What your disgust level says about your politics, how Napoleon influenced opera, why New York City’s subways may finally run on time, and more. Five compelling guests tell Stephen Dubner, co-host Angela Duckworth, and fact-checker Jody Avirgan lots of things they didn’t know.
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a16z Podcast: Incenting Innovation Inside, Loonshots to Moonshots
AI transcript
0:00:03 Hi, everyone. Welcome to the A6NZ Podcast. I’m Sonal.
0:00:07 Today, we have one of our book launch episodes with Safi Bakal, author of “Loone Shots.”
0:00:14 The subtitle is, “Had a Nurture the Crazy Ideas that Win Wars, Cure Diseases, and Transform Industries.”
0:00:20 So joining me to co-host this episode is A6NZ General Partner for Bio, V.J. Punday,
0:00:23 who also happened to be a Miller Fellow with the author back in their grad school days.
0:00:27 Speaking of, Safi has an academic background in theoretical physics,
0:00:33 co-founded a biotech startup developing new drugs for cancer, and then led its IPO and served as its
0:00:37 CEO for over a decade. So he has a really interesting vantage point that unites perspectives from
0:00:43 academia, startups, and big company innovation. By the way, you can find other episodes touching
0:00:47 on some of these themes from different angles, including with former Stanford president John
0:00:52 Hennessey on the transition of ideas from academia to startups, and with CEO of Novartis,
0:00:58 Vashrini Vasan, on R&D and innovation inside Big Pharma, as well as an episode on what disruption
0:01:03 theory is and isn’t by searching for those on our website. But in this interview, we cover
0:01:09 what is a loonshot versus a moonshot, and how do or don’t those connect to the concept of disruption.
0:01:13 And given that those are some buzzy buzzwords, after briefly defining them and considering
0:01:18 how companies can innovate regardless of what we call it, we then go into some deep scientific
0:01:24 concepts and analogies to share a very different framework than in typical management literature
0:01:30 with practical advice for teams and companies of all sizes to nurture new ideas and initiatives.
0:01:36 And we even dismantle some common dogma around culture, product, and market along the way.
0:01:42 But first, Safi begins briefly with an analogy to historical empires and why new ideas didn’t take
0:01:50 off there. For thousands and thousands of years, truth was established by the divine ruler or the
0:01:58 tribal leader. And in the 17th century, plus or minus a few years in Western Europe, this kind of
0:02:06 new idea spread. But instead of asking what was true and false, there was a universal truth that
0:02:13 anybody could figure out through measurement and experiment. And that idea, now called the
0:02:18 scientific method, changed the world more than any other idea. It essentially democratized truth.
0:02:22 If you got rid of all the previous books, you destroyed them, they should all be able to come
0:02:29 back to the extent that they were right. And in some sense, you asked me what a loonshot is,
0:02:34 this idea that there are natural laws in the universe and we can access them through
0:02:39 measurement and experiment. We take that for granted today.
0:02:40 It was really controversial at the time.
0:02:48 Not only was it controversial, it was subversive, it was threatening. It didn’t just suddenly appear,
0:02:53 it was a 2000 year story of it, that same idea appearing and being quashed and appearing and
0:02:59 being quashed and appearing, you know, for hundreds if not thousands of years. So why did that idea
0:03:05 appear there? And in fact, so much of the stuff that we take for granted and fed into that
0:03:11 revolution came from China, Islam and India, the astronomy, the medicine, the mathematics,
0:03:16 which came from algebra and India. Many of the technologies, paper and printing had been
0:03:23 used in China and developed in China and not for 50 years or 100 years, but for a thousand years.
0:03:28 China did a paper printing compass, currencies, scholar elites,
0:03:34 agricultural mining that was unheard of, that was not seen in Europe until many centuries later.
0:03:40 So why Western Europe? What was, and I just kept getting stuck on this question, especially
0:03:46 when you grow up in, you know, a Western culture, you’re told, well, basically there was the Greeks
0:03:50 and nothing. Oh, no, you’re so right. I had the same upbringing. I completely relate to that.
0:03:54 That was like how I’d grown up. It was basically 30 second history of science,
0:03:58 Greeks, nothing new and done. History started and were modern. And maybe Einstein.
0:04:04 But the more I started to think about it and the more I realized like there’s something in the
0:04:11 question of why did these big empires did so well for so long, but why do they have trouble
0:04:17 innovating? And I realized there was a close parallel to my industry. So I was in the drug
0:04:23 discovery industry. So the parallel, China, India and the Islamic empires were a lot like
0:04:28 the Merck, Pfizer, Novartis of today. Fascinating. They were global, everywhere, dominant,
0:04:33 they’re phenomenal at franchises. So in India, you’ve had the Taj Mahal. You know, in China,
0:04:38 they built the Great Wall and just incredible, the grand canals. They had a series, sequels.
0:04:44 But the little tiny ideas got quashed. And where did the incredibly innovative revolutionary new
0:04:49 drugs come from? From them teaming market of hundreds and hundreds of small biotechs like the
0:04:53 one that I was at. Essentially, what you’re pointing to is that if you think about how we
0:04:57 parallel that now, biotechs are just great examples of startups in general, you know,
0:05:00 and that startups are maybe the ultimate loon shot, right? Especially the reason why often you
0:05:05 have to do in a startup is that if you try to do it in the big established empire, you know,
0:05:09 that you’d be either going against what the empire does, or it’d be heretical, it’d be crazy.
0:05:15 Right. So a moon shot is a big, exciting goal, like you’re in cancer, eliminating poverty. But
0:05:22 it’s a destination. To go to the moon. Yeah. Like in 1961, when President Kennedy said, let’s put a
0:05:29 man on the moon, that was the original moon shot. But if you rewind the tape, 40 years earlier,
0:05:35 there was a guy named Robert Goddard who explained how he might get there with jet propulsion and
0:05:41 liquid fuel rockets. Kennedy, when he announced his moon shot, was widely applauded. Goddard,
0:05:46 when he explained that crazy idea, might get there was ridiculed. In fact, there was an editorial
0:05:51 in the Times when he was talking about his idea that said, well, obviously this guy who, you know,
0:05:55 has this quote unquote chair in physics at Clark University or wherever, you know, he doesn’t
0:06:01 understand the basic principles of physics that we teach in high school every day. About 49 years
0:06:08 after the Times printed that, the day after the successful Apollo 11 launch to the moon,
0:06:14 the Times printed a retraction and said, apparently rocket flight does not violate the laws of physics
0:06:18 and quote, the Times regrets the error. Such a victory lap. But that doesn’t happen all the time.
0:06:22 The fundamental question for anyone listening to this episode who kind of has a lot of
0:06:28 understanding of the history of innovations is how do you go from being a Goddard to a Kennedy?
0:06:32 There’s a fine balance somewhere in between them. You don’t want to be the person completely
0:06:36 ridiculed. You don’t also want to get there so late that it’s already an accepted idea to succeed.
0:06:41 So when do you know a moon shot becomes a moon shot? Kennedy’s was a moon shot because it worked
0:06:46 too, right? I mean, if NASA was not able to get to the moon, it would have been a moon shot,
0:06:50 presumably, right? On this idea of moon shots, I do want to talk briefly about Google X,
0:06:54 which is in some ways given both a good name and a bad rap to the concept of moon shots in
0:06:58 multiple levels. One, because they talk about what they do as moon shots. Two, because they
0:07:04 actually have a project called loon, which has been mixedly received. And so that’s another context.
0:07:08 But three, I think what is really interesting here is when you think about a moon shot as
0:07:13 this destination, as you’ve described it, a desire to go somewhere. I think a lot of people
0:07:19 have a hard time in organizations in terms of teasing apart. What is a shot that’s worth further
0:07:23 nurturing, regardless of the destination, whether it fails or not? Because I agree,
0:07:27 there’s no shortage of ideas. But it’s precisely because there’s no shortage of ideas that I want
0:07:33 to know when can we pick which ones to invest in, because there’s still limited resources.
0:07:37 Yeah, you’re right. A moon shot is a destination, and we get there by nurturing loon shots,
0:07:40 which are these crazy ideas. And your question is, how do you prioritize?
0:07:43 Exactly. How do you winnow those ideas as well?
0:07:49 I think you want to find the ones that challenge your belief system, because those are the ones
0:07:57 that are most dangerous to you and your business. So the reason you nurture loon shots is when
0:08:03 there’s some new crazy idea that appears that’s going to kill one of your business lines, or take
0:08:08 away your customers, or even open a completely new business line, where would you rather find
0:08:13 out about it? By reading about it in the press release from one of your large customers who’s
0:08:18 going to move all their business away, or would you rather find out about it from one of your
0:08:23 people who presents you one morning with this crazy idea that you were sure was not true.
0:08:29 And all of a sudden, he or she shows you this great proof of concept that there’s some traction
0:08:33 to it. I love that you said proof of concept and traction, actually. I’m so glad you said that,
0:08:38 because when Astro Teller, who heads up GoogleX, wrote an op-ed for me at Wired, he made the argument
0:08:43 that it’s identifying a big problem, articulating a solution that can actually solve the problem
0:08:47 if it existed, even if it does not already exist, which is to your point that it is dangerous and
0:08:52 not out there, but more precisely, when you mention the proof of concept, that there is an
0:08:56 indicator right now that this thing can become a reality. And that, I think, is like the key.
0:09:01 So I spent a while talking about this with Astro, who actually I knew well before GoogleX. And one
0:09:06 of the things that Astro pointed out, which we both agree on, is that using the word moonshot,
0:09:11 unless you really know what you’re doing, and they obviously really know what they’re doing at X,
0:09:18 can be very misleading. And it comes back to why there are a few phrases in the English language
0:09:23 that give me more gas pain than the phrase disruptive innovation. Here’s the problem.
0:09:29 When people talk about disruption, they’re talking about a market. And if you look across history,
0:09:35 if you look across the ideas that change a field of science or a field of business,
0:09:42 or even world history, none of the champions knew anything about where their idea would end up.
0:09:48 I’ll give you an example, the transistor. It was developed at Bell Labs, although it was based on
0:09:52 a lot of federal research, but it was developed at Bell Labs, why they were looking for better
0:09:58 switches. By every definition, it was an incremental innovation, not a quote disruptive.
0:10:02 Once they figured it out, they didn’t know what they could do. It wasn’t usable in the phone
0:10:07 system initially, because it was too expensive and too unreliable. So after a bunch of years of
0:10:10 trying to figure out what they could do with this damn thing, they came up with hearing aids.
0:10:17 So do you think the scientists working on semiconductor junctions in 1946 and 1947
0:10:23 told their bosses, we’re working on disrupting the hearing aid market? The word disruptive
0:10:28 innovation makes sense in hindsight, if you’re a history professor. Right. But not for predicting
0:10:32 and knowing the future. Right. So the reason using the word disruptive innovation or moonshot,
0:10:36 unless you know what you’re doing, can be very misleading, is that it causes you to overlook
0:10:42 the small things that end up having a tremendous difference, because they challenge accepted
0:10:46 belief, but you thought maybe it’ll just be for hearing aids. In fact, it’s not so much an accident,
0:10:53 but it’s this emergent kind of building block that’s created that has so much like second,
0:10:58 third order effects. We had Brian Arthur on this podcast, and he’s like the father of complexity
0:11:02 theory and economics. And one of it’s, he’s the one who’s sort of studied when network effects tip,
0:11:07 when these systems sort of, it’s a very sudden, and they’re always like small, tiny tips. There’s
0:11:13 never some big specific iPhone moment that is a, you know, discrete thing. It’s actually this
0:11:17 continuum of things. What you want to do is you want to fund a portfolio of moonshots,
0:11:23 irrespective of market. Nothing kills a great idea faster, and has been more of a disaster to
0:11:29 innovation, certainly in my industry and drug discovery, than the idea of market projections.
0:11:34 Forget the market protections. Does it challenge accepted beliefs? If so, let’s go try it.
0:11:38 That’s what it’s all about. Well, then let me push some more then, because
0:11:42 then I want to really understand then what distinguishes a good moonshot from a really
0:11:47 bad one. Because when you are a company, you have limited resources. When you’re an entrepreneur,
0:11:52 you have limited time and energy to devote into what product you’re going to build.
0:11:54 And you want to nurture them, but which ones do you nurture?
0:11:57 Exactly. How do you think about that here? I mean, this is your job.
0:12:00 Yeah. So first off, you know, it’s interesting from the point of view of venture capital that
0:12:04 we’re looking for things that have that huge disruptive potential. That’s very much our business.
0:12:10 And it’s usually the things that Ben has, I think it’s been, or Chris Dixon, talk about how often
0:12:13 really great companies look like bad companies. Yeah, they both talk about it and they’re actually
0:12:19 quoting Peter Thiel. Okay. So for example, like, you know, going on the web and meeting strangers
0:12:23 to ride in cars with you, these things at one time seem like crazy. And now it’s a good idea only,
0:12:29 because in part what made it seem like a bad idea was also what opened the door for a team to come
0:12:34 in and have that opportunity. So, you know, for what we’re looking for, especially on the biocide,
0:12:38 I’m looking for things where they’re right at that cusp between where the science has largely
0:12:43 been done, where we’re not investing in science projects, and that it’s about to scale into engineering.
0:12:47 And the small crazy ideas that changed the course of science, business, or history,
0:12:54 they always stumble. I had this story about Jim Black, Mr. James Black, who was a Nobel laureate,
0:12:59 very famous, actually chemist, pharmacologist, originally was advising us. I was saying, God,
0:13:04 he asked me why I was looking kind of down. You know, we were working on this really promising
0:13:07 drug program in the lab, and it just didn’t, you know, we just had these bad results. And he’s
0:13:12 like leaned over, you know, padded me on the knee, and this is like 10 o’clock, a couple whiskies in,
0:13:19 and he’s like, Oh, Sophie, I can’t do a Scottish. Oh, Sophie, it’s not a good drug unless it’s
0:13:23 been killed three times. That’s fabulous. And so I’ve always thought of that as the three deaths
0:13:28 of the luncheon. And that’s actually a little different than some of the philosophy here,
0:13:34 especially in Silicon Valley of, you know, fail fast and pivot. Because in many cases,
0:13:39 the really good ideas that completely transform industries, they fail the first few times.
0:13:43 And it’s a false fail. And it’s a false fail. What do you mean by a false fail? I mean,
0:13:47 I think about in the context of false positives, false negatives. False fail is it’s a failure
0:13:53 that’s due to a flaw in the experiment, rather than a fundamental flaw of the idea. I mean,
0:13:57 just as a simple example, Peter Thiel and Ken Howrie, who I remember Ken Howrie was telling
0:14:02 me this story, you know, a couple years ago, that when they were first looking at Facebook,
0:14:08 everybody was passing on social networks because it was like the 15th or 16th or whatever social
0:14:13 network. And right around that time, Friendster was just sort of going down the toilet. And I
0:14:17 remember what Ken and Peter did was they got access to the, they were like, really, is it
0:14:24 the case? Maybe that’s the case. But why don’t we just probe and get a little more background.
0:14:29 And they asked where they knew the CTO and the team behind that they knew that the website was
0:14:33 having a lot of problems. So they got the user retention data. And they looked at it and they
0:14:38 were like, holy shit, you know, people are staying on this freaking website, even though
0:14:42 it’s crashing, they’re staying on it for hours. And they’re like, wait a minute,
0:14:46 maybe it’s not a bad business model. Maybe actually, it’s a really good business model
0:14:49 and people are leaving because the website sucks. That’s a false fail.
0:14:54 And when the lesson is to false fail within an org, if the false fail takes down your org,
0:14:58 then the other startups that come after you get to benefit from your failure.
0:15:02 But if you can sort of understand the false field internally, that’s your best bet to
0:15:06 keep on moving, right? And I think that these false failures, there really wasn’t a failure.
0:15:09 It was if failures of execution is not a failure at the loonshot.
0:15:11 And I’m curious to get your take on this, Hafi, because you’ve lived this,
0:15:15 is that for a lot of drug design projects, when they get canceled,
0:15:19 Pharma never has the time or the interest. Sometimes it seems to go back and understand why.
0:15:24 I remember the head of R&D of a very large, one of the top few Pharma one time, we were having
0:15:30 dinner, we were discussing doing a large partnership together. And we were talking about
0:15:34 killing projects and your people say, oh, you got to have balls to kill a project. And he said,
0:15:38 killing a project is the easiest thing in the world. It never comes back.
0:15:43 And that’s one of the reasons it’s so difficult to innovate inside, let’s say in my field,
0:15:46 in our field, inside a large drug discovery or research organization,
0:15:50 is because it’s so hard to keep a project going.
0:15:52 That’s fascinating, because I would have argued, I would have thought it’s actually
0:15:57 much harder to kill something than to actually keep something going that shouldn’t be killed.
0:15:59 Now, it’s the easiest thing in the world to kill a project.
0:16:04 It’s much harder when, because of the three deaths of the luncheon, because really good ideas
0:16:08 often seem really stupid in the beginning, as soon as they hit that first stumble,
0:16:12 it’s much harder to justify to your colleagues.
0:16:14 That’s true in a big company. Do you think it’s true in a small company? In a small company,
0:16:19 if this is your thing, killing something is actually the dreaded pivot, right?
0:16:22 And so maybe in a small company, is it less likely that people want to kill it?
0:16:27 Well, this comes down to the incentives. The underlying theme of this book is let’s look at
0:16:34 structure rather than culture. I became a first-time CEO. I think I was 32 or three.
0:16:37 And probably like a lot of first-time CEOs and entrepreneurs,
0:16:42 I read everything I could find about management, how to be a better leader,
0:16:47 how to build a great company, how to empower my employees and get great returns from my
0:16:52 stakeholders and achieve our big mission. And almost everything I read about was about
0:16:59 building a great culture. And as a physicist, that felt kind of squishy to me. And there’s also
0:17:04 that sort of after the fact, let’s say somebody wins a lottery and you say, “Well, that’s
0:17:09 fantastic. What color socks was he wearing? Let’s all go wear.” I did want to see if there was a
0:17:16 little more of a scientific underpinning. Let’s do the behavioral economics, but of groups.
0:17:19 And as soon as you arrange people into groups, what are these sort of hidden incentives? That’s
0:17:24 the kind of thing that I didn’t think about for 10 years and kind of none of the traditional
0:17:28 management literature has really looked at. So it’s interesting you bring up behavioral
0:17:33 economics because prospect theory itself was a very dangerous idea to the establishment at the
0:17:38 time. And yes, there’s a lot of debates right now in the literature about how robust those findings
0:17:43 are so many years later. But that aside, it was a very important contribution. I’m curious for
0:17:49 how that connects into your worldview. Sure. In fact, that’s kind of one of the most fun things
0:17:54 for me because what Kahneman and Firsky did was they found a new Venn diagram intersection of
0:18:00 psychology and economics. And this is a new Venn diagram intersection of physics and economics.
0:18:06 Oh, interesting. I love that. So you simply look at the incentives for individuals whenever you
0:18:12 organize into a group. It’s only relevant inside a group. And then you borrow an idea from physics,
0:18:17 which is a phase transition. How does this phase transition idea come into play? I mean,
0:18:21 you’re a physicist by training. So I get that there’s a physics aspect to this. But how does
0:18:26 this play in the innovation organizational context? Every phase transition in nature is a result of
0:18:32 two competing forces, a tug of war. And the phase transition is as you adjust the balance,
0:18:39 you change certain parameters of design or the environment, you adjust the balance between
0:18:44 those two forces and boom, at some point, they cross and the system snaps. I’ll give you an
0:18:48 example with water. There’s a glass of water right here, which your audience can’t quite see.
0:18:52 I’ll take a photo. But you can imagine. When I stick my finger in the glass of water,
0:18:59 I can swish it around, right? Except as I gradually lower the temperature, all of a sudden,
0:19:04 at a critical temperature, boom, the behavior completely changes.
0:19:12 So when it freezes. Exactly. Why? How did those molecules know to go from sloshing around and
0:19:17 being fluid to being completely rigid? It’s the same molecules. And it’s the exact same molecules.
0:19:23 There’s no CEO molecule with a bullhorn. And that’s sort of the other counterintuitive thing
0:19:28 about this is it doesn’t matter what the CEO does. Okay, it’s not about the culture. Yeah,
0:19:34 it’s about understanding those two forces and what are the balance. So here’s the two forces
0:19:40 in a glass of water. There’s one force, entropy, which wants to makes water molecules run around
0:19:46 and be free. Right. The creative force, one could argue. If one wants to do that, entropy is actually
0:19:53 a hard physical quantity. And it is the case that molecules have two competing forces, one of which
0:19:58 is entropy, which wants to make them run around and be free. And the other is binding energy.
0:20:04 It wants to lock every molecule of water, exactly 2.8 angstroms from its neighbor.
0:20:10 When the temperature is high, entropy wins. Now, as you gradually lower the temperature,
0:20:16 the entropy force gets weaker and weaker and weaker. And the binding energy gets more and more
0:20:22 important. And then what happens? Boom. At 32 Fahrenheit, those two things cross. Below 32,
0:20:28 it becomes totally rigid. So it has nothing to do with the CEO molecule yelling, be rigid, be fluid.
0:20:32 Let’s adopt a fluid culture and all slush around. The CEO can set the temperature.
0:20:37 That’s exactly right. Control parameter is the equivalent of temperature. It controls the
0:20:42 behavior of the system. It turns out when you work out the mathematics of this, of the incentives,
0:20:47 the two forces, there are four control parameters inside organizations, elements of organizational
0:20:53 design. And not the CEO, the executive team, the board has control over, just like you have control
0:20:58 over a glass of water. In classic innovation parlance, it is sort of disruptive versus non-disruptive
0:21:03 core versus non-core, these two forces. However you describe them, the point is that organizations
0:21:08 clearly have these two competing forces. So back to not being, you know, the cultural stuff that
0:21:14 management literature gives us, what structurally needs to happen to make organizations know how
0:21:21 to navigate these two forces? Okay. So when you bring a group of people together and you organize
0:21:27 them and you set a mission and you tie a reward system, incentives tied to that mission, all of
0:21:35 a sudden you create two forces. And here’s what they are. The first one is stake in outcome.
0:21:43 Think of that as equity. So let’s say to stick with our industry, you have a small biotech company
0:21:46 and you’re developing a new cancer drug. Your stake in outcome is your stake in that drug
0:21:52 success. Does it work or not? Now when you’re a small, your stake in outcome is enormous. If the
0:21:58 drug works, everybody’s a hero and a millionaire. If the drug fails, everybody’s unemployed.
0:22:02 Right. What’s the second force? It’s perks of rank.
0:22:08 Interesting. So you can think of this almost as equity in cash or equity in base salary.
0:22:14 When you’re a tiny small company, stakes in outcome are so much bigger than perks of rank.
0:22:21 Now let’s flip it. Let’s say you, Sonal, are a manager at Pfizer. So now let’s look at your
0:22:26 incentives. What’s the stake in outcome? Well, if you make a good drug, let’s say it sells
0:22:31 500 million a year, that’s a pretty good drug. Plus you’re going to be fighting for the next seven
0:22:35 or 10 years. Everybody wants your budget and there’s going to be the three deaths with the
0:22:38 loon shot. You’re going to have to try to defend it. So your stake in outcome is pretty tiny.
0:22:44 What’s the perks of rank? Well, if there’s a committee meeting and you sit around the table
0:22:48 and keep, you know, trashing these loon shots and doing it in a very thoughtful wise, and maybe
0:22:54 you’re very funny and kind of witty, and they’re like, well, this young person, she’s got a great
0:22:59 head. She’s aligned with our vision. Right. What might you get? Promoted. Exactly. And then what
0:23:04 happens when you’re promoted? 30% bump in salary. And not much change in stake in equity, actually.
0:23:11 Exactly. So we just went from small, a small company, stake in outcome was much bigger.
0:23:17 Perks of ranks were irrelevant. To large, where stakes in outcome is very small and perks of
0:23:21 rank. So that’s very much equivalent to the water. These are the dynamic two forces that you’re
0:23:26 describing. Right. And instead of temperature, it’s size. So somewhere between small and large,
0:23:31 as you grow and you grow and you grow, all of a sudden the balance of incentives suddenly shift.
0:23:38 And the same person, the same sonal, would go from pounding the table. This is the most awesome idea
0:23:42 to kind of making fun of it at committee meetings. You know, I think this makes a ton of sense. And
0:23:46 we see it in big companies. And I think the challenge then is, you know, as your company is
0:23:51 growing, what can you do about it? So let me ask you a question. When it snows overnight,
0:23:56 what do you sprinkle on your sidewalk? Salt. Why? Because it blocks the snow from
0:23:59 hardening and freezing over. Exactly. And the reason it does that is because adding salt to
0:24:05 water lowers the freezing temperature. This is a control parameter. It is another. So
0:24:09 the really interesting thing about complex systems, which is what we’re talking about,
0:24:13 whether it’s a glass of water or humans understanding incentives when you bring people
0:24:18 together in a group, is that they have more than one control parameter. There are four other control
0:24:24 parameters. And to what Vijay was saying earlier, that’s what a manager or a leader or an executive
0:24:29 team or a board can control. You may not control size. You may need 100 people. You may need 500
0:24:34 people. You may need 10,000 people. And that, you can’t control, but you can add a little salt.
0:24:37 It’s interesting to think about how far the analogy goes and where it breaks down. So I think one of
0:24:42 the most powerful things about it is the fact that you can take the same person from one face to the
0:24:46 other. I agree. Just like with the molecule. Yeah. So that part is really interesting. And also,
0:24:51 just what you’re talking about, you can imagine doping and putting in certain types into given
0:24:55 phases to change their behavior. And I think we’ve seen that in various groups, right? You can put a
0:24:59 certain type of person to a team. And so some people will change with phases. Some people are
0:25:04 just intrinsically different. I thought where you were going with this was doping in semiconductors,
0:25:07 which actually gave us the transistor. Well, you know, but that doping either one,
0:25:10 you’re talking about alloys or semiconductors is the same concept, right? Actually, it’s exactly
0:25:15 right. If you take an insulator like silicon and you dope it a little bit and then you get a metal
0:25:20 and it’s a phase transition. That’s what Phil Anderson won his Nobel Prize for, is the localization
0:25:26 transition, the metal insulator transition. But to get to your question, yes, this is a phase
0:25:32 transition. That’s kind of the theme of the book. CEOs at the end of the day, they’re sort of lamenting,
0:25:36 oh, no one cares. Well, that’s because they don’t own half the equity of the company like you do.
0:25:41 But when you were a small startup, of course, everybody, their incentives were aligned.
0:25:45 And of course they rushed out because they were going to be unemployed if the loonshot failed.
0:25:49 I find it’s a very hopeful idea, quite honestly, because you’re saying that you can,
0:25:53 you essentially can be a big company that can figure out how to innovate. You can be a small
0:25:57 company that doesn’t innovate, that actually sometimes goes into the frozen zone without
0:26:02 figuring out how to keep the entropy moving and the creativity and the excitement moving,
0:26:08 and that you can more precisely be both at the same time. And you can file up or down various
0:26:13 parameters to make that happen. So I find that’s a very hopeful message. A question I have, and
0:26:18 when you think about the history of innovation, kind of going back full circle to what makes
0:26:23 something a loonshot versus a moonshot. And yes, I heard you, a moonshot’s a destination,
0:26:30 a loonshot could be a false fail along the way. I still want to understand how you know when a
0:26:37 field, an area becomes more ready to be optimized a certain way.
0:26:42 This reminds me a lot of just the general topic of how a biology right now is shifting from
0:26:47 science to engineering. And there’s lots of different trends and reasons why. We talk about
0:26:51 these two different groups, the sort of creative types, the inventors, the artists versus the
0:26:56 the soldiers, the people who get things done. We’re seeing that shift in biology as one can
0:27:01 finally engineer biology in many ways. So in that field then, when you move from say artistry to
0:27:06 soldierry, for lack of a better phrase, the way I’ve heard you describe this is like the bespoke
0:27:11 to the machine automator. How do you in this particular example know? Yeah, I mean, that’s the
0:27:16 billion dollar or trillion dollar question, right? Yeah, literally. And so, you know, what it comes
0:27:21 down to when, at least for me, what I’m looking for is both in Safi’s language that there is a
0:27:27 destination that we see where you would land, and that at each step of the way that there is a way
0:27:31 to do it through engineering like execution, there’s all these different places where bio plays
0:27:38 a role, either with consumer or with healthcare or other industries. And in each one, it’s just not
0:27:42 enough that there’s a technology in our product that there really is probably market fit. And
0:27:46 that’s always unavoidable. And probably market fit is one of the hardest things for anyone to
0:27:52 sort of just theorize, you know, because you can very easily be wrong, or you can be wrong,
0:27:56 could be three years too early. It’s not wrong, it’s when. It’s when. And so, some of that also,
0:28:01 you have to have the intuition that it’s now, you can have theses for why it’s now. In the end,
0:28:06 the market will tell you whether you’re right. Like the classic example, Xerox was a great example
0:28:10 of a disruptor in earlier days with just the copying machine. People are like, “Well, I don’t
0:28:14 need copies. What do I want copies for?” You know, it just wasn’t part of the workflow. You wouldn’t
0:28:18 think to use a machine that doesn’t exist. And that only after people start to understand, “Oh,
0:28:24 actually, it was really useful to have this,” did you create a market. And so, in a sense that
0:28:30 device had product market fit before the market was there. And so, I think, I agree with Sophie in
0:28:34 the sense that just because the market isn’t there now, isn’t a reason to kill it. But obviously,
0:28:38 there has to become a market. Otherwise, there’s no one to buy it.
0:28:42 I would then argue just to reconcile these different views. It basically is how you,
0:28:46 the word market, just might be over-indexed. Because what we’re really talking about is a
0:28:51 pull, a draw, a need. But some might even say a want. Because sometimes you don’t need something.
0:28:55 You might just want something but not know that you want it in the classic Jobsian sense.
0:29:01 Right. In the sense of some, I mean, I can bring it to very nuts and bolts. Someone’s got to pay
0:29:04 for it. And this is one of the mistakes I see over and over again with startup founders is that
0:29:10 when they’re small, it feels like they’re all artists. They do a great job of building an org.
0:29:14 And then suddenly, the org is not what they’re comfortable with or familiar with because they
0:29:18 have built an army. And they actually never want to join the army. Right. They don’t want to be navy,
0:29:22 actually, in that context, right? So, when you think of artists versus soldiers, this idea that
0:29:26 there’s the creatives and the builders and the people have to fight the war on the ground,
0:29:30 another way to think about it is Jobs’ famous quote about pirates versus navy. I mean,
0:29:33 there’s so many different variations of this over time in innovation history.
0:29:37 I think our companies have both too. But hopefully, there’s something for the soldiers to start
0:29:41 working on, you know, to go to war on, even though, you know, you constantly have to continue to
0:29:46 innovate. So you need both. But so when I think about how I’m going to find them, I want to find
0:29:50 things that are just at that transition. If it’s only artists, it’s not going to work. But once
0:29:54 they’re there, we have to think about which ones have the opportunity to become the moonshots
0:29:58 eventually. And which ones also, frankly, that can continue to innovate. And so one of the things
0:30:02 I thought was interesting about the book was that phase transition interplay between the two and
0:30:07 how it’s not a bad thing to have that phase transition. And that was maybe one of the more
0:30:10 surprising things. There are two things that I find very hopeful. I know a lot of people have
0:30:17 found very helpful. One is, and they’re both a little bit against the grain of what you often hear.
0:30:20 I love things that are against the grain. More against the grain, the better.
0:30:25 Especially what I hear from my tech friends in Silicon Valley. So one is don’t hire people from
0:30:31 big companies or big people from big companies are a terrible fit. And I thought that as well.
0:30:34 We’re doing the great stuff because we’re the risk takers. We’re the innovators and all those big
0:30:40 corporate guys, they’re risk averse and that’s why you shouldn’t hire. And then as you grow up,
0:30:43 you start doing these partnerships with large farmers. So you’re spending a lot of time with
0:30:48 these people and you get to know them well. And then these people are just like us. If they’re
0:30:53 advisor and they have no stake in outcome and a ton of stake in getting promoted, what do you think
0:30:57 they’re going to do? They’re going to work on being promoted. And if they’re at a 50-person
0:31:03 startup and being promoted or titled is totally irrelevant, but whether the project works or not,
0:31:06 means whether they’re unemployed or not, what are they going to do? They’re going to pound
0:31:11 the table and save the thing if it stumbles. So it’s about the subtle influence of incentives.
0:31:16 And when you really peel back the layers on that, you tease out all these things that you can do
0:31:21 to balance the incentives better for what you’re trying to achieve. So that’s one hopeful thing.
0:31:25 It’s not really about there, these two kinds of people. You should never hire a big corporation.
0:31:28 It’s the same person in different environments. Exactly. It’s the molecule that lands on the
0:31:34 block of ice versus the molecule that drops in a glass of water. So okay, now you say these
0:31:40 organizations have these phase transitions when they grow, they go from being totally fluid and
0:31:46 embracing wild new ideas to being quite rigid. So what do we do if we are a 500,
0:31:52 a thousand, or 10,000-person company? And so the point is that innovating well is a phase of
0:31:58 organization, just like being solid or liquid is a phase of matter. It’s a property of the whole
0:32:02 that doesn’t depend so much on the details of the parts. That’s what it means in
0:32:06 science or physics of an emergent behavior. And actually, it’s just sort of straightforward
0:32:12 mathematics. And the book that innovating well and a focus on politics or not is a phase of human
0:32:15 organization. I love that you actually have an equation that you outlined in the appendix,
0:32:20 which is awesome. We’ve never seen that in a management book. That took a lot of convincing
0:32:25 with the publisher. That’s another story. It got relegated. To the appendix. We’re way back there.
0:32:33 But anyways, if it’s a phase of organization, there are operationally excellent, high execution,
0:32:39 or you are innovating well. Larger companies today or startups that have grown need to do both.
0:32:43 Yeah. Mark talks about how startups are on the sort of five-year cycle theory. And I think of
0:32:48 this a little bit like growing versus sustaining organizations that even startups, by definition,
0:32:53 after a certain amount of time, have this inevitable gravity that begins to hit because
0:32:56 there are other startups coming out there sort of doing things faster.
0:33:01 Part of it is that also these environments keep on changing as we were talking about. And so
0:33:05 as the environment changes, the question is how we can sort of push back on the environment. And
0:33:09 maybe to abuse the analogy in physics with phase transitions, you can have hysteresis.
0:33:15 Which is… You can push the environment past where something… So there’s a really fun thing
0:33:20 to do. And so kids, you could do this at home. For the beer, put in the freezer. You take it out.
0:33:25 And it looks like water. But it’s already below the freezing temperature. And you just knock it.
0:33:29 And it’ll suddenly, it’ll freeze right in front of you. I’ve never done that. I’ve never got kids out of it.
0:33:34 The knocking kind of catalyzes this. And so this is a historic effect that it really should have been
0:33:39 a solid. But that it was lingering in the old phase for a little bit. What’s the point of that?
0:33:43 So the point is, you may think you have innovation in your org. And you may think that you have the
0:33:49 environment. But it is just a message of the past. And in an instant, you can lose it.
0:33:54 Just like the beer can shift. And so you need to really understand what your environment is.
0:33:59 And as a CEO, as a leader of something, you have to understand your org. You have to look to see,
0:34:04 do you have this phase segregation? Do you have two healthy phases there? The pirates in the navy,
0:34:08 the artists and the soldiers. And then what do you need to do to sort of affect the balance?
0:34:12 And it can be the hysteretic argument is that it can be misleading sometimes, too.
0:34:18 I love that beer example. So it is absolutely true that matter can’t be in two phases at the same time.
0:34:25 You can’t be solid and liquid at the same time. So if complex systems can never be in two phases
0:34:32 at the same time, you can’t be solid and liquid. You can’t be water and ice. How can you do both?
0:34:36 There’s one exception to the rule that you can’t be in two phases at the same time.
0:34:44 And that’s right on the edge of a phase transition. Life at 32 Fahrenheit. What happens is,
0:34:51 matter separates. You get blocks of ice and pools of liquid. So you get phase separation
0:34:56 and they coexist at the same time. The second thing that happens is you get something called
0:35:00 dynamic equilibrium, which the molecules go back and forth and back and forth. Little molecules
0:35:05 swimming in the pool of liquid hits on the block of ice and freezes. A molecule on the surface of
0:35:10 the ice starts shaking loose and then goes into the pool. And it’s back. It’s a continuous cycle.
0:35:14 I mean, if you think about the word dynamic equilibrium itself as a seeming contradiction,
0:35:17 but it’s not in this context because it’s dynamic and in equilibrium at the same time.
0:35:24 Exactly. It’s a balance cycle of exchanging back and forth with neither side dominating the other.
0:35:30 And that’s what happened during World War II. Vannevar Bush came in, told FDR, he said,
0:35:35 “We’re going to lose this war.” At a 10 minute meeting in the summer of 1940, he said, “We are
0:35:40 far behind the technologies that are going to be crucial to winning this war.”
0:35:46 The culture of the military, not only is it resistant to new technologies like any
0:35:50 military culture, but it should be. It is the right culture for their job.
0:35:53 In this case, they’re literally soldiers.
0:35:58 They’re literally soldiers. And he said, “I want you to give me a group of people,
0:36:03 give me the authority to mobilize the nation’s scientists for war and we’ll develop the radical
0:36:08 new technologies and I’ll report just to you.” So he created phase separation within the federal
0:36:13 government. And to this day, that really is the origin of the national research infrastructure
0:36:20 of the United States. The National Science Foundation, the NIH, DARPA, came out of Vannevar
0:36:27 Bush’s idea during the Second World War. But he made sure where most, where this fails so often,
0:36:32 so many years, so many times across companies. I mean, Xerox Park is a great example of that
0:36:37 because it was overly siloed. They missed the second part, which is the dynamic equilibrium.
0:36:39 Constantly moving back and forth.
0:36:44 So here’s the message for entrepreneurs or leaders or managers, which is also a little
0:36:51 different than what you get typically in Silicon Valley and is different than the model of a great
0:36:57 manager, a great leader. And that is, there is this myth that the great manager, the great
0:37:03 leader of a technology company is this product, product, product person and they build their…
0:37:07 Oh, you’re really fighting some major dogma right now. This is going to be blasphemous.
0:37:08 I want to hear it.
0:37:13 They build the company, this great company on the back of their inventions.
0:37:21 So the companies across history that have done that have failed spectacularly. They may survive
0:37:27 for a while when there’s a Moses on the mountain with a staff anointing the next Holy Loonshot.
0:37:32 They may survive for a while, that’s the hysteresis effect,
0:37:36 but eventually they’ll turn. That’s exactly what happened with Polaroid when Edwin Land,
0:37:42 who certainly deserved Nobel Prizes for some of his breakthroughs, stood on top of that mountain
0:37:46 and anointed the next Holy Loonshot and that was the end of Polaroid.
0:37:51 So the difference, the ones who have really succeeded, let’s say Vannevar Bush,
0:37:55 a theater veil at AT&T, the ones who really succeeded didn’t have that mindset.
0:38:01 Vannevar Bush was a brilliant inventor. He invented the first analog computer. He anticipated
0:38:04 much of the personal computer industry and certainly the internet and…
0:38:06 He wrote that memex memo, right? I remember reading it.
0:38:11 The famous essay published in the Atlantic, which inspired Doug Engelbart and a lot of
0:38:16 that traces back to Vannevar Bush, but as he likes to say, “I made no original contribution
0:38:21 to the war. None of my inventions ever amounted to anything.” What he did, rather than lead as a
0:38:28 Moses, he led as a gardener and he saw his job as maintaining life at 32 Fahrenheit.
0:38:32 Setting up the structure, the scaffolding that allowed that dynamic equilibrium,
0:38:38 that living at the edge. He maintained the balance between his group and the military.
0:38:44 And so if there’s a lesson there, it’s not about your ideas. Your job is to maintain life at 32
0:38:51 Fahrenheit. Your job is to maintain the exchange of… Because where innovation fails is not in the
0:38:56 supply of new idea. It’s in the transfer of those new ideas to the field. It’s actually like Xerox,
0:39:01 exact same thing. They were giving these computers to people selling typewriters and what were they
0:39:04 being commissioned on? Typewriters. Exactly. It was a very sales-driven organization.
0:39:10 It was a subtle influence of incentives. Bush recognized that the dynamic equilibrium,
0:39:16 it’s not just transfer one way from the scientist or the artist or the creative engineers to the
0:39:21 salespeople or the soldiers in the field, but the other way. Because most ideas suck when they first
0:39:27 come out of the lab. There’s a huge jump from a technology to a product, like a really beautiful
0:39:30 product. And then even if you have a really beautiful product, you still have to create a
0:39:35 market and sell to sell it. I was outside of my Stanford office after I’ve been at ACSNZ for a
0:39:40 while. And a founder at Stanford came by and he’s like, “You present this whole new tech.” And he’s
0:39:44 like, “Oh my god.” And I was like, “Well, this is really interesting, but I’m not sure you could
0:39:48 build a company.” And he’s like, “You know, the physics was so hard, building a company will
0:39:54 be easy.” But actually, the tech is not enough. And this goes back to Steve Jobs’ story is learn
0:39:59 to love your artists and soldiers equally. So when Steve Jobs started his first time at Apple,
0:40:06 he was exactly like that. I only love the artist. And people who know the history know this quite
0:40:12 well. It was a disaster. So the Lisa that he tried to run was a flop, the Apple 3 that when it was
0:40:16 a flop. And when he developed the Macintosh, although it was a phenomenal ad that goes down in the
0:40:22 history of advertising, it was a disaster as a product. The sales completely plummeted. He
0:40:28 loved his artist and he ridiculed the soldiers. And it caused enormous dysfunction and it almost
0:40:34 made Apple go bankrupt. And then he did this same thing at Next. When his next computer company,
0:40:38 it was product, product, product, it’s all about the product, da, da, da, da, da. And that was,
0:40:42 that product flopped. And then he bought this little company, this Lucas Film Group, because
0:40:46 they had a computer. And he thought this is an even bigger, faster computer, the Pixar Image
0:40:52 Computer called PIC. And that product flopped. But eventually over 10 years, when he came back
0:40:58 to Apple the second time, he had Johnny Eve, that was his artist, and he had Tim Cook. Tim Cook was
0:41:02 known as the Attila the Hun of Inventory before. And the myth around him, oh, is all his ideas,
0:41:07 and he championed the product. That’s not really what happened. In fact, when he did that, it was
0:41:13 a disaster. And only by evolving and learning to love his artists and shoulders equally,
0:41:19 that’s when things really took off. And that’s why Vannevar Bush succeeded. And so many scientists
0:41:24 before him failed, because soldiers love soldiers. Artists love artists. He not only worked well
0:41:29 with the military, he loved them and respected them. And that’s why he was able to bridge the
0:41:33 two. Yeah. I would argue just to Vijay’s point too, though, that this is why there’s such a
0:41:39 resurgence in modern tech management literature and startups in particular, around the important
0:41:43 role of product managers and product management. Because traditionally, there was so much discussion
0:41:49 around engineering and sales and design, all being sort of separated and siloed. But now,
0:41:52 through this, and it’s not a new role, it’s been around for ages. But in a sense, that product
0:41:58 manager role is to connect the engineers to set the temperature. Exactly. There’s sort of like
0:42:02 this person who maintains a dynamic equilibrium between orgs, they move and travel. I actually
0:42:07 think it’s actually one of the most important schools of thought for the future of the firm
0:42:11 in the startup to company environment, which is the evolving role of product management in this.
0:42:16 Because that is the concrete instantiation of exactly what you’re describing, Safi.
0:42:20 There’s all these different threads going on here. Bush and his famous memo right after World War
0:42:26 II define what basic research is. And in Safi’s concept of dynamic equilibrium,
0:42:32 by, I think, inadvertently talking about the separation between science and engineering,
0:42:35 he kind of pulled engineering away from scientists. Oh, that’s fascinating.
0:42:40 Yeah. And that now there was these two different disciplines and science is done by scientists
0:42:45 and engineering is done by engineers. And that actually took a little bit about that
0:42:50 equilibrium that was there our way. And so what we’re seeing now is something different where
0:42:54 scientists are doing translational work, which is another name for engineering.
0:42:59 And in biology in particular, the shift from science to engineering is becoming very powerful.
0:43:03 And one of the things I think is always a topic very germane, I think, to our listeners and to me
0:43:09 is one of the more things that we can do that to practically learn from this. Because I think the
0:43:14 analysis is very compelling. But if you’re a CEO right now, what can you do? I mean, what are the
0:43:19 knobs? And so in the book, you talk about one of the classic things being the magic number.
0:43:24 Basically, a number of people at which beyond that, it’s hard to, you have to start to create
0:43:29 an org and a hierarchical structure too often. And the magic number is canonically 150, but
0:43:35 often I see the magic number being 30 when it’s not built right. And so how can you push it
0:43:38 such that you can try to maintain what we loved about the start from the beginning?
0:43:43 Right. So this idea of a magic number, like the Dunbar number comes from the idea that the number
0:43:48 of neurons in your brain is fixed. So sometimes, as you know, in science or in physics, you might
0:43:53 have a good observation, but the wrong theory. So if you just look at the hidden influence of
0:43:59 incentives out pops a size, but it’s not a fixed number. I have a little fun with it because I
0:44:05 show how if you plug in certain things, it can be 150, but it can be as low as 30 or as high as
0:44:11 5000, because it depends on these four parameters. So when you adjust these four parameters,
0:44:14 you make those numbers bigger. What are the four parameters again? I don’t actually think we listed
0:44:21 them. There’s equity fraction. For example, to what extent is a person being incentivized by
0:44:26 base salary, in which case there’ll be a ton more focus on politics versus to what extent are they
0:44:32 being rewarded on their project? Right. Another parameter is you might call it return on politics.
0:44:41 To what extent is the system’s design so that individuals can lobby their managers for promotion
0:44:46 and that has an impact? Obviously, the more impact lobbying has, the more political and the more
0:44:52 careers matter, but some companies, actually Google does this, McKinsey does this and others,
0:44:56 they take the promotion decisions completely away from the manager. So that’s
0:45:02 another example. Right. And then the third? The third one is project skill fit. So if you’re very
0:45:07 if you’re very good and working more on your project, moves the project, if you’re a coffee
0:45:12 machine designer, you’re good at coffee machine design, then you’re likely to spend more time on
0:45:16 your coffee machine. I love that idea. It’s like founder market fit. It’s like writer topic fit.
0:45:19 It’s this idea that you really match the skills and passion of the person
0:45:23 so well with the thing they’re working on. This is project skill fit. Now, if somebody puts you
0:45:28 on coffee machine design and you’re like me, not a very good designer with very little aesthetic
0:45:33 sense, then it doesn’t matter if you spend an extra hour or 10 hours or 100 hours on your project,
0:45:37 it’s going to be still the same lousy coffee machine. You might as well spend your time on
0:45:43 politics and lobbying. So project skill fit is another parameter. And the fourth parameter?
0:45:49 Management span. So there’s a lot of literature on management span, but they kind of miss the
0:45:55 point. There isn’t a right management span. There’s the right span for your goal. So for example,
0:46:00 if you are building planes, you don’t want to assemble 10 planes and see which eight fall
0:46:06 out of the sky. You don’t want a very innovative risk taking. Right. You don’t want to be doing
0:46:09 that with like autonomous cars, for instance. Right. So there you actually want to narrow
0:46:14 a span because that encourages quality control and redundancy checking because you don’t want
0:46:19 those eight planes. On the other hand, if you want to do a ton of experiments and have groups
0:46:24 work together well, you actually want a very wide span. So there’s no right answer for a company.
0:46:28 And that’s what like all these things that average across the company make no sense at all. Right.
0:46:33 If the group that’s assembling planes, you want one kind of system, one kind of metric,
0:46:38 you want narrow spans, you want high quality controls, the group that’s creating crazy new
0:46:42 technologies for those planes, you want those spans as wide as possible with very different
0:46:50 metrics. So there’s a handful of these parameters and those are what you adjust to tune for the
0:46:55 goals that you want to achieve. Yeah. So many of the world’s problems that can be addressed through
0:46:59 bioengineering, healthcare comes off naturally into many different sub parts about healthcare,
0:47:02 but just the world around us is created by biology, whether we’re talking about
0:47:08 the food we eat, the air we breathe, just about everything. And so that is a huge opportunity
0:47:12 for companies to come in and become huge companies because of the potential of the problems they
0:47:17 can address. And it’s just fascinating to think about how the dynamics of human nature comes into
0:47:22 play here and that there really are these knobs that a CEO can turn. And now I think the question is,
0:47:26 can you really read your organization right and understand what the temperature is?
0:47:30 Finding the thermometer or the equivalent starts to become, I think, really critical.
0:47:33 And if you can find that and know where these knobs are, I think you could
0:47:37 have a huge impact on your work. Yeah, that’s great. Thank you for joining the A6NC podcast.
0:47:40 Thank you so much. Thanks. It was a lot of fun to be here.
with Safi Bahcall (@safibahcall), Vijay Pande (@vijaypande), and Sonal Chokshi (@smc90)
A ”moonshot” is a destination (like going to the moon, quite literally) — but nurturing ”loonshots” (which often involves a number of stumbles along the way) is how we get there. This goes beyond the trite mantra of failing fast! It is about not having ”false fails” or not killing the seemingly small ideas that could lead to outsized yet unexpected outcomes, observes Safi Bahcall (physicist, ex-startup founder, and CEO of a public biotech company), author of the new book, Loonshots: How to Nurture the Crazy Ideas That Win Wars, Cure Diseases, and Transform Industries.So in this episode of the a16z Podcast — in conversation with a16z bio general partner Vijay Pande and Sonal Chokshi — Bahcall shares why concepts like ”disruptive innovation” cause him gas; why doing market projections can sometimes be crap; and why most management books that focus on culture are b.s.Because CEOs and culture, argues Bahcall, do not control organizational behavior… but hidden incentives, ”phase transitions”, and specific control parameters do. So how can organizations — of any size, big or small — be in two states at the same time: both fluid and stable, soft and solid, with high entropy yet bound energy, and both artists and soldiers? The answer may be in a more scientific, less ”squishy” framework for management at the intersection of physics and economics. Big empires always miss the small but important new ideas… can this be why?
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327: How to Get Unstuck: 6 Levers to Pull to Level Up Your Business
Todd Tresidder took his own personal net worth from less than zero at 23, to self-made millionaire and retired at 35.
When it comes to building wealth, he’s the smartest guy in the room.
His latest book is The Leverage Equation: How to Work Less, Make More, and Cut 30 Years Off Your Retirement Plan.
We met through the FinCon community several years ago and I’ve learned a ton from our conversations. Todd has a unique perspective on business and investing, and our conversations over the years always get me thinking a little differently. He blogs at FinancialMentor.com.
Tune in to hear Todd talk me through his 6 types of leverage and how you can apply those as needed in your business:
- Financial Leverage
- Time Leverage
- Technology and Systems Leverage
- Communications and Marketing Leverage
- Network and Relationship Leverage
- Knowledge and Experience Leverage
Enjoy!
Full Show Notes: How to Get Unstuck: 6 Levers to Pull to Level Up Your Business
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Why You Shouldn’t Open a Restaurant (Update)
Kenji Lopez-Alt became a rock star of the food world by bringing science into the kitchen in a way that everyday cooks can appreciate. Then he dared to start his own restaurant — and discovered problems that even science can’t solve.
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E28: Tobi Pearce – £100m in Revenue Aged 27
In this weeks episode of The Diary of a CEO, I sat down with Tobi Pearce, the CEO of SWEAT. Tobi describes SWEAT as the world’s biggest online digital gym, offering help and guidance for women with their fitness choices and health goals. Australian-born…
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#54 Jason Fried: Doing the Enough Thing
Basecamp CEO and co-founder Jason Fried gives us a peek behind the scenes of his company and discusses his philosophy on doing great work, making a positive difference, and learning to breathe in the fast-paced culture of today’s workplace.
Go Premium: Members get early access, ad-free episodes, hand-edited transcripts, searchable transcripts, member-only episodes, and more. Sign up at: https://fs.blog/membership/
Every Sunday our newsletter shares timeless insights and ideas that you can use at work and home. Add it to your inbox: https://fs.blog/newsletter/
Follow Shane on Twitter at: https://twitter.com/ShaneAParrish
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a16z Podcast: For the Billions of Creatives Out There
AI transcript
0:00:06 Hi everyone, welcome to the A6NZ Podcast. I’m Sonal. Today we have a unique sort of
0:00:11 crossover episode with writer/director/producer Brian Koppelman, who, with his partner David
0:00:16 Levine, also wrote some of the most popular and still-discuss movies like Ocean’s 13
0:00:21 and Rounders, which we’ll also touch on in this episode. But currently, Brian is a co-showrunner
0:00:26 with David on Billions, which airs on Showtime and the newest season actually drops this weekend.
0:00:30 The reason I’m calling this a sort of crossover episode is that Brian also interviewed Mark
0:00:36 Andreessen for his podcast, The Moment, which you can listen to on iTunes and elsewhere
0:00:38 if you want to hear more of their thoughts on the difference between hallucination and
0:00:44 vision, putting your art or products and yourself out into the world, and more. We also put
0:00:49 the written Q&A version of that conversation up if you want to read it on A6NZ.com. But
0:00:52 there are two separate conversations, so you don’t have to have listened to either to
0:00:57 follow both. Today’s discussion begins with Mark interviewing Brian, and I jump in in
0:01:01 between here and there as well, starting with the business of creativity and the creativity
0:01:07 of business, then going into how to speak to power, speak to one’s team, speak to co-partners,
0:01:11 as well as managing the emotions and ego around all that. And finally, ending on some specific
0:01:16 moments about Billions The Show in the last 10 minutes, where I’ll signal a light spoiler
0:01:21 alert warning beforehand. We’re here to talk about the business and making of film and
0:01:27 TV, and startups, and tech, and the parallels, and whatnot. Take it from the top, Mark.
0:01:31 Fantastic. So, Brian, thank you for doing this. So, I’ve always been fascinated. I’m deeply
0:01:37 fascinated by the process of creative expression and success, for sure, in technology. And
0:01:40 we think of what we do up here as fundamentally trying to find the most creative entrepreneurs
0:01:44 and trying to help them build enormous, both creative and professional and business success
0:01:49 around what they do. And it strikes me for a long time that there are a lot of similarities
0:01:54 between how the valley works and tech works and how entertainment works, film, television,
0:01:56 other forms of entertainment works. There’s some big similarities. There’s also some
0:02:00 big differences, which hopefully we’ll talk about. You know, Gallagher’s obviously been
0:02:04 super successful across both film and television for a long time, and even before that in music.
0:02:08 But I’m going to focus on film and television. Let’s start with this. What was the first
0:02:12 project that you, and I think it was you and your partner, David, first project that you
0:02:17 view that you and David were responsible for creating, selling, and making?
0:02:22 It was Rounders, for which we wrote the screenplay. And today, there are people online arguing
0:02:28 about that movie, which is incredibly satisfying, because as you know, when you make these bets,
0:02:34 it takes a long time to know if you were right very often. And Rounders was rejected. It was
0:02:39 incredibly difficult. The movie wasn’t a big box office hit. But 21 years later, people
0:02:44 are in ferocious online arguments about the most microscopic moments in the film, which
0:02:48 I, back then, of course, I would have said two things. I would have said we were trying
0:02:52 to make a movie like, and write a movie that would have the effect on people that movies
0:02:56 like Diner had on us, which is that we would watch them over and over again and quote them.
0:03:01 And so the fact that that happened is really rewarding, and it was kind of in our minds.
0:03:06 But when we set out to do that, we knew that there was only a needle in a haystack chance
0:03:11 of success. The doing it, we knew right from the beginning, and I think this is something
0:03:15 that has been really important to our ability to continue to do this work, David and me
0:03:22 for this long is from the beginning, it was only about us getting in a room or going separately
0:03:29 in our individual rooms before we would come back together and doing the work itself, trusting
0:03:34 that if we found a way to do the work itself well enough, some rewards would come. Some
0:03:40 have been really delayed rewards and some have been much quicker. We never seem to
0:03:42 know which it’s going to be.
0:03:45 So let’s start with for people who haven’t seen rounders, maybe thumbnail description
0:03:51 of rounders. Rounders is a movie set in the poker underground of New York and Matt Damon
0:03:54 and Edward Norton, John Malkovich are the stars of the movie, and John Turturro. And
0:04:00 it’s about a character who’s faced with a life decision, which is, is he going to pursue
0:04:05 his passion, this thing that he believes he’s great at, even though he’s had setbacks. And
0:04:09 in fact, these setbacks have threatened his stable life. And so he’s at a point where he
0:04:15 has to choose the stable, traditional road or the road that his heart is telling him
0:04:19 to pursue. And that’s the central question. And the movie has a lot of sort of heightened
0:04:24 dramatic, you know, you want to choose a heightened dramatic construct in which to hide the theme.
0:04:26 Because the last thing you want to do, if you want to talk about the themes, you know,
0:04:32 be, as you had Kowski and just write essays, if you were going to tell it in a fictional
0:04:36 construct, make that construct compelling. So only later people wonder and feel what
0:04:37 the themes are.
0:04:42 So when you say the, do the work, like what was, what was the do the work part of rounders
0:04:43 for you and David?
0:04:50 First, it was about researching. So I walked into a poker club one night, heard the way
0:04:55 the people spoke, saw what it looked like, and immediately recognized, nobody’s made
0:05:01 a movie about this. I can’t believe this exists. This should be a movie. I called Dave. He
0:05:04 said, that’s great. Who are the people in the world that we’re going to write about?
0:05:07 Who are the characters? Who are we going to care about?
0:05:13 So we started going to this poker club most every night, taking notes surreptitiously.
0:05:17 And then at a certain point when we felt we had enough of those notes, we started really
0:05:22 figuring out what the character’s question would be, who the character would be, what
0:05:27 the important relationships would be in his life. And then we had to, so then we started
0:05:31 outlining it, and then we had to just decide, okay, starting tomorrow, we’re going to meet
0:05:35 every morning. One mistake I see people make when they decide they have to do some kind
0:05:39 of artistic work is they think it means they have to grab that identity so hard that it’s
0:05:45 to shut out the rest of their identity. But what I found was you don’t have to do that.
0:05:48 I didn’t want to put all the pressure on myself of quitting my job and saying, I need a beret
0:05:49 and an easel, and I’m an artist.
0:05:51 So what was your job at the time?
0:05:55 I was working as an executive in the music business. David was bartending. And so what
0:05:58 we did was when he would come off bartending, he would sleep a couple hours, and I would
0:06:03 get up extra early, and we would meet in a storage locker underneath my apartment that
0:06:07 had a slop sink in it because it was an institutional little room, had barely room for both of us
0:06:13 to sit. I sat on the floor a lot of the time. And we met every day for two hours in the
0:06:14 morning to write the script.
0:06:16 And this was purely on spec?
0:06:21 Completely on spec. In fact, this is I think a piece of this puzzle that I never told before,
0:06:28 which is that when we had the idea, David met a young producer and told them the idea
0:06:33 and the producer offered us $5,000 and said, for five grand, I’ll be your partner. I’ll
0:06:36 give you five grand, but then we’re going to share and if we sell it, we’re going to
0:06:40 share in the writer’s fee and I’m going to be your partner on the thing. And we were
0:06:45 tempted because it represented, hey, wait, someone’s paying me to write. We’re professionals
0:06:49 then, right? But we asked some advice of a woman named Rachel Horowitz who was at Fine
0:06:53 Line. She happens to be the sister of Adam Horowitz, the Beastie Boys.
0:06:54 That’s awesome.
0:06:57 Rachel was a great executive and I knew somebody who knew her and we met and met with her and
0:07:01 we said, what should we do? Someone’s willing to pay us $5,000 and she said, I don’t need
0:07:05 to hear the idea, but if someone’s willing to pay you guys who have no credits, $5,000
0:07:09 now, write the thing and you’ll have a much better chance of success. And we’ve taken
0:07:15 that lesson to heart still to this day to write unencumbered. We like to go in a room
0:07:25 and let our idea come to fruition fully. Let ourselves, let us work out all of the complicated
0:07:28 parts of it without outside interference.
0:07:31 So let me ask you a lot of professional, one of the adages I think professional writers
0:07:34 is never write for free. If you write for free, you’re a sucker.
0:07:36 Well, that was like Samuel Johnson said that, right?
0:07:38 Okay. Yeah. You’re a sucker. You’re being taken advantage of, right? Never, never, you
0:07:41 know, a doctor wouldn’t, doctor wouldn’t do surgery for free. A pilot wouldn’t fly
0:07:44 a plane for free. Writers shouldn’t write for free. But, and I know you’re not writing
0:07:48 for free per se, but like, there is an element to this of like how, like, it feels like a
0:07:51 lot of your peers need the deal before they’ll write.
0:07:56 Well, it depends where you, where you put EV, right? Okay. Expect, you know, right, right?
0:08:03 Where do you put the EV? By the way, I look at the way I view the need for personal expression.
0:08:06 I don’t, I actually completely disagree with that quote. I don’t understand what the quote
0:08:09 is talking about. Don’t be taken advantage of. And it’s also kind of making fun of the
0:08:11 artistic impulse. It’s saying, are you a professional or not?
0:08:16 Yeah. But I would assert you can be a professional. You can treat, you can act like a professional
0:08:20 before you’re paid as a professional. It depends how you’re going to approach it. It depends
0:08:24 what your expectations are. But our expected value, even though it might have been foolhardy
0:08:29 to think so, was that there would be something on the other side of it. And I’ll say this,
0:08:34 the expected value of not doing the work is zero. Like, there’s no, there’s no question
0:08:37 about the EV of just thinking I’d like to write and not write it.
0:08:41 Well, if you had shown up in, if you, if you guys had just gone and tried to pitch, try
0:08:45 to get an agent at stage of your careers, would you have been able to do the project?
0:08:49 No, probably not other than we got someone who would have paid us five grand, but, but,
0:08:53 but then later we did make the mistake of pitching at various times. And I mean, occasionally
0:08:59 a pitch becomes, has become a movie for us. But for whatever reason, we’ve found that
0:09:04 our strongest work is done in private. And then we take it out and show the world. And
0:09:10 that’s the, for us, the, for us, we find that when you, when you pitch an idea, as you know,
0:09:16 when someone comes to pitch you, you’re entering into dialogue about this endeavor. And inevitably
0:09:19 what we found is a smart person would say something in the room, cause let’s assume
0:09:24 for a moment that the people across the desk are an idiots. Someone says something smart.
0:09:27 You can’t help but have them in your head when you’re then going to do the work. And
0:09:30 that might be a smart thing, but it really might not be the right thing. Because maybe
0:09:36 I’ve only explained this, this feeling that, that, that I have about what this thing could
0:09:42 be. Maybe I’ve explained it in a way the best I could at that moment, but left to my own,
0:09:45 it would take all sorts of different terms. But, but I have that, that phrase that the
0:09:50 person uttered to me. And I have to keep returning to that for some reason, because I’ve already
0:09:52 let them inside this process.
0:09:56 I have a question about this though, because, you know, when we go back to this idea of
0:10:00 you had the confidence to do this in private and then put it out into the world. And even
0:10:04 with the rounders, there was sort of a long staying power that came about with that. It
0:10:06 wasn’t like an instant box office hit in one.
0:10:07 That’s right.
0:10:12 How do you, what’s a timeframe that you sort of a gauge the success and B how do you sort
0:10:18 of balance this sort of impetus from executives and other people in your life who care, who
0:10:24 are producing and paying for these products with sort of keeping the creative process intact
0:10:26 without over rotating on the data.
0:10:31 So let me back up to answer that question. I have to tell you where I was before we wrote
0:10:37 the first thing. And where I was was in a pretty decent state of misery. Because although
0:10:43 I had a job that was well-paying and on the surface scene creative, and although I had,
0:10:49 I was lucky enough, even having Amy, and then our first child did not, was not a salve for
0:10:53 the way I was feeling, which was like, I wasn’t doing this thing that I knew I had to pursue.
0:10:59 I wasn’t doing the work. I was blocked. And I have this notion that when you’re a blocked
0:11:05 person, when you allow this creative impulse to be kept down, it dies. And like any other
0:11:10 kind of death, there’s toxicity that’s attached to that. And as in the toxicity I knew would
0:11:16 leech out and would actually make, you know, leech onto the people that I loved because
0:11:20 I would become a bitter person. And I wanted to be the kind of person who would come home
0:11:25 and tell my kids that they should chase their dreams with rigor. You know, people often
0:11:30 just think of it as a relic of the 60s. And it’s like, Hey, pursue your dreams, do your
0:11:34 thing. But it’s like, well, wait, if you have a dream, if you have a dream, work with incredible
0:11:38 rigor and discipline to pursue it. And so I finally got to the place where I knew, and
0:11:42 it wasn’t about, can I have a movie in the movie theaters? What it was about was, can
0:11:46 I find a way to have the courage to do the work that I’m worried I’ll fail at the work
0:11:50 that I think is going to be meaningful. And so I decided to follow my curiosity and my
0:11:56 obsessions. And it’s not merely pay following your passion. What it is, is figuring out
0:12:00 if I’m obsessed, I’m incredibly curious if I can get to the root of that. And I can
0:12:05 somehow create something out of it that is worthy. First of all, in the doing, I will
0:12:11 change and become better. To answer your question about success, the moment that I was in there
0:12:17 for two hours a day, I was charged the rest of the day. So the job that it seemed mundane
0:12:21 and bitter and sort of annoying to me was much easier to get through because I’d spent
0:12:27 two hours already firing on all cylinders. And so that in the beginning, and of course
0:12:31 along a career, you can hold onto those things and you can let them go because we’re all
0:12:38 human, which means that we’re all pray to, we can all fall, fall prey to being judged
0:12:42 by a standard that isn’t our own. And we have to find a way to remind ourselves that
0:12:46 our own standard is the standard that matters. So of course, I’m not going to say that the
0:12:49 whole time I’ve been doing this, I only cared about what I felt like when I was doing the
0:12:53 work. I will say that each time I have reframed and refocused to remember that what matters
0:12:57 is what I feel like when I’m doing the work. It immediately makes me feel better. And then
0:13:01 I immediately don’t care about the rest of that stuff. Easier to say, of course, you
0:13:05 might think easier to say because we’ve had this success, but I know I can point to a
0:13:09 movie like “Solitary Man,” which was a commercial failure. I mean, it made its money back, but
0:13:13 it was not a big commercial success. But I know it’s the best movie we ever made. It
0:13:18 got these incredible reviews. So I wasn’t crazy. That’s how I know this question. I’m
0:13:22 really interested in this delusion versus genius or delusion versus capability. But
0:13:25 I wouldn’t change anything of the four-year struggle to write that movie, and then we
0:13:30 directed the movie because as an artist, if you get to express the thing you want to
0:13:37 express, and then you get to make it, you’ve kind of won. The odds against are so great.
0:13:41 Even the odds against completing something, right? Even the odds against actually showing
0:13:44 up, “I want to be a writer is way different than I am a writer. I want to be an artist
0:13:48 is way different than I am an artist.” And we decide when you get to give yourself those
0:13:55 designations. But I was so sad, so miserable, that it immediately changed upon doing the
0:13:59 work. And so I have had to force myself to have that be the standard.
0:14:03 To go back to the state. So do you ever suffer from writer’s block?
0:14:04 No, because I have rituals.
0:14:05 Like morning pages?
0:14:06 Can you describe that?
0:14:11 Yeah, I meditate every morning, and I do morning pages every morning. So morning pages, like
0:14:16 out of Julie Cameron’s book, “The Artist’s Way,” I do three longhand pages, a real brain
0:14:23 dump, where I just let the pen move for three pages no matter what. And it has this incredible
0:14:27 effect on me. It’s self-hypnosis. It’s a brain dump so that you’re putting all the
0:14:32 dross just gets out there on the page. Also, it has the effect of, “I can’t be blocked.
0:14:37 I’ve already written three pages.” So you’re in a state of flow. You’re in a state of movement.
0:14:42 That is the tool I used to become unblocked when I was 30. And when I was that unhappy
0:14:46 and I said I had to try to write something, I had given Dave, “Awake and the Giant,”
0:14:50 within, and Dave gave me “The Artist’s Way.” And the combination of those things made me
0:14:56 realize I had to figure out what it was that I really wanted to do and be. And then “The
0:15:00 Artist’s Way” gave me this tool to try to actualize it. And as soon as I started doing
0:15:03 those pages, I was like, “Oh, I can do this. I can write. I can actually make good on it.”
0:15:05 And I’ve done it for 23 years.
0:15:06 Do you keep the pages?
0:15:10 No, you burn. My kids have instructions to burn upon my day.
0:15:11 Upon your day.
0:15:14 So I was going to say, you know, decades or centuries later, these get published as
0:15:15 the notebooks.
0:15:19 Yeah, they can’t. I’ve read Camus’ notebooks and Somerset Mom’s notebooks. And I’m happy
0:15:22 that they exist, but that probably wasn’t their intention.
0:15:25 So when you guys sold “Rounders” or got the gun, whatever you want to say, the trigger
0:15:30 got pulled. So what did you guys have when you walked into the room to do that at that
0:15:31 point?
0:15:35 Well, so we finished the screenplay. It was first rejected. It was my favorite story.
0:15:40 But I tell in detail on my blog, which is not a very active blog, at BrianCobbleman.com.
0:15:45 But we were rejected by every single agency in Hollywood. One said it was overwritten,
0:15:48 another said it was underwritten. I still don’t know what either of those terms mean.
0:15:52 And I wrote down everything they all said. And this was an incredible Hollywood lesson
0:15:56 because, you know, in the beginning, every rejection feels so personal. Every rejection
0:15:59 also feels so final, right, in the beginning.
0:16:05 I wrote down what everyone said and then we sold the thing. And that Monday, so we sold
0:16:13 the thing over a weekend on a Monday and by Tuesday, every single agency that had passed
0:16:18 called us to try to sign us. And I read them all their comments. I had it on a yellow legal
0:16:22 pad and I just read them. I said, “Well, but you said that the thing was overwritten.”
0:16:23 I did. I read it to them all.
0:16:25 And it wasn’t that the movie had gotten made and they liked it. It wasn’t that the movie
0:16:27 was a commercial success. It was simply that you sold it.
0:16:32 The thing had intrinsically changed in the work itself. And they all, nobody owned it.
0:16:36 Not one of them said, “You know what? I guess I’m…” They all said, “I didn’t read it.
0:16:40 It was my reader. It was my assistant. I meant to read it. I read the wrong script that was
0:16:45 about poker and I thought it was your script.” It was incredible. But it immediately framed
0:16:49 the question for me, for the rest of my career about who knows what.
0:16:55 So then it’s bought by Miramax, which is something I guess they used to say with pride. And David
0:16:58 and I were just the writers. We weren’t the producers on the movie. We weren’t the directors
0:17:03 of the movie. And this has to do with continuing to work with Rigger. There was a moment where
0:17:07 they were going to hire a director who we thought would fire us off the movie and we
0:17:12 thought would do a bad job. We met him. We didn’t like him. And so even though it wasn’t
0:17:19 in our billet, we decided we’d better find a director who they would hire but who would
0:17:24 be someone we felt we could work with. And it was really overstepping our position.
0:17:32 And I think part of it is, and this gets into us, part of it was that each of us were raised
0:17:37 in environments where we saw people take these kinds of risks. And my dad was an entrepreneur
0:17:42 and I saw a lot of the time the way that he would just overstep his position to achieve
0:17:49 a result. And so we found out through some sources who directors were that the movie company,
0:17:52 who they were interested in making movies with, we triangulated that with people we
0:17:57 could get to. And we found out that our agency represented John Dahl, who was really high
0:18:02 on our list. And we said to our agents at the time, “Listen, we’re going to stay in
0:18:06 California until you can get us a meeting with John Dahl.” And they were like, “Well,
0:18:09 how are we going to do that?” We said, “Well, send him this script, the letter that we
0:18:13 write, and we’ll just wait around.” And they had all just competed to sign us, right?
0:18:20 So this was the very beginning of this relationship with the agent. And in a way, he had to prove
0:18:24 himself to us. We were able to leverage the newness of the situation, even though often
0:18:29 people in that situation think that they work for the agents. The agents do a really good
0:18:34 job of making people feel lucky to have them. But we were aware of the actual leverage in
0:18:39 the situation. He got the script to John. John read it. Luckily for us, he really liked
0:18:42 it. He came over and met us at our hotel. We all shook hands on it. We knew he was an
0:18:48 honorable person. We then got to have this incredibly, incredible moment, which now when
0:18:52 I think back in it, I can’t even believe happened, which is we then called the producers and
0:18:55 the studio and we said, “John Dahl’s going to direct ‘Rounders’.” And they all went,
0:18:58 “Well, that makes no sense. He’s supposed to direct this other movie for us. How could
0:19:00 you do that? You overstepped.” And we all said, “Well, do you want John Dahl to direct
0:19:04 the movie?” And they all went, “Yeah.” And what was really great about that is then
0:19:08 that allowed us to be on set every day. Because when you’re the one who brought the director
0:19:14 in and you have this relationship, plus John has no ego and he knew we understood the world
0:19:20 of poker. Also, this incredibly lucky thing was we were the same age as Matt and Edward.
0:19:24 And so there was a relationship that developed right away, which was we were going to take
0:19:28 these guys and show them the world of underground poker. We were going to be experts about this.
0:19:31 John Dahl gave us our limits. He was like, “You have to really think carefully about
0:19:35 your set of actors. You can’t contradict me. We’re going to work together, but there’s
0:19:39 a chain of command.” And with that, he gave us complete freedom. Within that, he was like,
0:19:43 “Now, help me make the movie.” But none of it would have happened if we would have
0:19:47 pitched a movie. We would have been powerless. We had ownership because we’d written the
0:19:49 whole thing and we’d proven we were experts.
0:19:51 Can I ask you a quick question on this notion of ownership?
0:19:52 Yeah.
0:19:56 David Levine and you guys are both the showrunners for Billions. I’m dying to know how, because
0:20:05 when a studio buys your show, someone is producing billions, it is your show as showrunner.
0:20:08 What if there’s a conflict and you guys have a huge falling out and I’m thinking of the
0:20:13 case of the Sherman Paladinos and Gilmore Girls and they had to exit before the last
0:20:17 season and it totally changed the last season of the show and then they came back to remake
0:20:21 the thing? Is there this thing where you’re owning this thing that other people are now
0:20:24 sharing in and then you have to give up your baby? How does the ownership thing work?
0:20:32 I’ll tell you, it’s so analogous to the way a founder and will work with the investors,
0:20:38 the VC, the board. It’s up to you to manage that relationship. It’s up to you to set
0:20:47 the terms. This does get into questions of privilege. As two white men growing up with
0:20:53 David’s grandfather and my father were pretty successful, we learned at a young age how
0:20:57 to talk to powerful people. Most people don’t get in education and talk to powerful people.
0:20:58 You’re so right about that.
0:21:02 When people ask about advantages, yes, getting college paid for was a huge advantage, meaning
0:21:07 that I knew I could take certain risks that other people couldn’t because I didn’t have
0:21:12 a massive debt. But much more important or certainly equally important was from a young
0:21:16 age, my dad would like put me in situations where I would have to deal with powerful people
0:21:21 and I would have to find a way to get the result I wanted. He would let me be in a recording
0:21:26 studio when he was making records and sometimes ask my opinion in a room full of incredibly
0:21:30 scary powerful people. He would let me be in meetings and he would leave and I would
0:21:31 conduct stuff.
0:21:32 You really set you up for that.
0:21:39 From a young age, how to interact? How do you talk to power actually? Give us the advice
0:21:40 for our listeners.
0:21:44 The main thing is don’t treat them as the most of the time. Don’t treat them with a
0:21:49 sense of awe and that their station makes them better than you. But also don’t try to condescend
0:21:53 to them as though you’re the smartest person in the world. And you know the biggest thing?
0:21:55 Make them laugh once in a while.
0:21:56 That’s actually great.
0:21:59 I mean, right? Walk into a room, make them laugh, make them feel like you have the answers
0:22:03 to their problems and that you’re comfortable in your own skin. I mean so much of what I’m
0:22:09 talking about is an ingrained sense of comfort in your own skin is being able to just continue
0:22:13 to grow. You must always continue to grow, continue to better yourself, but find a way
0:22:19 to sit there in the room relaxed and understand that you’re not sitting there with the all-knowing,
0:22:25 all-powerful Oracle or Oz, which is to say to answer your question. It’s our job to make
0:22:32 the show, to make the actors comfortable, to make the crew feel empowered, to make
0:22:36 sure the show is written, edited and shot, right? It’s also our job to make the show
0:22:42 on budget, to communicate with the show time if there’s going to be, “Hey, guess what?
0:22:44 This next week it’s going to look like we’re over, but here’s how we’re going to solve
0:22:49 that the week after.” Also to make them feel heard when they’re talking about the show.
0:22:50 You’re so right.
0:22:54 If they’re giving notes, make them feel heard, make them know that you actually are listening.
0:22:57 Again, it’s really important that we only take the notes that’ll make the show better
0:23:01 and that we do that in a way that makes them feel good about the process.
0:23:04 That’s fantastic advice. That’s so great. I feel like that can apply to any business.
0:23:05 It does. I think that applies across the board.
0:23:07 You know how I coach people how to do that?
0:23:08 How do you?
0:23:09 Yeah.
0:23:10 From Larry Sanders.
0:23:11 From Artie.
0:23:12 So tell us.
0:23:13 I don’t know where you’re from.
0:23:16 We both love Larry Sanders, like my third favorite show of all time.
0:23:22 So people haven’t seen it. You must watch it immediately. So Artie, the producer, played
0:23:26 by the legendary Riptorn, Artie, the producer.
0:23:30 So typically we see this with young people out in here, which is like, you give somebody,
0:23:33 in your world, it’s called a note. In our world, it’s like feedback or here’s an idea.
0:23:37 You give somebody an idea and they immediately get their backup. Well, they do one of two
0:23:40 things. They either take it way too seriously and they try to do everything you tell them
0:23:44 or they get their backup and they get offended, “How dare you question my vision?” kind of
0:23:47 stuff and then that sets up a weird dynamic where you feel like you can’t talk to them.
0:23:52 Both of those are bad. One way you basically hijack their creative vision, usually a bad
0:23:55 effect. The other way is you end up with a bad, a hostile relationship.
0:23:59 And so, Artie’s whole approach to dealing with the network executives in Larry Sanders
0:24:03 is a show inside a show, basically. It’s a show about a show. His way of dealing with
0:24:07 the suits from the network was basically that they’d say, “Well, I don’t know. I think
0:24:10 the curtain that the talk show has read, we really think it should be purple.” And Artie
0:24:13 would literally say, “That is a really interesting idea. I am really going to think hard about
0:24:17 that one.” And he would read it on his legal panel. He goes, “Okay, okay. What else do
0:24:21 you have?” And then, of course, the show, the suit leaves the room, he rips up the
0:24:22 baby. And the suits are on their way out, and they’re like, “That was the best meeting
0:24:23 ever.” Yeah.
0:24:25 Is this a feeling of feeling that you’ve been hurt?
0:24:30 And so, that’s like, what I’m telling people is like, “That’s the baseline.” If you can
0:24:34 just do that, you’re better than most. And then to your point, if on top of that, you
0:24:36 can actually consider and actually absorb some of the feedback.
0:24:40 And sometimes, listen, nobody’s perfect. So, there are times I’m working 17 hours a day,
0:24:45 and somebody gives me a note I really disagree with, and I might say, you know, as you might,
0:24:50 I might, once in a while, say, “Listen, I tend to say kind of like, ‘Fuck off. That’s
0:24:51 a stupid idea ever heard.’”
0:24:54 I sometimes say that’s a stupid idea, but here’s the thing. If you have the right kind
0:24:58 of relationship with the people with whom you work, you can say that, because they know
0:25:03 that’s not your default position, and they understand, because you’re in dialogue with
0:25:07 them, but not operating from a place, no one’s operating from a place of fear, hurt, or misunderstanding.
0:25:11 And by the way, if you say that’s the stupidest fucking note I ever heard, call them the next
0:25:14 day and say, “Let me tell you what was going on yesterday. Here’s the way I’m going to
0:25:19 think about addressing it, or read this and tell me if you still think so.” It’s a constant,
0:25:24 you constantly have to remember, if you’re in our position, that you’re grateful to be
0:25:29 in this situation, but that you’re not an indentured, you’re not so grateful that you’re
0:25:32 going to prostrate yourself and ruin the thing in the process.
0:25:33 Of course.
0:25:34 And if you remember that, you’re in okay shape.
0:25:37 The part that I always struggle with here, and I wonder if a lot of people struggle with
0:25:41 this, is that I always had this belief that competency is a thing that will always get
0:25:45 you ahead. The result will speak for itself. How do you sort of play back the results to
0:25:50 tell the story that you want? Because oftentimes, the rounder’s example, this is the conversation
0:25:54 that’s happening around the movie, because people have ways of defining those things.
0:25:58 I think that’s a really big challenge. How do you sort of define it so that you can make
0:26:04 sure that the narrative you untold your way is that part of the point? I mean, in terms
0:26:05 of how people perceive your way?
0:26:11 Well, when you’re a showrunner of a going concern, you’re going to get to prove it out
0:26:16 or not prove it out, because you’re making the show. And I will say, certainly in the
0:26:22 relationship we have with Showtime, all their notes are suggestions. And so, Dave and I
0:26:25 are getting to prove it out every episode. I will say we did, so okay, there are a few
0:26:30 other things. It’s not bad thing to learn the mistakes people have made ahead of you.
0:26:35 It’s not bad to do research and know, well, what is the third round in this situation,
0:26:39 right? So if the third round in the situation is don’t go more than 3% over budget on a
0:26:46 given episode without having conversations, that that is the third round, then don’t be
0:26:50 a jerk. You’re in an incredibly lucky situation to find a way to do what you have to do. But
0:26:57 there are many other non-budgetary examples. So here’s how a pilot works. When I lay this
0:27:02 example out, there will be parallels to your world. So a pilot gets green lit. They give
0:27:08 you this amount of money to go make the pilot. And they’ve already approved the script.
0:27:13 You cast the show together. So that’s another one of these things where you’re trying to
0:27:18 find a way to express your opinions. Make sure you have the cast you want. While understanding
0:27:21 we’re in the real world, you’re not going to cast a complete unknown to play the lead
0:27:25 unless you have a bunch of other ways to say, well, that’s okay because in these three spots
0:27:32 we have people who aren’t. But then once that stuff’s done, guys go off, make your show,
0:27:36 right? Because once it starts going and before it’s edited, there is no feedback they can
0:27:41 really give you. You’re making the show. You’re making the show. You go in the editing room
0:27:46 after you have all this material. You know the show is going to fit in an hour long slot.
0:27:52 But most people, when they cut their pilot because they don’t actually have the real
0:27:59 limitation of an hour, will turn in a 67 minute pilot because they’re, every idea they had,
0:28:03 everything they want to be there. Now, David and I, because by the time billions have come
0:28:07 around, we’ve been doing this for a long time. And what happens when you give the 67 minute
0:28:13 thing is you’re inviting a bunch of people to tell you how to get the thing to 57 or
0:28:19 58 minutes. And suddenly they’re giving you their opinion on it. Also, by you not having
0:28:26 to have rigorously with discipline make those decisions, you’ve inevitably left in a bunch
0:28:32 of stuff that you shouldn’t have. So David and I decided and no matter what, we’re turning
0:28:37 something in that’s 57 or 58 minutes, maybe 56 if we could do it. We’re going to take
0:28:43 all of those questions off the table before showing it to the people who put up the money.
0:28:49 And I’ll tell you, we gave them this cut and we’re realistic people. So we knew all the
0:28:52 flaws and the things we would want to reshoot before it would go in the air. But you know,
0:28:55 they’re going to make it as some of the audience doesn’t know. When you shoot a pilot, there’s
0:28:58 no guarantee you’re going to have a series. They’ve invested a bunch of money, showtimes
0:29:01 known for if they make a drama pilot. It’s very likely they’re going to put it on the
0:29:07 air, but you don’t know. And so we turn over this pilot. And the first thing they said
0:29:12 to us when they called us was, you guys have already done all the stuff that normally takes
0:29:16 a month for us to work through with showrunners, which is you’ve gotten the thing into show
0:29:24 shape. And so that’s because we looked ahead at how best practice practices. And by the
0:29:28 way, it’s hard, right? It’s actually when you’re in the, then you’re in the situation.
0:29:32 You understand why everybody turns in at 67 minutes because you don’t have to, it’s much
0:29:38 easier to not have to make those decisions. Right? It’s much easier to hand the confidence
0:29:42 actually quite frankly, it’s easier to offload those decisions to the X, to someone else,
0:29:44 the people who are paying for it. Instead we said, you know, we’re going to make these
0:29:49 choices and we’re going to show them that this is the vision we have for the show. And
0:29:53 our structure, I think I’ve put the pilot script online at my, I think I put it online
0:29:57 at the blog. And if you go look at it, I put rounders up there too, which people have really
0:30:01 been reading a lot lately. But if you look at it structurally, it’s quite different than
0:30:05 the pilot that got on the air. Different scene starts it. And because when we got in the
0:30:10 editing room, we decided, well, now we have the opportunity to make the show be the best
0:30:15 version of itself. We were able to gain objectivity, even though it was all of our hearts in there.
0:30:17 It’s only in the edit that you get that arc totally.
0:30:19 And then there’s one message you’re delivering is like, here’s an incredible product. The
0:30:22 meta message I think you’re delivering is you guys are professionals.
0:30:26 And they said that to us. They specifically explicitly said, we know your showrunners who
0:30:31 can make the show. That was what gave. So this goes to your question of the relationship.
0:30:36 How do you establish a relationship with them that makes them your professional? We can
0:30:43 trust. And by the way, as you know, all you want is a founder show, a founder CEO who can
0:30:47 not make it your job to run the company and just take the best of your ideas. And you
0:30:50 want them to discard the worst of your ideas. Go knock it out of the park. Right. Go do
0:30:55 your thing. By the way, that’s hard. Those are hard one lessons over a career. Yeah. You
0:30:59 know what I mean? Those aren’t. We were 20 years in by the time. I think we sold rounders
0:31:06 in 1997 and we made the pilot of this in 2015. So that’s a long period of time over which
0:31:10 we figured this stuff out. So for people who aren’t aware, there’s a very interesting kind
0:31:14 of split and how movies are made and how TV shows are made at least these days, which
0:31:18 is movies are made. Generally, the writer writes the script, turns it over and then
0:31:21 other people run with it and other people being the presumably the producers and then
0:31:24 particularly the director, the director, the director ends up actually running the project
0:31:28 in a lot of ways, right? Maybe with a line producer or something. For TV shows, especially,
0:31:32 it seems like in the last couple of decades, you have this concept of showrunner and the
0:31:38 writers are often or usually at this point, the showrunners. And I’m just, I’m picturing
0:31:42 I don’t know, Louis B. Mayer or, you know, Jack Warner or somebody, you know, being
0:31:46 told that the writers should run the project and probably screaming and being very upset
0:31:49 like that would be impossible. And so two-part question, what was the left turn in the industry
0:31:53 that caused the writers to get in a position where they could be the showrunners? And then,
0:31:57 and then what did you guys do as writers to make sure that you specifically were able
0:31:58 to do that?
0:32:04 So there’s this, there’s this great book called Difficult Men by Brett Martin that’s about
0:32:12 five showrunners, David Simon, David Chase, Vince Gilligan, Sean Ryan and one other that
0:32:13 I’m not remembering right now.
0:32:19 And this is Breaking Bad, The Shields, The Wires, The Prannos and The Wire and, but he
0:32:22 goes into the history of it and Hill Street Blues is when this first, because they were
0:32:27 making this kind of serialized show and Stephen Boczko started having meetings with the directors.
0:32:30 When the director would come in, he would start having meetings saying, let me give,
0:32:35 set the tone. He was executive, nobody named him showrunner, but he decided that he was
0:32:42 going to, had to because of the nature of that show, exert upon the situation a kind
0:32:47 of tone, a control of the voice and, and tone because most shows have been more like law
0:32:51 and order was like the apotheosis of the other way around, which is each, each episode is
0:32:52 independent.
0:32:53 Yes.
0:32:54 Right.
0:32:59 But before Hill Street Blues, Hill Street Blues was one of the first shows that sort of combined
0:33:03 these elements for a cop show, I think, for sure. But, but the answer to your question
0:33:09 is about David and me and about anyone who wants to be a showrunner, which I’m happy
0:33:12 that showrunners officially in the dictionary now, like two years ago, it became.
0:33:13 I’m so glad.
0:33:14 I love that word.
0:33:19 It’s a real job title. Now, like, what do you do for a living showrunner? It’s learning
0:33:23 to be a producer. We have 150 people who work with us, but we’re who we’re in charge of.
0:33:28 And so it is quite different. But, but, but, you know, as you know, David and I directed
0:33:32 movies and we produced movies. So for us, it was a quite a natural thing because we’d
0:33:37 already, you know, at Rounders was as good an experience as you could have as a writer.
0:33:42 And there were still areas in which we didn’t have enough control over the voice. And what
0:33:47 we also knew was we’re probably never going to get that exact situation again. So we’d
0:33:50 better learn how to do these other parts of it. We’d better learn how to gain control
0:33:55 of the, you know, mechanisms of production means production means production.
0:34:01 That’s exactly right. And so we realized that we had to do that. But again, that goes goes
0:34:09 back to this question of a lot often a writer is takes solace while they’re whining about
0:34:14 not having control. They take solace and not having control because if you don’t have control,
0:34:17 you don’t take the blame somebody else as well. So if you’re comfortable, if you can
0:34:21 find a way to be comfortable with failure, which is a writer you have to or comfortable
0:34:25 in your mistakes, then you can be comfortable in wanting to be the final voice on what the
0:34:32 product is going to be. And we very early on decided, I’ll say this, when we work with
0:34:38 Steven Soderbergh, we are so glad to have his voice. If he’s directing them, man, what
0:34:43 a thrill to work with a genius, right? And what a thrill to have Soderbergh make us
0:34:44 better to this day.
0:34:45 This is OSHA 13.
0:34:48 Yeah, but also the girlfriend experience. And then he produced Solterman. I mean, if
0:34:53 Steven called tomorrow and said that he wanted us to just be screenwriters on a movie, he
0:34:57 was directing, we would jump at it because he’s going to make our stuff better. So but
0:35:02 if you’re comfortable in, if you’re comfortable taking the blame, if you’re comfortable in
0:35:08 a position of control, it makes you incredibly comfortable to then seed that control or to
0:35:14 share with somebody else. And so you can pick your spots then and decide. And also because
0:35:21 we’re able to make our own stuff, it’s the being in a situation where we are not the
0:35:26 final voice doesn’t make us chafe against it. I have plenty of that over here. So I don’t
0:35:28 have to chafe against it over here.
0:35:30 I’m happy to play this role in this situation.
0:35:31 Fantastic. I love it.
0:35:34 This is why we’re good producing other people’s movies. When it’s someone else’s vision, we’re
0:35:38 great at just helping them achieve their vision. Like Neil Berger, who’s an incredibly, incredibly
0:35:42 successful director, director of the pilot of Billions. We produced his first three movies.
0:35:47 And it’s like, Hey, Neil, we’re here to advise counsel, help. It’s your movie. Go run with
0:35:52 it. We’re comfortable in any of those different modes creatively. But I think the reason for
0:35:57 that is that we got comfortable early on with just doing the work and failing.
0:36:00 That’s right. We’ve been talking a lot about kind of managing ups, hierarchically, so
0:36:04 to speak. Now, turning it the other direction, like managing down in the writer’s room, you’ve
0:36:08 got like a lot of writers working with you. So how do you now navigate debates with all
0:36:12 those writers in the writer’s room? Like essentially you’re the show runners. And how do you make
0:36:14 it collaborative yet not a democracy at the same time?
0:36:17 Well, it isn’t a democracy.
0:36:21 So different show runners approach the question of the writer’s room differently. And some
0:36:27 who’ve come up through a writer’s room, rely on it in a very deep way, describe a writer’s
0:36:28 room.
0:36:33 A writer’s room is you get, let’s say six people in the room plus a show runner. There’s
0:36:37 a white board on the, and you start at the beginning of the season and it’s like, where
0:36:41 are we and how do we fill that in? And then each, but then it’s really hard to describe
0:36:45 a writer’s room mark because writer’s rooms become extensions of the way the show runners
0:36:48 see the world and the way they see the world of their shows.
0:36:52 So in theory, it’s a team of people writing the show together in some form.
0:36:57 In some form, meaning maybe everybody will write an episode. Almost all shows, the show
0:37:01 runner does the final pass on all the episodes, no matter whose name is going on.
0:37:01 Yeah, like the top edit.
0:37:08 On our show, though, David and I end up writing most of the show. And we have a great room
0:37:14 of men and women who help us really break the story arc of the season. And that is an
0:37:21 invaluable process. Tons of stuff comes out of the room about how the big arc of the season
0:37:25 should occur, about the twists and turns, about where characters, and that’s a months-long
0:37:31 process of talking. We haven’t yet found, and then when it comes to writing the scripts,
0:37:38 David and I, and then we have a writer named Adam Perlman, who’s now a co-executive producer.
0:37:43 He’s a number two person. And Adam writes a good amount of the show, too. But the truth
0:37:48 is, it is mostly us writing it. And I’m not saying that’s the way it should be on every
0:37:51 show. The voice of our show, the way that our show is, whether you like our show or
0:37:56 not, our show is canted in a certain way. It has a very clear voice that somehow the
0:37:57 two of us can do.
0:38:03 Instead, if someone on the team starts a script, their name goes on, and ours does
0:38:04 not.
0:38:07 So you’ve got a young hotshot writer, and they have an opportunity to write on a show.
0:38:10 This may be not as, let’s say, critical respect or whatever, but maybe it’s like they know
0:38:15 that they’ll actually get to write scripts. And what’s your pitch to them of why they
0:38:17 should come work for you, given that it’s a more constrained environment?
0:38:21 I’m not sure. Well, Adam was somebody who had a lot of job offers when he came on our
0:38:25 show in the second season. He started on the second season. He came into the room as just
0:38:31 a producer level, which is kind of a low-level position in terms of the hierarchy. He wasn’t
0:38:36 helping to be a showrunner, but he came in the room. He had incredibly good ideas. He
0:38:42 then wrote his first script that he wrote was very strong, strong enough that when someone’s
0:38:46 script came in that was not that strong, and David and I had to work on three other things.
0:38:49 We called him in and we said, “Hey, take a shot at rewriting this. Here are the things
0:38:50 that matter.”
0:38:55 We made extensive notes. Adam, go try to rewrite it. He rewrote that script. We then sat with
0:38:58 him and talked about how we were going to now rewrite it, but he did a really good job.
0:39:03 We kept being able to go to him, and by the next season, season three, he was running
0:39:07 the room when we weren’t there. We bumped him up to co-executive producer really quickly
0:39:14 and said, “Look, you’re our creative partner now. Help us do this.” If you’re really great,
0:39:18 if you’re great in the way that our show requires, someone may kill it on another show and just
0:39:23 not kill it on ours, the other thing is they get to be on set, watch how a show is made,
0:39:24 and be a part of it.
0:39:27 I’ll say one thing though to answer, another thing to ask your question, which is some
0:39:30 people have come into the writer’s room, talented, and I’ve found out they came into the writer’s
0:39:35 room because they like my podcast, but I’ve had to say to them, I’m this incredibly nurturing
0:39:39 and encouraging voice on the podcast, and I want you to know I am that for you and your
0:39:44 life, and I’ll help you get your next job, but you’re going to turn in a script and you’re
0:39:46 not going to get the voice on the podcast.
0:39:47 Oh my God, totally relate to this.
0:39:52 You’re going to get somebody saying to you, “Here’s what doesn’t work.” You have to know
0:39:55 that this is now you’re entering, this is, we’re in the major leagues here, we have
0:39:58 no choice because we’re playing the Red Sox tomorrow.
0:40:04 So we have to be ready to get in there and play the Red Sox.
0:40:06 So that’s, that has happened twice.
0:40:10 So one more question about Rounders, which goes to the kind of current state of the industry.
0:40:15 So Rounders was made in 1997, so that was the heyday of kind of the high status independent
0:40:19 movie, like medium budget, but like super high status.
0:40:20 Yeah, 14-5 we made that for, yeah.
0:40:23 Okay, yeah. And then, and then as you said, like it, you know, it had the thing, it wasn’t
0:40:27 a huge commercially hit out, but then it had this long, long life, you know, kind of plays
0:40:30 out through now and probably long into the future.
0:40:33 If that movie had not gotten made, and if a movie like that had not got made, just if
0:40:37 nobody had made kind of the definitive book or movie, and you and David entered the industry
0:40:43 today at age 25 or 30, whatever it is, and decided to make that movie, that project today,
0:40:44 what would be different about the process?
0:40:47 People constantly ask me how to break in to the business.
0:40:51 And my answer is, I have no idea, I did it 23 years ago.
0:40:52 I can’t help you.
0:40:55 I wish I could help tell you how to break in.
0:40:57 The conditions on the ground are entirely different.
0:41:01 The last thing I want to be is some general back in thing, ignoring what the sergeant says.
0:41:03 Like I have no idea.
0:41:07 I do know that what I know is that, well, I think it would resemble a movie that I love
0:41:10 and that launched many careers, which is Margin Call.
0:41:15 But whereas Rounders was a 14-5, I think Margin Call was made for a million too, and scraped
0:41:18 together by a commercial director, and they had limited sets.
0:41:20 Now, because Margin Call has a lot of similarities to Rounders.
0:41:24 It’s set in an insular world with a language of its own.
0:41:26 It doesn’t spell anything out for you.
0:41:27 You have to be willing to–
0:41:28 You have to be willing to roll with it.
0:41:29 We should describe it.
0:41:33 It’s kind of the definitive movie of the September 2008 financial meltdown.
0:41:36 It kind of takes place overnight, effectively in Lehman Brothers.
0:41:37 Yes.
0:41:38 A fictionalized version of Lehman Brothers.
0:41:41 And it’s actually a very chilling– people in finance look at it and say–
0:41:42 Goldman.
0:41:43 Well, it’s Goldman, right?
0:41:44 Because they survive.
0:41:50 Because it’s set at Goldman, and it’s about the willingness of gold– and they never
0:41:51 say it’s Goldman.
0:41:55 It’s about the willingness of– it’s about a decision that Goldman Sachs made to get
0:41:57 rid of their toxic assets.
0:42:02 But I think that movie is really analogous to Rounders because it is doing a bunch of
0:42:05 the stuff that we did.
0:42:10 You have to just catch on to the lingo, and you have to understand what the stakes are.
0:42:15 But he had to– look, they made that movie for a 10th of what we made Rounders for.
0:42:16 They had Kevin Spacey.
0:42:17 They had Jeremy Irons.
0:42:18 Jack Herquinto was in it.
0:42:19 And he was starting to become famous.
0:42:20 That’s right.
0:42:21 So they had Top End.
0:42:22 They put the Top End people.
0:42:23 But it was still– they had to make it for like a million and a half bucks.
0:42:24 A million and two, maybe.
0:42:25 OK.
0:42:30 It’s much harder to make those mid– those sort of mid-budget 14 to 25 or $30 million
0:42:31 movies.
0:42:32 The Netflix does it, right?
0:42:33 Right.
0:42:38 You can do it at Netflix now, which is probably where it would happen.
0:42:40 But– or you would try to tell the story in a novelistic way on television.
0:42:41 Well, that was a great question.
0:42:46 So would you pitch today– young David and young Brian show up– would you pitch Rounders
0:42:48 for television or for a film?
0:42:49 No.
0:42:51 You would pitch the world in the underground card rooms for television.
0:42:52 OK.
0:42:53 Because I think a lot of that– that’s where this stuff lives.
0:42:57 And that would have been, I think, a fascinating thing to see also.
0:42:59 David and I grew up watching movies.
0:43:05 We loved television, but our shared language, our lingua franca, was movies.
0:43:08 We were quoting movies at each other from when we were little kids.
0:43:10 We would watch movies 20 times.
0:43:16 We watched Stripes Together at least 20 times and Diner and many more movies where they
0:43:20 became the way we communicated.
0:43:23 And so it made sense to us to go make movies.
0:43:30 Since then, things like The Sopranos, West Wing, Larry Sanders, Mad Men showed up and
0:43:31 showed us the way.
0:43:35 They lit the way for us to think about television.
0:43:36 That’s actually huge.
0:43:37 We always talk about this.
0:43:39 Mark and I television is so much better than movies.
0:43:40 It’s unbelievable.
0:43:42 Well, I think it’s actually– it’s the best shows there are novels.
0:43:43 What?
0:43:44 I think we all think about it.
0:43:45 Or a series of novels.
0:43:46 I call it visual literature.
0:43:47 A movie is still more like a play.
0:43:48 It’s visual literature.
0:43:49 These shows are like thousand-page novels.
0:43:50 We definitely think about it.
0:43:52 We definitely think about it that way.
0:43:56 We’re trying to tell novelistic stories, deepening characters in challenging situations.
0:43:57 I call it visual literature.
0:43:58 It’s exactly what it is.
0:43:59 I love that term.
0:44:03 When you came up in the music industry, I watched– I was involved in the internet.
0:44:07 I wasn’t involved in Napster, but I knew the guys really well.
0:44:11 We both watched from various professional perches, kind of the music industry confront
0:44:14 digital distribution and basically just like implode.
0:44:15 Yeah, get run over.
0:44:16 I didn’t confront it.
0:44:18 Unfortunately, they didn’t confront it.
0:44:22 They just stood there and got– they were like, they just got run over.
0:44:23 Kablooey, right?
0:44:24 I mean, like France.
0:44:25 Like France.
0:44:26 In the deuce, man.
0:44:31 You know, they were like, should we pick up our guns and their rifles?
0:44:32 No.
0:44:33 Let’s just lay down.
0:44:36 That’s a comment brought to you entirely.
0:44:37 No, Mark.
0:44:38 You signed up.
0:44:39 You laughed.
0:44:42 You completely laughed.
0:44:45 So I fully– I’ll just confess, I fully expected the same thing was going to happen to TV.
0:44:49 Like, you know, Napster for music, BitTorrent for TV, it’s just like it’s just obvious.
0:44:50 Same thing’s going to happen to TV.
0:44:51 It’s just going to get run over.
0:44:54 And then the most like amazing thing in the world happened, which is the exact opposite
0:44:55 thing happened.
0:44:58 The exact opposite happened, which is like this– like the creative explosion of all
0:44:59 time.
0:45:00 Yes.
0:45:03 Like the– and you’ve probably seen, you know, John Landgraf, who runs FX, has always
0:45:04 talked about it.
0:45:05 He’s a brilliant man.
0:45:06 Brilliant man.
0:45:08 You’re a great programmer, but, you know, he talks about the content bubble, the TV
0:45:09 bubble.
0:45:12 And it’s like, I don’t know, every year now, it’s like 500 original scripted dramas are
0:45:13 getting made.
0:45:15 I think it’s 560 or something insane.
0:45:16 Yeah.
0:45:18 And so, and he’s been calling this a bubble the whole time, but like it keeps expanding.
0:45:21 And I mean, then we all get to, you know, you get to make it, but like we get to watch
0:45:22 it.
0:45:24 You know, I really like routinely see shows now where I’m just like, you know, 20 years
0:45:26 ago, this would have been the best show in the entire history of town.
0:45:30 The fact that “Mindhunter and the Crown” came out like in the same year on Netflix is amazing
0:45:31 to me.
0:45:32 Those would have been the best show of an era.
0:45:33 Ever.
0:45:34 Ever.
0:45:35 Ever.
0:45:36 Like the crown is as good as you can make something.
0:45:37 And like–
0:45:38 I keep trying to make Mark watch it.
0:45:39 He hasn’t–
0:45:40 I can give you the language by which to watch it.
0:45:41 So I’m totally not interested in monarchy.
0:45:42 I hate it.
0:45:43 And nothing about that is interesting to me.
0:45:45 The show is just the most beautifully written and shot.
0:45:46 I agree with you.
0:45:47 And acted show that there is.
0:45:48 He doesn’t believe me.
0:45:49 So here’s my question.
0:45:51 Let’s assume it is the medium of our time.
0:45:53 And let’s assume it kind of keeps expanding so that this all makes sense.
0:45:57 But the amazing thing is, it seems like the more shows get made, it seems like the average
0:45:59 quality level is rising.
0:46:01 And you would expect, I think, the opposite.
0:46:03 You’d expect the average quality level to fall because you’d expect to run out of talent
0:46:04 at some point.
0:46:05 I agree.
0:46:07 And so where is all this talent coming from?
0:46:08 I have no idea.
0:46:09 Okay.
0:46:12 So were there just all these geniuses out there who just never had the opportunity to
0:46:13 do it and now they do?
0:46:16 Or is there something happening in the industry where people are being trained in a different
0:46:17 way?
0:46:18 It’s just the love of television.
0:46:19 So it perpetuates itself.
0:46:23 And we might be in a golden age where artists are apprenticing in some way for other artists
0:46:26 and learning and figuring it out.
0:46:30 You know, I have the luxury not to think about the 560 shows or to appreciate what Landgraf
0:46:34 says and know he’s a brilliant guy without having to be cowed by that or feel anyway
0:46:37 about it because I just want to, I still go back to the same thing.
0:46:40 I just want to get in the room and get the feeling I get when I’m making the thing.
0:46:44 I want to be walking on the set and see Damien and Paul and Maggie in Asia and be able to
0:46:45 work with them.
0:46:53 And we’ve just found a way to make decisions still based on our curiosity and our obsession.
0:46:57 So if we’re interested in the US Open in 1991 and Jimmy Connors, we’ll go make a documentary
0:47:01 about it because we’ll really enjoy the process of making it and we have faith that there
0:47:02 will be people who will want to see it.
0:47:05 I was thinking my answer to Mark’s question, I’m trying to make him watch this movie Gully
0:47:06 Boy.
0:47:07 I haven’t seen it.
0:47:11 It’s a Bollywood movie that’s produced by Nas, but to me the point is that technology
0:47:14 has democratized the access to watching all this visual literature.
0:47:15 I don’t understand.
0:47:20 Ben is not able to make him watch something produced by Nas that makes no sense to me.
0:47:23 Ben and I have the kind of partnership where we’re able to compliment.
0:47:26 Actually, I wanted to ask you, that was the other question I wanted to ask you.
0:47:29 So you have been partners now with David for how long?
0:47:30 Over 20 years.
0:47:31 It’s an equal partnership.
0:47:32 It has always been from the beginning.
0:47:33 Okay, equal partnership.
0:47:34 Fully 50/50.
0:47:35 Beautiful.
0:47:38 So how do you, if somebody comes to you and says like, I want to have a partnership
0:47:39 like that.
0:47:40 I want to have a career where I have a partner like that.
0:47:41 How do you do that?
0:47:43 Well, do you remember when the four of us first, do you remember when the four of us
0:47:44 first met?
0:47:47 How funny it seemed to the bus when we, you, Ben and David, we were sitting there and
0:47:54 it was just like, this is a rare thing to have two sets of people who just, in the same
0:47:58 way it makes sense when someone sees you and Ben and talks to you for five minutes.
0:48:02 When someone sees David and me and they talk to us for five minutes, the whole thing just
0:48:03 kind of makes sense.
0:48:08 In the ways that we can finish each other’s sentences, but also are different in some significant
0:48:09 ways.
0:48:14 When someone else heard us talking, we’re maybe very similar, but the two of us understand
0:48:16 the ways in which we’re complementary to each other.
0:48:22 The key is to really regard the other person as incredibly smart, to really always know
0:48:26 that their motive is to make the work better.
0:48:32 So much of the stuff sounds like platitudes, but like trying your hardest to get your emotions
0:48:34 out of these decisions and being rational.
0:48:38 I think the key to having a good partnership is not about looking for the partner, it’s
0:48:42 about how can you make yourself be the best version of yourself in a way that complements
0:48:48 this other person that who you respect and whose work you admire.
0:48:50 And so that’s all hard work in life, right?
0:48:57 It’s the same thing in a marriage or any kind of a kind of a partnership, but it’s about
0:49:02 all of us, even the most rational, smartest among us, have emotional reactions sometimes.
0:49:06 And the question is, okay, it’s not to not have an emotional reaction, but it’s to not
0:49:09 let the emotional reaction dictate your response.
0:49:17 So if that means you know that you’re the worst of you, instantly reacts with anger,
0:49:22 then find a way to say, hey, I don’t want to react with anger, I’m going to go take
0:49:24 a run and then I’m going to come back.
0:49:27 And this is stuff you figure out over a long period of time.
0:49:31 But the more you know that the success or failure of a partnership is based entirely
0:49:35 on how you comport yourself, the better off that you’ll be.
0:49:36 It’s not the other guy’s fault.
0:49:37 It’s not the other guy’s fault.
0:49:38 Don’t you think of it that way?
0:49:40 I am curious what Mark’s take on this.
0:49:42 What is your take on that?
0:49:46 No, so the way I describe it, by the way, this comes up a lot in our business, Ben and
0:49:50 I have this kind of partnership, lucky for me, but also there’s a lot of founder and
0:49:51 then CEO.
0:49:54 Like sometimes we have founder CEOs, which is like your showrunner model, but sometimes
0:49:57 we have a founder and then there’s a CEO who’s brought in or promoted inside the company
0:50:00 and then they have to be part, you know, if you want the magic of the founder and the
0:50:02 company will well run, they need to have that kind of partnership.
0:50:05 And so when I always tell them, I kind of try to put a point on it and it’s kind of
0:50:10 say it has to be more important to each of you that it has to be more important than
0:50:16 each of you that the other one has to be more important that the other one gets to make
0:50:19 the decision than that you get to prove yourself right.
0:50:21 And you have to both have that attitude.
0:50:24 Like if one of you has that attitude, then you just, that person’s just going to run
0:50:25 over the other ones.
0:50:27 If you both have the attitude where your reflexive view is, you know what?
0:50:28 This is a debate.
0:50:29 It’s an argument.
0:50:30 It’s 50/50.
0:50:31 It’s a toss up, which a lot of these things are.
0:50:33 We’re going to do it your way.
0:50:36 If both people have that as their default point of view, then you can navigate through
0:50:37 these things.
0:50:40 And then you get in the positive version of the deadlock, which is like, no, let’s do
0:50:41 it your way.
0:50:42 Okay.
0:50:43 Now we have a healthy conversation.
0:50:48 Sometimes there’ll be emails back and forth about a thing in an editing where one of us
0:50:52 will have an idea and the other one will say, my instinct was to go the other way with
0:50:53 it.
0:50:54 But you know what?
0:50:55 Let’s, let’s, let’s do it that way.
0:50:57 And it’s not even a, it has to not be a move.
0:51:01 I think you have to actually be like, there was a thing yesterday.
0:51:06 I, where I, I saw something and I had a, um, a notion about it and David sent me back.
0:51:08 Um, well, there are a few different things that are good.
0:51:13 So normally when we’re doing edits on, when we’re comment, making notes on a cut in order
0:51:17 to do edits, our two assistants, we share two assists.
0:51:18 Not like one’s his assistant and one’s mine.
0:51:23 We have two assistants who help the two of us normally there on the conversation so that
0:51:27 they can then collate the notes and give them to the editor before we go talk to the editor.
0:51:31 But if there’s something that suddenly is going to, we see really differently, we just
0:51:33 immediately take it to a private communication, right?
0:51:37 We take the, we take the audience out of it.
0:51:38 We never talked about this, but we just do it.
0:51:41 We take the audience out of it because let’s not perform, not performing and we’re also
0:51:43 not worried about being judged.
0:51:46 But so yesterday was one of those things where we just saw one little tiny moment slightly
0:51:47 differently.
0:51:48 I wrote this thing like, I think we should do this.
0:51:51 And then Dave wrote me separately and said, you know, I don’t, I don’t see the scene that
0:51:52 way.
0:51:53 Here’s what I think is going on.
0:51:56 And I still saw the scene the way that I saw it, but I just immediately went, no, he’s
0:51:57 right.
0:51:58 Yeah.
0:51:59 Let’s just do that.
0:52:00 It makes total sense.
0:52:03 Like let’s go through the next bunch of iterations of the, of the cut with it in like that.
0:52:06 And the, in the hope that I’m just going to come around to seeing it that way.
0:52:09 Or let’s show it to some, some other people this way and let’s see what, what comes out
0:52:10 of it.
0:52:12 It would have been very easy.
0:52:14 And I see a lot of people fall into the trap of trying to argue.
0:52:17 Well, I look for as many, by the way I think about it is I look for as many chances as
0:52:19 I can to let him make the decision, right?
0:52:21 And then, and then to your point, like if I real feel as a consequence of that, I build
0:52:22 up so much trust.
0:52:23 That’s right.
0:52:28 If I still strong about something, that’s a really great point.
0:52:32 This is important to attach to that, which is because all the time Dave is willing to
0:52:34 say to me, let’s do that.
0:52:37 When he wrote me and said like, Hey, I think this is different than you think it is.
0:52:41 It was just so easy to go, well, yeah, of course, dude, go, let’s do that thing.
0:52:44 Because we’re always looking to let it be the way I want it.
0:52:45 As I am.
0:52:50 So I would say I’m certain none of that is a tactic or a strategy with Dave and me.
0:52:54 It just so happens to be the way that the two of us interact.
0:52:57 A quick question on this, though, just from like an advice point of view, because you
0:53:03 talk about this, how do you manage your own personal psychology around anger and creative
0:53:08 impulse and ego kind of in the, in this process, even beyond the partnership?
0:53:09 Well meditation helps.
0:53:14 It’s so, I mean, I know, as I said before, some of this stuff sounds so reductive and
0:53:18 so much like platitudes, but you know, I love that Tim Ferriss has said out of the whatever
0:53:23 a thousand people that he’s interviewed, who he views as highly successful creatives, like
0:53:27 92% of them meditate.
0:53:28 And I don’t think that’s just buy-in.
0:53:30 I don’t think it’s just that everyone’s decided to buy-in.
0:53:31 So I’m in the 8%.
0:53:32 Yeah, I know.
0:53:33 I’m like, Mr. Anti-Meditation.
0:53:34 I’m not into anti-meditation.
0:53:35 Anti-meditation.
0:53:37 Well, I’ve never, I’ve never, I’m not philosophically anti-meditation.
0:53:38 I’m personally anti-meditation.
0:53:43 I cannot imagine sitting still with my own thoughts for longer than about 30 seconds.
0:53:44 I couldn’t either.
0:53:45 Right.
0:53:46 So this is my question.
0:53:50 Talk to me as a practical person who’s interested in performance and not particularly interested
0:53:51 in introspection.
0:53:52 Like, how would I?
0:53:53 Well, I do the simplest kind.
0:53:55 I do Transcendental Meditation.
0:53:58 So it’s the easiest one because it’s just quietly saying a mantra to yourself for 20
0:53:59 minutes, right?
0:54:00 Yeah, define Transcendental Meditation.
0:54:01 Well, that’s what it is.
0:54:07 Transcendental Meditation is you, because I had ADHD person, I can’t sit still.
0:54:12 I have to check all that stuff, except I really do this twice a day, 20 minutes.
0:54:15 And what I found, and it’s just personal.
0:54:20 But what I found was it like reduced the physical manifestations of anxiety by a lot.
0:54:24 And when you get, for me, when I get anxiety out of the equation, I just think more clearly
0:54:25 and more creatively.
0:54:29 So it’s, and it’s not, I’ll say the other thing is people build it up too much, right?
0:54:31 It’s not some magic pill.
0:54:37 It doesn’t like immediately make you, you’re not suddenly becombed, but it just kind of
0:54:43 takes like a little bit of the tumult out.
0:54:48 And a lot of forms of meditation require you to force out the thoughts as you said, or
0:54:52 require you to be introspective, or require you to focus on your breathing.
0:54:56 Transcendental Meditation, all you’re doing is sort of allowing this mantra to be said
0:54:57 over and over.
0:54:58 And if thoughts come in, that’s fine.
0:55:02 You just kind of let the thoughts come in, and then you kind of return to this mantra.
0:55:04 And I’ll say the results for me.
0:55:09 So I was hugely skeptical, but I was at a point where I was feeling like I needed something.
0:55:13 I had too much agitation.
0:55:17 And so in reading about, I read David Lynch’s book, Catching the Big Fish, and a couple
0:55:18 of other books.
0:55:19 And it made me interested enough.
0:55:22 And I went and sat down with Bob Roth, who runs the Lynch Foundation, and I said, look,
0:55:24 I think you’re probably a cult.
0:55:28 I think that I’m an atheist.
0:55:32 You know, I know these are like Sanskrit words that have some holiness to them.
0:55:34 So none of that stuff works for me.
0:55:37 So talk to me about why I should even be sitting here.
0:55:40 And you know, Bob was like, well, why don’t you read this book and why don’t you read
0:55:42 this study and why don’t you look at these EEGs?
0:55:47 And let’s talk about what this tool does in terms of affecting the loops in your brain
0:55:48 and your brainwaves.
0:55:54 And in through that conversation, I was like, well, okay, let me, you know, I’ll learn.
0:56:02 And within, I’ll say like within two months, I noticed in my family noticed that I was
0:56:04 just in a much better place.
0:56:09 And again, it doesn’t mean I’m never a dick.
0:56:10 Like we’re all a dick sometimes.
0:56:14 It doesn’t mean I’m never short with anyone or that I’m never worried.
0:56:15 Of course I am.
0:56:16 I’m a human being.
0:56:19 But it means that I can manage it in a much better way.
0:56:25 And if the only thing I got out of it was I was sitting and meditating and when you’re
0:56:33 not trying to think of ideas, but like I’ve solved many tricky story problems.
0:56:37 I’ve come out of a meditation and just kind of had the answer show up.
0:56:41 Now that that could just be a function of like, I turned everything off and I, I consciously
0:56:43 wasn’t thinking about it.
0:56:45 And so I allowed this.
0:56:46 That’s great.
0:56:47 Perfect.
0:56:54 How, whatever it is, it’s not surprising to me that so many of us who are high achievers
0:57:01 aggressive in going after what we want, willing to take risks, that finding some tool that
0:57:05 gives you some enforced break from that.
0:57:09 It’s not surprising to me that that then when you then come out of that, you’re kind of
0:57:10 firing again.
0:57:14 That’s what makes sense to me.
0:57:15 Sir, who’s Bob?
0:57:16 Sir, who’s Bob?
0:57:17 Bob Roth runs David Lynch Foundation.
0:57:20 David Lynch Foundation is like at the center of transcendental meditation.
0:57:21 Lynch had the side.
0:57:22 David, the real David Lynch.
0:57:23 The director, David Lynch.
0:57:24 David Lynch is the biggest.
0:57:28 David Lynch is the reason transcendental meditation is popular in America.
0:57:32 Lynch credits TM with making him the artist that he is.
0:57:35 David Lynch just for Twin Peaks, Blue Velvet.
0:57:36 Oh yeah, all that stuff.
0:57:39 He started doing like 40 years ago or 50 years ago and he wanted to start a thing that would
0:57:42 give it to kids and post-traumatic stress people.
0:57:47 So he started this foundation and the guy who runs it and who’s like sort of the kind
0:57:49 of the head of TM in America is this guy Bob Roth.
0:57:53 The best part of that story, by the way, though, is that you were literally arguing, to Mark’s
0:57:56 point about this tent, because Mark essentially set it up as a tension between performance
0:58:00 and introspection and you’re essentially arguing that introspection leads to better performance.
0:58:03 Well, I know I would argue that it’s not introspection.
0:58:06 My journaling is definitely, a certain kind of introspection serves me, but meditation
0:58:13 is like the calming of the thoughts or the stilling of it, or it’s just a respite in
0:58:14 a way.
0:58:19 It’s a respite from the perpetual thinking machine thing.
0:58:23 I think the idea is that you have these thoughts, these pattern thoughts, and there are some
0:58:26 thoughts that you know you have, but then there are these like patterns of thoughts
0:58:32 that you have that are probably a little bit disruptive, but they’re loop.
0:58:36 And when you start to say this mantra, you’re interrupting, right, suddenly that’s what
0:58:40 the sound is and the other thing just dissipates and you get calm.
0:58:45 I’m not trying to think about my life when I’m meditating, I’m just trying to take a
0:58:46 break.
0:58:47 Yeah.
0:58:48 Okay.
0:58:50 Let’s spend the last few minutes just talking about billions specifically.
0:58:54 As friends, we’re about to go into some light spoiler alerts, particularly from the last
0:58:55 and early seasons.
0:58:58 So if you haven’t seen them already, you’ve been warned.
0:59:02 I have to ask this question because you know that scene from as good as it gets where there’s
0:59:05 a female character that goes to Jack Nicholson and you just say, “How?”
0:59:08 I just, I sacrifice take away honor and what’s the exact line.
0:59:10 Well, actually I was thinking of another thing.
0:59:11 I have not seen this movie.
0:59:12 Oh, you haven’t.
0:59:13 You guys have to describe.
0:59:14 You guys have to describe.
0:59:16 I thought you were going to say the one where I think of a man and then I take away reason
0:59:17 and…
0:59:18 Yes.
0:59:19 Well, that was his response to her.
0:59:21 What I have is, “How do you write women so fucking well?”
0:59:22 Well, that’s his answer.
0:59:23 Yes.
0:59:27 I disagree wildly disagree with his answer, which is good to hear.
0:59:34 But the best characters on billions are quite honestly the female and transgender characters
0:59:40 of Maggie Sif, who plays Wendy Rhodes and Asia Kate Dillon, who plays Taylor.
0:59:43 I mean, I want to ask you, how do you do this incredible character development for these
0:59:44 female characters?
0:59:48 You know, the hardest questions to answer are the, “How do you do the thing?”
0:59:53 Because that is, that’s the part that’s not…
0:59:55 There is no intellectual answer to that question.
1:00:01 That’s the part of it that either makes you someone who does this or doesn’t do it.
1:00:05 The most fun part for me is when I’m sitting on my couch, actually writing the scenes,
1:00:06 right?
1:00:14 I have music blasting, able to put the computer, the laptop actually on my lap, and I’m able
1:00:16 to sort of fly.
1:00:19 And that’s the part that isn’t intellectual at all.
1:00:22 It’s the result of all the intellectual work you’ve ever done.
1:00:23 It’s the result of your curiosity.
1:00:27 It’s the result of everything you’ve read, of everything that you’ve watched, of everything
1:00:29 that you’ve been a part of.
1:00:34 And then you want to just allow it to happen.
1:00:38 And so we honor these characters.
1:00:44 And Wendy Rhodes, when we invented that character and then wrote it, we certainly know who
1:00:49 that person is very well, but you have to make these fictional characters feel incredibly
1:00:54 real to you and you want to write them smarter than you are.
1:00:57 And that’s the only thing I can say is we want every character in Billions to be smarter
1:00:58 than we are.
1:01:03 So a quick question about Taylor as a character because Billions, the next season is now dropping.
1:01:11 You ended the last season with a tension between the head of Axe Capital and his protege, Taylor,
1:01:13 including their own firm.
1:01:18 And I so relate to Taylor’s character, like you won’t believe, there’s a sense of like
1:01:19 unbounded ambition.
1:01:20 Are you trying to tell Mark something right now?
1:01:22 No, no, no, no, not in that sense.
1:01:23 This happened before.
1:01:28 There’s this unbounded ambition with Taylor and Axe initially nurtures it and then essentially
1:01:29 squashes it.
1:01:34 I’m dying to know, like, Taylor’s a really interesting archetype actually, both that
1:01:39 Taylor’s transgender and that you have this essential universal archetype in every organization.
1:01:41 Tell me how you think about Taylor as a character.
1:01:47 Well, Taylor’s just the most highly competent person and is a brilliant person.
1:01:54 And if this is a long novelistic piece, we’re still sort of at the middle, the beginning
1:01:56 of the middle of the story.
1:01:59 And so that kind of person has to be tempted, right?
1:02:00 Has to be tested.
1:02:06 If you don’t test the morality of those kind of characters, how do you know whether they’re
1:02:07 really moral or not?
1:02:09 They don’t get lost for a little while.
1:02:10 How do they become found?
1:02:13 And so that’s where we find Taylor in this season.
1:02:14 I don’t want to spoil anything.
1:02:15 Okay.
1:02:16 I have another quick one.
1:02:17 I’m just dying to ask.
1:02:18 And we’ll lightly round these and then we’ll wrap up.
1:02:21 I want to ask you about some of the music choices you make and one specific one.
1:02:27 Last season, one of the most compelling raw music choices you made is in a scene for those
1:02:28 who haven’t caught up all the way.
1:02:33 I’ll just give a little teaser where Axe essentially is let out of a situation where
1:02:36 he was in trouble and he’s coming back to his pad and it’s literally, you guys portray
1:02:40 it visually as a completely raw bachelor pad.
1:02:42 And the song was “Street Punk.”
1:02:43 Vince Staples, yeah.
1:02:44 Oh my God.
1:02:46 I fucking love that moment.
1:02:50 It so stripped him bare down to just, he’s a street punk.
1:02:52 Tell me about that decision and that choice.
1:02:57 I mean, David and I choose all the music for the show together and we’re both music fanatics
1:03:03 and trade music all the time and so, and we put music in the scripts.
1:03:07 So when we’re writing that script, we’re going back and forth about what it should be.
1:03:08 Is it hip hop?
1:03:10 If it is, who is it and why?
1:03:13 We had Vince Staples on the list since the end of the first season, I think, when his
1:03:15 first record came out.
1:03:18 “North, North” is what I thought we would use from the beginning.
1:03:24 But that moment, you know, that moment people really understand what happens when Axe gets
1:03:25 in that hot tub.
1:03:27 And again, that was in the script.
1:03:30 That was what our goal was and then we had to work incredibly hard with our brilliant
1:03:40 editor who figured out how to make that sequence work the way we’d had it in our heads.
1:03:45 Marnie Mayer, who edited that episode, really worked incredibly hard to build that sequence
1:03:49 so that it matched and then exceeded what we had written.
1:03:51 And Marnie’s been with the show from the very beginning.
1:03:54 She and an editor named Naomi Garrity have been with the show from the start and are
1:03:58 really and truly our creative partners there, the guardians of the tone of the show with
1:03:59 us.
1:04:00 That’s great.
1:04:01 That was the last one.
1:04:02 And then we can wrap up.
1:04:04 So in season one, does this count as a spoiler alert?
1:04:05 Because it’s so early in the season.
1:04:06 I’ll just give it a high level.
1:04:07 We’ll decide.
1:04:08 Okay.
1:04:12 There’s a scene where you essentially set up Axe.
1:04:15 The entire audience thinks that he’s going to cheat on his wife.
1:04:19 And I spent that entire episode on the edge of my seat worried that he was going to cheat
1:04:20 on his wife.
1:04:21 This is an acceptable spoiler.
1:04:22 This is a spoiler.
1:04:23 This is totally a spoiler.
1:04:24 But it’s an acceptable one.
1:04:25 100%.
1:04:26 I don’t know how you can conceivably think of this.
1:04:27 It’s season one.
1:04:28 Okay, fine, guys.
1:04:29 But just a quick thing on that.
1:04:30 That was obviously deliberate.
1:04:32 Tell me about the decision making behind that.
1:04:37 So what I was saying, the thing about sitting on the couch writing and how that is this
1:04:41 incredibly free process, then you have to rewrite.
1:04:43 And then you have to think about how it fits into the whole.
1:04:48 So the whole gag is to write with total freedom and then rewrite with total clarity.
1:04:54 And so when we’re thinking about whether a character will behave in way A or way B,
1:04:55 we’re thinking about what they would do in the moment.
1:04:57 And then we’re thinking about the ramifications of that.
1:05:03 So if the character did decision A, well, what does that then say about that character
1:05:05 as we go through the rest of the series?
1:05:09 Which will leave us in a place where there’s more optionality.
1:05:13 And it’s clear in that case, which one would leave us with more optionality.
1:05:14 That’s great.
1:05:15 Okay.
1:05:16 Oh, can I say one thing though?
1:05:18 One of the great things about something like this is that someone like Mark can do the work
1:05:21 he does and then I can do the work that I do.
1:05:26 And if there’s some sort of a mutual sort of fascination with the work, you get to connect
1:05:27 with people on that.
1:05:31 And that is one of the sort of unintended joys of the work that I get to do.
1:05:36 And so that’s why I was happy to fly out here and do this podcast because we’ve gotten to
1:05:39 know each other over the last few years and it’s been a real pleasure.
1:05:40 Thanks for having me here.
1:05:41 Thank you, Brian.
1:05:43 Thank you so much for joining the A6NZ podcast, Brian, and for coming out here.
1:05:44 We really appreciate it.
1:05:46 And Billions in the next season is now out.
1:05:47 March 17th.
1:05:48 Thanks, Brian.
1:05:49 So happy to be here.
1:05:50 Thanks, guys.
1:05:51 Thank you.
1:05:53 And by the way, people may not know, I actually play on the show.
1:05:57 I actually play wigs under a rubber mask.
1:05:59 And so that’s why you never see me in a cameo.
1:06:00 I thought we weren’t supposed to have sex.
1:06:01 I’m sorry, everybody.
1:06:02 Speaking of spoilers.
1:06:03 Oh, my God.
1:06:04 This is one of my favorite characters.
1:06:04 Well, thank you.
1:06:12 [BLANK_AUDIO]
with Brian Koppelman (@briankoppelman), Marc Andreessen (@pmarca), and Sonal Chokshi (@smc90)
The writer-showrunner is a relatively new phenomenon in TV, as opposed to film, which is still a director-driven enterprise. But what does it mean, as both a creative and a leader, to “showrun” something, whether a TV show… or a startup? Turns out, there are a lot of parallels with the rise of the showrunner and the rise of founder-CEOs, all working (or partnering) within legacy systems. But in the day to day details, really “owning” and showunning something — while also having others participate in it and help bring it to life — involves doing the work, both inside and out.
This special, almost-crossover episode of the a16z Podcast features Billions co-showrunner Brian Koppelman — who also co-wrote movies such as Rounders and Ocean’s 13 with his longtime creative partner David Levien — in conversation with Marc Andreessen (and Sonal Chokshi). The discussion covers everything from managing up — when it comes to executives or investors sharing their “notes” aka “feedback” on your work — to managing down, with one’s team; to managing one’s partners (or co-founders)… and especially managing yourself. How to tame those irrational emotions, that ego?
Ultimately, though, it’s all about unlocking creativity, whether in writing, coding, or other art forms. Because something surprising happened: Instead of TV going the way of music à la Napster with the advent of the internet, we’re seeing the exact opposite — a new era of “visual literature”, a “Golden Age” of television and art. Are artists apprenticing from other artists virtually, learning and figuring out the craft (with some help from the internet, mobile, TV)? And if we really are seeing “the creative explosion of all time”, what does it take to explode our own creativity in our work, to better run the shows of our lives? All this and more in this episode of the a16z Podcast… as well as some Billions behind-the-scenes (and light spoilers, alerted within!) towards the end.
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326: Reselling on Amazon with a $1 Million Seller: Let’s Go Pick Up Profit!
Jessica Larrew and her husband Cliff have been reselling on Amazon for years. And though it started as a part-time side hustle, it turned into a serious business–they’ve sold more than $1 million worth of stuff on Amazon!
What’s surprising – and I think exciting – is that they’ve done this is by finding profitable products to resell primarily in nearby retail stores.
How Reselling on Amazon Works
Jessica takes advantage of Amazon’s FBA program, or Fulfillment by Amazon. This is Amazon’s way of crowdsourcing its inventory, and letting regular people like us tap into its world-class logistics network.
That means this Selling Family doesn’t have to ship anything to the end customer, handle returns, or write up product descriptions.
How the business works is like any other retail business: you profit on the spread between the cost of your product and what it sells for. Now you have to account for Amazon’s fees and shipping costs, but it’s basically buy low, sell high.
And the best part of this side hustle is that you can get started today with whatever initial inventory investment you’re comfortable with.
Full Show Notes: Reselling on Amazon with a $1 Million Seller: Let’s Go Pick Up Profit!
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371. A Free-Trade Democrat in the Trump White House
For years, Gary Cohn thought he’d be the next C.E.O. of Goldman Sachs. Instead, he became the “adult in the room” in a chaotic administration. Cohn talks about the fights he won, the fights he lost, and the fights he was no longer willing to have. Also: why he and Trump are still on speaking terms even after he reportedly called the president “a professional liar.”
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E27: Adopt a culture of WINNING
It has been a crazy few travelling weeks for me so I do apologise about the delay in this episode. This week, I discuss the culture of winning. Some people have an ingrained ideology that they will always lose. This is learnt from previous failings, act…