Building a Self-Driving Tractor to Change the Future of Food

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0:01:47 Tim Bucher grew up on his family’s dairy farm
0:01:49 in rural Northern California.
0:01:51 You know how when you’re a kid,
0:01:53 you always wait for summer vacation from school?
0:01:57 My brother and I, we actually,
0:02:00 we hated summer vacation because that meant,
0:02:03 you know, 80 hours a week of work out in the open field.
0:02:05 So, you know, our friends would always say,
0:02:07 oh, I can’t wait until school’s out.
0:02:09 And we would go, no, I don’t.
0:02:10 I want to stay in school.
0:02:12 Tim went off to college,
0:02:14 started out studying agriculture,
0:02:16 but switched to computer science.
0:02:17 And after he graduated,
0:02:20 he founded a string of companies.
0:02:21 One of them he sold to Microsoft,
0:02:23 another he sold to Apple.
0:02:27 But all along, he kept farming on the side.
0:02:29 And eventually, his farming life
0:02:31 and his tech life came together.
0:02:34 As just kind of a weekend side project on the farm,
0:02:38 he and a few friends built an autonomous tractor.
0:02:40 That weekend side project
0:02:42 has now turned into a company
0:02:44 powering autonomous tractors
0:02:46 across the Western U.S. and parts of Australia.
0:02:54 I’m Jacob Goldstein,
0:02:55 and this is What’s Your Problem,
0:02:57 the show where I talk to people
0:02:59 who are trying to make technological progress.
0:03:01 My guest today is Tim Bucher.
0:03:02 He’s a longtime farmer
0:03:05 and the founder and CEO of Agtonomy.
0:03:07 Tim’s problem is this.
0:03:09 How do you bring autonomous vehicles
0:03:11 to specialty crops?
0:03:14 Crops like grapes and olives
0:03:16 and almonds and apples.
0:03:19 There’s already lots of autonomous equipment
0:03:20 for row crops,
0:03:23 like corn and wheat and soybeans.
0:03:24 But as you’ll hear,
0:03:26 specialty crops present
0:03:28 a particularly tricky set of challenges.
0:03:31 Tim and I talked about the big picture,
0:03:34 about what autonomy will mean for farming
0:03:35 and for food.
0:03:36 But to start,
0:03:39 I asked him about how he got from farming
0:03:41 to computer science in the first place.
0:03:44 So you go off to college,
0:03:46 study agriculture,
0:03:47 Davis,
0:03:49 as a California farm kid does, right?
0:03:51 And did I hear you say
0:03:52 in another interview
0:03:55 that you lost a bet
0:03:57 and as a result of losing the bet
0:03:59 had to take a computer science class?
0:04:01 Yes, you heard right.
0:04:02 What was the bet?
0:04:05 Let’s just say it was at a fraternity party.
0:04:06 So it might have involved,
0:04:07 you know,
0:04:08 it might have involved beer.
0:04:09 I don’t know.
0:04:12 I like that it’s a drunken fraternity party
0:04:14 that leads you into a career
0:04:15 as a computer scientist.
0:04:17 Like that is an interesting combination.
0:04:20 Yeah, it was the greatest bet I ever lost.
0:04:23 But what was interesting though,
0:04:25 all my friends growing up,
0:04:27 their last names were Sagatio,
0:04:28 Fappiano, Bacchalupi, Gallo.
0:04:30 These were incredible grape growing
0:04:31 and winemaking families
0:04:33 back in the 70s even.
0:04:36 And I would always go over
0:04:37 to their places to,
0:04:38 you know,
0:04:38 help them
0:04:40 because that’s what playdates were back then
0:04:41 is you basically went over
0:04:42 to your friend’s farm
0:04:43 and worked with them.
0:04:46 And I would learn how to prune grapes
0:04:48 and even make wine.
0:04:50 And I was fascinated by that industry,
0:04:52 like incredibly fascinated
0:04:53 by the growing of grapes.
0:04:54 So, you know,
0:04:55 I went to UC Davis for agriculture
0:04:58 and yes,
0:04:59 I lost a bet
0:05:01 and took a class
0:05:02 in a 500 person auditorium.
0:05:04 Now, keep in mind,
0:05:06 I didn’t grow up with any technology.
0:05:07 I mean, like tractors,
0:05:08 that was about it.
0:05:12 But the professor started talking
0:05:14 and I’m in the last row
0:05:16 and the professor started talking
0:05:18 and everything he was saying,
0:05:19 I understood.
0:05:21 And it just kind of hit me.
0:05:23 And by the end of that quarter,
0:05:25 UC Davis was on the quarter system,
0:05:28 I was up front teaching the class.
0:05:30 And so I knew something happened.
0:05:33 Like I found a passion,
0:05:35 like the passion I had for agriculture.
0:05:39 And so I had a decision to make
0:05:41 is do I go the agriculture route
0:05:43 or do I go this computer science route
0:05:44 or this, you know,
0:05:45 high tech route?
0:05:47 And I said, you know what?
0:05:48 I’m going to do both.
0:05:50 I then graduated from Davis
0:05:52 and I went on to Stanford in grad school
0:05:55 and then started bouncing
0:05:56 between Silicon Valley
0:05:58 and Sonoma County
0:06:00 because when I was 16,
0:06:02 I actually bought my first vineyard.
0:06:04 A small little two acres
0:06:06 and I love farming that.
0:06:08 and that’s kind of what got me
0:06:10 to, you know,
0:06:12 get my own larger place
0:06:13 as I did through the decades,
0:06:16 which is now called Trattori Farms.
0:06:19 Trattori, which means tractor in Italian
0:06:21 because I wanted to name it
0:06:23 after my childhood passion.
0:06:25 And that’s where,
0:06:27 that’s where kind of
0:06:28 that whole thing started.
0:06:31 The duality or the dual path
0:06:33 of agriculture and high tech.
0:06:36 You have these sort of parallel lives
0:06:37 going for a while, right?
0:06:40 You’re working for Steve Jobs.
0:06:41 You’re starting companies.
0:06:44 You’ve got a farm up in Sonoma.
0:06:45 You got a little plane.
0:06:47 You’re flying back and forth, right?
0:06:51 And tell me,
0:06:53 so tell me about the farm part of your life.
0:06:54 Like that’s, you know,
0:06:55 we’re going to bring back
0:06:56 the technology in a minute,
0:06:57 but you’re grown up.
0:07:00 you have a real farm.
0:07:01 Like what’s your farm?
0:07:05 Well, it started as a small little vineyard,
0:07:06 only two acres.
0:07:08 And then through the years,
0:07:10 I would do what’s called
0:07:11 a 1031 tax-free exchange
0:07:12 and get a bigger,
0:07:13 bigger piece of land.
0:07:16 And then, you know,
0:07:16 I don’t know,
0:07:18 about 25 years ago,
0:07:20 I got a much bigger piece of land.
0:07:21 Yeah, two acres, by the way,
0:07:23 two acres isn’t even a farm, right?
0:07:24 Two acres is like a yard.
0:07:26 Yeah, pretty much a yard.
0:07:28 Good call.
0:07:30 But it was French colombard grapes
0:07:32 and Zinfandel grapes.
0:07:34 So, you know,
0:07:37 fast forward to years later
0:07:38 as I would kind of get bigger
0:07:39 and bigger places,
0:07:40 I got this one place,
0:07:41 which was amazing,
0:07:43 beautiful hillsides.
0:07:44 I had a vision for it,
0:07:45 but it was just a forest.
0:07:47 And I started clearing it
0:07:47 for, you know,
0:07:51 the intention of growing more grapes.
0:07:53 And I encountered these stumps,
0:07:54 you know,
0:07:56 equidistant throughout the land.
0:07:56 And I was like,
0:07:57 what is this?
0:07:58 And then finally,
0:08:00 I uncovered some old olive trees
0:08:02 from like the 1800s.
0:08:04 And so did some research
0:08:05 and realized,
0:08:06 well, this was part of a big,
0:08:06 you know,
0:08:07 Spanish land grant
0:08:08 growing olives
0:08:10 back in the 1800s.
0:08:11 So I decided to bring that
0:08:13 history back.
0:08:14 And that’s what got me
0:08:15 into olives.
0:08:16 So I grow olives
0:08:17 for olive oil
0:08:19 and grapes for wine.
0:08:21 And I have a winery operation,
0:08:22 public tasting room.
0:08:24 So kind of bouncing
0:08:25 between two worlds
0:08:26 for decades.
0:08:30 So before you started
0:08:30 Ectonomy,
0:08:33 tell me about the way
0:08:34 you brought technology
0:08:35 to your farm.
0:08:36 Like, what did you automate?
0:08:40 Yeah, I was unique
0:08:41 in that I was a farmer,
0:08:43 but I was also an engineer.
0:08:46 I had both, you know,
0:08:47 electrical engineering background
0:08:48 as well as computer science
0:08:49 background.
0:08:51 So I could do things
0:08:53 like create, you know,
0:08:55 automated water recycling plants
0:08:57 that, you know,
0:08:58 had the flow meters everywhere.
0:08:59 It knew, you know,
0:09:02 how to inject different microbes
0:09:04 to process the wastewater
0:09:06 and then inject it back
0:09:07 into the irrigation automatically.
0:09:10 I had, you know,
0:09:12 obviously all kinds of basic things
0:09:13 like cameras and whatnot.
0:09:16 But even in the fermentation
0:09:17 of grapes,
0:09:19 the tanks are all
0:09:20 computer controlled.
0:09:22 The computer controls
0:09:23 whether to use, you know,
0:09:25 active refrigeration,
0:09:26 which costs energy,
0:09:28 or if the outside air
0:09:30 is cooler than the inside,
0:09:31 it automatically switches over
0:09:33 and brings that kind of air in.
0:09:34 So, you know,
0:09:35 everything from fermentation
0:09:37 processes to water recycling
0:09:38 to irrigation
0:09:40 is radically automated.
0:09:42 So I had automated
0:09:44 darn near everything I could
0:09:46 and I didn’t know
0:09:48 I was actually doing ag tech
0:09:50 when I was doing this.
0:09:52 Ag tech wasn’t a word
0:09:53 that existed back then.
0:09:54 You were just like
0:09:54 puttering around
0:09:55 on the weekends?
0:09:57 I was puttering around
0:09:58 on the weekends
0:09:59 or nighttimes, whatever.
0:10:01 I just knew my farm
0:10:02 needed technology
0:10:04 to automate things
0:10:05 because, keep in mind,
0:10:06 I was also bouncing
0:10:08 between Sonoma County
0:10:09 and Silicon Valley
0:10:12 and so I needed technology
0:10:13 to also be able
0:10:14 to monitor things.
0:10:15 Right.
0:10:16 But there was one area
0:10:17 I hadn’t automated
0:10:18 and that was the actual work
0:10:19 in the orchards
0:10:20 and the vineyards.
0:10:22 And I was sitting there going,
0:10:23 well, you know,
0:10:23 I automated this,
0:10:24 I automated that.
0:10:26 Hey, maybe I should try my hand
0:10:27 at, you know,
0:10:28 automating the field work.
0:10:30 There’s so much money
0:10:31 being invested
0:10:33 in autonomous passenger vehicles
0:10:34 and there’s so much technology
0:10:35 that’s evolved there.
0:10:37 I wonder if I could just
0:10:38 apply that to this space
0:10:40 and see if I can create
0:10:42 an autonomous vehicle
0:10:43 that can do these kinds
0:10:44 of repetitive tasks
0:10:45 like mowing,
0:10:46 like spraying,
0:10:47 you know,
0:10:49 like undervine cultivation,
0:10:50 like seeding,
0:10:51 like disking,
0:10:52 things of that nature
0:10:53 where you’re just going
0:10:53 back and forth,
0:10:55 up and down the rows,
0:10:55 right?
0:10:57 Just to be clear,
0:10:59 there had been
0:10:59 a fair bit of automation,
0:11:00 right?
0:11:01 But on the sort of
0:11:03 big ag row crop
0:11:04 like corn and wheat side,
0:11:06 as I understand it,
0:11:07 but not so much
0:11:08 on the permanent crop
0:11:09 kind of fruit and nut side.
0:11:10 Is that right?
0:11:11 Was that the sort of
0:11:11 state of play?
0:11:13 Exactly, Jacob.
0:11:14 So in row crops
0:11:16 or in broad acre farming,
0:11:16 you know,
0:11:18 the big million dollar tractors
0:11:19 or half a million dollar tractors,
0:11:21 there has been automation
0:11:22 there for decades.
0:11:25 Things called auto steer.
0:11:25 You know,
0:11:27 you’re on these flat areas,
0:11:29 very big fields.
0:11:30 You can see the sky.
0:11:32 GPS had evolved,
0:11:33 so it would be
0:11:34 somewhat accurate,
0:11:35 you know,
0:11:35 a meter,
0:11:36 whatever it might be.
0:11:38 And so you could just
0:11:39 control the vehicles
0:11:40 based on that.
0:11:41 When you think about
0:11:42 permanent crops,
0:11:44 which is a huge percentage
0:11:45 value-wise
0:11:46 of our food supply,
0:11:49 the permanent crops,
0:11:50 you’re talking about
0:11:52 trees and vines
0:11:52 that are very,
0:11:53 very expensive.
0:11:55 They take many years
0:11:55 to develop.
0:11:57 And so if you hit them,
0:11:59 it’s kind of a big deal.
0:12:00 It’s kind of expensive.
0:12:02 And you have to get
0:12:03 really close to them.
0:12:04 So you’re not talking about
0:12:05 being in an open field
0:12:06 where you can be,
0:12:06 you know,
0:12:07 plus or minus half a meter.
0:12:08 You’re talking about
0:12:10 being like one inch away
0:12:11 from, you know,
0:12:12 the trunks of these trees.
0:12:14 and if you accidentally
0:12:15 move, you know,
0:12:17 abruptly or, you know,
0:12:17 don’t steer correctly,
0:12:19 you’re going to hit it.
0:12:21 So you can’t rely on
0:12:22 kind of the things
0:12:23 that you can rely on
0:12:25 in broad acre farming,
0:12:26 in the row crop farming.
0:12:28 So there needed to be
0:12:29 more advanced technology.
0:12:30 And thankfully,
0:12:32 due to all the attention
0:12:33 and investments
0:12:34 that were being made
0:12:36 in, you know,
0:12:37 the autonomous passenger
0:12:39 vehicle world,
0:12:40 that technology started
0:12:42 to become available,
0:12:42 you know,
0:12:43 call it maybe
0:12:45 less than a decade ago.
0:12:47 But when I said,
0:12:47 you know,
0:12:48 kind of seven years ago,
0:12:49 like,
0:12:50 hey, you know,
0:12:51 my expenses are continuing
0:12:52 to go up at Trattori.
0:12:53 I’ve automated
0:12:55 darn near everything,
0:12:56 but I haven’t automated
0:12:57 the field work.
0:12:58 Could we take
0:12:59 some of that technology
0:13:00 and could we create
0:13:01 a solution,
0:13:02 an autonomous solution,
0:13:03 that could do
0:13:05 these repetitive tasks
0:13:06 that you need to do
0:13:08 in permanent crops?
0:13:10 And so with some friends,
0:13:11 built a prototype
0:13:12 five years ago.
0:13:15 And the prototype
0:13:16 worked really well.
0:13:17 We literally built
0:13:18 an all-electric
0:13:20 autonomous tractor.
0:13:22 What did it look like
0:13:23 and what did it do?
0:13:24 Didn’t look like
0:13:25 a traditional tractor.
0:13:26 We took out
0:13:27 the diesel engine,
0:13:29 we put in electric motors
0:13:30 and batteries,
0:13:33 and we put on cameras,
0:13:34 and we had,
0:13:35 you know,
0:13:36 an NVIDIA compute system
0:13:36 in it.
0:13:39 And we started to create
0:13:41 this sensor-based vehicle.
0:13:43 It had eight wheels,
0:13:44 it articulated,
0:13:45 and it could do
0:13:46 really steep slopes.
0:13:47 And one of the reasons
0:13:48 why we did that
0:13:49 is because at Trattori,
0:13:50 the slopes are very,
0:13:50 very steep.
0:13:51 By the way,
0:13:53 one of the main inspirations
0:13:54 for doing this
0:13:55 autonomous vehicle
0:13:56 came from
0:13:57 a documentary I watched.
0:13:59 I think it was
0:14:00 in National Geographic.
0:14:01 It was called
0:14:02 Mission to Mars,
0:14:03 The Story of Spirit
0:14:04 and Opportunity.
0:14:04 And these were
0:14:06 Mars rovers in the 90s
0:14:08 that NASA shot up
0:14:09 and were hoping
0:14:10 would operate
0:14:11 for, you know,
0:14:12 15 days
0:14:13 or, you know,
0:14:14 a couple of months.
0:14:15 And they ended up
0:14:16 lasting almost 15 years.
0:14:18 And I was watching
0:14:19 this documentary
0:14:20 before I actually
0:14:21 built this prototype,
0:14:23 and it reminded me
0:14:24 that, hey,
0:14:25 there are environments
0:14:26 where you can
0:14:28 take your time
0:14:29 in making decisions.
0:14:30 So,
0:14:32 they had animations
0:14:32 of how the rover
0:14:34 would approach a rock
0:14:35 and it would just stop.
0:14:35 And then it would
0:14:36 radio JPL,
0:14:37 you know,
0:14:38 take some time
0:14:39 to radio JPL.
0:14:40 They would take a week
0:14:41 and write some new code.
0:14:42 They would then download it.
0:14:43 And then the vehicle,
0:14:44 the rover,
0:14:45 would move to the left.
0:14:46 And after that,
0:14:47 whenever it encountered a rock,
0:14:48 it would move to the left
0:14:49 or to the right.
0:14:50 And I said to myself,
0:14:51 my God,
0:14:51 you know,
0:14:53 they had autonomous vehicles
0:14:54 operating on Mars
0:14:54 in the 90s.
0:14:56 And they could do it
0:14:57 because there wasn’t
0:14:58 a lot of traffic on Mars,
0:15:00 just like agriculture.
0:15:01 And that’s when,
0:15:02 you know,
0:15:03 my head really exploded.
0:15:04 And I said,
0:15:04 wait,
0:15:06 there are these industrial markets
0:15:07 that need automation
0:15:10 and you don’t necessarily
0:15:12 have to immediately,
0:15:13 you know,
0:15:14 be responsive
0:15:16 to the vehicle
0:15:17 if it encounters something
0:15:18 it can’t figure out.
0:15:19 Like,
0:15:19 oh,
0:15:20 there’s a tree
0:15:20 in front of me.
0:15:22 Unlike on a road
0:15:23 in traffic.
0:15:24 Correct.
0:15:24 Correct.
0:15:26 So when you build
0:15:28 this prototype
0:15:29 that you don’t even know
0:15:29 is a prototype
0:15:30 as you’re telling it,
0:15:30 right?
0:15:31 This thing that you’re
0:15:32 doing with your friends.
0:15:34 I mean,
0:15:35 it sounds like
0:15:36 a lot of the sort of
0:15:36 tech stack
0:15:38 is basically commodified
0:15:38 by that point.
0:15:39 I mean,
0:15:40 is it a sort of,
0:15:41 you’re at this moment
0:15:41 where you can be like,
0:15:42 oh,
0:15:43 we’ll buy these sensors
0:15:44 and we’ll start with this
0:15:45 piece of software
0:15:46 and like,
0:15:47 you can almost build
0:15:48 an autonomous vehicle
0:15:50 from off-the-shelf parts?
0:15:50 Is that sort of
0:15:51 the starting point?
0:15:52 From a hardware perspective,
0:15:53 absolutely.
0:15:55 From a software perspective,
0:15:55 no.
0:15:57 At that time.
0:15:58 So no,
0:15:58 we were actually
0:16:00 building a perception stack
0:16:03 that could do all the,
0:16:03 well,
0:16:04 first you had to localize
0:16:05 so you had to figure out
0:16:05 where in the world
0:16:06 you are.
0:16:08 And so we did need
0:16:08 to see GPS
0:16:09 at least once.
0:16:10 But then
0:16:12 the computer vision
0:16:12 technologies
0:16:14 and the perception stack
0:16:14 could then
0:16:15 align
0:16:17 to the crop itself.
0:16:18 One of the big differences
0:16:19 in approach
0:16:20 that we took
0:16:21 that obviously
0:16:22 the row crops,
0:16:23 the broad acre farms
0:16:24 don’t need to do,
0:16:26 is we actually said,
0:16:26 hey,
0:16:28 what if we exploit
0:16:28 the structure
0:16:29 of the crop itself
0:16:32 and utilize that structure
0:16:33 to navigate safely
0:16:33 through it
0:16:35 and farm precisely
0:16:36 around it?
0:16:37 meaning like know
0:16:38 what a tree is
0:16:39 and know what
0:16:40 your relationship
0:16:41 should be to a tree?
0:16:42 Is that what that means?
0:16:44 And in the early days
0:16:45 we said,
0:16:45 hey,
0:16:46 there’s one common
0:16:47 characteristic
0:16:48 in permanent crops.
0:16:50 They all have a trunk.
0:16:52 So what if we could be
0:16:53 the best
0:16:55 detectors of trunks
0:16:56 in the world
0:16:58 and utilize that
0:16:58 and utilize that
0:16:59 for alignment
0:17:00 and as I said,
0:17:00 also,
0:17:00 you know,
0:17:01 working around
0:17:02 that plant?
0:17:03 So that’s the key
0:17:04 sort of training piece?
0:17:05 Like you train
0:17:06 really hard
0:17:07 on trunks?
0:17:07 That’s right.
0:17:08 That’s right.
0:17:10 We initially labeled
0:17:10 trunks.
0:17:11 We would drive through.
0:17:12 We would get,
0:17:12 you know,
0:17:13 tons of photos
0:17:14 and we would
0:17:15 manually label
0:17:17 around the trunk area
0:17:18 and then we would
0:17:20 take those images
0:17:21 and we would tweak them
0:17:21 and create
0:17:22 synthetic data
0:17:24 and we would
0:17:24 label those
0:17:26 and once you get
0:17:27 enough of a data set
0:17:29 you can start to do
0:17:30 some additional
0:17:30 machine learning
0:17:31 with that,
0:17:31 right?
0:17:33 And what was
0:17:34 interesting was,
0:17:34 you know,
0:17:35 we got so good
0:17:36 at detecting trunks
0:17:37 we even called it
0:17:37 trunk vision
0:17:38 and we trademarked
0:17:39 trunk vision.
0:17:40 Not that,
0:17:41 you know,
0:17:41 we do a lot more
0:17:42 than trunk vision today
0:17:44 but that’s how
0:17:46 we got it to,
0:17:46 you know,
0:17:47 run through the orchards
0:17:49 and run through the vineyards
0:17:50 and what was really
0:17:50 interesting is we
0:17:51 initially trained
0:17:52 on grapes
0:17:53 on grapevines
0:17:55 and the rootstock,
0:17:55 right?
0:17:55 The trunk
0:17:57 and one day
0:17:59 my CTO,
0:17:59 you know,
0:18:00 he said,
0:18:00 hey,
0:18:01 let’s run it
0:18:01 in the olives
0:18:03 and I’m like,
0:18:03 oh,
0:18:03 but,
0:18:03 you know,
0:18:04 you sure it’s going to work?
0:18:04 He’s like,
0:18:06 I don’t know if it’s going to work.
0:18:07 I don’t know how well
0:18:09 the training will translate
0:18:11 and so we set it off
0:18:12 in the olives
0:18:14 and it just worked.
0:18:15 Now,
0:18:16 it wasn’t perfect
0:18:18 but it made us realize,
0:18:18 wow,
0:18:19 there’s a lot of leverage
0:18:20 between crops here
0:18:21 in these permanent crop
0:18:22 areas
0:18:23 It generalizes.
0:18:25 It generalizes really well
0:18:26 and of course
0:18:27 he’s continued
0:18:28 to evolve that
0:18:28 and you know,
0:18:29 we now do all kinds
0:18:31 of additional training
0:18:31 to make sure
0:18:33 in a new crop type
0:18:34 we are very,
0:18:34 very accurate
0:18:36 in exploiting
0:18:36 the structure
0:18:37 of the crop.
0:18:40 besides driving through trees
0:18:41 without hitting them,
0:18:42 which I recognize
0:18:42 is non-trivial,
0:18:44 what else did the tractor do?
0:18:46 Did it do work?
0:18:47 Yes,
0:18:47 it did work.
0:18:48 It mowed.
0:18:50 Initially,
0:18:50 the very,
0:18:51 very,
0:18:51 very first job
0:18:52 we did was mowing
0:18:54 because we have cover crops.
0:18:54 Sometimes the cover crop
0:18:56 gets like six feet tall
0:18:57 and you chop it up
0:18:59 with a flail mower
0:19:01 and then it composts
0:19:02 in between the trees
0:19:03 or the vines
0:19:05 and even that,
0:19:06 like you think mowing,
0:19:07 oh yeah,
0:19:07 you just set it
0:19:08 at four miles an hour
0:19:09 and you let it go.
0:19:10 You cannot do that,
0:19:11 right?
0:19:11 Because think about
0:19:12 what a human does.
0:19:13 A human’s on a vehicle.
0:19:15 It’s really funny.
0:19:16 I asked my engineers,
0:19:17 you know,
0:19:18 well,
0:19:18 did you ever use
0:19:19 a push mower
0:19:19 when you were a kid?
0:19:20 And they’re like,
0:19:21 what’s a push mower?
0:19:22 Anyway,
0:19:23 separate topic.
0:19:25 Push mower is really hard.
0:19:26 It’s harder than you think.
0:19:28 That was my experience.
0:19:29 Push mower means
0:19:30 a mower without an engine.
0:19:32 It doesn’t just mean
0:19:32 a gas mower
0:19:33 that you push.
0:19:33 Right,
0:19:34 right.
0:19:34 Just to be clear.
0:19:35 Right.
0:19:35 And then,
0:19:36 and then,
0:19:36 you know,
0:19:37 we got motorized
0:19:40 mowers for lawns,
0:19:40 right?
0:19:40 That you,
0:19:41 that,
0:19:41 you know,
0:19:42 actually had wheels
0:19:43 and had an engine on them.
0:19:45 But even with those,
0:19:46 if you would go through the grass
0:19:48 and if it would bog down
0:19:50 as the person
0:19:52 operating that lawn mower,
0:19:54 you would slow it down
0:19:55 in order for the blades
0:19:56 to catch up,
0:19:56 right?
0:19:58 And so,
0:19:59 if you think about it,
0:19:59 you can’t just
0:20:01 set a tractor going
0:20:02 to mow.
0:20:03 you need to
0:20:05 get that feedback
0:20:06 to understand
0:20:07 if it’s bogging down
0:20:08 and therefore
0:20:10 you need to slow down
0:20:11 or increase the RPM
0:20:13 in order to do
0:20:14 the job properly,
0:20:14 right?
0:20:15 So,
0:20:16 that’s something
0:20:18 we learned immediately.
0:20:19 But we already
0:20:20 thought about that
0:20:21 because we were
0:20:21 all farmers.
0:20:23 We had farmer DNA
0:20:23 in us
0:20:24 and we knew
0:20:25 that’s how a human
0:20:25 operated.
0:20:26 so we just,
0:20:27 we started to think,
0:20:27 okay,
0:20:28 how does a human
0:20:29 do this
0:20:30 and what are the things
0:20:30 we’re going to need
0:20:31 feedback on
0:20:32 like a human has
0:20:33 in order to get
0:20:35 the job done correctly?
0:20:36 So,
0:20:37 we started with mowing
0:20:38 and we became
0:20:38 really,
0:20:39 really good at it.
0:20:41 so you have your
0:20:41 prototype
0:20:42 and you decide
0:20:43 to start a company.
0:20:47 What do you have to do
0:20:48 to turn your prototype
0:20:49 into,
0:20:50 you know,
0:20:51 something you can sell?
0:20:52 Like,
0:20:53 what’s the,
0:20:54 what’s the leap?
0:20:55 yeah,
0:20:57 this was a big leap.
0:20:58 You know,
0:21:00 my mechanical engineering
0:21:01 co-founders was like,
0:21:01 you know,
0:21:02 whipping up all kinds
0:21:04 of cool ideas.
0:21:06 And then I thought about it
0:21:07 as a farmer
0:21:07 and I said,
0:21:08 wait a minute,
0:21:09 as a grower,
0:21:11 would I trust
0:21:12 a startup company,
0:21:13 you know,
0:21:14 for a new tractor?
0:21:16 Think about it,
0:21:17 right?
0:21:18 I’m a farm.
0:21:20 I rely upon
0:21:21 equipment
0:21:23 to get my job done
0:21:25 and that job
0:21:27 is vital
0:21:28 for the livelihood
0:21:28 of the business,
0:21:29 for the livelihood
0:21:30 of the family,
0:21:31 if it’s a family farm.
0:21:32 So,
0:21:33 why would I trust
0:21:34 a,
0:21:35 a startup?
0:21:36 Instead,
0:21:38 what I need
0:21:38 as a grower
0:21:39 is I need
0:21:40 trusted brands,
0:21:41 I need their
0:21:42 dealer networks,
0:21:43 I need the parts,
0:21:44 I need the service,
0:21:45 this,
0:21:46 this equipment
0:21:47 needs to be operating
0:21:49 all the times
0:21:49 that I need it
0:21:51 for the sustainability
0:21:52 of my business.
0:21:54 and so I said
0:21:54 to my colleagues,
0:21:55 I said,
0:21:55 you know what,
0:21:56 I don’t think
0:21:56 we should build
0:21:57 a tractor.
0:21:58 I think that would
0:21:59 be rather stupid
0:22:00 and I explained
0:22:01 why and they said,
0:22:01 oh,
0:22:02 that makes sense
0:22:03 and I said,
0:22:03 well,
0:22:04 how can we
0:22:06 work with
0:22:07 existing original
0:22:08 equipment manufacturers,
0:22:09 these incredible
0:22:10 equipment manufacturers
0:22:11 who’ve been at it
0:22:12 for over 100 years
0:22:13 and they build
0:22:15 incredible vehicles
0:22:17 that really work
0:22:18 well in these
0:22:18 harsh environments
0:22:20 and so,
0:22:21 you know,
0:22:22 at first,
0:22:23 investors that I
0:22:23 was talking about,
0:22:24 hey,
0:22:24 we’re going to do
0:22:25 an OEM model
0:22:25 and,
0:22:26 you know,
0:22:26 original equipment
0:22:27 manufacturer,
0:22:28 we’re going to help
0:22:30 accelerate their
0:22:31 digital transformation
0:22:32 because we know
0:22:33 where the puck is going,
0:22:33 right?
0:22:34 We know that
0:22:36 this industry too,
0:22:36 just like other
0:22:37 industries,
0:22:38 needs to go through
0:22:39 a digital transformation.
0:22:41 Every day,
0:22:41 there’s less and less
0:22:42 skilled operators
0:22:43 who go into
0:22:44 agriculture
0:22:45 so the equipment
0:22:46 manufacturers know,
0:22:47 you know,
0:22:47 they see the writing
0:22:48 on the wall.
0:22:49 They’re not going to
0:22:50 sell as much equipment
0:22:51 because,
0:22:51 like,
0:22:52 there’s less people
0:22:52 to operate them.
0:22:53 So,
0:22:54 they know automation
0:22:55 is really important
0:22:57 and they know
0:22:57 how to build
0:22:58 incredible iron
0:22:59 but do they know
0:22:59 how to build
0:23:00 an AI factory?
0:23:02 And that’s what I said,
0:23:02 you know,
0:23:03 we would focus on
0:23:04 is that we would
0:23:06 build software
0:23:08 to make
0:23:09 their incredible
0:23:10 equipment
0:23:11 incredibly smart
0:23:13 and provide
0:23:14 the solutions
0:23:15 that make
0:23:16 them autonomous
0:23:16 and give
0:23:17 growers
0:23:18 ultimately
0:23:20 new technologies
0:23:21 that can help
0:23:21 them save money
0:23:22 and get an
0:23:23 incredible ROI.
0:23:24 It’s almost like
0:23:25 building equipment
0:23:26 that comes with
0:23:26 a skilled operator
0:23:27 built in
0:23:27 that you can
0:23:28 turn on and off
0:23:29 anytime you want.
0:23:31 And as a bonus,
0:23:32 you don’t have to
0:23:32 have the crazy
0:23:33 capital outlay
0:23:34 of building
0:23:36 a tractor factory,
0:23:36 right?
0:23:36 Like,
0:23:37 I mean,
0:23:37 as a business,
0:23:39 it seems way better.
0:23:41 It does,
0:23:42 but there’s one catch.
0:23:44 and investors
0:23:45 early on
0:23:45 would say,
0:23:46 well,
0:23:46 I don’t think
0:23:46 you can get
0:23:47 an OEM.
0:23:49 And we did.
0:23:50 An OEM,
0:23:51 an original
0:23:52 equipment manufacturer,
0:23:52 a tractor company.
0:23:53 Yeah,
0:23:53 a tractor company.
0:23:55 And we did
0:23:56 an incredible
0:23:57 company called
0:23:57 Bobcat,
0:23:59 Doosan Bobcat.
0:24:00 They make
0:24:01 excavators,
0:24:02 large and small.
0:24:02 They make
0:24:03 skid steers.
0:24:04 They make
0:24:05 track loaders.
0:24:05 They make
0:24:06 tractors,
0:24:09 like normal
0:24:10 looking tractors,
0:24:10 right?
0:24:12 And they
0:24:13 make
0:24:14 forklifts.
0:24:14 They make
0:24:15 all kinds of
0:24:15 things.
0:24:15 So,
0:24:16 you know,
0:24:17 really what we’re
0:24:18 doing is
0:24:19 exactly what I said
0:24:19 earlier,
0:24:20 which is to
0:24:21 accelerate the
0:24:22 digital transformation
0:24:23 of these companies
0:24:24 because they know
0:24:24 they have to
0:24:25 transform.
0:24:26 They know
0:24:26 they have to
0:24:27 bring autonomy
0:24:27 into their
0:24:29 equipment
0:24:32 and create,
0:24:32 you know,
0:24:33 autonomy-enabled
0:24:34 vehicles,
0:24:34 right?
0:24:35 So,
0:24:35 we’re not like
0:24:37 creating tractors.
0:24:38 We’re just
0:24:39 helping them
0:24:40 with the brains
0:24:42 of the operation.
0:24:46 We’ll be back
0:24:47 in just a minute.
0:24:57 Run a business
0:24:58 and not thinking
0:24:58 about podcasting?
0:24:59 Think again.
0:25:00 More Americans
0:25:01 listen to podcasts
0:25:02 than ad-supported
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0:25:05 And as the
0:25:05 number one
0:25:06 podcaster,
0:25:07 iHeart’s twice
0:25:07 as large as
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0:25:09 whatever your
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0:25:17 business?
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0:25:26 That’s 844-844-IHEART.
0:25:28 Got a business
0:25:29 problem?
0:25:29 There’s a TED Talk
0:25:30 for that.
0:25:31 Stay updated
0:25:31 on everything
0:25:32 business on
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0:25:50 answers on TED Business
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0:25:51 to podcasts.
0:25:55 What’s out there
0:25:56 now?
0:25:57 Is your software
0:25:57 out in the world
0:25:58 now,
0:25:59 driving tractors
0:26:00 around orchards?
0:26:01 What are they doing?
0:26:02 Where are they?
0:26:02 How many of them
0:26:03 are there?
0:26:05 We have tractors
0:26:05 throughout the
0:26:06 western United States
0:26:07 and I’m pleased
0:26:08 to say that
0:26:10 we also have
0:26:11 vehicles in Australia.
0:26:12 We’re super excited
0:26:14 about the capabilities
0:26:15 we’ve enabled.
0:26:17 In the state of
0:26:17 Washington,
0:26:18 for example,
0:26:19 where apples
0:26:19 are number one
0:26:20 in the world,
0:26:22 we’re doing a lot
0:26:22 of spraying
0:26:24 and a lot of mowing.
0:26:25 And it’s really,
0:26:27 it’s very impactful
0:26:28 because you’re not
0:26:30 just having one vehicle,
0:26:31 but our customers
0:26:32 have many vehicles.
0:26:33 They have a fleet
0:26:33 of vehicles
0:26:34 and they’re able
0:26:35 to operate those
0:26:37 with one of their
0:26:37 employees
0:26:39 that they’ve upskilled
0:26:40 to be able
0:26:41 to supervise a fleet.
0:26:43 And so it’s kind of
0:26:44 neat to see,
0:26:45 you know,
0:26:46 a whole fleet
0:26:47 of vehicles
0:26:48 leaving the main shop,
0:26:50 driving on the dirt roads
0:26:51 out to the different
0:26:52 areas where they
0:26:53 need to do work,
0:26:54 do the work,
0:26:56 and then all come back,
0:26:56 right?
0:26:58 So it’s a very
0:27:00 seamless operation
0:27:00 for them.
0:27:01 Our software is also
0:27:03 on mobile applications
0:27:04 and that’s how
0:27:05 the main user
0:27:06 experience exists.
0:27:08 So think of you
0:27:09 having a tablet
0:27:10 or even just
0:27:10 your smartphone
0:27:13 and the site
0:27:14 is mapped out
0:27:15 usually with
0:27:15 aerial imagery
0:27:17 and you can just
0:27:18 point and say,
0:27:18 I want to go
0:27:20 and mow this,
0:27:20 you know,
0:27:21 this block
0:27:22 of the orchard
0:27:24 and we basically
0:27:25 can get close
0:27:26 to where the
0:27:27 crop is
0:27:28 and then once
0:27:29 we’re close
0:27:29 to the crop,
0:27:30 that perception
0:27:31 stack I mentioned
0:27:32 earlier about
0:27:32 detecting,
0:27:33 you know,
0:27:34 or exploiting
0:27:34 the structure
0:27:35 of the crop
0:27:36 itself takes over.
0:27:36 Trunk vision.
0:27:37 Trunk vision.
0:27:39 And it snaps
0:27:40 the vehicle to grid,
0:27:40 if you will.
0:27:41 Right?
0:27:42 But now,
0:27:43 once you have
0:27:44 trunk vision
0:27:45 and you see
0:27:46 in front of you
0:27:47 and you can see
0:27:48 the terrain
0:27:49 to a very
0:27:50 high degree
0:27:51 of accuracy,
0:27:53 you can take
0:27:54 mechanical weeders,
0:27:55 for example,
0:27:56 and manipulate
0:27:57 underneath these
0:27:58 trees,
0:27:59 you know,
0:27:59 these robotic
0:28:02 weeders
0:28:03 and navigate
0:28:04 while you’re
0:28:05 doing that
0:28:06 very precisely
0:28:07 all under
0:28:07 computer control.
0:28:09 Whereas when a
0:28:09 human does it,
0:28:10 you’re,
0:28:10 you know,
0:28:11 driving a vehicle
0:28:12 six miles an hour
0:28:12 looking forward,
0:28:14 you have your hand
0:28:15 on six actuators
0:28:16 on the,
0:28:16 you know,
0:28:16 the weeder
0:28:17 behind you
0:28:18 and you’re trying
0:28:18 to make it
0:28:19 all work
0:28:19 and inevitably
0:28:20 what happens
0:28:21 is you don’t
0:28:22 get the weeds
0:28:23 so the efficacy
0:28:24 is not high
0:28:25 or you hit the tree
0:28:26 and take it out
0:28:27 and, you know,
0:28:28 that again costs
0:28:29 a lot of money.
0:28:31 So that’s why
0:28:31 herbicides have
0:28:32 been used so much
0:28:33 because it’s really easy.
0:28:33 It’s called strip
0:28:34 spraying.
0:28:35 You just spray it
0:28:35 and you’re done
0:28:37 but that’s
0:28:38 that’s kind of
0:28:39 a thing that
0:28:40 we didn’t realize
0:28:41 you know,
0:28:41 this kind of
0:28:42 autonomous technology
0:28:43 would really open up
0:28:45 is much more
0:28:47 offerings for growers
0:28:48 so that they don’t
0:28:49 have to use
0:28:50 very expensive
0:28:51 ag inputs
0:28:52 or herbicides
0:28:54 that they’ve been
0:28:55 doing in the past.
0:28:56 All this work
0:28:57 that you’re describing
0:28:57 is it happening
0:28:58 in a like
0:29:00 commercial way now?
0:29:01 Like are you
0:29:01 out in the world
0:29:02 getting paid for this?
0:29:03 Yes, we are.
0:29:03 And what’s the business
0:29:05 model on that note?
0:29:06 Yeah, so
0:29:07 we’ve been operating
0:29:09 in paid pilots
0:29:10 in 2023
0:29:11 and 2024.
0:29:13 We never intended
0:29:14 to be paid
0:29:15 for pilots.
0:29:17 What happened was
0:29:18 we’d have these
0:29:19 demo days
0:29:19 and we’d invite
0:29:20 growers
0:29:21 and they would say
0:29:22 I want to buy one.
0:29:23 I said well
0:29:24 they’re not for sale.
0:29:25 Well, I want to rent one.
0:29:26 I’m like well
0:29:27 maybe we can do that.
0:29:28 Would you be interested
0:29:29 in doing a pilot?
0:29:31 Yes, and I’ll pay you.
0:29:32 And we’re like
0:29:33 okay.
0:29:34 So in those original
0:29:35 prototypes that we built
0:29:36 we actually
0:29:38 rented them
0:29:39 and it was kind of cool
0:29:40 because it was a very
0:29:41 small company
0:29:42 we didn’t actually think
0:29:42 we were going to
0:29:43 recognize revenue
0:29:44 until many years in.
0:29:46 And I think our first year
0:29:47 we did
0:29:48 you know
0:29:48 it was actually
0:29:50 close to a million dollars
0:29:51 but then the second year
0:29:52 we did several million dollars
0:29:53 and that was in 2024.
0:29:56 and this year
0:29:57 we went big time
0:29:59 and we have units
0:30:00 operating from
0:30:01 Washington, Oregon,
0:30:01 California
0:30:03 and now Australia.
0:30:04 And so
0:30:05 our business model
0:30:06 right now
0:30:07 is we work with
0:30:08 the manufacturers
0:30:10 they manufacture
0:30:10 everything
0:30:11 they procure all the parts
0:30:12 they bring it into
0:30:13 their manufacturing facilities
0:30:15 and they create
0:30:16 these very high quality
0:30:16 machines
0:30:18 that are factory fit.
0:30:19 Right?
0:30:19 A lot of people think
0:30:21 oh you do retrofit kits
0:30:21 on tractors.
0:30:23 We do not do that.
0:30:24 we believe it’s important
0:30:25 to work with the engineers
0:30:26 of these OEMs
0:30:27 to make the equipment
0:30:29 much more reliable
0:30:30 much safer
0:30:32 and lower cost
0:30:33 much lower cost
0:30:34 when you integrate it in.
0:30:36 And then when the farmer
0:30:37 buys the machine
0:30:39 with your software in it
0:30:40 with your autonomy package
0:30:40 in it
0:30:41 like
0:30:42 is it
0:30:43 is it
0:30:44 are they paying you
0:30:45 a subscription?
0:30:46 Is the price just
0:30:47 embedded in the machine
0:30:47 and you get some
0:30:48 of the money?
0:30:49 so
0:30:50 the answer is
0:30:51 yes to all of those
0:30:52 because in some cases
0:30:55 the software fees
0:30:55 will be embedded
0:30:56 in the machine
0:30:58 in some cases
0:30:58 you will pay
0:30:59 a monthly fee
0:31:00 or an annual fee
0:31:01 or a one time fee
0:31:02 right?
0:31:04 Think of Sirius XM
0:31:06 Sirius XM
0:31:08 creates technology
0:31:09 it gets embedded
0:31:10 by the OEMs
0:31:11 in their manufacturing facilities
0:31:13 satellite radio
0:31:13 just
0:31:13 just to
0:31:14 satellite radio
0:31:17 and goes to the dealers
0:31:19 and then the dealers
0:31:20 basically sell
0:31:21 to the end customer
0:31:23 and there’s a free trial
0:31:23 that comes
0:31:25 and after the free trial
0:31:27 Sirius XM
0:31:28 retains those customers
0:31:29 and charges
0:31:30 a monthly fee
0:31:32 that’s a good metaphor
0:31:34 satellite radio
0:31:35 but for autonomous tractors
0:31:37 for high value crops
0:31:38 exactly
0:31:39 there’s another twist
0:31:40 I’ll tell you
0:31:40 by the way
0:31:41 the chairman
0:31:42 the chairman of our company
0:31:43 the chairman of the board
0:31:44 is Jim Meyer
0:31:45 he’s the former CEO
0:31:46 of Sirius XM
0:31:47 aha
0:31:47 okay
0:31:47 yeah
0:31:48 and by the way
0:31:50 he’s brilliant at business
0:31:51 and he really helps shape
0:31:53 this kind of business model
0:31:54 what’s a technical thing
0:31:55 you haven’t figured out yet?
0:31:58 I’ll give you a small example
0:32:00 but it’s kind of important
0:32:01 so
0:32:02 three point turns
0:32:03 if you think about
0:32:05 permanent crops
0:32:06 you’re going down
0:32:06 these rows
0:32:08 and there’s
0:32:08 you know
0:32:09 a person has a ranch
0:32:10 let’s call it a thousand acres
0:32:12 and there might be a fence
0:32:13 around the entire thousand acres
0:32:14 right
0:32:15 to keep deer out
0:32:15 or whatever it might be
0:32:17 and they try to
0:32:19 maximize the land they have
0:32:20 so they plant the crop
0:32:21 pretty close to the edge
0:32:21 of the fence
0:32:22 let’s say
0:32:24 and so when you turn
0:32:24 you know
0:32:25 in the headlands
0:32:26 right
0:32:27 the headland turn
0:32:28 you might not have
0:32:29 a lot of space
0:32:30 so you can’t just like
0:32:31 make a kind of u-turn
0:32:32 at the end of the row
0:32:33 and go down the next row
0:32:34 correct
0:32:34 correct
0:32:35 correct
0:32:36 so you know
0:32:37 right now
0:32:38 we can do about 80%
0:32:39 of farmlands
0:32:41 and permanent crops
0:32:42 but imagine
0:32:42 if we could do
0:32:43 three point turns
0:32:45 we can achieve 100%
0:32:46 but
0:32:47 but there’s a twist
0:32:48 right
0:32:48 because sometimes
0:32:49 you not
0:32:50 you don’t have an implement
0:32:51 that’s the device
0:32:53 you attach to the tractor
0:32:53 that does the work
0:32:54 so you have
0:32:55 implements
0:32:55 you can attach
0:32:56 for mowing
0:32:57 for spraying
0:32:57 for weeding
0:32:58 for disking
0:32:59 for all kinds of things
0:33:01 some of those implements
0:33:03 are actually trailers
0:33:04 uh-huh
0:33:05 okay
0:33:06 so imagine
0:33:06 you know
0:33:08 being on a slight slope
0:33:09 with rocky soil
0:33:09 and everything
0:33:11 and you have a trailer
0:33:12 and you have to do
0:33:13 a three point turn
0:33:15 to get into the next row
0:33:16 it’s a high skill
0:33:18 that’s a high skill moment
0:33:18 right
0:33:19 the operator has to know
0:33:20 what they’re doing
0:33:20 yeah
0:33:20 exactly
0:33:21 exactly
0:33:22 and you know
0:33:23 autonomy enabled vehicles
0:33:24 have lots of cameras
0:33:25 they have you know
0:33:26 minimum of eight cameras
0:33:27 including rear-facing cameras
0:33:29 and side-facing cameras
0:33:29 and so
0:33:30 you have to really
0:33:31 now start to
0:33:32 you know
0:33:33 do very sophisticated
0:33:34 modeling
0:33:35 of the
0:33:36 you know
0:33:37 physics of that
0:33:38 tractor
0:33:39 as well as that
0:33:40 implement or trailer
0:33:41 um
0:33:42 which we
0:33:43 which we do today
0:33:44 as we go forward
0:33:45 but now we have to do it
0:33:45 going backwards
0:33:46 so
0:33:48 we haven’t mastered that yet
0:33:49 but we’re getting close
0:33:50 and I’m super excited
0:33:51 about that
0:33:52 both from a
0:33:53 technological achievement
0:33:53 perspective
0:33:55 as well as
0:33:55 a business
0:33:56 need
0:33:58 um
0:33:59 it’s nice
0:34:00 when they go together
0:34:00 yeah
0:34:01 um
0:34:02 so
0:34:03 let’s zoom out
0:34:04 for a minute
0:34:04 like I’m
0:34:05 I’m
0:34:06 you know
0:34:07 there are other people
0:34:08 working on other
0:34:09 um
0:34:11 agricultural
0:34:13 technology projects
0:34:14 other ag tech projects
0:34:15 even other autonomous projects
0:34:16 like when you zoom out
0:34:17 and think about
0:34:18 farming and technology
0:34:19 more generally
0:34:20 in the
0:34:21 medium term
0:34:22 you know
0:34:23 whatever that means
0:34:23 five years
0:34:24 10 years
0:34:24 like
0:34:26 how’s the world
0:34:27 going to change
0:34:29 well
0:34:30 so
0:34:31 first of all
0:34:32 there are a lot of others
0:34:32 working on
0:34:33 similar problems
0:34:34 um
0:34:37 we all have a slight twist
0:34:38 either in business model
0:34:39 or in technology approach
0:34:41 I think
0:34:42 I think that
0:34:43 equipment in the future
0:34:45 is all going to be
0:34:46 autonomous capable
0:34:48 and
0:34:49 we see the writing
0:34:50 on the wall
0:34:50 right
0:34:51 when it comes to
0:34:52 labor challenges
0:34:53 that we’re having
0:34:55 we have a severe
0:34:56 labor gap
0:34:56 um
0:34:58 if I were to ask you
0:34:58 how many people
0:34:59 do you know
0:34:59 who
0:34:59 you know
0:35:00 whose kids
0:35:01 go into agriculture
0:35:02 the answer is probably
0:35:02 going to be
0:35:03 not that many
0:35:05 I have three children
0:35:06 Jacob
0:35:06 and
0:35:07 none of them
0:35:08 are taking over the farm
0:35:09 and then
0:35:10 you know
0:35:10 of course
0:35:11 we have things
0:35:11 like
0:35:11 you know
0:35:12 some
0:35:13 immigration policy
0:35:13 changes
0:35:14 that have occurred
0:35:14 that are only
0:35:16 exacerbating the problem
0:35:17 even in the absence
0:35:18 of a labor shortage
0:35:19 at some margin
0:35:20 automation wins
0:35:20 right
0:35:21 like that’s what
0:35:22 happened with the tractor
0:35:22 and like
0:35:23 whatever
0:35:24 that’s right
0:35:25 so yes
0:35:26 I’m fully prepared
0:35:26 to believe
0:35:26 and yes
0:35:27 I can see
0:35:28 how the current
0:35:28 politics
0:35:29 might be accelerating
0:35:30 the shift to automation
0:35:31 but yes
0:35:31 so okay
0:35:33 automation is going to win
0:35:35 I stipulated
0:35:35 like
0:35:37 what’s that going to mean
0:35:38 what’s it going to look like
0:35:38 you know
0:35:39 tell me something
0:35:39 about the future
0:35:41 based on that fact
0:35:42 think about
0:35:43 row crops
0:35:43 right
0:35:44 I believe
0:35:45 row crops
0:35:45 are going to
0:35:45 radically
0:35:46 change
0:35:46 so here is
0:35:47 one big
0:35:48 inflection point
0:35:48 that I think
0:35:49 is going to happen
0:35:50 right now
0:35:51 we have these
0:35:51 large
0:35:52 large tractors
0:35:53 in row crops
0:35:55 that cost a million dollars
0:35:56 fully autonomous ones
0:35:57 cost well over that
0:35:58 and
0:35:59 why are there
0:36:00 big tractors
0:36:01 it’s because
0:36:02 these
0:36:03 these farms
0:36:03 you know
0:36:04 want as many acres
0:36:05 done per hour
0:36:06 by one person
0:36:08 but now
0:36:09 if automation
0:36:09 comes in
0:36:10 you don’t necessarily
0:36:11 need these
0:36:12 large vehicles
0:36:13 that have huge
0:36:14 ground compaction
0:36:15 this is your
0:36:16 trillion dollar
0:36:16 play now
0:36:17 you’re going to
0:36:17 disrupt
0:36:18 John Deere
0:36:18 is that
0:36:18 where this
0:36:19 is going
0:36:20 yes
0:36:21 so
0:36:22 I mean
0:36:22 but think
0:36:22 about it
0:36:23 right
0:36:23 if
0:36:23 if
0:36:24 you’re a
0:36:24 the only
0:36:24 reason
0:36:25 you need
0:36:25 to
0:36:26 make the
0:36:26 vehicle
0:36:27 as big
0:36:27 as
0:36:27 possible
0:36:27 is if
0:36:28 you have
0:36:28 to have a
0:36:28 dude
0:36:29 on every
0:36:29 one of them
0:36:29 that’s what
0:36:30 you’re saying
0:36:30 it’s not
0:36:30 necessarily
0:36:31 it could be
0:36:31 like
0:36:32 like the way
0:36:32 it’s like
0:36:33 a drone
0:36:33 swarm
0:36:33 you could do
0:36:34 a drone
0:36:34 swarm
0:36:35 but for
0:36:35 tractors
0:36:36 broad acre
0:36:36 swarming
0:36:37 exactly
0:36:37 right
0:36:38 and
0:36:39 that’s
0:36:40 there’s
0:36:41 some
0:36:41 additional
0:36:41 benefits
0:36:42 right
0:36:42 so
0:36:42 instead
0:36:42 of
0:36:42 spending
0:36:43 a million
0:36:43 dollars
0:36:44 you can do
0:36:45 more work
0:36:45 with five
0:36:46 tractors
0:36:46 that cost
0:36:47 less than
0:36:47 that
0:36:47 with their
0:36:48 implements
0:36:48 as well
0:36:50 and now
0:36:50 you have
0:36:51 some
0:36:52 additional
0:36:52 benefits
0:36:53 so you
0:36:54 actually
0:36:54 get more
0:36:55 work done
0:36:55 faster
0:36:56 and if
0:36:57 one of the
0:36:57 tractors
0:36:57 breaks down
0:36:58 you have
0:36:59 redundancy
0:37:00 right
0:37:01 if your
0:37:01 big
0:37:02 million
0:37:02 dollar
0:37:02 tractor
0:37:02 breaks
0:37:03 down
0:37:04 you got
0:37:04 issues
0:37:05 it’s
0:37:05 like
0:37:05 thousands
0:37:06 of
0:37:06 dollars
0:37:06 a minute
0:37:07 that
0:37:07 you know
0:37:08 that it’s
0:37:08 not running
0:37:09 so I think
0:37:10 there’s a lot
0:37:11 of opportunity
0:37:12 in agriculture
0:37:13 that we hadn’t
0:37:14 thought about
0:37:15 once automation
0:37:16 is achieved
0:37:16 I mean I
0:37:17 just I
0:37:17 described the
0:37:18 herbicide
0:37:19 challenge in
0:37:19 permanent
0:37:19 crops
0:37:20 I believe
0:37:21 that is
0:37:21 completely
0:37:22 can be
0:37:23 completely
0:37:23 eliminated
0:37:24 with
0:37:25 automation
0:37:26 and you
0:37:27 know computer
0:37:27 controls
0:37:29 computer vision
0:37:29 like you just
0:37:30 pick the weeds
0:37:30 instead if
0:37:31 you have
0:37:31 essentially
0:37:32 very cheap
0:37:33 robots that
0:37:33 are very
0:37:34 dexterous
0:37:34 you just
0:37:35 pick the
0:37:35 weeds instead
0:37:35 of spraying
0:37:36 them
0:37:36 absolutely
0:37:37 it’s already
0:37:38 happening in
0:37:39 row crops
0:37:39 you know you
0:37:39 look at
0:37:40 carbon robotics
0:37:41 they’re using
0:37:41 lasers to
0:37:42 kill weeds
0:37:43 you know in
0:37:44 lettuce fields
0:37:45 and other
0:37:45 kinds of
0:37:46 crops that
0:37:47 are called
0:37:47 specialty
0:37:48 crops
0:37:49 that’s huge
0:37:50 right because
0:37:51 before humans
0:37:51 would go in
0:37:52 there or
0:37:52 you’d spray
0:37:53 and use
0:37:54 ag inputs
0:37:55 or herbicides
0:37:56 so I think
0:37:56 there’s a
0:37:57 huge
0:37:59 there is a
0:37:59 huge inflection
0:38:00 point but
0:38:00 I just I
0:38:01 want to make
0:38:01 it clear to
0:38:02 your listeners
0:38:03 that just the
0:38:04 core base of
0:38:05 you know being
0:38:06 able to produce
0:38:06 enough food for
0:38:07 the population
0:38:08 we need
0:38:09 automation for
0:38:10 there are going
0:38:10 to be these
0:38:11 other benefits
0:38:11 some of which
0:38:12 we don’t even
0:38:12 know yet
0:38:15 so I’m such a
0:38:16 big believer in
0:38:17 automation it’s
0:38:17 why I brought my
0:38:18 two worlds
0:38:18 together and it’s
0:38:19 why I’ve really
0:38:20 dedicated my life
0:38:21 to this mission
0:38:23 and I just I’ve
0:38:23 never been as
0:38:24 excited as I
0:38:25 as I am now
0:38:26 in terms of
0:38:27 the impact
0:38:28 that this
0:38:29 company can
0:38:30 have our
0:38:31 share of
0:38:32 impact but
0:38:33 all of us
0:38:33 together there’s
0:38:34 so much
0:38:35 opportunity here
0:38:36 and you know
0:38:37 I think the
0:38:38 incumbents are
0:38:38 the ones that
0:38:39 the incumbent
0:38:40 equipment manufacturers
0:38:41 are the ones
0:38:41 that are really
0:38:42 going to make
0:38:43 it happen in
0:38:43 terms of
0:38:44 distribution and
0:38:45 support and
0:38:46 you know getting
0:38:47 it out there to
0:38:48 the world so
0:38:49 couldn’t be more
0:38:50 excited
0:38:54 we’ll be back
0:38:54 in a minute
0:38:55 with the
0:38:55 lightning round
0:39:06 run a business
0:39:07 and not thinking
0:39:08 about podcasting
0:39:08 think again
0:39:09 more Americans
0:39:10 listen to podcasts
0:39:11 than ad supported
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0:39:13 from Spotify and
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0:39:15 podcaster I
0:39:16 heart’s twice as
0:39:17 large as the next
0:39:18 two combined so
0:39:18 whatever your
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0:39:20 they’ll hear
0:39:21 your message
0:39:21 plus only
0:39:22 I heart can
0:39:23 extend your
0:39:23 message to
0:39:24 audiences across
0:39:25 broadcast radio
0:39:26 think podcasting
0:39:26 can help your
0:39:27 business think
0:39:29 I heart streaming
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0:40:00 wherever you listen
0:40:00 to podcasts
0:40:04 let’s finish with
0:40:04 the lightning round
0:40:06 I heard you say
0:40:07 on another interview
0:40:08 that you are not a
0:40:09 big fan of IPOs
0:40:10 and that you
0:40:11 generally prefer
0:40:12 acquisitions why
0:40:13 what do you got
0:40:14 against IPOs
0:40:16 well that’s from the
0:40:17 old days I went
0:40:18 through a couple
0:40:19 of IPOs and
0:40:20 just about killed
0:40:22 me so a lot of
0:40:23 people think you
0:40:23 know IPOs are
0:40:24 glamorous and
0:40:25 everything but you
0:40:25 know the road
0:40:26 shows are pretty
0:40:27 intense and the
0:40:29 pressures are really
0:40:31 intense and you
0:40:32 know I’m not just a
0:40:33 fan of acquisitions I
0:40:34 mean I think you’re
0:40:35 seeing a lot of
0:40:36 differences in the
0:40:37 private market than
0:40:38 you have in the
0:40:39 past companies like
0:40:40 open AI who are
0:40:41 raising billions of
0:40:42 dollars in the
0:40:44 private market and
0:40:45 not having to go
0:40:46 public you just
0:40:47 stay private forever
0:40:48 you could just be a
0:40:49 company that makes
0:40:50 more money than it
0:40:50 spends you could do
0:40:51 that for as long as
0:40:53 you want exactly
0:40:55 exactly so I think
0:40:57 the IPO you know
0:40:59 I mean just look at
0:41:00 the last few years
0:41:01 of IPOs there just
0:41:01 haven’t been that
0:41:03 many and so there
0:41:04 are other ways to
0:41:05 build incredibly
0:41:06 valuable companies I
0:41:07 get asked all the
0:41:08 time what’s your
0:41:10 exit strategy and I
0:41:10 always have the
0:41:12 same answer I
0:41:13 only focus on
0:41:13 building value
0:41:15 opportunities come
0:41:16 and I think
0:41:17 entrepreneurs who
0:41:19 build companies for
0:41:21 an exit aren’t
0:41:21 building the company
0:41:22 for the right reasons
0:41:23 and aren’t building
0:41:24 really valuable
0:41:25 companies either
0:41:27 what’s one thing
0:41:28 that Steve Jobs
0:41:29 told you that stuck
0:41:29 with you
0:41:33 I had the pleasure
0:41:34 of working for
0:41:35 some incredible
0:41:36 entrepreneurs Steve
0:41:36 Jobs being one of
0:41:38 them and what I
0:41:40 did learn is that
0:41:41 these incredible
0:41:42 entrepreneurs they
0:41:43 each had like a
0:41:45 singular mantra and
0:41:46 for Steve it was all
0:41:47 about design it’s all
0:41:49 about design and
0:41:50 there were things he
0:41:51 would push for that
0:41:52 we’d sit there and
0:41:53 scratch our heads and
0:41:54 go wait that’s going
0:41:55 to add like a hundred
0:41:56 dollars cost to this
0:41:59 and and we would do
0:42:01 it and the product
0:42:02 would be successful and
0:42:03 we’re like okay he
0:42:05 was right you know I
0:42:07 I learned from from Bill
0:42:09 Gates that it’s all
0:42:11 about software and you
0:42:12 know what he was
0:42:12 right I learned from
0:42:13 Michael Dell that it’s
0:42:14 all about cost and
0:42:15 guess what he was
0:42:17 right so I think you
0:42:18 know the every
0:42:20 entrepreneur that makes
0:42:22 serious impact you know
0:42:24 has these kind of core
0:42:26 mantras so what’s
0:42:28 yours I view it as a
0:42:29 combination but there
0:42:30 is one thing that I
0:42:31 will tell you very very
0:42:33 clearly and your
0:42:35 listeners and I tell
0:42:37 my teammates probably
0:42:38 every day if not every
0:42:41 week you know it’s all
0:42:43 about show me don’t
0:42:45 tell me and that
0:42:48 particularly applies to
0:42:49 these industrial markets
0:42:52 the best way to sell
0:42:54 industrial equipment and
0:42:55 this is what dealers do
0:42:58 is you know here Susie
0:42:59 Farmer take this piece
0:43:00 of equipment and use it
0:43:02 for a day and she’ll
0:43:03 take that piece of
0:43:04 equipment use it on her
0:43:05 ranch on her farm
0:43:07 whatever and inevitably
0:43:08 she will buy it because
0:43:10 she gets to try you know
0:43:12 before so I think I think
0:43:13 the show me mentality is
0:43:14 really really important in
0:43:16 this era and in ag tech
0:43:17 in particular because
0:43:19 there have been some
0:43:20 companies that have been
0:43:22 developed by pure tech
0:43:24 people and pure tech
0:43:25 people you know telling
0:43:27 farmers that you know we
0:43:28 can farm better than you
0:43:30 is not a good recipe for
0:43:32 success right and so by
0:43:35 focusing on show me it’s
0:43:37 really what resonates with
0:43:39 our customers it’s really
0:43:42 what our customers need and
0:43:43 it’s just how business is
0:43:44 done in these industrial
0:43:48 worlds so that’s my mantra
0:43:49 show me don’t tell me
0:43:53 what’s one ridiculous word
0:43:54 somebody wants you is to
0:43:56 describe the wine that you
0:43:56 grow
0:44:05 I didn’t even know what
0:44:06 this I still don’t know what
0:44:07 this word means but
0:44:10 ethereal I’m like
0:44:10 ethereal
0:44:12 I’m like what does it what
0:44:13 does that mean it doesn’t
0:44:15 stick around it’s like I
0:44:16 don’t even know I drank it
0:44:17 like what yeah I don’t know
0:44:20 right so you get all kinds of
0:44:21 feedback is that a fancy way of
0:44:23 saying easy drinking sounds
0:44:24 like easy drinking to me
0:44:26 probably yeah yeah yeah
0:44:28 but uh you get all kinds of
0:44:29 great feedback and I mean
0:44:31 that’s the cool thing about
0:44:32 sort of the show me mentality
0:44:34 is when you develop products
0:44:37 that end users you know
0:44:40 consume or use and you see
0:44:41 their reaction and you know
0:44:44 they’re you you please them
0:44:45 you give them something of
0:44:47 value that’s that’s what gets
0:44:49 me motivated all the time and
0:44:51 and that’s why you know this
0:44:52 space is is so exciting for me
0:44:54 because that that impact is
0:44:55 felt like really really quickly
0:44:57 when when you do have a
0:44:58 solutions that work or when you
0:44:59 do make great wine or when you
0:45:00 do make great olive oil
0:45:03 um yeah I don’t think of
0:45:04 autonomous tractors as
0:45:05 ethereal
0:45:07 please don’t
0:45:17 tim booker is a farmer and the
0:45:18 founder and ceo of
0:45:21 agtonomy please email us at
0:45:23 problem at pushkin dot fm we
0:45:25 are always looking for new
0:45:27 guests for the show today’s
0:45:29 show was produced by trina
0:45:30 menino and gabriel hunter chang
0:45:32 it was edited by alexander
0:45:34 garrettin and engineered by
0:45:37 i’m jacob goldstein we’ll be
0:45:38 off for the next few weeks for
0:45:40 the holidays i want to thank
0:45:42 you very much for listening to
0:45:43 the show this year it really
0:45:45 means tremendous amount to all
0:45:46 of us i hope you have a great
0:45:48 holiday happy new year and we
0:45:50 will be back with more episodes
0:45:52 of what’s your problem in
0:45:53 2026
0:46:04 everybody has a hot take on the
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0:46:11 is reporting you can trust hi
0:46:12 i’m kai rizdal the host of
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Tim Bucher is a farmer, and the founder and CEO of Agtonomy. Tim’s problem is this: How do you build an autonomous tractor that can work for specialty crops like grapes, olives, apples, and almonds? 

On today’s show, Tim explains what makes certain farming processes so difficult to automate, and how autonomy may soon change how we eat.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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