Rama Akkiraju, VP of IT for AI and ML at NVIDIA, discusses the transformative power of AI in enterprises. Akkiraju highlights the rapid evolution from perception AI to agentic AI and emphasizes the importance of treating AI as a new layer in the development stack. She also shares insights on the role of AI platform architects and key trends shaping the future of AI infrastructure.
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I dropped out of high school…Now I’m building the SpaceX of airplanes
AI transcript
0:00:02 I look in the mirror and I’m like fat and dumb.
0:00:05 And I’m like, if I want to have any chance of doing this, I have to go to the startup
0:00:07 CEO equivalent of the gym.
0:00:10 At that point, I don’t think I could have sold a dollar bill for 50 cents.
0:00:13 And I didn’t know jack about airplanes.
0:00:15 And so I’m like, OK, like I need to become that person.
0:00:18 I feel like I can rule the world.
0:00:20 I know I could be what I want to.
0:00:24 I put my all in it like my days off on the road.
0:00:26 Let’s travel never looking back.
0:00:30 So how does a guy who’s slaying coupons on the Internet become the founder of a supersonic
0:00:31 jet company?
0:00:36 Which, by the way, the one liner of what you’re making is a commercial jet that flies 1300 miles
0:00:38 an hour versus 500 miles an hour.
0:00:39 Right.
0:00:42 It takes you from it would take you from where to where and how much time like just.
0:00:44 Yeah, that’s what actually matters.
0:00:44 Right.
0:00:49 It take you from New York to London and just over three and a half hours, Tokyo to Seattle
0:00:52 and four and a half, L.A., Sydney, about eight and a half.
0:00:53 And that’s version one.
0:00:54 We want to go faster after that.
0:00:55 Amazing.
0:01:00 So my back story was I’ve loved airplanes since I was a kid, but because there was basically
0:01:03 no innovation happening in aerospace, it never occurred to me to have a career there.
0:01:06 You know, so I sort of fell in love with computers, with the Internet.
0:01:10 My first job out of school was Amazon in 2001.
0:01:15 My parents didn’t understand it because that was they were like, hey, we got you a computer
0:01:16 science degree.
0:01:17 Why do you want to work at a bookstore?
0:01:20 But it was an amazing time to be there.
0:01:24 After that, I was part of one of the very early mobile app companies.
0:01:26 And then I wanted to do my own startup.
0:01:31 And so I looked at my resume and said, I know e-commerce and I know mobile, so I should work
0:01:32 on mobile e-commerce.
0:01:34 And surely there’ll be something there.
0:01:40 And we built this like barcode scanning game, which is like if you make a list of like the
0:01:43 most important thing in the universe, the least important, you have to like dig a deeper
0:01:47 hole to find where barcode scanning game goes.
0:01:50 And I would get up in the morning working on that thing.
0:01:52 And I was just like, I was super depressed.
0:01:55 And I would think I’m going to screw this thing up.
0:01:57 All the investors are going to lose their money.
0:01:59 No one’s ever going to hire me again.
0:02:02 I was like really afraid of failure.
0:02:04 And I’m looking at what we’re building.
0:02:08 And it’s like, wait a minute, I’m building an app for people who shop in stores.
0:02:09 And I’m an e-commerce nerd.
0:02:10 I don’t even like stores.
0:02:12 What am I doing?
0:02:17 And so when we had a chance to kind of go acqui-hire the company to Groupon and investors
0:02:23 got a return and I got a little money and I got to like get out of, you know, I basically
0:02:26 got my escape fantasy out of this business that I didn’t love.
0:02:27 It was a huge win.
0:02:32 And I kind of spent my couple of years at Groupon reflecting on that and thinking about
0:02:33 what I learned.
0:02:37 And, you know, one thing I knew was, you know, I definitely wanted to found again.
0:02:40 You know, I’d started my first company in my parents’ basement in high school.
0:02:46 And there’s, you know, the founder bug had bit me, but I hated that waking up in the
0:02:50 morning thinking about, you know, what am I doing and wishing I’d never started.
0:02:53 And I never wanted to do that again.
0:03:00 And a thing I knew about myself is no matter what I was doing as a founder, I was going
0:03:01 to push myself to my personal red line.
0:03:07 And that red line is the maximum I’m capable of, and it’s going to feel the same no matter
0:03:07 what I’m doing.
0:03:12 But what won’t feel the same is what I’m doing and how motivated I am by it.
0:03:19 And I wanted to pick a startup idea where I would never regret starting, no matter how
0:03:19 hard the day was.
0:03:25 And so it led me to sort of organize all my ideas by how happy I would be if they worked.
0:03:27 And I’d had such a passion for flight.
0:03:29 At this point, I’d gotten my pilot’s license.
0:03:33 You know, there’s kind of all I knew about airplanes as to how to fly a single engine one
0:03:33 for fun.
0:03:37 And I never understood why no one had picked up where Concord had left off.
0:03:42 And I felt like, okay, I got to look at that and get it out of my system and then move on
0:03:43 to the next thing.
0:03:50 So before we tell that the boom story, what were the other ideas on that brainstorm of making
0:03:52 a list of possible things to go do?
0:03:55 We asked Palmer Luckey this question before he started Anderil, and he was talking about
0:03:59 how he was going to make like the food version of Diet Coke.
0:04:00 He’s just going to make like calories.
0:04:04 You could just like calories that things that tasted good, but had no calories.
0:04:05 And he was working on like synthetic food.
0:04:07 He’s like, uh, actually, all right, never mind.
0:04:08 I’m gonna make weapons.
0:04:11 Well, his other idea was actually pretty amazing.
0:04:12 It was a prison.
0:04:17 It was a private prison where you only get paid if the inmate gets out of prison and never
0:04:18 comes back.
0:04:19 Right.
0:04:21 And so it was like, Ooh, that’s actually a good idea.
0:04:22 I like that one.
0:04:25 It’s like the stuff on the cutting room floor is pretty good too.
0:04:25 Yeah.
0:04:27 So like, it was like three.
0:04:31 And then, you know, the third one was Anderil, but it was like three, like pretty epic things.
0:04:36 And by the way, his brainstorming process, he said he had like a house where he created
0:04:40 like a padded room where he could just like build things that had like, would like explode.
0:04:40 And he’s like, cool.
0:04:42 This is just walls that can take explosions.
0:04:47 So I’d love to hear, you know, your process might not be quite as crazy, but what were the other
0:04:49 ideas and how did you actually brainstorm them?
0:04:54 Well, the, um, looking back, I think the, the alternate ideas I had then are not as good
0:04:55 as the alternate ideas I have now.
0:05:00 Uh, like, I think I had something that was like a rental car company that would pick you
0:05:00 up like an Uber.
0:05:06 Um, you know, I still sort of wish that existed, but I don’t, you know, but I don’t, but I don’t
0:05:07 think that thing has long legs.
0:05:08 Right.
0:05:11 I don’t think it’s actually a good idea, even though the small number of times I want a rental
0:05:12 car, I really wish I had that.
0:05:19 Um, the, uh, you know, I think the, the other, one of my general premises, uh, especially
0:05:25 I’ve been reflected on the boom story is there are a lot of great unsolved problems that are
0:05:27 hiding in plain sight that nobody’s working on.
0:05:30 And I think it’s, I think it’s an artifact of the bystander effect.
0:05:35 And so if it, for anybody who doesn’t know that term, that the bystander effect is this
0:05:39 effect that like, uh, let’s say someone falls over having a heart attack on the street and
0:05:40 you’re the only one around.
0:05:44 You’re highly likely to run over, call 9-1-1, take care of them, make sure it’s okay.
0:05:45 Be there until the ambulance comes.
0:05:46 That’s what people do.
0:05:52 Uh, but if the street’s crowded, everyone tends to think, I’m sure the people who need
0:05:55 to know already know, and it gets ignored.
0:06:00 And, and the paradoxical effect is there can be a hundred people and the guy having a heart
0:06:01 attack is completely ignored.
0:06:08 And, um, I think this plays out in, in the business world, like in the Valley, like we tend
0:06:13 to get told if your idea is any good, there are already other, several other good teams working
0:06:13 on it.
0:06:17 And, and if there, no one else is working on it, there’s probably something wrong with
0:06:17 the idea.
0:06:22 But if you, if you really play that thinking out, what it, what it means is unique things,
0:06:26 um, tend to get left hiding in plain sight.
0:06:30 And actually the more compelling they are, the more likely they are to be ignored because
0:06:33 the more everybody assumes that somebody else would already be doing it if it were possible.
0:06:35 Like supersonic flight is like this.
0:06:37 Supersonic flight would obviously be good.
0:06:39 Nobody’s doing it.
0:06:42 It must be impossible or a bad idea, you know?
0:06:44 And there are other things in that category, like traffic.
0:06:49 I don’t think I am unaware of anybody attacking traffic in the right way.
0:06:51 And it’s a very solvable problem.
0:06:52 It could be a trillion dollar company.
0:06:56 It’s funny because, uh, the only other person that the person who comes to mind who I think
0:06:59 attacks these problems hidden in place site is Elon.
0:07:00 Yeah.
0:07:03 Um, you know, I was talking to an investor who knows Elon and he was like, you know, the
0:07:09 thing I always admired about Elon was that he, he just saw the trillion dollar idea on
0:07:11 the floor that the rest of us were walking by.
0:07:16 Very similar to what you described with the, he goes, he goes, any of us, a lot of people
0:07:18 who grew up like fascinated with space.
0:07:23 The idea of, of rockets that go to Mars was not a secret.
0:07:27 It wasn’t a, it wasn’t something nobody had ever thought of, but we all just sort of were
0:07:28 blind to it.
0:07:31 We assumed either it must be somebody else must be doing it.
0:07:33 You know, NASA must be doing it or it’s too hard.
0:07:33 It’s too expensive.
0:07:35 Either can’t be done.
0:07:36 He’s like, we all just ignored it.
0:07:41 And, uh, Elon also has a sort of bone to pick with traffic with the, I think he’s doing,
0:07:44 he’s trying to do with the boring company, which sounds like you might disagree with the
0:07:45 approach there.
0:07:48 How would, how would you approach the traffic problem?
0:07:52 I think boring company solves half the problem, but there’s another half the problem.
0:07:58 And, uh, so imagine for a second, if grocery stores work like roads do, meaning you pay for
0:07:59 them with your taxes.
0:08:05 And once you’ve paid your taxes, you feel you’re entitled to use it whenever you want,
0:08:06 as much as you want.
0:08:08 So what would happen to grocery stores?
0:08:14 There’d always be a line out the door and the shelves would always be empty, right?
0:08:16 That’s what we’ve done with roads.
0:08:21 We pay for them once with our taxes, and then we feel entitled to use them as much as we
0:08:22 want, whenever we want.
0:08:24 So they’re always oversubscribed.
0:08:29 What you need for roads is a price system and you need a dynamic price system.
0:08:32 Like I think there’s a, there’s a technology element of this, which I think is about smart
0:08:37 traffic lights, uh, and the ability to actually do smart routing such that, you know, imagine
0:08:42 you open up your phone and you open, you know, the maps app and, uh, you put in your
0:08:46 destination and not, not only are there sort of different routes and different times, there’s
0:08:50 basically different times and different prices and you can have fast and expensive or slow
0:08:50 and cheap.
0:08:55 And I think what we’ve seen, you know, New York did like a baby experiment with this and
0:08:59 like the, you know, the simplest way where they put like a, you know, eight or $9 fee
0:09:00 to go into Manhattan.
0:09:02 Are you, are you familiar with that, Sean?
0:09:05 I heard about, I heard they were doing, this was recent, right?
0:09:06 It’s pretty recent.
0:09:06 It was super controversial.
0:09:08 I’m here right now.
0:09:11 And so basically I think it’s $12.
0:09:17 So I think it’s between the streets of 60th on down and it actually shows you the map on
0:09:18 Google.
0:09:21 So if you type in like, you know, if you’re on 70th street and you got to get somewhere
0:09:22 to 50th street, it would say, here’s the threshold.
0:09:26 And right when you cross through, boom, you’re billed $12.
0:09:28 And I’m walking around here downtown right now.
0:09:31 It is so much quieter than it ever was.
0:09:34 It’s so much quieter and there’s so much less traffic.
0:09:38 Like the other day, like the day after it happened, I was downtown and I remember like standing
0:09:40 in the middle of the street and I’m like, where is everyone?
0:09:41 Right.
0:09:42 Like it’s so much better.
0:09:47 So I feel like this would be so effective, but also I would have guessed this is really
0:09:51 unpopular to implement, but once it’s implemented, maybe people see the benefits of it.
0:09:52 Was that, who got that through?
0:09:56 That’s kind of amazing to me that nobody’s talking about this really important experiment
0:10:00 happening in New York, not some fringe, like tier five city.
0:10:01 Was that unpopular?
0:10:04 Oh, it’s, it’s, it’s, what’s hugely controversial.
0:10:07 It’s even Trump was like, you’re not going to do this.
0:10:09 It was just, it was kind of like, dude, you’re like the president.
0:10:12 You can’t, you don’t really, I don’t know why you’re getting involved in New York city,
0:10:14 but like Trump was like, we’re, we’re yanking this.
0:10:16 The governor got into involved in this.
0:10:16 Yeah.
0:10:17 It’s a huge ordeal.
0:10:18 That’s right.
0:10:21 And I think that, I think the reason it’s struggling is because they, they kind of solved
0:10:23 half the problem, but not the other half.
0:10:27 And they also did a very, like the most coarse grained way you could possibly do it.
0:10:34 Uh, they, they put in place a usage fee, but they didn’t rebate the other taxes.
0:10:38 And so there’s a whole argument that says, hang on, I paid for the roads already.
0:10:39 Why are you charging me twice?
0:10:40 This is a tax increase.
0:10:46 And, uh, especially as the world kind of moves to EVs and some roads are paid for with like
0:10:49 licensing fees and some roads are paid for with gas taxes.
0:10:53 It’s like, now is the perfect time to fix this, to make, you know, to go to, go to usage-based
0:10:55 pricing, but you got to get rid of the other taxes.
0:11:00 Otherwise you’ve given, you know, every populace in the world, a good reason to say no to it.
0:11:03 And the, the other, the other sort of mindset, you know, I did think a bit about how you would
0:11:04 sell this.
0:11:07 I think the go-to-market challenges are way bigger than the, the product challenges.
0:11:12 There’s some fun, like AI things about how you build AI traffic lights and how you optimize
0:11:14 a network and don’t need a bunch of traffic engineers to do it.
0:11:15 It should be fun.
0:11:19 I think it’s way easier, the self-driving way more impactful, but the, uh, I think the
0:11:22 go-to-market matters, you know, cause it’s like, you know, it’s like, there’ll be this
0:11:25 envy element of like, oh, all the rich people are passing me.
0:11:32 But I think what you could do is basically rebate money from the people who are paying for fast
0:11:34 to the people who want cheap.
0:11:40 And so, you know, so think, think, think of it as like that asshole Elon cut me off, but
0:11:41 every time he does it, he has to pay me.
0:11:43 Right.
0:11:49 So, so I, I think there’s a way to, you know, effectively there’s like cashflow from the
0:11:54 people who want, who are willing to pay for the highest access to the roads to the people
0:11:57 who actually value the cheapest access to the roads.
0:12:00 And then there’s a technology layer, there’s an operating layer on this.
0:12:05 And then the, you know, the, the, whoever builds the system should get the 10% off the
0:12:06 top for building it and running it.
0:12:08 And that ends up being an enormous business.
0:12:12 By the way, if somebody wants to start this, I will like be your advisor.
0:12:13 I will be your champion.
0:12:14 I will help raise money for it.
0:12:16 Like I desperately want someone to build this.
0:12:18 So you, so, all right.
0:12:20 So boom has raised $700 million.
0:12:26 You guys are, uh, I think you just had a flight, you know, in the past year where you built one
0:12:28 of your, one of your engines broke the sound very huge deal.
0:12:34 And so, you know, we, we’ve had a few people like you, but you’re like a legend potentially
0:12:35 in the making.
0:12:37 Take, take us, take us back.
0:12:39 Like, what was the original question in your mind?
0:12:41 Like why, what, why isn’t there a supersonic flight?
0:12:45 What was the actual initial question in the first couple of weeks?
0:12:47 So it was like, why did Concord fail?
0:12:49 And what would you have to do for it not to have failed?
0:12:52 But were you on Wikipedia and you just came across that or you’re just a flying fan?
0:12:57 Well, if I was a flying fan and then, yeah, you know, I could go to Wikipedia and I read stuff
0:13:00 and, you know, the extensively it’s okay.
0:13:01 The facts make it obvious.
0:13:07 Here’s, here’s a, um, 100 seat airplane with a hundred uncomfortable seats and adjusted for
0:13:10 inflation at $20,000 fare and you can’t fill the seats.
0:13:11 You can’t make any money.
0:13:12 Okay.
0:13:13 That’s obvious.
0:13:17 So the next, the next question was, this turned out to be like the key question.
0:13:19 Why was Concord so expensive?
0:13:21 The answer is poor fuel economy.
0:13:26 And that kicked off a vicious cycle that led to high fares that led to the low utilization,
0:13:28 the lower utilization, the higher the fares have to be.
0:13:29 There’s a whole vicious cycle to it.
0:13:32 But, uh, but the root of it was, was poor fuel economy.
0:13:37 And the next question was, well, how much would you have to beat Concord’s 1960s technology
0:13:42 by in order to match the fuel economy of a flatbed in business class?
0:13:46 The thought was, well, eventually it’d be great to do this for everybody, but as a starting
0:13:51 point, business class is huge and you don’t need the bed if the flight’s not long.
0:13:53 You can have a better bed, the one at home.
0:13:55 And so how much do you have to beat Concord by?
0:14:01 And it turned out the answer was like less than 10% to, to match the total economics of
0:14:03 a flatbed in business class.
0:14:04 And I was like, what?
0:14:05 Like head explode emoji.
0:14:10 Like, I don’t really know anything about airplanes, but can we really not do 10% better than 1960s?
0:14:13 Give people a point of reference.
0:14:19 How much did you know about planes and calculating the fuel economy and all of that when you started
0:14:19 this idea?
0:14:20 Yeah.
0:14:22 Aren’t you a high school dropout?
0:14:24 Yeah, I’m a high school dropout.
0:14:28 I did actually graduate from college, but my degree is in computer science and the closest
0:14:30 thing I had to an aviation credential is a pilot’s license.
0:14:34 But this is, this stuff isn’t actually that complicated at this level.
0:14:39 Like the fuel burn data is all in Wikipedia and you can calculate fuel burn per seat mile,
0:14:41 which turns out to be like the key metric.
0:14:45 And, and says, okay, what was Concord’s fuel burn per seat mile?
0:14:48 What’s the fuel burn per seat mile of a flatbed in business class?
0:14:52 And again, you can just go pull on seat guru and you can see the map.
0:14:56 You can like measure on your screen, how much of its business class, how many seats are there,
0:14:59 how, how much floor areas in their whole airplane allocated out.
0:15:01 And then, and then it was like, oh, great.
0:15:05 You’d have to, you have to do about 10% better than Concord to match the total economics.
0:15:08 If you wanted to match the fuel burn per seat mile, it’s a bit more than that, but there
0:15:12 are all these other, you know, utilization benefits from speed.
0:15:16 And, and then the next question was, well, how much better is Boeing’s latest airplane
0:15:17 versus the one that came before it?
0:15:20 And the answer was something like 20%.
0:15:21 I’m like, wait a minute.
0:15:24 You can’t find, you can’t find 10% over 50 years.
0:15:29 Like, I don’t, you know, I don’t know anything about the details of the technology at this point,
0:15:32 but it seemed, it seemed plausible in the face of it.
0:15:33 And so at this point I was like, okay, hang on.
0:15:37 You said there’s a, there’s a fact here that, that has caught my attention.
0:15:38 That’s right.
0:15:42 I’m probably, I’m going to spend a bunch of sleepless nights questioning this.
0:15:43 Yeah.
0:15:47 Well, or actually I’m going to spend a lot of days trying to get smart on it.
0:15:51 And so I was like, this, this seems plausible in the face of it, but I’m on the far left
0:15:53 side of the Dunning-Kruger curve.
0:15:54 I don’t even know what I don’t know.
0:16:00 And, and so I, I sort of imagined myself, I imagined in the future, it’s 2050.
0:16:01 I’m like retired.
0:16:03 I’m sitting on the beach.
0:16:03 I’m sipping Mai Tais.
0:16:07 I had nothing to do with supersonic flight, but I’m just reading the aviation history
0:16:07 books.
0:16:08 And what do I think they say?
0:16:12 You know, do they say, you know, we’re still flying subsonic?
0:16:13 I really hope not.
0:16:17 Hopefully they say we’re going supersonic now and they tell the story of how it happened.
0:16:20 And how do, how do I think that story goes?
0:16:24 Does it go after 150 years of not building a supersonic jet, Boeing finally did?
0:16:28 Like no, business history never goes like that, right?
0:16:32 Like this is a big, big companies don’t suddenly get enlightened and build disruptive things.
0:16:36 So what, what, what’s the more plausible history, more plausible history is it was a startup
0:16:42 that did it, the, the startup founder would not have come from the entrenched industry where
0:16:45 everybody believed it was impossible or a bad idea.
0:16:46 They have to be an outsider.
0:16:49 And what would that outsider have to look like in order to be successful?
0:16:51 They, they, they’d have to have built a dream team.
0:16:55 So that to be really good at attracting great people, they’d have to be able to be a great
0:16:56 storyteller.
0:16:57 They’d be great at persuasion.
0:17:01 They’d have to be technically deep in order to be credible with all the audiences that would
0:17:02 matter.
0:17:03 And I sort of look in the mirror.
0:17:04 I’m like, is that me?
0:17:08 I’ve got the, like outside the industry box, but like the rest of it’s no.
0:17:13 Um, and so I’m like, you’re like, what would it take to attract this?
0:17:17 Like 10 out of 10, like the smoke show, like they probably need to be good looking.
0:17:19 They probably need to have a great personality.
0:17:20 They need to be funny.
0:17:22 They probably should have like really nice teeth.
0:17:23 That’s right.
0:17:24 That’s me.
0:17:25 I can do that.
0:17:29 I mean, so I, I, I look at the mirror and I’m like fat and dumb.
0:17:32 And I’m like, if I want to have any chance of doing this, I have to go to the startup
0:17:34 CEO equivalent of the gym.
0:17:38 Cause I don’t, at that point, I don’t think I could have sold a dollar bill for 50 cents.
0:17:41 And I didn’t know Jack about airplanes.
0:17:43 And so I’m like, okay, like I need to become that person.
0:17:48 My mental model for myself is, you know, we’ve probably seen those, like how it’s made videos
0:17:51 with pasta and there’s like pasta extruders.
0:17:56 And there’s this like big mound of dough in this gigantic, like press that’s pushing the
0:17:57 dough through this tiny little hole.
0:18:00 There’s like noodle, it gets extruded out the other side of the hole.
0:18:01 I’m like, okay, I’m the dough.
0:18:06 There’s this hole and I need to like extrude myself into the right shape to actually be able
0:18:07 to do this.
0:18:11 And, and so I went back and I started taking remedial calculus and physics because I hadn’t
0:18:12 had any since high school.
0:18:16 And I, and I didn’t know how to get through an aerodynamics textbook without way more math
0:18:17 and physics.
0:18:20 And then I read the aerodynamics textbooks and I did the problem sets.
0:18:23 And if I couldn’t figure them out, I threw them out and I got a different book and did
0:18:23 those problem sets.
0:18:25 You were not working at this point.
0:18:26 Is that right?
0:18:27 You had left Groupon.
0:18:31 How long was that not working time and how much money were you able to save up in order
0:18:32 to kind of do that?
0:18:35 Were you like rich, rich, or you’re like, I got two years where I don’t have to have
0:18:35 a job.
0:18:37 I had one year where I didn’t have to have a job.
0:18:37 Okay.
0:18:39 So you had what, like $250,000?
0:18:41 It was a little bit better than that.
0:18:47 I had sort of, in my mind, I had budgeted for like two failed startups before I would have
0:18:49 to go get a big company job.
0:18:52 I was like, let me give, I’ve got two shots on goal before I’m working for the man again.
0:18:54 You’re like, cool.
0:18:55 So I’ll definitely fail on the plane thing.
0:18:58 And then I’ll try to do that, that mobile app.
0:19:00 And then I’ll go give up, give up and go back and get a job.
0:19:02 That was kind of the thought process.
0:19:06 And I budgeted like, here’s, you know, here’s my salary replacement money.
0:19:10 And, um, here’s, here’s the, the seed money that I would put in the company myself.
0:19:15 And I had, I had, I had enough savings to do that twice before I needed a job.
0:19:22 And, you know, at the time I was married, I had three young kids, um, like three under
0:19:22 18 months.
0:19:23 Oh my God.
0:19:24 Yeah.
0:19:26 I got to do some math, huh?
0:19:27 Oh, you have some twins?
0:19:27 What are you, what are you doing here?
0:19:28 I had twins, yeah.
0:19:30 Okay.
0:19:33 And then did you, what, would you like kiss your kids goodbye in the morning?
0:19:34 And you’re like, all right, I got to go read.
0:19:36 And you just go, go into the other room.
0:19:38 You just, you just go with them to school.
0:19:40 You just go to the library with them, the lunchbox.
0:19:41 It’s funny.
0:19:42 No, I mean, you, you say that tongue in cheek.
0:19:43 That’s kind of how it went.
0:19:48 Like, you know, I had a, I had a office in the basement and I, I, I’d give them hugs
0:19:52 and kisses and I’d go downstairs and I’d sit at my desk and I, and I’d read and do problem
0:19:53 sets all day.
0:19:58 And you’re, you were telling your friends for that year, they’re like, what are you working
0:19:58 on?
0:20:02 And you’re like, I’m kind of toying with this idea of launching a commercial jet company.
0:20:03 Right.
0:20:05 And you could just watch the eyeballs roll back.
0:20:06 Yeah.
0:20:07 This was 2014.
0:20:11 My, my wife said, okay, honey, you’ve got a year to screw around with this.
0:20:12 And then I expect you to get a job.
0:20:13 Yeah.
0:20:17 Um, by the way, this is like before startups were cool.
0:20:20 Like now, if you say you’re working on like that, you can just go on Twitter and post about
0:20:22 it and people are like, oh, that’s awesome.
0:20:28 And 2014, that it still was a little bit, uh, uh, startups were cool then, but, but not hard
0:20:29 tech startups.
0:20:32 Like there were no, there were no hard tech startups to a first order.
0:20:34 Like there was SpaceX and that was it.
0:20:38 That was like the era of like Airbnb for blank Uber for this.
0:20:39 That’s right.
0:20:40 That’s right.
0:20:40 Yeah.
0:20:43 And like the, the only, the only thing that was out there as a reference point for anything
0:20:44 like this was SpaceX.
0:20:46 And it was still pretty early.
0:20:50 Like SpaceX had gotten to orbit and they were working on the Falcon nine.
0:20:55 And I remember thinking like, wow, you know, that guy went from PayPal to rockets, rockets,
0:20:56 you know, rockets sound harder than airplanes.
0:20:58 So this must be possible.
0:21:03 Uh, it turns out, it turns out I think actually airplanes are harder than rockets, uh, because
0:21:08 of, because of, you have to have, uh, I guess safety is an issue from day one versus
0:21:12 rockets, you can blow them up and iterate and you can’t, you can’t do that to an airplane
0:21:13 with a person on board.
0:21:16 So, but I didn’t, I didn’t, I was, you know, what, what’s that old phrase?
0:21:21 Like, I’m not doing this because it was easy, but because I thought it would be easy when
0:21:21 I started.
0:21:22 Yeah.
0:21:24 The best motivational poster of all time.
0:21:25 Right.
0:21:30 And I didn’t actually think it was going to be easy, but, um, and people, people often ask
0:21:33 me, like, if I knew how hard it was going to be, would I still start?
0:21:34 And they assume the answer is no.
0:21:36 The answer is definitely yes.
0:21:40 Uh, I still would have started even knowing how hard it turned out to be.
0:21:43 So how do you describe this way of thinking?
0:21:47 Because, you know, you, you talked about this, the pasta dough and the whole, and you’re like,
0:21:51 what kind of, what noodle do I need to, I need to shove myself through that hole to make myself
0:21:52 the noodle that I want to be.
0:21:53 Um, it is.
0:21:58 So there’s, you have that and you talked about like, I, I just imagined I worked backwards from
0:21:59 the end.
0:21:59 I’m retired.
0:22:01 I’m reading a book about the history of flight.
0:22:03 And what does that say?
0:22:05 Does it say nobody invented fast planes?
0:22:06 No.
0:22:10 Uh, does it say that Boeing invented the fast plane after showing no evidence of wanting
0:22:10 to do so?
0:22:11 No.
0:22:12 What do you call this?
0:22:17 Like, I guess, like, do you have a frame or a phrase for that way of thinking?
0:22:19 Because I think that’s very, sounds simple, but it’s very rare.
0:22:20 I don’t do that.
0:22:21 And I want to do more of that.
0:22:22 So I’ll teach me about that.
0:22:24 It’s, it’s first principles thinking.
0:22:26 Um, it’s super, super important.
0:22:29 And it’s like the most, I think there are two mental skills that are really valuable.
0:22:31 One is first principles thinking.
0:22:34 And the other is knowing when you’re confused versus when you’re clear.
0:22:37 And if you have, if you have both of those, you can do anything.
0:22:39 Explain both of them.
0:22:39 Yeah.
0:22:44 So, so first principles thinking is like looking to get, um, you know, it, it, let’s take a
0:22:45 math analogy here.
0:22:50 You know, are there a bunch of data points and I’m going to like draw a line through them
0:22:51 and extrapolate?
0:22:56 Or am I going to go understand the equation that led to those data points being where they
0:22:56 are?
0:22:59 Am I pattern matching or am I understanding causality?
0:23:03 And, uh, and going to causality is really important.
0:23:06 And most people don’t do it.
0:23:09 They operate on rules of thumb and rules of thumb are fine.
0:23:13 So long as you’re like doing things that have already been done before or not too far from
0:23:14 them.
0:23:17 Uh, but if you want to do anything new or different, or if you want to break from conventional wisdom,
0:23:19 you have to understand what’s really happening.
0:23:23 You know, you know, so for example, the pattern matching is Concorde failed.
0:23:27 People weren’t willing to pay more for supersonic flight like on Concorde.
0:23:28 Therefore, it doesn’t work.
0:23:29 It was an economic failure.
0:23:31 And you could find that in a zillion articles on the internet.
0:23:34 And, but like, hang on, what was really going on?
0:23:36 What were the actual economics?
0:23:38 What’s the actual passenger preference?
0:23:43 Um, what, you know, what would people, there’s a whole, like, don’t accept a qualitative answer
0:23:44 to a quantitative question here.
0:23:49 And, and, and so along, as I was doing this, I saw you say that quote, by the way, I actually
0:23:53 think that that quote is kind of more profound than the time that you just gave it.
0:23:55 What exactly does that mean?
0:23:59 People make all kinds of claims about issues that are measurable without measuring anything
0:24:08 like it was to pull on this example, people, supersonic flight costs more passengers prefer
0:24:09 cheaper flights.
0:24:15 You have to solve sonic boom to be able to fly over land in order for the market to be
0:24:16 big enough.
0:24:17 Therefore, you can’t do any of this.
0:24:23 And like every single thing in there is some qualitative claim about a thing that’s actually
0:24:24 measurable.
0:24:26 Well, okay, supersonic flight costs more.
0:24:26 Well, how much?
0:24:30 What would the fares have to be?
0:24:32 How many people are already paying those fares?
0:24:34 I mean, like, obviously people it’s paid to save time.
0:24:37 Well, how much do they have to pay and how much time is saved?
0:24:41 And, you know, okay, is there a market without supersonic flight over land?
0:24:41 I don’t know.
0:24:47 Go get the traffic data, build a freaking database and like start to make some assumptions about
0:24:49 costs and time savings and look at how big the market is.
0:24:50 That’s what I did in 2014.
0:24:53 I had a spreadsheet and some JavaScript code that went and did all that.
0:24:58 And it turned out the actual answers were not what anybody claimed they were because nobody
0:24:59 else had done the math.
0:25:02 Yeah, it seems like my dad taught me this thing.
0:25:04 He goes, he’s an Indian dad.
0:25:07 He likes to ask for discounts and somebody would say no and he would ask again.
0:25:08 Yeah.
0:25:10 And I’d be like, they said no, dad.
0:25:11 And he’d be like.
0:25:14 Didn’t your dad, didn’t you say your dad just goes, no, you’re going to give me this.
0:25:15 Well, yeah.
0:25:18 Sometimes he’ll just be like, so we’ll get a discount, right?
0:25:20 And he’ll do that type of thing instead of even asking for the discount.
0:25:23 But when he’s, when somebody says no, he would ask again or he’d ask somebody else.
0:25:27 And he would tell me, he would say, don’t take no from a person who didn’t have the power
0:25:29 to say yes in the first place.
0:25:30 Right.
0:25:31 That’s a great phrase.
0:25:32 She couldn’t have said yes.
0:25:33 So why do I care if she said no?
0:25:36 Like she didn’t have the authority to say, to give me the discount.
0:25:39 So I’m just going to keep asking until I get to the person who at least could say yes.
0:25:40 Let’s start that.
0:25:43 And what you’re saying is like, don’t accept a qualitative answer.
0:25:46 Don’t take a narrative when numbers would be there.
0:25:49 And I see this all the time in my companies.
0:25:51 It’s like, yeah, those didn’t perform well.
0:25:52 Well, how well?
0:25:53 How bad was it?
0:25:54 What is that?
0:25:54 How does that compare?
0:25:59 Are we sure that that, you know, and once you start to dig in, you realize people are
0:26:00 not operating from a place of fact.
0:26:03 And definitely a team is not operating from the same set of facts.
0:26:06 But how do you get people, Sean, not to think like that, though?
0:26:11 Well, I’ll tell you how I do, but I would like to hear maybe Blake do it because it sounds
0:26:13 like he’s probably a little further ahead on the curve there.
0:26:14 Go ahead.
0:26:16 I just get very blunt about it, but go ahead.
0:26:17 Yeah.
0:26:18 I mean, I ask a lot of questions.
0:26:22 Like if it’s a, if it’s an engineering thing, if someone’s telling me something’s not possible
0:26:25 and they can’t explain it in terms of Newtonian mechanics, I just don’t believe it.
0:26:27 The other thing is-
0:26:28 That was Sean’s answers.
0:26:29 That was his answer too.
0:26:33 I got a C in physics, by the way.
0:26:35 I had to retake it during the summer at Duke.
0:26:39 So I’ll give you two little tips that have worked for me.
0:26:41 And I stole these from when I worked at Twitch.
0:26:45 Emmett, the founder of Twitch, and now the CEO, Dan, they both had these great ways of
0:26:46 doing this.
0:26:50 So both of them, I think, wanted this.
0:26:55 They wanted people to give more substantiated, dug in, detailed answers that were based on fact
0:26:59 rather than either opinion or hearsay or just narratives in the company, whatever.
0:27:03 And so what they would do is they would say things like, hang on, I just want to make sure
0:27:04 I understand this.
0:27:08 Rather than saying, I don’t think you understand this, which would make the person feel of text.
0:27:09 Hang on, wait, wait, wait.
0:27:12 Sorry, I need to ask you this question because I want to make sure I understand this.
0:27:12 Yes.
0:27:13 You said this.
0:27:16 Is that because blah, blah, blah.
0:27:17 And so then they would break it down that way.
0:27:19 They would kind of take them off the defensive.
0:27:20 And Dan did this great thing.
0:27:23 He would say, he said, oh, you said something interesting there.
0:27:26 What he really meant was, you said some bullshit.
0:27:30 And then he would say, you said that this didn’t work.
0:27:32 Now, explain this to me.
0:27:38 It could be that this didn’t work because A, or it could be that we measured this and we
0:27:40 saw this and it could be B.
0:27:41 Is it A or B?
0:27:46 And then people would have to walk through their logic and they would see where their own logic
0:27:51 had potholes, where they would take huge leaps of assumptions or they’d say, I’d have to
0:27:55 go look it up and then he would, he would either pause and be like, let’s see if we can get
0:27:56 that data.
0:27:58 Can you think you’d get that data in the next two minutes?
0:28:01 And he would, he’d be like, cause if we just continue talking without that data, then I
0:28:02 guess the data didn’t really matter.
0:28:05 Or he’d say, let’s come back with that, with that data.
0:28:09 And what I’d be really curious of is A, B, C, D, and E.
0:28:12 And it’d be the logic chain that he wants them to go, to go do.
0:28:15 And you do that two or three times, you undress people sort of two or three times this
0:28:19 way, they start to anticipate it and they come into the meeting now with that because
0:28:22 they know he’s always going to pause me.
0:28:25 I can’t just, I can’t get away with just saying some bullshit in here.
0:28:26 I can’t just say it well.
0:28:29 It doesn’t matter if you say it well, it’s what are you actually saying?
0:28:30 That’s right.
0:28:31 So I think that’s brilliant.
0:28:33 And we built it into our interview process.
0:28:37 Like my, my favorite interview question is teach me something.
0:28:41 And it starts a conversation exactly like what you’re describing.
0:28:44 So the hang on, I didn’t understand what you said.
0:28:44 Why is that?
0:28:46 Can you walk me through that?
0:28:52 Like a story about this, at one point I was interviewing for like a head aerodynamicist
0:28:58 and like aerodynamics is like the super hard, very mathy, very techie end of aerospace.
0:29:02 It’s the hardest, you know, technically the hardest part.
0:29:08 And this guy shows up and he’s got this star-studded resume and he, you know, claims to be an expert
0:29:10 in hypersonic engine intakes.
0:29:11 And I’m like, teach me something.
0:29:12 He’s like, oh, like what?
0:29:13 I’m like, I don’t know.
0:29:15 Your resume says, you know, about hypersonic intakes.
0:29:16 Like I barely know what hypersonic is.
0:29:17 Teach me.
0:29:23 And he launches into this thing and he’s like, oh yeah, you really want to use a stream trace
0:29:25 design because that minimizes the cow lip angle.
0:29:28 And I’m like, hang on, slow down.
0:29:29 You went way over my head.
0:29:30 What’s the cow?
0:29:31 What’s the cow lip?
0:29:33 What angle are you talking about?
0:29:34 And why does any of that matter?
0:29:38 And it turned out the answer was, I don’t know, right?
0:29:40 But he had a soundbite that turned out to be true.
0:29:41 And we had this whole conversation.
0:29:46 And by the end of it, I felt like I had actually been able to reverse engineer some understanding.
0:29:47 It was very obvious he didn’t have it.
0:29:51 And the thing I love about that question is, even if you know it’s, I don’t mind sharing
0:29:54 this on podcasts because you can’t cheat on the question.
0:29:58 Even if you know it’s coming, you have to actually understand something.
0:30:04 Well, you know, what’s funny is back when you were getting going in like 14 and 16 and 18,
0:30:09 I don’t know about Sean, but like, I was definitely up and coming and I didn’t have like a lot
0:30:09 of money.
0:30:11 I didn’t have like enough money to make angel investments.
0:30:15 And for some reason, like I got sent your deal.
0:30:17 Not like, you know, I wasn’t in anybody.
0:30:20 It was just like, you know, this crazy guy has started this thing.
0:30:25 And it was almost as if I’m like, well, if I’m seeing this, then that must mean that all
0:30:27 like the cool guys have passed on this.
0:30:28 Right.
0:30:31 And I remember like reading about this company, boom.
0:30:34 And I’m like, oh, this guy, this person’s insane.
0:30:38 Like why, how is this, how has anyone taken this seriously?
0:30:41 And obviously that’s how a lot of great ideas start.
0:30:45 But it didn’t seem like you had an easy going when it came to the fundraising.
0:30:50 If like a guy like me was even able to come across the deck.
0:30:51 Oh, it was definitely not easy.
0:30:54 But by the way, notice, you know, unpack the thinking there.
0:30:57 That’s an example of bystander thinking implied to investing.
0:30:58 Sure.
0:31:00 That’s why I’m not, that’s why I didn’t invest in it.
0:31:02 And that’s why a bunch of my really smart friends did.
0:31:07 Yeah, no, I mean, the, the, the fundraising piece of this has been extremely difficult.
0:31:11 The, you know, I think some people have said there’s no venture in venture capital and it’s,
0:31:12 it’s kind of true.
0:31:16 And what didn’t work for us is going to VCs and trying to raise money.
0:31:19 And, um, I think there are a bunch of reasons for that.
0:31:23 The superficial reasons are like, oh, that the timelines for this are longer.
0:31:28 It doesn’t, it’s not a natural fit for, um, kind of fund life cycles where you want to show
0:31:31 a mark quickly and then use that mark to raise the next fund.
0:31:35 You know, so anybody who’s focused on that is going to run from a, a business like boom,
0:31:40 you know, but, but I think the bigger dynamic is like a principal agent type dynamic.
0:31:46 And it took me a long time to realize this is like, I, I sort of naively thought VCs are
0:31:49 the people with money and their job is to invest it to make more money.
0:31:51 But that’s actually not what VCs are.
0:31:53 VCs are money managers.
0:31:57 You remember that thing that would go around the Valley, like 10 years ago about Facebook
0:31:58 being free.
0:32:02 And people would say, if the product is free, then you’re the product.
0:32:06 But by the way, if the product gives you money, then you are definitely the product.
0:32:08 Right.
0:32:13 And like VCs are in the business of selling startups as an investment class to LPs.
0:32:16 And, but, and who are the LPs?
0:32:20 Many times they’re some, if you’re lucky, those are wealthy people who have their own money.
0:32:23 But many times it’s like the endowment fund of Harvard.
0:32:28 And it’s like, by the, by the time you trace that dollar back to anybody who actually owns
0:32:30 it, you have to go many, many levels back.
0:32:36 And, and the dynamics, like the incentive dynamics in that money, in that sort of like chain of
0:32:43 money managers is to, to be able to like raise the next fund and keep going relative, you
0:32:49 know, at a relatively short time period relative to the investment payoff of, of most startups.
0:32:55 And so what it does is it drives a, there’s an incentive to, to, to, to go invest in things
0:32:57 that look to LPs like smart investments quickly.
0:33:01 And, uh, boom might actually be an amazing investment.
0:33:04 I think, you know, not, there’s no guarantee of this.
0:33:08 We could totally, you know, at this point we’re big, we’ve done enough stuff that impact is
0:33:08 guaranteed.
0:33:13 You know, I just really don’t want it to be a crater, but you know, in, in success, this
0:33:14 is going to be a trillion dollar company.
0:33:17 Cause like people are going to fly more when flights are supersonic than subsonic.
0:33:19 This has to be bigger than Boeing if it works.
0:33:24 So it could be a great return, but it will take a long time for it to be clear that it’s
0:33:25 going to be a great return.
0:33:31 Uh, which means any, anybody whose career is based on raising the next fund from their
0:33:32 LPs, isn’t going to like it.
0:33:37 And I wish somebody had been an Oracle and whispered that to my ear in 2014.
0:33:39 I could have saved myself an enormous amount of pain.
0:33:40 You did end up raising money.
0:33:46 And I remember the first time that I heard about you guys, it was, hey, a YC demo day.
0:33:51 Some guy got on stage and he waved a piece of paper and basically said, we have a hundred
0:33:57 million dollars or something of LOIs or pre-orders for our supersonic airplanes that we’re going
0:34:00 to build from, uh, from, uh, from I think Virgin and one other company.
0:34:01 Yeah.
0:34:03 It was actually 5 billion in LOIs.
0:34:06 Um, 5 billion, 5, 5, $5 billion.
0:34:11 I still remember like Sam Altman’s tweet is that, you know, boom, had $5 billion at LOIs
0:34:14 at demo day as a record that probably won’t be passed soon.
0:34:14 Well, exactly.
0:34:16 So how the hell, how does that happen?
0:34:16 Is that bullshit?
0:34:17 Yeah.
0:34:21 No, I mean, so, so I’ll tell you the story and it involves the story about bullshit.
0:34:28 Um, the, uh, so we, we do YC and like Sam had been in our seed round and he had sort
0:34:31 of like, you know, this is back when Sam was running YC and he had sort of like been telling
0:34:32 me I need to do YC.
0:34:36 And I’m like, well, isn’t YC for like mobile social, you know, I don’t know that it’s
0:34:36 for supersonic jets.
0:34:38 And he kept saying, you have to do it.
0:34:38 You have to do it.
0:34:43 And eventually I was like, okay, my biggest risk is I never raised enough money to actually build
0:34:44 anything.
0:34:46 YC claims that they’ll help with that.
0:34:52 I’d, I’d rather try it and it wasn’t useful than, than not try it and fail and not having
0:34:54 given it every chance to succeed.
0:34:59 So I did, did YC and early on the group partners like, well, you need to show up with demo day
0:35:00 at, with sales.
0:35:06 And I’m like, this is like a 10 person company that just moved out of my basement.
0:35:11 Like I’d be lucky to, my customer pipeline is like Lufthansa United.
0:35:15 I’d be lucky to sell airplanes in eight years, let alone eight weeks.
0:35:16 And what am I going to do?
0:35:19 And so I was like, okay, there are two things that are possibilities here.
0:35:21 One, one possibility is a startup airline.
0:35:26 But if I look at an established airline, the only one that could conceivably do this quickly
0:35:27 is Virgin.
0:35:29 And only if I get to Richard.
0:35:34 And so I went, I went after both of those paths and we actually got a startup airline to do
0:35:34 it.
0:35:41 We got them to, there was a startup called Odyssey was going to do an all business class service
0:35:44 from New York to London city airport.
0:35:45 And I was like, this is great.
0:35:48 They’re doing the, you know, flying to London city, which is like the little airport in the
0:35:48 center of London.
0:35:50 That’s the best thing you can do short of being supersonic.
0:35:52 These guys probably get speed.
0:35:59 And so I met with a guy and he was willing to like, give me an LOI on like actually a different
0:36:00 corporate entity letterhead.
0:36:01 And I’m like, woohoo.
0:36:04 And now this, this LOI was for 15 airplanes at $200 million each.
0:36:06 So it’s a $3 billion LOI.
0:36:12 Explain what an LOI means in this context is LOIs can range from non-binding.
0:36:13 Hey, sure.
0:36:14 Sure.
0:36:19 I’m interested in taking a look to a binding LOI with hard money.
0:36:19 Right.
0:36:20 There’s, there’s a range.
0:36:20 That’s what I was saying.
0:36:23 When you’re talking LOI, what were you talking at this time?
0:36:25 So this LOI was a piece of paper.
0:36:28 And, you know, he started asking questions about it.
0:36:31 It’s from a startup airline, which by the way, hasn’t flown any airplanes yet.
0:36:36 Like, like this, you know, this was a PDF and it wasn’t worth the paper.
0:36:36 It was printed on.
0:36:38 This was the equivalent of, I have a girlfriend.
0:36:39 She just goes to another school.
0:36:40 Trust me.
0:36:43 It’s, it’s, you know, basically.
0:36:47 And, and so I’m, I’m, I’m doing the practice demo day pitches and like Michael Siebel, bless
0:36:48 his heart.
0:36:52 That guy’s got the, I think one of the brilliant things about PG is he’s built a culture at
0:36:53 YC where people just tell you what they really think.
0:36:55 It’s one of the best things about YC.
0:37:02 Um, and so I’m doing practice demo day and, uh, Michael Siebel looks at my slides and my
0:37:04 pitch and he’s like, Blake, do you have anything that’s real?
0:37:06 Cause you sound like you’re completely full of shit.
0:37:12 Um, and it, you know, it was bitter, it was bitter tasting medicine, but it’s what I needed.
0:37:17 And, um, and so I kept working on retooling the pitch to be focused on what hardware we really
0:37:18 had at that point in time.
0:37:21 And also trying to figure out this customer thing.
0:37:22 Cause I knew that LOI was flimsy.
0:37:26 And so we’ve been working on Virgin and there’s a whole other set of stories I could tell at
0:37:29 length about how I got to Branson, but, um, but I did get to Branson.
0:37:32 Well, tell us, we like the hustle stories.
0:37:32 Give us one.
0:37:40 So, so Mark Kelly, who is now Senator Mark Kelly, um, uh, shuttle commander, um, you know,
0:37:44 human extraordinaire in a bunch of ways, uh, astronaut Mark Kelly, astronaut Mark Kelly.
0:37:44 Yes.
0:37:50 Um, was on our advisory board and, uh, he hung out with Richard.
0:37:55 Um, and I sort of discovered I could ghostwrite emails from Mark Kelly to Richard Branson and
0:37:56 he would send them.
0:38:06 Um, and so I did, and this was, so this was like February, March of, um, 2016.
0:38:11 So Virgin Galactic is about to roll out their second generation spaceship.
0:38:14 Branson’s going to be in the Mojave desert for that event.
0:38:19 Uh, my chief engineer had actually gotten invited to go cause he was connected to those circles.
0:38:20 I hadn’t been invited.
0:38:27 And, uh, and so the, the, the pitch to Branson from Mark was the, Hey, the boom guys are going
0:38:29 to be in Mojave for your spaceship rollout.
0:38:30 You should really meet with them while you’re there.
0:38:33 And, uh, and he said, okay.
0:38:38 And so we got a 15 minute meeting and it was me and my chief engineer and Richard and Richard’s
0:38:39 mom.
0:38:41 Uh, I actually never got invited to the rollout.
0:38:43 I had to crash the rollout.
0:38:46 Um, but I met it, I managed to talk my way into it.
0:38:50 Uh, and, and I had this 15 minutes with Richard and he kind of, you know, uh, he’s
0:38:52 he asked us if we want anything to drink.
0:38:54 And I said, no, I’ve already had lots of coffee.
0:38:56 And I realized a couple of minutes into the pitch, he’s drinking scotch.
0:38:59 Um, it’s very early in the morning.
0:39:00 Um, I love Richard.
0:39:02 You, you, you, you failed the cool guy test.
0:39:03 Yeah.
0:39:06 Apparently, apparently I, I mean, maybe, maybe the pitch would have gotten better if I had
0:39:09 more scotch, but, uh, but at any rate, he’s like, guys, this is brilliant.
0:39:11 Like, I love what you’re doing.
0:39:12 This all makes sense.
0:39:17 And then he kind of leans back on his chair and he’s like, Oh, but I’m already doing Virgin
0:39:17 Galactic.
0:39:19 And that’s a lot.
0:39:22 And I don’t, I don’t know if I’ve got two of these things in me.
0:39:26 And I, and I said, Richard, we’re not asking you for money.
0:39:32 We’re asking if when this works, if you’d like the first few airplanes to be for Virgin, if
0:39:33 you want them.
0:39:37 Because if you’ll raise your hand and say, I want these, the product makes sense, then
0:39:38 I’ll go get all the money elsewhere.
0:39:42 Uh, and that turned out to be the thing that worked.
0:39:47 How did you think to, to say, instead of saying, uh, you know, invest in us or advise us or
0:39:50 whatever, just say, do you want the first ones to say Virgin on the tail?
0:39:53 Or do you want them to say Lufthansa?
0:39:56 Because the world is a lot cooler place if we write Virgin on the tail.
0:39:57 It was really, it was really Virgin versus BA.
0:40:02 And if you know him with a history of Virgin, you know that Richard, he hates BA, right?
0:40:05 What is Richard, what Richard cares about PR and he hates BA.
0:40:09 And when he tried to buy Concords, which he did, he tried to buy BA as Concords when they
0:40:12 were shutting it down and they wouldn’t sell it to him because they want to get embarrassed.
0:40:13 So what does this like?
0:40:17 Basically, Sean, I don’t know if you ever read his book or the listener, BA and Virgin, British
0:40:22 airlines, they had a battle in the nineties and early 2000s where BA was trying to shut
0:40:23 down Virgin.
0:40:24 And so he went on this whole campaign.
0:40:28 I think he brought like, is this when he brought a tank through London where any like rolled over
0:40:30 like a fake model plane?
0:40:34 Like it was like a whole PR campaign of the little guy Virgin versus the big guy BA.
0:40:35 Oh, it’s great.
0:40:36 The stories are great, right?
0:40:41 And he very specifically tried to beat BA with Supersonic and he lost, right?
0:40:46 And so, so he wants to do this and he cares about PR and he cares about his brand.
0:40:50 And so I’m like, why don’t I let you stick it to BA?
0:40:55 So it turned out, you know, so then the meeting ends and there’s no deal.
0:41:01 And I’m sort of like working it through my friends at Virgin Galactic at this point, trying
0:41:02 to get something done.
0:41:07 Um, at this point, uh, YC, the way YC was structured, demo day was spread across two
0:41:13 days and the company might not exist if we hadn’t been on day two because it’s so like
0:41:18 what happened, what happened that week is so, so Wednesday is our demo day, demo day two.
0:41:24 Monday, we were like launching the company out of stealth mode and we’d gotten, um, Ashley
0:41:26 Vance to write the launch article for Bloomberg.
0:41:29 And if you don’t know Ashley, he was like Elon’s first biographer.
0:41:33 We’d let him and the Bloomberg team come out to Denver and interview me and take all the
0:41:34 pictures they wanted to take.
0:41:39 And in my head, this is brilliant because the story is going to be boom is the SpaceX of
0:41:39 airplanes.
0:41:43 But we, I had no self-awareness about how darn early we were.
0:41:49 And I let the photographers take a picture of me on a plastic orange chair, climbing into
0:41:50 a cardboard mock-up of an airplane.
0:41:56 And Ashley actually wrote a nice story, but his editor picked the picture and wrote the
0:41:56 headline.
0:42:01 And the headline said something like this Colorado company thinks it can build a supersonic jet.
0:42:05 And then there’s my like fat ass climbing into a cardboard mock-up.
0:42:08 Um, and so that’s Monday.
0:42:12 I know it’s so bad.
0:42:12 So bad.
0:42:17 And it’s, and then it’s, and then it’s at the top of Hacker News and the comment, and the
0:42:19 comment, like photoshopped, like a helmet on your head.
0:42:22 Oh, I mean, it was so, it was so awful.
0:42:25 The comments are like, you know, what an idiotic company.
0:42:27 Don’t they know airplanes aren’t made out of cardboard?
0:42:31 And you know, what, what idiot runs marketing at that company?
0:42:33 Cause who would name a supersonic jet company?
0:42:33 Boom.
0:42:36 Um, and it’s brutal.
0:42:38 It’s just have, and I’m like, we are so screwed.
0:42:41 Like we’re just, we’re going to be the laughingstock at demo day.
0:42:47 And so that’s Monday, Tuesday, I’m sitting at my desk, working on the slides and up pops
0:42:51 this email from Virgin that says we’re in for the first 10 airplanes.
0:42:52 You can announce it tomorrow.
0:42:56 And I like read the email like three times.
0:43:00 Cause I’m like, there is, there’s like no way there’s, there’s like no way this says
0:43:01 what I think it says.
0:43:05 So we’re like, we’re like in San Jose in an Airbnb prepping for demo day.
0:43:05 Right.
0:43:09 And, uh, and so I’m like, I think, I think I just went from the biggest loser to the biggest
0:43:10 winner.
0:43:13 And I called up the team at YC and I’m like, I need to relaunch my startup.
0:43:15 Um, how do I do this?
0:43:20 And so I think I stayed up to midnight that night, redoing press pitches under embargo.
0:43:26 We relaunched the morning of demo day, uh, with a $2 billion LOI from Virgin done on an email.
0:43:32 Um, and, uh, and, and then we’re back at the top of hacker news again.
0:43:39 And the comments are like Monday, my, my favorite comments were like one, what genius runs marketing
0:43:42 at boom that the one, two punch, that’s how you launch a company.
0:43:48 And if there was another one that was like Monday, colon, ha ha Wednesday, colon.
0:43:49 Oh shit.
0:43:56 Uh, and, uh, you know, but by, by the grace of Richard Branson, we would have died that week.
0:44:02 You seem to have a lot of these stories that are, uh, what our buddy George Mack likes to
0:44:03 call high agency.
0:44:06 So you were a high school dropout yet.
0:44:10 You got into college and you, I think you high agencyed your way into college.
0:44:13 As I understand that you didn’t just work at Amazon.
0:44:16 I think you like kicked ass at Amazon and some, you got the job in an interesting way.
0:44:18 And I think you kicked ass in an interesting way.
0:44:23 This whole idea of like, I didn’t take at face value while the Concord failed.
0:44:28 And I kind of like taught myself the physics and calculus I needed to like diligence the
0:44:29 idea initially.
0:44:34 Um, it seems like you have a lot of these, what’s your favorite version of those stories that
0:44:41 you think, you know, it’s that I think your meter might be like, you don’t have the, what’s
0:44:41 it called?
0:44:47 Like the, um, like the thing that stops a car from going at a certain speed, like an artificial
0:44:50 governor, yeah, you removed your governor.
0:44:55 And so you’re willing to go further than the average person would when it looks like the
0:44:57 default answer is no, no, no for you.
0:44:58 Yeah.
0:45:01 Um, well, I want to understand, I guess a couple of things.
0:45:03 One is I want to understand things for myself.
0:45:06 Um, and maybe that’s the most important thing.
0:45:13 Like I don’t, um, funny side story as, as I was like going through a divorce and like fighting
0:45:16 with my ex-wife, uh, over like custody.
0:45:21 And I had to go through this like weird psychological exam and, uh, I’m going through, you know,
0:45:24 these like multi-choice questions where they ask you, you know, this random thing.
0:45:29 Like I could tell, uh, there were questions like, I think the experts are wrong and I know
0:45:29 better.
0:45:33 And I’m like, I think they’re testing for delusions of grandeur.
0:45:37 So I’m not going to, I’m not going to answer this one honestly, but that’s actually what
0:45:38 I think.
0:45:40 I think the experts are wrong all the time.
0:45:42 Anybody who bothers to think about it can figure out differently.
0:45:46 And, and so, so I have that premise, but I also, I don’t know.
0:45:48 I feel like I have a complicated relationship with my own ego.
0:45:53 It was a really weird decision for me psychologically to start this company.
0:45:58 It was like, I look in the mirror and I’m like, totally don’t look like the guy to do
0:45:58 this.
0:46:02 And it was very bizarre to tell my friends, I’m going to go build supersonic jets.
0:46:05 It’s like, I didn’t look like the person to do it.
0:46:07 I didn’t actually believe on the inside I was going to succeed.
0:46:08 I just didn’t want to not try.
0:46:12 Um, and I, and I really struggled with that.
0:46:14 And I remember thinking about, you know, who my business heroes were.
0:46:18 And I thought of, you know, I especially, I thought of a lot, but I especially thought of
0:46:24 Bill Gates because Gates had said, I think during the seventies that his goal for Microsoft
0:46:30 was to put a personal computer in every home and on every desk running Microsoft software.
0:46:34 And he said that in the seventies, right?
0:46:35 And then he actually went and did it.
0:46:42 Uh, and then some, and, and what was, what was it like to be Bill when Bill said that?
0:46:45 Like he didn’t have a resume for it either.
0:46:50 He could have flamed out and like, because he didn’t flame out, we know who Bill Gates
0:46:52 is and we have those computers.
0:46:56 But if, you know, so I’m like, okay, there must be a couple of categories of entrepreneurs.
0:47:01 So the people who like go after these big missions and they succeed and we all know their names
0:47:04 because it is Bill and it’s Steve.
0:47:07 And back in the day, it’s Thomas Edison and, you know, the greats of the great, right?
0:47:13 And then there’s probably like the dark matter of founders and the dark matter of founders
0:47:16 are the people who go for big things, who set big goals, but it doesn’t work.
0:47:24 And, um, would I rather be in the dark matter of founders or would I rather be in the like,
0:47:29 I didn’t try and I just had a job or I started another mobile apps company.
0:47:33 And I made the conscious decision that I’d rather be a dark matter founder.
0:47:36 That’s pretty badass.
0:47:38 Basically, you were willing to lose.
0:47:40 I had to be willing to lose.
0:47:46 I mean, another, another turn of phrase here is, um, oh boy, I’ll tell this through my story
0:47:46 of my daughter.
0:47:52 Um, she was, uh, when she turned 10, which is a few years ago now, uh, I took her out to
0:47:55 ice cream and it was, it was one of these like low moments where like I didn’t know how the
0:47:56 company was going to survive.
0:48:02 And, and by the way, we have one of those like every year, um, like with like regularity,
0:48:03 there’s like a life and death crisis every year.
0:48:07 Um, and I, I didn’t know, I didn’t know how we were going to get through this particular
0:48:07 one.
0:48:09 And I was feeling pretty down about it.
0:48:13 And like, you know, in my, I had this self-talk that was like, man, my daughter for her entire
0:48:17 conscious life, all her dad has been doing is saying he’s going to build supersonic jets.
0:48:21 And, you know, and it could totally, the first prototype might never fly.
0:48:26 Um, and you know, what the hell is my identity to my children?
0:48:31 Uh, and it’s just not really a great question, but I had that question.
0:48:35 Um, and I, you know, so she’s in the back of the car, we’ve just had ice cream.
0:48:40 And I said, Ada, like, what would you think if I failed at boom?
0:48:45 And I’m going to tear up as I say this, she didn’t miss a beat.
0:48:48 And, and she said, I’d be proud of you for trying.
0:48:52 And, uh, that speaks to me very deeply.
0:48:58 And, uh, that’s the view I try to have for my, myself, you know, do things I’d be proud
0:49:01 to try, but do things I’d be proud to fail at.
0:49:05 And I’ve always told the team, like, there’s no guarantee of success here.
0:49:07 We might fail, but if we fail, we’re going to fail honestly.
0:49:10 And we’re going to fail having given it our all.
0:49:12 And we’re not going to give up.
0:49:19 And when the, uh, when, when XB1, which is, that’s our prototype airplane, the, you know,
0:49:24 the first startup to ever break the sound barrier with that airplane, you know, when it landed
0:49:29 earlier this year for the last time, um, and I was standing outside the airplane with
0:49:32 the team of 50 people that had built it and flown it.
0:49:39 Um, and I said to the team, the reason, the reason we get to be here today is we didn’t
0:49:39 give up.
0:49:43 We got here because we’re the team that did not give up.
0:49:44 It took a whole lot of not giving up.
0:49:46 Other reasonable people would have given up.
0:49:48 A bunch of reasonable people did give up.
0:49:53 And to get, to get over to our airliner flying, that’s going to require a lot more of not
0:49:53 giving up.
0:49:59 So pick something you’d be proud to fail at and don’t give up.
0:50:03 New York city founders.
0:50:06 If you’ve listened to my first million before, you know, I’ve got this company called Hampton
0:50:09 and Hampton is a community for founders and CEOs.
0:50:13 A lot of the stories and ideas that I get for this podcast, I actually got it from people
0:50:15 who I met in Hampton.
0:50:17 We have this big community of a thousand plus people and it’s amazing.
0:50:22 But the main part is this eight person core group that becomes your board of advisors for
0:50:23 your life and for your business.
0:50:31 Now, to the folks in New York city, I’m building a in real life core group in New York city.
0:50:35 And so if you meet one of the following criteria, your business either does 3 million in revenue
0:50:40 or you’ve raised 3 million in funding, or you’ve started and sold a company for at least $10
0:50:42 million, then you are eligible to apply.
0:50:45 So go to joinhampton.com and apply.
0:50:48 I’m going to be reviewing all of the applications myself.
0:50:50 So put that you heard about this on MFM.
0:50:53 So I know to give you a little extra love now back to the show.
0:50:57 That’s a great story.
0:51:01 I also think that, um, you know, I’m not in your industry at all.
0:51:08 Um, Sean’s, uh, and I make internet stuff and I remember seeing this Elon Musk video where
0:51:12 his, the, the, the rocket, I don’t, I don’t remember what it did, but it was some threshold
0:51:15 that they had never accomplished before where it got to space, something like that.
0:51:21 And you see him looking up and you hear the launch control, like freaking out.
0:51:23 And he actually, I think he like cries.
0:51:24 It looks like he’s about to cry.
0:51:24 Yeah.
0:51:30 He’s like looking up and he’s like, it, it, it almost felt like he was even in awe or impressed
0:51:32 where he was like, I can’t believe it.
0:51:37 It worked and the whole crew, you know, a thousand employees are just freaking out.
0:51:37 Yeah.
0:51:42 And I remember thinking like, uh, you know, I don’t want to something like that seems so
0:51:43 challenging, man.
0:51:44 I couldn’t do it.
0:51:46 It took 15 years, 20 years to get there.
0:51:49 And then you see that video and you’re like, wow, that’s totally worth it.
0:51:51 And I, and I’m a little envious.
0:51:54 It’s sort of like someone like running a marathon and at the end of the marathon, their family
0:51:58 is there and they’re freaking out or doing some type of like crazy physical task where it takes
0:52:00 decades or years to work towards.
0:52:04 And then you have this like moment where it’s like, you know, there’s a very beginning and
0:52:05 a middle and an end to the journey.
0:52:07 And I’m very envious of that.
0:52:11 And it’s really cool that you had that, you know, recently, uh, it happened like six months
0:52:11 ago.
0:52:13 I forget that you guys like had your first flight.
0:52:14 Yeah, it was three.
0:52:15 It was like three months ago.
0:52:16 It was recent.
0:52:16 Yeah.
0:52:17 Three, three months ago.
0:52:19 And I remember having, I’m like, I have nothing to do with you, but I had this,
0:52:22 this sense of pride just for you.
0:52:26 Uh, and I remember seeing Paul Graham, who isn’t like a very, Paul Graham doesn’t seem
0:52:27 like a very excitable person.
0:52:30 And he seemed very excited about this.
0:52:31 And I was like, this is amazing.
0:52:34 And it almost felt, it felt very patriotic.
0:52:38 Uh, you know, that had nothing to, I don’t know if there was no like, it’s team ambition
0:52:40 instead of team America, right?
0:52:45 It’s, uh, yeah, I think there’s a part of all of us that wonders what’s the version of
0:52:48 me if I did the most ambitious thing.
0:52:51 If I did my version of supersonic jets, right?
0:52:53 And when I was little, I wasn’t a flight enthusiast.
0:52:54 I didn’t have my pilot success.
0:53:00 I, your thing is your thing, but I think everybody has a little version of that in them.
0:53:05 There’s some version of that in you, the most ambitious thing, the most you thing you could
0:53:05 possibly do.
0:53:08 And you probably fail and it’d probably be super hard.
0:53:12 And you could probably, if you’re smart, you have a lot of easier options if you decided
0:53:12 to choose.
0:53:14 And it could be small even like, that’s right.
0:53:18 Be a standup comedian or do a show all the way to go to space.
0:53:22 It’s the, it’s the biggest ambition rolled up to someone’s actual frame and their actual
0:53:23 values.
0:53:28 Like imagine going back to your five-year-old self and saying, let me tell you, I’m gonna
0:53:29 tell you what you’re going to get to do.
0:53:30 Here it is.
0:53:34 And like, what makes that five-year-old self just like tickled pink?
0:53:35 Like, wait a minute.
0:53:36 I get to do that?
0:53:40 Blake, have you ever read the Pixar rules of storytelling?
0:53:47 They have this thing called the 22 rules and the 22 rules, rule number one, the most important
0:53:51 rule, this is Pixar, Pixar who, if anybody knows how to move people, they know how to move people
0:53:52 emotionally.
0:53:56 Rule number one is you admire the character more for trying than for their successes.
0:54:03 And so, you know, the hallmark of every Pixar movie is not the happy ending, right?
0:54:06 It’s how the character approached the obstacles.
0:54:11 And this sounds like super, super obvious, but the reality is like, that’s also what,
0:54:13 you know, moves founders.
0:54:17 It’s also what inspires people is not the success.
0:54:18 Cause yes, it’s amazing.
0:54:21 That’s like Elon story with the rockets landing.
0:54:21 Wow.
0:54:22 That’s so cool.
0:54:25 The rockets landing on their synchronized in the middle of the ocean.
0:54:26 That is amazing.
0:54:30 But it’s like 10 times more amazing when you know that the first three rockets blew up and
0:54:34 that he went all in and that, you know, and that nobody was going to do this if he didn’t,
0:54:39 if he didn’t push forward and continue on in the face of like almost certain failure.
0:54:39 Right.
0:54:43 So I think that’s like one of the most important rules for founders.
0:54:45 Cause it’s what will inspire your team.
0:54:46 It’ll inspire, you know, customers.
0:54:47 It’ll inspire the audience.
0:54:48 It’ll inspire investors.
0:54:54 In the end is that you admire the character, how the character tries rather than their success.
0:54:55 I think that’s right.
0:54:59 One of our OG boom people has a metaphor for this that I found really useful.
0:55:05 He calls it the emotional piggy bank and he’s like, every time you’re struggling with a
0:55:11 problem and you push through, you’re putting a quarter in the piggy bank and when you finally
0:55:16 succeed, you get to break open the emotional piggy bank and the harder it was to get there,
0:55:17 the more joyous the victory.
0:55:19 Right.
0:55:22 And I think, I think he used to, this guy’s been a boom for nine years.
0:55:24 He’s one of the few early people that stuck it out.
0:55:29 Now he runs our engine program and, and, uh, I think he, I think he was using that with
0:55:33 himself a lot, but I’ve, you know, I’ve tried to broadcast it to the team.
0:55:35 Cause I think it’s really, I think it’s really true.
0:55:38 When do you think you guys are going to be mainstream?
0:55:40 When are you going to be, when are people going to be flying?
0:55:44 Cause right now you’re at this point in the company where it’s like, all right, you’ve
0:55:44 raised 700 million.
0:55:51 So obviously you’re a big deal, but you’re not to the point where it’s like, uh, this is
0:55:52 a thing, this is going to work.
0:55:56 Uh, when do you think that that’s going to cross this?
0:56:00 Or, and, uh, I guess it’s been 15 years, uh, or 12 years.
0:56:00 Yeah.
0:56:04 Uh, 11, uh, we’ll turn 11 on paper in September.
0:56:04 Yeah.
0:56:07 11, 11 years ago, I was in my basement reading textbooks.
0:56:07 Wow.
0:56:08 So not that long ago.
0:56:11 And now when, what’s the next chapter of the story?
0:56:15 So you got through a bunch of chapters, you got through the crazy guy in his bed, bedroom
0:56:16 to, Oh, okay.
0:56:19 This is kind of interesting to, Oh my God, he made a prototype.
0:56:22 This is actually, this is actually potentially serious.
0:56:25 Now the next chapter, what’s that going to be?
0:56:27 And when is it going to be, uh, when are we going to read it?
0:56:33 You know, one way to look at this is like, you know, progressive overturning of the skeptics.
0:56:36 Um, that’s not how I see it on the inside, but it’s one way to look at it.
0:56:42 You know, the skeptics said a startup could never sell airplanes to airlines.
0:56:45 Oh, we did United bought them, made a deposit.
0:56:46 American did.
0:56:47 Japan airlines did a pre-order.
0:56:48 Okay.
0:56:48 That happened.
0:56:51 Uh, a startup can never build a supersonic jet.
0:56:53 Um, Oh, we did that.
0:56:54 Okay.
0:56:58 The next thing skeptics say is, um, we’re never going to succeed at building our own jet engine.
0:57:02 Like there’s a whole class of people who are just like convinced that only big companies
0:57:03 can build jet engines.
0:57:07 And, uh, we’re going to find out pretty soon who’s right.
0:57:12 It was the end of this year, our full scale jet engine prototype, you know, should be running.
0:57:15 And then next year we’ll start building the first airplane.
0:57:22 And our, our goal is to roll the first one off the line in 27, uh, fly it in 28 and be ready
0:57:23 for passengers in 29.
0:57:28 And there’s a good chance that like it could take longer than that, but those are, those
0:57:29 are the goals.
0:57:34 And I, and I, I believe in, uh, we’ve got a lot, uh, gotten a lot of learnings along the
0:57:37 way about how you set goals and how you set schedules, which I can talk about.
0:57:44 But my, my conclusion is ambitious schedules result in the fastest actual execution.
0:57:46 And so that’s, those are our targets.
0:57:51 You know, it’s a cliche that I say this at the end of the podcast, you know, it gets to
0:57:52 the point where someone says something amazing.
0:57:54 I go, man, you’re, you’re the man.
0:58:01 Uh, uh, and so I’ve overused that phrase, but I think that, um, of the people who I look
0:58:07 up to are, it’s almost, you’re potentially going to be an American hero.
0:58:09 And I, and I think that like, we’re honored to talk to you.
0:58:14 And I think that, that, um, I hope that you are, because it would be really fun to have
0:58:14 you win.
0:58:17 It would be, it would give us all a huge sense of pride to watch you win.
0:58:20 And, and, and I think the, the jet thing is cool.
0:58:25 The, but the cooler thing is that you’ve had, you had a crazy vision and it might actually
0:58:26 come to fruition.
0:58:30 You know, I appreciate your saying that it’s a weird, and again, I have a weird relationship
0:58:34 with my ego on this, but I think back to like my days in college and I was reading my favorite
0:58:35 book, which is Atlas Shrugged.
0:58:43 And my, my favorite character in Atlas Shrugged is this guy, Hank Reardon, uh, who is this sort
0:58:49 of combination business technology hero, um, who like invented a new kind of metal.
0:58:55 Um, and, uh, and I, but I remember crying and thinking like, man, I don’t have it to be
0:58:56 somebody like him.
0:59:01 And, uh, you know, I always wanted to be, but I didn’t think I could be.
0:59:07 And along the way, someone, someone told me that this, the things we admire in other people
0:59:09 are actually our own strengths.
0:59:11 And at first that made no sense to me.
0:59:17 Uh, but as I start to pattern match about it, like, like my own weaknesses are the things
0:59:20 that annoy me the most in other people and my own strengths are the things I admire most
0:59:20 in other people.
0:59:23 It’s very paradoxical, but it seems to actually be true.
0:59:30 And, uh, and so there’s this like weird thing where I think we could actually become our heroes.
0:59:35 Um, and, and my, you know, of all the various random things that were said about me after
0:59:40 we broke the sound barrier, the one that spoke to me the most was where someone who I’d never
0:59:42 met, never heard of compared me to Hank Reardon.
0:59:44 Oh, that’s awesome.
0:59:45 Yeah, that’s amazing.
0:59:49 I always say, if you spot it, you got it both on the good and bad.
0:59:52 If something bothers you about some other people, it’s because there’s a part of you
0:59:54 that recognizes that behavior.
0:59:58 Um, and same thing, if something inspires you, there’s a part of you that identifies with that
0:59:59 behavior, right?
1:00:01 You are what you admire.
1:00:05 And, and I think that that, once you realize that you start to get, actually, you start to
1:00:08 pay some attention to what you choose, what you’re choosing to admire because you’re actually
1:00:10 pointing your little compass in that direction.
1:00:14 Um, and you know, then there’s just a question of, are you going to remove the governor?
1:00:16 Are you going to leave it in and not actually go chase it all the way?
1:00:17 I love this.
1:00:18 That’s the, that’s the happy side of it.
1:00:22 And then the unhappy side of it is the things that drive me crazy and other people, holy shit,
1:00:24 I need to have a dog with myself because I’m probably doing it too.
1:00:25 Right.
1:00:27 I like this quote that you have.
1:00:30 You said, if every founder worked on the most ambitious thing they could get their head
1:00:34 around, everyone would be happier and more great things would get built.
1:00:37 You know, there’s probably going to be somewhere between half a million and a million people
1:00:39 who listen to this episode.
1:00:44 Um, like, I guess if you were going to leave here making your case for that, for why, why
1:00:46 founders should work on the most ambitious thing.
1:00:48 Um, what’s your case?
1:00:58 Can’t lose if you win, obviously it’s great, but I think the, I think it’s a mistake to
1:01:01 start from your resume and it’s a mistake to start from what you think you can do.
1:01:08 is I think the only way to find out what you can do is to pick the most motivating thing
1:01:10 in the world and, and run at it.
1:01:15 Something that’s so motivating that the goal matters more than your own insecurities, that
1:01:20 you could do that thing where you extrude yourself into the noodle of the right shape.
1:01:22 That’s the only way you find your limits.
1:01:28 By the way, you were really young and I think I read that you reported directly to Jeff Bezos.
1:01:30 I can’t let you leave without asking you.
1:01:31 Do you have any good Bezos stories?
1:01:32 Oh, I’ve got a bunch.
1:01:33 I did not report directly to Bezos.
1:01:39 The, one of the most annoying things that happens as the, uh, as you go through these journeys
1:01:42 is like little bits of bio get turned into better soundbites.
1:01:46 And then I feel embarrassed because like, like people claim I was an executive at Amazon and
1:01:50 I was not like, well, someone was like, what actually, oh, he, uh, he worked at Amazon.
1:01:51 Oh, so he works for Jeff Bezos.
1:01:53 Yeah, he, he, he worked for Jeff Bezos.
1:01:54 Oh, he worked for Jeff Bezos.
1:01:55 Right.
1:01:57 So sort of every hourly worker in the warehouse.
1:02:00 Now I did get, I did get able to do something that Jeff cared about.
1:02:02 So I got to work with him a bit.
1:02:07 Um, but that meant that like, I was updating him once a quarter and, you know, and if I
1:02:10 screwed up really badly, like Jeff would hand my ass to me.
1:02:13 And, and the, by the way, there’s no better early career experience than to be like 22
1:02:15 working on something that Jeff happens to care about.
1:02:17 And when I screw it up, he tells me.
1:02:21 And so I found out later that I was the youngest ever manager at Amazon.
1:02:26 I don’t think I knew that at the time, but I got to build the, um, uh, the thing I got to
1:02:29 do was basically do Amazon’s first ad buy from Google.
1:02:35 And this, you know, and build the system that was, I think the first automated ad buying
1:02:35 system on the internet.
1:02:41 This was before the, the, we were buying AdWords before there was an AdWords API with like screen
1:02:44 scrapers that were like automatically clicking buttons in the background with Perl scripts.
1:02:49 And, uh, it was, my experience of it was, it was like standing next to a rocket and then
1:02:54 the rocket took off and like my like jacket got caught on the rocket and I kind of was along
1:02:54 for the ride.
1:03:01 Uh, but at some, at some point this thing was, was driving 7% of Amazon sales and 7% of Google
1:03:03 sales all at the same time.
1:03:10 Um, and, and somehow I just, you know, I, I, my experience of it was I was like on the precipice
1:03:12 of failing and they were about to fire me and replace me with somebody who actually knew
1:03:13 what they were doing.
1:03:17 Um, and, and I was like right at that line and never quite crossed it.
1:03:22 Um, but it was a, it was a great first go build something from scratch gig.
1:03:26 And, uh, and I got to learn a lot from that experience and I got to know, got to know Jeff
1:03:28 a little bit, but like, I didn’t work directly for him.
1:03:31 I was like, what’s he like and what’d you pick up from him?
1:03:34 Oh, I really admire Jeff.
1:03:38 The stories they get told about CEOs tend to be the ones about how they lose their cool and
1:03:40 yell at people and fire people in the elevators and whatnot.
1:03:45 And one of my favorite things, and I would watch Jeff lose it from people a couple of
1:03:49 times, but what I found is he never lost it with me so long as I took accountability.
1:03:55 And I remember the very first time I was presenting to Jeff, we had just launched like the MVP of
1:03:56 this thing I was describing.
1:03:59 And I’m like telling Jeff how he built it and why.
1:04:03 And I’m like nervous AF cause I’m like 22 or 23 presenting to like this God.
1:04:07 And we get partly through the presentation and it’s going well.
1:04:09 And then he says, well, why didn’t you do X?
1:04:10 And he’s got this idea.
1:04:12 And I said, well, we didn’t think of that.
1:04:16 And, and, and he starts laughing, right.
1:04:19 He starts laughing the big famous Jeff Bezos laugh.
1:04:21 And he says, that’s a great answer.
1:04:24 It’s true all the time, but nobody’s willing to say it.
1:04:31 And, and so what I found was like, you know, whenever I just told Jeff the truth and took
1:04:34 accountability, like there was another time I was in front of the old executive team and
1:04:36 the temperatures going up in the room.
1:04:39 I was like, why did we do this when this other thing was a higher priority?
1:04:43 And you can just, everyone’s get progressively more pissed off that we’ve misprioritized.
1:04:46 And I just spoke up and said, that was my call.
1:04:47 I got it wrong.
1:04:48 I misprioritized.
1:04:49 I won’t do it again.
1:04:51 And, and the tone of the room was okay.
1:04:53 And the conversation moved on.
1:04:59 And obviously I couldn’t do that every single time on every single thing, but Jeff, Jeff rewarded
1:05:00 straight shooters.
1:05:02 Jeff rewarded accountability.
1:05:06 Jeff rewarded knowing, knowing your own business, like the back of your hand.
1:05:09 And he was, he was tremendously forgiving for learning on the job.
1:05:11 And I, I have huge respect for it.
1:05:14 The other thing is like, I’d go in to talk to him once a quarter and you’d like, you know,
1:05:19 and I felt like I knew my shit and he would hand me like a novel insight in five minutes.
1:05:21 I’m the thing that I did every day.
1:05:26 And I think that goes to like being really smart, but also that first principles thing.
1:05:28 As you go to first principles, you can actually get to novel insights.
1:05:30 That’s exactly what Emmett said.
1:05:32 Amazon bought Twitch for like a billion dollars, whatever.
1:05:33 So he reported to Jeff.
1:05:36 And so he would go, I think twice a year, three times a year, go meet him.
1:05:38 And he said the same thing.
1:05:40 He’s like, he wants you to know your business.
1:05:44 He’s like, but then within five minutes of sort of reading the document, he’s like, without
1:05:48 fail, he would give me one thing that I thought was kind of impossible.
1:05:54 I think about this business 24 seven and he gives me an idea or an angle or perspective,
1:05:57 like a novel perspective or novel idea that I didn’t have.
1:06:00 And he’s like, that’s amazing.
1:06:03 That is a, you know, that shows kind of the level that that guy’s at.
1:06:07 He’s super smart and he’s very first principles.
1:06:11 And if you put those two things together, that’s what actually, I think that’s what makes my
1:06:12 experience and Emmett’s experience possible.
1:06:15 And it’s the thing that enables other leaders to do the same thing.
1:06:20 The thing I try to challenge myself to do is at any given like management review or working
1:06:23 with a team, I try to ask myself, what’s the most important question?
1:06:27 And many, many times what I find is no one’s asked the most important question.
1:06:29 It’s actually not hard to find it and not hard to ask it.
1:06:30 That’s pretty brilliant.
1:06:32 What’s it, could you just give us an example of that?
1:06:36 Like a situation where you, you asked that question and it shifted the convo?
1:06:37 I got one from yesterday.
1:06:38 That’s sort of an example.
1:06:43 I called the Overture leadership team together on a Sunday.
1:06:48 My spidey sense was firing that we weren’t aligned about development philosophy.
1:06:52 And we start talking about when to insource and when to vertically integrate.
1:06:56 And, you know, the conversation in the room started, I was like, oh, vertical integrations
1:06:57 is a goal.
1:06:59 So we’ll eventually do all these things.
1:07:03 And I tried to get the conversation to like, no, it’s not.
1:07:07 Like what we need is the winning strategy.
1:07:11 What we need to decide is when do we want suppliers and when do we want to do things ourselves?
1:07:14 And what are the principles by which we make those decisions?
1:07:17 And then, so I went to the whiteboard and the room started like trying to answer those
1:07:20 questions, like how do we know whether we should do something ourselves or outsource it?
1:07:24 And I don’t think we’ve completely cracked the nut on that, but we at least brought the
1:07:29 team’s focus not to like, what are the answers, but how are the principles by which we make
1:07:30 those decisions?
1:07:34 And I think if we pull, I think we’ll keep pulling on that thread and ultimately the answer
1:07:38 to that question will be part of our success story as a company, because we’ll have understood
1:07:39 how to think about it.
1:07:43 And we’ve got the team on a set of principles that will then, if they won’t need to make every,
1:07:46 bring every supplier decision to me, they’ll like, they’ll, they’ll,
1:07:50 they’ll like, look, understand the principles and make great independent decisions.
1:07:51 Dude, Blake, you’re awesome, man.
1:07:53 You’re a, you’re a very unique founder.
1:07:55 Met a lot of founders.
1:07:56 You’re a very unique guy.
1:07:57 And what you’re doing is awesome.
1:07:58 I really appreciate you coming on.
1:08:02 And I hope you, I hope my keyboard wasn’t making too much noise because I kept writing
1:08:06 down these little quotables that I thought were pretty, pretty great for me.
1:08:10 The best episodes, Blake, the best episodes, you’ll either, you’ll see Sean and I do two
1:08:11 things.
1:08:16 You’ll see us do this and we like are gazing or the other thing that I, that we do is we
1:08:17 just, you see us do this.
1:08:21 You see us just lean back and cross our arms and like classes in session.
1:08:22 Uh, well, thank you.
1:08:24 I had a lot of fun.
1:08:24 Yeah.
1:08:26 Where should people follow you or follow the journey?
1:08:29 Where do you want to direct people who want to kind of stay in touch here?
1:08:31 Um, I’m pretty active on X.
1:08:35 So I’m at B-Scholl, B-S-C-H-O-L-L.
1:08:39 Um, that’s the, uh, that’s probably the best place to follow along.
1:08:42 I, I try to give people like an inside view on what’s going on at boom.
1:08:44 And then I, I mouth off about other random things in the world.
1:08:44 So.
1:08:45 All right, man.
1:08:47 Well, I look forward to flying everywhere in half the time.
1:08:49 Thank you for, uh, for coming on.
1:08:50 Thank you for doing it.
1:08:51 And, uh, all right, that’s it.
1:08:52 That’s the pod.
1:08:54 I feel like I can rule the world.
1:08:58 I know I could be what I want to put my all in it.
1:09:00 Like no day’s off on the road.
1:09:01 Let’s travel.
1:09:02 Never looking back.
1:09:09 Hey everyone, a quick break.
1:09:12 My favorite podcast guest on my first million is Dharmesh.
1:09:13 Dharmesh founded HubSpot.
1:09:14 He’s a billionaire.
1:09:16 He’s one of my favorite entrepreneurs on earth.
1:09:22 And on one of our podcasts recently, he said the most valuable skill that anyone could have
1:09:25 when it comes to making money in business is copywriting.
1:09:29 And when I say copywriting, what I mean is writing words that get people to take action.
1:09:32 And I agree, by the way, I learned how to be a copywriter in my twenties.
1:09:34 It completely changed my life.
1:09:36 I ended up starting and selling a company for tens of millions of dollars.
1:09:40 And copywriting was the skill that made all of that happen.
1:09:45 And the way that I learned how to copyright is by using a technique called copywork,
1:09:49 which is basically taking the best sales letters and I would write it word for word.
1:09:52 And I would make notes as to why each phrase was impactful and effective.
1:09:55 And a lot of people have been asking me about copywork.
1:09:56 So I decided to make a whole program for it.
1:09:57 It’s called Copy That.
1:09:59 CopyThat.com.
1:10:00 It’s only like 120 bucks.
1:10:04 And it’s a simple, fast, easy way to improve your copywriting.
1:10:06 And so if you’re interested, you need to check it out.
1:10:07 It’s called Copy That.
1:10:10 You can check it out at CopyThat.com.
Episode 704: Sam Parr ( https://x.com/theSamParr ) and Shaan Puri ( https://x.com/ShaanVP ) talk to Blake Scholl ( https://x.com/bscholl ) about he went from high school dropout to Groupon to the founder of a supersonic jet startup.
—
Show Notes:
(0:00) Find your red line
(4:29) Problems hidden in plain sight
(13:00) The making of Boom Supersonic
(23:00) No rules of thumb
(29:13) Blake’s favorite interview question
(34:22) Demo Day at YC
(38:13) Selling Richard Branson
(47:46) Being a dark matter founder
(52:14) What does the most ambition of yourself look like?
(55:51) Progressively overturning of the skeptics
(1:01:06) Working with Jeff Bezos at Amazon
—
Links:
• Boom – https://boomsupersonic.com/
—
Check Out Shaan’s Stuff:
Need to hire? You should use the same service Shaan uses to hire developers, designers, & Virtual Assistants → it’s called Shepherd (tell ‘em Shaan sent you): https://bit.ly/SupportShepherd
—
Check Out Sam’s Stuff:
• Hampton – https://www.joinhampton.com/
• Ideation Bootcamp – https://www.ideationbootcamp.co/
• Copy That – https://copythat.com
• Hampton Wealth Survey – https://joinhampton.com/wealth
• Sam’s List – http://samslist.co/
My First Million is a HubSpot Original Podcast // Brought to you by HubSpot Media // Production by Arie Desormeaux // Editing by Ezra Bakker Trupiano
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Do You Really Know Your ICP? Why It Matters and How to Find Out
AI transcript
0:00:05 ICP is the central nervous system of the entire customer journey.
0:00:10 Conversion rates, expansion rates, the length of your sales cycles.
0:00:15 If you look at those, they’re almost all telling you something about your ICP at all times.
0:00:19 If you’re like, “We sell to everyone, we build to everyone for everyone,”
0:00:22 maybe you’re not so on to anybody yet.
0:00:28 It not only shows who you need to target and what you need to target the customer with,
0:00:33 but also why the customer would need your product.
0:00:37 Your ideal customer profile, or ICP, is the lodestar of your company.
0:00:41 It defines who you’re building, marketing, and selling your products to.
0:00:45 And most growth stage founders think they know who their ICP is
0:00:47 because they found product market fit after all.
0:00:50 I don’t know that you necessarily have found product market fit.
0:00:55 Sometimes you just get really lucky and I call that the curse of early success.
0:01:02 And here’s the thing: very few can define and refine their ICP well enough to keep the company focused on it as they grow.
0:01:06 This lack of clarity can open a Pandora’s box of problems across the org.
0:01:09 Pipeline not getting filled? Chances are it’s an ICP problem.
0:01:12 Product roadmap stalling out? ICP problem.
0:01:15 Marketing spend through the roof? ICP problem.
0:01:18 You could be missing a huge market opportunity if you misidentify your ICP.
0:01:24 In this first episode of A16Z Growth’s New Company Scaling Series, The A16Z Guide to Growth,
0:01:29 we take a step back and explain why understanding your ICP should be a company-wide effort
0:01:33 and why getting this right is even more important in the AI era.
0:01:38 As soon as you have a successful product, there will absolutely be competition in the market.
0:01:45 A16Z Growth Partner Emma Janoski sits down with Growth General Partner and former CRO of Segment, Joe Morrissey,
0:01:52 but also A16Z Partners Michael King, who was at Gartner before building full-stack marketing teams at companies like GitHub and VMware,
0:01:57 and Mark Reagan, who was most recently the VP of RevOps at Segment.
0:02:03 Together, they dive into what truly makes a great ICP, including what it is, but also what it isn’t.
0:02:08 Is it meaningfully different than the way you might talk about segmentation or a psychographic or firmographic,
0:02:12 or is it a constellation of all of those things put together?
0:02:20 They also tackle how you know if you’ve outgrown your existing ICP and how and when to define but also redefine it as you scale.
0:02:25 They touch on how to make some hard decisions when you’re implementing a new ICP, like saying no to customers,
0:02:28 and how it shows up in the business when you get it right.
0:02:33 The first voice is Emma’s, then we have Michael, Mark, and then finally, Joe.
0:02:35 Let’s get started.
0:02:44 As a reminder, the content here is for informational purposes only, should not be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice,
0:02:50 or be used to evaluate any investment or security, and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any A16Z fund.
0:02:56 Please note that A16Z and its affiliates may also maintain investments in the companies discussed in this podcast.
0:03:03 For more details, including a link to our investments, please see A16Z.com/disclosures.
0:03:08 Why are we talking about ICP?
0:03:13 If I am a growth stage founder, I found product market fit.
0:03:15 I probably know my ICP, right?
0:03:16 I’m growing, I’m scaling.
0:03:17 Why do I need to care about this?
0:03:21 I don’t know that you necessarily have found product market fit.
0:03:26 Sometimes you just get really lucky, and I call that the curse of early success.
0:03:33 Sometimes you just have such a compelling product, or you sometimes just have such a compelling story around the product that people gravitate towards you.
0:03:35 And you don’t necessarily have to have an ICP.
0:03:38 You’re just selling to anybody who will come through the front door.
0:03:40 And if that’s successful, you’re like, “Great.
0:03:41 I’ve nailed my ICP.
0:03:42 It’s everybody.”
0:03:50 But when you start to refine your sales process, you start to bring in more people to sell the product, it starts being not led by a founder.
0:03:58 When a conversation is led by a salesperson, or perhaps an SDR, or perhaps someone else like that, all of a sudden, that ICP becomes a lot more important.
0:04:00 You’ve got to scale a marketing program.
0:04:01 You’ve got to scale a sales team.
0:04:03 You’ve got to scale a bunch of other things like that.
0:04:05 All of a sudden, you’ve really got to know who you’re talking to.
0:04:06 Why are they buying?
0:04:07 What are they buying?
0:04:09 How are they selling it internally?
0:04:24 Before I came into this role, when I was an operator in the companies I had been in before in revenue operations, I don’t think I had enough respect for just to what extent the ICP is the central nervous system of the entire customer journey.
0:04:39 Almost every KPI that everybody is familiar with today, when you think of conversion rates, expansion rates, the length of your sales cycles, any of these things that normally would signal to you, “Oh, we have a pipeline issue,” or “We need more SDRs,” and things like this.
0:04:44 The truth is, if you look at those, they’re almost all telling you something about your ICP at all times.
0:04:53 So, for example, there are some companies I’ve been working with over the past couple of years where, over time, they start to see declining pipeline conversion rates.
0:04:59 And you start to circle around that and look for things you can do better tactically in that, “Well, we need a little bit better messaging here.
0:05:04 We have this laggy process where there’s too much time where leads are in this or that queue.”
0:05:07 And those things still could be true.
0:05:16 But in almost every one of those cases, what you usually find is that you have your sales force often talking to the wrong people with the wrong message.
0:05:30 And it goes all the way back to that continuous alignment and always being relevant and targeting the best possible customers and the best personas within those customers with the best messaging and relevancy around how your product is going to solve pain.
0:05:35 And then when you get that right, all of those indicators will tell you whether you have it right or not.
0:05:36 They’re not going to lie to you.
0:05:41 If they’re hitting the targets you want, you’re doing a pretty good job of operationalizing your ICP.
0:05:49 But I think that focus on the customer journey is the reason why it’s so hard to diagnose an ICP problem because you’re looking at, “Oh, I’ve got an onboarding problem.
0:05:51 I’ve got a marketing problem.
0:05:52 I’ve got a sales problem.”
0:05:59 I think to your point, Mark, you’ve got to look at the entire customer journey from first touch through when they’re a million dollar customer.
0:06:06 And if you start to see issues anywhere along the way, first make sure you’ve got your ICP correct.
0:06:10 And then start to look at, “Okay, maybe I do have a customer support issue.”
0:06:16 Because if your ICP is missing, you can throw a lot more dollars at marketing or change your marketing mix up or do whatever you want.
0:06:20 And if you still got your ICP wrong, those are still going to be dollars you’ll spend.
0:06:26 If you’re like, “We sell to everyone, we bill to everyone for everyone,” maybe you’re not selling to anybody yet.
0:06:34 And I think the biggest downstream negative consequence is actually one where it’s missed opportunity.
0:06:37 So the biggest risk often is opportunity cost.
0:06:45 So when you’re chasing the wrong profile, your ideal customers might be adopting a competitor’s product or simply unaware of your solution.
0:06:49 And so you could be missing a huge market opportunity if you misidentify your ICP.
0:06:51 Let’s just even take a step back.
0:06:53 What is an ICP?
0:06:54 What counts as an ICP?
0:06:57 What does a good ICP look like?
0:06:59 What does a bad ICP look like?
0:07:09 An ICP should tell you not only who you should target, but also why those customers should need you.
0:07:17 So broadly defined, an ICP is a detailed description of the ideal set of customers for your product.
0:07:27 And it typically should include firmographic details, behavioral traits of those companies, and it should be as narrowly defined as you can get it.
0:07:43 A good example of that would be global B2C multinational corporations that are multi-brand, multi-product, and want to use data to go direct to consumer.
0:07:44 Yeah.
0:07:58 So you’re not only getting a sense of the type of company and the vertical and the industry that they’re playing in, but why they need your product, what the unique value for your product is.
0:08:01 It’s actually got to include defensible differentiation.
0:08:05 And so you think about what is defensible differentiation.
0:08:06 It comes in three forms.
0:08:08 One, there’s unique differentiation.
0:08:15 There’s the things that your product does and the pains that your product solves that your competitors can’t.
0:08:23 And then there’s holistic differentiation, there’s the things that your product does and your competitors’ product does, but maybe you do them better.
0:08:25 And then there’s holistic differentiation.
0:08:29 There’s the things about you as a company or your solution that are very different.
0:08:36 You might be the best funded or you may have the most experience in this particular domain.
0:08:52 And I think that is so critical in determining what your ICP is because you’ve not just got to look and identify those customers that have the biggest pain points that you can solve, but also the ones where you have the most defensible differentiation versus your competitors.
0:08:53 I agree with you 100%.
0:08:58 I think the more narrow you can define it at first, the better off you are.
0:09:02 The ICP should be, I’ll call them searchable metrics.
0:09:15 In other words, like if you define your ICP as companies that have these specific characteristics around how they think about customers and their buying patterns and things like that, how are you going to find them?
0:09:23 But if you say it is a customer with international capabilities of a certain size and a certain dollar percentage, then you can target them from a market.
0:09:35 Now, marketing data has gotten a lot better and customer data has gotten a lot better, but you still can’t describe in flowery language what you think this company might be feeling and thinking because you’re not going to be able to market to that, right?
0:09:40 You’re not going to be able to find them online or at conferences or any other places, right?
0:09:41 You need those objective qualities.
0:09:42 You need those objective qualities.
0:09:44 Those objective measurable qualities.
0:09:49 I think Gong was a great example of a very, very narrow customer focus.
0:09:56 Like they focused on B2B software companies selling, you know, at a certain amount of dollars with a certain amount of employees selling over Zoom.
0:10:01 And it narrowed it down to, I think the number was 5,000 total companies in their ICP.
0:10:03 And then they built from that base up.
0:10:09 I think the customer success platform I was talking about has done a really, really good job at narrowing down.
0:10:10 This is Pylon.
0:10:13 And what they’ve done is they’ve done a great job at narrowing down.
0:10:23 We sell to B2B software companies that are supporting enterprise companies with highly complex support flows and customer success teams and multiple teams involved.
0:10:30 So I think that narrow focus early on, particularly in competitive spaces, is really, really good.
0:10:38 I mean, I’m hearing all of this and it sounds like, yeah, you want to get pretty granular, but I think there are a lot of different ways to slice the question of who is your customer.
0:10:46 And so does the ICP, is it meaningfully different than the way you might talk about segmentation or a psychographic or firmographic?
0:10:50 Or is it a constellation of all of those things put together?
0:11:04 The ICP gives you a place to focus, whereas the personas give you a who to focus on and who to build value statements for and who to market to directly and sell to directly.
0:11:08 One is more about focusing, one’s a little bit more about building an audience.
0:11:09 You need them both, though.
0:11:18 So segmentation is really about identifying the groups of customers that would be interested in your product.
0:11:23 So you could say this is SaaS companies or telco companies.
0:11:37 ICP is much more narrow, and so you’re explicitly defining the type of company, the size of the company, the pain points that that company has, why they need your product.
0:11:40 And then personas are something different, right?
0:11:46 So personas are the individuals within those companies that own the pains that your product solves.
0:11:52 That can, in many cases, influence the choice to buy your product.
0:11:59 And very often are the folks who are actually going to make the decision to buy the product in the end.
0:12:02 Yeah, I mean, that encapsulates a lot of how I think about it.
0:12:06 I think your ICP has everything to do with the type of company that you’re selling to.
0:12:14 I think your persona does have to be very, very different because the persona is oftentimes encompassing a buying circle, not a single buyer.
0:12:17 Sometimes you have a single buyer, and that’s fine.
0:12:22 But oftentimes you have multiple buyers or multiple stakeholders in the buying process.
0:12:23 You have a security team.
0:12:24 You have an IT team.
0:12:25 You have a champion.
0:12:26 You have users.
0:12:28 You have influencers within that.
0:12:31 And I think you do need to separate those two out.
0:12:34 Is there a gut test that we could give to founders?
0:12:37 Like, a couple questions they should ask themselves.
0:12:39 Do you know who your ICP is?
0:12:40 I have five questions I ask.
0:12:41 Love it.
0:12:42 Let’s hear them.
0:12:47 So the first one is, which of your current customers makes the most out of your products and services?
0:12:48 Who uses it the most?
0:12:50 Who are your best users, your biggest users?
0:12:53 What traits do those customers have in common?
0:12:59 What reoccurring objections do you see when you lose an opportunity or when people churn?
0:13:02 Which customers are the easiest to upsell and why?
0:13:07 And what do the customers of your closest competitors have in common?
0:13:12 If they can answer all of those questions, then they typically will know their ICP very, very well.
0:13:17 Now, again, I have a list if they can answer all the questions, company size, industries,
0:13:22 have problems, company specifics, unique buying behaviors, type of business, all those types of things.
0:13:24 They can answer all those, then they’ve got that.
0:13:29 If they can’t, they’ll use those first five questions to find out what the ICP is.
0:13:30 That’s a great framework.
0:13:38 And I think it also alludes to one of the challenges you have when you’re working with startup companies or when you’re in a startup,
0:13:45 when a lot of what you’re trying to do there is you’re taking your best educated guesses at the answers to all those questions, right?
0:13:50 And it is something at first where you just don’t have a lot of feedback in the market.
0:13:52 You still don’t have a lot of customers yet.
0:14:12 You don’t have a lot of signals from all the different segments, the geographies, the individual personas, especially the earlier stage that we run into because you want to go as broad as possible because you’re trying to actually explore that product market fit that you have and start to express your growth in a bunch of different directions through that.
0:14:18 And you don’t want to bargain against yourself by becoming too precise too early.
0:14:24 However, I think if we’re all being honest with ourselves, usually focus is the problem, right?
0:14:43 It is usually the case that if you went and arbitrarily picked five different companies and looked at the way they are defining their ICP and going to market and operationalizing that ICP, they’re nearly always not as focused as they could be and thus not nearly as effective as they could be exploiting that.
0:15:12 And what happens over time is you have the ability to gather those and harness those and start to create a feedback loop that allows you to answer Michael’s questions, both in terms of the things you know and the things you believe as hopefully a leader in your space, but also due to what’s coming back from the interactions your sales force is having with prospects, what your customer success managers are having with your customers, which customers are expanding and why.
0:15:19 Why you have all of these signals out there that you can start to harness and bring into the answers to the questions in that framework.
0:15:25 Yeah, I think this is actually a pitch why you need a strong RevOps practice in your organization early.
0:15:33 And again, this is maybe a pitch for you, Mark, but I think you do need to have it because otherwise you’re taking the few customer conversations that you’ve had and that’s providing bias.
0:15:44 You need a standardized methodology of looking at these interrogating these and applying the right amount of recency bias to the organizations that you are interacting with most regularly.
0:15:49 I love, Mark, you were saying this is kind of like the central nervous system of your whole org.
0:15:53 The word that occurred to me was root cause of a lot of issues, right?
0:15:56 But if it’s so important, who’s responsible for defining it?
0:15:59 I think it’s really a company-wide responsibility, right?
0:16:04 I think in the early stages, for sure, it’s got to come from the founders, right?
0:16:08 And so there are kind of different stages of finding ICP.
0:16:17 So I would say pre-product market fit, you’ve actually got to be pretty open-minded about what ICP will end up looking for because you haven’t found it yet.
0:16:26 But once you have hit product market fit, I think it’s really incumbent on the founders to pay close attention to how they think this is going to evolve.
0:16:30 And then throughout the company’s journey, there are a couple of inflection points.
0:16:40 Certainly when you move from founder-led sales to a more repeatable motion, typically like around the series A, then you’re bringing in a sales team and it’s scaling, right?
0:16:48 And so you start to see sales leaders become very closely involved in defining and refining the ICP.
0:16:54 As you’re moving up market or down market, that has a massive impact on how your ICP changes.
0:17:04 Just ultimately, I think you very often see the responsibility for ICP, at least the growth stage, being shared at the executive team level.
0:17:05 I’d agree with that.
0:17:11 I think everybody has to own it, if you will, and everybody should have input to it.
0:17:14 Your sales team, they’re looking at six to 12 months.
0:17:17 The marketing team, they’re looking at 18 to 24 months.
0:17:18 Your product team, they’re looking at…
0:17:22 So I think the different kind of viewpoints are important to bring to the table.
0:17:27 But each of them are going to have input to that ICP.
0:17:33 And your customer success team is going to have all historical data of which customers have been successful, which have not, which have churned off, all those things like that.
0:17:40 And so again, that refinement process is going to occur if you continue to ask questions.
0:17:42 Well, why are these customers successful?
0:17:44 Well, how does the product service these?
0:17:45 To steal Joe’s line.
0:17:48 You keep asking why until you get to the root of the problem.
0:17:58 The other thing I would look at, and I think one of the rough sketches that I’ll do, is when I’ll put together an ICP, I’ll take a look at the TAM of that ICP.
0:18:03 And I’ll understand what is my fair percentage, what is my unfair percentage.
0:18:08 And if I’m capturing an unfair percentage of that TAM, then I know that’s probably a really good ICP for me.
0:18:16 If I’m unable to capture even my fair share, then maybe there’s not really good alignment between my use cases and that particular ICP.
0:18:19 Wait, and how would you be able to tell what percentage you can capture?
0:18:23 Is it because of the alignment of use cases with their pain points?
0:18:26 Correct. Use cases with their pain points and what the total TAM is, right?
0:18:30 And if you’re like, hey, if I’m alone in this market, then I should be able to win 80% of my deals on it.
0:18:34 If I’m one of four players, then, you know, maybe I should get 25% of that marketplace.
0:18:41 I’m wondering about the sort of product intuition, vision and mission here, which is kind of an X factor, right?
0:18:46 Where I can imagine founders getting a bunch of data saying like, this should be our ICP.
0:18:50 And founders thinking, that’s not really what I’m building or like, that’s not really what my mission is.
0:18:59 And so I’m curious if any of you have seen companies that have maybe gotten some data back and thought, actually, that’s not what I really want to build.
0:19:02 And I’ve gone on to do something else and been successful.
0:19:07 I’ve seen the opposite thing. I worked with a founder who was from the security world.
0:19:10 And they were building what they thought was a security product.
0:19:16 And they built it and they talked to a number of security buyers and none of the security buyers bit on it.
0:19:21 But what they noticed is that every single time they had a conversation with a security buyer, they brought in a platform ops people.
0:19:25 They brought in basically the platform operations people to either validate or have the conversation.
0:19:31 And eventually, after a couple of these conversations, the founder and I were talking and he said, you know,
0:19:34 I don’t think I’m building a security product. I think I’m building a DevOps product.
0:19:37 And we went through it and we said, well, who’s going to benefit from it? Who’s going to use it?
0:19:42 So I’ve seen that opposite problem where the product intuition and their history took them one direction.
0:19:47 But in reality, the customer feedback took them to the right ICP eventually.
0:19:52 What’s the outcome from an ICP exercise? Does your ICP fit on one page of a Google Doc?
0:19:58 They go through, Michael, they ask some of your questions, they work backwards from existing customer data.
0:20:00 What’s the thing everybody creates?
0:20:15 In my opinion, the ICP is a list of qualities and differentiators and firmographic and typographic information that then your marketing team, your sales team, your product team can all action on.
0:20:18 Should be probably less than a page in my opinion.
0:20:31 I think that’s right. It not only shows you who you need to target and what you need to target the customer with, but also why the customer would need your product specifically.
0:20:41 And who owns the pain within those organizations, as Michael said before, who are the champions, who are the influencers, who are the economic buyers.
0:20:48 And as the RevOps guy, I’m going to say that it is having the data and technology to support that, right?
0:21:03 There are a lot of very good companies that will work with people like Michael or have people like Michael and they put together this pristine, amazing, elegant ICP on slides and it’s great, right?
0:21:05 And that’s definitely part of it.
0:21:23 But how are you pulling information back into the process that the people in your marketing organization and your product organization and your sales enablement organization, et cetera, how are you getting all that information and then making that part of the way you’re defining your ICP?
0:21:28 There are a lot of companies that aren’t doing that very well and they’re still operating from theory.
0:21:39 And what they’ll find is they will eventually fall out of alignment with the market and they will see all these leading indicators that start to tell them that’s the issue.
0:21:46 And it’s because they’re still operating from a position of a little too much hubris and a little too much of an echo chamber.
0:21:48 I kind of want to throw out some examples.
0:21:53 I’m thinking of ICPs in the context of a company like OpenAI.
0:21:54 Do they have an ICP?
0:21:56 It’s ChatGPT all the way down.
0:21:57 It’s ChatGPT and you’ve got some APIs.
0:22:03 It’s the same product regardless if you’re a consumer or you’re working in the enterprise.
0:22:11 And I’m wondering if with this sort of new generation of products coming out, is the idea of an ICP still useful?
0:22:16 Make no mistake, those companies are also doing what we’re talking about here internally.
0:22:26 Obviously, if you are in the AI space right now and you are selling generative AI platforms and large language models and things like that, it’s a good time, right?
0:22:42 But you still need some way to be able to distribute and go after your market in a way that is prioritized like that in order to practically have all these great things like great conversion rates and expansion rates.
0:22:54 All these kind of lagging indicators that tell you you’re selling it and expand the market well, but are also leading indicators that are truly indicative of how well you’ve set up your ICP and operationalized it.
0:23:03 Yeah, I think if you have a product that has no competitors and is a brand new product and is an incredibly effective product.
0:23:06 And I mean, that was the early open AI days, right?
0:23:07 I think absolutely.
0:23:09 I mean, do you have to do it?
0:23:12 No, you’re kind of like, look, the product trumps all.
0:23:19 But the problem with that is that as soon as you have a successful product, there will absolutely be competition in the market.
0:23:32 And so you will have to eventually, even if you don’t do it at the very, very beginning, like you will have to segment the market, you will have to find your use cases, you will have to find the ICPs for those use cases, all of those pieces like that.
0:23:42 So you may see early success in a pure, like we’ve got the very best product out there and everybody’s just going to use this product, but that will not last.
0:23:45 It never has, at least in the 28 years that I’ve been doing this.
0:23:49 Like, as soon as you have a rockin’ product that’s selling well, guess what?
0:23:50 You have competition.
0:23:51 Totally.
0:23:53 The rubber meets the road eventually, right?
0:23:55 And you’ve got to figure out ways to sustainable growth.
0:23:58 No, I think that sustainable growth is the piece right there.
0:24:04 Like, you can get to one place, but in order to grow from that one place, you’ve got to double down on these best practices.
0:24:17 I think when you’re in the growth stages, maybe you’ve got the elusive product market fit for one kind of customer, but you need to, for platform companies, serve multiple personas with an org, or maybe you want to go a little more vertical.
0:24:24 And so how do you balance that question as you’re scaling, needing to find more customers?
0:24:25 Do you want to go more vertical?
0:24:27 Do you want to go more horizontal?
0:24:37 Eleven Labs is a great example of this, where they are selling an excellent platform, which can appeal to a lot of different potential buyer groups.
0:24:47 They’ve defined over a dozen different cuts of their ICP, but they are very clear on which ones they are most focused on right now.
0:24:48 And what that really means, right?
0:24:49 And what that really means, right?
0:25:01 How they are thinking about product innovation, building content, target accounts that they are assigning out to their sellers, where they’re putting salespeople geographically.
0:25:19 Even if they have ICPs that they know really well and they’re reporting on that data, they might have those, comparatively speaking, deprioritized in order to remain focused, but still have an approach to those companies that are a little bit more out on the fringe of their capabilities.
0:25:31 And the other point about this is, they’re also a very good example of a company that is clearly listening to customers on how mature their product is in certain areas.
0:25:33 And they’re not overselling past that.
0:25:56 They’re being really careful about making sure that the ICPs that they’ve targeted are where they know their product is going to be an absolute grand slam versus the areas where they plan to go to and they have some capabilities, but they know that they still need to develop it out a little further there before they really go hard at that particular area.
0:26:01 So they have a sort of stack ranked ICPs, it sounds like.
0:26:07 The group of companies that they know, this is a slam dunk, I can like really go long on solving this use case.
0:26:15 But then it sounds like maybe it’s opportunistic ICPs, places where they can expand and that they know, yeah, we can build into that.
0:26:20 And I would even add really good focus is more of an exercise in stratification.
0:26:28 It’s the way you’re segmenting the market and the best possible companies is this small circle.
0:26:37 That is where we’re going to be hyper focused because we know we get tremendous yield, expansion, just great things happen there in the center of that.
0:26:52 Then it’s these concentric circles out of that, where you have others that are still very good fits, but they are maybe not as quick to expand or a little bit more of a grind to actually convert those into customers, they expand a little more slowly.
0:26:56 And then you eventually fall out into lesser and lesser fit.
0:26:59 And it’s like proceed with caution on some of these over here, right?
0:27:00 Right.
0:27:05 So it’s a very prudent way to go about it, very mature way to go about it, where you know you’re going to go there.
0:27:10 But at the moment, you’re being careful because you want to be responsible in the market and the way you’re growing.
0:27:14 You want to be able to make sure your product is doing the things you say it’s going to do and that you’re meeting commitments.
0:27:22 Because if you do that really well, then those ICPs will be absolutely open and ready for you as your product evolves towards that.
0:27:25 Michael, I feel like this is entirely in your wheelhouse.
0:27:28 I feel like this is what you do day in and day out.
0:27:29 That’s exactly it.
0:27:35 I mean, I think no matter how general the tool is, you have to narrow your marketing and sales efforts.
0:27:47 And I think focusing down on those use cases and those ICPs gives you an ability to spend marketing dollars in the right place, spend sales efforts in the right places, supporting the right customers.
0:27:52 And sometimes at the same time, like not support, not market to, not sell to other customers.
0:27:58 It’s really hard when someone waves a handful of cash and says, I want to buy your product, but you’re not my ICP.
0:28:00 It’s really hard to say no to that.
0:28:05 But sometimes I think you need to say no to that because you can get pulled off track with customer requirements.
0:28:14 You can get pulled off track with a customer sales effort that’s going to lead you down what might be a cash rich place, but not necessarily a strategy rich place.
0:28:21 In other words, it won’t necessarily net you the next customer and the customer after that and the customer after that, which is way more important than the one customer you just landed.
0:28:27 I think we’ve talked a lot about use cases and focusing on the pain point or problem that you solve.
0:28:36 But what I want to figure out and we started talking about this when Michael was like, yeah, this is why you got to have a great RevOps program is let’s say you get this ICP.
0:28:42 How do you know whether it’s working and how often do you need to continue refining it?
0:28:46 ICP is definitely not a set and forget thing, right?
0:28:47 It does evolve over time.
0:28:53 It certainly evolves when you go from founder led sales into repeatable into scaling up.
0:28:58 And very often that happens when you’re moving market segment.
0:29:04 So many companies start out in SMB, they move to mid market, they then move to enterprise.
0:29:06 The ICP needs to change.
0:29:08 They expand geographically.
0:29:11 The ICP may be different in different markets.
0:29:14 Pricing and packaging changes happen.
0:29:19 Competitive pressures and external events in the market impact ICP.
0:29:21 So it does evolve over time.
0:29:27 For me, at least the critical thing is you’ve got to create a very tight feedback loop with the market.
0:29:32 So there needs to be a tight feedback loop between sales and product.
0:29:44 And I think it’s also super critical that founders, CEOs, executives at every level, customer success, product management, engineering, that they’re also out in front of customers.
0:29:53 That they’re listening to customers, they’re engaging with customers, they’re understanding how they’re using the product, where the gaps are, where they want to go next.
0:29:58 Because that’s super important as you sort of evolve the product roadmap over time.
0:30:00 And then everything else follows from that.
0:30:04 So therein lies the problem with ICPs in the real world.
0:30:09 There is a constant evolution out there in terms of buyer interests and the nature of the problems that they have.
0:30:11 Your competitors are constantly changing.
0:30:21 Everybody you compete with is trying to do the same thing you’re doing, which is get better and better at all of these things like their conversion rates, expansion rates, and all these other good signals that tell you’re doing a good job.
0:30:30 Joe and I went through this experience when we first joined Segment, for instance, where you go and you have this big project of setting the market.
0:30:36 three, six months later, that has started to lose precision, right?
0:30:39 It’s not practical to run these projects constantly, though.
0:30:45 And so the challenge has been, how do you do it where you have a practical feedback loop and practical revision of that?
0:30:54 You’re not continuously just thrashing your sales force with new pivots in the way that they’re supposed to be selling and talking to the things.
0:30:57 And hey, you know what, these were the accounts we assigned you in your territory.
0:31:01 We’re going to continuously change that every couple of weeks because of the ICP.
0:31:04 No one’s going to like that, right?
0:31:08 I do think there are indicators when you nail an ICP.
0:31:12 I mean, I think you start to see the cost of your CPLs go down.
0:31:15 I think you start to see your sales efficiency go up.
0:31:17 You start to see higher renewals.
0:31:22 You start to see those indications that you’ve got it right.
0:31:24 I agree with Mark, though, 100 percent on this.
0:31:25 You can’t flip flop it.
0:31:31 What I tell folks all the time is with messaging and with targeting, like the minute you’re getting sick of it, you’ve got to double down on it, right?
0:31:34 Oh, I was going to say, what’s the threshold? Yeah.
0:31:35 Yeah, yeah.
0:31:46 So when you’re getting sick of hearing your same messaging or you’re getting sick of being focused on the same customers, that means it’s time to double down on it because it takes the customers a lot longer to input the messaging.
0:31:49 It takes the customers a lot longer to understand the use cases.
0:31:52 It takes them a lot longer than it takes you because you’re living in it day and day.
0:31:57 Tell us to founders all the time, like you think about your product 24 out of the 24 hours of the day.
0:32:01 Your customer thinks about your product maybe 10, 15 minutes a quarter.
0:32:04 You just got to keep hammering it and hammering it.
0:32:09 I think what actually is really interesting to me, though, is how is this going to change now in the era of AI?
0:32:14 Fundamentally, the question of what is our ideal customer is a perpetual strategic one.
0:32:23 But AI, I think, actually offers huge promise to be able to continually evolve that and really micro segment ICPs.
0:32:36 So you think about ICP evolving from a static document into a living data powered model that lives in your CRM where you can do continuous refinement on it.
0:32:43 It helps you discover better ICPs, but you still need to make decisions on where you steer the business.
0:32:52 And then ultimately, founders and executive teams are going to have to make decisions on where they invest and then how much they invest.
0:33:05 The companies that I’m working with right now are plotting these AI based roadmaps, instrumenting the central nervous system with all of this signal detection that gets pulled back in to both product and marketing,
0:33:20 which then gets almost immediately disseminated into the materials that are being created, the sales enablement that’s going on, the way that you can go and present the next accounts to call on as a rep, who to talk to, what to talk to them about.
0:33:30 And the revolution that’s coming with this is a matter of being able to do this very, very quickly and very, very precisely, continuously.
0:33:36 And we’re going to be wondering, well, why didn’t everybody do this? And the truth is, it’s available to all of them, but it’s a mindset.
0:33:43 It is definitely the culture of your organization that’s going to determine if you’re able to take advantage of it with those new capabilities there.
0:33:54 If you take AI out of the picture again and go back to the companies that have been doing this, the best companies that have done this best for years, they are tremendously well aligned across marketing and product and sales and customer success.
0:34:06 It’s an amazing, just cohesive approach to how to think about the ICP, how to innovate your product in that direction, how to go and prospect and sell and expand your customers usage.
0:34:11 If you have that mindset and you’re willing to put in the work, you could be really good at this.
0:34:17 The piece that people have been doing already is the actual collecting of this information, right?
0:34:41 So whether it’s like gong calls or the precision in which you can measure your marketing spend and your marketing effectiveness and everything else like that, or the customer success platforms that are recording all of the information, all of those information sources gives you the raw materials for an AI to come in or to an AI products to come in and really understand what is successful throughout the entire customer journey.
0:34:48 I think we’ve done a great job as an industry, collecting all this information and unfortunately it’s lived in silos or individual people.
0:34:53 But I think we now have the opportunity with AI, what does AI do really, really well? Large pattern recognition.
0:34:58 So across the entire customer journey, understanding where your ICPs are landing and where they’re not.
0:34:59 That’s exciting to me.
0:35:01 As a marketer, I get really fired up about that.
0:35:15 I love that because the sheer amount of data collection feels perhaps unique to the moment, but the decision to relentlessly collect, pursue, analyze and operationalize the data has been around for ages.
0:35:24 All right, that is all for today. If you did make it this far, first of all, thank you.
0:35:32 We put a lot of thought into each of these episodes, whether it’s guests, the calendar Tetris, the cycles with our amazing editor, Tommy, until the music is just right.
0:35:41 So if you like what we’ve put together, consider dropping us a line at ratethispodcast.com/a16z and let us know what your favorite episode is.
0:35:44 It’ll make my day and I’m sure Tommy’s too.
0:35:46 We’ll catch you on the flip side.
Your ideal customer profile (ICP) is the north star for your entire company: it determines who you’re building for and selling to. Though most growth-stage founders think they know who their ICP is, very few know how to update and refine it to keep the company focused as they grow—which can lead to a lot of headaches down the road.
In this debut episode of a16z Growth’s new company scaling podcast, the a16z Guide to Growth, a16z’s Joe Morrissey (General Partner, a16z Growth), Michael King (Partner, Go-to-Market Network), and Mark Regan (Partner, a16z Growth) break down why ICP misalignment is often the hidden cause of common problems across the entire company, from pipeline gaps and bloated marketing spend to stalled product roadmaps—and dive deep on how to fix it.
They offer tactical advice for defining (and refining!) your ICP as you scale, explain why getting it right requires company-wide alignment, and how to navigate the “precision paradox” when implementing it. Plus, why ICPs matter even more in the AI era, and how a well-executed ICP shows up across the business when it’s working.
Resources:
Read more on sales and go-to-market on our Growth Content Compendium
Find Joe on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/morrisseyjoe/
Find Mark on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mregan178/
Find Michael on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-king-62258/
Find Emma on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/emmajanaskie/
Stay Updated:
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Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures.
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Lifestyle Arbitrage, Balancing Ambition and Relationships, and What Gives Scott Hope
AI transcript
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0:00:31 Viori.com slash Prop G.
0:00:35 That’s V-U-O-R-I dot com slash Prop G.
0:00:37 Exclusions apply.
0:00:40 Visit the website for full terms and conditions.
0:00:50 Finding your personal style isn’t easy
0:00:52 and the fashion powers that be
0:00:54 aren’t making it any easier on us.
0:00:56 The best way to make sure they move a lot of units
0:01:01 is to make stuff that is, to put it indelicately,
0:01:01 sort of boring.
0:01:03 This week on Explain It To Me,
0:01:05 how to cut through the noise
0:01:07 and make sense of your own fashion sense.
0:01:09 New episodes every Sunday morning,
0:01:11 wherever you get your podcasts.
0:01:17 People of many different ideologies,
0:01:18 when taken to the extreme,
0:01:20 actually start to resemble each other.
0:01:23 Although you might be feeling like you’re fighting
0:01:24 for completely different missions,
0:01:28 you’re psychologically engaged in a very similar process.
0:01:30 So what is that process?
0:01:33 This week on The Gray Area,
0:01:36 we’re talking about how our psychology
0:01:37 affects our ideology.
0:01:41 New episodes of The Gray Area drop every Monday,
0:01:42 everywhere.
0:01:48 Welcome to Office Hours with Prof. G.
0:01:49 This is the part of the show
0:01:50 where we answer your questions
0:01:52 about business, big tech, entrepreneurship,
0:01:53 and whatever else is on your mind.
0:01:56 Today, we’ve got two great listener questions lined up,
0:01:57 and then after the break,
0:01:59 we’ve got the Reddit hotline,
0:02:01 where we pull questions straight from Reddit.
0:02:04 If you’d like to submit a question for next time,
0:02:05 you can send a voice recording
0:02:06 to officehourswithprofgmedia.com,
0:02:08 or if you prefer to ask on Reddit,
0:02:11 post your question on the Scott Gallery subreddit,
0:02:14 and we just might feature it in our next episode.
0:02:15 First question.
0:02:19 Hi, Prof. G.
0:02:21 I’m a solopreneur in my late 30s,
0:02:23 running a modestly successful online business.
0:02:26 My partner and I have deep ties in the U.S.,
0:02:28 but work independently and could live anywhere.
0:02:30 As we consider having kids
0:02:32 and the life we would want them to have,
0:02:34 we also discuss moving abroad for three main reasons.
0:02:36 Lifestyle arbitrage,
0:02:38 a more supportive environment for children,
0:02:41 and as a hedge against U.S. instability.
0:02:42 Given your recent thoughts
0:02:44 on diversifying your investments globally
0:02:47 and your current residency in the U.K.,
0:02:48 do you think younger Americans
0:02:51 should be diversifying their residency options
0:02:51 when possible?
0:02:54 If so, which countries would you look into
0:02:57 that still offer some of the economic opportunities
0:02:58 that the U.S. currently does?
0:03:00 Thanks for all the great content and advice.
0:03:02 I love this question.
0:03:04 According to a Harris poll released in March,
0:03:06 roughly 40% of Americans have considered
0:03:08 or are actively planning to move abroad.
0:03:09 The number one reason?
0:03:10 Cost of living.
0:03:12 More than half of Americans say they believe
0:03:14 they’d have a higher quality of life abroad.
0:03:16 Among those that planned on leaving,
0:03:20 their top choice destinations were Canada,
0:03:21 the U.K., and Australia.
0:03:23 As for non-English-speaking countries,
0:03:25 Americans indicated they were eyeing moves
0:03:27 to countries including France, Italy, Japan,
0:03:28 Mexico, Spain, and Germany.
0:03:30 Countries ranked among the most receptive
0:03:33 to digital nomads are Spain,
0:03:35 the UAE, Montenegro, and the Bahamas.
0:03:39 Okay, so in sum, I love a lifestyle arbitrage.
0:03:40 And you want to lean into your strengths.
0:03:42 And if your strengths are you have a career
0:03:44 that is not location-dependent
0:03:45 or geographically dependent,
0:03:48 then you want to do the lifestyle arbitrage.
0:03:52 The key is to make a urban city-like salary
0:03:55 without having urban city-like costs
0:03:56 unless you’re in love with cities.
0:03:58 And then, okay, some people,
0:03:59 I know some people who are like,
0:04:01 I am leaving New York feet first.
0:04:02 And I don’t care what it costs.
0:04:04 I don’t care what sacrifices I have to make.
0:04:06 Most people, by the time they have kids in New York,
0:04:09 peace out because it just gets prohibitively expensive.
0:04:12 And the lifestyle is just tough.
0:04:13 I remember walking around with my boys in Manhattan
0:04:15 and thinking I always had to have their hands
0:04:17 for fear they’d run out into the middle of traffic.
0:04:20 So 100%, I would say,
0:04:22 really be thoughtful about the lifestyle arbitrage.
0:04:25 My general assumption or general reductive analysis
0:04:27 after having molested the earth for the last 30 years
0:04:29 is that America is the best place to make money
0:04:31 and Europe is the best place to spend it.
0:04:32 So if you can make an American salary and live in Europe,
0:04:34 that’s a decent arbitrage.
0:04:37 Also think about different places in the U.S.
0:04:40 And that is there’s a lot of cities in the South,
0:04:41 quite frankly, that I think are just a great,
0:04:45 so for me, arbitrage is one,
0:04:47 I think college towns are great arbitrages,
0:04:50 whether it’s Charlottesville or Ann Arbor or Chapel Hill.
0:04:53 These cities typically, if you can call them cities or towns,
0:04:54 typically bring this great peanut butter
0:04:57 and chocolate combination of a bourbon sensibility
0:05:00 with rural beauty and hopefully rural pricing.
0:05:02 And you can have a great quality of life in a college town.
0:05:05 I also think there’s a lot of cities in the South right now
0:05:07 that offer what I think is a great lifestyle arbitrage,
0:05:08 specifically the weather,
0:05:11 that aren’t as expensive as some of the blue cities
0:05:13 in the North.
0:05:15 In some, if you were to look at migration patterns in the U.S.,
0:05:18 it’s driven by two things, low taxes and sunshine.
0:05:21 And I would also think about, you know,
0:05:23 think about this a lot, but the tax arbitrage.
0:05:25 By moving to Florida from New York,
0:05:27 and you have to move, you can’t fake it.
0:05:29 You have to spend 183 days there and enroll your kids there.
0:05:30 You really, you can’t fake it.
0:05:31 You legitimately have to move.
0:05:34 The 13% swing, I reinvested purposely
0:05:37 that entire 13% over 10 years,
0:05:38 and it helps have a bull market.
0:05:43 But basically, you know, my cars, my housing,
0:05:45 my kids’ school were paid for in that tax swing
0:05:46 because I make really good money,
0:05:48 but a lot of it was current income,
0:05:50 so 13% of that, then you invest it.
0:05:52 If you make $300,000,
0:05:53 you’re not saving $39,000.
0:05:56 You’re saving, you have $39,000 in capital
0:05:59 that should grow to 78 or 100, 150 10 years on.
0:06:01 And you do that every year, you wake up,
0:06:04 and you might have seven figures in additional wealth
0:06:06 that you didn’t have had you not moved.
0:06:07 So I love a lifestyle arbitrage.
0:06:09 Some cities that I think
0:06:12 offer incredible lifestyle arbitrages at the moment.
0:06:14 By the way, it used to be Florida.
0:06:15 When I moved to Delray Beach,
0:06:18 our first home that we rented there
0:06:19 was on the water, on the intracoastal,
0:06:21 and cost us $4,500 a month.
0:06:24 It no longer costs $4,500 a month.
0:06:25 Word is out about Florida.
0:06:27 That lifestyle arbitrage has been starched out
0:06:29 as they usually are starched out.
0:06:31 Some cities I would consider.
0:06:35 If you were single and male,
0:06:37 I would think about Cape Town.
0:06:40 I think the crime there is a factor.
0:06:43 But if you can make a Western salary in Cape Town,
0:06:45 you’re just gonna have an extraordinary quality of life.
0:06:47 I love Cape Town.
0:06:49 I’ve been there several times now.
0:06:51 And I can’t get over how good the food is,
0:06:52 how deep the culture is,
0:06:54 and how inexpensive everything is.
0:06:55 Now, crime is an issue.
0:06:58 So I wonder if it’s a place for a family.
0:07:00 I’m sure other people will weigh in.
0:07:02 But I think in terms of just pure raw beauty,
0:07:05 colliding with an incredible city
0:07:06 and incredible food, incredible culture
0:07:08 at an incredibly low cost,
0:07:09 that is really hard to beat.
0:07:12 Madrid, or somewhere in Spain.
0:07:14 I just think the Spanish get it
0:07:16 in terms of being able to get a great bottle of wine
0:07:19 for $8, walking around fairly safe,
0:07:21 incredible culture, history,
0:07:24 proximity to other great cities in Europe.
0:07:26 I think Spain offers an incredible lifestyle arbitrage
0:07:27 and pretty good weather.
0:07:30 The other city I would consider is Mexico City.
0:07:32 And I’m assuming it kind of likes cities.
0:07:34 Maybe you just want to do a rural arbitrage.
0:07:36 By the way, move everywhere but Connecticut
0:07:38 or some suburb or Tiburon where it’s beautiful,
0:07:40 but it’s the same.
0:07:42 I’ve never understood anyone that lives in the Northeast
0:07:43 and doesn’t live in Manhattan.
0:07:44 I just don’t get it.
0:07:46 It’s like all the cold, all the bullshit,
0:07:48 and all the taxes and expenses.
0:07:49 If you’re going to live in the forest somewhere,
0:07:52 move to a place with low taxes
0:07:54 and low rent and low housing costs and good schools.
0:07:55 Anyway, it’s not easy to find.
0:07:58 But I think Mexico City right now
0:07:59 is an incredible lifestyle arbitrage.
0:08:00 It’s safer than people think.
0:08:02 The food’s amazing, great art scene,
0:08:05 and I would say kind of 30 to 60% of the price
0:08:06 of, say, Los Angeles.
0:08:10 I think it’s a fantastic strategy,
0:08:11 a lifestyle arbitrage strategy.
0:08:13 Jesus Christ, Floripa.
0:08:16 I think Sao Paulo is incredible right now.
0:08:19 I think there’s just a ton of really interesting cities
0:08:22 that are coming up and offer somebody with nomad
0:08:25 or digital nomad skills the ability to arbitrage.
0:08:28 Even a place like Tokyo with the yen as weak as it is right now,
0:08:30 if you like that culture,
0:08:32 Tokyo is the most different yet the most sane place,
0:08:35 and that is it’s capitalist, it’s democratic,
0:08:37 incredibly safe, incredibly…
0:08:39 The thing that struck me also, though,
0:08:41 it’s so similar in terms of their systems and democracy,
0:08:42 their rights,
0:08:44 their focus on capitalism growth,
0:08:46 but it’s also the place that’s most similar
0:08:47 while being the most different.
0:08:49 I went to what is their Times Square,
0:08:51 and it’s entirely quiet.
0:08:53 Everyone’s just so respectful and so quiet,
0:08:55 and no one jaywalks,
0:08:56 and the food’s incredible,
0:08:58 and the relentless pursuit of perfection
0:08:59 is a tagline for Lexus,
0:09:01 but it should be a tagline for Japan
0:09:02 because everything they do,
0:09:04 they take such pride in the symmetry
0:09:07 and the design and the beauty of everything.
0:09:09 So if you really wanted something
0:09:10 a bit off the beaten path,
0:09:11 another great city in Asia, Bangkok.
0:09:13 Oh, my God.
0:09:15 What a cosmopolitan city with great food, great people.
0:09:18 And again, I would bet about a third of the cost
0:09:20 of living in an L.A. or New York.
0:09:20 So where do you move?
0:09:21 No, that’s not the question.
0:09:23 The question is where do you not move?
0:09:26 I would look at time zones as it relates to your work,
0:09:28 where you think you can find human capital
0:09:29 to scale your business,
0:09:31 where your partner’s excited about moving,
0:09:33 if you’re planning on having kids,
0:09:34 where you can find a decent education,
0:09:37 proximity to the people you love
0:09:38 in terms of direct flights,
0:09:40 and where you want to kind of explore and adventure.
0:09:42 Some people are more cut out for Europe.
0:09:43 Some people are more cut out for Asia.
0:09:45 Some people like to be more adventurous,
0:09:47 a place like Latin America or South Africa.
0:09:48 But my brother,
0:09:50 this is what you call a good problem.
0:09:52 A good problem.
0:09:54 Email us and let us know what you decide.
0:09:56 Thanks so much for the question.
0:09:57 Question number two.
0:09:59 Hey, Scott.
0:10:01 I’ve been struggling with your perspective on work-life balance,
0:10:03 or the lack thereof,
0:10:04 in your 20s and 30s.
0:10:08 You often frame those years as a time for relentless ambition,
0:10:10 even at the cost of relationships,
0:10:11 health,
0:10:13 and personal well-being.
0:10:17 I’m particularly curious about how you discuss your first marriage.
0:10:21 You emphasize that meaningful relationships are the key to happiness,
0:10:26 yet also seem to suggest that sacrificing them is necessary for success.
0:10:29 That feels like a contradiction, no?
0:10:32 If you could go back,
0:10:34 would you do anything differently to preserve those relationships?
0:10:37 For context, I’m 28,
0:10:39 putting everything into a new business,
0:10:42 and dating an incredible woman I hope to spend my life with.
0:10:45 Should I expect to lose my partner
0:10:47 and friends to succeed,
0:10:49 or is there a better way?
0:10:51 Thanks for your time
0:10:53 and for the impact you have on young men like me.
0:10:55 Thanks for the question.
0:10:56 You sound awfully serious.
0:10:58 So first off,
0:10:59 I can’t blame
0:11:02 the dissolution of my first marriage
0:11:03 on my ambition or my career.
0:11:06 I say that my
0:11:08 relentless focus on work
0:11:09 took a toll on me physically
0:11:10 and my relationships,
0:11:10 and it did.
0:11:12 But the bottom line is,
0:11:13 without violating privacy,
0:11:15 is the end of my first marriage
0:11:17 was a function of my immaturity.
0:11:20 And the fact that I was working around the clock
0:11:22 probably didn’t help in terms of stressors,
0:11:25 but I can’t just lay it at the feet of my career.
0:11:26 I want to be clear.
0:11:28 My way was to do nothing
0:11:30 but pretty much work from the age of 22
0:11:30 to kind of
0:11:33 my late 40s, early 50s.
0:11:35 That was my way,
0:11:36 but I’m not sure it’s the right way.
0:11:38 And I have some proximity bias,
0:11:39 and that is the people I
0:11:41 am close to
0:11:43 are mostly other very ambitious,
0:11:44 economically ambitious people
0:11:46 that want to be successful
0:11:47 and live in places like LA and New York
0:11:49 where you have to make a shit ton of money
0:11:50 to have the lifestyle we want,
0:11:52 and also MBA students.
0:11:54 And when I survey my MBA students,
0:11:56 about 70, 80% of them
0:11:57 expect to be in the top 1%
0:11:58 income-earning households
0:11:59 by the time they’re 35.
0:12:01 And what I suggest is that
0:12:04 if you are that ambitious economically,
0:12:06 or from an influence or relevant standpoint,
0:12:07 you just have an honest conversation
0:12:09 around the trade-offs and the sacrifices,
0:12:10 you might decide
0:12:12 that you want the trade-off
0:12:13 on the other end of the spectrum,
0:12:15 that you’re going to move to St. Louis
0:12:18 and have a nice life and work,
0:12:20 but you’re going to work to live,
0:12:21 not to live to work.
0:12:22 And there’s absolutely
0:12:24 nothing wrong with that.
0:12:26 And you can maintain healthy relationships,
0:12:27 you know,
0:12:28 coach Little League,
0:12:30 work a reasonable amount of hours,
0:12:32 have your church or country club
0:12:34 or whatever it is
0:12:35 that gives you spiritual
0:12:37 or relationship reward
0:12:38 and have a wonderful relationship
0:12:40 with your partner and your kids.
0:12:40 I don’t,
0:12:42 I think that’s possible.
0:12:42 Unfortunately,
0:12:43 I think it’s less possible.
0:12:44 What we’ve seen is
0:12:45 than it used to be.
0:12:46 What we’ve seen is
0:12:47 the majority of cities
0:12:48 have brought up their prices
0:12:48 because of inflation.
0:12:51 So I think in a capitalist society,
0:12:52 the cruel truth is
0:12:53 you need a certain level
0:12:54 of economic security.
0:12:55 but if you’ve decided
0:12:56 you don’t want to work
0:12:58 40 hours a week,
0:12:58 not 60,
0:13:00 and that you’re going to
0:13:01 prioritize your relationships
0:13:02 and your health
0:13:03 and your fitness
0:13:04 and the pursuit of other
0:13:05 outside interests,
0:13:06 more power to you.
0:13:07 I don’t,
0:13:08 I get it.
0:13:08 I get it.
0:13:09 But you also have to recognize
0:13:11 that means you probably
0:13:12 aren’t going to make
0:13:13 a million,
0:13:14 two million bucks a year
0:13:15 and live in LA or Manhattan.
0:13:16 You’re just not going to get there
0:13:17 doing,
0:13:18 you know,
0:13:19 an ordinary amount of sacrifice
0:13:20 around your career.
0:13:21 So what I would say is
0:13:23 it’s a spectrum
0:13:24 and that is you have to decide
0:13:25 and get alignment
0:13:26 with your partner
0:13:27 around where on that spectrum
0:13:28 you want to be.
0:13:30 And I’ve always assumed
0:13:31 that the majority of people
0:13:32 I come in contact with,
0:13:33 and maybe that’s incorrect,
0:13:35 but actually it’s not.
0:13:36 The majority of the young people
0:13:36 I meet,
0:13:38 where they fall flat is
0:13:39 they get used to
0:13:41 these Instagram life
0:13:41 and the algorithms
0:13:42 that they’re going to be
0:13:43 on a jet
0:13:44 and vacationing
0:13:46 at the Allman
0:13:46 in Utah,
0:13:48 partying in St. Barts
0:13:49 or Saint-Tropez
0:13:51 and that they’re going to get there
0:13:52 at a very young age
0:13:53 and just,
0:13:53 you know,
0:13:54 they’ll find a job
0:13:55 that’ll carry them there
0:13:55 or they’ll find
0:13:56 the right cryptocurrency
0:13:57 that’ll carry them there.
0:13:58 No,
0:13:59 that involves
0:14:00 a lot of luck
0:14:03 and working your ass off,
0:14:04 which comes at a sacrifice.
0:14:07 So I think that’s where
0:14:08 what I’ll call
0:14:10 the dissonance is,
0:14:10 is that people,
0:14:11 a lot of people
0:14:13 don’t recognize
0:14:14 the sacrifice.
0:14:15 A lot of people
0:14:15 on the other end say,
0:14:15 well,
0:14:16 you can make that sacrifice
0:14:18 and still not get there,
0:14:19 which is also true
0:14:20 because luck plays
0:14:20 a big role.
0:14:21 So why would I make
0:14:22 that trade
0:14:24 when I can just be
0:14:24 a good citizen,
0:14:26 work relatively hard,
0:14:27 find a good partner
0:14:28 and just enjoy life?
0:14:30 I also want to acknowledge
0:14:30 that I’m more,
0:14:32 I wouldn’t say I’m more,
0:14:34 not as materialistic,
0:14:36 but I’m very economically driven
0:14:36 because I didn’t have money
0:14:37 growing up
0:14:38 and it was very stressful
0:14:38 for me.
0:14:39 So I’ve always been
0:14:40 focused on it.
0:14:41 So I probably
0:14:42 over-focus on it
0:14:43 and also
0:14:44 the fact that I’m around
0:14:45 people who are all
0:14:46 very ambitious.
0:14:47 but the thing
0:14:48 I can’t stand
0:14:51 is very successful people
0:14:51 when they give me
0:14:52 this bullshit
0:14:53 that when they’re
0:14:53 in front of a crowd,
0:14:53 well,
0:14:54 I never thought
0:14:54 much about money.
0:14:55 Yeah,
0:14:55 fuck you.
0:14:56 You think about money
0:14:57 every minute
0:14:58 and I think
0:14:59 if you want to be
0:15:01 financially very successful,
0:15:01 you need to be
0:15:03 somewhat financially literate
0:15:04 and really know
0:15:05 your budget,
0:15:06 know how much
0:15:06 you’re making,
0:15:07 know taxes,
0:15:09 really understand this stuff.
0:15:09 I don’t think
0:15:09 you can be great
0:15:10 at tennis or anything
0:15:11 without thinking
0:15:12 about it a lot
0:15:13 and talking about it a lot
0:15:14 and one of those
0:15:15 conversations
0:15:18 is to get alignment
0:15:18 with your partner
0:15:19 and say,
0:15:20 where do we expect
0:15:21 to be economically?
0:15:22 What is the lifestyle
0:15:23 we want to have
0:15:24 and what are the trade-offs
0:15:24 we’re willing to make
0:15:25 and where on that spectrum
0:15:27 are we comfortable
0:15:28 and getting alignment
0:15:29 with your partner
0:15:29 because I think
0:15:30 what creates a lot
0:15:30 of tension
0:15:31 in relationships
0:15:33 is that sometimes
0:15:34 one,
0:15:35 it’s not that they’re
0:15:36 not making a lot of money,
0:15:36 it’s just that they
0:15:37 don’t have alignment.
0:15:38 One person would be,
0:15:40 would rather they work
0:15:40 less hard
0:15:41 and spend more time
0:15:42 with each other
0:15:42 and their kids
0:15:44 and not be a member
0:15:45 of the Tony Country Club
0:15:46 or have the fancy car
0:15:47 and the other
0:15:48 does not want that,
0:15:50 wants to work really hard
0:15:51 and have the accoutrements
0:15:52 of wealth and relevance.
0:15:53 So I think the key
0:15:55 is getting just alignment
0:15:55 with your partner
0:15:57 and then making sure
0:15:59 your expectations
0:16:00 foot to the reality
0:16:01 of the situation
0:16:03 in terms of where you live,
0:16:03 your lifestyle,
0:16:04 your spending patterns.
0:16:05 But my brother,
0:16:07 I’m not suggesting
0:16:08 my way is the only way.
0:16:09 Everyone’s got to find
0:16:10 their own route here.
0:16:11 Thanks for the question.
0:16:13 We have one quick break
0:16:13 and when we’re back,
0:16:15 we’re diving into the depths
0:16:17 of the ocean of Reddit.
0:16:24 Support for the show
0:16:25 comes from Panerai.
0:16:27 Oh my God!
0:16:29 I love Panerai.
0:16:30 A lot of people
0:16:31 just rely on their phones
0:16:32 to keep track of time.
0:16:33 But for those of us
0:16:33 who are interested
0:16:34 in something more timeless
0:16:35 and luxurious,
0:16:36 you can’t go wrong
0:16:37 with a gorgeous
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0:16:40 from a legacy watchmaker
0:16:42 like Panerai.
0:16:43 Giovanni Panerai
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0:16:46 in Florence in 1860
0:16:47 and since then,
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0:17:07 most celebrated models
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0:17:17 That’s right, Daddy!
0:17:19 One word!
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0:18:48 One of the hardest parts
0:18:49 about B2B marketing
0:18:50 is reaching the right audience.
0:18:51 It would be like
0:18:51 selling sailboats
0:18:52 in the Sahara Desert
0:18:53 or winter jackets
0:18:54 in South Beach.
0:18:55 Not really the audience
0:18:56 you’re looking for.
0:18:57 So when you want
0:18:59 to reach the right professionals,
0:19:00 use LinkedIn ads.
0:19:01 LinkedIn has grown
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0:19:47 Welcome back.
0:19:48 Let’s bust right into it.
0:19:53 Our question today
0:19:54 comes from Captain Athens.
0:19:55 They ask,
0:19:56 Prop G,
0:19:58 what gives you hope?
0:20:01 Huh.
0:20:01 Okay.
0:20:02 I just interviewed
0:20:04 the historian Timothy Snyder
0:20:05 and he’s really inspired
0:20:05 by some of these
0:20:07 protests or marches
0:20:08 in the United States.
0:20:09 I like that.
0:20:10 You see hundreds of thousands
0:20:11 of people protesting.
0:20:12 That makes me feel,
0:20:13 it makes me feel hopeful.
0:20:14 There’s this wonderful graph
0:20:15 showing that
0:20:16 not in the U.S.,
0:20:17 but globally,
0:20:18 people are spending more time
0:20:19 volunteering time
0:20:20 to help people
0:20:21 they will never meet.
0:20:22 so more people
0:20:23 are planting trees
0:20:24 the shade of which
0:20:26 they will never sit under.
0:20:27 That’s very hopeful.
0:20:28 I’m hopeful that the EU binds
0:20:29 together to push back
0:20:30 on Ukraine.
0:20:32 I think we’re starting
0:20:33 to pay more attention
0:20:34 to the struggles
0:20:35 of young men,
0:20:36 mostly led by the concerns
0:20:37 and recognition
0:20:38 of these struggles
0:20:39 by their mothers.
0:20:41 I love that we’re beating
0:20:42 back Putin.
0:20:42 I love,
0:20:43 you know,
0:20:45 there’s a lot of things
0:20:46 I’m excited about.
0:20:47 A certain amount
0:20:47 of drug discovery.
0:20:49 I’m,
0:20:50 you know,
0:20:51 I am fairly hopeful.
0:20:53 It sounds very passe.
0:20:54 My boys give me hope.
0:20:55 I just think they’re
0:20:57 funny and nice
0:20:58 and interesting
0:20:59 and,
0:21:00 you know,
0:21:01 and beautiful.
0:21:02 Everyone thinks their boys
0:21:02 are the most beautiful thing
0:21:03 in the world.
0:21:04 And I like seeing
0:21:06 life through the lens
0:21:08 of what they see.
0:21:09 my youngest son
0:21:10 is starting to get
0:21:11 into fashion.
0:21:12 I just think it’s hilarious
0:21:13 what he finds fashionable
0:21:14 and he wants me
0:21:15 to buy him a chain.
0:21:16 And we were looking
0:21:16 at chains together
0:21:18 and just what he finds
0:21:19 interesting and cool.
0:21:19 And I used to do
0:21:20 a college tour
0:21:21 with my oldest
0:21:22 and we got to
0:21:23 this one university.
0:21:25 We did eight universities
0:21:26 in six days
0:21:26 and then we got
0:21:27 to this one university
0:21:28 and it was like a dog
0:21:28 off a leash
0:21:29 running ahead of me.
0:21:30 And I’m just trying
0:21:30 to figure out
0:21:31 what is it about
0:21:31 this university
0:21:32 or this environment
0:21:33 that all of a sudden
0:21:34 he’s decided
0:21:35 this is the college
0:21:36 he wants to go to.
0:21:37 So kids give me hope.
0:21:39 But I think
0:21:40 there’s a lot
0:21:41 to be hopeful around.
0:21:43 So also dogs.
0:21:45 Dogs give me hope.
0:21:45 Anyways,
0:21:46 hope that’s enough.
0:21:47 Thanks for the question.
0:21:56 This episode was produced
0:21:57 by Jennifer Sanchez.
0:21:59 Our intern is Dan Shallon.
0:22:00 Drew Burroughs
0:22:01 is our technical director.
0:22:02 Thank you for listening
0:22:02 to the Prop G pod
0:22:04 from the Vox Media Podcast Network.
0:22:05 We will catch you
0:22:06 on Saturday
0:22:07 for No Mercy, No Malice
0:22:09 as read by George Hahn.
0:22:10 And please follow
0:22:11 our Prop G Markets pod
0:22:13 wherever you get your pods
0:22:13 for new episodes
0:22:15 every Monday and Thursday.
Scott unpacks whether young Americans should consider lifestyle arbitrage — moving abroad for a better quality of life. Then, he offers advice on balancing ambition and relationships in your 20s and 30s.
And in our Reddit Hotline segment, Scott answers the big question: what gives him hope?
Want to be featured in a future episode? Send a voice recording to officehours@profgmedia.com, or drop your question in the r/ScottGalloway subreddit.
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Ed Zitron: Silicon Valley’s Empty Promises and Billion-Dollar Blunders
AI transcript
0:00:04 In my years of entrepreneurship, I’ve seen countless startups.
0:00:06 And here’s the truth.
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0:00:35 In fact, 30,000 companies are trusting Brex to help them win.
0:00:39 Go to brex.com slash grow to learn more.
0:00:42 As a product, large language models are kind of interesting.
0:00:47 I despise them for the environmental damage they do and the fact they steal from people.
0:00:49 The actual things they can do, pretty cool.
0:00:52 The problem is they’re not being sold as this is pretty cool.
0:00:57 They’re being sold as this is the revolution that will change everything about business forever and ever.
0:00:59 That is my problem with that.
0:01:02 That and literally the stealing of the environmental damage.
0:01:06 I’m Guy Kawasaki.
0:01:09 This is the Remarkable People podcast.
0:01:14 And we found another remarkable person to help you be remarkable too.
0:01:16 His name is Ed Zitron.
0:01:20 And he is a media and PR expert.
0:01:22 And, well, that’s understating.
0:01:31 He is so opinionated about AI and what he calls the rot economy that I just wanted a kind of new voice,
0:01:35 a new perspective on AI and tech bros and all that stuff.
0:01:37 So welcome to the show, Ed.
0:01:38 Thank you for having me, Guy.
0:01:45 Listen, Ed, I have noticed in your podcast and your writing and stuff that you don’t exactly hold yourself back.
0:01:47 So I’ve got to ask you this question.
0:01:49 I think I know what you’re going to say.
0:01:55 But tell me what you think of this Blue Origin flight with the women into space.
0:02:02 It’s one of those things where I think Katy Perry came back and she was talking about Mother Earth and loving Mother Earth.
0:02:05 And it’s like, how many fossil fuels were necessary to get you up and down?
0:02:05 How many?
0:02:07 Did you fly there on a private jet?
0:02:17 I think it was just it was PR and it was marketing and it was just one of those meaningless things that I think it’s cool that we send people to space.
0:02:20 But this one was unnecessary and a little strange, frankly.
0:02:22 And let me ask you something.
0:02:29 Do you think that this advanced women in STEM and kind of diversity in space at all?
0:02:33 I think that those are extremely important issues.
0:02:41 Like women and people of color, LGBTQ, making sure that they have presence in all industries and in STEM and everything is extremely important.
0:02:44 I do not think the Blue Origin flight had anything to do with that of the sort.
0:02:55 I think it was just a Blue Origin marketing campaign and it sucks that it really was exploiting women in STEM far more than it was helping.
0:02:58 I don’t think anyone saw this and went, oh, that’s a good idea now.
0:03:03 I wasn’t into women in STEM before, but I saw Katy Perry in space and now I’m just gaga for it.
0:03:06 And her quote was putting the ass in astronaut.
0:03:09 I mean, good stuff, Katy.
0:03:11 Good for her, but also what?
0:03:13 Could have said anything.
0:03:14 Could have said anything.
0:03:19 I saw an interview with her where she claimed she was reading about string theory as well.
0:03:22 Good for her again, but it’s like, what is this even about?
0:03:23 Is this about women in STEM?
0:03:28 Is this just about feeling good in a kind of vague and unattached way?
0:03:29 I don’t know.
0:03:30 It just all feels cynical to me.
0:03:41 I was talking to my wife about this and I said, if it was up to me, the women I would include would be people like Jane Goodall, Dolly Parton.
0:03:45 One of the many women who works at NASA.
0:03:45 Yeah.
0:03:46 Yeah.
0:03:47 I don’t know.
0:03:50 Like one of the many incredible women in science.
0:03:52 I’m not saying, I don’t know.
0:03:58 I feel like that felt like a fairly obvious one, but it was the big name thing that feels so cynical.
0:04:01 It’s not even like you had a celebrity and a few actual scientists.
0:04:03 You just had celebs.
0:04:05 And it’s like, okay, what’s this for?
0:04:06 Who is this for?
0:04:07 Yeah.
0:04:08 Is this just for, I don’t know.
0:04:12 I would have loved to see Jane Goodall and Greta Thunberg.
0:04:13 That would actually make sense.
0:04:14 This does not.
0:04:17 I mean, it makes sense in a kind of marketing sense.
0:04:21 And like, we’re just doing things to get headlines because that’s what it was.
0:04:23 But headlines for, that’s the thing.
0:04:25 It’s just very kind of specious.
0:04:27 Like, why are we doing this?
0:04:28 I don’t know.
0:04:30 So many better things we could have done.
0:04:31 Okay.
0:04:33 And we have better things to discuss.
0:04:38 What is the gist of your analysis of OpenAI?
0:04:40 My God, what a diatribe.
0:04:47 So OpenAI is a company that burned $9 billion to lose $5 billion in 2024.
0:04:49 They have no path to profitability.
0:04:52 Their software does not have significant business returns.
0:04:54 And they’re on course to bear.
0:04:59 Their estimates are like they’ll burn $320 billion in the next five years.
0:05:02 And this generative AI has petered out.
0:05:05 We are not seeing significant gains in any way.
0:05:06 And we’re definitely not getting AGI.
0:05:10 So my view of OpenAI is it’s one of the most successful cons of all time.
0:05:14 I believe if you look at the way it’s structured, it is an incredible con.
0:05:20 He has all of his infrastructure provided by Microsoft, provided by CoreWeave, if they ever build it.
0:05:21 Stargate as well is never going to happen.
0:05:25 But nevertheless, he has managed to take all of the risk and put it on other people,
0:05:27 including Masayoshi, son of SoftBank.
0:05:31 My analysis is the entire generative AI boom is OpenAI.
0:05:35 And OpenAI itself is a runaway train of over promises.
0:05:43 It is, in reality, probably more like a $5 billion valuation SaaS business.
0:05:45 It is the equivalent of Docker.
0:05:45 I don’t know.
0:05:49 I’m sure maybe they have a higher valuation than that in the case of Docker.
0:05:50 It’s cloud software.
0:05:51 It’s cloud compute.
0:05:52 That’s all it is.
0:05:56 But it’s been turned into this massive, meaningless, empty hype bubble.
0:05:58 And I think you’re seeing people pull away from it.
0:06:01 Johnson & Johnson has reduced all of their generative AI efforts.
0:06:03 For example, Microsoft’s pulling back on data centers.
0:06:09 OpenAI is just, it’s not a nothing burger, but it’s definitely much less than people claim it is.
0:06:16 So are you impugning OpenAI specifically or AI in general?
0:06:18 So that’s the thing.
0:06:19 There’s AI.
0:06:21 There’s all sorts of AI over here.
0:06:22 You’ve had people on your show.
0:06:23 You’ve talked about AI.
0:06:26 AI can mean a hell of a lot of things and has been around for decades.
0:06:29 OpenAI, I’m referring to with generative AI.
0:06:31 The current AI hype boom is based on that.
0:06:39 There are lots of people that conflate AI writ large with generative AI because it allows them to sell things and pretend they’re in the future.
0:06:45 And so do you use AI in your podcast and in your writing and stuff at all?
0:06:46 No.
0:06:48 Not one bit?
0:06:49 No.
0:06:49 Why would I?
0:06:50 That’s the thing.
0:06:52 Like, I write my scripts.
0:06:54 My scripts are edited by someone.
0:06:55 I speak into a microphone.
0:06:57 It’s edited by a producer.
0:06:58 Yeah.
0:06:59 I don’t have any reason to.
0:07:02 Okay, let me tell you one of my use cases.
0:07:14 I was writing a book called Think Remarkable, and I wanted examples of people who really made big career changes, not just going up the hierarchy, but completely changing what they did.
0:07:21 So I asked ChatGPT that question, give me examples of successful people who made really great career changes.
0:07:28 And ChatGPT told me, Julia Child was a spook working for the OSS until her 30s.
0:07:33 She got married, they moved to Paris, she fell in love with French food, and she became the French chef.
0:07:38 I would have never have heard of that example were it not for AI.
0:07:41 I mean this nicely, Guy, but did you try looking otherwise?
0:07:43 Like, you could have just…
0:07:45 I don’t see how that is an AI use case.
0:07:47 You’re describing search.
0:07:50 You’re describing search, and also, did you check the citation?
0:08:01 The reason I say this is, even here, in this example of where you give me an example of how AI changed things, you basically refer to something that already existed, that I would love to say it was better.
0:08:10 But it’s, Google search has become so mediocre that I don’t think it’s possible to say it’s worse, but at the same time the propensity for hallucinations.
0:08:19 But even then, this magical industry of AI, this magical generative AI, after all of this, the best we’ve got is, it’s kind of search.
0:08:22 I feel like you also would have come to that example had you looked harder.
0:08:28 I don’t mean that as an insult, but just had you not taken the first thing that popped up when you typed into ChatGPT.
0:08:31 Now, I assume you went and did in-depth research on her afterwards, right?
0:08:32 Yes, definitely.
0:08:33 So that’s the thing.
0:08:35 Like, why didn’t AI do that for you?
0:08:43 Well, in a sense, if I am worried about ChatGPT hallucinating, I’m not going to ask ChatGPT, are you hallucinating?
0:08:44 I agree fully.
0:08:47 I’m just saying that, shouldn’t it not do that?
0:08:48 Shouldn’t it be reliable?
0:08:49 Well, this is the thing.
0:08:51 We’re two years into this, hundreds of billions of dollars of CapEx.
0:08:53 All of these things.
0:08:58 And you, yourself, you’ve been around in tech pretty much since I started my career in 2008.
0:09:00 You’ve been on the forefront of these movements.
0:09:02 You’ve been looking at these things.
0:09:05 It just feels like this should be more than it is right now.
0:09:09 And that’s because this is all generative AI is, even in these examples.
0:09:10 I’m not even criticizing.
0:09:13 I’m just saying that, why would I use AI in my podcast?
0:09:14 Why would I use it in my work?
0:09:16 Because you can’t trust it.
0:09:17 You can’t really.
0:09:19 It’s a better search engine now.
0:09:22 But even then, I used the search engine the other day to look up earnings reports.
0:09:27 And it didn’t even give me the right, it gave me an earnings report from 2023 when I asked
0:09:27 for 2025.
0:09:33 It’s just frustrating seeing everyone say this is the future when it isn’t.
0:09:34 Or it’s barely the present.
0:09:36 It’s mostly the past, but more expensive.
0:09:38 Oh, wow.
0:09:45 I can tell you, we have a little different opinions of AI, but hey, that’s good.
0:09:47 That’s why I want you on my podcast, right?
0:09:48 I don’t want an echo chamber.
0:09:49 Indeed.
0:09:57 What if somebody said to you going back a few minutes here that, yeah, open AI at this point doesn’t look sustainable.
0:09:58 It’s burning cash.
0:10:04 You know, it’s losing money on every even paid customer, 200 a month or whatever.
0:10:11 But can’t you make the case that at the start of a revolution, most revolutions don’t look sustainable?
0:10:14 You can make that case as long as you ignore history.
0:10:19 So Jim Covello for Goldman Sachs, the head of global equities research, said in the paper
0:10:24 at the end of June of last year that basically it’s a trillion dollars of capex to make this work,
0:10:25 but where are the returns?
0:10:31 One of his big points he made was two parts of this, the smartphone revolution and the original internet.
0:10:37 The original internet, the argument people make is, yes, there were these $64,000 Sun Microsystems servers.
0:10:41 And the argument is, well, those existed and thus this is the same thing.
0:10:41 It isn’t.
0:10:46 The amount of capital expenditures behind anything to do with Sun Microsystems’ original servers,
0:10:51 even the basic cable outlays of the early 2000s, were minuscule compared to this.
0:10:54 And on top of that, you could still see what it was going for.
0:10:55 There was a roadmap.
0:10:59 Furthermore, when it comes to the smartphone revolution, people said the same thing.
0:11:01 Well, people said smartphones wouldn’t be a big deal.
0:11:03 That’s also a historical.
0:11:08 Covello also said that there were thousands of presentations that showed you a roadmap of,
0:11:12 okay, once we get smaller Bluetooth radios, smaller GPSs, smaller cellular modems,
0:11:16 we will see this, this, this, this, this, all the way up to the iPhone and beyond.
0:11:18 There’s nothing like that for AI.
0:11:19 There’s nothing.
0:11:23 And on top of that, the CapEx comparisons are completely different.
0:11:26 And even the businesses are completely different.
0:11:30 The only comparison point of a company that’s burned as much as OpenAI is Uber.
0:11:34 Uber’s largest burn was 2020, $6.2 billion, if I’m correct.
0:11:37 Now, they did that because they literally could not run their business.
0:11:40 People could not get in cars and go places due to COVID.
0:11:43 There is no historical comparison with OpenAI.
0:11:45 People have tried railroads.
0:11:46 Doesn’t make sense.
0:11:47 Doesn’t make sense at all.
0:11:48 Just isn’t a comparison.
0:11:50 Electricity grids doesn’t make sense.
0:11:53 There are no historical comparisons with what OpenAI is doing.
0:11:59 On top of that, all of the others, every single one, there was a theoretical concept even
0:12:01 of how this would get cheaper.
0:12:05 The only thing that people have right now is they are saying the cost of inference, so
0:12:07 when you put a prompt in, is coming down.
0:12:11 There’s proof that’s happening, but even OpenAI has increased their cost of inference with their
0:12:12 new image generator.
0:12:15 It feels like a death cult.
0:12:19 It’s genuinely worrying that society is not looking at this as a problem.
0:12:25 Anthropic, they burned $5 billion last year, and they make a minuscule amount compared to
0:12:26 OpenAI.
0:12:28 It’s frightening.
0:12:31 This cannot continue as it is.
0:12:37 It is not numerically possible unless something completely unprecedented happens.
0:12:39 But I see no sign of that happening.
0:12:45 Well, but I could make the case that the fact that you can’t see something unprecedented happening
0:12:47 doesn’t mean it’s not going to happen.
0:12:50 Lots of unprecedented things happen, right?
0:12:52 Sure, but I could become a wizard.
0:12:53 I could learn to teleport.
0:12:55 If a frog had wings, it could fly.
0:13:00 There are all sorts of things we could say that are just, what if this happened?
0:13:07 But what I mean by unprecedented and all this is for OpenAI to survive, they have raised $40
0:13:07 billion.
0:13:11 What they’ve actually done is they’ve got $10 billion up front from SoftBank, then they get
0:13:12 another $30 billion by the end of the year.
0:13:18 And they only get $30 billion if they convert to a for-profit entity, which means if they don’t
0:13:19 do that, they’ll only get $20 billion.
0:13:24 The for-profit, non-profit thing is dodgy enough, but SoftBank has to borrow all of the
0:13:25 money to fund them.
0:13:27 Private deals of that size are rare.
0:13:35 You’ve got a $35 billion infrastructure loan happening with Polo and Meta right now, but
0:13:36 that’s Meta.
0:13:39 Meta has the credit worthiness to stand this up.
0:13:40 OpenAI doesn’t.
0:13:45 The fact that they are having to raise from one company, SoftBank, is such a bad sign.
0:13:49 Nevertheless, putting all that aside, how do they keep burning all this money?
0:13:50 It’s not changing.
0:13:51 It’s getting worse.
0:13:55 There’s only so much money in the world that is going to go into this company, especially
0:13:56 as the AI trade is suffering.
0:14:02 The unprecedented thing would have to be a scientific breakthrough that would then have to immediately
0:14:03 become silicon.
0:14:06 Because even if they came up with something that would make inference dramatically cheaper
0:14:10 on the silicon side, it would take years to actually file into physical silicon.
0:14:10 I don’t know.
0:14:16 I realized that the idea that a company of this size, of this importance, being this
0:14:22 financially unstable and this potentially destructible is scary and it’s hard for people
0:14:23 to get their heads around.
0:14:26 But at some point, something has to change.
0:14:28 And I have no idea what that could possibly be.
0:14:31 And I’ve not had a single person come up with an answer.
0:14:35 Okay, so let’s suppose that you’re right and OpenAI dies.
0:14:36 So what?
0:14:42 If you go to Gemini now and you ask a question, you don’t get the old Google sort of search
0:14:44 results of a quarter million links.
0:14:46 You get an answer as opposed to links.
0:14:49 So if OpenAI died, so what?
0:14:51 Generative AI will stick around.
0:14:53 We’ve already got models that run on device.
0:14:55 They’re not as good, but they’re getting there.
0:14:58 My argument is not that generative AI will die.
0:14:59 The hype cycle will.
0:15:03 Because right now, no one wants to admit that generative AI is not going to give the business
0:15:05 returns that they promised.
0:15:06 It’s not revolutionary.
0:15:13 It is an evolutionary product of deep machine learning and deep learning and stuff like that.
0:15:15 It is a next step.
0:15:17 It has some functionality that’s useful.
0:15:18 It has been trumpeted.
0:15:19 That’s the thing.
0:15:22 As a product, large language models are kind of interesting.
0:15:27 I despise them for the environmental damage they do and the fact they steal from people.
0:15:29 The actual things they can do, pretty cool.
0:15:32 The problem is they’re not being sold as this is pretty cool.
0:15:36 They’re being sold as this is the revolution that will change everything about business forever
0:15:37 and ever.
0:15:39 That is my problem with it.
0:15:41 That and literally the stealing and the environmental damage.
0:15:43 So you’ll see Gemini hang around.
0:15:44 I’m confident of that.
0:15:48 In fact, if OpenAI collapses, I wouldn’t be surprised if it gets absorbed into Copilot because
0:15:53 Microsoft owns all of their IP and all of their research.
0:15:56 They’re pre-AGI stuff, by the way, which they’re never going to make it.
0:15:57 But that’s the other thing.
0:16:03 Everyone is talking about AGI now, and that is just one of the most craven and disgusting
0:16:07 things I’ve seen in tech and tech media in a while because we are not even close to the
0:16:08 beginning of AGI.
0:16:11 It is a farce and a lie to suggest otherwise.
0:16:14 And it’s nice to sit there and dream about it and say, oh, what if we had AGI?
0:16:15 Wouldn’t that be interesting?
0:16:17 But we don’t.
0:16:18 And we’re not going to.
0:16:19 We may never.
0:16:20 AGI is a cool idea.
0:16:23 The idea of the conscious computer is so cool.
0:16:24 I love the idea.
0:16:27 But no one seems to want to actually have that discussion.
0:16:30 They don’t want to talk about the fact that we’d have to give these things personage.
0:16:32 That we’d have to give them rights, potentially.
0:16:33 They don’t want to do that.
0:16:39 They just want to vaguely say AGI is coming so that Wario, Mario Amadei of Anthropic can
0:16:42 raise more money or so that Sam Altman can get a third Kona SIG car.
0:16:47 It’s frustrating because you’re taking the cool stuff about tech, the dreaming, the new
0:16:51 innovations, the things that change society, you’re putting that to the side so that you
0:16:54 can create something that can raise more venture capital and you can hold up the stock
0:16:54 market.
0:16:57 It’s boring on top of being not that useful.
0:17:02 Ed, don’t feel constrained and tell us what you really think.
0:17:04 I know, I’ve been holding back, guy.
0:17:06 I’ll be honest now.
0:17:13 So does the existence of DeepSeek make you feel better because it’s cheaper?
0:17:18 I think DeepSeek is a good thing because if we’re thinking about the problems of the generative
0:17:20 AI bubble, it’s the getting…
0:17:23 None of the American companies have been pushed to be efficient.
0:17:28 They’ve been building larger and fatter and nastier large language models that burn more
0:17:29 capital, use more energy.
0:17:32 DeepSeek, however, has not…
0:17:34 I don’t know if it really cost them $5 million to train.
0:17:37 I don’t necessarily buy that, but it was definitely cheaper.
0:17:43 I think DeepSeek has started pushing some of these corporations to get cheaper.
0:17:45 Google, there’s some Gemini stuff.
0:17:47 I don’t mind Jeff Dean over at Google.
0:17:47 He’s all right.
0:17:51 But they’ve been pushing for cheaper models that can run on a single H100.
0:17:52 Even that’s not…
0:17:58 Anyway, DeepSeek has put pressure on a lot of them to lower these costs, but it also kind
0:18:05 shook the market and said, hey, look, look, maybe it doesn’t need to have the latest Blackwell
0:18:05 chips.
0:18:10 Maybe we don’t need to give Jensen Huang billions of dollars every single quarter just in case
0:18:12 the stock market gets hurt.
0:18:14 So DeepSeek’s good.
0:18:18 I think people got very xenophobic over it in a disappointing way.
0:18:21 I think people were very quick to go, ah, it’s the Chinese.
0:18:23 They’re doing something boring and honestly cowardly.
0:18:28 If that’s the best you’ve got against DeepSeek is to just be xenophobic, it’s boring.
0:18:33 It’s just dull and it doesn’t actually suggest that anyone cares about technology.
0:18:35 I personally am very excited.
0:18:36 I love my tech.
0:18:37 I really do.
0:18:38 Cool stuff.
0:18:44 That’s why I get up in the morning and you see this and it’s just dull and at least DeepSeek’s
0:18:46 pushing them to make it cheaper.
0:18:47 I don’t know.
0:18:50 It’s just disappointing to see that this is what everyone’s obsessed with.
0:19:06 Every business is under pressure to save money, but if you want to be a business leader, you
0:19:07 need to do more to win.
0:19:13 You need to create momentum and unlock potential, which is where Brex comes in.
0:19:16 Brex isn’t just another corporate credit card.
0:19:18 It’s a modern finance platform.
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0:19:29 Think credit cards, banking, expense management, and travel, all integrated into one smart solution.
0:19:35 More than 30,000 companies use Brex to make every dollar count towards their mission and
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0:19:43 Get the modern finance platform that works as hard as you do at brex.com slash grow.
0:19:46 All right.
0:19:53 So let’s segue a little bit into a little larger topic, which is I love the concept of
0:19:57 the rot economy, R-O-T for those of you listening.
0:20:01 So please explain the rot economy.
0:20:07 So our economy, the public markets in particular, but it’s played into the private markets as
0:20:09 well, has been obsessed with growth, growth at all costs.
0:20:12 It’s not about making sustainable businesses.
0:20:14 It’s not about making businesses that will last the test of time.
0:20:17 It’s about each quarter showing a high percentage growth.
0:20:19 10% would be considered bad.
0:20:22 20% ideal, more than that, even more ideal.
0:20:26 The rot economy is something I refer to specifically for the tech industry.
0:20:30 It fans out, but the tech industry is one of the best, especially software, one of the
0:20:32 best vehicles for growth ever.
0:20:38 Software can proliferate infinitely, theoretically, and as a result, it can create growth in all
0:20:41 sorts of places without having to build physical things or have labor.
0:20:44 It’s actually why the generative AI situation is so bizarre.
0:20:50 Nevertheless, when you have companies that for decades have been oriented around growth rather
0:20:54 than making happy customers, making people come back to the service because it’s good,
0:20:59 not because they have a monopoly over it, not because it has the cheapest prices, you chase
0:21:00 out the people who innovate.
0:21:05 You chase out those people who are sitting there thinking, how can I solve someone’s problems?
0:21:07 You’re thinking, how can I solve a problem?
0:21:12 And that problem is that my stock needs to keep, we need new crap to sell here and there.
0:21:17 And thus, the tech industry has been obsessed with growth for years and years and years, and
0:21:18 they’ve been rewarded for it.
0:21:20 Tech stocks have never been worth more.
0:21:23 It’s never been easier for these companies to promote growth.
0:21:28 Up until a few years ago, so they got desperate and they thought, we don’t have a new hyper
0:21:33 growth market because they really haven’t since smartphones, the cloud computing boom, there
0:21:35 was a brief virtualization trend, didn’t really work.
0:21:36 AR, VR didn’t work.
0:21:37 Metaverse didn’t work.
0:21:38 Smart home didn’t work.
0:21:41 Amazon lost billions of dollars off of that.
0:21:42 They’re still losing money.
0:21:46 Smartwatches, IoT, 5G.
0:21:50 These are all things that they all wanted to be the next type of growth thing, except there
0:21:52 hasn’t been one for a long, long, long, long time.
0:21:54 And thus, they’ve got desperate.
0:21:56 And the people running these companies all have MBAs.
0:22:01 Sundar Pashai, Tim Cook, Satya Nadella, Andy Jassy.
0:22:02 MBAs.
0:22:04 And no offense to MBAs.
0:22:10 It’s just when you are a business growth man, inspired by Jack Welch of GE, who is a great
0:22:12 book, David Gellis, The Man Who Destroyed Capitalism.
0:22:17 When the conditions are that you must grow every quarter, you’re no longer thinking innovation.
0:22:19 You’re no longer thinking value creation.
0:22:22 And so, you don’t really know what it looks like anymore.
0:22:27 You look at the smartphone generation, you say, that was big because it had lots of market
0:22:28 opportunities.
0:22:32 But versus the fact that you remember very well, the first iPhone was incredible because
0:22:34 it combined all of these distinct devices.
0:22:35 You had this one thing.
0:22:40 It brought home the idea that we saw in Palm and Compaq and things like that with the miniature
0:22:40 computer.
0:22:41 It made sense.
0:22:43 And it made sense for us as people.
0:22:48 You look at Generative AI, and it’s very much a square peg, round hole situation.
0:22:52 But it makes sense if you look at it, that these companies were trying to create something
0:22:56 that would sell software, that would allow them to sell cloud compute with Azure, that
0:23:00 would allow them to sell API cores with OpenAI, that would allow them to sell subscriptions with
0:23:01 OpenAI.
0:23:07 The problem is the underlying costs are so severe, and it’s always worked in the past to throw
0:23:07 money at stuff.
0:23:09 They’re all growth-oriented.
0:23:12 They’re not innovation-oriented, and I don’t think they know what to do.
0:23:18 And do you hold any companies that we would have heard of as positive examples?
0:23:24 Not in tech, truthfully.
0:23:26 In tech, it is just a slop fest.
0:23:28 NVIDIA’s interesting.
0:23:33 So NVIDIA, Jensen Huang is technical, and he sounds like monstrous to work with at times,
0:23:35 but he is a technical guy.
0:23:36 He is a hardworking guy.
0:23:37 Clean toilets as a kid.
0:23:39 He is a real working stiff.
0:23:44 But regardless of the fact that Jensen jumps from trend to trend, they at least make physical
0:23:45 things that are good.
0:23:47 They’ve screwed over consumers with GPUs right now.
0:23:48 They’ve done terrible things.
0:23:51 Pretty much because of the rot economy.
0:23:52 Pretty much the same thing.
0:23:57 Growth at all costs, which means melting wires because they’ve sent all the powers down to
0:23:59 cable for GPUs.
0:24:04 Point is, NVIDIA is about one of the better ones, but right now, our crop of public tech
0:24:06 stocks are really horrifying.
0:24:09 It’s really disappointing because I would love it to be different.
0:24:11 I want a better tech industry.
0:24:14 I deeply want tech to make cool stuff that makes people’s lives better.
0:24:16 I just don’t see them doing it.
0:24:21 Costco is probably my one company that I think is in line with the idea that growth is not
0:24:22 the only thing.
0:24:26 But in tech, and I understand, on some level, I understand why.
0:24:31 I understand if you’re the CEO of a public company and the market wants growth, what are
0:24:32 you meant to do there?
0:24:36 You could push back, but the pushback would include your stock going down, which might
0:24:37 lead to a board revolt.
0:24:42 So you’re in this catch-22 situation, but you look at people like Sundar Pichai, who is a
0:24:45 former McKinsey guy, and that guy does not care.
0:24:46 That guy’s not thinking innovation.
0:24:48 He’s thinking, line go up, number go up.
0:24:55 Do you think that Dave and Bill are turning over in their grave right now?
0:25:02 I think that if you look at the elder generation tech founders, those living,
0:25:08 and those not, you can really see that there is something that shifted in the mindset of
0:25:09 the people that run these companies.
0:25:13 I also think that there are some of them, like Bill Gates, who were always like this.
0:25:18 Microsoft had an antitrust case, was it in the 90s, over MS-DOS and Windows?
0:25:22 Some of these guys, like Eric Schmidt, they’re rot economists, and they always were.
0:25:24 I don’t think that was always the case.
0:25:25 But at the same time, it’s hard to tell.
0:25:29 Because it was the Munger quote, where it’s like, look at the incentives.
0:25:34 I forget the exact one, but the incentives back then were to build stuff so that it would
0:25:35 be valuable.
0:25:38 There was not the inherent assumption that it always would be.
0:25:43 The early days of Apple, as horrible as Steve Jobs was, the early days of Apple were very
0:25:45 much like, crap, what do we put together?
0:25:46 What would be useful for people?
0:25:47 What problems can we solve?
0:25:52 And yes, Steve Jobs had his aesthetic choices and his proclivities, but ultimately it was about
0:25:54 solving a problem, and then that would be value.
0:25:55 Bull.
0:25:57 Now it’s, can I sell an idea?
0:26:02 Now can I put a concept together that will convince the markets that something is happening, which
0:26:07 is inherently different to showing the markets that we have created something of value, which
0:26:07 will then grow.
0:26:15 So I think that when you look at the elder founders, living and dead, I can’t say for certain whether
0:26:19 had they been born into a different generation and founded their companies today, whether they
0:26:20 would do any different.
0:26:27 It’s the wills of the markets and the incentives at play, they are what dictate things.
0:26:29 And I think that it’s hard to tell.
0:26:34 And I don’t feel much good for these executives, but I understand why they’re doing it.
0:26:37 I just can’t speak to their, what’s up here.
0:26:44 And the why they’re doing it is because they believe they have shareholder responsibility and
0:26:46 their whole goal is to up the stock.
0:26:48 And that’s shareholder supremacy.
0:26:53 That is Jack Welch of GE, where he, shareholder capitalism took hold thanks to him and Milton
0:26:54 Friedman.
0:26:57 The idea that we must make the shareholders happy.
0:26:59 We must improve the stock price, stock buybacks.
0:27:01 It becomes such a big thing now.
0:27:03 It’s anti-business as well.
0:27:07 The incentives are no longer around creating businesses that create value.
0:27:12 It’s around creating businesses that provide value to not the customer.
0:27:16 And it’s so frustrating because it is going to drag our economy down with it eventually.
0:27:18 It is going to drag society.
0:27:23 I’m not saying apocalypse, but it is always going to be negative for society when we have
0:27:24 shareholder supremacy.
0:27:27 And I wrote a piece about this last year as well.
0:27:30 It’s just frustrating because you can see the direct results.
0:27:32 You can see the human capital.
0:27:34 You see the tens of thousands of people laid off.
0:27:37 Microsoft alone, tens of thousands of people in the last few years.
0:27:40 And that happens not because the companies are unprofitable.
0:27:41 These companies print money.
0:27:44 $10 billion in profit, I think.
0:27:46 A quarter with Microsoft, probably more.
0:27:50 Yet they lay people off just so they can make another number go up is all that’s important.
0:27:59 What do you think happens to people like Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos and Mark Andreessen and
0:27:59 Peter Thiel?
0:28:05 Were they good and they got corrupted or were they corrupted and now because they’re powerful,
0:28:06 their corruption can come out?
0:28:12 Can you explain those kind of changes that they seem to have gone through?
0:28:17 So I think there is a universal theme with billionaires.
0:28:19 I think there are very few exceptions.
0:28:22 Steve Wozniak, I think, is probably an exception.
0:28:27 A very, very rich people that they get where they get without ever enjoying a single moment.
0:28:33 They don’t have anything that they truly love and are attached to that brings them joy that
0:28:38 isn’t money related, that isn’t to do with business, that isn’t to do with conquest.
0:28:44 So when they eventually get to a point where they have everything, they really feel like
0:28:44 they have nothing.
0:28:47 I can’t speak to whether Bezos or Musk.
0:28:50 Musk sounds like he’s been pretty horrific for a long time.
0:28:52 I don’t know much about the history of Bezos, but I know this.
0:28:56 The way these men act is depressed.
0:28:58 These men are not happy.
0:29:02 They’re not saying these things because they have a deeply held ideology that means something
0:29:02 to them.
0:29:06 They’re saying out of grievance that they feel the world has taken something from them
0:29:11 when they themselves have been arguably the biggest beneficiaries of the world’s resources.
0:29:16 They could go and do anything and they choose to do what it is they’re doing.
0:29:24 They act with malice and aggression and judgment and hatred and that comes from a place of emptiness.
0:29:28 That comes from a place of not really enjoying a single damn thing.
0:29:32 When you have all the choices in the world, you choose to go online and get angry.
0:29:34 You choose to go online and attack women.
0:29:41 You go online, attack trans people and attack minorities and attack DEI.
0:29:44 You do that because you are miserable and isolationist.
0:29:46 That’s what it is at the heart of these men.
0:29:48 The way they’re acting is disgusting.
0:29:53 It’s really putrid and it’s also pathetic and cowardly.
0:29:56 And the opposite of manly, it’s the opposite of masculinity.
0:29:59 It’s so cowardly.
0:30:04 When you have power and you use that power to attack people who are powerless or marginalized,
0:30:05 that is weakness.
0:30:07 And that’s what these men are.
0:30:08 They’re weak.
0:30:11 They have all the power in the world, but deep down in their hearts, they’re weak.
0:30:15 I have to say, I scratch my head.
0:30:17 I scratch every part of my body.
0:30:24 I just do not understand when you have infinite resources, infinite money, why are you not
0:30:26 taking the high road?
0:30:29 If there’s a time to take the high road, it’s now, right?
0:30:34 And like I said, you could eat whatever meal you want cooked by your favorite chef with your
0:30:36 favorite band playing anywhere.
0:30:39 You could do any of these things, but you choose this.
0:30:41 And that only comes from a place of deep unhappiness.
0:30:45 That only comes from a place when there isn’t anything you actually want to do at all.
0:30:48 When you yourself feel this echoing emptiness inside you.
0:30:54 Because if they felt anything for themselves, if they felt anything joyous or happy that they
0:30:57 could attach to, they would attach themselves to that.
0:30:59 But they attach themselves to anger.
0:31:01 Mark Zuckerberg on Joe Rogan was a joke.
0:31:03 That’s ridiculous.
0:31:06 You go, I got no, it’s not masculine enough anymore.
0:31:06 Where?
0:31:08 You got billions of dollars.
0:31:09 You want chunks of Hawaii.
0:31:10 What are you doing?
0:31:11 Why are you here?
0:31:12 Why are you on a podcast?
0:31:15 You could be in Hawaii doing anything.
0:31:16 Hawaii is an incredible looking place.
0:31:19 You should just be there and stare into the distance.
0:31:21 There’s so much beauty there alone.
0:31:23 You have all of this stuff and you choose to do this.
0:31:26 And it must just not feel like much to them.
0:31:29 They must just feel nothing but anger.
0:31:31 Anger and resentment.
0:31:33 Resentment after they’re given everything.
0:31:34 Everything.
0:31:35 They must have more.
0:31:36 They must take more.
0:31:38 It must be the empty inside them.
0:31:38 The void.
0:31:46 But would you make the case that if they were not like this, they would not have achieved success?
0:31:47 Which came first?
0:31:54 I think that you’re right that there is definitely a degree of if they did not have.
0:31:55 Actually, no.
0:31:56 I take that a step back.
0:31:57 I don’t know if I conflate the two.
0:32:02 I think the single-minded focus on success, absolute success.
0:32:08 I mean, in many of these cases, when you look into their actual past to success, it wasn’t like they had great business acumen.
0:32:10 They stabbed a few backs a few times.
0:32:12 Musk is an incredible leverage guy.
0:32:13 That’s really it.
0:32:15 He knows how to leverage assets.
0:32:16 That’s about it.
0:32:19 Mark Zuckerberg hasn’t written a line of code since 2006.
0:32:22 Mark Zuckerberg knew who to go to.
0:32:26 Sheryl Sandberg is probably more responsible for Mark Zuckerberg being a billionaire than Mark Zuckerberg.
0:32:29 There are people that attach themselves to these people that help.
0:32:34 I think that, sure, whether or not billionaires should exist is pretty obvious.
0:32:35 You don’t need a billion dollars.
0:32:36 Just come on.
0:32:39 But I think that what got them there was that, to an extent.
0:32:43 But what did they do when they weren’t making money?
0:32:44 Did they not have fun?
0:32:46 Did they ever watch JoJo’s Bizarre Adventure?
0:32:49 Did they ever listen to Jack, like Charles Mingus?
0:32:53 Did they not do anything cool or fun in between now and then?
0:32:54 Was there nothing that made their heart sing?
0:32:57 And I think the answer is no, there wasn’t.
0:33:02 And I think this happens to millions, billions of people all their lives.
0:33:05 Plenty of people who end up dirt poor who also find no joy.
0:33:11 It’s just more obvious with these people because they have so many more choices that they don’t choose.
0:33:19 So if I am a young entrepreneur and I’m listening to this podcast, like my head is exploding right now.
0:33:22 You’re basically ripping all my tech heroes.
0:33:24 So what is a young entrepreneur supposed to do?
0:33:27 What is a young entrepreneur’s north light?
0:33:30 Cling to helping people.
0:33:32 I don’t necessarily mean helping people in the vocational way.
0:33:35 Make something that people need that works.
0:33:37 Be good to your friends and family.
0:33:42 Love the people closer to you harder while working on whatever you’re doing.
0:33:49 You can work incredibly hard while also putting love and joy into the world by being there for your friends, by being an available person.
0:33:50 Go to therapy.
0:33:52 It’s the best thing that most people don’t do.
0:33:56 Exploring oneself is one of the most beautiful things a human can do.
0:34:05 And young entrepreneurs are so commonly told to aspire to be these billionaire types when you look at their history and you say, this isn’t something to aspire to.
0:34:07 This is something they fell into.
0:34:13 So the advice for young entrepreneurs is focus on the most valuable thing you can do that’s easiest for you.
0:34:14 That’s the best I can say.
0:34:16 The closest you can get.
0:34:18 Something you’re naturally good at that pays well.
0:34:21 And I internally dial that in just as a job thing.
0:34:24 But if you’re going to build something, solve a real problem.
0:34:29 Find something that pisses people off or that frustrates them within their life, within their job.
0:34:32 And truly solve that in a way that involves them paying you.
0:34:34 Because there’s nothing.
0:34:34 That’s the thing.
0:34:37 It’s okay as long as you’re up front with the incentives.
0:34:40 Not being like Mark Zuckerberg.
0:34:41 Not being like Larry Ellison.
0:34:43 Not being like Jeff Bezos.
0:34:44 Isn’t a bad thing.
0:34:48 And also these men grew up in vastly different times to today.
0:34:53 Their lessons, even if they were positive, would not be relevant to a society where it’s harder to accumulate wealth.
0:34:55 Where most young people can’t buy a house.
0:34:58 Where most housing and rent is way higher.
0:35:03 Where we, as Americans, burn so much money on healthcare.
0:35:05 The world is different now.
0:35:09 So appending yourself to these people isn’t necessarily the right thing.
0:35:11 Focusing on the reality.
0:35:18 Focusing on the tangibles of helping people with good software or hardware or what job you do.
0:35:21 Find a way to be useful and monetize that.
0:35:23 You can be a creative too.
0:35:25 That will be a grind.
0:35:26 But you can do it.
0:35:28 Just whatever you do.
0:35:30 Actually give a crap.
0:35:37 You are basically rewriting every business book written in the last 25 years there, Ed.
0:35:39 Yeah, I’ve read a lot of them too.
0:35:42 And a lot of them are written like they were written 25 years ago.
0:35:45 The Effective Executive by Drucker is still pretty good.
0:35:49 Because a lot of his lessons come down to, hey, when someone’s good under you, treat them well.
0:35:53 If you have good people working for you and they work on a product that people like, people will buy it.
0:35:55 Be a good boss.
0:35:57 Be a boss that respects the labor of other people.
0:35:58 These are timeless lessons.
0:36:02 The problem is that modern business writing has got so far away from that.
0:36:09 It feeds into this culture of easy answers, of quick fixes, very obvious kind of try it.
0:36:14 But it’s to try and get people away from having to have responsibility for others and themselves.
0:36:20 Not to say that circumstances don’t happen that change things, but it’s, there are no easy answers.
0:36:25 Sometimes the answers involve you not making as much money because you’re spending it on other people working for you.
0:36:30 Sometimes it means you work harder and you have to spend more time working and investing in the people and the processes.
0:36:32 I actually really like Rework.
0:36:34 Rework by the Basecamp guys.
0:36:36 That was a very good book as well.
0:36:39 But a lot of the modern business books are just naff.
0:36:41 They don’t really say much.
0:36:46 They’re trying to give you little tips that you could hopefully copy, but you can’t copy someone else’s homework.
0:36:49 I may be part of that indictment, but…
0:36:51 I just haven’t read it.
0:36:52 I’ve not read your books.
0:36:53 Guy, I’m very sorry.
0:36:58 Oh, at this moment, I would say I’m lucky you haven’t read some of my books.
0:37:01 But also, I should be clear.
0:37:05 10, 20 years ago, these books were written for 10, 20 years ago.
0:37:09 And even then, when you write a book, it takes a year or so to come out.
0:37:11 Everything is going to time out over time.
0:37:15 The idea that the books might need to be rewritten is just the process of history.
0:37:19 And yeah, there are some bad ones, but yeah, of course, old books are going to be…
0:37:22 Like, I wrote two PR books, and they are terribly out of…
0:37:23 Like, they make sense.
0:37:29 The core tips are good, but there’s some social media stuff in there that does not make any sense anymore.
0:37:38 I have to tell you that The Effective Executive, I read that in college, and I loved the writing of Peter Drucker and his other book.
0:37:43 The Management, that really thick book, was just formative in my mind.
0:37:45 And there was like an MBA one as well.
0:37:45 It’s funny.
0:37:53 I remember reading The Effective Executive on one of the few books I read on the subway when I was living in New York in 2009, actually.
0:37:56 And I remember reading it, crouched into a corner, being like, this is good.
0:37:58 A job I hated.
0:37:59 I was so unhappy.
0:38:01 I was just like, is there anything in here that will help me?
0:38:03 I was just like, oh, these all make sense.
0:38:04 But no.
0:38:11 Nothing will help me from this book to fix the situation, because workers are so often deprived of industry.
0:38:14 But it’s good, I think, for young people to enter.
0:38:22 My dream would be that young people internalize lessons like this, because I think that the future of business needs to involve more love for the workers.
0:38:24 Workers need to be less disposable.
0:38:26 There needs to be more training.
0:38:30 Managers need to be fired en masse and replaced with managers who actually know what they’re talking about.
0:38:34 There is just so much rot that’s crept into all businesses.
0:38:37 Up next on Remarkable People.
0:38:40 I think that in general, Apple products are very good.
0:38:43 I think the App Store is an abomination.
0:38:47 And I think the way that they promote horrifying microtransaction-filled stuff is disgusting.
0:38:51 I think their physical products, I think their silicon is fantastic.
0:38:52 I genuinely do.
0:38:54 I think Meta is horrifying.
0:38:57 I think Microsoft, like I would never work Meta, Google, or Microsoft.
0:38:59 No, absolutely not.
0:39:28 It’s our pleasure and honor to make the show for you.
0:39:36 Ed Hoffman, Fawn Weaver, Andrew Ross-Sorkin, Kara Swisher, Dara Treseder, Aza Raskin, and more take the stage.
0:39:40 Apply to attend at mastersofscale.com slash remarkable.
0:39:45 Again, that’s mastersofscale.com slash remarkable.
0:39:48 Thank you to all our regular podcast listeners.
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0:39:52 It’s our pleasure and honor to make the show for you.
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0:40:00 Even better, forward it to a friend.
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0:40:07 You’re listening to Remarkable People with Guy Kawasaki.
0:40:19 I think my favorite lesson from the effective executive, and I use it whenever people talk to me about what’s the role or purpose of a company is.
0:40:28 I believe Peter Drucker said that the purpose of a company is to create customers, which is very different than optimize shareholder return.
0:40:34 I think that it’s a great lesson, but the meaning has been misinterpreted.
0:40:43 Because creating customers, it has been turned into creating businesses, creating problems, and then creating solutions for the problems.
0:40:50 Versus what I think Drucker meant, which was finding customers that need problems solved and solving them.
0:40:54 And that conflation is at the root of a lot of our problems.
0:41:04 Because when you really look at what’s happening, it is creating customers, by which I mean forcing something upon a current customer or a new customer.
0:41:09 Making them have to work with you, rather than appealing to them in any way.
0:41:11 I like how Drucker put it.
0:41:14 It’s just, you should earn their business.
0:41:18 That is the scary thing that I think has left a lot of modern capitalism.
0:41:22 While we’re on the subject of the effective executive, you open the door here.
0:41:28 Do you have any other books you would like my listeners to read to provide a guiding light?
0:41:31 So Rework, Jason Freed.
0:41:35 It’s been a long time since I read it, but that book was really good and it was like quite modernized.
0:41:40 And a lot of it is about doing the things that make sense rather than doing the things that people are telling you to do.
0:41:44 I have a small agency, only a couple of people work with me, and I’ve always kept it like that.
0:41:48 And one of the big things when I was starting out was people would say to me, well, when are you going to scale up?
0:41:51 I’d always say to them, why?
0:41:52 To what end?
0:41:53 Well, then you’d be bigger.
0:41:55 I’m like, why?
0:41:56 Am I going to make more money?
0:41:58 The business will be bigger.
0:42:00 It’s like you go back and forth with people.
0:42:02 And there are all these things that people do in businesses.
0:42:05 Software they have, the processes they choose.
0:42:07 They do it because they think they have to.
0:42:11 And Rework is really good at focusing on, hey, what do we actually need to do here?
0:42:13 What roles do we need in an organization?
0:42:16 What should each person in an organization do?
0:42:17 And it’s very good like that.
0:42:19 It’s been a while, but I really love that book a lot.
0:42:21 I also like Atomic Habits.
0:42:29 It’s cliche, but I think that over time we all develop habits and the ways we work kind of by accident.
0:42:31 We just bumble our way through lives.
0:42:33 Atomic Habits, it has some annoying bits.
0:42:41 It’s quite repetitive, but making you a little more conscious of the way you build the world around you professionally and otherwise is really something.
0:42:42 Like, that’s a good one.
0:42:54 My last topic for you, because you are a PR and media expert, let us talk about what it means to be in PR and media today.
0:42:59 It’s a very different world of pitching stories and getting coverage and social media.
0:43:03 So what is the state of the business these days?
0:43:08 So every single year since 2008, someone has told me that media relations is dying.
0:43:13 My business has been around since 2013, 2012, 2013, I think.
0:43:15 Yet to die yet.
0:43:16 Doing very well.
0:43:18 Media relations is still a big business.
0:43:20 Pitching stories to reporters is as well.
0:43:23 The reason that PR people want to kill it off is it’s difficult.
0:43:24 You have to studiously read.
0:43:26 You have to keep up on everything happening.
0:43:29 You actually have to know what you’re talking about, and you have to read all the journalist stuff.
0:43:33 That never goes out of style because companies want third-party approval,
0:43:37 and they want it on honest terms that people will read and then approve of the company.
0:43:38 That’s a very basic thing.
0:43:39 Never really changed.
0:43:42 The thing is, PR has bred it out of the industry.
0:43:45 PR people have been told not to do media relations.
0:43:48 They’ve been told it doesn’t work anymore, that the company is the media now.
0:43:49 Never been true.
0:43:51 Not even once, Guy.
0:43:54 These people, it’s like, oh.
0:43:56 Every year they say the same thing.
0:43:57 It’s like social media is taking over.
0:43:58 Content is taking over.
0:43:59 It’s not 2013.
0:44:01 But they say the same things.
0:44:06 But in reality, that media relations is one of the few parts of PR that still works and still gets paid.
0:44:11 The rest of it, content creation, yeah, it’s probably the most threat thing from Generative AI.
0:44:16 When it comes to writing anodyne business copy that no one really reads, but everyone internally feels good about,
0:44:18 that’s what Generative AI does.
0:44:18 You want slop?
0:44:19 We’ve got slop.
0:44:21 PR has too much slop in it.
0:44:31 So I think that really, specialist PR is going to continue ripping just because as social communities get more bifurcated,
0:44:33 as we have less media outlets, as media outlets get more specialized,
0:44:38 you’re going to have more people that want to get in front of specialized audiences,
0:44:39 which requires a specialist.
0:44:42 And media relations are specialists.
0:44:45 They’re the highest revenue part of the business other than the scammy parts,
0:44:48 where you just have someone sign up for 100 services and they can’t fire you.
0:44:49 I’m talking about Edelman.
0:44:54 And it’s a situation where PR people don’t know what to do.
0:44:56 Less people are going into PR.
0:44:58 They go into it because they think they’re going to be running events.
0:45:01 I went into PR, completely lied to about what it would be.
0:45:02 And I’m happy.
0:45:02 I stayed.
0:45:04 I love doing media relations.
0:45:05 I get to talk to journalists all day.
0:45:06 I get to know all their stuff.
0:45:07 I get to read constantly.
0:45:09 I get to be smarter and get paid for it.
0:45:10 It’s awesome.
0:45:14 I think that PR will keep going that way.
0:45:18 I think that PR is going to see some astronomical changes in the next few years, though,
0:45:20 because what else is there right now?
0:45:22 Crisis management, great specialist industry.
0:45:26 The specialist PR firms, the specialists, the people that know those industries,
0:45:30 and the PR people who are incentivized to learn them.
0:45:32 Not these PR people who know a little bit about a lot.
0:45:34 They’re unworthy.
0:45:36 The people that know what they’re talking about.
0:45:38 Look at the sports people.
0:45:40 Look at Sarit over at the Atlanta Braves.
0:45:44 You can see the people who are really good in this industry, and it’s because they know
0:45:45 and love their subjects.
0:45:49 And I think PR as an industry has so many generalists.
0:45:53 And I think that you’re going to see that shift or you’re going to see agencies die.
0:45:55 So let me ask you something.
0:46:01 Could you just, for the people listening to this, how do you define media relations?
0:46:06 Is it your ability to call up iJustine or Marquez Brownlee?
0:46:08 Or 20 years ago, you could call up Watt Mossberg.
0:46:14 So iJustine and Marquez are interesting because they’re so big now that you really can’t pitch
0:46:14 them.
0:46:15 You can, but you can’t.
0:46:18 Like, you have to have a thing specifically for them.
0:46:23 So media relations is getting people to write coverage about your client or put your client
0:46:25 on television or put your client on a podcast.
0:46:31 Now, what this means in practice is PR people think it means spamming them and just hoping
0:46:31 for the best.
0:46:35 What it means is a really tailored pitch for them, but also knowing them.
0:46:40 And I don’t mean this kind of nasty, greasy, ooh, I’m going to pretend to be friends with
0:46:40 you.
0:46:43 None of them is, I’m mates with a lot of them, but they don’t run anything extra because I’m
0:46:44 their mate.
0:46:47 They run it because I actually read their stuff studiously.
0:46:49 Media relations is getting coverage.
0:46:50 That really is it.
0:46:52 It’s the thing that people have always paid for.
0:46:53 I think people always pay for it.
0:46:57 It means getting people on podcasts, on TV, in newspapers.
0:47:01 It means finding the right report for a story and getting them to write it.
0:47:03 There are the greasier kinds.
0:47:06 There are the people that do the kind of place stories, the rumor mill stuff.
0:47:09 That’s on the side of it.
0:47:12 It’s not what I peddle in, but it’s interactions with journalists.
0:47:15 But Ed, how do you make a judgment?
0:47:19 Like on the one hand, you are condemning the rot economy.
0:47:23 On the other hand, you’re pitching media stories.
0:47:28 Aren’t those two things overlapping and in conflict sometimes?
0:47:34 I’m really lucky to have clients that are, I pick my clients quite carefully.
0:47:37 And there’s a reason I don’t work with any crypto companies as well.
0:47:39 But look at it like this.
0:47:43 Journalists here from, I do the writing stuff, the podcast stuff.
0:47:44 I do it for the love of the game.
0:47:47 I had 300 subscribers when I started in 2020.
0:47:49 I have 60,000 now.
0:47:50 I did that because I love writing.
0:47:52 And if I don’t write, I’ll go crazy.
0:47:53 The cats in my brain will keep meowing.
0:47:57 So I think that it helps that I do that.
0:48:02 My clients seem to really like it because they understand that journalists are going to connect
0:48:04 with me because they understand my work and they know who I am.
0:48:07 And they know that I wouldn’t bring them something rubbish.
0:48:09 Also something that wouldn’t embarrass me.
0:48:11 I don’t want to embarrass myself.
0:48:13 I have a very public profile, but even before when I didn’t.
0:48:17 So I think there is a challenge.
0:48:22 I’m sure there is definitely a degree of, oh God, what if these two sides touch?
0:48:23 But I firewall them quite aggressively.
0:48:27 No client gets any coverage on my newsletter or podcast.
0:48:30 I separate those worlds incredibly carefully.
0:48:32 I take on clients that I like and I respect.
0:48:37 And when I pitch reporters, I’m very clear, hey, if you don’t like this, that’s totally fine.
0:48:40 And I get turned down for stories all the time, as any PR person does.
0:48:43 The important thing is to not use one on the other.
0:48:49 I would never, ever use anything to do with the show to do with my PR work.
0:48:53 In fact, during CES, I had a live radio show thing I did.
0:48:57 And I intentionally invited journalists on before I pitched them.
0:49:00 So that there was never a chance where anything was contingent.
0:49:03 And then I had one that I invited on that then said no.
0:49:06 And I had zero reaction to it because those are two separate things.
0:49:09 If you do things with intentionality, things tend to work out.
0:49:20 Are you saying to me that if Amazon or Google or Apple or Meta came to you and said we would like to retain you for media relations, you would turn them down?
0:49:21 I’d probably take Apple.
0:49:23 I like Apple stuff.
0:49:24 Like, I’m a happy Apple customer.
0:49:32 And I feel like Tim Cook, despite him being like a supply chain guy, I think that in general, Apple products are very good.
0:49:34 I think the app store is an abomination.
0:49:39 And I think the way that they promote horrifying microtransaction filled stuff is disgusting.
0:49:42 I think their physical products, I think their silicon is fantastic.
0:49:43 I genuinely do.
0:49:46 I think Meta is horrifying.
0:49:49 I think Microsoft, like I would never work with Meta, Google or Microsoft.
0:49:51 No, absolutely not.
0:49:59 Like those companies, Microsoft alone, the monopolies they hold do such damage to and make, they make software worse.
0:50:02 They make the software industry worse with their monopolies.
0:50:06 They make millions, hundreds of millions of people miserable every day with Microsoft Teams.
0:50:11 There are real consequences to what Microsoft does.
0:50:13 I think Apple, by and large, does a good job.
0:50:15 I think the app store is evil.
0:50:18 And I think that they run it in an evil and craven way.
0:50:20 And I’ll keep saying that even if they did hire me.
0:50:23 So what is evil about the app store?
0:50:24 Okay.
0:50:27 Open up the app store and look at how they’re monetizing it.
0:50:32 Because what they do is they promote things like Hinge, Bumble, and these very microtransaction heavy dating apps.
0:50:35 They promote microtransaction heavy gaming apps.
0:50:42 They monetize heavily on things that are built on the principles of gambling and the principles of addiction-based psychology.
0:50:44 They monetize misery.
0:50:46 And they do so with a deliberate hand.
0:50:51 Apple could have chosen at any time to punish companies that monetize in this manner.
0:50:54 Instead, Apple chose to make billions of dollars off it.
0:51:01 Go and look up anything around how gacha games, referring to these games where you give them a little money and then you might get an item for your character.
0:51:06 Those games are based on actively harmful psychological principles, deliberate ones.
0:51:09 Apple makes money off them.
0:51:10 Billions and billions and billions.
0:51:18 Apple, a company that deliberately made the app store so that they could claim there was some kind of quality control, that they could stop consumers being harmed.
0:51:21 Actively, they profit off of consumer harm.
0:51:24 And there’s no reason for them to do it other than profit.
0:51:26 What they could do, and Apple has a history of doing this.
0:51:28 Remember what they did to Flash?
0:51:32 They could crush the life out of these businesses.
0:51:33 They could just go, no.
0:51:35 Supercell cannot do this.
0:51:38 I hinge Tinder.
0:51:40 They cannot make money off of the way.
0:51:44 Like, Hinge, for example, they gate the best-looking people behind microtransactions.
0:51:45 It’s insane.
0:51:46 It’s an insane company.
0:51:50 Apple could very easily just say, we don’t allow you to make money like that.
0:51:52 Or we put a hard limit on these things.
0:51:56 We allow these principles, but there is a hard limit on what you can extract from a customer.
0:51:57 That’s the thing.
0:52:01 These incentives, trickle-down economics I don’t think really works, but trickle-down incentives do.
0:52:06 If Apple just said, no, you can’t make money in this manner, they wouldn’t be able to.
0:52:10 Others would copy, or they would, then theoretically they’d go to Android, sure.
0:52:12 But it’s a question of, do you want their money?
0:52:14 And the answer is, yeah, they do.
0:52:15 They’re happy to.
0:52:16 They’re really happy to.
0:52:25 They are happy to take that money, hand over fist, make the GDP of a small country off of people putting money into Clash of Clans or Candy Crush.
0:52:27 It’s gratuitous.
0:52:31 There’s the concept of entropic doom.
0:52:35 And I think what you’re describing is enrotic doom.
0:52:35 Yes.
0:52:36 Right?
0:52:37 When growth takes everything.
0:52:38 It’s like we’re all doomed to rot.
0:52:39 Yeah.
0:52:47 It’s very frustrating because a company like Apple, for example, the Vision Pro, I like it.
0:52:49 I loved it at times.
0:52:52 I always describe it as when you put it on and it works, it’s magical.
0:52:54 But it only works like 20% of the time.
0:52:56 It’s insanely broken.
0:53:00 Had they left it a few more years, that would have actually been really good.
0:53:02 But they rushed it out because the growth had to show something.
0:53:03 They had to show a new doodad.
0:53:07 And had they waited, I think it would have been significantly better.
0:53:09 I think that there is promise there.
0:53:11 It’s cool watching someone try.
0:53:12 That’s the thing.
0:53:13 I love seeing them try.
0:53:17 But even with the Vision Pro, you can see how they rushed it and they had to rush it.
0:53:22 And it’s like this erotic entropy.
0:53:24 It’s too close to erotic for me.
0:53:26 But you see it crush the life out of joy.
0:53:29 You see it destroy things that could be cool.
0:53:31 The Vision Pro could be cool.
0:53:32 It’s nowhere near there.
0:53:34 You can see it, though, sometimes.
0:53:39 And it’s like, goddammit, if you weren’t so rushed, imagine how good this could have been.
0:53:47 I would say that because of my history with Apple, very few people have had a relationship with Apple like I have.
0:53:49 I have loved the company.
0:53:54 And I have to tell you, this is my last question for you because I’m just so curious what you’re going to say.
0:54:02 What do you think when you see Tim Cook donate a million dollars to the inauguration and is in those pictures on that stage?
0:54:08 This is like, yeah, he’s doing what’s right so that tariffs against China doesn’t affect him.
0:54:10 He’s representing the shareholders.
0:54:12 He’s doing his fiduciary duty.
0:54:16 Or has he basically sold out?
0:54:19 How do you wrap your mind around that?
0:54:20 All of the above.
0:54:22 Tim Cook’s a gay man.
0:54:28 The idea of donating to this administration as a gay man, I can’t imagine it was fun or easy.
0:54:30 It’s also kind of craven.
0:54:38 I don’t feel any sympathy for someone that rich and powerful, but I can understand the value judgment there must have been really difficult.
0:54:40 Really, like, quite tough.
0:54:43 I also think he shouldn’t have done it, but I can understand why he did.
0:54:45 What was he meant to do?
0:54:46 It was a shakedown.
0:54:48 A classic mob shakedown.
0:54:49 What was he meant to do?
0:55:00 I do think that Apple as a company is in a better direction than most, but man, when I saw him do that, actually, when the others did it first, I’m like, Tim Cook’s absolutely going to do this.
0:55:01 And people are saying, he wouldn’t.
0:55:02 It would go against his morals.
0:55:04 And it’s like, he’ll do it.
0:55:06 And it sucks.
0:55:06 It sucks to see.
0:55:08 But I think Steve Jobs would have done it.
0:55:10 I think Steve Jobs would have absolutely done it.
0:55:11 He would have done it in two seconds.
0:55:16 And I think that had he survived, had he beaten cancer, he would have been only…
0:55:25 I think I put him in the same bucket as if John Lennon was still alive, except I think that Jobs was far more noxious, but Lennon would have been more annoying.
0:55:37 I think that Cook is in, like, this bind where he has to deal with an international concept of trade now on a level that was the reason he took over from Steve Jobs.
0:55:43 So he had to make this very difficult but necessary choice that sucks, sucks so bad.
0:55:44 He shouldn’t have done it.
0:55:44 It sucks.
0:55:46 But also, I get why he did it.
0:55:48 Yeah, yeah.
0:55:54 Listen, on the other hand, Steve Wozniak gave quite a powerful interview, too, right?
0:55:57 I’m seeing basically the opposite of that.
0:55:58 What do you mean?
0:55:59 I didn’t see the Wozniak interview.
0:56:02 Oh, check out what Wozniak said.
0:56:06 He was, I think, in Europe, and he gave an interview about…
0:56:14 Let’s just say the two of you are aligned, not necessarily on Tim Cook, but about how people are taking a knee.
0:56:24 Wozniak, I met Wozniak a year or two ago, and he gave me hope, mostly because I talked to him about just tech in general.
0:56:30 We were backstage for a client thing, and we were talking about how Lucid Motors, and he had a problem with a car.
0:56:33 And then he just turned to me, and he said, you ever hear of iCab?
0:56:35 I’m like, what’s that, Steve?
0:56:39 And he goes, it’s an open source web browser that he uses.
0:56:46 And it was this, like, a 10 euro made by a guy in Germany, I think, this incredibly fast and slick web browser.
0:56:49 And the way he talked about it, he was so excited.
0:56:58 And it made me think, it’s like, you see people, these rot economists, like Satya Nadella and Sundar Pashai, you see the people in tech like that, who don’t really care.
0:57:00 There’s no joy in the computer.
0:57:02 I’ll never forgive them what they’ve done to the computer.
0:57:06 And you see someone like Wozniak, you’re like, you know what?
0:57:13 There are people who work in this industry, even though Wozniak has filed out of it, who do care, and who do find the computer fascinating.
0:57:16 And they give me hope.
0:57:20 I believe, genuinely, there are more people like that than there are Elon Musk.
0:57:23 And I think, long term, they will win out.
0:57:25 We will win out, too.
0:57:34 That’s the way to end this podcast, because I think Wozniak is the purest form of engineering I have ever met.
0:57:35 He is a tinkerer.
0:57:36 He really is.
0:57:42 I had never met him, but he seemed so happy to talk about a little web browser.
0:57:44 And it was so lovely.
0:57:45 It was so lovely to see.
0:57:49 This guy didn’t need to do this, like, have a conversation even, but he didn’t need to care about this.
0:57:52 But he was so happy to share it with someone.
0:57:55 And it’s just like, it really does give you hope.
0:57:58 Yeah, I completely agree.
0:58:02 Let’s end on that high note, Yahoo, for Steve Wozniak.
0:58:03 Yes, agreed.
0:58:08 Ed, thank you so much for being on my podcast.
0:58:11 Let’s just say that you’re making my head explode.
0:58:17 I’m going to have to reevaluate some of my perspectives and values after this podcast.
0:58:19 But that’s the whole point of a podcast, right?
0:58:19 Yeah.
0:58:22 And I hope you found it interesting.
0:58:23 I had a great time.
0:58:23 Thank you for having me.
0:58:26 Thank you for being on this.
0:58:27 I’m Guy Kawasaki.
0:58:29 This is the Remarkable People podcast.
0:58:32 You’ve been listening to the Remarkable Ed Zitron.
0:58:36 And lots to think about from this podcast.
0:58:39 So let me thank the rest of the Remarkable People team.
0:58:46 It’s Madison Neismar, Tessa Neismar, Shannon Hernandez, and the one and only Jeff C.
0:58:50 So we’re the Remarkable People team trying to make you remarkable.
0:58:52 Thank you very much for listening.
0:58:59 This is Remarkable People.
Is the tech industry rotting from the inside out? Ed Zitron thinks so. As a PR expert, media critic, and outspoken tech industry commentator, Zitron pulls no punches discussing what he calls the “ROT economy” – where growth at all costs has replaced innovation and customer value. In this brutally honest conversation with Guy Kawasaki, Zitron dissects OpenAI’s unsustainable business model, critiques tech billionaires’ empty pursuit of wealth at the expense of happiness, and challenges the AI hype cycle. From questioning Blue Origin’s all-women space flight to explaining why he refuses clients like Meta and Microsoft, Zitron offers a refreshing counterpoint to Silicon Valley groupthink while advocating for a tech industry that prioritizes workers and customers over shareholder returns.
—
Guy Kawasaki is on a mission to make you remarkable. His Remarkable People podcast features interviews with remarkable people such as Jane Goodall, Marc Benioff, Woz, Kristi Yamaguchi, and Bob Cialdini. Every episode will make you more remarkable.
With his decades of experience in Silicon Valley as a Venture Capitalist and advisor to the top entrepreneurs in the world, Guy’s questions come from a place of curiosity and passion for technology, start-ups, entrepreneurship, and marketing. If you love society and culture, documentaries, and business podcasts, take a second to follow Remarkable People.
Listeners of the Remarkable People podcast will learn from some of the most successful people in the world with practical tips and inspiring stories that will help you be more remarkable.
Episodes of Remarkable People organized by topic: https://bit.ly/rptopology
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#227 Outliers: Rose Blumkin — Women of Berkshire Hathaway
AI transcript
0:00:04 It’s the 1950s in Omaha.
0:00:07 Three well-paid Mohawk carpet attorneys square off
0:00:11 against a 4-foot-10 immigrant widow named Rose Blumpkin.
0:00:14 They accuse her of one outrageous act,
0:00:18 selling carpet at prices ordinary people can afford.
0:00:21 I picture her standing there, adjusting her glasses,
0:00:25 then telling the judge in a thick Russian accent,
0:00:28 Judge, I sell everything 10% above cost.
0:00:31 What’s wrong with giving my customers a good deal?
0:00:33 I know what it’s like to be poor.
0:00:34 Silence.
0:00:36 And then the gavel comes down.
0:00:38 Case dismissed.
0:00:43 The next morning, that same judge walks into Rose’s basement store
0:00:45 and buys $1,400 worth of carpet.
0:00:49 It’s the first of many miracles at Nebraska Furniture Mart.
0:00:52 Miracles born of one stubborn motto,
0:00:55 sell cheap, tell the truth, don’t cheat the customer.
0:00:59 How did this penniless refugee build a billion-dollar empire?
0:01:04 And why did Warren Buffett leaders say he’d rather wrestle grizzlies than compete with Miss B?
0:01:05 Let’s find out.
0:01:22 Welcome to The Knowledge Project.
0:01:25 I’m your host, Shane Parrish.
0:01:26 In a world where knowledge is power,
0:01:30 this podcast is your toolkit for mastering the best of what other people have already figured out.
0:01:36 In a world where MBA programs teach complex business strategies
0:01:38 and consultants sell elaborate frameworks,
0:01:44 one woman built an empire by taking three simple ideas very seriously.
0:01:48 Sell cheap, tell the truth, don’t cheat the customer.
0:01:51 When the world’s greatest investor, Warren Buffett, met Rose Blumpkin,
0:01:52 he said simply,
0:01:56 I’d rather wrestle grizzlies than compete with Miss B.
0:02:00 She arrived in America as a penniless immigrant who couldn’t read English,
0:02:06 fleeing Russia with just $66 in her purse after lying to a border guard about vodka.
0:02:10 At 43, at an age when most people settle into their career,
0:02:14 she borrowed $500 from her brother and opened a furniture store in her basement.
0:02:17 What followed was extraordinary.
0:02:21 Although she never spent a day in school and stood just 4’10”,
0:02:24 Rose could calculate complex carpet measurements instantly in her head,
0:02:27 beating salesmen with calculators every time.
0:02:30 She could detect a diluted shipment by touch alone.
0:02:33 She survived the depression, rebuilt after a devastating fire,
0:02:37 and when a tornado flattened her store, she built it back bigger.
0:02:42 Then, at 96 years old, she quit, started a competing business across the street,
0:02:45 and was so effective her family had to buy her out.
0:02:50 This is the story of Rose Blumpkin, a woman who revolutionized retail by never forgetting what it
0:02:51 was like to be poor.
0:02:57 The research for this episode comes mostly from women of Berkshire and oral history interviews
0:02:59 with Rose Blumpkin and her daughter, Frances.
0:03:04 Stick around at the end for my reflections on how her deceptively simple principles
0:03:07 might transform your own approach to business and life.
0:03:10 It’s time to listen and learn.
0:03:16 This podcast is for entertainment purposes only.
0:03:27 In 1893, in a village near Minsk, Russia, Rose Gorolik was born into a life of modest means.
0:03:33 Home was a two-room log cabin where she and seven siblings slept on straw mats.
0:03:36 Her father, a rabbi, devoted himself mostly to religious study
0:03:39 while her mother supported the family by running a small general store.
0:03:43 One night, six-year-old Rose awoke to find her mother washing clothes
0:03:46 and baking bread in the darkness, preparing for the next day.
0:03:49 Something in that moment crystallized in her mind.
0:03:52 When I grow up, the little girl told her mother,
0:03:53 you’re not going to work so hard.
0:03:54 I can’t stand it.
0:03:56 The way you work day and night.
0:03:58 When I grow up, I’m going to get a job.
0:03:59 I’m going to earn money.
0:04:01 I’m going to go to America.
0:04:03 And when I go to America, I’m going to make more money,
0:04:07 get another job, and send for you and the whole family.
0:04:13 While boys received education, Rose was absorbing business fundamentals in her mother’s store.
0:04:18 On an errand to the village shop, she noticed the shopkeeper’s calculation error.
0:04:22 She told him, Mr. Prost, you made a mistake in one Copic, one cent.
0:04:24 He responded, just a minute, little girl.
0:04:25 I’ll redo the addition.
0:04:28 Sure enough, he said, you know what?
0:04:28 You’re right.
0:04:30 I overcharged you one Copic.
0:04:32 Later at the synagogue, he told everyone,
0:04:37 here’s a six-year-old child who in her head with speed had the total before I ever had it.
0:04:40 At 13, Rose made an extraordinary decision.
0:04:44 With new shoes slung over her shoulder to preserve their souls,
0:04:49 she walked barefoot, barefoot, for 18 miles to the nearest train station,
0:04:51 heading to Gomo, 300 miles away.
0:04:54 Once there, she went door-to-door, seeking work.
0:04:57 You’re a kid, one store owner said dismissively.
0:04:59 I’m not a beggar, Rose shot back.
0:05:04 With just four cents in her pocket, she asked for a place to sleep that night.
0:05:07 Tomorrow, I go to work, she promised.
0:05:08 The owner relented.
0:05:10 Before dawn, she was cleaning the store.
0:05:15 By 16, she was managing it and supervising six married men.
0:05:18 In 1914, Rose married Isidore Blumpkin.
0:05:23 Their wedding feast was just two pounds of rice and two pounds of cookies provided by her mother.
0:05:28 When World War I erupted, Isidore fled to America to avoid conscription,
0:05:30 leaving Rose behind for three years.
0:05:34 In 1917, Rose made her escape without a passport.
0:05:38 At the Chinese-Siberian border, when confronted by a soldier, she improvised.
0:05:40 I’m on the way to buy leather for the army.
0:05:43 When I come back, I’ll bring you a big bottle of vodka.
0:05:45 I suppose she later laughed.
0:05:47 He’s still there waiting for his vodka.
0:05:52 After a six-week voyage on her freighter, she reached Seattle with no entry permit.
0:05:55 If you were healthy, you got in, she later recalled, and healthy I was.
0:05:59 She had 200 rubles, about $66 in her purse.
0:06:03 The Red Cross helped her locate her husband, Isidore, in Fort Dodge, Iowa.
0:06:08 There, despite the language barrier, she was overwhelmed by the kindness of Americans.
0:06:21 For many immigrants, this reunion would be the happy ending.
0:06:23 For Rose Blumpkin, it was just the beginning.
0:06:30 After a brief stay in Iowa, where their first daughter, Frances, was born, the Blumpkins moved to Omaha, Nebraska.
0:06:37 There was a large community of Russian and Yiddish speakers there, which Rose hoped would ease her isolation while she struggled to learn English.
0:06:43 In Omaha, Isidore opened a second-hand clothing store while Rose began running a household with growing children.
0:06:50 By 1922, they had saved enough to bring Rose’s family over from Russia, her parents, brothers, sisters, and a cousin.
0:06:54 And they all put down roots in Omaha, several living in the Blumpkin household.
0:06:56 But then came the Great Depression.
0:07:00 One day in 1930, Isidore came home from his store distraught.
0:07:01 We’ll starve to death.
0:07:02 Nobody walks in.
0:07:03 What will we do?
0:07:10 It was at this moment that Rose Blumpkin, homemaker, and mother of four, stepped forward to transform their fortunes.
0:07:14 You buy a pair of shoes for $3, sell them for $3.30, she told her husband.
0:07:20 Let’s sell 10% over cost, and I’ll come to the store to help you because I did big business in Russia for my boss, and I knew business.
0:07:22 And she certainly did.
0:07:29 As her daughter recalled years later, she had the most wonderful ability for figuring out how to get people into a store.
0:07:33 Isidore had been selling shotguns because America had a hunting culture.
0:07:38 But in the Depression, when people were having trouble affording food, no one could afford to buy a shotgun.
0:07:42 So Rose ran a bold ad in the newspaper, Shotguns for Rent.
0:07:44 It was $3 and a $25 deposit.
0:07:47 There was a line around the block the next day.
0:07:51 She was a natural with an instinct for what the market needed before others saw it.
0:07:56 If a customer came in and said what they needed in any way, Rose would go get it for them.
0:07:59 They’d be asking her where to get it, and she’d say, I can get it.
0:08:01 I can get it for you wholesale.
0:08:02 I have a wholesale house.
0:08:03 And she did.
0:08:05 It was an alley behind her husband’s store.
0:08:13 And as her daughter recalls, she would go there, take a coat that cost $10, and believe it or not, she might sell it for $11 or $12, not at the retail price.
0:08:16 The wholesale people were starving, so they were happy to do it.
0:08:19 Actually, that’s the way she started to become known.
0:08:22 Wherever she felt she could make even a dime, she would do it.
0:08:24 No opportunity was too small.
0:08:25 No customer too insignificant.
0:08:44 By 1937, Rose had grown tired of the constant gloom of the Depression.
0:08:50 With a $500 loan from one of her brothers, she opened a basement store beneath Isidore’s shop.
0:08:52 She called it Nebraska Furniture Mart.
0:08:58 The same day I opened, February 7th, another furniture store was opening, she recalled.
0:09:06 They had orchestra music and Hollywood stars, and I only had a three-line want ads because I was poor.
0:09:08 I did big business.
0:09:09 I couldn’t get over it.
0:09:15 It’s worth pausing here to consider something we’ve observed repeatedly in our series on outliers.
0:09:19 The best people often relish the worst times.
0:09:23 As John D. Rockefeller said, they feed during the Depressions.
0:09:27 I think of this as a taste for salt water, that is, an ability to take pain.
0:09:30 Rose was doing all of this during the Depression.
0:09:36 Her advantage wasn’t just talent, it was an ability to push through the discomfort that others choose to ignore.
0:09:43 Rose Blumpkin’s business model was the essence of taking a few simple ideas and taking them seriously.
0:09:48 Selling 10% above cost, going the extra mile for customers, and growing through volume.
0:09:53 Or more bluntly in her words, sell cheap, tell the truth, don’t cheat people.
0:09:55 It’s worth pausing just for a second here.
0:09:57 Sell cheap, tell the truth, don’t cheat people.
0:09:59 These are simple ideas.
0:10:01 They’re so basic that they often get overlooked.
0:10:05 But Charlie Munger had a rule that works wonders in business, science, and life.
0:10:09 Take a simple, basic idea and take it very seriously.
0:10:13 Most mornings, I start my day with a smoothie.
0:10:16 It’s a secret recipe the kids and I call the Tom Brady.
0:10:20 I actually shared the full recipe in episode 191 with Dr. Rhonda Patrick.
0:10:24 One thing that hasn’t changed since then, protein is a must.
0:10:29 These days, I build my foundation around what Momentus calls the Momentus 3.
0:10:32 Protein, creatine, and omega-3s.
0:10:38 I take them daily because they support everything, focus, energy, recovery, and long-term health.
0:10:42 Most people don’t get enough of any of these things through diet alone.
0:10:45 What makes Momentus different is their quality.
0:10:47 Their whey protein isolate is grass-fed.
0:10:51 Their creatine uses Creopure, the purest form available.
0:10:55 And their omega-3s are sourced for maximum bioavailability.
0:10:58 So your body actually uses what you take.
0:11:02 No fillers, no artificial ingredients, just what your body needs.
0:11:03 Backed by science.
0:11:10 Head to livemomentus.com and use code KNOWLEDGEPROJECT for 35% off your first subscription.
0:11:16 That’s code KNOWLEDGEPROJECT at livemomentus.com for 35% off your first subscription.
0:11:20 There used to be days I’d open my inbox and feel buried.
0:11:22 Like I was digging through noise just to find the signal.
0:11:25 Important messages got lost.
0:11:26 My focus slipped.
0:11:29 And I started feeling like I was managing email more than running my business.
0:11:35 As someone who values productivity above almost anything else, that just wasn’t sustainable.
0:11:38 Since I’ve switched to NotionMail, everything’s changed.
0:11:40 NotionMail is the inbox that thinks like you.
0:11:44 It’s automated, personalized, and flexible to finally work the way that you work.
0:11:49 With AI that learns what matters to you, it can organize your inbox, label messages, draft
0:11:51 replies, and even schedule meetings.
0:11:52 No manual sorting required.
0:11:55 Now the emails that matter rise to the top.
0:12:01 I write faster with content blocks and AI prompts that polish or draft replies in seconds.
0:12:06 And it integrates seamlessly with my Notion workspace, so I have full context right where I need it.
0:12:10 Plus, Notion is trusted by over half of Fortune 500 companies.
0:12:15 If those are the people that you’re looking to compete with, start upgrading for free to NotionMail.
0:12:37 One of the basic ideas Rose is employing is a win-win approach.
0:12:41 There are four basic permutations of any relationship.
0:12:44 Win-lose, win-win, lose-lose, and lose-win.
0:12:48 But only one of these permutations can survive across time.
0:12:51 We all know what it feels like to be taken advantage of.
0:12:55 And when we perceive a person or store as taking advantage of us,
0:12:58 we stop dealing with them at the first moment we can.
0:13:00 However, when we feel like we’re getting a good deal,
0:13:03 we develop trust and we want to work with them again and again.
0:13:07 So, Rose understood the short-term sacrifice of less profit today
0:13:11 would be more than made up for in volume and customer goodwill that would come later.
0:13:14 She was playing a long-term game with her customers.
0:13:17 And the only long-term game across any relationship,
0:13:20 kids, parents, partners, colleagues, customers, suppliers,
0:13:22 literally any relationship in your life,
0:13:24 there’s only one permutation that survives.
0:13:25 That’s win-win.
0:13:27 Okay, back to our story.
0:13:31 During World War II, she appeared not just to a customer’s brain and wallet,
0:13:33 but also to their heart.
0:13:36 When a soldier came in looking for a table and chairs for his new family,
0:13:39 mentioning that his wife just had a baby, but they couldn’t afford a crib,
0:13:41 Rose didn’t hesitate.
0:13:43 Because you are going to fight for our country,
0:13:46 you’re going off to war, I’m going to give you the crib.
0:13:48 For Rose, it was a natural instinct.
0:13:50 When a young couple furnished their first apartment,
0:13:53 seeing what for them was a significant sum,
0:13:54 Rose would often add,
0:13:55 you’re renting a new apartment,
0:13:57 you bought all this from me, you are so nice,
0:13:59 you came to me to buy, you trust me,
0:14:01 I’m going to give you a present, a lamp.
0:14:03 Yet, Rose was nobody’s fool.
0:14:06 She could spot a freeloader like no one else.
0:14:08 She’d interrogate customers.
0:14:09 Now, what do you want?
0:14:09 Where do you work?
0:14:11 When can you pay me?
0:14:13 If satisfied, she’d declare, I trust you.
0:14:14 Maybe times are hard.
0:14:15 I know you’re going to pay me.
0:14:16 And pay they did,
0:14:17 returning year after year,
0:14:19 bringing family, friends,
0:14:19 neighbors,
0:14:20 even co-workers.
0:14:23 Rose turned these customers into scouts.
0:14:24 You want that bedroom set?
0:14:25 She’d ask.
0:14:26 Go to the downtown store.
0:14:28 Tell me exactly what they charge.
0:14:29 Give me all the numbers.
0:14:30 They’d return.
0:14:32 From her competitors’ downtown reporting,
0:14:35 I saw this Haymarket Wayfield bedroom set,
0:14:35 and it was $200.
0:14:38 She’d sell it to them for $100,
0:14:40 knowing her cost structure gave her that flexibility.
0:14:42 Word spread like wildfire.
0:14:45 The massive strategic air command base nearby
0:14:47 became a powerful source of customers.
0:14:49 New officers arriving at Omaha would ask,
0:14:50 where should I buy furniture?
0:14:52 And invariably here,
0:14:54 you go to Nebraska Furniture Mart
0:14:55 and see Miss Blumpkin.
0:14:57 Her daughter recalls with amazement
0:14:59 how far this reputation had traveled.
0:15:03 Lord and Lady Evans from Stratcom came to town.
0:15:04 He had heard about the store.
0:15:06 He came in and they had to furnish a house
0:15:07 and they bought all their furniture.
0:15:10 Soon they were shipping furniture to Hawaii, Guam,
0:15:11 even Israel,
0:15:13 with customers purchasing from Miss B,
0:15:14 sight unseen,
0:15:16 based on reputation alone.
0:15:20 But Rose’s approach made the established
0:15:21 Omaha retailers furious
0:15:24 because they weren’t just losing customers,
0:15:25 they were being exposed.
0:15:28 Everyday customers were coming in not to buy,
0:15:29 but to see their prices
0:15:31 and then heading over to Nebraska Furniture Mart
0:15:32 to see Miss B.
0:15:35 When she went to Chicago’s Merchandise Mart
0:15:36 to buy furniture wholesale,
0:15:40 she encountered the full force of entrenched interests,
0:15:41 such as Brandeis and Rogers,
0:15:44 huge department store competitors at the time.
0:15:46 The merchants were very rotten to me, she recalled.
0:15:47 When I walked in,
0:15:49 Merchandise Mart to buy furniture,
0:15:50 they used to kick me out and say,
0:15:51 don’t bother us,
0:15:53 we’re not going to sell to you, nothing.
0:15:56 Brandeis and Rogers won’t let us sell you anything.
0:15:59 Her face would redden with anger and humiliation.
0:16:01 But then she would make a promise to herself,
0:16:04 someday you’ll come to my store and try to sell to me
0:16:07 and I’ll kick you out the same way that you did to me.
0:16:09 Then she would add,
0:16:10 with quiet satisfaction years later,
0:16:12 and my wish came true.
0:16:14 With the wholesale route blocked,
0:16:15 Rose got creative.
0:16:17 She found retailers in other cities
0:16:20 willing to sell to her just at above their cost.
0:16:22 She managed to convince Marshall Fields
0:16:25 to sell her carpet wholesale at $3 per yard.
0:16:27 She resold it for $3.95,
0:16:32 while competitors charged $7.95 for the identical carpet.
0:16:34 They called her a bootlegger for these tactics.
0:16:36 You bet ya, she would reply,
0:16:38 I’m the best bootlegger in town.
0:16:41 It was after this bootlegger incident
0:16:42 that she was hauled into court
0:16:44 by the three lawyers from Mohawk Carpet,
0:16:47 who sued her for what they called unfair trade practices.
0:16:50 Rose made her case to the judge saying,
0:16:52 Judge, I sell everything, 10% above cost.
0:16:53 What’s wrong?
0:16:55 Can I give my customers a good deal?
0:16:57 The judge threw the case out immediately
0:16:59 and came by her store the next day,
0:17:01 buying $1,400 worth of carpet.
0:17:03 The publicity she got from this trial
0:17:05 was worth more than anything she could have paid for.
0:17:10 The 1950s and the Korean War brought new challenges
0:17:12 as sales slowed and the bills added up,
0:17:14 but Rose refused to fold.
0:17:15 She came up with a bold idea.
0:17:16 She said, I’m going to rent
0:17:19 the downtown Omaha City Auditorium.
0:17:21 I’m gonna take all the furniture out of my store
0:17:22 and we’re gonna hold a three-day sale.
0:17:25 The big store competitors actually went to the city
0:17:27 and said she couldn’t do this.
0:17:30 They asked the city not to rent to her.
0:17:33 The city ignored them and rented to her anyways.
0:17:37 She cleared $250,000 in revenue in three days,
0:17:39 which allowed her to pay all of her bills
0:17:41 and finally stopped her from having to sell the furniture
0:17:43 from her own house.
0:17:47 This more than anything is what Rose says put her in business.
0:17:49 Now, what’s instructive here
0:17:51 is Rose’s response to obstacles.
0:17:52 She doesn’t break.
0:17:55 When conventional channels were closed for her,
0:17:56 she didn’t complain about the unfairness,
0:17:58 she found alternative paths.
0:18:01 When established players tried to use their power to crush her,
0:18:04 she turned their attacks into opportunities for publicity.
0:18:07 Each attempt to constrain her became an opportunity.
0:18:10 This pattern repeats throughout business history.
0:18:13 Outliers don’t waste energy fighting the existing system
0:18:15 on its own terms.
0:18:23 That same year brought personal tragedy when her husband Isidore died of a heart attack
0:18:25 after 36 years of marriage.
0:18:28 Rose would be a widow for the next 48 years,
0:18:31 channeling all of her energy into her business.
0:18:35 While Nebraska Furniture Mart legend centers on Rose’s indomitable spirit,
0:18:40 Their daughter, Frances, reveals how Isidore quietly shaped the store’s customer service philosophy.
0:18:42 My father was really a teacher.
0:18:43 He said,
0:18:45 No matter what happens, you smile.
0:18:45 We need the customer.
0:18:46 They don’t need us.
0:18:47 They can go to our competition.
0:18:50 We have to do something to keep them here.
0:18:55 This immigrant couple who survived revolution, separation, and poverty
0:18:59 created a business approach based on lived experience.
0:19:03 They knew firsthand that every dollar mattered to their customers
0:19:06 because every dollar had once mattered desperately to them.
0:19:09 Their son, Louis, joined after the war in 1945,
0:19:12 providing a calming balance to Rose’s quick temper.
0:19:16 He would often hire back employees she just had fired.
0:19:20 By the mid-1950s, Rose could have retired comfortably.
0:19:25 Instead, at an age when most conclude careers, she was just hitting her stride.
0:19:29 Work, as one sales associate put it, was her narcotic.
0:19:32 Rose had the eye of a detective.
0:19:35 Her attention to detail was extraordinary.
0:19:37 Every morning, she would inspect shipments personally,
0:19:42 not just looking at carpet, but feeling the texture and the weight.
0:19:45 Once her trained fingers detected something off in a major shipment,
0:19:48 this is not the weight I bought, she declared.
0:19:49 I bought so many ounces.
0:19:51 This is not the correct weight.
0:19:52 She wasn’t using a scale.
0:19:54 The manufacturer confirmed her assessment,
0:19:59 uncovering an astonishingly large criminal operation at the mill
0:20:01 where workers were stealing yarn, diluting quality,
0:20:02 and pocketing the difference.
0:20:05 An entire fraud operation was exposed,
0:20:08 not by auditors or quality control systems,
0:20:11 but by a woman who couldn’t read English yet,
0:20:14 and she could feel the absence of a few ounces of wool
0:20:16 across hundreds of square yards of carpet.
0:20:18 As Buffett would later observe,
0:20:21 this wasn’t business acumen you could learn at Harvard.
0:20:26 What’s instructive here is how Rose maintained hands-on product knowledge,
0:20:27 even as her business group.
0:20:32 Many organizations separate senior leadership from direct product experience,
0:20:35 but Rose understood that quality control wasn’t a department,
0:20:38 it was a personal responsibility that couldn’t be delegated.
0:20:41 The Blumpkin partnership also reveals the strength
0:20:43 of having the right partner or co-pilot.
0:20:46 While Rose had a commercial intuition and fighting spirit,
0:20:51 Isidore provided the steady foundation of customer psychology and support.
0:20:54 A poor partner silently sabotages everything,
0:20:56 while a strong one amplifies your impact.
0:21:01 In August of 1961, disaster struck when a three-alarm fire
0:21:04 destroyed half of the Nebraska furniture market.
0:21:07 Now, an ordinary business would have closed for weeks.
0:21:08 The damage was severe.
0:21:11 The roof was completely open to the elements.
0:21:13 But Rose wouldn’t hear of it.
0:21:15 We’re opening tomorrow, she declared.
0:21:17 She mobilized every family member who could walk.
0:21:19 And once they had organized what remained,
0:21:20 she announced,
0:21:22 we’re going to have the biggest fire cell.
0:21:24 We’re going to tell the customers the truth.
0:21:26 All this furniture downtown was in the fire.
0:21:27 If you want to buy it, buy it.
0:21:29 People lined up by the hundreds.
0:21:32 Adversity meant nothing to Rose Blumpkin.
0:21:33 According to her daughter,
0:21:34 my mother always says,
0:21:36 I’ve been through a revolution.
0:21:37 I’ve been through a war.
0:21:38 I survived that.
0:21:39 I’ll survive this.
0:21:39 Then she said,
0:21:41 we’ll just start again.
0:21:41 That’s all.
0:21:45 A normal individual would sit down and cry and say,
0:21:46 what am I going to do?
0:21:47 But not my mother.
0:21:52 So grateful was Rose to the firefighters who saved what they could save,
0:21:55 that she gave a television set to every fire station in the city.
0:22:00 A gesture that was both genuinely appreciative and strategically generated a lot of goodwill.
0:22:01 14 years later,
0:22:02 14 years later,
0:22:03 in May 1975,
0:22:08 catastrophe returned again when a tornado cut a quarter mile path through Omaha,
0:22:12 leveling an entire Nebraska furniture mart building and warehouse.
0:22:13 Yet again,
0:22:16 Rose turned disaster into opportunity.
0:22:19 The other location saw an increase in business as a result,
0:22:23 and they rebuilt the destroyed store on an even grander scale.
0:22:24 You know,
0:22:28 what separates outliers from others isn’t the absence of setbacks,
0:22:30 it’s how they respond to them.
0:22:34 Rose’s approach to catastrophe demonstrates a mindset we see repeatedly,
0:22:36 viewing disasters not as endings,
0:22:38 but as forced opportunities for reinvention.
0:22:43 She understood intuitively that customers respond to transparency and authenticity,
0:22:45 or even,
0:22:46 perhaps especially,
0:22:47 during a crisis.
0:22:50 By immediately announcing a fire sale rather than hiding the damage,
0:22:56 she transformed potential ruin into a marketing opportunity that deepened customer trust.
0:23:00 Rose possessed an extraordinary talent for judging character.
0:23:05 Just as she understood customers’ needs and how to draw them into a store,
0:23:08 she naturally identified great talent for Nebraska furniture mart.
0:23:10 When she found a good worker,
0:23:13 she viewed their entire family as potential assets.
0:23:14 Miss Tusha,
0:23:15 I know your family,
0:23:17 she said when approached about a son needing summer work.
0:23:19 If you tell me you’ve got a good boy,
0:23:19 send him in.
0:23:20 One employee,
0:23:21 Mr. Watson,
0:23:25 became legendary because all eight of his children eventually worked at the mart,
0:23:28 creating a mini dynasty of retail talent under Rose’s cultivation,
0:23:32 Nebraska furniture mart’s version of succession planning,
0:23:33 family by family.
0:23:34 Her standards,
0:23:35 however,
0:23:37 were unreasonable and inflexible.
0:23:40 Character was the only currency that mattered.
0:23:41 If an employee ignored a customer,
0:23:44 Rose would materialize out of nowhere with her verdict.
0:23:45 This is not for you.
0:23:47 No second chances,
0:23:49 no performance improvement plans,
0:23:51 and Rose’s world customer focus wasn’t taught.
0:23:53 It was either innate or absent.
0:23:56 Rose subverted conventional hiring wisdom.
0:23:58 When a college graduate sought employment,
0:23:59 her response was deadpan.
0:24:01 I won’t hold it against you.
0:24:04 She looked past the credentials straight to the character,
0:24:06 preferring street smarts over book learning,
0:24:07 hustle over pedigree.
0:24:09 She would also study shoppers,
0:24:10 their questions,
0:24:11 demeanor,
0:24:12 and sincerity,
0:24:14 and occasionally making an unexpected pivot.
0:24:15 You know something?
0:24:16 I like the questions you ask me.
0:24:17 How would you like a job?
0:24:21 A woman might enter seeking a bedroom set within a tight budget,
0:24:23 and leave with a position in sales.
0:24:26 Rose had inverted the entire interview process,
0:24:27 observing people in their natural state,
0:24:29 rather than the rehearsed interview persona.
0:24:32 Even with her children’s friends who distribute a flyer,
0:24:34 she tracked performance meticulously.
0:24:36 Don’t ever bring little Johnny to me again.
0:24:39 He took the flyers and threw them in the sewers,
0:24:39 she declared.
0:24:41 He can never work for me again.
0:24:42 The message was clear.
0:24:45 Character reveals itself in the smallest actions.
0:24:50 What’s worth pointing out here is how high her standards were.
0:24:51 From the outside looking in,
0:24:53 it kind of looks crazy,
0:24:54 however it works.
0:24:57 We grow up with a set of standards and belief that become our norm,
0:25:01 and it takes outliers with their unreasonably high standards
0:25:03 to show us what’s possible.
0:25:11 A 1977 newspaper profile captured her single-minded focus
0:25:13 better than any words I can write.
0:25:14 Here’s how it goes.
0:25:17 Favorite thing to do on a Sunday afternoon?
0:25:19 Visit with my customers at my store.
0:25:21 Favorite thing to do on a nice evening?
0:25:25 Drive around to check the competition and plan my next attack.
0:25:28 Favorite movie or book in the last year?
0:25:29 Too busy.
0:25:30 Don’t have time.
0:25:31 Favorite place?
0:25:32 My stores.
0:25:36 By the late 1970s, Rose was in her 80s.
0:25:39 While her body slowed, her mental acuity remained extraordinary.
0:25:43 Unable to walk the vast expanse of her main store,
0:25:45 which now covered three square city blocks,
0:25:46 on two floors,
0:25:49 she began driving a motorized cart through the aisles.
0:25:52 Her mathematical abilities bordered on supernatural.
0:25:54 She couldn’t read or write English,
0:25:58 but she could perform complex calculations instantly in her head.
0:26:01 Her grandson, Larry Batt, recalled at one point,
0:26:03 where a price was about to be decided,
0:26:06 a race would commence between her and a salesman with a calculator.
0:26:08 The salesman always lost.
0:26:15 In 1990, on ABC’s 2020, a reporter tested this ability as Rose zoomed around her scooter.
0:26:18 Say the carpet’s $12.95 a yard, and I want 30 yards.
0:26:19 How much is that?
0:26:22 $3.90, Rose replied in less than a second.
0:26:24 And if my room is 12 by 14, how many?
0:26:27 19 yards, she answered before he could finish.
0:26:30 She was 96 years old during that interview.
0:26:33 Her mental sharpness was matched by physical resilience.
0:26:37 At 97, she drove her cart into a metal post and broke her ankle,
0:26:41 but didn’t seek medical attention until the next day when she couldn’t stand up.
0:26:42 It was just a crack.
0:26:44 It didn’t hurt, she explained.
0:26:46 She returned to work the following day.
0:26:49 Fires, tornadoes, broken bones.
0:26:50 Nothing could get Ms. B down.
0:26:52 She was relentless.
0:26:57 This extreme work ethic both inspired and intimidated those around her.
0:27:01 When Warren Buffett quipped at a Berkshire Hathaway meeting that
0:27:03 he’d like to introduce Berkshire Hathaway’s managers,
0:27:07 except Ms. B couldn’t take the time off for foolishness like a shareholders meeting,
0:27:08 he was only half joking.
0:27:11 The lesson here is simple.
0:27:13 Focus is a superpower.
0:27:16 In an age of fractured attention and constant distraction,
0:27:22 Rose’s singular focus on her business created a depth of experience that her competitors couldn’t match.
0:27:25 Scattered energy destroys impact.
0:27:27 Discipline focus multiplies it.
0:27:31 Most people drift between multiple priorities, never fully committing.
0:27:35 She wasn’t just present in her business, she was immersed in it,
0:27:39 creating an advantage that manifested in everything from pricing to quality control.
0:27:44 Warren Buffett had known of Nebraska Furniture Merck for many years.
0:27:49 A lifelong Omaha resident, he admired the Blumpkins’ business savvy from afar.
0:27:53 In the late 1960s, he actually offered $7 million for the store,
0:27:56 an offer Rose dismissed immediately calling him cheap.
0:28:01 But on his 53rd birthday in 1983, Buffett returned with a new proposal,
0:28:04 $60 million for 90% of the company.
0:28:05 This time, Rose accepted.
0:28:09 What follows was characteristically unconventional.
0:28:10 They shook hands on the deal.
0:28:13 No lawyers, no audit, no inventory count.
0:28:16 They later put their agreement in writing in a one-page document.
0:28:20 The document mainly states that we shook hands, Buffett explained.
0:28:23 If she ran a popcorn stand, I’d want to be in business with her.
0:28:27 What did Buffett see in Rose’s operation that others missed?
0:28:31 Later, Buffett would elaborate on what he saw in Miss B’s business.
0:28:34 I’d rather wrestle Grizzlies than compete with Miss B.
0:28:36 They buy brilliantly.
0:28:40 They operate at expense ratios competitors don’t even dream about.
0:28:42 And they pass that on to the customers.
0:28:46 It’s the ideal business, one built upon exceptional value to the customer,
0:28:50 that in turn translates into exceptional economics for its owners.
0:28:53 He would elaborate a little bit more on this later.
0:28:56 First of all, A, she’s just plain smart.
0:28:58 B, she’s a fierce competitor.
0:29:00 C, she’s a tireless worker.
0:29:02 And D, she has a realistic attitude.
0:29:06 The deal embodied Buffett’s investment philosophy perfectly.
0:29:10 A simple business with honest management, sustainable competitive advantage,
0:29:12 and outstanding economics.
0:29:15 Nebraska Furniture Mart had all three in abundance.
0:29:21 For Rose then nearing 90, the sale was a way to avoid family conflict after her death.
0:29:25 She split the proceeds five ways between her four children and herself.
0:29:28 Her son, Louis, and his family subsequently bought back 10%,
0:29:31 making Berkshire’s final purchase price about $55 million.
0:29:34 In a press conference announcing the deal,
0:29:38 Rose called Mr. Buffett my hero alongside the middle class and the immigrants.
0:29:39 He’s a genius.
0:29:41 I respect him a lot.
0:29:44 He’s very honest, very plain, and his word is as good as gold.
0:29:47 I think there’s not another one in the city who is so gentle,
0:29:49 so nice, so honest, and so friendly.
0:29:53 This partnership between two utterly different personalities,
0:29:57 the university-educated investor from a comfortable middle-class background,
0:30:00 and the self-taught immigrant who couldn’t read English,
0:30:03 represents something profound about American business.
0:30:08 Despite their contrasting past, they recognized in each other the same fundamental values,
0:30:10 honesty, focus on customer value,
0:30:15 and an ability to cut through the complexity to the essential truth of a business proposition.
0:30:21 One thing that’s interesting here is how both Rose and Buffett prioritize character over credentials.
0:30:25 Buffett would later elaborate on the three things that he looks for in a person.
0:30:28 He would say, intelligence, energy, and integrity.
0:30:30 And Miss B had all three in spades.
0:30:32 Their handshake deal wasn’t reckless.
0:30:35 It was built on mutual recognition of integrity.
0:30:40 The business world often substitutes complex legal agreements for genuine trust.
0:30:44 But as I tell my kids, there’s no such thing as a good deal with someone you can’t trust.
0:30:46 You can’t make a good deal with a bad person.
0:30:50 When character is the foundation, trust becomes possible.
0:30:57 In May 1989, a workplace dispute led to one of the most remarkable second acts in American business history.
0:31:03 Rose, then 96, had a disagreement with her grandson who had taken over daily operations from their father.
0:31:09 Rose walked out of the store telling reporters she might be the first 96-year-old woman to start a business.
0:31:13 After briefly considering retirement, she opened Miss B’s warehouse
0:31:18 in a converted grocery distribution center directly across the street from the Nebraska Furniture Mart.
0:31:24 When ABC’s 2020 asked if she would ever retire, her answer was unequivocal.
0:31:28 No, I love to be with people and my customers are so wonderful people.
0:31:32 Asked if she would like to see Nebraska Furniture Mart go out of business,
0:31:35 her response was characteristically blunt.
0:31:36 I would.
0:31:38 It should go up in smoke.
0:31:40 I like they should go down to hell.
0:31:44 The shocking statement captured Rose’s black and white worldview.
0:31:50 There were no gray areas for her, only right and wrong, good and bad, friends and enemies.
0:31:54 As Buffett observed, everything Miss B knew how to do, she would do fast.
0:31:55 She didn’t hesitate.
0:31:56 There was no second guessing.
0:32:00 She’d buy 5,000 tables or sign a 30-year lease or buy real estate or hire people.
0:32:02 There was no looking back.
0:32:03 She just swung.
0:32:06 Fortunately, the family rift eventually healed.
0:32:12 In 1991, on her 98th birthday, Buffett brought roses and chocolates to Rose at her new workplace,
0:32:13 ending their two-year silence.
0:32:16 He’s a real gentleman, she conceded.
0:32:23 By 1993, at age 99, she had reconciled with her grandsons and sold Miss B’s Warehouse back
0:32:26 to Nebraska Furniture Mart for $4.94 million.
0:32:33 This time, Buffett made sure she signed a non-compete agreement lasting five years beyond her separation
0:32:33 from the company.
0:32:36 I thought she might go on forever, Buffett explained.
0:32:39 I needed five years beyond forever with her.
0:32:41 Rose admitted, maybe I was wrong.
0:32:42 Maybe I was too hard on them.
0:32:43 I’m very independent.
0:32:46 If things aren’t run the way I want it, I don’t like it.
0:32:46 I get mad.
0:32:52 What’s remarkable about this episode isn’t just the audacity of starting a competing business
0:32:58 at 96 and wanting to drive your kids and grandkids out of business, but how it reveals Rose’s
0:33:00 unwavering commitment to principle.
0:33:05 Most people soften their standards as they age, making compromises in the name of harmony,
0:33:06 not Rose.
0:33:10 She did not optimize her life around what other people thought of her.
0:33:12 Her outrage wasn’t about carpet pricing.
0:33:15 It was about violating a core belief that had guided her for decades.
0:33:21 Rose Blumpkin’s story offers us something increasingly rare in business narratives.
0:33:23 absolute clarity of purpose.
0:33:28 In our era of complex strategies, elaborate frameworks, and disruption-obsessed startups,
0:33:32 Ms. B’s approach feels almost revolutionary in its simplicity.
0:33:35 Sell cheap, tell the truth, don’t cheat the customer.
0:33:37 Three principles she took deadly serious.
0:33:42 She began with just $500 in a basement, couldn’t read English, survived a fire that destroyed half
0:33:48 of her store, rebuilt after a tornado flattened it entirely, and at 96 started a competing business
0:33:49 just to prove a point.
0:33:52 Through it all, her principles never wavered.
0:33:55 Charlie Munger once observed, to get what you want, you have to deserve what you want.
0:33:59 The world is not yet crazy enough place to reward a whole bunch of undeserving people.
0:34:05 Rose Blumpkin deserved her success because she created genuine value for her customers every
0:34:07 single day of her 80-year career.
0:34:09 She didn’t just claim to put them first.
0:34:13 She proved it with every transaction, every decision, and every interaction.
0:34:17 Researching this story, I was struck by how she described her customers.
0:34:19 She never said they bought from her.
0:34:21 Instead, she repeatedly said they loaned her money.
0:34:24 This subtle phrasing reveals her unique perspective.
0:34:29 Transactions weren’t mere exchanges, but relationships built on trust and obligation.
0:34:35 Her customers were investing in her, and she felt obligated to give them a return on that investment.
0:34:38 Remember how Rose navigated obstacles.
0:34:41 When wholesalers wouldn’t sell to her, she became the best bootlegger in town.
0:34:45 When competitors sued her, she turned the publicity into increased sales.
0:34:49 When catastrophe struck, she reopened immediately rather than waiting.
0:34:53 When she lacked formal education, she relied on her mathematical brilliance.
0:34:57 When she could no longer walk her store, she zoomed through it on a motorized cart.
0:35:01 With each challenge, she demonstrated the advantages of bouncing and not breaking.
0:35:09 Today, Nebraska Furniture Mart spans 77 acres in Omaha with a million square feet of retail
0:35:10 and warehouse space.
0:35:13 The company has expanded to Iowa, Kansas, and Texas.
0:35:15 Miss B’s likeness appears throughout the stores.
0:35:18 And her grandson, Robert Batt, says simply,
0:35:22 My grandmother is still the front man of Nebraska Furniture Mart.
0:35:23 She’s the symbol of the company.
0:35:27 Rose Blumpkin’s lifespan from Tsarist Russia to the digital age.
0:35:30 She witnessed two world wars, survived the Great Depression,
0:35:33 and saw the complete transformation of the retail industry.
0:35:36 Through it all, she remained steadfast in her core beliefs.
0:35:39 If you want to work hard and tell the truth and sell cheap,
0:35:40 she said near the end of her life,
0:35:42 you can make a success.
0:35:45 Anybody who lies and cheats around people don’t get anywhere.
0:35:49 In our complex age, there’s something profoundly refreshing about such clarity.
0:35:52 That’s the greatest lesson from this immigrant who built an empire.
0:35:55 Success doesn’t just have to be complicated.
0:35:56 It just has to be earned.
0:35:59 And when Warren Buffett, the world’s greatest investor,
0:36:01 was asked about Rose after her death,
0:36:02 he said simply,
0:36:03 We were partners.
0:36:06 And in most ways, she was the senior partner.
0:36:08 She’s forgotten more than I’ll ever know.
0:36:17 Okay, let’s talk about a few afterthoughts before we get into the lessons here.
0:36:19 One, what a force.
0:36:21 Rose was unstoppable.
0:36:24 In fact, she reminds me a lot of Estee Lauder.
0:36:27 Remember the story when she went to Chicago’s Merchandise Mart,
0:36:29 and they refused to sell to her
0:36:32 because her competitors were telling the wholesalers not to sell to her.
0:36:33 And she’s like,
0:36:37 One day, you’ll come in my store, and I will refuse to sell to you.
0:36:41 And it’s that sort of chip that just stays with you.
0:36:44 And it reminded me of the Estee Lauder story.
0:36:46 Remember at the beginning in 218,
0:36:49 where she asked the woman where she got the blouse,
0:36:51 and the woman responded with,
0:36:52 It doesn’t matter.
0:36:53 You’ll never be able to afford it.
0:36:55 And in both cases,
0:36:58 these remarkable women turn that slight into fuel.
0:37:01 The fuel that puts a chip on your shoulder,
0:37:02 the fuel that never burns out.
0:37:05 For anybody who’s ever been discounted,
0:37:08 anybody who’s ever felt a chip on their shoulder,
0:37:11 anybody who’s ever been overlooked or slighted,
0:37:12 they remember these things.
0:37:14 And that fuel never goes out.
0:37:15 And the fuel,
0:37:17 people say you shouldn’t be driven by this,
0:37:19 but it really drives a lot of outliers.
0:37:20 You think of Tom Brady.
0:37:23 Tom Brady is one of my favorite examples of this.
0:37:26 And he has so many of these sort of like little moments,
0:37:27 these little slights.
0:37:29 So Tom Brady,
0:37:31 it’s his senior year.
0:37:32 It’s Autograph Day.
0:37:33 There’s this kid,
0:37:34 Drew Hudson,
0:37:35 I think his name was,
0:37:37 that they brought on to play after Tom Brady.
0:37:41 And Drew was like this all-American,
0:37:42 five-star recruit.
0:37:45 Everybody wanted Drew to be successful.
0:37:49 And Tom Brady is just like overlooked.
0:37:51 He’s just the placeholder until Drew can start.
0:37:53 But on Autograph Day,
0:37:55 Tom Brady’s standing in this tunnel.
0:37:59 And he’s watching the lineup of people.
0:38:02 And they’re all lined up for Drew.
0:38:03 They all want Drew’s signature.
0:38:06 Drew hasn’t done anything at this point.
0:38:09 And Brady’s just standing there watching all these people.
0:38:10 And he’s seething.
0:38:13 It’s like burning inside of him.
0:38:14 And his friend’s like,
0:38:14 come on, let’s go.
0:38:15 And Brady says,
0:38:17 no, I want to watch this.
0:38:19 And he just stands there and watches.
0:38:21 And it gets etched into his mind.
0:38:21 And then, you know,
0:38:22 he gets drafted.
0:38:23 What was it?
0:38:24 96 overall.
0:38:27 And every one of these slights,
0:38:30 you bet your bottom dollar he remembers.
0:38:31 And it fueled him.
0:38:33 And when he didn’t want to work out,
0:38:34 he thought about it.
0:38:35 When he didn’t want to get out of bed and practice,
0:38:36 he thought about it.
0:38:38 And when he had a bad game,
0:38:39 he thought about it.
0:38:41 And it fueled him and pushed him further.
0:38:43 Michael Jordan was the exact same way.
0:38:47 He would even antagonize his opponents
0:38:48 into saying something
0:38:51 or manufacture things that they did say
0:38:52 if they wouldn’t say anything
0:38:55 just to give him an extra edge.
0:38:57 I think it’s worth thinking about that stuff.
0:38:59 And you have to think about
0:39:01 the episode I did with Brent Beshore,
0:39:03 whether this is dirty fuel
0:39:06 or clean fuel for you and your situation.
0:39:08 But it’s definitely something
0:39:08 that I think about a lot.
0:39:12 Okay, let’s get into some of the lessons
0:39:14 we can take away from Rose Bumpkin.
0:39:17 Number one, a taste for salt water.
0:39:18 What separates exceptional people
0:39:21 is their capacity to endure discomfort.
0:39:23 Rose walked barefoot for 18 miles
0:39:26 at the age of 13 to save her only pair of shoes.
0:39:28 Later, she opened a furniture store
0:39:29 during a depression.
0:39:32 She rebuilt after a fire gutted half of her building.
0:39:34 She came to work the day
0:39:36 after breaking her ankle at 97.
0:39:38 Most people avoid pain.
0:39:40 Outliers work through it.
0:39:42 Number two, high agency.
0:39:44 Most people see circumstances as fixed.
0:39:46 High agency people see them as variables.
0:39:48 When depression era customers
0:39:49 couldn’t afford shotguns,
0:39:51 Rose didn’t complain about the economy.
0:39:53 She created a rental program overnight.
0:39:55 The line stretched around the block
0:39:55 the next morning.
0:39:58 High agency isn’t magical thinking.
0:40:01 It’s the refusal to accept artificial constraints.
0:40:04 Three, bias towards action.
0:40:07 While average performers wait for perfect conditions,
0:40:08 exceptional ones create momentum
0:40:10 through immediate action.
0:40:11 After a devastating fire,
0:40:13 Rose didn’t wait for the dust to settle.
0:40:14 Instead, she said,
0:40:15 we’re opening tomorrow
0:40:19 and turned that disaster into a successful sale.
0:40:21 When business slowed during the Korean War,
0:40:23 she rented the city auditorium
0:40:27 and cleared $250,000 in a three-day sale.
0:40:31 Action creates options that passivity never discovers.
0:40:34 When wholesalers refused to sell to Rose
0:40:35 calling her bootlegger,
0:40:36 she embraced it.
0:40:36 You betcha,
0:40:38 and I’m the best bootlegger in town.
0:40:40 And she found backdoor suppliers.
0:40:41 When competitors sued her,
0:40:44 she turned the courtroom into free advertising.
0:40:46 Resilience isn’t about avoiding knockdowns.
0:40:49 It’s about how you use them as launching pads.
0:40:51 Five, dark hours.
0:40:54 Excellence happens when nobody’s watching.
0:40:58 Rose cleaned stores before dawn as a teenager.
0:41:01 She inspected every carpet shipment personally into her 90s.
0:41:04 Remember, she detected yarn theft at a mill supplier
0:41:06 just by feeling the carpet,
0:41:07 and it was slightly underweight.
0:41:09 The public sees the outcome,
0:41:10 but never the work.
0:41:13 Six, your reputation is the room.
0:41:15 Rose understood that your reputation creates opportunities
0:41:18 before you even enter the conversation.
0:41:21 Military officers stationed across the world
0:41:22 would buy furniture unseen
0:41:24 because Miss B doesn’t lie.
0:41:27 A judge who ruled in her favor bought carpet the next day.
0:41:29 Your reputation isn’t what you claim.
0:41:31 Rather, it’s the collective experience
0:41:32 that others have of you,
0:41:35 and it determines which rooms you walk into.
0:41:38 Seven, choose the right co-pilot.
0:41:40 Partnerships are forced multipliers.
0:41:42 Isidore balanced Rose’s intensity
0:41:44 with steady customer service principles.
0:41:47 Warren Buffett bought her business on a handshake
0:41:47 with no audit
0:41:50 because character recognition works both ways.
0:41:53 The right partners don’t just add to your strengths,
0:41:54 they compensate for your weaknesses
0:41:56 while amplifying your impact.
0:41:58 Eight, it takes what it takes.
0:42:00 Every exceptional achievement
0:42:02 has a non-negotiable price.
0:42:07 Rose worked 12-hour days from 13 until 103,
0:42:09 calling her work her narcotic.
0:42:12 At a luncheon honoring her,
0:42:15 she stood up at 1.15 and announced,
0:42:16 what’s wrong with you people?
0:42:17 Don’t you have jobs?
0:42:18 I’m going back to work.
0:42:21 Ordinary results come from ordinary effort.
0:42:24 Extraordinary results demand unreasonable commitment.
0:42:27 Number nine, focus is a superpower.
0:42:29 In today’s fractured attention economy,
0:42:31 Rose’s single-minded concentration
0:42:32 would be her greatest advantage.
0:42:35 She had one tab open, her business,
0:42:37 while her competitors scattered their attention
0:42:38 across multiple priorities.
0:42:41 This wasn’t mere workaholism,
0:42:43 it was the elimination of distractions,
0:42:45 creating depth of knowledge
0:42:47 that no competitor could match.
0:42:49 Simple scales, fancy fails.
0:42:52 Rose’s entire business philosophy
0:42:53 fit on an index card.
0:42:54 Sell cheap, tell the truth,
0:42:56 don’t cheat the customers.
0:42:58 While competitors built complex systems
0:42:59 and layers of management,
0:43:01 her straightforward approach
0:43:02 eliminated friction.
0:43:04 Complex businesses move slowly,
0:43:07 simple ones can scale with less overhead
0:43:08 and fewer bottlenecks.
0:43:10 I hope you really enjoyed
0:43:11 learning about Rose Blumpkin.
0:43:13 She’s a tremendous force,
0:43:14 a great story,
0:43:15 and I hope she inspires you
0:43:17 as much as she inspired me.
0:43:29 Thanks for listening and learning with us.
0:43:30 And be sure to sign up
0:43:31 for my free weekly newsletter
0:43:33 at fs.blog slash newsletter.
0:43:35 I hope you enjoyed my reflections
0:43:37 at the end of this episode.
0:43:39 That’s normally reserved for members.
0:43:40 But with this Outliers series,
0:43:43 I wanted to make them available to everyone.
0:43:44 The Farnam Street website
0:43:46 is where you can get more info
0:43:47 on our membership program,
0:43:49 which includes access
0:43:50 to episode transcripts,
0:43:52 reflections for all episodes,
0:43:54 my updated repository
0:43:55 featuring highlights
0:43:57 from the books used in this series,
0:43:58 and more.
0:44:00 Plus, be sure to follow myself
0:44:00 and Farnam Street
0:44:03 on X, Instagram, and LinkedIn.
0:44:04 If you like what we’re doing here,
0:44:06 leaving a rating and review
0:44:07 would mean the world.
0:44:08 And if you really like us,
0:44:09 sharing with a friend
0:44:10 is the best way
0:44:11 to grow this special series.
0:44:12 Until next time.
Rose Blumkin didn’t just build a business. She revolutionized retail. After fleeing Russia with $66 in her purse, she opened a basement furniture store in Omaha at 43 years old—with no English, no education, and no connections. Her formula? Sell cheap, tell the truth, don’t cheat the customer. Nebraska Furniture Mart would survive depressions, fires, lawsuits, tornadoes—and eventually become a billion-dollar empire Warren Buffett called “the ideal business.”
Learn how Mrs. B’s relentless focus, radical simplicity, and unbreakable work ethic built an empire from scratch—and what her story teaches us about business, resilience, and the power of earned trust.
This episode is for informational purposes only and most of the research came from “Women of Berkshire Hathaway” and oral history interviews with Rose Blumkin and her daughter Frances.
(03:20 ) PART 1: Early Childhood
(07:10) A Natural Entrepreneur
(09:37) PART 2: Building an Empire
(12:53) The Competition
(15:54) The Passing of Isadore
(18:32) Expansion through Hardship
(20:32) Natural Instinct for Character
(25:15) PART 3: The $60m Handshake / The Buffett Connection
(28:25) A Rebel at 96
(33:47) Reflections, afterthoughts, and lessons
Thanks to our sponsors for supporting this episode:
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Check out highlights from this books in our repository, and find key lessons from Blumkin here — fs.blog/knowledge-project-podcast/outliers-rose-blumkin
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Raging Moderates: Trump’s Trade War vs. Hollywood (feat. Sen. Chris Murphy)
AI transcript
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0:00:46 Finding your personal style isn’t easy, and the fashion powers that be aren’t making it any easier on us.
0:00:53 The best way to make sure they move a lot of units is to make stuff that is, to put it indelicately, sort of boring.
0:00:59 This week on Explain It To Me, how to cut through the noise and make sense of your own fashion sense.
0:01:02 New episodes every Sunday morning, wherever you get your podcasts.
0:01:12 People of many different ideologies, when taken to the extreme, actually start to resemble each other.
0:01:20 Although you might be feeling like you’re fighting for completely different missions, you’re psychologically engaged in a very similar process.
0:01:22 So what is that process?
0:01:29 This week on The Gray Area, we’re talking about how our psychology affects our ideology.
0:01:34 New episodes of The Gray Area drop every Monday, everywhere.
0:01:40 Welcome to Raging Moderates. I’m Scott Galloway.
0:01:41 And I’m Jessica Tarlath.
0:01:42 How are you, Jess?
0:01:43 I’m good, Scott. How are you?
0:01:44 Yeah.
0:01:46 Where do I find you? Because that is not home.
0:01:52 I’m in Hamburg, Germany, for this big conference called Online Marketing Rockstars.
0:01:53 There’s a lot of old money here.
0:02:07 And the juxtaposition of like this industrial town with big cranes and waterborne factories or water-based factories with all these brand new steel condominiums, steel and glass condominiums.
0:02:10 It feels like Karl Lagerfeld exploded into a city.
0:02:15 It is such a cool, interesting city.
0:02:16 And I absolutely love Germany.
0:02:18 Work hard, play hard, very progressive.
0:02:21 I just, if I spoke German, I would live here.
0:02:22 Have you been to Germany, Jessica?
0:02:33 I have, just to Berlin, though, and I had an incredible time on every cultural level, like the museums and walking around and kind of ingesting the history of it.
0:02:40 And then also the partying and the scene and just absolutely adored it.
0:02:40 Yeah.
0:02:49 I was, one of my favorite tourist things in the world is the fat bike or fat tire bike tours, especially the one in Berlin that goes everywhere.
0:02:53 And they look at the guard towers and Hitler’s bunker.
0:02:57 And anyways, I’m officially like 100 years old.
0:02:59 I’m fascinated by anything to do with World War II.
0:03:00 All right.
0:03:01 Banter done.
0:03:07 In today’s episode of Raging Moderates, we’re discussing the economy is one quarter away from a possible recession.
0:03:09 Mike Waltz gets pushed out.
0:03:13 Trump says he doesn’t know if he has to uphold due process.
0:03:23 And we have one of our favorites, Senator Chris Murphy, joining us to talk about the GOP budget bill and what Democrats are doing to message the possible harms to Americans.
0:03:24 All right.
0:03:25 Let’s get into it.
0:03:28 We’ve got our first major shakeup in the West Wing.
0:03:35 Trump has ousted National Security Advisor Mike Waltz, best known for launching the world’s most famous group chat, and nominated him as U.N.
0:03:36 Ambassador.
0:03:39 OK, so you’re fired, but you get a free toaster.
0:03:41 Yeah, you get a demotion.
0:03:43 Yeah, that’s it.
0:03:53 Stepping in, at least for now, is Jack of all trades and master of none, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who will now be juggling four top-level roles in the administration.
0:04:00 Meanwhile, the White House is touting strong April job numbers, but the economy shrunk in the first quarter.
0:04:04 And Trump’s tariffs have really haven’t really fully kicked in yet.
0:04:09 One of them, 100% tariff on foreign-made movies, which he claims is a national security issue.
0:04:10 Huh, OK.
0:04:17 He’s also warning of higher prices and toy shortages this holiday season and says he’s OK with that.
0:04:22 All right, got banging porn stars that has a tacky 757 laced in four-carat gold that costs every other day.
0:04:24 He should lecture us about consumption.
0:04:32 Trump’s new budget proposes $163 billion and cuts to education, health, and the environment while boosting law enforcement and border security.
0:04:45 He also floated reopening Alcatraz as a symbol of law, order, and justice, and said he’s unsure whether due process rights must be honored during these mass deportations, though he’ll follow the Supreme Court’s lead.
0:04:46 He hasn’t so far.
0:04:56 All this comes as Trump and GOP leaders ramp up for the midterms, warning that a Democratic majority could bring a third impeachment, something they’re hoping will rally the MAGA base.
0:05:00 Jess, let’s start with Waltz and the shakeup.
0:05:04 Why do you think he was pushed out, and how realistic is it for Rubio to wear all those hats?
0:05:20 So someone had to go, and Trump invested so much in getting Pete Hegseth through the confirmation process that it was increasingly looking like it had to be Waltz.
0:05:28 And he didn’t want to do anything within the first hundred days because even though it’s kind of a made-up marker, I think he wanted to say, you know,
0:05:34 no problems for the first hundred days besides the fact that everyone thinks that you’re bringing us into a recession.
0:05:36 So that seems like a pretty good problem, big problem.
0:05:40 But that’s how it kind of ended up being Waltz.
0:05:46 And I keep thinking about the management of SignalGate after it first happened.
0:05:50 And, you know, how Trump came out pretty quickly and he said Mike’s learned his lesson.
0:05:58 And I think I’ve mentioned this before on the program that I’m part of a foreign policy group with Waltz, and he’s a very nice man.
0:06:00 Ew, smell you.
0:06:03 No, I just, I don’t know if there’s, like, conflict of interest.
0:06:05 I’m a member of Shea Margot, the new hot members club downtown.
0:06:06 That’s pretty cool.
0:06:07 Taylor Swift went there.
0:06:09 That’s cooler than knowing Mike Waltz.
0:06:09 Me and Taylor.
0:06:09 Maybe.
0:06:10 Me and Taylor.
0:06:11 Okay.
0:06:15 Well, you’ll have to take me is basically what has to happen now.
0:06:15 100%.
0:06:16 I’ll get a babysitter.
0:06:17 Maybe we’ll see Katy Perry.
0:06:19 Is that that exciting now?
0:06:22 She’s not, have you seen the weird dancing videos?
0:06:23 She’s not that good.
0:06:26 I’m convinced she was replaced with someone on the way back.
0:06:27 Like a robot?
0:06:28 No, some alien.
0:06:30 There’s something going on there.
0:06:31 Something bad is happening.
0:06:38 But Waltz, so he got Trump’s sign of approval where he said, you know, Waltz is safe.
0:06:40 And then he went on television.
0:06:44 And he went on with Laura Ingraham, and he had a pretty testy interview.
0:06:50 She was pushing him pretty hard about it, mostly about how was Jeffrey Goldberg in your phone in the first place.
0:06:58 And we know that the mix-up was that he thought he was putting in the trade representative, Jameson Greer, with the same initials as Jeffrey Goldberg.
0:07:12 But we also know in Trump world that there is nothing more offensive than being someone that talks to the mainstream press, let alone Jeffrey Goldberg, who was responsible for the suckers and losers story that keeps Trump up at night still.
0:07:22 He’s so mad about that and how it kind of turned public opinion as to how he feels about those who have served, even though we know what he said about John McCain from the start.
0:07:23 So it was pretty obvious what he thought.
0:07:31 But it was interesting looking at Waltz being pushed out, and he was given some options, some ambassadorships.
0:07:36 He could have been the ambassador to Saudi Arabia, for instance, or the U.N. job, which was supposed to be at least Stefanik’s.
0:07:48 But because Mike Johnson has no margins, he had to keep Stefanik in her district, her New York district, so that they would at least have another vote because he thought it was feasible that they could lose that seat.
0:07:53 But I was like, oh, my God, does this all really come down to a cable news hit?
0:07:55 And I think that it does.
0:08:14 And that Waltz choosing to go on TV, even though he had already appeased his audience of one, and to essentially look like he was out there for himself, was something that might have just been sitting in Trump’s craw for the last month or six weeks, however long it’s been.
0:08:31 And that when push comes to shove and he needed to get someone out and Hegseth has had more scandals since then, more signal problems, has had to fire some of his deputies who he says are all, you know, liars and leakers, though he threatened a polygraph and never gave any one of them a polygraph.
0:08:42 That, you know, would things have been different if maybe Waltz hadn’t done that interview or seemed like he was more concerned with his own fate than the fate of the administration?
0:08:43 Potentially.
0:08:44 That’s what I was thinking about.
0:08:45 What’s your take?
0:08:49 It’s so hard to try and decide who was most ripe to be fired.
0:08:50 I mean, Waltz did invite.
0:08:59 It’s just so hilarious that they’re not, you know, that the real sin here wasn’t a breach of national security that put our servicemen and servicewomen at risk.
0:09:08 And, you know, when you, as I’ve always referenced before, if you get pulled over for a DUI, it means you’ve likely driven drunk an average of 80 times.
0:09:10 I mean, what else has gone on here?
0:09:15 I think it should have been Hegseth, but he likes the way Hegseth looks.
0:09:17 He’s been more combative on TV.
0:09:19 I agree with you.
0:09:25 And then the real crime was having the phone number, the contact information of who’s seen as a progressive journalist.
0:09:26 That was the real sin.
0:09:29 So they needed a blood offering.
0:09:32 I actually got to say, I don’t think it’s gotten much attention.
0:09:35 You know, I think they kind of accomplished what they wanted.
0:09:39 I think it’s poor leadership to say, oh, here, you go do this now.
0:09:46 And I just thought that was, and you, an ambassador, I mean, talk about, talk about, that’s like what they did with Carrie Lake.
0:09:49 Now she’s in charge of what, Radio Free Europe as they cut funding for it.
0:09:54 It reminds me of, did you ever see the movie Broadcast News with William Hurt and Holly Hunter?
0:09:55 Just a wonderful film.
0:09:58 And Julia, I forget her name.
0:10:00 She played a Bond girl.
0:10:03 She played Holly Goodhead in one of the Bond films.
0:10:06 And she was in the movie Broadcast News.
0:10:10 And she’s a competitive threat for William Hurt’s affections to Holly Hunter.
0:10:15 And Holly, who’s the assigning producer, basically sends her to do stories in Alaska.
0:10:18 So she still has a job, but she’s in Alaska.
0:10:22 I feel like Carrie Lake and now Mike Waltz are in Alaska, if you will.
0:10:28 So Laura Loomer, who, you know, self-describes as an investigative journalist, but is really just a crackpot.
0:10:29 And Trump loves her.
0:10:41 And they’ve had to get her away from him, essentially, because she fills his head with even more craziness, apparently played a key role in Waltz’s ouster.
0:10:48 And her big thing is that Trump, in order to effectuate his agenda, needs to be surrounded by true believers.
0:10:50 And Waltz is not a true believer.
0:10:51 He’s a convert.
0:11:01 And Marco Rubio is a convert as well, though it seems like he’s, you know, making the cut in very serious ways now that he has, like, four jobs or something like that.
0:11:06 But Laura Loomer, you know, she posted on X after Waltz was kicked out and just wrote Loomered.
0:11:08 So, you know, take your victory lap.
0:11:17 But she said something that I thought was right and that we should keep in mind as we’re evaluating the administration as it unfolds.
0:11:28 If there’s anything that’s going to torpedo Donald Trump and his agenda after he survived indictments and mugshots and multiple assassination attempts, it’s going to be the vetting crisis and unforced errors of his administration.
0:11:31 Contrary to what’s been said, he doesn’t hire the best people.
0:11:36 That’s why it’s so important that there’s people to help support the president because nobody is perfect.
0:11:44 And that feels like a really good Trumpian organizing principle for whatever we are about to see over the next three and a half years.
0:11:46 But this guy hasn’t learned this guy.
0:11:50 The president hasn’t learned the basis of greatness and success.
0:11:53 And that is greatness is in the agency of others.
0:12:02 And you essentially, when you’re on a board, your job is to basically decide if and when to sell the company.
0:12:06 But more than anything, you really, your only job is to ensure you have the right guy or gal.
0:12:11 And the right guy or gal needs to be good at what they do, set strategy, be an external spokesperson.
0:12:14 But the best CEOs, the best leaders recognize that greatness is in the agency of others.
0:12:19 And they surround themselves with just incredibly competent people.
0:12:33 Your ability to build a great company, a great staff, a great cabinet is your ability to attract the most talented people, hold them accountable, and get them to work together and not be threatened by and show the ability to retain people that are more talented than yourself.
0:12:38 And when you have the White House and the flag behind you, you can call on almost any individual.
0:12:49 And the fact that he’s brought together this peewee, bad news bears, village idiot, keystone cops group of people, he’s even doing himself a disservice.
0:12:55 Because an incompetent who’s really loyal to you isn’t going to serve you well because they’re just going to make you look stupid all the time.
0:12:59 It’s not—loyalty will be absolutely—and I believe this has already taken place.
0:13:00 He has huge loyalty.
0:13:02 Peter Navarro thinks the guy’s a god.
0:13:09 And Peter Navarro is probably going to be the Nigel Farage of this age.
0:13:17 And that is, he will be the architect—he will go down in history—is the person we wish this guy, the president, had not listened to.
0:13:36 And he doesn’t understand that if he wanted to—if he had gone about this stuff with less volume and not made as many really stupid decisions, case in point, the one he just passed or is threatening to pass, 100% tariff on any movies coming into the U.S., he would probably be one of the more popular presidents of the first 100 days.
0:13:43 Because to his credit, he’s doing what he said he would do on things that are largely, at least thematically, popular in the U.S., right?
0:13:54 Deport immigrants, go after government waste and inefficiency, restore trade balance, which Americans incorrectly have determined has been asymmetric to our disadvantage.
0:13:55 But he just doesn’t get it.
0:13:57 He’s surrounding himself with idiots.
0:14:02 It will absolutely undermine any benefit he gets from loyalty.
0:14:04 Let’s take a quick break.
0:14:05 Stay with us.
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0:15:18 The regular season is in the rear view, and now it’s time for the games that matter the most.
0:15:22 This is Kenny Beecham, and playoff basketball is finally here.
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0:15:32 Who’s building for a 16-win marathon?
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0:16:20 Have you ever been on a road trip when one person insists on controlling the music?
0:16:24 You’re just trying to enjoy the ride, but now you’re stuck listening to nothing but their favorite band.
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0:16:31 That’s kind of what’s happening with Christian nationalism.
0:16:35 Some folks want to take over the radio dial and make everyone follow their beliefs.
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0:17:30 Moving on here.
0:17:34 The economy shrunk in the first quarter and we haven’t seen the full impact of Trump’s tariffs yet.
0:17:40 Any sense for, have you heard anything about, quote unquote, this line out the door of people looking to do deals with him?
0:17:42 I have heard it said a lot.
0:17:46 I have not seen much evidence that that’s really what’s going on.
0:17:56 And when the other countries release statements, like, I feel as though the Japanese have been pretty transparent about how concerned they are about what’s going on.
0:18:00 Because obviously they want to maintain a good trading relationship with us.
0:18:05 But they basically said the U.S. team is a bunch of yahoos.
0:18:08 And they sit down at the table and they don’t even know what they want.
0:18:15 You know, when you go on a first date and you realize maybe you’re not up to it, you know, when you’re not feeling it or whatever.
0:18:17 Or you’re just not in the mood so you can’t even make conversation.
0:18:20 And within 10 minutes you’re just kind of staring at each other.
0:18:22 I feel like that’s what a lot of these trade.
0:18:25 I just want you to know I have sat across from that a lot.
0:18:27 Just a lot.
0:18:29 I’ve experienced that a lot from the other side.
0:18:30 Yeah, that’s what happens.
0:18:31 The women aren’t up to it.
0:18:32 Yeah, I see a lot of women.
0:18:33 Just staring at you.
0:18:34 Oh, yeah, I got to tell the story.
0:18:36 I moved to New York on my first date.
0:18:39 I met a woman who was a hostess at a restaurant uptown.
0:18:40 Asked her out.
0:18:41 She said, yeah, I got her number.
0:18:43 We went to a hotel downtown.
0:18:44 I walked in.
0:18:45 We ordered drinks.
0:18:46 I said, I got to go to the bathroom.
0:18:49 I came back and I got a text saying, my friend’s in the emergency room.
0:18:49 I had to leave.
0:18:50 Really?
0:18:51 And I’m like, yeah.
0:18:53 Which was, in my opinion, total bullshit.
0:18:59 I mean, that was my first date in New York is the woman.
0:19:06 As soon as she got on the cab ride to the restaurant, she decided her friend was going to get hit by a car and she had to leave immediately.
0:19:07 Anyways.
0:19:13 Those are like the old school escape plans where you tell a friend, call me 15 minutes into the date, right?
0:19:15 And say, oh, my God, you’re having an emergency?
0:19:16 Yeah.
0:19:17 No, not even.
0:19:18 Didn’t even go through that.
0:19:19 But why’d she say yes then?
0:19:20 She’d met you.
0:19:24 This wasn’t like a weird online, you know, maybe he doesn’t look like his pictures.
0:19:32 No, I think there’s something about that Galloway charm that really just really started to scare the shit out of her.
0:19:34 She’s probably full of regret now.
0:19:35 Oh, can you imagine?
0:19:37 I mean, I host a successful podcast now.
0:19:47 Look, speaking of the tariffs, what do you make of this 100 percent or proposed 100 percent tariff on foreign movies coming into the U.S.?
0:19:48 It’s totally bad shit.
0:19:54 I mean, we have a 15.3 billion trade surplus on Hollywood.
0:19:55 That’s the thing.
0:20:00 Like when the Australians said, excuse me, you have a trade surplus.
0:20:07 And I think it was Senator Warner was asking Jameson Greer, the trade representative, about that in particular.
0:20:11 And he said, well, how does this make any sense if we have a surplus?
0:20:14 If his idea is that we have to be even Stevens about everything.
0:20:26 And the trade representative had no answer because there is no answer beyond Peter Navarro was the only one who satisfied this tariff itch that Trump had.
0:20:28 And I don’t know if you saw in the Wall Street Journal.
0:20:30 So we’re recording this on Monday morning.
0:20:32 Scott Bessent has an op ed out.
0:20:38 So now he is trying to do damage control and he’s defending the strategy.
0:20:46 He says Trump has this coherent three-pronged strategy that will benefit Main Street because their obsession is saying that this is for the little guy, tariffs, tax cuts and deregulation.
0:20:53 And to the average Republican, that does sound good as long as the tariffs aren’t the way that we’re doing it.
0:20:55 They love tax cuts and deregulation.
0:21:05 But it’s all anchored in a complete misread of what the tariffs are doing to our economy and also what these 2017 tax cuts were.
0:21:11 And Republicans, I get this all the time at work, where they say the 2017 tax cuts benefited everybody.
0:21:14 But they don’t talk about the level of benefit that it had.
0:21:22 So 81 percent of the tax benefits from the 2017 cuts went to the top 10 percent and 24 percent to the top 1 percent.
0:21:33 So just because the average person got another $800 in their bank account as a result of this doesn’t mean that it still wasn’t this massive giveaway to the ultra wealthy.
0:21:44 And I was watching Bloomberg TV, which I don’t do very often, but I thought, oh, they’re probably going to have people on that are making a lot of sense and understand this a lot better than me.
0:21:49 And they had this guy, Gene Sirocco on, who’s the executive director of the Port of Los Angeles.
0:21:54 I learned more in three minutes from this guy about what’s going on.
0:21:55 He had the numbers, right?
0:21:57 We have a 35 percent drop in volume.
0:22:00 We are going to go under a hiring pause.
0:22:03 The truckers are going to be decimated because of it.
0:22:05 The dock workers, we don’t know what’s going to happen there.
0:22:09 Five to seven weeks, the retailers are saying that you’re going to have shelving problems.
0:22:15 And then if it takes more than a month to get these deals done, which with China, I don’t even know if there’s ever going to be a deal.
0:22:17 They seem up for whatever this battle is.
0:22:27 That spring and summer fashion and then back to school are going to be the big events that really jolt the American economy when you realize that you can’t get the stuff that you need.
0:22:32 And I don’t want to put myself out of a job because I love being on the five and I really enjoy it.
0:22:38 But I want more Gene Sirocco on TV talking about this than Jesse Tarloves.
0:22:53 I hope my bosses aren’t listening because you get more information about the on the ground effects of these tariffs from somebody who’s actually living it day to day and knows the people directly affected than you do by all of these talking heads.
0:23:03 Yeah. So just to return to the 100% tariff on movies, I’ve established a nice friendship with a guy who used to run Warner Brothers Europe.
0:23:20 And basically his job was to take the IP of Warner Brothers, whether it’s Big Bang Theory or Batman or Harry Potter, and then travel around the 27 or 29 member nations of the EU and collect money from them.
0:23:25 Oh, you’re in Poland and you’re the streaming network and you want to run, you know, Warner Brothers films?
0:23:27 This is how much you’re going to pay us.
0:23:32 Oh, you want to run the Harry Potter play on, you know, in the London Theater District?
0:23:33 This is how much money you’re going to pay us.
0:23:35 I mean, we collect there.
0:23:41 America actually does a relatively small number of things really, really well.
0:23:43 Tech and software, education.
0:23:47 We make the best weapons in the world and hands down, we have the best media in the world.
0:23:59 And we’re running a 24 by 7, essentially commercial on American culture, whether it’s Baywatch or whether it’s friends and neighbors talking about the wealth problems of people in Connecticut, which I’m watching and I think is great.
0:24:00 Jon Hamm, incredible presence.
0:24:01 Oh, I know.
0:24:02 Incredible presence.
0:24:05 Is that your way of saying he’s so hot?
0:24:05 It’s nauseating.
0:24:06 Oh, he’s ridiculously hot.
0:24:07 It’s crazy.
0:24:11 And he’s like aging in the best possible way.
0:24:14 He’s still Don Draper, but he’s also like a great dad.
0:24:17 He’s a bad dad, technically, in your friends and neighbors.
0:24:17 But you know what I mean.
0:24:18 Oh, no.
0:24:20 He’s like the victim.
0:24:21 It’s such a ridiculous thing.
0:24:21 I know.
0:24:22 He’s everything.
0:24:23 Yeah.
0:24:26 Anyways, yeah, he’s very attractive.
0:24:28 Anyway, let’s just cut to what’s going to happen.
0:24:39 Other nations will say, OK, we’re going to put a 100 percent tariff on any of your media coming in here, which means we’re going to consume a lot less media.
0:24:49 We one of the things we negotiated away with Canada at one time, Canada, and maybe it’s still in place, but I don’t think so, said that 25 percent of media on Canadian cable has to be produced in Canada.
0:24:53 And so they basically had a lot of shitty Canadian TV shows.
0:24:56 I’m sure that, you know, the boys in the hall or something came out of it.
0:25:02 But effectively, this would be a boon to the local for in the short term.
0:25:09 It’d be terrible for consumers in Poland, but they would get a short-term sugar high from domestically produced content.
0:25:12 I don’t even know how you would calculate the tariff.
0:25:15 But over the long term, all it does is the following.
0:25:18 Media becomes much more expensive in those nations.
0:25:26 The media industry in America, which employs millions of high-paid jobs, gets crushed, right?
0:25:29 Because this truly is a frictionless export.
0:25:30 You don’t need ships.
0:25:32 You don’t need docks.
0:25:35 You don’t need retail distribution channels or trucks.
0:25:39 Media can be transmitted over cables with zeros and ones.
0:25:43 And we make unbelievable margins.
0:25:54 And to think that these nations aren’t going to impose reciprocal tariffs, which will dramatically decrease the demand of our content overseas, which we haven’t, as you pointed out, an incredible trade surplus.
0:25:55 And this is what will happen.
0:25:56 He will threaten it.
0:26:06 Ted Sarandos from Netflix will call and say, you realize that this is going to take Netflix stock down dramatically as we do 51 percent of our content production is overseas now.
0:26:09 We don’t even know how to calculate what the tariff would be.
0:26:11 It’ll take our stock way down.
0:26:16 We’re going to get very pissed off, as will the 315 million people who are on Netflix.
0:26:21 And he will do exactly what he’s done across every single step in this process.
0:26:21 He will blink.
0:26:24 Netflix will be the new Apple.
0:26:36 And that is, people say, well, what would happen to the price of Netflix in all these nations and in our nation if all of a sudden content produced overseas, of which 51 percent of Netflix content is now, whether it’s the umbrella,
0:26:44 the Academy or money heist, or money heist, or money heist, and Netflix says, oh, we might have to raise prices from $12.99 to $17.99.
0:26:55 Americans started a revolution that basically resulted in the formation of our nation based on the action of people trying to raise taxes on tea.
0:26:57 The whiskey rebellion.
0:27:12 So this is, again, nothing but chaos and paralysis, where the most talented people in the world and media, which happen to reside in America, essentially have to spend all this time figuring out what the fuck does this mean?
0:27:14 How do we even respond to it?
0:27:16 Just in case, let’s stop production overseas.
0:27:18 Let’s reroute our supply chain.
0:27:29 We got to spend all of our time on earnings calls talking about how we respond to this instead of how we’re actually trying to acquire consumers or produce more media that’s more effective on a lower budget in our business models.
0:27:33 And at the end of the day, he’s going to do the same thing he did with Apple.
0:27:34 He’ll do the same thing with Netflix.
0:27:47 But if, in fact, the tariff does go through in some form, it’s the small independent producers, the smaller media companies that will be shit out of luck, that don’t have lobbyists and don’t have a cult following, similar to Apple and Netflix.
0:27:50 This, again, is nothing but a self-inflicted injury.
0:27:54 There’s all downside and just shows this guy just does.
0:27:59 Even in the industries we are dominating, we are dominating globally.
0:28:05 The last thing we want to do is give any nation the excuse to raise tariffs on our content.
0:28:23 And this is one of the things we have negotiated tooth and nail, our trade representatives, is that we have ensured that if we produce great IP, which we produce the best in the world, when we produce, you know, Fast and Furious 12, that Czechoslovakia can’t decide to start tariffing it.
0:28:32 We have fought for so long to let our content flow free overseas because it is better content and we reap the majority of those benefits.
0:28:39 And now he’s decided to wind back the clock and give all of these nations an opportunity to tax our media anyways.
0:29:02 It also opens the door for people to be concerned about his mental health state because there is a not insane thesis that perhaps last night he was watching a movie about Alcatraz and then decided to start posting that we need to reopen Alcatraz.
0:29:13 And we know he likes prisons and show a force that way with the Gitmo stuff, but he says, OK, we’ll reopen Alcatraz and also we want to use tariffs in the movie industry.
0:29:17 Or maybe he was talking to Jon Voight, who works for the administration somehow.
0:29:20 He’s like the Hollywood ambassador or something like that.
0:29:25 And Politico even had Jon Voight mentioned in their article talking about this.
0:29:40 And that makes you think who is in charge here and to be even more deeply concerned that in the GOP bill, they have taken the way the right from Congress to administer tariffs, which is constitutionally protected.
0:29:45 And that that’s the game here, that it’s all consolidation of executive power.
0:30:03 Mike Johnson is fine with it as long as he gets his tax cuts through and the cuts that he likes and that we have a one man show and that one man show can be swayed by a visit by Laura Loomer or perhaps a movie that he was watching.
0:30:05 That’s a little concerning.
0:30:13 Just to give you a sense, we think, well, it’s not that big a deal if it’s just going to create some uncertainty and then ultimately we end up back where we think it is.
0:30:15 And that looks more like it did before than not.
0:30:18 Uncertainty is the death metal of markets.
0:30:20 The markets hate uncertainty.
0:30:27 And so far this year, the S&P 500 is down 6%, wiping out $6.5 trillion in value of public companies.
0:30:30 The value of the U.S. dollar has plunged nearly 10%.
0:30:35 And ETFs that track companies outside of the U.S. is up over 7%.
0:30:48 I feel like we’re having the biggest lawn sale in the world of $27 trillion in our economy that other people are thinking, okay, especially China and some EU nations are saying, okay, how do we take advantage of the fact that the U.S. seems to be getting into a trade war with China?
0:30:53 I know, let’s get a bunch of stuff on sale as the fixed costs in Chinese factories.
0:30:56 They want to keep those factories humming so they have excess supply.
0:31:01 And the EU nations are going to be able to strike incredible deals on that additional capacity.
0:31:05 In addition, all sorts of trade deals being done outside of the U.S.
0:31:10 This is essentially, well, okay, this is a yard sale at the wealthiest home in the world.
0:31:16 This is, you know, I don’t know, the Louvre, if it was a private residence.
0:31:19 Oh, everything’s for sale right now in terms of this economy.
0:31:21 Everything is up for grabs because this person has gone crazy.
0:31:26 They’re not dead soon, but they’ve gone absolutely crazy.
0:31:35 And the notion that consumers aren’t going to freak out, when consumers show up to a store and the shelves are empty, at least American consumers,
0:31:39 their first instinct is to go buy something else, specifically a gun.
0:31:42 Consumers freak out.
0:31:48 I mean, this is a country that started hoarding toilet paper and hand cleanser.
0:31:49 I did that.
0:31:50 You did that?
0:31:54 I had a whole office full of toilet paper.
0:31:55 Yeah, I didn’t get that at all.
0:31:56 What would you do if you couldn’t wipe?
0:31:57 Let’s be real about this.
0:31:59 My dad was also obsessed with it.
0:32:01 He told me, he’s like, go to every drugstore.
0:32:03 I lived in Union Square at the time.
0:32:05 He’s like, you got a lot of drugstores there.
0:32:09 Please go get as much toilet paper as possible and then bring it down to me and try back.
0:32:12 Yeah, I was more focused on getting the vaccine.
0:32:14 But I did that, too.
0:32:14 Yeah.
0:32:20 But just for the sad final note on this, all the things you say is true.
0:32:22 His approval rating is down.
0:32:24 Stock market, all of it.
0:32:30 And yet CNN asked who would be doing a better job right now, Trump or Kamala Harris?
0:32:33 And Trump still edges Kamala.
0:32:36 I mean, within the margin of error, it’s just two points.
0:32:42 But my guess would be actually that he would still get reelected if we had the election, if we did a do-over.
0:32:44 Well, people I’ve watched.
0:32:48 I don’t know if you saw anything from the Berkshire Hathaway Agora where they all get together.
0:32:54 And basically, it was kind of a farewell to a great American, Warren Buffett.
0:32:57 And he said he was really appreciative in his comments.
0:33:04 He said that you want the world to be prosperous, that when other nations do well, we do really well because we make fantastic products.
0:33:06 And when they have more money, they buy more of our products.
0:33:07 And it’s an upward spiral.
0:33:18 And one of the problems with this administration in terms of mentality that is just not prosperous or foots to the age is that they approach everything as a zero-sum game.
0:33:21 That if another nation is prospering, it must be bad for us.
0:33:26 And China’s ascent into the global economy as a kind of a tier-one nation has been great for us.
0:33:28 And you might say, well, it’s not great for us.
0:33:33 Only 3% of clothes in America are manufactured domestically.
0:33:34 How can that be a good thing?
0:33:39 Okay, in the last 40 years, on an inflation-adjusted basis, the price of clothing has been cut in half,
0:33:43 which means Americans can focus on manufacturing things with much higher margin.
0:33:46 I don’t know, chips, media.
0:33:52 And with that additional gross margin, by focusing on high-margin products and additional profitability,
0:33:54 we get to buy more shit.
0:33:57 And at the end of the day, America is about rights.
0:34:00 It’s about defending our nation and giving people the opportunity to buy more shit.
0:34:01 People don’t come here.
0:34:07 I mean, a lot of people do come here escaping totalitarian regimes or they want or asylum.
0:34:10 But the majority of people who come here come here because they want more shit.
0:34:12 And what I mean by that is they want to have a more—
0:34:13 We call that opportunity.
0:34:16 Yeah, they want a more prosperous lifestyle.
0:34:18 They want to be able to afford nice things for the kids.
0:34:19 They want to take nice vacations.
0:34:21 They want to have a nicer car.
0:34:23 They want to buy better beer.
0:34:25 They want to wear cooler clothes.
0:34:26 They want to wear Nikes.
0:34:27 They want to watch better media.
0:34:33 And the notion that somehow we have not benefited—
0:34:36 Since World War II, we have 8X’d our GDP.
0:34:40 Our average household income is about $80,000.
0:34:45 Granted, it is not—it is absolutely not fairly distributed, but that’s our choosing.
0:34:47 That has nothing to do with trade policy right now.
0:34:50 But the notion that we haven’t won.
0:34:51 We’ve won, folks.
0:34:52 We’ve won.
0:35:01 And a big part of that is because of our incredible trade policy, where we’ve usually been both parties win, but we win even more.
0:35:10 And he was very eloquent and said, by the way, when other nations are more prosperous and their children are more prosperous, your children are safer.
0:35:21 And that is, when nations don’t do well, you know, they’re just more inclined to declare war on their neighbors or be really angry at those gluttonous Americans who appear to be doing well and pulling head without us.
0:35:23 I thought his comments were really solid.
0:35:29 But just a quick rundown of some of the products from China that are imported into the U.S.
0:35:32 Ninety-nine percent of shoes are imported.
0:35:35 Ninety-percent of microwaves are imported from China.
0:35:36 Eighty-two percent of pots and pans.
0:35:38 Seventy-percent of utensils.
0:35:40 Forty-percent of coffee makers.
0:35:42 Ninety-three percent of children’s books.
0:35:43 Eighty-six percent of gaming consoles.
0:35:45 Ninety-eight percent of umbrellas.
0:35:47 Eighty-two percent of blankets.
0:35:50 Ninety-six percent of fireworks.
0:35:58 The Republican Party really is genius at figuring out a way to get people to vote against their own interests.
0:36:02 And as a result, J.P. Morgan is now predicting a 60 percent chance of recession.
0:36:05 Goldman Sachs, 35 percent chance of recession.
0:36:09 Barclays, B of A, Deutsche Bank all warn of higher recession risks.
0:36:15 What they’re not talking about, which I think they soon will be talking about, is what’s even worse than a recession.
0:36:19 And you’re too young to even remember this, but I remember this from my graduate student instructor days.
0:36:21 Stagflation.
0:36:27 And that is traditionally when the economy slows, interest rates come down because not as many people are feeling confident and want to borrow money.
0:36:29 So banks lower the cost to borrow money.
0:36:31 People get more aggressive.
0:36:32 It’s sort of a self-healing mechanism.
0:36:37 And then when consumers are trying to buy too much stuff and there’s too many dollars facing too few products,
0:36:41 banks take advantage of that and say, if you want to borrow money as confident as you are, you’re going to have to pay us more.
0:36:47 And then the higher interest rates temper or dampen the economy and bring inflation down.
0:36:51 The worst thing in the world is where we’re headed, and it’s the following.
0:36:59 And that is productivity goes down because the demand for our products from reciprocal tariffs decreases, so the economy shrinks.
0:37:06 But at the same time, we’re seen as a less sure bet, and capital leaves the U.S. driving up interest rates.
0:37:07 So what do you have?
0:37:13 You have interest rates going up, which further chases down, slowing productivity, and you have something called stagflation.
0:37:17 And we haven’t registered that in so many decades.
0:37:19 People don’t even really understand the concept.
0:37:20 But here’s what it is.
0:37:24 Stagflation is a bridge to depression.
0:37:27 Recession is a fucking Easter party compared to stagflation.
0:37:29 That’s the worst of both worlds.
0:37:37 And it strikes me that essentially these tariffs and so far the economic policy are effectively said, how can we bring back stagflation?
0:37:41 How can we bring back measles and rubella and stagflation?
0:37:43 I’ve got an idea.
0:37:44 Massive tariffs.
0:37:46 All right, moving on for a second.
0:37:49 What do you make of Trump’s comments about due process?
0:37:50 Concerning.
0:37:52 But when have I not been concerned?
0:37:58 You know, Kristen Welker asking him, do you agree that everyone who is here deserves due process, citizens and non-citizens?
0:38:02 And spoiler alert, the Constitution guarantees it, even for people who are here undocumented.
0:38:05 And Scalia, amongst others, has said as much.
0:38:06 And he goes, I don’t know.
0:38:07 I’m not a lawyer.
0:38:13 And Trump has spent his entire life hiding behind, I don’t know, ask somebody else.
0:38:18 And that somebody else is usually Stephen Miller, which spells disaster for all of us.
0:38:26 And I should have mentioned when we were talking about the National Security Advisor stuff that I wouldn’t be surprised if it was really Stephen Miller doing it and not so much Marco Rubio.
0:38:40 But the administration is out with an idea for a new proposal that I would love to get your take on, because it, at first blush, sounds pretty smart to me, that they’re going to pay people who are here undocumented $1,000 to self-deport.
0:38:43 And I believe that they’re also considering paying for their flights home.
0:38:55 And it is deportations and border security, not immigration overall, but those two criteria or those two aspects are the only areas where he is still above water.
0:39:03 And I think that if there are people here who are willing to go for $1,000, that that is a very good use of our taxpayer dollars.
0:39:04 Well, it’s an interesting idea.
0:39:14 And just on a cost level, it’s a hell of a lot more efficient than renting planes for, you know, a quarter of a million dollars and putting them in handcuffs and shipping them to a place where they have no family or support.
0:39:17 But it’s how we’re doing this.
0:39:22 People don’t want to acknowledge that, OK, the secret sauce of America, a lot of people admit, has been immigration, right?
0:39:34 But the most profitable part of that secret sauce has been illegal immigration because undocumented workers, as I’ve said before, pay taxes but don’t stress local, you know, local services.
0:39:37 They don’t stick around long enough to usually collect Social Security.
0:39:39 There are some examples of crime.
0:39:44 There are some examples of them taxing social services beyond the value they’re adding.
0:39:48 But that is the exception, not the rule.
0:39:58 And the reason why we have turned a blind eye to illegal immigration for so long is it’s been this magnificently flexible, inexpensive workforce that comes in when there’s jobs and leaves when there isn’t.
0:40:13 And the thought, you know, to me, if you were really going to be, quote unquote, smart about this, you would say to certain individuals, I mean, you need to massively increase immigration, but have it be thoughtful and have it be measured and have some, you know, some sort of logic to it.
0:40:13 Right.
0:40:24 If the price of pistachio is quadruples because we can’t come find anyone to come harvest those crops, well, let’s think about how we have some sort of temporary visa, similar to what Trump does at his hotels.
0:40:36 But in terms of deporting, offering them incentives, but we still don’t want to talk about the solution that actually probably most effectively decreases or encourages people to self-deport.
0:40:38 And that is going after these nice people who are business owners.
0:40:45 And that is in some states or some regions, they estimate somewhere between a quarter and a third of fast food workers are undocumented workers.
0:40:52 You could make a pretty decent estimate with a pretty tight confidence interval of what percentage of your workforce is undocumented workers.
0:40:57 And then you go to the employer and you say, we’re going to start fining you $100,000 a day unless you get this down.
0:41:03 If the jobs go away, they will self-deport on their own without a $1,000 bounty or a $1,000 incentive.
0:41:08 Because the real solution here is something we just don’t want to talk about.
0:41:15 We don’t want to acknowledge that, okay, drugs coming across the border, well, let’s punish them for letting phenyl in.
0:41:16 You can’t keep drugs out of a prison.
0:41:30 As long as there’s demand for drugs in the United States as a function of people, either addiction or, you know, a man who doesn’t get married or in a relationship by the time he’s 30 has got a one in three chance of becoming an abuser.
0:41:45 As long as there is demand for drugs they’re going to get into the U.S., as long as there is a demand in jobs, right, for illegal immigrants, they’re going to figure out a way to get here.
0:41:52 Now, to their credit, it does seem like immigration has dramatically just cauterized or stopped.
0:41:54 I think that’s a good talking point for them.
0:41:55 Are they going way too far?
0:41:58 Are we probably going to see a massive hike in inflation?
0:42:01 I absolutely think that’s coming.
0:42:02 But let me put it this way.
0:42:05 I think that’s the least bad idea they’ve had in a while.
0:42:05 What do you think?
0:42:07 Yeah, that’s how I feel.
0:42:12 And listen, I perhaps got too excited that it was something that didn’t sound insane to me.
0:42:14 And so I said, I think this is a good use of our taxpayer dollars.
0:42:15 I don’t know.
0:42:22 I need to see what the plan is fleshed out, but they are doing well with, frankly, putting the fear of God into people.
0:42:24 And folks are self-deporting.
0:42:27 Border crossings are basically nil at this point.
0:42:30 You don’t see any action on the southern border.
0:42:35 And this was a key promise that we would get people out of the country who are here illegally.
0:42:38 Now, I want the asylum system to continue to work.
0:42:39 Everybody deserves their due process.
0:42:48 There are innocent people in a foreign prison essentially serving now a life sentence that the El Salvadorian president isn’t even comfortable with.
0:42:52 That’s how depraved what the American administration has done, that Bukele is uncomfortable with it.
0:43:00 That said, $1,000, when you look at the cost and how overburdened our immigration system is, we don’t have enough judges.
0:43:03 We don’t have enough lawyers for these people.
0:43:09 I think maybe if it can help the process along about whether they should stay or go, this is something to explore.
0:43:10 It’s just so funny.
0:43:13 In some nations, they pay people to actually come there because they need labor.
0:43:13 Yeah.
0:43:14 Yeah, it’s going to be.
0:43:29 But it feels as if the administration has somewhat snatched a feed from the jaws of victory because had they not had this El Salvadoran stupidity, most Americans agree with a pretty hardline approach.
0:43:31 And the results, I don’t think you can argue with that.
0:43:33 The results have been dramatic, right?
0:43:36 And it’s like, okay, it’s one thing to break a few eggs.
0:43:39 It’s another thing to, like, burn the village to save it, right?
0:43:41 To totally go after due process.
0:43:44 And some of these stories really are heart-wrenching.
0:43:45 Okay.
0:43:47 Let’s take a quick break.
0:43:50 When we come back, our conversation with Senator Murphy.
0:43:51 Stay with us.
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0:47:17 Welcome back.
0:47:20 Joining us today is Connecticut Senator Chris Murphy.
0:47:21 Welcome to the show, Senator.
0:47:22 Hey, Scott.
0:47:23 Thanks for having me back.
0:47:34 So, there’s a viewpoint that, despite all the tumult, anxiety, general recognition that a lot of these actions from the administration are damaging to the economy,
0:47:43 and essentially kind of waving a middle finger at the Constitution, that while his popularity is down and he’s had the worst first hundred days,
0:47:47 the Trump administration, or Trump, is still more popular than the Democratic Party.
0:47:55 And the thesis is that the Democratic Party is seen as weak and that the American public would rather have an autocrat than a party that’s weak.
0:48:01 And you gave a very fiery speech called The Hundred Days of Corruption.
0:48:10 But in addition to these sort of fiery speeches and, you know, generally highlighting how corrupt this administration is,
0:48:12 it doesn’t feel like that’s enough.
0:48:18 It doesn’t feel as if the Democratic Party has shown any real tensile strength in terms of their ability to push back on the administration.
0:48:22 Other than speeches, what could possibly be done here?
0:48:25 Yeah, I mean, Scott, I think there’s a couple things to talk about here.
0:48:30 It is true that the approval ratings for the Democratic Party are in the toilet.
0:48:35 They’re bad, but not much worse than the approval ratings for the Republican Party.
0:48:38 People are just down on organized political parties right now.
0:48:45 And a lot of the reason why the Democratic number is very low is because Democrats are upset with the Democratic Party.
0:48:49 And that’s because, you know, Donald Trump has punched this entire country in the nose.
0:48:56 And a lot of Democrats are taking out their frustration with Trump on the leaders of their own party,
0:49:01 who they don’t believe have stood up in effective resistance.
0:49:05 Some of that is, I think, justified.
0:49:06 Some of that is not.
0:49:11 But it is also true that the Democratic Party is not seen as a strong enough alternative.
0:49:19 One of the things I worry about is that, well, it is true that this is the most corrupt White House in the history of the country.
0:49:30 Any one of these scandals from the meme coin to Starlink would have potentially taken down a previous president in a previous time.
0:49:36 The Democrats aren’t really seen as a credible anti-corruption messenger for a couple of reasons.
0:49:42 One, because, you know, we weren’t really serious about taking out corrupt members of our own party.
0:49:49 But also, we don’t really talk with enough volume about the ways in which we would clean up government if we were put in charge.
0:49:59 When I started out in politics 20, 25 years ago, you know, campaign finance reform, getting big money, corporate money, lobbyist money out of politics.
0:50:02 That was a top two or three issue for Democrats.
0:50:10 Somewhere along the line, we stopped explaining and maybe we stopped caring as much about unrigging the democracy.
0:50:15 Our sort of democracy talk became voting rights talk, which is really important.
0:50:25 But that’s actually not the thing that sort of scratches the itch that most Americans have today, which is the influence of billionaires and corporations inside politics.
0:50:36 So I think, you know, some of the low approval rings for Democrats are just a function of sort of the first six months of the Trump administration and people taking out their anger against anybody, including Democrats.
0:50:45 But some of it is because we just don’t talk enough about, you know, what we would do to unrig the democracy if we were put in charge.
0:50:54 And people aren’t going to really listen to our message of Trump’s corruption unless they really believe that we’re serious about changing the rules so that there’s less corruption.
0:51:15 So in addition to being taken seriously about being effective change agents, in terms of just our ability to kind of arrest or cauterize what a lot of people think is sort of an undoing of the post-World War II order that will take years, maybe even decades, to repair, I thought we hit a low point last weekend when Schumer said that we had sent a strongly worded letter to the president.
0:51:30 Well, I’ll put forward a thesis, start proposing laws that say if you’re operating black sites in your country or engaging in crypto scans with this current administration, if and when we get control of the House, we’ll propose laws that economically impair your nation.
0:51:43 Or remind some of the statute of limitations on fraud, corruption or a variety of other crimes, the statute of limitations is longer than three years and nine months.
0:51:50 I mean, just to put it bluntly, doesn’t the Democratic Party need to start acting like sort of the party of not fucking around, quite frankly?
0:51:52 I mean, what we’re doing just does not appear to be working.
0:51:56 Yes, that’s that’s right to an extent.
0:52:01 I mean, listen, his approval ratings are sinking and that is really important.
0:52:07 When a president gets down into the 30s, his enablers do start to get cold feet.
0:52:19 I mean, it will be harder for him to pass this massive cut in Medicaid funding in order to finance a billionaire tax cut if his approval ratings are at 35 percent.
0:52:33 So I don’t necessarily know that the message is in whole not working if in part what your goal is when you’re the majority party is to make the majority party really, really unpopular so that their legislative agenda gets jammed up.
0:52:42 But, yes, we have to be more willing to engage in risk tolerant behavior and we have not.
0:52:57 I mean, part of the reason that, you know, I argued that we should be willing to vote against that Republican continuing resolution was to show that we are not going to be complicit with Republicans on a budget that they wrote without any Democratic input.
0:53:07 The reason why I thought we all should have skipped the State of the Union speech is because that would have shown a level of seriousness about not wanting to legitimize his corruption and theft.
0:53:13 And you’re also probably right that we’re going to have to be clearer about the legal consequences.
0:53:22 You know, should somebody who’s on the level eventually get into the DOJ for the people who are blatantly violating the law?
0:53:48 I think sometimes people expect a little bit too much of the opposition party, but I think if we were engaging in tactics that were a little tougher and had, frankly, a little bit more potential downside for Democrats, that would cause people out in the public to be more willing to engage in riskier behavior themselves or institutions to engage in more riskier behavior as they’re trying to stand up a response to Trump’s extortion campaign.
0:53:58 I wanted to pick up on what you were saying about this risky behavior because there are a few people within the party and you’re one of them that have been looked to as the ones that are willing to push the envelope.
0:54:05 So Bernie and AOC out on their tour, you had a huge fundraising quarter, $8 million, right?
0:54:07 And you’re not up for reelection for a very long time.
0:54:13 So people are obviously appreciative of what you’re doing and the energy that you’re bringing to this fight.
0:54:22 But we know that elections are decided on issues and the big issue for the midterms is going to be the GOP reconciliation bill, the big, beautiful bill.
0:54:28 So we have $880 billion cut to Medicaid, also huge tax breaks for the wealthy.
0:54:35 How do you think that Democrats can effectively message what it is that this administration is doing?
0:54:40 If wealth inequality is a huge issue for them, this is it, you know, signed, sealed and delivered, wrap it up in a bow.
0:54:47 There is no clear indication that Main Street is irrelevant to them than what this bill has in it.
0:54:48 So what’s the plan?
0:54:53 Well, the plan has to be to not be distracted, and that’s tough.
0:55:03 But, you know, we are being gift-wrapped a piece of legislation that tells the entire story about the Trump administration’s priorities.
0:55:07 And as you mentioned, it’s a pretty simple story.
0:55:14 You’re talking about throwing millions of people off of their health care, potentially tens of millions of people off their health care.
0:55:23 Medicaid insures 24 percent of Americans in order to finance a massive tax cut for the richest Americans.
0:55:31 It’s about a trillion dollars in cuts to child nutrition programs and Medicaid and a trillion dollars of tax cuts for the richest 1 percent.
0:55:36 And so that’s a story we need to tell over and over and over again.
0:55:41 And the best result here is, frankly, to stop it from ever becoming law.
0:55:43 And I think we have a really good chance of doing that.
0:55:48 Nobody thought that we were going to be able to stop the repeal of the Affordable Care Act in 2017, but we did.
0:55:50 But they still paid a price for it.
0:55:55 They got walloped in the midterms because people didn’t really care that it didn’t pass.
0:56:01 They just saw loud and clear what their values were, which was to, at the time, throw 20 million people off their health care.
0:56:11 So we needed to dual track this, try to kill this bill, but also message it in a way that even if it disappears, they have to own the space.
0:56:38 And I think it’s OK to still talk about the assault on democracy because I would argue it’s all the same story, that this president’s agenda is so historically unpopular, so wildly unpopular, that the only way that the Republican Party survives this is for them to destroy democracy, destroy the rule of law, destroy the traditional means of accountability like a free press, a free university system, lawyers who can defend our rights.
0:56:39 So it’s all the same story.
0:56:48 They’ve got this deeply unpopular agenda, which is about destroying the middle class to empower the billionaires, and they have to destroy democracy in order to get away with it.
0:56:50 I think that’s an elevator pitch.
0:57:04 Like, that doesn’t take more than a minute, a minute and a half to explain to people and just don’t let his, you know, constant distraction campaign about talking about a third term or invading Canada stop you from being able to repeat that story five times a day.
0:57:09 Do you think that talking about Kilmer Obrego Garcia is one of those distractions?
0:57:21 No, because I think that is sort of central to this case of his attempt to destroy the rule of law because it’s the only way that he gets away with this thievery.
0:57:48 I mean, what he is, you know, essentially doing with a lot of these disappearances, standing on top of the legitimization of political violence through the pardoning of all the January 6th protesters is to try to put a chill when it comes to people who are going to stand up to him politically so that you don’t see the kind of crowds that you’ve seen in the past several weeks and months out there protesting his deeply unpopular agenda.
0:58:02 And I think, you know, that there is deep crossover potential in a way that maybe is unexpected on issues like Abrego Garcia that dovetail pretty nicely with the crossover message on stopping the cuts to Medicaid.
0:58:07 It turns out there are actually a lot of pretty conservative folks out there who don’t want any of this.
0:58:18 You know, I’ve, you know, said to folks, it’s, you know, a lot of the people who voted for him thought that he was serious about lowering costs and he wasn’t serious when he talked about being a dictator.
0:58:21 They’re finding out that the opposite is true.
0:58:23 He’s not serious about lowering costs.
0:58:26 He’s going to increase health care costs by kicking people off of Medicaid.
0:58:28 And he is serious about being a dictator.
0:58:37 And that’s a message that that sort of gives a permission structure for a lot of his vote and his base to think about crossing over.
0:58:39 Yeah. Steve Bannon could be used in a whole lot of ads.
0:58:41 He understood this perfectly.
0:58:41 Scott.
0:58:55 So Governors Bashir, Newsom, Whitmer, Moore, Secretary Buttigieg, Senators Bennett, Klobuchar, Murphy, we have an outstanding bench.
0:59:05 A lot of very strong moderates who I believe you’re going to have to have a moderate to triangulate and have a shot at getting through or winning in the general.
0:59:06 I’m going to talk about the primary.
0:59:16 Why, just as a tactic, and I’m not asking you to indicate your plans or what you’re planning or not planning to do, it feels like right now we’re leaderless.
0:59:27 That if the leaders of the Democratic Party are Senator Schumer or Leader Jeffries, I think most people think they’re not up to the job of pushing back on this onslaught of corruption and autocracy.
0:59:44 What do you think of the idea of one of you or more of you announcing now that you’re running for president such that we at least have effective pushback and someone that the media and the public can turn to on a daily basis for arguments and evidence around how wrong this is?
0:59:51 I mean, it seems to me that part of the problem is we just don’t have visible, vocal leadership right now.
0:59:56 What do you think of the idea of one or more of you announcing sooner rather than later that you’re running for president?
0:59:57 Yeah, I don’t know.
1:00:04 I mean, I hear this critique a lot, and there have been different suggestions about how to tackle this perceived problem.
1:00:12 That’s the first time I’ve heard the suggestion about starting the presidential campaign, you know, two years earlier than normal.
1:00:16 There’s also this idea about creating a shadow cabinet, you know, for instance.
1:00:21 I guess I don’t perceive that problem to be as acute or as real as you do, Scott.
1:00:24 I actually think that this party is pretty entrepreneurial.
1:00:31 Even though Bernie Sanders and AOC have no official role, they are still drawing tens of thousands of people.
1:00:32 I’m a rank-and-file member.
1:00:34 Max Frost is a rank-and-file member.
1:00:36 But we’ll have a couple thousand people in Florida.
1:00:40 We had a couple thousand people in Missouri and North Carolina last weekend.
1:00:42 I don’t know.
1:01:00 I think it might be just a little unrealistic to expect that you are going to have, three years prior to a presidential campaign, there be some consensus in the political class and the media class about who the one sole leader of the Democratic Party is.
1:01:07 Posit for a second that, you know, one of those high-profile names did jump out and declare their presidential aspirations really early.
1:01:10 Well, that might mean that the others do the same.
1:01:13 And then all that you have now is dem-on-dem violence.
1:01:23 You just have, you know, a presidential campaign starting way earlier than it should instead of all of our energy being trained on explaining the corruption and the thievery in the White House.
1:01:28 So I don’t see this as big a problem as it is.
1:01:47 I think what you’re frankly seeing is a lot of folks rise to the moment and, you know, get amplified voices and bigger stages that might not exist if you had some early contest to decide who the one person was that is the legitimate anti-Trump voice inside the progressive movement.
1:01:49 All fair points.
1:01:59 So one of the strategies that the administration or President Trump has deployed that I think has been very effective straight out of the GRU’s handbook of flood the zone.
1:02:06 So many outrageous things every day that you’re flat-footed, don’t know what to respond to, enter into a state of paralysis, end up running after things that aren’t that important.
1:02:12 And it feels as if we do need to focus on a small, finite number of issues in a very forceful yet dignified way.
1:02:14 One, do you agree with that?
1:02:18 And two, if you in fact agree with that, what would be Senator Murphy’s one thing?
1:02:28 If you could only talk about one issue that you think the Americans should be focused on in terms of how the administration is bad for America, what would be that one issue for you?
1:02:38 Yeah, listen, right now it’s this budget bill that proposes the most massive transfer of wealth from the poor and the middle class to the rich in the history of the country.
1:02:41 It tells the entire story about the values of this party.
1:02:48 They are trying to hand over our government to the billionaire class, and they are willing to run over regular people to get there.
1:02:53 It exposes him as a false populist in a way that no other issue does.
1:02:59 But as to kind of the tactical way that you deal with how he floods the zone, you have to flood the zone in return.
1:03:02 You have to create as much content as he does.
1:03:05 And that is a legitimate debate inside the party right now.
1:03:20 There’s a feeling that, you know, maybe we should just sort of sit back and, you know, let them destroy themselves, that we shouldn’t be acting every single day with five alarm urgency because that kind of wears people out.
1:03:22 I actually don’t think that’s true.
1:03:26 I think we have to, you know, put just as much content out there every day as he does.
1:03:34 I think it’s OK for us to sort of have our hair on fire on a daily basis because the democracy is under daily assault.
1:03:44 And as long as we stay, you know, pretty laser-like focused on that transfer of wealth, the cut to Medicaid, to finance the tax cut for millionaires, I think we’re on pretty, pretty safe ground.
1:03:49 You mentioned being out with Max Frost at town halls in Missouri and in Florida.
1:03:53 And I’d love to hear a little bit about what you saw there on the ground.
1:04:10 But also, by doing it with Max Frost, who’s the youngest member of Congress, you implicitly blessed this next gen, which I think is so important in the conversations that we’re having right now about people being too old for these roles, not passing the torch soon enough.
1:04:16 And someone like Max Frost understands flooding the zone because that’s just how a 20-something operates, right?
1:04:19 I wake up, I get on my phone, not me, I’m a 41-year-old.
1:04:25 But Max Frost wakes up and he starts posting because that’s just what’s built into his DNA.
1:04:36 And that feels like a natural way for us to be combating flooding the zone where it doesn’t feel like you have a 75-year-old in their car, you know, yelling into the abyss to create a video.
1:04:42 You have someone like a Max Frost or an AOC doing this, and it’s like inherent to who they are.
1:04:48 So can you talk about your town halls and also bringing in the next generation in a substantive way?
1:04:58 You know, it certainly is about volume, and you are right that this generation, right, doesn’t think twice, right, about posting dozens of times a day.
1:05:04 That’s just how online communication works, and it’s important for, you know, the older generation to understand that.
1:05:06 Second, it’s about authenticity.
1:05:12 It’s about removing the filter between you and your constituents and the voters, and Maxwell does that.
1:05:13 I do that.
1:05:23 But most sort of high-level politicians, governors and senators, still have that filter, still vet their communication through their communications staff.
1:05:24 So you don’t?
1:05:26 You post without approval?
1:05:33 I don’t, yeah, I mean, I don’t, so my, the feed that I control is my, is my, my Twitter feed, and that, yeah, that is just me.
1:05:38 Nobody sees those tweets before I send them out, and that provides sort of the foundation for most of my other content.
1:05:40 But voters are savvy today.
1:05:52 They now know the difference between authentic communication and non-authentic communication, in part because they’ve watched Donald Trump show the country what authentic communication full of mistakes looks like.
1:05:54 The town halls are amazing.
1:06:00 You know, any Democrat can show up anywhere right now, and, you know, you will have thousands of people coming out.
1:06:12 I think it’s really important to be in Republican districts, in part because if you are trying to build a true national movement, you have got to sort of show that even in the red parts of the country, folks are having second thoughts.
1:06:19 And so if you’re just having big turnouts in blue states, that doesn’t really ultimately move the needle.
1:06:43 So I don’t think it’s coincidental that, you know, once we started to see red states turning out, like what Bernie did in, you know, Idaho, and I think he was in, you know, somewhere in the Mountain West other than Idaho, you started seeing Trump’s blue ratings, you know, move down into the low 40s because Republican or prior Trump voters looked around and they said,
1:06:52 oh, I guess others who voted for Trump, others who live in places that look like the place I live in, have now have the same misgivings that I do.
1:06:57 So that’s why Max and I have been primarily going only to Republican districts, and I think we’ll continue doing that.
1:07:05 Yeah, you see, it’s pretty rough out there even for like Chuck Grassley, and I feel like his constituents love him, but they can’t help but be upset at what we’re seeing.
1:07:11 I love a little bit of a background perspective on how your Republican colleagues are feeling.
1:07:19 I know what they say to the cameras, but are they feeling as tense about this as I would imagine they should be?
1:07:25 So I have a little bit of a different perspective than a lot of my colleagues do on Republicans right now.
1:07:39 I really worry that we’re giving Republicans too much credit, this idea that they know what the right thing to do is and they aren’t doing it because they are scared of Donald Trump or scared of losing an election.
1:07:45 I think way more Republicans than you think have in their heart given up on the project of democracy.
1:08:00 You know, this work to undermine democracy inside the Republican Party that’s been, you know, handled and midwifed in part by the pseudo-intellectual infrastructure that surrounds MAGA, you know, it’s been ongoing for a decade.
1:08:01 It’s deep, it’s deep, it’s serious.
1:08:13 And so especially in the House of Representatives, I think the vast majority of Republicans there are absolutely willing to give up on elections if that guarantees Republicans rule forever.
1:08:22 Many Republicans, most Republicans in Congress have come to the conclusion that progressives writ large are an existential threat to the nation.
1:08:29 And so their number one goal, their mission is to stop Democrats from ever ruling again.
1:08:35 They’d like to do that without destroying democracy, but if that’s what it takes, then they’re willing to do it.
1:08:43 I just think you have to understand that instead of living in this world where, you know, they, oh boy, they’re all really wringing their hands about what Trump is doing to our democracy.
1:08:47 And they just, you know, can’t say it out loud because they’re so afraid of him.
1:08:53 In the Senate, yes, there’s, you know, a good group of maybe 15 to 20 who do know what he’s doing is wrong.
1:09:09 And those approval ratings sitting in the 30s for a period of months, you know, that may be the key to getting more of those Republicans to speak up or perhaps voting against some of the worst of this agenda, including the Medicaid cuts.
1:09:11 But I don’t mean to paint a hopeless picture.
1:09:17 I just think it’s really important not to sugarcoat what’s happened inside the Republican Party.
1:09:31 And it’s a it’s a decade long effort to try to explain why it’s time to transition America to a kind of autocracy or quasi democracy that can keep up with China.
1:09:32 Democracy is just antiquated.
1:09:33 It’s outdated.
1:09:36 It doesn’t work in a 2025 global context.
1:09:38 That’s what a lot of Republicans think today.
1:09:45 Senator, young women going slightly more moderate or progressive, young men significantly more conservative.
1:09:51 And I would argue that it’s not that they’re moving towards the Republican Party.
1:09:53 It’s the Democratic Party has moved away from them.
1:10:00 And when I was at the Democratic National Convention, I saw a parade of special interest groups really robustly representing their constituents.
1:10:06 But the one group that wasn’t discussed or referenced is the group that, in my view, has fallen furthest fastest, and that is young men.
1:10:09 And I think it really hurt us at the ballot box.
1:10:12 One, do you agree with that?
1:10:25 And two, if you do agree with that, what specific programs or ideas can the Democrats deploy to try and arrest the decline or at least nod how poorly young men are doing in our country?
1:10:27 I completely agree with that.
1:10:31 I mean, how can’t you, if you, you know, look at a lot of this polling data?
1:10:44 I think that, you know, what’s important to understand is that while a lot of the attention has been on young men, there has been a significant pull away by young women from the Democratic Party as well.
1:10:50 This is a phenomenon that exists most acutely with young men, but it exists with young people writ large.
1:11:07 I do think it’s worth really examining why the only movement on the left that has drawn large numbers of young people, but especially young men, over the last 10 to 20 years is Bernie’s movement.
1:11:17 And I think you really have to, there’s a lot of people who say, well, you know, Bernie’s brand of politics is toxic, it’s, you know, going to be the downfall of the Democratic Party.
1:11:25 But let’s be honest, you know, whatever you thought of the Bernie bros, there were a lot of young men who were attracted to what Bernie was selling.
1:11:40 And that’s because, you know, young men and young women together, but maybe young men in particular because of the very quick downfall of the sort of the economic patriarchy, see the consequences of a system that is totally and completely rigged.
1:11:44 And they are looking for an explanation about who did it to them.
1:11:49 For young men, you know, the conservative movement says, well, women did this to you.
1:11:59 Women did this to you, their rise in the workforce combined with the Me Too movement has been the source of your unraveling and undoing.
1:12:07 Well, what Bernie says is that, yes, somebody did this to you, but it’s not women, it’s the billionaire class.
1:12:15 It’s the corporate class who has rigged an economy to make sure that no young person can succeed as quickly as they could 30 or 50 years ago.
1:12:30 And I just don’t know that you’ll win young men back or you’ll win young people back if you don’t have a source for them to root their frustration is if you don’t have a story to tell about why their life got so difficult and so miserable all of a sudden.
1:12:34 So, you know, you talked earlier about a moderate candidate being the only path forward.
1:12:43 I’m not even sure that kind of center right left works any longer in describing sort of how the sort of political positioning exists today.
1:13:11 I think you probably win with a candidate who is more big tentest on social and cultural issues, who is less judgmental about people who may not, you know, think the way the most progressives think on climate or guns or gay rights, but is pretty populist on economic issues, is willing to sort of call out the way that corporations have rigged the economy and have some pretty big solutions, especially for young people about how their life is going to get better much more quickly.
1:13:18 Sherrod Brown was a loss on a whole host of levels, but you’re basically describing him in what you just said.
1:13:27 Yeah, and Sherrod, you know, I mean, Sherrod’s bona fides on choice and gay rights, on climate, right, rock solid.
1:13:34 But like Bernie, Sherrod, A, just chose to spend 80% of his time talking about an economic message.
1:13:43 And B, I think the perception in Ohio, even though he lost, was that he was less judgmental of people who thought differently than him.
1:13:48 And, you know, we have applied these litmus tests we just have as a party.
1:13:58 And, you know, we let the online left engage in a pretty regular shaming of anybody who isn’t inside the conventional orthodoxy.
1:14:00 And I think in the past, I’ve been a part of that.
1:14:05 I think a lot of us have been a part of that, either in taking part in it or looking the other way when it happened.
1:14:14 And when I think about how the Democratic Party recovers, I don’t necessarily think it’s in sort of becoming more moderate on economic issues.
1:14:24 I think it probably is, you know, confronting the failure of neoliberalism pretty directly, but it probably does mean becoming less judgmental and less preachy on the non-economic issues.
1:14:33 So if we were a household, we’re taking in $50,000 a year, we’re spending 70, a household debt of $370,000 that when we die, our kids will assume that debt.
1:14:38 We’re either going to have to, it appears to me, raise taxes or cut spending.
1:14:40 And the answer is probably both.
1:14:57 And I’m now of the mind that probably the only way to substantially decrease spending would probably be to attempt to really go after health care costs, which is the biggest part of our, you know, biggest consumer economy, our biggest consumer spending item with terrible outcomes.
1:14:59 One, do you agree with that?
1:15:19 And two, how could we, in fact, address a health care system where we spend eight times more for Humira or Ozempic than other nations and where hospital systems have figured out a way to make pricing totally non-transparent?
1:15:25 What, I mean, it just feels like Washington, quite frankly, has just been weaponized by the health care industrial complex.
1:15:30 And as a result, we have worse health outcomes with, for, you know, for more money.
1:15:32 How would you address health care costs?
1:15:37 So this is at the heart of the corruption story, and it’s a bipartisan corruption story.
1:15:43 This town is owned by the health care industry, and that’s been true for 30 years.
1:16:03 The reason health care costs are so high in this country is because the for-profit health care industry has been able to rig the rules so that they are able to collect a large amount of the total dollars spent in health care, whether it be, you know, on the private pay side or on the Medicare and Medicaid side,
1:16:10 And keep it for-profit returns to shareholders or massive CEO salaries.
1:16:22 It’s just not a coincidence that America, you know, is obviously spending twice as much as other nations on a per capita basis, and we don’t utilize the power of the federal government to control and regulate prices.
1:16:43 So there’s no way, ultimately, to solve for this problem the massive, massive amount of money that the government spends on health care without the government getting involved in helping to curb the amount of profit that the drug industry, that the hospital industry, that the hospice industry is making off of health care.
1:16:52 And it’s frankly a really critical moment right now because you are now seeing the sort of private equity game in health care at scale.
1:17:12 And, you know, the for-profit hospital companies and the drug companies, you know, they are thieves, but at least you can kind of see the thievery when you get to the point, you know, five, ten years from now where half of the, you know, health care system is owned by third parties, by private equity or hedge funds.
1:17:15 And you can’t even see the ownership structure.
1:17:20 It makes it a lot harder to kind of understand how to pull the levers to try to keep costs down.
1:17:26 So, you know, part of the reason that I think Democrats haven’t done as well as we should when it comes to health care is that our ideas are too small.
1:17:34 You know, we talk about, you know, our prescription drug policy for a long time was, you know, bulk negotiating the price of the top ten prescription drugs.
1:17:36 Which is like a good policy, but it leaves people feeling cold.
1:17:40 People want a hard cap on all drug prices, all drug prices.
1:17:43 They want a limit to the amount of profit that drug companies can make.
1:17:50 Like they want the ads off the air and all of that money plowed back into, you know, prescription drug price reductions.
1:18:03 So, I just think the Democrats are going to, you know, whether it’s a single payer system or not, the Democrats are going to have to talk about the government getting involved in the health care system to limit the amount of profit that the private sector makes and taxing along those savings to consumers.
1:18:11 So, speaking of big ideas, we of the G7 spend double what the other G6 spend on health care with worse outcomes.
1:18:15 And most of them have nationalized or socialized medicine, whatever you want to call it.
1:18:25 Would you be up for something along the lines of lowering the age eligibility of, say, Medicare by two years for 30 years and eventually having national health care?
1:18:28 I’m certainly game for that.
1:18:41 There’s another idea that I prefer, which is a national Medicare buy-in, right, to put Medicare as an option for every single individual and every single business.
1:18:48 It’s not an easy thing because you’d have to price Medicare, you know, into the private sector, but I actually have a piece of legislation to do it.
1:18:50 There’s other pieces of legislation out there.
1:18:55 And so, Medicare then would exist on every individual insurance exchange.
1:19:01 Every business would have the ability to buy the Medicare plan for its employees.
1:19:03 And it’s a way to kind of test the idea, okay?
1:19:07 You think private insurance is better insurance?
1:19:08 It’s cheaper insurance?
1:19:10 Well, let it go toe-to-toe with Medicare.
1:19:17 I think what would happen is very quickly individuals and businesses would choose to go on Medicare because it just is better health care for a lower price.
1:19:28 And you’d have a very natural market-based transition away from what we have now to something that looks like, you know, Medicare for all.
1:19:35 And once Medicare had, you know, 60%, 70% of the business, you know, frankly, the other companies probably couldn’t operate.
1:19:53 So, that to me is the big idea that, you know, gets it to where we probably need to get to, but it does it through consumer and business choice, which is just a whole lot more politically easy than what Bernie is proposing, which is to just have a big legislative fight over requiring that everybody be on Medicare and banning private health care insurance.
1:19:54 That’s really interesting.
1:19:55 It’s interesting.
1:19:56 I hadn’t heard that.
1:19:56 Yeah.
1:19:58 That’s why we have him on, Jess.
1:19:59 That’s why we have him on.
1:20:00 That’s why we have you on.
1:20:04 There’s a couple good ideas out there that you guys haven’t thought of yet.
1:20:05 Well, it’s hard to believe.
1:20:06 It’s hard to believe.
1:20:10 We need a new title for the podcast because moderates aren’t where it’s at.
1:20:11 We have to be more lefty.
1:20:12 All right.
1:20:14 Senator Murphy, thank you so much for your time.
1:20:16 Hopefully, you’ll come back again sometime soon.
1:20:17 Thank you, Senator.
1:20:18 Thanks, Jess.
1:20:18 All right.
1:20:19 That’s all for this episode.
1:20:21 Thanks for listening to Raging Moderates.
1:20:24 Our producers are David Toledo and Shanene Onike.
1:20:26 Our technical director is Drew Burrows.
1:20:30 You can now find Raging Moderates on its own feed every Tuesday and Friday.
1:20:31 That’s right.
1:20:32 Its own feed.
1:20:36 That means exclusive interviews with sharp political minds you won’t hear anywhere else.
1:20:40 This week, I’m talking to Representative Ro Khanna, who’s a personal favorite of mine.
1:20:44 Make sure to follow us wherever you get your podcasts so you don’t miss an episode.
1:20:45 See you later, Scott.
1:20:46 See you, Jess.
The economy’s on edge, Trump’s tariffs are targeting Hollywood, and there’s chaos in the West Wing as Mike Waltz is out—and Marco Rubio is somehow doing four jobs at once. Plus, Senator Chris Murphy joins to break down the GOP’s sweeping budget cuts, the Democratic response, and whether voters are finally starting to pay attention.
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The Secret AI Prompt Tool Silicon Valley Engineers Are Using
AI transcript
0:00:06 everyone’s talking about vibe coding but the reality is for most things vibe coding doesn’t
0:00:11 work right now and even the guy who coined the term andre carpathy he recently posted that he’s
0:00:15 now trying to provide more context to models because he’s realized that’s what you have to
0:00:20 do to get good results back welcome to the next wave podcast i’m your host nathan lands and today
0:00:25 i’m going to show you the secret weapon that all the top ai coders are using you know everyone’s
0:00:29 talking about vibe coding this vibe code that but what they’re not telling you is that you can’t
0:00:34 vibe code most of anything that’s actually important right now for any important ai coding you want to
0:00:38 give it the proper context to know what it’s doing versus just throwing everything at which is what
0:00:42 cursor and windsurf and a lot of these other tools that everyone’s talking about do today i’ve got the
0:00:46 founder of repo prompt eric proventure on here and he’s going to show you how you can use repo prompt
0:00:54 to take your ai coding to the next level so let’s just jump right in cutting your cell cycle in half
0:00:59 sounds pretty impossible but that’s exactly what sandler training did with hubspot they used
0:01:04 breeze hubspot’s ai tools to tailor every customer interaction without losing their personal touch
0:01:13 and the results were pretty incredible click-through rates jumped 25 and get this qualified leads
0:01:19 quadrupled who doesn’t want that people spent three times longer on their landing pages it’s incredible
0:01:24 go to hubspot.com to see how breeze can help your business grow
0:01:34 hey we’ll be back to the pot in just a minute but first i want to tell you about something very
0:01:39 exciting happening at hubspot it’s no secret in business that the faster you can pivot the more
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0:01:56 that are completely changing the game we’re talking breeze agents that use ai to do in minutes what used
0:02:03 to take days workspaces that bring everything you need into one view and marketing hub features that use
0:02:09 ai to find your perfect audience what used to take weeks now happens in seconds and that changes
0:02:15 everything this isn’t just about moving fast it’s about moving fast in the right direction
0:02:22 visit hubspot.com forward slash spotlight and transform how your business grows starting today
0:02:28 thanks for coming on yeah yeah it’s nice uh you know finally put a face to it you know we tried it for a
0:02:33 while and uh it’s cool you’ve been using uh repo prompt for a few months now yeah yeah i’ve been telling
0:02:37 people about repo prompt for like the last you know probably six months or so kind of felt like it’s been
0:02:41 almost like my like ai coding secret weapon you know it’s like yeah everybody talking about cursor
0:02:47 and now windsurf and i do find cursor useful but i was like why is no one talking about repo prompt
0:02:51 because like for me every time i’d get into like a complicated project as soon as the project got a
0:02:55 little bit complicated the code from cursor would just stop working for me like it would just not know what
0:03:00 was going on you could tell it wasn’t like managing the context properly and then when 01 pro came
0:03:04 out that was when i really noticed repo prompt and started using it a lot yeah you had to go to 01 pro to
0:03:08 really get the best out of ai for coding at that point absolutely wouldn’t even work with the 01 pro
0:03:12 and so repo prompt was by far the best and it was just kind of shocking me like only like a few people
0:03:16 on x are talking about this yeah most people don’t know about it yeah i mean like it’s the only tool
0:03:21 that i use to work with ai and you know for a long time it was just sonnet and i would feel like i was
0:03:25 able to get a lot more out of sonnet than other tools just because you know the full context window
0:03:30 was there and you know i wasn’t bleeding through the nose with api costs uh doing using the the web chat and
0:03:34 just let me get to a place where i was able to get a tool that was able to do like not just like
0:03:38 putting context out but like taking the changes back in and applying them yeah i like to think i’m the
0:03:42 number one user but actually like look at the stats sometimes and i don’t think that’s even true anymore
0:03:46 yeah i mean i really wanted to bring you on after i saw that tweet from uh andre carpathy the day
0:03:52 so andre carpathy he used to be at tesla ai now he’s like one of the best educators about how lms work
0:03:56 and things like that he had his tweet saying noticing myself adopting a certain rhythm in ai
0:04:03 assisted coding i code i actually and professionally care about contrast to vibe code you know he coined
0:04:06 the term vibe code which everyone’s been using and then he basically goes on to talk about like
0:04:11 stuffing everything relevant into context all this i was like he literally he doesn’t know about repo
0:04:17 prompt i’m like how did this like top ai educator in the world top expert everything totally has no idea
0:04:21 about repro prompt i was like okay so i need to get eric on the podcast and we try to help with that
0:04:26 yeah i appreciate that yeah i mean yeah looking at that that tweet you see exactly like that flow that
0:04:29 like got me started like when you start getting serious about coding with ai like you start thinking
0:04:33 like it will how do i get the information to the ai model and like the ux on all these other tools is
0:04:38 just not cutting it you need a tool to just be able to quickly select search for your files like find
0:04:41 things and yeah you know i recently added the context builder i don’t know if you’ve tried that out but
0:04:45 maybe you know if you could explain like try to simplify it yeah and i think we should then just jump into a
0:04:49 demo and we can kind of just go from there sure thing sure thing yeah i mean the first thing you’re
0:04:53 going to do when you’re going to open up repo prompt is pick a folder so i can either open a folder
0:04:57 manually or just go to the last ones used but generally when you’re working with some code base
0:05:00 like this and flutter like this has a lot of like different build targets and things that are not like
0:05:03 relevant to working with flutter so if you’re not familiar with flutter it’s a way of working to
0:05:07 build multi-platform apps and so you can see it’s got like linux mac os web and all that stuff
0:05:12 but yeah like when you’re working in a repo like this you want to think through like what are the files that
0:05:16 are going through and if you’re using a coding agent like with cursor or whatever the first
0:05:20 thing they’re going to do when you ask a question is okay well let me go find what the user’s trying
0:05:25 to do let me search for files and pick those out and if you know what you’re doing with your code base
0:05:29 you tend to know like okay well i’m working on this button toolbar great so i’ll just like
0:05:33 clear the selection out and i’m just working on these these views here great so i’ve selected those
0:05:38 and that’s it so then i can see you know token use for those files it’s pretty small so i’m able to
0:05:44 just get to work type my prompt and paste that in here help me update all the docs pages so if i do
0:05:50 that and then i just do gemini flash quickly to show what that looks like so the context builder the way
0:05:56 that works is it will actually search for files using an llm based on the prompt that you’ve typed
0:06:00 out you know a big part of using repo prompt is that you have to know you know what it is that you’re
0:06:04 trying to select here right right and you know what i noticed a lot of users they were just putting
0:06:07 everything in they would just say like okay just select all and and that’d be it and you’d be
0:06:10 like okay we’ll get the first yeah i mean that’s the easy thing to do you’re like okay well there’s
0:06:14 the code base perfect but you know there’s plenty of tools that can just zip up your code base and
0:06:17 that’s easy but like the power of repo prompt is you can be selective you don’t have to select
0:06:22 everything so i can just hit replace here and then okay well what did that do okay well that actually
0:06:26 found all these files here that are related to my query put them in order of priority of like
0:06:30 importance based on what the llm’s judgment is and of course if you use gemini flash you’re not
0:06:34 going to get the best results compared to like using you know like a bigger model like gemini
0:06:39 2.5 pro but it’ll pick those out it’ll use something called code maps to help with that and you can see
0:06:45 the actual token file selection queries is just 6k tokens working with a code base if you’ve spent some
0:06:48 time you know programming in the past i know a lot of folks they’re not super familiar with all the
0:06:54 technicals there but like vibe coding yeah exactly exactly um so repo prompt has this code map feature
0:06:59 and what this will do is it will basically as you add files it’ll index them and extract what’s called
0:07:05 like um it’s a map but if you’ve used c++ before there’s like a header file and a cpp file and what
0:07:08 that is is basically you’re explaining to the compiler like what is all the definitions in this
0:07:12 file like you’ve got your functions you’ve got your variables and all that stuff and so it’s like a
0:07:17 high level extracted kind of an index like an index of your code base exactly yeah the context builder
0:07:21 uses that data to help you find what the relevant files are based on your query so it has like a kind
0:07:25 of peek inside the files without having all of the details and it’s able to kind of surface that
0:07:29 relevant information for you so that you can use that in a prompt one thing i love about
0:07:33 repo prompt so when i first started using it i had been like using just like a custom script i had
0:07:38 created to like take my code base and like and then like put you know the relevant you know context in
0:07:42 there which a lot of times i was just doing all of it i was literally putting all into a single file
0:07:47 and i’d copy and paste that into chat gbt yeah i think i tweet about this and someone told me like
0:07:51 oh you got to try repo prompt that’s when i tried repo prompt the fact that i could like see how
0:07:56 much context i was sharing yeah with the model was amazing and it seems like that’s super relevant too
0:07:59 because you know at least from the benchmarks i’ve seen you know everyone’s talking about how much
0:08:04 context you can put into their llm you know think of the benchmarks for llama for as soon as you went
0:08:10 over like 128k context like nowhere near the 10 million yeah like the quality just like dropped like
0:08:15 like a rock well until gemini 2.5 came out pretty much all the models you would really want to stay
0:08:21 below 32k tokens in general i find like over that you’re just losing a lot of intelligence so there’s this
0:08:25 concept of effective context you know the effective context window like at what point does the
0:08:29 intelligence stop being like as relevant for that model and for a lot of smaller models and local
0:08:34 models it’s a lot lower and you probably want to stay around 8k tokens but like for bigger models 32k
0:08:38 is a good number it’s only now with gemini that you’re able to kind of use the full package the full
0:08:43 context window but yeah so you’re using this context you’ve picked out your files say you you want
0:08:46 to use as many as you want 100k like what do you do with that so like you have a question like
0:08:54 um help me change how links are handled uh with my docs uh and so i have a question here i’m just
0:08:59 going to paste it to o3 and you’ll see like what is o3 getting out of this so it’s getting basically
0:09:04 this file tree so it’s getting a directory structure of this project it’s getting basically the high level
0:09:08 code maps of the files that i haven’t selected so basically when it’s set to complete everything that i
0:09:12 haven’t selected gets kind of shipped in and then you have the files that i did select and so then the
0:09:17 context is able to go ahead and is able to do that and so this is like a great way to kind of just get
0:09:21 this information into o3 get the most out of this model and o3 is an expensive model if you’re trying
0:09:26 to use it a lot like this is a great way to kind of get more value out of it move fast and get good
0:09:30 responses i think the average person like people who are just using chat tpt or even people who are
0:09:34 coding with cursor they don’t realize that you can do that that you can literally just copy and paste
0:09:40 all of that context in there and that the lm gets that and it understands what to do yes you know
0:09:44 in contrast to chat gpt claude is very good at following instructions like it’s the best model
0:09:48 at following instructions i find and i think this is another thing that repo prompt does quite well is
0:09:53 so it’s got like tools to kind of send information into the lm but it’s also got tools to go ahead
0:09:57 so it’s now it’s going to go ahead and write an xml plan and it’s going to create this theme selector
0:10:02 and it’s going to add these files and and change files for me and what’s cool with this is that i can
0:10:07 just go ahead and use claude with my subscription and then have it modify all these files so it’s
0:10:11 basically creating all these files and it can search and replace parts of files too so i don’t
0:10:15 have to re-update and re-upload the whole thing have it up with the complete code so a lot of models
0:10:19 struggle with you know people are noticing like oh this model is really lazy it’s not giving me the
0:10:23 whole code but like this kind of circumvents that issue because it lets the ai just kind of get an
0:10:26 escape patch and just do what it needs to do here right you know sometimes when i’m coding like this
0:10:31 i’ll iterate like so i pasted this question right with o3 and often what i’ll do is i’ll read through
0:10:37 the answer and then i’ll change my prompt and then paste again into a new chat and try and like see
0:10:41 where the result is different because basically i look at like here’s the output okay i actually don’t
0:10:46 care maybe about this copy link button okay then i’ll put specifically put a mention in my prompt to say
0:10:50 like let’s let’s kind of just focus on this part of the question and kind of reorient it and that’s the
0:10:54 nice thing with this is that i can just hit copy as many times i want if you’re paying for a pro sub
0:10:59 like there’s no cost to trying things there’s no cost to hitting paste again and you know you just try again
0:11:03 you just paste again let the model think again and try things and i think that’s like a really important
0:11:07 way of working with these models is to experiment and try things and and see how does changing the
0:11:11 context what files you have selected your prompt i use these stored prompts that come built in the app
0:11:15 so there’s the architect and engineer and these kind of help focus the model they give them roles
0:11:21 so like if i’m working on something complicated the architect prompt will kind of focus the model
0:11:26 on just the design and have it kind of not think about the code itself whereas the engineer is just the
0:11:30 code like don’t worry about the design just just kind of give me the code uh but just the things
0:11:34 that change maybe you should explain like when you say engineer prompt it’s literally you’re just adding
0:11:39 stuff that you copy and paste into the lm saying like you’re an expert engineer and this is what i
0:11:44 expect from you i expect for you to give me xml that’s your job do it and that’s literally how the lms
0:11:49 work like okay i’ll do it absolutely yeah giving them roles is is crucial telling them who they are
0:11:53 what their job description you know what what do i look for like giving them a performance review
0:11:57 evaluation uh all that stuff like i i find like the more detailed you are with your prompts the
0:12:01 more you can help like they kind of color the responses in an interesting way so just adding
0:12:05 the engineer prompt you see like it spent more time thinking about it so here this time it kind of said
0:12:09 okay this is the file tailwind here’s the change and this is the change that i’m going to do in a code
0:12:14 block so you know for the longest time before i had any of these xml features i was just kind of
0:12:18 using repo prompt and like getting these outputs and then just copying them back into my code base
0:12:22 manually and kind of reviewing them right i was like really the antithesis of vibe coding where
0:12:27 everything’s kind of automated yeah so i showed you a lot of stuff like pasting back seeing this xml
0:12:32 and then kind of putting it back in what’s really nice with repo prompts like chat flow is that all of
0:12:36 that is automated so if you want to vibe code and kind of think about it like just not think about
0:12:40 anything while being kind of cost effective too you can do that kind of work here and basically the way
0:12:47 this works here is i had gpt 4.1 as my main model this is all the context i gave it and then my pro
0:12:53 edit mode what it’ll do is it’ll actually ask a second model to apply the edits so i have gemini flash
0:12:58 that will go ahead and rewrite the file for me and just kind of do that work so i don’t have to manually
0:13:03 kind of incorporate these so if i was looking at here like okay this is the tailwind file i’d have to
0:13:08 open that up and then go ahead and introduce it in but having it kind of just go in the chat having
0:13:12 different models kind of do that work you know it makes a big difference working on repo prompt it’s
0:13:16 really like there’s building your context that’s like the biggest thing just picking what you want
0:13:20 you want to front load that work and you know in contrast to using agents you’re going to have those
0:13:25 agents kind of run off do a lot of work call a bunch of tool calls you see like oh three kind of
0:13:29 thought for 15 seconds thought through some tools to call it didn’t really make sense it just kind of
0:13:33 kept going and and ended up doing this and if you’ve used cursor a lot you know you’ll see like often
0:13:37 using oh three it’ll call tools that will like read this file read that file read this file
0:13:42 but if you just give it the files up front and you just kind of send it off to work with your
0:13:45 prompt you right away you get a response and you’re like okay well does this make sense to me am i able
0:13:49 to use this instead of letting it kind of serve for an hour yeah it’s a little bit more work at least
0:13:54 right now but it’s yeah i think you get a lot better results so it’s yeah yeah just front loading that
0:13:58 context being able to think through and iterate on that and that’s the whole philosophy around it is
0:14:03 just like thinking through like making this easy the context builder helps you find that context
0:14:08 you know eventually i’m going to add mcp support so you can query documentation find find things
0:14:14 related to your query as well and just spend time as an engineer sitting through what do i want the
0:14:18 llm to know and then what do i want it to do and then make that flow as quick and as painless as
0:14:22 possible and like that’s kind of everything and i think you know going forward and you know as you get
0:14:27 serious coding with ai like that’s what the human’s job is in this loop as engineer’s job is
0:14:30 figuring out the context i think that’s the new software engineering job
0:14:36 hey we’ll be right back to the show but first i’m going to tell you about another podcast i know
0:14:41 you’re going to love it’s called marketing against the grain it’s hosted by kip bodner and kieran
0:14:46 flanagan and it’s brought to you by the hubspot podcast network the audio destination for business
0:14:50 professionals if you want to know what’s happening now in marketing especially how to use ai
0:14:56 marketing this is the podcast for you kip and kieran share their marketing expertise unfiltered
0:15:01 in the details the truth and like nobody else will tell it to you they recently had a great episode
0:15:09 called using chat tbt 03 to plan our 2025 marketing campaign it was full of like actual insights as well
0:15:16 as just things i had not thought of about how to apply ai to marketing i highly suggest you check it out
0:15:20 listen to marketing against the grain wherever you get your podcasts
0:15:26 like i said before i was so surprised a lot of people haven’t talked about this because like
0:15:31 for me like right now cursor is good for like something very simple like okay change some
0:15:37 buttons or change some links or change whatever you know but anything complicated repo prompt i got like
0:15:44 way way better results so i’m curious like you know have you ever thought about like this being used
0:15:48 for things outside of coding and do you think would be useful for anything outside of coding yeah i mean
0:15:52 i’ve gotten academics reach out to me telling me they’re using it for their work uh there’s folks
0:15:57 in different fields for sure i think some of the ux has to probably improve a little bit but in general
0:16:02 like you know if you’re working with plain text files um you know repo prompt can service those use
0:16:07 cases for sure it’s all set up to read any kind of file and then apply edits to any kind of file too
0:16:12 like i don’t differentiate if i can read it then i’ll apply edits for you and i think a whole bunch of work
0:16:16 is around just like gathering context and kind of iterating on stuff like even you know in doing
0:16:21 legal work i do think you know a flow that is still missing from this app it’s just that like
0:16:25 kind of collaborative nature i think there’s still some work that needs to kind of be done to kind of
0:16:29 make this a more collaborative tool make this a tool that that kind of syncs a little bit better with
0:16:33 different things like for now like developers use git and like that’s that kind of collaboration
0:16:38 bedrock but i think like lawyers need other things yeah yeah that’s something i think too is like yeah
0:16:43 repo prompts super useful but you have to be a little bit more advanced like an average vibe coder
0:16:48 the average person using an llm and uh yeah you know no offense you can kind of tell one person has
0:16:52 built this you know it’s amazing but you can tell yeah yeah yeah no it’s all good i’m kind of curious
0:16:56 like why did you not go the vc route where’s repo prompt at right now like where is it now and what’s
0:17:00 your plan for it you know i’ve had a lot of folks you know bring that up to me and they’re kind of
0:17:04 thinking through like you know why not vc or whatever and i think it’s not something that the
0:17:10 door’s closed on forever it’s just i think right now it’s it’s work i’m able to build and you know i’m
0:17:14 able to kind of listen to my users and pay attention to what they need and i think it’s just
0:17:20 not super clear to me like where this all goes you know like this is an app that is like super useful
0:17:25 and it’s like helping me and i’m able to build it but like is it something that necessarily makes sense
0:17:29 to like have like you know a hundred million dollars invested into it to grow a huge team to like
0:17:34 build maybe i don’t know but like you know i want to kind of take things as they go as well and
0:17:38 you know right now i’m able to to monetize it a bit you know it’s got some passionate users
0:17:43 you know it’s working well this way but again like it’s all new you know to me like i’ve not
0:17:47 gone through this whole you know vc story myself i’ve had friends who kind of shy me away from it but
0:17:51 you know i i try to like listen to the folks around me too and see where yeah there’s pluses and minuses
0:17:56 to vc like you’ll hear on twitter and things like that like people who are like oh vc is horrible or oh
0:18:01 it’s amazing you know there’s good and bad to all of it yeah you know i feel like everything with ai
0:18:04 right now is like who knows what’s going to happen like yeah in a year everything could be
0:18:11 different in five years who the hell knows right yeah like right now because ai is such a big wave
0:18:15 that’s why we call the show the next wave right it’s such a large wave of transformation happening
0:18:21 that you are going to see the largest investments ever yeah i think in history yeah as well as the
0:18:25 largest acquisitions ever yeah and i think these are have yet to come yeah we’re like in the early
0:18:30 part of this transition i think the best two routes for you in my opinion would be either to go
0:18:35 really big and go the vc route or to go more like hey who knows what’s going to happen with it i just
0:18:39 want to like get my name out there and i can leverage my name for something else in the future
0:18:43 and like open source it that’s my kind of thought on strategically what i would do it’s like either go
0:18:48 really big or open source it and make it free and just put it out there and say yeah you know and get
0:18:52 some reputation benefit from it there is a free tier it’s not open source yeah but there is a feature you
0:18:56 know the thing about open source actually is something i’ve thought about a lot and the big issue with it
0:19:01 right now especially as people are building ai tools is that like it’s never been easier to fork
0:19:07 a project and kind of go off and just build it as a competitor if you’ve looked at client like client’s
0:19:11 a big tool you know that came around actually started around a similar time as me working on repo prompt
0:19:16 and uh if you’re not familiar the client is an ai agent that sits in vs code and it’s pretty cool but
0:19:21 the thing that is not so cool about it is that it eats your tokens for lunch like that thing will
0:19:25 churn through your wallet like faster than any other tool that exists just because it goes off
0:19:30 and reads files stuffs the context as big as possible so a lot of people really enjoy using
0:19:33 it because it has good results for certain things but yeah that cost is very high but the thing that
0:19:37 i was trying to bring up with this is that like so client was actually forked a few months ago by
0:19:41 another team of developers and it’s called bruise the alternative and if you look at open router
0:19:45 and some stats like bruise actually surpassing client and so you know that fork is now overtaking the
0:19:49 original and you know that’s the kind of space that we’re in where like different teams will kind of
0:19:52 take your code take it in their direction and then all of a sudden they’ve overtaken you and
0:19:57 you know you kind of lose track of you know where things are going there so like it’s a crazy space
0:20:01 it’s never been easier to open pull requests with ai you don’t need to understand the code you’re like
0:20:05 oh i have this open source project i’m just going to fork it and add my features and kind of go and
0:20:10 and it’s a tricky thing but like you know having a free version and kind of trying to ship and grow a
0:20:15 community of users who are passionate who like you can talk back to you and you know i mean that’s kind of
0:20:18 the route i’ve taken right now and it’s kind of been working so far i was in beta for a long time
0:20:22 yeah you know it’s still new figuring out where to go next with it and it’s mac only right now is that
0:20:26 correct yeah that’s true it’s mac only and i think a part of that is that i started off you know just
0:20:30 kind of trying to think about like you know how do i build this in a good way and the problem is like
0:20:35 i immediately ran into issues trying to build for different platforms and like i spent a bunch of time
0:20:40 debugging just getting svg icon rendering you know all these little things that are just like rabbit holes
0:20:44 and you’re like okay well you’re so abstracted from the base of like what’s happening and you spend a lot of time
0:20:49 just solving build issues that it’s like well i’m just gonna go ahead and do build native and just run with it
0:20:54 and have better performance doing so like you know if you open an ide like vs code you open up like a huge repo
0:21:00 what actually happens is that it’ll load the file tree and it will just kind of lazy load everything
0:21:04 like not everything needs to load because if you’re opening an ide you know as a coder traditionally
0:21:08 you only have a couple files open at a time maybe you have a dozen right you’re not going to be
0:21:13 processing 50 000 files at the same time but an ai model can you know if you give it to gemini like
0:21:17 gemini will want all those files it will want as much as you can give it because they can read all
0:21:23 of it and so you need a tool that is built different that is kind of organized in a way where it’s kind
0:21:29 of thinking first through that performance of mass data processing that you need to kind of do it’s a
0:21:33 whole different way of working that’s why it’s native because like i want that performance processing all
0:21:38 these files there’s all this concurrency happening where you’re like in parallel editing these files
0:21:42 like processing them and doing all this stuff like it’s very hard to do if you’re just you know using
0:21:45 javascript or typescript when i use repo prompt it seems like you’ve done a really great job of building
0:21:51 it it works really well it is all just you like right now yeah it is just me yeah i’ve been working
0:21:56 on it a lot yeah that’s crazy yeah it’s come a long way i iterated a lot on it you know but that’s
0:21:59 the power of dogfooding too like if you’re not feeling like folks listening dogfooding is when you like
0:22:04 kind of use your own product to iterate on it and build with it and you kind of make it a habit of
0:22:08 making sure that you’re a number one user of your app you know your own product to make sure that you
0:22:13 see all the stuff that sucks about it and for the longest time like you know it’s really sucked and
0:22:18 just that struggle and that that pain of using it and forcing yourself to feel that pain like that’s
0:22:22 what makes it good that’s where you’re able to kind of feel those things that the users using the
0:22:26 app will feel and and that’s when you end up with something that is great in the end so where do you
0:22:31 think repo prompt is going like long term which maybe now maybe long term now means like one year
0:22:35 where’s repo prompt going next year that’s long term it’s hard to say honestly like it’s weird you know
0:22:40 like in december like open ai announces oh three and they’re like oh it beats all the arc agi tests
0:22:44 and you’re like well is this agi like what is this like and then it kind of shifts and it’s like okay i
0:22:50 mean like it’s a better model it lies to you it’s not like uh the messiah you know right so it’s hard to
0:22:55 say like i don’t know like where we go like i have ideas on like where the future is one year from now
0:22:59 i think i’ll have to adapt this product and keep iterating on it to kind of stay relevant so it’s
0:23:04 going to keep changing but like i think that the flow i’m kind of pushing towards of that context
0:23:09 building i think that remains relevant for a while longer and what improves is the layers of automation
0:23:14 around that work yeah so i think like long term i still think that is kind of the vibe that i want
0:23:19 to go towards though i think just like integrating mcp just embracing that like universality of all
0:23:23 of these different tools so for folks listening if they’re not sure what is mcp is another acronym
0:23:29 we got lots of an ai so the idea there is traditionally if you use like claude or open ai they have tools
0:23:32 and those tools you know one of them could be like search the web or one of them could be like read the
0:23:37 files on your thing or look up documentation or these kinds of things and there’s this protocol mcp
0:23:43 that like creates like an abstraction layer so that any client app can implement this protocol
0:23:48 and then users can bring their own tools so if a user comes in and says like oh i want to use and
0:23:51 there’s this new one that’s really cool it’s called context seven where basically they’ve gone ahead
0:23:56 built a server that fetches the latest documentation for whatever programming language you’re using and
0:23:59 we’ll kind of pull that in as context so you can say okay great fetch the latest angular docs or
0:24:03 whatever docs you care about and then you can bring that in so that kind of work where you’re like
0:24:08 doing that context retrieval that’s super important or like stripe has one too where basically all the
0:24:12 docs for their tool is set up and you know you just plug in the stripe mcp and then
0:24:15 all of a sudden if you’re trying to vibe code your way through integrating stripe like that’s
0:24:20 super easy that the work is kind of handled you can plug in your api keys onto it so it can even talk
0:24:24 to the back end for you that whole work is kind of automated so it’s all about having tools for
0:24:28 folks using these models to kind of automate connecting to different services in this like
0:24:32 universe of all these different you know services that exist in the world yeah i kind of think of it
0:24:36 most i mean it’s different than xml but for me i think of it as almost more just kind of xml is like
0:24:41 the information language that ai can understand mcp is like the same thing with any service you want to
0:24:46 use or tool it knows how for the ai to know how to work with those things yeah and funny enough you
0:24:50 mention xml because that’s actually one of the things that i do a lot with rebomb is parsing xml
0:24:54 and i think one strength there that i have that like a lot of other tools are kind of ignoring
0:24:58 so traditionally when you’re working with these language models as a developer and you can see
0:25:03 this if you use chat you’d be like hey like um search the web it’s going to use the search tool
0:25:08 and you’ll see it say you call tool search and it’ll go through but what happens when it’s doing that
0:25:15 is that basically it calls that tool it stops waits for the result and then continues i think a bit like
0:25:20 the robot is kind of being reboot as a new session with that new context because basically every tool
0:25:25 call is a new query so you’re giving back the old information but you’re not necessarily talking to
0:25:29 that same instance it’s like a different ai instance that is answering your question from the
0:25:33 new checkpoint so like that’s like a weird thing so you know as you’re making all of these tool calls if
0:25:37 you use cursor you know it’ll make like 100 tool calls but by the end of it you know you’ve gone
0:25:41 through 25 different instances of these models and then you get a result at the end and you’re like
0:25:45 well you know it’s like weird like what actually happened you know there’s some data loss like weird
0:25:48 stuff you know we don’t know how this is yeah it doesn’t seem like that could create like reliability
0:25:52 issues right because like you know the lms like sometimes they give you amazing results and other
0:25:56 times yeah it’s like oh what is this and so every time you’re doing a new tool it sounds like you’re
0:26:00 almost recreating the chance of it going wrong in a way exactly yeah you’re you’re aggregating these
0:26:04 issues but you don’t even know where that info there could be different servers that are actually
0:26:08 processing all these different tool calls and yeah it’s weird sometimes you’ll have like oh that server
0:26:12 has some like chip issue on its memory and like that actually causes some weird issues where
0:26:16 claude is actually really dumb today um but on the other one it’s it’s a lot smarter because
0:26:20 their chip the memory chip is working fine you know you don’t know right so that kind of thing so
0:26:23 just to close that back you know what i’m doing yeah the way that i’ve kind of gone about this is
0:26:29 the way i call tools is you have your xml and the ai will just answer in one instance and it’ll
0:26:32 just give you the whole thing and it can call a bunch of tools in there it can be like hey like i
0:26:37 want to call this this do this and this and then i just parse that and then bulk call the tools
0:26:41 and then get the results and then we go another instance with the results and you can kind of
0:26:45 go back and forth like that so like not have to wait on each single one you’re actually just
0:26:49 bulk sending them out getting that data it’s a lot more efficient you’re able to process say like 25
0:26:54 queries you know get 2325 we’ll bring them all in you know let’s work from there and see how it goes
0:26:57 and so that kind of thinking so i think there’s a lot to kind of play with in terms of you know how
0:27:01 you’re even getting this data back and forth from the llms because at the end of the day it’s all text
0:27:05 you know text and images maybe um some video in some cases but like really text just for your coding
0:27:09 like that’s that’s the thing that you’re working with and you can do a lot with text manipulating
0:27:14 it and playing with it to kind of get good output so what do you think i’ve heard you know yc and
0:27:18 others i think gary tan said that i can’t remember what’s 80 but i think he said like 80 of the code
0:27:23 for the the startups going through yc right now is ai generated that number could be wrong do you think
0:27:28 in three years from now do we still have like normal engineers who don’t use ai at all is that a real
0:27:32 thing do you still have the holdouts well first of all like i think saying a percent like that of how
0:27:37 much of it is ai generated it’s a bit misleading to be hyped too yeah like i can go ahead and like
0:27:42 every line of code i could basically like type it in pseudocode to the ai model and like have it paste
0:27:47 it back in as like a fleshed out javascript function and say 100 of my code is written by ai
0:27:52 it really depends on how your workflow is what your pipeline looks like i do think fundamentally the job
0:27:56 of an engineer has changed it’s already done it’s already completely different like you can’t you can’t
0:28:00 work the same way but it depends on what point in the stack you’re working on like i i work for some folks
0:28:05 who do some like really low level you know graphics work and i talked to someone about like how they can’t
0:28:09 really use ai models because the ai models just hallucinates everything like it’s just not trained
0:28:14 on anything that they work on so it’s just useless for them but then if you work out someone who’s a
0:28:18 you know web developer well 100 of the code like like 98 of the training code is web code and web
0:28:23 framework code and so it’s like okay well yeah 100 of that work can be done by ai it’s really easy
0:28:28 so it really depends on where you are in the stack what kind of tool you’re working with and you know
0:28:33 how well the ai models can help you in that but i think like as we move forward more and more you’re
0:28:37 going to want to have ai models thinking through hard problems for you because it just happens much
0:28:41 faster as they get better at math at solving like you know connectivity architecture like architecture
0:28:47 something that like these 03 and 01 pro and hopefully 03 pro is just excel at they’re they’re very good
0:28:52 at finding good ways of like organizing your code and helping you plan how you connect things together
0:28:56 and i think that’s a big part of software engineering in general is just organizing your code because the
0:29:00 actual process of writing it like you know that’s not the fun part or even the interesting part it’s
0:29:05 that part of organizing and and i think a human job with this is to like iterate on those plans
0:29:09 iterate on these ideas because that’s like the kernel of what an ai will generate code with yeah so i
0:29:13 think that’s where the work is you know i used to open the editor like when i’m working on repo prompt
0:29:19 i don’t write a ton of code by hand like most of it is done by ai but like i spent a lot of time
0:29:24 thinking about architecture i spent a lot of time thinking about problems and debugging and thinking
0:29:28 through like i won’t just like hit the button and say like solve my problems fix my bug like that’s just
0:29:32 not helpful but like if i read through the code i’ll be like okay like i i think there’s like a
0:29:36 data race going on over here this part connecting to this part like there’s some concurrency issue
0:29:41 i’ll add some logs okay great i’ve got some idea of like what’s going on here perfect then you can
0:29:45 kind of feed that data into the ai model and have it kind of think through you know a resolution and often
0:29:50 once you’ve done those steps of troubleshooting the ai model can solve your problems but you have to sit
0:29:55 down and think through how things are connected and understand what is actually happening so i think
0:30:00 that’s kind of where that work changes that’s a great uh engineering answer yeah i’m looking for
0:30:04 the thing that goes viral on x right that you know like yeah yeah all engineers will be gone next year
0:30:10 this kind of thing you know listen the job is fully changed i think from today on like if you’re not
0:30:13 using these tools you’re not learning how they work like i think that’s like an issue because like i don’t
0:30:17 think you know a traditional engineer who spends his whole career just typing code up like that doesn’t
0:30:22 exist anymore but what does exist is someone who understands code and who can read it and who
0:30:26 understands you know what questions to ask and if you’re prompting like about the code if you
0:30:30 understand you know the connections that’s where you’re going to get the best results and that’s why
0:30:34 like a tool like repo prompt is so helpful because you’re able to do that and feed the right context in
0:30:39 but if you’re just saying like make the button blue or like move it over here i mean that works for to some
0:30:43 extent you know if as long as your instructions are simple enough and you know what you want you can get
0:30:47 there but like at a certain point you fall off and you know that’s when it stops working and maybe that
0:30:51 point where you fall off gets further and further as the models improve but i don’t think that like in
0:30:56 the next 10 years we get to a point where that point stops existing uh one thing that we didn’t talk
0:31:00 about that i was kind of curious to talk about was like what do you do at unity so what i do there is
0:31:05 i’ve been doing uh kind of xr research and xr engineering and so i work on a toolkit called the xr
0:31:11 interaction toolkit and basically it’s a framework for developers to build interactions with xr so if
0:31:16 you’re if you’re putting on an oculus quest or you’re a hololens or you know like uh apple vision
0:31:20 pro you want to basically interact with objects in your scene in your world you know like in ar if
0:31:24 you’re walking up and you want to pick up a virtual cube like how do you process that interaction of
0:31:28 you grabbing the cube and picking it up and looking at it so that’s like i’ve done a lot of research on
0:31:32 that that interaction of like input like i’ve written specs that are adopted for like the industry
0:31:37 in terms of hand interaction so like you know just tracking your hands how do you grasp something what
0:31:40 should you be doing if you want to poke a button that’s like not there like what does that look
0:31:44 like so that kind of stuff that’s that’s what i do there that’s amazing it’s like that’s a really
0:31:49 complicated engineering work how are you doing that doing a repo prompt and then you have a baby like
0:31:56 yeah how are you doing all this i mean i don’t have a lot of free time obviously i uh yeah yeah but
0:32:01 i’m passionate about what i do at work too and and then repo prompts you know this is my other baby
0:32:04 and i just think a big part of it is just you know when folks come to me and there’s like
0:32:09 something that’s like bugging them about the app you know i i just get like an itch and i have to
0:32:14 fix it for them yeah so like i just keep tricking on it and but i try to get some sleep in so i don’t
0:32:17 cut through that too much one thing i was thinking about too is like i have a son 11 year old you’ve
0:32:22 got a baby yeah this actually one reason i even like you know helped start this podcast was i’m
0:32:26 constantly thinking about where ai is going and wanting to stay ahead yeah and also think about what
0:32:31 does it mean for me and my family like quite honestly you know the selfish level and people used to
0:32:34 ask me like when my son was born because he was born in san francisco around tons of like
0:32:39 founders and vcs all the kind of people to be around like the birthday parties right it was all
0:32:43 people from like yc and people like that and it’d be asking me like you know what do you think your
0:32:48 son should do in the future what will his job be you know this is like 11 years ago and i was talking
0:32:52 about drones like he probably needs to be like a drone defense engineer like building anti-drone
0:32:57 systems or something it would be my common line that i would say at parties but now with ai like
0:33:02 because at that point we did not know ai would advance as fast as it has no it’s just happened
0:33:05 so fast right it was all just like a some stuff out of a book it was like oh yeah sure they’re
0:33:10 talking at stanford and they got some cool demos but like nothing’s working yeah now it’s working so
0:33:14 like with your child have you thought about that yet like oh of course what do you think they should
0:33:20 learn i have no idea yeah i have no idea it’s everyone right like like what do you even teach your
0:33:25 children like is it is it important to learn to code is it we teach them logic morals probably all of this
0:33:30 in more yeah flexible and super fluid i think so you know but it is funny on that topic i look at
0:33:36 engineers coming out and learning to code with ai around and i think they’re at a disadvantage you
0:33:40 know it’s unfortunate that like you know if you’re starting to code today and you have ai to lean on
0:33:44 you just don’t have that struggle you just don’t have the pain that like i had to go through when i
0:33:48 started to code when you know when engineers who’ve been in the field for so long that had to struggle
0:33:53 and not get the dopamine hit of a fixed problem right away like to study it and understand how it
0:33:57 works like that just doesn’t exist anymore because the ai just solves it for you and i think that’s
0:34:01 true in the code but it’s going to be more and more true in every field and so i think like there’s
0:34:06 going to be a need for people to have the restraint to kind of put aside these tools to struggle a little
0:34:12 bit i think there’s a ton of value in kind of using them to learn and grow but there’s also like that
0:34:17 restraint that you need to form to kind of have the struggle because that’s where the learning is and
0:34:21 it’s really tricky and i and i don’t know how you you solve that now because it’s it’s too easy not to
0:34:26 struggle now which which is a big problem yeah i’ve heard uh jonathan blow and if you know of him
0:34:31 of course yeah the game designer he talks about exactly what you’re saying that you know it’s in
0:34:35 the future like yeah sure ai could get amazing at coding in the future but it’s also going to create
0:34:39 issue where like just like you said people are not going to learn to properly code he was already
0:34:45 complaining about before ai the code was and then now with ai it’s like okay now we’re kind of
0:34:48 screwed i guess because like we’re gonna have a situation where like no one knows what’s going on
0:34:54 and like yeah you’re entirely dependent on the ai for everything yeah it’s a crutch so easy to reach
0:34:59 for and what do humans do but that’s the thing i think maybe that’s the middle part you know where
0:35:02 where we’re at this point where it’s like the ai is just not quite good enough to kind of solve
0:35:06 all the problems and you still have problems to solve and you still have people that need to kind
0:35:10 of work with the machines to kind of figure out how to go maybe at some point in the future
0:35:14 all of it is moot i know some folks think that and maybe it doesn’t matter but i think you know
0:35:17 there’s going to be some discomfort in the middle where you know the machines are not quite good
0:35:22 enough to solve every problem we lean on them as if they are and then you know we’re kind of atrophying
0:35:26 a lot of skills that we we’ve heard you know i haven’t driven in a tesla with fsd but i’ve heard
0:35:30 folks say the same thing there where like if they’re using it all the time they actually like suck at
0:35:34 driving without it and it’s like right you know like more and more that’s going to kind of be a thing
0:35:38 where we’re like you’re that that is the thing where we start to go like to like we’re like
0:35:42 almost living in like one of those sci-fi novels right like everything being super super safe you
0:35:46 know i live in japan everything you used to live in san francisco everything’s super safe in japan
0:35:51 and there’s one reason i like it but you do lose some freedom in that yeah but do i really want my son
0:35:57 you know driving now like if i really think about it there’s an alternative um yeah not necessarily you
0:36:01 know i agree i mean i have that same debate with my wife you know was saying like i don’t think our
0:36:05 daughter is gonna ever have a driver’s license and she’s like i don’t think so you know like we’ll see but
0:36:09 i don’t know like there is the safety part for sure and i think that’s like really interesting and
0:36:15 and hopefully like that is the case that like ai just does make it safer out yeah right so eric it’s
0:36:19 been awesome and uh maybe we should you know tell people where they can find you and uh where they
0:36:27 can find repo prompt and yeah so i’m uh puncher with a v on x so it’s like pvn ch er on x uh and
0:36:30 most most socialists my handle all over so you can reach out there my dms are open if you have
0:36:36 questions and repo prompts uh repo prompt.com so you can just head over there and uh find the app
0:36:40 free to download and uh nice discord community too if you want to hop over there and send me some
0:36:44 messages and tell me what you think like please do yeah thanks for having me on nathan it’s been
0:36:48 great chatting with you yeah appreciate it it’s been great yeah yeah yeah had a lot of fun cheers
0:36:50 likewise take care all right
Episode 57: Can simply “Vibe coding” with AI really replace the need for deep code context when building real applications? Nathan Lands (https://x.com/NathanLands) is joined by Eric Provencher (https://x.com/pvncher), founder of Repo Prompt and an XR engineer at Unity, to reveal the secret AI prompt tool quietly powering Silicon Valley’s top engineers.
This episode dives deep into why the current trend of “Vibe coding” with tools like Cursor often falls apart for complex tasks — and how Repo Prompt closes the gap by letting you build effective, highly targeted context for AI coding. Eric breaks down the philosophy behind contextual prompting, gives a live demo, and shares how Repo Prompt’s unique features like the context builder and codemaps give power-users real control over LLMs like Gemini and Claude. Beyond coding, they discuss implications for the future of engineering, learning, and the evolution of dev tools in the age of AI.
Check out The Next Wave YouTube Channel if you want to see Matt and Nathan on screen: https://lnk.to/thenextwavepd
—
Show Notes:
-
(00:00) Vibe Coding Myths Unveiled
-
(03:15) Repo Navigation for Flutter Devs
-
(06:37) Gemini 2.5 Extends Model Context
-
(11:18) Automating File Rewrites with AI
-
(15:33) The Next AI Wave
-
(20:58) MCP: User-Customizable Tool Integration
-
(23:53) Efficient AI Tool Integration
-
(28:32) XR Interaction Toolkit Developer
-
(31:01) AI’s Impact on Coding Learning
—
Mentions:
- Want Matt’s favorite Coding AI tools? Get em’ here: https://clickhubspot.com/tbv
-
Eric Provencher: https://www.linkedin.com/in/provencher/
-
Repo Prompt: https://repoprompt.com/
-
Unity: https://unity.com/ai
-
Cursor: https://www.cursor.com/en
-
Gemini: https://gemini.google.com/
-
Claude: https://claude.ai/
Get the guide to build your own Custom GPT: https://clickhubspot.com/tnw
—
Check Out Matt’s Stuff:
• Future Tools – https://futuretools.beehiiv.com/
• Blog – https://www.mattwolfe.com/
• YouTube- https://www.youtube.com/@mreflow
—
Check Out Nathan’s Stuff:
-
Newsletter: https://news.lore.com/
-
Blog – https://lore.com/
The Next Wave is a HubSpot Original Podcast // Brought to you by Hubspot Media // Production by Darren Clarke // Editing by Ezra Bakker Trupiano
-
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The Most Valuable Learned Skill For Any Founder
AI transcript
0:00:05 I love the show Ted Lasso, because it’s like an example of, I call it getting Ted Lasso’d now,
0:00:13 which is when a Brit has twice the intelligence or knowledge, but the American has 10x the agency
0:00:16 or confidence, and as a result, they achieve five times more.
0:00:18 That was brilliant.
0:00:29 George, you had an interesting career because you were at Social Chain early on.
0:00:33 So if people know Steve Bartlett from Divers here, he was there early.
0:00:37 So now he then created a successful marketing agency.
0:00:41 And then a couple weeks ago, you came out with this thing.
0:00:44 It was called highagency.com.
0:00:45 Let me give the background here.
0:00:49 George got obsessed with the way that Nikola Tesla fell in love with a pigeon.
0:00:52 George fell in love with this idea of high agency.
0:00:54 He started tweeting about it, started blogging about it.
0:00:57 He’s like, I’m going to write a handbook on this thing.
0:01:02 He started making it like his sole focus for at least, what, six months, George?
0:01:03 Well, I’d say five years.
0:01:09 Five years is when I first started thinking about the idea when Eric Weinstein mentioned it.
0:01:12 And then I started writing about it.
0:01:15 I got advice that it would never take off as an idea.
0:01:21 Interestingly, since we did our podcast last time when we discussed it, the idea or the meme as a whole has become bigger and bigger and bigger.
0:01:23 By the way, it’s not five years.
0:01:26 When I Googled your name, I Googled George Mack High Agency.
0:01:28 You were tweeting about this in November of 2018.
0:01:30 Oh, seven.
0:01:35 So let’s explain it in the easy way to explain it.
0:01:36 We can put this visual up on YouTube.
0:01:45 So high agency, like the meme that stands out to me is there’s a dude deserted on an island and person is two people.
0:01:50 Person A takes like the wood from the island and they try to spell the word help.
0:01:53 And they’re just sitting there waiting to be helped.
0:01:55 They’re hoping somebody comes and saves them.
0:02:01 And then person B takes those letters and builds a little raft and starts paddling themselves.
0:02:02 They start helping themselves.
0:02:06 And, you know, one is a higher agency version than another, right?
0:02:09 The guy who builds the boat and starts paddling is the higher agency version.
0:02:13 And so what’s cool about this is you got obsessed with it.
0:02:14 You got interested in the idea.
0:02:15 Then you got obsessed with the idea.
0:02:16 Then you committed to the idea.
0:02:17 And you started writing this thing.
0:02:20 And you were giving me updates saying you’re writing this for a while.
0:02:23 And Sam, do you know the story of how he got highagency.com?
0:02:24 No.
0:02:26 Because he did not own that domain.
0:02:28 It’s actually a very high agency story.
0:02:29 Yeah.
0:02:34 So one of the things I have in the piece is an exercise that I do.
0:02:35 I recommend it.
0:02:36 It’s called turning bullshit into reality.
0:02:45 So the way most people kind of live in the 21st century is like this to-do list model where they empty short-term memory, like what’s caching in their memory.
0:02:50 And then they do that thing that day versus the turning bullshit to reality model is you think of a value.
0:02:52 That you want to hold or live up to.
0:02:55 And then you come up with ideas based off that.
0:02:57 So it’s a much more creative way of living the to-do list.
0:03:01 So when I was actually writing the piece, it’s kind of like, well, you want to be the personal trainer who’s in shape.
0:03:05 So I’d try and do some high agency stuff of like, how could I potentially promote this?
0:03:11 So one of the things I was listing down as I do the turning bullshit to reality exercise was, what about if I just get highagency.com?
0:03:15 And I kind of look and it’s like likely to be tens of thousands of dollars.
0:03:20 But I then started reaching out to a few different brokers, a few little hacky people.
0:03:26 And we realized that highagency.com, the person who’d owned it for like 20 years, I think it was an old agency.
0:03:29 And it was about to expire when we looked at the domain.
0:03:33 So we kind of sat there, waited for the moment that it would expire.
0:03:37 And then it went into a little mini auction and nobody else online was aware of it.
0:03:40 It was me and a marijuana, a cannabis marketing agency, which makes sense.
0:03:42 High agency, I hadn’t thought of that.
0:03:48 And yeah, managed to get it at like essentially for near as free as a result.
0:03:50 So that’s an example of the turning bullshit into reality.
0:03:55 And then when it came to actually promoting the piece, I was like, okay, let’s write down high agency.
0:03:57 And then what are ways that I can display that value for promoting it?
0:04:05 And I always go with my kind of facial muscles or if I start giggling at something, I go, that’s probably a good idea.
0:04:11 And the one idea I had for promoting it was like, what if I take over Times Square for a blog post?
0:04:14 So I was like, okay, I started giggling at that.
0:04:17 That sounded like my gut’s telling me that’s the right direction to go.
0:04:22 Started cold emailing, blasting people with obviously my background in advertising.
0:04:25 How could I set up favors and move things around?
0:04:30 And then for the day of the launch, I took over one Times Square with high agency, got me this billboard,
0:04:34 highagency.com with my little Twitter icon taking over Times Square that day.
0:04:36 Dude, that is awesome.
0:04:39 How many views did this article get so far or that day?
0:04:42 So I actually, I think I don’t track.
0:04:43 I don’t track any of that.
0:04:46 The one thing I do track is DMs and emails.
0:04:49 Because I think, again, I’ve been in media for a while.
0:04:57 And I think one of the biggest issues that we face with modern media is people go off width metrics because what gets measured gets managed.
0:04:59 And it’s so easy to see view count.
0:05:03 But it’s so, for example, if an episode gets a million views of yours, that’s great.
0:05:10 But if 10,000 people listen to it five times, I would argue the latter is much better than the former.
0:05:13 But right now, we don’t have that many ways of measuring depth metrics.
0:05:19 So I prefer going off depth metrics, which are quality of people that DM me, quality of people that email me.
0:05:26 And then one side effect that I did get is once every two days, somebody will say it made them cry, which was not the intention at all.
0:05:28 So I haven’t paid attention to that.
0:05:29 I just look at the depth metrics.
0:05:36 So I wanted to do a little thing, which was like, what are examples of extreme high agency that we’ve personally experienced?
0:05:42 Either something you did, something you didn’t do, a friend, somebody you admire, anything like that.
0:05:46 I just wanted to kind of like quickly spitball what comes to mind.
0:05:50 So you weren’t there on this podcast, but I did a podcast with this guy, Nick Mowbray.
0:05:54 And Nick Mowbray’s episode, I don’t know if it has the most views.
0:05:59 It is the most hardcore episode I’ve ever done on this podcast.
0:06:02 I think the guy is the most impressive entrepreneur that’s ever been on the podcast.
0:06:05 And we’ve done 700 episodes, something like that.
0:06:07 And he’s a guy nobody’s ever even heard of.
0:06:13 I think this is like a Elon level entrepreneur in terms of his level of agency.
0:06:15 And agency is like the perfect word to describe him.
0:06:18 So he talks about basically like just this.
0:06:21 I’ll give you the simple examples and I’ll ramp to his most insane example.
0:06:26 So he’s like him and his brother want to start a toy company straight out of like high school,
0:06:26 basically.
0:06:29 And so he’s 17, 18 years old.
0:06:33 And he’s first, he goes door to door selling his brother’s like science fair project.
0:06:37 So door to door sales already like, let’s say level one agency, right?
0:06:39 That takes agency to go do that every single day.
0:06:42 And he sells like thousands of units door to door.
0:06:44 Then he’s like, okay, great.
0:06:45 How are we going to produce thousands of units?
0:06:46 We got to like ramp production.
0:06:49 So they said, well, where do other toys get made?
0:06:50 They get made in China.
0:06:54 So they just pick up and they move to China with no money.
0:06:58 They literally sleep on a sidewalk outside the airport on the first night.
0:07:03 And the funniest part is he’s describing to me that they moved to China to set up their
0:07:03 factory.
0:07:06 And what I thought he meant was how everybody does it.
0:07:08 You go to China and you find a factory that already does this.
0:07:09 That’s the point of going to China.
0:07:11 He didn’t even understand that.
0:07:13 He’s like, dude, to say I was naive is an understatement.
0:07:19 He’s like, we went to China and then we just built a factory with wood, but like by a
0:07:21 river, we built a shed and that became our factory.
0:07:25 And we found Chinese people and we employed them in the factory.
0:07:26 We created our own factory.
0:07:30 It’s like, besides the point of like, why is glamorizing it?
0:07:30 It’s like hot.
0:07:31 Exactly.
0:07:35 And then as they’re pretty, he’s like, and by the way, worst product, you know, everybody
0:07:37 says, oh, you know, product is everything.
0:07:37 He’s like, we had the worst product.
0:07:38 We just couldn’t even make it good.
0:07:39 We were so bad at it.
0:07:43 We just kept it, slept in the thing for like years, lived off a dollar a day.
0:07:47 Budget, uh, like, you know, eating like the cheapest, you know, like food.
0:07:49 They basically employed this Chinese woman from the village to make them rice every day.
0:07:52 He’s like, I was like, so how did you get like distribution?
0:07:53 Cause they’re everywhere.
0:07:54 They’re in Walmart.
0:07:55 They’re in every store.
0:08:01 And he goes, I would email every buyer of every retail store in every geography every day.
0:08:03 That was my day.
0:08:06 He’s like, and eventually they were like, dude, we don’t want it.
0:08:07 He’s like, ah, so you’re here.
0:08:08 You replied.
0:08:08 Great.
0:08:10 We’d love to tell you about our latest product.
0:08:13 And then, and finally, you know, they would, someone would crack and be like, all right,
0:08:14 just send me the sample.
0:08:16 Or like, look, I’m going to the show.
0:08:17 Please stop emailing me.
0:08:18 If you’re there, I’ll meet with you.
0:08:18 I’ll give you 20 minutes.
0:08:20 And he used that to scrape and claw.
0:08:25 So he just, he’s describing all of this, his journey for him and his brother to bootstrap
0:08:28 a toy company that became the biggest toy company in the world.
0:08:32 He made, they make a billion dollars a year of profit, the two brothers with no outside
0:08:33 investors.
0:08:37 Then he’s getting a, he got his intestines removed or something like that.
0:08:40 He basically like, he got a Crohn’s disease or something like that.
0:08:40 I forgot what it was.
0:08:44 He had to go get like his, like half his intestine removed or something like that.
0:08:50 While he’s recovering on his like kind of sick bed, he decides to go into a new space and
0:08:52 he creates the world’s most popular diaper brand.
0:08:55 The fastest selling diaper brand in the world right now is Rascals.
0:09:00 He created that and then he also created like the fastest growing hair care brand on TikTok.
0:09:01 Like this guy’s just prolific, right?
0:09:03 And I just couldn’t believe it.
0:09:05 And so it just blew my mind.
0:09:09 It showed me like there’s so many levels of agency above where I’m at.
0:09:10 I couldn’t believe it.
0:09:14 George, do you think that crazy people like that are born or do they learn it?
0:09:15 Or can you learn it?
0:09:19 One thing, like a model from cognitive behavioral therapy is black or white thinking.
0:09:22 So people will go, is it nature or is it nurture?
0:09:26 And realistically, it’s probably somewhere on a spectrum.
0:09:29 That’s what I kind of call it, the high agency spectrum.
0:09:32 And I think there’s definitely people who have genetic advantages.
0:09:39 Balaji had a great line the other day of when communism ended, we could, the Soviets could
0:09:41 discuss profit for the first time.
0:09:45 And he was talking about with wokeness ending, maybe we can discuss genetics for the first
0:09:46 time.
0:09:51 And I feel that, yes, genetics definitely plays a component, but I would say that can
0:09:54 then be quite a low agency for you to then just outsource it purely to your genetics.
0:10:01 So I think it definitely plays a component, but you can definitely have agency over your agency.
0:10:07 And I think the way I would immediately explain that is that it’s possible to, you could imagine,
0:10:11 regardless of the genetic role of the dice, it’s possible to decrease somebody’s agency.
0:10:14 Therefore, it’s possible to increase somebody’s agency.
0:10:19 And I just look at it like the easiest example I look at is the difference between my British
0:10:21 friends and my American friends.
0:10:28 I kind of, I love to show Ted Lasso because it’s like an example of, I call it getting Ted
0:10:34 Lasso now, which is when a Brit has twice the intelligence or knowledge, but the American
0:10:38 has 10x the agency or confidence.
0:10:40 And as a result, they achieve five times more.
0:10:44 So, by the way, I think I said, that’s brilliant.
0:10:49 And I think I’ve said on the podcast to my British friends, the difference in American culture and
0:10:53 British culture is watching the British office and the American office.
0:10:56 In the American office, the guy always gets the girl.
0:11:00 There’s a little bit of laughing at each other, but it’s more like we’re laughing together and
0:11:01 it always ends well.
0:11:03 But in the British office, it’s kind of mean.
0:11:06 And like the guy does not get the girl off at times.
0:11:07 It actually ends sad.
0:11:13 The British show is more realistic and was less successful than the American version of the
0:11:13 office too.
0:11:19 But the Ted Lasso example is way better because it’s so true that you like see this optimistic
0:11:22 person and he’s in a room full of haters.
0:11:26 And that kind of reminds me of my British versus American friends.
0:11:29 There’s a crazy stat around universities.
0:11:34 So, the top 10 universities in the world, I believe three are British and three are American.
0:11:38 So, when you actually look at our intellect, I think you could argue we’re at least a smart
0:11:40 or at least the British sound smarter.
0:11:41 We have that going for us.
0:11:46 However, when it then comes to entrepreneurial output of those universities, America is like
0:11:47 five times higher.
0:11:54 Even the example of a lot of the AI innovation came from the UK, but then the actual execution
0:11:55 happens in the US.
0:11:56 So, yeah.
0:12:01 So, to go back to your point, I think using the UK versus the US as an example goes to show
0:12:06 you’ve got similar wide distribution of genetics going on, but a completely different output
0:12:07 as a result.
0:12:11 You said something that we passed over, but I thought it was actually a pretty good insight,
0:12:15 which was you pay attention to the, you said it in a very intellectual way, you’re like
0:12:18 your pictures of the facial muscles, but really what you’re saying was, if it makes me laugh,
0:12:21 there’s actually some merit in the idea, right?
0:12:24 The idea that makes me giggle is the one I should double click into.
0:12:31 And I just thought, have you seen this email that basically kick-started Airbnb?
0:12:36 So, Airbnb, which today, I don’t know, $100 billion company or so, the email that kicked
0:12:38 it off is a public email you can read.
0:12:41 And it’s from Joe Gabbia, and he’s emailing Brian, and he goes, Brian, I thought of a way
0:12:44 to make a few bucks, again, becomes a $100 billion company.
0:12:48 Thought of a way to make a few bucks, turning our place into a designer’s bed and breakfast.
0:12:53 We could let young designers come into town and crash at our place during the four-day event.
0:12:53 There’s like a conference.
0:12:58 And we’ll give them Wi-Fi, a small desk, a sleeping mat, and breakfast every morning.
0:12:59 Ha!
0:13:02 And if it’s hot with an exclamation point at the end, Joe.
0:13:04 And he leaves it with that.
0:13:06 That’s such a good email that it sounds fake.
0:13:12 And so, I remember, like, pointing out that I think any idea that ends with, that, like,
0:13:14 genuinely, you would be like, ha!
0:13:19 Like, if that’s your genuine feel to end of it, there’s a lot of potential in those types
0:13:19 of ideas.
0:13:26 I, my one that I was afraid for saying for a while, because I thought I might get cancelled,
0:13:30 but then when I explain it, I think it kind of makes sense.
0:13:33 So, this is obviously the TikTok clip that gets me cancelled.
0:13:35 But then I’ll explain.
0:13:35 So, don’t clip it.
0:13:41 Essentially, I think child labor is underpriced.
0:13:43 Let me explain.
0:13:48 Obviously, the classic child labor that we see in the world now is truly atrocious, horrific.
0:13:50 And anybody involved in that, I wish them hell.
0:13:59 However, we went through a model of children working, for example, in the UK, cleaning chimneys.
0:14:02 And obviously, then that got completely outlawed, largely got outlawed across the world.
0:14:09 But I think now, there will be, thanks to AI and the teaching collapse, I think, I’ve always
0:14:13 said for a while, and I think AI has now accelerated this, is that you’ll see the first teenage,
0:14:18 first self-made teenage billionaire by the end, by 2030.
0:14:24 And I think that, that makes me giggle when I say it, and I think it’s true.
0:14:29 I think that is a very bold prediction.
0:14:30 It doesn’t even seem crazy.
0:14:35 Dude, we had a guy on the podcast the other day, who was 17 years old, who had a business
0:14:36 doing $30 million a year in revenue.
0:14:44 So I have an idea, which is the next Y Combinator only invests between the age of 11 to 18 years
0:14:44 old.
0:14:47 First off, nobody’s funding them, because they can’t.
0:14:49 You’ve got the homeschooling boom right now.
0:14:54 One of the criticisms beforehand would be, they’re in school, so they can’t do it.
0:14:55 But you’re obviously seeing that decay away.
0:14:58 As well as, how would adults take them seriously?
0:15:04 But now with smaller teams, and the ability to hide behind a cartoon or whatever, I think
0:15:06 now is the time that we will see it.
0:15:12 When Sean first told me about, I think it was on this podcast, Sean, or I forget when, but
0:15:15 you or someone told me about Peter Thiel’s-
0:15:15 Thiel Fellowship.
0:15:21 Yeah, and he was like, he’s going to give you $150,000 to drop out of college and start
0:15:22 a company.
0:15:24 That was one of those, it doesn’t seem ridiculous now.
0:15:26 It’s the opposite of stay in school, kids.
0:15:29 He was like, I’ll pay you to leave school, kids.
0:15:30 That was his idea.
0:15:34 And when that idea came out, I felt the same thing, where it was like, that’s insane.
0:15:34 Wait, what?
0:15:35 You can’t do that.
0:15:39 And then everyone goes through the same mental model, although some people, it will take 10
0:15:41 years because they’ll see the results nowadays.
0:15:45 But other people like me, it took me a few weeks where I’m like, that’s crazy.
0:15:47 And then it’s like, that’s crazy, right?
0:15:49 And you’re like, is this crazy?
0:15:51 Oh, this is actually kind of awesome.
0:15:56 And then Ethereum comes out of that, and Figma comes out of that, and a bunch of like,
0:16:00 you know, kind of multi-billion dollar industry changing companies come out of it.
0:16:04 On the topic of high agency and how it relates to all of this that we’re discussing right
0:16:04 now.
0:16:07 So one great question is, what would I do if I had 10X the agency?
0:16:13 Another question I love, because you guys obviously talk about ideas and opportunities that are coming
0:16:13 up.
0:16:19 But to like zoom out, and then give people the agency to think about how to actually come
0:16:20 up with the ideas and opportunities themselves.
0:16:27 One of my favorite questions is, what is ignored or neglected by the media that will be studied
0:16:28 by historians?
0:16:30 What’s a historical example?
0:16:36 So I did a post two years ago on this topic that went really viral.
0:16:41 And even if you look at some of the things in there, so a good example will be like microplastics.
0:16:43 It’s kind of, it’s slowly bubbling up now.
0:16:44 It’s reaching the media.
0:16:48 But if you discuss that two to three years ago, it was an absolute weirdo.
0:16:52 Another example in there was around fentanyl that I put in the post.
0:16:55 And at the time, it was seen as like absurd or crazy, or there wasn’t that many people discussing
0:16:55 it.
0:16:56 And now it’s way bigger.
0:17:03 So I think there’s countless examples of this media historian gap that exists.
0:17:06 There’s a great book called The Sovereign Individual.
0:17:11 And they have a line in that that always stuck with me, which is they’re talking about the
0:17:12 fall of the Roman Empire.
0:17:16 And it’s quite easy to point to the date of when the Roman Empire fell.
0:17:22 But if you actually went at the time and asked people, when did the Roman Empire fall or fell,
0:17:23 there was no big announcement.
0:17:26 There was no, hey, guys, the empire has fallen.
0:17:30 It likely a lot of people didn’t admit it till like 100 years later.
0:17:36 So they point to this case that if CNN existed during the fall of the Roman Empire, on the day
0:17:37 it fell, they wouldn’t have announced it would have fallen.
0:17:39 But it just takes people a while.
0:17:45 I think that’s a big high agency trait is essentially just if you wait for the news, you’ll be wrong
0:17:46 or late.
0:17:49 Yeah, that’s a great point.
0:17:50 That’s a great point.
0:17:53 Do you have suspicions of what an idea like that would be today?
0:17:54 Because it’s a very hard question.
0:17:55 It’s an important question.
0:17:56 It’s worth pondering.
0:18:02 But it’s not one where, you know, 10 answers come to mind right away of what’s largely ignored
0:18:07 or like over underreported today that will be, you know, historically important to historians
0:18:08 in the future.
0:18:14 One funny one that if I was a historian, this is really absurd, but I’ve spent a lot
0:18:19 of time in the Middle East coming from the UK and spent four to five years in Dubai.
0:18:29 And one thing that’s truly absurd about the West is in the Middle East, whenever you go to
0:18:33 the bathroom, there’s like a ass spraying thing that you have.
0:18:35 In the West, everybody.
0:18:36 Yeah.
0:18:39 It’s like, it’s more like a showerhead kind of thing.
0:18:42 So you get a bidet, which is a separate mechanism, but it’s like a little showerhead.
0:18:48 I could go to the most remote, crazy location in the desert and they will have one.
0:18:50 What’s it called?
0:18:51 There’s like a, what are they called?
0:18:53 I actually, I call it like an ass spray.
0:18:56 I don’t, I don’t know what it’s actually the official terminology for it.
0:18:57 There’s no one to talk to about it when you’re there.
0:19:01 But this is the problem, right, is that there’s, in the West, there’s almost not really a good
0:19:02 naming mechanism for it.
0:19:08 And the fact that Rory Sutherland has this great bit, which is, imagine if a bird shat on
0:19:14 your head and I go, oh, Sam, Sean, here’s a dry piece of paper to wipe it off.
0:19:15 You go, what the fuck, man?
0:19:16 I need to wash my hair.
0:19:19 But meanwhile, this is going on in the West, en masse.
0:19:24 And I think as an entrepreneurial opportunity, changing the frame around that, I think it’s
0:19:27 a billion dollar opportunity if you partnered with a plumbing company or something like that.
0:19:29 Imagine, again, I think from the ad first as well.
0:19:30 Have you seen Tushy?
0:19:32 No.
0:19:34 Tushy is like an attachable bidet.
0:19:37 It’s like turns any dumb toilet into a smart toilet type of thing.
0:19:39 I think they do extremely well.
0:19:44 I think they’re like north of a hundred million in revenue in targeting the American market.
0:19:45 But I’m with you, dude.
0:19:47 That’s just the tip of the iceberg, all right?
0:19:51 You’re right that it will seem crazy in hindsight.
0:19:56 Another example of what’s ignored or neglected by the media that will be studied by historians
0:20:04 is I think we’re going through a seismic shift now that’s similar to when writing first came
0:20:05 online.
0:20:10 So there’s a great sci-fi book by a guy called Ted Chang.
0:20:11 And it’s one of his short stories.
0:20:14 And he tells a scenario, which is possible now.
0:20:20 This technology already exists where you have essentially always on recording technology.
0:20:23 So some people, they record their whole life.
0:20:26 So you can kind of see it now with Twitch streamers, right?
0:20:31 And why this is fascinating is the impact this then has on memory.
0:20:34 So it’s in the books of Spoiler Alert.
0:20:38 It tells the story of a father, daughter, and mother.
0:20:41 The mother leaves them without saying goodbye, essentially.
0:20:46 And the father and daughter one day have this huge argument where the daughter says to the
0:20:49 father, I wish you’d just leave like mom.
0:20:50 I hate you.
0:20:52 And it haunts the father to that very day.
0:20:56 And after about five years, they slowly build their relationship.
0:20:59 And the father doesn’t have access to all these recording devices, but his daughter does.
0:21:02 And one day he needs access to go through her memory log.
0:21:03 So he’s asked her for access.
0:21:04 She shares it with him.
0:21:07 And as he’s going through it, that file pops up.
0:21:11 And he goes, oh shit, like this is one of the biggest emotional moments of my life.
0:21:12 Like he presses play on it.
0:21:17 And the recording shows that he completely misremembered the event.
0:21:19 It was him that said it to her.
0:21:23 And it’s this idea that essentially all our memories are completely bollocks.
0:21:25 It’s completely made up.
0:21:27 It’s pretty much all artificial.
0:21:32 And how does that change when we essentially have recordings of everything?
0:21:37 I think that will be a big thing that historians will begin to begin to look at of we completely
0:21:41 then like the shift that we had when we started writing for the first time.
0:21:44 That’s going to be a huge shift as a result as well.
0:21:46 Have you seen the Black Mirror episode about this?
0:21:49 They did a version of this on Black Mirror as well.
0:21:51 Oh, really?
0:21:56 Well, there’s an example of in the UK, there’s a building called Grenfell Tower.
0:22:00 It was a horrific accident that occurred where the whole building sat on fire.
0:22:03 It was in a council estate and loads of people died.
0:22:13 And on the day, there was this weird case of a baby getting dropped from the top floor all the way down and somebody catching it.
0:22:18 And it went crazy viral at the time and a load of eyewitness testimony came out saying that they saw it.
0:22:25 And when it, the like classic physicists about six months later after the emotion had calmed down around the event was like,
0:22:31 hold on, if you drop a baby from that high to there, like the physics of this, I’ve got a bit of doubt about it.
0:22:35 And when they actually digged into the memories of it, a lot of it was just artificial memories that people had created.
0:22:38 So I’m pretty fascinated by devices like that that come online.
0:22:42 And I think part of society will go for it and the other part of society will not go for it.
0:22:47 But it just completely changes who you are when you no longer have a story of your memories.
0:22:48 You actually have the full log.
0:22:51 Yeah, there’s a famous experiment.
0:22:52 I don’t know if you guys ever seen this.
0:22:54 There’s the 9-11 memory experiment.
0:22:56 What’s that?
0:23:03 So they basically, people feel like you really remember those important traumatic days.
0:23:09 You know, there’s the even phrases in the language, like I’ll never forget where I was, or I’ll never forget how I felt when I saw that.
0:23:22 And there’s actually a set of, I don’t have the studies in front of me, but there’s, I remember learning about this, that there was a set of studies where people, they went and they studied the memory accuracy of people remembering 9-11.
0:23:24 And it was pretty shocking.
0:23:27 It was like less than 50% of the details were accurate.
0:23:31 It was a combination of, they had extreme confidence that their memories were accurate.
0:23:33 Their memories actually were not accurate.
0:23:38 And then they don’t, not only did they not remember what happened, they actually didn’t even remember how they felt.
0:23:42 I think they had like logged at a, like early on, they logged how they had felt.
0:23:44 And then they measured three years later.
0:23:48 And then many years later, trying to remember how you felt and you didn’t even actually remember that properly.
0:23:54 And that your memories basically converge towards like a shared narrative rather than what actually happened.
0:24:06 And so there’s, and all these terms for flashbulb memories, there’s all these like terms for, that describe how poor human memory actually is, which is like kind of crazy when it comes to like the court system, for example.
0:24:11 Like a lot of it’s based on, you know, eyewitness testimony or somebody remembering certain details.
0:24:16 And what’s funny is, Sean, is as you were describing that, I was thinking, where was I at 9-11?
0:24:16 What was I doing?
0:24:21 And then I’m also saying the second most common thing, which is, but I remember.
0:24:22 Yeah, I’m the exception.
0:24:24 Ads don’t work on me.
0:24:25 That’s what everyone’s going to say.
0:24:27 They’re going to say, but I remember that.
0:24:36 Oh, and by the way, I told the story, Sean, on here, I think how this one, this like prestigious journalist, I asked her to come in freelance for The Hustle.
0:24:40 And she wrote a letter back to me, and she says like, that’s cute.
0:24:40 Thanks.
0:24:47 And like, it drove like eight years of like success for me because I was like, I’m going to prove this freaking jerk wrong.
0:24:50 She was so dismissive of me.
0:24:52 I went back and reread the email.
0:24:53 She was super nice.
0:24:57 Like, she didn’t say, that’s cute.
0:24:58 She said like, I’m honored.
0:25:01 Thank you so much for thinking of me.
0:25:02 I’m too busy right now.
0:25:05 But, you know, good luck with your new endeavor.
0:25:07 Like, I went and reread it, and I’m like, that’s insane.
0:25:11 I told myself the story, and I’ve said it publicly so many times.
0:25:13 I even name dropped her once or twice.
0:25:14 It was wrong.
0:25:14 It was wrong.
0:25:16 I didn’t remember it correctly, and I’m happy I didn’t.
0:25:18 But yeah, our memory is crap.
0:25:28 What about, George, about you had stuff in here about like looking for business ideas through a high agency lens, but also building software that’s high agency.
0:25:29 What does that mean?
0:25:35 Because what you’re describing to me is like a philosophical, like a mental framework.
0:25:39 But it actually seems like when you think about this, it’s actually more tactical than that.
0:25:42 Yeah, it’s incredibly tactical.
0:25:54 There was a post, I think, two days ago that went really viral on Pirate Wires about how agency is the most important thing thanks to like AI.
0:25:57 I think agency has always been one of the most important things.
0:26:01 So I said it’s probably the most important idea of the 21st century, or it might be.
0:26:05 And if a British person says probably or might be, it’s almost like an American betting the house on it.
0:26:19 And in this Pirate Wires post, they spoke about how now thanks to AI and large language models, the exponential or like the leverage that you get on agency as a result is so much bigger.
0:26:20 And you just then begin to look at it.
0:26:29 So like a small case of like high agency for me is I started getting bored of being bullied by algorithms.
0:26:33 I feel like everybody is just a bitch to the algorithms these days.
0:26:38 And I try and like find small ways to have agency over the algorithm.
0:26:42 So like even I was like, okay, I reflected on my YouTube history.
0:26:44 I literally, I recommend everybody do it.
0:26:45 It’s one of the weirdest exercises.
0:26:48 Talk about memory is you go on YouTube and then you press history.
0:26:51 And I just scrolled through the videos.
0:26:55 And I was like, okay, which ones of these do I, am I glad that I watched in hindsight?
0:26:57 Which ones am I kind of neutral about?
0:26:59 And then which ones would I say I regretted?
0:27:03 And I said, I think it was about 80% of them.
0:27:04 I regretted 10%.
0:27:06 I was neutral and 10% I enjoyed watching.
0:27:11 And then I looked at it and said, okay, what do the ones that I like have in common?
0:27:13 And then what do the ones that I don’t like also have in common?
0:27:18 And the single biggest thing of where I thought I wasted my time was content under 30 minutes long.
0:27:26 Cause it was just brain rock content, particularly under like five minutes long, like a coffeezilla reaction of Logan Paul’s done this crazy crypto pump and dump.
0:27:31 And I just click on it and then I’m in this like vortex and going back to the memory thing, I’ve completely forgotten this.
0:27:37 So I was like, okay, how about I just work with chat GPT to solve this problem, build a script.
0:27:38 And now I call it the Kale algorithm.
0:27:41 My YouTube does not show me any videos under 30 minutes.
0:27:48 So this ability to be able to manipulate your environment, particularly I think with AI now has only got bigger and bigger.
0:27:50 So there’s agency everywhere.
0:27:54 Everything is a, I don’t know if you heard that phrase of everything’s a skill issue.
0:27:56 It’s kind of like that for agency, like everything is just a agency problem.
0:27:58 Where else are you doing that in your life?
0:28:13 So even small things, just constantly each day do, I recommend going back to the turning bullshit into reality, just going through that list and then operating from a creative model each day of how can I have agency and then applying it rather than going off the to-do list model.
0:28:21 So, I mean, anything from writing down, I want to learn, I have always wanted to play Baker Street on the saxophone.
0:28:23 I sat on the beach, I did turning bullshit into reality.
0:28:26 I wanted to learn Baker Street on the saxophone.
0:28:27 My girlfriend says, why don’t you do it?
0:28:29 There’s nothing more embarrassing than a girl saying, why don’t you do it?
0:28:33 So I just then ordered a saxophone, taught myself Baker Street on the saxophone.
0:28:39 So just coming at it from a very simple model of write down the value, then ways you can display it, then do the thing.
0:28:42 There’s an amazing article that went viral the other day.
0:28:47 You know, it’s a good article when it’s from like 2010 on like a really weird niche blog.
0:28:52 So there’s a guy called Aaron Schwartz, who you probably heard of.
0:28:55 He was the Reddit co-founder who tragically took his own life.
0:29:02 And he has this amazing blog, which goes to your point there, Sam, of like, how do you actually turn this tactically?
0:29:07 And it talks about having a theory of action versus a theory of change.
0:29:14 So he uses the example of you want the United States to decrease their military spending.
0:29:21 So a theory of action would be, I’m a blogger, therefore I’m going to write blog posts about this thing.
0:29:28 Whereas a theory of change is essentially where you go, okay, I want to decrease the United Spence military.
0:29:30 What is, how can I do that?
0:29:37 Or like, why, why, why, how, how, how, all the way down until you get to a concrete action that you can do today.
0:29:40 The piece is absolutely incredible.
0:29:47 And I think you mentioned to Sean on the podcast the other day around how hard it can be to actually think from first principles.
0:29:52 But using Aaron’s framework, the blog post I really recommend checking out, is absolutely incredible.
0:30:02 Yeah, you, you said on here, and when we asked what you want to talk about, you said something about how you think that language kind of controls people a lot.
0:30:05 I think you said language shapes the world around us.
0:30:06 And I was thinking about that.
0:30:15 And I actually, I’ve made a change recently where I was thinking like, I have a problem where I will compare myself to other people a lot.
0:30:19 And I would say like, I should be doing this, or I should be at this place.
0:30:25 And I remember I read something and I started changing the words to, I choose to do this.
0:30:28 I think, I think Sean, did you actually say this?
0:30:32 Or I think we had some, I think we had someone on the podcast where it was like, it changed my thinking.
0:30:36 Whereas like, I’m going to say, instead of I should, I’m going to change that word to choose.
0:30:39 It’s like, what am I going to choose to do?
0:30:42 Not, I should be doing X, Y, and Z.
0:30:45 I was at a Tony Robbins event and he said it beautifully.
0:30:48 He goes, somebody was, had raised their hand.
0:30:49 They said something, I should do this.
0:30:52 You know, I know I should do this, but blah, blah, blah.
0:30:53 But I just think that they should do this.
0:30:54 And they were saying it.
0:30:57 And he goes, he goes, you’re doing what a lot of people do.
0:30:59 You’re shitting all over yourself.
0:31:01 I just couldn’t unhear it.
0:31:04 He’s like, people just shud all over themselves.
0:31:10 And I just, from that moment on, it literally viscerally felt gross to say the word should.
0:31:12 I’m shitting all over myself right now.
0:31:14 And I just couldn’t do it anymore.
0:31:18 Language is a great example of low agency.
0:31:25 So the amount of times that we’ll wait for a word to find us, rather than trying to create words ourselves.
0:31:30 So that’s why I felt high agency was quite a meta thing, where when I discovered that word,
0:31:33 it actually changed the way I viewed reality.
0:31:36 So one way of viewing reality is reality happens, then you have words to describe it.
0:31:41 Another way to view it is you use words, and then that kind of edits reality.
0:31:44 So it’s a kind of a double-edged sword.
0:31:47 Good examples of that would be fake news.
0:31:53 So fake news, there was words beforehand that never really caught off.
0:31:54 There was like yellow journalism.
0:31:56 There was truthy news.
0:32:00 But then when fake news came along, you have a clearer way of viewing reality.
0:32:03 A great example right now is the term vibe coding.
0:32:11 The only thing that’s probably done more than LLMs for vibe coding is the actual meme itself of vibe coding.
0:32:13 So high agency is another example.
0:32:14 What is vibe coding, by the way?
0:32:18 I still don’t know what the difference between vibe coding and coding is.
0:32:23 Just basically a non-technical person prompting an LLM and getting them to code it for them.
0:32:25 That’s vibe coding.
0:32:26 All right, got it.
0:32:26 And you’re saying what?
0:32:35 When you actually have that language itself, or you have those memes, it actually increases the output of things.
0:32:40 And then you begin to see language can have such an impact everywhere.
0:32:44 I’m actually fascinated by, on the topic of the show, the millionaire meme.
0:32:48 So the concept of a millionaire is so impactful to society.
0:32:52 And it hasn’t been updated, even as inflation’s at a way of being a millionaire.
0:32:59 So, like, I once watched a YouTube ad where they were talking in, like, a currency that’s, like, 1 to 10.
0:33:01 And he was talking about making his first million.
0:33:04 But it still exists, even as, like, the inflation’s kicked in.
0:33:06 And I’m fascinated to see what replaces that.
0:33:14 There’s this great book from back in the day that I’ve never read because it’s one of those books where the cover tells you the whole story.
0:33:17 You can literally read the cover, you can have the epiphany, and you can move on.
0:33:19 And it’s called Your Word is Your Wand.
0:33:21 It’s by, I think, Florence Scoville.
0:33:26 And it’s, like, actually kind of a hard book to read because it’s one of these books that’s written, like, 80 years ago or something.
0:33:29 And it’s just, like, too poetic to, like, actually grok nowadays.
0:33:33 But the whole idea is, like, your word is your wand, is your magic wand.
0:33:35 And it shapes your reality exactly as you’re describing.
0:33:40 And this applies to, like, yes, it applies to high agency, but I’ll give you another example.
0:33:43 So I tore my knee ligament a couple months ago.
0:33:46 So I’ve been recovering from it, and I’ve been doing rehab.
0:33:54 And my trainer, who’s, like, he’s, like, the black belt in mindset that I get to work out with every day.
0:33:57 And so he never uses the word rehab.
0:34:01 And he always uses the different words where he’d be, like, he’s, like, all right, let’s get ready.
0:34:03 He’ll be, like, this is not rehab.
0:34:04 We’re going to renew.
0:34:05 We’re going to refresh.
0:34:06 We’re going to recharge.
0:34:07 We’re going to, he’s, like, we’re going to do something.
0:34:10 We’re going to make that knee better than it was before.
0:34:13 And rehab already, like, implies some version of it’s broken.
0:34:15 We’re going to try to fix it.
0:34:18 Versus he’s, like, all right, we’re going to rejuvenate this thing.
0:34:21 We’re going to make your knee 10 years younger than it currently is.
0:34:22 How are we going to do that?
0:34:26 It’s literally when you change the word, you change the method, right?
0:34:29 Like, the what you say changes the how you do it.
0:34:34 And you just see this over and over and over again in small ways in business.
0:34:40 And, like, another version of this that I’ve seen that I’ve done recently is, like, intentionally breaking your speed bar.
0:34:45 So we all have a certain clock speed, a certain speed with which we operate things.
0:34:52 And a good exercise is to just break the speed barrier of what you think is possible for any given task.
0:34:54 So it could be very small.
0:34:57 It could be you’re doing the dishes and you have the silverware.
0:34:59 And you normally put it away at a certain rate.
0:35:01 But try to break your speed bar.
0:35:03 Like, see how fast you could do that thing.
0:35:09 Or this piano that I got here, I had this idea of, like, I want to have – I’ve been practicing the piano for three months.
0:35:12 I’m ready to upgrade from my keyboard to, like, a legit piano.
0:35:13 It’s more fun to play.
0:35:14 It feels better, et cetera.
0:35:16 And my birthday is coming up.
0:35:18 So the normal speed bar would be you kind of wait for your birthday.
0:35:19 So you wait.
0:35:21 Not a very high agency thing to do.
0:35:23 And then you get it.
0:35:23 And then you maybe get it.
0:35:27 But then you get it on back order because these are – you know, they don’t have them in stock.
0:35:28 And then it’s going to take a few weeks to come.
0:35:30 And then it gets – then you set a delivery date.
0:35:30 And then they show up.
0:35:33 And I basically set myself a challenge.
0:35:37 From the moment I had the idea, I said, this inspiration is perishable, right?
0:35:38 Ideas are avocados.
0:35:40 I’m not going to let this go brown.
0:35:41 I’m going to do this thing right now.
0:35:44 And so I said, I want to see how fast I can do this.
0:35:46 I think the normal person, this would be, like, a two- or three-week project.
0:35:48 I’m going to see if I can do this in 24 hours.
0:35:56 And sure enough, I, like, just mobilize my own army of, like, my resources, my focus, my intention towards making that one thing happen.
0:35:58 And it was crazy.
0:35:59 Like, the store was closed.
0:36:00 But I found the owner.
0:36:01 I called him.
0:36:02 And I said, would you come and open the store?
0:36:04 I’m ready to buy a piano right now.
0:36:07 The guy comes and he opens the store for me.
0:36:16 And then I – you know, instead of just playing the piano and trying to figure out which of these pianos is better, I said, I need to know first which pianos you have in stock in the warehouse that could get delivered tomorrow.
0:36:20 And, in fact, while I’m looking, I want you to call the delivery guys and schedule a delivery for tomorrow.
0:36:21 I’m going to pick.
0:36:24 But you schedule it right now because it’s Friday and I want this delivered Saturday morning.
0:36:26 And I made the whole thing happen.
0:36:30 And by 11 a.m. Saturday morning, I had the piano in the room and I was playing it.
0:36:39 And I just feel like there’s so many instances where if you break your speed bar in one area, you realize that, like, in all areas, speed is negotiable.
0:36:44 That you can change the rate at which something’s going to happen in your business or in your personal life.
0:36:49 He just said his attention, his focus, and his energy is his army.
0:36:50 How good is that?
0:36:51 That’s good.
0:36:52 Is that what you just said?
0:36:53 Yeah.
0:36:54 Go ahead, George.
0:36:56 You got a military, an air force.
0:36:58 You need a little one for each one.
0:36:58 That’s beautiful.
0:37:00 Yeah, let’s go.
0:37:01 March, right?
0:37:04 Scott Galloway had a great version of this.
0:37:05 He goes – how did he say it?
0:37:11 He’s like, I deployed an army of capital in my 40s for my family to go kill and grow while I was asleep.
0:37:13 Dude, that’s so good.
0:37:13 That’s so good.
0:37:20 George, who are examples that are not the Elon Musk’s of the world who you think represent high agency?
0:37:22 Can you give us a friend?
0:37:30 Because I think that the best way to get high agency is to just hang out with a high agency person because you’ll realize how unacceptable your low agency thoughts are around them.
0:37:31 You’ll feel embarrassed by it.
0:37:35 And so being around high agency people is the fastest way to become more high agency yourself.
0:37:42 Well, the question I always come back to is, who would you call when you’re stuck in a third world jail cell?
0:37:45 That’s how you identify the highest agency person that you know.
0:37:47 There’s two that come to mind.
0:37:55 There’s one called Shannon, who is probably one of the most underrated individuals that exist.
0:38:09 He literally created information theory, which is he took the idea from philosophy, where you have ones and zeros in logic, and applied that to computing, and created information theory, which literally creates everything that we’re doing right now.
0:38:15 Basically, the father, him and Alan Shearing, the father of modern computing, and he has this crazy thing.
0:38:21 So one of the things in the essay, one of my favorite high agency aphorisms is, just does it defy the laws of physics?
0:38:23 It’s like a brain prompt whenever you’re faced with a problem.
0:38:25 Does it defy the laws of physics?
0:38:30 And Claude Shannon and a guy called Ed Thorpe wanted to hack roulette.
0:38:32 So roulette is the example of the ultimate game of luck.
0:38:45 And Claude Shannon and Ed Thorpe, before the first ever mobile computer, they created the first ever mobile computer that they had in their shoe that would look at the, as the ball hit based off the probability.
0:38:48 And they hacked roulette by managed to outcompete the house by about 33%.
0:38:50 So I’d say Claude Shannon’s awesome.
0:38:53 Sean, you should read Ed Thorpe’s biography.
0:38:54 One of the best biographies I’ve ever read.
0:38:55 Adding it to the list.
0:38:57 A man for market.
0:38:59 So this guy, Ed Thorpe, he basically was a math guy.
0:39:01 He was a math prodigy.
0:39:05 He got sick of just making the wage that math teachers got.
0:39:07 And so he said, I’m going to invent a way to count cards.
0:39:08 He did.
0:39:09 So he invented card counting.
0:39:11 He made a lot of money.
0:39:15 And then he was like, you know, I don’t really like being in casinos all the time.
0:39:16 Like, it’s not good for my family.
0:39:21 And the mafia, or not the mafia, the casinos started getting on his case.
0:39:26 And he was like, I don’t want them to like break my hand in the back room because I’m counting cards.
0:39:35 And so he eventually got into finance and he started the, one of the first ever hedge funds and, you know, became a billionaire that way.
0:39:38 And he tells stories and he’s, it’s sort of like a Forrest Gump story.
0:39:39 Like he tells a story about how he met this.
0:39:44 He’s like, I met this young man who had these really good ideas and I knew this guy was going to be super rich.
0:39:49 And so I decided to become one of his first investors and he went and started this thing called Berkshire Hathaway.
0:39:58 Like, you know, and there’s like 10 or 20 stories like that where he was like, you know, I was just like poking around and I met this guy and I thought he was really smart.
0:39:59 We stayed in touch.
0:40:02 And then he went and founded Apple, you know, like he’s got like a ton of stories like that.
0:40:04 But who’s the second person on your list?
0:40:16 The second person on my list is, is, is a book by called Don’t Tell Me I Can’t by Cole Summers.
0:40:20 It’s the most underrated business book in the world, in my opinion.
0:40:25 It’s an hour long and it’s written by a 13 year old who tells the story.
0:40:27 Is this the unschooling guy?
0:40:29 The unschooling guy.
0:40:29 Yeah.
0:40:40 So when he is, uh, I think four or five, him and his parents see these kids outside causing havoc and saying some nasty things.
0:40:44 And he’s from a very poor background and they decide, you know what?
0:40:45 We’re not going to go to school.
0:40:46 We’re going to homeschool you.
0:40:55 And unfortunately his father, who served in the military, who’s supposed to be his teacher, ends up having to have multiple surgeries.
0:41:03 And one day he goes to his dad, who you can just imagine he’s sat there post-surgery, kind of a little bit out of it.
0:41:06 And he says, Cole says to his dad, dad, how do I get rich?
0:41:11 And his dad says, I don’t know, son, like maybe go watch Warren Buffett videos on YouTube.
0:41:17 So this six-year-old starts watching Warren Buffett videos on YouTube and you listen to the audio book and you like taking notes.
0:41:20 Oh my God, this kid’s so smart, like the lessons he’s taken from Charlie Munger.
0:41:27 And then at seven, I believe he starts his first business that gets to $1,000 profit per month.
0:41:30 He acquires a vehicle using his parents’ license when he’s like nine or ten.
0:41:31 What was the business?
0:41:32 What was the seven-year-old’s business?
0:41:33 Rabbit farming.
0:41:37 So he would breed rabbits and sell them.
0:41:38 And sell them to restaurants.
0:41:41 So he took that to $1,000 per month.
0:41:46 He then flipped a house and made, I think, like $10,000 profit when he was 10 years old.
0:41:48 And it was like an abandoned house, right?
0:41:50 It was like somebody’s house that was just dilapidated.
0:41:51 They weren’t doing anything with it.
0:41:58 And he just says, hey, if I just like, if I do all the work, then can I, you know, share in the profit of flipping this, basically.
0:42:00 He didn’t even like buy a home to flip it.
0:42:03 He just found an unused home and was like, there’s potential here.
0:42:06 He’s incredible.
0:42:13 He tells this story when he’s meeting other seven-year-olds for the first time or he’s at like scouts with his friends.
0:42:16 And they’re talking about what they learned that day.
0:42:19 And they’re going, yeah, I was looking at Pluto.
0:42:20 Is it a planet?
0:42:21 Is what they were teaching us at school?
0:42:23 I don’t know whenever, like, I care about this.
0:42:30 And he goes, oh, I was looking into how Amazon manages to pay 0% tax just using the internet.
0:42:35 So I think his book, again, just to be clear, not every seven-year-old should have a P&L.
0:42:38 Maybe 80% of them should, but not every seven-year-old should have a P&L.
0:42:44 But he completely reframed my reality of what a child can do.
0:42:46 What?
0:42:50 And by the way, this is one of those stories where he’s still like 15 or 16.
0:42:52 This isn’t like in the 80s.
0:42:53 He’s a kid.
0:42:57 Yeah, he unfortunately passed away, which is really, really sad.
0:42:57 Wow.
0:42:59 Like a surfing accident or something, right?
0:43:03 Yeah, I think it, I don’t know the ins and outs of it.
0:43:07 Tragic, obviously, but absolutely incredible.
0:43:07 Oh, no.
0:43:09 That he managed to live the life that he lived.
0:43:16 New York City founders, if you’ve listened to My First Million before, you know I’ve got this company called Hampton.
0:43:19 And Hampton is a community for founders and CEOs.
0:43:25 A lot of the stories and ideas that I get for this podcast, I actually got it from people who I met in Hampton.
0:43:28 We have this big community of 1,000 plus people, and it’s amazing.
0:43:35 But the main part is this eight-person core group that becomes your board of advisors for your life and for your business, and it’s life-changing.
0:43:41 Now, to the folks in New York City, I’m building an in-real-life core group in New York City.
0:43:53 And so if you meet one of the following criteria, your business either does $3 million in revenue, or you’ve raised $3 million in funding, or you’ve started and sold a company for at least $10 million, then you are eligible to apply.
0:43:56 So go to joinhampton.com and apply.
0:43:58 I’m going to be reviewing all of the applications myself.
0:44:02 So put that you heard about this on MFM so I know to give you a little extra love.
0:44:04 Now, back to the show.
0:44:08 You have this thing in your post.
0:44:10 You said, how to spot high-agency people.
0:44:13 And number one, you wrote, was weird teenage hobbies.
0:44:16 Teenage years are the hardest time to go against social pressures.
0:44:17 True.
0:44:21 If they can go against the crowd as a teenager, they can go against the crowd as an adult.
0:44:24 And would that be yours?
0:44:26 Your weird teenage hobby was an obsession with juggling?
0:44:28 Yes.
0:44:31 I kind of wish my dad bet me I couldn’t code.
0:44:33 I would be probably on a yacht right now.
0:44:46 However, I think even with hiring, my best hires that I’ve placed pretty much all line up in that criteria that they have weird, interesting hobbies.
0:44:57 I was listening to an interview with Palmer Luckey chatting about this, and it kind of hints to some kind of intrinsic motivation, as well as the ability to go against wider mimetic forces.
0:45:00 That kind of is a good indicator.
0:45:01 So it’s a very good interview question.
0:45:04 Like, tell me about the weird shit you did growing up.
0:45:07 Yeah, I have a variation of that.
0:45:11 We used to ask, what’s something you were degenerately obsessed with?
0:45:15 So, like, basically, you were obsessed with it to the point where it actually negatively affected the quality of your life.
0:45:18 Like, you were too obsessed with something, but you did it anyways.
0:45:23 And it’s usually a video game or a hobby like this or a collecting, you know, type of thing.
0:45:27 And then there’s a – I forgot who it was.
0:45:35 Some famous investor, they had this other question they asked with it, which was, what’s something you could give a one-hour talk on right now unprepared?
0:45:36 Like, you just know it so well.
0:45:45 You spent so much time on it that if I gave you, you know, 45 minutes to an hour, you could actually, like, give me a crash course in this thing because you have mastery over it.
0:45:49 And in doing so, you also see how somebody communicates when they know something.
0:45:51 So, it does sort of two things.
0:45:53 It gives you a relative bar.
0:46:00 So, if that’s the thing you know best and then you compare it to the things they’ve been telling you about, you realize, oh, that resume was a little shaky.
0:46:05 They don’t really know how that operated in their company compared to how they know this.
0:46:08 And secondly, it tells you how their communication skills are, right?
0:46:13 Can they actually break something down simply for somebody and then build up from there intuitively?
0:46:14 Like, are they a good storyteller?
0:46:16 Are they a good communicator or not?
0:46:24 And that doesn’t – you don’t need that for every job, but for a number of things, like, you know, for being a CEO or being a marketer, like, you want to be able to do that well.
0:46:27 Yeah, so phenomenal.
0:46:31 Before we kind of wrap up, you had one thing here that really caught my eye.
0:46:36 Did you – first of all, you called your – we were like, what ideas do you want to talk about?
0:46:38 You said, I’m the Laird Hamilton of surfing the internet.
0:46:40 I thought that was actually hilarious.
0:46:47 And you said – you just put one line in here and you said, the number one under-discussed antidepressant, which I’m curious about.
0:46:49 And then you also said, the next ADHD.
0:46:51 What are you referring to for those two things?
0:46:57 Yeah, so two, kind of what is ignored by the media that will be studied by historians.
0:47:00 So there was a study that came out in terms of depression.
0:47:02 Could – I don’t know if you’ve seen it.
0:47:03 Metronautics is depression.
0:47:09 Guess what ranked the highest in terms of alleviating the symptoms of depression?
0:47:11 Walking.
0:47:14 Yeah, working out, physical exercise.
0:47:20 So as part of that, that was the big breakthrough that came out, which was that exercise ranked more,
0:47:23 according to this analysis, than SSRIs.
0:47:28 The number one, however, significantly more than exercise and cognitive behavioral therapy,
0:47:32 higher than yoga, higher than tai chi, was dancing.
0:47:35 Dance therapy outperformed exercise significantly.
0:47:41 Dance, according to this meta-analysis, had the greatest impact in alleviating depression.
0:47:46 So I think there’s potentially a headspace or a calm to be made that is dance therapy.
0:47:49 Dude, that’s amazing.
0:47:51 Who knew?
0:47:52 Sam, when’s the last –
0:47:52 I’d rather be depressed.
0:47:58 When’s the last time you danced, Sam?
0:47:59 Never.
0:48:01 My wife –
0:48:01 No, no.
0:48:03 When’s the last time –
0:48:09 Dude, I have literally not once in my life have I been in a public place.
0:48:12 In the Midwest, you don’t cry and you don’t dance.
0:48:13 That’s what men don’t do.
0:48:15 And you don’t drink liquids out of a straw.
0:48:16 Hold on, hold on, hold on.
0:48:18 Those are the three rules of being men in the Midwest.
0:48:21 Don’t cry, don’t dance, and don’t drink liquid out of straws.
0:48:22 Okay, let’s work backwards.
0:48:23 You’re in your 30s now.
0:48:24 You’re at a friend’s wedding.
0:48:28 You’re just sitting down, holding down the fort at the table, making sure the purses don’t get stolen?
0:48:29 What are you doing?
0:48:30 Yes.
0:48:31 Yes.
0:48:31 I am not dancing.
0:48:32 Okay.
0:48:32 Wait.
0:48:34 George, would you dance at a wedding?
0:48:36 I mean, you’re kind of suave.
0:48:37 You probably would.
0:48:38 Of course.
0:48:39 So there’s a barbell.
0:48:41 So my girlfriend is an incredible dancer.
0:48:43 She’s been a dancer since she was like five.
0:48:44 That’s what she does for a living.
0:48:46 And I realize there’s a barbell when it comes to dance.
0:48:51 You either want to be the best dancer on the dance floor or the worst dancer on the dance floor,
0:48:54 like just letting loose and not caring full-on David Brent style.
0:48:57 It’s the person in the middle who’s either doesn’t want to get on the dance floor
0:48:59 or is kind of half moving that is the cringest.
0:49:01 So yeah, I’m a big dancer.
0:49:03 I’m terrible, but I’m a dancer.
0:49:06 All right, Sam, prom?
0:49:07 Did you dance at prom?
0:49:08 No.
0:49:09 What’d you do?
0:49:11 Sat.
0:49:12 I just sat.
0:49:14 I’m telling you, I don’t do it.
0:49:14 What a date.
0:49:16 Wow.
0:49:17 It’s horrible.
0:49:20 That’s like, you know how people say like public speaking is the biggest fear?
0:49:21 Mine’s dancing.
0:49:21 Public dancing.
0:49:22 Yeah.
0:49:24 Public dancing is definitely a bigger fear than public speaking for me.
0:49:25 Yeah.
0:49:26 Public dancing is pretty tough.
0:49:27 And plus, I don’t drink.
0:49:30 So like if I were drunk, then I could probably get away with it.
0:49:36 But like sober dancing as a grown man is probably like the scariest thing one can do.
0:49:37 I’d rather go to war.
0:49:38 Anti-depressant, Sam.
0:49:40 Wow.
0:49:42 Send me to Ukraine right now.
0:49:42 Yeah.
0:49:45 I’d rather get deployed in Baghdad than have to dance at a wedding.
0:49:47 Put that on a bumper sticker.
0:49:48 Think about this.
0:49:50 We could do this together, man.
0:49:51 We could overcome this.
0:49:53 Wait, so you’re fearful of this too?
0:49:55 Yeah, but not like you.
0:49:57 Like if I’m at a thing, I do it.
0:49:57 But I hate it.
0:49:58 But I do it.
0:49:59 But I kind of like it.
0:50:00 But I also kind of feel insecure about it.
0:50:01 But then I do it anyways.
0:50:05 I’ve never just taken the stance of like, nope.
0:50:06 I’m out.
0:50:10 So no, I don’t think I’m going to be dancing.
0:50:11 What was the second thing?
0:50:12 The next ADHD.
0:50:17 We’ve tried to change the subject.
0:50:18 I can’t even think about dancing.
0:50:24 The next ADHD is, I think.
0:50:33 So one great idea I heard for spotting trends, this came from Chris Williamson, is when a new trend is coming, bet on a counter trend occurring.
0:50:43 So one trend that you’re seeing right now is a rise in nationalism, like people, America for America, Canada for Canada, China for China.
0:50:50 And one funny idea I have is, so Duolingo is obviously huge where people go and understand languages.
0:50:53 However, AI is almost making that irrelevant.
0:50:57 I think learning a language is probably, the skill of it is going to go down and down with time.
0:51:09 A funny business idea that I think could work is, so when I’d speak to Chris, he would talk to me about his therapy sessions and all these revelations he’s getting from therapy.
0:51:13 And I said to him, I go, I think 50% of this isn’t anything to do with your childhood.
0:51:15 It’s just being British.
0:51:18 You’re just overcoming what it means to be British.
0:51:26 And I think there’s something to be said around essentially creating a Duolingo that cures you of your nationality.
0:51:33 Because I think you’re going to have a barbell where you have everybody’s like America for America, or it’s like I’m a global citizen Balaji network state style.
0:51:35 And you could then just localize everything.
0:51:38 So, oh, imagine an advert campaign, I think, from the ad first.
0:51:39 Oh, you’re British.
0:51:41 I bet you can’t take compliments.
0:51:43 I bet you have a lot of self-doubt.
0:51:46 And it’s like, yes, yes, yes, help fix being British.
0:51:52 Or if you’re American, you don’t know anything in Europe, you just call Africa one big blob.
0:51:54 Like, let’s remove that syndrome for you.
0:51:57 Because you actually realize everybody is very self-conscious of their own country.
0:52:03 So that’s one of my ideas that I think will be the new kind of pathology that people have around themselves.
0:52:05 The American one sounded awesome to me.
0:52:08 That’s America for you.
0:52:10 That might be the market where it doesn’t work.
0:52:15 Okay, so this works internationally.
0:52:21 You don’t want to cure Americans of the self-delusion that we have, that everything is great and we’re great and it’s all going to work out great.
0:52:25 That pro-noia that we have is very, very helpful to us.
0:52:27 If you rob us of that, we get worse.
0:52:32 One of my big regrets against being British is I’ve been early to a lot of things, but then maybe didn’t have the conviction.
0:52:34 Maybe it goes back to what you mentioned earlier, Sam.
0:52:42 And I came up with this idea ages ago where I would like visualize myself on my deathbed and I’d be there.
0:52:43 There’s nobody there.
0:52:44 I’m at the worst version of myself.
0:52:47 Then I get a knock on the door and it’s the best version of myself.
0:52:51 And it’s that kind of this meditation, like the deathbed regret meditation.
0:52:53 And then at the end, it’s like, what action are you going to take today?
0:52:55 And I thought this was the weirdest fucking shit I’ve ever created.
0:52:57 And now it’s big on TikTok.
0:53:02 It’s like my friend was showing me it’s a viral trend of these girls doing this exercise that I originally came up with.
0:53:06 And I think there’s something in like hardship as a service.
0:53:16 So bet on a trend going the other way, which is life is so good compared to modern, compared to historical standards that people want more hardship in their life.
0:53:20 So I’d potentially create an app, which would be a negative visualization.
0:53:28 So every day you plug it in and you are in World War II, about to go over the trenches.
0:53:31 Your brother has died.
0:53:33 Your mother’s written letters, but you don’t want to read them.
0:53:38 You don’t have no way of contacting your wife and you’re about to go over into the trenches.
0:53:42 And then you wake up and all of a sudden my life now is incredible.
0:53:48 So I think negative visualization is a tool from stoicism that I think there’s probably a billion dollar idea in.
0:53:50 A product, a product you could build out of that.
0:53:51 Yeah.
0:53:52 Dude, have you guys seen this thing?
0:53:54 I’ll have to send it to you.
0:53:56 It’s on Instagram and it’s a page.
0:53:59 And the guy uses AI and the headline will be,
0:54:07 you woke up as a slave who’s going to be in, who’s being forced to be a gladiator in Rome.
0:54:12 Or you’ve woken up as a laborer in Egypt building the pyramids.
0:54:16 Or you’ve woken up in a slum in Mabai in 1992.
0:54:19 And it like sets up all these like crazy scenes.
0:54:20 And then some of them are great.
0:54:23 Like you woke up as an emperor in Rome.
0:54:29 And it shows this, it shows from a POV, your point of view of that person waking up in the morning and walking around.
0:54:29 Have you guys seen this?
0:54:34 Or it could be even like you woke up as a kid in the Midwest in 1982.
0:54:35 Have you seen that, George?
0:54:35 Yes.
0:54:38 So this is the thinking from the ad first model.
0:54:39 You can already picture the ads there.
0:54:41 It then runs to a monthly subscription.
0:54:43 And you do that as your morning meditation.
0:54:45 And it replaces just observing your thoughts.
0:54:48 It’s more a negative contrasting tool to make people feel better about themselves.
0:54:49 George, thanks for coming on.
0:54:50 Where should people follow?
0:54:50 Twitter?
0:54:51 Twitter’s the best spot?
0:54:54 Yeah, Twitter’s the best spot.
0:54:56 George Mac on Twitter.
0:55:01 Highagency.com if you want to read the full piece.
0:55:04 Anything ads, adprofessor.com as well.
0:55:06 And yeah, that’s everything.
0:55:07 You’re awesome, dude.
0:55:09 Every conversation we have with you is amazing.
0:55:10 You’re a great thinker.
0:55:19 And you really have a gift for making ideas that are, let’s say, outside of the kind of the zone of conventional thinking.
0:55:22 And then making them sticky and memorable and kind of worth considering.
0:55:24 So I think it’s very rare.
0:55:25 There’s not a lot of people who could do that.
0:55:26 And you’re one of them.
0:55:28 Thank you.
0:55:28 Thank you, George.
0:55:29 Likewise.
0:55:29 You’re the man.
0:55:31 Are you going to become an American anytime soon, by the way?
0:55:35 So I just landed yesterday.
0:55:37 I just had my visa approved.
0:55:39 I’ve moved from Dubai to the U.S.
0:55:42 Purely because I find when I’m in the U.S.
0:55:42 It’s the luck raiser.
0:55:45 You’re way more likely to be lucky, serendipitous.
0:55:48 I don’t think the quality of life here is as better as actually is in the rest of the world now.
0:55:51 But luck so much more significantly.
0:55:53 So, yes, I’m a proud Ted Lasso.
0:55:55 Welcome to the tribe, brother.
0:55:57 You’re in.
0:55:58 Welcome to Texas.
0:56:00 I’ll get you some cowboy boots and a hat.
0:56:02 And thanks for being here.
0:56:03 Thanks for coming to the pod.
0:56:03 God bless you.
0:56:04 God bless America.
0:56:05 Talk soon.
0:56:13 I feel like I can rule the world.
0:56:19 I know I could be what I want to put my all in it like no days off on the road.
0:56:19 Let’s travel.
0:56:20 Never looking back.
Episode 703: Sam Parr ( https://x.com/theSamParr ) and Shaan Puri ( https://x.com/ShaanVP ) talk to George Mack ( https://x.com/george__mack ) about high agency.
—
Links:
• Steal Sam’s guide to turn ChatGPT into your Executive Coach: https://clickhubspot.com/wec
• High Agency – https://www.highagency.com/
• Nick Mowbray episode – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4pHcxoZ0j9A
—
Check Out Shaan’s Stuff:
Need to hire? You should use the same service Shaan uses to hire developers, designers, & Virtual Assistants → it’s called Shepherd (tell ‘em Shaan sent you): https://bit.ly/SupportShepherd
—
Check Out Sam’s Stuff:
• Hampton – https://www.joinhampton.com/
• Ideation Bootcamp – https://www.ideationbootcamp.co/
• Copy That – https://copythat.com
• Hampton Wealth Survey – https://joinhampton.com/wealth
• Sam’s List – http://samslist.co/
My First Million is a HubSpot Original Podcast // Brought to you by HubSpot Media // Production by Arie Desormeaux // Editing by Ezra Bakker Trupiano
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Mom Advice: 10 Life Lessons from Mom (Greatest Hits)
AI transcript
0:00:05 Here’s an oldie but a goodie from the archives from the Side Hustle Show Greatest Hits Collection.
0:00:09 What’s up? What’s up? Nick Loper here. Welcome to the Side Hustle Show because
0:00:15 the best time to repair a roof is when the sun is shining. Hat tip to JFK for that one
0:00:21 special Mother’s Day edition of the show for you this week featuring 10 bits of advice and wisdom
0:00:29 from mom. The dad advice episode we did last June for Father’s Day was a lot of fun and it was pretty
0:00:35 popular so I’m going to attempt to revisit that format today just with mom providing the often
0:00:41 very literal advice and me over analyzing it 30 years later. That Father’s Day episode was number
0:00:48 393 if you want to go back and check it out. So first a little bit about mom for the sake of context
0:00:55 here. She essentially had two careers the first in nursing and the second as a library assistant
0:01:00 where she actually helped me get one of my first jobs getting paid to reshelve books. This is like
0:01:07 the perfect introvert gig plus it paid time and a half on Sundays which was like 12 or 13 bucks an hour
0:01:15 pretty good high school job. But mom encouraged both work and work ethic at an early age both in my
0:01:22 brother and I by her own example and by setting expectations. More on that in a bit. But mom’s
0:01:27 probably always been my biggest advocate and supporter even if the online business models that
0:01:31 I was playing around with weren’t always easy to explain to her friends like oh I think he sells
0:01:37 shoes on the internet I don’t know he seems to be doing okay. You know how bloggers always joke about
0:01:43 like the early days of their blog when it’s only their mom reading? Those are not jokes those are 100%
0:01:48 true and it’s not only that she would leave comments and I’d want to say well that’s fine just don’t put
0:01:53 your last name or don’t put mom in the name field like make it look legit. So here we go 10 lessons
0:02:00 from mom that stand out and have stuck with me over the years. Number one is to keep reading and to keep
0:02:06 writing. My brother and I you’ll hear from Chris in a minute you know we watched our fair share of TV
0:02:11 and we played our fair share of video games but reading for pleasure was always encouraged and was
0:02:17 really expected. But beyond that there was this unspoken balance of consumption and creation and
0:02:21 what I found was that by reading and learning and taking in different styles and perspectives
0:02:29 you become more creative. Like when I listen to other podcasts or read other authors I find what I like
0:02:34 and what I don’t like oh what literary device did they use there and I’m often finding inspiration
0:02:40 during quote-unquote consumption time. But for mom it wasn’t enough to be a passive consumer. We had this
0:02:46 stack of construction paper and crayons and markers in the desk in the kitchen and we turned that into all
0:02:51 sorts of projects. I remember we were making pilgrim costumes and treasure maps and making up our own
0:02:57 games. When I said I didn’t like the new Sonics logo she said okay make a better one. And I think writing
0:03:03 is probably one of the most underrated skills in the world today because so much of our communication
0:03:08 it happens over email or you know maybe you need to make a good impression on your resume or your
0:03:13 LinkedIn profile or you need to persuade someone to join your email list or to buy your product
0:03:17 or you just need to create a piece of content that Google thinks is good enough to rank on the first
0:03:22 page. It’s all writing and it’s a skill that can be learned but it’s a skill that takes practice
0:03:29 and I’m really grateful that mom encouraged both Chris and I to keep writing. Yes we got plenty of
0:03:34 practice in school but we’d come up with stories that weren’t part of any school assignment. I remember
0:03:40 one from probably first grade about three dinos. Couldn’t spell dinosaur at that time so they were just
0:03:47 dinos. They were named Ken, Alvin, and Jose after some you know popular baseball players circa 1989.
0:03:53 I don’t remember the plot of the story but it was just an early example of writing for fun. A habit
0:03:58 that continues today only you know I’m lucky enough to get paid to do it now. And I think this is a big
0:04:04 deal and that’s why I put it at number one. The easy path is to keep consuming this endless social media
0:04:11 feed but dedicate some time to your own creation. Doesn’t have to be writing but make something. What do you
0:04:16 want to be known for? What are you going to put out into the world? One of the questions that I asked
0:04:22 myself before starting Side Hustle Nation was when someone googles you what do you want them to find?
0:04:28 So that was mom advice number one. Keep reading. Keep writing. Number two is if you’re not in it it’s just a
0:04:32 postcard. Back in the day you might be old enough to remember this. You didn’t have a camera on your
0:04:38 phone. Instead you took pictures with an actual camera with actual film. Yes pre-digital camera.
0:04:43 And then when the role was used up might be next week might be three months from now you had to
0:04:47 take it to the place and get it developed. Super delayed gratification. I remember that picture
0:04:54 and the feedback mom gave me upon developing one of those roles of film of mine was you know what if
0:05:00 you’re not in it it’s just a postcard. I don’t remember what those pictures were of only apparently
0:05:05 that I wasn’t in them and that was something that stuck with me both on the literal level and on the
0:05:10 metaphorical level. If you’re ever fortunate enough to find yourself at the Great Wall or
0:05:16 Anchor Wand or Stonehenge or the Eiffel Tower or the Pyramids or wherever know that there have been
0:05:21 thousands of professional photographers who’ve been there before you with just the right light and just
0:05:26 the right equipment and they’ve gotten a better shot than you could really ever realistically hope
0:05:32 to achieve. But they don’t have you. Get in the picture. So in all my projects the ones that have had
0:05:37 the most success are the ones that I signed my name to instead of the ones where I’ve tried to stay more
0:05:43 you know semi-anonymous behind the scenes. They’re the ones that I stepped into the picture for and of
0:05:48 course just about every business under the sun has been done before and if it hasn’t maybe that’s a
0:05:54 risky sign you better go and validate it first but it hasn’t been done by you with your unique
0:05:59 perspectives and personality with your unique strength and your style. Just last week we heard from
0:06:05 Jade Weatherington who said that she’d had people rip off her lessons and her curriculum and she said
0:06:12 they can copy her but they can’t be her. You can be your own unique selling proposition and competitive
0:06:18 advantage. If you’re not in it it’s just a postcard. Mom lesson number three is be able to follow the
0:06:25 instructions but doing it your own way is allowed too. This is a lego building example as in yes you can
0:06:30 build the thing you can follow the steps you can make it look like the one in the picture and yes
0:06:35 that’s fun. That’s important to be able to pay attention to the details all of that but now you got
0:06:42 all these pieces what else could you make? And I feel like we spent a lot more time building off script in
0:06:49 that way. So our oldest is five now little hustler number one. He’s super into legos and I think it’s
0:06:53 really cool that he’s got this part figured out. He calls it imagination legos where he just builds
0:06:59 something of his own creation. Pterodactyls, spaceships, boats, all sorts of cool stuff. The reason I think
0:07:06 this parallels entrepreneurship is that yes you should absolutely take advantage of the case studies and
0:07:13 examples and recipes and mentorship of all the people, all the businesses that have gone before you. And in some
0:07:18 ways it would be kind of silly not to. Like why reinvent the wheel, right? And a lot of this stuff is free. I
0:07:24 remember our chat with Donald Spann last year who built and sold a virtual receptionist company.
0:07:30 All remote. What was interesting was he said he would listen to interviews that other call center
0:07:36 founders gave. And I think he specifically mentioned Jill Nelson from Ruby Receptionists.
0:07:41 And he would learn all sorts of details about the inner workings of these companies. It’s also why during
0:07:48 any well-orchestrated affiliate launch, the affiliate manager will give you the formula. Hey, I need you
0:07:53 to send an email on these days. Here’s the swipe copy for day number one. Here’s the swipe copy for
0:07:59 day number two. It’s because they’ve seen what works. And so while I think it’s wise to pay attention to
0:08:05 what’s working and what has worked, it’s okay to do an imagination build too. And remember imagination
0:08:10 Legos. Just because for some of the challenges you come across, there’s not always going to be
0:08:15 instructions. It’s similar to the postcard bit. Inject yourself into the project as a point of
0:08:21 differentiation. And with any luck, you’ll be the case study that other people turn to look to you for
0:08:26 inspiration in the future. So be able to follow the instructions, but doing it your own way is allowed
0:08:33 too. That was a bit of mom advice number three. Number four is to send your thank you notes. So we had two
0:08:38 Aunt Margaret’s growing up and for our birthdays, Chris and I, they would send us a birthday card
0:08:44 with a check and one Aunt Margaret would send a $15 check and the other Aunt Margaret would send a $2
0:08:50 check. And looking back, you know, how sweet is that, right? But we weren’t allowed to cash those checks
0:08:54 and we definitely weren’t allowed to spend any of that money until the thank you notes were written.
0:08:59 And I understand it’s a polite thing to do and it’s maybe becoming a little bit of a lost art,
0:09:06 but it was number one, a way to practice writing again, right? And number two, a way to instill
0:09:12 gratitude. Even as a kid, when writing thank you notes was kind of a chore, it made you think that these
0:09:18 people took some time out of their day to send you a card and to send you some money. They care about you.
0:09:24 Be grateful that you have these people in your life. And while you’re at it, maybe you have some other stuff
0:09:29 to be thankful for too. I’ve been gratitude journaling off and on for probably close to 10 years at this
0:09:35 point, which is like a mini thank you note every night, no matter how bad a day goes, no matter how
0:09:43 challenging it is, I find this to be a pretty helpful nightly reset. Just a little reminder. Okay, it’s not
0:09:48 all bad. And this is actually one of the five primary habits that I’ve got baked into my progress journal,
0:09:54 physical productivity journal, which you can find at progress journal.net. So write those thank you
0:10:01 notes. What are you grateful for? More mom advice coming up right after this. When you’re running a
0:10:06 business, every missed call is money left on the table. Customers expect speed. Think about the last
0:10:12 time you had a plumbing emergency. If the first plumber didn’t answer, my guess is you moved on to the next
0:10:16 one on the list. With our sponsor, OpenPhone, you’ll never miss an opportunity to connect with your
0:10:22 customers. OpenPhone is the number one business phone system that streamlines and scales your
0:10:26 customer communications. It works through an app on your phone or computer. So that means no more
0:10:31 carrying around two phones or using a landline. With OpenPhone, your team can share one number and
0:10:37 collaborate on customer calls and texts, just like a shared inbox. That way, any team member can pick up
0:10:42 right where the last person left off, keeping response times faster than ever. Right now, OpenPhone is
0:10:49 offering SideHustle show listeners 20% off your first six months at OpenPhone.com slash SideHustle.
0:10:58 That’s O-P-E-N-P-H-O-N-E dot com, OpenPhone.com slash SideHustle. And if you have existing numbers with
0:11:04 another service, OpenPhone will port them over at no extra charge. OpenPhone. No missed calls,
0:11:10 no missed customers. One strategy I didn’t fully embrace or maybe wasn’t fully aware of when I was
0:11:15 starting out was this idea of the piggyback principle. In the startup phase, that means you
0:11:19 don’t have to start completely from scratch, but instead you can take advantage of existing tools,
0:11:25 templates, playbooks, best practices from the people who’ve gone before you. A perfect example of this
0:11:31 is our partner Shopify. Shopify is the commerce platform behind millions of businesses from
0:11:36 household names to side hustlers on their way to becoming household names. With hundreds of ready-to-use
0:11:41 templates, Shopify helps you build a beautiful online store and start selling. Plus, Shopify is packed
0:11:46 with helpful AI tools to accelerate your workflow. We’re talking product descriptions, page headlines,
0:11:51 and even enhancing your product photography. You can even easily create email and social media campaigns
0:11:56 to reach your target customers wherever they’re scrolling or strolling. If you’re ready to sell,
0:12:02 you’re ready for Shopify. Turn your big business idea into with Shopify on your side. Sign up for your
0:12:09 $1 per month trial and start selling today at Shopify.com slash side hustle. Go to Shopify.com
0:12:13 slash side hustle. Shopify.com slash side hustle.
0:12:21 Mom lessons number five and number six come from my brother, Chris, who you can find writing about living
0:12:26 your best life. And he also offers habit coaching at becomingbetter.org.
0:12:34 I’ve got two bits of wisdom from mom that I’d like to share. The first one is people like mixtapes. Now
0:12:39 this concept will be a little foreign to younger listeners, but when I grew up, we listened to cassette
0:12:45 tapes in the car. And there was a time around fourth grade that I got really into Billy Joel. I would
0:12:51 constantly listen to his albums on the record player in our living room. And mom realized that I would
0:12:56 appreciate having a mixtape of my favorite Billy Joel songs for the car. So she made one for me.
0:13:01 And of course, I loved it. For side hustlers, the lesson here is that there’s a lot of value in
0:13:07 curating. Not that many people want to listen through all of Billy Joel’s albums, but loads of people want
0:13:12 the greatest hits. So if you can sift through a large collection of ideas and organize the best of
0:13:18 them into a website, a book, or a course, people will really appreciate that and pay you for it.
0:13:23 Nick does that with things like the traffic course.com. And it’s something I’ve done with articles
0:13:29 like the one I wrote on the essentials of stoicism. The second bit of mom wisdom I’d like to share is
0:13:36 do the easy part first. One thing I always did with mom growing up was jigsaw puzzles. And some of the
0:13:41 puzzles we did were really big and really difficult, but mom had a strategy for handling the challenge.
0:13:47 Start with the outline and then work on the easiest parts of the puzzle. The lesson for everyone,
0:13:52 and especially for side hustlers working on complicated projects is that a difficult task feels
0:13:58 more doable once you get started. Once you knock out the easy parts and make an outline, the project that
0:14:05 initially felt overwhelming becomes manageable. Plus, moving forward creates momentum. So instead of feeling
0:14:11 stuck or feeling lazy, you’ll actually feel motivated to continue. This is an essential strategy for overcoming
0:14:16 procrastination. By beginning with the easiest part, you make it easier to get rolling.
0:14:25 I like this curation example. And there are tons of examples in the online business space where you can
0:14:31 see it in action. I mean, in one sense, every interview that you hear on this show is one form
0:14:36 of curation because it made it through versus the 25 pitches that didn’t. And I’ve started creating custom
0:14:44 playlists on Spotify that showcase specific business models to hopefully eliminate some of that overwhelm of,
0:14:49 there’s 400 episodes. Where do I start? Another curation business model I’m excited about right now is email
0:14:55 newsletters. You might have noticed that I’ve started doing this at the bottom of my newsletters, highlighting
0:15:02 two or three cool tools or articles that I found interesting over the last week. But curated newsletters are really
0:15:08 cool because if you could source the most interesting or helpful articles in your niche and do it on a daily or weekly
0:15:14 basis, you help cut through the clutter for all your subscribers. One of my new favorites here is called all star
0:15:19 money. This is an example from the personal finance space where every day they’re sending out three unique
0:15:26 articles from the personal finance universe. They’re well thought out. They’re interesting. I don’t know. I like it all star
0:15:34 money. But as the audience grows, the other reason that these curated newsletters are interesting to me is, you know,
0:15:41 they can be monetized with relevant advertising or affiliate offers or even products or services of your
0:15:47 own creation. You can check out my chat with Cody Sanchez in episode 419 for a little bit more on the
0:15:53 newsletter business. That’s on how she grew in monetized contrarian thinking. So that was mom advice.
0:15:59 Number five, curation is creation. And yes, it is a valuable service. Number six was doing the easy
0:16:07 part first. And this is kind of the counter argument to Brian Tracy’s eat that frog, which argues, do the
0:16:12 most difficult thing first, get it out of the way. There’s, I think, a time and a place for both, especially
0:16:18 if you’re prone to procrastination. You know, maybe you just need to rip off that bandaid. I’m curious,
0:16:24 though, which way do you prefer to work? I tend to default to doing the easy stuff first to build some
0:16:30 positive momentum like Chris described. And in my case, maybe that’s outlining an article instead of
0:16:35 staring at the blank screen and trying to come up with an intro. But once that’s done, once the outline
0:16:39 is done, the article kind of starts to write itself, you start filling in the gaps. And next thing you know,
0:16:46 you’ve made some some meaningful progress. But big thanks to Chris for sharing those curate and do the
0:16:52 easy part first. Again, you’ll find him at becoming better.org. The next bit of mom advice was one we
0:16:59 actually talked about as well, Chris and I, and that’s number seven, an ounce of prevention is worth a pound
0:17:05 of cure. Chris’s example was that developing good brushing and flossing habits is a lot cheaper than
0:17:11 paying for cavities. But I actually remember another bathroom related example that had to do with our aim
0:17:16 around the toilet. Mom was sick of cleaning up the bathroom when we were kids. So the first thing she
0:17:22 did was delegate that chore to us. Look, it’s your job now. When we decided it wasn’t much fun either.
0:17:27 She said, well, you know what, it would be a lot easier if you didn’t miss so much. So after that,
0:17:32 we got a lot more careful with our aim, you know, preventing the problem from happening in the first
0:17:37 place. When I worked in the car business, there was a rule in the service department to call your
0:17:43 customers before they called you. Like if a customer had their car in the shop for some maintenance or
0:17:50 repair, make sure to give them updates and progress reports and cost details as it goes along before
0:17:55 they call you at 445, right before closing time to ask, hey, is this ready to get picked up? Or they
0:18:00 get this surprise bill when they do show up. It was a way to prevent upset customers and manage
0:18:06 expectations. In online business, you see lots of examples of this ounce of prevention in practice,
0:18:15 from FAQ pages to detailed sizing information and pictures like of the products, or even with advertising
0:18:22 copy that says specifically who the product is the best fit for, and maybe who it’s not for. All of that is
0:18:29 designed to prevent the more expensive, quote, cures of customer support staff, of processing returns,
0:18:35 or just working with a client who’s not well aligned with what you have to offer. So your homework here is
0:18:42 to take a look at the messages or questions that you get from customers, readers, subscribers. Are there
0:18:48 any patterns? What could you do to prevent some of those messages? Now I want to be clear, I am happy to
0:18:54 hear from readers and listeners. I love it. Most of the time it makes my day. But there are certain messages
0:19:00 that are frustrating for both parties, like, hey, where’s my file? Or how can I update my email? So I put
0:19:05 together a special VIP page where subscribers can access all the bonus files, don’t have to punch in
0:19:11 your email again. And I send that out to new subscribers after they join the email list. You can
0:19:16 check it out, sidehustlenation.com slash join. You can see it in action. It should be there, you know,
0:19:21 10-15 minutes after you sign up. And then I added a little link at the bottom of the newsletter that
0:19:27 lets people update their account information in ActiveCampaign. And I think once you start looking,
0:19:33 you’ll find lots of different ways to apply this ounce of prevention rule. Maybe it’s creating text
0:19:38 expander snippets for stuff you type all the time. Maybe it’s creating process documentation for your
0:19:43 team. But that was mom advice number seven, an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure.
0:19:51 Mom lesson number eight is, is that really what you want to spend your money on? I credit both mom and
0:19:58 dad for instilling this habit of lifelong frugality, or maybe spending intentionally is maybe a better way
0:20:03 to phrase it. But it was mom who helped, you know, count out the coins from my Garfield piggy bank and
0:20:09 open up my first savings account. She was the one who’d play allowance the board game with us. And one of the
0:20:16 first things I remember saving up for as a kid was to buy this skateboard. And it was probably first grade,
0:20:22 second grade. It was 28 bucks at Toys R Us. There was one with a cooler pattern for $36, but I didn’t have
0:20:28 that much. And we’re standing there in the aisle and she asks, okay, is that really what you want to spend your
0:20:33 money on? And if you thought it was a dumb idea, which you probably did, I don’t think that was
0:20:40 detected by me. Instead, what came across was, yes, you can get this. You understand how much it costs.
0:20:45 You understand how much money you have. And is that worth it to you? And at the time it was, I remember
0:20:50 my friend pulling me up and down the street behind his bike on that thing. But on countless other
0:20:55 occasions, the answer was no, I’d rather save for something else. There’s nothing wrong with spending
0:21:01 money. In fact, that’s kind of the point of earning it, but to make sure it’s on the things that you
0:21:06 really want and value. Just because you can afford something doesn’t necessarily mean that you should
0:21:13 buy it. I also think there’s something about giving kids autonomy with money early on, freedom to make
0:21:19 what you might consider a mistake on a small scale. So they learn what it feels like to spend, what it feels
0:21:25 like to save. And hopefully, maybe they don’t make bigger money mistakes later on. So that was lesson
0:21:30 number eight for me. Is that really what you want to spend your money on? Number nine is to have high
0:21:38 expectations and hold yourself accountable. I was the kid who stressed out about school and grades a lot
0:21:44 more than I probably should have. And mom swears this was self-inflicted, but I don’t know, we definitely
0:21:50 didn’t want to disappoint her. So in middle school, I started to hear these rumors and rumblings that some
0:21:55 of my friends were getting paid for their grades, like their parents would give them 20 bucks for every
0:22:01 A and $10 for every B or something like that. I was like, I could be making money. And I can’t tell you
0:22:09 how fast this proposal was shot down by mom and dad when I floated it by them. Why reward what’s expected,
0:22:15 I think was the reaction. Do your best because of who you are and care about the effort you put out
0:22:20 into the world, not because you think you’re going to get paid for it. Great report card. Now go do it
0:22:26 again next semester. Have high expectations for yourself was number nine. Number 10 is I hope you
0:22:32 dance. And this was mom’s advice upon graduating high school, which was actually lyrics from a song that was
0:22:39 medium popular around that time by Leanne Womack. This was really before my country music kick, but it
0:22:43 was still all over the radio. You couldn’t miss it. I don’t think I can play it for you for copyright
0:22:48 reasons, but it opens like this and I’m not going to try and sing it. Opening lines. I hope you never
0:22:53 lose your sense of wonder. You get to eat your fill, but always keep that hunger. And in rereading the lyrics
0:23:00 in preparation for this episode, I can tell why she gave it to me. This is a really heartfelt sendoff
0:23:07 from any parent to any child, the kind that I probably wasn’t capable of appreciating at 18 and
0:23:15 maybe even not 28, but certainly do now after having kids of my own. It’s a call to be grateful for what
0:23:22 you’ve got, but to keep growing, to have the strength to get through the challenges ahead and to have some
0:23:28 fun along the way. So thank you for that, mom. Love you. Hopefully lots of years of dancing still to
0:23:35 come. Now I asked her what advice she got from her mom. And even though she had zero desire to be on air,
0:23:41 she was a good sport. She did send me this clip. After much thought and consulting my siblings, it turns
0:23:47 out mom wasn’t big on giving advice. We weren’t often told you can’t do something, but we were told to try
0:23:53 and mom would be there to pick up the pieces when it didn’t work out. So I guess mom’s advice would be
0:24:00 don’t be afraid to try. I think that clocked in at 18, 19 seconds. Definitely not one to seek the
0:24:06 spotlight, but there you have it. Be open to trying new things. The side hustle show is a great example
0:24:11 of me trying something new and it is turning eight years old this month. Hard to believe, but you never
0:24:17 know until you try. And I know I’m at my happiest when I’m experimenting and trying new stuff. For
0:24:24 example, I’m testing a new email challenge slash welcome series with a little one-time offer on the
0:24:28 confirmation page for the first time ever. This took an embarrassing amount of brain power to create,
0:24:33 but was also a lot of fun. I’m excited to see what kind of results it gets because if you don’t test,
0:24:39 if you don’t experiment, if you don’t try, you’ll never know. But mom, appreciate all the encouragement
0:24:44 and wisdom over the years. And thank you so much for tuning in. That is it for me. Until next time,
0:24:48 let’s go out there and make something happen. And I’ll catch you in the next edition of the Side
0:25:04 Hustle Show. Hustle on. Did you know Mother’s Day is coming up? Yeah. What should we get for mama?
0:25:13 I’m thinking card. Card would be nice. Or a car? A car? Yeah. I don’t know about that. What kind of
0:25:21 car would mommy like? A car that could turn into a submarine or a plane. That’s very versatile for
0:25:24 sure. Or we could just build one. Or we could build one. What would you build it out of?
0:25:32 Metal. Metal, sure. Or we need to buy pieces. Yeah, it probably would require a lot of pieces.
0:25:40 Let’s go back to the card idea. What would you write in the card for mama? A joke. A joke? Tell a good,
0:25:46 what’s a good Mother’s Day joke? Knock, knock. Who’s there? Em. Em who? Oh, I’m a mother.
0:25:53 All right. I don’t know if I get that one, but what’s Mother’s Day all about? You give mother
0:26:00 something. Is it like birthdays for moms? Mm-hmm. Trying to be thankful for all the things that
0:26:07 they do for us? Yeah. Yeah. What kind of stuff does mama do for you? Uh, cook a dinner. Yeah,
0:26:11 she’s a good cook. She makes you good food. Mm-hmm. Uh, what else? Rocking us before bedtime.
0:26:20 Rocks you to sleep. Yeah. What does mama do for work? Uh, work on the phone, type on the computer,
0:26:28 which is so boring. What else? She practices making some laser beams. Where did she go? At the end of
0:26:35 the freeway. The end of the freeway? Yeah. What type of building is it? A laboratory. She works at the
0:26:43 laboratory. What do you think they have there? Laser beams. What else? Sauce. Laser beams and
0:26:49 saws? I don’t really know. Saucers? Saucers? It’s a top secret place. How else does mommy make money?
0:26:57 Take pictures. That’s right. Taking pictures. Who does she take pictures of? People. Taking pictures
0:27:01 of people. That’s right. Because landscapes don’t write checks. We call that our side hustle. Do you know
0:27:06 what a side hustle is? No. Well, now you do. It’s something extra that you do to make money.
0:27:13 Work? Yeah. Extra work. I think I know a good job I could do. Yeah. If you needed to make money,
0:27:19 what would you do? I could keep mice out of the attic. Keep mice out of the attic? Yeah. That’s
0:27:25 definitely a legit job. Like rodent proofing, for sure. Yeah. I could put security systems. Oh,
0:27:32 security system? For a mouse. Okay. So I’d put some cheese in the attic tied to a string and then the
0:27:38 mice would eat the cheese. They would like bring the cheese to their house, but then it would pull
0:27:44 the string and then the net would go on. Okay. I feel like there’s an old board game like that.
0:27:50 What’s your favorite game to play? Uno. The game that never ends. Uno can go on for a long time.
0:27:55 Remember that time where we played with grandma and grandpa and all grandma had good greens?
0:28:03 Yeah. And it lasted like almost half the night, right? It lasted for a long time. People were trying
0:28:09 to help you win. I had something else I was going to ask you and then I forgot. What was it? It was,
0:28:13 oh, are you excited for kindergarten? Yes. What’s going to happen at kindergarten?
0:28:18 I don’t know. Me neither, man. It’s been a long time since I was in kindergarten.
0:28:25 My kindergarten teacher was Mrs. Rockwell. That’s weird. Do you think she likes rocks?
0:28:32 Maybe so. I can find some pretty cool rocks. Diamond-shaped ones. That’s for sure.
0:28:36 Yeah. White ones. White ones. Do you think you can ride a school bus to kindergarten?
0:28:40 Yeah. Yeah? How are you going to know where to go?
0:28:43 Go where? And once you get to the school, it’s a big place.
0:28:50 I just look around first. Just look around. Somebody will probably be like a, uh, that looks
0:28:56 like a confused kindergartner. Right this way, sir. What’s your name? I look like a confused…
0:29:02 Well, I bet most of the people who first got there were pretty confused. That’s right. You won’t be
0:29:07 the only one. Yeah. If you had a kid, what kind of advice would you give them? I don’t know.
0:29:13 What kind of advice does mama give you? Be a good listener. Be a good listener. What else?
0:29:18 Be nice to Gray. Yes. Be nice to brother, for sure. She’s mostly trying to help you,
0:29:22 you know, grow up to be a good human, you know? Okay. Okay. Okay. All right. You want to be done
0:29:25 with this? Yeah. Okay. All right. Thanks, dude.
With Mother’s Day coming up, I wanted to share some of the best advice and lessons I got from mom growing up. Most of the time, this was pretty literal advice, but I found a lot of it has a broader application to entrepreneurship.
Mom has always been probably my biggest advocate and supporter. For background, she essentially had a couple different careers, first in nursing and then as a library assistant.
(At the library, she actually helped me get one of my first jobs in high school.)
Lots of wisdom I hope to be able to pass along to our little ones!
And if you like this format, be sure to check out the companion list/episode on dad’s advice!
Full Show Notes: Mom Advice: 10 Life Lessons from Mom
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