Author: The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway

  • Prof G Markets: Nvidia’s Blowout Earnings & Stock Split + Britain’s Damaged Economy

    Scott shares his thoughts on Nvidia’s incredible first quarter earnings and breaks down what its stock split means for investors. He and Ed then look at the UK’s upcoming election in light of the country’s struggling economy. Plus, they discuss some of the cultural differences they’ve experienced living in the US versus the UK. 

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  • No Mercy / No Malice: Bubble.ai

    As read by George Hahn.

    Bubble.ai

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  • Vulnerabilities in Space + Updates on the Wars in Ukraine and the Middle East— with David Ignatius

    David Ignatius, a prize-winning columnist for the Washington Post and bestselling author, joins Scott to discuss space warfare and the vulnerabilities of our satellite systems. We also get an update on the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East. David has been covering the latter for more than four decades. Follow him on X, @IgnatiusPost. And check out his latest novel, Phantom Orbit: A Thriller here

    Scott opens by giving us an update on his travels. He then shares his thoughts on OpenAI’s management shakeups and his fears about AI learning from the gnarly internet.

    Algebra of Happiness: rein in the drinking. 

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  • Is the Alternative Meats Era Over? Why Are Americans So Lonely? and Should I Practice Vulnerability at Work?

    Scott advises a listener in the alternative meats industry who is wondering if the bubble has burst. He then answers a question about car dependency in the U.S. and how it relates to loneliness. He wraps up with his thoughts on whether demonstrating vulnerability at work is inappropriate.

    Music: https://www.davidcuttermusic.com / @dcuttermusic

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  • Prof G Markets: GameStop & Market Manipulation + Is AI Becoming a Bubble, and Is Nvidia Safe?

    Scott shares his thoughts on the brief meme stock resurgence of last week and considers whether Keith Gill, otherwise known as Roaring Kitty, should be accused of market manipulation. Then Scott and Ed discuss xAI’s potential deal with Oracle and question if investments in AI could be reaching bubble territory. 

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  • No Mercy / No Malice: Earners vs Owners

    AI transcript
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    0:00:50 This episode is brought to you by FX’s Dying for Sex on Disney+.
    0:00:52 Based on the podcast of the same name,
    0:00:55 Dying for Sex tells the story of Molly,
    0:00:57 who is diagnosed with stage 4 breast cancer.
    0:01:01 Determined to feel everything she can before she can’t feel anything,
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    0:01:12 FX’s Dying for Sex, now streaming only on Disney+.
    0:01:20 I’m Scott Galloway, and this is No Mercy, No Malice.
    0:01:24 We talk about tax policy through the lens of rich versus poor.
    0:01:29 We should also discuss earners versus owners.
    0:01:33 Earners versus owners, as read by George Hahn.
    0:01:46 It’s tax season in the U.S.
    0:01:50 60 million-plus Americans’ taxes are so simple,
    0:01:53 the IRS could process them automatically
    0:01:55 and just send a bill or refund check.
    0:02:00 Instead, the average American spends $270 and 13 hours
    0:02:02 filing their taxes each year.
    0:02:07 Spoiler alert, the IRS is the least popular federal agency.
    0:02:11 Last month, Doge came for the tax man.
    0:02:16 Half the IRS workforce, 90,000 people in total,
    0:02:18 is reportedly on the Green Mile.
    0:02:22 Meanwhile, Republicans in Congress are inching closer
    0:02:25 to extending Trump’s 2017 tax cuts.
    0:02:30 This is good news for the wealthy, i.e., owners.
    0:02:36 Lowering tax rates and decimating IRS enforcement capabilities
    0:02:37 is stupid.
    0:02:42 We get $12 back for every $1 given to the agency.
    0:02:44 But it’s only a misdirect.
    0:02:47 We talk about taxes and enforcement
    0:02:50 when the real juice is the tax code.
    0:02:55 Our tax code exacts a high price on earners.
    0:02:56 And the price is even higher
    0:02:59 when enforcement is rendered a paper tiger,
    0:03:02 as the shortfall is either added to the debt
    0:03:05 or used as a pretext for cutting Medicare,
    0:03:08 Medicaid, Social Security, and other programs.
    0:03:11 As Warren Buffett once said,
    0:03:14 there is class warfare in America.
    0:03:15 Quote,
    0:03:24 This post was originally published last May,
    0:03:26 but the war remains the same.
    0:03:28 Owners are crushing it.
    0:03:30 Earners are getting crushed.
    0:03:32 And the battlefield,
    0:03:34 a.k.a. the U.S. tax code,
    0:03:38 continues to be a weapon of mass distraction.
    0:03:46 Over the past several decades,
    0:03:49 America has waged a covert war against the young.
    0:03:53 One front in this war is our income tax system,
    0:03:56 which favors owners over earners.
    0:03:59 Young people are almost all earners,
    0:04:01 while owners are typically older.
    0:04:05 And the tax code is a wealth transfer vehicle for owners
    0:04:09 to garner a greater share of our common wealth.
    0:04:10 The good news?
    0:04:11 It can be changed.
    0:04:12 Back.
    0:04:15 If you get a paycheck,
    0:04:17 whether it’s salary or freelance,
    0:04:19 and that’s how you pay your bills,
    0:04:20 you’re an earner.
    0:04:22 Owners, on the other hand,
    0:04:24 might collect wage income,
    0:04:27 but their real money comes through profits from investments,
    0:04:29 stock sales and dividends,
    0:04:31 rent from property,
    0:04:35 and other income streams derived from the ownership of assets.
    0:04:38 To be an earner is noble.
    0:04:39 You work for a living,
    0:04:41 and labor is a sacred thing.
    0:04:44 Labor is the source of food,
    0:04:45 shelter, entertainment,
    0:04:47 and every material pleasure of society.
    0:04:50 We even celebrate it with a holiday,
    0:04:52 the first Monday in September.
    0:04:53 Pro tip,
    0:04:56 if you want to celebrate Labor Day somewhere awesome,
    0:04:59 try as hard as you can to become an owner.
    0:05:02 Owners also get a celebratory day.
    0:05:05 It’s April 15th.
    0:05:06 Another pro tip,
    0:05:10 if you’re ever featured in a commercial calling you a hero,
    0:05:12 it means you’re getting fucked.
    0:05:16 The most fortunate in our society have no holiday,
    0:05:17 as they don’t need one.
    0:05:23 They recognize that holidays wallpaper over the inequity faced by anybody who gets a day in their honor.
    0:05:28 Income taxes for earners are deceptively straightforward.
    0:05:31 Take your annual income,
    0:05:33 subtract the standard deduction,
    0:05:36 $24,000 for a married couple,
    0:05:38 make a few other calculations,
    0:05:42 and then pay a percentage of what’s left to Uncle Sam.
    0:05:45 And the income tax rates for most people are low.
    0:05:50 A two-adult household making less than $100,000 per year
    0:05:54 pays 10% or less in federal income tax.
    0:05:57 Many pay much less or none at all.
    0:05:59 Sounds reasonable, right?
    0:06:01 But there’s a catch.
    0:06:04 Several catches.
    0:06:06 First,
    0:06:12 for those paying only 10% or less of their wages in income taxes,
    0:06:15 other forms of tax are a heavier burden.
    0:06:17 At the federal level,
    0:06:21 Social Security and Medicare add almost 8%.
    0:06:24 Then all states collect taxes,
    0:06:27 and most state tax systems are regressive.
    0:06:29 All told,
    0:06:35 lower-income people pay a greater portion of their income in taxes than many rich people.
    0:06:37 Sales tax,
    0:06:38 property tax,
    0:06:40 and other government revenue sources,
    0:06:42 licensing fees,
    0:06:43 permits and filing fees,
    0:06:44 and car registrations,
    0:06:48 take a larger bite out of lower-income households.
    0:06:51 In low-tax Florida,
    0:06:52 the most regressive state,
    0:06:54 low-income families,
    0:06:55 earners,
    0:06:59 pay 13.2% of their income in state and local taxes.
    0:07:02 The middle class pays 9.1%,
    0:07:03 and the top 1%,
    0:07:04 and the top 1%,
    0:07:07 and the top 1% owners pays just 2.7%.
    0:07:09 In fact,
    0:07:18 lower- and middle-income Florida households pay about the same in total taxes as they would in high-tax California.
    0:07:24 The next time you hear someone complain about low-income people who don’t pay any taxes,
    0:07:28 remind them that income tax doesn’t exist in a vacuum.
    0:07:35 Low-income people often pay over 25% of their income in taxes.
    0:07:41 There’s a myth that the rich don’t pay their fair share of taxes.
    0:07:44 The reality is most rich people,
    0:07:45 the super-earners,
    0:07:48 pay more than their fair share.
    0:07:52 A married household making more than $500,000 per year
    0:07:56 is in the top 5% of households by income
    0:08:00 and pays an effective federal income tax rate around 25%.
    0:08:03 Half a million dollars may seem like a lot,
    0:08:09 but careers that pay that well require expensive college and graduate degrees,
    0:08:11 entail long hours,
    0:08:13 offer little job security,
    0:08:15 and they’re typically in high-cost-of-living locations
    0:08:18 with high state income tax.
    0:08:20 In New York or California,
    0:08:23 add another 10% onto that 25%.
    0:08:25 With other taxes,
    0:08:27 including sales tax,
    0:08:31 the total tax burden borne by mid-career professionals
    0:08:33 can reach 40% of their income.
    0:08:35 The baller,
    0:08:37 who makes seven figures plus,
    0:08:39 is often working for the government.
    0:08:42 Their total effective tax burden
    0:08:44 can approach 50%.
    0:08:46 Until, that is,
    0:08:48 they can make the jump to light speed,
    0:08:51 i.e. become an owner.
    0:08:55 Think of building wealth
    0:08:57 as launching a rocket ship into orbit.
    0:09:01 Rockets burn 95% of their fuel
    0:09:03 to escape Earth’s soupy atmosphere
    0:09:05 and incessant gravity.
    0:09:07 Once you get to orbit,
    0:09:09 you’re a master of the universe,
    0:09:10 covering thousands of miles
    0:09:12 with just a touch of propulsion.
    0:09:14 Wealth is similar.
    0:09:16 The atmosphere is your expenses.
    0:09:18 The distance traveled,
    0:09:19 your income.
    0:09:23 Most of us never generate enough current income
    0:09:25 to make the jump to space
    0:09:26 and become an owner.
    0:09:28 Save enough to invest
    0:09:30 so our primary sources of income
    0:09:31 are passive.
    0:09:33 Saving your first $100,000
    0:09:35 is incredibly hard.
    0:09:37 The next $100,000
    0:09:38 is tough,
    0:09:40 but you now have momentum
    0:09:43 and start to see the curvature of the Earth.
    0:09:45 Once your current income
    0:09:46 is substantially greater
    0:09:47 than your expenses
    0:09:49 and you’ve deployed
    0:09:50 an army of capital
    0:09:51 that fights for you
    0:09:52 and your family in your sleep,
    0:09:54 you’ve made the jump.
    0:09:57 What we’ve done with the tax code
    0:09:59 has rendered the atmosphere
    0:10:01 thicker and gravity stronger.
    0:10:03 Go to law or medical school
    0:10:04 or live at the office
    0:10:05 and you’ll see
    0:10:07 your current income increase,
    0:10:09 but you’ll also lose
    0:10:11 a bigger share to taxes
    0:10:14 and the harder it gets to save
    0:10:15 and escape the gravity
    0:10:17 of being an earner.
    0:10:21 Imagine if taxes worked like this.
    0:10:23 Everything you spend
    0:10:24 that’s remotely related to work
    0:10:26 is deducted from your taxable income.
    0:10:28 Clothes you wear
    0:10:29 and food you eat
    0:10:30 during the work week,
    0:10:30 your car,
    0:10:32 your internet and cell phone bills,
    0:10:34 furniture and square footage
    0:10:35 where you work at home,
    0:10:36 like the kitchen table,
    0:10:36 et cetera,
    0:10:38 all taken off your income
    0:10:39 before taxes.
    0:10:42 Pretty much anything you do
    0:10:43 on days you’re working,
    0:10:44 deductible.
    0:10:46 All past investments
    0:10:47 in education,
    0:10:48 deductible.
    0:10:50 If you spent more
    0:10:51 than you earned
    0:10:52 as you did in college
    0:10:53 and graduate schools,
    0:10:55 you can roll over those losses
    0:10:56 as deductions
    0:10:57 in future years.
    0:10:59 In the meantime,
    0:11:00 deduct any credit card interest
    0:11:01 you’re paying.
    0:11:03 Any money you don’t spend,
    0:11:04 that’s not taxed
    0:11:05 until you retire
    0:11:06 and start spending it.
    0:11:08 If you give it to your kids,
    0:11:10 it’s never taxed at all.
    0:11:13 If this sounds familiar
    0:11:14 but awkward,
    0:11:15 it is.
    0:11:17 It’s our tax code
    0:11:19 through the lens
    0:11:20 of the owner.
    0:11:23 The Federal Income Tax Code
    0:11:24 looks progressive.
    0:11:26 The highest marginal tax rate
    0:11:27 is 37%,
    0:11:29 more than three times
    0:11:31 what the average American pays.
    0:11:33 But the published tax rates
    0:11:35 are a weapon
    0:11:36 of mass distraction.
    0:11:39 They are the rack rate
    0:11:40 published on the door
    0:11:41 of your hotel room.
    0:11:42 Owners never pay
    0:11:43 the rack rate.
    0:11:45 They barely pay at all.
    0:11:48 Unlike earners’ taxes,
    0:11:49 owners’ taxes
    0:11:51 are complex.
    0:11:52 As a result,
    0:11:54 determining the total tax burden
    0:11:55 of the very wealthy
    0:11:55 is difficult.
    0:11:57 But here’s what we know.
    0:11:59 In 2020,
    0:12:02 the 26,000 households
    0:12:02 with an income
    0:12:03 over $10 million
    0:12:06 paid 25.5%
    0:12:08 of their reported income
    0:12:10 in federal taxes,
    0:12:12 plus 5% to 10%
    0:12:14 in state and local taxes.
    0:12:17 But as I’m about to explain,
    0:12:19 much of the cash they received
    0:12:21 isn’t taxable income,
    0:12:22 and most of the increase
    0:12:24 in owners’ wealth
    0:12:25 is never taxed at all.
    0:12:27 The White House
    0:12:28 has estimated
    0:12:30 that the 400 wealthiest
    0:12:30 households
    0:12:31 pay an effective
    0:12:32 income tax rate
    0:12:35 of just 8.2%.
    0:12:37 And ProPublica found
    0:12:38 that the wealthiest
    0:12:39 25 households
    0:12:42 pay just 3.4%.
    0:12:44 We can’t say for sure
    0:12:45 what percent owners
    0:12:46 pay on average,
    0:12:48 but it’s less than most
    0:12:50 of their employees pay.
    0:12:52 This complexity
    0:12:53 results in a transfer
    0:12:54 of wealth
    0:12:55 from earners
    0:12:56 to owners.
    0:12:58 The tax code
    0:12:59 has exploded
    0:13:01 from 400
    0:13:03 to 4,000 pages
    0:13:05 in the past few decades.
    0:13:07 If you have GPS,
    0:13:08 advisors,
    0:13:10 loopholes for the wealthy,
    0:13:11 you want races
    0:13:13 run at night.
    0:13:15 If the government
    0:13:16 is meant
    0:13:17 to decrease suffering
    0:13:18 and add happiness,
    0:13:20 then our current system
    0:13:21 makes no sense.
    0:13:23 paying taxes
    0:13:24 of $5 million
    0:13:25 on $10 million
    0:13:26 in income
    0:13:27 is the difference
    0:13:28 between flying
    0:13:29 first class
    0:13:30 and flying private.
    0:13:32 Paying $15,000
    0:13:34 on $60,000
    0:13:35 in income
    0:13:36 might mean
    0:13:36 foregoing
    0:13:38 a second child.
    0:13:40 Capitalism means
    0:13:42 accepting a society
    0:13:42 of winners
    0:13:43 and losers.
    0:13:44 And that’s okay.
    0:13:46 Wealth is a great reward
    0:13:47 for hard work,
    0:13:48 and talent
    0:13:49 is what drives us
    0:13:50 to create value.
    0:13:52 And capitalism
    0:13:53 has brought prosperity
    0:13:54 to billions
    0:13:55 over the past
    0:13:56 150 years.
    0:13:58 The problem
    0:13:59 is the system,
    0:14:01 if left unchecked,
    0:14:02 becomes increasingly
    0:14:03 inequitable
    0:14:04 and unsustainable.
    0:14:06 We’ve morphed
    0:14:07 from capitalism
    0:14:09 to cronyism
    0:14:10 rigged
    0:14:10 in favor
    0:14:11 of owners.
    0:14:12 How?
    0:14:14 Three ways.
    0:14:16 Calculation,
    0:14:18 timing,
    0:14:19 and collection.
    0:14:22 Calculation.
    0:14:23 Amateurs focus
    0:14:24 on tax rates.
    0:14:25 Professionals
    0:14:26 zero in
    0:14:27 on the calculation
    0:14:28 of the income
    0:14:28 to which
    0:14:29 those rates
    0:14:30 apply.
    0:14:32 In the 1950s,
    0:14:32 the highest
    0:14:33 federal income
    0:14:34 tax bracket
    0:14:35 was 91%,
    0:14:37 except nobody
    0:14:37 paid it.
    0:14:39 The tax code
    0:14:40 was a mosaic
    0:14:41 of loopholes,
    0:14:42 ensuring high-income
    0:14:43 taxpayers were able
    0:14:44 to shield
    0:14:45 most of their income.
    0:14:47 Now the top rate
    0:14:48 is 37%,
    0:14:49 but while the colors
    0:14:50 and fabric
    0:14:51 have changed,
    0:14:53 the owner’s tapestry
    0:14:54 of tax avoidance
    0:14:55 still exists.
    0:14:58 Owners receive cash
    0:14:59 from a range
    0:15:00 of sources.
    0:15:01 Rent from tenants,
    0:15:03 dividends from stock,
    0:15:04 interest from loans,
    0:15:06 distributions from trusts,
    0:15:07 profits from investment
    0:15:08 partnerships,
    0:15:09 loans and lines
    0:15:10 of credit from banks,
    0:15:11 proceeds from asset
    0:15:12 sales,
    0:15:13 and more.
    0:15:15 Much of this income
    0:15:16 is shielded by pages
    0:15:18 of tax code defining
    0:15:19 what is and is not
    0:15:20 taxable.
    0:15:23 Owners who invest
    0:15:24 in the oil business
    0:15:25 leverage tax code
    0:15:26 provisions
    0:15:28 Section 263,
    0:15:30 intangible drilling costs,
    0:15:31 Section 613,
    0:15:33 percentage depletion,
    0:15:35 Section 611,
    0:15:37 cost depletion,
    0:15:39 Section 167,
    0:15:41 geological expenses,
    0:15:43 Section 199,
    0:15:45 domestic production
    0:15:46 deduction,
    0:15:49 Section 193,
    0:15:51 tertiary injectant
    0:15:52 expenses,
    0:15:55 and Section 469,
    0:15:57 active losses.
    0:15:59 That’s just one industry.
    0:16:03 entrepreneurs are barely
    0:16:04 visible to the treasury
    0:16:06 standing behind the tax code.
    0:16:09 Section 1202
    0:16:10 excludes the first
    0:16:11 $10 million
    0:16:13 received in the sale
    0:16:13 of a business,
    0:16:15 a provision that saved
    0:16:16 me millions of dollars
    0:16:17 when I sold my firm
    0:16:18 L2
    0:16:19 several years ago.
    0:16:21 When working at the firm,
    0:16:22 earning,
    0:16:23 I was paying
    0:16:25 40-plus percent taxes.
    0:16:27 But when I sold the business,
    0:16:29 my tax rate on the proceeds,
    0:16:30 owning,
    0:16:32 was 17%.
    0:16:35 Even before selling,
    0:16:36 every small business owner
    0:16:38 gets an enormous shield,
    0:16:40 the power to push
    0:16:42 all manner of personal expenses
    0:16:43 through the company
    0:16:44 income statement,
    0:16:45 thus making them
    0:16:46 tax deductions
    0:16:47 for the business
    0:16:48 rather than taxable
    0:16:50 income for the owner.
    0:16:53 Income that’s acquired
    0:16:54 by selling an asset
    0:16:56 for more than you paid for it
    0:16:58 is a capital gain
    0:16:59 and isn’t subject
    0:17:01 to ordinary income tax rates.
    0:17:03 Capital gains rates,
    0:17:04 federal,
    0:17:06 max out at 23.8%
    0:17:08 instead of 37%.
    0:17:09 That’s still not
    0:17:10 the biggest loophole.
    0:17:12 Capital gains are only taxed
    0:17:14 when realized,
    0:17:15 typically when sold,
    0:17:16 so owners’ assets
    0:17:18 grow tax-deferred,
    0:17:20 some you can depreciate
    0:17:22 as they go up in value,
    0:17:23 and their sales
    0:17:24 are timed
    0:17:25 to minimize taxes.
    0:17:27 Earners lose
    0:17:30 20% to 50%
    0:17:30 of their gains
    0:17:31 from sweat
    0:17:32 every year,
    0:17:34 a massive
    0:17:35 gravitational pull.
    0:17:36 Owners
    0:17:38 enjoy cleaner propulsion.
    0:17:40 as their wealth grows,
    0:17:42 the taxes are deferred
    0:17:43 until they sell,
    0:17:45 if they ever do.
    0:17:47 But wait,
    0:17:48 there’s more.
    0:17:50 The biggest tax break
    0:17:51 owners can register
    0:17:52 is dying,
    0:17:54 which resets
    0:17:55 the basis
    0:17:57 of their assets,
    0:17:58 so their heirs
    0:17:59 never pay taxes
    0:18:00 on the increase
    0:18:01 in value.
    0:18:02 Still,
    0:18:04 there’s more.
    0:18:06 The most indefensible
    0:18:07 loophole award
    0:18:08 goes to
    0:18:09 the Carried
    0:18:10 Interest
    0:18:11 Loophole,
    0:18:12 which permits
    0:18:13 investment fund managers
    0:18:15 to pay capital gains
    0:18:16 rates on their
    0:18:16 compensation.
    0:18:19 Tax policy groups
    0:18:20 have been lobbying
    0:18:21 to close this loophole
    0:18:22 for years,
    0:18:23 and Congress
    0:18:24 nearly did it
    0:18:25 in 2022,
    0:18:26 but Senator
    0:18:27 Kyrsten Sinema
    0:18:29 took $2 million
    0:18:30 from the private
    0:18:31 equity industry,
    0:18:32 a.k.a.
    0:18:32 owners,
    0:18:33 and saved
    0:18:35 their $14 billion
    0:18:36 loophole.
    0:18:38 It’s well known
    0:18:38 that our leaders
    0:18:39 are whores.
    0:18:41 What’s more surprising
    0:18:42 and disappointing
    0:18:43 is what cheap
    0:18:44 whores they are.
    0:18:46 $2 million
    0:18:48 for $14 billion?
    0:18:50 But I digress.
    0:18:52 Owners
    0:18:54 are so tax-advantaged
    0:18:55 that if they do
    0:18:56 have earned income,
    0:18:57 they often shield
    0:18:58 that from taxation
    0:18:59 as well.
    0:19:00 Donald Trump
    0:19:01 paid virtually
    0:19:03 no income taxes
    0:19:05 on the $427 million
    0:19:05 he made
    0:19:06 from The Apprentice
    0:19:08 where he had
    0:19:09 an actual job
    0:19:10 by offsetting
    0:19:11 that cash income
    0:19:12 with paper losses
    0:19:13 on his real estate
    0:19:14 properties.
    0:19:15 Real estate
    0:19:16 is another
    0:19:16 of the most
    0:19:17 tax-advantaged
    0:19:18 industries.
    0:19:20 In 2007,
    0:19:21 Jeff Bezos
    0:19:23 made $46 million
    0:19:24 in actual income,
    0:19:26 yet he paid
    0:19:27 zero dollars
    0:19:28 in federal income tax
    0:19:29 because he was able
    0:19:31 to shield that income
    0:19:32 with paper losses
    0:19:33 as an owner.
    0:19:34 In reality,
    0:19:36 his wealth increased
    0:19:37 $3.8 billion
    0:19:38 that year.
    0:19:40 In 2011,
    0:19:42 not only did Bezos
    0:19:44 pay no income tax
    0:19:44 again,
    0:19:46 he claimed
    0:19:47 and received
    0:19:49 a $4,000
    0:19:51 child tax credit,
    0:19:53 a program intended
    0:19:54 to lower child poverty.
    0:19:56 If you paid
    0:19:57 federal income tax
    0:19:58 in 2011,
    0:19:59 you helped feed
    0:20:00 Jeff Bezos’ kids.
    0:20:02 Don’t worry.
    0:20:03 He’s fine.
    0:20:05 Timing.
    0:20:06 A key advantage
    0:20:07 of control
    0:20:08 over timing
    0:20:09 is state income tax
    0:20:10 arbitrage,
    0:20:12 practiced often
    0:20:13 by company founders.
    0:20:15 Several years ago,
    0:20:16 the media discovered
    0:20:17 the phenomenon
    0:20:18 of California
    0:20:18 entrepreneurs
    0:20:20 moving to Texas
    0:20:20 and Florida,
    0:20:21 and there was
    0:20:22 a lot of jazz hands
    0:20:23 about those states’
    0:20:25 friendly business climates
    0:20:26 and youthful energy.
    0:20:27 The truth
    0:20:28 was simpler.
    0:20:31 Texas and Florida
    0:20:32 have no state income tax
    0:20:34 and many of those founders
    0:20:35 were about to recognize
    0:20:37 enormous gains
    0:20:38 via sales of stock
    0:20:39 that had become
    0:20:40 worth billions.
    0:20:42 Elon Musk,
    0:20:44 who moved to Texas
    0:20:45 in 2020,
    0:20:46 sold millions
    0:20:46 of shares
    0:20:47 of Tesla,
    0:20:49 saving an estimated
    0:20:50 $2.5 billion
    0:20:52 in California
    0:20:53 income tax.
    0:20:56 When Washington State
    0:20:57 enacted a tax
    0:20:58 on income
    0:20:59 from asset sales,
    0:21:00 Jeff Bezos
    0:21:01 decided to spend
    0:21:02 more time
    0:21:03 with his father
    0:21:03 in Florida,
    0:21:05 which has no income tax,
    0:21:06 and sold
    0:21:07 50 million shares
    0:21:08 of Amazon
    0:21:10 after he relocated.
    0:21:12 If taking advantage
    0:21:13 of Washington’s
    0:21:14 schools,
    0:21:14 roads,
    0:21:16 and tech ecosystem
    0:21:17 to build wealth
    0:21:18 and then declining
    0:21:19 to pay taxes
    0:21:20 back to the state
    0:21:21 sounds wrong,
    0:21:22 and a massive
    0:21:23 additional burden
    0:21:24 on middle-class taxpayers
    0:21:25 who can’t peace out
    0:21:26 to Coral Gables,
    0:21:29 trust your instincts.
    0:21:32 The best time
    0:21:33 to pay taxes
    0:21:34 is never,
    0:21:36 using the infamous
    0:21:36 buy,
    0:21:37 borrow,
    0:21:39 die tax strategy.
    0:21:41 Wealthy owners
    0:21:42 take out loans
    0:21:43 secured by assets
    0:21:45 such as company stock
    0:21:46 or real estate
    0:21:48 and live off the loans
    0:21:48 which are not
    0:21:50 considered taxable income
    0:21:51 instead of selling
    0:21:52 the assets
    0:21:53 which would incur
    0:21:54 a taxable gain.
    0:21:56 When the owner dies,
    0:21:57 the stock goes
    0:21:58 to their heirs
    0:21:59 who,
    0:21:59 with their
    0:22:01 stepped-up basis,
    0:22:03 can sell enough
    0:22:04 stock tax-free
    0:22:06 to pay off the loans
    0:22:07 and start the cycle
    0:22:08 anew.
    0:22:09 This creates
    0:22:11 dynastic wealth,
    0:22:12 the lack of which
    0:22:13 used to be a key point
    0:22:14 of differentiation
    0:22:15 between Europe
    0:22:16 and the U.S.
    0:22:18 Used to be.
    0:22:21 Collection.
    0:22:23 All of these strategies
    0:22:24 are legal
    0:22:25 and enabled
    0:22:26 by the complexity
    0:22:27 of the tax code.
    0:22:28 But that complexity
    0:22:30 also affords owners
    0:22:31 another means
    0:22:32 of avoidance.
    0:22:33 Cheating.
    0:22:36 Skirting taxes
    0:22:37 stems from the complexity
    0:22:39 of the tax code itself.
    0:22:41 Wealthy filers
    0:22:42 can take deductions
    0:22:43 that don’t apply
    0:22:44 or classify income
    0:22:46 in inappropriate ways.
    0:22:48 And without an exhaustive
    0:22:49 analysis of the facts,
    0:22:51 there’s no way
    0:22:52 for the IRS
    0:22:52 to determine
    0:22:53 what they’ve done.
    0:22:55 Some of the losses
    0:22:56 Trump used
    0:22:57 to offset his income
    0:22:58 from The Apprentice
    0:23:00 may have been illegal.
    0:23:02 The IRS believes
    0:23:02 he claimed
    0:23:03 hundreds of millions
    0:23:04 of losses
    0:23:05 on a Chicago
    0:23:06 real estate project
    0:23:07 twice,
    0:23:09 burying the double dip
    0:23:10 under a mountain
    0:23:11 of tax paperwork
    0:23:12 so tall
    0:23:13 it’s taken the IRS
    0:23:14 a decade
    0:23:15 to dig through it.
    0:23:17 Owners can also
    0:23:18 choose to cheat
    0:23:19 bluntly,
    0:23:20 failing to report
    0:23:21 substantial income
    0:23:22 and making up
    0:23:23 fake expenses
    0:23:24 and losses.
    0:23:25 This was New York
    0:23:26 hotelier Leona
    0:23:28 Helmsley’s strategy.
    0:23:30 Before going to prison
    0:23:31 for tax evasion,
    0:23:32 she told her housekeeper,
    0:23:33 quote,
    0:23:39 Offshore entities
    0:23:41 are a time-honored
    0:23:42 strategy for tax evasion.
    0:23:44 Trump’s campaign manager,
    0:23:45 Paul Manafort,
    0:23:47 concealed $16.5 million
    0:23:48 in income
    0:23:49 from the IRS
    0:23:50 in foreign bank accounts.
    0:23:53 The Treasury’s analysis
    0:23:56 suggests $600 billion
    0:23:58 in owed taxes
    0:24:00 are not paid
    0:24:01 every year,
    0:24:02 equivalent to the
    0:24:03 total income taxes
    0:24:05 paid by the lowest
    0:24:06 earning 90%
    0:24:07 of taxpayers.
    0:24:10 The avoidance
    0:24:11 is solely the domain
    0:24:13 of ownership income.
    0:24:16 99% of the taxes
    0:24:17 owed on wages
    0:24:18 get paid.
    0:24:20 Owners can do this
    0:24:21 because Congress
    0:24:23 has starved the IRS
    0:24:23 of funding
    0:24:25 and the agency audits
    0:24:27 fewer and fewer returns
    0:24:28 each year.
    0:24:32 remedying these inequities
    0:24:33 is nowhere near
    0:24:34 as difficult
    0:24:35 as it would be
    0:24:35 to address many
    0:24:37 of the other challenges
    0:24:38 facing America.
    0:24:39 The most obvious
    0:24:41 and glaring remedy
    0:24:42 is to fund the IRS,
    0:24:44 enabling it to collect
    0:24:46 hundreds of billions
    0:24:46 in taxes
    0:24:48 owed but not paid.
    0:24:51 The Inflation Reduction Act
    0:24:52 was supposed to allocate
    0:24:54 $80 billion to the IRS
    0:24:56 over the next 10 years,
    0:24:56 but Republicans
    0:24:58 have attacked the measure,
    0:24:59 cutting $20 billion
    0:25:01 from the plan
    0:25:02 and keeping the IRS
    0:25:04 budget flat in 2024.
    0:25:07 Every $1 invested
    0:25:08 in tax enforcement
    0:25:10 targeting the wealthy
    0:25:13 returns $12 in revenue.
    0:25:15 To be clear,
    0:25:17 this isn’t harassment,
    0:25:19 but enforcement.
    0:25:21 Most externalities
    0:25:23 are a function of incentives,
    0:25:24 and the government
    0:25:26 has incentivized owners
    0:25:27 to be incredibly aggressive
    0:25:29 on their tax returns
    0:25:30 as there is little chance
    0:25:31 they’ll get caught.
    0:25:33 If you were on a highway
    0:25:34 with no police,
    0:25:36 would you speed?
    0:25:40 Eliminating the special treatment
    0:25:41 given to capital gains
    0:25:42 is a simple fix
    0:25:43 that would increase
    0:25:44 tax revenue
    0:25:45 without increasing
    0:25:46 the tax burden
    0:25:47 of most Americans,
    0:25:49 reduce the incentive
    0:25:50 to cheat
    0:25:51 through misclassification,
    0:25:53 and make the tax system
    0:25:54 more fair.
    0:25:56 So would eliminating
    0:25:58 the step-up basis
    0:25:59 upon inheritance,
    0:26:00 which wipes away
    0:26:02 billions in taxes
    0:26:03 owed by the wealthiest people
    0:26:05 with little justification
    0:26:06 or social benefit.
    0:26:08 We should remove
    0:26:09 the income gap
    0:26:11 on Social Security tax,
    0:26:13 currently a paltry $160,000,
    0:26:16 which would help shore up
    0:26:17 the Social Security trust fund
    0:26:19 and make the tax code,
    0:26:20 not rates,
    0:26:22 more progressive.
    0:26:24 We should restore
    0:26:26 the highest marginal tax rate
    0:26:27 for owners
    0:26:28 to 40%.
    0:26:31 Biden and Congressional Democrats
    0:26:32 have proposed
    0:26:33 all of these changes
    0:26:34 in recent years,
    0:26:36 but to no avail.
    0:26:38 Since ownership
    0:26:39 carries with it
    0:26:41 some inherent tax advantages,
    0:26:43 a transaction tax
    0:26:45 would raise revenue
    0:26:45 from ownership
    0:26:47 in a fair manner.
    0:26:49 Numerous proposals,
    0:26:50 including one
    0:26:51 from Mike Bloomberg,
    0:26:53 for a 0.1% tax
    0:26:55 on securities trades
    0:26:57 and other financial transactions
    0:26:58 could raise nearly
    0:27:01 $80 billion per year,
    0:27:03 with the potential side benefit
    0:27:05 of damping high-frequency trading,
    0:27:07 which adds volatility
    0:27:08 without benefit
    0:27:09 to the markets.
    0:27:11 We should also levy
    0:27:12 a compute tax
    0:27:14 on cloud and AI services,
    0:27:16 as the wealth created
    0:27:17 by these innovations
    0:27:19 is accruing mainly
    0:27:20 to the wealthiest owners.
    0:27:23 Compute is the new energy,
    0:27:25 and this is a chance
    0:27:26 to avoid the mistakes
    0:27:27 of fossil fuels,
    0:27:28 where we give tax breaks
    0:27:29 to owners
    0:27:30 and stick earners
    0:27:32 with gas taxes,
    0:27:33 among the most
    0:27:35 regressive surcharges
    0:27:36 in our system.
    0:27:38 Finally,
    0:27:39 and most
    0:27:41 transformationally,
    0:27:43 Congress should take
    0:27:44 a chainsaw
    0:27:45 to the tax code,
    0:27:47 cutting the thousands
    0:27:47 of handouts
    0:27:49 to the ownership class
    0:27:49 that have been
    0:27:51 stuffed into it
    0:27:52 by lobbyists.
    0:27:54 Theoretically,
    0:27:55 finding the political will
    0:27:56 shouldn’t be difficult,
    0:27:57 as the majority
    0:27:58 of Americans
    0:27:59 are getting screwed
    0:28:00 by lawmakers
    0:28:01 representing a small number
    0:28:03 of their fellow citizens.
    0:28:04 Ironically,
    0:28:06 the Trump tax cuts
    0:28:07 paved the way
    0:28:08 for this change.
    0:28:09 By doubling
    0:28:11 the standard deduction,
    0:28:12 Trump ensured
    0:28:13 that just 10%
    0:28:14 of taxpayers
    0:28:15 take any
    0:28:17 itemized deductions,
    0:28:19 meaning 90%
    0:28:20 of voters
    0:28:21 should support
    0:28:21 eliminating
    0:28:22 the rest
    0:28:22 of them.
    0:28:24 Still,
    0:28:25 it may be a challenge,
    0:28:26 as the most
    0:28:28 valuable asset
    0:28:29 owners own
    0:28:30 is Congress.
    0:28:33 We should reinvest
    0:28:34 some of the hundreds
    0:28:35 of billions
    0:28:35 of dollars
    0:28:36 per year
    0:28:37 gained by
    0:28:38 these changes
    0:28:39 to make the system
    0:28:41 fairer for earners,
    0:28:41 i.e.,
    0:28:42 the young.
    0:28:44 Expand
    0:28:45 the child tax credit
    0:28:46 and the earned
    0:28:47 income tax credit
    0:28:49 and raise the floor
    0:28:49 required to pay
    0:28:51 any tax at all.
    0:28:52 Currently,
    0:28:52 it’s set
    0:28:53 by the standard
    0:28:54 deduction
    0:28:56 at $14,600
    0:28:57 or $29,200
    0:28:59 for single
    0:28:59 or married
    0:29:00 households.
    0:29:02 That would shield
    0:29:03 more lower-income
    0:29:04 households
    0:29:04 from federal
    0:29:05 income tax
    0:29:06 and reduce
    0:29:07 the impact
    0:29:08 of regressive
    0:29:09 state and local
    0:29:09 taxes.
    0:29:11 Lower the rates
    0:29:12 paid by higher
    0:29:14 but not highest
    0:29:15 income taxpayers.
    0:29:16 The professionals
    0:29:17 and entrepreneurs
    0:29:19 who 60-hour-a-week
    0:29:20 climb up the
    0:29:21 professional ladder
    0:29:21 shouldn’t be
    0:29:22 rewarded
    0:29:23 with a 45%
    0:29:24 tax burden.
    0:29:26 This will make
    0:29:27 earning the way
    0:29:27 to ownership,
    0:29:28 a.k.a.
    0:29:29 the American dream,
    0:29:30 more feasible.
    0:29:33 I am troubled
    0:29:34 by the trend
    0:29:35 away from
    0:29:36 patriotism,
    0:29:37 fomented
    0:29:37 by a tech
    0:29:38 billionaire class
    0:29:39 that conflates
    0:29:40 luck with talent,
    0:29:42 shitposts America,
    0:29:43 and prosecutes
    0:29:45 an economic war
    0:29:46 on the young.
    0:29:48 But America’s promise
    0:29:49 does not resonate
    0:29:51 unless it’s backed
    0:29:52 by performance.
    0:29:54 We diminish
    0:29:54 what’s great
    0:29:55 about America
    0:29:56 when we fail
    0:29:56 to talk about
    0:29:57 what’s broken
    0:29:58 in America,
    0:30:00 especially when the
    0:30:01 fixes are within
    0:30:01 our grasp.
    0:30:04 In defense
    0:30:05 of shielding
    0:30:05 owners,
    0:30:07 lobbyists
    0:30:07 and our
    0:30:08 representatives
    0:30:09 in D.C.
    0:30:10 argue the wealthy
    0:30:11 are our most
    0:30:12 productive citizens,
    0:30:13 can better
    0:30:14 deploy capital,
    0:30:15 and need
    0:30:16 incentives to
    0:30:17 keep innovating.
    0:30:19 There is some
    0:30:19 truth to this
    0:30:20 notion,
    0:30:21 but we aren’t
    0:30:22 lowering taxes
    0:30:22 on the bulk
    0:30:23 of today’s
    0:30:23 innovators,
    0:30:25 the super earners,
    0:30:26 or on future
    0:30:26 innovators,
    0:30:27 young people.
    0:30:28 Instead,
    0:30:30 we are ensuring
    0:30:31 a failure
    0:30:32 to launch
    0:30:33 by transferring
    0:30:34 more wealth
    0:30:34 to owners
    0:30:35 and seniors.
    0:30:38 The three legs
    0:30:39 of the tax
    0:30:40 stool are
    0:30:40 corporations,
    0:30:42 super earners,
    0:30:44 and super owners.
    0:30:46 Corporate taxes
    0:30:46 are at their
    0:30:47 lowest levels
    0:30:49 since 1939,
    0:30:51 and the wealthiest
    0:30:52 Americans are paying
    0:30:54 single-digit tax rates,
    0:30:56 meaning the entire
    0:30:57 funding burden
    0:30:58 of our country
    0:30:59 rests on the
    0:31:00 super earners
    0:31:01 and the young,
    0:31:02 who will have
    0:31:03 to survive
    0:31:04 the tsunami
    0:31:04 of debt
    0:31:06 we are aggregating
    0:31:06 to finance
    0:31:07 this inequality.
    0:31:10 This is capitalism
    0:31:10 collapsing
    0:31:11 under its own
    0:31:12 weight.
    0:31:14 America,
    0:31:16 like any country,
    0:31:17 is a product,
    0:31:19 a mix of benefits
    0:31:20 that come
    0:31:20 at a price.
    0:31:22 America’s been
    0:31:23 the best value
    0:31:24 globally
    0:31:25 for the better
    0:31:26 part of three
    0:31:26 centuries.
    0:31:28 Other than drugs,
    0:31:29 there is no
    0:31:30 other product
    0:31:31 so many people
    0:31:32 are willing
    0:31:32 to risk
    0:31:33 their lives
    0:31:34 to obtain.
    0:31:35 However,
    0:31:37 the value
    0:31:37 of America
    0:31:38 has diminished
    0:31:40 for super earners
    0:31:40 and the young.
    0:31:42 We’re charging
    0:31:43 the former
    0:31:43 too much
    0:31:45 and keep asking
    0:31:45 the latter
    0:31:46 if we can borrow
    0:31:47 their credit card.
    0:31:49 The bad news?
    0:31:51 This was deliberate,
    0:31:52 our decision.
    0:31:54 The good news?
    0:31:56 We can decide
    0:31:57 to fix it.
    0:32:01 Life is so rich.

    As read by George Hahn.

    Earners vs Owners

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    Scott opens by giving his thoughts on the return of meme stock mania. 

    Algebra of Happiness: you are not alone. 

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    Music: https://www.davidcuttermusic.com / @dcuttermusic

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  • Prof G Markets: Bob Iger’s Bad Day, Trump Media’s Fraudulent Auditor, and Uber’s Venture Investments

    Scott shares his thoughts on Disney and Warner Bros. Discovery’s latest earnings and what they mean for the streaming space. He then reflects on the implications of Trump Media’s auditing firm being charged with fraud. Finally, Scott and Ed discuss Uber’s Q1 earnings and why the company swung to a major loss in the first quarter. 

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  • No Mercy / No Malice: Big Energy

    As read by George Hahn.

    Big Energy

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