifth dynasty are, frankly speaking, a mess outside. They’re very inferior constructions. You can hardly recognize them as pyramids at all.
    1:15:12 But what happens when you go inside them, is you find that they’re extensively covered in hieroglyphs and imagery, repeating the name of the king who was supposedly buried in that place, whereas the Giza pyramids have no internal inscriptions whatsoever.
    1:15:28 What we do have is one piece of graffiti about which there is some controversy, basic statistics. It’s a six million ton structure. Each side is about 750 feet long.
    1:15:40 It’s aligned almost perfectly to true north, south, east and west within three sixtieths of a single degree. It’s sixtieths because degrees are divided into sixties.
    1:15:54 And it’s the precision of the orientation and the absolute massive size of the thing. Plus, it’s very complicated internal passageways that are involved in it.
    1:16:11 You know, in the ninth century, the Great Pyramid still had its facing stones in place. But there was an Arab, an Arab caliph, Caliph al-Mamun, who had already realized that other pyramids did have their entrances in the north face.
    1:16:18 Nobody knew where the entrance to the Great Pyramid was. But he figured, there’s an entrance to this thing. It’s going to be in the north face somewhere.
    1:16:26 So he put together a team of workers and they went in with sledgehammers and they started smashing where he thought would be the entrance.
    1:16:32 And they cut their way into the Great Pyramid for a distance of maybe 100 feet.
    1:16:44 And then the hammering that they did dislodged something. They heard a little bit further away, something big falling. And they realized there was a cavity there. And they started heading in that direction.
    1:16:52 And then they joined the internal passageway of the Great Pyramid, the descending and the ascending corridors that go up.
    1:17:01 When you go up the ascending corridor, every one of the internal passageways in the Great Pyramid that people can walk in slopes at an angle of 26 degrees.
    1:17:06 That’s interesting because the angle of slope of the exterior of the Great Pyramid is 52 degrees.
    1:17:13 So we know mathematicians were at work as well as geometers in the creation of the Great Pyramid.
    1:17:22 If you go up the Grand Gallery, which is at the end of the so-called ascending corridor and it’s above the so-called Queen’s Chamber,
    1:17:28 you go up the Grand Gallery, you’re eventually going to come to what is known as the King’s Chamber, in which there is a sarcophagus.
    1:17:34 And that sarcophagus is a little bit too big to have been got in through the narrow entrance passageway.
    1:17:40 It’s almost as though the so-called King’s Chamber was built around the sarcophagus already in place.
    1:17:46 Above the King’s Chamber are five other chambers. These are known as relieving chambers.
    1:17:52 The theory was that they were built to relieve the pressure on the King’s Chamber of the weight of the monument.
    1:17:58 But I think what makes that theory dubious is the fact that even lower down where more weight was involved,
    1:18:02 you have the Queen’s Chamber and there are no such relieving chambers above that.
    1:18:09 In the top of these five chambers, a British adventurer and vandal called Howard Weiss,
    1:18:13 who dynamited his way into those chambers in the first place.
    1:18:23 Allegedly, well, he claims he found a piece of graffiti left by a work gang naming the Pharaoh Khufu.
    1:18:28 And it’s true, I’ve been in that chamber and there is the cartouche of Khufu there, quite recognizable.
    1:18:35 But the dispute around it is whether that is a genuine piece of graffiti dating from the Old Kingdom,
    1:18:42 or whether Howard Weiss actually put it there himself because he was in desperate need of money at the time.
    1:18:45 I’m not sure what the answer to that question is.
    1:18:53 Another reason why, but it’s one of the reasons that Egyptologists feel confident in saying that the pyramid is the work of Khufu.
    1:19:01 Another is what is called the Wadi al-Jaf Papiri, where on the Red Sea a diary,
    1:19:09 the diary of an individual comrade was found and he talks about bringing highly polished limestone to the Great Pyramid.
    1:19:13 And it’s clear that what he’s talking about is the facing stones of the Great Pyramid.
    1:19:15 He’s not talking about the body of the Great Pyramid.
    1:19:19 He’s talking about the facing stones of the Great Pyramid during the reign of Khufu.
    1:19:23 So that’s another reason why the Great Pyramid is attributed to Khufu.
    1:19:30 But I think that Khufu was undoubtedly involved in the Great Pyramid and in a big way,
    1:19:33 but I think he was building upon and elaborating a much older structure.
    1:19:42 And I think the heart of that structure is the subterranean chamber, which is a 100 feet vertically beneath the base of the Great Pyramid.
    1:19:46 Anybody who suffers from claustrophobia will not enjoy being down there.
    1:19:54 You’ve got to go down a 26 degree sloping corridor until a distance of about 300 feet.
    1:19:59 It’s 100 feet vertically, but the slope means you’re going to walk a distance of about, not walk, you’re going to eight walk.
    1:20:01 You’re almost going to have to crawl.
    1:20:06 I’ve learned from long experience that the best way to go down these corridors is actually backwards.
    1:20:10 If you go forward, you keep bumping your head on them because they’re only three feet, five inches high.
    1:20:17 You get down to the bottom, you have a short horizontal passage, and then you get into the subterranean chamber.
    1:20:23 The theory of Egyptology is that this was supposed to be the burial place of Khufu.
    1:20:32 But after cutting out that 300 foot long, 26 degree sloping passage, a lot of which passes through bedrock.
    1:20:39 And having cut the subterranean chamber out of bedrock, gone to all that trouble, they decided they wouldn’t bury him there.
    1:20:44 And they built what’s now known as the Queen’s Chamber as his burial chamber.
    1:20:46 But then they decided that wouldn’t do either.
    1:20:50 So they then built the King’s Chamber and that’s where the Pharaoh is supposed to have been buried.
    1:20:55 Those Arab raiders under Khalif Mahmoun didn’t find anything in the Great Pyramid at all.
    1:21:03 So your idea is that this finks and maybe some aspects of the pyramid were much earlier.
    1:21:14 And why that’s important is in that case, it would be evidence of some transfer of technology from a much older civilization.
    1:21:25 The idea is that during the Younger Dryas, most of that civilization was either destroyed or damaged and they desperately scattered across the globe.
    1:21:26 Seeking refuge.
    1:21:33 Seeking refuge and telling stories of maybe one, the importance of the stars.
    1:21:39 Their knowledge about the stars and their knowledge about building and knowledge about navigation.
    1:21:42 That’s roughly the idea.
    1:21:54 So it’s interesting that the ancient Egyptians have a notion of an epoch that they call Zeptepi, which is the first time.
    1:21:56 It means the first time.
    1:21:58 This is when the gods walked the earth.
    1:22:04 This is when seven sages brought wisdom to ancient Egypt.
    1:22:07 And that is seen as the origin of ancient Egyptian civilization.
    1:22:10 There are king lists by the ancient Egyptians themselves.
    1:22:21 There are king lists that go back way beyond the first dynasty, go back 30,000 years into the past in ancient Egypt, considered to be entirely mythical by Egyptologists.
    1:22:26 But nevertheless, it’s interesting that there’s that reference to remote time.
    1:22:32 Now, what you also have in Egypt are what might almost be described as secret societies.
    1:22:42 The followers of Horus are one of those specifically tasked with bringing forward the knowledge from the first time into later periods.
    1:22:53 The souls of Pei and Nekhen are another one of these mysterious secret society groups who are possessors of knowledge that they transmit to the future.
    1:23:04 And what I’m broadly suggesting is that those survivors of the Younger Darius Cataclysm who settled in Giza may have been relatively small in number.
    1:23:12 It’s interesting that they are referred to in the Edfu building text as seven sages, because that repeats again and again.
    1:23:15 It’s also in Mesopotamia.
    1:23:26 It’s seven sages, seven Apkalu who come out of the waters of the Persian Gulf and teach people all the skills of agriculture and of architecture and of astronomy.
    1:23:41 It’s found all around the world that there was a relatively small number of people who took refuge in Giza, who benefited from the survival skills of the hunter foragers who lived at Giza at that time and who also passed on their knowledge to those hunter foragers.
    1:23:46 But it was not knowledge that was ready to be put into shape at that time.
    1:23:55 And that knowledge was then preserved and kept and handled within very secretive groups that passed it down over thousands of years.
    1:24:02 And finally it burst into full form in the fourth dynasty in ancient Egypt.
    1:24:11 And the notion that knowledge might be transferred over thousands of years shouldn’t be observed.
    1:24:20 We know, for example, in the case of ancient Israel, it goes back to the time of Abraham, which is pretty much I think around 2000 BC.
    1:24:24 And knowledge has been preserved from that time right up to the present day.
    1:24:29 So if you can preserve knowledge for 4,000 years, you can probably preserve it for eight.
    1:24:37 Now, of course, the air bars on us are quite large, but if an advanced ice age civilization existed, where do you think it was?
    1:24:40 Where do you think we might find it one day if it existed?
    1:24:43 And how big do you think it might have been?
    1:24:47 Well, this is where I’m often accused of presenting a God of the gaps argument.
    1:24:52 And I think there was a lot of civilization because there’s lots of the earth that archaeologists have never looked at.
    1:24:54 Of course, I’m not thinking that.
    1:24:57 These are very special gaps that I’m interested in.
    1:25:02 And I’m interested in them because of all the curiosities and the puzzlement that I’ve expressed to you before.
    1:25:05 It’s not just because there are gaps in the archaeological record.
    1:25:12 It’s because those gaps involve places that were very interesting places to live during the ice age.
    1:25:24 And they specifically include the Sahara Desert, which was not a desert during the ice age and went through this warm wet period when it was very, very fertile.
    1:25:28 Certainly, some archaeology has been done in the Sahara, but it’s fractional.
    1:25:30 It’s tiny.
    1:25:39 And I think if we want to get into the origins, true origins of ancient Egyptian civilization, of the peoples of ancient Egypt, we need to be looking in the Sahara for that.
    1:25:46 And the Amazon rainforest is another example of this.
    1:25:49 I think the Sahara is about nine million square kilometers.
    1:25:58 The Amazon that’s left under dense canopy rainforest is about five million square kilometers, maybe closer to six.
    1:26:05 And then you have the continental shelves that were submerged by sea level rise at the end of the ice age.
    1:26:12 Now, it’s well established that sea level rose by 400 feet, but it didn’t rise by 400 feet overnight.
    1:26:18 It came in dribs and drabs. There were periods of very rapid, quite significant sea level rise.
    1:26:22 And there were periods when the sea level was rising much more slowly.
    1:26:27 So that 400 foot sea level rise is spread out over a period of about 10,000 years.
    1:26:36 But there are episodes within it like Meltwater Pulse 1B, like Meltwater Pulse 1A, when the flooding was really immense.
    1:26:42 How big do you think it might have been? And do you think it was spread across the globe?
    1:26:47 So if there were expert navigators, do you think they spread across the globe?
    1:26:54 Well, the reason that I’m talking about the gaps is I don’t know where this civilization started or where it was based.
    1:27:03 All I’m seeing are clues and mysteries and puzzles that intrigue me and which suggest to me that something is missing from our past.
    1:27:09 And I’m not inclined to look for that missing something in, for example, Northern Europe.
    1:27:13 Because Northern Europe was not a very nice place to live during the Ice Age.
    1:27:19 I mean, nobody smart would build a civilization in Northern Europe 12,000 years ago.
    1:27:22 It was hideous, frozen wasteland.
    1:27:27 The places to look are places that were hospitable and welcoming to human beings during the Ice Age.
    1:27:31 And that, of course, includes the coastlines that are now under water.
    1:27:36 Of course, it includes the Sahara Desert, and of course, it includes the Amazon rainforest as well.
    1:27:42 All of these places, I think, are candidates for “my lost civilization”.
    1:27:50 And because I think, largely from those ancient maps, that it was a navigating seafaring civilization,
    1:27:55 I suspect that it wasn’t only in one place, it was probably in a number of places.
    1:27:57 And then I can only speculate.
    1:28:10 Maybe there was a cultural value where it was felt that it was not appropriate to interfere with the lives of hunter foragers at that time.
    1:28:14 Maybe it was felt that they should keep their distance from them.
    1:28:23 Just as even today, there is a feeling that we shouldn’t be interfering too much with the uncontacted tribes in the Amazon rainforest.
    1:28:28 Although, interestingly, some of those tribes are now using cell phones.
    1:28:32 That possibility may have been there in the past.
    1:28:41 And only when we come to a global cataclysm, does it become essential to have outreach and actually to take refuge amongst those hunter forager populations.
    1:28:44 That is the hypothesis that I’m putting forward.
    1:28:48 I’m not claiming that it’s a fact, but for me, it helps to explain the evidence.
    1:29:01 So that speaks to one of the challenges that archaeologists provide to this idea is that there is a lot of evidence of humans in the Ice Age, and they appear to be all hunter-gatherers.
    1:29:10 But like you said, only a small percent of areas where humans have lived have been studied by archaeologists.
    1:29:11 That’s right.
    1:29:12 Very tiny percent.
    1:29:16 Even a tiny percent of every archaeological site has been studied by archaeologists.
    1:29:20 Typically, one to five percent of any archaeological site is excavated.
    1:29:28 I mean, that’s why, go back a type that fills my mind with imagination, especially seeing as a time capsule.
    1:29:39 It’s almost certain that there is places on Earth we haven’t discovered that once we do, even if it’s after the Ice Age, will change our view of human history.
    1:29:41 Do you think there is going to be a place?
    1:29:45 What will be your dream thing to discover?
    1:29:53 Like Gobekli Tepe, that says a definitive perturbation to our understanding of Ice Age history.
    1:29:56 Some kind of archive, some kind of Hall of Records.
    1:30:04 There’s both mystical associations with the Hall of Records at Giza from people like the Edike Casey organization.
    1:30:13 There’s also ancient Egyptian traditions which suggest that something was concealed beneath the Sphinx.
    1:30:16 This is not an idea that is alien to ancient Egypt.
    1:30:18 It’s quite present in ancient Egypt.
    1:30:23 So far, as far as I know, nobody has dug down beneath the Sphinx.
    1:30:25 And of course, there’s very good reasons for that.
    1:30:28 You don’t want to damage the place too much.
    1:30:30 But let’s call it the Hall of Records.
    1:30:33 I’d love to find that.
    1:30:37 But I think in a way, that’s what Gobekli Tepe is.
    1:30:39 Gobekli Tepe is a Hall of Records.
    1:30:56 You know, it’s interesting that just as I’ve tried to outline, I hope reasonably clearly that the three great pyramids of Giza match Orion’s belt in 10,500 BC, just as the Sphinx matches Leo in 10,500 BC, 12,500 years ago or so.
    1:31:05 Pillar 43 in Enclosure D at Gobekli Tepe contains what a number of researchers, myself included, regard as an astronomical diagram.
    1:31:10 Martin Sweatman of Edinburgh University is brought forward the best work in this field.
    1:31:23 But it was initially started by a gentleman called Paul Burley who noticed that one of the figures on Pillar 43 is a scorpion, very much like we represent the constellation of Scorpio today.
    1:31:32 And that above it is a vulture with outstretched wings, which is in a posture very similar to the constellation that we call Sagittarius.
    1:31:37 And on that outstretched wing is a circular object.
    1:31:48 And the suggestion is that it’s marking the time when the sun was at the center of the dark rift in the Milky Way at the summer solstice, 12,500 years ago.
    1:31:50 That’s what it’s marking.
    1:31:56 And it’s interesting that the same date can be deduced from Pillar 43.
    1:31:57 Of course, it’s controversial.
    1:32:06 Martin Sweatman’s ideas by no means accepted by archaeology, but he’s done very, very thorough detailed statistical work on this and I’m personally convinced.
    1:32:16 So we have a time capsule at Gobekli Tepe, which is memorializing a date that is at least 1,200 years before Gobekli Tepe was built.
    1:32:23 If that dating of 11,600 years ago proves to be absolutely the oldest date as it is at present.
    1:32:33 The date memorialized on Pillar 43 is 12,800 years ago, the beginning of the Young Adryus, the beginning of the impact event.
    1:32:37 And then Giza does the same thing, but in much larger scale.
    1:32:55 It draws, it uses massive megalithic architecture, which is very difficult to destroy and a profound knowledge of astronomy to encode a date in a language that any culture which is sufficiently literate in astronomy will be able to decode.
    1:33:01 We don’t have to have a script that we can’t read like we do with the Indus Valley civilization or with the Easter Island script.
    1:33:03 We don’t have to have a script that can’t be interpreted.
    1:33:12 If you use astronomical language, then any astronomical literate civilization will be able to give you a date.
    1:33:15 The Hoover Dam has a star map built into it.
    1:33:23 And that star map is part of an exhibition that was put there at the founding of the Hoover Dam.
    1:33:30 And what it does is it freezes the sky above the Hoover Dam at the moment of its completion.
    1:33:41 And Oscar Hansen, the artist who created that piece, said so specifically that this would be so that any future culture would be able to know the time of the dam’s construction.
    1:33:46 So you can use astronomy and architecture to memorialize a particular date.
    1:33:47 Quick pause.
    1:33:48 Bath and break?
    1:33:49 Sounds good.
    1:34:03 So to me, the story that we’ve been talking about, it is both exciting if the mainstream archaeology narrative is correct and the one you’re constructing is correct.
    1:34:15 Both are super interesting because the mainstream archaeology perspective means that there is something about the human mind from which the pyramids, these ideas spring naturally.
    1:34:19 You place humans anywhere, you place them on Mars, it’s going to come out that way.
    1:34:29 So that’s an interesting story of human psychology that then becomes even more interesting when you evolve out of Africa with Homo sapiens, how they think about the world.
    1:34:31 That’s super interesting.
    1:34:48 And then if there’s an ancient civilization, advanced civilization that explains why there’s so many similar types of ideas that spread, that means that there’s so much undiscovered still about the sort of the spring of these ideas of civilization that come.
    1:34:50 So to me, they’re both fascinating.
    1:34:53 So I don’t know why there’s so much sort of infighting.
    1:34:58 But I think it’s partly territorial.
    1:35:06 I don’t speak of all archaeologists, but some archaeologists feel very territorial about their profession.
    1:35:17 And they do not feel happy about outsiders entering their realm, especially if those outsiders have a large platform.
    1:35:28 And that’s, I found that the attacks on me by archaeologists have increased step by step with the increase of my exposure.
    1:35:36 I wasn’t very interesting to them when I just had one minor bestseller in 1992 with a book called The Sign and the Seal.
    1:35:45 But when Fingerprints of the Gods was published in 1995 and became a global bestseller, then I started to attract their attention.
    1:35:50 And appear to have been regarded as a threat to them.
    1:35:52 And that is the case today.
    1:35:59 That is why Ancient Apocalypse Season 1 was defined as the most dangerous show on Netflix.
    1:36:08 It’s why the Society for American Archaeology wrote an open letter to Netflix asking Netflix to reclassify the series of science fiction.
    1:36:20 It’s why they accused the series of anti-Semitism, misogyny, white supremacism, and a whole bunch of other things.
    1:36:24 There’s nothing to do with anything that’s in the series.
    1:36:29 It was like, “We must shut this down. This is so dangerous to us.”
    1:36:37 Certainly not a danger. There are many more dangerous things in the world than a television series going on right now.
    1:36:50 But maybe it was seen as a danger to archaeology, that this non-archaeologist was in archaeological terrain and being viewed and seen by large, and read by large numbers of people.
    1:36:52 Maybe that was part of the problem.
    1:37:06 And human nature being what it is, I noticed that two of my principal critics, John Hoops from the University of Kansas and Flint Dibble, who’s now teaching at the University of Cardiff in Wales in the UK,
    1:37:09 are both people who like to have media exposure.
    1:37:19 And John Hoops had just recently started his YouTube channel. Flint Dibble has had one for quite a while, a pretty small number of followers.
    1:37:27 I think that they feel that they should be the ones who are getting the global attention and that it’s not right that I am.
    1:37:34 And that the best way to stop that is to stop me, to shut me down, to get me cancelled.
    1:37:46 And basically requiring Netflix to relabel my series from a documentary to science fiction, which is what they actually had the temerity to suggest to Netflix.
    1:37:54 If that had gone through, if Netflix had listened to them, that would have effectively been the cancellation of my documentary series.
    1:37:56 It would no longer have been ranked under documentary.
    1:38:05 So it was a deliberate attempt to shut me down, and I see that going on again and again, and it’s so unfortunate and so unnecessary.
    1:38:07 I’ve become very defensive towards archaeology.
    1:38:13 I hit back after 30 years of these attacks on my work.
    1:38:17 I’m tired of it, and I do defend myself.
    1:38:20 And sometimes I’m perhaps over vigorous in that defence.
    1:38:26 Maybe I was a little bit too strong in my critique of archaeology in the first season of ancient apocalypse.
    1:38:28 Maybe I should have been a bit gentler and a bit kinder.
    1:38:40 And I’ve tried to reflect that in the second season and to bring also many more indigenous voices into the second season, as well as the voices of many more archaeologists.
    1:39:03 Yeah, in general, I got a chance to get a glimpse of the archaeology community, and in archaeology, in science in general, I don’t have much patience for this kind of arrogance or snark or dismissal of general human curiosity that I think your work inspires in people.
    1:39:12 And so that’s why people like Ed Barnhart, who I recently had a conversation with, you know, he radiates sort of kindness and curiosity as well.
    1:39:21 And it’s like that kind of approach to ideas, especially about human history, it inspires people, inspires millions of people to ask questions.
    1:39:25 I mean, that’s why you had Keanu Reeves on the new season.
    1:39:29 He’s basically coming to the show from that same perspective with curiosity.
    1:39:34 Keanu is genuinely curious about the past and very, very interested in it.
    1:39:37 And he’s bringing to it questions that everybody brings to the past.
    1:39:41 He’s speaking for every man in the series.
    1:39:53 So given that, can you maybe steal man the case that archaeologists make about this period that we’ve been talking about?
    1:39:58 Can you make the case that that is indeed what happened is it was hunter-gathered for a long time.
    1:40:12 And then there was a cataclysm, a very difficult period in the human history with the young Andreas, and that changed the environment and then led to the springing up of civilizations at a different place on Earth.
    1:40:14 Can you sort of make the case for that?
    1:40:20 No, I completely understand why that is the position of archaeology, because that’s what they’ve found.
    1:40:33 Archaeology is very much wishing to define itself as a science, and it uses the techniques of weighing and measuring and counting are very key to what archaeology does.
    1:40:41 And in what they’ve found and what they’ve studied around the world, they don’t see any traces of a lost civilization.
    1:41:00 Besides, we live in a very politically correct world today, and the idea that some kind of lost civilization brought knowledge to other cultures around the world is seen as almost racist or colonialist in some way.
    1:41:03 It triggers that aspect as well.
    1:41:08 But basically, I think majority of archaeologists are in complete good faith on this.
    1:41:12 I don’t think that anybody is really seeking to frame me.
    1:41:25 I think that what we’re hearing from most archaeologists, some much more vicious than others, but what we’re hearing from most archaeologists is this is what we found, and we don’t see evidence for a lost civilization in it.
    1:41:31 And to that, I must reply, please look at the myths.
    1:41:35 Please consider the implications of the younger dryers.
    1:41:37 Please look at the ancient astronomy.
    1:41:41 Please look at those ancient maps and don’t just dismiss them and stare at them.
    1:41:52 And for God’s sake, please look more deeply at the parts of the world that were immensely habitable and attractive during the Ice Age and that have hardly been studied by archaeology at all.
    1:41:57 Before you tell us that your theory is the only one that can possibly be correct.
    1:42:04 In fact, it’s a very arrogant and silly position of archaeology because archaeological theories are always being overthrown.
    1:42:05 It can take years.
    1:42:06 It can take decades.
    1:42:12 It took decades in the case of the Clovis first hypothesis for the settlement of the Americas.
    1:42:21 But sooner or later, a bad idea will be kicked out by a preponderance of evidence that that idea does not explain.
    1:42:29 If we can just look back at your debate with Flint Dibble on Joe Rogan’s experience, what are some takeaways from that?
    1:42:31 What have you learned?
    1:42:34 Maybe what are some things you like about Flint?
    1:42:42 You said that he’s one of your big critics, but what do you like about his ideas and what would you maybe bother by?
    1:42:47 First of all, just very recently, and it can be found on my YouTube channel and it’s signaled on my website.
    1:42:58 I have made a video, runs about an hour, which looks at a series of statements that Flint made during the debate, which I was not prepared to answer.
    1:43:05 And it turns out that some of those statements are not correct.
    1:43:18 The notion, for example, that there were three million shipwrecks that have been mapped, Flint actually uses the word mapped, three million shipwrecks that have been mapped at one point in the debate.
    1:43:22 And I’ve put that clip into the video that I brought out.
    1:43:23 That is not a fact.
    1:43:26 That is an estimate, a UNESCO estimate.
    1:43:36 And actually in the small print on one of the slides that he has on the screen, you can see the word estimate, but he never expresses that word out loud.
    1:43:40 So those who are listening to the podcast rather than watching it wouldn’t even have a chance to see that.
    1:43:43 And I sitting there in the studio didn’t see that word estimate either.
    1:43:44 And I didn’t know that.
    1:43:47 I thought, my God, Flint has a point here.
    1:43:58 If there have been three million shipwrecks found and mapped, if that’s the case, the absence of any shipwreck from a lost civilization of the Ice Age is a problem.
    1:44:01 But then I discovered that it isn’t three million shipwrecks that have been mapped.
    1:44:03 It’s much, much less than that.
    1:44:10 And maybe it’s 250,000, still a large number, but most of them from the last thousand years.
    1:44:26 And unfortunately, what Flint didn’t go into, and perhaps he should have shared with the audience, and again, I go into this in the video, is that there is indisputable evidence that human beings were seafarers as much as 50 or 60,000 years ago.
    1:44:34 The people of Australia involved a relatively short 90 kilometers, 100 kilometer ocean voyage, but nevertheless, it was an ocean voyage.
    1:44:42 And it must have involved a large enough people, a large enough number of people to create a permanent population that wouldn’t go extinct.
    1:44:44 The settlement of Cyprus is the same thing.
    1:44:47 It was always an island even during the Ice Age.
    1:44:55 And no ships have survived that speak to the settlement of Australia, and no ships have survived that speak to the settlement of Cyprus either.
    1:44:57 But that doesn’t mean that that thing didn’t happen.
    1:45:01 I should just link around this, because for me, it was the shipwrecks thing was convincing.
    1:45:09 And then looking back, first of all, watching your video, but also just realizing the people in Australia part.
    1:45:12 That’s mind boggling 50,000 years ago.
    1:45:28 Just imagine being the person standing on the shore, looking out into the ocean, standing on the shore of a harsh environment, looking out to the ocean of a harsh environment, and deciding that, you know what, I’m going to go towards near certain death and explore.
    1:45:30 I don’t know what’s on the other side of that water.
    1:45:31 You can’t see 90 kilometers.
    1:45:32 And humans did it.
    1:45:33 Yeah, yeah.
    1:45:35 And again, it’s that urge to explore.
    1:45:41 And I suggest that it probably began with a few pioneers who made the journey there and back.
    1:45:42 They ventured into the water.
    1:45:44 They definitely had boats.
    1:45:50 And lo and behold, after a two or three day voyage, they ended up on a coastline.
    1:45:51 You’re an individual.
    1:45:58 You’ve got my relatively straightforward island hopping with where each island is within sight of each other as far as Timor.
    1:46:02 And when you get to Timor, suddenly you can’t island hop anymore.
    1:46:05 There’s an expansive ocean that you can’t see across.
    1:46:19 But that urge to explore, that curiosity that is central to the human condition would undoubtedly have led some adventurous individuals to want to find out more and even be willing to risk their lives.
    1:46:31 And that first reconnoitering of what lay beyond that strait would have undoubtedly been undertaken by very few individuals, not enough to create a permanent population in Australia.
    1:46:35 When they came back with the good news that there’s a whole land there.
    1:46:49 That’s the land that geographers call Sahul, which in just as Sunda was the Ice Age, Indonesian and Malaysian Peninsula all joined together into one land mass.
    1:46:53 So Sahul was New Guinea joined to Australia.
    1:46:56 So they would have made landfall in New Guinea.
    1:47:01 And then they think, well, here is this vast, open, incredible land.
    1:47:03 We need to bring more people here.
    1:47:08 And that would have involved larger craft.
    1:47:19 You need to bring people with resources and you need to bring enough of them, both men and women, in order to produce a population that will not rapidly become extinct.
    1:47:34 It’s the same in Cyprus. There, the detailed work that’s been done suggests very strongly that we’re looking at planned migrations of groups of people in excess of a thousand at a time bringing animals with them.
    1:47:39 And this certainly would have involved multiple boats and boats of a significant size.
    1:47:42 And there’s no archaeological evidence of those boats.
    1:47:43 None whatsoever.
    1:47:50 The oldest boat that’s ever been found in the world is the Doko Shipwreck off Greece, which is around 5,000 years old, if I recall correctly.
    1:47:54 So everything that makes a boat is lost to time?
    1:47:57 Yes, boats can be preserved under certain circumstances.
    1:48:00 There’s a wreck at the bottom of the Black Sea, almost two miles deep.
    1:48:02 I didn’t know the Black Sea was that deep.
    1:48:11 But there’s a wreck and there’s no oxygen down there that is more than 2,000 years old and is still in pretty much perfect condition.
    1:48:16 But in other conditions, the structure of the ship evaporates.
    1:48:19 Sometimes what you’re left with is the cargo of the ship.
    1:48:24 And you could say there was a ship that sank here, but the ship itself has gone.
    1:48:34 The fact is, we know that our ancestors were seafarers as much as 50,000 years ago and no ship has survived to testify to that, yet we accept that they were.
    1:48:40 Do you think one day we’ll find a ship that’s 10, 20, 30, 40, 50,000 years old?
    1:48:42 It’s not impossible.
    1:48:53 I think it’s quite unlikely, given the very thin survival of ships the further back you go in time with the oldest, as I say, being about 6,000 years old now.
    1:49:07 And then the other thing to take into account is the Younger Dryas event itself and the cataclysmic circumstances of that event and the roiling of the seas that would have taken place then.
    1:49:15 How much would have survived in a boat accident at that time would have survived for thousands of years afterwards, I’m not sure.
    1:49:18 But I don’t give up hope, it’s possible.
    1:49:22 So okay, so that’s back to the 3 million shipwrecks.
    1:49:23 Yeah.
    1:49:25 So what’s your takeaway from that debate?
    1:49:33 Well, my takeaway from that debate is that I should have been better prepared and I should have been less angry.
    1:49:48 I have to say that Flint had really disturbed me with these constant snide, not quite exact references to racism and white supremacism in my work.
    1:49:54 I detest such things and to have those labels stuck on me.
    1:49:58 He’s always avoided taking direct responsibility, pretty much always avoided.
    1:50:04 There’s one example that I include in the video I’ve made where he really hasn’t successfully avoided it.
    1:50:12 But in most cases, he’s trying to say that I rely on sources that were racist, but that he’s not saying that I myself am a racist.
    1:50:22 But the end result of those statements is that people all around the world came to the conclusion that Graham Hancock is a racist and a white supremacist.
    1:50:31 And that really got under my skin and it really upset me and I felt angry about it and I felt that I was there to defend ancient apocalypse season one.
    1:50:44 Whereas in fact, what I was there to do was to listen to a series of lectures where an archaeologist tells me what archaeologists have found and that somehow I’m to deduce that from what they have found, they’re not going to find anything else.
    1:50:47 At least not anything to do with the lost civilization.
    1:50:55 Listen, I feel you. I’ve seen the intensity of the attacks and the whole racism label is the one that can get under your skin.
    1:51:07 And it’s a toolbox that’s been prevalent over the past, let’s say a decade, maybe a little bit more as a method of cancellation when a person is the opposite of racist very often.
    1:51:22 It’s kind of hilarious to watch, but it can get under your skin, especially when you have certain dynamics that happen on the internet where it seeps into a Wikipedia page and then other people read that Wikipedia page and you get to hear it from like friends.
    1:51:36 Oh, I didn’t know you’re at whatever and you realize that Wikipedia description of who you are is actually has a lot of power, not by people that know you well but by people that just kind of are learning about you for the first time.
    1:51:37 Definitely.
    1:51:48 And they can really start to annoy you and get under your skin when the people are kind of indirectly injecting, they’re writing articles about you, they can then be cited by Wikipedia.
    1:51:54 It can really bother a person who is actually trying to do good science or just trying to inspire people with different ideas.
    1:52:05 I felt that my work was being deliberately misrepresented and I felt that I as a human being was being insulted and wronged in ways that are deeply hurtful.
    1:52:15 My wife and I have six children between us and we have nine grandchildren and of those nine grandchildren, seven are of mixed race.
    1:52:25 And this is my family and these are kids who are going to grow up and read Wikipedia and learn from reading Wikipedia that grandpa was some kind of racist.
    1:52:35 You know, this is a personal issue for me and I’m afraid I carried that personal anger into the debate and it made me less effective than I should have been.
    1:52:37 But ultimately I do want to pay tribute to Flint.
    1:52:38 He is an excellent debater.
    1:52:40 He’s got a very sharp mind.
    1:52:44 He’s a very clever man and he’s very fast on his feet.
    1:52:50 And I recognize that I was definitely up against a superior debater in that debate.
    1:52:56 I’m not sure that I have those debating skills and I certainly didn’t have them on that particular day.
    1:53:01 I also admire about Flint, something else, which is that he was willing to be there.
    1:53:03 Most archaeologists don’t want to talk to me at all.
    1:53:05 They want to insult me from the sidelines.
    1:53:13 They want to make sure that Wikipedia keeps on calling me a pseudoarchaeologist or a purveyor of pseudoarchaeological theories.
    1:53:18 They want to make sure that the hints of racism are there, but they actually don’t want to sit down and confront me.
    1:53:21 At least Flint was willing to do that and I’m grateful to him for that.
    1:53:32 And I think in that sense it is an important encounter between people with, let’s say, an alternative view of history and those with the very much mainstream view of history that archaeology gives us.
    1:53:36 And he’s also a very determined character. He doesn’t give up.
    1:53:42 So all of those things about him I admire and respect.
    1:53:50 But I think he fought dirty during the debate and I’ve said exactly why in this video that I now have up on YouTube.
    1:53:57 To say a positive thing that I enjoyed, I think towards the end in him speaking about agriculture was pretty interesting.
    1:54:11 So the techniques of archaeology are pretty interesting like where you can get some insights through the fog of time about what people were doing, how they were living.
    1:54:12 That’s pretty interesting.
    1:54:20 It’s very interesting. It’s a very important discipline and I’ve said many times before publicly, I couldn’t do any of my work without the way that archaeologists do.
    1:54:26 I emphasize very strongly in this video that I don’t study what archaeologists study.
    1:54:35 But nevertheless, the data that archaeologists have generated over the last century or so has been incredibly valuable to me in the work that I do.
    1:54:46 But when I look at the Great Sphinx and the studies of archaeology saying that this is the work of the pharaoh Khafre, despite the absence of any single contemporary inscription that ascribes it to Khafre.
    1:54:54 And in fact, the presence of other inscriptions that say that it was already there in the time of Khufu, I am not looking at what Egyptologists study.
    1:54:59 They just dismiss all of that and lock into the Khafre connection.
    1:55:03 At Gobekli Tepe, I’m not really looking at what archaeologists look at.
    1:55:09 I’m looking at the alignments of the megaliths and how they seem to track precession of the star Sirius over a period of time.
    1:55:12 Archaeologists aren’t interested in any of that.
    1:55:15 So I value and respect archaeology.
    1:55:19 I think it’s an incredible tool for investigating our past.
    1:55:26 But I wish archaeologists would bring a slightly gentler frame of mind to it and a slightly opener perspective.
    1:55:33 And also that archaeologists would be willing to trust the general public to make up their own minds.
    1:55:42 As though certain archaeologists are afraid of the public being presented with an alternative point of view, which they regard as quote unquote dangerous,
    1:55:49 because they somehow underestimate the intelligence of the general public and think the general public are just going to accept that much.
    1:56:00 Actually, by condemning those alternative point of view, archaeologists make it much more likely that the general public will accept those alternative point of view because there is a great distrust of experts in our society today
    1:56:03 and behaving in a snobbish, arrogant way.
    1:56:08 We archaeologists are the only people who are really qualified to speak about the past.
    1:56:11 And anybody else who speaks about the past is dangerous.
    1:56:15 That actually is not helpful to archaeology in the long term.
    1:56:18 There could be a much more positive and a much more cooperative relationship.
    1:56:23 And I can see that relationship with a gentleman like Ed Barnhart.
    1:56:32 It was very much the case with archaeologist Manti Parsonin from the University of Helsinki and with geographer Alcea Ranzi,
    1:56:40 a Brazilian geographer, very, very senior figure who I worked with in the Amazon for Season 2 of Ancient Apocalypse,
    1:56:46 looking at these astonishing earthworks that have emerged from the Amazon jungle and which more and more are now being found with LiDAR.
    1:56:50 Indeed, we found some of them ourselves with LiDAR while we were there.
    1:56:54 Yeah, that was an incredible part of the show that I got a chance to preview.
    1:56:57 It’s like there’s all this earthworks.
    1:57:08 Yeah, the traces of things built on the ground that probably you can only really appreciate when you look from up above.
    1:57:09 That’s right.
    1:57:19 So the idea that they built stuff that you can only appreciate when viewed from up above means they had a very kind of deep relationship with the sky.
    1:57:24 With the sky and a very good knowledge of geometry as well, because these are geometrical structures.
    1:57:30 And some of them even seem to incorporate geometrical games, almost like squaring the circle.
    1:57:38 It’s not quite that, but you have a lovely square earthwork with a lovely circle earthwork right in the middle of it.
    1:57:40 Whatever else there were, they were geometers.
    1:57:47 They were not just builders of fantastically huge earthworks that nobody expected in the Amazon.
    1:57:55 Not just builders of cities that we now know existed in the Amazon, but that they were astronomers and mathematicians as well.
    1:57:58 Everything we’re talking about is so full of mysteries.
    1:58:00 It’s just fascinating, especially the farther back we go.
    1:58:03 That’s what I love about the past is the mystery that’s there.
    1:58:12 And that’s another thing that I regret about some archaeologists is that their mission seems to be to drain all mystery out of the past.
    1:58:24 To suck it dry like some kind of vampire, sucking the blood out of the past and to reduce it to a series of numbers that appear to be scientific.
    1:58:26 I think that’s most unfortunate.
    1:58:28 The past is deeply mysterious.
    1:58:31 The whole story of life on earth is deeply mysterious.
    1:58:35 I mean, we were talking about the timeline of human beings.
    1:58:41 But if you go back to the formation of the earth itself, if I’ve got the figures right,
    1:58:45 it’s about four and a half billion years ago that the earth supposedly formed.
    1:58:53 It was then incredibly hot and inhospitable to life for the next several hundred million years.
    1:59:04 But it was actually Francis Crick who pointed out something odd that within a hundred million years of the earth being cool enough to support life.
    1:59:08 There’s bacterial life all over the planet.
    1:59:13 And Crick wrote a book called Life Itself that was published in 1981.
    1:59:19 And he suggested that life had been brought here by a process of panspermia.
    1:59:26 Now that’s an idea that’s around in circulation that comets may carry bacteria which can seed life on planets.
    1:59:30 But Crick actually in life itself was talking about directed panspermia.
    1:59:33 He envisaged, this is Crick, not me.
    1:59:42 He envisaged an alien civilization far away across the galaxy which faced extinction.
    1:59:46 Perhaps a supernova was going to go off in the neighborhood.
    1:59:48 They were highly advanced.
    1:59:53 Their first thought might have been, let’s get ourselves off the planet and go and populate some other planet.
    1:59:56 But the distances of interstellar space were so great.
    2:00:09 So their second thought was, let’s preserve our DNA, let’s put bacteria, genetically engineered bacteria into cryogenic chambers and fire them off into the universe in all directions.
    2:00:19 And bottom line of Crick’s theory in life itself is one of those cryogenic containers containing bacterial life from another solar system crashed into the early earth.
    2:00:22 And that’s why life began so suddenly here on earth.
    2:00:36 If we as a human civilization continue, I think that is a one way to create backups of us elsewhere in the universe given the space is to do a life gun and shoot it everywhere.
    2:00:38 And there’s just plants.
    2:00:51 And you kind of hope that whatever is the magic that makes up human consciousness and if that magic is already there in the initial DNA of the bacteria.
    2:00:53 The potential for that magic is there.
    2:00:54 The potential is there.
    2:01:00 And evolutionary forces will work upon it in different ways in different environments.
    2:01:03 But the potential is there. Yes, it’s something that we would do.
    2:01:12 If we were facing a complete extinction of life on planet earth, a major global effort would be made to preserve it somehow.
    2:01:20 And that might well include firing off cryogenic chambers into the universe and hoping that some of them would land somewhere hospitable.
    2:01:24 And as you were mentioning, there’s just so many interesting mysteries along the way here.
    2:01:31 For example, I mean, it’s like three billion years, it was single cell organisms.
    2:01:41 So it seems like life was pretty good, single cell organisms that there’s no need for multicellularity for animals, for any of this kind of stuff.
    2:01:43 So why is that?
    2:01:47 It seems like you could adapt much better if you’re a more complicated organism.
    2:01:49 It took a really long time to take that leap.
    2:01:57 Is it because it’s really hard to do? And what was the forcing function to do that kind of leap?
    2:02:01 And the same for us to be selfish and self-obsessed.
    2:02:08 For us humans, what was the magic leap to Homo sapiens from the other hominids?
    2:02:13 And why did Homo sapiens win out against the Andrithals and the other competitors?
    2:02:16 Why are they not around anymore?
    2:02:19 So those are all fascinating mysteries.
    2:02:28 And it feels like the more we propose sort of radical ideas about our past and take it serious and explore,
    2:02:37 the more we’ll be able to sort of figure out that puzzle that leads all the way back to Homo sapiens and maybe all the way back to the origin of life on Earth.
    2:02:49 I think that Homo sapiens is the tail end of a very long, deep series of mysteries that goes back right to the beginning of life on this planet and probably long before actually.
    2:02:55 Because this planet is part of the universe and God knows what else is out there in the universe.
    2:02:59 Why do you think Homo sapiens evolved?
    2:03:08 What was the magic thing? There’s a bunch of theories about fire leading to meat, to cooking, which can fuel the brain.
    2:03:11 That’s one. The other is like social interaction.
    2:03:16 We’re able to use our imagination to construct ideas and share those ideas and tell great stories.
    2:03:19 And that is somehow an evolutionary advantage.
    2:03:22 Do you have any favorite conceptions?
    2:03:24 Well, it’s interesting.
    2:03:32 There’s no doubt that anatomically modern humans and Neanderthals coexisted in Europe for at least 10,000 years, probably more than that.
    2:03:41 And yet one of the popular views is that anatomically modern humans wiped out the Neanderthals, that we killed them off.
    2:03:44 But at the same time, we were into breeding with the Neanderthals.
    2:03:52 In a sense, the Neanderthals are not gone. They are still within us today. We are part of Neanderthal.
    2:03:55 There’s another theory that I’ve read about.
    2:04:05 There is some evidence that Neanderthals were cannibals, that there was ritual cannibalism took place amongst Neanderthals, and particularly the eating of human brains.
    2:04:11 And this can cause kuru, which can kill off whole populations.
    2:04:14 That’s another suggestion of why the Neanderthals died out.
    2:04:17 There’s lots of possibilities that have been put forward.
    2:04:24 Maybe we just outcompeted them. Maybe anatomically modern humans had some brain connections that they didn’t have.
    2:04:32 Even though the Neanderthal brain was bigger than the brain of anatomically modern human beings, as the old saying goes, size isn’t everything.
    2:04:36 Maybe we just had a more compact, more efficient brain.
    2:04:45 The fact of the matter is that Neanderthals and Denisovans did not survive the rise of homo sapiens.
    2:04:50 For our discussion though, what is interesting is all the hominids seem to be explorers.
    2:04:53 They spread. I didn’t know this fact.
    2:04:59 The fact that homo erectus was all over the planet more than a million years ago is testament to that.
    2:05:04 And I do think that exploration urge is fundamental to humanity.
    2:05:17 And I would like to say that’s what I think I’m doing. I’m exercising my urge to explore the past in my own way, making my own path and defining my own route.
    2:05:22 That’s the leap from non-human to human.
    2:05:34 One of the things you’ve discussed is your idea of what was the leap to human civilization. What is the driver? What is the inspiration for humans to form civilizations?
    2:05:36 And for you, that’s shamanism.
    2:05:37 Definitely.
    2:05:38 Can you explain what that means?
    2:05:46 I think that shamanism is the origin of everything, of value in humanity.
    2:06:01 I think it was the earliest form of science. When I spend time with shamans in the Amazon, I observe people who are constantly experimenting with plants in a very scientific way.
    2:06:12 They’re always trying a pinch of this and a pinch of that in different forms. For example, of the ayahuasca brew to see if it enhances it or makes it makes it different in any way.
    2:06:20 The invention of curari is a remarkable scientific feat, which is entirely down to shamans in the Amazon.
    2:06:27 They are the scientists of the hunter forager state of society.
    2:06:33 And they were the ancient leaders of human civilization.
    2:06:37 So I think all civilization arises out of shamanism.
    2:06:46 And shamanism is a naturally scientific endeavor where experimentation is undertaken and exploration and investigation of the environment around us.
    2:07:04 And what I’m suggesting is that one group, perhaps more than one group, went a bit further than other groups did and used that study of the skies and developed navigational techniques and were able to sail and explore the earth.
    2:07:15 But that ultimately what lies behind it is the same curiosity and investigative skill that shamans are still using in the Amazon to this day.
    2:07:21 And I do see them as scientists in a very proper use of the word.
    2:07:25 But do you think something like ayahuasca was a part of that process?
    2:07:34 Yes. Ayahuasca is the result of shamanistic investigation of what’s available in the Amazon.
    2:07:39 Of course, ayahuasca is all the fad in Western industrialized societies today.
    2:07:44 And some people see it as a miracle cure for all kind of ailments and problems.
    2:07:48 And perhaps it is, perhaps it can be in certain ways.
    2:07:51 Ayahuasca itself is not an Amazonian word.
    2:07:57 It comes from the Quechua language and it means the vine of souls or the vine of the dead.
    2:08:03 But the ayahuasca vine is only one of two principal ingredients in the ayahuasca brew.
    2:08:08 And the other ingredient are leaves that contain dimethyl tryptamine.
    2:08:10 And there are two sources of that.
    2:08:13 One is a bush called cicotria viridis.
    2:08:16 That’s its botanical name. They call it chacruna in the Amazon.
    2:08:24 And its leaves are rich in dimethyl tryptamine DMT, which is arguably the most powerful psychedelic known to science.
    2:08:36 And the other source comes from another vine, deplopteris cabrerana, which the leaves of that vine also contain DMT.
    2:08:41 So the ayahuasca vine on its own is not going to give you a visionary journey.
    2:08:50 And the leaves that contain DMT on their own, whether they come from deplopteris or whether they come from chacruna, are not going to give you a visionary journey.
    2:09:00 And the reason they’re not going to give you the visionary journey is because of the enzyme monoaminoxidase in the gut that shuts down DMT when absorbed orally.
    2:09:08 Basically, DMT is not accessible orally unless you combine it with a monoaminoxidase inhibitor.
    2:09:15 And that’s what I mean when I’m talking about science in the Amazon, because there’s so many tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands of different species of plants and trees in the Amazon.
    2:09:23 And they’ve gone around and they found just two or three of them that put together can produce these extraordinary visionary experiences.
    2:09:25 Just imagine the number of plants they had to have eaten.
    2:09:26 Yeah.
    2:09:31 It consumed and smoked all kinds of combinations to arrive at that.
    2:09:32 Exactly, exactly.
    2:09:35 To realize that this is something very special.
    2:09:40 And then to use the principles there to find another form of it.
    2:09:46 So ayahuasca is the form that is made with the ayahuasca vine and the leaves of the chacruna plant.
    2:10:03 But yahe is made from the ayahuasca vine and the leaves of another vine, Diploplaris cabrarana, which contain not only NNDMT, which is the DMT that everybody’s pretty much familiar with these days, but also five MEO DMT.
    2:10:17 And the yahe experience, which I have also had in my view is more intense and more powerful, almost to the point of being overwhelming than the ayahuasca experience.
    2:10:29 But the result of this sophisticated chemistry that we find taking place here is a brew which is hideous to drink.
    2:10:33 The taste, I find it quite repulsive.
    2:10:38 I almost wretched just smelling it in the cup.
    2:10:43 But then unleashes these extraordinary experiences.
    2:10:46 And it isn’t just pretty visuals.
    2:10:51 It’s the sense of encounters with sentient others.
    2:10:59 That there are sentient beings that somehow we’re surrounded by a realm of sentience that is not normally accessible to us.
    2:11:07 And that what the ayahuasca brew and certain other psychedelics, like some psilocybin mushrooms and high enough dose can do it as well.
    2:11:08 LSD can do it.
    2:11:18 But ayahuasca is the master in this of lowering the veil to what appears to be a seamlessly convincing other realm, other world.
    2:11:24 And of course, the hard line rational scientists will say that’s just all fantasies of your brain.
    2:11:31 But I don’t think we fully understand or even close to understanding exactly what consciousness is.
    2:11:41 And I remain open to two possibilities that consciousness is generated by the brain is made by the brain in the way that a factory makes cars.
    2:11:50 But I also am open to the possibility that the brain is a receiver of consciousness, just as a television set is the receiver of television signals.
    2:12:02 And that if that is the case, then we locked into the physical realm, we need our everyday alert problem solving state of consciousness.
    2:12:11 And that’s the state of consciousness that Western civilization values and highly encourages.
    2:12:21 But these other states of consciousness that allow us to access alternative realities are possibly more important.
    2:12:34 It may be apocryphal, but it was reported after Francis Crick’s role and his Nobel Prize for the discovery of the double helix that he finally got it under the influence of LSD.
    2:12:39 There’s the classic example of Kerry Mullis and the Polymeres chain reaction.
    2:12:42 He said he got that under the influence of LSD.
    2:12:53 So the notion that the alert problem solving state of consciousness is the only valuable state of consciousness is disproved by valuable experiences that people have had in a visionary state.
    2:13:05 But the question that remains unresolved is those entities that we encounter and not everybody encounters them and you’re certainly not going to encounter them on every ayahuasca trip.
    2:13:09 There are ayahuasca journeys where nothing seems to happen.
    2:13:13 I suspect something does happen, but it happens at a subconscious level.
    2:13:26 I know that shamans in the Amazon regard those trips where actually you don’t see visions as amongst the most valuable and they say you are learning stuff that you’re not remembering, but you’re learning it anyway.
    2:13:30 These sentient others that are encountered, what are they?
    2:13:33 Are they just figments of our brain on drugs?
    2:13:42 Or are we actually gaining access to a parallel reality which is inhabited by consciousness, which is in a non-physical form?
    2:13:45 And I’m equally open to that idea.
    2:13:49 I think that may be what is going on here with ayahuasca.
    2:14:01 But the other thing is that there is a presence within the ayahuasca brew and she is present both in ayahuasca and in yahe.
    2:14:08 That’s one of the reasons why the shamans say that actually the master of the process is the ayahuasca vine, not the leaves.
    2:14:13 It’s as though the vine has harnessed the leaves to gain access to human consciousness.
    2:14:24 And there, if you have sufficient exposure to ayahuasca or yahe, you drink it enough times, I’ve had maybe 75 or 80 journeys with ayahuasca.
    2:14:38 You definitely start to feel an intelligent presence with a definite personality which I interpret as feminine and which most people in the West interpreted as feminine and they call her mother ayahuasca.
    2:14:47 There are some tribes in the Amazon who interpret the spirit of ayahuasca as male, but in all cases that spirit is seen as a teacher.
    2:14:49 That’s fundamentally what ayahuasca is.
    2:14:52 It’s a teacher and it teaches moral lessons.
    2:15:07 And that’s fascinating that a mixture of two plants should cause us to reflect on our own behavior and how it may have hurt and damaged and affected others and fill us with a powerful wish not to repeat that negative behavior again in the future.
    2:15:20 The more baggage you carry in your life, the harder the beating that ayahuasca is going to give you until it forces you to confront and take responsibility for your own behavior.
    2:15:26 And that is an extraordinary thing to come from a plant brew in that way.
    2:15:38 And I think in yes, I think ayahuasca is the most powerful of all the plant medicines for accessing these mysterious realms, but there’s no doubt you can access them.
    2:15:42 They’re all tryptomines, they’re all related to one another in one way.
    2:15:48 You can access them through LSD and you certainly can access them through silicide mushrooms as well in large enough dose.
    2:15:56 Both possibilities, as you described are interesting and to me, they’re kind of akin to each other.
    2:16:17 I wonder what the limit of the brain’s capacity is to create imaginary worlds and treat them seriously and make them real and in those worlds explore and have real sort of moral deep brainstorming sessions with those entities.
    2:16:25 So it’s almost like the power of the human mind to imagine taken to its limit.
    2:16:26 It is.
    2:16:33 And the curious thing is that the same iconography, people paint their visions after ayahuasca sessions.
    2:16:44 People were painting in Europe in the cave of Lascaux, for example, and of course they had access to silicide mushrooms in prehistoric Europe.
    2:16:49 There’s a remarkable commonality in the imagery that is painted.
    2:16:54 I like to give credit to where credit is due and there are two names that need to be mentioned here.
    2:17:06 One is the late great Terence McKenna and his book Food of the Gods, where he proposed the idea very strongly that it was our ancestral encounters with psychedelics that made us fully human.
    2:17:10 That’s what switched on the modern human mind.
    2:17:18 And very much the same idea began to be explored a bit earlier by Professor David Lewis Williams at the University of Woodwatersrand in South Africa.
    2:17:39 Fabulous book called The Mind in the Cave, where he is again arguing that these astonishing similarities in cave art and rock art all around the world can only be properly explained by people in deeply altered states of consciousness attempting to remember when they return to a normal everyday state of consciousness.
    2:17:47 Attempting to remember their visions and document them on permanent media like the wall of a cave.
    2:17:54 So typically you get a lot of geometric patterns, but you also got entities and those entities often are therianthropes.
    2:18:06 Part animal, part human in form might have the head of a wolf and the body of a human being, might have the head of a bird and the body of a human being and so on and so forth.
    2:18:09 And that they communicate with us in the visionary state.
    2:18:17 Interestingly, although this sounds like woo and it is an area that most scientists would steer clear of at risk of their careers.
    2:18:30 There is very serious work now being done at Imperial College in London and at the University of California at San Diego where volunteers are being given extended DMT.
    2:18:43 There is a new technology, DMTX, where the DMT is fed directly into the bloodstream by drip and it is possible to keep the individual in the peak DMT state.
    2:18:54 Which normally when you smoke or vape DMT you are looking if you are lucky at 10 minutes or if you are unlucky if it is a bad journey because those 10 minutes can seem like forever.
    2:19:04 But with DMTX, with the drip feeding of DMT into the bloodstream, these volunteers actually could be kept in the peak state for hours.
    2:19:11 And unlike LSD, where you rapidly build up tolerance, nobody ever builds up tolerance to DMT, it always hits you with the same power.
    2:19:17 Even if you took it yesterday and the day before and you are taking it tomorrow as well, it is still going to have that same power.
    2:19:24 There is no tolerance there. So that is how they can use that lack of tolerance to keep volunteers in this state.
    2:19:30 And then when they debrief those volunteers, they are also putting them in MRI scanners and looking at what is happening in the brain.
    2:19:35 But when they debrief them, they are all talking about encounters with sentient others.
    2:19:41 There is even a group now called sentient others where people are exchanging, volunteers are now exchanging their experiences.
    2:19:47 They weren’t allowed to do so at the beginning of the experiment, but now that most of them have left it, they are exchanging their experiences.
    2:19:52 And it is all about encounters with sentient others who wish to teach their moral lessons.
    2:20:00 Now, to me, that is wild. What is going on here? How do we account for this?
    2:20:07 Yeah, I get the notion of hallucinations and brightly colored visuals, but the moral lessons that come with it, those are very odd.
    2:20:18 Yeah, and would you say that the reason that could give birth to a civilization is it because such visions can help create myths,
    2:20:26 and especially like religious myths, that would be a cohesive thing for a large group of people to get around.
    2:20:29 Yeah, and can help us to be better members of our own community.
    2:20:30 Right, with moral lessons.
    2:20:36 Yeah, more contributing members of our community, more caring, more nurturing members of our community.
    2:20:38 That’s got to be good for any community.
    2:20:50 I’ve said this a dozen times, but I’ll say it again, if I had the power to do so, I would make it a law, an absolute law,
    2:20:58 that anybody running for a powerful political position, particularly if that position is president or head of state in any kind of way,
    2:21:10 that that person has to undergo the ayahuasca ordeal first, they have to have 10 or 12 sessions of ayahuasca as a condition for applying for the job.
    2:21:17 I suspect that most who had had those experiences wouldn’t want to apply for the job anymore.
    2:21:19 They would want to live a different kind of life.
    2:21:30 And those who did want to carry on being a leader of a nation would be very different people from the people who are leading the nations of the earth into chaos and destruction today.
    2:21:32 Yeah, they would be doing it for the right reasons.
    2:21:44 I mentioned to you, I recently interviewed Donald Trump and actually brought up this same idea that it would be a much better world if most of Congress and most politicians would take some form of psychedelic at the very least.
    2:21:46 I have no doubt that it would be a better world.
    2:21:54 I mean, this raises an interesting point, which is the role of government in controlling our consciousness.
    2:22:05 And in my opinion, the so-called war on drugs is one of the fundamental abuses of human rights that have been undertaken in the past 60 years.
    2:22:19 It should be a Republican issue. If I understand the Republican Party correctly, the Republican Party believes in individual freedom for adults as much as possible and particularly the freedom to make choices over there on bodies.
    2:22:26 But in the case of even cannabis, I know there’s one of the great things that’s happening in America.
    2:22:43 It’s happening state by state where cannabis is being legalized and that draconian hand of government is being taken off the back of people who are consuming a medicine that is far less harmful than alcohol, which is glorified in our society.
    2:22:55 We cannot say that we are free if we allow a government to dictate to us what experiences we may or may not have in our inner consciousness while doing no harm to others.
    2:23:01 And the point there is we already have a whole raft of laws that deal with us when we do harm to others.
    2:23:08 Do we really need laws that tell us what we may and may or may not experience in the inner sanctum of our own consciousness?
    2:23:28 I think it’s a fundamental violation of adult sovereignty and we would have much less drug problems if these drugs were all legalized and made available to people without shaming them, without punishing them in any way, but just part of normal social life.
    2:23:34 And you could be sure that you were getting good product rather than really shitty product, which has been cut with all sorts of other things.
    2:23:49 Ultimately, the way forward is for adults to take responsibility for their own behavior and for society to allow that to happen and not to have big government taking responsibility for decisions that should be in the hands of individuals.
    2:23:57 For me also, it’s exciting some of these substances like psilocybin are being integrated into scientific studies of large scales. It’s really interesting.
    2:24:18 We’ve seen a revolution in the way science looks at psychedelics in the last 20, 25 years. They were in that highly demonized category, but again, it’s one of those paradigms which gets overwhelmed by new evidence and it began to be realized that psilocybin and other psychedelics are very helpful in a range of conditions.
    2:24:33 From which people suffer post-traumatic stress disorder, the fear of death when you’re suffering from terminal cancer can be overwhelming and it’s been found that psilocybin can remove that.
    2:24:46 Deep depressions can be evaporated with one single massive psilocybin journey. They just go away. There’s really good science on this and they are being integrated into conventional medicine more and more.
    2:24:53 We’ll see it happening. I’m not sure if it’ll happen as much as fast as I would like to see it happen in my lifetime, but it is going to happen.
    2:25:09 I actually just recently found out that he had a TED talk, War on Consciousness, that was taken down and that was just part of just the general resistance because it wasn’t really radical.
    2:25:23 I was talking about ayahuasca and I was talking about the view that I hold very strongly that as long as we do no harm to others, sovereign adults should be allowed to make decisions about their own bodies and not face a jail sentence or shaming as a result.
    2:25:44 It was a TEDx talk, not a TED talk, organized by a local TED group. They call them TEDx talks. I gave this talk about the War on Consciousness and it was immediately pulled down from TED’s main channel with all kinds of bizarre reasons being given.
    2:25:56 Unfortunately it was too late because a number of people had already downloaded the talk and then uploaded it onto other YouTube channels and actually their banning of it made it go viral in a way that would not have happened otherwise.
    2:26:07 But again, it’s a sign that points of view that are not acceptable to those in positions of power are simply dismissed and shut down or at least attempts are made to do so.
    2:26:17 In general, just along that line of thinking, I’m pretty sure that what we understand about consciousness today will seem silly to humans from 100 years from now.
    2:26:32 You bet it will, especially if we harness psychedelics to investigate consciousness. That is what is happening at Imperial College right now is the investigation of the experience.
    2:26:48 There are other trials that are looking for the therapeutic potential of D&T, but in this case, they’re looking entirely at the experiences that people have and why they’re so similar from people from different age groups and different genders and different parts of the world are all having the same experiences.
    2:27:02 For me, from an engineer perspective, it’s interesting if it’s possible to engineer consciousness in artificial beings. It’s another way to approach the question of how special is human consciousness.
    2:27:18 From where does it arise? Is it something that permeates all of life? And then in that case, what is the thing that makes life special? Like what is life? What is these living organisms that we have here that evolve to create humans?
    2:27:26 And what is truly special about humans? And it’s both scary and exciting to consider the possibility that we can create something like this.
    2:27:36 But why not? We’re a vehicle for consciousness in my view. I think consciousness is present in all life on Earth. I don’t think it’s limited to human beings.
    2:27:45 We have the equipment to manifest and express that consciousness in the way that a dog, for example, doesn’t have or a snail doesn’t have or a pigeon doesn’t have.
    2:27:57 But when I look at two pigeons sitting on my garden fence and rubbing up close to each other and enjoying each other’s company and taking off together and hanging out together, I think they’re conscious beings.
    2:28:16 And I think consciousness is everywhere. I think it’s the basis of everything and I suspect that fundamentally consciousness is non-physical and that it can manifest in physical forms where it can then have experiences that would not be available in the non-physical state. That’s a guess.
    2:28:22 That’d be fascinating because then you can construct all kinds of physical forms to manifest the consciousness.
    2:28:29 Obviously if consciousness enters, if they become consciousness, isn’t there some suggestion that artificial intelligence is already becoming conscious?
    2:28:40 That makes humans really uncomfortable because we are at the top of the food chain. We consider ourselves truly special and to consider that there’s other things that could be special is scary.
    2:28:51 Well, look how other people make us uncomfortable too. I mean, look at the state of the world today. All the conflicts that are raging, that’s because we’re afraid.
    2:29:03 When I say we, I’m speaking nation by nation, we are afraid of other people. We fear that they’re going to hurt us or damage us in some way and so we seek to stop that. It’s the root of many, many conflicts, this fear.
    2:29:14 And so fear of AI may not be such a good idea after all. It might be very interesting to go down that route and see where it comes. Certainly in terms of exploring consciousness, it is very interesting.
    2:29:19 Yeah, fear is a useful thing, but it can also be destructive.
    2:29:22 Well, it can be destructive and it can shut you down completely.
    2:29:30 If you look into the future, maybe the next 100 years, what do you hope are the interesting discoveries in archaeology that we’ll find?
    2:29:43 Well, I’d really like to know how the Great Pyramid was built. And we now have with new tech, with scanning technology, it’s now become apparent that there are many major voids within the Great Pyramid.
    2:29:51 Right above the Grand Gallery, there’s what looks like a second Grand Gallery that has been identified with remote scanning.
    2:30:03 And new chambers, one of them has even been opened up already, are being found as a result of this. So it may be that the Great Pyramid will ultimately give up its secrets.
    2:30:11 I often think that the Great Pyramid is partly designed to do that. It’s designed to invite its own initiates.
    2:30:17 Some people aren’t interested in the Great Pyramid at all, but some people are fascinated by it and they’re drawn towards it.
    2:30:23 And when they’re drawn towards it, it immediately starts raising questions in their minds and they seek answers to their questions.
    2:30:30 So it’s like saying, here I stand, investigate me, find out about me, figure out what I am.
    2:30:35 Why have I got these two shafts cut into the side of the so-called Queen’s Chamber?
    2:30:41 Why do they slope up through the body of the Great Pyramid? Why do they not exit on the outside of the Great Pyramid?
    2:30:49 Why when we send a robot up those shafts, do we find them after about 160 feet blocked by a door with metal handles?
    2:30:55 Why when we drill through that door to see what’s beyond it three or four feet away, we see another door?
    2:31:01 It’s like very frustrating, but it’s saying to us, keep on exploring.
    2:31:05 If you’re persistent enough, we’ll eventually give you the answer.
    2:31:14 So I’m hoping that that answer will come as to how this most mysterious of monuments was actually built and the inspiration that lay behind it.
    2:31:20 Certainly, I’m sure it was never a tomb or a tomb only.
    2:31:23 The later pyramids might have been.
    2:31:30 Actually, no pharaonic burial has been discovered in any pyramid, but nevertheless, it’s pretty clear that the later pyramids,
    2:31:37 the pyramid texts written on the walls, like the Pyramid of Unas, Fifth Dynasty Pyramid at Sakara, were tombs.
    2:31:44 But the Great Pyramid, to go to that length to create a tomb, to make it a scale model of the Earth,
    2:31:50 to orient it perfectly to True North, to make it six million tons, this is not a tomb.
    2:31:55 This is something else. This is a curiosity device. This is something that is asking us to understand it.
    2:32:03 And I hope we will understand it. And I hope Egyptologists will be willing to set aside that prejudice that they’re only looking at a tomb
    2:32:10 and consider other possibilities. And as New Tech is revealing these previously unknown inner spaces within the Great Pyramid,
    2:32:12 I think that’s going to become more and more likely.
    2:32:15 So not just the how it was built, but the why.
    2:32:16 But the why.
    2:32:21 And to you, it seems obvious that there would be a cosmic motivation.
    2:32:29 Yeah, very, very much so. As above, so below. Which is an idea in the Hermetica.
    2:32:35 The God Hermes for the Greeks was the Greek version of Thoth, the wisdom God of ancient Egypt.
    2:32:38 And that’s where that saying comes from. It comes from the Hermetica.
    2:32:43 But it’s expressing an ancient Egyptian idea to mirror the perfection of the heavens on Earth.
    2:32:47 So you think there’s something interesting to be discovered about the how it was built?
    2:32:51 You mean beyond the sort of the ideas of using ramps and what?
    2:32:55 Yeah, ramps won’t do it. Ramps won’t do it, nor will wet sand.
    2:33:02 It’s true that the ancient Egyptians did haul big objects on sleds on wet sand.
    2:33:11 There are even reliefs that show the process where an individual is standing on the front of the sledge pouring water down to lubricate the sand underneath.
    2:33:21 And that’s a perfectly respectable way to move a 200 ton block of stone across sand, flat sand, if you have enough people to pull it.
    2:33:33 But that is not going to help you get dozens of 70 ton granite blocks, 300 feet in the air, to form the roof of the king’s chamber and the floor of the chamber above it.
    2:33:37 And the roof of that chamber and the floor of the chamber above that and so on and so forth.
    2:33:40 Wet sand never got those objects up there.
    2:33:42 Somehow they were lifted up there.
    2:33:48 Now, yeah, ramps are proposed as the solution, but where are the remains of those ramps?
    2:33:56 If you’re going to carry blocks weighing up to two or three tons right to the top of the Great Pyramid to complete your work,
    2:34:02 you’re going to need a ramp that’s going to extend out into the desert for more than a mile at a 10 degree slope.
    2:34:09 And it’s calculated that a 10 degree slope is about the maximum slope that human labor can haul objects up a ramp.
    2:34:16 And that ramp can’t just be compacted sand since heavy objects are being hauled up.
    2:34:20 It’s going to have to be made of very solid material, almost as solid as the pyramid itself.
    2:34:21 Where is it?
    2:34:27 We don’t see any trace of those so-called ramps that are supposed to have been involved in the construction of the pyramid.
    2:34:28 I think we don’t know.
    2:34:29 I think we have no idea it’s built.
    2:34:31 That’s why there’s so many different theories.
    2:34:33 We haven’t got the answer yet.
    2:34:36 But the how of it is one of the big mysteries from our past.
    2:34:45 I love the Great Pyramid as a kind of puzzle that was created by the ancient peoples to be solved by later peoples.
    2:34:56 I don’t know if you’re aware of the 10,000 year clock that was built by Jeff Bezos and Danny Hillis in Sierra Diablo Mountains in Texas.
    2:35:01 So they’re building a clock that takes once a year for 10,000 years.
    2:35:08 And it’s supposed to run if there’s a nuclear apocalypse, it just runs.
    2:35:17 And it’s an example of modern humans thinking like, okay, if 10,000 years from now and beyond,
    2:35:26 if something goes wrong or the future humans that are way different come back and they analyze what happened here,
    2:35:30 how can we create monuments that they can then analyze?
    2:35:37 And in that way, be curious about, in their curiosity, discover some deep truths about this current time.
    2:35:41 It’s an interesting kind of notion of what can we build now?
    2:35:42 That would last.
    2:35:46 And the answer is that the majority of what we build now wouldn’t last.
    2:35:49 It would be gone within a few thousand years.
    2:35:55 But what would last is massive megalithic structures like the Great Pyramid.
    2:36:02 That would last and it could be used to send a message to the future.
    2:36:05 I think Gobekli Tepe serves a similar function.
    2:36:06 I mean, there it was.
    2:36:10 It was buried 10,400 years ago.
    2:36:14 And then for the next 10,000 years, nobody touched it.
    2:36:15 Nobody knew it was there.
    2:36:24 It took the genius of Klaus Schmidt, the original excavator, to realize what he’d found and what it was.
    2:36:29 But the great thing about the sealing of Gobekli Tepe, the deliberate burial of Gobekli Tepe,
    2:36:34 is it means that no later culture trod over it and imposed their organic materials on it
    2:36:39 and messed up the dating sequences and so on and so forth or vandalized it or used it as a quarry.
    2:36:41 It’s all there intact.
    2:36:47 So you mentioned that the pyramids and some of the other amazing things that humans have built
    2:36:52 was the results of us humans struggling with our mortality.
    2:36:55 That’s the ultimate goal.
    2:36:59 That seems to me what’s at the heart of many pyramids around the world
    2:37:03 is that they’re connected in one way or another to the notion of death
    2:37:07 and to the notion of the exploration of the afterlife.
    2:37:11 And this is, of course, the fundamental mystery that all human beings face.
    2:37:14 We may wish to ignore it.
    2:37:19 We may wish to pretend that it’s not going to happen, but we are, of course, all mortal.
    2:37:24 Every one of us, all eight billion or however many of us that are on the planet right now,
    2:37:27 we’re all going to face death sooner or later.
    2:37:30 And the question is, what happens?
    2:37:36 And there are a few cultures that really intensely, deeply studied that mystery.
    2:37:38 We are not one of them.
    2:37:43 The general view of science, I think, is that we’re accidents of evolution.
    2:37:45 When we die, the light blinks out.
    2:37:46 There’s no more of us.
    2:37:47 There’s no such thing as a soul.
    2:37:49 But that’s not a proven point.
    2:37:51 There’s no experiment that proves that’s the case.
    2:37:56 We know we die, but we don’t know whether there’s such a thing as a soul or not.
    2:37:58 Yeah, it’s the great mystery.
    2:38:00 It’s the great mystery that we all share.
    2:38:05 And those cultures that have investigated it and ancient Egypt is the best example.
    2:38:10 Have investigated it thoroughly and map out the journey that we make after death.
    2:38:15 But that notion of a journey after death and of hazards and challenges along the way,
    2:38:19 and ultimately of a judgment, that notion is found right around the world.
    2:38:25 And it even manifests into the three monotheistic face that are still present in the world today.
    2:38:27 Well, you’re one such human.
    2:38:31 And you said you contemplate your own death.
    2:38:32 Yeah.
    2:38:33 Are you afraid of it?
    2:38:34 No.
    2:38:36 I’m not afraid of death at all.
    2:38:38 I’m curious about death.
    2:38:40 I think it could be very interesting.
    2:38:44 I think it’s the beginning of the next great adventure.
    2:38:46 So I don’t fear it.
    2:38:53 And I would like to live as long as my body is healthy enough to make living worthwhile.
    2:38:54 But I don’t fear death.
    2:38:57 What I do fear is pain.
    2:39:03 I do fear the humiliation that old age and the collapse of the faculties can bring.
    2:39:08 I do fear the cancers that can strike us down and riddle us with pain and agony.
    2:39:11 That I fear very, very much indeed.
    2:39:14 But death is going to come to all of us.
    2:39:15 I accept it.
    2:39:16 It’s going to come to me.
    2:39:19 And I’m not going to say I’m looking forward to it.
    2:39:25 But when it happens, I’m going to approach it, I hope, with a sense of curiosity and a sense of adventure,
    2:39:28 that there’s something beyond this life.
    2:39:29 It isn’t heaven.
    2:39:30 It isn’t hell.
    2:39:32 But there’s something.
    2:39:33 The soul goes on.
    2:39:37 I think reincarnation is a very plausible idea.
    2:39:39 Again, modern science would reject that.
    2:39:44 But there’s the excellent work of Ian Stevenson, children who remember past lives,
    2:39:49 who found that children up to the age of seven often have memories of past lives.
    2:39:55 And in cultures where memories of past lives are discouraged, they tend not to express that much.
    2:40:00 But in cultures where memories of past lives are encouraged, like India, they do express it.
    2:40:04 And he found several subjects, children under the age of seven in India,
    2:40:07 who were able to remember specific details of a past life.
    2:40:13 And he was able to go to the place where that past life unfolded and validate those details.
    2:40:17 So if consciousness is the basis of everything, if it’s the essence of everything,
    2:40:22 and consciousness benefits in some way from being incarnated in physical form,
    2:40:24 then reincarnation makes a lot of sense.
    2:40:34 All the investment that the universe has put into creating this home for life may have a much bigger purpose than just accident.
    2:40:36 What a beautiful mystery this whole thing is.
    2:40:37 Yeah, we are immersed in mystery.
    2:40:39 We live in the midst of mystery.
    2:40:40 We’re surrounded by mystery.
    2:40:43 And if we pretend otherwise, we’re deluding ourselves.
    2:40:47 And, Graham, thank you so much for inspiring the world to explore that mystery.
    2:40:48 Thank you for talking today.
    2:40:49 Thank you, Lex.
    2:40:51 It’s been a pleasure.
    2:40:54 Thanks for listening to this conversation with Graham Hancock.
    2:40:58 To support this podcast, please check out our sponsors in the description.
    2:41:02 And now, let me leave you with some words from Charles Darwin.
    2:41:08 It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent.
    2:41:13 It is the one that is the most adaptable to change.
    2:41:17 Thank you for listening, and hope to see you next time.
    2:41:21 [MUSIC PLAYING]
    2:41:24 [MUSIC PLAYING]
    2:41:27 [MUSIC PLAYING]
    2:41:30 [MUSIC PLAYING]
    2:41:33 (gentle music)

    Graham Hancock a journalist and author who for over 30 years has explored the controversial possibility that there existed a lost civilization during the last Ice Age, and that it was destroyed in a global cataclysm some 12,000 years ago. He is the presenter of the Netflix documentary series “Ancient Apocalypse”, the 2nd season of which has just been released.
    Thank you for listening ❤ Check out our sponsors: https://lexfridman.com/sponsors/ep449-sc
    See below for timestamps, and to give feedback, submit questions, contact Lex, etc.

    CONTACT LEX:
    Feedback – give feedback to Lex: https://lexfridman.com/survey
    AMA – submit questions, videos or call-in: https://lexfridman.com/ama
    Hiring – join our team: https://lexfridman.com/hiring
    Other – other ways to get in touch: https://lexfridman.com/contact

    EPISODE LINKS:
    Graham’s Website: https://grahamhancock.com/
    Ancient Apocalypse (Season 2): https://netflix.com/title/81211003
    Graham’s YouTube: https://youtube.com/GrahamHancockDotCom
    Graham’s X: https://x.com/Graham__Hancock
    Graham’s Facebook: https://facebook.com/Author.GrahamHancock
    Fingerprints of the Gods (book): https://amzn.to/4eM3QXC

    SPONSORS:
    To support this podcast, check out our sponsors & get discounts:
    Notion: Note-taking and team collaboration.
    Go to https://notion.com/lex
    Riverside: Platform for recording podcasts and videos from everywhere.
    Go to https://creators.riverside.fm/LEX
    LMNT: Zero-sugar electrolyte drink mix.
    Go to https://drinkLMNT.com/lex
    Shopify: Sell stuff online.
    Go to https://shopify.com/lex
    BetterHelp: Online therapy and counseling.
    Go to https://betterhelp.com/lex

    OUTLINE:
    (00:00) – Introduction
    (09:58) – Lost Ice Age civilization
    (17:03) – Göbekli Tepe
    (29:07) – Early humans
    (34:07) – Astronomical symbolism
    (45:36) – Younger Dryas impact hypothesis
    (1:03:55) – The Great Pyramid and the Sphinx of Giza
    (1:24:29) – Sahara Desert and the Amazon rainforest
    (1:33:49) – Response to critics
    (1:57:56) – Panspermia
    (2:05:22) – Shamanism
    (2:29:22) – How the Great Pyramid was built
    (2:36:41) – Mortality

    PODCAST LINKS:
    – Podcast Website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast
    – Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr
    – Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8
    – RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/
    – Podcast Playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLrAXtmErZgOdP_8GztsuKi9nrraNbKKp4
    – Clips Channel: https://www.youtube.com/lexclips

  • #448 – Jordan Peterson: Nietzsche, Hitler, God, Psychopathy, Suffering & Meaning

    AI transcript
    0:00:06 The following is a conversation with Jordan Peterson, his second time on this The Lex
    0:00:07 Friedman podcast.
    0:00:11 And now a quick, you second mention of a sponsor.
    0:00:12 Check them out in the description.
    0:00:14 It’s the best way to support this podcast.
    0:00:21 We’ve got a sleep for naps, ground news for a nonbiased news aggregator, better
    0:00:25 health for mental health and element for delicious, delicious electrolytes.
    0:00:27 Choose wisely, my friends.
    0:00:31 Also, if you want to get in touch with me, go to Lexfriedman.com/contact.
    0:00:33 And now on to the full ad reads.
    0:00:35 I try to make these interesting.
    0:00:38 But if you skip them, please still check out our sponsors.
    0:00:39 I enjoy their stuff.
    0:00:41 Maybe you will too.
    0:00:44 This episode is brought to you by 8Sleep.
    0:00:46 The thing that makes me feel like home.
    0:00:49 The thing I miss when I’m traveling.
    0:00:51 That’s a good definition of home.
    0:00:55 The place you miss the most when you’re away from it.
    0:01:00 I think I’ve read a quote from like Nietzsche or Schopenhauer.
    0:01:05 One of those like hardcore, maybe a bit cynical philosophers.
    0:01:06 Who was it?
    0:01:12 Anyway, the quote was something like home is the place you have tried
    0:01:14 to escape the most, but failed.
    0:01:17 Oh, boy.
    0:01:21 It’s kind of like from the whole school of thought that life is suffering.
    0:01:28 And so happiness is the moments where you escape the suffering briefly.
    0:01:30 That kind of that kind of perspective on life.
    0:01:33 So probably Schopenhauer, probably one of those guys.
    0:01:39 And you know, in that same vein, I could say that, you know, taking a nap
    0:01:48 on an acely bed, cold bed surface, warm blanket is a kind of escape from the suffering.
    0:01:52 It is, no matter what, an escape from the world.
    0:01:58 It’s the kind of escape that once you return, you feel so refreshed with new eyes.
    0:02:00 Everything is brighter.
    0:02:01 Everything’s more hopeful.
    0:02:06 Everything radiates the possibility of something good happening.
    0:02:09 So I’m a big fan of naps.
    0:02:16 Go to sleep.com/lex and use code Lex to get $350 off the pod for ultra.
    0:02:22 This episode is also brought to you by Ground News, a nonpartisan news
    0:02:26 aggregator I use to compare media coverage from across the political spectrum.
    0:02:32 The point is, you see every side of every story and you come to your own conclusion.
    0:02:37 Everything that I think is criticized almost to a cliche degree about
    0:02:44 the mainstream media or what do we call it, the heterodox media?
    0:02:50 I don’t know, all the people that are kind of talking through the anti-establishment,
    0:02:56 almost conspiratorial kind of quote unquote news, all of that is not present in Ground News.
    0:03:02 I do think for me, at least personally, consuming news is so much more about protecting
    0:03:09 my brain from the assault of sort of talking points and trivialized narratives.
    0:03:14 As a first step, just to protect my mind from all the people who are yelling
    0:03:18 like they have this dogmatic certainty about what is true.
    0:03:25 So just protecting my head from that and then calmly just understanding what happened
    0:03:29 and what are the different perspectives and what do I think about it?
    0:03:34 After I’ve put up the shields of defending myself from the assaults, at least for me,
    0:03:40 it helps kind of put into full context all the different kind of outrage
    0:03:45 that’s going on on the Internet, go to groundnews.com/flex to get 40% off
    0:03:49 the Ground News Vantage plan, giving you access to all of their features.
    0:03:54 That’s ground G R O U N D news.com/flex.
    0:04:00 This episode is also brought to you by BetterHelp spelled H E L P help.
    0:04:10 The mind is super complex, both fragile and resilient engine.
    0:04:13 Both, I truly believe it is both.
    0:04:18 It is both a thing that can knock itself off the cliff and a thing that can find a way
    0:04:20 to fly before it hits the ground.
    0:04:22 What a life this is.
    0:04:25 My mind has been on a roller coaster lately.
    0:04:27 It’s been a rough one.
    0:04:29 It’s been a rough one.
    0:04:39 So if you’re going through difficult things or just trying to solve little puzzles,
    0:04:45 in your life, or because they also do couples therapy in your relationships,
    0:04:47 you should try out BetterHelp.
    0:04:50 It’s easy, discreet, affordable, available worldwide.
    0:04:55 Talking is one of the ways to shine a light on the Jungian shadow.
    0:04:56 Try to understand.
    0:04:59 Try to understand what’s going on in there.
    0:05:03 What are the roots of your particular malady?
    0:05:08 Particular kind of psychological distress.
    0:05:11 What a fascinating little puzzle this whole thing is.
    0:05:17 Check them out at betterhelp.com/lex and save in your first month.
    0:05:19 That’s betterhelp.com/lex.
    0:05:26 This episode is also brought to you by Element, my daily zero sugar and delicious electrolyte
    0:05:27 drink that I’m currently drinking.
    0:05:28 Let me take a sip.
    0:05:31 Delicious.
    0:05:35 Watermelon salt always has been, always will be, but there’s a bunch of other flavors.
    0:05:39 If you like them, there’s like a chocolatey one, which I’ve tried a bunch of times and
    0:05:41 it’s actually amazing.
    0:05:44 But for me personally, it’s almost a little too amazing.
    0:05:50 It almost feels like dessert versus like a refreshing, energizing kind of flavor,
    0:05:52 which is watermelon salt.
    0:05:56 But to each their own, I’m actually learning that people have fundamentally different
    0:06:01 tastes in foods, in ice cream, whatever.
    0:06:03 And I think that’s beautiful.
    0:06:06 For most of my life, I get stuck on certain foods I like.
    0:06:09 And I just keep eating that thing, some creature of habit in a sense.
    0:06:11 Because I find a thing that makes me happy.
    0:06:13 And I just keep doing the thing that makes me happy.
    0:06:15 It’s kind of logical.
    0:06:16 I don’t get bored.
    0:06:19 I guess I don’t get bored easily because everything is so full of life.
    0:06:21 Everything is so full of awesomeness.
    0:06:24 And I just don’t need to go to and using this full of awesomeness.
    0:06:30 But I also realized that there is a joy inherent to the exploration in itself.
    0:06:34 So I guess that’s an argument for me to try different flavors of element.
    0:06:37 I have, I gave him a chance.
    0:06:39 I still like watermelon salt the most.
    0:06:40 What you going to do?
    0:06:42 Get a sample pack for free with any purchase.
    0:06:45 Try it at drinkelement.com/lex.
    0:06:50 And now, dear friends, here’s Jordan Peterson.
    0:07:07 [Music]
    0:07:11 You have given a set of lectures on Nietzsche as part of the new Peterson Academy.
    0:07:14 And the lectures were powerful.
    0:07:18 There’s some element of the contradictions, the tensions, the drama,
    0:07:22 the way you like lock in an idea, but then are struggling with that idea.
    0:07:25 All of that, that feels like it’s a Nietzschean.
    0:07:28 Yeah, well, he has a big influence on me stylistically.
    0:07:31 And like in terms of the way I approached writing,
    0:07:39 and also many of the people that were other influences of mine were very influenced by him.
    0:07:43 So I was blown away when I first came across his writings.
    0:07:53 They’re so intellectually dense that I don’t know if there’s anything that approximates that.
    0:07:58 Dostoevsky, maybe, although he’s much more wordy, Nietzsche is very succinct,
    0:08:00 partly because he was so ill, because he would think all day.
    0:08:02 He couldn’t spend a lot of time writing.
    0:08:06 And he condenses writings into very short, while this aphoristic style he had.
    0:08:09 And it’s really something to strive for.
    0:08:15 And then he’s also an exciting writer like Dostoevsky and dynamic.
    0:08:18 And romantic in that emotional way.
    0:08:20 And so it’s really something.
    0:08:21 And I really enjoyed doing that.
    0:08:23 I did that lecture that you described.
    0:08:27 That lecture series is on the first half of “Beyond Good and Evil,” which is a stunning book.
    0:08:34 And that was really fun to take pieces of it and then to describe what they mean
    0:08:37 and how they’ve echoed across the decades since he wrote them.
    0:08:39 And yeah, it’s been great.
    0:08:46 Taking each sentence seriously and deconstructing it and really struggling with it.
    0:08:51 I think underpinning that approach to writing requires deep respect for the person.
    0:08:55 I think if we approach writing with that kind of respect,
    0:09:00 you can take, or well, you can take a lot of writers and really dig in on singular sentences.
    0:09:03 Yeah, well, those are the great writers because the greatest writers,
    0:09:07 virtually everything they wrote is worth attending to.
    0:09:11 No, and I think Nietzsche is in some ways the ultimate exemplar of that because
    0:09:17 often when I read a book, I’ll mark one way or another.
    0:09:21 I often fold the corner of the page over to indicate something that I’ve found that’s
    0:09:22 worth remembering.
    0:09:27 I couldn’t do that with a book like “Beyond Good and Evil” because every page ends up marked.
    0:09:33 And that’s in marked contrast, so to speak, to many of the books I read now,
    0:09:40 where it’s quite frequently now that I’ll read a book and there won’t be an idea
    0:09:41 that I haven’t come across before.
    0:09:46 And with a thinker like Nietzsche, that’s just not the case at the sentence level.
    0:09:51 And I don’t think there’s anyone that I know of who did that to a greater extent than he did.
    0:09:55 So there’s other people who whose thought is of equivalent value.
    0:10:00 I’ve returned recently, and I’m going to do a course on to the work of this Romanian
    0:10:05 historian of religions, Mircea Eliata, who’s not nearly as well known as he should be
    0:10:11 and whose work, by the way, is a real antidote to the post-modern nihilistic Marxist
    0:10:16 stream of literary interpretation that the universities as a whole have adopted.
    0:10:18 And Eliata is like that, too.
    0:10:21 I used this book called “The Sacred and the Profane”
    0:10:26 quite extensively in a book that I’m releasing in mid-November.
    0:10:30 “We who wrestle with God,” and it’s of the same sort.
    0:10:33 It’s endlessly analyzable.
    0:10:39 Eliata walked through the whole history of religious ideas, and he had the intellect
    0:10:40 that enabled him to do that.
    0:10:45 And everything he wrote is dreamlike in its density.
    0:10:53 So every sentence or paragraph is evocative in an image-rich manner.
    0:10:58 And that also, what would you say, deepens and broadens the scope.
    0:11:02 And that’s part of often what distinguishes writing that has a literary end
    0:11:04 from writing that’s more merely technical.
    0:11:10 Like, the literary writings have this imagistic and dreamlike reference space around them.
    0:11:17 And it takes a long time to turn a complex image into something semantic.
    0:11:25 And so if your writing evokes deep imagery, it has a depth that can’t be captured merely in words.
    0:11:29 And the great romantic poetic philosophers, Nietzsche has a very good example.
    0:11:30 Dostoevsky is a good example.
    0:11:32 So is Mircea Eliata.
    0:11:33 They have that quality.
    0:11:35 And it’s a good way of thinking about it.
    0:11:40 You know, it’s kind of interesting from the perspective of technical analysis of intelligence.
    0:11:46 There’s a good book called “The User Illusion,” which is the best book on consciousness that I ever read.
    0:11:51 It explains the manner in which our communication is understandable in this manner.
    0:11:54 So imagine that when you’re communicating something,
    0:11:59 you’re trying to change the way that your target audience perceives and acts in the world.
    0:12:01 So that’s an embodied issue.
    0:12:08 But you’re using words, which obviously aren’t equivalent to the actions themselves.
    0:12:14 You can imagine that the words are surrounded by a cloud of images that they evoke.
    0:12:17 And that the images can be translated into actions.
    0:12:18 Yeah.
    0:12:26 And the greatest writing uses words in a manner that evokes images that profoundly affects perception and action.
    0:12:27 And that’s the…
    0:12:31 So I would take the manner in which I act and behave.
    0:12:33 I would translate that into a set of images.
    0:12:35 My dreams do that for me, for example.
    0:12:37 Then I compress them into words.
    0:12:43 I toss you the words, you decompose them, decompress them into the images, and then into the actions.
    0:12:46 And that’s what happens in a meaningful conversation.
    0:12:50 That’s a very good way of understanding how we communicate linguistically.
    0:12:56 So if the words spring to the visual, full visual complexity,
    0:12:59 and then that can then transform itself into action, that’s…
    0:13:01 And change in perception, because…
    0:13:01 Change in perception.
    0:13:02 Well, those are both relevant.
    0:13:09 And it’s an important thing to understand because the classic empiricists make the presumption.
    0:13:15 And it’s an erroneous presumption that perception is a value-free enterprise.
    0:13:19 And they assume that partly because they think of perception as something passive.
    0:13:21 You know, you just turn your head and you look at the world and there it is.
    0:13:24 It’s like perception is not passive.
    0:13:26 There is no perception without action.
    0:13:27 Ever.
    0:13:28 Ever.
    0:13:31 And that’s a weird thing to understand because even when you’re looking at something,
    0:13:33 like your eyes are moving back and forth.
    0:13:37 If they ever stop moving for a tenth of a second, you stop being able to see.
    0:13:40 So your eyes are jiggling back and forth just to keep them active.
    0:13:43 And then there’s involuntary movements of your eyes.
    0:13:44 And then there’s voluntary movements of your eyes.
    0:13:48 Like what you’re doing with your eyes is very much like what a blind person would do
    0:13:52 if they were feeling out the contours of an object.
    0:13:53 You’re sampling.
    0:13:58 And you’re only sampling a small element of the space that’s in front of you.
    0:14:03 And the element that you choose to sample is dependent on your aims and your goals.
    0:14:04 So it’s value-saturated.
    0:14:07 And so all your perceptions are action predicated.
    0:14:12 And partly what you’re doing when you’re communicating is therefore not only changing
    0:14:18 people’s actions, let’s say, but you’re also changing the strategy that they use to perceive.
    0:14:22 And so you change the way the world reveals itself for them.
    0:14:26 See, this is why it’s such a profound experience to read a particularly deep thinker.
    0:14:31 Because you could also think of your perceptions as the axioms of your thought.
    0:14:32 That’s a good way of thinking about it.
    0:14:35 A perception is like a, what would you say?
    0:14:40 It’s a thought that’s so set in concrete that you now see it rather than conceptualize it.
    0:14:44 A really profound thinker changes the way you perceive the world.
    0:14:48 That’s way deeper than just how you think about it or how you feel about it.
    0:14:53 What about not just profound thinkers, but thinkers that deliver a powerful idea?
    0:14:59 For example, utopian ideas of Marx or utopian ideas.
    0:15:02 You could say dystopian ideas of Hitler.
    0:15:08 Those ideas are powerful and they can saturate all your perception with values.
    0:15:15 And they focus you in a way where there’s only a certain set of actions.
    0:15:18 Yeah, right. Even a certain set of emotions as well.
    0:15:20 And it’s intense and it’s direct.
    0:15:26 And they’re so powerful that they completely alter the perception and the words bring to life.
    0:15:28 Yeah, it’s like a form of possession.
    0:15:32 So there’s two things you need to understand to make that clear.
    0:15:40 The first issue is that as we suggested or implied that perception is action predicated,
    0:15:43 but action is goal predicated, right? You act towards goal.
    0:15:49 And these propagandistic thinkers that you described,
    0:15:54 they attempt to unify all possible goals into a coherent singularity.
    0:15:58 And there’s advantages of that. There’s the advantage of simplicity, for example,
    0:16:03 which is a major advantage. And there’s also the advantage of motivation, right?
    0:16:09 So if you provide people with a simple manner of integrating all their actions,
    0:16:12 you decrease their anxiety and you increase their motivation.
    0:16:16 That can be a good thing if the unifying idea that you put forward is valid.
    0:16:22 But it’s the worst of all possible ideas if you put forward an invalid unifying idea.
    0:16:26 And then you might say, well, how do you distinguish between a valid unifying idea
    0:16:29 and an invalid unifying idea? Now, Nietzsche was very interested in that,
    0:16:35 and I don’t think he got that exactly right. But the postmodernists, for example,
    0:16:38 especially the ones, and this is most of them, with the neo-Marxists bent,
    0:16:42 their presumption is that the fundamental unifying idea is power,
    0:16:45 that everything’s about compulsion and force, essentially.
    0:16:50 And that that’s the only true unifying ethos of mankind, which is,
    0:16:56 I don’t know if there’s a worse idea than that. I mean, there are ideas that are
    0:17:00 potentially as dangerous. The nihilistic idea is pretty dangerous,
    0:17:04 although it’s more of a disintegrating notion than a unifying idea.
    0:17:09 The hedonistic idea that you live for pleasure, for example, that’s also very dangerous.
    0:17:13 But if you wanted to go for sheer pathology, the notion that,
    0:17:17 and this is Foucault in a nutshell, and Marx, for that matter, that power rules everything,
    0:17:24 not only is that a terrible unifying idea, but it fully justifies your own use of power.
    0:17:30 I don’t mean the power Nietzsche talks about. His will to power was more his insistence that
    0:17:39 a human being is an expression of will rather than a mechanism of self-protection and security.
    0:17:43 Like, he thought of the life force in human beings as something that strived
    0:17:47 not to protect itself, but to exhaust itself in being and becoming.
    0:17:52 It’s like an upward-oriented motivational drive even towards meaning.
    0:17:57 Now, he called it the will to power, and that had some unfortunate consequences,
    0:18:01 at least that’s how it’s translated. But he didn’t mean the power motivation
    0:18:05 that people like Foucault or Marx became so hung up on.
    0:18:08 So, it’s not power like you’re trying to destroy the other. It’s power,
    0:18:13 full flourishing of a human being, the creative force of a human being.
    0:18:18 Yeah. Well, you could imagine that, and you should, you could imagine that you could
    0:18:24 segregate competence and ability. Imagine that you and I were going to work on a project.
    0:18:31 We could organize our project in relationship to the ambition that we wanted to attain,
    0:18:35 and we can organize an agreement so that you were committed to the project voluntarily,
    0:18:38 and so that I was committed to the project voluntarily.
    0:18:43 So, that means that we would actually be united in our perceptions and our actions
    0:18:47 by the motivation of something approximating voluntary play.
    0:18:50 Now, you could also imagine another situation where I said,
    0:18:55 “Here’s our goal, and you better help me or I’m going to kill your family.”
    0:18:58 Well, the probability is that you would be
    0:19:06 quite motivated to undertake my bidding. And so then you might say,
    0:19:08 “Well, that’s how the world works. It’s power and compulsion.”
    0:19:15 But the truth of the matter is that you can force people to see things your way, let’s say,
    0:19:19 but it’s nowhere near as good a strategy, even practically,
    0:19:23 than the strategy that would be associated with something like voluntary.
    0:19:30 Voluntary joint agreement of pattern of movement strategy towards the goal.
    0:19:32 See, this is such an important thing to understand because it
    0:19:39 helps you start to understand the distinction between a unifying force that’s
    0:19:43 based on power and compulsion and one that is much more in keeping,
    0:19:47 I would say, with the ethos that governs western societies, free western societies.
    0:19:52 There’s really a qualitative difference, and it’s not some morally relativistic illusion.
    0:19:58 So, if we just look at the nuance of Nietzsche’s thought,
    0:20:04 the idea he first introduced and thus spoke Zarathustra of the Ubermench,
    0:20:09 that’s another one that’s very easy to misinterpret because it sounds awfully a lot
    0:20:15 like it’s about power. For example, in the 20th century, it was misrepresented and co-opted
    0:20:23 by Hitler to advocate for the extermination of the inferior non-Aryan races.
    0:20:28 And the dominion of the superior Aryans. Well, that was partly because Nietzsche’s
    0:20:34 work also was misrepresented by his sister after his death, but I also think that there’s
    0:20:40 a fundamental flaw in that Nietzschean conceptualization. So, Nietzsche, of course, famously announced the
    0:20:47 death of God, but he did that in a manner that was accompanied by dire warnings, like Nietzsche said,
    0:20:51 because people tend to think of that as a triumphalist statement, but Nietzsche actually said that
    0:20:59 he really said something like the unifying ethos under which we’ve organized ourselves
    0:21:06 psychologically and socially has now been fatally undermined by, well, by the rationalist proclivity,
    0:21:12 by the empiricist proclivity. There’s a variety of reasons. Mostly, it was conflict between the
    0:21:17 Enlightenment view, let’s say, and the classic religious view, and that there will be dire
    0:21:23 consequences for that. And Nietzsche knew, like Dostoevsky knew, that, see, there’s a proclivity
    0:21:29 for the human psyche and for human societies to move towards something approximating a unity,
    0:21:35 because the cost of disunity is high, fractionation of your goals, so that means you’re less
    0:21:38 motivated to move forward than you might be, because there’s many things competing for your
    0:21:44 attention, and also anxiety, because anxiety actually signals something like goal conflict.
    0:21:50 So there’s an inescapable proclivity of value systems to unite. Now, if you kill the thing
    0:21:56 that’s uniting them, that’s the death of God, they either fractionate and you get confusion,
    0:22:03 anxiety, and hopelessness, or you get social disunity, or and you get social disunity, or
    0:22:12 something else arises out of the abyss to constitute that unifying force. And Nietzsche
    0:22:17 said specifically that he believed that one of those manifestations would be that of
    0:22:24 communism, and that that would kill, he said this in Will to Power, that that would kill tens of
    0:22:31 millions of people in the upcoming 20th century. He could see that coming 50 years earlier,
    0:22:35 and Dostoevsky did the same thing in his book, The Demons. So this is the thing that the A
    0:22:41 religious have to contend with. It’s a real conundrum, because I mean, you could dispute the idea that
    0:22:47 our value systems tend towards a unity, and society does as well, because otherwise we’re
    0:22:53 disunified. But the cost of that disunity, as I said, is goal confusion, anxiety, and hopelessness.
    0:22:58 So it’s like a real cost. So you could dispense with the notion of unity altogether, and the
    0:23:02 postmodernists did that to some degree. But they pulled off a sleight of hand too, where they replaced
    0:23:09 it by power. Now Nietzsche did, he’s responsible for that to some degree, because Nietzsche said,
    0:23:15 with his conception of the overman, let’s say, is that human beings would have to create their own
    0:23:22 values. Because the value structure that had descended from on high was now shunted aside.
    0:23:28 But there’s a major problem with that, many major problems. The psychoanalysts were the first people
    0:23:33 who really figured this out after Nietzsche. Because imagine that we don’t have a
    0:23:39 relationship with the transcendental anymore that orients us. Okay, now we have to turn to
    0:23:47 ourselves. Okay, now if we were a unity, a clear unity within ourselves, let’s say, then we could
    0:23:54 turn to ourselves for that discovery. But if we’re a fractionated plurality internally, then when we
    0:23:58 turn to ourselves, we turn to a fractionated plurality. Well, that was Freud’s observation.
    0:24:02 It’s like, how can you make your own values when you’re not the master in your own house?
    0:24:10 Like you’re a war of competing motivations, or maybe you’re someone who’s dominated by the will to
    0:24:15 force and compulsion. And so why do you think that you can rely on yourself as the source of values?
    0:24:20 And why do you think you’re wise enough to consult with yourself to find out what those values are
    0:24:26 or what they should be, say, in the course of a single life? I mean, you know, it’s difficult to
    0:24:31 organize your own personal relationship, like one relationship in the course of your life, let alone
    0:24:37 to try to imagine that out of whole cloth you could construct an ethos that would be psychologically
    0:24:43 and socially stabilizing and last over the long run. It’s like, and of course, Marx, people like that,
    0:24:50 the people who reduce human motivation to a single axis, they had the intellectual hubris to
    0:24:54 imagine that they could do that. Postmodernists are a good example of that as well.
    0:25:04 Okay, but if we lay on the table, religion, communism, Nazism, they are all unifying ethos.
    0:25:11 They’re unifying ideas, but they’re also horribly dividing ideas. They both unify and divide. Religion
    0:25:22 has also divided people, because in the nuances of how the different peoples wrestle with God,
    0:25:26 they have come to different conclusions, and then they use those conclusions that perhaps the people
    0:25:31 in power use those conclusions to then start wars, to start hatred, to divide.
    0:25:38 Yeah, well, it’s one of the key sub themes in the Gospels is the sub theme of the Pharisees.
    0:25:45 And so the fundamental enemies of Christ in the Gospels are the Pharisees and the scribes
    0:25:49 and the lawyers. So what does that mean? The Pharisees are religious hypocrites.
    0:25:56 The scribes are academics who worship their own intellect. And the lawyers are the legal minds
    0:26:04 who use the law as a weapon. And so they’re the enemy of the Redeemer. That’s a subplot in the
    0:26:12 Gospels stories. And that actually all means something. The Phariseic problem is that the best
    0:26:18 of all possible ideas can be used by the worst actors in the worst possible way. And maybe this
    0:26:24 is an existential conundrum is that the most evil people use the best possible ideas to the worst
    0:26:30 possible ends. And then you have the conundrum of how do you separate out, let’s say, the genuine
    0:26:36 religious people from those who use the religious enterprise only for their own machinations.
    0:26:40 We’re seeing this happen online. Like one of the things that you’re seeing happening online,
    0:26:47 I’m sure you’ve noticed this, especially on the right wing psychopathic troll side of the
    0:26:53 distribution, is the weaponization of a certain form of Christian ideation. And that’s often
    0:26:59 marked at least online by the presence of, what would you say, cliches like Christ is king,
    0:27:03 which has a certain religious meaning, but a completely different meaning in this sphere of
    0:27:09 emerging right wing pathology, right wing, the political dimension isn’t the right dimension
    0:27:14 of analysis. But it’s definitely the case that the best possible ideas can be used for the worst
    0:27:20 possible purposes. And that also brings up another specter, which is like, well, is there any reliable
    0:27:27 and valid way of distinguishing truly beneficial unifying ideas from those that are pathological?
    0:27:32 And so that’s another thing that I tried to detail out in these lectures, but also in this
    0:27:37 new book is like, how do you tell the good actors from the bad actors at the most fundamental
    0:27:42 level of analysis? And good ideas from the bad ideas and your electron truth, they need to also
    0:27:51 struggle with. So how do you know, how do you know that communism is a bad idea versus it’s a good
    0:27:57 idea implemented by bad actors? Right, right. That’s a more subtle variant of the religious
    0:28:00 problem. And that’s what the, that’s what the communists say all the time, the modern day
    0:28:06 communists like real communism has never been tried. And you could say, I suppose with some
    0:28:13 justification, you could say that real Christianity has never been tried because we always fall short
    0:28:20 of the ideal mark. And so, I mean, my rejoinder to the communists is something like every single
    0:28:26 time it’s been implemented, wherever it’s been implemented, regardless of the culture and the
    0:28:31 background of the people who’ve implemented it, it’s had exactly the same catastrophic consequences.
    0:28:37 It’s like, I don’t know how many examples you need of that, but I believe we’ve generated
    0:28:44 sufficient examples so that that case is basically resolved. Now, the general rejoinder to that is
    0:28:50 it’s really something like, well, if I was in charge of the communist enterprise, the utopia
    0:28:56 would have come about, right? But that’s also a form of dangerous pretense. Part of the way, see,
    0:29:02 that problem is actually resolved to some degree in the notion of, in the developing notion of
    0:29:08 sacrifice that emerges in the Western canon over thousands and thousands of years. So one of the
    0:29:13 suggestions, for example, and this is something exemplified in the passion story, is that you
    0:29:19 can tell the valid holder of an idea because that holder will take the responsibility for the
    0:29:27 consequences of his idea onto himself. And that’s why, for example, you see one way of conceptualizing
    0:29:34 Christ in the gospel story is as the ultimate sacrifice to God. So you might ask, well, what’s
    0:29:40 the ultimate sacrifice? And there are variants of an answer to that. One form of ultimate sacrifice
    0:29:44 is the sacrifice of a child, the offering of a child, and the other is the offering of the self.
    0:29:50 And the story of Christ brings both of those together because he’s the Son of God that’s
    0:29:57 offered to God. And so it’s a archetypal resolution of that tension between ultimate sacrifice.
    0:30:05 Ultimate because once you’re a parent, most parents would rather sacrifice themselves
    0:30:09 than their children, right? So you have something that becomes of even more value than yourself.
    0:30:16 But the sacrifice of self is also a very high order level of sacrifice. Christ is an archetype
    0:30:22 of the pattern of being that’s predicated on the decision to take to offer everything up to the
    0:30:28 highest value, right, that pattern of self-sacrifice. And I think part of the reason that’s valid is
    0:30:35 because the person who undertakes to do that pays the price themselves. It’s not externalized.
    0:30:40 They’re not trying to change anyone else, except maybe by example. It’s your problem.
    0:30:45 And like Solzhenitsyn pointed that out too, when he was struggling with the idea of good
    0:30:50 versus evil. And you see this in more sophisticated literature, you know, in
    0:30:57 really unsophisticated literature or drama, there’s a good guy and the bad guy. And the good guy’s
    0:31:07 all good and the bad guy’s all bad. And in more sophisticated literature, the good and bad are
    0:31:14 abstracted. You can think of them as spirits. And then those spirits possess all the characters in
    0:31:19 the complex drama to a greater or lesser degree. And that battle is fought out both socially and
    0:31:27 internally. In the high order religious conceptualizations in the West, if they culminate, let’s
    0:31:32 say in the Christian story, the notion is that battle between good and evil is fundamentally
    0:31:41 played out as an internal drama. Yeah. So for a religious ethos, the battle between good and evil
    0:31:46 is fought within each individual human heart. Right. It’s your moral duty to constrain evil
    0:31:51 within yourself. And well, there’s more to it than that, because there’s also the insistence that
    0:32:00 if you do that, that makes you the most effective possible warrior, let’s say, against evil itself
    0:32:06 in the social world. That you start with the battle that occurs within you in the soul, let’s say.
    0:32:11 The soul becomes the battleground between the forces of good and evil. The idea that there’s
    0:32:17 an idea there too, which is if that battle is undertaken successfully, then it doesn’t have
    0:32:24 to be played out in the social world as actual conflict. You can rectify the conflict internally
    0:32:29 without it having to be played out as fate, as Jung put it. So what would you say to Nietzsche,
    0:32:36 who called Christianity the slave morality? His critique of religion in that way was slave
    0:32:43 morality versus master morality. And then you put an ubermansche into that. See, I would say that the
    0:32:50 woke phenomenon is the manifestation of the slave morality that Nietzsche criticized and that
    0:32:58 there are elements of Christianity that can be gerrymandered to support that
    0:33:08 motive perception and conception. But I think he was wrong in his essential criticism of
    0:33:14 Christianity in that regard. Now, it’s complicated with Nietzsche because Nietzsche never criticizes
    0:33:21 the Gospel stories directly. What he basically criticizes is something like the pathologies
    0:33:27 of institutionalized religion. And I would say most particularly of the, what would you say,
    0:33:36 of the sort of casually too nice Protestant form. That’s a thumbnail sketch and perhaps
    0:33:43 somewhat unfair. But given the alignment, let’s say, of the more mainstream Protestant movements
    0:33:49 with the woke mob, I don’t think it’s an absurd criticism. It’s something like the degeneration
    0:33:56 of Christianity into the notion that good and harmless are the same thing or good and empathic
    0:34:03 are the same thing, which is simply not true and far too simplified. And so, and I also think
    0:34:08 Nietzsche was extremely wrong in his presumption that human beings should take it to themselves to
    0:34:12 construct their own values. I think he made a colossal error in that presumption.
    0:34:16 And that is the idea of the Ubermench, that the great individual, the best of us,
    0:34:22 yeah, should create our own values. Well, and I think the reason that he was wrong about that is
    0:34:28 that so when God gives instructions to Adam and Eve in the Garden of Eden, he basically tells them
    0:34:33 that they can do anything they want in the walled garden. So that’s the kind of balance between
    0:34:37 order and nature that makes up the human environment. Human beings have the freedom,
    0:34:45 vouchsafe to them by God to do anything they want in the garden, except to mess with the most
    0:34:50 fundamental rule. So God says to people, you’re not to eat of the fruit of the tree of the knowledge
    0:34:55 of good and evil, which fundamentally means there is an implicit moral order and you’re
    0:35:01 to abide by it. Your freedom stops at the foundation. And you can think about that.
    0:35:05 I’d be interested even in your ideas about this as an engineer, let’s say, is that
    0:35:15 there is an ethos that’s implicit in being itself. And your ethos has to be a reflection of that.
    0:35:20 And that isn’t under your control. You can’t gerrymander the foundation because
    0:35:26 your foundational beliefs have to put you in harmony, like musical harmony, with the actual
    0:35:33 structure of reality as such. So I can give you an example of that. So our goal in so far as we’re
    0:35:39 conducting ourselves properly is to have the kind of interesting conversation that allows both of
    0:35:46 us to express ourselves in a manner that enables us to learn and grow, such that we can share that
    0:35:51 with everyone who’s listening. And if our aim is true and upward, then that’s what we’re doing.
    0:35:57 Well, that means that we’re going to have to match ourselves to a pattern of interaction.
    0:36:02 And that’s marked for us emotionally, like you and I both know this. If we’re doing this right,
    0:36:06 we’re going to be interested in the conversation. We’re not going to be looking at our watch.
    0:36:10 We’re not going to be thinking about what we’re aiming at. We’re just going to communicate. Now,
    0:36:14 the religious interpretation of that would be that we were doing something like
    0:36:21 making the redemptive logos manifest between us in dialogue. And that’s something that can be shared.
    0:36:26 To do that, we have to align with that pattern. I can’t decide that there’s some arbitrary way
    0:36:31 that I’m going to play you. I mean, I could do that if I was a psychopathic manipulator. But
    0:36:39 to do that optimally, I’m not going to impose a certain mode of a certain a priori aim, let’s
    0:36:50 say, on our communication and manipulate you into that. So the constraints on my ethos reflect the
    0:36:57 actual structure of the world. And this is the communist presumptions. We’re going to burn
    0:37:02 everything down and we’re going to start from scratch. We’ve got these axiomatic presumptions,
    0:37:06 and we’re going to put them into place. And we’re going to socialize people so they now
    0:37:12 think and live like communists from day one. And human beings are infinitely malleable. And we
    0:37:16 can use a rational set of presuppositions to decide what sort of beings they should be. The
    0:37:22 transhumanists are doing this too. It’s like, no, there’s a pattern of being that you have to
    0:37:26 fall into alignment with. And I think it’s the pattern of being, by the way, that
    0:37:32 if you fall into alignment with, it gives you hope, it protects you from anxiety,
    0:37:37 and it gives you a sense of harmony with your surroundings and with other people. And none
    0:37:42 of that’s arbitrary. But don’t you think we both arrived to this conversation with rigid axioms
    0:37:48 that we have, maybe we’re blind to them, but in the same way that the Marxists came with very
    0:37:53 rigid axioms about the way the world is and the way it should be, aren’t we calling to that?
    0:37:58 Well, we definitely come to the conversation with a hierarchy of foundation laxioms,
    0:38:03 right? And I would say the more sophisticated you are as a thinker, the deeper the level at
    0:38:08 which you’re willing to play. So imagine first that you have presumptions of different depth,
    0:38:15 there’s more predicated on the more fundamental axioms, and then that there’s a space of play
    0:38:21 around those. And that space of play is going to depend on the sophistication of the player,
    0:38:28 obviously. But those who are capable of engaging in deeper conversations talk about more fundamental
    0:38:34 things with more play. Now, we have to come to the conversation with a certain degree of structure,
    0:38:39 because we wouldn’t be able to understand each other or communicate if a lot of things weren’t
    0:38:46 already assumed or taken for granted. How rigid is the hierarchy of axioms that religion provides?
    0:38:51 This is what I’m trying to understand. The rigidity of that- It’s as rigid as play.
    0:38:55 Well, play is not rigid at all. No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, it’s got a rigidity.
    0:39:00 There’s some constraints. It took me about 40 years to figure out the answer to that question. So it
    0:39:07 wasn’t, I’m serious about that. So it wasn’t, it wasn’t a random answer. So play is very rigid in
    0:39:12 some ways. So like, if you and I go out to play basketball or chess, like, there are rules and
    0:39:16 you can’t break the rules because then you’re no longer in the game. But then there’s a dynamism
    0:39:21 within those rules that’s, well, with chess, it’s virtually infinite. I mean, I think what is it?
    0:39:25 There’s more patterns of potential games on a chessboard than there are subatomic
    0:39:31 particles in the observable universe. Like, it’s an insane space. So it’s not like there’s not
    0:39:37 freedom within it. But by the, it’s, it’s a weird paradox in a way, isn’t it? Because music is like
    0:39:43 this too, is that there are definitely rules. And so, and there are things, you can’t throw a basketball
    0:39:49 into a chessboard and still be playing chess. But weirdly enough, if you adhere to the rules,
    0:39:55 the realm of freedom increases rather than decreasing. And I think you can make the same
    0:39:59 case for a playful conversation. It’s like, we’re playing by certain rules and a lot of them are
    0:40:05 implicit. But that doesn’t mean that it might mean the reverse of constraint, you know, because
    0:40:11 in the seminar, for example, that I was referring to, the Exodus seminar, and then the Gospel
    0:40:16 seminar, everybody in the seminar, there’s about eight of us, played fair. Nobody used power.
    0:40:21 Nobody tried to prove they were right. They put forward their points. But they were like, here’s
    0:40:28 a way of looking at that. Assess it. And they were also doing it genuinely. It’s like, this is what
    0:40:33 I’ve concluded about, say, this story. And I’m going to make a case for it. But I’d like to hear
    0:40:38 what you have to say, because maybe you can change it, you can extend it, you can find a flaw in it.
    0:40:43 And that’s, well, that’s a conversation that has flow and that’s engaging and that other people
    0:40:48 will listen to as well. And that’s also, see, I think that one of the things that we can conclude
    0:40:54 now, and we can do this even from a neuroscientific basis, is that that sense of engaged meaning
    0:40:59 is a marker, not only for the emergence of harmony between you and your environment,
    0:41:03 but for the emergence of that harmony in a way that is developmentally
    0:41:11 rich, that moves you upward towards, what would you say? Well, I think towards a more effective
    0:41:15 and tropic state. That’s actually the technical answer to that. But it makes you more than you
    0:41:20 are. And there’s a directionality in that. Well, I would like to sort of, the reason I like talking
    0:41:27 about communism, because it has clearly been shown as a set of ideas to be destructive
    0:41:35 to humanity. But I would like to understand from an engineering perspective, the characteristics
    0:41:42 of communism versus religion, where you can identify religious thought is going to lead
    0:41:49 to a better human being, a better society. And communist Marxist thought is not because there’s
    0:41:53 ambiguity, there’s room for play in communism and Marxism, because they kind of had a utopian
    0:41:59 sense of where everybody’s headed, don’t know how it’s going to happen. Maybe revolution is required,
    0:42:05 but after the revolution is done, we’ll figure it out. And there’s an underlying assumption that
    0:42:10 maybe human beings are good, and they’ll figure it out once you remove the oppressor. I mean,
    0:42:17 all these ideas kind of, until you put them into practice, they can be quite convincing
    0:42:22 if you’re in the 19th century. If I was reading, which is kind of fascinating, the 19th century
    0:42:30 produced such powerful ideas, Marx and Nietzsche. Oh, fascism too, for that matter. Fascism. So,
    0:42:35 you know, if I was sitting there, like, especially if I’m feeling shitty about myself,
    0:42:41 a lot of these ideas are pretty powerful as a way to plug the nihilist hole.
    0:42:45 Yeah, right. Absolutely. Well, and some of them may actually have an appropriate scope of
    0:42:51 application. It could be that some of the foundational axioms of communism, socialism/
    0:42:57 communism are actually functional in a sufficiently small social group. Maybe a tribal group even.
    0:43:05 Like, I also have a, I’m not sure this is correct, but I have a suspicion that the pervasive attractiveness
    0:43:11 of some of the radical left ideas that we’re talking about are pervasive precisely because
    0:43:16 they are functional within, say, families, but also within the small tribal groups that people
    0:43:23 might have originally evolved into and that once we become civilized, so we produce societies that
    0:43:28 are united even among people who don’t know one another, different principles have to apply as
    0:43:35 a consequence of scale. So, that’s partly an engineering response, but I think there’s a
    0:43:42 deeper way of going after the communist problem. So, I think part of the problem, fundamental
    0:43:48 problem with the communist axioms is the notion that the world of complex social interactions
    0:43:54 can be simplified sufficiently so that centralized planning authorities can deal with it. And I think
    0:44:00 the best way to think about the free exchange rejoinder to that presumption is, no, the sum total
    0:44:06 of human interactions in a large civilization are so immense that you need a distributed network of
    0:44:11 cognition in order to compute the proper way forward. And so, what you do is you give each actor
    0:44:17 their domain of individual choice so that they can maximize their own movement forward and you
    0:44:22 allow the aggregate direction to emerge from that rather than trying to impose it from the top down,
    0:44:28 which I think is computationally impossible. So, that might be one engineering reason why
    0:44:32 the communist solution doesn’t work. Like I read in Solzhenitsyn, for example, that the
    0:44:40 central Soviet authorities often had to make 200 pricing decisions a day. Now, if you’ve ever
    0:44:47 started a business or created a product and had to wrestle with the problem of pricing,
    0:44:53 you’d become aware of just how intractable that is. Like, how do you calculate worth? Well,
    0:44:58 there’s the central existential problem of life. How do you calculate worth? It’s not something
    0:45:05 like a central authority can sit down and just manage. And there are a lot of inputs that go
    0:45:10 into a pricing decision. And the free market answer to that is something like, well, if you get the
    0:45:16 price right, people will buy it and you’ll survive. This is a fascinating way to describe how ideas
    0:45:22 fail. So, communism perhaps fails because just like with people who believe the earth is flat,
    0:45:28 when you look outside, it looks flat. But you can’t see beyond the horizon, I guess.
    0:45:34 In the same way with communism, communism seems like a great idea in my family and my
    0:45:40 people I love, but it doesn’t scale. And it doesn’t iterate. And that’s a form of scaling too.
    0:45:45 Right. Well, I mean, whatever ways it breaks down, it doesn’t scale. And you’re saying religious
    0:45:50 thought is the thing that might scale. I would say religious thought is the record of those
    0:45:56 ideas that have in fact scaled. Right. And iterated. Does religious thought iterate?
    0:46:02 Does that mean there’s a fundamental conservative aspect to religious thought?
    0:46:07 Tradition. Yeah. This is why, like Mircea Eliata, for example, who I referred to earlier,
    0:46:13 one of the things Eliata did, and very effectively, and people like Joseph Campbell, who in some ways
    0:46:20 were popularizers of Eliata’s ideas and Carl Jung’s, what they really did was devote themselves
    0:46:26 to an analysis of those ideas that scaled and iterated across the largest possible spans of time.
    0:46:32 And so Eliata and Jung, Eric Neumann, they were looking, and Campbell, they were looking at patterns
    0:46:38 of narrative that were common across religious traditions that had spanned millennia and found
    0:46:42 many patterns. The hero’s myth, for example, is one of those patterns. And it’s, I think,
    0:46:46 the evidence that it has its reflection in human neurophysiology and neuropsychology is
    0:46:53 incontrovertible. And so these foundational narratives, they last. They’re common across
    0:46:59 multiple religious traditions. They unite. They work psychologically, but they also reflect the
    0:47:04 underlying neurophysiological architecture. So I can give you an example of that. So the hero myth
    0:47:10 is really a quest myth. And a quest myth is really a story of exploration and expansion of adaptation.
    0:47:18 Right? So Bilbo, the Hobbit, he’s kind of an ordinary every man. He lives in a very constrained
    0:47:23 and orderly and secure world. And then the quest call comes and he goes out and he expands his
    0:47:29 personality and develops his wisdom. And that’s reflected in human neuropsychological architecture
    0:47:35 at a very low level, way below cognition. So one of the most fundamental elements of the mammalian
    0:47:41 brain, and even in lower animal forms, is the hypothalamus. It’s sort of the root of primary
    0:47:48 motivation. So it governs lust, and it regulates your breathing, and it regulates your hunger,
    0:47:52 and it regulates your thirst, and it regulates your temperature, like really low level biological
    0:47:58 necessities are regulated by the hypothalamus. When you get hungry, it’s the hypothalamus. When
    0:48:04 you’re activated in a defensively aggressive manner, that’s the hypothalamus. Half the hypothalamus
    0:48:10 is the origin of the dopaminergic tracts, and they subsume exploration. And so you could think of
    0:48:18 the human motivational reality as a domain that’s governed by axiomatic motivational states, love,
    0:48:24 sex, defensive aggression, hunger, and another domain that’s governed by exploration. And the rule
    0:48:33 would be something like, when your basic motivational states are sated, explore. Well, and that’s not
    0:48:39 cognitive. Like I said, this is deep, deep brain architecture. It’s extraordinarily ancient. And
    0:48:45 the exploration story is something like, go out into the unknown and take the risks because the
    0:48:52 information that you discover and the skills you develop will be worthwhile, even in sating the
    0:48:58 basic motivational drives. And then you want to learn to do that in a iterative manner. So it
    0:49:02 sustains across time, and you want to do it in a way that unites you with other people. And there’s
    0:49:08 a pattern to that. And I do think that’s the pattern that we strive to encapsulate in our
    0:49:11 deep religious narratives. And I think that in many ways, we’ve done that successfully.
    0:49:19 What is the believe in God? How does that fit in? What does it mean to believe in God?
    0:49:25 Okay, so in one of the stories that I cover in We Who Wrestle With God, which I only recently
    0:49:31 begun to take apart, say, in the last two years, is the story of Abraham. And it’s a very cool story.
    0:49:36 And it’s also related, by the way, to your question about what makes communism wrong. And
    0:49:43 Dostoevsky knew this, not precisely the Abraham story, but the same reason. In notes from underground,
    0:49:49 Dostoevsky made a very telling observation. So he speaks in the voice of a cynical nihilistic and
    0:49:55 bitter bureaucrat who’s been a failure, who’s talking cynically about the nature of human beings,
    0:50:01 but also very accurately. And one of the things he points out with regards to modern utopianism
    0:50:05 is that human beings are very strange creatures, and that if you gave them what the socialist
    0:50:12 utopians want to give them, so let’s say all your needs are taken care of, all your material needs
    0:50:17 are taken care of, and even indefinitely. Dostoevsky’s claim was, you don’t understand human beings
    0:50:22 very well, because if you put them in an environment that was that comfortable, they would purposefully
    0:50:28 go insane just to break it into bits, just so something interesting would happen. Right. And
    0:50:34 he says it’s the human proclivity to curse and complain. And he says this in quite a cynic
    0:50:39 and caustic manner, but he’s pointing to something deep, which is that we’re not built for comfort
    0:50:45 and security. We’re not infants. We’re not after satiation. So then you might ask, well, what the
    0:50:52 hell are we after then? That’s what the Abraham story addresses. And Abraham is the first true
    0:50:57 individual in the biblical narrative. So you can think about his story as the archetypal story
    0:51:02 of the developing individual. So you said, well, what’s God? Well, in the Abraham story, God has
    0:51:08 characterized a lot of different ways in the classic religious texts. Like the Bible is actually a
    0:51:14 compilation of different characterizations of the divine with the insistence that they reflect
    0:51:21 an underlying unity. In the story of Abraham, the divine is the call to adventure. So Abraham
    0:51:28 has the socialist utopia at hand. He’s from a wealthy family, and he has everything he needs.
    0:51:34 And he actually doesn’t do anything until he’s in his 70s. Now, hypothetically, people in those
    0:51:38 times lived much longer. But a voice comes to Abraham, and it tells him something very specific.
    0:51:46 It says, leave your zone of comfort, leave your parents, leave your tent, leave your community,
    0:51:54 leave your tribe, leave your land, go out into the world. And Abraham thinks, well, why have I got
    0:51:59 naked slave girls peeling grapes and feeding them to me? It’s like, what do I
    0:52:03 need an adventure for? And God tells them, and this is the covenant, by the way,
    0:52:08 part of the covenant that the God of the Israelites makes with his people. It’s very,
    0:52:13 very specific. And it’s very brilliant. He says, if you follow the voice of adventure,
    0:52:20 you’ll become a blessing to yourself. So that’s a good deal because people generally live at odds
    0:52:27 with themselves. And he says, God says, that’s not all. You’ll become a blessing to yourself in a way
    0:52:34 that furthers your reputation among people and validly, so that you’ll accomplish things that
    0:52:39 were real, and people will know it, and you’ll be held high in their esteem, and that will be valid.
    0:52:46 So that’s a pretty good deal because social people would like to be regarded as of utility
    0:52:51 and worth by others, and so that’s a good deal. And God says, that’s not all.
    0:52:57 You’ll establish something of lasting permanent and deep value. That’s why Abraham becomes the
    0:53:04 father of nations. And finally, he caps it off, and he says, there’s a better element even to it.
    0:53:09 There’s a capstone. You’ll do all three of those things in a way that’s maximally beneficial to
    0:53:15 everyone else. And so the divinity in the Abrahamic story is making a claim. He says, first of all,
    0:53:21 there’s a drive that you should attend to, so the spirit of adventure that calls you out of your
    0:53:27 zone of comfort. Now, if you attend to that, and you make the sacrifices necessary to follow that path,
    0:53:33 then the following benefits will accrue to you. Your life will be a blessing. Everyone will hold
    0:53:37 you in high esteem. You’ll establish something of permanent value, and you’ll do it in a way that’s
    0:53:43 maximally beneficial to everyone else. And so think about what this means biologically or from an
    0:53:48 engineering standpoint. It means that the instinct to develop that characterizes outward moving
    0:53:55 children, let’s say, or adults is the same instinct that allows for psychological stability, that
    0:54:02 allows for movement upward in a social hierarchy, that establishes something iterable, and that does
    0:54:08 that in a manner that allows everyone else to partake in the same process. Well, that’s a good
    0:54:14 deal. And I can’t see how it cannot be true because the alternative hypothesis would be that the spirit
    0:54:20 that moves you beyond yourself to develop, the spirit of a curious child, let’s say, what is that
    0:54:26 antithetical to your own esteem? Is that antithetical to other people’s best interest? Is it not the
    0:54:32 thing that increases the probability that you’ll do something permanent? That’s a stupid theory.
    0:54:39 So God is a call to adventure with some constraints. A call to true adventure.
    0:54:44 To true adventure. Yeah, and then that’s a good observation because that begs the question,
    0:54:51 what constitutes the most true adventure? Well, that’s not fully fleshed out until,
    0:54:55 at least from the Christian perspective, let’s say. That’s not fully fleshed out until the
    0:55:01 Gospels, because the passion of Christ is the, you could say, this is the perfectly reasonable
    0:55:07 way of looking at it. The passion of Christ is the truest adventure of Abraham. That’s a terrible
    0:55:14 thing, because the passion story is a catastrophic tragedy, although it obviously has its redemptive
    0:55:21 elements. But one of the things that’s implied there is that there’s no distinction between the
    0:55:27 true adventure of life and taking on the pathway of maximal responsibility and burden. And I can’t
    0:55:32 see how that cannot be true, because the counter hypothesis is, well, Lex, the best thing for
    0:55:40 you to do in your life is to shrink from all challenge and hide, to remain infantile, to remain
    0:55:45 secure, not to ever push yourself beyond your limits, not to take any risks. Well, no one thinks
    0:55:53 that’s true. So basically the maximally worthwhile adventure could possibly be highly correlated
    0:56:00 with the hardest possible available adventure? The hardest possible available adventure voluntarily
    0:56:06 undertaken. Does it have to be voluntary? Absolutely. How do you define voluntarily? Well,
    0:56:14 here’s an example of that. That’s a good question, too. When Christ is the night before the crucifixion,
    0:56:21 which in principle he knows is coming, he asks God to relieve him of his burden. And understandably
    0:56:25 so. I mean, that’s the scene famously in which he’s sweating, literally sweating blood,
    0:56:32 because he knows what’s coming. And the Romans designed crucifixion to be the most agonizing
    0:56:38 and humiliating possible, agonizing, humiliating and disgusting possible death. Right? So there
    0:56:42 was every reason to be apprehensive about that. And you might say, well, could you undertake that
    0:56:48 voluntarily as an adventure? And the answer to that is something like, well, what’s your relationship
    0:56:53 with death? Like, that’s a problem you have to solve. And you could fight it and you could be
    0:56:58 bitter about it. And there’s reasons for that, especially if it’s painful and degrading. But
    0:57:06 the alternative is something like, well, that’s what’s fleshed out in religious imagery always.
    0:57:13 It’s very difficult to cast into words. It’s like, no, you, you welcome, you welcome the struggle.
    0:57:19 That’s why I called the book, We Who Wrestle With God. You welcome the struggle. And Lex, I don’t
    0:57:26 see how you can come to terms with life without construing it something like, construing it as
    0:57:31 something like, bring it on, welcome the struggle. And I can’t see that there’s a limit to that.
    0:57:35 It’s like, well, I welcome the struggle until it gets difficult. Well,
    0:57:42 so there’s not a bell curve, like the struggle of moderation, basically have to welcome
    0:57:48 whatever as hard as it gets. And the crucifixion in that way is a symbol of that. Well, and it,
    0:57:54 well, it’s, it’s worse than that in some ways, because the crucifixion exemplifies
    0:57:59 the worst possible death. But that isn’t the only element of the struggle, because
    0:58:06 mythologically, classically, after Christ’s death, he harrows hell. And what that means,
    0:58:11 as far as I can tell psychologically, is that you’re not only required, let’s say,
    0:58:16 to take on the full existential burden of life and to welcome it, regardless of what it is,
    0:58:22 and to maintain your upward aim, despite all temptations to the contrary. But you also have
    0:58:28 to confront the root of malevolence itself. So it’s not merely tragedy. And I think the
    0:58:32 malevolence is actually worse. And the reason I think that is because I know the literature on
    0:58:39 post-traumatic stress disorder. And most people who encounter, let’s say, a challenge that’s so brutal,
    0:58:45 that it fragments them, it isn’t mere suffering that does that to people. It’s an encounter with
    0:58:50 malevolence that does that to people. They’re owned sometimes, often, by the way, soldier will go
    0:58:56 out into a battlefield and find out that there’s a part of him that really enjoys the mayhem.
    0:59:02 And that conceptualization doesn’t fit in well with everything he thinks he knows about himself
    0:59:08 and humanity. And after that contact with that dark part of himself, he never recovers.
    0:59:14 That happens to people. And it happens to people who encounter bad actors in the world, too. If
    0:59:20 you’re a naive person and the right narcissistic psychopath comes your way, you are in, like,
    0:59:24 mortal trouble because you might die. But that’s not where the trouble ends.
    0:59:31 If there’s a young man in their 20s listening to this, how do they escape the pull of
    0:59:37 Dostoevsky’s notes from underground? With the eyes open to the world, how do they select the
    0:59:44 adventure? So, there’s other characterizations of the divine, say, in the Old Testament story. So,
    0:59:48 one pattern of characterization that I think is really relevant to that question is
    0:59:56 the conception of God as calling and conscience. Okay, so what does it mean? It’s a description
    1:00:02 of the manner in which your destiny announces itself to you. And I’m using that terminology,
    1:00:08 and it’s distinguishable, say, from Nietzsche’s notion that you create your own values. It’s like,
    1:00:13 part of the way you can tell that that’s wrong is that you can’t voluntarily
    1:00:18 gerrymander your own interests, right? Like, you find some things interesting,
    1:00:24 and that seems natural and autonomous, and other things you don’t find interesting and you can’t
    1:00:31 really force yourself to be interested in them. Now, so what is the domain of interest that makes
    1:00:36 itself manifest to you? Well, it’s like an autonomous spirit. It’s like certain things in
    1:00:41 your field of perception are illuminated to you. Think, oh, that’s interesting, that’s compelling,
    1:00:48 that’s gripping. Rudolf Otto, who studied the phenomenology of religious experience, described
    1:00:55 that as numinous. Thing grips you because you’re compelled by it, and maybe it’s also somewhat
    1:01:00 anxiety-provoking. It’s the same reaction that, like, a cat has to a dog when the cat’s hair
    1:01:05 stands on end. That’s an awe response. And so there’s going to be things in your phenomenological field
    1:01:12 that pull you forward, compel you. That’s like the voice of positive emotion and enthusiasm.
    1:01:18 Things draw you into the world. It might be love. It might be aesthetic interest. It might be friendship.
    1:01:27 It might be social status. It might be duty and industriousness. Like, there’s various domains
    1:01:34 of interest that shine for people. That’s sort of on the positive side. God is calling, right?
    1:01:40 That would be akin to the spirit of adventure for Abraham. But there’s also God as conscience,
    1:01:49 and this is a useful thing to know, too. Certain things bother you. They take root within you,
    1:01:54 and they turn your thoughts towards certain issues. Like, there are things you’re interested in that
    1:02:00 you’ve pursued your whole life. There are things I’m interested in that I felt as a moral compulsion.
    1:02:04 And so you could think, and I think the way you can think about it technically is that
    1:02:12 something pulls you forward so that you move ahead and you develop. And then another voice,
    1:02:18 this voice of negative emotion says, while you’re moving forward, stay on this narrow pathway,
    1:02:24 right? And it’ll mark deviations, and it marks deviations with shame and guilt and anxiety,
    1:02:30 regret. And that actually has a voice. Don’t do that. Well, why not? While you’re wandering off
    1:02:36 the straight narrow path. So the divine marks the pathway forward and reveals it, but then puts up
    1:02:42 the constraints of conscience. And the divine in the Old Testament is portrayed not least as the
    1:02:47 dynamic between calling and conscience. What do you do with the negative emotions?
    1:02:51 You didn’t mention envy. There’s some really dark ones that can really pull you into some
    1:02:57 bad places. Envy, fear. Yeah, envy is a really bad one. Pride and envy are among the worst.
    1:03:03 Those are the sins of Cain, by the way, in the story of Cain and Abel. Because Cain fails
    1:03:08 because his sacrifices are insufficient. He doesn’t offer his best. And so he’s rejected,
    1:03:14 and that makes him bitter and unhappy. And he goes to complain to God and God says to him some
    1:03:19 two things. He said, if God tells him if your sacrifices were appropriate, you’d be accepted.
    1:03:26 It’s a brutal thing. It’s a brutal rejoinder. And he also says, you can’t blame your misery
    1:03:33 on your failure. You could learn from your failure. When you fail, you invited in the spirit of envy
    1:03:38 and resentment, and you allowed it to possess you. And that’s why you’re miserable. And so Cain is
    1:03:43 embittered by that response, and that’s when he kills Abel. And so you might say, well, how do you
    1:03:49 fortify yourself against that pathway of resentment? And part of classic religious practice
    1:03:57 is aimed to do that precisely. What’s the antithesis of envy? Gratitude. That’s something you can
    1:04:04 practice. Right? I mean, literally practice. I think envy is one of the biggest enemies for a
    1:04:12 young person. Because basically, you’re starting from nowhere. Life is hard. You’ve achieved nothing.
    1:04:19 And you’re striving, and you’re failing constantly. And you see other people whom you think aren’t
    1:04:23 having the same problem. Yeah, and they succeeded. And they could be your neighbor. They could be
    1:04:29 succeeding by a little bit or somebody on the internet succeeding by a lot. And I think that
    1:04:34 can really pull a person down. That kind of envy can really destroy a person. Yeah, definitely.
    1:04:39 Well, the gratitude element would be something like, well, yeah, you don’t know anything,
    1:04:47 and you’re at the bottom, but you’re not 80. You know, one of the best predictors of wealth
    1:04:53 in the United States is age. So then you might say, well, who’s got it better?
    1:05:00 The old rich guy or the young poor guy? And I would say most old rich guys would trade their
    1:05:06 wealth for youth. So it’s not exactly clear at all at any stage, who’s got the upper hand? Who’s
    1:05:10 got the advantage? And you know, you could say, well, I’ve got all these burdens in front of me
    1:05:17 because I’m young and oh my God, or you could say every dragon has its treasure. And then that’s
    1:05:23 actually a pattern of perception. You know, I’m not saying that people don’t have their challenges,
    1:05:30 they certainly do. But discriminating between a challenge and an opportunity is very, very
    1:05:35 difficult. And learning to see a challenge as an opportunity, that’s the beginning of wisdom.
    1:05:42 It’s interesting, I don’t know how it works, maybe you can elucidate, but when you have envy
    1:05:49 towards somebody, if you just celebrate them, so gratitude, but actually, as opposed to sort of
    1:05:54 ignoring and being grateful for the things you have, like literally celebrate that person,
    1:06:00 it transforms, it like, it lights the way. I don’t know why that is exactly.
    1:06:05 The only reason you’re envious is because you see someone who has something that you
    1:06:12 want. Okay, so let’s think about it. Well, first of all, the fact that they have it means that
    1:06:19 in principle, you could get it, at least someone has. So that’s a pretty good deal. And then you
    1:06:24 might say, well, the fact that I’m envious of that person means that I actually want something.
    1:06:28 And then you might think, well, what am I envious of? I’m envious of their attractiveness to women.
    1:06:34 It’s like, okay, well, now you know something about yourself. You know that one true motivation
    1:06:39 that’s making itself manifest to you is that you wish that you would be the sort of person who
    1:06:44 is attractive to women. Now, of course, that’s an extremely common longing among men, period,
    1:06:51 but particularly among young men. It’s like, well, what makes you so sure you couldn’t have that?
    1:06:56 Well, how about, here’s an answer. You don’t have enough faith in yourself. And maybe you don’t have
    1:07:01 enough faith in, well, I would say, the divine. You don’t believe that the world is characterized
    1:07:09 by enough potentiality so that even miserable you has a crack at the brass ring. And like,
    1:07:13 I talked about this actually practically in one of my previous books, because I wrote a chapter
    1:07:19 called “Compare Yourself to Who You Are and Not to Someone Else at the Present Time.” Well, why?
    1:07:26 Well, your best benchmark for tomorrow is you today. And you might not be able to have what
    1:07:32 someone else has on the particular axis you’re comparing yourself with them on. But you could
    1:07:37 make an incremental improvement over your current state, regardless of the direction that you’re
    1:07:45 aiming. And it is the case. And this is a law. The return on incremental improvement is exponential
    1:07:51 or geometric and not linear. So even if you start, this is why the hero is always born in a lowly
    1:07:57 place, mythologically. Christ, who redeems the world, is born in a manger with the animals to
    1:08:04 poverty-stricken parents in the middle of a God-versaikened desert in a nondescript time and place
    1:08:13 isolated. Well, why? Well, because everyone young struggles with their insufficiency. But that doesn’t
    1:08:19 mean that great things can’t make themselves manifest. And part of the insistence in the
    1:08:25 biblical text, for example, is that it’s incumbent on you to have the courage to have faith in yourself
    1:08:33 and in the spirit of reality, the essence of reality, regardless of how you construe the
    1:08:39 evidence at hand. Right. Look at me. I’m so useless. I don’t know anything. I don’t have anything.
    1:08:45 It’s hopeless. I don’t have it within me. The world couldn’t offer me that possibility. Well,
    1:08:50 what the hell do you know about that? This is what Job figures out in the midst of his suffering in
    1:08:57 the book of Job, because Job is tortured terribly by God who makes a bet with Satan himself to bring
    1:09:04 him down. And Job’s decision in the face of his intense suffering is, “I’m not going to lose faith
    1:09:09 in my essential goodness, and I’m not going to lose faith in the essential goodness of being itself,
    1:09:16 regardless of how terrible the face it’s showing to me at the moment happens to be.” And I think,
    1:09:24 okay, what do you make of that claim? Well, let’s look at it practically. You’re being tortured by
    1:09:30 the arbitrariness of life. That’s horrible. Now you lose faith in yourself and you become cynical
    1:09:38 about being. So are you infinitely worse off instantly? And then you might say, well, yeah,
    1:09:44 but it’s really asking a lot of people that they maintain faith even in their darkest hours. It’s
    1:09:50 like, yeah, that might be asking everything from people. But then you also might ask, this is a
    1:09:58 very strange question, is if you were brought into being by something that was essentially good,
    1:10:05 wouldn’t that thing that brought you into being demand that you make the best in yourself manifest?
    1:10:13 And wouldn’t it be precisely when you most need that, that you’d be desperate enough to
    1:10:19 risk what it would take to let it emerge? So you kind of make it seem that reason could
    1:10:27 be the thing that takes you out of a place of darkness. So finding that calling through reason,
    1:10:34 I think it’s also possible when reason fails you to just take the leap, navigate not by reason,
    1:10:40 but by finding the thing that scares you the risk to take the risk, take the leap,
    1:10:46 and then figure it out while you’re in the air. Yeah, well, I think that’s always part of a heroic
    1:10:52 adventure. Is that ability to cut the Gordian knot? But you could also ask from an engineering
    1:10:57 perspective, okay, what are the axioms that make a decision like that possible? And the answer would
    1:11:02 be something like, I’m going to make the presumption that if I move forward in good faith, whatever
    1:11:06 happens to me will be the best thing that could possibly happen, no matter what it is.
    1:11:12 And I think that’s actually how you make an alliance with truth. And I also think that
    1:11:16 truth is an adventure. And the way you make an alliance with truth is by assuming
    1:11:25 that whatever happens to you, if you’re living in truth, is the best thing that could happen,
    1:11:30 even if you can’t see that at any given moment. Because otherwise, you’d say that
    1:11:34 truth would be just the handmaiden of advantage. Well, I’m going to say something
    1:11:39 truthful, and I pay a price. Well, that means I shouldn’t have said it. Well, that
    1:11:45 possibly, but that’s not the only possible standard of evaluation. Because what you’re
    1:11:50 doing is you’re making the outcome your deity, right? Well, I just reverse that and say, no, no,
    1:11:58 truth is the deity. The outcome is variable, but that doesn’t eradicate the initial axiom.
    1:12:08 Where’s the constant, right? What’s the constant? He may be, when you said Abraham was being fed
    1:12:13 by naked ladies. That’s an interpolation, obviously, but we’ve been out of keeping for the times.
    1:12:20 But it does make me think, sort of in stark contrast in each his own life, that perhaps
    1:12:28 getting laid early on in life is a useful starter. Step one, get laid and then go for adventure.
    1:12:33 There’s some basic, like a mis-association of- So, I think it’s perfectly reasonable to bring
    1:12:38 the sexual element in because it’s a powerful motivating force and it has to be integrated.
    1:12:44 I don’t think it’s adventure. It’s romantic adventure. Right, right. But the lack of basic
    1:12:52 interaction, sexual interaction, I feel like is the engine that drives towards that cynicism
    1:12:59 of the incel. It is, but there’s very little doubt about that. We know perfectly well anthropologically
    1:13:06 that the most unstable social situation you can generate is young men with no access to women.
    1:13:13 That’s not good. And they’ll do anything, anything to reverse that situation. So,
    1:13:20 that’s very dangerous. But then I would also say there’s every suggestion that the pathway
    1:13:26 of adventure itself is the best pathway to romantic attractiveness. And we know this
    1:13:31 in some ways in a very blunt manner. The Google boys, the engineers who are too, what would you say,
    1:13:37 naively oriented towards empirical truth to note when they’re being politically incorrect,
    1:13:41 they wrote a great book called A Billion Wicked Thoughts, which I really like. It’s a very good
    1:13:48 book and it’s engineers as psychologists. And so they’ll say all sorts of things that no one
    1:13:52 with any sense would ever say that happened to be true. And they studied the pattern of
    1:13:58 pornographic fantasy and women like pornographic stories, not images. So women’s use of pornographic
    1:14:05 pornography is literary. Who are the main protagonists in female pornographic fantasy?
    1:14:13 Pirates, werewolves, vampires, surgeons, billionaires, Tony Stark, you know. And so
    1:14:18 the basic pornographic narrative is Beauty and the Beast, those five categories.
    1:14:26 Parable aggressive male, tamable by the right relationship, hot erotic attraction. And so
    1:14:31 I would say to the young men who, and I have many times to the young men who are locked in isolation,
    1:14:38 it’s first of all, join the bloody club because the default value of a 15-year-old male on the
    1:14:44 mating market is zero. And there’s reason for that. You know, and zero is a bit of an exaggeration,
    1:14:48 but not much. And the reason for that is, well, what the hell do you know? Like, you’re not good
    1:14:54 for anything. Yeah, you have potential and maybe plenty. And hopefully that’ll be made manifest,
    1:14:59 but you shouldn’t be all upset because you’re the same loser as everyone else your age has always
    1:15:04 been since the beginning of time. But then you might ask, well, what should I do about it? The
    1:15:09 answer is get yourself together. You know, stand up straight with your shoulders back, take on
    1:15:15 some adventure, find your calling, abide by your conscience, put yourself together, and you’ll
    1:15:21 become attractive. And we know this is, look, we know this is true. The correlation between male,
    1:15:32 sexual opportunity and relative masculine status is about 0.6. That’s higher than the
    1:15:38 correlation between intelligence and academic achievement. I don’t think that there’s a
    1:15:44 larger correlation between two independent phenomena in the entire social science and health literature
    1:15:50 than the correlation between relative male social status and reproductive success. It’s by far the
    1:15:54 most fundamental determinant. Well, what’s the cause and effect there? It’s a loop. Men are motivated
    1:15:59 to attain social status because it confers upon them reproductive success. And that’s not only
    1:16:04 cognitively, but biologically. I’ll give you an example of this. There’s a documentary I watch
    1:16:08 from time to time, which I think is the most brilliant documentary I’ve ever seen. It’s called
    1:16:15 Crumb. And it’s the story of this underground cartoonist, Robert Crumb, who was in high school,
    1:16:23 was in the category of males for whom a date was not only not likely, but in unimaginable.
    1:16:32 So he was at the bottom of the bottom rung, and almost all the reactions he got from females
    1:16:40 wasn’t just, “No, it was like, are you out of your mind?” With that contempt. And then he became
    1:16:45 successful. And so the documentary is super interesting because it tracks the utter pathology
    1:16:50 of his sexual fantasies because he was bitter and resentful. And if you want to understand
    1:16:57 the psychology of serial sexual killers and the like, and you watch Crumb, you’ll find out a lot
    1:17:02 more about that than anybody with any sense would want to know. But then he makes this transition.
    1:17:06 And partly because he does take the heroic adventure path. And he actually has a family and
    1:17:12 children. And he’s actually a pretty functional person, as opposed to his brothers, one of whom
    1:17:18 commits suicide, and one of whom is literally a repeat sexual offender. It’s a brutal documentary.
    1:17:25 But what he did in his adolescence, after being rejected, was he found what he was interested
    1:17:28 in. He was a very good artist. He was very interested in music. And he started to pursue
    1:17:33 those sort of single-mindedly. And he became successful. And as soon as he became successful,
    1:17:38 and the documentary tracks this beautifully, he’s immediately attractive to women. And then you
    1:17:44 might ask too, even if you’re cynical, it’s like, “Well, why do I have to perform for women?”
    1:17:47 And the answer to that is something like, “Why the hell should they have anything to do with
    1:17:52 you if you’re useless?” They’re going to have infants. They don’t need another one, right?
    1:17:57 Partly the reason that women are hypergamous, unless they want males who are of higher status
    1:18:02 than they are, is because they’re trying to redress the reproductive burden. And it’s substantial.
    1:18:08 I mean, the female of any species is the sex that devotes more to the reproductive function.
    1:18:14 That’s a more fundamental definition than chromosomal differentiation. And that’s taken
    1:18:19 to its ultimate extreme with humans. And so of course, women are going to want someone around
    1:18:26 that’s useful, because the cost of sex for them is an 18-year-old period of dependency with an
    1:18:34 infant. So I think the adventure comes first. Heroic adventure comes first. Well, it’s complex,
    1:18:37 because the other problem, let’s say, with the crumb boys is that their mother was extremely
    1:18:42 pathological, and they didn’t get a lot of genuine feminine nurturance and affection.
    1:18:47 Oh, of course. So the family and society are not going to help you most of the time with a
    1:18:53 heroic adventure, right? They’re going to be a barrier. Well, in good families, they’re both,
    1:18:59 because they put up constraints on your behavior. But like, I’ve interviewed a lot of successful
    1:19:06 people about their calling, let’s say, because I do that with all my podcast guests. How did the
    1:19:14 path that you took to success make itself manifest? And the pattern is very typical. Almost all the
    1:19:20 people that I’ve interviewed had a mother and a father. Now, it’s not invariant, but I’d say
    1:19:26 it’s there in 99% of the time. It’s really high. And both of the parents, or at least one of them,
    1:19:33 but often both, were very encouraging of the person’s interests and pathway to development.
    1:19:39 That’s fascinating. I’ve heard you analyze it that way before, and I had a reaction to that
    1:19:43 idea, because you focus on the positive of the parents. I feel like it was the,
    1:19:49 maybe I see biographies differently, but it feels like the struggle within the family
    1:19:56 was the catalyst for greatness in a lot of biographies. Maybe I’m misinterpreting it.
    1:20:02 No, no, no. I don’t think you, I think that that’s a reflection, maybe, correct me if I’m wrong,
    1:20:06 I think that’s a reflection of that dynamic between positive and negative emotion.
    1:20:11 Like my son, for example, who’s doing just fine. He’s firing on all cylinders, as far as I’m
    1:20:15 concerned. He has a nice family. He gets along with his wife. He’s a really good musician. He’s
    1:20:23 got a company. He’s running well. He’s a delight to be around. He was a relatively disagreeable
    1:20:33 infant. He was tough-minded. He didn’t take no for an answer. There was some tussle in regulating
    1:20:38 his behavior. He spent a lot of time when he was two sitting on the steps trying to get his act
    1:20:46 together. That was the constraint. That wasn’t something that was, it’s an opposition to him
    1:20:52 away, because it was in opposition to the immediate manifestation of his hedonistic desires,
    1:20:58 but it was also an impetus to further development. The rule for me, when he was on the stairs was,
    1:21:02 as soon as you’re willing to be a civilized human being, you can get off the stairs.
    1:21:07 You might think, well, that’s nothing but arbitrary, super-ego, patriarchal, oppressive
    1:21:13 constraint. Or you could say, well, no, what I’m actually doing is facilitating his cortical maturation,
    1:21:18 because when a child misbehaves, it’s usually because they’re under the domination of some
    1:21:23 primordial, emotional, or motivational impulse. They’re angry, they’re over-enthusiastic,
    1:21:31 they’re upset, they’re selfish, like it’s narrow, self-centeredness expressed in an
    1:21:39 immature manner. But see, okay, tell me if I’m wrong, but it feels like the engine of greatness,
    1:21:45 at least on the male side of things, has often been trying to prove the father wrong,
    1:21:51 or trying to gain the acceptance of the father. So that tension, where the parent is not encouraging,
    1:21:57 like you mentioned, but is basically saying, no, you won’t be able to do this.
    1:22:04 Okay, so my observation as a psychologist has been that it’s very, very difficult for someone
    1:22:09 to get their act together, unless they have at least one figure in their life that’s encouraging
    1:22:15 and shows them the pathway forward. So you can have a lot of adversity in your life,
    1:22:20 and if you have one person around who’s a good model and you’re neurologically intact,
    1:22:26 you can latch onto that model. Now, you can also find that model in books, and people do that sometimes,
    1:22:31 like I’ve interviewed people who had pretty fragmented childhoods, who turned to books and
    1:22:37 found the pattern that guided them in, like, let’s say, the adventures of the heroes of the past,
    1:22:42 because that’s a good way of thinking about it. And I read a book called Angela’s Ashes that was
    1:22:49 written by an Irish author, Frank McCourt’s fantastic book, beautiful book, and his father was
    1:22:56 an alcoholic of gargantuan proportions. He just an Irish drinker who drank every scent that came
    1:23:04 into the family, and many of whose children died in poverty. And what Frank did is a testament
    1:23:08 to the human spirit, is he sort of divided his father conceptually into two elements. There was
    1:23:14 sober mourning father who was encouraging and with whom he had a relationship, and then there was
    1:23:22 drunk and useless later afternoon, an evening father, and he rejected the negative, and he
    1:23:29 amplified his relationship with the positive. Now, like, he had other things going for him,
    1:23:36 but he, you know, he did a very good job of discriminating. And I mean, partly the question
    1:23:42 that you’re raising is, to what degree is it useful to have a beneficial adversary?
    1:23:49 Yeah, and I mean, struggle-free progress is not possible. And I think there are situations
    1:23:55 under which where, you know, you might be motivated to prove someone in your
    1:24:02 immediate circle wrong, but then that also implies that at some level, for some reason,
    1:24:07 you actually care about their judgment. You know, you just didn’t write them off completely.
    1:24:13 Well, I mean, that’s why I say there’s an archetype of a young man trying to gain the approval
    1:24:21 of his father. And I think that repeats itself in a bunch of biographies that I’ve read.
    1:24:28 I don’t know, there must have been an engine somewhere that they found of approval of encouragement,
    1:24:33 maybe in books, maybe in the mother, or maybe the role of the parents has flipped.
    1:24:36 Well, my father was hard to please, very.
    1:24:38 Did you ever succeed?
    1:24:40 Yes, but it wasn’t easy ever.
    1:24:44 When was the moment when you succeeded?
    1:24:50 Late, pretty late, like 40, maybe later.
    1:24:56 Was it a gradual or a definitive moment when a shift happened?
    1:25:03 My father always was always willing to approve of the things I did that were good,
    1:25:09 although he was not effusive by any stretch of the imagination and the standards were very high.
    1:25:16 Now, I was probably fortunate for me, you know, and it does bear on the question you’re asking.
    1:25:22 It’s like, if you want someone to motivate you optimally, God, it’s complicated because
    1:25:25 there has to be a temperamental dance between the two people.
    1:25:32 Like, what you really want is for someone to apply the highest possible standards to you
    1:25:40 that you’re capable of reaching, right? And that’s a vicious dance because
    1:25:46 you have to have a relationship with your child to do that properly, you know, because you want to,
    1:25:49 if you want to be optimally motivating as a father, you keep your children on the edge.
    1:25:56 It’s like, you might not reward something in your child that you would think would be good
    1:25:58 in someone else because you think they could do better.
    1:26:03 And so my father was pretty clear about the idea that he always expected me to do better.
    1:26:13 And was that troublesome? It was like, I felt often when I was young that there was no pleasing him,
    1:26:18 but I also knew that that wasn’t, I knew that that wasn’t right. See, I actually knew that wasn’t right
    1:26:26 because I could remember, especially I think when I was very young, that I did things that
    1:26:33 he was pleased about. I knew that was possible. So it wasn’t unpredictable and arbitrary,
    1:26:37 it was just difficult. It sounds like he’s hit a pretty good optimal,
    1:26:43 but it’s for each individual human that optimal differs. Well, that’s why you have to have a
    1:26:50 relationship with your children. You have to know them. And well, with yourself too,
    1:26:57 and with your wife, you can’t hit that optimal. That optimal is probably love.
    1:27:03 Because love isn’t just acceptance. Love is acceptance and encouragement.
    1:27:08 And it’s not just that either. It’s also, no, don’t do that. That’s beneath you.
    1:27:14 You’re capable of more. And how harsh should that be? It’s like, that’s a really hard question.
    1:27:19 You know, like if you really love someone, you’re not going to put up with their stupidity.
    1:27:23 Don’t do that. You know, one of the rules I had with my little kids was,
    1:27:28 don’t do anything that makes you look like an idiot in public. Why? Because I don’t want you
    1:27:34 disgracing yourself. Why not? Because I like you. I think you’re great. And you’re not going to act
    1:27:39 like a bloody fool in public so that people get the wrong idea about you. No! What about inside a
    1:27:50 relationship? A successful relationship? How much challenge? How much peace? Is a successful
    1:27:57 relationship one that is easy, one that is challenging? I would say to some degree that
    1:28:05 depends on your temperament. My wife is quite a provocative person. And there are times when I,
    1:28:12 I suppose, do I wish that, there are times when I casually wish that she was easier to get along
    1:28:17 with. But as soon as I think about it, I don’t think that. Because I’ve always liked her. We
    1:28:24 were friends ever since we were little kids. And she plays rough. And I like that as it turns out.
    1:28:29 Now, that doesn’t mean it isn’t a pain from time to time. But, you know, and that is going to be
    1:28:36 a temperamental issue to some degree and an issue of negotiation. Like, she plays rough, but
    1:28:42 fair. And the fair part has been establishing that. It’s been part of our ongoing negotiation.
    1:28:47 And part of it is in the play you get to find out about yourself or what your temperament is.
    1:28:51 Because I don’t think that that’s clear until it’s tested.
    1:28:56 Oh, definitely not. Definitely not. You find out all sorts of things about yourself in a
    1:29:00 relationship. That’s for sure. Well, and partly the reason that there is provocativeness,
    1:29:05 especially from women in relationship to men, is they want to test them out. It’s like,
    1:29:09 can you hold your temper when someone’s bothering you? Well, why would a woman want to know that?
    1:29:17 Well, maybe she doesn’t want you to snap and hurt her kids. And so how’s she going to find that out?
    1:29:22 Ask you? Well, you’re going to say, well, I’d never do that. It’s like, never, eh? Let’s find out
    1:29:29 if it’s never. So we don’t know how people test each other out in relationships, but,
    1:29:35 or why exactly, but it’s intense and necessary. What’s your and what’s in general,
    1:29:41 should a man’s relationship with temper be? You should have one. And you should be able to regulate
    1:29:47 it. Like, that’s part of that attractiveness of the monstrous that characterizes women’s fantasies.
    1:29:52 Right? Because, and Nietzsche pointed this out too. Go back to Nietzsche, you know?
    1:29:56 Nietzsche, one of Nietzsche’s claims was that most of what passes for morality is nothing but
    1:30:02 cowardice. You know, I’d never cheat on my wife. It’s like, is there anybody asking you too?
    1:30:08 That you actually find attractive? Or are there dozens of people asking you too that you find
    1:30:13 attractive? It’s like, well, I would never cheat. It’s like, no, you just don’t have the opportunity.
    1:30:16 Now, I don’t, I’m not saying that everyone’s in that position, you know, that they would cheat
    1:30:22 even if they had the opportunity, because that’s not true. But, and it’s the same with regards to,
    1:30:27 oh, I’m a peaceful man. It’s like, no, you’re not. You’re just a weak coward. You wouldn’t dare have it
    1:30:33 to have a confrontation, physical or metaphysical. And you’re passing it off as morality because
    1:30:38 you don’t want to come to terms with the fact of your own weakness and cowardice. And part of the,
    1:30:44 that, what I would say is twisted pseudo-Christian morality that Nietzsche was criticizing was
    1:30:50 exactly of that sort. And it tied into resentment and envy. And he tied that in explicitly. He said
    1:30:59 that failure in life, masked by the morality that’s nothing but weak cowardice, turns to the
    1:31:04 resentment that undermines and destroys everything, and that does that purposefully.
    1:31:09 Yeah, I think he was criticizing if under the facade of niceness, there’s an ocean of resentment.
    1:31:17 Yeah, that’s for sure. That’s also the danger of being too forthcoming with people. See,
    1:31:21 this is another thing, let’s say, about my wife, who’s not particularly agreeable. It’s like,
    1:31:26 she’s not particularly agreeable, but she’s not resentful. And that’s because she doesn’t give
    1:31:32 things away that she, that she isn’t willing to. And if you’re agreeable and nice and you’re conflict
    1:31:37 avoidant, you’ll push yourself too far to please the other person. And then that makes you bitter
    1:31:42 and resentful. So that’s not helpful. Do you think you’ll be in trouble for saying this on a podcast
    1:31:50 later? No, no, we know each other pretty well. And like I said, it’s a trait that I find admirable.
    1:31:58 It’s provocative and challenging. And it seems to work. Well, we’ve been together 50 years, so…
    1:32:08 Quick pause, bathroom break. If we can descend from the realm of ideas down to history and reality,
    1:32:16 I would say the time between World War I and World War II was one of history’s biggest testing of
    1:32:27 ideas and really the most dramatic kinds of ideas that helped us understand the nature of good and
    1:32:36 evil. I just want to ask you sort of a question about good and evil. Churchill, in many ways,
    1:32:44 was not a good man. Stalin, as you’ve documented extensively, was a horrible man.
    1:32:54 But you can make the case that both were necessary for stopping an even worse human being in Hitler.
    1:33:06 So to what degree do you need monsters to fight monsters? Do you need bad men to be able to
    1:33:14 fight off greater evils? It’s everything in its proper place is the answer to that.
    1:33:20 You know, we might think that our life would be easier without fear, let’s say. We might say that
    1:33:26 our life would be easier without anger or pain, but the truth of the matter is that those things
    1:33:30 are beneficial even though they can cause great suffering, but they have to be in their proper
    1:33:36 place. And that capacity that could in one context be a terrible force for evil, can in the proper
    1:33:44 context be the most potent force for good. A good man has to be formidable. And partly what that means,
    1:33:52 as far as I can tell, is that you have to be able to say no. And no means, like, I thought a lot about
    1:33:58 no, working as a clinician, because I did a lot of strategic counseling with my clients in a lot
    1:34:03 of extremely difficult situations. And I learned to take apart what no meant. And also when dealing
    1:34:10 with my own children, because I used no sparingly, because it’s a powerful weapon, let’s say. But
    1:34:15 I meant it. And with my kids, what it meant was, if you continue that pattern of behavior, something
    1:34:23 you do not like will happen to you with 100% certainty. And when that’s the case, and you’re
    1:34:29 willing to implement it, you don’t have to do it very often. With regards to monstrosity, it’s like
    1:34:35 weak men aren’t good. They’re just weak. That’s Nietzsche’s observation. That’s partly again why
    1:34:43 he was tempted to place the will to power, let’s say, and to deal with that notion in a manner that
    1:34:48 when it was tied with the revaluation of all values was counterproductive.
    1:34:54 Counterproductive in the final analysis. It’s not like there wasn’t something to what he was
    1:35:02 driving at. Formidable men are admirable. And you know, don’t mess with them. Douglas Murray’s a
    1:35:10 good example of that. He’s a rather slight guy, but he’s got a spine of steel. And there’s more
    1:35:14 than a bit of what’s a monstrous in him. And Jacques Wilink is like that. And Joe Rogan is
    1:35:20 like that. And you’re like that. But there’s a different level. I mean, if you look, to me,
    1:35:28 Churchill might represent the thing you’re talking about. But World War II, Hitler would not be
    1:35:36 stopped without Stalin. Well, I wonder, yes, yes. And if I may insert into this picture of complexity,
    1:35:43 Hitler would have not stopped until he enslaved and exterminated the entirety of the Slavic people,
    1:35:50 the Jewish people, the Slavic people, the Gypsies, everybody who’s non-Aryan. But then Stalin,
    1:35:56 in the mass rape of German women by the Red Army as they marched towards Berlin,
    1:36:01 is a kind of manifestation, the full monstrosity that a person can be.
    1:36:08 You can easily be in a situation. You can easily, unfortunately, find yourself in a situation where
    1:36:13 all you have in front of you are a variety of bad options. You know, that’s partly why,
    1:36:17 if you have any sense, you try to conduct yourself very carefully in life, because
    1:36:23 you don’t want to be in a position where you’ve made so many mistakes that all the options left
    1:36:30 to you are terrible. And so you said, well, was it necessary to ally with Stalin? It’s like, well,
    1:36:36 it’s very difficult to second guess the trajectory of something as complex as World War II. But
    1:36:42 we could say casually, at least as Westerners have in general, that that alliance was necessary.
    1:36:48 Now, I think the mistake that the West made in the aftermath of World War II was in not
    1:36:54 dealing as forthrightly with the catastrophes of communism as an ideology as we did with fascism.
    1:37:00 And that’s especially true of the intellectuals and the universities. I mean, it was very common
    1:37:04 when I was teaching both at Harvard and at the University of Toronto for the students in my
    1:37:10 personality class, where we studied Solzhenitsyn, who’s actually an existential psychologist in
    1:37:16 many ways and a deep one. None of them knew anything about the Soviet atrocities. None
    1:37:21 of them knew anything about what happened in Ukraine in the death of 6 million productive people.
    1:37:28 I had no idea that the communists killed tens of millions of people in the aftermath of the
    1:37:32 Russian Revolution. And they know even less about Mao and the Great Leap Forward. Yeah, right, right.
    1:37:39 Which some estimates are 100 million people. Now, you know, when your error bars are in the tens of
    1:37:44 millions, well, that’s a real indication of a cataclysm. And nobody knows how many people died
    1:37:50 from direct oppression or indirect in the Soviet Union. 20 million, it seems like a reasonable
    1:37:55 estimate. Solzhenitsyn’s upper bound was higher than that. And how do you measure
    1:38:02 the intellectual output that was suppressed and killed off, the number of intellectuals,
    1:38:06 artists and writers that were put into the gulags? Well, productive farmers, for that matter,
    1:38:13 and anyone who was willing to tell the truth. Right, absolutely. So, yeah, catastrophic. And
    1:38:20 so I think the West’s failure wasn’t so much allying with Stalin. I mean, it was Douglas MacArthur
    1:38:26 who wanted to continue. He thought we should just take the Soviets out after the Second World War.
    1:38:33 And they removed him from any position of authority where such a thing might be made possible.
    1:38:39 And people were tired. But was MacArthur wrong? Well, he certainly wasn’t wrong
    1:38:45 in his insistence that Stalin was as big a monster as Hitler or bigger.
    1:38:54 So, the valorization of the leftist proclivity, the radical leftist proclivity is the sin of the
    1:39:01 West, I think, more intensely than allying with Stalin. Tricky nuanced topic. But if we look at
    1:39:06 the modern day and the threat of communism, Marxism in the United States, to me,
    1:39:14 it’s disrespectful to the atrocities of the 20th century to call somebody like Kamala Harris a
    1:39:24 communist. But I see the sort of escalation of the extremness of language being used when you call
    1:39:30 somebody like Donald Trump a fascist. That makes total sense to then use similar extreme terminology
    1:39:35 for somebody like Kamala Harris. But maybe I could ask your evaluation. If you look at the
    1:39:39 political landscape today, somebody like Joe Biden and Kamala Harris.
    1:39:44 Okay, well, the first thing I would say is that I think that viewing the political landscape
    1:39:50 of today as a political landscape is actually wrong. I think it’s not the right frame of reference.
    1:39:58 Because what I see happening are a very small percentage of dark tetrad personality types,
    1:40:06 so Machiavellian, manipulative, narcissistic, wanting undeserved attention, psychopathic,
    1:40:11 that makes them predatory parasites, and sadistic, because that goes along with the other three.
    1:40:20 That’s about in the serious manifestation, that’s probably three to five percent of the population.
    1:40:27 And they’re generally kept under pretty decent control by civilized people and stable social
    1:40:37 interactions. I think that their machinations are disinhibited by cost-free social media communication.
    1:40:44 So they gain disproportionate influence. Now, these people want undeserved recognition and
    1:40:49 social status and everything that goes along with it, and they don’t care how they get it.
    1:40:54 Because when I say they want that, I mean, that’s all they want.
    1:41:01 So in the realm of social media, you mentioned yes, but are you also suggesting that they’re
    1:41:05 overrepresented in the realm of politics, politicians and so on?
    1:41:11 They’re overrepresented in the realm of fractious political discourse, because they can use ideas.
    1:41:16 First of all, they can use, let’s say, the benevolent ideas of the right and the benevolent
    1:41:23 ideas of the left, either one, and switch back and forth for that matter, as a camouflage for what
    1:41:28 they’re actually up to. So you’ve interviewed a lot of people, and you have a really powerful mind,
    1:41:33 you have a good read on people. So how do you know when you’re sitting across from a psychopath?
    1:41:38 I wouldn’t say that I do know. In normal social circumstances, we have evolved mechanisms to
    1:41:42 keep people like that under control. Let’s say that you and I have a series of interactions,
    1:41:47 and you screw me over once. I’m not going to forget that. Now, I might not write you off
    1:41:52 because of the one time, but if it happens three times, it’s like, we’re not going to play together
    1:42:01 anymore. And in normal times, most of our social networks are connected and interacting. So if
    1:42:08 you ripped me off three times and I noted that, I’m going to tell everybody I know, and they’re
    1:42:13 going to tell everybody they know, and soon everyone will know, and that’s the end of your
    1:42:17 tricks. But that assumes that we know who you are, and we’re in continual communication. Well,
    1:42:28 all of that’s gone online. So anonymity does that. And so does the amplification of emotional
    1:42:35 intensity by the social media platforms and their algorithms. I think what we’re doing,
    1:42:43 this is happening on Twitter continually, is we’re giving the 5% of psychopaths a radically
    1:42:47 disproportionate voice. And what they’re doing is there’s a bunch of them on the left, and they’re
    1:42:51 all, we’re so compassionate. And there’s a bunch of them on the right. And at the moment, they’re
    1:42:56 all, we’re so Christian and free speech oriented. It’s like, no, you’re not. You’re a narcissistic
    1:43:03 psychopaths. And that’s your camouflage. And you hide behind your anonymity. And you use fractious
    1:43:11 and divisive language to, to attract fools and to elevate your social status and your clout.
    1:43:18 And, and not only that, to gain, what would you say, satisfaction for your sadistic impulses?
    1:43:28 See, the problem is, it’s hard to tell who is the psychopath and who is a heterodox truth seeker.
    1:43:34 Yeah. Well, if you were charitable about Tucker Carlson’s recent interview, you’d say that was
    1:43:39 exactly the conundrum he faced. And it is hard. Like, I’ve thought about, for example, interviewing
    1:43:46 Andrew Tate. And I thought, I don’t think so. And then I thought, why? I figured it’s not obvious
    1:43:53 to me at all that he wouldn’t charm me. So I knew this guy, Robert Hare. Robert Hare was the
    1:44:01 world’s foremost authority on psychopathy. He established the field of clinical analysis
    1:44:06 of psychopathic behavior. And Hare was a pretty agreeable guy. So, you know, he would give people
    1:44:10 the benefit of the doubt. And he interviewed hundreds of serious psychopaths, like imprisoned
    1:44:17 violent offenders. And he told me in one of our conversations that every time he sat down with
    1:44:23 violent offender psychopath, and he had a measure for psychopathy that was a clinical checklist,
    1:44:30 so he could identify the psychopaths from just the, say, run-of-the-mill criminals. Every time
    1:44:34 he sat down with them, they pulled the wool over his eyes. And it wasn’t an, he videotaped the
    1:44:38 interviews. And it wasn’t until later when he was reviewing the videos that he could see what
    1:44:46 they were doing. But in person, their tricks were more sophisticated than his detection ability.
    1:44:50 Well, okay, this is fascinating because, again, you’re a great interviewer. I would love it if
    1:44:58 you interviewed somebody like Putin. So this idea that you are a fool in the face of psychopathy
    1:45:02 just doesn’t jive with me. I’m an agreeable guy. That’s the problem. I’ll give people the benefit
    1:45:07 of the doubt. Right, right. But that’s good because the way you reveal psychopathy
    1:45:15 is by being agreeable, not weak, but seeking with empathy to understand the other person.
    1:45:22 And in the details, in the little nuanced ways that they struggle with questions,
    1:45:29 the psychopathy is revealed. So from a, we’re kind of just to separate the two things. So one,
    1:45:35 overrepresentation of psychopathy online with anonymity, that’s a serious fascinating problem.
    1:45:42 But in the interview one-on-one, I don’t know if the job of a human being in conversation is to
    1:45:48 not talk to psychopaths, but to talk, I mean, like, how would you interview Hitler?
    1:45:52 Well, I’ve, you know, I’ve had very difficult clinical interviews with people
    1:45:56 in my clinical practice. And so what do you, how do you approach that?
    1:46:01 Well, I really probably approach that the way I approach most conversations. And it’s something
    1:46:08 like, I’m going to assume that you’re playing a straight game, but I’m going to watch. And if you
    1:46:14 throw in the odd crooked maneuvering, then I’ll note it. And after you do it three times, I’ll
    1:46:20 think, okay, I see. I thought we were playing one game, but we’re actually playing another one.
    1:46:26 And if I’m smart enough to pick that up, that usually works out quite successfully for me.
    1:46:29 But I’m not always smart enough to pick that up.
    1:46:33 But see, here’s the nice thing. There’s a one-on-one conversation that’s not recorded,
    1:46:38 is different than one that’s listened by a lot of people, because I would venture to,
    1:46:43 I trust the intelligence of the viewer and the listener to detect even better than you.
    1:46:45 Yes. And I think that’s true, by the way.
    1:46:47 To detect the psychopathy.
    1:46:52 I’ve had the odd interview with people that I wasn’t happy with having organized,
    1:47:00 because I felt that I had brought their ideas to a wider audience that might have been appropriate.
    1:47:05 But my conclusion, and the conclusion of my producers and the people I talked to,
    1:47:10 was that we could run the interview, the discussion, and let the audience sort it out.
    1:47:15 And I would say they do. So I think as a general rule of thumb, that’s true.
    1:47:19 And I also think that the long-form interviews are particularly good at that, because
    1:47:27 it’s not that easy to maintain a manipulative stance, especially if you’re empty,
    1:47:31 for like two and a half hours. So you get tired, you get irritable,
    1:47:36 you show that you lose the track, you’re going to start leaking out your mistakes.
    1:47:40 And that actually is the case for all the world leaders, I would say,
    1:47:49 one hour is too short. Something happens at like two hour plus mark where you start to leak.
    1:47:55 And I’m trusting the intelligence of the listener to sort of, to detect that.
    1:47:58 Yeah. And it might be the intelligence of the distributed crowd.
    1:48:02 And I mean, that is what I’ve seen with the YouTube interviews, is that it’s hard to fool
    1:48:10 people as such over a protracted period of time. And I guess it’s partly because everybody
    1:48:17 brings a slightly different set of falsehood detectors to the table. And if you aggregate
    1:48:22 that, it’s pretty damn accurate. But of course, it’s complicated because
    1:48:28 ideas of Nazi ideology spread in the 20s. There was a real battle between Marxism and
    1:48:34 Nazism. Oh yeah. And I believe there are some attempts at censorship of Nazi ideology.
    1:48:44 Censorship very often does the opposite. It gives the fringe ideologies power if they’re
    1:48:51 being censored. Because that’s an indication that the man in power doesn’t want the truth
    1:48:55 to be heard, this kind of idea. And that just puts fuel to the fire.
    1:49:02 It also motivates the paranoid types because one of the reasons that paranoia spirals out
    1:49:07 of control is because paranoid people almost inevitably end up being persecuted. Because
    1:49:14 they’re so touchy and so suspicious that people start to walk on eggshells around them as if
    1:49:18 there are things going on behind the scenes. And so then they get more distrustful and more
    1:49:23 paranoid. And eventually they start misbehaving so badly that they are actually persecuted
    1:49:29 often by legal authorities. And it’s down the rabbit hole they go. And so Musk is betting on
    1:49:40 that to some degree. He believes that free expression on Twitter X will sort itself out and be of net
    1:49:45 benefit. And I follow a lot of really bad accounts on X. Because I like to keep an eye on
    1:49:51 the pathology of the left, let’s say, and the pathology of the right, thinking at least in my
    1:49:56 clinical way that I’m watching the psychopaths dance around and try to do what their subversion.
    1:50:00 And it’s an ugly place to inhabit, that’s for sure. But it’s also the case that
    1:50:07 a very tiny minority of seriously bad actors can have a disproportionate influence. And
    1:50:12 one of the things I’ve always hoped for for social media channels is that they separate
    1:50:17 the anonymous accounts from the verified accounts. They should just be in different categories.
    1:50:22 People who will say what they think and take the hits to their reputation,
    1:50:27 anonymous types, if you want to see what the anonymous types say, you can see it. But don’t
    1:50:32 be confusing them with actual people, because they’re not the same. We know that people are,
    1:50:36 we know that people behave more badly when they’re anonymous. That’s a very well established
    1:50:41 psychological finding. Well, and I think the danger to our culture is substantive. I think the
    1:50:46 reason that everything, perhaps the reason that everything started to go sideways pretty seriously
    1:50:52 around 2015 is because we invented these new modes of communication. We have no idea how to
    1:50:59 police them. And so the psychopathic manipulators, they have free reign. About 30% of the internet
    1:51:04 is pornography. A huge amount of internet traffic is outright criminal. And there’s a
    1:51:09 penumbra around that that’s psychopathic narcissistic, trouble making trolls.
    1:51:14 And that might constitute the bulk of the interactions online. And it’s partly because
    1:51:18 people can’t be held responsible. So the free riders have free reign.
    1:51:25 It’s a fascinating technical challenge of how to make our society resilient to the psychopaths
    1:51:30 on the left and the right. It might be the fundamental problem of the age, given the
    1:51:37 amplification of communication by our social networks. And so to generalize across psychopaths,
    1:51:45 you could also think about bots, which behave similar to psychopaths in their certainty and
    1:51:48 not caring. They’re maximizing some function. They’re not caring about anything else. Attention,
    1:51:52 yeah. Yeah, yeah. Short-term attention, even worse. Yeah, because you might, you know,
    1:51:58 that’s another problem. Like, if the algorithms are maximizing for the grip of short-term attention,
    1:52:05 they’re acting like immature agents of attention, right? And so then imagine the worst case scenario
    1:52:12 is negative emotion, garners more attention. And short-term gratification, garners more attention.
    1:52:18 So then you’re maximizing for the grip of short-term attention by negative emotion. I mean,
    1:52:24 that’s not going to be a principle if we were talking earlier about, you know, unsustainable,
    1:52:32 unifying axioms. That’s definitely, that’s definitely one of them. Maximize for the
    1:52:37 spread of negative attention, negative emotion that garners short-term attention. Jesus. Brutal.
    1:52:46 I just, I tend to not think there’s that many psychopaths. So maybe to push back a little
    1:52:53 bit, it feels like there’s a small number of psychopaths. Three to five percent is the estimate
    1:52:57 worldwide. In terms of humans, sure. But in terms of the pattern of stuff we see online,
    1:53:03 my hope is that a lot of people on the extreme left and extreme right, or just the trolls in general,
    1:53:10 are just young people kind of going through the similar stuff that we’ve been talking about,
    1:53:17 trying on the cynicism and the resentment. There is, there’s a drug aspect to it. There’s a pull
    1:53:25 to that, to talk shit about somebody, to take somebody down. I mean, there is some pleasure in
    1:53:31 that. There’s a dark pull towards that. And I think that’s the sadistic pull. And I think a lot
    1:53:36 of people, I mean, you see, when you say sadistic, it makes it sound like some kind of, it’s a pathology.
    1:53:41 It’s pleasure in the suffering of others. Right. But I just think that all of us have
    1:53:46 the capacity for that. All humans have the capacity for that.
    1:53:48 Some more than others, but everyone to some degree.
    1:53:53 And when you’re young, you don’t understand the full implications of that on your own self.
    1:53:59 So if you participate in taking other people down, that’s going to have a cost on your own
    1:54:03 development as a human being. Like it’s going to take you towards the Dostoevsky’s notes from
    1:54:08 underground, in the basement, cynical, all that kind of stuff, which is why a lot of young people
    1:54:14 try it out. The reason is you get older and older, you realize that there’s a huge cost to that,
    1:54:19 so you don’t do it. But there’s young people that, so like, I would like to sort of believe and hope
    1:54:24 that a large number of people who are trolls are just trying out the derision. No doubt.
    1:54:30 And then so they can be saved. They can be helped. They can be shown that there’s
    1:54:36 more growth, there’s more flourishing to celebrating other people. And actually,
    1:54:43 and criticizing ideas, but not in the way of derision, lol, but by formulating your own
    1:54:49 self in the world, by formulating your ideas in a strong, powerful way, and also removing
    1:54:54 the cloak of anonymity and just standing behind your ideas and carrying the responsibility of
    1:54:59 those ideas. Yeah. I think all of that is right. I think the idea that that’s more likely to occur
    1:55:04 among young people, that’s clear. People, as they mature, get more agreeable and conscientious.
    1:55:08 So we actually know that what you said is true technically. It’s definitely the case that there
    1:55:14 is an innate tilt towards pleasure in that sort of behavior, and it is associated to some degree
    1:55:20 with dominance driving. And I do think it’s true, as you pointed out, that many of the people who
    1:55:28 are toying with that pattern can be socialized out of it. In fact, maybe most people, even the
    1:55:35 repeat criminal types, tend to desist in their late 20s. So imagine that, so 1% of the criminals
    1:55:41 commit 65% of the crimes. So imagine that that 1% are the people that you’re really concerned with.
    1:55:48 They often have stable patterns of offending that emerged in very, very young,
    1:55:56 like even in infancy, and continued through adolescence and into adulthood. If you keep
    1:56:02 them in prison until they’re in the middle of their late 20s, most of them stop. And that might be
    1:56:11 the easiest way to understand that might just be delayed maturation. So are most people salvageable?
    1:56:17 Yes, definitely. Is everyone salvageable? Well, at some point it becomes,
    1:56:22 first of all, they have to want to be salvaged. That’s a problem. But then it also becomes something
    1:56:30 like, well, how much resources are you going to devote to that? Like the farther down the
    1:56:35 rabbit hole you’ve gone, the more energy it takes to haul you up. So there comes a point where
    1:56:40 the probability that you’ll be able to get enough resources devoted to you to rescue you from the
    1:56:46 pit of hell that you’ve dug is zero. And that’s a very sad thing. And it’s very hard to be around
    1:56:52 someone who’s in that situation, very, very hard. And it seems that it’s more likely that the leaders
    1:56:57 of movements are going to be psychopaths. And the followers of movements are going to be the
    1:57:04 people that we’re mentioning that are kind of lost themselves to the ideology of the movement.
    1:57:09 Well, we know that what you said is true, even historically, to a large degree, because
    1:57:16 Germany was successfully denazified. And it’s not like everybody who participated in every
    1:57:22 element of the Nazi movement was brought to justice, not in the least. The same thing happened in
    1:57:32 Japan. So to some degree, the same thing happened in South Africa. And it’s the case, for example,
    1:57:37 also in the stories that we were referring to earlier, the biblical stories, the patriarchs of
    1:57:42 the Bible. Most of them are pretty bad people when they first start out. Like Jacob’s a really
    1:57:48 good, because Jacob is the one who becomes Israel. He’s a major player in the biblical narrative.
    1:57:56 And he’s a pretty bad actor when he first starts out. He’s a mama’s boy. He’s a liar. He steals
    1:58:02 from his own brother. And in a major way, he deceives his father. He’s a coward. And yet he
    1:58:11 turns his life around. So be careful, the leaders you idolize and worship. But then it’s not always
    1:58:17 clear to know who is the good and who’s the evil. Yeah, that’s hard. You have been through some
    1:58:22 dark places in your mind over your life. What have been some of your darker hours and how did
    1:58:30 you find the light? Well, I would say I started contending with the problem of evil very young,
    1:58:34 13 or 14. And that that’s been the main,
    1:58:46 that was my main motivation of study for 30 years, I guess, something like that.
    1:58:54 At the end of that 30 years, it became more and more, I became more and more interested in
    1:58:58 fleshing out the alternative. Like once I became convinced that evil existed,
    1:59:07 and that was very young. I always believed that if you could understand something well enough
    1:59:15 that you could formulate a solution to it. But it turns out that seeing evil and understanding
    1:59:24 that it exists is less complicated than a technical description of its opposite. Like what is good?
    1:59:30 You can say, well, it’s not that, for sure. It’s not Auschwitz. How about we start there?
    1:59:36 It’s as far from Auschwitz as you can get. It’s as far from enjoying being an Auschwitz
    1:59:41 camp guard as you can get. Okay, well, where are you when you’re as far away from that as
    1:59:46 you could possibly get? What does that mean? And it does have something to do with play,
    1:59:54 as far as I’m concerned. Like I think the antithesis of tyranny is play. So that took me a long time
    2:00:01 to figure out that specifically. And so that was very dark. I spent a lot of time studying
    2:00:10 the worst behaviors that I could discover abstractly in books, but also in my clinical
    2:00:18 practice and in my observations of people. And so that’s rough. More recently, I was very ill
    2:00:25 and in a tremendous amount of pain that lasted pretty much without any break for three years.
    2:00:33 And what was particularly useful to me then was the strength of my relationships,
    2:00:40 my immediate relationships, my friendships. Also, the relationships that I had established
    2:00:48 more broadly with people, because by the time I became ill, I was reasonably well known and
    2:00:53 people were very supportive when I was having trouble. And that was very helpful. But
    2:00:59 it’s certainly the case that it was the connections I had, particularly with my family,
    2:01:04 but also with my friends that were the saving grace. And that’s something to know. I mean,
    2:01:10 it’s necessary to bear the burdens of the world on your own shoulders. That’s for sure
    2:01:15 the burdens of your own existence and whatever other responsibilities you can mount. But
    2:01:22 that by no means means that you can or should do it alone. And so, you know, you might say, well,
    2:01:31 welcoming the adversity of life as a redemptive challenge is a task that’s beyond the ability
    2:01:37 of the typical person or even maybe of anyone. But then when you think, well, you’re not alone,
    2:01:42 maybe you’re not alone socially, you’re not alone familial, maybe you’re not alone
    2:01:47 metaphysically as well. You know, there’s an insistence. And I think it’s true. There’s an
    2:01:53 insistence, for example, in the old and the New Testament alike, that the more darkness you’re
    2:01:59 willing to voluntarily encounter, the more likely it is that the spirit of Abraham and the patriarchs
    2:02:05 will walk with you. And I think that’s right. Like, I think it’s sort of technically true in that
    2:02:11 the best parts of yourself make themselves manifest. If you want to think about it that way,
    2:02:15 the best parts of yourself, whatever that means, make themselves manifest when you’re
    2:02:20 contending actively and voluntarily with the most difficult challenges.
    2:02:25 Why wouldn’t it be that way? And then you could think, well, that’s yourself. It’s like, well,
    2:02:33 are the best unrevealed parts of you yourself? Well, no, they’re a kind of metaphysical reality.
    2:02:39 They’re not yet manifest. They only exist in potential. They transcend anything you’re currently
    2:02:45 capable of, but they have an existence. You could call that yourself, but like it was Jung’s
    2:02:50 contention, for example, with regards to such terminology, that the reason we use the term
    2:02:56 “self” instead of “God” is because when God was dispensed with, let’s say, by the processes Nietzsche
    2:03:02 described, we just found the same thing deep within the instinctive realm, let’s say. We founded it
    2:03:07 at the bottom of the things instead of at the top. It’s like, it doesn’t matter. It doesn’t matter
    2:03:15 fundamentally. What matters is whether or not that’s a reality. And I think it’s the fundamental
    2:03:23 reality, because I do think that the deeper you delve into things, this is what happens to Moses
    2:03:28 when he encounters the burning bush. So Moses is just going about his life. He’s a shepherd.
    2:03:34 He’s an adult. He has wives. He has children. He has responsibilities. He’s left his home,
    2:03:38 and he’s established himself. And so things are pretty good for Moses.
    2:03:43 And then he’s out by Mount Horab in that story, but it’s the central mountain of the world. It’s
    2:03:49 the same mountain as Sinai, which is the place where heaven and earth touch. And he sees something
    2:03:55 that grabs his attention. Right? That’s the burning bush. And bush is a tree. That’s life. That’s the
    2:04:01 tree of life. And the fact that it’s on fire is that’s life exaggerated, because everything that’s
    2:04:07 alive is on fire. And so what calls to Moses is like the spirit of being itself, and it
    2:04:13 attracts him off the beaten track. And he decides to go investigate. So Moses is everyone who goes
    2:04:21 off the beaten track to investigate. And so as he investigates, he delves more and more deeply
    2:04:28 until he starts to understand that he’s now walking on sacred ground. So he takes off his shoes,
    2:04:33 and that’s a symbolic reference of identity transformation. He’s no longer walking the
    2:04:39 same path. He no longer has the same identity. He’s in a state of flux. And that’s when
    2:04:45 what happens is that he continues to interact with this calling. And Moses asks,
    2:04:51 “What it is that’s being revealed?” And God says, “I’m the spirit of being itself.” That’s basically
    2:04:57 the answer. “I am what I am.” It’s a more complex utterance than that. “I am what I will be.”
    2:05:02 “I am what was becoming.” It’s all of that at the same time. It’s the spirit of being that’s
    2:05:08 speaking to him, the spirit of being and becoming. And it tells Moses that he now, because he’s delved
    2:05:13 so deeply into something so compelling, his identity has transformed and he’s become the
    2:05:19 leader who can speak truth to power. And so he allies himself with his brother Aaron,
    2:05:24 who’s the political arm and who can communicate. And he goes back to Egypt to confront the tyrant.
    2:05:32 And that’s an indication of that idea that if you wrestle with life properly, that the spirit of
    2:05:40 being and becoming walks with you. And it’s like, how can that not be true? Because the
    2:05:48 contrary would be that there would be no growth in challenge. You have to be infinitely nihilistic
    2:05:59 to believe that. It’s obvious, but it’s also just fascinating that hardship is the thing that ends
    2:06:05 up being the catalyst for delving deeply. It’s hardship voluntarily undertaken. And it’s crucially
    2:06:10 true. Look, if you bring someone into therapy, let’s say they’re afraid of elevators, and you
    2:06:18 trick them into getting near an elevator, you’ll make them worse. But if you negotiate with them so
    2:06:26 that they voluntarily move towards the elevator on their own recognizance, they’ll overcome their
    2:06:31 fear and they become generally braver. But it has to be voluntary. See, I got to push back
    2:06:37 and explore with you the question of voluntarily. Let’s look at Nietzsche. He suffered through
    2:06:41 several health issues throughout his life. Migraines, eyesight issues, digestive problems,
    2:06:49 depression with suicidal thoughts. And yet he is one of the greatest minds in the history of humanity.
    2:06:57 So were these problems that he was suffering arguably involuntarily a feature or a bug?
    2:07:02 That’s a good question. The same thing happens in the story of Job, because Job is a good man.
    2:07:09 God himself admits it. And Satan comes along and says to God, I see you’re pretty proud of your
    2:07:15 man there, Job. God says, yeah, he’s doing pretty well. And Satan says, I think it’s just because
    2:07:19 things are easy for him. Let me have a crack at him and see what happens. And God says,
    2:07:24 yeah, I think you’re wrong. Do your worst. Right. And that’s how people feel when those
    2:07:30 slings and arrows come at them, let’s say like Nietzsche. Well, Job’s response to that. Now,
    2:07:35 the story is set up so that what befalls Job is actually quite arbitrary, right? These catastrophes
    2:07:41 that you’re describing. The volunteerism in Job is his refusal to despair even in the face of that
    2:07:47 adversity. And that seems like something like an expression of voluntary free will. He refuses to
    2:07:53 lose faith. And the way the story ends is that Job gets everything back and more. And, you know,
    2:08:00 so that’s a dissent and assent story. And a cynic might say, well, the ends don’t justify the means.
    2:08:04 And I would say fair enough, but that’s a pretty shallow interpretation of the story.
    2:08:10 What it indicates instead is that if you’re fortunate, because let’s not forget that,
    2:08:19 and you optimize your attitude even in the face of adversity, that there it’s not infrequently
    2:08:23 the case that your fortunes will reverse. You know, when I found that in many situations,
    2:08:37 the journalists whose goal was most malicious in relationship to me, who were most concerned with
    2:08:44 improving their own, what would you say, fostering their own notoriety and gaining
    2:08:51 social status at my expense, were the ones who did me the greatest favor. Those were the interviews
    2:08:57 that went viral. And so that’s interesting, you know, because they were definitely the places
    2:09:02 where the most disaster was at hand. And I felt that in the aftermath, every time that happened,
    2:09:09 my whole family was destabilized for like two months because things, it wasn’t obvious at all
    2:09:16 which way the dice were going to roll. But you leaned into that. So in a sense that there’s this
    2:09:22 kind of transformation from the involuntary to the voluntary, basically saying bring it on,
    2:09:28 that act of bring it on turns the hardship, involuntary hardship into voluntary hardship.
    2:09:35 Well, not necessarily, let’s say, but you could say that’s your best bet. Well, you know,
    2:09:43 I’m never going to say that you can transcend all catastrophe with the right attitude because
    2:09:52 that’s just too much to say. But I could say that in a dire situation, there’s always an element
    2:09:59 of choice. And if you make the right choices, you improve the degree, you improve your chances of
    2:10:06 success to the maximal possible degree. It might be too much to say, but nevertheless,
    2:10:14 this could be true. Victor Frankel, Marcus Aurelius. Well, that’s what the resurrection story
    2:10:21 proclaims is that, you know, even under the darkest imaginable circumstances, the fundamental
    2:10:29 finale is the victory of the good. And that seems to me to be true.
    2:10:37 Do you ever regrets when you look back at your life in the full analysis of it?
    2:10:44 Well, as I said, I was very ill for about three years, and it was seriously brutal. Like every,
    2:10:50 this is no lie, every single minute of that three years was worse than any single time I’d ever
    2:10:58 experienced in my entire life up to that. So that was rough. Was the roughest, the physical or the
    2:11:08 psychological pain? Just little pain. Yep. Yeah, I was walking like 10 to 12 miles a day.
    2:11:20 Rain or shine, winter, didn’t matter. Not good. And it was, it was worse than that because
    2:11:32 as the day progressed, my pain levels would fall until by 10, 11 at night, when I was starting to
    2:11:42 get tired, I was approaching, what would you say? I was approaching something like an ordinary bad day.
    2:11:50 But as soon as I went to sleep, then the clock was reset and all the pain came back. And so
    2:11:54 it wasn’t just that I was in pain, it was that sleep itself became an enemy.
    2:12:01 And that’s really rough, man, because sleep is where you take refuge. You know, you’re worn out,
    2:12:08 you’re tired, and you go to sleep and you wake up and it’s generally, it’s something approximating
    2:12:14 a new day. This was like scissorfish on steroids. And that was, it was very difficult to maintain
    2:12:18 hope in that because I would do what I could, like there were times when it took me like an hour
    2:12:26 and a half in the morning to stand up. And so I do all that and more or less put myself back
    2:12:30 into something remotely resembling human by the end of the day. And then I knew perfectly well,
    2:12:35 exhausted if I fell asleep, that I was going to be right at the bottom of the bloody hill again.
    2:12:43 And so after a couple of years of that, it was definitely the fact that I had a family that,
    2:12:50 that carried me through that. What did you learn about yourself about yourself and about the human
    2:12:56 mind from that, from all of those days? Well, I think I learned more gratitude
    2:13:05 for the people I had around me. And I learned how fortunate I was to have that and how crucial
    2:13:11 that was. My wife learned something similar. She, she was diagnosed with a form of cancer that,
    2:13:18 as far as we know, killed every single person who ever had it except her. It’s quite rare. And
    2:13:28 her experience was that what really gave her hope and played at least a role in saving her was
    2:13:32 the realization of the depth of love that her son in particular had for her.
    2:13:37 And that says nothing about her relationship with Michaela, with her daughter. It just so happened
    2:13:46 that it was the revelation of that love that made Tammy understand the value of her life in a way
    2:13:54 that she wouldn’t have realized of her own accord. We’re very, very, there’s no difference between
    2:13:58 ourselves and the people that we love. And there might be no difference between ourselves and
    2:14:04 everyone everywhere, but we can at least realize that to begin with in the form of the people that
    2:14:09 we love. And I hope I’m better at that than I was. I think I’m better at it than I was.
    2:14:17 I’m a lot more grateful for just ordinary, ordinariness than I was, because when I first
    2:14:21 recovered, I remember I was standing, first started to recover. I was standing in this
    2:14:27 pharmacy waiting for a prescription in a little town and they weren’t being particularly efficient
    2:14:31 about it. And so I was in that standing in the aisle for like 20 minutes. And I thought,
    2:14:39 I’m not on fire. I could just stand here for like the rest of my life, just not being in pain and
    2:14:45 enjoying that. And you know, that would have been something that before that would have been,
    2:14:49 you know, I would have been impatient and rare to go because I didn’t have 20 minutes to stand
    2:14:54 in the middle of an aisle. And I thought, well, you know, if you’re just standing there and you’re
    2:15:01 not on fire, things are a lot better than they might be. And I certainly, I know that. And I think
    2:15:07 I remember it almost all the time. You gain a greater ability to appreciate the mundane moments
    2:15:14 of life. Yeah, definitely. The miracle of the mundane. Yeah. I think Nietzsche had that
    2:15:25 because he was very ill. And so I suspect he had it. You know, and he was regarded by the
    2:15:29 inhabitants of the village that he lived in near the end of his life as something approximating a
    2:15:35 saint. He apparently conducted himself very admirably, despite all his suffering.
    2:15:40 You know, but that still, there’s this tension as there is in much of Nietzsche’s work
    2:15:47 between the miracle of the mundane, appreciating the miracle of the mundane versus
    2:15:54 fearing the tyranny of the mediocre. It’s more the mediocre and resentful.
    2:16:00 Yes, but that’s you giving him a pass or seeing the good. Fair enough, you know.
    2:16:06 There’s a kind of, I mean, the tyranny of the mediocre. I always hated this idea that some
    2:16:11 people are better than others. And I understand it, but it’s a dangerous idea.
    2:16:17 This is why I like the story of Cain and Abel, I would say, because Cain is mediocre,
    2:16:24 but that’s because he refuses to do his best. It’s not something intrinsic to him. And I actually
    2:16:28 think that’s the right formulation because, you know, I had people in my clinical practice who were,
    2:16:37 they were lost in many dimensions from the perspective of comparison. One woman I remember
    2:16:44 in particular who, man, she had a lot to contend with. She was not educated. She was not intelligent.
    2:16:50 She had a brutal family, like terrible history of psychiatric hospitalization.
    2:16:59 And when I met her at a hospital,
    2:17:07 she was an outpatient from the psychiatric ward. And she had been in there with people
    2:17:13 that she thought were worse off than her. And they were. And that was a long way down.
    2:17:20 That was like Dante’s Inferno level down. It was a long term psychiatric inpatient ward.
    2:17:27 Some of the people had been there for 30 years. It made one flu over the cuckoo’s nest look like a
    2:17:34 romantic comedy. And she had come back to see if she could take some of those people for a walk
    2:17:43 and was trying to find out how to get permission to do it. And so, you know, better than other people.
    2:17:48 Some people are more intelligent. Some people are more beautiful. Some people are more athletic.
    2:17:56 Maybe it’s possible for everyone at all levels of attainment to strive towards the good.
    2:18:03 And maybe those talents that are given to people unfairly don’t privilege them in relationship
    2:18:08 to their moral conduct. And I think that’s true. Like, there’s no evidence, for example,
    2:18:11 that there’s any correlation whatsoever between intelligence and morality.
    2:18:18 You’re not better because you’re smart. And what that also implies is if you’re smart,
    2:18:23 you can be a lot better at being worse. I think for myself, I’m just afraid
    2:18:32 of dismissing people because of my perception of them. Yeah, well, that’s why we have that
    2:18:37 metaphysical presumption that everybody’s made in the image of God, right? Despite that immense
    2:18:42 diversity of apparent ability. There’s that underlying metaphysical assumption that, yeah,
    2:18:51 we all vary in our perceived and actual utility in relationship to any proximal goal. But
    2:18:58 all of that’s independent of the question of axiomatic worth. And that preposterous is that
    2:19:05 notion appears to be, it seems to me that societies that accept it as a fundamental axiomatic presumption
    2:19:11 are always the societies that you’d want to live in if you had a choice. And that to me is an
    2:19:17 existence proof for the utility of the presumption. And also, if you treat people like that in your
    2:19:26 life, every encounter you have, you make the assumption that it’s an assumption of what would
    2:19:31 you, it’s radical equality of worth, despite individual variance and ability, something
    2:19:37 like that. Man, your interactions go way better. I mean, everyone wants to be treated that way.
    2:19:46 Look, here’s the developmental sequence for you. Naive and trusting. Hurt and cynical. Okay, well,
    2:19:53 is hurt and cynical better than naive and trusting? It’s like, yeah, probably. Is that where it ends?
    2:20:01 How about cynical and trusting as step three? Right. And then the trust becomes courage. It’s
    2:20:09 like, yeah, I’ll put my hand out for you. But it’s not because I’m a fool. And I think that’s
    2:20:13 right, because that’s the reistantiation of that initial trust, right, that makes childhood
    2:20:21 magical and paradisal. But it’s the admixture of that with wisdom. It’s like, yeah, you know,
    2:20:29 we could walk together uphill. But that doesn’t mean, and I’ll presume that that’s your aim.
    2:20:32 But that doesn’t mean that I’m not going to watch.
    2:20:41 What’s a better life, cynical and safe or hopeful and vulnerable to be hurt?
    2:20:47 Oh, you can’t dispense with vulnerable to be hurt. That’s the other realization. It’s like,
    2:20:51 you’re going to stake your life on something. You could stake your life on security, but it’s
    2:20:56 not going to help. You don’t have that option. So what do you do when you’re betrayed,
    2:21:04 ultimately by some people you come across? Grieve and look elsewhere.
    2:21:11 Do what you can to forgive. And not least, so you lighten your own burden.
    2:21:19 Maybe do what you can to help the person who betrayed you. And if that all proves impossible,
    2:21:26 then wash your hands of it and move on to the next adventure. And do it again.
    2:21:34 Yeah. Yeah. Boy, this life, something else. Say, we’ve been talking about some
    2:21:39 heavy, difficult topics, and you’ve talked about truth in your Nietzsche lectures and elsewhere.
    2:21:45 When you think, when you write, when you speak, how do you find what is true?
    2:21:49 You know, Hemingway said, all you have to do is write one true sentence.
    2:21:55 How do you do that? Well, I would say first that you practice that. It’s like,
    2:22:01 it, that question is something, and Hemingway knew this at least to some degree, and he certainly
    2:22:08 wrote about it, is that you have to orient your life upward as completely as you can. Because
    2:22:13 otherwise you can’t distinguish between truth and falsehood. It has to be a practice. Now,
    2:22:17 and for me, I started to become serious about that practice when I realized that
    2:22:25 it was individual, it was the immorality of the individual, the resentful, craven, deceitful,
    2:22:31 immorality of the individual that led to the terrible atrocities that humans
    2:22:36 engage in that make us doubt even our own worth. I became completely convinced of that,
    2:22:42 that the fundamental root cause of evil, let’s say, wasn’t economic or sociological,
    2:22:50 that it was spiritual, just psychological, and that if that was the case, you had an existential
    2:22:57 responsibility to aim upward and to tell the truth, and that everything depends on that. And
    2:23:06 I became convinced of that. And so then, look, you set your path with your orientation. That’s
    2:23:11 how your perceptions work. As soon as you have a goal, a pathway opens up to you and you can see it,
    2:23:17 and the world divides itself into obstacles and things that move you forward. And so the pathway
    2:23:23 that’s in front of you depends on your aim. The things you perceive are concretizations of your aim.
    2:23:28 If your aim is untrue, then you won’t be able to tell the difference between truth and falsehood.
    2:23:32 And you might say, well, how do you know your aim is true? It’s like, well,
    2:23:37 you course correct continually, and you can aim towards the ultimate. Are you ever sure that
    2:23:43 your aim is the right direction? You become increasingly accurate in your apprehension.
    2:23:48 Is it like part of the process to cross the line to go outside the over-to-window,
    2:23:53 to dip a toe outside the over-to-window for a bit? Of course. That’s what you do in part and play.
    2:24:00 I was at the comedy mothership, and every single comedian was completely reprehensible.
    2:24:06 All they were doing was saying things that you can’t say. Well, but it was in play. What I’m
    2:24:11 trying to do in my lectures is I’m on the edge. I have a question I’m trying to address, and I’m
    2:24:17 trying to figure it out. I don’t know where the conversation is going. Truly. It’s an exploration,
    2:24:22 and I think the reason that the audiences respond is because they can feel that it’s a high wire
    2:24:28 act, and I could fail. And my lectures have degrees of success. Sometimes I get real fortunate,
    2:24:33 and there’s a perfect narrative arc. I have a question. I’m investigating it. It comes to a
    2:24:37 punchline conclusion just at the right time, and it’s like the whole act is complete, and sometimes
    2:24:43 it’s more fragmented. But I can tell when the audience is engaged because everyone’s silent,
    2:24:48 except maybe when they’re laughing. There’s a kind of sense that you’re arguing with yourself
    2:24:51 and you’re lecturing. It’s beautiful. It’s really beautiful and powerful to watch.
    2:24:55 Like Nietzsche does the same. There’s contradictions in what you’re saying. There’s a struggle
    2:24:59 that you’re saying. But I do think that when you’re doing the same on the internet, you get
    2:25:04 punished for the deviations. You get punished for the exploration, especially when that explores
    2:25:09 outside the overton window. Look, if you’re going to play hard in a conversation
    2:25:16 to explore, you’re going to say things that are edgy, that are going to cause trouble,
    2:25:20 and that might be wrong. And that’s another reason why free speech protection is so
    2:25:25 important. You actually have to protect the right, let’s say in the optimal circumstance,
    2:25:29 you have to protect the right of well-meaning people to be wrong. Now, you probably have to
    2:25:33 go beyond that to truly protect it. You have to even protect the right of people who aren’t
    2:25:39 meaning well to be wrong. And we also need that because we’re not always well-meaning.
    2:25:46 But the alternative to that protection would be the insistence that people only say what was
    2:25:53 100% right all the time. I’m also, I guess this is a call to our fellow humans not to reduce a
    2:26:00 person through a particular statement, which is what the internet tends to want to do.
    2:26:04 Especially if it’s the worst thing they ever said. Because God, well,
    2:26:07 anyone judged by that standard is doomed unless they’re silent.
    2:26:14 But it also just makes you not want to play. Not want to take sort of radical thought experiments
    2:26:17 and carry out to a natural conclusion. Yeah, well, that’s kind of the definition of a totalitarian
    2:26:23 state. No one’s playing in a totalitarian state ever. But in this case, it’s an emergent one
    2:26:29 with psychopaths roaming the landscape, the barbarians. That might be the general pattern
    2:26:35 of totalitarianism. Well, in totalitarianism, there’s usually one psychopath, not multiple.
    2:26:38 Yeah, but everyone, well, everyone else is complicit, at least in their silence.
    2:26:44 Yeah. Does the study of the pathology of psychopaths online, where on you?
    2:26:48 Yes, definitely. Do you ever consider doing less of that?
    2:26:54 Yes. Yes, definitely. But you know,
    2:27:07 probably I experienced most of that on X. But that’s also where I found most of my guests.
    2:27:12 That’s also where I get a sense of the zeitgeist, which is necessary, for example,
    2:27:16 if you’re going to be a podcast host, it’s necessary for me to make my lectures on point
    2:27:23 and up to date, to get a sampling of the current moment. You have to be of the moment in many
    2:27:29 ways to function at a high level. There’s a price to be paid for that, because you’re
    2:27:37 exposed to everything in a sense. And you can also oversample the darkness.
    2:27:41 Yeah. Yeah, definitely. And it can make you more and more cynical.
    2:27:45 Yeah. Well, it’s a danger, right? Yeah. Well, luckily for me, I have
    2:27:49 many things that counterbalance that, the familial relationships we talked about,
    2:27:55 the friendships, and then also all of the public things I do are positive. The lecture tours,
    2:28:03 for example, which I’m on a lot, they’re basically 100% positive. So I’m very well
    2:28:08 buttressed against that. That’s great to hear.
    2:28:14 Darker element. As a fan in the arena watching the gladiators fight, your mind is too important
    2:28:21 to be lost to the cynical, to the battles with the abyss.
    2:28:26 Well, you have a moral obligation, too, to maintain a positive orientation.
    2:28:34 It’s a moral obligation. The future is, of course, rife with contradictory possibilities. And I
    2:28:40 suppose in some ways, the more rapid the rate of transformation, the more possibility for
    2:28:46 good and for evil is making itself manifest at any moment. But it looks like the best way to
    2:28:50 ensure that the future is everything we wish it would be is to
    2:28:52 maintain faith that that is the direction that will prevail.
    2:28:58 And I think that’s a form of moral commitment when it’s not just naive optimism.
    2:29:06 Well, Jordan, thank you for being courageous and being the light amid the darkness for many,
    2:29:09 many people. And thank you for once again talking today.
    2:29:13 Thanks very much for the invitation and for the conversations. But it’s always a pleasure to see
    2:29:21 you. And you’re doing a pretty decent job yourself about there illuminating dark corners and
    2:29:27 bringing people upward. I mean, you’ve got a remarkable thing going with your podcast. And
    2:29:29 you’re very good at it. Thank you, Jordan.
    2:29:34 Thanks for listening to this conversation with Jordan Peterson. To support this podcast,
    2:29:38 please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, let me leave you some words from
    2:29:45 Friedrich Nietzsche. I would like to learn more and more to see as beautiful that which is necessary
    2:29:52 in things. Then I shall be one of those who make things beautiful. Thank you for listening
    2:30:08 and hope to see you next time.
    2:30:11 (gentle music)

    Jordan Peterson is a psychologist, author, lecturer, and podcast host.
    Thank you for listening ❤ Check out our sponsors: https://lexfridman.com/sponsors/ep448-sc
    See below for timestamps, transcript, and to give feedback, submit questions, contact Lex, etc.

    Transcript:
    https://lexfridman.com/jordan-peterson-2-transcript

    CONTACT LEX:
    Feedback – give feedback to Lex: https://lexfridman.com/survey
    AMA – submit questions, videos or call-in: https://lexfridman.com/ama
    Hiring – join our team: https://lexfridman.com/hiring
    Other – other ways to get in touch: https://lexfridman.com/contact

    EPISODE LINKS:
    Peterson Academy: https://petersonacademy.com
    Jordan’s X: https://x.com/jordanbpeterson
    Jordan’s YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@JordanBPeterson
    Jordan’s Website: https://jordanbpeterson.com

    Jordan’s Books:
    We Who Wrestle with God: https://amzn.to/485Dz4a
    Beyond Order: https://amzn.to/3T4LRBw
    12 Rules for Life: https://amzn.to/3c4sqYF
    Maps of Meaning: https://amzn.to/3A1Ods2

    SPONSORS:
    To support this podcast, check out our sponsors & get discounts:
    Eight Sleep: Temp-controlled smart mattress.
    Go to https://eightsleep.com/lex
    Ground News: Unbiased news source.
    Go to https://groundnews.com/lex
    BetterHelp: Online therapy and counseling.
    Go to https://betterhelp.com/lex
    LMNT: Zero-sugar electrolyte drink mix.
    Go to https://drinkLMNT.com/lex

    OUTLINE:
    (00:00) – Introduction
    (07:07) – Nietzsche
    (14:48) – Power and propaganda
    (19:54) – Nazism
    (24:54) – Religion
    (41:18) – Communism
    (47:03) – Hero myth
    (49:12) – Belief in God
    (59:24) – Advice for young people
    (1:12:02) – Sex
    (1:32:00) – Good and evil
    (1:44:46) – Psychopathy
    (1:58:15) – Hardship
    (2:10:31) – Pain and gratitude
    (2:21:32) – Truth

    PODCAST LINKS:
    – Podcast Website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast
    – Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr
    – Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8
    – RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/
    – Podcast Playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLrAXtmErZgOdP_8GztsuKi9nrraNbKKp4
    – Clips Channel: https://www.youtube.com/lexclips

  • #447 – Cursor Team: Future of Programming with AI

    AI transcript
    0:00:05 The following is a conversation with the founding members of the Cursor team, Michael Trule,
    0:00:10 Swaly Asif, Arvid Lunmark, and Aman Sanger.
    0:00:16 Cursor is a code editor based on VS Code that adds a lot of powerful features for AI-assisted
    0:00:18 coding.
    0:00:24 It has captivated the attention and excitement of the programming and AI communities.
    0:00:30 So I thought this is an excellent opportunity to dive deep into the role of AI in programming.
    0:00:36 This is a super technical conversation that is bigger than just about one code editor.
    0:00:42 It’s about the future of programming and in general the future of human-AI collaboration
    0:00:48 in designing and engineering complicated and powerful systems.
    0:00:50 And now a quick few second mention of each sponsor.
    0:00:54 Check them out in the description, it’s the best way to support this podcast.
    0:00:59 We got Encore for unifying your machine learning stack, Masterclass for learning, Shopify for
    0:01:05 selling stuff online, NetSuite for your business, and AG1 for your health.
    0:01:07 Choose what is it my friends.
    0:01:13 Also, if you want to get in touch with me for whatever reason, or take a survey or submit
    0:01:17 questions for an AMA, all of that will be great.
    0:01:19 Go to lexframing.com/contact.
    0:01:24 And now onto the full ad reads, I try to make them interesting, but if you skip them please
    0:01:28 still check out our sponsors, I enjoy their stuff, maybe you will too.
    0:01:34 This episode is brought to you by Encore, a platform that provides data focused AI tooling
    0:01:39 for data annotation, curation management, and for model evaluation.
    0:01:45 One of the things I love about these guys is they have a great blog that describes cleanly,
    0:01:49 I mean it’s technical, but it’s not too technical, but it’s sufficiently technical to where it’s
    0:01:52 actually describing the ideas not BS.
    0:01:59 Blog posts on sort of the state of the art, like the OpenAI 01 model that was just released.
    0:02:05 So sometimes they integrate it into why this is a part of Encore, why this makes sense,
    0:02:06 and sometimes not.
    0:02:09 And so I love that, I recommend their blog just in general.
    0:02:13 That said, when they are looking at state of the art models, they are always looking for
    0:02:15 ways to integrate it into their platform.
    0:02:19 Basically, it’s a place to organize your data, and data is everything.
    0:02:26 This was true before the popularity and the explosion of attention methods of transformers,
    0:02:29 and it is still very much true now.
    0:02:34 Sort of the non-synthetic, the human generated data is extremely important.
    0:02:37 How you generate that data, how you organize that data, how you leverage it, how you train
    0:02:43 on it, how you fine tune on it, the pre-training, the post-training, all of it, the whole thing.
    0:02:45 It is extremely, extremely important.
    0:02:48 And so Encore takes data very seriously.
    0:02:54 Anyway, go try out Encore to create, annotate and manage your AI data at Encore.com/Lex.
    0:02:58 That’s Encore.com/Lex.
    0:03:04 This episode is also brought to you by MasterClass, where you can watch over 200 classes from the
    0:03:07 best people in the world and their respective disciplines.
    0:03:09 Carlos Santana on guitar, for example.
    0:03:10 I loved that one.
    0:03:14 There’s a few guitar ones, Tomorello, too, great, great, great stuff, but…
    0:03:18 Carlos Santana, his instrumental Europa.
    0:03:24 I haven’t quite tried to play that, but it’s on my to-do list, it’s sort of one of those
    0:03:30 things you know for sure this is the thing I will play, because it’s too beautiful, it’s
    0:03:32 too soulful.
    0:03:36 It feels like once you play, you understand something about the guitar that you didn’t
    0:03:37 before.
    0:03:38 It’s not blues.
    0:03:39 It’s not.
    0:03:41 It’s not what it is.
    0:03:51 It’s some kind of dream-like teleportation into a psychedelic world where the tone is
    0:03:56 warmer than anything else I’ve ever heard, and still the guitar can cry.
    0:03:57 I don’t know.
    0:03:58 I love it.
    0:03:59 He’s a genius.
    0:04:08 So it’s such a gift that you can get a genius like that to teach us about his secrets.
    0:04:13 Get unlimited access to every masterclass and get an additional 15% off an annual membership
    0:04:16 at masterclass.com/lexpod.
    0:04:21 That’s masterclass.com/lexpod.
    0:04:27 This episode is also brought to you by Shopify, a platform designed for anyone to sell anywhere
    0:04:33 with a great looking online store, or a simple looking online store, like the one I put together
    0:04:34 at Lex Freeman.com/store.
    0:04:39 I have a few shirts on there in case you’re interested.
    0:04:45 And speaking of shirts, I’m reminded of thrift stores, which I very much loved for a long
    0:04:46 time.
    0:04:54 I still love thrift stores, or a nice place to get stuff like kitchen stuff and clothing.
    0:04:58 And the kind of clothing you get at thrift stores is actually pretty interesting because
    0:05:00 there’s shirts there.
    0:05:03 They’re just unlike anything else you would get anywhere else.
    0:05:10 So if you’re sort of selective and creative-minded, there’s a lot of interesting fashion that’s
    0:05:11 there.
    0:05:16 And in terms of t-shirts, there’s just like hilarious t-shirts, t-shirts that are very
    0:05:20 far away from the kind of trajectories you have taken in life, or are not, but you just
    0:05:24 haven’t thought about it, like a band that you love, but you’ve never would have thought
    0:05:26 to wear their t-shirt.
    0:05:32 Anyway, a little bit, I think it’s Shopify as the internet’s thrift store.
    0:05:36 Of course, you can do super classy, you can do super fancy, or you can do super thrift.
    0:05:39 All of it is possible.
    0:05:42 Sign up for a $1 per month trial period at Shopify.com/Lex.
    0:05:44 That’s all lowercase.
    0:05:49 Go to Shopify.com/Lex to take your business to the next level today.
    0:05:56 This episode is also brought to you by Netsuite, an all-in-one cloud business management system.
    0:06:02 Sometimes I think that Netsuite is supporting this podcast because they’re trolling me.
    0:06:06 They’re saying, “Hey, Lex, aren’t you doing a little too much talking?
    0:06:08 Maybe you should be building more.”
    0:06:10 I agree with you, Netsuite.
    0:06:12 I agree with you.
    0:06:18 And so every time I do an ad read for Netsuite, it is a chance for me to confront my Jungin
    0:06:19 shadow.
    0:06:26 Some of the demons emerge from the subconscious and ask questions that I don’t have answers
    0:06:31 to, questions about one’s mortality and that life is short, and that one of the most fulfilling
    0:06:35 things in life is to have a family and kids and all of these things I would very much
    0:06:37 like to have.
    0:06:43 And also the reality that I love programming and I love building, I love creating cool
    0:06:49 things that people can use and share and that would make their life better, all of that.
    0:06:53 Of course, I also love listening to podcasts, and I kind of think of this podcast as me
    0:06:59 listening to a podcast where I can also maybe participate by asking questions.
    0:07:04 So all of these things that you love, but you ask the hard question of like, “Okay,
    0:07:08 while life is slipping away, it’s short, it really, really is short.
    0:07:13 What do you want to do with the rest of the minutes and the hours that make up your life?”
    0:07:14 Yeah.
    0:07:16 So thank you for the existential crisis, Netsuite.
    0:07:18 I appreciate it.
    0:07:22 If you’re running a business, if you have taken the leap into the unknown and started
    0:07:27 a company, then you should be using the right tools to manage that company.
    0:07:30 In fact, over 37,000 companies have upgraded to Netsuite.
    0:07:38 Take advantage of Netsuite’s flexible financing plan at Netsuite.com/Lex, that’s Netsuite.com/Lex.
    0:07:43 This episode is also brought to you by The Delicious, The Delicious AG1.
    0:07:47 It’s an all-in-one daily drink to support better health and peak performance.
    0:07:53 It’s basically a super awesome multivitamin that makes me feel like I have my life together.
    0:07:57 Even when everything else feels like it’s falling apart, at least I have AG1.
    0:08:00 At least I have that nutritional foundation to my life.
    0:08:06 So the fast thing I’m doing, all the carnivore diets, all the physical endurance events and
    0:08:12 the mental madness of staying up all night or just the stress of certain things I’m
    0:08:19 going through, all of that, AG1 is there, at least they have the vitamins.
    0:08:25 Also, sometimes wonder, they used to be called Athletic Greens and now they’re called AG1.
    0:08:27 I always wonder, is AG2 coming?
    0:08:28 Like, why is it just one?
    0:08:32 It’s an interesting branding decision, like AG1.
    0:08:38 Me as an OCD kind of programmer type, it’s like, okay, is this a versioning thing?
    0:08:42 Okay, is this like AG0.1 alpha?
    0:08:45 When’s the final release?
    0:08:52 Anyway, the thing I like to say and to consume is AG1, they’ll give you one month supply
    0:08:58 of fish oil when you sign up at drinkag1.com/lex.
    0:09:02 This is the Lex Freeman podcast, to support it, please check out our sponsors in the
    0:09:03 description.
    0:09:08 And now, dear friends, here’s Michael, Swale, Arvid, and Aman.
    0:09:31 All right, this is awesome, we have Michael, Aman, Swale, Arvid here from the cursor team.
    0:09:36 First up, big ridiculous question, what’s the point of a code editor?
    0:09:42 So the code editor is largely the place where you build software, and today, or for a long
    0:09:47 time, that’s meant the place where you text edit a formal programming language.
    0:09:50 And for people who aren’t programmers, the way to think of a code editor is like a really
    0:09:56 souped up word processor for programmers, where the reason it’s souped up is code has
    0:09:57 a lot of structure.
    0:10:03 And so the quote unquote word processor, the code editor, can actually do a lot for you
    0:10:08 that word processors in the writing space haven’t been able to do for people editing text there.
    0:10:13 And so that’s everything from giving you visual differentiation of the actual tokens in the
    0:10:17 code, so you can scan it quickly, to letting you navigate around the code base, like you’re
    0:10:21 navigating around the internet with hyperlinks, you’re going to definitions of things you’re
    0:10:28 using to error checking, to catch rudimentary bugs.
    0:10:33 And so traditionally, that’s what a code editor has meant.
    0:10:38 And I think that what a code editor is, is going to change a lot over the next 10 years.
    0:10:42 As what it means to build software, maybe starts to look a bit different.
    0:10:45 I think also a code editor should just be fun.
    0:10:46 Yes.
    0:10:47 That is very important.
    0:10:48 That is very important.
    0:10:54 And it’s actually sort of an underrated aspect of how we decide what to build, like a lot
    0:11:00 of the things that we build, and then we try them out, we do an experiment, and then we
    0:11:03 actually throw them out because they’re not fun.
    0:11:08 And so a big part of being fun is being fast, a lot of the time.
    0:11:09 Fast is fun.
    0:11:10 Yeah.
    0:11:14 That should be a T-shirt.
    0:11:18 But fundamentally, I think one of the things that draws a lot of people to building stuff
    0:11:24 on computers is this insane integration speed, where in other disciplines, you might be sort
    0:11:29 of gate capped by resources or the ability, even the ability to get a large group together
    0:11:34 and coding is this amazing thing where it’s you and the computer and that alone, you can
    0:11:36 build really cool stuff really quickly.
    0:11:42 So for people to know, Cursor is this super cool new editor that’s a fork of VS Code.
    0:11:49 It would be interesting to get your kind of explanation of your own journey of editors.
    0:11:54 How did you, I think all of you were big fans of VS Code with Co-Pilot.
    0:12:00 How did you arrive to VS Code and how did that lead to your journey with Cursor?
    0:12:01 Yeah.
    0:12:05 So I think a lot of us, all of us were originally fan users.
    0:12:06 Pure fan.
    0:12:07 Pure fan.
    0:12:08 Yeah.
    0:12:11 No neo fan, just pure fan and a terminal.
    0:12:20 And at least for myself, it was around the time that Co-Pilot came out, so 2021, that
    0:12:21 I really wanted to try it.
    0:12:26 So I went into VS Code, the only platform, the only co-editor in which it was available.
    0:12:33 And even though I really enjoyed using them, just the experience of Co-Pilot with VS Code
    0:12:37 was more than good enough to convince me to switch.
    0:12:41 And so that kind of was the default until we started working on Cursor.
    0:12:43 And maybe we should explain what Co-Pilot does.
    0:12:46 It’s like a really nice autocomplete.
    0:12:50 It suggests as you start writing a thing, it suggests one or two or three lines how to
    0:12:52 complete the thing.
    0:12:57 And there’s a fun experience in that, you know, like when you have a close friendship
    0:13:02 and your friend completes your sentences, like when it’s done well, there’s an intimate
    0:13:03 feeling.
    0:13:08 There’s probably a better word than intimate, but there’s a cool feeling of like, holy shit,
    0:13:10 it gets me.
    0:13:14 And then there’s an unpleasant feeling when it doesn’t get you.
    0:13:19 And so there’s that kind of friction, but I would say for a lot of people, the feeling
    0:13:21 that it gets me overpowers that it doesn’t.
    0:13:25 And I think actually one of the underrated aspects of get up Co-Pilot is that even when
    0:13:29 it’s wrong, it’s like a little bit annoying, but it’s not that bad because you just type
    0:13:33 another character and then maybe then it gets you, or you type another character and then
    0:13:34 it gets you.
    0:13:35 So even when it’s wrong, it’s not that bad.
    0:13:38 Yeah, you can sort of iterate and fix it.
    0:13:43 I mean, the other underrated part of Co-Pilot for me sort of was just the first real, real
    0:13:44 AI product.
    0:13:47 It’s like the first language model consumer product.
    0:13:52 So Co-Pilot was kind of like the first killer app for LMS.
    0:13:53 Yeah.
    0:13:55 And like the beta was out in 2021.
    0:13:56 Right.
    0:13:57 Okay.
    0:14:00 So what’s the origin story of cursor?
    0:14:05 So around 2020, the scaling loss papers came out from open AI.
    0:14:10 And that was a moment where this looked like clear predictable progress for the field where
    0:14:13 even if we didn’t have any more ideas, looks like you can make these models a lot better
    0:14:16 if you had more compute and more data.
    0:14:21 By the way, we’ll probably talk for three to four hours on the topic of scaling loss.
    0:14:22 Yes.
    0:14:27 But just to summarize, it’s a paper and a set of papers and set of ideas that say bigger
    0:14:32 might be better for model size and data size in the realm of machine learning.
    0:14:34 It’s bigger and better, but predictively better.
    0:14:35 Okay.
    0:14:36 That’s another topic of conversation.
    0:14:37 Yeah.
    0:14:40 So around that time, for some of us, there were like a lot of conceptual conversations
    0:14:43 about what’s this going to look like?
    0:14:46 What’s the story going to be for all these different knowledge worker fields about how
    0:14:51 they’re going to be made better by this technology getting better?
    0:14:56 And then I think there were a couple of moments where the theoretical gains predicted in that
    0:15:00 paper started to feel really concrete and it started to feel like a moment where you
    0:15:06 could actually go and not do a PhD if you wanted to work on, do useful work in AI.
    0:15:10 I actually felt like now there was this whole set of systems one could build that were really
    0:15:11 useful.
    0:15:14 And I think that the first moment we already talked about a little bit, which was playing
    0:15:15 with the early bit of copilot.
    0:15:18 Like that was awesome and magical.
    0:15:22 I think that the next big moment where everything kind of clicked together was actually getting
    0:15:23 early access to GPT-4.
    0:15:29 So it was sort of end of 2022 was when we were tinkering with that model.
    0:15:32 And the step of incapability is felt enormous.
    0:15:37 And previous to that, we had been working on a couple of different projects we had been
    0:15:41 as a copilot because of scaling odds, because of our prior interests in the technology.
    0:15:46 We had been tinkering around with tools for programmers, but things that are very specific.
    0:15:52 So we were building tools for financial professionals who have to work within a Jupyter notebook
    0:15:55 or playing around with, can you do static analysis with these models?
    0:16:01 And then the stuff up in GPT-4 felt like, look, that really made concrete the theoretical
    0:16:06 gains that we had predicted before felt like you could build a lot more just immediately
    0:16:07 at that point in time.
    0:16:13 And also, if we were being consistent, it really felt like this wasn’t just going to
    0:16:14 be a point solution thing.
    0:16:16 This was going to be all the programming that was going to flow through these models.
    0:16:20 And it felt like that demanded a different type of programming environment, a different
    0:16:22 type of programming.
    0:16:26 And so we set off to build that sort of larger vision around that.
    0:16:28 There’s one that I distinctly remember.
    0:16:32 So my roommate is an IMO Gold winner.
    0:16:35 There’s a competition in the US called the Putnam, which is sort of the IMO for college
    0:16:36 people.
    0:16:40 And it’s this math competition is exceptionally good.
    0:16:50 So Sheng Tong and Amon, I remember, it’s sort of June of 2022, had this bet on whether
    0:16:56 the like 2024 June or July, you were going to win a gold medal in the IMO with like
    0:16:57 models.
    0:16:59 IMO is International Math Olympiad.
    0:17:00 Yeah.
    0:17:02 IMO is International Math Olympiad.
    0:17:05 And so Arvid and I are both also competed in it.
    0:17:09 So it was sort of personal.
    0:17:13 And I remember thinking, Matt, this is not going to happen.
    0:17:21 This was like, even though I sort of believed in progress, I thought, IMO Gold, like Amon
    0:17:22 is just delusional.
    0:17:23 Yeah.
    0:17:27 That was the, and to be honest, I mean, I was, to be clear, very wrong.
    0:17:31 But that was maybe the most prescient bet in the group.
    0:17:36 So the, the new results from DeepMind, it turned out that you were correct.
    0:17:37 That’s what the–
    0:17:38 Well, it was technically not.
    0:17:41 Technically incorrect, but one point away.
    0:17:43 Amon was very enthusiastic about this stuff.
    0:17:48 And before Amon had this like scaling loss t-shirt that he would walk around with, he
    0:17:51 had the like charts and like the formulas on it.
    0:17:54 So you like felt the AGI, or you felt the scaling loss?
    0:17:55 Yeah.
    0:18:01 I distinctly remember there was this one conversation I had with Michael where before
    0:18:05 I hadn’t thought super deeply and critically about scaling laws.
    0:18:09 And he kind of posed the question, why isn’t scaling all you need?
    0:18:12 Or why isn’t scaling going to result in massive gains in progress?
    0:18:15 And I think I went through like the, like the stages of grief.
    0:18:22 There is anger, denial, and then finally at the end, just thinking about it, acceptance.
    0:18:29 And I think I’ve been quite hopeful and optimistic about progress since.
    0:18:33 I think one thing I’ll caveat is, I think it also depends on like which domains you’re
    0:18:34 going to see progress.
    0:18:40 Like math is a great domain because especially like formal theorem proving because you get
    0:18:44 this fantastic signal of actually verifying if the thing was correct.
    0:18:47 And so this means something like RL can work really, really well.
    0:18:52 And I think like you could have systems that are perhaps very superhuman to math and still
    0:18:53 not technically have AGI.
    0:18:54 Okay.
    0:18:57 So can we take it all the way to cursor?
    0:18:58 And what is cursor?
    0:19:04 It’s a fork of VS code and VS code is one of the most popular editors for a long time.
    0:19:06 Like everybody found love with it.
    0:19:07 Everybody left Vim.
    0:19:13 I left Emacs for, sorry.
    0:19:19 So unified in some fundamental way, the developer community.
    0:19:23 And then you look at the space of things, you look at the scaling laws, AI is becoming
    0:19:24 amazing.
    0:19:30 And you decided, okay, it’s not enough to just write an extension for your VS code because
    0:19:32 there’s a lot of limitations to that.
    0:19:37 We need, if AI is going to keep getting better, better, better, we need to really like rethink
    0:19:40 how the AI is going to be part of the editing process.
    0:19:45 And so you decided to fork VS code and start to build a lot of the amazing features we’ll
    0:19:48 be able to talk about.
    0:19:49 But what was that decision like?
    0:19:55 Because there’s a lot of extensions, including co-pilot of VS code that are doing sort of
    0:19:56 AI type stuff.
    0:19:59 What was the decision like to just fork VS code?
    0:20:05 So the decision to do an editor seemed kind of self-evident to us for at least what we
    0:20:07 wanted to do and achieve.
    0:20:10 Because when we started working on the editor, the idea was, these models are going to get
    0:20:12 much better, their capabilities are going to improve, and it’s going to entirely change
    0:20:16 what you build software, both in a, you will have big productivity gains, but also radical
    0:20:20 and not like the active building software is going to change a lot.
    0:20:25 And so you’re very limited in the control you have over a code editor if you’re a plug
    0:20:28 into an existing coding environment.
    0:20:31 And we didn’t want to get locked in by those limitations.
    0:20:34 We wanted to be able to just build the most useful stuff.
    0:20:35 Okay.
    0:20:41 Well, then the natural question is, VS code is kind of with co-pilot a competitor.
    0:20:43 So how do you win?
    0:20:46 Is it basically just the speed and the quality of the features?
    0:20:52 Yeah, I mean, I think this is a space that is quite interesting, perhaps quite unique
    0:20:57 where if you look at previous tech waves, maybe there’s kind of one major thing that
    0:21:00 happened and unlock a new wave of companies.
    0:21:06 But every single year, every single model capability or jump you get model capabilities,
    0:21:13 you now unlock this new wave of features, things that are possible, especially in programming.
    0:21:18 And so I think in AI programming, being even just a few months ahead, let alone a year
    0:21:22 ahead, makes your product much, much, much more useful.
    0:21:28 I think the cursor a year from now will need to make the cursor of today look obsolete.
    0:21:33 And I think, you know, Microsoft has done a number of like fantastic things, but I don’t
    0:21:37 think they’re in a great place to really keep innovating and pushing on this in the way that
    0:21:39 a startup can.
    0:21:42 Just rapidly implementing features.
    0:21:49 And push, yeah, like and kind of doing the research experimentation necessary to really
    0:21:50 push the ceiling.
    0:21:53 I don’t know if I think of it in terms of features as I think of it in terms of like
    0:21:56 capabilities for programmers.
    0:22:01 It’s that like, you know, as, you know, the new one model came out and I’m sure there
    0:22:06 are going to be more models of different types, like longer context and maybe faster.
    0:22:14 Like, there’s all these crazy ideas that you can try and hopefully 10% of the crazy ideas
    0:22:17 will make it into something kind of cool and useful.
    0:22:24 And we want people to have that sooner to rephrase it’s like an underrated fact is we’re
    0:22:25 making it for ourselves.
    0:22:30 When we started cursor, you really felt this frustration that, you know, models, you could
    0:22:33 see models getting better.
    0:22:35 The cobalt experience had not changed.
    0:22:39 It was like, man, these guys like the ceiling is getting higher.
    0:22:41 Like, why are they not making new things?
    0:22:42 Like they should be making new things.
    0:22:45 They should be like, like, where’s all the alpha features?
    0:22:47 There were no alpha features.
    0:22:51 It was like, I’m sure it was selling well.
    0:22:55 I’m sure it was a great business, but it didn’t feel, I’m one of these people that
    0:23:00 really want to try and use new things and it was just, there was no new thing for like
    0:23:01 a very long while.
    0:23:02 Yeah.
    0:23:03 It’s interesting.
    0:23:08 I don’t know how you put that into words, but when you compare a cursor with cobalt,
    0:23:12 cobalt pretty quickly became, started to feel stale for some reason.
    0:23:13 Yeah.
    0:23:19 I think one thing that I think helps us is that we’re sort of doing it all in one where
    0:23:23 we’re developing the UX and the way you interact with the model.
    0:23:28 At the same time as we’re developing like how we actually make the model give better
    0:23:33 answers, so like how you build up the prompt or like how do you find the context and for
    0:23:36 a cursor tab, like how do you train the model.
    0:23:41 So I think that helps us to have all of it, like sort of like the same people working
    0:23:43 on the entire experience end to end.
    0:23:44 Yeah.
    0:23:47 It’s like the person making the UI and the person training the model like sit to like
    0:23:50 18 feet away.
    0:23:52 Often the same person even.
    0:23:53 Yeah.
    0:23:57 Often even the same person, so you can create things that are sort of not possible if you’re
    0:24:00 not talking, you’re not experimenting.
    0:24:03 And you’re using like you said cursor to write cursor.
    0:24:04 Of course.
    0:24:05 Oh, yeah.
    0:24:06 Yeah.
    0:24:07 Well, let’s talk about some of these features.
    0:24:14 Let’s talk about the all knowing, the all powerful praise B to the tab, auto complete
    0:24:17 on steroids basically.
    0:24:18 So how does tab work?
    0:24:19 What is tab?
    0:24:24 To highlight and summarize at a high level, I’d say that there are two things that cursor
    0:24:25 is pretty good at right now.
    0:24:27 There are other things that it does.
    0:24:31 But two things that it helps programmers with.
    0:24:36 One is this idea of looking over your shoulder and being like a really fast colleague who
    0:24:41 can kind of jump ahead of you and type and figure out what you’re going to do next.
    0:24:47 And that was the original idea behind, that was kind of the kernel, the idea behind good
    0:24:51 auto complete was predicting what you’re going to do next, but you can make that concept
    0:24:56 even more ambitious by not just predicting the characters after your cursor, but actually
    0:24:58 predicting the next entire change you’re going to make the next diff, the next place
    0:25:01 you’re going to jump to.
    0:25:07 And the second thing cursor is pretty good at right now too, is helping you sometimes
    0:25:13 jump ahead of the AI and tell it what to do and go from instructions to code.
    0:25:16 And on both of those, we’ve done a lot of work on making the editing experience for
    0:25:21 those things ergonomic and also making those things smart and fast.
    0:25:24 One of the things we really wanted was we wanted the model to be able to edit code for
    0:25:25 us.
    0:25:30 That was kind of a wish and we had multiple attempts at it before we had sort of a good
    0:25:34 model that could edit code for you.
    0:25:39 Then after we had a good model, I think there had been a lot of effort to make the inference
    0:25:45 fast for having a good experience.
    0:25:50 And we’ve been starting to incorporate, I mean, Michael sort of mentioned this like
    0:25:52 ability to jump to different places.
    0:25:57 And that jump to different places, I think, came from a feeling of, you know, once you
    0:26:04 accept an edit, it’s like, man, it should be just really obvious where to go next.
    0:26:08 It’s like, I’d made this change, the model should just now that like the next place to
    0:26:11 go to is like 18 lines down.
    0:26:18 If you’re a WIM user, you could press 18jj or whatever, but like, why am I doing this?
    0:26:20 Like the model should just know it.
    0:26:24 And then so the idea was, you know, you just press tab, it would go 18 lines down and then
    0:26:28 make it show you the next edit and you would press tab.
    0:26:31 So it was just you, as long as you could keep pressing tab.
    0:26:35 And so the internal competition was how many tabs can we make someone press.
    0:26:41 Once you have like the idea, more sort of abstractly, the thing to think about is sort
    0:26:45 of like, how are the edits sort of zero entropy?
    0:26:50 So once you’ve sort of expressed your intent and the edit is, there’s no like new bits
    0:26:56 of information to finish your thought, but you still have to type some characters to
    0:27:00 like make the computer understand what you’re actually thinking, then maybe the model should
    0:27:07 just sort of read your mind and all the zero entropy bits should just be like tabbed away.
    0:27:08 Yeah.
    0:27:09 That was sort of the abstract.
    0:27:12 And this is an interesting thing where if you look at language model loss on different
    0:27:19 domains, I believe the bits per byte, which is kind of character normalize loss for code
    0:27:23 is lower than language, which means in general, there are a lot of tokens in code that are
    0:27:27 super predictable, a lot of characters that are super predictable.
    0:27:32 And this is I think even magnified when you’re not just trying to autocomplete code, but
    0:27:37 predicting what the user is going to do next in their editing of existing code.
    0:27:41 And so, you know, the gold cursor tabs, let’s eliminate all the low entropy actions you
    0:27:43 take inside of the editor.
    0:27:47 When the intent is effectively determined, let’s just jump you forward in time, skip
    0:27:48 you forward.
    0:27:52 Well, what’s the intuition and what’s the technical details of how to do next cursor
    0:27:54 prediction?
    0:27:58 That jump, that’s not, that’s not so intuitive, I think to people.
    0:27:59 Yeah.
    0:28:03 I think I can speak to a few of the details on how to make these things work.
    0:28:09 They’re incredibly low latency, so you need to train small models on this, on this task.
    0:28:15 In particular, they’re incredibly pre-filled token hungry, what that means is they have
    0:28:19 these really, really long prompts where they see a lot of your code, and they’re not actually
    0:28:21 generating that many tokens.
    0:28:27 And so the perfect fit for that is using a sparse model, meaning an MOE model.
    0:28:31 So that was kind of one, one break, one break that we made that substantially improved performance
    0:28:32 at longer context.
    0:28:38 The other being a variant of speculative coding that we kind of built out called speculative
    0:28:39 edits.
    0:28:46 These are two, I think, important pieces of what make it quite high quality and very fast.
    0:28:47 Okay.
    0:28:51 So MOE, make sure of experts, the input is huge, the output is small.
    0:28:52 Yeah.
    0:28:53 Okay.
    0:28:57 So what else can you say about how to make, is like caching play a role in this particular
    0:29:02 model. Caching plays a huge role because you’re dealing with this many input tokens.
    0:29:08 If every single keystroke that you’re typing in a given line, you had to rerun the model
    0:29:13 on all of those tokens passed in, you’re just going to, one, significantly degrade latency,
    0:29:16 two, you’re going to kill your GPUs with load.
    0:29:22 So you need to design the actual prompts used for the model such that they’re caching
    0:29:28 aware and then you need to reuse the KV cache across requests, just so that you’re spending
    0:29:30 less work, less compute.
    0:29:37 Again, what are the things that Tab is supposed to be able to do kind of in the near term,
    0:29:46 just to sort of linger on that? Generate code, fill empty space, also edit code across multiple
    0:29:51 lines and then jump to different locations inside the same file and then launch.
    0:29:56 And hopefully jump to different files also. So if you make an edit in one file and maybe
    0:30:03 you have to go to another file to finish your thought, it should go to the second file also.
    0:30:09 The full generalization is like next action prediction. Sometimes you need to run a command
    0:30:14 in the terminal and it should be able to suggest the command based on the code that you wrote
    0:30:22 to. Or sometimes you actually need to, like it suggests something, but it’s hard for you
    0:30:26 to know if it’s correct because you actually need some more information to learn. You need
    0:30:29 to know the type to be able to verify that it’s correct.
    0:30:33 So maybe it should actually take you to a place that’s like the definition of something
    0:30:38 and then take you back so that you have all the requisite knowledge to be able to accept
    0:30:39 the next completion.
    0:30:47 Also providing the human the knowledge. Yes. Right. Can you integrate like, I just gone
    0:30:53 to know a guy named Prime Jen who I believe has an SS, you can order coffee via SSH?
    0:30:56 Oh yeah. We did that.
    0:30:57 We did that.
    0:31:04 So can that also the model do that? Like feed you and provide you with caffeine. Okay,
    0:31:11 so that’s the general framework. Yeah. And the magic moment would be if it is programming
    0:31:17 is this weird discipline where sometimes the next five minutes, not always, but sometimes
    0:31:19 the next five minutes of what you’re going to do is actually predictable from the stuff
    0:31:23 you’ve done recently. And so can you get to a world where that next five minutes either
    0:31:27 happens by you disengaging and it taking you through or maybe a little bit more of just
    0:31:30 you seeing next step what it’s going to do and you’re like, okay, that’s good. That’s
    0:31:35 good. That’s good. And you can just sort of tap, tap, tap through these big changes.
    0:31:39 As we’re talking about this, as you mentioned, one of the really cool and noticeable things
    0:31:44 about cursor is that there’s this whole diff interface situation going on. So like the
    0:31:50 model suggests with the red and the green of like, here’s how we’re going to modify
    0:31:54 the code. And in the chat window, you can apply and it shows you the diff and you can
    0:31:58 accept the diff. So maybe can you speak to whatever direction of that?
    0:32:05 We’ll probably have like four or five different kinds of diffs. So we we have optimized the
    0:32:11 diff for for the autocomplete. So that has a different diff interface than then when
    0:32:16 you’re reviewing larger blocks of code. And then we’re trying to optimize another diff
    0:32:23 thing for when you’re doing multiple different files. And sort of at a high level, the difference
    0:32:30 is for when you’re doing autocomplete, it should be really, really fast to read. Actually,
    0:32:35 it should be really fast to read in all situations. But in autocomplete, it’s sort of you’re really
    0:32:40 like your eyes focused in one area, you can’t be in too many, the humans can’t look in
    0:32:41 too many different places.
    0:32:43 So you’re talking about on the interface side?
    0:32:48 On the interface side. So it currently has this box on the side. So we have the current
    0:32:53 box. And if you try to delete code in some place and tries to add other code, it tries
    0:32:58 to show you a box on the side, maybe show it if we pull it up and cursor.com. This is
    0:32:59 what we’re talking about.
    0:33:05 So that that box, it was like three or four different attempts at trying to make this
    0:33:12 this thing work, where first the attempt was like these blue crossed out line. So before
    0:33:18 it was a box on the side, it used to show you the code to delete by showing you like,
    0:33:22 like Google Doc style, you would see like a line through it, then you would see the
    0:33:28 new code. And that was super distracting. And then we tried many different, you know,
    0:33:33 there was there was sort of deletions, there was trying to read highlight. Then the next
    0:33:40 iteration of it, which is sort of funny, would you would hold the on Mac, the option button.
    0:33:44 So it would, it would sort of highlight a region of code to show you that there might
    0:33:51 be something coming. So maybe in this example, like the input and the value would get would
    0:33:57 all get blue. And the blue was to highlight that the AI had a suggestion for you. So instead
    0:34:01 of directly showing you the thing, it would show you that the AI, it would just hint that
    0:34:05 the AI had a suggestion. And if you really wanted to see it, you would hold the option
    0:34:11 button. And then you would see the new suggestion. And if you release the option button, you
    0:34:14 would then see your original code.
    0:34:17 So that’s, by the way, that’s pretty nice, but you have to know to hold the option button.
    0:34:18 Yeah.
    0:34:21 So by the way, I’m not a Mac user, but I got it.
    0:34:25 It was, it was a button, I guess, you people have.
    0:34:29 It’s, you know, it’s again, it’s just, it’s just not intuitive. I think that’s the, that’s
    0:34:30 the key thing.
    0:34:33 And there’s a chance this, this is also not the final version of it.
    0:34:41 I am personally very excited for making a lot of improvements in this area. Like we often
    0:34:48 talk about it as the verification problem where these diffs are great for small edits,
    0:34:55 for large edits, or like when it’s multiple files or something, it’s actually a little
    0:34:59 bit prohibitive to, to review these diffs.
    0:35:04 So there are like a couple of different ideas here. Like one idea that we have is, okay,
    0:35:09 you know, like parts of the diffs are important. They have a lot of information. And then parts
    0:35:15 of the diff are just very low entropy. They’re like example, like the same thing over and
    0:35:16 over again.
    0:35:20 And so maybe you can highlight the important pieces and then gray out the not so important
    0:35:26 pieces. Or maybe you can have a model that looks at the diff and sees, oh, there’s a
    0:35:31 likely bug here. I will like mark this with a little red squiggly and say like, you should
    0:35:37 probably like review this part of the diff. And ideas in that vein, I think are exciting.
    0:35:43 Yeah, that’s a really fascinating space of like UX design engineering. So you’re basically
    0:35:49 trying to guide the human programmer through all the things they need to read and nothing
    0:35:50 more.
    0:35:51 Yeah.
    0:35:52 Like optimally.
    0:35:59 I want an intelligent model to do it. Like currently diff algorithms are, they’re like,
    0:36:05 they’re just like normal algorithms. There is no intelligence. There’s like intelligence
    0:36:09 that went into designing the algorithm, but then there is no like you don’t care if it’s
    0:36:13 about this thing or this thing, as you want a model to do this.
    0:36:20 So I think the general question is like, Matt, these models are going to get much smarter.
    0:36:26 As the models get much smarter, the changes they will be able to propose are much bigger.
    0:36:29 So as the changes gets bigger and bigger and bigger, the humans have to do more and more
    0:36:34 and more verification work. It gets more and more and more hard. Like just you need, you
    0:36:41 need to help them out. It’s sort of, I don’t want to spend all my time reviewing code.
    0:36:46 Can you say a little more across multiples files, diff?
    0:36:51 Yeah. I mean, so GitHub tries to sell this, right? With code review. When you’re doing
    0:36:57 code review, you’re reviewing multiple diffs across multiple files. But like Arvid said
    0:37:02 earlier, I think you can do much better than code review. You know, code review kind of
    0:37:07 sucks. Like you spend a lot of time trying to grok this code that’s often quite unfamiliar
    0:37:14 to you. And it often like doesn’t even actually catch that many bugs. And I think you can
    0:37:19 significantly improve that review experience using language models, for example, using
    0:37:23 the kinds of tricks that Arvid had described of maybe pointing you towards the regions
    0:37:31 that actually matter. I think also, if the code is produced by these language models
    0:37:38 and it’s not produced by someone else, like the code review experience is designed for
    0:37:44 both the reviewer and the person that produced the code. In the case where the person that
    0:37:48 produced the code is a language model, you don’t have to care that much about their experience.
    0:37:53 And you can design the entire thing around the reviewer, such that the reviewer’s job
    0:38:00 is as fun, as easy, as productive as possible. And I think that that feels like the issue
    0:38:06 with just kind of naively trying to make these things look like code review. I think you
    0:38:09 can be a lot more creative and push the boundary on what’s possible.
    0:38:15 Because one idea there is, I think, ordering matters. Generally, when you review a PR,
    0:38:20 you have this list of files and you’re reviewing them from top to bottom. But actually, you
    0:38:24 actually want to understand this part first, because that came logically first. And then
    0:38:28 you want to understand the next part. And you don’t want to have to figure out that
    0:38:32 yourself. You want a model to guide you through the thing.
    0:38:36 And is the step of creation going to be more and more in natural language? Is the goal
    0:38:38 versus with actual…
    0:38:43 I think sometimes, I don’t think it’s going to be the case that all of programming will
    0:38:48 be natural language. And the reason for that is, you know, if I’m programming with Swalla
    0:38:54 and Swalla is at the computer and the keyboard. And sometimes, if I’m like driving, I want
    0:39:00 to say to Swalla, hey, like implement this function. And that that works. And then sometimes
    0:39:05 it’s just so annoying to explain to Swalla what I want him to do. And so I actually take
    0:39:11 over the keyboard and I show him, I write like part of the example. And then it makes sense.
    0:39:15 And that’s the easiest way to communicate. And so I think that’s also the case for AI.
    0:39:19 Like sometimes the easiest way to communicate with AI will be to show an example and then
    0:39:23 it goes and does the thing everywhere else. Or sometimes, if you’re making a website,
    0:39:28 for example, the easiest way to show to the AI what you want is not to tell it what to
    0:39:34 do, but, you know, drag things around or draw things. And yeah. And like maybe eventually
    0:39:38 we will get to like brain machine interfaces or whatever and kind of like understand what
    0:39:42 you’re thinking. And so I think natural language will have a place. I think it will not definitely
    0:39:46 not be the way most people program most of the time.
    0:39:52 I’m really feeling the AGI with this editor. It feels like there’s a lot of machine learning
    0:39:57 going on underneath. Tell me about some of the ML stuff that makes it all work.
    0:40:03 The cursor really works via this ensemble of custom models that we’ve trained alongside,
    0:40:07 you know, the frontier models that are fantastic at the reasoning intense things. And so cursor
    0:40:12 tab, for example, is a great example of where you can specialize this model to be even better
    0:40:17 than even frontier models if you look at evals on the task we set it at. The other domain
    0:40:22 which it’s kind of surprising that it requires custom models, but it’s kind of necessary
    0:40:29 and works quite well is in apply. So I think these models are like the frontier models are
    0:40:33 quite good at sketching out plans for code and generating like rough sketches of like
    0:40:41 the change, but actually creating diffs is quite hard for frontier models for your training
    0:40:49 models. Like you try to do this with sonnet with 01 any frontier model and it really messes
    0:40:56 up stupid things like counting line numbers, especially in super, super large files. And
    0:41:00 so what we’ve done to alleviate this is we let the model kind of sketch out this rough
    0:41:06 code block that indicates what the change will be. And we train a model to then apply
    0:41:13 that change to the file. And we should say that apply is the model looks at your code.
    0:41:19 It gives you a really damn good suggestion of what new things to do. And the seemingly
    0:41:26 for humans trivial step of combining the two you’re saying is not so trivial contrary to
    0:41:32 popular perception. It is not a deterministic algorithm. Yeah. I think like you see shallow
    0:41:38 copies of apply elsewhere. And it just breaks like most of the time because you think you
    0:41:43 can kind of try to do some deterministic matching and then it fails, you know, at least 40%
    0:41:51 of the time. And that just results in a terrible product experience. I think in general this
    0:41:56 regime of you are going to get smarter and smarter models. And like so one other thing
    0:42:03 that apply, it lets you do is it lets you use fewer tokens with the most intelligent models.
    0:42:10 This is both expensive in terms of latency for generating all these tokens and cost.
    0:42:16 So you can give this very, very rough sketch and then have your small models go and implement
    0:42:20 it because it’s a much easier task to implement this very, very sketched out code. And I think
    0:42:25 that this regime will continue where you can use smarter and smarter models to do the planning
    0:42:30 and then maybe the implementation details can be handled by the less intelligent ones.
    0:42:35 Perhaps you’ll have, you know, maybe 01, maybe it’ll be even more capable models given an
    0:42:43 even higher level plan that is kind of recursively applied by Sonic and then the applied model.
    0:42:47 Maybe we should talk about how to make it fast. I feel like fast is always an interesting
    0:42:48 detail.
    0:42:51 Yeah. How do you make it fast?
    0:42:57 Yeah. So one big component of making it fast is speculative edits. So speculative edits
    0:43:02 are a variant of speculative decoding and maybe be helpful to briefly describe speculative
    0:43:08 decoding. With speculative decoding, what you do is you can kind of take advantage of the
    0:43:14 fact that, you know, most of the time, and I’ll add the caveat that it would be when
    0:43:22 you’re memory bound in language model generation. If you process multiple tokens at once, it
    0:43:26 is faster than generating one token at a time. So this is like the same reason why if you
    0:43:32 look at tokens per second with prompt tokens versus generated tokens, it’s much, much faster
    0:43:39 for prompt tokens. So what we do is instead of using what speculative decoding normally
    0:43:44 does, which is using a really small model to predict these draft tokens that your larger
    0:43:50 model will then go in and verify. With code edits, we have a very strong prior of what
    0:43:56 the existing code will look like, and that prior is literally the same exact code. So
    0:44:01 what you can do is you can just feed chunks of the original code back into the model,
    0:44:05 and then the model will just pretty much agree most of the time that, okay, I’m just going
    0:44:10 to spit this code back out. And so you can process all of those lines in parallel, and
    0:44:12 you just do this with sufficiently many chunks, and then eventually you’ll reach a point of
    0:44:18 disagreement where the model will now predict text that is different from the ground truth
    0:44:23 original code. It’ll generate those tokens, and then we kind of will decide after enough
    0:44:29 tokens match the original code to restart speculating in chunks of code. What this actually ends
    0:44:36 up looking like is just a much faster version of normal editing code. So it looks like a
    0:44:41 much faster version of the model rewriting all the code. So we can use the same exact
    0:44:48 interface that we use for diffs, but it will just stream down a lot faster.
    0:44:53 And then the advantage is that while it’s streaming, you can just also start reviewing
    0:45:01 the code before it’s done. So there’s no big loading screen. So maybe that is part of the
    0:45:02 advantage.
    0:45:05 So the human can start reading before the thing is done.
    0:45:11 I think the interesting riff here is something like speculation is a fairly common idea nowadays.
    0:45:16 It’s not only in language models. There’s obviously speculation in CPUs, and there’s
    0:45:20 speculation for databases and speculation all over the place.
    0:45:28 Let me ask this sort of the ridiculous question of which LLM is better at coding. GPT, Claude,
    0:45:32 who wins in the context of programming? And I’m sure the answer is much more nuanced because
    0:45:37 it sounds like every single part of this involves a different model.
    0:45:46 Yeah, I think there’s no model that Pareto dominates others, meaning it is better in
    0:45:55 all categories that we think matter. The categories being speed, ability to edit code, ability
    0:45:59 to process lots of code, long context, you know, a couple of other things and kind of
    0:46:01 coding capabilities.
    0:46:06 The one that I’d say right now is just kind of net best is Sonic. I think this is a consensus
    0:46:07 opinion.
    0:46:12 Our one’s really interesting and it’s really good at reasoning. So if you give it really
    0:46:18 hard programming interview style problems or lead code problems, it can do quite, quite
    0:46:25 well on them. But it doesn’t feel like it kind of understands your rough intent as well as
    0:46:28 Sonic does.
    0:46:34 If you look at a lot of the other frontier models, one qualm I have is it feels like they’re
    0:46:39 not necessarily over, I’m not saying they train on benchmarks, but they perform really
    0:46:44 well on benchmarks relative to kind of everything that’s kind of in the middle. So if you try
    0:46:47 it on all these benchmarks and things that are in the distribution of the benchmarks
    0:46:51 they’re evaluated on, you know, they’ll do really well, but when you push them a little
    0:46:56 bit outside of that, so I think the one that kind of does best at kind of maintaining that
    0:47:00 same capability, like you kind of have the same capability in the benchmark as when you
    0:47:03 try to instruct it to do anything with coding.
    0:47:09 But another ridiculous question is the difference between the normal programming experience versus
    0:47:14 what benchmarks represent? Like where do benchmarks fall short, do you think, when we’re evaluating
    0:47:15 these models?
    0:47:20 By the way, that’s like a really, really hard. It’s like critically important detail, like
    0:47:28 how different benchmarks are versus like real coding. Where real coding, it’s not interview
    0:47:35 style coding, it’s you’re doing these, you know, humans are saying like half broken English
    0:47:41 sometimes and sometimes you’re saying like, oh, do what I did before. Sometimes you’re
    0:47:48 saying, go add this thing and then do this other thing for me and then make this UI element
    0:47:54 and then, you know, it’s just like a lot of things are sort of context dependent. You
    0:47:58 really want to like understand the human and then do what the human wants as opposed to
    0:48:04 sort of this, maybe the way to put it is sort of abstractly is the interview problems are
    0:48:15 very well specified. They lean a lot on specification while the human stuff is less specified.
    0:48:21 Yeah. I think that this benchmark question is both complicated by what, so I just mentioned,
    0:48:27 and then also, what Amon was getting into is that even if you like, you know, there’s
    0:48:31 this problem of like the skew between what can you actually model on a benchmark versus
    0:48:34 real programming and that can be sometimes hard to encapsulate because it’s like real
    0:48:39 programming is like very messy and sometimes things aren’t super well specified, what’s
    0:48:44 correct or what isn’t. But then it’s also doubly hard because of this public benchmark
    0:48:48 problem and that’s both because public benchmarks are sometimes kind of hill climbed on. Then
    0:48:53 it’s like really, really hard to also get the data from the public benchmarks out of
    0:48:59 the models. And so, for instance, like one of the most popular like agent benchmarks
    0:49:05 sweet bench is really, really contaminated and the training data of these foundation
    0:49:09 models. And so if you ask these foundation models to do a sweet bench problem, you actually
    0:49:12 don’t give them the context of a code base. They can like hallucinate the right file pass.
    0:49:18 They can hallucinate the right function names. And so it’s also just the public aspect of
    0:49:19 these things is tricky.
    0:49:25 Yeah, like in that case, it could be trained on the literal issues or pull requests themselves.
    0:49:30 And maybe the labs will start to do a better job or they’ve already done a good job at
    0:49:34 decontaminating those things, but they’re not going to emit the actual training data
    0:49:38 of the repository itself. Like these are all like some of the most popular Python repositories
    0:49:44 like Sympi is one example. I don’t think they’re going to handicap their models on Sympi and
    0:49:50 all these popular Python repositories in order to get true evaluation scores on these benchmarks.
    0:49:56 I think that given the dearths and benchmarks, there have been like a few interesting crutches
    0:50:01 that places that build systems with these models or build these models actually use to
    0:50:05 get a sense of are they going in the right direction or not. And in a lot of places,
    0:50:09 people will actually just have humans play with the things and give qualitative feedback
    0:50:14 on these like one or two of the foundation model companies, they have people who that’s
    0:50:19 a big part of their role. And internally, we also qualitatively assess these models and
    0:50:22 actually lean on that a lot in addition to like private evals that we have.
    0:50:23 It’s like the vibe.
    0:50:31 Yeah, the vibe benchmark, human benchmark. You pull in the humans to do a vibe check.
    0:50:32 Yeah.
    0:50:37 I mean, that’s kind of what I do like just like reading online forums and Reddit and
    0:50:45 X just like, well, I don’t know how to properly load in people’s opinions because they’ll
    0:50:51 say things like, I feel like Claude or GPT’s gotten dumber or something. They’ll say I
    0:50:58 feel like and then I sometimes feel like that too. But I wonder if it’s the model’s problem
    0:50:59 or mine.
    0:51:06 Yeah, with Claude, there’s an interesting take I heard where I think AWS has different
    0:51:14 chips. And I suspect they have slightly different numerics than Nvidia GPUs. And someone speculated
    0:51:20 that Claude’s degraded performance had to do with maybe using the quantized version that
    0:51:27 existed on AWS bedrock versus whatever was running on Anthropics GPUs.
    0:51:31 I interviewed a bunch of people that have conspiracy theories. I’m glad we spoke to
    0:51:32 this conspiracy theory.
    0:51:40 Well, it’s not like conspiracy theory as much. Humans are humans and there’s these details
    0:51:48 and you’re doing like these queasy monoflops and chips are messy and man, you can just
    0:51:55 have bugs. Like bugs are, it’s hard to overstate how hard bugs are to avoid.
    0:52:00 That’s the role of a good prompt in all of this. You will mention that benchmarks have
    0:52:11 really structured, well-formulated prompts. What should a human be doing to maximize success?
    0:52:15 And what’s the importance of what the humans? You wrote a blog post on, called it Prompt
    0:52:16 Design.
    0:52:23 Yeah, I think it depends on which model you’re using and all of them are slightly different
    0:52:26 and they respond differently to different prompts.
    0:52:35 But I think the original GPT-4 and the original sort of readable models last year, they were
    0:52:40 quite sensitive to the prompts and they also had a very small context window.
    0:52:46 And so we have all of these pieces of information around the codebase that would maybe be relevant
    0:52:49 in the prompt. Like you have the docs, you have the files that you add, you have the
    0:52:54 conversation history, and then there’s a problem like how do you decide what you actually
    0:52:57 put in the prompt and when you have a limited space.
    0:53:01 And even for today’s models, even when you have long context, filling out the entire
    0:53:06 context window means that it’s slower. It means that sometimes the model actually gets
    0:53:09 confused and some models get more confused than others.
    0:53:14 And we have this one system internally that we call pre-empt, which helps us with that
    0:53:26 a little bit. And I think it was built for the era before where we had 8,000 token context
    0:53:33 windows. And it’s a little bit similar to when you’re making a website, you sort of,
    0:53:38 you want it to work on mobile, you want it to work on a desktop screen, and you have
    0:53:45 this dynamic information, which you don’t have, for example, if you’re designing a print
    0:53:48 magazine, you know exactly where you can put stuff.
    0:53:52 But when you have a website or when you have a prompt, you have these inputs, and then
    0:53:55 you need to format them to always work. Even if the input is really big, then you might
    0:53:58 have to cut something down.
    0:54:02 And so the idea was, okay, let’s take some inspiration. What’s the best way to design
    0:54:08 websites? Well, the thing that we really like is React and the declarative approach where
    0:54:18 you use JSX in JavaScript, and then you declare, this is what I want, and I think this has
    0:54:24 higher priority, or this has higher Z index than something else. And then you have this
    0:54:30 rendering engine in web design, it’s like Chrome, and in our case, it’s a preempt renderer,
    0:54:34 which then fits everything onto the page. And as you declare it, it will decide what
    0:54:40 you want, and then it figures out what you want. And so we have found that to be quite
    0:54:46 helpful. And I think the role of it has sort of shifted over time, where initially it was
    0:54:52 to fit to these small context windows. Now it’s really useful because it helps us with
    0:54:58 splitting up the data that goes into the prompt and the actual rendering of it. And so it’s
    0:55:02 easier to debug because you can change the rendering of the prompt and then try it on
    0:55:06 old prompts, because you have the raw data that went into the prompt. And then you can
    0:55:11 see, did my change actually improve it for this entire eval set.
    0:55:14 So do you literally prompt with JSX?
    0:55:18 Yes, yes. So it kind of looks like React, there are components, we have one component
    0:55:25 that’s a file component, and it takes in the cursor, usually there’s one line where the
    0:55:29 cursor is in your file, and that’s probably the most important line because that’s one
    0:55:32 you’re looking at. And so then you can give priorities, so like that line has the highest
    0:55:38 priority, and then you subtract one for every line that is farther away. And then eventually
    0:55:42 when it’s rendered, it figures out how many lines can actually fit in its centers around
    0:55:43 that thing.
    0:55:44 That’s amazing.
    0:55:48 Yeah. And you can do like other fancy things where if you have lots of code blocks from
    0:55:53 the entire code base, you could use retrieval and things like embedding and re-ranking scores
    0:55:57 to add priorities for each of these components.
    0:56:02 So should humans, when they ask questions, also use, try to use something like that?
    0:56:07 Like would it be beneficial to write JSX in the problem? The whole idea is this should
    0:56:09 be loose and messy.
    0:56:15 I think our goal is kind of that you should just do whatever is the most natural thing
    0:56:21 for you. And then we, our job is to figure out how do we actually like retrieve the relative
    0:56:23 event thing so that your thing actually makes sense.
    0:56:28 Well, this is sort of the discussion I had with Arvin of Proplexity is like his whole
    0:56:33 idea is like you should let the person be as lazy as he wants.
    0:56:39 But like, yeah, that’s a beautiful thing. But I feel like you’re allowed to ask more
    0:56:41 of programmers, right?
    0:56:45 So like if you say just do what you want, I mean, humans are lazy. There’s a kind of
    0:56:52 tension between just being lazy versus like provide more as be prompted almost like the
    0:56:59 system pressuring you or inspiring you to be articulate not in terms of the grammar
    0:57:05 of the sentences, but in terms of the depth of thoughts that you convey inside the problems.
    0:57:12 I think even as a system gets closer to some level of perfection, often when you ask the
    0:57:17 model for something, you just are not not enough intent is conveyed to know what to
    0:57:22 do. And there are like a few ways to resolve that intent. One is the simple thing of having
    0:57:28 models just ask you, I’m not sure how to do these parts based on your query. Could you
    0:57:29 clarify that?
    0:57:38 I think the other could be maybe if you there are five or six possible generations, given
    0:57:42 the uncertainty present in your query so far, why don’t we just actually show you all those
    0:57:44 and let you pick them?
    0:57:53 How hard is it to, for the model to choose to speak, talk back? Sort of versus, it’s
    0:58:00 hard to sort of like how to deal with the uncertainty. Do I do I choose to ask for more information
    0:58:02 to reduce the ambiguity?
    0:58:09 So I mean, one of the things we do is it’s like a recent addition is try to suggest files
    0:58:18 that you can add. So while you’re typing, one can guess what the uncertainty is and maybe
    0:58:27 suggest that like, you know, maybe maybe you’re writing your API. And we can guess using the
    0:58:34 commits that you’ve made previously in the same file that the client and the server is
    0:58:41 super useful. And there’s like a hard technical problem of how do you resolve it across all
    0:58:46 commits, which files are the most important given your current prompt. And we’re still
    0:58:53 sort of initial versions ruled out. And I’m sure we can make it much more accurate. It’s
    0:58:54 very experimental.
    0:58:58 But then the idea is we show you like, do you just want to add this file, this file, this
    0:59:04 file also, to tell, you know, the model to edit those files for you. Because if maybe
    0:59:08 you’re making the API, like, you should also edit the client and the server that is using
    0:59:13 the API and the other one resolving the API. And so that will be kind of cool as both there’s
    0:59:18 the phase where you’re writing the prompt and there’s before you even click enter, maybe
    0:59:20 we can help resolve some of the uncertainty.
    0:59:25 To what degree do you use agentic approaches? How use for our agents?
    0:59:33 We think agents are really, really cool. Like, I think agents is like, it’s like you resemble
    0:59:37 sort of like a human, it’s sort of like the things like you can kind of feel that it,
    0:59:43 like you’re getting closer to AGI because you see a demo where it acts as a human would
    0:59:53 and and it’s really, really cool. I think agents are not yet super useful for many things.
    1:00:00 I think we’re getting close to where they will actually be useful. And so I think there
    1:00:06 are certain types of tasks where having an agent would be really nice. Like, I would
    1:00:10 love to have an agent, for example, if like we have a bug where you sometimes can’t command
    1:00:17 C and command V inside our chat input box. And that’s a task that’s super well specified.
    1:00:21 I just want to say like in two sentences, this does not work. Please fix it. And then
    1:00:27 I would love to have an agent that just goes off, does it? And then a day later, I come
    1:00:31 back and I reviewed the thing. You mean it goes finds the right file?
    1:00:36 Yeah, it finds the right files, it like tries to reproduce the bug, it like fixes the bug
    1:00:39 and then it verifies that it’s correct. And this is could be a process that takes a long
    1:00:46 time. And so I think I would love to have that. And then I think a lot of programming,
    1:00:52 like there is often this belief that agents will take off over all of programming. I don’t
    1:00:57 think we think that that’s the case, because a lot of programming, a lot of the value is
    1:01:02 in iterating, or you don’t actually want to specify something upfront, because you don’t
    1:01:06 really know what you want until you’ve seen an initial version, and then you want to iterate
    1:01:11 on that, and then you provide more information. And so for a lot of programming, I think you
    1:01:15 actually want a system that’s instant, that gives you an initial version instantly back,
    1:01:18 and then you can iterate super, super quickly.
    1:01:24 What about something like that Rethink came out replete agent that does also like setting
    1:01:28 up the development environment and installing software packages, configuring everything,
    1:01:31 configuring the databases, and actually deploying the app?
    1:01:32 Yeah.
    1:01:36 Is that also in the set of the things you dream about?
    1:01:40 I think so. I think that would be really cool. For certain types of programming, it would
    1:01:41 be really cool.
    1:01:43 Is that within scope of Cursor?
    1:01:49 Yeah. We’re aren’t actively working on it right now, but it’s definitely like we want
    1:01:56 to make the programmers life easier and more fun. And some things are just really tedious,
    1:02:00 and you need to go through a bunch of steps, and you want to delegate that to an agent.
    1:02:04 And then some things, you can actually have an agent in the background while you’re working,
    1:02:08 like let’s say you have a PR that’s both back end and front end, and you’re working in the
    1:02:12 front end, and then you can have a background agent that doesn’t work and figure out kind
    1:02:17 of what you’re doing. And then when you get to the back end part of your PR, then you
    1:02:23 have some initial piece of code that you can iterate on. And so that would also be really
    1:02:25 cool.
    1:02:30 One of the things we already talked about is speed. But I wonder if we can just link
    1:02:36 around that some more in the various places that the technical details involved in making
    1:02:41 this thing really fast. So every single aspect of Cursor, most aspects of Cursor feel really
    1:02:46 fast. Like I mentioned, the apply is probably the slowest thing. And for me, I’m sorry,
    1:02:47 the pain.
    1:02:53 I know. It’s a pain. It’s a pain that we’re feeling and we’re working on fixing it.
    1:02:58 Yeah. I mean, it says something that feels, I don’t know what it is, like one second or
    1:03:04 two seconds. That feels slow. That means that actually shows that everything else is just
    1:03:09 really, really fast. So is there some technical details about how to make some of these models,
    1:03:14 how to make the chat fast, how to make the diffs fast? Is there something that just jumps
    1:03:15 to mine?
    1:03:18 Yeah. I mean, so we can go over a lot of the strategies that we use. One interesting thing
    1:03:28 is cache warming. And so what you can do is if as the user is typing, you can have, you’re
    1:03:33 probably going to use some piece of context. And you can know that before the user is done
    1:03:39 everything. So as we discussed before, reusing the KV cache results in lower latency, lower
    1:03:44 costs, cross requests. So as the user starts typing, you can immediately warm the cache
    1:03:50 with like, let’s say the current file contents. And then when they’ve pressed enter, there’s
    1:03:55 very few tokens. It actually has to prefill and compute before starting a generation.
    1:03:57 This will significantly lower TTFD.
    1:03:59 Can you explain how KV cache works?
    1:04:09 Yeah. So the way transformers work, one of the mechanisms that allow transformers to
    1:04:14 not just independently, like the mechanism that allows transformers to not just independently
    1:04:19 look at each token, but see previous tokens are the keys and values to tension. And generally
    1:04:25 the way attention works is you have at your current token some query. And then you’ve
    1:04:30 all the keys and values of all your previous tokens, which are some kind of representation
    1:04:37 that the model stores internally of all the previous tokens in the prompt. And like by
    1:04:43 default, when you’re doing a chat, the model has to, for every single token, do this forward
    1:04:48 pass through the entire model. That’s a lot of matrix multiplies that happen. And that
    1:04:49 is really, really slow.
    1:04:54 Instead, if you have already done that, and you stored the keys and values, and you keep
    1:04:59 that in the GPU, then when I’m, let’s say I have sorted for the last end tokens, if
    1:05:06 I now want to compute the output token for the N plus one token, I don’t need to pass
    1:05:11 those first end tokens through the entire model because I already have all those keys
    1:05:16 and values. And so you just need to do the forward pass through that last token. And
    1:05:21 then when you’re doing attention, you’re reusing those keys and values that have been computed,
    1:05:26 which is the only kind of sequential part, or sequentially dependent part of the transformer.
    1:05:31 Is there like higher level caching of like caching of the prompts or that kind of stuff
    1:05:32 that could help?
    1:05:40 I see. Yeah, there’s other types of caching you can kind of do. One interesting thing
    1:05:48 that you can do for Cursor Tab is you can basically predict ahead as if the user would
    1:05:54 have accepted the suggestion and then trigger another request. And so then you’ve cached,
    1:05:57 you’ve done the speculative, it’s a mix of speculation and caching, right? Because you’re
    1:06:03 speculating what would happen if they accepted it. And then you have this value that is cached,
    1:06:07 this suggestion. And then when they pressed tab, the next one would be waiting for them
    1:06:13 immediately. It’s a kind of clever heuristic slash trick that uses a higher level caching
    1:06:20 and can give the, it feels fast, despite there not actually being any changes in the model.
    1:06:25 And if you can make the KV cache smaller, one of the advantages you get is like, maybe
    1:06:29 you can speculate even more. Maybe you can guess, here’s the 10 things that could be
    1:06:36 useful. Like, you predict the next 10, and then it’s possible the user hits the one
    1:06:40 of the 10. It’s like much higher chance than the user hits like the exact one that you
    1:06:45 show them. Maybe they type in other character and we sort of hit something else in the cache.
    1:06:52 So there’s all these tricks where the general phenomena here is, I think it’s also super
    1:07:00 useful for RAL is, you know, maybe a single sample from the model isn’t very good. But
    1:07:07 if you predict like 10 different things, turns out that one of the 10, that’s right is the
    1:07:12 probability is much higher. There’s these Passet K curves. And, you know, part of RAL,
    1:07:19 like what RAL does is, you know, you can exploit this Passet K phenomena to make many different
    1:07:26 predictions. And one way to think about this, the model sort of knows internally has like,
    1:07:29 has some uncertainty over like, which of the K things is correct, or like, which of the
    1:07:36 K things does the human want. So when we RAL are, you know, cursor tab model, one of the
    1:07:44 things we’re doing is we’re predicting which like, which of the 100 different suggestions
    1:07:48 the model produces is more amenable for humans. Like, which of them do humans more like than
    1:07:53 other things? Maybe, maybe like, there’s something where the model can predict very far ahead
    1:07:59 versus like a little bit and maybe somewhere in the middle and, and, you know, just, and
    1:08:03 then you can give a reward to the things that humans would like more and sort of punish
    1:08:06 the things that it won’t like and sort of then train the model to output the suggestions
    1:08:09 that humans would like more. You have these like RAL loops that are very useful that exploit
    1:08:14 these Passet K curves. Oman maybe can, can you go into even more detail?
    1:08:21 Yeah, it’s a little, it is a little different than speed. But I mean, like, technically
    1:08:24 you tie it back in because you can get away at the smaller model if you RAL your smaller
    1:08:30 model and it gets the same performance as the bigger one. That’s like, and, and while
    1:08:35 I was mentioning stuff about KB, about reducing the size of your KB cache, there are other
    1:08:41 techniques there as well that are really helpful for speed. So kind of back in the day, like
    1:08:47 all the way two years ago, people mainly use multi-hat attention. And I think there’s been
    1:08:55 a migration towards more efficient attention schemes like group query or multi-query attention.
    1:09:01 And this is really helpful for then with larger batch sizes, being able to generate the tokens
    1:09:08 much faster. The interesting thing here is this now has no effect on that time to first
    1:09:15 token pre-fill speed. The thing this matters for is now generating tokens. And, and why
    1:09:21 is that? Because when you’re generating tokens, instead of being bottlenecked by doing the
    1:09:26 super paralyzable matrix multiplies across all your tokens, you’re bottlenecked by how
    1:09:32 quickly it’s for long context with large batch sizes by how quickly you can read those cache
    1:09:38 keys and values. And so then how that’s memory bandwidth and how can we make this faster?
    1:09:42 We can try to compress the size of these keys and values. So multi-query attention is the
    1:09:47 most aggressive of these. Where normally with multi-hat attention, you have some number
    1:09:57 of attention heads and some number of kind of query, query heads. Multi-query just preserves
    1:10:03 the query heads, gets rid of all the key value heads. So there’s only one kind of key value
    1:10:11 head and there’s all the remaining query heads. With group query, you instead, you know, preserve
    1:10:19 all the query heads. And then your keys and values are kind of, there are fewer heads
    1:10:23 for the keys and values, but you’re not reducing it to just one. But anyways, like the whole
    1:10:26 point here is you’re just reducing the size of your KV cache.
    1:10:28 And then there is the MLA.
    1:10:35 Yeah, multi-latent. That’s a little more complicated. And the way that this works is it kind of
    1:10:41 turns the entirety of your keys and values across all your heads into this kind of one
    1:10:46 latent vector that is then kind of expanded inference time.
    1:10:52 But MLA is from this company called DeepSeq. It’s quite an interesting algorithm. Maybe
    1:11:00 the key idea is sort of in both MQA and in other places, what you’re doing is sort of
    1:11:10 reducing the number of KV heads. And the advantage you get from that is there’s less of them,
    1:11:16 but maybe the theory is that you actually want a lot of different, like you want each
    1:11:23 of the keys and values to actually be different. So one way to reduce the size is you keep
    1:11:28 one big shared vector for all the keys and values. And then you have smaller vectors
    1:11:34 for every single token so that when you, you can store the only the smaller thing. There’s
    1:11:38 some sort of like lower rank reduction. And the lower rank reduction, and at the end of
    1:11:43 the time, when you eventually want to compute the final thing, remember that like your memory
    1:11:47 bound, which means that like, you still have some compute left that you can use for these
    1:11:55 things. And so if you can expand the latent vector back out, and somehow like, this is
    1:12:01 far more efficient because you’re reducing like, for example, maybe like reducing like
    1:12:04 32 or something, like the size of the vector that you’re keeping.
    1:12:10 Yeah, there’s perhaps some richness and having a separate set of keys and values and query
    1:12:16 that kind of pairwise match up versus compressing that all into one. And that interaction at
    1:12:17 least.
    1:12:25 Okay. And all of that is dealing with being memory bound. Yeah. And what I mean, ultimately,
    1:12:29 how does that map to the user experience, trying to get the Yeah, the two things that
    1:12:35 map to is you can now make your cash a lot larger, because you’ve less space allocated
    1:12:38 for the KV cash, you need to cash a lot more aggressively and a lot more things. So you
    1:12:44 get more cash hits, which are helpful for reducing the time to first token for the reasons
    1:12:49 that were kind of described earlier. And then the second being when you start doing inference
    1:12:53 with more and more requests and larger and larger batch sizes, you don’t see much of
    1:12:58 a slowdown in as it’s generated the tokens, the speed of that,
    1:13:02 it also allows you to make your prompt bigger for certain. Yeah. Yeah. So like the basic
    1:13:08 the size of your KV cash is both the size of all your prompts multiplied by the number
    1:13:11 of prompts being processed in parallel. So you could increase either those dimensions,
    1:13:17 right, the batch size, or the size of your prompts without degrading the latency of generating
    1:13:18 tokens.
    1:13:23 Arvid, you wrote a blog post shadow the workspace iterating on code in the background. So what’s
    1:13:29 going on? So to be clear, we want there to be a lot of stuff happening in the background
    1:13:35 and we’re experimenting with a lot of things. Right now, we don’t have much of that happening,
    1:13:40 other than like the cash warming or like, you know, figuring out the right context that
    1:13:45 goes into your command key prompts, for example. But the idea is, if you can actually spend
    1:13:53 computation in the background, then you can help the user maybe like, at a slightly longer
    1:13:57 time horizon than just predicting the next few lines that you’re going to make. But actually,
    1:14:02 like in the next 10 minutes, what are you going to make? And by doing it in the background,
    1:14:08 you can spend more computation doing that. And so the idea of the shadow workspace that
    1:14:15 we implemented, and we use it internally for like experiments, is that to actually get
    1:14:20 advantage of doing stuff in the background, you want some kind of feedback signal to give
    1:14:24 back to the model. Because otherwise, like you can get higher performance by just letting
    1:14:29 the model think for longer. And so like, oh, one is a good example of that. But another
    1:14:35 way you can improve performance is by letting the model iterate and get feedback. And so
    1:14:41 one very important piece of feedback when you’re a programmer is the language server,
    1:14:47 which is this thing it exists for most different languages, and there’s like a separate language
    1:14:52 server per language. And it can tell you, you know, you’re using the wrong type here,
    1:14:56 and then gives you an error, or it can allow you to go to definition and sort of understands
    1:15:01 the structure of your code. So language servers are extensions developed by like there’s a
    1:15:05 typescript language to be developed by the typescript people, a Rust language to be developed
    1:15:09 by the Rust people, and then they all interface over the language server protocol to VS code.
    1:15:13 So that VS code doesn’t need to have all of the different languages built into VS code,
    1:15:17 but rather you can use the existing compiler infrastructure.
    1:15:19 For linting purposes?
    1:15:24 It’s for linting. It’s for going to definition. And if we’re like seeing the right types that
    1:15:25 you’re using.
    1:15:27 So it’s doing like type checking also?
    1:15:32 Yes, type checking and going to references. And that’s like when you’re working in a big
    1:15:38 project, you kind of need that. If you don’t have that, it’s like really hard to code in
    1:15:39 a big project.
    1:15:45 Can you say again how that’s being used inside cursor, the language server protocol communication
    1:15:46 thing?
    1:15:50 So it’s being used in cursor to show to the programmer just like in VS code. But then
    1:15:57 the idea is you want to show that same information to the models, the I/O models. And you want
    1:16:01 to do that in a way that doesn’t affect the user because you want to do it in background.
    1:16:08 And so the idea behind the Chattel workspace was, okay, like one way we can do this is
    1:16:14 we spawn a separate window of cursor that’s hidden. And so you can set this flag in an
    1:16:15 electron that’s hidden.
    1:16:19 There is a window, but you don’t actually see it. And inside of this window, the AI agents
    1:16:24 can modify code however they want, as long as they don’t save it because it’s still the
    1:16:29 same folder, and then can get feedback from the linters and go to definition and iterate
    1:16:30 on their code.
    1:16:36 So like literally run everything in the background? Like as if, right, maybe even run the code?
    1:16:41 So that’s the eventual version. And that’s what you want. And a lot of the blog post
    1:16:47 is actually about how do you make that happen? Because it’s a little bit tricky. You want
    1:16:52 it to be on the user’s machine so that it exactly mirrors the user’s environment. And
    1:16:57 then on Linux, you can do this cool thing where you can actually mirror the file system
    1:17:04 and have the AI make changes to the files. And it thinks that it’s operating on the file
    1:17:12 level. But actually, that’s stored in memory. And you can create this kernel extension to
    1:17:21 make it work. Whereas on Mac and Windows, it’s a little bit more difficult. But it’s
    1:17:23 a fun, technical problem in this way.
    1:17:29 One maybe hacky but interesting idea that I like is holding a lock on saving. And so
    1:17:33 basically you can then have the language model kind of hold the lock on saving to disk. And
    1:17:38 then instead of you operating in the ground truth version of the files that are saved
    1:17:41 to disk, you actually are operating what was the shadow workspace before and these unsaved
    1:17:45 things that only exist in memory that you still get linter errors for. And you can code in.
    1:17:49 And then when you try to maybe run code, it’s just like there’s a small warning that there’s
    1:17:53 a lock. And then you kind of will take back the lock from the language server if you’re
    1:17:56 trying to do things concurrently or from the shadow workspace if you’re trying to do things
    1:17:57 concurrently.
    1:18:02 That’s such an exciting future, by the way. It’s a bit of a tangent. But like to allow
    1:18:09 a model to change files. It’s scary for people. But like it’s really cool to be able to just
    1:18:16 like let the agent do a set of tasks and you come back the next day and kind of observe.
    1:18:18 Like it’s a colleague or something like that.
    1:18:23 And I think there may be different versions of like runability where for the simple things
    1:18:27 where you’re doing things in the span of a few minutes on behalf of the user as they’re
    1:18:32 coming, it makes sense to make something work locally in their machine. I think for the
    1:18:36 more aggressive things, we’re making larger changes that take longer periods of time.
    1:18:41 You’ll probably want to do this in some sandbox remote environment. And that’s another incredibly
    1:18:47 tricky problem of how do you exactly reproduce or mostly reproduce to the point of it being
    1:18:53 effectively equivalent for running code, the user’s environment, what does remote sandbox?
    1:18:59 I’m curious what kind of agents you want for coding. Do you want them to find bugs? Do
    1:19:03 you want them to like implement new features? Like what agents do you want?
    1:19:08 So by the way, when I think about agents, I don’t think just about coding. I think so
    1:19:13 for the practice, this particular podcast, there’s video editing and a lot of if you
    1:19:18 look in Adobe, a lot of there’s code behind. It’s very poorly documented code, but you
    1:19:25 can interact with Premiere, for example, using code and basically all the uploading everything
    1:19:30 I do on YouTube, everything as you could probably imagine, I do all that through code and including
    1:19:37 translation and overdubbing all this. So I envision all those kinds of tasks so automating
    1:19:42 many of the tasks that don’t have to do directly with the editing. So that, okay, that’s what
    1:19:49 I was thinking about. But in terms of coding, I would be fundamentally thinking about bug
    1:19:56 finding, like many levels of kind of bug finding and also bug finding, like logical bugs, not
    1:20:03 logical, like spiritual bugs or something. One’s like, sort of big directions of implementation,
    1:20:04 that kind of stuff.
    1:20:12 Yeah. I mean, it’s really interesting that these models are so bad at bug finding when
    1:20:17 just naively prompted to find a bug. They’re incredibly poorly calibrated.
    1:20:21 Even the smartest models, even 01.
    1:20:25 How do you explain that? Is there a good intuition?
    1:20:31 I think these models are really strong reflection of the pre-training distribution. And I do
    1:20:36 think they generalize as the loss gets lower and lower. But I don’t think the loss and
    1:20:42 the scale is quite, the loss is low enough such that they’re like really fully generalizing
    1:20:47 in code. Like the things that we use these things for, the frontier models that they’re
    1:20:53 quite good at are really code generation and question answering. And these things exist
    1:20:57 in massive quantities in pre-training with all of the code on GitHub and the scale of
    1:21:04 many, many trillions of tokens and questions and answers on things like Stack Overflow and
    1:21:05 maybe GitHub issues.
    1:21:12 And so when you try to push under these things that really don’t exist very much online,
    1:21:16 like for example, the cursor tap objective of predicting the next edit given the edits
    1:21:22 done so far, the brittleness kind of shows. And then bug detection is another great example
    1:21:26 where there aren’t really that many examples of like actually detecting real bugs and then
    1:21:33 proposing fixes and the models just kind of like really struggle at it. But I think it’s
    1:21:36 a question of transferring the model like in the same way that you get this fantastic
    1:21:43 transfer from pre-trained models just on code in general to the cursor tab objective, you’ll
    1:21:48 see a very, very similar thing with generalized models that are really good at code to bug
    1:21:51 detection. It just takes like a little bit of kind of nudging in that direction.
    1:21:55 Like to be clear, I think they sort of understand code really well. Like while they’re being
    1:22:02 pre-trained, like the representation that’s being built up like almost certainly like
    1:22:07 somewhere in the stream, there’s the model knows that maybe there’s something sketchy
    1:22:13 going on, right? It sort of has some sketchiness, but actually eliciting the sketchiness too.
    1:22:20 Like actually like part of it is that humans are really calibrated on which bugs are really
    1:22:25 important. It’s not just actually saying like there’s something sketchy. It’s like it’s
    1:22:29 just a sketchy trivial. It’s the sketchy like you’re going to take the server down.
    1:22:30 Yeah.
    1:22:35 Like part of it is maybe the cultural knowledge of like why is the staff engineer, staff engineer,
    1:22:40 the staff engineer is good because they know that three years ago, like someone wrote a
    1:22:46 really sketchy piece of code that took the server down. And as opposed to like, as opposed
    1:22:52 to maybe there’s like, you know, you just, this thing is like an experiment. So like
    1:22:56 a few bugs are fine. Like you’re just trying to experiment and get the feel of the thing.
    1:23:00 And so if the model gets really annoying when you’re writing an experiment, that’s really
    1:23:04 bad. But if you’re writing something for super production, you’re like writing a database,
    1:23:08 right? You’re writing code in Postgres or Linux or whatever, like your Linus Torvalds.
    1:23:13 It’s sort of unacceptable to have even in that case. And just having the calibration
    1:23:18 of like, how paranoid is the user? Like,
    1:23:22 But even then, like if you’re putting in a maximum paranoia, it’s still just like doesn’t
    1:23:23 quite get it.
    1:23:24 Yeah. Yeah.
    1:23:30 I mean, but this is hard for humans too, to understand what, which line of code is important,
    1:23:35 which is not. Like you, I think one of your principles on a website says, if a code can
    1:23:41 do a lot of damage, one should add a comment that say this, this, this line of code is,
    1:23:42 is dangerous.
    1:23:51 And all caps, 10 times, 10 times, no, you say like, for every single line of code inside
    1:23:56 the function, you have to, and that’s quite profound. That says something about human
    1:24:03 beings because the engineers move on, even the same person might just forget how it can
    1:24:06 sink the Titanic, a single function. Like you don’t, you might not intuit that quite
    1:24:09 clearly by looking at the single piece of code.
    1:24:16 Yeah. And I think that, that one is also partially also for today’s AI models where if you actually
    1:24:22 write dangerous, dangerous, dangerous in every single line, like the models will pay more
    1:24:26 attention to that and will be more likely to find bucks in that region.
    1:24:32 That’s actually just straight up a really good practice of a labeling code of how much
    1:24:34 damage this can do.
    1:24:39 Yeah. I mean, it’s controversial. Some people think it’s ugly, swallow it.
    1:24:42 Well, I actually think it’s like, in fact, I actually think this is one of the things
    1:24:48 that I learned from Arvid is, you know, like I sort of aesthetically, I don’t like it,
    1:24:53 but I think there’s certainly something where like, it’s useful for the models and humans
    1:24:59 just forget a lot. And it’s really easy to make a small mistake and cause like, bring
    1:25:05 down, you know, like just bring down the server and like, like, of course we like test a lot
    1:25:08 of whatever, but there’s always these things that you have to be very careful.
    1:25:12 Yeah. Like with just normal dock strings, I think people will often just skim it when
    1:25:18 making a change and think, oh, I know how to do this. And you kind of really need to
    1:25:22 point it out to them so that that doesn’t slip through.
    1:25:26 Yeah. You have to be reminded that you can do a lot of damage. That’s like, we don’t
    1:25:31 really think about that. Like, you think about, okay, how do I figure out how this works so
    1:25:35 I can improve it. You don’t think about the other direction that it could do this.
    1:25:41 Until we have formal verification for everything, then you can do whatever you want and you
    1:25:45 know for certain that you have not introduced a bug if the proof pass.
    1:25:48 But concretely, what do you think that future would look like?
    1:25:56 I think people will just not write tests anymore and the model will suggest, like you write
    1:26:03 a function. The model will suggest a spec and you review the spec. And in the meantime,
    1:26:08 smart reasoning model computes a proof that the implementation follows the spec. And I
    1:26:10 think that happens for most functions.
    1:26:13 Don’t you think this gets at a little bit, some of the stuff you were talking about earlier
    1:26:18 with the difficulty of specifying intent for what you want with software? Where sometimes
    1:26:22 it might be because the intent is really hard to specify, it’s also then going to be really
    1:26:24 hard to prove that it’s actually matching whatever your intent is.
    1:26:27 What do you think that spec is hard to generate?
    1:26:35 Yeah, or just like for a given spec, maybe you can, I think there is a question of like
    1:26:39 can you actually do the formal verification? Like is that possible? I think that there’s
    1:26:41 like more to dig into there.
    1:26:42 But then also-
    1:26:43 Even if you have the spec?
    1:26:44 If you have the spec-
    1:26:45 How do you map the spec?
    1:26:47 Even if you have the spec, is the spec written in natural language?
    1:26:48 Yeah, how do you map the spec?
    1:26:51 No, the spec would be formal.
    1:26:56 I think that you care about things that are not going to be easily well specified in the
    1:26:57 spec language.
    1:26:58 I see, I see.
    1:26:59 Yeah.
    1:27:00 Yeah.
    1:27:01 Maybe an argument against formal verification is all you need.
    1:27:02 Yeah.
    1:27:04 But there’s this massive docking-
    1:27:07 Replacing something like unit tests, sure.
    1:27:08 Yeah.
    1:27:09 Yeah.
    1:27:14 I think you can probably also evolve the spec languages to capture some of the things
    1:27:18 that they don’t really capture right now.
    1:27:21 But I don’t know, I think it’s very exciting.
    1:27:25 And you’re speaking not just about like single functions, you’re speaking about entire code
    1:27:26 bases.
    1:27:30 I think entire code bases is harder, but that is what I would love to have.
    1:27:32 And I think it should be possible.
    1:27:38 Because you can even, there’s like a lot of work recently where you can prove formally
    1:27:40 verified down to the hardware.
    1:27:44 So like through the, you formally verify the C code and then you formally verify through
    1:27:49 the GCC compiler and then through the very log down to the hardware.
    1:27:53 And that’s like incredibly big system, but it actually works.
    1:27:57 And I think big code bases are sort of similar in that they’re like multi-layered system.
    1:28:02 And if you can decompose it and formally verify each part, then I think it should be possible.
    1:28:05 I think the specification problem is a real problem, but.
    1:28:07 How do you handle side effects?
    1:28:12 Or how do you handle, I guess, external dependencies like calling the Stripe API?
    1:28:14 Maybe Stripe would write a spec for their API.
    1:28:18 But like, you can’t do this for everything, like, can you do this for everything you use?
    1:28:22 Like, how do you, how do you do it for, if there’s a language, like maybe, maybe like
    1:28:26 people will use language models as primitives in the programs they write and there’s like
    1:28:27 a dependence on it.
    1:28:29 And like, how, how do you now include that?
    1:28:32 I think you might be able to prove, prove that still.
    1:28:33 Prove what about language models?
    1:28:40 I think if it feels possible that you could actually prove that a language model is aligned,
    1:28:46 for example, or like, you can prove that it actually gives the, the right answer.
    1:28:47 That’s the dream.
    1:28:48 Yeah, that is.
    1:28:54 I mean, that’s, if it’s possible, that’s your, I have a dream speech that will certainly
    1:29:00 help with, you know, making sure your code doesn’t have bugs and making sure AI doesn’t
    1:29:01 destroy all of human civilization.
    1:29:08 So the, the full spectrum of AI safety to just bug finding, so you said the models struggle
    1:29:09 with bug finding.
    1:29:10 What’s the hope?
    1:29:15 You know, my hope initially is, and I can let Michael, Michael chime in too, but it’s
    1:29:21 like this, it should, you know, first help with the stupid bugs, like it should very
    1:29:23 quickly catch the stupid bugs.
    1:29:27 Like off by one error is like, sometimes you write something in a comment and do the other
    1:29:28 way.
    1:29:29 It’s like very common.
    1:29:30 Like I do this.
    1:29:33 I write like less than in a comment and like, I maybe write the greater than sorry or something
    1:29:34 like that.
    1:29:39 And the model is like, you look sketchy, like, you sure you want to do that?
    1:29:41 But eventually it should be able to catch harder bugs too.
    1:29:42 Yeah.
    1:29:48 And I think that it’s also important to note that this is having good bug finding models
    1:29:53 feels necessary to get to the highest reaches of having AI do more and more programming for
    1:29:57 you where you’re going to, you know, if the AI is building more and more of the system
    1:30:00 for you, you need to not just generate, but also verify.
    1:30:04 And without that, some of the problems that we’ve talked about before with programming
    1:30:08 with these models will just become untenable.
    1:30:13 So it’s not just for humans, like you write a bug, I write a bug, find the bug for me,
    1:30:18 but it’s also being able to verify the AI’s code and check it is really important.
    1:30:19 Yeah.
    1:30:20 And then how do you actually do this?
    1:30:23 Like we have had a lot of contentious dinner discussions of how do you actually train a
    1:30:24 bug model?
    1:30:30 But one very popular idea is, you know, it’s kind of potentially easy to introduce a bug
    1:30:31 than actually finding the bug.
    1:30:36 And so you can train a model to introduce bugs in existing code.
    1:30:43 And then you can train a reverse bug model, then that can find bugs using this synthetic
    1:30:44 data.
    1:30:46 So that’s like one example.
    1:30:49 But yeah, there are lots of ideas for how to achieve this.
    1:30:53 You can also do a bunch of work, not even at the model level of taking the biggest models
    1:30:58 and then maybe giving them access to a lot of information that’s not just the code.
    1:31:02 But it gets kind of a hard problem to like stare at a file and be like, where’s the bug?
    1:31:04 And you know, that’s hard for humans often, right?
    1:31:07 And so often you have to run the code and being able to see things like traces and step
    1:31:09 through a debugger.
    1:31:12 There’s another whole another direction where it like kind of tends toward that.
    1:31:15 And it could also be that there are kind of two different product form factors here.
    1:31:17 It could be that you have a really specialty model that’s quite fast.
    1:31:20 That’s kind of running in the background and trying to spot bugs.
    1:31:24 And it might be that sometimes sort of sort of Arvid’s earlier example about, you know,
    1:31:27 some nefarious input box bug, it might be that sometimes you want to like, there’s, you
    1:31:30 know, there’s a bug, you’re not just like checking hypothesis free, you’re like, this
    1:31:31 is a problem.
    1:31:35 I really want to solve it and you zap that with tons and tons and tons of compute and
    1:31:39 you’re willing to put in like $50 to solve that bug or something even more.
    1:31:41 Have you thought about integrating money into this whole thing?
    1:31:46 Like I would pay probably a large amount of money for if you found a bug or even generated
    1:31:50 code that I really appreciated, like I had a moment a few days ago when I started using
    1:32:01 Cursor or generated a perfect, like perfect three functions for interacting with the
    1:32:08 YouTube API to update captions and for localization like different in different languages.
    1:32:11 The API documentation is not very good.
    1:32:15 And the code across like if I Google that for a while, I couldn’t find exactly, there’s
    1:32:19 a lot of confusing information and Cursor generated perfectly.
    1:32:23 And I was like, I just said back, I read the code, I was like, this is correct, I tested
    1:32:24 it is correct.
    1:32:30 I was like, I want to tip on a button that goes, yeah, there’s $5.
    1:32:34 One that’s really good just to support the company and support what the interface is.
    1:32:41 And the others that probably send a strong signal like, good job, right, there’s as much
    1:32:43 stronger signal than just accepting the code, right?
    1:32:46 You just actually send like a strong good job.
    1:32:53 But and for bug finding, obviously, like there’s a lot of people, you know, that would pay
    1:32:58 a huge amount of money for a bug, like a bug bounty thing, right?
    1:33:00 Is that you guys think about that?
    1:33:03 Yeah, it’s a controversial idea inside the company.
    1:33:10 I think it sort of depends on how much you believe in humanity almost, you know, like,
    1:33:15 I think it would be really cool if like, you spend nothing to try to find a bug.
    1:33:18 And if it doesn’t find a bug, you spend $0.
    1:33:22 And then if it does find a bug, and you click accept, then it also shows like, in parentheses,
    1:33:26 like $1 as you spend $1 to accept the bug.
    1:33:30 And then of course there’s a worry like, okay, we spent a lot of computation, like maybe
    1:33:32 people will just copy paste.
    1:33:34 I think that’s a worry.
    1:33:39 And then there is also the worry that like introducing money into the product makes it
    1:33:43 like kind of, you know, like it doesn’t feel as fun anymore, like you have to like think
    1:33:47 about money and all you want to think about is like the code.
    1:33:52 And so maybe it actually makes more sense to separate it out and like you pay some fee
    1:33:55 like every month, and then you get all of these things for free.
    1:33:59 But there could be a tipping component, which is not like it costs us.
    1:34:00 It still has that like dollar symbol.
    1:34:06 I think it’s fine, but I also see the point where like, maybe you don’t want to introduce
    1:34:07 it.
    1:34:09 Yeah, I was gonna say the moment that feels like people do this is when they share it,
    1:34:13 when they have this fantastic example, they just kind of share it with their friend.
    1:34:16 There is also a potential world where there’s a technical solution to this like honor system
    1:34:21 problem too, where if we can get to a place where we understand the output of the system
    1:34:24 more, I mean, to the stuff we were talking about with like, you know, error checking
    1:34:26 with the LSP and then also running the code.
    1:34:30 But if you could get to a place where you could actually somehow verify, oh, I have fixed
    1:34:35 the bug, maybe then the bounty system doesn’t need to rely on the honor system too.
    1:34:40 How much interaction is there between the terminal and the code, like how much information
    1:34:45 is gained from few, if you run the code in the terminal, like can you use, can you do
    1:34:51 like a loop where it runs, runs the code and suggests how to change the code if the code
    1:34:57 and runtime gives an error is right now, they’re separate worlds completely.
    1:35:01 Like I know you can like do control K inside the terminal to help you write the code.
    1:35:08 You can use terminal contacts as well inside of Jackman K kind of everything.
    1:35:12 We don’t have the looping part yet, though we suspect something like this could make
    1:35:13 a lot of sense.
    1:35:16 There’s a question of whether it happens in the foreground too, or if it happens in
    1:35:19 the background like what we’ve been discussing.
    1:35:20 Sure.
    1:35:21 The background is pretty cool.
    1:35:24 Like we do running the code in different ways, plus there’s a database side to this,
    1:35:29 which how do you protect it from not modifying the database, but okay.
    1:35:32 I mean, there’s certainly cool solutions there.
    1:35:41 There’s this new API that is being developed for it’s not an AWS, but you know, it certainly
    1:35:42 is I think it’s in planet scale.
    1:35:47 I don’t know planet scale was the first one to added it’s disability sort of add branches
    1:35:53 to a database, which is like if you’re working on a feature and you want to test against
    1:35:56 the prod database, but you don’t actually want to test against the prod database, you
    1:35:59 could sort of add a branch to the database and the way they do that is to add a branch
    1:36:04 to the right head log and there’s obviously a lot of technical complexity in doing it
    1:36:05 correctly.
    1:36:09 I guess database companies need new things to do.
    1:36:14 They have good databases now.
    1:36:19 And I think like Turbo Buffer, which is one of the databases we use as is going to add
    1:36:29 hope maybe branching to the right head log and so maybe the AI agents will use branching
    1:36:32 to like test against some branch.
    1:36:36 And it’s sort of going to be a requirement for the database to like support branching
    1:36:37 or something.
    1:36:39 It’d be really interesting if you could branch a file system, right?
    1:36:40 Yeah.
    1:36:43 If you like everything needs branching, it’s like that.
    1:36:44 Yeah.
    1:36:45 Yeah.
    1:36:48 It’s like that’s the problem with the multiverse, right?
    1:36:50 If you branch and everything, that’s like a lot.
    1:36:53 I mean, there’s obviously these like super clever algorithms to make sure that you don’t
    1:36:58 actually use a lot of space or CPU or whatever.
    1:36:59 Okay.
    1:37:00 This is a good place to ask about infrastructure.
    1:37:03 So you guys mostly use AWS?
    1:37:04 What are some interesting details?
    1:37:05 What are some interesting challenges?
    1:37:08 Why did you choose AWS?
    1:37:10 Why is AWS still winning?
    1:37:11 Hashtag.
    1:37:14 AWS is just really, really good.
    1:37:15 It’s really good.
    1:37:23 Like whenever you use an AWS product, you just know that it’s going to work.
    1:37:28 Like it might be absolute hell to go through the steps to set it up.
    1:37:30 Why is the interface so horrible?
    1:37:32 Because it’s just so good.
    1:37:33 It doesn’t need to.
    1:37:34 It’s the nature of winning.
    1:37:37 I think it’s exactly, it’s just nature of the winning.
    1:37:38 Yeah.
    1:37:39 Yeah.
    1:37:41 But AWS, you can always trust like it will always work.
    1:37:45 And if there is a problem, it’s probably your problem.
    1:37:46 Yeah.
    1:37:47 Okay.
    1:37:52 Is there some interesting like challenges to, you guys have a pretty new startup to get
    1:37:55 scaling to like, to so many people on.
    1:37:56 Yeah.
    1:38:02 I think that there, it has been an interesting journey, adding, you know, each extra zero
    1:38:06 to the request per second, but you run into all of these with like, you know, the general
    1:38:09 components you’re using for, for caching and databases, run into issues as you make things
    1:38:10 bigger and bigger.
    1:38:13 And now we’re at the scale where we get like, you know, into overflows on our tables and
    1:38:15 things like that.
    1:38:19 And then also there have been some custom systems that we’ve built, like for instance
    1:38:25 our retrieval system for computing a semantic index of your code base and answering questions
    1:38:29 about a code base that have continually, I feel like been one of the trickier things
    1:38:30 to scale.
    1:38:34 I have a few friends who are super, super senior engineers and one of their sort of
    1:38:40 lines is like, it’s very hard to predict where systems will break when you scale them.
    1:38:45 You can sort of try to predict in advance, like there’s always something weird that’s
    1:38:50 going to happen when you add this extra zero and you thought you thought through everything,
    1:38:52 but you didn’t actually think through everything.
    1:39:01 But I think for that particular system, we’ve, so what the, for concrete details, the thing
    1:39:08 we do is obviously we upload when like, we chunk up all of your code and then we send
    1:39:12 up sort of the code for, for embedding and we embed the code.
    1:39:18 And then we store the embeddings in a database, but we don’t actually store any of the code.
    1:39:22 And then there’s reasons around making sure that we don’t introduce client bugs because
    1:39:25 we’re very, very paranoid about client bugs.
    1:39:34 We store much of the details on the server, like everything is sort of encrypted.
    1:39:39 So one of the technical challenges is always making sure that the local index, the local
    1:39:44 code base state is the same as the state that is on the server.
    1:39:49 And the way, sort of technically we ended up doing that is, so for every single file,
    1:39:52 you can sort of keep this hash.
    1:39:56 And then for every folder, you can sort of keep a hash, which is the hash of all of
    1:39:57 its children.
    1:40:00 And you can sort of recursively do that until the top.
    1:40:04 And why, why do something, something complicated?
    1:40:07 One thing you could do is you could keep a hash for every file.
    1:40:11 Then every minute you could try to download the hashes that are on the server, figure
    1:40:13 out what are the files that don’t exist on the server.
    1:40:17 Maybe you just created a new file, maybe you just deleted a file, maybe you checked out
    1:40:23 a new branch and try to reconcile the state between the client and the server.
    1:40:29 But that introduces like absolutely ginormous network overhead, both, both on the client
    1:40:30 side.
    1:40:35 I mean, nobody really wants us to hammer their Wi-Fi all the time if you’re using cursor.
    1:40:39 But also like, I mean, it would introduce like ginormous overhead on the database.
    1:40:47 I mean, it would sort of be reading this tens of terabyte database, sort of approaching
    1:40:54 like 20 terabytes or something database like every second, that’s just, just kind of crazy.
    1:40:56 You definitely don’t want to do that.
    1:41:01 And what you do, you sort of, you just try to reconcile the single hash, which is at
    1:41:02 the root of the project.
    1:41:06 And then if, if something mismatches, then you go, you find where all the things disagree.
    1:41:09 Maybe you look at the children and see if the hashes match and if the hashes don’t match,
    1:41:13 go look at their children and so on, but you only do that in this scenario where things
    1:41:14 don’t match.
    1:41:16 And for most people, most of the time the hashes match.
    1:41:20 So it’s a kind of like hierarchical reconciliation of hashes.
    1:41:21 Yeah, something like that.
    1:41:22 Yeah.
    1:41:23 It’s called a Merkel tree.
    1:41:24 Yeah.
    1:41:25 Yeah.
    1:41:28 This is cool to see that you kind of have to think through all these problems.
    1:41:32 And I mean, the point of, like the reason it’s gotten hard is just because like the number
    1:41:38 of people using it and, you know, some of your customers have really, really large code
    1:41:43 bases to the point where, you know, we, we originally reordered our code base, which
    1:41:48 is, which is big, but I mean, it’s just not the size of some company that’s been there
    1:41:52 for 20 years and sort of has a ginormous number of files and you sort of want to scale that
    1:41:53 across programmers.
    1:41:58 There’s all these details where like building the simple thing is easy, but scaling it to
    1:42:02 a lot of people, like a lot of companies is obviously a difficult problem, which is sort
    1:42:06 of, you know, independent of actually, so that there’s part of this scaling our current
    1:42:11 solution is also, you know, coming up with new ideas that obviously we’re working on,
    1:42:14 but then, but then scaling all of that in the last few weeks, months.
    1:42:15 Yeah.
    1:42:18 And there are a lot of clever things, like additional things that, that go into this
    1:42:24 indexing system. For example, the bottleneck in terms of costs is not storing things in
    1:42:27 the vector database or the database. It’s actually embedding the code. And you don’t
    1:42:32 want to re-embed the code base for every single person in a company that is using the same
    1:42:37 exact code, except for maybe there’s a branch with a few different files or they’ve made
    1:42:41 a few local changes. And so, because again, embeddings are the bottleneck you can do is
    1:42:45 one clever trick and not have to worry about like the complexity of like dealing with branches
    1:42:53 and, and the other databases where you just have some cash on the actual vectors computed
    1:43:00 from the hash of a given chunk. And so this means that when the end person at a company
    1:43:04 goes and embeds their code base, it’s, it’s really, really fast. And you do all this without
    1:43:08 actually storing any code on our servers at all. No code data is stored. We just store
    1:43:12 the vectors in the vector database and the vector cash.
    1:43:18 What’s the biggest gains at this time you get from indexing the code base? I could just
    1:43:23 out of curiosity, like what, what benefit do users have? It seems like longer term,
    1:43:27 there’ll be more and more benefit. But in the short term, just asking questions of the
    1:43:32 code base. What, what’s the use, what’s the usefulness of that?
    1:43:39 I think the most obvious one is just you want to find out where something is happening in
    1:43:44 your large code base. And you sort of have a fuzzy memory of, okay, I want to find the
    1:43:49 place where we do X. But you don’t exactly know what to search for in a normal text search.
    1:43:54 As you ask a chat, you hit command enter to ask with, with the code base chat. And then
    1:43:58 very often it finds the right place that you were thinking of.
    1:44:02 I think like you, like you mentioned, in the future, I think there’s only going to get
    1:44:08 more and more powerful where we’re working a lot on improving the quality of our retrieval.
    1:44:11 And I think the ceiling for that is really, really much higher than people give credit
    1:44:12 for.
    1:44:16 One question that’s good to ask here, have you considered and why haven’t you much
    1:44:21 done sort of local stuff to where you can do the, it seems like everything we just discussed
    1:44:25 is exceptionally difficult to do. To go, to go to the cloud, you have to think about
    1:44:32 all these things with the caching and the, you know, large code base with a large number
    1:44:35 of programmers are using the same code base. You have to figure out the puzzle of that.
    1:44:41 A lot of it, you know, most software just does stuff, this heavy computational stuff
    1:44:45 locally. Have you considered doing sort of embeddings locally?
    1:44:49 Yeah, we thought about it. And I think it would be cool to do it locally. I think it’s
    1:44:55 just really hard. And, and one thing to keep in mind is that, you know, some of our users
    1:45:00 use the latest MacBook Pro. And, but most of our users, like more than 80% of our users
    1:45:07 are in Windows machines, which, and many of them are not very powerful. And so local models
    1:45:14 really only works on the, on the latest computers. And it’s also a big overhead to, to, to build
    1:45:19 that in. And so even if we would like to do that, it’s currently not something that we
    1:45:23 are able to focus on. And I think there are, there are some people that, that, that do that.
    1:45:29 And I think that’s great. But especially as models get bigger and bigger and you want
    1:45:34 to do fancier things with like bigger models, it becomes even harder to do it locally.
    1:45:39 Yeah. And it’s not a problem with like weaker computers. It’s just that, for example, if
    1:45:45 you’re some big company, you have big company code base, it’s just really hard to process
    1:45:49 big company code base, even on the beefiest MacBook Pros. So even if it’s not even a
    1:45:55 matter of like, if you’re, if you’re just like a student or something, I think if you’re
    1:46:00 like the best programmer at a big company, you’re still going to have a horrible experience
    1:46:05 if you do everything locally. You could, you could do edge and sort of scrape by, but like,
    1:46:07 again, it wouldn’t be fun anymore.
    1:46:10 Yeah. Like at approximate nearest neighbors and this massive code base is going to just
    1:46:17 eat up your memory and your CPU. And that’s, and that’s just that. Like, let’s talk about
    1:46:22 like also the modeling side where as I’ve already said, there are these massive headwinds
    1:46:29 against local models where one thing seems to move towards MOEs, which like one benefit
    1:46:35 is maybe there are more memory bandwidth bound, which plays in favor of local versus using
    1:46:43 GPUs or using NVIDIA GPUs. But the downside is these models are just bigger in total.
    1:46:47 And you know, they’re going to need to fit often not even on a single node of multiple
    1:46:53 nodes. There’s no way that’s going to fit inside of even really good MacBooks. And I
    1:46:59 think especially for coding, it’s not a question as much of like, does it clear some bar of
    1:47:04 like the models good enough to do these things? And then like we’re satisfied, which may be
    1:47:08 the case for other other problems and maybe where local models shine, but people are always
    1:47:13 going to want the best, the most intelligent, the most capable things. And that’s going
    1:47:17 to be really, really hard to run for almost all people locally.
    1:47:22 Don’t you want the most capable model? Like you want, you want Sonya too?
    1:47:23 And also with O1.
    1:47:29 I like how you’re pitching me. Would you be satisfied with an inferior model? Listen,
    1:47:34 I’m, yes, I’m one of those, but there’s some people that like to do stuff locally, especially
    1:47:40 like really, there’s a whole obviously open source movement that kind of resists and it’s
    1:47:46 good that they exist actually because you want to resist the power centers that are growing
    1:47:47 are.
    1:47:52 There’s actually an alternative to local models that I am particularly fond of. I think it’s
    1:47:58 still very much in the research stage, but you could imagine to do homomorphic encryption
    1:48:03 for language model inference. So you encrypt your input on your local machine, then you
    1:48:10 send that up and then the server can use loss of computation. They can run models that you
    1:48:14 cannot run locally on this encrypted data, but they cannot see what the data is. And
    1:48:18 then they send back the answer and you decrypt the answer and only you can see the answer.
    1:48:25 So I think that’s still very much researched and all of it is about trying to make the
    1:48:30 overhead lower because right now the overhead is really big. But if you can make that happen,
    1:48:36 I think that would be really, really cool and I think it would be really, really impactful
    1:48:39 because I think one thing that’s actually kind of worrisome is that as these models
    1:48:44 get better and better, they’re going to become more and more economically useful and so more
    1:48:52 and more of the world’s information and data will flow through one or two centralized actors.
    1:48:58 And then there are worries about there can be traditional hacker attempts, but it also
    1:49:04 creates this kind of scary part where if all of the world’s information is flowing through
    1:49:12 one node in plain text, you can have surveillance in very bad ways. And sometimes that will happen
    1:49:18 for, you know, initially will be like good reasons like people will want to try to protect
    1:49:23 against like bad actors using AI models in bad ways. And then you will add in some surveillance
    1:49:27 code and then someone else will come in and, you know, you’re in a slippery slope and then
    1:49:36 you start doing bad things with a lot of the world’s data. And so I’m very hopeful that
    1:49:38 we can solve homomorphic encryption for language modeling.
    1:49:42 Yeah, doing privacy preserving machine learning, but I would say like that’s the challenge
    1:49:48 we have with all software these days. It’s like there’s so many features that can be
    1:49:53 provided from the cloud and all this increasingly relying it and make our life awesome, but
    1:49:56 there’s downsides and that’s why you rely on really good security to protect from basic
    1:50:03 attacks. But there’s also only a small set of companies that are controlling that data,
    1:50:07 you know, and they obviously have leverage and they could be infiltrated in all kinds
    1:50:09 of ways. That’s the world we live in.
    1:50:14 Yeah, I mean, the thing I’m just actually quite worried about is sort of the world where
    1:50:21 means the entropic has this responsible scaling policy and so we’re on like the low ASLs,
    1:50:26 which is the entropic security level or whatever, of the models, but as we get to like code
    1:50:36 and code ASL 3, ASL 4, whatever models, which are sort of very powerful. But for mostly
    1:50:41 reasonable security reasons, you would want to monitor all the prompts. But I think that’s
    1:50:46 sort of reasonable and understandable where everyone is coming from, but Matt, it’d be
    1:50:52 really horrible if all the world’s information is sort of monitored that heavily. It’s way
    1:50:59 too centralized. It’s like this really fine line you’re walking where on the one side,
    1:51:05 you don’t want the models to go rogue. On the other side, it’s humans. I don’t know
    1:51:11 if I trust all the world’s information to pass through three model providers.
    1:51:19 What do you think is different than cloud providers? Because I think a lot of this data would never
    1:51:27 have gone to the cloud providers in the first place where this is often like you want to
    1:51:31 give more data to the EIA models. You want to give personal data that you would never
    1:51:38 have put online in the first place to these companies or to these models. And it also
    1:51:47 centralizes control, where right now, for cloud, you can often use your own encryption
    1:51:56 keys and it just can’t really do much. But here is just centralized actors that see the
    1:51:59 exact plaintext of everything.
    1:52:03 On the topic of context, that’s actually been a friction for me. When I’m writing code in
    1:52:09 Python, there’s a bunch of stuff imported. You could probably intuit the kind of stuff
    1:52:17 I would like to include in the context. How hard is it to auto figure out the context?
    1:52:24 It’s tricky. I think we can do a lot better at computing the context automatically in
    1:52:28 the future. One thing that’s important to notice, there are trade-offs with including
    1:52:34 automatic context. The more context you include for these models, first of all, the slower
    1:52:39 they are. And the more expensive those requests are, which means you can then do less model
    1:52:44 calls and do less fancy stuff in the background. Also, for a lot of these models, they get
    1:52:49 confused if you have a lot of information in the prompt. The bar for accuracy and for
    1:52:57 relevance of the context you include should be quite high. But already we do some automatic
    1:53:00 context in some places within the product. It’s definitely something we want to get a
    1:53:03 lot better at.
    1:53:11 I think that there are a lot of cool ideas to try there. Both on the learning better retrieval
    1:53:16 systems, like better embedding models, better re-rankers, I think that there are also cool
    1:53:21 academic ideas. Stuff we’ve tried out internally, but also the field is grappling with writ
    1:53:26 large, about can you get language models to a place where you can actually just have the
    1:53:31 model itself understand a new corpus of information. And the most popular, talked about version
    1:53:34 of this is, can you make the context windows infinite? Then if you make the context windows
    1:53:38 infinite, can you make the model actually pay attention to the infinite context? And
    1:53:41 then after you can make it pay attention to the infinite context, to make it somewhat
    1:53:45 feasible to actually do it, can you then do caching for that infinite context? You don’t
    1:53:47 have to re-compute that all the time.
    1:53:51 But there are other cool ideas that are being tried that are a little bit more analogous
    1:53:56 to fine-tuning of actually learning this information and the weights of the model. And it might
    1:54:01 be that you actually get sort of a qualitatively different type of understanding if you do it
    1:54:04 more at the weight level than if you do it at the in-contact learning level. I think
    1:54:08 the journey, the journey is still a little bit out on how this is all going to work in
    1:54:13 the end. But in the interim, us as a company, we are really excited about better retrieval
    1:54:16 systems and picking the parts of the code base that are most relevant to what you’re
    1:54:18 doing. We could do that a lot better.
    1:54:23 Like one interesting proof of concept for the learning this knowledge directly in the
    1:54:31 weights is with VS Code. So we’re in a VS Code fork and VS Code, the code is all public.
    1:54:36 So these models in pre-training have seen all the code. They’ve probably also seen questions
    1:54:41 and answers about it. And then they’ve been fine-tuned in RLHF to be able to answer questions
    1:54:45 about code in general. So when you ask it a question about VS Code, you know, sometimes
    1:54:51 it’ll hallucinate, but sometimes it actually does a pretty good job at answering the question.
    1:54:56 And I think like this is just by, it happens to be okay. But what if you could actually
    1:55:02 like specifically train or post train a model such that it really was built to understand
    1:55:08 this code base? It’s an open research question, one that we’re quite interested in. And then
    1:55:12 there’s also uncertainty of like, do you want the model to be the thing that end to end is
    1:55:16 doing everything, i.e., it’s doing the retrieval and its internals, and then kind of answering
    1:55:22 the question, creating the code? Or do you want to separate the retrieval from the frontier
    1:55:26 model where maybe, you know, you’ll get some really capable models that are much better
    1:55:32 than like the best open source ones in a handful of months. And then you’ll want to separately
    1:55:36 train a really good open source model to be the retriever, to be the thing that feeds
    1:55:42 in the context to these larger models. Can you speak a little more to the post training
    1:55:48 a model to understand the code base? What do you mean by that? Is this a synthetic data
    1:55:54 direction? Yeah, I mean, there are many possible ways you could try doing it. There’s certainly
    1:55:58 no shortage of ideas. It’s just a question of going in and like trying all of them and
    1:56:04 being empirical about which one works best. You know, one very naive thing is to try to
    1:56:11 replicate what’s done with the S code and these frontier models. So let’s like continue
    1:56:14 pre-training, some kind of continued pre-training that includes general code data, but also
    1:56:20 throws in a lot of the data of some particular repository that you care about. And then in
    1:56:25 post training, meaning in let’s just start with instruction fine tuning, you have like
    1:56:29 a normal instruction fine tuning data set about code, but you throw in a lot of questions
    1:56:36 about code in that repository. So you could either get ground truth ones, which might
    1:56:39 be difficult, or you could do what you kind of hinted at or suggested using synthetic
    1:56:49 data, i.e. kind of having the model ask questions about various pieces of the code. So you kind
    1:56:54 of take the pieces of the code, then prompt the model or have a model propose a question
    1:56:59 for that piece of code, and then add those as instruction fine tuning data points. And
    1:57:04 then in theory, this might unlock the model’s ability to answer questions about that code
    1:57:05 base.
    1:57:11 Let me ask you about OpenAI 01. What do you think is the role of that kind of test time
    1:57:13 compute system in programming?
    1:57:18 I think test time compute is really, really interesting. So there’s been the pre-training
    1:57:24 regime, which will kind of, as you scale up the amount of data and the size of your model,
    1:57:29 get you better and better performance, both on loss and then on downstream benchmarks,
    1:57:35 and just general performance when we use it for coding or other tests. We’re starting
    1:57:41 to hit a bit of a data wall, meaning it’s going to be hard to continue scaling up this
    1:57:47 regime. And so scaling up test time compute is an interesting way of now increasing the
    1:57:54 number of inference time flops that we use, but still getting like, as you increase the
    1:57:59 number of flops you use inference time, getting corresponding improvements in the performance
    1:58:02 of these models. Traditionally, we just had to literally train a bigger model that always
    1:58:06 uses, that always used that many more flops. But now we could perhaps use the same size
    1:58:12 model and run it for longer to be able to get an answer at the quality of a much larger
    1:58:17 model. And so the really interesting thing I like about this is there are some problems
    1:58:22 that perhaps require 100 trillion parameter model intelligence trained on 100 trillion
    1:58:30 tokens. But that’s like maybe 1%, maybe like 0.1% of all queries. So are you going to spend
    1:58:36 all of this effort, all this compute training a model that costs that much and then run
    1:58:43 it so infrequently? It feels completely wasteful when instead you get the model that can, you
    1:58:48 train the model that’s capable of doing the 99.9% of queries, then you have a way of inference
    1:58:54 time running it longer for those few people that really, really want max intelligence.
    1:59:00 How do you figure out which problem requires what level of intelligence? Is that possible
    1:59:06 to dynamically figure out when to use GPT-4, when to use a small model and when you need
    1:59:09 the 0.1?
    1:59:14 I mean, yeah, that’s an open research problem, certainly. I don’t think anyone’s actually
    1:59:20 cracked this model routing problem quite well. We’d like to, we have initial implementations
    1:59:26 of this for things, for something like cursor tab. But at the level of like going between
    1:59:33 4.0 sonnet to 0.1, it’s a bit trickier. There’s also questions like what level of intelligence
    1:59:41 do you need to determine if the thing is too hard for the four level model. Maybe you need
    1:59:46 the 0.1 level model. It’s really unclear.
    1:59:51 You mentioned there’s a pre-training process, then there’s post-training, and then there’s
    1:59:57 like test time compute that fair does sort of separate. Where’s the biggest gains?
    2:00:02 Well, it’s weird because like test time compute, there’s like a whole training strategy needed
    2:00:06 to get test time to compute to work. And the really, the other really weird thing about
    2:00:13 this is no one, like outside of the big labs and maybe even just open AI, no one really
    2:00:18 knows how it works. Like there’ve been some really interesting papers that show hints of
    2:00:25 what they might be doing. And so perhaps they’re doing something with tree search using process
    2:00:31 reward models. But yeah, I think the issue is we don’t quite know exactly what it looks
    2:00:35 like. So it would be hard to kind of comment on like where it fits in. I would put it in
    2:00:39 post-training, but maybe like the compute spent for this kind of forgetting test time
    2:00:45 compute to work for a model is going to dwarf pre-training eventually.
    2:00:50 So we don’t even know if 01 is using just like chain of thought, RL, we don’t know how they’re
    2:00:53 using any of these. We don’t know anything.
    2:00:57 It’s fun to speculate.
    2:01:01 If you were to build a competing model, what would you do?
    2:01:06 Yeah, so one thing to do would be, I think you probably need to train a process reward
    2:01:11 model, which is so maybe we can get into reward models and outcome reward models versus process
    2:01:16 reward models. Outcome reward models are the kind of traditional reward models that people
    2:01:21 are trained for these four language models, language modeling. And it’s just looking at
    2:01:24 the final thing. So if you’re doing some math problem, let’s look at that final thing you’ve
    2:01:30 done, everything, and let’s assign a great how likely we think like what’s the reward
    2:01:35 model for this outcome. Process reward models instead try to grade the chain of thought.
    2:01:42 And so OpenAI had some preliminary paper on this I think last summer where they use human
    2:01:47 labellers to get this pretty large several hundred thousand dataset of grading chains
    2:01:48 of thought.
    2:01:54 Ultimately, it feels like I haven’t seen anything interesting in the ways that people use process
    2:02:02 reward models outside of just using it as a means of affecting how we choose between
    2:02:06 a bunch of samples. So like what people do in all these papers is they sample a bunch
    2:02:12 of outputs from the language model and then use the process reward models to grade all
    2:02:16 those generations alongside maybe some other heuristics and then use that to choose the
    2:02:18 best answer.
    2:02:23 The really interesting thing that people think might work and people want to work is tree
    2:02:28 search with these process reward models because if you really can grade every single step
    2:02:34 of the chain of thought, then you can kind of branch out and explore multiple paths of
    2:02:38 this chain of thought and then use these process reward models to evaluate how good is this
    2:02:40 branch that you’re taking?
    2:02:45 Yeah when the quality of the branch is somehow strongly correlated with the quality of the
    2:02:49 outcome at the very end. It’s like you have a good model of knowing which branch to take.
    2:02:52 So not just in the short term and like in the long term.
    2:02:55 And like the interesting work that I think has been done is figuring out how to properly
    2:03:01 train the process or the interesting work that has been open sourced in people I think
    2:03:07 talk about is how to train the process reward models maybe in a more automated way. I could
    2:03:12 be wrong here, could not be mentioning some papers. I haven’t seen anything super that
    2:03:17 seems to work really well for using the process reward models creatively to do tree search
    2:03:18 and code.
    2:03:23 This is kind of an AI safety maybe a bit of a philosophy question. So open AI says that
    2:03:27 they’re hiding the chain of thought from the user. And they’ve said that that was a difficult
    2:03:33 decision to make. They instead of showing the chain of thought, they’re asking the model
    2:03:37 to summarize the chain of thought. They’re also in the background saying they’re going
    2:03:42 to monitor the chain of thought to make sure the model is not trying to manipulate the user,
    2:03:46 which is a fascinating possibility. But anyway, what do you think about hiding the chain of
    2:03:47 thought?
    2:03:51 One consideration for open AI, and this is completely speculative, could be that they
    2:03:56 want to make it hard for people to distill these capabilities out of their model. It
    2:04:00 might actually be easier if you had access to that hidden chain of thought to replicate
    2:04:05 the technology. Because that’s pretty important data like seeing the steps that the model took
    2:04:06 to get to the final result.
    2:04:08 So you could probably train on that also.
    2:04:12 And there was sort of a mirror situation with this, with some of the large language model
    2:04:20 providers, and also this is speculation. But some of these APIs used to offer easy access
    2:04:25 to log probabilities for all the tokens that they’re generating. And also log probabilities
    2:04:30 for the prompt tokens. And then some of these APIs took those away. And again, complete speculation.
    2:04:35 But one of the thoughts is that the reason those were taken away is if you have access
    2:04:39 to log probabilities, similar to this hidden chain of thought, that can give you even more
    2:04:44 information to try and distill these capabilities out of the APIs, out of these biggest models,
    2:04:46 and to models you control.
    2:04:54 As an asterisk on also the previous discussion about us integrating O1, I think that we’re
    2:04:55 still learning how to use this model.
    2:05:01 So we made O1 available in Cursor because when we got the model, we were really interested
    2:05:05 in trying it out. I think a lot of programmers are going to be interested in trying it out.
    2:05:13 But O1 is not part of the default Cursor experience in any way up. And we still haven’t found
    2:05:21 a way to yet integrate it into the editor in a way that we reach for every hour, maybe
    2:05:22 even every day.
    2:05:30 And so I think the jury is still out on how to use the model. And we haven’t seen examples
    2:05:35 yet of people releasing things where it seems really clear like, oh, that’s like now the
    2:05:36 use case.
    2:05:40 The obvious one to turn to is maybe this can make it easier for you to have these background
    2:05:46 things running, to have these models in loops, to have these models be agentic. But we’re
    2:05:48 still discovering.
    2:05:54 To be clear, we have ideas. We just need to try and get something incredibly useful before
    2:05:56 we put it out there.
    2:06:04 But it has these significant limitations. Even barring capabilities, it does not stream.
    2:06:08 And that means it’s really, really painful to use for things where you want to supervise
    2:06:13 the output. And instead you’re just waiting for the wall text to show up.
    2:06:17 Also, it does feel like the early innings of test time computing search where it’s just
    2:06:25 like a very, very much of v0. And there’s so many things that don’t feel quite right.
    2:06:32 And I suspect in parallel to people increasing the amount of pre-training data and the size
    2:06:36 of the models and pre-training and finding tricks there, you’ll now have this other thread
    2:06:40 of getting searched to work better and better.
    2:06:50 So let me ask you about strawberry tomorrow eyes. So it looks like GitHub co-pilot might
    2:06:56 be integrating 01 in some kind of way. And I think some of the comments are saying, does
    2:07:01 this mean cursor is done? I think I saw one comment saying that.
    2:07:03 I thought, time to shut down cursor.
    2:07:05 Time to shut down cursor. Thank you.
    2:07:07 So is it time to shut down cursor?
    2:07:14 I think this space is a little bit different from past software spaces over the 2010s where
    2:07:18 I think that the ceiling here is really, really, really incredibly high. And so I think that
    2:07:22 the best product in three to four years will just be soon much more useful than the best
    2:07:30 product today. And you can wax poetic about Mote’s this and brand that. And this is our
    2:07:34 advantage. But I think in the end, just if you don’t have, like if you stop innovating
    2:07:40 on the product, you will lose. And that’s also great for startups. That’s great for
    2:07:44 people trying to enter this market because it means you have an opportunity to win against
    2:07:50 people who have, you know, lots of users already by just building something better.
    2:07:55 And so I think, yeah, over the next few years, it’s just about building the best product,
    2:08:01 building the best system, and that both comes down to the modeling engine side of things.
    2:08:03 And it also comes down to the editing experience.
    2:08:08 Yeah. I think most of the additional value from cursor versus everything else out there
    2:08:15 is not just integrating the new model fast, like a one, it comes from all of the kind
    2:08:19 of depth that goes into these custom models that you don’t realize are working for you
    2:08:25 in kind of every facet of the product, as well as like the really thoughtful UX with
    2:08:27 every single feature.
    2:08:32 All right. From that profound answer, let’s descend back down to the technical. You mentioned
    2:08:34 you have a taxonomy of synthetic data.
    2:08:35 Oh, yeah.
    2:08:36 Can you please explain?
    2:08:43 Yeah. I think there are three main kinds of synthetic data. The first is so what is synthetic
    2:08:49 data first? So there’s normal data, like non-synthetic data, which is just data that’s naturally
    2:08:55 created, i.e. usually it’ll be from humans having done things. So from some human process,
    2:09:01 you get this data. Synthetic data, the first one would be distillation. So having a language
    2:09:08 model kind of output tokens or probability distributions over tokens. And then you can
    2:09:14 train some less capable model on this. This approach is not going to get you a net like
    2:09:19 more capable model than the original one that has produced the tokens. But it’s really useful
    2:09:24 for if there’s some capability you want to elicit from some really expensive high latency
    2:09:31 model, you can then distill that down into some smaller task specific model. The second
    2:09:40 kind is when one direction of the problem is easier than the reverse. And so a great
    2:09:46 example of this is bug detection, like we mentioned earlier, where it’s a lot easier
    2:09:51 to introduce reasonable looking bugs than it is to actually detect them. And this is
    2:09:58 probably the case for humans too. And so what you can do is you can get a model that’s not
    2:10:02 training that much data that’s not that smart to introduce a bunch of bugs and code. And
    2:10:06 then you can use that to then train, use a synthetic data to train a model that can be
    2:10:12 really good at detecting bugs. The last category I think is I guess the main one that feels
    2:10:19 like the big labs are doing for synthetic data, which is producing text with language
    2:10:26 models that can then be verified easily. So like, you know, an extreme example of this
    2:10:31 is if you have a verification system that can detect if language is Shakespeare level
    2:10:36 and then you have a bunch of monkeys typing in typewriters, like you can eventually get
    2:10:39 enough training data to train a Shakespeare level language model. And I mean, this is
    2:10:45 the case, like very much the case for math, where verification is actually really, really
    2:10:52 easy for formal, formal languages. And then what you can do is you can have an OK model
    2:10:58 generate a ton of rollouts, and then choose the ones that you know have actually proved
    2:11:01 the ground truth here at theorems and train that further. There’s similar things you can
    2:11:07 do for code with Lee code like problems, or where if you have some set of tests that you
    2:11:12 know correspond to if something passes these tests, it is actually solved the problem.
    2:11:14 You could do the same thing where we verify that it’s past the test and then train the
    2:11:19 model in the output set of past the tests. I think it’s gonna be a little tricky getting
    2:11:26 this to work in all domains or just in general, like having the perfect verifier feels really,
    2:11:31 really hard to do with just like open-ended miscellaneous tasks. You get the model or
    2:11:35 more like long horizon tasks, even in coding.
    2:11:40 That’s because you’re not as optimistic as Arvid. But yeah. So yeah, so that third category
    2:11:43 requires having a verifier.
    2:11:46 Yeah. Verification is, it feels like it’s best when you know for a fact that it’s correct.
    2:11:52 And like, then it wouldn’t be like using a language model to verify. It would be using
    2:11:54 tests or formal systems.
    2:11:59 Or running the thing too, doing like the human form of verification where you just do manual
    2:12:01 quality control.
    2:12:02 Yeah.
    2:12:04 But like the language model version of that where it’s like running the thing and it actually
    2:12:05 understands the output.
    2:12:06 Yeah.
    2:12:07 No, that’s true.
    2:12:08 For somewhere between.
    2:12:14 Yeah. I think that’s the category that is most likely to result in like massive gains.
    2:12:22 What about RL with feedback side, RLHF versus RLAIF? What’s the role of that in getting
    2:12:25 better performance on the models?
    2:12:36 Yeah. So RLHF is when the reward model you use is trained from some labels you’ve collected
    2:12:38 from humans giving feedback.
    2:12:45 I think this works if you have the ability to get a ton of human feedback for this kind
    2:12:47 of task that you care about.
    2:12:54 RLAIF is interesting because you’re kind of depending on, like this is actually kind
    2:13:01 of going to, it’s depending on the constraint that verification is actually a decent bit
    2:13:05 easier than generation because it feels like, okay, like what are you doing? You’re using
    2:13:08 this language model to look at the language model outputs and then improve the language
    2:13:09 model.
    2:13:15 But no, it actually may work if the language model has a much easier time verifying some
    2:13:20 solution than it does generating it. Then you actually could perhaps get this kind of recursive,
    2:13:23 but I don’t think it’s going to look exactly like that.
    2:13:30 The other thing you could do is that we kind of do is like a little bit of a mix of RLAIF
    2:13:34 and RLHF where usually the model is actually quite correct. And this is in the case of
    2:13:40 the cursor tab at picking between like two possible generations of what is the better
    2:13:45 one. And then it just needs like a hand, a little bit of human nudging with only like
    2:13:54 on the order 50, 100 examples to like kind of align that prior the model has with exactly
    2:13:55 with what you want.
    2:13:59 It looks different than I think normal RLHF. We’re usually training these reward models
    2:14:02 and tons of examples.
    2:14:09 What’s your intuition when you compare generation and verification or generation and ranking?
    2:14:12 Is ranking way easier than generation?
    2:14:20 My intuition would just say, yeah, it should be like this is kind of going back to like
    2:14:25 if you if you believe P does not equal NP, then there’s this massive class of problems
    2:14:30 that are much, much easier to verify given a proof than actually proving it.
    2:14:35 I wonder if the same thing will prove P not equal to NP or P equal to NP.
    2:14:37 That would be, that would be really cool.
    2:14:45 That’d be of whatever feels metal by AI who gets the credit, another open philosophical
    2:14:46 question.
    2:14:56 I’m actually surprisingly curious what like a good bet for one AI will get the feels
    2:14:57 metal will be.
    2:14:59 Isn’t this a Mons specialty?
    2:15:01 I don’t know what a Mons bed here is.
    2:15:04 Oh, sorry, Nobel Prize or feels metal first?
    2:15:05 Feels metal.
    2:15:06 Feels metal level.
    2:15:07 Feels metal comes first.
    2:15:08 Feels metal comes first.
    2:15:09 Well, you would say that, of course.
    2:15:14 But it’s also this like isolated system in verify and sure.
    2:15:16 Like I don’t even know if I don’t need to do this.
    2:15:17 I feel like I have much more to do there.
    2:15:22 I felt like the path to get to IMO was a little bit more clear because it already could get
    2:15:26 a few IMO problems and there are a bunch of like, there’s a bunch of low hanging fruit
    2:15:30 given the literature at the time of like what what tactics people could take.
    2:15:36 I think I’m one much less first in the space with deer improving now and to, yeah, less
    2:15:41 intuition about how close we are to solving these really, really hard open problems.
    2:15:43 So you think it’ll be feels metal first?
    2:15:46 It won’t be like in physics or in.
    2:15:47 Oh, 100%.
    2:15:51 I think I think that’s probably likely like it’s probably much more likely that it’ll
    2:15:52 get them.
    2:15:53 Yeah.
    2:15:54 Yeah.
    2:15:57 Well, I think it’s both to like, I don’t know, like BSD, which is a bird’s wing turn
    2:16:02 die or conjecture or like Riemann iPods or any one of these like hard, hard math problems
    2:16:07 or just like actually really hard, it’s sort of unclear what the past you to get even a
    2:16:09 solution looks like.
    2:16:13 Like we don’t even know what a path looks like, let alone, and you don’t buy the idea
    2:16:17 that this is like an isolated system and you can actually, you have a good reward system
    2:16:22 and it feels like it’s easier to train for that.
    2:16:25 I think we might get feels metal before AGI.
    2:16:30 I mean, yeah, I’d be very happy, very happy.
    2:16:37 But I don’t know if I think 20, 20 H, 20, 30 feels metal feels metal.
    2:16:38 All right.
    2:16:44 It’s feels like forever from now, given how fast things have been going.
    2:16:47 Speaking of how fast things have been going, let’s talk about scaling laws.
    2:16:55 So for people who don’t know, maybe it’s good to talk about this whole idea of scaling
    2:16:56 laws.
    2:16:57 What are they?
    2:17:00 Where do you think stand and where do you think things are going?
    2:17:04 I think it was interesting, the original scaling laws paper by OpenAI was slightly wrong because
    2:17:11 I think of some issues they did with learning rate schedules and then Chinchilla showed
    2:17:13 a more correct version.
    2:17:16 And then from then, people have again kind of deviated from doing the compute optimal
    2:17:22 thing because people start now optimizing more so for making the thing work really well
    2:17:26 given an inference budget.
    2:17:31 And I think there are a lot more dimensions to these curves than what we originally used
    2:17:37 of just compute, number of parameters and data.
    2:17:38 Like inference compute is the obvious one.
    2:17:41 I think context length is another obvious one.
    2:17:47 So let’s say you care about the two things of inference compute and then context window.
    2:17:52 Maybe the thing you want to train is some kind of SSM because they’re much, much cheaper
    2:17:55 and faster at super, super long context.
    2:17:59 And even if maybe it is 10x worse scaling properties during training, maybe if you spend
    2:18:04 10x more compute to train the thing to get the same level of capabilities, it’s worth
    2:18:09 it because you care most about that inference budget for really long context windows.
    2:18:13 So it’ll be interesting to see how people kind of play with all these dimensions.
    2:18:17 So yeah, I mean you speak to the multiple dimensions, obviously the original conception
    2:18:22 was just looking at the variables of the size of the model as measured by parameters and
    2:18:25 the size of the data as measured by the number of tokens and looking at the ratio of the
    2:18:26 two.
    2:18:32 And it’s kind of a compelling notion that there is a number or at least a minimum and
    2:18:36 it seems like one was emerging.
    2:18:41 Do you still believe that there is a kind of bigger is better?
    2:18:49 I mean, I think bigger is certainly better for just raw performance and raw intelligence.
    2:18:55 I think the path that people might take is I’m particularly bullish on distillation.
    2:19:01 How many knobs can you turn to if we spend like a ton, ton of money on training, get
    2:19:07 the most capable cheap model, really, really caring as much as you can because the naive
    2:19:10 version of caring as much as you can about inference time compute is what people have
    2:19:16 already done with the Lama models or just overtraining the shit out of 7B models on
    2:19:19 way, way, way more tokens than is essential optimal.
    2:19:24 But if you really care about it, maybe the thing to do is what Gemma did, which is let’s
    2:19:31 not just train on tokens, let’s literally train on minimizing the KL divergence with
    2:19:37 the distribution of Gemma 27B, so knowledge distillation there.
    2:19:42 And you’re spending the compute of literally training this 27B model, the billion parameter
    2:19:46 model on all these tokens just to get out this smaller model.
    2:19:50 And the distillation gives you just a faster model, smaller means faster.
    2:19:56 Yeah, distillation in theory is I think getting out more signal from the data that you’re
    2:19:57 training on.
    2:20:01 And it’s like another, it’s perhaps another way of getting over, not like completely over,
    2:20:05 but like partially helping with the data wall, where like you only have so much data to train
    2:20:09 on, let’s like train this really, really big model on all these tokens and we’ll distill
    2:20:10 it into a smaller one.
    2:20:16 And maybe we can get more signal per token for this, for this much smaller model than
    2:20:18 we would have originally if we trained it.
    2:20:22 So if I gave you $10 trillion, how would you spend it?
    2:20:25 I mean, you can’t buy an island or whatever.
    2:20:34 How would you allocate it in terms of improving the big model versus maybe paying for HF and
    2:20:35 the RLHF?
    2:20:36 Yeah.
    2:20:42 Yeah, I think there’s a lot of these secrets and details about training these large models
    2:20:46 that I just don’t know and only privy to the large labs.
    2:20:50 And the issue is I would waste a lot of that money if I even attempted this because I wouldn’t
    2:20:53 know those things.
    2:20:59 Suspending a lot of disbelief and assuming like you had the know-how and operate or if
    2:21:03 you’re saying like you have to operate with like the limited information you have now.
    2:21:04 No, no, no.
    2:21:09 Actually, I would say you swoop in and you get all the information, all the little heuristics,
    2:21:17 all the little parameters, all the parameters that define how the thing is trained.
    2:21:22 If we look in how to invest money for the next five years in terms of maximizing what
    2:21:23 you call raw intelligence.
    2:21:25 I mean, isn’t the answer like really simple?
    2:21:28 You just try to get as much compute as possible.
    2:21:33 Like at the end of the day, all you need to buy is the GPUs and then the researchers
    2:21:39 can find all the like they can sort of you can tune whether you want to train a big model
    2:21:41 or a small model.
    2:21:45 Well this gets into the question of like, are you really limited by compute and money
    2:21:50 or are you limited by these other things and I’m more privy to Arvid’s beliefs that
    2:21:54 we’re sort of idea limited but there’s always like.
    2:21:59 But if you have a lot of compute, you can run a lot of experiments.
    2:22:04 So you would run a lot of experiments versus like use that compute to train a gigantic
    2:22:05 model.
    2:22:10 I would, but I do believe that we are limited in terms of ideas that we have.
    2:22:15 I think, yeah, because even with all this compute and like, you know, all the data you
    2:22:21 could collect in the world, I think you really are ultimately limited by not even ideas but
    2:22:27 just like really good engineering like even with all the capital in the world, would you
    2:22:32 really be able to assemble like there aren’t that many people in the world who really like
    2:22:34 make the difference here.
    2:22:40 And there’s so much work that goes into research that is just like pure, really, really hard
    2:22:45 engineering work as like a very kind of hand wavy example.
    2:22:48 If you look at the original transformer paper, you know how much work was kind of joining
    2:22:54 together a lot of these really interesting concepts embedded in the literature versus
    2:22:58 then going in and writing all the codes like maybe the CUDA kernels, maybe whatever else.
    2:23:04 I don’t know if it ran in GPUs or TPUs originally, such that it actually saturated the GPU performance,
    2:23:05 right?
    2:23:07 Getting known she’s here to go in and do all this code, right?
    2:23:11 And know it’s like probably one of the best engineers in the world or maybe going a step
    2:23:15 further like the next generation of models, having these things, like getting model parallelism
    2:23:20 to work and scaling it on like, you know, thousands of, or maybe tens of thousands of like V100s,
    2:23:23 which I think GBD3 may have been.
    2:23:27 There’s just so much engineering effort that has to go into all of these things to make
    2:23:28 it work.
    2:23:35 If you really brought that cost down to like, you know, maybe not zero, but just made it
    2:23:40 10x easier, made it super easy for someone with really fantastic ideas to immediately
    2:23:47 get to the version of like the new architecture they dreamed up that is like getting 50, 40%
    2:23:53 utilization on the GPUs, I think that would just speed up research by a ton.
    2:23:58 I mean, I think if you see a clear path to improvement, you should always sort of take
    2:23:59 the low hanging fruit first, right?
    2:24:04 I think probably open the eye and all the other labs did the right thing to pick off
    2:24:10 the low hanging fruit, where the low hanging fruit is like sort of, you could scale up
    2:24:19 to a GPT4.25 scale and you just keep scaling and like things keep getting better and as
    2:24:25 long as like, there’s no point of experimenting with new ideas when like everything is working
    2:24:30 and you should sort of bang on it and try to get as much as much juice out of the possible
    2:24:33 and then maybe when you really need new ideas for.
    2:24:38 I think if you’re spending 10 trillion dollars, probably want to spend some, you know, then
    2:24:41 actually like reevaluate your ideas, like probably your idea limited at that point.
    2:24:47 I think all of us believe new ideas are probably needed to get, you know, all the way there
    2:24:56 to AGI and all of us also probably believe there exist ways of testing out those ideas
    2:25:02 at smaller scales and being fairly confident that they’ll play out.
    2:25:07 It’s just quite difficult for the labs in their current position to dedicate their
    2:25:14 very limited research and engineering talent to exploring all these other ideas when there’s
    2:25:21 like this core thing that will probably like improve performance for some like decent amount
    2:25:22 of time.
    2:25:25 Yeah, but also these big labs like winning.
    2:25:31 So they’re just going wild, okay.
    2:25:34 So how big question looking on to the future.
    2:25:38 You’re now at the center of the programming world.
    2:25:43 How do you think programming, the nature programming changes in the next few months,
    2:25:47 in the next year, in the next two years, in the next five years, 10 years?
    2:25:52 I think we’re really excited about a future where the programmers in the driver’s seat
    2:25:54 for a long time.
    2:26:00 And you’ve heard us talk about this a little bit, but one that emphasizes speed and agency
    2:26:05 for the programmer and control, the ability to modify anything you want to modify, the
    2:26:08 ability to iterate really fast on what you’re building.
    2:26:16 And this is a little different, I think, than where some people are jumping to in the space
    2:26:24 where I think one idea that’s captivated people is can you talk to your computer?
    2:26:27 Can you have it built software for you as if you’re talking to like an engineering department
    2:26:32 or an engineer over Slack and can it just be this sort of isolated text box?
    2:26:38 And part of the reason we’re not excited about that is, you know, some of the stuff
    2:26:39 we talked about with latency.
    2:26:44 But then a big reason we’re not excited about that is because that comes with giving up
    2:26:45 a lot of control.
    2:26:49 It’s much harder to be really specific when you’re talking in the text box.
    2:26:53 And if you’re necessarily just going to communicate with a thing like you would be communicating
    2:26:58 with an engineering department, you’re actually advocating tons of really important decisions
    2:26:59 to the spot.
    2:27:04 And this kind of gets at fundamentally what engineering is.
    2:27:08 I think that some people who are a little bit more removed from engineering might think
    2:27:12 of it as, you know, the spec is completely written out and then the engineers just come
    2:27:14 and they just implement.
    2:27:19 And it’s just about making the thing happen in code and making the thing exist.
    2:27:24 But I think a lot of the best engineering, the engineering we enjoy involves tons of
    2:27:30 tiny micro decisions about what exactly you’re building and about really hard tradeoffs between,
    2:27:35 you know, speed and cost and just all the other things involved in a system.
    2:27:41 And we want as long as humans are actually the ones making, you know, designing the software
    2:27:44 and the ones specifying what they want to be built.
    2:27:47 And it’s not just like company run by all AIs.
    2:27:52 We think you’ll really want the humor, the human in a driver seat dictating these decisions.
    2:27:56 And so there’s the jury still out on kind of what that looks like.
    2:28:01 I think that, you know, one weird idea for what that could look like is it could look
    2:28:06 like you kind of, you can control the level of abstraction you view a code base at.
    2:28:12 And you can point at specific parts of a code base that may like maybe you digest a code
    2:28:15 base by looking at it in the form of pseudocode.
    2:28:20 And you can actually edit that pseudocode too and then have changes get made down at
    2:28:23 the sort of formal programming level.
    2:28:29 And you keep the like, you know, you can gesture at any piece of logic in your software component
    2:28:30 of programming.
    2:28:33 You keep the inflow text editing component of programming.
    2:28:36 You keep the control of, you can even go down into the code.
    2:28:40 You can go at higher levels of abstraction while also giving you these big productivity
    2:28:41 gains.
    2:28:44 It’d be nice if you can go up and down the abstraction stack.
    2:28:45 Yeah.
    2:28:46 And there are a lot of details to figure out there.
    2:28:48 That’s sort of like a fuzzy idea.
    2:28:49 Time will tell if it actually works.
    2:28:53 But these principles of control and speed in the human in the driver seat we think are
    2:28:55 really important.
    2:28:58 We think for some things, like Arvid mentioned before, for some styles of programming you
    2:29:02 can kind of hand it off chatbot style, you know, if you have a bug that’s really well
    2:29:03 specified.
    2:29:08 But that’s not most of programming and that’s also not most of the programming.
    2:29:10 We think a lot of people value.
    2:29:12 What about like the fundamental skill of programming?
    2:29:20 There’s a lot of people like young people right now kind of scared, like thinking because
    2:29:23 they like love programming, but they’re scared about like, will I be able to have a future
    2:29:26 if I pursue this career path?
    2:29:30 Do you think the very skill of programming will change fundamentally?
    2:29:34 I actually think this is a really, really exciting time to be building software.
    2:29:42 We remember what programming was like in, you know, 2013, 2012, whatever it was.
    2:29:50 And there was just so much more cruft and boilerplate and, you know, looking up something
    2:29:51 really gnarly.
    2:29:53 And that stuff still exists.
    2:29:55 It’s definitely not at zero.
    2:29:59 But programming today is way more fun than back then.
    2:30:04 It’s like we’re really getting down to the delight concentration and all the things
    2:30:07 that really draw people to programming, like for instance, this element of being able to
    2:30:12 build things really fast and speed and also individual control, like all those are just
    2:30:15 being turned up a ton.
    2:30:18 And so I think it’s just going to be, I think it’s going to be a really, really fun time
    2:30:20 for people who build software.
    2:30:22 I think that the skills will probably change too.
    2:30:26 I think that people’s taste and creative ideas will be magnified and it will be less
    2:30:32 about maybe less a little bit about boilerplate text editing, maybe even a little bit less
    2:30:36 about carefulness, which I think is really important today.
    2:30:39 If you’re a programmer, I think it’ll be a lot more fun.
    2:30:41 What do you guys think?
    2:30:42 I agree.
    2:30:49 I’m very excited to be able to change, like just, one thing that happened recently was
    2:30:52 like we wanted to do a relatively big migration to our code base.
    2:30:58 We were using async local storage in Node.js, which is known to be not very performant and
    2:31:00 we wanted to migrate to a context object.
    2:31:04 And this is a big migration that affects the entire code base.
    2:31:09 And Swall and I spent, I don’t know, five days working through this, even with today’s
    2:31:10 AI tools.
    2:31:17 And I am really excited for a future where I can just show a couple of examples and then
    2:31:20 the AI applies that to all of the locations.
    2:31:24 And then it highlights, oh, this is a new example, like what should I do and then I
    2:31:25 show exactly what to do there.
    2:31:29 And then that can be done in like 10 minutes.
    2:31:33 And then you can iterate much, much faster than you can, then you don’t have to think
    2:31:38 as much upfront and stand at the blackboard and like think exactly like how are we going
    2:31:42 to do this because the cost is so high, but you can just try something first.
    2:31:44 And you realize, oh, this is not actually exactly what I want.
    2:31:47 And then you can change it instantly again after.
    2:31:53 And so, yeah, I think being a programmer in the future is going to be a lot of fun.
    2:31:54 Yeah.
    2:31:57 I really like that point about, it feels like a lot of the time with programming.
    2:32:00 There are two ways you can go about it.
    2:32:06 One is like, you think really hard, carefully upfront about the best possible way to do it.
    2:32:10 And then you spend your limited time of engineering to actually implement it.
    2:32:14 But I must refer just getting in the code and like, you know, taking a crack at it, seeing
    2:32:19 it, how it kind of lays out, and then iterating really quickly on that.
    2:32:21 That feels more fun.
    2:32:25 Yeah, like just being to generate the boilerplate is great.
    2:32:31 So you just focus on the difficult design, nuanced difficult design decisions, migration.
    2:32:34 I feel like this is, this is a cool one.
    2:32:38 Like, it seems like large language models able to basically translate from one program
    2:32:43 language to another or like translate, like migrate in the general sense of what my grade
    2:32:44 is.
    2:32:46 But that’s in the current moment.
    2:32:51 So, I mean, the fear has to do with like, okay, as these models get better and better,
    2:32:53 then you’re doing less and less creative decisions.
    2:32:58 And is it going to kind of move to a place where it’s, you’re operating in the design
    2:33:03 space of natural language, where natural language is the main programming language.
    2:33:07 And I guess I get asked that by way of advice, like, if somebody’s interested in programming
    2:33:10 now, what do you think they should learn?
    2:33:19 Like do they, you guys started in some Java and I forget the, oh, some PHP.
    2:33:20 Objective C.
    2:33:21 Objective C.
    2:33:22 There you go.
    2:33:23 Yeah, absolutely.
    2:33:27 I mean, in the end, we all know JavaScript is going to win.
    2:33:28 And not TypeScript.
    2:33:33 It’s just, it’s going to be like vanilla JavaScript, it’s just going to eat the world and maybe
    2:33:34 a little bit of PHP.
    2:33:40 And I mean, it also brings up the question of like, I think Don Knuth has a, this idea
    2:33:45 that some percent of the population is geeks and like, there’s a particular kind of psychology
    2:33:52 in mind required for programming and it feels like more and more that expands the kind of
    2:33:58 person that should be able to can do great programming might expand.
    2:34:04 I think different people do programming for different reasons, but I think the true, maybe
    2:34:12 like the best programmers are the ones that really love, just like absolutely love programming,
    2:34:21 for example, they’re folks in our team who literally when they’re, they get back from
    2:34:26 work, they go and then they boot up cursor and then they start coding on their side projects
    2:34:31 for the entire night and they stay up till 3 AM doing that.
    2:34:37 And when they’re sad, they said, I just really need to code.
    2:34:42 And I think like, you know, there’s that level of programmer where like this obsession
    2:34:49 and love of programming, I think makes really the best programmers.
    2:34:55 And I think these types of people will really get into the details of how things work.
    2:35:01 I guess the question I’m asking that exact program, let’s think about that person.
    2:35:06 When the super tab, the super awesome praise be the tab is succeeds.
    2:35:11 You keep pressing tab, that person in the team loves to curse the tab more than anybody
    2:35:12 else.
    2:35:13 Yeah.
    2:35:17 And it’s also not just like, like pressing tab is like the just pressing tab.
    2:35:21 That’s like the easy way to say it in the catch phrase, you know, but what you’re actually
    2:35:27 doing when you’re pressing tab is that you’re injecting intent all the time while you’re
    2:35:29 doing it.
    2:35:30 Sometimes you’re rejecting it.
    2:35:32 Sometimes you’re typing a few more characters.
    2:35:38 And that’s the way that you’re sort of shaping the things that’s being created.
    2:35:43 And I think programming will change a lot to just what is it that you want to make.
    2:35:45 It’s sort of higher bandwidth.
    2:35:50 The communication to the computer just becomes higher and higher bandwidth as opposed to like
    2:35:53 just typing as much lower bandwidth than communicating intent.
    2:36:00 I mean, this goes to your manifesto titled engineering genius.
    2:36:04 We are an applied research lab building extraordinary productive human AI systems.
    2:36:10 So speaking to this like hybrid element to start, we’re building the engineer of the
    2:36:17 future, a human AI programmer that’s an order of magnitude more effective than any one engineer.
    2:36:21 This hybrid engineer will have effortless control over their code base and no low entropy
    2:36:23 keystrokes.
    2:36:28 They will iterate at the speed of their judgment, even in the most complex systems.
    2:36:34 Using a combination of AI and human ingenuity, they will outsmart and out engineer the best
    2:36:36 pure AI systems.
    2:36:38 We are a group of researchers and engineers.
    2:36:42 We build software and models to invent at the edge of what’s useful and what’s possible.
    2:36:47 Our work has already improved the lives of hundreds of thousands of programmers.
    2:36:51 And on the way to that, we’ll at least make programming more fun.
    2:36:53 So thank you for talking today.
    2:36:54 Thank you.
    2:36:55 Thanks for having us.
    2:36:56 Thank you.
    2:36:57 Thank you.
    2:37:01 Thanks for listening to this conversation with Michael, Swalle, Arvid, and Aman.
    2:37:04 To support this podcast, please check out our sponsors in the description.
    2:37:11 And now, let me leave you with a random, funny, and perhaps profound programming code I saw
    2:37:13 on Reddit.
    2:37:18 Nothing is as permanent as a temporary solution that works.
    2:37:21 Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time.
    2:37:22 Bye.
    2:37:25 [MUSIC PLAYING]
    2:37:29 [MUSIC PLAYING]
    2:37:32 [MUSIC PLAYING]
    2:37:35 [MUSIC PLAYING]
    2:37:37 you

    Aman Sanger, Arvid Lunnemark, Michael Truell, and Sualeh Asif are creators of Cursor, a popular code editor that specializes in AI-assisted programming.
    Thank you for listening ❤ Check out our sponsors: https://lexfridman.com/sponsors/ep447-sc
    See below for timestamps, transcript, and to give feedback, submit questions, contact Lex, etc.

    Transcript:
    https://lexfridman.com/cursor-team-transcript

    CONTACT LEX:
    Feedback – give feedback to Lex: https://lexfridman.com/survey
    AMA – submit questions, videos or call-in: https://lexfridman.com/ama
    Hiring – join our team: https://lexfridman.com/hiring
    Other – other ways to get in touch: https://lexfridman.com/contact

    EPISODE LINKS:
    Cursor Website: https://cursor.com
    Cursor on X: https://x.com/cursor_ai
    Anysphere Website: https://anysphere.inc/
    Aman’s X: https://x.com/amanrsanger
    Aman’s Website: https://amansanger.com/
    Arvid’s X: https://x.com/ArVID220u
    Arvid’s Website: https://arvid.xyz/
    Michael’s Website: https://mntruell.com/
    Michael’s LinkedIn: https://bit.ly/3zIDkPN
    Sualeh’s X: https://x.com/sualehasif996
    Sualeh’s Website: https://sualehasif.me/

    SPONSORS:
    To support this podcast, check out our sponsors & get discounts:
    Encord: AI tooling for annotation & data management.
    Go to https://encord.com/lex
    MasterClass: Online classes from world-class experts.
    Go to https://masterclass.com/lexpod
    Shopify: Sell stuff online.
    Go to https://shopify.com/lex
    NetSuite: Business management software.
    Go to http://netsuite.com/lex
    AG1: All-in-one daily nutrition drinks.
    Go to https://drinkag1.com/lex

    OUTLINE:
    (00:00) – Introduction
    (09:25) – Code editor basics
    (11:35) – GitHub Copilot
    (18:53) – Cursor
    (25:20) – Cursor Tab
    (31:35) – Code diff
    (39:46) – ML details
    (45:20) – GPT vs Claude
    (51:54) – Prompt engineering
    (59:20) – AI agents
    (1:13:18) – Running code in background
    (1:17:57) – Debugging
    (1:23:25) – Dangerous code
    (1:34:35) – Branching file systems
    (1:37:47) – Scaling challenges
    (1:51:58) – Context
    (1:57:05) – OpenAI o1
    (2:08:27) – Synthetic data
    (2:12:14) – RLHF vs RLAIF
    (2:14:01) – Fields Medal for AI
    (2:16:43) – Scaling laws
    (2:25:32) – The future of programming

    PODCAST LINKS:
    – Podcast Website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast
    – Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr
    – Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8
    – RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/
    – Podcast Playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLrAXtmErZgOdP_8GztsuKi9nrraNbKKp4
    – Clips Channel: https://www.youtube.com/lexclips

  • #446 – Ed Barnhart: Maya, Aztec, Inca, and Lost Civilizations of South America

    AI transcript
    0:00:05 The following is a conversation with Ed Barnhart, an archaeologist specializing
    0:00:10 in ancient civilizations of South America, Mesoamerica, and North America.
    0:00:16 And now a quick few second mention of each sponsor. Check them out in the description.
    0:00:22 It’s the best way to support this podcast. We’ve got masterclass for learning, Shopify for e-commerce,
    0:00:29 NetSuite for business, AG1 for health, and Notion for integrating AI into the notetaking process.
    0:00:35 Choose wisely my friends. Also, if you want to get in touch with me for whatever reason,
    0:00:41 including to work with our amazing team, or to submit questions that I can answer in an AMA,
    0:00:47 go to lexfreebin.com/contact. And now onto the full ad reads. As always, no ads in the middle.
    0:00:52 I try to make this interesting, but if you must skip them, friends, please still check out the
    0:01:00 sponsors. I enjoy their stuff. Maybe you will too. This episode is brought to you by masterclass,
    0:01:05 where you can watch over 200 classes from the best people in the world and their respective
    0:01:12 disciplines. I return time and time again to Martin Scorsese, who has an excellent masterclass on
    0:01:17 filmmaking. I’m a huge fan of Scorsese, and it’s hard to pinpoint exactly where his greatness is.
    0:01:25 I think in part it’s the storytelling. How do you tell a story in a way that pulls a person in,
    0:01:33 in a very short amount of time, gives you a feeling of a people’s, of a time, of a culture,
    0:01:41 of the drama, of the tension, of the hopes, of the loves, of the betrayals, all of that,
    0:01:49 pulls you in as quickly as possible, and lets you intimately feel that. That, I think, at the
    0:01:56 foundation is about storytelling. Now, on top of that, there’s the technical expertise of cinematography,
    0:02:05 just a lot of beautiful, intense, fun shots that contribute to the story. Some of it is lighting,
    0:02:12 some of it is framing, some of it is the tracking shots, and of course, of course, some of it is
    0:02:21 the mastery in the editing room. Anyway, it’s all those little details that one put together
    0:02:27 creates some of the greatest films ever made. So, you can check them out at Masterclass and get
    0:02:32 unlimited access to Masterclass, and get an additional 15% off an annual membership at
    0:02:40 masterclass.com/lexpod. That’s masterclass.com/lexpod. This episode is also brought to you by Shopify,
    0:02:45 a platform designed for anyone to sell anywhere with a great looking online store,
    0:02:52 and also a company that is easily and commonly confused with Spotify, especially on X,
    0:03:01 when people celebrate the CEOs of both companies. CEO of Spotify being Daniel Eck and Toby,
    0:03:10 the CEO of Shopify. It’s hilarious when both are celebrated correctly and incorrectly on social
    0:03:16 media. Love it. And Toby should be celebrated. Fascinating guy. Probably, I’ll talk to him
    0:03:24 on the podcast at some point. And not just fascinating because of Shopify and the entrepreneurial
    0:03:32 journey of that from the beginning to creating the company as it is now, but also just philosophically.
    0:03:38 The guy is a powerhouse. How he sees the world, how he thinks about the world.
    0:03:44 He’s just fun to brainstorm with. I got a chance to meet him and talk to him. Brilliant guy. And
    0:03:50 I’ll probably talk to Daniel Eck at some point. I think we agreed to talk like a year ago, travel
    0:03:56 situation, scheduling, all that kind of stuff got in the way. Both, I would say are incredible
    0:04:05 companies. Now, if you are trying to have an incredible company and you want to sell stuff,
    0:04:11 Shopify is the way to do it. Sign up for a $1 per month trial period at Shopify.com/lex.
    0:04:19 That’s all lowercase, but go to Shopify.com/lex to take your business to the next level today.
    0:04:25 This episode is also brought to you by Netsuite and all in one cloud business management system.
    0:04:35 A company is a machine and Netsuite is the machine within the machine that creates a language that
    0:04:39 the different departments, the different modules of the machine can communicate with each other.
    0:04:46 Financials, HR, inventory, supply, e-commerce, all of that. Module to module translation,
    0:04:53 like speech-to-speech translation. Speaking of which, I’m really excited as speech-to-speech
    0:04:58 translation, the possibility of breaking down language barriers across the world,
    0:05:05 across the barriers that divide the nations that are in an anarchic relationship with each other,
    0:05:11 and sometimes war with each other, sometimes conflict with each other on the cultural,
    0:05:17 on the economic, on the war front. And so breaking down the barrier of language can break down the
    0:05:24 barrier between peoples, and it can break down the barrier between the different departments
    0:05:30 within a company. That’s what Netsuite helps you do. Over 37,000 companies have upgraded to Netsuite.
    0:05:36 Take advantage of Netsuite’s flexible financing plan at Netsuite.com/lex. That’s Netsuite.com/lex.
    0:05:43 This episode is also brought to you by AG1, an all-in-one daily drink to support better health
    0:05:49 and peak performance. I’m about to drink it in a few minutes. I’m feeling good about life.
    0:05:56 I’m feeling good about my health. I’m going to have to do a very long run today. I did a hard
    0:06:02 training session in Jujitsu yesterday, putting my body through a lot of physical and emotional and
    0:06:08 mental stress, but feeling good under the weight of the challenge. And for that, you have to make
    0:06:14 sure nutrition is in a good place. I got a lot of vitamins. Basically, AG1 is a super awesome
    0:06:19 multivitamin, and that serves as a great foundation for all the fasting, all the carnivore, all the
    0:06:26 whatever diet things I do. It’s cool to create a little habit in terms of food and nutrition,
    0:06:34 and count on that habit to be your grounding from which you can launch into the crazy adventures
    0:06:39 that life offers. Anyway, they’ll give you one month supply of fish oil when you sign up at
    0:06:46 drinkage1.com/lex. This episode is also brought to you by Notion, a note-taking and team collaboration
    0:06:54 tool. They’ve really, really been pushing the AI front of how to integrate AI into the workflow of
    0:07:00 teams into the workflow of note-taking has been incredible. Okay, so what can you do? You can
    0:07:06 write a first draft of pretty much anything. As they write, the most popular Notion AI prompts
    0:07:12 so far have been brainstorm ideas to do list and outline. You can improve your writing in all kinds
    0:07:17 of ways. So you can select the writing that you have now and you can improve it. The most popular
    0:07:22 options have been fixed spelling and grammar, summarize and improve writing. And it’s not just
    0:07:27 for the whole document. You could do it by selecting a particular paragraph and running on that.
    0:07:33 It’s really about integrating the LLM into the interface. It’s a UX problem, not an AI problem.
    0:07:38 How do you integrate AI so that it’s a human AI collaboration and an efficient, effective and
    0:07:46 pleasant and fun one? And it’s actually really good at just doing a TLDR that gives you a basic
    0:07:51 summary, not just across a single document, but across multiple documents across multiple wikis,
    0:07:57 projects, all of it. So if there’s a large team, you can ask what’s been happening and you can get
    0:08:01 a good summary of that. And that’s super, super powerful. And, you know, I have a conversation
    0:08:07 coming up with a cursor team that’s a code editor and have been pushing the same kind of thing for
    0:08:14 the niche world of programming. And so, you know, when you have a great UX that integrates the human
    0:08:21 and AI together effectively, just the world, the possibility opens up. I’ve been using Notion
    0:08:28 for just this and loving it. Try Notion AI for free. When you go to Notion.com/Lex, that’s all
    0:08:36 lowercase Notion.com/Lex to try the power of Notion AI today. This is the Lex Friedman podcast.
    0:08:41 To support it, please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, dear friends,
    0:08:54 here’s Ed Barnhardt.
    0:09:05 Do you think there are lost civilizations in the history of humans on earth,
    0:09:12 which we don’t know anything about? Yes, I do. And in fact, you know, we have found
    0:09:19 some civilizations that we had no idea about just in my lifetime. I mean, we’ve got Gobekli Tepe
    0:09:26 and we’ve got the stuff that’s going on in the Amazon. And there are some other less startling
    0:09:32 things that we had no idea existed and push our dates back and give us whole new civilizations
    0:09:37 we had no idea about. So yeah, it’s happened and I think it’ll happen again.
    0:09:44 Do you think there’s a lost civilization in the Amazon that the Amazon jungle has eaten up
    0:09:52 or is hiding the evidence of? Yes, I do. And we’re beginning to find it. There are these huge,
    0:10:01 what we call geoglyphs, these mound groups that are in geometric patterns. I think that the average
    0:10:05 Joe, when they hear the word civilization, they think of something that looks like Rome.
    0:10:09 And I don’t think we’re ever going to find anything that looks like
    0:10:15 Rome in the Amazon. I think a lot of things there, I mean, wherever you are on the planet,
    0:10:19 you use your natural resources. And in the Amazon, there’s not a whole lot of stone.
    0:10:25 What stone is there is deep, deep, deep. So a lot of their things were built out of
    0:10:32 dirt and trees and feathers and textiles. But is it possible that
    0:10:38 all that land that’s not covered by trees is actually hiding stone, for example,
    0:10:42 some architecture, some things that’s just very difficult to find for archaeologists?
    0:10:49 I think at the base of the Andes, where the Amazon connects to the Andes, there’s a lot of
    0:10:54 potential there because that’s where the stone actually starts poking up. When you get down into
    0:11:01 the basin, stone is meters and meters under the ground, except for a stray cliff here and there
    0:11:06 where the river dug deep. And even then, only in the dry season because that river
    0:11:15 rises like over 100 feet every year. That’s one of the things having visited that area,
    0:11:22 just interacting with waterfalls and seeing the water. I was humbled by the power of water
    0:11:28 to shape landscapes and probably erase history in the context that we’re talking about of
    0:11:34 civilizations. Water can just make everything disappear over a period of centuries and millennia.
    0:11:40 And so if there’s something existed a very long time ago, thousands of years ago,
    0:11:43 it’s very possible it was just eaten up by nature.
    0:11:49 Absolutely. In fact, in my opinion, that’s almost a certainty in a lot of places.
    0:11:56 The Grand Canyon was dug by water. There’s this wimpy little river in it right now and you can’t
    0:12:02 possibly imagine that it dug that, but it did. The power of nature and geology is really kind of
    0:12:08 magical. And when it comes to ancient civilizations that could be from a long time ago, there’s
    0:12:15 probably a lot that are just under the ocean and just the wave action have destroyed them and what
    0:12:21 they haven’t destroyed buried deep. Under the ocean. So you think Atlantis ever existed?
    0:12:31 I don’t think that Atlantis existed. I do think it was one of Plato’s many parables talking about
    0:12:39 putting it in an interesting story as a teaching device in his school. If one did exist or a shadow
    0:12:47 of it, my money would be on Akratiri. Akratiri is what’s left of a big city that was on the island
    0:12:55 of Santorini. And when their volcano blew up, it blew up most of the city and shot chunks of it
    0:13:04 so fast that 70 miles away in Crete, there are chunks of Santorini in their cliff. So it blasted
    0:13:12 what was ever there. But what’s left on the side of the crater, Akratiri, is strangely advanced for
    0:13:18 its age. And so if there’s anything that’s a model for Atlantis as Plato explained it,
    0:13:25 it’s Akratiri. Akratiri, the ancient Greek city. So it says the settlement was destroyed in the
    0:13:32 Theron eruption sometime in the 16th century BCE and buried in volcanic ash, which preserved the
    0:13:39 remains of the frescoes and many objects and artworks. So we don’t know how advanced that
    0:13:45 civilization was. No, but we can walk around the ruins and see that it’s got streets, it’s got plumbing,
    0:13:53 it’s got little sconces for torches at night. It was a vibrant city with a lot of, especially
    0:14:02 in terms of hydraulic engineering, it’s very advanced for being 3500 years old.
    0:14:08 So if you check out here’s an image of the excavation. What a project.
    0:14:15 It’s an amazing place. And you can tell that it’s just part of it because it’s pretty close to where
    0:14:20 the crater begins. So the city itself was probably much larger. So in this case, there’s a lot of
    0:14:25 evidence, but like we said, there could be civilizations that there is no, there’s very
    0:14:30 little evidence of because of the natural environment that destroys all the evidence.
    0:14:34 Right. And I think Akratiri is actually a great example of that because here we have
    0:14:40 the side that did preserve that looks amazing, but we know there was more of the city that was
    0:14:46 completely obliterated. It was shot, chunks of that city are probably in the walls of Crete,
    0:14:53 70 miles away. And you know, Plato says that it, it sunk. It was on an island and it sunk.
    0:14:57 Well, that’s exactly what happened to Akratiri. I think this is what Plato was referring to.
    0:15:04 If it does exist, at least the model of it, I think this is probably what he was talking about.
    0:15:07 And there could be other civilizations of which Plato has never written.
    0:15:14 Right. Absolutely. That we have no record of. And it’s humbling to think that entire civilizations,
    0:15:20 with all the dreams, the hope, the technological innovation, the wars, the conflicts, the political
    0:15:27 tensions, all of that, the social interactions, the hierarchies, all of that, the art can be just
    0:15:35 destroyed like that and forgotten completely, lost to ancient history. I reflect upon that often as
    0:15:40 an archaeologist. I think about the, this great country that I live in and love and all the things
    0:15:47 we’ve achieved. But you know, we’re, we’re a baby historically speaking. We’ve been around 200 years.
    0:15:54 Heck, a lot of the cities I study in Central and South America, they had a run of, you know,
    0:16:00 800, 1,000 years and now they’re ruins, but we’re barely getting started in terms of
    0:16:06 historical civilizations. So humans, homo sapiens evolved,
    0:16:12 but they didn’t start civilizations right away. There’s a long period of time when they did not
    0:16:21 form these complex societies. So how do we, let’s say 300,000 years ago in Africa, actually go from
    0:16:33 there to creating civilizations? I think that a lot of human evolution had to do with the pressures
    0:16:40 that their environment put upon them. And a lot of things start changing right around 12,000 years
    0:16:47 ago. And that’s when, you know, our last ice age really ended. I think there was a whole lot of
    0:16:54 things that just pressured them into especially finding new ways of subsistence. Here in the
    0:17:01 Americas, a huge thing that happened was all the megafauna went away. When the climate changed enough,
    0:17:09 the mammoths died out and the bison died out. And there was just, they had to come up with
    0:17:14 different ways of doing things. We were hunters and gatherers and we had things we got from hunting
    0:17:20 and we got things we got from gathering. And in the Americas, when the things that they were used
    0:17:27 to hunting went away and they had to make do with rabbits, there, you know, the gathering
    0:17:34 started to be a much more important thing. And I think that led to figuring out, hey, we could
    0:17:39 actually grow certain things and gardens turned into crops, turned into intensive crops. And then
    0:17:45 people were allowed to gather in bigger groups and survive in a single area. They didn’t have to
    0:17:52 roam around anymore. And that’s where we get the first sedentary communities, which means they,
    0:17:58 they stayed in the same place all year long. For the vast majority of human existence,
    0:18:05 we’ve been nomadic and we’ve done these kind of wider or tighter nomadic circles, depending on the
    0:18:10 geographic region, where they’d know, okay, you know, in the mountains, well, in the, we’ll be in
    0:18:14 the summer in the mountains, because there’s berries and things. And then in the winter,
    0:18:21 we’ll be down here and we’ll hunt. But they’d move. So once humans figured out how to stay in a place,
    0:18:27 I think there, that’s the initial trigger to what would become civilization.
    0:18:31 What do you think is, there’s a lot of questions I want to ask here. What do you think is the
    0:18:37 motivation for societies? Is it the character of the stick? So you said like, is it like when
    0:18:41 resources run out, when the old way of life is no longer feeding everybody, then you have to
    0:18:47 figure stuff out? Or is it more the character of like, there’s always this kind of human spirit
    0:18:54 that wants to explore, that wants to maybe impress the rest of the village or something like this
    0:19:00 with the new discovery they made in venturing out and coming out with different ideas or
    0:19:06 technological innovation, let’s call it. Well, you know, I have an explorer’s heart, so I’m kind of,
    0:19:15 I’m biased. Right. You know, I do think that we have an innate desire to see what’s on the horizon.
    0:19:19 And to impress other people with our achievements, things like that.
    0:19:28 We’re social beings. That’s really the edge that humans have is our ability to work together. So I
    0:19:34 think that it’s much more the carrot than the stick. When things get ugly, the stick comes out.
    0:19:40 But usually the carrot does the job. The really interesting story is how the first people came
    0:19:49 to the Americas. I mean, to me, that’s pretty gangster to go from Asia, all the way potentially
    0:19:53 during the Ice Age or maybe at the end of the Ice Age or during that whole period,
    0:19:57 not knowing what the world looks like, going into the unknown. Can you talk to that process?
    0:20:01 How did the first people come to the Americas? Well, first off, I agree with you. That was
    0:20:08 pretty gangster. I mean, that’s a hard place to live. I listened to some of your podcasts,
    0:20:12 that guy, Jordan Jonas had the mustard, but I wouldn’t have made it crossing there.
    0:20:19 Well, there you go. The fact that those guys exist, that somebody like Jordan Jonas exists,
    0:20:25 people that survive and thrive in these harsh conditions, that’s an indication that it’s
    0:20:30 possible. But yeah, so when do you think and how did the first people come?
    0:20:39 The traditional theories are still somewhat valid or at least on the table that when that
    0:20:45 land bridge occurred, that nomadic hunters just followed the game like they always had and the
    0:20:50 game went across there because there was no barrier and they followed them across.
    0:20:57 The thing that has changed is how early that happened. DNA has been a total game changer for
    0:21:05 archaeology. We get all these evolutionary tracks that we could never see before. When I was a
    0:21:11 young archaeologist, I would have never dreamed we’d have the information we have now. And that
    0:21:17 information, a lot of it’s coming out of Texas A&M, we see the traditional like
    0:21:25 12,500 years ago that there was a migration. But now we’re seeing one that’s almost certainly
    0:21:33 happening closer to 30,000 years ago. And now the thing that seems like madness but might be true
    0:21:40 is that it could have been as early as 60. A lot of the DNA things are suggesting that the very
    0:21:47 first migration could have come across as early as 60. And when I was a younger archaeologist,
    0:21:55 it was heresy to go beyond this 12,500. You were a wacko if you said that. But now it’s really
    0:22:01 very clear that they came over at least by 30,000. And the bridge opened and closed and opened and
    0:22:10 closed. That’s during the Ice Age. Right. I mean, that’s crazy, right? That is crazy. Yeah. I mean,
    0:22:14 they didn’t roll in and immediately make New York. But there were people. And there were
    0:22:24 definitely not people here before that, which is fascinating. When the bridge closed, DNA mutated.
    0:22:30 And so we have specific kinds of haplo groups that are here in the Americas that don’t exist
    0:22:37 otherwise. And that same haplo group game has been showing us more and more that people came
    0:22:44 across Siberia. It’s not Africa. It’s not Western Europe. Those are still, you know,
    0:22:49 they’ve become kind of fringe theories, but they’re not totally eradicated. I have
    0:22:56 DNA is developing science as well. And I think we all need to keep that in mind that
    0:23:03 it’s not like they just cracked the code. And now we know all the answers. And sometimes,
    0:23:10 like in any science, a breakthrough puts us two steps backwards, not forwards. So I think, you
    0:23:16 know, we don’t need to have too much faith in the models that are now being created through DNA.
    0:23:21 But they are pointing in the direction of everybody came across from Siberia that
    0:23:26 all Native American people are of Asiatic descent.
    0:23:33 Do you think it was a gradual process? If it’s like 30 to 60,000 years ago,
    0:23:40 was it just gradual movement of these nomadic tribes as they follow the animals? Or was it like
    0:23:50 one explorer that pushed the tribe to just go, go, go, go, and go across maybe,
    0:23:58 across 100 years, travel all the way across maybe into North America, into North North America,
    0:24:03 where Canada is now, and then sort of like big leaps in movement versus gradual movement.
    0:24:07 I think it was big leaps. And now this is just, you know,
    0:24:16 mostly guess I’ll admit. But I think that much in the way that a lot of our evolutionary models
    0:24:24 talk about punctuated equilibrium, that there are big moments of change, and then it settles out into
    0:24:32 more slow and steady pattern, and then something big will happen again. I do think that the early
    0:24:38 people went as far as they could go, and there were certain colonies that just got isolated for
    0:24:45 thousands of years. One of the fascinating things that DNA is showing us, which actually blood types
    0:24:53 were showing us way before that, is that the oldest people in the Americas are in South America.
    0:25:01 The ones that got separated early and didn’t mix their DNA, like the people in the Amazon,
    0:25:10 most of those guys have O blood type, and they’re haplogroup D, which is the oldest one that entered
    0:25:16 the US. And what are they doing down there? I do believe they came across the Bering Strait.
    0:25:27 We have no real evidence to say they came en masse across Oceania. So they made it probably
    0:25:34 by boat along the coast all the way to South America. So there’s some kind of cultural engine
    0:25:41 that drove them to explore. So if you had to bet all your money, it happened tens of thousands
    0:25:48 of years ago, but at a very rapid pace, there’s these explorers that went all the way to South
    0:25:54 America, and there established their kind of more stable existence. And from there,
    0:26:01 South America, Mesoamerica, North America was kind of gradually expanded into that area.
    0:26:07 I think the next waves came down and did North America and Central America, and the very first
    0:26:13 wave made it all the way down to South America and got isolated there, and then mixed in with
    0:26:18 the next groups that came. That’s fascinating. Kind of like there’s an interesting correlate in
    0:26:30 Europe where today, everybody feels like Celtic people are from Ireland. But actually, Celtic
    0:26:37 people started in Eastern Europe, and it was the entire area. And when Rome kind of swept
    0:26:46 everything, and Rome was now the ruler of the day, it was only that far edge of the Celtic world,
    0:26:50 Ireland, that they were like, “We’re not going to mess with those guys on that island. We’ll
    0:26:57 leave them be.” So now it looks like that’s the heart of Celtic tradition, but actually,
    0:27:04 it’s the fringe. So if it is 60,000 years ago, these are really early humans. Yeah.
    0:27:08 And there were consistent things that have been coming out for decades about
    0:27:17 very old carbon-14 dates in the Amazon and in the Andes area that everybody just dismissed.
    0:27:23 It’s, “No, he didn’t get a date of 40,000 years.” But I think we’re going to come back around to
    0:27:29 start readdressing some of these based on new evidence at hand. And that’s the interesting thing
    0:27:35 is the early humans spread throughout the world. And then, like you said, perhaps they’ve gotten
    0:27:41 isolated, and then civilizations sprung from there. And they all have similar elements,
    0:27:46 even though they were isolated. That’s really interesting. That’s really interesting that
    0:27:54 there’s multiple cradles of civilization, not just one, like one good idea. Those ideas naturally
    0:28:02 come up. Those structures naturally come up. And I wonder whether the similarities that all
    0:28:12 those cradles have, it could be a shared, much deeper past that they all have. Or it could be
    0:28:20 a more kind of Star Trek thing where Captain Kirk was always talking about the theory of
    0:28:26 parallel human development, that humans across the universe go through certain stages of development,
    0:28:32 and that that could be the answer to it. Which one do you lean on? Which one do you lean
    0:28:38 towards? I think it’s a case-by-case thing. I think if we look globally, I’d lean much more
    0:28:44 towards the human parallel development. But if I look just to the Americas, and we have a shorter
    0:28:52 time period where the things that become major civilizations now, I’ll say, up to 30,000 years
    0:29:00 ago, which is still a blip in the time of humans, I think that there were shared things that those
    0:29:09 people came over with from Asia, and that as they got separated, that they had core values that then
    0:29:17 turned into things like religion and cultural customs that we can see. I’m a big proponent that
    0:29:26 there are commonalities in all the cultures of the Americas that lead back to and point to a
    0:29:31 single distant origin. You’ve spoken about the lost cradle of civilization in South America,
    0:29:39 so South America is not often talked about as one of the cradles of civilization. South America,
    0:29:45 Mesoamerica, can you explain? Well, we have very early stuff in South America. You’re right. I mean,
    0:29:54 especially as an American, our country’s so big, and we are so far removed from these places,
    0:30:01 we don’t even think about it. But more and more, we’re seeing things that predate the earliest
    0:30:11 stuff that we like to talk about, like Egypt and Mesopotamia. It’s all on the Peruvian coast
    0:30:15 that we have these cradles of civilization. Someday, we might start talking about the
    0:30:23 Amazon more and more. But right now, what we’ve got are things that date back into the 3000s BCE
    0:30:32 along the coast of Peru, and there are big stone-built pyramids and temples,
    0:30:40 and they’re amazingly isolated. Even now that we’ve found them, some of them like Corral is one
    0:30:45 of the most famous ones just north of Lima. We’ve known about it for a couple decades now,
    0:30:51 how old it is, but every time I visit there, it’s like I visited the moon. There’s absolutely
    0:31:01 nobody there, not for miles. It’s amazing how such a discovery was made, and yet still nobody
    0:31:06 goes to see it. It’s not easy to get to. Do you think there’s a bunch of locations like that?
    0:31:11 Some may not have been discovered in the Peru area. Oh, there are so many. Peru has tons. That
    0:31:18 desert gets really ugly quick, and it buries things completely. There are so many pyramids out there
    0:31:26 that are still completely untouched. When people hear the name pyramids, they think of Egypt immediately,
    0:31:33 but Egypt has got about 140 pyramids, and we have pretty much found them all. Peru has thousands,
    0:31:41 thousands of pyramids. Now, they weren’t built of a lot. Not all of them were built of stone. Some
    0:31:47 of them were adobe bricks, which have weathered terribly. Now, they’re not exciting places to
    0:31:53 visit today. You know what’s funny too? We started off talking about whether I think there’s a lost
    0:32:01 civilization out there. There are definitely things that are still to be discovered, but there are
    0:32:07 some things that were discovered 100 years ago, and archaeologists or back then they called themselves
    0:32:14 antiquarians just kind of passed over. Corral was one of these sites because the coast of Peru has
    0:32:23 some of those pyramids that were made by the moche are full of gold and beautiful ceramics
    0:32:30 and things that you can sell for big money. But Corral was found a long time ago,
    0:32:36 but the archaeologists was like, “God, no gold, no ceramics. Forget about it. This place is no good.
    0:32:45 We can’t sell anything here.” And then about the 1970s or ’80s, somebody said, “Hey, no ceramics?
    0:32:51 Is that older than the invention of ceramics? Shit, we better go take another look at that place.”
    0:32:53 So what’s the dating on Corral?
    0:33:02 Corral, I think, starts at about 3,200 BCE, and it lasts as a major civilization with a lot of
    0:33:06 other cities around it until about 1,800 BCE.
    0:33:13 So what’s the story behind looking at some of these images? What’s the story about constructions
    0:33:15 like that? What was the idea at that thing? Isn’t that amazing?
    0:33:22 Yeah. Gosh, I mean, it should be some sort of, I’ll be a flaky archaeologist.
    0:33:26 This is a place where rituals took place.
    0:33:34 So many things we say are so just painfully vague, and that’s about what we got. And a place like
    0:33:41 this, I know the one we’re looking at here, I’ve been here a couple of times, in the pyramid behind it,
    0:33:45 the rubble’s built in a way where the building won’t rock apart. This is a very
    0:33:51 earthquake-prone place, but the buildings haven’t fallen because they make these
    0:34:00 net baskets of rocks inside that all kind of wiggle around and don’t allow the building to fall down.
    0:34:04 And inside these, we’ve also found a couple of things that were
    0:34:09 babies, that were human babies that were buried in there.
    0:34:13 And I don’t think there’s a lot of people that see that and go, “Oh, look at that,
    0:34:19 they were sacrificing babies, these monsters.” I think a lot of the things that are interpreted as
    0:34:27 baby sacrifices, corrals, evidence being one of them, I think it’s more about the tragic nature
    0:34:34 of infant mortality. In the past, it was a lot more common. There were cultures that didn’t even
    0:34:39 really properly name their kid until they got to five because chances were they were going to die.
    0:34:46 And so, I think a lot of these babies that we find in these ceremonial contexts that are interpreted
    0:34:52 as sacrifices, I think they’re putting them in special places because they mourn the death
    0:34:55 of their kids. And it just happened a lot more frequently then.
    0:35:00 One of the things you said that really surprised me is that pyramids were built
    0:35:06 in Peru, possibly hundreds of years before they were built in Egypt. Is that true?
    0:35:12 Absolutely. Absolutely. In fact, there’s one that’s now pushing
    0:35:23 6,000 BCE. That’s thousands of years before the stuff in Egypt. And that one’s called Waka
    0:35:32 Prieta. And it was not an Egyptian pyramid. But it was a pyramid and it was thousands of years before.
    0:35:40 What do you think is the motivation to build a pyramid? The fact that it can withstand the
    0:35:48 elements structurally, that kind of thing? Yeah, why do humans build pyramids? And why do they build
    0:35:56 it in all kinds of different locations in the world? Well, you know, my rude answer is pretty
    0:36:02 boring, really. A lot of people ask me, “Why are there pyramids all over the planet? Is that a
    0:36:11 coincidence?” I mean, I think that when people wanted to build a big building without rebar or
    0:36:17 cement, you end up building something with a fat base that goes up to a skinny top and that
    0:36:23 turns into a pyramid. You know, any kid who’s playing with blocks on the floor builds a couple
    0:36:27 towers and his brother knocks them down. And if he wants one that’s going to stay and be tall,
    0:36:35 he ends up making something with a fat base and a tiny top. And I think that building something
    0:36:41 big and tall together is one of those human things. Like, we built that. That will be here
    0:36:49 after we’re gone. People remember who we were. If there’s any human commonality, it’s fear of our
    0:36:55 own deaths and that we were nothing and no one will ever remember us. I think that the first
    0:37:00 big monuments like that were probably a group of people saying, “We’re going to do something
    0:37:05 that people will remember forever.” Now, that being said, you remember, we were just talking
    0:37:13 about Guacaprieta and this one that’s almost 6000 BC now is the first one. That one’s a funny case.
    0:37:18 We just talked about all these lofty goals. But actually, I’m pretty sure that
    0:37:28 Guacaprieta’s first pyramid was about capping a smelly pile of trash. I think everybody piled
    0:37:33 up their trash in the middle of town and it’s stunk. It’s on the coast. It’s stunk like fish.
    0:37:40 And somebody said, “If we just bury this thing with dirt, it won’t smell anymore.” And then it
    0:37:44 was a big mound where people could get up and talk to everybody and then said, “Well, it’s squishy.
    0:37:52 If we cap it with clay, then it will really not smell.” I really think that the very first
    0:37:58 pyramids in Peru were about trash management. Talk about plating, huh?
    0:38:04 Yeah, but then they probably saw it and they were impressed and humbled by the enormity of the
    0:38:08 construction and they’re like, “Oh, maybe the next guy thought maybe we should keep building these
    0:38:16 kinds of things.” Yeah. Not to jump ahead, but in North America, where they also made pyramids,
    0:38:24 there’s this interesting evolution where there were these piles of shells along rivers and along
    0:38:28 the coastlines. People ate a lot of shells. That was an easy thing to collect and eat.
    0:38:35 So these piles of shells would be near communities and they probably became landmarks. But eventually,
    0:38:42 they started burying their dead inside those too. Probably again, you know, about stink and about,
    0:38:46 you know, “Well, we don’t want the dogs to eat them. I maybe put them in the middle of the
    0:38:53 shell pile.” But then that all of a sudden became this like, “That’s where my grandfather’s body is.
    0:38:57 That’s where great grandfather’s body is.” And all of a sudden, people started being attached
    0:39:03 to place, not just for the resources, but for the shared memories of their ancestors. So when
    0:39:12 the very first pyramid was built in Ohio area by the Edina people, it was built out of dirt,
    0:39:18 but it’s full of bodies. And I think it’s an echo of an old thing where they used to be putting
    0:39:28 bodies in shell mounds. So where and who were the first civilizations in South America,
    0:39:34 as in America? Well, you know, I think we’re still piecing that together. Coming back to the
    0:39:38 first things we talked about, I think we’re still missing a lot of stuff, especially in
    0:39:43 South America. It just keeps getting older and older. Part of the reason it’s hard to answer
    0:39:50 that question is, you know, at what point do we consider people a civilization or a culture?
    0:39:59 We have in the Americas this long period of time that we call the Paleo-Indian time,
    0:40:04 where they were hunting megafauna. And then when those went away, we get into this even
    0:40:09 longer period of time called the archaic, where they’re just hunters and gatherers. Sometimes
    0:40:15 somebody’s coming up with a cool different kind of arrowhead. They go back and forth with different
    0:40:21 hunting tools, but really nothing changes for thousands of years. And then finally,
    0:40:28 they start developing into these larger groups, which for the most part has to do with agriculture.
    0:40:34 It used to be archaeology. That was just the end-all-be-all. Civilization starts with the
    0:40:39 invention of agriculture. And we can’t have sedentary communities until people learn how to farm.
    0:40:47 But that’s been discounted. Peru was a big part of that, that area of Keral. It’s connected to
    0:40:54 another city on the coast called Aspero. And Aspero starts about the same time, but they’re
    0:41:00 all about fishing. They have no farming. And Keral, who’s upriver from them, is farming,
    0:41:06 but funny enough, they’re not really farming food. They’re farming cotton, and they’re making nets,
    0:41:14 and they’re trading the nets with the people on the coast for the fish. So it’s not as simple as
    0:41:20 it’s just agriculture anymore. But it is, I think, still rooted in how can we feed more people than
    0:41:28 just our family? How can we together create a food abundance so we’re no longer scared about
    0:41:34 running out of food? So is it possible, which is something you’ve argued, that civilization started
    0:41:41 in the Amazon, in the jungle versus the coast? I do think so. I think religion
    0:41:46 in South America began in the Amazon. I think there were people there, very old.
    0:41:54 There’s actually the earliest pottery in all of the Americas, all these places that we have
    0:42:00 civilizations that grew up. You know where the oldest pottery is? The middle of the Amazon.
    0:42:06 So there’s interesting culture development in the Amazon. So religion, you would say, preceded
    0:42:13 civilization. In South America, the Keral and Asbro that I was just talking about,
    0:42:20 it’s weird what a dearth of art and any evidence of religion we have. We have those pyramids and
    0:42:25 things that we call temples, but we don’t really know what went on in there. And there’s no hints
    0:42:33 of religious iconography, ceremonies, nothing like that. The first stuff that we get
    0:42:42 is right when that culture ends, about 1800 BCE, this culture called Chavin starts up. And they,
    0:42:51 their main temple is up in the Andes, in this place of least, path of least resistance between
    0:42:57 the Amazon and the coast. It’s about three days walk either way from this place where this temple
    0:43:04 is. That’s where we start seeing the very first religious iconography, and it’s all over the
    0:43:11 temples. There are things that are definitely from the coast, but the iconography are all jaguars and
    0:43:18 snakes and crocodiles. And those don’t come from the coast. All of those things are coming out of
    0:43:24 the Amazon. I mean, religion is a really powerful idea. Religions are one of the most powerful
    0:43:29 ideas. They’re the strongest myths that tie people together. And to you, it’s possible that
    0:43:38 this powerful idea in South America started in the Amazon. I do. I do think it did.
    0:43:48 And you’re right. Ideas are more powerful than weapons, but archaeology can’t see them at all.
    0:43:56 We can see, sometimes we can see ideas manifesting in the things they create and lead to, but
    0:44:01 there’s an interpretation problem. Are we right about what idea created this that those are things
    0:44:06 that archaeology just can’t get at? That’s one of the challenges of archaeology and looking into
    0:44:12 ancient histories. You’re trying to not just understand what they were doing in terms of
    0:44:18 architecture, but understand what was going on inside their mind. That’s really what I’m in
    0:44:23 it for, trying to understand these people and its real detective work. And we know we’re dealing with
    0:44:31 a totally flawed record. We only have what could preserve the test of time. If we look around this
    0:44:38 room here, if 2000 years of weathering happened in this room, what would be left? And what would
    0:44:49 we think happened here? Right. But there’s not in this room, but if you look at thousands of rooms
    0:44:54 like it, maybe you can start to piece things together about the different ideologies that ruled
    0:45:03 the world, the religions, the different ideas. Tell me about this thing deity. One of your more
    0:45:11 controversial ideas is that you believe that the religions, there’s a thread that connects
    0:45:18 the different civilizations, the societies of the Andean region. And the religion that practiced
    0:45:23 is more monotheistic than is currently believed in the mainstream.
    0:45:29 That is exactly what I think. And I think it’s all about this Fang deity who somewhere thousands
    0:45:36 of years ago crawled his way out of the Amazon up into the Andes and a religion took hold. That
    0:45:42 could have been kind of a combination of ideas from the coast and the Amazon. But he is the one
    0:45:48 creator deity, in my opinion, through all of these cultures. And the people in the Amazon
    0:45:57 still talk about him. There, his name is Vihomase in some groups. But they say that his emissaries on
    0:46:03 Earth are the Jaguars and that he is the creator deity. Why is the current mainstream belief is
    0:46:11 that a lot of the religions are not monotheistic? Well, there are bona fide pantheons. You know,
    0:46:18 Greece had one, Egypt had one, Mesopotamia had one. Lots of the early religions of the old world
    0:46:25 were pantheons. And I think that was part of the problem. The earliest archaeologists walked in
    0:46:30 there with a preconceived notion that ancient cultures have pantheons. And so they went to
    0:46:37 the art looking for them. And they came up with things like the shark god and the moon goddess
    0:46:44 and the sun god and all these things. But when I look at the art, and I was trained by a person
    0:46:53 right here in Austin, Texas, as an art historian, you follow certain diagnostic traits through art
    0:46:57 to see the development over time. And when I look at it and use that methodology,
    0:47:05 there’s a single face with goggle eyes and fangs and claws on his hands and feet and snakes coming
    0:47:12 off of his head and off of his belt. He’s got really identifiable traits. He also likes to
    0:47:18 sever people’s heads off and carry them around. But he’s the fanged deity and he’s there. He
    0:47:24 shows up in Chavine de Juantar, the capital of that Chavine culture. And he keeps showing up
    0:47:33 through every culture, even thousands of miles away, throughout the next two millennium, right up
    0:47:42 to the Inca. The Inca have a creator deity they call Viracocha. But Viracocha is the fanged deity.
    0:47:48 He is, when we do see him, by the time you get to Inca, they do this kind of almost
    0:47:56 Islamic thing where they say, “You can’t understand the face of Viracocha.” So when they do put him
    0:48:04 in a cosmogram, they’ll make him just a blob. Like he’s just unknowable, but he’s at the very top.
    0:48:11 I think we’re misunderstanding a lot of things that we used to say were deities as just supernatural
    0:48:18 beings. If we flip the mirror on Christianity and take a look at it, which of course Christianity’s
    0:48:23 monotheistic, right? It would be heresy to say otherwise. But who are all these other characters?
    0:48:29 Who are all these angels and demons and, you know, Jesus Christ? And I mean, I don’t even know
    0:48:35 who the Holy Spirit is. But he’s some sort of supernatural being, but it’s that monotheistic
    0:48:44 system has lots of things that have supernatural powers that are not God. That’s where I think the
    0:48:51 crux of us misunderstanding ancient Dandian art is. So what is the process of analyzing art
    0:48:58 through time to try to figure out what the important entities are for that culture?
    0:49:00 Do you just see what shows up over and over and over and over?
    0:49:05 Well, certainly without the advent of writing,
    0:49:15 depictions in art have all sorts of meanings encoded in them. And there are certain,
    0:49:22 you know, what we call diagnostic elements. We can pull apart the same sort of thing in
    0:49:28 the Greek pantheon, you know, by their dress and what they’re holding, what the different
    0:49:34 gods are. You can tell Hades from Zeus by the different things they’re holding, you know,
    0:49:40 lightning bolts or tridents or whatever it is. So they all have these diagnostic elements to them.
    0:49:47 So that’s how art history goes about analyzing art over time. Once we can put it in a chronological
    0:49:55 sequence, then we can say, okay, here’s a deity here in Chavine culture. Now we move forward
    0:50:04 500 years, now we’re in Moche and Nazca culture. You know, where are the deities here?
    0:50:11 And what I see is that same guy with not just one or two traits, but a whole package of them
    0:50:17 that shows up again and again and again for thousands of years in each one of these cultures.
    0:50:26 He’s got circular eyes, he’s got a fanged mouth, he’s got claws on his hands and feet. He’s a
    0:50:33 humanoid, but he also has snakes coming off of his head like hair and snakes coming off of his
    0:50:41 belt. And then not so much in Chavine, but as it goes forward, he starts carting around
    0:50:48 severed heads, human severed heads. So they’re like in the old literature,
    0:50:55 the Moche will call him the decapitator deity. But then they have these other like, oh, here’s
    0:51:01 the crab deity and here’s the fox deity. But if you look at them, like the crab deity is just
    0:51:07 that guy’s face coming off of a crab. And the fox deity is that guy’s face coming off of a fox.
    0:51:14 So I think on that particular instance, I explain it similar to what Zeus did. You know how Zeus
    0:51:19 was able to like, you know, turn into whatever animal he wanted to get with the woman he wanted
    0:51:26 and he showed up in all sorts of forms, but he was always Zeus. I think that the fanged deity
    0:51:33 manifests himself through people and animals throughout the art and that there are missing
    0:51:39 stories of mythology that we don’t have anymore. And across hundreds of years, thousands of years
    0:51:46 from Chavine to Moche to Inca, as you’re saying. Right. Wari has them too, Tiawanaco. That’s that
    0:51:54 famous place, Pumapunku. He’s all over there. I wonder how those ideas spread in Morph of this
    0:52:02 fanged deity. I think people walked and proselytized and places like Chavine, there’s a later one in
    0:52:10 Inca times called Pachakamak that are pilgrimage places where people come in to be healed if
    0:52:17 they’re sick, but also just to pay homage to the powers that be. So Chavine was a place where people
    0:52:22 from the Amazon and people from the coast were all coming together. In fact, we saw it in the
    0:52:29 archaeology there. There’s these interesting labyrinths under the pyramids with the fanged
    0:52:34 deity all over them that have like one labyrinth, they’ll have all pottery. The next labyrinth will
    0:52:39 have a bunch of animal bones. The next one will have a bunch of things made out of stone. So people
    0:52:45 are showing up and giving this tribute and they’re learning and then they’re going back to their
    0:52:52 communities. So I think it dispersed from certain pilgrimage spots and became just like pilgrimage
    0:52:59 spots too. Somebody goes back and they build a temple to the fanged deity. Do we know much about
    0:53:06 the relationship they had with the fanged deity and their conception of the powers of the fanged
    0:53:16 deity? Were they afraid of the fanged deities and all knowing God? Is it something that brings
    0:53:22 joy and harvest? Or is it something that you’re supposed to be afraid of and sacrifice animals
    0:53:30 and humans too to keep a bay? I think he had two sides of the coin. Like a lot of the Hindu gods
    0:53:37 are, you know, one aspect is terrible, the other aspect is lovely. I think he had that same sorts
    0:53:42 of qualities because we do see him as a fierce warrior taking people’s heads off and he is a
    0:53:48 jaguar, which in and of itself implies a certain power and ferocity. But then there are other
    0:53:54 funny things about him. Like he is definitely involved in a lot of healing ceremonies and a
    0:53:59 lot of those healing ceremonies are involved with sex acts when it comes to the moche. There’s this
    0:54:07 whole group of sexual pottery where priests are having sex with women or men and some of them
    0:54:16 show their faces transforming into that fanged deity. Like he is acting through them. But the
    0:54:22 thing that most cracks me up that shows his softer side is the fanged deity has a little puppy.
    0:54:29 He has a puppy that’s like just dancing around his feet and like jumping up on him in various
    0:54:34 scenes. They see him again and again. Sometimes he’s in these healing sex scenes. In fact, I
    0:54:42 tracked that puppy from other contexts to these sex scenes where a priest was having sex with
    0:54:47 somebody in a house and there’s a fanged deity and there’s a puppy just scratching at the door
    0:54:54 like, “Hey, you forgot me.” And then finally, one day, I found one with the puppy having sex
    0:54:59 with the woman instead of the fanged deity. I was like, “Oh, he really is very involved in this.
    0:55:05 What is this weird puppy?” So yeah, he likes to take heads off, but he also has a puppy he adores.
    0:55:10 This actually, this is awesomely makes sense now because I saw the opening of a paper you wrote
    0:55:17 30 years ago on shamanism and the Mocha civilization. It reads, “The Mocha are the major focus of this
    0:55:23 paper. Sex puppies and head hunting will be shown to be related to ancient Mocha shamanism.”
    0:55:27 So now, I understand. I was like, “Well, the puppies.”
    0:55:29 Puppies, yeah, it’s true.
    0:55:32 And the head hunting, that’s the decapitator.
    0:55:38 And I’ve added rock and roll to that list since, actually. Rock and roll. Music is also a big part
    0:55:44 of it. They call spirits down. There’s this whole spirit world. There’s the ancestors.
    0:55:52 And the people that drink San Pedro cactus juice kind of, they don’t talk about the fanged deity
    0:55:59 anymore. I think Christianity in 500 years has somewhat put him in the back. It was unpopular
    0:56:05 to have a pagan deity, so they don’t talk about him much anymore that we still around.
    0:56:08 They’re in like around Trujillo, they call him Iopec.
    0:56:17 But music, in the Amazon, they play flutes. Sometimes a chorus of women sing, and that’s
    0:56:22 supposed to bring the spirits down into the ceremony. There’s a spirit that’s hurting the
    0:56:28 person that’s sick. And then the priest or the shaman or the corndero, whatever you want to call
    0:56:35 him, has his own posse of spirits that are going to help him figure out what’s going on.
    0:56:43 So when the music starts, that’s bringing those spirits in. And people don’t see them unless
    0:56:50 they’ve imbibed the San Pedro cactus juice, which is the salucinogen, which is in the Amazon side,
    0:57:00 it was ayahuasca. On the coast, it was San Pedro cactus. But that’s what allows you to actually
    0:57:07 see that other world. Yeah, I went to the Amazon recently and did ayahuasca, a very high dose of
    0:57:19 it. Bold move. Went in Rome. How far back does that go? Oh, I think longer than anybody can
    0:57:24 remember. But I mean, it’s a natural plant that’s been there forever. I think that it’s thousands
    0:57:29 and thousands of years. That’s another thing. Chavine de Juanterra I was talking about,
    0:57:36 where I think the things came, the religion came from the Amazon. There’s this wall on the backside
    0:57:42 that faces the Amazon side. So if you’re entering the city from the Amazon path, you see this wall
    0:57:47 first. And it’s a bunch of faces that some of them are human, some of them are total jaguar,
    0:57:54 and some of them are transforming in between. But there’s a group of them that are midway
    0:58:01 through transformation, and they show their nostrils leaking out this snot that’s coming
    0:58:09 like down their face. San Pedro doesn’t do that to you, but ayahuasca does. Ayahuasca,
    0:58:15 traditionally, they take a blowgun and just shoot it up your nose or up your ass. But it was a lot
    0:58:20 of times up your nose, and when it shoots up your nose, the first thing that happens is just this
    0:58:28 gush of snot comes out of you. And there are stone depictions of people uncontrollably snotting
    0:58:35 on the backside of this temple from 3,000 years ago. So that, you think, could have been a big
    0:58:41 component of the development of religion and shamanism? I think that hallucinogens
    0:58:48 opened the mind then like they open the mind now. Do you think that, you know, the stoned ape theory,
    0:58:53 do you think that actually could have been an actual catalyst for the formation of
    0:59:03 civilization? In the Americas, yes, I do. Though, you know, hallucinogens are not part of every
    0:59:10 ancient tradition in the world. In fact, strangely, the majority of plants that are actually
    0:59:17 psychotropic, not just mood altering, are from here in the Americas. There are very few
    0:59:24 drugs that will make you hallucinate outside of the Americas. Of course, now they’re global,
    0:59:30 and, you know, they can be grown all over the place. But originally speaking, very, very few
    0:59:36 were outside of the Americas. So they were part of the experience here in a way that they just
    0:59:42 couldn’t be in other places. I wondered to what degree they were just part of a ritual and the
    0:59:51 creative force behind sort of art versus like literally the method by which you come up with
    0:59:57 ideas that define a civilization. It’s like the degree to which they had a role in the formation
    1:00:04 of civilizations. It’s kind of fun to think about psychedelics being like a critical role
    1:00:10 in the formation of civilizations. I think in terms of South America, they probably really were.
    1:00:16 In North America, where we’re in a more northern climb here and there are less of them,
    1:00:22 not so much, at least in terms of psychedelics. Things like tobacco was always a big part of it.
    1:00:30 But a lot of the, you know, there’s more than one way to reach a hallucinatory state. The hard way
    1:00:39 is starvation, sleep deprivation. And for the Maya, for example, would go sleep deprivation, starvation,
    1:00:45 and then they’d cut themselves very badly. And that loss of blood, we believe, triggered
    1:00:52 hallucinations and visions. Nothing to do with drugs. I much prefer the drugs route.
    1:01:00 It’s the result, not the tools aren’t the thing that creates insight. It’s the result.
    1:01:05 Is that getting to, you know, hallucinogens are poisoning us. They’re killing us. That’s,
    1:01:14 you know, it’s a near death state. And people of the Americas believed sleeping was entering that
    1:01:20 other world. Death, you entered this other world in that when you took this mighty dose of poison,
    1:01:24 it was helping you enter that other world for a period of time.
    1:01:30 Yeah, as Tom Wade said in that one song, I like my town with a little drop of poison.
    1:01:41 So maybe that poison is a good catalyst for invention. So who were the early first sort of
    1:01:47 mother cultures, mother civilizations in South America? Like, what is, if we look chronologically,
    1:01:52 is there a label we can put on the first peoples that emerged?
    1:01:59 That picture is evolving. I mean, forever, it was just the Chavine people that we’ve been
    1:02:03 talking about, the ones with all the first depictions of religious art, were the mother
    1:02:08 culture. And they certainly did transmit a lot of stuff. But then all of a sudden, we find
    1:02:16 Karal. The next one that we’ve barely even begun looking at, but it’s probably older than
    1:02:23 Karal is Sachin culture. I was just poking around there last year and just from the bus
    1:02:30 on the highway, I could see like, that’s a pyramid out there. Oh, there’s another one.
    1:02:37 And I know how old the stuff we have studied there is. It’s again, 3000 BC. We’re just barely
    1:02:42 beginning to understand them. Karal frustrates me to no end, the lack of art there. That’s,
    1:02:49 we’ve got stones and bones and not even ceramics to go on. And they didn’t have
    1:02:53 the courtesy to leave me a bunch of art I can interpret. So I don’t know what those people
    1:02:58 believed. Right. So one of the ways to understand what people believe is looking at the art, the
    1:03:04 stories told through the art, and then hopefully deciphering if they were doing any kind of writing.
    1:03:09 That’s our most fruitful place to try to get at this elusive ideas.
    1:03:15 Yeah. And it sucks when they don’t have art. If we just go back to the Amazon,
    1:03:20 you’ve mentioned that it’s possible that there’s a law civilization that existed in the Amazon.
    1:03:27 So it’s carried a lot of names, Law City of Z or El Dorado. Do you think it’s possible it existed?
    1:03:35 Well, City of Z and El Dorado are in pretty different places. El Dorado, the ideas of where
    1:03:42 it is kind of center around towards Columbia. And the City of Z is named after a region of
    1:03:52 Brazil called the Shingu. And so those are an America worth of distance apart. The entire,
    1:03:57 people don’t really think about it on the map, but the entire United States would fit inside
    1:04:04 the Amazon. That’s how big that place is. And these two are on either end. But both of them have
    1:04:12 evidence of civilizations. These big, it’s lowland and it floods all the time. So what they did is
    1:04:18 they’d make these big mounds and then they’d make huge causeways between mounds so they could walk
    1:04:24 through their cities while they were seasonally inundated. And a bunch of that stuff has been
    1:04:31 found in the Shingu area, like huge areas that would support tens of thousands of people.
    1:04:38 Again, you know, it’s not stone built and it’s been under the forest forever. So it’s very torn up.
    1:04:45 But it’s there. Now, you know, Brazil is big on cattle farming more than ever now. And a thing
    1:04:52 that I think is completed now is Brazil and Bolivia partnered together and built a highway
    1:04:59 all the way across and opened up a whole bunch more land, which has found more of these, what we
    1:05:06 call like geometric earthworks. So there’s more and more evidence of these civilizations. It’s
    1:05:12 not a, it’s not, it could be there. It’s there for sure. By the way, the people who are trying to
    1:05:17 protect the rainforest really hate the highway. One of the things I learned is if you build a road,
    1:05:24 loggers will come. Yep. And they will start cutting stuff down. Now, from an archaeology
    1:05:29 perspective, if you cut down trees, you get to discover things, but from a sort of
    1:05:36 protective, very precious rainforest perspective, it’s obviously the opposite way.
    1:05:43 But it is interesting. I’ve seen where loggers cut through the forest and then they, and when they
    1:05:50 leave, the forest heals itself very quickly. So quickly. And, you know, you just think that
    1:05:58 across decades, you expand that to centuries, and it’s like, you could see how a civilization
    1:06:04 could be completely swallowed up by the rainforest. And it happened for sure in the Amazon.
    1:06:10 Yeah. You know, one of the ways that we’re trying to push the frontier of where people
    1:06:18 were in the Amazon, because yes, the trees and just the biomass have eaten so much evidence,
    1:06:25 but they’re finding more and more of these places that they call terra preta, which is black earth,
    1:06:35 and they’re huge swaths of it. So I guess the anthropology term is anthropogenic landscapes.
    1:06:42 And what they’re saying is that that really dark earth couldn’t have just got that way through
    1:06:47 natural forest processes, that sometime in the distant past, that forest wasn’t there and there
    1:06:54 was major farming and human activity to the point where they totally turned the soil black,
    1:07:01 and it’s much more enriched. And when I took a trip into the Amazon, I went from Manaus
    1:07:07 up the river, the Black River a couple of days and went and met some different communities,
    1:07:12 and I asked them about this black earth. And they were like, yeah, that’s why we’re here.
    1:07:20 Sometimes we move our village, but when we move, we look for the terra preta, and that’s where we’re
    1:07:24 going to put our village, because that’s a place that all of our gardens work. The other places,
    1:07:28 they don’t. One of the things you talked about literally just asked, you have to ask the right
    1:07:35 question. And the stories, all the secrets are carried by the people and they will tell you.
    1:07:40 Yeah, there’s so many of them. You know, the thing that excites the world about archaeology
    1:07:48 right now is Gobekli Tepe. And this 10,000 now, Koran Tepe is 11,000. The whole area is called
    1:07:55 the Tos Tepler. We only found it a couple of decades ago. But it was just an archaeologist
    1:07:59 rowing through the area and asking a sheep herder, hey, you know, you guys know where anything
    1:08:04 ancient is? Oh yeah, let me show you this. And then all of a sudden, we’ve got a lost civilization,
    1:08:09 and the shepherds always knew where it was. Just nobody asked them.
    1:08:14 So speaking of Gobekli Tepe, what do you think about the work of Graham Hancock,
    1:08:18 who also believes that there’s a lost civilization in the Amazon?
    1:08:26 Well, I’ve met Graham, and personally, I like him. He’s a nice guy, got a nice sense of humor,
    1:08:35 and I think he’s smart. And I also think he is a very good researcher. He and I are working on
    1:08:42 the same set of facts. The differences are interpretations. I do not believe Graham’s
    1:08:50 idea that a single now lost ancient civilization seeded the rest of them. I just don’t see that on
    1:08:59 a number of levels, artifact wise, technology wise, art historical analysis. So I think his
    1:09:05 research is great. I think that he’s very well read, in fact, better read than a lot of my
    1:09:11 colleagues. But his conclusions, I disagree with. And he and I have talked about this,
    1:09:18 and had a very civil and normal conversation about it, and agreed to disagree without spitting any
    1:09:24 venom at any point in the conversation. That would be a fun argument to be applying the law for.
    1:09:33 So he believes he’s proposed as possible that the Amazon jungle is a man-made garden.
    1:09:39 So it was planted there by advanced ancient civilization. Is there any degree to which
    1:09:45 that could be possible? Frankly, I agree with him. It’s just like what I was just talking about.
    1:09:52 It’s the conclusion part that we differ from. But the facts that he’s basing that on are that
    1:09:59 terra preta, are the huge geometric earthworks, are the ever-increasing evidence of them. They are
    1:10:08 now from the bottom of Bolivia to Guyana. They’re everywhere. Every time we open up the jungle,
    1:10:15 we find these big works. So yes, there was a vast civilization that was there. How advanced they were
    1:10:28 is a question, and also a perspective thing. Graham really focuses in on what we don’t know,
    1:10:35 and what could be. Just to educate me, what’s the key idea that he’s proposing that you disagree
    1:10:40 with? Is it the level of advancement that civilization was, or how large and centralized it was?
    1:10:50 My main point of disagreement is that his ideas evolve like everybody’s. No scientist or researcher
    1:10:56 in anything has an idea at the beginning of their career and holds it till the day they die.
    1:11:04 His ideas are evolving, but his ideas remain, a core of them are, that there was a very advanced
    1:11:12 single ancient civilization that was utterly destroyed by climactic conditions. The younger
    1:11:19 driest hypothesis is part of that most recently. He used to not say that. Now he’s into this
    1:11:30 meteor thing, but he believes that that civilization was destroyed, but that members of it escaped
    1:11:38 this cataclysm and then spread out all over the world to seed all of the world’s civilizations
    1:11:45 for the next revival. There’s where I disagree with him. I think these were independent civilizations
    1:11:52 that grew up in their own ways, that they were not seeded by some more advanced civilization
    1:11:59 from the past, and that they all hold things in common because they have this common ancestry.
    1:12:07 In his early books, he suggested it’s Atlantis. I don’t think he suggests that anymore, but he
    1:12:18 still hangs on to the single advanced, now completely lost civilization. All of our
    1:12:25 ideas are theories. Very few of them are facts. We could have the story wrong, but one thing we’re
    1:12:34 real good at is finding stuff. We find fish scales. I find it just too big a pill to swallow
    1:12:39 that there was a civilization that was that technologically advanced and that large that
    1:12:48 we can’t even find a potchard from. Of course, it is a compelling story that there’s a single
    1:12:56 civilization from which all of this came from because the alternative is the idea that came
    1:13:03 across the Bering Strait, from Asia, went all the way down to South America and got isolated
    1:13:10 and created all these marvelous, sophisticated civilizations and ideas, including religious
    1:13:21 ideas that look similar to all that. Everybody has a flood myth. There’s a lot of similarities.
    1:13:29 Everybody building pyramids. Yeah. There could be a lot of other explanations,
    1:13:36 even if it’s a simple, compelling explanation that has to be evidence for it. What would that
    1:13:42 evidence look like? That’s the bottom line. Everything’s theories. As responsible scientists,
    1:13:47 we’re trying to disprove our theories. We are not supposed to be trying to prove our theories.
    1:13:54 That’s one more foot out of the science box that archaeology often steps. We’re supposed to be
    1:14:01 disproving what we think is happening, not proving it. Yeah, you don’t want to lean into the mystery
    1:14:10 too much. It’s such a weird discipline because you’re operating in a really in a dark room.
    1:14:15 You’re feeling around a dark room, so it’s mostly mystery. I would say a lot of sciences
    1:14:23 operate in a mostly well-lit room. It’s like a dark corner, and you’re figuring out a way
    1:14:30 to light it. Yeah, in archaeology, most of it is a mystery, right? Yes, it’s job security.
    1:14:38 I like that part. I do also try to always remind myself that every paradigm-shifting idea that
    1:14:48 humans have ever had began as heresy and lunacy. That guy was crazy up to the second. He was brilliant.
    1:14:57 We got to keep our minds open to the things that sound outlandish because one of them eventually
    1:15:04 is going to lead us to the big paradigm shift. If we’re busy burning books of ideas that we
    1:15:08 don’t like, that’s where we close our minds to the possibility of advancing things.
    1:15:13 I really love that, and I really appreciate that you’re saying that. One of the fascinating things
    1:15:20 about just the Amazon to me is that there’s still a large number of uncontacted tribes.
    1:15:27 To rewind back into ancient history, you can imagine all of these tribes that existed
    1:15:35 in the Amazon that were isolated, very distinct from each other. Can you speak to this
    1:15:40 your understanding of these tribes and their history? They’re still here today.
    1:15:48 Well, a lot of them are. By uncontacted, we mean we don’t know anything about these guys. We know
    1:15:54 roughly where they are, but places like Ecuador have very responsible policies where no one’s
    1:16:00 allowed to go contact them. We have a dearth of information. If they walk out of the jungle and
    1:16:07 talk to us, that’s one thing, but we don’t go out there looking for them. They do seem frozen in
    1:16:13 time, and I don’t think any of us have a good estimation of how long they’ve been like that.
    1:16:20 We were saying earlier that humans change based on pressures of their environment.
    1:16:27 It’s mother necessity is oftentimes how we invent things or why we change its pressure.
    1:16:33 One thing the Amazon is, once you figure out how not to die in it,
    1:16:38 it’s a paradise of food. Food’s fallen from the sky all the time there.
    1:16:44 Once you learn to adapt to that environment, you’ve got very little need. There’s no pressure
    1:16:50 to make anything else. Things are working. For the modern humans that come across these
    1:16:56 uncontacted tribes, one of the things they document and notice is the propensity of these
    1:17:02 tribes for violence. They get very aggressive in attacking whoever they come across.
    1:17:08 And not just foreigners, they attack each other. The Yanamama are famous for just having
    1:17:14 never-ending feuds with each other. What do you think is the philosophy behind that?
    1:17:23 I don’t know. I’m a relatively peaceful person, but I’ve got the monster in me like everybody
    1:17:34 does. It’s cultural norms that become institutionalized. For the Yanamama, they really,
    1:17:43 part of the right of passage to be a man, is to go kill or maim somebody from an outer village.
    1:17:51 They go in there. They oftentimes, the way they don’t let inbreeding set in and ruin everybody,
    1:17:57 not that they think of it scientifically, but they typically go and steal women from far-off
    1:18:04 communities. And that starts a big fight. Another thing that starts fights that when nobody even
    1:18:12 fought is illness. Illness in the Amazon and all of the ancient Americas wasn’t seen as a
    1:18:17 biological thing. It was a spiritual thing. So if somebody in your village gets sick,
    1:18:24 the question is asked, well, what spirit is menacing him and who called it out on him?
    1:18:29 And then the rumor starts, well, I bet you it was Joe over there and that other community
    1:18:33 still passed off for that time when we stole his daughter. And we ought to go over there and kill
    1:18:42 Joe, and then he’ll get better. And so this round of never-ending violence like Hatfields and
    1:18:50 McCoy’s had that thing. And the people of New Guinea also do that. So there are certain areas,
    1:18:58 mostly wooded areas now that I think about it, where people just hide out and they attack each
    1:19:07 other as a cultural institution. It’s such a tricky thing to do to study an uncontacted tribe
    1:19:12 without obviously contacting them to figure out their language, their philosophy of mind,
    1:19:16 how they communicate, the hierarchy they operate under.
    1:19:20 And yeah, you know, there was a fascinating story in Peru, I guess it was probably like
    1:19:25 eight years ago or something, but there was a ranger from one of the biology stations
    1:19:31 who just in the buy and buy of protecting his area met one of these uncontacted tribes and
    1:19:36 befriended someone, not the whole tribe, but he made some friends who would meet him in the woods,
    1:19:41 not in their community. And he started to learn their language over a couple years.
    1:19:48 And so he was this kind of important guy who actually could be the first translator to talk
    1:19:53 to these people. And one day a couple of them just came out of the woods and just plugged him
    1:19:58 with arrows and just killed him. And then they went back in the woods like that’s the one guy
    1:20:01 who understands what we’re saying. We should kill him and move our village.
    1:20:08 So those folks really lean into the, as you said, the monster versus the puppy.
    1:20:18 You know, everybody’s got it. I think we need to listen to our better angels
    1:20:27 because if we don’t, we as a human species can easily devolve into just using violence and
    1:20:32 against others to get what we want. It’s a daily choice we make not to be savages.
    1:20:36 Which is a fascinating thing to remember. What kind of thing in civilized society,
    1:20:47 we’ve moved past all that. But it can be summoned. Like in 1984, the two minutes of hate.
    1:20:58 With the right words, that primal thing can be summoned and directed and lead to a lot of
    1:21:04 destruction. And, you know, our sports are really based on taking those kinds of urges and
    1:21:07 channeling them positive where somebody’s not dead at the end of it.
    1:21:19 Yep. So at which point did what we now call the Maya civilization arise?
    1:21:25 That’s another complicated one. Another group living mostly in a jungle
    1:21:33 that we have barely begun to explore. You know, the truth is a lot of the questions in the Amazon
    1:21:37 and what we’re talking about now is the Patan and the mountains there.
    1:21:42 Those aren’t places archaeologists want to live. They’re horrible. I mean, I’ve been there. I don’t
    1:21:48 want to live in a tent and eat rations. I want to live in a nice town. So a lot of the places
    1:21:52 where the answers are, we still really haven’t gotten there because it takes a special person to be
    1:21:56 educated enough to know what they’re looking at and tough enough to want to be there.
    1:22:02 I’ve done my tour of duty. I’m now in a nice little podcast studio.
    1:22:09 But seriously, the Maya, the first hint that we see people who are culturally Maya,
    1:22:16 very close to where the time period for that Chavine culture is, about 1800 BCE. There’s a
    1:22:25 culture that some call the Mokaya, not Maya. But they’re on the Pacific coast where Guatemala and
    1:22:30 Mexico connect. It’s called the Socanusco. And those are the first people that are really going
    1:22:37 to be culturally Maya. And they’re interacting with the culture that has traditionally been seen
    1:22:43 as Mexico’s mother culture, which is the Olmec. They’re kind of the same thing as we were talking
    1:22:49 about in South America, where the Maya, the original Maya are not, there’s not a whole lot
    1:22:56 to indicate that they have a religion. But the Olmec have this religion they develop and they
    1:23:02 start exporting it. And you see the Maya become more and more involved in the religion that’s
    1:23:08 being created by the Olmec who are to the north of them in the swamps of what we call the Isthmus
    1:23:15 of Tuantipec. I have a lot of questions to ask here about just the natural stupid confusion I have.
    1:23:25 So first, did the Maya or the Olmec come first? And are they distinct groups? Like how do you maintain
    1:23:33 a distinct civilization when you’re so close together? I just finished filming a whole thing
    1:23:37 on the Olmecs and their interaction with the Maya for the great courses. I’m thrilled for it to come
    1:23:45 out next spring. I think they co-evolved. Archaeology in this regard is the worst enemy of this.
    1:23:52 We put these names on cultures. We talk about how they evolve from one to another. We draw these
    1:23:58 lines where there aren’t any. We make these time periods that a culture magically transforms into
    1:24:02 somebody with another name, where I’m pretty sure they didn’t care about any of those names.
    1:24:10 But the Maya and the Olmec are two parts of a larger interaction sphere that’s happening
    1:24:17 in Mesoamerica, a very dynamic time. The Olmec are really bringing the religion part. But the
    1:24:26 other areas are bringing technology, ceramic technology, making hemotype mirrors, making tools
    1:24:37 out of obsidian and other stone types. So you’ve got Olmec in the middle, where Mexico gets skinny
    1:24:41 and it gets swampy down there. That’s called the Isthmus of Tuantepak. That’s where the Olmec are.
    1:24:47 Then you’ve got the Maya to the east of them. Then you have the Valley of Oaxaca, where the
    1:24:53 people called the Zapotecs, they’re rising up. And then you have the Valley of Mexico,
    1:25:00 which will eventually become the Aztecs, but not for millennia. All those areas are interacting
    1:25:07 with each other. Can we just also draw some more lines? Yeah, sure. So what is Mesoamerica and
    1:25:14 what is South America? And what you just said to Olmecs and the Maya, can we just linger on the
    1:25:21 geography that we’re talking about here in the, what is this, like 1000 BC? Yeah, the time period
    1:25:28 we’re talking about where the Olmec are there, 1000 BC is a great midpoint of it. I’d say it
    1:25:39 starts about 1800 BCE and by 500 BCE, the Olmec are gone. And a whole new wave of civilization and
    1:25:45 population increase happened. In terms of Mesoamerica, looking at your map here, I’d say about
    1:25:54 halfway through the Chihuahua Desert up there in the top left, that’s about the boundary of
    1:26:01 Mesoamerica. There’s this big desert where almost nobody lives. And once you get north
    1:26:07 enough, you get into the ancestral Pueblo people of what’s now America, the Four Corners area.
    1:26:12 They’re not Mesoamerican. They have different lives. Where does modern Mexico end?
    1:26:18 Modern Mexico ends, right? You see the name Maya there with the white line around it. That’s
    1:26:25 Guatemala. So Guatemala cuts off most of Mexico from Central America. But Mesoamerica only goes
    1:26:34 about halfway through Honduras. And then it’s really kind of a no man’s land. Nicaragua, Costa Rica,
    1:26:41 Panama, they really, they’re neither. They’re not Mesoamerica. They’re not South America.
    1:26:46 They’re more South America because they’ve got some gold there. But then basically you get on
    1:26:52 the other side of Panama and you’re fully in South America. With two distinct groups too,
    1:26:58 you’ve got the guys that are on the Andes on the west coast and then you have the Amazon.
    1:27:04 So the West, the Andes and the Amazon are very distinct. So when you say,
    1:27:09 when you refer to the Andean region, is that referring to the Andes and the Amazon or just
    1:27:18 the Andes? Just the Andes and the coast to the Pacific there. That’s Andean civilization.
    1:27:23 So did Maya make it to the Andes, the Andean region?
    1:27:29 Not that archaeology can prove, but it’s almost certain that they interact with each other.
    1:27:34 Number one, it’s just, you know, it’s biased to think that these people couldn’t travel as widely
    1:27:40 as people on the other side of the planet did. But there’s all sorts of hints like that first
    1:27:47 ceramics I was talking about that the Maya made. They show up strangely sophisticated
    1:27:54 technologically already. And down in Ecuador, they had them for a thousand years before.
    1:28:00 So a lot of people, myself included, think that the idea of ceramics actually came from South
    1:28:10 America to the Maya. Did the Maya get seeded by the second wave across the Bering Strait?
    1:28:16 Or did that initial wave of people that came and populated South America,
    1:28:23 were they the ancestors of the Maya? Like, how did the migration happen here? Do we understand?
    1:28:28 We’re still piecing it together. I don’t think, you know, I’d be lying if I told you I had the
    1:28:35 answers. But we do have evidence of Maya stature people. They’re a small people. Generally speaking,
    1:28:40 people that grow up in the forest are smaller and people that grow up in the open plains are taller,
    1:28:44 probably about, you know, just generations of people that hit their head on a branch or not.
    1:28:49 You’re joking, but, you know, there could be something to that.
    1:28:53 I think there’s some truth to it. I mean, the pygmies are small and the people on the
    1:28:58 plains in Africa are big. The North American Indians are tall and the Maya are small.
    1:29:05 There’s definitely a pattern of smaller people in the forests. But anyway,
    1:29:13 there’s a cave in the Yucatan called Loltun Cave that has hand prints in the cave.
    1:29:18 It’s somebody who put their hand on the cave and spit charcoal around their hand like a negative
    1:29:26 print. We can date that charcoal and it comes from 10,000 years ago. And the hands are all small.
    1:29:33 It’s, you know, typical old Mexico. I walked right up to these things and could put my hand.
    1:29:38 I didn’t mess with them, but I put my hand next to these hands and they’re all smaller than my
    1:29:46 Northern European hand. And so either it was a bunch of kids who were in this cave 10,000 years
    1:29:54 ago or it was people of Maya stature who did it. It’s so cool that you can date the charcoal.
    1:30:00 And it’s so cool that 10,000 years ago there are people leaving. And actually we have one that’s,
    1:30:06 I think, 2,000 years older now, just a couple years ago. Again, in Yucatan in a cave, they found
    1:30:15 a woman they named Naia now. And she’s like 12,000 years old. So the best guess, maybe that you
    1:30:24 have is it goes across the Bering Strait to South America, possibly the Amazon, develop a lot of
    1:30:29 cool ideas in the Amazon and start drifting back up into Mesoamerica. It was kind of a
    1:30:35 co-evolution. The technology of ceramics, I think, got there through an interaction with.
    1:30:41 See, the interesting thing is that the Maya didn’t really have religion, didn’t have as a vibrant
    1:30:48 religious set of ideas and they borrowed it from the Olmec. I’ve been doing a deep dive on this for
    1:30:55 this Olmec course that I just did. And it really does seem like these other cultures that have
    1:31:02 jade and hematite and obsidian, the Olmec had none of that stuff. They were living in a swamp
    1:31:09 and building things out of dirt. But they were importing those materials from those areas,
    1:31:16 carving them into all sorts of religious iconography, and then exporting them back to them.
    1:31:18 And still the Fang Deity show up there?
    1:31:25 No, the Fang Deities nowhere in Central America and Mesoamerica. That’s why there’s Jaguars,
    1:31:32 there’s Jaguar iconography, but it’s not the same thing. This whole Jaguar transformer deity
    1:31:34 does not exist there. They do have a pantheon.
    1:31:40 So the Maya, the Olmecs are the interesting peoples of the regions. What was their…
    1:31:46 I’d love to ask questions about who were they? So one question I’m curious about,
    1:31:51 what was their sense when they looked up at the stars? What was their conception of the cosmos?
    1:32:01 That’s a question I’ve spent my entire career trying to answer. I think that they saw it as
    1:32:09 proof of the cyclical nature of life. And certainly they saw like every ancient group did, like are
    1:32:16 those the gods? Why are those things so far away? But I think that the Maya especially looked at it
    1:32:25 with a much more mathematical mind than most did. And so they watched these things move every night.
    1:32:33 And if you do that even today, you notice that all the stars move in tandem. They’re just this
    1:32:39 blanket. They’re like this curtain behind me. They’re the stage upon which some very important
    1:32:46 players are dancing. And that’s the moon, the sun, and the planets. There’s five planets we
    1:32:53 can see visibly. So they started watching like, why are just those seven moving differently than
    1:32:59 the rest? And those are the things that they keyed on mathematically. The sun, of course, was also
    1:33:04 involved in the agricultural cycle. So that was important in and of itself. But the planets,
    1:33:12 we can see them coming up with ideas, definitely doing the math and seeing that there is a
    1:33:20 repeated cycle. And then coming up with mythology around them, like Venus for them was associated
    1:33:27 with war. And they had very ritualized times to go to war that had something to do with Venus.
    1:33:34 Sometimes in the classic period, Maya, it was the first appearance of Venus as the morning star.
    1:33:40 That was a good time to go to battle with your neighbors. And when it became the post-classic
    1:33:47 with like Chichen Itza being the capital of the Yucatan, then it looks like if you watched Venus
    1:33:54 day after day, it goes slowly up every day. And then when it hits its highest point as morning
    1:34:01 star in the morning, it goes down to the earth like three times as fast. All of a sudden, it just
    1:34:09 shoots down and hits the earth. And so the people of post-classic Maya civilization saw that as the
    1:34:15 gods shooting a spear into the earth. And that was a good time to attack your neighbors. That was
    1:34:23 like wartime when the spear is going to hit the earth. Right. So this is fascinating. They just had
    1:34:29 at the foundation a sense that life existence at the various timescales is cyclical.
    1:34:35 That’s the starting point. And then you just look out there and if you’re extremely precise,
    1:34:41 which is fascinating how precise they were, you can just measure the cycles.
    1:34:50 Yeah. And they did it really well. Now, of course, they are the only ones to develop a fully elaborated
    1:34:55 writing system in all of the Americas. The South America had the Kipu, but it’s so different than
    1:34:59 our writing. We’re still trying to figure out what the heck it is. We know there’s math there too.
    1:35:05 But they had the ability to take a lifetime worth of measurements and hand it to the next
    1:35:11 generation who would then do it more and do it more. That’s how they figured out kind of the holy
    1:35:17 grail of ancient astronomy, how good were they, was whether they could see the procession of the
    1:35:24 equinoxes. The fact that we’re just barely wobbling and there’s a 26,000 year period where the stars
    1:35:31 as that backdrop will spin all the way around and come back. It’s 26,000 years. But the Maya were
    1:35:39 able to figure out, wait, it’s moving one degree every 72 years and did a calculation based on
    1:35:46 on where it should be in the ancient past. And they’re using constellations. They’re showing
    1:35:55 us they know by saying like, this planet’s in this constellation right now. And 33,000 years ago,
    1:36:02 it would be in this constellation. It’s just fascinating that they were able to figure this
    1:36:08 out. I would love to sort of understand the details of the scientific community.
    1:36:15 If you can call it that. I think we absolutely could. And that’s actually one of the things that
    1:36:22 I’m hoping to move the needle on in my generation with my career is to give these cultures the
    1:36:29 respect they deserve as standing toe to toe with the rest of our ancient civilizations we respect.
    1:36:36 There are things that should be called science that are not being called science at the moment.
    1:36:42 Their math is incredible. Their hydraulic engineering is incredible. Their chemistry
    1:36:50 is incredible. And so I hope to talk about these things differently as a way to get people to
    1:36:56 recognize the achievements in a different way. Yeah. I mean, unquestionably incredible scientific
    1:37:04 work in the astronomy sense, especially here. Can you speak to all the sophisticated aspects
    1:37:09 of the Mayan calendar that they’ve developed? I know you’ve got another five hours.
    1:37:14 Yes, go. No, I’m kidding. I should say that you also gave me
    1:37:23 the 2024 Mayan calendar. Yeah, I do this just to show the world that that calendar system
    1:37:30 is evergreen. It can go into the future or the past for billions of years in the system
    1:37:35 they made, just like our system is. So can you speak to the three components here as I’m reading
    1:37:40 the Tsoil Keen, the Hob and the Long Count? What are these fascinating components of the calendar?
    1:37:48 It’s neat how obsessed they were. They were really math nerds. It wasn’t good enough for them to just
    1:37:54 make one cycle to describe time. They had all these cycles that interlocked into each other,
    1:38:02 like cogs in a machine, though they never thought of it like that. But the Tsoil Keen’s
    1:38:07 their oldest one, and the one that still endures today. There are millions of Maya people that
    1:38:16 are living their lives based on a 260-day count, no weeks, no months. It’s just 13 numbers combined
    1:38:23 with 20-day names for a total of 260 days, and then it goes again. Everybody in the Highlands
    1:38:28 knows what their birthday is in that calendar, knows what it means about their personality,
    1:38:34 and the kind of jobs that they’re supposed to do. Each one of those days has their own spirit
    1:38:40 and what’s supposed to happen in those days. The Maya collectively call them the mom, the
    1:38:47 grandmother, grandfather spirits, and they talk to each one of those days, and they pray to them.
    1:38:56 There’s now an association of some 8,000 people that are called aki that are day keepers who are
    1:39:03 keeping the days, and they’re also like community psychologists almost. People come to them and
    1:39:09 say, “My life is mixed up. What’s wrong here? Well, let’s ask the mom. Okay, well, it looks
    1:39:14 like you’re not doing this or that, or you’re an accountant. You’re not supposed to be an
    1:39:19 accountant. You’re supposed to be a midwife. What are you doing? You’re living your life wrong.
    1:39:22 You’re a key, but you need to start being a key person.
    1:39:28 They take extremely seriously the day in which you’re born, what that means, the spirit that
    1:39:35 embodies that day. Right. I’m a key. I’m 13-key, and it’s funny how accurate a lot of them are.
    1:39:45 Mine is basically, I’m an irresponsible husband and parent, but people like me so my family
    1:39:52 still prospers. Like, “Oh, God, that’s horribly accurate.” I mean, some of it is also the chicken
    1:39:58 or the egg. If you truly believe, if you structure society where this calendar is truly sacred,
    1:40:05 then it kind of like you manifest a lot of the, the spirit does manifest itself in the life of
    1:40:11 the people that was born on that spirit’s day. Absolutely. It’s interesting. And the Maya really
    1:40:17 feel this in this system. So that’s the core system. This 260-day calendar was the very
    1:40:22 first calendar they made thousands of years ago, and it’s the one that’s most important today.
    1:40:30 Why 260 days, by the way? Is there a reasoning behind it? From most Maya agree with this today,
    1:40:35 and who knows what the original architects thousands of years ago were thinking, but
    1:40:44 it’s nine months. It’s the human gestation period. So if you, if you conceived on the day
    1:40:51 13 monkey, chances are your kid’s coming out on or near 13 monkey. And I think it’s beautiful. I
    1:40:58 mean, if that’s right, that means the Maya and the people of Mesoamerica will all share it together.
    1:41:06 When they thought about, we need, we need a count of time that’s for us. They didn’t look up into
    1:41:12 the heavens. They looked like into their bodies. What’s the first cycle that we actually go through
    1:41:19 as humans? And they picked this nine month thing. It’s, it really is our cycle and no other culture
    1:41:23 on the planet looked inside themselves to create their calendar like that.
    1:41:29 So that’s the oldest one and the sacred one that still carries through to today.
    1:41:34 What’s the second on the hub? The hub is the solar calendar, the one that everybody
    1:41:40 on the planet eventually comes up with. We know it’s second though, because when they start talking
    1:41:47 about it, they use all the symbols and the numbers from the 260 one. They say, well, we need a solar
    1:41:52 one too. Let’s just keep counting this another 105 days and we’ll get to 365.
    1:41:59 Oh, interesting. They kind of carry the same, got it, got it, got it, got it. And that’s useful
    1:42:04 because for all the sort of agriculture, all this kind of reasons. Right. Though interestingly,
    1:42:11 they never put a leap year in. The hub is also called the vague year because it’s just 365,
    1:42:19 which means every year they’re off a quarter of a day and eventually it starts really adding up.
    1:42:25 In fact, it’s even caused modern problems. In this calendar here, I just do the straight
    1:42:34 math from a thousand years ago. And so I place the beginning of the solar year differently
    1:42:41 than some Maya groups do, especially the guys in the highlands of eastern Guatemala. They write me
    1:42:46 nasty emails saying, I don’t know what time the year is, but their relatives changed it in the
    1:42:54 1950s because their agricultural cycle was so far off, they moved it 60 days back to make it in the
    1:43:01 spring again. But it drifts, which is strange because it’s not a very good thing for the
    1:43:06 agricultural cycle. It’s one of these mysteries we still don’t have an explanation for.
    1:43:12 So that’s the hub. And then what’s the long count? The long counts, they’re really mysterious cool
    1:43:19 one because it’s a linear count of days, which are not like them. It’s a bunch of cycles like ours.
    1:43:28 Our weeks are a cycle, our months are a cycle. But it’s weird in that its estimation of the year
    1:43:37 in the in the long count system is only 360 days. So it’s miserably off a solar year.
    1:43:44 They count in base 20. So they count like we count in tens, we’re decimal. They count in base
    1:43:52 20, bejesimal. And so it should be, you know, there’s ones, there’s 20s, there’s 400s, there’s
    1:43:59 8,000s, there’s 160,000s. It’s up, it goes just like our tens, hundreds, thousands,
    1:44:09 10,000s, but it’s times 20. So that third, so they have days, months of 20 days. And then they have
    1:44:16 these years that are should be by their math 400. But it’s only 360. And that throws the whole thing
    1:44:23 out of whack going further up, then they have a 20 year period and a 400 year period, 400 years to
    1:44:29 their calendar. But it’s only by that time, it’s only 396 years in our period in our reckoning.
    1:44:38 So it’s, it’s mysterious that it’s, why did they tweak it at the year to be only 360 days?
    1:44:43 That’s, you know, that doesn’t follow any astronomy that doesn’t, that’s not the human cycle.
    1:44:47 Yeah, but they’re, I mean, it’s interesting that they build up towards
    1:44:54 thinking about very long periods of time, like Bactunes is 144,000 days.
    1:45:02 Right. Or a Bactoon is 400 of the long counts years. So it’s kind of like our millennium.
    1:45:09 You know, we think it’s a big deal when we hit a millennium or a century. That’s,
    1:45:15 they have a 20 year period that they do a lot of celebrations on called a cartoon,
    1:45:20 and then they have the 400 Bactoon, which is the big one. That’s like their millennium.
    1:45:30 And 13 of those Bactunes occurred in the creation before us. They also think that we were in,
    1:45:33 that the world has had multiple creations. They’re not alone in that. There’s lots of
    1:45:39 ancient civilizations who say that, but we’re technically in the fourth creation. And they’re,
    1:45:47 they have a creation story called the Popol Vu. And the Popol Vu is clear as day that
    1:45:55 the third creation ends with the help of these heroes called the hero twins. And the fourth
    1:46:01 creation begins. And so on the Maya monuments, we see them doing the math through the long count.
    1:46:07 And we can calculate it back very exactly. It happened. The fourth creation started on
    1:46:18 August 11, 3,114 BC. And it says, it doesn’t say it’s day one. It says it’s the last day of the
    1:46:28 13th Bactoon of the third creation, which leads us to believe that a creation is only 13 Bactunes
    1:46:34 long. Right. So, and this would be the fourth creation, the calendar starts fourth creation.
    1:46:44 But if you do the math going from 3,114 BC and count 13 Bactunes forward, you get to 2012.
    1:46:54 And hence the, the very popular notion that 2012, whenever that was December, December 21st,
    1:47:00 2012 will be the end of the world. So can you explain this? Those were very fruitful years for
    1:47:07 me. I had so many lectures around the country that was, it’s like, like Garrett Morris and Saturday
    1:47:15 Night Live, the, the, the apocalypse was very, very good to me. I mean, but that, that is pretty
    1:47:19 interesting. So that’s, that, that would be, so technically would be in the, what, in the fifth.
    1:47:25 Yeah. Technically, we’d be in the fifth. Though my argument was that actually,
    1:47:32 if you look through all the corpus of Maya mathematics and calendars, they never say anything
    1:47:40 like that. In fact, there’s a handful of dates that tell us that, that the fourth creation does
    1:47:50 continue farther on, that, that Bactune place should have 20, 20 Bactunes in it, like their
    1:47:57 counting system would dictate, not 13. And there’s, there’s a place in, in Palenque. There’s a place
    1:48:05 in the Dresden Codex and one other place I’m forgetting that, that I’ll talk about time after
    1:48:12 2012. So how does that happen? It’s a conflict. Is there supposed to be an overlap of the,
    1:48:20 of the, of the, so it’s like 13 is the core of it and it’s 20 long? They, they love the number 13.
    1:48:27 It’s all over the place. It’s a magic number to them. My explanation, which I admit is, is not
    1:48:37 very solid, but I think that the magical deeds of the hero twins in their creation story at the end
    1:48:47 of the third, the third creation hit the magical reset button and that it just restarted time right
    1:48:53 there because of their magic. But that was not to say that the natural Bactune cycle should be
    1:49:02 13. And there are certain texts that, that go way forward in time or way
    1:49:07 backward in time. And whenever they want to do that, there, there are higher increments than just
    1:49:13 the Bactune. Above that, there’s the Pictune, then there’s the Calabatune, then there’s Alawatune,
    1:49:20 and it goes on and on. And these are like, you know, 160,000 years, huge increments of time.
    1:49:24 Whenever they want to do that and they talk about a long period of time, they start putting
    1:49:30 13s in all of those increments, those higher increments. And I think what they’re saying
    1:49:37 is they’re making an esoteric statement about the never-ending nature of time. That’s, that’s
    1:49:44 what I think they’re, they’re telling us in those texts that time goes on forever, magically.
    1:49:50 But they’re, they still had a conception that it didn’t go on forever before, right? That there was
    1:49:55 other civilizations that came before in there. And this is the fourth creation.
    1:50:00 This is the fourth creation. And the gods made everybody. The first ones were made of mud and
    1:50:05 they melted. The second ones were made of sticks, but they were jerks to the animals.
    1:50:16 The third ones were like us, but, but flawed in some other way. And then we’re finally made of,
    1:50:24 of the blood of the gods and corn. We’re made out of corn. So we’re, we’re perfect. And as the,
    1:50:32 as it explains to us, the, the Popal Voodoo does, we got it right this time. There, there is, there,
    1:50:37 there’s no reason to believe that this creation has a set duration.
    1:50:44 Well, one of the weird things is that the Aztecs, who we talked to a lot at contact,
    1:50:52 they also had the concept of multiple creations before us, but they were real clear to the Spanish
    1:50:59 that they weren’t all the same time element. Some of them were in the 300s of years. Some of
    1:51:07 them were in the 700s of years, but they were not the same time period. So our, our mathematical
    1:51:14 logic that if the third creation was 13, this one must be third creation is in, or also be 13.
    1:51:19 It’s in direct opposition to what the Aztecs told us about the nature of creations. They’re
    1:51:25 different time periods. Why do you think there was the myth of the previous creations? Do they have
    1:51:32 some kind of long multi-generational memory of prior civilizations?
    1:51:37 It may have had some echo in the, the flood myths.
    1:51:42 Right. It’s the same. It’s the same kind of major myths carried through long periods of time.
    1:51:49 There’s a lot of different opinions about it. And, you know, they’re like, if they were all 13,
    1:51:53 if we have five creations, like the Aztecs said, and they were all 13,
    1:52:00 they would come up to roughly 25,000 something years, which is very close to that processional
    1:52:07 cycle. So some people are like, they designed it all to be one completion of the procession of the
    1:52:14 equinoxes. And I mean, I don’t believe that one, but that one sure sounds good. Doesn’t it? That’s,
    1:52:20 that’s going to get a lot of internet hits. And one of the things I do, obviously,
    1:52:30 wonder about is why the flood myth is part of like most societies and most religions.
    1:52:36 I think that one’s pretty easy. It’s the end of the Ice Age when the bathtub filled back up.
    1:52:42 Huh. So it’s just the Ice Age bathtub. It’s, it’s, it sees filling back up.
    1:52:49 And they, without really understanding what happened, they just carried that, that story.
    1:52:56 Everybody knows that everybody’s nice coastal village went underwater and they had to,
    1:53:00 they had to seek higher ground. And then just like people like talking about the weather,
    1:53:05 everybody was talking about the weather for many generations as the sea level was going up. And
    1:53:11 then, uh, that, that myth carried. Why do we live here, grandpa? Well, we used to live over there,
    1:53:18 but then the water came. And then many grandpas later is just kind of permeates every idea.
    1:53:23 It becomes mythology, but global mythology. So that one, you know,
    1:53:26 there’s a lot of things I don’t have a reasonable explanation for, but the, uh,
    1:53:31 but the flood myth is almost certainly the, the rise in sea level.
    1:53:40 So the, this idea that every day represents, uh, that carries a spirit, uh, you know,
    1:53:46 there’s modern day astrology. You know, most people kind of consider astrology this, um,
    1:53:53 maybe a bit unscientific woo woo type of, um, uh, set of beliefs. But do you think there’s
    1:54:00 some wisdom that astrology carries from your scholarship of the Maya calendar? Do you think,
    1:54:07 if we carry that to the astrological perspective on the world, do you think there’s some wisdom there?
    1:54:16 I don’t know. You know, that I have a woo woo part of me. I would like to believe that stuff,
    1:54:21 but I don’t think as a scientist, it makes a, I cannot come up with a
    1:54:30 biological scientific reason why that would be true. And, you know, when you look at it objectively,
    1:54:40 I mean, really is everybody born with the sign Scorpio, uh, a moody person. That’s just,
    1:54:48 that’s just objectively not true. Um, but it is funny how oftentimes these, these Maya, uh,
    1:54:53 horoscopes, for lack of a better word, do hit the mark. There was some student who
    1:55:01 surveyed like 300 people with the app I made and asked them about their Greek sign and their Maya
    1:55:06 sign. And his conclusion for his term paper was that the Maya one was working way better,
    1:55:13 which that’s, that’s fascinating. At least that’s, that’s fun. But no, I’m, I think I’m too much of
    1:55:19 a scientist to believe that I just don’t have a, any foundation in science that would allow us to
    1:55:28 believe that the, uh, the month in which we were born in a cycle sets our personality and destiny.
    1:55:38 I agree. And yet there’s so much mystery all around us that, uh, what I do like is the, uh,
    1:55:45 inbuilt humility to that worldview, uh, that there’s this whole, you can call it a spiritual
    1:55:51 world, but a world that we don’t understand, quite understand. And then you can wonder about
    1:55:56 what is the wisdom that that world carries. And then you construct all kinds of systems to
    1:56:03 try to interpret that. And then there is where the human hubris can come in and you know, uh,
    1:56:06 but it’s good to be humbled by how little we know, I suppose.
    1:56:12 I do love the mysteries of the world. And I, I would, I would love to find an ancient civilization,
    1:56:18 but I don’t, I don’t want to solve the mysteries of the world. I think they’re one of the things
    1:56:26 that make world life worth living. That’s true. That’s true. Uh, you mentioned the, uh, Maya writing
    1:56:31 system. What are some interesting aspects of their language that they’ve used and the written
    1:56:37 language that they used? Well, you know, one of the things that confound me as a guy who’s spent,
    1:56:42 you know, better portion of my life studying it, I had the honor of being, uh, the student of, uh,
    1:56:48 Linda Shealy right here at the university of Texas at Austin. She got the group together
    1:56:55 who broke the Maya code of hieroglyphics in the 1970s. So I learned from the best and, and loved
    1:56:59 every minute of it. I miss Linda. Can you speak to that code actually? The hieroglyphic code and
    1:57:06 what takes to break it? Oh boy. I mean, what a, what a thing. We had kind of a Rosetta Stone.
    1:57:15 We had a page out of Diego DeLanda’s book, a priest who was converting the Maya in Yucatan,
    1:57:23 asked his informants about their writing system and what every sound meant. And he was convinced
    1:57:29 they had an alphabet like we do. So he got this Maya guy sat down in Spanish and he said,
    1:57:33 okay, you’re going to write all the symbols right here in my book, right, right in, ah, here,
    1:57:41 right a bae here, right a say here. And that guy just wrote all of the sounds that the priest told
    1:57:48 him to write. They were actually syllables. They were vowel, consonant combinations. They weren’t an
    1:57:56 alphabet, but that turned into our Rosetta Stone of sorts. The big key is that the Maya still speak
    1:58:03 that same language. There are millions of Maya people who are speaking a version of Maya.
    1:58:10 Now there’s, there’s where I get confused. That we’ve got a single writing system that is
    1:58:16 intelligible. We’ve broken the code. So we know that it’s basically the same writing system from
    1:58:25 the top of the Yucatan into Guatemala and El Salvador. But we have 33 Maya languages today
    1:58:31 that are mutually unintelligible. And we, we backwards project the language of what they
    1:58:37 spoke back then that the glyphs are in to something called choulti, which is a combination of chorti
    1:58:45 and choulti of those languages. But it doesn’t work for me at all. How did, if there was one language,
    1:58:52 maybe two back then, how did it flower into 33 mutually unintelligible languages in just 500
    1:59:02 years during culture, acculturation and horrible infectious diseases that killed 90% of the population?
    1:59:07 How did that happen? So we’re missing something huge here. I think it’s more like
    1:59:16 Chinese where Chinese letters, writing can be read in multiple languages and still understood.
    1:59:22 I don’t know exactly the mechanics of how that would happen, but it just seems impossible that
    1:59:29 there are more languages, not less languages in the Maya area after the last 500 years that
    1:59:34 they’ve been through. So you think that there’s some kind of process of either rapidly generating
    1:59:40 dialects or there’s always has been these dialects or I should say they’re distinct languages,
    1:59:46 even though there’s a common writing system? There must have been a way that multiple languages
    1:59:53 understood the same writing system. Or maybe there was something like Latin, how there was a
    2:00:02 period in Europe where most people were illiterate and there was this priesthood who all understood
    2:00:11 Latin and they wrote in Latin. Maybe the hieroglyphs represent a kind of Latin in the ancient Maya
    2:00:16 world. But we don’t really know and there’s not clear evidence to fill in the gaps of how it’s
    2:00:23 possible to have that. Right. But we did realize it was actually a Russian scholar named Yuri
    2:00:30 Konorozov who broke the code. The Americans and the Europeans were absolutely sure that the
    2:00:38 written language was a dead language. But Yuri not knowing any of that, not being filled with
    2:00:45 all of those thoughts from America and Europe, went about it in the way that he was taught
    2:00:53 in his grad school in Moscow and just went to the dictionaries. And he looked at Yucatec
    2:00:59 language that they’re speaking today and he applied it to the symbol system. And he knew that there
    2:01:07 were certain sounds. He used Landa’s alphabet and he found there was the his two key examples were
    2:01:13 a picture of a dog with a symbol over it and a picture of a turkey with a symbol over it. And the
    2:01:23 dog, a dog in Yucatec is tsul. So he saw two symbols and he said this one’s probably tsul
    2:01:30 and this one’s ul and then the turkey was kuts. So it would be ku ending in tsul. And he showed how,
    2:01:38 look, this is tsuts, this is tsul, those two things that should be tsul are the same symbol.
    2:01:44 And that began this process of unraveling the syllables that we’re still working on today.
    2:01:50 That’s fascinating. Just that decoding process is fascinating. Like how do you even figure that
    2:01:57 out? And there’s probably still, are you aware of any written languages that haven’t been decoded
    2:02:03 yet? Yeah, yeah, there’s a number of them. There’s Easter Island script. I was just talking to,
    2:02:10 we’ve apparently made a few advances there now. It’s called rongo rongo. And we only have about
    2:02:17 maybe 25 examples of texts. But we’re beginning to break that. There’s also the big one
    2:02:26 is harappan. Harappan, for a long time we used to say there were five independent scripts
    2:02:37 on the planet. And those were Chinese cuneiform, which is Mesopotamian, Egyptian Maya, and then
    2:02:45 harappan, which is from Northern India. That’s the only one that we’ve never cracked. And now all the
    2:02:51 epigraphers, the people that’s the term for epigraphy is translating these languages.
    2:02:55 They’re all ganging up on harappan and want to kick it off the list because we can’t break it.
    2:03:01 It had a big enough symbol set, but no one’s been able to crack it. And now they’re saying it’s just
    2:03:08 an elaborate symbol set and doesn’t reflect the spoken word. That’s a hypothesis, but
    2:03:14 we just would explain why it’s so different. But we could just be faced with a quitter
    2:03:20 generation. Maybe somebody will pick up the baton next generation. The other one that fascinates me
    2:03:28 is from the Americas. It’s the kipu. The Inca had the kipu, this knotted string records, but it was
    2:03:35 definitely encoding more than just math. We know the math. I know lots. I can do the math kipus
    2:03:39 and figure out what they’re totalling and things. Yeah, there’s a kipu right there.
    2:03:43 Kipu are recording devices fashioned from strings historically used by a number of
    2:03:48 cultures in the region of India and South America. A kipu usually consists of cotton or
    2:03:53 carbon fiber strings. There’s a set of strings and they’re supposed to be saying something.
    2:03:59 There’s one long string that the little ones dangle off of. Each one of the dangling strings
    2:04:06 have sets of knots on them. Some of them are mathematical kipus. Those, we can just do the
    2:04:13 math. We can prove that it’s math. They also encoded language in there. They had entire
    2:04:20 libraries in Cusco where Spanish conquistadors were brought through and the caretakers of the
    2:04:25 libraries would just, they’d say, pull that one down. Read that one to me. He’d pull it out and
    2:04:31 just read a history of something that happened 200 years earlier. It was definitely writing,
    2:04:40 but in the 1570s, one head of the church there had all of the people that could read them called
    2:04:48 kipu kamyaks gathered up, had them read all of their kipus and transcribed them into Spanish books
    2:04:53 and then had the kipus burned and those people murdered. Well, there you go.
    2:05:01 And so we can’t break the code still today, but we know it was absolutely a written language,
    2:05:07 though it wasn’t written. It was weaved or knotted. And there’s still some kipus available that could
    2:05:15 be there. I think now we’ve just crossed the 1000 mark. So we have a thousand kipus. There’s
    2:05:21 enough to break the code. And I think this generation might be the one that does it.
    2:05:27 It’s sad that so few have survived. A thousand is good, but it’s…
    2:05:35 But see, Peru has barely scratched the surface with archaeology. There’s so much out there.
    2:05:42 There was a priest I read about named Diego de Porres, who was one of the early people in
    2:05:49 Peru converting communities. And his chronicle is real clear that he wanted to teach this community
    2:05:55 of 3,000 people, all the Spanish prayers, the important ones for them to be converted into
    2:06:04 Christianity. And he had the communities, kipu kamyaks, not kipus for each person that told them
    2:06:09 that they could read them out and memorize the prayers. And if they were caught without their
    2:06:17 kipu in town, they were flogged. So he had 3,000 of the same kipu made and handed out to this
    2:06:24 community. If we find that community and find it cemetery, there is a rosetta stone.
    2:06:30 You know, it is probably the case that there’s somebody in Peru and maybe a large community
    2:06:35 that knows this language, that understands, and you just have to show up and ask them.
    2:06:41 And it’s like, they’re like, “Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah.” There are some communities that are using them.
    2:06:45 There’s a couple of them that we had high hopes for, and then it was a parent that they were just
    2:06:50 making shit up. They didn’t actually know how to read it. They just knew it used to be read.
    2:06:54 So they made a bunch of stuff about what it says, and they bring it out, and they act like they
    2:06:59 can read it. But then when you ask them the details, they don’t know. But then on a much
    2:07:06 simpler level, there’s llama herders who keep a string in their pocket, and they’ve got the
    2:07:11 knots equaling how many llamas they have, and then they have subcategories of information,
    2:07:18 like, “This one’s sick. We’ve lost these ones. This one’s pregnant.” So they have these more
    2:07:24 simple and more mathematical kipus, but they’re using them to affect as a record.
    2:07:32 Is it possible through archaeology to know what the social organization of the Maya was?
    2:07:40 Maybe if there was a hierarchy, maybe what the political structure was, if there was a leader,
    2:07:45 different roles, priests, or who had the power, who was powerless,
    2:07:48 who had certain kinds of roles, is it possible to know that?
    2:07:53 Actually, because of hieroglyphs, yeah, we know a whole lot. There’s basic things that archaeology,
    2:07:57 which is a very blunt tool, can figure out, like, “This guy lives in a rich house. This
    2:08:05 guy lives in a poor house.” But the hieroglyphs tell us specific stuff about who can rule,
    2:08:15 that it was hereditary, that hereditary rule was based on royal blood that could be burned and
    2:08:21 connect to the ancestors that lived up in the sky versus the one that’s lived in the underworld.
    2:08:27 It also told us things about hierarchy, like that there were councils of lords underneath
    2:08:33 the king who each represented clans who had their own neighborhoods and that there were
    2:08:42 revolving positions of authority. The site that I mapped for my dissertation and spent
    2:08:49 years in the jungle there, Palenque, had lords title named Fire Lord. That was one of the,
    2:08:59 like, generals of their army. And we could tell that position changed over time. So there was
    2:09:05 one guy named Chak Soots, who was the Fire Lord for the early part of a reign of a king called
    2:09:11 the Kal Monab. And then by the time he carves this other panel, there’s another guy in the position
    2:09:19 of Kak Ahau, which was the Fire Lord. And so he had got promoted. It was, well, he could have been
    2:09:27 killed. I mean, in the case of that. But then we have the interesting case of, in the post classic,
    2:09:32 they shed the idea of kings. They don’t like kings anymore. That’s probably a big part of why the
    2:09:38 classic disappearance and the abandonment of all those cities happened. People just got sick of
    2:09:45 kings. And so they turn into this more council system at Chichen Itza. But then when Chichen Itza
    2:09:52 falls, there’s a new city that’s architecture looks a lot like Chichen Itza. It’s called Mayapon.
    2:10:02 But it has what is called the League of Mayapon. And it has a council of representatives from the
    2:10:10 communities from all around the Yucatan. And it is basically a democracy. It is a Maya democracy
    2:10:17 that happens. The individuals from all around the Yucatan are there. They each family has their own
    2:10:22 council house at Mayapon, though they live back at their place. It’s kind of like a Maya Congress.
    2:10:29 Representative democracy. It really was. I mean, and this happens in, I guess,
    2:10:38 1250 AD that this Maya democracy happens. And we know the names of them. We know the families.
    2:10:45 And of course, they were humans. So eventually, they screwed it all up. One family murdered another
    2:10:50 family and the whole city burned. And of course, it’s probably some fascinating corruption,
    2:10:55 which is hard to discover through. Part of it was the Aztecs screwing things up. The Aztecs came
    2:11:00 down with all sorts of, like, “We’ll buy everything you’re making.” And then eventually, they were
    2:11:06 like, “Could we maybe buy some humans?” And then one family was like, “No.” And the other family was
    2:11:12 like, “I don’t know. They’re making us a lot of money.” So then, you know, they murdered each other
    2:11:19 and the water supply got polluted and then the city burned. It seems like slavery, murder and disease
    2:11:27 is a large component of the story of humans. You mentioned different periods in the Maya,
    2:11:32 the classic, the post-classic, the pre-classic, the archaic. Can you just speak to that? So
    2:11:36 archaic is before there was really a civilization. Yeah, archaic is pretty much when everybody’s
    2:11:42 hunter-gatherers. So the classic period was the Golden Age. And then the pre-classic is the
    2:11:48 interesting time that we were talking about. And the post-classic is when the democracy came about.
    2:11:55 Well, midway through it, reverted back to council systems. The Maya loved to be part of councils.
    2:12:02 So yeah, we have pre-classic is like the origins of civilization. They’re starting to build cities,
    2:12:07 they’re starting to create their calendar, they’re starting to create these wonderful works of art.
    2:12:14 And the classic period, if you look at 10 different textbooks for the Maya,
    2:12:19 you’ll get 10 different dates that wiggle around in there. But basically, that’s the age
    2:12:25 of kings to me. That’s when the cities decide that they’re going to organize themselves around
    2:12:32 elite royal families that have this magical blood that can contact their ancestors that are
    2:12:39 directly in contact with the gods. The Maya never contact their gods directly. They contact their
    2:12:46 ancestors who are up there, who act like liaisons to the gods. And so the Maya age of kings has these
    2:12:53 dynasties sprouting up where these people have basically snowed the rest of the people that
    2:13:00 they’ve got a special quality of their blood and only their offspring can do the same trick
    2:13:06 and talk to the gods, where everybody, every Joe Maya can let their blood and burn it
    2:13:12 and contact their ancestor. But Joe Maya’s dad is just a corn farmer who lives down below,
    2:13:20 and he’s got no influence over the gods. But the rulers, their spirits go down briefly,
    2:13:26 but then they go up into the heavens and reside where the gods are and can act as liaisons.
    2:13:33 So that’s the validation for this kingship that happens for about 400 years. I know we say 250
    2:13:40 to 900, which is kind of the encompassing edges of it, but it’s interesting that it’s actually
    2:13:52 specifically the ninth Bakhtun of their history. The ninth Bakhtun begins in like 426, and it ends
    2:14:01 in like 829. So it’s a 400 year period of time, and before that there were no kings, and after that
    2:14:07 there really aren’t kings. They’re heads of councils. So I call it the Age of Kings, where
    2:14:14 everybody’s following the directives of basically a despot. And for a while, that’s great. I mean
    2:14:22 cities build up, populations happening. I see it as kind of a cult of personality moment, too.
    2:14:28 Strong, charismatic leaders inspire people to do great things together. But eventually,
    2:14:33 like happens all the time with power, too much power corrupts. All of a sudden there’s this
    2:14:42 unwieldy, huge elite class that has to be treated special by everybody else, and they start saying,
    2:14:46 “Well, I think we should fight with those guys, and you guys should go take these things.”
    2:14:51 And people eventually get sick of it, and they walk away from these cities, and that’s how we get the
    2:14:56 mysterious Maya collapse, where all these cities are just gone.
    2:15:01 That’s one of the great mysteries of the Maya civilization is that over a very short period
    2:15:07 of time, like a hundred years, it seems to have declined very rapidly. It collapsed. What do you
    2:15:15 think explains that? What happened? I think it’s a failing of archaeology to properly see what was
    2:15:25 happening. I think that most of those cities, populations, moved no more than 20 to 40 kilometers
    2:15:30 out and started their own farm, and they lived in perishable houses, and all archaeology’s
    2:15:36 signature sees is that nobody lives in the city center anymore. We don’t see a bunch of mass
    2:15:43 bodies. There’s no evidence of people getting sick. There are certain cities that fought with
    2:15:49 each other at the end, and we see that signature plain as day. We know when a city was attacked
    2:15:56 and burned. Mostly that didn’t happen. People moved and migrated, and it seems like right there
    2:16:05 around, like between 800 and 900, a lot of the elites that were on top, most of it was in the
    2:16:11 rainforests of northern Guatemala, they move. They move in two directions. Some of them move
    2:16:19 into the highlands of Guatemala, and some of them move up into the Yucatan. The city of Chichen Itza
    2:16:28 becomes the next big capital in Yucatan. The word Itza is actually a word describing the people
    2:16:36 who lived around Lake P-10 Itza in northern Guatemala. All of the Maya are super clear about
    2:16:44 that, that the Itza came in as immigrants with these new ideas and created Chichen Itza. The
    2:16:50 elites who were no longer welcome in their cities just moved and set up shop somewhere else.
    2:16:56 So why was there a decline? What was maybe the catalyst? Was there a specific kind of
    2:17:01 events that started this? Was this an idea that kind of transformed the society?
    2:17:06 We are still debating that. I don’t think there is a single reason. I think humans are complicated.
    2:17:13 I think a lot of things led to this. One thing we can see archaeologically is that every one of
    2:17:21 the cities became overpopulated. They were too popular, and we think that they pushed the limits
    2:17:28 of their capacity to feed and house people. We see it in lots of the cities at the end
    2:17:36 of the classic period that people are seasonally starving. I remember really stark evidence in
    2:17:44 Copan Honduras. Copan was this beautiful city, lineage of 17 kings. But the last kings and the
    2:17:51 last elite burials that we dig from the city center, the teeth are the telling part. They
    2:17:57 get this thing when you’re growing up and you’re not getting enough food seasonally. It shows up
    2:18:05 in the enamel of your teeth. It’s called dental hypoplasia. And if somebody’s seasonally starving,
    2:18:12 it gets these lines in their teeth. And that last generation of Maya before they left Copan,
    2:18:18 even the rich people are seasonally starving. So there’s a problem there, for sure.
    2:18:26 But I also think it’s a weird thing. It was not an empire. It was a group of independent city
    2:18:32 states like Greece. Some of them were allied. Some of them were enemies. There was a huge
    2:18:38 civil war that settled out about the end of the classic period. So if it was Europe, you know,
    2:18:42 the victors would have taken over. The losers would have beat it and gone wherever they went.
    2:18:48 But when they abandoned these cities that were independent still, they all left,
    2:18:54 both the guys that won and the guys that lost the war. So it couldn’t be just as simple as spoils
    2:19:00 go to the victor. It’s such a wide area. Not everybody was starving like the people in the
    2:19:08 Copan Valley. So I personally think it was calendrically timed. It is interesting to
    2:19:14 note that that ninth period, that ninth 400-year period ends right then. And I think a lot of
    2:19:20 people, you know, I can’t prove it archaeologically, but I think a lot of people said we’re coming to
    2:19:27 the end of a great cycle and we need to renew. We need to change what we’re doing. When you talk
    2:19:33 to the Maya today, like at the end of this 2012 thing, if you actually talk to Maya say, you know,
    2:19:42 what happens at the end of a big cycle here? They say cycles are a time of renewal and transformation,
    2:19:49 that it is all of our obligation to change our lives at the end of cycles, that change is coming,
    2:19:54 we can either be part of it or we can get steamrolled by it. The Aztecs did this neat thing
    2:20:00 called the New Fire Ceremony. Every 52 years, which was the biggest their calendar would go,
    2:20:06 they’d burn down perfectly good temples and they’d burn down their houses sometimes and they would
    2:20:14 just, everybody in society would perform this, what they called the New Fire Ceremony and they
    2:20:22 would renew the world. So I think my personal theory is that the Maya decided at the end of
    2:20:27 the ninth Bakhtun that it was time to renew the world. I think this theory makes sense because
    2:20:31 they really internalized the calendar. I mean, it was a really big part of their culture,
    2:20:40 the sense of the cyclical nature of civilization. That’s what I think. I think that they created
    2:20:48 that calendar to perceive the cycle and to harmonize with it. Yeah, you mentioned the Aztec. What was
    2:20:55 the origin of the Aztec? Where did these people come from? At what time and how?
    2:21:01 You know, almost every one of the cultures we’re talking about now, we have two different versions
    2:21:08 of the answer to that question. We have the archaeology version and we have the Aztecs themselves.
    2:21:16 The Aztecs have this wonderful migration story where they say that they came from a place well
    2:21:25 to the north called Aslan and that they had this migration that went through kind of a hero’s journey
    2:21:31 where they go to this snake mountain place and they encounter the birth of the war god that
    2:21:39 they’ll worship after this and how they stepped into the Valley of Mexico as the last, the lost
    2:21:47 brothers of everyone in the Valley of Mexico. They said that they all came from the north near
    2:21:55 Aslan as a place, a cave with seven different passages called Chiquimostac and that all the
    2:22:02 people who spoke the language Nahuatl came from the cave and most of them went early to the Valley
    2:22:09 of Mexico and in the Aztecs story, they were just the lost tribe. They were the last brothers to
    2:22:18 come in and but then they show up late game and they become mercenaries. They just start working
    2:22:28 for communities in the Valley of Mexico and this takes place in the 1300s. So about 200 years before
    2:22:36 Cortez shows up, the Aztecs show up to the Valley of Mexico and they make themselves this indispensable
    2:22:46 group of mercenaries. They do the dirty work. All the civilized communities around Lake Texcoco
    2:22:52 which is in the middle of, which is now Mexico City, it’s all dried up but those guys were
    2:22:57 too civilized to fight with each other but they could hire the Aztecs to do their dirty stuff.
    2:23:04 So the Aztecs did that and really changed the politics in the game of the Valley of Mexico.
    2:23:09 The dirty stuff, they’re the muscle. Yeah, they’d go in and they’d kill whoever you
    2:23:15 wanted killed and now you’re the king of this area. So one of these kings that they were working for
    2:23:22 really liked them and decided I’m going to make the Aztecs part of our ancestry. I’m going to give
    2:23:32 them my daughter to marry the head of the Aztecs and the Aztecs sacrificed her and that really
    2:23:38 pissed that guy off. So he took like his whole army and ran the Aztecs out for a while. They say
    2:23:45 they live in this horrible desert section eating lizards but then one of their priests say we’re
    2:23:53 going to walk around the lake and my visions say that where we see an eagle sitting on a cactus
    2:23:59 with a snake in its mouth is where we will build our capital and they see that but it’s out on
    2:24:08 an island in the lake and he said well I don’t know, that’s the place. So they build up an island,
    2:24:16 they go to that island and then they just start piling up lake mug until they make a whole city
    2:24:22 there in the middle of the island. They make or the lake, they make an island city and all of this
    2:24:30 occurs in about a hundred years. So they show up about 1300. The capital of Tinochtitlan as they
    2:24:38 called it is really established and from there they quickly take over the entire valley. They make
    2:24:44 what they call the triple alliance which is the two other big communities of the lake are now
    2:24:50 their allies but they’re not really allies. The Aztecs were brutal. Those guys agreed to shut
    2:24:57 up and let the Aztecs run the show and then the Aztecs spread like a wildfire all the way down
    2:25:02 into the Maya area. Everywhere they go they rename everybody’s towns and make them pay tribute.
    2:25:12 Pretty short last thing, civilization, spread extremely quickly, famous. What are some defining
    2:25:17 qualities that explain that? I think they were very much like, they had an attitude like Attila
    2:25:24 the Hun. They just had no problem ripping your skin off. Everybody else had become too comfortable
    2:25:32 and too civilized and the Aztecs were just mercenary. They told everybody, you know,
    2:25:39 we can either rip your heart out or you can work for us and if you work for us you’ll be just fine.
    2:25:42 They’d go to every town they’d go to. The first thing they do is they’d show up with a bunch of
    2:25:48 merchants. There was a merchant class who were also military. They were really the
    2:25:55 people who assessed where they were going to attack next. They’d go in with a bunch of Aztec
    2:26:01 products and say, “We’d like to trade with you.” But all the time they were assessing their military
    2:26:08 prowess, what products they had that they could take and then soon after the Poch Teca were there
    2:26:15 would come the military with the reconnaissance. So the Aztec had a huge warrior class, as you’re
    2:26:22 saying. So what was there? Can you linger on their whole relationship with war and violence?
    2:26:33 They worshipped a war deity. Their main temple was the Templomaior. It had two temples up on top.
    2:26:39 One was Tutlalak, the rain god, who liked a lot of sacrifice himself. But then the other one was
    2:26:46 Weesila Poshli. He was, that translates, “the hummingbird on the left.” But he’s the war god.
    2:26:51 I love that he’s a hummingbird. Maybe, you know, he’s fast and he comes from the magical side or
    2:27:00 something. But then right next to the temple on either side were the two temples of the warriors.
    2:27:04 One was the Eagle Warrior Clan. The other one was the Jaguar Warrior Clan.
    2:27:10 And they were symbolically in competition with each other, though a unified force. I guess,
    2:27:16 you know, probably an analogy between like the Navy and the Air Force. You know, they had a good
    2:27:23 natured competition of who was better, but they were the same force. So those were their symbolic
    2:27:31 warriors dressed up in all of their finery. And they would come at people with these two
    2:27:38 forces. And it was very unlike anything that had happened before in Mesoamerica. Again,
    2:27:44 I think I could draw a parallel to what happened in Europe. You know, the famous Henry V moment
    2:27:54 in Agincourt, where, you know, his kind of ragtag army wipes out half of France’s aristocracy with
    2:28:04 the longbow. Like up until that moment, Europe had a very wars for the elite classes kind of attitude.
    2:28:09 And then after France lost half their aristocracy, then it was like, maybe we should be hiring from
    2:28:17 the villages. The same sort of thing happened with the Aztec that there was a, Mesoamerica really
    2:28:24 didn’t have huge standing armies. But the Aztec put this army together and they intimidated people.
    2:28:29 They didn’t actually have to use it a lot. It was very, it was used to great effect in the,
    2:28:34 in the Valley of Mexico. And for the rest of Mesoamerica, it was mostly the fear factor.
    2:28:43 But there also seemed to be, you know, a celebration of violence. I think you said
    2:28:50 that beauty and blood went hand in hand for the Aztec. Maybe like the Roman Empire, was it,
    2:28:58 they just had maybe a different relationship with what violence where that stood in the purpose
    2:29:05 of life, purpose of existence? Is that fair to say? I would hypothesize so. I mean, you know,
    2:29:09 I think it’s one of the wonderful things about studying these ancient cultures, you know,
    2:29:16 knowing what our human capacity is. And the Aztecs, when I, when I said that statement, I,
    2:29:21 what I, what I meant by that is they were absolutely comfortable with human sacrifice
    2:29:28 and, you know, ripping people’s hearts out. This, they had this, this just, you know, grotesque,
    2:29:37 violent bent. But in the same way, they also absolutely loved flower gardens and poetry
    2:29:46 and music and dance. The same Aztec king who would order the hearts of a thousand people extracted
    2:29:55 also would stand up at dinner parties to recite his own poetry or the poetry of famous statesmen
    2:30:02 that had come before him. And they spent money on things like flower gardens. They’re all of the
    2:30:09 causeways leading to the Aztec capital had beautiful flower gardens and they had a museum
    2:30:16 and they had an aquarium and a zoo and they had an opera and they had a ballet.
    2:30:25 And these things existed together. There was not in the Aztec mind any conflict between
    2:30:31 witnessing someone’s heart getting ripped out one moment in the evening we’d go to the ballet.
    2:30:37 How does that contrast the relationship with war and violence with the other
    2:30:42 civilizations of Mesoamerica and South America, maybe the Maya? What was their relationship
    2:30:49 like with war? The Maya were certainly influenced by the Aztec at the end. So we get a skewed
    2:30:57 perspective from the contact period accounts because the Maya were much more violent and
    2:31:02 sacrifice-oriented in their post-classic rendition. But in the classic period,
    2:31:11 it was mostly the priests and the king who were doing the sacrificing of themselves that we know
    2:31:22 that the Maya kings would cut their penises and then bleed that blood onto paper and the paper would
    2:31:28 burn and become the smoke through which they’d commune with their ancestors. But they’d actually
    2:31:37 tie this paper onto their penis, cut it, and then dance so the blood splattered. But it was them
    2:31:41 cutting themselves. It was different than killing a bunch of other people for it. It was an auto
    2:31:47 sacrifice we call it. Still very macabre, but very different than deciding a whole bunch of other
    2:31:53 people should die. It was a self-sacrifice thing. Can you speak to the sacrifice a bit more animal
    2:31:59 sacrifice, human sacrifice? What role did that play in for the Maya, for the Aztec, for the
    2:32:04 different cultures here? Was that religious in nature? It was absolutely religious in nature.
    2:32:14 And the Aztecs were of the opinion that the war god demanded people were captured and sacrificed.
    2:32:20 And it had to be valuable people. Before they made that big standing army, they had
    2:32:28 just ritual battles that they would have, and they’d take captives. In fact, all around Mesuel
    2:32:34 America, they wanted captives so that they could bring them back and sacrifice them for the gods.
    2:32:42 And the Aztecs deciding to specifically follow the war god did this more than anybody. They did
    2:32:49 it so much and so successfully that they didn’t have any enemies nearby. So they decided this one
    2:32:57 poor sucker group, not that far away, called the Tlashkolons, that they were never going to
    2:33:04 make peace with them so that they could go close by every year and just have a little symbolic war
    2:33:11 with the Tlashkolons and haul them back for a sacrifice. Cortes met those guys and he was like,
    2:33:17 “Here are people who hate their guts. I’ll just use these guys.” So, you know, we say, “Oh,
    2:33:24 Cortes took over the Aztec world.” It was Cortes in 20,000 super pissed off Tlashkolons.
    2:33:28 And they actually sacrificed so there would be these ritual
    2:33:35 battles or is it chopping off people’s heads? Is there some interesting rituals around the
    2:33:41 sacrifice? It’s mostly hard extraction. Sometimes heads, but they bring them up on top of the temple
    2:33:46 so everybody can see it. And they had a specific stone where they would bend them over so their
    2:33:53 rib cage would come out and they’d use like a thick obsidian knife and they had a really just
    2:34:00 like tried and true way to do it. They’d stab it in in a certain place close and then they’d push
    2:34:06 down on the sternum as they ripped up on the rib cage and they just so they just make a place
    2:34:10 where they could just rip it right out with their hand. Yeah, with their hand, but they were really
    2:34:16 just surgical about it. They’d use a thick obsidian knife where they could just break the
    2:34:21 ribs right along the sternum and then push the sternum down, pull up, and just while the person
    2:34:28 was alive. Yep, while the person was alive. And the Aztecs had this idea like there was a horrible
    2:34:34 drought that went on that almost ruined the entire valley and they came to this conclusion that
    2:34:39 it’s because we haven’t been killing enough people. Right. We’ve got to bump this up and then when they
    2:34:45 did and they decided they really took it out on the Tlashkolons, it rained again. So it was
    2:34:52 proof positive that they should just keep doing that. And they ate people as well. They really
    2:34:58 did. Asked part of the sacrifice or is this after the sacrifice, then they would eat them.
    2:35:03 And this was part of the drought and the famine thing that started, but then it was just kind of
    2:35:10 the thing to do when when Cortez got there, they were still having certain special feasts that
    2:35:17 involved humans and it really upset the Spanish that they would be like trekked into eating human
    2:35:22 like, “Hey, you liking dinner?” That was a human. So the idea was it actually
    2:35:32 having a taste for human flesh or is it just these kinds of ideas of like if you eat a person’s
    2:35:37 heart that you can get their spirit and their strength? In the case of the Aztecs, it seemed
    2:35:44 like they just liked it. This guy, Sahagun, who was a very responsible chronicler that was pretty
    2:35:51 specific that like there was a distribution thing. Yeah. Like the elites got butts. The butts were
    2:35:58 the best part. So the butt cheeks, those are the best parts to eat. And then like it went down the
    2:36:03 chain until some people just got like fingers and toes. Literally bought taste for the Aztec.
    2:36:09 Yeah. Boy. All right. They really did. They really did. In fact, that’s what caused the,
    2:36:16 have you heard of the Noche tree stay, the sad night? The night that the Aztecs really go nuts
    2:36:24 on the Spanish and kick them out. It’s all triggered by this one guy, Pedro de Alvarado,
    2:36:32 who’s left in charge by Cortez. As Cortez goes to the coast and tries to talk to the new force,
    2:36:38 talk them into being for him, which he does. But Pedro Alvarado is left back in town,
    2:36:45 in charge. And they’re doing another one of these huge Aztec buffets and parties to honor them.
    2:36:50 And it happens. The guy says, you know, hey, do you like dinner? Like, oh, yeah, it’s a nice
    2:36:55 dinner. Well, it’s humans. You’re eating humans. See, I told you they were good. And Alvarado just
    2:37:04 freaks out and he has the guards close the doors and he murders everyone in the party,
    2:37:11 women, children. Nobody has weapons. He just murders everyone. And that’s what spazes the
    2:37:19 Aztecs out to eventually murder Montezuma, who was their captive, and then try to murder all of
    2:37:26 them. And it was all Pedro Alvarado’s fault for freaking out about eating humans. Just a little
    2:37:31 practical joke. Yeah, it was just they thought it was funny. He did not. That’s fascinating. I didn’t
    2:37:35 realize. So I kind of assumed that some level of cannibalism would have to do with, you know,
    2:37:41 eating the heart to gain the spirit of the person or something like this. In certain, like a, you
    2:37:46 know, deer hunting rituals, things for sure. But the Aztecs, no, they just liked eating humans.
    2:37:50 It was part of the fear factor too. I mean, they could walk into a new town and be like,
    2:37:55 you guys could either send us, you know, a number of cats all feathers every month,
    2:38:00 or we could eat you. So that’s psychological warfare and actual warfare. It worked. And that’s
    2:38:06 how they spread. And they were just about to take over the Maya when the Spanish came and
    2:38:11 messed everything up. They had the Maya surrounded and they were about to take
    2:38:16 over the whole Yucatan. So you think without the Spanish, there would be this Aztec empire
    2:38:21 that would last for a very long time? I think there would have been an Aztec empire. I think
    2:38:27 they would have finished dominating everybody, but they did it through hate. And everybody hated
    2:38:34 the Aztecs. So it wouldn’t have lasted forever. They were not ruling justly. They were ruling
    2:38:41 by force and that can only go on so long before revolution happens. The Inca empire, I think
    2:38:47 that would have gone on forever because they were really community oriented. Once the Inca took over,
    2:38:55 like no one in the Inca empire starved. They built architecture. Everyone was safe. It was
    2:39:00 a society that could have lasted a long time. What was the origin of the Inca empire?
    2:39:08 Well, it was bloody at first, like most of them are. But once they started taking over,
    2:39:12 what they did is they empire built. Everybody else had just raided their neighbors to get
    2:39:19 the resources, but everybody they raided, they turned them into the Inca empire and they created
    2:39:28 this incredible Mita system where you took turns working and they created the road system so they
    2:39:35 could get groups of workers back and forth. So a town of let’s say 5,000 people. The Inca would
    2:39:42 roll up with an army of 100, 200,000 people and say, you know, would you guys like to be part of
    2:39:47 the empire? Or would you like us to escort you to the edge of the empire? And if your mayor here
    2:39:52 agrees, then he can have a town. He can have a house in Cusco. But then the very next month,
    2:40:00 a big work crew would show up and they’d start building agricultural terraces and storage units.
    2:40:09 And every month with the agricultural access, they would have big parties and everybody would eat.
    2:40:15 So people lived well in the Inca empire. It was a rough beginning, but everybody who agreed to be
    2:40:21 part of it immediately had access to a whole bunch of resources and security they never had.
    2:40:27 So they started in South America and Peru and Cusco. Cusco was like the center of it.
    2:40:35 Cusco in their language, Quechua, it means naval or belly button. And it’s up in the mountains.
    2:40:42 But there’s four quarters that they called their empire Tewantinsuyu, the land of four quarters.
    2:40:46 And the center of those four quarters was Cusco.
    2:40:55 It sprung to life in like 1200 ADC. Yeah, we backwards project what it was. But it was probably
    2:41:04 mid 1200s when the first Sapa Inca, the first ruler came in. But it was the, I think it’s the
    2:41:09 ninth one is Pachacute, who really started being an empire builder.
    2:41:16 And part of that, I mean, what really defined the empire? As you said, roads, they build a
    2:41:24 massive road network. Roads and in the same way that the Roman strategy of building roads and
    2:41:31 infrastructure and then every place they took over, they’d create certain key pieces of Roman
    2:41:36 architecture that kind of made that city Roman and they’d rename it something.
    2:41:41 The Inca did the same thing. They had certain signature
    2:41:47 Inca architecture that they would build in as the administrative part.
    2:41:54 They’d send the Kipu Kumayak, the guys who would weave the, or not the Kipus,
    2:42:02 as accountants. And they would go through and say, what everybody did, okay, you’re a good farmer,
    2:42:07 you’re going to farm, you are a good weaver, you’re going to weave, all the men here are going to take
    2:42:14 a turn at being part of the army. And they sent independent Kipu Kumayaks to that every community
    2:42:18 had like five or six that were not allowed to work with each other. And they all had to
    2:42:24 independently send their Kipus back to Cusco. And if there were accounting discrepancies,
    2:42:27 they were called to Cusco to figure out who was lying about what.
    2:42:31 So there’s like a super sophisticated record keeping system.
    2:42:36 Yeah. And that was the Kipu and the Spanish recorded what they could and then burned them all.
    2:42:42 But that’s an interesting development for an empire, because that allows you to really expand
    2:42:47 and have some kind of management, some level of control.
    2:42:52 Yeah, they couldn’t. At the end, they were at least 10 million people. And there was just no
    2:42:57 way to do that without some sort of sophisticated record keeping system.
    2:42:59 If the Inca had to face Aztec, who wins?
    2:43:00 Inca.
    2:43:02 Inca.
    2:43:06 I mean, the Aztecs were psychotic, but the Inca had just reserves for miles.
    2:43:10 And they had that essential hearts and minds.
    2:43:15 There was only one thing that everybody got pissed off about when they joined the Inca Empire.
    2:43:23 For some reason, everything was owned communally except the llamas. The llamas were the kings.
    2:43:29 And so that was one thing that like some of them would stay in town just to be work llamas,
    2:43:34 but you don’t own your llama anymore. And people are really attached to their llamas.
    2:43:40 To this day, they are like family members. So it’d be like everybody walked in and said,
    2:43:45 “Everybody’s family dog is now mine.” Really upset people on an emotional level.
    2:43:52 Well, I mean, so llamas are got domesticated at some point. Probably early on.
    2:43:54 I don’t even know when, but early on.
    2:44:03 We have rock art that progresses to make it seem like a progression from people depicted hunting
    2:44:10 them to people depicted standing next to pregnant ones. So it was still in that archaic period,
    2:44:15 at least, that they became friends. Yeah, but if you roll in and you own them, that’s…
    2:44:22 Yeah, that pissed everybody off. For some reason, the Inca owned everybody’s llama instantly.
    2:44:26 And he would take anything he wanted. A lot of them would just get carted away that day,
    2:44:31 just sent to Cusco. They’d also take their mummies. That was a weird thing.
    2:44:37 Everybody mourns they’re dead, but the Inca just ceased to accept it.
    2:44:40 They would just… The mummies were still there. “Okay, he’s dead, but look,
    2:44:42 he’s still got clothes. He’s at the party. Let’s put a beer in front of him.”
    2:44:50 They just kept people as mummies. And so the ancestral mummies of every town,
    2:44:58 part of the being absorbed into the empire, was, “Okay, your most important mummies are now
    2:45:05 going to have their own beautiful house in Cusco.” But they would physically bring those mummies to
    2:45:11 Cusco to make now Cusco the spiritual heart of their belief system.
    2:45:16 I mean, I can see how that would piss people off, but it’s also a pretty powerful way to
    2:45:23 say the ancestors that you idolize, that you respect, are now in the capital.
    2:45:29 They’ve been elevated. We didn’t steal them. We have given them a new place of honor.
    2:45:33 And you’re welcome to come visit them all the time. And they did. They have these festivals where
    2:45:38 everyone from all corners of the Inca world would come to Cusco.
    2:45:43 And which of the civilizations mummified people? Is it…
    2:45:48 The Incas for sure mummified people. And even did some of that kind of
    2:45:56 Egyptian-esque taking out of organs and preparing the body. They’d put straw inside the cavity and
    2:46:05 mummify them. But the Maya didn’t do it at all. The Maya, in fact, on purpose, would flood tombs
    2:46:13 with water so that the skin would float off the skeletons faster. And then they’d get back in there.
    2:46:18 It was jungly, so I think the bugs probably had part of it too. But then they would get back in
    2:46:24 there to get the bones. They’d open it back up and take the bones out and paint them with red
    2:46:30 cinnabar. The one that I was in in Copan, we had evidence that they had gone in there four different
    2:46:36 times. And the last couple of times, they only took the skull out and repainted it and then put it
    2:46:44 back in, articulated on the skeleton. But they didn’t mummify. They, on purpose, would grossly
    2:46:50 float the bodies so they could get the skin off faster and get to the bones.
    2:46:55 But would they keep the bones? Yeah, they’d keep the bones. And they’d pull the bones out occasionally
    2:47:00 and do rituals to them or commune with them and then put them back in.
    2:47:04 So there’s still a deep connection to the ancestors, through the physical manifestation
    2:47:08 of the ancestors then. Yeah. Whether mummified or bone.
    2:47:12 And to this day, if you do an excavation here in the United States,
    2:47:17 Native American people don’t like it. They don’t like their graves, which is fine enough.
    2:47:23 I wouldn’t want somebody digging up my grandma either. But the Maya, they love it. They love it.
    2:47:29 Every Maya person, if we find a grave, they’re like, “Yeah, look at that bone. It’s cool. Can I touch?”
    2:47:34 Yeah, great. They’re not spooked about it at all. They think it’s exciting. I one time,
    2:47:44 I helped out a physical anthropologist in town in Copan to get an osteology collection together
    2:47:50 of various animals. So if we got bones from an excavation, we could see what kind of animal
    2:47:59 it was based on the collection. And this family said, “Our family dog died last year and buried
    2:48:05 him in the backyard. You go dig him up.” And so we were like, “Okay, yeah. I mean, we do need a dog.
    2:48:09 We’ll go dig up your dog.” And they were like, “But the kids really want to help you.” So their
    2:48:14 kids came out. And this was like their puppy. And it died less than a year ago when we got
    2:48:21 to it. One of them just grabbed up a bone and he was like, “Wacy-sity-dose, little booty bones.
    2:48:28 Yay.” What a weird attitude. That’s your dead dog there. But they have a different relationship
    2:48:32 with the dead. It’s some sense. That’s a beautiful attitude, right? Yeah. Why
    2:48:36 pretend like we’re not mortal and there’s not. This is just the process of it.
    2:48:44 As you say it now, it kind of would be cool. That’s what Day of the Dead is all about. And
    2:48:49 I love Day of the Dead. Halloween’s this creepy thing where they’re all monsters. But Day of
    2:48:56 the Dead is this beautiful time where we remember our ancestors. I convinced my kids after the movie
    2:49:01 Coco came out. Now we have an altar with all of our great grandparents on the altar. And we talk
    2:49:06 about who they were and how they lived. And we put things on the altar that mattered in their life.
    2:49:12 And we remember them on that day. And it turned something that was a weird “eat too much candy”
    2:49:17 and “wear a monster mask” thing into something beautiful where we discuss where we came from.
    2:49:25 I have to ask about the giant stones that Inka has been able to somehow move and fit together
    2:49:31 perfectly. Do you understand, is it understood how they were able to do that so well?
    2:49:45 No. The moving of it, I think that we have reasonable theories. There are ways to pivot
    2:49:54 large weights. There’s a great guy named Wally Wallington, a retired contractor here in the U.S.
    2:50:02 who built Stonehenge in his backyard in Minnesota single-handedly, showing how
    2:50:07 you can move big stones. So I think Wally’s already figured out how to move them. It’s the
    2:50:15 perfectly fit, so carefully fit together that you couldn’t even put a dime in between the stones.
    2:50:21 That’s the one that I think still has people baffled. The common archaeological wisdom that
    2:50:28 you’d find out of a textbook is that they just kept packing away at it with hammer stones and
    2:50:35 setting them and resetting them until they were perfect, which has to be bullshit. There is no
    2:50:42 way that they just were that meticulous. I mean, everybody’s got a hammer stone. I personally
    2:50:49 think it’s acids. I think they melted them together. And there are weird places when you
    2:50:54 really look at closely to these stones, which I’ve done a number of times. I’m going back next
    2:51:02 month to Machu Picchu and especially Cusco. I walk around in the alleys where these 500 to
    2:51:14 1,000-year-old walls are still there. And I see things like the crystals in the andesite
    2:51:23 are almost stitched together along the seams. The andesite around it is melted and the crystals
    2:51:30 haven’t. And there are other places where there are weird wipes on the wall. It’s just
    2:51:38 melted. Somebody took a rag and wiped it while it was soft. Lots of talk about soft stones turning
    2:51:46 hard too. I haven’t been able to prove it. This is one of these end of my archaeological career
    2:51:52 chapters. I’m either going to prove myself wrong or prove it. But I think they used acids. My dad’s
    2:51:57 a chemist and he told me a long time ago that there’s no way there’s no naturally occurring acids.
    2:52:05 But my current theory, actually, I got the idea initially from the show Breaking Bad. I don’t know
    2:52:10 if you ever saw that show. But there’s a point in which they’re trying to dissolve a body
    2:52:16 and they’re using hydrofluoric acid and it goes right through the ceiling. That hydrofluoric acid
    2:52:24 is so fascinating. It won’t go through plastic and you can also bring it in inert parts and then
    2:52:35 combine it. The Inca made tons of jewelry out of fluorite. Fluorite is big in the andes. And they
    2:52:42 also mined a lot of things for gold and silver. And the byproduct of that mining is sulfuric acid.
    2:52:51 You put sulfuric acid and fluorite together and it’s hydrofluoric acid. And that will burn
    2:52:57 through andesite or anything. And if you learned how to do it judiciously and you didn’t care
    2:53:03 whether, you know, servants lost an arm or two, then you could actually use them to fuse these
    2:53:10 together. And I think they’re fused together. I asked the city of Cusco if I could take some
    2:53:19 core samples and they said, “Go away, Gringo. Don’t touch our walls.” So this next time,
    2:53:25 I’m going to go try to talk to the more Quechua authorities in a place called Oleantaytambo.
    2:53:32 And maybe I can convince them. But right now, they just think I’m a weird-ass Gringo who wants
    2:53:41 to put holes in their walls. I guess a fascinating theory. And so how could you get to the bottom
    2:53:46 of that? So getting core samples and see if there’s some kind of trace. Chemists I’m working with
    2:53:52 say that if there was hydrofluoric acid in between these that a core sample right along the seam,
    2:54:00 they can separate out the elements in there and detect whether there was actually elements of
    2:54:04 hydrofluoric acid. I wanted to go straight to burning rocks, but they were like, “No, I mean,
    2:54:09 we already know that’s true. I mean, yeah, we can burn some rocks.” But it would happen.
    2:54:14 And that’s just chemistry. We got to prove that it would happen in the walls. So go get us samples.
    2:54:19 And that was before COVID and all sorts of, you know, you know how it is, you probably are the
    2:54:25 same guy where you’ve got a thousand ideas and, you know, the ones that are fruitful you run with
    2:54:30 and the other ones you’ll get back to. That’d be fascinating if true. And I hope you do show
    2:54:37 that it’s true or follow either one. I’ll try to disprove it. Disprove it, yeah. I wonder if we
    2:54:46 discount how much amazing stuff a collection of humans can do. Because it just feels like
    2:54:54 if a large number of humans are just working a little bit chipping away at stuff, at scale,
    2:54:59 they can do miraculous things. So the question is, how can a large number of humans be motivated
    2:55:08 to do a thing? Because I just, when we think about like Stonehenger, some very challenging
    2:55:12 architectural construction, we don’t think about a large number of humans working together.
    2:55:19 Well, you know, that large number of humans are motivated to work together by a small number
    2:55:24 of administrators who are dynamic and convincing in some way or another. Right.
    2:55:29 One of my favorite quotes is, and I’m probably going to misquote it here, but I think it’s Margaret
    2:55:38 Mead who said, “Never underestimate the power of small groups working together.” And the truth is
    2:55:44 that those are the only people that have ever changed the world. That small, dedicated groups of
    2:55:50 people are what change the world. Yeah. And they inspire big groups of people to embrace their
    2:55:57 vision. Yeah. Yeah. I think we sometimes underestimate how much humans can do across time.
    2:56:02 And we are way less capable than we used to be. I mean, the average human had all sorts of skills
    2:56:09 that at least I personally do not. You know, I’m wearing a shirt, but I can’t make a shirt.
    2:56:15 That’s for somebody else to do. You’ve also lectured about,
    2:56:23 which I really enjoyed about North America, and also helped teach me that
    2:56:30 there was a lot more complex societies going on here for a long period of time.
    2:56:35 So maybe can we start at the beginning? Who were the early humans in North America?
    2:56:42 Well, we go through that Paleo-Indian and Archaic period for thousands of years. You know, as we
    2:56:50 started this conversation, probably 30,000 years is a conservative now, humans first entered the
    2:56:58 Americas. But the first cultures we get here are mound builders around the Mississippi and to the
    2:57:04 East, and then also a totally separate group in what we call the American Southwest now,
    2:57:11 the Four Corners, who will develop into mostly the people we call the Pueblo people who are
    2:57:18 still there today, like Zuni and Hopi people. So we’ve got these two clusters that the very first
    2:57:28 major community in North America is in the most unlikely place. It’s in Northern Louisiana. People
    2:57:34 think I’m crazy when I say this, but there is a pyramid in Northern Louisiana, a big one
    2:57:42 at a site called Poverty Point that is 3500 years old, so it’s the same age as the
    2:57:50 pyramids in Egypt. And it is a giant thing just poking out of the bayous of Louisiana.
    2:57:54 And people don’t believe me when I say it, but it’s there.
    2:57:59 The mound builders, what was that society like in comparison to everything else we’ve been talking
    2:58:04 about in Mesoamerica? They evolved over thousands of years. We call them mound builders. This is
    2:58:11 something I object to. I think we should have a better, we do, the last version of them we call
    2:58:17 the Mississippians now. But generally speaking, we call all these guys mound builders. But what
    2:58:23 they built were pyramids. They look like mounds now, and they didn’t build them out of stone.
    2:58:28 That’s kind of our just inherent Western bias. Something that’s built out of stone
    2:58:36 is sophisticated, and something that’s built out of dirt is rudimentary. But in their full
    2:58:43 living form, they did have cores of dirt, but then they also had kind of clay caps. So they had
    2:58:50 terraces. They had whole complexes of buildings up on top. There were kings that lived up there.
    2:58:57 There’s the biggest of the Mississippian cities. It’s called Cahokia, and it’s right outside of
    2:59:07 St. Louis. And it was huge. It had a population of 20,000 people and pyramids all over the place,
    2:59:16 a huge palisade wall around it. It was absolutely gigantic, a thriving metropolis. And we in America
    2:59:23 have kind of a collective amnesia. We never hear about these massive civilizations. Cahokia
    2:59:31 was the big first city, but then it spread from the Mississippi all the way to the Atlantic.
    2:59:38 There were hundreds and hundreds of these big cities that had 5,000 to 10,000 people each.
    2:59:44 Were they their own thing, or was there some kind of thread connecting all of them?
    2:59:50 They had a unified religion and culture. They were, again, not an empire. So there were warring
    2:59:57 city-states. There were kind of territories that were owned by big kings, and then the cities around
    3:00:06 them were kind of the subsidiary lords and kings. And then one kingdom could either ally with a
    3:00:14 neighbor or have a fight. So they were kind of countries, I think. We could safely say there
    3:00:22 were different countries within this patchwork that was eastern United States. And it’s so weird
    3:00:30 that we don’t know this, because it was clearly documented by the Spanish. I’m not talking about
    3:00:37 just archaeology. We find them in archaeology now. But Hernando de Soto landed in Florida and
    3:00:45 went for three years from—he went up into the Carolinas and over down into Alabama and Louisiana.
    3:00:51 And he’s the first one to see the Mississippi up there. But for three years, he went through
    3:00:59 city after city after city, unfortunately decimating them, eating all their corn, giving them diseases.
    3:01:08 But I mean, the documentation’s clearly there. He met collectively millions of people in a very
    3:01:16 sophisticated and uniform civilization. So it was disease and stealing of resources,
    3:01:23 but was there like explicit murdering going on? Unfortunately, yeah. He was a murderer and a
    3:01:32 psycho and a liar. He snowed them that he was some kind of deity, actually learned a trick from the
    3:01:38 Inca, who he was with Pizarro in his first run and went back to Spain, was rich, had a wife,
    3:01:45 a castle. Then he got bored and he decided to have a reign of terror on Northern America
    3:01:52 for three years. But he had people burned at the stake. He had his dogs ripped them apart.
    3:02:01 He was very, very brutal. He ruled that area through fear and had absolutely no respect for
    3:02:10 anybody. He made promises and broke them all the time. He was really—he was a brutal man.
    3:02:17 So this whole period when Christopher Columbus came, how did that change everything?
    3:02:26 Well, you know, there’s a great anthropological body of literature. It’s called the Columbian
    3:02:32 Exchange based on Columbus. But it’s all this trade back and forth between the new world and the
    3:02:39 old world. And the old world got just wonderful stuff. All of a sudden, their diet didn’t suck.
    3:02:49 All these vegetables came in. The new world got herd animals. It got pigs and cows and goats that
    3:02:57 it didn’t have. But it also got 13 infectious diseases. Europe had had wave after wave and
    3:03:02 kind of had herd immunity on a lot of things. But it didn’t actually go away. It just couldn’t
    3:03:09 spread like a wildfire through the community. So when they arrived to the Americas, all of a
    3:03:16 sudden, these just a pile of horrible diseases hit people. I think in the first 20, 30 years,
    3:03:24 there were people who like had contracted multiple deadly diseases at once and died of them. But
    3:03:31 the numbers, you know, it’s a shameful part of history. And it wasn’t something that Europe
    3:03:36 perpetrated on them. The medical science at that time was still the four humors theory
    3:03:42 that people were made of yellow bile, black bile, blood and phlegm. And we did things like,
    3:03:47 well, you’ve got to bleed him. He’ll feel better then. So we had no idea what an infectious disease
    3:03:54 was. But the reality was that this horde of diseases hit everyone. And the numbers are now
    3:04:03 saying in the first 50 years that 90% of everybody was dead. And that the the number of people has
    3:04:11 increased as well. As far as the our estimates, we’re thinking it’s somewhere around 150 million
    3:04:18 people. And 90% of them died. And with them all their knowledge, just I mean, imagine the moment
    3:04:25 where, you know, who dies when things get bad, it’s the young and the old. So all the knowledge
    3:04:34 keepers die suddenly. The children die. This next generation that’s half taught and now completely
    3:04:40 demoralized thinking that this is a spiritual attack, that their gods hate them, that the only
    3:04:47 way out of it is to to accept this new Christianity. But they, you know, they don’t have bring kids
    3:04:52 into this world where everybody’s dying. And even if they do, they can’t teach them what the old
    3:04:57 people were going to teach them because the old people are gone and didn’t finish the transmission.
    3:05:05 So in a in a single terrible moment in human history, you know, the generation loses all
    3:05:10 their knowledge. So a lot of the things that these people knew just blipped out.
    3:05:17 But with that also just the the wisdom of the entire civilizations.
    3:05:26 So much of what they knew was just lost at that moment. We have the Maya who had those hieroglyphs
    3:05:32 and that we’ve learned a lot from that. Yeah, but not a significant integration of that wisdom into.
    3:05:38 So it wasn’t when the Europeans came, it wasn’t like the cultures were integrated. It was
    3:05:46 a story of domination. In North America, there’s a new term in the literature that I like,
    3:05:53 we call it the the Mississippian Shatter Zone, that Mississippian civilization was millions of
    3:05:59 people, but they got spread out all over the place over the next centuries. And now we have this
    3:06:05 Shatter Zone where we have ruins and the people that were actually from those ruins are somewhere
    3:06:12 else on a reservation far away. And, you know, that I’m just about to talk to a Cherokee man who
    3:06:17 listened to some of the things I had to say and says all those Ho-Chunk things you were saying
    3:06:22 from that Ho-Chunk culture, my grandparents talk about this sort of thing too. Can I can I talk
    3:06:27 to you by phone and tell you about these things? So we’ve got the Shatter Zone where, you know,
    3:06:33 we’re going to try to put the piece, the puzzle back together, especially in terms of
    3:06:39 Mississippian religion. I really think we’re making headway in this generation and it’s exciting to
    3:06:45 be part of piecing this old religion and its mythology back together.
    3:06:50 Just as a lot of people kind of refer to Christopher Columbus as the person who
    3:06:59 discovered America, I read that the Vikings reached North America much earlier in 1000 CE.
    3:07:03 And why do you think they didn’t expand and colonize?
    3:07:12 Because they got their ass kicked. It’s the truth. It is absolutely true that the Vikings were here.
    3:07:20 There’s a there’s a great site in Nova Scotia called Lenzo Meadows, which definitely has what’s
    3:07:26 left of a Viking colony. It was Leif Erick and his father, Eric the Red, who they got kind of
    3:07:29 kicked out of Europe because they apparently couldn’t stop murdering people.
    3:07:35 And so they went to Greenland and then kind of island hopped over to
    3:07:39 Canada. But I think the culture that was in that area was named the Dorset.
    3:07:45 But they would have nothing to do with the Vikings. They attacked the Viking settlement
    3:07:51 every day and did not give them an inch until they decided it was just worthless and they left it.
    3:07:56 You know, the Vikings attacked Ireland and they just found a bunch of, you know,
    3:08:01 monasteries full of gold with a bunch of guys going, “We’re men of God. We don’t fight.”
    3:08:06 Vikings were like, “This is great. That’s great. This will be easy then. We’ll just
    3:08:11 loot all these Easter eggs.” But the Native Americans in Canada were like not having it.
    3:08:18 They kicked their ass. In fact, Leif Erickson’s brother Thor died there. The natives killed him.
    3:08:24 He was supposed to be in charge of expanding the settlement, but they just killed him.
    3:08:28 So a lot of the Native American cultures were also, I mean,
    3:08:30 they’re sophisticated, warring cultures also.
    3:08:37 Yes. They fought, especially the Mississippians. Boy, they were tough. And so were, you know,
    3:08:45 the Five Nations, the Mohawk, the Huron. The ones that kicked the Vikings ass up there,
    3:08:52 they were probably Algonquin speakers, but they were connected just above the Great Lakes.
    3:08:55 But they were all very tough people.
    3:09:02 When you think about the Spaniards and the Portuguese and the over 100 million people
    3:09:08 that were killed, do you see that as a tragedy of history or is it just the way of history?
    3:09:16 I think that the epidemics, I consider it a tragedy. That did not have to happen.
    3:09:20 And that was not, you know, that was not a fair fight. Nobody knew what to do about it.
    3:09:29 There was just a tragic, perfect storm of events. I think that the Spanish and the Portuguese get
    3:09:36 unfairly maligned in what’s been called the black legend that they just marched into America
    3:09:41 and murdered everyone. That’s not the fact. It was the diseases that murdered everyone.
    3:09:50 In fact, there was a really poignant story I read of a Spanish priest in the Amazon.
    3:09:55 In the Brazilian northern part of the Amazon, where he made this utopian community
    3:10:01 and he was bringing people in that were getting sick and he wrote, “I’m baptizing everyone.
    3:10:08 I baptize 10,000 people a day and yet God’s still killing them. Why is he doing this to them?
    3:10:13 They’re doing everything that I ask them to do. They are submitting to the will of God.
    3:10:19 But this guy doesn’t realize that the same bowl of holy water that he’s baptizing them in,
    3:10:24 he’s just wiping the disease on everybody’s faces. He’s accelerating it
    3:10:28 when he doesn’t even realize. He thinks he’s saving them, but he’s actually killing them.
    3:10:37 Yeah. That’s a tragedy. You know, that’s not just like spoils go to the victor stuff.
    3:10:44 That’s just straight up tragedy. Yeah. Yeah. But that one is hard to know what to do with like
    3:10:50 black death. It’s, I mean, infections, they don’t operate on normal human terms, right?
    3:11:00 They just go through entire populations. Back to wild ideas. All right. Just my style.
    3:11:09 I mean, we didn’t really talk about how life originated on earth or how humans have evolved.
    3:11:15 And we did talk about that there could be just a lot of stuff in ancient history
    3:11:21 we haven’t even uncovered yet. Do you think it’s possible that other
    3:11:27 intelligent civilizations from outside of earth, aliens, ever visited?
    3:11:34 You had me right until the ever visited thing. That one I’m not entirely sure about. I’m not
    3:11:40 sure whether we have any. We certainly have no archaeological proof that I would cite or
    3:11:49 contemplate as the evidence of such. But you know, the guys that discovered DNA, Watson and Crick,
    3:11:57 Watson, who actually habitually used hallucinogens to invigorate his thinking,
    3:12:05 he said that he thought that DNA on this planet was way too complex to have developed
    3:12:12 over the time period that it had at its disposal and that his guess was that our DNA was somehow
    3:12:19 seeded from outside of our planet. And, you know, take that for what it is. But the guy who
    3:12:26 we respect on many other levels also said that. So that’s interesting. But in terms of, you know,
    3:12:34 aliens visiting us, I don’t know. It does smack of a kind of human hubris that we think were important
    3:12:40 enough for some advanced species to give a shit about us. Statistically speaking, the universe
    3:12:45 is way too big. We can’t be the only sentient beings. There’s got to be somebody else out there.
    3:12:51 Whether they care about us, that’s a question. I’ve been on ancient aliens a number of times.
    3:12:58 I show up and, you know, I’m an educator, I mean, refusing to be part of the conversations and immediate
    3:13:04 fail in my book. But there was one time where they asked me at the end, you know, do you have
    3:13:13 anything else that you want to say? And I said, well, you know, y’all’s premise is that aliens came
    3:13:19 down a long time ago and they gave humanity these wonderful gifts of, you know, science and medicine,
    3:13:28 engineering, all these things. Today, we also have a lot of stories of the aliens coming down.
    3:13:34 But now all they’re doing is mutilating cows and sodomizing rednecks. Like, whatever we did,
    3:13:41 we superpissed them off, apparently. The quality of the gifts has decreased rapidly.
    3:13:49 It’s an interesting thought you’ve mentioned. What archaeologically would you have to see
    3:13:56 to be like, this might be an alien? A technology that doesn’t belong there,
    3:14:02 first and foremost. I mean, you know, we got to, if we just run with the premise that somebody
    3:14:08 was capable of making a vehicle that could get them from somewhere far away to here,
    3:14:15 that was almost certainly mechanical. Now, you know, I love the aliens thing where, you know,
    3:14:22 biomechanical is something that certainly could be. And that would, you know, that would disintegrate.
    3:14:28 We wouldn’t see that at all. But I would expect some kind of technology that showed up out of
    3:14:33 the blue and changed things. That would be something. But I would think, you know,
    3:14:38 mechanical or, you know, a substance that’s not from here.
    3:14:42 But of course, we would only see the results of that mechanical,
    3:14:46 you mean like literally a mechanical thing. Right. Some sort of thing like that.
    3:14:53 The typical thing people say is like, you know, how did they move these giant stones?
    3:14:59 Right? But, you know, just look at that on the face for a second. Aliens come from across the
    3:15:06 universe to meet humans. And the thing they tell them is how to move rocks. Are you fucking
    3:15:11 kidding me? I mean, you know, like, give them, give them antibiotics or a combustion engine
    3:15:14 or something. You’re going to, they should, they came across the universe and they showed
    3:15:22 them how to move big rocks. I mean, that doesn’t make any sense. That just doesn’t make any sense.
    3:15:28 What do you think Earth will look like 10,000 years from now?
    3:15:37 That’s an interesting question. I think it will be a lot more automated or it’ll be a
    3:15:42 smoldering pile. I mean, there is a possibility we could end ourselves. There’s always that
    3:15:50 possibility that we’ve really opened Pandora’s Box in some regards. I did listen to one of your
    3:15:56 podcast guests with the, what would happen in the case of nuclear war. That was chilling. Her
    3:16:02 opinion was certainly we would burn everything to a crisp within minutes apparently. So we,
    3:16:08 we have that capacity. That’s scary. That’s a possible future for us. But I’m an optimist.
    3:16:12 I, you know, I’d like to think that guys like you are going to make friendly robots who make
    3:16:23 my job better. But a thousand, 10,000 years is a long time. And technology is improving and
    3:16:29 becoming more advanced rapidly. And the rate of that improvement is increasing ever more.
    3:16:34 So that, that’s the part that frightens me actually. I don’t know, does that frighten you?
    3:16:39 Yes, terrifying. You know, I heard somebody say, I forget who it was, but you know,
    3:16:49 systems of any kind, human systems, biological systems can be put on a graph that’s change
    3:16:58 over time. And any graph that the change is way faster than the time and the,
    3:17:05 and the, the line starts going straight up, that is a system in crisis. In almost any
    3:17:12 biological system that has that fast a change over that little a time, you would, any, any other
    3:17:17 thing you’d describe it as a crisis. When you apply that chart to technologies change,
    3:17:24 it’s a crisis. From that perspective, absolutely. But I also have a faith in human
    3:17:32 ingenuity that we humans like to create a really difficult situation and then come up
    3:17:38 with ways to get out of that difficult situation. And in so doing, innovate and create a lot of
    3:17:45 awesome stuff and sometimes cause a lot of suffering. But on the whole, on average, make a
    3:17:52 better world. But yeah, if it, you know, like with nuclear weapons, the bad stuff might
    3:17:58 actually lead to the death of everybody. I guess there’s always that, that chance.
    3:18:03 But I am an optimist. I, you know, I think you’re an optimist too. I think exactly as you just said,
    3:18:10 I think that the greatest capacity of humans is our ability to innovate. And we are never more
    3:18:17 innovative than when we’re under distress. I think that a lot of the developments of humans
    3:18:23 over the last thousands of years have been about, you know, we didn’t, we didn’t change the world
    3:18:28 when we were comfortable. It was when we were in crisis. Mother necessity is the mother of
    3:18:36 invention. And I think we’ll be all right. I think that this impending climate crisis is real
    3:18:42 and happening. I actually personally think that I’m going to, I’m going to answer a question
    3:18:49 that you didn’t even ask me. I think we’re wasting our time thinking that we can reverse this.
    3:18:58 We’re delusional. I’m all for electric cars and, you know, being good stewards of the environment.
    3:19:06 But we are wasting our time not technologically adapting to what’s about to happen. We’re spending
    3:19:11 too much time pretending, you know, the average American thinks if we all just drive electric
    3:19:17 cars will be okay. That’s bullshit. That’s not going to happen. We need to start making technologies
    3:19:22 that desalinize water, that, you know, a host of things that, uh, that we need to use our
    3:19:29 technological past capacity to accept it and adapt instead of Pollyanna thinking we can
    3:19:37 make it go away. Yeah. Yeah. Kind of accept that the world will change and a lot of big
    3:19:44 problems will arise and just develop technology that addresses them. I think you have some guys
    3:19:48 that have their finger on the pulse there. We need to start thinking about how we’re going to survive
    3:19:54 this, not that we’re going to make it go away. And I just survive, thrive. Again, we’re pretty
    3:20:00 innovative in that regard. But if some catastrophic thing happens, or we just leave this planet,
    3:20:10 what, uh, what do you think would be found by a four mentioned alien civilizations when they visit
    3:20:17 the anthropologists, the grad student anthropologists that visit earth and study? How much of what we
    3:20:21 now have and love and think of as human civilization will be lost, do you think?
    3:20:28 Well, you know, time moves on and things that are perishable perish. So, you know,
    3:20:35 you didn’t put a time element in there, but I would say that, you know, everything that can
    3:20:41 perish will and whoever shows up here will be stuck with only the things that didn’t perish.
    3:20:46 So we’ll have, you know, buildings, plaques, but they won’t have any books. They won’t have any,
    3:20:53 you know, billboards. They’ll have the incomplete record I have. I one time did a,
    3:21:03 did a talk in Sioux Falls and I said, you know, I drove in here and there was a big obelisk
    3:21:12 in front of the town. And everywhere I go, I see the names Lewis and Clark. And a thousand years
    3:21:16 from now, if I was an archaeologist investigating this place, I would think that it was founded
    3:21:23 by the Egyptians and their kings were named Lewis and Clark. But the truth is, you know, Lewis and
    3:21:30 Clark stayed one night here, but it’s just a big deal. So I would be so wrong about what I thought
    3:21:36 about your town based on what preserved. It’s so beautiful as a thought experiment. Like, what
    3:21:43 would archaeologists be really wrong about? And what would they could possibly be right about?
    3:21:49 Washington DC was clearly made by a combination of the Egyptians and the Greeks and the Romans,
    3:21:54 because that’s what all the architecture is. Yeah. And would they be able to reconstruct
    3:22:00 the important empires, the powerful empires and the warring empires?
    3:22:07 For that matter, have me and my colleagues done that at all. I’m almost certain that the Maya would
    3:22:13 just gut laugh at what I think I know what they were. I wonder, do you ever think about like what
    3:22:18 we just as a human civilization are wrong about the most like mainstream archaeology?
    3:22:23 Just like a suspicion. What could we get completely wrong?
    3:22:31 Well, one way to get something wrong is totally like lost civilization, like an obviously gigantic
    3:22:37 civilization that was there along with the Maya or something like this in the 10,000 years ago.
    3:22:42 There’s certainly that. There could be things that were either wiped away or still hiding under
    3:22:47 the oceans that would completely change the way we think about things. And everybody knew they
    3:22:53 existed and everybody interacted with them. I think it’s our estimation of their motivations
    3:23:00 that were probably most wrong on. My teacher, Shealy, a long time ago said, I’ve come up with
    3:23:03 all sorts of theories. I was always thinking about stuff. And she looked at me and she said,
    3:23:11 “If you don’t stop thinking like a Western European and start trying to put yourself in
    3:23:17 the mindset of these people, you will never understand any of it.” Which I’ve always taken
    3:23:23 to heart. I mean, I really do. When I approach these things, I try to step out of my cultural
    3:23:29 assumptions, try to think like they would think is the best I could. And it’s very different.
    3:23:36 I mean, the Maya are cyclical. The whole sacrifice was so obsessed with that. But
    3:23:43 that wasn’t a steer actual sacrifice on their part. They weren’t just, “Hey, let’s all get
    3:23:49 together and kill that guy that’s pissing us off.” I mean, they were giving the best of them.
    3:23:56 It was a different mentality. This was not brutal. This was a bona fide sacrifice on their part,
    3:24:03 a loss. Plus, the whole mystery of the puppy that eventually starts having sex with it.
    3:24:07 I tell you, that one, I’m going to unweave that one one of these days.
    3:24:14 One of these days. Now, that puppy appeared on Pottery. All over Pottery. He’s everywhere.
    3:24:19 I got to write this book. This next year is the year I’m going to write my Fang Deity book.
    3:24:26 And I will have a whole chapter dedicated to the puppy. The mystery solved. I mean,
    3:24:31 it could just be the birth of memes of humor. I don’t know. I mean, again, humor. You don’t
    3:24:36 know what the nature of their humor or what their jokes are. Oh, that’s a neat one too.
    3:24:44 Then that’s so human. I’ll tell you a little side story here that when I worked with the Maya people
    3:24:50 in Palenque, I spent three years making this map of the city and hiking through the jungle every day.
    3:24:56 And they would talk to each other in their own language. It was Celtal was the group I was working
    3:25:01 with. But I noticed after a while, they were big jokers. They loved to make jokes and they would
    3:25:07 laugh at jokes. But then they would also, one of them would say something and the other ones would
    3:25:12 go, “Hoo-hoo.” And I eventually asked, “What is that? Why do you guys always make that hoo-hoo noise?”
    3:25:19 And they said, “That’s ’cause he made a really smart pun.” It was like he said three different
    3:25:24 things at once. It was a turn of phrase that was smart. And they didn’t make laughs at that. It was
    3:25:31 there. They had a noise for when somebody said something just super clever. So there’s also that,
    3:25:37 like, you know, just clever turn of speech. Yeah, wit. And I think about that when I’m a
    3:25:43 hieroglyphic translator. Like, here’s a beautiful thing that’s going to be like a poem or a
    3:25:50 political statement. Like, and I’m just ploddingly looking in a dictionary of what that word means.
    3:25:55 There’s probably double triple entendres all through this text. And the real meaning is the
    3:26:00 subtext. And I’m, you know, I’m thinking they’re talking about corn and they’re talking about the
    3:26:06 nature of life. Yeah, it could be satire. It could be, you know, as it was in the Soviet Union,
    3:26:11 when there’s a dictator, maybe there’s overpowering king, you’re not allowed to actually speak.
    3:26:19 You have to hide the thing you’re actually trying to say in the subtext. So, and all of that.
    3:26:25 There was a funny Maya ceramic that had the ceramics are neat because they don’t,
    3:26:32 the monuments can be kind of broken records. I’m the king. I was born this time. I beat these
    3:26:37 people up, but married this woman. I died. But the ceramics will tell us like things out of
    3:26:43 mythology stories. And there was this one with a rabbit looking at the merchant god. And nobody
    3:26:48 could translate the text. And finally, this Eastern European, actually a Ukrainian guy
    3:26:57 translated it. And the rabbit saying to the merchant god, bend over and smell my ass.
    3:27:03 And like, oh man, we were expecting this wonderful piece of mythology, but no,
    3:27:08 it translates bend over and smell my ass. That’s great. That’s human.
    3:27:14 As we mentioned previously, human nature does not change. You mentioned the blanket mapping it.
    3:27:18 That’s just out of curiosity. What is that process like? It seems fascinating.
    3:27:25 Oh, it was a great adventure. I loved it, but it was difficult. I woke up every morning
    3:27:30 thinking, I will be hurt today somehow. I don’t know how, I don’t know how badly,
    3:27:34 where on my body it will occur, but it’s going to happen because it was the jungle.
    3:27:40 So in the jungle, what’s the process like? What do you have to do to map it?
    3:27:46 Well, it was tricky too, because it was also a national forest. So the forestry department
    3:27:51 didn’t want us to cut down anything more than we had to. So we basically just cut tunnels through
    3:27:57 the foliage and I would, we’d map everything twice. The first thing we do is I’d go in,
    3:28:04 find a building, draw it on a piece of graph paper and I’d say like, you know, you guys go north,
    3:28:09 you guys go east, west, find other buildings. And when you find them, pace back to this one.
    3:28:16 And so I’d start making a map and I’d make the whole, one piece of graph paper was enough to,
    3:28:21 then we’d bring the machine in. We’d bring the laser theodolite and get really accurate information.
    3:28:26 But on that piece of paper, I would write like, don’t bring the machine this way,
    3:28:30 there’s a tree fall or stand on top of this building and you’ll see four different buildings
    3:28:37 it wants from this one. And all of this is in dense jungle. Right. And the deeper we got off
    3:28:42 the road, the deeper it was, sometimes it would clear out, but certain places, if it was low,
    3:28:48 it would be such thick vegetation and it would grow back so fast. Sometimes
    3:28:56 we would cut just tunnels through tall grass and we’d come back like five days later
    3:29:03 and they were gone. We couldn’t even find where our trails were. They would grow back that fast.
    3:29:07 But you see the building so you could see. Right. And that was the fun part. I mean,
    3:29:11 sometimes it would just be like a little neighborhood with little low buildings no
    3:29:16 bigger than this table. But sometimes, you know, just five more meters in and I’m standing under
    3:29:22 a pyramid that nobody had ever mapped. Like, wow, I’ve just found another one. And some days,
    3:29:30 you know, on good days, we’d find three pyramids. And I felt that’s such a more exciting job than
    3:29:36 the typical excavations. My buddies were all just, you know, in a hole for the whole week in the
    3:29:40 middle of the city and where I’m dancing around through the jungle, I could find, you know,
    3:29:43 10 buildings today. I might find a pyramid today. Who knows?
    3:29:46 What’s that feel like to find like a pyramid or buildings that
    3:29:52 you’re one of the only humans that are not from that civilization to ever see this thing?
    3:29:57 What’s that? What’s that feel like? It’s great. I love that feeling. I am, you know,
    3:30:04 I’m an explorer at heart. So finding something like that, you know, when I was 25 years old,
    3:30:11 I found a whole Maya city. I got to name it. Its name is Masha’a. It’s often the Belizean jungle.
    3:30:18 And that was just outrageous. I mean, it almost had that one almost depressed me.
    3:30:25 I was, my entire, like, I had this great life ambition that I would find a lost city.
    3:30:31 And then I did it at 25. And I was like, God, now what do I do? That was supposed to take
    3:30:37 me my whole life. I actually, I wrote a bunch of letters to NASA, trying to get them to let
    3:30:43 me be the first archaeologist on Mars. I never got a single reply back. I’m sure I’m on NASA’s
    3:30:54 list is some weirdo. How’d you find a Mayan city? I used a topography map of the area and I played
    3:31:00 the game. If I was a Maya, where would my favorite place to live in this big area be? I looked for
    3:31:07 the biggest mountain because they call all of their pyramids, toon, wheat, stone mountains.
    3:31:12 I knew they loved mountains. And when I found that mountain, there were two others right next to it
    3:31:17 that made a triangle. And they love those triads. And there were rivers in between them. And I thought,
    3:31:24 that’s it. That’s where I would build the city. And I hiked out there over two seasons with students,
    3:31:30 the other grad students were like, he’s just having his students just wandering the jungle all day.
    3:31:38 But I came back with a city. So given that you’ve looked into the deep past of humanity,
    3:31:44 what gives you hope about our future? Maybe our deep future of this human civilization?
    3:31:53 That’s a good one. And I do have hope. I do have hope. I believe in the spirit of humankind. I
    3:31:59 as a person who have studied history, I kind of feel like history does kind of a sine wave.
    3:32:07 There’s highs and there’s lows, but no matter how low we go, we get up again and we climb.
    3:32:13 And I think that humanity will continue that. We will rise to the challenges. Now,
    3:32:20 some of the challenges may be created by ourselves as well, but we will adapt and overcome. That’s
    3:32:29 what we do. Yeah, humans find a way. That’s the thing you see with history. When the
    3:32:36 empires collapse, the humans that come out of that, they pick themselves up and
    3:32:42 find another way. And the people I study believe in the cyclical nature of life that you really can’t,
    3:32:48 life can’t continue without death being part of the cycle. We get their lows, we get our highs, but
    3:32:55 the cycle continues forever. I should mention that you have a lot of great lectures on the
    3:33:04 great courses, but you have also an amazing podcast, RKOEd. If people want to listen to it,
    3:33:13 this is a tough question, but what would you recommend? What episodes should they listen to?
    3:33:20 Oh, that is a tough question. What is the sampling? It’s like asking a chef what’s the
    3:33:27 best stuff on the menu. Well, different strokes for different folks. I do two different things
    3:33:32 on that podcast. Sometimes I just teach about cultures that you’ve never heard about. I love,
    3:33:36 I start off by saying it’s my podcast and I’ll talk about whatever the heck I want to talk about.
    3:33:44 Sometimes I talk about really specific things like a tool type or an animal type, but my favorite
    3:33:49 ones have become when I just tell my stories of my adventures. I’ve got a lot of weird adventure
    3:33:56 stories and it’s been fun and they’ve been very well received. I can put my humor in there and
    3:34:02 I can talk about the things that went right, the things that went wrong, the adventures that I had
    3:34:10 are all part of this RKOEd thing. RKOEd is kind of a double entendre. It’s me, I’m just Ed,
    3:34:17 but it’s also education. What I’m really trying to do with this too, it’s specifically the Americas.
    3:34:23 I want to be part of the reawakening that there were these great civilizations here,
    3:34:31 especially North America. I think that we have a group amnesia that there was no great civilizations
    3:34:38 here before Europe showed up. That’s simply not true. I think it should be part of our history
    3:34:46 books. In fact, I have a program called Before the Americas that would introduce, as part of
    3:34:53 American history, the part before European contact. I think that kids in the K through 12 level should
    3:35:03 grow up not being told this fallacy that no one was here before we showed up in 1492. One of these
    3:35:09 days, I’m going to find a funder to help us put together Before the Americas. We’re going to make
    3:35:15 it part of the curriculum for every kid in the US to know the full history of this country.
    3:35:21 That’s a great project. Ed, thank you so much. Thank you for talking today. Thank you for all
    3:35:27 the fascinating ideas that you put onto the world. I can’t wait to hear your new course.
    3:35:30 Thank you so much, Lex. It was a real pleasure.
    3:35:35 Thanks for listening to this conversation with Ed Barnhart. To support this podcast,
    3:35:41 please check out our sponsors in the description. And now let me leave you some words from Joseph
    3:35:49 Campbell. Life is but a mask worn on the face of death and is death then but another mask.
    3:35:57 How many can say asks the Aztec poet that there is or is not a truth beyond.
    3:36:09 Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time.
    3:36:18 [Music]

    Ed Barnhart is an archaeologist and explorer specializing in ancient civilizations of the Americas. He is the Director of the Maya Exploration Center, host of the ArchaeoEd Podcast, and lecturer on the ancient history of North, Central, and South America. Ed is in part known for his groundbreaking work on ancient astronomy, mathematics, and calendar systems.
    Thank you for listening ❤ Check out our sponsors: https://lexfridman.com/sponsors/ep446-sc
    See below for timestamps, transcript, and to give feedback, submit questions, contact Lex, etc.

    Transcript:
    https://lexfridman.com/ed-barnhart-transcript

    CONTACT LEX:
    Feedback – give feedback to Lex: https://lexfridman.com/survey
    AMA – submit questions, videos or call-in: https://lexfridman.com/ama
    Hiring – join our team: https://lexfridman.com/hiring
    Other – other ways to get in touch: https://lexfridman.com/contact

    EPISODE LINKS:
    Ed’s YouTube: https://youtube.com/@archaeoedpodcast
    Ed’s Website: https://archaeoed.com/
    Maya Exploration Center: https://mayaexploration.org
    Ed’s Lectures on The Great Courses: https://thegreatcoursesplus.com/edwin-barnhart
    Ed’s Lectures on Audible: https://adbl.co/4dBavTZ
    2025 Mayan Calendar: https://mayan-calendar.com/

    SPONSORS:
    To support this podcast, check out our sponsors & get discounts:
    MasterClass: Online classes from world-class experts.
    Go to https://masterclass.com/lexpod
    Shopify: Sell stuff online.
    Go to https://shopify.com/lex
    NetSuite: Business management software.
    Go to http://netsuite.com/lex
    AG1: All-in-one daily nutrition drinks.
    Go to https://drinkag1.com/lex
    Notion: Note-taking and team collaboration.
    Go to https://notion.com/lex

    OUTLINE:
    (00:00) – Introduction
    (08:59) – Lost civilizations
    (16:04) – Hunter-gatherers
    (19:36) – First humans in the Americas
    (29:28) – South America
    (34:57) – Pyramids
    (42:01) – Religion
    (55:05) – Shamanism
    (57:02) – Ayahuasca
    (1:03:15) – Lost City of Z
    (1:08:09) – Graham Hancock
    (1:15:11) – Uncontacted tribes
    (1:21:12) – Maya civilization
    (1:37:00) – Mayan calendar
    (1:52:17) – Flood myths
    (2:20:46) – Aztecs
    (2:38:12) – Inca Empire
    (2:56:13) – Early humans in North America
    (3:02:10) – Columbus
    (3:06:46) – Vikings
    (3:10:55) – Aliens
    (3:15:23) – Earth in 10,000 years
    (3:31:33) – Hope for the future

    PODCAST LINKS:
    – Podcast Website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast
    – Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr
    – Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8
    – RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/
    – Podcast Playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLrAXtmErZgOdP_8GztsuKi9nrraNbKKp4
    – Clips Channel: https://www.youtube.com/lexclips

  • #445 – Vivek Ramaswamy: Trump, Conservatism, Nationalism, Immigration, and War

    AI transcript
    0:00:04 The following is a conversation with Vivek Ramaswamy about the future of conservatism
    0:00:10 in America. He has written many books on this topic, including his latest called Truths the
    0:00:16 Future of America First. He ran for president this year in the Republican primary and is
    0:00:21 considered by many to represent the future of the Republican Party. Before all that,
    0:00:27 he was a successful biotech entrepreneur and investor with a degree in biology from Harvard
    0:00:34 and a law degree from Yale. As always, when the topic is politics, I will continue talking to people
    0:00:42 on both the left and the right with empathy, curiosity, and backbone. And now a quick few
    0:00:47 second mention of each sponsor. Check them out in the description. It’s the best way to support
    0:00:54 this podcast. We’ve got Saley for international roaming data, BetterHelp for mental health,
    0:00:58 Natsuite for business management software, ground news for cutting through the media,
    0:01:04 bias, and aid sleep for naps. She’s wise, my friends. Also, if you want to get in touch with me for
    0:01:10 whatever reason, there’s a million reasons, and they’re all nicely categorized. Go to lexfreedom.com/contact.
    0:01:15 And now onto the full ad reads. As always, no ads in the middle. I try to make these interesting,
    0:01:20 but if you skip them, please still check out our sponsors. I enjoy their stuff. Maybe you will too.
    0:01:28 This episode is brought to you by Saley, a brand new eSIM service app offering several
    0:01:34 affordable data plans in over 150 countries. I recently had a conversation with Peter Levels,
    0:01:39 Levels.io, who’s traveled across the world and been exceptionally productive while traveling
    0:01:49 across the world. So this may come off as being a total travel noob. But two things that came to me
    0:01:55 as troublesome or difficult as a travel noob when I’m traveling to all kinds of locations and I’m
    0:02:03 trying to be productive. One is power. So power cables, all the adapters you have to keep in
    0:02:10 mind and making sure your equipment is able to plug into the outlet without frying anything.
    0:02:15 In fact, I had a funny experience with that or not so funny about frying my equipment when I’m
    0:02:21 doing a podcast abroad. Anyway, so power and figuring that out is actually not trivial. And
    0:02:27 related to that is figuring out which electronics stores to go to to get equipment and how to find
    0:02:32 those stores. And to find those stores, you need to have good internet. And that takes me to the
    0:02:40 second issue that you run into when traveling is just getting good internet in any country in any
    0:02:47 location. So that’s what salee helps you out with. They have a great data plan, easy to use, minimize
    0:02:52 roaming fees while constantly being connected. And so when you’re traveling, you’re not desperately
    0:03:00 holding on to that sweet, sweet airport Wi Fi. Before you take a leap out into the unknown
    0:03:07 when there’s no Wi Fi here. Thanks to salee, you can stay connected. Go to salee.com slash lex and
    0:03:12 choose the one gigabyte salee data plan to get it for free. That’s salee.com slash lex to get
    0:03:21 one free gig of salee. All right, this episode is also brought to you by better help spelled H-E-L-P
    0:03:27 help. Have you seen the movie? One flew over the cuckoo’s nest. It’s a good movie. I really should
    0:03:32 read the book. I haven’t read the book. I really want to read the book. But I think there’s something
    0:03:38 also magical about the performances in the movie, just pure genius. Anyway, the performances in the
    0:03:44 movie reveal the various manifestations of insanity, including the insanity of the people
    0:03:50 running the institutions. There’s all kinds of insanities that humans are capable of. Why do I
    0:03:59 say this? I believe talking is one of the ways to reverse engineer how the insanity came to be
    0:04:06 in the first place. I would have loved to be inside one flew over the cuckoo’s nest and talk to those
    0:04:13 characters and talk to those human beings. In fact, I gravitate towards people with that kind of
    0:04:19 complexity in their mind. You know, when I traveled across the country and in general when I travel,
    0:04:23 I gravitate towards people like the homeless people outside of 7-Eleven and have a genuine
    0:04:28 non-judgmental, just open-hearted conversation with them. I like talking to regular people.
    0:04:36 I like talking to people who, I don’t know, do something real for a living. I don’t mean to
    0:04:47 judge white collar and tech jobs, but I just mean manual labor jobs. Just people with their eyes,
    0:04:55 their hands, their feet, their whole way of being shows aware and tear, shows the journey sort of
    0:05:02 well-lived and hard-lived. I like those people. And I really want to talk to those people on a
    0:05:09 podcast, but more than anything, forget the mics. I just like talking to them. Just as one human to
    0:05:15 another. Anyway, I say all that is, conversation is a really powerful thing. And if you want to
    0:05:24 take conversation seriously as a way to heal your particular mental malady, consider using
    0:05:29 BetterHelp. Check them out at betterhelp.com/lex and save on your first month that’s betterhelp.com/lex.
    0:05:36 This episode is also brought to you by Netsuite, an all-in-one cloud business management system.
    0:05:42 I just recently did an episode on the history of Marxism. And what really struck me is that the
    0:05:51 19th century was a battleground of radical ideas. And I think it’s popular in a modern political
    0:06:00 discourse to label, frankly, moderate ideas as radical, sort of in our rhetoric, radicalize
    0:06:09 the rhetoric and push towards the moderate, our actual policies and ideas. And it’s interesting
    0:06:16 to look back at the 19th century, the industrialized world that doesn’t have enough data on what
    0:06:21 large-scale implementation of ideas would actually look like. It’s interesting to see
    0:06:28 those ideas battle each other out in their most radical form. So that really opened up my eyes
    0:06:36 to sort of honestly embody and consider and walk a mile in the shoes of a particular idea,
    0:06:42 whether that’s communism or capitalism. Because capitalism does have flaws,
    0:06:50 but it is the thing that has given us much of the improved quality of life that we see around
    0:06:57 us today. I think it’s a fascinating complex question of why there’s a large collection of
    0:07:07 humans when free to compete do a pretty good job. It’s fascinating. And that’s every time I talk about
    0:07:12 NetSuite, that’s what I’m thinking about. How does a large collection of humans, different departments,
    0:07:19 different tasks, how do they all collaborate efficiently, effectively, under the deadlines,
    0:07:26 under the stress, under the shadow of the reality that if the business does not sell a lot of
    0:07:31 stuff and make a lot of money, it’s going to fail. And all those people will lose their jobs.
    0:07:39 It’s stressful and it’s beautiful. Anyway, over 37,000 companies have upgraded to NetSuite by Oracle
    0:07:45 to take advantage of NetSuite’s flexible financing plan at netsuite.com/lex. That’s netsuite.com/lex.
    0:07:53 This episode is brought to you by Ground News, a nonpartisan news aggregator that I use to compare
    0:08:00 media coverage from across the political spectrum. The point is to see every side of every story
    0:08:06 and you, you, the listener, come to your own conclusion. This is one of the problems I have
    0:08:11 with people that are against platforming certain voices. I believe in the intelligence of the
    0:08:17 listener to decipher the truth. And sometimes that doesn’t come immediately. Sometimes it comes over
    0:08:25 time. But I do think that it is the responsibility of a host, of an interviewer, to challenge the
    0:08:30 audience, to push the audience, to not just listen to this particular person, but to listen to
    0:08:36 other people that disagree with this person, to listen to different voices and different
    0:08:43 perspectives and consider both the possibility that this person is completely right or completely
    0:08:50 wrong and walk about with those two possibilities together. So don’t get captured by a particular
    0:08:57 ideology. Give yourself time to accept the ideology and to accept the steelman against
    0:09:05 the ideology. And existing in that superposition of truths, try to figure out where in that gray
    0:09:13 area is your own understanding of the path forward. Because unlike what politicians claim,
    0:09:19 I don’t think there’s a right or an easy or a clear answer for the problems that we face
    0:09:25 as a human civilization. In fact, the division I think that we’re seeing online on the internet
    0:09:31 between the politicians is our best attempt at trying to, through the tension of discourse,
    0:09:36 figuring out what the hell are we doing here? How do we solve this? How do we make a better
    0:09:42 world? So anyway, ground news does a great job of delivering the metrics that give you the context
    0:09:49 of like, okay, how biased is this particular story? So they can kind of help you in consuming
    0:09:55 that new story to understand where it’s coming from. It’s trying to clearly, in an organized way,
    0:10:02 deliver to you the perspective on the truth grounded in the context of the bias
    0:10:08 from which that perspective comes from. Okay. And there’s a lot of other features that are
    0:10:12 super interesting. I’m glad they exist. I’m glad they’re doing the work they’re doing. It’s extremely
    0:10:18 important. Go to groundnews.com/lex to get 40% off the ground news vantage plan,
    0:10:27 giving you access to all of their features. That’s ground, G-R-O-U-N-D, news.com/lex.
    0:10:35 This episode is also brought to you by ASleep and it’s Pod4Ultra. Cools or heats up each side
    0:10:40 of the bed separately. Speaking of the amazing things that capitalism brought to our world,
    0:10:48 they increasingly make naps more and more magical. The ultra part of the Pod4Ultra
    0:10:54 adds the “base” that goes between the mattress and the bed frame. It can elevate, control the
    0:11:01 positioning of the bed, which is another fascinating piece of technology. And so you can sort of read
    0:11:05 in bed, you can watch TV, all that kind of stuff. But I think the killer feature, the most amazing
    0:11:11 feature is the cooling the bed, a cold bed with a warm blanket, one of my favorite things in the
    0:11:17 world. For a nap, for a full night’s sleep, all of that. I don’t know if I’m doing something wrong.
    0:11:24 I don’t care. I’m a scientist of N of 1 of myself when it comes to health, when it comes to nutrition,
    0:11:30 when it comes to all of that. I integrate the advice from all of my friends, all of the scientific
    0:11:35 literature and podcasts and all that kind of stuff from out there. But at the end of the day,
    0:11:39 I take all of that with a grain of salt and just kind of listen to my body and see what works. And
    0:11:49 for me, naps are magical. I think they’re essential for my productivity. I go hard in the first few
    0:11:56 hours of the day, usually four, four hours of deep work. And after that, there’s a bit of a crash,
    0:12:02 just because it’s so exhausting. And a nap solves that like trivially, 15, 20 minutes.
    0:12:08 Sometimes I’ll pop a caffeine pill before the nap or drink the coffee before the nap and I wake up,
    0:12:14 boom, ready to go again. I don’t know if I can do that without the nap. I honestly don’t. And so,
    0:12:19 so thank you, 8 Sleep. And thank you for the magic of naps. Go to 8sleep.com/lex and use code
    0:12:27 Lex to get $350 off the pod for Ultra. This is Alex from the podcast. To support it,
    0:12:34 please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, dear friends, here’s the Vec from Oswami.
    0:12:56 You are one of the great elucidators of conservative ideas. So you’re the perfect
    0:13:02 person to ask, what is conservatism? What’s your, let’s say, conservative vision for America?
    0:13:09 Well, actually, this is one of my criticisms of the modern Republican Party in direction
    0:13:15 of the conservative movement is that we’ve gotten so good at describing what we’re against.
    0:13:21 There’s a list of things that we could rail against, wokeism, transgender ideology,
    0:13:27 climate ideology, COVIDism, COVID policies, the radical Biden agenda, the radical Harris
    0:13:32 agenda, the list goes on. But actually, what’s missing in the conservative movement right now
    0:13:37 is what we actually stand for. What is our vision for the future of the country?
    0:13:42 And I saw that as a deficit at the time I started my presidential campaign. It was in many ways the
    0:13:48 purpose of my campaign, because I do feel that that’s why we didn’t have the red wave in 2022.
    0:13:53 So they tried to blame Donald Trump, they tried to blame abortion, they blamed a bunch of individual
    0:14:00 specific issues or factors. I think the real reason we didn’t have that red wave was that
    0:14:04 we got so practiced at criticizing Joe Biden that we forgot to articulate who we are and what
    0:14:10 we stand for. So what do we stand for as conservatives? I think we stand for the ideals
    0:14:18 that we fought the American Revolution for in 1776. Ideals like merit, right, that the best person
    0:14:23 gets the job without regard to their genetics, that you get ahead in this country, not on the color
    0:14:28 of your skin, but on the content of your character, free speech and open debate, not just as some sort
    0:14:34 of catchphrase, but the idea that any opinion, no matter how heinous, you get to express it in the
    0:14:39 United States of America, self-governance. And this is a big one right now, is that the people we
    0:14:43 elect to run the government, they’re no longer the ones who actually run the government. We,
    0:14:48 in the conservative movement, I believe should believe in restoring self-governance, where it’s
    0:14:52 not bureaucrats running the show, but actually elected representatives. And then the other,
    0:14:56 the other ideal that the nation was founded on that I think we need to revive, and I think as a
    0:15:02 north star of the conservative movement, is restoring the rule of law in this country.
    0:15:05 You think about even the abandonment of the rule of law at the southern border.
    0:15:10 It’s particularly personal to me as the kid of legal immigrants to this country. You and I actually
    0:15:17 share a couple of aspects in common in that regard. That also though means your first act of entering
    0:15:22 this country can’t break the law. So there’s some policy commitments and principles, merit, free
    0:15:27 speech, self-governance, rule of law. And then I think culturally what does it mean to be a
    0:15:35 conservative is it means we believe in the anchors of our identity, in truth, the value of the
    0:15:43 individual, family, nation, and God, beat race, gender, sexuality, and climate if we have the
    0:15:47 courage to actually stand for our own vision. And that’s a big part of what’s been missing.
    0:15:52 And it’s a big part of not just through the campaign, but through a lot of my future advocacy.
    0:15:57 That’s the vacuum I’m aiming to fill. Yeah, we’ll talk about each of those issues. Immigration,
    0:16:03 the growing bureaucracy of government, religion is a really interesting topic,
    0:16:10 something you’ve spoken about a lot. But you’ve also had a lot of really tense debates. So
    0:16:15 you’re a perfect person to ask to steal me on the other side. So let me ask you about progressivism.
    0:16:19 Can you steal me on the case for progressivism and left-wing ideas?
    0:16:24 Yeah, so look, I think the strongest case, particularly for left-wing ideas in the United
    0:16:31 States or in the American context, is that the country has been imperfect in living up to its
    0:16:35 ideals. So even though our founding fathers preached the importance of life, liberty and the pursuit
    0:16:40 of happiness and freedom, they didn’t practice those values in terms of many of our founding
    0:16:46 fathers being slave owners, inequalities with respect to women, and other disempowered groups,
    0:16:50 such that they say that that created a power structure in this country that continues to
    0:16:56 last to this day. The vestiges of what happened even in 1860 in the course of human history
    0:17:01 isn’t that long ago, and that we need to do everything in our power to correct for those
    0:17:06 imbalances in power in the United States. That’s the core view of the modern left. I’m not criticizing
    0:17:11 it right now. I’m still manning it. I’m trying to give you, I think, a good articulation of why
    0:17:17 the left believes they have a compelling case for the government stepping in to correct for historical
    0:17:23 or present inequalities. I can give you my counterbottle of that, but the best statement of the
    0:17:27 left, I think that it’s the fact that we’ve been imperfect in living up to those ideals.
    0:17:32 In order to fix that, we’re going to have to take steps that are severe steps, if needed,
    0:17:36 to correct for those historical inequalities before we actually have true equality of
    0:17:39 opportunity in this country. That’s the case for the left-wing view in modern America.
    0:17:41 So what’s your criticism of that?
    0:17:46 So my concern with it is, even if that’s well-motivated, I think that it recreates
    0:17:51 many of the same problems that they were setting out to solve. I’ll give you a really tangible
    0:17:56 example of that in the present right now. I may be alone amongst prominent conservatives who would
    0:18:00 say something like this right now, but I think it’s true, so I’m going to say it. I’m actually,
    0:18:08 even in the last year, last year and a half, seeing actually a rise in anti-black and anti-minority
    0:18:13 racism in this country, which is a little curious, right when over the last 10 years we got as close
    0:18:17 to Martin Luther King’s promised land as you could envision, a place where you have every
    0:18:22 American, regardless of their skin color, able to vote without obstruction, a place where you have
    0:18:27 people able to get the highest jobs in the land without race standing in their way. Why are we
    0:18:32 seeing that resurgence? In part, it’s because of, I believe, that left-wing obsession with racial
    0:18:38 equity over the course of the last 20 years in this country. When you take something away from
    0:18:43 someone based on their skin color, and that’s what correcting for prior injustice was supposed to do,
    0:18:47 the left-wing views are to correct for prior injustice by saying that whether you’re a white,
    0:18:53 straight, cis man, you have certain privileges that you have to actually correct for. When
    0:18:59 you take something away from somebody based on their genetics, you actually foster greater animus
    0:19:05 towards other groups around you. And so the problem with that philosophy is that it creates,
    0:19:09 there are several problems with it, but the most significant problem that I think everybody can
    0:19:15 agree we want to avoid is to actually fan the flames of the very divisions that you supposedly
    0:19:20 wanted to heal. I see that in our context of our immigration policy as well. You think about even
    0:19:24 what’s going on in, I’m from Ohio, I was born and raised in Ohio and I live there today,
    0:19:30 the controversy in Springfield, Ohio. I personally don’t blame really any of the people who are in
    0:19:34 Springfield, either the native people who have born and raised in Springfield, or even the Haitians
    0:19:39 who have been moved to Springfield, but it ends up becoming a divide and conquer strategy and outcome
    0:19:46 where if you put 20,000 people in a community where 50,000 people, where the 20,000 are coming in,
    0:19:51 don’t know the language, are unable to follow the traffic laws, are unable to assimilate,
    0:19:57 you know there’s going to be a reactionary backlash. And so even though that began perhaps with some
    0:20:05 type of charitable instinct, some type of sympathy for people who went through the earthquake in
    0:20:11 2010 in Haiti and achieved temporary protective status in the United States, what began with sympathy,
    0:20:17 what began with earnest intentions actually creates the very division and reactionary response
    0:20:22 that supposedly we say we wanted to avoid. So that’s my number one criticism of that left-wing
    0:20:29 worldview. Number two is I do believe that merit and equity are actually incompatible.
    0:20:34 Merit and group quotas are incompatible. You can have one or the other, you can’t have both.
    0:20:40 And the reason why is no two people, and I think this is a beautiful thing, it’s true between you
    0:20:46 and I, between you and I and all of our friends or family or strangers or neighbors or colleagues,
    0:20:51 no two people have the same skillsets. We’re each endowed by different gifts,
    0:20:56 we’re each endowed with different talents. And that’s the beauty of human diversity.
    0:21:03 And a true meritocracy is a system in which you’re able to achieve the maximum of your God-given
    0:21:07 potential without anybody standing in your way. But that means necessarily there’s going to be
    0:21:12 differences in outcomes in a wide range of parameters, not just financial, not just money,
    0:21:16 not just fame or currency or whatever it is. There’s just going to be different outcomes
    0:21:20 for different people in different spheres of lives. And that’s what meritocracy demands,
    0:21:27 it’s what it requires. And so the left’s vision of group equity necessarily comes at the cost of
    0:21:32 meritocracy. And so those are my two reasons for opposing the view is, one is it’s not meritocratic,
    0:21:38 but number two is it often even has the effect of hurting the very people they claimed to have
    0:21:40 wanted to help. And I think that’s part of what we’re seeing in modern America.
    0:21:46 Yeah, you had a pretty intense debate with Mark Cuban, great conversation. I think it’s on your
    0:21:51 podcast actually. Yes. Yeah, that’s great. Okay, well, speaking of good guys, he messes me all
    0:21:58 the time with beautifully eloquent criticism. I appreciate that, Mark. What was one of the more
    0:22:03 convincing things he said to you? You’re mostly focused on kind of DEI.
    0:22:07 So let’s just take a step back and understand, because people use these acronyms and then they
    0:22:11 start saying it out of muscle memory and stop asking what it actually means. Like,
    0:22:17 DEI refers to capital D, diversity, equity and inclusion, which is a philosophy adopted by
    0:22:22 institutions, principally in the private sector, companies, nonprofits and universities,
    0:22:27 to say that they need to strive for specific forms of racial, gender and sexual orientation
    0:22:33 diversity. And it’s not just the D, it’s the equity in ensuring that you have equal outcomes,
    0:22:38 as measured by certain group quota targets or group representation targets that they would
    0:22:44 meet in their ranks. The problem with the DEI agenda is in the name of diversity,
    0:22:50 it actually has been a vehicle for sacrificing true diversity of thought. So the way the argument
    0:22:56 goes is this, is that we have to create an environment that is receptive to minorities and
    0:23:02 minority views. But if certain opinions are themselves deemed to be hostile to those minorities,
    0:23:06 then you have to exclude those opinions in the name of the capital D diversity.
    0:23:10 But that means that you’re necessarily sacrificing actual diversity of thought.
    0:23:13 I can give you a very specific example that might sound like, okay, well,
    0:23:18 is it such a bad thing if an organization doesn’t want to exclude people who are saying racist
    0:23:23 things on a given day? We could debate that. But let’s get to the tangible world of how that
    0:23:28 actually plays out. I, for my part, have not really heard in ordinary America people uttering
    0:23:32 racial epithets if you’re going to a restaurant or in the grocery store. It’s not something
    0:23:35 I’ve encountered, certainly not in the workplace. But that’s a theoretical case. Let’s talk about
    0:23:40 the real world case of how this plays out. There was an instance, it was a case that presented
    0:23:45 itself before the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission, the EEOC, one of the government
    0:23:52 enforcers of the DEI agenda. And there was a case of a woman who wore red sweater on Fridays in
    0:23:56 celebration of veterans and those who had served the military and invited others in the workplace
    0:23:59 to do the same thing. And they had a kind of affinity group. You could call it that, a veteran
    0:24:04 type affinity group appreciating those who had served. Her son had served as well. There was a
    0:24:09 minority employee at that business who said that he found that to be a microaggression.
    0:24:16 So the employer asked her to stop wearing said clothes to the office. Well, she still felt like
    0:24:20 she wanted to celebrate. I think it was Friday was the day of the week where they did it. She
    0:24:24 still wore the red sweater and she didn’t wear it, but she would hang it on the back of her seat,
    0:24:27 right, put it on the back of her seat at the office. They said, no, no, you can’t do that either.
    0:24:33 So the irony is in the name of this capital, the diversity, which is creating a supposedly
    0:24:39 welcoming workplace for all kinds of Americans by focusing only on certain kinds of so-called
    0:24:45 diversity that translates into actually not even a diversity of your genetics, which is what they
    0:24:50 claim to be solving for, but also a hostility to diversity of thought. And I think that’s dangerous.
    0:24:55 And you’re seeing that happen in the last four years across this country. It’s been pretty rampant.
    0:25:00 I think it leaves America worse off. The beauty of America is we’re a country where we should be
    0:25:04 able to have institutions that are stronger from different points of view being expressed.
    0:25:09 But my number one criticism of the DEI agenda is not even that it’s anti-meritocratic. It is
    0:25:15 anti-meritocratic. But my number one criticism is actually hostile to the free and open exchange of
    0:25:21 ideas by creating often legal liabilities for organizations that even permit certain viewpoints
    0:25:26 to be expressed. And I think that’s the biggest concern. I think what Mark would say is that
    0:25:34 diversity allows you to look for talent in places where you haven’t looked before and therefore
    0:25:39 find really special talent, special people. I think that’s the case he made. He did make
    0:25:44 that case. And it was a great conversation. And my response to that is great. That’s a good thing.
    0:25:50 We don’t need a three-letter acronym to do that. You don’t need special programmatic DEI incentives
    0:25:54 to do it because companies are always going to seek in a truly free market, which I think we’re
    0:25:59 missing in the United States today for a lot of reasons. But in a truly free market, companies
    0:26:04 will have the incentive to hire the best and brightest or else they’re going to be less competitive
    0:26:10 versus other companies. But you don’t need ESG, DEI, CSR regimes in part enforced by the government
    0:26:15 to do it. Today, to be a government contractor, for example, you have to adopt certain racial
    0:26:19 and gender representation targets in your workforce. That’s not the free market working.
    0:26:22 So I think you can’t have it both ways. Either it’s going to be good for companies and companies
    0:26:26 are going to do what’s in their self-interest. That’s what capitalists like Mark Cuban and I
    0:26:30 believe. But if we really believe that, then we should let the market work rather than forcing
    0:26:35 it to adopt these top-down standards. That’s my issue with it. I don’t know what it is about
    0:26:41 human psychology, but whenever you have a sort of administration, a committee that gets together
    0:26:49 to do a good thing, the committee starts to use the good thing, the ideology behind wish there’s
    0:26:55 a good ideal to bully people and to do bad things. I don’t know what it is. This has
    0:27:00 less to do with left wing versus right wing ideology and more the nature of a bureaucracy
    0:27:08 is one that looks after its own existence as its top goal. So part of what you’ve seen
    0:27:14 with the so-called perpetuation of wokeness in American life is that the bureaucracy has used
    0:27:20 the appearance of virtue to actually deflect accountabilities for its own failure. So you’ve
    0:27:24 seen that in several different spheres of American life. You can even talk about in the
    0:27:31 military. You think about our entry into Iraq after 9/11 had nothing to do with the stated
    0:27:38 objectives that we had and I think by all accounts it was a policy move we regret. Our policy ranks
    0:27:44 and our foreign policy establishment made a mistake in entering Iraq, invading a country that really
    0:27:49 by all accounts was not at all responsible for 9/11. Nonetheless, if you’re part of the U.S.
    0:27:55 military or your general Mark Milley, you would rather talk about white rage or systemic racism
    0:28:00 than you would actually talk about the military’s actual substantive failures. It’s what I call the
    0:28:04 practice of blowing woke smoke to deflect accountability because it’s the same thing with
    0:28:09 respect to the educational system. It’s a lot easier to claim that and I’m not the one making
    0:28:14 this claim, but others have made this claim that math is racist because there are inequitable results
    0:28:19 on objective tests of mathematics based on different demographic attributes. You can claim
    0:28:24 using that that math is racist. It’s a lot easier to blow that woke smoke than it is to accept
    0:28:30 accountability for failing to teach black kids in the inner city how to actually do math and fix
    0:28:36 our public school systems and the zip code coded mechanism for trapping kids in poor communities
    0:28:42 in bad schools. So I think that in many cases what these bureaucracies do is they use the
    0:28:47 appearance of signaling this virtue as a way of not really advancing a social cause,
    0:28:53 but of strengthening the power of the bureaucracy itself and insulating that bureaucracy from
    0:28:59 criticism. So in many ways, bureaucracy I think cars the channels through which much of this
    0:29:05 woke ideology has flowed over the last several years and that’s why part of my focus has shifted
    0:29:11 away from just combating wokeness because that’s just a symptom I think versus combating actual
    0:29:17 bureaucracy itself, the rise of this managerial class, the rise of the deep state. We talk about
    0:29:21 that in the government, but the deep state doesn’t just exist in the government. It exists I think
    0:29:28 in every sphere of our lives from companies to nonprofits to universities. It’s the rise of
    0:29:32 you could call the managerial class, the committee class, the people who professionally sit on
    0:29:38 committees, I think are wielding far more power today than actual creators, entrepreneurs,
    0:29:45 original ideators, and ordinary citizens alike. Yeah, you need managers, but as few as possible.
    0:29:54 It seems like when you have a giant managerial class, the actual doers don’t get to do.
    0:30:02 But like you said, bureaucracy is a phenomena of both the left and the right. This is not.
    0:30:07 It’s not even a left or right. It just transcends that, but it’s anti-American at its core.
    0:30:11 So our founding fathers, they were anti-bureaucratic at their core, actually. They were the pioneers,
    0:30:16 the explorers, the unafraid. They were the inventors, the creators. People forget this about
    0:30:21 Benjamin Franklin, who signed the Declaration of Independence. One of the great inventors that we
    0:30:26 have in the United States as well. He invented the lightning rod. He invented the Franklin stove,
    0:30:31 which was actually one of the great innovations in the field of thermodynamics. He even invented
    0:30:36 a number of musical instruments that Mozart and Beethoven went on to use. That’s just Benjamin
    0:30:41 Franklin. So you think, oh, he’s a one-off. Everybody think, okay, he was the one Zaney
    0:30:45 founder who was also a creative scientific innovator who happened to be one of the founders of the
    0:30:50 country. Wrong. It wasn’t unique to him. You have Thomas Jefferson. What are you sitting in right
    0:30:57 now? You’re sitting on a swivel chair. Okay. Who invented the swivel chair? Thomas Jefferson?
    0:31:01 Yes, Thomas Jefferson. Funny enough, he invented the swivel chair while he was writing the Declaration
    0:31:08 of Independence. You’re the one that reminded me that he drafted, he wrote the Declaration of
    0:31:13 Independence when he was 33. And he was 33 when he did it while inventing the swivel chair.
    0:31:18 I like how you’re focused on the swivel chair. Can we just pause on the Declaration of Independence?
    0:31:23 It makes me feel horrible. But the Declaration of Independence part everybody knows. Well,
    0:31:28 people don’t know he was an architect. So he worked in Virginia, but the Virginia state
    0:31:33 capital dome, so the building that’s in Virginia today, where the state capital is, that dome
    0:31:37 was actually designed by Thomas Jefferson as well. So these people weren’t people who sat on
    0:31:43 professional committees. They weren’t bureaucrats. They hated bureaucracy. Part of Old World England
    0:31:47 is Old World England was committed to the idea of bureaucracy. Bureaucracy and monarchy go hand in
    0:31:55 hand. A monarch can’t actually administer or govern directly requires a bureaucracy, a machine,
    0:32:00 to actually technocratically govern for him. So the United States of America was founded on the
    0:32:08 idea that we reject that Old World view. The Old World vision was that we the people cannot be
    0:32:12 trusted to self govern or make decisions for ourselves. We would burn ourselves off the
    0:32:18 planet is the modern version of this. With existential risks like global climate change,
    0:32:22 if we just leave it to the people and their democratic will, that’s why you need professional
    0:32:28 technocrats, educated elites, enlightened bureaucrats to be able to set the limits that
    0:32:31 actually protect people from their own worst impulses. That’s the Old World view. And most
    0:32:37 nations in human history have operated this way. But what made the United States of America itself,
    0:32:42 to know what made America great, we have to know what made America itself.
    0:32:47 What made America itself is we said hell no to that vision, that we the people for better or
    0:32:52 worse are going to self govern without the committee class restraining what we do. And the likes of
    0:32:58 Jefferson and Benjamin Franklin, and I could give you examples of John Adams or Robert Livingston,
    0:33:03 you go straight down the list of founding fathers who are inventors, creators, pioneers,
    0:33:08 explorers, who also were the very people who came together to sign the Declaration of Independence.
    0:33:13 And so yeah, this rise of bureaucracy in America in every sphere of life, I view it as
    0:33:18 anti-American, actually. And I hope that conservatives and liberals alike can
    0:33:24 get behind my crusade, certainly, to get in there and shut most of it down.
    0:33:30 Yes, speaking of shutting most of it down, how do you propose we do that? How do we make
    0:33:35 government more efficient? How do we make it smaller? What are the different ideas of how to
    0:33:40 do that? Well, the first thing I will say is you’re always taking a risk. Okay, there’s no
    0:33:45 free lunch here, mostly at least. You’re always taking a risk. One risk is that you say I want
    0:33:52 to reform it gradually. I want to have a grand master plan and get to exactly what the right
    0:33:56 end state is and then carefully cut with a chisel like a work of art to get there.
    0:34:01 I don’t believe that approach works. I think that’s an approach that conservatives have taken
    0:34:06 for many years. I think it hasn’t gotten us very far. And the reason is if you have like an
    0:34:11 eight-headed hydra and you cut off one of the heads, it grows right back. The other risk you
    0:34:15 could take, so that’s the risk of not cutting enough. The other risk you could take is the
    0:34:19 risk of cutting too much. To say that I’m going to cut so much that I’m going to take the risk of
    0:34:23 not just cutting the fat, but also cutting some muscle along the way that I’m going to take that
    0:34:28 risk. I can’t give you option C, which is to say that I’m going to cut exactly the right amount.
    0:34:32 I’m going to do it perfectly. Okay, you don’t know ex ante. You don’t know beforehand that it’s
    0:34:37 exactly how it’s going to go. So that’s a meaningless claim. It’s the only question of which risk you’re
    0:34:42 going to take. I believe in the moment we live in right now, the second risk is the risk we have
    0:34:49 to be willing to take. And we haven’t had a class of politician. I mean, Donald Trump in 2016 was,
    0:34:53 I think, the closest we’ve gotten. And I think that the second term will be even closer to what
    0:35:00 we need. But short of that, I don’t think we’ve really had a class of politician who has gotten
    0:35:06 very serious about cutting so much that you’re also going to cut some fat, but not only some fat,
    0:35:11 but also some muscle. That’s the risk we have to take. So what would the way I would do it,
    0:35:17 75% headcount reduction across the board in the federal bureaucracy, send them home packing,
    0:35:22 shut down agencies that shouldn’t exist, rescind every unconstitutional regulation
    0:35:26 that Congress never passed. In a true self governing democracy, it should be our elected
    0:35:31 representatives that make the laws and the rules, not an elected bureaucrats. And that is the single
    0:35:36 greatest form of economic stimulus we could have in this country. But it is also the single most
    0:35:43 effective way to restore self governance in our country as well. And it is the blueprint for,
    0:35:51 I think, how we save this country. That’s pretty gangster, 75%. There’s this kind of almost meme
    0:35:59 like video of Argentinian president, Javier MLA, we’re on a whiteboard. He has all the,
    0:36:06 I think 18 ministries lined up. And he’s ripping like the Department of Education gone.
    0:36:12 And he’s just going like this. Now, the situation in Argentina is pretty dire.
    0:36:21 And the situation in the United States is not, despite everybody saying the empire is falling.
    0:36:28 This is still, in my opinion, the greatest nation on earth. Still, the economy is doing very well.
    0:36:35 Still, this is the hub of culture, the hub of innovation, the hub of so many amazing things.
    0:36:44 Do you think it’s possible to do something like firing 75% of people in government
    0:36:50 when things are going relatively well? Yes. In fact, I think it’s necessary and essential.
    0:36:56 I think things are, depends on what your level of well really is, what you’re benchmarking against.
    0:37:00 America’s not built on complacency. We’re built on the pursuit of excellence.
    0:37:05 And are we still the greatest nation on planet earth? I believe we are. I agree with you on that.
    0:37:10 But are we great as we could possibly be, or even as we have been in the past, measured against
    0:37:16 our own standards of excellence? No, we’re not. I think the nation is in a trajectory of decline.
    0:37:20 That doesn’t mean it’s the end of the empire yet. But we are a nation in decline right now.
    0:37:27 I don’t think we have to be. But part of that decline is driven by the rise of this managerial
    0:37:32 class, the bureaucracy sucking the lifeblood out of the country, sucking the lifeblood out of our
    0:37:37 innovative culture, our culture of self-governance. So is it possible? Yeah, it’s really possible.
    0:37:41 I mean, I’ll tell you one easy way to do it. This is a little bit, I’m being a little bit glib here,
    0:37:46 but I think it’s not crazy, at least as a thought experiment. Get in there on day one,
    0:37:51 say that anybody in the federal bureaucracy who is not elected, elected representatives obviously
    0:37:56 are elected by the people. But if the people who are not elected, if your social security number
    0:38:01 ends in an odd number, you’re out. If it ends in an even number, you’re in. There’s a 50% cut right
    0:38:08 there. Of those who remain, if your social security number starts in an even number, you’re in. And
    0:38:13 if it starts with an odd number, you’re out. Boom. That’s a 75% reduction. Then literally,
    0:38:19 stochastically, okay? One of the virtues of that, it’s a thought experiment, not a policy prescription,
    0:38:25 but one of the virtues of that thought experiment is that you don’t have a bunch of lawsuits you’re
    0:38:29 dealing with about gender discrimination or racial discrimination or political viewpoint
    0:38:35 discrimination. Actually, the reality is you’ve, at mass, you didn’t bring the chisel, you brought
    0:38:41 a chainsaw. I guarantee you, do that on day one and do number two, step two on day two, on day three,
    0:38:47 not a thing will have changed for the ordinary American other than the size of their government
    0:38:52 being a lot smaller and more restrained, spending a lot less money to operate it. And most people
    0:38:57 have run a company, especially larger companies know this, it’s 25% of the people who do 80-90%
    0:39:02 of the useful work. These government agencies are no different. So now imagine you could do that same
    0:39:06 thought experiment, but not just doing it at random, but do it still at large scale while having some
    0:39:12 metric of screening for those who actually had both the greatest competence, as well as the greatest
    0:39:18 commitment and knowledge of the Constitution. That, I think, would immediately raise not only
    0:39:22 the civic character of the United States, now we feel, okay, the people we elect to run the
    0:39:26 government, they’ve got the power back, they’re running the government again, as opposed to the
    0:39:30 unelected bureaucrats who wield the power today, it would also stimulate the economy. I mean,
    0:39:36 the regulatory state is like a wet blanket on the American economy. Most of it’s unconstitutional,
    0:39:42 all we require is leadership with a spine to get in there and actually do what conservative
    0:39:48 presidents have maybe gestured towards and talked about, but have not really effectuated ever in
    0:39:52 modern history. And by the way, that kind of thing would attract the ultra-component
    0:39:56 to actually want to work in government. Exactly, which you’re missing today, because
    0:40:00 right now the government would swallow them up. Most competent people feel like that bureaucratic
    0:40:05 machine will swallow them whole. You clear the decks of 75% of them, real innovators can then
    0:40:11 show up. Yeah, you know, there’s kind of the cynical view of capitals and where people think
    0:40:16 that the only reason you do anything is to earn more money. But I think a lot of people would
    0:40:20 want to work in government to build something that’s helpful to a huge number of people.
    0:40:27 Yeah, well look, I think there’s opportunities for the very best to have large-scale impact
    0:40:33 in all kinds of different institutions. In our universities, to K through 12 education,
    0:40:37 through entrepreneurship, I’m obviously very biased in that regard. I think there’s a lot
    0:40:42 you’re able to create that you couldn’t create through government. But I do think in the moment
    0:40:48 that we live in where our government is as broken as it is and is as responsible for the
    0:40:54 declining nature of our country, yeah, I think bringing in people who are unafraid, talented,
    0:40:59 and able to have an impact could make all of the difference. And I agree with you. I don’t think
    0:41:03 actually most people, even most people who say they’re motivated by money, I don’t think they’re
    0:41:12 actually motivated by money. I think most people are driven by a belief that they can do more than
    0:41:18 they’re being permitted to do right now with their skill sets. See, I’ve never, I’ll tell you that,
    0:41:24 so I’ve run a number of companies. And one of the things that I used to ask when I was, you know,
    0:41:28 I’m not day to day involved in them anymore. But as a CEO, I would ask when I did interviews.
    0:41:32 And the first company I started at Reuven, like for four years in them, where, you know,
    0:41:38 company was pretty big by that point, I would still intend on interviewing every candidate
    0:41:43 before they joined screening for the culture of that person. I can talk a lot more about things
    0:41:48 we did to build that culture. But one of the questions I would always ask them naturally,
    0:41:52 just to start a conversation, it’s pretty basic question is, why did you leave your last job?
    0:41:58 Or why are you leaving your last job? I’ll tell you what I didn’t hear very often,
    0:42:01 is that I wasn’t paid enough, right? And maybe they’d be shy to tell you that during an interview,
    0:42:07 but there’s indirect ways to signal that. That really wasn’t at all like even a top 10 reason
    0:42:12 why people were leaving their job. I’ll give you what the number one reason was, is that they felt
    0:42:20 like they were unable to do the true maximum of what their potential was in their prior role.
    0:42:24 That’s the number one reason people leave their job. And, you know, I think, by the way,
    0:42:28 that’s, I would say that as I’m saying that in a self-boastful way that we would attract these
    0:42:33 people. I think that’s also true for most of the people who left the company as well, Reuven,
    0:42:38 right? And it’s, and that was true at Reuven, it’s true at other companies I’ve started,
    0:42:41 I think the number one reason people joined companies and the one people leave companies,
    0:42:45 whether they’ve been to join mine or to leave mine in the past, have been that they feel like
    0:42:49 they’re able to do more than they’re able to, with their skill set, than that environment
    0:42:55 permits them to actually achieve. And so I think that’s what people hung for. When we think about
    0:43:00 capitalism and true free market capitalism, and we used words earlier like meritocracy,
    0:43:04 it’s about building a system, whether it’s in a nation or whether it’s even within an organization
    0:43:09 that allows every individual to flourish and achieve the maximum of their potential. And
    0:43:14 sometimes it just doesn’t match for an organization where, let’s say the mission is here and somebody’s
    0:43:17 skill sets could be really well aligned to a different mission, then the right answer is
    0:43:21 it’s not a negative thing, it’s just that that person needs to leave and
    0:43:25 find their mission somewhere else. But to bring that back to government, I think part of what’s
    0:43:30 happened right now is that the rise of that bureaucracy and so many of these government
    0:43:36 agencies has actually obfuscated the mission of these agencies. I think if you went to most
    0:43:40 federal bureaucracies and just asked them, like what’s the mission, I’m just making one up off
    0:43:44 the top of my head right now, the Department of Health and Human Services, what is the mission
    0:43:51 of HHS in the United States of America? I doubt somebody who works there, even the person who
    0:43:56 leads it, could give you a coherent answer to that question. I just, I just heavily doubt it,
    0:44:00 and you could fill in the blank for, you know, any range of other, Department of Commerce. I
    0:44:04 mean, just go straight down the list of each of these other ones. What is the mission of this
    0:44:08 organization? You could even say for the US military, what’s the purpose of the US military,
    0:44:12 the Department of Defense? I can give you one. I think it is to win wars and more importantly,
    0:44:17 through its strength to avoid wars. That’s it. Well, okay, if that’s the mission,
    0:44:21 then you know, okay, it’s not tinkering around and messing around in some foreign conflict where
    0:44:25 we kind of feel like it sometimes and other ones where we don’t, and who decides that. I don’t
    0:44:30 really know, but whoever the people are that decide that, we follow those orders. No, our mission
    0:44:35 is to protect the United States of America to win wars and to avoid wars. Boom, those three
    0:44:39 things. What does protecting the United States of America mean? Number one, the homeland of the
    0:44:43 United States of America and the people who reside there. Okay, that’s a clear mission. I mean,
    0:44:48 the Department of Health and Human Services maybe could be a reasonable mission to say that I want
    0:44:52 to make America the healthiest country on planet Earth, and we will develop the metrics and meet
    0:44:58 those metrics. And that’s the goal of the Department of HHS to set policies or at least implement
    0:45:02 policies that best achieve that goal. But you can’t, and maybe that’s the right statement of the
    0:45:06 mission. Maybe it’s not, but one of the things that happens is when you’re governed by the committee
    0:45:12 class, it dilutes the sense of mission out of any organization, whether it’s a company or government
    0:45:16 agency or bureaucracy. And once you’ve done that, then you lose the ability to attract the best and
    0:45:19 the brightest, because in order for somebody to achieve the maximum of their potential,
    0:45:22 they have to know what it’s towards. There has to be a mission in the first place,
    0:45:25 then you’re not getting the best and brightest, you get more from the committee class, and that
    0:45:32 becomes a self-perpetuating downward spiral. And that is what the blob of the federal bureaucracy
    0:45:36 really looks like today. Yeah, you said something really profound at the individual scale of the
    0:45:42 individual contributor, doer, creator. What happens is you have a certain capacity to do awesome shit,
    0:45:48 and then there’s barriers that come up. We have to wait a little bit. This happens, there’s friction
    0:45:52 always in when humans together are working on something, there’s friction. And so the goal of
    0:45:58 a great company is to minimize that friction, minimize the number of barriers. And what happens
    0:46:04 is the managerial class, the incentive is to create barriers. It’s what it does. I mean,
    0:46:10 that’s just by the nature of a bureaucracy. It creates sand in the gears to slow down whatever
    0:46:14 the other process was. Is there some room for that somewhere in certain contexts? Sure. It’s a
    0:46:23 defensive mechanism that’s designed to reduce dynamism. But I think when that becomes cancerous
    0:46:29 in its scope, it then actually kills the host itself, whether that’s a school, whether that’s a
    0:46:33 company, whether that’s a government. And so the way I think about it, Lex, is there’s sort of a
    0:46:41 balance of distributed power. I don’t mean power in the in the Foucault sense of social power, but
    0:46:47 I mean just sort of power and sense of the ability to affect relevant change in any organization
    0:46:52 between what you could call the founder class, the creator class, the everyday citizen, the
    0:46:58 stakeholder class, and then the managerial class. And there’s a role for all three of them, right?
    0:47:02 You can have the constituents of an organization, say in a constitutional republic, that’s the
    0:47:06 citizen. You could have the equivalent of the creator class, the people who create things in
    0:47:11 that that polity. And then you have the bureaucratic class that’s designed to administer and serve as
    0:47:17 a liaison between the two. I’m not denying that there’s some role somewhere for people who are
    0:47:22 in that managerial class. But right now, in this moment in American history, and I think it’s
    0:47:28 been more or less true for the last century, but it’s grown, starting with Woodrow Wilson’s advent
    0:47:32 to the modern administrative state, metastasizing through FDR’s new deal and what was required
    0:47:39 to administer it, blown over and metastasizing further through LBJ’s great society and everything
    0:47:43 that’s happened since even aided and abetted by republican presidents along the way like Richard
    0:47:51 Nixon, has created a United States of America where that committee class, both in and outside
    0:47:56 the government and our culture, wields far too much influence and power relative to the everyday
    0:48:04 citizen stakeholder and to the creators who are in many ways constrained, hamstrung, shackled
    0:48:10 in a straight jacket from achieving the maximum of their own potential contributions. And I
    0:48:15 certainly feel that myself. I probably identify as being a member of that creator class most
    0:48:20 closely. It’s just what I’ve done. I create things. And I think we live in an environment in the United
    0:48:24 States of America where we’re still probably the best country on earth, where that creator has that
    0:48:29 shot. So that’s the positive side of it. But one where we are far more constrictive to the creator
    0:48:34 class than we have been when we’ve been at our best. And that’s what I want to see change.
    0:48:38 Can you sort of steal man the perspective of somebody that looks at a particular department,
    0:48:46 Department of Education and are saying that the amount of pain that will be caused by closing it
    0:48:54 and firing 75% of people will be too much? Yeah. So I go back to this question of mission, right?
    0:49:00 A lot of people who make arguments for the Department of Education aren’t aware why the
    0:49:04 Department of Education was created in the first place. Actually, so that might be a useful
    0:49:11 place to start is that this thing was created. It had a purpose, presumably. What was that purpose?
    0:49:15 Might be at least a relevant question to ask before we decide what are we doing with it or not.
    0:49:20 What was the purpose of this thing that we created? It’s not a, to me, seems like a highly
    0:49:24 relevant question yet in this discussion about government reform, it’s interesting how eager
    0:49:28 people are to skip over that question and just to talk about, okay, but we got the status quo and
    0:49:32 it’s just going to be disruptive versus asking the question of, okay, this institution was created,
    0:49:38 it had an original purpose. Is that purpose still relevant? Is this organization at all
    0:49:41 fulfilling that purpose today? To me, those are some relevant questions to ask. So let’s
    0:49:47 talk about that for the Department of Education. Its purpose was relevant at that time, which was
    0:49:56 to make sure that localities and particularly states were not siphoning dollars, taxpayer dollars,
    0:50:02 away from predominantly black school districts to predominantly white ones. And that was not
    0:50:06 a theoretical concern at the time. It was happening or there was at least some evidence that was
    0:50:10 happening in certain states in the south. And so you may say you don’t like the federal solution,
    0:50:15 you may say you like the federal solution, but like it or not, that was the original purpose
    0:50:18 of the U.S. Department of Education to make sure that from a federal perspective,
    0:50:23 states were not systematically disadvantaging black school districts over predominantly white ones.
    0:50:28 However noble and relevant that purpose may have been six decades ago,
    0:50:34 it’s not a relevant purpose today. There’s no evidence today of states intentionally mapping
    0:50:38 out which are the black versus white school districts and siphoning money in one direction
    0:50:44 versus another. To the contrary, one of the things we’ve learned is that the school districts in the
    0:50:49 inner city, many of which are predominantly black, actually spend more money per student
    0:50:56 than other school districts for a worse result, as measured by test scores and other performance
    0:51:00 on a per student basis, suggesting that there are other factors than the dollar expenditures per
    0:51:06 school determining student success, and actually suggesting that even the overfunding of some of
    0:51:10 those already poorly run schools rewards them for their actual bureaucratic failures.
    0:51:16 So against that backdrop, the Department of Education has instead extrapolated that original
    0:51:21 purpose of what was a racial equality purpose to instead implement a different vision of racial
    0:51:26 equity through the ideologies that they demand in the content of the curriculum that these public
    0:51:31 schools actually teach. So Department of Education funding, so federal funding accounts for about,
    0:51:37 you know, giving you round numbers here, but around 10% of the funding of most public schools
    0:51:42 across the country. But that comes with strings attached. So in today’s Department of Education,
    0:51:46 this didn’t happen back in 1970, but it’s happening today. Ironically, it’s funny how these things
    0:51:50 change with the bureaucracies that fail, they blow oak smoke to cover up for their own failures.
    0:51:57 What happens with today’s Department of Education? They effectively say you don’t get that funding
    0:52:02 unless you adopt certain goals deemed at achieving racial or gender equity goals.
    0:52:06 And in fact, they also interviewed in the curriculum where there’s evidence of schools in
    0:52:11 the Midwest or in the Great Plains that have been denied funding because Department of Education
    0:52:16 funding so long as they have certain subjects like archery. There was one instance of a school
    0:52:21 that had archery in its curriculum. I find that to be pretty interesting. Actually, I think that,
    0:52:24 I think you have different kinds of physical education. This is one that combines mental
    0:52:29 focus with physical aptitude, but hey, maybe I’m biased, doesn’t matter whether you like archery
    0:52:34 or not. I don’t think it’s the federal government’s job to withhold funding from a school because
    0:52:37 they include something in their curriculum that the federal government deems inappropriate,
    0:52:43 where that locality found that to be a relevant locus of education. So what you see then is an
    0:52:48 abandonment of the original purpose that’s long past. You don’t have this problem that the Department
    0:52:52 of Education was originally formed to solve of siphoning money from black school districts to
    0:52:56 white school districts and laundering that effectively in public funds. That doesn’t exist
    0:53:01 anymore. So they find new purposes instead, creating a lot more damage along the way.
    0:53:05 So you asked me to steelman it, and can I say something constructive rather than just,
    0:53:10 you know, pounding down on the other side? One way to think about this is, for a lot of these
    0:53:18 agencies, were many of them formed with a positive intention at the outset? Yes.
    0:53:23 Where that positive intention existed, I’m still a skeptic of creating bureaucracies,
    0:53:31 but if you’re going to create one, at least make it, what should we call it, a task force.
    0:53:37 Make it a task force. A task force versus an agency means after it’s done, you celebrate,
    0:53:42 you’ve done your work, pat yourself on the back and then move on, rather than creating a standing
    0:53:48 bureaucracy, which actually finds things to do after it has already solved or addressed the first
    0:53:52 reason it was born in the first place. And I think we don’t have enough of that in our culture.
    0:53:58 I mean, even if you have a company that’s generated tons of cash flow and it solved a problem, let’s
    0:54:03 say it’s a biopharmaceutical company that developed a cure to some disease. And the only thing people
    0:54:07 knew at that company was how to develop a cure to that disease. And they generated a boatload of
    0:54:10 cash from doing it. At a certain point, you could just give it to your shareholders and close up
    0:54:14 shop. And that’s actually a beautiful thing to do. You don’t see that happen enough in the American
    0:54:18 consciousness and the American culture of when an institution has achieved its purpose,
    0:54:23 celebrate it and then move on. And I think that that culture in our government
    0:54:28 would result in a vastly restrained scope of government rather than today. It’s a one-way
    0:54:31 ratchet. Once you cause it to come into existence, you cause new things to come into existence,
    0:54:35 but the old one that came into existence continues to persist and exist as well.
    0:54:39 And that’s where you get this metastasis over the last century.
    0:54:43 So what kind of things do you think government should do that the private sector,
    0:54:49 the forces of capitalism would create drastic inequalities or create the kind of pain we don’t
    0:54:52 want to have in government? So if the question is what should government do that the private
    0:54:58 sector cannot, I’ll give you one, protect our border. I mean, capitalism is never going to be
    0:55:02 the job of capitalists or never going to be the capability or inclination of capitalists
    0:55:06 to preserve a national border. And I think a nation is literally, I think one of the
    0:55:11 chapters of this book, a nation without borders is not a nation. It’s almost a tautology.
    0:55:15 An open border is not a border. Capitalism is not going to solve that. What’s going to solve that
    0:55:20 is a nation. Part of the job of the federal government is to protect the homeland of its
    0:55:24 nation, in this case, the United States of America. That’s an example of a proper function of the
    0:55:30 federal government to provide physical security to its citizens. Another proper role of that
    0:55:34 federal government is to look after, or in this case, it could be state government,
    0:55:42 to make sure that private parties cannot externalize their costs onto somebody else
    0:55:47 without their consent. That’s a fancy way economists would use to describe it. What does
    0:55:51 that mean? It means if you go dump your chemicals in somebody else’s river, then you’re liable for
    0:55:55 that. It’s not that, okay, I’m a capitalist, and so I want to create things, and I’m going to do
    0:56:00 hell or high water, whether or not that harms people around me. The job of a proper government
    0:56:04 is to make sure that you protect the rights of those who may be harmed by those who are pursuing
    0:56:09 their own rights through a system of capitalism in seeking prosperity. You’re free to do it,
    0:56:15 but if you’re hurting somebody else without their consent in the process, the government
    0:56:18 is there to enforce what is really just a different form of enforcing a private property
    0:56:24 right. I would say that those are two central functions of government is to preserve national
    0:56:29 boundaries and the national security of a homeland, and number two is to protect and preserve private
    0:56:33 property rights and the enforcement of those private property rights. I think at that point,
    0:56:40 you’ve described about 80 to 90% of the proper role of a government. What about infrastructure?
    0:56:44 Look, I think that most infrastructure can be dealt with through the private sector. I mean,
    0:56:47 you can get into specifics. You could have infrastructure that’s specific to national
    0:56:52 security. No, I do think that military industrial base is essential to provide national security.
    0:56:56 That’s a form of infrastructure. I don’t think you could rely exclusively on the private sector to
    0:57:02 provide the optimal level of that protection to a nation. But interstate highways, I think you
    0:57:07 could think about whether or not that’s a common good that everybody benefits from but nobody has
    0:57:12 the incentive to create. I think you could make an argument for the existence of interstate highways.
    0:57:16 I think you could also make powerful arguments for the fact that actually you could have enough
    0:57:19 private sector co-ops that could cause that to come into existence as well.
    0:57:26 But I’m not dogmatic about this, but broadly speaking, 80 to 90% of the
    0:57:31 goal of the federal government, I’m not going to say 100. 80 to 90% of the goal of the existence
    0:57:38 of a federal government period should be to protect national boundaries and provide security
    0:57:42 for the people who live there and to protect the private property rights of the people who reside
    0:57:48 there. If we restore that, I think we’re well on our way to a revival of what our founding
    0:57:52 fathers envisioned. And I think many of them would give you the same answer that I just did.
    0:57:58 So if we get government out of education, would you be also for reducing this as a government
    0:58:04 in the states for something like education? I think if it goes closer to municipalities
    0:58:09 and the states, I’m fine with that being a locus for people determining. For example,
    0:58:13 let’s just say school districts are taxed at the local level. For that to be a matter for
    0:58:18 municipalities and townships to actually decide democratically how they actually want that
    0:58:23 government, whether it’s the balance between a public school district versus making that same
    0:58:27 money available to families in the form of vouchers or other forms of ability to educational
    0:58:32 savings accounts or whichever mechanism it is to opt out of that. If that’s done locally,
    0:58:38 I’ll have views on that that tend to go further in the direction of true educational choice and
    0:58:44 diversity of choice, the implementation of charter schools, the granting of state charters or even
    0:58:48 lowering the barriers to granting one. I favor those kinds of policies. But if we’ve gotten the
    0:58:53 federal government out of it, that’s achieved 75% of what I think we need to achieve, that I’m
    0:58:58 focused on solving other problems and leave that to the states and municipalities to cover from
    0:59:04 there. Given this conversation, what do you think of Elon’s proposal of the Department of
    0:59:12 Government Efficiency in the Trump administration or really any administration? I’m, of course,
    0:59:16 biased because Elon and I had discussed that for the better part of the last year and a half.
    0:59:20 I think it’s a great idea. It’s something that’s very consistent with the core premise of my
    0:59:25 presidential candidacy. I got to know him as I was running for US president in a couple of events
    0:59:30 that he came to, and then we built a friendship after that. Obviously, I think it’s a great idea.
    0:59:34 Who do you think is more hardcore on the cutting, you or Elon?
    0:59:42 Elon’s pretty hardcore. I said 75% of the federal bureaucrats. While I was running for
    0:59:49 president, he said you need to put at least 75%. I agree with him. I think it could be a fun
    0:59:55 competition to see who ends up more hardcore. I don’t think there’s someone out there who’s
    1:00:01 going to be more hardcore than here I would be. The reason is, I think we’re both, we share in
    1:00:07 common, a willingness to take the risk and see what happens. The sun will still rise in the
    1:00:11 east and set in the west. That much, I guarantee you. Is there going to be some broken glass
    1:00:15 and some damage? Yes, there is. There’s no way around that, but once you’re willing to take
    1:00:21 that risk, then it doesn’t become so scary anymore. Here’s the thing, Lex. It’s easy to say this.
    1:00:25 Let’s talk about where the rubber hits the road here. Even in the second Trump term, this would be
    1:00:30 the discussion. President Trump and I had this conversation, but I think we would continue to
    1:00:37 have this conversation is, where does it rank on our prioritization list? Because there’s always
    1:00:43 going to be a trade-off. If you have a different policy objective that you want to achieve, a good
    1:00:48 policy objective, whatever that is. You could talk about immigration policy. You could talk about
    1:00:54 economic policy. There are other policy objectives. You’re going to trade off a little bit in the
    1:01:00 short run the effectiveness of your ability to carry out that policy goal if you’re also committed
    1:01:04 to actually thinning out the federal government by 75% because there’s just going to be some
    1:01:09 clunkiness. There’s just going to be frictional costs for that level of cut. The question is,
    1:01:15 where does that rank on your prioritization list? To pull that off, to pull off a 75% reduction in
    1:01:19 the size and scale of the federal government, the regulatory state, and the headcount,
    1:01:24 I think that only happens if that’s your top priority. You could do it at a smaller scale,
    1:01:28 but at that scale, it only happens if that’s your top priority because then as president,
    1:01:33 you’re in a position to say, “I know in the super short run that might even make it a little bit
    1:01:38 harder for me to do this other thing that I want to do and use the regulatory state to do it.”
    1:01:43 But I’m going to pass on that. I’m going to pass that up. I’m going to bear that hardship
    1:01:47 and inconvenience because I know this other goal is more important on the scale of decades
    1:01:54 and centuries for the country. It’s a question of prioritization and certainly my own view is that
    1:02:01 now is a moment where that needs to be a top priority for saving this country. If there’s
    1:02:08 one thing about my campaign, if I was to do it again, I would be even clearer about, because
    1:02:12 I talked about a lot of things in the campaign and we can cover a lot of that too, but if there’s
    1:02:16 one thing that I care about more than anything else is dismantling that bureaucracy and more
    1:02:25 over it is an assault and a crusade on the nanny state itself. That nanny state presents itself
    1:02:29 in several forms. There’s the entitlement state, that’s the welfare state, presents itself in the
    1:02:33 form of the regulatory state, that’s what we’re talking about, and then there’s the foreign
    1:02:38 nanny state where effectively we are subsidizing other countries that aren’t paying their fair
    1:02:44 share of protection or other resources we provide them. If I was to summarize my ideology in a nutshell,
    1:02:49 it is to terminate the nanny state in the United States of America in all of its forms,
    1:02:53 the entitlement state, the regulatory state, and the foreign policy nanny state.
    1:02:58 Once we’ve done that, we’ve revived the republic that I think would make George Washington proud.
    1:03:03 So you mentioned the Department of Education, but there’s also the Department of Defense.
    1:03:11 And there’s a very large number of very powerful people that have gotten used to
    1:03:18 an budget that’s increasing and the number of wars and military conflicts that’s increasing.
    1:03:22 So if we could just talk about that. So this is the number one priority.
    1:03:31 It’s like there’s difficulty levels here. The DoD would be probably the hardest. So let’s take
    1:03:37 that on. What’s your view on the military industrial complex, Department of Defense,
    1:03:43 and wars in general? So I think the nanny state, I’m against it overall. I’m against the foreign
    1:03:46 policy nanny state as well. Let’s start from that as the starting off point, and then I’ll tell you
    1:03:53 about my views on the DoD and our defense. First of all, I think that, and I think that it was easy
    1:03:58 for many people from the neocon school of thought to caricature my views with the media at their
    1:04:03 side. But actually, my own view is if it’s in the interest of the United States of America to provide
    1:04:09 certain levels of protection to US allies, we can do that as long as those allies actually pay for
    1:04:15 it. And I think it’s important for two reasons. The less important reason, still important reason,
    1:04:19 the less important reason is it’s still money for us, right? Well, it’s not like we’re swimming
    1:04:24 in a cash surplus right now. We’re at $34 trillion national debt and growing. And, you know, I think
    1:04:27 pretty soon the interest payments are going to be the largest line item in our own federal budget.
    1:04:32 So it’s not like we have money willy-nilly to just hand over for free. That’s the less important
    1:04:38 reason, though. The more important reason is that it makes sure that our allies
    1:04:45 have actual skin in the game to not have skewed incentives to actually enter conflicts where
    1:04:50 they’re not actually bearing the full cost of those conflicts. So take NATO, for example.
    1:04:58 Most NATO countries, literally a majority of NATO countries today, do not pay or contribute
    1:05:07 2% of their GDP to their own national defense, which is supposedly a requirement to be in NATO.
    1:05:12 So majority of NATO countries are failing to meet their basic commitment to be in NATO in the first
    1:05:16 place. Germany particularly is, I think, arbitraging the hell out of the United States of America.
    1:05:22 And I don’t think that I’m not going to be some sort of, you know, shrill voice here saying,
    1:05:27 “So therefore we should not be supporting any allies or providing security blankets.”
    1:05:31 No, I’m not going in that direction. What I would say is you got to pay for it, right?
    1:05:35 Pay for your fissure. A, because we’re not swimming in excess money ourselves.
    1:05:40 But B is it tells us that you actually have skin in the game for your own defense,
    1:05:44 which actually then makes nations far more prudent in the risks that they take,
    1:05:47 whether or not they’re in a war, versus if somebody else is paying for it
    1:05:50 and somebody else is providing our security guarantee, hey, I might as well, you know,
    1:05:54 take the gamble and see where I end up at the end of a war, versus the restraint that that imposes
    1:05:59 on the decision making of those allies. So now let’s bring this, bring this home to the Department
    1:06:08 of Defense. I think the top goal of the U.S. defense policy establishment should be to
    1:06:12 provide for the national defense of the United States of America.
    1:06:16 And the irony is that’s what we’re actually doing most poorly. We’re not really using,
    1:06:21 other than the Coast Guard, we’re not really using the U.S. military to prevent crossings
    1:06:26 at our own southern border and crossings at our other borders. In fact, the United States of America,
    1:06:30 our homeland, I believe, is less secure today than it has been in a very long time.
    1:06:35 Vulnerable to threats from hypersonic missiles where China and Russia, Russia certainly
    1:06:39 has capabilities in excess of that of the United States. Missiles, hypersonic means faster than
    1:06:43 the speed of sound that could hit the United States, including those carrying nuclear warheads.
    1:06:50 We are more vulnerable to super EMP attacks, electromagnetic pulse attacks that could,
    1:06:52 you know, without exaggeration, some of this could be from other nations, some of these could even
    1:06:58 be from solar flares, cause significant mass casualty in the United States of America. The
    1:07:02 electric grid’s gone. It’s not an exaggeration to say if that happened, planes would be falling
    1:07:07 out of the sky because our chips really depend on those electromagnetic, well, will be affected by
    1:07:12 those electromagnetic pulses. More vulnerable to cyber attacks. I know this, oh, people say,
    1:07:17 okay, start yawning and say, okay, boring stuff, super EMP cyber or whatever. No, actually, it
    1:07:22 is pretty relevant to whether or not you actually are facing the risk of not getting your insulin
    1:07:27 because your refrigerator doesn’t work anymore or your food can’t be stored or your car or your,
    1:07:34 or your ability to fly on an airplane is impaired. Okay. So I think that these are serious risks
    1:07:38 where our own national defense spending has been wholly inadequate. So I’m not one of these people
    1:07:42 that says, oh, we decrease versus increase national defense spending. We’re not spending
    1:07:46 it in the right places. The number one place we need to be spending it is actually in protecting
    1:07:50 our national defense. And I think out protecting our own physical homeland. And I think we actually
    1:07:56 need an increase in spending on protecting our own homeland, but that is different from the agenda
    1:08:02 of foreign interventionism and foreign nanny stateism for its own stake, where we should expect
    1:08:06 more and demand more of our allies to provide for their own national defense and then provide the
    1:08:10 relevant security guarantees to allies where that actually advances the interests of the United
    1:08:16 States of America. So that’s what I believe. And I think this process has been corrupted by what
    1:08:20 Dwight Eisenhower famously in his farewell address called the military industrial complex in the
    1:08:26 United States. But I think it’s bigger than just the, I think it’s easy to tell the tales of
    1:08:33 the financial corruption. It’s a kind of cultural corruption and conceit that just because a certain
    1:08:37 number of people in that expert class have a belief that their belief happens to be the right one
    1:08:41 because they can scare you with what the consequence would be if you don’t follow their advice.
    1:08:46 And one of the beauties of the United States is at least in principle,
    1:08:51 we have civilian control of the military, the person who we elect to be the US president
    1:08:55 is the one that actually is the true commander in chief. I have my doubts of whether it operates
    1:08:59 that way. I think it is quite obvious that Joe Biden is not a functioning commander in chief
    1:09:03 of the United States of America yet on paper, supposedly we still are supposed to call him that.
    1:09:09 But at least in theory, we’re supposed to have civilian control of the US military.
    1:09:15 And I think that one of the things that that leader needs to do is to ask the question of,
    1:09:18 again, the mission, what’s the purpose of this US military in the first place
    1:09:24 at the top of the list should be to protect the homeland and the people who actually live here,
    1:09:26 which we’re failing to do. So that’s where I land on that question.
    1:09:30 Wait, okay, there’s a lot of stuff to ask. First of all, on Joe Biden, you mean he’s
    1:09:35 functionally not in control of the US military because of the age factor or because of the
    1:09:40 nature of the presidency? It’s a good question. I would say in his case, it’s particularly
    1:09:47 accentuated because it’s both. In his case, I don’t think anybody in America anymore believes
    1:09:51 that Joe Biden is the functioning president of the United States of America. How could he be?
    1:09:55 He wasn’t even sufficiently functioning to be the candidate after a debate that was held in
    1:09:59 June. There’s no way he’s going to be in a position to make the most important decisions
    1:10:03 on a daily and demanding basis to protect the leading nation in the world.
    1:10:08 Now, more generally, though, I think we have a deeper problem that even when it’s not Joe Biden,
    1:10:13 in general, the people we elect to run the government haven’t really been the ones running
    1:10:17 the government. It’s been the unelected bureaucrats in the bureaucratic deep state
    1:10:23 underneath that’s really been making the decisions. As I’ve done business in a number of places,
    1:10:28 I’ve traveled to Japan. There’s an interesting corporate analogy. Sometimes if you get outside
    1:10:35 of politics, people can listen and pay attention a little bit more because of politics. It’s so
    1:10:39 fraught right now that if you start talking to somebody who disagrees with you about the politics
    1:10:43 of it, you’re just butting heads but not really making progress. Let’s just make the same point
    1:10:48 but go outside of politics for a second. I was traveling in Japan. I was having a late-night
    1:10:55 dinner with a CEO of a Japanese pharmaceutical company. It takes a while to really get him to
    1:11:04 open up, culturally speaking in Japan, a couple nights of karaoke and late-night restaurant,
    1:11:08 whatever it is. We built a good enough relationship where he was very candid with me.
    1:11:16 He said, “I’m the CEO of the company. I could go and find the head of a research unit and tell him,
    1:11:20 okay, this is a project we’re no longer working on as a company. We don’t want to spend money on it.
    1:11:24 We’re going to spend money somewhere else.” He looked me in the eye and he’ll say, “Yes, sir.
    1:11:29 Yes, sir.” I’ll come back six months later and find that they’re spending exactly the same amount
    1:11:34 of money on those exact same projects. I’ll tell him, “No, we agreed. I told you that you’re not
    1:11:38 going to spend money on this project and we have to stop now. It should have stopped six months ago.
    1:11:42 Get a slap on the wrist for it.” He says, “Yes, sir. I’m sorry. Yes, no, no. Of course, that’s
    1:11:48 correct.” Come back six months later, same person is spending the same money on the same project.
    1:11:53 And here’s why. Historically in Japan, and I should say in Japan, this is changing now.
    1:11:57 It’s changing now, but historically until very recently and even to an extent now,
    1:12:04 it’s near impossible to fire people. So if somebody works for you and you can’t fire them,
    1:12:11 that means they don’t actually work for you. It means in some deeper perverse sense you work for
    1:12:17 them because you’re responsible for what they do without any authority to actually change it.
    1:12:22 So I think most people have traveled in Japan and Japanese corporate culture through the 1990s
    1:12:28 and 2000s and 2010s and maybe even some vestiges in the 2020s wouldn’t really dispute what I just
    1:12:33 told you. Now, we’re bringing back to the more contentious terrain. I think that’s basically
    1:12:37 how things have worked in the executive branch of the federal government of the United States of
    1:12:42 America. You have these so-called civil service protections on the books. Now, if you really
    1:12:48 read them carefully, I think that there are areas to provide daylight for a truly constitutionally
    1:12:55 well-trained president to act. But apart from those, that’s a contrary view that I have that
    1:13:00 bucks conventional wisdom, but apart from that caveat, in general, the conventional view has
    1:13:05 been the US president can’t fire these people. There’s four million federal bureaucrats, 99.9%
    1:13:10 of them can’t be touched by the person who the people who elected to run the executive branch
    1:13:14 can’t even fire those people. It’s like the equivalent of that Japanese CEO. And so that
    1:13:20 culture exists every bit as much in the federal bureaucracy of the United States of America
    1:13:25 as they did in Japanese corporate culture through the 1990s. And that’s a lot of what’s wrong with
    1:13:29 not just the way that our Department of Defense has run and our foreign policy establishment
    1:13:33 has run, but I think it applies to a lot of the domestic policy establishment as well.
    1:13:37 And to come back to the core point, how are we going to save this republic?
    1:13:40 This is the debate in the conservative movement right now. So this is a little bit,
    1:13:47 maybe a little bit spicy for some Republicans to sort of swallow right now. And, you know,
    1:13:52 my top focus is making sure that we win the election. But let’s just move the ball forward
    1:13:56 a little bit and skate to where the puck is going here. Okay. Yes, let’s say we win the election
    1:13:59 all as well. And Dandy, okay, what’s the philosophy that determines how we govern?
    1:14:03 There’s a little bit of a fork in the road amongst conservatives, where there are those
    1:14:10 who believe that the right answer now is to use that regulatory state and use those levers of power
    1:14:16 to advance our own pro-conservative, pro-American, pro-worker goals.
    1:14:22 And I’m sympathetic to all of those goals. But I don’t think that the right way to do it is to
    1:14:28 create a conservative regulatory state that replaces a liberal regulatory state. I think
    1:14:32 the right answer is actually to get in there and shut it down. I don’t want to replace the left wing
    1:14:36 nanny state with the right wing nanny state. I want to get in there and actually dismantle
    1:14:43 the nanny state. And I think it has been a long time in the United States, maybe ever in modern
    1:14:50 history, that we’ve had a conservative leader at the national level who makes it their principal
    1:14:57 objective to dismantle the nanny state in all of its forms, the entitlement state, the regulatory
    1:15:07 state, and the foreign policy nanny state. That was a core focus of my candidacy. One of the things
    1:15:13 that I wish, and this is on me, not anybody else, that I should have done better, was to make that
    1:15:19 more crystal clear as a focus without getting distracted by a lot of the shenanigans. Let’s
    1:15:23 just say that happened at side shows during a presidential campaign, but call that a lesson
    1:15:29 learned because I do think it’s what the country needs now more than ever. Yeah, it’s a really,
    1:15:37 really powerful idea. It’s actually something that Donald Trump ran on in 2016. Drain the swamp.
    1:15:43 Drain the swamp. I think by most accounts, maybe you can disagree with me, he did not successfully
    1:15:48 do so. He did fire a bunch of people, more than usual. Can I say a word about the conditions
    1:15:52 he was operating in? Because I think that’s why I’m far more excited for this time around,
    1:15:59 is that a lot has changed in the legal landscape. Donald Trump did not have the Supreme Court backdrop
    1:16:04 in 2016 that he does today. There’s some really important cases that have come down from the
    1:16:10 Supreme Court. One is West Virginia versus EPA. I think it’s probably the most important case of
    1:16:17 our generation. In 2022, that came down and said that if Congress has not passed a rule into law
    1:16:22 itself through the halls of Congress, and it relates to what they call a major question,
    1:16:27 a major policy or economic question, it can’t be done by the stroke of a pen by a regulator,
    1:16:32 an unelected bureaucrat either. That quite literally means most federal regulations today
    1:16:37 are unconstitutional. Then this year comes down a different and big one, another big one from the
    1:16:42 Supreme Court in the Loper Bright case, which held that historically for the last 50 years in this
    1:16:48 country, the doctrine has been, it’s called Chevron deference. It’s a doctrine that says
    1:16:56 that federal courts have to defer to an agency’s interpretation of the law. They now toss that
    1:16:59 out the window and say, “No, no, no, the federal courts no longer have to defer to an agency’s
    1:17:04 interpretation of what the law actually is.” The combination of those two cases is seismic and
    1:17:09 its impact for the regulatory state. There’s also another great case that came down was SEC
    1:17:15 versus Jarkasy. In the SEC is one of these agencies that embodies everything we’re talking about here.
    1:17:22 The SEC, among other agencies, has tribunals inside that not only do they write the rules,
    1:17:27 not only do they enforce those rules, they also have these judges inside the agency that also
    1:17:31 interpret the rules and determine endolot punishments. That doesn’t make sense with,
    1:17:35 if you believe, in separation of powers in the United States. So the Supreme Court put an end
    1:17:38 to that and said that that practice at the SEC is unconstitutional. Actually, as a side note,
    1:17:44 the Supreme Court has said, “Countless practices and rules written by the SEC, the EPA, the FTC,
    1:17:49 and recent years were outright unconstitutional.” Think about what that means for a constitutional
    1:17:56 republic, that supposedly these law enforcement agencies, the courts have now said, especially
    1:18:02 this year, the courts have now said that their own behaviors actually break the law. So the very
    1:18:09 agencies entrusted with supposedly enforcing the law are actually behaving with utter blatant
    1:18:16 disregard for the law itself. That’s un-American. It’s not tenable in the United States of America,
    1:18:21 but thankfully, we now have a Supreme Court that recognizes that. So, you know, whether or not
    1:18:28 we have a second Trump term, well, that’s up to the voters, but even whether or not that
    1:18:33 now takes advantage of that backdrop that the Supreme Court has given us to actually gut
    1:18:39 the regulatory state, we’ll find out. I am optimistic. I certainly think it’s the best chance
    1:18:43 that we’ve had in a generation in this country, and that’s a big part of why I’m supporting
    1:18:48 Donald Trump and why I’m going to do everything in my power to help him. But I do think it is
    1:18:54 going to take a spine of steel to see that through. And then after we’ve taken on the regulatory state,
    1:18:59 I think that’s the next step. But I do think there’s this broader project of dismantling the
    1:19:04 nanny state in all of its forms, the entitlement state, the regulatory state, and the foreign
    1:19:11 policy in any state. Three-word answer, if I was to summarize my worldview and my presidential
    1:19:17 campaign in three words, shut it down. Shut it down. Okay. So the Supreme Court cases you mentioned,
    1:19:23 there’s a lot of nuance there. I guess it’s weakening the immune system of the different
    1:19:28 departments. Yeah, it’s a good way of putting it. Okay. And the human psychology level,
    1:19:34 so you basically kind of implied that for Donald Trump or for any president,
    1:19:41 the legal situation was difficult. Is that the only thing really operating? Like, isn’t it?
    1:19:49 It’s just on a psychological level, just hard to fire a very large number of people. Is that
    1:19:53 what it is? Like, why? Is there a basic civility and momentum going on? Well, I think there’s one
    1:19:58 other factor. So you’re right to point. I mean, the legal backdrop is a valid,
    1:20:04 understandable excuse and reason. I think there are other factors at play too. So I think there’s
    1:20:10 something to be said for never having been in government, showing up there the first time,
    1:20:15 and you’re having to understand the rules of the road as you’re operating within them.
    1:20:23 And also having to depend on people who actually aren’t aligned with your policy vision, but tell
    1:20:27 you to your face that they are. And so I think that’s one of the things that I’ve admired about
    1:20:31 President Trump is he’s actually been very open about that, very humble about that to say that
    1:20:35 there’s a million learnings from that first term that make him ambitious and more ambitious in that
    1:20:39 second term. But everything I’m talking to you about, this is what needs to happen in the country,
    1:20:44 it’s not specific to Donald Trump. It lays out what needs to be done in the country.
    1:20:48 There’s the next four years, Donald Trump is our last best hope and chance for moving that ball
    1:20:55 forward. But I think that the vision I’m laying out here is one that hopefully goes even beyond
    1:21:00 just the next two or four years of really fixing a century’s worth of mistakes. I think we’re going
    1:21:04 to fix a lot of them in the next four years of Donald Trump’s president. But if you have a centuries
    1:21:08 worth of mistakes that have accumulated with the overgrowth of the entitlement state in the US,
    1:21:13 I think it’s going to take probably the better part of a decade at least to actually fix them.
    1:21:22 I disagree with you on both the last and the best hope. Donald Trump is more likely to fire a lot of
    1:21:27 people. But is he the best person to do so? We’ve got two candidates, right? People face a choice.
    1:21:35 This is a relevant election. One of my goals is to speak to people who may not agree with 100%
    1:21:39 of what Donald, who do not agree with 100% of what Donald Trump says. And I can tell them,
    1:21:43 you know what? I don’t agree with 100% of what he says. And I can tell you as somebody who ran
    1:21:48 against him for US president that right now he is, when I say the last best hope, I mean in this
    1:21:55 cycle, the last best hope that we have for dismantling that bureaucratic class. And I think
    1:22:00 that I’m also open about the fact that it’s going to take, this is a long run project,
    1:22:04 but we have the next step to actually, the next step to actually take over the next few years.
    1:22:06 That’s kind of where I land on it. I mean, you talked to him, I guess a few weeks ago,
    1:22:12 I saw you had a podcast with him, right? What was your impression about his preparedness to do it?
    1:22:17 My impression is his priority allocation was different than yours. I think he’s more focused
    1:22:22 on some of the other topics that you are also focused on. And there is attention there,
    1:22:27 just as you’ve clearly highlighted. We share the same priority with respect to the southern border,
    1:22:32 and those are near term fixes that we can hit out of the park in the first year.
    1:22:36 But at the same time, I think we’ve got to think also on decade long time horizon. So
    1:22:42 my own view is, I think that, I think that he, it is my conviction and belief that he does care
    1:22:48 about dismantling that federal bureaucracy, certainly more so than any Republican nominee we
    1:22:54 have had in, certainly in my lifetime. But I do think that there are going to be competing schools
    1:22:59 of thought where some will say, okay, well, we want to create a right wing entitlement state,
    1:23:04 right, to shower federal subsidies on favored industries while keeping them away from disfavored
    1:23:08 industries and new bureaucracies to administer them. And, you know, I don’t come from that
    1:23:13 school of thought. I don’t want to see the bureaucracy expand in a pro-conservative
    1:23:17 direction. I want to see the bureaucracy shrink in every direction. And, you know,
    1:23:22 I do think that from my conversations with Donald Trump, I believe that he is well aligned with
    1:23:26 this vision of shrinking bureaucracy, but that’s a longer term project.
    1:23:30 There’s so many priorities at play here, though. I mean, you really do have to do
    1:23:36 the Elon thing of walking into Twitter headquarters with a sink, right? Let that sink in. That
    1:23:43 basically firing a very large number of people. And it’s, but it’s not just about the firing. It’s
    1:23:49 about setting clear missions for the different departments that remain hiring back because
    1:23:57 you overfire, hiring back based on meritocracy. And it’s a full time. And it’s not, it’s not
    1:24:01 only full time in terms of actual time. It’s full time psychologically because
    1:24:08 you’re walking into a place unlike a company like Twitter, an already successful company.
    1:24:14 In government, I mean, everybody around you, all the experts and the advisors
    1:24:22 are going to tell you you’re wrong. And like, it’s a very difficult psychological place to
    1:24:29 operate in because like you’re constantly the asshole. And I mean, the certainty you have
    1:24:36 to have about what you’re doing is just like nearly infinite because everybody, all the really
    1:24:40 smart people are telling you, no, this is a terrible idea. Sir, this is a terrible idea.
    1:24:46 No, you have to have this spine of steel to cut through what that short term advice is you’re
    1:24:52 getting. And I’ll tell you, certainly, I intend to do whatever I can for this country, both in
    1:24:58 the next four years and beyond. But my voice on this will be crystal clear. And President Trump
    1:25:04 knows that’s my view on it. And I believe he shares it deeply is that all all sequel, getting there
    1:25:11 and shut down as much of the excess bureaucracy as we can do it as quickly as possible. And
    1:25:14 that’s a big part of how we save our country. Okay, I’ll give you an example that’s really
    1:25:20 difficult tension, given your priorities, immigration. There’s an estimated 14 million
    1:25:26 illegal immigrants in the United States. You’ve spoken about mass deportation.
    1:25:35 Yes. That requires a lot of effort, money. I mean, how do you do it? And how does that conflict
    1:25:40 with the shutting it down? Sure. And so it goes back to that original discussion we had is what
    1:25:46 are the few proper roles of the federal government? I gave you two. One is of the government period.
    1:25:51 One is to protect the national borders and sovereignty of the United States,
    1:25:55 and two is to protect private property rights. There’s a lot else. Most of what the government’s
    1:25:58 doing today, both at the federal and state level is something other than those two things.
    1:26:02 But in my book, those are the two things that are the proper function of government.
    1:26:06 So for everything else, the federal government should not be doing. The one thing they should
    1:26:10 be doing is to protect the homeland of the United States of America and the sovereignty and sanctity
    1:26:15 of our national borders. So in that domain, that’s mission aligned with a proper purpose for the
    1:26:19 federal government. I think we’re a nation founded on the rule of law. I say this is the
    1:26:23 kid of legal immigrants. That means your first act of entering this country cannot break the law.
    1:26:28 And in some ways, if I was to summarize a formula for saving the country over the next four years,
    1:26:34 it would be a tale of two mass deportations, the mass deportations of millions of illegals
    1:26:39 who are in this country and should not be, and then the mass deportation of millions of unelected
    1:26:43 federal bureaucrats out of Washington, D.C. Now, all as you could say that those are intention,
    1:26:49 but I think that the reality is anything outside of the scope of what the core function of the
    1:26:54 government is, which is protecting borders and protecting private property rights, that’s really
    1:26:59 where I think the predominant cuts need to be. And if you look at the number of people who are
    1:27:04 looking after the border, it’s not even 0.1 percent of the federal employee base today.
    1:27:10 So 75 percent isn’t 99.99 percent. It’s 75 percent, which still leaves that it would still be a tiny
    1:27:14 fraction of the remaining 25 percent, which I actually think needs to be more rather than less.
    1:27:18 So it’s a good question. But that’s sort of where I land on when it’s a proper role of the federal
    1:27:24 government. Great. Act and actually do your job. The irony is 99.9999 percent of those resources
    1:27:28 are going to functions other than the protection of private property rights and the protection
    1:27:34 of our national physical protection. There is a lot of criticism of the idea of mass deportation,
    1:27:41 though. So one, fair enough, it will cause a large amount of economic harm, at least in the short
    1:27:48 term. The other is there would be potentially violations of our kind of higher ideals of how
    1:27:54 we like to treat human beings, in particular separation of families, for example, tearing
    1:28:00 families apart. And the other is just like the logistical complexity of doing something like
    1:28:05 this. How do you answer some of those criticisms? Fair enough. And I would call those even not
    1:28:08 even criticisms, but just thoughtful questions, right? Even to somebody who’s really aligned
    1:28:13 with doing this. Those are thoughtful questions to ask. So I do want to say something about this
    1:28:20 point on how we think about the breakage of the rule of law and other contexts. There were 350,000
    1:28:25 mothers who were in prison in the United States today who committed crimes and were convicted of
    1:28:30 them. They didn’t take their kids with them to those prisons either, right? So we face difficult
    1:28:35 tradeoffs in all kinds of contexts as it relates to the enforcement of law. And I just want to make
    1:28:39 that basic observation against the backdrop of if we’re a nation founded on the rule of law,
    1:28:45 that we acknowledge that there are tradeoffs to enforcing the law. And we’ve acknowledged that
    1:28:50 in other contexts. I don’t think that we should have a special exemption for saying that somehow
    1:28:54 we weigh the other way when it comes to the issue of the border. We’re a nation founded on the rule
    1:28:59 of law. We enforce laws that has costs, that has tradeoffs, but it’s who we are. So that backdrop
    1:29:05 is the easiest fact I can cite is 350,000 or so mothers who are in prison and did not take
    1:29:11 their kids to prison with them. Is that bad? Is it undesirable for the kids to grow up without
    1:29:18 those 350,000 mothers? It is. But it’s a difficult situation created by people who violated the law
    1:29:23 and faced the consequences of it, which is also competing an important priority in the country.
    1:29:28 So that’s in the domestic context. As it relates to this question of mass deportations, let’s just
    1:29:33 get very practical because all that was theoretical. Very practically, there’s ways to do this. Starting
    1:29:37 with people who have already broken the law, people who have not just broken the law of entering,
    1:29:41 but are committing other crimes while already here in the United States. That’s a clear case
    1:29:45 for an instant mass deportation. You have a lot of people who haven’t integrated into their communities.
    1:29:49 You don’t think about the economic impact of this. A lot of people are in detention already.
    1:29:54 A lot of those people should be immediately returned to their country of origin or at least what is
    1:29:59 called a safe third country. So safe third country means even if somebody is claiming to seek asylum
    1:30:03 from political persecution, well, move them to another country that doesn’t have to be the United
    1:30:07 States of America that they passed through, say Mexico, before actually coming here. Other
    1:30:12 countries around the world are doing this. Australia is detaining people. They don’t let them out and
    1:30:16 live a normal, joyful life because they came to the country. They detain them until their case is
    1:30:21 adjudicated. Well, the rates of fraud in Australia of what people lie about, what their conditions
    1:30:25 are is way lower now than in the United States because people respond to those incentives.
    1:30:30 So I think that in some ways, people make this sound much bigger and scarier than it needs to be.
    1:30:35 I’ve ever taken a deeply pragmatic approach and the North Star for me is I want the policy that
    1:30:40 helps the United States citizens who are already here. What’s that policy? Clearly, that’s going
    1:30:45 to be a policy that includes a large number of deportations. I think by definition, it’s going
    1:30:49 to be the largest mass deportation in American history. Sounds like a punchline at a campaign
    1:30:54 rally, but actually it’s just a factual statement that says if we’ve had the by far largest influx
    1:30:58 of illegal immigrants in American history, it just stands to reason. It’s logic that, okay,
    1:31:02 if we’re going to fix that, we’re going to have the largest mass deportation in American history.
    1:31:05 And it can be rational. Start with people who are breaking the law in other ways here in the
    1:31:11 United States. Start with people who are already in detention or entering detention now. That comes
    1:31:16 at no cost and strict benefit. There isn’t even a little bit of an economic trade-off. Then you
    1:31:19 get to areas where you would say, okay, the costs actually continued outweigh the benefits,
    1:31:25 and that’s exactly the way our policy should be guided here. I want to do it in as respectful
    1:31:32 and as humane of a manner as possible. I mean, the reality is, I think one of the things we
    1:31:37 got to remember, I’ll give you the example I gave with the Haitian case in Springfield,
    1:31:40 town that has spent a lot of time in growing up in Ohio. I live about an hour from there today.
    1:31:45 I don’t blame the individual Haitians who came here. I’m not saying that they’re bad people,
    1:31:49 because in that particular case, those weren’t even people who broke the law in coming here.
    1:31:55 They came as part of a program called temporary protective status. Now, the operative word there
    1:32:00 is the first one, temporary. They have been all kinds of lawsuits. There have been all kinds of
    1:32:06 lawsuits for people who even ate 10, 12, 14 years after the earthquake in Haiti, where many of them
    1:32:10 came when they’re going to be removed, their allegations of racial discrimination or otherwise.
    1:32:15 No, temporary protective status means it’s temporary, and we’re not abandoning the rule of law
    1:32:19 when we send them back. We’re abandoning the rule of law when we let them stay.
    1:32:24 Now, if that has a true benefit to the United States of America economically or otherwise,
    1:32:27 go through the paths that allow somebody to enter this country for economic reasons,
    1:32:32 but don’t do it through asylum-based claims or temporary protective status. I think one of the
    1:32:39 features of our immigration system right now is it is built on a lie and it incentivizes lying.
    1:32:45 The reason is the arguments for keeping people in the country, if those are economic reasons,
    1:32:50 but the people actually entered using claims of asylum or refugee status, those two things
    1:32:55 don’t match up. So just be honest about what our immigration system actually is. I think we do need
    1:33:01 dramatic reforms to the legal immigration system to select purposely for the people who are going
    1:33:06 to actually improve the United States of America. I think there are many people, I know some of them,
    1:33:12 right? I gave a story of one guy who I met who is educated at our best universities or among
    1:33:15 our best universities. He went to Princeton. He went to Harvard Business School. He has a great
    1:33:20 job in the investment community. He was a professional tennis player. He was a concert pianist.
    1:33:24 He could do a Rubik’s Cuban in less than a minute. I’m not making this stuff up. These are hard facts.
    1:33:28 He can’t get a green card in the United States. He’s been here for 10 years or something like this.
    1:33:32 He asked me for the best advice I could give him. I unfortunately could not give him
    1:33:36 the actual best advice, which would be to just take a flight to Mexico and cross the border.
    1:33:39 And claim to be somebody who is seeking asylum in the United States.
    1:33:44 That would have been morally wrong advice. I didn’t give it to him. But practically,
    1:33:47 if you were giving him advice, that would be the best advice that you actually could give
    1:33:51 somebody, which is a broken system on both sides. People who are going to make those
    1:33:55 contributions to the United States and pledge allegiance to the United States and speak our
    1:33:59 language and assimilate, we should have a path for them to be able to add value to the United
    1:34:03 States. Yet they’re not the ones who are getting in. It’s actually the people, our immigration
    1:34:07 system selects for people who are willing to lie. That’s what it does. Selects for people who are
    1:34:11 willing to see their seeking refugee status or seeking asylum when in fact they’re not. And
    1:34:16 then we have policymakers who lie after the fact using economic justifications to keep them here.
    1:34:19 But if it was an economic justification, that should have been the criteria you used to bring
    1:34:24 them in the first place, not this illusion of asylum or refugee status. There was a case,
    1:34:29 actually, even the New York Times reported on this, believe it or not, of a woman who came from Russia
    1:34:39 fleeing Vladimir Putin’s intolerant LGBT, anti-LGBTQ regime. She was fleeing persecution
    1:34:45 by the evil man Putin. She came here and eventually when she was pressed on the series of lies,
    1:34:49 it came out that she was crying finally when she broke down and admitted this. She was like,
    1:34:54 “I’m not even gay. I don’t even like gay people.” That’s what she said. And yet she was pretending
    1:35:00 to be some sort of LGBTQ advocate who was persecuted in Russia when in fact it was just
    1:35:03 somebody who was seeking better economic conditions in the United States. I’m not saying you’re wrong
    1:35:07 to seek better economic conditions in the United States, but you are wrong to lie about it. And
    1:35:14 that’s what you’re seeing a lot of people even in this industry of sort of “tourism” to the United
    1:35:17 States. They’re having their kids in the United States. They go back to their home country,
    1:35:21 but their kids enjoy birthright citizenship. That’s built on a lie. You have people claiming
    1:35:25 to suffer from persecution. In fact, they’re just working in the United States and then living in
    1:35:30 these relative mansions in parts of Mexico or Central America after they’ve spent four or five
    1:35:34 years making money here. Just abandon the lie. Let’s just have an immigration system built on
    1:35:38 honesty. Just tell the truth. If the argument is that we need more people here for economically
    1:35:42 filling jobs, I’m skeptical the extent to which a lot of those arguments actually end up being true,
    1:35:46 but let’s have that debate in the open rather than having it through the backdoor saying that it’s
    1:35:50 refugee in a silent status when we know it’s a lie. And then we justify it after the fact by
    1:35:54 saying that that economically helps the United States cut the dishonesty. And I just think that
    1:35:59 that is a policy we would do well to expand every sphere. We talk about from the military industrial
    1:36:04 complex to the rise of the managerial class to a lot of what our government’s covered up about
    1:36:09 our own history to even this question of immigration today. Just tell the people the truth. And I
    1:36:14 think our government would be better serving our people if it did. Yeah. In the way you describe
    1:36:20 eloquently, the immigration system is broken in that way that is built fundamentally on lies,
    1:36:27 but there’s the other side of it. Illegal immigrants are used in political campaigns
    1:36:33 for fear-mongering, for example. So what I would like to understand is what is the actual
    1:36:41 harm that illegal immigrants are causing? So one of the more intense claims
    1:36:50 is of crime. And I haven’t studied this rigorously, but sort of the surface level
    1:36:56 studies all show that legal and illegal immigrants commit less crime than America.
    1:37:00 I think that is true for legal immigrants. I think it’s not true for illegal immigrants.
    1:37:05 That’s not what I saw. So I, in sort of in this, this part of why I wrote this book,
    1:37:11 okay? And I mean, the book is called Truths. So better darn well have well-sourced facts
    1:37:16 in here, right? Can’t be, can’t be made up hypotheses, hard truths. And there’s a chapter
    1:37:20 where even in my own research on it, Lex, I know a lot about this issue from my time as
    1:37:26 a presidential candidate, but even in writing the chapter on the border here, I learned a lot
    1:37:32 from a lot of different dimensions and some of which even caused me to revise some of my premises
    1:37:38 going into it, okay? My main thesis in that chapter is forget the demonization of illegal or legal
    1:37:43 immigrants or whatever as you put it, right? Fear-mongering, just put all that to one side.
    1:37:52 I want an immigration system that is built on honesty. Identify what the objective is.
    1:37:55 We could debate the objective. We might have different opinions on the objectives.
    1:37:59 Some people may say the objective is the economic growth of the United States. I make that, I air
    1:38:06 that argument in this book. And I think that that’s insufficient personally. Personally, I think
    1:38:11 you need, the United States is more than just an economic zone. It is a country. It is a nation
    1:38:15 bound together by civic ideals. I think we need to screen not just for immigrants who are going
    1:38:20 to make economic contributions, but those who speak our language, those who are able to assimilate,
    1:38:24 and those who share those civic ideals and know the US history even better than the average US
    1:38:28 citizen who’s here. That’s what I believe. But even if you disagree with me and say no, no, no,
    1:38:34 the sole goal is economic production in the United States, then at least have an immigration system
    1:38:40 that’s honest about that rather than one which claims to solve for that goal by bringing in people
    1:38:45 who are rewarded for being a refugee. We should reward the people in that model, which is I don’t
    1:38:48 even think should be the whole model. But even if that were your model, reward the people who are
    1:38:54 demonstrated have demonstrably proven that they would make economic contributions to the United
    1:38:59 States, not the people who have demonstrated that they’re willing to lie to achieve a goal.
    1:39:04 And right now, our immigration system, if it rewards one quality over any other,
    1:39:08 there’s one parameter that it rewards over any other. It isn’t civic allegiance to the United
    1:39:12 States. It isn’t fluency in English. It isn’t the ability to make an economic contribution to
    1:39:18 this country. The number one attribute, human attribute, that our immigration system rewards
    1:39:24 is whether or not you are willing to lie. And the people who are telling those lies about whether
    1:39:28 they’re seeking asylum or not are the ones who are most likely to get in. And the people who are
    1:39:33 most unwilling to tell those lies are the ones who are actually not getting in. That is a hard,
    1:39:39 uncomfortable truth about our immigration system. And the reason is because the law says you only
    1:39:46 get asylum if you’re going to face bodily harm or near term risk of bodily injury based on your
    1:39:51 religion, your ethnicity or certain other factors. And so when you come into the country, you’re asked,
    1:39:55 do you fulfill that criteria or not? And the number one way to get into this country is to
    1:40:00 check the box and say yes. So that means just systematically, imagine if you’re at university,
    1:40:04 Harvard or Yale or whatever, you’re running your admissions process. The number one attribute
    1:40:09 you’re selecting for isn’t your SAT score, isn’t your GPA, isn’t your athletic accomplishments,
    1:40:14 it’s whether or not you’re willing to lie on the application. You’re going to have a class populated
    1:40:19 by a bunch of charlatans and frauds. That’s exactly what our immigration system is doing
    1:40:23 to the United States of America is is literally selecting for the people who are willing to lie.
    1:40:26 Let’s say you have somebody who’s a person of integrity says, okay, I want a better life for
    1:40:30 my family, but I want to teach my kids that I’m not going to lie or break the law to do it.
    1:40:37 That person is infinitely less likely to get into the United States. I know it sounds
    1:40:43 provocative to frame it that way, but it is not an opinion. It is a fact that that is the number
    1:40:48 one human attribute that our current immigration system is selecting for. I want an immigration
    1:40:53 system centered on honesty in order to implement that. We require acknowledging what the goals of
    1:40:57 our immigration system are in the first place. And there we have competing visions on the right,
    1:41:00 okay, amongst conservatives, there’s a rift. Some conservatives believe,
    1:41:04 I respect them for their honesty, I disagree with them, believe that the goal of the immigration
    1:41:11 system should be to in part protect American workers from the effects of foreign wage competition,
    1:41:15 that if we have immigrants going to bring down prices, and we need to protect American workers
    1:41:21 from the effects of that downward pressure on wages. It’s a goal. It’s a coherent goal. I don’t
    1:41:24 think it’s the right goal, but many of my friends on the right believe that’s a goal. But at least
    1:41:28 it’s honest, and then we can design an honest immigration system to achieve that goal if that’s
    1:41:32 their goal. I have other friends on the right that say the sole goal is economic growth.
    1:41:37 Nothing else matters. I disagree with that as well. My view is the goal should be whatever
    1:41:44 enriches the civic quality of the United States of America. That includes those who know the language,
    1:41:48 know our ideals, pledge allegiance to those ideals, and also willing to make economic
    1:41:52 contributions to the country, which is one of our ideals as well. But whatever it is,
    1:41:57 we can have that debate. I have a very different view. I don’t think it’s a proper role of immigration
    1:42:01 policy to make it a form of labor policy, because the United States of America is found on excellence.
    1:42:04 We should be able to compete. But that’s a policy debate we can have. But right now,
    1:42:08 we’re not even able to have the policy debate because the whole immigration policy
    1:42:13 is built on not only a lie, but on rewarding those who do lie. And that’s what I want to see change.
    1:42:19 They’re just to linger a little bit on the demonization and to bring Ann Coulter into the
    1:42:25 picture. Her, which I recommend, people should listen to your conversation with her.
    1:42:33 I haven’t listened to her much. But she had this thing where she clearly admires and respects you
    1:42:40 as a human being. And she’s basically saying you’re one of the good ones. And this idea that you had
    1:42:46 this brilliant question of like, what does it mean to be an American? And she basically said,
    1:42:56 not you, Vivek. She said, well, maybe maybe you, but not people like you. So that whole kind of
    1:43:02 approach to immigration, I think is really anti-meritocratic. Fundamental. Maybe even
    1:43:07 anti-American. Anti-American, yeah. So I want to confront this directly because it is a popular
    1:43:11 current on the American right. The reason I’m not picking on Ann Coulter specifically is I think
    1:43:15 actually it’s a much more widely shared view. And I just give her at least credit for willing to
    1:43:22 articulate it, a view that the blood and soil is what makes for your American identity, your
    1:43:27 genetic lineage. And I just reject that view. I think it’s anti-American. I think what makes for
    1:43:33 an American identity is your allegiance, your unabiding allegiance to the founding ideals of
    1:43:38 this country, and your willingness to pledge allegiance to those ideals. So those are two
    1:43:43 different views. I think that there is a view on the American right right now that says that we’re
    1:43:50 not a creedole nation, that our nation’s not about a creed. It’s about a physical place and a physical
    1:43:58 homeland. I think that view fails on several accounts. Obviously, we’re a nation. Every nation
    1:44:01 has to have a geographic space that it defines its own. So obviously, we are among other things
    1:44:06 a geographic space. But the essence of the United States of America, I think, is the common creed,
    1:44:12 the ideals that hold that common nation together. Without that, a few things happen.
    1:44:17 First of all, American exceptionalism becomes impossible. And I’ll tell you why.
    1:44:24 Every other nation is also built on the same idea. Most nations have been built on
    1:44:28 common blood and soil arguments, genetic stock of, you know, Italy or Japan would have a stronger
    1:44:32 national identity than the United States in that case, because they have a much longer standing
    1:44:38 claim on what their genetic lineage really was. The ethnicity of the people is far more pure in
    1:44:41 those in those contexts than in the United States. So that’s the first reason American
    1:44:46 exceptionalism becomes impossible. The second is there’s all kinds of contradictions that then
    1:44:52 start to emerge. If your claim on American identity is defined based on how long you’ve been here,
    1:44:58 well, then the Native Americans would have a far greater claim of being American than somebody who
    1:45:04 came here on the Mayflower or somebody who came here afterwards. Now, maybe that blood and soil
    1:45:07 views are no, it’s not quite the Native Americans, you only have to start at this point and end at
    1:45:11 this point. So on this view of blood and soil identity has to be okay, you couldn’t have come
    1:45:15 before a certain year, then it doesn’t count. But if you came after a certain year, it doesn’t
    1:45:20 count either. That just becomes highly uncompelling as a view of what American national identity
    1:45:24 actually is versus my view that American national identity is grounded on whether or not you pledge
    1:45:30 allegiance to the ideals codified in the Declaration of Independence and actualized in the U.S.
    1:45:35 Constitution. And, you know, it’s been said, some of my friends on the right have said things like,
    1:45:41 you know, people will not die for a set of ideals. People won’t fight for abstractions or
    1:45:47 abstract ideals. I actually disagree with that. The American Revolution basically disproves that.
    1:45:53 The American Revolution was fought for anything over abstract ideals that said that, you know what,
    1:45:57 we believe in self-governance and free speech and free exercise of religion. That’s what we
    1:46:01 believe in the United States, which was different from Old World England. So I do think that there
    1:46:05 is this brewing debate on the right. And do I disagree like hell with Ann Coulter on this?
    1:46:10 Absolutely. And did I take serious issue with some of the things she told me? Absolutely.
    1:46:17 But I also believe that she had the stones to say, if I may say it that way, the things that
    1:46:22 many on the right believe, but haven’t quite articulated in the way that she has. And I think
    1:46:25 we need to have that debate in the open. Now, personally, I think most of the conservative
    1:46:30 movement actually is with me on this. But I think it’s become a very popular counter narrative in
    1:46:35 the other direction to say that your vision of American identity is tied, is far more physical
    1:46:40 in nature. And to me, I think it is still ideals-based in nature. And I think that that’s a good
    1:46:44 debate for the future for us to have in the conservative movement. And I think it’s going to
    1:46:50 be a defining feature of what direction the conservative movement goes in the future.
    1:46:52 Quick pause. Bathroom break? Yeah.
    1:46:59 Let me ask you to, again, steal me on the case for and against Trump. So my biggest criticism
    1:47:07 for him is the fake election scheme, the 2020 election, and actually the 2020 election
    1:47:12 in the way you formulated it in the nation of victims. It’s just the entirety of that process
    1:47:20 instead of focusing on winning, doing a lot of whining. I like people that win, not whine,
    1:47:24 even when the refs are biased in whatever direction.
    1:47:28 So look, I think the United States of America, I preach this to the left.
    1:47:33 I preach it to my kids. We got to accept it on our own side too. We’re not going to save this
    1:47:37 country by being victims. We’re going to save this country by being victorious. Okay. And I don’t
    1:47:41 care whether it’s left wing victimhood, right wing victimhood, I’m against victimhood culture.
    1:47:45 The number one factor that determines whether you achieve something in life
    1:47:50 is you. I believe that’s not the only factor that matters. There’s a lot of other factors that
    1:47:54 affect whether or not you succeed. Life is not fair. But I tell my kids the same thing,
    1:47:58 the number one factor that determines whether or not you succeed in achieving your goal is you.
    1:48:02 If I tell it to my kids and I preach it to the left, I’m going to preach that to our own side
    1:48:07 as well. Now, that being said, that’s just a philosophy. Okay. That’s a personal philosophy.
    1:48:11 You asked me to do something different and I’m always a fan. One of the things that,
    1:48:15 the standard I hope that people hold me to when they read this book as well as I try to do that
    1:48:18 in this book is to give the best possible argument for the other side. You don’t want to give some
    1:48:23 rinky dink argument for the other side and knock it down. You want to give the best possible argument
    1:48:28 for the other side and then offer your own view or else you don’t understand your own.
    1:48:34 So you asked me, what’s the strongest case against Donald Trump? Well, I ran for US
    1:48:38 president against Donald Trump. So I’m going to give you what my perspective is. I think it’s
    1:48:43 nothing of what you hear on MSNBC or from the left attacking him to be a threat to democracy.
    1:48:49 I think all of that’s actually nonsense. I actually think it is, if you were making that case,
    1:48:54 you know, and here’s my full support as you know, but if you were making that case,
    1:48:59 I think for many voters who are of the next generation, they’re asking a question about
    1:49:04 how are you going to understand the position that I’m in as a member of a new generation,
    1:49:08 the same criticism they had of Biden, they could say, oh, well, are you too old? Are you from a
    1:49:13 different generation that’s too far removed from my generation’s concerns? And I think that that’s,
    1:49:18 in many ways, a factor that weighs on, that was weighing on both Trump and Biden. But when they
    1:49:24 played the trick of swapping out Joe Biden, it left that issue much more on the table for Donald
    1:49:28 Trump. So you asked me to steal, man, that’s what I would say is that when I look at what’s the number
    1:49:33 one issue that I would need to persuade independent voters of to say that, no, no, no, this is still
    1:49:38 the right choices. Even though the other side claims to offer a new generation of leadership,
    1:49:42 here’s somebody who is, you know, one of the older presidents we all have had who was elected,
    1:49:46 how do we convince those people to vote from? That’s what I would give you in that category.
    1:49:51 Right. But I get it. And you share a lot of ideas with Donald Trump. So I get,
    1:49:54 when you’re running for president, that you would say that kind of thing.
    1:50:00 But there’s, you know, there’s other criticism you could provide. And again, on the 2020 election,
    1:50:06 let me ask you, I mean, you spoke to Donald Trump recently, what’s your top objection to
    1:50:10 potentially voting for Donald Trump? And let me see if I can address that 2020 election and not in
    1:50:21 the, what is it, TDS kind of objection. It’s just, I don’t think there’s clear definitive evidence
    1:50:27 that there was a vote of fraud. Let me just give it a different area. Hold on a second, hold on a
    1:50:33 second, hold on a second. I think there’s a lot of interesting topics about the influence of media,
    1:50:40 of tech and so on. But I want a president that has a good, clear relationship with the truth
    1:50:47 and knows what truth is, what is true and what is not true. And moreover, I want a person
    1:50:55 who doesn’t play victim, like you said, who focuses on winning and winning big. And if they lose,
    1:51:04 like walk away with honor and win bigger next time or like channel that into growth and winning,
    1:51:09 winning in some other direction. So it’s just like the strength of being able to
    1:51:13 give everything you got to win and walk away with honor if you lose. And
    1:51:20 everything that happened around 2020 election is just goes against that to me.
    1:51:23 So I’ll respond to that. Sure. Obviously, I’m not the candidate,
    1:51:28 but I’m going to give you my perspective nonetheless. I think we have seen some growth
    1:51:34 from Donald Trump over that first term in the experience of the 2020 election. And you hear
    1:51:37 a lot of that on the campaign trial. I heard a lot of that even in the conversation that he had
    1:51:43 with you. I think he is more ambitious for that second term than he was for that first term.
    1:51:48 So I thought that was the most interesting part of what you just said is you’re looking for somebody
    1:51:53 who has growth from their own experiences. Say what you will, I have seen personally,
    1:51:59 I believe, some meaningful level of personal growth and ambition for what Donald Trump hopes
    1:52:04 to achieve for the country in the second term that he wasn’t able to, for one reason or another.
    1:52:08 COVID, you could put a lot of different things on it, but in that first term.
    1:52:14 Now, I think the facts of the backdrop of the 2020 election actually really do matter. I don’t
    1:52:20 think you can isolate one particular aspect of criticizing the 2020 election without looking at
    1:52:29 it holistically. On the eve of the 2020 presidential election, we saw a systematic, bureaucratically
    1:52:35 and government-aided suppression of probably the single most important piece of information released
    1:52:41 in the eve of that election, the Hunter Biden laptop story, revealing potentially a compromised
    1:52:44 U.S. presidential candidate. His family was compromised by foreign interests,
    1:52:52 and it was suppressed as misinformation by every major tech company. The New York Post had its own
    1:52:57 Twitter account locked at that time, and we now know that many of the censorship decisions made
    1:53:03 in the year 2020 were actually made at behest of U.S. bureaucratic actors in the deep state,
    1:53:07 threatening those tech companies to do it, or else those tech companies would face consequence.
    1:53:11 I think it might be the most undemocratic thing that’s happened in the history of our country,
    1:53:18 actually, is the way in which government actors who were never elected to the government used
    1:53:24 private sector actors to suppress information on the eve of an election that, based on polling
    1:53:30 afterwards, likely did influence the outcome of the 2020 presidential election. That was election
    1:53:34 interference of the highest order. So I think that that’s just a hard fact that we have to contend
    1:53:38 with. And I think a lot of what you’ve heard in terms of complaints about the 2020 election,
    1:53:45 whatever those complaints have been, take place against the backdrop of large technology companies
    1:53:49 interfering in that election in a way that I think did have an impact on the outcome.
    1:53:53 I personally believe the Hunter Biden laptop story had not been suppressed and censored.
    1:53:56 I think Donald Trump would have been unambiguous. I think the President of the United States right
    1:54:00 now would be Donald Trump. No doubt about it, in my mind. If you look at polling before and
    1:54:05 after and the impact that would have had on the independent voter. Now you look at, okay,
    1:54:09 let’s talk about constructive solutions because I care about moving the country forward. What is a
    1:54:17 constructive solution to this issue of concerns about election integrity? Here’s one. Single day
    1:54:24 voting on election day as a national holiday with paper ballots and government issued voter ID
    1:54:29 to match the voter file. I favor that. We do it even in Puerto Rico, which is a territory of the
    1:54:34 United States. Why not do that everywhere in the United States? And I’ll make a pledge. I’ll do it
    1:54:43 right here, right? My pledge is as a leader in our movement, I will do everything in my power to
    1:54:50 make sure we are done complaining about stolen elections. If we get to that simple place of
    1:54:55 basic election security measures, I think they’d be unifying to make election day a national holiday
    1:54:59 that unites us around our civic purpose one day. Single day voting on election day as a national
    1:55:05 holiday with paper ballots and government issued voter ID to match the voter file. Let’s get there
    1:55:11 as a country, and you have my word, I will lead our movement in whatever way I can to make sure we
    1:55:18 are done complaining about stolen elections and fake ballots. And I think the fact that you see
    1:55:24 resistance to that proposal, which is otherwise very practical, very reasonable, nonpartisan
    1:55:31 proposal, I think the fact of that resistance actually provokes a lot of understandable skepticism.
    1:55:39 Understandable skepticism of, okay, what else is actually going on? If not, if not that, what
    1:55:46 exactly is going on here? Well, I think I agree with a lot of things you said. Probably disagree,
    1:55:52 but it’s hard to disagree with a Hunter Biden laptop story, whether that would have changed
    1:55:55 the results of the election. We can’t know, obviously. I looked at some post-election polling
    1:56:00 about the views that that would have had, and I can’t prove that to you, but that’s my instinct,
    1:56:07 it’s my opinion. I think there’s probably, that’s just one example, maybe a sexy example of a bias
    1:56:15 in the complex of the media. And there’s bias in the other direction too, but probably there’s
    1:56:19 bias, it’s hard to characterize bias as one of the problems. Let me ask you one question about,
    1:56:25 because bias is one thing, bias in reporting, censorship is another. So I would be open-minded
    1:56:34 to hearing an instance of, and if I did hear it, I would condemn it, of the government systematically
    1:56:41 ordering tech companies to suppress information that was favorable to Democrats, suppress that
    1:56:47 information to lift up Republicans. If there was an instance that we know of government bureaucrats
    1:56:54 that were ordering technology companies covertly to silence information that voters otherwise would
    1:56:59 have had to advantage Republicans at the ballot box to censor it, I would be against that. And I
    1:57:04 would condemn that with equal force as I do to the suppression of the Hunter Biden laptop story,
    1:57:09 suppression and censorship of the origin of COVID-19. All happened in 2020, these are hard facts.
    1:57:16 I’m not aware of one instance. If you are aware of one, let me know because I would condemn it.
    1:57:21 Most people in tech companies are privately, they’re political persuasions on the left,
    1:57:30 and most journalists, majority of journalists are on the left. But to characterize the actual
    1:57:36 reporting and the impact of the reporting in the media and the impact of the censorship
    1:57:41 is difficult to do. But that’s a real problem, just like we talked about a real problem in
    1:57:45 immigration. There’s two different problems, I just want to sort them out, right? Because I have
    1:57:48 a problem with both, you talked about two issues, I think both are important, but they’re different
    1:57:57 issues. One is bias in reporting. One is censorship of information. So bias in reporting, I felt
    1:58:02 certainly the recent presidential debate moderated by ABC was biased in the way that it was conducted.
    1:58:10 But that’s a different issue from saying that voters don’t get access to information through
    1:58:16 any source. So this hundred-bind laptop story, we now know that it contains evidence of foreign
    1:58:21 interference in potentially the Biden administration and their family’s incentive structure.
    1:58:27 That story was systematically suppressed. So in the United States of America, if you wanted
    1:58:32 to find that on the internet, through any major social media platform or through even Google
    1:58:40 search, that story was suppressed or downplayed algorithmically, that you couldn’t see it. Even
    1:58:45 on Twitter, if you tried to send it via direct message, that’s the equivalent of email, right,
    1:58:50 sending a peer-to-peer message, they blocked you from even being able to send that story using
    1:58:56 private messages. That I think is a different level of concern. That’s not bias at that point.
    1:59:01 That’s outright interference in whether or not, you know, that’s outright interference in the
    1:59:06 election. Let’s do a thought experiment here. Let’s suppose that Russia orchestrated that.
    1:59:13 What would the backlash be? Let’s say the Russian government orchestrated the U.S. election, they
    1:59:18 interfered in it by saying that tech companies, they worked with them covertly to stop U.S. citizens
    1:59:23 from being able to see information on the evenment election. There would be a mass uproar in this
    1:59:27 country if the Russian government orchestrated that. Well, if actors in the U.S. government
    1:59:32 bureaucracy or the U.S. technology industry bureaucracy orchestrated the same thing,
    1:59:36 then we can’t apply a different standard to say that if Russia did it,
    1:59:40 it’s really bad and interfered in our election. But if it happened right here in the United States
    1:59:44 of America, and by the way, they blamed Russia for it falsely on the Russian disinformation
    1:59:49 of the Hunterbein laptop story that was false claim, we have to apply the same standard in both
    1:59:52 cases. And so the fact that if that were Russian interference, it would have been an outcry,
    1:59:56 but now it happened domestically and we just call that, hey, it’s a little bit of bias ahead of an
    2:00:00 election. I don’t think that that’s a fair characterization of how important that event
    2:00:08 was. Okay. So the connection of government to platform should not exist. The government FBI
    2:00:14 or anybody else should not be able to pressure platforms to censor information. Yes, we could
    2:00:19 talk about Poladurov and the censorship there. There should not be any censorship and there’s
    2:00:25 not should not be media bias. And you’re right to complain if there is media bias,
    2:00:31 and we can lay it out in the open and try to fix that system. That said, the voter fraud thing,
    2:00:38 you can’t right a wrong by doing another wrong. You can’t just, if there’s some shitty,
    2:00:43 shady stuff going on in the media and the censorship complex, you can’t just make shit up.
    2:00:49 You can’t do the fake, fake electro scheme and then do a lot of shady, crappy behavior during
    2:00:56 January 6th and try to like shortcut your way just because your friend is cheating a monopoly when
    2:01:00 you’re playing monopoly. You can’t cheat. You shouldn’t cheat yourself. You should be honest
    2:01:09 and like with honor and use your platform to help fix the system versus like cheat your way.
    2:01:15 So here’s my view is, has any US politician ever been perfect throughout the course of American
    2:01:21 history? No. But do you want to, if you want to understand the essence of what was going around
    2:01:26 in 2020, the mindset of the country, we had a year where people in this country were systematically
    2:01:32 locked down, told to shut up, sit down, do as they’re told, unless they’re BLM or Antifa rioters,
    2:01:36 in which case it’s perfectly fine for them to burn cities down. We were told that we’re going to have
    2:01:40 an election, a free and fair election, and then they were denied information systematically heading
    2:01:45 into that election, which is really important and in this case, damning information about one of the
    2:01:51 parties. And then you tell these people that they still have to continue to shut up and comply.
    2:01:57 That creates, I think, a real culture of deep frustration in the United States of America.
    2:02:03 And I think that the reaction to systematic censorship is never good. History teaches us that.
    2:02:07 It’s not good in the United States. It’s not good at another point in the history of the United States.
    2:02:12 The reaction to systematic coordinated censorship and restraints on the freedom of a free people
    2:02:18 is never good. And if you want to really understand what happened, one really wants to get to the
    2:02:23 bottom of it rather than figuring out who to point fingers at. That really was the essence of
    2:02:31 the national malaise at the end of 2020 is it was a year of unjust policies, including COVID-19
    2:02:37 lockdowns, systematic lies about it, lies about the election, that created a level of public
    2:02:45 frustration that I think was understandable. Now, the job of leaders is to how do you channel that
    2:02:50 in the most productive direction possible? And to your question, to the independent voter out
    2:02:57 there evaluating, as you are, do I think that Donald Trump has exhibited a lot of growth based on
    2:03:00 his experience in his first term and what he hopes to achieve in his second term? I think the answer
    2:03:06 is absolutely yes. And so even if you don’t agree with everything that he’s said or done in the
    2:03:11 choice ahead of us in this election, I still believe he’s unambiguously the best choice to
    2:03:18 revive that sense of national pride and also prosperity in our country. So people aren’t
    2:03:23 in the condition where they’re suffering at behest of government policies that leave them
    2:03:28 angry and channel that anger in other unproductive ways. No, the best way to do it is actually
    2:03:33 actions do speak louder than words, implement the policies that make people’s lives better.
    2:03:35 And I do think that that’s the next step of how we best save the country.
    2:03:44 Are you worried if in this election, it’s a close election, and Donald Trump loses by a
    2:03:50 whisker that there’s chaos that’s unleashed? And how do we minimize the chance of that?
    2:03:56 I mean, I don’t think that that’s a concern to frame narrowly in the context of Donald Trump
    2:04:03 winning it or losing it by a whisker. I think this is a man who in the last couple of months,
    2:04:09 in a span of two months, has faced two assassination attempts. And we’re not talking about
    2:04:16 theoretical attempts. We’re talking about gunshots fired. That is history changing in the context of
    2:04:20 American history. We haven’t seen that in a generation. And yet now that has become normalized
    2:04:26 in the US. So do I worry we’re skating on thin ice as a country? I do. I do think it is a little bit
    2:04:35 strange to obsess over our concerns or national or media concerns over Donald Trump when, in fact,
    2:04:42 he’s the one on the receiving end of fire from assailants who reportedly are saying exactly the
    2:04:49 kinds of things about him that you hear from the Democratic machine. And I do think that it is
    2:04:55 irresponsible at least for the Democratic Party to make their core case against Donald Trump.
    2:05:00 It was Joe Biden’s entire message for years that he’s a threat to democracy and to the existence
    2:05:04 of America. Well, if you keep saying that about somebody against the backdrop conditions that
    2:05:10 we live in as a country, I don’t think that’s good for a nation. And so do I have concerns
    2:05:14 about the future of the country? Do I think we’re skating on thin ice? Absolutely. And I think the
    2:05:21 best way around it is really through it. Through it in this election, win by a landslide. I think
    2:05:25 a unifying landslide could be the best thing that happens for this country, like Reagan delivered
    2:05:31 in 1980, and then again in 1984. And in a very practical note, a landslide minus some shenanigans
    2:05:36 is still going to be a victory. That, I think, is how we unite this country. And so I don’t think
    2:05:44 a 50.001 margin where cable news is declaring the winner six days after the election, I don’t
    2:05:49 think that’s going to be good for the country. I think a decisive victory that unites the country
    2:05:53 turns the page on a lot of the challenges in the last four years and says, okay, this is where
    2:05:58 we’re going. This is who we are and what we stand for. This is a revival of our national identity
    2:06:03 and revive national pride in the United States, regardless of whether you’re a Democrat or Republican.
    2:06:07 That, I think, is achievable in this election too. And that’s what the outcome I’m rooting for.
    2:06:14 So just to pile on, since we’re stealing the criticism against Trump as the rhetoric,
    2:06:22 I wish there was less of, although at times it is so ridiculous, it is entertaining,
    2:06:30 the I hate Taylor Swift type of tweets or truths or whatever. I don’t think that’s-
    2:06:34 He’s a funny guy. I mean, the reality is different people have different attributes.
    2:06:40 One of the attributes for Donald Trump is he’s one of the funnier presidents we’ve had in a
    2:06:43 long time. That might not be everybody’s cup of tea. Maybe it’s different people don’t want.
    2:06:46 That’s not a quality they value in their president. I think at a moment where you’re
    2:06:51 also able to make, I will say this much, is everybody’s got different styles,
    2:06:56 Donald Trump style is different from mine. But I do think that if we’re able to use
    2:07:02 levity in a moment of national division, in some ways, I think right now is probably a role where
    2:07:06 really good standup comedians could probably do a big service to the country if they’re able to
    2:07:10 laugh at everybody 360 degrees. So they can go up there and make fun of Donald Trump all they want,
    2:07:15 do it in a light-hearted and manner that loves the country, do the same thing to Kamala Harris
    2:07:20 with an equal standard. I think that’s actually good for the country. But I think I’m more
    2:07:24 interested, Lex, as you know, in discussing the future direction of the country, my own views.
    2:07:28 I was a presidential candidate who ran against Donald Trump, by the way, and is supporting him now,
    2:07:35 but I just prefer engaging on the substance of what I think each candidate is going to achieve
    2:07:40 for the country, rather than picking on really the personal attributes of either one, right?
    2:07:45 I’m not criticizing Kamala Harris’s manner of laugh or whatever, you know, one might criticize
    2:07:49 as like a personal attribute of hers that you may hear elsewhere. And I just think our country is
    2:07:56 better off if we have a focus on both the policies, but also who’s going to be more likely to revive
    2:08:00 the country. That I think is a healthy debate headed in an election. I think everybody has their
    2:08:05 personality attributes, their flaws, what makes them funny and lovable to some people, makes
    2:08:09 them irritating to others. I think that that matters less, heading into an election.
    2:08:16 I love that you do that. I love that you focus on policy and can speak for hours on policy.
    2:08:21 Let’s look at foreign policy. Sure. What kind of peace deal do you think is possible,
    2:08:29 feasible, optimal in Ukraine? If you sat down, you became president.
    2:08:34 If you sat down with Zelensky and sat down with Putin, what do you think it’s possible
    2:08:40 to talk to them about? One of the hilarious things you did, which were intense and entertaining,
    2:08:47 your debates in the primary. But anyway, it’s how you grilled the other candidates that didn’t know
    2:08:55 any regions. They wanted to send money and troops and lead to the deaths of hundreds of
    2:09:00 thousands of people and they didn’t know any of the regions in Ukraine. You had a lot of zingers
    2:09:05 in that one. But anyway, how do you think about negotiating with world leaders about what’s going
    2:09:10 on there? Yeah, so look, I think that let’s just get the self-interest of each party on the table
    2:09:16 and to be very transparent about it. From everyone’s perspective, they think the other side is the
    2:09:25 aggressor or whatever. Just get it on the table. Russia is concerned about NATO shifting the
    2:09:30 balance of power away from Russia to Western Europe when NATO has expanded far more than they
    2:09:36 expected to. And frankly, that Russia was told that NATO was going to expand. It’s an uncomfortable
    2:09:40 fact for some in America, but James Baker made a commitment to Mikhail Gorbachev
    2:09:44 in the early ’90s where he said NATO would expand not one inch past East Germany.
    2:09:48 Well, NATO’s expanded far more after the fall of the USSR than it did during the existence of the
    2:09:54 USSR. And that is a reality we have to contend with. That’s the Russian perspective. From
    2:09:58 the Western perspective, the hard fact is Russia was the aggressor in this conflict crossing the
    2:10:04 boundaries of a sovereign nation. And that is a violation of international norms. And it’s a
    2:10:08 violation of the recognition of international law of nations without borders or not a nation. And so
    2:10:12 against that backdrop, what’s the actual interest of each country here?
    2:10:19 I think if we’re able to do a reasonable deal that gives Russia the assurances it needs about
    2:10:23 what they might allege as NATO expansionism violating prior commitments,
    2:10:28 but get codified commitments for Russia that we’re not going to see willy-nilly behavior
    2:10:33 of just randomly deciding they’re going to violate the sovereignty of neighboring nations and have
    2:10:38 hard assurances and consequences for that, that’s the beginnings of a deal. But then I want to be
    2:10:43 ambitious for the United States. I want to weaken the Russia-China alliance. And I think that we
    2:10:52 can do a deal that requires, that gives some real gives to Russia conditioned on Russia with drawing
    2:10:56 itself from its military alliance with China. And this could be good for Russia too in the long
    2:11:01 run because right now, Vladimir Putin does not enjoy being Xi Jinping’s little brother in that
    2:11:07 relationship. But Russia’s military combined with China’s naval capacity and Russia’s hypersonic
    2:11:12 missiles and China’s economic might, together those countries in an alliance pose a real threat
    2:11:17 to the United States. But if as a condition for a reasonable discussion about where different
    2:11:23 territories land, given what’s occupied right now, hard requirements that Russia remove its
    2:11:28 military presence from the Western Hemisphere, people forget this, Cuba, Venezuela, Nicaragua,
    2:11:32 we don’t want a Russian military presence in the Western Hemisphere, that too would be a win for
    2:11:38 the United States. No more joint military exercises with China off the coast of the Aleutian Islands.
    2:11:42 The kinds of wins that the United States wants to protect the West’s security, get Russia out
    2:11:48 of the Western Hemisphere, certainly out of the North American periphery, and then also make sure
    2:11:52 that Russia’s no longer in that military alliance with China. In return for that, able to provide
    2:11:57 Russia some things that are important to Russia, we’d have to have a reasonable discussion about
    2:12:02 what the territorial concessions would be at the end of this war to bring it to peace and resolution,
    2:12:05 and what the guarantees are to make sure that NATO’s going to not expand beyond the scope of
    2:12:10 what the United States has at least historically guaranteed. That I think together would be a
    2:12:17 reasonable deal that gives every party what they’re looking for that results in immediate peace,
    2:12:22 that results in greater stability, and most importantly, weakening the Russia-China alliance,
    2:12:27 which I think is the actual threat that we have so far, no matter who in this
    2:12:32 debate, more or less, Ukraine funding has really failed to confront. That I think is the way we
    2:12:38 de-escalate the risk of World War III and weaken the threats to the West by actually dismantling
    2:12:45 that alliance. So from the American perspective, the main interest is weakening the alliance between
    2:12:50 Russia and China. Yes. I think the military alliance between Russia and China represents
    2:12:56 the single greatest threat we face. So do a deal that’s very reasonable across the board, but one
    2:13:02 of the main things we get out of it is weakening that alliance, so no joint military exercises,
    2:13:06 no military collaborations. These are monitorable attributes. If there’s cheating on that,
    2:13:11 we’re going to immediately have consequences as a consequence of their cheating,
    2:13:16 but we can’t cheat on our own obligations that we would make in the context of that deal as well.
    2:13:22 There might be some extremely painful things for Ukraine here. So Ukraine currently captured a
    2:13:28 small region in Russia, the Kyrgyz region, but Russia has captured giant chunks. Then yes,
    2:13:33 Kulhansk, Sepadezhnyi, Hurshan regions. So it seems given what you’re laying out,
    2:13:37 it’s very unlikely for Russia to give up any of the regions that’s already captured.
    2:13:41 I actually think that that would come down to the specifics of the negotiation,
    2:13:46 but the core goals of the negotiation are peace in this war, weaken the Russia-China alliance,
    2:13:50 and for Russia, what did they get out of it? Part of this is here’s something that’s not negative
    2:13:54 for Ukraine, but that could be positive for Russia as part of that deal, because it’s
    2:13:59 not a zero-sum game alone with Ukraine on the losing end of this. I think reopening economic
    2:14:04 relations with the West would be a big win for Russia, but also a carrot that gets them out of
    2:14:09 that military relationship with China. So I do think that the foreign policy establishment has
    2:14:15 historically been, at the very least, unimaginative about the levers that we’re able to use.
    2:14:19 Actually, I was a little bit critical of Nixon earlier in this discussion for his
    2:14:23 contribution to the overgrowth of the U.S. entitlement state and regulatory state,
    2:14:28 but I’ll give Nixon credit here on a different point, which is that he was imaginative of being
    2:14:35 able to pull Red China out from the clasp of the USSR. He broke the China-Russia alliance back then,
    2:14:39 which was an important step to bring us to the near end of the Cold War. So I think there’s an
    2:14:45 opportunity for a similar unconventional maneuver now of using greater reopened economic relations
    2:14:50 with Russia to pull Russia out from the hands of China today. There’s no skin off Ukraine’s back
    2:14:54 for that, and I do think that’s a big carrot for Russia in this direction. I do think that will
    2:15:00 involve some level of territorial negotiation as well, that out of any good deal, not everyone’s
    2:15:04 going to like 100% of what comes out of it, but that’s part of the cost of securing peace is that
    2:15:09 not everyone’s going to be happy about every attribute. But I could make a case that an
    2:15:15 immediate peace deal is also now in the best interests of Ukraine. Let’s just rewind the clock.
    2:15:20 We’re looking at now, let’s just say, we’re early 2022, maybe June of 2022. Zelensky was
    2:15:26 ready to come to the table for a deal back then until Boris Johnson traveled when he had his
    2:15:31 own domestic political travails to convince Zelensky to continue to fight. And that goes to the
    2:15:35 point where when nations aren’t asked to pay for their own national security, they have what the
    2:15:40 problem is of moral hazard of taking risks that really are suboptimal risks for them to take,
    2:15:44 because they’re not bearing the consequences of taking those risks, not fully in the cost.
    2:15:51 If Ukraine had done a deal back then, I think it is unambiguous that they would have done
    2:15:57 a better deal for themselves than they’re doing now after having spent hundreds of billions of
    2:16:04 dollars and expended tens of thousands of Ukrainian lives. So the idea that Ukraine is
    2:16:09 somehow better off because it failed to do that deal before is a lie. And if we’re not willing to
    2:16:14 learn from those mistakes of the recent past, we’re doomed to repeat them again. So this idea
    2:16:19 that it would be painful for Ukraine, you know, it’s been painful, tens and tens and tens of thousands
    2:16:24 of people continuing to die without any increased leverage in actually getting the outcome that
    2:16:29 they want. So I think there’s an opportunity for a win-win-win, a win for the United States in the
    2:16:34 West more broadly, in weakening the Russia-China alliance, a win for Ukraine in having an agreement
    2:16:39 that is backstopped by the United States of America’s interests that provides a greater degree
    2:16:44 of long-run security to the future existence of Ukraine and its sovereignty, and also stopping
    2:16:49 the bloodshed today, and I think a win for Russia, which is to reopen economic relations with the
    2:16:55 West and have certain guarantees about what the mission creep or scope creep of NATO will be.
    2:17:01 There’s no rule that says that when one party, before a full outright world war starts at least,
    2:17:06 there’s an opportunity for there to actually be a win for everybody on the table rather than to
    2:17:11 assume that a win for us is a loss to Russia or that anything positive that happens for Russia
    2:17:16 is a loss for the United States or Ukraine. Just to add to the table some things that Putin won’t
    2:17:23 like, but I think are possible to negotiate, which is Ukraine joining the European Union and not NATO.
    2:17:30 So establishing some kind of economic relationships there and also splitting the bill,
    2:17:37 sort of guaranteeing some amount of money from both the Russia and the United States for rebuilding
    2:17:46 Ukraine. One of the challenges in Ukraine, a war-torn country, is how do you guarantee
    2:17:52 the flourishing of this particular nation? So you want to not just stop the death of people
    2:17:58 and the destruction, but also provide a foundation on which you can rebuild the country and build a
    2:18:01 flourishing future country. I think out of this conversation alone,
    2:18:08 there are a number of levers on the table for negotiation in a lot of different directions.
    2:18:12 And that’s where you want to be, right? If there’s only one factor that matters to each of the two
    2:18:18 parties and those are their red line factors, then there’s no room for negotiation. This is a
    2:18:30 deeply complicated, historically intricate dynamic between Ukraine and Russia and between NATO and
    2:18:36 the United States and the Russia-China alliance and economic interests that are at issue combined
    2:18:40 with the geopolitical factors. There are a lot of levers for negotiation and the more levers there
    2:18:45 are, the more likely there is to be a win-win-win deal that gets done for everybody. So I think it
    2:18:50 should be encouraging the fact that there are as many different possible levers here almost
    2:18:56 makes certain that a reasonable, practicable peace deal is possible. In contrast to a situation
    2:18:59 where there’s only one thing that matters for each side, then I can’t tell you that there’s a deal
    2:19:03 to be done. There’s definitely a deal to be done here. And I think that it requires real leadership
    2:19:08 in the United States playing hardball not just with one side of this, not just with Zelensky or
    2:19:12 with Putin, but across the board, hardball for our own interests, which are the interests of
    2:19:17 stability here. And I think that that will happen to well serve both Ukraine and Russia in the
    2:19:22 process. If you were president, would you call Putin? Absolutely. I mean, in any negotiation,
    2:19:26 you’ve got to manage when you’re calling somebody and when you’re not. But I do believe that open
    2:19:30 conversation and the willingness to have that as another lever in the negotiation is totally fair
    2:19:39 game. Okay, let’s go to the China side of this. The big concern here is that the brewing cold or
    2:19:47 God forbid, hot war between the United States and China in the 21st century. How do we avoid that?
    2:19:54 So a few things. One is, I do think the best way we also avoid it is by reducing
    2:20:00 the consequences to the United States in the event of that type of conflict. Because at that
    2:20:05 point, what you’re setting up for, if the consequences are existential for the United States,
    2:20:10 then what you’re buying yourself in the context of what could be a small conflict is an all-out
    2:20:15 great war. So the first thing I want to make sure we avoid is a major conflict between the
    2:20:20 United States and China, like a world war level conflict. And the way to do that is to bring
    2:20:24 down the existential stakes for the U.S. And the way we bring down the existential stakes for the U.S.
    2:20:29 is make sure that the United States does not depend on China for our modern way of life.
    2:20:34 Right now we do. Okay, so right now we depend on China for everything from the pharmaceuticals
    2:20:39 in our medicine cabinet. 95% of ibuprofen, one of the most basic medicines used in the United States,
    2:20:46 depends on China for its supply chain. We depend on China ironically for our own military industrial
    2:20:52 base. Think about how little sense that makes, actually. Our own military, which supposedly
    2:20:57 exists to protect ourselves against adversaries, depends for its own supplies, semiconductors
    2:21:02 and otherwise, on our top adversary. That doesn’t make sense. Even if you’re a libertarian in the
    2:21:10 school of Friedrich von Hayek, somebody I admire as well, even then you would not argue for a foreign
    2:21:14 dependence on adversary for your military. So I think that’s the next step we need to take,
    2:21:21 is at least reduce U.S. dependence on China for the most essential inputs for the functioning
    2:21:26 of the United States of America, including our own military. As a side note, I believe that means
    2:21:31 not just on-shoring to the United States, it does. But if we’re really serious about that,
    2:21:37 it also means expanding our relationships with allies like Japan, South Korea, India, the Philippines.
    2:21:40 And that’s an interesting debate to have, because some on the right would say, “Okay,
    2:21:44 I want to decouple from China, but I also want less trade with all these other places.” You
    2:21:47 can’t have both those things at the same time. You can have one or the other, you can’t have both.
    2:21:51 And so we have to acknowledge and be honest with ourselves that there are trade-offs to
    2:21:55 declaring independence from China. But the question is, what are the long-run benefits?
    2:21:59 Now, you think about the other way to do this is strategic clarity.
    2:22:06 I think the way that you see world wars often emerge is strategic ambiguity from two adversaries
    2:22:11 who don’t really know what the other side’s red line is or isn’t and accidentally crosses
    2:22:16 those red lines. And so I think we need to be much clearer with what are our hard red lines
    2:22:20 and what aren’t they. And I think that’s the single most effective way to make sure this
    2:22:25 doesn’t spiral into major world war. And then let’s talk about ending the Russia-Ukraine conflict
    2:22:30 in the terms that I just discussed with you before. I think weakening the Russia-China alliance
    2:22:34 not only reduces the risk that Russia becomes an aggressor, it also reduces the risk that China
    2:22:40 takes the risks that could escalate us to World War III as well. So I think that geopolitically,
    2:22:44 you got to look at these things holistically, that end of the Russia-Ukraine war and that peace deal
    2:22:49 de-escalates not only the Russia-Ukraine conflict, but the risk of a broader conflict that includes
    2:22:55 China as well. But also weakening China because Russia also has hypersonic missiles and missile
    2:22:58 capabilities that are ahead of that of China’s. If Russia is no longer in a military alliance with
    2:23:06 China, that changes China’s calculus as well. So that’s kind of, I think, more strategic vision
    2:23:13 we need in our foreign policy than we’ve had since certainly the Nixon era. I think that you need
    2:23:17 people who are going to be able to challenge the status quo, question the existing orthodoxies,
    2:23:22 the willingness to use levers to get great deals done that otherwise wouldn’t have gotten done.
    2:23:27 And that’s what I do think. Someone like Donald Trump and the presidency, and obviously,
    2:23:31 I ran for president as an outsider and a businessman as well. I think this is an area,
    2:23:36 our foreign policy is one where we actually benefit from having business leaders in those roles
    2:23:42 rather than people who are shackled by the traditional political manner of thinking.
    2:23:46 I think the thing you didn’t quite make clear what I think implied is that we have to accept
    2:23:52 the red line that China provides of the One China policy. Both sides need to have their red lines.
    2:23:57 Both sides need to have their red lines. So we can get into specifics, but it’s going to vary
    2:24:01 depending on the circumstances. But the principle that I would give you is that we have to have a
    2:24:06 hard red line that’s clear. I think that that hard red line, and I was clear during my campaign on
    2:24:10 this, I’ll say it again, is I think that we have to have a clear red line that China will not and
    2:24:16 should not for any time in the foreseeable future annex Taiwan. I do think that for the United States,
    2:24:23 it probably is prudent right now not to suddenly upend the diplomatic policy we’ve adopted for
    2:24:30 decades of what is recognizing the One China policy in our position of quiet deference to that.
    2:24:35 And I understand that that may be the red line is the national recognition of Taiwan as an independent
    2:24:40 nation would be a red line that China would have, but we would have a red line to say that we do
    2:24:46 not in any circumstance tolerate the annexation by physical force in any time in the foreseeable
    2:24:50 future when that’s against the interests of the United States of America. So there’s examples,
    2:24:54 but the principle here is you asked, how do we avoid major conflict with China? I think it starts
    2:24:59 with clear red lines on both sides. I think it starts with also lowering the stakes for the
    2:25:04 United States by making sure we’re not dependent on China for our modern way of life. And I think
    2:25:09 it also starts with ironically using a peaceful resolution to the Ukraine war as a way of weakening
    2:25:14 the Russia-China alliance, which in the other direction of weakening China has significant
    2:25:21 benefits to us as well. But what are you doing? China says very politely, we’re going to annex
    2:25:26 Taiwan whether you like it or not. Against the backdrop that I just laid out, that’s not going
    2:25:30 to happen. That wouldn’t happen if we actually make sure that we are crystal clear about what our
    2:25:35 red lines and priorities are. We’re also dependent on Taiwan right now for our own semiconductor
    2:25:40 supply chain. So China knows that’s going to draw us into serious conflict in that circumstance.
    2:25:45 So against the backdrop of clearly drawn red lines, against the backdrop of Russia no longer
    2:25:49 automatically being in China’s camp, that’s a big lever, I think also strengthening our
    2:25:53 relationship with other allies where we have room to strengthen those relationships like India.
    2:25:58 And I’m not just saying that because my name is Vivek Ramaswamy, I’m saying it because it’s
    2:26:03 strategically important to the United States to understand that God forbid in a conflict scenario,
    2:26:08 China would perceive some risk to the Indian Ocean or the Andaman Sea no longer being reliable for
    2:26:13 getting Middle Eastern oil supplies. There’s a lot of levers here, but I think that if we
    2:26:17 are both strategically clear with our allies and with our adversaries about what our red lines are,
    2:26:21 what our priorities are, reasonable deals that pull Russia out of the hands of China and vice
    2:26:26 versa, reasonable allies and relationships that cause China to question whether it can continue
    2:26:30 to have the same access to Middle Eastern oil supplies as it does today. And then clear red
    2:26:35 lines with China itself about what we definitely aren’t okay with and understand that they may
    2:26:41 have certain red lines too. That allows us, I think, to still avoid what many people will call
    2:26:46 the unavoidable conflict, the lucidities trap against the circumstance of when there’s a rising
    2:26:52 power against the backdrop of a declining power, conflict always becomes inevitable. That’s a
    2:26:57 theory. It’s not a law of physics. And I don’t think that, A, we have to be a declining power.
    2:27:02 And B, I don’t think that that has to necessarily result in major conflict with China here.
    2:27:07 It’s going to require real leadership, leadership with a spine. And you don’t have to judge based
    2:27:11 on international relations theory to form your view on this. Four years under Trump,
    2:27:15 we didn’t have major conflicts in the Middle East in places like Russia, Ukraine.
    2:27:20 We were on the cusp of war with North Korea when Obama left office and Trump took over.
    2:27:24 Four years under Biden, less than four years under Biden and Harris, what do you have?
    2:27:28 Major conflicts in the Middle East, major conflict in Russia, Ukraine,
    2:27:33 judged by the results. And I would say that even if you’re somebody who disagrees with a lot of
    2:27:37 Donald Trump and you don’t like his style, if you’re single issues, you want to stay out of
    2:27:42 World War III, I think there’s a pretty clear case for why you go for Trump in this election.
    2:27:48 So Prime Minister Modi, I think you’ve complimented him in a bunch of different directions,
    2:27:51 one of which is when you’re discussing nationalism.
    2:27:56 Yeah. I think I believe that someone I’ve gotten to know actually reasonably well,
    2:27:59 for example, recently is Georgia Maloney, who is a leader of Italy, told her the same thing.
    2:28:05 One of the things I love about her as a leader of Italy is that she does not apologize for
    2:28:11 the national identity of the country and that she stands for certain values uncompromisingly
    2:28:15 and she doesn’t give a second care about what the media has to say about it.
    2:28:19 One of the things I love last time I spoke to her when she was in the US when we sat down was
    2:28:22 she talked about, she doesn’t even read the newspaper. She doesn’t read and watch the media
    2:28:26 and allows her to make decisions that are best for the people. And there are elements of that
    2:28:31 in Modi’s approach as well, which I respect about him, is he doesn’t apologize for the fact that
    2:28:36 India has a national identity and that the nation should be proud of it. But I’m not saying that
    2:28:42 because I’m proud of Maloney or Modi for their own countries. I’m American. I think there are
    2:28:46 lessons to learn from leaders who are proud of their own nation’s identity rather than apologizing
    2:28:51 for it. And I think it’s a big part of, you know, it’s why I ran for president on a campaign
    2:28:56 centered on national pride. It’s also why I’m not only voting for but actively supporting Donald
    2:29:00 Trump because I do think he is going to be the one that restores that missing national pride in
    2:29:06 the United States. And, you know, I touch on this as well in the book. There’s a chapter here. It says
    2:29:13 nationalism isn’t a bad word. I think nationalism can be a very positive thing if it’s grounded in
    2:29:19 the actual true attributes of a nation. And in the United States, that doesn’t mean ethno-nationalism
    2:29:22 because that was not what the national identity of the United States was based on in the first
    2:29:29 place. But a civic nationalism grounded in our actual national ideals, that is who we are. And
    2:29:34 I think that that is something that we’ve gotten uncomfortable with in the countries to say that,
    2:29:38 oh, I’m proud of being American. And I believe in American exceptionalism. Somehow that’s looking
    2:29:42 down on others. No, not looking down on anybody, but I’m proud of my own country. And I think
    2:29:46 Modi’s revived that spirit in India in a way that was missing for a long time, right? India had an
    2:29:51 inferiority complex, a psychological inferiority complex. But now to be proud of its national
    2:29:57 heritage and its national myth-making and its national legacy and history. And to say that,
    2:30:02 you know, every nation does have to have a kind of myth-making about its past. And to be proud of
    2:30:07 that, it’s like Malcolm X actually said this here in the United States. He said, “A nation
    2:30:15 without an appreciation for its history is like a tree without roots. It’s dead.”
    2:30:20 And I think that that’s true not just for the United States. I think it’s true for every other
    2:30:25 nation. I think leaders like Maloney in Italy, leaders like Modi in India have done a great job
    2:30:33 that I wish to bring that type of pride back in the United States. And whatever I do next,
    2:30:37 like I’ll tell you this, is I think reviving that sense of identity and pride, especially in the
    2:30:43 next generation, is one of the most important things we can do for this country. Speaking of
    2:30:49 what you do next, any chance you run in 20 and 28? Well, I’m not going to rule it out. I mean,
    2:30:55 that’s a long time from now. And I’m most focused on what I can do in the next chapter for the country.
    2:30:59 I ran for president, million things that I learned from that experience that you can only
    2:31:05 learn by doing it. It was very much a, you know, fire first, aim later when getting into the race.
    2:31:09 There was no way I could have planned and plotted this out as somebody who was coming from the
    2:31:15 outside. I was 37 years old, came from the business world. So there was a lot that only
    2:31:21 could learn by actually doing it. And I did. But I care about the same things that led me into the
    2:31:25 presidential race. And I don’t think the issues have been solved. I think that we have a generation
    2:31:32 that is lost in the country. It’s not just young people. I think it’s all of us in some ways are
    2:31:38 hungry for purpose and meaning at a time in our history, when the things that used to fill that
    2:31:44 void in our heart, they’re missing. And I think we need a president who both has the right policies
    2:31:49 for the country, you know, seal the border, grow the economy, stay at a World War three and rampant
    2:31:56 crime. Yes, we need the right policies. But we also need leaders who, you know, sustained way,
    2:32:01 revive our national character, revive our sense of pride in this country, revive our identity
    2:32:08 as Americans. And, you know, I think that that need exists as much today as it did when I first
    2:32:12 ran for president. I don’t think it’s going to be automatically solved in just a few years.
    2:32:16 I think Donald Trump is the right person to carry that banner forward for the next four years.
    2:32:22 But after that, we’ll see where the country is headed into 2028. And whatever I do, it’ll be
    2:32:28 whatever has a maximal positive impact on the country. I’ll also tell you that my laser focus
    2:32:34 maybe as distinct from other politicians on both sides, is to take America to the next level to
    2:32:39 move beyond our victimhood culture, to restore our culture of excellence, we got to shut down
    2:32:44 that nanny state. The entitlement state, the regulatory state, the foreign policy nanny state,
    2:32:49 shut it down and revive who we really are as Americans. And I’m as passionate about that as
    2:32:55 ever. But the next step is not running for president. The next step is what happens in the
    2:33:01 next four years. And that’s why over the next four weeks, I’m focused on doing whatever I can
    2:33:08 to make sure we succeed in this election. Well, I hope you run because this was made clear on the
    2:33:15 stage in the primary debates. You have a unique clarity and honesty in expressing the ideas you
    2:33:22 stand for. And it would be nice to see that. I would also like to see the same thing on the other
    2:33:30 side, which would make for some badass, interesting debates. I would love nothing more than a kick
    2:33:37 ass set of top tier Democrat candidates. After four years of Donald Trump, we have a primary
    2:33:42 filled with actually people who have real visions for the country on both sides. And the people of
    2:33:48 this country can choose between those competing visions without insult or injury being the way
    2:33:53 we I would love nothing more than to see that in 2028. Who do you think? So for me, I would love to
    2:34:01 see in some kind of future where it’s you versus somebody like Tim Walls. So to Tim Walls, maybe
    2:34:07 I’m lacking in knowledge. It’s a first of all, like a good dude has similar to you,
    2:34:17 strongly held if not radical ideas of how to make progress in this country. So to just be on stage
    2:34:23 and debate honestly about the ideas, there are like very there’s a tension between those ideas.
    2:34:34 Is there other people Shapiro’s interesting also? I would like to take on in earnest and civil, but
    2:34:39 contested context, right, of a debate. Who do you want to take on? You want to take on somebody
    2:34:43 who disagrees with you, but still has deep ideology of their own. I think John Federman’s
    2:34:48 pretty interesting. He’s demonstrated himself to be somebody who is thoughtful, able to change
    2:34:53 his mind on positions, but not in some sort of fake, flip-floppy, flippity-floppity way,
    2:34:57 but in a thoughtful evolution. Somebody’s been through personal struggles. Somebody I deeply
    2:35:03 disagree with on a lot of his views and most of his views, but who I can at least say comes across
    2:35:09 at least as somebody who has been through that torturous process of really examining your beliefs
    2:35:14 and convictions and has, when necessary, been able to preach to his own tribe where he thinks
    2:35:20 they’re wrong. I think it’s interesting. I think that you have in a number of other leaders probably
    2:35:25 emerging at lower levels. On the left, not everybody’s going to necessarily come from Washington, D.C. In
    2:35:30 fact, the longer they’re there, the more they in some ways get polluted by it. I think the governor
    2:35:37 of Colorado, he’s an interesting guy. He’s got a more libertarian tendency. I don’t know as much
    2:35:41 about his views on it from a national perspective, but it’s intriguing to see somebody who has at
    2:35:47 least libertarian freedom or in attendencies within the Democratic Party. I think that there are
    2:35:53 a number of, I mean, I don’t foresee him running for president, but I had a debate last year when
    2:35:57 I was running for president with Ro Khanna, who say what you all about him. He’s a highly intelligent
    2:36:02 person and is somebody who is at least willing to buck the consensus of his party when necessary.
    2:36:07 I think he recently, I would say lambasted, he phrased it very delicately, but criticized
    2:36:13 Kamala Harris’s proposed tax on unrealized capital gains. I like people who are willing to
    2:36:17 challenge the orthodoxies in their own party because it says they actually have convictions.
    2:36:21 Whoever the Democrats put up, I hope it’s someone like that. For my part,
    2:36:31 I have and continue to have beliefs that will challenge Republicans, that on the face of it
    2:36:36 may not be the policies that poll on paper as the policies you’re supposed to adopt as a Republican
    2:36:42 candidate, but what a true leader does doesn’t just tell people what they want to hear. You tell
    2:36:46 people what they need to hear and you tell people what your actual convictions are. And this idea
    2:36:50 that I don’t want to create a right wing entitlement state or a nanny state. I want to shut it down.
    2:36:54 That challenges the preset positions of where a lot of the conservative movement is right now.
    2:36:58 I don’t think the bill to cap credit card interest rates is a good idea because that’s
    2:37:03 a price control just like Kamala Harris’s price controls and it’ll reduce access to credit.
    2:37:08 I don’t think that we want a crony capital estate showering private benefits on selected
    2:37:14 industries that favor us or that we want to expand the CFPB or the FTC’s remit and somehow
    2:37:18 we’re going to trust it because it’s under our watch. No, I believe in shutting it down. That
    2:37:24 challenges a lot of the current direction of the conservative movement. I believe in certain issues
    2:37:28 that maybe even outside the scope of what Republicans currently care about right now.
    2:37:33 One of the things that I oppose, for example, is this is not a top issue in American politics,
    2:37:38 but just to give you a sense for how I think and view the world. I’m against factory farming
    2:37:45 of a large scale of… You could say putting the mistreatment of… It’s one thing to say
    2:37:50 that you need it for your sustenance and that’s great, but it’s another to say that
    2:37:55 you have to do it in a factory farming setting that gives special exemptions from historical
    2:37:59 laws that have existed that are the product of crony capitalism. I’m against crony capitalism in
    2:38:04 all its forms. I’m against the influence of mega money in politics. I don’t think that’s been good
    2:38:08 either for Democrats or Republicans. Some of those views, I think, are not necessarily the
    2:38:13 traditional Republican orthodoxy reading chapter and verse from what the Republican
    2:38:19 party platform has been. It’s not against the Republican party platform, but it’s asking what
    2:38:24 the future of our movement is. Some of these things are hard, like getting money out of politics.
    2:38:28 Getting mega money, getting mega money. The mega money, yeah, yeah, yeah. And so long as it exists,
    2:38:31 you got to play the game. I mean, you got it if you’re going to play to win. I think one of the
    2:38:37 things I realized is that you just can’t compete without it, but you want to win the game in order
    2:38:42 to change the game. And I think that that’s something that I keep in mind as well. So…
    2:38:48 You have written a lot. You’re exceptionally productive, but even just looking book-wise,
    2:38:54 you’ve written basically a book a year for the last four years. When you’re writing,
    2:38:58 when you’re thinking about how to solve the problems of the world to develop your policy,
    2:39:08 how do you think? I need quiet time, extended periods of it that are separated from the rush
    2:39:13 of the day to day or the travel. I actually think a lot better when I’m working out and
    2:39:19 physically active. So from running, playing tennis, lifting, somehow for me, that really opens up my
    2:39:23 mind. And then I need a significant amount of time after that with a notebook. I usually carry
    2:39:29 around a notebook everywhere I go and write it down in there. Is the notebook full of chaotic
    2:39:33 thoughts or is it structured? Sometimes it’s chaotic. Sometimes it’s structured. It’s a little bit
    2:39:37 of both. Sometimes I have a thought that I know I don’t want to forget later. I’ll immediately
    2:39:41 jot it down. Other times, you know, on the flight over here, I had a much more structured
    2:39:45 layout of, you know, I got a lot of different projects in the air, for example. And I cross
    2:39:48 pollinate, you know, I was in the shower this morning, had a bunch of thoughts, collected
    2:39:55 those on my plane ride over here. So I think that writing is something in all of its forms that helps
    2:39:59 me. It’s one of the, one of the things that actually helped me this year was actually writing this book.
    2:40:04 You’re going through a presidential campaign, you’re going at super speed.
    2:40:08 And if I was to do the presidential campaign again, the thing I would do is actually to take
    2:40:12 more structured breaks. I don’t mean breaks isn’t just like vacations,
    2:40:15 but I mean breaks to reflect on what’s actually happening.
    2:40:20 Probably the biggest mistake I made is last time around heading into the first debate,
    2:40:26 I was like in nine different states over seven days, I would have just taken that as a pause,
    2:40:32 right? We’re halfway through, you’ve established relevance. Now make sure the country sees who
    2:40:37 you actually are in full rather than just the momentum competitive driven version of you.
    2:40:42 And I just think that that’s sort of, those taking those moments to just take stock of
    2:40:46 where you are, do some writing. I didn’t do much writing during the presidential campaign. I
    2:40:52 enjoy writing. It’s part of how I center myself. It’s part of what this book allowed me to do is,
    2:40:56 okay, I ran that whirlwind of a campaign. The first thing I started doing after I collected
    2:41:02 myself for a couple of weeks was take the pen and start writing. And I was committed to writing
    2:41:06 that book whether or not anybody read it. I was just writing it for myself. And actually it started
    2:41:10 in a very different form. It was very personal reflection oriented. So most of that, funny
    2:41:15 enough, I’ve learned about writing the books like this edited out. It just didn’t end up in the book
    2:41:18 because it went in a different direction than like what’s interesting for a publisher to publish.
    2:41:24 And so for each of my books, the things that I started writing ended up never in the book anyway,
    2:41:28 just because the topic ended up morphing. But the journey that led me to write this book,
    2:41:32 a lot of it in this book is still in there. This is my fourth book in four years, you’re right.
    2:41:38 And I hope it’s the most important one, but it is certainly the product of an honest reflection
    2:41:43 that whatever it might do for the reader, it helped me to write it. And I think that’s one of the
    2:41:48 things that I learned from this campaign is not just all the policy lessons, but even just as a
    2:41:57 matter of personal practice, the ability to take spaces of time to not only physically challenge
    2:42:01 yourself, work out, et cetera, but to give yourself the space to reflect, to re-center
    2:42:08 yourself on the why. Had I done that, I think I would have been even more centered on the mission
    2:42:13 the whole time rather than you get attacked on the way you’re throwing off your tilt or
    2:42:17 throwing off your balance. It becomes a lot harder for someone else to do that to you
    2:42:21 if you’ve really centered yourself on your own purpose. It’s probably one of my biggest learnings.
    2:42:27 So you’ve mentioned the first primary debate. So more than almost basically anybody I’ve ever
    2:42:33 seen, you step into some really intense debates. And you’re on podcasts, but in general, kind of,
    2:42:38 in all kinds of walks of life, whether it’s sort of debates with sort of protesters
    2:42:44 or debates with people that really disagree with you, like the radical opposite of you,
    2:42:51 what’s the philosophy behind that? And what’s the psychology of being able to be
    2:42:57 calm through all of that, which you seem to be able to- Well, I enjoy debate. And for me, I think
    2:43:03 you just in ordinary life forget about a formal debate setting. Whenever I’ve received criticism
    2:43:11 or a contrary view, my first impulse is always, are they right? I mean, it’s always a possibility,
    2:43:16 right? And most of the time, what happens is you understand the other side’s argument,
    2:43:21 but you emerge with a stronger conviction in your own belief. You know your own beliefs
    2:43:25 better if you can state the best argument for the other side. But sometimes you do change your
    2:43:29 mind. And I think that that’s happened over the course of my life as well. I think no one’s a
    2:43:34 thinking human being unless that happens once in a while too. And so anyway, just the idea of the
    2:43:38 pursuit of truth through open debate and inquiry, that’s always just been part of my identity,
    2:43:44 part of who I am. I’m wired that way. I thrive on it. I enjoy it. Even my relationships with
    2:43:49 my closest friends are built around heated debates and deep seated agreement, disagreements.
    2:43:53 And I just think that’s beautiful, not just about human relationships,
    2:43:58 but it’s particularly beautiful about America, right? Because it’s part of the culture of this
    2:44:04 country more so than other countries in China or India or Asian cultures, even a lot of European
    2:44:11 cultures are very different where that’s considered not genteel behavior. It’s not the respectful
    2:44:16 behavior. Whereas for us, part of what makes this country great is you could disagree like hell and
    2:44:21 still get together at the dinner table at the end of it. I think we’ve lost some of that,
    2:44:27 but I’m on a bit of a mission to bring that back. And so, whether it’s in politics or not, I’m
    2:44:33 committed in that next step, whatever the path is over the next four years. One of the things I’m
    2:44:39 committed to doing is making sure that I go out of my way to talk to people who actually
    2:44:43 disagree with me. And I think it’s a big part of how we’re going to save our country.
    2:44:48 Are they right is the thing I actually literally see you do. So, you are listening
    2:44:52 to the other person. For my own benefit, to be honest, selfish.
    2:44:56 You also don’t lose your shit. So, you don’t take it personally. You don’t get emotional,
    2:45:00 but you get emotional sort of in a positive way. You get passionate, but you don’t get,
    2:45:03 it doesn’t, I’ve never seen you broken. Yeah.
    2:45:11 Like to where they get you like outraged. It’s always probably because you just love the heat.
    2:45:16 I love the heat and I’m a curious person. So, I’m kind of, I’m always curious about what’s
    2:45:20 actually getting the other, what’s motivating the person on the other side. That curiosity,
    2:45:24 I think is actually the best antidote, right? Because if you just try to stay calm in the face
    2:45:30 of somebody attacking you, that’s kind of fake. But if you’re kind of curious about them, right?
    2:45:34 Genuinely, just wondering, I think most people are good people inherently,
    2:45:38 we all maybe get misguided from time to time. But what’s actually,
    2:45:41 what is it that’s moving that person to go in such a different direction than you?
    2:45:46 I think as long as you’re curious about that, you know, I mean, the climate change protesters
    2:45:52 that have interrupted my events, I’m as fascinated by the psychology of what’s moving them and what
    2:45:57 they might be hungry for as I am concerned about rebutting the content of what they’re saying to
    2:46:03 me. And I think that that’s certainly something I care to revive. We don’t talk about in politics
    2:46:09 that much, but reviving that sense of curiosity, I think is in a certain way, one of the ways
    2:46:15 we’re going to be able to disagree, but still remain friends and fellow citizens at the end of it.
    2:46:19 I agree with you. I think fundamentally, most people are good. And one of the things
    2:46:25 I love most about humans is the very thing you said, which is curiosity. I think we
    2:46:29 should lean into that. You’re a curious person. You know, this podcast is
    2:46:35 basically born of your curiosity, I’m sure. And so I just think we need more of that in America,
    2:46:38 that kind of, you know, even when I talked about our founding fathers, we were joking about it,
    2:46:43 but they were inventors. They were writers. They were political theorists. They were founders of a
    2:46:49 nation. They kind of had that boundless curiosity too. And I think part of what’s happened culturally
    2:46:55 in the country is we’ve gotten to this place where, you know, we’ve been told that stay in your lane.
    2:46:59 You know, you don’t have an expert degree in that. Therefore, you can’t have an opinion about it.
    2:47:04 I don’t know. I think that’s not, it’s a little bit un-American in terms of the culture of it.
    2:47:08 And yeah, it’s one of the things I like about you and why I was looking forward to this conversation
    2:47:15 too, is it’s cool to have intellectual interests that span sports to culture, to politics, to
    2:47:20 philosophy. And it’s not like you just have to be an expert trained in one of those things to be
    2:47:25 able to engage in it. But actually, maybe, just maybe, you might even be better at each of those
    2:47:29 things because you’re curious about the other, the Renaissance man, if you will. I think we’ve
    2:47:35 lost a little bit of that, that concept in America, but it’s certainly something that
    2:47:40 is important to me. And this year, it’s been kind of cool after leaving the campaign. I’ve been doing,
    2:47:45 I’ve been doing a wide range of things, right? I’ve been picking up my tennis game again.
    2:47:48 I’ve practiced at the Ohio State. You’re damn good at tennis. I was watching your thing.
    2:47:50 I used to be, used to be better, but I’m picking it up again.
    2:47:57 Somebody online was trying to correctly, I think you shot a very particular angle of that video.
    2:48:01 I think they were criticizing your backhand was weak, potentially, because you were…
    2:48:06 That would be a fair criticism. But it’s gotten better again. It’s gotten better recently. I’ve
    2:48:10 been playing with the, I’ve been practicing with the Ohio State team in the morning. They’re like,
    2:48:14 number one in the country or close to it. Now, the guys on the team play, but there’s a couple
    2:48:18 coaches who were recently on the team, one of whom used to be a guy used to play within the
    2:48:22 juniors who invited me out. So I hit with them in the mornings alongside the team.
    2:48:27 My goal, I’m, I should be, I should be careful here.
    2:48:35 Oh no. My hips, my hips are telling me, I’ve been playing so many days a week that I set a
    2:48:38 goal for myself by the end of the, to play in a particular tournament, but we’ll see if that
    2:48:44 happens or not. No, no. But regardless, it’s been fun to get back into tennis. I was an executive
    2:48:49 producer on a movie, something I’ve never done before. It’s called City of Dreams. It’s about a
    2:48:54 story of a young man who was trafficked into the United States. It’s a thriller. It’s a very
    2:48:59 cool movie to be a part of. I have actually started a couple of companies. One company in
    2:49:04 particular that I think is going to be significant this year, guiding some of the other businesses
    2:49:12 that I’ve gotten off the ground in the past. So for me, I’m re-energized now where I was in
    2:49:18 the thick of politics for a full year there and getting a little bit of oxygen outside of politics,
    2:49:21 doing some things in the private sector has actually given me a renewed sense of,
    2:49:26 of energy to, you know, get back into driving change through public service.
    2:49:32 Well, it’s been fun watching you do all these fascinating things, but I do hope
    2:49:37 that you have a future in politics as well, because it’s nice to have somebody that
    2:49:46 has rigorously developed their ideas and is honest about presenting them and is willing to debate
    2:49:51 those ideas out in public space. So I would love for you and people like you to represent the
    2:49:58 future of American politics. So Vivek, thank you so much for every time I’m swiveling this chair.
    2:50:00 I’m thinking of Thomas Jefferson. It’s good. That was my goal.
    2:50:06 So big shout out to Thomas Jefferson for the swiveling chair and thank you so much for talking
    2:50:09 to Dave Vivek. This was fun. Thank you, man. One final fact to Thomas Jefferson,
    2:50:17 whether you cut this out. Of course, he wrote 16,000 essays in his life, letters, right? So
    2:50:22 you said I’ve written four books in four years. That is nothing compared to, you know, how prolific
    2:50:27 this guy was. Anyway, good stuff, man. Thanks for having me. Neither of us will ever live up to
    2:50:32 anything close to Thomas Jefferson. I love your curiosity, man. Thanks for reading the book and
    2:50:36 appreciated your feedback on it as well. And, you know, hopefully we’ll do this again sometime.
    2:50:41 Yep. Thank you, brother. Thanks, dude. Thanks for listening to this conversation with Vivek
    2:50:45 Ramaswamy. To support this podcast, please check out our sponsors in the description.
    2:50:48 And now let me leave you with some words from George Orwell.
    2:50:57 Political language is designed to make lies sound truthful and murder respectable and to give
    2:51:13 an appearance of solidity to pure wind. Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time.
    2:51:21 [Music]

    Vivek Ramaswamy is a conservative politician, entrepreneur, and author of many books on politics, including his latest titled Truths: The Future of America First.
    Thank you for listening ❤ Check out our sponsors: https://lexfridman.com/sponsors/ep445-sc
    See below for timestamps, transcript, and to give feedback, submit questions, contact Lex, etc.

    Transcript:
    https://lexfridman.com/vivek-ramaswamy-transcript

    CONTACT LEX:
    Feedback – give feedback to Lex: https://lexfridman.com/survey
    AMA – submit questions, videos or call-in: https://lexfridman.com/ama
    Hiring – join our team: https://lexfridman.com/hiring
    Other – other ways to get in touch: https://lexfridman.com/contact

    EPISODE LINKS:
    Truths (new book): https://amzn.to/3XPgZJF
    Vivek’s X: https://x.com/VivekGRamaswamy
    Vivek’s YouTube: https://youtube.com/@VivekGRamaswamy
    Vivek’s Instagram: https://instagram.com/vivekgramaswamy
    Vivek’s Facebook: https://facebook.com/VivekGRamaswamy
    Vivek’s Rumble: https://rumble.com/VivekRamaswamy
    Vivek’s LinkedIn: https://bit.ly/4e5g0uv

    Vivek’s other books:
    Woke, Inc.: https://amzn.to/4eqiDqs
    Nation of Victims: https://amzn.to/3Tu4259
    Capitalist Punishment: https://amzn.to/3XOwi5c

    SPONSORS:
    To support this podcast, check out our sponsors & get discounts:
    Saily: An eSIM for international travel.
    Go to https://saily.com/lex
    BetterHelp: Online therapy and counseling.
    Go to https://betterhelp.com/lex
    NetSuite: Business management software.
    Go to http://netsuite.com/lex
    Ground News: Unbiased news source.
    Go to https://groundnews.com/lex
    Eight Sleep: Temp-controlled smart mattress.
    Go to https://eightsleep.com/lex

    OUTLINE:
    (00:00) – Introduction
    (12:50) – Conservatism
    (16:06) – Progressivism
    (21:41) – DEI
    (26:33) – Bureaucracy
    (33:25) – Government efficiency
    (48:34) – Education
    (1:02:59) – Military Industrial Complex
    (1:25:18) – Illegal immigration
    (1:46:53) – Donald Trump
    (2:08:18) – War in Ukraine
    (2:19:31) – China
    (2:30:42) – Will Vivek run in 2028?
    (2:42:21) – Approach to debates

    PODCAST LINKS:
    – Podcast Website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast
    – Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr
    – Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8
    – RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/
    – Podcast Playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLrAXtmErZgOdP_8GztsuKi9nrraNbKKp4
    – Clips Channel: https://www.youtube.com/lexclips

  • #444 – Vejas Liulevicius: Communism, Marxism, Nazism, Stalin, Mao, and Hitler

    AI transcript
    0:00:08 The following is a conversation with Wehes Ludeviches, a historian specializing in Germany and Eastern Europe.
    0:00:13 He has lectured extensively on the rise, the rain, and the fall of communism.
    0:00:24 Our discussion goes deep on this, the very heaviest of topics, the communist ideology that has led to over 100 million deaths in the 20th century.
    0:00:30 We also discuss Hitler, Nazi ideology, and World War II.
    0:00:33 And now, a quick few second mention of each sponsor.
    0:00:36 Check them out in the description. It’s the best way to support this podcast.
    0:00:42 We got AG1 for health, BetterHelp for your mind, Notion for team collaboration,
    0:00:45 Element for electrolytes, and Aid Sleep for naps.
    0:00:47 Shoes wise, my friends.
    0:00:52 Also, if you want to work with our amazing team or just want to get in touch with me for whatever reason,
    0:00:55 go to lexfreedmen.com/contact.
    0:00:57 And now, onto the full ad reads.
    0:00:58 As always, no ads in the middle.
    0:01:03 I try to make this interesting, but if you skip them, please still check out our sponsors.
    0:01:05 I enjoy their stuff. Maybe you will too.
    0:01:09 This episode is brought to you by AG1.
    0:01:14 And all in one daily drink to support better health and peak performance.
    0:01:19 Speaking of peak performance, I’m trying to figure out in my life
    0:01:21 how many times a week to train jiu-jitsu.
    0:01:26 There’s a long stretch in my life where jiu-jitsu was a big part of my life.
    0:01:28 I would often train twice a day.
    0:01:35 And basically, my life was about sort of recovery from that training session.
    0:01:39 And during their recovery, I would be doing sort of the deep study
    0:01:44 or the deep work of programming for my PhD and then beyond.
    0:01:51 And it might sound counterintuitive, but when you’re so passionately pursuing a thing
    0:01:54 and it becomes such a big part of your day,
    0:01:58 it’s actually much easier to integrate it into your life.
    0:02:03 And in fact, your body gets accustomed to that kind of hardness of training.
    0:02:07 If you’re doing it correctly in terms of nutrition and in terms of avoiding injury.
    0:02:11 In fact, I never got any major injuries, knock on wood,
    0:02:15 any sort of breaking of anything doing, you know, I don’t know how many years.
    0:02:18 Over 20 years, 25 years.
    0:02:23 And I find that now that jiu-jitsu is a much, much smaller part of my life,
    0:02:25 it actually does become a different puzzle.
    0:02:29 It’s a puzzle of how to avoid injury, how to still have fun,
    0:02:35 but also how to keep growing and learning and adapting to the changing environment of grappling.
    0:02:37 No geek grappling especially.
    0:02:39 So it’s been a fascinating puzzle to try and solve.
    0:02:43 Back to AG1, they’ll give you one month supply of fish oil
    0:02:45 when you sign up at drinkag1.com/lex.
    0:02:51 This episode is brought to you by BetterHelp, spelled H-E-L-P Help.
    0:02:56 They figure out what you need and match it with a licensed therapist in under 48 hours.
    0:03:02 I remember speaking of jiu-jitsu, one of the tougher things mentally for me.
    0:03:06 For anyone that does jiu-jitsu, that’s one of the wonderful benefits you get from it,
    0:03:06 is you get humbled.
    0:03:09 And there’s all kinds of ways to get humbled.
    0:03:12 But there’s just some training sessions.
    0:03:17 And it might not have to do with the skill of the people you’re training with.
    0:03:21 It might just be one of those days that you just get smashed.
    0:03:30 As they say in the MMA community, when they’re talking about Habib Narmagomedov,
    0:03:32 you just feel powerless.
    0:03:38 Somebody just crushes you knee on belly or mount or back control and you just
    0:03:41 over and over gets submitted or just guard pass, whatever it is.
    0:03:43 Just stuff is not working.
    0:03:49 And you just feel like there’s nothing in the world that you can do right.
    0:03:52 You feel like you’ll never get better.
    0:03:55 That it’s just hopeless.
    0:03:57 And that feeling, especially in combat sports,
    0:04:01 where there’s kind of a masculine competitive energy,
    0:04:04 you just feel like this is it.
    0:04:06 There’s no light at the end of the tunnel.
    0:04:06 This is it.
    0:04:09 And that feeling is a beautiful feeling because you just sit in that
    0:04:15 and sit with that pain, that disappointment, that emotional turmoil.
    0:04:20 And you channel that feeling into growth, into improving,
    0:04:24 into strengthening the engine of perseverance.
    0:04:27 And all of that is in the mind.
    0:04:32 And you should take care of your mind by checking out betterhelp.com/lex
    0:04:33 and save in your first month.
    0:04:35 That’s betterhelp.com/lex.
    0:04:38 This episode is brought to you by Notion,
    0:04:40 a note-taking and team collaboration tool.
    0:04:49 It’s probably my favorite integration of AI into the writing process.
    0:04:51 I haven’t used it that much for the team collaboration aspect,
    0:04:53 but for the note-taking aspect.
    0:04:56 But I’ve heard really great things about the team collaboration thing.
    0:05:02 I’ve been preparing extensively to interview the cursor team,
    0:05:08 cursor as an editor and IDE for programming that is a fork of VS code
    0:05:15 and makes sort of AI assistant coding a foundation based on
    0:05:16 which they’re kind of building the feature.
    0:05:20 So it makes AI the primary citizen.
    0:05:22 And I’ve seen that Notion does the same kind of thing.
    0:05:27 They really, really focused on empowering AI to help you,
    0:05:28 not just for a single document,
    0:05:31 but across entire projects and wikis and all that kind of stuff.
    0:05:34 Try Notion AI for free when you go to Notion.com/lex.
    0:05:39 That’s all lowercase Notion.com/lex to try the power of Notion AI today.
    0:05:43 This episode is also brought to you by Element,
    0:05:48 my daily zero sugar, delicious electrolyte mix.
    0:05:50 Whenever you see me drinking,
    0:05:54 sometimes I’ll have something that looks like a powerade bottle
    0:05:55 with a clear liquid.
    0:06:00 The clear liquid is cold water with one packet of watermelon salt element.
    0:06:03 It’s the thing I drink before a run, after a run,
    0:06:05 before and after a hard trading session.
    0:06:09 And just as throughout the day, it’s a delicious way to consume water.
    0:06:16 I continually am surprised how much of sort of physical and
    0:06:21 psychological problems can be solved with getting the right amount of electrolytes.
    0:06:26 I think that’s like a meme on the various social media platforms
    0:06:29 of like a girlfriend complaining about something being wrong.
    0:06:36 And the suggestion is, well, have you tried drinking a glass of water?
    0:06:40 That the implication is that she’s simply thirsty,
    0:06:44 but she doesn’t want the boyfriend to give a solution to the problem.
    0:06:46 In fact, she wants to just be heard.
    0:06:47 That’s the meme.
    0:06:53 But to sort of dig for the wisdom within the meme, really,
    0:06:59 you could solve so many problems by drinking water and getting enough electrolytes.
    0:07:02 Get a sample back for free with any purchase.
    0:07:05 Try it at drinkelement.com/lex.
    0:07:10 This episode is brought to you by 8Sleep and its pod for ultra.
    0:07:15 Technology is being integrated in every part of our life.
    0:07:17 The refrigerator is next, friends.
    0:07:23 There are some features I would love to have in a refrigerator, some intelligence.
    0:07:29 And in fact, I can anticipate that 8Sleep is probably working on some additional AI.
    0:07:32 They’re already using a bunch of cool machine learning.
    0:07:35 How do you take the signal that comes from your body given a set of sensors
    0:07:40 and understand various metrics, various characteristics about how you’re sleeping.
    0:07:41 They’re already doing that.
    0:07:45 And so you have an app and you can analyze all the different ways that you’re sleeping.
    0:07:50 Of course, for me, the thing I enjoy most is that it’s a cool surface with a warm blanket.
    0:07:57 And you can just disappear into the world of dreams and dragons and weird creatures
    0:08:06 that you may have seen on a hypothetical ayahuasca journey in the jungle.
    0:08:11 How amazing is the human mind that it can generate those worlds?
    0:08:17 Anyway, go explore the nature of your own consciousness at 8Sleep.com/lex
    0:08:21 and use code Lex to get 350 bucks off the pod for ultra.
    0:08:24 This is the Lex Freeman podcast.
    0:08:27 To support it, please check out our sponsors in the description.
    0:08:43 And now, dear friends, here’s Vejas Lulevisas.
    0:08:50 Let’s start with Karl Marx.
    0:08:54 What were the central ideas of Marx that lay the foundation of communism?
    0:09:01 I think there were several key ideas that Marx deployed that were destined to have such an impact.
    0:09:04 And in some ways, they were actually kind of contradictory.
    0:09:12 On the one hand, Marx insisted that history has a purpose, that history is not just random events,
    0:09:18 but that rather it’s history, we might say, with a capital H, history moving in a deliberate
    0:09:25 direction, history having a goal, a direction that it was predestined to move in.
    0:09:32 At the same time, in the Communist Manifesto, Karl Marx and his colleague Friedrich Engels
    0:09:36 also suggested that there was a role for special individuals who might,
    0:09:43 even if history was still moving in this predetermined direction, might give it an extra push,
    0:09:46 might play a heroic role in that process.
    0:09:52 And I think that these two ideas added together, the notion that there is a science of revolution
    0:09:59 that suggests that you can move in a deliberate and meaningful, rational way towards the end
    0:10:04 of history and the resolution of all conflicts, a total liberation of the human person,
    0:10:10 and that moreover, that was inevitable, that that was preprogrammed and destined in the order of
    0:10:18 things. When you add to that the notion that there’s also room for heroism and the individual role,
    0:10:21 this ended up being tremendously powerful as a combination.
    0:10:29 Earlier thinkers who were socialists had already dreamt of or projected futures where
    0:10:35 all conflict would be resolved and human life would achieve some sort of perfection. Marx
    0:10:40 added these other elements that made it far more powerful than the earlier versions that he
    0:10:43 decried as merely utopian socialism.
    0:10:47 So there’s a million questions I could ask there. But so on the utopian side,
    0:10:54 so there is a utopian component to the way he tried to conceive of his ideas.
    0:10:59 Yeah, absolutely. I mean, first of all, one has to stress, Marx would have gotten extremely upset
    0:11:04 at this point in the conversation, because to call someone a utopian was precisely to argue that
    0:11:09 you’re not scientific, you’re not rational, you’re not laying out the iron laws of history,
    0:11:14 you’re merely hoping for the best. And that might be laudable, but it was fundamentally unrealistic.
    0:11:24 That said, hidden among Marx’s insistence that there are laws and structures as history moves
    0:11:32 through class conflict, modes of production towards its ultimate goal of a comprehensive
    0:11:38 final revolution that will see all exploitation overthrown and people finally being freed from
    0:11:46 necessity in smuggled in among those things are most definitely utopian elements. And there,
    0:11:53 they come especially at the end in which Marx sketches the notion of what things will look like
    0:12:00 after the revolution has resolved all problems. There, vagueness sets in. It’s clear that it’s
    0:12:05 a blessed state that’s being talked about. People no longer exploiting one another,
    0:12:12 people no longer subject to necessity or poverty, but instead enjoying all of the
    0:12:17 productivity of industrialization that hitherto had been put to private profit,
    0:12:24 now collectively owned and deployed. The notion that one will be able to work at one job in the
    0:12:30 morning and then engage in leisure activity or yet another fulfilling job in the afternoon,
    0:12:38 all of this free of any contradictions, free of necessity, free of the sort of
    0:12:43 ordinary irritations that we experience in our ordinary lives. That’s deeply utopian.
    0:12:51 The difference was that Marx charted a route towards that outcome that presented itself as
    0:12:57 cutting edge science and moreover having the full credibility that science commanded so much,
    0:13:04 especially in the 19th and early 20th century. So there is a long journey from capitalism to
    0:13:08 communism that includes a lot of problems. He thought once you resolve the problems,
    0:13:15 all the complexities of human interactions, the friction, the problems will be gone.
    0:13:22 To the extent that they were based on inequalities and on man’s exploitation of man,
    0:13:29 the result was supposed to be a resolution of all of this. And inevitably, when you talk about
    0:13:35 the history of communism, you have to include the fact that this often tragic and dramatic
    0:13:40 history produced a lot of jokes, jokes that were in part reactions sometimes to the ideological
    0:13:44 claims made by people like Marx. And one of the famous jokes was that, what’s the difference
    0:13:50 between capitalism and communism? And the joke’s answer was capitalism is the exploitation of man
    0:13:59 by man, and communism is the exact opposite. Yeah, you actually have an electron humor.
    0:14:03 I love it. And you deliver in such a dry, beautiful way. Okay, there’s, again, a million
    0:14:10 questions. So you outline a set of contradictions, but it’s interesting to talk about his view.
    0:14:19 For example, what was Marx’s view of history? Marx had been a student of Hegel. And Hegel is a
    0:14:26 German idealist philosopher, had announced very definitively that history has a purpose. History
    0:14:34 is not a collection of random facts. And as an idealist, he proposed that the true movement of
    0:14:38 history, the true meaning of history, what made history, history with a capital H,
    0:14:43 something that’s transcendent and meaningful, was that it was the working out of an idea
    0:14:48 through different civilizations, different stages of historical development. And that idea
    0:14:56 was the idea of human freedom. So it was not individuals or great thinkers alone making history
    0:15:03 and having an impact. It was the idea itself, striving to come to fruition, striving to come
    0:15:11 to an ever more perfect realization. In the case of Hegel, in this very Prussian and German context,
    0:15:15 he identified the realization of freedom also with the growth of the state,
    0:15:21 because he thought that governments are the ones that are going to be able to deliver on laws and
    0:15:31 on the ideal of a state of the rule of law in German Reichstadt. That was a noble dream at the
    0:15:36 same time as we recognize from our perspective, state power has been put to all sorts of purposes
    0:15:44 besides guaranteeing the rule of law in our own times. What Marx did was to take this characteristic
    0:15:51 insistence of Hegel that history is moving in a meaningful and discernible way towards the
    0:15:57 realization of an idea and flipped it on its head. Marx insisted that Hegel had so much that was
    0:16:04 right in his thinking, but what he had neglected to keep in mind was that, in fact, history is based
    0:16:13 on matter. Hence dialectical materialism, dialectical referring to things proceeding by clashes or
    0:16:22 conflict towards an ever greater realization of some essential idea. Marx adapts a lot of ideas
    0:16:30 of Hegel. You can recognize entire rhetorical maneuvers that are indebted to that earlier
    0:16:36 training, but now taken in a very different direction. What remained, though, was the
    0:16:42 confidence of being on the right side of history. There are few things that are as intoxicating
    0:16:50 as being convinced that your actions not only are right in the abstract, but are also
    0:16:58 destined to be successful. Also that you have the rigor of science backing you in your journey
    0:17:06 towards the truth. Absolutely. Angles, when he gives the great side eulogy for his beloved friend,
    0:17:15 Marx, claims that Marx is essentially the Darwin of history, that he had done for the world of
    0:17:24 politics and of human history what Darwin had done with this theory of evolution, understanding
    0:17:32 the hidden mechanism, understanding the laws that are at work and that make that whole process
    0:17:40 meaningful rather than just one damn thing after another. What about the famous line that
    0:17:45 history of all existing societies is the history of class struggles? What about this conception
    0:17:51 of history as a history of class struggle? This was the motive force that Karl Marx and Engels saw
    0:17:57 driving the historical process forward. It’s important to keep in mind that class conflict
    0:18:07 doesn’t just mean revolutions, revolts, peasant uprisings. It’s sort of the totality of frictions
    0:18:14 and of clashes, conflicts of interest that appear in any society. Marx was able in this
    0:18:21 spirit that he avowed was very scientific to demarcate stages of historical transformation,
    0:18:29 primitive communism in the prehistoric period, then moving towards what was called state slavery,
    0:18:36 that’s to say the early civilizations deploying human resources and ordering them by all-powerful
    0:18:44 monarchs, then private slavery in the ancient period, and then moving to feudalism in the
    0:18:50 Middle Ages. Then here’s where Marx is able to deliver a pronouncement about his own times,
    0:18:57 seeing that the present day is the penultimate, the next to last stage of this historical development,
    0:19:03 because the feudal system of the Middle Ages and the dominance of the aristocracy has been overcome,
    0:19:10 has been displaced by the often heroic achievements, astonishing achievements in commerce
    0:19:16 and in world building of the middle class, the bourgeoisie, who have taken the world into their
    0:19:24 own hands and are engaged in class conflict with the class below them, which is the working class,
    0:19:33 or the proletariat. This sort of conflict also, by the way, obtains within classes. The bourgeoisie
    0:19:39 are going to be gravediggers, Marx announces, of their own supremacy, because they’re also competing
    0:19:47 against one another. Members who don’t survive that competition get pressed down into the subordinate
    0:19:53 working class, which grows and grows and grows to the point where at some future moment,
    0:20:04 the inevitable explosion will come, and a swift revolution will overturn this penultimate stage
    0:20:10 of human history and usher in, instead, the dictatorship of the working class, and then
    0:20:16 the abolition of all classes, because with only one class remaining, everyone is finally
    0:20:21 unified and without those internal contradictions that had marked class conflict before.
    0:20:26 The dictatorship of the working class is an interesting term. What is the role of revolution
    0:20:32 in history? This, in particular, for Marx, I think is a really key moment, which is what
    0:20:37 makes that such a good question. In his vision, the epic narrative that he’s presenting to us,
    0:20:46 revolution is key. It’s not enough to have evolutionary change. It’s not a question of
    0:20:53 compromises. It’s not a case of bargaining or balancing interests. Revolution is necessary as
    0:20:59 part of the process of a subjugated class coming to awareness of its own historical role. And when
    0:21:09 we get to the proletariat, this working class in its entirety, to whom Marx assigns this epic
    0:21:14 Promethean role of being the ones who are going to liberate all of humanity, a class
    0:21:19 that is universal in its interests and in the role in salvation history that they’ll be playing in
    0:21:26 this secular framework, they need revolution and the experience of revolution in order to
    0:21:30 come into their own. Because without it, you’ll only have half-hearted compromise and something
    0:21:36 less than the consciousness that they then need in order to rule, to administer, and to play the
    0:21:44 historical role that they’re fated to have. How did he conceive of a revolution, potentially a
    0:21:53 violent revolution, stabilizing itself into something where the working class was able to rule?
    0:21:59 That’s where things become a good deal less detailed in his and Engels accounts.
    0:22:04 The answer that they proposed, in part, was this is for the future to determine.
    0:22:12 So all of the details will be settled later. I think it was allied to this, was a tremendous
    0:22:21 confidence in some very 19th century ideas about how society could be administered and what made
    0:22:29 for orderly society in a way where if the right infrastructure was in place, you might expect
    0:22:37 society to run itself without the need for micromanagement from above. Hence, we arrive at
    0:22:44 Marx’s tantalizing promise that there will be a period where it will be necessary to have
    0:22:50 centralized control. There might have to be, as he puts it, despotic inroads against property
    0:22:57 in order to bring this revolution to pass. But then afterwards, the state, because it represents
    0:23:01 everybody, rather than representing particular class interests that are in conflict with other
    0:23:07 classes, the state will eventually wither away. So there won’t be need for it. Now, that’s not
    0:23:13 to say that that pure stasis arrives, right? Or that the stabilization equals being frozen in time.
    0:23:19 It’s not as if that is what things will look like. But instead, the big issues will be settled.
    0:23:26 And henceforth, people will be able to enjoy lives of, as he would consider it, in authentic
    0:23:32 freedom without necessity, without poverty as a result of this blessed state that’s been arrived at.
    0:23:40 Despotic inroads against property. Did he elaborate on the despotic inroads?
    0:23:46 Dispossession. Dispossession of the middle classes and of the bourgeoisie. In his model,
    0:23:52 humanity is never standing still, right? So he’d probably argue in this dynamic vision of how
    0:23:58 history unfolds that there’s always conflict and it’s always moving, propelling history forward
    0:24:09 towards its predestined ending. In the way he saw this climax was that, as things did not stay the
    0:24:15 same, the condition of the working class was constantly getting worse. And hence, their
    0:24:23 revolutionary potential was growing. And at the same time, the expropriators, the bourgeoisie,
    0:24:31 were also facing diminishing returns as they competed against one another with more and more
    0:24:37 wealth concentrated in fewer and fewer hands and more and more elements of what had been the middle
    0:24:45 class detached from the ruling class and being pressed down into the working class. For Marx,
    0:24:49 this is really a key part. I mean, it’s a key part of this whole ratchet effect that’s going
    0:24:57 to produce this final historical explosion. And in German, the word given to that process was
    0:25:04 “fer Elendung,” which is very evocative. Elend means misery. So it’s the growing misery. When
    0:25:10 this gets translated into English, the results are never quite as evocative or satisfactory. The
    0:25:15 words that get used are “immiserization” or “popperization,” meaning more and more people
    0:25:23 are being turned into poppers. But for Marx, that prediction is really key. And even in his own
    0:25:29 lifetime, there were already hints that, in fact, if you looked sociologically at the really developed
    0:25:35 working classes in places like Great Britain or Germany, that process was not playing out as he
    0:25:43 had expected. In fact, although there had been enormous dislocations and tremendous suffering
    0:25:49 in the early chaotic sort of wild west stages of capitalism and of industrialization,
    0:25:57 there had been reform movements as well. And there had been unions which had sought to carve out
    0:26:04 rules and agreements with employers for how the conditions under which workers labored might
    0:26:10 be ameliorated. Moreover, the middle class, rather than dwindling and dwindling, seemed to actually
    0:26:15 be strengthening and growing in numbers or the appearance of new kinds of people, like white
    0:26:21 collar workers or technical experts. So already in Marx’s own lifetime, and then especially in
    0:26:28 what follows Marx’s lifetime, this becomes a real problem because it puts a stick into the
    0:26:35 spokes of this particular historical prediction. Can you speak to this realm of ideas, which is
    0:26:40 fascinating. There’s a battle of big ideas in the 19th century. What are the ideas that were
    0:26:49 swimming around here? Yeah. Well, to describe the 19th century as sort of an age of ideologies,
    0:26:58 is very apt because Europe is being racked and being put through the ringer of nationalism,
    0:27:05 demands for self-expression of peoples who earlier have been in empires or under monarchical rule,
    0:27:13 demands to redraw the map. The tremendous transformations of the Industrial Revolution
    0:27:18 meant that in the course of about a generation, you would have seen the world around you change
    0:27:23 in ways that made it entirely unfamiliar. You’d be able to travel across the landscape at speeds
    0:27:30 that have been unthinkable when you were a child. So it’s enormous change and demands for yet more
    0:27:39 change. And so it’s a great mix of ideas, ideologies, the old and the new, religious ideas, religious
    0:27:48 revivals, as well as demands for secularization. And stepping into all of this are Marx and Engels
    0:27:55 together in what has been called, I think with justice, one of the most important and influential
    0:28:04 intellectual partnerships of history. They were very different men. They were both German by origin.
    0:28:14 Marx had trained as an academic. He had married the daughter of a baron. Because of his radical
    0:28:21 ideas, he had foreclosed or found himself cut off from a possible academic career and went
    0:28:27 the route of radical journalism. Engels was very different. Engels was the son of an industrialist
    0:28:33 and the family owned factories in Germany and in England. So he was most definitely not a member
    0:28:40 of the proletariat that he and Marx were celebrating as so significant in their future historical
    0:28:47 role. There were also huge differences in character between these men. Marx, when people met him,
    0:28:52 they were astonished by his energy and his dynamism. They also saw him as a man who felt
    0:29:00 determined to dominate arguments. He wanted to win arguments and was not one to settle for
    0:29:09 compromise or a middle road. He was disorderly in his personal habits. We might mention,
    0:29:15 among other things, that he impregnated the family made and didn’t accept responsibility
    0:29:23 for the child. He was also not inclined to undertake regular employment in order to support
    0:29:29 his growing family. That’s where Engels came in. Engels, essentially, from his family fortune
    0:29:36 and then from his journalism afterwards, supported both himself and the Marx family
    0:29:45 for decades. In a sense, Engels made things happen. In the mysterious way that friendships work,
    0:29:51 the very differences between these men made them formidable as a dynamic duo because they balanced
    0:29:59 off one another’s idiosyncrasies and turned what might have been faults into potential strengths.
    0:30:03 British historian A.J.P. Taylor always has a lovely turn of phrase, even when he’s wrong,
    0:30:10 about a historical issue. In this case, he was right. He said that Engels had charm and brilliance.
    0:30:17 Marx was a genius. Engels saw himself as definitely the junior partner in this relationship,
    0:30:22 but here’s the paradox. Without Engels, pretty clearly, Marx would not have gone on to have
    0:30:26 the sort of lasting historical impact in the world of ideas that he had.
    0:30:32 Just to throw in the mix, there’s interesting characters swimming around. You have Darwin.
    0:30:42 He has a… I mean, it’s difficult to characterize the level of impact he had,
    0:30:46 even just in the religious context. It challenges our conception of who we are as humans.
    0:30:53 There’s Nietzsche, who’s also, I don’t know, hanging around the area. On the Russian side,
    0:31:01 there’s Dostoevsky. It’s interesting to ask, maybe, from your perspective, did these people
    0:31:08 interact in the space of ideas to where this is relevant to our discussion, or is this mostly
    0:31:14 isolated? I think that it’s part of a great conversation. I think that in their works,
    0:31:21 they’re reacting to one another. Dostoevsky’s thought ranges across the condition of modernity,
    0:31:25 and he definitely has things to say about industrialization. I think that
    0:31:30 they react to one another in these oblique ways, rather than always being at each other’s
    0:31:41 throats in direct confrontations. That’s what makes the 19th century so compelling as a story,
    0:31:47 just because of the sheer vitality of the arguments that are taking place in ways big and small.
    0:31:54 What we should say here, when you mention Karl Marx, maybe the color red comes up for people,
    0:32:01 and they think the Soviet Union, maybe China, but they don’t think Germany necessarily. It’s
    0:32:10 interesting that Germany is where communism was supposed to happen. That’s right. Can you maybe
    0:32:16 speak to that tension? Yeah, absolutely. This is definitely a factor in the entire history that
    0:32:26 we’re referencing. Marx and Engels never really shed their identity as Germans, many of their
    0:32:32 preconceptions, even those traces of nationalism that they had within themselves, even as they
    0:32:40 were condemning nationalism as a fraud against the working class. Clearly, their entire formation
    0:32:47 had been affected by their German background. It’s very true, as you point out, that
    0:32:53 Germany is intended to be the place where these predictions will play out. They’re also in Britain,
    0:33:01 also in France, also eventually in the United States. Germany, by virtue of being its central
    0:33:08 location, and then its rapid development later than Britain or France in industrialization,
    0:33:20 give it the special role in Marx’s worldview. It’s a lasting irony or a central irony of this
    0:33:27 whole story, that when a government establishes itself that claims to be following Marx’s
    0:33:32 prescriptions and realizing his vision, it happens in the wreckage of the Russian Empire,
    0:33:38 a place that did not match the requirements of being industrialized, developed well on its way
    0:33:47 in this historical process. Nobody knew this better than the Bolsheviks. Lenin and his colleagues
    0:33:55 had a keen sense that what they were doing, exciting as it was, was a gamble. It was a risk,
    0:34:02 because in fact, the revolution to really take hold had to seize power in Germany. That’s why,
    0:34:09 immediately after taking power, they’re not sure they’re going to last. Their hope, their
    0:34:16 promise of salvation is that a worker’s revolution will erupt in Germany, defeated Germany, in order
    0:34:22 to link up with the one that has been launched in this unlikely Russian location. Henceforth,
    0:34:31 great things will follow that do cue to Marx’s historical vision. The last thing to mention
    0:34:41 about this is that this predominance of Germany in the thinking of Marx had two other reflections.
    0:34:52 One was that German socialists and later communists organized in order to fulfill Marx’s vision,
    0:35:00 and they produced something that leaves other Westerners in awe in the late 19th century.
    0:35:05 That’s the building of a strong German workers movement and a social democratic party.
    0:35:12 That social democratic party by 1912 is the largest party in German politics by vote,
    0:35:17 and there’s the possibility they might even come to power without meeting radical revolution,
    0:35:24 which again also goes against Marx’s original vision of the necessity for a revolution.
    0:35:32 Workers around the world or rather radical socialists look with admiration and awe at
    0:35:37 what the Germans have achieved, and they see themselves as trying to do what the Germans
    0:35:43 have done. The final point is growing up during the Cold War, one thought that, well,
    0:35:47 if you want to represent somebody as being a communist, that person has to have a Russian
    0:35:53 accent, because Russia, after all, the homeland of this form of government, the Soviet Union,
    0:36:01 that must be the point of origin. Before the Bolshevik seized power, in order to really be a
    0:36:05 serious radical socialist, you needed to read German, because you needed to read Marx,
    0:36:11 and you needed to read Kautsky, and you needed to read Bernstein and other thinkers in this tradition,
    0:36:18 and it’s only after the Soviet seizure of power that this all changes. There’s lots of Marx of that
    0:36:28 phenomenon, which is why the clash between nationalism and communism in Germany
    0:36:31 is such a fascinating aspect of history and all the different trajectories it could take,
    0:36:36 and we’ll talk about it. But if we return to the 19th century, you’ve said that
    0:36:46 Marx’s chief rival was Russian anarchist Mihail Bakunin, who famously said in 1942,
    0:36:53 quote, “The passion for destruction is also a creative passion.” So what kind of future did
    0:37:00 Bakunin envision? Well, Bakunin, in some things, agreed with Marx, and in many others, disagreed.
    0:37:07 He was an anarchist rather than hewing to the sort of scheme of history that Marx was proposing.
    0:37:14 So he did see humanity as fighting a struggle for a better way of life. He envisioned, as your
    0:37:21 quote suggests, that revolution and sheer confrontation and overthrow of the existing
    0:37:25 state of things, not compromise, was going to be the way to get there. But his vision was very
    0:37:35 different. Rather than organizing conspiratorial and hierarchical political movement, Bakunin
    0:37:43 envisioned that the ties would be far looser, that both the revolutionary movement and the
    0:37:47 future state of humanity would grow out of the free association, the anarchist thinking,
    0:37:53 the free association of individuals who rejected hierarchical thinking in their relations with
    0:37:59 one another, rejected the state as a form of organized violence, and rejected traditional
    0:38:07 religious ideas that he saw as buttressing hierarchies. So Bakunin is part of a broader
    0:38:12 movement of socialists and anarchists who are demanding change and envisioning really fundamental
    0:38:18 transformation. But his particular anarchist vision steers him into conflict with Marx,
    0:38:25 and he makes some prophetic remarks about the problems with the system that Marx is proposing.
    0:38:32 You should add to this that the very fact that Marx is a German by background and Bakunin is
    0:38:36 Russian kind of adds a further nationalist or element of ethnic difference there.
    0:38:46 Bakunin warned that a sort of creeping German authoritarianism might insinuate its way into
    0:38:52 a movement that hewed too closely to having hierarchies in the struggle to overthrow hierarchies.
    0:39:01 His anarchist convictions are not in question here. They led him into conflict with Marx,
    0:39:09 and Marx railed against him, denounced him, and eventually had him expelled from the international.
    0:39:15 One of the things, though, that also makes Bakunin so significant is Bakunin is the first
    0:39:23 in a longer series of approaches between anarchists and communists,
    0:39:29 where they try to make common cause. And you have to say that in every case it ends badly for the
    0:39:36 anarchists, because the communist vision in particular, especially in its Leninist version,
    0:39:44 argued for discipline and a tightly organized professional revolutionary movement. The anarchists
    0:39:52 who sought to make common cause with communists, whether it was in the days of the Russian revolution
    0:40:00 or the Russian Civil War, or whether it was then in the Spanish Civil War, the anarchists
    0:40:08 found themselves targeted by the communists precisely because of their skepticism about
    0:40:14 what turned out to be an absolutely key element in the Leninist prescription for a successful
    0:40:21 revolution. If we can take that tangent a little bit. So I guess anarchists were less organized.
    0:40:26 My definition. Yeah. Why do you think anarchism hasn’t been
    0:40:34 rigorously tried in the way that communism was if we just take a complete tangent? I mean,
    0:40:44 in one sense, we are living in an anarchy today because the nations are in an anarchic state
    0:40:49 with each other. But why do you think there’s not been an anarchist revolution?
    0:40:53 Well, I think that probably some anarchists would beg to differ. They would see
    0:41:02 communes in Spain during the Spanish Civil War as an example of trying to put anarchist ideas
    0:41:10 into place. Bakunin flitted from one area of unrest to another hoping to be in on finally the
    0:41:16 founding of the sort of free communes that he had in mind. Another key point in all of this
    0:41:22 is that anarchy means something different to different people as a term. So when you point
    0:41:27 out quite correctly that we have an anarchic international situation, that’s kind of the
    0:41:33 Hobbesian model of the war of all against all, where man is a wolf to man. Generally, except if
    0:41:41 you’re talking about nihilists in the Russian revolutionary tradition, anarchists see anarchy
    0:41:49 as a blessed state and one where finally people will be freed from the distorting influence of
    0:41:57 hierarchies, traditional beliefs, subjugation, inequalities. So for them, anarchy growing out
    0:42:04 of the liberation of the human being is seen as a positive good and peaceful. Now, that’s at odds
    0:42:10 with the prescription of someone like Bakunin for how to get there. He sees overthrow as being
    0:42:19 necessary on the route to that. But as we point out, it’s absolutely key to this entire dynamic
    0:42:25 that to be an anarchist means that your efforts are not going to be organized the way a disciplined
    0:42:30 and tightly organized revolutionary movement would be. Yeah, it’s an interesting stretch
    0:42:36 that a violent revolution will take us to a place of no violence or very little violence.
    0:42:46 It’s a leap. It’s a leap. And it points to a phenomenon that would have enraged Marx and
    0:42:51 would have been deeply alienating to others in the tradition who followed him, but that
    0:42:58 so many scholars have commented on. And that’s that there is a religious element, not a vowed
    0:43:06 one, but a kind of hidden religious or secular religious element to Marx’s vision, to the tradition
    0:43:14 that follows Marx. And just think of the correspondences. Marx himself as kind of a
    0:43:19 positioning himself as a savior figure, whether that’s a Prometheus or a Moses who will lead
    0:43:27 people to the promised land. The apocalypse or the end times is this final revolution that will
    0:43:35 usher in a blessed final state, a utopia, which is equivalent to a secular version of heaven.
    0:43:43 There’s the working class playing the role of humanity in its struggle to be redeemed.
    0:43:53 And scholar after scholar has pointed this out. Reinhold Niebuhr back in the 1930s had
    0:43:59 an article in the Atlantic magazine that talked about the Soviet Union’s communism as a religion.
    0:44:07 Eric Furgelen, a German-American scholar who fled the Nazis and relocated to
    0:44:14 Louisiana State University and wrote tomes about the new phenomenon of political religions
    0:44:25 in the modern period. And he saw fascism and Nazism and Soviet communism as bearing the stamp
    0:44:33 of political religions, meaning ideologies that promised what an earlier age would have
    0:44:40 understood in religious terms. Furgelen called this the eschaton and said that these end times,
    0:44:46 the eschaton was being promised in the here and now being made imminent. And he warned against
    0:44:54 that saying the results are likely to be disastrous. So that’s actually a disagreement with this idea
    0:45:02 that people sometimes say that the Soviet Union is an example of an atheistic society.
    0:45:08 So when you have atheisms, the primary thing that underpins the society, this is what you get.
    0:45:13 So that’s what you’re saying is a kind of rejection of that saying that there’s a
    0:45:19 strong religious component to communism. A hidden component, one that’s not officially
    0:45:26 recognized. I think that I had a chance to witness this, actually. When I was a child,
    0:45:33 my family, I grew up in Chicago to a Lithuanian-American family. And my father, who was a
    0:45:39 mathematician, got a very rare invitation to travel to Soviet Lithuania, to the University
    0:45:46 of Vilnius, to meet with colleagues. And at this point, journeys of more than a few days or a week
    0:45:54 were very rare to the Soviet Union for Americans. And the result was that I had unforgettable
    0:46:00 experiences visiting the Soviet Union in Brezhnev’s day. And among the things I saw there was a
    0:46:07 museum of atheism that had been established in a church that had been ripped apart from inside
    0:46:18 and was meant to kind of embody the official stance of atheism. And I remember being baffled
    0:46:23 by the museum on the inside because you would expect exhibits, you would expect something
    0:46:28 dramatic, something that will be compelling. And instead, there was some folk art from the
    0:46:35 countryside showing bygone beliefs. There were some lithographs or engravings of the Spanish
    0:46:42 Inquisition and its horrors. And that was pretty much it. But as a child, I remember being
    0:46:51 reproved in that museum for not wearing my windbreaker, but instead carrying it on my arm,
    0:46:55 which was a very disrespectful thing to do in an official museum of atheism.
    0:47:02 When I was able to visit the Soviet Union later for a language course in the summer of 1989,
    0:47:09 one of the obligatory tours that we took was to file reverently past the body of Lenin
    0:47:16 outside the Kremlin in the Mausoleum at Red Square. And communist mummies like those of Lenin,
    0:47:23 earlier Stalin had been there as well, communist mummies like Mao or Ho Chi Minh,
    0:47:33 really, I think, speak to a blending of earlier religious sensibility, reverence for relics of
    0:47:40 great figures, almost saintly figures, so that even what got proclaimed as atheism turned out
    0:47:44 to be a very demanding faith as well. And I think that’s a contradiction that other scholars have
    0:47:50 pointed out as well. Yeah, it’s a very complicated sort of discussion. When you remove religion as
    0:47:58 a big component of a society, whether something like a framing of political ideologies in religious
    0:48:04 ways is the natural consequence of that. We hear nature abhorring a vacuum, and I think that
    0:48:10 there are places in human character that long for transcendental explanations, right? That it’s
    0:48:17 not all meaningless. In fact, there’s a larger purpose. And I think it’s not a coincidence
    0:48:23 that such a significant part of resistance to communist regimes has in part come from,
    0:48:31 on the one hand, religious believers, and on the other hand, from disillusioned true believers
    0:48:38 in communism who find themselves undergoing an internal experience of just a revulsion,
    0:48:43 finding that their ideals have not been followed through on.
    0:48:49 So this topic is one of several topics that you eloquently describe as contradictions within
    0:48:58 the ideas of Marx. So religious, there is a kind of religious adherence versus also the rejection
    0:49:04 of religious dogma that he stood for. We’ve talked about some of the others, the tension between
    0:49:10 nationalism that emerged when it was implemented versus what communism is supposed to be, which
    0:49:17 is global, so globalism. Then there’s the thing that we started talking with is individualism.
    0:49:22 So history is supposed to be defined by the large collection of humans,
    0:49:28 but there does seem to be these singular figures, including Marx himself, that are like really
    0:49:38 important. Geography of global versus restricted to certain countries. And tradition, you’re supposed
    0:49:44 to break with the past and communism, but then Marxism became one of the strongest traditions
    0:49:50 in history. That’s right. I think that that last one is especially significant because it’s
    0:49:54 deeply paradoxical. I mean, trying to outline these contradictions, by the way, is like subjecting
    0:49:59 Marx to the sort of analysis that Marx subjected other people to, which is to point out internal
    0:50:05 contradictions, things that are likely to become pressure points or cracks that might open up in
    0:50:14 what’s supposed to be a completely set, and durable, and effective framework. The one about
    0:50:22 tradition, Marx points out that the need for revolution is in order to break with the traditions
    0:50:30 that have hemmed people in, this earlier ways of thinking, earlier social structures, and to
    0:50:36 constantly renovate. And what happens instead is a tradition of radical rupture emerges.
    0:50:44 And that’s really tough because imagine the last stages of the Soviet Union, where
    0:50:52 keen observers can tell that there are problems that are building in society. There are discontents
    0:50:58 and demands that are going to clash, especially when someone like Gorbachev is proposing reforms,
    0:51:05 and things are suddenly thrown open for discussion. The very notion that you have the
    0:51:14 celebration of revolutionaries and the Bolshevik legacy at a time when the state wants to enforce
    0:51:21 stability, and an order that’s been received from the prior generation, think of Brezhnev’s time,
    0:51:28 for instance. All of that is a specially volatile mix, and unlikely to work out very
    0:51:36 durably in the long run. I would love to talk about the works of Marx, the Communist Manifesto
    0:51:42 and Das Kapital. What can we say that’s interesting about the manifestation of his ideas on paper?
    0:51:48 Well, the first thing to note, obviously, is that those two works are very different. Das Kapital
    0:51:54 is an enormous multi-volume work that Marx worked at and only got the first volume out
    0:52:00 because Engels begged him to stop revising. Please just finally get it into press. And then the rest,
    0:52:08 Engels had to actually reconstruct out of notes after Marx passed away. It’s a huge work. By contrast,
    0:52:16 the Communist Manifesto is a brief pamphlet that ended up affecting the lives of many millions
    0:52:26 worldwide in spite of its comparative brevity. The Communist Manifesto, moreover, is also
    0:52:33 something of the nature of having a delayed fuse, you could say, because when it first appears amid
    0:52:41 the revolutions of 1848 that sweep across Europe, the work is contrary to what people often believe.
    0:52:48 That pamphlet did not cause the revolutions of 1848, many of which had national or liberal demands.
    0:52:56 The voice of Marx and Engels was barely to be heard over the din of other far more prominent
    0:53:03 actors. It is, however, in the aftermath that this work takes on tremendous significance
    0:53:10 and becomes popularly read and popularly distributed. It’s especially the episode,
    0:53:17 the bloody episode of the Paris Commune in 1871, which comes to be identified with Marx,
    0:53:23 even though it was not purely inspired by Marx alone, nor were all of the Communards devoted
    0:53:29 Marxists. It’s the identification of this famous or infamous episode in urban upheaval
    0:53:37 that really leads to worldwide notoriety for Marx and attention to those works.
    0:53:45 They’re very different in form. Das Kapital is intended to be the origin of species of its realm,
    0:53:52 of economic thought, and represents years and years of work of Marx laboring in the British
    0:53:59 Museum Library, working through statistics, working on little bits and pieces of a larger
    0:54:06 answer to big historical questions that he believes that he’s arrived at. Its tone is
    0:54:11 different from that of the Communist Manifesto, which is a call to arms. It announces with great
    0:54:18 confidence what the scheme of history will be, but rather than urging that the answer might
    0:54:23 be passivity and just waiting for history to play out in its preordained way, it’s also
    0:54:31 a clarion call to make the revolution happen and is intended to be a pragmatic, practical
    0:54:39 statement of how this is to play out. It starts in part with those ringing words about a ghost
    0:54:44 or a specter haunting Europe, the specter of Communism, which wasn’t true at the time,
    0:54:50 but decades later most definitely is the case. Is there something we could say about the difference
    0:54:58 between Marxian economics and Marxist political ideology? The political side of things and the
    0:55:08 economics side of things. I think that Marx would probably have responded that in fact those things
    0:55:20 are indivisible. The analysis as purely theoretical certainly can be performed on any economic
    0:55:27 reality that you care to mention, but the imperatives that grow out of that economic analysis
    0:55:37 are political. Marx and Engels emphasize the unity of theory and practice. It’s not enough to
    0:55:44 dispassionally analyze. It’s a call to action as well, because if you’ve delivered the answer to
    0:55:53 how history evolves and changes, it obligates you. It demands certain action. You sometimes hear
    0:56:00 from undergraduates that they’ve heard from their high school history teachers that Marxism was just
    0:56:08 a theoretical construct that was the idle production of a philosopher who was not connected to the
    0:56:14 world and was never meant to be tried in practice. Marx would have been furious to hear this, and
    0:56:21 it’s almost heroically wrong as a historical statement, because Marx insisted that all previous
    0:56:29 philosophers have theorized about reality. What now is really necessary is to change it.
    0:56:39 You could say that in the abstract, a Marxist economist can certainly use Marx’s theoretical
    0:56:46 framework to compare to a given economic reality, but Marx would have seen that as incomplete and
    0:56:54 as deeply unsatisfactory. There’s a footnote to all of this, which is that even though Marxist
    0:56:59 dialectical materialism grounds itself in these economic realities, and the political prescription
    0:57:07 is supposed to flow from the economic realities and be inevitably growing out of them,
    0:57:15 in the real history of communist regimes, you’ve actually seen periods where the economics becomes
    0:57:22 detached from the politics. I’m thinking in particular of the new economic period,
    0:57:28 early in the history of the Soviet Union, when Lenin realizes that the economy is so far gone
    0:57:33 that you need to reintroduce or allow in a limited way some elements of private enterprise
    0:57:40 just to start getting Russia back on course in order to have the accumulation of surplus that
    0:57:47 will be necessary to build the project at all. There are many Bolsheviks who see the new economic
    0:57:54 program as a new economic policy, as a terrible compromise and a betrayal of their ideas, but
    0:58:01 it’s seen as necessary for a short while, and then Stalin will wreck it entirely. Consider, for that
    0:58:09 matter, China today, where you have a dominant political class, the Communist Party of China,
    0:58:16 which is allowing economic development and private enterprise as long as it retains
    0:58:25 political control. Some of these elements already represent divergences from what Marx would have
    0:58:33 expected, and this points to a really key problem or question for all of the history of communism.
    0:58:38 It has to do with it being a tradition in spite of itself, and that could be expressed in the
    0:58:44 following way. An original set of ideas is going to evolve. It’s going to change because circumstances
    0:58:51 change. What elaborations of any doctrine, whether it’s communism or a religious doctrine or any
    0:59:01 political ideology, what elaborations are natural stages in the evolution of any living set of ideas
    0:59:10 or when you reach the point where some shift or some adaptation is so radically different
    0:59:16 that it actually breaks with the tradition. That’s an insoluble problem. You probably have
    0:59:23 to take it on a case-by-case basis. It speaks to issues like the question that gets raised today.
    0:59:31 Is China, in a meaningful sense, a communist country anymore, and there’s a diversity of
    0:59:37 opinion on this score? If you’re looking at the history of communism and you look at North Korea,
    0:59:44 which now is on its third installment of a dynastic leader from the same family who rules
    0:59:52 like a god-king over a regime that calls itself communist, is that still a form of communism?
    1:00:01 Is it an evolution of? Is it a complete reversal of? I tend to want to take an anthropological
    1:00:07 perspective in the history of communism and to take very seriously those people who avow
    1:00:13 that they are communists, and this is the project that they have underway. Then, after hearing that
    1:00:19 avowal, I think as a historian, you have to say, “Well, let’s look at the details. Let’s see what
    1:00:23 changes have been made, what continuities might still exist, whether there’s a larger pattern
    1:00:28 to be discerned here.” It’s a very, very complicated history that we’re talking about.
    1:00:33 Let’s step back to the end of the 19th century and the beginning of the 20th century,
    1:00:41 and let’s steelman the case for communism. Let’s put ourselves in the shoes of the people there,
    1:00:45 not in this way we could look back at what happened in the 20th century.
    1:00:53 Why was this such a compelling notion for millions of people? Can we make the case for it?
    1:00:58 Well, clearly, it was a compelling case for millions of people, and part of this story has
    1:01:06 to do with, overall, has to do with the faith, conviction, stories of people sacrificing themselves,
    1:01:12 as well as their countrymen in a cause that they believed was not just legitimate, but
    1:01:18 demanded their total obedience. I think that throughout the early part of the 20th century,
    1:01:26 late 19th century, early part of the 20th century, so much of the compelling case for
    1:01:32 communism came from the confidence that people in the West more generally placed in science,
    1:01:41 the notion that science is answering problems. Science is giving us solutions to how the world
    1:01:48 around us works, how the world around us can be improved. Some varieties of that, and I watched
    1:01:54 the quotation marks, science were crazy, like phrenology, so-called scientific racism that tried
    1:02:01 to divide humanity up into discrete blocks and to manipulate them in ways that were allegedly
    1:02:08 scientific or rational. So there were horrors that followed from those invocations of science,
    1:02:16 but its prestige was enormous, and that in part had to do with the lessening grip of religious
    1:02:24 ideas on intellectual elites, more generally processes of secularization, not total secularization,
    1:02:32 but processes of secularization in Western industrial societies, and the sense that here’s
    1:02:43 a doctrine that will allow escape from wars brought on by capitalist competition, poverty
    1:02:52 and economic cycles and depressions brought on by capitalist competition, the inequalities of
    1:03:00 societies that remain hierarchical and class-based, and this claim to being cutting-edge science,
    1:03:10 I think allows people like Lenin to derive immense confidence in the prescription that
    1:03:16 they have for the future, and that paradoxically the confidence that you have in broad strokes,
    1:03:22 the right set of answers for how to get to the future also allows you to take huge liberties
    1:03:30 with the tactics and the strategies that you follow as long as your ultimate goal remains
    1:03:38 the one sketched by this master plan. So ultimately, some of the predictions of someone
    1:03:46 like Lenin, that once society has reached that stage of the dictatorship of the proletariat,
    1:03:53 the notion that governments will essentially be able to run themselves, and that the model he had
    1:04:00 in mind, oddly enough, was Swiss post offices. Being in Swiss exile must have impressed him so
    1:04:07 much with the orderliness and the sheer discipline and rationality of a Swiss post office, and he
    1:04:13 thought, why can’t you organize governments like this where you don’t need political leaders,
    1:04:20 you don’t need grand visions, you have procedures, you have bureaucracy, which does its job in a way
    1:04:28 that’s not alienating, but simply produces the greatest good. When you think of the experiences
    1:04:35 with bureaucracy in the 20th century, one’s hair stands on end to have the comparative naivete
    1:04:41 on display with a prediction like that, but it derives from that confidence that it’s all going
    1:04:50 to be okay because we understand, we have the key, we have the plan to how to arrive at this final
    1:04:58 configuration of humanity. Yeah, the certainty of science in quotes and the goal of utopia
    1:05:04 gets you in trouble, but also just on the human level from a working class person
    1:05:11 perspective. From the industrial revolution, you see the growing inequality, wealth inequality,
    1:05:17 and there is a kind of, you see people getting wealthy and combined with the fact that life
    1:05:23 is difficult, life in general, life is suffering for many, for most, for all, if you listen to
    1:05:33 some philosophers, and there is kind of a powerful idea in that the man is exploiting me, and that’s
    1:05:39 a populist message that a lot of people resonate with because to a degree is true in every system,
    1:05:47 and so before you kind of know how these economic and political ideas manifest themselves,
    1:05:55 it is really powerful to say here beyond the horizon, there’s a world where the rich man will
    1:06:02 not exploit my hard work anymore, and I think that’s a really powerful idea. It is. I mean,
    1:06:06 at the same time though, it kind of points to a further problem, that’s the identity of the
    1:06:14 revolutionaries. It turned out that many of these revolutionary movements, and then the founding
    1:06:21 elites of communist countries in the aftermath of the Soviet seizure of power, turn out to be
    1:06:25 something quite different from people who have spent their lives in factories experiencing the
    1:06:30 industrial revolution firsthand. I mean, there’s a special role here for intellectuals,
    1:06:38 and when Marx and Engels write into the communist manifesto, the notion that
    1:06:44 certain exceptional individuals can rise above their class origins in a way other people can’t,
    1:06:53 and transcend their earlier role, their materially determined role in order to gain
    1:06:57 a perspective on the historical process as a whole and ally themselves with the working class
    1:07:03 and its struggle for communism, this sort of special role that they carved out for themselves
    1:07:09 is enormously appealing for intellectuals, because any celebration of intellectuals as world movers
    1:07:20 is going to appeal to intellectuals. That gap, that frequent reality of not being in touch with
    1:07:29 the very classes that the communists are aiming to represent, is a very frequent theme in this
    1:07:39 story. It also speaks to a crucial part of this story, which is the breaking apart or the civil
    1:07:46 war, the war of brother against brother, the fraternal struggle that splits socialism and splits
    1:07:55 followers of Marx, and that’s in the aftermath of the First World War in particular, or during this
    1:08:03 traumatic experience, the way in which Lenin encourages the foundation of radical parties that
    1:08:07 will break with social democracy of the sort that had been elaborated, especially in places like
    1:08:14 Germany, scorning their moderation and instead announcing a new dispensation, which was the
    1:08:20 Leninist conception of a disciplined, hardcore, professional revolutionaries who will act in
    1:08:28 ways that a mere trade union movement couldn’t. What this speaks to is a fundamental tension
    1:08:38 in radical movements, because left to their own devices, Lenin announces, workers tend to focus
    1:08:46 on their reality, their families, their workplace, want better working conditions, unionize and then
    1:08:54 aim to negotiate with employers or to agitate for reforms on the part of the state to improve
    1:09:00 their living conditions. Then they’re happy for the advances that they have won. For Lenin,
    1:09:05 that’s not enough, because that’s a half measure. That’s the sort of thing that leads you into an
    1:09:11 accommodation with the system rather than the overthrow of the system. There’s a constant
    1:09:15 tension in this regard that plays itself out over the long haul.
    1:09:25 Let’s go to Lenin and the Russian Revolution. How did communism come to power in the Soviet Union?
    1:09:31 It came to power as a result of stepping into a power vacuum. The power vacuum was created by
    1:09:38 the First World War. It’s the effect that it had as a total war, unprecedented pressure placed on
    1:09:47 a regime that in many ways was a traditional, almost feudal monarchy, only experiencing the
    1:09:54 beginnings of the modernization that the rest of Europe had undergone. For this reason, communism
    1:10:01 comes to power in a place that Marx probably wouldn’t have expected in the wreckage of the
    1:10:09 Russian Empire. Lenin is absolutely vital to this equation, because he’s the one who presses
    1:10:19 the process forward. Ironically, given the claim of communist leaders to having the key to history,
    1:10:26 just a few months previous in exile in Switzerland, Lenin had been despairing and had been convinced
    1:10:34 that he may not even live to see the advent of that day. Then when revolution does break out in
    1:10:45 the Russian Empire in February of 1917, Lenin is absolutely frantic to get back. When he does get
    1:10:51 back as a result of a deal that is negotiated with the German high command, a step that they later
    1:10:58 live very much to regret, he is able to get back and to go into action and to press for nothing
    1:11:07 less than the seizure of power that brings his Bolshevik faction, the radical wing of the socialist
    1:11:14 movement to power and then to build the Soviet Union. Even he was surprised how effective and
    1:11:21 how fast the revolution happened. He was, although I think that he would have agreed that what was
    1:11:29 necessary was a cataclysm on the scale of the First World War to make this happen. The First
    1:11:37 World War shatters so many of the certainties of the 19th century that we talked about as a
    1:11:44 dynamic period with argument between ideologies. It scrambles all sorts of earlier debates.
    1:11:52 It renegotiates the status of the individual versus an all-powerful state and the claims of the
    1:12:00 state because to win or even just to survive in World War I, you need to centralize, centralize,
    1:12:07 and to put everything onto authoritarian wartime footing in country after country.
    1:12:16 Lenin earlier had already articulated the possibility that this might happen by talking about how
    1:12:25 the entire globe already was connected. There’s a chain of capitalist development
    1:12:32 that is connecting different countries so that the weakest link in the chain, if it breaks,
    1:12:42 if it pops open, it might actually inaugurate much bigger processes and start a chain reaction.
    1:12:49 That’s what he intended to do and has the chance to do in the course of 1917. Incidentally,
    1:12:59 just to get a sense of the sheer chaos and the human, on an individual human level, what the
    1:13:07 absence of established authority meant, there’s few works of literature that are as powerful
    1:13:15 as Buddy’s Pasternak’s Dr. Zhivago for giving the whole sweep of contending forces in a power
    1:13:22 vacuum. It’s an amazing testimony to that time and place. You said that Bolsheviks saw violence
    1:13:28 and terror as necessary. Can you just speak to this aspect of there? Because they took power
    1:13:34 and so this was a part of the way they saw the world. Right, and it had antecedents.
    1:13:43 Even though Lenin and his colleagues are competing amongst each other for the title of
    1:13:49 “Most Faithful Disciple of Marx” and most true to the received
    1:13:57 theory in practice, there’s other influences, earlier influences, that operate in the Russian
    1:14:04 context that were not operative, let’s say, in the German context. Here you have to step back
    1:14:12 and think about the nature of Tsarism, which had maintained still into the 20th century the notion
    1:14:19 of divine right to rule, that God had ordained the Tsarist system and its hierarchies, and that
    1:14:27 to question these was sinful and politically not advisable. The restrictive nature of Russian
    1:14:34 society at this point dominated by the Tsarist establishment. Its harshness, its reactionary
    1:14:39 nature meant that people who in another context, in another country, might have been reformers,
    1:14:44 could instead very easily be provoked into becoming revolutionaries.
    1:14:54 Lenin is a perfect example of this because his older brother was executed as a result of being
    1:15:02 in a radical revolutionary movement who was arrested and executed for association with
    1:15:12 terrorism. Earlier generations of Russian radicals had founded populist groups that would aim to
    1:15:20 engage in terrorism and resistance against the Tsarist regime. This included people who call
    1:15:26 themselves nihilists. These nihilists were materialists who saw themselves ushering in
    1:15:35 a new age by absolute rejection of earlier religious traditions and aiming for material
    1:15:44 answers to the challenges of the day. Among them was Nikolai Chernyshevsky, who wrote what’s been
    1:15:49 called the worst book ever written. It was, in fact, one of Lenin’s favorite books in Russian,
    1:15:56 its Stodielat, in English it gets translated, “What is to be done?” It’s a utopian novel about
    1:16:03 revolutionaries and how revolutionaries should act with one another in open ways, new ways,
    1:16:10 nontraditional ways in order to help usher in the coming revolution. Lenin loved the work
    1:16:17 and said it had the great merit of showing you how to be a revolutionary. There’s the Marxist
    1:16:25 influence and then there’s Russian populist, nihilist influence, which is also a very live
    1:16:33 current in Lenin’s thinking. When you add these things together, you get an explosive mix because
    1:16:42 Lenin as a result and part of this family trauma of his brother becomes an absolutely reconcilable
    1:16:48 enemy of the Tsarist regime and sets about turning himself into what you might call a
    1:16:55 guided missile for revolution. He turns himself into a machine to produce revolutionary change.
    1:17:03 I mean that with little hyperbole. Lenin at one point shared with friends that he loved listening
    1:17:09 to music, but he tried not to listen to beautiful music like Beethoven because it made him feel
    1:17:17 gentle. What the revolution demanded was realism, hardness, absolute, steely resolve.
    1:17:25 Lenin worries even to follow revolutionaries by the intensity of his single-minded focus to
    1:17:31 revolution. He spends his days thinking about the revolution. He probably dreamt about the
    1:17:41 revolution. 24/7, it’s an existence where he’s paired off other human elements quite deliberately
    1:17:46 in order to turn himself into an effective instigator of revolution. When the opportunity
    1:17:55 comes in 1917, he’s primed and ready for that role. It’s interesting that nihilism,
    1:18:00 Russian nihilism had an impact on Lenin. Traditionally, nihilist philosophy rejects
    1:18:06 all sorts of traditional morality. There’s a kind of cynical dark view and where’s delight?
    1:18:13 The light is science. The light is science and materialism. Oh boy. The nihilists, some of them
    1:18:18 did a very bad job of hiding their political beliefs because they were famous for wearing
    1:18:25 blue-tinted spectacles, the sunglasses of the late 19th century, as a way of shielding their eyes
    1:18:34 from light, but also having a dispassionate and realistic view of reality outside. Nihilists,
    1:18:40 as the name would suggest, do reject all prior certainties, but they make an exception for science
    1:18:46 and see that as the possibility for founding an entirely new mode of existence.
    1:18:53 For most people, I think nihilism is introduced in the brilliant philosophical work. I don’t know
    1:18:59 if you’re familiar with it by the name of the big Lebowski. Nihilists appear there. I think
    1:19:05 they summarize the nihilist tradition quite well, but it is indeed fascinating. Also, it is
    1:19:11 fascinating that Lenin, and I’m sure this influenced Stalin as well, that hardness was the
    1:19:19 necessary human characteristics to take the revolution to its end. That’s right. So prior
    1:19:28 generations of nihilists or populists had resembled Lenin’s single-mindedness by arguing that
    1:19:36 one needed total devotion for this. To play this role in society, it was not enough to be
    1:19:41 somewhat committed. Total commitment was necessary. The other theme that’s at work here, obviously,
    1:19:48 is if we consider Lenin affected by Marxist ideas and the homegrown Russian revolutionary
    1:19:59 tradition that predates the arrival of Marxist socialism in Russia, it’s the theme of
    1:20:07 needing to adapt to local conditions. So Marxism or communism in Vietnam or in Cuba
    1:20:15 or in Cambodia or in Russia will be very different in its local adaptations and local themes and
    1:20:23 resonance than it was in Germany where Marx would have expected all this to unfold.
    1:20:31 So let’s talk about Lenin, Trotsky, and Stalin, this little interplay that eventually led to
    1:20:36 Stalin accumulating, grabbing, and taking a hold of power. What was that process like?
    1:20:47 So Lenin’s supreme confidence leads the party through some really difficult steps. That involves
    1:20:53 things like signing the humiliating treaty with the Germans, the Treaty of Bresletovsk,
    1:20:59 where critics of the Bolsheviks said that no one who loved their country would have agreed to
    1:21:06 a so draconian, so harsh a settlement that saw the peeling off of large territories that had
    1:21:11 belonged to the Russian Empire. Lenin is willing to undertake this because of the larger prize.
    1:21:16 He even says that he’s not going to bother to read the treaty because shortly that treaty is
    1:21:20 going to be a dead letter. His expectation is, revolution’s going to break out everywhere,
    1:21:26 especially after we’ve raised the standard, first of all, in the wreckage of the Russian Empire.
    1:21:31 And we should probably say that that treaty, to some small degree, maybe you can elaborate
    1:21:40 now or later, lays the groundwork for World War II because resentment is a thing that with time
    1:21:48 can lead to just extreme levels of destruction. Right. For German sensibilities, for German
    1:21:57 nationalists, that treaty meant that Germany had essentially won World War I. Only a turn of events
    1:22:04 that many of them couldn’t even follow or conceive of, the arrival of American troops, the tipping
    1:22:12 of the balance in the West led to that reversal. And one of the many scholars and contemporaries
    1:22:16 pointed out that Germany between the wars was full of people who were convinced that Germany
    1:22:22 had actually not lost the war. However, that victory of theirs was defined. So most definitely,
    1:22:27 that groundwork is late. And incidentally, this is something we can talk about later,
    1:22:32 World War I and World War II have a lot of linkages like that. And as time goes by,
    1:22:39 I think historians are going to focus on those linkages even more. But Lenin also in his leadership
    1:22:48 against the odds leads the Bolsheviks to power in the Russian Civil War, where most betting people
    1:22:54 would have given them very slight odds of even surviving given how many enemies they faced off
    1:23:03 against. Lenin’s insistence upon discipline and upon good organization allowed the Bolsheviks to
    1:23:13 emerge as the winners. And yet, a great disappointment follows. Lenin, as we said, had expected that
    1:23:17 revolution will break out soon everywhere. And all it’ll be necessary for the Bolsheviks to do,
    1:23:24 having given the lead, is to link up with others. And so he considered that what would be established
    1:23:33 would be a red bridge between a communist Russia and once Germany inevitably plunged ahead into
    1:23:38 its revolutionary transformation, a communist Germany. That doesn’t end up happening. On the
    1:23:45 contrary, what happens in Germany is a out and out shooting war between different kinds of socialists.
    1:23:50 When Germany establishes a democracy that later goes by the name of the Weimar Republic,
    1:23:56 the government is a government of social democrats, moderate social democrats,
    1:24:01 who are fearful of what they see as Russian conditions of disorder and who are not necessarily
    1:24:08 in sympathy with the Leninist vision of tightly organized authoritarian rule.
    1:24:15 So, communists who revolt in Germany are brutally suppressed by mercenaries,
    1:24:24 hardened front fighters, and nationalist radicals hired by the German socialist government. And
    1:24:32 the result is a wound that just won’t heal in the German socialist movement as a result of this
    1:24:39 fratricide. It frustrates Lenin’s ambitions, so too does the fact that Poland, rather than
    1:24:46 going Bolshevik, resists attempts by the Bolsheviks to move forward and to connect up with Germany.
    1:24:54 The Poles yet again play a tremendously important historical role in changing the expected course
    1:25:02 of historical events. It’s in the aftermath of these unexpected turns that Lenin and his
    1:25:08 colleagues realize that they’re in this for the long haul. It’s necessary to wait longer. They
    1:25:16 don’t lose hope in, or confidence, you might say, in the eventual coming of international
    1:25:22 workers’ revolution, but it’s been deferred. It’s been put off. And so the question then arises,
    1:25:28 what do you build within a state that’s established called the Union of Soviet Socialist
    1:25:35 Republics or the Soviet Union? Lenin, as a result of an assassination attempt, is
    1:25:44 deeply affected in his health and would have loved to continue for years longer to steer
    1:25:52 the regime. But he’s sidelined because of his declining health, and there emerges a contest,
    1:26:03 a contest between a very charismatic leader, Leo Trotsky, on the one hand, who is an amazing orator,
    1:26:11 who is an intellectual, who has traveled widely in the world, who has seen much of the world,
    1:26:20 and who is a brilliant writer, a far-ranging intellect, and is seen as extremely radical
    1:26:27 because of his demand for permanent revolution, the acceleration of revolutionary processes
    1:26:32 to drive history forward, to strike while the iron is hot, and on the other hand,
    1:26:38 is an extremely unlikely contender for power. And that’s a man who’s probably the antithesis of
    1:26:45 charisma, if you were to meet him in person, a guy with a squeaky, somewhat high-pitched voice,
    1:26:54 not well-suited to revolutionary oratory, his face pockmarked with the scars of youthful illness,
    1:27:02 and who, moreover, doesn’t speak a fine, sophisticated Russian, but speaks a Russian,
    1:27:07 heavily inflected with a Georgian accent from that part of the Russian Empire from which he came,
    1:27:15 and that was Stalin. And I know that you already have a marvelous interview with Stephen Kotkin,
    1:27:23 the brilliant biographer of Stalin, who has so many insights on that subject.
    1:27:31 The one thing that even after reading about Stalin, that never ceases to surprise me,
    1:27:38 even in retrospect, is that Stalin gains a reputation not as a fiery radical,
    1:27:45 but as a moderate, a man who’s a conciliator, someone who’s calm when others are excited,
    1:27:53 someone who is able, because of his organizational skills, to resolve merely theoretical disputes
    1:28:00 with practical solutions. Now, to fully take this aboard, we have to unknow what we know
    1:28:07 from our vantage point about Stalin’s leadership, Stalin’s brutality in eliminating his opposition,
    1:28:14 the cult of personality that, against all odds, got built up around Stalin so successfully,
    1:28:23 and the absolute dominant role that led him later to be described as Genghis Khan with a telephone.
    1:28:30 A brutal dictator with ancient barbarism, allied to the use of modern technology.
    1:28:38 While Trotsky is delivering stirring speeches and theorizing, Stalin works behind the scenes to
    1:28:46 control personnel decisions in the Bolshevik movement and in the state. And it’s a cliche,
    1:28:54 because it’s true that personnel is policy. Trotsky is increasingly sidelined and then demonized,
    1:29:01 and eventually expelled from the Soviet Union, and later murdered in Mexico City. For Stalin,
    1:29:06 eliminating his enemies turned out to be the solution that he was most comfortable with.
    1:29:13 So, from that perspective, there’s a lot of fascinating things here. So, one is that you
    1:29:23 can have a wolf, a brutal dictator in moderate clothing. So, just because somebody presents
    1:29:28 this moderate, doesn’t mean they can’t be one of the most destructive, not the most
    1:29:35 destructive humans in history. The other aspect is, using propaganda, you can construct an image
    1:29:43 of a person, even though they’re uncharismatic, not attractive, their voice is no good, all of those
    1:29:50 aspects, you can still have a, like, they’re still to this day, a very large number of people that
    1:29:57 see him as a religious type of god-like figure. So, the power of propaganda there.
    1:30:02 Today, we would call that curating the image. Curating the image, but to the extent to which
    1:30:09 you can do that effectively is quite incredible. So, in that way, also, Stalin is a study of the
    1:30:16 power of propaganda. Can we just talk about the ways that the power vacuum is filled by Stalin,
    1:30:23 how that manifests itself? Perhaps one angle we can take is, how was the secret police used?
    1:30:29 How did power manifest itself under Stalin? Well, before getting to the secret police,
    1:30:36 I would just want to add the other crucial element, which is Lenin’s patronage. Stalin doesn’t brawl
    1:30:44 his way into the Bolshevik party and dominate. He’s co-opted and promoted to positions of
    1:30:51 importance by Lenin, who sees him as a somewhat rough around the edges, not very sophisticated,
    1:30:59 much less cosmopolitan than other Bolsheviks, but dependable, reliable, and committed revolutionary.
    1:31:04 So, I think that one of the things that’s emerged, especially after archives opened up
    1:31:08 with the fall of the Soviet Union, and we were able to read more and more the communications of
    1:31:17 Lenin, is that it’s not the case that we’re talking here about a unconnected series of careers.
    1:31:22 Rather, there are connections to be made. It’s true that towards the end of his life,
    1:31:29 Lenin came to be worried by complaints about Stalin’s rudeness towards fellow Bolsheviks,
    1:31:35 and in his testament, he warned against Stalin’s testimonies. Lenin fundamentally saw himself
    1:31:42 as irreplaceable, and so that doesn’t really help in a succession struggle. Stalin
    1:31:49 is able to rely on a secret police apparatus that have been built up under Lenin already.
    1:31:58 It’s very early in the foundation of the Soviet state that the Chekha, or the Extraordinary
    1:32:07 Commission, is established as a secret police to terrify the enemies, beat down the opponents of
    1:32:15 the regime, and to keep an eye on society more generally. The person who’s chosen for that task
    1:32:23 also is an anomaly among Bolsheviks. That is a man of Polish aristocratic background,
    1:32:30 Felix Zerzhinsky, who comes to be known by the nickname Iron Felix. Here’s a man about whom
    1:32:38 a cult of personality also is created. Zerzhinsky is celebrated in the Soviet period as the model of
    1:32:47 someone who’s harsh but fair, an executioner but with a heart of gold, somebody who loves children,
    1:32:55 somebody who has a tender heart but forces himself to be steely-willed against the opponents
    1:33:03 of the ideological project of the Bolsheviks. Zerzhinsky is succeeded by figures who will
    1:33:10 be absolutely instrumental to Stalin’s exercise of power, and they’re not immune either. Stalin,
    1:33:18 in his purges, takes care also to purge the secret police as a way of finding others upon
    1:33:27 whom to deflect blame for earlier atrocities and to produce a situation where even committed
    1:33:33 Bolsheviks are uncertain of what’s going to happen next and feel their own position to be
    1:33:39 precarious. Incidentally, there are other influences that probably are brought to bear here as well.
    1:33:44 It gets said about Stalin that he used to spend a lot of time flipping through Machiavelli’s The
    1:33:54 Prince. It seems that Stalin’s personal copy of The Prince, nobody knows where that is if it still
    1:34:03 exists, but historians have found annotations in works by Lenin that Stalin, who is a voracious
    1:34:10 reader as it turns out, made in the back of one of the books, which sounds almost like a commentary
    1:34:17 on Machiavelli’s almost but not quite suggestion that the ends justify the means. Stalin’s own
    1:34:28 writing says that if someone is strong, active, and intelligent, even if they do things that other
    1:34:35 people condemn, they’re still a good person. Stalin’s self-conception of himself is someone
    1:34:42 who along these lines, and in line with Lenin’s emphasis on practical results and discipline,
    1:34:51 somebody who gets things done, that’s the crucial ethical standard. Ultimately, in criticisms,
    1:34:58 by later dissidents of Bolshevik morality, this question of what is the ethical standard,
    1:35:07 what is the ethical law, will bring this question into focus. This goes back to Marx as well,
    1:35:14 incidentally. The notion that any ethical system, any notion of right or wrong is purely a product
    1:35:20 of class identity, because every class produces its distinctive ideas, its distinctive religion,
    1:35:27 its distinctive art forms, its distinctive styles means that with no one transcendent
    1:35:33 or absolute morality, it’s all up for grabs. Then it’s a question of power and the exercise of power
    1:35:40 with no limits untrammeled by any laws whatsoever. Dictatorship in its purest form,
    1:35:44 something that Lenin had avowed, and then Stalin comes to practice even more fully.
    1:35:51 Not that it’s possible to look deep into a person’s heart, but if you look at Trotsky,
    1:35:57 you could say that he probably believed deeply in Marxism and communism, probably the same with
    1:36:03 Lenin. What do you think Stalin believed? Was he a believer? Was he a pragmatist that used
    1:36:10 communism as a way to gain power and ideology as part of propaganda, or did he in his own
    1:36:15 private moments deeply believe in this utopia? That’s an excellent question, and you’re quite
    1:36:21 right. We cannot peer into the inmost recesses of somebody’s being and know for sure. My intuition,
    1:36:30 though, is that this may be a false alternative, a false dichotomy. It’s natural enough to see
    1:36:36 somebody who does monstrous things to say, “Well, ideology is being used as a cover for it,” but
    1:36:42 I think that my suspicion is that these were actually perfectly compatible in his historical
    1:36:49 role. The notion that there’s an ideology, it gives you a master plan for how history is going
    1:36:58 to develop, and your own power, the increase of that power to unprecedented proportions,
    1:37:05 your ability to torment even your own faithful followers in order just to see them squirm,
    1:37:15 which Stalin was famous for, to keep people unsettled. To me, it seems that for some people,
    1:37:19 those might not actually be opposed, but might even be mutually reinforcing,
    1:37:25 which is a very scary thought. It’s terrifying, but it’s really important to understand.
    1:37:35 If we look at once Stalin takes power at some of the policies, so the collectivization of
    1:37:45 agriculture, why do you think that failed so catastrophically, especially in the 1930s with
    1:37:53 Ukraine and Politomor? I think the short answer is that the Bolsheviks in particular,
    1:37:57 but also communists more generally, have had a very conflicted relationship with agriculture.
    1:38:10 Agriculture as a very vital, obviously, but also very traditional and old form of human activity
    1:38:17 has about it all of the smell of tradition and other problematic factors as well.
    1:38:26 In a place like Russia or the Russian Empire, peasants throughout history for centuries had
    1:38:35 wanted one thing, and that was to be left alone to farm their own land. That’s their utopia,
    1:38:42 and that for someone like Marx, who had a vision of historical development and transcendence and
    1:38:48 progress as being absolutely key, does not mesh at all with that vision. For that reason,
    1:38:56 when Marx comes up with this tableau, this tremendous display of historical transformation
    1:39:02 taking place over centuries and headed towards the final utopia, the role of farmers there
    1:39:14 is negligible. Peasants get called conservative and dull as sacks of potatoes in Marx’s historical
    1:39:21 vision because they’re limited in their horizon. They farm their land, their plot, and don’t have
    1:39:26 greater revolutionary goals beyond working the land and having it free and clear.
    1:39:33 By contrast, industrialization, that’s progress. Images that today would be deeply disturbing
    1:39:40 to an environmentalist’s sensibility. Smoke steps, belching smoke, the byproducts of industry,
    1:39:48 a landscape transformed by the factory model, that’s what Marx and then later the Bolsheviks
    1:39:56 have in mind. Similarly, the goal, even as articulated in Marx’s writings, is to put agriculture
    1:40:03 and farming on a factory model so that you won’t need to deal with this traditional
    1:40:09 role of the independent farmer or the peasant. Instead, you’ll have people who benefit from
    1:40:17 progress, benefit from rationalization by working factory farms. In approaching the question of
    1:40:25 collectivization, we have to keep in mind that for Stalin and his comrades who are bound and
    1:40:30 determined to drag Russia, kicking and screaming into the modern age and not to allow it be beaten
    1:40:37 because of its backwardness, as Stalin puts it, traditional forms of agriculture are not what
    1:40:45 they have in mind. In their rank of desired outcomes, industrialization, especially massive,
    1:40:54 heavy industry, is the sine qua non. That’s their envisioned future. Agriculture rates below.
    1:41:01 In that case, the crucial significance of collectivization is to get a handle on the food
    1:41:06 situation in order to make it predictable and not to find oneself in another crisis,
    1:41:11 like during the Civil War, when the cities are starving, industry is robbed of labor,
    1:41:19 and the factories are at a standstill. This is really the core approach to collectivization,
    1:41:26 to put the productive capacities of the farmers in a regimented way, in a state-controlled way,
    1:41:36 under the control of the state. This produces vast human suffering because, for the farmers,
    1:41:42 their plot of land that they thought they had gained as a result of the revolution
    1:41:49 is now taken away. They no longer have the same incentives they had before to be successful
    1:41:54 farmers. In fact, if you’re a successful farmer and maybe have a cow as opposed to your neighbors
    1:42:02 who have no cow, you’re defamed and denounced as a kulak, a tight-fisted exploiter, even though
    1:42:08 you might be helping to develop agriculture in the region that you’re from. The result is
    1:42:18 human tragedy on a vast scale. Allied to that, incidentally, is Stalin’s sense that
    1:42:28 this is a chance to also target people who are opposed to the Bolshevik regime for other reasons,
    1:42:34 whether it’s because of their Ukrainian identity, whether it’s because of a desire for a different
    1:42:42 nationalist project. For Stalin, there are many motives that roll into collectivization.
    1:42:48 The final thing to be said is you’re quite right that collectivization proves to be a failure
    1:42:55 because the Soviet Union never finally gets a grasp on the problems of agricultural production.
    1:43:04 By the end of the Soviet Union, they’re importing grain from the west in spite of having some of
    1:43:10 tremendously rich farmland to be found worldwide. The reason for that had to do in part, I think,
    1:43:17 with the incentives that had been taken away. Prosperous individual farmers have a motive
    1:43:26 for working their land and maximizing production. By contrast, if you are an employee of a factory
    1:43:33 style agricultural enterprise, the incentives run in very different directions. The joke that
    1:43:40 was common for decades in the Soviet Union and other communist countries with similar systems was,
    1:43:48 we pretend to work and they pretend to pay us. Even labor, which is rhetorically respected and
    1:43:57 valorized in practice, is rewarded with very slim rewards and, the last point, immobility. The
    1:44:03 collectivization reduces the mobility of the peasants who are not allowed because of internal
    1:44:09 passports to move to the cities unless they have permission. They’re locked in place. You’ve got
    1:44:15 to say, at the time and afterwards, that looked a lot like feudalism or neo-feudalism in terms of
    1:44:23 the restrictions on workers in the countryside. It is a terrifying, horrific, and fascinating study
    1:44:35 of how the ideal, when meeting reality, fails. The idea here is to make agriculture more efficient,
    1:44:42 to be more productive, so the industrialized model. The implementation through collectivization
    1:44:49 had all the elements that you’ve mentioned that contended with human nature, first with the
    1:44:57 Kulaks. The successful farmers were punished. Then the incentive is not just not to be a successful
    1:45:05 farmer, but to hide. Added to that, there’s a growing quota that everybody’s supposed to deliver on,
    1:45:11 that nobody can deliver on. Now, because you can’t deliver on that quota, you’re basically exporting
    1:45:18 all your food and you can’t even feed yourself. Then you suffer more and more and more and there’s
    1:45:24 a vicious downward spiral of you can’t possibly produce that. Now, there’s another human incentive
    1:45:33 where you’re going to lie. Everybody lies on the data. Even Stalin himself probably, as evil or
    1:45:38 incompetent as he may be, was not even getting good data about what’s even happening. Even
    1:45:44 if he wanted to stop the vicious downward cycle, which he certainly didn’t, but he wouldn’t be
    1:45:54 even able to. There’s all these dark consequences of what on paper seems like a good ideal. It’s
    1:46:01 a fascinating study of things on paper. That’s right. When implemented, it can go really, really
    1:46:08 bad. That’s right. The outcome here is a horrific man-made famine, not a natural disaster, not
    1:46:14 bad harvest, but a man-made famine as a result of then the compulsion that gets used by the Soviet
    1:46:21 state to extract those resources, cordoning off the area, not allowing starving people to escape.
    1:46:29 You put very well some of the implications of this case study in how things look in the
    1:46:38 abstract versus in practice. Those phenomena were going to haunt the rest of the experience
    1:46:45 of the Soviet Union. The whole notion that up and down the chain of command, everybody is falsifying
    1:46:54 or tinkering with or purifying the statistics or their reports in order not to look bad and
    1:47:01 not to have vengeance visited upon them reaches the point where nobody, in spite of the pretense
    1:47:08 of comprehensive knowledge. There’s a state planning agency that creates five-year plans
    1:47:15 for the economy as a whole and which is supposed to have accurate statistics. All of this is founded
    1:47:24 upon a foundation of sand. That’s inadvertent. That’s not an intended side effect. What you
    1:47:32 described in terms of the internal dynamics of fostering conflict in a rural society was
    1:47:39 absolutely not inadvertent. That was deliberate. The doctrine was you bring civil war. Now, had
    1:47:44 there been social tensions before? Of course there had. Had there been envies? Had there been
    1:47:52 differentiations in wealth or status? Of course there had been, but a deliberate plan to bring
    1:47:59 class conflict and bring civil war and then heighten it in the countryside does damage,
    1:48:06 and not least of that, is this phenomenon of a negative selection. Those who have most enterprise,
    1:48:12 those who are most entrepreneurial, those who have most self-discipline, those who are best
    1:48:21 organized will be winnowed again and again and again, sending the message that mediocrity is
    1:48:30 comparatively much safer than talent. This pattern, incidentally, gets transposed and in
    1:48:38 tremendously harrowing ways also to the entire group of Russian intelligentsia and intellectuals
    1:48:49 of other peoples who are in the Soviet Union. They discover similarly that to be independent,
    1:48:59 to have a voice which is not compliant carries with it tremendous penalties in especially in
    1:49:06 Stalin’s reigns of terror. Again, a difficult question about a psychology of one human being,
    1:49:16 but to what degree do you think Stalin was deliberately punishing the farmers and the
    1:49:26 Ukrainian farmers? To what degree was he looking the other way and allowing the large-scale incompetence,
    1:49:31 the horrific incompetence of the collectivization of agriculture to happen?
    1:49:37 I think it was both things. There were not only sins of omission, but also sins of commission.
    1:49:46 I don’t think for Stalin it was personal. These are people who are very remote from him. He never
    1:49:53 coming into contact with the people who are suffering in this way. Attributed to him is the
    1:50:00 quote that one death is a tragedy, a million deaths is a statistic. I think he in action
    1:50:07 certainly acted in a way that would vindicate that. The process of collectivization was not
    1:50:14 just a bureaucratic snafu following a bureaucratic snafu. There was the mobilization of communist
    1:50:22 youth, of military, of party activists to go into the regions and to search for hidden food,
    1:50:35 to extract the food where it could be found. We have testimony to this in the case of people
    1:50:43 who later became dissidents like Lev Kopolev who wrote in his memoirs about how he was among those
    1:50:49 who were sent in to enact these policies. He saw families with the last food being taken away even
    1:50:56 as signs of starvation were visible already in the present. Yet he did not go mad. He didn’t kill
    1:51:02 himself. He didn’t fall into despair because he believed. He had been taught and believed at least
    1:51:09 then that this was justified. This was a larger historical process and a greater good would result
    1:51:14 even from these enormities. I think that this was quite deliberate.
    1:51:27 Following this, as you’ve mentioned, there was the process of the great terror or the intellectuals
    1:51:33 where the Communist Party officials, the military officers, the bureaucrats, everybody,
    1:51:40 750,000 people were executed and over a million people were sent to the gulag.
    1:51:48 What can you say by way of wisdom from this process of the great terror that Stalin implemented
    1:52:00 from 36 to 38? Well, the terror had a variety of victims. There were people who were true believers
    1:52:06 and who were Bolsheviks who were especially targeted by Stalin because he aimed to revenge
    1:52:11 himself for all the condescension that he’d experienced in that movement before and also to
    1:52:19 eliminate rivals or potential rival power centers and members of their families. Then there were
    1:52:27 people who simply got caught up in a process whereby the repressive organs in the provinces were
    1:52:33 sent quotas. You have to achieve your quota and maybe even better yet overachieve your quota,
    1:52:39 overperform. That would be the key to success and rising in the bureaucracies and the age of the
    1:52:49 terror. What’s so horrifying is the way in which a whole society stood paralyzed in this process
    1:52:57 and how neighbors would be taken away in the middle of the night and people would be wary
    1:53:09 of talking about it. Resistance, at least in these urban centers, was entirely paralyzed by fear when,
    1:53:16 if one had somehow find a way to mobilize, somehow a way to resist the process, the results
    1:53:20 might have been different. There’s an astonishing book. There are so many great books
    1:53:28 that have come out quite recently even on these topics. Orlando Figes has an amazing book called
    1:53:38 “The Whispers” that traces several families’ history in the Stalin period. It’s a testimony to
    1:53:44 how a whole society and some of its most intelligent people got winnowed again and again
    1:53:51 and again in that process of negative selection that we talked about, the lasting dislocation
    1:53:57 and scars that this left, and the way in which how people were not able to talk about these things
    1:54:05 in public because that would put you next on the list suspected of having less than total
    1:54:11 devotion to the state. I think one of the things that also is so terrifying about the entire process
    1:54:20 is even total devotion wasn’t enough. The process took on a life of its own, and I think that it
    1:54:27 might even have surprised Stalin in some ways, not enough to short-circuit the process, but the
    1:54:36 notion where people were invited to denounce neighbors, coworkers, maybe even family members,
    1:54:44 meant that ever larger groups of people would be brought into the orbit of the secret police,
    1:54:50 tortured in order to produce confessions. Those confessions then would lead to more lists of
    1:54:57 suspects of people who had to be investigated and either executed or sent to the gulags.
    1:55:11 The uncertainty that this produced was enormous. Even loyalty was not enough to save people. The
    1:55:18 stories, Solzhenitsyn’s Gulag Archipelago is full of stories of dedicated communists
    1:55:24 who find themselves in the gulag and are sure that some mistake has been made. And if only
    1:55:30 Comrade Stalin would hear about the terrible thing that has happened to them, surely it would be
    1:55:36 corrected. And nothing like this, when everyone else, by contrast, accused of terrible crimes,
    1:55:43 there must be some truth behind that. Talk about ways of disaggregating a society,
    1:55:53 ways of breaking down bonds of trust. This left lasting traces on an entire society that endured
    1:56:01 to this very day. Yeah, again, a fascinating study of human nature. There essentially was
    1:56:11 an emergent quota of confessions of treason. So even though the whole society was terrified
    1:56:19 and were through terror or loyal, there still needed to be a lot of confessions of people
    1:56:25 being disloyal. So you’re just making shit up now. At a mass scale, stuff is being made up.
    1:56:30 And it’s also the machine or the secret police starts eating itself, because you want to be
    1:56:43 confessing on your boss, on this weird, dark, dynamic system where human nature is just worst.
    1:56:51 Absolutely. Absolutely. Why, if we look at this deep discussion we had about Marxism,
    1:57:01 to what degree can we understand from that lens, why the implementation of communism in the Soviet
    1:57:08 Union failed in such a dark way, both in the economic system with agriculture and industrialization,
    1:57:16 and on the human way with just violation of every possible human right and the torture and the
    1:57:22 suffering and gulags and all of this. Well, I think some of it comes back to the ethical
    1:57:29 grounding that we mentioned earlier, the notion that ethics are entirely situational,
    1:57:35 and that any ethical system is an outgrowth of a particular class reality, a particular material
    1:57:45 reality, and that leaves the door wide open. So I think that that aspect was present from
    1:57:56 the very beginning. I think that the expectations of Marx that the revolution would take hold and
    1:58:04 be successful in a developed country played a role here as well. Russia, which compared to the
    1:58:10 rest of Europe, was less developed even before the First World War, is in a dire state after
    1:58:16 all of the ravage and the millions of deaths that continue even after the war has ended in the West.
    1:58:27 That leaves precious little in the way of structural restraints or a functioning society
    1:58:35 that would say, “Let’s not do things this way.” I think that in retrospect, that special role
    1:58:42 carved out for special individuals who can move this process forward and accelerate historical
    1:58:50 development allowed for people to step into those roles and appoint themselves
    1:58:56 executors of this ideological vision. So I think those things play a role as well.
    1:59:01 Now, it’s hard to do counterfactual history, but to what degree is this basically that
    1:59:06 the Communist ideals create a power vacuum and a dictator type figure steps in,
    1:59:11 and then it’s a role of the dice of what that dictator is like? So can you imagine a world where
    1:59:19 the dictator was Trotsky? Would we see very similar type of things or is the hardness and the brutality
    1:59:26 of somebody like Stalin manifested itself in being able to look the other way as some of these
    1:59:33 dark things were happening more so than somebody like Trotsky who would presumably be
    1:59:37 see the realizations of these policies and be shocked?
    1:59:42 Well, counterfactuals are hard, like you said, and one very quickly gets off into
    1:59:48 really deep waters in speculation. There were contemporaries and there have been scholars
    1:59:55 since who suggest that Trotsky, by all indications, might have been even more radical than Stalin in
    2:00:04 the tempo that he wanted to achieve. Think of the slogan of permanent revolution.
    2:00:14 Trotsky also, who dabbled in so many things in his intellectual life, also spoke in almost
    2:00:18 utopian terms that are just astonishing to read, in utopian terms about the construction of the
    2:00:25 new man and the new woman, and that out of the raw material of humanity, once you really get
    2:00:30 going and once you’ve established a system that matches your hopes for the future,
    2:00:36 it’ll be possible to reconfigure people and talk about ambition to create essentially the
    2:00:43 next stage in human evolution, a new species growing out of humanity. Those don’t sound like
    2:00:49 very modest or limited approaches, and I guess we just really won’t know.
    2:00:55 Do some of the destructive characteristics of communism have to go hand in hand? The central
    2:01:02 planning that we talked about, the censorship with the secret police, the concentration of power
    2:01:11 in one dictatorial figure, and again with the secret police, the violent oppression.
    2:01:17 One should add to those factors that have a kind of interrelated logic of their own.
    2:01:24 The sheer fact that communism comes to power in most of these instances as a result of war,
    2:01:29 as a result of the destruction of what came before and a power vacuum. Think of
    2:01:40 the Russian revolutions in the wake of the fall of Tsarism. Think of the expansion of Stalin’s
    2:01:45 puppet regimes into Eastern Europe in the wake of World War II and the Red Army moving into
    2:01:52 Occupy areas in Eastern Europe, although they announced that they’re coming as liberators.
    2:02:01 Consider the foundation of communist China on the heels of World War II and yet more
    2:02:12 Chinese civil war. Consider cases like Korea, Vietnam. It’s likely that this already
    2:02:19 is a key element in setting things up for further crisis because upon seizure of power,
    2:02:25 if your expectation is, well, it ought to be relatively easy to get the system rolling and
    2:02:32 put it on a basis that’s, after all, we have the roadmap to the future, there will follow
    2:02:38 frustrations and impediments and resistance. There’s a ratchet effect then there because it’ll
    2:02:45 produce more repression, producing even more problems that follow. What drives the whole
    2:02:51 thing forward though, especially in its Leninist version, but already visible with Marx and Engels,
    2:02:58 is the insistence on confidence. If you have the key to the future, all of these things are possible
    2:03:09 and necessary. This leads to an ethos, I think, that’s very hard for historians to quantify or
    2:03:17 to study in a methodical way, but it’s the insistence that you hear with Lenin and then,
    2:03:27 especially with Stalin, that to be a Bolshevik means to be hard, to be realistic, to be consequential,
    2:03:34 meaning you don’t shy away from doing what needs to be done, even if your primordial,
    2:03:39 ethical remainders from whatever earlier experience you have rebelled against it.
    2:03:46 Under Stalin, there’s a constant slogan of the Bolshevik tempo. The Bolsheviks, there’s no
    2:03:53 fortresses that they can’t storm. They can do everything. In a way, this is the assertion that
    2:04:00 it’s will over everything. History can be moved forward and accelerated and probably your own
    2:04:07 actions justified as a result, no matter what they were, if you are sufficiently hard and determined
    2:04:12 and have the confidence to follow through. Then that obviously raises the ultimate question,
    2:04:16 what happens when that confidence ebbs or erodes or when it’s lost?
    2:04:27 If we go to the 1920s to the home of Karl Marx, fascism as implemented by the Nazi party in Germany
    2:04:38 was called the National Socialist German Workers’ Party. What were the similarities and differences
    2:04:44 of fascism, socialism, how it was conceived of in fascism and communism? Maybe you can
    2:04:50 speak to the broader battle of ideas that was happening at the time and battle of political
    2:04:55 control that was happening at the time. Well, I mean, there’s a whole bunch of terms that are
    2:05:04 in play here. When we speak of fascism, fascism in its original sense is a radical movement
    2:05:11 founded in Italy, which though it had been allegedly on the winning side of World War I,
    2:05:17 is disappointed with the lack of rise in national prestige and territory that
    2:05:25 commences after the end of the war. Bizarrely enough, it’s a socialist by the name of Benito
    2:05:34 Mussolini who crafts an ideological message of glorification of the state, the people at large
    2:05:44 united in a militaristic way on the march, ready to attack, ready to expand. A complete overthrow
    2:05:52 of liberal ideas of the rights of the individual or of representative democracy and instead
    2:06:01 vesting power in one leader, in his case the Duce Mussolini, in order to replicate in peacetime
    2:06:06 the ideal of total military mobilization in wartime.
    2:06:17 Although the Nazis in Germany are inspired and borrow heavily from fascist ideology,
    2:06:23 there also are different emphases that they include and that includes
    2:06:31 their virulent racism from the outset, which in addition to a glorification of the state,
    2:06:38 glorification of the leader and preparation for national greatness, race is absolutely core.
    2:06:46 It’s that racial radicalism that the Nazis espouse as a central idea along with
    2:06:53 antisemitism, the demonizing in particular of the Jews and this insane racialist cosmology that
    2:07:03 the Nazis avow. It is the assertion that the Nazis will uniquely bring to pass unity in the people,
    2:07:12 unity in the society that leads them to give themselves this odd name of national socialist.
    2:07:20 Some leaders like Goebbels among the Nazis accent the socialist part to begin with,
    2:07:28 others put the accent firmly on the nationalist part. In part, the term they chose for their
    2:07:35 movement was meant to be confusing. It was meant to take slogans or words from different parts of
    2:07:41 the political spectrum to fuse them into something unfamiliar and new and claim that they’d overcome
    2:07:48 all earlier political divisions. The Nazis claimed that they were a movement, not a party,
    2:07:56 even though their party was called a party. What did Nazism and Bolshevism and communism
    2:08:01 share or how were they opposed to one another? What we need to start with, but making clear,
    2:08:08 they were ideological arch enemies. In both worldviews, the opposite side represented the
    2:08:14 ultimate expression of the evil that needed to be exercised from history in order for their
    2:08:22 desired utopia to be brought about. This leads to strange and perverted beliefs about reality.
    2:08:30 From the perspective of the Nazis, the Nazis claimed that because they saw the Jews as a
    2:08:38 demonic element in human history, the Bolsheviks didn’t really believe all of this economic,
    2:08:45 dialectical materialism. They were in fact a racial conspiracy it was alleged. The Nazis used
    2:08:55 the term of Judeo-Bolshevism to argue that communism is essentially a conspiracy steered by the Jews,
    2:09:03 which was complete nonsense. For their part, the communists and from the perspective of the Soviet
    2:09:12 Union, the Nazis were in essence a super capitalist conspiracy. If the cosmological
    2:09:18 enemy are the capitalists and the owners, the exploiters, then all of the rigamarole about
    2:09:29 race and nationalism are distractions. They’re meant to fool the poor saps who enlist in that
    2:09:38 movement. It’s essentially steered by capitalist owners who is claimed are reduced to this
    2:09:45 desperate expedient of coming up with this thuggish party that represents the last gasp of
    2:09:51 capitalism. Bizarrely enough, from the communist perspective, the rise of the Nazis can be
    2:09:58 interpreted as a good sign because it means that capitalism is almost done because this is the last
    2:10:11 undisguised naked face of capitalism nearing its end. The other beyond this ideological
    2:10:21 total opposition in terms of their hoped for futures, the reality is that there were
    2:10:25 aspects that were shared on either side, and that included the conviction that
    2:10:36 they could agree that the age of democracy was done, and that the 19th century had had its day
    2:10:44 with experiments with representative democracy, the claims of human rights, classical liberal
    2:10:51 ideas, and all of this had been revealed as bankrupt. It had gotten you what? It got you first
    2:11:00 the First World War as a total conflict leaving tens of millions dead, and then economically the
    2:11:09 Great Depression showing that the end was not far away. This produced, at one and the same time,
    2:11:18 both ideological opposition and instances of vastly cynical cooperation. In terms of the
    2:11:26 Weimar Republic, it’s obvious with the benefit of hindsight that German democracy had ceased to
    2:11:32 function even before Hitler comes to power. But in the process of making democracy unworkable
    2:11:45 in Germany, the extremes, the Nazi stormtrooper army with their brown shirts and the communist
    2:11:55 street fighters had cooperated in heightening an atmosphere of civil war that left people
    2:12:02 searching for desperate expedience in the last days of the Weimar Republic.
    2:12:12 The most compelling case of their cooperation was the signing of the Nazi Soviet Pact
    2:12:21 on August 23, 1939, which enables Hitler to start World War II. A non-aggression pact
    2:12:30 in official terms, it contains secret clauses whereby the Nazis and the Soviets meeting in Moscow
    2:12:37 under Stalin’s wary eye had agreed on territorial division of Eastern Europe and making common
    2:12:46 cause as each claiming to be the winner of the future. In spite of their oppositions,
    2:12:53 these were regimes that were able, very cynically, to work together to dire effect.
    2:13:02 In the course of the 1950s, in particular, there arose political scientists who also crafted
    2:13:09 an explanation for ways in which these regimes, although they were opposed to one another,
    2:13:19 actually bore morphological resemblances. They operated in ways that, in spite of ideological
    2:13:25 differences, bore similarities. Such political scientists, Hannah Arendt, chief among them,
    2:13:33 crafted a model called totalitarianism, borrowing a term that the fascists had liked about themselves,
    2:13:42 to define regimes like the Nazis, like Stalin’s Soviet Union, for a new kind of dictatorship
    2:13:52 that was not a backwards caste revival of ancient barbarism, but was something new,
    2:13:58 a new form of dictatorship that laid total claims on hearts and minds that didn’t want
    2:14:05 just passive obedience, but wanted fanatical loyalty, that combined fear with compulsion
    2:14:12 in order to generate belief in a system, or at the very least atomize the masses
    2:14:18 to the point where they would go along with the plans of the regime. This model
    2:14:27 has often met with very strong criticism on the grounds that no regime in human history has yet
    2:14:35 achieved total control of the population under its grip. That’s true, but that’s not what Hannah
    2:14:42 Arendt was saying. Hannah Arendt was saying there will always be inefficiencies, there will be
    2:14:51 resistance, there will be divergences. What was new was not the alleged achievement of total control,
    2:14:58 it was the ambition, the articulation of the ambition that it might be possible to exercise
    2:15:04 such fundamental and thoroughgoing control of entire populations. The final frightening thought
    2:15:12 that Arendt kept for her was, “What if this is not a model that comes to us from benighted
    2:15:19 uncivilized ages? What if this is what the future is going to look like?” That’s a horrifying intuition.
    2:15:26 So let me ask you about Daryl Cooper, who is a historian and did a podcast with Tucker Carlson,
    2:15:33 and he made some claims there and elsewhere about World War II. There are two claims that I would
    2:15:39 love to get your perspective on. First, he stated that Churchill was “the chief villain
    2:15:44 of the Second World War.” I think Daryl argues that Churchill forced Hitler to expand the war
    2:15:52 beyond Poland into a global war. Second, the mass murder of Jews, Poles, Slav, Gypsies in death camps
    2:16:01 was an accident, a byproduct of global war, and in fact the most humane extermination of prisoners
    2:16:07 of war possible, given the alternative, was death by starvation. So I was wondering if you
    2:16:13 can respond to each of those claims. Well, I think that this is a bunch of absurdity,
    2:16:19 and it would be laughable if it wasn’t so serious in its implications.
    2:16:28 To address the points in turn, Churchill was not the chief villain of the Second World War.
    2:16:36 The notion that Churchill allegedly forced Hitler to escalate and expand a conflict that could have
    2:16:47 been limited to Poland is that assertion is based on a complete neglect of what Nazi ideology was.
    2:16:59 The Nazi worldview and racism was not an ideology that was limited in its application.
    2:17:07 It looked toward world domination. In the years since the Nazis had come to power,
    2:17:13 they sponsored programs of education called geopolitics, which urged Germans to think in
    2:17:23 continents to see themselves as one of the superpowers that would battle for the future of
    2:17:28 the world. Now, in retrospect, we of course can see that Germany was not in a position to
    2:17:38 legitimate a claim like that, but the Nazis’ aims were anything but limited. In particular,
    2:17:48 this argument has been tried out in different ways before. In previous decades, there had been
    2:18:00 attempts by historians who were actually well-read and well-published to argue that World War II
    2:18:12 had been in part a contingent event that had been brought about by accidents or miscalculations,
    2:18:21 and such explanations argued that if you put Hitler’s ideology aside, you actually could
    2:18:28 interpret him as a pretty traditional German politician in the stripe of Bismarck. Now,
    2:18:33 when I say it like that, I think you can spot the problem immediately. When you put the ideology
    2:18:42 aside to try to analyze Hitler’s acts or alleged motives, in the absence of the ideology that he
    2:18:49 himself subscribed to and described in hateful detail in Mein Kampf and other manifestos and
    2:18:58 speeches is an enterprise that’s doomed to failure justifiably. The notion that the mass murder of
    2:19:07 Jews, Poles, Slavs, and Gypsies was an event that simply happened as a result of unforeseen
    2:19:15 events and that it was understood as somehow being humane is also runs contrary to the
    2:19:24 historical fact. When Poland was invaded, the Nazis unleashed a killing wave in their so-called
    2:19:31 Operation Tannenbeg, which sent in specially trained and ideologically pre-prepared killers
    2:19:37 who were given the name of the units of the Einsatzgruppen in order to wipe out the Polish
    2:19:48 leadership and also to kill Jews. This predates any of the Operation Barbarossa and the Nazis’
    2:19:57 invasion of the Soviet Union. The Nazis, moreover, in many different expressions of their ideology,
    2:20:02 had made clear that their plans, you can read this in Mein Kampf for Eastern Europe, were
    2:20:11 subjugation and ethnic cleansing on a vast scale. I consider both of these claims absolutely
    2:20:17 untenable given the facts and documents. Do you think it was always the case that
    2:20:21 Nazi Germany was going to invade the Soviet Union? I think, as you can read in Mein Kampf,
    2:20:31 this is what’s necessary in order to bring that racial utopia to pass. While the timetable might
    2:20:38 be flexible, while obviously geopolitical constellations would play a role in determining
    2:20:45 when such a thing might be possible, it was most definitely on his list. I would want to add that
    2:20:53 in my own scholarship, I’ve worked to explore some of these themes a little bit further.
    2:20:59 My second book, which is entitled The German Myth of the East, which appeared with Oxford
    2:21:08 University Press, examines centuries in the German encounter with Eastern Europe and how
    2:21:13 Germans have thought about Eastern Europe, whether in positive ways or in negative ways.
    2:21:23 One thing that emerges from this investigation is that even before the Nazis come to power in
    2:21:30 Germany, there are certainly negative and dehumanizing stereotypes about Eastern Europeans,
    2:21:36 some of them activated by the experiences of German occupation in some of these regions
    2:21:42 during the First World War. The Nazis take the very most destructive and most negative
    2:21:48 of all those stereotypes and make them the dominant ones, making no secret of their
    2:21:54 expected future of domination and annihilation in the East.
    2:22:03 The idea of Lebensraum, is it possible to implement that idea without Ukraine?
    2:22:14 Hitler has Ukraine in his horizon as one of the chief prizes and the Nazis then craft extensive
    2:22:21 plans, a master plan that they work on in draft after draft after draft, even as the
    2:22:25 balance of the war is turning against them on the Eastern Front. This master plan is called
    2:22:33 the General Plan Ost, meaning the general plan for the East. It foresees things like mega-highways
    2:22:41 on which the Germanic master race will travel to vacation in Crimea or how their settlements will
    2:22:48 be scientifically distributed in the wide open spaces of Ukraine for agriculture that will feed
    2:22:56 an expanded and purified Germanic master race. This was not peripheral to the Nazi ambitions,
    2:23:04 but central. As I best understand, there is extensive and definitive evidence
    2:23:13 that the Nazis always wanted to invade the Soviet Union, and there is always a racial component,
    2:23:21 and not just about the Jews. They wanted to enslave and exterminate the Jews, yes,
    2:23:32 but the Slavic people, the Slavs. And if he was successful at conquering the Soviet Union,
    2:23:39 I think the things that would be done to the Slavic people would make the Holocaust seem
    2:23:48 insignificant. In my understanding, in terms of the numbers and the brutality and the viciousness
    2:23:59 in which he characterized the Slavic people. In their worldview, the Jews were especially demonized,
    2:24:08 and so the project of the domination of Eastern Europe involves this horrific program of mechanized,
    2:24:16 systematized, bureaucratically organized, and horrifyingly efficient mass murder of the Jewish
    2:24:25 populations. What the Nazis expected for the Slavs had a longer timeline. Himmler expected,
    2:24:31 the head of the SS, the SS has given a special mission to be part of the transformation
    2:24:38 of these regions ethnically. Himmler, in his role of envisioning this German future in Eastern
    2:24:47 Europe, gives such a chilling phrase. He says that while certain Slavs will fall victim immediately,
    2:24:55 some proportion of Slavs will not be shipped out or deported or annihilated, but instead,
    2:25:03 they will remain as Slavs for our culture. In that one phrase, Himmler managed to defile and
    2:25:11 deface everything that the word culture had meant to generations of the best German thinkers and
    2:25:19 artists in the centuries before the Nazis. The notion of Slavs for our culture was part of his
    2:25:28 longer-term expectation, and then there’s finally a fact that speaks volumes about what the Nazis
    2:25:37 planned for the East. Hitler and Himmler envisioned permanent war on the Eastern Front. Not a peace
    2:25:44 treaty, not a settlement, not a border, but a constant moving of the border every generation,
    2:25:50 hundreds of miles east in order to keep winning more and more living space,
    2:25:59 and with analogy to other frontiers, to always give more fighting experience and more training
    2:26:05 and aggression to generation after generation of German soldiers. In terms of nightmarish
    2:26:14 visions, this one’s right up there. And always repopulating the land conquered with the German,
    2:26:21 the Aryan race, in terms of race, repopulating with race, and enslaving the Slavic people and
    2:26:26 exterminating them, because there’s so many of them, it takes a long time to exterminate.
    2:26:37 Even in the case of the Germans themselves, the hidden message behind even Nazi propaganda about
    2:26:47 unity and about German national identity was the Nazis envisioned relentless purges of the
    2:26:54 German genetic stock as well. So among their victims are people with disabilities, people who
    2:27:01 are defined as not racially pure enough for the future, even though they are clearly Germans by
    2:27:11 identity, the full scale and the comprehensive ambitions of the Nazis are as breathtaking as
    2:27:19 they are horrifying. One of the other things I saw Darrell tweet was that what ended up happening
    2:27:24 in the Second World War was the worst possible thing that could have happened. And I just also
    2:27:32 wanted to comment on that, which I can imagine a very large number of possible scenarios that
    2:27:38 could have happened that are much, much worse, including the successful conquering of the Soviet
    2:27:45 Union, as we said, the kind of things that would be done, and the total war ever ongoing
    2:27:53 for generations, which would result in hundreds of millions of deaths and torture and enslavement.
    2:27:58 And not to mention the other possible trajectory of the nuclear bomb.
    2:28:03 That’s right. That’s right. I would think that the Nazis with atomic weapons with no
    2:28:10 compunctions about deploying them would rank up there as even worse than the horrors that we saw.
    2:28:14 Now, let me steal man a point that was also made as part of this,
    2:28:24 that the oversimplified narrative of sort of, to put it crudely, Hitler bad Churchill good
    2:28:32 has been used and abused by neocons and warmongers and the military industrial complex in a year
    2:28:40 since to basically say this particular leader is just like Hitler, or maybe Hitler of the 1930s,
    2:28:47 and we must invade now before he becomes the Hitler of the 1940s. And that has been applied
    2:28:53 in the Middle East, in Eastern Europe, and God forbid that can be also applied in the war with
    2:29:02 China in the 21st century. So yes, warmongers do sure love to use Hitler and apply that template
    2:29:12 to wage war. And we should be wary of that and be careful of that, both the over application of
    2:29:18 this historical template onto the modern world and of warmongers in general.
    2:29:24 Yeah. And I think that nobody should like oversimplified narratives. We need subtle and accurate
    2:29:30 narratives. And also, I just would like to say that probably, as we’ve been talking about Stalin
    2:29:38 and Hitler, are singular figures. And just as we’ve been talking about the implementation of
    2:29:45 these totalitarian regimes, they’re singular in human history, that we never saw anything like it.
    2:29:50 And I hope from everything it looks like, we will never see anything like it again.
    2:29:56 I mean, they’re certainly striking and unique historical characters in the record.
    2:30:01 One of the things that’s so disturbing about Hannah Arendt’s model of totalitarianism is
    2:30:10 the leader can be changed. The system itself demands that there be a leader who allegedly is
    2:30:16 all-powerful and all-knowing and prophetic and the like. But
    2:30:26 whether particular figures are interchangeable in that role is a key question.
    2:30:32 Let me go back to the 1920s and sort of ask another counterfactual question.
    2:30:39 Given the battle between the Marxists and the Communists and the National Socialists,
    2:30:47 was it possible and what would that world look like if the Communists indeed won in Germany as
    2:30:54 Karl Marx envisioned? And it made total sense given the industrialized expanse that Germany
    2:30:59 represented. Was that possible and what would it look like if it happened?
    2:31:05 I would think that the reality was probably very remote, but that was certainly their ambition.
    2:31:15 German Communists get quoted as saying after Hitler, it’s our turn. Their sentiment was that
    2:31:26 the arrival of Nazism on the scene was a sign of how decrepit and incompetent and doomed capitalism
    2:31:36 was. In hindsight, that’s almost impossible to believe because what happens is the Nazis with
    2:31:44 their characteristic brutal ruthlessness simply decapitate the party and arrest the activists
    2:31:51 who were supposed to be waiting to take over. So that’s forestalled. A further hypothetical
    2:31:56 that gets raised a lot is couldn’t the social Democrats and the Communists have worked together
    2:32:05 to keep Hitler out of power? That’s where the prior history comes into play. The very fact that
    2:32:17 the German Revolution in 1919 sees socialists killing socialists produces a dynamic that’s
    2:32:26 so negative that it’s nearly impossible to settle on cooperation. Added to the fact that
    2:32:34 the Communists see the social Democrats as rivals for the loyalty of the working class.
    2:32:40 In terms of just statistical likelihood, a lot of experts at the time felt
    2:32:52 surely the German army is going to step in. The most likely outcome would have been a German
    2:33:02 general shutting down the democracy and producing a military dictatorship. It says a lot about how
    2:33:10 dreadful and bloody the record of the Nazis was that some people in retrospect would have felt
    2:33:16 that that military dictatorship would have been preferable if it had obviated the need for the
    2:33:22 ordeal under the Nazis. What do you think Marx would say about the 20th century?
    2:33:32 Let’s take it before we get to Mao and China just looking at the Soviet Union and Nazi Germany.
    2:33:47 That’s a really good question. I think that Marx was flexible in his expectations about
    2:33:58 tactics and strategies even as he was sure that he had actually cracked a big intellectual problem
    2:34:04 of what the future is going to look like. How it would play out, he was a man who had to deal
    2:34:10 with a lot of disappointments because in revolutionary uprising after revolutionary uprising,
    2:34:17 whether it was in the revolutions of 1848 across Europe, whether it was in Poland,
    2:34:25 whether it was in the Paris Commune, this is it. This is the outbreak of the real thing,
    2:34:30 and then it doesn’t end up happening. I think that he’d probably have tried to be
    2:34:37 patient about the turn of events. We mentioned at the outset that Marx felt it was unlikely that
    2:34:45 a worker’s revolution would break out in the Russian Empire because for that you needed lots
    2:34:51 of industrial workers and they didn’t have a lot of industry. There’s a footnote to add there,
    2:34:57 and it proves his flexibility. A Russian socialist wrote to Marx asking,
    2:35:05 “Might it not be possible for Russia to escape some stages of capitalist development?”
    2:35:12 I mean, do you have to rigidly follow that scheme? Marx’s answer was convoluted,
    2:35:20 but it wasn’t a no. That suggests that Marx was willing to entertain all sorts of
    2:35:27 possible scenarios. I think he would certainly have been very surprised at the course of events
    2:35:32 as it unfolded because it didn’t match his expectations at the outset.
    2:35:40 Not to put this on him, but would he be okay with the price of haremor
    2:35:50 for the utopian destination of communism, meaning is it okay to crack a few eggs to make an omelet?
    2:35:56 Well, we don’t know what Marx would say if he would pose that question deliberately,
    2:36:05 but we do know in the case of a Marxist historian, Eric Habsbaum, who was a prolific and celebrated
    2:36:12 British historian of the 19th and 20th centuries. He was put this question in the 90s after the
    2:36:23 collapse of the Soviet Union. He stated forthrightly that because the Soviet Union failed, such sacrifices
    2:36:34 were inordinate. But if the experiment had succeeded and a glorious future had been open for
    2:36:42 mankind as a result of the Soviet Union’s success, that would lead to a different reply.
    2:36:52 And that is one person’s perspective. So that takes us to the other side of the world.
    2:37:01 The side that’s often in the West not considered very much when we talk about human history.
    2:37:10 Chinese dynasties, empires are fascinating, complex, and there’s just a history that’s not
    2:37:16 as deeply explored as it should be. And the same applies to the 20th century.
    2:37:23 So Chinese radicals founded the Chinese Communist Party CCP in July 1921.
    2:37:30 Among them, as you talk about, was Mao. What was the story of Mao’s rise to power?
    2:37:39 So Mao takes a page from the book of Lenin by
    2:37:48 adapting or seeking to adapt Marx’s ideology to a context that would have surprised Marx
    2:37:58 significantly. And that is not only to set the revolution in an as yet not industrialized country,
    2:38:04 but moreover to make the peasants, rather than being conservative sacks of potatoes,
    2:38:09 to make them into the prime movers of the success of this political venture.
    2:38:22 That’s a case of the phenomenon that we talked about earlier. When is an adaptation of an ideology
    2:38:32 or a change to an ideology of valid adjustment that you’ve made or adaptation? And when is it
    2:38:36 already so different that it’s something entirely distinct?
    2:38:45 Maoism was very clearly intended to answer this question for the Chinese context
    2:38:53 and by implication other non-western parts of the world. This was in part Mao’s way, whose
    2:38:59 ambition was great, to put himself at the head of a successful international movement
    2:39:08 and to be the successor to Stalin, whose role he both admired and resented from having to be
    2:39:16 the junior partner. To take an example of a masterwork in a major milestone in the history
    2:39:26 of communism, the Polish philosopher Leszek Kowalowski, who was at first a committed communist
    2:39:31 and then later became disillusioned and wrote a three-volume study of Marxist thought called
    2:39:40 “Currence of Marxism.” In that book, when he reaches Maoism, Kowalowski essentially throws up
    2:39:46 his hands and says, “It’s hard even to know what to do with this,” because putting the peasantry
    2:39:54 in the vanguard role is something that is already at variance with the original design,
    2:40:01 but Marx says this is an improved version. This is an adapted and truer version of Marxism
    2:40:10 for the Chinese context. In case after case, in Mao’s rise to power, we see a really complicated
    2:40:18 relationship with Stalin. He works hard to gain Stalin’s support because the common turn, the
    2:40:24 international organization headquartered in Moscow working to encourage and help revolutionaries
    2:40:31 worldwide is skeptical about the Chinese Communist to begin with and believes that China still has
    2:40:38 a long way to go before it’s reached the stage where it’s ripe for communist revolution. In a way,
    2:40:46 that’s more orthodox Marxism than what Mao is championing. Mao chafes under Stalin’s
    2:40:56 acknowledged leadership of international communism as a movement. In 1950, when Mao
    2:41:03 goes to visit Stalin in Moscow in order to sign a treaty of cooperation, he’s left waiting for
    2:41:10 days and days and days in a snub that is meant to show him that you’re just not as important as
    2:41:19 you might think you are. And then when Stalin dies in 1953, Mao feels the moment is ready for him to
    2:41:28 step into the leadership position surpassing the Soviet Union. So many of Mao’s actions like the
    2:41:35 Great Leap Forward and the agricultural disasters that follow from that are literally attempts to
    2:41:41 outdo Stalin, to outperform Stalin, to show that what Stalin was not able to do,
    2:41:51 the Chinese Communist regime will be able to bring off. And the toll for that hubris is vast.
    2:41:55 Yeah, in the darkest of ways, he did outdo Stalin.
    2:41:57 That’s right. In the statistics.
    2:42:04 The Great Leap Forward ended up killing approximately 40 million people from starvation or murder.
    2:42:07 Can you describe the Great Leap Forward?
    2:42:13 So it was modeled on the crash industrialization that Stalin had wanted to undertake in the Soviet
    2:42:19 Union and to outdo it. The notion of the Great Leap Forward was that it would be possible for the
    2:42:25 peasant masses out of their conviction in the rightness of the Chinese Communist cause to
    2:42:32 industrialize China overnight. That involved things like creating small smelting furnaces in
    2:42:42 individual farm communes. It involved folding together farming territories into vast communes
    2:42:49 of very large size that were just because of their sheer gigantism supposed to be by definition
    2:42:59 more efficient than small scale farming. It ended up producing environmental disasters and campaigns
    2:43:10 to eliminate birds or insects were supposed to demonstrate mastery over nature by sheer acts
    2:43:20 of will. These included things like adopting Soviet agricultural techniques that were pioneered by
    2:43:28 a crackpot biologist by the name of Trofim Lysenko that produced more agricultural disaster.
    2:43:35 That involved things like plowing to depths that were not practical for the seeds to germinate and
    2:43:43 grow, but were supposed to produce super plants that would produce bumper harvests and outpace
    2:43:50 the capitalist countries and the Soviet Union. So the context for all of this is a race to get
    2:43:59 first to the achievement of full-scale communism. One of the themes that I think it’s so valuable
    2:44:06 to pursue and to take seriously in the history of communism is what concrete promises were made.
    2:44:18 In the case of China, Mao made promises and projections for the future that were
    2:44:25 worrying even to some of his own assistants. He exclaimed that perhaps by 1961,
    2:44:31 perhaps by 1973, China would be the winner in this competition, and it would have achieved
    2:44:37 full communism. So that which Marx had sketched as the endpoint of humanity would be achieved first
    2:44:45 by the Chinese. Later, his own comrades, when he passed from the scene, felt the need to temper
    2:44:50 that a little bit and promised that they would achieve full communism by the year 2000.
    2:45:00 Such promises are helpful to a regime to create enthusiasm and to hold out to people the prospect
    2:45:06 of real successes just around the corner. But what happens when the date arrives and you haven’t
    2:45:13 actually achieved that goal? That’s one ticking time bomb that played a role in the increasing
    2:45:18 erosion of confidence in the Soviet Union, and the case of China must have been something similar.
    2:45:24 So there’s a lot of other elements that are similar to the Soviet Union.
    2:45:29 Maybe you could speak to the 100 Flowers campaign.
    2:45:39 The 100 Flowers campaign is a chance for Mao, who has felt that he has lost prestige and lost
    2:45:45 standing in the party because of the disasters of the Great Leap Forward, to regain some of that
    2:45:53 momentum. And the whole 100 Flowers campaign, officially titled the rectification campaign,
    2:46:01 to set things right, is still shrouded in mystery. Historians disagree about how to interpret what
    2:46:10 Mao was actually up to. The most cynical variant is that Mao encouraged Chinese thinkers and
    2:46:20 intellectuals to share ideas and to engage in constructive criticism, to propose alternatives,
    2:46:26 and to let a full discussion happen. And then, after some of them had ventured that,
    2:46:31 to come in and purge them, to punish them ruthlessly for having done what he had invited
    2:46:40 them to do. That is the most cynical variant. Some historians argue that Mao himself was not
    2:46:48 prepared for the ideas that he himself had invited into the public square, and that he grew anxious
    2:46:54 and worried and angry at this without having thought this through in a cynical way to begin with.
    2:47:00 The end result is the same. The end result is, once again, negative selection. The decimation
    2:47:05 of those who are most venturesome, those who are most talented and intelligent,
    2:47:12 are punished relentlessly for that. And just a general culture of censorship and fear,
    2:47:16 and all the same stuff they saw in the Soviet Union. That’s right. I mean, think of the impact
    2:47:22 on officials who are loyal servants of the regime and just want to get along. The message goes out
    2:47:28 loud and clear. Don’t be venturesome. Do not propose reforms. Stick with the tried and true,
    2:47:32 and that’ll be the safe route, even if it ends in ultimately stagnation.
    2:47:38 So, as the same question I asked about the Soviet Union, why do you think there was so much failure
    2:47:45 of policies that Mao implemented in China during his rule?
    2:47:51 Mao himself had a view of human beings as being, as he put it, beautiful blank pieces of paper upon
    2:48:01 which one can write new characters. And that is clearly at variance with what you and I know
    2:48:04 about the complex nature of human beings as we actually encounter them in the world.
    2:48:12 I think that in the process of hatching schemes that were one size fits all for a country as big
    2:48:23 and as varied in its communities as China, inevitably such an imposition of one model
    2:48:32 was going to lead to serious malfunctions. And so much of what other episodes in Chinese history
    2:48:38 had showed, the entrepreneurial capacity, the productive capacity economically of the Chinese
    2:48:44 people was suppressed by being fitted into these rigid schemes. What we’ve seen since,
    2:48:52 after Mao passes from the scene and with reforms of Deng Xiaoping, one sees just how much of those
    2:48:57 energies had been forcibly suppressed for so long, and now we’re allowed to re-emerge.
    2:49:10 Mao died in 1976. You wrote that the CCP in ’81, looking back through the lens of historical
    2:49:19 analysis, said that he was 70% correct, exactly 70% correct. Yeah, not 69, not 71.
    2:49:24 Not 71. The scientific precision, I mean, we should say that again and again.
    2:49:37 The co-opting of the authority of science by the Union, by Mao, by Nazi Germany, Nazi science,
    2:49:47 is terrifying and should serve as a reminder that science is the thing that is one of the most
    2:49:54 beautiful creations of humanity, but is also a thing that could be used by politicians and
    2:50:02 dictators to do horrific things. Its essence is questing, not certainty, constant questing.
    2:50:12 Exactly. Humility, intellectual humility. So how did China evolve after Mao’s death to today?
    2:50:24 Well, I think that there is, without denouncing Mao, without repudiating Mao’s 70% correctness,
    2:50:32 the regime actually undertook a new venture, and that venture was to open up economically,
    2:50:45 to gain access to world markets, and to play a global role, always with the proviso that the
    2:50:53 party retained political supremacy. It’s been pointed out that while Khrushchev tries in the
    2:50:59 Soviet Union in 1956, especially with a secret speech in which he denounces Stalin’s crimes,
    2:51:08 he tries to go back to the founder’s intentions of Lenin. Nothing like that, it’s argued, is possible
    2:51:16 in the Chinese case, because Mao was not the equivalent of Stalin for Communist China. Mao was
    2:51:22 the equivalent of Lenin. Mao was the founder, so there’s no repudiating of him. They are stuck
    2:51:28 with that formula of 70%, and acknowledging that there were some problems, but by and large arguing
    2:51:35 that it was the correct stance of the party and its leader that was paramount. And the results of
    2:51:44 this wager are where we are today. China has been transformed out of all recognition in terms of
    2:51:52 not all of the living standards of the country, but many places. Its economic growth
    2:52:02 has been dramatic, and the new dispensation is such that people ask, is this a communist country
    2:52:06 anymore? And that’s probably a question that haunts China’s current leadership as well.
    2:52:16 With Chairman Xi, we’ve seen a return to earlier patterns. Xi insisting that Mao’s achievement
    2:52:24 has to be held as equal to that of the reform period. Sometimes, imitations or nostalgia
    2:52:30 for the Mao period, or even the sufferings of the Cultural Revolution, are part of this volatile
    2:52:42 mix. But all of this is outward appearance. Statistics can also be misleading. And I think that
    2:52:47 very much in question is China’s further revolution in our own times.
    2:52:52 In the West, China is often demonized.
    2:53:01 And we’ve talked extensively today about the atrocities that result from
    2:53:08 atrocities both internal and external that result from the communist nations.
    2:53:24 But what can we say by way of hope to resist the demonization? How can we avoid cold or hot war
    2:53:30 with China, we being the West or the United States, in the 21st century?
    2:53:38 Well, you mentioned in the context of the claims of science, humility as a crucial attribute.
    2:53:47 I think that humility, sobriety, realism are tremendously valuable in trying to understand
    2:53:56 another society, another form of government. And so I think one needs to be very self-aware that
    2:54:03 projection onto others of what we think they’re about is no substitute for actual study
    2:54:10 of the sources that a society like that produces. It’s declarations of what matters most to them.
    2:54:18 The leadership’s own pronouncements about what the future holds. I think that matters a lot more
    2:54:28 than pious hopes or versions of being convinced that inevitably, everyone will come to resemble us
    2:54:35 in a better future. You mentioned this earlier, but just to take a small detour. What are we supposed
    2:54:42 to think about North Korea and their declaration that they’re supposedly a communist nation?
    2:54:51 What can we say about the economic, the political system of North Korea? Or is it just like a
    2:54:58 hopelessly simple answer of this is a complete disaster of a totalitarian state?
    2:55:05 So I think the answer that a historian can give is a historical answer, that we have to inquire
    2:55:11 into what has to happen in order to arrive at the past we are today. We have a regime that’s
    2:55:20 claiming to be communist or has an even better version of Marx’s original ideas in the form of
    2:55:30 a Korean adaptation called Yuche. How does that mesh with the reality that we’re talking about a
    2:55:36 dynastic government and a monarchy in all but name, but a communist monarchy, if that’s what
    2:55:49 it is? I think that examining as much as we can learn about a closed society that goes about its
    2:55:56 every day in ways that are inscrutable to us is very, very challenging. But the only answer,
    2:56:01 when an example like this escapes your analytic categories, probably there’s a problem with
    2:56:07 your analytical categories rather than the example being the problem in all its messiness.
    2:56:12 Yes, so there’s a component here in the release of China as well to bring like somebody like John
    2:56:18 Mirsheimer into the picture. There’s a military component here too. And that is ultimately how
    2:56:24 these nations interact, especially totalitarian nations interact with the rest of the world.
    2:56:33 So nations interact economically, culturally, and militarily. And the concern with countries
    2:56:42 like North Korea is the way for them to be present on the world stage in a game of geopolitics
    2:56:49 is by flexing their military might and they invest a huge amount of their GDP
    2:56:58 into the military. So I guess the question there to discuss in terms of analysis is
    2:57:07 how do we deal with this kind of system that claims to be a communist system and what lessons
    2:57:14 can we take from history and apply it to that? Or should we simply just ignore and look the
    2:57:18 other way as we’ve been kind of hoping it doesn’t get out of hand?
    2:57:29 Yeah, I mean, there’s realists see states following their own interests and prioritizing
    2:57:35 their own security. And there’s probably not much that could be done to change that. But
    2:57:42 conflict arising as a result of misunderstanding or mixed messages or
    2:57:50 misinterpretation, those are things that policymakers probably do have some control over.
    2:57:58 I think that there’s internal processes that’ll work their way out even as opaque a place as
    2:58:08 North Korea. It’s also the reality just as we saw with the divided Germanies that it’s a precarious
    2:58:15 kind of twinned existence when you have countries that are across the border from one another that
    2:58:22 are derived from what used to be a single unit that now are kind of a real life social science
    2:58:27 experiment in what kind of regime you get with one kind of system, what sort of regime you get
    2:58:33 with another kind of system. And that’s a very unstable setup as it turns out.
    2:58:44 Now, let us jump continents. And in the 20th century, look to North America. So you also
    2:58:51 have lectured about communism in America, the different communist movements in America. It was
    2:59:00 also founded in 1919 and evolved throughout through a couple of red scares. So what was the
    2:59:05 evolution of the Communist Party in just in general, communist in America?
    2:59:09 It’s fascinating to observe this story because one
    2:59:19 longstanding commonplace had been that socialism has less purchase or radical socialism in the
    2:59:25 United States than in European countries. So to the extent that that was true,
    2:59:32 it was an uphill battle for the communists to get established in the United States. But
    2:59:40 it makes it all the more interesting to follow the development of the movement. And
    2:59:48 there were two challenges in particular that played a role in shaping the American communist
    2:59:57 experience. One was the fact that to begin with, the party was often identified with immigrants.
    3:00:07 The communities that had come over across the Atlantic from Europe often had strong socialist
    3:00:13 contingents. And when this break happens within the socialist movement between radical socialists
    3:00:22 and more moderate socialists, there were fiery individuals who saw the opportunity to
    3:00:28 help shape the American communist movement. But the result was that for many American workers,
    3:00:34 they saw the sheer ethnic variety and difference of this movement as something that was unfamiliar.
    3:00:42 It would only be with the rise to the leadership of the Communist Party of Earl Browder,
    3:00:50 a American-born political leader with vast ambitions for creating an American
    3:00:58 communist movement that that image would start to be modified. Earl Browder had a meteoric rise
    3:01:07 and then fall over the promise he made that went by the slogan, “Communism is 20th century
    3:01:16 Americanism.” The notion was that communism could find roots in American political discourse and
    3:01:24 experience where Earl Browder fell afoul of other communists was in his expectations during World
    3:01:31 War II that it might be possible for the Soviet Union and the United States to make their current
    3:01:38 cooperation permanent and to come to some sort of accommodation that would moderate their rivalry.
    3:01:44 As it turns out with the dawning already of Cold War tensions that would later flower more fully,
    3:01:50 that was unacceptable and the movement divested itself of Earl Browder.
    3:01:59 Another point that shaped American perceptions of the communist movement in the United States
    3:02:09 involved issues of espionage. During the 1930s and the 1940s, American communists,
    3:02:16 not all of them obviously, but select members of the movement, were called upon by Soviet
    3:02:22 intelligence to play a historical role by gathering information, winning sympathies.
    3:02:28 One of the most amazing books of the 20th century is the book written by Whitaker Chambers
    3:02:35 who had served as a Soviet spy, first a committed communist then a Soviet spy,
    3:02:43 and then later a renegade from those allegiances. His book is entitled “Witness” published in 1952
    3:02:48 and it’s one of the most compelling books you could ever read because it’s so full
    3:02:55 of both the unique character of the author in all of his idiosyncrasies
    3:03:04 and a sense of huge issues being at stake, ones upon which the future of humanity turns.
    3:03:14 So, talk about the ethical element being of importance there. Through the apparatus of the
    3:03:23 state, the Soviets managed to infiltrate spies into America’s military as well as government
    3:03:36 institutions. One great irony is that when Senator McCarthy in the ’50s made vast claims about
    3:03:43 communist infiltration of the government apparatus, claims that he was unable to substantiate
    3:03:54 with details, that reality had actually been closer to the reality of the 1930s and the 1940s
    3:04:01 than his own time. But the association of American communists with the foreign power of the Soviet
    3:04:11 Union and ultimately an adherence to its interests did a lot to undermine any kind of hearing
    3:04:19 for American communists. An example, of course, was the notorious Nazi Soviet pact in 1939.
    3:04:26 The American communist movement found itself forced to turn on a dime in its propaganda.
    3:04:33 Before the Nazi Soviet pact of August 1939, they had denounced Nazi Germany as the greatest
    3:04:41 threat to world peace. Just after the signing of the pact, they had to proclaim that this was a great
    3:04:52 win for peace and for human harmony and to completely change their earlier relationship
    3:04:58 of being mortal enemies with Nazi Germany. There were many American communists who couldn’t stomach
    3:05:04 this and who, in disillusionment, simply quit their party memberships or drifted away.
    3:05:11 But it’s a fascinating story of the ups and downs of a political movement with radical
    3:05:21 ambitions in American political history. Yeah, the Cold War and the extensive levels of espionage
    3:05:29 sort of created, combined with Hollywood, created basically firmly solidified communism
    3:05:36 as the enemy of the American ideal. That was sort of embodied. And not even the economic
    3:05:44 policies of the political policies of communism, but like the word. And the color red, the hammer
    3:05:50 and sickle, you know, Rocky Four, one of my favorite movies. Well, that’s canonical, right?
    3:05:59 Yeah. I mean, it is a bit of a meme, but meme becomes reality and then enters politics.
    3:06:09 And is used by politicians to do all kinds of name calling. You have spoken eloquently about
    3:06:15 modern Russia and modern Ukraine and modern Eastern Europe.
    3:06:23 So how did Russia evolve after Stalin and after the collapse of the Soviet Union?
    3:06:31 Well, I think the short answer is without a full historical reckoning that would have been healthy
    3:06:38 about the recent past. In ways that’s not very surprising because given the economic misery of
    3:06:46 dislocations and the cumulative damage of all of those previous decades of this experiment,
    3:06:52 it left precious little patience or leisure or surplus for introspection.
    3:07:07 But after an initial period of great interest in understanding the full measure of what Russia
    3:07:15 and other parts of the Soviet Union had undergone in this first initial explosion of journalism
    3:07:21 and of reporting and investigations, historical investigations with new sources,
    3:07:32 after an initial period marked by such interest, people instead retreated into the here and now
    3:07:44 and the today. And the result is that there’s been less than would be healthy of a taking stock,
    3:07:53 a reckoning, even an assigning of responsibility for those things that were experienced in the past.
    3:08:01 No Nuremberg trial took place in order to hold responsible those who had repressed others
    3:08:10 in the aftermath of the collapse of the Soviet Union. In other ex-communist countries, there
    3:08:16 was also precious little in the way of legal proceedings that would have established responsibility.
    3:08:22 And keep in mind, the Nuremberg trials had as one of their goals, a very important one, as it turns
    3:08:31 out, not even individual verdicts for individual people found guilty, but to collect and publicize
    3:08:37 information, to create knowledge and transparency about what the reality had been in the past.
    3:08:43 In the case of the former Soviet Union, in the case of Russia today,
    3:08:54 instead of a clear-eyed recognition of the vast nature of what it all cost, Putin, upon replacing
    3:09:03 Yeltsin, was in a position to instead traffic in the most varied, eclectic, and often mutually
    3:09:13 contradictory historical memories or packages of memories. So on the one hand, in Putin’s Russia,
    3:09:24 the Tsars are rehabilitated as heroes of Russian statehood. Putin sees Lenin in a negative light
    3:09:30 because Lenin, by producing federalism as a model for the Soviet Union, laid a time bomb
    3:09:37 at the base of that state that eventually smashed it into many constituent parts as
    3:09:43 nations regained their independence. While Stalin, it’s acknowledged,
    3:09:50 exacted a dreadful toll, but also was effective as a representative of Russian statehood.
    3:10:02 This produced where we are today. It’s a commonplace that echoed by many that Russia,
    3:10:11 without Ukraine, is a nation state or could be a nation state. Russia, with Ukraine, has to be an
    3:10:20 empire. And Putin, who is not really seeking a revival of Stalin’s rule, but still is nostalgic
    3:10:28 about earlier forms of greatness and of the strength of Russian statehood to the exclusion
    3:10:37 of other values, has undertaken a course of aggression that has produced results quite different
    3:10:44 from what he likely expected. And I think that timing is crucial here. It’s fascinating to try
    3:10:56 to imagine. What if this attempt to redigest Ukraine into an expanded Russian imperial territory
    3:11:03 had taken place earlier? I think that the arrival on the scene of a new generation of Ukrainians
    3:11:12 has produced a very different dynamic and a disinclination for any kind of nostalgia for
    3:11:20 the past packaged however it might be and however nostalgic it might be made to appear.
    3:11:31 And there, I think that Putin’s expectations in the invasion of 2022 were entirely overturned.
    3:11:40 His expectation was that Ukraine would be divided on this score and that some significant portion
    3:11:45 of Ukrainians would welcome the advance of Russian forces. And instead,
    3:11:53 there has been the most amazing and surprising heroic resistance that continues to this day.
    3:12:00 And it’s interesting to consider timing and also individual leaders. Zelensky,
    3:12:08 you can imagine all kinds of other figures that would have folded much easier. And Zelensky,
    3:12:18 I think, surprised a lot of the world by somehow this comedian somehow becoming essentially an
    3:12:30 effective war president. So that put that in the bin of singular figures that define history.
    3:12:34 That surprises, yeah. How do you hope the war in Ukraine ends?
    3:12:39 I’m very pessimistic on this score, actually, and for the reasons we just talked about,
    3:12:51 about how these things escape human management or even rationality. I think that war takes on a
    3:13:03 life of its own as accumulated suffering actually eliminates possible compromises or settlements
    3:13:15 that one might talk about in the abstract. I think that it’s one thing for people far away to propose
    3:13:25 trades of territory or complicated guarantees or
    3:13:33 arrangements that sound very good in the abstract and that will just be refused by people who have
    3:13:38 actually experienced what the war has been like in person and what it has meant to them
    3:13:43 and their families and everyone they know in terms of lives destroyed.
    3:13:53 I think that peacemaking is going to face a very daunting task here given all that’s accumulated.
    3:14:02 And I think in particular, just from the last days of the launching of missile attacks against
    3:14:08 indiscriminate or civilian targets, that’s not easy to turn the corner on.
    3:14:14 So let me ask a political question. I recently talked to Donald Trump and he said,
    3:14:20 if he’s elected, before he is sworn into office, he will have a peace deal.
    3:14:27 What would a peace deal like that look like? And is it even possible, do you think?
    3:14:33 So we should mention that Russia has captured four regions of Ukraine now. Donetsk, Luhansk,
    3:14:40 Zaporizhia and Herzog. Also, Ukraine captured a part of the Kursk region within Russia.
    3:14:46 So just like you mentioned, territories on the table, NATO, European Union is on the table.
    3:14:54 Also, funding and military help from the United States directly to Ukraine is on the table.
    3:15:01 Do you think it’s possible to have a fair deal that from people, like you said, far away,
    3:15:10 where both people walk away, Zelensky and Putin, unhappy but equally unhappy and peace is negotiated?
    3:15:16 Equally unhappy is a very hard balance to strike, probably.
    3:15:23 I think my concern is about the part of the equation that involves people just being desperately
    3:15:30 unhappy, laying the foundations for more trouble to come. I couldn’t imagine what that looks like,
    3:15:37 but once again, these are things that escape human control in the details.
    3:15:44 So laying the foundation for worse things to come. So it’s possible you have a ceasefire
    3:15:54 that lays the foundation for a worse warrant and suffering in a year, in five years and 10 years.
    3:16:01 Well, in a way, we may already be there because ratifying the use of force to change borders
    3:16:09 in Europe was a taboo since 1945, and now look where we are. If that is validated,
    3:16:16 then it sets up incentives for more of the same.
    3:16:25 If you look at the 20th century, we’ve been talking about with horrendous global wars that
    3:16:33 happened then, and you look at now, and it feels like just living in the moment with the war in
    3:16:41 Ukraine breaking the contract of you’re not supposed to do territorial conquest anymore
    3:16:53 in the 21st century, that then the just intensity of hatred and military tension in the Middle East
    3:17:04 with Israel, Iran, Palestine just building, and then China calmly, but with a big stick
    3:17:10 talking about Taiwan. Do you think a big conflict may be on the way?
    3:17:16 Do you think it’s possible that another global war happens in the 21st century?
    3:17:26 I hope not, but I think so many predictions reach their expiration dates and get invalidated.
    3:17:32 Obviously, we’re confronting a dire situation in the present.
    3:17:40 So as a historian, let me ask you for advice. What advice would you give on interviewing
    3:17:47 world leaders, whether it’s people who are no longer here, some of the people we’ve been talking
    3:17:52 about, Hitler, Stalin, Mao, or people that are still here, Putin, Zelensky, Trump,
    3:18:01 Kamala Harris, Netanyahu, Xi Jinping? As a historian, what is it possible to have an
    3:18:06 interesting conversation? Maybe as a thought experiment, what kind of conversation would
    3:18:10 you like to have with Hitler in the 1930s or Stalin in the 1920s?
    3:18:16 Well, first of all, the answer is very clear. I would never presume to advise you about
    3:18:23 interviewing world leaders and prominent people because the roster that you’ve accumulated is
    3:18:33 just astonishing. But I know what I might aim for. And that is, I think in historical analysis,
    3:18:39 in trying to understand the role of a particular leader, the more one understands about their
    3:18:46 prior background and formative influences, the better a fix I think one gets on the question of
    3:18:52 what are their expectations? What is the, in German, there’s a beautiful word for this.
    3:18:57 The Germans managed to mash together several words into one even better word. And in German,
    3:19:07 it’s Erwartungshorizont, the horizon of expectation. So in the case of figures like Churchill or
    3:19:17 Hitler, their experience of World War I shaped their actions in World War II. Their values
    3:19:22 were shaped in their childhood. Is there a way of engaging with
    3:19:32 someone you’re interviewing, even obliquely, that gives a view in on their sense of
    3:19:39 what the future might hold? And I mean that, obviously, such people are expert at being guarded
    3:19:47 and not being pinned down. But the categories in which they’re thinking, a sense of what their
    3:19:53 own ethical grounding might be or their ethical code that gives hints to their behavior, it gets
    3:19:58 said, and again, it’s a cliche because it’s true that one of the best measures of a person,
    3:20:04 especially a leader, is how they treat people from whom they don’t expect anything.
    3:20:13 Are they condescending? Are they, on the contrary, fundamentally interested in another person,
    3:20:20 even if that person can’t help them or be used in some way? Speaking of prominent world leaders to
    3:20:28 interview, there’s Napoleon. Napoleon psychologically must have been a quite amazing person to make a bid
    3:20:34 for mastery of Europe and then already thinking about the mastery of the world. But contemporaries
    3:20:42 who met Napoleon said that it was very disturbing to talk with him because meeting with him one on
    3:20:48 one revealed that he could talk to you but look like he was looking right through you,
    3:20:56 as if you were not fully real. You were more in the nature of a character on a chessboard.
    3:21:02 And for that reason, some of them called Napoleon the master of the sightless stare.
    3:21:07 So if you’re talking with a world leader and he or she has a sightless stare, that’s probably a bad
    3:21:17 sign. But there might be other inadvertent clues or hints about the moral compass or the future
    3:21:21 expectations of a leader that emerge in one of your wonderful conversations.
    3:21:27 Yeah, you put a brilliantly in several ways. But the moral compass, getting sneaking up
    3:21:34 to the full nuance and complexity of the moral compass, and one of the ways of doing that is
    3:21:42 looking at the various horizons in time about their vision of the future. I imagine it’s possible to
    3:21:49 get Hitler to talk about the future of the Third Reich and to see in ways like what he actually
    3:21:58 envisions that as and similar with Stalin. But of course, funny enough, I believe those leaders
    3:22:04 would be easier to talk to because there’s nothing to be afraid of in terms of political competition.
    3:22:14 Modern leaders are a little bit more guarded because they have opposition often to contend
    3:22:23 with and constituencies. You did a lot of amazing courses, including for the great courses.
    3:22:31 On the topic of communism, you just finished the Third. So you did a series of lectures on the rise
    3:22:42 of communism, then communism and power, and then decline and fall. So when I was sort of listening
    3:22:50 to these lectures, I can’t possibly imagine the amount of work that went into it. Can you just
    3:22:57 speak why these, what was that journey like of taking everything you know, your expertise on
    3:23:05 Eastern Europe, but just bringing your lens, your wisdom, your focus onto this topic and what it
    3:23:12 takes to actually bring it to life? Well, journey is probably just the right word because it’s this
    3:23:19 week that the third of that trilogy, decline of communism, is being released. And it felt like
    3:23:27 something that I very much wanted to do because the history that’s narrated there is one
    3:23:37 that is so compelling and often so tragic that it needs to be shared. The vast amount of material
    3:23:41 that one can include is probably dwarfed by the amount that actually ends up on the cutting
    3:23:47 room floor. One could probably do an entire lecture course on every single one of those
    3:23:55 lecture topics that got broached. But one of the great satisfactions of putting together a course
    3:24:03 like this is also being able to give further suggestions for study to the listeners and,
    3:24:10 in some cases, to introduce them to neglected classics or books that make you want to grab
    3:24:16 somebody by the lapels and say, “You’ve got to read this.” There’s probably a few things that are
    3:24:25 as exciting as a really keen and targeted reading recommendation. In addition, I’ve also done other
    3:24:33 courses on the history of World War I, on the diplomatic history of Europe from 1500 to the
    3:24:39 present, a course on the history of Eastern Europe, and also a course on dictatorships
    3:24:46 called Utopia and Terror, and then also a course on explorers and a course on turning points in
    3:24:53 modern history. And every single one of those is so rewarding because you learn so much in the
    3:24:59 process, and it’s really fantastic. And I should highly recommend that people sign up to the…
    3:25:03 First of all, this is the great courses where you can buy the courses individually,
    3:25:08 but I recommend people sign up for great courses plus, which are things like a monthly membership
    3:25:16 where you get access to all these courses, and they’re just incredible. And I recommend people
    3:25:21 watch all of yours. Since you mentioned books, this is an impossible question, and I apologize
    3:25:27 ahead of time, but is there books you can recommend just in your own life that you’ve enjoyed,
    3:25:37 whether really small or some obvious recommendations that you recommend people read?
    3:25:41 It is a bit like asking, “What’s your favorite band?” I think that’s the thing.
    3:25:47 That’s right. Well, would a book that got turned into a movie be acceptable as well?
    3:25:56 Yes. So in that case, all of us reflect on our own childhoods and that magical moment of
    3:26:03 reading a book or seeing a movie that really got you launched on some particular set of
    3:26:08 things that you’re going to find fascinating for the rest of your life. And there’s a direct
    3:26:14 line to the topics we were talking about today from myself in the Chicagoland area as a kid,
    3:26:21 seeing the film of Dr. Zhivago, and then later reading the novel on which it was based by
    3:26:28 Pasta Nak. And even though the film had to be filmed on location in Spain, pretending to be
    3:26:38 Revolutionary Russia, it was magical for the sheer sweep and tragedy and human resilience
    3:26:46 that it showed. The very way in which a work of literature or of cinematography could capture
    3:26:55 so much, still, I’m still amazed by that. And then there’s also in the spirit of recommending
    3:27:04 neglected classics, my favorite author. My favorite author is now a late Canadian author
    3:27:12 by the name of Robertson Davies, who wrote novel after novel
    3:27:20 in a mode that probably would get called magical realism, but is so much more.
    3:27:28 Robertson Davies was heavily influenced by Carl Jung and Jungian philosophy,
    3:27:38 but in literary form, he managed to create stories that blend the mythical, the mystical,
    3:27:46 and the brutally real to paint a picture of Canada as he knew it, Europe as he knew it,
    3:27:53 and the world as he knew it. And he’s most famous probably for the Depthford trilogy,
    3:27:59 three novels in a series that are linked, and they’re just masterful. If only there were
    3:28:06 more books like that. The Depthford trilogy, fifth business, the Manticore, World of Wonders,
    3:28:12 and you got a really nice beard. Yes, it was an amazing beard, very 19th century.
    3:28:23 Okay, beautiful. What advice would you give to young people today that have just listened
    3:28:28 to us talk about the 20th century and the terrifying prospects of ideals implemented
    3:28:35 into reality? And by the way, many of the revolutions are carried out by young people.
    3:28:42 And so, the good and the bad and the ugly is thanks to the young people. So,
    3:28:45 the young people listening today, what advice would you give them?
    3:28:47 Well, it comes down to one word, and that one word is read.
    3:28:56 I’m, as a college teacher, I’m concerned about what I’m seeing unfolding before us, which is
    3:29:03 classes, not my classes, but classes in which students are asked to read very little,
    3:29:10 or maybe in some cases not at all, or snippets that they are provided digitally.
    3:29:18 Those have their place and can be valuable, but the task of sitting down with a book
    3:29:23 and absorbing its message, not agreeing with it necessarily, but taking in the implications,
    3:29:35 learning how to think within the categories and the values of the author is going to be irreplaceable.
    3:29:46 And my anxiety is that with college bookstores now moving entirely to the paperless format,
    3:29:54 it changes how people interact with texts. And if the result is not a renaissance and a resurgence
    3:29:59 of reading, but less reading, that will be dreadful, because the experience of thinking your way into
    3:30:08 other people’s minds that sustained reading offers is so crucial to human empathy,
    3:30:16 a broadening of your own sensibilities of what’s possible, what’s in the full range of being human,
    3:30:22 and then what’s best? What are the best models for what has been thought and felt and how people
    3:30:32 have acted? Otherwise, we fall prey to manipulators and the ability of artificial intelligence to
    3:30:37 give us versions of realities that never existed and never will and the like.
    3:30:44 That’s a really interesting idea. So let me give a shout out to Perplexity that I’m using here to
    3:30:50 summarize and take quick notes and get little snippets and stuff, which is extremely useful,
    3:30:57 but books are not just about information transfer. Just as you said, it’s a journey
    3:31:03 together with a set of ideas and it’s a conversation and getting a summary of the book
    3:31:09 is the cliche thing is it’s really getting to the destination without the journey.
    3:31:14 And the journey is the thing that’s important, thinking through stuff. And I’ve actually learned,
    3:31:19 you know, I’ve been surprised, I’ve learned, I’ve trained my brain to be able to get the same thing
    3:31:24 from audio books also. It’s a little bit more difficult because you don’t control the pacing.
    3:31:29 Sometimes pausing is nice, but you could still get it from audio books. So it’s an audio version
    3:31:34 of books. And that allows you to also go on a journey together and sometimes more convenient
    3:31:39 because you could take it to more places with you. But there is a magical thing. And I also
    3:31:45 trying to train myself mostly to use Kindle, the digital version of books. But there is,
    3:31:51 unfortunately, still a magical thing about being there with the page.
    3:31:56 Well, audio books are definitely not to be scorned because as people pointed out,
    3:32:04 the original traditions of literature were oral, right? So that’s actually the 1.0 version, right?
    3:32:09 And combining these things is probably the key. I think one of the things I find so
    3:32:18 wonderful about the best lectures that I’ve heard is it’s a chance to hear someone thinking out loud,
    3:32:27 not laying down the law, but taking you through a series of logical moves, imaginative leaps,
    3:32:35 alternative suggestions. And that’s much more than data transfer.
    3:32:43 The use case of AI as a companion, as you read, is really exciting to me. I’ve been using it
    3:32:50 recently to basically, as you read, you can have a conversation with a system that has access to a
    3:32:56 lot of things about a particular paragraph. And I’ve been really surprised how my brain,
    3:33:02 when given some extra ideas, other recommendations of books, but also just like a summary of other
    3:33:08 ideas from elsewhere in the universe that relates to this paragraph, it sparks your imagination
    3:33:15 and thought, and you see the actual richness in the thing you’re reading. Now, nobody’s,
    3:33:21 to my knowledge, has implemented a really intuitive interaction between AI and the text,
    3:33:29 unfortunately, partially because the books are protected under DRM. And so there’s like a wall
    3:33:33 where you can’t access, the AI can’t access the thing. So if you want to play with that kind
    3:33:39 of thing, you have to, you know, break the law a little bit, which is not a nice thing, not a good
    3:33:48 thing. But just like with music, Napster came up, people started illegally sharing music.
    3:33:54 And the answer to that was Spotify, which made the sharing of music revolutionized everything
    3:33:58 and made the sharing of music much easier. So there are some technological things that can
    3:34:06 enrich the experience of reading, but the actual painful long process of reading is really useful,
    3:34:12 just like boredom is useful. That’s right. It’s also called just sitting there underrated virtue.
    3:34:21 Yeah. Yeah. And of course, you have to see the the smartphone as an enemy, I would say, as of
    3:34:26 that special time you have to think, because social media companies are maximized to get your
    3:34:32 engagement. They want to grab your attention. And they grab that attention by making you as
    3:34:36 brain dead as possible and getting you to look at more and more and more things. So it’s nice and
    3:34:42 fun. It’s great. I recommend it highly. It’s good for dopamine rush, but see it as a counter,
    3:34:50 is a counter force to the process of sitting with an idea for a prolonged period of time,
    3:35:00 taking a journey through an expert, eloquently conveying that idea and growing by having a
    3:35:05 conversation with that idea and a book is really, really powerful. So I agree with you
    3:35:13 totally. What gives you hope about the future of humanity? We’ve talked about the dark past.
    3:35:22 What gives you hope for the light at the end of the tunnel? So we talked indeed about a lot of
    3:35:30 latent, really damaging and negative energies that are part of human nature, but I find hope in
    3:35:38 another aspect of human nature. And that is the sheer variety of human reactions to situations.
    3:35:49 The very fact that history is full of so many stories of amazing endurance, amazing resilience,
    3:35:59 the will to build up even after the horrors have passed, this to me is an inexhaustible
    3:36:06 source of optimism. And there are some people who condemn cultural appropriation and say that
    3:36:14 borrowing from one culture to another is to be condemned. Well, the problem is a synonym for
    3:36:23 cultural appropriation is world history, trade, transfer of ideas, influences, valuing that,
    3:36:29 which is unlike your own culture, is also a form of appropriation, quite literally. And so
    3:36:38 those, that multitude of human reactions and the fact that our experience is so unlimited
    3:36:42 as history testifies gives me great hope for the future. Yeah, and the willingness of humans
    3:36:50 to explore all of that with curiosity, even when the empires fall and the dreams are broken,
    3:36:53 we rise again. That’s right. Unceasingly.
    3:36:59 Thank you so much for your incredible work, your incredible lectures, your books, and thank you
    3:37:05 for talking today. Thank you for this such a fun chat. Thanks for listening to this conversation
    3:37:10 with Vejas Ludeviches. To support this podcast, please check out our sponsors in the description.
    3:37:16 And now let me leave you with some words from Karl Marx. History repeats itself,
    3:37:29 first as a tragedy, second as a farce. Thank you for listening. I hope to see you next time.
    3:37:42 [Music]

    Vejas Liulevicius is a historian specializing in Germany and Eastern Europe, who has lectured extensively on Marxism and the rise, the reign, and the fall of Communism.
    Thank you for listening ❤ Check out our sponsors: https://lexfridman.com/sponsors/ep444-sc
    See below for timestamps, transcript, and to give feedback, submit questions, contact Lex, etc.

    Transcript:
    https://lexfridman.com/vejas-liulevicius-transcript

    CONTACT LEX:
    Feedback – give feedback to Lex: https://lexfridman.com/survey
    AMA – submit questions, videos or call-in: https://lexfridman.com/ama
    Hiring – join our team: https://lexfridman.com/hiring
    Other – other ways to get in touch: https://lexfridman.com/contact

    EPISODE LINKS:
    Vejas’s Courses: https://www.thegreatcoursesplus.com/vejas-gabriel-liulevicius
    Vejas’s Books: https://amzn.to/4e3R1rz
    Vejas’s Audible: https://adbl.co/4esRrHt

    SPONSORS:
    To support this podcast, check out our sponsors & get discounts:
    AG1: All-in-one daily nutrition drinks.
    Go to https://drinkag1.com/lex
    BetterHelp: Online therapy and counseling.
    Go to https://betterhelp.com/lex
    Notion: Note-taking and team collaboration.
    Go to https://notion.com/lex
    LMNT: Zero-sugar electrolyte drink mix.
    Go to https://drinkLMNT.com/lex
    Eight Sleep: Temp-controlled smart mattress.
    Go to https://eightsleep.com/lex

    OUTLINE:
    (00:00) – Introduction
    (08:48) – Marxism
    (36:33) – Anarchism
    (51:30) – The Communist Manifesto
    (1:00:29) – Communism in the Soviet Union
    (1:20:23) – Lenin, Trotsky, and Stalin
    (1:30:11) – Stalin
    (1:37:26) – Holodomor
    (1:51:16) – The Great Terror
    (2:04:17) – Totalitarianism
    (2:15:19) – Response to Darryl Cooper
    (2:30:27) – Nazis vs Communists in Germany
    (2:36:50) – Mao
    (2:41:57) – Great Leap Forward
    (2:48:58) – China after Mao
    (2:54:30) – North Korea
    (2:58:34) – Communism in US
    (3:06:04) – Russia after Soviet Union
    (3:17:35) – Advice for Lex
    (3:25:17) – Book recommendations
    (3:28:16) – Advice for young people
    (3:35:08) – Hope

    PODCAST LINKS:
    – Podcast Website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast
    – Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr
    – Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8
    – RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/
    – Podcast Playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLrAXtmErZgOdP_8GztsuKi9nrraNbKKp4
    – Clips Channel: https://www.youtube.com/lexclips

  • #443 – Gregory Aldrete: The Roman Empire – Rise and Fall of Ancient Rome

    AI transcript
    0:00:04 The following is a conversation with Gregory Aldrete, a historian,
    0:00:09 specializing in ancient Rome and military history.
    0:00:13 And now a quick few second mention of each sponsor.
    0:00:15 Check them out in the description.
    0:00:18 It is, in fact, the best way to support this podcast.
    0:00:24 We got Element for electrolytes, Shopify for selling stuff online,
    0:00:28 AG1 for a super awesome daily multivitamin.
    0:00:34 Better help for mental health and express VPN for protecting yourself on the
    0:00:36 interwebs, choose wisely my friends.
    0:00:40 Also, if you want to get in touch with me for whatever reasons,
    0:00:44 submit questions for an AMA, all that kind of stuff.
    0:00:46 Go to lexfreedmen.com/contact.
    0:00:49 And now onto the full ad reads.
    0:00:50 As always, no ads in the middle.
    0:00:54 I try to make this interesting, but if you skip them, please still check
    0:00:54 out the sponsors.
    0:00:58 It is, in fact, the best way to support this podcast.
    0:00:59 There’s nice links in the description.
    0:01:01 Just click them.
    0:01:06 First up, this episode is brought to you by Element, my daily zero sugar,
    0:01:13 delicious electrolyte mix that I mix into cold water and is delicious.
    0:01:17 I’m no longer even paying attention to what they’re telling me.
    0:01:17 I should be advertising.
    0:01:25 I should mention that sponsors have zero influence on what I say in podcasts.
    0:01:32 And in this ad read, in fact, the only thing they ask me very politely is that
    0:01:35 I give out a call to action at the end, like a link.
    0:01:36 All right.
    0:01:40 I check that you can talk about whatever the hell I want, which is great.
    0:01:41 And I’m drinking an element now.
    0:01:44 And I’m not paying attention about any of the new flavors.
    0:01:45 They might be new flavors.
    0:01:49 I’ve just fallen in love with watermelon salt.
    0:01:51 And I am that kind of guy.
    0:01:55 I just find a thing that I like and I stick to it.
    0:01:58 And theoretical computer science.
    0:02:00 Let’s say that’s called greedy search.
    0:02:06 You find anything you like and you stick at that local minima, maxima, whatever.
    0:02:13 Anyway, as I sip element in speaking these very words, I recommend
    0:02:15 that you get a sample pack for free with any purchase.
    0:02:18 Try it at drinkelement.com/lex.
    0:02:21 This episode is also brought to you by Shopify.
    0:02:27 Or how everybody on X seems to call Spotify.
    0:02:31 It’s kind of hilarious to watch people confuse Shopify and Spotify.
    0:02:36 And they give props to the CEOs of both companies for creating
    0:02:39 and running the other company.
    0:02:43 The mistake often becomes viral and making fun of the mistake often
    0:02:45 becomes viral and it’s fun to watch.
    0:02:48 Anyway, both companies are amazing, really, really revolutionized.
    0:02:51 A specific thing that humans do on the Internet.
    0:02:57 But this particular ad is about Shopify, which is a platform designed
    0:03:01 for anyone to sell anywhere with a great looking online store.
    0:03:05 I always seem to want to mention capitalism when I’m talking about Shopify.
    0:03:12 And this is an opportunity to plug a conversation coming up on communism.
    0:03:16 Doing a very, very long conversation on communism, the history, specifically
    0:03:21 of communism, of Marxism, of its various implementations throughout the 20th century.
    0:03:27 Oftentimes, when people talk about the Roman Empire or communism, a bit
    0:03:30 of their modern day political ideology seeps in.
    0:03:33 I really try not to do that.
    0:03:38 I try to understand these movements, these civilizations, these
    0:03:42 empires, these societies in their own context objectively.
    0:03:48 Without a kind of over emotional judgment.
    0:03:54 But nevertheless, with empathy, where you are actually feeling, truly
    0:03:56 feeling the experience of the people at that time.
    0:04:00 That’s the challenge with the history podcast, with history
    0:04:01 conversations, with history books.
    0:04:04 Probably a lot more to say about that.
    0:04:09 But I should say you need to sign up for a $1 per month trial period
    0:04:10 at Shopify.com/Lex.
    0:04:11 That’s all lowercase.
    0:04:16 Go to Shopify.com/Lex to take your business to the next level today.
    0:04:21 This episode is also brought to you by AG1, an all in one daily
    0:04:24 drink to support better health and peak performance.
    0:04:32 Speaking of peak performance, we talked about gladiators and the
    0:04:37 battle to the death of two human beings and sometimes with animals.
    0:04:43 I felt that we shouldn’t spend too much time on that.
    0:04:48 Because actually, in the case of Gregory, his specialization and
    0:04:53 interests are not on the games, but on actual military conquests and
    0:04:59 military battles, tactics and technology and the asymmetry of power.
    0:05:04 All of these kinds of things throughout the Roman monarchy,
    0:05:09 Roman Republic and Roman Empire and ancient Greece as well.
    0:05:13 So I feel like in terms of gladiators, there could be a person
    0:05:18 that I would specifically talk to primarily about gladiator fights.
    0:05:23 Because it’s such an epic slice of human history.
    0:05:27 Anyway, AG1 will give you a one month supply of fish oil when
    0:05:30 you sign up at drinkag1.com/Lex.
    0:05:36 This episode is also brought to you by BetterHelp, spelled H-E-L-P Help.
    0:05:40 They figure out what you need and match it with a licensed therapist
    0:05:41 in under 48 hours.
    0:05:50 It is interesting to think about how ancient Romans saw death, given how
    0:05:56 many of their children at birth and shortly after died, given how many
    0:06:03 brutal battles they saw all around them to the death where it’s not
    0:06:08 some drone over head dropping a bomb, but face to face, hand to hand,
    0:06:15 sword to sword, combat and lots of blood and slaughter, direct.
    0:06:20 They obviously, in many cases, glorified combat and glorified death as
    0:06:24 did the Vikings, as did many societies throughout history.
    0:06:26 And I’ll probably do a podcast on the Vikings as well.
    0:06:32 Many podcasts, the barbarians, the Vikings, truly, truly fascinating people.
    0:06:38 Anyway, it feels like that relationship with death makes for
    0:06:44 harder humans and finding that balance between hard and soft in terms
    0:06:48 of the human mind is an interesting one.
    0:06:54 We live in a softer society now, which is why there is a company like
    0:06:58 BetterHelp that can help you with the softness of your mind.
    0:07:05 Where the cracks reveal the union shadow.
    0:07:09 I would say it’s the easiest way to try talk therapy.
    0:07:16 So you should at least try at betterhelp.com/lex and save on your first month.
    0:07:17 That’s betterhelp.com/lex.
    0:07:21 This episode is also brought to you by ExpressVPN.
    0:07:24 I use them to protect my privacy on the internet.
    0:07:27 Obviously, as you see some of the stuff going on in Brazil and some other
    0:07:34 nations with government censorship of platforms of people.
    0:07:38 VPN is a really powerful way to get around that.
    0:07:45 VPN is both a technology and a symbol of freedom in oppressive regimes.
    0:07:54 And it’s pretty dark, scary, disgusting, really, that the use of VPN
    0:07:56 is punished in those countries.
    0:08:04 But it is also hopeful and inspiring to see masses of people using
    0:08:06 VPN in those countries, nevertheless.
    0:08:13 Anyway, go to expressvpn.com/lexpod for an extra three months free.
    0:08:15 This is the Lex Freedom Podcast.
    0:08:18 To support it, please check out our sponsors in the description.
    0:08:22 And now, dear friends, here’s Gregory Aldrete.
    0:08:43 What do you think is the big difference between the ancient world and the modern world?
    0:08:47 Well, the easy answer, the one you often get is technology.
    0:08:51 And obviously, there’s huge differences in technology between the ancient world
    0:08:54 and today, but I think some of the more interesting stuff is a little bit
    0:08:57 more amorphous things, more structural things.
    0:09:03 So I would say, first of all, childhood mortality in the ancient world.
    0:09:06 And this is true of Greeks, Romans, Egyptians, really anybody up until
    0:09:12 about the Industrial Revolution, about 30 to 40% of kids died before they hit puberty.
    0:09:16 So I mean, put yourself in the place of an average inhabit of the ancient world.
    0:09:21 If you were an ancient person, three or four of your kids probably would have died.
    0:09:22 You would have buried your children.
    0:09:25 And nowadays, we think of that as an unusual thing.
    0:09:27 And just psychologically, that’s a huge thing.
    0:09:29 You would have seen multiple of your siblings die.
    0:09:35 If you’re a woman, for example, if you were lucky enough to make it to, let’s say, age 13,
    0:09:44 you probably would have to give birth four or five times in order just to keep the population from dying out.
    0:09:50 So those kind of grim mortality statistics, I think, are a huge difference psychologically
    0:09:52 between the ancient world and the modern.
    0:09:55 But fundamentally, do you think human nature changed much?
    0:09:59 Do you think this is the same elements of what we see today?
    0:10:08 Fear, greed, love, hope, optimism and cynicism, you know, the underlying forces that result in war,
    0:10:11 all of that permeates human history?
    0:10:13 Crude answer, yes.
    0:10:17 I think human nature is roughly constant.
    0:10:26 And for me, as an ancient historian, the kind of documents that I really like dealing with are not the traditional literary sources.
    0:10:30 But they’re the things that give us those little glimpse into everyday life.
    0:10:39 So stuff like tombstones or graffiti or just something that survives on a scrap of parchment that records a financial transaction.
    0:10:47 And whenever I read some of those, I’ll have this moment of, you know, feeling, oh, I know exactly how that person felt.
    0:10:55 Here, across 2000 years of time, completely different cultures, I have this this spark of sympathy with someone from antiquity.
    0:11:02 And I think as a historian, the way you begin to understand an alien, a foreign culture, which is what these cultures are,
    0:11:05 is to look for those little moments of sympathy.
    0:11:10 But on the other hand, there’s ways in which ancient cultures are wildly different from us.
    0:11:15 So you also look for those moments where you just think, how the hell could these people have done that?
    0:11:19 I just don’t understand how they could have thought or acted in this way.
    0:11:30 And it’s lining up those moments of sympathy and kind of disconnection that I think is when you begin to start to understand a foreign culture or an ancient culture.
    0:11:36 I love the idea of assembling the big picture from the details and the little pieces, because that is the thing that makes up life.
    0:11:38 The big picture is nothing without the details.
    0:11:39 Yep, yep.
    0:11:44 And those details would bring it to life, you know, I mean, it’s not the grand sweep of things.
    0:11:46 It’s seeing those little hopes and fears.
    0:11:55 Another thing that I think is a huge difference between the modern world and the ancient is just basically everybody’s a farmer.
    0:11:57 Everybody’s a small family farmer.
    0:11:58 And we forget this.
    0:12:04 I was just writing a lecture for my next great courses course, and I was writing about farming in the ancient world.
    0:12:13 And I was really thinking, if we were to write a realistic textbook of, let’s say, the Roman Empire, nine out of 10 chapters
    0:12:20 should be details of what it was like to be a small time family farmer, because that’s what 90% of the people in the ancient world did.
    0:12:28 They weren’t soldiers, they weren’t priests, they weren’t kings, they weren’t authors, they weren’t artists, they were small town family farmers.
    0:12:39 And they lived in a little village, they never traveled 20 miles from that village, they were born there, they married somebody from there, they raised kids, they mucked around in the dirt for a couple of decades and they died.
    0:12:48 They never saw a battle, they never saw a work of art, they never saw a philosopher, they never took part in any of the things we define as being history.
    0:12:52 So that’s what life should be, and that’s representative.
    0:12:58 Nevertheless, it is the emperors and the philosophers and the artists and the warriors who carve history.
    0:13:00 And it is the important stuff.
    0:13:01 So, I mean, you know, that’s true.
    0:13:03 There’s a reason we focus on that.
    0:13:08 That’s a good reminder, though, if we want to truly empathize and understand what life was like.
    0:13:11 We have to represent it fully.
    0:13:13 And I would say let’s not forget them.
    0:13:21 So let’s not forget what life was like for 80, 90 percent of the people in the ancient world, the ones we don’t talk about, because that’s important, too.
    0:13:31 So the Roman Empire is widely considered to be the most powerful, influential and impactful empire in human history.
    0:13:33 What are some reasons for that?
    0:13:41 Yeah, I mean, Rome has been hugely influential, I think, just because of the image.
    0:13:43 I mean, there’s all these practical ways.
    0:13:51 I mean, the words I’m using to speak with you today, 30 percent are direct from Latin, another 30 percent are from Latin descended languages.
    0:13:58 Our law codes, I mean, our habits, our holidays, everything comes fairly directly from the ancient world.
    0:14:06 But the image of Rome, at least, again, in Western civilization has really been the dominant image of a successful empire.
    0:14:15 And I think that’s what gives it a lot of its fascination, this idea that, oh, it was this great, powerful, culturally influential empire.
    0:14:16 And there’s a lot of other empires.
    0:14:25 I mean, we could talk about ancient China, which arguably was just as big as Rome, just as culturally sophisticated, lasted about the same amount of time.
    0:14:29 But at least in Western civilization, Rome is the paradigm.
    0:14:36 But Rome is a little schizophrenic in that it’s both the empire when it was ruled by emperors, which is one kind of model.
    0:14:42 And it’s the Roman Republic when it was a pseudo democracy, which is a different model.
    0:14:49 And it’s interesting how some later civilizations tend to either focus on one or the other of those.
    0:14:55 So, you know, the United States, revolutionary France, they were very obsessed with the Roman Republic as a model.
    0:15:03 But other people, Mussolini, Hitler, Napoleon, they were very obsessed with the empire, Victorian Britain as a model.
    0:15:06 So, Rome itself has different aspects.
    0:15:13 Well, what I think is actually another big difference between the modern world and the ancient is our relationship with the past.
    0:15:22 So, one of the keys to understanding all of Roman history is to understand that this was a people who were obsessed with the past.
    0:15:32 And for whom the past had power, not just as something inspirational, but it actually dictated what you would do in your daily life.
    0:15:38 And today, especially in the United States, we don’t have much of a relationship with the past.
    0:15:43 We see ourselves as free agents just floating along, not tethered to what came before.
    0:15:51 And the classical story that I sometimes tell in my classes to illustrate this is Rome started out as a monarchy.
    0:15:57 They had kings, they were kind of unhappy with their kings around 500 BC.
    0:15:59 They held a revolution and they kicked out the kings.
    0:16:03 And one of the guys who played a key role in this was a man named Lucius Junius Brutus.
    0:16:14 OK, 500 years later, 500 years down the road, a guy comes along, Julius Caesar, who starts to act like a king.
    0:16:19 So, if you have trouble with kings and Roman society, who are you going to call?
    0:16:21 Somebody named Brutus.
    0:16:29 Now, as it happens, there is a guy named Brutus in Roman society at this time, who is one of Julius Caesar’s best friends, Marcus Junius Brutus.
    0:16:38 Now, before I go further with the story, and I think you probably know where it ends, I just have to talk about how important your ancestors are in Roman culture.
    0:16:46 I mean, if you went to an aristocrat Roman’s house and opened the front door and walked in, the first thing you would see would be a big wooden cabinet.
    0:16:54 And if you open that up, what you would see would be row after row of wax death masks.
    0:17:00 So, when a Roman aristocrat died, they literally put hot wax on his face and made an impression of his face at that moment.
    0:17:03 And they hung these in a big cabinet right inside the front door.
    0:17:08 So, every time you entered your house, you were literally staring at the faces of your ancestors.
    0:17:17 And every child in that family would have obsessively memorized every accomplishment of every one of those ancestors.
    0:17:21 He would have known their career, what offices they held, what battles they fought in, what they did.
    0:17:29 When somebody new in the family died, there would be a big funeral, and they would talk about all the things their ancestors had did.
    0:17:36 The kids in the family would literally take out those masks, tie them onto their own faces, and wear them in the funeral procession.
    0:17:39 So, you were wearing the face of your ancestors.
    0:17:44 So, you as an individual weren’t important, you were just the latest iteration of that family.
    0:17:50 And there was enormous weight, huge weight to live up to the deeds of your ancestors.
    0:17:55 So, the Romans were absolutely obsessed with the past, especially with your own family.
    0:18:00 Every Roman kid who was, let’s say, an aristocrat could tell you every one of his ancestors back centuries.
    0:18:05 I can’t go beyond my grandparents, I don’t even know, but that’s maybe 100 years.
    0:18:07 So, it’s a completely different attitude towards the past.
    0:18:13 And the level of celebration that we have now of the ancestors, even the ones we can name, is not as intense as it was at the time.
    0:18:17 No, I mean, it was obsessive and oppressive.
    0:18:23 It determined what you did, because there’s that weight for you to act like your ancestors did.
    0:18:33 Do you think, not to speak sort of philosophically, but do you think it was limiting to the way the society develops to be deeply constrained by the
    0:18:36 limiting in a good way or a bad way, you think?
    0:18:38 Well, you know, like everything, it’s a little both.
    0:18:43 But the bad, so on the one hand, gives them enormous strength and it gives them this enormous connection.
    0:18:44 It gives them guidance.
    0:18:51 But the negatives, what’s interesting is it makes the Romans extremely traditional-minded and extremely conservative.
    0:18:54 And I mean conservative in the sense of resistant to change.
    0:19:01 So, in the late republic, which we’ll probably talk about later, Rome desperately needed to change certain things.
    0:19:09 But it was a society that did things the way the ancestors did it, and they didn’t make some obvious changes, which might have saved their republic.
    0:19:13 So that’s the downside is that it locks you into something and you can’t change.
    0:19:16 But to get us back to the Brutuses.
    0:19:22 So 500 years after that first Brutus got rid of kings, Julius Caesar shards act like a king.
    0:19:24 One of his best friends is Marcus Junius Brutus.
    0:19:33 And literally in the middle of the night, people go to Brutus’s house and write graffiti on it that says, “Remember your ancestor.”
    0:19:36 And another one is, I think, “You’re no real Brutus.”
    0:19:40 And at that point, he really has no choice.
    0:19:49 He forms a conspiracy and on the Ides of March 44 BC, he and 23 other senators take daggers, stick them in Julius Caesar and kill him for acting like a king.
    0:19:52 So the way I always pose this to my students is,
    0:20:03 how many of you would stick a knife in your best friend because of what your great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great grandfather did?
    0:20:05 That’s commitment.
    0:20:07 That’s the power of the past.
    0:20:13 That’s a society where the past isn’t just influential, but it dictates what you do.
    0:20:16 And that concept, I think, is very alien to us today.
    0:20:22 We can’t imagine murdering our best friend because of what some incredibly distant ancestor did 500 years ago.
    0:20:25 But to Brutus, there is no choice.
    0:20:26 You have to do that.
    0:20:30 And a lot of societies have this power of the past.
    0:20:33 Today, not so much, but some still do.
    0:20:43 About a decade ago, I was in Serbia and I was talking to some of the people there about the breakup of Yugoslavia and some of the wars that had taken place and where people turned against their neighbors.
    0:20:46 Basically, murdered people they had lived next to for decades.
    0:20:50 And when I was talking to them, some of them actually brought up things like,
    0:20:55 “Oh, well, it was justified because in this battle in 12, whatever, they did this.”
    0:21:02 And I was thinking, “Wow, you’re citing something from 800 years ago to justify your actions today.”
    0:21:10 That’s a modern person who still understands the power of the past, or maybe is crippled by it is another way to view it.
    0:21:17 So this is an interesting point and an interesting perspective to remember about the way they almost thought, especially in the context of
    0:21:25 how power is transferred, whether it’s hereditary or not, which changes throughout Roman history.
    0:21:26 So it’s interesting.
    0:21:29 It’s interesting to remember that, the value of the ancestors.
    0:21:29 Yep.
    0:21:31 And just the weight of tradition.
    0:21:31 The weight of tradition.
    0:21:39 For the Romans, the most my warm is this Latin term, which means the way the ancestors did it, and it’s kind of their word for tradition.
    0:21:44 So for them, tradition is what your forefathers and mothers did.
    0:21:47 And you have to follow that example and you have to live up to that.
    0:21:49 Does that mean that class mobility was difficult?
    0:21:55 So if your ancestors were farmers, there was a major constraint on remaining a farmer, essentially?
    0:22:00 I mean, the Romans all like to think themselves as farmers, even filthy rich Romans.
    0:22:04 It was just their national identity, is the citizen soldier farmer thing.
    0:22:09 But it did, among the aristocrats, the people who kind of ran things,
    0:22:14 yeah, it was hard to break into that if you didn’t have famous ancestors.
    0:22:19 And it was such a big deal that there was a specific term called a novus homo, a new man
    0:22:26 for someone who was the first person in their family to get elected to a major office in the Roman government.
    0:22:29 Because that was a weird and different and new thing.
    0:22:32 So you actually designated them by this special term.
    0:22:33 So yeah, you’re absolutely right.
    0:22:40 So if we may let us zoom out, it would help me, maybe it’ll help the audience to look at the different periods that we’ve been talking about.
    0:22:43 So you mentioned the Republic.
    0:22:48 You mentioned maybe when it took a form of empire and maybe there was the Age of Kings.
    0:22:53 What are the different periods of this Roman, let’s call it what the big Roman history?
    0:22:55 Roman history.
    0:22:59 And a lot of people just call that whole period Roman Empire loosely, right?
    0:23:01 So maybe can you speak to the different periods?
    0:23:02 Yes, absolutely.
    0:23:06 So conventionally, Roman history is divided into three chronological periods.
    0:23:13 The first of those is from 773 BC to 509 BC, which is called the monarchy.
    0:23:16 So all the periods get their names from the form of government.
    0:23:19 So this is the earliest phase of Roman history.
    0:23:29 It’s when Rome is mostly just a fairly undistinguished little collection of mud huts, honestly, just like dozens of other cities of little mud huts in Italy.
    0:23:36 So that early phase about 750 to around 500 BC is the monarchy that ruled by kings.
    0:23:38 Then there’s this revolution.
    0:23:39 They kick out the kings.
    0:23:40 They become a republic.
    0:23:50 That lasts from 500 BC roughly to about the 31 or 27 BC, depending what date you pick is most important, but about 500 years.
    0:23:54 And the Republic is when they have a Republican form of government.
    0:23:58 Some people idealize this as Rome’s greatest period.
    0:24:05 And the big thing in that period is Rome first expands to conquer all of Italy in the first 250 years of that 500 year stretch.
    0:24:09 And then the second 250 years, they conquer all the Mediterranean basin roughly.
    0:24:14 So this is this time of enormous successful Roman conquest and expansion.
    0:24:19 And then you have another switch up and they become ruled by emperors.
    0:24:25 So back to the idea of one guy in charge, though the Romans try to pretend it’s not like a king, it’s something else.
    0:24:28 Anyway, we can get into that, but they’re very touchy about kings.
    0:24:30 So they have emperors.
    0:24:33 Roman Empire, the first emperor is Augustus.
    0:24:38 He starts off as Octavians, which is named Augustus when he becomes emperor.
    0:24:41 He kind of sets the model for what happens.
    0:24:46 And then how long does the Roman Empire last? That’s one of those great questions.
    0:24:51 The conventional answer is usually sometime in the fifth century.
    0:24:55 So the 400 AD, so about another 500 years, let’s say.
    0:24:57 It’s a nice kind of even division.
    0:24:59 500 years of republic, 500 years of empire.
    0:25:04 But you can make very good cases for lots of other dates for the end of the Roman Empire.
    0:25:09 I actually think it goes all the way through the end of the Byzantine Empire in 1453.
    0:25:13 So another 1500 years, but that’s a whole other discussion.
    0:25:15 But so that’s your three phases of Roman history.
    0:25:20 And some fun about the way it still persists today, given how much
    0:25:24 of its ideas define our modern life, especially in the Western world.
    0:25:31 Can you speak to the relationship between ancient Greece and Roman Empire,
    0:25:34 both in the chronological sense and in the influence sense?
    0:25:43 Well, I mean, ancient Greece comes, the classical era of Greek civilization is around the 500s BC.
    0:25:47 That’s when you have the great achievements of Athens.
    0:25:50 It becomes the first sort of true democracy.
    0:25:52 They defeat the Persian invasions.
    0:25:55 A lot of the famous stuff happens around in the 400s, let’s say.
    0:26:02 So that is contemporaneous with Rome, but the Greek civilization sense is peaking earlier.
    0:26:08 And one of the things that happens is that Greece ends up being conquered by Rome
    0:26:13 in that second half of the Roman Republic between 250 and about 30 BC.
    0:26:16 And so Greece falls under the control of Rome.
    0:26:20 And Rome is very heavily influenced by Greek culture.
    0:26:26 They themselves see the Greeks as a superior civilization, culturally more sophisticated,
    0:26:28 great art, great philosophy, all this.
    0:26:33 And another thing about the Romans is they’re super competitive.
    0:26:40 So one of the things that one of the engines that drives Romans is this public competitiveness,
    0:26:41 especially among the upper classes.
    0:26:48 They care more about their status and standing among their peers than they do about money
    0:26:49 or even their own life.
    0:26:51 So there’s this intense competition.
    0:26:57 And when they conquer Greece, Greek culture just becomes one more arena of competition.
    0:27:00 So Romans will start to learn Greek.
    0:27:02 They’ll start to memorize Homer.
    0:27:05 They’ll start to see who can quote more passages of Homer in Greek
    0:27:08 in their letters to one another because that increases their status.
    0:27:14 So Rome kind of absorbs Greek civilization and then the two get fused together.
    0:27:18 The other thing I should mention in terms of influences that’s really huge on Rome is the
    0:27:19 Etruscans.
    0:27:22 And this is one that comes along before the Greeks.
    0:27:28 So the Etruscans were this kind of mysterious culture that flourished in northern Italy
    0:27:29 before the Romans.
    0:27:33 So way back 800 BC, they were much more powerful than the Romans.
    0:27:35 They were kind of a loose confederation of states.
    0:27:39 For while the Romans even seemed to have been under Etruscan control,
    0:27:43 the last of the Roman kings was really an Etruscan guy, pretty clearly.
    0:27:51 But the Etruscans end up giving to Rome, or you could say Romans up stealing, perhaps,
    0:27:54 a lot of elements of Etruscan culture.
    0:27:59 And many of the things that we today think of as distinctively Roman,
    0:28:03 that was our cliches of what a Roman is, actually aren’t truly Roman.
    0:28:05 They’re stuff they stole from the Etruscans.
    0:28:07 So just a couple examples, the Toga.
    0:28:09 What do you think of a Roman?
    0:28:10 It’s a guy wearing a Toga.
    0:28:12 And the Toga is the mark of Roman system.
    0:28:14 Well, that’s what Truscan kings wore, probably.
    0:28:19 Gladiator games, we associate those very intensely with the Romans.
    0:28:20 Well, they probably stole that from the Etruscans.
    0:28:26 A lot of Roman religion, Jupiter is a thunder god, all sorts of divination.
    0:28:31 The Romans love to chop open animals and look at their livers and predict the future.
    0:28:33 That comes from the Etruscans.
    0:28:38 Watching the flight of birds to predict the future, that comes from the Etruscans.
    0:28:43 So there’s a lot of central elements of what we think of as Roman civilization,
    0:28:48 which actually are borrowings, let’s say, from these older, slightly mysterious Etruscans.
    0:28:53 I mean, that’s a really powerful thing, that’s a powerful aspect of a civilization to be able to,
    0:28:56 we can call it stealing, which is a negative connotation.
    0:28:58 But you can also see it as integration, basically.
    0:29:08 Yes, steal the best stuff from the peoples you conquer or the peoples that you interact with.
    0:29:10 That’s not every empire does that.
    0:29:18 There’s a lot of nations and empires that, when they conquer, they annihilate versus integrate.
    0:29:21 And so it’s an interesting thing to be able to culturally,
    0:29:28 like the form that the competitiveness takes is that you want to compete in the realm of ideas
    0:29:34 in culture versus compete strictly in the realm of military conquest.
    0:29:40 Yeah, and I think you’ve exactly put your finger on one of the, let’s say, secrets of Rome’s success,
    0:29:48 which is that they’re very good at integrating non-Romans or non-Roman ideas and kind of absorbing
    0:29:55 them. So one of the things that’s absolutely crucial early in Roman history, when they’re
    0:29:59 just one of these tiny little mud hut villages fighting dozens of other mud hut villages in
    0:30:04 Italy, why does Rome emerge as the dominant one? Well, one of the things they do is when they do
    0:30:08 finally succeed in conquering somebody else, let’s say another Italianate people,
    0:30:13 they do something very unusual because the normal procedure in the ancient world is,
    0:30:17 you conquer something, let’s say you conquer another city. You often kill most of the men
    0:30:23 and slave the women and children and steal all the stuff. The Romans, at least with the Italians,
    0:30:27 conquer the other city, and sometimes they’ll do that, but sometimes they’ll also then say,
    0:30:32 “All right, we’re going to now leave you alone and we’re going to share with you a degree of
    0:30:37 Roman citizenship.” Sometimes they’d make them full citizens, more often than make them something
    0:30:41 we call half citizens, which is kind of what it sounds like. You get some of the privileges of
    0:30:45 citizenship, but not all of them. Sometimes they would just make them allies, but they would sort
    0:30:51 of incorporate them into the Roman project. And they wouldn’t necessarily ask for money or taxes,
    0:30:58 which is weird too, but instead the one thing they would always, always demand from the Concord
    0:31:05 cities in Italy is that they provide troops to the Roman army. So the army becomes this
    0:31:11 mechanism of Romanization, where you pull in foreigners, you make them like you,
    0:31:17 and then they end up fighting for you. And early on, the secret to Rome’s military success is not
    0:31:21 that they have better generals, it’s not that they have better equipment, it’s not that they have
    0:31:27 better strategy or tactics, it’s that they have limitless manpower, relatively speaking. So they
    0:31:32 lose a war, and they just come back and fight again, and they lose again, and they come back,
    0:31:37 they fight again. And eventually they just wear down their enemies because their key thing of
    0:31:43 their policy is we incorporate the Concord people. And the great moment that just exemplifies this
    0:31:47 is pretty late in this process. So they’ve been doing this for 250 years, just about. And they’ve
    0:31:53 gotten down to the toe of Italy, they’re conquering the very last cities down there. And one of the
    0:31:58 last cities is actually Greek city, it’s a Greek colony. It’s a wealthy city, and so when the Romans
    0:32:03 show up on the doorstep and are about to attack them, they do what any rich Greek colony or city
    0:32:07 does, they go out and hire the best mercenaries they can. And they hire this guy who thinks of
    0:32:12 himself as the new Alexander the Great, a man named Pyrus of Apyrus. So he’s a mercenary,
    0:32:18 he’s actually related to Alexander distantly. He has a terrific army, top-notch army, he’s got
    0:32:23 elephants, you know, he’s got all the latest military technology. The Romans come and fight
    0:32:29 a battle against him. And Pyrus knows what he’s doing, he wipes out the Romans. He thinks, okay,
    0:32:34 now we’ll have a peace treaty, we’ll negotiate something, I can go home. But the Romans won’t
    0:32:39 even talk, they go to their Italian allies and half citizens, they raise a second army,
    0:32:45 they send it against Pyrus. Pyrus says, okay, these guys are slow learners, fine. He fights them
    0:32:50 again, wipes them out. Thanks, now we’ll have a peace treaty. But the Romans go back to the allies,
    0:32:56 raise a third army and send it after Pyrus. And when he sees that third army coming, he says,
    0:33:03 I can’t afford to win another battle. I win these battles, but each time I lose some of my troops,
    0:33:09 and I can’t replace them. And the Romans just keep sprouting new armies. So he gives up and goes home.
    0:33:17 So Rome kind of loses every battle, but wins the war. And Pyrus, one of his, actually his officers,
    0:33:22 has a great line as they’re kind of going back to Greece. He says, fighting the Romans is like
    0:33:29 fighting a hydra. And a hydra is this mythological monster that when you cut off one head, two more
    0:33:35 grow in its place. So you can just never win. That’s fascinating. So that’s the secret to Rome’s
    0:33:42 early success. That’s not the military strategy. It’s not some technological asymmetry of power.
    0:33:48 It’s literally just manpower. Early on. And later, the Romans get very good when we’re
    0:33:55 into the empire phase now. So once they have emperors into the AD era of kind of doing the
    0:34:03 same thing by drawing in the best and the brightest and the most ambitious and the most talented
    0:34:10 local leaders of the people they conquer. So when they go someplace that say they conquer tribe of
    0:34:15 what to them as barbarians, they’ll often take the sons of the barbarian chiefs, bring them to
    0:34:21 Rome and raise them as Romans. And so it’s that whole way of kind of turning your enemies into
    0:34:28 your own strength. And the Romans start giving citizenship to areas they conquer. So once they
    0:34:33 move out of Italy, they aren’t as free with the citizenship, but eventually they do. So they make
    0:34:38 Spain, lost cities in Spain, they make all citizens and other places. And soon enough,
    0:34:44 the Roman emperors and the Roman senators are not Italians. They’re coming from Spain or
    0:34:51 North Africa or Germany or wherever. So as early as the second century AD of the Roman empire,
    0:34:56 so the first set of emperors, the first 100 years were all Italians. But right away at the
    0:35:00 beginning of the second century AD, you have Trajan, who’s from Spain. And the next guy,
    0:35:04 Hadrian’s from Spain. And then a century later, you have Septimius Severus, who’s from North Africa.
    0:35:10 You would later get guys from Syria. So I mean, the actual leaders of the Roman empire are coming
    0:35:17 from the provinces. And it’s that openness to incorporating foreigners, making them work for
    0:35:22 you, making them want to be part of your empire that I think is one of this Rome’s strengths.
    0:35:28 Yeah, taking the sons is a brilliant idea and bringing them to Rome. Because it’s a kind of
    0:35:36 generational integration. And the Roman military later in the empire is this giant machine of
    0:35:42 half a million people that takes in foreigners and churns out Romans. So the army is composed of
    0:35:47 two groups. You have the Roman legionaries who are all citizens. But then you have another group
    0:35:54 that’s just as large, so about 250,000 of each, 250,000 legionaries, 250,000 of the second group
    0:36:01 called auxiliaries. And auxiliaries tend to be newly conquered warlike people that the Romans enlist
    0:36:08 as auxiliaries to fight with them. And they serve side by side with the Roman legions for 25 years.
    0:36:14 And at the end of that time, when they’re discharged, what do they get? They get Roman
    0:36:21 citizenship. And their kids then tend to become Roman legionaries. So again, you’re taking the most
    0:36:26 warlike and potentially dangerous of your enemies, kind of absorbing them, putting through this thing
    0:36:32 for 25 years where they learn Latin, they learn Roman customs, they maybe marry someone who’s
    0:36:38 already a Roman or a Latin woman. They have kids within the system. Their kids become Roman legionaries.
    0:36:43 And you’ve thoroughly integrated what could have been your biggest enemies, right? Your greatest
    0:36:49 threat. That’s just brilliant, brilliant process of integration. Is that what explains the rapid
    0:36:58 expansion during the late Republic? No. So there it’s more the indigenous Italians who are in the
    0:37:01 army at that point. They haven’t really expanded the auxiliaries yet. That’s more something that
    0:37:09 happens in the empire. So yeah, so back it up. So we have that first 250 years of the Roman Republic.
    0:37:15 So from about 500, let’s say, 250 BC. And in that period, they gradually expand throughout Italy,
    0:37:21 conquer the other Italian cities who are pretty much like them. So they’re people who already
    0:37:25 speak similar languages or the same language, have the same gods. It’s easy to integrate them.
    0:37:30 That’s the ones they make the half-citizens and allies. Then in the second half of that period,
    0:37:37 from about 250 to, let’s say, 30 BC, Rome goes outside of Italy. And this is a new world because
    0:37:43 now they’re encountering people who are really fundamentally different. So true others, they
    0:37:47 do not have the same gods. They don’t speak the same language. They have fundamentally different
    0:37:54 systems of economy, everything. And Rome first expands in the Western Mediterranean. And there,
    0:38:04 their big rival is the city-state of Carthage, which is another city founded almost the same time
    0:38:10 as Rome that has also been a young, vigorously expanding, aggressive empire. So in the Western
    0:38:16 Empire at this time, you have two sort of rival groups. And they’re very different because the
    0:38:22 Romans are these citizen-soldier farmers. So the Romans are all these small farmers. That’s the
    0:38:29 basis of their economy. And it’s the Romans who serve in the army. So the person who is a citizen
    0:38:34 is also really by main profession a farmer. And then in times of war, he becomes a soldier.
    0:38:41 Carthage is an oligarchy of merchants. So it’s a very small citizen body. They make their money
    0:38:47 through maritime trade. So they have ships that go all over the Mediterranean. They don’t have a
    0:38:53 large army of Carthaginians. Instead, they hire mercenaries mostly to fight for them. So it’s
    0:38:59 almost these two rival systems. It’s different philosophies, different economies, everything.
    0:39:05 Rome is strong on land. Carthage is strong at sea. So there’s this dichotomy.
    0:39:10 But they’re both looking to expand, and they repeatedly come into conflict as they expand.
    0:39:16 So Carthage is on the coast of North Africa. Rome’s in central Italy. What’s right between them?
    0:39:21 The island of Sicily. So the first big war is fought purely dictated by geography who gets
    0:39:29 Sicily, Rome or Carthage. And Rome wins in the end. They get it. But Carthage is still strong.
    0:39:33 They’re not weakened. So Carthage is now looking to expand. The next place to go is Spain.
    0:39:38 So they go and take Spain. Rome, meanwhile, is moving along the coast of what today’s France.
    0:39:43 Where are they going to meet up? On the border of Spain and France. And there’s a city at that
    0:39:48 point at this point in time called Saguntum, the second big war between Rome and Carthage is over.
    0:39:52 Who gets Saguntum? So I mean, you can just look at a map and see this stuff coming.
    0:39:59 Sometimes geography is inevitability. And I think in the course of the wars between Rome and Carthage,
    0:40:03 called the Punic Wars, there is this geographic inevitability to them.
    0:40:09 Can you speak to the Punic Wars? Why was there so many levels on which we can talk about this?
    0:40:15 But why was Rome victorious? Well, the Punic Wars really almost always comes down to the
    0:40:19 second Punic War. There’s three. There’s three Punic Wars. The first is over Sicily. Rome wins.
    0:40:25 The second is the big one. And it’s the big one because Carthage at this point in time,
    0:40:30 just by sheer luck, coughs up one of the greatest military geniuses in all of history,
    0:40:37 this guy, Hannibal Barca. He was actually the son of the Carthaginian general who fought
    0:40:43 Rome for Sicily. Hamel Carr was his father. But Hannibal is this just genius, just absolute
    0:40:51 military genius. He goes to Spain. He’s the one who kind of organizes stuff there. And now he
    0:40:56 knows the second war with Rome is inevitable. And so the question is, how do you take down Rome?
    0:41:02 He’s smart. He’s seen Rome’s strength. He knows it’s the Italian allies. So Rome always wins
    0:41:07 because even if they lose battles, they go to the Italian allies and half citizens and raise
    0:41:13 new armies. So how do you beat them? He can never raise that many troops himself. And Hannibal,
    0:41:19 I think correctly, figures out the one way to maybe defeat Rome is to cut them away from their
    0:41:25 allies. Well, how do you do this? Hannibal’s plan is, I’m not going to wait and fight the Romans in
    0:41:32 Spain or North Africa. I’m going to invade Italy. So I’m going to strike at the heart of this growing
    0:41:39 Roman Empire. And my hope is that if I can win a couple big battles against Rome in Italy,
    0:41:45 the Italians will want their freedom back. And they’ll rebel from Rome and maybe even join me.
    0:41:51 Because most people who have been conquered want their freedom back. So this is a reasonable plan.
    0:41:57 So Hannibal famously crosses the Alps with elephants, dramatic stuff. Nobody expects him to
    0:42:03 do this. Nobody thinks you can do this. Shows up in Northern Italy. Romans send an army,
    0:42:09 Hannibal massacres them. He is a military genius. Rome takes a year, raises a second army. We know
    0:42:14 this story, sends against Hannibal, Hannibal wipes them out. Rome gets clever this time. They say,
    0:42:20 okay, Hannibal’s different. We’re going to take two years, raise two armies, and send them both out
    0:42:25 at the same time against Hannibal. So they do this, and this is the Battle of Cane, which is one of
    0:42:33 the most famous battles in history. Hannibal is facing this army of 80,000 Romans about. And he
    0:42:37 comes up with a strategy called double envelopment. I mean, we can go into it later if you want,
    0:42:42 but it’s this famous strategy where he basically sucks the Romans in, surrounds them on all sides.
    0:42:52 And in one afternoon at the Battle of Cane, Hannibal kills about 60,000 Romans. Now,
    0:42:58 just to put that in perspective, that’s more Romans hacked to death in one afternoon with
    0:43:04 swords than Americans died in 20 years in Vietnam. I mean, the Battle of Gettysburg,
    0:43:08 which lasted three days and was one of the bloodiest battles of Civil War,
    0:43:15 I think the actual deaths at that were maybe like 15,000. So this is a bloodshed of an almost
    0:43:21 unimaginable scale. It’s also brutal. Yes, I mean, it’s just mind-boggling to think of that.
    0:43:27 So now this is Rome’s darkest hour. This is why the Second Punic War is important,
    0:43:32 because there’s that Nietzsche phrase, “What doesn’t kill you makes you stronger.” This is the
    0:43:39 closest Rome comes to death in the history of the Republic. Hannibal almost kills Rome.
    0:43:45 But no, it’s not much of a spoiler. Rome’s going to survive, and from this point on,
    0:43:50 they’re going to be unbeatable. But this is the crisis. This is the crucible. This is the
    0:43:55 furnace that Rome passes through that is the dividing point between when they’re one more
    0:43:59 up-and-coming empire and when they’re clearly the dominant power in the Mediterranean.
    0:44:05 So what do they do about Hannibal? Well, they’re smart. We’re not going to fight Hannibal. We’re
    0:44:11 not going to give Hannibal the chance to kill more Romans. So they adopt a strategy that they’ll
    0:44:16 follow Hannibal, or they raise a couple more armies, follow Hannibal around. But whenever
    0:44:20 Hannibal turns and tries to attack them, the Romans just back off. No, thank you. We’re not
    0:44:25 going to let you give you a chance. Meanwhile, though, they’re not scared of other Carthaginians.
    0:44:31 So they raise a couple more armies, and they send these to Spain, for example, and start attacking
    0:44:37 the Carthaginian holdings there. And by luck or necessity, Rome comes up with its own brilliant
    0:44:42 commander at this point, a guy named Scipio. And he wins victories in Spain, conquers Spain.
    0:44:48 Then he crosses into North Africa and starts to conquer that and ends up threatening Carthage
    0:44:56 directly. And poor Hannibal, undefeated in Italy, has now been walking up and down Italy or marching
    0:45:02 up and down Italy for 12 years looking for another fight, and the Romans won’t give it to him.
    0:45:07 They’ve been attacking all these other areas and chipping away at Carthaginian power.
    0:45:13 So finally, after more than a decade in Italy, Hannibal is called back to defend the homeland,
    0:45:18 defend Carthage from Scipio, the two meet in a big battle. This should be one of the great
    0:45:23 battles of all times, the Battle of Zama. But you know, Hannibal’s guys are kind of old by this
    0:45:29 point. Scipio has all the advantages, he wins, Carthage has defeated. So that’s pretty much the
    0:45:34 end of Carthage. The city survives, and then 50 years later, the Romans wipe it out, but that’s
    0:45:40 not much of a war. But from this moment on, from the Second Punic War, which ends in 201 BC,
    0:45:48 Rome is undisputably the most powerful force nation in the Mediterranean world. And having
    0:45:54 conquered the West, they’re now going to turn to the East, which is the Greek world. And the Greek
    0:45:59 world is older, it’s richer, it’s the rich part, half of the Mediterranean, it’s culturally more
    0:46:05 sophisticated. It’s the world left by Alexander the Great that’s ruled by the descendants of his
    0:46:12 generals. And the Greeks kind of view themselves as superior to the Romans. I mean, to the Greeks,
    0:46:18 the Romans are these uncouth sort of savage barbarians. But they’re going to get a real shock
    0:46:23 because the Roman army now has gotten really good to beat Hannibal. And when they go East,
    0:46:26 they’re going to just defeat the Greeks relatively easily, one after the other.
    0:46:33 And there’s a famous historian named Polybius, who is a Greek whose city was captured by the Romans.
    0:46:39 He later becomes a friend to the Scipio family. He actually teaches some of the Scipio children
    0:46:46 about Greek culture. And he writes a history of Rome. And his motivation for writing this is he
    0:46:53 says at the beginning of this book, he says, “Surely there can be no one so incurious as to not want
    0:47:00 to understand how the Romans could have conquered the entire Greek world in 53 years, because that
    0:47:06 seems unimaginable to him.” So he’s writing this entire history as a way to try and understand
    0:47:11 how did the Romans do it. We were these wonderful, superior people and they came around in 50 years.
    0:47:14 Bang, that’s the end of us. So that’s his motivation.
    0:47:21 Could you maybe speak to any interesting details of the military genius of Hannibal or Scipio?
    0:47:26 At that time, what are some interesting aspects, this double-envelopment idea?
    0:47:32 I mean, Hannibal is good because he understood how to use different troop types and to play to
    0:47:38 their strengths and how to use terrain. So I mean, this is basic military stuff, but he did it really
    0:47:43 well. So one of his victories against the Romans, for example, is when the Romans are marching along
    0:47:48 the edge of a lake and their army is strung out in marching formations. They’re not kind of in
    0:47:53 combat formation, but they’re strung out along the edge of this lake. It’s misty. There’s not good
    0:48:00 visibility and he ambushes them along this lakeside, so Lake Trisimene. And it’s just using the
    0:48:04 terrain, understanding this. Again, Hannibal is very much outnumbered, but he’s able to use the
    0:48:14 terrain and to take the enemy by surprise. At Cane, he’s working against the expectations.
    0:48:18 So the traditional thing you do in the ancient world is the two armies would line up on opposite
    0:48:23 sides of a field. You’d put your best troops in the middle. You’d put your cavalry on the sides.
    0:48:28 You’d put your lightly armed skirmishers beyond those. And then the two sides kind of smack together
    0:48:33 and the good troops fight the good troops and you see who wins. Now, Hannibal is hugely outnumbered
    0:48:39 by this giant phalanx of heavy infantry, which is what the Romans specialized in. They’re very good
    0:48:44 at sort of heavily armed foot soldiers. So he knows, I don’t want to go up against that. I don’t
    0:48:50 have that many of that troop type. My guys aren’t as good as the Romans anyway. So he lines up some
    0:48:56 of his less good troops in the center against the big menacing Roman phalanx and he tells them,
    0:49:03 “Okay, when the Romans come, you’re not really trying to win. Just hold them up. Just delay them.”
    0:49:09 And even tells them, “You can give ground. So you can retreat and sort of let the line form a big
    0:49:14 kind of C-shaped crescents. Let the Romans sort of advance into you, but just hold that line.”
    0:49:19 And meanwhile, he puts his cavalry and his good troops on the side. And so on the sides,
    0:49:23 those good troops defeat the Romans and then they kind of circle in behind the Romans and
    0:49:30 attack that big menacing Roman phalanx from the rear where it’s very vulnerable. And so Hannibal
    0:49:35 catches the Romans in this sort of giant cauldron just with people closing in from both sides.
    0:49:42 And they get pressed together. They can’t fight properly. They panic and they’re all slaughtered.
    0:49:47 And that strategy of double envelopment of sort of going around both sides becomes
    0:49:52 the model for all kinds of military strategies throughout the rest of history.
    0:49:56 I mean, the Germans use this and they’re Blitzkrieg in World War II. A lot of it was kind of that,
    0:50:02 you know, go around the sides and envelop the enemy. On the Eastern Front, they had a bunch of these
    0:50:07 sort of cauldron battles where they would go around and try to encircle huge chunks of the
    0:50:12 Soviet, the Russian army and do the same thing. Supposedly even in the Gulf War, it was part of
    0:50:17 the U.S. strategy for the invasion of Iraq to do this kind of double envelopment maneuver.
    0:50:21 So it’s something that for the rest of military history has been an inspiration to other armies.
    0:50:25 Can you speak to them, maybe, the difference between heavy infantry and cavalry,
    0:50:27 the usefulness of it in the ancient world?
    0:50:32 The ancient world sort of from the Greeks through the Romans, there’s this
    0:50:39 consistent line of focusing on heavy infantry. So going back to Greece when they’re fighting,
    0:50:45 let’s say, Persia, which at the time was the superpower of the ancient world and vastly
    0:50:49 richer, vastly larger than ancient Greece, you know, tons more men.
    0:50:55 But the Persians tended to be archers, tended to be light horsemen, tended to be light infantry,
    0:51:01 whereas the Greeks specialized in what are called hoplites, which is a kind of infantry men with
    0:51:08 very heavy body armor, a helmet, a spear and a really big heavy shield. And they would get in
    0:51:13 that formation where you kind of make the shields overlap and just form this solid mass,
    0:51:19 bristling with spear points, and just slowly kind of march forward and grind up your enemy in front
    0:51:25 of you. And so that’s that sort of block of heavy infantry. The advantages head on against other
    0:51:31 things they tend to win. The disadvantages, it’s slow moving. It’s vulnerable from the sides and
    0:51:37 the rear, so you’ve got to protect those. But if you can keep frontally faced, it’s pretty much
    0:51:44 invincible. And that’s taken even further by Alexander the Great, who comes up with the idea,
    0:51:48 well, what if we even give them a longer spear? So Greek spears were six to eight feet long.
    0:51:55 Alexander the Great arms his armies with the Sarissa, which is this 15 foot, almost a pike,
    0:52:00 this extra long spear. And so when the spear is that long, you don’t even hardly need the shields
    0:52:06 anymore. So it’s just this incredibly powerful thing in frontal attack. And that’s what he uses
    0:52:10 to make himself ruler of the known world. He goes and conquers the Persian empire and makes
    0:52:16 himself the Persian king of kings with this phalanx of troops armed with the Sarissa.
    0:52:23 So that’s very powerful. The Romans go a little bit different route. They have heavy infantry,
    0:52:29 but they focus more on fighting with short swords. So it’s get up close and kind of stab.
    0:52:37 And the other thing the Romans do is they focus on flexibility and subdividing their army.
    0:52:43 So Alexander’s phalanx was a mass of, let’s say, 5000 guys, and it was one unit. The Roman army
    0:52:50 is organized in an ever decreasing number of subunits. So you have a group of eight guys
    0:52:54 who are a contubernia, the men who share a tent. You take 10 of those and they form a
    0:52:59 century of 80 men. You take a bunch of those and you form a cohort. If we get a bunch of those,
    0:53:04 you form a legion. So the Romans were able to subdivide their army. And the big sticking point
    0:53:11 comes at 197 BC at the Battle of Kainocephali when the Roman legion goes up against one of the
    0:53:16 descendants of Alexander the Great who’s using his military system. So this is their new Roman
    0:53:23 system with flexibility versus the old invincible Alexander system with the heavily armed Sarissa
    0:53:28 with those long 15-foot poles. And the key moment in the battle is where they lock together
    0:53:34 and in a head-on clash, the Macedonians are going to win. But the Romans have the flexibility to
    0:53:38 break off a little section of their army, run around to the side, and attack that formation
    0:53:44 from the side. And they win the battle. So they prove tactically superior because of their flexibility.
    0:53:49 So it’s always development and counter-development in military history.
    0:53:54 A fascinating, brutal testing ground of tactics and technology.
    0:53:57 Adaptation. You have to keep adapting. That’s, I think, the key thing.
    0:54:05 One of the fascinating things about your work, you study Roman life life in the ancient world,
    0:54:13 but also the details, like we mentioned, you are an expert in armor. So what kind of, maybe you
    0:54:19 could speak to weapons and most importantly, armor that were used by the Romans or by people in the
    0:54:26 ancient world? I do military history. So I mean, the Romans specialized in, I mean, early on they
    0:54:31 have pretty random armor and it’s not standardized. I mean, remember, there’s no factories in the
    0:54:36 ancient world. So nobody’s cranking out 10,000 units of exactly the same armor. Each one is handmade.
    0:54:41 Now, there could be a degree of standardization, even as early as Alexander. There was a certain
    0:54:46 amount of standardization, but each one is still handmade. And that’s important to keep in mind,
    0:54:53 each weapon, each piece of armor. Armor develops over time to fit the tactics. So the Greek hop
    0:54:59 lights are very heavy armor. The Roman infantrymen early in the Republic is lighter. Eventually,
    0:55:05 they get this typical sort of chainmail shirt, helmet shield. The classic sort of Roman legionary,
    0:55:10 I would say, is the one of the first and second centuries AD, so the early Roman Empire. And
    0:55:17 this is the guy who wore bands of steel arranged in sort of bands around their bodies. So it looks
    0:55:22 almost like a lobster’s shell, right? And this is a thing called the Lorica segmentata. So it’s
    0:55:28 solid steel, which is very good protection, but it’s flexible because it has these individual bands
    0:55:33 that provide a lot of movement. And then you have a helmet, you have a square shield that’s kind of
    0:55:37 curved, and you have the short sword, the Roman gladius. And that’s kind of the classic Roman
    0:55:45 legionary. Later, more things develop. My personal sort of relationship with armor is I got,
    0:55:53 really, by accident involved in this project to try to reconstruct this mysterious type of armor
    0:55:59 that was used, especially by the Greeks and Alexander the Great called the lineothorax,
    0:56:04 which apparently was made only out of linen and glue. So this seems a little odd that that’s not
    0:56:10 the sort of material once you want metal or something. But we had clear literary references
    0:56:15 that people, including Alexander, and the most famous image of Alexander is this Alexander mosaic
    0:56:21 found at Pompeii that shows him wearing one of these funny types of armor. The catch is
    0:56:29 none survived. It’s organic materials. So we don’t have any of them. And archaeologists
    0:56:35 like to study things that survive. So we have nice typologies of Greek armor made of bronze,
    0:56:41 Roman armor made of steel or sort of proto-steel. But this thing, this lineothorax, was a mystery.
    0:56:46 And one of my undergraduate students, a guy named Scott Bartell, had a real,
    0:56:50 well, an Alexander obsession. He really loved Alexander.
    0:56:51 As one should.
    0:56:56 He had Alexandros tattooed on his arm in Greek. And he was a smart student. He was really smart.
    0:57:02 And so he, one summer, made himself an imitation of this thing of Alexander just for fun.
    0:57:08 And he said, can you give me some articles so I could do a better job? So I had some scholarly
    0:57:12 articles about this armor. And with typical sort of academic arrogance, I said, “Well, Scott,
    0:57:15 of course I will. I’ll give you some references.” And I went and looked and there weren’t any.
    0:57:23 So at that point, I was like, huh, tell you what? Why don’t you and I look into this and try to
    0:57:28 do a reconstruction using only the materials they would have had in the ancient world?
    0:57:32 And little did I know at the time, I thought maybe I’ll get an article out of this. I mean,
    0:57:39 it ended up being a 10-year project involving 150 students, a couple dozen other faculty members.
    0:57:45 Ended having three documentaries made out of it. And Scott and I ended up writing a scholarly book
    0:57:50 on this. So this is how you never know where your next project’s going to come from. So it started
    0:57:55 with this undergraduate turn to this huge thing. But it’s what we did. We first said, “All right,
    0:58:02 what are all the sources for this armor?” And in the end, we found 65 accounts of it in ancient
    0:58:07 literature by 40 different authors. So we have literary descriptions. And then we looked at
    0:58:15 ancient art, and we were able to identify about 1,000 images in ancient art in vase paintings,
    0:58:20 pottery, bronze sculpture, tomb paintings, all these different things showing this armor.
    0:58:26 And then using those two things, we tried to backwards engineer a pattern to say, “Well,
    0:58:30 if this is what the end product looked like, what does it have to look like when you make it?”
    0:58:35 And then we tried to reconstruct one of these things using only the glue and materials.
    0:58:41 So we had to use animal glues, rabbit glue. We had to end up sort of making our own linen,
    0:58:47 which comes from the flax plant. So we had to grow flax, harvest it using only techniques
    0:58:51 in the ancient world. So modern flax goes through chemical processes. No, we had to do this the
    0:58:57 old-fashioned way, spin it into thread. So the thread into fabric, glue it all together. And
    0:59:01 then the fun part was, once we made these things, we subjected them to ballistics testing.
    0:59:08 So we shot them with arrows, which again, were wooden reconstruction arrows using bronze arrow
    0:59:13 heads that were based on arrowheads found on ancient battlefields to determine how good
    0:59:18 protection would this thing have been. And of course, the kind of fun one that everyone always
    0:59:21 likes and that the documentaries always want is at one point, they’re like, “Well, can you put Scott
    0:59:26 in one of these and shoot him?” And we’re like, “Okay.” I mean, at that point, we’d done about
    0:59:31 1,000 test shots. I grew up shooting bows and arrows. I knew exactly how far that was going
    0:59:35 to go. So it’s one of these, “Don’t do this at home, kids.” So there’s a million questions
    0:59:40 to ask here, but in general, how well in terms of ballistics does it work? Can it withstand
    0:59:48 arrows or direct strikes from swords and axes and stuff like that? The bottom line is a one centimeter
    0:59:55 thick line of thorax. So laminated or even sewn, it doesn’t have to be laminated, a layer of linen
    1:00:02 is about as good protection as two millimeters of bronze, which was the thickest comparable body
    1:00:11 armor of bronze at the time. And we’re talking fourth century, fifth century BC here. So classical
    1:00:16 and Hellenistic Greece. And that would have protected you from, let’s say, random arrow strikes on
    1:00:21 the battlefield. So you could have gotten hit by arrows and they simply wouldn’t have gone through.
    1:00:25 What are the benefits? So is there a major weight difference?
    1:00:31 Yes. So the benefits of this are it’s much lighter than metal armor. So the line of thorax is about
    1:00:39 11 pounds. A bronze queer ass of comparable protection would have been about 24 to 6 pounds.
    1:00:46 A chain mail shirt would be about 28, 27 pounds. It’s cooler. I mean, the Mediterranean’s a hot
    1:00:51 place with the hot sun. Even today, a linen shirt is something you wear when you want to be cool.
    1:00:55 So it’s much lighter. That gives your troops greater endurance on the battlefield. They can
    1:01:02 run farther, fight longer. It’s cheaper. You don’t need a blacksmith who’s a specialist to make it.
    1:01:07 In fact, probably this interesting any woman in the ancient world could have made one of these,
    1:01:15 because they were the ones who spun thread and sewed it into fabric. So I can easily see in a
    1:01:20 household a mother making this for her son, a wife making it for her husband. So it’s a form of
    1:01:26 armor you could have made domestically that would have been maybe not the greatest armor,
    1:01:31 but pretty good, pretty comparable to bronze armor. And it’s amazing that you used all the
    1:01:35 materials ahead at the time and none of the modern techniques. But I should probably say,
    1:01:40 maybe you can speak to that, they were probably much better at doing that than you are, right?
    1:01:46 Because again, generational, it’s a skill. It’s a skill that probably is practiced across decades,
    1:01:52 across centuries. In terms of producing the fabric, I’m sure they could do it 10 times
    1:01:56 faster than we could, just that’s a speed thing. But it’s still incredibly labor intensive,
    1:02:00 where I think there’s a big difference between our reconstruction and ancient ones is in the
    1:02:06 glue. So we ended up using a kind of least common denominator glue, we used rabbit glue,
    1:02:11 because it would have been available anywhere and it’s cheap. But in the ancient world,
    1:02:17 they did have basically the equivalent of superglues. I mean, we found, for example,
    1:02:22 helmets that were fished out of a river in Germany that had metal parts glued together
    1:02:27 that after 2000 years of immersion and water were still glued together. So they had some
    1:02:32 great glues, we just don’t know what the recipes for them were. So we went the opposite tack and
    1:02:36 said, well, we’re just going to make something that we know they could have made. So it was at least
    1:02:42 this good, you know what I’m saying? But actually, this is a materials thing. But I think glue,
    1:02:52 aside from helping glue things together, it can also be a thing that serves as armor. So if you
    1:02:59 glue things correctly, the way it permeates the material that is gluing can strengthen the material,
    1:03:03 the integrity of the material. That’s an art in the science, probably, that they understood
    1:03:07 deeply. The process of lamination did add something. So there’s actually a huge debate
    1:03:12 among scholars and actually a sort of amateur archaeologist that was this line of thorax thing
    1:03:18 glued together or was it simply sewn together? Was it composite, partially linen, partially
    1:03:23 leather or other materials? And my honest answer is, I think it’s all of the above. Because again,
    1:03:28 every piece of armor in the ancient world was an individual creation. So I think if you had
    1:03:33 some spare leather, you put that in. If you wanted to make one that was just sewn together or even
    1:03:37 quilted, stuffed with stuff, you’d do that. Maybe you were good at gluing stuff, you used that. So
    1:03:44 I think there’s no one answer. We investigated one possibility because we just had limited time
    1:03:49 and money and resources. But I think all these other things existed at the same time and were
    1:03:54 variants of it. Just as a small aside, I just think this is a fascinating journey you went on. I
    1:04:05 love it. So answering really important questions about, in this case, armor, about military equipment
    1:04:11 and technology that archaeologists can’t answer by using all the literates. So all the sources you
    1:04:16 can to understand what it looked like, what were the materials, using the materials at the time,
    1:04:22 and actually doing ballistic testing. It’s really cool. It’s really cool that you see that there’s
    1:04:29 a hole in the literature. Nobody studied it and going hard and doing it the right way to sort of
    1:04:34 uncover this, I don’t know. I think it’s an amazing mystery about the ancient world.
    1:04:38 I mean, shifting from just sort of Roman history in general to my research that I’ve done as a
    1:04:43 scholar, the theme that runs throughout my scholarship is practical stuff. I’m interested,
    1:04:47 how did this actually work in the ancient world? So there’s people who are much more theoretical,
    1:04:53 who look at the symbolic meaning of something. I’m simpler. I just want to know how did this work.
    1:04:58 So almost all of my books that I’ve written have started with some just how did something work,
    1:05:03 and I’m trying to just figure out that aspect of it. And that’s just maybe it’s a personality thing.
    1:05:08 I also have kind of a science-y background. So I think I’ve used a lot of that even though I’m a
    1:05:16 humanist and a historian. I use a lot of kind of hard science in my work. I did a book on floods
    1:05:21 where I had to get really heavy into vectors of disease and hydraulics and engineering and
    1:05:25 all that stuff. And I think, again, having that sort of hard science combined with a humanist
    1:05:29 background helps with those sorts of projects. Well, like you said, I think the details help
    1:05:34 you understand deeply the big picture of history. And I mean, Alexander the Great wore this thing.
    1:05:41 Yeah. And I should say, by the way, it does drop out of use around Roman times. And I think what’s
    1:05:48 going on there is technology that with bronze, it’s hard to keep a sharp edge on things. But once
    1:05:55 you get into metals which approximate steel, you can get sharper. And a key factor to penetrating
    1:06:00 fabric is the edge on the arrowhead, right? So as soon as you start to get something more
    1:06:04 like a razor edge, it’s going to go through it more easily. Also, there’s changes in the bows
    1:06:10 that are being used. You start to get sort of Eastern horse archers showing up with composite
    1:06:16 bows, which are much more powerful. And so it just becomes outdated as frontline military equipment.
    1:06:20 What’s interesting is by the Roman period, people are still wearing it, but it’s now things like
    1:06:24 when I go hunting, if I’m hunting lions, I wear this. There’s an actual source that says
    1:06:29 it’s really good for hunting dangerous big cats because it catches their teeth and stops them
    1:06:36 from penetrating. One emperor wears one of these under his togas, kind of like a bulletproof vest,
    1:06:40 but stabproof vest. So again, it’s not to fight in the front line of the legions,
    1:06:45 but it’ll protect him from somebody trying to assassinate him. So it still has those uses
    1:06:51 where you’re not up against top line military equipment. To honor the aforementioned undergraduate
    1:06:55 student who loves Alexander the Great, we must absolutely talk about Alexander the Great for a
    1:07:01 little bit. Why was he successful, do you think, as a conqueror? Probably one of the greatest
    1:07:07 conquerors in the history of humanity. Yeah. And I mean, is he one of the greatest heroes,
    1:07:12 or one of the greatest villains in humanity, too? It’s like Julius Caesar. He’s famous for
    1:07:17 conquering Gaul. Well, about a million people were killed and a million enslaved in that. So is that,
    1:07:23 does it make him a horrible person or one of our heroes? But Alexander is a combination of two things.
    1:07:27 One is he really just was a skilled individual. And he was one of those guys who had it all. He
    1:07:32 was smart. He was athletic. And he was supremely charismatic. I mean, it’s obviously one of
    1:07:36 these people that would walk into a room and everyone just kind of gravitates to him. He
    1:07:44 had that magic that made him an effective leader. And secondly, he was lucky because it wasn’t all
    1:07:51 him. He inherited a system created by his father, Philip II. So he was in the right time at the
    1:07:58 right place and had this instrument placed in his hands. And then he had the intelligence
    1:08:02 and the charisma to go use it. So it’s one of these coming together of different things. But
    1:08:08 often, his father’s contribution, I think, is not recognized as much as it is. It’s his father who
    1:08:13 reformed the Macedonian army, who came up with that system of equipping them with the Sarissa,
    1:08:19 this extra long spear that made them really effective, created the mixed army. So one of the
    1:08:26 keys to Alexander’s success, in a tactical sense, is that his army was composed of different elements,
    1:08:32 heavy cavalry, light cavalry, heavy infantry, light infantry, missile troops. And he understand
    1:08:37 that he can use these in different and flexible ways on the battlefield. Whereas a lot of warfare
    1:08:43 before then had just been you line up, two sides smashed together. So he did clever things with
    1:08:48 this army that was a better tool than others did. And then he was just supremely ambitious.
    1:08:55 I mean, he cared about his fame, which I guess is ego, but he clearly cared about that more
    1:09:01 than he did about things like money. He was indifferent to that. And he did have a grand
    1:09:08 vision. So he did have this vision of trying to unite the world both politically under his control,
    1:09:14 but also culturally. And this is an interesting thing. So he was very open, in fact, insistent
    1:09:20 of trying to meld together the best elements of all the different cultures. So he himself was a
    1:09:26 Macedonian. But he admired Greek culture, so he pretty much adopted Greek cultures his own.
    1:09:31 When he conquers Persia, he starts adapting elements of Persian culture. He dresses in
    1:09:37 Persian clothing. He marries a Persian woman. He sort of forces thousands of his troops to marry
    1:09:42 local women. He appoints Persians to positions of power. He integrates Persian units into his
    1:09:48 military. He really wanted to fuse all these things together. And some people see this as a very
    1:09:54 enlightened vision that, oh, he’s not just, I want to conquer people and now they’re my slaves,
    1:09:57 that he was really trying to create this one culture that was sort of the best of everything.
    1:10:02 Others see it, of course, as a form of cultural imperialism. You’re destroying other cultures
    1:10:09 and trying to warp or twist them into something. But what I think is interesting is that this
    1:10:18 vision he had of uniting cultures creates very problematic tensions among his own followers
    1:10:24 because the Macedonians, his original troops, did not like this on the whole. They wanted
    1:10:29 the old model where we conquer you, you’re our slaves. We don’t want to share stuff with you.
    1:10:34 We don’t want you joining us in the army. We don’t want you appointed to positions of power.
    1:10:39 We are your conquerors and that’s it. And so Alexander had to deal with a lot of friction
    1:10:45 from his own oldest, most loyal elements at the way he was being, in their eyes, too generous to
    1:10:51 the conquered. So Alexander is one of these interesting personalities because every generation
    1:10:57 sees him in a new light and focuses on different things. So for some, he’s this enlightened
    1:11:01 visionary who was taught by Aristotle, the Greek philosopher, and they say, well, this
    1:11:07 influenced him. Others see him as an egomaniacal warbonger, just I’m out to kill and gain glory.
    1:11:11 There was a book a couple decades ago, it says, oh, he’s just an alcoholic, which he probably was.
    1:11:18 Yeah. So you get all these competing images and the great thing is we don’t really know
    1:11:24 what the true Alexander was or what his motivations were. It’s a mixed message.
    1:11:35 Why do you think the Roman Empire lasted while the Greek Empire, as the Alexander expanded,
    1:11:41 did not? That’s a clear answer. So Alexander’s empire fragmented the moment he died.
    1:11:48 And so his empire was all about personal loyalty. It was his charisma holding it together, his
    1:11:55 personality, and he completely failed to create a structure so that it would continue after his
    1:11:58 death. And of course, he died young. He didn’t think he would die when he did, but still,
    1:12:04 you should put something in place. So his was a flash in the pan. It was he had this spectacular
    1:12:09 conquest in 10 years. He conquered what was then most of the known world, but he had no permanent
    1:12:15 structure in place. He didn’t really deal with the issue of succession. It fell apart instantly.
    1:12:21 The Romans are much more about building a structure. So I mean, as we talked about little,
    1:12:26 they were very good about incorporating the people they conquered into the Roman project.
    1:12:31 I mean, they’re oppressive. They’re imperialistic as well. Let’s not whitewash them. I mean,
    1:12:36 they had moments when they would just wipe out entire cities. But on the whole,
    1:12:41 they were much more about trying to bring people into the Roman world. And I think that was one
    1:12:47 of their strengths is that they were open to integration and bringing in different people
    1:12:52 to keep rejuvenating themselves. One of the most influential developments from the Roman Republic
    1:12:58 was their legal system. And as you mentioned, it’s one of the things that still lasted to this day
    1:13:05 in many of its elements. So it started with the 12 tables in 451 BC. Can you just speak to this
    1:13:10 legal system and the 12 tables? Yeah. I mean, Roman law is one of their most significant,
    1:13:14 maybe the most significant legacy they have on the modern world. So I mean, just to start at
    1:13:20 that end of it, something like 90% of the world uses a legal system, which is either directly
    1:13:25 or indirectly derived from the Roman one. So even countries that you wouldn’t think are really using
    1:13:31 Roman law kind of are because all the terminology, all that comes from Roman law. And the Romans,
    1:13:37 their first law code was this thing, the 12 tables. So this is way back in the Middle Republic.
    1:13:46 And it was a typical early law code. So most of the stuff it concerns are agricultural concerns.
    1:13:52 So if I have a tree and its fruit drops onto your property, who owns the fruit? If my cow wanders
    1:13:56 into your field and eats your grain, am I responsible? I mean, I love these early law
    1:14:01 codes that are all about this like farmer problems, you know? But law codes are hugely
    1:14:08 important because you need a law code to enable people to live in groups. So they’re the transitional
    1:14:15 thing that lets human beings live together without just resorting to anarchy. And most of the early
    1:14:21 law codes are agricultural like Hammurabi’s code in Mesopotamia. Most of them are retaliatory,
    1:14:26 meaning eye for an eye type justice. So you do something to me, it gets done to you.
    1:14:32 But they’re this necessary precondition for civilization, I would say. And the 12 tables
    1:14:37 is that it’s a crude law code. It has a lot of goofy stuff in it. It has things about, you know,
    1:14:44 if you use magic, this is the punishment. But it’s that basic agrarian society law code.
    1:14:49 Now that’s typical of many societies where the Romans are different is they keep going.
    1:14:55 They keep developing their law code. And by the late Republic, the Romans just get kind of really
    1:15:01 into legal stuff. I don’t know why, but I mean, the Romans are very methodical organized people.
    1:15:05 So maybe this has something to do with it. But their law code just keeps getting more and more
    1:15:11 complicated and keeps expanding to different areas. And they start to get jurists who write sort of
    1:15:19 theoretical things about Roman law. And eventually, it becomes this huge body both of cases and comments
    1:15:26 on those cases and of actual laws. And in the 6th century AD, so the 500s,
    1:15:32 the Roman emperor Justinian, who is a emperor of the Eastern Roman Empire by this point,
    1:15:36 the Byzantine Empire, compiles all this together into something that today we just kind of loosely
    1:15:43 called Justinian’s code of Roman law. And that survives. And so that becomes the basis for almost
    1:15:47 all the legal systems around the world. And it’s very complicated. And Roman law, I think,
    1:15:53 is really fun. Because on the one hand, it’s really dry. But it also preserves these wonderful
    1:15:58 little vignettes of daily life. So you get these courageous kind of entertaining law cases.
    1:16:02 One of my favorite, and this may not even be a real case, this might be a hypothetical that
    1:16:07 they would use like to train Romans or if you know, lost to us, is like one day a man sends a
    1:16:13 slave to the barber to get a shave. And the barber shop is adjacent to an athletic field.
    1:16:17 And two guys are on the athletic field throwing a ball back and forth. And one of them throws the
    1:16:23 ball badly. The other guy fails to catch it. The ball flies into the barbershop, hits the hand of
    1:16:30 the barber, cuts the slave’s throat, he dies. Who’s liable under Roman law? Is it the athlete one
    1:16:35 who threw the ball badly? Is it athlete two who failed to catch it? Is the barber who actually
    1:16:41 cut the slave’s throat? Is it the owner of the slave for being stupid enough to send his slave to
    1:16:47 get a shave in a place adjacent to a playing field? Or is it the Roman state rezoning a barbershop
    1:16:54 next to an athletic field? What do you think? Well, do they resolve the complexity of that
    1:16:58 with the right answer? We don’t have the answer. We don’t have the answer. It’s a case without
    1:17:04 the answer. So we have various jurists commenting on this one, but we don’t have what was actually
    1:17:10 ruled. But it’s just a great little sort of vignette. And that’s how complicated Roman law got,
    1:17:17 that it was dealing with these weird esoteric questions. There’s another one where a cow gets
    1:17:22 loose and runs into an apartment building, goes up onto the roof and crashes down three stories
    1:17:28 into a bar on the ground floor and kicks open the taps to the wine jug and all the wine flows out.
    1:17:35 Who’s at fault? I mean, this seems to have happened as crazy as it sounds. And Roman
    1:17:38 testamentary law is great. I mean, something like 20 percent of Roman law has to do with
    1:17:44 the wills and what you do with the will and what makes a will valid. You have to have seven witnesses
    1:17:48 and you have to have a guy named a Lieberprens to witness it. And the witnesses have to be adult
    1:17:54 men who can’t be blind and all this other stuff. So it’s just great. I mean, it’s fun to mess around
    1:17:59 in this. But it always contains these little nuggets about what happens. I mentioned I wrote a book
    1:18:05 on floods and there were all these law cases about if a flood strikes the city and picks up my piece
    1:18:10 of furniture in my apartment building and carries it out the door and deposits it in another apartment
    1:18:15 building, does that guy now own my furniture because it’s now legally within his apartment?
    1:18:18 Or can I go in there and repossess it because the flood took it out of my apartment?
    1:18:23 You know, this is the stuff laws handle. And that’s how sophisticated Roman law got.
    1:18:27 Did it kind of corrupt unfair things seep into the law?
    1:18:36 Oh, yeah. I mean, it’s biased in favor of the wealthy, obviously. And I mean, Roman law cases
    1:18:42 are interesting because they became linked to politics. So one of the way that politicians,
    1:18:47 up-and-coming politicians, aspiring politicians could sort of make their name or become famous,
    1:18:52 was by either prosecuting or defending people in Roman law courts. And especially during the
    1:18:59 late Roman Republic, you get a lot of really sensational what today we’d call celebrity law
    1:19:04 cases. So this is where some of the biggest politicians were accused of very melodramatic
    1:19:12 kinds of things. And I mean, the most famous Roman order of all time, Cicero, is a guy who made his
    1:19:17 entire career in the law courts. And that’s how he made his reputation, was able to parlay that
    1:19:22 into political power and eventually was elected to the highest office in the Roman government.
    1:19:29 But it’s purely because of his skill, his facility at using words at giving speeches in public.
    1:19:36 So they loved the puzzle and the game of law, the sort of untangling,
    1:19:40 really complicated legal situations and coming up with new laws that help you
    1:19:46 tangle and untangle the situation. Yes. And law cases, again, especially in the late
    1:19:53 Republic also became a form of public spectacle. So Rome did not have law courts in a building
    1:19:59 locked away. A lot of these cases were held in the Roman Forum in the open. And audiences would
    1:20:04 just come to be entertained. And the people presenting the speeches they were playing as
    1:20:10 much to this audience as they were to, let’s say, the jury or a judge. And that became a big part
    1:20:15 of the cases. So that’s all tied up in Roman order. So we’re talking a bit about the details.
    1:20:22 Of the laws. Is there some big picture laws that are new innovations or profound things like
    1:20:29 all Roman citizens are equal before the law? Kind of founding fathers type of in the United States,
    1:20:35 in the Western world, these big legal ideas? I think maybe one of the things that was really
    1:20:40 stressed in Roman law early on, even as early as the 12 tables, is the notion of Roman citizenship.
    1:20:47 So if you were a Roman citizen, it came with a set of both privileges and obligations.
    1:20:52 So the obligations were you’re supposed to fight in the army, you were supposed to vote
    1:20:57 in elections. The privileges were you had the protection of Roman law and at least in theory,
    1:21:03 if not in practice, everybody was equal under that law. Now, of course, keep in mind, we’re
    1:21:09 talking about men here. And even at the height of the Roman Empire, so let’s say second century AD,
    1:21:14 there were about 50 million human beings living within the boundaries of the Roman Empire.
    1:21:23 Maybe six million were actual citizens. So this is we tend to go, “Oh, it’s so great. If you’re a
    1:21:29 citizen, you have all these things.” Well, adult free men who are not slaves, who are not resident
    1:21:35 foreigners, they have this great stuff. And that’s always a tiny minority of all the human beings
    1:21:41 who existed in this society. But still, the notion, the notion of citizenship is huge.
    1:21:47 And citizens, for example, early on, you had to be tried at Rome if you were accused of something.
    1:21:54 And there’s this very famous moment in Sicily, where an abusive governor who’s corrupt
    1:22:01 is punishing a citizen arbitrarily. And this person cries out, “Chuyis Romanus Sum,”
    1:22:08 meaning I am a Roman citizen. And it really was this hugely loaded statement that that
    1:22:13 gives me protections. It is wrong for you to do this to me. It’s wrong for you to beat me
    1:22:19 because I am a citizen, and that gives me certain protections. So that notion of citizenship is
    1:22:25 something that I think the Romans really emphasize and becomes a legacy to a lot of civilizations
    1:22:32 today, where citizenship means something. It’s a special status. So you mentioned slaves, slavery.
    1:22:37 That’s something that is common throughout human history. What do we know about their
    1:22:44 relationship with slavery? Well, Roman slavery, a couple just reminders at the beginning. First
    1:22:50 of all, it’s not racial slavery. So for people in the United States, you tend to think of slavery
    1:22:56 through this kind of racial lens. So slaves in ancient Roman society could be any color, ethnicity,
    1:23:05 gender, origin, whatever. It’s an economic status. Now, having said that, slavery is fundamentally
    1:23:12 horrific to human dignity because it is defining a human being as an object. And very famously,
    1:23:17 a Roman agricultural writer who’s writing about farms, just as a kind of a side says,
    1:23:24 “On your farm, you have three types of tools. You have dumb tools, and by dummy means can’t
    1:23:30 speak.” So it’s like shovels, picks, things like this, wagons. You have semi-articulate tools,
    1:23:37 which are animals. And you have articulate tools, which are human beings, slaves. And for him,
    1:23:44 these are all just categories of tools. It’s so intensely dehumanizing to view people in that
    1:23:50 way. So Roman slavery is odd in that it doesn’t have this racial component. It’s horrible in the
    1:23:57 way all slavers horrible. But the other thing about it is it’s not a hard line. It’s a permeable
    1:24:03 membrane. And many people move back and forth across it. So you have many people in the Roman
    1:24:07 world who were born a slave who gained their freedom through one means or another. And you have
    1:24:12 many others who were born free and become slaves. And you have some who go back and forth. There’s
    1:24:18 a great Roman tombstone of this guy who says, “I was born a free man in Parthia. I was enslaved.
    1:24:22 Then I gained my freedom, and I became a teacher or something, and I had a life,
    1:24:27 and now I’m a Roman citizen.” So it’s this whole back and forth across all these boundaries
    1:24:33 multiple times. Oh, so there’s probably a process, like an economic transaction.
    1:24:39 The most common source of slaves in the Roman world was war. So wherever the Roman army went,
    1:24:46 in its wake would be literally a train of slave traders. So you’re in war, you capture an enemy
    1:24:50 city, you whack the people over the head, and you turn around if you’re a soldier, and you
    1:24:54 sell them to one of these slave traders that’s following the army around, literally. So that’s
    1:24:59 probably the biggest source of slaves. Another big source is just children of slaves or slaves.
    1:25:07 And some people could literally sell either themselves or their children into slavery due
    1:25:13 to economic necessity or a privation or something. So as terrible as that sounds,
    1:25:22 a father could sell a child if he needed money. Once you were a slave, though, the experience of
    1:25:30 slavery varied a lot because a lot of the slaves were agricultural slaves. So they would work sort
    1:25:36 of like in the American South, big plantations, they might be chained, they were probably abused.
    1:25:41 That’s very similar to slavery as we think of it in, let’s say, the Caribbean, South America,
    1:25:47 or the United States prior to the Civil War, that kind of slavery. But a lot of Roman slaves were
    1:25:52 also some of the more skilled people. And this seems a little weird. So if you’re a rich person,
    1:25:57 you have slaves, it’s actually a good investment for you to train your slaves in a profession.
    1:26:05 So a lot of Roman doctors, scribes, accountants sort of, all this sort of thing, barbers were
    1:26:10 slaves because if you train this person, and then they produce a lot of money for you,
    1:26:17 you get that money. And those slaves would sometimes be given an incentive to work hard
    1:26:20 where they could, and this is just sort of an agreement between the master and the slave,
    1:26:26 if they earned a certain amount of money, X amount of money, they could then buy their own
    1:26:30 freedom from the master. So this was your incentive to work harder if you were trained,
    1:26:36 let’s say, as a doctor, I worked really hard, I can buy myself out of slavery. Or a lot of
    1:26:41 masters would free their slaves and their wills. So when they died, they would say, “I, man, you
    1:26:48 mitt this slave and that slave.” So it was a weird institution in that elements were just as horrible
    1:26:53 as what we think of as slavery and just as exploitative. And like I say, the overall notion
    1:27:00 of slavery is intensely dehumanizing. But yet there was this wide range of types of slaves.
    1:27:07 And the odd thing is in the city of Rome, many of the worst jobs, so if you’re just a laborer,
    1:27:13 hauling crap around at the docks or things like that, you might well be a free person,
    1:27:20 and a slave would hold a skilled job. And that seems a little strange or counterintuitive to us,
    1:27:24 but you see how in the Roman economy, it sort of works.
    1:27:29 And that could be one of the things that would be surprising to us coming from the modern day
    1:27:34 to the ancient world is just the number of slaves. So you mentioned one of the things we don’t
    1:27:39 think about is that most of the people are farmers. And then the other thing is just the
    1:27:44 number of slaves. And there’s a big debate how many slaves were there, what percentage of the
    1:27:48 populace, let’s say in the city of Rome were slaves. And this is something historians like to
    1:27:53 argue about a lot. And we keep coming back to this theme of sometimes it’s the little things that
    1:27:58 illustrate stuff well. And for slaves, the one that always gets me is some slaves, and these would
    1:28:04 be sort of the more abused slaves. They would literally put little bronze collars on them with
    1:28:11 a tag that said, “Hi, my name is Felix. I’m the slave of so-and-so. I’ve run away. If you catch
    1:28:16 me, return me to the temple of so-and-so, and you’ll get a reward.” So it’s a dog tag, right,
    1:28:20 except this is a human being. And you can see these in museums. I mean, you can go to a museum
    1:28:26 today and see this little bronze collar with a tag on it that’s talking about a human being as if
    1:28:30 they’re this kind of animal that’s run away. And this is very telling too, we’re talking about Roman
    1:28:38 law. Under Roman law, technically, when a slave runs away, the crime that he’s committing is theft,
    1:28:46 because he’s stolen himself from his master. So again, it’s this very dehumanizing view of it.
    1:28:52 And just a reminder to people in America thinking about this, we have a certain view and picture
    1:28:59 to what slavery is. A reminder that all of human history, most of human history,
    1:29:09 has had slaves of all colors, of all religions. That’s within us to select a group of people,
    1:29:17 call them the other, use them as objects, abuse them. And I would say, as a person who believes
    1:29:23 the line between good and evil runs through the heart of every man, all of us, every person
    1:29:29 listening to this, is capable of being owner of a slave, if they’re put in the position,
    1:29:36 of capable of hating the other, of forming the other, of othering other people. And we
    1:29:42 should be very careful not to look ourselves in the mirror and remind ourselves that we’re human.
    1:29:47 It’s easy to kind of think, okay, well, there’s these slaves and slave owners through history,
    1:29:53 and I would have never been one of those. But just like as we would be farmers,
    1:29:59 we could be both, if we went back into history, we could be both slaves and slave owners. And
    1:30:04 all of those are humans. I mean, just to build on that, I’d say the othering of others is a
    1:30:13 morally corrosive thing to do. Yeah. So this fascinating transition between
    1:30:17 the Republic to the Empire. Can we talk about that? How does the Republic fall?
    1:30:26 Oh, boy. Okay, so the Roman Republic, on the one hand, is incredibly successful,
    1:30:32 right? In a short period of time, it’s expanded wildly, it’s conquered the Mediterranean world,
    1:30:39 it’s gained tons of wealth. The contradiction here is that Rome’s very success
    1:30:47 has made almost every group within Roman society deeply unhappy and boiling with resentment.
    1:30:53 So this is the contradiction. Enormous success on the surface, you end up with this boiling pot
    1:31:00 of resentment and unhappiness. So let’s break this down. Who’s unhappy? Well, the people fighting
    1:31:05 Rome’s wars, the common farmers who went off to fight, they joined the army, they went and fought,
    1:31:09 they’ve come back, they’ve seen Rome get wealthy, they’ve seen their generals get wealthy,
    1:31:13 they’ve conquered all these areas, all this money and stuff is flowing back to Rome,
    1:31:17 but when they’re discharged from the army, they don’t get that much. So they feel like
    1:31:22 I spent the best years of my life fighting for my country, I deserve a reward, I haven’t gotten it.
    1:31:27 So you have a lot of veterans who are now unemployed or underemployed, many of them have sold
    1:31:31 their small family farms when they went off to join the army, and now they don’t have them.
    1:31:39 So that group’s unhappy, the veterans. You have the aristocrats who on the surface,
    1:31:45 the ones who are doing well, they’re the politicians and the generals. But as time goes on,
    1:31:50 the ones who get the plum appointments, who get the good general ships starts coming from a smaller
    1:31:55 and smaller subset of the aristocrats. The Scipios and their friends start to dominate.
    1:32:01 So you end up where most of the aristocratic class is feeling, hey, I’m left out, I didn’t get what I
    1:32:05 deserved. What about the half citizens and the allies, the Italians who have fought for Rome
    1:32:11 who stayed loyal when Hannibal invaded? They didn’t go over to his side. Well, they feel
    1:32:16 rightfully, we stayed loyal to Rome, we fought for them, we deserve our reward, we should be full
    1:32:21 citizens. But the Romans are traditional, they’re conservative, they don’t like change, they don’t
    1:32:26 give them that. What about all the slaves? Well, they’ve conquered all these foreigners,
    1:32:31 they’ve sold them. Now many of them are working these plantations, big plantations owned by rich
    1:32:37 people that used to be little family farms. The slaves are obviously unhappy. So you end up with
    1:32:44 a society where it’s incredibly successful by about 100 BC. But almost every group that composes it
    1:32:49 feels like I haven’t shared in the benefits of what’s happened or I’ve been exploited by it.
    1:32:56 So they all end up intensely unhappy. And the next 100 year period from 133 to 31 BC
    1:33:02 is called the late Roman Republic. And it’s a time of nearly constant internal strife,
    1:33:10 ultimately culminating in multiple rounds of civil war. So Roman society literally breaks apart,
    1:33:17 turns on itself, and goes to war with itself over not equitably sharing the benefits
    1:33:23 of conquest and of empire. So it’s a lesson about not sharing the benefits of something
    1:33:28 in a society, but concentrating it in one little group. And the other thing that happens is,
    1:33:34 among the aristocrats, they start to get more and more ambitious. So in the past, there was a lot
    1:33:39 of ideology of the state is more important than the person. If you were a little Roman kid,
    1:33:44 you would have been told these stories of Roman heroes, and they’re all about self-sacrifice,
    1:33:50 putting the state before you about modesty, about these sort of values. Well, by the late Republic,
    1:33:58 you have a succession of strongmen. And it is a chain. So it goes Marius, Sully, Pompey, Julius
    1:34:06 Caesar, where each one pushes the boundaries of the Roman Republic a little bit, pushes at the
    1:34:11 structures of the institutions of the Republic, and they’re motivated by personal gain. They’re
    1:34:18 putting themselves above the state. So at the same time, you have lots of groups on happy in
    1:34:24 society, and you get these strongmen who are now undermining the institutions, chipping away at the
    1:34:30 things that have been shared, things holding the state together. And in the end, they just become
    1:34:36 so ambitious, they’re like, I don’t care about the state, I’m going to try and make myself ruler of
    1:34:42 Rome. So I mean, this has got to culminate obviously in Julius Caesar, who does succeed in making
    1:34:49 himself dictator for life of the Roman Republic, which is tantamount to king, and he gets assassinated
    1:34:56 for it. But he’s the endpoint of this progression of people who really undermine the institutions
    1:35:01 of the Republic through their own personal greed. So the resentment boils and boils and boils, and
    1:35:06 there’s this person that puts themselves– And they exploit it. They’re demagogues. They exploit it.
    1:35:13 But Caesar puts himself above the state, and that, I guess, the Roman people also hate.
    1:35:19 Well, I mean, it’s a love hate because Caesar is very successful at playing to the Roman people.
    1:35:25 So he becomes their hero where he says, I’ll be your champion against the state who doesn’t care
    1:35:30 about you. So Caesar will do things where he’ll put on big shows for the people,
    1:35:34 and it’s cynical. I mean, he’s doing this to further his own political power,
    1:35:42 but he’s presenting himself as a populist, in essence, even though he aspires to be a dictator,
    1:35:47 right? But it’s a way of winning the people’s support because that’s a tool for him in his
    1:35:52 struggle with other aristocrats. So a dictator in populist clothing.
    1:35:58 Yes. So when convenient. Other times he’ll play to the aristocracy.
    1:36:05 And when he gets assassinated, another civil war explodes?
    1:36:09 That’s an interesting moment because all these things have been leading up to Caesar,
    1:36:14 and it really is a chain of men. So it starts with this guy, Marius, who’s one of the first
    1:36:20 to start making armies loyal to him rather than to the state. That’s a step in the wrong
    1:36:24 direction, right? The army should be loyal to the state, not to an individual general. They
    1:36:28 shouldn’t look for him to reward. Marius kind of breaks that, makes a precedent.
    1:36:33 One of his protégés is a guy named Sulla. Sulla comes along and he ends up marching on
    1:36:38 Rome with his army and taking it over. And he says, well, I’m just doing it for the good of the
    1:36:43 state. But that’s another precedent. Now you’ve had someone attacking their own capital city,
    1:36:49 even if they say they’re doing it for the right reasons. Then Pompey comes along,
    1:36:54 and Pompey just breaks all kinds of things. He starts holding offices when he’s too young to do so.
    1:37:01 He raises personal armies from his own wealth. He disobeys commands. He manipulates commands.
    1:37:07 He does all kinds of stuff. But in the end, he sides with the Senate when sort of forced.
    1:37:12 And finally, Caesar comes along and Caesar just shamelessly, no, it’s about me. I’m going to push
    1:37:18 it. And he is the one who wins a civil war against the state. And Pompey takes over Rome and says,
    1:37:23 now I’m going to be dictator. And dictator is a traditional office in the Roman state,
    1:37:28 but dictators were limited to no more than six months in power. And Caesar says, well,
    1:37:36 I’ll be dictator for life, which of course is king. He gets killed for it. So Caesar succeeded in
    1:37:43 taking over the state as one man. But he couldn’t solve the problem. How do you rule Rome as one
    1:37:50 person and not get killed for looking like a king? That’s the dilemma, the riddle that Caesar
    1:37:57 leaves behind him. He did it. He seized power as one guy. But how do you stay alive? How do you
    1:38:01 come up with something that the people will accept? And Caesar did some other things, which are bad.
    1:38:07 He was arrogant. He didn’t even pretend that the Senate were his equals. He just kind of
    1:38:13 railroaded them around. He didn’t respect them. He named a month after himself, July, Julius.
    1:38:20 He did egotistical things. So that pissed people off. They didn’t like it. And when Caesar dies,
    1:38:26 it’s this interesting moment. The Republic’s sort of dead by then. You’re going to have a hard time
    1:38:31 reviving it. You’ve broken too many precedents. But there’s a power vacuum now. Caesar’s gone.
    1:38:36 What’s going to happen next? And you have a whole group of people who want to be the next Caesar.
    1:38:42 So the most obvious is Mark Antony, who is Caesar’s right-hand man. He’s a lieutenant. He’s a very
    1:38:46 good general. He’s very charismatic. Everybody kind of expects Mark Antony to just become the
    1:38:52 next Caesar. But there’s also another of Caesar’s lieutenants, a guy named Lepidus, sort of like
    1:38:57 Antony, but not quite as great as him. There’s the Senate itself, which wants to reassert its power,
    1:39:02 kind of become the dominant force in Rome again. There’s the assassins who killed Caesar,
    1:39:08 led by Brutus. And another guy, Cassius, they now want to seize control. And finally, there’s a
    1:39:14 really weird dark horse candidate to fill this power vacuum. And that’s Julius Caesar’s grand
    1:39:22 nephew, who at the time is a 17-year-old kid named Octavian. Who cares? He’s nobody. Absolutely nobody.
    1:39:31 But when Caesar’s will is opened after his death, so posthumously read, in his will, Caesar posthumously,
    1:39:39 and this is a little weird, posthumously adopts Octavian as his son. Now again, who cares? Antony
    1:39:43 gets the troops. Antony gets the money. The other people get everything. What does Octavian get?
    1:39:52 He gets to now rename himself Gaius Julius Caesar Octavianus. Who cares? Well, around the Mediterranean
    1:39:59 there’s about 12 legions full of hardened soldiers who are just kind of used to following a guy named
    1:40:06 Gaius Julius Caesar. And even though it’s not quite logical, this 18-year-old, he’s now 18-year-old
    1:40:13 kid inherits an army overnight. So he becomes a player in this game for power. And the next 30-40
    1:40:19 years is going to be those groups all vying with one another. There’s another candidate to Pompey’s
    1:40:23 son, Pompey with Caesar’s great rival. He has a couple sons and one of them, a guy named Sextus
    1:40:29 Pompey, basically becomes a warlord who seizes control of Sicily, one of the richest provinces,
    1:40:35 has a whole navy. He’s vying to be one of these successors too. So for the next 40 years it’s,
    1:40:41 as you said, another civil war to see which guy emerges. Is it going to be the Senate? Is it going
    1:40:44 to be the assassins? Is it going to be Antony? Is it going to be Lepidus? Is it going to be
    1:40:50 Sextus Pompey? Is it going to be Octavian? So now looking back at all that history, it just feels
    1:40:57 like history turns into so many interesting accidents because Octavian, later renamed Augustus,
    1:41:04 turned out to be actually, depends how you define good, but a good king/emperor
    1:41:13 different than Caesar in terms of humility, at least being able to play, not to piss off everybody.
    1:41:18 But it could have been so many other people. That could have been the fall of Rome.
    1:41:24 So it’s a fascinating little turn of history. Maybe Caesar saw something in this individual.
    1:41:28 It’s not an accident that he was in the will. Yeah. I mean,
    1:41:34 Caesar clearly did see something in him. And Octavian, I mean, to cut to the end,
    1:41:38 is the one who emerges from all that as the victor. We can talk about how he does it. But
    1:41:42 he’s the one who sort of ends up in the same position as Caesar. It takes him 30 years,
    1:41:48 but he defeats all the foes. He’s the sole guy. He now faces Caesar’s riddle. How do you rule
    1:41:55 Rome as one guy and not get killed? And Octavians, what makes him stand out, what makes him fascinating
    1:42:01 to me, is he wasn’t a good general. In fact, he was a terrible general. He lost almost every
    1:42:07 battle he commanded. But what he is, is he’s politically savvy and he’s very good at what
    1:42:15 today we would call manipulation of your public image and propaganda. So he basically defeats
    1:42:22 Mark Antony partially by waging a propaganda war against him. I mean, Antony starts out as a legitimate
    1:42:29 rival and there are two Romans vying for power. At the end of this war, propaganda war, Octavian has
    1:42:36 managed to portray Antony as a foreign aggressor allied with an enemy king or queen, in this case,
    1:42:41 Cleopatra, and who is an official enemy of the Roman state. And that’s all propaganda.
    1:42:46 So he takes what’s a civil war and makes it look like a war against a foreign enemy.
    1:42:54 And when Octavian becomes the sole ruler, he looks at what Caesar did wrong and he very carefully
    1:43:00 avoids the same mistakes. So the first thing is just how he lives his life. He’s very modest.
    1:43:04 He lives in an ordinary house like other aristocrats. He wears just a plain toga,
    1:43:10 nothing fancy. He’s respectful to the Senate. He treats them with respect. He eats simple foods.
    1:43:16 I mean, he’s someone who cared about the reality of power, not the external trappings. Clearly,
    1:43:21 there are some rulers who love, “I want to dress in fancy clothes. I want to be surrounded by gold
    1:43:25 everything. This is what makes me feel good.” Octavian’s the opposite. He doesn’t care about any
    1:43:30 of that. He wants real power. And then the other thing is, how is he going to rule Rome without
    1:43:37 looking like a king? And his solution to this is brilliant. He basically pretends to resign from
    1:43:43 all his public offices and not pretends. He does. So he holds no official office. But what he does
    1:43:51 is he manipulates so that the Roman Senate votes him the powers of the key Roman offices but not
    1:43:57 the office itself. So the highest office in the Roman state is the consul. Consuls have the power
    1:44:02 to command armies, do all sorts of things, run meetings with the Senate. Octavian gets voted
    1:44:07 the powers of a consul. So he can command armies, control meetings the Senate, do all this. But he’s
    1:44:13 not one of the two consuls elected for every year. So he’s just kind of floating or drifting
    1:44:19 off to the side of the Roman government. He gets the power of a tribune, which has all sorts of
    1:44:23 powers. He can veto anything he wants. But he’s not one of the tribunes elected for any one year.
    1:44:29 So the state, the Republic, appears to continue as it always has. Each year they hold the same
    1:44:34 elections. They elect the same number of people. Notionally, those people are in charge. But
    1:44:39 floating off to the side, you have this guy, Octavian, who has equivalent power not just to
    1:44:45 any one magistrate or official, but to all of them. So at any moment, he can just sort of pop up and
    1:44:51 say, “No, let’s not do this. Let’s do something else.” And he also keeps the army under his personal
    1:44:57 control. Isn’t this a fascinating story? What do you think is the psychology of Augustus of Octavian?
    1:45:00 Yeah, and he later changed his name to Augustus when he sort of becomes the first emperor. And
    1:45:02 the other thing he does is he hides his power behind all these different names.
    1:45:07 So, you know, these are called itself dictator for life, right? So everybody knew what he was.
    1:45:11 Octavian, we even have a source that talks about, says he wondered what to call himself.
    1:45:16 Do I call myself king? No, it can’t do that. Dictator for life. No way. Maybe I’ll call myself
    1:45:21 Romulus. That was the founder of him. No, no, Romulus was a king. And finally, a solution is
    1:45:29 he takes a bunch of titles, which are all ambiguous. And no one of them sounds that
    1:45:35 impressive, but collectively they are. So, for example, one of the titles he gets is Augustus,
    1:45:40 which is something tied to Roman religion, something that is Augustus in Latin has two
    1:45:47 possible meanings. One is, someone who is Augustus is very pious. They respect the gods deeply.
    1:45:52 Well, that sounds nice, doesn’t it? Well, on the other hand, an alternative meaning for Augustus
    1:45:59 is something that is itself divine. So, is he just a deeply religious pious person or is he
    1:46:06 himself sacred? There’s that ambiguity. He calls himself prinkeps, which means first citizen.
    1:46:12 Okay, what the hell does that mean? Am I a citizen just like everybody else? Or am I
    1:46:18 the first citizen, which means I’m superior to all the others. So, every title he takes has
    1:46:24 this weird ambiguity. He calls himself imperator, which is traditionally something that soldiers
    1:46:29 shout at a victorious general who’s won a battle. And now he takes this as a permanent title. So,
    1:46:34 it implies he’s a good general. And by the way, it’s from imperator that we get the word emperor,
    1:46:41 an empire. So, originally it’s a military title, a spontaneous military acclamation.
    1:46:45 It’s just fascinating that he figured out a way through public image, through branding,
    1:46:59 to gain power, maintain power, and still pacify the boiling turmoil that led to the civil wars.
    1:47:06 Well, two things I think work in his favor as well. One is he brings peace and stability.
    1:47:12 So, by this point, the Romans have experienced 100 years almost of civil war and chaos.
    1:47:18 So, at that point, your family, maybe you’ve had family members die in these wars or
    1:47:24 been prescribed, your property has been confiscated, who knows what. And here’s a guy who brings peace
    1:47:29 and stability and doesn’t seem oppressive or cruel or whatever. So, you’re like, okay, fine.
    1:47:34 I don’t care. Maybe he’s killed the republic, but at least we’re not dying in the streets anymore.
    1:47:40 So, that’s a big thing he does. And secondly, even though Augustus always seemed kind of sickly,
    1:47:48 his constitution, he lives forever. He rules for like 50 years. And by the time he dies,
    1:47:53 there’s no one literally almost left alive who can remember the republic.
    1:47:58 So, at that point, by the time he dies, this is the only system we know.
    1:48:05 That’s another just fascinating accident of history. Because as we talked about with Alexander
    1:48:13 the Great, who knows if he lived for another 40 years. If over time, the people that hate the
    1:48:21 new thing die off and then their sons come into power, that could be a very different story.
    1:48:24 Maybe we’ll be talking about the Greek Empire. Yeah, that’s a flute of fate, but it’s hugely
    1:48:29 influential in history. You mentioned Cleopatra. If we go back to that, what role did she play?
    1:48:37 Another fascinating human being. Cleopatra is interesting. I mean, she was a direct descendant
    1:48:44 of one of Alexander the Great’s generals, Ptolemy. When Alexander’s empire had broken up, Ptolemy,
    1:48:50 this general, had seized control of Egypt, made it his kingdom. And she, 10 generations later,
    1:48:57 is a descendant of this Macedonian general. So, Egypt had been ruled by, in essence, foreigners.
    1:49:03 These Macedonian dynasty of kings, and often they literally were ruled by the same dynasty,
    1:49:08 because they had a habit of marrying brothers to sisters. And Cleopatra is in fact originally
    1:49:17 married to her younger brother. But despite that, she seems to have intensely identified with Egypt.
    1:49:23 In fact, she seems to have been the first one of all these Ptolemy kings who actually bothered to
    1:49:30 learn to speak Egyptian. So, she seemed to really have cared about Egypt as well. And she was clearly
    1:49:38 very smart, very clever. And so, she’s living at a time during the late Republic, when Rome is having
    1:49:44 all these civil wars, and Egypt is really the last big independent kingdom left around the shores
    1:49:50 of the Mediterranean. Everything else has been conquered by Rome. So, she is in this very precarious
    1:49:55 position where clearly she wants to maintain Egyptian independence, but Rome is this juggernaut
    1:50:01 that’s rolling over everything. And she ends up meeting Julius Caesar. When Caesar comes to Egypt,
    1:50:06 chasing Pompey, his great rival, after he defeats Pompey, Pompey runs to Egypt thinking he’ll find
    1:50:11 sanctuary there. And the Egyptians kill him and chop off his head. And when Caesar lands, they
    1:50:17 hand it to him and say, “Here, have a present.” And she, of course, famously ends up having a
    1:50:23 love affair with Caesar. Was that a genuine love, or was she just sort of using this as a way to
    1:50:29 try and keep Egypt independent to give it some status? We don’t know. She does have several
    1:50:36 kids with Caesar. After Caesar is assassinated, and the Roman world is having another civil war
    1:50:41 between Octavian and Mark Antony. Mark Antony is basing himself in the east. He meets Cleopatra,
    1:50:47 and he has a big love affair with her. And this one seems pretty genuine. I mean, Antony and
    1:50:52 Cleopatra, there’s a lot of stories about them kind of partying together. They like to sort of a
    1:50:59 cosplay and dress up as different gods. So, Cleopatra would dress up as the goddess Isis,
    1:51:03 and Antony would dress up as the god Dionysus, and a leopard skin, and they’d have these big
    1:51:09 parties and stuff. And they end up together fighting against Octavian. And in the end,
    1:51:18 they’re defeated by Octavian. And Antony commits suicide. Cleopatra, there’s differing accounts
    1:51:23 of her death. She may have also killed herself, or she may actually have been killed by Octavian
    1:51:28 to just get her out of the way. But she’s an interesting figure, because she was clearly a
    1:51:35 very smart woman who managed to keep Egypt alive as an independent state. She seemed to have actually
    1:51:41 cared about Egypt and identified with it, and succeeded at a time with all these famous people,
    1:51:46 you know, in being a real kind of mover and shaker and a force in events.
    1:51:49 I mean, she’s probably one of the most influential women in human history.
    1:51:55 She’s certainly, again, she’s someone that her image is incredibly important.
    1:52:00 And I mean, one of the interesting things, you know, the whole question of gender in the Roman
    1:52:04 world, I mean, that this gets into Roman sources, but of course, it’s a heavily male-dominated
    1:52:10 history. And I mean, men and women did not have a quality in ancient Rome. It’s a male-dominated
    1:52:16 society. It’s misogynist in many ways. But what I’m constantly struck by is when you start, again,
    1:52:23 delving into the sources, you always hear, okay, well, there was this one woman who was a philosopher,
    1:52:27 and she’s an exception to the rule. And yeah, okay, she’s fine. And then you start looking to,
    1:52:33 oh, and there’s also 60 other female philosophers. Well, is that so much an exception anymore?
    1:52:37 Or, you know, Cleopatra is the one queen. She’s this strong queen. And then you’re looking, well,
    1:52:40 there was this other queen here. There was this queen here. There was this queen here who led
    1:52:45 armies. And here’s another one who led armies. And again, it’s like, well, are they exceptions to
    1:52:50 the rule, or is just the history that was written, which is written by men, a little bit selective
    1:52:55 in how it portrays them, because the sources are all these male elites who have very definite ideas
    1:53:01 about women. You know, the conventional notion has always been that, you know, business in the
    1:53:07 Roman Empire was a male field. Well, but then there’s this woman, Umaki and Pompeii, who actually had
    1:53:12 the largest building in Pompeii right on the forum named after her with a giant statue over it. And
    1:53:17 she was a patron to a bunch of the most important guilds in Pompeii. Okay, she’s the exception to
    1:53:22 the rule. Oh, but then there’s these other four women we have from Pompeii who also were patrons
    1:53:27 of guilds. And then there’s this woman, Plonkia Magna in this other place. And she was the most
    1:53:31 important patron in the town and put up all these statues. So at some point, when do you start to
    1:53:38 say, well, maybe women did play more of a role, but they just haven’t been recorded in the sources
    1:53:42 in the way that maybe they deserve to be? Yeah, that’s a fascinating question. Is it the bias of
    1:53:48 society? Or is it the bias of the historian? The bias of the society of the historians writing
    1:53:52 about it or the bias of the actual history? And the bias of the historians who have written
    1:53:57 history up to this point. I was just writing a lecture, which is about this woman, Musa,
    1:54:06 who is a crazy story. And she ties into Augustus, actually. Augustus, his biggest diplomatic triumph
    1:54:13 that he boasted about constantly was that about 50 years before him, the Romans had sent an expedition
    1:54:19 into Parthia, this neighboring kingdom led by Crassus. And they’d gotten wiped out. So it was
    1:54:25 this big disaster, military disaster. And the standards of the Roman legions, the eagles that
    1:54:30 each Roman legion carried had been captured by the Parthians. And this is the most humiliating
    1:54:36 thing that can happen to a Roman legion, to have its eagles captured. And Augustus desperately
    1:54:40 wanted to negotiate with the Parthians to get these eagles returned. Okay, this was his big
    1:54:46 diplomatic thing. So he was constantly sending these embassies to Parthia. On one of these embassies,
    1:54:53 he sent along as a gift to the Parthian king, a slave woman named Musa. Musa seems to have
    1:54:58 pleased the king of Parthia because she becomes one of his concubines. And then she gives birth to
    1:55:07 a son by the king. And eventually, she becomes upgraded to the level of wife. And Musa eventually
    1:55:18 murders the Parthian king, arranges it so that her son becomes the king of Parthia. And she’s
    1:55:25 really ruling the whole empire behind the scenes as his mother. So this is a literal rags to riches
    1:55:32 story of a slave, someone who starts out as slave and becomes the queen of an empire almost as large
    1:55:40 and powerful as Rome. But yet, how often do we hear about Musa? And when you look in traditional
    1:55:44 histories of Roman Parthian relations, and I wouldn’t look at this because I was just writing
    1:55:49 this lecture, most of those histories didn’t even mention her. They just talked about her son,
    1:55:53 like he had just come out of nowhere and become the new heir to the Parthian throne,
    1:56:00 when it was all her doing clearly. Now, that’s selective editing of history by historians
    1:56:06 to downplay the role that this woman played. And there’s a lot of examples like that.
    1:56:08 That’s fascinating.
    1:56:11 She got overthrown after a few years. There was a revolution against her and we don’t know what
    1:56:17 happened to her then. But she’s a really interesting figure. Oh, and by the way, Augustus didn’t
    1:56:22 negotiate the return of the Parthian standards and got them back. And he was so proud of this,
    1:56:26 that this is what he constantly boasted about. And the most famous statue of Augustus, the
    1:56:32 Augustus from Prima Porta, which is in the Vatican today, he’s wearing a breastplate and
    1:56:37 on the breastplate right in the middle of the stomach is a Parthian handing over a golden eagle,
    1:56:41 legionary standard to a Roman. So this is what Augustus thought of as his greatest achievement.
    1:56:47 And that embassy that arranged that was the one that sent Musa to Parthia.
    1:56:55 So Augustus marks the start of the Roman Empire. Yep. You’ve written that Octavian Augustus would
    1:57:02 become Rome’s first emperor and the political system that he created would endure for the next
    1:57:07 half a millennium. This system would become the template for countless later empires
    1:57:13 up through the present day. And he would become the model emperor against whom all subsequent ones
    1:57:18 would be measured. The culture and history of the Mediterranean basin, the Western world,
    1:57:24 and even global history itself were all profoundly shaped and influenced by the actions and legacy
    1:57:30 of Octavian. He was the founder of the Roman Empire. And we still live today in the world that he
    1:57:38 created. So on the political side of things, and maybe beyond, what is the political system that
    1:57:45 he created? Well, I mean, I think Octavian/Augustus is the same guy, is one of the most influential
    1:57:50 people in history because he did found the Roman Empire. So he’s the one who oversaw this transition
    1:57:56 from Republic to Empire. And he sets the template which every future emperor follows. So just in
    1:58:01 the most obvious way for the next either 500 or 1500 years, depending how long you think the
    1:58:07 Roman Empire lasted for, everyone is trying to be Augustus. They all take on the same titles.
    1:58:13 Every Roman emperor after him is Caesar Augustus, you know, Imperato or Potter Potray, all these
    1:58:20 titles he has, they take too. And so he’s hugely influential for Western civilization, all this.
    1:58:26 But beyond just that literal thing, which is already 500 years, 1500 years, he becomes the
    1:58:35 paradigm of the good ruler. So of an absolute ruler who is nevertheless sort of just does good
    1:58:41 things, builds public works, is popular. So if we jump ahead, let’s say, to the Middle Ages,
    1:58:45 the most significant ruler of the early Middle Ages is Charlemagne, right? He’s the guy who
    1:58:51 unites most of Europe. He becomes the paradigm for all medieval kings after him. Well, what is the
    1:58:57 title that the pope gives to Charlemagne? Because there’s this famous moment when the pope acknowledges
    1:59:03 Charlemagne as the preeminent European king and crowns him on Christmas Day of the year 800.
    1:59:09 And the title that the pope gives to Charlemagne is Charles, that’s Charlemagne, Augustus,
    1:59:18 Emperor of the Romans. He’s giving him the title of Augustus, because that’s the nicest thing he
    1:59:23 can think of to say to Charlemagne is to say, “You’re the new Augustus, you’re Emperor of the Romans.”
    1:59:30 So that image is hugely powerful. And that persists on and on. I mean, even the
    1:59:38 literal names of most rulers afterwards come from this. In Russia, the Tsars are Caesars.
    1:59:44 That’s where Tsar comes from. Prince comes from Princaps, first citizen, one of the titles.
    1:59:51 Emperor comes from Imperator, one of the titles of Augustus. When Napoleon becomes emperor,
    1:59:56 what does he call himself? First consul, which is kind of like Princaps. And then he calls himself
    2:00:03 Emperor. I mean, everybody wants to be this kind of ruler. So he’s the paradigm of this for the rest
    2:00:09 of history. And you can see that is both a positive and a negative legacy. It’s kind of like Alexander.
    2:00:14 I mean, everybody wants to be the next Alexander. Now, nobody does become the next Alexander.
    2:00:19 Nobody’s as successful as him, but a lot of people try. And you can see that either is, oh,
    2:00:26 inspirational or awful, because lots of people killed lots of other people and started lots of
    2:00:33 wars trying to be the next Alexander. At least Augustus has this notion of good rulership,
    2:00:38 that you’re not just a great powerful person, but you’re a good ruler somehow.
    2:00:46 Can you speak to the kind of political system he created? So how did he consolidate power as
    2:00:52 he spoke to a bit already? And what role did the Senate now play? How were the laws,
    2:00:57 who was the executive, how was power allocated? And so on.
    2:01:06 Yeah. So once the empire begins, let’s say 27 BC, so in 31 BC, Octavian defeats Antony at the
    2:01:11 Battle of Actium. So that’s kind of the moment he becomes the sole ruler. And then in 27 BC,
    2:01:16 a couple of years later, he settles the Roman Republic, as it’s referred to, which is basically
    2:01:23 sets up his system. And in this system, on the surface, it all looks the same. You still have a
    2:01:29 Senate. Each year, there’s elections, all the Roman citizens vote, they elect magistrates who
    2:01:35 notionally are in charge of Rome. But as I mentioned, off to the side, you now have this figure of
    2:01:42 Augustus, who sort of controls everything behind the scenes. And that continues. So this political
    2:01:49 system he establishes continues. And in reality, I would say Augustus at that point is again a king.
    2:01:56 It really is one man controlling the state, even if notionally, it’s still continuing as a Republic.
    2:02:02 They are electing magistrates, but the magistrates only do what the emperor tells them, right?
    2:02:07 But it’s this sort of formal versus informal power. The formal structure is a Republic,
    2:02:14 the way things really work informally is it’s a monarchy. Now, if you asked Augustus,
    2:02:18 what did he do? Did you become a king? He said, and he says this explicitly,
    2:02:25 no, no, no. What I did is I refounded the Roman Republic. That’s how he phrases it.
    2:02:29 And this guy’s good at framing. He’s so good at propaganda. I’ll give you one more example
    2:02:34 that I love. Augustus actually writes his own autobiography, which is very rare and survives.
    2:02:39 So here we have the autobiography of one of the pivotal figures in history. And if you had
    2:02:45 conquered the world, let’s say, starting at the age of 18, what would you call your autobiography?
    2:02:50 It’d be something like, you know, how I conquered the world, right? Augustus calls his “The Race
    2:02:56 Guest Eye,” which the best sort of literal translation is “Stuff I Did.” I mean, it’s
    2:03:01 the most modest title for someone who could have given the most grandiose title. And the first
    2:03:07 line of it is, you know, at the age of 18, when the liberty of the Republic was oppressed by a
    2:03:14 faction, I defended it. Now, the way I might phrase that sense is, at the age of 18, I fought
    2:03:19 a civil war against another Roman and conquered the Roman state. But no, he defended the liberty
    2:03:26 of the Republic when it was oppressed by the tyranny of a faction. That’s propaganda. And it works.
    2:03:33 It is propaganda, but is there a degree to which he also lived it, that kind of humility,
    2:03:38 establishing that humility is a standard of the way government operates? So it’s not
    2:03:43 like a literal direct balance of power, but it’s sort of a cultural balance of power,
    2:03:47 where the emperor is not supposed to be a bully and a dictator.
    2:03:53 I would really like to know what Romans of his time thought. Like, if you were alive at that
    2:03:59 moment, would you honestly believe, Oh, okay, we’ve got this guy Augustus, but he’s brought
    2:04:03 peace. He’s just kind of keeping in charge for a while till things settle down. We’ve just had 100
    2:04:09 years of civil war. I think we still have a Republic. Or would you say, Yeah, we have a king now.
    2:04:16 And I don’t know what the answer to that is. I will tell you that it takes 200 years before we
    2:04:25 have the first Roman source that bluntly calls Augustus a king. So 200 years, it takes the Romans
    2:04:31 200 years to admit to themselves. And that’s a guy who comes along 200 years later and says,
    2:04:37 Hey, Augustus, he looks like a king. He acts like a king. Let’s just call him a king, because he had
    2:04:43 every aspect of a king except the paltry title. Maybe I’m buying his propaganda and maybe I’m
    2:04:49 a sucker for humility, but I suspect that the Romans bought it. And I also suspect he himself
    2:04:56 believed it. I mean, there is such thing as good kings, right? There’s kings that understand
    2:05:03 the downside, the dark side of absolute power and can wield that power properly.
    2:05:07 And, you know, to give sort of both sides here, Augustus wasn’t all nice. I mean,
    2:05:12 there were moments where he was extremely cruel. So early in his career, when he’s still fighting,
    2:05:17 when he’s for power, he goes all in on prescriptions, which is where he and Auntie and
    2:05:23 other people basically post lists of their enemies and say it’s legal for anyone to kill
    2:05:29 these people. And so hundreds are massacred there, including Cicero, the great order is
    2:05:34 prescribed and killed. There’s moments when he’s really cruel, one slave once gets him angry,
    2:05:38 and he has him tortured in a particularly sort of cruel manner. So I mean, on the one hand,
    2:05:43 he had this clemency. On the other hand, he could be really hard-nosed and hard-edged. I think he
    2:05:50 was a very calculating person. So the thing I would love to know is what he was actually like
    2:05:55 behind the mask. Yes. I mean, that to me is one of those, if you could invite a historical person
    2:05:59 to dinner or whatever, I want to know what the real Augustus was, what he really thought he was
    2:06:05 doing, because he’s an enigma. And he has this great moment when he dies, right? What’s his dying
    2:06:12 lines on his deathbed? He says, “If I’ve played my part well, dismiss me from the stage with applause.”
    2:06:19 So he’s seeing himself as an actor, that his whole life was acting this role, which is again all
    2:06:23 that manipulation and public image. He was brilliant at that. But who’s the real guy?
    2:06:29 What was behind that image? And by the way, as long as we’re talking about brutality,
    2:06:35 I think you’ve mentioned in a few places that there’s a lot of brutality going on at the time.
    2:06:43 Caesar just killing very large numbers of people brutally.
    2:06:50 I mean, Caesar, his campaigns in Gaul are interesting, because for a long time, they
    2:06:55 were held up as, “Oh, genius general, look at the amazing things he did.” But another way to view
    2:07:00 it is he provoked and he truly provoked a war with people who were not that interested in fighting
    2:07:06 Rome and just repeatedly attacked different tribes for the sole purpose of building up his
    2:07:14 career, his prestige, his status, gaining territory, making himself wealthier. And he basically
    2:07:21 conquers all of modern France and Belgium and some of Switzerland. So this is a big chunk of Europe
    2:07:26 gets conquered, hundreds of thousands of people killed, hundreds of thousands of people enslaved
    2:07:32 to further one guy’s career. I mean, if you wanted, could call Caesar a war criminal. And I
    2:07:38 think that wouldn’t be unfair. But on the other hand, some people see him as a great hero. I mean,
    2:07:44 to talk about history and its reception, it’s quite interesting to see how Caesar has been viewed
    2:07:51 by different generations. So at different points in time, the sort of received wisdom on Caesar
    2:07:57 is very different. So back in the, let’s say the 1920s or ’30s, there were a number of scholarly
    2:08:04 things written which kind of looked at Caesar as an admirable figure. He’s a strong man who knows
    2:08:10 what Rome needed and was going to give it to them. And of course, that’s the era when fascism was
    2:08:15 kind of trendy and was seen as a positive thing. And then you get Hitler in World War II and all
    2:08:19 of a sudden fascism’s not so favored anymore. And then in that post-war generation, all of a
    2:08:26 sudden Caesar’s terrible. He’s a dictator. He’s destroying the Republic. So often histories
    2:08:30 that are written tell you a lot more about the time they’re written than they do about the
    2:08:37 subject they’re written about. Do we know what Hitler or Stalin think about the Roman Empire?
    2:08:43 I mean, certainly they borrow a lot of the trappings. I mean, Nazi Germany borrows a lot
    2:08:49 of iconography from ancient Rome. They carried around little military standards with eagles
    2:08:54 on them, just like the Romans. But then everybody does that. I mean, the US has eagles as their
    2:09:01 standards. Mussolini had them. Napoleon had eagle standards for his military. So a lot of people
    2:09:09 like that imagery. You mentioned Cicero. He’s a fascinating figure on the topic of Roman oratory.
    2:09:16 Who was Cicero? Cicero was a new man. So he’s someone who didn’t have famous ancestors.
    2:09:23 So he was a disadvantage. And I think Cicero is really interesting for a couple reasons. One is,
    2:09:28 he wrote an incredible amount. I think we have almost more words from Cicero than any other
    2:09:33 author that survived. And it’s all kinds of stuff. It’s philosophical treatises. It’s books about
    2:09:39 how to be a good public speaker. He published volume after volume of his personal letters to
    2:09:45 his friends. He published these things. There’s tons of stuff from him. And secondly, he’s interesting
    2:09:50 because he lived at this incredibly important time in the late republic when things were falling
    2:09:55 apart. But he seems to have been born with none of the natural advantages that all these other
    2:10:02 people had. So he was a lousy general. He didn’t come from a wealthy family. He didn’t come from
    2:10:08 a famous aristocratic family. He didn’t have a lot of these advantages. But yet he ended up being
    2:10:13 right at the center of things, rose to the highest elected office in the Roman state
    2:10:19 on the basis of one skill. And that was his ability with words, his ability to get up in front of a
    2:10:25 crowd and persuade them of what he wanted them to believe. And oratory, public speaking was
    2:10:31 absolutely central to life at Rome. There were just all these events where people had to get up
    2:10:40 and give speeches. So in courtrooms, at funerals, in the senate, to the people of Rome, at games,
    2:10:45 I mean, just constantly there are these opportunities for giving speeches. So if you were good at this,
    2:10:54 that was a huge advantage in your political career. And Cicero was the best. He was arguably the
    2:11:00 best public speaker of all time, some people claim. And he lived right in this era and he parlayed
    2:11:05 that skill with words into this very successful political career. He was one of the guys involved
    2:11:10 with all this stuff with Caesar and Pompey and all the other things going on, Octavian, Marc Antony.
    2:11:14 And you’ve written, which is fascinating. It’s fascinating when the echoes of people
    2:11:22 from a distant past are seen today. The same stuff is seen today. Not just like some of the
    2:11:28 beautiful legal stuff that we’ve been talking about, but the tricks, the, you know, let’s say the
    2:11:34 shitty stuff we see in politics. So many of the rhetorical tricks you wrote, such as mudslinging,
    2:11:39 exaggeration, guilt by association at hominem attacks, name calling, fear mongering, usurances,
    2:11:44 them, rhyme, and so on and so forth. So I’m guessing it worked given that we still have those today.
    2:11:49 Yeah. I mean, one of the things Cicero did is he wrote at least three of these sort of handbooks
    2:11:54 about how to be a good public speaker. So we know a lot about that. We have his own speeches that
    2:11:58 survive. And then we have later people after Cicero who wrote about what Cicero did too. So we know
    2:12:06 a lot about what he did. And the key to Cicero’s whole enterprise about persuading an audience,
    2:12:12 let’s say either it is speech to the people or in the courtroom. Is Cicero believed that people
    2:12:20 are fundamentally ruled by emotion? So if you can touch their emotions, all sorts of other things
    2:12:27 become less important. If you can get a jury emotionally worked up and fear, anger, or particularly
    2:12:33 powerful there, then the facts might not matter. The truth might not matter. Evidence might not
    2:12:42 matter. Reason might not matter. Emotion is the key to everything. So Cicero used what I would
    2:12:49 arguably call a lot of tricks to get his audiences emotionally riled up. And you can just go through
    2:12:56 these and they’re all the stuff you were saying, name calling, mud slinging, us versus them arguments,
    2:13:03 ad hominem attacks. Incredibly sophisticated. All the stuff that we think of today as very
    2:13:10 sophisticated techniques for propaganda and persuasion, it’s not new. People aren’t coming
    2:13:15 up with that much that’s new outside the realm of technology. Human nature is the same. Cicero
    2:13:20 understood human psychology. He knew how to play on people. He knew how to play on their emotions.
    2:13:26 And he would do just, I want to say hilarious, but they’re sort of depressingly hilarious things,
    2:13:32 like he thought it’s important to use props. So he said, people are visual. They will respond
    2:13:38 emotionally to visual things in a way that just words alone won’t work. So he says, in order,
    2:13:45 it’s just like an actor. And like an actor, he has to prepare his stage and use props and things as
    2:13:52 visual cues to stir up the audience. So for example, once he was defending a man in a court case who
    2:13:59 had just had a new baby born to him, and Cicero literally delivered the defensoration for this
    2:14:05 guy while cradling his newborn son in his arms. And you can imagine, oh, cute little baby jury,
    2:14:09 how could you find him guilty and leave this cute baby without a father to take care of him?
    2:14:15 Another time he was defending a guy who had a photogenic son, kind of a young boy. And Cicero
    2:14:20 literally propped up the kid behind him while he was giving the speech and again said, look at his
    2:14:25 eyes brimming with tears, thinking about his father being punished. How could you leave this
    2:14:31 wonderful boy without a father to care for him? Another time someone didn’t have photogenic kids,
    2:14:35 so he propped up his old parents in the courtroom and said, look at this nice old couple. You won’t
    2:14:42 want to take their son away. That kind of stuff. I mean, it’s manipulative. Cicero, by the way,
    2:14:47 should say, also had philosophical beliefs about defending the republic and such. But he wasn’t
    2:14:55 above using these things. So even though he may have had altruistic or high notions of what he
    2:15:00 was doing, he also wasn’t above using these kind of rhetorical tricks. And also you mentioned to
    2:15:08 me that you studied the gestures they used. This is one of those on the theme of extremely
    2:15:15 interesting details of life. This was actually my dissertation and it was my first book as well.
    2:15:20 That’s amazing. Again, I tell you, I like practical stuff. And this all started with,
    2:15:25 I kept reading about people like Cicero giving speeches in ancient Rome, lots of speeches.
    2:15:30 And they would give a speech in the forum with 10, 20,000 people. And the thought occurred to me,
    2:15:36 well, in ancient Rome, you don’t have microphones. You don’t have loudspeakers. So how does someone
    2:15:43 give a speech outdoors in a windy place, not acoustically sound to 20,000 people? They just
    2:15:48 can’t hear you. And the answer, part of the answer turns out, well, part of it’s oratorical training.
    2:15:53 You learn how to project your voice. But some of it too is that the Romans actually had this system
    2:16:00 of gestures that orders like Cicero would use to accompany their speeches. And what I ended up doing
    2:16:07 is combining two types of evidence again. So I looked at the rhetorical handbooks like Cicero’s.
    2:16:12 And also there’s this guy, Quintilian, who lived about 100 years after Cicero, who wrote this long
    2:16:18 thing called the Institutio Oratoria, which has a description of all types of oratorical stuff,
    2:16:22 including about 40 pages on gestures. So he actually says when you put your fingers like this,
    2:16:28 it means such and such. And it turns out Roman orders had a system of sign language that they
    2:16:34 would use to augment their speeches. But here’s the fun part. It wasn’t like modern American
    2:16:41 sign language where a gesture means the same thing as a word. Instead, and this goes back to Cicero,
    2:16:48 a certain gesture would indicate a certain emotion that you were meant to feel when you heard the
    2:16:56 words. So it’s like your body is adding an emotional gloss to your speech. You’re saying words, and
    2:17:01 then you’re indicating how you think those words should make you feel. And even more fun, the Romans
    2:17:08 believed that if I make certain hand gestures, you will almost involuntarily feel certain emotions.
    2:17:13 So if you’re skilled, you can manipulate your audience by playing on their emotions.
    2:17:19 And this might sound weird or improbable, but the metaphor that Cicero himself uses is he says,
    2:17:24 think about music. Everybody knows that certain musical tones will make you feel a certain way.
    2:17:30 So think of movies today. In a horror movie, they’re going to play strident tense music. In a
    2:17:35 romantic scene, you’re going to have strings, and it’ll make you feel a certain way. When you hear
    2:17:42 the jaws theme, you feel tense, right? Cicero said the orator’s body is like a liar, a liar is a
    2:17:47 musical instrument, and you have to learn to play on your own body as a musical instrument to affect
    2:17:52 the emotions of your audience. I think he might be onto something, especially given how central
    2:17:57 public speaking was in Roman culture. And a lot of the Roman oratorical gestures, like I could
    2:18:02 probably do some, and you could probably guess what emotion they’re meant to be. So for example,
    2:18:08 there’s one where you hold up your hands to the side and kind of push like this. So this is the
    2:18:13 gesture, and what that means is kind of mild aversion. I don’t like something. Now, if I couple
    2:18:19 this with turning my face to the side, that, so pushing off to one side, turning my face away,
    2:18:23 it’s a stronger version. That’s like fear or something. If I clench my fist and press it to
    2:18:29 my chest, that’s anger or grief. If I slap my thigh, again, that’s an indication of anger.
    2:18:34 So a lot of these make sense. I mean, they’re kind of natural gestures. Now, some are really
    2:18:40 weird and artificial. I mean, one of my favorite of these is if you like hold your hand up open,
    2:18:46 and then curl the fingers in one by one, and then flip it out. So this sort of thing, that to the
    2:18:54 Romans meant wonder, which you sort of see. But again, if you’ve been raised in a societal context
    2:19:00 where you’re used to the notion that this gesture means this emotion, when someone does it, you’re
    2:19:05 probably going to feel that emotion. It’s like memes today. If it becomes viral, you know what
    2:19:10 it’s supposed to mean, and has that effect, and has power. I mean, and it’s actually interesting
    2:19:16 that we don’t use gestures as much in modern day. Well, I mean, for me, I just love analyzing
    2:19:22 modern political figures in terms of their body language, because how you deliver a speech
    2:19:29 is often more important than what you say. In fact, in the ancient world, the most famous Greek
    2:19:34 order was a guy named Demosthenes. And once a guy came up to Demosthenes and said, Demosthenes,
    2:19:40 tell me, what are the three most important things in giving a speech? And Demosthenes said, well,
    2:19:48 they are delivery, delivery, and delivery. That even the most brilliant speech, if accompanied by
    2:19:54 a boring delivery, is going to be less effective than a terrible speech given in an engaging and
    2:20:01 exciting or funny way. Speaking of modern day gestures, what do you think of Donald Trump,
    2:20:07 who has these very unique gestures? I don’t know to degrade to his true, but he kind of
    2:20:11 uses these handshakes when he pulls people in, that kind of stuff. What do you mean by that?
    2:20:18 Trump gesticulates a lot, but it’s a fairly narrow set of gestures. I mean, if you watch him
    2:20:25 for a bit, he kind of has the same small set of gestures. And they’re not, honestly, they’re not
    2:20:31 natural in that they’re not kind of illustrating what he’s saying. It’s more just punctuation points.
    2:20:35 I think of his as more kind of these punctuation points for just going along with what he’s saying.
    2:20:42 There are speakers who truly can use their hands and arms and faces creatively,
    2:20:49 and you watch them, and it’s really enhancing the speech. I mean, just historically, Martin Luther
    2:20:53 King, he’s famous for a lot of good speeches, content. He was a good gesticulator, too.
    2:21:00 He knew how to use his body. On the other hand, Adolf Hitler was a phenomenal gesticulator.
    2:21:05 If you watch some of his speeches, even just turn off the sound and watch them,
    2:21:10 he’s doing all kinds of stuff, and he’s really emphasizing his points in a very creative way.
    2:21:16 This is what’s fascinating about oratory and public speaking is it’s this two-edged sword.
    2:21:22 You can use these techniques for good, or you can absolutely use them for evil.
    2:21:30 So the very same techniques in the hands of MLK, you say, “This is wonderful. This is fantastic.”
    2:21:36 In the hands of Hitler, you say, “This is awful.” Look, he’s persuading a nation to commit atrocities.
    2:21:40 I encourage people to watch the speeches of Hitler, the oratory skill there,
    2:21:48 to be able to channel the resentment and the frustration of a people
    2:21:56 and control it and direct it any direction he wants through speaking alone.
    2:22:02 It’s the visual embodiment of the words where he’s talking about Weimar Germany being taken
    2:22:06 advantage of, supposedly, and all this stuff. You’re right. He’s channeling the resentment
    2:22:13 of the people and using that to his personal advantage and for cynical, evil really purposes.
    2:22:19 But oratory is like that. The question I always end up asking my students is,
    2:22:24 after studying Cicero and all these techniques, I say, “Okay, this is great oratory,
    2:22:28 but do you like this? Is this good that this works on human beings?”
    2:22:33 I remember knowing Chomsky once was asked, “Why are you speaking such a monotone way?”
    2:22:39 And he said, “Well, I want the truth of my statement, the contents of my statement to speak,
    2:22:46 that I don’t want you to get deluded by me because I’m such a charismatic and eloquent speaker.
    2:22:50 The more monotone I speak, the more you will listen to the content of the words.”
    2:22:53 Right. I want you just focusing on the content and not being distracted.
    2:22:58 I’ll tell you also with Cicero, one of the things that he and other people who write
    2:23:04 about Roman oratory do is to say, “And you can do this stuff badly,” in which case it backfires
    2:23:09 horribly. So you can have people who attempt to gesticulate. Again, modern politicians,
    2:23:13 you’ll see this sometime where they feel like, “I’m supposed to be making hand gestures,
    2:23:19 and they’re terrible at it,” and it undercuts it. And Cicero and Quintini get some very amusing
    2:23:23 examples from ancient Rome. So like he says, there was this one guy who, when he spoke,
    2:23:27 looked like he was trying to swat away flies because there were just these awkward gestures,
    2:23:32 or another who looked like he was trying to balance in a boat in choppy seas.
    2:23:36 And my favorite is there was one orator who supposedly was prone to making,
    2:23:44 I guess, kind of languid supple motions. And so they actually named a dance after this guy,
    2:23:50 and his name was Tidius. And so Romans could do the Tidius, which is this dance that was
    2:23:57 imitating this orator who had these kind of comically bad gesticulation. So not enough
    2:24:03 gesticulation is a problem. Too much gesticulation is a problem. You have to hit the sweet spot.
    2:24:08 It has to seem natural. It has to seem varied. It has to conform to the meaning of the words,
    2:24:14 not distract from it. Yeah, natural to your authentic, to who you are, which is when people
    2:24:18 try to copy the gestures of another person, it usually doesn’t go well. You have to kind of,
    2:24:22 yeah, you have to interpret, integrate into your own personality and so on.
    2:24:29 But gestures is really fun. It’s fascinating. I enjoyed my dissertation a lot doing that,
    2:24:32 because what I was trying to do there was to literally reconstruct them,
    2:24:36 so to say, what were the actual gestures. And I did that by comparing the literary accounts of
    2:24:40 the handbooks with, again, Roman art, looking at statues of Romans and things and just trying to
    2:24:44 say, okay, what were some of the gestures they actually used here?
    2:24:50 And in that way, the people from that time come to life in your mind, in your work,
    2:24:52 which is fascinating. If someone gets this pragmatic thing,
    2:24:58 I want to know, okay, how does this work? Could we talk about the role of religion
    2:25:06 in the Roman Empire? What’s the story there? I mean, religion’s interesting because,
    2:25:15 in my mind, the rise to dominance in a lot of the world of monotheistic religions is one of the
    2:25:21 huge sort of turning points, because it’s just such a different mentality. I mean, it’s very,
    2:25:28 very different where you say, there’s one God and it’s my God versus, okay, I believe in this God,
    2:25:34 but there’s an infinite number of legitimate gods. And nowadays, particularly in the West,
    2:25:42 we tend to view the monotheistic perspective as the norm. But for more than half of human history,
    2:25:49 it was not. It used to be the notion in a lot of Roman history up until about 300 AD,
    2:25:55 the idea was, well, there’s just a ton of gods floating around. And maybe you worship that one
    2:25:59 and I worship these two that I like and the guy across the street worships the oak tree in his
    2:26:06 backyard and it’s all good. They’re all legitimate things versus, oh, no, no, no. Now there is one
    2:26:12 God and only one God that’s the correct answer. And as soon as you do that, religion becomes
    2:26:18 foregrounded in your decision-making much more. I mean, the Romans had religion, but it wasn’t
    2:26:24 really driving anything, if you know what I mean. It was auxiliary to things rather than a central
    2:26:30 force. So for a lot of Roman history, you had a standard kind of, you know, I guess, pagan
    2:26:35 polytheism where there’s a bunch of gods, there’s certain gods who are associated with the Roman
    2:26:43 state. And there would be prayer said to those gods on behalf of the Roman state. But it wasn’t
    2:26:48 really, you know, you weren’t trying to execute the will of Zeus or something or Jupiter or Mars
    2:26:53 or anybody else. And in your private life, it was the same thing. You might ask certain gods for
    2:26:59 help, but it wasn’t as much of a dominant thing in your own existence. So I think that’s a real
    2:27:05 transition point where religion started to become so foregrounded. And as soon as you get the monotheistic
    2:27:11 religions, Judaism, Christianity, and Islam in particular, it really shifts how people start
    2:27:17 to think about themselves and relationship to the world around them. So Jesus was born during the
    2:27:23 rule of Emperor Augustus. Which is kind of neat that, you know, really influential people in the
    2:27:31 realm of political events and religious events coexisted. What are the odds? I mean, yeah,
    2:27:35 there’s a certain moments in history where just a lot of interesting, powerful people come together
    2:27:44 and make history. And he was crucified under Emperor Tiberius rule. Why were the ideas of Jesus
    2:27:53 seen as a threat by the Emperor? The thing that causes conflicts between the Romans and Christians
    2:28:01 is a little bit strange. It’s all with this where the Romans had a tradition of, on the Emperor’s
    2:28:07 birthday, sort of saying a prayer, basically wishing him good luck. But technically, it’s in the form
    2:28:13 of sacrificing to that part of the Emperor that might become divine after his death. So to the
    2:28:19 Romans, this is the equivalent of a patriotism act saying, you know, the Pledge of Allegiance
    2:28:23 or something to the country. But of course, to Christians, this is worshiping another God.
    2:28:28 And I think there’s almost a failure of communication here that the Romans just,
    2:28:32 at least initially, didn’t quite understand this is really problematic for these people,
    2:28:36 because they’re coming from a polytheistic perspective where, yeah, everybody has different
    2:28:44 gods, so what? This isn’t a religious problem. This is a political one that why won’t you wish,
    2:28:47 you know, send good wishes to the Emperor? If you’re a loyal Roman, this is something you
    2:28:53 should want to do. And many of the early Christians, I think, would have been fine with that. But it
    2:29:00 took the form of what they were asked to be do was to basically worship another God. And that
    2:29:06 was the sticking point. And this is where I think movies have kind of warped some of our images of
    2:29:13 Roman history that Hollywood loves to depict very early Christians. And I’m talking like first 200
    2:29:20 years here after the Ministry of Christ as, you know, a group that all the Romans were obsessed
    2:29:25 with, that they were constantly trying to persecute and all this. And honestly, I think the Romans at
    2:29:30 that point were more just sort of indifferent or didn’t know what was going on. And if you look at
    2:29:34 some of the primary sources at that time, I mean, there’s this very famous letter by a guy named
    2:29:41 Pliny, who was a Roman governor of a province in the east. And he has the habit of writing letters
    2:29:47 to the Roman emperor at the time who was Trajan every time he had a problem with being governor.
    2:29:52 And so this is great. This is the two highest governmental officials in the Roman world,
    2:29:55 sort of hammering out policy between them, right? The emperor and one of his governors.
    2:30:03 And so this is about 100 years, 100 AD about. And Pliny says, “Hey, emperor, I had this issue.
    2:30:07 I had these people come before me called Christians. I don’t quite know what to do with them. What
    2:30:12 should my policy be?” And here’s what I know about them. And what he knows is almost nothing. I mean,
    2:30:17 it’s this almost comic like garbling. And, you know, they have this weird thing where they get
    2:30:23 together on some day of the week, and they sort of swear oaths to one another not to do bad stuff,
    2:30:28 which is, of course, his garbled understanding of the Ten Commandments, you know? And then they
    2:30:33 have breakfast together, and they eat food, and this is communion, but he doesn’t get that that’s
    2:30:39 what’s going on. And so he’s really ignorant. But I think that the broader point is, okay,
    2:30:46 this is one of the best educated, best traveled Romans who has the most experience in the empire,
    2:30:51 has been all over the empire. And what does he know about Christianity? Basically nothing.
    2:30:59 So if one of the best educated, most widely traveled guys really doesn’t know much about them,
    2:31:03 that kind of suggests that not many people did at this point in time.
    2:31:06 At this time, it was a fringe movement that really did–
    2:31:10 Yeah, very fringe. I mean, it was one of, you know, hundreds of little mystery religions,
    2:31:13 the Romans sort of thought on that. And these are, you know, religions that have some sort of
    2:31:20 revealed knowledge and that appealed, make more personal appeals to people. Now, stepping back
    2:31:26 from this in a broad way, I think you can say that Christianity really was different in some ways
    2:31:30 and had some things that maybe the Romans should rightfully have viewed as a threat. I mean, you
    2:31:36 know, the Romans are people very focused on this world, right? Citizenship, what you do. Christianity,
    2:31:41 in essence, has a focus on the next world. So this world isn’t as important as what you’re
    2:31:46 setting yourself up for. And even worse, from a Roman perspective, I’m kind of saying, okay,
    2:31:51 if I were a Roman, Romans are all about making distinctions between people.
    2:31:59 Citizen, non-citizen. Man, woman, free, slave. Christianity comes along and says,
    2:32:07 in God’s eyes, you’re all equal. Now, that’s a pretty problematic idea if you’re deeply invested
    2:32:15 in Roman hierarchy. And I think it is no surprise that among the earliest converts to Christianity
    2:32:23 are women and slaves, and in particular, female slaves. Now, who are they? They’re the people at
    2:32:29 the rock bottom of the Roman hierarchy of status, right, which the Romans are obsessed with status.
    2:32:35 But here’s a religion that says that doesn’t matter. And in that same letter to Pliny, Pliny says,
    2:32:39 okay, in this group of Christians I’ve heard about, their leaders are two female slaves,
    2:32:46 they call deaconesses. Now, this is really early. This is before the church exists, right? There’s
    2:32:52 no church structure yet. And who is leading the local congregation of Christians to slave women?
    2:33:00 So that’s an interesting moment. And that’s not necessarily the image we get of early Christianity,
    2:33:06 but you can see how for people in this social structure, that would be very appealing to them.
    2:33:12 And in some ways, yeah, it is sort of a threat to the Roman system because they’re challenging it.
    2:33:19 Now, the irony is, of course, 300 years after the life of Christ, the emperor converts to Christianity.
    2:33:25 And another 100 years later under theodosus, it becomes the official religion of the Roman Empire.
    2:33:30 So all of a sudden, you have this flip-flop where now the state itself is not just converted to
    2:33:39 Christianity, but actively promoting it and now persecuting pagans. And the reason the emperors
    2:33:44 do that is one of the biggest problems for emperors at that point in time is legitimacy,
    2:33:49 that there’s tons of civil wars where you have lots of different people saying I’m emperor.
    2:33:57 So lots of generals declaring themselves emperor. Now, under a polytheistic religion,
    2:34:03 that’s just, you’re all just fighting, it doesn’t matter. But if you say there is only one god,
    2:34:12 then if that god picks someone to be his emperor, they’re the only legitimate emperor, right? So
    2:34:18 there is a real advantage to emperors now becoming Christian because if they can say
    2:34:25 we’re now a Christian empire and there’s only one god and I’m the guy that god picked to be emperor,
    2:34:29 that means all these other people claiming to be emperors are illegitimate.
    2:34:35 Do you think that or is there other factors that explain why Christianity was able to spread?
    2:34:39 Well, I mean, that’s why it’s appealing to the emperors. And we’re talking here,
    2:34:45 you know, I mean, the religious answer is people see the light, right? It’s a faith-based thing.
    2:34:50 I’m looking at this as a historian. So putting aside, you know, religious feeling and saying,
    2:34:55 okay, if I’m doing an analysis of this as a social phenomenon, what would be appealing to people?
    2:35:01 And there is that very compelling reason for emperors to want to go to Christianity because
    2:35:06 it helps them with their biggest problem, which is legitimacy. Now, if you’re an ordinary person,
    2:35:10 what is the appeal of Christianity? Well, we already looked at a couple of them. One of them is
    2:35:16 that, you know, it promises you a reward in the afterlife. I mean, the Roman and Greek notions
    2:35:21 of the afterlife aren’t that appealing. Either you just sort of turn into dust or at best you
    2:35:26 turn into this kind of ghost thing that floats around something that looks like a Greek gymnasium,
    2:35:32 which is like a bunch of grassy fields. It’s not so hot. So here you’re offered the idea of like,
    2:35:37 oh, you go to paradise forever. That sounds really good. And secondly, for a lot of people in Roman
    2:35:43 society, that notion of here’s something that says I’m valuable as a human being. It doesn’t
    2:35:47 matter whether I’m free or slave. It doesn’t matter whether I’m Roman or non-Roman. It doesn’t
    2:35:52 matter if I’m man or woman. Here’s something that says I have equal value. That’s enormously
    2:35:56 appealing. And finally, early Christians, I mean, they honestly, a lot of them do good works.
    2:36:01 They take care of the sick. They feed the poor. I mean, if you look at Jesus in the Sermon on the
    2:36:06 Mount, that’s the stuff he really hammers. If we look at the words of Jesus when he says,
    2:36:12 “What do you do to be a Christian?” A lot of it is take care of the unfortunate. Take care of people
    2:36:18 who are sick. Take care of people who are starving. And a lot of the early Christians really take
    2:36:25 that seriously. So they are helping people out. So that’s appealing. They’re the good kind of populist
    2:36:33 and populist messages spread. Let me ask you about gladiators. Switch your pace here.
    2:36:42 What role did they play in Roman society? I mean, okay, gladiator games obviously become a popular
    2:36:47 form of entertainment. And they’re one of the ones that’s captured people’s imaginations for all
    2:36:52 sorts of reasons. I mean, it’s dramatic. But also, I think it’s that apparent contradiction that in
    2:36:59 some ways, Roman society seems familiar to us. In so many ways, it seems sophisticated and appealing.
    2:37:06 Law is wonderful, all this. But yet, for fun, they watched people fight to the death. So how do
    2:37:14 you reconcile these things? Gladiators, I find very interesting because they’re an example of what
    2:37:24 historians call status dissonance. So it’s someone who in society has high status in some ways and
    2:37:32 very low or despised status in another. So gladiators, most of them were slaves, the lowest of the low
    2:37:39 in Roman society, right? Also, they’re fighting for other people’s pleasure and dying sometimes
    2:37:44 for other people’s pleasure. And the Romans had a real thing about this, like your body
    2:37:50 being used for others’ pleasure. Even a humble working person who hired themselves out for labor,
    2:37:56 the Romans thought that was innately demeaning because you’re using your body for someone else’s
    2:38:01 benefit or pleasure. So they didn’t have this notion of the dignity of hard labor or something.
    2:38:06 They thought the only noble profession was farming because there you generate something
    2:38:10 and you’re producing it for yourself. But if you work for someone else, you’re demeaning yourself.
    2:38:14 And gladiators are the worst of the worst. You’re performing for someone else’s pleasure.
    2:38:21 So on the one hand, they’re very low status. But on the other hand, successful gladiators get famous.
    2:38:30 People admire them. Women find them attractive. They’re celebrities. And so this is the status
    2:38:36 dissonance, right? You have these people who on the one hand formally are very low status in society,
    2:38:41 but yet are very popular on the other hand. Another kind of myth about gladiators is that
    2:38:46 they were just dying all the time. I mean, you watch movies and again, they’ll always throw a
    2:38:52 bunch of gladiators and they all die. I think some scholar did a study of there’s like 100
    2:38:58 fights we know of where we know some details. And I think 10% of those ended in the death of
    2:39:06 one of the people. So gladiators are a lot more like boxing matches where you’re watching a display
    2:39:11 of skill between two people who are more or less evenly matched in terms of their abilities.
    2:39:17 And probably they’ll survive though there’s a chance that one of them might get injured. In fact,
    2:39:25 one might die. Having said all that, in the end, you really are having people fight and potentially
    2:39:30 die for the pleasure of an audience. And anthropologists and Roman historians like to speculate
    2:39:37 why did the Romans do this? The Romans address it. I mean, there’s a famous thing where a Roman says,
    2:39:44 “We Romans are a violent people. We’re a warlike people. And so it’s fitting that we should be
    2:39:51 accustomed to the sight of death and violence.” Kind of works. There’s a more symbolic interpretation
    2:39:59 that says the amphitheater is an expression of Roman dominance, a symbolic expression. Because
    2:40:05 what you have are all segments of Roman society gathered together to control the fate of others.
    2:40:09 So you have foreigners, you have wild animals, you have criminals,
    2:40:16 you have other people. And we are symbolically asserting our dominance over those groups by
    2:40:24 determining do you live or do you die. And that kind of works too. And the cynical one is humans
    2:40:29 like violence. I mean, when people watch a hockey game, what gets the most excited? The fight.
    2:40:35 When people watch car racing, there’s a crash. What’s going to be shown on the news? It’s the
    2:40:41 crash. So there’s something dark in human nature sometimes that likes violence. And maybe the
    2:40:46 Romans are just being more honest about it than we are. I think Dan Carlin has a really great
    2:40:54 episode called “Painful Tainment.” And I think in that episode, he suggests the hypothetical that
    2:40:59 if we did something like a gladiator games today to the death, that the whole world would tune in.
    2:41:07 Especially if it was anonymous. We have a kind of thin veil of civility underneath which we
    2:41:11 probably would still be something deep within us would be attracted to that violence.
    2:41:18 Yeah. Is it human nature? Why do people slow down when there’s a car wreck and try and see what’s
    2:41:24 happening? On the other hand, to be fair, there were Romans at the time who morally objected to
    2:41:30 them and said this is morally degenerate to take pleasure in this and that’s wrong. So I think
    2:41:37 in all eras, you have a diversity of opinions. There’s no unanimous take on what this is or what
    2:41:42 this means. So who usually wore the gladiators? Was it slaves? Was it… Well, the most common
    2:41:49 source again is prisoners of war. If you conquer some people and they seem to be warlike, you might
    2:41:54 well consign some of them to fight in the arena. And the other thing about gladiators is they were
    2:42:01 highly trained professionals. So the gladiator schools who trained them were spending a lot of
    2:42:06 money to train these people. And it wasn’t just we take some guy and throw him into the arena like
    2:42:11 you see in movies all the time. These are people that you’d invested a lot of money and that’s
    2:42:17 why you don’t really want to see them killed. But yeah, mostly they’re prisoners of war.
    2:42:22 I mean, in very rare instances, you might have a free person volunteering or even selling
    2:42:27 themselves to fight as gladiators, but much more common was that. And what’s interesting is some
    2:42:33 people wouldn’t do it. I mean, there’s a lot of instances of gladiators refusing to fight and
    2:42:39 committing suicide, which you don’t hear. So like there was one German who was supposed to
    2:42:44 fight as a gladiator and instead he stuck his head between the spokes of a wagon that was spinning
    2:42:50 and snapped his own neck. There were a group of 29 Germans who all sort of said, “We’re not going to
    2:42:54 fight for the Romans pleasure.” And they strangled one another the night before they were supposed
    2:43:01 to fight. So I mean, you have people sort of objecting to being complicit in this kind of
    2:43:09 performance as well. And they also had interest in animals. So humans fought animals, exotic
    2:43:14 animals. And animals fought animals. The Romans were a little weird with their animal thing. They
    2:43:21 loved exotic animals, but mostly they like to see the exotic animals die. So I mean, there was an
    2:43:27 enormous industry collecting wild beasts, transporting them to Rome, which is no easy
    2:43:34 matter to transport elephants and giraffes and rhinos, particularly in this era of technology.
    2:43:40 But they were draining Africa and bringing lions and all these things and sacrificing them.
    2:43:44 And what about the different venues? I mean, there’s the legendary Coliseum.
    2:43:51 What is the importance of this place? Well, the Coliseum, real name is the Flavian Amphitheater,
    2:43:56 is interesting because for a long time Rome always had a chariot racing arena, the Circus
    2:44:02 Maximus. But it didn’t have a permanent gladiatorial venue until relatively late,
    2:44:08 till about 80 AD, so during the reign of the emperor of the Spasian. And he built this thing.
    2:44:13 So he built the Flavian Amphitheater. He was from the Flavian family of emperors.
    2:44:20 And he did it as a deliberate act of propaganda. So before him had been Nero,
    2:44:28 who was sort of seen as a crazy or bad emperor. And one of Nero’s indulgences is he had built
    2:44:33 this enormous palace for himself called the Golden House. So it was kind of this pleasure
    2:44:40 palace with 50 dining rooms and all this stuff. And it was basically wasting a ton of money on him,
    2:44:46 right? So right on the site where Nero had his golden house, Vespasian says,
    2:44:50 “I’m going to erect a new building on top of it that’s going to be for the pleasure of the people.”
    2:44:57 So it was very much a political statement that my dynasty is going to be about serving Romans,
    2:45:03 not serving ourselves. And so that’s why he builds the Flavian Amphitheater. And the funds he uses
    2:45:08 from it is basically from looting Jerusalem. Because the other thing he had done just before
    2:45:14 this is he had sacked Jerusalem and destroyed the temple there, in fact. He and his son Titus.
    2:45:20 And so this is what he now builds in Rome is his gift to the people of Rome.
    2:45:25 But it’s interesting to think about that place, to think about that relationship with violence
    2:45:33 across centuries for spectacle, watching people fight. And like you said, only like 10% of the
    2:45:41 time it led to the death. But I read that still a lot of people died, a lot of gladiators were
    2:45:50 killed. There’s numbers are just crazy. I read 400,000 dead. So this includes gladiators, slaves,
    2:45:54 convicts, prisoners, and so on. That’s a lot of people.
    2:45:59 The Flavian Amphitheater is really interesting too, just as a piece of technology and as influence
    2:46:05 on later world. I mean, almost every sporting arena today owes something to the Flavian Amphitheater
    2:46:10 that calls to him in terms of construction. And it was amazingly sophisticated building.
    2:46:15 I mean, it had retractable awnings and elevators and ramps that things could just
    2:46:22 pop up into the arena from below. And it had very well designed passages where everybody
    2:46:27 could file in and file out very efficiently and they’re all numbered. So I mean, it’s one of,
    2:46:32 I think, the most influential buildings in history, just because of the way that all
    2:46:37 these buildings we go to today, they’re all kind of variants on it and using some of the ideas from
    2:46:42 it. And the Romans took their construction seriously. Oh yeah, they were good at that.
    2:46:47 So they were excellent engineers. And the Romans were excellent engineers, especially when it came
    2:46:52 to what you might think of as humble stuff. I mean, today we tend to think of a Roman building as
    2:46:57 shining white marble, right? Well, the core of that building was probably concrete. And the marble
    2:47:03 is just a superficial facade. And if you think about the Colosseum in Rome today, all the marble
    2:47:08 has been stripped off that building. And what you see is the concrete core, the structural core
    2:47:13 that’s left. And the Romans, I mean, they didn’t invent concrete, but they just used it more
    2:47:18 creatively than anyone had before. And if you look at buildings like the Greeks built, they’re all
    2:47:23 rectilinear. They’re all rectangles or squares. And they always have a lot of columns because you
    2:47:29 need to hold the roof up. The Romans, because of their use of concrete, could build wooden frames.
    2:47:33 They could have curves. They could have domes. They could have all kinds of stuff.
    2:47:39 And it just explodes the architectural possibilities. They also made a lot of use of the vault.
    2:47:44 So if you cut rocks and arrange them so they form a curve, you could have big vaulted spaces.
    2:47:49 And they were just brilliant with their mix of things. I mean, the pantheon is the best preserved
    2:47:55 Roman building. And it’s another brilliant building, incredibly influential. I mean, every
    2:48:01 capital building in the world or museum is an imitation of the pantheon. The Capitol in Washington,
    2:48:06 D.C., the Capitol in Madison, Rime from Wisconsin, Austin, where we are now, they’re all pantheons.
    2:48:13 It’s a big dome with a triangular pediment and some columns on the front. So it’s just
    2:48:18 amazingly influential building, but it’s brilliant because the way it’s constructed is the concrete
    2:48:24 at the bottom of the dome is both thicker and has a denser formulation. So it’s heavier where it
    2:48:29 needs to bear the weight. And then as you get further up the dome, it gets narrower and narrower
    2:48:34 and they mix in different types of rock. So at the top, you’re using pumice, that very light
    2:48:39 volcanic stone. So where you want it to be light, it’s light. And it’s here 2,000 years later.
    2:48:43 I mean, look around you. How many buildings that we’re building now do you think are going to be
    2:48:50 here in 2,000 years? I suspect not many. And it’s not only that they lasted, but they were beautiful,
    2:48:56 or at least in our current conception of beauty. Yeah, I mean, Vitruvius, his principles are things
    2:49:01 should be functional and they should be aesthetically pleasing. So that’s a winning combination,
    2:49:06 I think. Yeah, they pulled that off pretty well. If we could talk about the long line of emperors
    2:49:13 they made up the Roman Empire, how were they selected? We’ve been talking about
    2:49:19 Augustus’ great achievements and how clever he was with propaganda and all. This is his great
    2:49:25 failure. So his great failure is that he did not solve was the problem of succession.
    2:49:30 How do you ensure that the next person who follows you is not just the best person,
    2:49:37 but is qualified? And he fails to do it. So the principle he settles on is heredity,
    2:49:41 so the nearest blood relative. And he goes through all these people, all these young
    2:49:46 kids in his family die, they keep trying to make the heir. And he ends up making his heir Tiberius,
    2:49:52 who he never liked. It was his stepson, he didn’t like him, but he ends up inheriting it. And the
    2:49:57 next set of emperors, the Julio-Claudians, which is the family that Augustus starts,
    2:50:02 they all basically are who is the nearest male relative to the previous emperor.
    2:50:09 And that’s how we get a lot of crazy emperors like Caligula or Nero. And then the next family,
    2:50:14 the Flavians, the first guy is kind of an Augustus, it’s Vespasian, the one who builds
    2:50:19 the Flavian amphitheater. And then one of his sons takes over Titus, who’s okay. And then the
    2:50:26 next son takes over Domitian, who’s nuts again. So heredity just isn’t working. And Rome fights a
    2:50:32 couple of civil wars. And in 98 AD, we’re 100 years now into the empire. And they look back at this
    2:50:38 track record and say, okay, we’ve been picking our emperors by heredity, and we’ve gotten some
    2:50:44 real duds here, some real problematic people. Is there a way to fix this? And this is one of
    2:50:48 the few instances where the Romans, who I keep saying are very traditional and resist change,
    2:50:53 I think actually make a change and realize we got to do something different. And so the next
    2:51:00 guy looks around and says, okay, forget who’s my nearest male relative, who’s the best qualified
    2:51:05 to be emperor after me? I’ll pick that person, and then I’ll adopt him as my son. So they kind
    2:51:11 of stick with heredity, but now it’s this fake adoption. And you end up with a lot of old guys
    2:51:18 adopting middle aged adults as their son, which is a little strange, but it works. And so for the
    2:51:23 next 80 years, you have only five emperors, and they’re often called the five good emperors.
    2:51:28 They’re not related necessarily by blood, they sort of pick the best qualified guy, and they’re all
    2:51:37 sound competent good emperors. And the second century AD from Nerva to Marcus Aurelius is often
    2:51:42 regarded as the high point of the Roman Empire. And a lot of that comes from you have political
    2:51:49 stability. You have a succession of decent guys being emperor, who rule relatively wisely,
    2:51:54 promote good policies, there’s other things working to Rome’s advantage, but that’s good.
    2:51:59 And then where it falls apart is where the last guy, Marcus Aurelius, looks around and says,
    2:52:06 who’s the best qualified guy to succeed me? What a coincidence, it’s my own dear son,
    2:52:09 who turns out to be a psycho. And then it all goes downhill.
    2:52:16 And some people place the collapse of the Roman Empire there at the end of Marcus Aurelius rule.
    2:52:22 Yeah, so one ADAD is one common date for an early date for the end of the Roman Empire when you
    2:52:27 kiss from then on, it’s a mixed bag of good and bad emperors.
    2:52:33 At the very least, this period is when the Roman Empire is at its height on all different kinds
    2:52:38 of perspectives. Certainly geographically, I mean, at this point stretches from Britain to
    2:52:43 Mesopotamia, from Egypt up to Germany. Because there are probably about 50 million people within
    2:52:48 its boundaries. Within those boundaries, there’s relative peace. So I mean, sometimes people
    2:52:53 talk about the Pax Romana. I mean, the Romans are fighting lots of people, but within the boundaries,
    2:52:58 you have relative peace. There’s relative economic prosperity. I mean, nothing in the
    2:53:02 ancient world is that prosperous, it’s just a different sort of economy. But it’s pretty stable,
    2:53:08 there’s no huge disasters happening yet. Some plagues start in Marcus Aurelius’s reign.
    2:53:13 But yeah, this is pretty much seen as the high point of the Roman Empire, and I think it is.
    2:53:19 I think that there’s truth to that. Let me ask the ridiculously oversimplified question.
    2:53:25 But who do you think is the greatest Roman emperor? Or maybe your top three?
    2:53:37 I’ll tell you what, I’ll tell you my favorite Roman who wasn’t an emperor. And that’s Marcus Agrippa,
    2:53:45 who was Augustus’s right hand man. So Agrippa is this interesting guy who is extremely talented.
    2:53:51 He’s a terrific general. He’s a terrific admiral. He’s a great builder. He is kind of like the
    2:53:56 troubleshooter for Augustus. He’s the guy who wins the battle of Actium for Augustus. So literally,
    2:54:02 Augustus would not have become the first emperor without Agrippa. When Augustus rebuilds the city
    2:54:06 of Rome, it’s Agrippa that he gives the job to. Agrippa rebuilds the campus marshes. He builds the
    2:54:10 first version of the pantheon. He personally goes through the sewers to clean them out.
    2:54:18 And he just has this great set of qualities that he’s very self-effacing. I think he likes
    2:54:24 power. He wants real power, but he realizes I don’t have that kind of clever politician’s ability
    2:54:30 to be the front guy. So I’ll just serve my friend, Augustus Loyally. They were childhood friends.
    2:54:35 I’ll win the battles for Augustus, and I’ll let him take all the credit.
    2:54:41 But I’ll be his number two guy, and that’s what I’m good at. And he realizes his limitations.
    2:54:45 I mean, so many people don’t. So many people are like, “Oh, I just want to keep grabbing for more
    2:54:50 and more and more when it’s not something they’re good at.” And I think Agrippa says, “I’m good to
    2:54:55 this point, and I’ll play that role and know more, and that’ll give me a lot of power, but I’m not
    2:55:03 going to press it.” And he’s just very hardworking. He’s modest. He’s self-effacing. He’s highly
    2:55:10 competent. I wonder how many people in history that are the drivers, the COO of the whole operation
    2:55:18 that we don’t really think about or don’t talk about enough to where they’re really the mastermind.
    2:55:21 Or the ones who make something possible. I mean, even in this conversation today,
    2:55:25 you would not have Alexander the Great without his father, Philip II, having
    2:55:31 built that army and handed it to him on a silver platter. Octavian would never have become Emperor
    2:55:37 without Agrippa. So they play central roles sometimes. But if I had to pick an Emperor,
    2:55:44 I’d probably pick Augustus just because of his influence. And because I admire his – the thing
    2:55:50 Agrippa didn’t have is political savvy, his manipulation of image and propaganda, all that I
    2:55:56 find very fascinating. Though I’m not sure he’s a great human being, but he’s a really interesting
    2:56:05 figure. Whether he’s good or bad, he was extremely influential on defining just the entirety of human
    2:56:11 history that followed. Yeah, probably one of the most influential humans ever. Nevertheless,
    2:56:18 if you ask in public who the most famous Roman Emperor is, would that be Marcus Aurelius potentially?
    2:56:24 I don’t know. That’s a good question. He’s real famous because he was a stoic philosopher and he
    2:56:30 wrote this book The Meditations. I mean, it’s interesting. Stoicism had – as a philosophical
    2:56:40 ideology had a role to play during that time. I mean, the tragic fact that – did Nero murder
    2:56:46 Seneca? Yes. Well, he drove him to suicide, let’s say. There’s a lot of interesting questions there,
    2:56:54 but one is the role, especially when it’s hereditary, the role of the mentor, who advises,
    2:57:03 who would Aristotle and Alexander the Great. That dance of who influences and guides the
    2:57:07 person as they become and gain power is really interesting. Well, I mean, one of the big questions
    2:57:12 with the Roman Emperors, and we’ve been talking about some of them, is why did so many seem to be
    2:57:20 either crazy or just kind of sadists? I don’t know if there’s a good answer to that. I mean,
    2:57:25 people have theories, “Oh, Caligula got a brain fever and changed after that,” or something.
    2:57:32 I think there’s a lot of maybe truth in the notion that the ones who seem to go craziest
    2:57:37 quite often are the ones who become emperor at a young age. There is something about that old
    2:57:43 cliche that absolute power corrupts absolutely, especially if your own personality isn’t really
    2:57:48 fully formed yet. You know what I’m saying? I mean, I think take anybody when they’re a teenager. If
    2:57:53 you all of a sudden said, “You have unlimited power,” what would that do to you? How would that
    2:57:56 warp your personality? I mean, look at all the, what do they always have to do, like the Disney
    2:58:01 stars who sort of go wrong or something because they get rich and famous at this very young age.
    2:58:08 Yeah. Fame, power, and even money, if you get way too much of it at a young age, I think we’re
    2:58:16 egotistical, narcissistic, all that kind of stuff as babies. And then when we clash with the world
    2:58:21 and we figure out the morality of the world, how to interact with others, that other people
    2:58:27 suffer in all kinds of ways. Understand the cruelty, the beauty of the world, the fact
    2:58:32 that other people suffer in different ways, the fact that other people are also human and have
    2:58:37 different perspectives, all of that in order to develop that you shouldn’t be blocked off from
    2:58:42 the world, which power and money and fame can do. And conversely, a lot of the emperors we regard
    2:58:48 as, quote, “good emperors” are the ones who become emperor at a middle-aged or something,
    2:58:53 where their personalities are fully formed, where they’re not going to really become different people.
    2:58:58 And so that works in that theory, too. I don’t think it’s absolute. And of course,
    2:59:05 the greatest exception is Octavian Augustus, who starts his rise to power as a teenager,
    2:59:11 somehow doesn’t seem to go nuts. It’s not an absolute, but it doesn’t help to get that much
    2:59:16 power at a young age, I think. What does it take to be a successful emperor, would you say?
    2:59:24 So you say, what is it take to be a good Roman emperor? If you were going to draw up a job description,
    2:59:28 seeking Roman emperor, what are the qualities and qualifications you would put on it?
    2:59:35 Obviously, you would put responsible, good understanding of military, economics, whatever
    2:59:41 ability to delegate. But just to be fun, let’s consider how much does it matter whether the
    2:59:48 emperor is good or bad? Because in the ancient world, what does it affect, really, if you’re, say,
    2:59:57 a peasant in Spain, if the emperor is crazy Nero or good Vespasian? I mean, how does that affect
    3:00:03 your day-to-day life? How does it affect you if you’re a peasant in Italy, which is the average
    3:00:10 inhabitant? I mean, the crazy emperors mostly affect the people within the sound of their voice.
    3:00:15 So yeah, they go crazy. They murder senators. They murdered their members, their own family.
    3:00:20 They do wacky stuff. But a lot of that is constrained to the immediate surroundings around
    3:00:29 them. And meanwhile, the mechanism of the Roman empire is just grinding along as it would anyway.
    3:00:34 I mean, the governors are running their provinces. Stuff’s happening. I mean, I guess an emperor can
    3:00:39 start a war. He can maybe raise taxes. But that would be the ways that he’s affecting the whole
    3:00:45 empire. And here we get into technology does matter. We’re dealing with a world where, let’s say,
    3:00:50 you’re in Rome and you’re the emperor and you want to send a message to a province far away,
    3:00:57 let’s say Judea. That message might take one or two months to get there and one or two months to
    3:01:04 get a reply. So how much influence as emperor are you really having over that province? I mean,
    3:01:08 those people pretty much have to make their own decisions and then kind of just say to you,
    3:01:12 this is what we did. I hope that’s okay, because otherwise nothing gets done if they’re waiting
    3:01:20 four months for a decision. Even in the realm of ideas, they can’t get on TV and on the radio.
    3:01:26 Yeah, communication. And broadcasts. So slow and so uncertain in ways that today with the ability
    3:01:31 to instantaneously talk to people across the world, we can’t even imagine. And the Roman empire is
    3:01:37 huge. I mean, it is months to send a message and get an answer. So here you have the emperor in
    3:01:41 Rome. Yeah, he affects who’s around him. And he can affect even common people. I mean, there’s
    3:01:46 crazy emperors who are at the games and they’re bored and they say, well, take that whole section
    3:01:49 of the crowd and throw them to the lions or something. There you’re being affected by the
    3:01:56 emperor. But if you’re outside the range of his sight and voice, do you care who the emperor is?
    3:02:02 So the big one. Most of the time. That’s a really important idea to remember. Same with the US
    3:02:09 president, frankly, in terms of the grand arc of history, like what is the actual impact.
    3:02:17 But I would say the big one is probably starting wars, major global wars, or ending them in both
    3:02:23 directions. And then taxation too, as you said. What was the taxation? What was the economic system?
    3:02:29 What was the role of taxation in Rome? Romans are really weird with this. So in the Republic,
    3:02:35 once they started to acquire overseas provinces, they had to decide, well, what do we got to do
    3:02:40 with these provinces? And they in the end settled on this notion of we’ll put a Roman governor in
    3:02:46 charge, we’ll collect some sort of taxes. But they often didn’t collect the taxes directly.
    3:02:53 Instead, they would sell contracts to private businesses to collect taxes. So the private
    3:02:57 businesses would bid and say, all right, if you give us the contract to collect taxes in Sicily,
    3:03:03 we’ll give you X number of money up front. And then we go out and try to collect enough to make
    3:03:09 back that money and make ourselves a profit. And this is a terrible system. Because obviously,
    3:03:14 they’re going to go and try and squeeze as much as they can out of Sicily. And these companies
    3:03:20 were called publicans, pubicani. And in the Bible, there’s a phrase, publicans and sinners.
    3:03:26 And that should give you an idea how they’re viewed. So everybody hated these tax collectors.
    3:03:33 And it was a really kind of dumb system, because the publicans were going out and squeezing way
    3:03:38 more than they should in an unhealthy way from the provinces. And the Roman state was doing
    3:03:42 this kind of weird thing that they should have been doing themselves. And over time,
    3:03:46 that shifts a bit. And it becomes more like your standard taxation. And a lot of the taxation ends
    3:03:52 up being in kind too. So it’s like, okay, we’re taxing you, you pay it in wheat if you’re a farmer
    3:03:59 or something, not necessarily in cash. So in many ways, the Roman economy is underdeveloped.
    3:04:05 They didn’t have a lot of the sophisticated systems that we have today. And it probably
    3:04:11 held them back in some ways. And again, they have that resistance to change. The Romans also had
    3:04:17 weird notions about just business and profit making, that at least originally there was this
    3:04:22 notion that’s shameful. Again, the only thing that’s a worthwhile profession is farming.
    3:04:30 So rich Romans would get involved in what we would call business manufacturing, particularly
    3:04:34 long distance trade with ships. But they would often do it through sort of front companies or
    3:04:39 employees who did it on their behalf officially. And then they sort of funnel the profits to
    3:04:45 the guy funding it because they don’t want to be soiled with business, which is beneath them.
    3:04:52 So the Romans had a lot of weird attitudes about the economy that I think in some ways didn’t help.
    3:04:56 But nevertheless, they had many of the elements of the modern economic system with taxation,
    3:05:02 the record keeping. They were good at record keeping. So the Romans, I mean, the census is a
    3:05:07 Roman word. They’re the ones that came up with that. So. And obviously the laws were on everything.
    3:05:11 Yes. So in certain ways, yes, they were extremely sophisticated. And of course, the biggest thing
    3:05:16 about people in the ancient world in today is that they weren’t stupider than us. I mean,
    3:05:20 sometimes you get this assumption, oh, well, in the ancient world, they just weren’t as smart
    3:05:24 or something. No, no, no, they were fully as intelligent as we were. They didn’t have access
    3:05:28 to the same technology as we do. But that doesn’t mean they were any less smart.
    3:05:36 Can we talk about the crisis of the third century and the aforementioned western and eastern Roman
    3:05:44 empires, how it’s split? Yeah. So, I mean, after Rome starts to go downhill, as you enter the
    3:05:51 third century, so the 200, so we’re moving out of the golden era now. I mean, a famous Roman
    3:05:57 historian, Cassius Dio, who lived right at that moment, very famously wrote of the transition
    3:06:03 of Marcus Aurelius to what follows, “Our kingdom now descends from one of gold to one of rust
    3:06:09 and iron.” So even people who are alive at the time had a distinct sense something is going
    3:06:16 downhill here. And that’s interesting because usually great historical moments are retroactive.
    3:06:20 And I mean, here’s a guy who said, “Oh, something’s going wrong. Something’s really going badly now.”
    3:06:28 And a lot of it becomes that the secret is out, that what makes an emperor is who commands the
    3:06:35 most swords. And so you start to get rebellions by various Roman generals, each declaring himself
    3:06:39 emperor. So you’d always had this to a certain degree, but they had kept it in check during
    3:06:44 the second century AD. But in the third century, you sometimes get three or four generals in
    3:06:49 different parts of the empire all declaring themselves emperor, and then they all rush off
    3:06:54 to Rome to fight a multi-way civil war. And of course, while they’re doing this, the borders are
    3:06:59 undefended. So barbarians start to see opportunity and come across and start raiding. They start
    3:07:06 burning and pillaging farms. The civil wars are destroying cities and farms. So the economy is
    3:07:12 kind of tanking. Then there’s less money coming in as taxes. So when one guy finally wins,
    3:07:17 he jacks up the tax rate to try and make up for it. But now there’s fewer people able to pay,
    3:07:22 and it’s all just a vicious cycle. The Romans start to debase the coinage,
    3:07:29 which means you take in a gold coin, you melt it down, mix it in with 10% something less valuable,
    3:07:33 and then stamp it and say it’s worth the same. Well, people aren’t stupid. They’re going to know
    3:07:39 that’s only 90% of that gold coin. They invented inflation. Inflation. And you get horrific inflation
    3:07:45 uncontrolled. So the economy goes downhill. Barbarians are raiding. You have internal instability.
    3:07:51 In one year, you have something like eight or nine different guys go through his emperor in 238.
    3:07:56 So it’s a mess. And it looks like the Roman Empire is going to fall in around the mid-third
    3:08:02 century. So this is the crisis. And then the kind of shocking development is late in that third
    3:08:09 century, they actually stabilize the empire. So you have a series of these kind of army emperors
    3:08:15 who are just good generals who managed to push the barbarians out, reestablish the borders.
    3:08:20 It’s actually a whole group of them, but often they get clumped under the most successful,
    3:08:28 the last guy who’s Diocletian, who comes in and he tries to stabilize the economy. One of the
    3:08:34 things he does is he issues a new solid gold coin that he guarantees is solid gold. And he calls
    3:08:41 it a solidus, a solid coin. He famously issues a price edict where he says this is the maximum
    3:08:47 it’s legal to charge for any good or service. So it’s an attempt to curb inflation. And that’s
    3:08:52 not going to work, but it helps. Kind of amusingly, on Diocletian’s price edict,
    3:09:00 can you guess what the most expensive sort of item is? Hiring a lawyer. So some things never
    3:09:06 change, right? Oh, that’s interesting. I mean, in that system, there’s probably a huge amount of
    3:09:10 lawyers. Yeah. I mean, even lawyers, and quite the right word, Romans didn’t have true lawyers,
    3:09:15 but they had people you would hire to do legal stuff or give you legal advice. But anyway,
    3:09:19 no, the price edict is actually really fascinating because it’s this long list of stuff. And you
    3:09:24 can see a good pair of shoes, a bad pair of shoes, how much each cost. And you can see the
    3:09:31 relative value of things. So what was food versus clothing? What was going to the barber versus
    3:09:35 hiring a doctor? All that kind of stuff. So it’s a really fun document to just mess around with.
    3:09:42 But anyway, so Diocletian stabilizes basically the empire and these other guys as well and gives
    3:09:49 it a new lease on life. So it seems by the end of the third century that Rome is going to continue.
    3:09:54 And then as we go into the fourth century, you have the really dramatic thing where Constantine
    3:10:01 comes along and converts to Christianity. And at the time he converts, the percentage of Christians
    3:10:07 in the empire is small, 10% at most, something like that. Who knows? But it’s quite small.
    3:10:12 And all of a sudden you have this weird thing where now the emperor belongs to this new religion.
    3:10:18 What does this mean? You can debate a lot how sincere Constantine’s conversion was.
    3:10:24 It’s a little bit of a weird thing where he clearly is using it as a way to fire up the troops
    3:10:29 before a crucial battle to say, “Hey, I just had this dream and this God promised us victory
    3:10:33 if we put his magic symbol on our shields.” And this would be okay, except that he had
    3:10:38 done this a couple of times before. So one time it was Helios, the sun god, one time it was another
    3:10:44 god. Even after he converts, he continues to mint coins and stuff with other gods on them.
    3:10:49 He continues to worship other gods. But he also kind of seems sincere in his conversion.
    3:10:54 It’s just, I think the question is how much does he understand his new religion,
    3:11:00 maybe more than is it sincere? But that’s a real turning point. So now as you go into the fourth
    3:11:04 century, we have this thing with Constantine, the new religion. And the other thing that happens is
    3:11:09 the empire is really just too big to govern effectively. It’s that thing we’re talking about.
    3:11:15 It’s too large. The communication is too slow. And it starts to naturally fragment.
    3:11:21 And at times they try systems where they split it into four. So under Diocletian,
    3:11:25 he tries the tetrarchy, where he splits the empire into four. And you actually have four
    3:11:32 emperors working together as a team. More commonly, it just splits east-west. So from that point on,
    3:11:37 you really start to have the history of the Western Empire going in one direction,
    3:11:42 the Eastern Empire, and the other. You tend to have two emperors, though there are moments
    3:11:47 occasionally where they reunite. So that’s a big development as well. And that’s a turning point.
    3:11:54 So the most common date that people say, maybe you can correct me on this, that the Roman Empire
    3:12:04 fell is 476 AD. They’re referring to the fall of the Western Roman Empire. So why did the Roman
    3:12:10 Empire fall? Yeah, this is a real game. Pick your favorite date for the Roman Empire. 476 is a very
    3:12:16 common one. And what happens in that year is a barbarian king comes down into Italy and deposes
    3:12:24 a guy named Romulus Augustulus, which is an amazing name. It’s combining the names of the
    3:12:30 founder of Rome, Romulus with Augustus, the second founder of Rome. And so some people say
    3:12:38 that’s the end of the Roman Empire. Sure. But others say it’s 410 when Alaric sacks Rome for
    3:12:44 the first time. Others say it’s 455 when the vandals come and sack Rome and do a much more
    3:12:50 thorough job of it this time. Some say it’s 180 when Marcus Aurelius picks poorly in succession.
    3:12:55 Some say it’s 31 when Octavian wins the battle of Actium and kills the Roman Republic.
    3:13:03 Or you can go past that date and say it’s 1453 when the Eastern Roman Empire finally falls.
    3:13:07 And I mean, the Eastern Empire is legitimately the Roman Empire. If you were going to ask them,
    3:13:11 who are you, they wouldn’t say, we’re the Byzantines, we’re the Eastern Roman Empire.
    3:13:17 They would just say we’re the Romans. And they have a completely legitimate claim to do that.
    3:13:23 So this whole game of when does the Empire fall is problematic. And the other thing is,
    3:13:29 all those dates about invasions that cluster around the 400s, so 410, 455, 476,
    3:13:37 you have to ask yourself, who counts as a real Roman by that point? Because for a while now,
    3:13:45 the Romans themselves are often coming from barbarians, are crossing that boundary. Roman
    3:13:49 generals, they might get raised as a hun, then serve with the Roman army for a while, then not,
    3:13:57 or Visigoths or not. That’s been going on for a long time. So what makes someone a real Roman?
    3:14:03 How do you tell that the guy kicked out in 476 was a “real Roman” and the barbarian king who
    3:14:09 took his place wasn’t? That’s a very arbitrary decision. There’s so many interesting things
    3:14:16 there. So of course, you described really eloquently the decline that started after Marcus Aurelius,
    3:14:20 and there’s a lot of competing ideas there and the tensions. Just to interrupt you,
    3:14:25 I hate wishy-washy answers, which is what I said. So I will give you this. I think by the
    3:14:31 end of the 5th century AD, the Western Roman Empire has transformed into something different.
    3:14:37 So I don’t know what date I can pick for that, but I can’t say by the end, by around 500,
    3:14:42 I don’t know that we can call whatever exists there the Roman Empire anymore.
    3:14:46 And of course, the barbarians make everything complicated because they seem to be willing
    3:14:52 to fight on every side and they’re like fluid, which they integrate fast, and it just makes the
    3:14:59 whole thing really tricky to say, yeah, who’s a Roman, who is not, and at which point did it like?
    3:15:03 And barbarians have been forming large parts of the Roman army for centuries,
    3:15:10 you know, yeah, it’s extremely fluid and not at all just clear sides here. So it’s a mess.
    3:15:15 From a military perspective, perhaps, what are some things that stand out to you on
    3:15:22 the pressure from the barbarians, the conflicts, whether it’s the Hans or the Visigoths?
    3:15:27 There was a military strategist named Edward Ludvock who wrote this book,
    3:15:33 “The Grand Strategy of the Roman Empire,” which was basically about frontiers. And how did the
    3:15:37 Romans define their frontier? And everybody’s jumped on this and argued about it and says it’s
    3:15:43 wrong and all, but started this debate among Roman historians about, yeah, what does frontier mean
    3:15:49 to the Romans? Did they conceive of their empires having a border or was it always expanding or
    3:15:55 what? And did they have a grand strategy? I mean, today, militaries have a strategy where we want
    3:16:01 to achieve this, we want to exert force here, we want to protect these areas. Did the Romans even
    3:16:07 visualize their empire in that sort of grand strategic way? And it’s a real debate. I mean,
    3:16:11 there’s some things that suggest, oh, here they tried to rationalize the border and short it by
    3:16:16 taking or shorten it by taking this territory. Other people see it as just kind of random.
    3:16:23 So that’s an interesting take is how do the Romans conceive of empire? I mean, if you look
    3:16:27 back at someone like Virgil at the time of Augustus, he said, well, the gods granted Rome
    3:16:34 empire without end. So it’s that open-ended thing. But even under Augustus, he seems to be pulling
    3:16:38 back and saying, well, I’m going to kind of stop at the Rhine. I’m going to kind of stop at the Danube.
    3:16:45 We don’t need to keep expanding forever in the way we’ve been doing. So I mean, that’s an interesting
    3:16:51 concept of how do the Romans see their empire? Does it have a boundary? What are those boundaries?
    3:16:58 What does that mean? And then barbarians were very much making that boundary even more difficult to
    3:17:03 kind of define it, even if you wanted to. Right. And again, the other fun debate is, were these
    3:17:09 invasions, when the Visigoths crossed the Danube and come into the Roman Empire, is this an invasion,
    3:17:14 as it was originally described? Or is it a migration, as some scholars have started calling it?
    3:17:19 Because the Visigoths were fleeing pressure from another Gothic group and they were fleeing
    3:17:25 pressure from the Huns. And a lot of the early Gothic peoples who come into the Roman Empire
    3:17:31 are basically seeking asylum. They’re saying, will you give us a piece of territory to live on
    3:17:36 within the boundaries of the empire? And in return, we will fight for you against external enemies.
    3:17:41 And the Romans make these deals with some of the Goths. In fact, they made a pretty good deal with
    3:17:46 the Goths, one group of Goths to do exactly that. You can settle within the boundaries,
    3:17:51 we’ll feed you, we’ll give you certain amount of stuff and you fight for us. And then the Romans
    3:17:55 treated them really badly. They kind of didn’t supply what they had promised and so they turned
    3:18:00 against the Romans with good reason. So the Romans blundered in these things too.
    3:18:06 So is it correct that the Visigoths fought on the side of the Romans against Attila the Hun?
    3:18:11 Some of them did. So again, there were various groups on both sides of those battles.
    3:18:19 So Attila is the famous Hun and he comes into the Roman Empire and seems to be heading right for
    3:18:27 Rome to knock it off. And everybody is so scared of the Huns that this weird coalition comes together
    3:18:32 of the Romans plus various barbarian groups against Attila and league with some other
    3:18:37 barbarian groups and they fight a huge battle and it’s more or less a stalemate. So Attila gets
    3:18:41 stopped and he says, “All right, we’re going to just rest up for a year, next year we’ll go finish
    3:18:47 off the Romans. Next year comes, he heads down into Italy, he’s heading straight for Rome and the
    3:18:54 Pope goes and meets Attila and they have lunch together at this river. And at the end of the
    3:18:59 lunch, Attila goes back and says, “Eh, I changed my mind, we’re going to go back up to France,
    3:19:04 hang around for another year, we’ll finish off the Romans later.” And Christian sources say,
    3:19:11 “Saints appeared in the sky with flaming swords and scared away Attila.” Some other sources say,
    3:19:16 “Well, the Pope gave Attila a huge bribe to go away for a while, believe whichever you like.”
    3:19:22 But then Attila ends up dying on his wedding night before he comes back under mysterious
    3:19:27 circumstances and so that never materializes and the Huns kind of fragment after his death.
    3:19:33 So what was the definitive blow by the barbarians, by the Vizagoths?
    3:19:38 The barbarians are so many different groups and weirdly, I think an important one that
    3:19:44 sometimes people tend to focus on the Huns and the Goths, the vandals end up going to Spain,
    3:19:51 conquering Spain and then crossing over into North Africa and kind of conquering North Africa as well.
    3:20:00 And Spain and North Africa were some of the main areas that food surpluses were collected from and
    3:20:06 sent to Rome to feed the city of Rome. And it’s after those vandal invasions and takeover of those
    3:20:12 areas that the population of Rome plummets. So I think that’s an interesting moment where the
    3:20:17 city of Rome had always been this symbol and already it was no longer the capital. The emperors
    3:20:23 had moved to Ravenna a little bit north because it was surrounded by swamps, so it was more defensible.
    3:20:28 But there is something important about that old symbolic capital now just collapsing in terms
    3:20:34 of population numbers really no longer having importance because literally its food supply
    3:20:39 is cut off by losing those areas of the empire. And of course, the capital
    3:20:46 Constantine had founded a new second capital at what used to be Byzantium, a Greek city on
    3:20:51 the Bosphorus, which becomes Constantinople. He names it not very modestly after himself.
    3:20:57 And that now is really the dominant city for any of the Roman empires, Eastern or Western.
    3:21:02 So if you’re actually living in that century, the fifth century, it’s kind of like the Western
    3:21:07 Roman Empire dies with a whimper. It’s not like a bunch of strife.
    3:21:12 There’s a lot of moments you can pick. There’s an earlier one in the 300s when the Roman Empire,
    3:21:17 the Romans lose a big battle to some barbarians that symbolically is important.
    3:21:21 But yeah, I don’t think there’s one clear-cut moment. And again, I don’t know that it is the
    3:21:26 barbarians that cause the fall of the Roman Empire. I mean, this is the other game as people like to
    3:21:33 say when did the Roman Empire fall? The other big question is why did the Roman Empire fall
    3:21:40 if you defined it as falling? And I mean, barbarian invasions was the traditional answer.
    3:21:45 So there’s a French historian who famously said the Roman Empire didn’t fall, it was murdered,
    3:21:53 it was killed by barbarians. But I mean, there’s other explanations. I mean, some people say it
    3:22:00 was Christianity. Some say it was a climate that the Roman Empire flourished during this
    3:22:05 moment of luck when just the climate was good. And then you get this sort of late Roman little
    3:22:11 ice age and everything goes downhill and that’s what caused it. There’s some that say things
    3:22:18 like disease. There were a whole series of waves of plague that started to hit under Marcus Aurelius
    3:22:25 and continued after him, which seemed to have caused real serious death and economic disruption.
    3:22:29 I mean, that’s a decent explanation. Another popular one is moral decline,
    3:22:32 which I don’t think really works well. You even get the people saying, you know,
    3:22:37 lead poisoning, but that’s not true because they were drinking now the same pipes when
    3:22:41 the empire was expanding, right? Yeah, that’s fascinating. That’s fascinating. But
    3:22:48 often we kind of agree. That’s something that you’ve talked about quite a bit is the military
    3:22:54 perspective is the one that defines the rise and fall of empires. You have a really great
    3:23:00 lecture series called the decisive battles of world history, which is another fascinating
    3:23:04 perspective to look at world history. What makes a battle decisive?
    3:23:12 The easiest definition is it causes an immediate change in political structure. So who’s in charge?
    3:23:19 So the classic decisive political battle is Alexander beats King Darius III at the Battle
    3:23:26 of Gaugamela. And in that moment, we switch from the ruler of the entire huge Persian empire being
    3:23:31 Darius to now being Alexander, from it being Persian to being controlled by the Macedonians.
    3:23:38 So there is a one afternoon has this dramatic switch over a enormous geographic area, right?
    3:23:41 So that’s a decisive battle and that you see that immediate change.
    3:23:47 Other types of decisive battles are ones that might have more unforeseen long-term effects.
    3:23:53 You know, you may not realize this is decisive at the time, but from a longer perspective it is.
    3:24:03 And often those are ones that either allow some new people or idea or institution to either grow
    3:24:09 or have its growth curved. So at various points, we have empires that were expanding and basically
    3:24:13 were stopped at some battle. And so you say, well, if they hadn’t been stopped there,
    3:24:20 they might have gone on to dominate this whole area. Or conversely, you could say Rome wasn’t,
    3:24:24 they were one place before the Second Punic War, after the Second Punic War,
    3:24:28 they were its dominant force. So you could pick one of those battles and so that was decisive
    3:24:34 in setting them on this new path. It’s also an opportunity to demonstrate a new technology.
    3:24:39 And if that technology is effective, it changes history because that was either
    3:24:48 tactical or literally the technology used. So how important is technology and that
    3:24:54 technological advantage in war? Huge. I mean, the history of warfare is basically the history
    3:24:59 of technological change often. So I mean, there’s all the great moments of transition for a long
    3:25:07 time. We fought with hand-to-hand, with metal weapons. Then you start to have the gunpowder
    3:25:13 revolution, which causes all sorts of shifts there. There’s big changes of planes when they
    3:25:19 become a huge force. I mean, World War II is this crazy time where planes go from literally
    3:25:27 bi-planes, string and wood to jets four years later. So that’s this moment of incredibly fast
    3:25:31 technological change. Going into World War II, everybody thinks it’s all about battleships.
    3:25:36 Who’s got the biggest battleships? Four years later, battleships are just junk. Let’s just
    3:25:41 scrap them. It’s all about aircraft carriers. And that’s everything war at sea. So you have
    3:25:46 these moments, particularly in warfare, almost accelerated technological change where things
    3:25:55 happen very rapidly. And the civilization or the nation or the army that adapts more quickly to the
    3:26:01 new technology will often be the one that wins. And we’ve seen that story over and over and over
    3:26:07 again in history. It’s also interesting how much geography that you mentioned a few times affects
    3:26:16 wars. The result of wars, the rise and fall of empires, all of it. As silly as it is. It’s not
    3:26:21 the people or the technology. It’s like literally that there’s rivers. I think there’s a real
    3:26:27 geographic determinism to civilization itself. I mean, if you look at where civilization arose,
    3:26:33 it’s in Mesopotamia and sort of a swampy land between two rivers. It’s in the Nile River Delta,
    3:26:38 where the same situation. It’s in the Indus River where you have the same thing. And it’s along the
    3:26:44 Yellow Rivers and the Yangtze rivers where it’s the same thing. So that is geographically determined
    3:26:53 where those great civilizations of Asia or Europe are going to arise. It’s very much determined
    3:27:00 by that. And often the course of history has that strong geographical determination. I mean,
    3:27:08 you can argue that all of Egyptian ancient Egyptian society is kind of based around the
    3:27:13 cycle of the Nile Flood because it was so predictable and everything depended on it. And
    3:27:18 their whole religion actually develops around that. And Mesopotamia, the same thing. The way
    3:27:24 their religion develops is a reaction to the particular geographic environment that those
    3:27:31 people grew up in. So that’s a very profound influence on civilization. One of my professors
    3:27:37 once said to me, “The best map of the Roman Empire isn’t any of these maps with political
    3:27:43 borders. It would be a map that shows the zone in which it’s possible to cultivate olives.”
    3:27:49 So if you simply get a map and map onto it where you could grow olives during this time,
    3:27:57 let’s say first century AD, it corresponds exactly, I mean, really closely to the areas
    3:28:03 that are most heavily Romanized. Now, I’m not going to say that, you know, but there is something
    3:28:10 to that where Roman culture spread successfully is where people grow the same crops. And that’s
    3:28:16 just one of those fundamental things. Yeah. I mean, you so beautifully put that the perspective
    3:28:20 can change dramatically how you see history. I mean, you could probably tell
    3:28:24 world history through what, through olives, cinnamon, and gold.
    3:28:29 Yeah. That’s going to come really trendiest to look at history through objects. And I mean,
    3:28:36 for the Romans, the diet is huge. I mean, probably 80% of the people in the Roman world ate
    3:28:46 basically a diet of olive oil, wine, and wheat, right? That those three crops are the basic crops
    3:28:53 that they subsisted on. And just the way you have to grow those crops, where you grow them,
    3:28:57 that dictates so much about culture. And the Romans saw it that way.
    3:29:02 One of my favorite documents from the ancient world, and they defined civilization that way.
    3:29:08 So the Romans civilized people ate those crops and non-civilized people ate different food.
    3:29:15 So there’s this letter from a Greek who was serving as an administrator in the Roman government,
    3:29:22 and he gets posted to Germany, okay, to the far north. And he writes these pathetic letters back
    3:29:29 home to his family saying, “The inhabitants here lead the most wretched existence of all mankind,
    3:29:37 for they cultivate no olives and they grow no grapes.” So to him, that was hell, being posted
    3:29:42 to an area where they eat these terrible foreign foods. And of course, the cliche for the Romans of
    3:29:49 what barbarians eat is red meat. They’re herders, so they’re not farmers, but they follow herds of
    3:29:53 cow around, which is a totally different lifestyle. They eat dairy products, and they drink beer.
    3:30:00 And I tell my students sometimes that if you were to stick a Roman in a time machine and send
    3:30:05 him to where we live, which I teach in Wisconsin, Green Bay, Wisconsin, that Roman would step out,
    3:30:11 look around, see all the beer, the brats, and the cheese, and say, “I know who you guys are. You’re
    3:30:17 barbarians.” Barbarians, that’s another way to draw the boundary between olive oil, wine, wheat, and
    3:30:22 meat, dairy, and beer. But it’s more fundamental because it’s different forms of life. Because
    3:30:27 if you’re a farmer, you grow certain crops. And if you’re a farmer, you tend to stay in one place,
    3:30:32 you tend to build cities. If you’re following herds of cows around, you don’t build cities.
    3:30:39 You have a totally different lifestyle. So it’s diet, but it’s more fundamental underlying
    3:30:44 things about your entire culture. And many of the barbarians were nomadic tribes.
    3:30:48 Some of them were, yeah, definitely. Fascinating. I mean, this is just
    3:30:53 yet another fascinating way to– It’s a dietary determinism, geographic determinism. Yeah,
    3:30:59 these things are big. On the topic of war, it may be a ridiculous span of time and scale. But
    3:31:07 how do you think the World Wars of the 20th century compare to the wars that we’ve been
    3:31:13 talking about, of the Roman Empire, of Greece, and so on? I mean, what’s interesting about
    3:31:19 some of the Roman Civil Wars particularly is that they are World Wars at the time.
    3:31:25 So let’s take the war after the assassination of Julius Caesar. We’ve talked about that one a lot.
    3:31:30 That was fought– There were battles there fought in Spain, in North Africa, in Greece,
    3:31:35 in Egypt, in Italy. I mean, truly across the entire breadth of the Mediterranean,
    3:31:42 involving at least seven or eight different factions of Romans. And that was the world to them.
    3:31:47 I mean, that’s very similar in a way to our modern World Wars where this was a global conflict,
    3:31:54 at least as they envisioned the world they knew of. And if we somehow factor for transportation
    3:31:59 time, I mean, I think you can argue that that was a bigger war than World War II. I mean,
    3:32:05 in World War II, if you hopped on a plane, you could get from the US to China in a week or something,
    3:32:11 right, in little hops. I mean, in the ancient world, if you wanted to go from Spain to Egypt,
    3:32:19 it would take you a month. So they were fighting across a larger spacetime zone in terms of their
    3:32:23 technology to move than World War II took place across. That was in the sense World War II was
    3:32:29 quite contained. I mean, if we adjust for that sort of factor. So that was a global war. I think
    3:32:37 that would be very familiar. How do you think the atomic bomb nuclear weapons change war?
    3:32:46 Yeah, I mean, that’s the now we can destroy the world and truly kind of destroy civilization’s
    3:32:53 wholesale. And that does seem to be a new thing. I mean, no matter what the Romans did, they didn’t
    3:33:01 have that choice, that ability to think I can do something that will end life as we know it at
    3:33:09 least on the planet. And that’s a very different perspective. And I think we’re at an interesting
    3:33:13 moment right now. I mean, I’m getting way beyond ancient history here. But for a long time, we had
    3:33:21 this sort of stasis with the nuclear standoff, with mutually assured destruction between the US
    3:33:27 sort of block of nations and the Soviet ones. And it worked. And now we’re entering this kind of
    3:33:33 time when a lot more countries are going to start becoming nuclear capable. We might have a resurgence
    3:33:39 of just building new weapons platforms with China seems very eager to expand their nuclear arsenal
    3:33:47 in all sorts of ways. So it’s a unnerving time, let’s say right now. And it’s a terrifying experiment
    3:33:53 to find out if nuclear weapons, when a lot of nations have nuclear weapons, is that going to
    3:33:59 enforce civility and peace? Or is it actually going to be destabilizing and ultimately civilization
    3:34:04 destroying? Right. I mean, it was weirdly stable when it was a bipolar world where you had just
    3:34:10 sort of those two blocks. Now with a multipolar world with access to these weapons, I don’t know.
    3:34:13 I mean, we’re kind of jumping out of the ancient world. But I’ll tell you, one thing that’s always
    3:34:19 fascinated me in this sort of comparison of ancient and modern is how people don’t learn
    3:34:24 the lessons of the past in military history. And the very specific example that in my lifetime,
    3:34:31 I’ve seen play out twice is just certain places people make the same mistakes over and over again.
    3:34:38 So a nice example is Afghanistan, or roughly that sort of northern Pakistan slash into what is
    3:34:47 Afghanistan. I mean, that is a geographic region that over and over again, the best, most sophisticated
    3:34:53 armies in the world have invaded and have met horrible failure. And that goes all the way back
    3:35:00 to Alexander the Great tried to conquer that area, the Mongols tried to do it, the Huns tried to do
    3:35:08 it, the Mughals tried to do it, Victorian Britain tried to do it, the Russians tried to do it,
    3:35:14 the Americans tried to do it, and they made the very same mistakes over and over and over again.
    3:35:20 And the two mistakes are not understanding the terrain, that it’s a rocky mountainous area
    3:35:26 that people can always hide in caves. And it’s not understanding the fundamentally tribal nature
    3:35:31 of that area, that that’s where the real allegiance is, is in these tribes, it’s not in a centralized
    3:35:38 government. And that’s the same error Alexander made as the British made in the 19th century
    3:35:45 as the Russians as the Americans. And it’s just, it’s so depressing as a historian who
    3:35:50 studies history to see these things being repeated over and over again, and you know exactly what’s
    3:35:58 going to happen. For leaders not to be learning lessons of history, you co-wrote a book precisely
    3:36:04 on this topic, the long shadow of antiquity, what have the Greeks and Romans done for us?
    3:36:10 What are some key elements of antiquity that are reflected in the modern world?
    3:36:15 Yeah, it’s a book that my wife and I wrote together, and it is trying to
    3:36:25 make people understand how deeply rooted are current actions in almost every way, even things
    3:36:32 that we think are just truly unique parts of our culture, or things that we think are just
    3:36:37 innate to human nature are actually rooted in the past. So this is another power of the past thing.
    3:36:42 And this is just a long specific list of examples really. So I mean, we go through
    3:36:47 government and education and intellectual stuff and art and architecture. And a lot of things
    3:36:55 we’ve been talking about today, language, culture, medicine, but even things like habits, the way
    3:37:00 we celebrate things, the way we get married, our married rituals have all sorts of things in common
    3:37:06 with Roman weddings. The calendar. The calendar, the words. We’re using Julius Caesar’s calendar.
    3:37:10 I mean, Pope Gregory did one tiny little twist, but Caesar’s the one who basically came up with
    3:37:17 our current calendar with 365 days, 12 months, leap years, all that. So we’re living in law.
    3:37:25 There’s just no way to escape the power of the past. And what I believe very ardently is that
    3:37:31 you can’t make good decisions in the present. And you can’t make good decisions about the future
    3:37:36 without understanding the past. And that’s not just true with your own life, but it’s in understanding
    3:37:40 others. So it’s not only your own past you have to understand, but you have to understand other
    3:37:45 people, what’s influencing them. So you can’t interact with others unless you understand where
    3:37:48 they’re coming from. And the answer to where they’re coming from is where they came from
    3:37:55 and what shaped them and what forces affect them. So I think it’s absolutely vital to have some
    3:38:00 understanding of the past in order to make competent decisions in the present.
    3:38:06 What are some of the problems when we try to gain lessons from history and look back?
    3:38:14 We’ve spoken about them a bit, the bias of the historian. Maybe what are the problems in studying
    3:38:23 history and how do we avoid them? Probably the biggest problems are the sources themselves,
    3:38:29 the incompleteness of them. And this gets more intense the farther back we go of time.
    3:38:33 So if you say, I want to write a book about the 19th century,
    3:38:38 there is more material available for almost any topic you want to pick than you could possibly
    3:38:42 go through in your lifetime. If you say, I want to write a book about the Roman world,
    3:38:48 this is a very different thing. In my office, I have a bookshelf that’s, I don’t know,
    3:38:55 eight feet high, 10 feet wide, and it contains pretty much all the maintenance surviving
    3:39:03 Greek and Roman literary texts. One bookshelf. It’s a big bookshelf. But that’s what we use to
    3:39:08 interpret this world. Now, there’s a lot of other types of texts. There’s papyri,
    3:39:12 there’s all sorts of things, there are inscriptions, there’s archaeological evidence,
    3:39:21 so there’s other stuff. But honestly, 99% of things about the world I study are lost.
    3:39:28 So then you get into all the issues are, is what we have surviving a representative example?
    3:39:33 We know it’s not. For example, all the literary texts are written by one tiny group, elite males.
    3:39:40 So that’s a problem there. There’s the problem of bias. We know that they’re not necessarily
    3:39:45 telling us the truth. They have an agenda. They’re representing history in a certain
    3:39:50 way to achieve certain things. Then there’s the problem of transmission. I mean, all those texts
    3:39:54 are copies of copies of copies of copies. And everybody knows that game where you whisper
    3:39:58 a sentence to someone and then go around the room, are you going to get that same sentence back?
    3:40:01 Well, every ancient text we have has gone through that process.
    3:40:09 So this is a real problem. And that’s just with the sources. And this is the historic era.
    3:40:15 When you move back just a little earlier to the prehistoric era or to civilizations that don’t
    3:40:19 have written sources surviving, and some of these are ancient Mediterranean ones,
    3:40:26 I mean, anything goes. I mean, one of the jokes is that museums, archaeological museums are full
    3:40:33 of objects which are labeled cult object. It’s a religious object. And I think the honest label
    3:40:38 that should be on that thing is, we have no idea what the hell this is. But I want to believe it’s
    3:40:43 something important. So I’m going to say it’s a religious object. But in reality, it’s an ancient
    3:40:49 toilet paper roll holder or something. And it’s a huge problem when you try to interpret
    3:40:56 a civilization without written texts. And my favorite little story that kind of illustrates
    3:41:02 this is, in the 19th century, this German who had gone to school in England, okay,
    3:41:07 one of the best educated guys of his time, goes to North Africa and is poking around in the desert.
    3:41:15 And he finds this site with these huge stone monoliths 10 feet tall in pairs. And there’s a
    3:41:21 lintel stone across the top, so sort of like big, you know, two posts with a stone across the top.
    3:41:26 And there’s a big stone in front of them too. And so he looks at this stuff and he says,
    3:41:32 well, what does this remind me of? It reminds me of Stonehenge, right? And there’s even a site
    3:41:37 where there’s multiple of these kind of in a square. So he goes back and talks about this and
    3:41:41 an Englishman goes and studies them. And he finds a ton of these sites, and he finds some of them
    3:41:47 where there’s 17 of these pairs. And so he goes back and he writes a whole book about how clearly
    3:41:52 the Celtic peoples who once lived in Britain came originally from North Africa, because he’s found
    3:41:57 this site, and he reconstructs the religion where obviously they practice religious rituals here,
    3:42:03 and they had rites of passage, they squeeze between the things, and the altar stones have this basin,
    3:42:10 so they had blood sacrifice and all this. And it seemed reasonable. And then you ask some locals,
    3:42:14 well, what’s that stuff out in the desert there? And they’re like, oh, the old Roman olive oil
    3:42:19 factory? And those are the remains of an olive press. And we’re back to olives. I keep dwelling
    3:42:28 on olives. Olives don’t grow in England or Germany. So this is cultural bias. If all you have is
    3:42:33 physical evidence, you’re going to interpret that evidence through your own cultural biases.
    3:42:37 So if you’re an Englishman, and you see big stone uprights like this, you’re going to think
    3:42:45 Stonehenge. If you’re from the Mediterranean, you’re going to think olive press. So that’s a
    3:42:51 salutary example, I think, of the dangers of interpreting physical evidence when you don’t
    3:42:57 have written evidence to go along with it. And think today, if our civilization were to
    3:43:03 blow up in a particular war, and archaeologists were to dig this up, how might they misinterpret
    3:43:11 things? I mean, if they were to dig up a college dorm, like where I work, and that’s what you had
    3:43:15 for this civilization, you’d probably go in the dorm rooms, you’d find all these little rooms,
    3:43:21 and maybe in every room, you’d find this mysterious plastic disc. And so everybody has these. So it
    3:43:27 must be a cult object. And it’s round. So obviously, they’re sun worshipers. And if you can decipher
    3:43:31 the inscription, you’ll see that obviously, they all worship the great sun god, Wamo.
    3:43:39 It’s like, what do you find in every dorm room? Frisbee. So that’s the level of interpretation
    3:43:43 you have to be aware of. And there’s examples where we’ve done exactly this.
    3:43:49 So we have to have intellectual humility when we look back into the past. But hopefully,
    3:43:54 if you have that without coming up with really strong narratives, if you look at
    3:44:01 a large variety of evidence, you can start to construct a picture that somewhat rhymes
    3:44:07 with the truth. Yes. I mean, as a professional historian, that’s what you do. You attempt to
    3:44:15 reconstruct an image of the past that is faithful to the evidence you have as filtered through what
    3:44:21 you can perceive of both the biases and the problems of the source material and your own
    3:44:27 biases. And it’s a interpretation. It’s a reconstruction. But it’s a lot like science,
    3:44:32 where you’re in a process of constantly reevaluating it and saying, “Okay, here’s some new evidence.
    3:44:38 How do I work this into the picture? How do I now adjust it?” And that’s what’s fun. I mean, it’s a
    3:44:44 mystery. You’re being a detective and trying to reconstruct and to understand a society.
    3:44:49 And it’s even more fun where it’s, yeah, you have to try to empathize. Empathy is a great human
    3:44:55 thing to empathize with people who are not yourself. And we should do this all the time with just the
    3:45:00 people we encounter. But this is what we’re doing with ancient civilizations. And as I talked about
    3:45:05 earlier, sometimes you’ll feel great sympathy there. Sometimes you’ll feel incomprehension.
    3:45:11 But by being aware of both of those, you can maybe begin to get some grasp, however tentative,
    3:45:18 on the truth as you might perceive it. To ask a ridiculous question, when our time,
    3:45:24 you and I, we together, become ancient history. When historians, let’s say,
    3:45:34 two, three, 4,000 years from now look back at our time. And like you, try to look at the details
    3:45:39 and reconstruct from that the big picture of what was going on. What do you think they’ll say?
    3:45:43 I would guess it’ll be something that’s actually more of a commentary on whatever’s going on at
    3:45:48 that point than on the reality of us. Because that’s what we tend to do. I’ll tell you what I’d
    3:45:54 like to have them say is to say, in this civilization, I can detect progress that they have
    3:46:01 advanced in some way, whether kind of in moral terms or in self-awareness or have learned from
    3:46:05 what’s come before. I mean, that’s all you can try and do is do a little bit better than whatever
    3:46:11 came before you to look back at what happened and try to do something. Livy, I mean, one of the
    3:46:17 great Roman historians, the beginning of his work, a history of Rome, which is this massive thing,
    3:46:24 he says, “The utility and the purpose of history is this. It provides you an infinite variety of
    3:46:33 experiences and models, noble things to imitate and shameful things to avoid.” And I think he’s right.
    3:46:40 And they would perhaps be better at highlighting which shameful things we started avoiding and
    3:46:45 which noble things we started imitating. With the perspective of history, they’ll be able to
    3:46:53 identify, or maybe with the bias of the historians of the time. In that grand perspective, what gives
    3:47:03 you hope about our future as a humanity, as a civilization? We have curiosity. I think curiosity
    3:47:09 is a great thing that you want to learn something new. I think the human impulse to learn new stuff
    3:47:15 is one of our best characteristics. And at least up to this point, what makes us special is the
    3:47:21 ability to store up an accumulation of knowledge and to pass that knowledge on to the next generation.
    3:47:25 I mean, that’s really all we are. We’re the accumulation of the knowledge of
    3:47:31 infinite generations that have come before us. And everything we do is based on that. Otherwise,
    3:47:38 we’d all just be starting at ground zero from the beginning. So our ability to store up knowledge
    3:47:44 and pass it on, I think, is our special power as human beings. And I think our curiosity is what
    3:47:50 keeps us going forward. I agree. And for that, I thank you for being one of the most wonderful
    3:47:54 examples of that, of you yourself being a curious being and emanating that throughout,
    3:47:59 and inspiring a lot of other people to be curious by being out there in the world and teaching.
    3:48:02 So thank you for that. And thank you for talking today.
    3:48:05 No, enjoyed it. It’s fun. I obviously like talking about this.
    3:48:12 Thanks for listening to this conversation with Gregory Aldrete. To support this podcast,
    3:48:18 please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, let me leave you some words from Julius
    3:48:34 Caesar. “I came. I saw. I conquered.” Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time.
    3:48:44 [Music]

    Gregory Aldrete is a historian specializing in ancient Rome and military history.
    Thank you for listening ❤ Check out our sponsors: https://lexfridman.com/sponsors/ep443-sc
    See below for timestamps, transcript, and to give feedback, submit questions, contact Lex, etc.

    Transcript:
    https://lexfridman.com/gregory-aldrete-transcript

    CONTACT LEX:
    Feedback – give feedback to Lex: https://lexfridman.com/survey
    AMA – submit questions, videos or call-in: https://lexfridman.com/ama
    Hiring – join our team: https://lexfridman.com/hiring
    Other – other ways to get in touch: https://lexfridman.com/contact

    EPISODE LINKS:
    Gregory’s Website: https://gregorysaldrete.com/
    Gregory’s Books: https://amzn.to/3z6NiKC
    Gregory’s Great Courses Plus: https://www.thegreatcoursesplus.com/gregory-s-aldrete
    Gregory’s Audible: https://adbl.co/4e72oP0

    SPONSORS:
    To support this podcast, check out our sponsors & get discounts:
    LMNT: Zero-sugar electrolyte drink mix.
    Go to https://drinkLMNT.com/lex
    Shopify: Sell stuff online.
    Go to https://shopify.com/lex
    AG1: All-in-one daily nutrition drinks.
    Go to https://drinkag1.com/lex
    BetterHelp: Online therapy and counseling.
    Go to https://betterhelp.com/lex
    ExpressVPN: Fast & secure VPN.
    Go to https://expressvpn.com/lexpod

    OUTLINE:
    (00:00) – Introduction
    (08:38) – Ancient world
    (22:34) – Three phases of Roman history
    (25:24) – Rome’s expansion
    (37:04) – Punic wars
    (45:36) – Conquering Greece
    (47:14) – Scipio vs Hannibal
    (50:21) – Heavy infantry vs Cavalry
    (53:57) – Armor
    (1:06:48) – Alexander the Great
    (1:12:49) – Roman law
    (1:22:29) – Slavery
    (1:30:09) – Fall of the Roman Republic
    (1:33:54) – Julius Caesar
    (1:38:33) – Octavian’s rise
    (1:48:25) – Cleopatra
    (1:56:47) – Augustus
    (2:24:57) – Religion in Rome
    (2:49:03) – Emperors
    (2:56:10) – Marcus Aurelius
    (3:02:21) – Taxes
    (3:05:29) – Fall of the Roman Empire
    (3:22:41) – Decisive battles
    (3:46:51) – Hope

    PODCAST LINKS:
    – Podcast Website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast
    – Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr
    – Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8
    – RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/
    – Podcast Playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLrAXtmErZgOdP_8GztsuKi9nrraNbKKp4
    – Clips Channel: https://www.youtube.com/lexclips

  • #442 – Donald Trump Interview

    AI transcript
    0:00:05 the following is a conversation with Donald Trump on this, the Lex Friedman podcast.
    0:00:10 And now a quick few second mention of each sponsor. Check them out in the description.
    0:00:17 It’s the best way to support this podcast. We got ground news for a nonpartisan news aggregator
    0:00:21 on cord for unifying your machine learning stack, aid sleep for naps,
    0:00:28 net suite for business, and Shopify for e-commerce. Choose wisely, my friends. Also,
    0:00:34 if you want to get in touch with me for a multitude of reasons, go to lexfreeman.com/contact.
    0:00:40 And now onto the full ad reads. As always, no ads in the middle. I try to make these
    0:00:45 interesting, but if you skip them, please still check out the sponsors. I enjoy their stuff.
    0:00:52 Maybe you will too. This episode is brought to you by one of my favorite websites, Ground News,
    0:00:59 a nonpartisan news aggregator I use to compare media coverage from across the political spectrum.
    0:01:04 The point is to see every side of the story, especially political stories,
    0:01:10 and come to your own conclusion. We’ve been talking about it on this podcast,
    0:01:17 on many podcasts, just how biased specific media sources are. Like most problems in the world,
    0:01:24 this can be explained by incentives. The funding is drying out for news organizations,
    0:01:33 so they more and more rely on clickbait journalism. And clickbait journalism requires
    0:01:40 extreme polarization. So just like in the Soviet Union, when everyone knew the official sources
    0:01:47 was propaganda, you have to arrive at the truth by getting a lot of sources and integrating them
    0:01:54 yourself and understanding where exactly the truth lies, because it often lies in the nuance,
    0:02:00 in the details, in the middle. Anyway, all that said, it’s obvious that this is a thing that
    0:02:06 can be solved with a tech solution. And that’s exactly what Ground News is. Every story they
    0:02:12 provide, it comes with the breakdown of political bias and reliability of sources. And it offers
    0:02:18 multiple perspectives. It’s just a really, really nice website. Oh, and a cool feature, the blindspot
    0:02:26 feed shows discrepancies in media coverage on the left and the right. So go to groundnews.com/lex
    0:02:32 to get 40% off the Ground News Vantage plan, giving you access to all of their features. That’s
    0:02:42 GroundG-R-O-U-N-D News.com/lex. This episode is also brought to you by Encore, a new sponsor.
    0:02:49 It’s a platform that provides data focused AI tooling for data annotation, curation, and management,
    0:02:55 and for model evaluation, and a bunch of other stuff, basically the whole machine learning stack.
    0:02:58 But what they do really well is focus on the data side of machine learning, which
    0:03:04 does not often enough get the love it deserves. Many of the things they do go under the flag
    0:03:10 of active learning. This is a topic that’s always been fascinating to me, but they just,
    0:03:14 they pull off the whole thing really well. I just have to celebrate them for doing a great job,
    0:03:21 just on the interface. Getting the annotation interface easy and natural and efficient is
    0:03:29 amazing. Like days after SAM2, the MetaSegment Anything Model 2 was released, they integrated
    0:03:38 into their tooling. So you can run this real-time object segmentation model inside their tool.
    0:03:43 And this works on both images and videos. And so it provides you an initial segmentation that you
    0:03:49 can then adjust. On top of that, they provide instructions on how you can fine-tune the segment
    0:03:55 Anything Model, such that it can perform better based on the annotations that you provide.
    0:04:00 You also have a bunch of other data management kind of features, for example, indexing.
    0:04:07 You can unify multimodal data from local and from cloud into one platform. And you can do
    0:04:14 all kinds of stuff like visualize it. You can search it. You can do granular curation. I mean,
    0:04:19 it’s just amazing. The fact that these folks put together the whole machine learning stack into
    0:04:27 one place, I just, I don’t know, fills me with joy. So thank you to them. And if you’re a person or
    0:04:33 company that is using machine learning, go try out Encore to curate, annotate, and manage your AI
    0:04:43 data at Encore.com/Lex. That’s Encore.com/Lex. This episode is also brought to you by 8Sleep,
    0:04:49 and it’s pod for Ultra. The night before I had a conversation with Donald Trump,
    0:04:57 I didn’t sleep in my 8Sleep. I wasn’t home. And so I didn’t sleep too well. I was going in my head
    0:05:01 through all the possible trajectories that conversation could go. But primarily there was
    0:05:07 a temperature issue because the bed wasn’t cold, like it would be with 8Sleep. I just can’t
    0:05:13 understate how amazing it is to have a cold bed with a warm blanket. It’s an escape from the
    0:05:21 turmoil of the world, this temporary respite from the chaos, from the suffering that is life.
    0:05:30 And I wonder why it is that the world I saw on ayahuasca is not the world I’ve ever seen in my
    0:05:39 dreams. Where was it that I was able to go with the help of this rocket ship that I couldn’t go
    0:05:46 while taking a nap? What is the human mind capable of? That’s what psychedelics make me think.
    0:05:52 What are the limits of my mind? The limits of my visualization capability,
    0:06:00 the limits of my cognition capability, the limits of my consciousness. I wonder.
    0:06:08 Anyway, go to 8Sleep.com/Lex and use code Lex to get 350 bucks off the pod for Ultra.
    0:06:14 This episode is also brought to you by Netsuite, an all-in-one cloud business management system.
    0:06:22 It’s the machine within the machine of capitalism. It helps you manage all the disparate components
    0:06:29 of a company, financials, HR, inventory, e-commerce, and so on. I speak to it at the end of this episode
    0:06:37 in the AMA, all the amazing possibilities I have in my life to build, to create. And one of them is
    0:06:43 indeed running a company. Every time I talk about Netsuite, I’m pulled back into this thought
    0:06:52 if for a brief moment. Sometimes I feel like it is not me that decides where my life goes,
    0:06:59 but some kind of winds of fortune. More and more, I’m starting to realize that I’m less the guy who
    0:07:08 plans and more the guy who follows this instinct. But anyway, it does seem that if I get a chance
    0:07:16 to follow down this path, it will be difficult, but fulfilling one. And if you are walking down
    0:07:23 that path, join over 37,000 companies that have upgraded to Netsuite by Oracle. Take advantage
    0:07:31 of Netsuite’s flexible financing plan at Netsuite.com/Lex. That’s Netsuite.com/Lex. This episode is
    0:07:37 brought to you by Shopify, a platform designed for anyone to sell anywhere with a great looking
    0:07:45 online store. I, even I, am selling shirts on Netsuite.com/Store. I’ve been wearing this shirt
    0:07:52 that says birds aren’t real. If you’re not aware, it’s a conspiracy theory that birds aren’t real,
    0:07:58 like the name of the conspiracy theory suggests. And that in fact, the birds we see in the sky are
    0:08:08 drones used by the government to engage in mass surveillance of a citizenry. So I have actually
    0:08:13 two birds aren’t real shirts. In one of them, it says birds aren’t real and really big ladders.
    0:08:19 And I wear it around town and I get to start conversations with some interesting people.
    0:08:27 I think the shirts you wear create opportunities for discovering interesting people. So think
    0:08:36 of it that way. Merch as gateway for conversation. And if you want to sell gateways of conversations
    0:08:44 or other kinds of products, you can sign up for a $1 per month trial period at Shopify.com/Lex.
    0:08:52 That’s all lowercase go to Shopify.com/Lex to take your business to the next level today.
    0:08:56 This is a Lex’s treatment podcast. To support it,
    0:09:15 please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, dear friends, here’s Donald Trump.
    0:09:22 They’re getting smaller and smaller. They’re getting smaller. Right? I mean,
    0:09:25 people do respect you more when you have a big camera for some of this. No,
    0:09:30 it’s cool. And about 20 guys that you pay a fortune to, right? All right. Okay.
    0:09:39 You said that you love winning and you have won a lot in life in real estate, in business,
    0:09:45 in TV, in politics. So let me start with a mindset, a psychology question.
    0:09:50 What drives you more? The love of winning or the hate of losing?
    0:09:58 Maybe equally. Maybe both. I don’t like losing and I do like winning. I’ve never thought of it
    0:10:04 as to which is more of a driving force. You’ve been close with a lot of the greats in sport.
    0:10:10 You think about Tiger Woods, Muhammad Ali. You have people like Michael Jordan,
    0:10:16 who I think hate losing more than anybody. So what do you learn from those guys?
    0:10:21 Well, they do have something different. The great champions have something very different,
    0:10:27 like the sports champions. And you have champions in other fields, but you see it more readily in
    0:10:33 sports. You see it over a weekend or you see it during a game. And you see that certain people
    0:10:40 stand out and they keep, they keep standing out. But it’s there for you. It doesn’t take a lifetime
    0:10:46 to find out that somebody was a winner or a loser. And so the sports thing is very interesting. But
    0:10:52 you know, I play golf with different people and you have, there’s a different mindset
    0:10:57 among champions. There’s really a very different mindset. There’s a different,
    0:11:03 there’s a different thought process. You know, talent wise, sometimes you can’t tell the difference
    0:11:11 in talent, but at the end of a weekend, they seem to win. And it’s very interesting. Like as an
    0:11:17 example, a Tiger or Jack Nicholas, he was a phenomenal winner. And he does have a different
    0:11:23 way about him. And Tiger has a different way about him. And Michael Jordan, and there’s never one,
    0:11:27 you would think that there’d be one way Arnold Palmer was the nicest guy you’d ever meet.
    0:11:34 And then you have some champions that aren’t really nice. They’re just focused on doing their
    0:11:43 job. So you have, you know, there’s not one type of person. But the one thing I would say that
    0:11:49 everybody seems to have in common is they’re very driven. They’re driven like beyond.
    0:11:53 They don’t seem to give up easily. They don’t give up. They don’t give up,
    0:11:59 but they do seem to be, you know, they have a passion that’s maybe more than people that don’t
    0:12:07 do as well. You’ve said that politics is a dirty game. Yeah. It is a dirty game. That’s certainly
    0:12:14 true. So if it is a game, how do you win at that game? Well, you win at that game by getting the
    0:12:22 word out. And by using sense, you have to have a feeling where it’s going. You also have to have
    0:12:26 a feeling of what’s right. You can’t necessarily just go what’s popular. You have to do what’s good
    0:12:31 for a country if you’re talking about countries or, but you, you have to get the word out and you
    0:12:35 have to just continuously, like for instance, you have a great show. You have a great podcast.
    0:12:41 It’s very well watched and I’m sitting here and I do this. A lot of people see it and I do other
    0:12:47 things and a lot of people see that. And I go traditional also, you know, you have traditional
    0:12:53 television, which is getting a little bit older and maybe less significant, could be less significant,
    0:13:03 I don’t know. But it’s changing a lot. The whole plane of platform is changing a lot. It’s changed
    0:13:09 a lot in the last two, three years. But from a political standpoint, you have to find out what
    0:13:14 people are doing, what they’re watching and you have to get it, you have to get on. I just see
    0:13:22 that these platforms are starting to dominate. They’re getting very big numbers. I did Spaces
    0:13:27 with Elon and they got numbers like nobody’s ever heard before. So, you know, this is,
    0:13:34 you wouldn’t do that on like radio. You wouldn’t do that. Those numbers, no matter how good a show,
    0:13:37 you wouldn’t do those numbers on radio. You wouldn’t do them on television.
    0:13:41 You’ve been successful in business. You’ve been successful in politics. What do you think is the
    0:13:47 difference between gaining success between the two, the two different, disparate worlds?
    0:13:52 Yeah, and they’re different, very different. I have a lot of people that are in business
    0:13:58 that are successful and they’d like to go over to politics and then you realize they can’t speak.
    0:14:06 They choke. You know, it’s hard to make a speech in front of that. Let’s say you’re talking about a
    0:14:12 big audience, but I get very big audiences and, you know, for many people, it’s virtually impossible
    0:14:21 to get up and speak for an hour and a half and have nobody leave. You know, it’s not an easy thing
    0:14:28 to do and it’s an ability, but I have many people that are very, very successful in business would
    0:14:37 love to do what I did and yet they can’t pull the trigger. And in many cases, I don’t think it would
    0:14:43 work almost for everybody. It’s not going to work. It’s a very tough thing to do. It’s a big
    0:14:50 transition. And now, if you talked about people in the business and politics going into business,
    0:14:56 likewise, that wouldn’t generally work out so well either. It’s different talents,
    0:14:59 it’s different skills. I have somebody who wants to go into politics so bad, but
    0:15:06 he’s got a little problem. He’s got stage fright. Now, he’s a total killer, but if he gets up into
    0:15:12 a stage in front of people, he doesn’t do well. To put it mildly, actually. I mean, he does badly.
    0:15:18 So you have to be able to make hard decisions like you do in business, but also be able to
    0:15:22 captivate an audience. Look, if you’re a politician, you have to be able to speak in front of large
    0:15:28 crowds. There are a lot of people who can’t do that. I’ve seen it. They can’t even think about
    0:15:34 doing it. And they don’t. There are many people in business right now. I could name them, but I
    0:15:39 don’t want to embarrass anybody. They’ve been talking about running for president for 15 years.
    0:15:45 And they’re very big in business, very well known, actually. But it takes guts to run.
    0:15:51 Like for president, I can tell you it takes guts to run. It’s also a very dangerous profession,
    0:15:58 if you want to know the truth, but dangerous in a different sense too. But it takes a lot of courage
    0:16:03 to run for president. It’s not easy, but you have, and you know, the same people as I do,
    0:16:09 there are a lot of people that would like to run for president that are very, very successful in
    0:16:13 business, but they don’t have the guts to do it. And they have to give up a lot.
    0:16:19 One of the great things about people from the business world is they’re often great
    0:16:26 deal makers. And you’re a great deal maker. And you’ve talked about the war in Ukraine,
    0:16:31 and that you would be able to find a deal that both Putin and Zelensky would accept.
    0:16:37 What do you think that deal looks like? I think the deal, and I wouldn’t talk about it too much,
    0:16:44 because I think I can make a deal. If I win as president-elect, I’ll have a deal made, guaranteed.
    0:16:50 That’s a war that shouldn’t have happened. It’s terrible. Look, Biden is the worst president,
    0:16:55 and the history of our country, and she’s probably worse than him. That’s something that
    0:17:01 should have never happened, but it did happen. And now it’s a much tougher deal to make than it
    0:17:06 would have been before it started. Millions of people, I think the number is going to be a
    0:17:11 lot higher when you see this all at some point iron out. I think the numbers are going to be,
    0:17:15 the death numbers are going to be a lot higher than people think. When you take a look at the
    0:17:21 destruction and the buildings coming down all over the place in Ukraine, I think those numbers
    0:17:26 are going to be a lot higher. They lie about the numbers. They try and keep them low. They knock
    0:17:31 down a building that’s two blocks long. These are big buildings, and they say one person was
    0:17:39 mildly injured. No, no. A lot of people were killed, and there are people in those buildings,
    0:17:46 and they have no chance. Once they start coming down, there’s no chance. So that’s a war that
    0:17:50 absolutely has to get done, and then you have Israel, and then you have a lot of other places
    0:17:57 that are talking war. The world is a rough place right now, and a lot of it’s because of the fact
    0:18:03 that America has no leadership, and I believe that she’ll be probably worse than Biden. I watched
    0:18:10 the interview the other night. I mean, it was just a softball interview. So you would like to
    0:18:15 see her do more interviews, challenge more? I don’t know. I can’t believe the whole thing is
    0:18:20 happening. We had a man in there that should have never been in there. They kept them in a
    0:18:24 basement. They used COVID. They cheated, but they used COVID to cheat, and they cheated without COVID
    0:18:31 too. But you had somebody in there, and now we have a woman that is not, I mean, she couldn’t
    0:18:37 do an interview. This was a really soft interview. This is an interview where they given a multiple
    0:18:45 choice questions, multiple guess. I got multiple guess, and I don’t think she did well. I think
    0:18:49 she did very poorly. How do you think you’ll do in the debate coming up? It’s in a few days.
    0:18:55 So I’ve done a lot of debating, only as a politician. I never debated. My first debate was the
    0:19:01 Rosie O’Donnell debate, right? The famous Rosie O’Donnell debate, the answer. But I’ve done well
    0:19:06 with debates. I mean, I became president. Then the second time, I got millions more votes than I
    0:19:12 got the first time. So I was told, if I got 63 million, which is what I got the first time,
    0:19:19 you would win. You can’t not win. And I got millions of more votes than that and
    0:19:27 lost by a whisker. And look what happened to the world with all of the wars and all of the problems.
    0:19:33 And look what happened with inflation, because inflation is just eating up our country,
    0:19:40 eating it up. So it’s too bad. But there are a lot of things that could happen. We have to get
    0:19:45 those wars settled. I’ll tell you, you have to get Ukraine done. That could end up in a third
    0:19:51 world war. So could the Middle East. So could the Middle East. So maybe let’s talk about what it
    0:19:57 takes to negotiate with somebody like Putin or Zelensky. Do you think Putin would be willing to
    0:20:02 give up any of the regions that are already captured? I don’t know. I can tell you that
    0:20:07 all of this would have never happened. And it would have been very easy,
    0:20:11 because you don’t have like that question wouldn’t be asked. You know, that’s a tougher question.
    0:20:16 Once that starts happening, because he has taken over a lot of territory. Now I guess they’re
    0:20:24 insurgents now too, right? So it’s a little bit interesting that that’s happening and that it
    0:20:32 can happen. And it’s interesting that Putin has allowed that to happen. Look, that’s one that
    0:20:39 should have never started. We have to get it stopped. Ukraine is being demolished. They’re
    0:20:44 destroying a great culture that’s largely destroyed. What do you think works better in those kinds
    0:20:52 of negotiations, leverage of let’s say friendship, the carrot or the stick, friendship or sort of the
    0:20:58 threat of using the economic and military power? So it depends on who the person is. You know,
    0:21:04 everyone’s different. Negotiations interesting because it depends on who the person is.
    0:21:10 And then you have to guess or know through certain knowledge, which is, you know, more
    0:21:16 important, the carrot or the stick. And with some people, it’s the stick and with some people,
    0:21:22 it’s the carrot. I think the stick probably is generally more successful in that, you know,
    0:21:30 we’re talking about war. But the kind of destruction that we’re witnessing now that
    0:21:35 nobody’s ever seen. I mean, it’s a terrible thing. And we’re witnessing it all over. We’re
    0:21:41 witnessing it in all parts of the world. And a lot of things are going to get started.
    0:21:46 Look what’s going on with China. Look at Japan. They’re starting to rearm now. They’re starting
    0:21:52 to rearm because China is getting, you know, taking over certain islands. And there’s a lot
    0:21:58 of danger in the war right now in the world. There’s a lot of, and there’s a great possibility
    0:22:05 of World War Three. And we better get this thing done fast because five months with people like
    0:22:12 her and him, he’s checked out. He just goes to the beach and thinks he looks good in a bathing suit,
    0:22:17 which he doesn’t. He sort of checked out. Hey, look, you know, you can’t blame him.
    0:22:26 That was a coup. They took it over. They took over the presidential deal. The whole presidential
    0:22:30 thing was taken over in a coup. He had 14 million votes. She had no votes, not one.
    0:22:38 And nobody thought it was going to be her. Nobody wanted it to be her. She was a joke until six
    0:22:43 weeks ago when they said, we’re going to have to, politically, they felt they had to pick her.
    0:22:49 And if they didn’t pick her, they thought they’d be a problem. I don’t know if that’s right or
    0:22:53 not. I actually don’t think it’s right, but, you know, they, they thought it was right.
    0:22:59 And now immediately the press comes to their aid. If we can go back to China
    0:23:06 on negotiation, how do we avoid war with China in the 21st century?
    0:23:12 Well, there are ways now. Here’s the problem. If I tell you how, and I’d love to do it,
    0:23:19 but if I, if I give you a plan, like I have a very exacting plan how to stop Ukraine and Russia,
    0:23:26 and I have a certain idea, maybe not a plan, but an idea for China, because we do, you know,
    0:23:32 we’re going to, we’re in a lot of trouble. They’ll be in a lot of trouble too, but we’re in a lot of
    0:23:37 trouble. But I can’t give you those plans because if I give you those plans, I’m not going to be
    0:23:41 able to use them. They’ll be very unsuccessful. You know, part of it’s surprise, right?
    0:23:47 But they won’t be able to help us much. So you have a plan of what to say to Putin?
    0:23:51 Yeah, I know. You take office. No, I had a very good relationship with him,
    0:23:56 and I had a good relationship with Zelensky too, but I had a very good relationship with Putin.
    0:24:04 Tough topic, but important. You said lost by a whisker. I’m an independent. I have a lot of
    0:24:11 friends who are independent, many of whom like your policies, like the fact that you’re a dealmaker,
    0:24:22 like the fact that you can end wars, but they are troubled by what happened in the 2020 election
    0:24:28 and statements about widespread fraud and this kind of stuff, fake electroscheme.
    0:24:34 What can you say to those independent voters to help them decide who to vote for?
    0:24:38 Right. I think the fraud was on the other side. I think the election was a fraud,
    0:24:47 and many people felt it was that, and they wanted answers. And when you can’t challenge an election,
    0:24:51 you have to be able to challenge it. Otherwise, it’s going to get worse, not better.
    0:24:58 And there are lots of ways to solve this problem. Go to paper ballots and do it the easy way. I mean,
    0:25:05 the paper ballots, and you have voter ID, and you have same-day voting, and you have proof of
    0:25:10 citizenship, which is very important, because we have people voting that are not citizens. They
    0:25:16 just came in, and they’re loading up the payrolls. They’re loading up everything. They’re putting
    0:25:21 students in schools. They don’t speak a word of English, and they’re taking the seats of people
    0:25:31 that are citizens of our country. So, look, we have the worst border in the history of the world.
    0:25:36 We have coming into our country right now millions and millions of people
    0:25:40 at levels that nobody’s ever seen. I don’t believe any country’s ever seen it.
    0:25:46 And they would use sticks and stones not to make it happen, not to let it happen. We don’t do
    0:25:51 anything. And we have a person who is the border czar, who now said she wasn’t really the border
    0:25:58 czar, but she was the border czar, but she was in charge of the border. And we have her, and she’s
    0:26:05 saying very strongly, “Oh, I did such a good job. She was horrible, horrible. The harm she’s done.”
    0:26:11 But we have people coming in from other countries all over the world, not just South America,
    0:26:16 and they’re coming in from prisons and jails. They’re coming in from mental institutions
    0:26:23 and insane asylums. And they’re street criminals, right off the street, they take them. And they’re
    0:26:30 being given to our country, drug dealers, human traffickers. We’re destroying our country.
    0:26:35 This is a sin what’s been allowed to take place over the last four years. We’re destroying our
    0:26:43 country. And we’ll see how that all works out. But it’s not even believable. And now you see,
    0:26:53 you saw in Aurora, Colorado, a group of very tough young thugs from Venezuela taking over
    0:26:59 big areas, including buildings. They’re taking over buildings. They have their big rifles,
    0:27:05 but they’re taking over buildings. We’re not going to let this happen. We’re not going to let
    0:27:10 them destroy our country. And you know, in those countries, crime is way down. They’re taking
    0:27:15 them out of their prisons, which is good because good for them. I do the same thing. By the way,
    0:27:19 if I ran one of those countries, any country in the world, I would make sure that America has
    0:27:24 every one of our prisoners. Every one of our criminals would be here. I can’t believe they’re
    0:27:31 going so slowly, but some aren’t. But they all are doing it. And we can’t let that happen. They’re
    0:27:38 emptying out their prisons and their mental institutions into the United States of America.
    0:27:42 We can’t let that happen. So a lot of people believe that there was some shady stuff
    0:27:48 that went on with the election, whether it’s media bias or big tech. But still,
    0:27:55 the claim of widespread fraud is the thing that bothers people. Well, I don’t focus on the past.
    0:27:59 I focus on the future. I mean, I talk about how bad the economy is, how bad inflation is,
    0:28:07 how bad things like, which is important, Afghanistan was, in my opinion, the most
    0:28:12 embarrassing thing that’s ever happened to our country. And because of that, I think Putin went
    0:28:20 in. When he saw how stupid we were, Putin went in. But it was the most embarrassing moment in
    0:28:29 the history of our country. I really believe that. But we left 13 dead soldiers. Think of it,
    0:28:35 13 dead soldiers. Many soldiers horrifically hurt with arms and legs and everything else gone.
    0:28:44 We left hostages behind. We left Americans behind. We left military equipment, the likes
    0:28:50 of which nobody’s ever left behind before. Billions and billions of dollars of equipment.
    0:28:54 They’re now selling the equipment. They’re one of the largest arm stillers in the world.
    0:29:04 And very sad, very sad. And, you know, we were there for a long time. I was going to get out,
    0:29:09 we were getting ready to get out. Then we got interrupted by the election. But we would have
    0:29:14 been out with dignity and strength. We were having very little problem with the Taliban
    0:29:20 when I was there because they knew it was going to be tough. I dealt with Abdul. Abdul was the
    0:29:26 leader. And we got along fine. He understood. But, you know, they were shooting. They were
    0:29:32 killing a lot of our people before I came down. And when I got there, I said, I spoke to them.
    0:29:38 I said, you can’t do it. Don’t do it anymore. We went 18 months before this happened. This
    0:29:43 horrible day happened. We went 18 months and nobody was shot at or killed.
    0:29:47 What do you think that was, the character of the stick in that case in Afghanistan?
    0:29:50 The stick, definitely. The threat of military force.
    0:29:54 That was the stick. Yeah. It doesn’t have to be, but that was the stick.
    0:29:58 Well, let me just linger on the election a little, a little bit more. For this
    0:30:05 selection, it might be a close one. What can we do to avoid the insanity and division of the
    0:30:10 previous election, whether you win or lose? Well, I hope it’s not a close one. I mean,
    0:30:15 I don’t know how people can vote for somebody that has destroyed our country. The inflation,
    0:30:22 the bad economy. But to me, in a way, the worst is what they’ve allowed to happen at our border,
    0:30:27 where they’ve allowed millions of people to come and hear from places that you don’t want to know
    0:30:32 about. And I can’t believe that there’s going to be a close election. We’re leading in the polls,
    0:30:38 and it looks close, but I think in the end, it’s not going to be a close election.
    0:30:44 What do you think is the right way to solve the immigration crisis? Is mass deportation
    0:30:47 one of the solutions you would think about? Well, you’ve got to get the criminals out of
    0:30:53 here fast. The people from mental institutions, you got to get them back into their mental
    0:30:58 institution. No country can afford this. It’s just too much money. You look at what’s happening in
    0:31:05 New York and Chicago and LA and lots of places, and you take a look at what’s happening. There’s
    0:31:11 no country can afford this. We can’t afford it. And we’ve got to get the bad ones out immediately,
    0:31:16 and the rest have to be worked on. It’s happened before. Dwight Eisenhower was
    0:31:22 sort of a moderate president, moderate type person, but he hated when he saw people pouring
    0:31:29 into the country, and they were nothing like now. I probably got elected in 2016 because of the border,
    0:31:35 and I told people what was happening, and they understood it, and I won the election,
    0:31:42 and I won the election, I think because of the border. Our border is 25 times worse right now
    0:31:52 than it was in 2016. I had it fixed. The last week of the famous chart that I put up was exactly
    0:31:59 that, you know the chart. When I looked to the right, I said there’s the chart. That was not a
    0:32:04 pleasant experience, but the chart that I put up said that was done by Border Patrol. That was the
    0:32:11 lowest number that we’ve ever had come into a country in recorded history, and we have to get
    0:32:17 it back to that. Again, we will. Let me ask you about Project 2025. So you’ve publicly said that
    0:32:21 you don’t have any direct connection to Project 2025? Nothing. I know nothing about it, and they
    0:32:27 know that too. Democrats know that, and I purposely haven’t read it because I want to say to you,
    0:32:34 I have no idea what it’s all about. It’s easier than saying I read it and all of the things. No,
    0:32:41 I purposely haven’t read it, and I’ve heard about it. I’ve heard about things that are in there that
    0:32:44 I don’t like, and there are some things in there that everybody would like,
    0:32:54 but there are things that I don’t like at all, and I think it’s unfortunate that they put it out,
    0:33:00 but it doesn’t mean anything because it has nothing to do with me. Project 25 has absolutely
    0:33:10 nothing to do with me. You posted recently about marijuana and that you’re okay with it being
    0:33:13 legalized, but it has to be done safely. Can you explain your policy there?
    0:33:21 Well, I just put out a paper, and first of all, medical marijuana has been amazing. I’ve had
    0:33:28 friends and I’ve had others and doctors telling me that it’s been absolutely amazing, the medical
    0:33:38 marijuana, and we put out a statement that we can live with the marijuana. It’s got to be a
    0:33:44 certain age. It’s got to be a certain age to buy it. It’s got to be done in a very concerted,
    0:33:51 lawful way, and the way they’re doing it in Florida I think is going to be actually good. It’s going
    0:33:56 to be very good, but it’s got to be done in a good way. It’s got to be done in a clean way.
    0:34:00 You go into some of these places, like in New York, it smells all marijuana.
    0:34:07 You’ve got to have a system with this control, and I think the way they’ve done it in Florida
    0:34:14 is very good. Do you know anything about psychedelics? I’m not a drug guy, but I recently did Ayahuasca,
    0:34:23 and there’s a lot of people that speak to the health benefits and the spiritual benefits
    0:34:29 of these different psychedelics. I think we’d probably have a better world if everybody in
    0:34:35 Congress took some mushrooms, perhaps. Now, I know you stay away from all of that stuff.
    0:34:43 I know also veterans use it for dealing with PTSD and all that kind of stuff. It’s great,
    0:34:50 and it’s interesting that you’re thinking about being more accepting of some of these drugs, which
    0:34:55 don’t just have a recreational purpose, but a medical purpose, a treatment purpose.
    0:34:58 We put out a statement today. We’re going to put out another one probably next week,
    0:35:05 be more specific, although I think it’s pretty specific. We’ll see how that all goes. That’s
    0:35:11 a referendum coming up in some states, but it’s coming up, and we’ll see how it does.
    0:35:19 I will say it’s been very hard to beat it. You take a look at the numbers. It’s been very hard
    0:35:23 to beat it. I think it’ll generally pass, but you want to do it in a safe way.
    0:35:29 Speaking of marijuana, let me ask you about my good friend Joe Rogan. He had a bit of tension
    0:35:35 with him. When he said nice things about RFK Junior, I think, you’ve said some not-so-nice
    0:35:43 things about Joe. I think that was a bit unfair. As a fan of Joe, I would love to see you do his
    0:35:51 podcast because he is the greatest conversationalist in the world. What’s the story behind the tension?
    0:35:58 Well, I don’t think there was any tension. I’ve always liked him, but I don’t know him.
    0:36:06 I’ve only seen him when I walk into the arena with Dana and I shake his hand. I see him there,
    0:36:11 and I think he’s good at what he does, but I don’t know about doing his podcast. I mean,
    0:36:19 I guess I do it, but I haven’t been asked, and I’m not asking them. I’m not asking anybody.
    0:36:21 It sounds like a challenging negotiation situation.
    0:36:28 No, it’s not really a negotiation. He’s sort of a liberal guy, I guess, from what I understand,
    0:36:34 but he likes Kennedy. This was before I found this out before Kennedy came in with us. He’s
    0:36:39 going to be great. He’s doing, Bobby’s going to be great, but I like that he likes Kennedy. I do
    0:36:47 too. He’s a different kind of a guy, but he’s got some great things going. I think he’s going to be
    0:36:53 beyond politics. I think he could be quite influential in taking care of some situations that you
    0:36:58 probably would agree should be taken care of. The Joe Rogan post is an example. I’d love to
    0:37:05 get your psychology about behind the tweets and the posts on truth. Are you sometimes being
    0:37:11 intentionally provocative? Are you just speaking your mind? Are there times where you regret
    0:37:16 some of the truths you’ve posted? Yeah, I do, but not that often. Honestly,
    0:37:23 I do a lot of reposting. The ones you get in trouble with are the repost because you find down
    0:37:29 deep they’re into some group that you’re not supposed to be reposting. You don’t even know
    0:37:33 if those groups are good, bad, or indifferent, but the reposts are the ones that really
    0:37:39 get you in trouble. When you do your own words, it’s sort of easier, but the reposts go very
    0:37:48 quickly. If you’re going to check every single little symbol, and I don’t know, it’s worked out
    0:37:57 pretty well for me. I tell you, truth is very powerful. Truth. It’s my platform, and it’s been
    0:38:03 very powerful, very, very powerful. It goes everywhere. I call it my typewriter. That’s
    0:38:08 actually my typewriter. What are you doing usually when you’re composing a truth? Are you chilling
    0:38:17 back on a couch? Couches, beds, a lot of different things. Late at night. I’d like to do some later.
    0:38:27 I’m not a huge sleeper, but whenever I do them past 3 o’clock, they criticize you the next day.
    0:38:34 Trump was a true thing. Trump was a true thing at 3 o’clock in the morning, and there should be
    0:38:39 no problem with that. Then when you think about time zones, how do they know that you’re in a
    0:38:47 time zone, like an Eastern zone? Every time I do it after two or three o’clock, it’s like,
    0:39:01 “Why is he doing that?” Truth has become a very successful platform, and I like doing it, and
    0:39:06 it goes everywhere. As soon as I do it, it goes everywhere. The country seems more divided than
    0:39:10 ever. What can you do to help alleviate some of that division? Well, you can get rid of these
    0:39:15 two people. They’re terrible. They’re terrible. You don’t want to have them running this country.
    0:39:25 They’re not equipped to run a Joe. Joe is a disaster. Kamala, I think she’ll end up being
    0:39:32 worse than him. We’ll see. I think a lot now, the convention’s over with, and I see I’m leading in
    0:39:37 just about all the polls now. They had their little honeymoon period, as they call it,
    0:39:44 and we’ll see how that all goes. Who knows? For my personal opinion, I think you are at your best
    0:39:50 when you’re talking about a positive vision of the future versus criticizing the other side.
    0:40:00 I think you have to criticize, though. I think they’re nasty. They came up with a story that I
    0:40:08 looked down and I called soldiers that died in World War I, suckers and losers. Who would say
    0:40:12 that? Number two, who would say it’s a military people? Nobody. It was a made-up story. It’s just
    0:40:21 a made-up story, and they like to repeat it over again. They know it was made up. I have 26 witnesses
    0:40:28 that nothing was said. They don’t want to hear about that. Like she lied on McDonald’s. She said
    0:40:36 that she worked at McDonald’s. It’s not a big lie, but it’s a big lie. They just went and they
    0:40:41 checked. Unless she can show something, they don’t talk about it. The presses are going to follow
    0:40:47 up with it, but I’ll keep cameraing it. She never worked at McDonald’s. It was just a cool thing to
    0:40:56 say, “Hey, I worked at McDonald’s.” One of the worst was two days ago, I went to Arlington at the
    0:41:02 request of people that lost their children. There will always be children to those people. You
    0:41:08 understand that. That’s not politically incorrect, this thing to say. The mother comes up, “I lost
    0:41:16 my child, but the child is the soldier.” Lost the child because of Biden and because of Kamala.
    0:41:24 Just as though they had the gun in their hand, because it was so badly handled, it should have
    0:41:28 been done at Bagram, which is the big airbase. It shouldn’t have been done at a small little airport
    0:41:36 right in the middle of town where people stormed it. It was a true disaster,
    0:41:45 and they asked me if I’d come and celebrate with them three years, three years. They died three
    0:41:54 years ago. I got to know them because I brought them here, actually. One night, they almost all
    0:41:59 came here, and they said, “I wonder if Trump will actually come and see us.” I heard that we were
    0:42:05 here. I came and saw them. We stayed for four hours listening to music up on a deck right upstairs.
    0:42:11 Beautiful. They were great people. They called me over the last couple of weeks, and they said,
    0:42:15 “We’re going to have a reunion, our three-year reunion. Would you be able to come?”
    0:42:21 It was very hard for me to do it logistically, but I said, “I’ll get it done.” I got there,
    0:42:27 and we had a beautiful time. I didn’t run away. I didn’t just walk in, shake hands, and walk out
    0:42:35 like people do. I wasn’t looking at my watch like Joe Biden does, and it was amazing.
    0:42:41 I did it for them. I didn’t do it for me. I don’t need the publicity. I get more
    0:42:46 publicity probably than anybody. You would know that better than me, but I think maybe more than
    0:42:51 anybody. Maybe more than anybody that’s ever lived. I don’t know, but I don’t think anyone
    0:42:55 could have it anymore. Every time you turn on television, there’s like nine different stories,
    0:43:01 all on different topics in the world. As an example, you interview a lot of people,
    0:43:06 good people, successful people. Let’s see how you do with this interview versus them.
    0:43:10 I can tell you right now, you’re going to get the highest numbers you’ve ever had
    0:43:24 by sometimes a factor of 10, but when a gold star family asks me to come in and
    0:43:31 spend time with them, and then they said, “Sir, we did a ceremony,” and then we went down to the
    0:43:39 graves, which was quite a distance away. They said, “Sir, would you come to the grave?” And then
    0:43:44 they said, “When we were there.” It’s very sad, actually, because these people shouldn’t have
    0:43:50 died. They shouldn’t have died. They died because of Biden and because of Kamala. They died because,
    0:43:55 just like if they pulled the trigger. Now, I don’t know if that’s controversial to say,
    0:44:00 but I don’t think it is. Afghanistan was the most incompetently run operation I think I’ve
    0:44:07 ever seen. Military or otherwise, they’re incompetent, but the families asked me if I’d go.
    0:44:13 I did go. Then the family said, “Could we have a picture at the tombstone of my son?”
    0:44:20 And we did. Son or daughter, there was a daughter, too. And I took numerous pictures with the families.
    0:44:24 I don’t know if anybody else was in the pictures, but they were mostly families, I guess.
    0:44:31 That was it. And then I left. I spent a lot of time with them. Then I left, and I get home that
    0:44:41 night, and I get a call that the Biden administration with Kamala is accusing me of using Arlington
    0:44:47 for publicity. I was in use, just the opposite, just the opposite. And actually, did you see that
    0:44:52 it just came out? The families actually put out a very strong statement defending me. They said,
    0:44:58 “We asked them to be there.” Well, politicians and the media can play those games, and you’re right.
    0:45:03 Your name gets a lot of views. You’re probably legit the most famous person in the world.
    0:45:10 But on the previous thing, in the spirit of unity, you used to be a Democrat.
    0:45:17 Setting the politicians aside, what do you respect most about people who lean left,
    0:45:23 who are Democrats themselves or of that persuasion, progressives, liberals, and so on?
    0:45:33 Well, look, I respect the fact that everybody’s in there. And to a certain extent, life is what
    0:45:40 you do while you’re waiting to die. So you might as well do a good job. I think in terms of what’s
    0:45:46 happening now, I think we have a chance to save the country. This country is going down. And I
    0:45:51 called it with Venezuela. I called it with a lot of different countries. And this country is going
    0:46:00 down. If we don’t win this election, the election coming up on November 5th is the most important
    0:46:04 election this country has ever had. Because if we don’t win it, I don’t know that there’ll be
    0:46:12 another election, and it’s going to be a communist country or close. And there’s a lot of people
    0:46:18 listening to this, myself included, that doesn’t think that Kamala is a communist.
    0:46:27 Well, she’s a Marxist. Her father is a Marxist, and she’s advocating for some policies that are
    0:46:33 towards the direction of Democratic socialism, let’s say. But there’s a lot of people that kind
    0:46:37 of know the way government works, and they say, well, none of those policies are going to actually
    0:46:45 come to reality. It’s just being used during the campaign to, you know, groceries are too expensive.
    0:46:49 We need them cheaper. So let’s talk about price controls, and that’s never going to come to reality.
    0:46:53 It could come to reality. Look, I mean, she came out with price control.
    0:46:57 It’s been tried like 121 different times at different places over the years,
    0:47:05 and it’s never worked once. It leads to communism. It leads to socialism. It leads to having no food
    0:47:13 on the shelves, and it leads to tremendous inflation. It’s just a bad idea. Whenever we use
    0:47:18 terms like communism for her, and I don’t know if you know this, but some people call you a fascist.
    0:47:23 Yeah, they do. So I figure it’s all right to call them a communist. Yeah, they call me a lot worse
    0:47:27 than I call them. They do indeed. It’s just sometimes. It’s interesting, though. They’ll call
    0:47:32 me something that’s cerebral, and then I’ll hit them back, and they’ll say, isn’t it terrible what
    0:47:37 Trump said? I said, oh, wait a minute. They just called me. So I believe you have to fight fire
    0:47:43 with fire. I believe they’re very evil people. These are evil people. You know, we have an enemy
    0:47:49 from the outside, and we have an enemy from within, and in my opinion, the enemy from within
    0:47:56 are radical left lunatics, and I think you have to fight back. Whenever there’s a lot of fighting
    0:48:04 fire with fire, it’s too easy to forget that there is a middle of America that is
    0:48:11 moderate and kind of sees the good in both sides and just likes one side more than the other in
    0:48:14 terms of policies. Like I said, there’s a lot of people that like your policies,
    0:48:23 like your skill in being able to negotiate and end wars, and they don’t see the impending destruction
    0:48:30 of America. You know, we had no wars when I was president. That’s a big thing, not since 78 years,
    0:48:35 as that happened, but we had no wars when I was president. We defeated ISIS, but that was a war
    0:48:40 that was started that we weren’t anywhere near defeating. But think of it, I had no wars,
    0:48:47 and Viktor Orban, the prime minister of Hungary, said the world has to have Trump back because
    0:48:51 everybody was afraid of Trump. Now, that’s what he said, so I’m not using that term, but I think
    0:48:57 they respected me, but he said China was afraid, Russia was afraid, everybody was afraid, and
    0:49:05 I don’t care what word they use. Probably that’s even a better word if you want to know the truth,
    0:49:08 but let’s use the word respect. They had respect for me, they had respect for the country.
    0:49:15 I mean, I ended the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, the Russian pipeline. Nobody else could have done
    0:49:22 that. I ended it, it was done, then Biden comes in and he gave it, he approved it. So we’re defending
    0:49:28 Germany and these other countries for peanuts compared to what it’s worth, and they’re paying
    0:49:34 the person we’re defending them against, billions and billions of dollars for energy. I said,
    0:49:40 how does that work? And we headed out with them and it worked out good and they paid hundreds of
    0:49:44 billions of dollars, or you wouldn’t even have a NATO right now. You wouldn’t have NATO if it wasn’t
    0:49:51 for me. As the leader of the United States, you were the most powerful man in the world. As you
    0:49:56 mentioned, not only the most famous, but the most powerful. And if you become leader again,
    0:50:02 you will have unprecedented power. Just on your own personal psychology, what does that power do
    0:50:07 to you? Is there any threat of it corrupting how you see the world? No, I don’t think so. Look,
    0:50:13 I’ve been there for four years. I could have done a big number in Hillary Clinton. I thought it looked
    0:50:21 terrible to take the president’s wife and put her in prison. She’s so lucky. I didn’t do anything.
    0:50:28 She’s so lucky. Hillary is a lucky woman because I had a lot of people pushing me too. They wanted
    0:50:35 to, they wanted to see something, but I had, I could have done something very, but I thought it
    0:50:38 looked so bad to think of it. You have the president of the United States and you also had
    0:50:43 secretary of state, right? She was, but you’re going to put the president’s wife in prison.
    0:50:48 And yet when I got out there, you know, they have all these hoaxes, they’re all hoaxes,
    0:50:54 but they have all these dishonest hoaxes, just like they did in the past with Russia, Russia,
    0:51:02 Russia. That was a hoax. The 51 different, you know, agencies or agents, that was a hoax.
    0:51:08 The whole thing was a hoax. The whole, there was so many hoaxes and scams,
    0:51:15 and, but I didn’t want to put her in jail. And I didn’t, and I explained it to people, you know,
    0:51:22 they say, lock her up, lock her up. It doesn’t, we won. I said, we don’t want to put her in jail.
    0:51:25 We want to bring the country together. I want to bring the country together.
    0:51:31 You don’t bring the country together by putting her in jail. But then when I got out,
    0:51:37 you know, they went to work on me. It’s amazing. And they suffer from massive
    0:51:46 Trump derangement syndrome, TDS. And I don’t know if it’s curable from their standpoint.
    0:51:53 A lot of people are very interested in footage of UFOs. The Pentagon has released a few
    0:52:00 videos. And there’s been anecdotal reports from fighter pilots. So a lot of people want to know,
    0:52:07 will you help push the Pentagon to release more footage, which a lot of people claim is available?
    0:52:12 Oh, yes, I’ll do that. I would do that. I’d love to do that. I have to do that.
    0:52:19 But they also pushing me on Kennedy. And I did release a lot, but people come to me and beg
    0:52:25 me not to do it. But I’ll be doing that very early on. Yeah, no, but I would do that.
    0:52:31 There’s a moment where you had some hesitation about Epstein releasing some of the documents on
    0:52:37 Epstein. Why the hesitation? I don’t think I had, I mean, I’m not involved. I never went to his island,
    0:52:43 fortunately. But a lot of people did.
    0:52:48 Why do you think so many smart, powerful people allowed him to get so close?
    0:52:59 He was a good salesman. He was a hailing, hearty type of guy. He had some nice assets
    0:53:05 that he’d throw around like islands. But a lot of big people went to that island.
    0:53:12 But fortunately, I was not one of them. It’s just very strange for a lot of people that
    0:53:16 the list of clients that went to the island has not been made public.
    0:53:23 Yeah, it’s very interesting, isn’t it? Probably will be, by the way.
    0:53:25 So if you were able to, you’ll be?
    0:53:29 Yeah, certainly take a look at it. Now, Kennedy’s interesting because it’s so many years ago.
    0:53:36 They do that for danger too, because it endangers certain people, et cetera, et cetera.
    0:53:44 So Kennedy is very different from the Epstein thing. But yeah, I’d be inclined to do the Epstein.
    0:53:46 I’d have no problem with it.
    0:53:49 That’s great to hear. What gives you strength when you’re getting attacked?
    0:53:53 You’re one of the most attacked people in the world.
    0:53:59 I think you can’t care that much. I know people, they care so much about everything,
    0:54:04 like what people are saying. You can’t care too much because you end up choking.
    0:54:11 One of the tragic things about life is that it ends. How often do you think about your death?
    0:54:11 Are you afraid of it?
    0:54:19 I have a friend who’s very, very successful, and he’s in his 80s, mid-80s,
    0:54:26 and he asked me that exact same question. I said, I turned it around. I said, “Well, what about you?”
    0:54:29 He said, “I think about it every minute of every day.”
    0:54:35 And then a week later, he called me to tell me something, and he starts off the conversation
    0:54:46 by going, “Tick, tuck, tick, tuck.” This is a dark person, in a sense, but it is what it is.
    0:54:53 If you’re religious, you have, I think, a better feeling toward it. You’re supposed to go to heaven,
    0:54:59 ideally, not hell, which is supposed to go to heaven, if you’re good. I think our country’s
    0:55:05 missing a lot of religion. I think it really was a much better place with religion. It was
    0:55:11 almost a guide to a certain extent. It was a guide. You want to be good to people. Without religion,
    0:55:18 there are no guardrails. I’d love to see us get back to religion, more religion in this country.
    0:55:22 Well, Mr. President, thank you for putting yourself out there, and thank you for talking to
    0:55:28 me today. Look, I love the country. I want to see the country be great, and we have a real chance
    0:55:33 of doing it, but it’s our last chance. And I appreciate it very much. Thank you. Thank you.
    0:55:39 Thanks for listening to this conversation with Donald Trump. To support this podcast,
    0:55:44 please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, as I’ve started doing here at the end
    0:55:50 of some episodes, let me make a few comments and answer a few questions. If you would like to submit
    0:55:57 questions, including in audio and video form, go to lexfreedman.com/ama or get in touch with me
    0:56:04 for whatever other reason at lexfreedman.com/contact. I usually do this in a t-shirt, but I figured
    0:56:11 for this episode, I’ll keep my suit and tie on. So first, this might be a good moment to look back
    0:56:18 a bit. I’ve been doing this podcast for over six years, and I first and foremost have to say thank
    0:56:25 you. I’m truly grateful for the support and the love I’ve gotten along the way. It’s been, I would
    0:56:30 say, the most unlikely journey. And on most days, I barely feel like I know what I’m doing. But I
    0:56:36 wanted to talk a bit about how I approach these conversations. Now, each conversation is its own
    0:56:41 unique puzzle, so I can’t speak generally to how I approach these. But here, it may be useful to
    0:56:47 describe how I approach conversations with world leaders, of which I hope to have many more and
    0:56:54 do a better job every time. I read a lot of history, and I admire the historian perspective.
    0:57:00 As an example, I admire William Shire, the author of many books on Hitler, including The Rise and
    0:57:08 Fall of the Third Reich. He was there and lived through it and covered it objectively to the
    0:57:15 degree that one could. Academic historians, by the way, criticize him for being a poor historian,
    0:57:23 because he editorialized a little too much. I think those same folks criticize Dan Carlin
    0:57:29 and his Hardcore History podcast. I respect their criticism, but I fundamentally disagree.
    0:57:35 So, in these conversations with world leaders, I try to put on my historian hat. I think in the
    0:57:42 realm of truth and public discourse, there’s a spectrum between the ephemeral and the eternal.
    0:57:48 The outraged mob and clickbait journalists are often focused on the ephemeral, the current thing,
    0:57:54 the current viral shitstormer of Macarean derision. But when the battle of the day is done,
    0:58:01 most of it will be forgotten. A few true ideas will remain, and those, the historian hopes to
    0:58:09 capture. Now, this is much easier said than done. It’s not just about having the right ideals and
    0:58:14 the integrity to stick by them. It’s not even just about having the actual skill of talking,
    0:58:23 which I still think I suck at. But let’s say it’s a work in progress. You also have to make the
    0:58:28 scheduling work and set up the entirety of the environment in a way that is conducive to such
    0:58:35 a conversation. This is hard, really hard, with political and business leaders. They are usually
    0:58:41 super busy. And in some cases, super nervous, because, well, they’ve been screwed over so many
    0:58:46 times with clickbait, got your journalism. So to convince them and their team to talk for two,
    0:58:52 three, four, five hours is hard. And I do think a good conversation requires that kind of duration.
    0:58:58 And I’ve been thinking a lot about why. I don’t think it’s just about needing the actual time
    0:59:06 of three hours to cover all the content. I think the longer form with a hypothetical skilled
    0:59:12 conversationalist, relaxes things and allows people to go on tangents and to banter about the
    0:59:18 details. Because I think it’s in the details that the beautiful complexity of the person is brought
    0:59:24 to light. Anyway, I look forward to talking to more world leaders and doing a better job every
    0:59:30 time, as I said. I would love to do interviews with Kamala Harris and some other political
    0:59:35 figures on the left and right, including Tim Walls, AOC, Bernie, Barack Obama,
    0:59:42 Bill and Hillary, and on the right, JD Vance, Vivek, George W, and so on. And on the topic of
    0:59:48 politics, let me say as an immigrant, I love this country, the United States of America.
    0:59:53 I do believe it is the greatest nation on earth. And I’m grateful for the people on the left and
    1:00:00 the right who step into the arena of politics to fight for this country that I do believe they
    1:00:06 all love as well. I have reached out to Kamala Harris, but not many of the others. I probably
    1:00:11 should do a better job with that. But I’ve been doing most of this myself, all the reach out,
    1:00:16 scheduling, research, prep, recording, and so on. And on top of that, I very much have been suffering
    1:00:21 from imposter syndrome, with the voice in my head constantly pointing out when I’m doing a shitty
    1:00:29 job. Plus, a few folks graciously remind me on the internet, the very same sentiment of this
    1:00:34 aforementioned voice. All of this, while I have the option of just hiding away to MIT,
    1:00:39 programming robots, and doing some cool AI research with a few grad students, or maybe joining an AI
    1:00:46 company, or maybe starting my own, all these options make me truly happy. But like I said,
    1:00:50 on most days, I barely know what I’m doing. So who knows what the future holds?
    1:00:56 Most importantly, I’m forever grateful for all of you, for your patience and your support
    1:01:00 throughout this roller coaster of the life I’ve been on. I love you all.
    1:01:08 Okay, now let me go on to some of the questions that people had. I was asked by a few people to
    1:01:15 comment on Pavel Durov arrest and on X being banned in Brazil. Let me first briefly comment on the
    1:01:22 Durov arrest. So, basic facts. Pavel Durov is CEO of Telegram, which is a messenger app
    1:01:28 that has end-to-end encryption mode. It’s not on by default. And most people don’t use the
    1:01:35 end-to-end encryption, but some do. Pavel was arrested in France on a long list of charges
    1:01:44 related to “criminal activity” carried out on the Telegram platform and for “providing unlicensed
    1:01:50 cryptology services.” I think Telegram is indeed used for criminal activity by a small minority of
    1:01:56 its users. For example, by terrorist groups to communicate. And I think we all agree that terrorism
    1:02:02 is bad. But here’s the problem. As the old saying goes, one man’s terrorist is another man’s freedom
    1:02:09 fighter. And there are many cases in which the world unilaterally agrees who the terrorists are.
    1:02:15 But there are other cases when governments, especially authoritarian and inclined governments,
    1:02:21 tend to propagandize and just call whoever’s in the opposition, whoever opposes them, terrorists.
    1:02:28 There is some room for nuance here. But to me, at this time, it seems to obviously be a power grab
    1:02:34 by government wanting to have backdoor access into every platform so they can have censorship
    1:02:40 power against the opposition. I think, generally, governments should stay out of censoring or even
    1:02:46 pressuring social media platforms. And I think arresting a CEO of a tech company for the things
    1:02:53 said on the platform he built is just nuts. It has a chilling effect on him, on people working at
    1:02:58 Telegram, and on people working at every social media company, and also people thinking of launching
    1:03:05 a new social media company. Same as the case of X being banned in Brazil. It’s, I think, a power
    1:03:12 grab by Alexandre de Marias, a Supreme Court justice in Brazil. He ordered X to block certain
    1:03:18 accounts that are spreading, quote unquote, misinformation. Elon and X denied the request.
    1:03:24 Then de Marias threatened to arrest X representatives in Brazil. And in response to that,
    1:03:31 X pulled the representatives out of Brazil, obviously, to protect them. And now X having no
    1:03:38 representatives in Brazil apparently violates the law. Based on this, de Marias banned X in Brazil.
    1:03:43 Once again, it’s an authoritarian figure seeking censorship power over the channels of communication.
    1:03:49 I understand that this is complicated, because there are evil people in the world.
    1:03:55 And part of the role of government is to protect us from those evil people. But as Benjamin Franklin
    1:04:00 said, those who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither
    1:04:08 liberty nor safety. So it’s a trade off. But I think in many places in the world, many governments
    1:04:15 have leaned too far away at this time from liberty. Okay, next up, I got a question on AI,
    1:04:24 which I emotionally connected with. I’ll condense it as follows. Hello, Lex. I’m a programmer. And I
    1:04:30 have a deep fear of slipping into irrelevance because I am worried that AI will soon exceed my
    1:04:36 programming skills. Let me first say that I relate to your fear. It’s scary to have a thing that
    1:04:42 gives you a career and gives you meaning to be taken away. For me, programming is a passion.
    1:04:48 And if not for this podcast, it would probably, at least in part, be my profession. So
    1:04:55 I get an uncomfortable feeling every time Claude, the LMI use for coding at this time,
    1:05:01 just writes a lot of excellent, approximately correct code. I think you can make a good case
    1:05:06 that it already exceeds the skill of many programmers, at least in the same way that the
    1:05:11 collective intelligence of stack overflow exceeds the skill of many programmers, many
    1:05:17 individual programmers. But in many ways, it still does not. But I think eventually, more and more,
    1:05:25 the task, the professional programming will be one of writing natural language prompts.
    1:05:32 I think the right thing to do and what I’m at least doing is to ride the wave of the ever-improving
    1:05:38 code generating LLMs and keep transforming myself into a big picture designer versus low-level
    1:05:45 tinkerer. What I’m doing and what I recommend you do is continually switch to whatever state of
    1:05:50 the art tool is for generating code. So for me currently, I recently switched from VS Code to
    1:05:57 Cursor. And before that, it was Emacs to VS Code switch. So Cursor is this editor that’s based
    1:06:05 on VS Code that leans heavily on LLMs and integrates the code generation really nicely into the
    1:06:12 editing process. So it makes it super easy to continually use the LLMs. So what I would advise
    1:06:17 and what I’m trying to do myself is to learn how to use it and to master its code generation
    1:06:23 capabilities. I personally try to now allocate a significant amount of time to designing with
    1:06:31 natural language first versus writing code from scratch. So using my understanding of programming
    1:06:37 to edit the code that’s generated by the LLM versus sort of writing it from scratch
    1:06:42 and then using the LLM to generate small parts of the code. I see it as a skill that I should
    1:06:46 develop in parallel to my programming skill. I think this applies to many other careers too.
    1:06:55 Don’t compete with AI for your job. Learn to use the AI to do that job better. But yes, it is scary
    1:07:04 and some deep sort of human level, the threat of being replaced. But at least I think we’ll be okay.
    1:07:12 All right, next up I got a very nice audio message and question from a gentleman who is 27
    1:07:17 and feeling a lot of anxiety about the future. Just recently he graduated with a bachelor’s
    1:07:22 degree and he’s thinking about going to grad school for biomedical engineering. But there is a lot
    1:07:27 of anxiety. He mentioned anxiety many times in the message. It took him an extra while to get
    1:07:33 his degree. So he mentioned he would be 32 by the time he’s done with his PhD. So it’s a big
    1:07:39 investment. But he said in his heart he feels like he’s a scientist. I think that’s the most
    1:07:45 important part of his message, of your message. By the way, I’ll figure out how to best include
    1:07:51 audio and video messages in future episodes. Now on to the question. So thank you for telling me
    1:07:56 your story and for submitting the question. My own life story is similar to yours. I went to
    1:08:04 Drexel University for my bachelor’s, master’s and doctorate degrees. And I took a while just as
    1:08:11 you are doing. I did a lot of nonstandard things that weren’t any good for some hypothetical career
    1:08:18 I’m supposed to have. I trained and competed in Judo and Jiu Jitsu for my entire 20s, got a
    1:08:25 black belt from it. I wrote a lot, including a lot of really crappy poetry. I read a large amount
    1:08:31 of non-technical books, history, philosophy and literature. I took courses on literature and
    1:08:35 philosophy that weren’t at all required for my computer science and electrical engineering
    1:08:43 degrees, like a course on James Joyce. I played guitar in bars around town. I took a lot of
    1:08:49 technical classes, many, for example, on theoretical computer science, that were way more than were
    1:08:54 needed for the degree. I did a lot of research and I coded up a bunch of projects that didn’t
    1:09:03 directly contribute to my dissertation. It was pure curiosity and the joy of exploring. So
    1:09:11 like you, I took the long way home, as they say, and I regret none of it. Throughout that,
    1:09:15 people around me and even people who love me wanted me to hurry up and to focus,
    1:09:24 especially because I had very little money. So I had a sense like time was running out for me to
    1:09:31 take the needed steps towards a reasonable career. Just like you, I was filled with anxiety and I
    1:09:37 still am filled with anxiety to this day. But I think the right thing to do is not to run away
    1:09:43 from the anxiety, but to lean into it and channel it into pursuing with everything you got, the
    1:09:49 things you’re passionate about. As you said, very importantly, in your heart, you know you’re a
    1:09:55 scientist. So that’s it. You know exactly what to do. Pursue the desire to be a scientist with
    1:10:02 everything you got. Get to a good grad school, find a good advisor, and do epic shit with them.
    1:10:07 And it may turn out in the end that your life will have unexpected chapters,
    1:10:12 but as long as you’re chasing dreams and goals with absolute unwavering dedication,
    1:10:19 good stuff will come of it. And also, try your best to be a good person. This might be a good place
    1:10:27 to read the words if by Roger Kipling that I often return to when I feel lost and I’m looking for
    1:10:34 guidance on how to be a better man. If you can keep your head when all about you are losing theirs
    1:10:39 and blame it on you, if you can trust yourself when all men doubt you, but make allowance for
    1:10:45 their doubting too. If you can wait and not be tired by waiting or being lied about, don’t deal
    1:10:52 in lies or being hated, don’t give way to hating and yet don’t look too good, no talk too wise.
    1:10:58 If you can dream and not make dreams your master, if you can think and not make thoughts your aim,
    1:11:03 if you can meet with triumph and disaster and treat those two imposters just the same,
    1:11:10 if you can bear to hear the truth you’ve spoken twisted by naves to make a trap for fools,
    1:11:17 or watch the things you gave your life to broken and stoop and build them up with worn out tools.
    1:11:24 If you can make one heap of all your winnings and risk it on one turn of pitch and toss
    1:11:31 and lose and start again at your beginnings and never breathe a word about your loss.
    1:11:38 If you can force your heart and nerve and sin you to serve your turn long after they’re gone
    1:11:45 and so hold on when there’s nothing in you except the will which says to them, hold on.
    1:11:52 If you can talk with crowds and keep your virtue or walk with kings or lose the common touch,
    1:11:59 if neither foes nor loving friends can hurt you, if all men count with you but none too much.
    1:12:06 If you can fill the unforgiving minute with 60 seconds worth of distance run,
    1:12:13 yours is the earth and everything that’s in it and which is more you’ll be a man, my son.
    1:12:26 Thank you for listening and see you next time.
    1:12:27 you
    1:12:28 you
    1:12:29 you
    1:12:30 you
    1:12:30 you
    1:12:33 (gentle music)
    1:12:35 you

    Donald Trump is the 45th President of the United States and the Republican candidate in the 2024 US Presidential Election.
    Thank you for listening ❤ Check out our sponsors: https://lexfridman.com/sponsors/ep442-sc
    See below for timestamps, transcript, and to give feedback, submit questions, contact Lex, etc.

    Transcript:
    https://lexfridman.com/donald-trump-transcript

    CONTACT LEX:
    Feedback – give feedback to Lex: https://lexfridman.com/survey
    AMA – submit questions, videos or call-in: https://lexfridman.com/ama
    Hiring – join our team: https://lexfridman.com/hiring
    Other – other ways to get in touch: https://lexfridman.com/contact

    EPISODE LINKS:
    Trump’s Truth: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump
    Trump’s X: https://x.com/realDonaldTrump
    Trump’s Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/realdonaldtrump
    Trump’s Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/DonaldTrump
    Trump’s TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realdonaldtrump
    Trump’s Website: https://www.donaldjtrump.com

    SPONSORS:
    To support this podcast, check out our sponsors & get discounts:
    Ground News: Unbiased news source.
    Go to https://ground.news/lex
    Encord: AI tooling for annotation & data management.
    Go to https://encord.com/lex
    Eight Sleep: Temp-controlled smart mattress.
    Go to https://eightsleep.com/lex
    NetSuite: Business management software.
    Go to http://netsuite.com/lex
    Shopify: Sell stuff online.
    Go to https://shopify.com/lex

    OUTLINE:
    (00:00) – Introduction
    (09:19) – Psychology of winning and losing
    (12:01) – Politics is a dirty game
    (13:38) – Business vs politics
    (16:15) – War in Ukraine
    (18:03) – Kamala Harris interview on CNN
    (18:46) – Trump-Harris debate
    (21:43) – China
    (23:57) – 2020 election
    (32:13) – Project 2025
    (33:03) – Marijuana
    (35:24) – Joe Rogan
    (39:04) – Division
    (46:10) – Communism and fascism
    (49:46) – Power
    (51:47) – UFOs & JFK
    (52:26) – Jeffrey Epstein
    (54:05) – Mortality and religion
    (55:35) – Lex AMA

    PODCAST LINKS:
    – Podcast Website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast
    – Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr
    – Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8
    – RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/
    – Podcast Playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLrAXtmErZgOdP_8GztsuKi9nrraNbKKp4
    – Clips Channel: https://www.youtube.com/lexclips

  • #441 – Cenk Uygur: Trump vs Harris, Progressive Politics, Communism & Capitalism

    AI transcript
    0:00:06 The following is a conversation with Cenk Yuger, a progressive political commentator and host of the
    0:00:11 Young Turks. As I’ve said before, I will speak with everyone, including on the left and the right
    0:00:18 of the political spectrum, always in good faith with empathy, rigor, and backbone. Sometimes I fail,
    0:00:25 sometimes I say stupid, inaccurate, ineliquent things, and I frequently change my mind as I’m
    0:00:32 learning and thinking about the world. For all this, I often get attacked, sometimes fairly,
    0:00:39 sometimes not. But just know that I’m aware when I fall short, and I will keep trying to do better.
    0:00:46 I love you all. And now, a quick few second mention of each sponsor. Check them out in the
    0:00:52 description. It’s the best way to support this podcast. We got Seili for eSim when you’re traveling,
    0:00:59 Policy Genius for Insurance, AG1 for Health, Masterclass for Learning, Element for Electrolytes,
    0:01:04 and NetSuite for your business. Choose wisely, my friends. Also, if you want to get in touch with
    0:01:11 me for a variety of reasons, to give feedback, submit questions for AMA, and so on, go to
    0:01:18 lexfreedman.com/contact. And now, on to the full ad reads. As always, no ads in the middle. I try
    0:01:22 to make this interesting, but if you skip them, please do check out our sponsors. I enjoy their
    0:01:30 stuff. Maybe you will too. This episode is brought to you by Seili, a brand new eSim service offering
    0:01:36 several affordable data plans in over 150 countries. I’ve had a bunch of experience when I was
    0:01:46 traveling. Where was the legitimate pay in the ass to get a sim card or an eSim working? And being
    0:01:55 abroad in the foreign land, far away from home. All these signs and ways of life you don’t understand
    0:02:01 all around you. All that combined with the fact that you don’t have access to this little tablet
    0:02:09 of wisdom, which is the smartphone. It can be a real pain in the ass. So a great eSim that works,
    0:02:15 easy to set up, is worth its weight in gold. That said, when I was in the Amazon, it was also nice
    0:02:20 to have no reception whatsoever, to be completely disconnected from the world. At first, it was
    0:02:28 painful. But after going rapidly through all the stages of grief, I was able to discover freedom.
    0:02:36 I was able to, let’s say, quiet the mind to a degree that I’m not usually able to in the business
    0:02:43 of urban life. And the smartphone certainly is a thing that creates that turmoil in the mind.
    0:02:49 You can always look and something in there can just perturbate the mind and now it’s off to the
    0:02:58 races. So not having a smartphone to do that is a really nice catalyst for peace. Anyway,
    0:03:02 when you are traveling, you should have a smartphone and it should work and it should be easy.
    0:03:12 Go to salee.com/lex and choose the one gigabyte salee data plan to get it for free. That’s salee.com/lex
    0:03:18 to get one free gig of salee. This episode is also brought to you by Policy Genius,
    0:03:25 a marketplace for insurance, all kinds, life, auto, home, disability, and so on. Really nice
    0:03:32 tools for comparisons. Having talked to Peter Levels, I realized how awesome it is to create a
    0:03:44 website that compares stuff, whether it’s hotels, neighborhoods, and whatever else. It’s nice. Some
    0:03:48 of it is an interface challenge. Some of it is a data challenge, all of that. When a company,
    0:03:52 when a service does it well, it just makes life easier. You can compare stuff, you can choose
    0:03:59 the thing that’s right for you. I know how powerful it is because most people do it poorly.
    0:04:04 And it’s a real pain in the ass. Like with hotels, booking hotels, and I just saw, I need to check
    0:04:10 out a little bit better that Peter threw up hotel list. That looks really exciting. You’ll be able
    0:04:16 to compare all different kinds of hotels. Anyway, Policy Genius does that for insurances. You know,
    0:04:23 insurance is a fascinating thing because basically life is full of risks. Much of progress in a human
    0:04:32 life occurs when you take risks. You can use insurance to kind of muffle the pain felt when,
    0:04:37 after taking the risk, the negative consequences are experienced. So it’s really interesting just
    0:04:44 looking at the landscape of human experience and seeing how insurance muffles the lows.
    0:04:51 It can create a floor, a protection against the lows, especially the real lows. And it works,
    0:04:55 of course, because a lot of people don’t experience those lows and therefore they’re
    0:05:02 funding the people that do. It’s a fascinating system. And I’m glad we figured out a way how to
    0:05:07 take risks together in this society and help each other out financially for the people who
    0:05:12 feel the pain of it. So with Policy Genius, you can find life insurance policies that start at
    0:05:21 just $292 per year for $1 million of coverage. Head to PolicyGenius.com/Lex or click the link
    0:05:27 in the description to get your free life insurance quotes and see how much you could save. That’s
    0:05:33 PolicyGenius.com/Lex. This episode was also brought to you by AG1, the thing I just drank.
    0:05:40 And I sometimes drink twice a day and I’m traveling for a bit here and I don’t have travel packs.
    0:05:47 And so I will be going without AG1 for a couple of days and I’ll miss it because it makes me feel
    0:05:54 like home. So I need to get the travel packs. It’s just a really, really nice multivitamin
    0:06:01 that provides a nutritional basis for a crazy physical and mental existence. All the crazy
    0:06:08 stuff I do that wise. I’m still doing mostly one meal a day, mostly low carb. And so for that,
    0:06:12 you know, it’s nice to make sure you’re getting all the right nutrition. I find when I’m extremely
    0:06:20 stressed, my ability to enjoy long run or enjoy a hard training session in jujitsu is diminished.
    0:06:28 The physical challenge is a kind of catalyst to let whatever the underlying reason for the stress
    0:06:34 come out and pass through you. And maybe you even get a chance to let it go. But when you’re in it,
    0:06:41 sometimes it’s rough. Anyway, jujitsu is still a huge source of happiness for me. I think the
    0:06:46 puzzle of it, I still try to train with a very large variety of people from white belt to black
    0:06:51 belt. As I’ve talked about with Craig Jones, it could be sometimes a little bit difficult.
    0:06:55 Certain people, especially the lower ranks go a little bit too hard. So you have to figure out
    0:07:01 that puzzle, let them submit you a few times, kind of let them chill out. But it’s still a fascinating
    0:07:10 puzzle of human psychology, of human sort of biomechanics from arms and legs and sort of
    0:07:17 pressure and dynamic movement and transitions, all that kind of stuff. It’s just a fascinating game.
    0:07:22 It’s a fascinating dynamic game. It really is not like chess, because chess is a static game.
    0:07:28 There are elements of chess, but it’s not discreet. It’s continuous. And sometimes the
    0:07:33 subtlest movements make all the difference. And the timing of those movements can make all the
    0:07:38 difference. Anyway, go check out AG1. They’ll give you one month supply of fish oil when you sign up
    0:07:44 at drinkag1.com/lex. This episode is also brought to you by Masterclass, where you can watch over
    0:07:50 200 classes from the best people in the world and their respective disciplines. I really enjoyed
    0:07:57 the one that Martin Scorsese did on filmmaking. I’m fascinated by dialogue and film and the
    0:08:04 contrast that that dialogue has with, say, podcasts. Because podcasts is a single take,
    0:08:13 if you will. It’s sort of a genuine, relaxed conversation. It’s not really planned. There’s
    0:08:20 not a script. And so it’s a single take. And now you take film. And depending on the director,
    0:08:30 you’re doing five, 10, 20, 30 takes on a single piece of dialogue. And you’re crafting that with
    0:08:37 the lighting, with the mood, with the intensity of the faces of the actors and the music, all of that.
    0:08:43 And the final results, honestly, is looking for the same kind of thing. It’s looking for something
    0:08:53 real. Now, great interviews, great conversations arrive at that something real, like an improvised
    0:09:00 dance, let’s say. And sort of great film arises something real, like a great choreographed dance.
    0:09:07 And it still does have similar elements. Like I think about with lighting and all the kinds of
    0:09:16 things I have very little idea about. But as someone who can appreciate it, I can reach out
    0:09:23 towards that and try to achieve that in some kind of way to really see a person to really bring out
    0:09:31 the beauty of that person is something I would love to do. And I listen to a lot of great
    0:09:39 interviewers in podcasts. And I’m just in awe inspired, truly, truly inspired and humbled.
    0:09:44 There’s just so, so many people that do a much, much better job than me. And I learned from them,
    0:09:51 I’m inspired by them. It’s just great. I think I really enjoy just being a fan. Masterclass lets
    0:09:57 me be a fan of all these cool people. Get unlimited access to every masterclass and get an additional
    0:10:06 15% off an annual membership at masterclass.com/lexpod. That’s masterclass.com/lexpod. This episode
    0:10:12 is brought to you by Element, my daily zero sugar and delicious electrolyte mix. My favorite flavor
    0:10:19 is watermelon salt. But there’s a bunch of other flavors that are great. And like I said, when I’m
    0:10:25 training really hard in jujitsu, in especially in the Texas heat, this is something I noticed most
    0:10:31 clearly because I usually don’t like drinking water during training. And so what happens is I drink
    0:10:37 some element beforehand. I train for, you know, an hour and a half, a bunch of hard rounds, and
    0:10:43 you just, I mean, you’re drained from water. Just, just, you know, I don’t know. I don’t know how many
    0:10:49 pounds of water I lose, but it’s a lot. And you kind of start to feel shitty. And the moment I drink
    0:10:55 element just, just within a few minutes, you just start feeling much, much better. And you just feel
    0:11:02 viscerally the effect of electrolytes of sodium, potassium, magnesium on the body. Water and
    0:11:07 electrolytes, it’s quite incredible. And the same is actually true when you’re fasting. And it’s been
    0:11:12 actually a while since I’ve fasted for more than 24 hours. So most days I fast, I guess you could say
    0:11:19 24 hours, I eat one meal a day, you know, 22 hours or whatever it is, 23 hours. But what I do even
    0:11:26 longer fasts, element is a lifesaver. It just removes the headaches and even helps with the hunger
    0:11:33 and all of that. Get a sample pack for free with any purchase. Try it at drinkelement.com/lex.
    0:11:40 This episode is brought to you by Netsuite, an all-in-one cloud business management system.
    0:11:46 In this episode, we jank, we talk a lot about capitalism. Now, I think I disagree with him.
    0:11:54 And I do in the episode, and I’ll have to really think through it. And really my favorite episodes
    0:12:02 is when I’m really challenged to think and learn for weeks and months afterwards. But I don’t think
    0:12:10 our capitalist system is as broken as Jank suggests. So he feels that companies have completely
    0:12:22 captured our politicians, our government. But I think that a significant number of companies
    0:12:29 have undue influence on our politicians. But not as much as Jank says, and I have a lot of hope.
    0:12:36 Primarily underlying that hope is a kind of sense that even among the politicians,
    0:12:41 there’s integrity. Not every politician, but a lot of them. I don’t think that money can
    0:12:49 so easily buy the human heart. Can so easily corrupt the values of the people who want to serve.
    0:12:54 So I don’t know. I just think if you want to make money, you’re not going to go into politics.
    0:13:02 There’s a lot easier ways, cleaner ways, more pleasant ways to make money. It’s just such a dirty
    0:13:10 game. And I think you go in that game to try to help. So anyway, but yes, corporatism is a very
    0:13:16 serious problem. So the way out to me is great companies, quite honestly, and celebrating those
    0:13:20 companies. And that’s something I try to do. Call out bullshit, call out shitty behavior
    0:13:25 on the parts of companies when they do it, but celebrate companies when they do great stuff.
    0:13:34 Anyway, underlying the flourishing of our nation is great companies and the very system of capitalism.
    0:13:40 So if you’re running a company, you should be using the best tools for the job of running that
    0:13:47 company because it is an incredible machine with so many moving pieces. And so it’s not an easy job
    0:13:53 to run it, no matter the scale. Over 37,000 companies have upgraded to Netsuite by Oracle.
    0:14:01 Take advantage of Netsuite’s flexible financing plan at Netsuite.com/Lex. That’s Netsuite.com/Lex.
    0:14:07 This is a Lex Freeman podcast. To support it, please check out our sponsors in the description.
    0:14:12 And now, dear friends, here’s Cenk Yuger.
    0:14:33 You wrote a book, a manifesto, that outlines the progressive vision for America. So
    0:14:37 the big question, what are some defining ideas of progressivism?
    0:14:43 Yes. So in order to do that, Lex, we got to talk about where we are in the political spectrum.
    0:14:49 And in fact, there’s two different spectrums now. People often think of left, right. And that’s
    0:14:55 true that exists. But layered on top of that is now populist versus establishment. So
    0:15:05 I’m center left on the left, right spectrum. But I’m all the way on the populist end of the
    0:15:11 second spectrum. So where does progressivism lie within that? Well, I would argue that it’s
    0:15:20 exactly in those places. It’s populist and it’s on the left. But it is not far left. So far left
    0:15:26 is a different animal. And we could talk about that in a little bit. So in terms of what makes a
    0:15:33 progressive, so expand the circle of liberty and justice for all and equality of opportunity.
    0:15:40 Now, people will say, well, that seems pretty broad and all American. But is it? Think about it.
    0:15:46 So expand the circle of liberty. Everybody’s in favor of that, right? No, absolutely not. So
    0:15:51 certainly the King of England was not in favor of expanding the circle of liberty and the Founding
    0:15:56 Father said, we’re going to expand it. And they expanded it to property white men. And then
    0:16:02 their progressives, because they expanded the circle of liberty, they then from then on,
    0:16:06 as we were perfecting the union, progressives always say, expand it further, include women,
    0:16:12 include people without property, include all races, and at every turn, conservatives fight
    0:16:17 against it. So that doesn’t mean if you’re a conservative today, you don’t want to include
    0:16:23 women or minorities, et cetera. But today, you would say, for example, well, I don’t want to
    0:16:28 expand the circle of liberty to, for example, undocumented immigrants. And maybe you’re right
    0:16:33 about that. And we could have that discussion in terms of a specific philosophy. And I don’t believe
    0:16:37 that undocumented immigrants should immediately be citizens or anything along those lines.
    0:16:42 But I do believe in expanding liberty overall. And the contours of that are what’s interesting.
    0:16:47 And then you say justice for all. Everybody’s for justice. No, right now, marijuana possession
    0:16:52 is still illegal in a lot of parts of the country. Now a lot of right-wingers and left-wingers agree
    0:16:57 that it should be legal. But for my entire lifetime, black people have been arrested at about
    0:17:04 3.7 times the rate of white people. And the entire country has been fine with it. So is that justice?
    0:17:09 No, they smoke. White people, black people smoke marijuana at the same rate. Black people get
    0:17:14 arrested about four times the rate. That is an injustice that an enormous percentage of the
    0:17:19 country was comfortable with. Well, progressives aren’t comfortable with it. We want justice for
    0:17:23 all. So the quality of opportunity is an interesting one because the far left will say,
    0:17:31 at least some portions of them will say, equality of results, right? So progressives just want a
    0:17:38 fair chance. So free college education, but afterwards, you don’t get to have exact same
    0:17:42 results as either the wealthiest person or we’re not all going to be equal. We don’t have equal
    0:17:47 talents, skills, abilities, et cetera. There’s a lot of questions that can ask that. So on the
    0:17:54 circle of liberty, yes, so expanding the number of people whose freedoms are protected. But what
    0:18:01 about the magnitude of freedom for each individual person? So expanding the freedom of the individual
    0:18:06 and protecting the freedoms of the individual. It seems like progressives are more willing
    0:18:11 to expand the size of government where government can do all kinds of regulation,
    0:18:16 all kinds of controls in the individual. So Lex, what we’re probably going to talk about a lot
    0:18:24 today is balance. And so a lot of people think, oh, I’m on the right, I’m on the left. And that
    0:18:30 comes with a certain preset ideology. So the right is always correct. The left is always correct.
    0:18:36 So there’s two problems with that. Number one, how could you possibly believe in a preset ideology
    0:18:42 if you’re an independent thinker? It’s literally, by definition, not possible. If you say I lent
    0:18:48 my brain to an ideology that was created 80 years ago or eight years ago or 800 years ago,
    0:18:53 and I’m not going to change it, you’re saying, I don’t think for myself. I bought into a culture
    0:18:58 and, by the way, there’s a lot of different forms of culture you could buy into, religion, politics,
    0:19:06 sometimes racial, etc. So that’s why you need actually balance. The second reason you need
    0:19:11 balance, other than independent thought, is because the answer is almost never black and white.
    0:19:17 And that gets into a really interesting nuance because mainstream media, in my opinion, is the
    0:19:24 matrix. And its job is to delude you into thinking corporate rule is great for you. And we should
    0:19:32 never change it. And the status quo is wonderful. So they have created a false middle. What mainstream
    0:19:40 media calls moderate is actually, in my opinion, extremist corporate ideology. So for example,
    0:19:44 they’ll say Joe Manchin is a moderate. None of his positions are moderate other than potentially
    0:19:49 gun control in West Virginia. He’s not for gun control. The people of West Virginia are not
    0:19:54 for gun control, generally speaking. And he uses that, and they usually have these shiny objects
    0:19:59 where they’re like, you see this? I’m a moderate because of guns. Or I’m a moderate because I’m
    0:20:03 a Democrat from West Virginia. But wait, let’s look at your positions. You’re against paid family
    0:20:09 leave. That pulls at 84%. So you’re a radical corporatist who say that women should be forced
    0:20:15 back into work the day after they have birth. You’re against the higher minimum wage. You’re
    0:20:24 for every corporate position, and they all pull at 33% or less. So Joe Manchin is not at all a
    0:20:28 moderate. And this applies to almost every corporate Republican and every corporate Democrat.
    0:20:34 They’re all extremists in supporting what I call corporatism. So you have to get to a balance in
    0:20:38 order to get to the right answer. So that’s an interesting distinction here. So you’re actually,
    0:20:43 as far as I understand pro-capitalism, which is an interesting place to be. That’s the thing that
    0:20:50 probably makes you center left, and then still populist. You’re full of beautiful contradictions,
    0:20:56 let’s say this, which will be great to untangle. But what’s the difference between corporatism and
    0:21:03 capitalism? Is there a difference? So I really believe in capitalism. I don’t think that there’s
    0:21:09 really a second choice. Where it gets super interesting is the distinction between capitalism
    0:21:15 and socialism, because that’s not at all as clear as people think it is. And people often
    0:21:21 say socialism and communism as synonyms when they’re not synonyms, right? And so I view it as
    0:21:28 there’s basically four distinct areas. It’s obviously a spectrum. Everything is a spectrum,
    0:21:33 right? On one end, you have communism on the left. And on the other end, you have corporatism
    0:21:39 on the right, okay? And I would argue that capitalism is in the middle. And so communism,
    0:21:46 we know, state owns all property. You’re not allowed to have private property. So I will piss
    0:21:52 off a lot of people in this show. And so I’m asking for their patience, please hear me out.
    0:21:58 And because don’t worry, I’m going to piss off the other side too, okay? So communism makes
    0:22:04 no sense at all, totally opposed to human nature. It never works. It always evolves into
    0:22:11 dictatorship, because it is not built for human nature. It we’re never going to act like that.
    0:22:18 It’s not in our DNA. You could try to wish it into existence and they have. And it never works.
    0:22:25 And it’s because once you have almost no rules in terms of, oh, we’re all equal. And even though
    0:22:33 communism eventually winds up having an enormous amount of rules, right? It creates a power vacuum
    0:22:38 when you say, Hey, there’s no structure of power here, right? We’re all equal. It’s a flat line.
    0:22:44 One guy usually gets up because that’s human nature and goes, I don’t think so. I think if
    0:22:48 you’re going to leave a power vacuum, I’m going to take that power vacuum. That’s actually a really
    0:22:55 interesting way to put it. Because when everyone is equal, nobody is in power and human nature is
    0:22:59 such that there’s everybody’s that there’s a will to power. So when you create a power vacuum,
    0:23:05 somebody’s going to to fill it. So the alternative is to have people in power, but there’s a balance
    0:23:09 of power. And then there’s like a democratic system that elects the people in power and
    0:23:15 keeps churning and rotating. That is exactly it. Like you got it exactly right in my opinion. Okay.
    0:23:23 So that’s why communism never works and can never work. So they it’s an idea of like,
    0:23:27 we’re all going to work as hard as we possibly can and take only what we need.
    0:23:33 Where? When? When has that ever happened in the history of humanity? Right? We’re just not built
    0:23:38 that way. So okay, we can get into that debate with my friends on the left, etc. Now, corporatism
    0:23:43 is just as extreme and just as dangerous. And that is basically what we have in America now.
    0:23:49 What we have in America now, and this is another giant trick that the matrix played on everybody,
    0:23:56 that they they did in a shell game. And all of a sudden extreme corporates like Manchin and almost
    0:24:01 every Republican in the Senate are moderates. Oh my God, Mitch McConnell all of a sudden is a
    0:24:07 moderate and etc. As long as you’re not a populist, populists are never moderate. Okay.
    0:24:13 But if you love corporations and corporate tax cuts and everything in favor of corporations,
    0:24:16 you’re magically called a moderate when you actually according to the polling have super
    0:24:21 extreme positions that the American people hate. And by the way, that’s part of the reason for the
    0:24:28 rise of Trump and come back to that. Okay. But the second shell game is taking out capitalism,
    0:24:33 putting in corporatism, but still calling it capitalism. Okay. So what is corporatism?
    0:24:39 It is when corporations slowly take over the system and create monopoly and oligopoly power.
    0:24:48 So that snuffs out equality of opportunity. So how do they do that? When people say the
    0:24:54 the system is rigged, they oftentimes can’t explain it that well. And then mainstream media
    0:25:02 goes, Oh, your sound conspiratorial rigged. Yeah, I wonder how. Yeah, super easy to explain it.
    0:25:08 Here’s one of dozens of examples, carried interest loophole. So that is for hedge funds,
    0:25:15 private equity, the top people on Wall Street, that’s part of their income, they get two and 20,
    0:25:22 right? So 2% is a flat fee, no matter what happens to the fund. And 20% of the profits of the fund
    0:25:27 goes back to the people who invested it. It’s not their money. It’s not their investment.
    0:25:32 What they’re getting is actually just income. It should be taxed at the highest rate.
    0:25:36 But it’s because of this loophole, it’s taxed at a much lower rate at around 20%.
    0:25:45 So do you know what income level you go above 20% if you’re a regular Joe? It’s at $84,000 a year.
    0:25:52 So these billionaires are getting the same tax rate as people making $84,000 a year.
    0:25:58 It’s unbelievably unfair. And that’s corporatism taking over and starting to rig the rules. I’m
    0:26:03 going to pay less taxes, you’re going to pay more taxes. Okay. So again, I can give you dozens of
    0:26:09 those examples. And mergers so that they get to oligopoly power. That’s how you rig a system,
    0:26:14 lowering the corporate tax rates, making sure that there is no real minimum wage,
    0:26:20 making sure there’s no universal healthcare. We all get become indentured servants of corporations.
    0:26:24 They take away power from the average guy, give it to the most powerful people in the world.
    0:26:31 But the most important distinction, Lex, is that corporatism hates competition.
    0:26:37 It wants monopoly and oligopoly power. Whereas capitalism loves competition
    0:26:44 and wants to free markets. And I remember, we started Young Turks back in 2002. So we’ve been
    0:26:53 around for 22 years, longest running daily show on the internet ever. And so we were pre-Iraq war.
    0:26:56 And the Iraq war starts and Dick Cheney starts handing out no bid contracts.
    0:27:04 I’m like, what part of capitalism is a no bid contract? You can’t negotiate drug prices.
    0:27:12 The most anti-free market thing I have ever heard. It’s almost like communism for corporations.
    0:27:19 They get everything, you get nothing, right? So it’s preposterous, it’s awful,
    0:27:26 and it kills the free markets and it’s killing this country. And it is the main ideology and
    0:27:32 religion of the establishment. Are all companies built the same here? So when you say corporatism,
    0:27:41 it seems like just looking here at the list of by industry lobbyists, it seems like there are
    0:27:48 certain industries that are worse offenders than others, like pharmaceuticals, like insurance,
    0:27:58 oil and gas. So it seems to me, it feels wrong to just throw all companies into the same bucket
    0:28:03 of like they’re all guilty. No, they’re not all guilty. So let’s make a bunch of distinctions
    0:28:09 here. So first of all, can you, first of all, are they quote unquote guilty? No, they’re doing
    0:28:13 something that is logical and natural, right? So if you’re a company, do you want to pay higher
    0:28:17 taxes or lower taxes? Of course you want to pay lower taxes, right? Do you want to have higher
    0:28:21 employee costs or lower employee costs? Of course you want lower employee costs, right?
    0:28:28 So but the government needs to understand that and protect us from that power that they are
    0:28:34 going to exercise to get to those results. And if you, if you think free markets is there is no
    0:28:41 government, you, you read it wrong, go read, go back and reread Adam Smith. He says you must
    0:28:46 protect against monopoly power. If you do not protect against monopoly power, you will have
    0:28:53 no free markets and he’s absolutely right. So the second distinction is between small business
    0:28:57 and big business. That’s why Republicans will always be like, oh, we’re doing this for small
    0:29:02 business. That’s why we got the biggest oil companies in the world, $30 billion in subsidies.
    0:29:08 What happened to small business, right? So I run a small business and so if people were to say like,
    0:29:14 hey, maybe there should be exemptions for some of the regulations. If your company has less than
    0:29:19 five employees, 10 employees, 50 employees, et cetera, there’s some logic in that because
    0:29:23 businesses have different stages of growth and they have different interests and different
    0:29:29 needs in those stages of growth. And we want to facilitate small business growth because that’s
    0:29:35 great for the economy. That’s great for markets, freedom, et cetera. But the bigger corporations,
    0:29:40 even there, there’s a third distinction. It isn’t that there are certain industries that are worse.
    0:29:47 There’s just that there are industries that are better at lobbying. So anyone who like right now,
    0:29:51 number one donor in Washington, a lot of people make a mistake. They think it’s
    0:29:57 APAC or they think it’s the oil companies or the banks. No, it’s big pharma. Okay. And who has the
    0:30:04 most power in this country? Big pharma. So we can’t even negotiate the drug prices. I mean,
    0:30:07 look, guys, think about it this way. That’s like saying, okay, here’s a bottle of water.
    0:30:14 And normally in the free market, that would cost about a dollar, right? And for Medicare,
    0:30:18 the drug companies come in and go, no, I’m not charging a dollar for that water. I’m charging
    0:30:23 $100. And the government has to say, yes, sir, thank you, sir. Of course, sir, we’ll pay $100.
    0:30:30 That’s why compared to communism, because I can’t imagine anything more diametrically opposed
    0:30:36 to the free market than you, the consumer have to pay whatever the hell a corporation charges.
    0:30:42 That’s insanity, let alone the patents, let alone the fact that the American people pay for the
    0:30:47 research, and then they make billions of dollars off of it, and we get nothing but robbed by them.
    0:30:52 So it’s about lobby power. Oil companies have huge lobby power, defense contractors have huge
    0:30:57 lobby power. It’s not that they’re more evil, it’s just that they have figured out the game better,
    0:31:03 and they have basically taken the influence they need to capture the market, capture the government,
    0:31:06 and snuff out all competition. Or a lot of companies.
    0:31:16 Figured out the game better. So I think a lot of companies are good at winning the right way
    0:31:22 by building better products, by making people happier with the work they’re doing,
    0:31:27 and winning at the game of capitalism. And then there’s other companies that win at the game of
    0:31:32 lobbying. And I just want to draw that distinction, because I think it’s a small subset of companies
    0:31:36 that are playing the game of lobbying. It’s a big pharma.
    0:31:41 So Lex, first of all, you have to set rules for what makes sense, not, oh, I don’t like this
    0:31:46 industry, or I don’t like this company, or hey, this company’s not doing that much lobbying at this
    0:31:51 point. They will later when they realize what’s going on. So for example, in my opinion, APAC
    0:31:56 has totally bought almost all of Congress. And so now other countries are going to wake up and go,
    0:32:03 wait, you could just buy the American government. So APAC is going to spend about $100 million in
    0:32:09 this cycle, and then they’re getting $26 billion back. So every country in the world is soon going
    0:32:15 to realize, oh, take American citizens that live there, get them a tremendous amount of money,
    0:32:21 and just buy the US government. But for corporations, they’ve already realized that on a massive
    0:32:28 scale. So for example, in the two industries you gave, automotive. So in New Jersey, about a decade
    0:32:36 ago or so, one of the most powerful lobbies is car dealerships. So at the national level, you got
    0:32:40 pharma, and you’ve got defense contractors, et cetera. At the local level, guys who have huge
    0:32:46 power, number one is utilities. Number two is real estate. And then car dealerships are hilariously
    0:32:52 among the top, right? Because it’s local businesses that are financing the politicians at the local
    0:33:00 level. So they passed a law saying that you have to sell through dealerships, but Tesla doesn’t
    0:33:05 sell through dealerships. And it was intended to bully, intimidate, and push out Tesla out of the
    0:33:11 market. They then did that in a number of different states throughout the country. So does that make
    0:33:16 any sense in a democracy? Of course not. Why do you have to sell your product through a specific
    0:33:20 vehicle or medium? You can sell it any way you like. That’s the most anti-free market thing
    0:33:26 possible. Why? It was just total utter corruption. But it’s not, but it’s perfectly legal. The
    0:33:31 Supreme Court legalized bribery. So then what happened in that case? So then Elon came in
    0:33:37 and gave campaign contributions and reversed it. So now we’re in a battle where it’s an open
    0:33:42 auction, right? Different companies are buying different politicians, and then they’re pretending
    0:33:50 to have debates about principles and ideas, etc. So now let’s look at tech. In the beginning,
    0:33:55 Facebook was not spending any money in politics, or almost any money in politics. So what happens?
    0:34:01 They’re getting hammered. They get pulled into congressional hearings, and Facebook’s got fake
    0:34:07 news, and oh my god, all this trouble from Facebook. Then Facebook does the logical thing. Oh,
    0:34:11 it turns out I need to grease these sons of bitches, okay? So then they hire a whole bunch of
    0:34:17 Republicans consultants. They go grease all the Republicans and most of the corporate Democrats.
    0:34:22 And then all of a sudden, we’re no longer talking about Facebook at all. And Facebook are angels.
    0:34:28 And now we’ve turned our attention to who? Facebook’s top competitor, TikTok. Funny how
    0:34:35 that works, okay? And by the way, then Donald Trump goes, oh, and TikTok’s big dangerous company,
    0:34:42 they’re working with China, okay? And then Jeff Yaz comes in on this cycle, part owner of TikTok,
    0:34:47 and he doesn’t want TikTok banished, of course, right? So he gives Trump a couple of million
    0:34:53 dollars. Trump turns around the next day and goes, we love TikTok. TikTok’s a good company, right?
    0:35:00 So that’s a big contributor to influencing what politicians say and what they think. But it’s
    0:35:05 not the entire thing, right? No, it is. It’s 98%. I’ll go on mainstream media and they’ll be like,
    0:35:10 oh, I see what you’re saying. I can see how that influences politicians about 10%. I’m like, no,
    0:35:18 no, it’s 98%. So a lot of good people think it’s 50/50. They have principles and they have money.
    0:35:23 No, they have money and there’s major principles. That’s why I wanted to clarify 98Tube.
    0:35:28 Okay, so how do we fix it? So it’s really interesting and nice that you’re pro-capitalism
    0:35:36 and anti-corporatism. So how do we create a system where the free market can rule,
    0:35:42 where capitalism can rule, we can have these vibrant flourishing of all these companies competing
    0:35:48 against each other and creating awesome stuff? Yeah, so in the book, I call it democratic capitalism,
    0:35:52 as opposed to Bernie’s democratic socialism, right? We can get into that distinction in a minute.
    0:36:01 So as Adam Smith said, and anyone who studies capitalism knows, you need the government to
    0:36:07 protect the market as well as the people. Why do we have cops? Because if we don’t have cops,
    0:36:11 somebody’s going to go, well, I like Lex’s equipment. Why don’t I just go into his house and take it?
    0:36:16 So you need the cops to protect you and that’s the government. So people say, oh, I hate big
    0:36:21 government. Do you? It depends, right? If your house is getting robbed, all of a sudden you like
    0:36:26 the government, but you also need cops on Wall Street because if you allow insider trading,
    0:36:29 the powerful are going to rob you blind and the little guy is going to get screwed. So that’s
    0:36:36 this easy example. And so if you don’t have those cops, the bad guys are going to take over,
    0:36:42 they’re going to set the rules, rig the rules in their favor. So that’s why you need regulation.
    0:36:47 And so the Republicans on purpose made regulation a dirty word. They’re like, all
    0:36:53 regulation is bad. And then sometimes on the left, people fall for the trap of all regulation is
    0:37:00 good. Guy I liken has a great analogy on this. Matt Stolar, he’s one of the original, I would
    0:37:06 argue, progressives. And there’s about four of us. I’m sure there’s more, but that have stayed true
    0:37:14 to the original meaning of progressivism and populism. Me, Matt Stolar, David Sarota, Ryan Grimm.
    0:37:20 Okay. And it used to be in that original blogger group, there was guys like Glenn Greenwald and
    0:37:26 other interesting cats, right? But they went in different directions. So Matt has a great line.
    0:37:34 If somebody comes up to you and says, how big a pipe do you want? There is no answer for that.
    0:37:39 It depends on the job, doesn’t it? Right? What are we doing? What are we building? I’m going to
    0:37:45 tell you the size of the pipe, depending on the project. So when people say, are you in favor
    0:37:49 of regulation or against it? That’s an absurd question. Of course you need regulation. It just
    0:37:58 means laws, right? So don’t kill your neighbor is a regulation, right? So my idea is a simple one
    0:38:03 and one we’re going to keep coming back to balance. So when my dad was a small business owner in New
    0:38:11 Jersey and they inspected the elevator six times a year, that was over-regulation. And I said to
    0:38:16 my dad, so should they not inspected at all? I’m a young kid growing up. And he said, no, no, no,
    0:38:20 you got inspected at least twice a year. I said, why? He said, because in Turkey, sometimes they
    0:38:27 don’t inspect it and then the elevator falls. Okay. So, so bounds are reason, correct regulation to
    0:38:32 protect the markets and to protect the American people. Yeah, but finding the right level of
    0:38:36 regulation, especially in, for example, in tech, something I’m much more familiar with is very
    0:38:42 difficult because people in Congress are living in the 20th century before the internet was
    0:38:49 invented. So like, how are they supposed to come up with regulations? Yeah, that’s the idea of the
    0:38:55 free market is you should be able to sort of compete the market regulates. And then the government
    0:39:01 can step in and protect the market from forming monopolies, for example, which is easier to do.
    0:39:05 Yeah, but that’s their former regulation. Right. But then there’s like more check and
    0:39:10 elevator twice a year. That’s a more sort of specific watching, micromanaging.
    0:39:20 So Lex, here’s the deal. There is no way around the laws are made by politicians. Okay. So, and so
    0:39:25 you can’t give up then and go, oh, it’s a bunch of schmucks. I think most politicians are just
    0:39:30 servants for the donor class. All right. The, you know, the media makes it sound like they’re the
    0:39:35 best of us. Oh, they deserve a lot of honor and respect and they kiss their ass, etc. I think
    0:39:39 generally speaking, they’re usually the worst of us, especially in this corporate structure,
    0:39:46 right? Because they’re the guys who their number one talent is. Yes, sir. No, sir. What would you
    0:39:52 like me to do with your donor money, sir? Absolutely. I’ll serve you completely or 98%. Right. So in
    0:39:57 this structure, the politicians are the worst of us. But at some point, you need somebody elected
    0:40:03 to be your representative to do democratic capitalism so that you have capitalism, but it’s
    0:40:09 checked by the government on behalf of the people. It’s the people that are saying these are the
    0:40:16 rules of the land and you have to abide by them. So how do you get to the best possible answer?
    0:40:23 Which is related to an earlier question you asked, Lex, which is the number one thing you have to do
    0:40:30 is get big money out of politics. Everything else is near impossible as long as we are drowned in
    0:40:35 money and whoever has more money wins. And by the way, when it comes to legislation, again,
    0:40:40 that’s true about 98% of the time. We predict things ahead of time. People are like, wow,
    0:40:43 how did you know that that bill wasn’t going to pass or was going to pass? It’s the easiest thing
    0:40:49 in the world. And we literally teach our audience on the young Turks, watch, you’ll be able to see
    0:40:55 for yourself. And now like our members comment in, they do these predictions, they’re almost always
    0:41:00 right, right? Because it’s so simple, follow the money. So if you get big money out of politics,
    0:41:07 and I can explain how to do that in a sec, then you’re at a place where you got your best shot
    0:41:12 and honest representatives that are going to try their best to get to the right answer. Are they
    0:41:16 going to get to the right answer out of the gate? Usually not. So they pass a law, there’s something
    0:41:22 wrong with the law. They then fix that part. It’s a pendulum. You know, you don’t want it to swing
    0:41:27 too wildly, but you do need a little bit of oscillation in that pendulum to get to the right
    0:41:34 balance. By the way, I was listening to Joe Biden from when he was like 30 years old, the speeches,
    0:41:41 he was eloquent as hell. It’s fun to listen to actually. And he has a speech he gives, or just
    0:41:45 maybe a conversation in Congress, I’m not sure where, where he talks about how corrupt the whole
    0:41:53 system is. And he’s really honest and fun. And that Joe Biden is great, by the way. That guy,
    0:41:59 I mean, age sucks. You know, people get older. But he was talking quite honestly about having
    0:42:05 to suck up to all these rich people, and that he couldn’t really suck up to the really rich people.
    0:42:13 They said, come back to us 10 years later, when you’re more integrated into the system.
    0:42:18 But he was really honest about it. And he’s saying that’s, that’s how it is. That’s what
    0:42:20 we have to do. And that really sucks that that’s what we have to do.
    0:42:27 Yeah. So we did a video on our TikTok channel then and now of Joe Biden. This is when I was
    0:42:33 trying to push Biden out. We should say you’re one of the people early on saying Biden needs to
    0:42:38 step down. Yeah, I started about a year ago because I was positive that Biden had a 0% chance of winning.
    0:42:45 And and it turned out, by the way, two days before he dropped out, his inside advisors inside the
    0:42:50 White House said, yeah, near 0% chance of winning. So we were right all along. You got a lot of
    0:42:55 criticism for that, by the way. But yeah, yeah, we can come back to that. Yes, I did. And which
    0:43:03 makes it Tuesday for me. Get a lot of criticism for everything. And by the way, Democratic Party,
    0:43:10 you’re welcome. So, but Biden’s a really interesting example. I’m really glad you brought it up. So
    0:43:16 the video on TikTok was just showing Biden then Biden now. And you’re right, Biden was so dynamic.
    0:43:21 When you see how dynamic he was, we did like side by side, right? And then you see him now going
    0:43:26 like, you know, get married eventually. Anyways, right, you’re like, Oh, that’s not the same guy,
    0:43:31 I get it, right? So and I got like 5 million views because because it resonates. They’re like,
    0:43:35 yeah, yeah, of course, right. But when he first started to the point you were making likes,
    0:43:40 he want to, in fact, I know, because I talked to him about this, his very first bill was
    0:43:47 anti corruption. Why? Because at that point, everything changes in 1976, 78, the Supreme
    0:43:52 Court decisions that basically legalized bribery. But remember, Biden is ancient. So he’s coming
    0:43:57 into politics at a time when money has not yet drowned politics. And in fact, the American
    0:44:03 population is super pissed about the fact that it’s begun, they don’t like corruption. So early
    0:44:09 Biden, because he’s reading the room is very anti corruption. And the first bill he proposes is to
    0:44:17 get money out of politics. Okay. But as Biden goes on for his epic 200 year career in Washington,
    0:44:22 he starts to get not more conservative, more corporate, because he’s just taken more and more
    0:44:29 money by the middle of his career. He has a nickname, the Senator from MBNA. Okay, MBNA was a
    0:44:34 credit card company based in Delaware. The reason he had that nickname is because there isn’t anything
    0:44:39 Joe Biden wouldn’t have done for credit card companies and corporations based in Delaware,
    0:44:47 which are almost all corporations. Okay, so he became the most corporate Senator in the country,
    0:44:53 and hence the most beloved by corporate media. And corporate media has protected him his entire
    0:44:59 career until about a month ago. So for example, in the primaries, both in 2020 and 2024, if you
    0:45:04 said the Senator from MBNA, I guarantee you almost no one in the audience has heard of it. If you
    0:45:09 heard of it, good job, you know, politics really well. Okay. But the reason you didn’t hear of it
    0:45:14 is because the mainstream media wouldn’t say that’s outrageous of Joe Biden to be such a corporate
    0:45:18 stooge. They’d say that’s outrageous of you to point out something that’s true and something
    0:45:24 we reported on earlier. Okay. And so they protected him at all costs. Now, finally,
    0:45:32 when you get to this version of Joe Biden, we, he can’t talk, he can’t walk. He’s, he bears no
    0:45:38 resemblance to the young guy who came in saying that money and politics was a problem. Now he’s
    0:45:43 saying money and politics is the solution. And in 2020, he said, well, I can raise more money
    0:45:49 than Bernie. I can kiss corporate ass better than Bernie. I’m the biggest corporate ass kisser in
    0:45:53 the world. So I’m going to raise a billion dollars and you need to support me. Now, of course, he
    0:45:57 doesn’t say it in those words, but that was a message to the establishment and Buttigieg,
    0:46:03 Klobuchar, Obama, Clyburn, everybody goes, oh, that’s right. Biden, Biden, Biden, Biden, not Bernie.
    0:46:09 I don’t know that there’s anybody in the country who instinctually dislikes Bernie more than Barack
    0:46:14 Obama. Oh, that’s an interesting, I’m not taking that tangent at this moment. Let’s, because you
    0:46:19 mentioned mainstream media. What’s the motivation for mainstream media to be corporatist also?
    0:46:25 So first of all, they’re giant corporations. So they’re all multi-billion-dollar corporations.
    0:46:31 In the old days, we had an incredible number of media outlets. So you go to San Francisco,
    0:46:35 there’d be at least two papers, and there’d be a paper boy, and I’m going all the way back,
    0:46:38 paper boy on each corner, and they’re competing with one another. Literally,
    0:46:43 they’d be catty corner, right? And one guy’s going, oh, here are all these details. They’re
    0:46:47 trying to get an audience. They’re trying to get people interested. So they’re populist. They’re
    0:46:54 interesting. They’re muckrakers. They’re challenging the government. Fast forward to now, or not now,
    0:47:02 but about a decade ago, five years ago in that ballpark, in that ballpark. Now, there’s only six
    0:47:07 giant media corporations left, and it’s an oligopoly, right? And they’re all multi-billion
    0:47:13 dollar corporations. They all want tax cuts. Half of them are also, especially about 20 years ago,
    0:47:18 during the Iraq war, half of them are defense contractors. So they’re just using the news as
    0:47:24 marketing to start wars, like the Iraq war, and then GE, which owned MSNBC, makes a tremendous
    0:47:30 amount of money. So much more money from war than it does from media, that media is a good
    0:47:36 marketing spend for these corporations. Now, that’s part of it, that they themselves want
    0:47:42 the same exact thing as the rest of corporations do for corporate rule, lower tax cuts, deregulation,
    0:47:47 so they can merge, et cetera. But the second part of it is arguably even more important.
    0:47:55 So where does all that money and politics go? So for example, in 2022, it’s just a midterm election,
    0:48:03 not no presidential should be lower spending. A ridiculous $17 billion are spent on the
    0:48:10 election cycle. Where does the $17 billion go? Almost all of it goes into corporate media,
    0:48:14 mainstream media, television, newspapers, radio. They’re buying ads like nuts.
    0:48:20 So we have a reporter at TYT, David Schuster. He used to work at MSNBC, Fox News, et cetera.
    0:48:26 And David once did a piece about money and politics at a local NBC news station, and his
    0:48:35 editor or GM spiked the story. And David goes into his office and asks him, “Why? This story is
    0:48:40 true. It’s a huge part of politics. If we’re going to report on this issue, we got to tell
    0:48:44 you what’s actually happening.” So he says, “David, come here.” It puts his arm around his shoulders,
    0:48:50 takes him to the big newsroom, and he goes, “You see all this? Money and politics paid for that.”
    0:48:58 That’s really fascinating. So big corporations are giving money to politicians through different
    0:49:05 channels, and then the politicians are spending that money on mainstream media. And so there’s
    0:49:11 a vicious cycle where it’s in the interest of the mainstream media not to criticize the
    0:49:17 very corporations that are feeding that cycle. It’s not actually direct. It’s not like corporations
    0:49:24 are… Because I was thinking one of the ways is direct advertisement. Pharmaceuticals obviously
    0:49:30 advertise a lot on mainstream media, but there’s also indirect, which is giving the politicians
    0:49:39 money or super PACs and the super PACs that spend money on the… That’s why mainstream media never
    0:49:46 talks about the number one factor in politics, which is money. As we talked about earlier,
    0:49:51 we see it with our own eyes, open auction, any country, any company, anybody that has money,
    0:49:56 the politicians will now literally say, “I am now working for this guy,” as Trump says,
    0:50:02 because he gave me a strong endorsement, which means a lot of money. And the press never covers
    0:50:08 it, almost never. So you’re telling me you’re doing an article on the infrastructure build
    0:50:15 or build back better, et cetera, and you’re not going to mention the enormous amount of money
    0:50:22 that every lobbyist spent on that bill? That’s absurd. That’s absurd. That’s 98% of the ballgame.
    0:50:26 And the reason they hide the ball is because they don’t want you to know this whole thing
    0:50:31 is based on the money that they are receiving. And by the way, one more thing about that, Alex,
    0:50:40 it’s that the ads themselves, actually, they work and they work pretty well, but that’s not
    0:50:47 the main reason you spend money on ads. You spend the money on ads to get friendly coverage from
    0:50:52 the content, from the free media that you’re getting from that same outlet. And so since
    0:51:00 every newspaper and every news television station and network knows that the Democratic Party and
    0:51:05 the Republican Party are their top clients, they’re going to get billions of dollars from them.
    0:51:09 They never really criticized the Republican and Democratic Party. On the other hand,
    0:51:15 if you’re an outsider, they’ll rip your face off. That’s also really interesting. So if you’re an
    0:51:21 advertiser, if you’re a big farmer and you’re advertising, it’s not that the advertisement
    0:51:28 works. It’s that the hosts are too afraid, not explicitly, just even implicitly. They’re
    0:51:33 self-censoring. They’re not going to have any guests that are like controversial anti-big
    0:51:37 farmer or they’re not going to make any jokes about big farming. They’re not going to make,
    0:51:42 and that continues and expands. That’s really interesting.
    0:51:50 Sometimes it’s super direct. When I was a host on MSNBC, I had a company that I was criticizing in
    0:51:55 my script and management looked at it. And by the way, I used to go off-promptor a lot and it
    0:52:00 drove them crazy. Not because I wasn’t good at it. I think my ratings went up whenever I went off
    0:52:06 prompter, but because they couldn’t pre-approve the script. And what do they want to pre-approve?
    0:52:10 Hey, are you going to criticize one of our sponsors, one of our advertisers, et cetera?
    0:52:18 We had a giant fight over it and the compromise was I moved them lower in the script but kept
    0:52:23 them in the story. So sometimes it’s super direct like that, but way more often,
    0:52:32 it’s implicit. It’s indirect. You don’t have to say it. I give you a spectacular example of it
    0:52:39 so that you get a sense of how it works implicitly. Since G is a giant defense contractor, they own
    0:52:44 MSNBC at the time of the Iraq war. They fired everyone who was against the Iraq war on air.
    0:52:49 So Phil Donahue, Jesse Ventura, Ashley Banfield, but Ashley Banfield, they did something different
    0:52:56 with. She was a rising star at the time. She goes and gives a speech in Kansas. Not really
    0:53:01 even having a policy position, but just talking about the actual cost of this Iraq war
    0:53:07 and how we should be really careful. They hate that. So they take their rising star
    0:53:11 and they take her off air. And she goes, okay, good. Let me out of my contract. It’s okay.
    0:53:15 I’ll go because she was such a star at that time. She could have easily gotten somewhere else.
    0:53:19 And they go, no, we’re not going to let you out of your contract. Why not? You’re going to pay me
    0:53:24 to do nothing? Yeah. Not only that, we’re moving your office. Where are you moving it to? They
    0:53:31 literally moved it into a closet. And they made sure that everybody in the building saw her getting
    0:53:37 taken off the air and moved into a closet. The closet is the memo, right? That’s the memo to
    0:53:43 the whole building. You better shut up and do as you’re told. Okay. So that way I don’t have to
    0:53:49 tell you and get myself in trouble. It’s super obvious. There are guardrails here and you are
    0:53:54 not allowed to go beyond acceptable thought. And acceptable thought is our sponsors are great,
    0:54:00 politicians are great, the powerful are great. So how do we begin to fix that? And what exactly
    0:54:05 we’re fixing is that the influence of the lobbyists, the influence of, it feels like there’s,
    0:54:14 companies have found different ways to achieve influence. So how do we get money out of politics?
    0:54:20 So it’s very difficult, but doable. And we will do it. But in order to do it, the populace left
    0:54:25 and the populace right have to unite. And by the way, that is why we have the cultural wars.
    0:54:31 That’s why you’re voting for Trump. No chance. Okay. So we can get into that in a minute.
    0:54:36 So the cultural wars are meant to divide us. If we get united, we have enough leverage and
    0:54:41 power to be able to do it. But you can’t do it through a normal bill. Because if you do it in a
    0:54:47 bill, the whole point of capturing the Supreme Court was to make sure that they kill any piece
    0:54:50 of legislation that would protect the American people. You’re saying the Supreme Court is also
    0:54:57 captured by this? Oh, 100%. So, okay. So let me explain. Again, people for the uninitiated,
    0:55:01 they think, oh, that sounds conspiratorial. Well, in this case, that’s actually somewhat true,
    0:55:07 because people now know about this. It’s the Powell memo, right? The most infamous political
    0:55:13 memo in history, Lewis Powell writes a memo for the Chamber of Commerce in 1971. That’s basically
    0:55:18 a blueprint for how the Chamber of Commerce can take over the government. And Lewis Powell explains
    0:55:22 one of the most important things you have to do is take over the media. But even more important
    0:55:27 than that is taking over the Supreme Court. Because the Supreme Court is the ultimate arbiter
    0:55:35 of what is allowed and not allowed. And he says, we need, quote, activist judges
    0:55:43 to help business interests on the court. Okay. And then Nixon reads the memo and goes,
    0:55:47 that sounds like a really good idea. How about I put you on the Supreme Court? And he puts Lewis
    0:55:52 Powell, the guy who wrote the memo, on the Supreme Court, where he’s the deciding vote
    0:56:00 in Bellotti and Buckley. So Bellotti’s, those two decisions are 76 and 78. And what they say is,
    0:56:08 yeah, yeah, I read the Constitution and it says that money is speech. No, it isn’t. And no, it
    0:56:13 didn’t. That’s not even close to true. They just made it up. And they said, okay, in corporations,
    0:56:19 they’re human beings. No, they’re not. That’s preposterous, right? And they have the same
    0:56:28 inalienable rights as human beings and citizens do. And money is speech and speech is an
    0:56:33 inalienable right. So corporations can spend unlimited money in politics. And there goes our
    0:56:39 democracy gone. Okay. So citizens united just shot a dead horse with a gatling gun and made it worse
    0:56:45 and put it on steroids. But it was already dead in 78. So that’s why every chart you see for the
    0:56:52 rest of your life, you’ll see this, every chart and about the American economy starts to diverge
    0:57:01 in 1978. So until 38 to 78, we have golden 40 years of economic prosperity. We create the greatest
    0:57:08 middle class the world has ever seen. And our productivity sky high, but our wages match our
    0:57:15 productivity. After 78, productivity is still sky high best in the world. Okay, sometimes people
    0:57:22 who are the American workers lazy, not remotely true, we work our ass off, okay, but wages flat
    0:57:28 line. And they’ve been flat lining for about 50 years straight. And the reason is because the
    0:57:33 Supreme Court made bribery legal. So in order to get past the Supreme Court, you only have one
    0:57:38 choice. That’s an amendment. And so you have to get an amendment. Amendments are very difficult.
    0:57:46 But so for example, you, you need two thirds of Congress to even propose the amendment. So well,
    0:57:50 why would Congress propose an amendment that would take away their own power, right? Because
    0:57:55 almost everybody in Congress got there through corruption. Their main talent is I can kiss
    0:58:00 corporate ass better than you can, right? So I they take the most amount of person with more
    0:58:05 money in Congress was 95% of the time, right? But the good news is the founding fathers were
    0:58:11 geniuses. And they put in a second outlet, they said, or two thirds of the states can call for a
    0:58:17 convention where you can propose an amendment. And after an amendment is proposed, then three
    0:58:22 quarters of the states have to ratify. That’s what makes it so difficult. Because getting three
    0:58:27 quarters of the states, there’s so many red states, so many blue states, getting three quarters of the
    0:58:32 states, they agree is near impossible. But there is one issue that the whole country agrees on 93%
    0:58:38 of Americans believe that politicians serve their donors and not their voters. So this is
    0:58:43 the one thing we can unite on if we unite on this, we push our states to call for a convention,
    0:58:49 we all go to the convention together, we bring democracy alive, and we propose amendments to
    0:58:54 the Constitution. And the best amendment gets three quarters of the states to ratify, you go
    0:59:02 above the Supreme Court, and you solve the whole thing. So if 93% of people want this, why hasn’t
    0:59:08 it happened yet? I mean, the obvious answer is there’s corporate control of the media and the
    0:59:13 politicians, but it seems like our current system and the megaphone that a president has,
    0:59:20 we should be able to kind of unite the populist left and right. So it shouldn’t be that difficult
    0:59:28 to do. Like, why hasn’t a person like Trump with a billionaire or on the left a rich businessman
    0:59:34 run just on this and win? Well, eventually they will, right? And so that’s why I actually have a
    0:59:39 lot of hope, even though things seem super dark right now. So, and that’s why I was for Bernie,
    0:59:44 and so I can come back to that. But why hasn’t Trump done it as easy? He’s like, what am I, a
    0:59:49 sucker? The guy gives me money, I do what the guy wants. Why would I get rid of that? That’s
    0:59:54 how I got into power. And so that’s how I’m doing it now. I get go to Mary Mendel’s sentence to give
    0:59:59 me a hundred million dollars and I’ll let Israel annex the West Bank, right? So I’ll go to the oil
    1:00:03 companies and give me a billion dollars and I’ll give you tax subsidies. I’ll let you drill. I’ll
    1:00:08 take away a regulation. Why would I stop that? You think he likes money more than he likes being
    1:00:16 popular? Because there’s a big part of him as a populist in the sense that like he loves being
    1:00:22 admired by large masses of people. Yeah. So, and you’re absolutely right. But that is the fault
    1:00:31 of MAGA. And so MAGA, you’re screwing populists in a way that is infuriating, okay? And smart
    1:00:36 libertarians like Dave Smith have figured this out. And that’s why he’s just as mad at Trump as I am.
    1:00:45 And it’s because he took a populist movement and he redirected it for his own personal gain.
    1:00:50 MAGA, figure it out. Come on, right? And so if you say, oh, you think Democrats have figured out
    1:00:54 that these, no, they largely haven’t figured it out either. And I think there’s blue MAGA,
    1:00:58 and I could talk about that as well. But for those of us on the populist left,
    1:01:03 yeah, we’re not enamored by politicians. And for example, when Bernie does the wrong thing,
    1:01:08 we call him out. Well, I’m not, Bernie’s not my goddamn uncle. I don’t like him for some
    1:01:12 personality reason. It’s not a cult of personality. You do the right thing I love you for. You do
    1:01:16 the wrong thing. I’m gonna kick your ass for it, right? So, but Donald Trump does this massive,
    1:01:20 ridiculous corruption over and over again. And MAGA is like, I’m here for it. Love it.
    1:01:24 As long as you’re doing the corruption, I’m okay with it. What does Trump say about getting
    1:01:29 money out of politics? Does he he says nothing about it? Go and MAGA, why haven’t you held him
    1:01:35 to account? Like, so when Bernie, it helped Biden take out $15 minimum wage from the Senate bill
    1:01:41 on the first bill that was introduced in the Biden administration, we went nuts. We did a petition.
    1:01:47 We sent in videos to Bernie, our audience going, don’t kill it, Bernie, don’t kill it. And so,
    1:01:52 Bernie then reintroduced it as an amendment. It got voted down, but he did the right thing, right?
    1:01:58 That is us holding our top leader accountable and saying, you better get back on track, okay?
    1:02:03 Because we’re not here for you and your personal self and grant a grandisement. We’re here for
    1:02:09 policy, right? And if MAGA was actually here for policy, they would have absolutely leveled Trump
    1:02:14 on the fact that he, I mean, remember what he ran on, drain the swamp. That’s why he won in 2016,
    1:02:21 right? So I predicted on ABC right after the DNC and Hillary Clinton was up 10, 12 points,
    1:02:26 whatever she was. And I said, Trump would win, okay? And the whole panel laughed out loud,
    1:02:32 right? They’re like, get a load of this crazy guy. I said, he’s a populist who seems to hate
    1:02:42 the establishment in a populist time. And so, and drain the swamp is a great slogan. And I knew
    1:02:49 he would win when he was in a Republican debate. And he said, I paid all these guys before I paid
    1:02:54 them and they did whatever I wanted. And I was like, that’s so true, right? And people will love
    1:02:57 that. And especially Republican voters will love that. I actually have a lot of respect
    1:03:00 for Republican voters because they actually genuinely hate corruption.
    1:03:08 So what would an amendment look like that helps prevent money being an influence in politics?
    1:03:11 So I started a group called Wolfpack.
    1:03:13 Nice name.
    1:03:19 Thank you, wolf-pack.com. And the reason why I named a Wolfpack is because everyone in Washington,
    1:03:25 I knew would hate that name. It’s a populist name. And everybody in Washington is snickers.
    1:03:30 You’re supposed to name it Americans for America and just trick people, etc. No, no, no.
    1:03:34 Wolfpack means we’re coming for you. We’re not coming for you in a weirdo,
    1:03:39 physical or violent way. We’re coming for you in a Democratic way. So we’re going to go to those
    1:03:44 houses. We’re going to get them to propose a convention and we did it in five states.
    1:03:47 But then the Democratic Party started beating us back. We’ll get to that.
    1:03:55 And so we are going to overturn your apple cart and we’re going to put the American people back
    1:04:01 in charge. So what does the amendment say? Number one, a lot of people will have different opinions
    1:04:04 on what it should say and that’s what you sort out in a convention. So for example, one of the
    1:04:10 things that conservatives can propose, which makes sense, is term limits. Because the reason why
    1:04:15 these super old politicians are in charge is because they provide a return on investment.
    1:04:20 So you know if you give to Biden, Pelosi or McConnell, they’re going to deliver for you.
    1:04:23 They love that return on investment. They don’t want to risk it on a new guy.
    1:04:30 The new guy might have principles or you know, might want to actually do a little bit for his
    1:04:38 voters. Whereas these old, you know, and every corrupt system has these old guys hanging around
    1:04:45 that help maintain power, etc. So my particular proposal in the amendments would be a couple
    1:04:51 of things. One is end private financing of elections. So if and look, if you’re a business
    1:04:58 person, you’re a capitalist, you know this with absolute certainty. If somebody signs your check,
    1:05:04 that’s the person you work for, right? So if private interests are funding politicians,
    1:05:09 the politicians will serve private interests. And then you’re going to get into a fight like
    1:05:16 Elon did in New Jersey, where the car dealerships and Tesla are getting into an auction. Can I hear
    1:05:21 100,000 a million, two million, three million, right? And now you got to go bribe the government
    1:05:27 official, that’s called a campaign contribution. And this is a terrible system, right? And the
    1:05:32 private financing go to complete public financing of elections. That’s when the conservatives,
    1:05:37 because they’ve been propagandized by corporate media. Yes, mainstream media got into your head too,
    1:05:42 and right wing media got into your head too. And right wing media also financed by a lot of this
    1:05:47 corrupt interest. And so they tell you, Oh, you don’t want to publicly finance. Oh my God,
    1:05:51 you’d be spending like a billion dollars on politicians. Brother, they’re spending trillions
    1:05:56 of dollars on your money because they’re financed by the guys that they’re giving all of your money
    1:06:01 to. So can you educate me? Does that prevent something like Citizen United? So like super
    1:06:07 packs are all gone in this case? So all gone. So indirect funding is also indirect funding is gone.
    1:06:12 Direct funding is gone. You have to set up some thresholds. Not everybody can just get money
    1:06:18 to run. You have to prove that you have some sort of popular support. So signature gathering,
    1:06:24 you would still allow for small money donations like up to $100, something along those lines.
    1:06:29 That’s not 5000 or whatever it is now. Yeah, I think 5000 is too high. But those are fine debates.
    1:06:33 Yeah, you know, but you basically want to create an incentive. Everything is about incentives and
    1:06:38 disincentives. Again, capitalists realize it’s better than anyone else, right? So you want to
    1:06:45 set up an incentive to serve your voters, not your donors. So if you take away private donors,
    1:06:50 well, there goes that incentive. And that’s gigantic, right? And then if you set up small
    1:06:55 grassroots funding as a way to get past the threshold to get the funding to run an election,
    1:07:00 well, then good because then you’re serving small donors, which are generally voters,
    1:07:06 right? So that’s what you want. And ending private financing is critical. But the second thing is
    1:07:12 ending corporate personhood. So this is where you get into a lot of fights, because you have
    1:07:18 two reasons. One is some folks have a principled position against it. And they say, well, I mean,
    1:07:26 the Sierra Club is technically a corporation, ACLU is technically a corporation. And so if you
    1:07:32 end corporate personhood, then they, you know, that could endanger their existence, right? No,
    1:07:37 it doesn’t endanger their existence at all, right? So it doesn’t endanger GM or GE’s existence. It
    1:07:42 doesn’t endanger anybody’s existence. Corporations exist. We’re not trying to take them away. I
    1:07:47 would never do that, right? That’s not smart. That’s not workable, etc. We’re just saying they
    1:07:53 don’t have constitutional rights. So they have the rights that we give them. And by the way,
    1:08:00 read The Founding Fathers is also in my book. They hated corporations. The American Revolution
    1:08:06 was partly against the British East India Company. And so the Tea Party in Boston
    1:08:11 was against that corporation. They threw their tea overboard. It was not against the British
    1:08:17 monarchy. And so they, and all the Founding Fathers warned us over and over again,
    1:08:24 watch out for corporations, okay? Because once they form, they will amass money and power and
    1:08:31 look to kill off democracy. And they were totally right. That’s exactly what happened. And so it’s
    1:08:36 not that you don’t have them. It’s that you, through democratic capitalism, you limit their power.
    1:08:40 They definitely, you can give them a bunch of rights. You say, hey, you have a right to exist.
    1:08:45 You have a right to do this, this and this, okay? But you do not have constitutional rights
    1:08:53 of a citizen. And so you don’t have the right to speak to a politician by giving them a billion
    1:08:59 dollars. And you believe that the people will be able to find the right policies to regulate
    1:09:04 and tax the corporations such that capitalism can flourish still?
    1:09:10 Yes. You know why? Because I’m a real populist and I believe in the people. So I drive the
    1:09:16 establishment crazy because they don’t believe in the people. They think, oh, check, have you
    1:09:20 seen MAGA? Have you seen these guys? Have you seen the radicals on the left? We’re so much smarter.
    1:09:25 Well, you know how many Ivy League degrees we have, right? And we know what we’re doing. No,
    1:09:32 you don’t. No, you’re, everybody to some degree looks out for their own interests, right? Why I
    1:09:38 like capitalism and why I love democracy is because it’s the wisdom of the crowd. And so in the long
    1:09:42 run, the crowd is right. Oftentimes in the short term, we’re wrong, okay? But the wisdom of the
    1:09:48 crowd in the long run is much, much better than the elites that run things. The elites say, well,
    1:09:52 we’re so smart and educated. So we’re going to know better what’s good for you. No, brother,
    1:09:57 you’re going to know what’s better for you. And so here’s something that a lot of people get wrong
    1:10:02 on the populist left and right. They think, oh, those guys are evil. They’re not evil. I met them.
    1:10:07 I worked at MSNBC. I worked on cable. I went to Wharton, you know, Columbia Law. I know a lot
    1:10:13 of those guys. And so they’re not at all evil. They don’t even know that they’re mainly serving
    1:10:18 their own interests. They just naturally do it, right? And so they think the carrot interest loop
    1:10:24 hole makes a lot of sense, right? They think corporate tax cuts makes a lot of sense. You
    1:10:29 not getting higher wages. You not having healthcare makes a lot of sense. It doesn’t make any goddamn
    1:10:34 sense, but they get themselves to believe it. And that’s another portion of the invisible hand
    1:10:39 on the market. So there’s problems with every, every path. So the elite, like you mentioned,
    1:10:45 can be corrupted by greed, by power and so on. But the crowd, I agree with you, by the way,
    1:10:49 about the wisdom of the crowd versus the wisdom of the elite, but the crowd can be captured by
    1:10:56 charismatic leader. So the problem with populism, and I’m probably a populist myself, the problem
    1:11:02 with populism is it, it can be and has been throughout history captured by bad people.
    1:11:07 But if you say to me, trust elites or trust the people, I’m going to trust the people
    1:11:12 every single time. Well, that’s why you’re such an interesting, I don’t want to say contradiction,
    1:11:21 but there’s a tension that creates the balance. So to me, in the way you’re speaking might result
    1:11:28 in hurting capitalism. So it’s easy to in fighting corporatism to, to hurt companies.
    1:11:34 So to go too far the other way. Yeah, of course, of course. And so like when you talked about
    1:11:40 corporate tax, so what’s, what’s the magic, what’s the magic number for the corporate tax?
    1:11:48 Because if it’s too high, the companies leave. Yeah, companies have so much power right now.
    1:11:54 This pendulum has swung so far. And we’re guys, we’re almost out of time, the windows closing,
    1:11:59 the minute private equity buys all of our homes, the residential real estate market,
    1:12:05 we’re screwed, we’re indentured servants forever. Okay, there goes wealth creation for the average
    1:12:12 American. So your right likes this is that it’s not a contradiction, it’s a tension that is
    1:12:18 inevitable to get to balance. The reason why people kind of can’t figure me out, they’re like,
    1:12:24 well, you’re on the left, but you’re a capitalist, etc. That’s not a contradiction,
    1:12:29 that’s getting to the right balance. And in order to do that, like if you say, well,
    1:12:34 if we change the system, I’m afraid of change, because what if the pendulum swings too far in
    1:12:41 the other direction, right? Well, then you would be opposed to change at all times. So if you do
    1:12:48 that, it actually reminds me of the Biden fight, right? So I’m like, guys, he has, he has almost
    1:12:54 no chance of winning. He stands for the establishment, he can’t talk. But then the number one pushback
    1:13:02 I’d get from Democrats was, yeah, but what if we change? It’s so scary. We don’t know about Kamala
    1:13:07 Harris. What if it’s not Kamala Harris? It’s so scary. Don’t change. And I’m like, yeah, but
    1:13:15 if you say change might be worse, it also might be better. And you’re at zero. Anything is better,
    1:13:23 right? And right now, in terms of corruption in America, we’re at 98% corruption. So we got 2%
    1:13:31 decency left. Brother, this is when you want change. And so to, and, and, and Lex, if you
    1:13:36 actually have wisdom of the crowd, just like a supply and demand, and how it works in economics,
    1:13:43 it works the same way in a functioning democracy, you go too far, you come back in. So for example,
    1:13:49 when Reagan came into office, me and my dad, my family, we were Republicans. Why? At that point,
    1:13:56 the highest marginal tax rate was at 70%. 70% is too high, right? Now they, then he brought it
    1:14:02 all the way down to 28%. That’s too low, right? So, and, and, but, and that’s how the, the system
    1:14:07 modulates itself. Already, we were headed towards corruption. And because it’s the 80s now, we’re
    1:14:14 past 78, magic 78 marker, right? So, and, and even Carter was way more conservative economically
    1:14:19 than people realize because we’re already getting past it by the time it’s in his administration.
    1:14:24 But the bottom line is, yes, you’re going, whenever you have real wisdom of the crowd,
    1:14:28 whether it’s in business or in politics, you’re going to have fluctuation. You’re going to have
    1:14:34 that pendulum swinging back and forth. You don’t want wild swings, communism, corporatism, right?
    1:14:38 You want to get to, hey, where, where’s the right balance here between capitalism
    1:14:46 and what people think is socialism? Yeah, so I guess I agree with most of the things you said
    1:14:54 about the corruption. I just wish there would be more celebration of the fact that capitalism and
    1:14:59 some incredible companies in the history of the 20th century has created so much wealth,
    1:15:03 so much innovation that has increased the quality of life on average. They’ve also increased the
    1:15:07 wealth and equality and exploitation of the workers and this kind of stuff. But you, you
    1:15:14 want to not forget to celebrate the awesomeness that companies have also brought outside the
    1:15:21 political sphere, just in creating awesome stuff. Look, I run a company. And so I don’t want companies
    1:15:26 to go away. And, and I don’t want you to hate all companies. I think Young Turks is a wonderful
    1:15:30 company, right? We provide great healthcare, we take care of our employees, we care about the
    1:15:37 community, etc. And we’re building a whole nation online on, on those principles in the right way
    1:15:44 to run a company, right? But guys, we’re at the wrong part of the pendulum. The companies have
    1:15:51 overwhelming power and they’re crushing us. We’re like that scene in Star Wars with the trash
    1:15:57 compactors closing in on them, the walls are closing in. We’re almost out of time because
    1:16:02 they’ve captured the government almost entirely. They’re only serving corporate interests. We’ve
    1:16:07 got to get back into balance before it’s too late. And that’s why I care so much about structural
    1:16:16 issues. So I formed Justice Democrats. So that’s AOC, etc. Right? That’s people know it as the
    1:16:21 squad. They know it as Justice Democrats, etc. One of the co-founders of that. And my number one rule
    1:16:27 was no corporate PAC money. Okay, so you’re not allowed to take corporate PAC money. By the way,
    1:16:32 now Matt Gaetz and Josh Hawley have stopped taking corporate PAC money, and they’ve become to some
    1:16:39 degree on economic issues, genuine populace. It’s amazing. It happens overnight. All of a sudden,
    1:16:43 they’re holding, they’re talking about holding corporations accountable, etc. Now, Justice
    1:16:49 Democrats wind up having other problems. They got too deep into social issues, not economic issues.
    1:16:56 There’s a general sort of criticism of billionaires, right? This idea. Now, you could say that
    1:17:01 billionaires are avoiding taxes and they’re not getting taxed enough. But I think under that flag
    1:17:10 of criticizing billionaires is criticizing all companies that do epic shit, that build stuff.
    1:17:14 Oh, okay. So great stuff. That’s what I’m worried about. I don’t hear enough,
    1:17:21 like genuine. I like celebrating people. I like celebrating ideas. I just don’t hear enough
    1:17:28 genuine celebration of companies when they do cool things. No, okay. So are you right? Not
    1:17:35 about companies, but about capitalism? Yes. Because you look at life expectancy 200 years ago,
    1:17:40 and you look at it now, and you go, “Wow, holy shit. We did amazing things.”
    1:17:47 And what happened in the last 200 years? We went from dictatorships more towards democracy,
    1:17:54 wisdom of the crowd. We went from serfs and indentured servants and a nobility that holds the
    1:18:01 land to more towards capitalism. And boom, the crowd is right. Things go really well.
    1:18:07 The advances in medicine are amazing. And medicine is a great example. And on our show,
    1:18:12 I point all those things out and I say, “Look, we hate the drug companies because
    1:18:15 of how they’ve captured the government, right? But we don’t hate the drug companies for creating
    1:18:20 great drugs. Those drugs save lives. They just saved my life. They saved countless millions
    1:18:26 upon millions of lives. So the right idea isn’t shut down drug companies. The right idea is don’t
    1:18:34 let them buy the government, right? And I know we get back into our instinctual shells. So on the
    1:18:40 left, they’ll be, “Oh, we should get rid of all billionaires.” Why? Like, how does that fix the
    1:18:46 system? Tell me how it fixes the system. And I’m all ears, right? My solution is end private
    1:18:50 financing. Then you can be a billionaire all you like. You can’t buy the government, right?
    1:18:56 That’s a more logical way to go about it. I’ve never worn an “eat the rich” shirt and it drives me
    1:19:02 crazy. I’m like, you would have eaten FDR, right? And FDR is the best president, most populous
    1:19:08 president, in my opinion. And so, no, there’s wonderful rich people. Of course, of course,
    1:19:12 there’s a range of humanity, right? But you don’t want to get rid of the rich. You don’t want to
    1:19:16 get rid of companies. But you also don’t want to let them control everything. So, okay, I’ll give
    1:19:21 you an example that’s really, and that informs a lot of how I think about things, which is my dad.
    1:19:28 So my dad was a farmer in southeastern Turkey, near the Syrian border. No money. In fact, his dad
    1:19:36 died when he was six months old, and so they were saddled with debt. And no electricity in his house,
    1:19:42 like as poor as poor gets. And he wound up living the American dream. And so,
    1:19:49 how did he do that? What made the difference? Well, what made the difference is opportunity,
    1:20:00 right? So, I’m a populous because my dad was in the masses, right? And the elites say the masses
    1:20:06 are no good. We’re smart, you’re not. We’re educated, you’re not. We at Meritocracy, we talk
    1:20:12 about that. We have earned merit. And if you’re a poor middle class, you have not earned merit,
    1:20:19 okay? You’re useless and worthless. And I hate that. So what did Turkey do back in the 1960s,
    1:20:24 that liberated my dad? They provided free college education. You had to test into it,
    1:20:31 okay? But the top 15% got a free college education at the best colleges in Turkey.
    1:20:37 So, my uncle saved all of our lives when he came to my dad and said, “Do you like working on this
    1:20:42 farm?” And my dad was like, “Fuck no, right? It’s super hot. It’s super hard. They gotta get up at
    1:20:48 four in the morning. If they’re lucky, the next store gives them a mule. If they’re not, they gotta
    1:20:55 carry the shit themselves, okay?” So my uncle told them, “Work just as hard in school and you’ll be
    1:21:01 able to get a house, a car, pretty girls, etc.” So my dad works his ass off, gets in the school,
    1:21:06 and he comes out a mechanical engineer and starts his own company. He creates a company in Turkey,
    1:21:12 hires hundreds of people. He then moves to America, creates a company here, hires tons of people,
    1:21:18 right? So do I hate companies? No, my dad set up two companies and I saw how much it benefited
    1:21:24 people. I saw how much employees would come up to my dad 20, 30 years later in the street and hug
    1:21:29 him. And they’d tell me as a young kid, “Your dad’s the most fair boss we ever had and we love him
    1:21:34 for it,” right? That’s how you run a company. And he taught me the value of hard work. But the reason
    1:21:43 I brought up here is because he taught me, look, skill and ability is a genetic lottery. So you’re
    1:21:48 not going to just get the rich to win all the genetic lottery. No, there’s going to be tons
    1:21:54 of poor kids and middle-class kids who are just as good if not better. You have to provide them
    1:22:01 the opportunity, the fair chance to succeed. You have to believe in them. So this isn’t
    1:22:06 about disempowering anyone. It’s about empowering all of those kids who are doing the right thing
    1:22:11 or smart and want to work hard so they could build their own companies and add to their economy.
    1:22:18 What in general is your view on meritocracy? So I love meritocracy. I wish that we lived
    1:22:23 in a meritocracy and I want to drive towards living in a meritocracy. So that’s why I don’t
    1:22:28 like your quality of results. So, okay, now people that are on the left will get super mad at that
    1:22:32 and go, “What do you mean?” Well, okay, brother, let’s say you’re at work and you got one guy
    1:22:38 who’s working his ass off, another guy that’s going, “I don’t care. I’m not going to do it,”
    1:22:42 right? Well, the guy who works super hard has to pick up the slack. Now, he’s working twice as
    1:22:48 hard, right? And now you want the same results. You want the same salary as that guy? No, brother,
    1:22:54 no. He’s working twice, four times, ten times harder than you. That’s not fair. Fairness matters.
    1:22:59 I lived, we wound up, I mean, we were in the suburbs of Jersey, but we wound up in Freehold
    1:23:04 eventually and we lived across a farm, which is kind of in Central Jersey, it happens, right?
    1:23:12 And it was called Fair Chance Farm. I was like, “This is amazing,” right? And I love that.
    1:23:19 That’s the essence of America and that’s what I want to go back to. So, we’ve got to create that
    1:23:26 opportunity of not just because it’s the moral thing to do, but because it’s also the economically
    1:23:34 smart thing to do. If you enable all those great people that are in lower income classes and middle
    1:23:40 income classes, you’re going to get a much better economy, a much stronger democracy. So, that’s
    1:23:46 the direction we got. So, again, it’s about balance. But what do you think about DEI policies?
    1:23:56 Say, in academia and companies, so the movement as it has evolved, where’s that on the balance?
    1:24:05 Is that how far is it pushing towards equality of outcome versus equality of opportunity?
    1:24:08 Okay, so now we’re getting into social issues, right? So, this is where we all
    1:24:14 rip each other apart and then the people at the top laugh their ass off at us and go,
    1:24:20 “We got to fighting over trans issues. They’re killing each other. It’s hilarious and they’re
    1:24:25 so busy, they don’t realize we’re running the place,” right? Okay, but let’s engage. Some people
    1:24:31 will look at DEI and go, “Well, that just gives me an opportunity. Just like anyone else, I love
    1:24:38 DEI.” Another person will look at it and go, “No, that says that you should be picked above me,
    1:24:43 and I hate DEI,” right? So, the reality of DEI is a little bit more complicated.
    1:24:49 But you got to go back. So, first, did we need affirmative action in the 1960s? Definitely.
    1:24:56 Why? All the firefighter jobs in South Carolina, as an example, are going to white guys. All the
    1:25:01 Longshoremen jobs in New York, LA, wherever you have it, are all going to white guys,
    1:25:06 because that’s how the system was. Yes, also in the North, right? So, we now are in a civil
    1:25:13 rights area. We decide we’re going to go towards equality. Minorities, in that case, mainly Black
    1:25:18 Americans, had to find a way to break in. Like, if you’re a Longshoreman and it’s a good job,
    1:25:22 you naturally want to pass it on to your son. I get your instinct. I don’t hate you for it,
    1:25:27 right? But we got to let Black kids also have a shot at it, right? So, you need it in the beginning.
    1:25:33 But, at a certain point, you have to phase it out. So, when I was growing up, it’s now in the
    1:25:38 late ’80s, early ’90s, I hated affirmative action. And I’ve been principled on it from day one
    1:25:44 and to this day. I’m not in favor of affirmative action. I say it on the show all the time. Why?
    1:25:53 I’m a minority. Being a Turk, I grew up Muslim. I’m an atheist now. But generally speaking,
    1:25:59 a Muslim is certainly a minority in America and pretty much a hated one overall. So,
    1:26:04 but I didn’t check off Muslim or Turkish or any ethnicity when I applied to college,
    1:26:10 because I believe in a meritocracy, as we were talking about. But we don’t really have a meritocracy
    1:26:17 now. So, I can come back to that. But right now, so I didn’t check it off because I didn’t want an
    1:26:24 unfair advantage. Because I want to earn it. I want to earn it. So, now I’m in law school and
    1:26:30 I’m hanging out with right-wingers because at that point, I’m a Republican. And one of the guys says
    1:26:36 to me about one of our Black student going to Columbia. He says, “Oh, I wonder how he got in here.”
    1:26:43 God, that is the problem with affirmative action. It devalues the accomplishments of
    1:26:48 every minority in the country. You have to transition away from it. If you don’t,
    1:26:54 it sets up a caste system. And that caste system is lethal to democracy. So,
    1:27:01 does DEI go too far in some instances? Yes. But is it a boogeyman that’s going to take all the
    1:27:07 white jobs and make them Black? Trump would say Black jobs, right? And give minorities too much
    1:27:13 power, et cetera. No, the idea isn’t to rob you and to give all the opportunity to minorities.
    1:27:18 The idea is to make it equal. But as the pendulum swings, did it swing too far in some directions?
    1:27:23 Yes. So, the left can’t acknowledge that and the right thinks can’t acknowledge that. Of course,
    1:27:28 at some point, you’ve got to give a chance for others to break in so they have a fair chance.
    1:27:33 By the way, Michelle Obama had a good line about the Black jobs and the DNC speech where
    1:27:38 somebody should tell Trump that the presidency might be just one of those Black jobs.
    1:27:44 Anyway, but why do you think the left doesn’t acknowledge when DEI gets ridiculous,
    1:27:51 which in certain places at a large scale has gotten ridiculous?
    1:27:58 Because people are taught to just be in the tribe they’re in and to believe in 100%.
    1:28:05 Like, I’ve gotten kicked out of every tribe. I might be the most attack man in internet history,
    1:28:10 partly because we’ve been around forever and partly because I disagree with every part of the
    1:28:14 political spectrum because I believe in independent thought. And the minute you vary a little bit,
    1:28:25 people go nuts. And so, the far left tribe is going to go with their preset ideology just like
    1:28:31 the far right tribe is. So, for example, on trans issues, we’ve protected trans people
    1:28:37 for over 20 years in the young Turks. We fought for equality for trans people and for all LGBTQ
    1:28:44 people. For two decades, we did it way before anyone else did. When Biden came out in favor
    1:28:49 of gay marriage in 2013, we’re like, this is comically late. So, like, we’re all supposed
    1:28:53 to like congratulate him in the year 2013 that these things gay people should have the same
    1:28:58 rights as straight people. And then he had to push Obama to get there, right? So,
    1:29:07 on the other hand, I’m like, guys, if you allow trans women to go into professional sports,
    1:29:11 not at the high school level, but professional sports, but let’s say they go into MMA or boxing
    1:29:20 and a trans woman, I mean, it happens in boxing, it happens in MMA, punches a biological woman so
    1:29:28 hard that she kills her, right? So, you’re going to set back trans rights 50 years. I’m not trying
    1:29:33 to hurt you. I’m trying to help you. You have to do bounds of reason. So, when I say simple things
    1:29:39 like that, and I say you give LeBron James every hormone blocker on planet earth, he’s still going
    1:29:46 to dominate the WNBA, okay? It would be comical. He might score 100 points a night, okay? And
    1:29:53 they’ll say, oh, that’s outrageous. And some have called me Nazi for saying that trans women or
    1:29:58 that professional leagues should make their own decisions on whether they allow trans women in
    1:30:04 or not. So, why do they say that? Because they’re so besieged, they think we cannot give an inch,
    1:30:10 we cannot give any ground. If you give any ground, you’re a Nazi, okay? So, we’ve got to get out of
    1:30:18 that mindset. You can’t function in a democracy and be in an extreme position and expect the rest
    1:30:23 of the country to go towards your extreme position. So, why do you think we are not in the
    1:30:29 meritocracy? So, because of the corruption, it’s so, for example, but there’s also, but
    1:30:37 remember, corporate media is the matrix. And they plug you into cable, right, in the old days. Now,
    1:30:42 it’s a little bit different because of online media. But especially 10 years ago, and remember,
    1:30:47 we started 22 years ago, so I’ve been losing my mind over how obvious corporate media corruption
    1:30:52 has been for decades now, right? But no one acknowledged it until online media got stronger.
    1:30:58 But one of the myths that corporate media creates is the myth of meritocracy. Not that
    1:31:05 meritocracy can’t exist or shouldn’t exist, but they pretend it exists today. So, the problem with
    1:31:11 that myth, Lex, is that it gets people thinking, well, if they’re already rich, they must have
    1:31:19 merited it by definition. So, all the rich have merit. And the reverse of that, if you’re poor,
    1:31:26 middle class, well, you must not have merited wealth. So, you’re no good. We don’t have to listen to
    1:31:35 you. And that’s a really dangerous, awful idea. And so, if we get to meritocracy one day, I’ll
    1:31:41 be the happiest person in America. But right now, it’s, look, here, I’ll give you an example that
    1:31:47 I put in the book. And it’s not us, this other folks did this YouTube video. I can’t even quite
    1:31:52 find who they were, but it was a brilliant video. And they said, okay, we’re going to do 100-yard
    1:31:57 race. But hold on, before we start, anyone who has two parents take two steps forward. Anyone who
    1:32:03 has went to college, take another two steps forward. Anyone who doesn’t have bills to pay for
    1:32:07 education anymore, take two steps forward. They do all these things, right? And then, at the end,
    1:32:12 before they start, somebody’s 20 yards from the finish line, and a lot of people are still at
    1:32:17 the starting line. And then they go, okay, now we’re going to run a race. And the guy who’s right
    1:32:24 next to the finish line wins. And they go, meritocracy. Okay. So the challenge there is to
    1:32:28 know which disparities when you just freeze the system and observe are actually a result of some
    1:32:34 kind of discrimination or a flaw in the system versus the result of meritocracy of the better
    1:32:40 runner being ahead. That’s right. There are some parts that are easy to solve, Lex. So,
    1:32:47 you know, if you donated to a politician and he gave you a billion-dollar subsidy,
    1:32:52 that’s not meritocracy, right? So if you follow the money, you can see the flaws in the system.
    1:32:57 Exactly. And so, and again, nothing’s ever perfect at any snapshot of history, right,
    1:33:02 or of the moment. You’re going to be at some point in the pendulum swing. But if you let,
    1:33:07 if you trust the people and you let the pendulum swing, but not wildly,
    1:33:10 then you’re going to get to the right answers in the long run.
    1:33:18 So you think this woke mind virus that the right refers to is a problem, but not a big problem?
    1:33:29 No. So the right wing drives me crazy. So look, guys, your instincts of populism is correct. Your
    1:33:35 instincts of anti-corruption is correct, right? And I love you for it. And so, and in a lot of
    1:33:40 ways, the right wing voters figured out that the whole system screwed before left-wing voters did.
    1:33:43 I shouldn’t say left-wing voters because progressives and left-wing have been saying it for
    1:33:49 not only decades, but maybe centuries, right? But Democratic voters. A lot of Democratic voters,
    1:33:54 some of them actually like this current system. Some of them, a lot of them have been tricked into
    1:33:59 liking this current system. And the left should be fighting against corruption harder than the right.
    1:34:04 But right now, unfortunately, that’s not the case. So there’s a lot that I like about right-wing
    1:34:12 voters, okay? But you guys get tricked on social issues so easily, right? So how many people are
    1:34:20 involved in trans high school sports and a girl who should have finished first in that track
    1:34:26 race in the middle of Indiana finished second? First of all, this is the big crime. And how
    1:34:32 many people are involved? About 7, 13 out of a country of 330 million people. And you can’t see
    1:34:42 that that’s a distraction, right? So and everything that is like bait that the right-wing media puts
    1:34:48 out there, they run after. I mean, Tucker Carlson doing insane segments about M&M should be sexier.
    1:34:56 Mr. Potato Head has gender issues. Guys, get out of there. Get out of there. It’s a trap, okay?
    1:35:01 Yeah, that doesn’t mean that there, absolutely. It doesn’t mean that there’s larger scale
    1:35:09 issues with things like DEI that aren’t so fun to talk about or viral to talk about and anecdotal
    1:35:16 scale. There is, DEI does create a culture of fear with cancer culture. And it does create a kind of
    1:35:24 culture that limits the freedom of expression. And it does limit the meritocracy in another way.
    1:35:32 So you’re basically saying, forget all these other problems. Money is the biggest problem.
    1:35:38 So first of all, on AOC, as an example, and I don’t mean to pick on her, but she won through the
    1:35:45 great work of her and Shorikat Chakrabarti and Corbin Trent and others who were leaders of the
    1:35:51 just Democrats that went and helped her campaign. They were critical help. And we all told her the
    1:35:58 same thing. So it’s not about me, me, me. And so we all said, you’ve got to challenge the establishment
    1:36:02 and you’ve got to work on money and politics first. Because if you don’t work on money and politics
    1:36:08 and you don’t fix that, you’re going to lose on almost all other issues. But she didn’t believe us
    1:36:14 because it’s uncomfortable. And all the progressives that went into Congress, they drive me crazy.
    1:36:18 They think, oh, no, no, you’re exaggerating. No, these are, and the minute they get in,
    1:36:23 all of a sudden, my colleagues, right, your colleagues hate you, and they’re going to drive
    1:36:29 you out. You’re a sucker. And in Jamal Bohman, Corey Bush, what did they do? They drove them out,
    1:36:35 Marie Newman drove them out, right? And because they’re not on your side, they’re not your colleagues.
    1:36:39 And what happened to $15 Minute Wage? And I remember talking to one of those congresspeople,
    1:36:44 I won’t leave out the name, and saying, hey, you know, they’re not going to do $15 Minute Wage.
    1:36:49 And he’s like, oh, Jank, you’re out of the loop. Nancy Pelosi assured us that they are going to
    1:36:55 do $15 Minute Wage. I’m like, I love you, but you’re totally wrong. Moneyed interests are not
    1:37:02 going to do $15 Minute Wage. You have to start fighting now, right? And they didn’t get it.
    1:37:06 So they lost on almost all those issues, because it’s all about incentives and disincentives and
    1:37:11 rules. If you don’t fix the rules, you’re going to constantly run into the same brick wall.
    1:37:14 Now, the second issue that we were talking about is in the culture wars,
    1:37:21 the rest of us are stuck between the two extreme two percenters, right, on both sides.
    1:37:28 So the two percenter on the left goes, you know, if you’re a white woman, you need to shut up and
    1:37:34 listen now, okay? That’s ridiculous. No, you don’t. If you’re a white woman, you have every right to
    1:37:40 speak out, you have every right that every other human being has. And so would I love for all of
    1:37:44 us to listen to one another, to have empathy for one another, and go, hey, I wonder how a right
    1:37:48 winger thinks about this. I wonder how a left winger thinks about this. I wonder why they
    1:37:53 think that way, right? I love that and I want that. So I want you to listen, but I don’t want you to
    1:38:01 shut up. So that two percent gets extreme and I don’t like it. But on the right wing, you got your
    1:38:05 two percent who think that that’s all that’s happening on the left. And that’s all that’s
    1:38:10 happening in American politics. And they think the entire left believes that tiny two percent,
    1:38:15 right? And so they hate the left and they’re like, oh, I’m not going to shut up. I’m not going to wear
    1:38:20 a mask. I’m not going to do any of these things. And I’m not going to do anything. That’s a freedom.
    1:38:25 And then a Republican comes along and goes, oh, yeah, that thing you call freedom. That’s
    1:38:30 deregulation for corporations because you shouldn’t really have freedom. Companies should have
    1:38:36 freedom, right? And then the guy goes, yeah, freedom for AxonMobil. No, brother, they tricked you.
    1:38:41 Yeah, the two percent on each side is a useful distraction for, yes, for the corruption of the
    1:38:47 politicians via money. Still, I’m talking about the 96% that remains in the middle and the impact
    1:38:52 that DEI policy says on them. Yeah, so here’s where it gets absurd. I’ll give you a good example
    1:39:02 of absurdity. So in a school, I believe in California, they noticed that Latino students
    1:39:08 were not doing as well in AP and honors classes. So they canceled AP and honors classes. Oh,
    1:39:15 come on, what are you doing? That’s nuts. No, your job is to help them get better grades,
    1:39:21 get better opportunity, etc. That’s the harder thing to do and the right thing to do. Your job
    1:39:27 isn’t, I’m going to make everything equal by taking away the opportunity for higher achievement
    1:39:31 for other students. If that’s what you’re doing and you think you’re on the left, you’re not
    1:39:36 really on the left. I actually think that’s like an authoritarian position that a no progressive
    1:39:42 in their right mind would be in favor of. But it’s all definitional. So here’s another example
    1:39:46 of definitional, communism. Like they say, oh my god, Kamala Harris is a communist.
    1:39:52 Well, when you’re telling on yourself, brothers and sisters, when you say that,
    1:39:58 that means A, I don’t know what communism means, and B, I don’t have any idea what’s going on in
    1:40:05 American politics. Kamala Harris is a corporatist. That’s her problem. Not that she’s a communist,
    1:40:11 she’s on the other end of the spectrum, right? The idea that Kamala Harris would come into office
    1:40:15 and say, that’s it, there’s no more private property. We’re going to take all of your homes
    1:40:20 and this down government property, all your cars, etc. She was not going to get within a billion
    1:40:25 miles of that. Her donors would never allow her to get within a billion miles of that.
    1:40:29 That is so preposterous that when you say something like that, it’s disqualifying.
    1:40:34 Like I can’t debate someone who thinks that Democrats are communists when they’re actually
    1:40:40 largely corporatists. Do you see what I’m saying? Yeah. So let’s go there. So when people call her
    1:40:46 communist, they’re usually referring to certain kinds of policies. So do you think, I mean,
    1:40:52 I think it’s a ridiculous label to assign to Kamala Harris, especially given the history of
    1:40:58 communism in the 20th century and what those economic and political policies have led to the
    1:41:04 scale of suffering that led to. And it just degrades the meaning of the word, right? But
    1:41:10 to take that seriously, why is she not a communist? So you said she’s not a communist because she’s
    1:41:18 a corporatist. Okay, but that can’t be, okay, everybody in politics is a corporatist.
    1:41:22 Almost. Almost everybody in politics is a corporatist. But that doesn’t mean
    1:41:27 the corporations have completely bought their mind. They have an influence on their mind and
    1:41:33 issues that matter to those corporations. Yeah. Right? Yeah. Outside of that, they’re still
    1:41:39 thinking for the voters because they still have to win the votes. Barely. Okay. So here,
    1:41:44 let me give you an example. So you see what I’m saying. So if you just wanted votes,
    1:41:50 you would do a lot of what Tim Walsh did. Okay. And by the way, a lot of what Bernie did,
    1:41:57 that’s why Bernie, who had no media coverage, went from like 2% in 2015 to by the end,
    1:42:02 about 48% because he was just doing things that were popular, right? And that American people
    1:42:06 wanted, et cetera, right? Because he’s not controlled by corporations. By the way, neither
    1:42:11 is Tom Massey on the right wing side, on the Republican side, right? So it’s not all, that’s
    1:42:15 why I always say almost all, right? So if you’re doing things that are popular, people love it.
    1:42:21 So today, what would Kamala Harris do if she actually just wanted to win, right? So number one,
    1:42:30 she was trying to pass paid family leave right now. Why? It pulls at 84% and even 74% of Republicans
    1:42:36 want it. Why? Because it says, hey, when you have a baby, you should get 12 weeks off, bond with
    1:42:43 your baby. Right now, in a lot of states that don’t have paid family leave, you have to go back
    1:42:47 to work the very next day, or you have to use all of your sick days, all your vacation days,
    1:42:53 just to have one or two weeks with your baby, right? So conservatives love paid family leave,
    1:42:58 liberals love paid family leave. That’s why it pulls so high. So why isn’t she proposing it?
    1:43:03 It’s not in our economic plan. Tim Walsh already passed it in Minnesota. He showed how easy it was.
    1:43:07 If you want votes, and then you know what’s going to happen if you propose paid family leave,
    1:43:12 the Republicans are going to go, no, our beloved corporations don’t want to spend another dollar
    1:43:18 on moms, right? And they fall for that trap and then you’re in an infinitely better shape. So why
    1:43:24 does she do it? She doesn’t do it because her corporate donors don’t want her to do it. $15
    1:43:29 minimum wage layup over 2/3 of the country wants it because it not only gives you higher wages for
    1:43:33 minimum wage folks, but it pushes wages up for others. And what do the elites say?
    1:43:37 Oh, that’s going to drive up inflation. No, you shouldn’t get paid anymore. Wait,
    1:43:42 wait, wait, hold on. So you’re saying all other prices should go up, but the only thing that
    1:43:49 shouldn’t go up is our wages? No, our wages should go up. Okay. So these are all easy ones. Here’s
    1:43:54 another one, anti-corruption. Why is she running on getting money out of politics? It pulls it over
    1:44:01 90%. Why isn’t Trump running on it anymore? He won when he ran on it in 2016. He didn’t mean a word
    1:44:06 of it, but he ran on it. It was smart. They don’t do it because their corporate donors
    1:44:10 take their heads off if they do it. So in contradiction to that, why did she propose to
    1:44:18 raise the corporate tax rate from whatever, 21% to 28%? Because that’s easy because that is
    1:44:25 something that’s super popular and she’s not going to do it. That’s why. So guys, this is where I
    1:44:31 break the hearts of BlueMaga. BlueMaga thinks, oh my God, these Democrats, they’re angels and the
    1:44:37 right wingers and the Republicans are evil and they work for big business, but not Kamala Harris,
    1:44:44 not Joe Biden, right? Okay. Well, Donald Trump took the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%.
    1:44:49 So that’s trillions of dollars that got transferred because guys, you got to understand
    1:44:56 if the corporations don’t pay it, we have to pay it because we’re running up these giant deficits
    1:45:00 and eventually either they’re going to, not eventually they keep raising our taxes in different
    1:45:06 ways that you’re not noticing. They keep increasing fees and fines and different ways for the government
    1:45:10 to collect money. So we’re paying for it. And on top of that, eventually they’re going to cut
    1:45:13 your social security and Medicare because they’re going to say, oh, we don’t have any options left
    1:45:17 anymore. Yeah, you don’t have any options left anymore because you kept giving trillions of dollars
    1:45:22 in tax cuts to corporations. So we’re going to have to pay for that. So then Trump, then Biden
    1:45:27 says, oh my God, I’m going to bring corporate taxes back up to 28%. I’m like, wait, hold on.
    1:45:33 They were at 35. You already did a slide of hand and said 28. Okay. Then he gets into office
    1:45:41 and Manchin says, no, 25. That’s the highest I’ll go. And he goes, okay, fine, 25. And then while
    1:45:47 you’re not looking, they just dump it. They don’t even do 25. It’s still a 21. So hear me now,
    1:45:51 quote me later. I do predictions on the show all the time because you should hold me accountable.
    1:45:55 You should hold all your pundits accountable. If you held all your pundits accountable, we’d be
    1:46:01 the last man standing. And that’s kind of what happened. Okay. So I guarantee you she will not
    1:46:06 increase corporate taxes. So would the same be the case for price controls or the anti-price
    1:46:12 gouging that she’s supposed to? So it’s not price controls, it’s price gouging. It is price controls,
    1:46:16 but I mean, minimum wage is price controls also. Now we’re going to get into a lot of
    1:46:22 minutiae, but I’ll try to keep it broad. So price controls are a disaster. They never work. If you
    1:46:27 say, oh, here’s a banana. It has to stay at a dollar a pound and make up a number, right?
    1:46:32 Well, supply and demand is going to move. And then that’s going to, and so the minute it moves to
    1:46:36 $2 at where the price should be, then you’re going to run into shortages. So we all know this,
    1:46:41 it’s a bad idea, right? But are there laws against price gouging? There already are,
    1:46:48 and they’re a good idea. So why? Like you have a natural disaster, all of a sudden the water that
    1:46:53 was a dollar, now they’re charging $100. The government has to come in, democratic capitalism,
    1:46:58 they come in and go, no, I’m going to protect the people. So you’re not allowed to price gouge,
    1:47:02 you know, maybe charge $2, et cetera, but you’re not going to charge $100. But it is temporary.
    1:47:08 We get that done, we end the problem there, and then we bring it back to a normal supply and
    1:47:15 demand, okay? So that’s what she’s proposing. That’s all political because the price gouging has
    1:47:21 already passed. They did it in ’21 and ’22. And so now the grocery stores are actually a low margin
    1:47:26 business. She says grocery stores, that’s how I know she doesn’t mean it, because the grocery
    1:47:30 stores weren’t the problem, consumer goods were the problem, those companies.
    1:47:34 She’s following the polls where most people will say that the groceries are too expensive,
    1:47:39 so she’s just basically saying the most popular thing, yeah.
    1:47:44 100%. And you could tell in which proposals she means it and which proposals she doesn’t,
    1:47:52 because of the framing, right? So this is a mediocre example, but in housing, she said,
    1:48:00 “We have to stop private equity from buying houses in bulk.” I’m curious that they put
    1:48:05 the word “in bulk” there. Why does it have to be in bulk? Why don’t we just stop them from
    1:48:09 buying any residential home? Like you could set up normal boundaries, right? For example,
    1:48:15 Charlie Kirk was on The Young Turks this week. By the way, sorry to take that tangent. I really
    1:48:19 enjoyed that conversation. I really enjoyed that you talked to… That was like civil.
    1:48:24 You guys disagreed pretty intensely, but there was a lot of respect. I really enjoyed that.
    1:48:25 Thank you, brother.
    1:48:28 That was beautiful. You and Charlie Kirk and I think Anna was there.
    1:48:37 Yeah, that’s right. Yeah, quick tangent. Look, I’ve done a lot of yelling online,
    1:48:46 okay. And I yell when A, there’s an issue that you should be passionate about. 40,000 people,
    1:48:52 25,000 women and children slaughtered in Gaza. If you’re not emotionally upset by that and you
    1:48:57 think it’s no big deal, I think that’s a problem. But when you add gas lighting on top, that’s what
    1:49:03 drives me crazy. And then when you add filibustering on top, then that sets me off. So for all my life,
    1:49:07 right wing has gone on cable and filibustered. They take up so much more time than the left-wing
    1:49:13 guests. And the left-wing guests always goes, “Okay, well, I’m offended. He’s taking up too much
    1:49:17 time. No, brother, go over the top. Go over the top. You’re not going to talk over me. I’m going
    1:49:26 to talk over you, okay?” And then when you gaslight and you go, “Oh, no, 1,200 people in Israel being
    1:49:31 killed is awful,” which it is. But 40,000 people being killed in Gaza is no big deal. We should
    1:49:36 keep giving them money, keep killing, keep killing. And that that’s normal. No, it’s not normal. I’m
    1:49:42 not going to let you say it’s normal. That’s nuts, okay? When we were against the Iraq war,
    1:49:46 there was only two shows that were on the air nationally that were against the Iraq war, us
    1:49:54 and Democracy Now with Amy Goodman. And at the time, I used to yell all the time because mainstream
    1:49:59 media would gaslight the fuck out of us. We’re going to be greeted as liberators. Me and Ben
    1:50:03 Manquitz on the air. Ben doesn’t yell as much. He’s now the host of Turner Classic Movies. But
    1:50:10 he’s saying it in a calm way. I’m saying it in a screaming way. We’re not going to be greeted as
    1:50:16 liberators when you drop a bomb on someone’s head. They don’t greet you as a liberator. Stop saying
    1:50:21 insane things. And 7 out of 10 Americans thought that Saddam Hussein had personally attacked us
    1:50:28 on 9/11. We got lied into that war by corporate media, okay? Now there’s a couple of good things
    1:50:34 that Trump has done. One is get people to realize corporate media is the matrix, right? And so now
    1:50:38 and get them to an anti-war position. He himself doesn’t have an anti-war position,
    1:50:42 but his voters do, and that’s a positive. We can come back to that. But these days, the reason
    1:50:48 why the Charlie Kirk conversations are going great, and Rudy Giuliani and Mike Lindell. And
    1:50:55 historically though, we’ve been, go back, again, 10 years, 20 years, we’ve always been respectful
    1:50:59 when someone comes on our show and we have a debate. As long as they’re not yelling,
    1:51:04 I matched a tenor of the host, right? You and I are having a reasonable conversation. I’m not
    1:51:10 raising my voice. I’m not yelling at you for no reason, right? So now when Charlie’s not going
    1:51:18 to battle anymore for like talking points, I’m shutting off my mind, all I’m doing is yelling
    1:51:22 at you, then I’m going to yell back at him. But now he’s saying, okay, let’s have a reasonable
    1:51:27 conversation. Great, I love it. I love reasonable conversation. It was great. It was refreshing.
    1:51:34 And what were we talking about? You buying up housing. Yes. So Charlie, when he was on, said,
    1:51:38 hey, listen, you know, I think that there should be a cap, though, I forget if he said $10 billion
    1:51:43 or $100 billion in assets. If you have less than that, you should be still be able to do real estate
    1:51:48 as an investment, even if it’s residential. But above that, he gets to, okay, that’s good. No
    1:51:54 problem. We can have a debate about that when we figure out is the right number, 10, 125, no problem.
    1:51:59 You could put in reasonable limitations. But we got to get them to stop buying their homes.
    1:52:05 So when Kamala Harris says, oh, we’ll stop them from buying homes in bulk, I’m like, okay,
    1:52:09 there’s the loophole. And so they’re going to use that loophole. And besides, which it’s not going
    1:52:15 to pass, Wall Street owns the government. So there’s no way corporate Republicans and Democrats,
    1:52:20 which are about 98% of politicians, are going to limit private equity. And so when do we ever get
    1:52:27 a little bit of change? When Democrats are in charge, they do five to 15% of their agenda.
    1:52:36 And that’s not because they’re warmhearted. It’s a release valve, right? Oh, see, under Obama,
    1:52:43 we got about 5% change. And what was that? That was Obamacare, right? That was most of the change
    1:52:49 that we got. And what’s the greatest part of Obamacare? And now a lot of right wing also agree,
    1:52:52 almost all of right wing agree about this portion, which is they got rid of the
    1:52:59 bias against preexisting conditions. Why did they do that particularly? Because the country was
    1:53:05 about to get in a fucking rage. We all have preexisting conditions. If you deny me when
    1:53:10 I’m sick, what the fuck’s the point of insurance, right? And the anger had gotten to a nuclear level.
    1:53:15 So they’re like, release valve, get rid of preexisting conditions. Let’s go back to just
    1:53:21 milking them regularly. And oh, by the way, put in a mandate so that they have to buy it from us,
    1:53:26 right? Do you know who originally came up with Obamacare? The Heritage Foundation.
    1:53:32 It was their proposal. Romney did it in Massachusetts. It was called Romney Care.
    1:53:37 So I think this is a super important election. But I’ve earned the credibility to be able to
    1:53:42 say that. Because in 2012, I said this is a largely unimportant election. Mitt Romney and
    1:53:51 Barack Obama’s policies on economic issues are near identical. Obamacare was literally Romney Care.
    1:53:55 Right now the left says, oh, the Heritage Foundation, it’s so dangerous. Project 2025.
    1:54:00 Well, brother, they’re the ones who wrote Obamacare. And you say that’s the greatest
    1:54:07 change in the world, right? So that’s why the Democrats, yeah, I’ll take the 10% change overall.
    1:54:14 I think Biden did about 15%. Obama did 5%. But they’re gonna, they’ll also march you backwards
    1:54:19 by deregulating like Clinton did and Obama did the bank bailouts like Obama did. But 10% is
    1:54:24 better than 0%. But it’s not to help you. It’s the release valve. So the system keeps going.
    1:54:27 Is it possible to steal man the case that,
    1:54:37 that not all politicians are corporatists? Or maybe how would you approach that? For example,
    1:54:43 this podcast has a bunch of sponsors. I give zero fucks about what they think about what I’m
    1:54:48 saying. Like they have zero control over me. Maybe you could say that’s not, that’s because it’s not
    1:54:56 a lot of money. Or maybe, maybe I’m a unique person or something like this. But I just think
    1:55:01 it’s possible to have, and I would like to believe a lot of politicians that this way,
    1:55:09 that they have ideas. And while they take money, they kind of see it as a game that, you know,
    1:55:15 you accept the money, kind of go to certain parties, hug people and so on. But it doesn’t
    1:55:21 actually fundamentally compromise your integrity on issues you actually care about.
    1:55:27 I can steal man almost anything. I can steal man Trump. I can steal man conservatives easily,
    1:55:34 right? Corporate politicians, the hard one. So first, it’s not all politicians. We can
    1:55:41 start out nice and easy. Tom Massie, now Holly and Gates, taking, not taking corporate PAC money.
    1:55:46 Bernie, the squad, they don’t take corporate PAC money. You could disagree on either end of those
    1:55:54 folks on social issues. But generally, they are a thousand times less corrupt. They’re more honest.
    1:55:59 And part of the reason you might hate the squad is because they’re so honest. They tell you
    1:56:02 their real opinion on social issues that you really disagree with. A lot of the corporate
    1:56:06 politicians won’t do that because they’re trying to get as many votes as possible so they can
    1:56:10 fillate their donors when they get into office and do all their favors for them.
    1:56:14 Okay. But you see, I’m already falling apart on the steelmaking of corporate politicians.
    1:56:20 Let’s zoom in on that. So if you take corporate PAC money, you’re that’s it. You’re you’re
    1:56:24 corrupted. Can you imagine yourself, say you’re a politician, you’re a president.
    1:56:31 You’re a human being. You’re a person with integrity. You’re a person who thinks about the
    1:56:38 world. You’re saying if I was a corporate PAC and I give you a billion dollars, you still you’d be,
    1:56:43 I could tell you anything. So Lex, everything is a spectrum. Humanity is a spectrum. So can you
    1:56:51 find outliers who could take corporate PAC money and still be principled enough to resist its lure?
    1:56:56 Yeah. And and I would hope that I would be a person like that, but I wouldn’t take corporate
    1:57:02 PAC money. But if you force me to, I think I would still stay principled and do it. Could you find
    1:57:09 10, 20 other people in the country? Yeah. But on average, that is not what will happen. What
    1:57:14 will happen is they will take the money and do exactly as they are told.
    1:57:21 I think most people have integrity. Okay. Okay. So what I’m more worried about is when you take
    1:57:27 corporate PAC money, it’s not that you are immediately sold is over time. Over time. That’s
    1:57:34 true. So yeah, I get it. But I wonder if the integrity that I think most people have can
    1:57:44 withstand the gradual slippery slope of the effect of corporate money, which if what I’m
    1:57:49 saying is true, then most people have integrity. One of the ways to solve the effect of corporate
    1:57:55 money is term limits because it takes time to corrupt people. You can’t buy them immediately.
    1:58:02 And then the term limits for the listener. Cenk is shaking his head.
    1:58:07 Yeah. So look, you’re right that over time it gets way worse. And as we talked about earlier,
    1:58:12 Biden’s a great example of that. Comes in anti-corruption, winds up being totally pro-corruption
    1:58:18 by the end. But he was also here for almost all of it as we started in a world that was not run
    1:58:24 by money in politics and is now completely run by money in politics. So does it get worse over
    1:58:29 time? Cinnamon is a Christian cinnamon. Arizona is a great example that comes in as a progressive,
    1:58:36 doesn’t want to take back money, cares about the average person, etc. Over time,
    1:58:43 she becomes the biggest corporatist in the Senate and a total disaster. But if you say that the
    1:58:49 majority of politicians have been, I don’t know if this is what you’re saying, majority of politicians
    1:58:56 have integrity? No, let’s start at the majority of human beings. And I think that politicians
    1:59:06 are not a special group of sociopaths. They lean a little bit towards that direction,
    1:59:10 but they’re not like only sociopaths go into politics. It’s like you have to have some
    1:59:15 sociopathic qualities, I think, to go into politics, but they’re not completely sociopath.
    1:59:22 I think they do have integrity because sometimes for very selfish reasons, it’s not all about money,
    1:59:28 even for a selfish person, for a narcissist. It’s also about being recognized for having
    1:59:34 had positive impact on the world. Yeah, I get it. But all right, so let’s break it down.
    1:59:39 So first, human beings, then we’ll get the politicians. Do human beings have integrity?
    1:59:46 Well, it’s a spectrum. So some people have enormous integrity, some people have no integrity.
    1:59:52 So there is not one type or character, right? So some people have a ton of empathy for other
    1:59:58 human beings, and they literally feel it. Like I feel the pain of someone else. And I’m not alone,
    2:00:03 most people feel the pain of someone else. If you see it on video, a baby being hurt,
    2:00:10 an overwhelming majority of human beings will go, “No!” Right? You have empathy,
    2:00:15 that’s a natural feeling that you have. Some people have no empathy because they’re on the
    2:00:22 extreme end of the spectrum, serial killers and Donald Trump. Okay. And so I’m partly joking,
    2:00:29 but not really. He has never demonstrated any empathy that I have ever seen for any other human
    2:00:33 being. I’m going to trigger some right-wingers because they think every terrible thing he said
    2:00:39 is out of context or joking or not real or fake news. But his chief of staff didn’t make it up.
    2:00:45 He called the people who went into the military suckers and losers. Why? Why did he say that?
    2:00:49 Just hang with me for a second, don’t have your head explode, okay? I’m not saying the
    2:00:54 likes, I’m saying the right-wingers out there, right? So the reason is because if you’re like
    2:01:01 Trump and you literally don’t feel the empathy, you think, “Why the hell would I go in the military?
    2:01:06 Get killed for someone else.” What a sucker! No, I’m going to stay out of the military,
    2:01:09 I’m going to stay alive, I’m going to make a ton of money and I’m going to look out for myself.
    2:01:16 And he assumes, because everybody does this, you assume that everyone thinks like you do,
    2:01:22 but they don’t. So Trump assumes everybody’s as much of a dirtbag as he is and because he doesn’t
    2:01:28 feel it, he doesn’t feel the empathy. And so he’s like, “Yeah, you’d be an idiot, a sucker and a
    2:01:33 loser to go into the military and have a sacrifice for other people.” So you see this spectrum.
    2:01:36 Even if you think Trump’s not on that end and you think I’m wrong about that, you get that
    2:01:42 there are people on that end, right? So you have a spectrum of integrity, empathy, etc.
    2:01:47 That’s what I would call your hardware. You layer on top of that your software, okay? And the
    2:01:54 software is cultural influences. Your parents, media, your friends, all these are cultural influences.
    2:02:01 So now when you’re in certain industries, they value more integrity. So
    2:02:07 religious leaders, if you’re doing it right, which is also very rare, right? But if you’re doing it
    2:02:12 right, you’re supposed to have empathy for the poor, the needy, the whole flock, right? So that
    2:02:19 profession is incentivizing you towards empathy and integrity, okay? And even then,
    2:02:26 a giant amount of people abuse it, right? But okay, good. In politics, it creates incentives
    2:02:34 for the opposite, no integrity. And that software, to your point, over time, gets stronger and
    2:02:39 stronger and stronger until it takes over. Now, you might have someone with a lot of integrity,
    2:02:46 like Tom Massey, right? A little Republican from Kentucky. And whether I agree with him or disagree
    2:02:51 with him on policy, I get that the brother is actually doing it based on principles.
    2:02:55 And there isn’t any amount of money you can give Tom Massey for him to change his principles.
    2:03:00 Why? He’s on the principled end of the spectrum as a human being, right? So is Bernie. They’re on
    2:03:07 the same part of that spectrum, right? But for most people, the great majority of the spectrum,
    2:03:12 if you overload them with software that incentivizes them to not have integrity,
    2:03:17 they will succumb. And now let’s switch to politicians in particular. Why do I think that
    2:03:25 they’re, on average, far more likely to be on the sociopathic part of the spectrum? Because
    2:03:31 of the incentives and disincentives. So this changes every congressional cycle. And when
    2:03:36 just Democrats were winning a lot, it got all the way down to 87.5%. But on average,
    2:03:41 for congressional elections, the person with more money wins 95% of the time. It doesn’t
    2:03:46 matter if they’re a liberal or conservative, Republican or Democrat, or any ideology they
    2:03:54 have, 95%. Okay. So now let’s say you got the 5% that went in that are not hooked on the money.
    2:03:58 Well, they’re going to get a primary challenge, then they’re going to get a general election
    2:04:04 challenge. And 95% of the time, the one with more money wins. So eventually, this system cycles
    2:04:12 through until almost only the corrupt are left. Wait, hold on a second. Is that real? 95%. So if
    2:04:24 you have more money, 95% of the time you win, huh? Yes. I’d like to believe that’s less the case,
    2:04:30 for example, for higher you get. Yes, that’s true. You’re right. So you know why? So the
    2:04:37 presidential race is ironically in some ways the least corrupt. So let’s dive into why. If you’re
    2:04:41 running a local race anywhere in the country, you’re going to get almost no press coverage,
    2:04:46 meaning congressional race, right? If you’re running a Senate race in the middle of Montana,
    2:04:52 you’re going to get almost no media coverage. So that’s where your money in politics has the most
    2:04:57 effect, because then you could just buy the airwaves. You outspend the other guy, you get all
    2:05:01 the ads plus you get the friendly media coverage because you just bought a couple of million
    2:05:06 dollars of ads in the middle of Montana. So the local news loves you, the TV stations, the radio
    2:05:11 stations, the papers. So some of the papers are principal, they might say, oh no, but overall
    2:05:15 they’re not calling you a radical, they’re not calling you anything, and you’re buying those
    2:05:20 races. But when you get to the presidential race, that’s much harder. Because presidential race,
    2:05:28 you have earned media, free media that overwhelms paid media. Perfect examples, 2016. Hillary Clinton
    2:05:35 outraises Trump by about two to one, but she loses anyway. Why? Because Trump got almost twice as much
    2:05:40 earned media as she did. And the earned media is better. It’s inside the content, right? It is
    2:05:47 definitely better. So in a presidential election, as long as you got past the primary, you could
    2:05:55 actually win with not that much money. And that’s part of the reason why I have hope, Lex. Because
    2:06:00 all you got to do is get past a Republican or Democratic primary. And that’s very, very, very
    2:06:06 difficult, but Trump did it, right? Now he took it in the wrong direction, but he did leave a
    2:06:11 blueprint for how to do it. And so once you get to the general election, you’re off to the race,
    2:06:16 you could do any goddamn thing you like, okay? You could be super popular, you don’t have to give a
    2:06:20 shit about the donors, you can get into office, you could bully your own party and the other party
    2:06:24 into doing what you want. And you can get everything done, you could even get money out of politics.
    2:06:30 So don’t lose hope. I mean, we even started Operation Hope at TYT. And our first project
    2:06:34 was to knock Biden out. And everybody said you guys are nuts. That’s totally impossible.
    2:06:39 And we knocked Biden out, right? Did we do it alone? Of course not. We were a small part of it,
    2:06:46 right? But we laid the groundwork for hope. And we laid the groundwork for when he flopped in the
    2:06:52 debate, people had already been told, remember, he’s bad, he’s old, he’s not right. And the debate
    2:06:56 proved it. If we hadn’t done that groundwork, and not just the young Turks, obviously, but
    2:07:02 Axelrod and Carville and Nate Silver and Ezra Klein, et cetera, Charlemagne the God, John
    2:07:09 Stewart, all these people helped a lot so that when the debate happened, it confirmed the idea
    2:07:15 that out there that he was too old and couldn’t do it. So my point is hope is, if you lose hope,
    2:07:20 you’re done for, then they’re definitely going to win, right? Hope is the most dangerous thing in
    2:07:25 the world for the elites. So whether you’re right wing or left wing, I need you to have hope and I
    2:07:30 need you to understand it’s not misplaced. We just got to get past the primary and we’re going to
    2:07:35 turn this whole thing around. So you’re basically a presidential candidate who’s a populist who
    2:07:45 in part runs on getting money out of politics. Okay, well, let’s talk about Donald Trump.
    2:07:54 So to me, the two biggest criticisms of Trump is the fake election scheme. Out of that whole
    2:07:59 2020 election, the fake election scheme is the thing that really bothers me. And then the second
    2:08:08 thing across a larger time scale is the counterproductive division that he’s created in, let’s
    2:08:15 say our public discourse. What are your top five criticisms of Trump? Okay, so number one, I have
    2:08:21 the same exact thing as you. The fake election scheme is unacceptable, totally disqualifying.
    2:08:27 So the fake election scheme was a literal coup attempt. So he doesn’t win the election. For
    2:08:32 folks who don’t know, I need to explain why it’s a coup attempt, because you just throw out words
    2:08:36 and then people get triggered by the words and then they go into their separate corners, right?
    2:08:44 So the January 6th rioters, they were not going to keep the building. That was not a coup attempt.
    2:08:50 It’s not like, oh, the MAGA guys have the building. I guess they win, right? No, that was never going
    2:08:56 to happen. So what was the point of the January 6th riot? It was to delay the proceedings. Why did
    2:08:59 it matter that they were going to delay the proceedings? Because if you can’t certify the
    2:09:04 election, they wanted general confusion and chaos so that the Republicans in Congress could say,
    2:09:08 well, we don’t know who won, so we’re going to have to kick it back to the states.
    2:09:13 In the states, they had the fake electors ready. And remember, the fake electors are not Trump’s
    2:09:19 electors. Both candidates have a slate of electors, Biden’s electors and Trump’s electors. They go to
    2:09:27 the Trump electors first in this plan and half the Trump electors go, no, I’m not going to pretend
    2:09:31 Trump won the election when he didn’t win the election. So they’re like, shit, now we’ve got to
    2:09:36 come up with fake electors, okay? So they enlist these Republicans to go, yeah, I’ll pretend Trump won,
    2:09:41 right? And so they sign a piece of paper. That’s fraud and that’s why a lot of them are
    2:09:49 now being prosecuted in the different states. And so the idea is the Republican legislature,
    2:09:55 legislators then go, we’re sending these new electors in and we think Trump won Arizona and
    2:10:01 Georgia and Wisconsin, right? That was the idea. That was the plan. And then you come back to the
    2:10:08 House at that point when there are two different sets of electors, the rule constitutional rule is
    2:10:14 the House decides, but the House decides not on a majority because the Democrats had the majority
    2:10:20 at the time. They decide on a majority of the states. They vote by state and the Republicans
    2:10:25 had the majority of the states. So in that way, you steal the election even though Trump didn’t
    2:10:32 win, you install them back in as president. That is a frontal assault on democracy. And I loathe it
    2:10:38 and then Trump on top just blabbers out. Well, sometimes you have, if there’s massive fraud
    2:10:43 in an election, in other words, I think I won. I don’t even think that I’m just saying that I won,
    2:10:49 right? He says you can terminate any rule regulation or article even in the Constitution.
    2:10:54 No, brother, you cannot terminate the Constitution because you’d like to do a fake
    2:11:01 electors scheme and do a coup against America. Fuck you. Okay, so I’m never going to allow
    2:11:07 this want to be tyrant to go back into the White House and endanger our system. And so you want
    2:11:13 to endanger the corrupt system? I’m the guy. Okay, let’s go get that corrupt system and tear it down.
    2:11:18 If you want to endanger the real system, democracy, capitalism, the Constitution,
    2:11:23 then I’m your biggest enemy. So I’m never going to take that risk. And you see it every time he
    2:11:29 goes to talk to a dictator. Look, guys, I’m asking you to be principled, right? I asked the left of
    2:11:35 that and we drive away some of our audience when we do that. So we got the balls to do that to our
    2:11:41 own side. So for the right wing, be honest, if it was Joe Biden or Barack Obama or Kamala Harris,
    2:11:49 that went and wrote quote unquote love letters to a Communist dictator who runs concentration camps.
    2:11:56 You would say, “Communist, we knew it. Look at that.” And Trump literally says about Kim Jong-un,
    2:12:02 “We wrote love letters to one another. We fell in love.” If a Democrat said that,
    2:12:09 they’d be politically decapitated, right? Their career would be instantly over, right? But Trump,
    2:12:14 whatever is Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, I don’t get into Russia, Russia, Russia. But it’s just
    2:12:22 that he’s a strong man, right? Kim Jong-un or any Victor Orban, Duterte in the Philippines,
    2:12:30 anytime it’s a strong man that says, “Screw our Constitution. Screw our rules. I want total loyalty
    2:12:36 to one person.” Trump loves him. He loves him. He said once, he’s like, “Oh, it’s great. You go to
    2:12:43 North Korea or China,” and when the leader walks in, everybody applauds, and everybody
    2:12:47 listens to what he says. That’s how it should be here. No, brother, that’s not how it should be here.
    2:12:54 You hate democracy. You want to be the sole guy in charge. As a populist, you should loathe Donald Trump.
    2:12:59 I agree on the fake election scheme. Can you steal man and maybe educate me on,
    2:13:07 there’s a book rigged that I started reading. Is there any degree to which the election was rigged
    2:13:13 or elections in general are rigged? I think the book rigged. The main case they make is not that
    2:13:21 there’s some shady, fake ballots. It’s more the impact of mainstream media and the impact of big tech.
    2:13:28 So, rigged is another one of those words that triggers people and is ill-defined, right? So,
    2:13:36 let’s begin to define it. So, the worst case of rigged is we actually change the votes, right?
    2:13:41 So, a lot of Trump people think that that’s what happened. Nonsense. That didn’t happen at all.
    2:13:48 So, then you move, and by the way, some on the left thought the votes were changed in the 2016
    2:13:55 primary and it was literally rigged against Bernie. No, that did not happen. That is a massive
    2:14:01 crime and is very risky and is relatively easy to get caught. People who are in power are not
    2:14:06 interested in getting caught. They’re not interested in going to jail, etc. It is a very extreme thing.
    2:14:13 Could it happen? Yes, it could happen. Have I seen any evidence of it happening in my lifetime? Not really.
    2:14:19 Given how much people hate this, you probably just need to find evidence of one time,
    2:14:26 like one vote being changed where you can trace them saying something in some room,
    2:14:31 somewhere, that would just explode. That evidence just doesn’t seem to be there.
    2:14:36 And by the way, for the right-wing who say verify the vote, god damn right, verify the vote, right?
    2:14:40 So, you want to have different proposals like paper ballots, recounts, and recounts, which by
    2:14:46 the way, you had not paper ballots, but the three recounts and a hand recount in Georgia and so many
    2:14:51 of these swing states, he lost, he lost, he lost. There was no significant voter fraud.
    2:14:59 Now, second thing in terms of rigging is voter fraud. So, and the right-wing believes, oh my
    2:15:04 god, there’s voter fraud everywhere. Not remotely true. Heritage Foundation does a study. They want
    2:15:09 to prove it so badly. And it turns out, no matter how much they moved the numbers, the final number
    2:15:21 they got was, it happens 0.000006% of the time. Okay. It almost never happens. They found like
    2:15:27 31 instances over a decade or two decades. So, it’s- What counts as voter fraud?
    2:15:31 So, a lot of times these days, it’ll be Republicans who do it because it’ll be, and it’s
    2:15:36 not nefarious. It’s a knucklehead who goes in and says, “Oh, I heard they are having
    2:15:40 non-documentary, the illegals vote. So, I voted for me and my mom even though she’s dead.”
    2:15:46 But that’s fair. They’re doing it. No, brother, that’s not fair. That’s not how it works. You’re
    2:15:51 under arrest. So, what about non-citizens voting? So, it’s preposterous. Of course,
    2:15:57 non-citizens shouldn’t vote and they don’t vote. But there’s not, you don’t have to prove citizenship
    2:16:02 when you’re voting, right? No, you do. I mean, it depends on what you mean by prove and when you
    2:16:10 vote, right? So, you’re not allowed to vote as an undocumented immigrant. So, that happens up front
    2:16:14 when you go to like, again, it’s a hall of mirrors. Like, there’s so many different ways
    2:16:19 to create mirages. So, the Republicans will say, “Well, when you go to the voting booth,
    2:16:24 they don’t make you show a passport.” Yeah, that’s true, but you showed it earlier when
    2:16:30 you registered, right? And so, and we can get into voter ID laws. There’s all sorts of things,
    2:16:34 but we got to, we’ll speed up the spectrum, right? So, these things almost never happen.
    2:16:39 Voter fraud happens super rarely and not enough to swing elections. And by the way, sometimes,
    2:16:42 if there is an issue, they’ll redo an election. There is actually a process for that. And it
    2:16:47 happened in North Carolina because Republicans did voter fraud in this one district, okay? And it
    2:16:52 wasn’t the candidate himself. It was this campaign person and they did ballot harvesting and then,
    2:16:56 but ballot harvesting, again, it depends on what you mean. If you’re just collecting ballots,
    2:17:02 that’s okay. He changed the ballots. That’s not okay. And so, they had to redo that election.
    2:17:09 So, now, the real place where it gets rigged is before elections. And there’s two main ways that
    2:17:17 things get rigged. One is almost exclusively, no, that’s not fair. I was going to say Republicans,
    2:17:21 but Democrats do it too in a different way. So, Republicans will come in like Brian Kemp is the
    2:17:27 king of this in Georgia. So, he was against Trump doing it ex post facto. He’s like, “No, you idiot.
    2:17:32 We don’t cheat after the election. We cheat before the election.” Okay? So, they’ll go, “Well, I mean,
    2:17:35 you got to clear out the voter rolls every once in a while.” And that’s true because people die,
    2:17:39 people move, and you got to clean out the voter rolls. So, then they come in and they go,
    2:17:44 “We will clean them out, mainly in black areas.” Okay? Oh, look at that. There goes a couple of
    2:17:49 million black voters. Well, some of those, I suppose, are real voters, but they’ll have to
    2:17:55 reregister, and then they’ll find that out on election day. And oh, well, now, sorry, you couldn’t
    2:18:01 vote this time. Remember to reregister next time. And so, do they go, “Hey, we’re going to take black
    2:18:07 people off the voter rolls?” No. What they do is, “We’re having more issues in these districts.”
    2:18:13 Right? Here’s another way they do it. How many voting boosts do you have in the area? So, primarily,
    2:18:18 Republican areas will get tons of voting boosts, so you don’t have to wait in line.
    2:18:24 You go in, you vote, you go to work, no problem. You’re in a black area in a Republican state,
    2:18:30 all of a sudden, “Hey, look, that’s city.” Well, we sent you four voting boosts. “Oh,
    2:18:33 you got a million people there? Well, what are you going to do? I guess you got to wait
    2:18:36 in line the whole day. You can’t go to work, et cetera.” So, that’s the way…
    2:18:43 I refuse to believe it’s only the Republicans that do that. I would say…
    2:18:47 So, that’s why I paused. Yeah. That just seems too obvious to do by both.
    2:18:54 Yeah. No, no. The Democrats are so weak, like they mainly don’t do that, but they do do
    2:18:58 the third thing, which is gerrymandering. So, both Republicans and Democrats…
    2:19:02 Also, their favorite flavors of messing with the vote. Okay.
    2:19:08 Yeah. So, gerrymandering is the best way to rig an election. That way, the politicians pick their
    2:19:14 voters instead of the voters picking their politicians. So, all these districts are so
    2:19:19 heavily gerrymandered that the incumbent almost can’t lose. They’ll push most of the
    2:19:24 voters into one district, most of the voters in another district, because they don’t want
    2:19:35 competition. So, then you’re screwed. The vote isn’t rigged, but the district is rigged
    2:19:43 so that the incumbent wins almost no matter what. So, that’s why we’ve gotten so polarized,
    2:19:49 because the gerrymandering creates 90% of seats that are safe. So, they don’t have to compromise.
    2:19:53 They don’t have to get to a middle. They could just be extreme on either side,
    2:19:57 because they already locked it up. Okay. So, that’s the number one way to rig an election.
    2:20:02 Now, finally, the last part of it is maybe the most important, maybe even more important,
    2:20:08 than gerrymandering. And that’s the media. So, it just happened to RFK Jr. It happened
    2:20:14 to Bernie in 2015. It happens to any outsider, right or left. The media, if you’re an outsider,
    2:20:21 will say, “Well, radical, number one, they don’t platform you.” So, they’re not going to have you
    2:20:24 on to begin with. Nobody’s even going to find out about you. If nobody finds out about you,
    2:20:32 you’re done for, right? So, Bernie broke through that because he was so popular, and the rallies
    2:20:38 were so huge that local news couldn’t help but cover him. Jesus Christ, what are all these people
    2:20:41 doing in the middle of the city, right? And he slowly broke through that. But do you know
    2:20:46 that in 2015, as he’s doing this miraculous run against Hillary Clinton, nobody thinks he has
    2:20:54 a chance? And here comes Bernie, and he’s almost at 48%. He had seven seconds of coverage on ABC
    2:21:00 that year. They just will not put you on. That is the number one way they ring an election.
    2:21:08 Bobby Kennedy Jr. is sitting at 20% in a primary, no town hall. 20% is a giant number, right? And
    2:21:12 you’re not going to do a town hall. You’re not going to do a debate. 12% in the general election,
    2:21:19 a giant number in a general election, no town hall, no debate. If no one finds out about you,
    2:21:25 they don’t know to vote for you, right? If they don’t find out your policies. Corporate media
    2:21:30 rigs elections more than anything else in the world. Now, this is something you’ve been a bit
    2:21:35 controversial about. But the general sort of standard belief is that there’s a left-leaning
    2:21:42 bias in the mainstream media because, as I think studies show, a large majority of journalists
    2:21:49 are left-leaning, and then that there’s a bias in big tech. Employees of big tech companies
    2:21:56 from search engines to social media are left-leaning. And there, that’s a huge majority is left-leaning.
    2:22:04 So the conventional wisdom is that there is a bias towards the left. First of all,
    2:22:10 I think you’ve argued that that’s not true, that there’s a bias in the other direction.
    2:22:14 But whether there’s a bias or not, do you think that, how big of an impact that has
    2:22:19 on the result of the election? Okay, so let’s break that down. Tech and
    2:22:24 media are totally different. So let’s do media first and we’ll do tech. So on mainstream media,
    2:22:31 corporate media, and I actually think that right-wing media like Fox News is part of
    2:22:38 corporate media. They just play good cop, bad cop. And so in that realm, the bias is not right or
    2:22:43 left, except on social issues. Okay, so that’s where that image comes from. On social issues,
    2:22:51 yes, the media is generally on the left. And right-wing, sorry, but this started in the 1960s,
    2:22:55 and the right-wing got super mad at mainstream media saying that black people were equal to white
    2:23:01 people. That’s not the case anymore. Okay, right-wing, calm down. I’m not calling you all racist.
    2:23:05 But in the 1960s, were there racism? Was there racism? Of course! Of course, they wouldn’t even
    2:23:09 let black kids into the schools, right? There was massive segregation in the South, but a lot
    2:23:13 in the North as well. And at that point, in mainstream media says, well, I mean, they are
    2:23:20 citizens. They should have equal rights. And the right-wing goes, bias! Okay, yeah, I mean,
    2:23:23 you’re kind of right. It is a bias. It is a bias towards equality in that case.
    2:23:30 But that is perceived as on the left. Now, fast forward to today, you don’t have that on the
    2:23:36 racial issues as obviously as much as we had it back then, but on gay marriage that existed for
    2:23:41 a long time, where the media is like, well, they kind of should have the same rights as
    2:23:47 straight people, right? And the right-wing went, bias! Right? So, okay, you’re kind of right about
    2:23:54 that. But at the same time, I would argue their position is correct, right? So, can they go too
    2:24:00 far? Of course, they can go too far. Okay, now, but that’s not the main deal, guys. That’s to distract
    2:24:05 you. The main deal is economic issues. And again, we say it ahead of time, and you can see if we’re
    2:24:12 right or wrong, right? So, we will tell folks, when we get to an economic bill, you will see,
    2:24:17 all of a sudden, the guys who theoretically disagree, Fox News and MSNBC close ranks.
    2:24:21 And you just saw it happen with price gouging. That issue of price gouging? All of a sudden,
    2:24:26 there’s a lot of MSNBC hosts, CNN hosts, Washington Post writes an op-ed against it,
    2:24:30 and everybody panics who’s like, “No, no, no, no, no, no, no. You can’t control anything a corporation
    2:24:34 does. This is wrong! This is wrong!” Right? Oh, what happened? I thought you guys were hated each
    2:24:39 other. All of a sudden, you totally agree. Fascinating. Okay? Same thing happened on
    2:24:42 increasing wages. When they were talking about increasing the minimum wage,
    2:24:49 Stephanie ruled, giants screed against it on MSNBC. All of a sudden, Fox News and MSNBC agree, right?
    2:24:55 Do not touch beloved corporations. So, now that gets us to our real bias. It’s not left or right.
    2:25:01 It’s pro-corporate for all the reasons we talked about before. Corporate media, corporate politicians.
    2:25:05 So, if you don’t believe me today, whether you’re on the right or the left,
    2:25:12 watch. Next time on Economic Issue, where do they fall? How do they react? When any time it’s a
    2:25:18 corporate issue, where does the media go? Right? So, that’s the real bias of the media. And so,
    2:25:24 since the real bias of the media is pro-corporations, that is not a left-wing position. That is
    2:25:28 considered more of a right-wing position. I even think that’s a misnomer, because to be fair to
    2:25:34 right-wing voters, they’re not pro-corporations. They’re not pro-big business. They’re not pro-corruption.
    2:25:39 But the Republican politicians are, so it gets framed as a right-wing issue, right? So, if you
    2:25:46 think that the corporate media is too populist, you just don’t get it. They aren’t. They hate populism.
    2:25:54 So, now when you turn to tech. So, tech’s a complicated one, because, yeah, people write the
    2:25:59 code. If they’re left-wingers, they’re going to have certain assumptions, and they might write
    2:26:07 that into the codes of the rules. And so, but they’re also, generally speaking, wealthy. They’re
    2:26:12 usually white. They’re usually male. And those biases also get going. And there’s a lot of people
    2:26:18 on the left who object to that bias, right? Okay, but that’s a fair and interesting conversation,
    2:26:22 and one we have to be careful of, and one we could hopefully find a middle ground on.
    2:26:28 But that’s not the major problem. The major reason why big tech gets attacked is because
    2:26:36 they are competitors of who. Social media competes with mainstream media. So, mainstream media has
    2:26:43 been attacking big tech from day one, pretending that it’s a, they’re really concerned. Yeah,
    2:26:48 they’re really concerned, because that’s their competition, and they’re getting their ass handed
    2:26:55 to them. So, I did a story on the Young Turks about CNN article about all the dangers of social
    2:27:03 media. I’m like, guys, this is written by their advertising department, okay? And in fact,
    2:27:07 they go to the advertisers and they find a random video on YouTube or Facebook,
    2:27:14 right out of billions of videos. And they’re like, look at your ad is on this video. Do you denounce
    2:27:19 and reject every big tech company and every member of social media? And the advertisers are like,
    2:27:28 yeah, I do, right? Meanwhile, they’re doing Milf Island on TV. Okay, I didn’t know that.
    2:27:36 There’s literally a show that came out recently, where it’s moms and their sons and they fuck each
    2:27:41 other. Oh, wow. Okay, they don’t, they don’t have sex with their mom. They have sex with a different
    2:27:47 mom, or they date, but then the show is, oh, then they go off into a corner, etc. Right?
    2:27:54 I’m like, you’re doing this kind of like the worst degrading, ridiculous, immoral programming.
    2:27:58 And then you found a video on YouTube that has a problem. Get the fuck out of here. You’re just
    2:28:05 trying to kneecap your competition. Let’s talk about the saga of Joe Biden. So over the past year,
    2:28:12 over the past few months, can you just rewind? Where have you maybe tell the story of Joe Biden,
    2:28:21 as you see from the election perspective? Yeah, so about a year ago, I, I’m looking at the polling.
    2:28:28 And first of all, I have eyes, right? And ears. So whenever I see Biden, I’m like, this is a disaster.
    2:28:34 And then I go and talk to real people. And when I say real people, I mean, not in politics. That’s
    2:28:40 not their job, right? Because people involved in politics for media have a certain perspective,
    2:28:47 and it’s colored by all the exchanges in mainstream media, social media, etc. Real people aren’t on
    2:28:54 Twitter having political fights. They’re not watching CNN religiously, etc. Whenever I was at
    2:28:59 a barbecue, you guys all Democrats and some barbecues. Yeah. What do you guys think of Joe Biden?
    2:29:07 Like almost in unison, too old. Every real person said too old. So I look at what real people are
    2:29:11 saying. That’s why I thought Trump was going to win in 2016. I go in the middle of Ohio. I can’t
    2:29:18 see a Hillary Clinton sign for hundreds of miles, right? It’s Trump paraphernalia everywhere, right?
    2:29:23 So that’s not end all be all. You could say it’s anecdotal, but you begin to collect data points,
    2:29:28 right? But then the real data points are in polling. Okay, so now I’m looking at Biden polling.
    2:29:35 He’s in the 30s. No incumbent in the 30s has ever come back to win. So I’m like, it’s already over.
    2:29:41 Then all of a sudden, oh my God, Trump takes the lead with Latinos. It’s double over.
    2:29:47 By the later in the process, Trump took the lead with young voters. I’m like, this is the most
    2:29:55 over-election in history. A Democrat cannot win if they’re not winning young voters. That’s impossible.
    2:30:02 Trump’s cutting into his lead with black voters. This thing is over, right? And I go tell people
    2:30:08 and they’re like, you’re crazy. Why do they think I’m crazy? Because MSNBC is lying to them 24/7,
    2:30:15 telling them that Joe Biden created sliced bread and the wheel and fire. And my favorite
    2:30:22 target point was he’s a dynamo behind the scenes. I’m like, okay, let me get this right. It’s like
    2:30:27 an SNL skit, right? I’m like, so behind the scenes is like, all right, Sally, get me the memo on that
    2:30:31 and we’re okay. We’re going to do this and I’m in command of the material. Then he goes in front
    2:30:38 of the cameras. Anyways, why would any politician do that? Why would they be terrible in front of
    2:30:43 the camera and great off camera? That doesn’t make any sense. But once you get people enough
    2:30:50 propaganda and MSNBC created Blue Maga, right, they’ll believe anything. So they believe that
    2:30:56 Biden was dynamic and young, and that he was the best possible candidate to beat Donald Trump,
    2:31:00 when in reality, he was about the only Democrat who couldn’t beat Donald Trump.
    2:31:08 So number one, I don’t cosign on a bullshit. I don’t care which side you’re on. Number two,
    2:31:13 as you heard earlier, I can’t have Trump winning. It endangers the country. It endangers our
    2:31:19 constitution, etc. So I’m going to do something about it. And so I start something called Operation
    2:31:25 Hope on the Young Turks. And we ask the audience, what should we do, right? So there’s different
    2:31:31 projects in Operation Hope. But the first project that pops up is not Biden out of the race. Okay.
    2:31:38 And so then I ask our paying members on TYT, I say, guys, you’re going to vote, and then I’m
    2:31:42 going to do what you tell me to do. If you say, no, I like Biden, or I think Biden’s the best
    2:31:47 candidate, or even if he isn’t, we’re not going to be able to win on this. So don’t do it, right?
    2:31:57 Should I enter the primary against Biden? Okay. 7624, go, enter, right? I’m a populist. You tell
    2:32:02 me to go. You’re my paying members. You’re my boss. I’m going to go. Okay. So I enter the primary.
    2:32:06 Now, I’m not born in the country. So people are going to freak out about that. I’m a talk show
    2:32:14 host. Like the establishment media despises me, right? So I’m not going to get any air time. In
    2:32:21 fact, we consider hiring the top booking agent in New York. We talk to him and he says, well,
    2:32:25 you know, I’m actually in New York this week. And he says, I’m going to go talk to those guys.
    2:32:30 And I’ll come, I’ll come back to you. And he was really decent. Because normally,
    2:32:35 you know, he charges a lot. Just take the money, right? And go, oh, yeah, I’ll get you on. But
    2:32:40 he was a wonderful guy. He said, I talked to them, you’re banned. So don’t, don’t do it. Like
    2:32:45 you’re not, you’re banned at CNN, you’re banned at MSNBC. And I think you’re banned on Fox News,
    2:32:52 but I’m not sure. Okay. So, so long odds, why do you do it? Because if you think we’re going to
    2:32:58 crash into the iceberg, you might as well bum rush the captain’s course, right? I’m lunging at the
    2:33:03 wheel. So what difference can I make? Well, I can make a difference by going on every show on
    2:33:08 planet earth and going, he’s too old. He’s in the thirties. He has no chance of winning. No chance
    2:33:14 of winning. I go on Charlemagne show, breakfast club, right? Charlemagne agrees. All of a sudden,
    2:33:18 we’re having buzz. And then people go, oh, Charlemagne said he has no chance of winning.
    2:33:22 Then Charlemagne’s on the daily show talks to John Stuart. John Stuart does a segment. Not,
    2:33:27 this is not necessarily causal, but buzz is building, right? So then John Stuart does a segment,
    2:33:32 if you remember, and people got super pissed at him, too old, can’t win. And all in that buzz is
    2:33:39 building. Meanwhile, unrelated to us, David Axelrod and James Carville. And I’m like, guys, figure
    2:33:46 it out. Who does Axelrod speak for? The top advisor for Barack Obama. Who is James Carville the top
    2:33:52 advisor for? The Clintons. This is the Clintons and the Obama sending their emissaries to say,
    2:33:59 we can read a poll, he’s going to lose, change direction. So when the debate happens, we laid
    2:34:05 the groundwork. If we hadn’t laid the groundwork, debate would have been the first time that blue
    2:34:11 MAGA would have thought, oh, maybe Biden can’t win, right? But since all of us said it and strange
    2:34:17 bedfellows, I loathe Nancy Pelosi, but she was on our side. I got a lot of issues with Bill Maher.
    2:34:22 He was on our side, right? I got a lot of issues with Axelrod and Carville, and they were on our
    2:34:29 side. So the people who believed in objective reality kind of independently made a plan,
    2:34:35 let’s show people objective reality. And we did and we drove them out and it made all the difference.
    2:34:38 So you think he stepped down voluntarily or was he forced out?
    2:34:45 Both. So again, it depends on what you mean. So was he forced out? Of course he was forced out.
    2:34:50 You think he just woke up? He’s like, oh yeah, you know what? Screw my legacy. I don’t want to be
    2:34:54 a two-term president. I’ll just drop out for no reason. No, we forced them out. Of course we did,
    2:34:59 right? And when I say we, I had a tiny, tiny, tiny role, the people who had the major roles,
    2:35:06 Nancy Pelosi, Barack Obama, and all those folks. But even they were not the main driving force.
    2:35:12 The number one driving force were the donors. What is the source of power of Bernie or Massey,
    2:35:18 the people, right? What is the source of power for Biden? The donors. The donors made Biden,
    2:35:22 he is the donor’s candidate, and the donors, that’s why he told the donors, nothing will
    2:35:30 fundamentally change. That is, like you can, if you say like, no, Cenk, I think you’re too extreme
    2:35:36 that Biden works for the donors 98%. I don’t think he only works for the 80% or 55%. Fine,
    2:35:41 we could have that debate. But you can’t argue that it isn’t his source of power. And you can’t
    2:35:45 argue it anymore, even if you were going to argue it earlier, because once the donors said,
    2:35:49 we’re not giving you any more money, he didn’t have any options. He couldn’t, he couldn’t go on.
    2:35:55 So, but was he forced out at like knife point or something? No. So was it voluntary? Yeah,
    2:36:01 ultimately, if Biden decided to stay in, there was nothing we could do about it. And so he had to
    2:36:06 voluntarily make that decision, but he voluntarily made it because he had no choice left. Yeah, I
    2:36:15 wish he stepped down voluntarily from a place of strength. So I think, I think presidents,
    2:36:22 I think politicians in general, especially at the highest levels want legacy. Now, to me, at least,
    2:36:28 one of the greatest things you could do is to walk away from at the top. I mean, George Washington,
    2:36:34 to walk away from power, is I think universally respected, especially if you got a good speech
    2:36:42 to go with it, and you do it really well, not in some kind of cynical or calculator, some kind of
    2:36:47 transactional way, but just like as a great leader, and maybe be a little bit even more dramatic than
    2:36:53 you need to be in doing it. Yeah, I thought that would be a beautiful moment. And then launch
    2:37:02 a some kind of democratic process for electing a different option. Not only did I agree with
    2:37:10 you 100%, I reached one of his top advisors, one of the guys you see in the press all the time,
    2:37:15 as in his inner circle. I never said that before, because we were in the middle of it, and I’m never
    2:37:22 going to betray anyone’s confidence, and I’ll never say who it was. Okay, but he was gracious enough
    2:37:28 to meet with me as I was about to enter the primary. And look, it’s smart too, because get
    2:37:33 information, intelligence, etc. What is this guy going to be trouble or not trouble, right?
    2:37:38 But at least he took the meeting. And the case I made is exactly the one you just said, Lex.
    2:37:41 I said, if he drops this about 10 months ago, I said, if he drops out now,
    2:37:48 they build statues of them, right? The Democrats, you’re right, when you hate him, I get it. But
    2:37:54 the Democrats would have said he beat Trump and protected democracy in 2020. And he steps down
    2:38:01 graciously now to make sure we beat Trump again in 2024. And he lets go of power voluntarily.
    2:38:09 He’s going to be a hero, an absolute hero. But if he doesn’t, you’re going to force all of us
    2:38:14 to kick the living crap out of him, and tell everybody he’s an egomaniac, which he is,
    2:38:19 and he’s doing this for two so that he could be, if you don’t know Washington in that bubble,
    2:38:24 if you’re a one-term president, you’re a loser. If you’re a two-term president, you have a legacy
    2:38:32 in your historic. He’s running for one reason, one reason only. My legacy. I will be a two-term
    2:38:37 president. I will be considered historic. I’m like, brother, now you’re going to be considered a
    2:38:42 villain, the villain of the story. You’re handing it right back to Trump. You’re not going to win.
    2:38:47 And you know, look at the numbers. Any political professional knows you’re not going to win.
    2:38:52 So you have hero or villain and you get to choose. But if you think you’re going to be a hero and be
    2:38:56 Trump, that is not a choice you have. That is not going to happen. And they didn’t believe us.
    2:38:58 But by then, they did.
    2:39:05 Well, you’re troubled by the how Kamala Harris was selected after he stepped down.
    2:39:14 Yes and no. So I argued for an open convention. And so if Biden had stepped down when we were
    2:39:20 trying to get people into the primary knock them out, then that would have been a perfect solution.
    2:39:26 Then all the governors could go in. Walsh, Bashir, Whitmer, Kamala Harris goes in, obviously.
    2:39:32 They have a real primary. At that point, me and later Dean Phillips came in. Me, Dean, and I mean,
    2:39:35 Mary, I wouldn’t drop out. Me and Dean would definitely drop out. Because our whole point was
    2:39:40 get other people on the race, make sure we win, right? So, okay, then you would have had a great
    2:39:46 primary. It would have been the right way to do it both morally, you know, constitutionally, etc.
    2:39:50 But also as a matter of politics, because you would have gotten a lot of coverage for your
    2:39:55 young, exciting candidates. And you would have legitimized the idea that you’re protecting
    2:40:00 democracy. Okay, so that didn’t happen because of Biden. It is what it is. So now when Biden drops
    2:40:05 out, at least do a vestige of democracy. Go to the commission and do what it’s designed to do,
    2:40:10 which is pick a candidate. Ezra Klein made a great case for this in the New York Times podcast
    2:40:16 that he did. That made a huge difference. And he was great for doing that. So I believe in an
    2:40:21 opening event. But I know Democrats, they love to anoint because they don’t trust the people.
    2:40:27 So they think the elites are geniuses. Don’t worry, we’ll pick the right candidate. Yeah,
    2:40:31 I remember when you picked Hillary Clinton, had that workout, right? And I remember when you said
    2:40:36 Joe Biden was the right candidate in 2024, had that workout, do not anoint. Right. So but in the
    2:40:44 end, they didn’t. So what happened was, Biden does the first announcement, he either forgot or on
    2:40:49 purpose didn’t put Kamala Harris in there. So there’s all this kumbaya now. No, they don’t like
    2:40:54 each other. Okay, and Biden’s been screwing her over the entire time she’s been vice president.
    2:40:59 So he doesn’t put her in the original statement. And I’m like, whoa, I do a live video on media.
    2:41:03 I’m like, Kamala Harris is not in the statement, right? In the middle of my video,
    2:41:07 they put out a second one. Okay, fine. Kamala Harris, right? Because that’s too much for the
    2:41:13 president not to endorse it. You think he was like really like somebody like stormed into the room?
    2:41:19 I said, you absolutely must. I don’t know. I wasn’t there, but probably, right? Or they plan,
    2:41:24 I don’t know. But the bottom line is, it was glaring that he didn’t put her in the first letter.
    2:41:31 Okay, so he had to put her in the second one. Fine, no problem. But Obama, Pelosi and Schumer
    2:41:38 did not endorse Kamala Harris. That’s huge. Normally, the Democrats would all endorse her
    2:41:43 and would all say, she’s anointed. Shut up, everybody. And then MSNBC would scream, shut up,
    2:41:49 shut up. She’s anointed, right? But they didn’t do that. So then Kamala Harris had to win over the
    2:41:54 delegates. And I thought she would win them over in the convention, but she locked them up in two
    2:41:59 days. And I know because I know delegates because I ran. And the delegates are calling me saying,
    2:42:06 she’s getting on a Zoom right now with us, right? She went to all the states and worked her ass off
    2:42:12 and locked up enough delegates to get the nomination in two days. Yeah, but come on,
    2:42:21 it’s Biden endorsed. Of course. So why is that? And of course, why not say sort of lay out walls
    2:42:27 in Shapiro and Kamala Harris and the options that say, well, it’s like at least a facade of
    2:42:33 democracy of a democratic process. There’s what should happen and what is likely to happen.
    2:42:39 So should Biden not have endorsed? Yeah, of course. I think Biden should have done the same thing as
    2:42:44 Obama and Pelosi and not endorse and say, hey, we’d love to have a process where we figure out
    2:42:48 who the right nominee is. And at that point, I’m really worried about Kamala Harris because
    2:42:54 she’s doing word salads nonstop, right? So I’m like, don’t make the same mistake we did before
    2:42:59 and just pick someone out of a hat. Test them, test them. You get stronger candidates when you
    2:43:06 test them. The authoritarian nature of the DNC drives me crazy. They don’t believe in testing
    2:43:10 candidates. They don’t believe in letting their own voters decide. And look, when we were in the
    2:43:15 primary, they canceled the Florida election. And then, and they took me, Dean and Marianne
    2:43:19 off the ballot in North Carolina and Tennessee. I’m like, guys, if you’re going to make a case
    2:43:23 for democracy in the general election, and you cancel elections in the primaries,
    2:43:30 do you not get how ridiculous you look, how hypocritical you look, right? So I didn’t want
    2:43:36 them to Biden to endorse anyone, but I’m shocked that they didn’t all endorse her because normally
    2:43:43 what happens is they all endorse. So if bottom line Lex is, did she like earning in a perfect
    2:43:49 system not even close, right? But did she earn it enough in this imperfect way where at least
    2:43:56 she showed some degree of competence that assuaged my concerns? Yes. So because a normal Democrat
    2:44:01 would bungle that they wouldn’t go talk like Hillary Clinton, when they talked to the delegates,
    2:44:06 she would assume that she’s the queen and that they would all bow their heads. She would, you know,
    2:44:12 so the fact that she did elementary politics correct for Democrats is like a big win.
    2:44:21 It just really frustrated me because it smelled of the same thing of fucking over Bernie in 2015,
    2:44:29 ’16, and RFK and just the anointing aspect. Now, they seem to have gotten lucky in the situation
    2:44:34 that it’s very possible that Kamala Harris would have been selected through a democratic process.
    2:44:41 But I have to say, listening to the speeches at the DNC, Wallace was amazing. Shapiro was really
    2:44:46 strong and Kamala actually was much better as compared to her as a candidate previously,
    2:44:49 but personally don’t think she would have been the result of a democratic process.
    2:44:54 So you don’t often give your opinions, but when you give the opinions, I actually agree 90,
    2:44:59 like a huge percentage of the time in this conversation. So I fought for Shapiro in the
    2:45:03 primer and when she was trying to pick for a VP because I thought there’s no way she’s going to
    2:45:08 pick walls, he’s way too not just progressive, but more importantly populist, right? So I didn’t
    2:45:12 think she’d go in that direction. And Shapiro actually did a bunch of populist things in Pennsylvania.
    2:45:16 That’s part of the reason why he’s so popular in Pennsylvania. He looks like a smooth talking
    2:45:22 politician, but his actions are pretty good. And so Shapiro was great. Wallace was great.
    2:45:28 The Obamas are legendary. Even Clinton at his advanced age makes terrific points in a speech
    2:45:34 where you go, well, that one’s hard to argue with, right? And so they all, I’m shocked at the
    2:45:40 competence of the DNC, shocked at it. But of all those likes, so you can give a good speech,
    2:45:46 and the Obamas give a mean speech. But I saw Obama as president, you know, he didn’t deliver on that.
    2:45:54 So, but the one guy that stood out is Wallace. And the reason is, because he’s a real person.
    2:46:00 Yeah, real person, populist. We all got to work towards picking the most genuine candidates.
    2:46:06 So here, on the right wing side, for example, I would prefer Marjorie Taylor Greene to a Mitch
    2:46:13 McConnell any day. Marjorie Taylor Greene is genuine. She might be genuinely nuts. I don’t
    2:46:19 agree with her. She might be even more right wing than others. But I believe that she means it.
    2:46:25 And I’ll take that any day over a fraud corporates like Mitch McConnell, who’s just going to do
    2:46:31 what is donor’s command of them, et cetera. I got to ask you, because I also love Bernie still
    2:46:37 got it. I love Bernie. I always have. I enjoyed his, I think he might still do it, but I enjoyed
    2:46:43 his conversations with Tom Hartman. He’s a genuine one, like Bernie, even though you disagree with
    2:46:49 him. That’s a genuine human being. Yep. So just talk about that. Is it trouble you that he’s been
    2:46:56 fucked over in 2015, 16, and again, 2020, he seems to be, and why does it keep like
    2:47:04 forgiving people? Yeah. So I love Bernie for the same reason you’re saying it,
    2:47:08 because he’s a real person. He’s a populist. He means it. And that is so rare in politics.
    2:47:14 I feel like I’m diogenes and I went looking for the one honest man and found it in Bernie.
    2:47:20 And so I did a video in 2013 saying Bernie Sanders can beat Hillary Clinton in a primary.
    2:47:27 In 2013, that video exists, because why did I think that? I didn’t say it of any of the
    2:47:32 corporate politicians and the guys who were supposed to challenger and stuff, because populist
    2:47:38 and honest, right? And the country’s dying for an honest populist, dying for it, right? So love
    2:47:44 the brother. Now, that doesn’t mean that he’s right on strategy. And he drives me crazy on
    2:47:52 strategy. So two elements of that. Number one, in 2016 and in 2020, for God’s sake, attack your
    2:47:59 opponent. You said something about Trump that I disagree with, where I’m defending Trump, okay?
    2:48:05 You don’t like what he did to the public discourse. No, I don’t mind it. I would, and I’ll tell you
    2:48:13 why, because at least he got a little bit past the fakeness. Like he’s a con man and he’s a fraud
    2:48:16 overall and he does everything for his own interest, but at least he doesn’t speak like a
    2:48:23 bullshitting politician, right? And he’s not wrong that you have to bully your own party to
    2:48:30 amass enough power to get things done. And he showed that that’s possible. So the problem with
    2:48:34 the Democrats is civility. So my whole life, they’re like, “Oh, no, no, no, don’t say anything.
    2:48:41 Let’s lose with civility,” right? So for example, in debates on, you know, whether it’s on TV online
    2:48:48 or whatever, Democrats or people on the left are always saying, “I’m offended. I never get offended.”
    2:48:56 No, after I’m done, you’re going to be offended, okay? Fight back. Fighting back wins. And we
    2:49:02 couldn’t get Bernie to fight back. In 2020, he was one state away. He won the first three states.
    2:49:08 He crushed the Nevada. All we needed was South Carolina. But in order to get South Carolina,
    2:49:12 we all knew. Everybody on his campaign, everyone who’s in progressive media,
    2:49:17 we all knew you’ve got to attack Biden. If you don’t, they’re just going to tsunami you. You
    2:49:23 know, corporate medias and the corporate politicians are going to run rough shot over you. You have
    2:49:29 to make the case against them. And so two times Bernie flinched. One in 2016 in the Brooklyn debate,
    2:49:33 they asked, “Did the money that Hillary Clinton taken from the banks affect her votes?”
    2:49:40 And he said, “No.” Of course it affected her votes. Of course it did. You have to say yes,
    2:49:44 and you have to show it and prove it. The bankruptcy bill. When she was first lady,
    2:49:49 she was totally in favor of the American people and against the bankruptcy bill because it
    2:49:56 has the banks. You can’t discharge any debts. You know, credit card debt and bank debt,
    2:50:00 et cetera. It’s an awful bill. It’s one of the most corporate bills. She was on the right side
    2:50:05 as a first lady. She becomes a senator, takes banker money, and all of a sudden she flips
    2:50:11 over to the banker side. “Say it, Bernie. For God’s sake, say it.” Right? Then in one of the debates
    2:50:19 in 2020, his team prepares attacks against Biden. They’re not personal. They’re not like, I,
    2:50:25 you can sense by now, if I’m in a political race, my objective is rip the other guys’
    2:50:34 face off. Politically, rhetorically, never physically. But I would get it to a point
    2:50:37 where they’d think, “I don’t know if I’m going to vote for Cenk, but I know I’m not voting for
    2:50:42 the other guy. Okay, so you got to do that if you want to win.” So they prepare this. He says,
    2:50:49 “I’m going to do it.” He goes on the podium and doesn’t do it because he can’t. He’s too damn nice.
    2:50:53 He just can’t attack the other guy. Now, that’s problem number one in strategy.
    2:50:57 Problem number two is something you alluded to. So Biden gets in office. Bernie thinks they’re
    2:51:04 friends. They’re not friends. Biden’s just using him. So he uses him to get the credibility,
    2:51:11 and then he eviscerates 85% of the progressive proposals that Bernie put forward. Biden throws
    2:51:17 away $15 minimum wage that was Bernie’s signature issue, doesn’t even propose the public option,
    2:51:23 dumps paid family for no reason. I can go on and on. And Bernie cosigns on it because he
    2:51:28 thinks he’s in an alliance. He thinks Biden’s on his side, and he thinks we’re going to get
    2:51:33 things done. And to be fair to Bernie, like I said earlier, Obama got only 5% of his agenda
    2:51:40 passed, and Biden got 15%. Okay, so you’re right, Bernie. You got three times more than
    2:51:44 under Obama, but you’re wrong. That is not fundamental change. And without fundamental
    2:51:50 change, we’re screwed. Let me ask you about another impressive speech, AOC.
    2:51:56 Is it possible that she’s the future of the party, future president?
    2:52:07 No. So AOC, in my opinion, lost her way. And so… In which way? So it’s tough talking about these
    2:52:13 things because people take it so personally, right? And that’s why you’ll see very few politicians
    2:52:20 on our shows. Because we give super tough interviews, and the words aren’t in the street,
    2:52:25 right? Like, don’t go to young Turks. They’ll ask you super hard questions, right? So the only
    2:52:30 couple do it. Like, Ro Khanna does it. He’s brave. We’ll get into shouting matches, sometimes in the
    2:52:34 middle of bills and stuff. But at least he’s there to defend his position. I respect him for that.
    2:52:38 Tim Ryan, a little bit more of a conservative Democrat when he was in the house. He would
    2:52:43 take on any debate, et cetera. So there’s a couple of good guys that do it, but generally they don’t.
    2:52:52 So this relates to AOC because when AOC is running, we do 34 videos on her. We get her millions of views.
    2:52:59 We founded Just Democrats and now launched it on the show. Our audience, Ryan Grimm,
    2:53:06 documents it in one of his books. Our audience raises $2.5 million for those progressive candidates
    2:53:13 overall. And at that point, AOC and all those Rashida Tlaib, et cetera, they’re all dying to
    2:53:16 come on a young Turks. Makes sense. I would too, of course, and it’s not because it’s the young
    2:53:21 Turks and any media outlet. And most media outlets, almost all the media outlets reject them.
    2:53:28 We cover AOC more than all the other press combined, right? And she wins for a number of
    2:53:32 reasons. That’s one of the reasons, but there’s many others and she did a terrific job herself.
    2:53:41 She then takes Joycott and Corbin, who were the, Joycott was the head of Just Democrats and Corbin
    2:53:46 was communications director for Just Democrats. Then Joycott made one of the most brilliant
    2:53:51 political decisions in arguably in American history. He said, he called me and he said,
    2:53:56 “Jank, I’m going to go from head of Just Democrats to running AOC’s campaign.”
    2:54:01 And I’m like, “Well, the other candidates are going to get pissed and you’re staking the entire
    2:54:05 enterprise on one candidate.” And I’m like, “Joycott, I’m not in it. I’m doing the media
    2:54:11 arm. You’re in the trenches. You’re the guy making the decisions. So I’m going to trust
    2:54:18 whatever you say. You sure?” And he said, “Yeah, I’m sure.” So him and Corbin go over to AOC’s
    2:54:25 campaign. AOC then wins, that miraculous win. Then she hires Joycott to be her chief of staff
    2:54:30 and she hires Corbin to be her communications director. Within six months, they’re gone.
    2:54:34 And once they’re gone, AOC then goes on an establishment path.
    2:54:41 Because why were they gone? Oh, they insulted one of her colleagues. Yeah, that colleague who’s a
    2:54:47 total corporatist and was selling out one of our policy proposals. If you don’t call out your own
    2:54:52 side, you’re never going to get anything done. But if you call out your own side, you become
    2:54:58 persona non grata and it is super uncomfortable. And we couldn’t get them to do things that were
    2:55:03 uncomfortable. Now, she’s going to find that outrageous and she’s going to be very offended
    2:55:08 by that. And she’s going to point to a bunch of things she did that were uncomfortable.
    2:55:14 And to be fair to her, she has. Until that speech, she was pretty good on Palestine
    2:55:18 when we desperately needed it. She was pretty good on a bunch of issues. Cory Bush did that
    2:55:24 campaign on evictions, et cetera, on the capital stats. That was great. AOC’s original sit-in
    2:55:29 in Pelosi’s office. At that point, we’re all still on the same team. It’s a spectacular success.
    2:55:35 Me, Corbett and Shortcott are saying, “Do it again, do it again. Now don’t abuse it. Don’t
    2:55:40 be a clown and do it every other day.” But when it matters, you need to be able to challenge Pelosi.
    2:55:49 In my opinion, she just got to a point where she got exhausted being uncomfortable. It’s really
    2:55:55 hard. The media hates you and they keep pounding away and calling you a radical and you’re destroying
    2:56:02 the Democratic Party, you’re destroying unity. Whereas, if you go along, all of a sudden,
    2:56:08 you’re a queen. And now, all of a sudden, the mainstream media is saying, “Oh, AOC.” She could
    2:56:13 be the progress. I mean, there’s some degree to which you want to sometimes bide your time and
    2:56:21 just rest a bit. I think, from my perspective, maybe you can educate me. She seems like a legit,
    2:56:31 progressive, legit, even populist, charismatic, young. A lot of time to develop the game of
    2:56:37 politics, how to play it well enough to avoid the bullshit. I guess she doesn’t take corporate
    2:56:44 pack money. That’s right. No, she’s still true on that. As far as just looking over the next few
    2:56:51 elections, who’s going to be Iranian? Who’s going to be a real player? Timmy seems like an
    2:57:01 obvious person that’s going to be in the race. So, while I fight for the ideal, I’m very practical.
    2:57:14 So, for example, she wins, and then one cycle later, after 2020, there’s these guys who want to
    2:57:21 quote unquote force the vote. And it was on the speakership of Nancy Pelosi, and they wanted to
    2:57:26 use it to get Medicare for all. I’m like, guys, forcing a vote is a terrific idea.
    2:57:33 On the speakership, who’s your alternative? Oh, we don’t have an alternative. Already,
    2:57:40 giant red flag. What’s the issue you’re looking to have them vote on? Medicare for all. Oh,
    2:57:46 you don’t know politics. So, I love Medicare for all. We have to get Medicare for all. But if
    2:57:52 that’s the first one you put up, without gaining any leverage, you’re going to get slaughtered.
    2:57:58 Put up something easy, force a vote on $15 minimum wage, or pick another one that’s easy,
    2:58:03 paid family leave. These are all polling great. Because if you force a vote on that, you could
    2:58:08 actually win. And if you win, you gain leverage. And then you do the next one and the next one.
    2:58:13 And then you do Medicare for all, not bullshit gradualism that the corporate Democrats do,
    2:58:19 but actually strategically, practically building up power and leverage and using it at the right
    2:58:25 times. So, if I thought that’s what AOC was doing, I would love it. So, I don’t need her to force a
    2:58:31 vote on Medicare for all. I don’t need her to go on some wild tangents that don’t make any sense and
    2:58:38 is only going to diminish your power. But when they eviscerated all the progressive proposals
    2:58:44 and build back better, how did that happen? Manchin and Sinema used every ounce of leverage
    2:58:50 they had. They said, “I’m just not going to vote for it. I don’t care. The status quo is
    2:58:56 perfect for my donors, so I don’t need you. I vote no. Now, take out everything I want.”
    2:59:08 And Biden did. Progressives had to push back and say, “Here is two to three proposals. Not
    2:59:14 everything, not everything. Two to three proposals. They all poll over 70 percent. They’re all no
    2:59:19 brainers and they’re all things that Joe Biden promised. We want those in the bill, otherwise
    2:59:25 we’re voting no.” At that point, what would have happened is the media would have exploded and they
    2:59:30 would have said AOC and the rest are the scum of the earth. They’re ruining the Democratic Party.
    2:59:36 We’re not going to get the bill. They’re the worst. You have to withstand that. If you cannot
    2:59:42 withstand a nuclear blast for mainstream media, you’re not the person because you have to run
    2:59:48 that obstacle course to get to change. If they had stood their ground, they definitely would have won
    2:59:54 on one to two of those issues. Instead, they went with a strategy that was called, it was literally
    3:00:04 called Trust Biden. All right. So big question. Who wins this election? Kamala or Trump and what’s
    3:00:09 Kamala’s path to victory? And if you can steal man, what’s Trump’s path to victory?
    3:00:16 Yeah. So there’s not enough information yet. So since I make a lot of predictions on air
    3:00:24 and then brag about it unbearably, people are always, they’ll stop in the streets and they’ll
    3:00:28 be like, “Predict this. Predict my marriage. Brother, I don’t know anything about your marriage.
    3:00:31 How could I possibly predict something without having any information?”
    3:00:38 So in the case of this campaign, right now, I got Kamala Harris at 55% chance of winning,
    3:00:42 okay, which is not bad. Doesn’t mean she’s going to win by 55% because then that would be a 10-point
    3:00:49 margin. That’s not going to happen, right? But I say around 51 to 55, but it’s nowhere near over
    3:00:56 because of a lot of things. One, the Democrats are still seen as more establishment and people
    3:01:02 hate the establishment. Two, if war breaks out in the Middle East, which is now unfortunately
    3:01:09 bordering on likely, right? If that war breaks out, all bets are off.
    3:01:15 Do you mean a regional war? Yeah. Iran, Israel gets to be a real thing,
    3:01:20 not just a pinprick and a little bombing here and an assassination there. But no,
    3:01:25 we’re going to war, right? If that happens, then all bets are off and no one has any idea who’s
    3:01:29 going to win, okay? And if they’re pretending that they know, that’s ridiculous because it’s so
    3:01:41 unpredictable. And then the third bogey for her is if she goes back towards south. So there’s
    3:01:47 three phases of Kamala Harris’s career. She’s not necessarily any different in terms of policy.
    3:01:51 You can frame it in a bad way, you can frame it in a good way. You can say,
    3:01:57 oh, she’s just seeing which way the wind is blowing and then, oh, she’s a tough cop
    3:02:01 prosecutor. Oh, and then she’s doing justice reform when you need people who want justice
    3:02:08 reform. Oh, she’s a waffler, right? Or you could paint it as she’s pretty balanced, right? She
    3:02:14 prosecuted serious criminals very harshly, but then on marijuana possession got them into rehab.
    3:02:20 And you know what? That’s actually what you should do, right? So I’m not talking about policy. So
    3:02:24 there you could have one of those views about Kamala Harris and I get it. I’m talking about
    3:02:33 stylistically. So Kamala Harris, until the second debate in the primaries in 2020,
    3:02:41 is a very competent politician who’s in line to be the next Obama, right? She’s killing it,
    3:02:47 district attorney, attorney general, senator. And then the first debate, if you remember,
    3:02:54 she won. She had that great line about, you know, there was a little girl on that bus that
    3:02:59 was integrating the schools and that girl was me. And Biden being the knucklehead that he is,
    3:03:06 he’s caught on tape going, you’re like, don’t have that reaction, brother. Okay, because she’s
    3:03:12 criticizing his segregation policy on buses back in the 70s, right? So anyways, so she’s doing terrific.
    3:03:21 And then after that debate, until Biden drops out, is it disaster area for Kamala Harris’s
    3:03:28 career? In the primary, she starts falling apart. She can’t strategize, right? She’s for
    3:03:32 Medicare for all. No, she’s not. She’s for Medicare for some. What’s Medicare for some? I don’t know,
    3:03:36 right? And she goes into the next debate and Tulsi Gabbard kicks her ass and then goes into
    3:03:42 the third debate, gets her ass kicked again, and she’s starting to drift away. Then at this point,
    3:03:48 and this is funny, I have more votes for president than Kamala Harris does. Because Kamala Harris
    3:03:54 dropped out before Iowa, because that’s how much of a disaster her campaign turned into when she
    3:04:00 was leading. She was leading, right? So then she becomes vice president. And Biden, probably because
    3:04:07 of that bus line, Jill Biden caught tremendous feelings over that line. Okay. So Biden’s like,
    3:04:12 here, have this albatross around your neck. It’s called immigration. Good luck. I’m not going to
    3:04:16 do anything about it. I’m not going to change policy, but I’m putting you in charge of it to
    3:04:21 get your ass handed to you. Okay. And she does. So that’s a disaster. And then she starts doing
    3:04:28 interviews where she’s like, we have to become the change, the being, but not the thing we were
    3:04:32 and the unbecoming. And you’re like, what is going on? Why can neither one of them speak?
    3:04:43 And so, but then the third act shocks me. So Biden steps down, she goes, grabs all those delegates
    3:04:47 in a super competent way that we talked about earlier. And then she goes out and gives a speech.
    3:04:51 I’m like, oh, that speech is good. Okay, here’s another one, another one. I’m like, wait a minute,
    3:04:57 these are good speeches, no more word salads. Then she picks Tim Walls and shocks the world.
    3:05:03 I’m like, that’s a correct VP pick. That is a miracle, right? And then she goes and does the
    3:05:09 economically populist plan, all those proposals about housing that people care about,
    3:05:14 grocery prices that people care about, real or not real, that is correct political strategy.
    3:05:22 So this Kamala Harris is back to their original Kamala Harris, who was a very competent, skilled
    3:05:29 politician. And as I was telling you offline, she’s doing, whoever’s doing her TikTok is like
    3:05:36 blowing up and they’re doing risky, edgy stuff. Yes. I did not expect that from somebody that
    3:05:41 kind of comes from the Biden camp of just like, be safe, be boring, all this kind of stuff.
    3:05:45 So you have to give Kamala Harris ultimate credit because she’s the leader of the campaign
    3:05:50 and she makes the final decisions. But there’s got, there’s apparently a couple of people inside
    3:05:55 that campaign that are ass kickers. And they’re, and they have convinced her to take risk, which
    3:06:01 Democrats never take. And it is correct to take risk. You cannot get to victory without risk.
    3:06:09 So the vice president pick was, is the bellwether. When Hillary Clinton picked Tim Kaine, I said,
    3:06:13 that’s it, she’s going to lose because Tim Kaine is playing prevent defense. He’s,
    3:06:18 he’s, he’s wallpaper. I mean, he’d be lucky to be wallpaper. He’s just a white wall, right? He’s
    3:06:22 just, and when he speaks, it’s white noise. He never says anything interesting. He’s the most
    3:06:28 boring pick of all time. That’s saying we already won. Ha ha. Okay. If Kamala Harris had picked
    3:06:33 Mark Kelly, that’s the Tim Kaine equivalent. Okay. Oh, he’s an astronaut. I don’t give a
    3:06:38 shit that he’s an astronaut. What is he saying? Is he a good politician? Does he have good policies?
    3:06:44 Is he exciting on the campaign trail? Is he going to add to your momentum? Mark Kelly,
    3:06:49 he might be a good guy, but number one, he’s a very corporate Democrat. And number two,
    3:06:55 it’s like watching grass grow. He, oh, he’s terrible at speaking if you ask me, right? So,
    3:07:00 so I thought for sure she’s going to pick Mark Kelly because that’s what a normal Democrat does.
    3:07:04 Or if they want to go wild and crazy, they’ll go to be sure. So I was like,
    3:07:10 please let it be Shapiro because he’s at least not bad. He’s done some populist things and he’s
    3:07:14 strategic. He’s really smart. I need smart candidates. Dumb candidates don’t help. They
    3:07:18 don’t have a mind of their own. They can’t take risks. They’re not independent thinkers. They’re,
    3:07:22 they’re going to lose. So she picks the smartest, most populous candidate. Boom,
    3:07:28 boom, we got a winner. That’s a good campaign. Speaking of risks, when they debate,
    3:07:34 when Kamala and Trump debate, what do you think that’s going to look like? Who do you think is
    3:07:41 going to win? Oh, that’s not close. Got my hair. So yeah, unless she falls apart, unless she goes
    3:07:47 back to the bad era, right? That’s risk number three. Hold on a second. Oh, I guess in a debate,
    3:07:51 you don’t have, you can have pre-written. It seems like when she’s going off the top of her head
    3:07:56 is when the word salad sometimes comes out. Sometimes. Yeah, we’ll have to see. Right? We’ll
    3:08:00 have to see. Because she hasn’t done any tough interviews. She hasn’t really been challenged.
    3:08:05 So I hope to God that doesn’t happen. That she doesn’t fall apart, you mean? Because I hope she
    3:08:12 does a bunch of interviews, right? Oh, definitely, definitely. I’m like, I’m, this is going to sound
    3:08:18 really funny. I’m too honest. But I am, like in the context of Kamala Harris probably shouldn’t
    3:08:22 come on The Young Turks. We do a really tough interview and it would hurt her. Okay? You know,
    3:08:27 like it’s tough, but like you’re pretty respectful. Maybe I just have my sort of,
    3:08:34 like I’m okay with a little bit of tension. You’re pretty respectful. Even when you’re yelling,
    3:08:42 there’s like respect. Like you don’t do like a gotcha type thing. There’s certain things you
    3:08:48 could do. Like you said this in the past, you can say a line from the past that’s out of context.
    3:08:55 It forces the other person to have to define the context. You just, you know, sort of debate type
    3:09:01 tactics over and over. Like you don’t seem to do that. You just like ask them questions genuinely
    3:09:06 and then you argue the point. And then you also like hear what they say. The only thing you,
    3:09:09 I’ve seen you do sometimes tough that you sometimes like interrupt, like you speak over
    3:09:15 the person. If they are trying to do the same. Right. Only to their filibuster. Yeah. If they’re
    3:09:19 filibustering. But like that, that’s a tricky one. That’s a, yeah, that’s a tricky one. Right.
    3:09:25 No, but like the problem for her coming on our show, isn’t that we would be unfair to her.
    3:09:30 It’s that we would be fair. So we would ask questions. She is going to have trouble answering.
    3:09:36 Other corporatists. Right. I mean like, so Biden said he was going to take the corporate tax rate
    3:09:42 to 28% and he barely tried. You say you’re going to take it to 28%. Why should we trust you?
    3:09:48 Right. You guys said $15 minimum wage and then you took it out of the bill. Why should we trust
    3:09:53 you? Right. Those are very tough questions. She’s never going to get that in mainstream media.
    3:09:58 Mainstream media is going to have faux toughness, but in reality, they’re going to be soft balls.
    3:10:04 Right. And so the debates you’re right, Lex, is a little bit easier because Sarah Palin proved
    3:10:12 that you could just memorize scripted talking points. And she admitted it later. She’s like,
    3:10:16 she was super nervous. She memorized the talking points. And no matter what they asked,
    3:10:22 she just gave the talking point, which by the way, people barely noticed because that’s what all
    3:10:31 politicians do. She just admitted it. And so, no, Trump’s a disaster in a debate. He’s a one-man
    3:10:37 wrecking crew of his own campaign. So any competent debater would eviscerate Donald Trump.
    3:10:44 I mean, they just, on any given topic, when he says something like, here, let’s take one
    3:10:49 lunatic conspiracy theory that he just had recently. And by the way, if you’re a right
    3:10:55 winger and you keep getting hurt every time I say he’s a lunatic or I insult Donald Trump,
    3:11:00 don’t like, you sound like a left winger. I’m offended. I’m offended. I’m offended. Get over
    3:11:06 it. Get over it. Okay. So we have disagreements. Hear what the other side is saying. And by the
    3:11:11 way, I say the same thing to the left. Okay. I say, you think everybody on the right’s evil?
    3:11:15 You’re crazy. No, they just have a different way of looking at the world, which by the way,
    3:11:20 is an interesting conversation. We should talk about that in a minute too. But so I do it to
    3:11:27 both sides. But okay, Trump says, oh, I don’t think there’s anyone at Kamala Harris’s rallies.
    3:11:33 It’s all the pictures are AI. Okay. So let’s say he says that in a debate because he’s liable to
    3:11:40 say anything, right? You just say, okay, so you think every reporter that was there, every photographer
    3:11:46 that was there, every human being that was there, they’re all lying. They have a conspiracy of
    3:11:53 thousands of people, but none of them were actually there. Do you understand how insane you sound?
    3:11:58 So this is a good place to, can you steal man the case for Trump?
    3:12:05 Yeah. Yeah. So Trump is a massive risk because of all the things we talked about earlier. But
    3:12:11 there is a percentage chance that he’s such a wild card that he overturns the whole system.
    3:12:17 And that is why the establishment is a little scared of him. So if he’s in office here, I’ll
    3:12:21 give you a case of Donald Trump doing something right. Something wrong first and then something
    3:12:28 right. So he bombs Soleimani, the top general of Iran and kills him. That risks World War Three,
    3:12:33 that risks a giant war with Iran that devolves Iran is four times the size of Iraq. If you’re
    3:12:40 anti-war, you should have hated that he assassinated Soleimani. But after the assassination, Iran
    3:12:44 doesn’t want to get into it even though they’re in a rage and they do a small bombing. You could
    3:12:49 tell if it’s a smaller or a big one, right? So that’s them saying, we don’t really want war,
    3:12:54 but for our domestic crowd, we have to bomb you back, right? And that’s when the military
    3:13:01 industrial complex comes to Trump and says, no, you have to show him who’s tough and bomb this area.
    3:13:07 And Trump says, no, they did a small bombing, not a large bombing. I don’t want the war.
    3:13:10 I’m not going to do that bombing. That was this shining moment.
    3:13:16 Yeah. For me, one of the biggest deal man for Trump is that he has both the skill
    3:13:23 and the predisposition to not be a warm auger. He, I think, better than the other candidates
    3:13:29 I’ve seen is able to end wars and end them. Now, you might disagree with it, but in a way where
    3:13:37 there’s legitimately effective negotiation that happens. I just don’t see any other candidate
    3:13:44 currently being able to sit down with Zelensky and Putin and to negotiate a peace treaty that
    3:13:54 both are equally unhappy with. So on the one hand, almost all other politicians are going to be
    3:14:00 controlled by the military industrial complex. And that complex wants to bleed Russia dry.
    3:14:06 And that’s what the Ukraine war is doing. It’s a double win for the defense contractors. Number
    3:14:13 one, every dollar we send to Ukraine is actually not going to Ukraine. It’s going to US defense
    3:14:18 contractors. And then they are sending old weapons to Ukraine. The money is to build
    3:14:23 new weapons for us. So a lot of people don’t know that. So the defense contractors want
    3:14:29 that war to go on forever. And they’re an enormous influence on Washington. The second
    3:14:35 win is they’re depleting Russia. And Russia’s gotten them themselves into a quagmire like we
    3:14:42 did in Iraq and Afghanistan. And they’re bleeding out. So the military industrial complex wants
    3:14:47 Russia to bleed out for as long as humanly possible. They actually care more about their own
    3:14:52 interests, of course, than they do about Ukrainian interests. So in fact, there’s a good argument
    3:14:58 to be made that Ukraine could have gotten a peace deal earlier. And we prevented it. So,
    3:15:05 but the bottom line now is probably how a deal gets done is they let go of three more
    3:15:11 areas in Ukraine. They already lost Crimea. They’d have to let go of three more regions.
    3:15:18 And that is tough. Because at that point, Russia’s a little bit encouraged. Every time they do an
    3:15:22 invasion, they get more land. They might not get all the land they wanted, but they get a lot of
    3:15:30 land. So that’s, it’s a very difficult issue. But literally, which, which person, if they become
    3:15:37 president, will end the war? Trump will end that war. Because Trump will go in and he loves Russia
    3:15:43 and Putin anyway. I just disagree with him. He loves Russia. The implication of that, meaning
    3:15:50 he will do whatever Putin tells him. I think he’ll do 90% of what Putin tells him. I just
    3:15:57 disagree with that. I think, I think he wants to be the kind of person that says, fuck you to
    3:16:03 Putin while, while patting them, while patting them on the back and being, you know, but out
    3:16:08 negotiating Putin. So I don’t like talking about Russia because there’s so much emotions that go
    3:16:14 into that topic. The right wing, the minute you mentioned Russia, they’re like, oh, it’s a hoax
    3:16:19 and all this baggage that comes with it, et cetera. To me, Russia’s not any different than
    3:16:26 Saudi Arabia or Israel for Trump. You give me money. I like you. You get by my apartments. I
    3:16:31 like you, right? If you don’t give me money, I don’t like you. It’s not that complicated.
    3:16:37 So, okay, take like, don’t worry about the Russia part of it. Like the bottom line is
    3:16:43 Trump thinks, what do I care about those three regions of Ukraine? I want to get this thing done.
    3:16:49 Right. So he’ll go and he’ll say Ukraine, we’re going to withdraw all help unless you agree to
    3:16:53 a peace deal with Russia and Russia wants those three regions. That’s the peace deal.
    3:17:00 That’s it. So Ukraine will lose a part of their country and we’ll get to a peace deal.
    3:17:10 Yeah, I hope not. I hope not. I think Trump sees themselves and wants to be a great negotiator. So
    3:17:18 and I personally want the death, the death of people to end and I think Trump would bring
    3:17:25 that much faster and I disagree with you. At least that my hope is that he would negotiate
    3:17:33 something that would be fair. He’s not, his anti-war record is so complicated because
    3:17:40 moving the embassy in Israel and killing the top Iranian general were super provocative
    3:17:45 and they could have easily triggered a giant war there. And then you know what’s going to
    3:17:49 happen if you get into any kind of real war. Trump’s going to want to prove his buttons larger.
    3:17:55 So then he’s going to do massive ridiculous bombings. I mean, I’m worried about nukes.
    3:18:00 And so we had Giuliani on the show on the RNC and I asked him this question. I said,
    3:18:06 you know, I keep saying, oh, they wouldn’t do it if I was in charge. I’m like, what does that mean?
    3:18:11 Because it sounds like what it means is they wouldn’t do it because they know if they did it,
    3:18:19 I would do something insane like attack Russia or use nukes. And Rudy said, yeah, that’s what it means.
    3:18:25 So that means you have to at least bluff that and you have to get them to believe that he’s a madman.
    3:18:31 That’s the madman theory of Nixon and Nixon and Rudy said that too. He was very clear about it.
    3:18:37 But the problem is if you get your bluff called and so if you actually attack Russia, you’re
    3:18:45 going to start World War Three. So that’s why, yeah, if you could, if you could just get away
    3:18:52 with bluffing, maybe, but he’s playing a very dangerous game and he massively increased drone
    3:18:57 strikes. On the other hand, he didn’t bomb Iran further. And on the other hand, he started the
    3:19:04 process of withdrawal from Afghanistan. So not black and white, complicated record.
    3:19:09 And one thing I’ll give him another piece of credit here. I think I’m taking the steelmaning
    3:19:19 too far. But the credit was that he changed the rhetoric of the right wing. They went from the
    3:19:28 party of Dick Cheney. War is great. And let’s see, you know, all Muslims are evil. And so he
    3:19:33 hates Muslims too, but that’s a different thing, right? But like, oh, we have to attack the enemy.
    3:19:39 We have to start wars, et cetera. To now, Republican voters are generally anti-war and hate Dick
    3:19:44 Cheney. Oh, I’ll take it. I’ll take it. So that’s a great thing that Trump did. Even if he didn’t
    3:19:49 mean it, even if he does these provocative things that could lead to a much worse war, even if I’m
    3:19:55 worried that he’ll be so reckless, he’ll start a bigger war. At least he did that right. And so
    3:20:01 I’m happy to have our right wing brothers and sisters join us in the anti-war movement. And
    3:20:08 I’m not being a jerk about it. Like, I love it. And so this is another thing the left does wrong
    3:20:14 from time to time, which is, if you agree with a right winger 2%, they’ll be like, oh, welcome in.
    3:20:20 Come on, vote for Trump. Come on in. Yeah, woohoo. Water’s warm, right? If you, if you disagree with
    3:20:26 the left 2%, they’re like, that’s it. You’re banished and you’re a Nazi. Well, brother,
    3:20:31 how are we going to win an election if you’re banishing everybody there is, right? So hold up.
    3:20:38 These Republican voters are coming at your anti-war position. Take the win. No, they’re
    3:20:43 MAGA and I won’t deal with them. Even when they agree with you, that doesn’t make any sense. That
    3:20:48 doesn’t make any sense. Take the win, right? So when Charlie Kirk says yes to paid family leave,
    3:20:54 when Patrick Bette David on his program says yes, roughly says yes to paid family leave,
    3:21:03 take the win. RFK Junior, you said some positive things for a while about RFK Junior. And I think
    3:21:10 you said you would even consider voting for him given the slate of people. This was at the time
    3:21:16 when Biden was still in. What do you think about him? What do you think about RFK Junior?
    3:21:22 As a candidate, as a person, he’s been on the show, right? Yeah. So he was on our show.
    3:21:28 People love that interview. You could check it out anytime, right? And why do people love it,
    3:21:32 whether they’re right or left? Because we’re fair. We actually asked him about his policy
    3:21:37 positions. He explained them. I challenge him and then he explains and we give him a fair hearing.
    3:21:42 But I knew Bobby a little bit before he ran when he was an environmental lawyer, right?
    3:21:52 And his legal work is excellent. And he’s been on the right side of most of the issues for most
    3:21:59 of his life. So, A, I like him on that. Two, on his wildlife, the dead bear and the worms and all
    3:22:06 that stuff, right? So, there’s two important lessons you should get out of that. Well, one’s
    3:22:10 just about Bobby, but the other one’s a general one that’s really important for you to know,
    3:22:14 no matter what you think of Bobby Kennedy. On the personal front, I have a friend that’s very
    3:22:20 similar to him. In fact, he’s one of my best friends. And I know why, this is my theory,
    3:22:28 on why Bobby and my friend led a wildlife. Both of their dads died young. When my friend’s dad
    3:22:35 died, he was 18 and his dad died in his arms. And he has a motto, “What is lived cannot be unlived.”
    3:22:42 So, if I had a great time and I thought it was hilarious to dump a dead bear in Central Park,
    3:22:46 then I lived it and I had a great time and nothing you could do about it, okay?
    3:22:53 And sometimes that’ll get you in trouble. And sometimes you’ll have a fantastic time, right?
    3:23:01 And obviously, Bobby’s dad was killed when he was young and maybe that got into his head of like,
    3:23:08 “You better live strong and live an interesting life.” And so, I don’t begrudge him that. Even
    3:23:14 if I begrudge some of the things that he did in that life, I get why he did it. So, I don’t hate
    3:23:19 him like other people hate him for some of those personal stuff, right? So, and I like him for
    3:23:25 all the things that he did positive, holding fossil fuel companies accountable, protecting
    3:23:31 communities that had poison dumped into their rivers, et cetera, right? So, the thing that affects
    3:23:38 everybody is when he gets like corporate media smeared the hell out of them and they didn’t
    3:23:45 allow him to speak and then they did the needle in a haystack trick. So, whenever it’s an insider,
    3:23:53 they find the best parts of their lives and then they amplify. So, Joe Biden is average Joe from
    3:23:58 Scranton. Motherfuckers been in DC for the last 52 years. You think we don’t have eyes and ears?
    3:24:04 Okay, like average Joe from Scranton, who are you kidding? So, there’s a guy named Fred Thompson,
    3:24:08 who’s an actor and he was a senator from Tennessee later. And he had this great little trick that
    3:24:12 he would do as a red pickup truck that he would campaign with, right? So, he looks like a regular
    3:24:17 Joe, right? But he’s a millionaire actor. But here’s the funny part. He would drive the red
    3:24:24 pickup truck in a limo and he would drive back from the campaign event in a limo, but the press
    3:24:29 never reported the limo. They only reported him in the red pickup truck as if that’s what he drives.
    3:24:37 See, that’s the theater of politics. Why? Because Fred Thompson was a corporate Republican. So,
    3:24:42 they loved him. So, they go, “Yeah, sure. Yeah, red pickup truck. Oh, good old Fred Thompson, right?”
    3:24:48 So, but if you’re an outsider and they don’t like you, then they’re going to look at the haystack
    3:24:53 of your life and they’re going to try to find needles. So, they’ve done this to Trump. They’ve
    3:25:00 done this to Bernie. They’ve done this to Bobby Kennedy Jr. And with Bobby, they’re like, “Ooh,
    3:25:06 there’s some juicy needles in here, okay?” So, they find those and they go, “You see this? The only
    3:25:11 thing you should know about Bobby Kennedy Jr. is that he found a dead bear and put it in Central Park.”
    3:25:16 Oh, wait, wait, wait. I found another one. The other thing you should know about Bobby is that
    3:25:21 he once said in a divorced deposition that he had a brainworm. By the way, it turns out that
    3:25:27 affects millions of people and it’s not that big a deal, right? But look, he has a radical. Ah, he
    3:25:33 is. This defines him completely. This spectacular case of that actually happened to me. So, I ran
    3:25:41 for Congress in 2020 and the New York Times, LA Times, CNN, they all butchered me with needles,
    3:25:48 okay? So, they said, “It is a long history of making anti-Muslim jokes.” Well, first of all,
    3:25:56 they didn’t even say jokes. They said, “Anti-Muslim rhetoric.” I’m like, “I’m Muslim. I mean, I’m
    3:26:01 atheist, but I grew up Muslim. My family’s Muslim. My background’s Muslim. You don’t think that’s
    3:26:07 relevant in the story?” And they did it based on one joke I told about and they said, “Oh, also,
    3:26:13 of course, I’m anti-Semitic.” That’s like, you start with that. That’s just baked in for everyone,
    3:26:22 right? So, I made a joke about how Orthodox Jews and Muslims, they think that getting into heaven
    3:26:28 is a little bit of a fashion contest, okay? So, the Orthodox Jews go in there with a Russian
    3:26:33 coast from the 1800s and the giant Russian hat. You know, the Muslims go in with their robe and
    3:26:40 the skull cap and stuff and God’s looking around going, “No, no, no. Oh, nice outfit. Come on in.”
    3:26:46 Right? Like, do you really think the creator of the universe gives a damn what you wear, okay?
    3:26:51 So, the New York Times took that and said, “Long history of being anti-Semitic and anti-Muslim.”
    3:26:58 Right. Okay. So, there’s this… Oh, this is a famous one. Relatively, right? I did a joke
    3:27:05 about bestiality like a dozen years ago. Very nice. So, I start out the joke nice and dry and I go,
    3:27:11 “Look, is the horse going to object if he’s the one getting pleasure?” Now, Anna is my co-host.
    3:27:15 She’s younger at that time and she’s like, “That seems like a bad idea, Jake.” I’m like,
    3:27:20 “Of course it’s a bad idea, okay? But I’m being dry.” But some people are laughing in the studio
    3:27:26 and stuff. And then I say, you know, if I was emperor of the world, I would make that legal.
    3:27:32 And they cut the tape. If you watch the rest of the tape, I say, “Now, would the horse object?”
    3:27:41 “No.” So, but they cut the tape. So, the New York Times… So, originally, a right-winger did
    3:27:49 that and then an establishment troll in that primary started putting out those tapes to everyone.
    3:27:54 Jake Tapper retweeted it. Didn’t look to see if it’s edited or not edited.
    3:28:00 The New York Times implied that bestiality was part of my agenda. Jesus Christ.
    3:28:06 Please tell me that’s part of your Wikipedia. That the bestiality thing is part of your…
    3:28:13 I don’t know. I don’t know. But guys, so in those stories, I’m not important and even Bobby Kennedy
    3:28:19 Jr. is not important. What it reveals about the media is what’s important. So, they’re going to
    3:28:22 find those needles, whether it’s… And even if they don’t have the needles, you know what?
    3:28:28 We’ll cut the tape before your jokes punchline. So, we’ll just run it and we’ll lie about you.
    3:28:36 Who cares? And so, oh, they also said that I had David Duke on to share his anti-Semitic point of
    3:28:42 view. If you watch the interview, I told David Duke, “You’re an anti-Semite. You’re a racist.
    3:28:46 You’re a bigot. You’re an idiot.” It was the toughest interview he’s probably ever had in his life.
    3:28:52 And other journalists got mad at that part. And they were like, “No, guys, you’re just flat
    3:28:58 out lying.” Like, I watched the interview. Did any of you watch the interview? He takes the guy’s
    3:29:03 head off, right? And so, the New York Times issued a correction on that one. So, they’re like, “Okay,
    3:29:08 fine. He was being sarcastic when he said, “Sure, you’re not racist, Dave.” Okay.
    3:29:15 Well, one of the sources of hope to all of this is there’s a lot of independent media now.
    3:29:20 But mainstream media has a lot of power still and cares a lot of power. Do you think they’re
    3:29:25 going to die eventually? Yeah, definitely. So, two things about that that are super important.
    3:29:30 First of all, this is why I tell people to have hope. I don’t believe in false hope, right? So,
    3:29:34 if you think Kamala Harris is your knight in shining armor and she’s going to come in,
    3:29:37 she’s going to get money out of politics, she’s going to ignore the donors, that’s false hope.
    3:29:42 That’s crazy talk, right? So, why am I in favor of Kamala Harris? I’m going to live to fight another
    3:29:45 day. I’m worried that Trump’s going to end the whole thing and then we’re not going to have
    3:29:51 an opportunity to actually get a populist win, right? So, and I’m encouraged by some of the
    3:29:54 things she’s doing. Maybe she does even 25% of her agenda, but I’m not going to give you false
    3:30:01 hope that she’s your savior, right? But I believe massively in hope. And number one, because it’s
    3:30:07 true to the point that we were talking about earlier, Alex, and how last 200 years have been
    3:30:13 choppy, but overall fantastic. Terrible things have happened in that time period. Some of the
    3:30:17 worst things that have ever happened in history, but overall life expectancy is higher, everything
    3:30:24 is, you know, incomes are higher, health is better, etc., right? So, hope is not misplaced. It’s real,
    3:30:30 it’s empirical, okay? So, now we talked about how you could get money out of politics and that’s a
    3:30:38 legitimate hope, but media is another place where we have huge hope. So, of all the corporate robots,
    3:30:45 the most important robot is media. So, when mainstream media has you hooked in at the back
    3:30:50 of your neck, you’re going to believe all these fairy tales about how politicians are nice people
    3:30:53 and they’re trying to do the right thing and donor money doesn’t have any influence on them,
    3:31:00 right? So, once you unplug from the matrix, well, then you begin to see, oh yeah, hey look,
    3:31:03 he took the donor money, did what the donors wanted. He took the donor money, did what the
    3:31:10 donors want, 98% of the time, right? So, then you see clearly. So, now what’s happening at large?
    3:31:17 Mainstream media is losing their power and now online media is swarming, swarming, swarming,
    3:31:23 swarming and so this goes back to why I started The Young Turks. So, let me touch on that here
    3:31:31 and then we can come back to it if you want. So, in 1998, I write an email to my friends and I say,
    3:31:39 “Online video is going to be television.” And unsurprisingly, and they say, “You’re nuts. That’s
    3:31:46 never going to happen.” At that point, we’re still doing AOL dialogues, right? The online video barely
    3:31:54 exists and television’s mammoth. I say, “Guys, it’s just a matter of logic. Like, for me, it’s,
    3:32:00 there’s so many ironies. I’m known for yelling online sometimes, but in reality, I’m obsessed with
    3:32:07 logic.” So, when you have gatekeepers, gatekeepers pick based on what they want, what the powerful
    3:32:12 one, in that case, advertisers, politicians, et cetera, they are never going to design programming
    3:32:18 as good as wisdom of the crowd. When people start doing online video, I’m like, “Boom,
    3:32:23 there’s no gatekeepers. This is democratized. Wisdom of the crowd is going to win.” So,
    3:32:28 if you start with no money, and let’s pick a different example, not The Young Turks. Let’s
    3:32:35 say, Phil DeFranco. He’s been around forever. And he also does news. And so, Phil starts doing a show
    3:32:43 and he doesn’t have any money, just like us. And so, what does he have to do to get an audience?
    3:32:47 He has to do a show that is really popular. He’s got to figure out a way. How do I get
    3:32:53 their attention? How do I keep their attention? And he starts doing a great show, right? And so,
    3:33:00 every year, it’s us and Phil for best news show for like a decade, right? And meanwhile, I’m back
    3:33:08 over at CNN, Wolf Blitzer still droning on from a teleprompter. You put Wolf Blitzer online without
    3:33:13 the force of CNN with him. He gets negative seven views. No one’s interested in what Wolf
    3:33:18 Blitzer has to say. It’s not personal. I don’t know the brother, right? I’m just saying institutionally,
    3:33:25 logically, etc. So, I’m like, these guys are going to win. So, when YouTube starts, we go on YouTube
    3:33:30 right away. We’re the first YouTube partner. So, I am literally the original YouTuber, okay?
    3:33:39 Nice. Susan Wojcicki, former CEO of the late Susan Wojcicki, wonderful woman. And if that triggers
    3:33:47 you again on the right, you’re wrong. She was a terrific person. And when she started her own
    3:33:51 YouTube channel, I was the first interview because we were the first YouTube partner.
    3:34:00 So, I love that. So, we’re in that, but let me connect it back to the hope. When mainstream media
    3:34:06 has you hooked, you got no hope because you don’t have the right information. You have propaganda.
    3:34:11 You have marketing. You don’t have real news. When you’re in the online world, it’s chaotic.
    3:34:16 And don’t get me wrong, it’s got plenty of downsides, right? But within that chaos,
    3:34:22 the truth begins to emerge. And so, for example, young Turks has had dozens of fights with different
    3:34:28 creators throughout history. Why? When you’re number one in news online, the algorithm rewards
    3:34:33 anyone attacking you because then you get into their algorithmic loop. It’s not an accident
    3:34:38 that we’ve been attacked dozens of times. One, we’re independent thinkers. So, anyone, if we
    3:34:42 don’t match their ideology, they’re going to attack us. But number two, they get in our algorithm
    3:34:47 loop. It’s too hard to resist, right? So, all of a sudden, they think that we’re being funded by
    3:34:53 Nancy Pelosi or the CIA and oh, we’re off to the races. There’s another fight, right? But our
    3:35:02 competition’s a graveyard. And so, we’ve won almost all of those fights. Why? Because we try
    3:35:09 really hard to stick with the truth, with logic, and we don’t do audience capture. Even if our
    3:35:13 audience is going in one direction, we don’t think it’s right. Anna and I will come out and go,
    3:35:21 “No, sorry guys, love you, but rent control is not a good idea.” Okay, et cetera. So, in that world,
    3:35:27 the people, it’s going to take a while, guys. But people who are telling the truth are eventually
    3:35:33 going to rise up. And when they do, now we’re free. And now, the second part is even more
    3:35:39 devastating for mainstream media, because I’m a businessman, right? I keep looking at the revenue
    3:35:45 for CNN, et cetera. And they have a massive problem. And people don’t realize how big the
    3:35:51 problem is. That thing’s going to capsize. I don’t talk about it often because I don’t want more
    3:36:00 competition. I also have a company, right? In the online world, et cetera. But I’m too
    3:36:05 honest, or I got to say it. I got to say it. So, they have two revenue streams. One is ads.
    3:36:09 That’s why they serve advertisers, and politicians are huge advertisers, as we mentioned.
    3:36:15 The second revenue stream, depending on the company, is arguably more important,
    3:36:23 which is subscribers. So, now what happens in a business normally is, so they started out low,
    3:36:30 and then they got high, and now they got a ton of subscribers. At its peak, cable has 100 million
    3:36:36 households, right? So, they’re raking in unbelievable money from subscriber fees,
    3:36:41 and they got advertising on top. So, when you’re all the way up here, your costs start to rise.
    3:36:46 Why do they rise? Because then the on-air talent has leverage. And as an example,
    3:36:52 there’s many others. And so, the on-air talent, like Sean Hannity says, I do a program that brings in
    3:36:58 X amount of maybe 100 million, maybe 200 million. So, give me 40 million a year. And they do.
    3:37:04 Sean is making 40 million a year last I checked, okay? So, I don’t know if he’s still getting that
    3:37:08 kind of money, and I’m just basing it on reporting, right? But that’s a monster. So, they have all
    3:37:15 these giant costs. But the minute you go from 100 million, now where I think around 70 million,
    3:37:21 you just lost a giant chunk of your revenue. Now, when your costs are higher than your revenue,
    3:37:28 99, it’s been nice knowing you. Yeah, it’s going to collapse. It’s going to be painful.
    3:37:33 But what we need, guys, is like, sorry, last thing on that, is we need the print guys like AP,
    3:37:40 Reuters, Intercept, the lever, the Serota runs, whatever Ryan’s working on now, it’s that Ryan
    3:37:47 Grimm. So, we need those badly. We need someone to collect actual information and do the best they
    3:37:52 can and presenting it in an objective way. We all got to support that. So, you can’t lose text.
    3:37:57 That’s so important. The TV guys are just actors. You can lose them overnight, and it won’t hurt
    3:38:04 you. It’ll help you. Yeah, it’s going to be a messy battle for truth, because the reality is,
    3:38:10 there’s a lot of money to be made, and a lot of attention to be gained from drama farming,
    3:38:17 sort of just constantly creating drama. And sometimes drama helps find the truth,
    3:38:21 like we were mentioning, but most of the time it’s just drama. It doesn’t care about the truth,
    3:38:26 it just cares about drama. And then the same is like conspiracy theories. Now, some conspiracy
    3:38:33 theories have value and depth, and they allow us to question the establishment of institutions,
    3:38:39 but the bottom line is conspiracy theories get clicks. And so, you can just keep coming up
    3:38:43 with random conspiracy theories. Many of them don’t have to be grounded in the truth at all.
    3:38:49 And so, that’s the sea we’re operating in. And so, it’s a tricky space too.
    3:38:54 But Lex, look at all the people who are the biggest now, because we’ve now had a couple
    3:39:03 of decades at this, right? So, and I mean as an industry. So, I would argue you’re huge,
    3:39:08 and you don’t do that. You don’t do the conspiracy theories. You don’t do the drama at all, right?
    3:39:16 Rogan is huge. Yeah, maybe there’s drama, but he’s genuine, right? I got a lot of issues with
    3:39:20 some of his policies. I mixed opinions on Joe in a lot of different ways.
    3:39:27 But I don’t doubt that he’s genuine, and people can sense that, right? And he’s huge. We’re genuine,
    3:39:34 we’re huge. So, this is the market beginning to work. Yeah. So, speaking of Joe, let me ask you
    3:39:41 about this. Here we go. I didn’t actually know this, but when I was prepping for this conversation,
    3:39:45 I saw that you actually said at some point in the past that you can beat up Rogan in a fight.
    3:39:51 No, you said that you have a shot. It’s a non-zero probability. Yes. Do you still believe this?
    3:39:57 Yes, but the probability is dropping. It’s dropping every day. I think it’s probably the
    3:40:03 stupidest thing I’ve ever heard you say. So, I wrestled and did Jijitsu and Judo and all the
    3:40:09 kinds of fighting sports my whole life. And I just observed a lot of really confident,
    3:40:16 large guys roll into gyms. He’s ripped. He could deadlift. He could talk all kinds of
    3:40:20 shit. And he believes he’s going to be the next world champion, and he just gets his ass kicked.
    3:40:30 Yeah. Of course. Okay. And I’ve seen, like I saw this Israeli MMA fighter taking on an anti-Semite
    3:40:35 who was huge and thought that, you know, he believed in like Nick Fuentes’ conspiracy theories or
    3:40:40 something. And the MMA fighter dismantled him and I loved it. Okay. And then he like,
    3:40:46 we tweeted back and forth, et cetera. So, guys, first, let me just assure you, I get it. So,
    3:40:53 now let me tell you why I said it and then why I think it’s a non-zero chance. So,
    3:41:00 Michael Smirkonish had written this blog, like, I don’t know, 10, 15 years ago on Huffington Post.
    3:41:05 We’re both bloggers at that point about the wussification of America. Now, he was saying
    3:41:10 the left is a bunch of wussies, right? So, I wrote a blog saying, “Hey, Michael,
    3:41:15 I would rather debate you. So, if you want to debate about how we’re wussies, let’s do it. Let’s
    3:41:21 find out.” But, you know, you’re mentioning physicality, right? And how you guys are tougher.
    3:41:26 So, if you prefer, only in a prescribed setting, right? And we’re not going to go do it in the
    3:41:30 streets like idiots, right? But if you want, we’ll have a boxing match or whatever you want.
    3:41:38 And we’ll see who’s tougher. And he panicked and he cried to mommy, which is Ariana Huffington,
    3:41:42 and, “Oh, Jake’s intimidating me.” Right? Okay. All right. Well, who’s the wussie now,
    3:41:49 bitch? Right? So, that is not to actually get into a fight with poor Michael Smirkonish, right?
    3:41:54 It’s to prove, “Hey, don’t use rhetoric like that. That’s dumb.” And this is me proving that
    3:42:00 it’s dumb. Okay. So, now, Joe had said, “I forget what he said at the time.” And he said something
    3:42:05 similar, right? And I’m up to here with Joe at that point. I don’t know if we’ll ever talking yet,
    3:42:08 right? But… You’ve been on a show and I really… That was a good conversation.
    3:42:12 It was a great conversation. That’s a while back. Yeah. I hope he has you on again.
    3:42:18 Yeah. So, I get it. I bet you, I don’t like this take you have a lot. I bet you
    3:42:26 he hates it because him as an MMA commentator, he gets to hear so many bros. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
    3:42:33 It’s all about the mindset, bro. Now, the steelman, the point you’re making, which I do think it’s the
    3:42:41 stupidest thing you’ve ever said, but the actual intent, which is whether you’re left or right,
    3:42:48 there’s strong people on the left, like mentally strong, physically strong. I think the whole
    3:42:53 point is not that you can beat them, but you’re willing to step, you’re willing to fight if you
    3:42:59 need to. It’s 100%. So, it’s not like I believe I could beat them. It’s like I’m willing, like all
    3:43:04 this shit, calling the people on the left wusses or whatever, I’m willing to step in the fight.
    3:43:09 Even if I’m on train, even if I’m out of shape, I’m willing to fight. Yeah, I get it. I understand
    3:43:16 that, but it’s just pick a different person. That’s why I wrote down on my genuine curiosity,
    3:43:23 is if you can beat up Alex, Alex Jones versus Cenk, that the legumes, I would pay for that,
    3:43:30 because you’re both untrained. You both got, I would say the spirit. No, no, he has, look,
    3:43:35 I’ll give the same fairness. Yeah. I think I got an 8% chance of beating Rogan.
    3:43:41 You’re lost. I know, I got it. Hold on. And I think, to be fair, Alex has an 8% chance of
    3:43:46 beating me. Oh, wow. Okay. Okay, because you never know. He catches you on a lucky punch. I got
    3:43:51 punched in the ear once, and you lose your balance, and then you’re in a lot of trouble, right?
    3:43:58 So, I can get lucky. Alex Jones can’t get lucky. It’s me against Rogan is harder. If you said to
    3:44:08 me, you don’t have 8% chance, but Alex does. Okay. I’m not gonna, it’s fine, right? So, why would it
    3:44:12 does Alex stand almost no chance? He asked me. So, first of all, it’s not just because I’m big,
    3:44:18 and he’s big. One, I wrestled. Are you wrestled? Yeah. If you wrestled, then you’re like, I watched
    3:44:22 this show with my kids, Physical 100. It’s like a Korean show, where they try to find out who’s
    3:44:27 the best athlete. They have one thing where they have to wrestle away the ball and keep it this
    3:44:31 big giant ball. I’m like, every wrestler’s gonna win. Every MMA fighter’s gonna win, and every
    3:44:36 time they win. And they’re like, Dad, how’d you know that? Because we get trained. We’re not gonna
    3:44:42 lose to a non-wrestler in a wrestling contest. It’s not gonna happen, right? So, you can get lucky,
    3:44:47 but it’s unlikely. So, one wrestling, now that was from a long time ago, but at least you know the
    3:44:53 mechanics, right? Number two, I’ve gotten into about 30 actual street fights in my life, and you
    3:44:57 can say street fights are not the same as MMA. Of course, that’s true. Obviously, true, right?
    3:45:03 But it’s not no experience. It’s some experience. And the most important part of a street fight is
    3:45:07 being able to take a punch to the face. Okay. Yeah, knowing what it feels like to get punched
    3:45:11 in the face. Yeah. So, I’ve been punched in the face, I don’t know, dozens of times in my life.
    3:45:18 I used to start fights by saying, I’ll let you take the first punch. Okay. So, I didn’t start the
    3:45:25 fights. They just started because they’d punched me in the face. Okay. So, and then for Alex,
    3:45:35 the main thing, and also true for Rogan, is it’s about willpower, right? So, if Joe has a 92%
    3:45:39 chance, in my opinion, of knocking me out or beating me because he has the skill, and he’s
    3:45:44 trained and he knows what he’s doing, so all the willpower in the world isn’t gonna help you if
    3:45:51 you get kicked upside the hat, right? So, but in the unlikely circumstances that I’ve worn him down,
    3:45:55 right, that I’m a little bit more in the ballgame because I got willpower. For Alex,
    3:46:01 he doesn’t have the willpower I have. Okay. I’m, because to me, the idea of losing to Alex Jones
    3:46:08 is unthinkable. I would do anything not to lose, anything. Let me just say, that’s beautiful. I
    3:46:14 love this. I would pay a lot of money to watch the two of you just even like Russell. But with Joe,
    3:46:23 I think, I just, I have to say, it’s like, it’s, it’s 0.0001% chance. You have a chance before you
    3:46:30 even get to the mentality. And the other thing is, on the mentality side, one of the fascinating
    3:46:36 things about Joe, is he’s actually a sweetheart in person like this. But there’s something that
    3:46:41 takes over him when he competes. Brother, we’ve been around 22 years in the toughest industry
    3:46:46 in the world. I understand. Yeah. Right. If you like, you have any idea how hard it is to run a
    3:46:52 75 person company and make money online and survive after all the guys who took billions of dollars
    3:46:58 went. I hear you. Tremendous willpower. So, but overall, you’re, this is not the hill I’m dying
    3:47:07 on. Okay. Joe would win. I get it. I think we’re all allowed one kind of blind spot, I suppose.
    3:47:14 So, you don’t think a huge, a big guy that still is in good shape, that was a wrestler
    3:47:19 that’s been in a lot of street fights. You still think 0.0001. It depends on street fights, but
    3:47:25 yeah, 0.001. I just see that. Yeah. And it’s such a minute disagreement because, so take me out of
    3:47:29 it. So, you take out the willpower part of blah, blah, blah. I think it’s one to 2%. Yeah, he could
    3:47:34 catch the guy and about, you know, get lucky. I think it’s because I’ve talked to, so I train
    3:47:39 with a coach named John Donner. And we talk about this a lot. And I think technique is just such,
    3:47:46 technique is the thing that also feeds the willpower. It actually builds up your confidence in the way
    3:47:55 that like nothing else does in the more actionable way because you won’t need that much willpower.
    3:48:01 No, I fully agree. If the technique is backed, you don’t have to be like a tough guy to win debates
    3:48:06 if you’re just fucking good at debates, right? So, I think people just don’t understand the
    3:48:13 value in sport and especially in combat of technique. No, great irony here is I actually
    3:48:19 totally agree with that. That’s why I mentioned the physical 100. Technique’s gonna win almost
    3:48:24 every time. We’re having a debate about whether it’s eight or one or 0.01. Like it’s either way,
    3:48:31 technique wins. We agree. Okay, beautiful. In the one of the controversial things you’ve done,
    3:48:38 in the 90s as a student at UPenn, you publicly denied the Armenian genocide,
    3:48:46 which is the mass murder of over a million Armenians in 1915 and 16 in the Ottoman Empire.
    3:48:52 You have since then publicly and clearly changed your mind on this.
    3:48:56 Tell me the process you went through to change your mind.
    3:49:03 Yeah. So, when you’re a kid, you’re taught a whole bunch of things. That’s the software
    3:49:08 that we talked about earlier, right? So, cultural software is media, family, friends,
    3:49:15 social media, et cetera. And so, growing up in any tribe, whether it’s a religious tribe
    3:49:21 or an ethnic tribe, you’re gonna get indoctrinated into that tribe’s way of thinking. So, you take
    3:49:26 a Turkish person who’s super progressive, loves Bernie, believes with all their heart and peace
    3:49:32 and you tell them something about Kurds and they’ll say, “Oh, no, not those guys. They’re
    3:49:36 terrible and evil and we have to do what we do to them.” You see, that’s the tribe taking over,
    3:49:43 right? And so, you tell any religious person what’s wrong with the other religions, they’re like,
    3:49:47 “Oh, yeah, yeah, that’s totally true.” You get to their religion, tribe takes over,
    3:49:51 know how dare you, I’m offended, right? So, I grew up with Turkish propaganda. So,
    3:49:56 I’ll tell you a couple of funny instances of it. When we were kids, we’d go Turkish American Day
    3:50:02 Parade, I’m like 10 or 12 years old. It’s in the middle of New York because I grew up in Jersey.
    3:50:09 That’s why I got to know those fights. And we would chant in Turkish, “Turkey is the biggest
    3:50:14 country. There’s no other country that’s even big.” And I was like, “This is crazy.” I’m like,
    3:50:19 “Dad, isn’t this crazy? America’s big, China’s big. Why are we chanting this non-sensical chant?”
    3:50:23 Right? So, that’s the beginning of beginning to realize your indoctrination. I’m in college
    3:50:29 and I read about some battle that the Ottoman Empire lost. And I’m like, “That can’t be, right?
    3:50:35 The Turks have only lost one war, World War I.” And I was like, “Oh, my God, I’m an idiot.
    3:50:39 I got taught that in third grade in Turkey.” Of course, that’s not true. That’s ridiculously
    3:50:44 untrue, right? All those thoughts are in your head. You don’t even realize it. And so,
    3:50:50 on the Armenian genocide, I read the Turkish version. And the Turkish version has all of these
    3:50:55 as evidence, right? So, it’s real in that it exists. But here, I’ll give you a great example of it.
    3:51:02 I think it was Colonel Chester, some random American military guy after World War I.
    3:51:10 And he says about the Armenians after the mass march, the forced marches. He says,
    3:51:15 “They returned the area fat and entirely unmaskered.” Okay, I’m like, “Hey, that’s an
    3:51:20 American colonel that’s saying that.” So, that’s obviously true. You see, they didn’t happen,
    3:51:24 right? Or at least in the way that the Armenians say. Now, as a grown-up, I look at it and I go,
    3:51:27 “Are you kidding me? That guy’s obviously trying to get a contract with the Turkish government,
    3:51:35 right? Nobody returns from a forced march fat and entirely unmaskered, right?” So, that’s propaganda.
    3:51:44 And so, and that one was so indoctrinated that it was tough to let go. So, at Penn, I write
    3:51:50 that op-ed, et cetera. And then over the course of time. And so, Anna and I disagree on things from
    3:51:56 time to time. And we’ve been co-hosting now for, she’s been at the Young Turks for 18 years and
    3:52:03 co-hosting for, you know, almost 18. And so, she’s Armenian. And by the way, I love America. I mean,
    3:52:07 look, we came to America because we love this country, land of hope and opportunity. That’s
    3:52:11 part of why I fight so hard for the average American, for the American idea. So, here’s
    3:52:16 a Turk and an Armenian doing a show together and it becomes the number one online news show.
    3:52:22 That’s the beauty of America, right? So, she’s telling me things and we’re having some
    3:52:28 on-air discussions about it, et cetera. And then, it just dawned on me like, no, this was,
    3:52:35 this too was obviously propaganda. So, at that point, once you realize that, it becomes easier.
    3:52:40 That’s why I’m trying to unplug people from the matrix. Because once you realize it’s propaganda,
    3:52:43 oh my God, it gets infinitely easier to start telling what’s true or not true.
    3:52:49 So, maybe by way of advice, how do you know when you’re deluded by propaganda? How do you know
    3:52:54 you’re not believing a kind of, how do you know when you’re not plugged into the matrix, when you’re
    3:53:00 plugged into the matrix? You have to keep testing it against objective reality. Okay, they said
    3:53:07 something. Did it happen or did it not happen? So, here’s an easy one. Alex Jones for a long time,
    3:53:12 especially under Obama, kept saying, they’re not going to put us on FEMA camps until they’re going
    3:53:15 to stop us on the FEMA camps and they’re going to put us down and they’re going to let us out.
    3:53:20 I know it, I know it for sure, right? Nobody’s been in a FEMA camp. Obama left, there was no
    3:53:26 FEMA camps. So, what I asked like for the right wing conspiracy guys, guys, has any of their things
    3:53:32 ever come true? Like they always say all these crazy things that never, ever happened. So,
    3:53:38 the third time it doesn’t happen, can you please start to wonder, maybe I’m on the wrong side,
    3:53:44 maybe, but that’s not just for right wingers, that’s easy, right? But it’s also for mainstream
    3:53:51 media and that’s where I get the biggest pushback and that’s where, because my tribe is, is what
    3:53:58 the kids call PMC, professional management class, okay? They’re careerists, you go up the ladder,
    3:54:05 you have this route, that route, etc. And so, for that class, the status quo is pretty good.
    3:54:11 So, when you get, when Biden gives you 15% change, you’re like, what else do you want?
    3:54:17 That’s amazing. He just course corrected a little bit, now it’s perfect, right? But for the average
    3:54:24 guy who needs 100% change, not 15, they look at it and they go, what the fuck? He only did 15%
    3:54:29 and everybody’s declaring him a hero, right? So, those are the hardest guys to get through on and
    3:54:33 those are the guys who get most mad at me, not the right wingers, the establishment. That’s why I,
    3:54:41 I’m nails on a chalkboard for them because I’m on the left, but I call out their crap and they’re
    3:54:47 marketing and propaganda and that’s why I mentioned earlier, no one probably,
    3:54:51 nah, he might not even consciously know it, but no one dislikes Bernie more than Obama,
    3:54:57 because if Bernie got into office, he’d embarrass Obama by doing a lot more change
    3:55:04 and Obama told us the change wasn’t possible, you could only get 5%. And so, if Bernie does 50%,
    3:55:10 then Obama’s humiliated and his record and his legacy is ruined, right? So, I don’t think he makes
    3:55:17 that conscious decision, right? But it’s subconscious, it’s a way of thinking. So, if you’re watching
    3:55:25 Morning Joe, test them. He says something that Biden is for $15 minimum wage. When Biden takes it
    3:55:31 out of the bill, know that Morning Joe was lying to you. He says that Biden said he was for the
    3:55:36 public option, but he never even proposed it. When Morning Joe still defends him and you see
    3:55:42 an objective reality, Biden didn’t actually propose that bill. You know that they’re lying to you.
    3:55:45 Tested against objective reality. Did it actually happen or didn’t it?
    3:55:50 I mean, there’s some of that, just to steal a man some of the conspiracy theories. Do you think
    3:55:57 there’s some value to the conspiracy theories that come from the right, but actually more so come
    3:56:05 from the anti-establishment? I mean, for me, there’s a lot that raise a bit of a question.
    3:56:10 A lot of them could probably be explained by corporatism and the military industrial complex,
    3:56:17 but there’s also a lot of them could be explained by creepiness and shadiness in human nature.
    3:56:21 Epstein is an example of that. There’s a lot of ways to explain Epstein,
    3:56:30 including the basic creepiness of human nature, but there could be bigger explanations. I’m
    3:56:36 delying it. Sometimes when we have long, thoughtful conversations like this, I’ll say it depends a
    3:56:41 lot and then people get frustrated by that, but then you’re frustrated by the world because
    3:56:48 it depends. So conspiracy theories, if you say, “Are they all right or are they all wrong,”
    3:56:55 already the question is wrong. So it depends. What is the conspiracy theory? So if it’s some
    3:57:01 of the absurd ones we’ve mentioned here, it’s easily disproven. On the other hand,
    3:57:09 there’s a conspiracy theory about JFK’s assassination. Which one is the conspiracy
    3:57:15 theory that Lee Harvey Oswald from like 12 miles away shot a magic bullet that went like this and
    3:57:22 hit like 13 people and came out Kennedy’s brain or that the government might have wanted to cover up
    3:57:28 an assassination of the president for whatever reason. Come on. Now, of course,
    3:57:32 doing hyperbole and the JFK enthusiasts will be like, “No, the bullet didn’t actually go
    3:57:38 like this. It didn’t actually hit 13 people.” I’m kidding, guys. But in terms of,
    3:57:44 is that conspiracy theory real that JFK was not just killed by Lee Harvey Oswald? Almost
    3:57:53 certainly. And so if you read real books with tons of information, the most likely culprit is
    3:57:58 Alan Dulles, the head of the CIA that he fired. Back when there was a deep state,
    3:58:05 there actually was a deep state. They did coups against other countries’ leaders all the time,
    3:58:10 but they tell us, “Oh, they wouldn’t do it to our own leader.” But remember, it’s not the CIA.
    3:58:16 He’d left the CIA already. So I don’t know if it was X CIA guys. I don’t know if the mob was
    3:58:22 involved. I don’t know any of those details, but I know things that are obvious. That bullet didn’t
    3:58:30 magically hit him from over there. Jack Ruby killed Lee Harvey Oswald. Jack Ruby was a mobster who
    3:58:35 on the record had said that he hated Kennedy. All of a sudden, he became patriotic overnight
    3:58:41 and shot the assailant who was unguarded, maybe less likely. Okay, so let’s speed up though.
    3:58:47 So my point is, yes, some conspiracy theories could be true. It depends on objective reality,
    3:58:56 right? You get to Epstein. Again, I always do it ahead of time because I want you to test me
    3:59:02 and see, does it match objective reality? So I said the minute that it happened, you’ll have your
    3:59:07 answer based on whether the video in the hallway worked or not. If the video in the hallway works,
    3:59:13 there’ll be just as many conspiracy theories, but it’ll show actually who went in and didn’t go in.
    3:59:19 Okay, but if the video in the hallway doesn’t work, they definitely killed him. Okay, so a couple
    3:59:26 of days later, oh, the video in that particular hallway happened to not be working. And the guards
    3:59:33 both happened to be on break at the same time. And the most notorious pedophile criminal in the
    3:59:41 country happened to be unguarded. And that is the one time he decided to hang himself. Listen,
    3:59:47 man, the only way you believe that is if you got mainstream media to get you to believe
    3:59:52 that the word, that the minute the phrase conspiracy theory is mentioned, you have to shut
    3:59:57 off your mind. And you have to believe whatever the media tells you. Yeah, well, it’s interesting
    4:00:03 you just mentioned, do you think the CIA has not grown in power versus? No, no, they’ve greatly
    4:00:09 waned in power. Interesting. So, so in the old days, the CIA has an actual deep state. And because
    4:00:15 the country was run by a bunch of families, right? So you go to Yale, the scum bones thing was real,
    4:00:20 right? And you go to Harvard, you go to this and half the look at the Dulles family, right?
    4:00:25 Half of them go into government, the other half go into banking. Why are the Central American
    4:00:32 countries called banana republics? Because we we’d America did a coup against one of those
    4:00:37 countries, because a banana company wanted it. Okay, because they’re like, how dare you charge
    4:00:42 whatever you want for your natural resource. We American corporations have the right to all
    4:00:48 of your natural resources at the lowest possible rate. Alan, get rid of these guys. Okay. And
    4:00:56 and Alan would. And so, and sometimes they would go extrajudicial, right? Like potentially with the
    4:01:04 JFK assassination. So now and and by the way, you pissed off a J. Edgar Hoover, he was just
    4:01:08 going to put a bullet in your head. And we were done with you. Okay, Fred Hampton, among others.
    4:01:17 So, but nowadays, that’s not how the world works. So a small number of families cannot control a
    4:01:24 country and an economy this size. New people pop up. Well, Mark Zuckerberg wasn’t part of those
    4:01:30 families. Elon Musk wasn’t part of those families. Neither was Bezos, right? For you to believe those
    4:01:35 conspiracy theories, you have to think that Bezos and Musk, etc. were like, Oh, you guys are still
    4:01:43 running the country. No problem. Go ahead. Gonna do that, right? So now we’ve gotten into a system
    4:01:48 where it’s the invisible hand of the market that runs the country. But unfortunately,
    4:01:55 only for the powerful. And so it’s more of a machine. And they don’t do, and this is super
    4:01:59 interesting in ties to what we’re talking about earlier, Lex, which is that they don’t do political
    4:02:04 assassinations anymore. They do character assassinations. That’s the needle in the haystack
    4:02:11 thing. So, and if you do an assassination of someone, you build up their status, they become
    4:02:18 a martyr and you build up their cause. But if you do a character assassination, you smear the cause
    4:02:26 with the person. And the cause goes down, not up. So the market found a better way of getting rid of
    4:02:31 agitating outsiders. Well, that’s, you know, one of the conspiracy theories with Epstein is that
    4:02:42 he’s a front for like, I guess CIA, and they’re getting data on people like creepy pedophile
    4:02:50 kind of data that they can use to threaten character assassination. And then they put them,
    4:02:57 in this way, put the people in their pockets. So look, we’re not in on it. So there’s no way we
    4:03:06 can know, right? But I just always go back to logic. So he has dirt on a lot of powerful people.
    4:03:13 He dies in a way that is an obvious murder and not a suicide. And then you begin to think,
    4:03:20 who would have enough power to be able to get away with that crime? And that is a very limited
    4:03:28 number of either people or governments, right? So that’s probably your answer without knowing
    4:03:34 anything that’s internal. Yeah, that’s crazy. We don’t have the list of clients. What is the best
    4:03:42 way to achieve stability and peace in Israel and Palestine in the current situation and in the
    4:03:48 next five, 10 years? If people wanted to get to peace, it’s relatively straightforward. There’s
    4:03:55 already a deal that was negotiated. The Saudis agreed to it. And they’re an important player in
    4:04:01 this game. The Palestinians and the Israelis have initially agreed to it, even Hamas has kind of
    4:04:06 agreed to it. That deal exists, and it’s just waiting on the shelf to get done, right? And it’s
    4:04:12 pretty straightforward. Israel gets out of the West Bank and Gaza Strip, but they keep an X
    4:04:18 percentage. It used to be 4%, then it went up to 6%. It’s probably a higher number now.
    4:04:22 The Palestinians keep losing leverage as we go, right? So remember how hard it was
    4:04:28 to get a deal on Ukraine, I thought. That’s a very complicated one. Israel’s much more
    4:04:33 straightforward. Get the hell out of the occupying territories. Keep some of the God, like, those
    4:04:38 settlements are the worst thing. They’re cancer. But anyway, I don’t know, there’s, but there is
    4:04:42 an answer to the settlements, and it’s probably that Israel keeps them, even though that drives me
    4:04:47 crazy. No right of return for Palestinians. There’ll be symbolic right of return for a couple of
    4:04:52 families. And so Palestinians go, oh, no way, guys, you have no leverage. Take the deal. Take
    4:04:58 the deal. Okay. So you’re not going to get a right of return. Israel’s not going to allow millions
    4:05:03 of Palestinians to go and vote in Israel. It would end the Jewish state. You have to get to a
    4:05:10 practical solution. So honestly, the number one person blocking it now is then Yahoo. It’s not
    4:05:16 even, that’s obvious. That’s, that doesn’t take a lot of courage to say that. He says publicly,
    4:05:21 I don’t want a Palestinian state. I’m against a two state solution. He’s been monstrous. He’s one
    4:05:27 of the worst terrorists of my lifetime. So that’s easy. The right wing of Israel has lost its mind.
    4:05:32 So the Smotrich and the Ben Gavir is openly talking about ethnic cleansing and driving them
    4:05:40 into other Arab countries. I mean, this is the definition of ethnic cleansing. So, but is like,
    4:05:48 I know that the Arabs are going to take the deal. Saudi Arabia cannot wait to take the deal because
    4:05:53 they just want to get business going, right? Do you think Hamas takes the deal? So I had
    4:05:57 ever a solution where you don’t need Hamas. But yes, Hamas would definitely take the deal.
    4:06:02 Hamas already publicly said that they would even get rid of that Israel doesn’t have a right to
    4:06:09 exist. But we, there’s so much propaganda in American media. It’s maddening, right? So in this
    4:06:16 idea that you don’t deal with Hamas is so dumb. So the reason it’s dumb is you don’t negotiate with
    4:06:22 your friends. You negotiate with your enemies. Well, I don’t want to negotiate with them. I
    4:06:26 don’t like them. Well, then you’re not going to get to peace, right? But still, there is a path
    4:06:34 that doesn’t include Hamas. So make a deal with Fatah that runs the best West Bank. Then they get,
    4:06:39 right now, if Fatah went into Gaza Strip, they wouldn’t be able to manage it because they don’t
    4:06:44 have enough credibility. They’re mainly seen as in cahoots with the occupiers, whereas Hamas is
    4:06:52 hardcore and fighting against the occupiers. But if Fatah delivers a peace, not only a peace deal,
    4:06:57 but a Palestinian state, then they come in as heroes. So you make the deal with them,
    4:07:03 you let them run the Gaza Strip, and you empower them to drive out Hamas. That way,
    4:07:08 they do your dirty work for you, in a sense, right? But good because Hamas is a terrorist
    4:07:14 organization. They’re not helpful. And especially if the Palestinians get a state, the violence has
    4:07:21 to stop immediately. That’s the whole point. The trade is you get a state, Israel gets safety and
    4:07:27 peace. So no more rockets than Israel. No more rockets. If you do any other rockets,
    4:07:33 and Israel does the barbaric thing they just did, even I would say, “Hey, brother, we had a peace
    4:07:39 deal.” So if you violate a peace deal and you do a bomb, they’re going to do a bomb and their
    4:07:47 bomb is much larger. And by the way, can it work? It already has worked. Israel already did it with
    4:07:56 Egypt. So Egypt was a hundred times Hamas. Egypt gathered all the Arab armies and actually physically
    4:08:02 invaded Israel when Israel could lose. And they did it several times. And like at the time, all,
    4:08:09 not just the right, like the war hawks, but most people thought there’s no way Egypt will keep
    4:08:16 that peace deal. Oh, they’re suckers. We’re giving them the Sinai Peninsula back, and then they’re
    4:08:20 just going to keep bombing and attacking us. There hasn’t been a single bomb from Egypt since the
    4:08:29 peace deal. Peace deals work. War gets you more war. Peace deals get your peace. And you should never,
    4:08:35 this is true of all of life, don’t let the perfect be the enemy of the good. So if you’re saying,
    4:08:41 “Well, I’m not positive that a peace deal is going to be perfect,” and 12 more rockets might be fired.
    4:08:47 “Well, brother, what do we have now?” Right? We have endless rockets now. If Israel’s supposed
    4:08:55 to be a safe haven for Jews, and I get it, and I want it, okay, then become a safe haven. The way
    4:09:02 that you’re a safe haven is stop the occupation. It’s not complicated. And the reason they’re not,
    4:09:06 let’s be honest, the reason the right-wing government of Israel is not stopping the
    4:09:12 occupation is because they want to take more and more land. And so they have throughout
    4:09:17 time taken way more of the West Bank than they had originally. And now Netanyahu is saying,
    4:09:24 “I want a corridor in the middle of Gaza, and I want a corridor at the border of Egypt.” Now,
    4:09:30 we’re back to occupying Gaza, physically, let alone through power and et cetera.
    4:09:40 So, Bibi has to go. Definitely. What’s the role of U.S. in making a peace deal like that happen?
    4:09:48 It’s going to sound outlandish, but I can get you a ceasefire almost overnight if Bibi’s gone.
    4:09:53 Because the Israeli negotiators have said publicly, please, not publicly,
    4:09:59 got leaked, and it was in the Israeli press. You have to give us a little bit of wiggle room.
    4:10:03 If you don’t give us a little bit of wiggle room, obviously they’re not going to do the deal.
    4:10:07 And he’s like, “I know.” Right? That’s why he’s not giving them the wiggle room.
    4:10:13 So, don’t ask for land in Gaza. Get the hell out of Gaza. You have a ceasefire. That’s the easy part.
    4:10:19 So, the hard part is the occupation, ending the occupation. But even that, I can get it to you
    4:10:26 in two months as long as Israel actually wants a deal. So, go to an election, get rid of Netanyahu,
    4:10:33 put in Benny Gantz. Is Benny Gantz an angel? No. He’s the one that ordered all the bombings
    4:10:41 of Gaza to begin with, right? Look, Benny Gantz has got massive war crimes on his record. So,
    4:10:46 don’t worry. He’s not a softy, okay? But he’s not my favorite guy in the world, to say the least.
    4:10:53 But Benny Gantz can do a peace deal if he wants to. So, look, only one group of people can actually
    4:10:58 settle this. Well, there’s actually two groups of people. One is the Israeli population. You vote
    4:11:04 in someone who wants to do a peace deal, you’ll get a peace deal, okay? Number two is the American
    4:11:09 president. So, if I’m the American president, I’m saying in a hypothetical, right? Or any American
    4:11:14 president that actually wants to get a peace deal done. You just say, “I’m going to cut the funding.”
    4:11:18 Israel will do the deal immediately. They don’t say they want to cut the funding because APAC
    4:11:27 gives them $100 million. It’s not complicated. Not 1% complicated. So, Lex, tell me this, okay?
    4:11:33 So, if the US president said, “I’m going to cut the funding,” do you think that it might have a
    4:11:38 giant problem for Netanyahu? Might it hurt his government? Might they have to go to an election?
    4:11:42 Would Israeli politicians, let alone the population, begin to really, really worry
    4:11:48 that they’re going to lose an enormous source of funding and weapons? Yeah, absolutely. Absolutely.
    4:11:51 So, why wouldn’t we use our leverage? It’s crazy not to use our leverage.
    4:12:00 Yeah. And this is where we go back to the steel man of Trump. It feels like he’s the only one
    4:12:06 crazy enough to use that leverage. But crazy, I mean, in a good kind of sense. Bold enough,
    4:12:11 not giving a shit about convention, not giving a shit about pressures and money and influence and
    4:12:16 all that kind of stuff. Yes, but with the biggest asterisks in the history of the world,
    4:12:23 which is 12% chance he does that, and that’s great. But a huge chance he does the opposite.
    4:12:31 And he goes, let’s call it 80 again, 80%. Oh, yeah, Miriam wanted me to give West Bank to Israel.
    4:12:34 So, you have it, guys. Now, you’re just talking about the whole thing forever, okay?
    4:12:40 Giant war. Oh, yeah, I’m going to prove how tough I am. I’m going to nuke Iran. Oh, no,
    4:12:45 what are you doing? What are you doing? Like, Trump is a massive risk. He’s an enormous amount
    4:12:50 of risk. If you were running a company and not a country, would you hire Trump as your CEO?
    4:12:57 Everyone watching just screamed inside their heads, “No!” Okay, you would never take that kind of risk
    4:13:03 with your company. You got an 80% chance the guy’s going to blow up the company? No way, no way,
    4:13:08 and you know it too. Especially if you’re a businessman, you know you’re not going to hire
    4:13:14 that loose cannon to run your company. It’s unacceptable risk. But you’re not wrong. We
    4:13:18 talked about it earlier. But as part of that risk, there’s a sliver in there
    4:13:23 that he could accidentally do the right thing. We talked a lot about hope in this conversation.
    4:13:28 Zooming out, what gives you hope about the future of this whole thing of humanity,
    4:13:33 not just the United States, of us humans on earth? So, why am I center left and not center
    4:13:39 right? It gets to that question. So, you look at the polling, not just here in America,
    4:13:44 but in almost any country. And it almost always breaks out to two-thirds or one-third, right?
    4:13:53 Two-thirds of the people say, “Let’s be empathetic, let’s share, let’s be, let’s do equality, justice,
    4:13:58 let’s be fair,” right? One-third goes, “No, me, me, me, me, me, me, me, me,” okay? That’s just the
    4:14:05 nature of humanity. And so, and usually the same third goes, “No change.” Another two-thirds go,
    4:14:12 “Well, some change,” right? So, because if you don’t do any change, you’re never going to get to
    4:14:16 the right answer. For the wisdom of the crowd to work, for free markets to work, for everything to
    4:14:21 work, you have to keep changing because the times change and the culture changes and the situation
    4:14:28 changes, right? So, that’s why there’s amendments in the Constitution, because you need to be able to
    4:14:33 change the document from time to time. Be careful with it, right? But you need to allow for an avenue
    4:14:40 for change. So, now, why does the one-third keep winning in so many different places? Because
    4:14:46 they have more money in power. And by the way, if you’re more selfish, you’re more likely to get
    4:14:51 more money in power, right? And I wish that weren’t the case, but it is. And these are not blanket
    4:15:00 rules, they’re on average. So, that third winds up winning in so many circumstances. But the bottom
    4:15:11 line is, we are a species that requires consent. So, I mean, I’m a Stone Cold Atheist. So, I don’t
    4:15:18 think we’re kind of like apes. I think we are apes. Okay. And so, and all the scientists out
    4:15:25 there are going, “Well, of course we are.” Everyone else is going, “That’s crazy.” Okay. So, when you
    4:15:29 look at it as a species, different species react in different ways. Snakes have no empathy because
    4:15:37 it’s not in their DNA. And that’s why we have a sense of what a snake does, right? So, for good
    4:15:44 news is, for higher-level apes like us, bonobos, chimpanzees, and humans, we all roughly want
    4:15:52 consent. So, a chimpanzee, for example, has a violent reputation and they are violent. And,
    4:15:58 unfortunately, we’re pretty close to them. But what people don’t know is, a leader doesn’t win
    4:16:05 through violence, especially for bonobos. They win by picking lice off of other chimpanzees,
    4:16:09 by going and doing favors, going to a hunt, getting food, and giving it to someone else,
    4:16:14 because what they’re gathering is the consent of the governed. And that’s how you become the alpha.
    4:16:19 You don’t do it through physical dominance. You do it through consent. So, that’s how we’re
    4:16:26 hardwired. That’s in our DNA. That two-thirds in the long run will win. And we will have empathy.
    4:16:30 We will have change. And that’s the hope that we’re all looking for.
    4:16:35 Hope has got the numbers, it seems like.
    4:16:44 Yeah. And in fact, one more thing, Lex. Look at history. Hope and change always win.
    4:16:50 And so, again, conservatives don’t catch feelings. There is a need for conservatives,
    4:16:54 because you have to balance things out. If you just had even a wonderful two-thirds,
    4:16:59 that still wouldn’t be the ideal system. You need a Winston Churchill if you’re
    4:17:03 in the middle of World War II. You need someone to say, regulating, you know,
    4:17:08 six inspections of the elevators is too many, right? So, you need that balance. And conservatives
    4:17:15 have a role, and it’s a really important role. But having said that, they’re assigned to losing
    4:17:20 throughout history, because they’re fighting on losing ground. A conservative says no change,
    4:17:27 but the world is constantly changing. So, they’re destined to lose. That’s why the founding fathers
    4:17:32 won against the British monarchy. That’s why the civil rights movement won. They didn’t win overnight.
    4:17:39 It took them 100 years to get equal rights, let alone past slavery, right? So, we won on women’s
    4:17:46 rights. We won on gay rights. We keep winning. But every snapshot in time makes it feel like
    4:17:52 we’re losing. There’s a bad guy in charge. We aren’t living under corporate rule, etc. But in
    4:18:01 the long tide of history, change always wins. So, the empathetic, generally speaking, left wing. But
    4:18:06 again, don’t worry about the titles, right? People get obsessed with the labels. The two-thirds,
    4:18:11 that’s empathetic. That includes a lot of right-wingers, right? You win at the end in history
    4:18:20 every single time. So, we fight forward. We’re tough when we need to be. We need that willpower
    4:18:25 to win any fight, right? But we’re civil and respectful to the other side because they are us.
    4:18:33 So, progressives all the time, we say, “Look,” and this is like the ending of my book, which is,
    4:18:40 for conservatives, you have a lot of empathy for inside the wagons. So, conservatives are great
    4:18:45 to their family, generally speaking, to their community, to their church, to anyone that’s
    4:18:52 inside the wagons. But they have, they set up electric fences and barbed wire around their
    4:18:56 wagons. So, if you’re on the outside, you’re the others and you’re going to get electrified. And
    4:19:04 it’s kind of like, right? And so, I like to think the left wing has wider wagons. So, we view the
    4:19:12 world as more us and not you. But the good news of that is, if we win, we’re not going to do
    4:19:17 Medicare for only the left, right? We’re going to do Medicare for all. You’re all going to get
    4:19:22 universal health care. We’re going to do higher wages for all. The right wing is not going to be
    4:19:32 left out. And Lex, I’m going to tell you a fun story. It’s about my family. And I’m sure that
    4:19:40 parts of it are apocryphal because it’s from like 500 years ago. But it gives you a sense of the
    4:19:48 old Mark Twain quote, if it’s really Mark Twain’s, of change happens really gradually and then all
    4:19:56 of a sudden. So, my mom’s last name in Turkish is Yawasha. It means slowly. It’s a weird name
    4:20:02 even in Turkish. And so, one day, we’re walking past the mosque in Istanbul when I’m a kid.
    4:20:10 And it says on the mosque, Yawasha. We’re like, what is this? Okay. So, it’s a small little mosque
    4:20:17 we go inside and my dad starts asking their mom questions. Okay. So, he says, why is the mosque
    4:20:23 named that? And he said, well, do you don’t know? And he said, because my dad said my mom, my wife’s
    4:20:30 name is, last name is Yawasha. He’s like, oh my God. And he’s like, your ancestor was the admiral
    4:20:39 of the Ottoman Navy when they conquered Constantinople. Okay. So, grandpa from five, six hundred years
    4:20:44 ago came up with the idea. So, you can’t ever conquer Constantinople because there’s a giant
    4:20:49 chain underneath the Bosphorus. All the ships get stuck on the chain. There’s cannons on both sides.
    4:20:54 Half the ancient navies in the world are at the bottom of the Bosphorus, right? So, hasn’t been
    4:20:57 conquered in over a thousand years. Nobody thinks they can be conquered. Grandpa comes out with the
    4:21:05 idea of why don’t we build giant wooden planks over land and grease them and pass our fleet
    4:21:12 over land onto the other side. Everybody goes because whenever anybody proposes a new idea,
    4:21:15 no matter how logical it is, they go, oh, that’s impossible. No way it’s going to work. Oh, you’re
    4:21:20 crazy. This is an unconquerable city. What are you guys even doing? Every day, Mehmet the Conqueror
    4:21:27 comes up to grandpa and says, all right, how’s your plan to do this project going? And grandpa says,
    4:21:36 slowly. And he names him commander slowly. And one night after the whole thing’s done,
    4:21:43 they pass the entire Ottoman fleet over the land, wind up in the middle of the Bosphorus,
    4:21:49 and the Holy Roman Empire concedes. They surrender. Because change happens really
    4:21:58 gradually and then all of a sudden. Good story. Well, Cenk, thank you for fighting for that change
    4:22:04 for many years now, for over two decades now. And thank you for talking today. Appreciate it,
    4:22:07 Lex. Thank you for having the conversation. Thanks for listening to this conversation
    4:22:12 with Cenk Huger. To support this podcast, please check out our sponsors in the description.
    4:22:20 And now let me leave you some words from Hannah Arendt. Totalitarianism is never content to rule
    4:22:27 by external means, namely through the state and a machinery of violence. Thanks to its peculiar
    4:22:33 ideology and the role assigned to it in the apparatus of coercion, totalitarianism has
    4:22:41 discovered a means of dominating and terrorizing human beings from within. Thank you for listening.
    4:22:51 I hope to see you next time.
    4:23:01 [Music]

    Cenk Uygur is a progressive political commentator and host of The Young Turks.
    Thank you for listening ❤ Check out our sponsors: https://lexfridman.com/sponsors/ep441-sc
    See below for timestamps, transcript, and to give feedback, submit questions, contact Lex, etc.

    Transcript:
    https://lexfridman.com/cenk-uygur-transcript

    CONTACT LEX:
    Feedback – give feedback to Lex: https://lexfridman.com/survey
    AMA – submit questions, videos or call-in: https://lexfridman.com/ama
    Hiring – join our team: https://lexfridman.com/hiring
    Other – other ways to get in touch: https://lexfridman.com/contact

    EPISODE LINKS:
    Cenk’s X: https://x.com/cenkuygur
    The Young Turks YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/TheYoungTurks
    The Young Turks Website: https://tyt.com/
    The Young Turks on X: https://x.com/TheYoungTurks
    Justice Is Coming (Cenk’s book): https://tyt.com/justice

    SPONSORS:
    To support this podcast, check out our sponsors & get discounts:
    Saily: An eSIM for international travel.
    Go to https://saily.com/lex
    Policygenius: Life insurance.
    Go to https://policygenius.com/lex
    AG1: All-in-one daily nutrition drinks.
    Go to https://drinkag1.com/lex
    MasterClass: Online classes from world-class experts.
    Go to https://masterclass.com/lexpod
    LMNT: Zero-sugar electrolyte drink mix.
    Go to https://drinkLMNT.com/lex
    NetSuite: Business management software.
    Go to http://netsuite.com/lex

    OUTLINE:
    (00:00) – Introduction
    (14:27) – Progressivism
    (20:37) – Communism
    (35:24) – Capitalism
    (41:27) – Corruption
    (46:13) – Money in politics
    (1:03:00) – Fixing politics
    (1:22:11) – Meritocracy & DEI
    (1:33:10) – Far-left vs far-right
    (2:07:43) – Donald Trump
    (2:28:00) – Joe Biden
    (2:46:27) – Bernie Sanders
    (2:59:56) – Kamala Harris
    (3:07:25) – Harris vs Trump presidential debate
    (3:20:55) – RFK Jr
    (3:30:37) – The Young Turks
    (3:38:49) – Joe Rogan
    (3:48:30) – Propaganda
    (3:55:46) – Conspiracy theories
    (4:03:33) – Israel-Palestine
    (4:13:20) – Hope

    PODCAST LINKS:
    – Podcast Website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast
    – Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr
    – Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8
    – RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/
    – Podcast Playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLrAXtmErZgOdP_8GztsuKi9nrraNbKKp4
    – Clips Channel: https://www.youtube.com/lexclips