The Rise, Fall & Reset of The Fintech Industry

0
0
AI transcript
0:00:04 2018, 2019 in fintech was late spring.
0:00:06 You get into 2020 and COVID,
0:00:09 and that was utter insanity of a story.
0:00:11 Like 25% of all venture dollars in that period
0:00:12 went into fintech, Richard.
0:00:13 Wow, 25%.
0:00:15 The stat after that is not a good stat,
0:00:18 which is starting in like the second half of 2022,
0:00:20 like basically 0% of venture dollars went into fintech.
0:00:21 That’s the drought, maybe.
0:00:24 Yeah, yeah, fintech winter was the second half of 2022,
0:00:28 most of 23, and 24 things started to thaw a little bit.
0:00:30 And like now we’re very much back in the spring.
0:00:31 It turns out the biggest use case for AI
0:00:33 is fraudsters committing fraud
0:00:34 against financial services companies.
0:00:38 Financial fraud is growing at like 18 to 20% a year,
0:00:40 which is insane, and it’s already a huge market.
0:00:42 I mean, the cattle win long-term,
0:00:44 but the mouse is winning right now.
0:00:46 At the peak of the boom,
0:00:50 roughly 25% of all venture dollars were flowing into fintech.
0:00:53 Two years later, that number was close to zero.
0:00:56 Today, with A16Z general partner David Haber
0:00:58 and Zach Paré, co-founder and CEO of Plaid,
0:01:00 we trace what happened between those extremes
0:01:02 and why the market is heating up again.
0:01:04 We look back at how the industry moved
0:01:05 through its boom and bust cycle
0:01:08 from the explosive growth of 2020 and 2021
0:01:09 to the freeze that followed,
0:01:11 and where things stand now as activity returns.
0:01:15 We dig into the biggest forces shaping fintech today.
0:01:17 AI’s impact on fraud and underwriting,
0:01:20 the shift towards deposits and full-stack financial products,
0:01:23 incumbents finally adopting outside software,
0:01:26 and embedded finance showing up far beyond traditional banking.
0:01:32 Zach, David, we did this podcast, I believe, seven years ago,
0:01:34 and it’s great to have the gang back together.
0:01:35 Thanks for joining.
0:01:36 Thank you for having us.
0:01:37 Great to be here.
0:01:39 Of course, a lot has happened since the last conversation
0:01:40 in our personal lives,
0:01:42 and a lot has happened in fintech more broadly.
0:01:44 I was listening to the episode that we did
0:01:45 the last time we spoke,
0:01:47 and we were talking about what has changed in fintech
0:01:50 from early 2010s to just before 2020,
0:01:52 and I’m curious if we could just sort of check in
0:01:53 or reflect back.
0:01:56 Since the last time we spoke to now,
0:01:59 would have been some of the major themes in fintech?
0:02:00 Catch us off.
0:02:02 If someone was in a coma after listening to the last episode
0:02:03 and just woke up and said,
0:02:06 hey, what’s changed in fintech,
0:02:07 what would we say?
0:02:08 Let’s see.
0:02:09 So last time we talked,
0:02:10 we just call it 2018, 2019.
0:02:11 Is that right?
0:02:11 Yes.
0:02:12 Yeah.
0:02:13 So let’s see.
0:02:13 A lot.
0:02:15 There have been like a bunch of different eras,
0:02:17 or like maybe we can think of it as like almost seasons
0:02:18 in some sense.
0:02:23 2018, 2019 in fintech was,
0:02:24 I guess, kind of late spring.
0:02:26 A lot of really good growth.
0:02:27 Like the industry had a name.
0:02:28 The name probably came about.
0:02:30 I actually think that, David, you created the name.
0:02:32 But no one will give you credit,
0:02:32 but I will give you credit.
0:02:34 I think you created the name in like 2015.
0:02:36 But we now had a name for this industry.
0:02:38 We had gone past like, oh, some people
0:02:40 are maybe building financial services products too.
0:02:41 Like it is an industry
0:02:42 and there are a lot of things being built.
0:02:45 We started to see the million flowers bloom
0:02:46 to really overextend this analogy.
0:02:49 The million flowers bloom from call it like 2014, 2015
0:02:52 up until 2019, 2020.
0:02:55 Like zillions of first time,
0:02:56 hey, can I take this thing
0:02:57 outside of a physical bank branch
0:02:58 and deliver it to a consumer digitally?
0:03:00 So you saw applications like Robinhood
0:03:02 come up and grow incredibly well.
0:03:03 You see all sorts of Neobank,
0:03:05 Neobank for X or Y or Z sub market.
0:03:06 Those are everywhere.
0:03:08 You saw crypto,
0:03:10 like the first crypto apps really start to emerge
0:03:11 and grow a lot.
0:03:13 And then kind of from 2019,
0:03:15 you get into 2020 and COVID.
0:03:18 And that was just utter insanity of a story.
0:03:21 The first few months of 2020 were totally normal.
0:03:23 Then you get into early COVID
0:03:25 where everything froze.
0:03:27 Basically every business kind of locked up,
0:03:28 including all the fintech companies.
0:03:31 But within two, two and a half months,
0:03:33 you then had this total inversion of fintech.
0:03:34 So you went from late spring
0:03:37 to like big EDM pumping summer really fast.
0:03:39 Like the EDM music turned on very loudly,
0:03:40 very quickly.
0:03:42 So you just had this insane growth period for fintech
0:03:44 from kind of mid 2020
0:03:47 through kind of like the end of 2021
0:03:49 and even into early 2022.
0:03:51 And yes, a lot of new companies formed,
0:03:53 but every investor,
0:03:55 whether venture or public markets
0:03:56 or whatever it was,
0:03:57 wanted to push money into fintech.
0:03:59 And so you had just this huge boom in funding,
0:04:00 tons of new stuff grew.
0:04:02 It was like really fun and very chaotic time.
0:04:04 Honestly, a hard time to manage
0:04:05 because the feature chase,
0:04:06 the things that we had to build
0:04:06 were going so rapidly.
0:04:08 I think like 25% of all venture dollars
0:04:09 in that period went into fintech,
0:04:09 which is insane.
0:04:11 Wow, 25%.
0:04:12 It’s a crazy stat.
0:04:13 Actually, I think it’s a great stat.
0:04:15 The stat after that is not a good stat,
0:04:17 which is starting in like the second half of 2022,
0:04:19 like basically 0% of venture dollars
0:04:20 went into fintech.
0:04:21 That was the drought maybe.
0:04:21 Yeah, yeah.
0:04:24 So summer went into a very, very short fall.
0:04:26 So that was kind of like mid-2022
0:04:28 and then immediately into winter.
0:04:31 And fintech winter was the second half of 2022,
0:04:36 most of 23 and 24 things started to thaw a little bit.
0:04:38 And like now we’re very much back into spring.
0:04:38 Yep.
0:04:39 Different format,
0:04:42 but it’s been a fun cycle of the seasons.
0:04:43 Totally.
0:04:45 I think even to describe maybe
0:04:46 what drove some of the seasons,
0:04:49 the rate cycle was a big part of that
0:04:51 as like a, from like a macro perspective,
0:04:53 having very low rates,
0:04:54 you know, kind of drove zero.
0:04:55 Obviously not unique to fintech,
0:04:57 but a lot of technology broadly,
0:04:59 but certainly a lot of lending volume in the space
0:05:01 grew massively in those periods.
0:05:02 The one benefit that I think
0:05:04 has shown up more recently in fintech
0:05:06 in the thaw period is that rates went up
0:05:08 and it sort of shifted the mix of revenues
0:05:09 for many of these fintech companies
0:05:10 from lending driven,
0:05:13 kind of origination oriented stuff to deposits.
0:05:16 So many of these fintech companies decided,
0:05:17 I forget the exact timing,
0:05:19 but to go kind of full stack.
0:05:21 So you saw fintech companies like SoFi,
0:05:22 you know, buy banks,
0:05:23 Lending Club,
0:05:25 I think Square got an ILC charter,
0:05:26 Robinhood, Mercury.
0:05:27 Many of these companies are generating
0:05:30 very significant percentages of their revenue
0:05:32 and profits today from deposit flows
0:05:33 as rates have gone up.
0:05:35 And so that I think has helped
0:05:37 thaw the market to some degree more recently.
0:05:38 Usually, yeah.
0:05:39 In 2018, 2019,
0:05:41 fintech was a startup industry.
0:05:43 Having gone through this entire cycle,
0:05:45 yeah, some ups, some downs,
0:05:46 but a lot of maturation,
0:05:48 a lot of expansion.
0:05:51 We’ve ended now with fintech is,
0:05:51 in my opinion,
0:05:53 synonymous with financial services.
0:05:53 I agree.
0:05:56 And it goes beyond just financial services as well.
0:05:57 So you’ve seen a few themes emerge.
0:06:00 One thing that we said for a long time
0:06:01 that Andreessen Horvitz also likes to say
0:06:03 is that every company is a fintech company.
0:06:06 And that was kind of quite common from 2018 onward.
0:06:10 Now you see the emergence of embedded finance.
0:06:13 So some applied customers are like Ford and John Deere.
0:06:14 And these companies that like,
0:06:17 yes, they do have captive financial services
0:06:17 embedded within them,
0:06:18 but you do not think of them
0:06:19 as financial services companies.
0:06:21 Or large billers,
0:06:23 or it’s expanded quite a lot.
0:06:24 And then you see the banks themselves.
0:06:25 Historically, they said,
0:06:27 oh, we need to be fintech companies too.
0:06:29 Now they’re saying we are the biggest fintech companies.
0:06:31 Like we invest heavily in technology.
0:06:33 And so you’ve seen the startup industry
0:06:35 now become mainstream
0:06:37 and the firmament of financial services,
0:06:39 but also powering experiences
0:06:40 well beyond financial services.
0:06:42 Let’s go deeper into where we are today
0:06:44 and where we’re going,
0:06:47 given that we’re kind of in a exciting period.
0:06:48 Like, is it still early
0:06:51 in terms of a lot of things to be built
0:06:52 and some spaces you’re excited about?
0:06:54 Maybe Zach, you take the first step.
0:06:56 Planned ourselves have gone through a few phases
0:06:58 and we’re lucky that we have this really broad view
0:07:01 of what’s happening in fintech companies.
0:07:02 I’m going to keep calling it fintech,
0:07:03 but at this point,
0:07:05 realize that I mean financial services plus plus.
0:07:07 So we have this really broad view
0:07:09 of what’s going on in fintech.
0:07:13 And like the things that we’re seeing today
0:07:15 are very different and much more varied
0:07:16 than they were before.
0:07:18 So V1 of Plaid was,
0:07:20 how do we create access for everyone?
0:07:22 And I would say largely the fintech industry
0:07:23 was focused on the same thing.
0:07:25 So instead of making you walk into a bank branch
0:07:26 to open a bank account,
0:07:28 how can you open a bank account on your mobile app?
0:07:30 Instead of making you carry money
0:07:31 and go to an exchange,
0:07:32 when you’re trying to cross a border,
0:07:34 how can we create a digital way
0:07:35 to do remittances
0:07:36 so you can actually move money across the border
0:07:37 a little bit more easily
0:07:40 and apply that across kind of every subsect,
0:07:41 basically every product
0:07:42 that banks were building at the time.
0:07:44 We’ve solved the access problem.
0:07:45 Not completely,
0:07:47 not in every little niche,
0:07:48 but for the most part,
0:07:49 we as a collective industry
0:07:50 have solved the access problem.
0:07:51 So I grew up in a small town,
0:07:53 only one bank in our town.
0:07:54 And if you didn’t happen
0:07:55 to be a member of that bank,
0:07:57 you couldn’t get a loan easily.
0:07:59 Now, if you live in that same town,
0:07:59 you just go online
0:08:00 and you apply for a mortgage
0:08:02 and you get 30 mortgage offers in an hour,
0:08:03 or you can do it with Rocket
0:08:05 and be done in five minutes.
0:08:06 And these are awesome experiences.
0:08:07 That said,
0:08:08 what we’ve done is
0:08:09 we’ve taken traditional financial services
0:08:10 and we’ve made it digital.
0:08:12 We haven’t necessarily made it excellent.
0:08:14 That’s like the next horizon for us.
0:08:15 And so a lot of things
0:08:17 that we’ve been investing in now
0:08:18 are things like credit scoring.
0:08:20 How do we make credit scoring more logical
0:08:21 and something that a consumer can understand?
0:08:23 If you get a new job
0:08:24 and your income goes up,
0:08:25 but your expenses don’t go up,
0:08:26 you are a better loan risk.
0:08:28 However, that doesn’t show up
0:08:28 in your credit file
0:08:30 for like many, many years
0:08:31 because your credit file
0:08:33 is a long history of your repayments.
0:08:35 It’s not necessarily indicative
0:08:36 of your free cash flow.
0:08:38 And so that is the next horizon
0:08:39 that a lot of the FinTech companies
0:08:40 that I’m seeing
0:08:41 are starting to solve.
0:08:42 So that’s kind of one big area.
0:08:44 It’s kind of solving those endemic problems
0:08:45 that are long lasting,
0:08:46 things like fraud,
0:08:47 things like credit scoring,
0:08:48 so on and so forth.
0:08:49 The second is
0:08:50 making financial services
0:08:51 really easily available
0:08:53 in places that you might not have
0:08:54 otherwise thought it to be.
0:08:56 So putting BNPL on
0:08:57 kind of everything.
0:08:58 Yeah.
0:08:59 Or issuing a card
0:09:00 kind of everywhere
0:09:01 or issuing a wallet
0:09:02 kind of everywhere.
0:09:04 And so now we’re entering this
0:09:05 like FinTech is everywhere.
0:09:06 Not every company
0:09:06 is a FinTech company,
0:09:07 but like every consumer
0:09:08 is surrounded by FinTech
0:09:09 and all the places
0:09:09 they might want to go.
0:09:11 And the future horizons
0:09:12 are always looking
0:09:12 at the next few things
0:09:13 that are happening.
0:09:14 Like we look at AI
0:09:16 and agentic financial services
0:09:16 and right now
0:09:17 that’s mostly hype
0:09:18 and people talking about it.
0:09:19 And there are a few
0:09:20 interesting use cases,
0:09:21 but fast forward two years
0:09:23 and the way that you get a mortgage
0:09:23 is going to be talking
0:09:25 to an AI application
0:09:27 because that is
0:09:28 just the most efficient,
0:09:29 fastest way to do it.
0:09:30 So that’s been a fascinating one to watch
0:09:31 and then seeing what’s going on
0:09:32 with stables is,
0:09:32 of course,
0:09:33 fascinating as well.
0:09:34 So lots more to come.
0:09:36 On that note,
0:09:37 is crypto basically
0:09:37 just been tech?
0:09:38 Or, you know,
0:09:39 people said
0:09:40 there’s the new version
0:09:41 of the new internet.
0:09:42 Maybe hopefully it still happens,
0:09:43 but in terms of where it is right now,
0:09:45 is it mostly just
0:09:46 a subset of FinTech?
0:09:47 Well, David,
0:09:47 you’re an investor,
0:09:49 so you probably know better than me.
0:09:49 My take is
0:09:51 sometimes.
0:09:52 Ultimately,
0:09:53 I don’t think that consumers
0:09:56 change all that much
0:09:56 over time.
0:09:58 And so the kind of things
0:09:59 that a consumer
0:10:00 would want to do
0:10:01 five years ago
0:10:02 are similar to the kinds
0:10:03 of things that they might
0:10:04 want to do today,
0:10:05 but the form factor
0:10:06 in which they can do it
0:10:07 is very different.
0:10:08 So, you know,
0:10:09 five years ago,
0:10:10 a consumer might want
0:10:10 to speculate.
0:10:11 And, you know,
0:10:12 you can speculate on gold,
0:10:13 you can speculate on a few
0:10:14 of these other things,
0:10:16 and Bitcoin and other coins
0:10:17 made it very simple
0:10:18 for consumers to speculate.
0:10:18 So great,
0:10:19 you can pull up an app,
0:10:20 you can speculate on things.
0:10:21 Speculation continues.
0:10:23 The form factor has changed.
0:10:25 Another thing that consumers
0:10:25 like to do
0:10:27 is make predictions.
0:10:28 So, you know,
0:10:28 in the past,
0:10:29 you might make a bet
0:10:30 with some friends,
0:10:32 now you might go
0:10:33 on CalShare Poly market
0:10:34 and, you know,
0:10:35 enter prediction markets,
0:10:36 or you might do that
0:10:37 via Robinhood
0:10:38 or whatever it is.
0:10:39 Other things that consumers
0:10:40 like to do are like,
0:10:41 you know,
0:10:41 spend money,
0:10:42 save, invest,
0:10:43 so on and so forth.
0:10:44 And in as much as
0:10:45 consumer behavior
0:10:45 doesn’t change,
0:10:46 it’s a question of like
0:10:47 how and where does
0:10:48 crypto and fintech
0:10:49 fit into the existing
0:10:50 set of consumer behaviors.
0:10:52 So I think if you look at,
0:10:52 again,
0:10:53 what a bank does,
0:10:54 like they’re roughly tailored
0:10:55 to what consumers want.
0:10:56 Consumers want to
0:10:57 save money,
0:10:57 invest,
0:10:58 get loans,
0:10:58 so on and so forth.
0:11:01 And I think the wisest
0:11:01 product development strategy
0:11:02 is to kind of like
0:11:04 take the things
0:11:05 that consumers already do
0:11:05 and just like make them
0:11:06 newer, easier,
0:11:07 more accessible,
0:11:07 so on and so forth.
0:11:08 And so I suspect
0:11:09 that there will be
0:11:10 a convergence of
0:11:13 one side of crypto
0:11:15 and core financial services,
0:11:17 be that exchanging,
0:11:18 you know,
0:11:20 like checking accounts
0:11:20 with dollars in them
0:11:21 for checking accounts
0:11:22 with USDC in them,
0:11:24 wallets with USDC in them,
0:11:26 or similar.
0:11:27 Like I think there’s
0:11:28 a convergence
0:11:29 that’ll likely happen there.
0:11:30 But then also crypto
0:11:31 does some crazy
0:11:31 out there stuff
0:11:32 and really pushes
0:11:33 the balance on innovation
0:11:34 and like I’m not sure
0:11:34 that that’s necessarily
0:11:35 going to end up
0:11:36 merging with banks,
0:11:36 but who knows.
0:11:37 Totally.
0:11:38 Yeah, I mean,
0:11:39 I totally agree
0:11:40 with what Zach was saying.
0:11:41 I think part of it is,
0:11:43 you know,
0:11:44 culture, right,
0:11:44 and how people,
0:11:45 to Zach’s point,
0:11:46 you know,
0:11:47 want to interact
0:11:48 with financial services.
0:11:49 I think part of this
0:11:49 has been driven
0:11:51 from a regulatory perspective
0:11:52 and I think maybe
0:11:53 the more meta theme
0:11:54 as I’ve sort of watched
0:11:54 FinTech evolve
0:11:55 and I think this is
0:11:56 permeating into crypto
0:11:57 is just how
0:11:58 the large incumbent
0:11:59 financial institutions
0:12:00 are embracing
0:12:00 this innovation
0:12:01 and technology,
0:12:01 you know,
0:12:02 writ large.
0:12:02 I think a lot of the,
0:12:03 you know,
0:12:04 I’d refer to my,
0:12:04 you know,
0:12:05 crypto colleagues
0:12:05 who are much deeper
0:12:06 in this space
0:12:06 than I am.
0:12:08 A lot of the enthusiasm
0:12:09 I would say here
0:12:10 is about,
0:12:11 you know,
0:12:12 the existing kind of
0:12:12 financial system
0:12:13 adopting,
0:12:13 you know,
0:12:14 things like stable coins
0:12:16 or maybe even tokenizing
0:12:17 kind of real world assets
0:12:20 and I think that’s different
0:12:21 in, you know,
0:12:21 from a lot of the
0:12:22 more frontier stuff
0:12:23 that I think the team
0:12:24 had talked about internally
0:12:25 which was kind of
0:12:26 more purely decentralized
0:12:27 and kind of owning
0:12:28 the internet
0:12:29 but I think,
0:12:29 you know,
0:12:30 for crypto to go
0:12:31 very mainstream
0:12:31 and kind of plug
0:12:32 into the broader
0:12:33 financial system
0:12:34 that probably is
0:12:35 and will continue
0:12:35 to happen.
0:12:36 What Zach and the team
0:12:37 at Platt have done,
0:12:37 you know,
0:12:40 the last 14 years,
0:12:41 13 years
0:12:43 is remarkable.
0:12:43 I mean,
0:12:44 you know,
0:12:45 from my vantage point,
0:12:46 like you won the hearts
0:12:46 and minds
0:12:47 of the developer community.
0:12:48 You built this sort
0:12:49 of foundational infrastructure
0:12:51 that really catalyzed,
0:12:51 like,
0:12:52 you know,
0:12:53 I can’t take credit
0:12:55 for creating the FinTech term.
0:12:56 You like created
0:12:57 the enabling infrastructure
0:12:58 to like create the industry
0:12:59 in many ways.
0:13:00 You know,
0:13:01 now have,
0:13:01 I don’t know,
0:13:01 hundreds of millions
0:13:02 of accounts,
0:13:03 you know,
0:13:03 connected
0:13:04 and you’re,
0:13:05 to your point,
0:13:06 now bringing kind of
0:13:06 this whole ecosystem
0:13:08 of kind of value-added
0:13:09 services and analytics,
0:13:10 you know,
0:13:10 to make financial products
0:13:11 better.
0:13:13 And I think
0:13:13 while we saw
0:13:14 different seasons
0:13:15 kind of over that period,
0:13:16 you know,
0:13:17 you know,
0:13:17 hay fever
0:13:19 and long winters
0:13:19 and,
0:13:20 you know,
0:13:21 euphoria
0:13:22 in some moments,
0:13:23 you know,
0:13:25 many of these companies
0:13:26 are now bigger than ever.
0:13:26 I mean,
0:13:27 Robinhood is now,
0:13:27 I don’t know,
0:13:28 $100 billion public company.
0:13:29 You know,
0:13:31 I looked up SoFi stock price.
0:13:32 You know,
0:13:33 they’re a $35 billion
0:13:33 public company.
0:13:34 A firm is a $20 billion
0:13:35 company.
0:13:35 Like,
0:13:36 these are outcomes
0:13:37 that you couldn’t
0:13:38 even imagine.
0:13:38 Revolut.
0:13:39 Yeah,
0:13:39 I mean,
0:13:39 Revolut,
0:13:40 $75 billion,
0:13:41 you know,
0:13:42 for new investors.
0:13:44 And that phenomenon
0:13:45 is not just U.S.-centric
0:13:45 to that point.
0:13:47 It’s become a global one.
0:13:47 I mean,
0:13:48 NewBank,
0:13:48 you know,
0:13:49 $100 billion,
0:13:49 you know,
0:13:50 you know,
0:13:50 company,
0:13:51 you know,
0:13:52 in Brazil.
0:13:53 You know,
0:13:53 my good friend,
0:13:54 Pierre Paulo,
0:13:54 who runs Walla,
0:13:55 in Argentina,
0:13:56 you know,
0:13:56 Colombia,
0:13:56 Mexico.
0:13:58 You know,
0:13:59 so these companies
0:13:59 have worked
0:14:00 and they’ve
0:14:00 kind of
0:14:01 proliferated
0:14:01 and brought
0:14:03 access of
0:14:03 financial products,
0:14:04 you know,
0:14:04 everywhere.
0:14:07 And I think
0:14:07 that that trend
0:14:08 will continue.
0:14:08 You know,
0:14:09 I think while they
0:14:10 started off in
0:14:11 with point solutions
0:14:12 and they kind of
0:14:13 perfected whatever
0:14:14 their wedge product
0:14:14 was,
0:14:15 you know,
0:14:15 many of them
0:14:16 have now
0:14:16 rebundled,
0:14:17 right?
0:14:17 They want to
0:14:18 become kind of
0:14:18 the full,
0:14:19 you know,
0:14:19 financial picture
0:14:21 for their customers,
0:14:21 whether that’s
0:14:22 through cards
0:14:22 or accounts
0:14:22 or lending.
0:14:24 Again,
0:14:24 many of them
0:14:24 have gone
0:14:25 full stack
0:14:25 and actually
0:14:26 bought banks
0:14:27 and actually
0:14:28 hold deposits
0:14:29 and are generating
0:14:30 significant revenue,
0:14:30 you know,
0:14:32 from that float.
0:14:34 I think the other
0:14:34 meta theme
0:14:35 which has been
0:14:37 interesting
0:14:38 and I think
0:14:38 is accelerating
0:14:39 now with AI
0:14:40 is just,
0:14:41 again,
0:14:42 the posture
0:14:43 of a lot of
0:14:43 the incumbent
0:14:44 financial institutions,
0:14:45 you know,
0:14:45 to fintech
0:14:46 and technology
0:14:46 broadly.
0:14:48 You know,
0:14:48 I saw this
0:14:49 kind of firsthand
0:14:51 certainly,
0:14:51 you know,
0:14:52 as an investor
0:14:52 back at Spark,
0:14:53 as a founder,
0:14:54 and then
0:14:55 inside of Goldman,
0:14:56 just even their own
0:14:57 sort of evolution
0:14:58 and posture
0:14:59 to technology,
0:15:00 you know,
0:15:02 for a long time,
0:15:03 many of these
0:15:03 institutions,
0:15:04 like,
0:15:05 if the technology
0:15:05 wasn’t built there,
0:15:06 they weren’t interested.
0:15:07 I mean,
0:15:08 Goldman had literally
0:15:09 created their own
0:15:09 email client.
0:15:10 Like,
0:15:11 they didn’t operate
0:15:11 on Outlook
0:15:12 or on Gmail.
0:15:12 They had this thing
0:15:13 called Orbit.
0:15:13 I don’t know why
0:15:14 Goldman Sachs needs
0:15:14 to create their own
0:15:15 email client,
0:15:15 but,
0:15:16 you know,
0:15:17 that was like
0:15:18 a window into
0:15:19 the psychology
0:15:19 from a technology
0:15:20 perspective.
0:15:20 Don’t they still use
0:15:21 like SecDB
0:15:21 internally?
0:15:22 Like,
0:15:22 they have their own
0:15:23 database that they’ve
0:15:23 built.
0:15:24 That makes more
0:15:25 sense to me
0:15:25 because it was
0:15:26 like a centralized
0:15:26 risk system
0:15:27 for managing
0:15:27 all their trades,
0:15:29 but Outlook
0:15:29 equivalents,
0:15:30 like,
0:15:31 makes no sense.
0:15:32 You know,
0:15:32 then I think
0:15:33 there was this
0:15:33 period where,
0:15:34 you know,
0:15:35 many of the large
0:15:36 institutions were like,
0:15:37 we want to be
0:15:37 the fintech companies
0:15:38 ourselves,
0:15:38 and,
0:15:39 you know,
0:15:39 Goldman
0:15:40 went very aggressively
0:15:42 into Marcus
0:15:43 and others
0:15:44 followed suit.
0:15:45 I think there’s
0:15:46 a bit of a
0:15:47 humbling that
0:15:48 has happened.
0:15:48 You know,
0:15:49 maybe I’m using
0:15:51 them as one
0:15:51 lens,
0:15:53 but more broadly,
0:15:54 I think the
0:15:55 positive impact
0:15:55 of that experience
0:15:57 made them more
0:15:57 open to adopting
0:15:58 the best technology
0:15:59 that exists in
0:16:00 the market
0:16:02 and no longer
0:16:02 building everything
0:16:03 in-house.
0:16:03 And so,
0:16:04 a lot of where
0:16:06 I’ve been spending
0:16:06 time the past
0:16:07 several years
0:16:09 has been
0:16:10 in,
0:16:10 you know,
0:16:11 fintech companies
0:16:11 that lead with
0:16:12 software,
0:16:13 that,
0:16:13 you know,
0:16:14 ideally have
0:16:15 the potential
0:16:15 for a network
0:16:16 effect and are
0:16:17 selling into
0:16:17 these financial,
0:16:18 you know,
0:16:19 larger financial
0:16:19 institutions and
0:16:20 solving,
0:16:20 you know,
0:16:21 real workflow
0:16:22 challenges for
0:16:22 them.
0:16:24 And I think
0:16:25 we’re at this
0:16:25 interesting moment
0:16:27 where because
0:16:27 the software
0:16:28 itself can
0:16:28 actually do
0:16:29 the work,
0:16:29 you know,
0:16:30 with AI,
0:16:31 there’s sort
0:16:32 of this bottoms-up
0:16:33 momentum and
0:16:33 top-down pressure
0:16:34 that’s happening
0:16:34 that I think is
0:16:35 accelerating this
0:16:36 cultural change.
0:16:37 You know,
0:16:37 many of these
0:16:38 institutions are
0:16:39 beginning to
0:16:40 adopt products
0:16:40 like Cursor
0:16:40 or,
0:16:41 you know,
0:16:42 even GitHub
0:16:42 co-pilot
0:16:43 or a broader
0:16:44 ecosystem of
0:16:44 kind of AI
0:16:45 products in
0:16:46 their employee
0:16:47 base and people
0:16:47 are seeing the
0:16:48 productivity gains.
0:16:49 And then unlike
0:16:50 I think prior
0:16:51 periods of kind
0:16:52 of product cycle
0:16:53 or platform
0:16:53 shifts,
0:16:54 if you were
0:16:55 the CEO of a
0:16:55 big bank and
0:16:56 you said,
0:16:56 you know,
0:16:57 do I need to
0:16:57 be in the
0:16:57 cloud?
0:16:58 Like that was
0:16:59 sort of an
0:16:59 esoteric
0:17:01 question.
0:17:02 Now it’s like
0:17:03 any CEO,
0:17:04 any board member
0:17:04 can plug a prompt
0:17:05 into one of
0:17:05 these models and
0:17:06 sort of intuitively
0:17:06 understand the
0:17:07 impact that it
0:17:07 could have on
0:17:08 their business.
0:17:09 And so I
0:17:09 think that’s
0:17:10 broadening the
0:17:10 aperture,
0:17:11 at least from
0:17:11 my vantage point,
0:17:12 of what
0:17:12 fintech is.
0:17:13 And it’s
0:17:13 really,
0:17:14 I think to
0:17:14 your point,
0:17:15 just financial
0:17:16 services and
0:17:17 I think software
0:17:17 in large part
0:17:17 sold into
0:17:18 financial services
0:17:19 as well.
0:17:19 Yeah.
0:17:20 And David,
0:17:21 say more about
0:17:22 sort of that
0:17:24 change around
0:17:25 when, you know,
0:17:25 it went from
0:17:27 25% to,
0:17:28 you know,
0:17:29 less than that.
0:17:30 What was
0:17:30 changing in
0:17:31 these businesses
0:17:33 that caused
0:17:33 that?
0:17:34 You mentioned
0:17:34 sort of the
0:17:35 macro environment,
0:17:35 but is there
0:17:35 anything else
0:17:36 we could learn
0:17:36 from it?
0:17:37 and more
0:17:38 around now,
0:17:38 where are you
0:17:39 particularly
0:17:40 excited to
0:17:41 invest or
0:17:42 what are the
0:17:42 sort of
0:17:42 different,
0:17:44 you know,
0:17:44 sort of
0:17:45 subspaces that
0:17:46 you’re, you
0:17:46 know,
0:17:46 looking at
0:17:46 or excited
0:17:47 to?
0:17:48 I think 2021
0:17:49 period was
0:17:50 sort of wild
0:17:51 for lots of
0:17:51 reasons.
0:17:52 I think, you
0:17:52 know,
0:17:53 financial services
0:17:55 is and
0:17:55 remains obviously
0:17:56 one of the
0:17:56 biggest parts
0:17:57 of our global
0:17:57 economy.
0:17:58 And so I
0:17:58 think people,
0:17:59 you know,
0:18:00 often get
0:18:01 overexcited
0:18:01 maybe by
0:18:01 TAM,
0:18:02 you know,
0:18:03 and so every
0:18:04 venture firm
0:18:04 created a
0:18:05 fintech team,
0:18:06 you know,
0:18:06 was deploying
0:18:06 a lot of
0:18:07 capital,
0:18:07 you know,
0:18:08 to that
0:18:08 market.
0:18:10 You know,
0:18:11 and again,
0:18:11 many of these
0:18:12 companies have
0:18:12 continued to
0:18:13 succeed,
0:18:13 but I think
0:18:14 it was probably
0:18:16 too much euphoria
0:18:17 going into that
0:18:18 space relative
0:18:18 to the amount
0:18:18 of dollars.
0:18:19 No, no,
0:18:19 I think it was
0:18:20 the exact
0:18:20 right amount
0:18:21 of euphoria
0:18:21 just to pull
0:18:22 back afterwards.
0:18:23 That was great.
0:18:24 Exactly.
0:18:26 You know,
0:18:26 again,
0:18:26 part of that
0:18:27 was that
0:18:27 companies,
0:18:28 you know,
0:18:29 when rates
0:18:29 are zero,
0:18:30 you can lend
0:18:30 money and
0:18:31 grow very
0:18:31 quickly and
0:18:32 there’s a lot
0:18:32 of, you know,
0:18:33 margin to
0:18:33 capture there.
0:18:34 I think when
0:18:34 rates go up,
0:18:35 your cost of
0:18:35 capital goes up
0:18:36 and that margin
0:18:37 shrinks and
0:18:37 there’s a
0:18:38 natural ceiling
0:18:39 on borrowing
0:18:40 that people,
0:18:40 you know,
0:18:41 both from a
0:18:42 regulatory perspective
0:18:42 and a kind of
0:18:43 consumer appetite
0:18:44 perspective.
0:18:45 So the business
0:18:46 model on the
0:18:47 lending side,
0:18:47 I think,
0:18:47 you know,
0:18:48 kind of
0:18:48 compressed.
0:18:49 But you also
0:18:49 have to look at
0:18:50 the underlying
0:18:51 growth rates
0:18:51 of these apps
0:18:52 were insane.
0:18:52 Totally.
0:18:54 You look at
0:18:55 the number of
0:18:55 consumers that
0:18:56 were, you know,
0:18:57 signing up to
0:18:57 invest or
0:18:58 signing up to
0:18:59 take a loan or
0:19:00 signing up to
0:19:01 buy a Bitcoin or
0:19:01 whatever it was.
0:19:01 Totally.
0:19:02 Like, we just
0:19:03 looked at the
0:19:04 charts and
0:19:04 like, you know,
0:19:05 if the app was
0:19:06 growing at,
0:19:07 what, 25% a
0:19:08 month, it was
0:19:09 actually a great
0:19:09 venture investment.
0:19:10 Totally.
0:19:10 And yes, you
0:19:10 might know that
0:19:11 the music at
0:19:11 some point is
0:19:12 going to slow
0:19:12 down or stop,
0:19:14 but 25% a
0:19:15 month’s growth
0:19:15 is insane.
0:19:15 totally.
0:19:17 Yeah, totally.
0:19:18 I mean, and
0:19:19 this was like
0:19:19 stimulus and
0:19:20 there was a lot
0:19:21 of…
0:19:21 Helicopter money
0:19:22 everywhere.
0:19:23 Yeah, there
0:19:23 were a lot of
0:19:23 reasons they
0:19:24 were growing that
0:19:24 fast.
0:19:26 100%.
0:19:26 And look, I
0:19:27 think like from
0:19:28 a, I don’t
0:19:29 know, industry
0:19:29 health perspective,
0:19:30 like I think
0:19:30 things have
0:19:31 normalized, but
0:19:32 the companies
0:19:32 continue to
0:19:33 grow and
0:19:33 succeed.
0:19:33 I mean, again,
0:19:34 now they’re,
0:19:34 you know, bigger
0:19:35 than they’ve
0:19:35 ever been.
0:19:36 The great ones.
0:19:37 There was a
0:19:37 washout.
0:19:39 And there
0:19:40 were a lot of
0:19:40 fintech
0:19:41 companies that
0:19:42 died or shut
0:19:43 down in the
0:19:43 second half of
0:19:44 22, in the
0:19:45 first half of
0:19:45 23.
0:19:47 There were a
0:19:47 lot that, you
0:19:48 know, kind of
0:19:49 went sideways
0:19:50 for quite a
0:19:51 while.
0:19:53 And a lot of
0:19:53 lenders, especially
0:19:54 who just like
0:19:55 basically closed
0:19:55 up shop or
0:19:56 merge or things
0:19:57 like that.
0:19:58 But the ones
0:19:58 that succeeded
0:19:59 coming out of
0:20:00 it across all
0:20:00 of fintech,
0:20:01 they were much,
0:20:01 much stronger
0:20:02 for it.
0:20:02 Totally.
0:20:03 So as you
0:20:04 said, like if
0:20:04 you started off
0:20:05 with a neobank
0:20:06 and all they
0:20:07 did was have
0:20:07 a checking
0:20:08 account and a
0:20:08 savings account
0:20:08 and maybe a
0:20:10 card, well, in
0:20:11 this period, if
0:20:11 they wanted to
0:20:11 survive, they
0:20:13 needed to build
0:20:13 the lending
0:20:14 side of their
0:20:15 offering.
0:20:16 And so they
0:20:17 expanded there
0:20:17 or build the
0:20:18 investment side
0:20:18 of their
0:20:19 offering, so
0:20:19 they expanded
0:20:19 there.
0:20:19 And so now
0:20:20 you come out
0:20:20 with these
0:20:21 much more
0:20:21 full-fledged,
0:20:22 long-lasting
0:20:23 companies.
0:20:24 the winners
0:20:25 became even
0:20:26 more so the
0:20:26 winners.
0:20:28 And yeah, there
0:20:29 was an
0:20:29 unfortunate number
0:20:29 of companies
0:20:30 that also
0:20:30 didn’t make
0:20:30 it.
0:20:31 Totally.
0:20:32 David, I’m
0:20:33 curious how
0:20:34 we look at
0:20:35 the sort of
0:20:35 investable
0:20:36 universe or
0:20:36 sort of
0:20:37 divide.
0:20:38 Is it, you
0:20:38 know, that
0:20:39 there’s a
0:20:39 certain type
0:20:40 of form
0:20:40 factors and
0:20:41 it’s, you
0:20:41 know, each
0:20:42 region is
0:20:42 going to have
0:20:43 their new
0:20:44 banks, so to
0:20:45 speak, or is
0:20:46 it, you
0:20:46 know, by
0:20:48 sort of form
0:20:48 factor or value
0:20:49 prop to
0:20:50 the, how do
0:20:51 we think about
0:20:52 the universe and
0:20:53 how do we
0:20:53 map it?
0:20:55 You know, it’s
0:20:55 been interesting.
0:20:55 I mean, I would
0:20:56 say from our
0:20:57 vantage point, we
0:20:58 haven’t made as
0:20:59 many consumer
0:21:00 fintech investments
0:21:01 in recent years
0:21:02 as we have
0:21:02 historically.
0:21:04 I think part
0:21:04 of it is just
0:21:05 it’s more
0:21:05 expensive to
0:21:06 acquire customers
0:21:07 and hit the
0:21:07 kind of scale
0:21:08 you need to
0:21:09 really be in
0:21:09 a kind of
0:21:10 venture scale
0:21:10 outcomes.
0:21:11 And I think
0:21:11 that’s a
0:21:12 function of,
0:21:12 you know,
0:21:14 just, you
0:21:15 know, consumer
0:21:15 acquisition
0:21:16 channels getting
0:21:16 more expensive
0:21:17 and some of
0:21:17 these companies
0:21:18 starting early
0:21:18 and it was
0:21:19 easier to
0:21:20 acquire and
0:21:21 then build
0:21:21 massive LTV
0:21:22 with their
0:21:22 existing
0:21:22 customer
0:21:23 bases.
0:21:24 That does
0:21:25 change around
0:21:25 the world.
0:21:27 I think, you
0:21:27 know, in some
0:21:28 markets, people
0:21:28 were entering the
0:21:29 formal financial
0:21:30 economy for the
0:21:30 first time and
0:21:31 so offering a
0:21:32 fee-free mobile
0:21:33 first, you
0:21:33 know, bank
0:21:34 account and a
0:21:35 debit card
0:21:36 literally gave
0:21:37 them access to
0:21:38 e-commerce and
0:21:38 things like
0:21:39 Netflix and
0:21:40 Spotify and
0:21:41 Amazon for the
0:21:42 very first time.
0:21:43 Credit doesn’t
0:21:44 exist equally in
0:21:45 every market around
0:21:46 the world, nor do
0:21:47 credit bureaus and
0:21:48 credit data.
0:21:49 So there’s, I
0:21:50 think, still, you
0:21:51 know, tons of
0:21:51 interesting kind of
0:21:52 macro opportunity
0:21:53 from a financial
0:21:53 product perspective,
0:21:55 I think, especially
0:21:56 in emerging
0:21:57 economies, I
0:21:58 think AI could be
0:21:59 an interesting, you
0:21:59 know, kind of
0:22:00 catalyst for a
0:22:01 new resurgence of
0:22:02 consumer fintech.
0:22:03 I mean, there’s
0:22:03 always been this
0:22:05 promise of, you
0:22:05 know, kind of
0:22:06 self-driving money
0:22:08 or, you know,
0:22:08 PFMs that
0:22:09 actually do the
0:22:10 work for you and
0:22:11 help you make, you
0:22:11 know, not just
0:22:12 give you advice,
0:22:13 but actually, you
0:22:14 know, help you
0:22:15 earn, you know,
0:22:16 save and spend
0:22:16 even better.
0:22:18 And I think, like,
0:22:20 we’ve yet to see as
0:22:20 many of those
0:22:21 companies today, but
0:22:22 I think there’s, the
0:22:23 technology might be
0:22:24 ripe.
0:22:24 I’m curious if you’re
0:22:25 seeing this, you
0:22:26 know, on your
0:22:27 side, like, to
0:22:28 actually deliver on
0:22:28 that promise.
0:22:29 Yeah.
0:22:30 You know, it’s
0:22:31 funny, when we
0:22:32 think about
0:22:33 prospective apps,
0:22:34 like, you know, the
0:22:35 app that I wish
0:22:36 that existed, you
0:22:37 know, I wish that
0:22:37 there was a
0:22:38 self-driving money
0:22:38 app that I could
0:22:39 just say, hey,
0:22:39 you know, my
0:22:40 paycheck goes in
0:22:41 here, like, you
0:22:41 know, sweep
0:22:42 enough money into
0:22:42 my checking
0:22:43 account so that I
0:22:44 can play my daily
0:22:45 expenses, but
0:22:45 put all the rest
0:22:46 into this, like,
0:22:46 high-yield savings
0:22:48 account and invest
0:22:48 this percent of it
0:22:49 in the market.
0:22:51 And, you know, I
0:22:51 wish that this
0:22:51 thing existed.
0:22:54 I don’t actually
0:22:55 know that that’s
0:22:56 necessarily a very
0:22:57 good app to build
0:22:58 because I’m a weird
0:22:59 power user.
0:23:00 I have insane
0:23:01 trust in FinTech
0:23:02 companies to do
0:23:03 all this stuff for
0:23:03 me.
0:23:04 Like, I understand
0:23:05 all the actions that
0:23:06 the agent would
0:23:07 take, and I have,
0:23:08 you know, enough
0:23:09 background in the
0:23:10 space that, like, the
0:23:11 actions seem logical
0:23:11 to me.
0:23:12 But if I gave that
0:23:14 to my mom, she’d be
0:23:14 like, oh, where’s
0:23:15 my money?
0:23:15 What’s going on?
0:23:15 Like, I don’t
0:23:16 trust this thing.
0:23:17 Like, wait, why did
0:23:17 it move money over
0:23:18 there?
0:23:18 I have all these
0:23:18 questions.
0:23:20 And so, you know,
0:23:22 I’m not sure that I’m
0:23:22 necessarily the best
0:23:23 at this.
0:23:24 Like, so I have all
0:23:24 these visions of,
0:23:26 like, the prospective
0:23:27 apps that should exist
0:23:27 out there.
0:23:29 but then, you know, for
0:23:31 us as Plaid, and in a
0:23:32 lot of instances for you
0:23:35 as an investor, like,
0:23:35 certainly for us as
0:23:36 Plaid, like, our job is
0:23:37 like, we need to build
0:23:37 the platform and then
0:23:38 figure out what
0:23:39 emergent behavior starts
0:23:40 to exist on it, and
0:23:41 then go optimize for
0:23:42 that emergent behavior
0:23:44 as new interesting
0:23:45 companies start to
0:23:45 emerge.
0:23:48 And so that’s how we
0:23:49 think of our job.
0:23:50 So, like, our job as
0:23:51 it relates to AI is
0:23:53 like, let’s build
0:23:53 tools that allow
0:23:55 consumers safely to
0:23:56 link their data with
0:23:57 agents.
0:23:59 Then let’s build tools
0:24:00 that allow those agents
0:24:01 to take the proper
0:24:02 actions, be that just
0:24:03 analyzing data, or be
0:24:04 that actually moving
0:24:04 money or something
0:24:05 else.
0:24:06 Let’s build tools that
0:24:07 allow those agents to
0:24:08 take those actions.
0:24:10 And then let’s see what
0:24:11 happens and, like, have
0:24:12 a team that’s just,
0:24:13 like, constantly looking
0:24:13 at, like, the emergent
0:24:14 behavior and figuring
0:24:15 out, oh, is that a
0:24:15 good thing?
0:24:16 Do we want to optimize
0:24:16 for that?
0:24:17 Oh, like, has that
0:24:18 enabled some new vector
0:24:19 of risk that we need
0:24:20 to avoid?
0:24:21 And that’s kind of
0:24:23 the thought process
0:24:24 that we take across
0:24:24 all the things that we
0:24:24 do.
0:24:26 So, a lot of it is,
0:24:26 like, if you build it,
0:24:27 they will come.
0:24:28 You just don’t know
0:24:28 who will come and
0:24:29 what they’ll look like
0:24:31 and, like, what exactly
0:24:31 is going to be the
0:24:32 next big thing.
0:24:33 But we have to be very
0:24:34 prepared to react when
0:24:34 we see it.
0:24:36 Yeah, and I think, as
0:24:37 a result, like, we’ve
0:24:39 been focused on maybe
0:24:40 more known problems.
0:24:40 Like, there’s so many,
0:24:42 there’s so much work
0:24:43 that happens inside of
0:24:44 all these large
0:24:45 financial institutions
0:24:46 that it’s just done
0:24:47 manually by expensive
0:24:48 people, you know,
0:24:50 frankly, across risk,
0:24:50 compliance, legal,
0:24:51 you know, vendor
0:24:52 onboarding, treasury
0:24:53 management.
0:24:54 I mean, you know,
0:24:54 I can go on and
0:24:55 on and on.
0:24:58 And now you have,
0:24:59 again, AI to actually,
0:25:00 you know, solve many
0:25:00 of those problems.
0:25:02 And so, that’s, I
0:25:02 think, you know,
0:25:03 largely where we’ve
0:25:04 been spending time.
0:25:05 You know, you know,
0:25:06 companies like, you
0:25:07 know, Moment that have
0:25:08 built, you know, fixed
0:25:08 income trading
0:25:09 infrastructure.
0:25:10 If you’re a wealth
0:25:11 management client of
0:25:13 JP Morgan today, you
0:25:13 know, building a bond
0:25:14 ladder is still a
0:25:15 manual process.
0:25:15 You’re picking, you
0:25:16 know, individual
0:25:17 securities one by
0:25:17 one.
0:25:19 That’s insane.
0:25:20 Like, that hasn’t
0:25:21 existed for, you know,
0:25:21 at least a decade in
0:25:23 inequities.
0:25:24 And so, you know,
0:25:24 there’s a ton of
0:25:25 opportunity to solve,
0:25:26 you know, kind of
0:25:27 basic problems like
0:25:27 that.
0:25:27 And I would argue
0:25:29 build, you know,
0:25:30 very large, you
0:25:30 know, kind of
0:25:31 software and kind of
0:25:32 platform style
0:25:34 businesses on the
0:25:34 back of that.
0:25:35 So whether it’s, you
0:25:37 know, things like, you
0:25:38 know, you know, a
0:25:39 company like Salient,
0:25:40 which is doing, you
0:25:40 know, bringing voice
0:25:42 agents to loan
0:25:43 servicing and
0:25:43 collections, right?
0:25:45 The idea that, you
0:25:46 know, a voice agent
0:25:46 can speak in 50
0:25:47 languages, you know,
0:25:48 fully compliantly
0:25:49 track UDEP, you
0:25:50 know, do welcome
0:25:51 calls and payment
0:25:53 reminders, you
0:25:54 know, and actually
0:25:55 deliver on a better
0:25:55 customer experience
0:25:57 because it can speak
0:25:57 their native language
0:25:59 and get better
0:26:00 results.
0:26:00 It’s infinitely
0:26:01 patient, right?
0:26:03 You know, that is a
0:26:04 really interesting
0:26:05 opportunity for the
0:26:06 moment, you know, in
0:26:08 large part because it’s
0:26:09 unlocking markets that
0:26:10 were never particularly
0:26:11 interesting to software
0:26:12 into because IT
0:26:14 budgets were small and
0:26:15 now, you know, the
0:26:16 TAM is largely labor.
0:26:17 And so that’s been, I
0:26:18 think, kind of one of
0:26:19 the reorientations that
0:26:20 we’ve seen the last
0:26:21 few years from kind of
0:26:22 financial product-led
0:26:23 companies largely to,
0:26:24 you know, software-led
0:26:26 businesses and kind of
0:26:26 financial services were
0:26:27 at large.
0:26:28 Zach, you wrote about
0:26:29 your predictions for
0:26:30 2026.
0:26:31 Maybe share one we
0:26:32 haven’t gotten
0:26:34 to yet around where
0:26:35 things are going or
0:26:35 where you’re particularly
0:26:35 excited.
0:26:37 I was at a dinner a
0:26:38 couple weeks ago and
0:26:40 so this might not be a
0:26:40 prediction, this might
0:26:41 just be a recognition
0:26:43 of current truth.
0:26:45 But I was at a dinner
0:26:46 recently and someone
0:26:47 asked the table a
0:26:48 question and the
0:26:49 question was, what’s
0:26:49 the biggest use case
0:26:51 of AI in financial
0:26:52 services?
0:26:54 And some people had
0:26:55 answers and then it
0:26:56 got to me and I kind
0:26:58 of flippantly said
0:26:59 doing fraud.
0:27:00 It turns out the
0:27:01 biggest use case for
0:27:02 AI is fraudsters,
0:27:03 committing fraud
0:27:04 against financial
0:27:04 services companies.
0:27:06 And I said it
0:27:06 jokingly and then
0:27:08 realized as I was
0:27:08 saying it, oh no,
0:27:09 this is actually the
0:27:09 correct answer.
0:27:11 The entire table was
0:27:12 like, yeah, okay,
0:27:13 that’s the correct
0:27:13 answer.
0:27:15 And so, you know,
0:27:16 we’re at this point in
0:27:17 the ecosystem where
0:27:18 AI has so much
0:27:19 potential to change
0:27:20 things and who’s using
0:27:20 it the most?
0:27:21 It’s the fraudsters.
0:27:24 And right now we’re
0:27:24 at a point where
0:27:25 financial fraud is
0:27:26 growing at like 18
0:27:27 to 20% a year,
0:27:29 which is insane and
0:27:29 it’s already a huge
0:27:29 market.
0:27:33 So I guess in
0:27:36 that vein, one of
0:27:37 my predictions for
0:27:39 2026 is unfortunately
0:27:41 financial fraud is
0:27:42 going to continue to
0:27:43 accelerate in a way
0:27:44 that we don’t quite
0:27:45 understand and probably
0:27:46 can’t quite feel out and
0:27:48 predict yet because,
0:27:49 you know, it’s a cat
0:27:49 and mouse game, but
0:27:51 the mouse is winning
0:27:52 right now.
0:27:52 I mean, the cat, the
0:27:54 cattle win long term,
0:27:55 but the mouse is
0:27:56 winning right now.
0:27:58 So it’s kind of a
0:27:59 depressing prediction,
0:28:01 but I think likely.
0:28:03 What are you guys
0:28:04 doing about it?
0:28:06 Well, so we build an
0:28:07 anti-fraud product suite.
0:28:08 I promise this was not
0:28:10 me teeing up bragging
0:28:11 about that, but I will
0:28:12 brag about that.
0:28:13 I’m curious because it’s
0:28:14 a hard problem to solve,
0:28:15 but if anybody can kind
0:28:16 of try to figure it out.
0:28:17 Well, we can’t solve it
0:28:17 all.
0:28:18 We can solve pieces of it.
0:28:19 So we build an
0:28:20 anti-fraud product suite
0:28:21 that’s called Protect.
0:28:22 Within that, we have this
0:28:24 analysis of every user
0:28:24 and every user action
0:28:26 that we can assign a
0:28:27 score to to say what’s
0:28:28 the trustworthiness of
0:28:29 this user, this account,
0:28:30 this user action that
0:28:31 they’re taking.
0:28:33 And we pull this data
0:28:34 and build it based on
0:28:35 looking at every user
0:28:35 action that’s taken
0:28:36 across every fintech
0:28:37 company that we work
0:28:39 with, plus the data
0:28:39 that’s coming from the
0:28:40 bank account, plus
0:28:41 device data, plus a
0:28:42 zillion other data sets
0:28:43 that we match it all
0:28:43 with.
0:28:45 And so it’s the first
0:28:46 kind of network linked
0:28:47 like cross-fintech,
0:28:49 cross-bank type of
0:28:50 anti-fraud tool.
0:28:51 And it’s awesome, and
0:28:52 it adds some amazing
0:28:54 signal to the company
0:28:54 that we work with.
0:28:56 But this is like one
0:28:58 of very many solutions
0:28:59 that need to exist.
0:29:01 We’re starting to get
0:29:01 good at fighting
0:29:02 deepfakes as well, I
0:29:03 mean, like as an
0:29:04 industry and Plaid
0:29:05 specifically, but like
0:29:06 still very early there.
0:29:08 But, you know, the
0:29:09 stuff that freaks me
0:29:10 out is, you know,
0:29:11 have you heard of
0:29:12 pig butchering?
0:29:14 For those listening
0:29:14 on a podcast, I’ll
0:29:15 explain it briefly
0:29:16 because it’s kind of
0:29:17 a gruesome term.
0:29:18 But it is basically
0:29:20 when you get a text
0:29:21 message that says,
0:29:21 hey, how you doing?
0:29:25 And you respond to it,
0:29:26 don’t ever respond to those.
0:29:27 But if you do get one of
0:29:28 those and you were to
0:29:30 respond to it, they would
0:29:30 then strike up a
0:29:31 conversation with you and
0:29:32 eventually they would like
0:29:33 find some complex way to
0:29:34 like ask you to give them
0:29:34 money.
0:29:36 And when you go up and
0:29:37 execute that transaction,
0:29:39 you have just sent money to
0:29:40 a total stranger on the
0:29:41 internet and yes, they’ve
0:29:41 stolen the money.
0:29:43 Like that is like in 100%
0:29:44 of cases what happens.
0:29:46 That used to be done based
0:29:48 on these like human
0:29:50 factories in like Malaysia
0:29:51 where they would like have
0:29:52 these people like locked
0:29:53 in rooms sending text
0:29:54 messages to unassuming
0:29:55 people in the U.S.
0:29:56 mostly but around the
0:29:56 world.
0:29:58 Now that’s all AI.
0:29:59 You don’t need these human
0:29:59 factories anymore.
0:30:00 The AI can do all that.
0:30:01 And the AI is just getting
0:30:02 better and better and
0:30:02 better.
0:30:05 And like how do we
0:30:05 fight that?
0:30:06 Like because it’s a human
0:30:08 taking an action that they
0:30:09 think is sending money to a
0:30:09 friend and they’ve been
0:30:11 tricked but it is fraud but
0:30:13 it’s very hard to fight that
0:30:13 kind of fraud.
0:30:17 And so I mean there are so
0:30:18 many more tools that we
0:30:19 need to build as an industry
0:30:20 collectively and of course
0:30:22 as Plaid specifically.
0:30:22 Totally.
0:30:23 We were talking about the
0:30:25 different eras of fintech.
0:30:26 I’m curious what have been
0:30:28 sort of the different eras of
0:30:28 Plaid.
0:30:29 Of course there was the
0:30:31 you know sort of the
0:30:32 acquisition that didn’t go
0:30:33 through with Fintech
0:30:34 Visa and sort of the ups and
0:30:36 downs that you guys have
0:30:37 had you know alongside the
0:30:38 macro and obviously you’re in
0:30:39 an incredible position right
0:30:39 now.
0:30:43 Is the talk more about the
0:30:43 different eras of Plaid or
0:30:44 how the Plaid vision has
0:30:47 evolved or stayed true to
0:30:47 the original.
0:30:50 So started Plaid I started
0:30:51 working on a thing that
0:30:52 wasn’t Plaid but pivoted into
0:30:53 Plaid in the very end of
0:30:53 2012.
0:30:56 We launched we pivoted into
0:30:57 what we were doing in kind of
0:30:59 mid late 2013 and launched to
0:31:00 the world in 2014.
0:31:02 So you know it’s been a good
0:31:05 11 to 13 years depending on
0:31:06 how you count that series of
0:31:07 bad products that we built
0:31:07 first.
0:31:10 David actually was a friend and
0:31:11 knew us then.
0:31:12 But I’m going to actually brief
0:31:12 aside.
0:31:14 David I don’t know if you know
0:31:15 this.
0:31:17 David found Plaid.
0:31:19 He was the first investor.
0:31:20 Led the seed round at Spark.
0:31:23 Actually like sourced the deal as
0:31:24 like you’re an associate I think
0:31:25 at Spark at the time.
0:31:29 Then he went to Goldman around
0:31:30 the time that Goldman invested.
0:31:31 You weren’t involved in the
0:31:32 investment specifically but you
0:31:33 were at Goldman at that time
0:31:34 and probably helpful in the
0:31:35 background.
0:31:36 Then came to Andreessen and
0:31:37 Andreessen invested.
0:31:39 And he’s been like a huge
0:31:40 friend and supporter of Plaid
0:31:41 over the years.
0:31:43 So we owe a lot to David and a
0:31:44 huge amount of thank you.
0:31:45 And he also creates all the
0:31:46 important industry terms.
0:31:47 So you know the FinTech
0:31:49 industry owes a lot to David.
0:31:49 I don’t know.
0:31:52 Anyway so Plaid started
0:31:54 let’s say 2014 we launched.
0:31:56 And then 2014 to like
0:31:58 2019 that was all about
0:31:59 linking bank accounts.
0:32:00 Like how do we enable you to
0:32:01 link a bank account so that you
0:32:04 can gain more access to
0:32:05 financial products broadly.
0:32:06 So link a bank account so you
0:32:07 can pay a friend on Venmo.
0:32:08 Link a bank account so you can
0:32:08 get a loan on Lending Club.
0:32:11 That was kind of phase one.
0:32:14 Kind of 2019-2020
0:32:17 you know we called this
0:32:18 what like late
0:32:20 like late spring like blooming
0:32:22 spring continuing to grow in
0:32:24 in 2020
0:32:28 January 2020 we signed
0:32:29 paperwork to sell the company
0:32:29 to Visa
0:32:32 and you know still late
0:32:34 spring we didn’t know that
0:32:34 COVID was coming we didn’t
0:32:35 know that the EDM music would
0:32:36 turn on.
0:32:38 I remember chatting with you
0:32:39 I think it was like February
0:32:41 or March you know like it was
0:32:42 probably March right when
0:32:44 COVID was just beginning I was
0:32:45 like wow you really timed that
0:32:47 well you know and then and
0:32:48 then the business starts
0:32:49 ripping and it was like oh
0:32:51 that’s a very expensive free
0:32:52 call option yeah you know on
0:32:54 the business and so walking
0:32:55 away from that is pretty.
0:32:56 In an acquisition like at least
0:32:57 in our acquisition you sign
0:32:58 paperwork that says we’re in
0:33:00 exclusivity and as soon as
0:33:03 everything is cleared like all
0:33:05 the checkboxes are checked then
0:33:07 the deal will close and so we
0:33:08 had a year of exclusivity and
0:33:10 that started in January of 2020
0:33:14 2020 and yeah like in call it
0:33:16 like late March of 2020 or
0:33:18 maybe early April we were
0:33:19 talking and it was like yeah we
0:33:21 have this deal to sell the
0:33:22 company for just over five
0:33:24 billion dollars and it’s fixed
0:33:28 price Visa stock price goes is
0:33:30 going down so like all of the
0:33:32 stock compensation that we’re
0:33:32 going to get out of this deal
0:33:34 man that’s worth a whole lot
0:33:35 more as a percentage of Visa
0:33:36 like we own a large chunk of
0:33:37 Visa that that that seems
0:33:40 interesting and then we looked
0:33:41 through the docks and like
0:33:42 they have this things called
0:33:43 like material adverse event
0:33:45 so you can get out of a deal
0:33:46 if something crazy happens and
0:33:47 there was a provision there
0:33:48 that says you cannot get out
0:33:49 of the deal even in the case
0:33:51 of a global pandemic and like
0:33:52 some lawyers somewhere in some
0:33:53 room had like come up with
0:33:54 like oh let’s let’s just like
0:33:57 add this in and I don’t know
0:33:59 we were like oh man this is
0:34:00 great we got we got everything
0:34:00 set they can’t get out of it
0:34:02 in case of a pandemic like
0:34:03 we’re gonna get a huge chunk
0:34:04 Visa we’re gonna be off to
0:34:07 the races and then like the
0:34:08 deal took forever to close
0:34:09 because the DOJ was
0:34:10 investigating Visa for being a
0:34:11 monopolist and like all this
0:34:13 overhead and like kind of
0:34:14 for the next the next phase
0:34:15 the EDM music just like
0:34:16 started getting louder and
0:34:17 louder and louder and like
0:34:18 summer started happening and
0:34:19 like fintech started growing
0:34:20 and people were stuck at home
0:34:22 they needed to use digital
0:34:23 finance to live their
0:34:25 financial lives and so at the
0:34:26 end a year later we looked at
0:34:29 and we said for a large
0:34:29 variety of reasons it makes
0:34:31 sense for us to part as
0:34:34 friends with Visa and we’ll go
0:34:35 our own way we’ll we’ll keep
0:34:36 running partisan independent
0:34:38 entity and then we raised a big
0:34:40 up around and you know off to
0:34:43 the races but you know through
0:34:44 that you tell the company hey
0:34:46 we’re selling okay great that’s
0:34:47 that’s a really hard thing to
0:34:48 convince everybody to still be
0:34:48 excited even though you’re
0:34:50 selling the company a year
0:34:52 later hey we’re not selling
0:34:54 another very very hard thing
0:34:55 because you’re telling
0:34:57 everybody you know you’re not
0:34:58 going to get all that cash that
0:34:59 you thought you’re going to get
0:35:00 like you can’t buy the house I’m
0:35:01 sorry but we’ll try to do a
0:35:02 secondary soon so maybe you can
0:35:06 buy a car and you have to like
0:35:07 really change the culture it’s
0:35:09 like almost a refounding moment
0:35:11 at that point and then you go
0:35:13 through the rest of the summer and
0:35:14 that was great lots of growth but
0:35:17 then into like fintech winter and
0:35:19 that’s another like we gotta we
0:35:20 gotta all come together like like
0:35:22 our customers are growing more
0:35:23 slowly yes we’re producing great
0:35:24 products yes like plot is growing
0:35:27 but like you know it’s not the
0:35:28 growth that we’re used to because
0:35:31 we’re in fintech winter and then
0:35:32 it’s nice to finally be back in
0:35:32 spring but like there’s
0:35:34 definitely a lot of ups and
0:35:36 downs on that journey like I
0:35:37 think it was like multiple like
0:35:39 refounding or like multiple
0:35:40 crucible moments along the way
0:35:41 was there a period in that where
0:35:44 you found your maybe you always
0:35:45 had it but like your second win
0:35:47 because at least from the outside
0:35:48 it’s felt like your product
0:35:50 velocity really increased at some
0:35:51 point in the last like you know
0:35:54 two and a half years yeah yeah it
0:35:56 has I mean I shifted my role quite
0:35:58 significantly so like I’m I’m our
0:36:00 chief product officer like I am in
0:36:03 all of the product stuff and a
0:36:06 lot of it was like for us really
0:36:08 was like building the data set to
0:36:09 the size that we can actually run
0:36:11 analytics on it so we build fraud
0:36:13 scores that look at your actions
0:36:14 relative to every other user that
0:36:15 we see in our platform and
0:36:16 identify if you’re anomalous if we
0:36:19 didn’t have enough data to identify
0:36:20 if you were anomalous then it
0:36:21 wouldn’t be a relevant score for us
0:36:22 to build so we got to one enough
0:36:24 data and then two we finally
0:36:25 figured out how to like build and
0:36:27 launch products would be and so
0:36:29 that’s been like one of the most
0:36:30 fun things for me actually
0:36:33 weirdly like I think I was like
0:36:37 like not as happy in the period of
0:36:39 like EDM pumping like fast growth
0:36:40 everybody’s like throwing money at
0:36:42 fintech like that industry I think
0:36:43 I was like a little less happy
0:36:44 because it was like I think I’m
0:36:45 adding differential value I think
0:36:46 I’m just like you know running as
0:36:49 fast as I possibly can and you know
0:36:50 maybe I make some good decisions
0:36:51 but like you know it all doesn’t
0:36:52 matter because everything’s up
0:36:54 and to the right and I think I
0:36:55 was like happier in that like
0:36:57 winter period so I’m like oh man
0:36:59 like this is this is where we
0:37:01 become an amazing company long
0:37:02 term like this is where like you
0:37:04 know we prove ourselves and we
0:37:04 really step up and help our
0:37:06 customers we launch the next next
0:37:06 wave of products that really
0:37:07 matter
0:37:10 but I think I felt similarly to be
0:37:11 honest like you know having done
0:37:13 fintech since I don’t know 2011
0:37:17 like people you know that felt
0:37:19 early you know to be investing then
0:37:21 and then it’s like okay everybody
0:37:22 like you know found out that this
0:37:24 thing existed everybody became a
0:37:26 fintech investor from you know 2019
0:37:27 to you know 2021 and then
0:37:28 everybody’s you know some of the
0:37:29 best fintech investors in the world
0:37:31 like came out on podcasts were like
0:37:33 fintech is dead yeah I’m like I
0:37:34 think it’s dead everyone should go
0:37:35 home except for
0:37:38 right exactly like all the people
0:37:39 that use it you guys can leave and
0:37:41 just stop investing in fintech we we
0:37:42 will continue the fintech team is
0:37:43 still here you know despite the uh
0:37:45 the naming conventions the rebrand the
0:37:48 rebrand um the brand is and uh I
0:37:49 think that’s that’s actually
0:37:51 benefited us you know and I mean
0:37:53 selfishly but but I think it’s it’s
0:37:54 tested the people like the true
0:37:56 believers and um yeah in some ways
0:37:57 it’s brought the community together
0:37:59 I would argue yeah and and you know
0:38:02 the the the tourists go home like the
0:38:03 like and we saw it on our team even
0:38:05 like there were people that joined
0:38:08 Plaid in 2020 when the the music was
0:38:09 loud and it seemed like the industry
0:38:11 to be in and you know then they then
0:38:13 they’ve they’ve gone and chased the
0:38:15 next trend and the next trend and um
0:38:16 well well we’ll miss them and they’re
0:38:19 nice people um the people now that
0:38:20 are focused on it are like these are
0:38:21 the people like who really want to
0:38:22 be here in the long term like they
0:38:25 deeply believe in the mission um and
0:38:26 you know they’re they’re in it in the
0:38:28 way that we all want to be in it feels
0:38:31 great where are we now in the in the
0:38:33 cycle how should we think about this
0:38:36 moment early to mid-spring I would say
0:38:38 we see like green shoots like lots of
0:38:39 emergence it’s been a pretty good year
0:38:41 for for many parts of fintech and it’s
0:38:43 been a shaky year for others I mean if
0:38:45 you look at the lending markets you know
0:38:47 it’s it’s not as bad as last year but
0:38:51 it’s not as good as it was and um uh there
0:38:52 are elements of the economy that are
0:38:55 pretty scary and parts of like a large
0:38:58 part of of consumer spending is being
0:38:59 propped up by a small number of people
0:39:00 and so like there are all these things
0:39:02 that are scary but for the most part um
0:39:04 you know you continue to see companies
0:39:05 that are building very solid products
0:39:08 um you do see like great uh startups
0:39:11 emerging um but they they look a little
0:39:12 different than they used to like they’re
0:39:14 thinking more responsibly about markets
0:39:15 in the long term like they’re more
0:39:17 thinking about uh you know profitability
0:39:19 and growth and um you’re also seeing
0:39:23 like the insanity of of of AI funding
0:39:25 uh go on kind of like in AI land and
0:39:26 some of it’s starting to bleed into
0:39:27 fintech because you’re seeing these like
0:39:29 fintech AI uh products start to come so
0:39:31 um I would say spring like lots of
0:39:33 green shoots lots of exciting stuff um
0:39:36 still some you know still some snow in
0:39:38 the background that’s snow snow melt is
0:39:41 still happening um uh but uh looking
0:39:43 pretty optimistic right now also okay so
0:39:45 let’s let’s let’s wrap on just what is
0:39:48 2026 and the near-term future look like
0:39:49 uh David how we’re approaching it easy
0:39:52 it still feels like we’re in early
0:39:54 innings you know uh even spring in in
0:39:57 AI land as well um uh you know so just
0:40:00 incredibly excited and enthusiastic by the
0:40:02 momentum we’re seeing you know for again
0:40:04 largely software companies selling into
0:40:05 financial institutions that’s kind of
0:40:07 been our orientation in the fintech
0:40:10 ecosystem um you know again I said on
0:40:12 the on the board of a company called
0:40:13 moment which we you know described
0:40:16 earlier that is uh now bringing some
0:40:17 largest wealth management platforms
0:40:19 online you’ll see them you know they
0:40:22 announced LPL we have another a number of
0:40:23 other large institutions that we’ll be
0:40:27 announcing uh early next year um you
0:40:28 know companies like modern five which
0:40:30 have built uh you know bank to bank
0:40:31 deposit marketplaces that are really
0:40:34 starting to to grow and see significant
0:40:36 volume in that in that network um and
0:40:39 again just more more broadly um you know
0:40:41 really excited by the opportunity for AI
0:40:43 to actually do the work you know within
0:40:46 within these institutions and and the
0:40:47 momentum and excitement you know you know
0:40:49 there to adopt you know new products
0:40:51 and I know we’re excited David there
0:40:52 there because there’s there’s such great
0:40:54 customers or because they’re so they’re
0:40:55 so underserved because they’re they’re
0:40:57 they’re finally transitioning or or why
0:40:59 have we narrowed in on on that focus as
0:41:00 one that we’re particularly excited about
0:41:03 I mean look the industry is still massive
0:41:05 right like if you if I look back at at
0:41:07 even just Goldman Sachs and I now use
0:41:09 them as a as an example often but like
0:41:12 the the entire firm was uh you know they
0:41:14 call the kind of middle and back office
0:41:16 the the federation you know again these
0:41:18 were were folks living in Excel largely
0:41:20 not using Excel as a modeling tool but
0:41:22 using Excel to track work and so there’s
0:41:24 just such opportunity to build amazing
0:41:26 software products to solve everything
0:41:29 from you know compliance to payments to
0:41:31 treasury management to again all of the
0:41:33 kind of uh you know manual work that
0:41:34 goes into making the financial services
0:41:38 industry tick um and I think AI is again
0:41:40 creating kind of a new window and wedge
0:41:43 opportunity for entrepreneurs to kind of
0:41:44 you know build software companies that
0:41:46 that couldn’t have existed years ago and
0:41:49 and again I think the the appetite you
0:41:50 know for adopting new products and new
0:41:52 software to solve some of those problems is
0:41:55 is more real than ever because again the
0:41:56 most senior people at these institutions
0:41:59 uh you know can intuitively understand the
0:42:00 impact that AI is having on their business
0:42:02 and so I think there’s just a lot more
0:42:04 conversation and momentum happening at the
0:42:07 board level um you know and and it’s
0:42:09 making the enterprise sort of sales cycles
0:42:10 you know for for many of even our early
0:42:12 stage companies happen a lot faster than
0:42:14 than I’ve seen in in you know my experience
0:42:16 you know investing in this space
0:42:19 Zach how about you and how you think about
0:42:20 things that things that plaid and more
0:42:20 broadly
0:42:24 we this past year launched as I said the
0:42:26 the anti-fraud suite on protect uh called
0:42:29 protect and um tons and tons of acceleration
0:42:32 behind that uh we launched a credit score
0:42:34 a modern consumer credit score that’s based
0:42:35 on your income your expenses the things that
0:42:37 you do in your daily life so score goes up
0:42:40 if you have a higher income uh your score
0:42:42 goes down if you start having way higher
0:42:44 personal expenses like the logical credit
0:42:45 score so we launched that it’s called
0:42:46 then score we launched that last year
0:42:48 like these two things are going to be major
0:42:50 drivers for us in the coming years so um
0:42:52 distributing this this this new version
0:42:54 of a credit score um into all the lenders
0:42:56 and then of course on the protect side
0:42:59 like helping fight this this ai driven
0:43:01 financial fraud that we’re seeing um and
0:43:02 then for us like you know we’re we’re we’re
0:43:04 back to back to like hiring and recruiting
0:43:08 and and growing and um so you know uh
0:43:09 despite the fact that fintech has been
0:43:10 through these waves like I still think that
0:43:12 plaid is like one of the most amazing
0:43:14 places to work please tell tell tell all
0:43:16 your friends um if you want to work with
0:43:17 big data if you want to have have a huge
0:43:20 huge impact on consumers lives um uh
0:43:22 again financial freedom is the the core
0:43:25 focus of uh of what we do um uh and then
0:43:27 uh you don’t you want to have an
0:43:28 opportunity we try to think of ourselves
0:43:31 as like the most consumer sorry the most
0:43:33 customer-centric employer where you know
0:43:35 we put engineers in the customer so
0:43:36 they’re actually talking to them like
0:43:38 um we think it’s an incredibly fun way
0:43:41 to work um uh so like not for deployed
0:43:42 engineering but for a deployed company
0:43:45 um so you know tell all your fans we’re
0:43:46 hiring lots of people and uh i think
0:43:47 it’s going to be a great 2026
0:43:51 zach david you guys are pioneers in in in
0:43:53 the in the space in the category and i can’t
0:43:55 wait to have you both back in 2030 and we
0:43:57 can talk about how the how the space has
0:43:58 evolved uh thanks so much let’s do it
0:44:00 sooner yeah that’s like so that’s so far
0:44:02 away exactly we don’t even wait you know
0:44:03 that’s true we don’t have to wait every
0:44:05 five years uh zach david thanks so much
0:44:06 thanks for coming to the podcast great
0:44:12 thanks for listening to this episode of
0:44:15 the a16z podcast if you like this episode be
0:44:17 sure to like comment subscribe leave us a
0:44:19 rating or review and share it with your
0:44:22 friends and family for more episodes go to
0:44:25 youtube apple podcast and spotify follow us
0:44:29 a16z and subscribe to our substack at
0:44:32 a16z.substack.com thanks again for listening and i’ll
0:44:33 see you in the next episode
0:44:36 as a reminder the content here is for
0:44:38 informational purposes only should not be
0:44:40 taken as legal business tax or investment
0:44:43 advice or be used to evaluate any investment
0:44:45 or security and is not directed at any
0:44:48 investors or potential investors in any a16z
0:44:50 please note that a16z and its affiliates
0:44:52 may also maintain investments in the companies
0:44:55 discussed in this podcast for more details
0:44:57 including a link to our investments please
0:45:00 see a16z.com forward slash disclosures

Fintech went from a full-blown surge to a near standstill in just two years. At its peak, about 25 percent of all venture dollars were pouring into the category. By late 2022, that number had collapsed to almost zero. In this conversation, a16z General Partner David Haber and Plaid cofounder and CEO Zach Perret unpack what actually happened during that cycle and why the market is heating up again.

We explore how the industry moved from the explosive growth of 2020 and 2021 into a deep freeze, and why we are now seeing real momentum return. We also dig into the forces reshaping fintech today: AI’s outsized impact on fraud and underwriting, incumbents finally embracing external software, the renewed importance of deposits, and the rise of embedded finance across entirely new categories.

Zach shares how Plaid has navigated these shifts, what the company is building now, and how he sees the next phase of fintech taking shape.

 

Resources:

Find Zach on X: https://x.com/zachperret

Find David on X: https://x.com/dhaber

 

Stay Updated:

If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to like, subscribe, and share with your friends!

Find a16z on X: https://twitter.com/a16z

Find a16z on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/a16z

Listen to the a16z Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5bC65RDvs3oxnLyqqvkUYX

Listen to the a16z Podcast on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a16z-podcast/id842818711

Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see http://a16z.com/disclosures

.

Stay Updated:

Find a16z on X

Find a16z on LinkedIn

Listen to the a16z Show on Spotify

Listen to the a16z Show on Apple Podcasts

Follow our host: https://twitter.com/eriktorenberg

 

Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures.

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Leave a Reply

a16z Podcasta16z Podcast
Let's Evolve Together
Logo