#81 – Anca Dragan: Human-Robot Interaction and Reward Engineering
Anca Dragan is a professor at Berkeley, working on human-robot interaction — algorithms that look beyond the robot’s function in isolation, and generate robot behavior that accounts for interaction and coordination with human beings.
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Here’s the outline of the episode. On some podcast players you should be able to click the timestamp to jump to that time.
OUTLINE:
00:00 – Introduction
02:26 – Interest in robotics
05:32 – Computer science
07:32 – Favorite robot
13:25 – How difficult is human-robot interaction?
32:01 – HRI application domains
34:24 – Optimizing the beliefs of humans
45:59 – Difficulty of driving when humans are involved
1:05:02 – Semi-autonomous driving
1:10:39 – How do we specify good rewards?
1:17:30 – Leaked information from human behavior
1:21:59 – Three laws of robotics
1:26:31 – Book recommendation
1:29:02 – If a doctor gave you 5 years to live…
1:32:48 – Small act of kindness
1:34:31 – Meaning of life
Her recent TED Talk is one of the top 10 most-watched of the year, and she is a sought-after expert in media such as the Today show, Good Morning America, CBS’s Early Show, CNN’s Newsroom, and NPR’s Fresh Air. Her new iHeart podcast, Dear Therapists, produced by Katie Couric, will premiere this year.
Please enjoy!
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Scott explores the idea of “Love in the Time of Corona” answering listener questions about how to prepare, adapt, and respond during these volatile times. He also sits down with Aswath Damodaran, Professor of Finance at the NYU Stern School of Business, to understand his take on the virus, markets, and investing.
(Kai was actually guest #4 on The Side Hustle Show way back in 2013, he also had an encore performance a year later in episode 59.)
This time around, Kai walks us through the 3 levers that anyone can use to grow their business:
Find new customers
Get referrals from existing customers or your network
Sell more to existing customers
With a little creativity and tenacity, you can begin to implement his strategies right away.
Tune in to hear the techniques Kai is using to generate more leads for his business, how he’s turning these prospects into sales and profit, and the 3 specific actions anyone can use to generate leads for their own business.
Ron Klain served as the chief of staff to vice presidents Al Gore and Joe Biden. In 2014, President Barack Obama tapped him to lead the administration’s response to the Ebola outbreak in West Africa. He successfully oversaw a hellishly complex effort preparing domestically for an outbreak and surging health resources onto another continent to contain the disease.
But Klain is quick to say that the coronavirus is a harder challenge even than Ebola. The economy is in free fall. Entire cities have been told to shelter in place. And there’s no telling how long any of this will last. In this conversation, Klain answers my questions about the disease and how to respond to it, as well as questions many of you submitted. We discuss:
How to change the virus’s reproduction and fatality rates
Why you need to work backward from health system capacity
What it means to “flatten the curve”
Why social distancing will be with us for a long time to come
The difference between “social distancing” and “self-quarantine”
What the Trump administration needed to do earlier, and what they still can do now
The testing debacle
The economic policy necessary to make social distancing possible
Why we need to remember not everyone can work at home
What it would take to surge health care capacity in the US — and how fast we could potentially do it
The strengths and weaknesses of America’s particular health care system in responding to a pandemic like this one
Whether the coronavirus is showing authoritarian systems perform better than liberal(ish) democracies
What Joe Biden is like in a crisis
And much more. I’ve been covering the coronavirus nonstop, and this is one of the clearest, most useful conversations I’ve had. If you’re feeling overwhelmed, the clarity of Klain’s analysis will help.
Also: We want to know what kinds of coronavirus conversations you want to hear right now. Email us at ezrakleinshow@vox.com with suggestions for guests, or just angles. This is going to be a hard time, and we want this podcast to be as much a help as possible.
In just a few weeks, the novel coronavirus has undone a century’s worth of our economic and social habits. What consequences will this have on our future — and is there a silver lining in this very black pandemic cloud?
0:00:03 – Hi, and welcome to the A16Z podcast. 0:00:05 I’m Hannah, and this is another in our series 0:00:06 of all remote podcasts. 0:00:08 We’re at a moment where we’re now seeing medicine 0:00:10 go virtual faster and at a scale 0:00:12 that it has never done before. 0:00:15 So in this conversation with A16Z Bio General Partners, 0:00:17 Vijay Pande and Julie Yu, 0:00:20 who come from the worlds of biotech and care delivery, 0:00:22 we talk about what exactly virtual care 0:00:24 and telemedicine is and what it isn’t, 0:00:27 what it works well for, what doesn’t yet, 0:00:28 and where there’s potential. 0:00:30 And finally, the current pain points, 0:00:33 including regulation and what we’ll learn 0:00:36 from this current moment for the next generation of tools. 0:00:37 Stay tuned for another episode soon 0:00:39 where we’ll also cover the clinical perspective 0:00:42 from the field next. 0:00:43 – I’m gonna tell you guys right now 0:00:46 that there may be some dog barks and kid stuff 0:00:47 in the background. 0:00:49 Okay, so we’re all getting these messages 0:00:53 from all our providers telling us to use virtual chat, 0:00:56 to use all these different telemedicine tools. 0:00:58 So we’re in a moment where medicine 0:01:01 is really going virtual at scale. 0:01:02 Can we start by just talking about 0:01:06 what virtual medicine or telemedicine actually means? 0:01:07 What those different categories are? 0:01:08 Is it all the same thing? 0:01:11 Like, what are we actually talking about here? 0:01:12 – Typically what people think about 0:01:14 when we say virtual care 0:01:17 is probably the traditional sort of video visit 0:01:18 where you have two screens, 0:01:21 the patient and the provider are talking to each other live. 0:01:22 Virtual care I think is much more 0:01:25 of like a broader paradigm around, 0:01:27 how do you sort of overcome 0:01:30 the constraints of the traditional healthcare system 0:01:32 which are largely I would say two things. 0:01:36 One is geography, which is that typically you as a patient, 0:01:38 the demand side of the market only really has access 0:01:41 to the supply side that is within a reasonable radius 0:01:42 of where they physically are. 0:01:44 And then also the physical brick and mortar 0:01:46 component of healthcare. 0:01:49 – So basically a way to get around the fact that you, 0:01:51 at the moment you have a certain doctor 0:01:53 within your geographic range 0:01:55 and a certain provider and a story. 0:01:55 – Yeah. 0:01:57 And it’s more than just video visits as well. 0:01:59 It could be asynchronous messaging. 0:02:01 It could be continuous monitoring. 0:02:03 It could be, you know, sensing. 0:02:05 – Frankly, it could even be a telephone call. 0:02:08 I mean, we can go low tech in addition to higher tech. 0:02:09 And as an alternative, 0:02:11 just everybody goes to the emergency room 0:02:12 ’cause they don’t know what they’re doing. 0:02:14 Just even the triaging of the telephone call 0:02:15 goes a long way. 0:02:18 – In terms of on the biological side, 0:02:21 what works for telemedicine and what doesn’t? 0:02:25 – I can say like, oh, I have a fever and my ear really hurts. 0:02:26 I’m highly suspicious of an earache. 0:02:29 And like probably you could make that diagnosis 0:02:30 based on a lot of stuff 0:02:31 without actually looking in my eardrum, 0:02:34 but like listening to lungs or listening to heart. 0:02:37 Like how, what are the limitations of what works 0:02:39 and what doesn’t for this particular medium? 0:02:41 – For a general practitioner, 0:02:45 you could probably do a vast majority of what is done there. 0:02:46 I mean, certainly not everything. 0:02:48 Let’s say just even in the routing function 0:02:50 where we’re trying to just understand 0:02:52 what are the more serious cases and what has to be done? 0:02:55 You could probably do a lot of triaging 0:02:57 and that might be the most important thing. 0:02:59 And the key thing is especially in a situation 0:03:00 like we have today, 0:03:03 you have routing with the benefit 0:03:06 of not having to bring someone in physically. 0:03:09 And it’s natural thing about what you can’t do, 0:03:11 but just the unique things of what you can do, 0:03:13 reaching people immediately 0:03:16 and also keeping them sort of quarantined 0:03:17 is particularly intriguing. 0:03:20 In many ways, like an ER or a hospital 0:03:23 as well as most dangerous places to be just in general. 0:03:26 – So you’re saying essentially it’s not really about diagnosis, 0:03:28 it’s about triage? 0:03:31 – I think diagnosis goes hand in hand with triage, 0:03:33 but that might be one of the biggest wins 0:03:35 just to know what to escalate and how to handle it. 0:03:38 In some ways that’s what a GP’s job is, you know, 0:03:40 to say, oh, this is something that can be dealt with home care 0:03:42 or this is something that can be escalated, 0:03:43 that needs to be escalated. 0:03:48 The telephone call, the call your kind of pediatric nurse stuff, 0:03:51 right, like there’s been some level of that already. 0:03:54 We’re starting to lean on that a lot more 0:03:55 in this particular moment. 0:03:58 The video chat is definitely one of the things 0:04:00 we’re seeing most, where are we right now 0:04:03 in how much we’re using these tools 0:04:08 and how kind of robust they are in their rollout in the system. 0:04:09 – When you think about like the traditional phone call, 0:04:12 which yes, is a form of virtual care, 0:04:13 one of the challenges of that model 0:04:17 is that every single caller is treated the same 0:04:18 and when they’re waiting in the queue, 0:04:21 there’s no way to understand how to effectively triage 0:04:24 the ones that might have higher risk versus lower risk. 0:04:26 And so there’s a whole slew of companies 0:04:29 that have a virtual agent or like a chat bot 0:04:32 that essentially can ask you questions in a digital form 0:04:35 in a self-service way that, you know, 0:04:38 sort of prioritize the level of risk of a patient 0:04:41 prior to them even engaging with the healthcare system. 0:04:43 That’s one thing that will unlock a bunch of capacity 0:04:45 is, you know, rather than just brute force 0:04:46 putting everyone in a line and waiting 0:04:48 until they human answer the phone 0:04:50 to figure out where they need to go, 0:04:53 these technologies can actually sort of be more intelligent 0:04:55 about how to route people in the right direction upfront. 0:04:58 – And is that happening yet now 0:05:00 when we have this telemedicine conversation, 0:05:02 it feels like I’m in line, I’m waiting 0:05:04 and then the nurse, you know, pops up 0:05:05 and we have a conversation. 0:05:07 I mean, may type a few things in, 0:05:11 but is it actually being sort of prioritized? 0:05:14 – In pockets, so there are a set of larger employers 0:05:16 and a set of larger health plans 0:05:18 that have partnered with these digital health companies 0:05:21 to make those tools available to their members 0:05:22 or to their employees, 0:05:24 which not by any means in the mainstream, 0:05:26 but you are seeing, you know, all over the web, 0:05:28 all these companies are broadcasting the fact 0:05:31 that they have intelligence in those virtual chatbots 0:05:34 that can help people assess what their level of risk is 0:05:36 with regards to COVID specifically, 0:05:38 but also all sorts of other things 0:05:41 and essentially allow them to determine 0:05:43 whether or not they actually need to come in 0:05:44 to a physical brick and mortar clinic. 0:05:46 – You know, compared to what we could be doing, 0:05:48 it’s really intriguing in that 0:05:51 it wouldn’t take much for people to do vitals at home. 0:05:53 If you think about the sort of virtual paradigm 0:05:57 is how can the doctor connect with measuring things? 0:05:59 The fact that now you can measure a lot of things at home 0:06:03 such that maybe even $100 would get you a kit 0:06:07 that your family could use to get basics plus plus, 0:06:10 you know, maybe even includes like a stethoscope 0:06:13 that can send the sounds of your heart 0:06:16 and your lungs and so on to the doctor. 0:06:17 I think there’s a lot more that could be done 0:06:19 than what we’re doing right now. 0:06:21 – When you think about like the tools that we all, 0:06:23 like the vast majority of Americans 0:06:27 at least have like in their household set of things, 0:06:29 like thermometer is definitely one where it’s pretty much, 0:06:30 you can assume that, you know, 0:06:33 most most citizens have a thermometer in their house, 0:06:35 but there’s many, many other categories 0:06:38 of like tests essentially that either aren’t available 0:06:40 to consumers off the shelf at your CVS 0:06:43 and actually require either you to send a sample 0:06:45 into a central lab somewhere and, you know, 0:06:49 wait for the cycle to run to get back the results 0:06:50 or that you still need to come in. 0:06:52 And that’s one of the big challenges right now 0:06:55 that we’re seeing with COVID is that there is no at home test 0:06:58 and you have to actually come into these physical facilities 0:07:00 to, you know, both have the sample taken 0:07:01 and the lab test run. 0:07:03 And that’s like just exacerbating 0:07:06 the supply side problem right now with regards to capacity. 0:07:08 And so I think that’s going to be a big area 0:07:11 where we’re already starting to see tremendous movement. 0:07:13 I think this moment is highlighting the fact 0:07:14 that there is so much more 0:07:16 that we need to be investing in as far as innovation 0:07:20 to bring those tests truly into a package modality 0:07:22 that allows human, that allows consumers 0:07:24 to actually do them in their home. 0:07:25 – But so Julie though, are you thinking 0:07:28 if it is like just a blood or urine sample 0:07:29 that probably could be collected 0:07:31 by a mobile full bottomist as well. 0:07:32 – Correct, yeah. 0:07:35 Where essentially like the sample collection kit 0:07:36 can be sent to your house. 0:07:38 And it’s either a urine sample 0:07:42 or a simple blood prick or a saliva sample. 0:07:44 And that, you know, that kid still needs to be sent 0:07:46 to a central lab to be actually run. 0:07:48 And then again, there’s a latency 0:07:49 to getting the results back. 0:07:51 But you also have other tests. 0:07:52 Like, I mean, the pregnancy test 0:07:53 is the most canonical example of this 0:07:57 where you can run the entire end to end test in your home 0:07:58 and get immediate results. 0:08:01 And so I think that’s what we should aspire to 0:08:05 is that a larger portion of sort of what we call 0:08:07 standard blood tests should be available 0:08:09 in that kind of packaging. 0:08:11 – Yeah, no, it’d be great if it was done at home, 0:08:13 but I think even like sending to a central lab 0:08:15 isn’t really that different than what a GP would do. 0:08:18 – Well, what is, I mean, what are the limits? 0:08:19 Because I hear you pointing out a lot of different things 0:08:21 that we could theoretically be doing even right now, 0:08:24 but where are the limits right now of like, 0:08:27 no, this is really the opportunity 0:08:28 for virtual medicine does end here. 0:08:31 You need human to human care delivery. 0:08:34 – The obvious one is if you need a procedure done, 0:08:36 like a surgery, then clearly today, 0:08:38 that is something that does require coming 0:08:41 to a physical operating room type setting, 0:08:42 like a facility that can actually handle 0:08:44 that kind of high-risk procedure. 0:08:46 – But that seems so far out on the spectrum. 0:08:47 Like, is that– 0:08:48 – Yeah, I know. 0:08:50 It’s kind of a while until everyone has like, 0:08:53 a DaVinci robot in their home that a surgeon 0:08:56 can control remotely, but hey, we can all dream. 0:08:58 But that portion of the market has been 0:09:00 unbundling as well in terms of it used to be the case 0:09:01 that you had to go to a hospital. 0:09:03 Now we have these ambulatory surgery centers 0:09:06 that specialize just on outpatient surgical procedures. 0:09:09 So, I mean, there are certain components of that 0:09:10 that you could predict ultimately make it out 0:09:11 to the community. 0:09:13 So that’s kind of one category. 0:09:14 The other thing that that’s worth mentioning 0:09:16 is when we talk about virtual care, 0:09:20 we typically think about the patient-to-provider interaction 0:09:22 as the component that needs to be virtualized, 0:09:24 but there’s a whole backend, 0:09:26 like provider-to-provider communications 0:09:29 still are not virtualized either. 0:09:31 Like a lot of what you are seeing out there 0:09:33 on social media and physicians sort of speaking out 0:09:35 about what’s happening with coronas 0:09:37 is that they themselves don’t have the means 0:09:40 to communicate with each other in a real-time fashion. 0:09:42 – So at the moment, where does that break down? 0:09:45 So even if you have like a fantastic virtual visit 0:09:48 with your doctor, you don’t have to go in, 0:09:49 your doctor can call you antibiotics, 0:09:51 or like, where does the system start failing 0:09:53 in that data sharing behind the scenes, 0:09:54 provider-to-provider? 0:09:57 – Yeah, I would say like the best case scenario 0:09:59 is that it just slows things down, 0:10:03 where you have to have more manual processes in place 0:10:06 to aggregate information that the next provider who you see 0:10:09 needs to be able to make the right decision. 0:10:11 Worst case scenario is that you actually 0:10:12 don’t have access to that data 0:10:14 and you either are blind to that 0:10:17 and therefore make an incorrect or inaccurate decision 0:10:20 or that you have to repeat whatever was done to you before, 0:10:22 which obviously adds cost to the system. 0:10:26 So I think those are a couple of the examples that we see. 0:10:29 That’s rampant today in terms of where a lot 0:10:31 of the unnecessary costs in the system are, 0:10:33 is simply because we don’t have data liquidity 0:10:36 and therefore there’s a lot of repeat testing 0:10:37 and assessment that needs to be done 0:10:39 to get a holistic view of every patient 0:10:41 at every individual encounter. 0:10:44 It’s kind of a weird juxtaposition of kind of the good 0:10:46 and the bad that’s happening right now, 0:10:49 but CMS and ONC just polish their interoperability rules 0:10:53 that mandate the adoption of certain interoperability 0:10:56 standards and technologies for hospitals 0:10:58 to exchange medical information. 0:11:01 And, you know, until that is in place, 0:11:03 I think one of the biggest constraints 0:11:06 to actually virtualizing care models 0:11:08 is the exchange of data that enables all 0:11:11 of the decentralized players to have access 0:11:13 to the same information. 0:11:15 – You know, it’s fun to connect to what Julie’s talking 0:11:18 about about virtual care being not just sort of a GP 0:11:21 to a patient at home in that you could imagine 0:11:22 having a sort of virtual care 0:11:26 where you have a specialist consult done virtually. 0:11:27 – Exactly. 0:11:29 – Because right now, often the patient has to reschedule 0:11:33 a whole nother meeting and having that done 0:11:36 briefly, virtually would be particularly intriguing. 0:11:38 And then another topic that this connects to 0:11:40 that’s I think a proud brother of stuff 0:11:42 that we’ve spoken about in the past 0:11:44 is sort of the unblundling of the hospital. 0:11:47 It’s interesting just to think how far you can unblundle it 0:11:49 with the goal of keeping people out of hospitals 0:11:50 as much as we can. 0:11:53 Keep them at home and do as much as you can do at home. 0:11:55 Do it in local centers as much as you can do there 0:11:57 and only escalate to a hospital. 0:11:59 If, you know, if you’re having like a triple bypass, 0:12:01 I don’t think that’s ever gonna be done at home. 0:12:02 Certainly not a damn soon. 0:12:04 – But like, I kind of want to know like, 0:12:06 what’s the farthest you can imagine it, you know, 0:12:08 right now with what we’ve got right now, 0:12:10 short of a triple bypass. 0:12:11 – I think all the reading, 0:12:12 you could do a lot of reading at home 0:12:13 because you could do the blood tests, 0:12:15 you could do urine tests, 0:12:16 you could do various measurements, 0:12:20 but like the writing where you do anything to a person, 0:12:23 I think probably that might be just way too far. 0:12:24 – Although I have to say, 0:12:28 I had like a weird foot thing, you know, last year 0:12:31 and my doctor prescribed a virtual physical therapist to me 0:12:33 who like, you know, we had an appointment, 0:12:37 we did exercises and it was much easier than going somewhere. 0:12:39 – Exactly, physical therapy is probably one of the places 0:12:41 where it’s an intervention that traditionally 0:12:43 has required going to a clinic, 0:12:45 but that is one of the big areas 0:12:48 where you start to see kind of at-home innovation. 0:12:49 – Yeah, that’s a great point too, 0:12:51 especially since, you know, for physical therapy, 0:12:55 but for medicine in general, compliance is such an issue. 0:12:57 And if this just helps with compliance, 0:13:00 I mean, to some extreme, just having someone watch you 0:13:01 to make sure you take your meds 0:13:05 and so I’m like having a parent or something like that 0:13:06 or a buddy. 0:13:08 So PT often says about compliance, 0:13:10 there’s all this compliance stuff 0:13:12 that probably could be improved with sort of virtual care. 0:13:14 Part of the problems that were in many ways, 0:13:15 we’re not even trying. 0:13:19 I think that there’s a lot more that we could be doing, 0:13:22 but it means sort of a capital outlay 0:13:26 to get the programs going and then to get rolling. 0:13:29 But that, you know, so that’s on the provider side. 0:13:31 On the patient side, you could argue too 0:13:33 that there are a lot of people that don’t take advantage 0:13:35 of even what we could do now. 0:13:40 And that part of what is powerful about the doctor’s visit 0:13:42 is just sitting there with the doctor 0:13:47 and how much that is a form of medicine and so on, right? 0:13:49 I think, you know, they’ve done these interesting tests 0:13:53 where they have sort of these different variants 0:13:56 of the doctor visit and just the doctor giving attention 0:14:01 has a huge sort of placebo effect or sort of positive effect. 0:14:04 And so we wouldn’t want that human connection part 0:14:07 to be lost and how to do that is tricky. 0:14:10 On the other hand, maybe even just cultural things change 0:14:12 and it just becomes much more of a norm 0:14:14 to connect to people virtually. 0:14:16 That may change, that may change a lot. 0:14:18 I remember even like when the history of the telephone 0:14:21 people originally thought the telephone would be seen 0:14:24 as such an impersonal kind of like, 0:14:25 no one would ever want to use that 0:14:28 versus, you know, connecting in person. 0:14:30 I think we sort of just got over that and got used to that. 0:14:33 I mean, ironically, we’re doing this remotely 0:14:34 where none of us are in the same room right now, 0:14:37 but it’s kind of, I feel like it’d be just like, 0:14:38 it would be the same as we were. 0:14:41 – Right, yeah, almost the same, yeah. 0:14:44 If we can just get over it and get used to it, 0:14:46 that may actually still incur a lot of those benefits. 0:14:48 – What else in terms of stress points? 0:14:49 Because we’re starting to see, you know, 0:14:53 this is gonna be like a fast, big, hard rollout 0:14:55 of a whole bunch of stuff for a bunch of people 0:14:57 that have never used telemedicine 0:14:59 in immediate use all over the place. 0:15:03 So what are some of the other stress points 0:15:05 that you think we’re gonna start see popping up 0:15:07 that like, well, you know, next generation 0:15:10 of virtual medicine tools we’ll learn from? 0:15:12 – Well, two structural things that we should definitely 0:15:15 mention are on the regulatory and like the payment side 0:15:18 where if I’m a doctor and I see what’s going on 0:15:20 and I have a motivation to spin up 0:15:22 my own virtual care practice, 0:15:24 it’s very non-trivial to do that on the fly 0:15:28 because of regulation around licensure. 0:15:31 So it is not the case that I can treat virtually 0:15:33 every patient across all 50 states 0:15:36 unless I am appropriately licensed in the states 0:15:38 where the patients are located. 0:15:39 It’s definitely a source of friction 0:15:41 that prevents a lot of companies 0:15:44 from actually like turning this on from day one. 0:15:46 – So in other words, even though it’s virtual, 0:15:48 it’s still very local. 0:15:50 – It’s still very local, exactly. 0:15:52 There’s actually an interesting study that came out 0:15:55 that showed that there are literally no two states 0:15:58 in the US that have the same policies. 0:16:00 And even within the states, some of the policies conflict 0:16:03 between like state law and Medicaid law 0:16:05 and it’s very convoluted. 0:16:09 So that whole sort of jungle of policy is one big thing 0:16:11 that there’s been talk of change. 0:16:13 And I wonder, given the current situation, 0:16:16 how much that will rise to the top 0:16:18 as a potential regulatory change 0:16:19 that might be put on the table. 0:16:21 – What sort of change do you think could happen? 0:16:23 – Well, just to relax the constraints on licensure 0:16:26 so that there’s essentially, imagine like a common app 0:16:29 type construct where you could apply once 0:16:32 and have coverage across multiple states. 0:16:33 And then the reimbursement one is interesting 0:16:37 because we just saw that the White House signed 0:16:40 an emergency bill that relaxed the constraints 0:16:42 on reimbursement for telehealth services 0:16:44 for the Medicare population. 0:16:46 ‘Cause historically that’s been another huge constraint 0:16:48 that it was only reimbursable 0:16:50 under very specific circumstances. 0:16:53 For instance, like if patients were located in rural areas 0:16:57 that were deemed sort of low access, 0:16:59 those were the only situations where you could get reimbursed 0:17:01 but now they’ve taken that off the table. 0:17:03 We already see positive tailwinds there 0:17:05 but that historically has also been a big challenge 0:17:08 is just getting paid for doing the service. 0:17:09 – Interesting. 0:17:10 – How about scalability? 0:17:12 One of the things I’m very curious about 0:17:14 is how this could help scaling. 0:17:16 And there’s different variations of scaling. 0:17:21 One of the real challenges is just how do you schedule 0:17:24 and sort of do the people matching problem? 0:17:29 And if you had just a bank of virtual doctors or RNs 0:17:31 that could then be much more easily routed 0:17:33 to anyone throughout the country, 0:17:35 you could do load balancing between regions and so on. 0:17:39 In a way where everyone would be at very high capacity 0:17:43 and in situations where there is just extreme need, 0:17:47 you could have a five minute virtual visit 0:17:48 that maybe gets the basics done 0:17:52 in a way that just really wouldn’t be possible to do 0:17:56 in person where you’re just with the rooms packed 0:17:59 and the parking packed and the roads packed. 0:18:01 There’s just things that you could do at scale 0:18:03 that you couldn’t do in other ways. 0:18:05 – And I think that gets to a broader point of like 0:18:08 when healthcare goes virtual, 0:18:09 you don’t think about just like taking the way 0:18:11 that things work in the physical world 0:18:12 and then just like translating it 0:18:13 to a virtual version of that, 0:18:16 but you can sort of like reinvent from the ground up 0:18:19 the actual operating model of how that works. 0:18:23 Today’s healthcare system is the patient has to, 0:18:26 like everything is optimized for the provider’s schedule. 0:18:28 Even the notion of like pre-booking an appointment 0:18:29 and making it work for us, 0:18:32 us meeting patients going out of our way 0:18:36 to accommodate the schedules on the supply side. 0:18:38 Like you could entirely flip that on its head, 0:18:40 especially if you think about a world 0:18:42 in which you’re continuously monitoring patients. 0:18:44 It’s not the patient sort of determining 0:18:46 that he or she needs to go see a doctor, 0:18:48 but rather the data saying, 0:18:51 hey, this patient needs intervention 0:18:52 and actually having the provider’s side of the market, 0:18:54 you know, reach out to the consumer side. 0:18:56 So I think there’s like lots of opportunity there 0:18:58 to make it much more patient centric 0:19:01 as well as much more proactive so that it’s not, 0:19:03 again, the burden is not on the patient 0:19:06 to have to figure out when it’s appropriate to go in. 0:19:08 – So it’s not just you reaching out to your doctor 0:19:09 to get virtual care, 0:19:11 it’s the virtual care reaching out to you 0:19:13 when you need it and you may not even realize it? 0:19:16 – Yeah, then the whole notion of like provider networks 0:19:18 and even like what is a provider 0:19:20 sort of changes fundamentally 0:19:24 where this is also potentially a cultural shift 0:19:29 where in order to do like really intelligent load balancing, 0:19:30 it might be the case that you’re not necessarily 0:19:33 gonna have an established long-term relationship 0:19:34 with like a single human being, 0:19:36 but kind of more of a care team. 0:19:38 And this is a model that’s been talked about, you know, 0:19:40 for a while, this notion of like the medical home 0:19:42 or medical neighborhoods where you have 0:19:43 more of a care team model 0:19:45 and therefore you’re not constrained 0:19:47 by any one individual player in the system, 0:19:50 but rather can tap into multiple resources. 0:19:53 And that’s, I think that’ll be a big cultural change, 0:19:55 at least here in the US. 0:19:57 – It’s funny because, you know, we do, I, you know, 0:20:00 I have a dermatologist and I have like, 0:20:02 I don’t know, dentist and I have a PCP, 0:20:05 but it does seem that the way you develop a relationship 0:20:08 with one PCP and you sort of assume they know you 0:20:11 and they’re looking out for the 360 degrees of you, 0:20:13 whether or not that’s actually true, 0:20:16 that is like a very, that does feel like an important cultural 0:20:19 and emotional thing in this particular culture. 0:20:23 Is there a way to do both in the virtual? 0:20:26 – I mean, we’ve seen this in other aspects of our lives, right? 0:20:31 Like you can still have a phenomenal customer experience 0:20:33 when you have like really good CRM 0:20:38 and just really good 360 data on who you are as a consumer 0:20:41 and like retail and, you know, like every time I interact 0:20:43 with an airline, like they know my whole history 0:20:44 and all that kind of stuff. 0:20:47 I mean, we’ve seen this in OB, you know, 0:20:50 I think these days most, at least the larger hospitals 0:20:53 and larger OB clinics, 0:20:55 knowing that it might not be your OB 0:20:57 who’s actually delivering you based on, you know, 0:21:00 when you go into labor, they try to actually introduce you 0:21:04 to the entire care team as part of the prenatal experience 0:21:06 so that no matter who ends up being there, 0:21:10 like during game time, so to speak, 0:21:12 you’re gonna have at least some established relationship 0:21:13 with them. 0:21:14 I think it’s more about like, 0:21:16 how are you setting expectations to the patient upfront 0:21:20 and giving them the room to actually meet everyone 0:21:23 in a low risk way such that when stuff hits the fan, 0:21:25 you have that preexisting relationship. 0:21:27 – But it does, and even in your example with the OBs, 0:21:30 it sort of reminds me of like, okay, so yeah, 0:21:32 I sort of knew all along that whoever I got at the hospital 0:21:34 was gonna be the person I got at the hospital. 0:21:37 And in a way that was a totally separate event 0:21:41 from my pregnancy and like tracking me through the pregnancy 0:21:43 and understanding what was going on with me, you know, 0:21:47 in a way it’s almost unbundling the experience, right? 0:21:48 – Yeah, you could take this virtual idea, 0:21:49 you know, one step further, 0:21:52 whether it’s like a really good chatbot, 0:21:55 a chatbot that could answer a sort of standard question 0:21:59 to the chatbot that knows your history and connect to that 0:22:01 and naturally would and could escalate 0:22:04 to the human being and beyond. 0:22:06 That gets really interesting in terms of scale. 0:22:11 And the question is in my mind, can that type of service, 0:22:14 you know, what fraction of what a doctor does 0:22:15 could be serviced by something like that? 0:22:17 Obviously there’s a lot that couldn’t, 0:22:19 but in terms of just having that with you at any time 0:22:22 that you could just asynchronously connect with, 0:22:23 ask any sort of health question 0:22:26 and with the sort of knowledge 0:22:29 that the answers are completely accurate and so on, 0:22:31 which is a very high bar to make sure the way we reach, 0:22:33 that’s a whole nother direction. 0:22:35 And you could see how that just gets smarter 0:22:36 and smarter as time goes on. 0:22:38 – You guys have heard me talk about Baymax 0:22:40 from the movie “Big Hairy Sex”, 0:22:42 like we’re all gonna have a Baymax at some point. 0:22:43 Japan is like way ahead on this. 0:22:45 So if you actually look at like the landscape 0:22:47 of companion robots in Japan, 0:22:50 they actually have like pet robots, right? 0:22:53 And in some ways, like a lot of why the promise 0:22:56 of like humanoid robots has kind of fallen short 0:22:58 is like we have such high expectations 0:23:00 for the level of intelligence 0:23:02 that those quote unquote human robots have. 0:23:05 Whereas like if it’s a pet, you know, your bar goes down, 0:23:07 but there’s still like a tremendous amount 0:23:10 of therapeutic benefit to having that kind of companion. 0:23:12 And so like, especially with the silver tsunami 0:23:14 and the elderly population and what have you, 0:23:16 there’s like a pretty meaty set of things 0:23:19 that you could do in a very basic form 0:23:20 that are not clinical in nature, 0:23:21 that don’t require clinical judgment, 0:23:24 that would still hugely benefit the system, 0:23:26 both in terms of just like reducing anxiety, right? 0:23:27 That they had a basic level. 0:23:29 – Yeah, wasn’t there some kind of study 0:23:33 where they had baby seal robots in the elder care facility? 0:23:34 – That sounds about right. 0:23:38 – For the, no they did, for the empathy and the comfort 0:23:42 as a particular clinical need in that setting. 0:23:43 So if we’re at the tipping point, 0:23:46 if this moment is sort of the tipping point 0:23:49 for virtual medicine, two questions. 0:23:53 One, why did it take a pandemic to get here? 0:23:57 And then two, what do you think is the most, 0:23:59 the sort of most immediate near term things 0:24:03 that we’re gonna see start rolling out right now 0:24:05 as you know, not just video chat, 0:24:07 but are there other things we’re gonna start seeing today, 0:24:09 tomorrow with COVID going on 0:24:11 that we’re gonna all be getting more familiar with? 0:24:14 – It’s unfortunate that this had to be the forcing event 0:24:16 to sort of bring all of this to light, 0:24:19 but there are a number of tailwinds 0:24:23 that have been in motion that enabled us to actually respond 0:24:26 in a way that’s reasonable in light of this kind of crisis, 0:24:28 which definitely would not have been the case, 0:24:30 I would say, five or six years ago, 0:24:32 like just like the very visceral understanding 0:24:34 that costs are spiraling out of control 0:24:36 in the way that we deliver medicine 0:24:39 in the physical world today is just not sustainable 0:24:41 to patients just being at their wit’s end 0:24:44 with regards to access and convenience 0:24:47 and therefore being willing to adopt 0:24:49 these types of novel technologies, 0:24:51 combined with what we talked about earlier, 0:24:53 where in other parts of our lives, 0:24:55 we are now getting much more comfortable 0:24:58 with the notion of either asynchronous communication 0:25:00 or video based communication. 0:25:03 And then now like the actual virtual care platform technology 0:25:07 is mature enough to actually be delivered at scale. 0:25:08 I was like one of the very early adopters 0:25:10 of some of the early telehealth solutions 0:25:13 and it was super choppy, like the video quality was bad 0:25:16 and it was just not a smooth experience, 0:25:18 but if you do it today, it’s very streamlined. 0:25:20 So I think the confluence of all those things 0:25:22 like had to be in place such that we could respond 0:25:24 in a situation like this in the way that we are. 0:25:26 – But do you think that we would be doing it without 0:25:28 something like this to push us over into it? 0:25:30 Do you think it would just have taken longer? 0:25:31 – I think it would have just taken longer. 0:25:34 I think the forcing function is not just like adoption, 0:25:38 but it’s also again, like there’s top down regulatory change 0:25:39 that’s enabling reimbursement. 0:25:43 There’s, I hope more relaxing of the regulation 0:25:45 around like medical licensure. 0:25:48 And I think we will see like in the next year, 0:25:50 a tremendous uptick in adoption 0:25:53 by at least the enterprise side of the market 0:25:55 for access to virtual care services, 0:25:58 which has always been like an emerging area. 0:26:01 It’s definitely gotten a lot of early uptake, 0:26:03 but this could be the thing that pushes it 0:26:04 into the mainstream. 0:26:07 – The UIs for these things are kind of clunky, 0:26:09 especially in a world where people have like Google 0:26:11 and Facebook and things where these consumer products 0:26:13 have really elegant UIs. 0:26:17 And it’s clear the utility, 0:26:19 if we can get people to use them, be comfortable with it. 0:26:22 I’m just imagining while we’re talking like a Facebook 0:26:24 like feed where I’m chatting with, you know, 0:26:27 my various doctors and everything’s in there 0:26:28 and like my records are there 0:26:30 and these are coming up as posts 0:26:32 and I can just look through it. 0:26:34 Maybe I can even look through my kids’ feeds 0:26:36 to see how their medicine’s going. 0:26:39 That really wouldn’t be that hard to do in principle 0:26:42 and practice, you know, UIs are an art and so on. 0:26:46 But I think if we can force the tools to sort of come up 0:26:49 to speed with what people’s expectations are, 0:26:51 I have a feeling the engagement could be comparable 0:26:54 to engagement in other sort of consumer-like products. 0:26:56 – And it’s interesting ’cause it seems to me like right now, 0:26:59 you know, the sort of incentive to do so 0:27:01 is aligned on both sides, right? 0:27:02 Like nobody actually wants to go 0:27:04 into their doctor’s office right now. 0:27:05 Doctors also don’t want you to go 0:27:07 into the doctor’s office right now. 0:27:10 Like it’s unusual for everybody to be aligned in that way 0:27:12 where we’re all incentivized to use something like this 0:27:14 at the same time. 0:27:15 – Well, I’ll add one more thing, 0:27:18 which is that these difficult times 0:27:21 often create some of the most exciting startups 0:27:23 and that we have this combination now 0:27:26 for sort of the fire to do that, 0:27:29 combine with all of these things just in our face. 0:27:30 You don’t need a world pandemic 0:27:32 for it to be an individual crisis. 0:27:36 And what can we do to handle my crisis in the future? 0:27:38 Hopefully this will give us a model for that. 0:27:39 – Hold this out of tools. 0:27:41 – Virtual care is actually in some ways 0:27:43 like the perfect solution at a time 0:27:46 when we need lower cost ways to deliver care 0:27:48 because the actual way by which you can just eliminate 0:27:50 so much of the cost structure 0:27:53 of the traditional healthcare system. 0:27:54 – Thank you so much for joining us 0:27:58 both on the A16Z podcast goes remote. 0:27:59 – Thank you, stay healthy. 0:28:09 [BLANK_AUDIO]
We’re at a moment where we are now seeing medicine go virtual faster, and at a scale that it has never done before. In this conversation, a16z bio general partners Vijay Pande and Julie Yoo, who come from the worlds of bio, technology and care delivery, talk with Hanne Tidnam all about what exactly virtual care and “telemedicine” is… and what it isn’t; what it works well for, what doesn’t (yet), and where there’s potential; and finally, the current pain points (including regulation), and what we’ll learn from this current moment for the next generation of virtual medicine tools.
What can you do to make the world a better place? Listen to Guy Kawasaki interview social activist Shane Claiborne and be inspired by his ideas on hope, where the change we need is going to come from and much more. Another compelling episode of the Remarkable People podcast is just a click away.
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Sharon Salzberg, Dealing with Anxiety During Stressful Times (#39)
Sharon Salzberg is a New York Times Bestselling author and teacher of Buddhist meditation practices in the West. Her emphasis is on vipassana (insight) and metta (loving-kindness) methods and has been leading meditation retreats around the world for over three decades.
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0:00:02 – Hi, and welcome to the A16Z podcast. 0:00:03 I’m Hannah. 0:00:05 A lot’s going on in the world of healthcare right now, 0:00:07 and one topic that’s especially relevant 0:00:10 is how diagnostic labs work. 0:00:11 The conversation that follows, 0:00:12 which was actually recorded 0:00:15 at our A16Z Innovation Summit in November, 0:00:18 covers everything from the evolution of the modern lab 0:00:20 over the past 50 years, 0:00:23 especially as new technologies and new tests are added, 0:00:25 how tests go from being specialized 0:00:27 to mainstream and widely available, 0:00:31 to who pays, how, and how reimbursement works. 0:00:34 We also discuss where information from the lab flows 0:00:36 in electronic health records or elsewhere 0:00:37 in the healthcare system, 0:00:40 a topic we’ve covered before on this podcast, 0:00:42 so be sure to check out those past episodes 0:00:43 with General Partner Julie Yu, 0:00:47 and touch on what the lab of the future might be like. 0:00:48 Joining this conversation with me 0:00:51 and General Partner Jorge Conde is Dave King, 0:00:55 Executive Chairman and previous CEO and President at LabCorp, 0:00:57 one of the largest clinical laboratory networks 0:00:59 in the world. 0:01:00 – So where should we begin 0:01:03 when we talk about the evolution of the modern lab? 0:01:05 What’s the history and what do you think of as the timeline 0:01:07 of where we began to what brought us 0:01:08 to the modern lab today? 0:01:10 – Our original founder, Dr. Jim Powell, 0:01:13 was talking about why he came up with the idea 0:01:16 of a reference lab, and he’s a pathologist, 0:01:17 and one of the things he pointed out 0:01:21 is that in the day in 1969, 0:01:23 when a test was sent to a laboratory, 0:01:25 sometimes it would be five, six days 0:01:26 before a response came back 0:01:28 and the patient either had progressed 0:01:30 or as he said, progressed, released or died. 0:01:31 – Too slow. 0:01:35 – Too slow, not super reliable or reproducible 0:01:37 in terms of overall quality. 0:01:40 A lot of work was done in hospitals or small laboratories. 0:01:44 Jim’s idea was, let’s put the instruments in one place 0:01:45 and bring the specimens, 0:01:47 instead of sending the specimen somewhere 0:01:49 and waiting for the answer to come back. 0:01:52 And obviously that’s evolved over the course of time 0:01:55 into reference laboratories that look like warehouses. 0:01:57 I mean, look, manufacturing facilities. 0:02:00 You know, large numbers of very high throughput instruments, 0:02:04 very IT and tech connected. 0:02:06 We have a robotic sorting machine 0:02:07 that we’re putting into all of our laboratories, 0:02:10 which basically replaces all of what we used to do 0:02:12 at the front end manually, you know, 0:02:14 uncapping, shaking, pouring off. 0:02:17 And so the business has not changed a lot 0:02:19 over the 50 years, what we do, 0:02:21 but the way in which we do it and the quality 0:02:23 and the scope and the, you know, 0:02:26 the breadth of our business has changed quite dramatically. 0:02:27 – What is the sort of, like, 0:02:29 the spectrum of diagnostics for each lab? 0:02:31 How do you specialize in different labs or not? 0:02:33 Like, what does that look like, that lay of the land? 0:02:37 – So we perform about 4,400 different tests. 0:02:39 Not all labs have a menu as big as ours. 0:02:41 There are also some highly specialized labs 0:02:43 that do, for example, oncology testing 0:02:46 or do coagulation testing for blood cancers 0:02:48 or do thyroid testing. 0:02:50 We think of an SHR test as anything 0:02:53 that is performed by a sort of non-standard methodology. 0:02:56 So if you come to our laboratories, 0:02:59 there’s a huge set of chemistry instruments 0:03:00 that just, they run chemistry tests, 0:03:02 all day long, glucose, potassium. 0:03:05 There’s a huge set of hematology instruments 0:03:06 that run CBCs. 0:03:08 We look for infections in high white blood cell counts. 0:03:11 And then there are DNA tests, 0:03:13 which are in the SHR category. 0:03:15 There are specialized thyroid testing. 0:03:16 There’s allergy. 0:03:19 All things kind of outside what we would consider 0:03:21 the norm of basic wellness testing. 0:03:23 – And so over time, you would imagine 0:03:27 the definition of a test will move from esoteric 0:03:31 to non-esoteric as it becomes more commonly used. 0:03:32 – Absolutely, yeah. 0:03:34 There’s definitely an arc when you introduce, 0:03:39 you know, when ACOG dictated that within their guidelines 0:03:43 all pregnant couples should be tested for cystic fibrosis. 0:03:45 I mean, we had offered cystic fibrosis for years. 0:03:46 Nobody ever ordered it. 0:03:47 Now all of a sudden it exploded. 0:03:49 And so it really went from being 0:03:53 a pretty esoteric test that was not commonly ordered 0:03:57 to very much a routine part of prenatal screening and care. 0:03:59 And there are many examples like that over time. 0:04:00 – So how does that happen? 0:04:03 How does a new test get integrated into this system? 0:04:05 Is it partially about whether you have the tools available 0:04:07 or whether the demand for the test is there? 0:04:08 What is the driving factor? 0:04:10 – We always start with what’s the unmet clinical need. 0:04:12 I mean, obviously market size matters 0:04:14 ’cause there has to be enough market demand 0:04:16 to justify bringing up a test. 0:04:18 But, you know, what is an unmet clinical need? 0:04:21 So if you look at non-invasive prenatal testing, 0:04:24 for example, the unmet medical need was 0:04:29 that invasive prenatal testing, whether Amnio or CVS, 0:04:32 you know, pose risk to both mother and the fetus. 0:04:35 And as the technology improved 0:04:37 to where this could be done through blood testing, 0:04:38 it clearly made sense to integrate that 0:04:41 into the sort of the more standard test menu. 0:04:43 When you do it through blood, 0:04:45 it’s a simple, relatively painless process. 0:04:49 There’s literally no risk to the mother or the fetus. 0:04:50 The results come back faster 0:04:52 and the reliability is very much concordant 0:04:54 with the more invasive procedure. 0:04:55 So that’s a good example 0:04:57 of where there was a clear clinical need 0:05:01 for a better way of doing what we’re doing. 0:05:03 Other tests like companion diagnostics, 0:05:06 where a drug comes out and we’re able to demonstrate 0:05:08 either in the clinical trial 0:05:10 or through use in the marketplace, 0:05:13 that there’s a diagnostic test that can tell you 0:05:16 whether this drug is gonna be efficacious 0:05:17 for this patient with this condition. 0:05:20 There, the clinical need is almost always very compelling 0:05:23 because you’re talking about potentially 0:05:26 a very expensive drug and you wanna know, 0:05:27 is it gonna work for this patient 0:05:29 or is it just gonna be, you know, 0:05:32 more healthcare resources that are not gonna be well spent? 0:05:34 – So how about the information flow? 0:05:36 In some ways, the lab is sort of the ground truth, you know, 0:05:38 and that it doesn’t mean anything 0:05:41 if that information doesn’t go somewhere and have an effect. 0:05:42 So can you describe to us, 0:05:44 is it more complicated than we think 0:05:46 or is it just lab to provider? 0:05:48 What is the kind of information flow at the moment? 0:05:50 How does that work in the system? 0:05:52 – That’s one of the big changes that’s occurred 0:05:54 when I started a lab core. 0:05:57 We still used to drive around with paper reports 0:05:59 in the courier vans and drop them off 0:06:00 at the doctor’s offices. 0:06:03 In most cases, you know, we drop them the next day 0:06:05 and those were the days when the doctor would have 0:06:08 the folder out, a test would go in the chart and the, you know, 0:06:12 so now I think upwards of 85% of what we return 0:06:14 is returned in some electronic fashion 0:06:17 and it may flow directly back into the doctor’s medical record, 0:06:19 you know, electronic health record. 0:06:21 It may go back in some other electronic fashion 0:06:23 where it goes to the doctor’s office 0:06:26 but it doesn’t directly integrate into the health record. 0:06:29 And this, in my opinion, is actually one of the big obstacles 0:06:34 to a more seamless coordination of care system for patients 0:06:36 because I agree with you, the lab is the ground truth. 0:06:40 I mean, you know, 70% of clinical diagnoses 0:06:42 start with a laboratory result 0:06:45 and doctors always, you come into the doctor 0:06:46 and you say, I’m not feeling well. 0:06:47 The first question is, well, you know, 0:06:49 let’s look at the labs and see what they say. 0:06:51 Do you have an infection? 0:06:53 If you’re overtired, is it your thyroid? 0:06:56 The problem is we have many participants in the system 0:06:59 who don’t facilitate the exchange of information. 0:07:02 And so, you know, we have local hospitals 0:07:04 near our headquarters that won’t allow us 0:07:06 to return information electronically 0:07:07 into the medical record. 0:07:08 – Is that still happening? 0:07:11 – Oh yeah, and if the doctor wants to order from LabCorp, 0:07:13 like my physician works at a local hospital, 0:07:16 you know, he receives the reports back as a PDF. 0:07:19 – Those hospitals want to use their own labs, essentially. 0:07:21 – Very much so, because this is where the interest 0:07:23 in the system are not well aligned. 0:07:25 The hospital labs are able to command 0:07:28 much higher pricing from the payers than we are, 0:07:30 so they have a vested interest in using their own labs. 0:07:33 And, you know, I think this will evolve 0:07:35 as we, two things happen. 0:07:37 One, we move into the value-based care environment 0:07:41 where the dollar cost of services is less relevant 0:07:45 than the overall kind of bundle of care and outcomes. 0:07:49 And number two, healthcare is a truly unique ecosystem 0:07:52 because we don’t have pricing transparency. 0:07:53 You don’t know what it’s gonna cost you 0:07:55 to have a service done. 0:07:57 We have our phones, we can tell exactly what we’re gonna pay 0:07:59 for this service or for this product, 0:08:01 we can comparison shop. 0:08:02 We don’t have that in healthcare, 0:08:04 and all of the pricing transparency work 0:08:07 that’s being done now is more about list price 0:08:10 than it is what is gonna cost the patients. 0:08:11 You know, the consumer is smart. 0:08:15 They can make sound, both economic and quality decisions 0:08:16 about their lab services. 0:08:19 – But it does feel like, I hate when I get a test result 0:08:21 back directly through my medical chart, you know, 0:08:24 without it having been seen by the doctor 0:08:28 because it feels like so often there’s this context 0:08:29 that I don’t have. 0:08:31 So like, something will come up and I’ll like Google, 0:08:33 okay, there’s some range here and this looks a little weird, 0:08:35 you know, and then the doctor will be like, well, X, Y, 0:08:36 and Z, that’s why it’s totally fine. 0:08:39 You know, in that information flow, 0:08:40 how do you think about both the translation 0:08:43 and the context when it’s going direct to consumer like that? 0:08:45 – I think some test results are binary, right? 0:08:47 I mean, you tell the consumer you have or you don’t have 0:08:49 and that’s fairly simple. 0:08:51 Things that are much more nuanced, you know, 0:08:53 thyroid stimulating hormone. 0:08:57 The difference between 0.3 and 0.4 is probably 0:09:00 pretty much irrelevant, but the difference between, you know, 0:09:02 0.3 and 1.3 can be quite relevant. 0:09:04 And I think two things are critical there. 0:09:08 One is, you know, as we move more into direct consumer, 0:09:12 we need to figure out in a more comprehensive way 0:09:13 how we provide context. 0:09:16 So one of the things I’ve always thought is, 0:09:19 it would be great to be able to provide a link 0:09:21 on the report that goes to the patient kind of. 0:09:23 – So I don’t just go to Dr. Google, 0:09:25 who’s terrifying always. 0:09:27 – Everybody goes to Google and when you’ll find a lot 0:09:29 of chat groups where people say, oh yeah, you know, 0:09:32 I had a 1.3 and the next thing I knew I was in the hospital 0:09:35 for two months, oh, so I think that’s really important. 0:09:37 And again, part of that runs up against the current 0:09:40 regulatory environment and what you can do in terms of claims 0:09:43 for the testing or how you can interpret the testing 0:09:45 when you’re not a physician in the practice of medicine. 0:09:48 But it’s an area that we need to get our arms around 0:09:51 because it’s only gonna grow and consumers are only getting 0:09:52 more and more interested in. 0:09:53 – Yeah, that’s the direction. 0:09:54 – Absolutely. 0:09:57 – One of the things you mentioned was physicians themselves 0:10:00 being well positioned to interpret tests. 0:10:03 When you look at something like genetic testing, 0:10:06 the vast majority of physicians can’t go very, very deep 0:10:08 on interpreting those results. 0:10:12 And so as a result, there’s a need for genetic counselors 0:10:13 and the like. 0:10:15 So actually on the topic of the consumer, 0:10:19 what’s your view in terms of what consumers should be able 0:10:20 to order directly? 0:10:22 ‘Cause there’s been a rise of direct to consumer diagnostics 0:10:26 type services and you know, the pro argument is 0:10:29 consumers should have control over their own information. 0:10:30 It is their healthcare data. 0:10:32 They are the ultimate decision makers. 0:10:35 The con argument is that consumers may not be equipped 0:10:39 to fully comprehend what a diagnostic test is telling them. 0:10:41 Where would you come out on that? 0:10:45 – I am not a believer in the sort of paternalistic 0:10:47 healthcare system of, you know, everything has to go 0:10:50 through some learned third party who’s gonna interpret it. 0:10:55 The truth is with the explosion of genetic information, 0:10:58 for example, there are many physicians who practice 0:11:01 in the community who are not fully informed about 0:11:03 what these tests mean or how they should be ordered 0:11:04 or interpreted. 0:11:07 So it’s really in my view a little short-sighted to say, 0:11:10 well, the consumers, you know, quote unquote, 0:11:12 doesn’t have the information to be responsible 0:11:14 for the consequences of the testing. 0:11:17 The other side of that, which I, you know, fully respect 0:11:20 the regulators position is consumers need to understand 0:11:22 and we need to help the consumer understand. 0:11:26 Like a lot of these tests are complicated. 0:11:30 And so if you get a result that says that you have 0:11:33 sensitivity, for example, to warfarin or you’re a 0:11:37 fast metabolizer, gosh, the consumer can’t go out 0:11:39 and adjust their own dose with that information. 0:11:43 And so there’s a fine balance, health and wellness, 0:11:45 sexually transmitted diseases, things that I would say 0:11:49 are more kind of in the mainstream of what the consumer 0:11:50 would be able to understand. 0:11:52 But you have to respect the fact that, you know, 0:11:54 consumers want more information and the broader flow 0:11:58 of information is a positive for decision-making 0:11:59 and for our system. 0:12:02 – But what does it look like the push towards value-based 0:12:04 or outcome-based care in the healthcare system overall, 0:12:07 where we’re all trying to maybe shift towards valuing 0:12:11 those outcomes instead of paying per price, per service? 0:12:14 – In my view, the fundamental challenge with providing 0:12:17 well-coordinated care was the total lack of alignment 0:12:18 between the interests of the parties 0:12:19 in our healthcare system. 0:12:22 We have the largest cohort of genetic counselors 0:12:23 in the United States as a result of the 0:12:27 GenSIME Genetics acquisition, and we do not get reimbursed 0:12:29 for genetic counseling services for the most part. 0:12:30 – That’s still the case, wow. 0:12:31 – Because most of the genetic counselors 0:12:34 are advanced doctorates, they have a doctorate degree 0:12:36 or they have an advanced degree, but they’re not physicians. 0:12:38 So they can’t get paid off the physician fee schedule 0:12:41 and there’s no code on the clinical fee schedule 0:12:43 to pay people for the test interpretation. 0:12:45 This is really a vexing problem because, you know, 0:12:49 again, our system categorizes people as you’re a doctor 0:12:51 so you can get paid for this or you’re a lab 0:12:52 so you can get paid for that. 0:12:53 And, you know, the genetic counselor provides 0:12:56 just as much interpretation to the physician 0:12:58 as they do directly to the patient, 0:12:59 but you can’t get paid because you’re kind of 0:13:00 in that never, never land. 0:13:02 It should be in the interest of the payers 0:13:04 to pay for genetic counseling. 0:13:06 We’ve had a lot of pushback from the payers about, 0:13:08 well, the genetic counselors have a conflict of interest 0:13:09 ’cause they work for you. 0:13:12 We’ve done a study that shows that there are more instances 0:13:14 in which our genetic counselors recommend 0:13:17 against a genetic test than when outside 0:13:20 genetic counselors are used by the payers. 0:13:21 – What do you attribute that to? 0:13:23 – Because our genetic counselors, 0:13:27 their sole responsibility in their view is to the patient. 0:13:29 The outside genetic counselor is in a much more 0:13:32 difficult position because if they recommend 0:13:34 against the test, hey, you work for Blue Cross, 0:13:37 you work for United, you’re recommending against my test, 0:13:38 you know, the physician gets angry, 0:13:40 the patient gets angry, so there’s much more of a default 0:13:42 of, you know, let’s just go with it 0:13:43 even though it might not be valuable. 0:13:45 And in my personal experience, you know, 0:13:48 I’ve had an instance in which a physician ordered a test 0:13:52 for a family member that really exactly replicated 0:13:54 a different test that had been done. 0:13:57 Genetic tests, you know, from a snip microarray 0:14:00 to a gene sequence, and nobody other than, you know, 0:14:02 once we sent it to our laboratories, 0:14:03 they’re like, you’ve already done this test. 0:14:04 There’s no point doing it again. 0:14:07 So yes, genetic counseling, I still think 0:14:09 it’s vastly underutilized and it will be more 0:14:12 and more important as people get deeper into genetics 0:14:14 and more is known about the genome 0:14:16 and how it’s interpreted. 0:14:19 You mentioned you have a menu of 4,400 tests. 0:14:23 What tests do you think are underutilized, 0:14:24 generally speaking, that would help physicians 0:14:26 make better decisions, right? 0:14:28 ‘Cause the old axiom is the only reason 0:14:30 you would order a diagnostic is if it’s going 0:14:32 to somehow change a decision that your physician 0:14:34 would make in terms of your care. 0:14:37 So the opposite is probably also true 0:14:39 that there are probably tests out there 0:14:41 that the physicians would order would change 0:14:44 the direction in which they manage your care. 0:14:45 – Is there sort of an underutilized category 0:14:46 of tests in your mind? 0:14:48 – You know, again, if you think about 0:14:51 the payer’s interest, it’s pretty simple. 0:14:53 You know, we want you to provide more services 0:14:54 for less price. 0:14:57 From the patient’s perspective, you have the sick, 0:14:59 the chronically sick, you have the worried well, 0:15:01 so, you know, what should be the balance 0:15:03 between what’s ordered and what’s paid for. 0:15:05 And from the provider perspective, 0:15:08 you have a whole array of new tests 0:15:10 that come to market all the time 0:15:12 and what’s the right way to introduce them 0:15:14 and to educate doctors and patients about their use. 0:15:17 I think the most underutilized tests 0:15:20 are actually probably the most common tests. 0:15:24 So I think thyroid testing is very much underused 0:15:27 and not well understood by most primary care physicians. 0:15:29 I think Hemoglobin A1C for management of, 0:15:32 you know, patients with chronic diabetes, 0:15:34 which of course, when you have diabetes, 0:15:37 most patients have two or three other comorbidities. 0:15:38 I think the whole menu of tests 0:15:41 around chronic kidney disease is vastly underutilized 0:15:44 because we know that most patients, 0:15:46 most consumers with chronic kidney disease 0:15:48 don’t even find out about it 0:15:49 until they’re beyond stage two 0:15:51 and, you know, potentially into stage three 0:15:52 of their kidney disease. 0:15:55 And yet the simple EGFR tests, you know, 0:15:58 indicates when your kidney is not performing adequately. 0:16:03 So there’s a whole range of what you and I would characterize 0:16:05 as kind of, quote unquote, routine core tests 0:16:07 that could be much better used 0:16:09 if we had a willingness on the payer’s part 0:16:10 to make that investment. 0:16:12 So can we stay on that for a second? 0:16:14 You talked about price, value. 0:16:15 There’s one thing that I think characterizes 0:16:19 the diagnostics industry, at least historically, 0:16:22 is that reimbursement has always been under pressure 0:16:24 and in many cases declining. 0:16:26 The ability to capture value 0:16:30 has been somewhat challenging or limited. 0:16:32 If you look from the companion diagnostic side, 0:16:34 at least historically, and this is changing, 0:16:36 you know, pharmaceutical companies 0:16:38 actually had little interest or limited interest 0:16:40 in having companion diagnostics 0:16:43 that would exclude patients from undertaking a therapy, 0:16:45 although I think that is shifting. 0:16:47 So when you take all of that together 0:16:48 and you combine that with the fact 0:16:50 that you in some ways have a frenemy in the hospitals, 0:16:52 right, because they have their own labs, 0:16:54 so they wanna keep as much of the testing 0:16:55 that they can themselves 0:16:56 and they will send stuff out to you 0:16:58 when they have to or need to, 0:17:01 what do you think the future of this industry looks like? 0:17:04 – Look, one of the things that I’ve observed 0:17:07 in my career in healthcare and in the lab industry is, 0:17:10 our industry hasn’t changed much 0:17:11 in terms of what we really do. 0:17:13 And yes, it’s changing how we deliver, 0:17:15 it’s changing the throughput of the instruments, 0:17:17 but basically the industry hasn’t changed much. 0:17:18 Why is that? 0:17:20 It’s because we are, you know, 0:17:23 the foundation of diagnosis and care. 0:17:26 And so you can see a healthcare system 0:17:30 in which there are way fewer hospitals 0:17:31 and much more is done in the home 0:17:33 or is done in outpatient centers 0:17:35 and the hospitals are facing that reality. 0:17:39 You can see a system in which there are, you know, 0:17:40 way fewer independent physicians 0:17:43 and they work for somebody or you can see a system, 0:17:46 but I just can’t envision a system in which there’s no lab. 0:17:49 So our position in the infrastructure is essential. 0:17:51 – Let’s talk about reimbursement pressure. 0:17:53 How do you get paid today? 0:17:55 What do you get paid for? 0:17:56 Who pays you? 0:17:58 – There’s always gonna be reimbursement pressure 0:17:59 in healthcare. 0:18:01 I mean, we were engaged in a discussion recently 0:18:02 with an analyst who said, 0:18:03 “Well, I don’t understand why you can’t get 0:18:05 “three to 4% price increases a year 0:18:07 “because, you know, you’re the low-cost provider 0:18:08 “and you bring high value.” 0:18:11 And, you know, it’s just not a realistic way 0:18:14 to look at healthcare and say people are gonna get 0:18:15 three or 4% price increases. 0:18:17 And we know that, you know, 0:18:19 the drug companies are under pressure about their pricing 0:18:21 and the hospitals are under pressure about their pricing. 0:18:24 And so we have to assume that prices 0:18:26 will continue to be under pressure 0:18:29 and that new innovative things 0:18:33 that have a decent price set will erode over time. 0:18:35 Government is actually the largest payer 0:18:37 and the payer of default in our system today. 0:18:39 I don’t think a lot of people realize that, 0:18:42 but Medicare Advantage, which is a government-run program 0:18:44 that’s administered by private companies, 0:18:47 Medicaid, which is a traditional fee-for-service program, 0:18:48 and then Manage Medicaid, which, again, 0:18:50 is a government-funded program 0:18:51 that’s administered by private companies. 0:18:54 Then you add in federal employee benefits, 0:18:56 railroad retirement, you know, I mean, there’s just enough. 0:18:57 So there’s– 0:18:57 – It sounds pretty straightforward. 0:18:59 – Yeah, exactly. 0:19:00 Just send out a bunch of bills 0:19:02 and hope somebody pays them. 0:19:03 So the government is the largest payer 0:19:05 and then Manage Care is the second-largest payer, 0:19:07 the large managed care plans. 0:19:09 We have our CFO, who’s now been with the company 0:19:12 for five years, came from the industrials world. 0:19:13 And he’s a terrific CFO, 0:19:15 but we were talking about the billing system 0:19:16 and he said, “Well, I don’t understand why 0:19:18 “we just don’t go out to Oracle or something, 0:19:19 “just buy one and put it in. 0:19:20 “It just can’t be that complicated. 0:19:21 “You send a bill, they pay.” 0:19:24 I said, “Oh no, it’s a little more, you send a bill. 0:19:26 “They adjudicate it. 0:19:28 “It may go to the patient’s deductible, 0:19:30 “back to the patient. 0:19:33 “It may be that the service is not a coverage service. 0:19:34 “It may be that there’s a coverage policy 0:19:35 “that hasn’t been met. 0:19:38 “It may be that they pay part of it 0:19:40 “and you have to send part of it.” 0:19:43 So billing is a huge and complex area for us 0:19:45 and we have over 2,000 people 0:19:47 who just manage the billing side 0:19:49 of our provision of services. 0:19:50 – And lengthy. 0:19:53 I mean, it sounds like much, much time passing. 0:19:56 – Which is super frustrating for the patient 0:19:57 because by the time they get a bill, 0:19:59 it may be months after they had the service. 0:20:02 And I can’t tell you how many complaints we get about, 0:20:03 I don’t even know who LabCorp is. 0:20:05 My doctor drew some blood 0:20:06 and the next thing I know, I’m getting a bill from you. 0:20:09 So it’s a very complex billing system. 0:20:11 So to your earlier question, Jorge, 0:20:13 about what we do about margins. 0:20:17 I mean, our laboratories are only a small part 0:20:18 of our infrastructure. 0:20:21 We have several thousand cars and couriers 0:20:22 that pick up specimens. 0:20:24 We have our own aircraft. 0:20:26 There’s a whole logistics piece that underlies it. 0:20:30 We have 1,700, 1,800 patient service centers 0:20:31 where people can come and get their blood drawn. 0:20:33 We have people sitting in doctor’s offices. 0:20:36 All of that has to be coordinated underneath the testing. 0:20:40 We’re working on how do we make that more automated, 0:20:43 more digitized, how do we take paper out of the process 0:20:46 so that we can actually deliver the customer 0:20:47 a better experience. 0:20:52 We moved from, you used to go to LabCorp and get there 0:20:54 and it was a laborious process. 0:20:56 You had your requisition for your lab test. 0:20:58 You had to get a driver’s license, your insurance card. 0:20:59 We scanned it. 0:21:01 You fill that information. 0:21:03 Now we have check-in kiosks. 0:21:04 You can check-in online. 0:21:06 I went and had my blood drawn not long ago. 0:21:09 I checked-in online for my testing. 0:21:12 When I got to the patient service center, 0:21:14 I had a QR code if that’s what they’re called on my phone. 0:21:15 I scanned it at the kiosk. 0:21:17 I was checked in, that’s it. 0:21:18 And, you know, five minutes later, 0:21:20 I’m called, testing’s done and I’m through. 0:21:23 So these are ways in which we’re working on 0:21:25 preserving our margin and at the same time 0:21:28 providing a better experience for the consumer. 0:21:30 And I know it’s 4,400 tests. 0:21:31 It’s a pretty broad range. 0:21:34 So it’s going to be an over-generalization, 0:21:37 but on average, what do you get paid per test? 0:21:40 And on average, what is the sort of collections rate? 0:21:42 ‘Cause that’s one of the things that I think is so shocking 0:21:44 to people outside of the healthcare system 0:21:48 that a significant number of percentage of bills 0:21:49 just go unpaid. 0:21:54 – Yeah, so our average encounter price is about $45. 0:21:57 We do about two million patient encounters a week. 0:22:01 And so it’s a big, high-scale, high-throughput business. 0:22:04 We see about 110 million patient encounters a year. 0:22:07 In terms of the bills, you know, our bad debt rate, 0:22:10 our non-collected rate is in the range of 4%. 0:22:11 But when you think about that, first of all, 0:22:13 it’s a very substantial amount and almost all of it 0:22:16 comes from the patient side of the equation. 0:22:19 But what that doesn’t speak to is the amount 0:22:22 of service that we provide that physicians order 0:22:25 that patients need that doesn’t get paid for to begin with. 0:22:27 ‘Cause that doesn’t actually get down to the bottom line. 0:22:29 That all gets adjusted out at the sales level. 0:22:34 So payer policies, we only cover a vitamin D test 0:22:36 with these diagnoses. 0:22:40 Or we have a payer that only covers prenatal screening 0:22:45 for women if the putative father appears at the appointment. 0:22:47 Which when you think about the Medicaid population 0:22:49 or the underserved population, 0:22:51 the chances of getting the putative father 0:22:53 at the appointment are pretty small. 0:22:57 And yet, we know that it’s important for that patient 0:23:00 to have the genetic screening that the physician has ordered. 0:23:04 So there’s a lot of leakage in the system of, you know, 0:23:07 where we’re, and look, you know, we’re a public company, 0:23:09 we’re a for-profit organization. 0:23:10 We have to try to maximize what we can do 0:23:13 for our shareholders, but we also have a real sense 0:23:16 of the mission of improving patients’ health and lives. 0:23:18 And so we do a lot of things that do benefit patients, 0:23:20 even though we get frustrated with the payers 0:23:23 that they have restrictive policies. 0:23:25 – So in this model where the test is ordered, 0:23:27 it’s paid for, and then the information goes on, 0:23:29 there’s lots of leakage in the system, as you say, 0:23:30 and there’s problems with this model, 0:23:32 but it is a very entrenched model. 0:23:35 How do we move towards this value-based 0:23:38 or outcomes-based shift where we’re trying to value 0:23:41 what happens as a result of all these things in the future? 0:23:43 What would that look like in the lab? 0:23:46 – So to me, what that looks like is the hospitals 0:23:48 think about their laboratory, and instead of saying, 0:23:52 well, gee, I can run a thyroid panel in my hospital lab 0:23:54 and get paid $300 for it, 0:23:57 and maybe the patient gets a bill for $16. 0:24:00 To the doctor, it looks like I have a bundle of dollars here 0:24:02 to spend on this patient. 0:24:05 I’m at risk if I spend more than is allocated, 0:24:06 but I also have potential upside 0:24:08 if I spend less than allocated. 0:24:11 So I’m completely good 0:24:14 with sending the test to LabCorp for $40 0:24:16 and using the hospital lab in a different way, 0:24:19 which is supporting the emergency room, 0:24:23 supporting the operating theaters with pathology. 0:24:26 I’m actually optimistic that as we move to value-based care, 0:24:27 there’ll be a much more rational approach 0:24:31 to how we think about where the site of service 0:24:32 should be for everything, right? 0:24:36 I mean, we do way too many non-acute things 0:24:38 in the hospital today. 0:24:41 You should be paid the same price by Medicare 0:24:43 for doing the same service at every site. 0:24:45 The hospital shouldn’t make more 0:24:46 for doing a colonoscopy in the hospital 0:24:48 than they get from doing it 0:24:49 at an ambulatory surgery center. 0:24:52 The doctor should not be getting paid more 0:24:54 for doing chemotherapy in the office 0:24:55 than it can be done at a remote cancer center. 0:24:57 – Yeah, that does feel appropriate. 0:25:00 – And certainly, the hospital should not be getting paid more 0:25:02 for doing chemotherapy in the hospital setting, 0:25:04 which is the worst setting for the patients 0:25:06 to get chemotherapy in than for doing it 0:25:08 in a less acute environment. 0:25:12 So in my mind, it will bring real economic rationality. 0:25:14 It has the potential to bring, if done right, 0:25:15 real economic rationality 0:25:17 to the ancillary services part of the system. 0:25:19 – So you touched on something really interesting, 0:25:23 that healthcare delivery is being pushed out 0:25:26 of the four walls of the monolithic hospital 0:25:27 out into the periphery. 0:25:30 The consumer is increasingly becoming more empowered, 0:25:32 or at least it’s demanding more of healthcare system 0:25:35 as they, in turn, are being demanded to pay more 0:25:37 for their own healthcare employers as well. 0:25:39 What do you think the coming decades look like 0:25:41 from a technology standpoint 0:25:43 for the laboratory diagnostics industry? 0:25:45 I can see how technology will make coordination of care 0:25:49 easier, I can see how it would make logistics more efficient. 0:25:52 I can also imagine how technology will enable us 0:25:55 to test for things that we can’t test for today, 0:25:58 to derive insights that we don’t have today. 0:26:00 But I can also imagine that at some level, 0:26:02 as technology gets better, 0:26:05 it will make less sense to send a sample to the diagnostic 0:26:07 and it’ll become increasingly feasible 0:26:10 to send a diagnostic to the sample. 0:26:14 So is sort of point of care diagnostics technology, 0:26:15 is that an existential threat, 0:26:19 or will there always be things that have to be done 0:26:21 in a centralized lab setting, 0:26:23 even if there are more things over time 0:26:26 that can be done in a sort of point of care setting? 0:26:27 – So are you asking essentially, 0:26:29 will the lab be unbundled too? 0:26:31 – Yeah, my question is will the lab disappear? 0:26:33 – There will always be some tests 0:26:34 that need a venous blood draw, 0:26:37 that need a relatively significant amount of specimen, 0:26:38 and that can only be done in the lab environment. 0:26:40 And particularly, you know, 0:26:43 the complex and esoteric testing will, in my mind, 0:26:46 there will always be a central laboratory. 0:26:47 – So you’re not worried about genome sequencing 0:26:48 on the iPhone? 0:26:50 – Not today. 0:26:52 It’s funny, years ago I was at a personalized 0:26:53 medicine conference and one of the panelists 0:26:55 was talking about, oh, you know, within three years, 0:26:57 you’re just gonna put your saliva on the iPhone 0:26:58 and it’s gonna measure all your vital signs, 0:27:01 and you know, including all your laboratory values. 0:27:02 But it didn’t come to pass, 0:27:05 so many things in healthcare, it’s way slower 0:27:06 than people think. 0:27:10 But I’m a big believer in, you know, 0:27:12 laboratory testing needs to be democratized. 0:27:16 I mean, part of the reason that we don’t have 0:27:19 as much of an impact on patient care as we should is, 0:27:21 when you think about the way the system works, 0:27:23 so you go to the doctor, 0:27:26 now my doctor actually is, I was actually very impressed, 0:27:29 he sent me the lab that slipped before my appointment 0:27:32 to have the blood drawn, so he could have the results. 0:27:34 – But there’s a good chance he knows who you are. 0:27:38 – Yeah, he’s probably, that’s right, he does know who I am. 0:27:41 But most of the time you go to the doctor, 0:27:42 you get your blood drawn, 0:27:44 you get the results back three days later, 0:27:46 now it’s like, well, now I gotta call the doctor, 0:27:47 I gotta figure out the interpretation, 0:27:50 or you get the lab slip, you went to the doctor, 0:27:52 you weren’t feeling so great on a Friday, 0:27:54 you woke up Sunday morning, you felt okay, 0:27:57 and the lab slip just kind of, you know, goes in the trash. 0:28:01 – A shocking number of drug prescriptions never get filled, 0:28:04 and obviously the drug you don’t take cannot work. 0:28:08 Do you have a sense of what percentage of diagnostic tests 0:28:12 that are ordered by a physician are actually done? 0:28:16 – I don’t, and it’s a major point of frustration for me 0:28:20 that most physicians and health systems 0:28:24 have a follow-up system for ancillary services, 0:28:26 like if you go to the doctor and they say get an MRI 0:28:27 and you don’t show up for the MRI, 0:28:29 you’re gonna get pestered, you know, 0:28:30 or you get a referral for physical therapy, 0:28:32 you’re gonna get pestered. 0:28:34 If they give you a lab slip and you don’t do the labs, 0:28:36 you probably never hear anything about it. 0:28:40 There’s, you know, kind of urban lore about, oh, you know, 0:28:41 10, 15% never get performed. 0:28:44 There was a study done years ago at Harvard Medical School, 0:28:47 even there, there was a relatively high non-compliance rate, 0:28:49 as I remember, you know, 15, 20%. 0:28:53 And so I think that being able to move care 0:28:57 closer to the patient, if, this is a big if, 0:28:59 if the technology is good enough 0:29:03 that it is clinically relevant, that it’s reproducible, 0:29:04 and that the quality is there, 0:29:06 that’s a good thing for patients, 0:29:07 and it’s a good thing for our industry. 0:29:09 We can collect testing in the home, 0:29:12 and as long as it’s performed in our main laboratory, 0:29:16 we can integrate that into the patient’s health record. 0:29:18 So one of the big issues with point of care testing 0:29:20 has always been, you know, you do it, 0:29:23 and then you get a printout, 0:29:24 and, you know, unless you literally staple it 0:29:27 to the patient’s forehead and they go to the doctor’s office, 0:29:28 half the time it never gets to a place 0:29:30 where it’s gonna be well-interpreted. 0:29:31 – So the information flow gets messed up. 0:29:33 – And I don’t think there’s gonna be sort of, you know, 0:29:35 the quote-unquote killer app 0:29:38 that’s gonna just completely turn the business upside down, 0:29:40 ’cause believe me, enough people have tried to find it 0:29:42 in the last 10 years, and, you know, so far we’re not there, 0:29:45 but the technology will change. 0:29:48 Bringing lab testing closer to the patient is an imperative, 0:29:50 just to make lab testing more effective 0:29:51 and more valuable in the system, 0:29:53 and in the value-based care model, 0:29:56 when we’re engaged with patients in their homes 0:29:58 around not only your actual health, 0:30:01 but, you know, your social determinants of health, 0:30:03 and then we’re gonna have much more opportunity 0:30:04 to bring those tools to the patient 0:30:06 and actually, you know, help them manage their care. 0:30:08 – So when we think about the lab 0:30:09 and the way it’s changed over time, 0:30:12 from, you know, pipettes and beakers to microarrays, 0:30:15 what do you see coming next as the big new tools 0:30:16 or the new innovations 0:30:17 that you’re trying to think about how to integrate? 0:30:20 – So from a technological standpoint, 0:30:23 obviously the increasing miniaturization of instruments, 0:30:25 the tabletop instruments, 0:30:26 which, again, goes back to what we talked about 0:30:29 with democratizing the range of services. 0:30:31 Sequencing as a tool for diagnostics, 0:30:34 you know, the cost of sequencing is rapidly coming down. 0:30:37 The competitive landscape is becoming much more competitive 0:30:38 than it has been historically, 0:30:42 and so genetic testing that we have traditionally done, 0:30:43 you know, again, I remember when we started 0:30:46 with cystic fibrosis, you know, we looked at 30 markers, 0:30:48 and then it was 60 markers, then it was 90 markers, 0:30:51 and now we just sequenced the cystic fibrosis gene, 0:30:53 and there’s way more information in there, 0:30:55 which has pluses and minuses. 0:30:57 The pluses, there’s way more information in there. 0:30:59 The minuses, a lot of it is not well understood, 0:31:01 and so, you know, that takes me to what I think 0:31:03 is really gonna be what’s revolutionary 0:31:06 in the next 10 years is the understanding of the data 0:31:08 and the integration of the data 0:31:11 that comes from laboratory medicine. 0:31:15 That’s gonna be the huge transformation in our business. 0:31:17 It’s not gonna be the underlying technology. 0:31:19 People think, oh, you know, sequencing, 0:31:20 that’s a great new thing. 0:31:22 Sequencing is just another methodology 0:31:24 to do many of the things we already do today. 0:31:26 It’s a more efficient methodology, 0:31:28 but what comes out of the sequence 0:31:29 is a wealth of information 0:31:32 that we haven’t been getting historically, 0:31:34 and integrating that information into the coordination 0:31:37 and the arc of patient care is gonna be where 0:31:39 we’re really gonna see diagnostic shine 0:31:40 in the next five, 10 years. 0:31:43 – So as we look five, 10 years into the horizon, 0:31:46 if I’m an entrepreneur starting out, 0:31:48 and I have an idea or a technology 0:31:51 that I think is applicable as a diagnostics 0:31:54 or applicable to the diagnostics industry, 0:31:56 what do you think are the opportunities 0:32:00 or the blue sky opportunities for entrepreneurs 0:32:01 coming into this industry today? 0:32:04 – I mean, there are so many areas of diagnostics 0:32:07 that we just, fertility is an area 0:32:10 that we just don’t have really good tools. 0:32:13 And so, an entrepreneur who could bring to the market 0:32:18 something that would increase the rate of success in IVF. 0:32:19 Great area. 0:32:21 – What are some of the other ones? 0:32:23 – I think that emerging infectious disease 0:32:25 is an area of real concern. 0:32:28 I mean, the public health services 0:32:30 were overwhelmed with Zika testing, 0:32:32 so they ended up sending it to the commercial labs 0:32:34 without going through full regulatory processes, 0:32:35 the tests that they were doing, 0:32:38 ’cause they just couldn’t handle the specimens. 0:32:41 Anything that addresses new and emerging disease states, 0:32:44 in my mind, is a real area of opportunity. 0:32:48 The caution is, one, the history of the diagnostics industry 0:32:52 is littered with the small laboratory 0:32:54 that offered one test 0:32:56 and had a great arc at the beginning 0:32:59 and then ran up against the reality, 0:33:02 which is that the doctors want to order everything 0:33:04 from one place. 0:33:06 So, go back to non-invasive prenatal testing. 0:33:07 There were three companies 0:33:10 that did non-invasive prenatal testing, 0:33:11 all of them were independent, 0:33:14 and now one of them is independent, 0:33:15 one of them was bought by Roshan, 0:33:16 one of them was bought by us. 0:33:19 Why? Because the OBGYNs, 0:33:21 who were doing the non-invasive prenatal testing, 0:33:25 didn’t want to have to put a box over here, 0:33:27 a specimen over here to go to that company 0:33:29 and everything else from my office goes to Quest 0:33:30 or everything goes to LabCorp. 0:33:34 So, the distribution channel is really, really critical. 0:33:37 And the second thing that’s really critical is reimbursement. 0:33:39 You can’t imagine how many people come 0:33:43 with a really cool test and great data, 0:33:44 but the payers just, you know, 0:33:46 they’re just not going to pay for things 0:33:48 that even if they should, you know, 0:33:51 broad-based screening for whatever disease it is 0:33:53 of the asymptomatic population, 0:33:54 payers don’t want to pay for it 0:33:56 because there’ll be too many false positive, 0:33:58 too much treatment and while saving the long run 0:34:02 for screening the whole asymptomatic population, 0:34:03 I’m not going to do well. 0:34:05 But in a value-based care model, 0:34:07 in which the reward is for early detection 0:34:08 and early treatment, 0:34:11 then payers should be enthusiastic 0:34:12 to pay for early detection and early screening. 0:34:15 So, the reimbursement piece and the distribution channel 0:34:16 are really critical for the entrepreneur 0:34:18 who comes up with a great idea. 0:34:19 – And so, in that spirit, 0:34:22 how does an entrepreneur work with LabCorp? 0:34:24 Do I knock on your front door? 0:34:25 – So, there’s two ways. 0:34:28 One is we invest in ideas that we think are interesting 0:34:31 and often those are ideas that are, 0:34:33 well, the whole goal of it is invest in ideas 0:34:35 that are disruptors, invest in ideas 0:34:36 that are potentially competitive 0:34:38 so we can see what’s going on and understand the lens, 0:34:39 because that’s one way. 0:34:42 The other way is, we’re not a research company, 0:34:43 we’re a development company, 0:34:45 so we take other people’s good ideas 0:34:47 and we scale them so we can run them 0:34:49 100 million times a week if we need to 0:34:52 and that’s why we welcome the idea of entrepreneurs 0:34:55 doing things that will enhance the value 0:34:57 of diagnostics in general. 0:34:59 – So, yes, essentially, come knock on your front door. 0:35:00 – Knock on our front door. 0:35:01 Knock on the side door, we got plenty of doors. 0:35:02 We welcome it. 0:35:05 – Thank you so much for joining us on the A16Z podcast. 0:35:06 – Thank you, it’s been great being with you.
A lot’s going on in the world of healthcare right now, and one topic that’s especially relevant is how diagnostic labs work. In this episode with Dave King, Executive Chairman of Lab Corp (one of the largest clinical lab networks in the world) and a16z’s General Partner Jorge Conde and Hanne Tidnam, we cover the evolution of the modern lab over the past 50 years, especially as new technologies and new tests are added; how tests go from specialized to mainstream and widely available; and who pays for most tests and how reimbursement affects all this. We also discuss where lab information flows—in electronic health records and in the health system at large—and touch on what the lab of the future might be like.