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  • 643. Why Do Candles Still Exist?

    AI transcript
    0:00:07 Do you find it strange at all that so many people still love candles?
    0:00:14 I mean, ever since we got electricity, candles have been non-essential, let’s call them, right?
    0:00:15 An obsolete technology.
    0:00:17 But they have not disappeared.
    0:00:20 Every generation seems to rediscover them.
    0:00:21 Why do you think that is?
    0:00:23 Yeah, it’s a very interesting question.
    0:00:30 It’s interesting to think about how the job that candles do has changed over time.
    0:00:37 You could go back 5,000 years to the first things that were like candles, and I would describe it as portable fire.
    0:00:44 It’s portable fire that lets you find your way or lets you do work when it’s dark.
    0:00:47 This might be a little clay lamp with oil in it and a wick or something.
    0:00:55 The earliest records that we know about would be in ancient Egypt, a pithy reed just dipped in some animal fat.
    0:00:56 I see.
    0:00:59 But we see wicked candles maybe 3,000 years ago.
    0:01:07 A lot of records that the Romans were using them, it’s wick and wax, and it’s essentially what we still have today.
    0:01:11 Especially in the last 50 years, the job is no longer utilitarian.
    0:01:16 It might be decor, or even if it is about light, it’s about setting a mood.
    0:01:21 And then the other jobs of home fragrancing or self-care, indulgence.
    0:01:32 I think all those things together with that primal light experience is just something that really speaks to a lot of people.
    0:01:36 I personally feel sort of drawn to the light like I’m a primitive bug.
    0:01:40 That was Steve Harenziak.
    0:01:43 He’s president of the National Candle Association.
    0:01:49 The candle industry does about $10 billion a year in global sales, and that number has been rising fast.
    0:01:52 A lot of this increase is driven by scented candles.
    0:01:57 But there are also tapers, pillars, tea lights, votives, and more.
    0:02:04 I don’t know about you, but to me, this candle boom is somewhat surprising and slightly weird.
    0:02:08 The vast majority of the world has access to electricity.
    0:02:15 And one of the many advantages of electricity is that it eliminates the need for a live flame in your house.
    0:02:17 A flame that can burn down your house.
    0:02:22 And yet, for some reason, we still want that portable fire in our homes.
    0:02:29 One theory involves a word that is spelled H-Y-G-G-E.
    0:02:31 It’s pronounced hygge.
    0:02:33 That’s Mike Viking.
    0:02:35 He’s a Danish happiness researcher.
    0:02:40 You probably know that Denmark is, on average, a very happy place.
    0:02:45 I think the best explanation of what hygge is, is the art of creating a nice atmosphere.
    0:02:47 It’s about togetherness.
    0:02:48 It’s about pleasure.
    0:02:50 It’s about warmth.
    0:02:50 It’s about relaxation.
    0:02:54 And that is a key cornerstone of Danish culture.
    0:02:57 To Danes, hygge is what freedom perhaps is to the Americans.
    0:03:02 But Americans these days also seem to want their hygge.
    0:03:07 Around half of those 10 billion global candle dollars are spent in the U.S.
    0:03:12 So, today, on Freakonomics Radio, why do candles still exist?
    0:03:16 What other nostalgic technologies do we cling to?
    0:03:20 What role does planned obsolescence play in all of this?
    0:03:25 And why do we stuff our closets full of antiquated things?
    0:03:28 It almost is like a process of psychoanalysis.
    0:03:43 This is Freakonomics Radio, the podcast that explores the hidden side of everything,
    0:03:45 with your host, Stephen Dubner.
    0:03:58 What is the most unusual candle scent you’ve ever encountered?
    0:04:02 I’ve seen a lot of things like bacon and beer.
    0:04:07 Some of those are just, you know, interesting but not appealing to me.
    0:04:11 That, again, is Steve Herensiak of the National Candle Association, or NCA.
    0:04:15 The NCA was founded in 1974.
    0:04:20 We act as the collective voice of the candle industry, whenever that’s needed.
    0:04:22 We promote candle safety.
    0:04:27 We are an authority on candle manufacturing and science.
    0:04:30 We support scientific research into candles.
    0:04:37 When our daughter was younger, my wife and I forbade her from burning candles in her bedroom,
    0:04:39 because a couple times she almost burned down the house.
    0:04:47 Isn’t it just a little bit strange that we are all allowed and even encouraged to use open flames in our homes?
    0:04:53 Yeah, so there is a responsibility of the user to use the candle safely.
    0:04:58 So, if I can, I want to tell you the big three and make sure that all the listeners are aware of them.
    0:04:58 Please.
    0:05:02 First of all, when you burn a candle, always keep it within sight.
    0:05:07 Number two, keep it away from anything that can catch fire.
    0:05:11 That especially means bedding, but also things like curtains.
    0:05:15 And number three, keep them away from children and pets.
    0:05:21 If you do those three things, then the chances of starting a candle fire in your home are greatly reduced.
    0:05:24 But not everyone is so careful.
    0:05:32 According to the nonprofit National Fire Protection Agency, candles are responsible for about 6,000 home fires a year in the U.S.,
    0:05:38 resulting in an average of 74 civilian deaths and a quarter of a billion dollars in property damage.
    0:05:45 By the way, serving as president of the National Candle Association is not Steve Horensiak’s only job.
    0:05:49 In fact, the reason he has that job is because of his other job.
    0:05:55 Yeah, my main job is that I am a research fellow at Procter & Gamble.
    0:06:02 I work in research and development, focused mainly on our air care business, so brands like Febreze.
    0:06:07 Steve, what does it mean to be a research fellow at P&G?
    0:06:09 The full title is Senior Director Research Fellow.
    0:06:18 What it means is that I am in charge of research programs to improve our products and develop new products.
    0:06:29 Unlike an academic where the end goal is just the pursuit of knowledge, our end goal is to make money, to make superior products and create superior experiences for people.
    0:06:37 Horensiak has degrees from Michigan Tech and Georgia Tech in chemical engineering and in pulp and paper science, respectively.
    0:06:40 He has worked at Procter & Gamble for more than 20 years.
    0:06:44 P&G is one of the biggest consumer goods companies in the world.
    0:06:50 They make Tide laundry detergent, Pampers diapers, Gillette razors, and many other brands you know.
    0:06:59 Their headquarters are in Cincinnati, where the company was founded in the 1830s as a maker of soap and candles.
    0:07:02 James Gamble was an Irish-born soap maker.
    0:07:05 William Procter was an English-born candle maker.
    0:07:07 This was a good time to be a candle maker.
    0:07:16 You see the development of automated candle production and molded candles and things like that in 1830 or so.
    0:07:20 And then you have the discovery of paraffin wax about 1850.
    0:07:24 Paraffin wax is the solid component of crude oil.
    0:07:29 And then, in 1880 or so, the electric light bulb comes, right?
    0:07:32 And there was a little bit of a decline.
    0:07:47 Once we get into the 20th century, the materials that make candles became a lot more widely available as they were byproducts of that increased demand for oil and stare in from increased meatpacking activity.
    0:07:58 And candles became a little bit more popular again, but they’re sold more for ceremonies, for traditions like birthdays, novelty candles for holidays.
    0:08:04 The market stayed pretty steady until the late 70s and early 1980s.
    0:08:14 That’s when you started seeing this shift in the job of candles to more home decor and ambiance in the introduction of scented candles.
    0:08:24 That necessitated some innovation as there really wasn’t enough paraffin wax to make up that demand.
    0:08:29 So you see the invention of vegetable waxes from soy and from palm.
    0:08:38 When I think about the boom in scented candles, I’m wondering if you were involved in the controversy over Yankee candles during COVID.
    0:08:40 Could you walk us through that?
    0:08:41 I am sorry.
    0:08:43 I really don’t know very much about that.
    0:08:44 Are you aware of it, though?
    0:08:56 People were writing reviews on Amazon and other places saying that the candles that they were buying from the Yankee Candle Company were defective because they were unscented when they were supposed to be scented.
    0:09:00 But what it turns out was a lot of people who had gotten COVID had lost their sense of smell.
    0:09:04 Now that you say it, I think I do remember something about that.
    0:09:10 One of the things that I study and am curious about is just the sense of olfaction in general.
    0:09:21 It’s really one of the least understood senses from a biological standpoint, like all the mechanisms that are involved in actually smelling.
    0:09:31 It’s, in my opinion, been a little bit overlooked in the medical community, but it is a big, big hit on your quality of life.
    0:09:38 I have a slightly different take on that because two members of my immediate family have not had a sense of smell.
    0:09:43 One was born without, which is apparently not, you know, wildly rare, and one lost it later.
    0:09:44 Wow.
    0:09:45 I mean, yes.
    0:09:48 My first reaction was like yours, like, it’s a great loss.
    0:09:53 On the other hand, you know, we live in New York City, and there are a lot of days when I kind of wish I couldn’t smell.
    0:10:00 But that got me to wondering on the flip side, because I know that you, as a scientist, have done a lot of research on odors.
    0:10:06 Can you talk about how the world smells on average today compared to the past?
    0:10:10 I would assume we are in a relatively wonderful smelling era.
    0:10:15 We certainly have a lot of products to keep things smelling better.
    0:10:20 But overall, in terms of how the world smells, I think it actually smells worse.
    0:10:21 You do.
    0:10:25 It really has to do with just a lot of crowding.
    0:10:32 You think about a lot of small apartments and your neighbors cooking and you’re in there with your pet in a small space.
    0:10:37 But, yes, certainly candles and a lot of other air care products are there to help us with that problem.
    0:10:48 I’m going to interrupt here to say that while I like and trust Steve Harenziak, I’m not sure I believe that the world smells worse today than it used to.
    0:10:54 Of course, it depends where you were and when, but think about how many seriously stinky things there used to be.
    0:11:04 Raw sewage dumped into rivers, horse manure piled up on city streets, factories and refineries spitting smoke and ash into the air.
    0:11:07 Then there’s body odor, bad breath.
    0:11:09 I could go on, but you get the idea.
    0:11:13 So I would think that the present, on average, smells better than the past.
    0:11:20 But I do appreciate Harenziak’s point about our olfactory system being underappreciated and important.
    0:11:28 Just as a bad smell can ruin your day, a good one can elevate it, which gets us back to the candle craze.
    0:11:33 Yankee Candle, one of the biggest candle makers in the U.S., has more than 600 fragrances.
    0:11:39 Their candles typically sell for $30 to $40, which puts them in the mid-price range.
    0:11:43 You can spend much more than that at Diptyque or Joe Malone.
    0:11:47 Trader Joe’s, meanwhile, sells candles for about $4.
    0:11:52 Some of their recent fragrances are grapefruit and peach black tea.
    0:12:04 Our industry is pretty accessible in that almost anyone can start a candle company without a lot of barriers to entry, a lot of big capital needs.
    0:12:09 As a result, our industry is pretty vibrant and pretty inclusive.
    0:12:12 Lots of companies are selling candles.
    0:12:17 We think that there are about 10,000 different fragrances that you can get in a candle.
    0:12:23 Can you just give me a few of your favorites over the years or maybe most memorable?
    0:12:27 For me personally, it really depends on what I’m doing.
    0:12:31 If it’s the holidays, then maybe I want to get into a holiday mood.
    0:12:36 Sometimes it can be pine, like trying to say, like, you know, I’m out cutting down a Christmas tree.
    0:12:41 Or, you know, maybe it’s more of a baking, vanilla kind of scent.
    0:12:43 How do you feel about cranberry?
    0:12:45 Oh, I personally don’t really like cranberry scents.
    0:12:47 How do you feel about eucalyptus?
    0:12:49 I do like eucalyptus.
    0:12:57 That is a scent that actually has some cooling properties, sort of like menthol, and it gives you that fresh air feel.
    0:13:04 Some candle makers enlist social media influencers to promote their products.
    0:13:10 Here is Sir Candleman, who, between Instagram and TikTok, has more than 400,000 followers.
    0:13:12 Nest has some gorgeous new candles.
    0:13:13 But are they good?
    0:13:15 They sent me one, so let’s try it and rate it.
    0:13:17 It’s Saharan Ood and Labdanum.
    0:13:21 So you know what I’d say.
    0:13:22 A good candle has three things.
    0:13:25 Scent, style, and strength.
    0:13:26 That smells good, y’all.
    0:13:32 That good-smelling candle from Nest, New York, costs $195 plus shipping.
    0:13:39 If you go to a friend’s housewarming party and give them a candle like that, you are making a statement.
    0:13:41 Here’s Steve Harenziak again.
    0:13:43 They come at all price points.
    0:13:49 You can find scented candles in the $5 to $10 range all the way up to $100 or more.
    0:13:55 I have seen those $100 and more candles, and I’m just curious how that market came about.
    0:14:02 I think a lot of consumers are pretty savvy about how much it costs to manufacture something versus how much it sells for.
    0:14:12 But I think many consumers are also savvy about, well, once something becomes a kind of object that is beautiful, I understand that that drives prices up.
    0:14:18 Was that high end of the candle market created by a particular entrepreneur or company?
    0:14:21 Did it come about more grassroots than that?
    0:14:21 Tell me what you can.
    0:14:32 I would say it mirrors some other industries where you’re seeing consumers want more exclusivity, more unique things.
    0:14:35 And that’s part of what drives prices higher.
    0:14:49 If you think about a candle on the lower end of the market, you’re probably talking about something which is more mass-produced, using modern manufacturing methods with automation, maybe uses more common fragrance ingredients.
    0:15:03 Whereas on the upper end, you’re talking about more custom-made, custom fragrances, fragrances that maybe are in touch with the latest fragrance trends today, maybe that are associated with luxury brands or celebrity spokespeople, and those kind of things.
    0:15:09 There is one inescapable and slightly uncomfortable fact about a candle.
    0:15:13 The more you use it, the faster you lose it.
    0:15:18 To understand product lifetimes, you have to understand the reasons why people buy products.
    0:15:22 That is Tim Cooper from Nottingham Trent University in the north of England.
    0:15:27 He is an emeritus professor of sustainable design and consumption with a background in economics.
    0:15:34 Cooper has found that more and more people, producers and consumers, are thinking about the lifespan of products.
    0:15:50 A lot of the interest has come from the electronics sector, not least because that’s an area where products have been criticised by many consumers for not lasting long enough, but also an area where there’s a natural tendency for products to change over time as technology advances.
    0:15:58 There’s also been interest from the clothing sector, because clothing technically is what they call a semi-durable product.
    0:16:03 They can last for a long period of time, but obviously in the fashion sector, clothing doesn’t last very long.
    0:16:07 There’s also been interest in other areas as well, car industry, for example, furniture.
    0:16:10 And how does Tim Cooper think about the candle industry?
    0:16:18 We rarely need a candle for light, but there’s a large industry in the use of candles for decorative purposes.
    0:16:21 And this raises interesting questions.
    0:16:28 To what extent are products merely functional, or in the case of candles, functioning as they used to in the past?
    0:16:32 Or are there other reasons why people buy products?
    0:16:35 In the case of candles, they don’t need them for light.
    0:16:37 They need them for emotional satisfaction.
    0:16:40 That explains why we buy so much stuff.
    0:16:44 It’s not just because we have to have it or we won’t survive.
    0:16:48 It’s because we want to have it, because it’s doing different things for us.
    0:16:52 What are those different things?
    0:16:56 For that, I think we may need an anthropologist.
    0:17:01 Whenever the weather gets cold, I feel like I have to buy more candles.
    0:17:02 That’s coming up.
    0:17:06 After the break, I’m Stephen Dubner, and this is Freakonomics Radio.
    0:17:17 The candle, an antiquated mode of lighting technology,
    0:17:21 is still used in an estimated 70% of American households.
    0:17:23 And we are trying to figure out why.
    0:17:27 My name is Gokce Gunal, and I’m an anthropologist.
    0:17:28 Hi, Gokce. Nice to meet you.
    0:17:30 Nice to meet you, too.
    0:17:32 Do you personally burn candles?
    0:17:36 Of course. I live in Houston, Texas, where we experience power cuts very often.
    0:17:45 Gokce Gunal grew up in Turkey and is now a professor of anthropology at Rice University.
    0:17:50 Among her research interests are urban design and energy infrastructure.
    0:17:56 My first book was about the construction of renewable energy and clean technology infrastructure in Abu Dhabi,
    0:17:59 and it studied the construction of an eco-city called Mazdar City.
    0:18:01 What was the intention of Mazdar City?
    0:18:06 The intention was to think about if we could build a city that’s zero carbon,
    0:18:12 if there could be a way to power a city, only relying on renewable energy technologies.
    0:18:15 There was a strong emphasis on the idea of energy transition,
    0:18:20 that oil would eventually disappear and renewables would replace oil.
    0:18:23 A lot of people called Mazdar City a utopian project.
    0:18:26 But the Mazdar City project was a failure.
    0:18:31 After the 2008 financial crisis, the master plan was canceled.
    0:18:34 This is a common theme in Gunal’s research,
    0:18:38 how utopian ideas often fail in the face of reality.
    0:18:43 For instance, now I’m writing a book about electricity infrastructure in Ghana.
    0:18:48 There’s all these power plants that are being brought into the electric grid there,
    0:18:52 gas-powered power plants mostly, or heavy fuel oil-powered power plants.
    0:18:57 When these power plants come onto the grid, the people who build them,
    0:19:00 they always say, but don’t worry, we’ll become obsolete soon,
    0:19:05 and you’ll be able to build renewable energy clean technology.
    0:19:06 You sound like you don’t like that idea.
    0:19:10 It doesn’t necessarily pan out in that way,
    0:19:16 because all of those people who are producing electricity by relying on heavy fuel oil or natural gas
    0:19:19 have an interest in extending that period further.
    0:19:26 And so all the resources of the country are actually there to maintain that period into the future.
    0:19:31 What Gunal is describing here is a blend of two powerful forces,
    0:19:36 incumbency and what social scientists call path dependency.
    0:19:40 Both ideas are fascinating, and we could talk about them for hours,
    0:19:42 but that’s not why we are here today.
    0:19:50 So the reason I wanted to speak with you is I had this, it’s not quite an idea,
    0:19:53 just something popped into my mind that struck me as odd,
    0:20:02 which is that even though we’re well over 100 years past the popularization of electricity,
    0:20:05 candles are everywhere.
    0:20:12 I see candles being used by many different types of people for many different types of things,
    0:20:17 and it kind of astonishes me on the surface because it is an open flame,
    0:20:20 and there’s some danger, I guess there’s some pollution,
    0:20:22 and it just feels so outdated.
    0:20:25 And yet, when I looked at the size of the global candle industry,
    0:20:27 it’s not huge, but it’s significant.
    0:20:31 It’s a $10 billion industry, and they’re relatively cheap to make.
    0:20:32 So that’s a lot of candles.
    0:20:37 And I just got to thinking that this was a technology, if you want to call it that,
    0:20:40 a lighting technology that I might have thought would disappear,
    0:20:42 and yet it didn’t disappear.
    0:20:48 I think of it as like a nostalgic technology or some kind of obsolescence that we still love.
    0:20:53 So I wanted to talk to you about obsolescence and technologies that get, quote,
    0:20:56 replaced, but the old one doesn’t go away.
    0:21:04 One reason why we think that things go away is because so much of our understanding of technology
    0:21:05 is filtered through innovation.
    0:21:10 There’s so much emphasis on innovation around us and on invention,
    0:21:12 and newness kind of clouds our vision, I think.
    0:21:16 Whereas if we thought about technology through use,
    0:21:22 then commodities like candles would become so much more significant to us
    0:21:27 because they’re so broadly used for, as you said, so many different kinds of things.
    0:21:30 They might not seem inventive to us today,
    0:21:35 but actually they’ve gone through cycles of innovation themselves.
    0:21:41 I’m curious how you would describe the appeal of a candle as an anthropologist.
    0:21:48 I think all of us can imagine that long, long ago campfire in a cave with our, you know,
    0:21:54 ancestors sitting around doing whatever they do, eating some meat, playing some games,
    0:21:58 making some art on the walls, whatever, and it’s lit by a flickering flame.
    0:22:02 We lived under those conditions for a long, long time.
    0:22:06 What kind of draw do you think a candle still represents?
    0:22:14 I think the biggest draw is the separation of the fuel from the site of combustion.
    0:22:21 Once you have the wick and separate the light from the fuel,
    0:22:25 then there is, I think, a kind of transformation in the mood somehow.
    0:22:28 Think about the light bulb.
    0:22:31 The fuel source is somewhere far away.
    0:22:36 It’s the result of a massive network of people and things.
    0:22:40 Whereas with the candle, you can hold that supply chain in your hand almost.
    0:22:43 How about ceremonial or religious purposes?
    0:22:49 In the Catholic Church, you have to use beeswax candles still for ceremonial reasons.
    0:22:55 The Catholic Church would like to believe that human society parallels a bee colony
    0:23:02 because of this relationship to the bee as the producer of a proper society.
    0:23:08 And so human society, if it wants the model bee society, maybe needs that link.
    0:23:10 I looked it up now.
    0:23:11 I see, of course, you’re right.
    0:23:15 I did not know that, yes, the Catholic Church has historically compared itself to a beehive.
    0:23:20 There’s something about beeswax candles meeting two needs at once,
    0:23:23 the need for light and the need for social organization.
    0:23:26 What other functions do you see candles serving?
    0:23:33 I think maybe having a candle at home makes you feel like you’re still going to be okay
    0:23:36 even when the lights go off or if there’s a power cut.
    0:23:42 You think, you know what, I’m not dependent on the grid operator of Texas for my lighting needs.
    0:23:47 I can actually maybe just use this candle to read my paper book.
    0:23:52 Now, why a candle versus a kerosene lantern or some battery-powered something or other?
    0:23:54 That’s a good question.
    0:23:56 I guess I’d never thought about all the others.
    0:24:01 But having a candle maybe has a nicer ambience.
    0:24:04 And they’re broadly available.
    0:24:06 They’re easy to keep around.
    0:24:08 You don’t have to worry about having a battery.
    0:24:11 So there’s a real practicality to it.
    0:24:16 I think candles satisfy an urge to access good smells easily.
    0:24:17 Yeah.
    0:24:23 During the pandemic, candle sales in North America increased drastically
    0:24:26 because everyone thought candles are going to make them feel better
    0:24:29 as they’re facing this world of uncertainty.
    0:24:32 That makes sense, doesn’t it?
    0:24:36 When the future is uncertain, which, let’s be honest, it always is.
    0:24:37 No one really knows the future.
    0:24:43 But especially when the future is unsettling or scary, you might want to reach back in time
    0:24:48 for something familiar, for something you can hold on to, for something you understand better
    0:24:50 than you understand the future.
    0:24:56 And since 70 percent of American households are still using candles, I figured a lot of people
    0:24:59 are probably using other older technologies.
    0:25:03 So we asked you, our listeners, for examples.
    0:25:04 Here’s what you had to say.
    0:25:11 An obsolete technology that I cannot live without is my clothesline.
    0:25:14 I have used a clothesline all my life.
    0:25:18 I do own a dryer, but I rarely use it.
    0:25:23 I have just not been able to give up handkerchiefs.
    0:25:25 I know that’s kind of a throwback thing.
    0:25:28 I cannot live without my typewriter.
    0:25:37 When it comes to actually writing down events, I still go to a paper diary with a pencil and an eraser.
    0:25:40 I still have an original iPod.
    0:25:48 I am actually a business owner for the last 25 years online selling mechanical and automatic wristwatches.
    0:25:49 It still makes a very good business.
    0:25:55 Those listeners were Patrice, Corey, Zach, Sarah, Rich and Mark.
    0:25:58 And here again is the anthropologist, Goethe Gunal.
    0:26:00 Cassettes are going to make a comeback.
    0:26:01 I can tell you that.
    0:26:02 Seriously?
    0:26:08 I was just in a bookstore in Austin yesterday, and all they had on their shelves were cassettes.
    0:26:15 They were importing them from all these places that are not necessarily the main centers of the recording industry.
    0:26:18 A lot of people thought books would be obsolete.
    0:26:24 I still buy paper copies of books as much as I can, and I love having them.
    0:26:30 I think I remember things better if I read them in paper.
    0:26:40 Whenever I get a prep for an interview or a script for an episode, the first thing I do is format it the way I want to and then print it.
    0:26:46 Only because I, like you, feel like I have a different relationship to the material when it’s on paper.
    0:26:52 I also find it easier to organize a long document in my head when it’s on paper because I can remember where things came.
    0:26:58 I don’t know if you feel the same when you’re reading something, that you have a better sense of where something lies within the full stream of it.
    0:26:59 Definitely.
    0:27:08 And actually, when I was writing my first book, I did this exercise where I printed out the manuscript and then cut it into paragraphs.
    0:27:17 And then I kind of made a jigsaw puzzle for myself, like moving the paragraphs from one side of the book to the other and trying to see how they would sound.
    0:27:17 Did it get better?
    0:27:19 I’d like to think so, yeah.
    0:27:27 Coming up after the break, there is another reason we sometimes cling to the old.
    0:27:30 Can you say planned obsolescence?
    0:27:31 I’m Stephen Dubner.
    0:27:33 This is Freakonomics Radio.
    0:27:34 We’ll be right back.
    0:27:49 The definition of the term planned obsolescence is the deliberate curtailment of the lifespan of a product.
    0:27:54 That, again, is Tim Cooper, and he is something of an expert on planned obsolescence.
    0:28:04 His research started in the early 1990s when he noticed there was a lot of research being done on recycling, which made sense because the recycling boom was underway.
    0:28:14 But he didn’t see anyone looking at planned obsolescence, and that didn’t make sense to him, since if it weren’t for planned obsolescence, there would be a lot less stuff that needed to be recycled.
    0:28:19 Cooper tells us that it was the journalist Vance Packard who helped popularize the term.
    0:28:39 He realized there was a growing interest in just how the consumer society was leading to an economy in which things were thrown away and replaced, and the things that were being thrown away, firstly, could have been designed to last longer, but secondly, and crucially, were often thrown away before the end of their useful life.
    0:28:47 Among those who study planned obsolescence, there is one foundational story about what came to be called the Phoebus Cartel.
    0:29:00 The Phoebus Cartel was an infamous agreement between manufacturers of incandescent light bulbs in the mid-1920s.
    0:29:05 In Greek, Phoebus means bright or radiant, and it was often applied to the god Apollo.
    0:29:08 And how did this light bulb cartel work?
    0:29:16 Several international companies got together and made an agreement to manufacture bulbs in a particular way.
    0:29:21 The problem was that light bulb technology had essentially gotten too good.
    0:29:30 The manufacturers were concerned that they were lasting so long that sales would decline, as indeed they did in one or two of the countries.
    0:29:39 And so they came to an agreement that they would fix a time threshold, which is to be a thousand hours, for that to last.
    0:30:08 These manufacturers included General Electric of the U.S., OZRAM of Germany, and Philips of the Netherlands.
    0:30:11 And their collusion was successful.
    0:30:17 The average lifetime of the bulbs produced by cartel members dropped by a third.
    0:30:21 But World War II intruded, and the cartel broke up.
    0:30:25 The idea of planned obsolescence, however, that stuck.
    0:30:29 This can be a delicate balance for manufacturers.
    0:30:36 You don’t want your product to wear out so fast that it’s seen as cheap, but you do want to sell more stuff.
    0:30:46 And so a lot of companies and a lot of industries did embrace planned obsolescence in automobiles, consumer electronics, home appliances.
    0:30:47 The list goes on.
    0:30:54 The lifetime of the product only really began to be addressed in the past 10 or 20 years.
    0:31:01 Governments are still not as engaged as they might be, but there are signs of change.
    0:31:04 The French government in particular has taken a lead in this.
    0:31:11 It’s almost 10 years now since they introduced the legislation banning planned obsolescence by French manufacturers.
    0:31:18 And not long after that, we’re the first country to introduce a repairability label for products.
    0:31:24 A repairability label tells the consumer how easy or hard it will be to fix the product they may want to buy.
    0:31:28 This runs into the right to repair movement.
    0:31:37 That’s a push to allow consumers or independent repair shops to fix a product without the original manufacturer’s permission or parts.
    0:31:42 Many manufacturers essentially prohibit self-repair.
    0:31:51 When you take that prohibition and add some planned obsolescence, you’ve got a nice recipe for how to sell more and more new stuff.
    0:31:55 I think planned obsolescence is such a fascinating thing.
    0:32:00 That, again, is the Rice University anthropologist, Goetje Gunal.
    0:32:07 I like thinking about planned obsolescence so much because it tells me that obsolescence doesn’t happen unless you plan it.
    0:32:10 Do you think that’s really true?
    0:32:12 Yeah, I’d like to make an argument for it.
    0:32:20 Okay, let’s have your argument because I could imagine that there are things that are perfectly useful and then something else comes along that’s better.
    0:32:27 And there is no intention for replacement necessarily, but there’s just a substitute and then the other one goes away without a plan.
    0:32:32 But yeah, I want to hear your argument that all obsolescence is planned obsolescence.
    0:32:37 Looking at the histories of planned obsolescence, you know, we talk about it so often with tech companies, right?
    0:32:43 There’s a lot of activism against planned obsolescence to say, don’t change this charger or don’t change this cable.
    0:32:49 Don’t make me keep all of these other cables in my house and take up so much more space.
    0:33:07 They want to make sure that their products are constantly circulating, that they’re producing new products that will lead to new revenue streams without necessarily thinking as much about how people’s consumption patterns are affected by that or how…
    0:33:10 Well, is it that they don’t think about it or they do think about it?
    0:33:10 Or they do think about it.
    0:33:11 Yeah, you’re right.
    0:33:11 You’re right.
    0:33:13 They think about it too much.
    0:33:13 Exactly.
    0:33:14 Exactly.
    0:33:23 I think obsolescence, as we understand it, happens through explicit transformations in policy.
    0:33:27 One of the most recent examples of this has been through product pairing.
    0:33:31 Let’s say you have a computer and you’re screen broken.
    0:33:35 You take it to a repair shop and they have a screen there that would fit your computer.
    0:33:38 And you mount that screen, but it doesn’t work.
    0:33:45 Because there’s software in your computer that prevents salvaged parts from working on your computer.
    0:33:51 And so then you’re forced to go and buy the part that the company now sells to you.
    0:33:56 A few years ago, I published a piece in an edited volume on obsolescence.
    0:34:00 And they asked me to select an object and write about it.
    0:34:03 So I selected the paper airplane ticket.
    0:34:08 And I started looking into how it ended.
    0:34:13 It actually didn’t end because we all switched to electronic tickets.
    0:34:19 It actually ended because the international aviation authorities came up with a policy to say,
    0:34:22 we’re no longer accepting paper airline tickets.
    0:34:29 Yeah, I haven’t seen a paper ticket in a while, but I still do get a paper boarding pass if I have to check a bag.
    0:34:32 I try to avoid checking bags whenever I can.
    0:34:38 But if I can’t, and then they give you the stickers that represent your suitcase and you have to keep them somewhere.
    0:34:43 And it seems to me like the best place to keep them is on a paper boarding pass, just so it’s all together.
    0:34:46 So they haven’t actually gone away.
    0:34:53 And I wonder if that’s maybe a more typical path of a so-called obsolete item.
    0:34:55 You know, candles are still here.
    0:34:57 Paper boarding passes are still here.
    0:35:00 Some people still use fax machines and pagers.
    0:35:06 We used to rely on horses for all kinds of things, transportation, manufacturing, war, etc.
    0:35:09 We don’t use them for anything there, but there are so many horses.
    0:35:17 We don’t sail around the world anymore, but there are still sailboats in the Olympics and all kinds of pleasure sailors.
    0:35:23 So am I thinking about obsolescence just kind of stupidly and wrong, or at least narrowly, maybe?
    0:35:31 No, I think you’re seeing it really accurately because you’re looking at how there are still all these people using these technologies.
    0:35:34 They’re not necessarily things that disappear.
    0:35:37 So my specialization is in energy.
    0:35:45 The biggest example that people discuss when they discuss obsolescence in energy infrastructure is whale oil.
    0:35:49 People say, you know, fossil fuels came around and they saved the whales.
    0:35:54 This has become such a strong talking point for thinking about energy transition,
    0:35:59 to say that renewable energies could come around and replace fossil fuels.
    0:36:06 But when you actually look at the history of whale oil, you see that we start using oil in the mid-19th century.
    0:36:11 Fossil fuels become more and more pervasive into the 20th, 21st century.
    0:36:18 And whale oil, the killing of the whales actually intensified the most in the 1960s.
    0:36:23 The introduction of fossil fuels actually led to the killing of more whales.
    0:36:24 Why was it?
    0:36:30 Because fossil fuel powered ships could go around the world and kill whales in a much more effective way.
    0:36:45 It’s fascinating because, for instance, whale oil became its most expensive in the 1970s because people who used it as a lubricant for jet engines realized that, oh, it’s going to be banned soon.
    0:36:45 Ah, yeah.
    0:36:48 So they started buying it in mass.
    0:36:59 I think that example really shows me that obsolescence is not just something that happens when one product appears and one invention just replaces the other.
    0:37:02 And we all switch from one thing to the next.
    0:37:11 Actually, products and raw materials are always in symbiosis with one another and they support each other’s consumption somehow.
    0:37:26 If you take the issue of plant obsolescence, there are people I’ve worked with who would just regard all industry as evil, as only focused on cutting the lifetimes of products for their own interests.
    0:37:28 I don’t tend to see it in that way.
    0:37:33 That, again, is the sustainable design scholar Tim Cooper.
    0:37:39 I’ve met people in the fashion industry, for example, who are very radical in their thinking.
    0:37:41 They just need to find solutions.
    0:37:49 And the solutions they’re looking at in the clothing sectors, how can we retain a profit by making things that last longer?
    0:37:51 They don’t want to lose market share.
    0:37:55 If they lose market share, eventually they risk becoming bankrupt.
    0:38:05 So the issue for me is how can we help you to do the right thing, to make it commercially beneficial, to do the right thing environmentally?
    0:38:10 Similarly with the consumer, there are people who might argue that the consumer is always right.
    0:38:11 No, they’re not.
    0:38:19 Consumers are themselves facing conflicts in the same way that manufacturers and retailers are.
    0:38:22 What should I do as an academic?
    0:38:26 I’m not at the top of the income scale, so I actually can’t afford the best of everything.
    0:38:40 What I do do is try and minimize any consumption of items that I think aren’t designed to last, even though they might be very cheap for them and they might serve a short-term function.
    0:38:43 It’s not always easy to be a conscientious consumer.
    0:38:57 But even if you try, like Tim Cooper tries, to not acquire a lot of cheap, disposable stuff, you can still wind up with a lot of things in your drawers and closets.
    0:39:01 I went back to Gautier Gunal to talk about this problem.
    0:39:16 If you were to come and look in the closet at my office, you would find a small museum of obsolescence, of equipment mostly, that I used heavily for years as a reporter and as a writer and as a musician.
    0:39:24 Honestly, I have a very hard time throwing it away, in part because I have an emotional attachment to it.
    0:39:27 You know, this is the laptop on which I wrote that book or whatnot.
    0:39:31 This is the recording deck I recorded these songs on.
    0:39:36 And they’re also beautiful, often, to me at least.
    0:39:40 I’m curious if we were to open up your closets, what we find.
    0:39:48 Well, I moved around a lot, which means that my closets went through, you know, processes of elimination.
    0:40:00 But I definitely have all the cables and all the charging devices and all the different forms of batteries from the last two decades.
    0:40:01 Why?
    0:40:08 I’m not sure. I don’t know what to do with them, I think. Somehow, you imagine that maybe they’ll be used for something else.
    0:40:20 Do you ever think that some future being will come down and really want to listen to the cassette tapes or watch the DVDs that you left behind and that they’ll need the cables to do so?
    0:40:22 Is that why you leave them there? That’s why I leave mine there.
    0:40:24 I think that might be the reason.
    0:40:31 Maybe you and I should get together and you take your closet full of cables and batteries and see how they match up with my closet full of computers and recordings.
    0:40:35 I think we can make a collage out of all of that, for sure.
    0:40:39 So the most practical output you’re saying is an art project.
    0:40:40 For now.
    0:40:44 Do you consider yourself a nostalgic person or no?
    0:40:48 That’s a good question. I don’t consider myself a nostalgic person, no.
    0:41:02 I know a lot of people who are nostalgic and who love keeping things. And I know some people who hate nostalgia and don’t keep anything. Does anthropology have much to say about that split or that spectrum?
    0:41:07 Anthropology has things to say about hoarding, for sure, and for exchange relations more broadly.
    0:41:14 I don’t know if anthropologists would qualify people as being on one side of that spectrum or the other.
    0:41:21 But maybe an anthropologist might ask, what is worth keeping for you and what’s not worth keeping for you?
    0:41:34 I mean, I literally ask myself that question about 10 times a day when I’m surrounded by my archives, notes and drafts of books, yada, yada, then all the recording stuff and equipment.
    0:41:38 I ask myself that all the time, like what it means to me, what’s it worth to me?
    0:41:41 And I can’t get to an answer.
    0:41:42 Can you help me?
    0:41:47 I think it almost is like a process of psychoanalysis, right?
    0:41:49 Not almost.
    0:41:52 People don’t keep things only for themselves.
    0:41:54 You know, I’m originally from Turkey.
    0:42:07 And when I was visiting my parents this past winter break, they showed me this chest that my great-grandmother had used when she moved from Greece to Turkey.
    0:42:12 They’ve always had it in the house for now more than 100 years.
    0:42:12 Wow.
    0:42:16 There is a piece of newspaper stuck onto this chest.
    0:42:24 Until now, I mean, no one in my family now reads Greek and no one paid attention to what it said or no one tried to decipher it.
    0:42:27 Did you whip out your phone and put Google Translate on?
    0:42:28 Exactly.
    0:42:29 Exactly.
    0:42:33 And it’s a newspaper article that announces the end of the First World War.
    0:42:40 And so all of a sudden, that chest has new meaning for everyone in the family.
    0:42:43 So anyway, I mean, I think we also keep things for others.
    0:42:45 That’s what I was trying to say.
    0:42:56 It’s like there’s an imagination that someone else in the family or maybe, you know, a friend or someone else in need might also appreciate whatever object that you kept.
    0:43:00 What will happen to that chest eventually when your parents pass?
    0:43:02 Will you inherit it?
    0:43:09 I think the reason why it was being presented to me this past winter break was to say, here is your responsibility.
    0:43:12 And did you accept that responsibility?
    0:43:17 I didn’t say anything about it, but I think I implicitly accepted it.
    0:43:20 Yes, I prepared myself for it.
    0:43:26 If your parents happen to be listening now, do you want to explicitly state your preference?
    0:43:29 I don’t want to take it away from my sister, though.
    0:43:31 I mean, maybe my sister will want to keep it.
    0:43:33 If she doesn’t want to keep it, I’m happy to keep it.
    0:43:36 There weren’t any candles in that chest, were there?
    0:43:42 I’m sure there were candles when it was first being moved in the early 20th century from Crete to Turkey.
    0:43:44 I’m sure there were.
    0:43:48 But now in its current iteration, there are no candles in it, unfortunately.
    0:43:55 Your story reminded me of something that I hadn’t thought about in years, which is I come from a big family, many siblings.
    0:43:56 Both our parents are dead.
    0:43:57 They’ve been dead for a while.
    0:44:01 And I don’t have many physical possessions of either of theirs.
    0:44:04 They could all fit in a big shoebox, basically.
    0:44:14 But one of the things I have is a box of Sabbath candles from my mother from when she was a child or a young person.
    0:44:20 And I’m hoarding them along with all my recording equipment.
    0:44:22 Have you ever burned them?
    0:44:22 No.
    0:44:29 No, I consider them, I think sacred is not too strong a word, honestly.
    0:44:32 I realize that’s kind of idiotic.
    0:44:34 Like, I should burn them.
    0:44:36 Candles are meant to be burned.
    0:44:43 The fact that they represent some emotional memory or nostalgia makes it all the more meaningful to burn them, I would think.
    0:44:45 Okay, how about this?
    0:44:46 You and I get together.
    0:44:53 Next time you’re in New York or next time I’m in Texas, one of us will bring the contents of our obsolescence closet.
    0:45:00 And I’ll bring those old candles and we’ll burn the candles and try to make a collage of the old equipment.
    0:45:01 How does that sound?
    0:45:02 That sounds great to me.
    0:45:03 Yeah.
    0:45:05 That sounds great to me.
    0:45:16 I have to say, this episode did not go exactly where I thought it would go when I first started wondering about why there are still so many candles in the world.
    0:45:18 But I’m grateful it went where it did.
    0:45:33 My thanks to the anthropologist Goethe Gunal, the obsolescence scholar Tim Cooper, Steve Herenziak of the National Candle Association, and thanks to all the listeners who sent us voice memos about their obsolete obsessions.
    0:45:43 Coming up next time on the show, we take a very deep dive into a story that we heard about a little bit in today’s episode, the economics of the whaling industry.
    0:45:46 These are majestic creatures.
    0:45:53 But as long as our economic welfare depended on whales, no one seemed to take that attitude.
    0:45:59 How did whales go from being a valuable commodity to a symbol of the environmental movement?
    0:46:01 That’s next time.
    0:46:03 Until then, take care of yourself.
    0:46:05 And if you can, someone else, too.
    0:46:09 Freakonomics Radio is produced by Stitcher and Renbud Radio.
    0:46:13 You can find our entire archive on any podcast app.
    0:46:17 It’s also at Freakonomics.com, where we publish transcripts and show notes.
    0:46:20 This episode was produced by Zach Lipinski.
    0:46:24 It was mixed by Eleanor Osborne with help from Jasmine Klinger.
    0:46:36 The Freakonomics Radio network staff also includes Alina Coleman, Augusta Chapman, Dalvin Aboaji, Ellen Frankman, Elsa Hernandez, Jeremy Johnston, Gabriel Roth, Greg Rippon, Morgan Levy, Sarah Lilly, and Tao Jacobs.
    0:46:40 Our theme song is Mr. Fortune by The Hitchhikers.
    0:46:42 And our composer is Luis Guerra.
    0:46:53 I was listening to a lecture about virtual reality and how people thought, you know, how can we bring our bodies back into the digital?
    0:47:01 And virtual reality was perceived as a way to sort of stitch our bodies and our minds together again.
    0:47:02 Oh, interesting.
    0:47:03 Do you buy that argument?
    0:47:04 Not really.
    0:47:13 The Freakonomics Radio Network, the hidden side of everything.

    They should have died out when the lightbulb was invented. Instead they’re a $10 billion industry. What does it mean that we still want tiny fires inside our homes?

     

    • SOURCES:
      • Tim Cooper, professor emeritus of sustainable design and consumption at Nottingham Trent University.
      • Gökçe Günel, professor of anthropology at Rice University.
      • Steve Horenziak, president of the National Candle Association.
      • Meik Wiking, Danish happiness researcher, C.E.O. of the Happiness Research Institute.

     

     

  • Balaji on How Tech Truly Wins Media

    AI transcript
    0:00:07 We want to build Google’s and Facebook’s and AI and giant companies, giant cryptocurrencies, and now internet communities.
    0:00:11 What they want to do is they want to exert authority over others.
    0:00:16 What is the reason for the hostility between media and tech?
    0:00:20 So for them, the best thing they can do is to put a man out of work.
    0:00:22 And for us, the best thing we can do is we can put a man on the moon.
    0:00:35 Today on the podcast, I’m joined by Balaji Srinivasan, entrepreneur, investor, and author of The Network State, to talk about one of our longest-running shared topics, the conflict between tech and legacy media.
    0:00:45 We get into the rise of GoDirect, the financial collapse of journalism, the media’s political capture, and how crypto and AI might offer a path to rebuild trust, on-chain, and on our own terms.
    0:00:50 Balaji calls for a total rethink of what truth infrastructure looks like and why tech needs to play offense.
    0:00:52 Let’s get into it.
    0:01:09 As a reminder, the content here is for informational purposes only, should not be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice, or be used to evaluate any investment or security, and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any A16Z fund.
    0:01:14 Please note that A16Z and its affiliates may also maintain investments in the companies discussed in this podcast.
    0:01:22 For more details, including a link to our investments, please see A16Z.com forward slash disclosures.
    0:01:29 Balaji, another day, another journo hit piece.
    0:01:46 We were sort of talking offline about Mark and Ben’s Evolution of the Media episode, and let me just more broadly reflect, you and I have been friends and collaborators for the last 10 years, and one of the topics we’ve spent a lot of time talking about is the media, sort of the state of the media, what needs to be fixed about the media, and how to do that.
    0:01:51 And we, with your leadership, have actually been a part of that trend and that evolution.
    0:01:58 And so I wanted to take the opportunity to talk to you, kind of reflect about that evolution, and talk about where we still need to go.
    0:01:59 Yeah.
    0:01:59 Well, okay.
    0:02:02 So there’s so much I can say on this.
    0:02:07 I’m going to show one graph that, of course.
    0:02:10 It wouldn’t be a biology podcast if we didn’t start it with a graph.
    0:02:12 Yes, exactly.
    0:02:17 This shows that, essentially, newspaper revenue rose to, like, $70 billion in the year 2000.
    0:02:23 And then, right after the financial crisis, it just suddenly collapsed over the course of, like, four or five years.
    0:02:26 And Google went vertical and Facebook went vertical, right?
    0:02:32 And the thing about this is, this was the internet disrupting blue America, okay?
    0:02:38 There’s a similar graph for manufacturing that shows China disrupting red America, almost at exactly the same time, right?
    0:02:47 So just to focus on this one, though, for a second, once you see the internet disrupting blue America, because media is, like, a core thing for them, this is actually what led to wokeness.
    0:02:50 Because, you know, you’ve heard the saying, go woke, go broke, right?
    0:02:50 Yeah.
    0:02:52 But in their case, it was actually go broke, go woke.
    0:02:54 Okay?
    0:02:57 Not my original coinage, but applied to this graph, it’s relatively original.
    0:03:02 Because wokeness was, what happened was, they just fell off a cliff like this.
    0:03:06 And from 2008 to 2012, tech was just part of the Democrat Party.
    0:03:08 It was like, you know, Steve Jobs is there.
    0:03:14 And there’s actually this article from 2012 on The Atlantic, like, the nerds go marching in, but tech helping to reelect Obama.
    0:03:15 And Facebook was helping Obama.
    0:03:17 Yeah, exactly.
    0:03:21 All that stuff was basically solidly on the Democrat side up until 2012.
    0:03:26 After the 2012 election, right after Obama’s inauguration, you can date it to right after that.
    0:03:31 Because even in 2012, like, New York media and so on was saying there’s no such thing as a brogrammer.
    0:03:32 Okay?
    0:03:33 You can Google that article.
    0:03:38 So 2012, tech was part of the coalition, so there’s no reason to attack them.
    0:03:46 After the inauguration 2013, and it’s literally that spring and summer, the knives came out, and media started attacking tech.
    0:03:47 Okay?
    0:03:54 And there are these articles, you know, would you just look at all these rich people, whereas actually in Slate, that was before they got radicalized.
    0:03:59 And they’re saying, oh, it’s actually bad to attack people just for the sake of being rich.
    0:04:03 It was before all media had updated to actually tech is our enemy now, right?
    0:04:04 Yeah.
    0:04:11 But unless you understand the economics of it, I don’t think one can understand why the journos suddenly went crazy.
    0:04:14 Now, the thing is, we’re now in 2025, right?
    0:04:19 It is now 17 years after the collapse in media revenue, right?
    0:04:27 So somebody who was born then, who was 18 years old, you’re playing any, like, multiplayer video games, like Quake or whatever, you know, all the new stuff, you know, MOBAs, right?
    0:04:31 You can get spawned into the middle of something where everybody’s shooting at each other, right?
    0:04:36 That’s what, like, the Gen Z kid is today.
    0:04:37 Okay.
    0:04:44 So from the restructuring of someone who’s 18 years old, the war with the journos has basically been a feature of their entire existence, okay?
    0:04:59 But it actually wasn’t like that because in the 90s and the 2000s, the journos were secure enough in their economic position because you could write, like, four or six articles for Time Magazine a year and get paid a nice salary and travel around the world.
    0:05:00 Did they kill?
    0:05:01 Yes, they killed.
    0:05:04 But they didn’t feel the need to kill all the time.
    0:05:12 It’s funny because of the ways I’m putting it, Nellie Bowles actually did a thing for Barry Weiss a few years ago, and it’s like learning how not to kill, okay?
    0:05:14 Well, it’s funny because she’s one of the few converts.
    0:05:16 She made the transition.
    0:05:17 She was able to get to the other side.
    0:05:27 When you look at that, or you look at, there’s another one by Hamilton Nolan at CJR, okay, which is basically like the powerful don’t need the media.
    0:05:31 Journalism, particularly at its highest level, is about raw power.
    0:05:34 See, they admit it, right?
    0:05:35 Go ahead.
    0:05:36 I remember you had this old quote.
    0:05:40 Was it some journalist who was like, we know our profession is kind of, like, immoral?
    0:05:41 That’s an old quote.
    0:05:41 Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah.
    0:05:42 That’s actually a great one also.
    0:05:43 Ready?
    0:05:44 That is the journalist.
    0:05:46 All right, this is a book report.
    0:05:52 Anybody who has read this book cannot look at the journos the same way.
    0:06:01 So Janet Malcolm talks about this, and her opening line, this is a great book called The Journalists of the Murderer, and her opening line is this famous, famous thing.
    0:06:02 Hold on, let me find this.
    0:06:08 Every journalist who is not too stupid or too full of himself to notice what is going on knows the way he does is morally indefensible.
    0:06:17 He is a kind of confidence man, preying on people’s vanity, ignorance, or loneliness, gaining their trust and betraying them without remorse, like the credulous widow who wakes up one day to find the charming young man and all her savings on.
    0:06:24 So the consenting subject of a piece of nonfiction writing learns when the article or book appears, his hard lesson.
    0:06:27 Journalists justify their treachery in various ways according to their temperaments.
    0:06:30 The more pompous talk about freedom of speech, the public’s right to know.
    0:06:34 The least talented talk about art, the seemliest murmur about earning a living.
    0:06:34 Okay?
    0:06:41 And now this is actually a very important thing because this is, by the way, rated one of the top 100 nonfiction books of the 20th century by the modern library.
    0:06:43 So this is a great book to read.
    0:06:46 There’s another book you should also read, The Great Lady Winked by Ashley Rinsberg.
    0:06:47 Okay.
    0:06:49 So those prerequisites, let’s talk about the specifics.
    0:06:53 First is, there’s like 10, 15 things I can say.
    0:06:54 Let me just go point by point.
    0:06:58 The first is, what is the reason for the hostility between media and tech, right?
    0:07:03 It’s actually the master framework on the whole thing is it’s state versus network, right?
    0:07:05 This is basically from my book, The Network State.
    0:07:11 I think it’s a useful frame, which is like, for example, Elon versus mainstream media is network versus state, right?
    0:07:14 Social media versus mainstream media is network versus state.
    0:07:18 Or when it says, what is this whole article that is attacking Luke Farreter?
    0:07:22 It’s like, why did this programmer attack the institutions of the U.S. government?
    0:07:24 Network versus state, right?
    0:07:26 Like this tech programmer attacking the state institutions, right?
    0:07:34 And it’s the people on social media, the tech people, who are mad at the fact that this state-aligned institution is attacking our tech people.
    0:07:36 Once you apply that framework, that applies to everything.
    0:07:39 For example, SpaceX is network, NASA is state.
    0:07:41 Uber is a network.
    0:07:43 Taxi medallions are the state.
    0:07:44 Bitcoin is a network.
    0:07:45 The Fed is the state.
    0:07:46 And so on and so forth, right?
    0:07:51 And those are two different organizing principles for how you think about the world.
    0:07:56 Basically, the state is someone should pass a law, and the network is someone should write some code, right?
    0:08:03 The state is everybody who is directly or indirectly paid by essentially either the U.S. government or a government more generally.
    0:08:07 And the network is all those people who are directly or indirectly monetized and make their living on the network.
    0:08:14 So when someone goes from NYT to Substack, they’re moving from state to network, right?
    0:08:24 And now the network is actually taking parts of the state where all these tech guys are getting into government, getting into politics, getting into media, getting into finance, getting into the traditional niches that were for the state.
    0:08:32 That’s why they’re so mad because their share of the global pie and the local and the American pie is shrinking and the network’s pie is expanding, right?
    0:08:34 They’re like, stay in your lane.
    0:08:35 Why are they saying that?
    0:08:42 They’re like, you should just be like hitting keys on computers and being a nerd and making like LED light bulbs that flash.
    0:08:47 You should not be like rewriting the code base of how the world works, right?
    0:08:52 And as I’ll get to, there’s a deep question of legitimacy, right?
    0:08:53 The network is new money.
    0:08:54 The state is old money, right?
    0:08:58 And when I say the state, by the way, there’s like the literal state in the sense of the U.S. government.
    0:09:03 And there’s the unelected institutions that surround the U.S. government in a ring that give it instruction.
    0:09:06 Example, the newspapers tell the state what to do.
    0:09:09 The universities tell the state what to do.
    0:09:14 The philanthropies tell the state what to do and so on and so forth, right?
    0:09:16 But they’re also in turn funded by the state.
    0:09:18 So universities obviously directly get federal funding, right?
    0:09:24 Some of them are literally public colleges, but they’re very dependent on tax exemptions and so on and so forth that the state grants.
    0:09:25 So they only exist because of that.
    0:09:27 The philanthropies also ditto.
    0:09:36 NGOs, they have compounding foundations or their foundation endowment compounds because they’ve got favorable tax treatment, which normal companies don’t get, but they’re state affiliated.
    0:09:38 And finally, the media, that’s the least obvious.
    0:09:40 How are they upstream of the state?
    0:09:44 Well, obviously, they hold somebody accountable by publishing a negative article on them.
    0:09:48 Of course, they never hold themselves accountable because they’re always like, we’re speaking truth to power.
    0:09:50 I’m like, obviously, they’re not.
    0:09:50 Why?
    0:09:54 Every journal is so courageous as to attack your boss whenever they’re off.
    0:09:56 Okay?
    0:10:00 Basically, whenever you’re talking to a journal, you’re not talking to the journal, you’re talking to their boss, right?
    0:10:07 Ultimately, for example, Bloomberg, when Bloomberg was running for president, actually, Michael Bloomberg is one of the better of them because he’s actually like a tech entrepreneur.
    0:10:10 So I’m not like completely anti-Michael Bloomberg.
    0:10:20 But Michael Bloomberg, when he was running for president, Bloomberg News, his pit bulls, they actually posted this amazing thing, which said, we will report on but not investigate Michael Bloomberg.
    0:10:25 Amazing, amazing phrase, report on what an amazing phrase.
    0:10:30 What it means is, basically, if somebody else says something, we will reprint it in Bloomberg.
    0:10:33 So you can’t say we didn’t report on him.
    0:10:34 Okay?
    0:10:36 But we’re not going to go and dig through his trash.
    0:10:38 We’re not going to do it adversarially.
    0:10:39 We’re not going to stalk him.
    0:10:42 We’re not going to spam his family like they did to our boy, Luke Faraday.
    0:10:42 Right?
    0:10:43 Massacre our boy.
    0:10:44 Well, so that’s the thing.
    0:10:46 They didn’t massacre him because he’s got our support.
    0:10:46 Right?
    0:10:46 Yeah.
    0:10:48 But they did attack him.
    0:10:49 I’m just referencing the meme.
    0:10:49 Yes.
    0:10:50 I know.
    0:10:50 I know.
    0:10:50 I know.
    0:10:51 That’s right.
    0:10:51 Yeah.
    0:10:59 But the thing is, they don’t do that because if you were a Bloomberg journo and you went after Michael Bloomberg, that’s what’s known as a CLM, career-limiting move.
    0:11:04 In fact, actually, the entire journo establishment, that’s all nepotous.
    0:11:05 That’s all old money.
    0:11:06 Right?
    0:11:16 They project onto us what their lifestyle is, like Salzberger, who inherited the New York Times, Murdoch, the guy who inherited Fox News now, and the Newhouse’s.
    0:11:19 Who inherited Wired and Condé Nast.
    0:11:20 Basically, Condé Nast was a parent company of that.
    0:11:22 Basically, they’re all heirs.
    0:11:23 Right?
    0:11:24 They’re not self-made.
    0:11:26 And the journos don’t have equity.
    0:11:29 See, old money treats the journalists much worse.
    0:11:32 Tech people, we treat our employees so much better because we give them equity.
    0:11:33 Right?
    0:11:33 They level up.
    0:11:39 Journos is a completely two-tier system where there’s the publishers, the owners of these papers, and there’s these serfs, the journos.
    0:11:40 So how do they compensate them?
    0:11:48 They compensate them in status where the journo is made to believe that they’re like some independent, like, freewheeling attack dog.
    0:11:52 Of course, they can’t actually attack true power who is their bosses.
    0:11:52 Right?
    0:11:53 They’ll never even mention them.
    0:11:55 That’s the thing is, if I say Zuck, right?
    0:11:56 If I say Zuckerberg.
    0:12:00 Zuckerberg, whether you like him or not, Zuckerberg deserves our respect because he’s the man.
    0:12:01 He really is the man in the radio.
    0:12:02 He’s taken the hits for 20 years.
    0:12:03 Right?
    0:12:10 And he has survived so many things, and crucially, he’s CEO, he’s founder, he’s out there, and you can criticize him by name.
    0:12:12 And if I say Zuckerberg, everybody can summon a face to the name.
    0:12:14 They can summon all his body and so on.
    0:12:17 If I say Sellsberger, it’s a blank.
    0:12:19 99% of people don’t even know the guy exists.
    0:12:20 Right?
    0:12:22 He’s like, you know the usual suspects?
    0:12:22 Yeah.
    0:12:25 He’s like Kaiser Sosay, Kaiser Sellsberger.
    0:12:25 Okay?
    0:12:28 Honestly, I’ve heard his name a million times, but I don’t even know what he looks like.
    0:12:29 You don’t even know what he looks like.
    0:12:37 But this thing is, basically, Zuckerberg is somebody who, again, for better or worse, he runs a major communications channel, and so he’s covered.
    0:12:37 Right?
    0:12:39 But Sellsberger doesn’t get good coverage.
    0:12:42 He gets no coverage.
    0:12:42 Yeah.
    0:12:43 Right?
    0:12:46 That is actually really interesting.
    0:12:46 Right?
    0:12:48 Who’s holding him accountable?
    0:12:48 Right?
    0:12:50 Journalism for the privacy for me.
    0:12:51 Exactly.
    0:12:56 The guy who’s surrounded by thousands of journalists at all times is the only person in the world who has any privacy.
    0:12:58 Okay?
    0:13:00 Yeah, that’s good.
    0:13:01 You’ve never seen this guy’s face.
    0:13:01 Right?
    0:13:02 Who is this guy?
    0:13:03 Yes, he’s on the New York Times.
    0:13:05 And people say, oh, my God, he’s on the New York Times.
    0:13:05 You’ve never seen his face.
    0:13:11 But the point is, if you did word face association, in terms of a number of impressions, it’s a quantitative thing, right?
    0:13:13 If I use AI, I could quantify it.
    0:13:16 How many people can summon the face of Zuckerberg with a word?
    0:13:18 Like millions, billions probably, right?
    0:13:18 Yeah.
    0:13:20 How many even know that Sellsberger exists?
    0:13:20 Basically nobody.
    0:13:21 Why?
    0:13:22 Because it’s Zuckerberg’s company.
    0:13:25 He is considered a person who is in charge of the company.
    0:13:28 And people don’t just say, oh, Facebook has some policy issue.
    0:13:29 Facebook has this policy issue.
    0:13:30 Meta has this policy issue.
    0:13:31 They go after Zuck personally.
    0:13:40 But the NYT, they’re granted the enormous shield of calling it the NYT, calling it the institution, as opposed to Sellsberger’s paper.
    0:13:41 It is just Sellsberger’s paper.
    0:13:42 It’s his blog.
    0:13:42 Right?
    0:13:44 There’s nothing that is printed there without his approval.
    0:13:45 Right?
    0:13:48 So he inherited it from his father’s father’s father’s father’s father.
    0:13:48 Okay?
    0:13:49 It’s like five generations.
    0:13:50 Here’s a big one.
    0:13:51 Okay?
    0:13:52 And then let’s get back to poor old Luke.
    0:13:53 Okay?
    0:13:54 So Durante.
    0:13:55 Okay, Walter Durante.
    0:13:56 So let me show you.
    0:13:59 There’s basically, as I said, journos never hold themselves accountable.
    0:14:00 Right?
    0:14:04 So here’s a great, great, great tweet by Paul Graham.
    0:14:05 And then here’s my reply to it.
    0:14:06 So look at Paul.
    0:14:09 One of the biggest surprises in my adult life is how unethical reporters are.
    0:14:10 And movies are always the good guys.
    0:14:12 Everyone in techno stories like this.
    0:14:13 Now, by the way, this is actually a deep point.
    0:14:13 Why?
    0:14:15 Paul is saying this.
    0:14:16 In movies, they’re always the good guys.
    0:14:19 So this is a concept I call Jurassic Ballpark.
    0:14:21 And Paul has said something like this many times.
    0:14:21 Right?
    0:14:24 Jurassic Ballpark is like, you know, the movie Jurassic Park.
    0:14:29 And in it, they are missing some DNA for the dinosaurs.
    0:14:30 They use amphibious DNA.
    0:14:34 And of course, that leads to issues because then they can reproduce and so on and so forth.
    0:14:34 Right?
    0:14:34 Okay.
    0:14:41 So in the same way, when you have a missing segment of history or culture, you just ballpark
    0:14:42 with what comes out of a movie.
    0:14:43 Right?
    0:14:44 Jurassic Ballpark.
    0:14:44 Right?
    0:14:45 You just ballpark it.
    0:14:49 But that could be really, really wrong or fake because it’s a movie after all.
    0:14:49 Right?
    0:14:54 Unless you have personal experience of something, your impression of it is the movie version.
    0:14:55 And this is a non-obvious point.
    0:14:55 Right?
    0:14:59 So like, how else could it be because visuals are very persuasive.
    0:14:59 Right?
    0:15:02 And video is a high bandwidth pathway to the human brain.
    0:15:02 Right?
    0:15:06 And it’s not like your brain was like built.
    0:15:08 Maybe in system two versus system one.
    0:15:09 You know, system one is like instinctive.
    0:15:11 And system two is like logical thinking.
    0:15:11 Right?
    0:15:15 Like maybe your system two can distinguish between true and false for the video, but your
    0:15:16 system one can’t.
    0:15:16 Right?
    0:15:17 Okay.
    0:15:21 So essentially people see all these things like journals are the good guys and so on.
    0:15:23 We just saw the journalist and the murderer.
    0:15:23 Right?
    0:15:27 We just saw once you actually understand the space, they’re more like Kaiser Soze, Kaiser
    0:15:30 Sulzberger, where they are the unreliable narrator.
    0:15:30 Right?
    0:15:34 They write the story and everybody else dies and they’re the good guys.
    0:15:38 And you never actually hear the story of how the story is written, which is actually much
    0:15:39 more important than the story.
    0:15:42 Like whenever you see the New York Times has obtained, how did they obtain it?
    0:15:44 Oh, they got some stolen documents.
    0:15:50 Oh, or they told a source, give me this and then I’ll write favorably about you and don’t
    0:15:52 give me this and I’m going to name you in the thing and you’re going to lose your job
    0:15:53 and get attacked.
    0:15:54 They do all that kind of stuff.
    0:15:55 And go ahead.
    0:16:00 I remember your definition of journalism, invasion of privacy for profit.
    0:16:00 Yeah, exactly.
    0:16:06 The non-consensual invasion of privacy for profit is what legacy media is.
    0:16:07 Let’s take that definition.
    0:16:07 Okay.
    0:16:09 Non-consensual.
    0:16:10 Can you opt out?
    0:16:12 Can you say, journo, stop stalking me?
    0:16:14 Can you say, journo, stop spamming me?
    0:16:17 Can you say, don’t mention my family?
    0:16:20 See, the thing is, in normal English, we have words for this.
    0:16:24 When journos go through your garbage, like there was somebody who’s like stalking people online
    0:16:29 and looking at all their, like Luke Farriter had somebody going and spamming all of his
    0:16:30 friends and contacts and whatever.
    0:16:34 And they were just like some like drug addict or crazy person.
    0:16:37 He could say, okay, that’s stalking, that’s spamming.
    0:16:39 You could get a 50 foot restraining order.
    0:16:44 I actually want to see, by the way, today’s court system, I want to see people use anti-stalking,
    0:16:46 anti-spam kind of things.
    0:16:48 Because can’t spam, it’s an unsolicited messages, right?
    0:16:52 Like you can try and use that on the journals and maybe there’s a sympathetic court system
    0:16:52 now, right?
    0:16:55 Like basically they get one warning, go the F away.
    0:16:58 And the second is they’ve got money, so go after them on that, right?
    0:16:59 Okay, fine.
    0:17:03 So now I’m sure there’s some process where basically there’s all New York Times were sold and there’s
    0:17:06 various things where, you know, they’ve had historical precedents that protect them.
    0:17:11 But basically once you think of them as spammers, as stalkers, as scammers, because they are
    0:17:12 scammers, the journalist is a murderer.
    0:17:13 What is the definition she used?
    0:17:15 A con man, right?
    0:17:19 The journalist is a con man because they’ll always write this email to you, which is like
    0:17:24 fluffing you up and flattering you and saying how great you are, blah, blah, blah, and pretending
    0:17:26 that they come in under flag of parley.
    0:17:29 They get their quote if you’re dumb enough to talk to them.
    0:17:31 And then they stab you in the article.
    0:17:36 That’s why Janet Malcolm said the consenting subject of a piece of nonfiction learns when the article
    0:17:41 appears his hard lesson because you talk to this person, they present themselves as a
    0:17:44 human being, as like a person you’re having a conversation with, and actually they twisted
    0:17:46 every word to try to stab you, right?
    0:17:47 Okay, coming back up.
    0:17:51 So point being, basically, they’re actually the stalkers, the spammers, the scammers.
    0:17:52 That’s what the journos are.
    0:17:54 You can’t get them to go away.
    0:17:55 So that’s a non-consensual part.
    0:17:58 The non-consensual invasion of privacy for profit.
    0:18:01 So there’s this saying that sometimes journos use as self-defense saying this is like,
    0:18:05 journalism is printing something that someone does not want printed.
    0:18:07 Everything else is public relations, right?
    0:18:09 Now, what does that mean?
    0:18:10 Why does someone not want to print it?
    0:18:12 Usually because private information, right?
    0:18:17 So the non-consensual invasion of privacy for profit.
    0:18:21 Let us not forget that these are multi-billion dollar media corporations, right?
    0:18:27 It took a long time in the 2010s for people to finally realize the New York Times, the Journal,
    0:18:29 they’re just dot coms, right?
    0:18:31 They’re not referees.
    0:18:32 They’re not neutrals.
    0:18:35 For some reason, people give them the imprimatur of like an institution.
    0:18:36 We need to save our institution.
    0:18:38 But what’s the difference to New York Times and Facebook?
    0:18:39 They’re companies.
    0:18:40 Exactly.
    0:18:41 They’re a corporation.
    0:18:43 Fair game, right?
    0:18:50 And in fact, that’s why they got so mad at us because we actually believed in what they
    0:18:53 said that we had freedom of speech and that free markets existed.
    0:18:58 Actually, until really the early 2010s, there’s no actual practical freedom of speech.
    0:18:58 You know why?
    0:19:02 Because, you know, it’s saying never argue with a man who buys ink by the barrel, right?
    0:19:05 Basically, freedom of the press belonged to those who owned one.
    0:19:11 So think about how expensive it was to get a radio license, a TV license, to own a newspaper
    0:19:15 and send trucks to people’s houses with all the ink and the printing press.
    0:19:17 That was like the super high capital cost, right?
    0:19:22 These are guys who basically own like essentially factories that cranked out papers and you at
    0:19:24 home could say something to your friend, but you didn’t have distribution, right?
    0:19:25 And we understand what distribution.
    0:19:29 Now, you know, Teal talked about distribution years ago before it was quantified with social
    0:19:29 media.
    0:19:33 Now, very roughly, distribution is like number of followers, number of people on your email
    0:19:34 list, but also quality of them, right?
    0:19:37 Not just quantity, but quality and quantity of your follower base is roughly distribution.
    0:19:43 So, you didn’t have distribution, and I mentioned this before, but in the early 90s, you know
    0:19:44 the Unabomber?
    0:19:45 Yeah, of course.
    0:19:45 Yeah.
    0:19:46 Why’d he kill all those people?
    0:19:50 He killed those people so he could get an op-ed in the Washington Post, right?
    0:19:51 Now, why?
    0:19:57 Because distribution was so scarce back then that he wanted to get his manifesto out, so
    0:19:59 he’d literally kill people for the distribution, right?
    0:20:01 That was just within our lifetimes, just 30 years ago.
    0:20:02 That’s how scarce distribution was.
    0:20:05 Today, he’d be a crazy person on the internet, right?
    0:20:06 He’d get his message out there.
    0:20:10 But if you realize Unabomber is willing to kill to get his message out, you also realize
    0:20:14 why there’s some people who are like crazy trolls on X, because they might not be able
    0:20:18 to kill, but they’re certainly willing to attack somebody else, attack their character, or reputation
    0:20:20 assassination, and now you get to the journos, right?
    0:20:25 So, journalism, as the non-consensual invasion of privacy for profit, really captures what it
    0:20:26 is that these critters do.
    0:20:32 Now, up until about 2020 or so, there was no force that could resist them.
    0:20:34 They were just like rampaging, right?
    0:20:39 I mean, we could resist them economically, but especially in the 2010s, they were so
    0:20:40 mad at us taking their money, right?
    0:20:41 And what did that mean, by the way?
    0:20:46 It just meant that, like, you refresh NYT.com, you see a Rolex ad or whatever.
    0:20:47 You see some car ad.
    0:20:48 You see some clothes ad.
    0:20:51 And if you refresh meta.com, right?
    0:20:53 Facebook.com, Instagram, what do you see?
    0:20:56 You see an ad for exactly the same company, right?
    0:20:57 Yep.
    0:21:03 And so, that means the sales account executives at both of these organizations, right, what
    0:21:08 they’re doing is they’re competing for literally the same customer, right?
    0:21:15 And obviously, the Facebook, Google, et cetera ad has much more scale.
    0:21:16 It has much more analytics.
    0:21:18 It’s built internet first and so on and so forth.
    0:21:20 So, the NYT just starts bleeding out around you.
    0:21:23 But the point being, we’re beating them economically.
    0:21:27 They couldn’t code search engines or social networks, but they could write stories and shape
    0:21:27 narratives.
    0:21:33 I know the difference between a Dropbox product announcement and, you know, NYT story.
    0:21:35 Their stories have villains, right?
    0:21:39 Our product announcements are all basically really making the world a better place.
    0:21:40 It’s like, guess what?
    0:21:42 10 gigs more storage or whatever, right?
    0:21:43 Guess what?
    0:21:48 Now you can, like, do, like, comic book style AI or whatever, right?
    0:21:50 All that stuff doesn’t hurt anybody.
    0:21:54 That’s just essentially, this is adding cool things to the world.
    0:21:55 Oh, here’s a new robot.
    0:21:56 Like, that’s what we’re doing.
    0:21:58 And what are they doing?
    0:22:01 Like, the highest award in journalism, what’s the most prestigious thing you can do?
    0:22:02 They want to catch the Theranos.
    0:22:04 Well, even higher than that is Watergate.
    0:22:05 Right.
    0:22:06 Right?
    0:22:10 So, basically, whereas for us, it’s like SpaceX, right?
    0:22:14 So, for them, the highest, the best thing they can do is to put a man out of work.
    0:22:16 And for us, the best thing we can do is we can put a man on the moon.
    0:22:18 Okay?
    0:22:22 So, literally, the number one thing that they can see, and this, again, state versus network,
    0:22:23 right?
    0:22:28 We want to build Googles and Facebooks and AI and all this kind of stuff, drones.
    0:22:32 And we want to build giant companies, giant cryptocurrencies, and now internet communities.
    0:22:36 What they want to do is they want to exert authority over others.
    0:22:39 But they want to do so in a deniable way, right?
    0:22:42 Because if you go to the Pulitzer website or something like that, and you look at these
    0:22:47 prizes, they’ll all say something like, our reporting held, you know, these so-and-so
    0:22:50 accountable and led to an FTC investigation, blah, blah, blah, blah.
    0:22:58 So, they’re really willing to take credit when their words on the page lead to the state golem
    0:23:00 going and animating and smashing somebody, right?
    0:23:02 It led to an FTC investigation.
    0:23:05 It led to a new FAA regulation, led to this, led to that, right?
    0:23:08 Leading to some person getting fired, some program getting set up.
    0:23:11 And the ultimate thing, obviously, is to get the president of the United States fired.
    0:23:12 That’s why they wanted to get Nixon fired, right?
    0:23:13 With Watergate, right?
    0:23:18 They were essentially like, think of Wall Street Journal, NYT, and Washington Post as the three
    0:23:21 board of director seats on top of the presidency.
    0:23:23 The president was like the titular CEO.
    0:23:27 But the Journal, the Times, and the Washington Post, if they all put their multi-sig key
    0:23:30 in the lock, they did their board of directors vote, they’d get them fired, right?
    0:23:32 So, that was actually the state of affairs.
    0:23:34 That’s what it meant by holding the government accountable.
    0:23:36 Nobody in the government was really in power.
    0:23:39 The journalists could write enough negative stories, and they were out of power, right?
    0:23:43 So, the thing is that when it comes publisher time, they will admit that their stories led
    0:23:44 to something.
    0:23:51 But when it comes BLM time, they deny that their stories led to, you know, half America
    0:23:52 getting burned down, right?
    0:23:57 So, it’s a one-way ratchet where they take all the credit and avoid all the blame.
    0:24:02 Because could you actually show the trace of that image coming into somebody’s eye and then
    0:24:04 them setting fire to this building?
    0:24:06 Once in a while, you might be able to show it, right?
    0:24:10 They publish a manifesto saying, I read X, Y, and Z, and that’s why I burned it down.
    0:24:14 But that causal effect, right, the cause and effect, and basically demonstrating that,
    0:24:19 is, you know, there’s an impression, a page view that comes in over here through the
    0:24:20 eyes and the ears.
    0:24:23 And then there is a burn down the building kind of action to their side.
    0:24:26 It’s funny because they’re quick to use causal in the other direction.
    0:24:31 They’re quick to say, hey, Facebook is causing people to be depressed or to whatever, turn
    0:24:32 right wing or whatever.
    0:24:33 Yes, that’s right.
    0:24:35 So, tech, there’s a causal effect for everything negative.
    0:24:36 Yeah, I agree.
    0:24:38 Cher knows there’s a causal effect for everything positive.
    0:24:39 That’s amazing.
    0:24:40 Wow, what an amazing, right?
    0:24:42 Everything you do is bad.
    0:24:43 Everything they do is good.
    0:24:43 Amazing flipping.
    0:24:47 Once you see this, though, you can basically be like Neo, you know, in the Matrix and just
    0:24:49 like block everything like this, right?
    0:24:51 And another big piece of this, they stopped doing this.
    0:24:55 But one of the things they were doing years ago is they’re like, I’m a guy, everybody in
    0:24:58 tech is so white and blah, blah, blah, right?
    0:25:03 And obviously, it’s so much more international than the journos.
    0:25:07 If you go and take that famous photo of Elon in the conference room and you compare the
    0:25:10 people there versus the NYT editorial boat photo, right?
    0:25:15 And you’ll see they’re like well-dressed, essentially, mostly European ancestry people.
    0:25:19 And again, I’m not the kind of person who thinks like white is an insult, but they do,
    0:25:19 right?
    0:25:21 So, it’s all projection, right?
    0:25:27 The journos themselves have these tyrannical, evil, meritless nepotists as bosses, right?
    0:25:29 The journos themselves can never actually make it anywhere.
    0:25:33 And it’s all favoritism and glad-handing, and there’s no merit, and it’s all luck and
    0:25:34 connections.
    0:25:40 And the journos themselves essentially are these envious people who exist to harm you, to increase
    0:25:41 their career prospects.
    0:25:43 And they project all that out into everybody else, right?
    0:25:48 So, once you see that, like every accusation is a confession or whatever, you realize, oh,
    0:25:51 this is how the world works in their stupid Brooklyn side of things.
    0:25:55 And they think of us as a rival tribe that acts the same way, right?
    0:25:55 Okay.
    0:25:58 So, now, that’s like part of the macro.
    0:26:03 Now, I have bad news for them, which is to say that I have bad news for us and also bad
    0:26:03 news for them.
    0:26:05 But let’s start with the bad news for them.
    0:26:11 The bad news for them is that they, in the gigantic war between the internet and blue America,
    0:26:11 right?
    0:26:14 And by the way, we didn’t actually intend to start that war.
    0:26:15 We were just building great stuff.
    0:26:19 And it became so popular that we took away all of the customers of these guys.
    0:26:23 But it’s not like you set up Twitter or Facebook or Google to go and blow up the Times and the
    0:26:24 posts and the journal, right?
    0:26:28 That was just something like Bezos got the post out of petty cash, right?
    0:26:32 Like, it was just something where we built a valuable enough business that it generated so
    0:26:35 much wealth that, okay, you could just go and acquire this thing, right?
    0:26:38 And, of course, I understand why they got mad.
    0:26:42 But what they should have just done is rather than try to beat us, join us or whatever, part
    0:26:44 of it is also there’s three or four different things.
    0:26:50 There’s a scenario where if Steve Jobs had lived, that when Bezos bought the post, Jobs buys
    0:26:54 the Times and Larry Page buys the Wall Street Journal and we’d be on Mars by now.
    0:26:54 Yep.
    0:26:55 Okay.
    0:26:59 So, like, the thing is, at the end of the day, there’s actually, as much as I think there
    0:27:04 are like evil twin in some ways, there’s a deep sense in which there’s a similarity, which
    0:27:08 is we’re all about the collection, dissemination, and presentation of information.
    0:27:11 That’s the similarity between tech and media.
    0:27:15 The collection of information, like the raw, you know, data, whether it’s a user-generated
    0:27:16 content or so on.
    0:27:21 Dissemination, which is distribution, the posting, circulation, and presentation, user interface.
    0:27:23 They do think about their charts or infographics.
    0:27:26 They also obsess about copy and so on and so forth, right?
    0:27:30 So, we’re a fork of them in the same way that, like, Yale was a fork of Harvard or America
    0:27:31 was a fork of Britain.
    0:27:36 The internet’s a fork of the East Coast culture.
    0:27:37 And that goes deeper.
    0:27:40 People like Paul Graham, Catherine Boyle, Mike Moritz.
    0:27:40 Yeah, yeah, yeah.
    0:27:41 Exactly.
    0:27:42 Exactly.
    0:27:42 That’s right.
    0:27:43 So, in another life, right?
    0:27:43 Yeah.
    0:27:46 Mike Moritz was a journalist, became an investor.
    0:27:49 Catherine Boyle, also a journalist, became an investor, right?
    0:27:53 Peter Thiel would have been, probably, he’d been born 20 years earlier, probably would
    0:27:55 have been a Supreme Court jurist, right?
    0:27:57 He’d probably have been, like, chief judge of the Supreme Court or something.
    0:27:59 Paul Graham would have been a professor.
    0:28:00 Larry Page, a professor.
    0:28:01 Sergey Brin, a professor.
    0:28:04 Mike Solana in Brooklyn, probably.
    0:28:04 For sure.
    0:28:07 He’d probably be a book publisher or something like that, right?
    0:28:09 I probably would have been a professor and so forth.
    0:28:13 And that’s true for Andrew Ng, Daphne Kohler, Martine Cassato, right?
    0:28:13 Dixon.
    0:28:18 Because the thing is, with computer science, there is an amazing connection between the word
    0:28:19 and the deed.
    0:28:21 Actually, AI makes that even closer.
    0:28:22 You write it down and it’s done.
    0:28:24 It’s this amazing thing, right?
    0:28:28 So, ultimately, what we’re doing is we’re also writing all day, right?
    0:28:30 We’re writing all day to see an impact in the world, right?
    0:28:35 So, the difference is their impact, because they’re doing it through the state, and a failed
    0:28:38 state at that, is almost invariably negative, right?
    0:28:42 And because we’re doing it through the network, we have feedback loops where, for example, when
    0:28:46 we type something in and it’s actually factually wrong, like, the compiler throws up on it
    0:28:47 and it just doesn’t compile.
    0:28:50 There’s fact-checking, like, on the page when we type something.
    0:28:51 They have no such thing.
    0:28:55 Their only fact-check is actually, crucially, not by the world, but by their peers.
    0:28:59 That is to say, it’s only when they lose status among other journos that they actually ever
    0:29:01 course-correct, right?
    0:29:01 Ever.
    0:29:03 And that’s, like, very rare, right?
    0:29:05 So long as within their tribe, they’re not losing status.
    0:29:06 There’s nothing.
    0:29:06 Okay.
    0:29:12 Now, basically what happened is, once you see this kind of model, by the way, going back
    0:29:16 to the original point, the internet disrupting blue America, China disrupting red America,
    0:29:20 you can understand essentially the last 18 years in the following way.
    0:29:25 Blue America was disrupted by the internet, and so they began wokeness to take a piece of
    0:29:30 red America’s pie and the tech clash to try and take back control from the internet.
    0:29:35 Red America was disrupted by China, so the trade war was against China and Trump was against
    0:29:36 blue America, right?
    0:29:40 Because both their pies, they felt they were shrinking, and so they launched two front wars
    0:29:45 on blue America and red America and the internet, red America and blue America and China.
    0:29:45 Okay?
    0:29:47 We’ll do the China bit later.
    0:29:47 Okay?
    0:29:54 But blue America versus red America and the internet, after a massive push, has lost.
    0:29:55 Right?
    0:29:59 I mean, it was close, but basically, Elon and X day.
    0:30:01 It’s, like, literally D-Day.
    0:30:02 This feels like eons ago.
    0:30:03 It’s only three years ago.
    0:30:05 Literally three years ago, X still hadn’t been acquired.
    0:30:06 Twitter was still Twitter.
    0:30:08 We are in, like, wartime speed of things happening.
    0:30:09 It’s insane how quickly things, right?
    0:30:10 Okay.
    0:30:14 So, X day was something where, by the way, it wasn’t just Elon.
    0:30:16 $44 billion.
    0:30:21 Even Elon, as amazing as Elon is, that’s, like, at the right tail of what even Elon was
    0:30:23 capable of actually having as a raise.
    0:30:24 That’s a big raise for anybody, right?
    0:30:25 Yeah.
    0:30:29 So, it took, but the richest man in the world, the wealthy, he’s launching rockets, doing
    0:30:30 ships.
    0:30:34 He has all this other stuff, and he decided to take on this enormous extra thing and somehow
    0:30:37 managed it, which is actually crazy to think about, because everything else, Elon is the
    0:30:40 end of one, because whenever I talk to a founder, I’m like, focus, focus, focus.
    0:30:41 Okay.
    0:30:44 After you have your first whatever billion-dollar company, and it’s $10 billion, and it’s $100
    0:30:46 billion, then you can do your next or whatever, right?
    0:30:46 Fine.
    0:30:48 But, so, Elon’s end of one.
    0:30:54 Point is, in 2022, where it looked like the free world was just completely on the ropes by
    0:30:57 these, like, racially-obsessed woke psychos just having us pinned like this.
    0:30:59 You couldn’t even say whether men and women exist.
    0:31:02 Like, we’re genuinely talking about, like, a permanent midnight.
    0:31:04 Like, descending is really, really bad stuff, right?
    0:31:05 How evil they were.
    0:31:07 They just burned down half America.
    0:31:10 They were just getting psycho, more and more and more psycho, right?
    0:31:17 And so, amidst that, basically, all the resources of all the centrist tech and finance guys,
    0:31:21 because that’s what the $44 billion, there’s that famous message of Elon to Ellison that’s
    0:31:22 being made public or whatever.
    0:31:22 He’s like, what are you in for?
    0:31:23 Like, one or two.
    0:31:26 Okay, but, okay, Ellison could put in one or two.
    0:31:30 But, like, so many other people, it was like Avengers Assemble putting a mil, whatever they
    0:31:32 could afford, a mil, 10, 20, 50.
    0:31:35 I mean, 50 is a big investment for almost anybody, right?
    0:31:38 Like, 50 is like, you know, it’s a serious LP meeting.
    0:31:45 So, Elon, being Elon, was able to pass the hat and assemble this gigantic coalition of $44
    0:31:50 billion, all of our remaining forces, for X day, right?
    0:31:54 And so, the landing was extremely contested, right?
    0:31:57 They basically wanted whatever the opposite of what he wanted.
    0:31:58 Yes, that’s right.
    0:32:02 So, she basically, essentially, whether forced to quit her acquisition or not, right?
    0:32:07 Or, I think, like, Elon is actually 40 chess, right?
    0:32:09 So, he actually is that smart, right?
    0:32:14 So, it is possible that Elon just essentially made people think, just reverse psychology,
    0:32:18 got the judge who had negated his pay package or, like, forced him through this whole court
    0:32:22 process to get it back to say, okay, same judge, now this time we’ll do reverse psychology.
    0:32:25 So, net-net, he got Twitter.
    0:32:30 So, anyway, point is, X day was the day.
    0:32:35 X day was also the liberation of Meta and liberation of YouTube, right?
    0:32:40 All the countries that these racial fanatics at the NYT had occupied, right?
    0:32:41 The networks they had occupied.
    0:32:46 You know how, like, the Nazi empire was at, like, its peak and they thought they were going
    0:32:49 to win and then D-Day and then they just collapsed like this, right?
    0:32:55 So, Salzburger and Soros, they thought they were going to win and then X day, boom, came
    0:33:01 in and just there, like, with X flipping, YouTube uncensored, like, Meta uncensored, everything
    0:33:05 uncensored, and so on and so forth because X was upstream of the conversation.
    0:33:09 Anyway, point is, it took Elon’s personal intervention in June 2023.
    0:33:11 See, his first round of firings hadn’t done it.
    0:33:12 His second round hadn’t done it.
    0:33:17 It was like the third round of chemo to get rid of the wokes that had just infested Twitter,
    0:33:21 right, to actually change things.
    0:33:25 And by the way, you know, again, Elon’s intuitive more than a philosopher per se, just his philosophy
    0:33:26 is his execution, right?
    0:33:30 But there’s actually a real logic to why he renamed it X, you know why?
    0:33:32 Among other things, this is one of many reasons.
    0:33:33 Why?
    0:33:37 I’m not saying this is why he did it, but it is an implicit aspect of how he did it.
    0:33:42 It’s just like them renaming all the schools and, like, tearing down the statues and so
    0:33:43 on, right?
    0:33:49 Every journo had put years of effort into building up their profiles, and all their blue
    0:33:54 checks were stripped, and all their profiles got renamed, and it was just X, right?
    0:33:55 Another example is fake news, right?
    0:34:02 Fake news had actually been used in 2016 for a few weeks in the context of all that social
    0:34:04 media news is fake, but the New York Times is real news.
    0:34:08 And Trump turned it on them, and it’s like, actually, the NYT is fake news, the fake news
    0:34:08 media, right?
    0:34:09 Which is perfect, right?
    0:34:13 So, in the same way, the blue check went from something that was something that journos
    0:34:16 valued to something that just Elon just stripped from all of them, right?
    0:34:19 He just stripped their status, stripped their distribution.
    0:34:23 I don’t know whether the ban on outbound links, again, whether it’s intentional or not.
    0:34:24 I have no personal information.
    0:34:25 This is what I just speculate.
    0:34:29 Or, again, and even if it wasn’t intentional, this is just, like, part of the effect of it.
    0:34:34 The ban on outbound links meant that suddenly X became the place you just go for the information,
    0:34:36 and you don’t go to the journos anymore, right?
    0:34:37 So, he stripped their status.
    0:34:40 He stripped their control over the central stream of media.
    0:34:42 He stripped their traffic from links.
    0:34:46 He renamed the whole thing to show that he had root control over it.
    0:34:48 Because you know what a pain in the ass it is to do a rename, right?
    0:34:55 This X.com was, in a sense, tech’s revenge for making every fucking GitHub renamed from
    0:34:57 master to main, okay?
    0:34:59 Now, is Yale renaming its master’s degree?
    0:35:00 No.
    0:35:02 Okay, of course not, right?
    0:35:04 It’s master class, whatever.
    0:35:07 Like, anybody who’s at the New York Times, are they saying, I’ve got a main degree now,
    0:35:09 rather than a master’s in journalism?
    0:35:12 I think Columbia still has a master’s in journalism, right?
    0:35:15 So, the whole point was, again, these journalists have a double standard.
    0:35:17 They would impose that on us, right?
    0:35:23 You, one million GitHub repos have to be renamed from master to main, whatever, 100 million
    0:35:23 GitHub repos.
    0:35:25 Do you know what a pain in the ass that was?
    0:35:26 It was a huge pain in the ass.
    0:35:30 Every single dev had to go through some stupid exercise on this, which was just a
    0:35:32 demonstration of their power over us at that time.
    0:35:34 That was what renaming means.
    0:35:36 It means you cause a massive inconvenience for everybody to show that you have institutional
    0:35:37 power.
    0:35:39 So, now, Elon returns a favor.
    0:35:41 And does it at even greater scale, right?
    0:35:42 Okay.
    0:35:45 So, now, what that is, is network overstate, where we fought in the domain in which we were
    0:35:46 stronger.
    0:35:50 And in a sense, also, by the way, taking back X and renaming X, you know, there’s like a
    0:35:53 hard-fought city in some countries or some wars.
    0:35:56 Gosh, there’s a city, I think, how many times has it sold?
    0:35:58 It changed hands during the Korean War.
    0:36:00 It was like several times, right?
    0:36:02 So, yes.
    0:36:05 So, Seoul changed hands for four times, okay?
    0:36:06 It went back and forth, right?
    0:36:13 And so, you think of X as being like Seoul during the Korean War, okay?
    0:36:14 Because it’s a social war.
    0:36:15 It’s a digital war.
    0:36:16 We’re a blue and red tribe.
    0:36:19 And actually, just to make that really explicit, this is a good visual.
    0:36:20 All right.
    0:36:22 So, this is from 2017.
    0:36:26 And the interesting thing is, it’s the same on both Twitter and Facebook, right?
    0:36:28 This is from eight years ago.
    0:36:32 You can see, they labeled nodes as blue and red based on whether they’d said, I’m voting
    0:36:34 for Clinton or Trump, just parsing the text, right?
    0:36:36 And they looked at their connections.
    0:36:37 And blue people were connected to blues.
    0:36:38 And reds were connected to reds.
    0:36:41 And the only large red media outlet was Breitbart.
    0:36:44 And blue was over here.
    0:36:47 And the Hill was one of the very few outlets that both sides tend to link because it just
    0:36:49 gave neutral political news.
    0:36:50 Like, so-and-so was running.
    0:36:51 So-and-so results.
    0:36:53 One neutral, truly neutral argument, right?
    0:37:00 And so, here you could actually see that this was a social war, right?
    0:37:05 And, you know, I’ve made this point in the past that in 1861, like when it was the North
    0:37:08 versus the South, we take for granted that the ideological and the geographical coincided,
    0:37:09 right?
    0:37:14 The North was the Union, and the South had the slaves, and slavery is legal here and illegal
    0:37:17 here, and the geographical and ideological coincided, right?
    0:37:22 But by 2016, the geographical and ideological did not coincide.
    0:37:25 You didn’t have a clean red states and blue states.
    0:37:25 It’s very fractal.
    0:37:30 Red states and blue states do exist, but it’s a preponderance as opposed to something that’s
    0:37:30 as clean as this.
    0:37:35 Now, to be clear, if you showed ideology here, it also looked more fractal, but it was more
    0:37:37 distinct ideologically back then.
    0:37:39 And here, it’s much more geographically overlapping.
    0:37:40 With me so far?
    0:37:40 Yep.
    0:37:41 Okay.
    0:37:47 But there is a domain where these two factions are completely distinct, and that is the domain
    0:37:48 of the cloud, right?
    0:37:52 So, on the land, red and blue are higgledy-piggledy right next to each other.
    0:37:54 They can’t invade each other’s territory.
    0:37:58 Like, what, you’re going to invade, like, the cities or the cornfields or something.
    0:38:00 You can’t invade the lands.
    0:38:05 So, instead, the social war is fighting over the mines, invading the mines, right?
    0:38:10 Now, once you see this, you can actually understand a lot about the last 10 years, right?
    0:38:13 We’ve basically been in the middle of this gigantic social war.
    0:38:18 And the goal was, for blue, like, how do you win a social war against red?
    0:38:20 Their goal, you ever play the game Othello?
    0:38:21 No.
    0:38:23 I know the game, but I’ve never played it.
    0:38:24 It’s like, you flip tiles.
    0:38:29 You’ve got black and white tiles, and you surround other tiles, and you flip them from black to
    0:38:29 white or white to black.
    0:38:30 Okay?
    0:38:37 And so, essentially, the goal for blue was to win ideologically and flip every red node
    0:38:37 to blue.
    0:38:42 One way of thinking about it is, you know how an ant colony, individual ants, they don’t
    0:38:45 actually know what they’re doing, but the colony has an intelligence.
    0:38:48 So, even if the ants don’t know what they’re doing, the colony has an intelligence, right?
    0:38:53 This is the same for a flock of seagulls or a school of fish, right?
    0:38:56 There’s colony intelligence, and insects in particular are like this, right?
    0:39:01 So, once you start thinking about ideology, it’s just like that, right?
    0:39:04 Think of woke as, like, blue, right?
    0:39:06 Or, like, radicalized blue.
    0:39:08 It’s like laser eyes, right?
    0:39:10 Like, basically, go broke, go woke.
    0:39:13 They lost all this money as the internet disrupted them.
    0:39:18 Blue laser eyes come online, and they start going to their old religion, because they don’t
    0:39:19 have the money anymore.
    0:39:22 So, go back to the old civil rights rhetoric and so on.
    0:39:26 It’s like, basically, when countries got blown up in the Middle East and other places, when
    0:39:30 countries go on hard times, that’s when fundamentalism returns, right?
    0:39:32 Because they don’t have the economics anymore.
    0:39:35 So, their economics went away, laser eyes glowing blue.
    0:39:39 So, the eyes glow blue of these Chernos, and they basically were like, okay, it’s life or
    0:39:44 death for us, and they started going and trying to capture as many institutions as possible
    0:39:44 in the social war.
    0:39:50 So, that’s why they were just going after random seeming nodes and forcing, canceling
    0:39:50 them.
    0:39:55 Remember how they wanted Amazon to put BLM on its, they did get Amazon to put BLM on its
    0:39:55 homepage?
    0:39:59 Like, for a long time, you’d load Google and it would have some BLM thing on there, right?
    0:40:00 You know what I’m talking about, right?
    0:40:01 Yeah, of course.
    0:40:05 So, everybody, you know, Brian Armstrong, during the 2020 BLM riots, like, people were, like,
    0:40:08 trying to force him to say Black Lives Matter on Twitter.
    0:40:09 What was the point of that?
    0:40:11 It’s like the Shahada in Islam, right?
    0:40:15 The point of that was to show you’re a convert to BLM, right?
    0:40:19 To flip a red node BLM, because it’s a checkmark over your head to show you they flipped that
    0:40:20 node.
    0:40:24 Now that’s part of BLM tribe, and now they can turn attention on the next one, right?
    0:40:30 And so, all of the cancellation, all of the censorship, all the deplatforming, all of the
    0:40:37 unbanking, all of the insane ideological fervor you can conceptualize as an attempt from BLM
    0:40:45 to reunify red versus blue on BLM terms by turning every internet company into something
    0:40:50 that was paying tribute to BLM versus worthless DI jobs, and every red into somebody who was
    0:40:54 paying tribute to BLM by essentially not just giving up the presidency, but assuming the position.
    0:40:57 Like, for example, why do they want to defund the police?
    0:40:58 They want to fund their NGOs.
    0:40:59 That’s what it’s all about.
    0:41:01 They wanted to redirect the budget.
    0:41:04 That’s why there’s like 200 homeless NGOs in San Francisco alone.
    0:41:10 The homeless industrial complex, that shows that the NGOs, as their budget rises, the homeless
    0:41:11 population rises with it.
    0:41:14 They’re basically paid to get people addicted to drugs.
    0:41:16 It’s the Department of Dependency Department, right?
    0:41:23 And so, the point is that basically, all of this stuff with defund the police, defund the
    0:41:29 NGOs, all of that can be conceptualized as this broad social war of blue against red to flip
    0:41:31 all red nodes blue, right?
    0:41:33 And what was their main weapon?
    0:41:37 You’re racist, you’re sexist, you’re homophobic, you’re this, you’re that, transphobic, blah,
    0:41:37 blah, blah, blah, blah.
    0:41:43 And with this language, that same language they could use to force you out of their institution
    0:41:47 because they’d fire you for being accused of any of these things, and they’d also say
    0:41:52 your institution, they’d bust your borders and they would swarm you with unqualified hires
    0:41:54 or else you’d be accused of this.
    0:41:59 So, the same language they’d use to strengthen their borders and deport reds, and they’d use
    0:42:01 to bust your borders and import blues.
    0:42:02 Do you see what I’m saying, right?
    0:42:02 Yeah.
    0:42:06 Because if you’re a racist, you get fired from a blue organization, and you’re a racist unless
    0:42:07 you hire blues.
    0:42:08 Yes.
    0:42:09 Okay?
    0:42:13 Now, of course, today we see they don’t actually care about brown people or black people, only
    0:42:14 blue people, right?
    0:42:16 So, it’s more clear in 2025, there’s less clear of several years.
    0:42:17 Fine.
    0:42:17 Okay.
    0:42:18 So, now coming back up the stack.
    0:42:25 So, once we realized that it was a social war, now we can actually understand why the journos
    0:42:26 want to kill you.
    0:42:32 Like, basically, you know how, at various times in history, France and Germany have
    0:42:35 traded, and France and Germany have fought, and France and Germany have traded, and France
    0:42:35 and Germany have fought.
    0:42:37 We are in wartime mode with the journos.
    0:42:42 So, it is, like, extremely stupid for anybody to, now let’s go to concrete brass tacks.
    0:42:45 What should technologists do, and what should we specifically do generally, right?
    0:42:48 So, first, just at an individual level, right?
    0:42:50 Number one, go direct.
    0:42:53 Build your own distribution to avoid distortion.
    0:42:54 Okay?
    0:42:59 That is to say, any content you have, it should be posted on your feeds.
    0:43:01 Why would you go and feed it to some journo?
    0:43:02 You’ve got some scoop.
    0:43:04 You don’t need them for distribution anymore.
    0:43:07 It’s more obvious that they need your content to build up their channel.
    0:43:12 And they will distort it in the process because, remember, they get credibility within other
    0:43:15 journos by being hostile to tech guys.
    0:43:19 If they write a positive story, then it’s like, well, you’re a flack, you’re running a press
    0:43:19 release.
    0:43:24 Also, by the way, there’s another point, which is conflict is interesting, right?
    0:43:29 Like, any movie, if you’re writing a screenplay, and it’s just somebody sitting on the grass
    0:43:32 enjoying a fine sunny day, that’s boring, right?
    0:43:34 But if a meteor hits, suddenly you’ve got attention, right?
    0:43:37 So, what works in a movie setting is not what works in real life, right?
    0:43:40 So, the journals want conflict.
    0:43:44 And so, our concept of, hey, it’s 10 gigs for Dropbox or whatever, that might be helpful
    0:43:47 to the public, but it doesn’t tell a story, and they want a story.
    0:43:51 So, they’re always going to take what you do and put it through some distorting lens to
    0:43:54 get to the other side, and they will get more page views at the expense of your company that
    0:43:55 you worked on so hard, right?
    0:43:58 So, number one, go direct.
    0:44:01 Number two, build your own distribution to avoid distortion.
    0:44:05 Now, the thing about that is, hire creators.
    0:44:06 There’s two kinds of creators.
    0:44:11 There’s those who are at the storyline level, and you probably only need, like, one of those
    0:44:16 per company, because if you have too many very strong-willed personalities in a company, like,
    0:44:19 you can only have one Steve Jobs at Apple, basically, right?
    0:44:22 However, you can have a lot of people assisting with production, right?
    0:44:24 With making content, with scaling that creator, or what have you.
    0:44:26 So, usually, you’re going to have a founding creator.
    0:44:28 And I’m not saying it’s 100%, by the way.
    0:44:32 Sometimes, once you get to a certain scale, it’s good to have, like, some personalities.
    0:44:35 For example, actually, Jesse Pollock’s doing a great job at base for Coinbase, right?
    0:44:39 He’s got his own distinctive style that’s complementary to Coinbase’s style, and so on.
    0:44:43 So, at a certain scale, you can have multiple personalities that are driving certain product
    0:44:43 lines, or what have you.
    0:44:44 And so, that’s fine, right?
    0:44:48 But at least for a startup getting up to a build, you probably only want to have, sort
    0:44:49 of, one storyline, one main creator.
    0:44:52 And you have a lot of production support behind that, right?
    0:44:53 And that can really work.
    0:44:55 You can get very far with that.
    0:44:57 Video, images, all this kind of stuff, right?
    0:44:58 So, A, go direct.
    0:45:01 B, build your own distribution to avoid distortion.
    0:45:04 And by the way, one way of thinking about that, they call them the media because they mediate your
    0:45:05 experience of reality.
    0:45:09 When you’re putting anything through a media, it’s like an Instagram filter that makes you
    0:45:10 into a villain, okay?
    0:45:11 Why would you do that to yourself?
    0:45:17 It’s like paying the journo with free content to make yourself look bad and get a permalink
    0:45:18 that’s attacking you.
    0:45:28 I remember our good friend Flo Crivello was launching his remote office startup during COVID, and he gave TechCrunch the exclusive, and they criticized it.
    0:45:29 They basically didn’t make it look good.
    0:45:31 And he’s like, why would I give you my launch announcement?
    0:45:33 I’m here to advertise my company.
    0:45:35 I gave it to you guys.
    0:45:38 I gave you the exclusive, and you made me look stupid.
    0:45:39 Like, why would I ever do that?
    0:45:43 And the fundamental thing is, it’s a business development relationship.
    0:45:46 Literally think of it as TechCrunch is a corporation.
    0:45:49 Why are you giving them something for free?
    0:45:50 Right?
    0:45:51 Literally, it’s that.
    0:45:56 It’s like, that journo has a spreadsheet, whether it’s them or their manager who’s looking at it.
    0:46:03 And there’s a row in the spreadsheet for that URL, and it’s got the number of clicks and the number of conversions and the ad revenue on that article.
    0:46:05 And that’s the only thing they care about.
    0:46:07 That’s the only thing they care about.
    0:46:07 You know what’s not there?
    0:46:09 The valuation or health of your company.
    0:46:12 Obviously, they don’t care.
    0:46:13 They would literally light it on fire.
    0:46:15 That’s what they did during BLM.
    0:46:18 The journo would light your house on fire and sell tickets to the blaze.
    0:46:19 Okay?
    0:46:20 That’s their business model.
    0:46:21 Right?
    0:46:25 And so, obviously, it’s like the dumbest possible deal.
    0:46:26 People still do this stuff.
    0:46:28 And I’m like, I mean, Elon uncensored Twitter.
    0:46:30 You can post whatever you want.
    0:46:30 Right?
    0:46:31 YouTube’s uncensored.
    0:46:32 Like, everything’s uncensored now.
    0:46:33 Get good.
    0:46:33 Right?
    0:46:37 Anybody who’s talking to journos in 2025, hiring public relations, what are you doing?
    0:46:38 What are you even doing?
    0:46:38 Right?
    0:46:39 Okay.
    0:46:41 Now, I will say one thing.
    0:46:41 This is very important.
    0:46:49 Over the last several years, when we’ve done, like, the tech and media kind of ecosystem, there has been something that’s worked, and there’s something that didn’t work.
    0:46:50 What worked?
    0:46:53 Individual-led projects.
    0:46:54 Right?
    0:46:55 Mike Salon is PirateWires.
    0:46:56 That has a real style to it.
    0:46:57 TBPN.
    0:46:57 Right?
    0:47:03 Which exists to, I think, make Ramp get more conversions, which is very funny.
    0:47:03 Right?
    0:47:04 It’s very funny.
    0:47:06 Of course, Ramp is our main sponsor.
    0:47:07 They’ve got them on the hats.
    0:47:08 They’ve NASCAR’d it.
    0:47:08 It’s funny.
    0:47:10 Ramp’s a good product, by the way.
    0:47:11 And so, TBPN.
    0:47:11 Great.
    0:47:12 Right?
    0:47:13 Coogan, he stuck with it.
    0:47:14 He did a lot, you know.
    0:47:16 And, obviously, All In has done very well.
    0:47:16 Right?
    0:47:18 Obviously, Elon has done very well.
    0:47:23 And, you know, I think you did it with Moz, and now, you know, I think that’s right.
    0:47:27 But what I think has not done as well is the things that are institutional.
    0:47:31 Because if it’s too institutional, you’re playing it safe.
    0:47:36 And you’re playing it safe, and there isn’t any conflict, there isn’t any opinion, there
    0:47:37 isn’t anything novel.
    0:47:38 It’s focus grouped.
    0:47:38 Right?
    0:47:41 Certain things benefit from averaging.
    0:47:41 Right?
    0:47:44 For example, the velocity of a plane or something like that.
    0:47:45 You don’t want large deviations.
    0:47:47 You want it to be within an envelope.
    0:47:47 Right?
    0:47:50 So, there’s certain kinds of phenomena where you want averaging.
    0:47:55 Opinions and theses are usually not like that.
    0:47:55 Right?
    0:48:01 So, one way of thinking about it is the entire 20th century was the centralized century.
    0:48:06 And even the movement from the widescreen to the portrait size, like a phone is like 9×16.
    0:48:12 The movement from widescreen to portrait size is visually the movement from institutional to
    0:48:13 individual.
    0:48:17 Because a portrait kind of thing, a TikTok style thing, doesn’t have room for a panoramic
    0:48:18 shot of a huge crowd.
    0:48:19 It’s for a person standing there.
    0:48:20 Right?
    0:48:24 So, it’s amazing that even the screen itself captures that move from institutional to individual.
    0:48:24 Right?
    0:48:27 And you see this also on X and other platforms.
    0:48:30 These journos, I don’t know what they were doing, if they were faking numbers or whatever.
    0:48:32 They have like 20 million followers or whatever.
    0:48:34 And they have three likes on their tweets now.
    0:48:35 Right?
    0:48:39 So, something happened there where either it was all fake or there’s just low engagement
    0:48:40 or just boring.
    0:48:42 But people just don’t trust those institutions anymore.
    0:48:42 Right?
    0:48:45 So, that’s another really important lesson.
    0:48:46 Individual over institutional.
    0:48:50 If you’re doing social media, it should be the amplified voice of your
    0:48:51 founding creator.
    0:48:51 Right?
    0:48:51 Yeah.
    0:48:55 And the founding creator is as important as the founding engineer.
    0:48:58 Because the founding engineer is implementation, but the founding creator is the distribution.
    0:49:02 The founding engineer is the how, but the founding creator is the why.
    0:49:06 Because the founding creator has a community that they’re tapped into.
    0:49:09 And they’re saying, why should this product exist?
    0:49:10 Right?
    0:49:15 So, you can often start by understanding your community and building a product for them and
    0:49:16 then hiring the engineer.
    0:49:18 It’s actually like a third kind of person.
    0:49:18 Right?
    0:49:23 Normally, it’s been like, there’s like the engineering founder and there’s like the business founder.
    0:49:24 This is like the content founder.
    0:49:25 Right?
    0:49:25 Yeah.
    0:49:30 And actually, this is where Coulson and Altman have observed where are the Gen Z, where are
    0:49:31 the younger founders who are not in tech?
    0:49:32 They’re in content.
    0:49:33 Yeah.
    0:49:34 Right?
    0:49:36 Because actually, that’s where extreme leverage is.
    0:49:37 That’s the Mr. Beast.
    0:49:40 That’s the guy who actually looks like you, Aiden Ross.
    0:49:42 Some of the younger guys are there.
    0:49:42 Right?
    0:49:43 I Show Speed is like that.
    0:49:43 Right?
    0:49:46 And they’re very talented at what they do.
    0:49:50 And it’s just not something that we thought of as a thing because, you know, there’s still
    0:49:54 like the startup kind of thing, but that’s actually now a, I shouldn’t say it’s a game
    0:49:59 for 30 and 40-somethings, but millennials are good at startups and we’re still good at startups
    0:50:02 and we still are, you know, Palmer’s doing a new thing, Altman’s doing a thing, obviously
    0:50:03 not a new thing, but you know what I mean?
    0:50:05 Like, we keep doing stuff, right?
    0:50:10 But the 20-somethings are often very good at content and content is actually upstream of
    0:50:10 product.
    0:50:13 There’s room for a lot of collaboration there, potentially, where they’re doing the marketing.
    0:50:17 It’s kind of like Beats by Dre, but you start with Dre rather than Apple, right?
    0:50:22 I’m not saying anything people don’t know, but right now those have been, I think, doing
    0:50:29 things that are relatively low-tech, like Mr. Beast Feastables or t-shirts or stuff like
    0:50:29 that.
    0:50:34 Brian Johnson, I think with Blueprint, is starting to get higher tech where you start with the
    0:50:38 creator and then ideally you can distribute like quantified self stuff through that, if
    0:50:39 that makes any sense, right?
    0:50:41 Huberman could also do something like this if he decides to get into that area.
    0:50:47 Any biotech company, genomics company, sequencing company could do deals with Huberman, for example,
    0:50:47 for distribution, right?
    0:50:48 Okay.
    0:50:52 So this, by the way, is starting to make the case for why don’t outsource your creation.
    0:50:53 Are you outsourcing your engineering?
    0:50:55 Don’t outsource your creating, right?
    0:50:57 Don’t outsource your content.
    0:50:58 Content’s as key as code.
    0:51:00 Content happens in the house, right?
    0:51:03 Content, you have to sweat over it.
    0:51:07 And actually, so for example, here’s a few things that I’m like half implementing, partially
    0:51:10 implementing, or I am implementing, but I want to implement more, right?
    0:51:14 It’s the kind of thing you want, obviously, come to ACZ or come to Network School, come
    0:51:16 to NS.com, come to Network School, come and work with us.
    0:51:20 But for example, GitHub allows a bunch of people to contribute to code at the same time.
    0:51:21 We take that for granted.
    0:51:24 How do you get a bunch of people to contribute to content at the same time?
    0:51:26 Something like frame.io is pretty good.
    0:51:27 You know, frame.io.
    0:51:31 You can put all these clips in there, all these images in there, and then you have something
    0:51:32 for people to work with.
    0:51:35 Or CapCut web interface, right?
    0:51:38 You can log into that and just basically load stuff in there, and you have a few accounts
    0:51:40 that are shared among team members, right?
    0:51:44 So now you actually have something where creation was a single-player app.
    0:51:48 You start making it a multiplayer app, and now internet connections are good enough that
    0:51:51 you can do versioning on big files and reviews of big files and so on and so forth.
    0:51:55 Start thinking about your content base like your code base, okay?
    0:52:01 And obviously, AI is a big part of that, though it’s not the only thing, since I think, you
    0:52:05 know, any new tool, people use a tool, and they overuse a tool, and you bring it back, and
    0:52:08 you’re like, okay, it’s a percentage of my thing, but it’s not everything, right?
    0:52:11 If we did this whole podcast as AI, and we had, like, computer-generated us, it wouldn’t
    0:52:13 be as interesting or what have you, right?
    0:52:14 Because it’s generic.
    0:52:16 AI is necessarily, it’s almost like a search engine.
    0:52:17 It pulls, like, the…
    0:52:18 It’s funny, I was saying this the other day.
    0:52:21 Midwit writing used to be woke.
    0:52:23 Now all Midwit writing is AI.
    0:52:25 Like, it’s not this, it’s that, right?
    0:52:29 So it’s like a super intelligence, yet Midwit, right?
    0:52:32 But that’s because it’s building the average from the whole internet, so it’s useful when
    0:52:33 you prompt it.
    0:52:36 Anyway, point is, so that’s another piece on media.
    0:52:38 So build your own distribution to avoid distortion.
    0:52:40 Go direct, if you have something to say.
    0:52:42 Hire creators.
    0:52:44 You know, no journos, only influencers.
    0:52:45 That’s a related point.
    0:52:49 Do not bring journalists to your conference.
    0:52:52 Do not bring journalists to your event.
    0:52:54 Do not bring journalists anywhere.
    0:52:58 Just like they would try to unperson you and cancel you on everything.
    0:53:03 Like, you need hard borders, no journos, right?
    0:53:08 The reason is, because as Janet Malcolm said, they’re like a con man, right?
    0:53:11 There’s normal people who’ll talk to you like a normal person.
    0:53:15 And there’s a journo who’ll come there with a mic and try to get someone to say something
    0:53:16 and then attack them, right?
    0:53:19 And the problem is, this is another big piece of it.
    0:53:22 Like, a lot of people, you know how the journalists get them, is they get them on ego.
    0:53:24 Okay?
    0:53:27 So, it’s actually very similar to like the CIA.
    0:53:27 Do you know what I’m saying?
    0:53:29 Like, yeah, it’s like mission.
    0:53:30 Yeah, exactly.
    0:53:31 See, most people don’t understand this.
    0:53:36 Like, much of what the NYT and what these guys do, and they’re so much weaker than they
    0:53:36 used to be.
    0:53:38 Like, so, so, so much weaker.
    0:53:39 Thank God.
    0:53:40 They’ve lost the center, right?
    0:53:45 What happened is, they just piled up the subscriptions, and they got all the wine moms
    0:53:46 and lost the Andresons.
    0:53:48 Amazing trade for us.
    0:53:49 Oh, my God.
    0:53:50 They lost Glenn Greenwald.
    0:53:51 They lost Mark Anderson.
    0:53:52 They lost Nate Silver.
    0:53:55 They lost Barry Weiss, right?
    0:53:57 Amazing trade for us, right?
    0:53:58 Like, for the center.
    0:54:03 Because they actually got Tech Envy, and they just optimized the money, and they lost actually
    0:54:05 all influence and power over the center.
    0:54:06 Thank God, right?
    0:54:07 Fine.
    0:54:11 And actually, that’s a good trade, by the way, to be clear, I actually want everybody
    0:54:11 to have a good life.
    0:54:15 It’s possible that in some alternate reality, some of the journos would be good people.
    0:54:16 Not all.
    0:54:19 Some of them are genuinely, like, evil people, like a stalkerish personality.
    0:54:23 But a good chunk of them, like, for example, Derek Thompson is not a hater.
    0:54:24 Yeah, he’s good.
    0:54:24 Yeah.
    0:54:26 But that’s why he left the Atlantic, right?
    0:54:31 So, all the ones who are not haters eventually leave.
    0:54:34 Because you have to have the soul of a hater to be a journo today.
    0:54:38 You have to have, like, a soul, which is, like, a stalker, envious kind of person, Gollum-like
    0:54:40 personality or whatever, to be a journo, right?
    0:54:42 And also, you have to not get it.
    0:54:44 You have to be, like, not numerical enough.
    0:54:47 Because, you know, the pay is better in tech in general.
    0:54:48 The employees are treated better.
    0:54:52 So, you have to be, like, a hater of a certain kind, a very specific kind, right?
    0:54:57 Anyway, point is, the journos, another key concept when interacting with them, or not
    0:54:59 interacting, you shouldn’t interact with them, but let’s say when dealing with them,
    0:55:03 is they’re like a private, a for-profit CIA or FBI.
    0:55:03 Should I explain this point?
    0:55:05 Actually, especially CIA.
    0:55:05 Okay.
    0:55:08 So, the thing is, most people think from, again, remember the Paul Graham thing about,
    0:55:10 you learn from the movies, the Jurassic Ballpark?
    0:55:15 So, most people think that what the CIA does is, like, assassination.
    0:55:19 But a lot of what it does is actually character assassination.
    0:55:20 It plants stories.
    0:55:26 Isn’t that much cleaner to just have somebody plant a story, and then they’re discredited?
    0:55:29 And it’s so much cleaner than bullets and blood and so forth, right?
    0:55:31 In fact, they did this in East Germany as well.
    0:55:36 By the way, Wikipedia is actually just as bad as the media, because Wikipedia, it’s garbage
    0:55:37 in, garbage out.
    0:55:40 What happens is, you can only cite articles from legacy media.
    0:55:42 You can’t cite social media directly.
    0:55:43 So, Wikipedia’s a rehash.
    0:55:46 So, in anything that’s contemporary, anything that’s political, they’re really terrible.
    0:55:50 Nevertheless, there’s some articles from when they didn’t get corrupted.
    0:55:54 So, a psychological warfare used by the Ministry of State Security, it served to combat alleged
    0:55:55 through covert means.
    0:56:00 Basically, Zerzetsung was because the communists were also fighting a similar social war.
    0:56:01 They had conservatives.
    0:56:01 They had libertarians.
    0:56:03 They had non-communists on their territory.
    0:56:04 They didn’t want to kill them.
    0:56:08 They wanted to convert them, just like the blues flipping the reds to convert to blue,
    0:56:08 right?
    0:56:13 They were targeted to stop activities of political dissent and cultural incorrectness, right?
    0:56:15 And what are the kinds of things they did, right?
    0:56:20 Like, they do things like go and mess up your sock drawer to make you think you’re insane
    0:56:22 or tell people you’re having an affair, right?
    0:56:25 So, it’s like subvert and undermine an opponent, right?
    0:56:29 So, disrupt the target’s private life so they’re unable to continue their hostile negative
    0:56:30 activities toward the state.
    0:56:33 This is what they did to Luke Faraday just now.
    0:56:35 Exactly this.
    0:56:38 The aim was to disrupt the target’s private or family life so they’re unable to continue their
    0:56:40 hostile negative activities toward the state.
    0:56:41 Do you see that?
    0:56:45 What they’re mad is that Luke, they didn’t care when Luke was just analyzing some old,
    0:56:48 you know, museum pieces or whatever, right?
    0:56:53 But once they’re going after the state, when Doge is going after the state, that’s their bread,
    0:56:53 right?
    0:56:54 That’s their power center.
    0:56:55 That’s their golem.
    0:56:58 The FTC investigated this after our articles, right?
    0:57:01 So, anything that’s upstream of that, they don’t want us to be upstream of that.
    0:57:02 They want to be upstream of that.
    0:57:03 Make sense?
    0:57:09 So, as there’s that song, you know, like the communists and the journalists are the same,
    0:57:10 but I repeat myself, right?
    0:57:14 And the reason, by the way I say that is all, I may have mentioned this, but like John Reed,
    0:57:21 Walter Durante, Herbert Matthews, like David Halibur, Sam, Edgar Snow, just take all those
    0:57:25 names and those are all the journalists who did the PR for the communists.
    0:57:27 It’s literally the reason that Castro’s in power.
    0:57:31 For example, there’s this book, The Man Who Created Fidel, right?
    0:57:36 The Man Who Invented Fidel, Castro, Cuba, and Herbert L. Matthews of the New York Times.
    0:57:37 You see that one, right?
    0:57:43 Or here’s another one, which is Durante, Ukraine, Amazon, like basically Stalin’s apologist.
    0:57:44 Isn’t that amazing?
    0:57:46 Stalin’s apologist worked at the New York Times.
    0:57:49 Castro’s apologist worked at the New York Times.
    0:57:50 Crazy stuff.
    0:57:52 Actually, there’s another one, Perfect Spy, right?
    0:57:55 Which is the Vietnam one, right?
    0:58:00 The incredible story of double life of Pham Zuan An, a Time magazine reporter on Vietnamese
    0:58:01 communist station.
    0:58:02 Isn’t that interesting?
    0:58:06 See, when I say journalists and communists, but I repeat myself, I’m like being completely
    0:58:07 literal.
    0:58:11 We just pulled up three books in 30 seconds that were about journalists communists.
    0:58:15 So, Dylan Matthews from Vox, he’s talking about the Luke Farad argument.
    0:58:17 He says, the negative reaction to this is wild.
    0:58:22 If you join the government and your primary legacy is helping to kill millions of people
    0:58:25 through aid cuts, you can handle some criticism if you can live with yourself.
    0:58:29 The Salisbury’s primary legacy is killing, not like through aid cuts, the Salisbury’s primary
    0:58:32 legacy is killing millions of Ukrainians.
    0:58:33 Where’s their criticism, huh?
    0:58:34 Right?
    0:58:37 Again, Dylan Matthews is too much of a coward to do that, right?
    0:58:38 The logic is just insane.
    0:58:43 It’s claiming that by Dylan Matthews not giving all of his money to aid, he’s killing people
    0:58:45 or by not making more money, he’s killing people.
    0:58:48 I mean, just it’s, you know, he’s his 23-year-old of killing millions of people.
    0:58:50 Why are we giving money in the first place?
    0:58:53 Every policy, one of the things about it, notice what they’re doing here.
    0:58:57 With the Hall of Demore, there’s actually a very clear-cut case where Durante wrote 13
    0:59:02 articles that basically said Stalin wasn’t liquidating the Ukrainians.
    0:59:04 He just meant it metaphorically.
    0:59:07 They’re literally covering up like a murder in progress, okay?
    0:59:08 So that was like a very clear-cut case.
    0:59:13 Here, you’re talking about, okay, this is the Feed the Pigeon Society argument, by the
    0:59:14 way, right?
    0:59:20 Like essentially, as the number of the population grows as dependent, any cut to budget whatsoever
    0:59:22 for the blues is equated with murdering their dependents.
    0:59:24 And they probably believe that, right?
    0:59:30 So it grows to the sky and everybody gets alms that, of course, the blues get nice paid non-profit
    0:59:31 jobs out of, right?
    0:59:32 And of course, you have more and more dependents.
    0:59:33 And by the way, guess what?
    0:59:35 He’s absolutely completely wrong here as well.
    0:59:36 You know why?
    0:59:37 Go to Easterly and Levine.
    0:59:41 Easterly and Levine said, stop the aid, right?
    0:59:42 Why?
    0:59:46 Because all the aid is used for these warlords in Africa, right?
    0:59:51 Actually, there’s something where in Nigeria, there’s a business plan competition that was
    0:59:54 the most successful, quote, aid project ever because they’re making businesses.
    0:59:57 Like, the thing is, I saw this myself in India.
    1:00:03 Guys like these effective altruists or these guys, they don’t want peers.
    1:00:05 They want pawns, right?
    1:00:09 Brown people in India were starving in the 80s or whatever.
    1:00:11 And they were pawns of these NGOs who sent the aid.
    1:00:13 Now, India doesn’t need aid.
    1:00:15 India is actually number three in unicorns.
    1:00:17 It’s landing on the dark side of the moon.
    1:00:19 I’m not saying everything is perfect, but it’s rising.
    1:00:23 So, the fundamental premise of his point that aid helps is incorrect.
    1:00:29 Aid actually hurts because aid, you know, it’s kind of like testosterone supplementation
    1:00:30 of biosynthetic pathway.
    1:00:35 If somebody takes too much of an exogenous hormone, it cuts off their natural production,
    1:00:36 right?
    1:00:40 Like, basically, if people take too much of the way of steroids, you know, it can cut off
    1:00:41 your natural hormonal production.
    1:00:42 You have to get it exactly right.
    1:00:46 The actual charity is investment.
    1:00:47 This is actually a deep point.
    1:00:48 Should I explain this point?
    1:00:53 So, imagine you’ve got two, quote, rich guys, okay?
    1:01:00 And one of them is Soros or USAID is kind of like a rich institution or somebody who’s handing
    1:01:01 out aid, okay?
    1:01:02 Grants, seeming grants.
    1:01:04 And another person is an investor.
    1:01:11 So, for the people who are queuing up to write those grants to seek aid, okay, they are making
    1:01:14 themselves as sympathetic or as pathetic as possible.
    1:01:18 And in The Limit, it’s like the movie Slumdog Millionaire, right?
    1:01:23 Where you see it’s dramatized, but the limbs of the kid are cut off to make them more sympathetic.
    1:01:29 It’s almost learned or caused helplessness to either become, to pretend to, or become as
    1:01:32 helpless and pathetic and sympathetic as possible so you get the maximum amount of money.
    1:01:37 You win the competition for being the biggest loser, in a sense, the biggest victim, right?
    1:01:38 That’s what wokeness is, right?
    1:01:43 By contrast, if you think about our culture in tech and VC, right?
    1:01:46 What we respect more than anything else is strength, right?
    1:01:49 Essentially, you come to us, you come to us for a check.
    1:01:54 And what we respect the most, in a sense, is if we didn’t put a check in you, but you still
    1:01:57 win and you raise from someone else or you do it on your own, you bootstrap.
    1:02:01 And then a year later, we’re like, I respect you.
    1:02:01 I was wrong.
    1:02:03 You were strong enough on your own.
    1:02:06 And one way of talking about this is fake it till you make it, but another way of putting
    1:02:10 it is, rather than the Slumdog Millionaire of people chopping off their limbs and thinking
    1:02:13 about how depressed and pathetic they are to compete for grants and aid, instead, imagine
    1:02:17 a bunch of people who are all running a race, like a mile or whatever, right?
    1:02:22 They’re running a mile and 20 people compete, only one wins, but the other 19 at least got
    1:02:23 a workout, right?
    1:02:28 So everybody who’s in the process of trying to raise venture or, not that you have to raise
    1:02:31 money, obviously, you can just totally bootstrap it yourself now.
    1:02:33 It’s a single person startup is much easier than it’s been.
    1:02:40 But anybody who’s in that process becomes stronger as a consequence of it, because you
    1:02:43 constantly want to keep giving updates to the investor on all the stuff you’re shipping.
    1:02:48 And that means, like, sometimes the easiest way to do that is to actually just ship.
    1:02:49 I mean, most of the time, these, right?
    1:02:55 So in the process of proving yourself to others, you prove yourself to yourself, right?
    1:03:00 So that’s why a small amount of capital, when 20 people compete for it, strengthens the
    1:03:00 whole ecosystem.
    1:03:05 But a small amount of aid, when 20 people compete for it, weakens the entire ecosystem.
    1:03:11 So, and another way of putting this also is, take these wokes who purport to believe in
    1:03:12 equality, okay?
    1:03:13 The Soros types or whatever.
    1:03:17 Are they walking down the street and they’re saying, oh, here’s some guy in the street.
    1:03:18 I’m going to give them half my fortune.
    1:03:19 Now we’ve achieved equality.
    1:03:21 Are they going to knock it down?
    1:03:22 So let’s say they’ve got a billion dollars.
    1:03:29 Are they going to find 100,000 people and each give them $1,000 or $10,000 so they’ve all
    1:03:32 got $10,000 and they’re down to $10,000 so they’re all equal?
    1:03:33 It’s within their power to do so.
    1:03:35 They could literally hit a button to do so.
    1:03:39 If they actually believe in equality, they could instantly achieve equality right now.
    1:03:40 Okay?
    1:03:45 And indeed, I actually do believe in redistribution for every self-proclaimed socialist just for
    1:03:50 them to take their fortunes and redistribute them, opt in to socialism, we’ll take all their
    1:03:52 money, all the wokes, right?
    1:03:52 They’d like an example.
    1:03:54 Yeah, exactly.
    1:03:54 That’s right.
    1:03:56 Look, we basically opt into that, right?
    1:03:59 What they actually want, of course, is to take your money and do something with it.
    1:04:01 But you take them at their word, they actually believe in equality.
    1:04:04 What they mean by equality, by the way, is equality between themselves and the people
    1:04:05 they’re looking up at.
    1:04:08 They’re not thinking about all the people who they’re wealthier than or whatever, and that’s
    1:04:08 it, right?
    1:04:09 Okay, fine.
    1:04:12 And another way of putting it is, if somebody’s walking on the street and they see somebody
    1:04:14 and they’re down their luck, they might give them a dollar or $10.
    1:04:16 They’re not going to give them half their salary.
    1:04:18 So charity decelerates.
    1:04:22 The more somebody rises, the less sympathetic and pathetic they are.
    1:04:26 And in fact, people have talked about like how once somebody gets out of the total underclass
    1:04:30 into the working poor, they actually sometimes make less money from all the grants and stuff
    1:04:33 because all those cutoffs is how they’re considered self-sufficient, right?
    1:04:37 You actually can earn your way into a local valley before you earn your way out of it.
    1:04:39 It’s a disincentive to work.
    1:04:39 Okay.
    1:04:43 On the other side of things, for example, take Teal and Zuck.
    1:04:44 This is a very famous example.
    1:04:45 There’s many more like this.
    1:04:49 Zuck started out much, in a sense, poorer than Teal.
    1:04:51 Teal put in 500K.
    1:04:52 Zuck is now much richer than Teal.
    1:04:56 But Teal also became much richer in the consumments, right?
    1:05:04 So that’s an example of investment actually achieves redistribution of fortunes or creation of fortunes
    1:05:08 or greater equality in a way that charity never would, right?
    1:05:10 So capitalism is the ultimate social.
    1:05:13 In the same way like the phones that got to everybody in the world, the billions of phones,
    1:05:14 capitalism did that.
    1:05:16 Aid didn’t do that, right?
    1:05:20 All this USAID stuff is just aiding blue NGOs.
    1:05:22 What he’s actually mad about, go ahead.
    1:05:24 I was laughing at the truth of that.
    1:05:25 That’s the truth of it, right?
    1:05:29 So the fundamental premise of his point is exactly wrong.
    1:05:33 And so you’re taking away their pets, you’re taking away their pawns, you’re taking away
    1:05:35 their reason for existing.
    1:05:37 And of course, they’ll pathologize that, right?
    1:05:39 But actually, they’re doing harm to them, right?
    1:05:40 They’re not helping them.
    1:05:41 Helping is investment.
    1:05:46 I mean, it obviously goes to the old saw of like teach a man to fish versus give a man a
    1:05:46 fish, right?
    1:05:49 But give a man a thousand fish forever, they become completely dependent.
    1:05:51 And that’s actually the goal of it.
    1:05:54 Really, what’s happening is the cutoff of USAID is rolling up Blue Empire.
    1:05:56 So it’s killing the blue business model.
    1:05:58 That’s what they’re mad about, Luca.
    1:05:59 Okay, keep going.
    1:06:02 I think going back to Luke, what’s our advice to him?
    1:06:04 Or how do you sort of react or reflect to the situation?
    1:06:05 What should he do now?
    1:06:06 So I don’t know how they got that photo of him.
    1:06:08 Did he sit for that photo?
    1:06:08 No, no, no.
    1:06:09 I don’t think so.
    1:06:09 Yeah.
    1:06:13 So point is, I think overall, he didn’t talk to journos, which is good.
    1:06:14 Look, Luke will be fine.
    1:06:15 Why will Luke be fine?
    1:06:17 Because his tribe supports him, right?
    1:06:20 And the journos’ ability to impact somebody else.
    1:06:25 With that said, the reason they do this stuff now is, and this is the unfortunate part,
    1:06:29 they do this stuff, and they post this, take this Dylan thing.
    1:06:33 Like, by his logic, oh, then someone would be justified in Luigi type stuff, right?
    1:06:37 This is really the very dangerous thing about what these journos are doing.
    1:06:40 They’re trying to essentially foment hatred against tech guys.
    1:06:44 What have we done besides make things cheaper, faster, better, right?
    1:06:48 Wow, I can now communicate with anybody, anywhere, at any time for no money.
    1:06:50 I can find all the world’s information at my fingertips.
    1:06:53 I can do math and computer science.
    1:06:54 I can do simulations.
    1:06:55 We can launch rockets.
    1:06:56 We’ve got electric cars.
    1:06:58 Oh, we’re the bad guys, right?
    1:07:02 Versus the people who are just like stalking and spamming everybody all the time, right?
    1:07:06 So first thing is just to have incredibly strong moral bedrock frame.
    1:07:08 Understand that everything that journos are doing is projection.
    1:07:13 I think advice to Luke, the first thing, by the way, is I actually think that had tech
    1:07:15 ignored that article, it wouldn’t have gone anywhere, right?
    1:07:15 Right.
    1:07:16 That’s another piece about it.
    1:07:17 Don’t take the bait.
    1:07:21 The irony is that this is the opposite of a hit piece for him in that he’s now got
    1:07:21 defenders.
    1:07:25 We know it’s a puff piece in our circles, like it’s a badge of honor.
    1:07:26 Yeah, yeah, that’s right.
    1:07:29 So I think what I would say is I think his family and friends should consider going to
    1:07:32 Starbase Texas or something like that, right?
    1:07:38 Basically, you want to now sort at this point and you want to sort and be amidst communities
    1:07:40 of people who share your values, right?
    1:07:42 And the sooner you do that, the better.
    1:07:46 And the reason is you just don’t want to have crazy blue people around you.
    1:07:51 The Tesla terrorists and so on who are blowing things up, the Luigis, so on and so forth,
    1:07:51 right?
    1:07:53 So that is actually the danger here.
    1:07:55 And I don’t say that lightly.
    1:07:59 And in fact, if you want, we can just bleep out Luke’s name, you know, and so on and so
    1:08:05 because I don’t want to, you know, but basically, I think the issue with this is here’s another
    1:08:07 kind of recommendation for tech guys.
    1:08:08 There’s a decision rule.
    1:08:10 Don’t take the bait.
    1:08:14 The journos only get traffic for their articles when they get range views from us.
    1:08:14 And guess what?
    1:08:19 They got 700K views or whatever for this tweet and they got conversions because they sold
    1:08:20 ads, right?
    1:08:24 And so that’s a dub for them in a sense, right?
    1:08:27 I mean, look, it’s not like a total dub because it’s certainly not getting anybody fired or anything
    1:08:28 like that.
    1:08:30 It’s much less of a dub, but it’s some kind of dub.
    1:08:35 So, okay, a while ago, there was some journo who was like doing some like cover story or
    1:08:36 something like that.
    1:08:40 And they put people on a tech guy for like 15 months or something.
    1:08:43 And he just completely ignored the entire thing.
    1:08:46 And it got no clicks and it got no views or anything.
    1:08:49 The opposite of love isn’t hate, it’s indifference, right?
    1:08:56 The fact that, like, another way of putting it is, so we’ve built up much of the supply chain,
    1:08:57 but not all of it, right?
    1:09:01 So, the most important thing is we’ve gotten X and we’ve reestablished control over the
    1:09:07 platform because they had gone deep into our territory and actually had crazy blue stuff
    1:09:08 in some of our citadels, right?
    1:09:09 Like our VC firms.
    1:09:12 So, one of the things they were doing is they’re trying to target the stuff that’s upstream,
    1:09:16 the platforms, the venture capitalists and so on to try to hit the, you know, why they
    1:09:17 go after Uber, right?
    1:09:20 They didn’t want to know the trillion dollar company, certainly not the libertarian one.
    1:09:21 Why they go after VCs?
    1:09:23 They’re the ones distributing capital.
    1:09:27 If they go after these nexus points, these critical nodes, they could try to hit those
    1:09:28 if you’re in a social war.
    1:09:30 It’s like taking a capital city or a town.
    1:09:32 These are important nexus points, right?
    1:09:33 You don’t want to go after a desert.
    1:09:34 You go after nexus points, right?
    1:09:36 So, they were deep in our territory.
    1:09:37 So, now we took back the platform.
    1:09:38 That’s good.
    1:09:44 And we’re flanking mainstream media with tweets and podcasts, right?
    1:09:48 Ultra short form and ultra long form content where they don’t have as much establishment
    1:09:49 oomph, right?
    1:09:52 We figured out the formula that works, which is individual over institutional.
    1:09:59 Now, the next step, and this is the big story for the next five years or so, the ledger of
    1:10:00 record, right?
    1:10:02 Ultimately, you can’t be a critic.
    1:10:04 You have to be a constructive critic, right?
    1:10:09 Like, like, Ron Paul said, end the Fed, and Satoshi implemented Bitcoin, right?
    1:10:11 So, you have the criticism, then you have the construction.
    1:10:13 So, we actually have to build something better.
    1:10:15 We have to build internet-first media, right?
    1:10:18 So, that is that whole talk I gave on the ledger of record.
    1:10:21 And that, by the way, that talk was originally from, like, 2020.
    1:10:25 And I actually feel pretty good about that, essentially predicting that GPT-3, the next version
    1:10:27 of it, would be able to summarize things.
    1:10:30 It happened faster than I thought, but, like, I think the projection was correct, right?
    1:10:31 And the fundamental…
    1:10:31 The box scores.
    1:10:32 The box scores.
    1:10:33 Exactly.
    1:10:40 The fundamental premise is, if you think about a sports article, it’s essentially, now we’d
    1:10:45 use it, and I phrased it slightly differently then, but it’s essentially a wrapper around
    1:10:46 a box score.
    1:10:50 Or if you take a financial article, it’s essentially a wrapper around stock ticker symbols.
    1:10:53 And you take a political article, it’s a wrapper around tweets.
    1:10:54 That’s a raw feed.
    1:10:57 It’s the numbers that underpin the letters, right?
    1:11:01 So, now, if you think about what a blockchain is, it’s a cryptographically verifiable feed.
    1:11:03 That’s, in a sense, what Bitcoin is, right?
    1:11:07 What a blockchain is, it’s a stream of events similar to Twitter or any other event-based
    1:11:10 feed, except it’s got much harder cryptographically verifiable guarantees.
    1:11:12 Proof of what, when, and where, right?
    1:11:14 Or proof of what, when, and who.
    1:11:15 What is the hash?
    1:11:16 When is the timestamp?
    1:11:18 Who is the digital signature?
    1:11:21 You can also do, like, proof of location, proof of where, and other kinds of proofs, right?
    1:11:28 So, that stream of cryptographic proof is, like, a better Twitter in that sense, like, cryptographically
    1:11:28 verifiable Twitter.
    1:11:32 Then you have AI referencing that to create articles, right?
    1:11:36 That’s a high-level concept of the ledger of record that replaces the paper record.
    1:11:38 We have to play to win.
    1:11:45 And so, we have to essentially realize that that is the center of the whole thing, right?
    1:11:46 Truth.
    1:11:49 And, actually, we have a better form of truth.
    1:11:49 You know what that is?
    1:11:51 It’s a form that is native to us.
    1:11:52 Crypto.
    1:11:53 Yes.
    1:11:58 And, specifically, there is a good book, actually, by a reformed journo, or two somewhat
    1:11:59 reformed journos.
    1:12:01 These are, like, the ones who are not haters, right?
    1:12:03 Vigni and Casey, they’re okay.
    1:12:06 But the truth machine, the blockchain, the future, everything, this is, like, seven years
    1:12:06 ago.
    1:12:11 And the thing is, this just basically puts in book form a concept that existed for a long
    1:12:11 time.
    1:12:13 So, I’ve just got a citation for the concept, right?
    1:12:18 So, essentially, the point is that Bitcoin is decentralized cryptographic truth.
    1:12:22 Like, essentially, the whole thing about Bitcoin that’s so hard is, how do you get
    1:12:26 global consensus on who owns what BTC?
    1:12:32 And we have something now where, whether you’re a Democrat or Republican, Japanese or Chinese,
    1:12:35 Indian or Pakistani, everybody agrees on the state of the Bitcoin blockchain.
    1:12:39 They have global consensus on this thing, which is worth trillions of dollars.
    1:12:41 People fight wars over billions of dollars, millions of dollars.
    1:12:43 They kill people over thousands of dollars sometimes.
    1:12:47 So, to have global consensus on this with no policemen or no military backing it, right?
    1:12:51 You know that saying, like, how many divisions has the Pope, which Stalin would say, right?
    1:12:54 How many long divisions has the New York Times, right?
    1:12:56 They don’t have any, right?
    1:12:57 Bitcoin has, right?
    1:13:00 So, we actually have truth on our side.
    1:13:04 A more powerful form of decentralized cryptographic truth.
    1:13:06 It’s not headquartered in downtown Manhattan.
    1:13:08 It’s on the internet.
    1:13:12 Let me weigh in for a second, because this all sounds compelling, but I also just want to
    1:13:16 celebrate right now we have John Coogan and Mike Solana and us and lots of other folks doing
    1:13:19 such great work without sort of the crypto elements.
    1:13:20 And so, why is that necessary?
    1:13:21 Like, what’s missing?
    1:13:21 Yes.
    1:13:22 Great question.
    1:13:28 So, what we’re doing with all the commentary is necessary but not sufficient, right?
    1:13:33 Because commentary, it’s humorous, it’s opinion, right?
    1:13:34 We need reporting.
    1:13:34 We need news.
    1:13:35 You need reporting.
    1:13:36 Exactly.
    1:13:36 That’s right.
    1:13:40 So, commentary and summarization, right, is over here.
    1:13:42 But news is the update.
    1:13:47 Now, the thing is, Twitter is obviously a feed of raw facts that people are putting out there
    1:13:47 in decentralized way.
    1:13:54 Bitcoin increases that because it actually says, once you can get consensus on who owns
    1:13:58 what BTC, you can also get consensus on who owns what stocks, what bonds, what Ethereum,
    1:13:59 smart contracts.
    1:14:02 And actually, as I did an article the other day, all property becomes cryptography.
    1:14:03 We can do that in a different session.
    1:14:06 You basically have consensus on who owns what property.
    1:14:09 So, all valuable things you can get cryptographic consensus on, right?
    1:14:16 And Chainlink and stuff like that, they built essentially armored cars for information, sending
    1:14:17 it up and down to the blockchain.
    1:14:22 Polymarket, armored cars for information, where information on the internet that’s commercially
    1:14:24 valuable can be protected by cryptography and set there.
    1:14:27 So, let’s take the case of PirateWires and TPN.
    1:14:28 That’s great.
    1:14:32 But let’s say there’s some dispute over whether a photo is real or not, right?
    1:14:38 Like, a great example is, The Atlantic published this crazy piece calling for invading Brazil
    1:14:43 because they saw a photo of the Brazilian fires, okay?
    1:14:45 And it’s like, here, it’s like this crazy piece.
    1:14:47 And was the photo not real?
    1:14:49 Yes, exactly, right?
    1:14:51 That’s a very clear example, okay?
    1:14:55 The Amazon fires are more dangerous than WMD, okay?
    1:14:59 This is a great example of, when I said, they’ll literally kill you for clicks, right?
    1:15:03 This is something they’re calling for the invasion of Brazil on this basis, right?
    1:15:06 Because they’re like, oh, the Amazon fires are burning.
    1:15:12 And it was all on the basis of a fake photo that actually Macron had tweeted out, which
    1:15:16 turned out to be a photo that was taken by a photojournalist who died years ago.
    1:15:17 So, it’s from like some stock.
    1:15:23 So, there was a timestamp that showed that that photo existed many years ago, right?
    1:15:26 So, it wasn’t of a current event, okay?
    1:15:29 And so, is that amazing, right?
    1:15:29 Yeah.
    1:15:32 That’s something where etiology, right?
    1:15:33 In a sense, cryptographic.
    1:15:33 Why?
    1:15:38 Because you load the website, you see that it’s HTTPS, right?
    1:15:42 That means there’s actually a cryptographic authentication that it’s like Getty Images or
    1:15:42 wherever it was.
    1:15:44 It was basically at some stock photo thing.
    1:15:45 So, we could see the old timestamp.
    1:15:47 You might hit archive.is, right?
    1:15:52 So, you have implicit cryptographic verification of the timestamp of that image that was going
    1:15:54 to be used to cause a war, right?
    1:16:01 So, that’s a concrete example of why control over truth is so important to them.
    1:16:02 Why did they put up the billboards there?
    1:16:07 Because once you determine what is true and false, did Russia collude with Trump, right?
    1:16:08 No.
    1:16:10 It’s all fake, right?
    1:16:13 It took a massive court process to adjudicate that.
    1:16:17 And fortunately, the court system wasn’t corrupted enough that it went through.
    1:16:22 But the New York Times collected all these politcers for this for basically false information, right?
    1:16:25 One way that’s interesting, though, and this actually helps give some insight into it.
    1:16:29 There’s a tech person who’s a lib, okay, who I won’t name.
    1:16:33 But basically, during the whole Russiagate thing, said, oh, yeah, I know this is just as
    1:16:35 good as Game of Thrones or something.
    1:16:36 And I realized, oh, wow.
    1:16:38 Remember that Paul Graham thing about the movies?
    1:16:45 These people were treating this as if it was like an entertainment show with Trump as a villain
    1:16:48 with the Times or with any legacy media.
    1:16:50 And this is a very obvious thing, but, you know, it was obvious in the past.
    1:16:54 You can predict what they’re going to say about somebody before they say it.
    1:16:57 They have very low information content on each thing, right?
    1:17:00 It’s Trump bad, blue America good.
    1:17:05 And it’s like a cast of characters, almost like Seinfeld, where the same cast of characters,
    1:17:08 the good guy and bad guy appears on the page, and you can just auto do it, right?
    1:17:12 In fact, did I show you the robo journo from three years ago?
    1:17:12 I don’t know.
    1:17:13 I’m trying to remember.
    1:17:14 Oh, yeah.
    1:17:15 So this was a bounty.
    1:17:21 I just put up a prize I put up where as soon as AI came out, and we can do a lot more with this, by the way,
    1:17:21 but I’ll show you this.
    1:17:26 So I put out a call to use AI to generate NYT tier clickbait from tweets.
    1:17:27 Remember my thing?
    1:17:27 Oh, yeah.
    1:17:33 Yeah, I put out the theoretical article was in 2020, where I’m like, you know what?
    1:17:38 We could have a feed of data, and all of these journos are just a wrapper around that feed.
    1:17:43 And the reason I knew GPT-3 might get there is there’s a company called Narrative Science, actually.
    1:17:44 Have you ever seen them?
    1:17:45 No.
    1:17:47 So Narrative Science, it went bust.
    1:17:49 It was a good company, just a little too early, okay?
    1:17:54 So this was a few years before the ChatGPT moment, okay?
    1:18:02 And Narrative Science, what it did, which at the time was really cool, is it took your financial reports, right?
    1:18:06 And it would say, revenue is high in the Northeastern segment, 65K, 40K, you know.
    1:18:10 So it would basically generate a narrative from your raw data.
    1:18:11 So it was like a readable narrative.
    1:18:12 Make sense?
    1:18:12 Yep.
    1:18:18 So because I saw that, I knew that it was probably possible as this technology advanced to take raw feeds of data
    1:18:21 and summarize them in essentially story form, right?
    1:18:22 With me so far?
    1:18:23 Yep.
    1:18:23 Okay.
    1:18:26 So that was the kind of theory in 2020.
    1:18:32 And then the practice by 2022 was once ChatGPT came out, right?
    1:18:36 I put out a call to use AI to generate NYTT or clickbait from tweets.
    1:18:38 One brave engineer answered a call.
    1:18:39 A student who learned how to code and replet is starting to state it.
    1:18:41 His app takes a tweet, generates an article.
    1:18:42 It’s already in the ballpark.
    1:18:45 And you can see from this video, the GPT times, right?
    1:18:46 You see this, right?
    1:18:47 Yep.
    1:18:47 Okay.
    1:18:49 See, let me just, I’ll rewind this, okay?
    1:18:51 So here it takes the Elon thing, right?
    1:18:52 Elon tweet.
    1:18:54 It goes here.
    1:18:55 Paste it in.
    1:18:56 It churns a little bit.
    1:18:57 Okay.
    1:18:58 It calculates.
    1:19:00 He’s showing all the other articles.
    1:19:01 He looked, he generated with the aesthetics.
    1:19:03 It looks like NYT, right?
    1:19:04 Yeah, so good.
    1:19:04 Oh my God.
    1:19:05 All right.
    1:19:06 This was three years ago.
    1:19:08 We can do so much more with this.
    1:19:08 All right.
    1:19:12 Now, boom, putting the cocaine back in Coca-Cola.
    1:19:16 And look, it looks exactly like NYT or clickbait, right?
    1:19:19 No journo, only robo.
    1:19:22 Okay.
    1:19:23 No journo, only crypto.
    1:19:27 Because we can also have these be, look, see, there’s a code and so on and so forth.
    1:19:30 There’s a saying system administrators have, be careful,
    1:19:32 we’ll replace you with a very tiny shell script.
    1:19:35 We can just automate, right?
    1:19:37 Automate and completely obviate.
    1:19:42 And the thing is, actually, all the journos have these unions where they’re against AI.
    1:19:44 They’re against AI, they’re against AI.
    1:19:48 This is, by the way, similar to, I think, the U.S. imposing tariffs or the Red America
    1:19:49 imposing tariffs on China.
    1:19:51 It’s like Blue America imposing tariffs on AI.
    1:19:52 I don’t think it’s going to work.
    1:19:58 But basically, Blue America imposing tariffs on AI is a protectionist late-breaking thing
    1:20:01 where they think, okay, we can protect our revenue from this and there won’t be any
    1:20:02 AI-based disruptors of us.
    1:20:04 But there will be.
    1:20:07 And they’re going to be internet first because there’s a lot of English speakers online
    1:20:09 and most of them don’t live in the U.S.
    1:20:11 And so there’s a lot of talent out online.
    1:20:16 And so one piece of this is what I just showed.
    1:20:22 And the crucial thing about that is those stories there can have all the backlinks and citations,
    1:20:23 right?
    1:20:25 So they show the raw tweets that are underpinning it.
    1:20:28 And if you click, you can just change the style.
    1:20:29 I want this conservative.
    1:20:30 I want this liberal.
    1:20:36 You essentially now have turned all of the massaging and Russell conjugation.
    1:20:40 Russell conjugation is you’re doing a bad thing, but I’m doing a good thing.
    1:20:41 Like Zuckerberg has another great one.
    1:20:44 They attack Zuck for having dual-class stock.
    1:20:46 Just to show you how just evil these guys are.
    1:20:48 You can’t fire Mark Zuckerberg’s kids.
    1:20:51 That’s the problem with tech companies using dual-class stock schemes, right?
    1:20:54 So it’s all like presidents are not kings, right?
    1:20:57 So now this, maybe you’d believe this argument on its own, okay?
    1:20:59 But the next day, what do they do?
    1:21:03 Or the previous article, it’s like how punch protected the times, right?
    1:21:06 So here, the solution was to give that.
    1:21:12 So dual-class is good when they do it, and it’s bad when tech does it, right?
    1:21:15 Now, the thing is, you have to have a long context window.
    1:21:18 Like I have a long context window because I remember this article from 2012,
    1:21:20 and I remember this one from 2019, right?
    1:21:22 So you have to have a long context window.
    1:21:25 And until recently, I didn’t know how to show somebody else
    1:21:26 to find all these internal contradictions.
    1:21:27 But guess what?
    1:21:29 AI can do that.
    1:21:30 AI can do that.
    1:21:35 AI can find every internal contradiction to NYT ever, okay?
    1:21:38 And so you could just have them, NYT versus NYT.
    1:21:41 They’re enslaving people, and then they’re pretending they’re unsaid.
    1:21:43 There’s just so many things like that, right?
    1:21:44 The Ukraine pro and con, right?
    1:21:46 Okay, so coming back to your point.
    1:21:50 We need to have a stronger form of truth
    1:21:55 because if we don’t have that, you’re essentially accepting their premise
    1:21:57 that this event happened, right?
    1:21:58 Right.
    1:22:00 The crypto stuff I buy, but even before that, we haven’t been able,
    1:22:02 we’ve been able to build commentary, but we haven’t, to your point,
    1:22:04 had enough sort of pro-tech reporters.
    1:22:06 So the ecosystem had to be there, right?
    1:22:07 The ecosystem had to be there.
    1:22:08 Things had to work.
    1:22:09 Block space had to get there.
    1:22:10 AI had to get there.
    1:22:14 Like, we needed to feel clear for what we’re going to do,
    1:22:19 which is decentralized cryptographic truth, right?
    1:22:21 Decentralized cryptographic truth, where it’s free,
    1:22:25 it’s verifiable on your computer, right?
    1:22:27 That’s the thing about the Bitcoin blockchain, you can verify it.
    1:22:30 Now, one of the things, I should be more clear about exactly what I mean by true or whatever.
    1:22:36 When a statement is posted on chain, what you can verify is the metadata, right?
    1:22:40 You can say, it’s very hard to falsify the time at which this was posted.
    1:22:44 It’s very hard to falsify the hash because of properties of cryptographic caches.
    1:22:50 And it’s very hard to falsify the digital signature of what entity posted it, right?
    1:22:53 Each of those three things has certain cryptographic guarantees that I can get into why they’re hard.
    1:22:55 But they’re hard to falsify that.
    1:22:59 That doesn’t mean that it could be an AI image that you posted on chain.
    1:23:04 But it would have been hard to, five years later,
    1:23:07 to say that AI image never existed before when I can see proof of it.
    1:23:09 It’s like the Brazilian fires photo is a great example of that, right?
    1:23:12 Another example, in a Chinese court, actually,
    1:23:18 blockchain evidence was used to show that someone had a patent that was invalid
    1:23:21 because somebody had posted something very similar to it many years ago
    1:23:23 so they could use the hash to show they had priority.
    1:23:24 Does that make sense, right?
    1:23:28 So, there’s enough stuff that we’ve done in crypto
    1:23:32 with proof of location, proof of this, proof of that, proof of solvency.
    1:23:35 There’s many kinds of attestations and proofs
    1:23:37 that you can put on chain that are pretty hard to fake
    1:23:39 that is a fundamentally new set of primitives
    1:23:42 that journos aren’t equipped to deal with
    1:23:44 because we’re talking about math, right?
    1:23:46 And they can’t do math.
    1:23:47 They’re anti-selective.
    1:23:49 If they could do math, they’d be in tech, usually, right?
    1:23:51 But math is a universal property of humans.
    1:23:53 You don’t need a subscription to the New York Times to do math.
    1:23:56 I don’t need to pay Salzberger to do math, right?
    1:23:57 Someone in India, someone in the Philippines,
    1:23:59 someone in the South, someone in the North, wherever,
    1:24:00 you can do math.
    1:24:03 You don’t have to subscribe here for the truth, right?
    1:24:06 Like, the truth is actually everybody’s thing, right?
    1:24:07 Everybody should have access to the truth.
    1:24:08 You shouldn’t have to pay the Salzburgers for the truth.
    1:24:11 And in fact, I refuse to pay the Salzburgers for the truth, right?
    1:24:14 I don’t allow them to centrally determine what truth is.
    1:24:16 That’s exactly the same thing as Pravda and the Soviet Union, right?
    1:24:18 So it gets a very fundamental thing
    1:24:21 where tech guys are sensing there’s something here,
    1:24:23 but ultimately the network has to supplant the state
    1:24:25 as the form of truth.
    1:24:27 That’s what Bitcoin represents, the truth machine.
    1:24:30 And it gives a set of primitives, as I mentioned,
    1:24:31 the who, the what, the when,
    1:24:33 and then with other things, we can send that to the where,
    1:24:36 that we can actually have a feed of facts, right?
    1:24:38 So once you have the root feed of facts,
    1:24:40 and think of it as like Twitter,
    1:24:42 but with decentralized cryptographic verification.
    1:24:43 That’s one way of thinking about it, right?
    1:24:45 Imagine you have a bunch of checks, community notes,
    1:24:47 but a bunch of check marks at the bottom,
    1:24:49 like a continuous integration with GitHub, right?
    1:24:51 Where you have a bunch of checks that’s green or red
    1:24:53 if the site is deploying properly.
    1:24:54 You have a bunch of assertions on it.
    1:24:56 Think of it as Trugle, right?
    1:24:58 It’s like Google, but for truths.
    1:25:00 And you just run every assert,
    1:25:01 and all these models are saying
    1:25:03 whether something is true or not, right?
    1:25:05 And there’s some computation there,
    1:25:07 but if it’s valuable enough,
    1:25:09 I should put out a prize just for this, by the way.
    1:25:09 You know what?
    1:25:12 Actually, at ns.com, I’ll put out a prize.
    1:25:13 Go to ns.com for a session to earn.
    1:25:15 Actually, we’ll put that up on screen.
    1:25:16 I’ll send that link to you right after this.
    1:25:19 I’ll put out a prize for decentralized cryptographic truth
    1:25:20 and Farcaster, right?
    1:25:24 Where essentially, you can maybe pay a little bit of crypto
    1:25:26 for model evaluations to just fact check something.
    1:25:28 It’s sort of like, at Grok, do this.
    1:25:29 But I think a better way of doing it
    1:25:30 is have multiple models do it,
    1:25:32 give like the premises,
    1:25:33 give the backlinks and so on and so forth.
    1:25:34 And then eventually,
    1:25:36 those things should be on chain where it links to.
    1:25:38 And by the way, you know who agrees with me so much,
    1:25:39 I think on this is Solana,
    1:25:41 where he’s like, needs to do more reporting,
    1:25:42 not just commentary and so on.
    1:25:43 And a good version of that
    1:25:46 is Nick Carter’s work on Operation Chokepoint, right?
    1:25:46 That’s great.
    1:25:49 So that’s a great example of something which is reporting
    1:25:52 and not just summary, right?
    1:25:53 Not just commentary.
    1:25:55 Another example of this,
    1:25:56 and what’s interesting, by the way,
    1:25:59 is notice that our first-party testimony,
    1:26:01 see, when we give first-party testimony,
    1:26:02 in aggregate, that’s actually reporting.
    1:26:04 So we’re doing things,
    1:26:07 like, you know how someone who has like raw talent
    1:26:10 in basketball or football or something
    1:26:11 can do things,
    1:26:12 and they don’t necessarily have great form,
    1:26:14 but they can just somehow get it done
    1:26:15 with just raw athletic talent there.
    1:26:18 There’s a lot of things we’re doing that are good,
    1:26:20 that are done on raw, like intuition.
    1:26:21 Because when you have a bunch of people
    1:26:24 who are posting on X and not talking to journalists,
    1:26:26 then the quotes get pulled,
    1:26:27 because people would use to say,
    1:26:28 I’m canceling my subscription.
    1:26:30 And that was always fake and stupid, right?
    1:26:32 Because who cares?
    1:26:33 They’ve got a million subscribers.
    1:26:35 That doesn’t do anything, really, except on Moss.
    1:26:37 See, they can get another subscriber,
    1:26:40 but they can’t get another quoter, right?
    1:26:44 They can’t get another supplier of quotes, right?
    1:26:46 Because there’s only one A, six, and Z.
    1:26:47 There’s only one Elon.
    1:26:49 What is Elon when you email, like, PR, Tesla, or something?
    1:26:51 He just replies back with a poop emoji.
    1:26:52 What do you reply back to the Washington Post?
    1:26:55 He’s like, send my regards to your puppet master, right?
    1:26:57 Because he knows, right?
    1:26:59 He knows that basically, like,
    1:27:01 that they won’t criticize their boss, only yours, right?
    1:27:04 So we did this thing intuitively
    1:27:07 by freezing them out, of quotes,
    1:27:08 not talking to them,
    1:27:09 and posting the stuff ourselves.
    1:27:11 Now they’re just reduced to bloggers.
    1:27:13 Now they’re not sourced.
    1:27:14 See, that’s another thing, by the way.
    1:27:17 Like, an important concept is,
    1:27:19 like, how do the good journalists operate?
    1:27:20 You’ll see some of them,
    1:27:22 they are almost like a CIA station chief.
    1:27:23 They’ll post in their Twitter,
    1:27:25 for tips, email, you know,
    1:27:27 message me at Signal, this, that, and the other, right?
    1:27:28 They’re literally saying,
    1:27:29 it’s like a CIA bureau chief
    1:27:32 who’s set up their office there in this country,
    1:27:34 and, like, some weak country
    1:27:35 can’t do anything about that, right?
    1:27:38 It’s like a KGB officer who’s there in the country,
    1:27:40 and they can’t be deported or whatever
    1:27:41 because they’re, like, some embassy rights, right?
    1:27:43 So they’re, like, spying on Facebook.
    1:27:44 They’re spying on Meta.
    1:27:45 They’re trying to solicit leaks.
    1:27:48 And why do people leak at these companies
    1:27:49 if they leak at these companies?
    1:27:50 For the same reasons, you know,
    1:27:52 I think it’s, like, M-I-C-E,
    1:27:54 you know what that is in the CIA?
    1:27:57 Money, ideology, compromise, and ego, right?
    1:28:00 So why do people leak to journos?
    1:28:02 Why do people talk to journos?
    1:28:04 Sometimes it’s money where there’s,
    1:28:05 for example, at Uber,
    1:28:08 like, the VCs there wanted money,
    1:28:10 and Travis didn’t want to sell or IPO,
    1:28:12 so that’s why they did it, in part.
    1:28:14 Ideology, why?
    1:28:16 Because sometimes they’re far left within an organization
    1:28:19 and they want to attack that organization.
    1:28:22 Compromise, well, that’s interesting.
    1:28:25 That’s often, sometimes the journo will have something on somebody
    1:28:27 and they’ll say, I won’t print this if you give something else.
    1:28:29 That’s not an economic transaction,
    1:28:31 but that’s a very dastardly thing.
    1:28:33 So it’s like, yeah, don’t talk to journos.
    1:28:35 Everybody, what happens is,
    1:28:37 the NYT or WHA or whatever,
    1:28:40 they’ll message you and they’ll put on their nicest kind of thing.
    1:28:43 They’re taught to flatter and sympathize in the email.
    1:28:43 You know what it’s like?
    1:28:44 Actually, you know what it’s exactly like?
    1:28:50 Our SDRs, our sales development guys, our sales guys, right?
    1:28:53 They send out emails that are really crafted,
    1:28:55 cold email, blah, blah, blah, things, right?
    1:28:55 To make the sale.
    1:28:58 And it’s a completely calculated thing, okay?
    1:29:01 Go and look at, I don’t know, Mark Craney stuff on sales.
    1:29:04 If you need a filter, an analogy to understand the journos,
    1:29:06 the journos are sending you sales emails.
    1:29:09 The difference is, they’re scam sales emails.
    1:29:12 It’s like a Nigerian, whatever, it’s like a scammer email, right?
    1:29:14 So at least when we’re doing enterprise sales,
    1:29:16 maybe it’s an aggressive sale at times,
    1:29:16 or whatever, someone’s doing it,
    1:29:18 but the product has to work.
    1:29:19 They can cancel subscription or whatever.
    1:29:22 It’s not, ha, you bought the product.
    1:29:23 Now we got malware on your property.
    1:29:24 We’re going to destroy your company.
    1:29:27 That’s actually what the journos sales email is like, okay?
    1:29:29 So there’s an analogy, you can only go so far, right?
    1:29:33 And the point being that the ego part, M-I-C-E,
    1:29:35 just like the CIA, the bureau chief,
    1:29:38 people will do it to get their name in the press.
    1:29:41 They’ll do it because they think, oh, it’ll work for me.
    1:29:42 I’ll be the one.
    1:29:43 I can charm them.
    1:29:47 Everybody has to, you know, learn this lesson somehow, right?
    1:29:49 I do want to call it that there are some, you know,
    1:29:51 we named some of them, but there’s some other new media folks
    1:29:52 who are sub-stackers, et cetera,
    1:29:56 who are doing journalism, but are not the same journal.
    1:29:56 Okay, okay, so all right.
    1:29:59 So now let me get to a very, very, very, very,
    1:30:00 very important point, okay?
    1:30:04 Many words have been corrupted in a certain way.
    1:30:08 So when I say journalism, I mean blue journalism, okay?
    1:30:11 Because if you were to ask some journo,
    1:30:14 is Ben Shapiro a journalist?
    1:30:16 They’d say, no, of course not, right?
    1:30:19 If you ask them, is Nate Silber still a journalist?
    1:30:20 Is Glenn Greenwald still a journalist?
    1:30:21 Barry White, I don’t know.
    1:30:22 Yeah, Barry.
    1:30:25 Are they still, no, they’re just running a blog, right?
    1:30:26 Obviously, NYT is Silber’s blog,
    1:30:29 in the same way Free Press is Barry Weiss’s outlet, right?
    1:30:31 Okay, so this is a very important point.
    1:30:34 Let’s say that Zuck competes with TikTok, right?
    1:30:38 Zuck would never say TikTok’s not doing technology, right?
    1:30:41 Yeah, that’s Chinese technology versus American technology,
    1:30:42 but they’re still doing technology.
    1:30:44 They’re recognizingly playing the same sport.
    1:30:45 You might say they’re like,
    1:30:48 it’s under the Communist Party surveillance, whatever.
    1:30:50 You can make all those points and argue all that,
    1:30:51 and Trump is flipped on, whatever.
    1:30:53 Leading that aside, the point is that
    1:30:54 you wouldn’t say they’re not doing technology
    1:30:55 just because they’re adversarial.
    1:30:56 They are doing technology.
    1:30:59 They’re just doing it on the Chinese side, right?
    1:31:03 Versus the blue journalist will actually deny
    1:31:06 that Substack is journalism, right?
    1:31:08 That Ben Shapiro is journalism.
    1:31:12 Because even if Ben Shapiro has like millions more followers
    1:31:14 than they do in a much larger audience and so on and so forth,
    1:31:17 even if he’s smarter than they are in many ways,
    1:31:18 and, you know, and like a better comp,
    1:31:20 certainly he’s better than like their opinion editors and so on.
    1:31:22 And he used the Substack,
    1:31:24 which by the way are doing original reporting.
    1:31:26 What they say, when they say journalism,
    1:31:29 they mean he’s not in the club, right?
    1:31:31 So remember the social network thing with the blue and the red?
    1:31:34 Once you think about it as a network, right,
    1:31:37 where the borders are fuzzy, but no less real for being fuzzy,
    1:31:38 a network of blues, right?
    1:31:42 So like Glenn Greenwald is on the boundary of that, right?
    1:31:44 Seymour Hersh maybe arguably is on the boundary
    1:31:46 because he’s on Substack and so on and so forth.
    1:31:48 Like Barry Weiss arguably is on the boundary in some ways
    1:31:50 because she was formerly in the club and so on and so forth.
    1:31:54 So it’s a little bit like being an MD or a JD
    1:31:57 where you have a formal state license.
    1:32:01 To be a blue journo is to have an informal state license, right?
    1:32:02 Why is it informal?
    1:32:05 Because if they were formally state licensed,
    1:32:08 they could say that it’s a state-controlled press.
    1:32:13 So instead, what they get is a White House press pass.
    1:32:14 It’s a press-controlled state.
    1:32:18 The point about that is that once you see that it’s a network,
    1:32:22 it’s a club, right, that’s when you realize,
    1:32:28 oh, don’t talk to blue journalists is actually really what I’m saying, right?
    1:32:28 Yeah.
    1:32:30 And when I say tech journalist doesn’t count either,
    1:32:32 just tech journalists, like TechCrunch is on,
    1:32:35 that word has been, the problem is words have been tortured
    1:32:37 to mean the opposite of what they mean, right?
    1:32:38 Yeah, it’s anti-tech journalists.
    1:32:39 Like science.
    1:32:41 Yeah, it’s anti-tech journalists, right?
    1:32:41 Exactly.
    1:32:45 Like science got tortured to mean masks don’t work before they do, right?
    1:32:47 So you actually have to have some prefix or something,
    1:32:51 which is like science in the form of independent replication,
    1:32:52 not procedure citation, right?
    1:32:55 We’re trying to coin new media, something new.
    1:32:55 That’s right.
    1:32:57 And another example of this is democracy.
    1:33:01 Like for the Democrats, it means California is a one-party state, right?
    1:33:03 Here, let me show you this, just to show you.
    1:33:06 So Democrats and communists have both built one-party states, right?
    1:33:10 So here is Newsom taking lessons from Xi,
    1:33:18 and he’s explaining how this is an amazing, amazing visual, right?
    1:33:21 Where total Democrat Party control, right?
    1:33:24 Democrats and communists have both built one-party states, right?
    1:33:26 This is more than just like a one-liner.
    1:33:27 It’s a deep point.
    1:33:32 Just like when they said science and they turned to the opposite of science, right?
    1:33:35 Which was masks don’t work before they do.
    1:33:40 Just like they said media or they said journalism and they turned to the opposite of journalism,
    1:33:44 which is basically it’s not neutral reporting on anything.
    1:33:47 It’s reporting on the enemies of blues and protecting blues, right?
    1:33:53 Here, they turned democracy into the opposite of democracy where they destroyed competitive multi-party elections, right?
    1:33:58 In California, elections are held, but the party always wins, exactly like China, okay?
    1:34:01 Democrats destroyed democracy in California.
    1:34:02 Deep point.
    1:34:05 This is why things got so bad there.
    1:34:12 Because with no Republican check, with no multi-party competition, this is when the California train of $100 billion,
    1:34:17 this is when the graft really got underway, the homeless industrial and complex explosion,
    1:34:22 because there was no accountability at government level for all the Democrat abuses.
    1:34:27 They built a one-party state and started looting it, just like the communists did, but I repeat myself, right?
    1:34:31 When a Republican is elected, that’s a threat to democracy.
    1:34:37 But when a Democrat surveils or sanctions or deplatforms or unbanks, that’s just democracy, right?
    1:34:44 Now, the thing is, to be fair, it is true that many Republicans in response to this have started to build Florida,
    1:34:46 especially into their own one-party states.
    1:34:53 So the problem is that you have Democrats, Republicans, and communists that have all created basically one-party states,
    1:34:58 where the only democracy then is going to be the right to exit, to vote with your feet, right?
    1:34:59 Go ahead.
    1:35:03 Yeah, that’s the perfect place to wrap this episode in terms of it gets to the network state.
    1:35:03 The network state.
    1:35:07 Now you can vote with your feet and go to California or go to Florida or go to wherever.
    1:35:08 That’s right.
    1:35:12 And we want to combine these because Starbase shows that you can combine all threes.
    1:35:13 And I’ll end with just two things.
    1:35:16 So essentially, this is a really important point.
    1:35:18 We reclaim free speech.
    1:35:20 We need to reclaim democracy, right?
    1:35:22 We cannot give up on democracy.
    1:35:26 Democracy is actually, first of all, that’s an important interpretation of what I just said.
    1:35:31 It was not an abundance but a deficit of democracy that resulted in California’s downfall
    1:35:34 because the Democrats built a one-party state, destroyed all multi-party competition,
    1:35:37 they gerrymandered it, and that’s how they started all the looting,
    1:35:39 the hundreds of billions of dollars in looting, right?
    1:35:41 But we can have a rebirth of democracy.
    1:35:43 And maybe we can do our next talk.
    1:35:45 Democracy is creating startup cities, right?
    1:35:45 Why?
    1:35:48 They voted, people voted with their feet to move to Starbase.
    1:35:50 They voted with their wallet to build up Starbase.
    1:35:53 And then finally, they incorporated Starbase by voting with their ballot.
    1:35:54 That’s the future of democracy.
    1:35:57 Not a two-party system with the illusion of choice,
    1:36:00 but a thousand-city system with the reality of choice.
    1:36:02 97% for Elon, right?
    1:36:05 This is essentially a precursor to what’s coming next,
    1:36:09 where you vote with your feet, your wallet, and your ballot at the same time.
    1:36:13 And that’s the only way that you can vote against the Democrats or the communists.
    1:36:15 The only remaining vote is that vote.
    1:36:18 That’s where the true vote is.
    1:36:20 And what we need to do is reduce the barrier to exit
    1:36:24 to give everybody that practical franchise, right?
    1:36:28 Reduce lock-in, make it possible for people to actually have choice
    1:36:31 over the government that rules them, right?
    1:36:34 And this is also, of course, basically,
    1:36:36 we need to become the largest funders in the world
    1:36:39 of media, of democracy, of science.
    1:36:42 And we actually mean it in the uncorrupted versions,
    1:36:44 because I actually do believe in those things unironically, right?
    1:36:47 I do believe in media, in books, in writing, and all this kind of stuff.
    1:36:51 As I said, remember, we’re a fork of the East Coast, right?
    1:36:52 We’re a fork of that establishment.
    1:36:55 So we basically, with technology,
    1:37:00 we can have a new birth of media, science, democracy, equality on the internet,
    1:37:01 because that’s what the internet is, is a peer-to-peer network.
    1:37:02 We’re all equal on the internet.
    1:37:04 And truth is everybody’s property.
    1:37:06 It is not Selsberg’s property.
    1:37:07 It’s cryptography.
    1:37:10 That’s a great place to wrap.
    1:37:11 Balaji, always a pleasure.
    1:37:13 Thank you so much for coming on the podcast.
    1:37:13 Thanks.
    1:37:18 Thanks for listening to the A16Z podcast.
    1:37:20 If you enjoyed the episode,
    1:37:24 let us know by leaving a review at ratethispodcast.com slash A16Z.
    1:37:27 We’ve got more great conversations coming your way.
    1:37:28 See you next time.

    What really caused the breakdown between tech and media—and what comes next?

    Erik Torenberg sits down with Balaji Srinivasan (entrepreneur, investor, and author of The Network State) to explore the long-building conflict between Silicon Valley and legacy journalism. Balaji explains how the collapse of traditional media business models gave rise to political capture, clickbait, and adversarial coverage of the tech industry.

    They discuss why “going direct” is no longer optional, how tech became the villain in establishment narratives, and what it would take to build a new truth infrastructure – from decentralized content creation to cryptographic verification.

    This episode covers power, distribution, and the future of media, with a signature mix of historical insight, social analysis, and Balaji’s forward-looking frameworks.

    Timecodes: 

    0:00 Introduction 

    1:26 The Media vs. Tech Conflict

    2:11 The Collapse of Journalism Revenue

    2:39 Rise of Wokeness and Political Realignment

    6:50 State vs. Network: A New Framework

    9:00 The Power Structure of Media Institutions

    19:25 The Role of Distribution and the Internet

    29:20 The Social War: Red vs. Blue America

    30:05 X Day and the Shift in Social Media Power

    42:56 Strategies for Technologists: Go Direct

    48:36 The Importance of Individual Creators

    1:10:00 Decentralized Truth and the Ledger of Record

    1:36:00 The Future of Media, Democracy, and Equality

    1:37:08 Conclusion & Final Thoughts

    Resources

    Find Balaji on X: https://x.com/balajis

    Stay Updated: 

    Let us know what you think: https://ratethispodcast.com/a16z

    Find a16z on Twitter: https://twitter.com/a16z

    Find a16z on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/a16z

    Subscribe on your favorite podcast app: https://a16z.simplecast.com/

    Follow our host: https://x.com/eriktorenberg

    Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures.

  • Why Young Men Are Falling Behind (A Lost Boys Special)

    AI transcript
    0:00:23 Megan Rapinoe here. This week on A Touch More, we’re joined by Nafisa Collier to talk about her phenomenal season so far, predictions for the WNBA’s second half, and what’s next for Unrivaled. Plus, Sue and I recap our trip to see the Eurofinals and how England dominated on and off the field. Check out the latest episode of A Touch More wherever you get your podcasts and on YouTube.
    0:00:42 Imagine for a moment that we have the ability to rewind time, back through the age of the dinosaurs, all the way back to around 500 million years ago, when our ancestors’ ancestors’ ancestors were crawling around in the muck along with other animals.
    0:00:50 If we started over from that point, would we end up with the same world that we have today?
    0:00:59 This week on Unexplainable, some scientists are trying to answer that question. So listen, wherever you get your podcasts.
    0:01:27 How the AI industry is shaping the world. Listen wherever you get your podcasts or watch on youtube.com slash yourrichbff.
    0:01:35 Hey everyone, Scott Galloway here. It’s Scott Free August, which means we’re bringing you something special.
    0:01:43 The Lost Boys, a series of conversations we hosted with Anthony Scaramucci about one of the most overlooked issues of our time, the crisis facing young men.
    0:01:54 In this first episode, we speak with Richard Reeves, author of the book of Boys and Men, and also just a real mentor of mine and role model to unpack the data and explore why young men are falling behind.
    0:02:12 Thanks for joining us for this new limited edition podcast we’re calling Lost Boys.
    0:02:19 I’m Anthony Scaramucci, and I’ve been really concerned about what’s happening to young people, specifically young men today.
    0:02:22 I grew up in a blue-collar family with a very tough father.
    0:02:30 He wasn’t always easy, but still there were a lot of adult men in my life that served as real role models for me and a lot of men like me.
    0:02:44 We knew what men were supposed to be and supposed to do, but I worry that today, between the morass of social media, the confusion about pronoun usage, and the whole change in the culture, it’s a lot harder for young men to thrive.
    0:02:48 Young men are just doing much worse than ever before.
    0:02:53 Last summer, I started talking to my good friend, Professor Scott Galloway, about all this.
    0:03:03 Many of you know him as the professor, businessman, entrepreneur, and podcaster, and it turns out he is very passionate about this issue.
    0:03:07 And the more we talked, the more we both felt, let’s see if we can do something about it.
    0:03:16 So together, we’re starting this podcast, Lost Boys, to talk about what the problem is and then figure out what we can do about it.
    0:03:21 In our first couple of episodes, we’re going to talk with the author and researcher, Richard Reeves,
    0:03:26 who has probably done more to shine a light on this problem than anyone else.
    0:03:29 I’m sure you’ll find this as interesting as I do.
    0:03:34 Here’s part one of my conversation with Scott Galloway and Richard Reeves.
    0:03:43 I’d like to introduce now my good friend, my dear friend, Scott Galloway, who will introduce Richard Reeves.
    0:03:45 But guys, thank you so much for joining me.
    0:03:46 I have a lot of questions.
    0:03:49 I have a lot of moms that are going to tune into this podcast.
    0:03:54 Trust me, I’ve been all over the speaking circuit talking to moms about this very issue.
    0:03:56 So take it away, Scott.
    0:03:56 Yeah.
    0:03:58 So first off, Anthony, thanks.
    0:03:59 This is Anthony’s vision.
    0:04:02 And I was an easy yes.
    0:04:09 I think Anthony is having a, for lack of a better term, a moment as sort of an interesting kind of thought leader or commentator on the state of the U.S.
    0:04:13 So I wanted to be supportive of anything that brought attention to the issue.
    0:04:15 And the issue is pretty straightforward.
    0:04:19 I would argue that no group has ascended faster globally than women.
    0:04:20 And by the way, that’s a wonderful thing.
    0:04:24 The number of women elected to parliament has doubled in the last 30 years.
    0:04:27 More women seeking globally tertiary education than men.
    0:04:31 And no group has fallen further, faster in America than young men.
    0:04:35 And Richard will go into some greater detail as he’s my Yoda around this stuff.
    0:04:43 But effectively, you have, if you go into a morgue and there’s five young people who’ve died by suicide, four of them are men.
    0:04:47 Three times as likely to be addicted, 12 times as likely to be incarcerated.
    0:04:52 And I relate to this on a personal level because I was one of those men when I was younger.
    0:04:58 I didn’t have a lot of economic or romantic prospects, living with my mother and kind of lost.
    0:05:08 But America sort of loved me and picked me up by the scruff of my neck and flung me forward in the form of the University of California, assistance and welfare for my mother.
    0:05:16 And I don’t find that some of those same programs and some of the same opportunities are the way society operates.
    0:05:21 Had I been that kid today, I worry that outcomes would have been different.
    0:05:33 And so this is something that’s a passion project and immediately found the person to kind of, I don’t know, serve again as my sensei, if you will, or my Jedi master is Richard Reeves.
    0:05:44 Richard is the president of the American Institute for Boys and Men, born in Petersburg, United Kingdom, educated in geography at Wadham College.
    0:05:45 Am I saying that correctly?
    0:05:46 Yeah, you are. Amazing.
    0:05:47 Crazy, right?
    0:05:47 Right.
    0:05:59 And has a PhD from the University of Warwick and has had several pretty high level positions, including joining the office of Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg.
    0:06:03 He’s also was at, was it the Hoover Institute?
    0:06:03 Where were you?
    0:06:04 Demos.
    0:06:04 Demos.
    0:06:06 There you go.
    0:06:06 IPPR, yeah.
    0:06:11 And has, and not only that, is not just a bureaucrat.
    0:06:21 One of the things I respect most about Richard, he not only wrote kind of this landmark book, or David Brooks described it as a landmark book of Boys and Men, but he’s an entrepreneur.
    0:06:25 And that is, he went out and started a foundation or a research think tank.
    0:06:26 What do you call this?
    0:06:27 A think tank?
    0:06:30 A think tank is probably the best term, yeah, I guess.
    0:06:32 Sounds important, though, doesn’t it?
    0:06:36 The American Institute for Boys and Men immediately was able to raise a lot of capital.
    0:06:43 People have a ton of respect for him, his research, his kind of thoughtful, almost sort of nonpartisan approach to this and saw the need.
    0:06:50 And just one, just to do some name dropping, I believe you received a $10 million grant from the Melinda French Gates Foundation.
    0:06:51 Is that accurate?
    0:06:55 Pivotal Ventures, there was 20, most of which I had to give away, which is great.
    0:06:56 There you go.
    0:06:57 Well, we can help.
    0:07:00 Anyways, with that, Richard Reeves.
    0:07:03 So, Anthony, do you want to kick us off with a couple of questions for Richard?
    0:07:04 I think so.
    0:07:10 I want to start out by making a statement, Richard, if you don’t mind, and get you to react to it.
    0:07:16 I feel like things were more easily defined when we were growing up.
    0:07:23 Scott and I are contemporaries, both born around 1964, and I feel like we had some definition to our lives.
    0:07:25 You know, there were certain things that boys did.
    0:07:27 There were certain things that girls did.
    0:07:29 And again, I’m not trying to be overly parochial.
    0:07:36 And I understand that we want to be accepting in our culture for varying lifestyles and so on and so forth.
    0:07:41 But, you know, Scott said something to me that really penetrated a few months back.
    0:07:44 He said, you know, there’s no advocacy for white males.
    0:07:51 There’s maybe 75 different affinity groups at NYU, but there’s no white male affinity group.
    0:07:53 And not necessarily saying that there should be, sir.
    0:08:02 But I guess I’d like to ask you first, the statistic that Scott’s giving, what happened in our sociology?
    0:08:07 What happened in our world, our culture that’s led to this problem that we’re all facing?
    0:08:17 Well, the first thing to say is that I think Scott has been a real leader in terms of elevating this as a cultural conversation.
    0:08:22 So there’s a danger now that you just get some praise inflation between me and me and Scott now.
    0:08:24 But let’s get that over with.
    0:08:27 But he was really leading on this before I wrote the book.
    0:08:27 He’s one of the people who helped.
    0:08:29 I want the praise inflation, Richard.
    0:08:32 I mean, you don’t know me, but I need it.
    0:08:34 I have a very fragile ego.
    0:08:36 So don’t focus on Galloway.
    0:08:39 Just like find subtle, subtle ways to praise me.
    0:08:39 I’m sorry.
    0:08:40 Continue, Richard.
    0:08:41 Anthony, please.
    0:08:45 So, so far, Anthony, I have no reason to object to you.
    0:08:45 How about that?
    0:08:46 All right.
    0:08:46 Sounds good.
    0:08:51 So someone sort of said like he’s a friend in the sense that he didn’t mean me active ill will.
    0:08:52 Let’s start with that, Anthony.
    0:08:54 I’m thrilled you’re doing this.
    0:08:55 So, yeah, I think that’s right.
    0:09:05 And it’s interesting the way this is both like a factual problem in the sense that like we’ve got all these facts, some of which Scott’s referred to, but like in education.
    0:09:08 And wages and employment.
    0:09:09 And that’s my background, right?
    0:09:10 I’m a fact guy.
    0:09:12 I’m a researcher, policy guy.
    0:09:19 But I think there’s something behind that, which is what you’re both talking about, which is this identity question.
    0:09:22 So beneath the surface of facts, there’s this question about identity.
    0:09:27 And I do think that there was a clearer script.
    0:09:33 That’s the way I like to think about this is that there was the old script was for women, wife and mother.
    0:09:35 You’re going to raise the kids.
    0:09:36 You’re going to, et cetera.
    0:09:42 And the old script for men was you’re going to be the economic provider, head of household breadwinner, right?
    0:09:44 That was a script my parents had.
    0:09:46 And I had a great upbringing.
    0:09:47 I’m very lucky, et cetera.
    0:09:51 But there wasn’t like a question that they had to ask us about how they’re going to divide it.
    0:09:53 And we tore those scripts up, I think, Anthony.
    0:09:55 I see how you both react to this.
    0:10:00 I think we tore them up and we said to women, your script is no longer housewife, mother.
    0:10:02 It’s anything you want it to be.
    0:10:03 It’s CEO.
    0:10:04 It’s leader.
    0:10:05 It’s you go, girl.
    0:10:06 It’s amazing.
    0:10:09 And as Scott said, that’s arguably the biggest economic liberation in human history.
    0:10:10 Amazing.
    0:10:16 So the script that girls and young women get now is around autonomy, of independence, assertiveness.
    0:10:17 It’s all uplift.
    0:10:18 It’s incredibly empowering.
    0:10:24 We tore up the old script for men, which was breadwinner, head of household, et cetera.
    0:10:26 And we didn’t replace it with anything.
    0:10:29 We just tore up the old script.
    0:10:32 And so what that means is a lot of men now feel like they’re basically improvising.
    0:10:35 They basically don’t have a script.
    0:10:37 Or if they do, it’s a negative script.
    0:10:42 I really feel that one of the problems now is that the script around what men, you know,
    0:10:44 what men treat is more defined negatively.
    0:10:45 It’s don’t be toxic.
    0:10:46 Don’t mansplain.
    0:10:50 So there’s a long list of don’ts now for men, most of which we would probably agree with.
    0:10:52 But what about the do’s?
    0:10:56 What’s the to-do list for a 24-year-old man now?
    0:10:58 And we don’t have a good answer to that question.
    0:11:02 That’s created a massive vacuum, I think, in our culture and our politics.
    0:11:08 But, Scott, what Richard is saying happened for what reason?
    0:11:13 Through osmosis, a backlash to masculinity or male toxic masculinity?
    0:11:16 What caused this to happen?
    0:11:18 Or did it just happen naturally?
    0:11:28 And I’m going to do like a rich little version of Richard here, and he can correct me where I got it wrong or where I got it right.
    0:11:37 But the right will claim that it was, if you tell men that they’re idiots and predators for four or five decades, they start to believe you.
    0:11:51 I think that’s part of it, but I would argue that it’s much more nuanced and that the primary culprits, if there is a culprit, are much harder to solve and less political.
    0:12:02 The on-ramps into a middle class were, you know, for someone who wasn’t cut out for college or education, a lot of those on-ramps have been taken away.
    0:12:06 Simply put, we’ve outsourced a lot of our manufacturing jobs.
    0:12:08 One-third of jobs used to require a college degree.
    0:12:09 Now it’s two-thirds.
    0:12:12 What happened to wood shop, metal shop, auto shop?
    0:12:16 There is a bias.
    0:12:22 Now that we’ve leveled the playing field in education in my industry, women have just blown by, men.
    0:12:29 You know, the attributes to be a good student just come more easily to a woman.
    0:12:32 You know, at NYU, we don’t like to talk, we don’t say this out loud.
    0:12:38 There are certain graduate schools in NYU where if we were admissions blind, they not only would be 70% women, they’d be 70% Asian women.
    0:12:46 And so there’s just the natural attributes of a woman lend themselves better to education.
    0:12:57 I also think economically, we’ve passed a lot of legislation that has transferred money from young people to old people, people over the age of 70 or 72% wealthier than they were 40 years ago, people under the age of 40 or 24% less wealthy.
    0:12:59 Well, that affects men and women.
    0:13:02 Yes, but when men don’t have money, quite frankly, they’re just less attractive.
    0:13:06 That is more of a hit to them than it is a hit to women.
    0:13:10 So you have an education system that’s biased against them.
    0:13:16 You have, Richard can speak to the actual biological reasons, prefrontal cortex, societal, economic.
    0:13:19 I think those are the primary culprits.
    0:13:21 I think it’s a little bit, and Richard, I’m curious to get your opinion.
    0:13:28 I think it’s a little bit lazy to say that it’s people not respecting men.
    0:13:32 I think that’s part of it, but I think it’s a more complicated.
    0:13:39 There’s a bunch of dimensions here that are probably bigger contributors to the fall of young men.
    0:13:41 But I’m open to pushback here, Richard.
    0:13:52 Yeah, I think, in some ways, I think that the discourse around men and the toxic masculinity, what that’s done is put fuel on the fire.
    0:13:58 There are all these more structural, longer-term problems, as you say, Scott, around education.
    0:14:03 The labor market has really turned against particularly men with less skill.
    0:14:08 I mean, the fact that men without a college degree are earning no more today than they were half a century ago.
    0:14:13 Like, stagnant male wages for most men.
    0:14:17 That is a massive economic fact, and therefore a cultural fact.
    0:14:25 But I do think that the fuel on the fire has been to say, if men are struggling, it’s sort of their fault.
    0:14:34 One of my criticisms of more progressive-leaning people is that they can’t accept that men have problems, because they’re still convinced that men are the problem.
    0:14:43 And that’s created a blindness to the reality of these problems of men, or a tendency sometimes to say, if men are struggling, it must be their fault.
    0:14:48 So if men are committing suicide or having mental health problems, that’s because they won’t get help.
    0:14:51 If men are dying of COVID, it’s because they wouldn’t get the vaccine.
    0:14:56 If men are not doing well in school, it’s because they can’t be bothered to crack a book, etc.
    0:15:05 And so there’s this weird sort of blame thing that happens with men, but only men now, rather than saying, well, maybe the education system’s not working very well for men.
    0:15:07 Maybe the workplace has changed.
    0:15:12 And so I think you’re right, Scott, that these are deeper challenges.
    0:15:23 But I also think you’re right, Anthony, that it does make things worse if we actually then not only say men aren’t having problems, but also point to them as the problem.
    0:15:25 So it’s a really unfortunate set of circumstances.
    0:15:32 You know, the reason men are struggling is not because people are being mean to them, but that doesn’t mean people being mean to them doesn’t make things worse.
    0:15:43 And I certainly think it makes them open to much more reactionary voices who can then credibly claim that mainstream institutions and people don’t care about them because they’re too busy pathologizing them.
    0:15:51 And I do think if you want someone to really kind of feel threatened and alone, then threaten their identity, that we do know that.
    0:15:53 And masculinity has become part of that problem.
    0:15:57 We’ll be right back after a quick break.
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    0:17:12 Hunter Biden’s three-hour interview with Andrew Callahan started out normally enough.
    0:17:13 Lore.
    0:17:16 So you’re born here in Delaware or born here in Pennsylvania?
    0:17:17 In Delaware.
    0:17:18 Okay, in Delaware.
    0:17:19 Yeah, Wilmington.
    0:17:20 Small talk.
    0:17:21 What are your thoughts on Wilmington, Delaware?
    0:17:22 Nice place?
    0:17:23 Oh, yeah.
    0:17:25 Work, family, addiction.
    0:17:28 Anyway, I don’t want to tell people how to make crack cocaine.
    0:17:29 He did.
    0:17:31 Then came the crash out.
    0:17:34 I hear Rahm Emanuel is going to run for president.
    0:17:36 Like, oh, boy, there’s the answer.
    0:17:37 There’s the f***ing answer.
    0:17:42 You have the Pod Save America saying, you know, I don’t think South Carolina, that’s only there is no Biden.
    0:17:43 What the f***?
    0:17:45 I mean, are they out of their f***ing minds?
    0:17:46 I don’t have to be f***ing nice.
    0:17:49 Number one, I agree with Quentin Tarantino.
    0:17:50 George Clooney is not f***ing.
    0:17:52 I don’t know what he is.
    0:17:53 He’s a brand.
    0:17:55 And by the way, and God bless him.
    0:17:56 We’re not picking on him.
    0:17:57 Keep coming back, Hunter.
    0:18:00 No, in fact, everybody has been crashing out lately.
    0:18:04 And today on Today Explained from Vox, we’re going to ask, what’s up?
    0:18:13 Basically everyone except Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu appears to be gravely concerned about starvation in Gaza.
    0:18:21 More than 108 organizations like Doctors Without Borders and Oxfam just signed a letter saying that
    0:18:29 restrictions, delays, and fragmentation under Israel’s total siege have created chaos, starvation, and death.
    0:18:45 30-ish countries, including a bunch of Israel’s own allies, have issued a statement condemning the drip feeding of aid and the inhumane killing of civilians, including children seeking to meet their most basic needs of water and food.
    0:18:48 Even President Trump is balking.
    0:18:52 Here’s a bit of what he said on Monday from Scotland.
    0:18:56 We have to help on a humanitarian basis before we do anything.
    0:18:57 We have to get the kids fed.
    0:19:00 Gaza’s breaking point on Today Explained.
    0:19:09 But to Anthony, to your point around misandry, you never hear the word.
    0:19:11 You hear misogyny all the time.
    0:19:12 You never hear misandry.
    0:19:18 You know, I went on Theo Vaughn and I was talking about Struggling Young Men.
    0:19:19 And I get what I always get.
    0:19:26 Dozens, if not hundreds of comments along the lines of, well, if young men just got their act together.
    0:19:30 Now, imagine me saying that about the black community.
    0:19:35 Well, if black people just got their act together, what would be the response?
    0:19:38 Well, if women were just in touch with their emotions.
    0:19:48 I mean, it is open season on, if you’re at a conference and you say, well, women are better managers.
    0:19:49 They’re more thoughtful.
    0:19:50 They’re more nuanced.
    0:19:51 They make better doctors.
    0:19:52 They’re more nurturing.
    0:19:54 Everyone just kind of claps politely and nods their head.
    0:20:02 If I were to say men are more risk aggressive and on average make better entrepreneurs, what would the response be?
    0:20:19 So it feels like we can’t even have an open, honest conversation because it’s open season on one gender and the other from just even if you’re trying to have a science-based conversation, it’s a third rail.
    0:20:35 You can’t say anything that might imply that women are, you know, might be contributing or the role women play that this might be part of the, you know, they might be part of not only the solution, but also part of the problem.
    0:20:36 You can’t even go there.
    0:20:38 It’s really interesting, Scott.
    0:20:52 If you look, there is some really interesting research where if you show people evidence on sex differences, if you say there are some on average differences between men and women, say on risk taking or conscientiousness or something.
    0:21:01 If you say, and that makes women better, people are much more likely to accept that there are sex differences than if you say it the other way around.
    0:21:10 And so there’s this real asymmetry here, which is that people are much more willing to accept sex differences when women come out better from them than they are the other way around.
    0:21:12 And that’s just intellectually bankrupt.
    0:21:22 And you understand why it’s happened, but it also, you understand why if we literally have nothing positive to say about masculinity and men, then no wonder so many of them feel under siege.
    0:21:26 And it means that we don’t get to tackle these serious problems that Scott and I are both so exercised by.
    0:21:35 I want you both to react to this because this is something I see in my children, which I’m trying to combat and maybe you could offer me some advice on how to do it.
    0:21:44 But I feel everything that you said is true, and I feel that there is an undercurrent of this lack of advocacy for men.
    0:21:46 They can’t advocate for themselves.
    0:21:54 And the other thing is they can’t express that they feel the way that you guys are suggesting, meaning you can’t have a 15-year-old say,
    0:22:03 Professor Galloway, you know, I feel left out of the equation or I feel one way, but if I assert myself and say X, Y, Z, I’m not heard.
    0:22:06 Or people come down on me like a ton of bricks.
    0:22:16 I guess where I’m getting to is a lot of these guys, my children included, they’ll find recluse in the Internet.
    0:22:17 They’ll go on the Internet.
    0:22:19 They fall prey to some conspiracy theories.
    0:22:21 Some of these guys think the moon landing didn’t happen.
    0:22:25 I’ve got to listen to all this sort of nonsense that goes on on the Internet.
    0:22:35 And I feel like they’re falling into a trap of despair without the tools necessary to stand up for themselves.
    0:22:37 Do I have that wrong?
    0:22:38 And if I do, tell me what I have wrong.
    0:22:41 And if I have it right, is there a solution?
    0:22:42 Richard?
    0:22:51 Yeah, so I think you have it right, that the question of what am I supposed to do today as a man, right?
    0:22:52 How am I supposed to date?
    0:22:53 What about money?
    0:22:55 What about sex?
    0:22:56 What about fitness?
    0:22:57 All those questions.
    0:22:59 Like, what’s the script?
    0:23:01 What’s the story?
    0:23:03 How am I supposed to be today?
    0:23:08 That question is on the lips and the minds of almost all young men today.
    0:23:10 So the question is not, is there a question?
    0:23:13 It’s who’s providing answers.
    0:23:26 And you’re right that if they’re not getting answers in the classroom, from their fathers, from their scout groups, from their churches, from wherever, and they don’t have that conversation, those role models, of course, they’ll go and look online.
    0:23:36 And so the solution is to have this kind of conversation, is for us to be having a conversation, to be having a good faith conversation about advocating for our boys and men.
    0:23:45 I mean, Scott already mentioned the suicide statistics, but just to put a sharp point up, we lose 40,000 men a year to suicide now.
    0:23:50 And since 2010, almost all of the rise has been among young men.
    0:23:56 So the rise in suicide among men under the age of 30 has been 30% just since 2010.
    0:24:02 We have a crisis of loss of male lives in this country.
    0:24:05 And if we can’t, and by the way, it’s higher among white men.
    0:24:08 There are lots of other issues that go the other way.
    0:24:15 But if we can’t have that conversation honestly and openly and tackle it, someone else is going to have that conversation.
    0:24:17 The question is not, are we having this conversation?
    0:24:18 The question is, who’s having it?
    0:24:21 Scott, how low have you gotten in your life, Scott?
    0:24:28 Oh, you know, I’ve often said that my worst days are better than most people’s best days.
    0:24:32 But I was never, I’m pretty blessed, Anthony.
    0:24:36 I’ve had, you know, I’ve lost, like most people, I’ve lost people I’ve loved.
    0:24:37 I’ve had a business go out of business.
    0:24:42 You know, some big business failures, personal failures, been divorced.
    0:25:02 But never got to the point where I think some of these young men get, where they feel as if, I mean, the saddest thing I saw, I read, was that with young men in suicide, a lot of it is depression, drunkenness, addiction related.
    0:25:09 And that the most rattling information thing I read was that with men our age who kill themselves.
    0:25:13 I had a, I read a psychiatrist said that it’s a rational decision.
    0:25:17 That this is an individual who does the math.
    0:25:26 It typically, like the path to suicide for them, or a very common path, is they have a financial, they have financial strain.
    0:25:26 They lose a business.
    0:25:28 They go broke.
    0:25:30 They are no longer a provider.
    0:25:37 Their wife, who no longer sees them as a provider, is less attracted to them and divorces them.
    0:25:39 Seventy percent of divorce filings are from women.
    0:25:44 And we all like to pretend that all women are Lisa Simpson or Marge and high-character people.
    0:25:48 I can prove statistically there’s a lot of good women, some not so good women.
    0:25:51 There’s a lot of good men, some not so good men.
    0:25:57 And then the man, so the man loses his wife, his primary relationship.
    0:25:59 He oftentimes loses access to his kids.
    0:26:01 I’m going through this with a lot of my friends right now.
    0:26:05 They have teenage girls or kids and they get divorced.
    0:26:07 And quite frankly, the kids want nothing to do with them.
    0:26:09 It’s like dad shows up.
    0:26:10 He doesn’t live here.
    0:26:12 He’s not part of my ecosystem.
    0:26:18 And all of a sudden the dad goes from having all this great kind of what I call garbage time,
    0:26:21 hanging out with his kids, and he’s no longer in the same house.
    0:26:24 Family court is sometimes biased against men.
    0:26:33 And then he just has no role, no purpose, and he makes a conscious decision to check out.
    0:26:40 And that to me was just the most devastating that it’s a quote-unquote rational decision.
    0:26:46 And what Richard was saying about the conversation, I think it’s gotten remarkably more productive
    0:26:49 in large part because of some of Richard’s work and research.
    0:26:57 But American households, millions of them, felt this and saw it happening for the last two decades.
    0:27:00 And no one was talking about it.
    0:27:08 And unfortunately, into that void slipped some unproductive voices that said, be proud of yourself.
    0:27:11 And the problem with these unproductive voices is it starts positive.
    0:27:12 Be fit.
    0:27:14 Be action-oriented.
    0:27:15 Take control.
    0:27:17 Go up and approach a woman.
    0:27:19 And then it comes off the rails.
    0:27:22 Then it’s like, now invest in crypto.
    0:27:26 And don’t let that bitch go to the club with her friends.
    0:27:28 You know, put your foot down.
    0:27:30 It turns into thinly veiled misogyny.
    0:27:34 And so right away, the dialogue got a really bad rap.
    0:27:38 And the moment, and I’m sure I imagine you experienced this, Richard.
    0:27:42 I know I did when I just even started modely advocating for men are talking about this problems.
    0:27:45 They’re like, oh, you’re one of those guys.
    0:27:47 You’re one of those misogynists.
    0:27:49 And people just shut off.
    0:27:55 And the good news is, I think the conversation has got a lot more productive because the people
    0:27:59 now driving this conversation or the afterburners are mothers.
    0:28:02 We’re like, guys, I am not political.
    0:28:10 Something, I have three kids, two girls, one boy, one’s in the girls in PR, one’s in Carnegie
    0:28:14 Mellon, and my son is in the basement playing video games and vaping.
    0:28:18 So I think that the evolution of this conversation has gotten a lot better.
    0:28:23 But be clear, that void got filled by some very unproductive voices that have kind of delayed
    0:28:24 a productive conversation.
    0:28:32 Yeah, I just want to add a data point to Scott’s point about being needed, like feeling unneeded.
    0:28:36 Not useful to the tribe or to the family is literally fatal.
    0:28:42 And so we both mentioned that there’s a four times higher suicide rate among men of all
    0:28:44 ages than women.
    0:28:50 But among divorced men and women, it’s eight times higher because it shoots up for men, but
    0:28:55 not so for women, for exactly the reasons that Scott’s talked about, which is you don’t have
    0:28:55 these connections.
    0:28:58 You don’t have these ties and these tethers.
    0:29:04 And I think the conversation’s moved on a little bit as well, but it’s taken a while.
    0:29:10 And the problem is that for too long, people like Scott were breaking the ice around this,
    0:29:14 was people said, in order to advocate for men, you have to somehow go against women.
    0:29:19 We’ve actually, our institute’s published a piece on zero-sum thinking.
    0:29:23 In other words, the idea that for one group to do better, another group has to do worse.
    0:29:29 And zero-sum thinking is the enemy of a flourishing family, a flourishing community.
    0:29:34 But we have been trapped in zero-sum around this, which is that somehow to advocate for
    0:29:39 men, care about men, means to care less about women.
    0:29:43 Which is like saying to a parent, you’re only allowed to care about your son or your daughter.
    0:29:44 Like, which one are you going to choose?
    0:29:46 It’s batshit crazy.
    0:29:50 But it is the way that the gender debate has played out on both sides, because you
    0:29:54 now get reactionaries saying, in order for men to do better, we need women to go back.
    0:29:58 We need to go back to the 1950s, women back in the home.
    0:30:01 And that’s only true of the reactionary fringes.
    0:30:06 But unless we get to this idea that we have to rise together, which is what mums want, Scott’s
    0:30:11 right, then we’ll continue to have this vacuum that other voices can fill.
    0:30:20 So, Richard, do you think it’s possible to insert this more broadly into the educational
    0:30:26 system, whether it’s here in the United States or in the UK or more broadly, the Western liberal
    0:30:27 democracies?
    0:30:32 Is there something that we could insert in the curriculum that you could get buy-in from
    0:30:39 teachers’ unions, women, progressives, that provide some more awareness?
    0:30:43 Like, listen, I know when I was in elementary school, they told me not to smoke.
    0:30:46 Some of us listened and some of us did the very opposite.
    0:30:50 But just the awareness of the health issue probably slowed people down.
    0:30:51 Yeah.
    0:30:54 Well, I think the tide is turning a little bit on this.
    0:30:59 Some of the ideas that I’ve had is to actually give parents the choice to start their boys in
    0:31:04 school a year later or at least a few months later, because they do mature a bit later on
    0:31:04 average.
    0:31:08 So just having that option would be good in public schools as well as private schools, where
    0:31:09 a lot of them do it.
    0:31:13 Scott and I have both written and talked a lot about the need for more apprenticeships.
    0:31:16 Technical high schools are amazing for boys.
    0:31:18 Just a bit more applied, a bit more hands-on.
    0:31:24 Boys, when they’re learning, need to know the why and the who before they care about the what.
    0:31:26 So they need to know, why am I learning this?
    0:31:30 And who are you anyway with the teacher in order to care about the what?
    0:31:34 Girls are a little bit better at doing the work anyway, even if they don’t see the why.
    0:31:35 So technical schools.
    0:31:39 But the thing that I feel perhaps most strongly about of all is more male teachers.
    0:31:45 And that should be something that should not be controversial, at least in theory it isn’t.
    0:31:48 So in the 1980s, 33% of our teachers were male.
    0:31:50 Now it’s 23% and falling.
    0:31:56 And there’s a way in which the teaching profession has become very gendered.
    0:32:00 My own son just started teaching fifth grade in Baltimore City.
    0:32:05 And I asked some people for advice about, you know, a man in teaching.
    0:32:08 And they said, make sure that his door has a window.
    0:32:12 Which most schools do anyway.
    0:32:16 But if you’re a male teacher, never teach in a classroom where there isn’t a window in the door.
    0:32:20 There’s a trust issue, which is understandable.
    0:32:28 But it’s gone so far now that we’ve become suspicious of men having a role in the lives of boys, unless it’s their own sons.
    0:32:30 And I think, you know, credit to Scott here.
    0:32:32 He’s been very outspoken on this.
    0:32:37 But the decline in the share of men in, like, the Scouts is not Boy Scouts anymore.
    0:32:38 This might have passed you by.
    0:32:41 But Boy Scouts of America no longer exists.
    0:32:44 It is now Scouting for America and co-ed.
    0:32:50 Big Brothers, Big Sisters has much longer waiting times for boys than girls because they don’t have male volunteers.
    0:32:55 The YMCA, the YMCA, is now staffed by mostly female volunteers.
    0:33:01 And so there’s this huge absence of men in the lives of boys.
    0:33:04 And one way that public policy can address that is through schools.
    0:33:15 Like, if we can’t increase the share of male teachers with all kinds of scholarship programs and incentives and better pay, which would be good for everybody, then I don’t know what else we could do.
    0:33:17 And I’m seeing more people open to that argument.
    0:33:19 We do not want an all-female teaching profession.
    0:33:23 And so that’s an example where you should be able to get more support.
    0:33:37 And, Richard, I think it was your study that showed that if you try to reverse engineer to a single point of failure for when a boy kind of comes off the tracks, it’s when he loses a male role model.
    0:33:54 And I’m not sure, Richard, and correct me if I’m wrong here, but the data on when, quote-unquote, mom and dad get divorced 92% of the time and ends up being a household headed by a single parent who’s the mom, the outcomes are reasonably similar for girls.
    0:33:57 But they’re much worse for boys.
    0:34:09 And the fascinating summary or conclusion is that while boys are physically stronger, and I’m pretty sure I got this from your study, they’re mentally and emotionally much weaker.
    0:34:17 And just educating, just parents who are going through divorce knowing you really got to keep an eye on the boy.
    0:34:24 Because as much as we think, okay, they’re bigger and they’re stronger, they’re actually weaker as humans.
    0:34:26 Richard, did I get that right?
    0:34:27 Yeah, you did.
    0:34:34 Yeah, there’s this really nice image in psychology where they compare orchids to dandelions.
    0:34:37 And the idea is that orchids are just a bit more fragile.
    0:34:41 They do well when you take care of them, but they die quickly if you don’t.
    0:34:43 And dandelions are more resilient, right?
    0:34:45 They can grow in the cracks in the sidewalk or whatever.
    0:34:49 And it turns out that boys are a bit more orchid and girls are a bit more dandelion.
    0:34:57 And so family breakdown, neighborhood poverty, poor schooling, all of those things affect boys much more than girls.
    0:35:00 Boys are much more sensitive than girls are.
    0:35:01 Scott’s exactly right.
    0:35:13 That idea that boys are more fragile than girls is one of those counterintuitive ideas that we need to consider if we want to help young men today.
    0:35:24 In the next episode of Lost Boys, we’ll continue the conversation with Richard Reeves and talk about why it’s so difficult to even get people to talk about this problem.
    0:35:26 Can we help boys without hurting girls?
    0:35:29 The short answer is yes, of course.
    0:35:33 Why aren’t the problems of boys a bigger political issue?
    0:35:38 Why is it hard for some groups like Democrats to even talk about these problems?
    0:35:44 And we’ll talk about a secret army of women who are demanding we do better by young men.
    0:35:52 Thanks for joining me and Scott Galloway for this premiere episode of Lost Boys.
    0:35:55 I hope you’ll join us as we continue this conversation.
    0:36:02 If you’d like more information, please go to our website, www.lostboys.men.
    0:36:07 That’s www.lostboys.men.
    0:36:09 Before we go, let me ask you a little favor.
    0:36:11 This issue is so important.
    0:36:15 Please share it with someone who cares about it or who should care about this.
    0:36:17 And let’s spread the word.
    0:36:22 And please like, follow, subscribe, and rate Lost Boys wherever you get your podcasts.
    0:36:27 Lost Boys is a production of Salt Media and Casablanca Strategy Group.
    0:36:31 Barbara Fadita and Keith Summer are executive producers.
    0:36:32 Tanya Salati is our researcher.
    0:36:36 And Holly Duncan Quinn and Stanley Goldberg are editors.
    0:36:42 Special thanks to Christina Cassese and Mary-Jean Rivas and Drew Burrows.
    0:36:49 Hi, I’m Teffy.
    0:36:50 Maybe you’ve seen me on TikTok.
    0:36:52 Or TV.
    0:36:54 Or interviewing celebrities on the red carpet.
    0:36:57 But before all that, I was just another girl.
    0:36:59 Running late to her desk job.
    0:37:01 Transferring calls.
    0:37:02 Ordering printer ink.
    0:37:03 I don’t miss that.
    0:37:07 But I do miss not working at work.
    0:37:10 Gossiping with my co-workers about celebrities.
    0:37:11 What’s the latest with Bieber?
    0:37:12 Where’s Britney?
    0:37:14 And which Jonas brother is which?
    0:37:18 That’s what I want my new podcast to feel like.
    0:37:20 Like you and I are work besties.
    0:37:22 We’ll chat about celebrities we’re obsessed with.
    0:37:25 How could you be registered to vote and not know who Jennifer Aniston is?
    0:37:27 Look up their star charts.
    0:37:30 Meditarius and a Capricorn.
    0:37:34 They do clash and have so much fun avoiding real work together.
    0:37:37 I’m having a silly goose of a time.
    0:37:38 Teffy runs.
    0:37:39 Teffy laughs.
    0:37:40 Teffy over shares.
    0:37:42 Teffy explains.
    0:37:44 But most of all, Teffy talks.
    0:37:48 From me, The Cut and Vox Media Podcast.
    0:37:51 This is Teffy Talks.
    0:37:53 Let’s go.
    0:38:00 The Cut and Vox Media Podcast.

    This August, we’re releasing episodes of Lost Boys on our feed. In this first episode, Anthony Scaramucci and Scott Galloway sit down with Richard Reeves, author of Of Boys and Men, to unpack why young men are struggling more than ever and what can be done to turn things around. 

    Subscribe to Lost Boys.

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  • Most Replayed Moment: The Power of a Broad Skillset for Long-Term Success – David Epstein

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    Tiếng Việt
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    0:00:07 How do you summarize the work that you do and why you do it?
    0:00:09 And who are you really doing it for?
    0:00:17 I am obsessed with correcting what I view as mistranslations of scientific research about human development.
    0:00:20 And so that is the core of my work.
    0:00:28 And I think I’m doing it for everyone who is curious, but either doesn’t have a scientific background or doesn’t have that particular scientific background.
    0:00:36 Curious, but interested in self-improvement, but doesn’t either have the time or the means to go sifting through this evidence themselves.
    0:00:41 And what is the sort of realms of self-improvement that you have focused on thus far in your career?
    0:00:45 Well, earlier on, I was focused in physical skill acquisition, like in athletics.
    0:00:54 But increasingly, I’ve moved into career and personal development generally and looking at that with a very, very kind of long lens.
    0:01:05 So one of the most important things to me, one of the most important messages that I’ve been working on the last few years is the fact that sometimes optimizing for short-term development will undermine your long-term development.
    0:01:11 So let’s say if we’re thinking about sports or music or something like that, the obvious thing to do is to get a head start in whatever you’re doing.
    0:01:22 Pick something, stick with it, don’t switch things because then you’ve lost time, focus very narrowly, and do as much of it as you possibly can to the exclusion of other things.
    0:01:24 That’s such an obvious way, right?
    0:01:27 And you will jump out to a lead, right?
    0:01:29 We see that in sports and music.
    0:01:33 We see that in school with certain head start programs that give people an advantage in some academic skills.
    0:01:43 The problem is that kind of narrow focus creates short-term results but undermines this broader toolbox that you need for long-term development.
    0:01:49 And so you’ll see what scientists call fade-out in these advantages, which isn’t necessarily actually anything going away.
    0:01:55 It’s the fact that people with this broader base will catch up and surpass what appears to be a fade-out.
    0:01:56 Okay.
    0:02:06 So if you take more time to get a broader understanding of something, whether it’s in sports, if you’re sort of a child prodigy, over the long term, that’s going to benefit you better and help sustain your development.
    0:02:20 But in the short term, you might lose out because there’s some kid who is doing, you know, really deliberate practice obsessively, and he’s going to have a – it’s kind of like the tortoise and the hare analogy where, you know, the tortoise eventually wins the race.
    0:02:21 Yeah.
    0:02:29 I mean, there’s a big body of research in psychology that can be summarized with the phrase breadth of training predicts breadth of transfer.
    0:02:39 Transfer is the ability of someone to take skills and knowledge and use it to solve a problem they haven’t seen before, right?
    0:02:41 You transfer it to a new situation.
    0:02:46 And what predicts your ability to do that is the breadth of problems you’ve been exposed to in practice.
    0:02:55 If you’re exposed to, like, a broader set of problems, you’re forced to build these generalizable, flexible models that you’ll be able to apply to new things going forward.
    0:03:04 Across all of your work, at the very heart of what people are trying to achieve in their lives, what is that at the very, very heart of what they’re trying to achieve that you’re speaking to?
    0:03:05 Getting better.
    0:03:06 Getting better at things, right?
    0:03:07 Obviously, people want success.
    0:03:16 But I think there’s pretty significant research showing that people are often actually reacting to their trajectory as much as their actual absolute performance level.
    0:03:21 That the feeling of improvement, the feeling of moving on, it gives them some sense of fulfillment, right?
    0:03:24 And eventually, obviously, will get them to a higher level.
    0:03:36 And so I think, really, this is for people who are interested in how do I get off sort of my plateaus going forward and viewing it as a lifelong journey as opposed to trying to peak when they’re 12, right?
    0:03:41 It turns out that the way to make the best 20-year-old, 30-year-old, 40-year-old is not the same as the way to make the best 10-year-old.
    0:03:46 Is there sort of a tie-in here with the subject of just happiness and how to live a happy life?
    0:03:47 Fulfillment, for sure.
    0:03:48 Yeah.
    0:03:51 Those aren’t exactly the same, but they’re important.
    0:03:54 So to think about this in a career development perspective, right?
    0:04:02 I think probably the most interesting research on fulfillment in careers was this project at Harvard called the Dark Horse Project.
    0:04:11 And this was looking at how do people find – a lot of these people were very financially successful and all that stuff, but the dependent variable was fulfillment.
    0:04:12 Okay.
    0:04:12 A sense of fulfillment.
    0:04:24 And when people would come in for sort of an orientation in this study, they would say things to the researchers like, you know, I started off doing this one thing.
    0:04:25 Yeah, it was medical school, whatever.
    0:04:31 Didn’t really fit me, so I went over to this other thing, and I learned I was good at something I didn’t expect, so then I went this other direction.
    0:04:35 And, you know, I came – don’t tell people to do what I did, because, like, I came out of nowhere.
    0:04:39 And the large majority of people, that was their story.
    0:04:41 That’s why I became named the Dark Horse Project.
    0:04:44 Dark Horse is this expression that means coming out of nowhere.
    0:04:51 And that the norm in this day and age was that people who found fulfillment would travel this kind of zigzagging path where they would learn,
    0:04:56 maybe I’m good at something or bad at something that I didn’t expect, maybe I’m interested in something I didn’t expect.
    0:04:58 And they would keep pivoting.
    0:05:05 And they would say, instead of saying, you know, here’s this person younger than me who has more than me, they’d say, here’s who I am right now.
    0:05:07 Here are my skills and interests.
    0:05:09 Here are the opportunities in front of me.
    0:05:13 I’m going to try this one and maybe I’ll change a year from now because I will have learned something about myself.
    0:05:15 And they keep doing those pivots.
    0:05:16 Throughout their career?
    0:05:19 Throughout their career until they achieve what economists call better match quality.
    0:05:23 That’s the degree of fit between someone’s interests and abilities and the work that they do.
    0:05:28 It turns out to be extremely important for both your performance and sense of fulfillment.
    0:05:31 And your apparent grit, if you want to talk about that.
    0:05:51 So just on that, before we move on to grit, what advice does that then mean you would give to a young person at the start of their career that’s thinking about how to navigate their way to being both really competent, really good at something and successful in any sort of monetary way, but also maintaining fulfillment throughout their life?
    0:05:53 I think there are two main things to take away from that.
    0:05:56 One is to not over-focus on long-term planning.
    0:06:00 Like I think we lionize having long-term goals and that’s okay.
    0:06:02 There’s nothing wrong with having long-term goals.
    0:06:06 But those aren’t necessarily always so useful for you in the moment, right?
    0:06:12 When I think about myself, when I was a competitive 800-meter runner, I could have a time goal for the end of the race, but that didn’t help me actually do anything.
    0:06:16 That just, you see the clock when you’re done and you’re either happy or sad.
    0:06:21 Having goals that are, let me try moving with 300 meters to go, that gives you an actionable experiment.
    0:06:25 So short-term planning, I think, is one of the takeaways.
    0:06:29 And creating what’s called a self-regulatory practice.
    0:06:38 So self-regulatory learning means basically thinking about your own thinking, taking accountability for your own learning.
    0:06:51 And some of the coolest studies in self-regulatory learning actually came out of soccer, football, done in the Netherlands, where this woman named Rai Elfrink-Gemzer was following kids from the age of 12, right?
    0:06:56 Up through, some of them went on to teams that, you know, were runners-up in the World Cup.
    0:07:03 And what she’d see in the kids who got off performance plateaus, there were certain physiological measures someone had to have.
    0:07:08 Like if a kid couldn’t hit at least seven meters a second sprinting, which isn’t that fast, but if they couldn’t hit it, they weren’t making it to the top.
    0:07:10 So there were physiological parameters.
    0:07:19 But also the kids who would get off performance plateaus were the ones where if you look at them in video when they’re younger, they’re saying, going to the trainer, like, why are we doing this drill?
    0:07:20 I think I can do this already.
    0:07:22 Like, I think I need to work on this other thing.
    0:07:26 And, you know, sometimes a trainer might be like, oh, man, just get back in line, you know?
    0:07:31 But these are the kids that are thinking about what they need to work on, what they’re good at.
    0:07:33 They’re making this cycle.
    0:07:35 The self-regulatory cycle is reflect.
    0:07:36 What are you good or bad at?
    0:07:37 What do you need to work on?
    0:07:38 How do you need to do that?
    0:07:38 Plan.
    0:07:41 Come up with an experiment for how you can work on that.
    0:07:42 Monitor.
    0:07:44 A way to try to measure whether objectively or subjectively.
    0:07:46 And then evaluate.
    0:07:50 Did that experiment that I ran work in making me better at this thing or not?
    0:07:53 And people who do that repeatedly, they just keep improving.
    0:07:57 And I think that’s what the dark horses are doing in their careers.
    0:07:59 They’re saying, I’m reflecting on what I’ve got.
    0:08:01 I’m planning a way to test something that will fit me.
    0:08:04 I monitor it, maybe subjectively, maybe objectively.
    0:08:07 And then I evaluate what that tells me to do for the next step.
    0:08:09 And you just get better and better and better over time.
    0:08:20 So if I’m, say, I’m in my early 20s in my career, how do I take that and then implement that within my life to make sure that I’m going to get to the World Cup, metaphorically speaking?
    0:08:20 Yeah.
    0:08:28 So, and there’s something interesting about the 20s that I think is worth saying, which is there’s this finding in psychology called the end of history illusion.
    0:08:34 And this is the finding that we always underestimate how much we will change.
    0:08:39 What we think we’re good at, what we think we’re bad at, how we want to spend our time, what we prioritize in friends, et cetera.
    0:08:46 And at every step in life, people underestimate how much they’ll change in the future.
    0:08:47 Change continues for your whole life.
    0:08:48 It does slow down.
    0:08:51 So we’re constantly works in progress claiming to be finished constantly through life.
    0:08:55 The fastest time of personality change is about 18 to about 28.
    0:08:58 When you’re telling, but it never stops.
    0:09:02 But that’s about the fastest time when we’re telling people, hey, now you have to have it figured out, right?
    0:09:04 And that’s when they’re changing like crazy.
    0:09:07 And so I think it’s even more important to have this self-regulatory practice.
    0:09:10 In a journal, I would say, I mean, I do it.
    0:09:11 These questions can be basic.
    0:09:13 What am I trying to do?
    0:09:13 Why?
    0:09:15 What do I need to learn to do it?
    0:09:16 Who do I need to help me learn that?
    0:09:18 How am I going to make sure that person is there to help me?
    0:09:20 What experiment can I set up to try it?
    0:09:24 And then come back and evaluate the experiment and pick a next one.
    0:09:32 Being a scientist of your own development, I think, it’s counterintuitive because you would think that we would just internalize this stuff just from doing things.
    0:09:39 But the science is pretty clear that we don’t get everything we can out of our experiences from a learning perspective unless we’re doing it more explicitly.
    0:09:43 So I would recommend for someone in their 20s to start this self-regulatory practice.
    0:09:47 What got you into the work that you do and how do you define your profession?
    0:09:51 Okay, so in my past life, I was training to be a scientist, environmental scientist.
    0:09:54 I was, like, living up in the Arctic studying the carbon cycle, like, in a tent.
    0:09:57 And I had been a competitive runner.
    0:10:03 I had a training partner who was one of the top-ranked guys in the 800 meters in his age group in the country.
    0:10:11 First family of Jamaican immigrants, was going to be the first one to graduate college, dropped dead a few steps after a race.
    0:10:16 And our sort of hometown paper said, well, he had a heart attack.
    0:10:20 Well, I don’t even know what that means for someone of that age and health, right?
    0:10:23 And I got curious.
    0:10:28 And eventually, I kind of worked up the courage or whatever.
    0:10:29 That sounds silly to say it that way.
    0:10:31 But was nervous about it.
    0:10:34 To ask his family to sign a waiver allowing me to gather up his medical records.
    0:10:36 Did that.
    0:10:40 Turned out he had, like, a textbook case of this disease caused by a single genetic mutation.
    0:10:42 It’s almost always the cause of young athletes dropping dead.
    0:10:46 And I said, we can save some people from this with more awareness.
    0:10:49 And I decided to merge my interests in sports and science.
    0:10:54 I said, I want to write about sudden cardiac death in athletes for Sports Illustrated, which I grew up with.
    0:10:56 So I got off the science track.
    0:10:57 I left after my master’s.
    0:11:00 Kind of weaved my way to Sports Illustrated.
    0:11:01 I got in there as a temp.
    0:11:04 Pitched this story about sudden cardiac death in athletes.
    0:11:05 They’re like, temp, sit down, right?
    0:11:10 And then the Olympic marathon trials for 2008 U.S. team came to Central Park.
    0:11:13 And the guy ranked fifth in the country dropped dead, like, 10 blocks from our office.
    0:11:17 And then they said, don’t you know something about this?
    0:11:23 And so, you know, in a week, I was able to write a cover story making it look like we had done, like, two years of research in a week.
    0:11:27 And I became the science writer at Sports Illustrated.
    0:11:37 It was an interesting, you know, I came in there as a temp six, seven years behind people who were younger than me, doing sort of more remedial work for them.
    0:11:41 But I realized pretty soon that my oddball background, right?
    0:11:44 I think I was shaping up to be like a typical average scientist.
    0:11:49 But you take those average science skills and you bring them to sports magazines, like, you’re like a Nobel laureate, you know?
    0:11:54 And so I realized I could just make my own ground instead of having to compete with anybody.
    0:11:58 But the initial impetus for getting into this merger of sports and science was a personal tragedy.
    0:12:01 And how do you define yourself from a career perspective?
    0:12:02 Are you a writer?
    0:12:03 Are you a scientist?
    0:12:04 How do you?
    0:12:08 I view myself as this merger between a science writer and an investigative reporter.
    0:12:16 Because what really fires me up is when I view that there’s a really popular misconception about something really important to human development.
    0:12:19 And that’s what led to range.
    0:12:21 I mean, I was at Sports Illustrated.
    0:12:32 The 10,000 hours rule work was the most famous science in human development perhaps ever in terms of popular consumption.
    0:12:35 And I said, well, I want to write about it.
    0:12:39 And then I started reading the research and saying, this is wrong.
    0:12:41 It’s the most popular finding in our field.
    0:12:45 It’s maybe the most popular skill acquisition human development research ever done.
    0:12:46 And it is not right.
    0:12:52 And so those, you know, these things kind of stick in my brain and I have to do something about it.
    0:12:54 10,000 hours.
    0:12:56 What is that for someone that’s never heard about it before?
    0:12:56 Yeah.
    0:12:57 Yeah.
    0:13:00 And what people think about it probably depends where they have heard of it, if they’ve heard of it.
    0:13:00 But it’s the idea.
    0:13:03 And scientists really call it the deliberate practice framework.
    0:13:17 But it’s this idea that the only route to true expertise is through 10,000 hours of so-called deliberate practice, which is this effortful, cognitively engaged, like not just swatting balls at the driving range.
    0:13:23 You’re focusing on correcting errors kind of practice and that there is no such thing as talent differences.
    0:13:30 It’s really just the manifestation of 10,000 hours of, you know, of differences in your amount of hours of deliberate practice.
    0:13:31 So you should start as early as possible.
    0:13:33 And there’s something underlying it.
    0:13:36 This is a little nerdy, but called the monotonic benefits assumption.
    0:13:48 I know scientists not going to win any marketing competitions, but that basically means that the idea that two people at the same level of performance will progress the same amount for the same unit of deliberate practice.
    0:13:49 Also false.
    0:13:52 And it’s one of the underlying premises of the 10,000 hour rule.
    0:13:54 Yeah, because I’ve always heard that.
    0:14:00 I mean, it’s become a bit of a colloquial phrase to say you’ve not put your 10,000 hours in, which means you’ve not put enough practice to become a master.
    0:14:05 I mean, I was told that if you do 10,000 hours in anything, you become a master in it.
    0:14:06 That’s the kind of narrative, right?
    0:14:17 Well, to take some chess research, for example, there’s people have been tracked and it takes about 11,053 hours on average to reach international master status in chess.
    0:14:19 So that’s one level down from grandmaster.
    0:14:22 So first of all, 10,000 hours in that case would be a little low.
    0:14:26 But some people made it in 3,000 hours because they learn a little bit more quickly.
    0:14:30 Other people were continuing to be tracked past 20,000 hours and they still hadn’t made it.
    0:14:35 So you can have an 11,053 hours rule on the average.
    0:14:38 It doesn’t actually tell you anything about the breadth of human skill development.
    0:14:41 So why is that so important for me to understand?
    0:14:46 How does that liberate me from wasting my time or aiming at the wrong thing?
    0:14:48 Well, fit turns out to be really important.
    0:14:50 So people learn at different rates and different things.
    0:14:54 So finding where you learn better is really important if you want to maximize your advantages.
    0:14:59 And I think that goes back to one of the reasons why people need to try a bunch of different things.
    0:15:05 Because your insight into yourself is really like limited by your roster of experiences, right?
    0:15:10 And so you kind of need to figure out where you have comparative advantages.
    0:15:19 But for a lot of people, that’s so-called skill stacking, where instead of doing the one thing for 10,000 hours, you get proficient at a number of things and overlap them in a way that makes you very unique.
    0:15:22 And so I think this idea of just head down doing the same thing.
    0:15:27 I mean, should we go back all the way and talk about the research underlying the 10,000-hour rule?
    0:15:27 Please.
    0:15:29 Because that’s where I first got onto this.
    0:15:33 I wanted to—so I was a walk-on, meaning I wasn’t good enough to get recruited as an 800-meter runner in college.
    0:15:37 And I ended up being part of a university record-holding relay.
    0:15:41 So I went from being, you know, a nobody to being quite good.
    0:15:44 And so I was inclined to believe this 10,000 hours.
    0:15:46 Like, yeah, just, you know, just my hard work.
    0:15:52 And then when I started reading the research, and I’m looking through the original paper written in 1993.
    0:15:59 And the original paper was done on 30 violinists, 3-0, violinists at a world-class music academy, okay?
    0:16:02 So let’s start dissecting the problems here.
    0:16:07 The first problem was what’s called a restriction of range.
    0:16:11 These people were already in a world-class music academy, already highly pre-selected.
    0:16:18 Pre-selected for something, again, for the stat heads here, that is correlated with your dependent variable, which is skill.
    0:16:22 That’s a problem if you’re trying to develop a general skill development framework.
    0:16:26 That would be like, to give an analogy, if I did a study of what causes basketball skill,
    0:16:30 and I used it as my subjects only centers in the NBA.
    0:16:35 And I said, well, height has no effect on skill in the NBA because they’re all seven feet tall.
    0:16:37 So I’ve squashed the variation in that variable.
    0:16:45 So in my first book, I actually did an analytics project where I took height among American male adults and height in the NBA.
    0:16:52 As you might imagine, there’s a very high positive correlation between the height of an American male and their chance of scoring points in the NBA.
    0:17:02 But if you restrict the range to only players already in the NBA, the correlation turns negative because guards score more points than other positions.
    0:17:10 So if you didn’t know that, if you just did that study with only NBA players, you would tell parents to have shorter children, to have them score more points in the NBA.
    0:17:17 So when you don’t bring some sense of what’s going on to your research and you restrict range that way, you can end up with the wrong message.
    0:17:19 Aside from that…
    0:17:20 Guards score more points or less points?
    0:17:22 They score more points and they’re shorter.
    0:17:23 Ah, okay.
    0:17:31 So if you don’t look at the whole population and you just look at people who are so highly pre-screened that are already at the top, you can end up with these sort of backward advice.
    0:17:36 The other issue that caught my eye when I first read the study was that there was…
    0:17:37 They only reported the average.
    0:17:44 10,000 hours was the average number of hours of deliberate practice by the 10 best violinists by the age of 20.
    0:17:47 And then there was a second group and a lower group.
    0:17:54 And they said there was complete correspondence, meaning nobody who had practiced fewer hours was better than anyone who had practiced more hours.
    0:17:57 But they only included the average, so I couldn’t tell that.
    0:17:59 So I said, oh, I would like to know if that’s true.
    0:18:02 Can I see the data to see if that’s true?
    0:18:11 And so I contacted the, you know, Anders Ericsson, a wonderful guy who was the father of the 10,000-hour rule, although he hated that moniker, actually.
    0:18:19 And I said, you know, can I see the data or the measures of variance to know how much variation there was between individuals?
    0:18:26 And he said, well, you know, people were inconsistent on the repeated accounts of their practice, so we don’t think that’s important.
    0:18:29 And I said, well, everyone has trouble with getting good data.
    0:18:32 That doesn’t mean they don’t report the measure of variance.
    0:18:40 So after I started criticizing this research, 20 years after the study came out, they did a paper updating it with some of the actual data.
    0:18:42 And you could see the original conclusion was wrong.
    0:18:44 There was not complete correspondence.
    0:18:47 Some people who had practiced less were better than some people who had practiced more.
    0:18:50 Some people had gone way over 10,000 hours.
    0:18:51 Some people were way under and had done better.
    0:18:53 There were all sorts of other factors that mattered, right?
    0:18:59 Like, I like to call it the 625,000 hours of sleep study because the top-tier group got a lot more sleep.
    0:19:02 They were sleeping like 60 hours a week on average compared to the lower groups.
    0:19:06 And that was a huge difference in the study, how much they were sleeping.
    0:19:07 So it could have just been sleep.
    0:19:08 Sleep.
    0:19:10 But there was just tremendous individual variation.
    0:19:11 Yeah, yeah, yeah.
    0:19:20 So this idea of an average completely obscured the real story, which was that there were actually people who were practicing less and doing better than people who had practiced more.
    0:19:25 So there were all—one problem after another, I just said, you know, I’m getting youth sports pitches.
    0:19:26 I’m getting investment pitches.
    0:19:30 Like, citing the 10,000 hours rule, it’s not right.
    0:19:37 And it’s giving the wrong impression of how humans develop and this idea that you need to just pick something and stick with it.
    0:19:41 And that sampling to try to figure out where you have your best shot is worthless, and that’s wrong.
    0:19:44 And so I became kind of obsessed with getting after that.
    0:19:51 I really want to become successful in the things that I’m applying myself to in this season of my life.
    0:20:03 So whether that’s podcasting or starting businesses, my business portfolio is quite varied of sort of different industries from everything from sort of psychedelics to SpaceX to whatever it might be.
    0:20:09 And so when I was, you know, thinking about sitting down with you today, I thought, maybe I’ll just tell them where I’m trying to get to in my life.
    0:20:13 I’m a 30-year-old man, so, you know, I’m not in the early phases of my career.
    0:20:17 Does that mean, for example, that I can’t make ground now?
    0:20:18 What phase of your career are you in?
    0:20:22 I don’t know, because I had this 18 to 28 thing, so I thought maybe I’m a little bit more rigid.
    0:20:31 You know, there was research a few years ago from MIT and Northwestern and the U.S. Census Bureau that found the average age of a founder of a fast-growing tech startup, top one in 10,000.
    0:20:33 Guess what the average age was on the day of founding?
    0:20:34 Guess.
    0:20:35 25?
    0:20:36 45.
    0:20:39 And a 50-year-old had a better chance than a 30-year-old.
    0:20:44 But we never hear, just like we never hear the story of these, like, zigzaggers, we only hear the Tiger Woods story.
    0:20:48 We only hear, like, Mark Zuckerberg famously said, young people are just smarter.
    0:20:51 When he was 22, do you hear him saying that anymore?
    0:20:52 No, surprise, surprise.
    0:20:57 But we just, we never, we, like, valorize precocity.
    0:21:01 So I would not say that you’re not in the early stages of your career.
    0:21:03 You’re certainly not by, by that metric.
    0:21:10 And that’s not to say that there aren’t tremendous companies, or if you know, you measure by market cap that some, that there are these amazing young founders.
    0:21:13 But they get outsized attention compared to what’s the norm.
    0:21:16 That’s another thing that’s really important to me.
    0:21:21 It’s not to say there aren’t exceptions, because there are as many different ways to the top as there are human beings.
    0:21:25 But I think we’re constantly focusing on the exception, when people should at least be aware of the norm.
    0:21:30 So the average, so the fastest growing, did you say tech founders?
    0:21:30 Tech startups.
    0:21:34 But tech in this context also included things in agriculture, right?
    0:21:34 Yeah, yeah, yeah.
    0:21:37 It’s not just photo sharing apps, like tech, broadly speaking.
    0:21:49 Which I think is important, because I think it’s fair to say that it’s less likely a 55-year-old would understand some of the more emerging platforms that are native to, say, you know, like a Mark Zuckerberg at 22.
    0:21:50 I think that’s…
    0:21:52 He’s messing around in his dorm room with computers and the internet.
    0:21:54 Yeah, I think that’s fair.
    0:22:04 But technology touches a lot of other areas of the, you know, it’s like, yesterday on the way here, there was a, I was learning about a software that I had never heard of, because all of the computers were down in the airport, right?
    0:22:11 Technology is in all these places that are not as kind of, don’t have the sort of figurehead that’s publicly profiled the same way.
    0:22:19 So if I do want to become, okay, so I understand that this season of my life I can do whatever I want, in terms of I can aim at whatever I want, doesn’t mean I’m going to be good at it.
    0:22:24 But if I just want to be more productive in the goals that I am aiming at, so say, you know, this podcast means a lot to me.
    0:22:33 So I want to be more productive when it comes to figuring out how to move this podcast forward, how to innovate, how to solve some of the problems and challenges that we face.
    0:22:39 What are the first things that spring to mind when I start speaking about productivity with a very focused task?
    0:22:52 I mean, I think a challenge for you is going to be that this podcast has gotten so big and you’ve gotten so competent at it that you’re going to be in what a rut of competence or what economist Russ Roberts told me, a hammock of competence.
    0:22:59 You’re in an area where you’re so comfortable and so successful that getting better is going to be harder because there’s disincentive from changing anything that you’re doing, right?
    0:23:01 You have to take some risk.
    0:23:01 I mean, you know that.
    0:23:02 You’re an entrepreneur.
    0:23:04 If you’re going to want to get better, you’re going to have to take some risk.
    0:23:09 I think that’s going to be a difficult thing to do because, you know, there are people in this room that depend on you.
    0:23:11 Risk for you is risk for them too.
    0:23:16 And so I think you have to start thinking about what would be some smart risks if you want to innovate with the podcast.
    0:23:17 What might that look like?
    0:23:20 And finding ways to run small experiments.
    0:23:23 I’m a huge fan of low stakes practice, right?
    0:23:27 How can you set up some low stakes practice for what might be a worthwhile larger experiment?
    0:23:31 And I think that’s the same for individuals progressing in their career.
    0:23:32 Like, I love this phrase.
    0:23:40 My favorite, my absolute favorite phrase in range was, is a paraphrase from this woman named Herminia Ibarra, who’s a professor at the London Business School.
    0:23:42 And she studies how people make work transitions.
    0:23:47 So her phrase was, we learn who we are in practice, not in theory.
    0:23:53 So the thesis of her work is that there’s this idea that you can just introspect and go forth and know what you should be doing.
    0:23:57 You know, like Clark Kent running into a phone booth and ripping off his and becoming, comes out as Superman.
    0:24:00 But work is part of identity.
    0:24:02 And it doesn’t change like that from introspect.
    0:24:06 You actually have to go try something, see how it went, what was unexpected?
    0:24:10 What did you learn that you might be interested in or that you’re better at that you didn’t?
    0:24:13 What’s something that you’re good at that you realize you’re not using?
    0:24:17 And then you make your next step based on that, right?
    0:24:22 And I think when you’re so competent and successful and getting only, you know, tons of positive feedback for something,
    0:24:24 it becomes hard to take risk.
    0:24:26 And so I think that’ll be a challenge for you.
    0:24:32 Because if you take a sufficient amount of risk, right, you want to be in your zone of optimal push.
    0:24:37 So for anything you’re doing, if you’re doing, practicing whatever, physical skill, anything,
    0:24:43 if you’re not at least like 15, 20% of the time failing, then you’re not in your zone of optimal push,
    0:24:45 where you’re getting as much better as you possibly can.
    0:24:50 And I think when you have something that’s very successful, that’s hard.
    0:24:53 And so I would start thinking about what risks you’re willing to take.
    0:24:56 And it doesn’t mean it’s a failure if something goes backward, right?
    0:24:59 If the views go down or whatever metric you’re measuring on.
    0:25:04 What you just listened to was a most replayed moment from a previous episode.
    0:25:08 If you want to listen to that full episode, I’ve linked it down below.
    0:25:09 Check the description.
    0:25:10 Thank you.
    Bạn sẽ tóm tắt công việc của mình như thế nào và tại sao bạn làm việc đó? Và thực sự bạn đang làm việc này cho ai?
    Tôi rất say mê việc sửa chữa những gì tôi xem là dịch sai các nghiên cứu khoa học về sự phát triển của con người. Đó chính là cốt lõi của công việc của tôi. Tôi nghĩ mình đang làm việc này cho tất cả những ai tò mò, nhưng không có nền tảng khoa học hoặc không có nền tảng khoa học cụ thể đó. Họ tò mò, nhưng quan tâm đến việc tự cải thiện, nhưng lại không có thời gian hoặc phương tiện để tự mình tìm hiểu chứng cứ này.
    Và những lĩnh vực tự cải thiện mà bạn đã tập trung vào cho đến nay trong sự nghiệp của mình là gì?
    Thực ra, trước đây, tôi tập trung vào việc tiếp thu kỹ năng thể chất, như trong thể thao. Nhưng ngày càng nhiều, tôi đã chuyển sang phát triển nghề nghiệp và cá nhân một cách tổng quát và nhìn nhận điều đó với một cái nhìn rất dài hạn. Một trong những điều quan trọng nhất đối với tôi, một trong những thông điệp quan trọng nhất mà tôi đã làm việc trong vài năm qua, là thực tế rằng đôi khi tối ưu hóa cho sự phát triển ngắn hạn sẽ làm suy yếu sự phát triển dài hạn của bạn.
    Giả sử nếu chúng ta nghĩ đến thể thao hoặc âm nhạc hay thứ gì đó tương tự, điều hiển nhiên là nên bắt đầu sớm trong bất cứ việc gì bạn đang làm. Hãy chọn một cái gì đó, gắn bó với nó, đừng chuyển đổi cái khác vì khi đó bạn đã lãng phí thời gian, hãy tập trung một cách rất hẹp, và làm càng nhiều càng tốt để loại trừ những thứ khác. Đó là một cách rất hiển nhiên, đúng không? Và bạn sẽ dẫn đầu ngay, đúng không? Chúng ta thấy điều đó trong thể thao và âm nhạc. Chúng ta thấy điều đó ở trường với những chương trình khởi đầu nào đó mang đến lợi ích cho mọi người về một số kỹ năng học thuật.
    Vấn đề là sự tập trung hẹp đó tạo ra kết quả ngắn hạn nhưng làm suy yếu bộ công cụ rộng lớn hơn mà bạn cần cho sự phát triển dài hạn. Và bạn sẽ thấy điều mà các nhà khoa học gọi là sự phai nhạc trong những lợi thế này, mà thực sự không nhất thiết là bất kỳ điều gì biến mất. Đó là thực tế rằng những người có nền tảng rộng lớn hơn sẽ bắt kịp và vượt qua những gì có vẻ như là sự phai nhạc.
    Được rồi. Vì vậy, nếu bạn dành nhiều thời gian hơn để có được sự hiểu biết rộng rãi hơn về một điều gì đó, dù là trong thể thao, nếu bạn là một thần đồng, thì về lâu dài, điều đó sẽ có lợi cho bạn hơn và giúp duy trì sự phát triển của bạn. Nhưng trong ngắn hạn, bạn có thể mất phần nào đó vì có một đứa trẻ nào đó đang thực hiện những bài thực hành deliberate một cách cẩn thận, và nó sẽ có một – điều đó giống như phép so sánh giữa rùa và thỏ, nơi mà, bạn biết đấy, rùa cuối cùng sẽ chiến thắng cuộc đua.
    Có một khối lượng lớn nghiên cứu trong tâm lý học có thể được tóm tắt bằng cụm từ “độ rộng của đào tạo dự đoán độ rộng của việc chuyển giao.” Việc chuyển giao là khả năng của một người để đưa kỹ năng và kiến thức và sử dụng nó để giải quyết một vấn đề mà họ chưa từng thấy trước đó, đúng không? Bạn chuyển nó sang một tình huống mới. Và điều gì dự đoán khả năng của bạn để làm điều đó là độ rộng của những vấn đề mà bạn đã được tiếp xúc trong thực hành. Nếu bạn tiếp xúc với một bộ vấn đề rộng hơn, bạn sẽ buộc phải xây dựng những mô hình tổng quát, linh hoạt mà bạn có thể áp dụng vào những điều mới trong tương lai.
    Trong toàn bộ công việc của bạn, ở ngay trung tâm điều mà mọi người đang cố gắng đạt được trong cuộc sống của họ, điều đó là gì ở trung tâm của những gì họ đang cố gắng đạt được mà bạn đang nói đến?
    Cải thiện bản thân.
    Cải thiện những điều, đúng không? Rõ ràng, mọi người muốn thành công. Nhưng tôi nghĩ có một nghiên cứu khá quan trọng cho thấy rằng mọi người thường phản ứng với quỹ đạo của họ nhiều như là mức độ hiệu suất tuyệt đối thực tế của họ. Cảm giác cải thiện, cảm giác tiến lên, điều đó mang lại cho họ một cảm giác thỏa mãn nào đó, đúng không? Và cuối cùng, rõ ràng, sẽ đưa họ đến một mức độ cao hơn. Và tôi nghĩ, thực sự, điều này dành cho những người quan tâm đến việc làm thế nào để vượt qua những cao điểm của bản thân trong tương lai và nhìn nhận điều đó như một hành trình suốt đời thay vì cố gắng đạt đỉnh khi họ 12 tuổi, đúng không? Hóa ra rằng cách tốt nhất để trở thành một người 20, 30, 40 tuổi tốt nhất không giống như cách để trở thành một đứa trẻ 10 tuổi tốt nhất.
    Có mối liên hệ nào ở đây với chủ đề hạnh phúc và cách sống một cuộc sống hạnh phúc không?
    Chắc chắn là sự thỏa mãn.
    Đúng vậy. Chúng không hoàn toàn giống nhau, nhưng chúng rất quan trọng. Vậy hãy nghĩ về điều này từ góc độ phát triển nghề nghiệp, đúng không? Tôi nghĩ có lẽ nghiên cứu thú vị nhất về sự thỏa mãn trong sự nghiệp là dự án ở Harvard gọi là Dự án Ngựa Tối. Dự án này nhìn vào cách mà mọi người tìm thấy – nhiều trong số những người này rất thành công về tài chính và mọi thứ khác, nhưng biến số phụ thuộc là sự thỏa mãn.
    Được rồi. Một cảm giác thỏa mãn. Và khi mọi người đến tham gia một buổi định hướng trong nghiên cứu này, họ sẽ nói với các nhà nghiên cứu những điều như, bạn biết đấy, tôi bắt đầu bằng việc làm một điều gì đó. Đúng rồi, đó là trường y, v.v. Không thực sự phù hợp với tôi, vậy nên tôi chuyển sang cái khác, và tôi nhận ra rằng tôi giỏi một thứ mà tôi không ngờ tới, thế là tôi lại đi theo một hướng khác. Và, bạn biết đấy, tôi đến – đừng bảo mọi người làm điều tôi đã làm, bởi vì, như, tôi đến từ hư không. Và phần lớn mọi người, đó là câu chuyện của họ. Đó là lý do tại sao nó được gọi là Dự án Ngựa Tối. Ngựa Tối là một biểu hiện có nghĩa là xuất hiện từ hư không. Và quy tắc trong thời đại này là những người tìm thấy sự thỏa mãn sẽ đi qua một con đường zigzag, nơi họ sẽ học được, có thể tôi giỏi một cái gì đó hoặc kém ở một cái gì đó mà tôi không ngờ tới, có thể tôi quan tâm đến một cái gì đó mà tôi không ngờ tới. Và họ sẽ tiếp tục thay đổi hướng. Và họ sẽ nói, thay vì nói, bạn biết đấy, đây là người trẻ hơn tôi có nhiều hơn tôi, họ sẽ nói, đây là những gì tôi đang là ngay bây giờ. Đây là kỹ năng và sở thích của tôi. Đây là những cơ hội trước mắt tôi. Tôi sẽ thử cái này và có thể tôi sẽ thay đổi một năm nữa vì tôi sẽ đã học được điều gì đó về bản thân. Và họ tiếp tục làm những sự thay đổi đó.
    Trong suốt sự nghiệp của họ?
    Suốt sự nghiệp của họ cho đến khi họ đạt được điều mà các nhà kinh tế học gọi là chất lượng khớp tốt hơn.
    Đó là mức độ phù hợp giữa sở thích và khả năng của một ai đó với công việc mà họ làm.
    Điều này hóa ra là cực kỳ quan trọng đối với cả hiệu suất và cảm giác thỏa mãn của bạn.
    Và cả sự kiên trì rõ ràng của bạn, nếu bạn muốn nói đến điều đó.
    Vậy thì, trước khi chúng ta chuyển sang sự kiên trì, lời khuyên nào mà bạn sẽ đưa ra cho một người trẻ tuổi ở giai đoạn đầu sự nghiệp đang suy nghĩ về cách điều hướng để vừa thật sự có năng lực, thật sự giỏi một điều gì đó và thành công về mặt tài chính, nhưng cũng duy trì được sự thỏa mãn trong suốt cuộc đời họ?
    Tôi nghĩ có hai điều chính để rút ra từ đó.
    Một là không nên quá chú trọng vào kế hoạch dài hạn.
    Tôi nghĩ rằng chúng ta quá đề cao việc có các mục tiêu dài hạn và điều đó cũng ổn thôi.
    Không có gì sai khi có các mục tiêu dài hạn.
    Nhưng chúng không nhất thiết lúc nào cũng hữu ích cho bạn ở thời điểm hiện tại, đúng không?
    Khi tôi nghĩ về bản thân mình, khi tôi là một vận động viên chạy 800 mét cạnh tranh, tôi có thể có một mục tiêu thời gian cho cuối cuộc đua, nhưng điều đó không giúp tôi thực sự làm gì cả.
    Nó chỉ làm bạn nhìn đồng hồ khi hoàn thành và bạn sẽ cảm thấy vui hoặc buồn.
    Có những mục tiêu như, hãy cố gắng chạy trong 300 mét còn lại, điều đó mang lại cho bạn một thí nghiệm khả thi.
    Vậy thì lập kế hoạch ngắn hạn, tôi nghĩ, là một trong những điều cần rút ra.
    Và tạo ra những gì được gọi là một thực hành tự điều chỉnh.
    Vậy tự điều chỉnh trong việc học có nghĩa là nghĩ về cách mình đang suy nghĩ, chịu trách nhiệm cho việc học của chính mình.
    Và một trong những nghiên cứu thú vị nhất trong việc học tự điều chỉnh thực sự đến từ bóng đá, được thực hiện ở Hà Lan, nơi mà một người phụ nữ tên là Rai Elfrink-Gemzer đã theo dõi các em nhỏ từ 12 tuổi, đúng không?
    Đến một số em đã gia nhập các đội bóng từng lọt vào chung kết World Cup.
    Và điều mà cô ấy thấy ở những đứa trẻ thoát khỏi các bệ phóng hiệu suất, có những chỉ số sinh lý mà người ta phải có.
    Ví dụ, nếu một đứa trẻ không thể chạy với tốc độ ít nhất là bảy mét mỗi giây, mặc dù điều đó không nhanh lắm, nhưng nếu chúng không đạt được điều đó, thì chúng không thể lên tới đỉnh cao được.
    Vậy có những thông số sinh lý.
    Nhưng cũng có những đứa trẻ thoát khỏi các bệ phóng hiệu suất là những đứa mà nếu bạn xem chúng trong video khi còn nhỏ, chúng đang nói với huấn luyện viên, như, tại sao chúng ta lại làm bài tập này?
    Tôi nghĩ là tôi có thể làm điều này rồi.
    Như, tôi nghĩ tôi cần làm việc với điều khác.
    Và, bạn biết đấy, đôi khi huấn luyện viên có thể nói, ôi, chỉ cần đứng vào hàng thôi, bạn biết đấy?
    Nhưng đây là những đứa trẻ mà đang suy nghĩ về những gì chúng cần làm việc, những gì chúng giỏi.
    Chúng tạo ra một chu kỳ này.
    Chu kỳ tự điều chỉnh là cảm nhận.
    Bạn giỏi hay yếu ở đâu?
    Bạn cần làm việc trên điều gì?
    Bạn cần làm điều đó như thế nào?
    Lập kế hoạch.
    Nghĩ ra một thí nghiệm để bạn có thể cải thiện điều đó.
    Theo dõi.
    Một cách để cố gắng đo lường điều đó một cách khách quan hoặc chủ quan.
    Và sau đó, đánh giá.
    Thí nghiệm mà tôi thực hiện có giúp tôi trở nên giỏi hơn ở điều này hay không?
    Và những người làm điều đó nhiều lần, họ chỉ tiếp tục cải thiện.
    Và tôi nghĩ đó chính là những gì những người “ngựa ô” đang làm trong sự nghiệp của họ.
    Họ nói, tôi đang phản ánh về những gì tôi có.
    Tôi đang lên kế hoạch một cách để thử nghiệm điều gì phù hợp với tôi.
    Tôi theo dõi nó, có thể là chủ quan, có thể là khách quan.
    Và sau đó, tôi đánh giá những gì điều đó cho tôi biết nên làm gì cho bước tiếp theo.
    Và bạn sẽ ngày càng trở nên tốt hơn theo thời gian.
    Vậy nếu tôi, giả sử, đang ở độ tuổi đầu 20 trong sự nghiệp của mình, làm thế nào tôi có thể lấy điều đó và áp dụng vào cuộc sống của tôi để đảm bảo rằng tôi sẽ đến được World Cup, nói một cách ẩn dụ?
    Vâng.
    Vậy có điều gì thú vị về độ tuổi 20 mà tôi nghĩ xứng đáng được nói đến, đó là có một phát hiện trong tâm lý học gọi là ảo tưởng về sự kết thúc lịch sử.
    Và đây là phát hiện rằng chúng ta luôn đánh giá thấp mức độ biến đổi của bản thân.
    Những gì chúng ta nghĩ là chúng ta giỏi, những gì chúng ta nghĩ là chúng ta kém, cách chúng ta muốn dành thời gian của mình, điều gì chúng ta ưu tiên trong bạn bè, v.v.
    Và ở mỗi bước trong cuộc sống, mọi người đều đánh giá thấp mức độ mà họ sẽ thay đổi trong tương lai.
    Sự thay đổi tiếp tục diễn ra trong suốt cuộc đời của bạn.
    Nó có chậm lại.
    Vì vậy, chúng ta luôn là những công trình đang được thực hiện, liên tục khẳng định mình đã hoàn tất trong suốt cuộc đời.
    Thời điểm thay đổi tính cách nhanh nhất là khoảng từ 18 đến 28 tuổi.
    Khi bạn đang nói chuyện, nhưng nó không bao giờ dừng lại.
    Nhưng đó là khoảng thời gian nhanh nhất khi chúng ta nói với mọi người, hey, bây giờ bạn phải hiểu rõ mọi thứ, đúng không?
    Và đó là lúc họ đang thay đổi điên cuồng.
    Vì vậy, tôi nghĩ rằng việc có thực hành tự điều chỉnh này càng quan trọng hơn.
    Trong một cuốn nhật ký, tôi sẽ nói, ý tôi là, tôi làm điều này.
    Những câu hỏi có thể rất cơ bản.
    Tôi đang cố gắng làm gì?
    Tại sao?
    Tôi cần học gì để làm điều đó?
    Ai là người tôi cần giúp tôi học điều đó?
    Làm thế nào tôi đảm bảo rằng người đó có mặt để giúp tôi?
    Thí nghiệm nào tôi có thể thiết lập để thử nghiệm?
    Và sau đó quay lại và đánh giá thí nghiệm đó và chọn một cái tiếp theo.
    Là một nhà khoa học trong sự phát triển của chính mình, tôi nghĩ, điều này có vẻ ngược đời vì bạn sẽ nghĩ rằng chúng ta sẽ chỉ nội tâm hóa những thứ này chỉ từ việc làm những việc.
    Nhưng khoa học khá rõ ràng rằng chúng ta không rút ra được tất cả những gì chúng ta có thể từ các trải nghiệm của mình nếu không làm điều đó một cách rõ ràng hơn.
    Vậy tôi sẽ khuyên một người trong độ tuổi 20 bắt đầu thực hành tự điều chỉnh này.
    Điều gì đã khiến bạn làm công việc mà bạn đang làm và bạn định nghĩa nghề nghiệp của mình như thế nào?
    Được rồi, trong kiếp sống trước của tôi, tôi đã được đào tạo để trở thành một nhà khoa học, nhà khoa học môi trường.
    Tôi đã sống ở Bắc Cực để nghiên cứu vòng tuần hoàn carbon, như trong một cái lều.
    Và tôi đã là một vận động viên chạy cạnh tranh.
    Tôi có một đối tác tập luyện là một trong những người đứng đầu ở 800 mét trong nhóm tuổi của anh ta ở quốc gia.
    Gia đình đầu tiên là những người nhập cư Jamaica, sẽ là người đầu tiên tốt nghiệp đại học, đã ngã chết vài bước sau một cuộc đua.
    Và tờ báo quê hương của chúng tôi nói, ồ, anh ấy đã bị đau tim. Ồ, tôi thậm chí không biết điều đó có nghĩa là gì đối với một người ở độ tuổi và sức khỏe đó, phải không? Và tôi cảm thấy tò mò. Cuối cùng, tôi cũng đã dồn chút dũng khí, hay gì đó. Nghe có vẻ ngớ ngẩn khi nói như vậy. Nhưng tôi rất lo lắng về điều đó. Để hỏi gia đình anh ấy ký một bản từ chối trách nhiệm cho phép tôi thu thập hồ sơ y tế của anh ấy. Tôi đã làm vậy. Kết quả là anh ấy có một trường hợp bệnh này giống như sách giáo khoa do một biến thể gen đơn lẻ gây ra. Đây gần như luôn là nguyên nhân của những vận động viên trẻ đột ngột qua đời. Và tôi đã nói, chúng ta có thể cứu một số người khỏi điều này nhờ có sự nhận thức nhiều hơn. Và tôi quyết định kết hợp sở thích của mình trong thể thao và khoa học. Tôi nói, tôi muốn viết về cái chết đột ngột do tim ở vận động viên cho Sports Illustrated, mà tôi đã lớn lên với nó. Vì vậy, tôi đã rời bỏ con đường khoa học. Tôi rời đi sau khi hoàn thành bậc thạc sĩ của mình. Tôi đã tìm đường đến Sports Illustrated. Tôi vào đó với tư cách là nhân viên tạm thời. Đề xuất câu chuyện về cái chết đột ngột do tim ở vận động viên. Họ nói, nhân viên tạm thời, ngồi xuống, đúng không? Rồi cuộc thi marathon Olympic cho đội tuyển Mỹ năm 2008 đến Central Park. Và chàng trai đứng thứ năm trong nước bất ngờ qua đời, cách văn phòng chúng tôi khoảng 10 khối. Và sau đó họ nói, bạn không biết gì về điều này sao? Và thế là, bạn biết đấy, trong vòng một tuần, tôi đã có thể viết một bài báo bìa khiến nó trông giống như chúng tôi đã làm, như, hai năm nghiên cứu trong một tuần. Và tôi trở thành nhà văn khoa học tại Sports Illustrated. Đó là một trải nghiệm thú vị, bạn biết đấy, tôi vào đó với tư cách nhân viên tạm thời, muộn hơn sáu, bảy năm so với những người trẻ tuổi hơn tôi, làm những công việc có phần khôi phục cho họ. Nhưng tôi sớm nhận ra rằng bối cảnh khác thường của tôi, phải không? Tôi nghĩ tôi đã dần hình thành để trở thành một nhà khoa học trung bình điển hình. Nhưng bạn mang những kỹ năng khoa học trung bình đó và đưa chúng vào các tạp chí thể thao, bạn như là một nhà lãnh đạo Nobel, bạn biết không? Và vì vậy, tôi nhận ra rằng tôi có thể tạo ra con đường riêng của mình thay vì phải cạnh tranh với bất kỳ ai. Nhưng động lực ban đầu để bước vào sự kết hợp giữa thể thao và khoa học là một bi kịch cá nhân. Và bạn định nghĩa mình như thế nào từ góc độ sự nghiệp? Bạn có phải là một nhà văn? Bạn có phải là một nhà khoa học? Làm thế nào để bạn? Tôi coi mình như một sự kết hợp giữa một nhà văn khoa học và một phóng viên điều tra. Bởi vì điều khiến tôi hào hứng là khi tôi cảm thấy rằng có một sự hiểu lầm phổ biến về điều gì đó thật sự quan trọng đối với sự phát triển của con người. Và đó là điều đã dẫn đến một phạm vi. Ý tôi là, tôi đã ở Sports Illustrated. Quy tắc 10.000 giờ có lẽ là nghiên cứu khoa học nổi tiếng nhất về phát triển con người trong bối cảnh tiêu dùng phổ biến. Và tôi đã nói, ồ, tôi muốn viết về điều đó. Và sau đó tôi bắt đầu đọc nghiên cứu và nói, điều này sai. Đây là phát hiện phổ biến nhất trong lĩnh vực của chúng tôi. Nó có thể là nghiên cứu về việc tiếp thu kỹ năng và phát triển con người phổ biến nhất từng được thực hiện. Và điều đó không đúng. Và vì vậy, những điều này, bạn biết đấy, găm vào đầu óc tôi và tôi phải làm gì đó về điều đó. 10.000 giờ. Đó là gì cho một người chưa từng nghe về nó trước đây? Ừ. Ừ. Và những gì mọi người nghĩ về nó có lẽ phụ thuộc vào nơi họ đã nghe về nó, nếu họ đã nghe về nó. Nhưng đó là ý tưởng. Và các nhà khoa học thực sự gọi đó là khung thực hành có mục đích. Nhưng đó là ý tưởng rằng con đường duy nhất để trở thành chuyên gia thực sự là qua 10.000 giờ thực hành có mục đích, mà là nỗ lực có ý thức, tham gia trí tuệ, như không chỉ là đánh bóng ở sân golf. Bạn đang tập trung vào việc sửa lỗi kiểu thực hành và không có khái niệm về sự khác biệt tài năng. Thực sự chỉ là sự thể hiện của 10.000 giờ, bạn biết đấy, những sự khác biệt trong thời gian bạn đã thực hành có mục đích. Vì vậy, bạn nên bắt đầu càng sớm càng tốt. Và có một điều gì đó đang ẩn sâu bên trong. Điều này hơi nerdy, nhưng được gọi là giả định lợi ích đơn điệu. Tôi biết các nhà khoa học không thắng được bất kỳ cuộc thi tiếp thị nào, nhưng điều đó cơ bản có nghĩa là ý tưởng rằng hai người ở cùng một mức độ hiệu suất sẽ tiến bộ theo cùng một lượng cho cùng một đơn vị thực hành có mục đích. Cũng sai. Và đó là một trong những giả thuyết cơ bản của quy tắc 10.000 giờ. Vâng, vì tôi luôn nghe điều đó. Ý tôi là, nó đã trở thành một câu nói thông tục rằng bạn chưa bỏ ra đủ 10.000 giờ, điều đó nghĩa là bạn chưa thực hành đủ để trở thành một bậc thầy. Ý tôi là, tôi đã được nói rằng nếu bạn làm 10.000 giờ trong bất cứ điều gì, bạn sẽ trở thành một bậc thầy trong đó. Đó là câu chuyện kiểu như vậy, đúng không? Thôi, để lấy một chút nghiên cứu về cờ, ví dụ, có những người đã được theo dõi và mất khoảng 11.053 giờ trên trung bình để đạt được trạng thái bậc thầy quốc tế trong cờ. Vậy đó là cách một bậc thấp hơn so với bậc đại kiện tướng. Vì vậy, trước tiên, 10.000 giờ trong trường hợp đó sẽ hơi thấp. Nhưng một số người đã đạt được trong 3.000 giờ vì họ học nhanh hơn một chút. Những người khác tiếp tục được theo dõi qua 20.000 giờ và họ vẫn chưa đạt được. Vì vậy, bạn có thể có quy tắc 11.053 giờ trên trung bình. Nó thực sự không cho bạn biết điều gì về sự phát triển kỹ năng của con người. Vậy tại sao điều đó lại quan trọng với tôi để hiểu? Nó giúp tôi giải phóng khỏi việc lãng phí thời gian hay nhắm vào điều sai? Vâng, đúng là sự phù hợp trở nên rất quan trọng. Vì vậy, mọi người học được ở các mức độ và những điều khác nhau. Vì vậy, việc tìm ra nơi bạn học tốt hơn là rất quan trọng nếu bạn muốn tối đa hóa lợi thế của mình. Và tôi nghĩ điều đó quay trở lại một trong những lý do mà mọi người cần thử nhiều thứ khác nhau. Bởi vì cái nhìn của bạn về bản thân thực sự bị hạn chế bởi danh sách kinh nghiệm của bạn, phải không? Và vì vậy bạn cần tìm ra nơi bạn có lợi thế so sánh. Nhưng đối với nhiều người, đó là cái gọi là chồng kỹ năng, nơi thay vì làm một điều trong 10.000 giờ, bạn trở nên thành thạo ở một số điều và chồng lên chúng theo cách làm cho bạn rất độc đáo. Và vì vậy, tôi nghĩ ý tưởng rằng chỉ cần chăm chú làm một điều.
    Tôi có ý tưởng là, liệu chúng ta có nên quay lại và nói về nghiên cứu nằm dưới quy tắc 10,000 giờ không?
    Xin mời.
    Bởi vì đó là nơi mà tôi lần đầu tiên tham gia vào vấn đề này.
    Tôi đã muốn – nên tôi là một người tự ứng tuyển, có nghĩa là tôi không đủ tốt để được tuyển chọn làm vận động viên chạy 800 mét ở đại học.
    Và tôi đã trở thành một phần của một đội tiếp sức nắm giữ kỷ lục của trường đại học.
    Vậy là tôi đã đi từ một người không ai biết đến việc khá giỏi.
    Và vì vậy tôi có xu hướng tin vào 10,000 giờ này.
    Như là, vâng, chỉ là, bạn biết đấy, chỉ là nhờ vào sự chăm chỉ của tôi.
    Và sau đó khi tôi bắt đầu đọc nghiên cứu, tôi đang xem qua bài báo gốc được viết vào năm 1993.
    Và bài báo gốc được thực hiện trên 30 nghệ sĩ violin, 3-0, nghệ sĩ violin tại một học viện âm nhạc hàng đầu thế giới, được không?
    Vậy hãy bắt đầu phân tích những vấn đề ở đây.
    Vấn đề đầu tiên được gọi là hạn chế phạm vi.
    Những người này đã ở trong một học viện âm nhạc hàng đầu, đã được tuyển chọn kỹ lưỡng.
    Đã được tuyển chọn cho một điều gì đó, một lần nữa, đối với những người thích thống kê, điều đó có tương quan với biến phụ thuộc của bạn, đó là kỹ năng.
    Đó là một vấn đề nếu bạn đang cố gắng phát triển một khuôn khổ phát triển kỹ năng tổng quát.
    Điều đó sẽ giống như, để đưa ra một phép so sánh, nếu tôi thực hiện một nghiên cứu về những gì gây ra kỹ năng bóng rổ, và tôi chỉ sử dụng các trung phong trong NBA làm đối tượng của mình.
    Và tôi nói, vâng, chiều cao không có ảnh hưởng đến kỹ năng trong NBA vì họ đều cao bảy bộ.
    Vậy là tôi đã làm giảm biến thiên trong biến đó.
    Vì vậy, trong cuốn sách đầu tiên của tôi, tôi thực sự đã thực hiện một dự án phân tích trong đó tôi đã so sánh chiều cao của những người trưởng thành nam ở Mỹ và chiều cao trong NBA.
    Như bạn có thể tưởng tượng, có một tương quan dương rất cao giữa chiều cao của một người đàn ông Mỹ và cơ hội ghi điểm của họ trong NBA.
    Nhưng nếu bạn hạn chế phạm vi chỉ cho những cầu thủ đã ở NBA, tương quan sẽ trở thành âm vì các hậu vệ ghi nhiều điểm hơn so với các vị trí khác.
    Vậy nếu bạn không biết điều đó, nếu bạn chỉ thực hiện nghiên cứu với các cầu thủ NBA, bạn sẽ bảo các bậc phụ huynh nên có những đứa trẻ thấp hơn, để chúng ghi được nhiều điểm hơn trong NBA.
    Vì vậy, khi bạn không mang đến một cảm giác về những gì đang diễn ra trong nghiên cứu của bạn và bạn hạn chế phạm vi theo cách đó, bạn có thể nhận được thông điệp sai lầm.
    Ngoài ra…
    Các hậu vệ ghi nhiều điểm hơn hay ít điểm hơn?
    Họ ghi nhiều điểm hơn và họ lại thấp hơn.
    À, được rồi.
    Vì vậy, nếu bạn không nhìn vào toàn bộ dân số và chỉ nhìn vào những người đã được tuyển chọn thật cao, bạn có thể nhận được những lời khuyên lạ lùng như vậy.
    Vấn đề khác mà tôi lưu ý khi tôi lần đầu tiên đọc nghiên cứu đó là họ chỉ báo cáo con số trung bình.
    10,000 giờ là số giờ trung bình của sự luyện tập có chủ đích của 10 nghệ sĩ violin giỏi nhất vào tuổi 20.
    Và sau đó có một nhóm thứ hai và một nhóm thấp hơn.
    Và họ nói rằng có sự tương ứng hoàn toàn, có nghĩa là không ai đã tập luyện ít giờ hơn tốt hơn bất kỳ ai đã tập luyện nhiều giờ hơn.
    Nhưng họ chỉ bao gồm số trung bình, vì vậy tôi không thể nói điều đó.
    Vì vậy tôi đã nói, ôi, tôi muốn biết liệu điều đó có đúng không.
    Tôi có thể xem dữ liệu để xem liệu điều đó có đúng không?
    Và vì vậy tôi đã liên hệ với, bạn biết đấy, Anders Ericsson, một người tuyệt vời đã là cha đẻ của quy tắc 10,000 giờ, mặc dù ông ghét cái tên đó.
    Và tôi nói, bạn biết đấy, tôi có thể xem dữ liệu hoặc các biện pháp thay đổi để biết có bao nhiêu biến thiên giữa các cá nhân không?
    Và ông ấy nói, vâng, bạn biết đấy, mọi người không nhất quán về các báo cáo luyện tập của họ, nên chúng tôi không nghĩ rằng điều đó quan trọng.
    Và tôi đã nói, vâng, ai cũng gặp khó khăn trong việc thu thập dữ liệu tốt.
    Điều đó không có nghĩa là họ không báo cáo các biện pháp thay đổi.
    Vì vậy, sau khi tôi bắt đầu chỉ trích nghiên cứu này, 20 năm sau khi nghiên cứu được công bố, họ đã thực hiện một bài báo cập nhật với một số dữ liệu thực tế.
    Và bạn có thể thấy kết luận gốc là sai.
    Không có sự tương ứng hoàn toàn.
    Một số người đã luyện tập ít hơn lại giỏi hơn một số người đã luyện tập nhiều hơn.
    Một số người đã vượt quá 10,000 giờ rất nhiều.
    Một số người lại dưới mức đó và còn làm tốt hơn.
    Có rất nhiều yếu tố khác mà quan trọng, đúng không?
    Như là, tôi thích gọi nó là nghiên cứu 625,000 giờ ngủ vì nhóm hàng đầu ngủ nhiều hơn rất nhiều.
    Họ ngủ khoảng 60 giờ mỗi tuần so với các nhóm thấp hơn.
    Và đó là một sự khác biệt lớn trong nghiên cứu, số lượng giấc ngủ của họ.
    Vậy nên có thể chỉ là do giấc ngủ.
    Giấc ngủ.
    Nhưng có sự biến thiên cá nhân khổng lồ.
    Vâng, vâng, vâng.
    Vì vậy, ý tưởng về một con số trung bình đã hoàn toàn làm mờ câu chuyện thật, đó là thực sự có những người luyện tập ít hơn nhưng lại làm tốt hơn những người đã luyện tập nhiều hơn.
    Vì vậy, có rất nhiều vấn đề, một vấn đề sau một vấn đề, tôi chỉ nói, bạn biết đấy, tôi đang nhận được những đề xuất thể thao trẻ.
    Tôi đang nhận được những đề xuất đầu tư.
    Như là, trích dẫn quy tắc 10,000 giờ, điều đó không đúng.
    Và nó tạo ra ấn tượng sai lầm về cách mà con người phát triển và ý tưởng rằng bạn cần phải chỉ chọn một thứ và kiên trì với nó.
    Và việc lấy mẫu để tìm ra nơi bạn có cơ hội tốt nhất là vô nghĩa, và điều đó sai.
    Vì vậy, tôi đã trở nên hơi ám ảnh với việc tìm hiểu điều đó.
    Tôi thực sự muốn thành công trong những điều mà tôi đang cống hiến trong giai đoạn này của cuộc đời mình.
    Vì vậy, cho dù đó là podcasting hay khởi nghiệp, danh mục kinh doanh của tôi rất đa dạng về các loại ngành từ mọi thứ từ các loại chất gây ảo giác đến SpaceX hay bất cứ điều gì khác.
    Và khi tôi nghĩ về việc ngồi xuống với bạn hôm nay, tôi đã nghĩ, có lẽ tôi sẽ chỉ nói cho họ biết tôi đang cố gắng đạt được điều gì trong cuộc sống của mình.
    Tôi là một người đàn ông 30 tuổi, vì vậy, bạn biết đấy, tôi không ở giai đoạn đầu của sự nghiệp.
    Có phải điều đó có nghĩa là, ví dụ, tôi không thể có tiến bộ bây giờ không?
    Bạn đang ở giai đoạn nào trong sự nghiệp của mình?
    Tôi không biết, vì tôi đã có cái 18 đến 28, vì vậy tôi nghĩ có thể tôi hơi cứng nhắc hơn.
    Bạn biết đấy, trước đây có nghiên cứu từ MIT và Northwestern và Mỹ.
    Cục điều tra dân số đã phát hiện ra rằng độ tuổi trung bình của một nhà sáng lập startup công nghệ phát triển nhanh, top 1 trong 10.000. Bạn đoán độ tuổi trung bình là bao nhiêu vào ngày thành lập? Đoán thử xem. 25 tuổi? 45. Và một người 50 tuổi có cơ hội tốt hơn một người 30 tuổi. Nhưng chúng ta không bao giờ nghe thấy, giống như chúng ta không bao giờ nghe thấy câu chuyện của những người như thế này, mà chúng ta chỉ nghe thấy câu chuyện của Tiger Woods. Chúng ta chỉ nghe rằng, như Mark Zuckerberg từng nói, người trẻ thì thông minh hơn. Khi ông ấy 22 tuổi, bạn có nghe ông ấy nói như vậy nữa không? Không, thật ngạc nhiên, đúng không? Nhưng chúng ta chỉ, chúng ta không bao giờ, chúng ta như là, tôn vinh tuổi trẻ. Vì vậy, tôi sẽ không nói rằng bạn không ở giai đoạn đầu của sự nghiệp. Bạn chắc chắn không phải, theo chỉ số đó. Và điều này không có nghĩa là không có những công ty tuyệt vời, hoặc nếu bạn đo bằng vốn hóa thị trường thì có những nhà sáng lập trẻ tuyệt vời này. Nhưng họ nhận được sự chú ý lớn hơn so với những gì là bình thường. Đó là một điều khác mà tôi thấy rất quan trọng. Không có nghĩa là không có ngoại lệ, vì có nhiều cách khác nhau để lên đỉnh như có con người. Nhưng tôi nghĩ chúng ta đang liên tục tập trung vào ngoại lệ, trong khi mọi người nên nhận thức ít nhất về quy tắc. Vì vậy, trung bình, vậy những nhà sáng lập công nghệ tăng trưởng nhanh, bạn có nói gì không? Các startup công nghệ. Nhưng công nghệ trong ngữ cảnh này cũng bao gồm những điều trong nông nghiệp, đúng không? Vâng, vâng. Nó không chỉ là các ứng dụng chia sẻ ảnh, mà công nghệ, nói chung là như vậy. Điều này tôi nghĩ rất quan trọng, vì tôi nghĩ rằng có thể nói rằng khó có khả năng một người 55 tuổi sẽ hiểu một số nền tảng mới nổi mà là bản địa với, chẳng hạn như, như Mark Zuckerberg lúc 22. Tôi nghĩ điều đó… Ông ấy đang nghịch ngợm trong phòng ký túc xá với máy tính và internet. Vâng, tôi nghĩ điều này là hợp lý. Nhưng công nghệ liên quan đến nhiều lĩnh vực khác của, bạn biết đấy, giống như hôm qua khi tôi đang trên đường đến đây, có một, tôi đã học về một phần mềm mà tôi chưa bao giờ nghe đến, vì tất cả máy tính ở sân bay đã hỏng, đúng không? Công nghệ có mặt ở tất cả những nơi mà không có hình tượng nào được công khai như vậy. Vì vậy, nếu tôi muốn trở thành, được rồi, tôi hiểu rằng giai đoạn này trong đời tôi có thể làm bất cứ điều gì tôi muốn, về mặt tôi có thể nhắm đến bất cứ điều gì tôi muốn, không có nghĩa là tôi sẽ giỏi về nó. Nhưng nếu tôi chỉ muốn trở nên hiệu quả hơn trong những mục tiêu mà tôi đang nhắm đến, như là, bạn biết đấy, podcast này có ý nghĩa rất nhiều với tôi. Vì vậy, tôi muốn trở nên hiệu quả hơn trong việc tìm ra cách tiến lên phía trước với podcast này, cách đổi mới, cách giải quyết một số vấn đề và thách thức mà chúng tôi đang phải đối mặt. Những điều đầu tiên nảy ra trong đầu tôi khi tôi bắt đầu nói về sự hiệu quả với một nhiệm vụ rất cụ thể là gì? Ý tôi là, tôi nghĩ một thách thức đối với bạn sẽ là podcast này đã trở nên quá lớn và bạn đã trở nên quá tài năng trong đó đến mức bạn sẽ ở trong cái mà gọi là cạm bẫy khả năng, hoặc như nhà kinh tế Russ Roberts đã nói với tôi, cái võng của khả năng. Bạn đang ở trong một lĩnh vực mà bạn quá thoải mái và thành công đến mức việc cải thiện sẽ khó khăn hơn vì có sự không khuyến khích từ việc thay đổi bất cứ điều gì bạn đang làm, đúng không? Bạn phải chấp nhận một số rủi ro. Ý tôi là, bạn biết điều đó. Bạn là một doanh nhân. Nếu bạn muốn trở nên tốt hơn, bạn sẽ phải chấp nhận một số rủi ro. Tôi nghĩ điều đó sẽ là một việc khó khăn vì, bạn biết đấy, có những người trong phòng này phụ thuộc vào bạn. Rủi ro đối với bạn cũng là rủi ro cho họ. Vì vậy, tôi nghĩ bạn phải bắt đầu suy nghĩ về những rủi ro thông minh nào nếu bạn muốn đổi mới với podcast này. Điều đó có thể trông như thế nào? Và tìm cách để thực hiện những thí nghiệm nhỏ. Tôi là một fan lớn của việc thực hành với rủi ro thấp, đúng không? Làm thế nào bạn có thể thiết lập một số thực hành với rủi ro thấp cho những gì có thể trở thành thử nghiệm lớn hơn đáng giá? Và tôi nghĩ điều này cũng đúng với những cá nhân tiến bộ trong sự nghiệp của họ. Như, tôi thích câu này. Câu tôi yêu thích nhất, câu tuyệt đối yêu thích nhất trong “Range” là, là một câu trích dẫn từ một người phụ nữ tên là Herminia Ibarra, cô ấy là giáo sư tại Trường Kinh doanh London. Và cô ấy nghiên cứu cách mà mọi người thực hiện chuyển đổi công việc. Vì vậy, câu của cô ấy là, chúng ta học ai là chúng ta trong thực hành, chứ không phải trong lý thuyết. Vì vậy, luận điểm của công việc của cô ấy là có ý tưởng rằng bạn chỉ có thể nội tâm hóa và tiến lên và biết những gì bạn nên làm. Bạn biết, giống như Clark Kent chạy vào một buồng điện thoại và xé chiếc áo khoác của mình và trở thành Superman. Nhưng công việc là một phần của danh tính. Và nó không thay đổi như vậy từ việc nội tâm. Bạn thực sự phải thử một cái gì đó, xem nó diễn ra như thế nào, điều gì không như mong đợi? Bạn đã học được gì mà bạn có thể quan tâm hoặc mà bạn giỏi hơn mà bạn không nhận ra? Có điều gì bạn giỏi mà bạn nhận ra bạn đang không sử dụng? Và sau đó bạn đưa ra bước tiếp theo dựa trên điều đó, đúng không? Và tôi nghĩ khi bạn quá tài giỏi và thành công và chỉ nhận được, bạn biết đấy, rất nhiều phản hồi tích cực cho một cái gì đó, thì sẽ trở nên khó khăn để chấp nhận rủi ro. Vì vậy, tôi nghĩ đó sẽ là một thách thức đối với bạn. Bởi vì nếu bạn chấp nhận một lượng rủi ro đủ, đúng không, bạn muốn ở trong vùng đẩy tối ưu của mình. Vì vậy, cho bất cứ điều gì bạn đang làm, bất cứ điều gì bạn đang thực hành, bất cứ kỹ năng thể chất nào, nếu bạn không ít nhất như 15, 20% thời gian bị thất bại, thì bạn không nằm trong vùng đẩy tối ưu của mình, nơi bạn đang tiến bộ nhiều nhất mà bạn có thể. Và tôi nghĩ khi bạn có điều gì đó rất thành công, thì điều đó là khó khăn. Và vì vậy, tôi sẽ bắt đầu suy nghĩ về những rủi ro bạn sẵn lòng chấp nhận. Và điều đó không có nghĩa là đó là một thất bại nếu một cái gì đó đi lùi, đúng không? Nếu lượt xem giảm hoặc bất kỳ chỉ số nào bạn đang đo lường. Những gì bạn vừa nghe là một khoảnh khắc được phát lại nhiều nhất từ một tập trước đó. Nếu bạn muốn nghe tập đầy đủ đó, tôi đã liên kết bên dưới. Kiểm tra mô tả. Cảm ơn bạn.
    如何總結你所做的工作以及為什麼要這麼做?而你所做的一切究竟是為了誰?
    我對於糾正我所認為的人類發展的科學研究中的錯譯感到著迷。因此,這就是我工作的核心。我認為我所做的一切是為了那些充滿好奇心的人,但他們要麼沒有科學背景,要麼沒有那一特定的科學背景。那些渴望自我提升,但又沒有時間或手段去自己篩選這些證據的人們。
    到目前為止,你在職業生涯中專注於哪些自我提升的領域?
    早期,我專注於身體技能的獲取,比如體育運動。然而,我逐漸轉向了更廣泛的職業與個人發展,並以非常長遠的眼光來看待這些問題。因此,對我來說,過去幾年來我所努力傳達的最重要的訊息之一是,有時期望短期的發展會削弱你的長期發展。
    舉個例子,假設我們在談論運動或音樂,顯而易見的做法是讓自己在所做的事情上領先一步。選擇某樣東西,堅持下去,別隨意更換,因為那樣你就會浪費時間,非常專注地去做你能做到的事,排除其他的事情。這是一種非常明顯的做法,對吧?這樣你就會在競爭中脫穎而出,我們在體育和音樂中都能看到這一點。我們也在學校的某些提前學習計劃中看到了這一點,它們為某些學術技能的學生提供了優勢。
    問題在於,這種過於狹窄的專注所產生的短期成果卻削弱了你在長期發展中所需要的更大工具箱。所以,科學家所稱的優勢消退的現象會出現,這不一定意味著某種東西真的消失了,而是擁有更廣泛基礎的人會趕上並超越看似消退的優勢。
    因此,如果你花更多的時間去獲得對某些事物的更廣泛理解,無論是在體育方面,假如你是一位孩童神童,從長遠來看,這將會對你更有益,有助於維持你的發展。但在短期內,你可能會失去一些東西,因為有些孩子正在非常認真地進行有意識的練習,他們將會獲得——這有點像龜兔賽跑的比喻,最終,龜兔賽跑中龜贏得了比賽。
    是的,我的意思是,心理學中有大量的研究可以用一句話來總結:訓練的廣度預測轉移的廣度。轉移是指一個人將技能和知識應用於他們未曾見過的問題的能力,對吧?你將它轉移到一種新情境中。而預測你能這樣做的能力是你在練習中所接觸到的問題的廣度。如果你接觸到更廣泛的一組問題,你就會被迫建立這些可以普遍應用的靈活模型,讓你能夠在未來應用於新事物。
    在你所有的工作中,從根本上來看,人們在生活中試圖實現的目標是什麼?
    變得更好。
    在某些方面變得更好,對吧?顯然,大家都想成功。但我認為有相當重要的研究顯示,人們往往是對自己的發展趨勢做出反應,而不僅僅是他們實際的絕對表現水平。改善的感覺、進步的感覺,帶給他們某種成就感,對吧?並最終,顯然會幫助他們達到更高的水平。因此,我認為,這其實是針對那些有興趣的人,想了解我如何才能擺脫我的瓶頸,並將之視為一生的旅程,而不是試圖在十二歲的時候達到巔峰。
    事實上,培養最好的20歲、30歲、40歲的人並不是與培養最好的10歲孩童同樣的方法。
    這裡是否與幸福感以及如何過上快樂的生活有關?
    當然是滿足感。這並不完全相同,但它們是重要的。因此,從職業發展的角度來看,思考這些問題對我來說是很重要的。我認為,有關於職業滿足感的最有趣的研究之一是哈佛大學的「黑馬計劃」。這個計劃探討了人們如何找到——許多人在財務上非常成功,但依賴變量是滿足感。
    人們在參與這項研究的時候,會跟研究人員分享他們的故事,比如,有人說:「我最初做這一個,對,這是醫學院,但不太合適於我,所以我轉向了另一個領域,我發現自己在某些意想不到的方面很擅長,因此我就選擇了這個方向。」而大多數人都是這樣的故事。這就是為什麼這個計劃被命名為「黑馬計劃」。
    黑馬這個詞是一種表達,意指從未被預期的人或事。在當今這個時代,找到滿足感的人往往會走上這種曲折的道路,他們會學到,或許我在某些未曾預期的事物上擅長、或許我對某些未曾預想之事感興趣。他們會不斷調整自己的方向。他們不會說,哦,這裡有一個比我年輕、擁有更多的人,而會說,這就是我現在的狀態,這是我的技能和興趣,這是面前的機會。我將嘗試這一條路,也許一年後我會改變,因為我會了解到自己的某些事情。他們就這樣不斷調整。
    在他們的職業生涯中?
    在他們的職業生涯中,直到他們達到經濟學家所謂的更好契合質量。
    這是指某人的興趣和能力與他們所做工作的契合程度。
    這對於你的表現和滿足感來說,顯得極為重要。
    如果你想談論毅力的話,也會影響到你的表現。
    在此之前,我想問你,對於剛開始職業生涯的年輕人,你會給出什麼建議,幫助他們平衡提升自己的能力、在某個領域取得成功,以及在整個人生中保持滿足感?
    我認為有兩個主要的要點可以總結。
    第一個是不要過於專注於長期規劃。
    我認為我們常常把長期目標理想化,這並沒有錯。
    擁有長期目標本身並沒有什麼問題。
    但這些目標在當下並不一定總是那麼有用,對吧?
    當我想起我自己,作為一名競賽800米的運動員,我可以設置一個比賽結束時的時間目標,但這並沒有幫助我實際上做什麼。
    那只是,你完成後看到計時器,你要麼感到高興,要麼感到悲傷。
    設立一些目標,比如說我試著在距離終點300米時衝刺,這就給了你一個切實可行的實驗。
    所以,我認為短期規劃是一個需要注意的要點。
    另外一個是創建一種所謂的自我調節實踐。
    自我調節學習基本上是指反思自己的思考,對自己的學習負責。
    一些在自我調節學習方面非常有趣的研究實際上是來自荷蘭的足球界,一位名叫Rai Elfrink-Gemzer的女士追蹤了一群12歲的孩子。
    有些孩子後來加入了世界盃的亞軍隊伍。
    在那些從表現停滯中突破的孩子身上,她觀察到一些特定的生理指標。
    比如說,如果一個孩子的衝刺速度沒有至少達到每秒七米,雖然這並不算快,但如果他們達不到,那麼他們就無法達到頂尖水平。
    所以這是一些生理的參數。
    但能夠突破表現瓶頸的孩子們往往會在年輕時的視頻中表現出來,他們會問訓練師,為什麼我們要做這個訓練?
    我覺得我已經能做到這個了。
    我覺得我需要專注於其他的東西。
    有時候,訓練師可能會說,嗨,嘿,回到隊伍裡去,好嗎?
    但這些孩子是在思考他們需要改進什麼,自己擅長什麼。
    他們在創造這樣一個循環。
    自我調節循環是反思。
    你在哪些方面擅長或不擅長?
    你需要改進什麼?
    該如何做到這些?
    計劃。
    想出一個實驗,看看你可以如何提高。
    監控。
    嘗試以客觀或主觀的方式來衡量。
    然後評估。
    我做的這個實驗是否讓我在這方面變得更好?
    那些不斷重複這一過程的人,他們會不斷地進步。
    我認為這正是那些職業生涯中的“黑馬”所做的事情。
    他們在說,我正在反思我擁有的東西。
    我制定計劃以測試適合我的東西。
    我進行監控,可能是主觀的,可能是客觀的。
    然後我評估這告訴我下一步要做什麼。
    隨著時間的推移,你會變得更好更好更好。
    那麼,如果我假設我是20出頭的人,如何將這些觀點融入我的生活中,以確保我能比喻性地到達世界盃?
    好的。
    還有一件關於20歲的事,值得一提,那就是心理學中有一個發現叫做歷史的終結幻覺。
    這一發現表明,我們總是低估自己將會改變多少。
    我們認為自己擅長的東西,認為不擅長的東西,想要如何度過時間,對朋友的重視程度等。
    在生活的每一步,人們都低估了未來他們會有多大的變化。
    變化會持續你一生。
    變化速度會放慢。
    所以我們整個生命中都在不斷成長,卻又總是聲稱自己已經完成。
    人格變化最快的時期大約在18到28歲之間。
    當你告訴別人,你現在必須搞清楚一切時,實際上那是你變化最瘋狂的時候。
    所以我認為具備這種自我調節的實踐變得更加重要。
    在日記裡,我會說,我每個人都這樣做。
    這些問題可以是基礎性的。
    我想要做什麼?
    為什麼?
    我需要學習什麼來實現這個目標?
    我需要誰來幫助我學習?
    我該如何確保那個人會在那裡幫助我?
    我可以設置什麼實驗來進行嘗試?
    然後回來評估這個實驗並找出下一步。
    我認為成為自己發展的科學家是一個反直覺的想法,因為你會認為我們只需要通過行動內化這些內容。
    但科學的證據表明,除非我們更明確地進行學習,否則無法從我們的經驗中獲得最大化的學習效果。
    因此,我會建議二十多歲的人開始這種自我調節的實踐。
    你是如何開始做你目前的工作的,並且你如何定義你的職業?
    好的,在我過去的生活中,我正在訓練成為一名科學家,環境科學家。
    我曾在北極地區生活,研究碳循環,就住在帳篷裡。
    我是一名競賽跑者。
    我有一個訓練夥伴,他是全國800米年齡組中排名前幾的運動員。
    他是牙買加移民的第一代,將成為家族中第一位大學畢業生,但在一次比賽後幾步之內就突然去世了。
    我們的那種家鄉報紙說,他得了心臟病。嗯,我甚至不知道這對於這個年齡和健康狀況的人來說意味著什麼,對吧?我開始感到好奇。最後,我鼓起勇氣,雖然這樣說聽起來有點傻,卻的確有點緊張,去請求他的家人簽署一份豁免權,允許我收集他的醫療記錄。結果發現,他的病情像是課本裡的案例,由一種單一的基因突變所造成。這幾乎總是年輕運動員猝死的原因。我說,我們可以通過提高意識來拯救一些人。於是我決定將自己對運動和科學的興趣結合起來。我說,我想為《運動畫報》寫一篇關於運動員猝死的文章,而我從小就看這本雜誌。因此,我放棄了科學的路線。在獲得碩士學位後我就離開了,轉而以某種方式進入《運動畫報》。我作為臨時工進去了,提了一個關於運動員猝死的故事。他們就說,臨時工,坐下來吧,對吧?然後2008年美國奧運馬拉松選拔賽來到了中央公園。在我們辦公室大約10條街之外,排名全國第五的選手突然去世了。然後他們說,你不是對此有些了解嗎?因此,在一周內,我能夠寫出一篇封面故事,讓人看起來就像我們花了一周的時間進行了兩年的研究。我成為了《運動畫報》的科學作家。這是一個有趣的經歷,我進去的時候是個臨時工,落後於那些年輕人的六七年,為他們做一些比較基礎的工作。但我很快意識到我這種奇特的背景。原本我想把自己培養成一個典型的普通科學家。但你把這些普通的科學技能帶到運動雜誌上,你就像是一位諾貝爾獎獲得者,所以我意識到我可以自己開闢天地,而不必與任何人競爭。但進入這種運動和科學合併的初衷是一場個人悲劇。你是如何從職業的角度定義自己的?你是一名作家?還是一名科學家?你怎麼看?我將自己視為科學作家和調查記者之間的合併。因為真正激勵我的,是當我發現某些對於人類發展非常重要的事情存在著一種流行的誤解。而這也引發了範圍的討論。我在《運動畫報》的時候,10,000小時法則是人類發展中最著名的科學之一,也許在流行消費方面。然後我說,我想寫一篇關於這個的文章。接著我開始閱讀研究,並認為這是錯誤的。這是我們領域裡最受歡迎的發現,或許是人類發展研究中最受歡迎的技能獲取研究,然而這並不正確。這些想法深入我腦海,我必須對此有所作為。10,000小時。對於一個從未聽過這個概念的人來說,這是什麼呢?嗯,嗯。人們對此的看法可能取決於他們聽說過的來源。如果他們聽說過的話,但這是一個想法。科學家們真的稱它為刻意練習框架。這個觀點認為,達到真正專業的唯一途徑是透過10,000小時所謂的刻意練習,這種練習是艱苦的、認知上有參與的,不僅僅是在球場上揮舞球桿。它指的是專注於糾正錯誤的練習,而這裡並不存在天賦的差異。這只是真正的體現於10,000小時的刻意練習的時間差異。所以,你應該儘早開始。還有一些潛在的因素,這有點小多學,但叫做單調利益假設。我知道科學家不會在市場競爭中獲勝,但這基本上意味著兩個人在同一表現水平下,對於相同單位的刻意練習,他們的進步會是一致的,這也是錯誤的。這是10,000小時法則的基本假設之一。是的,因為我一直聽說過這個。我是說,這已經成為一句俗語,說你沒有花夠10,000小時,這意味著你沒有進行足夠的練習以成為一位大師。我是說,我被告知如果你在任何事情上花費10,000小時,你便會成為這方面的專家。這就是這種敘述,對吧?舉個棋類研究的例子,有人被追蹤到達成國際大師身份的平均時間大約是11,053小時。這是從大師下一個級別的水平。首先,在這種情況下,10,000小時的標準稍有不足。但有些人卻在3,000小時內達成,因為他們學得更快。而其他人則在20,000小時後仍然未能達到。因此,你可以有一個11,053小時的平均法則。這實際上並不告訴你有關人類技能發展的範圍。那麼,這對我理解為什麼如此重要呢?這怎樣解放我不浪費時間或朝著錯誤的方向努力?結果適應性變得非常重要。人們在不同的事物上學習的速度不同。因此,如果你想最大化你的優勢,找出你學得更好的地方是很重要的。我認為這回到了人們需要嘗試多種不同事情的原因之一。因為你對自己的洞察力真的受限於你的經驗名單,對吧?所以,你需要弄清楚你在哪方面有相對優勢。但對於很多人來說,這所謂的技能疊加,就是與其在某一領域投入10,000小時,不如在多個領域變得熟練,並以一種讓你獨特的方式重疊這些技能。因此,我認為這種單一地埋頭做同一件事的想法。
    我指的是,我們應該回過頭來談談背後的研究,這些研究支持了 10,000 小時規則嗎?
    請吧。
    因為這是我第一次接觸到這個議題。
    我想要——所以我是一名自由參加者,這意味著我在大學時期並沒有足夠的實力被招募為 800 公尺跑者。
    而我最終成為了大學記錄保持的接力賽成員。
    所以我從一個無名小卒變成了相當出色的人。
    因此,我傾向於相信這 10,000 小時的說法。
    就像,是的,你知道的,就是我的努力工作。
    然後當我開始閱讀這些研究時,我翻閱了 1993 年發表的原始論文。
    這篇原始論文是針對 30 名小提琴手進行的,是的,你沒聽錯,30 名小提琴手,在一所世界級的音樂學院就讀,了解了嗎?
    所以讓我們開始解析這裡的問題。
    第一個問題是所謂的範圍限制。
    這些人已經在世界級的音樂學院,就已經高度被篩選。
    被篩選出來的東西,對於這些數據迷來說,是與你的依賴變量相關的,這就是技能。
    如果你想要發展一個通用技能發展框架,這是一個問題。
    這就像,如果我做了一項研究,探討什麼造成了籃球技術,
    而我把受試者限制在 NBA 的中鋒身上。
    然後我說,身高對於 NBA 的技術沒有影響,因為他們都是七尺高。
    所以我壓縮了那個變量中的變異性。
    因此在我的第一本書中,我實際上做了一個分析項目,將美國成年男性的身高與 NBA 的身高進行比較。
    正如你可能想像的那樣,年輕的美國男性的身高與他們在 NBA 得分的機會之間存在非常高的正相關。
    但如果你僅限於已經在 NBA 的球員,相關性會變成負值,因為後衛得分比其他位置更多。
    所以如果你不知道這一點,僅僅用 NBA 球員進行研究,你會告訴家長要養矮一點的孩子,這樣他們在 NBA 得分會更多。
    因此當你沒有在研究中帶入一些對於現狀的理解,並這樣限制範圍的時候,你最終可能會得到錯誤的訊息。
    除此之外……
    後衛得分較多還是較少?
    他們得分較多,但他們比較矮。
    啊,好吧。
    所以如果你不考慮整個人群,而只是查看那些已被高篩選的頂尖選手時,就可能會得出這種反向建議。
    我第一次讀這項研究時引起我注意的另一個問題是……
    他們只報告了平均數。
    10,000 小時是 20 歲時 10 名最佳小提琴手的平均刻意練習時間。
    然後有第二組和較低組。
    他們說有完全的對應,意味著沒有任何練習時間較少的人比練習時間較多的人表現得更好。
    但他們只包括了平均數,所以我無法知道。
    所以我說,哦,我想知道這是真的嗎?
    可以讓我看一下數據以確定這是真的嗎?
    於是我聯繫了——你知道的,安德斯·艾瑞克森,他是一位出色的人,是 10,000 小時規則的奠基人,儘管他實際上不喜歡這個稱號。
    我說,你知道的,我能看看數據或變異量的測量,了解個體之間有多少變異性嗎?
    他說,好吧,你知道,人們在練習的重複記錄上不一致,所以我們認為這不重要。
    我說,好吧,大家在獲取良好數據上都有困難。
    這並不意味著他們不報告變異量的測量。
    所以在我開始批評這項研究後,這項研究發表了 20 年,那時他們發表了一篇更新的論文,包含了一些實際數據。
    而你可以看到原始結論是錯誤的。
    並不存在完全的對應。
    有些練習較少的人表現比一些練習較多的人要好。
    有些人練習超過了 10,000 小時。
    還有些人在 10,000 小時以下卻表現得更好。
    還有各種其他重要的因素,是吧?
    就像,我喜歡稱這為 625,000 小時的睡眠研究,因為頂尖組別的睡眠時間多得多。
    他們的平均每週睡眠時間是 60 小時,而相比之下,較低組別來說則少得多。
    而這在研究中是個巨大的差異,睡眠的多少。
    所以這可能就是僅僅是睡眠。
    睡眠。
    但個體之間存在著巨大的變異性。
    對,對,是的。
    所以這個平均值的概念完全掩蓋了真正的情況,那就是其實有些人練習較少,比那些練習更多的人表現得更好。
    因此,這是一個接連不斷的問題,我只是說,你知道,我得到了青少年運動的提案。
    我得到了投資的提案。
    像是引用10,000小時規則,這是不對的。
    這給人一種錯誤的印象,認為人類的發展是這樣的,這種想法是你必須選擇某樣東西並堅持下去。
    而那種取樣試圖找出你最有希望的地方是沒有價值的,這是不對的。
    於是我對解決這個問題變得有些著迷。
    我真的希望在我生命中的這個階段能在我所專注的事情上取得成功。
    無論那是否是播客製作或創業,我的商業投資組合涉及各種不同的行業,從迷幻藥到 SpaceX,無論它可能是什麼。
    所以當我在想今天和你坐下來聊天時,我想,或許我可以告訴他們我正在努力追求的目標。
    我是一個 30 歲的男人,所以你知道,我並不處於職業生涯的早期階段。
    這是否意味著,例如,我現在無法有所進展?
    你目前處於職業生涯的哪個階段?
    我不知道,因為我在 18 到 28 歲之間有一段時間,所以我想也許我有點過於僵化。
    你知道,幾年前麻省理工學院和西北大學以及美國的研究。
    這段文字翻譯成繁體中文如下:
    普查局發現,快速成長的科技創業公司的創始人平均年齡排名前十分之一的為10,000人。你猜創立當天的平均年齡是多少?猜猜看。25歲? 45歲。 而50歲的創始人機會比30歲的還要高。 但是我們從來不會聽到,就像我們從來不會聽到這些曲折故事一樣,我們只聽到泰格·伍茲的故事。 我們只聽到,例如,馬克·祖克柏名言所說,年輕人更聰明。 當他22歲時,你還聽到他這麼說嗎? 沒有,真是驚訝。但我們的確只是,我們像是讚美著早熟。 所以我不會說你不在職業的早期階段。 根據那個標準,你當然不是。 這並不是說沒有卓越的公司,或者如果你知道,根據市值來衡量,確實有一些驚人的年輕創始人。 但他們相較於常態獲得了過多的關注。 這是對我來說非常重要的另一點。 這並不是說沒有例外,因為通往頂端的路徑有很多種,就像人類一樣多。 但我認為我們不斷地專注於例外,而人們至少應該意識到常態。所以平均而言,快速成長的, 你說的科技創始人? 科技初創公司。 但在這個語境中,科技也包括農業中的東西,對嗎? 是的,是的,是的。 這不僅僅是照片分享應用,廣義上的科技。 我認為這一點很重要,因為我認為可以公平地說,一個55歲的人不太可能理解一些新興平台,這些平台對,比如說,像22歲的馬克·祖克柏來說是本土的。我認為這是公正的。他在宿舍裡跟電腦和互聯網玩耍。 是的,我認為這也是公平的。但科技還觸及了許多其他領域,像是昨天來這裡的路上,我在學習一種我從未聽說過的軟體,因為機場的所有電腦都當掉了,對吧?科技存在於這些地方,而這些地方的特徵並不像那樣有著公開的代表性。因此,如果我確實想要成為,好的,我明白在我人生的這個階段我可以做任何我想做的事情,這意味著我可以瞄準任何我想要的東西,但並不意味著我會擅長它。但如果我只是想在我瞄準的目標上變得更具生產力,舉例來說,這個播客對我來說意義重大。因此,我希望在推進這個播客、創新、解決我們面對的一些問題和挑戰時變得更具生產力。 當我開始談論一個非常專注的任務時,首先會浮現的想法是什麼? 我的意思是,我認為對你來說一個挑戰將會是,這個播客變得如此龐大,而你也變得如此有能力,以致於你會陷入一個能力的慣性,或者經濟學家拉斯·羅伯茨告訴我的,舒適的吊床。 你處在一個如此舒適和成功的範圍中,變得更好的難度提高,因為你所做的一切變化都會受到激勵,對吧? 你必須冒一些風險。 我是說,你知道的。 你是一位企業家。 如果你想變得更好,你必須冒一些風險。 我認為這將是一個困難的事情,因為,你知道這間房間裡有人依賴你。 對你來說的風險也是對他們的風險。 所以我認為如果你想要在這個播客上創新,你 得開始思考什麼樣的風險是明智的。那可能會是什麼樣子? 並尋找進行小規模實驗的方法。我非常喜歡低風險的練習,對吧?你如何為一個可能值得進行的較大實驗設置一些低風險的練習? 我認為這對於個人在他們的職業中進步也是一樣的。比如說,我喜歡這句話。 我最喜歡、絕對最喜歡的句子來自這位名叫赫爾米妮亞·伊巴拉的女性,她是一位倫敦商學院的教授。她研究人們如何進行工作轉變。 所以她的說法是,我們在實踐中學習自己的身份,而不是在理論中。 所以她工作的論點是,有這種觀念,你可以僅僅透過內省來知道自己應該做什麼。 就像克拉克·肯特衝進電話亭,撕掉衣服變成超人。但工作是身份的一部分。 它不會那樣通過反思而改變。你實際上必須去嘗試某樣東西,看看結果如何,什麼是意想不到的? 你學到了什麼?可能你會感興趣或認識到自己不擅長的事情。你知道哪些事情是你擅長的,但是你意識到自己並不在使用?然後根據這些來制定你的下一步,對吧? 我認為當你如此有能力和成功,並且只收到大量的正面回饋時,風險變得困難。因此,我認為對你來說這將是一個挑戰。 因為如果你冒了一定程度的風險,對吧,你想要在你的最佳推進區域。 對於你所做的任何事情,如果你在練習任何東西,身體技能,無論是什麼,如果你至少15%至20%的時間都在失敗,那麼你就不在你的最佳推進區域,在那裡你獲得的進步會是最大的。我認為當你有一個非常成功的項目時,這是困難的。因此,我會開始思考你願意冒什麼風險。這不意味著如果有些事情出現逆轉,那就是失敗,對吧?如果觀看次數下降或不論你測量的任何指標。你剛聽到的是某個之前節目中最常重播的時刻。如果你想聽完整集,我已在下面連結了它。檢查說明。謝謝!

    In today’s moment, journalist David Epstein explores the path to long-term success. He delves into the “10,000 hours” rule for mastery and reveals why having a broad skillset might be more advantageous than specialising early on.

    David Epstein is a renowned science writer and author, best known for his work Range: Why Generalists Triumph in a Specialized World. With a background in environmental science and a passion for understanding human development, Epstein focuses on breaking down complex scientific ideas to help individuals make informed decisions about career growth and personal improvement.

    Listen to the full episode here!

    Spotify: ⁠https://g2ul0.app.link/fRsIsT7YhVb

    Apple: ⁠https://g2ul0.app.link/F6NbstsZhVb

    Watch the episodes on YouTube: ⁠⁠https://www.youtube.com/c/%20TheDiaryOfACEO/videos⁠

    Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

  • #476 – Jack Weatherford: Genghis Khan and the Mongol Empire

    AI transcript
    0:00:02 The following is a conversation with Jack Weatherford,
    0:00:08 anthropologist and historian specializing in Genghis Khan and the Mongol Empire.
    0:00:14 He has written a legendary book on this topic titled Genghis Khan and the Making of the Modern
    0:00:20 World. And he has written many other books, including Emperor of the Seas, Kublai Khan,
    0:00:25 and the Making of China, Genghis Khan and the Quest for God, The Secret History of the Mongol
    0:00:31 Queens and other excellent books. I’ve gotten to know Jack more after this conversation,
    0:00:38 and I cannot speak highly enough about him. He’s a truly brilliant, thoughtful, and kind soul.
    0:00:46 This was a huge honor and pleasure for me. And now a quick few second mention of each sponsor.
    0:00:51 Check them out in the description or at lexfriedman.com slash sponsors. It’s the best
    0:00:57 way to support this podcast. We got Alio Capital for investment, ZocDoc for finding a medical
    0:01:04 professional, Finn for AI customer service, Oracle for cloud computing, Shopify for selling stuff online,
    0:01:11 Masterclass for learning, and Element for your daily electrolytes. Choose wisely, my friends.
    0:01:16 And now onto the full ad reads. They’re all here in one place. I do try to make them interesting by
    0:01:21 talking about some random things I’m reading or thinking about. But if you skip, please still
    0:01:26 check out the sponsors. I enjoy their stuff. Maybe you will too. And it is truly the best
    0:01:31 way to support this podcast. To get in touch with me for whatever reason, go to lexfriedman.com
    0:01:39 slash contact. All right, let’s go. This episode is brought to you by Alio Capital, an investment
    0:01:47 platform leveraging AI and macroeconomic insights to help you invest. They’re a new sponsor, a very
    0:01:54 interesting sponsor. The idea there, when you’re talking about macroeconomic decisions, is leveraging
    0:01:59 everything that’s going on, not just in the United States, but globally, and understanding that deeply,
    0:02:05 and then leveraging AI tools to make decisions based on what is going on in the world.
    0:02:12 I personally am always wondering, trying to figure out exactly what to do with the ever-quickening
    0:02:20 turmoil of the world, whether that’s from military conflicts, tariffs, the tearing and stretching of
    0:02:27 different ways the fabric of our various nations and our global humanity. On a human level, of course,
    0:02:35 it hurts my heart. And that is a level at which I try to understand, explore ideas, and have different
    0:02:42 guests that explore different perspectives on those ideas. But in terms of finances, and how to invest,
    0:02:48 given that the ground underneath is constantly shifting, that’s really challenging, I think.
    0:02:55 So I support what Allio Capital are doing with their effort to understand and leverage the global
    0:03:01 macroeconomic system in order to help you invest. Download their app in the App Store, Google Play, or
    0:03:12 text LEX to 511-511. That’s A-L-L-I-O Capital. Text LEX to 511-511. It’s important to say that investing
    0:03:19 involves risk, including the potential loss of principle. Past performance does not guarantee results. See terms
    0:03:27 and conditions. Text fees may apply. This episode is also brought to you by ZocDoc, a new sponsor. It’s a really
    0:03:33 interesting platform that connects people, patients, with top-rated healthcare providers. I have to admit that I’m
    0:03:39 terrible at this thing, of remembering to schedule doctor’s appointments, of remembering to go to the doctor, so
    0:03:46 anything and everyone and whatever tools can help me get that done, I’m all for. ZocDoc is definitely
    0:03:53 that. ZocDoc is the easiest way I found to be able to find a doctor online super quickly. The right doctor
    0:03:59 for your thing and book an appointment super quickly. Super easy. Nice interface. Easy to do. There’s no
    0:04:05 excuses. I’m also saying this out loud to myself because there really is no excuses. I need to go to the doctor
    0:04:12 more often. I don’t have any particular maladies at the moment, but it’s always good to go to the doctor
    0:04:21 when nothing is wrong versus when everything is wrong, which is oftentimes foolish folks like me
    0:04:29 approach the system. So anyway, go to ZocDoc.com slash Lex to find and book a top-rated doctor today.
    0:04:41 ZocDoc.com slash Lex. This episode is also brought to you by Finn, the number one AI agent for customer
    0:04:48 service. In head-to-head comparisons with competitors, Finn wins every time. It’s used and trusted by over
    0:04:55 5,000 customer service leaders, including top AI companies like Anthropic and Synthesia.
    0:05:03 These guys are legit. Their whole system continuously improves based on the analysis training test deploy
    0:05:09 loop. So it gets better and better and better and better based on your needs, based on your customer
    0:05:17 needs. Creating a system that gives a high rate of resolution, meaning when a customer comes with a
    0:05:24 problem, start talking to the agent and what percent of the time that is resolved automatically with the AI
    0:05:30 system and they achieve a 59% average resolution rate, which is very high and very impressive for
    0:05:36 the industry. Anyway, go to fin.ai slash Lex to learn more about transforming your customer service
    0:05:44 and scaling your support team. That’s fin.ai slash Lex. This episode is also brought to you by Oracle,
    0:05:51 a legendary company providing a fully integrated stack of cloud applications and cloud platforming
    0:05:58 services. They got the OCI, which is the Oracle cloud infrastructure. It’s a single platform for your
    0:06:03 infrastructure, database, application development, and of course, AI. How can we forget about artificial
    0:06:09 intelligence? But yeah, on many fronts, actually, Oracle is doing incredible work on providing tools for large
    0:06:20 companies to deploy AI at scale. On average, it’s 50% less money for compute, 70% less for storage, and 80% less for
    0:06:26 for networking. Obviously, as AI and machine learning systems continue to need more and more processing
    0:06:33 power, making those systems efficient and accurate becomes super vital. Cut your cloud bill in half
    0:06:38 when you switch to OCI. Offer is for new U.S. customers with a minimal financial commitment.
    0:06:47 See if you qualify at oracle.com slash Lex. That’s oracle.com slash Lex. This episode is also brought to you by
    0:06:51 Shopify, Shopify, a platform designed for anyone to sell anywhere with a great looking online store.
    0:07:01 Obviously, with a conversation with GHH, six hours, of which a long time we spent saying how incredible
    0:07:09 Toby, the CEO of Shopify is and how incredible Shopify is at being one of the company, one of many companies
    0:07:15 that show that Ruby on Rails can scale. I don’t think I’ve ever heard anybody celebrate a programming
    0:07:22 language as thoroughly and as beautifully and as convincingly as DHH does. So that was wonderful to
    0:07:31 just sit back and enjoy listening to a super technical person elucidate the full range of beauty that he
    0:07:37 discovered in the tools that he uses. Anyway, that’s some of the tech behind Shopify. But the actual
    0:07:44 thing, connecting customers with people that want to sell stuff at an incredibly large scale, they do
    0:07:50 this extremely well. So even I have a store, lexfreedman.com slash store. Sign up for a $1 per month trial
    0:07:56 period at shopify.com slash lex. That’s all lowercase. Go to shopify.com slash lex to take your business
    0:08:04 to the next level today. This episode is also brought to you by Masterclass. I have loved Masterclass for a
    0:08:09 very long time. You can watch over 200 classes there from the best people in the world in their
    0:08:14 respective disciplines. I’m going to talk to many directors on the podcast. I’m going to talk to many
    0:08:19 musicians on the podcast. And one of the inspirations for that is Martin Scorsese on filmmaking.
    0:08:28 What a great Masterclass. Another one is Carlos Santana on guitar. I really hope to publish more
    0:08:37 videos of me playing guitar. Some Hendrix, some Guns N’ Roses. And yes, Carlos Santana, Europa. I think
    0:08:45 it’s one of the most beautiful melodic solos ever created. So anyway, you get to explore the minds
    0:08:52 behind some of these beautiful creations with Masterclass. They do just all around really,
    0:08:58 really nice job at condensing the wisdom of these folks into one place. Get unlimited access to every
    0:09:04 Masterclass and get an additional 15% off an annual membership at masterclass.com slash lexpod.
    0:09:10 That’s masterclass.com slash lexpod. This episode is also brought to you by Element,
    0:09:19 my daily zero sugar and delicious electrolyte mix. Whenever you see me sipping something on the
    0:09:25 podcast table in a mug, that’s usually water with some element in it. It tastes delicious. It brings
    0:09:30 me joy. It makes me feel healthy. Make sure I never get a headache if I’m doing all kinds of fasting or
    0:09:36 doing carnivore diet. All of that. Making sure that the electrolytes are in check. Sodium, potassium,
    0:09:43 magnesium. And of course, friends, watermelon salt is still my favorite by far flavor. It’s the only
    0:09:49 one I stick to. I know a bunch of people like different flavors, but for me, I’m in a long-term
    0:09:55 monogamous relationship with watermelon salt. Get a free eight-count sample pack for free with any
    0:10:02 purchase. Try it at drinkelement.com slash lex. This is the Lex Friedman Podcast. To support it,
    0:10:08 please check out our sponsors in the description or at lexfriedman.com slash sponsors. And consider
    0:10:14 subscribing, commenting, and sharing the podcast with folks who might find it interesting. I promise
    0:10:21 to work extremely hard to always bring you nuanced, long-form conversations with a wide variety of
    0:10:28 interesting people from all walks of life. And now, dear friends, here’s Jack Weatherford.
    0:10:52 Cenghis Khan, born in approximately 1162, became the conqueror of the largest contiguous empire in
    0:11:00 history. But before that, he was a boy named Temujin, who at nine years old, lost everything.
    0:11:06 His father, his tribe, living in poverty, abandoned to the harshness of the Mongolian steppe, from a boy
    0:11:13 with nothing to the conqueror of the world. So tell me about this boy, his childhood and the Mongolian
    0:11:15 steppe from which he came from.
    0:11:23 The story of Cenghis Khan, like the story I think of all of us, it doesn’t begin at birth. That’s the
    0:11:29 beginning of life. The story begins long before birth. And sometimes it can be many generations
    0:11:35 before, and sometimes only shortly before. But I think with Cenghis Khan, a crucial thing is to
    0:11:42 understand how his parents met and then how he was conceived. And that is that one day
    0:11:51 a cart was coming across the Mongol territory, and only women drove carts. Men rode horses. Women also
    0:11:58 rode horses. But women owned the houses, which were called gears, the tents. They owned all the household
    0:12:03 equipment, and so they had to have carts for moving back and forth. And the fact that a cart was moving
    0:12:09 meant that some woman was moving from one place to another. And in fact, her husband was with her.
    0:12:19 She was a new bride, and her husband was on a horse close to her. So what happened was a man named
    0:12:27 Yasuke. Yasuke, the future father of Cenghis Khan. Yasuke was up on a hill. He was hunting with his falcon.
    0:12:31 And the words of the secret history of the Mongols were very clear. And he looked down,
    0:12:35 and he saw her, and he could barely glimpse her, but he knew she was young,
    0:12:40 and she was a new bride. And he rode back to camp. He got his two brothers,
    0:12:44 and they came racing down. And they came,
    0:12:47 and first the husband
    0:12:56 of the woman looked around, and he decided to flee. Not because he was a coward, but he figured he would
    0:13:02 probably pull the men after him. They would chase him. And they did. They chased him. He went far away.
    0:13:09 He circled around. He came back. He arrived back at the cart where his wife was. Her name was Erlun.
    0:13:17 And Erlun had time to think while he was riding around, being chased by the Mongols. And she decided
    0:13:25 that it’s more important for him to live. And she told him when he came back, “You must flee. If you stay
    0:13:31 here, they will kill you, and they will take me. But if you flee, they will take me. But you will have
    0:13:36 the chance to find another wife. There are many women in the world. You find one, and you call her
    0:13:43 Hulun, after my name. And you remember me when you’re with her.” It was a very dramatic moment.
    0:13:51 And he rode away. And he looked back and forth. And it said that the pigtails or the braids that were
    0:13:58 hanging down were whipping back and forth from his chest to his back. He was divided, obviously,
    0:14:03 and whether he should go or stay. But the three men were approaching again. And they were headed
    0:14:13 straight for the cart this time. And they came in and they took Erlun. She didn’t say a word until
    0:14:19 her husband was over the ridge. And when he was over the ridge and she could no longer see him,
    0:14:25 she began to scream and wail. And one of the brothers said to her, “It doesn’t matter if you
    0:14:31 shake the waters out of the river, and if you shake the mountains with your screaming, you will never
    0:14:40 see this man again.” And he was right. That was the moment that Genghis Khan’s mother and father met.
    0:14:46 That’s the beginning of his story in this kidnapping. And it’s going to reverberate
    0:14:52 every detail of it. It will come back again and again, not only throughout the story of the life
    0:14:58 of Genghis Khan, but it’s going to continue on with the feuds and the issues caused by it
    0:15:04 all the way into the future. And to some extent, in certain parts of the world, you could say it still exists.
    0:15:15 So the meeting is fundamentally sort of a mixture of heartbreak and dark criminal type of kidnapping.
    0:15:16 Yes.
    0:15:23 And from that is conceived this conqueror of the biggest contiguous empire in history.
    0:15:32 What I was really interested in was how did this happen? Who was this person? As Wordsworth wrote in
    0:15:39 his poem, you know, “The Child is Father of the Man.” And it’s the childhood that created him. And it’s
    0:15:44 that episode that was before he was born, but all the things that happened throughout his childhood
    0:15:56 made him into the man that he became. And so he was now suddenly, this unusual situation was created
    0:16:04 where a child is going to be born to a kidnapped woman who is being held by strange people, the Mongols.
    0:16:12 They were not her people. And he already had another wife or husband. He had a wife named Sochigal. He had
    0:16:19 at that time already one son. Later, he had another son with her. It was a very odd situation. And in fact,
    0:16:27 the father, Yasuke wasn’t even there when Temujin was born. He was off fighting the Tatars. And doing
    0:16:34 this campaign against the Tatars, he killed two Tatars. One of them was named Temujin Uge, which is sort of
    0:16:42 “person of iron,” is what it means, from the Turkic. But today, a part of also Mongolian language.
    0:16:51 So he came back, he had a baby, and he decided to name him Temujin, the person of iron, or Iron Man,
    0:16:52 we might call him.
    0:16:53 After the man he killed.
    0:17:02 After the man he killed. So he’s a kidnapped mother. She’s a second wife now. Not a legal wife,
    0:17:11 but just a second kidnapped wife. And he’s named for someone his father just killed. It was not an auspicious
    0:17:21 time. And in fact, just episode after episode in his childhood was inauspicious. The father and mother
    0:17:28 moved camp one time when he was quite young, and somehow they overlooked him and forgot him. He was
    0:17:33 left behind. So here’s this young child. We don’t know what age, but it could be around four or five,
    0:17:40 I think. He was left behind. And as it turned out, some other people, the Taichut, found him. And then
    0:17:48 they kept him for a while, and eventually he was reunited with his father and mother. And it’s very
    0:17:56 odd to me that I never have any inkling of a spark of relationship much between the father and the son.
    0:18:05 Because then when Temujin is eight years old, his father decides to take him off to find a wife.
    0:18:10 Which finding a wife in the Mongolian terms means you give the child to that family, or you give the boy to
    0:18:15 that family. And he will live with them, and they will raise him up, and they will train him the way
    0:18:23 they want before he can marry their daughter. And so he’s taking him off at age eight. But he didn’t take
    0:18:30 the other son from the other wife, Bechter. He was keeping him. There was something about Temujin having
    0:18:37 been lost once and found by the Taichut and reunited with the family. And now his father takes him off at
    0:18:45 age eight. And he was going to take him to Erlund’s family, but he never made it. He stopped with another
    0:18:51 family. It’s sort of like the first family he came across. And in the words of the secret history,
    0:18:57 it’s sort of like instant love, that there was fire in his eyes and fire in her eyes. And he saw this
    0:19:04 girl, Bechter, who was about nine years old, a little older, and he wanted to stay there with that family,
    0:19:11 according to the story. And so the father left him there with that family. But on the way home,
    0:19:22 the father decided he saw a drinking party, and he decided to join them. They were Tatars. He hid his
    0:19:29 identity. On the step, everybody kind of figures out who everybody is, and they figured out who he was.
    0:19:38 And supposedly, they poisoned him. He got on his horse and was able to ride back home. But within
    0:19:50 a few days, he died. So now Temujin is off living with another family. And somebody comes from his
    0:19:56 family, a family, not a relative, but a close person named Mongluk, comes to get him, take him back.
    0:20:04 And they make it through the winter. They make it through the winter. Mother Erlum, by now, she has
    0:20:10 four sons and one daughter. I think the daughter had already been born, or the daughter was going to be
    0:20:18 born not too long after that. But they make it through the winter. The spring comes, and of course,
    0:20:24 the clan is going to move to a new camp. They go to spring camp from winter camp. And they have a
    0:20:29 ceremony for the ancestors. And they started the ceremony, but they did not tell Erlun.
    0:20:38 And so she came, and she was angry that she had been left out. The old women said, “You’re the
    0:20:45 one for whom we do not have to call. We will feed you if you come, but we do not have to take care of you.”
    0:20:50 Letting her know that as a captive woman, she was not a real wife in their view.
    0:20:57 And that was really the signal that when they moved camp, they were not taking her with them.
    0:21:05 And they packed up, and they took her animals. They took the animals. But she, at that moment,
    0:21:10 she still had one horse for a moment. And she jumped on the horse, and she took the banner of
    0:21:16 her husband. And she raced around the people. And the banner after death contains the soul of the
    0:21:22 person. And so she raced around, and they were a little bit nervous. And so they camped for one night,
    0:21:31 and they waited until it was dark. Then they took off. And this time, one of the friends of the family
    0:21:39 came running out to try to stop them. And they killed him. And Temujin cried. He was a little boy,
    0:21:45 eight years old. There was nothing he could do. He was just a little boy. And now that family is left there,
    0:21:54 on the step, four children, possibly five already. Suchigal, the other woman with two children,
    0:22:01 they’re all left there to die on the step. When the winter comes, they will surely all die.
    0:22:04 How do they make it to the winter?
    0:22:11 Mother Erlun, in the words of the Secret History, she pulled her hat down over her head.
    0:22:18 She took her black stick, and she ran up and down the banks of the river, digging out roots
    0:22:26 to feed the gullet of her brood. She fed them through the winter. She found foods,
    0:22:34 digging up whatever she could, finding whatever she could, everything she could. And even at this young
    0:22:41 age, Temujin was already beginning to go out to collect things. He could get fish. He could do a
    0:22:50 few tasks to help feed the family. It was an extremely awful struggle at this point. But she saved every
    0:22:50 one of the children.
    0:22:59 So, Temujin’s early years were marked by loneliness, abandonment, and struggle?
    0:23:11 Yes. Even after this, he was kidnapped at one point by Taichut people. He was kidnapped. And we would
    0:23:19 say, I think the correct word would be “enslaved.” They put him into a kank, a yoke, like an ox would
    0:23:25 wear. And so his two arms are in it, and his head is in it, and he’s trapped in this thing.
    0:23:33 And every night he would be taken to a different gear to be guarded by that family. And one night,
    0:23:38 there was a little celebration, so most of the people are drinking, and he’s left with a boy who’s
    0:23:47 not very smart. And Temujin managed to take the kank, the wooden yoke that he’s trapped in, and use it as a
    0:23:53 weapon by turning it around very quickly and hitting the boy in the head, knocking him out. That was one of
    0:24:00 the first lessons for the Mongols that anything that moves is a weapon. This is going to go on for
    0:24:07 generations, very important for the Mongols. If it moves, it’s a weapon. He did that, he raced off in the
    0:24:16 night, and he jumped into the river to hide. He’s still got a kank on him. He’s still trapped under there. The
    0:24:22 people are looking for him. They come out, they’re up and down the river, and he’s hiding underneath the
    0:24:27 water for the most part, trying to breathe as best he can. But it’s dark, and it protects him a little
    0:24:32 bit. They give up, and they say, “Okay, we’ll come back tomorrow. He can’t possibly escape.” But
    0:24:41 the next day, he knew one family that he thought he could go to, and he was right. He went to that family,
    0:24:53 and at great risk to themselves, and at great risk to themselves, they managed to saw off the kank and then
    0:25:00 burn it in their fire, and they gave him food to escape. And then he had to go find his family again.
    0:25:06 So this is the kind of life that this boy Temujin had.
    0:25:12 So he, just to be clear, the neck is trapped, and the hands are trapped?
    0:25:18 We think that’s how it is. We just have the word. They don’t say the head and the hands. We know
    0:25:24 that his body is trapped in it. But from all evidence we have, it’s the hands and the head.
    0:25:28 And he’s running around deeply alone with this thing.
    0:25:33 Yes. Yes. And then he has to go out and find wherever his family is.
    0:25:41 So this, in part, was the foundation of his breaking with Mongol tradition that kinship is
    0:25:48 the most important thing above all else. Because here’s his life story where he’s abandoned over
    0:25:48 and over and over.
    0:25:53 Yes. By his father’s own brothers. See, the men who kidnapped her,
    0:26:00 they had an obligation under the Mongol law and custom to marry her when her husband died.
    0:26:07 They did not. They should take care of her and her children, because her children are the children
    0:26:13 of their brother. They count as the sons of the clan, or they should. But no, they had all deserted,
    0:26:17 all betrayed him. He learned very early on that you cannot trust family.
    0:26:29 You mentioned that Genghis Khan’s childhood, Timurjin was marked by extreme tribal violence. Can you describe
    0:26:36 sort of the state of affairs in the steppe? How much violence is there? How much kidnapping is there?
    0:26:46 The story of Timurjin is not a unique story for that time. Now, as an isolated family of outcasts,
    0:26:53 of course, he’s not participating in the various feuds and the raids of the people around him. But they are
    0:26:59 constantly raiding in the winter. And for women, and for horses, and for any kind of valuables that they
    0:27:06 can find, it’s almost like their way of getting trade goods from China, that one group raids the other in
    0:27:14 order to find out whatever they have for textiles or for metal. Mongols produced nothing. They could
    0:27:20 produce felt to make their tents, but they were not craftsmen. And so they had to get these items from
    0:27:28 somewhere and it was through raiding. And so even in the genealogy of Timurjin, you see going back
    0:27:34 generation after generation of women having been kidnapped, children born who are not necessarily
    0:27:41 the father’s child, and it’s unclear who the father was. And all of these issues go back for a long time.
    0:27:48 Later, Chinggis Khan will realize, once he becomes Chinggis Khan, he will realize that the true source of
    0:27:56 most of the feuding on the steppe is over women. And later he will outlaw the kidnapping of women and
    0:28:02 the sale of women. In part, not only because of what had happened to his mother, but what happened to him
    0:28:03 next in his life.
    0:28:12 And this is one of the things you talk about this, in some ways, the love story with his wife was
    0:28:20 her kidnapping was the defining. If you could point to one place where Genghis Khan, the conqueror was
    0:28:28 created, it’s that point, his wife being kidnapped. Can you describe, first of all, his love for this
    0:28:33 woman and what that means and what the kidnapping of her meant?
    0:28:41 At age 16, Berta, the girl he had met when he was eight years old and she was nine,
    0:28:44 she’s now 17, and she and her mother come.
    0:28:56 It’s hard to even imagine what it was like for this 16-year-old boy who has suffered these indignities
    0:29:04 of life in every way that you can imagine. And suddenly, here is the love of his life who’s
    0:29:10 going to be living with him, making him happy. He has somebody who loves him. It’s not just his
    0:29:15 mother running around getting food and trying to feed the five children and plus the other wife and
    0:29:23 her two children. No, he has somebody who loves him. And it’s all the excitement that you can imagine,
    0:29:29 with the fire in the eyes and the excitement. And then it only lasts a few months.
    0:29:36 And so there they are. And there’s a lady visiting them. We don’t know exactly who she is, but just
    0:29:42 they called her grandmother Kowakshin. Granny Kowakshin is there. Granny Kowakshin is sleeping,
    0:29:49 of course, on the floor of the gear, the tent. And early in the morning, she feels the vibrations in the earth.
    0:29:58 And she knows that horsemen are coming. She rouses the family. And Mother Erlun is in charge. Mother
    0:30:04 Erlun is still in charge, even though Temujin is now married. She puts all of her children on a horse.
    0:30:13 She takes the baby girl, Temulin, in her own lap. And she has one extra horse.
    0:30:21 But she won’t take Bursta. Because she knows, she doesn’t know who the men are. She has no idea.
    0:30:26 But they’re coming. They’re coming in the dark. They’re coming for a woman. They know there’s a
    0:30:33 girl there. This family of outcasts has acquired a wife. And they know that they’re coming for that.
    0:30:39 And so she leaves Sochigal, the other wife. She leaves this old lady, Granny Kowakshin, who actually
    0:30:48 has her own cart. And she leaves Bursta. They pile into Granny’s cart. And it’s only an ox to pull it,
    0:30:55 so they don’t get too far before the attackers get there. But Mother Erlun is right. She’s able to get
    0:31:00 her children off to the mountain, into Burkhart Khaldun, to the mountainside, away from them,
    0:31:06 because the men are so focused on this cart and finding out how many women are in there and who they are.
    0:31:21 So Mother Erlun saved her family. But at a cost, suddenly, Temujin realizes he has obeyed his mother,
    0:31:27 but he’s lost the most important thing in his life. And I do think this is the defining moment of his life.
    0:31:33 The story began back when his mother was kidnapped. But now the kidnapping of his wife,
    0:31:38 I think it’s the defining moment. What will he do? What should he do? What can he do?
    0:31:46 Is he going to just resign himself to it? Is he going to go out and look for another wife?
    0:31:54 And he decides that life is not worth living without Bursta. He has found something good in this life.
    0:32:01 And if he has to die trying to get her back, he will die trying to get her back.
    0:32:10 And this is the early steps of the military genius born. Because in order to get her back requires
    0:32:13 an actual organization of troops.
    0:32:26 He needs allies.
    0:32:39 He goes to a man who ruled the Karyat people in central Mongolia, on the Toll River about where the capital Ulaanbaatar is today. He goes there because that Vong Han is his name, or Torgal Han. He goes there because Vong Han had been the lord over his father at one point. And his father had gone on raids for him. And so he went there.
    0:32:51 And actually, he took a gift. And actually, he took a gift. That’s because Vong Han had brought a sable coat as a gift for Mother Erlun at that time of the marriage.
    0:33:06 And so he took the coat, and he took it, and he gave it as a gift to Vong Han and asked for his help. And Vong Han said, “Yes.” And he said, “I will send some troops, but we need more. And you need to ask Jamukha.
    0:33:16 Jamukha. You need to ask him to come also.” He said, “I will send a message to him to get troops.”
    0:33:26 You have to tell the story of Jamukha. Because the story of Genghis Khan is one of people abandoning him, being disloyal.
    0:33:35 And here is a person who’s not of his kin, but becomes his, in a way, brother, in a way, loyal.
    0:33:46 And as you’ve described, he’s both the best thing that has happened to Genghis Khan, and one of the biggest challenges in the later years to Genghis Khan.
    0:33:48 So who was Jamukha?
    0:34:00 Jamukha was a boy about the same age as Timu Jin. And his family had winter camp close to where Mother Erlun was living with her children.
    0:34:10 And so the two boys met during the wintertime. In fact, they both claimed descent from the same woman about four generations earlier, or five, it’s a little unclear.
    0:34:21 She was an Urihanghai woman who herself was kidnapped. And actually, Jamukha was the descendant of her from the fact that she was pregnant at the moment of kidnapping.
    0:34:27 And then Timu Jin is descended from her through the new kidnapper, Botanchar, his ancestor.
    0:34:35 So they’re both through the, as the Mongols would say, from the same womb. They come from the same historic origin.
    0:34:42 However, their lives were similar, and they both lost their fathers very early. But Jamukha also lost a mother.
    0:34:51 So he grew up in the household of his grandfather. He had no siblings, unlike Timu Jin, with a whole household of siblings.
    0:35:01 He grew up with his grandfather, and his grandfather had several wives. So he grew up with a bunch of old women, which later he said he thought was an influence on his life.
    0:35:08 But the two boys meet. So they come from different backgrounds. And Jamukha is not as deprived by any means as the life of Timu Jin.
    0:35:16 But he has a certain emotional deprivation, I think, having not had mother, father, siblings. And he lives with these old, old people.
    0:35:37 So the two boys meet, they become good friends, playing on the ice. And so they’re playing on the ice. And then very early on, I think when they’re about 10 or 11 years old, they decide to make a pact. It’s called coming Anda. Anda is more than a friend. A friend is like Nukhr in the language.
    0:35:45 And there are several different types of friendship. And there are several different types of friendship. But Anda is a friendship that’s beyond a friendship. It’s something for life.
    0:36:00 And they swore that they would be there forever to protect each other, to help each other in every moment. And they exchanged knuckle bones. So each one of them had the knuckle bone of a roebuck, a deer.
    0:36:17 Knuckle bones are used in these games that they play. But it’s also used to forecast the future. You can roll them around and all. And it’s very strange. On the ice, I will say, in the wintertime in Mongolia, it can be up to 50 degrees below zero.
    0:36:41 And it doesn’t really matter at that point whether it’s either Celsius or Fahrenheit or what it is. But you slide something across the ice, and it’s just absolutely smooth like silk. And it goes on for a long way. And if you put your ear down to the ice, you hear this celestial sound that is unlike any sound on the earth. It’s just like the angels are singing under the ice.
    0:37:05 So once they’ve sworn this relationship of Anda, then a couple years later, they swear it again. But this time, they’re slightly older boys, and they have bows and arrows. And so they exchange arrows with each other. In fact, the text is very specific that Jamukha took the horn, cut it off of a two-year-old calf, and he whittled it down.
    0:37:17 And then he drilled a hole into it in order to make a whistling arrow, which is used for several purposes among the Mongols. It’s used for signals, for one thing, from one person to another.
    0:37:28 But also, when you’re hunting, if you want to move the animal in a certain direction, you send a whistling arrow in the opposite direction to make the animal move. So it had a lot of uses.
    0:37:41 So the boys had exchanged roebuck knuckles. This time, they exchanged—and so they had been close friends. And Wang Han said, okay, Jamukha should raise some troops and go with you. And he did.
    0:37:55 So the three set out. Some troops from Wang Han. He himself did not go. He was too old. But he sent some troops. And then Jamukha and his troops. And then basically just Temujin and his family. He just had his brothers. That’s all.
    0:38:19 They set off to find the Merkut people up the Seleng River, which flows into Siberia and on into Lake Baikal. They had to go through some extremely rough territory. And you see in this episode, though, Jamukha is already a little bit fierce without necessarily thinking it through carefully.
    0:38:38 He gives this long speech about all the things they’re going to do to the Merkut people. We’re going to jump through the tunnel, the smoke hole in the top of the gear. We’re going to jump in there, and we’re going to kill them all. We’re going to kill the men and the women and the children. We will destroy these people forever.
    0:39:01 He has extremely militant rhetoric, at least. And he’s also rather critical of the elder people. Wang Han’s people came late, and he gave them this long lecture about, we are Mongols. And if we give our word, our word is our promise forever. And rain or sleet or snow, it doesn’t matter. We be there on time.
    0:39:30 So he’s dressing down his superiors. He’s very aggressive, but he’s very helpful. So these troops, they move in on the Merkut camp. They also come in at night. And so there’s a small amount of warning because some men are out hunting sables, the Merkut men, and they race back to the camp and they tell the people, and the people are getting ready to get out as fast as possible.
    0:39:36 So Berkut has no idea who’s coming. She doesn’t want to be kidnapped again. It’s just somebody.
    0:40:00 So she and the grandmother go auction again, and they’re loaded into a cart to go away. So Temujin comes in, and there’s a full moon that night, so they could see what they’re doing. And he’s really searching for her. He’s not paying too much attention to the battle. And he’s calling for her, and she hears his voice.
    0:40:18 She knows who it is. She jumps off the cart, and she runs to him. And they’re reunited, and he grabs her, embraces her. And then he said, this is the goal. This is why we are here. We don’t need anything else. He was very clear about that.
    0:40:24 And that was his first full-on military engagement.
    0:40:39 Yes, aside from the things, yes, his first full-on military engagement. Now, along the way, in addition to escaping all these horrors, he had killed his older half-brother, Bechter.
    0:40:50 And that, too, was a deeply formative experience. So what was that about? Can you explain in Mongol society the role of the older brother and the power struggle there?
    0:41:00 And, you know, not to moralize, but there’s also, you know, the ethical foundation behind the murder.
    0:41:06 The killing of Bechter, that’s one of the things that’s totally unknown outside of the secret history of the Mongols.
    0:41:16 None of the Persian chronicles, none of the Chinese chronicles, none of them knew about this until the secret history was deciphered and translated.
    0:41:27 But Bechter was the older child of Xochikl, and the older brother has complete authority over the younger siblings in Mongolian society.
    0:41:34 They have to refer to him with a special pronoun all the time, Ta, and he refers to them as Chi.
    0:41:40 It’s like a formality. And his word goes, he is the father in the absence of the father.
    0:41:52 But also, it’s quite common that if a man dies and his brothers, he has no brothers, or his brothers do not marry his widow,
    0:41:58 then if he has a son by another wife, she will become his wife.
    0:42:07 So it would have been common that Bechter eventually, when he passed through puberty, would then perhaps marry Mother Erlund.
    0:42:18 Now, I don’t know that that happened, but I think either it did, or Temujin was trying to prevent it,
    0:42:23 because it was bad enough that he was the older brother, but he becomes the older brother and a stepfather.
    0:42:25 I think Temujin just couldn’t handle that.
    0:42:34 And he was already, Bechter was ordering him around, so he would take things like a fish or a bird that Temujin had caught,
    0:42:39 and that’s perfectly acceptable in the Mongol hierarchy.
    0:42:44 So Temujin would catch a fish, and Bechter would take the fish.
    0:42:47 Yes. It’s only recorded once, but perhaps it happened several times.
    0:42:52 So that’s an okay thing to do for an older brother, just take stuff.
    0:42:56 Yes. He can do anything he wants, just about, with his younger siblings.
    0:42:57 That’s, yeah.
    0:43:01 And, but Temujin is not going to stand for it.
    0:43:06 So, mostly in the record, they kind of put the blame on this fish,
    0:43:09 which I’m not so sure that’s really the blame.
    0:43:13 And the boys had actually taken the sewing needles from their mother.
    0:43:15 They were using them for fishing.
    0:43:19 And I think it was more complicated than that.
    0:43:25 But for whatever reason, he and his next brother, Hassar, decided to kill him.
    0:43:26 And they did.
    0:43:29 Why, to you, is it more complicated than that?
    0:43:33 It feels to me like stealing of a fish is like the final straw.
    0:43:35 Here, he’s being abused.
    0:43:37 Yes.
    0:43:38 Over and over and over.
    0:43:40 And the fish is a symbol of that.
    0:43:41 Yes.
    0:43:44 And so, here he takes matters into his own hands.
    0:43:46 I think it is the symbol of that.
    0:43:49 And it can be the thing that pushes him over the edge.
    0:43:53 But it’s all these other tensions of what’s going on with the family.
    0:43:56 Because they shoot him with arrows.
    0:43:57 They kill him.
    0:44:03 But what happens afterwards is also interesting for the dynamics of what was going on before.
    0:44:05 Because we hear nothing from Sochigo.
    0:44:10 She and her younger son, Belgetai, they stay with the family.
    0:44:11 They don’t go away.
    0:44:15 But the one who is outraged is Mother Erlun, his mother.
    0:44:21 She screams and hollers at him in the longest kind of tirade you can imagine.
    0:44:26 About, you will never have anybody in your life except your own shadow.
    0:44:32 And, you know, you are worse than everything that she could name that could be worse than.
    0:44:35 She was outraged and went on and on and on about it.
    0:44:40 So, she was obviously extremely distressed about it.
    0:44:44 Whereas Sochigo, the mother of the boy, she may have been distressed.
    0:44:45 I don’t know.
    0:44:47 But nothing has shown up in the record.
    0:44:51 So, he does have this episode of having killed off his brother.
    0:44:59 But I don’t think it was a deeply meaningful, I think it was important, but I don’t think it was a mostly deeply meaningful for Temujin.
    0:45:13 But it does show, in fact, it’s interesting if it’s not a big deal for him.
    0:45:22 It does show that he’s willing to resort to murder to take care of a bad situation.
    0:45:23 Yes.
    0:45:29 He is capable of doing anything that needs to be done to resolve what he sees as a problem.
    0:45:31 Bechter was a problem.
    0:45:35 He resolved it at a very young age.
    0:45:38 So, he’d had that experience behind him.
    0:45:46 But now, Bechter’s younger brother, Belgatai, is on a raid with him and with Jamukha when they go to capture Burstabak.
    0:45:54 So, he has both loyalty and Belgatai stays loyal to him his entire life.
    0:45:56 His entire life.
    0:45:58 It was very interesting.
    0:46:06 So, actually, if we return to Burstabak, is it normal to have such a love story across many years when you’re separated?
    0:46:09 And sort of having that kind of loyalty?
    0:46:16 Because it was two-way loyalty from Burstabak to Temujin and Temujin to Burstabak.
    0:46:19 And this is like before he was Genghis Khan.
    0:46:31 I think as children, he was too preoccupied with staying alive and trying to find fish and roots to eat and things like that to really be pining for her all the time.
    0:46:34 But for whatever reason, she came in.
    0:46:43 It could be that her family liked him in some way or that she remembered him or that she had no other suitors.
    0:46:46 Because at 17, she should have been married, actually.
    0:46:49 So, I can’t explain why.
    0:46:53 But it was certainly a strong love story after the fact, if not before.
    0:46:58 I mean, those two were loyal to each other throughout their lives.
    0:47:04 She was, I would say, the most important person to him after that.
    0:47:08 He went to literal war to get her back.
    0:47:09 He risked everything.
    0:47:10 He was willing to die.
    0:47:12 He was willing to kill.
    0:47:15 He was willing to die in order to get her back.
    0:47:18 And he got her back.
    0:47:23 And now, he’s re-established his relationship with Jamukha.
    0:47:27 And so, they decide to stay together.
    0:47:30 And they all go off to the Horonok Valley.
    0:47:35 And she is pregnant.
    0:47:40 This becomes a huge issue forever.
    0:47:48 It’s one of those things that, to this day, almost, it’s an issue in what happens.
    0:47:57 But as he says, much later in life, when his own sons rebel against him, and they call that first child a mercant bastard,
    0:48:04 he defends his wife viciously to his own sons.
    0:48:06 He says, you were not there.
    0:48:08 You do not know who loved who and who did not.
    0:48:11 You did not see the sky turning around.
    0:48:13 You did not see the stars falling.
    0:48:15 You did not see the earth turn over.
    0:48:17 You don’t know what was happening.
    0:48:20 And if I say he is my son, he is my son.
    0:48:22 Who are you to say otherwise?
    0:48:23 You were not there.
    0:48:25 You come from the same warm womb.
    0:48:32 And if your mother could hear your words, her warm womb would turn to cold stone.
    0:48:35 So, he defended her forever.
    0:48:37 But he’s off now.
    0:48:39 We go back to the beginning.
    0:48:39 She’s pregnant.
    0:48:42 They’re in the Hotanak Valley.
    0:48:50 And he and Jamuk decide to renew their vows of being Anda to each other.
    0:48:54 So, this time, it’s more serious.
    0:49:01 And it’s a ceremony in front of the whole, we can’t say tribe.
    0:49:05 It’s not big enough yet for a tribe, but the whole clan that’s there.
    0:49:12 And then Jamuk takes off a gold belt, which actually he had stolen from the market at some point.
    0:49:15 And where on earth they got a gold belt?
    0:49:15 I don’t know.
    0:49:19 He took off a gold belt, and he put it on Temujin.
    0:49:27 And then Temujin gave him a mare who had never had a fold, had never given birth.
    0:49:32 And it was an unusual mare who had a little growth on the front of her head, which they called a horn.
    0:49:34 So, it was an unusual gift.
    0:49:38 And I don’t—it has meaning, but I don’t know all the meanings behind it.
    0:49:39 You know, it’s sort of odd to me.
    0:49:44 But the golden belt, you can kind of sort of think about it in different ways.
    0:49:49 But the golden belt, the belt for the Mongol man is really the sign of manhood.
    0:49:58 And in fact, this belt of pus, a woman was often then and even now called a person without a belt,
    0:50:00 because that’s how they were at that time.
    0:50:02 Today, women wear belts, of course.
    0:50:06 But they still use the word pusqui, pusqui, with no belt.
    0:50:09 So, it’s a very important symbol of manhood.
    0:50:13 So, he gave that to Temujin, and they celebrated.
    0:50:20 And in the words of the secret history, they slept apart under the same blanket, apart from the other group.
    0:50:22 And they were happy together.
    0:50:32 And then when the baby was born, Temujin named the baby Tzuch, which means visitor.
    0:50:38 And some people say, well, it’s because the child was really the market child.
    0:50:43 Other people say, no, it’s because he was a visitor on the territory of Jamuk at that time.
    0:50:50 And other people can say, well, but Jamukha’s ancestor, who had been born from the kidnapped woman who was pregnant,
    0:50:55 that they had named that Jharigadai, which meant foreigner.
    0:50:58 So, it’s kind of like a parallel, the visitor, the foreigner.
    0:51:02 And so, Jamukha’s clan took the name from him.
    0:51:03 They were called Jharan, Jharan.
    0:51:15 So, there are all these things that sometimes we can’t quite understand, because we don’t have the total mentality of that time, and we’re not there.
    0:51:24 But we should say that, I mean, it’s a pretty powerful part of this love story, is that the child is likely not his.
    0:51:35 And he accepted that child as his own without, and defended it as it becomes much more important later, as his first child.
    0:51:35 Yes.
    0:51:38 He defends this child through his entire life.
    0:51:52 And, but not long after the birth, he and Jamukha break apart, or really it’s Temujin breaks apart, at the urging of Erste.
    0:51:57 She said, he lords it over you too much.
    0:51:59 He orders you around too much.
    0:52:01 You need to be free.
    0:52:02 We need to break away.
    0:52:06 And she urged him, and he loved his wife more than anything.
    0:52:18 I think that, in a certain way, the most important other character in his life, adult life, would be the Anda relationship, which gets up being severely tested in the future years.
    0:52:20 But they run away through the night.
    0:52:23 They go all night long to escape from him.
    0:52:30 But he obviously loved Bertha the most and took the baby, of course, with him as well.
    0:52:33 So, here’s this breaking point of the Anda.
    0:52:36 How did that relationship evolve?
    0:52:39 The two of them never claimed to break it.
    0:52:41 They had just separated.
    0:52:53 And now we have the Bang Han, the most powerful ruler on the steppe, who’s ruling out of central Mongolia of the Karyat people.
    0:52:59 And so, Jamukha remains loyal to him, but at first so does Temujin.
    0:53:04 They’re both loyal to him, but they’re fighting in different kinds of campaigns and all.
    0:53:07 So, for a while, they’re not fighting each other.
    0:53:13 But eventually, some things happened that separate Temujin.
    0:53:18 Temujin was making all of these great victories for Wang Han.
    0:53:25 And he even got the title Wang, which means, from Chinese, meaning prince or king.
    0:53:32 Wang Han received that from the Jin dynasty because of all of these conquests against the Tatar people.
    0:53:40 So, Temujin was rising up, and then he wanted his son to marry the daughter of Wang Han.
    0:53:42 And Wang Han said no.
    0:53:48 His own son, Singham, told the father, no, no, no, no.
    0:53:49 We don’t marry those little people.
    0:53:50 They’re Mongols.
    0:53:51 They’re not like us.
    0:53:53 You know, we are Karyat people.
    0:53:55 We’re not going to marry them.
    0:53:59 And so then, now war, you could say, breaks out.
    0:54:00 Or a feud, really.
    0:54:01 It’s more of a feud.
    0:54:07 And Temujin has to flee far away into the east to a place called Baljuna.
    0:54:18 And he goes to Baljuna, and at this time, then, Jammuqa is going to fight on behalf of his lord, Bang Han.
    0:54:24 The two of them do not meet in combat, but now their forces are fighting each other.
    0:54:27 And they didn’t see that.
    0:54:30 I mean, there’s an obvious tension there.
    0:54:34 There’s an obvious, if slight, breaking of loyalty, right?
    0:54:38 Yes, it’s hard to know what’s going through their mind at that point.
    0:54:46 We only have it later on, when the relationship is being resolved in unfortunate ways,
    0:54:53 that they claim that neither one of them ever truly broke it, because they never harmed each other directly.
    0:54:58 And in fact, then, Temujin eventually defeats Bang Han.
    0:55:01 So he takes over central Mongolia.
    0:55:03 He’s starting to really rise up now.
    0:55:06 And he has the title from his own people of Chinggis Khan.
    0:55:12 They give him that at Blackheart Mountain by the Blue Lake.
    0:55:14 It’s a very beautiful, special place.
    0:55:16 But he takes that title.
    0:55:20 That’s not a title that anyone had ever held that we know of.
    0:55:20 Chinggis Khan.
    0:55:30 It was a new title that he just thought up, or somebody thought up, or somebody thought it had auspicious meaning behind it.
    0:55:33 It’s very close to the word tinggis, which means the sea.
    0:55:36 It could have had something to do with that.
    0:55:42 Mongolians really like, we might say, puns of, they like words with multiple meanings.
    0:55:44 And that’s very important to them.
    0:55:48 The more meanings a word has, the more power that word has.
    0:55:50 So if it has different meaning in different languages.
    0:55:55 So in Mongolian, it sounds like strong, chin, chinggis.
    0:56:00 But in Turkic, and there are many Turkic people, including the Merkit themselves, are mostly Turkic people.
    0:56:04 It sounds like the sea, tinggis, tinggis.
    0:56:08 So it’s exciting to them when there’s this double meaning.
    0:56:09 Yes.
    0:56:13 And the double meaning plays with each other, and that excites them.
    0:56:14 Especially with names.
    0:56:15 Yeah.
    0:56:19 I’m like, today in Mongolia, or, well, I’ve been there so long, I think the fad has passed now.
    0:56:30 But about 20 years ago, it was popular to name children Michelle, girls, because it’s a French name, an American name, and it means smile in Mongolia.
    0:56:34 So it’s the power of three great languages and three great civilizations.
    0:56:37 And so many names are like that.
    0:56:39 And so I think chinggis, it doesn’t have one meaning.
    0:56:40 I think it means powerful.
    0:56:41 It means the sea.
    0:56:43 I think it means many different things.
    0:56:45 But so he had become a Khan.
    0:56:47 And he was ruling over him.
    0:56:54 And so Jamukha now switched loyalties to the next kingdom over, called the Naiman people, who are farther west.
    0:57:02 And he becomes the protégé, I could say, of the Naiman people.
    0:57:10 But when Genghis Khan attacks the Naiman, Jamukha deserts the Naiman.
    0:57:18 He tells them, these people have snouts of steel, and they eat humans alive.
    0:57:23 And he was telling them all these horrible things about the Mongols, you know.
    0:57:29 And Tayang Han, the leader of the Naimans, he was rightfully scared about him.
    0:57:31 And he was left there.
    0:57:35 And he, in fact, was very quickly also defeated.
    0:57:40 So Jamukha has not fought against Temujin in this campaign.
    0:57:46 And he’s off with some of his people, Jadagan clan people.
    0:57:55 He’s off with them, and they see the turning of the tide, you know.
    0:57:59 But he now wants to become the great Khan of the steppe.
    0:58:01 He has very few followers.
    0:58:07 But he takes the title Gurkhan, which is a very old, ancient, important title.
    0:58:17 But because Wang Khan is gone, Torgulhan gone, that he can take this title and pretend to be the great Khan of the steppe.
    0:58:19 And all.
    0:58:22 But his own people turn against him.
    0:58:24 And they capture him.
    0:58:27 And they think they will take him to Genghis Khan.
    0:58:29 It’s not Genghis Khan.
    0:58:33 They’ll take him, and they’ll be rewarded, perhaps, for turning him in.
    0:58:37 And Genghis Khan does reward them immediately.
    0:58:38 He kills them all.
    0:58:46 Because they have betrayed their leader, who is his Anda.
    0:58:51 It’s a very strange encounter.
    0:58:56 And so, supposedly, Genghis Khan says to him,
    0:58:57 Come back to me.
    0:58:59 Save me.
    0:59:00 Be beside me.
    0:59:01 Protect me.
    0:59:01 Be my shadow.
    0:59:05 Be my safety guard in life.
    0:59:10 And supposedly, Genghis Khan says,
    0:59:15 But I did betray you when my people fought against you.
    0:59:17 And you will always know that.
    0:59:20 And you will never completely trust me.
    0:59:25 I will be like a louse underneath the collar of your tunic.
    0:59:31 I will be like a thorn in the lapel of your dell.
    0:59:35 He said, Kill me without shedding my blood.
    0:59:37 Let me die.
    0:59:44 And if you do, take my remains up to a high place and bury me.
    0:59:47 And I will be the guard.
    0:59:51 I will be the protector for you and your people forever.
    0:59:54 So, they…
    1:00:00 Obviously, Temujin did not participate in the killing, but he ordered the killing.
    1:00:05 And he was either…
    1:00:08 It’s not specified how he was killed without shedding the blood.
    1:00:10 But the Mongols had several ways.
    1:00:13 Because the most honorable way to die was without shedding blood.
    1:00:15 The blood contains part of the soul.
    1:00:17 And if you lose it, you’re losing your soul before you die.
    1:00:25 So, they usually wrapped them up in felt carpets and then beat them to death or trampled them to death with horses.
    1:00:26 Something like that.
    1:00:31 There are a couple other methods, but I think that’s probably the method by which Jamukha was killed.
    1:00:33 And so, he was killed.
    1:00:34 And then Temujin had…
    1:00:39 Or Chinggis Khan had his remains taken up and buried in a high place.
    1:00:43 This is over near Tuva, which is today part of Russia.
    1:00:48 But until the 20th century, it was a part of Mongolia.
    1:00:51 The Tuvan people, very, very close culturally to the Mongols.
    1:01:00 It seems that both of them, under the relationship, had a deep value for loyalty.
    1:01:08 And so, the way, you know, it’s not worth living after you’ve been disloyal, which is the Jamukha perspective, right?
    1:01:11 He had become very practical at this point.
    1:01:19 And he understood that you needed complete, total loyalty and trust with everybody around you.
    1:01:28 And I think for this reason, he was willing either to accept the plea of Jamukha.
    1:01:43 And when Chinggis Khan was asking him to come back and to be his shadow and to be his safety guard again, maybe that was just a formality that he knew would be rejected.
    1:01:53 Or maybe when Jamukha offered to be killed without shedding blood, that was a formality that he thought would not be followed through.
    1:02:07 Nevertheless, to me, just reading your work and understanding this history, this relationship seems like a really, really important relationship that defines the nature of loyalty for Chinggis.
    1:02:16 I would say, in both negative and positive ways, it was the most important relationship of his adulthood aside from Bursa.
    1:02:21 But that relationship really did not seem to have many negative aspects.
    1:02:23 They sometimes disagreed on things, but small things.
    1:02:29 So she was by him, and she was positive in every regard, so far as we know, forever.
    1:02:33 Although she was not submissive, but she was always on his side.
    1:02:39 And Jamukha, it was just a little too hot-headed for me, you know.
    1:02:49 I mean, in my evaluation of him, that these things like, oh, we’re going to drop down on the market, and we’re going to come through the smoke hole, kill everybody, and all.
    1:02:56 And he had a flair for the dramatic, even in a way giving the gold belt to Temujin.
    1:03:00 But Jamukha also, he explained himself at the end of life.
    1:03:10 And he said, you know, we both lost our father, but I also lost my mother, and you had a strong mother to raise you.
    1:03:12 I did not.
    1:03:14 And he said, you had Bursa.
    1:03:18 You have a very strong wife to help you.
    1:03:28 And my wife, he just used a word like prattler, like she just sort of complains and prattles along, and we did not have a relationship.
    1:03:37 So, I think something about that rings true, that there were some elements of that that were true.
    1:03:50 But he, Jamukha certainly didn’t have the intelligence and the real genius for dealing with people, dealing with soldiers, especially, and warfare that Temujin had.
    1:04:04 Yeah, there’s, in that relationship, there’s a contrast, because Genghis Khan did not accumulate riches or accumulate power in a way that was for the sake of the riches or for the sake of the power.
    1:04:12 It was always very practical in what is the way to maximize the success of this operation.
    1:04:13 Yes.
    1:04:14 Yes.
    1:04:17 He, I often wonder, what happened to the gold belt?
    1:04:19 It disappeared from the story, you know.
    1:04:22 And a gold belt doesn’t just disappear, you know.
    1:04:24 What happened to that?
    1:04:29 It’s so interesting, because Temujin was never interested in material goods.
    1:04:38 And when Genghis Khan is the ruler, he, in some ways, you could say, became the richest man in the world, because he controlled the most wealth flowing through him.
    1:04:49 But he always dressed simply, he always lived in the tent, and he said, I eat what my soldiers eat, I dress the way my soldiers dress, I live the way my soldiers live.
    1:04:50 We are the same.
    1:04:53 So, he had no interest in the wealth.
    1:05:03 He had sided before with Vang Han, which was very advantageous, because they had more trade goods and wealthier people and all.
    1:05:10 But he just didn’t have the temperament, I think, that was going to be helpful for Genghis Khan’s continued rise.
    1:05:14 That is one of the powerful things about the Genghis Khan stories.
    1:05:15 He came from nothing.
    1:05:17 From absolute nothing.
    1:05:24 And he didn’t, from what I see and understand, become sort of corrupted by the riches or change.
    1:05:30 He fundamentally remained the same person who does not have value for material things.
    1:05:35 He changed and matured in various ways over life, as we all do, or we hope we do.
    1:05:39 But he never became avaricious in any way.
    1:05:40 He was never greedy.
    1:05:41 He was never acquisitive.
    1:05:43 He kept the simple life.
    1:05:48 And part of the simple life for him meant that no one was allowed to write about him.
    1:05:50 No one was allowed to make his likeness.
    1:05:52 They couldn’t paint a picture of him.
    1:05:55 They couldn’t make a statue of him.
    1:05:58 No building could be built dedicated to him.
    1:05:58 No palace.
    1:05:59 No tomb.
    1:06:01 No temple of any sort.
    1:06:05 Not even, at the point of death, the simplest gravestone.
    1:06:06 Nothing.
    1:06:07 Nothing.
    1:06:13 It’s fascinating that a kid, like a boy, that doesn’t know the world would have the intelligence
    1:06:15 to understand how corrupting that is.
    1:06:22 Like the moment somebody builds a statue of you, it’s like a slippery slope towards becoming,
    1:06:23 not seeing the world clearly.
    1:06:30 Not seeing, surrounding yourself with sycophants that don’t tell you the right, the information.
    1:06:37 Not being able to select the right people to lead the armies or to lead the territories
    1:06:38 that you conquer.
    1:06:45 So it’s interesting that he had that foresight of don’t record, don’t worship.
    1:06:48 That’s because that’s a dangerous road to go down for a leader.
    1:06:53 And it’s very hard to explain how he stuck to that, how he got it.
    1:07:04 You’re so easily corrupted by power, and yet he maintained this very fierce attitude towards
    1:07:11 his relationship was with the people around him, his guard mostly, or his private part of
    1:07:14 the army, you know, that went with him, the central part of the army.
    1:07:17 That was his relationship, his family.
    1:07:18 He had four wives.
    1:07:20 This was what was important to him.
    1:07:23 And in fact, no portrait was painted until 1278.
    1:07:26 Well, by then, he’d already been dead for 51 years.
    1:07:33 And then no statue until the 21st century.
    1:07:35 Just incredible.
    1:07:40 But let’s go to the document that you referenced several times, the Secret History.
    1:07:46 The Secret History is a very unusual document, and I happen to love it very much.
    1:07:50 But I said, you know, Chinggis Khan allowed nothing to be written about him.
    1:07:54 In his lifetime, people couldn’t take notes.
    1:07:55 Even the army wasn’t.
    1:08:00 He, Chinggis Khan, ordered the invention of the alphabet for the Mongol people, and it was
    1:08:02 adapted from the Uyghur people.
    1:08:07 And so to this day, it’s often called the Uyghur alphabet, the Uyghur alphabet.
    1:08:12 So he had ordered that, and he’d ordered his children to learn to read and write, and some
    1:08:12 did.
    1:08:15 I think most did not, but some did.
    1:08:22 But one of the things he did with every campaign, even the one at the market when he rescued
    1:08:27 Berta, was he always adopted one orphan.
    1:08:35 And that child became a full member of the Mongol nation in his household.
    1:08:37 His mother, Erlun, would raise the child.
    1:08:45 So she eventually had a whole household full of boys of different tribes, but they all became
    1:08:47 very high-ranking members of the government.
    1:08:55 And one was a sitar boy who turned out not to be so great as a soldier, but he could read
    1:08:55 and write.
    1:08:57 He was the best.
    1:09:01 And later, eventually, he became the supreme judge, appointed by Chinggis Khan, of course.
    1:09:07 And so when Chinggis Khan died, he recognized it was important not just to write down the
    1:09:08 law.
    1:09:12 That’s all Chinggis Khan allowed to be written in blue books, only the law, nothing about
    1:09:15 him or campaigns or military, anything.
    1:09:18 But Shigihutuk was his name.
    1:09:23 Shigihutuk realized that this was going to be lost, that this is a great historic thing that
    1:09:24 has happened.
    1:09:26 So he compiled the work.
    1:09:30 Part of it, I don’t know, other people contributed, helped him, but it’s a little bit unclear.
    1:09:32 The Mongols, they don’t specify that.
    1:09:35 They always tell you exactly where something happens.
    1:09:38 So we know exactly where it happened in Mongolia.
    1:09:40 You can still go to that spot where he wrote it.
    1:09:42 That’s very important to the Mongols.
    1:09:47 And we also know it’s the year of the Mao, so it was 1228.
    1:09:48 Chinggis Khan had died in 27.
    1:09:55 So he wrote down, it begins with what we would say are the myths.
    1:09:57 Although I’m not sure they’re myths, but the origins of the myths.
    1:10:01 It begins with the marriage of a gray-blue wolf with a tawny deer.
    1:10:05 Then some people say, well, that’s some kind of myth.
    1:10:05 It’s totemic.
    1:10:08 And Mongols mostly, they look at me.
    1:10:09 I ask them about this.
    1:10:10 They say, what?
    1:10:14 He was named blue-gray wolf.
    1:10:16 She was named tawny deer.
    1:10:17 They married.
    1:10:20 You know, they’re very practical about it.
    1:10:21 And they think they’re real people.
    1:10:23 Maybe they were or not.
    1:10:23 I don’t know.
    1:10:29 But so this earlier history is just the genealogy as it should be.
    1:10:30 Who knows?
    1:10:35 But it’s also in there because like Bodin Char, they call him Bodin Char the Fool, the ancestor
    1:10:35 of Temujin.
    1:10:39 He’s cast out because he’s just so dumb.
    1:10:40 The rest of the family doesn’t want him.
    1:10:43 And his father is undetermined who he was.
    1:10:45 He kidnapped the Urihanghai woman.
    1:10:48 She has the child who becomes the ancestor of Temujin.
    1:10:50 So it’s a confusing mess.
    1:10:53 But I tend to think it’s probably accurate.
    1:10:54 He has a lot of good information.
    1:11:00 And by the time you get to the life of Temujin, the reason we know these intimate things is
    1:11:05 because that person, Shigihutuk, he was there sleeping in the same gear with the people.
    1:11:12 So we even see in there, he will record instances where Bursta sits up in bed and tells her husband,
    1:11:17 okay, you’ve got to do this, you’ve got to do that, you can’t do this anymore, we can’t think of, you know,
    1:11:18 it’s all recorded, right?
    1:11:20 So it’s a very intimate document.
    1:11:22 And this is one reason that it was secret.
    1:11:24 It was only for the family.
    1:11:30 They were trying to uphold Tsingis-Han’s prohibition against putting out information about the family.
    1:11:33 So it was secret for a very long time.
    1:11:37 So much so that scholars began to think it didn’t exist.
    1:11:46 And then in the 19th century, a Russian academic who was working in China at the time, in Beijing,
    1:11:52 he discovered a manuscript, which was very, very odd, that people didn’t think was anything,
    1:11:58 because it’s all Chinese characters, but it makes no sense in Chinese.
    1:12:05 But he recognized, but if you read it, pronounce it, it makes sense in Mongolian.
    1:12:11 And so it was in this code that had been used to record the information in Chinese.
    1:12:13 So they’re recording the sounds.
    1:12:15 The sounds, correct.
    1:12:22 They use Chinese characters to record sounds, which is always problematic in some little areas.
    1:12:25 Not exactly sure what the name is or something like that.
    1:12:27 But it was a very unusual document.
    1:12:35 And then once they found it, they realized that some of the Persian documents had incorporated part of that already.
    1:12:41 So that was very helpful to me, because some of the Persians I trust very much, and I like their work very much.
    1:12:51 And so it was helpful that it already existed, and all of it, some of it existed in Mongolian, other Mongolian sources that were written later.
    1:12:54 Some of it was just incorporated.
    1:12:59 So it seemed to be fairly genuine, but it wasn’t 100% pure.
    1:13:03 It had, little things had happened to it along the way.
    1:13:08 Some things had been stipped here and there, and a few words changed.
    1:13:10 Like sometimes for Temujin, they call him Chinggis Khan.
    1:13:12 Well, he wasn’t the Khan then.
    1:13:17 And sometimes they call him Han, which is like chief, and other times Han, which is emperor.
    1:13:19 Well, in Mongolia, it’s a big difference, you know.
    1:13:24 So there are little things like this that move around that you’re not sure why.
    1:13:27 But it’s a document that I have great faith in.
    1:13:35 It was not published in English until 1982, but Francis Woodman Cleaves at Harvard University translated it in the 50s.
    1:13:43 It was ready for publication, and he was having trouble with the publisher, and so it didn’t appear for nearly 30 years.
    1:13:44 It was supposed to be two volumes.
    1:13:46 The first volume is the translation.
    1:13:52 The second volume was going to be the notes, and the second volume was lost.
    1:13:57 To this day, it hasn’t been found.
    1:13:58 I would love to see that.
    1:14:01 But anyway, now it’s in all languages.
    1:14:02 It’s just about in the world.
    1:14:03 Can you clarify?
    1:14:05 So there’s two volumes.
    1:14:10 The 19th century Chinese manuscript covers the first volume.
    1:14:15 Yes, that was translated and then published by Harvard University.
    1:14:19 But the notes were just the notes from the scholar Francis Woodman Cleaves.
    1:14:22 Those were his notes, not Mongolian notes.
    1:14:22 I got it.
    1:14:29 There are Chinese notes that went with it because the Chinese had trouble understanding a lot of things in it.
    1:14:34 And they also, they disapproved of some things, so they would try to put their own notes in the margins
    1:14:43 to kind of correct the story and explain away why the Mongols’ women would be often marrying their stepson.
    1:14:47 It just did not match with Confucian ethics.
    1:14:51 You know, so there’s several things like that that they try to skip around.
    1:14:57 But so it’s interesting just to read the Ming dynasty notes that are attached to it.
    1:15:03 But the document itself, Mongoli Nutshtupcho, it’s just so important.
    1:15:05 And for me, it was the guiding document.
    1:15:09 I didn’t want to be guided by anything else first.
    1:15:13 Everything else, I would check to correlate and fill in blanks and give more information.
    1:15:22 But I went to Mongolia to travel around to those places because they are so exact in there and to feel it.
    1:15:27 And it’s so important, I think, because history does not live in books.
    1:15:33 History does not live in archives or even libraries as much as I need them for my work.
    1:15:35 But history lives in the people.
    1:15:39 History lives in the memory of the people and the culture.
    1:15:43 And for example, the episode with the kidnapping of Berta.
    1:15:48 So I went to that place and I didn’t know when it happened, what season it happened.
    1:15:54 It was very important for figuring out the births that came afterwards and other events that were being correlated.
    1:15:56 Very important to me.
    1:16:00 And so I’m just talking to the people who live in that valley, the nomads there.
    1:16:03 They said, oh, it’s clear.
    1:16:04 It was the winter.
    1:16:06 I said, oh, where did you read that?
    1:16:07 I said, no.
    1:16:11 Granny Kaukson was on the ground and she could feel the vibrations.
    1:16:13 She said, look, this is summertime now.
    1:16:15 You’re not going to feel any vibrations.
    1:16:17 The ground here is so soft.
    1:16:30 Suddenly, a whole important piece that I’ve been searching for just came together from some nomad sitting there next to his horse.
    1:16:34 And he was absolutely right.
    1:16:36 It could only happen in the winter.
    1:16:39 And that also correlates with the time that raiding was done.
    1:16:41 So it correlates with other historic factors.
    1:16:45 But then that gave me the time basis for figuring out a lot of other things.
    1:16:47 History lives in the people.
    1:16:55 Just to link on that point, you visited different places that were important to the story of Genghis Khan.
    1:16:58 What did it feel like?
    1:17:04 What are some memorable things about just the experience of standing there?
    1:17:10 I really sat out mostly to visit the cities he had conquered across Central Asia and all.
    1:17:13 And there was so little to learn.
    1:17:16 I mean, everything was kind of known of whatever the chroniclers had recorded.
    1:17:19 The archaeologists had found whatever they had found.
    1:17:23 And I get there and he hadn’t spent much time there.
    1:17:24 He didn’t identify with it.
    1:17:25 I wasn’t feeling anything.
    1:17:33 But in Mongolia, I would go to these places and I would know if Genghis Khan came back today, he would know exactly where he is.
    1:17:35 There’s no road.
    1:17:36 There’s no sign.
    1:17:37 There’s no building.
    1:17:40 There’s no power line going.
    1:17:41 Nothing.
    1:17:50 And just to smell the air, to feel it, to see the animals and to see what kind of animals live here, what kind of plants are growing here.
    1:17:54 You begin to get a feeling for how he was thinking.
    1:17:58 And then you begin to see, ah, I know which direction they came from.
    1:18:00 The only direction they could come from was that way.
    1:18:02 You begin to see it.
    1:18:07 And his life starts to unfold in a very dramatic way.
    1:18:14 That I have the text, but the text is like it has no scenery, no props, nothing like that.
    1:18:16 The Mongols all understand their way of life.
    1:18:18 They don’t need to explain anything.
    1:18:21 They know which way the Gere faces with the sun.
    1:18:22 They know all these things.
    1:18:25 But for me, that’s how I learned it.
    1:18:26 It was from being with the people.
    1:18:29 It was the most important thing.
    1:18:32 And this was starting in the 1990s.
    1:18:40 And the people, they were, at this time, they were amazed that I would come.
    1:18:41 The Soviet era had just ended.
    1:18:44 Socialism was just ending.
    1:18:45 Democracy was starting.
    1:18:50 And Genghis Khan had been forbidden to them for almost the entire century.
    1:18:54 And every known descendant of Genghis Khan was killed in Mongolia.
    1:19:00 Following the secret history, that became the key to writing what I wrote.
    1:19:03 Take the history, which is difficult to understand.
    1:19:05 You have to go over.
    1:19:08 And I often never understand different parts.
    1:19:12 Or I change my mind and think it was yes, now it’s no.
    1:19:15 But the secret history is a valuable document.
    1:19:21 And to me, also, it’s the opening document of Mongolian written language.
    1:19:28 And I think it’s very important how do people begin their written language.
    1:19:32 And they begin it with the words,
    1:19:40 Dere Thinges, from highest heaven came the destiny of the blue wolf
    1:19:45 who was married to the tawny deer and their descendants
    1:19:49 who came from the Great Sea to live at the base of Mount Burkhan Khaldun.
    1:19:55 And then integrating the spiritual elements of nature,
    1:19:57 the mountains and the Great Sea,
    1:20:02 and this kind of deep connection to nature that they have.
    1:20:06 Mongolia is a world that, for the most part,
    1:20:08 is the same as when Genghis Khan was there.
    1:20:11 We cannot say that for hardly any other place in the world.
    1:20:14 I mean, certainly not for America,
    1:20:16 but just a few hundred years ago,
    1:20:18 it was entirely different.
    1:20:20 People, languages, everything.
    1:20:25 But you can’t say it for London or Moscow or Istanbul,
    1:20:26 Constantinople.
    1:20:29 All of these things have changed so much.
    1:20:31 But Mongolia is still Mongolia.
    1:20:33 It’s one of the largest countries in the world,
    1:20:35 in space,
    1:20:38 with the fewest number of people,
    1:20:39 about today 3.3 million.
    1:20:41 And they’re spread out,
    1:20:45 and they live in their environment in such an intimate way.
    1:20:49 This was important for learning about Genghis Khan,
    1:20:50 how he thought,
    1:20:51 how he hunted,
    1:20:53 how he strategized for war.
    1:20:55 You learn that from the people today,
    1:20:56 because they are still there.
    1:20:58 They’re still living.
    1:21:01 What’s the open Mongolian steppe like?
    1:21:06 As we return to the feeling of Timur Jun and Genghis Khan,
    1:21:10 what’s it like looking at this place that has not changed since his time?
    1:21:13 The first thing I think about this steppe is that
    1:21:16 you can see forever in every direction.
    1:21:19 There’s no building,
    1:21:21 nothing to stop your line of view.
    1:21:25 And it’s like being in the ocean in many ways.
    1:21:27 So you have this extremely open space,
    1:21:30 and the wind is usually blowing through it.
    1:21:31 But it’s extremely fresh.
    1:21:33 It’s coming out of Siberia.
    1:21:34 It’s coming out of the Arctic.
    1:21:36 It sweeps down across Mongolia.
    1:21:39 Cold is the ticket sometimes,
    1:21:40 but it’s always fresh,
    1:21:42 always fresh.
    1:21:45 So you have the wind coming in.
    1:21:47 You have the smell of the wind,
    1:21:50 but also then there’s grass.
    1:21:52 The smell of grass becomes very important.
    1:21:57 Now, because of the particular location,
    1:21:58 from one year to another,
    1:22:00 one area may have grass one year,
    1:22:02 and then drought the next year,
    1:22:03 another area has grass.
    1:22:04 So you don’t always know.
    1:22:06 If it’s not grass, it’s dust.
    1:22:08 You have dust going in.
    1:22:10 The dust doesn’t smell so good.
    1:22:11 It doesn’t feel so good.
    1:22:15 But that’s just one more part of the country.
    1:22:18 The waters are mostly pure.
    1:22:23 Now, unfortunately, there has been pollution in this century
    1:22:26 from mining in several areas.
    1:22:28 But even when I was there,
    1:22:30 even today,
    1:22:32 when we go to some place like the Selink River,
    1:22:33 where we talk about the Merkit-lift.
    1:22:36 So it’s a place of pure waters.
    1:22:41 And that’s how Mongolians define their world,
    1:22:42 is by the water.
    1:22:43 They don’t,
    1:22:46 Chinggis Khan does not give lands
    1:22:48 to his sons to rule.
    1:22:52 He gives waters and people to rule.
    1:22:54 They do not refer to the earth as land.
    1:22:57 They refer to the earth as Dalai,
    1:22:59 ocean, the sea.
    1:23:01 And so water is very important.
    1:23:05 And to learn the rules about water,
    1:23:07 you don’t camp by water.
    1:23:08 If you camp by water,
    1:23:11 your animals and you are going to be polluting it,
    1:23:11 messing it up.
    1:23:12 So they’re back,
    1:23:14 maybe in our modern terms,
    1:23:15 about a kilometer back.
    1:23:19 You take the animals to the river to drink,
    1:23:20 and then you take them away.
    1:23:22 You do not bathe in that river.
    1:23:25 You take the water away from the river,
    1:23:27 and you bathe away from the river,
    1:23:29 so you do not pollute the river.
    1:23:32 The rules are very strict and very clear,
    1:23:34 and they’re from the time of Chinggis Khan,
    1:23:36 about how to deal with…
    1:23:38 Well, also, it’s dangerous to live close to the river
    1:23:40 because there are flash floods in the summertime.
    1:23:41 You could suddenly have it.
    1:23:43 And it could wipe away
    1:23:45 if your camp is right there by the water.
    1:23:48 So the people,
    1:23:50 they live with nature in a way
    1:23:53 that I don’t see anywhere else in the world.
    1:23:55 And even today,
    1:23:56 with the changes with the cell phone
    1:23:59 and with solar panels,
    1:24:02 and they could get TV out in the middle of the step,
    1:24:04 still, they’re living a similar life.
    1:24:06 The young people, of course,
    1:24:08 want to drive a motorbike,
    1:24:11 but they’re still herding cows and yaks and camels.
    1:24:12 If it’s on a motorbike, okay.
    1:24:15 They’re still doing it the Mongol way.
    1:24:21 But then, if we go to the time of Timurjin,
    1:24:22 of Genghis Khan,
    1:24:24 another component is the horses.
    1:24:27 Can we talk about their relationship with the horse?
    1:24:29 Thinking about this open step,
    1:24:31 from a young age,
    1:24:32 they’ve been,
    1:24:34 all Mongols are trained
    1:24:36 to master
    1:24:38 riding horses.
    1:24:39 As you write,
    1:24:41 while standing on the horse.
    1:24:42 So they learn how to
    1:24:45 ride while standing on the horse
    1:24:46 from a young age.
    1:24:47 While standing on the horse,
    1:24:49 they often jousted with one another
    1:24:51 to see who could knock the other off.
    1:24:54 When their legs grew long enough
    1:24:55 to reach the stirrups,
    1:24:58 they were also taught to shoot arrows
    1:25:00 and to lasso on horseback,
    1:25:02 making targets out of leather pouches
    1:25:04 that they would dangle from poles
    1:25:06 so that they would blow in the wind.
    1:25:08 The youngster’s practice
    1:25:09 hitting the targets from horseback
    1:25:11 at varying distances and speeds,
    1:25:12 the skills of such play
    1:25:13 proved invaluable
    1:25:16 to horsemanships later in life.
    1:25:18 Can you speak to
    1:25:20 the relationship of Genghis Khan
    1:25:22 and the Mongols to horses?
    1:25:25 The Mongol and the horse
    1:25:26 are inseparable.
    1:25:28 I wrote one line in a book
    1:25:29 that the editor removed
    1:25:30 because that was insulting.
    1:25:31 I said,
    1:25:32 the Mongol and the horse,
    1:25:33 they live together,
    1:25:34 they know each other
    1:25:35 with every twitch of the muscle
    1:25:37 and they smell the same.
    1:25:39 Well, I was saying it
    1:25:41 just not to be insulting
    1:25:42 about anything,
    1:25:44 but they have that deep intimacy
    1:25:45 and the horses do know
    1:25:47 their owner from the smell.
    1:25:48 This is very important.
    1:25:49 It’s also important
    1:25:50 for Genghis Khan
    1:25:52 because they made the flags,
    1:25:53 what they call the sult,
    1:25:56 out of the horse hair
    1:25:57 from their own horses.
    1:25:59 And so in battle,
    1:25:59 they used it
    1:26:01 for a very practical purpose
    1:26:02 and that is
    1:26:03 the horses
    1:26:04 would return
    1:26:05 to their source
    1:26:07 because they knew
    1:26:08 the smell of their flag.
    1:26:10 It was other members
    1:26:11 of their own herd.
    1:26:13 So the language itself,
    1:26:14 I have never,
    1:26:15 ever mastered
    1:26:16 all the words
    1:26:18 just for the colors
    1:26:18 of horses,
    1:26:20 much less for all
    1:26:21 the other things about it.
    1:26:22 I can remember
    1:26:23 Mongolians
    1:26:24 being out there
    1:26:25 in the countryside
    1:26:25 and they say,
    1:26:26 oh,
    1:26:27 I want to learn English.
    1:26:28 I say,
    1:26:28 okay,
    1:26:28 yeah,
    1:26:29 that’s nice.
    1:26:30 You teach me some words
    1:26:31 in Mongolian.
    1:26:32 I teach you some words.
    1:26:32 Okay,
    1:26:33 say,
    1:26:34 what color is that horse?
    1:26:34 I say,
    1:26:35 brown.
    1:26:36 They would say,
    1:26:37 brown.
    1:26:38 I say,
    1:26:38 yes,
    1:26:38 okay,
    1:26:39 what color is that horse?
    1:26:41 Brown.
    1:26:43 But you said,
    1:26:44 this color was brown.
    1:26:45 What color is this?
    1:26:46 So,
    1:26:47 well,
    1:26:48 I mean,
    1:26:51 it’s just amazing.
    1:26:51 I mean,
    1:26:52 they have words
    1:26:53 based on sort of
    1:26:55 how smooth the coloring is
    1:26:56 and the variation
    1:26:57 and the texture
    1:26:58 and all the different,
    1:26:59 today in English,
    1:27:01 sometimes you can put them together.
    1:27:01 We say like yellow,
    1:27:02 brown or brown,
    1:27:03 brown or,
    1:27:04 you know,
    1:27:06 but the words for horses
    1:27:07 by,
    1:27:08 of course,
    1:27:08 by sex
    1:27:10 and then they have three
    1:27:11 because they have geldings
    1:27:12 and so they’re very important too
    1:27:14 and by age
    1:27:15 and by whether or not
    1:27:16 they’ve reproduced
    1:27:17 in the case of the females,
    1:27:18 all these things
    1:27:19 are important parts
    1:27:20 of the horse
    1:27:21 and the horse,
    1:27:23 a few years ago,
    1:27:25 a presidential candidate
    1:27:26 ran under the slogan,
    1:27:28 raised in the dust
    1:27:30 of many fast horses.
    1:27:32 It just resonates
    1:27:33 with the Mongolian spirit
    1:27:35 and the dust itself
    1:27:36 is important.
    1:27:37 The Mongolians,
    1:27:39 they will wipe the sweat
    1:27:40 and the dust
    1:27:40 off the horse
    1:27:42 and wipe it onto
    1:27:43 their own forehead,
    1:27:44 which is the most sacred
    1:27:45 part of the body
    1:27:47 where the soul resides.
    1:27:49 This is how intimate
    1:27:50 a relationship is
    1:27:51 with the horses
    1:27:52 and
    1:27:54 they’re hard on them
    1:27:55 in some ways.
    1:27:56 They train them
    1:27:56 very well.
    1:27:57 They ride them
    1:27:58 very hard
    1:27:59 but
    1:28:00 the horses
    1:28:01 are also trained
    1:28:01 for that.
    1:28:03 They use
    1:28:04 a very small crop
    1:28:06 that’s a little bit
    1:28:06 like a stick
    1:28:07 with a slight whip
    1:28:08 at the end of the day.
    1:28:09 They hit the rump
    1:28:10 of the horse.
    1:28:11 Never anything else.
    1:28:12 They’re horrified
    1:28:13 at Western people
    1:28:15 who use metal spurs
    1:28:17 and metal
    1:28:19 to harm the horse
    1:28:20 in the stomach
    1:28:22 and to harm
    1:28:23 the head of a horse.
    1:28:24 They say it’s
    1:28:25 a capital crime.
    1:28:25 I mean,
    1:28:26 I don’t know anyone
    1:28:27 who’s ever executed
    1:28:27 for it.
    1:28:28 But you never,
    1:28:29 ever harm
    1:28:30 a horse’s head.
    1:28:32 So horses are
    1:28:34 important in every way,
    1:28:36 even religiously important
    1:28:37 with the making
    1:28:38 of the fermented
    1:28:39 horse’s milk
    1:28:41 that the mother
    1:28:42 goes out every morning
    1:28:44 and she throws some
    1:28:45 to each of the four directions
    1:28:47 to start the day.
    1:28:48 And they use it
    1:28:50 for every kind of thing.
    1:28:51 But, you know,
    1:28:53 some things puzzled me
    1:28:55 that in my watching,
    1:28:56 I remember one day
    1:28:57 being with a very nice family.
    1:28:58 It happened to be
    1:28:59 on a gelding day
    1:28:59 when they were
    1:29:00 out there gelding
    1:29:03 the would-be stallions
    1:29:04 who don’t get
    1:29:04 to be stallions.
    1:29:06 But one of the,
    1:29:08 this family,
    1:29:08 they had a bunch of boys
    1:29:10 and I only think
    1:29:11 about one or two girls
    1:29:11 were like four
    1:29:12 or five boys.
    1:29:13 And one boy
    1:29:13 was maybe
    1:29:15 11 years old.
    1:29:16 He fell from the horse.
    1:29:17 You could see it.
    1:29:18 Not so far away.
    1:29:19 He fell from the horse.
    1:29:20 He didn’t get up.
    1:29:21 No one moved.
    1:29:23 In fact,
    1:29:24 they all kind of
    1:29:25 turned attention away.
    1:29:26 And I thought,
    1:29:28 what am I supposed to say?
    1:29:29 This boy fell down.
    1:29:30 Somebody go get him.
    1:29:31 No.
    1:29:33 And then the boy
    1:29:35 was trying to hobble back.
    1:29:36 He still had the reins
    1:29:36 to his horse.
    1:29:37 He was,
    1:29:38 but he couldn’t remount.
    1:29:39 And he was trying
    1:29:40 to hobble back.
    1:29:41 So his little brother
    1:29:42 went out to help him
    1:29:42 come in.
    1:29:44 And they came
    1:29:44 into the gear
    1:29:45 and they sat down.
    1:29:46 The mother just
    1:29:47 turned her back.
    1:29:48 And I’m thinking,
    1:29:50 how on earth
    1:29:50 can you do this?
    1:29:51 This is a child.
    1:29:52 This is your child.
    1:29:53 You know,
    1:29:55 but two weeks later,
    1:29:56 by chance,
    1:29:58 another boy
    1:29:59 who is practicing
    1:29:59 for Nadam,
    1:30:01 the annual races,
    1:30:02 like this boy
    1:30:03 had been doing,
    1:30:04 he was off
    1:30:04 in an area
    1:30:05 right close
    1:30:06 to the forested
    1:30:07 mountain area.
    1:30:07 and the horse
    1:30:08 bolted,
    1:30:09 took off
    1:30:10 through the woods.
    1:30:11 He was knocked
    1:30:12 off by a tree
    1:30:13 and then the horse
    1:30:13 went deeper
    1:30:14 into the woods.
    1:30:15 The boy followed him.
    1:30:16 The boy became lost.
    1:30:18 The boy was 12 years old.
    1:30:19 He was lost
    1:30:20 for two weeks
    1:30:22 and he lived.
    1:30:24 I would have died
    1:30:25 in 48 hours.
    1:30:25 He lived.
    1:30:26 He said,
    1:30:26 well,
    1:30:27 he slept in the daytime
    1:30:28 when it was warm.
    1:30:28 He walked at night
    1:30:29 when it was cold.
    1:30:30 Even though
    1:30:31 this was the summertime,
    1:30:32 the nights can be
    1:30:33 quite cold,
    1:30:34 especially on a mountain.
    1:30:35 and he sang loudly
    1:30:36 all night long
    1:30:38 to keep the wolves away
    1:30:39 and he knew
    1:30:39 what to eat
    1:30:41 and then he walked
    1:30:41 until he found
    1:30:42 water moving
    1:30:42 and then he would
    1:30:43 follow that water
    1:30:44 down to the next.
    1:30:46 He lived
    1:30:47 and I realized
    1:30:49 the boy falls
    1:30:50 from the horse,
    1:30:50 his mother’s not
    1:30:51 going to be there.
    1:30:53 She knows that
    1:30:54 and it’s probably
    1:30:55 hard for her too
    1:30:57 to see her boy suffer
    1:30:59 but she knows.
    1:31:03 Just a small tangent.
    1:31:04 there’s a wrestler
    1:31:05 named Kerry Collat
    1:31:07 and he tells
    1:31:08 this story
    1:31:10 about mental toughness
    1:31:13 that the first time
    1:31:14 he saw truly
    1:31:16 mentally tough people
    1:31:17 was when he visited
    1:31:18 Mongolia
    1:31:19 for a wrestling tournament
    1:31:20 and he remembered
    1:31:21 that they were
    1:31:22 taking showers
    1:31:23 in ice cold water
    1:31:26 and all the other wrestlers,
    1:31:27 they would take the shower
    1:31:28 and when the water
    1:31:29 hits them,
    1:31:29 you could see
    1:31:30 a little grimace.
    1:31:32 With the Mongols,
    1:31:34 there was just nothing,
    1:31:35 it was emotionless.
    1:31:36 Sort of like
    1:31:38 ice cold water
    1:31:40 or any other
    1:31:40 kind of hardship.
    1:31:41 Yes.
    1:31:43 You build a hardness
    1:31:44 to that
    1:31:46 and I suppose
    1:31:47 that falling
    1:31:47 from the horse
    1:31:48 is just an example
    1:31:48 of that.
    1:31:50 There’s a mental hardness
    1:31:51 and a mental toughness.
    1:31:52 You have to be able
    1:31:53 to take care
    1:31:54 of yourself
    1:31:55 and with the weather,
    1:31:56 for example,
    1:31:58 often in that time
    1:31:58 and still today,
    1:31:59 some people,
    1:32:00 if they can have
    1:32:01 the privacy to do it,
    1:32:04 the men will strip naked
    1:32:05 in the first heavy snow
    1:32:05 and roll around
    1:32:06 in the snow
    1:32:07 in order to prepare
    1:32:09 for the coming winter.
    1:32:12 And the valley
    1:32:13 where I live,
    1:32:14 a lot of wrestlers
    1:32:15 come there
    1:32:15 to train
    1:32:16 in the summertime
    1:32:17 for the competition
    1:32:19 and the water
    1:32:20 is very cold
    1:32:20 coming down
    1:32:21 from the mountain
    1:32:23 and every day
    1:32:25 when there’s a break,
    1:32:25 they go down,
    1:32:26 they take,
    1:32:26 again,
    1:32:27 they do not get
    1:32:27 in the water,
    1:32:27 never,
    1:32:29 but they take the water
    1:32:30 and they pour
    1:32:30 the cold water
    1:32:31 over themselves
    1:32:33 and yes,
    1:32:34 that’s refreshing
    1:32:35 to them,
    1:32:36 refreshing.
    1:32:37 Well then,
    1:32:38 getting back
    1:32:39 to the horses,
    1:32:40 the value they had
    1:32:41 for the horses
    1:32:42 and the horse riding
    1:32:44 skill they developed
    1:32:45 throughout their life
    1:32:45 created
    1:32:47 one of the most
    1:32:48 unstoppable military
    1:32:49 forces in history.
    1:32:50 So if we just talk
    1:32:51 about the mounted
    1:32:52 archery
    1:32:53 that they’ve employed
    1:32:54 in war,
    1:32:56 the Mongols
    1:32:58 were able to do
    1:32:59 targeted shooting
    1:33:00 accurately
    1:33:02 at 200 meters
    1:33:03 or more
    1:33:05 while riding fast,
    1:33:06 you know,
    1:33:07 up to speeds
    1:33:08 of 60 kilometers
    1:33:08 an hour,
    1:33:09 I read.
    1:33:10 So,
    1:33:12 there’s a lot to say.
    1:33:13 Like,
    1:33:13 you know,
    1:33:14 you have to time
    1:33:16 and just watching
    1:33:16 some of the videos
    1:33:17 just incredible
    1:33:18 how stable
    1:33:18 you could be
    1:33:19 on top of a horse
    1:33:20 and I guess
    1:33:21 you’re supposed
    1:33:21 to be shooting
    1:33:23 at a moment
    1:33:23 of the gallop
    1:33:24 when all four
    1:33:25 of the feet
    1:33:25 of the horse
    1:33:27 are off the ground
    1:33:27 and so you have
    1:33:29 to time all of that,
    1:33:30 you have to position
    1:33:30 your body
    1:33:31 to maintain balance
    1:33:32 and then there’s
    1:33:33 the skill
    1:33:33 of the actual
    1:33:34 holding and shooting
    1:33:35 the bow accurately
    1:33:36 and there’s
    1:33:38 obviously the technology
    1:33:38 of the bow,
    1:33:39 the composite bow,
    1:33:40 the recurve bow.
    1:33:41 They’ve also,
    1:33:41 I read,
    1:33:43 used crossbows later.
    1:33:44 They’ve adapted
    1:33:45 the technology
    1:33:46 and there’s
    1:33:46 a particular kind
    1:33:47 of thumb draw
    1:33:48 that you use
    1:33:49 for shooting
    1:33:51 with the composite bow
    1:33:52 that works
    1:33:52 for a horse
    1:33:54 because the thing
    1:33:54 is bouncing
    1:33:55 up and down,
    1:33:56 right?
    1:33:56 So,
    1:33:57 you have to like
    1:33:58 not drop the arrow.
    1:33:59 It’s just incredible
    1:34:00 to be able to shoot
    1:34:01 while the horse
    1:34:02 is going 60 kilometers
    1:34:02 an hour.
    1:34:03 Anyway,
    1:34:04 can you speak
    1:34:05 to this kind
    1:34:07 of exceptional excellence
    1:34:09 that the Genghis Khan
    1:34:09 and the Mongols
    1:34:13 had for riding horses
    1:34:16 and engaging in war
    1:34:18 off of the horse?
    1:34:20 The Mongol,
    1:34:20 the horse
    1:34:21 and the bow
    1:34:23 were a perfect combination
    1:34:24 and it was
    1:34:25 the most lethal weapon
    1:34:27 known to the world
    1:34:29 before the modern era.
    1:34:30 It was incredible
    1:34:32 the synchronization
    1:34:33 and the timing
    1:34:34 of the movements
    1:34:35 and also
    1:34:36 the years of skill,
    1:34:37 the fact that
    1:34:39 from absolute birth
    1:34:40 the Mongols
    1:34:41 would be on a horse
    1:34:43 and by three years old
    1:34:44 they would probably
    1:34:45 be riding alone
    1:34:46 on the horse.
    1:34:47 Now,
    1:34:47 when I first went
    1:34:48 to Mongolia
    1:34:50 in the 1990s,
    1:34:51 at that time
    1:34:53 all jockeys
    1:34:54 on horses
    1:34:54 for races
    1:34:55 had to be
    1:34:56 under six years old.
    1:34:59 That was the age limit
    1:35:00 where the cutoff
    1:35:01 was six years old.
    1:35:02 at that time
    1:35:03 and so you had
    1:35:04 Thomas three years old
    1:35:05 racing out there.
    1:35:07 It’s absolutely incredible
    1:35:07 and of course
    1:35:08 at that age
    1:35:09 they can’t even
    1:35:10 have a saddle
    1:35:10 because it can’t
    1:35:11 even be used
    1:35:12 so they’re just
    1:35:13 all they’re doing
    1:35:14 is staying on the horse.
    1:35:14 The horse has been
    1:35:15 trained to do
    1:35:16 what it has to do
    1:35:17 and they just stay on it
    1:35:18 but by staying on it
    1:35:19 they learn the horse
    1:35:20 they become one
    1:35:23 and not just one horse
    1:35:23 with one rider
    1:35:24 but one rider
    1:35:25 with several horses.
    1:35:27 usually five
    1:35:27 is the number
    1:35:28 that you should have
    1:35:29 for you
    1:35:30 when you go off
    1:35:30 to battle
    1:35:32 and this ability
    1:35:32 that is shoot.
    1:35:34 You have to defend
    1:35:34 your animals
    1:35:35 there are wolves
    1:35:35 around
    1:35:36 there are foxes
    1:35:37 and other things
    1:35:38 in some areas
    1:35:39 there were even tigers
    1:35:41 and other animals
    1:35:42 that would come in
    1:35:43 and you had to be able
    1:35:44 to shoot
    1:35:44 to defend it
    1:35:45 against other people
    1:35:47 who might be raiding you.
    1:35:48 so they became
    1:35:50 excellent archers
    1:35:53 they had composite bows
    1:35:55 that were very powerful
    1:35:56 much more powerful
    1:35:57 than those
    1:35:58 of most sedentary people.
    1:36:00 Now I say all that
    1:36:01 because it’s very important
    1:36:04 but those are all
    1:36:06 sort of nomadic traits
    1:36:08 of the great steppe anyway.
    1:36:10 I mean in an earlier version
    1:36:11 you had the Huns
    1:36:12 who came out of Mongolia
    1:36:13 and Hun
    1:36:15 is just the Mongolian word
    1:36:15 for human.
    1:36:16 Hun
    1:36:18 that’s to this day
    1:36:19 that’s what they say
    1:36:19 for a human being.
    1:36:21 So they came out of Mongolia
    1:36:24 and all the early Turkic groups
    1:36:25 came out of Mongolia
    1:36:26 and they had
    1:36:27 the similar skills.
    1:36:28 So
    1:36:31 you have this perfect weapon
    1:36:31 but also
    1:36:32 you have to have
    1:36:33 perfect strategy
    1:36:35 and how to coordinate it
    1:36:37 and organize it
    1:36:38 and use it.
    1:36:39 And this is where
    1:36:40 the genius
    1:36:42 that I cannot explain
    1:36:42 at all
    1:36:43 but the genius
    1:36:44 of Genghis Khan
    1:36:44 came in.
    1:36:46 Other people
    1:36:46 I think
    1:36:47 had been very good
    1:36:48 in earlier times
    1:36:50 a number of Turkic leaders
    1:36:51 and also
    1:36:52 or even
    1:36:53 Attila the Hun
    1:36:54 who of course
    1:36:55 was actually born
    1:36:56 in the west
    1:36:56 but
    1:36:58 they were charismatic
    1:36:59 leaders
    1:37:00 and very dramatic leaders
    1:37:01 and it wasn’t
    1:37:02 that they were so excellent
    1:37:03 in their
    1:37:05 strategy
    1:37:06 they were very good
    1:37:06 in warfare
    1:37:07 and that’s what
    1:37:08 carried them through.
    1:37:09 Genghis Khan’s army
    1:37:10 was extremely good
    1:37:11 in warfare
    1:37:11 but small.
    1:37:13 he never got
    1:37:14 probably above
    1:37:15 100,000
    1:37:16 at the most
    1:37:18 110,000
    1:37:19 that is small
    1:37:20 when you’re going
    1:37:21 against China
    1:37:24 that has millions
    1:37:26 just in the army
    1:37:27 not to count
    1:37:28 in the country
    1:37:28 and you’re going
    1:37:29 against Russia
    1:37:30 and you’re going
    1:37:31 against the Middle East
    1:37:32 and Persia
    1:37:33 and Afghanistan
    1:37:34 and these areas
    1:37:37 your whole army
    1:37:37 has to be
    1:37:38 as finely tuned
    1:37:40 as each rider
    1:37:41 each bow
    1:37:42 and each horse
    1:37:43 that’s the weapon
    1:37:44 but the army
    1:37:46 becomes the super weapon
    1:37:47 of Genghis Khan
    1:37:49 how he organized it
    1:37:50 and how he used it
    1:37:51 and the strategies
    1:37:52 that he put together.
    1:37:53 Yeah, when you have
    1:37:54 a small army
    1:37:56 just think about that
    1:37:58 a small army
    1:37:58 that conquered
    1:38:00 the world.
    1:38:02 It would fit
    1:38:03 in a stadium
    1:38:04 today in America
    1:38:07 So there’s
    1:38:08 extreme
    1:38:09 efficient
    1:38:10 coordination
    1:38:11 of units
    1:38:12 mostly cavalry
    1:38:12 right?
    1:38:13 All cavalry
    1:38:14 It’s all cavalry
    1:38:15 He had no infantry
    1:38:17 and he had no
    1:38:18 baggage train
    1:38:19 he had no
    1:38:21 backup commissary
    1:38:23 early on
    1:38:24 no engineer corps
    1:38:25 later one was added
    1:38:26 much later
    1:38:27 but no
    1:38:28 all cavalry
    1:38:30 And so there’s
    1:38:30 light cavalry
    1:38:31 and heavy cavalry
    1:38:32 and
    1:38:34 breaking down
    1:38:34 units
    1:38:35 using the decimal
    1:38:35 system
    1:38:36 ten
    1:38:36 hundred
    1:38:37 a thousand
    1:38:38 so
    1:38:40 there’s a kind
    1:38:41 of hierarchy
    1:38:43 where you
    1:38:44 delegate
    1:38:45 authority
    1:38:46 but
    1:38:47 to the degree
    1:38:48 there’s commands
    1:38:50 they must be
    1:38:51 followed strictly
    1:38:51 Yes
    1:38:52 So for like
    1:38:54 extremely efficient
    1:38:54 accurate
    1:38:56 precise
    1:38:57 deployment
    1:38:58 of these
    1:39:00 troops
    1:39:01 in the battlefield
    1:39:02 and the dynamic
    1:39:03 movement of the troops
    1:39:04 including all the
    1:39:05 interesting tactics
    1:39:05 that were
    1:39:06 utilized
    1:39:07 you have to have
    1:39:07 really good
    1:39:08 communication
    1:39:09 and coordination
    1:39:10 and for that
    1:39:11 orders must be
    1:39:11 followed
    1:39:12 Yes
    1:39:14 Is there something
    1:39:15 to speak to that
    1:39:15 like how do you
    1:39:16 tune this kind
    1:39:17 of system
    1:39:17 to where
    1:39:18 everybody is
    1:39:19 working together
    1:39:19 so well
    1:39:20 I think
    1:39:20 the first
    1:39:21 point is
    1:39:21 the extreme
    1:39:22 loyalty
    1:39:23 of the people
    1:39:24 whom Chinggis
    1:39:24 Han chose
    1:39:26 his kinsmen
    1:39:26 as we said
    1:39:27 had deserted
    1:39:27 him
    1:39:29 his anda
    1:39:30 was a
    1:39:31 Christian relationship
    1:39:33 but all the
    1:39:34 others that he
    1:39:34 found were just
    1:39:35 common people
    1:39:37 herders or
    1:39:37 hunters
    1:39:38 very common
    1:39:39 and they were
    1:39:40 loyal to him
    1:39:40 and never
    1:39:42 ever revolted
    1:39:42 against him
    1:39:43 never betrayed
    1:39:43 him
    1:39:44 so he
    1:39:45 had extreme
    1:39:45 loyalty
    1:39:46 and then
    1:39:47 as you mentioned
    1:39:48 he organized
    1:39:48 his decimal
    1:39:49 system
    1:39:49 so the
    1:39:50 smallest unit
    1:39:51 of the army
    1:39:52 was the
    1:39:52 ARFT
    1:39:53 the ten
    1:39:54 the squad
    1:39:55 of ten
    1:39:55 men
    1:39:57 they were put
    1:39:57 together
    1:39:58 and then the
    1:39:58 head of that
    1:39:58 squad
    1:39:59 he had total
    1:40:00 control over
    1:40:00 it
    1:40:01 but the men
    1:40:02 knew that
    1:40:02 they were going
    1:40:03 to protect
    1:40:04 each other
    1:40:04 and they
    1:40:05 had to come
    1:40:06 back
    1:40:07 with every
    1:40:08 member
    1:40:08 or everybody
    1:40:10 you don’t
    1:40:10 leave anybody
    1:40:11 behind
    1:40:12 so this
    1:40:12 was extremely
    1:40:13 important
    1:40:14 so if you
    1:40:16 submit to the
    1:40:16 orders of the
    1:40:17 man in charge
    1:40:18 you know
    1:40:19 that he’s risking
    1:40:20 his own life
    1:40:20 for you also
    1:40:22 and you know
    1:40:23 that your brother
    1:40:23 on the left
    1:40:24 and on the right
    1:40:25 is risking
    1:40:26 his life for you
    1:40:27 the army was
    1:40:29 they were organized
    1:40:30 with five horses
    1:40:30 each man
    1:40:31 they had their
    1:40:32 bow and they had
    1:40:33 a lot of arrows
    1:40:34 as many as they
    1:40:34 could have
    1:40:35 but they also
    1:40:36 retrieved arrows
    1:40:37 at the end
    1:40:38 of their battle
    1:40:39 and they also
    1:40:40 would retrieve
    1:40:40 the enemy
    1:40:41 arrows
    1:40:42 this was a
    1:40:42 great advantage
    1:40:43 by the way
    1:40:43 when they hit
    1:40:44 Russia
    1:40:45 because the
    1:40:45 Russians
    1:40:46 could not
    1:40:47 use Mongolian
    1:40:47 arrows
    1:40:48 they could
    1:40:48 knock them
    1:40:49 in their
    1:40:50 bow
    1:40:51 but the
    1:40:51 Mongols
    1:40:51 could use
    1:40:52 Russian
    1:40:52 arrows
    1:40:54 so all
    1:40:54 these little
    1:40:55 things
    1:40:56 but it’s
    1:40:56 not even
    1:40:57 just the
    1:40:57 arrow
    1:40:58 also they
    1:40:58 had to
    1:40:58 carry
    1:41:00 needle
    1:41:01 and thread
    1:41:03 every soldier
    1:41:03 had to be
    1:41:04 able to
    1:41:04 sew
    1:41:06 and sometimes
    1:41:06 that could
    1:41:06 be a torn
    1:41:07 garment
    1:41:08 it could
    1:41:09 be a piece
    1:41:09 of skin
    1:41:10 or a wound
    1:41:11 that somebody
    1:41:11 has
    1:41:12 it was a
    1:41:12 very odd
    1:41:13 thing
    1:41:13 when you
    1:41:13 think about
    1:41:14 the army
    1:41:14 of Chinggis
    1:41:14 Han
    1:41:15 and they’re
    1:41:15 carrying
    1:41:16 everything
    1:41:16 themselves
    1:41:17 they don’t
    1:41:17 have any
    1:41:18 pack train
    1:41:18 behind them
    1:41:19 and that one
    1:41:20 of the things
    1:41:20 they have to
    1:41:21 carry is needle
    1:41:21 and thread
    1:41:23 in order to
    1:41:23 sew up
    1:41:24 things
    1:41:24 so complete
    1:41:25 self-reliance
    1:41:25 so complete self-reliance
    1:41:26 in that regard
    1:41:26 yes
    1:41:27 they also
    1:41:28 carried
    1:41:29 dry dairy
    1:41:29 products
    1:41:30 adult
    1:41:31 it’s called
    1:41:31 where they
    1:41:32 dry curd
    1:41:34 and they can
    1:41:34 keep it
    1:41:34 for a couple
    1:41:35 of years
    1:41:35 even
    1:41:36 but you
    1:41:36 dry it
    1:41:37 and then
    1:41:37 when you
    1:41:38 need it
    1:41:38 you can
    1:41:38 put it
    1:41:39 in a
    1:41:39 flask
    1:41:40 of water
    1:41:41 you ride
    1:41:41 all day
    1:41:42 it joggles
    1:41:42 up and down
    1:41:43 boom boom boom
    1:41:44 and turns
    1:41:44 into kind
    1:41:45 of thick
    1:41:45 protein
    1:41:47 it said
    1:41:47 that the
    1:41:47 mongols
    1:41:48 could easily
    1:41:48 go three
    1:41:49 to five
    1:41:49 days
    1:41:49 without
    1:41:50 ever
    1:41:50 building
    1:41:50 a fire
    1:41:51 they had
    1:41:52 enough
    1:41:52 food
    1:41:52 there
    1:41:52 with
    1:41:53 so all
    1:41:53 these
    1:41:54 little
    1:41:54 things
    1:41:54 at the
    1:41:54 lowest
    1:41:55 level
    1:41:55 were
    1:41:55 important
    1:41:56 as well
    1:41:56 at the
    1:41:57 highest
    1:41:57 level
    1:41:58 of his
    1:41:59 loyalty
    1:41:59 of his
    1:42:00 men
    1:42:00 to him
    1:42:01 and it
    1:42:01 went
    1:42:01 all the
    1:42:01 way
    1:42:02 down
    1:42:02 loyalty
    1:42:03 was
    1:42:03 extremely
    1:42:04 important
    1:42:05 and he
    1:42:05 organized
    1:42:05 the army
    1:42:06 into
    1:42:07 left wing
    1:42:07 right wing
    1:42:09 or east
    1:42:09 and west
    1:42:10 mongols
    1:42:11 the word
    1:42:12 for left
    1:42:13 is east
    1:42:13 the word
    1:42:14 for right
    1:42:15 is west
    1:42:16 so those
    1:42:17 two wings
    1:42:17 and then
    1:42:17 in the
    1:42:18 middle
    1:42:18 was the
    1:42:18 goal
    1:42:19 the center
    1:42:20 this moving
    1:42:20 center
    1:42:21 that was
    1:42:22 his
    1:42:24 bodyguard
    1:42:25 and his
    1:42:25 unit
    1:42:26 in the
    1:42:26 middle
    1:42:28 then usually
    1:42:28 they’d have
    1:42:28 a vanguard
    1:42:29 and a rear
    1:42:29 guard
    1:42:31 sometimes the
    1:42:32 vanguard
    1:42:32 would go out
    1:42:32 as much
    1:42:33 as two
    1:42:33 years in
    1:42:34 advance
    1:42:35 to clear
    1:42:35 the land
    1:42:36 run the
    1:42:36 people away
    1:42:37 scare them
    1:42:37 make them
    1:42:38 go away
    1:42:39 so that the
    1:42:39 grass is left
    1:42:40 there for the
    1:42:41 army when it
    1:42:41 moves through
    1:42:43 and they
    1:42:43 never marched
    1:42:44 the way
    1:42:45 other armies
    1:42:45 do
    1:42:46 in a line
    1:42:47 of one
    1:42:48 following the
    1:42:48 other
    1:42:49 that would
    1:42:49 always go
    1:42:50 and long
    1:42:51 lines spread
    1:42:51 out in
    1:42:52 wings
    1:42:53 so that
    1:42:53 each horse
    1:42:54 is on its
    1:42:56 own path
    1:42:56 you can say
    1:42:57 but all
    1:42:58 parallel
    1:42:58 together
    1:42:59 so they
    1:43:00 had very
    1:43:01 precise ways
    1:43:02 of doing
    1:43:02 things
    1:43:03 and
    1:43:05 this
    1:43:06 I think
    1:43:06 was the
    1:43:07 secret
    1:43:07 with him
    1:43:08 and he
    1:43:09 used the
    1:43:10 best people
    1:43:11 but
    1:43:12 he
    1:43:14 was willing
    1:43:15 to train
    1:43:15 them as
    1:43:16 much as
    1:43:16 possible
    1:43:17 he never
    1:43:17 punished
    1:43:18 them
    1:43:19 for what
    1:43:19 happened
    1:43:20 so
    1:43:20 Shiki
    1:43:20 Hutuk
    1:43:21 for example
    1:43:21 the
    1:43:22 supreme
    1:43:22 judge
    1:43:23 he was
    1:43:23 in command
    1:43:24 one time
    1:43:24 of a
    1:43:25 group
    1:43:25 in a
    1:43:25 battle
    1:43:25 in
    1:43:27 Afghanistan
    1:43:27 and he
    1:43:28 lost
    1:43:28 the battle
    1:43:29 which is
    1:43:29 very
    1:43:30 unusual
    1:43:30 for
    1:43:31 Mongols
    1:43:32 so
    1:43:32 Chinggis
    1:43:32 Han
    1:43:34 went out
    1:43:34 with him
    1:43:35 said okay
    1:43:35 let’s go
    1:43:35 to the
    1:43:36 battlefield
    1:43:37 together
    1:43:37 and look
    1:43:38 it over
    1:43:39 and you
    1:43:39 explain to
    1:43:40 me what
    1:43:40 you did
    1:43:41 and then
    1:43:42 we will
    1:43:42 talk about
    1:43:42 it
    1:43:43 so he
    1:43:44 was very
    1:43:44 thoughtful
    1:43:45 in the way
    1:43:45 that he
    1:43:46 was training
    1:43:46 the people
    1:43:47 around him
    1:43:48 and they
    1:43:48 knew they
    1:43:48 weren’t
    1:43:48 going to
    1:43:48 be
    1:43:48 punished
    1:43:49 it’s
    1:43:49 not like
    1:43:49 these
    1:43:49 countries
    1:43:50 where the
    1:43:50 general
    1:43:50 comes
    1:43:51 back
    1:43:51 and gets
    1:43:52 executed
    1:43:52 because he
    1:43:52 lost
    1:43:53 no
    1:43:53 Chinggis
    1:43:54 Han
    1:43:54 knows
    1:43:54 every
    1:43:55 general
    1:43:55 is going
    1:43:55 to try
    1:43:56 100%
    1:43:57 and if
    1:43:57 they retreat
    1:43:58 fine
    1:43:59 they’re saving
    1:44:01 he respects
    1:44:02 that
    1:44:03 so all
    1:44:03 these
    1:44:04 things like
    1:44:04 that fit
    1:44:05 together
    1:44:06 but I
    1:44:07 think a
    1:44:07 part of
    1:44:08 it that
    1:44:08 was important
    1:44:09 for him
    1:44:10 so he
    1:44:11 had this
    1:44:11 base from
    1:44:12 step warfare
    1:44:12 already
    1:44:13 the horse
    1:44:15 the archery
    1:44:16 and how
    1:44:16 that all
    1:44:17 fit together
    1:44:18 but he
    1:44:19 was very
    1:44:20 quick
    1:44:22 to embrace
    1:44:23 any kind
    1:44:23 of other
    1:44:24 technology
    1:44:24 that he
    1:44:25 saw
    1:44:26 I think
    1:44:27 that sedentary
    1:44:28 armies like
    1:44:29 sedentary
    1:44:30 civilizations
    1:44:30 that get
    1:44:31 stuck
    1:44:31 in
    1:44:31 their
    1:44:31 ways
    1:44:32 this
    1:44:32 is
    1:44:33 how
    1:44:33 we
    1:44:33 do
    1:44:33 it
    1:44:34 and
    1:44:34 we’re
    1:44:34 going
    1:44:34 to
    1:44:34 make
    1:44:34 it
    1:44:35 a little
    1:44:35 faster
    1:44:36 we’re
    1:44:36 going
    1:44:36 to
    1:44:36 make
    1:44:36 it
    1:44:36 a little
    1:44:36 bigger
    1:44:37 a little
    1:44:37 stronger
    1:44:38 but this
    1:44:38 is how
    1:44:38 we
    1:44:39 think
    1:44:40 Chinggis
    1:44:40 Han
    1:44:41 had no
    1:44:41 set
    1:44:41 way
    1:44:41 to
    1:44:42 think
    1:44:42 and
    1:44:42 when
    1:44:43 he
    1:44:43 encountered
    1:44:43 the
    1:44:44 first
    1:44:44 walled
    1:44:44 cities
    1:44:45 around
    1:44:46 1209
    1:44:46 after
    1:44:47 founding
    1:44:47 his
    1:44:47 nation
    1:44:48 in
    1:44:48 1206
    1:44:49 he
    1:44:49 went
    1:44:50 out
    1:44:50 on
    1:44:50 these
    1:44:50 raids
    1:44:51 and
    1:44:51 I
    1:44:51 really
    1:44:51 think
    1:44:51 they
    1:44:52 were
    1:44:52 raids
    1:44:52 not
    1:44:53 wars
    1:45:01 there
    1:45:01 and
    1:45:01 of
    1:45:01 course
    1:45:01 the
    1:45:02 cities
    1:45:02 have
    1:45:02 walls
    1:45:02 around
    1:45:03 them
    1:45:03 this
    1:45:03 is a
    1:45:03 man
    1:45:04 who’s
    1:45:04 never
    1:45:04 encountered
    1:45:05 a wall
    1:45:05 in his
    1:45:05 life
    1:45:07 well
    1:45:07 he
    1:45:07 did
    1:45:07 but
    1:45:07 they
    1:45:07 were
    1:45:08 made
    1:45:08 out
    1:45:08 of
    1:45:08 felt
    1:45:09 the walls
    1:45:09 around
    1:45:10 his
    1:45:10 tent
    1:45:10 are
    1:45:10 you know
    1:45:11 felt
    1:45:11 walls
    1:45:11 yeah
    1:45:12 just
    1:45:12 imagine
    1:45:12 what
    1:45:12 it’s
    1:45:13 like
    1:45:15 for
    1:45:15 the
    1:45:15 first
    1:45:15 time
    1:45:16 in
    1:45:16 your
    1:45:16 life
    1:45:16 seeing
    1:45:16 a
    1:45:17 wall
    1:45:18 when
    1:45:19 you
    1:45:19 come
    1:45:19 from
    1:45:19 the
    1:45:20 Mongolian
    1:45:20 steppe
    1:45:20 where
    1:45:21 there’s
    1:45:21 no
    1:45:22 there’s
    1:45:22 very few
    1:45:23 even
    1:45:23 natural
    1:45:24 wall
    1:45:24 like
    1:45:25 things
    1:45:25 right
    1:45:26 well
    1:45:26 they
    1:45:26 have
    1:45:26 like
    1:45:27 the
    1:45:27 wall
    1:45:27 cliffs
    1:45:27 in
    1:45:28 some
    1:45:28 places
    1:45:28 they’re
    1:45:28 familiar
    1:45:29 with
    1:45:29 that
    1:45:29 and
    1:45:29 they
    1:45:29 can
    1:45:29 climb
    1:45:30 them
    1:45:30 but
    1:45:31 they
    1:45:31 don’t
    1:45:31 have
    1:45:31 people
    1:45:31 at
    1:45:31 the
    1:45:32 top
    1:45:32 shooting
    1:45:32 down
    1:45:33 the
    1:45:33 mountain
    1:45:35 so he
    1:45:35 looked
    1:45:36 at
    1:45:36 everything
    1:45:36 around
    1:45:37 him
    1:45:37 and
    1:45:37 he
    1:45:37 saw
    1:45:38 okay
    1:45:38 they
    1:45:38 have
    1:45:39 this
    1:45:39 river
    1:45:39 and
    1:45:39 they
    1:45:39 have
    1:45:40 all
    1:45:40 these
    1:45:40 channels
    1:45:40 and
    1:45:41 they’re
    1:45:41 always
    1:45:41 moving
    1:45:42 water
    1:45:42 around
    1:45:43 and
    1:45:43 like
    1:45:44 we
    1:45:44 said
    1:45:45 for a
    1:45:45 Mongol
    1:45:46 anything
    1:45:46 that
    1:45:46 moves
    1:45:47 is a
    1:45:47 potential
    1:45:48 weapon
    1:45:48 anything
    1:45:48 that
    1:45:49 doesn’t
    1:45:49 move
    1:45:50 is a
    1:45:50 target
    1:45:51 you’ve
    1:45:51 got
    1:45:51 moving
    1:45:52 water
    1:45:52 you’ve
    1:45:52 got
    1:45:53 a
    1:45:53 standing
    1:45:54 non
    1:45:54 moving
    1:45:54 wall
    1:45:56 so
    1:45:56 he
    1:45:56 said
    1:45:57 okay
    1:45:58 the
    1:45:58 men
    1:45:58 are
    1:45:58 going
    1:45:58 to
    1:45:59 dig
    1:46:01 channel
    1:46:02 and
    1:46:02 they’re
    1:46:02 going
    1:46:02 to
    1:46:02 bring
    1:46:02 down
    1:46:03 the
    1:46:03 wall
    1:46:03 of
    1:46:03 the
    1:46:04 Tangut
    1:46:04 city
    1:46:05 well
    1:46:05 they
    1:46:05 did
    1:46:05 it
    1:46:06 and
    1:46:07 they
    1:46:07 didn’t
    1:46:07 know
    1:46:07 exactly
    1:46:08 what
    1:46:08 they
    1:46:08 were
    1:46:08 doing
    1:46:09 and
    1:46:09 the
    1:46:10 embankments
    1:46:10 weren’t
    1:46:10 high
    1:46:10 enough
    1:46:11 and
    1:46:12 too
    1:46:12 much
    1:46:12 water
    1:46:12 came
    1:46:13 in
    1:46:13 from
    1:46:13 the
    1:46:13 yellow
    1:46:13 river
    1:46:14 and
    1:46:14 actually
    1:46:15 flooded
    1:46:15 out
    1:46:15 the
    1:46:15 Mongol
    1:46:16 camp
    1:46:17 but
    1:46:18 okay
    1:46:18 it
    1:46:18 happened
    1:46:19 we
    1:46:19 learned
    1:46:19 that
    1:46:20 lesson
    1:46:20 so
    1:46:20 we’re
    1:46:21 going
    1:46:21 to
    1:46:21 improve
    1:46:21 it
    1:46:22 and
    1:46:22 that
    1:46:22 became
    1:46:22 a
    1:46:23 strategy
    1:46:23 that
    1:46:23 actually
    1:46:24 worked
    1:46:24 for
    1:46:24 the
    1:46:25 Mongols
    1:46:26 for
    1:46:26 the
    1:46:32 58
    1:46:33 so
    1:46:34 this
    1:46:34 is
    1:46:35 this
    1:46:36 ability
    1:46:36 to
    1:46:37 see
    1:46:37 things
    1:46:38 and
    1:46:38 to
    1:46:38 try
    1:46:39 them
    1:46:39 and
    1:46:39 if
    1:46:39 they
    1:46:39 fail
    1:46:39 to
    1:46:40 try
    1:46:40 them
    1:46:40 in
    1:46:40 a
    1:46:41 different
    1:46:41 way
    1:46:41 but
    1:46:41 a
    1:46:42 better
    1:46:42 way
    1:46:42 we
    1:46:42 all
    1:46:43 think
    1:46:43 we learn
    1:46:43 from
    1:46:43 our
    1:46:44 mistakes
    1:46:44 mistakes
    1:46:44 we
    1:46:45 all
    1:46:45 yeah
    1:46:46 yeah
    1:46:46 I
    1:46:46 learned
    1:46:47 from
    1:46:47 that
    1:46:47 and
    1:46:47 what
    1:46:47 do
    1:46:48 we
    1:46:48 do
    1:46:48 we
    1:46:49 repeat
    1:46:49 the
    1:46:49 mistake
    1:46:50 I
    1:46:50 think
    1:46:50 it’s
    1:46:50 just
    1:46:51 a
    1:46:51 part
    1:46:51 of
    1:46:51 human
    1:46:51 nature
    1:46:52 well
    1:46:52 it
    1:46:52 didn’t
    1:46:53 work
    1:46:53 the
    1:46:53 first
    1:46:53 eight
    1:46:54 times
    1:46:54 but
    1:46:54 I’m
    1:46:54 going
    1:46:54 to
    1:46:54 do
    1:46:54 it
    1:46:55 one
    1:46:55 more
    1:46:55 time
    1:46:55 I
    1:46:55 think
    1:46:56 it’s
    1:46:56 going
    1:46:56 to
    1:46:56 work
    1:46:57 I
    1:46:57 know
    1:46:57 I’m
    1:46:57 going to
    1:46:57 win
    1:46:58 the
    1:46:58 lottery
    1:46:58 this
    1:46:59 time
    1:46:59 because
    1:46:59 I
    1:46:59 got
    1:46:59 the
    1:47:00 right
    1:47:01 that’s
    1:47:01 how
    1:47:01 we
    1:47:01 think
    1:47:02 but
    1:47:03 he
    1:47:03 had
    1:47:15 he
    1:47:15 could
    1:47:15 understand
    1:47:16 it
    1:47:16 in
    1:47:16 his
    1:47:16 own
    1:47:17 way
    1:47:17 and
    1:47:17 he
    1:47:18 did
    1:47:18 over
    1:47:18 and
    1:47:19 over
    1:47:19 the
    1:47:19 Mongols
    1:47:19 were
    1:47:20 excellent
    1:47:20 at
    1:47:21 putting
    1:47:21 together
    1:47:22 new
    1:47:22 things
    1:47:22 in
    1:47:22 new
    1:47:23 ways
    1:47:23 and
    1:47:24 using
    1:47:24 them
    1:47:25 against
    1:47:25 their
    1:47:25 enemies
    1:47:26 so
    1:47:28 rapid
    1:47:28 extreme
    1:47:29 continued
    1:47:29 innovation
    1:47:30 so you
    1:47:31 couple
    1:47:31 that
    1:47:31 with
    1:47:32 a
    1:47:34 I
    1:47:34 mean
    1:47:35 you
    1:47:35 have
    1:47:35 to
    1:47:35 say
    1:47:36 a
    1:47:36 revolutionary
    1:47:37 idea
    1:47:37 that
    1:47:38 promotion
    1:47:40 should
    1:47:40 be
    1:47:41 based
    1:47:41 on
    1:47:41 merit
    1:47:42 that
    1:47:43 idea
    1:47:44 combined
    1:47:44 with
    1:47:44 the
    1:47:45 innovative
    1:47:46 approach
    1:47:46 to
    1:47:46 the
    1:47:47 military
    1:47:48 it
    1:47:49 just
    1:47:50 feeds
    1:47:50 on
    1:47:50 itself
    1:47:51 because
    1:47:51 the
    1:47:52 people
    1:47:52 who
    1:47:52 are
    1:47:52 learning
    1:47:52 from
    1:47:53 their
    1:47:53 mistakes
    1:47:53 and
    1:47:54 constantly
    1:47:54 improving
    1:47:54 are the
    1:47:55 ones
    1:47:55 that
    1:47:55 get
    1:47:56 promoted
    1:47:56 in the
    1:47:57 positions
    1:47:57 of
    1:47:57 power
    1:47:57 and
    1:47:57 then
    1:47:58 they
    1:47:58 inspire
    1:47:59 everybody
    1:47:59 else
    1:47:59 to do
    1:47:59 the
    1:47:59 same
    1:48:00 and
    1:48:00 so
    1:48:01 if
    1:48:02 every
    1:48:02 action
    1:48:02 is
    1:48:03 judged
    1:48:03 based
    1:48:03 on
    1:48:04 the
    1:48:04 excellence
    1:48:04 of
    1:48:04 that
    1:48:05 action
    1:48:06 then
    1:48:06 over
    1:48:07 time
    1:48:07 repeated
    1:48:08 iteration
    1:48:08 in
    1:48:08 war
    1:48:10 creates
    1:48:10 a
    1:48:11 more
    1:48:11 and
    1:48:11 more
    1:48:12 powerful
    1:48:12 army
    1:48:13 yes
    1:48:14 yes
    1:48:15 and
    1:48:16 they
    1:48:16 were
    1:48:16 able
    1:48:16 to do
    1:48:17 that
    1:48:17 for
    1:48:17 three
    1:48:18 generations
    1:48:19 to
    1:48:19 create
    1:48:20 an
    1:48:20 army
    1:48:20 that
    1:48:20 was
    1:48:21 ever
    1:48:21 expanding
    1:48:22 ever
    1:48:23 changing
    1:48:23 its
    1:48:23 tactics
    1:48:24 and
    1:48:24 its
    1:48:25 technology
    1:48:25 and
    1:48:27 they
    1:48:27 got
    1:48:27 worse
    1:48:27 at
    1:48:27 it
    1:48:28 over
    1:48:28 time
    1:48:29 but
    1:48:30 Chinggis
    1:48:30 Hahn
    1:48:30 was
    1:48:30 the
    1:48:31 one
    1:48:31 who
    1:48:31 innovated
    1:48:32 it
    1:48:32 he
    1:48:32 was
    1:48:32 the
    1:48:33 best
    1:48:33 with
    1:48:33 it
    1:48:33 and
    1:48:34 he
    1:48:34 used
    1:48:35 it
    1:48:35 throughout
    1:48:35 his
    1:48:36 lifetime
    1:48:36 and
    1:48:36 he
    1:48:37 was
    1:48:37 getting
    1:48:37 better
    1:48:38 over
    1:48:38 his
    1:48:39 lifetime
    1:48:39 with
    1:48:40 using
    1:48:40 foreign
    1:48:41 information
    1:48:41 foreign
    1:48:42 technology
    1:48:42 foreign
    1:48:43 ideas
    1:48:46 he
    1:48:46 just
    1:48:46 had
    1:48:46 a
    1:48:47 genius
    1:48:47 for
    1:48:47 that
    1:48:49 if
    1:48:49 we
    1:48:49 can
    1:48:50 go
    1:48:50 back
    1:48:50 to
    1:48:50 the
    1:48:50 horses
    1:48:51 you
    1:48:51 mentioned
    1:48:51 every
    1:48:52 soldier
    1:48:52 had
    1:48:52 five
    1:48:52 horses
    1:48:53 the
    1:48:53 reason
    1:48:54 for
    1:48:54 that
    1:48:54 is
    1:48:54 the
    1:48:54 horses
    1:48:55 get
    1:48:55 tired
    1:48:55 yes
    1:48:56 and
    1:48:56 so
    1:48:56 you
    1:48:57 can
    1:48:57 cover
    1:48:58 a lot
    1:48:58 of
    1:48:59 ground
    1:48:59 in a
    1:48:59 single
    1:48:59 day
    1:49:00 yes
    1:49:01 usually
    1:49:01 the
    1:49:01 way
    1:49:01 the
    1:49:02 rotation
    1:49:02 of
    1:49:02 the
    1:49:02 horses
    1:49:03 would
    1:49:04 usually
    1:49:04 ride
    1:49:04 for
    1:49:05 one
    1:49:05 day
    1:49:05 and
    1:49:06 then
    1:49:06 rest
    1:49:06 for
    1:49:06 the
    1:49:06 next
    1:49:07 four
    1:49:07 to
    1:49:07 five
    1:49:08 days
    1:49:08 and
    1:49:09 then
    1:49:09 another
    1:49:09 horse
    1:49:09 would
    1:49:10 be
    1:49:10 riding
    1:49:10 the
    1:49:10 next
    1:49:11 day
    1:49:11 one
    1:49:11 way
    1:49:12 to
    1:49:12 measure
    1:49:12 it
    1:49:12 is
    1:49:12 that
    1:49:13 later
    1:49:13 at
    1:49:13 the
    1:49:13 time
    1:49:13 of
    1:49:14 the
    1:49:14 death
    1:49:14 of
    1:49:14 a
    1:49:14 good
    1:49:14 day
    1:49:15 Han
    1:49:16 the
    1:49:16 word
    1:49:16 went
    1:49:17 from
    1:49:17 Mongolia
    1:49:18 to
    1:49:19 Hungary
    1:49:20 in
    1:49:20 six
    1:49:21 weeks
    1:49:22 Mongolia
    1:49:22 to
    1:49:23 Hungary
    1:49:23 in
    1:49:23 six
    1:49:23 weeks
    1:49:24 so
    1:49:24 let’s
    1:49:24 just
    1:49:25 imagine
    1:49:25 this
    1:49:25 army
    1:49:25 that’s
    1:49:26 able
    1:49:26 to
    1:49:27 move
    1:49:27 at
    1:49:27 such
    1:49:28 high
    1:49:28 speeds
    1:49:29 does
    1:49:29 not
    1:49:29 need
    1:49:30 to
    1:49:30 follow
    1:49:30 roads
    1:49:32 because
    1:49:32 it’s
    1:49:32 used
    1:49:32 to
    1:49:33 riding
    1:49:33 in
    1:49:33 the
    1:49:33 open
    1:49:33 step
    1:49:34 so
    1:49:34 you
    1:49:35 can
    1:49:35 do
    1:49:36 all
    1:49:36 kinds
    1:49:37 of
    1:49:37 dynamic
    1:49:38 movements
    1:49:38 in
    1:49:39 encircling
    1:49:39 a
    1:49:39 place
    1:49:41 and
    1:49:41 then
    1:49:42 also
    1:49:42 one
    1:49:42 of
    1:49:42 the
    1:49:42 other
    1:49:43 famous
    1:49:43 things
    1:49:43 is
    1:49:43 the
    1:49:44 feigned
    1:49:44 retreat
    1:49:45 that
    1:49:45 was
    1:49:45 used
    1:49:46 continuously
    1:49:46 can you
    1:49:47 explain
    1:49:47 how
    1:49:47 that
    1:49:47 worked
    1:49:48 the
    1:49:49 Mongols
    1:49:49 did
    1:49:49 not
    1:49:50 fight
    1:49:51 for
    1:49:51 honor
    1:49:52 the
    1:49:52 way
    1:49:53 we
    1:49:53 often
    1:49:53 think
    1:49:54 of
    1:49:55 brave
    1:49:55 soldiers
    1:49:56 Achilles
    1:49:57 and
    1:49:57 the
    1:49:57 Iliad
    1:49:58 and
    1:49:58 things
    1:49:58 like
    1:49:58 that
    1:49:59 they
    1:49:59 fought
    1:49:59 for
    1:50:00 victory
    1:50:01 that
    1:50:01 was
    1:50:01 the
    1:50:01 one
    1:50:01 thing
    1:50:02 so
    1:50:03 to
    1:50:03 retreat
    1:50:04 to
    1:50:05 save
    1:50:05 lives
    1:50:05 and all
    1:50:05 there’s
    1:50:06 no
    1:50:06 shame
    1:50:06 in
    1:50:08 Mongols
    1:50:08 would
    1:50:09 often
    1:50:09 retreat
    1:50:10 and
    1:50:10 Chinggis
    1:50:10 Han
    1:50:11 basically
    1:50:12 he
    1:50:12 himself
    1:50:13 never
    1:50:13 fought
    1:50:13 a
    1:50:14 battle
    1:50:15 that
    1:50:16 he
    1:50:16 thought
    1:50:16 he
    1:50:17 could
    1:50:17 lose
    1:50:18 and
    1:50:18 he
    1:50:18 won
    1:50:18 every
    1:50:19 battle
    1:50:19 he
    1:50:19 fought
    1:50:20 that
    1:50:20 wasn’t
    1:50:20 true
    1:50:20 for
    1:50:20 every
    1:50:21 general
    1:50:21 under
    1:50:21 him
    1:50:22 as
    1:50:22 we
    1:50:22 said
    1:50:22 for
    1:50:23 Shigihutuk
    1:50:23 for
    1:50:23 example
    1:50:24 but
    1:50:24 he
    1:50:24 won
    1:50:25 every
    1:50:25 battle
    1:50:25 because
    1:50:26 there
    1:50:26 was
    1:50:26 no
    1:50:27 shame
    1:50:27 in
    1:50:28 retreating
    1:50:28 and
    1:50:28 in
    1:50:28 not
    1:50:29 fighting
    1:50:29 not
    1:50:29 engaging
    1:50:29 the
    1:50:30 enemy
    1:50:30 however
    1:50:31 that
    1:50:31 also
    1:50:32 becomes
    1:50:32 a
    1:50:32 tactic
    1:50:33 and
    1:50:33 that
    1:50:33 they
    1:50:34 would
    1:50:34 send
    1:50:34 in
    1:50:34 a
    1:50:35 small
    1:50:35 group
    1:50:35 of
    1:50:35 soldiers
    1:50:36 to
    1:50:36 attack
    1:50:37 and
    1:50:37 the
    1:50:38 Mongols
    1:50:38 were able
    1:50:39 to fire
    1:50:39 of course
    1:50:40 going forward
    1:50:40 on the
    1:50:41 horse
    1:50:42 they were
    1:50:42 able to
    1:50:43 then
    1:50:44 act like
    1:50:45 they were
    1:50:46 defeated
    1:50:48 and turn
    1:50:49 but they
    1:50:49 could still
    1:50:50 fire
    1:50:51 backwards
    1:50:51 which was
    1:50:52 the Parthian
    1:50:52 shot
    1:50:53 which is
    1:50:53 unusual
    1:50:53 in the
    1:50:54 world
    1:50:54 not
    1:50:54 totally
    1:50:55 unique
    1:50:55 but unusual
    1:50:56 to fire
    1:50:57 backwards
    1:50:57 but the
    1:50:58 Mongols
    1:50:58 also could
    1:50:59 lean down
    1:50:59 and fire
    1:51:00 under the
    1:51:00 neck
    1:51:00 of the
    1:51:01 horse
    1:51:01 so they
    1:51:02 protected
    1:51:02 they had
    1:51:02 many
    1:51:03 different
    1:51:03 ways
    1:51:04 so they’re
    1:51:04 firing
    1:51:05 coming
    1:51:05 they’re
    1:51:05 firing
    1:51:06 going
    1:51:06 but
    1:51:07 usually
    1:51:08 the
    1:51:08 soldiers
    1:51:09 who
    1:51:09 were
    1:51:09 against
    1:51:09 them
    1:51:10 would
    1:51:10 break
    1:51:10 ranks
    1:51:11 to
    1:51:11 chase
    1:51:11 them
    1:51:12 they want
    1:51:12 to go
    1:51:13 they want
    1:51:13 to get
    1:51:13 their weapons
    1:51:14 they want
    1:51:14 to kill
    1:51:15 the Mongols
    1:51:15 and if
    1:51:16 they didn’t
    1:51:16 immediately
    1:51:17 break
    1:51:17 ranks
    1:51:18 the Mongols
    1:51:18 would often
    1:51:19 start
    1:51:20 throwing
    1:51:20 things
    1:51:20 out
    1:51:21 like
    1:51:21 loot
    1:51:21 from
    1:51:22 some
    1:51:22 place
    1:51:22 and
    1:51:23 valuables
    1:51:23 around
    1:51:24 and
    1:51:25 soldiers
    1:51:25 usually
    1:51:25 couldn’t
    1:51:26 resist
    1:51:26 it
    1:51:27 so they’d
    1:51:27 come
    1:51:27 chasing
    1:51:28 out
    1:51:28 after the
    1:51:29 Mongols
    1:51:29 sort
    1:51:30 of
    1:51:32 direction
    1:51:33 and then
    1:51:33 they would
    1:51:34 get to
    1:51:34 a certain
    1:51:35 point
    1:51:35 and from
    1:51:36 behind
    1:51:36 the
    1:51:37 two
    1:51:37 hills
    1:51:38 the
    1:51:38 Mongol
    1:51:39 army
    1:51:39 would
    1:51:39 come
    1:51:40 and
    1:51:40 slaughter
    1:51:41 them
    1:51:42 over
    1:51:43 and over
    1:51:43 this
    1:51:44 tactic
    1:51:44 worked
    1:51:45 it’s
    1:51:45 like
    1:51:45 the
    1:51:45 one
    1:51:45 with
    1:51:46 the
    1:51:46 water
    1:51:46 I’m
    1:51:46 thinking
    1:51:47 to
    1:51:47 people
    1:51:48 how
    1:51:48 can
    1:51:49 they
    1:51:49 not
    1:51:49 know
    1:51:49 this
    1:51:50 is
    1:51:50 what
    1:51:50 the
    1:51:50 Mongols
    1:51:50 are
    1:51:51 doing
    1:51:51 how
    1:51:51 can
    1:51:51 they
    1:51:51 not
    1:51:52 know
    1:51:52 that
    1:51:53 human
    1:51:53 nature
    1:51:53 there
    1:51:53 is
    1:51:54 something
    1:51:54 that
    1:51:55 when
    1:51:55 the
    1:51:55 forces
    1:51:55 are
    1:51:56 retreating
    1:51:56 you
    1:51:57 want
    1:51:57 to
    1:51:57 follow
    1:51:57 them
    1:51:58 you
    1:51:59 can’t
    1:51:59 help
    1:51:59 it
    1:52:00 I don’t
    1:52:00 know
    1:52:01 what
    1:52:01 that
    1:52:01 is
    1:52:01 that’s
    1:52:02 maybe
    1:52:02 the
    1:52:03 animalistic
    1:52:03 but
    1:52:04 take
    1:52:04 that
    1:52:05 with
    1:52:05 the
    1:52:06 ability
    1:52:07 at
    1:52:07 high
    1:52:08 speeds
    1:52:08 for
    1:52:08 the
    1:52:08 Mongols
    1:52:09 to
    1:52:10 encircle
    1:52:10 and
    1:52:11 attack
    1:52:11 the
    1:52:11 flanks
    1:52:12 which
    1:52:15 there
    1:52:15 has
    1:52:15 been
    1:52:16 many
    1:52:16 great
    1:52:17 military
    1:52:17 historians
    1:52:18 who
    1:52:18 have
    1:52:18 written
    1:52:19 about
    1:52:19 the
    1:52:20 great
    1:52:21 military
    1:52:22 forces
    1:52:22 throughout
    1:52:22 history
    1:52:23 and
    1:52:24 one
    1:52:24 of the
    1:52:24 things
    1:52:25 you
    1:52:25 write
    1:52:25 about
    1:52:25 in
    1:52:26 general
    1:52:27 is
    1:52:27 the
    1:52:28 Mongols
    1:52:28 don’t
    1:52:29 get
    1:52:30 written
    1:52:30 about
    1:52:30 almost
    1:52:31 at
    1:52:31 all
    1:52:32 and
    1:52:32 don’t
    1:52:32 get
    1:52:32 credit
    1:52:34 for
    1:52:35 the
    1:52:35 military
    1:52:36 tactics
    1:52:36 and
    1:52:37 the
    1:52:37 military
    1:52:38 genius
    1:52:39 exhibited
    1:52:39 through
    1:52:39 the
    1:52:39 different
    1:52:40 strategies
    1:52:41 this
    1:52:41 kind
    1:52:41 of
    1:52:42 idea
    1:52:42 of
    1:52:42 the
    1:52:42 feigned
    1:52:43 retreat
    1:52:43 and
    1:52:43 then
    1:52:43 attacking
    1:52:44 the
    1:52:44 flanks
    1:52:46 that’s
    1:52:46 you know
    1:52:47 been
    1:52:48 if not
    1:52:48 invented
    1:52:48 and
    1:52:49 perfected
    1:52:50 by
    1:52:52 Genghis
    1:52:52 he really
    1:52:52 was a
    1:52:53 military
    1:52:53 genius
    1:52:54 but
    1:52:54 there
    1:52:54 were
    1:52:54 other
    1:52:55 things
    1:52:55 too
    1:52:55 you know
    1:52:55 they
    1:52:56 didn’t
    1:52:56 like
    1:52:56 roads
    1:52:57 you know
    1:52:58 they
    1:52:58 just
    1:52:58 didn’t
    1:52:58 like
    1:52:58 the
    1:52:59 roads
    1:52:59 so
    1:52:59 they
    1:52:59 would
    1:53:00 often
    1:53:00 be
    1:53:00 coming
    1:53:00 from
    1:53:01 some
    1:53:01 direction
    1:53:01 that
    1:53:02 nobody
    1:53:02 ever
    1:53:02 came
    1:53:03 from
    1:53:03 and
    1:53:03 the
    1:53:04 people
    1:53:04 would
    1:53:04 be
    1:53:05 unprepared
    1:53:05 for
    1:53:05 that
    1:53:06 the
    1:53:06 most
    1:53:06 famous
    1:53:07 example
    1:53:07 is
    1:53:07 probably
    1:53:08 in
    1:53:08 Bukhara
    1:53:09 this
    1:53:10 is a
    1:53:10 beautiful
    1:53:11 wonderful
    1:53:11 old
    1:53:11 city
    1:53:12 great
    1:53:13 place
    1:53:13 in
    1:53:13 the
    1:53:13 world
    1:53:14 to
    1:53:14 this
    1:53:14 day
    1:53:15 and
    1:53:15 they
    1:53:15 came
    1:53:16 across
    1:53:16 the
    1:53:17 desert
    1:53:19 well
    1:53:19 nobody
    1:53:19 had
    1:53:19 ever
    1:53:20 attacked
    1:53:20 across
    1:53:20 the
    1:53:21 desert
    1:53:21 so
    1:53:21 people
    1:53:21 see
    1:53:22 dust
    1:53:22 coming
    1:53:23 they think
    1:53:23 well
    1:53:23 caravan
    1:53:24 they don’t
    1:53:25 even know
    1:53:25 what’s
    1:53:25 going on
    1:53:26 but
    1:53:26 it was
    1:53:26 the
    1:53:27 direction
    1:53:28 there was
    1:53:28 a
    1:53:28 surprise
    1:53:29 element
    1:53:29 in that
    1:53:29 particular
    1:53:30 case
    1:53:31 so
    1:53:31 he
    1:53:31 was
    1:53:31 able
    1:53:31 to
    1:53:32 think
    1:53:32 in
    1:53:32 ways
    1:53:32 that
    1:53:33 the
    1:53:33 other
    1:53:33 people
    1:53:33 were
    1:53:34 not
    1:53:34 thinking
    1:53:34 yet
    1:53:35 and
    1:53:35 to
    1:53:35 be
    1:53:35 able
    1:53:35 to
    1:53:36 surprise
    1:53:36 them
    1:53:37 what
    1:53:37 do
    1:53:37 you
    1:53:37 think
    1:53:37 it
    1:53:38 again
    1:53:39 felt
    1:53:39 like
    1:53:39 to
    1:53:40 have
    1:53:40 this
    1:53:41 Mongol
    1:53:42 armada
    1:53:42 the
    1:53:43 horses
    1:53:44 it
    1:53:44 must
    1:53:44 have
    1:53:45 the
    1:53:45 ground
    1:53:45 must
    1:53:46 shake
    1:53:46 when
    1:53:46 you
    1:53:46 have
    1:53:46 that
    1:53:47 many
    1:53:47 horses
    1:53:48 what
    1:53:48 do
    1:53:48 you
    1:53:48 think
    1:53:48 it
    1:53:48 feels
    1:53:49 like
    1:53:49 to
    1:53:49 be
    1:53:49 in
    1:53:49 a
    1:53:50 town
    1:53:51 when
    1:53:52 Genghis
    1:53:52 Khan
    1:53:52 is
    1:53:52 approaching
    1:53:54 I
    1:53:54 think
    1:53:54 the
    1:53:55 terror
    1:53:56 was
    1:53:56 one
    1:53:56 of
    1:53:56 the
    1:53:57 greatest
    1:53:57 weapons
    1:53:57 that
    1:53:57 he
    1:53:58 had
    1:53:59 that
    1:54:00 he
    1:54:01 cultivated
    1:54:01 this
    1:54:02 reputation
    1:54:02 of
    1:54:03 ferocity
    1:54:03 not
    1:54:04 only
    1:54:04 did
    1:54:04 he
    1:54:04 win
    1:54:05 battles
    1:54:05 but
    1:54:06 he
    1:54:07 didn’t
    1:54:07 allow
    1:54:07 people
    1:54:07 to
    1:54:07 write
    1:54:07 about
    1:54:08 him
    1:54:08 as
    1:54:08 we
    1:54:08 said
    1:54:09 but
    1:54:09 he
    1:54:10 encouraged
    1:54:11 refugees
    1:54:11 and
    1:54:12 when
    1:54:12 he
    1:54:12 conquered
    1:54:12 a
    1:54:12 city
    1:54:13 he
    1:54:13 always
    1:54:13 made
    1:54:13 sure
    1:54:14 there
    1:54:14 are
    1:54:14 plenty
    1:54:14 of
    1:54:15 refugees
    1:54:15 to
    1:54:15 go
    1:54:15 to
    1:54:15 the
    1:54:16 next
    1:54:16 city
    1:54:16 because
    1:54:16 it’s
    1:54:16 going
    1:54:16 to
    1:54:17 weaken
    1:54:18 their
    1:54:19 food
    1:54:19 supply
    1:54:20 and
    1:54:20 they’re
    1:54:20 going
    1:54:20 to
    1:54:21 terrorize
    1:54:21 the
    1:54:21 people
    1:54:22 with
    1:54:22 tales
    1:54:22 of
    1:54:23 the
    1:54:23 millions
    1:54:23 of
    1:54:23 people
    1:54:24 that
    1:54:24 the
    1:54:24 Mongols
    1:54:24 killed
    1:54:25 with
    1:54:25 their
    1:54:26 steel
    1:54:26 chiseled
    1:54:27 teeth
    1:54:34 terrorism
    1:54:35 of a
    1:54:35 mental
    1:54:36 sort
    1:54:36 to
    1:54:37 weaken
    1:54:37 the
    1:54:37 enemy
    1:54:38 and
    1:54:38 so
    1:54:38 when
    1:54:39 you
    1:54:39 hear
    1:54:40 or
    1:54:41 even
    1:54:41 if
    1:54:41 you
    1:54:41 know
    1:54:41 they’re
    1:54:41 coming
    1:54:42 you see
    1:54:42 the dust
    1:54:43 you hear
    1:54:43 the
    1:54:44 kind of
    1:54:45 roar
    1:54:45 that comes
    1:54:45 with
    1:54:46 all those
    1:54:46 horses
    1:54:47 and the
    1:54:47 trembling
    1:54:47 of
    1:54:48 the
    1:54:48 earth
    1:54:48 it
    1:54:49 must
    1:54:49 have
    1:54:49 been
    1:54:49 truly
    1:54:50 terrifying
    1:54:51 so
    1:54:52 psychological
    1:54:52 warfare
    1:54:53 was
    1:54:53 a
    1:54:54 part
    1:54:54 of
    1:54:54 the
    1:54:54 whole
    1:54:55 process
    1:54:56 but
    1:54:56 as
    1:54:56 I
    1:54:57 understand
    1:54:58 there
    1:54:58 was
    1:54:58 always
    1:54:58 an
    1:54:59 offer
    1:54:59 for
    1:54:59 the
    1:55:00 towns
    1:55:00 and
    1:55:00 territories
    1:55:01 being
    1:55:01 attacked
    1:55:02 for
    1:55:03 them
    1:55:03 to
    1:55:03 surrender
    1:55:04 peacefully
    1:55:05 without
    1:55:05 the
    1:55:05 loss
    1:55:05 of
    1:55:06 life
    1:55:07 and
    1:55:08 the
    1:55:09 alternative
    1:55:09 would
    1:55:09 be
    1:55:10 the
    1:55:10 near
    1:55:11 complete
    1:55:11 loss
    1:55:11 of
    1:55:12 life
    1:55:12 can
    1:55:13 you
    1:55:13 speak
    1:55:13 to
    1:55:13 that
    1:55:14 Chinggis Khan
    1:55:15 had a
    1:55:15 precise
    1:55:16 system
    1:55:17 exactly
    1:55:18 he sent
    1:55:18 in
    1:55:18 envoys
    1:55:19 first
    1:55:19 to
    1:55:19 explain
    1:55:20 to
    1:55:20 the
    1:55:20 people
    1:55:20 a little
    1:55:20 bit
    1:55:21 about
    1:55:21 the
    1:55:21 Mongols
    1:55:22 already
    1:55:23 much
    1:55:23 was
    1:55:23 known
    1:55:24 but
    1:55:24 to
    1:55:24 explain
    1:55:24 to
    1:55:25 them
    1:55:25 that
    1:55:25 if
    1:55:26 they
    1:55:26 surrendered
    1:55:27 all
    1:55:27 the
    1:55:27 lives
    1:55:28 would
    1:55:28 be
    1:55:28 spared
    1:55:29 and
    1:55:29 they
    1:55:29 could
    1:55:30 continue
    1:55:30 in
    1:55:30 their
    1:55:31 professions
    1:55:32 it’s
    1:55:32 just
    1:55:32 that
    1:55:32 now
    1:55:33 the
    1:55:33 rulers
    1:55:33 would
    1:55:33 be
    1:55:33 the
    1:55:34 Mongols
    1:55:34 they
    1:55:34 would
    1:55:34 have
    1:55:35 to
    1:55:35 pay
    1:55:35 the
    1:55:35 taxes
    1:55:36 and
    1:55:36 usually
    1:55:36 be
    1:55:36 the
    1:55:36 same
    1:55:37 taxes
    1:55:37 they
    1:55:37 paid
    1:55:43 1000
    1:55:44 soldiers
    1:55:44 you
    1:55:45 can’t
    1:55:45 leave
    1:55:45 a
    1:55:45 detachment
    1:55:46 there
    1:55:47 so
    1:55:47 you’re
    1:55:48 going
    1:55:48 to
    1:55:48 leave
    1:55:48 the
    1:55:48 local
    1:55:49 people
    1:55:49 in
    1:55:49 charge
    1:55:50 to
    1:55:50 run
    1:55:50 their
    1:55:51 country
    1:55:52 or their
    1:55:52 city
    1:55:52 or their
    1:55:53 area
    1:55:53 the way
    1:55:53 they
    1:55:53 have
    1:55:54 done
    1:55:54 in
    1:55:54 the
    1:55:54 past
    1:55:55 he
    1:55:56 was
    1:55:56 absolutely
    1:55:57 faithful
    1:55:57 to
    1:55:57 that
    1:55:58 in
    1:55:58 one
    1:55:59 episode
    1:55:59 in
    1:55:59 the
    1:55:59 north
    1:56:00 of
    1:56:00 Persia
    1:56:01 modern
    1:56:01 Iran
    1:56:02 his
    1:56:03 son-in-law
    1:56:03 Togchar
    1:56:04 he
    1:56:05 violated
    1:56:06 that
    1:56:06 and was
    1:56:06 stealing
    1:56:07 and looting
    1:56:07 from the
    1:56:07 people
    1:56:08 who had
    1:56:08 surrendered
    1:56:10 Chinggis Khan
    1:56:11 called him
    1:56:11 in
    1:56:13 and he
    1:56:13 stripped him
    1:56:13 of his
    1:56:14 rank
    1:56:15 and he
    1:56:15 said
    1:56:16 the next
    1:56:17 city
    1:56:18 you go
    1:56:18 first
    1:56:20 as a
    1:56:20 common
    1:56:21 soldier
    1:56:21 and of course
    1:56:21 he was
    1:56:21 killed
    1:56:22 in the
    1:56:22 next
    1:56:22 battle
    1:56:23 I don’t
    1:56:23 know
    1:56:24 the name
    1:56:24 of the
    1:56:24 daughter
    1:56:25 unfortunately
    1:56:25 I’ve
    1:56:25 tried to
    1:56:26 figure
    1:56:26 that
    1:56:26 out
    1:56:26 but
    1:56:26 anyway
    1:56:27 it
    1:56:27 was
    1:56:27 a
    1:56:27 close
    1:56:28 relative
    1:56:28 to
    1:56:28 him
    1:56:29 and
    1:56:29 he
    1:56:29 was
    1:56:30 killed
    1:56:30 in
    1:56:30 the
    1:56:30 next
    1:56:30 by
    1:56:31 violating
    1:56:31 this
    1:56:31 law
    1:56:32 so
    1:56:32 that
    1:56:32 was
    1:56:32 the
    1:56:33 law
    1:56:34 so
    1:56:34 then
    1:56:34 if
    1:56:34 the
    1:56:35 city
    1:56:35 fought
    1:56:36 and
    1:56:36 the
    1:56:37 mongols
    1:56:37 won
    1:56:38 they
    1:56:38 did
    1:56:38 not
    1:56:38 kill
    1:56:39 everyone
    1:56:39 what
    1:56:39 they
    1:56:39 did
    1:56:40 was
    1:56:40 they
    1:56:40 killed
    1:56:41 all
    1:56:41 the
    1:56:41 leaders
    1:56:42 they
    1:56:43 felt
    1:56:43 like
    1:56:43 the
    1:56:43 elite
    1:56:43 had
    1:56:44 not
    1:56:44 served
    1:56:44 them
    1:56:44 well
    1:56:45 and
    1:56:45 they
    1:56:45 usually
    1:56:46 killed
    1:56:46 the
    1:56:46 army
    1:56:47 because
    1:56:47 they
    1:56:47 couldn’t
    1:56:48 incorporate
    1:56:48 the
    1:56:48 army
    1:56:48 into
    1:56:48 their
    1:56:49 own
    1:56:49 the
    1:56:50 army
    1:56:50 had
    1:56:50 failed
    1:56:51 but
    1:56:52 the
    1:56:52 one
    1:56:52 thing
    1:56:52 that
    1:56:52 they
    1:56:53 valued
    1:56:53 were
    1:56:54 all
    1:56:54 the
    1:56:55 artisans
    1:56:55 everybody
    1:56:55 who
    1:56:56 had
    1:56:56 a
    1:56:56 skill
    1:56:57 and
    1:56:57 that
    1:56:57 skill
    1:56:57 could
    1:56:58 be
    1:56:58 making
    1:56:58 a
    1:56:58 pot
    1:56:59 it
    1:56:59 can
    1:56:59 be
    1:57:00 hammering
    1:57:00 out
    1:57:00 a
    1:57:01 metal
    1:57:01 plate
    1:57:02 it
    1:57:02 can
    1:57:02 be
    1:57:03 weaving
    1:57:03 carpets
    1:57:04 it
    1:57:04 can
    1:57:04 be
    1:57:05 translating
    1:57:05 or
    1:57:05 just
    1:57:06 reading
    1:57:06 and
    1:57:06 writing
    1:57:07 every
    1:57:08 person
    1:57:08 with
    1:57:08 a
    1:57:08 skill
    1:57:09 was
    1:57:09 spared
    1:57:11 so
    1:57:12 the
    1:57:12 killing
    1:57:12 of
    1:57:12 the
    1:57:13 people
    1:57:13 who
    1:57:13 were
    1:57:14 defeated
    1:57:14 wasn’t
    1:57:14 so
    1:57:15 severe
    1:57:16 what
    1:57:16 was
    1:57:16 truly
    1:57:17 severe
    1:57:17 was
    1:57:18 if
    1:57:18 you
    1:57:18 surrendered
    1:57:19 and
    1:57:20 many
    1:57:20 of
    1:57:20 them
    1:57:20 did
    1:57:21 and
    1:57:21 they
    1:57:21 knew
    1:57:21 they
    1:57:21 would
    1:57:22 not
    1:57:22 be
    1:57:22 harmed
    1:57:23 so
    1:57:23 they’re
    1:57:23 not
    1:57:23 harmed
    1:57:23 the
    1:57:24 Mongols
    1:57:24 go on
    1:57:24 the
    1:57:25 Mongols
    1:57:25 are
    1:57:25 hundreds
    1:57:25 of
    1:57:25 miles
    1:57:26 away
    1:57:27 and
    1:57:27 forget
    1:57:28 about
    1:57:28 the
    1:57:29 Mongols
    1:57:29 Jacob
    1:57:29 Han
    1:57:29 said
    1:57:30 word
    1:57:30 that
    1:57:30 we’re
    1:57:30 supposed
    1:57:30 to
    1:57:31 send
    1:57:31 so
    1:57:31 many
    1:57:31 cows
    1:57:32 or
    1:57:32 sheep
    1:57:32 to
    1:57:32 help
    1:57:33 forget
    1:57:33 about
    1:57:33 the
    1:57:39 returned
    1:57:40 he
    1:57:41 conquered
    1:57:41 the
    1:57:41 city
    1:57:42 and
    1:57:42 he
    1:57:42 killed
    1:57:43 everyone
    1:57:44 that’s
    1:57:44 the
    1:57:44 way
    1:57:44 it
    1:57:45 worked
    1:57:45 so
    1:57:46 the
    1:57:46 most
    1:57:47 drastic
    1:57:47 slaughter
    1:57:48 happens
    1:57:49 when
    1:57:49 there’s
    1:57:49 an
    1:57:50 agreement
    1:57:51 and
    1:57:51 betrayal
    1:57:52 yes
    1:57:53 and
    1:57:54 as it
    1:57:54 turned
    1:57:54 out
    1:57:54 I
    1:57:55 would
    1:57:55 say
    1:57:55 it
    1:57:55 was
    1:57:55 more
    1:57:55 the
    1:57:56 Middle
    1:57:56 East
    1:57:57 around
    1:57:58 Iran
    1:57:58 and
    1:57:59 Afghanistan
    1:58:00 where
    1:58:00 these
    1:58:00 were
    1:58:00 the
    1:58:01 worst
    1:58:01 cases
    1:58:02 and
    1:58:04 I
    1:58:05 would
    1:58:05 say
    1:58:05 only
    1:58:06 in
    1:58:06 Afghanistan
    1:58:07 did
    1:58:07 sometimes
    1:58:07 the
    1:58:08 emotion
    1:58:08 of
    1:58:08 the
    1:58:09 slaughter
    1:58:11 take
    1:58:12 over
    1:58:12 in
    1:58:12 an
    1:58:12 unfortunate
    1:58:13 way
    1:58:13 but
    1:58:14 he
    1:58:14 had
    1:58:15 a
    1:58:15 grandson
    1:58:15 whom
    1:58:16 he
    1:58:16 loved
    1:58:16 very
    1:58:16 much
    1:58:17 and
    1:58:17 that
    1:58:18 grandson
    1:58:18 traveled
    1:58:19 with
    1:58:19 him
    1:58:19 and
    1:58:20 he
    1:58:20 had
    1:58:21 the
    1:58:21 happy
    1:58:21 childhood
    1:58:22 that
    1:58:22 Temujin
    1:58:23 had
    1:58:23 not
    1:58:23 had
    1:58:24 and
    1:58:24 I
    1:58:24 think
    1:58:25 Chinggis
    1:58:25 Han
    1:58:25 just
    1:58:26 loved
    1:58:26 that
    1:58:26 about
    1:58:27 him
    1:58:27 but
    1:58:28 in
    1:58:28 Afghanistan
    1:58:29 he
    1:58:29 was
    1:58:29 sent
    1:58:29 off
    1:58:30 to
    1:58:31 conquer
    1:58:31 the
    1:58:31 valley
    1:58:31 of
    1:58:32 Bamiyan
    1:58:32 where
    1:58:33 the
    1:58:33 great
    1:58:33 Buddhas
    1:58:33 are
    1:58:34 actually
    1:58:35 he
    1:58:35 was
    1:58:35 sent
    1:58:35 to
    1:58:36 Bamiyan
    1:58:36 and
    1:58:38 as it
    1:58:38 says in
    1:58:39 history
    1:58:40 the
    1:58:41 thumb
    1:58:41 of
    1:58:42 fate
    1:58:44 fired
    1:58:44 the
    1:58:45 arrow
    1:58:46 that
    1:58:47 shot
    1:58:47 him
    1:58:47 down
    1:58:48 he
    1:58:48 was
    1:58:49 killed
    1:58:51 and
    1:58:51 for
    1:58:52 Chinggis
    1:58:52 Han
    1:58:53 he
    1:58:53 had
    1:58:54 never
    1:58:54 lost
    1:58:54 a
    1:58:54 family
    1:58:55 member
    1:58:56 not
    1:58:56 one
    1:58:57 none
    1:58:57 of his
    1:58:57 sons
    1:58:57 none
    1:58:58 of his
    1:58:58 grandsons
    1:58:58 in
    1:58:59 battle
    1:58:59 he
    1:58:59 had
    1:59:00 not
    1:59:00 lost
    1:59:00 them
    1:59:01 and
    1:59:01 now
    1:59:01 to
    1:59:01 lose
    1:59:01 the
    1:59:02 most
    1:59:02 valuable
    1:59:03 grandson
    1:59:03 you
    1:59:04 have
    1:59:04 the
    1:59:04 one
    1:59:05 that
    1:59:05 your
    1:59:05 pride
    1:59:06 and
    1:59:06 joy
    1:59:06 in
    1:59:06 so
    1:59:07 many
    1:59:07 ways
    1:59:08 and
    1:59:08 so
    1:59:09 he
    1:59:09 called
    1:59:09 the
    1:59:09 father
    1:59:10 his
    1:59:10 own
    1:59:11 son
    1:59:11 to
    1:59:11 him
    1:59:13 and
    1:59:13 did
    1:59:13 not
    1:59:14 tell
    1:59:14 him
    1:59:14 he
    1:59:14 did
    1:59:14 not
    1:59:15 announce
    1:59:15 it
    1:59:15 to
    1:59:15 the
    1:59:16 public
    1:59:17 and
    1:59:17 the
    1:59:17 son
    1:59:18 came
    1:59:18 and
    1:59:19 the
    1:59:19 son
    1:59:19 didn’t
    1:59:19 know
    1:59:19 why
    1:59:19 he
    1:59:20 was
    1:59:20 being
    1:59:20 summoned
    1:59:21 and
    1:59:21 Chinggis
    1:59:21 Han
    1:59:22 said
    1:59:24 you
    1:59:24 have
    1:59:25 to
    1:59:25 tell
    1:59:25 me
    1:59:25 that
    1:59:27 you
    1:59:27 will
    1:59:27 not
    1:59:29 cry
    1:59:30 or
    1:59:30 moan
    1:59:32 when
    1:59:32 I
    1:59:32 tell
    1:59:32 you
    1:59:32 this
    1:59:34 but
    1:59:35 your
    1:59:35 son
    1:59:35 is
    1:59:35 no
    1:59:36 more
    1:59:39 and
    1:59:39 the
    1:59:39 father
    1:59:39 was
    1:59:40 no
    1:59:40 one
    1:59:40 was
    1:59:40 allowed
    1:59:41 to
    1:59:41 moan
    1:59:42 no
    1:59:42 one
    1:59:42 was
    1:59:42 allowed
    1:59:43 to
    1:59:43 cry
    1:59:43 no
    1:59:44 one
    1:59:44 was
    1:59:44 allowed
    1:59:44 to
    1:59:44 do
    1:59:45 anything
    1:59:46 you
    1:59:46 just
    1:59:48 he
    1:59:48 said
    1:59:49 make
    1:59:50 them
    1:59:50 cry
    1:59:52 you
    1:59:53 know
    1:59:53 he
    1:59:54 came
    1:59:54 down
    1:59:54 on
    1:59:54 the
    1:59:55 people
    1:59:55 of
    1:59:56 Afghanistan
    1:59:58 so
    1:59:59 harshly
    2:00:00 and
    2:00:00 it
    2:00:00 went
    2:00:00 on
    2:00:01 for
    2:00:01 weeks
    2:00:01 and
    2:00:02 weeks
    2:00:02 the
    2:00:02 killing
    2:00:02 in
    2:00:03 Afghanistan
    2:00:05 and
    2:00:05 then
    2:00:06 it
    2:00:06 just
    2:00:07 kind
    2:00:07 of
    2:00:07 wore
    2:00:07 itself
    2:00:08 out
    2:00:08 he
    2:00:09 recognized
    2:00:09 that
    2:00:10 he
    2:00:10 had
    2:00:10 allowed
    2:00:11 his
    2:00:11 emotions
    2:00:11 to
    2:00:12 overcome
    2:00:13 practicality
    2:00:14 and
    2:00:14 the
    2:00:15 slaughtering
    2:00:15 of
    2:00:15 these
    2:00:15 people
    2:00:15 should
    2:00:16 stop
    2:00:17 and
    2:00:17 so
    2:00:17 he
    2:00:18 did
    2:00:18 but
    2:00:18 that’s
    2:00:18 the
    2:00:18 only
    2:00:19 time
    2:00:19 I
    2:00:19 know
    2:00:19 of
    2:00:19 that
    2:00:19 he
    2:00:20 really
    2:00:20 kind
    2:00:20 of
    2:00:21 lost
    2:00:21 control
    2:00:21 of
    2:00:22 his
    2:00:22 own
    2:00:22 emotions
    2:00:24 and
    2:00:24 it’s
    2:00:25 something
    2:00:25 we can
    2:00:25 all
    2:00:26 understand
    2:00:26 but
    2:00:26 his
    2:00:27 response
    2:00:27 was
    2:00:28 truly
    2:00:29 extreme
    2:00:29 of
    2:00:30 we
    2:00:30 will
    2:00:30 not
    2:00:31 cry
    2:00:31 we
    2:00:31 will
    2:00:32 not
    2:00:32 mourn
    2:00:32 they
    2:00:33 will
    2:00:33 cry
    2:00:33 they
    2:00:34 will
    2:00:34 mourn
    2:00:35 so
    2:00:35 so
    2:00:35 so
    2:00:35 so
    2:00:35 so
    2:00:35 that
    2:00:36 so
    2:00:36 that
    2:00:37 goes
    2:00:37 against
    2:00:39 the
    2:00:40 cold
    2:00:41 rational
    2:00:41 way
    2:00:42 he
    2:00:42 approached
    2:00:44 war
    2:00:45 which
    2:00:45 is
    2:00:45 peace
    2:00:45 is
    2:00:46 offered
    2:00:48 and
    2:00:48 then
    2:00:48 betrayal
    2:00:49 is
    2:00:49 punished
    2:00:50 I
    2:00:50 I
    2:00:50 said
    2:00:50 he
    2:00:51 did
    2:00:51 not
    2:00:51 slaughter
    2:00:51 the
    2:00:51 people
    2:00:52 in
    2:00:52 peaceful
    2:00:53 towns
    2:00:53 what
    2:00:54 happened
    2:00:54 was
    2:00:55 the
    2:00:56 killing
    2:00:56 of
    2:00:56 the
    2:00:57 what
    2:00:57 people
    2:00:57 thought
    2:00:57 was the
    2:00:58 heir
    2:00:58 and he
    2:00:58 well may
    2:00:58 have
    2:00:59 been
    2:00:59 of
    2:01:00 Chinggis
    2:01:00 Han
    2:01:00 the
    2:01:01 killing
    2:01:01 of him
    2:01:02 revitalized
    2:01:03 a lot
    2:01:03 of people’s
    2:01:03 hopes
    2:01:04 and a lot
    2:01:05 of cities
    2:01:05 revolted
    2:01:06 the ones
    2:01:06 who did
    2:01:07 not revolt
    2:01:07 were not
    2:01:08 killed
    2:01:08 but the
    2:01:09 cities
    2:01:10 who revolted
    2:01:10 he killed
    2:01:11 them all
    2:01:11 there was
    2:01:12 a mass
    2:01:12 slaughter
    2:01:13 there are
    2:01:14 estimates
    2:01:14 that
    2:01:15 Genghis
    2:01:15 Khan
    2:01:16 and his
    2:01:16 Mongol
    2:01:16 empire
    2:01:17 were
    2:01:18 responsible
    2:01:18 for an
    2:01:19 estimated
    2:01:21 40 million
    2:01:21 deaths
    2:01:22 approximately
    2:01:23 10%
    2:01:23 of the
    2:01:23 world’s
    2:01:24 population
    2:01:25 so to
    2:01:26 put this
    2:01:26 number
    2:01:26 in the
    2:01:27 perspective
    2:01:27 of the
    2:01:27 modern
    2:01:28 day
    2:01:28 that
    2:01:28 would
    2:01:29 be
    2:01:29 equivalent
    2:01:30 to
    2:01:30 killing
    2:01:30 about
    2:01:31 800
    2:01:31 million
    2:01:31 people
    2:01:31 in
    2:01:32 today’s
    2:01:32 population
    2:01:34 so
    2:01:34 how
    2:01:34 should
    2:01:35 we
    2:01:35 think
    2:01:35 about
    2:01:35 the
    2:01:36 brutality
    2:01:36 of
    2:01:37 numbers
    2:01:38 like
    2:01:38 these
    2:01:39 the
    2:01:39 number
    2:01:40 itself
    2:01:40 is
    2:01:40 difficult
    2:01:41 to deal
    2:01:41 with
    2:01:42 millions
    2:01:42 of
    2:01:42 people
    2:01:42 were
    2:01:43 killed
    2:01:44 for
    2:01:44 every
    2:01:45 family
    2:01:45 that
    2:01:46 lost
    2:01:46 someone
    2:01:48 it’s
    2:01:48 a
    2:01:48 total
    2:01:49 loss
    2:01:49 there’s
    2:01:50 no
    2:01:50 it doesn’t
    2:01:50 matter
    2:01:51 what the
    2:01:51 number
    2:01:51 is
    2:01:51 it’s
    2:01:52 a
    2:01:52 tremendous
    2:01:52 loss
    2:01:53 and
    2:01:53 there
    2:01:53 was
    2:01:54 tremendous
    2:01:54 loss
    2:01:55 of
    2:01:55 life
    2:01:56 as
    2:01:56 in
    2:01:56 every
    2:01:57 war
    2:01:58 I
    2:01:58 don’t
    2:01:58 think
    2:01:58 we
    2:01:58 should
    2:01:59 judge
    2:02:00 him
    2:02:01 any
    2:02:01 differently
    2:02:02 than
    2:02:02 other
    2:02:03 conquerors
    2:02:03 in
    2:02:04 history
    2:02:04 and
    2:02:05 other
    2:02:06 countries
    2:02:06 today
    2:02:06 that
    2:02:07 fight
    2:02:07 wars
    2:02:08 including
    2:02:08 our
    2:02:08 own
    2:02:09 country
    2:02:10 if
    2:02:10 we
    2:02:10 whatever
    2:02:11 we are
    2:02:11 willing to
    2:02:12 permit
    2:02:12 our
    2:02:12 country
    2:02:13 to
    2:02:13 do
    2:02:14 we
    2:02:14 should
    2:02:14 be able
    2:02:14 to
    2:02:15 understand
    2:02:15 why
    2:02:16 Genghis
    2:02:17 Han or
    2:02:17 the
    2:02:17 Mongols
    2:02:18 did it
    2:02:19 you look
    2:02:20 today
    2:02:21 in the
    2:02:21 world
    2:02:21 people are
    2:02:22 killing
    2:02:24 children
    2:02:25 women
    2:02:26 civilians
    2:02:27 every day
    2:02:29 every day
    2:02:29 and it’s
    2:02:30 always in the name
    2:02:31 of something
    2:02:31 in the name
    2:02:32 of peace
    2:02:33 or in the name
    2:02:33 of God
    2:02:34 or in the name
    2:02:35 of our nation
    2:02:36 there are always
    2:02:37 reasons for the
    2:02:38 killing
    2:02:38 and the
    2:02:39 United States
    2:02:40 is certainly
    2:02:42 involved with
    2:02:43 that
    2:02:44 supplying the
    2:02:44 weapons for
    2:02:45 bombing people
    2:02:45 invading
    2:02:46 Afghanistan
    2:02:47 invading
    2:02:48 fighting
    2:02:50 in Iraq
    2:02:50 fighting
    2:02:52 in Syria
    2:02:54 the United States
    2:02:54 is very involved
    2:02:55 in that
    2:02:55 and it’s always
    2:02:56 oh but we’re
    2:02:56 defending democracy
    2:02:57 and yeah
    2:02:58 we brought a
    2:02:58 hell of a lot
    2:02:59 of democracy
    2:03:00 to Afghanistan
    2:03:02 we killed
    2:03:02 a lot of
    2:03:03 people
    2:03:06 you can even
    2:03:07 look back to
    2:03:08 World War II
    2:03:08 our great
    2:03:09 moment of
    2:03:10 democracy
    2:03:10 and bringing
    2:03:11 freedom and
    2:03:11 democracy
    2:03:12 to Germany
    2:03:13 we dropped
    2:03:15 atomic bombs
    2:03:15 on Hiroshima
    2:03:16 and Nagasaki
    2:03:17 those were not
    2:03:18 military targets
    2:03:19 we were not
    2:03:19 doing anything
    2:03:20 strategic
    2:03:22 against the
    2:03:22 country
    2:03:22 other than
    2:03:23 terrorizing
    2:03:24 the country
    2:03:25 by killing
    2:03:26 women and
    2:03:26 children
    2:03:28 that’s America
    2:03:29 that’s us
    2:03:30 my father
    2:03:31 fought in that
    2:03:31 war
    2:03:32 in fact he
    2:03:32 fought in all
    2:03:32 he fought in
    2:03:33 Vietnam
    2:03:33 he fought
    2:03:34 in that war
    2:03:34 and he fought
    2:03:35 in Korea
    2:03:37 and he was a
    2:03:39 good American
    2:03:39 I mean there’s
    2:03:39 nothing wrong
    2:03:40 with it
    2:03:41 and I’m not
    2:03:42 I don’t even
    2:03:42 condemn
    2:03:44 America
    2:03:44 but I’m saying
    2:03:45 how can we
    2:03:46 condemn one
    2:03:47 set of people
    2:03:48 for doing it
    2:03:49 and then excuse
    2:03:50 it in ourselves
    2:03:51 but we tend
    2:03:52 to do that
    2:03:53 we especially
    2:03:54 barbarian people
    2:03:55 people from
    2:03:55 the steppe
    2:03:56 for example
    2:03:57 we tend to
    2:03:58 demonize them
    2:03:59 or any enemy
    2:04:00 we have
    2:04:01 we tend to
    2:04:02 demonize them
    2:04:03 you said a lot
    2:04:03 of interesting
    2:04:04 things there
    2:04:05 so one
    2:04:06 is just
    2:04:07 the very nature
    2:04:08 of war
    2:04:08 that war is
    2:04:09 hell
    2:04:13 that sometimes
    2:04:13 things like
    2:04:14 dropping the
    2:04:15 atomic bomb
    2:04:16 which is
    2:04:17 an act of
    2:04:19 essentially terror
    2:04:20 in the same
    2:04:21 style as
    2:04:21 Genghis Khan
    2:04:24 in an attempt
    2:04:25 to prevent
    2:04:25 further
    2:04:27 war
    2:04:28 it’s a
    2:04:29 justification
    2:04:30 people are
    2:04:30 always fighting
    2:04:31 for peace
    2:04:32 always fighting
    2:04:33 for peace
    2:04:34 World War I
    2:04:34 was to make
    2:04:35 the world
    2:04:35 safe for
    2:04:35 democracy
    2:04:36 and peace
    2:04:37 and then World War II
    2:04:38 but what happened
    2:04:39 we went to war
    2:04:40 in Korea
    2:04:41 we went to war
    2:04:41 in Vietnam
    2:04:42 we bombed
    2:04:43 Cambodia
    2:04:43 we bombed
    2:04:44 Laos
    2:04:45 we bombed
    2:04:45 Afghanistan
    2:04:46 we bombed
    2:04:46 Syria
    2:04:48 we bombed
    2:04:48 Iraq
    2:04:49 we’re always
    2:04:50 fighting for
    2:04:50 you know
    2:04:51 and I’m not
    2:04:52 a pacifist
    2:04:53 I am not
    2:04:54 I grew up
    2:04:55 surrounded with
    2:04:56 soldiers
    2:04:57 and I’m not
    2:04:57 a pacifist
    2:04:59 but I try to be
    2:05:00 a realist
    2:05:01 that all nations
    2:05:02 kill
    2:05:03 it happens
    2:05:04 everywhere
    2:05:05 so can we
    2:05:06 universally also
    2:05:07 then
    2:05:07 in the way
    2:05:08 you’re passionately
    2:05:09 criticizing
    2:05:10 wars of the
    2:05:10 20th century
    2:05:11 can we also
    2:05:12 criticize
    2:05:13 Genghis Khan
    2:05:13 and Alexander
    2:05:14 the Great
    2:05:15 and the wars
    2:05:16 fought by Caesar
    2:05:17 and others
    2:05:18 in the Roman
    2:05:18 Empire
    2:05:19 that they’re
    2:05:20 essentially
    2:05:22 wars of
    2:05:23 conquest
    2:05:25 and in
    2:05:25 some
    2:05:26 human way
    2:05:27 were not
    2:05:27 necessary
    2:05:29 or were not
    2:05:30 defensive
    2:05:31 they’re just
    2:05:31 part of this
    2:05:32 human drive
    2:05:33 to expand
    2:05:34 to explore
    2:05:35 and to
    2:05:36 accumulate
    2:05:36 power
    2:05:37 maybe this
    2:05:38 is a good
    2:05:38 place to also
    2:05:39 talk about
    2:05:40 somebody I
    2:05:41 respect a lot
    2:05:41 Dan Carlin
    2:05:43 of Hardcore
    2:05:44 History Podcast
    2:05:45 he did an
    2:05:46 amazing series
    2:05:47 on Genghis Khan
    2:05:48 and the Mongols
    2:05:49 called Wrath
    2:05:50 of the Khans
    2:05:50 I recommend
    2:05:51 people go
    2:05:51 listen to it
    2:05:53 so he had
    2:05:54 a lot of
    2:05:55 interesting ideas
    2:05:55 there
    2:05:55 one of them
    2:05:56 he presented
    2:05:56 the idea
    2:05:57 of historical
    2:05:59 arsonists
    2:06:00 so referring
    2:06:00 to figures
    2:06:01 who cause
    2:06:02 immense destruction
    2:06:02 but also
    2:06:03 paved the way
    2:06:03 for new
    2:06:04 developments
    2:06:05 and progress
    2:06:07 basically
    2:06:08 making this
    2:06:09 complicated case
    2:06:10 that destruction
    2:06:11 often in history
    2:06:11 paves the way
    2:06:12 for progress
    2:06:13 so what do you
    2:06:13 think about
    2:06:14 this idea
    2:06:15 creative
    2:06:15 destruction
    2:06:16 it certainly
    2:06:17 works in some
    2:06:18 aspects of life
    2:06:19 even with
    2:06:19 ourselves
    2:06:20 for example
    2:06:20 if we can
    2:06:21 creatively
    2:06:22 destroy some
    2:06:22 of our
    2:06:22 habits
    2:06:23 and build
    2:06:24 new ones
    2:06:24 it sometimes
    2:06:25 works
    2:06:26 or we can
    2:06:26 destroy
    2:06:27 relationships
    2:06:28 that we’re
    2:06:28 in
    2:06:29 in order to
    2:06:30 create new
    2:06:30 ones
    2:06:30 it can work
    2:06:31 when you start
    2:06:32 applying it
    2:06:33 to world
    2:06:33 history
    2:06:34 it does
    2:06:35 become
    2:06:36 a little bit
    2:06:36 more difficult
    2:06:37 world
    2:06:38 i certainly
    2:06:39 think that
    2:06:40 these episodes
    2:06:41 create great
    2:06:41 changes
    2:06:42 you can see
    2:06:43 great changes
    2:06:43 that happen
    2:06:44 because of
    2:06:44 the mongol
    2:06:45 empire
    2:06:47 now whether
    2:06:48 or not
    2:06:48 that’s a good
    2:06:49 reason for
    2:06:50 the mongol
    2:06:50 empire having
    2:06:51 happened
    2:06:53 it seems like
    2:06:53 a bit of a
    2:06:54 stretch
    2:06:55 for me
    2:06:56 you know
    2:06:58 the mongols
    2:06:58 helped to
    2:06:59 unify many
    2:07:00 countries
    2:07:01 you can think
    2:07:02 korea had been
    2:07:03 three basically
    2:07:04 kingdoms
    2:07:04 pushed them
    2:07:04 together
    2:07:06 everything
    2:07:06 that you see
    2:07:07 in china
    2:07:07 today was a
    2:07:08 part of
    2:07:08 the mongol
    2:07:09 empire
    2:07:09 they put
    2:07:10 together
    2:07:10 north china
    2:07:11 south china
    2:07:13 tibet manchuria
    2:07:15 and it was
    2:07:15 a little bit
    2:07:16 larger under
    2:07:16 the mongols
    2:07:18 even russia
    2:07:18 with so many
    2:07:20 little kingdoms
    2:07:21 and duchies
    2:07:22 and dukedoms
    2:07:23 and the center
    2:07:23 had been into
    2:07:24 ukraine
    2:07:25 and kiev
    2:07:26 and they
    2:07:26 shifted the
    2:07:27 focus out
    2:07:28 of ukraine
    2:07:28 and more
    2:07:28 towards into
    2:07:29 what we
    2:07:29 call russia
    2:07:30 now
    2:07:30 and they
    2:07:31 began the
    2:07:31 process of
    2:07:32 the unification
    2:07:33 it had a
    2:07:34 great impact
    2:07:34 on the
    2:07:35 country
    2:07:36 so in a
    2:07:37 way it’s a
    2:07:38 new creation
    2:07:39 yes it does
    2:07:39 arrive out of
    2:07:40 the destruction
    2:07:41 but also i think
    2:07:42 we need to look
    2:07:42 where does the
    2:07:43 destruction come
    2:07:44 from and it
    2:07:44 often comes
    2:07:45 because the
    2:07:46 powers around
    2:07:47 them have been
    2:07:49 so debilitated
    2:07:50 and so corrupted
    2:07:52 and so decayed
    2:07:53 of their own
    2:07:55 lack of moral
    2:07:57 fiber that
    2:07:58 it was easy
    2:07:59 to conquer
    2:07:59 them
    2:08:00 case of
    2:08:01 kubla khan
    2:08:01 finally conquered
    2:08:02 all of china
    2:08:03 he was
    2:08:04 conquering
    2:08:05 a decayed
    2:08:06 dynasty
    2:08:07 when the
    2:08:08 mongols
    2:08:08 conquered
    2:08:09 baghdad
    2:08:09 and overthrew
    2:08:10 the caliph
    2:08:11 they were
    2:08:12 conquering a
    2:08:13 very decayed
    2:08:13 institution
    2:08:15 no one likes
    2:08:16 war and i
    2:08:16 certainly don’t
    2:08:17 like war but
    2:08:18 i’m not a hundred
    2:08:18 percent against it
    2:08:19 i think that there
    2:08:20 are times
    2:08:23 that people are
    2:08:24 going to do it
    2:08:24 for their own
    2:08:26 protection if
    2:08:27 nothing else
    2:08:28 or their of
    2:08:28 their family
    2:08:29 and it’s
    2:08:30 justified in
    2:08:30 that sense
    2:08:31 to themselves
    2:08:32 it may not
    2:08:32 be justified
    2:08:33 in a world
    2:08:34 sense but i
    2:08:36 just i just
    2:08:36 make the case
    2:08:37 for being
    2:08:38 tolerant of
    2:08:39 what the
    2:08:39 mongols did
    2:08:40 if we can
    2:08:41 tolerate what
    2:08:41 the americans
    2:08:42 did and i
    2:08:43 am american
    2:08:43 true and
    2:08:44 true there’s
    2:08:44 no question
    2:08:45 about that
    2:08:47 but we
    2:08:48 overlook all
    2:08:48 of our things
    2:08:49 that we did
    2:08:50 that’s interesting
    2:08:51 for example
    2:08:52 in afghanistan
    2:08:53 we were there
    2:08:54 for some 20
    2:08:55 years we had
    2:08:55 made the
    2:08:56 taliban stronger
    2:08:57 before when
    2:08:58 they were
    2:08:58 fighting against
    2:08:58 the russians
    2:08:59 and then we
    2:09:00 kicked them
    2:09:00 out and
    2:09:00 then they
    2:09:01 kicked us
    2:09:02 out but
    2:09:03 some of the
    2:09:03 taliban leaders
    2:09:04 are from the
    2:09:05 jadran clan
    2:09:06 the descended
    2:09:08 from jamuk
    2:09:10 family from
    2:09:11 his clan
    2:09:12 this is what i
    2:09:13 mean when i
    2:09:14 say that the
    2:09:16 ramifications from
    2:09:17 that time are
    2:09:18 still with us
    2:09:19 and we don’t
    2:09:20 even see it
    2:09:21 and when
    2:09:23 saddam hussein
    2:09:23 went on television
    2:09:24 for the last
    2:09:25 time in iraq
    2:09:26 to plead with
    2:09:27 his people
    2:09:28 he said
    2:09:29 the mongols
    2:09:31 many americans
    2:09:31 the mongols
    2:09:32 have returned
    2:09:34 the mongols
    2:09:34 have returned
    2:09:36 and he said
    2:09:36 the americans
    2:09:37 are just the
    2:09:37 new mongols
    2:09:40 and i can see
    2:09:41 it i don’t
    2:09:42 accept it
    2:09:43 but i can see
    2:09:44 how people
    2:09:46 think if we
    2:09:46 can be honest
    2:09:47 with ourselves
    2:09:48 and strip away
    2:09:49 our own lies
    2:09:50 about ourselves
    2:09:51 then perhaps
    2:09:51 we will be
    2:09:52 more ethical
    2:09:53 in our dealings
    2:09:53 with other
    2:09:54 people
    2:09:55 uh and
    2:09:56 and there’s
    2:09:56 effects that
    2:09:57 you could
    2:09:57 talk about
    2:09:58 i mean the
    2:09:58 unification of
    2:09:59 china
    2:10:00 mongols or
    2:10:00 otherwise is a
    2:10:01 very important
    2:10:01 step in the
    2:10:02 history of china
    2:10:04 that permeates
    2:10:05 to today
    2:10:07 and then there’s
    2:10:07 a lot of stuff
    2:10:08 that we’ll talk
    2:10:09 about the
    2:10:09 ideas of
    2:10:10 religious freedom
    2:10:11 the the
    2:10:12 postal network
    2:10:12 the the
    2:10:13 trade routes
    2:10:14 all of this
    2:10:15 there’s a lot
    2:10:16 of progressive
    2:10:17 consequences
    2:10:18 of the mongol
    2:10:20 um conquest
    2:10:21 in the mongol
    2:10:21 empire
    2:10:22 we’ll talk about
    2:10:23 that but let’s
    2:10:24 linger on the
    2:10:25 on the heavier
    2:10:25 topic for a little
    2:10:26 bit longer
    2:10:27 like we were
    2:10:27 talking about
    2:10:28 dan carlin
    2:10:31 he was uh
    2:10:34 critical of your
    2:10:34 work a little
    2:10:35 bit showing it
    2:10:36 respect but also
    2:10:36 a little bit
    2:10:37 critical as
    2:10:38 being a bit
    2:10:40 to um
    2:10:42 um
    2:10:43 emphasizing and
    2:10:45 focusing a lot
    2:10:46 on the positive
    2:10:47 impacts correctly
    2:10:48 and accurately
    2:10:50 but not giving
    2:10:51 enough air time
    2:10:52 or describing
    2:10:53 the the
    2:10:55 brutality of the
    2:10:55 killing
    2:10:57 the the hell
    2:10:57 that is war
    2:10:59 so can you
    2:11:00 understand his
    2:11:00 criticism
    2:11:01 guilty
    2:11:02 i’m guilty
    2:11:03 steel manna
    2:11:06 carlin’s a very
    2:11:07 smart man i
    2:11:07 respect him very
    2:11:08 much and i like
    2:11:09 him tremendously
    2:11:10 and and and
    2:11:11 he’s right but
    2:11:13 that is not what i
    2:11:14 want to stress it’s
    2:11:15 not that i want to
    2:11:16 deny the the
    2:11:17 killing it’s not
    2:11:18 that i want to
    2:11:19 deny the warfare
    2:11:20 but that’s a pretty
    2:11:21 much the same
    2:11:21 everywhere in the
    2:11:22 world and how
    2:11:23 much do we need
    2:11:24 to say about
    2:11:27 how the wall
    2:11:27 was broken
    2:11:29 down how
    2:11:30 this unit was
    2:11:31 defeated and
    2:11:32 no it’s what
    2:11:33 comes afterwards
    2:11:35 you know just as
    2:11:35 the story of our
    2:11:37 life begins far
    2:11:38 earlier than we
    2:11:39 are born the
    2:11:39 story of our
    2:11:40 life goes on for
    2:11:41 a long time
    2:11:43 afterwards if you
    2:11:44 have a nation of
    2:11:45 one million people
    2:11:47 and you are ruling
    2:11:49 over hundreds of
    2:11:50 millions of people
    2:11:52 hundreds of millions
    2:11:53 of people
    2:11:55 china russia the
    2:11:56 middle east you
    2:11:57 do not do that
    2:11:59 through warfare you
    2:12:00 conquer them initially
    2:12:01 through warfare but
    2:12:02 you do not rule them
    2:12:03 through warfare you’ve
    2:12:04 got to be offering
    2:12:05 something that they
    2:12:06 want something that
    2:12:08 they like and all
    2:12:09 the things you you’ve
    2:12:10 mentioned from the
    2:12:11 the trading system the
    2:12:12 postal system the
    2:12:13 religious freedom the
    2:12:14 rights of women the
    2:12:15 rights of minorities
    2:12:17 these were things
    2:12:18 that people responded
    2:12:20 to and so the
    2:12:21 world benefited
    2:12:24 tremendously from the
    2:12:25 life of chingis
    2:12:26 han but all we want
    2:12:27 to talk about and i
    2:12:28 don’t deny it is the
    2:12:30 conquest part okay
    2:12:32 that’s 20 years if it
    2:12:33 went on for another
    2:12:36 150 years there’s more
    2:12:37 to the story than just
    2:12:39 conquest and uh there
    2:12:40 is a point that you
    2:12:42 correctly identify and
    2:12:43 you’ve also written about
    2:12:44 native americans and so
    2:12:47 on that history does
    2:12:48 seem to be written by
    2:12:50 the non-barbarians but
    2:12:52 in reality history is
    2:12:53 not divided in this
    2:12:54 kind of way and the
    2:12:55 barbarians are not
    2:12:57 these crude brutal
    2:12:59 plain simple people
    2:13:00 that there is a
    2:13:02 sophisticated deep
    2:13:03 culture within them as
    2:13:04 well yes all the
    2:13:07 different uh kinds of
    2:13:07 peoples that came from
    2:13:09 the step yes i guess
    2:13:10 if there’s one thing
    2:13:11 that i try to do in
    2:13:13 my career of writing it
    2:13:14 is to get us to
    2:13:16 recognize the
    2:13:17 importance of tribal
    2:13:18 people in the history
    2:13:19 of the world we tend
    2:13:20 to have two categories
    2:13:21 for them there are
    2:13:22 barbarians who kill
    2:13:23 people and eat one
    2:13:25 another or they’re
    2:13:26 victims and we should
    2:13:27 feel sorry from them
    2:13:28 and nostalgic about
    2:13:29 everything about them
    2:13:30 and maybe wear some of
    2:13:31 their beads or some of
    2:13:33 their clothing to show
    2:13:35 how much we sympathize
    2:13:35 with their suffering
    2:13:37 that’s the two roles for
    2:13:39 tribal people but i’m
    2:13:40 trying to show them in a
    2:13:41 different light that
    2:13:43 they conquered yes
    2:13:44 there were conquerors
    2:13:45 but they also created
    2:13:46 great things in the
    2:13:47 history of the world
    2:13:49 and that the mongol
    2:13:51 empire was really the
    2:13:52 first modern empire in
    2:13:54 the way that i’m putting
    2:13:56 together that story and
    2:13:57 chingis han was the
    2:13:59 genius behind that who
    2:14:01 created this and this
    2:14:02 idea that there could
    2:14:04 be one world in which
    2:14:05 there would be one set
    2:14:06 of supreme law but all
    2:14:07 people could follow their
    2:14:08 own law you could have
    2:14:10 any religion you wanted
    2:14:11 but ultimately you had
    2:14:13 to obey kind of the
    2:14:14 great ethics of the sky
    2:14:16 and there were things
    2:14:17 like that about his
    2:14:19 vision that i think
    2:14:20 very few people in
    2:14:23 history had a vision
    2:14:24 and i look around the
    2:14:26 world today and in my
    2:14:30 lifetime since the time
    2:14:32 of roosebel’s death i
    2:14:34 look around i don’t see
    2:14:36 much vision i see lots of
    2:14:38 slogans lots of talks
    2:14:40 policy papers oh my
    2:14:42 god we can produce it
    2:14:45 where’s the vision it’s
    2:14:46 always we’re going to
    2:14:47 have peace and we’re
    2:14:47 going to have a better
    2:14:49 life and you know vote
    2:14:50 for me or vote for my
    2:14:51 party and we’re we’re
    2:14:53 really for the people and
    2:14:55 we’re what the heck are
    2:14:57 they talking about there
    2:14:59 is no vision there so
    2:15:00 what is this country what
    2:15:01 should this country be what
    2:15:03 is this world how should
    2:15:05 we know no vision well
    2:15:06 those figures i mean
    2:15:07 they’re rare through
    2:15:08 history the legendary
    2:15:09 figures that come along
    2:15:11 that have vision but are
    2:15:15 able to uh capture the
    2:15:16 public imagination and
    2:15:17 heart and mind with the
    2:15:19 vision but also have the
    2:15:22 skill to uh execute and
    2:15:23 implement it and all of
    2:15:26 those things combined and
    2:15:28 have the mental fortitude not
    2:15:30 to be corrupted by success
    2:15:32 along the way all of those
    2:15:33 things that’s very rare in
    2:15:35 history and when they come
    2:15:36 along they change the
    2:15:38 direction of history if we
    2:15:39 could linger on some of
    2:15:42 these world defining ideas
    2:15:46 religious freedom is it’s
    2:15:48 just surprising and
    2:15:51 incredible that genghis khan
    2:15:54 was able to enforce uh
    2:15:57 inspire the value of
    2:15:58 religious freedom throughout
    2:15:59 all of these disparate lands
    2:16:01 from religion was a very
    2:16:03 powerful force so can you
    2:16:06 speak to that some empires in
    2:16:07 history and some rulers have
    2:16:09 been a tolerant of various
    2:16:10 groups i mean rome to some
    2:16:11 extent was reasonably
    2:16:13 tolerant of different sects and
    2:16:14 religions not of the
    2:16:17 christians but reasonably but
    2:16:19 what happened with chingis
    2:16:22 khan the first campaign he had
    2:16:25 outside of mongolia was for the
    2:16:26 uigur people who lived in western
    2:16:28 china they at that time were
    2:16:31 being ruled by actually we had
    2:16:32 mentioned before the naiman king
    2:16:35 tai yang han his son guthluk had
    2:16:40 fled no good worthless son but
    2:16:44 guthluk had fled into what is today
    2:16:49 the area around kyrgyzstan and they
    2:16:51 ruled over the uigur people he had
    2:16:53 been a christian the naiman had been a
    2:16:55 christian tribe but he converted to
    2:16:56 buddhism well his subjects were
    2:16:59 muslim and he outlawed the muslim
    2:17:01 religion and he made all kinds of
    2:17:03 things happen so the uigurs sent a
    2:17:05 delegation to chingis han at this
    2:17:07 time they all they knew that the
    2:17:08 emperors of china were too weak to
    2:17:10 protect them so they sent delegation
    2:17:12 to chingis han and asked him to come
    2:17:15 and save them from him and he did he
    2:17:17 sent down a detachment he didn’t
    2:17:19 actually go himself he sent detachment
    2:17:21 down there they drove guthluk from
    2:17:24 power guthluk fed down towards pakistan
    2:17:26 in that direction they caught up with
    2:17:28 him they killed him that’s that’s what
    2:17:31 the mongols did you know and then chingis
    2:17:34 han made the first law that he ever made
    2:17:36 for people outside of mongolia so up to
    2:17:39 this point it’s been tribal law and he
    2:17:42 saw as we mentioned before that for the
    2:17:44 tribes were mostly fighting over women so
    2:17:46 you outlaw the kidnapping of women you
    2:17:49 outlaw the sale of women and you cut down
    2:17:51 on a lot of the feuding but he saw that
    2:17:55 civilized quote-unquote people fought a
    2:17:57 lot over religion they weren’t fighting
    2:18:00 over women they fight over religion and
    2:18:02 so he made the law now this was a very
    2:18:04 interesting talk about religious freedom
    2:18:06 religious freedom comes in many forms
    2:18:11 one form is to allow institutions to do
    2:18:13 what they want so we’re going to allow
    2:18:17 the the the the mormons and the catholics
    2:18:19 and the jews and the muslims each to do
    2:18:21 what they want and the organized churches
    2:18:24 that they have his law was not that it
    2:18:26 presumed that it allowed that but he said
    2:18:30 every person has the right to choose their
    2:18:34 religion no one can stop them no one can
    2:18:37 force them the idea that it was individual
    2:18:39 choice no one in history had ever thought
    2:18:42 of that that it belonged to the person i mean
    2:18:44 that’s a really really powerful statement yes
    2:18:46 that alone i mean that’s why you talk about
    2:18:49 thomas jefferson being deeply inspired by
    2:18:54 genghis khan that religious freedom yes of
    2:18:57 the individual but it’s like such a powerful
    2:19:01 illustration manifestation of just individual
    2:19:05 freedom period yes if if you in the in the
    2:19:10 world in history are allowed to practice any
    2:19:16 religion you want that’s a i mean that is
    2:19:18 like one of the biggest way to say that the
    2:19:20 individual is fundamentally free in this
    2:19:24 society yes it was a great source of power
    2:19:26 for him also you know i don’t say that he
    2:19:29 did this because of some ideological reason
    2:19:31 just like he didn’t outlaw the kidnapping of
    2:19:34 women for ideological reasons he didn’t come to
    2:19:36 it through studying ideas of moral right he
    2:19:38 came to it through practical experience of
    2:19:41 life his mother was kidnapped his wife was
    2:19:44 kidnapped he knew that that was a crime
    2:19:46 against every ethics that you can think of
    2:19:49 in every form of morality that’s why he did
    2:19:51 it not for ideological reasons but practical
    2:19:54 reasons it hurt people it hurt people it was
    2:19:57 the same with religion he gave this right to
    2:20:00 everybody because it was going to be their
    2:20:03 own personal right to keep them from being hurt and
    2:20:06 then that gave him tremendous support from
    2:20:10 minorities of many types and so they flocked to
    2:20:13 him minorities after that this was a minority
    2:20:16 effort of the muslim uigurs to come to him many
    2:20:19 people flocked to him for the same reason for
    2:20:21 that kind of religious freedom so that religious
    2:20:23 freedom and also the other things you mentioned
    2:20:27 they create a stable society and that allows
    2:20:32 him with a small army to administer a large empire
    2:20:37 and also i will say in a more more practical political sort of way of
    2:20:42 thinking he recognized the power of having a balance of power of like
    2:20:45 shiite and sunni that both
    2:20:51 are going to be allowed equal rights one is not dominant over the other and
    2:20:54 christians and jews they all have well
    2:20:59 that keeps the society from fragmenting against him
    2:21:03 or uniting against him and it’s a kind of fragmentation
    2:21:07 that he’s taken advantage of i don’t think that was his main reason but i do
    2:21:11 think he was quite aware of that that you give every religion the right
    2:21:18 and unfortunately he the only religion he didn’t recognize as a religion was
    2:21:24 confucianism he said what do they do you know the taoists can do magic on the
    2:21:29 earth and they can give people magic formulas and to cure it or they have all
    2:21:32 this kind of stuff going on well what do the confucianists do so
    2:21:35 still the people could be confucianists that was okay
    2:21:38 but he didn’t expend all the tax-free rights
    2:21:43 see that was another thing he dropped all taxes on religious institutions
    2:21:48 all types but uh since the confucianists were not necessarily
    2:21:50 classified but then of course eventually that was
    2:21:54 that was abused so much because the religions were then
    2:21:58 again everybody to donate property you can still use it you can still farm your
    2:22:02 land but it’s ours and now you don’t have to pay taxes on it you just give us some
    2:22:05 money you know got abused but it started off as a good idea
    2:22:10 um and and genuinely as i understand maybe you can correct me
    2:22:16 of course there’s the practical aspect of the those those policies but he himself was
    2:22:19 just curious about the different religions as well
    2:22:26 uh as i understand so he never chose any religion except the one from which he
    2:22:26 no
    2:22:33 came i guess i mean can you describe what he believed spiritually himself
    2:22:38 it’s interesting you know we said after the the death of shirimon his grandson in bamayan
    2:22:44 and the slaughter that followed that he went through a new phase in which he summoned
    2:22:53 religious scholars of all sorts of famous chong chang from china who uh despised but anyway
    2:22:59 he came and with all of his magic formulas for things and then a bunch of various muslim leaders came
    2:23:06 so ching ishan was exploring all these different religions and not just in a simple way he had
    2:23:14 organized public lectures from these people and public debates not antagonistic debates but discussions
    2:23:20 among groups of people who hated each other would never discuss anything and suddenly this powerful man
    2:23:27 summons them and he has to say okay well explain your religion explain yours and even sometimes you
    2:23:33 can’t just explain it in terms of your own scripture what do you say to the people who believe it so he
    2:23:40 was exploring but no he never changed at all he was an animist we would say that’s not the only term
    2:23:47 we know to use early in life he worshiped that mountain where he took refuge several times
    2:23:54 burhan haldun burhan haldun was the great refuge of his life he would go to the top he would pray he
    2:24:00 would take off his hat he would take off his belt he would stand there before the sky and pray also
    2:24:05 later on actually this became rather dramatic he would sometimes go away to pray should we invade
    2:24:11 these people and so all of the subjects are waiting to hear what’s god going to tell ching ishan when
    2:24:17 he goes up the mountain you know so there are episodes like that but he was very sincere but i think
    2:24:23 what happened the mongols have so many spirits in the water the mountains everything around them and you
    2:24:31 have to know them personally and pray to them know what they like and don’t like and should you sing to
    2:24:37 them or should you offer some milk products or what do you do you have to know them well you get away
    2:24:43 from mongolia and this was a problem in china they didn’t know the spirits this caused great consternation
    2:24:48 for the mongols you’ve got a land here and the spirits don’t like us they’re hostile lands we don’t even
    2:24:54 know who they are we don’t know these spirits in china it took a long time and so gradually ching ishan
    2:25:03 he’s kind of moved from just the spirit of the mountain that he worshiped which remained his main focus of
    2:25:09 worship his whole life he removed that to the sky that was the one universal spirit it was everywhere
    2:25:15 in the world the sky was the same for every people and so for the mongolians in their language
    2:25:23 the word for sky and the word for heaven and the word for god and the word for weather are all the
    2:25:31 same tingr tingr and so or mongkhoch tingr in the case of the eternal sky when they’re talking about in
    2:25:41 their religious terms the eternal blue sky so he he became more universalistic in this animist vision
    2:25:48 of the world and so then the sky could embrace all religions all religions and all people were trying
    2:25:55 to attain the same form of enlightenment well enlightenment is too specific a word but the same
    2:26:03 form of moral life and guidance from the sky he felt that each person knew morality each person could
    2:26:08 communicate and know morality within themselves they didn’t have to just be taught it by somebody from
    2:26:16 a book and in fact as one of his uh grandson monkhan said you know you people talking to all the others
    2:26:22 to the christians the jews the muslims the taoists said you people have your scriptures and you don’t live by
    2:26:29 them we have our spirits and our shamans and our drums and we live by them and i think it’s true
    2:26:36 it’s just as throughout this conversation it’s just blowing my mind that the the kid from the mongol step
    2:26:43 that lost everything right lost just had the hardest of lives is is now
    2:26:55 yes a military genius but also this kind of sage type character to understand the value of religious
    2:27:01 freedom i mean there is a cynical way to see all these things because he he did awfully a lot of
    2:27:08 things that look like he’s a feminist yeah and you’re saying well the cynical way to see that
    2:27:13 is what he saw the value of promoting women in positions of power because they create a more
    2:27:18 stable society and you know there’s less power struggles all that but the reality is
    2:27:24 there’s a lot of things that look awfully progressive about the things he’s implemented and they stayed i’m
    2:27:30 not trying to say it in modern terms you know when you have one million people you’ve got to use every
    2:27:35 one and the men are fighting and so he left women to administer a lot of things inside the country the
    2:27:42 economy in particular and then in and some of the ancillary turkic kingdoms around the mongols such
    2:27:49 as the ongut the tar harlek and different mong and the uyghur even were administered by his daughters
    2:27:55 primarily and then his his wives were in charge of administering the land of mongolia itself and
    2:28:03 handling the economy so he was using the women but uh in a very practical way but it wasn’t necessarily in
    2:28:09 our ideological way i think it’s the same with the environment i’m not trying to say he was
    2:28:16 environmentalist in our modern way but he passed very strict laws about the use of water and also
    2:28:23 about not using water that you couldn’t move water into an area to irrigate it that was violating the
    2:28:28 earth and violating the water so they think a lot of the historians they think the mongols are so stupid
    2:28:34 they let the irrigation system be destroyed no it takes more work to destroy an irrigation system than
    2:28:39 it does to create it they destroyed those systems out of a policy and that was this is going to return
    2:28:47 to pasture land this lasted a kubla khan was the one who changed that actually and then started allowing
    2:28:53 going for more irrigation and the movement of water and things but but chingis khan we can’t use these
    2:28:59 modern terms of uh like a human rights crusader or that i’m trying to say is that the democrat the
    2:29:05 modern sense or environmentalist or a feminist but all of this was a part of it another part was the
    2:29:14 protection of envoys he said every envoy every ambassador every messenger is protected from arrest from torture
    2:29:25 and from killing and if you kill one of ours we will wipe you out and in 1240 that was the destruction
    2:29:32 of kiev i mean this is after chingis khan already you know there’s a good day khan his son uh the happy happy
    2:29:38 drunk a good day khan his army had come there under subadai great great the greatest general of the
    2:29:43 history of the world i would say subadai a person who’s not so that was chingis khan who was for the
    2:29:48 military part he was the greatest strategist for organizing everything together but the military
    2:29:53 part was subadai so subadai had been there and they sent in an ambassador who happened to be a woman
    2:30:00 now some of the western sources say a daughter of chingis khan i have no evidence of that and i don’t
    2:30:05 quite believe it but maybe she was kin to him or something some say she was a daughter of chingis
    2:30:10 khan others say she was a witch the people of kiev decided she was a witch and killed her
    2:30:22 okay that’s it that’s it kiev was destroyed for killing a mongol envoy the envoy is a method of
    2:30:28 communication yes in diplomacy yes and so if you destroy that method of communication or disrespect it
    2:30:36 right in any way exactly and that sends a signal to everybody else yes send an envoy you respect it
    2:30:42 that’s why these these plans i say that the making of the modern world most of the ideas have we accept
    2:30:48 the idea we don’t do the practice all of us except today diplomatic freedom diplomats are killed around
    2:30:55 the world yearly we accept the idea of female equality and emancipation of every way but in fact
    2:31:02 they’re enslaved in many parts of the world today uh we we accept the idea of religious freedom oh but
    2:31:08 not those people that’s not theirs isn’t good their religion isn’t right but but our religion we will
    2:31:15 tolerate them but they got to be more like no we only say these things but the world still hasn’t achieved
    2:31:23 some and he did achieve these within his empire in his time he achieved those so one of the things we’ve
    2:31:32 mentioned but i think is really really fascinating and maybe an immeasurable impact uh that jenghis khan had
    2:31:38 is on trade and uh you know you could say a lot of stuff but basically establishing a unified trade network
    2:31:46 that spanned i don’t know how many thousands of kilometers uh and there’s a lot of interesting
    2:31:54 things that were done to enable that trade one is providing uh safety and security of not just the
    2:32:01 envoys like we mentioned for communication in the military context but for the merchants can you speak
    2:32:09 to the what jenghis khan did for the trade network connected to the silk road as an example nomads in
    2:32:14 general are are interested in trade and throughout most of history they have been the traders who carried the
    2:32:21 goods from one city to another one oasis to another and so the mongols were also extremely interested in
    2:32:26 and extremely dependent they could create very little in their home country they couldn’t grow hardly
    2:32:32 anything and they didn’t have the technological skills for most of the crafts so they’re very dependent
    2:32:40 on trade well they raised the status of merchants very high this was particularly a problem in the chinese
    2:32:46 world it wasn’t so much in the christian or the or the muslim world but certainly in the chinese world
    2:32:52 where merchants were considered extremely low and all of a sudden he raises them up above scholars
    2:32:58 they’re going to have certain rights for example they get to be taxed one time whatever the national
    2:33:05 taxes that’s it they’re not taxed every time they stop in some new town and he he created a set of
    2:33:13 what we would call rest houses or or um recuperation centers where they could get fresh horses
    2:33:21 they could get food they could deposit their money and get paper receipts that could be used anywhere in
    2:33:27 the empire they were guaranteed protection if they had to pass to an area where it might be dangerous
    2:33:35 then uh a small group a squad of men and uh horses would go with them so trade was extremely important
    2:33:42 and then the mongols they also they supported trade in a very odd way and that is the merchants would come in
    2:33:48 and then they would ask for an outrageous price for some goods you know much more than they should get
    2:33:56 waiting for the mongols to bargain them down and the mongols would say i’ll give you much more than that
    2:34:03 it was just and as his grandson or his son a good day han was once asked why do you do that you’ve got to
    2:34:08 stop doing this this was a muslim financial advisor he’d called in he told him well you’ve got to stop
    2:34:16 paying more than people ask and he said where’s the money gonna go it’s still in my empire it’s gonna
    2:34:21 come back eventually you know and so they had a much different attitude with great respect and
    2:34:27 i think a symbol of that is in the time of kublai khan when we see that his uncle and father went to
    2:34:34 china and came back from china and then on the second trip marco polo went with him to china and back
    2:34:39 they were safe the whole way their goods were safe they came back with tremendous amount of wealth
    2:34:44 they were never harassed and the mere fact that they could cross it took two years but the mere fact
    2:34:51 that they could cross the whole continent safely and come back that was unprecedented
    2:34:56 we really don’t have any well-documented case of anybody say from china visiting europe or europe
    2:35:03 visiting china before the mongols but since genghis khan there’s never been a year without contact
    2:35:08 between east and west it was permanent once he created it it was permanent i don’t think it’s
    2:35:14 possible to measure the positive impact of that because it wasn’t just trade of goods it was also
    2:35:21 exchange explicit or implicit along the way exchange of ideas whether that’s exchange of
    2:35:30 technologies exchange of like philosophical ideas scientific ideas um technical mathematical ideas all
    2:35:38 of this spread throughout and constantly circulating um can you speak to that aspect of it
    2:35:47 yes it was the exchange of ideas on every level ideas technology uh ideologies beliefs
    2:35:54 scientific information everything was being exchanged and include even agricultural goods of new crops for
    2:36:02 new areas but but cenghis khan he had a a part of his genius of organization was knowing what skill
    2:36:08 people had that would contribute towards his empire for example the muslims were very good with arithmetic
    2:36:14 in fact he conquered the the little empire of khan from which we get the word algorithm
    2:36:21 because there was a mathematician there who invented algorithms and so a khan he conquered it very
    2:36:27 quickly very easily no problem but it belonged to him but the muslims were using the zero
    2:36:34 the mongols were absolutely impressed with that the chinese less so they’re very suspicious about the zero
    2:36:40 but the mongols were very impressed because herders numbers are important to them for keeping up with
    2:36:47 their animals in fact the mongols have a simple system they reduce all animals to the number of
    2:36:53 horses you can ask somebody how many animals you can have and they can say well 100 horses and it doesn’t mean
    2:37:03 they have 100 horses it’s going to be um like uh five cows count as four horses five sheep or five goats
    2:37:11 count as one horse you know um four camels count as five horses so they reduce it all down like that
    2:37:16 the mongols take a census of everything and that’s one of the first things singhis khan did and that was
    2:37:22 one of the demands he made of every place he went is a complete census of your people and every house
    2:37:28 had to post outside how many people how many animals what did they do the occupations all this information
    2:37:36 so they needed good mathematics for this the muslims provided it so they took the muslims to china these
    2:37:42 middle eastern scholars and all unfortunately they were rather ruthless sometimes when it came to
    2:37:51 implementing the tax policies but they became the financial advisors to him uh other groups of people
    2:37:58 had other roles like that and he was moving them around constantly and so you had a combination as i
    2:38:06 said he himself had that genius for combining new bits of technology but it created a new kind of cultural
    2:38:12 spiritual spirit in which other people were also combining technology at other levels and being
    2:38:18 encouraged it was no longer heresy or the devil’s work to bring in this thing so we had the spread of
    2:38:26 printing for example we had the partial spread of something something such as print money for example but we had
    2:38:32 almanacs being created now through printing that combined different calendars and different information
    2:38:40 it was coming along but one simple but lethal form of technology was that for example chinese had gunpowder
    2:38:47 mostly it was used for fireworks religious things and then sometimes in warfare was used for a kind
    2:38:53 of primitive hand grenade or primitive bomb that could be thrown with a trebuchet and this is in the time
    2:39:00 of kubla khan more the grandson but so they had that the middle eastern the muslims they had and the byzantines
    2:39:08 especially they had uh uh naphtha what we call greek greek fire flamethrowers that could set things on fire
    2:39:15 you know the europeans did not expel excel very much in technology they were behind in almost everything but
    2:39:23 they could cast bells for churches okay let’s take that bell and we’re going to turn it on its side
    2:39:31 and we’re going to use some principles of the flamethrower and we’re going to use the gunpowder
    2:39:38 from china and you’ve got a cannon so the mongols even early on by the time they got to the siege of
    2:39:45 baghdad but not i think in the lifetime of chingis han but soon thereafter and his uh sons and grandsons
    2:39:53 they were using some very primitive forms of cannon and uh even some something like firing rods we can’t
    2:39:59 even call it anything like a rifle but it could fire a very small uh ballistic device you know so this
    2:40:07 combination of metal urgy gunpowder flamethrowers you put it all together and you come up with something
    2:40:16 incredibly different so if we jump around a little bit sort of on the topic of a canon what are some
    2:40:25 technological developments that uh jengis khan and his son and kubla kai were using so how much
    2:40:30 gunpowder were they using in general what was their approach to the siege warfare for example
    2:40:34 what are some different ideas there if we switch to the grandson kubla khan
    2:40:42 he first of all he changed a lot of the strategies they were no longer working the mongols system
    2:40:48 worked perfectly on the grassland but by the time you get to hungary the grassland starts to give out
    2:40:52 by the time you get to poland it’s so many farms it’s hard for horses to get through the farms and
    2:40:58 they don’t want to go on the roads by the time you get to the indus river it’s too hot too humid the
    2:41:05 bows are beginning to wilt the horses are exhausted it’s it’s not working so to conquer south china kubla
    2:41:13 khan had to come up with new things one thing the south chinese had built a great wall it was called
    2:41:19 the great wall of the sea this is before the wall that we know is a great wall which is really the ming
    2:41:25 wall of the ming dynasty was built but the great wall of the sea and they used it as a defensive navy
    2:41:32 that the largest navy in the world it was defensive and it was most literally defensive and that came time
    2:41:37 for warfare they would chain the ships together across the mouth of a harbor to protect the city
    2:41:40 and so it became a wall
    2:41:48 so actually if we rewind kublai khan who was he and what was the state of china at that time that
    2:41:53 kind of sets up this idea of uh ships and siege warfare
    2:42:00 in 1215 chingis khan conquered the city we now know as beijing it was the capital of the jin dynasty of
    2:42:07 northern china and at that time southern china was ruled by the song dynasty or usually called the southern
    2:42:15 song he had already conquered the shishia kingdom of the tangut people and so most of northern china was
    2:42:21 under the control of the mongols from about 1215 and then he conquered middle later his uh
    2:42:27 his descendants conquered middle and then kublai khan was the one to take on the south but kublai khan was
    2:42:34 born that year in 1215 about three months after the the capture of beijing and he was nobody
    2:42:42 he was the second son of the fourth son of chingis khan well he’s got lots of cousins out there who’ve
    2:42:48 been riding around they’re conquering russia and they’ve already burned down kiev and they’ve conquered
    2:42:54 different places in the world they’re real mongols that’s their whole life and he’s born and he doesn’t
    2:42:59 meet uh chingis khan until he’s about seven years old because chingis khan was away on a conquest in
    2:43:07 in central asia and chingis khan came back and he met him and he said oh he doesn’t look like a mongol
    2:43:12 he looks like his mother’s people his mother was a sorachthani who was actually a part of the royal
    2:43:19 family of the merkit people whom he had conquered sometime earlier and so it looks like his mother’s
    2:43:24 people who was a little bit more tawny mongols tend to be very white with very right bright red
    2:43:32 cheeks and have a certain very round face and so on and uh so he looked different and for whatever
    2:43:38 reason his mother i think she recognized the difference and treated him differently her oldest son was called
    2:43:49 munk later mong khan munk and she wanted him to become even though her husband was drunk who died out on
    2:43:57 campaign drunk and she took over northern china and she began to put it together and she wanted her son
    2:44:03 to become the great han the emperor of the mongol empire and this wasn’t in line this wasn’t going to
    2:44:10 happen because he’s the fourth son out of three others are way in line way ahead of her but she calls
    2:44:18 the revolution she made it happen she put her son in mong khan in 1251 he became great han he only
    2:44:24 lived till 1259 he died of something it could have been cholera or or they’re different stories and i
    2:44:31 don’t know the truth of it but he died on campaign in china trying to conquer southern china well up to this
    2:44:38 point kubla khan had not been distinguishing himself his mother was uh she was a christian woman but she
    2:44:45 had a buddhist nurse for him and she had chinese scholars come in to tutor him she had a very good
    2:44:51 education for him and i think that she planned that he was going to be a great administrator under his
    2:44:57 older brother and he was going to administer the lands in china and so he was learning all this stuff for
    2:45:03 it but the older brother he insisted on sending him out on campaign oh but he was overweight he
    2:45:09 was fat he had gout he needed to go rest there was always some excuse and the brother was assigning
    2:45:15 people ori hangdai who was the son of subodai the great general he assigned him to teach him warfare
    2:45:24 he wasn’t great on the battlefield he really was not but he was very smart and at first a little bit
    2:45:30 lazy like talking about the religion sitting around go hunting as long as he had many with him to do
    2:45:39 the shooting and uh and then to prepare the food and all and and his territory northern china was just
    2:45:45 being run in the dirt by these administrators the mongols had brought in they were just overtaxing
    2:45:51 the people cheating the people doing everything wrong and his mother basically just pulled his chain and
    2:45:57 she said go to your land this is your land you have to administer this land you go there you live there
    2:46:04 you take charge and everybody was terrified of the mother and so he ran off to china and he started
    2:46:10 administering his land and he started learning how to do it well when his brother died in 1259 he was
    2:46:16 down on the yellow uh the yangtze river on a campaign that he was sent by his brother he was having no success at
    2:46:23 all but he thought okay the brother’s dead i should finish the campaign meanwhile his youngest brother
    2:46:30 arikbukh arikbukh was another hothead mongol like their father tolu he was rather hot-headed and he was
    2:46:36 back in mongolia and his tolerance for religions he was had to oversee the debate one time between the
    2:46:42 taoists and the buddhists because the mongols thought the taoists were overtaxing everybody the buddhists
    2:46:47 and so he had to oversee it he got mad and he picked up a statue of the buddha and beat the taoist
    2:46:55 representative to death so he just wasn’t good for moderating debates you know so he was going to be
    2:47:03 the new great khan so he was declared the great khan in mongolia but this was a turning life for
    2:47:11 kublai khan who had never achieved much of anything other than talking to people so his wife chabi sent
    2:47:18 him some coded messages basically telling him forget about southern china it’s going to always be there
    2:47:25 you can conquer that some other time right now your brother is taking over the empire you should be the
    2:47:34 new emperor you are the next son after mong khan and somehow she invigorated him and he came back and
    2:47:40 even though he didn’t have all the military strategy he had northern china the resources were immense he
    2:47:47 could cut off mongolia mongolia was very dependent on northern china for food all the mongols supported
    2:47:55 arikbok all the ones in central asia uh all of them were supporting arikbok and so he went to get food
    2:48:01 from them and then they didn’t want to give up their food yeah we want to support you for great han but
    2:48:09 we’re not giving up our food so he was basically kind of starved into submission in 1262 and then he was
    2:48:20 taken prisoner into china and then he mysteriously passed away in 1264 while a legal case was being
    2:48:27 brought against him for trial but he never made it to trial uh he was gone so kublai khan
    2:48:36 not really distinguished himself very much but he didn’t have the genius of his grandfather i won’t
    2:48:42 say that but he was smart and clever he understood more about china than most mongols did and he
    2:48:49 understood most more about mongols than most chinese did so the great thing left that chingis
    2:48:56 han said on his deathbed finish conquering china you know that was the great objective so
    2:49:03 kublai was going to fulfill this and they didn’t know how the great wall of ships
    2:49:11 was protecting the southern song this huge yangtze river was so bad wide the ocean on the side all of
    2:49:20 these things were protecting them so he had one of his very smart generals named adju who was a real mongol
    2:49:26 but he was also able to think in innovative way he was the grandson of subodai and he went with his father
    2:49:33 on the conquest of the red river of northern vietnam against the dai viet people
    2:49:41 they went down the river they were trying to surround the chinese territory so we’re going to hit them from
    2:49:47 the north from the west and from the south so they went down the red river and to conquer the dai viet the
    2:49:52 the dai viet moved their army up on the other side by boat and then they had a whole corps of
    2:49:58 elephants so you have the mongols on one side the river and the dai viet forces on the other side
    2:50:05 or hankadai was a smart man not a genius but smart and he already knew from campaigns in burma that the
    2:50:13 only way to route the elephants was with flaming arrows to defeat that was it but he recognized that they came
    2:50:20 up on boats mongols didn’t like boats it just they crossed the river on a goat skin they wanted to do
    2:50:25 something organic a boat was like a cart a cart belonged to a woman it was a floating cart
    2:50:30 i am not going over on a floating cart i’m going to ride a goat skin across the river
    2:50:37 so he’s assigned one detachment you have to burn the boats so the
    2:50:46 dai viet cannot escape when we route the elephants well the war battle i mean got started the elephants
    2:50:52 are running wild all kinds of chaos is going on the the group that’s sent to burn the boats they’re
    2:50:58 mongols they want to go to war i mean why burn a bunch of women’s carts it’s just not you know
    2:51:04 floating so they go and join the battle they leave the boats well the mongols won the battle but the
    2:51:09 diviet forces got on the boats and sailed back to what’s now hanoi and then they evacuated the city
    2:51:14 took all the food everything out of the city and they disappeared into the delta the mongols arrived
    2:51:23 they conquered quote unquote hanoi the capital city and they had nothing they had nothing they won every
    2:51:31 battle they lost the war they retreated adju was the son of hungadai and he saw all this happen
    2:51:39 and he recognized the importance of water and boats and so he knew and he spent his time studying
    2:51:45 the yangtze river and every little river around it and the cities and the crucial thing he saw was the
    2:51:52 cities are heavily heavily fortified on the land side because invasion comes from the land and they expect
    2:51:59 this little line of boats to protect them on the water and so the city walls are weak the defenses are weak
    2:52:07 on that side that’s where we have to attack so how they sent off to the ilkhanate to persia where chingis
    2:52:13 khan his uncle was now dead and his cousins were ruling there are his nephews we would say a cousin’s nephew
    2:52:21 so uh they sent over engineers to build a special kind of trebuchet or catapult and they had to play
    2:52:26 around with it to adapt it for a boat because they were usually made for stable ground but they adapted
    2:52:33 it for the boat and for throwing heavy things and also for some uh incendiary bombs that they developed it
    2:52:40 and they attacked the first city it fell they attacked the next it fell they had something that was working
    2:52:49 they worked their way down the yangtze river destroying city after city with this navy and then the army would move in
    2:52:56 after the navy had broken down so this is a a catapult on a ship catapult on a ship but it’s yeah we call
    2:53:03 it type of shape for this type of catapult so this is an engineering solution for peoples who are deeply
    2:53:11 uncomfortable with boats yes and they’ve accepted it yes now it’s a great weapon it’s like it’s not it’s no
    2:53:17 longer a woman’s cart it’s a bow and arrow it is a giant bow and arrow yeah it’s fascinating so that
    2:53:24 they go they hit them hard on the walls on the weak side yes where there’s no the army protection yes
    2:53:31 and they conquer their way down to hangzhou the capital of the southern song
    2:53:40 they’ve been in power for a long time since 970 and now we’re already into the 1270s that’s a long time
    2:53:46 they’re dissipated they’ve been had child emperor they’ve had imbeciles ruling all kinds of things
    2:53:50 going on and at this point we have a child in command
    2:53:59 but kubelai makes a very strange move he says okay let’s invade japan now
    2:54:09 what we’re fighting against the song dynasty and most people ascribe it to all kinds of things but
    2:54:16 actually i think there was a great logic to it one was he had abolished his grandfather’s policy of
    2:54:22 defeat and destroy until they are no more that was the phrase that was used for their enemies and he
    2:54:28 had replaced it with a kind of mercy policy try to incorporate them into your army if possible but be
    2:54:34 merciful he did not want to destroy and he was not he was had a lot of defectors coming in and because
    2:54:41 the mongols prized people with skills a lot of very clever people with shipbuilding and engineers and
    2:54:47 these people were flocking to the mongols whereas the scholars were all hanging out in
    2:54:55 wangzhou doing calligraphy and poetry and having contests over who could sing or paint or i don’t know what
    2:55:02 scholars do but they were they were being scholars yes but they’re actually i think there’s a very very good
    2:55:11 reason for invading japan several the main one was to cut off the supply of sulfur they needed it for
    2:55:17 gunpowder in south song they lost their sources in northern china when they were driven out they got
    2:55:23 it from japan it was a great source but i think there were other reasons if they could trade they could
    2:55:30 also perhaps flee to japan and they didn’t want that to happen and then there’s this idea of you know like
    2:55:35 kill the chicken to scare the monkey it’s like okay we’ll go do this and then maybe they’ll just
    2:55:41 surrender down there if they see us conquer japan well it was a total failure you’ve got a bunch of
    2:55:47 ships that are mainly great on the river and right along the coast and you’re crossing some treacherous
    2:55:53 water there and and you the mongols basically just did not know what they were doing okay you can
    2:55:58 arrive with the trebuchet and you can throw grenades at the beach it’s not really going to do a lot of
    2:56:05 damage it might scare a few horses but you’re not destroying cities and the japanese cities were more
    2:56:11 in they weren’t there on the beach waiting for mongols to come invade so he failed in that invasion so we
    2:56:18 so we should say that this is the the time of the samurai right yeah in japan right so uh so there was
    2:56:25 never a real test of like no there was some fighting and the samurai learned some very valuable things the
    2:56:31 samurai had a such a ritualized way of it’s like the knights of europe yes coming out with armor that had
    2:56:37 to be lifted up on a crane onto a horse and i mean it was just craziness craziness the samurai almost at that
    2:56:42 point you ride out in front of your enemy and you recite the story of your genealogy
    2:56:49 oh what you know mongols they have no use for that they’re there to fight they’re there to win
    2:56:56 but on the other hand this was a unknown territory to them and the weather did turn against them but i don’t
    2:57:01 want to give too much credit to the weather i really think that the japanese defeated them
    2:57:08 the mongols weren’t well prepared their ships were not very good they were defeated in the first invasion
    2:57:14 could they get off the ships onto the beach oh they did they had some skirmishes or small battles on land
    2:57:21 yes they did but they didn’t successfully complete them no no so they couldn’t do their usual mongol
    2:57:27 thing you’re right well see they don’t have enough horses for one thing yeah you know and uh there were
    2:57:32 many tactical things that they had done incorrectly it’s the first time anybody had ever tried to have
    2:57:37 such a massive invasion yeah so they’re just learning the basics of what it means to have a navy
    2:57:45 so he has failed to conquer and he’s thinking like a mongol that you rule the those waters and lands but
    2:57:54 he ruled the ocean he stopped the trade he stopped the supply he cut off the possibility of the song
    2:58:02 dynasty fleeing to japan he won in a certain way he lost but he had won his objective of cutting off
    2:58:10 southern china also it gave him navy some experience with the ocean and now they were ready to move out
    2:58:19 into the ocean around southern china so they were closing in then aju was in command but actually the
    2:58:26 head command was a man named bayan who was a mongol who had been raised more in central asia he was
    2:58:32 perhaps born close to the fargana valley in that area we’re not exactly sure where he was born but he grew
    2:58:40 up over there and then he eventually was living in uh what’s now iran but he came and he took over command
    2:58:48 of the army he was very cosmopolitan sophisticated intelligent aju should have been in command but bayan
    2:58:56 recognized that and he and aju worked together very well aju knew how to fight the war bayan was able
    2:59:03 to negotiate things back with the capital city and handle things so bayan is in command and so the
    2:59:09 generals are deserting the south song right and left the artisans are all coming up to join the mongols
    2:59:16 they paid the generals are loading up the boats with all the jewels and they grab a couple of uh
    2:59:20 brothers to the little five-year-old emperor and they put them on a boat and they’re fleeing
    2:59:29 they even deserted their own their own families the generals were corrupt cowards who fled the person left in
    2:59:36 and they put them in charge was the dowager empress an old lady she had no children she was her name
    2:59:44 the dowager empress she they said she was missing an eye she was ugly they called her ugly she that’s what
    2:59:51 they called her at that time she was in charge and she offered the mongols everything i’ll give you
    2:59:56 everything please let the emperor stay okay even if you demote him to just being a king please let him
    3:00:05 stay bayan said no total surrender total surrender so she decided to surrender once she said yes we will
    3:00:11 surrender the capital so bayan came in with a small group of soldiers they looked around and she invited
    3:00:19 him to come to come to the palace to surrender and he said no i didn’t win this war in the palace my
    3:00:25 soldiers won this war in the field you have to come with the emperor in front of my soldiers
    3:00:34 to surrender but he did not harm her he respected her and there was no looting of the city now later they
    3:00:40 take everything in a very systematic way they take the archives and all this kind of stuff away but there
    3:00:46 was no wholesale looting and killing of people nothing like that so they’ve taken the capital
    3:00:54 and she comes out she surrenders she bows on the ground towards beijing and then she takes the child
    3:01:01 emperor and they slowly make their way uh she was a little bit sick it took her longer time to beijing
    3:01:07 and they surrender again in a public ceremony bowing to the kubla khan he gives each of them a palace he
    3:01:15 gives them a new uh new uh uh title he protect he’s trying to show the world this is the new face of
    3:01:20 mongols we don’t kill off the old people anymore who are ruling we’re going to give them a palace
    3:01:30 treat them nicely and all but the navy that had fled did not defend the city those cowardly generals
    3:01:39 they made the new little boy seven-year-old brother half-brother to the emperor gong was his name they
    3:01:51 made him the emperor well they’re just floating around on the ocean losing all support from city after
    3:01:58 city the muslims who were controlling the trade and controlling many of the ships of that area they were
    3:02:04 chinese muslims but they were still muslims they switched sides to the mongols because of the
    3:02:09 religious freedom thing and because they were merchants and their status would be raised so the
    3:02:15 the mongol uh the muslims were switching over the the fleet was kind of a fleet lost without a country out
    3:02:23 there they had some loyal supporters some places uh they dropped the emperor in the ocean
    3:02:30 how do you drop the emperor into ocean they accidentally spilled him into ocean and then
    3:02:36 they fished him out but he died so fortunately they had one more seven-year-old half-brother
    3:02:43 so on lantau island exactly where the hong kong airport is today the new well it’s not so new
    3:02:49 anymore but i still think it was the new airport on lantau island uh so they went there and they had a big
    3:02:55 coronation ceremony and all but the people there were not supportive enough it certainly wasn’t hong kong
    3:03:02 then anyway at the delta of the pearl river but so they they sailed out farther south to another island
    3:03:07 and then they took it over and of course the first thing they did was well we have to build a palace
    3:03:14 what the mongols are chasing you and you’re going to stop and build a palace so these are like the
    3:03:21 remains of the chinese yes the generals and the general army and the navy and there was a real competence
    3:03:29 issue yes okay so we’re going to protect it with a great wall of the sea they chained together the
    3:03:35 boats across the entrance to the harbor and they put the palace boat so-called in the middle
    3:03:42 the generals didn’t trust their own soldiers enough so they made all of them leave the island and go to the
    3:03:48 boats to fight the mongols so mongols arrived and over and over and over they asked them to surrender
    3:03:55 you won’t be harmed all this kind of stuff and all and but the mongols now took over the land so they had
    3:04:03 the water all around them and they had the land and once the fighting started they could just shoot down from
    3:04:10 the highland right on to the ships and they’ve cut the ships off from the fresh supply of of wood and water
    3:04:17 so they can’t boil rice they have to try to eat rice and drink seawater they’re all sick as dogs out there and
    3:04:27 the leaders refused to surrender the little boy is their seven-year-old emperor bing was his name with his pet
    3:04:35 parrot that’s the only thing he had left in life was his pet parrot and then the mongols they offered
    3:04:44 every opportunity but the prime minister so-called coward that he is although he’s treated as a hero
    3:04:52 today in china and throughout their history but coward that he was he said we will not disgrace the country
    3:04:57 by letting them capture the emperor so first he threw his own wife and children into the water to drown
    3:05:05 and then he took the emperor and held him the seven-year-old he was seven years and one month he
    3:05:13 had just turned seven years old and jumped into the water with this child a child murderer he’s a child
    3:05:20 murderer to do that somehow in the whole ruckus the cage came undone with the parrot and the parrot fell in
    3:05:28 the water too so the seven-year-old boy and the parrot died in the water that was the end of one of
    3:05:36 the greatest dynasties in the history of the world the song dynasty they were intellectually great they were
    3:05:42 artistically great they were technologically great they were just one of the greatest moments of world history
    3:05:49 and it ends with this coward killing a child and his pet parrot in order to save the honor
    3:05:56 that was betrayed by this woman the men lost the war the men lost the war who’s to blame
    3:06:05 an old one-eyed ugly lady empress shee well the bigger picture there is probably is is become the institutions
    3:06:12 became corrupt and stale and the the army weakened and the the politician the politician class
    3:06:19 probably has have have lost their skill and competence at ruling and all that kind of stuff and all that
    3:06:24 is true and the and the chinese summarize that with losing the mandate of heaven right i mean everybody
    3:06:34 has their perspective maybe if um the way you told the story has a very kind of objective
    3:06:41 sort of way of revealing the absurdity and the cowardice of it but you know there’s probably the chinese
    3:06:48 perspective that they tell the story in some kind of like maintained honor to the last yes to the last
    3:06:54 moment they very often most scholars depict emperor shio as the traitor to the country
    3:06:59 and i say no that boy lived on for another 45 years
    3:07:06 and so she did not betray the country she protected her emperor that she was supposed to protect
    3:07:11 it was the man who killed the child emperor who killed young bing
    3:07:21 so what was the lasting impact of uh kublai khan unifying china well yes first of all he had unified
    3:07:27 china in the largest sense of the word with korea tibet manchuria mongolia part of central asia
    3:07:35 he had unified it but he did so at the expense of his empire they didn’t recognize him as the great emperor
    3:07:42 and there was great opposition from the golden horde of russia and also from the the central region which
    3:07:49 is called the the chagatayid those descendants of sagade the second son the chagatai empire and then
    3:07:54 from the ill khanate of persia these are the different sort of fracturings of the mongol
    3:08:02 the sons of jenghis khan yeah and only the ill khanate was still loyal to him but they’re so far away
    3:08:09 yeah but now he has a navy but this is i mean even the four pieces the whole thing is gigantic and even
    3:08:17 the pieces are gigantic so i mean it’s very hard to keep an empire of this size together yes but he had
    3:08:26 china it was unified under him and then he he sent out the first expedition to sail directly to persia
    3:08:33 there had been trade all throughout thousands of years but it was usually port to port you know
    3:08:40 different merchants trading goods no he organized a great fleet to send a uh a queen or princess to
    3:08:48 become a queen in the ill khanate to marry the the ill khan of persia it’s persia and azerbaijan and uh
    3:08:56 armenia and iraq and part of syria all of that area so he said organized this and it so happened that
    3:09:03 marco polo was ready to go home because they knew kublai khan was about to die and in fact he only had
    3:09:07 about one year left to live and they wanted to get their riches out before they didn’t know what’s
    3:09:12 going to happen this is a new dynasty they’ve been in total control of china for one generation
    3:09:18 and they didn’t know what was going to happen and also just before that there had been a bad
    3:09:24 sign because kublai khan had tried to invade japan a second time and he had failed a second time
    3:09:33 and the second time i think again he had a practical purpose and that was he had this whole huge song army
    3:09:38 that now he’s the new enlightened mongol who doesn’t slaughter so he’s got what is he going to do they’re not
    3:09:45 reliable they’re not safe so he sends a bunch of them up into the amur river of what’s now the
    3:09:52 russian far east or we call siberian english but the russian far east the amur river uh he sent expeditions
    3:09:58 up into tibet exploring options up there but there wasn’t enough room or enough agricultural area for a huge
    3:10:07 military colony but most of his ships were loaded with former prisoners of the war from the song dynasty
    3:10:14 and they were not armed they had hose and implements for farming he wanted to create obviously
    3:10:21 on agricultural military agricultural farm in japan to help feed northern china because it was very
    3:10:26 important just as they were doing with the amur river but it was more complicated so
    3:10:34 again they lost they didn’t have it and part of the reason is that the exhibition was massive
    3:10:41 and they organized it in the mongol principles of left wing right wing this didn’t work at sea
    3:10:49 because the left wing is from korea there’s korean ships built up there the right wing is from southern
    3:10:54 china mostly with ships built down there they’re not the same they have a head but there’s no center
    3:11:01 point chengiz khan always had the goal they called it g-o-l the goal the center or q-o-l actually
    3:11:09 called but he had the center in command no he sent the two without a clear and they were arguing with
    3:11:14 each other not cooperating not helping each other sabotaging each other they get there and once again
    3:11:20 they have the same problems even though they’ve come with lots of grenades this time again the grenades
    3:11:26 are exploding they’re they’re scaring the horses you know it’s impressive and a lot of silk screens are made
    3:11:34 later showing these impressive battles and all but they lost and again a typhoon happened to be the
    3:11:43 final the final destruction of the navy but i think it’s japan had defeated the mongols i would say
    3:11:53 japanese deserve credit for that victory and then the the sinking of the ships was more caused by the
    3:11:59 by the typhoon but already the japanese had developed good strategies while the mongols had been away they
    3:12:05 knew how the mongols fought and they knew that at night they could fire flaming arrows at the ship set
    3:12:13 them on fire and they were doing great damage so again kubla khan lost the invasion of japan
    3:12:23 but the soldiers were gone but the soldiers were gone they drowned he didn’t kill them off it was his
    3:12:32 deliberate plan but the problem was solved it’s one of those ironies of history that it’s hard to
    3:12:40 quite understand so this had happened but then kubla khan was coming to the near the end of life and
    3:12:46 marco polo and those wanted to get out they’re ready to go and kubla khan allowed them to sail
    3:12:54 on this expedition with hokshin was her name the princess hokshin to go to a hormuz
    3:13:03 and so they went and that began a whole system of trade back and forth back and forth kubla khan died
    3:13:09 soon after that his grandson who’s not so well respected in history because he’s often called a
    3:13:17 drunk but his name was timur timur and jetu but he was a drunk when he was young but his grandfather had
    3:13:26 him caned a couple times in public and he cured him of drinking and actually he was not a drunk later on
    3:13:33 khan and he was first he knew reassembled the mongol empire he did the golden horde declared loyalty to
    3:13:40 him recognize him as great han is emperor of the whole empire the chagatayid of central uh asia they
    3:13:47 declared loyalty to him the il khanate was already loyal to him they all declared loyalty he had reassembled
    3:13:53 the empire and he had the greatest navy in the world and he sent out envoys to every place they had
    3:14:00 attacked or traded with to say that era is over we’re no longer attacking anybody we’re changing from
    3:14:09 conquest to commerce we want to trade with you come to china bring your goods we’re going to trade with
    3:14:17 you he instituted it was short unfortunately didn’t last forever i wish it could have but it was a great
    3:14:24 era of the exchange of all kinds of things going back and forth all the way actually all the way to
    3:14:30 africa because from hormuz they had connection to somaliland and some people say kenya already at
    3:14:39 that time i’m not sure but very wide very wide so technically he ruled over the the largest size
    3:14:46 the mongol empire ever had yes but although actually the golden horde of russia they were quite independent
    3:14:52 by now and he let them be independent but they were loyal to him and they were still exchanging back and
    3:15:01 forth all kinds of things so there were ocetian soldiers in china they had a whole contingent of
    3:15:09 ocetian soldiers there and from russia from the caucus areas of russia and how do they communicate
    3:15:14 are they using like the postal service like you have to like you have to literally deliver the letters
    3:15:22 over time those groups started intermarrying with they were allowed to intermarry the chinese were not
    3:15:28 but they were intermarrying with mongols and they were switching to mongolian language slowly
    3:15:36 at first i don’t know it’s not clear but again kubla khan thinking in this internationalist way said okay we
    3:15:43 need a new alphabet for the world everybody in the world writes with one alphabet chinese mongolian russian
    3:15:50 arabic everything it didn’t work but he tried it for a while and some inscriptions are still there to this
    3:15:57 day and we should maybe uh briefly mention marco polo that you talked about so he is this
    3:16:07 now famous explorer that traversed the continent the silk road and then stayed with kubla khan for a while
    3:16:13 and i guess one is one of the primary documenters of everything that’s been going on uh is there
    3:16:20 something else interesting to say about about marco polo and about their his interaction with kubla khan
    3:16:21 i like marco polo
    3:16:30 i use his work a lot i find him very reliable and the areas where he’s not reliable you can kind of tell
    3:16:38 because he didn’t he wasn’t there but the places he was he reported a lot of stuff and so i’m very
    3:16:45 much indebted to him for a lot of things because with something like the princess hukjin and also another
    3:16:52 fighting princess from central asia named hutulu he wrote about that but i also needed other sources so
    3:16:59 i found if i could find chinese sources or arab sources or something else or persian to support it then i really
    3:17:05 felt a lot of confidence with him over time but pieces were romanticized and you have to always
    3:17:09 discount it but it’s very good however
    3:17:17 i believe the best work written about marco polo aside from his own book which was actually written
    3:17:25 by rusticello dictated in prison in genoa you know in the 20th century eugene o’neill wrote a play that
    3:17:34 became a comedy on broadway called marco millions that was both a play on what he was called el
    3:17:42 milioni the million one because he had talked about cities of millions of people and about uh money in
    3:17:47 the millions and things that people in europe just couldn’t believe could happen he then published his
    3:17:55 whole play as a book to show people what he really meant and it was an ironic look at capitalism
    3:18:03 because this is 20th century already versus the idea of like a philosopher king which he saw
    3:18:11 in kubla khan and so marco polo becomes a symbol of capitalism not at its worst but at its most
    3:18:20 basic and that is like the princess in this story this is not in real life but this is in the play
    3:18:26 written by eugene o’neill but i think it captures a lot the princess hochshin says marco is an excellent
    3:18:36 judge of quantity and there were things like that and then in the play bayon the great general
    3:18:44 he talks with kubla khan and he said look these people are dangerous from the west we should go
    3:18:52 conquer them now while we can kubla khan tells bayon again in the play this is fiction but he tells bayon
    3:18:59 they are not worth conquering and if we conquer them we will become like them and he said marco
    3:19:06 polo has been in our land he has seen everything he has learned nothing he has seen everything he
    3:19:14 understands nothing for me this was such an important moment in the history of the world symbolically
    3:19:19 with marco polo and kubla khan the coming together of two worlds
    3:19:24 it could have gone a different way it could have gone a different way
    3:19:31 and i am it’s not that i’m anti-capitalist i’m pro-capitalist but the way so many things worked out
    3:19:40 it was a misstep in history maybe we took the wrong step at that moment and we could have learned more from
    3:19:45 cooperation they didn’t quite integrate successfully
    3:19:54 no but today we’ve returned to that i think the east and the west are confronting each other again
    3:20:01 on more equal terms for a long time the west was so dominant and the east was so downtrodden by
    3:20:09 colonialism and other things and internal rot and other things but today there’s not necessarily
    3:20:13 equality but there’s more of a balance and which way will we go
    3:20:23 and again there’s uh a lot of room and a lot of energy for division for misunderstanding
    3:20:34 uh so versus integration like uh the the east is demonized in the west and one one of the great
    3:20:43 regrets i have that i hope to alleviate is just how little i like understand china in the east
    3:20:52 yes it’s just sort of not not just from kind of economics politics you know reading a few books but
    3:20:58 like the way you’ve understood and felt the mongolian step like understand the chinese people in that way
    3:21:06 because it does feel like from that understanding there could be integration of ideas you know my work is
    3:21:12 it’s often classified as chinese history which i think is ironic because for me it’s always a mongolian history
    3:21:19 but for the last book i wrote which dealt a lot more with china because it’s about kubla khan
    3:21:25 then in that book i deliberately did not go to china i’d been there numerous times before i deliberately did not
    3:21:32 i’m an outsider i do not speak chinese i’m not a chinese scholar i never even had a course in chinese
    3:21:38 art or calligraphy or anything and i wanted to be very clear mine is an outside perspective
    3:21:47 but i think it’s possible as an outsider to still have respect for that culture even if i disagree that
    3:21:52 they appoint this one as a hero and that one’s as the villain i disagree and they’ll say oh i’m wrong
    3:21:59 i don’t understand their history and they’re probably right that’s quite possible but there’s an outside view
    3:22:04 that is different and tries to be respectful of what happens in that part of the world just as i’m
    3:22:13 respectful towards chengiz han in the mongol empire i respect china very much i’m an american i love the
    3:22:21 ideals of my country i love so many aspects of our culture and there are many aspects i don’t of course because
    3:22:28 it’s impossible to love everything even about the members of your own family you know and yeah i do hope
    3:22:34 that through understanding one another or just making the effort to understand even if we
    3:22:41 understand wrongly and we’re incorrect in it just to make the effort to understand will help us a lot
    3:22:49 and the west has had a long couple of centuries of extreme arrogance that they are there to teach the
    3:22:59 world and i sometimes dismayed i meet these young people all over the world who’ve come to help
    3:23:05 they’re an ngo and they’re going to teach the people how to take care of the environment they’re going to
    3:23:13 teach the women how to exercise their rights they’re going to bring in micro financing to help liberate
    3:23:24 people we are arrogant beyond words and we need to be a little bit more humble and try to put ourselves on an
    3:23:34 equal basis with some of these people not a superior basis beautifully put how did the mongol empire come
    3:23:36 to an end how did it fall
    3:23:47 the mongol had united the mongol had united the empire at least symbolically all of it and they had the
    3:23:56 trade going on the mongols never adapted well to china and they began having problems in different
    3:24:02 areas so in some areas of the world they became more like the local people so in central asia they became
    3:24:09 muslim and they got more absorbed into that world and broke away from the mongol examples from before
    3:24:16 russia lingered on longer under mongol domination but it got weaker and weaker over time and it was
    3:24:23 based around the volga river but they weakened to the point that they just became a tributary people
    3:24:29 minority within a russian empire but the mongols had left kind of the framework for empire for russia
    3:24:35 that’s something the russians don’t want to hear any more than they want to hear me criticize the
    3:24:42 end of the song dynasty but it is true that even yam yam is the word that was used for this postal
    3:24:47 system and that’s the ministries today in in russia and there are many many other things
    3:24:55 in russia it’s just even malchik malchin is a herder mal is a person as an animal and chin is a person
    3:25:00 a person who takes care of animals you know it’s all kinds of influences in russia that some people
    3:25:08 want to deny but there’s always a great powerful uh strand of of uh research and scholarship in russia
    3:25:15 that supports this understanding of the mongols and i depend on them tremendously it’s not just uh
    3:25:21 gomelyov is one of the famous ones but he was a little bit too romantic with his ideas and all but i
    3:25:29 depend upon a lot of the research done by russian scholars and by early german scholars in the 19th
    3:25:39 century under sponsorship of the tsar so i i depend on that work so you had a great influence there but it was
    3:25:48 weakening so bit by bit 1368 the mongols have become so weak within china that they were overthrown
    3:25:56 but they weren’t absorbed into china but the mongols have been there since 1215 to 1368
    3:26:03 they packed up went back to mongolia it was just another seasonal migration yeah
    3:26:10 you know it was just amazing and they said okay we’re still the yuan dynasty we’re not giving you
    3:26:15 the seals we’re not acknowledging the ming and they never did throughout the whole of the ming in fact
    3:26:20 they went down one time and captured the ming emperor took him back to mongolia and then they tried to
    3:26:26 ransom him and the chinese said no we’re going to appoint another emperor so the mongols decided okay
    3:26:34 the worst thing we can do to the chinese is give them back the old emperor so you had two
    3:26:41 emperors you know back okay let them work it out you know and the empire just weakened from internal
    3:26:46 reasons for the mongols but some external things from nature and i think that was the great plague
    3:26:52 you know everything in history everything that’s good comes with something underneath it that’s bad
    3:26:57 and everything that’s bad seems to have something underneath that’s sometimes works out good in a
    3:27:06 way but uh this great system that united it’s called the yam or ortoh ortoh that united everything
    3:27:12 people could move back and forth quickly then it could also take the plague out of southern china
    3:27:20 into all parts of the world and i do think that’s what happened and uh the plague destroyed the mongol
    3:27:26 system and if all of these people are ruled by mongols because they’re benefiting so much from this system
    3:27:36 and now the system collapses yeah you don’t need the empire anymore yeah so it just fell apart after 1368
    3:27:46 the empire just fell apart and most of them stay stayed in uh persia and iran and uh afghanistan the
    3:27:54 hazara people are still descended from the army there and then in russia some of them stayed but then
    3:28:00 finally in the time of catherine the great a lot of them returned a little bit they had been there for
    3:28:10 hundreds of years and then they returned to mongolia uh in the 1700s and so many mongols came home they were
    3:28:17 still mongols despite hundreds of years of exposure to other cultures they came back to their tent and
    3:28:24 squatting around the fire and drinking fermented milk and eating dried curds it’s interesting that the
    3:28:34 the mongolian spirit is so strong that it uh persists yes through centuries yes and they just return right back
    3:28:41 on the horse riding in the open step yeah well it was actually very difficult because they were a little
    3:28:49 bit lazy and they weren’t so good with doing the task and so uh it became difficult actually to support so many
    3:28:56 people coming home uh and eating up all the animals the mongols in china had been used to just eating they
    3:29:04 they hadn’t been producing much for 150 years so just to return to genghis khan and we talked about
    3:29:14 dan carlin and dan carlin said that genghis khan’s army was the greatest military force in history
    3:29:23 and many other historians agree that before rifles came into popular use genghis khan would basically beat
    3:29:31 every single army including napoleon and you mentioned the samurai the whole formal setup same with
    3:29:37 napoleon there’s this there’s a whole you know like you know several hours to set up the chess pieces
    3:29:46 on the military board i mean you can just imagine what genghis khan and the the dynamism the the speed of
    3:29:53 everything what that would do to napoleon so uh i guess the question is where uh do you agree with
    3:30:00 that uh notion that genghis khan’s army is the greatest military force in history short answer is yes
    3:30:11 absolutely no other power in the history of the world has conquered russia and china and persia and central
    3:30:22 asia and turkey and korea no power in the world has done that not alexander not the romans nobody will
    3:30:28 ever do it again nobody’s going to conquer china and russia again and rule both countries it’s just
    3:30:35 not going to happen what lessons i mean can you take from that’s applicable to modern warfare
    3:30:44 oh i think there’s a very good lesson and the mongols took iraq they took baghdad they held it
    3:30:53 the americans we followed the exact opposite strategy of the mongols mongol strategy is first you take
    3:30:58 the countryside they’re country people they think in terms of countryside you take the countryside you
    3:31:05 occupy the countryside and you cut off the city it cannot live without the countryside and that’s how
    3:31:10 they did it every time they would come in as i say in some cases two two years in advance to clear
    3:31:15 people out so they would have room for their horses and have pasture for their horses and all and you take
    3:31:21 the small towns and then the small cities and then the last one is the big city americans they said no
    3:31:26 we’re going to take baghdad we’re going to bomb baghdad we’re going to have this shock and awe we’re
    3:31:31 going to go in we conquer the country from baghdad so they go in they get trapped in their little tiny
    3:31:39 green zone they never conquer iraq the strongest army in the world you know this is something that
    3:31:44 worked in europe world war ii yes we bombed the cities and we took the city because that was a city
    3:31:51 the center of production for the modern era but the countryside is the place that produces the food
    3:31:56 the mongols were very aware of that and supplies the water you cut off the water from the city you
    3:31:59 cut off the food from the city what’s the city going to do they’re going to surrender
    3:32:05 the americans were applying something that worked in western europe to conquer germany
    3:32:15 it did not work to conquer iraq or vietnam or even northern korea or cambodia or laos or syria
    3:32:20 or god no it worked only in grenada i think that’s the only in my lifetime that’s the only successful
    3:32:28 war we had lasted a couple of hours we went in conquered the little tiny island otherwise we’ve
    3:32:36 been chased out of every country we’ve lost it tail between our legs we dropped more bombs on cambodia
    3:32:38 then we dropped on germany
    3:32:50 it’s hard to believe hard to believe we dropped more bombs on cambodia than on germany we did nothing
    3:32:55 because germany you destroy the cities the people surrender dresden’s gone frankfurt
    3:33:03 fritzburg berlin uh in cambodia you can bomb the countryside forever you can kill the people and they did you
    3:33:10 can use chemical warfare and they did and you could still go into the eastern part of cambodia and
    3:33:18 you could go to large areas where you don’t hear birds singing because of their chemical warfare in
    3:33:26 america of american bombs so we still do it but we don’t want to admit it and we don’t want to go in
    3:33:33 to win when world war ii the americans did have unconditional surrender well i mean you can support the war
    3:33:38 not support the war we did it right we did it wrong these are all issues that people can argue but we
    3:33:45 had a clear policy we go into afghanistan we’re fighting terror we’re going to bring democracy we’re
    3:33:53 going to free the women what i mean it’s absolute sheer insanity the things that we did and we kill
    3:34:02 people not only did we use chemical warfare and kill a lot of people in vietnam and laos and cambodia we killed
    3:34:11 american soldiers we killed american soldiers and my father was one he died from agent orange disease
    3:34:19 oh but that doesn’t count he didn’t die on the battlefield and we didn’t mean to kill him it doesn’t
    3:34:32 count modern warfare is brutal and we just paper over it sometimes you know can you explain agent orange it was designed to kill all vegetation
    3:34:38 this is going to be a humane way we’re going to kill all the vegetation in the jungle and that way they can stop
    3:34:44 moving the army through the jungle and they can stop the supplies from coming that was the american strategy
    3:34:52 yeah henry kissinger nobel prize winner he is now resting in hell is exactly where he belongs for what
    3:35:01 he did to vietnam laos and cambodia the bombing was just absolutely horrendous so agent orange comes in they defoliated
    3:35:07 which means they wiped out the crops so people are starving literally in the case of cambodia starving to death
    3:35:13 the animals are being killed and deformed children are being born to this day and american
    3:35:22 soldiers died by the thousands not immediately not on the or not on the battlefield not right there they go
    3:35:28 home they have the disease they linger they take the whole family down with them in an emotional
    3:35:37 trauma of becoming slowly paralyzed and dying we did that to our own people so yeah warfare
    3:35:43 i don’t think we’re any more humane with it any better today than in the past
    3:35:51 it’s just we can hide parts of it more easily and deny it more easily if you’re killed by a mongol it’s very
    3:35:57 clear you’re killed by a mongol you’re killed by friendly fire in american war it’s a different matter
    3:36:07 it seems that um what people mean when they say that war is hell that in some deep sense everybody
    3:36:15 loses no matter the narrative you put on top of it yes yes i’m not a pacifist again but i
    3:36:23 i think war is acceptable in some situations but the more controlled it is the better and my
    3:36:32 my effort is not to do away with all the things that happened under chingis han with the brutality
    3:36:38 and all like that but it’s to measure it against what goes on today in the world today and we have
    3:36:44 different images there are two images of chingis han one is our image he’s a barbarian on a horseback
    3:36:49 killing people and raping women all the time the other image is the mongolian image and when they
    3:36:57 finally built an official statue of him in the in this century for the uh 800th anniversary of his
    3:37:03 founding of mongolia they had to think about how to present him to the world and to themselves
    3:37:12 and they chose the lincoln memorial as the model he was the late great log river of the mongol nation and
    3:37:19 and so he’s seated there in front of the mongolian parliament there’s another statue that’s better
    3:37:25 known but it was a private enterprise that created him on horseback but not with a weapon but he’s on
    3:37:32 horseback out in the countryside but the official one from the government is chingis han seated
    3:37:39 like abraham lincoln and they issued stamps to show that he is the great law giver and uh
    3:37:48 the truth is somewhere in between well or depending on where you are and how you want to see it you
    3:37:54 know yeah there are many things that happened that were terrible and horrible and for people who lose
    3:38:01 a war it’s going to always be terrible and horrible yeah uh let’s return back to genghis khan’s life
    3:38:05 and the end of it how and where did he die
    3:38:13 after conquering the hoanism empire in central asia chingis han returned and then they had a great
    3:38:18 what they called nadam a great celebration that went on for a whole summer just about and they had so much
    3:38:24 wealth to distribute to everybody and everybody is being given all kinds of things you know for
    3:38:30 what they have done and including the people who helped saved him when he was in the in the kank and
    3:38:36 in the in the ox yoke uh they were rewarded with everybody was rewarded it was a great time but
    3:38:43 the first place he had attacked outside was the tangut nation and they had sworn allegiance to him
    3:38:46 and then when he went off to the middle east they refused to send troops
    3:38:54 he didn’t forget that he’s going back to the tangut nation and he’s going to conquer them again
    3:39:02 as he was crossing the gobi which takes a while and you’re crossing the gobi he’s
    3:39:06 oh it was distracted a little bit by hunting the hulan which is the wild we say the wild ass or
    3:39:13 i used to say wild horse it sounds a little better but uh the hulan to say hulan of the gobi he was
    3:39:20 off hunting hulan he fell from his horse and he injured his leg very badly and he seemed to decline
    3:39:28 from that point and it took some number of months before august of 1227 he was very much near the end
    3:39:35 of life uh you can read online the exact date and it’s all very specific but the truth is we don’t
    3:39:43 know exactly which day he died in that time because his one of his wives was running the camp and they
    3:39:52 were keeping it secret until the defeat of the tangut was completed and the tangut offered all kinds of
    3:39:58 things to for the mongols to go away again the second time and uh chingis han had told his family no
    3:40:06 except nothing and then when they surrender you kill the royal family kill them all so that the idea they
    3:40:13 they were they were buddhist people and the tanguts were buddhist and uh the idea was usually you can
    3:40:19 be reborn into your own family but he said no you kill off the whole family so they can’t be reborn
    3:40:31 so he died there how was his successor chosen oh the succession issue was always difficult he did not have
    3:40:42 the right to appoint a successor that was not the mongol way he could nominate somebody so before he set off
    3:40:49 for the middle eastern campaign one of his wives said to him you know even the biggest tree falls
    3:40:58 you’ve got to make a plan and talk to your sons about the future so he did he called the sons together
    3:41:07 so this is zuch the oldest boy who was born while the father was allied with his anda jammuk and he was
    3:41:17 named visitor zuch and then uh the next one was chagadai and the next one was a good day and uh
    3:41:22 the next one was tala the father of of kubla khan but he was still alive at this point
    3:41:28 so all four of them came so chingis khan explained to them he wanted to talk about the succession
    3:41:35 and to get some consensus from them about the succession and so he said the mongols always
    3:41:41 call on people to speak by order of age they also serve tea or food anything by order of age it’s always
    3:41:47 done that way from then till now so he called first on zuch and he said what do you say zuch
    3:41:54 chingis khan favored zuch this is the one who is questionable paternity but he always favored him
    3:42:02 you know the youngest tala was too hot-headed a good day was a heavy drinker chagadai was very rigid
    3:42:08 about the law of the mongols and all you know but he thought he seemed to favor zuch as a more reasonable
    3:42:16 good warrior but reasonable person but he called on zuch my son speak speak the second one who
    3:42:24 believes in mongol law supposedly he jumped up and he said this is when he accused his father of all
    3:42:30 kinds he said how can you call on this mongol this market bastard if you call on him first that means
    3:42:35 you want him to be the great khan he should not be the great khan of the mongol empire is this mongol
    3:42:41 empire number on and on you know you can imagine kind of scene well chingis khan is the greatest
    3:42:50 ruler in the world he’s sitting there being lectured by his second son and this is when he gave that
    3:42:57 impassioned speech to his now in the actually the way the secret history it makes it look like it was his
    3:43:05 assistant speaker who said it because very often the great power doesn’t say the words directly they let
    3:43:09 let somebody else say them for him have a spokesperson but anyway i i think it was his words and i think he
    3:43:15 said them on that day that’s what i think of this business of you do not know you were not there you
    3:43:20 know the stars were moving in the sky the head was heaven was turning around the earth was turning over
    3:43:25 you do not know who loved whom you do not know who your mother loved you do not know what your mother
    3:43:33 mother did and if i say he is my son who are you to say he is not my son by the way pretty just
    3:43:43 really high integrity really respectable to do that to have that respect and honor his uh
    3:43:51 uh wife in this way yes and his son in this way it’s really powerful i believe that i don’t know if
    3:43:56 she was alive at this point or not we do not have the death recorded mongols are not good at recording
    3:44:03 death they don’t they usually just say somebody finished their age or they have some euphemism for it
    3:44:12 but he made that impassioned speech and so god they had to submit and he said yes you are our father and we
    3:44:22 accept what you say but a deer shot with words cannot be loaded on a horse a deer shot with words cannot be eaten
    3:44:33 so singus han knew so he said to the boys the boys i mean these are middle-aged men they’re not
    3:44:40 boys but he said to the men what do you want to do what do you want to do and he said i don’t favor
    3:44:52 tsakade because of his attitude and the situation and talo is still hot-headed and he actually ended up being
    3:44:58 drunk and dying early so but the other guys they said well a good day they chose him because he was
    3:45:06 the most uh the most generous and the bon vivant and he was for every party and drinking every time and
    3:45:13 yeah one time shiggy hutuk the great judge who wrote the secret history shiggy hutuk was sleeping in a
    3:45:19 cart one time uh for whatever reason i don’t know what i think he also had passed out drunk perhaps
    3:45:24 but a good day came out drunk and grabbed him up and pulled him back into the party and a good day
    3:45:32 was a party guy and uh so he was chosen as the next great han of the mongol empire but fortunately
    3:45:40 there was sort of a plan b and that chingas khan had set up very powerful women his daughters
    3:45:49 but also he had chosen wives for each of his son very very capable wives and for a good day uh he
    3:45:55 had a wife it wasn’t even his first wife the first wife would usually be somebody closer by a certain
    3:46:02 clan or something but he had a very intelligent woman made dorchin and then uh she was more or less ruling in
    3:46:11 his last few years and then after he died she ruled empire uh in her own name she was the ruler of the
    3:46:19 greatest empire in world ever ruled by a woman it’s incredible the genius of jang is to set it up that way
    3:46:29 yes and to not you know there’s probably uh very widespread discrimination of women at that time
    3:46:34 and to have not care about any of that and just making the right decision
    3:46:37 yes for like what it will keep the empire together
    3:46:44 and dorchin was actually there was peace she stopped all campaigns there was peace during her time and the
    3:46:51 women like such as dorchin and others were extremely into economics and trade and running these they
    3:46:56 had these private corporations called ortok she was running her ortok and everything so she became much more
    3:47:02 interested in the economics of the trade and running the empire and it was a time of peace and she recognized
    3:47:10 that peace was better for trade it was better and so it was a peaceful time but like all of us you know we
    3:47:19 we have our weak points and she favored a worthless son to become the successor and
    3:47:25 none of the sons actually were great but a good they had favored another but anyway she favored
    3:47:35 her son and uh so she arranged to have him made the great emperor while she was still alive and she had a
    3:47:44 her primary minister was also a woman named fatima from the middle east and unfortunately they organized
    3:47:51 a purge of her court and killed off a lot of these people who had been supporting her and a lot of them
    3:47:56 were muslims and he killed off a lot and then he was going to march against the golden horde because
    3:48:03 they weren’t supporting him so he set off and he died he was only in office for 18 months
    3:48:13 and uh he was gone and then his wife took over ogal khamish unfortunately she was not capable as her
    3:48:21 mother-in-law dorajan ogal khamish was a bit greedy and uh she didn’t start any new wars but she just kind of
    3:48:26 messed up things and she didn’t rule for too long and this is why kubla khan’s mother sorakhtani
    3:48:33 was able to have a revolution she united with the golden horde she was on one end on china she had
    3:48:39 northern china the golden horde had russia the two of them united against the center and they overthrew
    3:48:47 ogal khamish and she put her son mon khan in who was succeeded by kublai khan and we should say probably
    3:48:52 that you know this whole succession by kin probably goes against the initial spirit
    3:49:01 of of what genghis khan stood for yes yes in the end he was a father and he favored his sons
    3:49:06 even knowing they were not so capable and he had lost a grandson that he loved
    3:49:18 but but but but he organized it though as what we call today almost a corporation all lands belong to
    3:49:25 everybody in the family everybody so kublai khan that’s why he had had soldiers there were christian
    3:49:33 soldiers uh osetian soldiers and kipchak soldiers he had 10 000 of each come in and then they owned the
    3:49:39 the russians would own silk factories in china the ilkhana would own silk factories in jade
    3:49:47 mines in china of the people in uh china the mongols they would own villages in persia and in ira so he
    3:49:54 organized it all as everything was owned by the entire clan it didn’t last too long
    3:50:01 i like that because of the divisions that developed so the great khan was primarily in charge
    3:50:08 of conquering and expanding the land so they had more lands to own that was going to be the job
    3:50:15 and kublai khan fulfilled it monk khan to some extent fulfilled it a good day did guik did not
    3:50:24 this family ruling the land all the different territories yeah and they weakened with every
    3:50:33 generation yeah every generation but that reminds me of a a very popular idea about genghis khan
    3:50:44 um articulated in the 2003 paper titled the genetic legacy of the mongols so that paper has a finding
    3:50:50 that estimates that 0.5 of the world’s male population is descended direct descendants
    3:50:57 of genghis khan i’ve heard you kind of be a little bit skeptical of this paper but i actually really
    3:51:05 like its findings i talked to a good friend of mine manolis kellis who’s a biologist computational
    3:51:10 biologist and geneticist and he he likes the paper as well i i find it really convincing but i think your
    3:51:18 skepticism has to do not necessarily with the paper’s contents but more the implication that it speaks to
    3:51:24 like the thing that maybe the people who think of genghis khan as a brutal barbarian
    3:51:34 uh assume that the reason is 0.5 of the population is because of some institutionalized mass rape
    3:51:40 conducted by genghis khan but to me and we actually spoke about this you can’t get those kinds of
    3:51:51 numbers with with rape um if you want for the empire uh to propagate the gene if you if you were a person
    3:51:58 that wanted to propagate the genes you would make sure that all the lands you conquer are stable flourishing
    3:52:05 and happy and so actually what this is this is much better explained in the paper indicates this um is
    3:52:14 better explained by it was of high value like social status value to be associated with the lineage of
    3:52:24 genghis khan and so that means that for many generations people loved the great khan the genghis khan and so in that
    3:52:33 sense given how vast the land was all the transformational effects it has on on trade on
    3:52:40 culture and so on uh it makes total sense and in fact the 0.5 percent just so people understand
    3:52:50 is just male descendants the the way it works that means if this paper is at all correct in its estimate
    3:52:57 that the number of people descendant not direct male descendants but you know the way trees work is like
    3:53:05 there’s women on each step so they’re the number of descendants could be much larger than that so i i
    3:53:11 think that’s pretty interesting and i think there’s singular figures like this in history but uh none
    3:53:20 like genghis it’s interesting it’s fun where did they get the dna from genghis khan oh yes so one of the
    3:53:26 criticism you have is like well they don’t have one shred of scientific they’re supposed to be
    3:53:32 scientific no they found that the bunch of people are connected yes and then they no no no to one
    3:53:38 person to one person yes but they choose genghis khan right there’s no evidence that it was from him
    3:53:45 no evidence it’s from that time it’s one person but from that time or 200 years before it could be 200
    3:53:52 years before yes yes see i mean actually i i would like for it to be true in a certain way i would and
    3:53:58 i do think there is a truth there yeah i think that by attaching it to the name of genghis khan they’ve
    3:54:03 done a disservice to themselves but it gets a lot of publicity a lot more funding and it’s exciting
    3:54:09 and so on but i think it’s to that mongol experience but chinghis khan’s descendants were almost
    3:54:16 everyone categorized and and recorded i mean he’s the largest conqueror in the world you do not have
    3:54:23 just children popping up all over the place he had four wives all the time he had children with two of
    3:54:28 them just not a lot of descendants we know mostly who they are for many generations
    3:54:35 his brother haser had many more children than he did many more and they caused a lot of problems
    3:54:41 later on for the empire too by by rivaling the power so it could be that one of these other people
    3:54:48 boden char the fool could have been the origin of this uh it could have been back well before chinghis
    3:54:57 khan i just don’t believe and in mongolia today we have nobody who claims descent from chinghis khan
    3:55:03 well claims is a different thing than biology right so this yes so the reason i say this is
    3:55:11 this methodology is pretty solid oh he’s i believe that they found some connection of people
    3:55:17 yeah but it’s they have no evidence that it’s really connected to chinghis khan i think it may
    3:55:23 be tangentially to connect it to him yeah but it’s somebody from the mongolia region yeah i think
    3:55:29 that’s quite possible but we’ve already had the hans come through we’ve had all the turks
    3:55:34 every one of the turkic nations is descended from mongolia yeah they all came out of mongolia
    3:55:39 i mean you’re right you’re right on the other hand i wish they could get
    3:55:45 some proof i mean i wish it could be true yeah i just can’t believe it the way it is
    3:55:52 we have no dna nobody knows where he went they don’t so they don’t know where he’s buried
    3:56:02 okay chinghis khan said let my body go let my nation live and he chose to be buried in an unmarked grave
    3:56:09 and the mongols believe very strongly it should always be that way most of the khans who followed him
    3:56:16 were also buried in a similar way the chinese emperors you know are buried in very elaborate tombs
    3:56:25 but not the yuan dynasty no and so kubla khan was buried back with his grandfather in an anonymous grave
    3:56:31 and um not everyone like going died when he was on campaign towards russia he was died out there i
    3:56:36 mean he was buried out there i think his uh i think his father good they was also buried out there
    3:56:42 that was more their homeland but uh many of them were buried with him and uh
    3:56:56 it’s known and not known at the same time you know it’s uh officially you you should not know it you
    3:57:02 cannot know it uh it should never be disturbed he should never be disturbed we’re not going to have a tour
    3:57:09 group coming in but you’re saying like the people of mongolia they have a sense they believe he’s in
    3:57:16 a certain place yes and they believe they know where the place is but they it’s sacred you can do nothing
    3:57:26 nothing just leave it as it is that’s no no roads no buildings no killing of animals no chopping of trees
    3:57:36 nothing can be done it’s a holy land dedicated to him and his family it’s pretty amazing unmarked grave
    3:57:45 yes for the the greatest conqueror in the history of humanity yeah uh for good and for bad the most
    3:57:50 impactful one of the most impactful humans in history yes i believe in his thing about let my nation live
    3:57:56 and and i say to people what they asked me well what did he look like and i say well that portrait
    3:58:01 was painted 50 years later by somebody who never saw him and actually if you look at the portrait of
    3:58:08 kubla khan and jengis khan they look alike except one’s old and one’s younger and i think that’s because
    3:58:15 kubla was trying to establish he wanted to establish his legitimacy as a real mongol that they looked
    3:58:20 alike but his grandfather said he didn’t and then okodeh khan and okodeh khan and monk khan looked
    3:58:24 different they looked so there was nothing but i say if you want to see the face of jengis khan walk in
    3:58:30 any gear in mongolia the first child you see that’s the face of jengis khan it’s his nation he created that
    3:58:38 nation that’s his face does that make you sad that he that there’s no
    3:58:48 you know from his time capturing of his image that he really made himself sort of disappear into the
    3:58:57 land does that make you sad no not at all no because he’s everywhere you know when you have
    3:59:03 these clans that are still operating in afghanistan and the russians are still using the yam system
    3:59:11 uh there are many aspects of him that are out there in the world and i think there i i find
    3:59:16 personal inspiration the same way that thomas jefferson did he found so much inspiration in
    3:59:22 the life of jengis khan and the books of jengis khan that you can still read he gave copy bought so many
    3:59:28 copies and gave like to the library of congress to the library of virginia the university of virginia and
    3:59:36 to his granddaughter you know these ideas live on and we still have not fulfilled them we do not have
    3:59:42 religious freedom we do not have the protections for women we do not have the protections for envoys and
    3:59:50 ambassadors uh the ideas live on and the rulers do not live as the common people to eat the same food
    3:59:59 wear the same clothes sleep in the same but not a bed in his case but sleep in the same uh situation
    4:00:11 and simple home no i have tremendous respect for leaders that live just as the people who they lead
    4:00:20 yes it’s yeah mostly not done um but when it is i have just infinite respect for that that is the way
    4:00:26 uh what lessons can you can we learn from jengis khan that applied to the modern world you’ve already
    4:00:33 said religious freedom some of these ideas well i think those his policy ideas i think are important
    4:00:38 we can still learn from that about protection of diplomats uh not buying and selling women not
    4:00:46 kidnapping women and uh having religious freedom of individuals but also he had interesting things
    4:00:54 he had tax-free status for all religions all physicians and all teachers they didn’t pay taxes
    4:01:03 in his empire uh as a former teacher i i embraced that idea out of pure greed and self-interest
    4:01:10 yes but it’s it’s not to me the idea of saving the money it’s the idea of focusing on that as something
    4:01:18 important for the society he didn’t say tax-free for any other category of people as i recall but just for
    4:01:23 those and that’s he’s highlighting the health of the people the education of the people and the spirit of
    4:01:32 the people their spiritual that’s very important that’s a a profound approach to life and so these are
    4:01:37 policies and i’m not advocating so much to policies but i think some of the general principles of
    4:01:45 being willing to learn from our mistakes admit your mistake to yourself correct it and go on with your
    4:01:53 life then all of us say it’s important but we don’t do it for the most part we don’t learn from our
    4:02:02 failures as much as we think the other idea of promoting people on ability i think that’s certainly
    4:02:08 an idea that is very valuable not in the simple way of meritocracy that we’ve done it with oh if you
    4:02:14 pass the exam with this score you get this or that but really evaluating people and their ability i think
    4:02:21 it’s a very good thing not the only thing but i think it’s very important and even though he failed
    4:02:28 in the end in his own life and he turned power over to his sons and his family it’s a principle that he
    4:02:35 lived by most of his life and we can learn from that principle the other thing i think is just his global
    4:02:42 feel for the world his global understanding here was a man who had had no education any formal sense
    4:02:49 and he had this sense that the world should be united we should have things that unite all people
    4:02:56 everybody should have their own law but there should be a higher law of heaven that governs people you
    4:03:00 know and this later was translated everybody should have their own language but they all write the same
    4:03:08 alphabet by kubla khan it didn’t work or his idea he tried to impose the use of paper currency in iran
    4:03:15 the persian ilkhanate chinese paper money it didn’t work the people there weren’t used to do so there but
    4:03:24 all this international spirit of their empire i think that we need today we talk about oh globalization
    4:03:32 we’re all connected it’s just incredible and we’re more provincial than ever we are just so provincial and and
    4:03:39 sometimes we use all this technology to help preserve our provincialism and we can’t think in global
    4:03:48 terms we can’t think about the world it’s just amazing to me how narrow-minded we are i also uh
    4:03:57 saw the mongol proverb of if you’re afraid don’t do it if you do it don’t be afraid yes that you uh
    4:04:03 uh especially celebrate i mean there is something to that this uh in many ways
    4:04:07 jenghis khan is a representation of a
    4:04:14 of a person like of a self-made man that person from nothing yes
    4:04:22 willed an entire empire into existence yes and everything against him that you can think of
    4:04:30 your own family deserting you your father dying at an early age all these things like that but
    4:04:33 as jamukha said he had a good mother and he had a good wife
    4:04:42 and there were many crucial points at which it was either his mother or his wife
    4:04:51 who made the deciding point his wife bush to was the one who caused the first break with uh
    4:04:59 jamukha to go away later on when the shamans had become too powerful and they had humiliated his
    4:05:07 younger brother she was the one who said he had to clamp down on the shamans who were exercising too much
    4:05:14 power and uh she guided him a lot it cannot be understated how important
    4:05:22 critical women are in the story of the mongol empire it’s fascinating sometimes you know we could
    4:05:27 say they’re not behind the scenes because they’re always out front in the mongol court they always sat up
    4:05:33 front they were always out front and this this horrified the chinese who are very good confused it
    4:05:40 horrified the muslims it horrified the christians they didn’t know what they said the women even drink
    4:05:49 in public okay yeah they drink in public you know uh they do what with it so sometimes it was like
    4:05:54 that but other times well as with durjin she’s actually the ruler or the case of his daughters
    4:06:01 such as um alakai beck who ruled over a part of northern china called the angut people and the
    4:06:08 other daughters who ruled over different they ruled in their own names and he’s very this is something
    4:06:13 about the secret history that upset me i get the chapter there all the sections are numbered i get to
    4:06:22 chapter or number or section 215 and there’s only half a sentence left in 214 he’s just awarded a
    4:06:26 a girl he calls his daughter so she’s probably a clan daughter but she lives with his mother at this
    4:06:35 point his youngest son talo is only four years old a tatar comes and mother heirloom gives him food
    4:06:40 because you food everybody he realized this is the mother of chingis han and that’s the child of chingis
    4:06:46 han he grabs him up and kidnaps him and runs out and he’s holding the child in one hand and he’s pulling
    4:06:53 out a knife with another hand altani raced out and she grabbed his arm and held it down and two men
    4:07:00 uh jeb and jen they were back behind the gear slaughtering an ox with an axe because that’s
    4:07:04 you have to do it in the shade behind the gear that’s you don’t do it in the light and so they
    4:07:10 were back there doing that and so they raced out with axe and they killed the man and so then chingis
    4:07:16 han is rewarding everybody for all their great deeds and gentlemen and jib they wanted to be rewarded for
    4:07:24 saving the life of talo he said no you killed the tatar altani saved his life because she held the hand
    4:07:31 that had the the knife until you got there to kill him she saved it and now we reward her so he’s finished
    4:07:39 that story in 214 we get to 215 he says now let us reward our daughters it’s actually only a phrase
    4:07:46 of that’s i said it’s a complete sentence but it’s not quite complete the rest is gone cut out
    4:07:55 it’s missing and i i was just so and i looked at all these different translations of how to different
    4:08:07 language and most often they translated as and now let us marry our daughters oh no oh no he was very
    4:08:15 clear in his wedding speeches to his daughters i give these people to you to rule you have three husbands
    4:08:22 you have your honor you have your nation and you have the man that i give to you
    4:08:30 but the man i give to you goes in the army with me and brings his soldiers you stay here and rule to
    4:08:35 people brilliant the chinese when they arrived in the court of altani they didn’t know what to think
    4:08:40 there she is ruling this area to all good people and they said well she can read and write and she’s
    4:08:48 the supreme judge and she doesn’t allow any death sentence without her permission and uh but they
    4:08:53 didn’t say which languages she could read and write that has really puzzled me a lot so you’re
    4:09:02 saying the secret history as we have gotten access to has been edited to to remove the significance of
    4:09:09 women even though they’re still there in that case i mean other cases with his mother they did not and
    4:09:17 all but i think in that case because what happened is most of these women had few offsprings because
    4:09:24 her husband was gone to war and altani of course she married several times sometimes all the sons of
    4:09:30 the last one you know but they were going off to war and they weren’t reproducing very only one tsetsegan
    4:09:37 who was ruling in siberia uh she was the one who had a whole bunch of daughters they wouldn’t be going
    4:09:41 off to war and so they actually spread out through the empire and did a lot of i had a lot of power
    4:09:48 uh later but what happened was the area for for all uh alakai beck for example was then taken over
    4:09:54 by kubla khan and then the areas all the turkey areas one by one were taken over by
    4:10:02 their nephews as they died out not in their own lifetime they didn’t kill the women off but as
    4:10:08 they they died out the men uh took it over and so then they just wanted to kind of erase it it’s
    4:10:15 like no northern china even though it was ruled by sora tani uh it always was mongol she was ruling
    4:10:19 because of her husband was mongol and her sons were mongol therefore they had the right to rule it
    4:10:26 so they cut out the women for those reasons i think any time it threatened the power of a particular man
    4:10:30 then there were other little things that are added in there sometimes you can find a phrase and
    4:10:39 it’s like that phrase was not in the original yeah in studying human history what have you learned
    4:10:46 about human nature and just the trajectory of humanity throughout the past several millennia
    4:10:54 i tend to have a certain love for individuals and persons but not a love for people in general and
    4:11:02 especially not for institutions i have i tend to have a great suspicion about almost everything and
    4:11:10 mistrust in institutions over and over and i think that’s my own prejudice and then i find reasons to
    4:11:17 support that and chinghis han was very good at destroying a lot of uh institutions or bringing
    4:11:23 them to heel within this empire so then i like that and i stress that and i i see those things
    4:11:30 things i think that’s one thing but other things that i learned from the mongol people in general not
    4:11:36 just about their history and all but how it’s possible to live for thousands of years in a place
    4:11:44 that for many people it’s not the most beautiful in the world it’s austere you have a band of mountains
    4:11:52 and with some trees and then big band of step and then a big band of sand gravel desert the gobi and for
    4:11:56 many people it wouldn’t it’s not appealing it’s just open there’s too much space it’s like we need to
    4:12:01 build something over here boy you could have a condo right there we could have a building we could sell
    4:12:09 them off and but i you know they haven’t given into that they really value their country they protect
    4:12:17 their country even now only one percent is privately owned they keep it down and in the mongolian records
    4:12:23 farm and city count as one category it’s just because it’s settled people it doesn’t matter
    4:12:27 you settle on a farm you settle in the city settled people one category and
    4:12:35 they lived there in this land that chingis han would return to and love
    4:12:41 if he returned to the capital city he would not know where he was he would have no idea and all the
    4:12:47 people would say i’ll be mongol ho and i’m mongolia yeah i’m mongol i have the hat i have the bell buckle
    4:12:53 i have the all the dell that’s all embroidered you know yeah i’m mongol and uh
    4:12:58 chingis han would say where’s your horse i’ll keep it in the countryside you know but
    4:13:07 he wouldn’t recognize the city but it’s still his country his people they worship him in a literal
    4:13:14 sense not the way we would worship god asking for favors but in the sense of worshiping him with praise
    4:13:20 they have so many songs to praise him and about half of the hip-hop in the country is in praise of
    4:13:26 chingis khan you know it’s something we can’t understand because when we pray we’re usually
    4:13:30 saying you know oh thank you god for this and that and the other and you’re so wonderful and i love you
    4:13:36 so would you please give me and would you please do this would you please stop this pain in my knee
    4:13:42 we’re asking for things all over the place but chingis han no no no one ever asked for anything
    4:13:50 they just honor him they just praise him and honor him if i wanted to visit mongolia what what would you
    4:13:56 recommend what’s what’s the right way well start with my home let’s start there you come over there
    4:14:01 it’s a nice valley i’m gonna have a nice valley there and uh
    4:14:08 i think almost any direction you go outside of the city is going to be interesting
    4:14:15 it kind of depends a little bit on on your purpose most people go south to the gobi and they do a
    4:14:21 loop to the gobi and around to karakoram hakhor in the old capital from a good day han but it was
    4:14:27 abandoned by kubla khan and then they circle back to the city and they may stop off to see the
    4:14:35 what we call prezwalski though the wild horse but they talk to see the tachi or they may go up
    4:14:42 to hufsko lake a big beautiful lake somewhat like baikal but much smaller so that’s a beautiful
    4:14:48 trip if you want to see the more turkic area where they hunt with eagles the far west is where the
    4:14:55 kazakh people live and the mountains are absolutely incredibly beautiful most mountains in mongolia
    4:15:02 are gentle beautiful but gentle the farther west you go the more dramatic they become the more pointed and
    4:15:10 peaked and snow covered then if you go to the eastern mongolia it’s tend to be very flat there are massive
    4:15:16 massive flocks of cranes that come in every year millions and millions of cranes there are also
    4:15:25 tundra swans that come in and golden ducks and all kinds of beautiful birds out there and so each area
    4:15:32 has something special if you want particularly the history of chingis han uh the mongolians love him
    4:15:40 they worship him but they don’t do too much to capitalize on his home area the hinti you can go to the
    4:15:47 hinti there are areas you cannot go to large large areas it’s forbidden but you can go but they don’t
    4:15:54 capitalize like this is the place no they they go there themselves out of respect
    4:16:03 but the only one place they built this statue of him which is the largest equestrian statue in the
    4:16:10 world but it’s the place where they say he found his whip which is when he was coming back from
    4:16:18 being at the camp of asking orgal han or torgal han or bang han to support him and he’s coming back
    4:16:24 to his family and on the way he supposedly found a whip there which is just a small stick with a couple
    4:16:31 of strands of rawhide at the end of it that’s used but for the mongolians it’s a symbolic thing
    4:16:39 because obviously it’s used for a horse but for the mongols your destiny your yourself your real is your
    4:16:48 himor your wind horse that lives inside of you your wind horse that guides you and gives you opportunities
    4:16:56 but it’s up to you to ride that wind horse it’s up to you to use the wind horse not to just go wild
    4:17:05 with the wind horse and so i think it’s that crucial moment he’s on his way back home and to go with
    4:17:12 jamukkah and the other soldiers to the market to rescue burstah and so symbolically he found a whip
    4:17:21 there but i think it it means that he found the way to control his destiny his fate that’s very
    4:17:29 important very important and that he did that was the beginning of yes yes and it’s symbolized in that
    4:17:34 statue some people think that he’s holding this stick that it’s a baton or something like that but no
    4:17:42 it’s that what they call the whip or to shoot we’ve talked a lot about the past if we look
    4:17:51 out into the future what gives you hope for human civilization for us humans well almost every day
    4:17:59 i’m totally dissatisfied with everything on earth you know it’s just that kind of old man blah blah blah blah
    4:18:04 blah blah what are they talking about my grandchildren are talking to me i don’t understand a word they say what
    4:18:10 are they what and who are they talking about i never heard of this you know it’s kind of like that and
    4:18:17 who’s running for office oh my god oh my god you know it’s everything like that but then almost every
    4:18:26 day i meet somebody just one person you know who gives you some kind of hope you just see somebody doing
    4:18:33 doing something nice and or or are they do something nice for you and i do find in asia that happens a lot
    4:18:39 you know that people just do nice things for old people every day and
    4:18:49 so then my dissatisfaction with all the big things in the world and the way my grandchildren talk and the way
    4:18:57 young people are and then i see something like that and often it’s something with the young people
    4:19:04 something that the young people do and in an asia they’re always bringing me things they bring me dried
    4:19:11 courage they bring me strawberries that they picked in the forest in the summer or or they bring the
    4:19:20 pine nuts that they found or they bring me to the milk in various forms or yogurt oh yeah everybody
    4:19:25 thinks you got to eat the yogurt this is from my grandmother and all the other yogurt in the world
    4:19:30 is not good but my grandmother she knows how to make the best yogurt ever
    4:19:39 you know and so over and over and over i find despite my all intentions to be in a bad mood
    4:19:48 you know somebody spoils you with these little nice acts that are really very touching very touching
    4:19:53 yeah and it reminds you that there’s that little flame of goodness that burns in everybody i i believe
    4:20:03 that that on the whole will keep humanity flourishing keep keep you know evolving and changing towards
    4:20:10 something better with every generation yes you know i’ve the people in mongolia take such good care
    4:20:18 of me all the time all the time and i think my wife had ms i’ve talked about this before sometimes she
    4:20:25 had ms and slowly declined for many years becoming paralyzed not able to speak not able to control her
    4:20:32 movements or anything and we lived half the year still in mongolia part of it was because the climate
    4:20:39 and the altitude were better for her situation uh it was very helpful for her but also the people
    4:20:46 there was a poor country the sidewalks are broken everything’s not working but i would go out with
    4:20:53 with her in a wheelchair alone and i knew that every bump some arm would pick her up and pick up the
    4:20:58 wheelchair and lift her over that and not make me do it we could go to the opera and you had to go up
    4:21:05 this magnificent set of soviet stairs to get to the opera you know we would go and i had no worries i knew
    4:21:10 two guys would come from one side two guys from the other side they would carry up and they do not say
    4:21:16 excuse me may i help you they do not wait for you to say thank you nothing they just do it and they walk
    4:21:24 away they have such respect singers would come there all the time to sing to warm up the house for my
    4:21:33 wife and they even dancers would come sometimes to dance or play the horsehead fiddle morin hur to play that
    4:21:39 to warm up the house for her to see how they treated a totally disabled person
    4:21:45 you know and if i was feeding my wife and somebody anyone anybody saw it they would come and immediately
    4:21:50 take over and start feeding her in their place children would come up to her in america
    4:21:53 they’re often afraid that she’s somebody in a wheelchair
    4:21:58 you know they just kind of look they don’t know what to do but over there the children would always
    4:22:05 come to her always they were very it you just learn something about the people and living there in a
    4:22:12 country where you out in the countryside you come to a gear you never ask for permission to go in
    4:22:19 you certainly don’t knock on the door frame that’s no that’s hugely offensive and you ask it’s like
    4:22:24 insulting the people like what you’re not good hospital people i have to ask you for something
    4:22:33 no you walk in and you sit down and they fix food for you it’s an incredible thing and these are the
    4:22:40 things that give me hope it’s no institution in the world no not the big things and not the pop
    4:22:47 culture and not all the platitudes oh my god save us from the platitudes of modern life you know
    4:22:53 yeah it’s true it’s the family that will fix tea for you and two in the morning because
    4:22:59 there was a flash flood and you got stuck and now you’re cold and wet and they build a fire and take
    4:23:05 care of you or you just show up and you make camp somewhere if you have your own tent and i swear
    4:23:11 within one hour some child is going to be there with water and milk you think where did you come from
    4:23:17 but the mother sends them over oh there’s somebody over there in the forest they believe that they’re
    4:23:24 we’re obligated to take care of one another anybody in your area you take care of them and things like
    4:23:33 that individuals do give me hope people one by one or a few at a time even though i’m lost in the modern
    4:23:44 world uh well i’m glad you find your way you mentioned that your wife is no longer with us
    4:23:49 what’s a favorite memory you have with her
    4:23:55 well i could say a favorite picture is a lake we used to go to called um
    4:24:04 uh in the middle and somebody a very nice friend uh took a picture of us
    4:24:08 towards the end we’re just sitting there watching the sunset over the lake that we’ve
    4:24:16 been to many many times in life and you know she’s holding she we’re holding hands she’s in the chair
    4:24:23 paralyzed and we’re just sitting there staring off in the distance you know and that’s one of my favorites but
    4:24:30 with my wife i was just blessed with a good wife that
    4:24:37 was exciting she was the most beautiful woman i had ever met my whole life she was smart she would
    4:24:43 talk to people about anything she talked about jazz or physics or art i mean i my life is so small and
    4:24:53 narrow but my wife she’s the one who gave me a life she the truth is a very odd people don’t believe
    4:25:00 sometimes i failed english in college i barely got in college nobody in my family i’d grown up with my
    4:25:05 grandparents mostly countryside and they had third grade education my father had seventh grade i went to
    4:25:12 live with him uh after the grandparents died and and my mother there was no big education there in the
    4:25:18 family but i somehow got to college my father told me to go he didn’t want me to go to the war in vietnam
    4:25:24 so he volunteered to go because there was the the rule that they they couldn’t send two people from one
    4:25:29 family against their will that was mainly designed to protect brothers but he could go as the father and
    4:25:35 then i could go to college you know so i got to college and i can’t say oh i was drinking and having
    4:25:42 a party and not serious no i was trying like hell to pass that course i failed english i failed it
    4:25:48 and this was just a huge shame to me in fact after one year i was put on probation to be kicked out of
    4:25:55 the school my grades were so low overall you know and then so it took me a long time to confess this to
    4:26:02 my wife after we met you know i met her i’d briefly had known her in high school but just
    4:26:08 not well or anything but anyway we met later and and i told her and she just looked at me she said
    4:26:15 what does a professor know it’s just a professor you can write anything you want yeah and she had
    4:26:20 the power to make me believe everything she said i don’t care what she said i would believe it and i
    4:26:27 always said yeah that’s right that’s just a professor yeah what you know and she inspired
    4:26:34 me but she also she supported me all the way through graduate school she was taking some courses of her
    4:26:41 own and she was doing graduate work but but she inspired me but she told me i said i want to write
    4:26:47 for more people than just for other scholars i’ve done this dissertation a phd and it’s just dry as
    4:26:54 the sargoby desert you know and and i didn’t know what to do and she said
    4:27:02 just tell the story to me but i can’t see you while you tell it you’re on the radio and i’m listening in
    4:27:10 my car driving somewhere just tell the story to me and to this day almost every word i write
    4:27:18 it’s always just tell the story to her the way that she would like it and i always read the books to
    4:27:26 her even she couldn’t comprehend too much you know but she just loved hearing the book because
    4:27:35 it was mine and you know in the last years of her life i gave up the teaching and we we went back to our
    4:27:41 original home in south carolina and i said okay we’re just going to live here and watch the ocean
    4:27:48 and do things like that and just be worthless teenagers and my wife used to have episodes of
    4:27:54 clarity i i have no idea what what caused i mean it might be two hours it might be seven or eight hours
    4:28:01 and what and we would talk a lot and so one time she said to me she said
    4:28:11 this disease is going to take my life but it’s taking your life she said you gave up teaching
    4:28:19 and you gave up writing and she said how do you expect me to die in peace if i know that you gave
    4:28:30 up everything to this disease she said you should write and so every single day we sat together by the
    4:28:37 water oh i mean by the window i moved it into the dining room overlooking the water we sat there at the
    4:28:43 desk and she sat in her wheelchair next to me and sometimes we would play a little soft music in the
    4:28:48 background a little bit and for the most part she couldn’t talk but she liked to just sit there
    4:28:57 beside me working and she knew that she was inspiration she knew she was the battery that kept me going you
    4:29:07 know i how on earth i ever had a wife like that i don’t know that’s beautiful jack
    4:29:15 that’s really beautiful you know i i just hit the jackpot with her and i see so many people that get
    4:29:23 by and they even like each other or they’re friends or something but in my life there was one person i
    4:29:30 love my children i still do i love my grandchildren even i don’t understand them but yeah but there’s one
    4:29:39 one person in my life and that was my wife for 44 years and her funeral was on our anniversary
    4:29:45 i mean that’s just the way life works out you know but i was very lucky very lucky
    4:29:55 if uh the two of you lived and met a few centuries ago i might be reading a history book about you
    4:30:02 concrete no no no and if she said you know you should uh you should do this maybe she said it i
    4:30:10 probably would have believed exactly exactly she was too busy enjoying the world you know and you know
    4:30:17 in her final i i could not ask her questions and i would not say oh you remember that no i never would
    4:30:24 say that because i knew she could remember but when she was being restless or something in the night or
    4:30:32 i used to recite scenes from our life and just give the scene without saying do you remember but the last
    4:30:39 night i certainly didn’t know that she was going but it was a rough night and we went back to
    4:30:49 the first night that we had in moscow we came in december in the winter and the snow was so beautiful and white
    4:30:56 and the yellow lights shining on it and then the most beautiful night we went to the bolshoi
    4:31:05 and she had this elegant blue wool coat from her grandmother from the 1920s with a huge
    4:31:15 it’s so ironic it was a a blue wolf but it’s gray blue like the mongrel handsome gray blue collar this
    4:31:21 huge collar she just looked like a movie star from the 20s or something and we went to see
    4:31:29 maya plesetskaya and it was one of the most beautiful nights but her last night
    4:31:37 i told her that story again you know of all the details i’d gone through it many times but her
    4:31:43 coat from her grandmother whom she loved very much and the snow and the yellow lights and we arrived at
    4:31:49 night because of course the flight was late and um uh then the next night going to the bolshoi and
    4:31:52 all those beautiful things from russia
    4:32:02 that was it she was an inspiration i have many many nights or many days of great memories you know
    4:32:07 you’re gonna make me cry jack oh no that was beautiful you’re a beautiful human being um
    4:32:15 it’s uh it’s really an honor to talk to you this was such a fascinating journey through human history
    4:32:21 about one of the most impactful humans in human history well i thank you very much and the amount of
    4:32:27 research when i realized how much research you had done i felt like you’re gonna know things i don’t
    4:32:31 know and you’re gonna trick me and pull something out and i’m gonna be shamed in front of the whole
    4:32:37 world there’s only one piece of research left is me going to mongrel and and and riding there
    4:32:43 on the step that would be uh that would be incredible so come come i will thank you so much for talking
    4:32:50 today jack thank you thanks for listening to this conversation with jack weatherford to support this
    4:32:55 podcast please check out our sponsors in the description and consider subscribing to this
    4:33:01 channel and now let me answer some questions and try to articulate some things i’ve been thinking about
    4:33:07 if you would like to submit questions including in audio and video form go to lexfriedman.com
    4:33:15 slash ama or if you want to contact me for other reasons go to lexfriedman.com contact and now
    4:33:23 allow me to make a few comments on the ever-evolving moral landscape of human civilization throughout our
    4:33:29 10 000 year history i was listening to dan carlin’s excellent eye-opening five and a half hour episode
    4:33:37 of hardcore history titled human resources it covered the topic of slavery the atlantic slave trade
    4:33:44 to be exact one of the lessons i took from this episode is that the long arc of history is full of
    4:33:51 atrocities as we modern day humans understand them with the wisdom of time and moral progress
    4:33:58 but during each period of history as dan documents it was difficult for the majority of people to see
    4:34:05 just where the line between good and evil is we humans after all forever like to weave a story
    4:34:13 in which we are the good guys listening to dan discuss and later myself reading first-hand accounts of
    4:34:20 slaves of torture of rape of separation of families is incomprehensibly heartbreaking
    4:34:26 by the way in this topic first-hand accounts of slavery can be read in slave narratives a folk history of
    4:34:32 slavery in the united states from interviews with former slaves i can recommend the book that i’ve been
    4:34:39 reading which is voices from slavery a hundred authentic slave narratives it all seems deeply and
    4:34:46 obviously wrong by today’s standards but slavery was seen as normal through most of human history
    4:34:53 thomas jefferson the man who wrote all men are created equal which i think is one of the most powerful
    4:34:59 things that’s important in the most powerful ways of human history he himself was a slave owner making
    4:35:05 him a fascinating case study of contradictions in fact there’s evidence that thomas jefferson drew from
    4:35:13 genghis khan’s ideas about the importance of religious freedom pulling as he did foundational ideas of human
    4:35:21 freedom from the jaws of deep history and dan in his episode documents these contradictions and complexities quite well
    4:35:28 the full range of human psychology involved including how violations of basic human rights breed
    4:35:36 generational hatred this i think is an important lesson to understand the consequences of our moral failings
    4:35:42 can reverberate through decades even centuries and that is perhaps one of the values of studying history
    4:35:51 it is laden with atrocities but it also contains people who while flawed dare to rise in some way
    4:35:57 about the moral decrepitude of the day to try to build a foundation of a slightly better future world
    4:36:04 as mlk jr put it the arc of moral universe is long but it bends towards justice
    4:36:14 and now please allow me to say a few words about gaza israel and palestine i’m not sure i’m eloquent
    4:36:22 enough or know quite the right words to express what i’m feeling but let me try i think what is happening
    4:36:31 in gaza is an atrocity and i think that the israeli government is directly responsible for it and to the
    4:36:37 degree the us government is assisting the israeli government in this which i believe it currently is
    4:36:46 it needs to stop immediately for me as an american makes me sick to know that my government has any role
    4:36:57 in this atrocity this needs to stop yes there’s geopolitical and military complexity nuance and
    4:37:05 historical context that i’m told by some so-called experts that one must understand and perhaps they
    4:37:12 are smarter than me but like mentioned before unlike the moral complexity of deep history that i’ve often
    4:37:21 spoken about from the roman empire to the atlantic slave trade this is the 21st century this is today
    4:37:30 in this the 21st century i see things quite simply and clearly to me the death of a child is a tragedy
    4:37:38 it doesn’t matter what their skin color is what their religion is or what plot of land they call home
    4:37:46 in my view they are all equal and the death of each child is a tragedy
    4:37:55 hamas did a definitively evil act on october 7th brutally murdering over 1 000 civilians
    4:38:04 but now the acts of war conducted by the israeli government have led to the death of over 60 000 people in gaza
    4:38:12 likely over 80 000 people of which at least 17 000 are children 17 000
    4:38:22 17 000 i’m not smart enough to know the path to peace and flourishing of all the peoples in the region
    4:38:31 but i do know that what has been happening in gaza cannot be the way suffering at this kind of scale
    4:38:42 breeds generational hate that leads to more evil in the world not less to more destruction to more suffering
    4:38:52 this has to stop two years ago i spoke with many palestinians in the west bank on camera and off
    4:38:59 there’s a video of it up if you want to hear their voices for yourselves it was a deeply moving experience
    4:39:06 for me and i’m grateful for it in the future i hope to find a way to talk to people in gaza
    4:39:12 i still think it’s valuable to talk to leaders historians soldiers activists from all perspectives
    4:39:20 but the most powerful and moving conversations for me on mic and off have always been with everyday people
    4:39:29 this always felt like where the truth is the deeper truth of life of pain fear of hope
    4:39:39 and i still have hope i believe we humans are good at the core and i know we’ll find our way thank
    4:39:53 you for listening i love you all

    Jack Weatherford is an anthropologist and historian specializing in Genghis Khan and the Mongol Empire.
    Thank you for listening ❤ Check out our sponsors: https://lexfridman.com/sponsors/ep476-sc
    See below for timestamps, and to give feedback, submit questions, contact Lex, etc.

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    EPISODE LINKS:
    Jack’s Books: https://amzn.to/3ISziZr
    Genghis Khan and the Making of the Modern World: https://amzn.to/4l45LsY
    The Secret History of the Mongol Queens: https://amzn.to/4l22uud
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    OUTLINE:
    (00:00) – Introduction
    (00:44) – Sponsors, Comments, and Reflections
    (10:44) – Origin story of Genghis Khan
    (52:30) – Early battles & conquests
    (1:05:11) – Power
    (1:07:33) – Secret History
    (1:20:58) – Mongolian steppe
    (1:24:16) – Mounted archery and horse-riding
    (1:32:36) – Genghis Khan’s army
    (1:48:49) – Military tactics and strategy
    (2:01:13) – Wars of conquest
    (2:05:37) – Dan Carlin
    (2:15:37) – Religious freedom
    (2:31:24) – Trade and the Silk Road
    (2:40:10) – Weapons innovation
    (2:41:40) – Kublai Khan and conquering China
    (3:23:31) – Fall of the Mongol Empire
    (3:50:26) – Genetic legacy
    (4:00:20) – Lessons from Genghis Khan
    (4:10:36) – Human nature
    (4:13:47) – Visiting Mongolia
    (4:33:15) – Lex: Dan Carlin
    (4:36:06) – Lex: Gaza

    PODCAST LINKS:
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  • The Path from “No Skills” to $3k a Month on the Side (Greatest Hits)

    AI transcript
    0:00:05 Here’s an oldie but a goodie from the archives from the Side Hustle Show Greatest Hits Collection.
    0:00:10 How one Side Hustle Show listener turned a challenging situation into a new income stream
    0:00:15 or the path from no skills to three grand a month on the side.
    0:00:22 What’s up, what’s up? Nick Loper here. Welcome to the Side Hustle Show because
    0:00:28 every expert was once a beginner. Like many parents, I’ve been spending a lot more time
    0:00:33 with my kids over the last couple months, which has been a great silver lining to the
    0:00:38 whole having preschool closed thing. And one thing that is fascinating to me about spending
    0:00:43 this extra time with the kids is the pace of their learning. They’re two years old and four
    0:00:49 years old for the sake of reference, and they’re picking up new stuff daily. What’s weird is
    0:00:54 as adults, we start to think of our skill sets as fixed. A kid would never think that way.
    0:00:58 There’s just stuff they haven’t learned yet. And that brings me to today’s guest,
    0:01:07 Chris Misterich of selfmadewebdesigner.com. It’s an appropriate URL for Chris because he’s a self-made,
    0:01:15 largely self-taught web designer. He went from being in a tight spot personally and financially to bringing
    0:01:20 in an average of three grand a month on the side through his new web design business. Stick around in
    0:01:25 this one to hear how Chris picked up this new skill set on the cheap, how he found his first clients,
    0:01:30 and how he’s marketed and grown the business since then. And the important note here is that this is
    0:01:36 replicable across any number of industries. In fact, I just hit publish on a blog post on some of the
    0:01:42 highest paid and most in-demand freelance skills. Don’t have any skills worth paying for? Go learn
    0:01:47 some, just like Chris did. Notes and links for this one, plus the full text summary of our conversation
    0:01:54 with all of Chris’s top tips from the call are at sidehustlenation.com slash selfmade. I’ll be back
    0:01:59 with my top takeaways from this chat with Chris, including the only known cure for imposter syndrome
    0:02:02 after the interview. Ready? Let’s do it.
    0:02:13 So about six years ago, my wife of 10 years decided that she was done with our relationship. So that made
    0:02:20 a crisis for me, obviously relationally, but also financially. And so I had to figure out a way
    0:02:27 fairly quickly to learn how to make some extra income on the side for me and my three daughters
    0:02:32 as a single dad. So I knew that I wanted to stay in my full-time job, knew I didn’t want to leave that,
    0:02:38 but also knew like the salary that I was getting from that wasn’t cutting it. And so off of the
    0:02:46 suggestion of a friend, ended up looking into web design and found some free online courses and just
    0:02:52 plowed my way through them as quick as I could. And a few months later was telling people that I was a
    0:02:57 web designer. So you weren’t working in tech at the time. You didn’t have, you didn’t study this stuff
    0:03:01 in school or anything. Just a friend out of the blue says, Hey, you ought to consider web design.
    0:03:02 You’re like, sure.
    0:03:08 You’re right. I was in a completely unrelated field. I was essentially the equivalent of a full-time
    0:03:14 musician. So I was what’s called a worship pastor at a church here in Phoenix. So I led just a team of
    0:03:21 volunteers that did all the music for all of our services. And so web development was, was never in
    0:03:28 my purview. Like never thought of myself of being someone that went down that avenue. And so as soon
    0:03:33 as I started doing some tutorials and doing some online courses, I instantly found out like, Hey,
    0:03:39 I really love this stuff. And like I said, started telling people I was a web designer, probably had
    0:03:46 no business telling people that, but a few gracious friends gave me a shot and just slowly started
    0:03:53 building a freelance business. And about 18 months in, I had doubled the income of my full-time
    0:03:58 salary at the church and was able to sustain everything that was happening in my daughter’s
    0:04:04 life and in our life. And it was just such a, such a crazy thing to happen to kind of force me into
    0:04:10 teaching myself and staying up late nights, but, but really kind of grateful for it to be in this place.
    0:04:15 And I think it’s tough to see that when you first get started, it’s, it’s tough to see that when you
    0:04:19 get through the other side of this, you’re going to be better off than when you first started. But
    0:04:24 that certainly was the case for me. It definitely is. And I want to highlight something that you said
    0:04:30 there was you started introducing yourself as a web designer, even if, you know, maybe in practical
    0:04:35 purposes, you had no business doing though, but like establishing that internally as part of your
    0:04:39 identity. Like, yes, this is what I am. This is what I do. I think that was really powerful.
    0:04:47 Did you give any thought or hesitation to the fact that the world is already crawling with web designers?
    0:04:50 Like how am I going to compete with all these people who actually know what they’re doing?
    0:04:57 Yeah, for sure. I’m, I’m the kind of person that jumps both feet in before I really consider things.
    0:05:02 And sometimes that turns out negatively, but it, in this case, it, it turned out,
    0:05:06 it turned out great. And I think anytime you’re, you’re looking at a field where there’s,
    0:05:12 where there’s a need, you do need to consider like, okay, who’s out there already and what’s my
    0:05:19 competition. But I think at the end of the day, there’s no one person that is going to connect
    0:05:24 to all of these people out there. If there’s a big enough market, then there’s a big enough need.
    0:05:31 I might not be as good as other people in certain things, but I know my personality might connect with
    0:05:36 business owners a little bit better than other people’s personalities or the fact that I’m,
    0:05:42 I’m communicative and I follow up and I make deadlines and I hit them. Like there are ways
    0:05:46 to stand out. Even if you feel like the market is, is saturated.
    0:05:51 Yeah. And on top of that, so it’s a big market, but it’s also a growing market. So it’s not necessarily
    0:05:58 a business that relies on carving out market share from somebody else. It’s, Hey, there are more and more
    0:06:02 businesses that are going to need a website and I can make a name for myself there.
    0:06:09 The web design market is, is certainly changing and it has changed and it will continue to change.
    0:06:15 So from when I first started, it’s even harder now to get into it. And so I don’t think you should ever
    0:06:21 come into something that’s a side hustle with the idea of, I’m going to learn a skill and then bunker
    0:06:25 in and be set for the rest of my life. I think you have to come at it of, I’m always going to be
    0:06:30 learning. I’m always going to be adding new skills. I’m always going to be discovering what it is that my
    0:06:37 clients can really value from could, could really benefit from, and then adding additional skills or
    0:06:43 bringing other people on your team and adding other components to what you have to offer. Because
    0:06:48 it was 10 years ago that if you wanted a website, you had to know how to do web development. But now
    0:06:49 that’s, that’s just not the case.
    0:06:56 Right. There’s so many off the shelf platforms and whether customers are educated on those or not,
    0:07:01 are they just like, Hey, they want a custom job. Then they come out and they can hire you for that
    0:07:07 versus picking a template off of Wix or Weebly or Squarespace or even, you know, any of the thousands
    0:07:08 of free WordPress themes.
    0:07:17 Exactly. You know, I liken it to the fact that fast food restaurants will never shut down really good
    0:07:22 steakhouses. There’s just no way. And so there will always be a differentiation between what you have
    0:07:27 to offer versus what somebody else has to offer. So as long as you’re coming about it with eyes wide
    0:07:33 open and saying, okay, what, what makes me different than everybody else? And who can I connect with
    0:07:37 better than everybody else? You’re going to find a place in the market. You’re going to find a place
    0:07:40 of people to find projects from.
    0:07:44 All right. Tell me about the self-education phase. Was this just a matter of Googling like
    0:07:52 how to be a web designer? Like curious what queries or like what gave you the base level education to
    0:07:58 start to feel confident to put a price tag and charge real money for, for customers?
    0:08:05 Yeah. So I first started with a platform called Code Academy. And at the time it was 100% free.
    0:08:11 Every single thing that they offered, you didn’t have to pay for. It’s, it’s since gone on to have
    0:08:18 like a tier of paid courses and a tier of free courses. And honestly, what is free now is the
    0:08:25 equivalent to what I took when I first got started. So that gave me kind of the basic essential knowledge
    0:08:30 that I needed just to start building things. But what I always encourage people to do if they’re
    0:08:37 looking at getting into web development or web design is to just start building projects. After
    0:08:44 you get the fundamentals, you learn most from doing and online courses can be really tricky.
    0:08:49 They can give you kind of a false sense of security and that you know what you’re doing. And then,
    0:08:53 you know, all of a sudden you’ve got a job for somebody and you’re tough out of luck because there’s
    0:08:56 not somebody there typing the code out for you as you go.
    0:08:59 Yeah. It’s, it’s all theory until you put it into practice.
    0:09:05 Right. And so I took a course that my community college close to me had a course online,
    0:09:11 but after that, like it was me and Google being best friends for months as we tried figuring stuff
    0:09:18 out. You know, it’s a slow process at first and you definitely get frustrated. But the crazy thing is
    0:09:24 like, I just went full-time this last year as a, as a UX designer for a company. And, and I thought I
    0:09:29 was going to come and sit amongst all of these web developers who didn’t ever have to look anything
    0:09:34 up or never ran into any errors or like they, every code that they wrote was absolutely perfect, but
    0:09:38 they were doing the same things that I’m doing and what I was doing when I first got started.
    0:09:43 So there’s this real big misconception that in order to be a web developer, you have to know
    0:09:45 absolutely everything. And that’s just not the case.
    0:09:50 I’m really glad you said that. Cause I, I do the same thing, like how to do such and such
    0:09:57 in WordPress. And I end up on some help desk thread or plugin support thread. And yeah, I’m,
    0:10:02 I’m out there Googling stuff every day. And that’s kind of a technical element, but it’s like the same
    0:10:07 thing, like how to set up such and such in Google analytics, like the answers are out there. And it’s
    0:10:11 like, you have the confidence to say, yes, I know how to do this. Yes. I know how to find these
    0:10:16 answers. You don’t expect nowadays to have like this infinite knowledge bank in your head. You don’t
    0:10:22 need it. I’m curious what school will look like for our kids as it’s like, why do we have to memorize
    0:10:24 this stuff? I can access this in 15 seconds.
    0:10:30 Right. Well, I remember being a kid and in order to, to know anything outside of what you were taught
    0:10:36 in school, like you either had to spend tons of time in a library or your, your family had to
    0:10:41 subscribe to the Encyclopedia Britannica, which was, you know, a huge chunk of money. And so
    0:10:47 it’s just so different now that there’s so much knowledge at your fingertips that if, if you want
    0:10:51 to learn something like whatever it is, it doesn’t have to be web development. It could be copywriting.
    0:10:56 It could be digital marketing. It could be Google analytics. There, there’s a market for it and there
    0:11:03 are places and avenues to learn it for free. Yes, absolutely. So trying to figure out what is the large
    0:11:09 and growing market segment that you’re something at least somewhat interested in. And, you know,
    0:11:14 you have the competence and maybe persistence to figure out how to learn and how to become
    0:11:20 good at it. Right. The passion I imagine follows doing the work in most cases, at least that’s the,
    0:11:24 the Cal Newport bit. It’s like, don’t, don’t start a business around your passion,
    0:11:28 start a business around something you are good at, that you care about, and then watch the passion
    0:11:33 follow. And I always give the example of podcasting, like episode one had zero passion for
    0:11:37 podcasting. I didn’t know what I was doing. Nobody does. Right. It’s like, but over the years I’ve
    0:11:42 become super passionate about podcasting. So that is an important point as well. And like you said,
    0:11:47 we’re looking at this through the lens of web design, but we’ve seen it from other guests in the
    0:11:53 world of knife sharpening, in the world of bookkeeping, in the world of, you know, any skill,
    0:11:57 you name it, right? You can go out and learn the skills for that. It’s just a matter of,
    0:12:01 is this something you can see yourself doing long-term that you care enough to put in the
    0:12:07 education effort? So I like that part. Where did you go from there to saying now,
    0:12:10 Hey, I’m Chris, I’m a web designer, hire me.
    0:12:17 Well, eventually I built enough websites for friends that I didn’t have any more friends to
    0:12:17 build websites for.
    0:12:21 Were you doing that stuff just for free for practice?
    0:12:27 No. Well, the first one was for free. And then after that, I would approach it and just say like,
    0:12:34 Hey, I’m learning web design and I’d love to do a website for your business. And I’ll give you a
    0:12:39 great deal because I’m just getting started. So after that first one, I never did it for free.
    0:12:45 And, and most of my friends were gracious enough to know that I would put enough work into it to be
    0:12:50 valuable to them. And I think a lot of people who get started think they have to be free for a really
    0:12:56 long time. And I don’t necessarily think that’s the case. I think you can start to charge fairly
    0:13:01 soon. If you know that what you’re giving brings value to the person that is getting the website,
    0:13:08 right? So every time I got a project, like, let’s say my first, my first paid gig was like 500 bucks
    0:13:13 for a website. Right. And so then every single one after that, I would double my rates. So my next one
    0:13:19 was a thousand. And then my next one was 2000 and my next one went on to 4,000. And eventually I got
    0:13:24 to a place where like, okay, this is, I’m getting a good value and I’m giving a good value to the people
    0:13:31 that are getting my services. Yeah. So that went on and eventually I had to start looking outside of
    0:13:36 my social network. Everybody, you know, has already, you’ve already done them, built them a website.
    0:13:41 Okay. Right. Exactly. And we laugh at that, but I think a lot of people dismiss that. I feel like
    0:13:47 there’s a lot more people in your, in people’s world to be able to say, Hey, let me give you this
    0:13:52 service, build you this website for money that, that might be connected to you. That might be close to
    0:13:56 you. Cause I’ve talked to a lot of people who are like, I don’t, I just don’t know anybody that would
    0:14:02 need one. And I’m like, okay, go sit down, write down a list of a hundred people that, you know,
    0:14:06 and then everybody that has a business or is connected to somebody that has a business,
    0:14:11 you reach out to them and see if they might need your help with a website. And surprisingly,
    0:14:14 they all come back to me and they’re like, Oh yeah, you were right. There was this person that
    0:14:19 needed a website. Yeah. Was it uncomfortable in any way pitching your direct network?
    0:14:23 I mean, there is always, there is always that little bit, especially when you’re first getting
    0:14:28 started, there’s, there’s that feeling of like, Oh man, I want to make sure that I’m not just
    0:14:34 pulling the wool over my friend’s eyes. But I think if, if you are a good person and you come
    0:14:40 at it as like, if this fails, I’m not going to take their money from them because they’re taking a risk
    0:14:45 on me. And so because of that, I’m going to take a risk that if I can’t figure this out, it’s just
    0:14:51 going to be my own wasted time. That’s the thing with sales in general. If you look at pitching your
    0:14:56 services to somebody as the greasy snake oil salesman, then you’re going to feel that way.
    0:15:01 no matter how good of a person you are, no matter how good of a freelancer or web designer you are.
    0:15:07 But if you look at it as I have something valuable to offer people and people are willing to pay for
    0:15:13 it, then it becomes more, much more, you’re a servant to their needs more than anything else.
    0:15:17 Yeah. I’ve always had such a hard time with that, especially like in this particular space,
    0:15:21 because it’s like, Oh, you know, but I could do it myself for free or something. But it’s like,
    0:15:26 maybe the client doesn’t have time to do that. They don’t want to do that. They’re just happy to,
    0:15:30 you know, have a custom thing. And so it’s like, you know, get out of your own head if you’re kind
    0:15:36 of thinking in that sense. Yeah, absolutely. And I think when it comes down to it, building a website,
    0:15:41 designing a good website, that’s actually going to benefit a company or a business is a lot harder
    0:15:45 than people think it is. And I’ve had so many clients that come to me and say,
    0:15:51 we did our best with this website, and it’s just not any good. Can you help us? You know?
    0:15:51 Yeah.
    0:15:55 And so then it’s like, yeah, for sure. Like, those are the clients that would come to me.
    0:15:59 More with Chris in just a moment, including how he expanded his client base
    0:16:02 beyond his personal network, coming up right after this.
    0:16:07 For such an important channel like Phone, the software powering this important channel was
    0:16:13 super outdated and clunky. We wanted to make it delightful and make it very easy for businesses
    0:16:16 to connect with their customers, so do voice and text.
    0:16:22 That’s Darina Kulia, co-founder of our sponsor, OpenPhone. Trusted by more than 60,000 customers,
    0:16:27 this is the number one business phone system that streamlines and scales your customer communications.
    0:16:33 I like to think of it like a centralized hub to receive and respond to calls and texts in your
    0:16:37 business. And I asked Darina about who’s typically signing up for this kind of service.
    0:16:44 We definitely have a lot of folks who come to us and their personal cell phone has become their
    0:16:49 company phone number and they’ve hired a team or they’re starting to scale their business
    0:16:53 and they just find themselves as a business owner, as a founder being the bottleneck.
    0:17:01 So we see that all the time. And then we also see folks much further along where they’re using some
    0:17:06 legacy complicated tools that are just not really made for how communication happens these days.
    0:17:13 We also just recently launched Sona, which is our voice AI agent that can handle any missed
    0:17:19 calls. If you have clients calling outside of business hours, instead of them going to voicemail,
    0:17:26 it can go into Sona, which is capable to handle any replies and can also take a message.
    0:17:28 So you are capturing that lead information.
    0:17:34 And it’s like, and it’s a robot, like it responds like on the fly with some pre-programmed responses.
    0:17:38 It does such a great job. This way they can handle questions 24 seven.
    0:17:44 Now here’s a scenario for you. So let’s say I’ve committed to a certain business phone number.
    0:17:50 I’ve distributed flyers. It’s printed on my business cards. It is on my local business listings on
    0:17:56 directories throughout the internet. Like what’s the process to now have that ring open phone system
    0:17:57 versus the current system?
    0:18:03 So we see this all the time. This process is called phone number porting. We port numbers
    0:18:10 from all kinds of carriers. So basically no matter what provider you’re using, we can take that number
    0:18:15 and move it over to open phone. It is free. We handle the whole thing. And if you want to try out open phone,
    0:18:20 we have a free trial. You can try it out, see how you like it. And if you like it, you can then
    0:18:24 decide to port your existing number over and we handle the whole process.
    0:18:29 Now open phone has automatic AI call summaries. So you don’t have to worry about taking notes while
    0:18:35 you’re on the call. But another cool feature is what Doreena called AI call tagging, basically
    0:18:41 allowing you to quickly filter for the calls that were sales objections or customer complaints or
    0:18:46 requests for a discount. So you can review those and see what worked, what didn’t and train team
    0:18:51 members on the most effective tactics and language in those cases. And it’s all in the name of building
    0:18:55 a better, faster and friendlier customer experience.
    0:18:58 I want all open phone customers to have five stars only.
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    0:20:30 It’s more than just putting pretty pictures in the right places. It’s testing designs and layouts out.
    0:20:35 It’s making sure that things are converting the way that we want them to. It’s making sure that
    0:20:40 things are set up automatically to where a client doesn’t have to check their email
    0:20:47 every 10 minutes. Like they just have a funnel and a system that just brings them to a place where
    0:20:53 they’re getting leads and nurturing leads and then making sales in a way that they would never be able
    0:20:58 to do if it weren’t for my expertise of having done the dirty work and gone in and figured this stuff out.
    0:21:03 So in that sense, you should never feel bad about what you have to offer somebody.
    0:21:08 Sure. All right. So you tap out your personal network. You keep doubling your rates until people
    0:21:12 start saying no. You’re out of the warm leads. So what happens next?
    0:21:20 Yeah. So, so then I went to a platform called Upwork and at the time it was, was Odesk. Did everything,
    0:21:28 put my profile up, got accepted, like dialed in my, my biography, started bidding on projects and
    0:21:30 absolutely nothing happened.
    0:21:37 And it was that because you have like no reviews on the platform, you got no track record. Like I’m not
    0:21:38 going to take a risk on this guy.
    0:21:46 Exactly. Exactly. And I’ve heard most people had much quicker success than I did. But for me, I was
    0:21:52 putting in bids and putting in looking for projects. But if you don’t have a lot of clout, if you don’t
    0:21:57 have reviews, then it’s, it’s a lot tougher to get people to trust you. But I think there’s also this
    0:22:05 aspect of you’re kind of learning how to, how to work within the platform, right? Of, of Upwork.
    0:22:12 There’s a system and then there’s a method with which is the best way to look for projects and to
    0:22:17 filter through projects and then to bid on projects that it takes some time to dial in.
    0:22:23 Well, let’s talk about some of those best practices. So Upwork is probably the largest freelance platform
    0:22:28 in the world right now. I imagine they’re blowing up with tons of qualified candidates as lots of people
    0:22:34 are out of work right now, but it’s featured in the book, buy buttons as one of these mini marketplaces,
    0:22:38 is go where the cash is already flowing. Upwork is one of those sites where people who need work done
    0:22:46 and are willing to hire remotely are going to look for talent to do that work. So what made it start to
    0:22:46 hit for you?
    0:22:55 It was a mixture of a few things. So eventually I got one of my first gigs and, and that went well,
    0:23:01 and I got good feedback from that. And that was super helpful. But I will say the only reason I got
    0:23:06 that gig was I got some advice when I first got started that said, whenever you’re laying out your
    0:23:13 skills, don’t say everything that you’re good at, right? Don’t say I’m a web designer and a graphic
    0:23:19 designer and I can do, I can edit your audio and edit your video and I can do voiceovers. Like that’s
    0:23:25 actually going to harm you more than it’s going to help you. And so I dialed in what I had expertise
    0:23:30 into three things. So it was, it was WordPress, it was Adobe Photoshop, and it was optimized press
    0:23:38 and optimized press at the time was much bigger than it, than it is now. But sure enough, people who were
    0:23:44 looking for optimized press work done were the ones that were reaching out to me in those early days.
    0:23:48 For those of you who don’t know, optimized press is essentially a plugin within WordPress. That’s,
    0:23:54 it’s kind of like a site builder. And it was one of the first like drag and drop site builders on
    0:23:58 WordPress. Whenever that started to be a more popular route for building websites.
    0:24:04 Okay. I was going to ask if there was any sub specialty, which, you know, you can go really deep
    0:24:08 on, you know, web design is hopelessly broad. So yeah, you mentioned I will design in WordPress and
    0:24:12 then specifically with this plugin, kind of carving out a niche in that space.
    0:24:20 Yeah, exactly. And, and my encouragement to a web designer getting started is you need to take a risk
    0:24:27 on a specialty, like you mentioned, and the specialty either needs to be for a certain group of people
    0:24:35 like saying, Hey, I’m, I’m a web designer for HVAC companies, or I’m a web designer for course creators
    0:24:42 or podcasters. So that’s the group of people, or you need to have a specialty within a, with a certain
    0:24:51 tool. So if you are really good at HubSpot, which is like a, like a CRM platform, then you need to be
    0:24:56 putting that at the forefront of what you do as a web designer, because there are so many people who
    0:25:02 are looking for good HubSpot freelancers. Okay. Why do you call that taking a risk on a specialty?
    0:25:09 It feels risky to say like, I’m going to narrow down what I do and who I do it for. Right.
    0:25:13 Yeah. I’m going to, I’m going to say no to 99.9% of the market.
    0:25:17 Right. Exactly. And, and when you’re first getting started, you’re like, why would I say no
    0:25:22 to anything and everything? And listen, sometimes you just have to say yes. Right. I think there’s
    0:25:27 a lot of people that are hammering niches down people’s throats right now. And when you’re first
    0:25:32 getting started, you might not even know what you’re good at. You might not even know who you serve best,
    0:25:38 but eventually some patterns start to kind of come together and you can kind of look back. And the
    0:25:43 reason why I was able to say, I’m good at optimized press was because the first website I ever did,
    0:25:49 the person used optimized press. And so I learned it like the back of my hand. And so I was just like,
    0:25:54 you know what, that’s the thing I know the best. And so I’m just going to go with it. And, and so it
    0:25:59 was, it was a little bit of jumping in with both feet and going, let’s hope this works out. And
    0:26:05 thankfully it landed. And the equivalent today, maybe Elementor or Thrive Architect, or there’s a
    0:26:10 bunch of these. Right. Absolutely. There, there are so many different things. And as, as certain
    0:26:15 things get more and more popular, like Elementor is getting super popular. And so you have to,
    0:26:24 I’ve heard it called the, the down, down niche. So I do Elementor websites for local businesses or mom
    0:26:31 and pop coffee shops. So the bigger a tool gets, the more people are going to learn it. And the more
    0:26:36 you’re going to have to learn how to differentiate yourself. Okay. Yeah. So originally it was to take a
    0:26:41 risk on a specialty either for a group of customers or within a certain tool. But if that tool is super
    0:26:46 popular, you might have to claim a specialty within that tool and for a certain group of customers.
    0:26:54 Absolutely. Absolutely. Okay. So this guy or this customer hires you on Upwork, you get good feedback
    0:26:58 and your bid to success ratio starts to improve after that.
    0:27:06 Yeah. Well, honestly, it was another three months before I got another gig. It was a great copywriter.
    0:27:13 His name’s Ed Gandia, who has a podcast and is a, is a copywriting coach. And so he connected with me
    0:27:20 through Upwork and had me build out a landing page within Optimize Press. From that, he gave me a few more
    0:27:28 jobs and slowly, but surely the reviews started to stack up. And then rather than having to go out and bid on
    0:27:33 certain projects, people started coming to me because they were seeing the rave reviews.
    0:27:38 And one of the things that I always encourage people on Upwork is if after a project’s done,
    0:27:43 you have something to show for it. Like if you can take a screenshot of the website that you’ve just
    0:27:49 created and attach that to the review, it’s going to help you out a lot more than if you just leave
    0:27:56 the review by itself. Because you’re trying to help people connect the dots between the work that
    0:28:00 somebody was pleased with and the quality that it actually was.
    0:28:02 Yeah. Make it visual if you can.
    0:28:08 Absolutely. And so I just kept doing that. And then from there, it was kind of a snowball effect.
    0:28:14 I ended up becoming a top-rated freelancer. And then Upwork, right around the time I became a top-rated
    0:28:20 freelancer, went public with their stock. And so I was actually featured on one of their advertisements
    0:28:23 and featured within the platform. Oh, wow.
    0:28:28 That really helped me to gain a lot more visibility for a certain season of time. It didn’t last for
    0:28:32 forever, but it certainly helped within the interim.
    0:28:34 Yeah. That’s awesome, man.
    0:28:35 Yeah. Thank you so much.
    0:28:44 One of the inevitable pushbacks against Upwork is that it’s global in that, okay, as a freelance web
    0:28:50 designer in Arizona, I’m competing with freelance web designers in developing countries who are often
    0:28:57 willing to work for far less than I am. Did you stick to your guns on your rates or did you find,
    0:29:04 or were there some filtering on which projects that you bid on? Like, I’m curious how you avoided the
    0:29:09 race to the bottom that some of these freelance platforms are known for.
    0:29:13 There’s a season of time where you have to learn how to filter through the jobs that you’re looking for.
    0:29:20 Because if you take the default filtering, you’re going to get anything and everything to bid on.
    0:29:25 And you’re going to be wasting a lot of your time bidding on projects that are worth pennies to the
    0:29:30 amount of time you’re going to put in them. And so there’s a filtering process. So when I first got
    0:29:37 started, you can filter through the experience that the client has, the level of experience that the
    0:29:44 freelancer that they’re looking for, the amount of projects that are freelancers that have bid on the
    0:29:50 project and the price range. And so when I first got started, I just, I just kind of said, okay,
    0:29:57 who would be looking for me, right? What would my ideal client look like? Or who would see me as the
    0:30:02 ideal freelancer? And so I figured it was probably somebody that was new to the platform that was willing
    0:30:08 to give me a shot. And I figured I was probably about like the mid level range of experience and skill.
    0:30:15 And then I was looking for somewhere between the $1,000 to the $2,000 range. And so you can filter
    0:30:23 all of those types of projects within Upwork to where what you see is exactly what you’re looking
    0:30:28 for. That’s what I did. And that was a really successful strategy for me at the very beginning.
    0:30:33 And then as time went on, my skills increased. And so I started looking for more experience projects that were
    0:30:41 higher paying. And so you can, you can filter out of, of most of the projects where there are going to be
    0:30:48 people who would, would work for much less than you. And at the same time, there are a lot of clients who are,
    0:30:56 are wanting to work with a someone local, but be someone in the same time zone and then see someone within the U S.
    0:31:02 Is that a, an actual filter or are you just kind of gauging that based on their expected price range
    0:31:05 and desired freelancer experience little toggles?
    0:31:12 No, it’s, it’s an actual filter. You can search for projects that are U S based only. I occasionally
    0:31:17 will search for ones that are outside of the U S, but it’s very rarely that I find one outside of the
    0:31:25 U S that is at the level that I’m, I’m looking for. And so it’s, it’s an easy on and off checkbox that,
    0:31:29 you know, really helps you dial in the projects that are kind of worth your time to bid on.
    0:31:34 Yeah, that’s helpful. And imagine even if overseas workers are bidding on those,
    0:31:38 they’re not a great fit in the client’s mind. Cause they’re like, Hey, that’s, that’s not what I asked
    0:31:43 for. Right. And there are even, you know, a client can set it up to where restrictions on exactly what
    0:31:48 they’re looking for. So they can say within their project, I don’t want anybody to bid on this project
    0:31:55 that isn’t from the U S if somebody does, then they don’t get pushed to the top of the pile.
    0:32:01 So if you’re from the U S you have a much more likelihood to be seen and be connected with by the
    0:32:08 client who is looking for the freelancer, you know, the same is true for locally. Like if you bid on,
    0:32:12 like I’m in Arizona and I’ve been on a few projects in California and they just never landed,
    0:32:14 even though I knew I could do a really good job on them.
    0:32:17 Interesting. They’re like, ah, that’s too far away.
    0:32:17 Yeah.
    0:32:24 I can’t deal with that. Is Upwork still driving decent business for you today? Or have you shifted
    0:32:24 off platform?
    0:32:32 Yeah. I’m in a kind of a new season of starting self-made web designer. And so I’ve kind of started
    0:32:38 to do less freelancing and tried to help more and more people figure out how to do what I’ve done,
    0:32:47 but Upwork still remains a good consistent source of projects. And sometimes it’s different. For instance,
    0:32:52 I just had a company reach out to me through Upwork that wanted me to create an online course for HTML
    0:32:58 and CSS. So that’s not necessarily building a website, but it’s still a great project. And it’s
    0:33:04 of great value to me because I love teaching and they’re paying really well. So it’s not like it
    0:33:11 is not as, you know, it’s not as steady, but it’s only because I’m not actively putting as much effort
    0:33:16 into it. So I’m still getting, I’m still getting interviews. I’m still getting requests, but if I
    0:33:21 were to put more time in it, it would definitely be just as much of a freelance side hustle as it once
    0:33:21 was.
    0:33:27 Yeah. That’s an interesting note too on Upwork and even other freelance platforms and other
    0:33:33 marketplaces is as your reputation builds and grows and as your portfolio and your feedback grows,
    0:33:38 all of a sudden you kind of, you become featured, right? It’s like, as I’m going into post a job
    0:33:44 on Upwork, it’s showing me like recommended people that I could either hire outright without any sort
    0:33:48 of back and forth, or at least invite them to bid on my project. So it’s like, you know, you’re no longer
    0:33:53 having to do this kind of like search and filter and shotgun approach. It’s like now people at least
    0:33:57 have some familiarity with you. They’ve seen your profile, they’ve seen your past work and they’re
    0:34:01 like, this guy looks legit. Let me invite him to this thing and see, see if it’s a fit.
    0:34:07 Yeah. And, and that’s exactly it. And there are even some clients who they haven’t even posted a job
    0:34:13 yet, but they’re just doing exploratory messages with certain freelancers. And so that happens real
    0:34:17 consistently of people saying, I haven’t posted this job yet. I saw your profile. I’m very interested in
    0:34:24 working for you. Can we talk? So eventually after you’ve built up a reputation, it gets much easier
    0:34:30 as time goes on. And that’s by Upwork’s own account. Like they’re trying to make the best freelancers
    0:34:36 connect with the best clients and they get a lot of grief for certain things that they do. But I,
    0:34:41 I’m convinced that the decisions that they make are trying to serve both the freelancer and the
    0:34:42 clients who are looking.
    0:34:45 Anything else that worked to market the business?
    0:34:52 Chris’s response, plus the surprising full-time career pivot this side hustle led to coming up
    0:34:57 right after this. With our partner, Mint Mobile, you can get the coverage and speed you’re used to
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    0:37:19 Yeah, absolutely. I always tried to come at it of, I want to have more than one avenue of
    0:37:27 projects coming in because at any moment, Upwork can say, we’re done, right? And then if I’m leaning
    0:37:33 completely on Upwork, then I’m going to be up a creek and I’m not going to have anything to do for
    0:37:39 quite a few months. So another thing I did was I tried focusing on something called local SEO.
    0:37:47 You know, I’m by no means a SEO expert and have never touted myself to be that. And anytime a client
    0:37:52 has come to me asking for SEO, I always try to encourage them to either get somebody to work with
    0:37:57 me or if they need somebody that can do SEO and web design, by all means, if you find that unicorn out
    0:38:04 there, go for it. But something that I did that was really smart was I put my home address on my
    0:38:11 website. And another great strategy, and I started writing this blog post for my freelance website,
    0:38:16 but never got through with it. A friend of mine had encouraged me, write the blog post that says
    0:38:21 the best, the 10 best web designs in whatever city you live in. So for me, it’d be Gilbert, Arizona.
    0:38:28 So it’d be the 10 best web design firms in Gilbert, Arizona and put some other people that you know,
    0:38:34 that are good, that are close to you, but also put yourself and what happens when you focus locally,
    0:38:42 it drives people who are looking for your services to your site a lot easier because Google is setting
    0:38:47 it up to where they’re wanting to connect people that are close to each other. And so I’ve had quite a
    0:38:52 few jobs of people saying like, I was looking for somebody that was in my city and you’re right down
    0:38:58 the road from me and I love your work. And so that, that was a super helpful strategy. And, and then it
    0:39:04 eventually gets to the point where you’ve built up a network amongst other people, even jobs I’ve gotten
    0:39:09 on Upwork. Those clients went and told their friends who weren’t on Upwork. And so then they reached out to
    0:39:15 me directly. So if you’re doing a good job, if you are, you have a certain level of extra expertise, but are good at
    0:39:20 things like project management and just staying in touch with clients, word’s going to get around and
    0:39:26 it’s just going to kind of be a natural progression. Now, outside of punching in your address on your
    0:39:30 website, and there are ways to do this in Google, my business that you can just type in, like, this is
    0:39:35 the area that I serve. Like, if you don’t want your home address public, I totally understand that.
    0:39:40 Was that something that was like automatic? Like once you did that, it was like the algorithms kind of
    0:39:44 figured out like, this is, this is the guy’s business. This is where he is. And, and that was it.
    0:39:49 Or did you have to do something specific so that you showed up when I type in Gilbert,
    0:39:52 Arizona web designer, I find mystric web design?
    0:39:58 Well, you know, I don’t think there’s anything that’s super easy with Google and SEO. Good God,
    0:40:04 sometimes you want to bang your head against the wall, but it wasn’t instant, but eventually so many
    0:40:09 web designers quit within the first two to three years, right? Like I remember when I first got started,
    0:40:15 I would just go look at people’s websites that I knew were web designers and there would be a website
    0:40:20 not found, 403 error, and they were done. You know, it was two to three years in. And so eventually,
    0:40:29 if you stick with it long enough, you outpace all of your competition. And so you become the person that
    0:40:36 shows up first. And another thing that I did, which I think really helped me was I had those friends that I
    0:40:41 did really cheap or free that free website for. And I just said, Hey, you know, I’m doing this website
    0:40:49 for you. Will you go leave a review in Google for me? Having some type of social proof within Google
    0:40:57 is so important. And they really favor that type of method with testimonies. And they would prefer that
    0:41:04 you get rated on Google itself, but any type of rating anywhere is going to help you. And getting
    0:41:09 a rating from a client is not easy. Most of us think we did a good job and the client says they love it
    0:41:15 and they pay us and they’re going to go leave a raving review. No, it’s just simply not that simple.
    0:41:21 You have to have a good system of follow-up with a client to make sure that they are actually giving
    0:41:25 you feedback. And a lot of times, like I would tell clients like, Hey, I’ll write this for you.
    0:41:29 Like, what do you think about this paragraph? And they’re like, yeah, sure. Great. I’ll put my name
    0:41:33 on it and I’ll put it in. You’ve got to be intentional if you want to get good feedback.
    0:41:39 Yeah, that’s a hundred percent true. And so few businesses have that system in place to solicit,
    0:41:43 especially Google reviews, but even Yelp reviews and these other platforms where
    0:41:47 these are really high authority domains. Like they show up really prominently
    0:41:53 in search. And so if you can find your way to the top of those rankings and I should check my wife’s
    0:41:58 business, like for a long time, they were on the first page for Livermore wedding photographers,
    0:42:04 because again, it’s a, it’s kind of a suburb. It’s kind of a smaller town. It’s not that competitive.
    0:42:09 You do a few things right in terms of on-page SEO. Like there wasn’t any proactive link building.
    0:42:14 It was just asking happy clients to drop in a review and all of a sudden there you are like
    0:42:21 free traffic. Yep. And that’s really similar to my story. Like I, I wasn’t doing a lot of
    0:42:27 link building. I wasn’t even writing a ton of content. I just said that I was in this city,
    0:42:33 put my address there. And then I asked people to write Google reviews. And I wish I could say there
    0:42:40 was more secret sauce to it because that sounds so simple. Now I’m curious, was there ever a thought
    0:42:46 to go after Phoenix web designer or is it like, I can’t compete. That’s too big. I’m going to go for
    0:42:52 my little suburb. Yeah. Well, little suburb there’s, there’s still quite a few people here in Gilbert,
    0:42:58 like all of the cities surrounding Phoenix are pretty big. And, and I knew there was enough business
    0:43:03 here to keep me busy for the rest of my career as a web designer. Okay. That’s a, that’s a really
    0:43:08 positive way to look at it. Right. You know, and I think there might be some people listening who,
    0:43:13 who live in smaller towns. And I mean, this might be a little bit different of an equation for you,
    0:43:19 but even let’s say if there’s 30,000 people or there’s 20,000 people in your city, there’s still
    0:43:26 good work to be done within that small group of people. And so don’t just necessarily dismiss it right
    0:43:32 away. But I have seen a few people use the strategy of really focusing on building content around three
    0:43:37 cities that are close to them that they want to focus on. But I just knew like, okay, there,
    0:43:42 when I Google web designers, Phoenix area, there, there’s a lot of competition there.
    0:43:49 When I Google web designers, Gilbert area, there’s not nearly as much competition. Maybe one day I go for
    0:43:54 Phoenix, but for now I’m a small fish in a big pond. And so I’m happy to take my little
    0:43:58 corner of the world over here and just be content.
    0:44:06 Right. Better to be on page one for a lower volume, highly targeted search term than be on page eight for
    0:44:11 a higher volume search term. What’s next with this thing? So you mentioned you’re working on
    0:44:16 selfmadewebdesigner.com. Chris has got a podcast over there. If you’re interested in this business model,
    0:44:21 so you’re not actively bidding on new work, if it comes to you, fantastic. I’ll take a look.
    0:44:25 Or are you building like an agency? Like, you know, do you want to go full time? Like, I’m curious,
    0:44:28 what’s what’s coming down the road for your work here?
    0:44:35 Well, the biggest pivot that I made was this last year, I went from my full time job as a worship
    0:44:40 pastor for a church to being a full time UX designer at the company that I’m at right now. It’s called
    0:44:46 Show It. And so I knew I wanted to go full time. And I was honestly considering just going full time
    0:44:52 into freelancing. But the company Show It, like I just resonated so much with their mission and the
    0:44:57 heart of the people that are running the business, the CEO. And it just seemed it was four miles away
    0:45:02 from my house. So it seemed like a no brainer to go, you know what, I think there might be a little
    0:45:08 destiny here for me to be a part of this business. So that was kind of my big step with web design.
    0:45:13 And then really, my focus right now is to build selfmadewebdesigner.com to really help people.
    0:45:20 And that all started, there was a young guy who’s on our staff at Show It. And he’s actually going to
    0:45:26 school for computer science. And we were on our company retreat, all relaxing in a hot tub. And I was
    0:45:33 like, hey, man, like, why aren’t you doing any web design work? Like, you know more now than what I did
    0:45:36 when I first started telling people I was a web designer. Like, why aren’t you going for it?
    0:45:42 And his response was, well, I’m just afraid. I’m just scared. Like, I don’t know if I’ll be able
    0:45:47 to find projects. I don’t know if I’ll be able to do a good job. I don’t know the ins and outs of all
    0:45:53 these things that it seems like are so complicated. And I was like, oh man, like, let me help you take
    0:45:59 the next steps. Let me help you. I’ll walk you through the process. And so sure enough, he was up
    0:46:04 for it and helped him find his first gig and kind of helped him through that. And then after that,
    0:46:10 he just skyrocketed, started getting his own gigs and now has more work. He’s a college student. He’s making
    0:46:12 like $120 an hour on the side as a freelancer.
    0:46:15 Oh, it’s awesome. Yeah. And you’re like, hey, if I can do it, you could do it.
    0:46:22 Right. And so my thought was like, man, there’s got to be more people out there like Josh. And my heart
    0:46:27 is always to build, like, I don’t necessarily want to build a business as much as I want to build a
    0:46:33 legacy. And so I’d love to build a legacy of people who can learn how to do what I’ve done
    0:46:38 and have it change their lives. Like, like it changed mine. That really, like, I wish I could
    0:46:43 tell you like, yeah, no, I’m, I’m automating everything and farming out the work, but no,
    0:46:47 that’s not, I’ve, I’ve never had a heart to do that. I’ve, I’ve more had a heart to teach people
    0:46:49 and to help people along their own journey.
    0:46:55 Well, and it’s, it’s kind of this domino effect for all of the businesses that you’ve served and all
    0:46:59 of the customers that they serve. And now all the people that you’re helping get started in this
    0:47:03 business and the domino effect, the ripple effect of all that, you’re touching a lot of lives.
    0:47:08 Yeah. Well, you too, Nick, you know, I mean, everything you’ve done, I, when I was first
    0:47:14 getting started, I was desperately looking for any type of insight as a side hustler and as a
    0:47:20 freelancer. And back in the day, your podcast was one of the bright shining beacons out there,
    0:47:24 and it still is to this day. So just really appreciate everything you’ve done.
    0:47:28 Well, I’m always looking for more success stories like yours. So if you’re listening in and
    0:47:33 have a similar one, definitely hit me up. So Chris, very much appreciate you reaching out
    0:47:39 and joining me and sharing the story, selfmadewebdesigner.com. Check them out over there.
    0:47:43 Let’s wrap this thing up with your number one tip for side hustle nation.
    0:47:50 Yeah. My number one tip would be don’t quit. And I know that sounds simplistic, but it’s going to be
    0:47:58 so incredibly enticing just to give up as soon as you face resistance. But I always encourage people,
    0:48:00 if you don’t quit, you win.
    0:48:05 All right. I like that. If you don’t quit, you win. Keep playing the game. I just read
    0:48:11 the infinite game by Simon Sinek. And he said that was the hallmark of infinite leaders. He called them
    0:48:16 infinite leaders. They, they don’t play to win the quarter or the year they play to keep playing the
    0:48:21 game. But I like that. Don’t quit. Chris, thanks so much. And we’ll catch up with you soon.
    0:48:30 All right. My top three takeaways from this call with Chris. Number one is to always keep learning.
    0:48:36 Like Chris explained, you don’t need to be the best in the world to get started, but you do need to
    0:48:42 embrace a lifelong learning mindset. It’s hard to imagine an industry that’s stood still over the
    0:48:47 last 10 or 20 years. So there’s always going to be new stuff to learn. I think that’s one thing that
    0:48:53 makes my job these days so exciting and rewarding is that I get to learn new skills, experiment with
    0:48:59 them, try stuff out in real time and try and get better. Everything is learnable. Everything is
    0:49:04 Google-able or YouTube-able. And I really love Chris’s attitude here of continuing education,
    0:49:11 not just being a requirement to check off, but being a requirement to stay relevant and to fuel your own
    0:49:16 motivation. So that’s number one. Keep learning. Takeaway number two was to start with your network.
    0:49:23 This is a common theme in many a side hustle show episode, but it’s that for an important reason.
    0:49:30 You probably already have a bigger quote audience than you give yourself credit for. These are people
    0:49:35 who are hopefully rooting for your success. And if they may not be ideal customers themselves,
    0:49:41 they might know someone who is. But if you don’t tell people about your work, remember Chris said he
    0:49:46 started introducing himself as a web designer. They can’t make those referrals. I know I’ve told
    0:49:52 this story before, but when the show started, I didn’t have any audience to speak of, but I did have
    0:49:57 a decade of personal and business contacts. So I reached out to those people individually to tell
    0:50:04 them about this new project. If you’re just sitting back and waiting for SEO or some other algorithm in
    0:50:10 order to get found, it might eventually work, but I think you can accelerate that if you start spreading
    0:50:15 the word yourself. So that’s takeaway number two for me here. Start with your network. And takeaway
    0:50:22 number three is the only known cure for imposter syndrome is doing the work. Chris didn’t call this
    0:50:28 common entrepreneurial hurdle by name, but he did talk about the fear and mindset issues that sometimes
    0:50:34 come up. So how do you overcome imposter syndrome? You practice. I think everyone will face this at
    0:50:41 some time or another, but remember every expert was once a beginner. If they let that fear and imposter
    0:50:47 syndrome paralyze them, they never would have gotten past that beginner stage. I know it’s tough. I know
    0:50:54 I’ve been there too, but from all the interviews, I think I found the cure and it’s to do the work only
    0:50:59 through practice and repetition. Are you going to build that confidence and be able to silence that
    0:51:04 inner critic that says you’re not good enough. So if you’re thinking you’re not good enough,
    0:51:09 you’re not going to get good enough sitting on the sidelines. Go get good enough. You got this.
    0:51:14 Once again, notes and links from this one, plus the full text summary of our call with all of Chris’s
    0:51:21 top tips are at side hustle nation.com slash self made. That’s it for me. Thank you so much for
    0:51:25 tuning in until next time. Let’s go out there and make something happen. And I’ll catch you in the
    0:51:29 next edition of the side hustle show. I’ll see you then hustle on.

    No skills to start a side hustle?

    Today’s guest, Chris Misterek of SelfMadeWebDesigner.com didn’t let that hold him back.

    He went from being in a tight spot personally and financially, to bringing in an average of $3k a month on the side through his new web design business.

    With no previous experience with web design, Chris decided to start at the ground up by working through some free online courses.

    Within a few months, he was introducing himself as a web designer. Within 18 months, he was earning double his day job salary on the side!

    Tune in to this episode to hear Chris explain how he:

    • Picked up this new skillset on the cheap
    • Found his first clients
    • Marketed and grew his business
    • Recommends you replicate this across any number of industries

    Full Show Notes: The Path from “No Skills” to $3k a Month on the Side

    New to the Show? Get your personalized money-making playlist ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠here⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠!

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  • Trump, Israel, and the Future of Liberal Democracy — with Ezra Klein

    AI transcript
    0:00:04 We view the individual as what is most concrete and most real.
    0:00:10 That’s wrong, because there is no such thing as an isolated individual.
    0:00:12 Can I ask you, Mark, why is it so hard to see that?
    0:00:14 I don’t know.
    0:00:18 Why is the illusion that we are just disconnected and separate so powerful?
    0:00:20 It’s one of many things opposed to me.
    0:00:25 We’re puzzling through that together this week on The Gray Area.
    0:00:29 Listen to new episodes every Monday, available everywhere.
    0:00:34 Is AI coming for your job?
    0:00:35 Short answer, maybe.
    0:00:40 This week on Net Worth & Chill, I’m sitting down with Lucy Guo, the co-founder of Scale AI,
    0:00:44 founder of Passes and the youngest self-made billionaire woman in America.
    0:00:47 Lucy has become one of tech’s youngest female founders to hit it big.
    0:00:49 We’re talking nine-figure exit big.
    0:00:54 And she’s dropping all the gems on this episode from her personal entrepreneurship philosophy
    0:00:56 to how the AI industry is shaping the world.
    0:01:00 Listen wherever you get your podcasts or watch on youtube.com slash yourrichbff.
    0:01:03 Episode 359.
    0:01:05 359 is the country code for Bulgaria.
    0:01:11 1959, Alaska and Hawaii became states, and the first Grammy Awards were held.
    0:01:13 Speaking of the Grammys,
    0:01:17 Madonna is lashing back at people who commented about her appearance at the Grammys.
    0:01:20 At least I think that was Madonna.
    0:01:22 That’s good!
    0:01:25 Go, go, go!
    0:01:36 That one, that was good.
    0:01:38 That was like a dad joke.
    0:01:40 No, not dirty, but funny.
    0:01:41 Timely.
    0:01:44 I am back in New York.
    0:01:45 Don’t know how I got here.
    0:01:47 I think this city is undergoing a renaissance.
    0:01:49 Even in the summer, flip-flops, tank tops.
    0:01:52 During the week, it feels like, I don’t know,
    0:01:55 just like anyone with options is actually out of the city,
    0:01:58 but I like being in the city, walking around.
    0:02:00 New restaurants, interesting stuff.
    0:02:01 Little Jack’s wife, Rita.
    0:02:02 Hello!
    0:02:06 And just really enjoying my time back in the United States.
    0:02:09 And then soon enough, I will be heading towards a sandbar in the Atlantic, Nantucket,
    0:02:10 which I wanted to hate.
    0:02:12 I wanted to hate Nantucket.
    0:02:14 I think of myself as being more Euro-fabulous.
    0:02:16 That is a total douchebag.
    0:02:18 And thought, oh, I’m not going to like Nantucket.
    0:02:21 The pink pants and the whale belts and all these white people running around.
    0:02:25 I didn’t think I would like it, and I absolutely love it.
    0:02:27 The cobblestone streets, the food.
    0:02:29 You can let your kids go well because it’s an island,
    0:02:32 and they can get into a little bit of trouble, but not too much.
    0:02:35 I think it’s just a spectacular place.
    0:02:42 So headed there on Sunday, and then back to London for the start of the school year,
    0:02:45 and we’ll start freaking out about my son applying to college, which is more manufactured.
    0:02:50 I think this is literally all the bullshit that I have been a part of imposing stress
    0:02:55 on middle-class families and student debt on middle-class households as part of the
    0:02:58 higher education industrial complex.
    0:02:59 I literally think it’s coming back to haunt me.
    0:03:03 I am way more stressed about college than my kid is.
    0:03:05 And everyone’s like, oh, it doesn’t matter.
    0:03:06 They don’t need college anymore.
    0:03:10 Yeah, right, as they hire like $400 an hour tutors to try and get their kid into Vanderbilt.
    0:03:14 Anyways, what the fuck is the ACT?
    0:03:15 Man up.
    0:03:15 Take the SAT.
    0:03:16 That’s what I took.
    0:03:17 $1,130.
    0:03:19 $1,130.
    0:03:21 $1,130 and 3.1 GPA from high school.
    0:03:22 Gone into UCLA.
    0:03:24 74% admission straight.
    0:03:27 Then graduated from UCLA with a 2.27 GPA and got into Berkeley.
    0:03:29 Yeah, things have changed a little.
    0:03:30 They’ve changed a little.
    0:03:31 Speaking of change.
    0:03:32 Speaking of a pundit.
    0:03:35 Speaking of a keen observer of change.
    0:03:37 Who could we have on the podcast today?
    0:03:38 That’s right.
    0:03:50 We have one of the great sort of thought leaders and voices and kind of the conscience for a progressive America, Ezra Klein, a New York Times columnist and host of, wait for it, the Ezra Klein Show.
    0:03:53 We discussed with Ezra the state of American democracy.
    0:03:59 We broke the Jewish political consensus in the Democratic Party’s leadership vacuum and who might fill it.
    0:04:01 I’m just a huge fan of Ezra.
    0:04:07 Yeah, I think of Ezra Klein and people like Rachel Maddow and my favorite co-host, Kara Swisher.
    0:04:16 One of the things I really respect about them is they just, if you listen to any other work, it is clear that they embody the term success as the last 10%.
    0:04:18 And that is they just work hard.
    0:04:19 You can just hear it.
    0:04:21 They just bring it.
    0:04:25 You can tell they’re just up late trying to figure out the right word, the right sentence, the right sound.
    0:04:34 And I’ve always had a ton of, you just listen to anything or read anything Ezra does and you know that he’s kind of brought the, brought the egg salad, so to speak.
    0:04:35 That’s right.
    0:04:37 Daddy always brings the egg salad to the church picnic.
    0:04:41 So with that, here’s our conversation with Ezra Klein.
    0:04:47 Ezra, where does this podcast find you?
    0:04:49 I’m at the Times.
    0:04:50 I am in New York.
    0:04:52 I am getting ready to go to Berlin.
    0:04:53 Berlin?
    0:04:54 What’s in Berlin?
    0:04:58 My closest friend from childhood lives in Nairobi.
    0:05:03 So for his 40th birthday, a bunch of his friends who live in different places are gathering in Berlin for a couple days.
    0:05:05 My closest friend, 40th?
    0:05:06 Are you that young?
    0:05:08 I am 41.
    0:05:09 Oh God, I hate you.
    0:05:10 You’re 41?
    0:05:13 Jesus Christ.
    0:05:14 I feel so insignificant.
    0:05:16 Oh my God.
    0:05:17 You’re this successful at 41?
    0:05:20 I don’t know about insignificance, Scott.
    0:05:21 Oh my God.
    0:05:25 Were you like one of those kids who was getting journalism awards when you were like nine or something?
    0:05:28 No, I never wanted to do journalism.
    0:05:29 I got into it accidentally.
    0:05:30 Wow.
    0:05:31 What did you do right out of college?
    0:05:32 I was a blogger.
    0:05:37 So I got into, I did journalism out of college, but because I got into blogging early.
    0:05:41 I was one of those nerds who blogged in 2003.
    0:05:45 Oh, that’s, that’s, um, anyways, that’s very impressive, young man.
    0:05:48 Okay, so let’s bust right into it.
    0:05:52 You recently debated whether Trump is leading America into a new golden age.
    0:05:59 In your closing remarks, you asked some, or you said something that kind of stuck with me, and that is you asked, are we even in a decent age?
    0:06:00 What did you mean by that?
    0:06:13 So this debate, which is put on by the Munk Debates, was between me and Ben Rhodes of the Pod Save the World, and then Kevin Roberts, who is best known for the, as the architect of Project 2025, and Kellyanne Conway.
    0:06:23 And one of my worries going into the debate was, so the way they score these debates at Munk is that everybody is polled on whether or not they agree with the thesis walking in the door.
    0:06:28 And nobody, who’s going to agree that America is entering a new golden age in Canada, right?
    0:06:32 That’s not, you’re not going to find a huge amount of assent for that in the audience.
    0:06:39 So one of the things I was saying at the end was that I thought it was too easy to argue that we’re not entering a new golden age.
    0:06:56 That where we were was much further down Maslow’s hierarchy of political or societal needs, which is that we have entered a deeply indecent age in which the both reality and aesthetic of cruelty has become prized and projected from the very top.
    0:07:04 And you look at the White House Twitter account putting out, you know, Studio Ghibli memes of immigrants crying while they’re being deported.
    0:07:17 There is a kind of delight in sadism that is so, that far before I think we need to debate, are we, you know, when’s the next golden age going to be?
    0:07:22 We’re going to have to pull ourselves out of glorifying indecency.
    0:07:29 So I think that especially affects the right where they’ve conflated masculinity with coarseness and cruelty.
    0:07:43 And I would all, but when, you know, when what’s going on is going on, I think you also have to acknowledge that the left, I love that, I forget what his name is, that German theologian or actor who said,
    0:07:49 America’s coming to grips with the fact that a third of America would kill the other third while a third watched.
    0:08:01 And I think you’ve got to acknowledge that with everything that’s going on, there’s some moderates and Democrats that are complicit, comfortable with this type of, I don’t know, USAID being cut off.
    0:08:05 Do you think that leadership has been conflated with a certain level of cruelty?
    0:08:14 So I think the first thing you said, that there is a version of masculinity that has been conflated with cruelty.
    0:08:24 I remember when Elon Musk and Donald Trump were accusing each other of everything under the sun as the influencers on the right reacted like kids watching their parents about to get divorced.
    0:08:36 There was a little burst of trying to justify Musk saying Trump was in the Epstein files, which maybe, maybe it was, by saying, oh, you guys just aren’t used to watching alphas fight it out.
    0:08:38 You don’t know what it’s like to be around alpha males.
    0:08:42 And I think of this as sort of the flip side.
    0:08:46 I don’t, the left is complicit and has its own problems.
    0:08:51 I don’t know that it’s complicit in this, but what it did do, which I think helped create this in certain ways,
    0:08:57 is there was so little room for a decent masculinity on the left, right?
    0:09:07 So much of masculinity was termed toxic, that it created a lot of space for a fairly sadistic image of masculinity to rise, right?
    0:09:14 In a weird way, in a weird way, justifying the prophecy of toxic masculinity, but the Andrew Tates and so on of the world.
    0:09:28 And, you know, I know this is something that you focus on a lot, but in the absence of a more self-confident, grounded, mature masculinity that is able to present itself and is proud of itself for being such,
    0:09:40 you leave the door open to some very, very insecure, braggy, and sort of, I think, pathetic renditions of it.
    0:09:45 One of the things I always think about in the MAGA world is, look, Trump is Trump.
    0:09:46 Say what you will about him.
    0:09:48 The guy is very grounded in who he himself is.
    0:09:50 He’s been this guy for a long time.
    0:09:58 All these people who have put on the Trump suit, starting with J.D. Vance, but you can look at Ted Cruz, you can look at a lot of them,
    0:10:04 who did not talk like this, did not act like this, did not think this was a way even to be in public a decade ago,
    0:10:11 and have, you know, put on the cloak of it in order to be competitive, in order to be part of it.
    0:10:22 And, you know, now treat that as a kind of display of alpha male characteristics when it’s a deeply, deeply beta process of just kind of following the leader.
    0:10:30 You know, but because of that, because it’s not leavened by Trump’s own sense of who he is,
    0:10:33 they actually, I think, lean further into just cruelty oftentimes than he does.
    0:10:40 There’s nothing else there, because it is for them an act that has become real.
    0:10:48 So, Trump’s popularity is at an all-time low for a president in this stage of his presidency,
    0:10:51 but at the same time, the Democrats are even less popular,
    0:10:54 and there’s polls showing that if the election were held again today, he would still win.
    0:10:59 Is this lack of decency, is it working?
    0:11:08 I don’t think when you have watched a popularity drop as fast as President Trump’s has, you can say it’s working.
    0:11:12 What’s not working is the Democratic Party being leaderless and rudderless.
    0:11:18 I’m not shocked that at the moment, if you ask people in a poll who they’d vote for,
    0:11:21 like, they don’t really know what to say, like, which Democrat, what do they know about them?
    0:11:25 But the Democratic Party is in a pretty shattered place.
    0:11:30 I’ve had a little bit of more trouble than other people do, or let me put it differently.
    0:11:33 I’m a little bit less confident than other people seem to be in interpreting those polls.
    0:11:38 Because one of the kind of structural characteristics of the past couple decades
    0:11:41 is people’s dislike of the parties is getting higher and higher and higher.
    0:11:46 And it doesn’t drive their voting decisions in quite the way it has at other times,
    0:11:48 but nevertheless, they do not like the parties.
    0:11:53 And so one of the reasons the Democratic Party is very unpopular right now is Democrats do not like it.
    0:11:55 Now, those people are not going to vote Republican,
    0:11:58 but they are pissed off at the Democratic Party,
    0:12:00 which has to them been ineffectual,
    0:12:04 which has to them been unable to stop the worst of what Trump is doing,
    0:12:08 which has to them not come up with a message or come up with a set of leaders.
    0:12:10 It’s going to have to be a process of,
    0:12:12 I mean, first it’s going to be the midterms,
    0:12:15 and they’re going to have to figure out how to be in opposition in a way that coheres,
    0:12:17 but there’s going to be a process of having to find leaders again.
    0:12:22 This is the first time the Democratic Party has been leaderless in a very, very long time.
    0:12:26 Even if you go back to something like 2008, you had Hillary Clinton as the heir apparent,
    0:12:29 and you had for some time, and that obviously ended up being Obama.
    0:12:35 But so you had like, you know, the assumed leader, you had, you know, like real rising talent.
    0:12:43 This is the most open field for leadership in the Democratic Party probably in my lifetime,
    0:12:48 at least since 92, at a time when, in a way that is very different from 92,
    0:12:55 the other side, right, the Trumpian side, is completely coherent around a single leader
    0:12:59 and is a much more dangerous and very different force, right?
    0:13:03 The difference between not having an unbelievably clear opposition leader to George H.W. Bush
    0:13:08 and not having one to Donald Trump, I mean, those are fairly different scenarios to be in.
    0:13:10 Yeah, it really is striking.
    0:13:11 I agree with you.
    0:13:16 It feels like this is the most, the biggest vacuum I’ve ever observed on either side.
    0:13:18 Do you feel anybody stepping up into it?
    0:13:19 That’s an interesting question.
    0:13:21 I’m going to put the question that was put, that was presented to me.
    0:13:25 They, I get a lot, and as I’m sure you do, who do you see emerging?
    0:13:28 Who do you see as the next leader or leaders of the Democratic Party?
    0:13:32 And we can have that conversation, and my guess is a lot of the, you know,
    0:13:34 the Venn overlap will be about 90%.
    0:13:37 Right now, everyone loves Andy Beshear because no one knows him that well.
    0:13:39 Everyone’s hoping for some Phoenix to rise.
    0:13:40 It’s amazing.
    0:13:43 So they want someone they’ve heard of, but they don’t really know yet.
    0:13:44 And I think that’s Andy Beshear.
    0:13:47 But anyways, the question that was presented to me that I want to present to you
    0:13:50 that I thought was really interesting is, what do you think the profile is of the person
    0:13:54 who will likely emerge as the new leader of the Democratic Party?
    0:13:55 I don’t think it’s Leader Jeffries.
    0:13:57 I know it’s not Senator Schumer.
    0:14:00 But I thought that was an interesting question.
    0:14:03 What does this person potentially look, smell, and feel like?
    0:14:03 What are your thoughts?
    0:14:09 Congressional leadership has not served as a public face of the parties for a long time.
    0:14:12 To what the profile is, the truth is, I don’t know.
    0:14:20 We tend to get the profile wrong at this stage in an electoral cycle because we tend to be trying
    0:14:21 to refight the last election.
    0:14:26 So I always talk about this, but after the 2004 election, which was, I think, the last loss
    0:14:34 that was truly shattering for Democrats, there was a period of time when what they wanted to do
    0:14:39 was find somebody they felt was tough enough and Christian enough to win back the heartland.
    0:14:43 You know, so you had these sort of booms around people like, you know, maybe John Edwards,
    0:14:47 who’s a Southerner, or maybe it’d be the governor of Montana, and he wore a bolo tie and seemed
    0:14:51 like, he was very tough-talking. Maybe they needed a general of some sort.
    0:14:53 Eventually, it’s Barack Obama.
    0:14:59 And then in 2012, after Mitt Romney loses, there’s, you know, the famed Republican autopsy,
    0:15:03 and they, you know, they need to moderate themselves on immigration, and maybe it’s somebody
    0:15:06 like Marco Rubio, and of course, it’s, or Jeb Bush in Florida.
    0:15:09 Of course, it ends up being Donald Trump, which is not on anybody’s mind.
    0:15:17 The person who will fit the next moment is not the person who will fit the practical set
    0:15:20 of problems Democrats faced in the last election.
    0:15:28 So I think you have to be looking for somebody who seems organic to whatever is coming.
    0:15:30 I don’t think we’ve seen that person yet.
    0:15:34 I don’t, I’m not saying we don’t, that when we do see it, we won’t know they, you know,
    0:15:38 that they won’t have been known by now. But I don’t think anybody has emerged as so
    0:15:44 right for where we are going with such a command of what seems to be where the country wants to be
    0:15:49 in a couple of years that I would put them, you know, or their profile strongly at the front.
    0:15:56 Yeah. And to be fair to the field out there, at this point, we hadn’t heard of Clinton or Obama,
    0:15:58 right? It’s still pretty early.
    0:16:04 I mean, we knew by this point in 05, we probably, the assumption was Hillary Clinton was going to run,
    0:16:08 but the assumption was Barack Obama would not run yet. I mean, it seemed crazy. He had just been elected.
    0:16:14 Well, just to date myself, I had a Paul Songus sign in my window in graduate school.
    0:16:16 You remember him?
    0:16:20 There you go. I got excited about Gary Hart in 2004.
    0:16:26 Yeah, there you go. What a, I’ll put forward a thesis and you push back or validate it.
    0:16:31 When I was asked that question, I said, I know who’s not going to be, and that is nobody under
    0:16:38 five foot 10. I think neither, I think the Democrats are not going to take a chance a third time on
    0:16:42 nominating a woman, despite the fact that some of the stronger candidates are female. And two,
    0:16:48 it’s not going to be anyone under the height of five foot 10, which is an uncomfortable thing to say
    0:16:53 out loud. I think America is highly luxist and highly sexist. That what I was comfortable saying
    0:16:57 was I thought it was an 80 or 90% chance it was going to be a straight white male over the height
    0:17:04 of six foot because Democrats would be looking to basically just have no excuses this time.
    0:17:05 Your thoughts?
    0:17:13 I don’t really buy it. It might be true, just in the sense that plenty of politicians who are going
    0:17:19 to be, you know, significant figures in 2028 are, you know, white men over the, over the, over five
    0:17:25 foot 10. I would not count, say, Pete Buttigieg out. If you were asking me who’s well positioned,
    0:17:30 he’s very well positioned and he’s very politically talented and political talent counts for a lot.
    0:17:34 And I believe he’s under five 10. I guess I could be wrong about that, but I think that’s right.
    0:17:43 So again, it’s often candidates who almost look like everything you would not want from the moment
    0:17:50 of the last election who end up dominating in the next election. You know, Barack Obama wins after
    0:17:56 this election. It’s all about flag pins and national security. And here we have this like neophyte,
    0:18:02 you know, guy with the middle name Hussein and funny ears from, you know, Chicago. You know,
    0:18:07 Donald Trump at the time when Republicans need to moderate on, on immigration is coming down saying
    0:18:13 Mexico is sending us their murderers and their rapists. I’m very careful with any predictions
    0:18:18 that say, that draw a straight line from how the party is feeling, how it is conceptualized its loss
    0:18:25 now to the next. The version of that I would do is the next leader of the Democratic Party will be
    0:18:31 somebody who is an absolute apex communicator. I think the thing that happened with Biden and
    0:18:38 it’s sort of different with Harris is the party in, in, in a different way with Hillary Clinton too,
    0:18:45 the party went to these figures who were coalitionally unifying for it, but who were never strong
    0:18:50 communicators. Or at least Biden, by the time he was running for president, was not a strong
    0:18:57 communicator in 2020 and definitely in 2024. And if the party has come, I think to any view about
    0:19:02 itself, it’s that it is losing the battle for attention. So if you cannot be a politician
    0:19:08 who conceptually, you know, whether or not you actually get invited, can go on flagrant, can go
    0:19:15 on Theovan, can go on pivot, can go on these places where you have to speak extemporaneously,
    0:19:23 hang out, go on Hannity, right? So one of the reasons Buttigieg is a fascinating candidate is that he has
    0:19:28 proven to the party that he more than clears the communications bar. He is considered by most to be
    0:19:32 the best communicator in the party right now. He’s not the only one, right? I think a lot of them
    0:19:37 can do this. And some of them are trying, right? Ro Khanna was just on flagrant, right? Wes Moore is
    0:19:42 going to, I think, be very, very good on this. For all that there’s weirdnesses around the way he chose
    0:19:47 to do it, the fact that Gavin Newsom is sitting down with people he doesn’t agree with week after week
    0:19:52 and sort of learning how they think and learning how to do that is going to make him stronger by
    0:19:56 the time if he decides to run in 2028. He’s getting training, the other ones are not.
    0:20:01 So in some ways, the ones I worry about more are the ones with the not worry about, but the ones I
    0:20:07 think are going to have a harder time are the ones who are operating under the old communication rules
    0:20:12 for what is rewarded as caution and not making mistakes. What you’re going to need are people
    0:20:18 capable of being omnipresent in a way that Joe Biden wasn’t, in a way that Kamala Harris wasn’t
    0:20:22 willing to do. The sense that you need somebody authentic to this era of communication, which
    0:20:27 may even have changed, and I think even has changed from 2024. Like, even Zoran Mamdani’s thing is very
    0:20:32 different than how Donald Trump worked. But you’re going to have to have somebody who people feel
    0:20:37 is capable of winning the communication wars of this moment in these mediums.
    0:20:43 Just to talk about Secretary Buttigieg for a second, do you think America is ready for a gay
    0:20:47 president? Or more specifically, do you think the black community in South Carolina is ready for a gay
    0:20:47 president?
    0:20:53 I think that when people ask that, it’s always about which person and how are they able to
    0:20:58 navigate the concerns and fears people have. Here are a couple of things I can tell you. When people
    0:21:04 were doing polling in the period when Joe Biden was, when it seemed like he might step down
    0:21:12 and it wasn’t yet a complete fait accompli, it would just move to Harris. Buttigieg was in some
    0:21:17 of the polls I saw the best polling Democrat anybody could find. It wasn’t by a ton, just by a couple
    0:21:24 points, but it was still, he was beating the others. So that’s one thing. The other thing about Buttigieg
    0:21:29 is he is capable. He did this in his convention speech, but I’ve seen him do it a lot.
    0:21:37 Because I think for him, being married and having a family was something he grew up not knowing if it
    0:21:45 would be there for him. He is able to do something that some politicians, particularly when they’re
    0:21:52 sort of firsts in a way, can sometimes do, which is that he is able to speak of family and speak of an
    0:21:59 almost traditional approach to values, to masculinity, to fatherhood, to parenthood, to fidelity in a way
    0:22:08 that is novel, in a way that re-imbues it with a kind of wonder and almost holiness. He is much
    0:22:13 better at talking about family than virtually any other politician on the field right now. So I think
    0:22:20 when you say something like, you know, is X and Y group ready for a Z president? Well, it’s like,
    0:22:25 what are the stereotypes of Z for them, right? What have they been taught to fear? And that’s the
    0:22:31 set of questions that that person is going to have to overcome, you know, always has been. And I think
    0:22:36 in this case, there’s always been something about this question of family and traditionalism. And are we
    0:22:41 breaking something? I mean, this was always a fight about gay marriage for years and years and years
    0:22:50 before it became the law of the land. And Buttigieg is somebody who I think, because of how ferocious his
    0:22:57 commitment to the life he has built, a little bit beyond his own expectations is, he is very, very,
    0:23:04 very skilled at talking about that in a way that is fairly beautiful and affecting. So I don’t know if
    0:23:08 America is ready for a gay president. Is it ready for Pete Buttigieg? I think that’s going to be a different
    0:23:13 question. We’ll be right back.
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    0:24:56 Hunter Biden’s three-hour interview with Andrew Callahan started out normally enough.
    0:25:00 Lure. So you’re born here in Delaware or born here in Pennsylvania?
    0:25:05 In Delaware. Okay, in Delaware. Yeah, Wilmington. Small talk. What are your thoughts on Wilmington,
    0:25:11 Delaware? Nice place? Oh, yeah. Work, family, addiction. Anyway, I don’t want to tell people how
    0:25:17 to make crack cocaine. He did. Then came the crash out. I hear Rahm Emanuel is going to run for
    0:25:22 president. Like, oh, boy, there’s the answer. There’s the answer. You have the Pod Save America
    0:25:28 saying, you know, I don’t think South Carolina, that’s only there. What the? I mean, are they out
    0:25:34 of their minds? I don’t have to be nice. Number one, I agree with Quentin Tarantino. George Clooney is
    0:25:38 not. I don’t know what he is. He’s a brand. And by the way, and God bless him.
    0:25:43 We’re not picking on him. Keep coming back, Hunter. No, in fact, everybody has been crashing
    0:25:47 out lately. And today on Today Explained from Fox, we’re going to ask, what’s up?
    0:25:56 So you recently wrote a piece in the New York Times titled, Why American Jews No Longer
    0:26:01 Understand One Another. And I thought, by the way, it really resonated with me. And you write that the
    0:26:05 consensus that held American Jews together for generations has cracked, and that what is good
    0:26:11 for Israel is good for the Jews no longer holds. What do you think ultimately, say more about that,
    0:26:13 and what do you think ultimately broke that consensus?
    0:26:21 So the piece for me was motivated in this moment by seeing the fights in so many films I knew
    0:26:26 about Mamdani, where you would have young Jews in New York who were voting for him, who really liked him,
    0:26:30 older Jews. And I’m stereotyping a little bit, but this is mostly what I saw,
    0:26:33 who were horrified. You saw him as an anti-Semite, you know.
    0:26:42 And I’ve been, as I’ve been covering, you know, Israel and Gaza and also the politics of it here
    0:26:47 for, you know, a couple of years now, feeling this fissure widening.
    0:26:54 And there’s a lot of dimensions to it. The thing I say in that piece is that the consensus that held
    0:26:58 American Jewry together for a very long time was fundamentally about Zionism. It was that Israel’s
    0:27:03 good for the Jews, and we need to be, even in America, committed to it. That opposition to Israel,
    0:27:09 particularly the opposition to Israel as a Jewish state, is anti-Semitic. That Israel is seeking a
    0:27:14 two-state solution and will probably either find one soon, or if it doesn’t, it is not their fault.
    0:27:23 And as that consensus is broken down for a lot of reasons, but in this moment, because a two-state
    0:27:30 solution is nothing that Israel wants, and Israel is now, it seems, inflicting a mass starvation event
    0:27:35 on Gaza, which is broken through to the media and to people.
    0:27:43 This question of what is the relationship American Jews should have with Israel and through that with each other
    0:27:49 has really polarized. So you’ve had a fair amount of the community polarize around Israel, right?
    0:27:53 We need to defend Israel. You know, they’re living in a neighborhood where everybody wants to kill them,
    0:27:58 Hamas could release the hostages if Hamas wanted to. So anything that happens on this is on their shoulders.
    0:28:05 And then another set that is moving away from it, that wants no part of what this is, not just no part of
    0:28:10 this war, but no part of government after government that is incredibly right-wing, that is building
    0:28:16 settlements in the West Bank at an expanding pace. And as a two-state solution has functionally dissolved
    0:28:22 as a live political project, it no longer exists as a kind of parking lot that can reconcile the
    0:28:28 liberalism of American Jews and their commitment to Israel. If Israel simply intends to rule over
    0:28:34 seven million Palestinians who will not have rights, you know, Palestinian Israelis or Arab Israelis have
    0:28:38 some rights, but it’s not like what Jewish Israelis have. And then in West Bank and Gaza, it’s a horror show.
    0:28:46 There is not the capacity anymore to sort of explain that away. And so then what do you do? Do you believe
    0:28:52 in equality everywhere but in the place meant to be your spiritual home? Do you support what has become
    0:28:57 a structure of apartheid? You know, people don’t love the word, but we don’t have that many for it.
    0:29:03 Where do you end up? And there’s not an answer right now. There isn’t a solution, a policy move or anything
    0:29:10 that can sort of reunite these two questions. And Israel itself, its politics have changed dramatically.
    0:29:17 And it is seeking alliance with other right-wing ethno-nationalist governments in a way that’s really changing
    0:29:24 the meaning of Israel on the world stage. So it’s a tricky and very heartbreaking moment.
    0:29:32 Yeah, it’s, I would love to hear more about how you personally feel as someone who is an atheist and
    0:29:37 never felt much connection with Judaism. Mother’s Jewish, I consider myself Jewish, but never really
    0:29:42 connected with Israel or Judaism. And then October the 8th, I decided I was a full-blown Zionist.
    0:29:49 And since then, it’s become increasingly hard. It’s just, you know, the diaspora, I think, is really
    0:29:54 conflicted. And when I think about brand Israel, the strongest component of brand Israel, I think,
    0:30:01 used to be that they were seen as the good guys. And the David to the Goliath, if you will. And I think
    0:30:06 that’s no longer the case. At the same time, and curious to get your take here, I think the rest of the
    0:30:15 world and a certain element of America is really drawn to the strength and victory of Israel. I mean, if you
    0:30:23 look at the Houthis, if you look at Hezbollah, obviously Hamas, I mean, Israel’s taken out Iran, effectively,
    0:30:29 or at least now rules the skies over Iran. And I think strength, strength is a fantastic brand
    0:30:35 association. So the brand is shifting, but there are some, I would argue, elements of the brand that
    0:30:39 are very aspirational and getting a lot of recognition from around the world. Your thoughts?
    0:30:45 I think if you look on the right, Zionism has come to mean, this actually goes, I think, back to our
    0:30:51 conversation about masculinity at the beginning. Zionism has come to be a symbol of a certain
    0:30:59 belief in strength. Israel is Sparta, or the closest thing, like, this world still has, in a way, to a
    0:31:05 Sparta. The issue for that, I mean, I can’t say I really think about it too much in terms of brands,
    0:31:10 but the issue with that is, one, it is losing vast amounts of other kinds of support. I mean,
    0:31:14 France just came out and said it was going to recognize a Palestinian state. That has not happened
    0:31:19 before. When you say what Israel means around the world, Israel’s reputation around the world,
    0:31:24 you look at how Israel is seen around the world, and it is terrible, right? I mean, whatever debates
    0:31:29 we’re having in America, that is not the dominant debate in the rest of the world. The rest of the
    0:31:33 world is moving very, very, very far away from Israel for the most part. You know, if you go look
    0:31:39 at, say, global polling on Israel. But, you know, back sort of to how I think about it here,
    0:31:45 one, American Jews overwhelmingly are liberal. They believe in human rights. They believe in
    0:31:54 multi-ethnic democracy. And that’s not accidental. That is the set of ideas and ideals
    0:32:02 on which American Jews, to some degree now European Jews, on which, like, the safety of the diaspora
    0:32:10 is built, right? If the view is you can just dominate your ethnic minorities, then the Jews of the
    0:32:17 diaspora are fucked, right? Because we are an ethnic minority wherever we are. And so it is not accidental
    0:32:24 that this deep commitment to liberalism as a mode of politics, right? Not talking here about, like,
    0:32:29 the American left, but the broader thing we mean when we say liberalism. It runs very deep in American
    0:32:38 jury. And so, yes, Israel is moving to where its allies are. People like Donald Trump, right? J.D. Vance,
    0:32:48 Viktor Orban, sort of right-wing, ethno-nationalist strongmen. What does that mean for Israel? Next
    0:32:54 time Democrats are in power and the Democrat who is in power is not 80-some years old and remembers Israel
    0:33:01 at its founding. What does that mean for Israel in 10 years if it is just accepted that it’s an apartheid
    0:33:11 state when there’s no more excuses left to be made? So, in terms of the long term, I don’t think
    0:33:17 that’s a very safe place to be. What does strength get you? I mean, the ability to execute military
    0:33:23 operations. But Israel is not using its strength wisely or judiciously. This morning, I woke up and
    0:33:28 an Israeli commentator I know, I don’t know if it’s published yet, so I don’t want to say who it is,
    0:33:33 but sent me a piece that he’s been writing. And he’s not a person like on the far left,
    0:33:37 just saying, if we don’t do something, Senwar will have won from beyond the grave.
    0:33:43 Because the way the world is looking at us is Hamas’s ultimate dream. That they wanted,
    0:33:49 Hamas wanted the world to see us as butchers. They wanted to see us as having no respect for
    0:33:54 Palestinian life and to be invested in only domination. And now that is beginning to be what
    0:34:01 they’re seeing. And so, you know, it’s like in any war, right? The bombings are the easy part if you
    0:34:07 have the firepower. It’s always been easier to take out. I mean, Israel has done amazing military
    0:34:11 operations, functionally for its entire history, right? It’s knocked out nuclear reactors before,
    0:34:16 although it needed us, in this case, to help with that. And we don’t really know how much was done.
    0:34:21 Like, for all we know, in a year, Iran is going to pop up with a nuclear weapon, right? They’re just going
    0:34:24 to do, they’re just going to do a sprint in the background. So I don’t know that we know how these
    0:34:30 stories have ended. But, you know, as with Iraq, as with Afghanistan, as with so many of these,
    0:34:36 the invasion, the bombing, the shock and awe, if you have the military technology, is often the easy
    0:34:43 part. It’s what do you do when you’re ruling over those ruins? And it is very telling that almost two
    0:34:47 years now, after October 7th, Israel still has never put forward a day after planning Gaza,
    0:34:52 right? It doesn’t have a vision of how it should be governed, because it doesn’t know.
    0:34:58 Could a lot of these problems with the brand perception or the perception, the erosion in the
    0:35:02 sentiment or goodwill towards Israel around the world, which I agree with, do you think a lot of
    0:35:07 that could be repaired, quite frankly, if Netanyahu leaves the stage and Israel does a hard pivot away
    0:35:14 from these policies? You know, that might go a long way to repairing their reputation. And also,
    0:35:18 at the end of the day, isn’t it? I mean, what the world thinks of them is very important,
    0:35:25 but what the kingdom thinks of them and their neighbors believing that they have kind of exhausted
    0:35:33 their ability to invade or eliminate Israel, that obviously hasn’t worked. I mean, at the end of the
    0:35:35 day, could Israel argue this has been worth it?
    0:35:40 I don’t know. I mean, you’d have to ask Israel if they think it’s been worth it. And I think,
    0:35:44 obviously, at least its government currently does. Not, obviously, worth the deaths of October 7th,
    0:35:50 but the cost of their military operations. I guess maybe the place I’d probably part,
    0:35:53 I don’t think what Israel has is a brand problem. I think what they have is a reality problem.
    0:35:59 I mean, they are currently committing war crimes. There is just no other way to describe it. They
    0:36:06 have choked off food to Palestinians in Gaza, a people under occupation from them. No matter what
    0:36:11 the insurgent or terrorist group that you’re dealing with wants or doesn’t want or will agree to or will
    0:36:15 not agree to, under the rules of war, you cannot do that. You cannot hold the entire civilian
    0:36:20 population responsible. The idea that Hamas was stealing the aid has now been looked into and has
    0:36:24 proven false at any systemic level. You know, in the West Bank, they’re building
    0:36:29 settlements at a torrid rate. There’s a lot more violence against West Bank Palestinians from the
    0:36:35 treetop or the hilltop youth. So, yes, I mean, it is the case that Israel could emerge as a kind of
    0:36:40 brutal ethnostate. I mean, or maybe is a brutal ethnostate that just rules over this and nobody
    0:36:44 can really do anything about it. In the long run, I don’t think that’s stable in the world we live in.
    0:36:49 But I’m not going to, I don’t want to tell you that, you know, you cannot have brutal states in
    0:36:53 modernity. You certainly can. I just think that’s a bad thing. I think that it’s going to be a bad
    0:36:57 thing for Jews worldwide. I think it’s going to be a bad thing for what it means to be Jewish. I think
    0:37:03 it’s obviously going to be horror for the Palestinians. I mean, my problem with this is not really so much
    0:37:08 Israel’s brand. I think we often filter a lot of American conversations when we’re among people who are
    0:37:12 sort of like committed to the long-term health of Israel and the Jews through the question of, is it good
    0:37:19 for Israel and the Jews? But even some world where you can say for Israel’s interests as a state,
    0:37:24 ongoing domination and apartheid-like structure is good for the way they have defined their interests,
    0:37:30 I still think it’s bad, right? That violates my values as a human being and like as a political
    0:37:34 thinker. And so in the long run, it will lose support for that. But I’m not, you know, you could
    0:37:37 certainly make an argument that it’ll find other, it’ll pick up other support and be able to become
    0:37:43 very close with Russia, right? You know, there’s always ways to sort of rejigger your alliances
    0:37:52 alongside your values. But, you know, it comes with a kind of deep cost as well.
    0:37:58 And the term war crimes obviously is a serious term. Do you think America’s guilty of similar
    0:38:01 war crimes across almost every war it’s engaged in since World War II?
    0:38:05 America’s been guilty of some war crimes. Mass starvation of civilian populations is usually
    0:38:10 not one of them. There’s a grid. I don’t know if you’ve read the New York Magazine cover story on
    0:38:14 this. It’d be worth having her on. Like this has been, the people I know who do this work,
    0:38:17 they don’t, they think this has moved out of just normal war.
    0:38:21 We’re going to need a bigger boat. So we’re going to, we’re going to move on to local New York
    0:38:25 politics. Mom Donnie, your turn.
    0:38:35 You know, we’ll see, right? The guy ran an amazing campaign. I often say that there are two kinds of
    0:38:39 politicians, the kind that communicate about policy and the kind that communicate through
    0:38:43 policy. And Mom Donnie is the kind that communicates through policy, right? Every one of
    0:38:48 his policies, free to rent, free buses, free daycare, you know, government owned grocery stores.
    0:38:52 They say something about him, right? They’re about his values, about how he views society,
    0:38:58 right? They’re, they’re, they’re mimetic. The question is if he wins, and I think he’s,
    0:39:02 you got to see him as a favorite at this point, can he govern effectively? So a bunch of those
    0:39:06 policies need a bunch of money. He does not have any control over taxes. He would have to go to
    0:39:14 Albany and Governor Kathy Hochul, who has said she will not raise taxes. So he, under virtually any
    0:39:18 scenario we can see, is not going to have the money to do the things he wants to do. You know, some of
    0:39:22 them, free buses actually would not be that expensive. You could probably, you know, get that from
    0:39:27 somewhere else in the New York City, you know, budget. But in terms of big things, it’s very unlikely
    0:39:31 he’ll be able to pull together the money for that. I also think that if he wins, Donald Trump is going
    0:39:36 to see him as a kind of soft target and go to war with Mamdani. And that will include taking a lot
    0:39:41 of money or trying to take a lot of money, the federal government flow that flows from the federal
    0:39:46 government into New York City away from it. So that could be a sort of crisis that, you know,
    0:39:51 there’s real questions about how he’ll be able to respond to it. Then there’s the freeze of the rent
    0:39:56 dynamic, which, you know, for a year or two, and I get why that policy is popular. If you’re living in,
    0:40:01 you know, some in rent controlled or stabilized housing or some or housing that is meant to be
    0:40:07 affordable and the rent is going up by 10 or 12 percent, that’s terrible for you. If you do an
    0:40:13 extended rent freeze, you’re going to reduce the incentive by a lot to repair those buildings and
    0:40:18 to build new ones. Right. There’s no way of getting around that. So you need to be really opening the
    0:40:24 floodgates some other way on construction. And when I look at Mamdani’s proposals, when I’ve, you know,
    0:40:29 talked to him and heard him talk about this, I think a lot of his head is in the right place.
    0:40:34 I’m not sure he’s willing to disappoint the people he would need to disappoint or wield enough power
    0:40:40 to really unleash a building boom at an affordable cost for him. Really, most of his plans have focused
    0:40:46 on publicly public housing, which is great. But New York City has not built public housing at that level
    0:40:52 in a very, very long time. And whether or not it still can is a little bit unknown. And whether it
    0:40:57 can under the kind of laws that it currently has and regulations and deals it has made, it probably
    0:41:02 can’t if you don’t change those. Will Mamdani be willing to disappoint his friends and pick the
    0:41:07 fights to change those? I don’t know. So he’s somebody who has an incredible amount of talent.
    0:41:11 I think it’ll matter a lot who we see him surrounding himself with. Who does he listen to?
    0:41:16 Who would his police chief be? What would his relationship with the police be like? Who will
    0:41:20 be, you know, helping him run all of this, right? Will Brad Lander be his first deputy mayor? That would
    0:41:26 be, I think, you know, one world. And I think that would be an encouraging sign. But I think there is
    0:41:33 still a lot that is unknown. The transition from being a movement leader, which is what Mamdani is in a
    0:41:40 context to being an executive is a very big transition, as you know, better than me. And the
    0:41:47 question of can he sort of wield executive power and, you know, tack when policies aren’t working out
    0:41:52 or come up with alternatives when he doesn’t have the money, you know, or kind of browbeat people or
    0:41:56 make allies you wouldn’t expect them to make and listen to people you wouldn’t expect them to listen
    0:41:58 to. You know, all that remains to be seen.
    0:42:05 It strikes me that it’s a no, it’s a no brainer if he just has lunch very publicly with Michael
    0:42:10 Bloomberg once a week up until the election, that if he just pivots to sort of the old guard or,
    0:42:15 or softens his image a little bit, kind of rough, you know, sands out the rough edges that he’s,
    0:42:21 he’s a lock, I would think. The, and I think a lot of people feel a little bit conflicted that say,
    0:42:25 okay, I don’t love his policies. Some of his, some of the things he said in the past are somewhat
    0:42:30 troubling, but at the same time, I think it’s difficult not to be inspired, right? It’s my
    0:42:36 understanding is 4,000 young Democrats or people under the age of 40 filled out paperwork to run
    0:42:41 for office after he won, which is, you know, which is a good thing. And what also struck me, and I’m
    0:42:45 curious to get your thoughts, was how similar it was to the Trump campaign, a focus on affordability
    0:42:50 and weaponizing these new mediums. Isn’t, regardless of what you think of his politics,
    0:42:56 doesn’t it, it doesn’t potentially Mamdani’s victory, potentially sort of illuminate a path
    0:43:02 for Democrats moving forward in terms of how they should be acquitting themselves or prosecuting a
    0:43:09 campaign? I’m not sure. There are a lot of lessons from Mamdani, obviously, but I think one of it is
    0:43:15 find incredible political talents that are well matched to the places they’re running. So look, I mean,
    0:43:20 the guy wins by, I forget the exact margin in the primary now, but you’re talking about a win that I
    0:43:25 think was in the, a little bit over 10 points range in a New York City primary. That’s great, right?
    0:43:29 That’s a very impressive victory. Cuomo came in with a lot more money than he had. First, he hasn’t won
    0:43:34 the general yet. I think he will, but let’s not totally get ahead of ourselves. And Cuomo is a very,
    0:43:41 very, very weak and obviously scandal-ridden candidate who ran a terrible campaign. So the
    0:43:47 question is, can you run like Mamdani trying to win a Senate seat in Kansas City or Wisconsin? Can you
    0:43:50 win the governorship in Wisconsin that way, right? There are these elections that are going to have to
    0:43:56 be fit to the place where the person is running. I think the thing you see in some of these figures
    0:44:02 who are over-performing, Mamdani or, you know, in a very different way, Ruben Gallego in Arizona.
    0:44:07 I’ve been impressed with what I’m seeing from John Ossoff in this re-election campaign he’s running in
    0:44:15 Georgia, is what you need is not like the one recipe. You need candidates who are compelling on
    0:44:21 their own. And one reason they are compelling on their own is that they know who they are and
    0:44:26 they’re willing to stand up for it. And sometimes that is to the left of where, you know, much of
    0:44:29 the electorate is comfortable with them being. And sometimes it’s like a little bit to the right,
    0:44:36 but there is something about being willing to unleash the energy of some conflict around yourself,
    0:44:44 right? Not being so careful and cautious and poll-tested and mealy-mouthed that everybody feels
    0:44:50 when they hear you talk. Like the first thing happening in your mind is a filter that is
    0:44:57 catching anything you might say that anyone might not like first. People really sense when they’re not
    0:45:02 quite talking to you. And when you talk to Mamdani or you hear him talking, you’re talking to him.
    0:45:07 When you talk to Gallego or you hear him talking, you’re talking to him. Or that’s true for Angie Craig,
    0:45:12 right? That’s true for Elise Slotkin. There are a lot of really good candidates, but one thing that
    0:45:17 those candidates tend to have is an authenticity. And you watch me like, yeah, I would keep listening
    0:45:22 to this person. One other thing I will just say about Mamdani that I’ve always found to be a big
    0:45:28 part of his appeal and what makes him a real political talent is he feels very motivated by his sympathies
    0:45:33 and not his resentments. That’s not, in my view, how Donald Trump feels, but it’s also not how a lot
    0:45:38 of people on the left feel. Oftentimes, people in politics, they feel more motivated by who they hate
    0:45:45 than who they’re in this for. And Mamdani, who took a lot of flack, right, you know, who got a lot of
    0:45:54 unfair attacks. Nevertheless, there is a fundamental friendliness to his campaign, a sense that even if
    0:45:59 you disagreed with him, he didn’t hate you. He wasn’t looking to push you out of his circle. He wanted you
    0:46:07 in there. He wanted you in that tent. And that idea that there is a political value to what you might call
    0:46:11 like a high political theory level pluralism and what you might call as a normal human being, like
    0:46:18 friendliness and openness to other people. I think that’s easy to underestimate. I think that a real
    0:46:24 failure of the left, and I don’t just mean like the democratic socialist left, I mean like the broad,
    0:46:29 you know, left of the center, was developing a politics that seemed like it was more interested
    0:46:35 at times and a communication style and figuring out who wasn’t on our side and making that clear
    0:46:40 than inviting people, even people who didn’t agree with us, in at least halfway.
    0:46:46 And Mamdani, though he’s, you know, to a lot of people’s left, he doesn’t feel that way. He’s looking
    0:46:50 for where you agree with him, not where, you know, he can kick you out.
    0:46:55 You’ve likened Trump to a living Twitter algorithm, which I love, saying that his focus
    0:47:02 generally just from being, from thing to thing. Not because he’s trying to distract us, but because
    0:47:10 he himself is easily distractible. I would, my sense is right now that may, in fact, not be true, that
    0:47:15 he’s, he’s, he’s, the majority of his focus right now is on weapons of mass distraction from
    0:47:25 Epstein. I’m, I’m curious what has surprised you about the most recent iteration of the Epstein
    0:47:30 scandal, and if you have any speculation around where it heads and what it means for both parties
    0:47:36 and Trump. I mean, their level of obvious panic around it. I can’t tell you what’s at the center of
    0:47:44 that panic. But as you say, he has been quite consistent on his anger about this, his desire
    0:47:50 that these files now are not released, whatever he was saying at another point. Mike Johnson
    0:47:58 recessing the House rather than allowing that vote. It was a moment that I think, even if you’ve been a
    0:48:05 bit skeptical, that, you know, that beneath the smoke, this fire certainly made a lot of people look at
    0:48:11 it differently. Where it goes from here, I don’t know. It doesn’t feel to me like it’s going away.
    0:48:16 I feel, I’ve said on Pivot, the fix is in. That all of a sudden they’ve decided they want to speak to
    0:48:21 Jelaine Maxwell after she’s been there for several years. That it has been communicated to her that she
    0:48:26 will get a pardon if, if in fact, her comments come across as exonerating the president. To me, this feels
    0:48:29 just plain as day. Your thoughts?
    0:48:35 I think the fact that so many people believe that is going to make that move a little bit hard to run.
    0:48:41 Now, look, like my view is not that Epstein is going to bring down Donald Trump and, you know,
    0:48:46 the Wall Street Journal reports that he is somewhere in those files, maybe multiple times, you know,
    0:48:51 where he is in them. I don’t know. It could just be notes of them being at parties together.
    0:48:58 It’s one of these things that I wonder how much what’s in there would confirm what we know,
    0:49:04 which is that they were good friends and he knew about Epstein, right? Trump is the first person,
    0:49:08 to my knowledge, on record in this New York Magazine story from, what was it, 06,
    0:49:16 saying publicly, Jeffrey Epstein likes young women, right? He says, a lot of people say Epstein likes
    0:49:22 beautiful women almost as much as I do, and he likes them young. Trump knew. Whatever else you
    0:49:28 want to say about it, Trump knew. And we know Trump knew. But sometimes there’s something more
    0:49:37 sticky about finding it in the official files than, you know, reading into, you know, a quote from 20
    0:49:47 years ago. So, yeah, maybe they try to trot out Ghislaine, and maybe she does give testimony that
    0:49:52 seems exonerating. And in a world where it seems like she got something for that, or people suspect
    0:49:56 she did, I’m not sure how persuasive that will be. I think there’s still going to be a lot of calls to
    0:50:01 release these. Then at some point, Democrats, if they take the House in 2026 and then, you know,
    0:50:06 have it in 2027, I think you should expect that to be passing a bunch. And if Republicans have the
    0:50:09 Senate, now you have, like, the Senate and the House fighting over this legislation.
    0:50:15 Maybe you have oversight committees that are subpoenaing people, again, under a Democratic
    0:50:20 House to get information and to have testimony, and people are actually paying attention to that
    0:50:26 testimony. It’s one of the first places where I think Democrats have seen real weakness with Trump.
    0:50:32 And so I don’t expect that it is simply going to dissolve. But nor do I think that one should expect
    0:50:36 that it’s going to, you know, become what liberals once hoped, you know, you know, the Mueller report
    0:50:40 would become. And something will happen. And that’s the end of the Trump administration.
    0:50:45 If you were advising the Democratic Party on how to handle the whole Epstein scandal,
    0:50:46 what would your advice be?
    0:50:52 If I were advising them, I mean, you keep up the pressure. Ro Khanna’s been very sharp on this,
    0:50:58 and he’s been very smart on this. And you focus on issues that are going to crack the other side’s
    0:51:07 coalition. And you weave this into a larger argument about corruption. This is one of many examples that
    0:51:13 Donald Trump and the people around him are astonishingly corrupt. And, you know, John Ossoff
    0:51:19 has been doing this on the campaign trail in a way I think is effective. But this is a place where,
    0:51:23 you know, these powerful people banded together to pull one over on you, right? You know, whip you up
    0:51:26 about the Epstein files. And as soon as they got what they wanted from you, which was your votes,
    0:51:32 your support, your faith, they turn around and spent it on tax cuts for themselves. And you don’t get
    0:51:37 the Epstein files. You get Medicaid cuts. You get food stamp cuts. You know, meanwhile, Trump is taking
    0:51:43 Qatari jets. And he’s taking, you know, making billions of dollars on crypto meme coins. And he is
    0:51:49 over and over and over and over again, screwing people over to line his own pocket and out of his
    0:51:57 friends. And this becomes, in a kind of an oversight structure, one of many things Democrats will be
    0:52:04 going after to build a case about what has always been to me the very soft underbelly of this
    0:52:08 administration, which is that they said they would come here and govern on your behalf and they’re just
    0:52:13 making themselves rich and they’re screwing you over. We’ll be right back after a quick break.
    0:52:25 Hey, this is Peter Kafka, the host of Channels, a show about media and tech and what happens when
    0:52:32 they collide. And this may be hard to remember, but not very long ago, magazines were a really big deal.
    0:52:37 And the most important magazines were owned by Condé Nast, the glitzy publishing empire that’s the
    0:52:40 focus of a new book by New York Times reporter Michael Grinbaum.
    0:52:46 The way Condé Nast elevated its editors, the way they paid for their mortgages so they could live in
    0:52:54 beautiful homes. There was a logic to it, which was that Condé Nast itself became seen as this kind of
    0:52:55 enchanted land.
    0:53:00 You can hear the rest of our chat on channels, wherever you listen to your favorite media podcast.
    0:53:12 Every so often you say a combination of words you never expected to say, such as Tesla opened a diner
    0:53:18 in Los Angeles. This week on The Vergecast, we talked to a writer who went there, ate the food and saw a lot
    0:53:24 of cyber trucks. Also, Apple’s making a big design change to its operating systems. It’s called liquid
    0:53:30 glass and the public can finally try it. Our reviewers have been testing it for weeks and they have some
    0:53:36 strong opinions about how it looks. Finally, it’s summer blockbuster season. We talk about the new media
    0:53:41 circuit that movie stars have to endure to promote their projects. A lot of it involves eating chicken.
    0:53:54 We’re back with more from Ezra Klein.
    0:54:01 You and Derek Thompson, who were big fans of, put out abundance earlier this year.
    0:54:06 What surprised you most about the response to it? What issues do you think got more attention than you
    0:54:08 were expecting or less attention than you were expecting?
    0:54:15 I mean, the level of response to it surprised me. You know, you release a book that is about,
    0:54:22 in substantial portion, you know, how strong the state is in city capacity and zoning policy and
    0:54:28 housing and, you know, how hard it is to build transmission lines and issues in scientific institutions.
    0:54:34 You know, you could see a world for that book. Probably the modal world is some respectful reviews and
    0:54:38 then you kind of, everybody moves on with their life. So the fact that it became this huge discourse
    0:54:43 object that it’s, you know, at least as of last week, still on the bestseller list, whatever it is,
    0:54:50 18 weeks later, that’s been amazing. I didn’t expect the backlash from like the, I’d call it like the
    0:54:54 neo-populist left that we got. We didn’t get a backlash from all parts of the left, but that wasn’t
    0:55:00 one I was expecting sort of Brandeisian, people very focused on corporate power because I didn’t see it
    0:55:05 coming because I don’t see abundance as in conflict with that. What I came to realize over
    0:55:10 time and over talking to them was that abundance is sort of more underlying theory of politics,
    0:55:16 which I think is more liberal theory of politics, which is that power is ill-used in a lot of places.
    0:55:20 There’s no one kind of power that if you just broke it, you would get the society you wanted,
    0:55:26 right? For abundance, the kind of list of enemies is not just like corporations and rich people.
    0:55:30 Sometimes those are your problem. And sometimes you have lots of other problems that, you know,
    0:55:39 those don’t fix. So I think that became, it became, in my view, the fight over abundance became a
    0:55:44 version of a fight that is inside the Democratic Party between, you know, what we may call liberalism
    0:55:50 and populism, which are more structurally different ways of viewing politics. Of course, those can be
    0:55:56 synthesized. And I think skilled politicians will do that. But I do think it is a very real divide
    0:56:01 in people’s implicit way of thinking about what the problem is and how to solve it.
    0:56:08 Yeah, the thing I was disappointed in, Democrats, it seemed like an argument over the theories as
    0:56:13 opposed to trying to inspire a thoughtful conversation around specific programs. And the thing I took away
    0:56:18 from it and that you and Derek kind of inspired in my mind was, and one of my disappointments with the
    0:56:23 Democratic Party is they’re long on rhetorical flourish and short on actual programs and big, bold ideas.
    0:56:29 But the thing I took away from listening to your interviews and the book was, you know,
    0:56:34 8 million houses in 10 years. Let’s build 8 million manufactured homes, which cost 30 to 50%
    0:56:39 less than on-site homes and create little cool communities for young people, which will create
    0:56:46 cool. And basically just say to Americans, your kid’s going to be able to afford a house if they’re
    0:56:50 making a decent living. Like right there, just one program, specific number, specific costs,
    0:56:57 let’s get on it. And we got, seems like, diverted into this existential argument over what abundance means
    0:57:06 and the externalities of it. So was your intent to foment a conversation around some sort of federally backed
    0:57:10 or tax credit, private sector unleashed-inspired housing program?
    0:57:16 I mean, I think that’ll come as people are coming up with their 2028 plans and trying to think about
    0:57:21 how, you know, what abundance means to them and how they instantiate in policy. I think you’re going
    0:57:24 to see a lot of versions of that. I mean, hell, Zoram Amdani was talking about abundance on the campaign
    0:57:32 trail. The thing, I think what you’re getting at, which I feel is true, but I may be more
    0:57:42 placid around, is the focus was really on the critique. And the critique unleashed a lot of energy
    0:57:47 because it unleashed a lot of conflict, right? We’re saying government has worked poorly. We have failed
    0:57:53 in a lot of the places where we liberals, Democrats, people on the left have governed. We have not made
    0:58:00 life affordable for people. We have not delivered, you know, big mass infrastructure projects. People have
    0:58:03 lost faith in the government for a lot of reasons, but this is one of them and they’re not wrong to do
    0:58:08 so, right? If you, you know, if California comes back to you and says, we’d like to try building
    0:58:12 high-speed rail again, I think you should say, well, what did you learn? Because like right now you’re
    0:58:20 failing. I do think that there could be and hopefully will be more conversation about what does abundance
    0:58:25 actually look like? As you were saying, maybe it’s 8 million homes in 10 years. I think we could do a lot
    0:58:30 more on defining and really pushing for clean energy abundance, right? Having a lot more energy
    0:58:35 having energy that is on the path to truly being too cheap to meter. That would be an incredible, genuine
    0:58:43 step forward in human wealth. There’s so much around innovation and healthcare and healthcare supply and what
    0:58:50 people have access to. Like for an extended period of time, the question of GLP-1s is going to become a very,
    0:58:54 very, very important political question because right now Medicaid and Medicare do not cover them
    0:59:01 as anti-obesity drugs. If they did at current prices, it would probably bankrupt the system.
    0:59:07 So this question of how do you create abundance of, you know, new technologies and new medications and,
    0:59:15 you know, there is a lot there. So there is a critique of how government works and in some ways of how the
    0:59:21 the sort of democratic party has governed, which has been the focus because people are fighting over that.
    0:59:27 I do think being a party that can offer people a vision that they can actually feel
    0:59:34 of what a more abundant America would look like, what it would look like if not just you, but your children
    0:59:39 could afford a home in the place they actually wanted to live, what it would look like if we really were
    0:59:44 our world leaders in next generation energy, what it would look like if we really did have a lot more
    0:59:50 great public infrastructure and then proved ourselves, you know, ruthless enough to change government,
    0:59:57 to slaughter our own sacred cows to get there. I think that’s very compelling, but, but yes, that,
    1:00:02 that part, that kind of visioning, I think has been, um, even though we start the book with it,
    1:00:04 has been less a part of the conversation than I would like to see.
    1:00:10 I just want to do, uh, I’d love to do a lightning round around just specific policy
    1:00:17 ideas and get, just get your quick response to it. Um, lower Medicaid eligibility by two years,
    1:00:23 every year for 10 years, brings it down to 40 or 45, which effectively is socialized medicine
    1:00:27 because I think 70 to 90% of all healthcare costs are people over the age of 40, but basically
    1:00:32 a slow but steady march towards, uh, socialized medicine.
    1:00:38 I’ve always been pro lowering the Medicare age by a lot and, and also doing something like Medicare
    1:00:44 for kids. So there, there’s been a theory for a long time that you can basically do, um, a Medicare
    1:00:50 like program for kids or pretty cheap in general, call it up to 18 and bring Medicare eligibility down
    1:00:54 to 45. Now it’s worth saying that eligibility is different. You have to say, are you going to
    1:00:57 subsidize them at the same rate? You subsidize people over 65, right? There’s all, all kinds of
    1:01:02 questions in probably nobody gives a shit about this anymore. In the affordable care act, there
    1:01:07 was almost when the public option is getting killed, a compromise to do Medicare eligibility at 55 and
    1:01:12 Joe Lieberman personally killed it, which I’ve never forgiven him for, um, the late Joe Lieberman. But
    1:01:18 I have always been a big fan of, of increasing the, the age ranges that Medicare can, can cover and
    1:01:22 building a very clear healthcare system for kids built on public insurance.
    1:01:30 Yeah. Alternative minimum tax of 50% for anyone making over say $3 million, elimination of the
    1:01:32 exemption for estate tax.
    1:01:40 Yeah. And one of my, one of my views about 2028 is it the tax code is now too, too broken and Democrats
    1:01:47 should figure out smart Democrats will figure out an actual simple tax reform that you got to throw out
    1:01:53 the code and start over and doing something much flatter, but, but highly progressive, right?
    1:02:01 And much simpler, you know, that has much simpler rules and not a billion different carve outs and,
    1:02:07 you know, all of the lobbyists poked holes that we have here. So, you know, something very heavily
    1:02:10 built around a value added tax, I think would make sense. You can do, you can do progressive
    1:02:15 consumption taxes, right? There’s a lot of ways to do it. Your, your version is another one of that sort
    1:02:23 of more oriented towards, um, richer people, but I think a flat, but highly progressive and flat,
    1:02:26 I should say broad, but highly progressive tax code is the way to go.
    1:02:31 So just to wrap up here and we do appreciate how generous you’ve been with your time. I’m just
    1:02:38 curious with the kind of, uh, there are, I remember Thomas Friedman at Davos 25 years ago talking about
    1:02:43 the emergence of the supranational, the basically nation states as individuals. And I thought that was
    1:02:47 actually quite, if you look back, quite prescient, but I also think the same thing has happened.
    1:02:52 There’s a certain number of people in media who have developed, whose work is so outstanding
    1:02:58 and that it breaks through. But in addition, they’re able to sort of weaponize different mediums and kind
    1:03:05 of become bigger than the platform itself. And I think you’re one of those people. I’m curious what
    1:03:09 your strategy is. And please don’t tell me you don’t have a strategy. You just want to do great work.
    1:03:14 I hate, well, you can say it, but I won’t believe you. But what is your strategy around
    1:03:17 these different mediums? Where are you allocating more of your precious human capital
    1:03:23 around different, different technologies, different platforms? And where are you spending less time?
    1:03:27 When you think about yourself as a content producer, and a lot of it is the medium is the
    1:03:30 message. Which mediums are you over and under investing in?
    1:03:34 Well, one thing that I think is a little different about how I approach this than other people
    1:03:44 is that I tend to be fairly all or nothing. So I want to have an absolutely amazing podcast,
    1:03:50 right? I want my show to be amazing. I put a lot of time into that, right? I want to be a really good
    1:03:58 columnist. I put a lot of work into those two things. And then I don’t do social media. So I’m not
    1:04:05 really on Instagram. I’m not on X. I’m not on Blue Sky. The podcast is on YouTube, which I think
    1:04:13 is important. But I think of that as one project. I’m not myself on TikTok. We put my stuff on TikTok
    1:04:19 and actually does really well there. But that’s part of the kind of podcast, to my view. I just,
    1:04:23 you know, and I wrote a book, but I don’t write tons of books, right? It’s my second book. And I’ve
    1:04:28 been doing this for more than 20 years. It’s my second book. I try to really, really, really fully
    1:04:40 put my energy into creating a fairly discrete number of journalistic products that are really good and
    1:04:44 that lead, they create conversations. So, I mean, that piece you mentioned on American Jews don’t
    1:04:50 understand each other any longer. That piece took me time. There are, you know, I think six interviews
    1:04:54 in that piece, not anything made it into it, but behind it at the very least. It took me weeks to
    1:04:59 do. I held it beyond when it was supposed to initially run. We then did a version in audio
    1:05:06 where we actually wove more of the interviews into it. I wanted that to be something that would create
    1:05:12 conversation and it really has. And so I think one of my, and this might also be, you know, I have
    1:05:17 advantages and, you know, a big platform so I can, I have the privilege of being able to do this, but
    1:05:23 I try to be more engaged in like the role of starting conversations than kind of jumping into
    1:05:27 them. And that’s because I find that if I’m jumping into a lot of conversations, I find it very, very
    1:05:32 distracting. The other thing that is not a medium that I participate in the way I participate in
    1:05:37 podcasting, but I just spend a lot of time reading things on paper. And I think it’s a huge advantage.
    1:05:42 I think it makes me smarter. It lets me see things that other people aren’t seeing. I just, I think
    1:05:48 compared to a lot of people, a lot more of my information diet is books and printouts and a lot
    1:05:55 less is scrolling. And that keeps my work a little bit more different. And just in terms of, we have a
    1:06:00 lot of young people listen to podcasts, a lot of young men, actually, I think we’re 70 or 80% young men.
    1:06:06 And they, people are going to look at you and think, wow, 41, I want to be Ezra Klein, right? You, you have
    1:06:11 my senses. I don’t, I know you, I don’t know you, but I sort of know you. And my sense is you’re doing
    1:06:15 something. You have a lot of influence. You seem to like what you do. You’re making an exceptional
    1:06:20 living. Uh, you’re relevant. And a lot of people probably look at you and think, you know, I, I would,
    1:06:24 I’d like to be in those shoes. I’d like to be in that seat. Can you talk about the one or two biggest
    1:06:29 influences and what young people can take away in terms of getting you to where you are now?
    1:06:35 I came up through blogging, which was a very different way to come up at a time when that was a very open
    1:06:42 space, which it isn’t now. And so I started a blog when I was a freshman at UC Santa Cruz and, um,
    1:06:45 University of California, I didn’t know that. I didn’t know I could like you more, Ezra. Well done.
    1:06:49 UCLA and Berkeley, greatest, greatest gift from government.
    1:06:54 I got rejected from Berkeley repeatedly. I got rejected from Berkeley, uh, when I applied first
    1:06:58 and then when I tried to transfer there, but then I went to UCLA a bit too for a year. Uh, but I think
    1:07:06 of myself primarily as a banana slug. So that I think allowed me to go through a backdoor. When I
    1:07:10 started blogging, nobody thought of that as a career in order to die. Uh, you know, it sounded like
    1:07:17 something that would grow on your foot. Um, and there was one, an amazing community around that of like
    1:07:22 really, really excellent people who are, are still like amazing figures today. Right. You know,
    1:07:26 Matt Iglesias was an early inspiration for me as a blogger because he was another college kid.
    1:07:31 Uh, you know, Andrew Sullivan was like one of the big bloggers of that era. Um, unfortunately,
    1:07:36 Kevin Drum passed away. Uh, I think it was austere now, but, but he was a real figure in that.
    1:07:42 And so I think I was able to build my own sense of how to do my work and then got brought in
    1:07:49 repeatedly to, to institutions in this kind of protected space where I was doing something they
    1:07:54 wanted, right? Blogging and in, in, in different formats and later podcasting. And, and so they come
    1:07:59 in and they’re sort of like almost like acqui-hire me to, to do this thing they didn’t really know what
    1:08:04 to do yet. And that gave me a lot of freedom that not everybody else had. Um, so he’s had a cow
    1:08:09 an early blogger and a big influence on me. Um, so one, I think the blogosphere, I still in some
    1:08:15 ways think a lot of who I am is formed by that. And then, you know, the other thing that I think
    1:08:18 has always been very important in my own work is that I’m actually a reporter. I’m not just,
    1:08:24 I don’t think of myself primarily as a takes writer. And I think something that keeps my work
    1:08:29 pretty fresh is that it’s not just my voice over and over and over again. And for that, I give credit
    1:08:33 to a bunch of my early editors. Uh, you know, Mike Tomaski, who I remember at the American
    1:08:37 prospect, I came and brought him one of my early features and he looked at me and he
    1:08:40 said, this isn’t even a piece of journalism. I was like, what do you mean? That was such
    1:08:45 a mean thing to say to me. It’s like, there’s no other voices in it. It’s just you. And that
    1:08:49 made a big impression on me. And so, you know, my podcast is, you know, primarily interviews
    1:08:54 with other people, my columns, you’ll, they’re not literally all interview based, but they are
    1:08:58 heavily. If you look at, um, abundance, the book, it’s a lot of reporting, much of it on the
    1:09:03 ground in different places. I think it is, people think so much about what they’re telling
    1:09:07 other people and whether other people are listening and are they like, you know, how did they get
    1:09:13 in the algorithm? I think the first question is how to actually be interesting and have something
    1:09:18 that is worth saying. Um, what kind of work are you doing that you’re bringing to the audience?
    1:09:24 Why, what service are they hiring you to do? Because nowadays there’s so much political opinion
    1:09:29 out there, so much writing, so many voices, you really got to be able to offer something that
    1:09:33 other people aren’t offering. And for me, a lot of the time that comes from other people, right?
    1:09:38 It comes from being able to kind of, you know, interview and show them at their best. But yeah,
    1:09:42 that, that sort of mixture of blogging is a kind of constantly iterative learning in public,
    1:09:48 you know, um, opinionated and then merged with like a real commitment to reporting, which I think I
    1:09:58 still have. Any thoughts on, um, you have two kids, any thoughts or learnings or advice, uh, to young
    1:10:04 dads on how to be a good father or your learnings as a father and being, trying to be a good, a good
    1:10:13 partner? This will sound not cliche, but like a little, I think something, but parenting yourself
    1:10:21 is hard. It’s harder than parenting your kid. And what I mean by that is that it’s really important
    1:10:27 first and foremost, how you show up for your kid. How good of a parent you are going to be is going
    1:10:32 to have a lot to do with, are you sleeping? And if you’re not sleeping, are you taking care of yourself
    1:10:36 in other ways? Are you feeling good in your marriage, you know, with your partner, if you are
    1:10:42 married, are you feeling good at your work? Are you working out at all? And a lot of the, the place
    1:10:48 where parenting gets really tough is when you have poorly parented yourself and now you are poorly
    1:10:52 parenting your child because you’re pissed off because you’re a distraction from what you really
    1:10:57 want to be doing because you can’t give them your attention. And I don’t say this from the mountaintop
    1:11:02 where it never happens to me. I say this from the place where it happens to me all the time where
    1:11:07 I’m like, I’m just being a bad parent today. Like not terrible. I’m not beating my kids, but I’m,
    1:11:12 you know, mentally checked out and I’m tired and I’m not being, you know, being able to be there
    1:11:18 with them. And I just often see parents not do a good job, not even sort of realize like they’re
    1:11:24 part of the equation too. And that, you know, in the same way that how their kid responds to their
    1:11:29 parenting is going to depend on how’s the kid eaten recently? Have they slept? Like what’s going on in
    1:11:33 their lives? How they parent is going to depend on how they’re eating, how they’re sleeping, whether
    1:11:37 they’re working out, whether they’re going out on a date with, you know, the person they love or
    1:11:41 finding a person they love or whatever it might be. Parenting yourself is hard. You got to,
    1:11:46 you got to pay attention to it. Your, your, your kids, first of all, need you to be present.
    1:11:52 Is it difficult? And I struggled with this my whole career between being great at what you do and having
    1:11:56 your own relevance and your own economic security, which your family benefits from. And quite frankly,
    1:12:01 just being fucking exhausted or just not having the time to be a very engaged partner or,
    1:12:08 or father. Is that something you struggle with? Yeah, all the time. I mean, I, one of my worst
    1:12:12 feelings is feeling like the podcast often gets the best of me and sometimes my family gets the worst.
    1:12:18 Uh, and they get me at the end of the day when I’m tired, when I’m, you know, worn down, when
    1:12:27 the caffeine is worn off. Um, I feel like I spend so much time running from my own exhaustion,
    1:12:31 right? The thing that I feel the most often that I fight the hardest is feeling tired.
    1:12:38 And, uh, and it’s also just a part of my life, right? There’s not some way of doing what I’m
    1:12:43 doing or the number of things I’m doing and not having to wake up earlier than my body would like
    1:12:50 to, you know, there isn’t a way to do it all. And so just accepting that you’re in, you’re going
    1:12:55 to be in triage all the time. And, you know, sometimes you will flex too far in one direction
    1:12:59 and you’ll have to flex back for a while. I mean, the first six months of this year
    1:13:05 with abundance kind of blowing up and, you know, asking more of me than I had quite anticipated
    1:13:11 that was stress on my home life. That was stress on my wife. That was stress on my kids.
    1:13:18 And so at a certain point, um, some, what is it? It’s July now. Uh, so I think really right about
    1:13:25 the beginning of July, I just called a full four month stopped any work travel. And like for three
    1:13:32 or four months, um, I’m just a hard no. And I, I’m still working, right? I’m not disengaged, but
    1:13:37 I, I just find sometimes I have to do that. Like I, I pushed really hard in that direction,
    1:13:41 but that could just attain its own momentum after that. And then you just are doing it
    1:13:45 and doing it and doing it. And everything you do spins off more, you know, options and panels
    1:13:50 and you should come here. And can you come talk at the policy school? And so I gave it everything
    1:13:56 I had for a while and then kind of full stop. Um, and now I’m focusing back on, you know, uh,
    1:14:02 my column, my podcast, my family life, my friendships, my partnership, my health. There are seasons
    1:14:07 for things. And, but you got to know when one season’s ending and another is starting.
    1:14:13 And we always end with the same question. Um, you got a time machine, you go back, you’re
    1:14:18 plopped in front of you, your 25 year old self and you have 15 seconds. What do you say to your
    1:14:18 25 year old self?
    1:14:26 My 25 year old self. So I’d be in DC. It’s really hard because I like, I’m happy with how my life
    1:14:31 has turned out. There isn’t a lot here that I want to change. There’s not a lot. I think I could
    1:14:36 have told my 20 because advice is so advice is bullshit. It’s all execution, right? We all know
    1:14:40 to a large extent what we should be doing. I mean, I would have invested in Tesla.
    1:14:42 Buy Tesla, buy Nvidia.
    1:14:44 Buy Bitcoin. Yeah, buy some Bitcoin.
    1:14:47 Yeah, that’s my, I think that is, that would have changed, that would have changed a lot.
    1:14:52 You just would have said the word Bitcoin over 15 times. I love that. All right.
    1:14:55 Look, man, there’s a lot I could have told myself that I wouldn’t have been able to put
    1:14:57 into practice, but that I would have.
    1:15:01 There you go. Ezra Klein is a New York Times columnist and the host of
    1:15:05 The Ezra Klein Show. Previously, he was the founder, editor-in-chief, and then editor-at-large
    1:15:10 of Vox. By the way, there’s a lesson in there. I find it the most relevant. People doing the
    1:15:16 best work have the shortest bios. Ezra joins us from New York. Ezra, I’m a huge fan, and
    1:15:21 I just, let me, this will be the third time I reference it. When you read your stuff, when
    1:15:27 you listen to your pods, when you read your books, it’s just clear, and I think this is a
    1:15:32 really important lesson for young people, you can tell you just work really fucking hard
    1:15:37 that you bring it, that you show up, you run through the tape, success is in the last 10%.
    1:15:43 You just hear it and feel that you are laboring over sentences and words and fact-checking, and
    1:15:48 very much appreciate the role model you set for professionals, just in terms of, you just,
    1:15:51 quite frankly, my brother, you just bring it. Really appreciate you and your work.
    1:15:54 Thanks, Scott. It’s incredibly kind of you to say.

    Scott speaks with Ezra Klein, New York Times columnist and host of The Ezra Klein Show, to discuss America’s political crossroads. They talk about Trump’s influence, the Democratic Party’s leadership gap, and the growing divide among American Jews over Israel. Ezra also shares his thoughts on the future of democracy, rising nationalism, and how to rebuild trust in U.S. institutions.

    Follow Ezra Klein, @ezraklein.

    Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

  • Essentials: ADHD & How Anyone Can Improve Their Focus

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    AI transcript
    0:00:02 – Welcome to Huberman Lab Essentials,
    0:00:04 where we revisit past episodes
    0:00:07 for the most potent and actionable science-based tools
    0:00:10 for mental health, physical health, and performance.
    0:00:13 I’m Andrew Huberman,
    0:00:15 and I’m a professor of neurobiology and ophthalmology
    0:00:17 at Stanford School of Medicine.
    0:00:19 Today, we are going to talk all about
    0:00:24 attention deficit hyperactivity disorder, or ADHD.
    0:00:25 Now, just a quick reminder
    0:00:29 that anytime we discuss a psychiatric disorder,
    0:00:31 it’s important that we remember
    0:00:34 that all of us have the temptation to self-diagnose
    0:00:36 or to diagnose others.
    0:00:40 The clear and real diagnosis of ADHD
    0:00:43 really should be carried out by a psychiatrist,
    0:00:48 a physician, or a very well-trained clinical psychologist.
    0:00:49 So right now, the current estimates
    0:00:52 are that about one in 10 children,
    0:00:55 and probably more, have ADHD.
    0:00:58 Now, fortunately, about half of those will resolve
    0:01:00 with proper treatment,
    0:01:03 but the other half typically don’t.
    0:01:05 The other thing that we are seeing a lot nowadays
    0:01:10 is increased levels of ADHD in adults.
    0:01:12 For sake of today’s discussion,
    0:01:14 attention, focus, and concentration
    0:01:16 are essentially the same thing.
    0:01:21 So people with ADHD have trouble holding their attention.
    0:01:22 What is attention?
    0:01:23 What is attention?
    0:01:26 Well, attention is perception.
    0:01:30 It’s how we are perceiving the sensory world.
    0:01:33 For instance, right now, you’re hearing sound waves,
    0:01:36 you are seeing things, you are sensing things against your skin,
    0:01:38 but you are only paying attention to some of those.
    0:01:43 And the ones that you’re paying attention to are your perceptions.
    0:01:46 So if you hear my voice, you are perceiving my voice.
    0:01:50 You are not paying attention to your other senses at the moment.
    0:01:52 You might even be outside in a breeze.
    0:01:55 And until I said that, you might not be perceiving that breeze,
    0:01:57 but your body was sensing it all along.
    0:02:02 So attention and focus are more or less the same thing,
    0:02:04 but impulse control is something separate
    0:02:07 because impulse control requires pushing out
    0:02:12 or putting the blinders on to sensory events in our environment.
    0:02:13 It means lack of perception.
    0:02:16 Impulse control is about limiting our perception.
    0:02:20 People with ADHD have poor attention
    0:02:22 and they have high levels of impulsivity.
    0:02:24 Yes, they are distractible.
    0:02:26 Yes, they are impulsive.
    0:02:30 Yes, they are easily annoyed by things happening in the room.
    0:02:33 They sometimes have a high level of emotionality as well.
    0:02:37 However, people with ADHD can have a hyper focus,
    0:02:40 an incredible ability to focus on things
    0:02:45 that they really enjoy or are intrigued by.
    0:02:46 Now, this is a very important point
    0:02:50 because people with ADHD have the capacity to attend,
    0:02:54 but they can’t engage that attention for things
    0:02:57 things that they don’t really, really want to do.
    0:02:58 There are a couple of other things
    0:03:01 that people with ADHD display quite often.
    0:03:05 One is challenges with time perception.
    0:03:08 People with ADHD often run late.
    0:03:12 They often procrastinate, but what’s interesting and surprising
    0:03:14 is that if they are given a deadline,
    0:03:17 they actually can perceive time very well.
    0:03:21 And they often can focus very well if the consequences of not
    0:03:24 completing a task or not attending are severe enough.
    0:03:28 If they’re not really concerned about a deadline or a consequence,
    0:03:31 well, then they tend to lose track of time
    0:03:34 and they tend to underestimate how long things will take.
    0:03:37 The other thing that people with ADHD have real trouble with
    0:03:39 is so-called working memory.
    0:03:43 Now, you might think that people with ADHD would have really poor memories,
    0:03:44 but in fact, that’s not the case.
    0:03:49 People with ADHD often can have a terrific memory for past events.
    0:03:51 They can remember upcoming events quite well.
    0:03:54 Their memory is clearly working.
    0:03:57 However, one aspect of memory in particular that we call working memory
    0:03:59 is often disrupted.
    0:04:04 Working memory is the ability to keep specific information online,
    0:04:06 to recycle it in your brain over and over again
    0:04:09 so that you can use it in the immediate or short term.
    0:04:12 A good example of this would be you meet somebody,
    0:04:15 they tell you their name, they give you their phone number verbally,
    0:04:18 and you have to walk back to your phone and enter it into your phone.
    0:04:22 People without ADHD might have to put some effort into it.
    0:04:24 It might feel like a bit of a struggle,
    0:04:27 but typically they would be able to recite that phone number in their mind over and over
    0:04:29 and then put it into their phone.
    0:04:33 People with ADHD tend to lose the ability or lack the ability
    0:04:39 to remember things that they just need to keep online for anywhere from 10 seconds to a minute or two.
    0:04:45 Okay, so we’ve more or less established the kind of menu of items that people with ADHD tend to have.
    0:04:46 Some have all of them.
    0:04:48 Some have just a subset of them.
    0:04:53 Their severity can range from very intense to mild,
    0:04:59 but in general, it’s challenges with attention and focus, challenges with impulse control.
    0:05:00 They get annoyed easily.
    0:05:02 They have kind of an impulsivity.
    0:05:03 They can’t stay on task.
    0:05:06 Time perception can be off.
    0:05:11 And they have a hard time with anything that’s mundane that they’re not really interested in.
    0:05:16 But again, I just want to highlight that people with ADHD are able to obtain heightened levels of focus,
    0:05:21 even hyper-focus for things that are exciting to them and that they really want to engage in.
    0:05:25 I’d like to take a quick break and acknowledge our sponsor, Eight Sleep.
    0:05:29 Eight Sleep makes smart mattress covers with cooling, heating, and sleep tracking capacity.
    0:05:32 One of the best ways to ensure a great night’s sleep
    0:05:35 is to make sure that the temperature of your sleeping environment is correct.
    0:05:38 And that’s because in order to fall and stay deeply asleep,
    0:05:41 your body temperature actually has to drop by about one to three degrees.
    0:05:44 And in order to wake up feeling refreshed and energized,
    0:05:48 your body temperature actually has to increase by about one to three degrees.
    0:05:51 Eight Sleep automatically regulates the temperature of your bed throughout the night
    0:05:53 according to your unique needs.
    0:05:57 I’ve been sleeping on an Eight Sleep mattress cover for over four years now,
    0:06:00 and it has completely transformed and improved the quality of my sleep.
    0:06:03 Eight Sleep has just launched their latest model, the Pod 5,
    0:06:06 and the Pod 5 has several new important features.
    0:06:08 One of these new features is called Autopilot.
    0:06:11 Autopilot is an AI engine that learns your sleep patterns
    0:06:15 to adjust the temperature of your sleeping environment across different sleep stages.
    0:06:17 It also elevates your head if you’re snoring,
    0:06:19 and it makes other shifts to optimize your sleep.
    0:06:24 The bass on the Pod 5 also has an integrated speaker that syncs to the Eight Sleep app
    0:06:26 and can play audio to support relaxation and recovery.
    0:06:31 The audio catalog includes several NSDR, non-sleep deep rest scripts,
    0:06:33 that I worked on with Eight Sleep to record.
    0:06:37 NSDR can help offset some of the negative effects of slight sleep deprivation,
    0:06:42 and NSDR gets you better at falling back asleep should you wake up in the middle of the night.
    0:06:46 It’s an extremely powerful tool that anyone can benefit from the first time and every time.
    0:06:53 If you’d like to try Eight Sleep, go to eightsleep.com slash Huberman to get up to $350 off the new Pod 5.
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    0:07:08 So let’s drill into this issue of why people with ADHD actually can focus very intensely
    0:07:11 on things that they enjoy and are curious about.
    0:07:14 Now, enjoyment and curiosity,
    0:07:18 they’re just the way that we describe our human experience of liking things,
    0:07:20 wanting to know more about them.
    0:07:22 But from a neurobiological perspective,
    0:07:28 they have a very clear identity and signature, and that’s dopamine.
    0:07:30 Dopamine is released from neurons.
    0:07:32 It’s what we call a neuromodulator.
    0:07:37 And in particular, dopamine creates a heightened state of focus.
    0:07:40 It tends to contract our visual world,
    0:07:44 and it tends to make us pay attention to things that are outside
    0:07:47 and beyond the confines of our skin.
    0:07:49 It’s what we call exteroception.
    0:07:52 So as I mentioned earlier, you have all these senses coming in,
    0:07:54 and you can only perceive some of them
    0:07:56 because you’re only paying attention to some of them.
    0:08:00 Dopamine, when it’s released in our brain,
    0:08:07 tends to turn on areas of our brain that narrow our visual focus and our auditory focus.
    0:08:13 So it creates a cone of auditory attention that’s very narrow.
    0:08:18 Whereas when we have less dopamine, we tend to view the entire world.
    0:08:20 We tend to see the whole scene that we are in.
    0:08:22 And we tend to hear everything all at once.
    0:08:34 So as I describe this, hopefully you’re already starting to see and understand how having dopamine release can allow a person, whether or not they have ADHD or not,
    0:08:39 to direct their attention to particular things in their environment.
    0:08:48 So now what we’re doing is we’re moving away from attention as this kind of vague, ambiguous term, and we’re giving it a neurochemical identity, dopamine.
    0:08:51 And we are giving it a neural circuit identity.
    0:08:57 And just to put a little bit of flavor and detail on which neural circuits those are,
    0:09:01 I want to discuss two general types of neural circuits that dopamine tends to enhance.
    0:09:05 The first one is called the default mode network.
    0:09:15 The default mode network is the network of brain areas in your brain, in my brain, and in everybody’s brain that is active when we’re not doing anything,
    0:09:17 when we’re just sitting there idle at rest.
    0:09:29 The other set of circuits that we’re going to think about and talk about with respect to ADHD are the task networks, the networks of the brain that make you goal-oriented.
    0:09:32 And those are a completely different set of brain areas.
    0:09:41 However, the default mode network and these task networks are communicating with one another, and they’re doing that in very interesting ways.
    0:09:49 Frontal cortex, no surprises in the front, and you have a dorsal, the top and side, lateral part, dorsolateral prefrontal cortex.
    0:09:53 And then you have a brain area called the posterior cingulate cortex.
    0:09:55 And then you have an area called the lateral parietal lobe.
    0:10:01 Again, you don’t need to remember these names, but these are three brain areas that normally are synchronized in their activity.
    0:10:07 So when one of these areas is active in a typical person, the other areas would be active as well.
    0:10:18 And then a person with ADHD, or even a person who has subclinical ADHD, or in any human being who hasn’t slept well, what you find is the default mode network is not synchronized.
    0:10:21 These brain areas are just not playing well together.
    0:10:27 Now, the task networks include a different set of structures.
    0:10:32 It still involves the prefrontal cortex, but it’s a different part of the prefrontal cortex, okay?
    0:10:42 Tends to be the medial prefrontal cortex, and there are some other brain areas that the medial prefrontal cortex is communicating to all the time, mainly to suppress impulses.
    0:10:48 Anytime you’re restricting your behavior, these task-directed networks are very active, okay?
    0:10:58 Now, normally, in a person without ADHD, the task networks and the default mode networks are going in kind of seesaw fashion.
    0:11:01 They are actually what we call anti-correlated.
    0:11:05 In a person with ADHD, they actually tend to be more correlated.
    0:11:10 The default mode networks and the task networks are actually more coordinated.
    0:11:21 And we can now confidently say, based on brain imaging studies, that when somebody gets better when they’re treated for ADHD, or when they age out of ADHD, as sometimes is the case,
    0:11:27 that the default mode networks and the task networks tend to become anti-correlated again.
    0:11:32 What dopamine is doing in this context is dopamine is acting like a conductor.
    0:11:36 Dopamine is saying this circuit should be active, then that circuit should be active.
    0:11:41 It should be default mode network, and then when the default mode network is not active, then it should be the task network.
    0:11:56 And in ADHD, there’s something about the dopamine system that is not allowing it to conduct these networks and make sure that they stay what, you know, the engineers or physicists or mathematicians would say out of phase to be anti-correlated.
    0:12:06 So what exactly is going on with the dopamine system in people with ADHD, and what’s going on with the dopamine system in people that have terrific levels of attention for any task?
    0:12:16 Well, in the year 2015, an important paper came out, and it formalized the so-called low dopamine hypothesis of ADHD.
    0:12:35 It turns out that if dopamine levels are too low in particular circuits in the brain, that it leads to unnecessary firing of neurons in the brain that are unrelated to the task that one is trying to do, and that is unrelated to the information that one is trying to focus on.
    0:12:46 So if you think back before, you’ve got this default mode network and a task-related network, and they need to be in this kind of concert of anti-correlation, and in ADHD, they’re firing together.
    0:12:54 Well, the problem seems to be that when dopamine is low, neurons fire more than they should in these networks that govern attention.
    0:12:58 This is the so-called low dopamine hypothesis.
    0:13:17 And if you start looking anecdotally at what people with ADHD have done for decades, what you find is that they tend to use recreational drugs, or they tend to indulge in non-drug stimulants.
    0:13:27 So things like smoking a half a pack of cigarettes and drinking four cups of coffee a day, or if the person had access to it, using cocaine as a recreational drug,
    0:13:40 or amphetamine as a recreational drug, all of those substances that I just described, in particular, cocaine and amphetamine, but also coffee and cigarettes, increased levels of multiple neurotransmitters,
    0:13:52 but all have the quality of increasing levels of dopamine in the brain, and in particular, in the regions of the brain that regulate attention and these task-related and default mode networks.
    0:13:57 Now, young children, fortunately, don’t have access to those kinds of stimulants, most of the time.
    0:14:09 But if you look at children, even very young children with ADHD, they show things like preference for sugary foods, which also act as dopamine-inducing stimulants.
    0:14:14 For a long time, it was thought that children with ADHD consumed too many sugary foods or drank too much soda,
    0:14:30 or adults with ADHD would take recreational drugs like methamphetamine or cocaine, or would drink coffee to excess or smoke cigarettes to excess because they had poor levels of attention and because they couldn’t make good decisions.
    0:14:32 They were too impulsive and so forth.
    0:14:43 Knowing what we now know about dopamine and the fact that having enough dopamine is required in order to coordinate these neural circuits that allow for focus and quality decision-making.
    0:14:53 An equally valid idea is that these children and these adults are actually trying to self-medicate by pursuing these compounds, right?
    0:14:55 Things like cocaine lead to huge increases in dopamine.
    0:15:00 Well, what happens when somebody with ADHD takes that drug?
    0:15:04 It turns out they actually obtain heightened levels of focus.
    0:15:10 Their ability to focus on things other than things they absolutely care intensely about goes up.
    0:15:20 Likewise, children who consume anything that increases their levels of dopamine, if those children have ADHD, they tend to be calmer.
    0:15:22 They tend to be able to focus more.
    0:15:29 So dopamine and low levels of dopamine apparently are what’s wrong in people with ADHD.
    0:15:43 That dopamine hypothesis is what led to the idea that treating people, children and adults included, with dopaminergic compounds would somehow increase their ability to focus.
    0:15:54 And if you look at the major drugs that were developed and now marketed by pharmaceutical companies for the treatment of ADHD, those drugs have names like Ritalin.
    0:16:01 Nowadays, it’s typically things like Adderall, Modafinil, and some of the other derivatives.
    0:16:13 They all serve to increase levels of dopamine in particular dopamine in the networks that control task-directed behavior and that coordinate the default mode network and these task-related networks.
    0:16:17 Let’s take a step back for a second and just ask, what are these drugs?
    0:16:20 We know they increase dopamine, but what are they really?
    0:16:34 Well, Ritalin, also called methylphenidate, is very similar to amphetamine, speed, or what’s typically called speed in the street drug nomenclature.
    0:16:39 Adderall is basically a combination of amphetamine and dextroamphetamine.
    0:17:00 Now, some of you probably realize this, that Adderall is amphetamine, but I’m guessing that there are a good number of you out there, perhaps even parents and kids that don’t realize that these drugs like cocaine and amphetamine, methamphetamine, which are incredibly dangerous and incredibly habit-forming and have high potential for abuse.
    0:17:26 Well, the pharmaceutical versions of those are exactly what are used to treat ADHD, and they’re not exactly like cocaine or methamphetamine, but they are structurally and chemically very similar, and their net effect in the brain and body is essentially the same, which is to increase dopamine primarily, but also to increase levels of a neuromodulator called epinephrine or norepinephrine, also called noradrenaline and adrenaline, those names are the same.
    0:17:39 So what I’m essentially saying is that the drugs that are used to treat ADHD are stimulants, and they look very much like, in fact, nearly identical to some of the so-called street drug stimulants that we all hear are so terrible.
    0:17:58 However, I do want to emphasize that at the appropriate dosages and working with a quality psychiatrist or neurologist or family physician, it does have to be a board-certified MD that prescribes these things, many people with ADHD achieve excellent relief with these drugs.
    0:18:03 Not all of them, but many of them do, especially if these treatments are started early in life.
    0:18:07 I’d like to take a quick break and acknowledge our sponsor, Juve.
    0:18:10 Juve makes medical-grade red light therapy devices.
    0:18:17 Now, if there’s one thing that I have consistently emphasized on this podcast, it’s the incredible impact that light can have on our biology.
    0:18:25 Now, in addition to sunlight, red light and near-infrared light have been shown to have positive effects on improving numerous aspects of cellular and organ health,
    0:18:30 including faster muscle recovery, improved skin health, and wound healing, improvements in acne,
    0:18:37 meaning reductions in acne, reduced pain and inflammation, improved mitochondrial function, and even improving visual function itself.
    0:18:43 What sets Juve lights apart and why they’re my preferred red light therapy device is that they use clinically proven wavelengths,
    0:18:50 meaning specific wavelengths of red light and near-infrared light in specific combinations to trigger the optimal cellular adaptations.
    0:18:55 Personally, I use the Juve whole body panel about three to four times per week, typically in the morning,
    0:19:00 but sometimes in the afternoon, and I use the Juve handheld light both at home and when I travel.
    0:19:05 If you’d like to try Juve, you can go to Juve, spelled J-O-O-V-V.com slash Huberman.
    0:19:12 Juve is offering an exclusive discount to all Huberman Lab listeners with up to $400 off select Juve products.
    0:19:18 Again, that’s Juve, J-O-O-V-V.com slash Huberman to get up to $400 off.
    0:19:24 So now knowing what these drugs are, I want to raise the question of why prescribe these drugs?
    0:19:33 Children have a brain that’s very plastic, meaning it can remodel itself and change in response to experience very, very quickly compared to adults.
    0:19:44 Taking stimulants as a child, if you are a child diagnosed with ADHD, allows that forebrain task-related network to come online,
    0:19:47 to be active at the appropriate times.
    0:19:55 And because those children are young, it allows those children to learn what focus is and to sort of follow or enter that tunnel of focus.
    0:19:59 Now, by taking a drug, it’s creating focus artificially.
    0:20:03 It’s not creating focus because they’re super interested in something.
    0:20:06 It’s chemically inducing a state of focus.
    0:20:13 And let’s face it, a lot of childhood and school and becoming a functional adult is about learning how to focus even though you don’t want to do something.
    0:20:24 So what are we to make of this whole picture that we need more dopamine, but these kids with ADHD, they’re getting their dopamine by way of a drug, which is for all the world, amphetamines.
    0:20:25 What are the long-term consequences?
    0:20:27 What are the short-term consequences?
    0:20:40 Well, in order to get to some of those answers, I went to one of my colleagues, a pediatric neurologist that specializes in the treatment of epilepsy and ADHD in kids of all ages, from age three to 21.
    0:20:42 I asked the following questions.
    0:20:46 First of all, I asked, what do you think about giving young kids amphetamine?
    0:21:03 Provided that the lowest possible dose is used and that that dosage is modulated as they grow older and develop those powers of attention, their observation was that they’ve seen more kids benefit than not benefit from that.
    0:21:15 Now, the fact that this person, this now friend of mine and colleague of mine, has so much expertise in the way that the brain works and is considering putting their child on such medication,
    0:21:21 I said, you know, why wouldn’t you wait until your kid reaches puberty?
    0:21:30 I mean, we know that in boys and in girls, there are increases in testosterone and estrogen during puberty that dramatically change the way that the body appears,
    0:21:33 but also that dramatically change the way that the brain functions.
    0:21:43 In particular, we know this, that puberty triggers the activation of so-called frontotemporal task-related executive functioning.
    0:21:49 That’s just fancy science speak for being able to focus, being able to direct your attention, being able to control your impulses.
    0:21:53 And their answer was very specific and I think very important.
    0:22:01 What they said was, look, neuroplasticity is greatest in childhood and tapers off after about age 25,
    0:22:09 but neuroplasticity from age 3 until age 12 or 13 is exceedingly high.
    0:22:14 If you have the opportunity to work with a quality physician and treat these things early,
    0:22:18 these drugs can allow these frontal circuits, these task-related circuits,
    0:22:26 to achieve their appropriate levels of functioning and for kids to learn how to focus in a variety of different contexts.
    0:22:30 So we’ve talked about the neural circuits of focus and the chemistry of focus,
    0:22:37 but we haven’t talked yet about what would make us better at focusing and what focusing better really is.
    0:22:43 So let’s take a step back and think about how we focus and how to get better at focus.
    0:22:55 And I’m going to share with you a tool for which there are terrific research data that will allow you in a single session to enhance your ability to focus in theory forever.
    0:23:02 What we’re about to talk about is when attention works and when attention falters.
    0:23:08 And what we are specifically going to talk about are what are called attentional blinks, not actual eye blinks.
    0:23:12 Attentional blinks are really easy to understand if you think about a where’s Waldo task.
    0:23:18 You know this task, where’s Waldo, where there are a bunch of people and objects and things in a picture,
    0:23:22 and somewhere in there is Waldo with the striped hat and the glasses and kind of a skinny dude,
    0:23:29 and you have to find Waldo. And so it’s a visual search and it’s visual search for an object that has distinct features,
    0:23:34 but is embedded in this ocean of other things that could easily be confused as Waldo.
    0:23:36 So you tend to look, look, look, look, look, look, look, look, look, look.
    0:23:42 When you find Waldo, or when you search for a target in some other visual search task,
    0:23:46 at that moment, your nervous system celebrates a little bit,
    0:23:50 and it celebrates through the release of neurochemicals that make you feel good.
    0:23:51 You found it and you pause.
    0:23:58 Now, the pause is interesting, because when you pause, what we know from many experiments
    0:24:04 is that in that moment of pause and mild celebration, however mild,
    0:24:10 you are not able to see another Waldo sitting right next to it.
    0:24:14 So what this means is in attending to something, in searching,
    0:24:19 and in identifying a visual target, your attention blinked.
    0:24:21 It shut off for a second.
    0:24:26 If you see something that you’re looking for, or you’re very interested in something,
    0:24:28 you are definitely missing other information,
    0:24:33 in part because you’re over focusing on something.
    0:24:38 And this leads to a very interesting hypothesis about what might go wrong in ADHD,
    0:24:45 where we’ve always thought that they cannot focus, and yet we know they can focus on things they care very much about.
    0:24:53 Well, maybe, just maybe, they are experiencing more attentional blinks than people who do not have ADHD.
    0:24:59 And indeed, there are data now to support the possibility that that’s actually what’s happening.
    0:25:04 So what they really need is this property that we call open monitoring.
    0:25:11 First of all, your visual system has two modes of processing.
    0:25:14 It can be highly focused, a soda straw view.
    0:25:18 However, there’s also a property of your visual system that allows you to dilate your gaze,
    0:25:20 to be in so-called panoramic vision.
    0:25:27 Panoramic vision is actually mediated by a separate stream or set of neural circuits going from the eye into the brain.
    0:25:32 And it’s a stream or set of circuits that isn’t just wide-angle view.
    0:25:35 It also is better at processing things in time.
    0:25:37 Its frame rate is higher.
    0:25:41 You can use panoramic vision to access the state that we call open monitoring.
    0:25:48 When people do that, they are able to attend to and recognize multiple targets.
    0:25:55 So this is something that can be trained up and people can practice, whether or not they have ADHD or not.
    0:25:58 What it involves is learning how to dilate your gaze consciously.
    0:26:00 That’s actually quite easy for most people.
    0:26:04 You can consciously go into open gaze and then you can contract your field of view as well.
    0:26:10 That might not seem like a significant or unusual practice or that it would have any impact at all.
    0:26:21 But remarkably, just doing that once for 17 minutes significantly reduced the number of attentional blinks that people would carry out.
    0:26:26 In other words, their focus got better in a near permanent way without any additional training.
    0:26:31 Now let’s talk about actual blinks, the sort that you do with your eyelids.
    0:26:41 Believe it or not, your perception of time is also changed on a rapid basis, moment-to-moment basis, by how often you blink.
    0:26:46 I want to just emphasize one study in particular, which is quite appropriately titled,
    0:26:49 Time Dilates After Spontaneous Blinking.
    0:26:55 They examined the relationship between fluctuations in timing and blinking.
    0:27:03 And to make a long story short, what they found is that right after blinks, we reset our perception of time.
    0:27:14 Now what’s interesting and will immediately make sense to you as to why this is important is that the rate of blinking is controlled by dopamine.
    0:27:20 So what this means is that dopamine is controlling attention, blinks relate to attention and focus,
    0:27:30 and therefore the dopamine and blinking system is one way that you constantly modulate and update your perception of time.
    0:27:33 And fortunately, it’s also one that you can control.
    0:27:38 So the basic takeaway of this study was that blinking controls time perception,
    0:27:45 but also that levels of dopamine can alter your sense of time and, stay with me here,
    0:27:50 and that blinking and dopamine are inextricably linked.
    0:27:52 They are working together to control your attention.
    0:27:57 Let’s remember back to the very beginning of the episode, what’s going on in people with ADHD.
    0:28:01 They are not good at managing their time.
    0:28:03 They tend to run late or they are disorganized.
    0:28:05 Their dopamine is low.
    0:28:06 We know that as well.
    0:28:09 And so they are underestimating time intervals.
    0:28:12 And so it makes perfect sense that they would be late.
    0:28:16 It makes perfect sense that they would lose track of time or the ability to focus.
    0:28:22 This is really exciting because what it means is that children with ADHD, adults with ADHD,
    0:28:26 or people with normal levels of focus that want to improve their ability to focus
    0:28:33 can do so through a training that involves learning how often to blink and when
    0:28:36 and how to keep their visual focus on a given target.
    0:28:41 And it turns out this study has actually been done entitled Improvement of Attention in Elementary
    0:28:45 School Students Through Fixation-Focused Training Activity.
    0:28:52 I won’t go through all the details, but what they found was a short period of focusing on a visual
    0:28:59 target allowed these school children to greatly enhance their ability to focus on other types of
    0:29:04 information. And a significant component of the effect was due to the way that they were
    0:29:08 controlling the shutters on their eyes, their eyelids, and controlling their blinks.
    0:29:13 So what they did in the study is they had these kids focus their visual attention on some object
    0:29:19 that was relatively close, like their hand, for a minute or so, which actually takes some effort
    0:29:24 if you try and do that. They were allowed to blink. It only took a few minutes each day to do this,
    0:29:29 30 seconds in one condition or maybe a minute, and then at another station of looking a little bit
    0:29:33 further out and a little bit further out. However, there was an important feature of this study
    0:29:39 that is definitely worth mentioning, which is before they did this visual focus task
    0:29:45 or training, they did a series of physical movements with the kids so that the kids could
    0:29:52 sort of eliminate or move out some of their desire to move and would thereby enhance their ability
    0:29:57 to sit still. Now it should make perfect sense that these shutters on the front of your eyes,
    0:30:00 they aren’t just there for winking and they aren’t just there for cosmetic
    0:30:06 purposes. They are there to regulate the amount of information going into your nervous system,
    0:30:12 and they’re there to regulate how long you are bringing information into your nervous system
    0:30:18 and in what bins, how widely or finely you are binning time is set by how often you blink
    0:30:25 and how widely or specifically you are grabbing attention from the visual world is set by whether
    0:30:29 or not you’re viewing things very specifically like a crosshair or through a soda straw view like this,
    0:30:35 or whether or not you are in this panoramic sort of whole environment mode,
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    0:32:21 So now I want to switch back to talking about some of the drugs that are typically used to access those systems,
    0:32:26 prescription drugs, and I want to talk about some of the new and emerging non-prescription approaches
    0:32:33 to increasing the levels of dopamine, acetylcholine, and serotonin in the brain using various supplement-type compounds
    0:32:39 because several of them are showing really remarkable efficacy in excellent peer-reviewed studies.
    0:32:44 So before moving to some of the newer atypical compounds and things sold over the counter,
    0:32:51 I’d like to just briefly return to the classic drugs that are used to treat ADHD.
    0:32:56 These are the ones I mentioned earlier, methylphenidate, also called Ritalin,
    0:33:02 modafinil, armodafinil is another one, and Adderall.
    0:33:07 Again, all of these work by increasing levels of dopamine and norepinephrine.
    0:33:13 I think it is important to understand the extent to which they all carry more or less the same side effect,
    0:33:16 such as high propensity for addiction and abuse.
    0:33:23 Amphetamines of any kind, as well as cocaine, can cause sexual side effects because they’re vasoconstrictors.
    0:33:26 So these drugs are not without their consequences.
    0:33:30 In addition, they almost all carry cardiac effects, right?
    0:33:35 They increase heart rate, but they also have effects on constriction of blood vessels
    0:33:39 and arteries and veins and so forth in ways that can create cardiovascular problems.
    0:33:47 The best use of things like Adderall, modafinil, armodafinil, and Ritalin
    0:33:51 is going to be to combine those treatments with behavioral exercises
    0:33:56 that actively engage the very circuits that you’re trying to train up and enhance.
    0:34:00 And then perhaps, I want to highlight perhaps, tapering off those drugs
    0:34:04 so that then one can use those circuits without any need for chemical intervention.
    0:34:07 So despite any controversy that might be out there,
    0:34:11 I think it’s fair to say that the consumption of omega-3 fatty acids
    0:34:16 can positively modulate the systems for attention and focus.
    0:34:26 So then the question becomes, how much EPA, how much DHA, does that differ for what’s helpful for depression, etc.?
    0:34:27 And actually, it does differ.
    0:34:34 In reviewing the studies for this, it appears that a threshold level of 300 milligrams of DHA
    0:34:37 turns out to be an important inflection point.
    0:34:44 So typically, fish oils or other sources of omega-3s will have DHA and EPA,
    0:34:48 and typically, it’s the EPA that’s harder to get at sufficient levels,
    0:34:52 meaning you have to take quite a lot of fish oil in order to get above that 1,000 milligram
    0:34:57 or 2,000 milligram threshold to improve mood and other functions.
    0:35:02 But for sake of attention, there are 10 studies that have explored this in detail.
    0:35:08 And while the EPA component is important, the most convincing studies point to the fact
    0:35:14 that getting above 300 milligrams per day of DHA is really where you start to see the attentional effects.
    0:35:19 Now, fortunately, if you’re getting sufficient EPA for sake of mood and other biological functions,
    0:35:25 almost without question, you’re getting 300 milligrams or more of DHA.
    0:35:29 What’s interesting is that there’s another compound, phosphatidylsterene,
    0:35:34 that has been explored for its capacity to improve the symptoms of ADHD.
    0:35:41 Phosphatidylserine taken for two months for 200 milligrams per day
    0:35:44 was able to reduce the symptoms of ADHD in children.
    0:35:48 It has not been looked at in adults yet, at least as far as I know,
    0:35:55 but that this effect was greatly enhanced by the consumption of omega-3 fatty acids.
    0:36:00 So now we’re starting to see synergistic effects of omega-3 fatty acids and phosphatidylsterene.
    0:36:06 So I’d like to talk about the drug modafinil and the closely related drug R-modafinil.
    0:36:07 That’s A-R-modafinil.
    0:36:12 Because modafinil and R-modafinil are gaining popularity out there,
    0:36:15 both for treatment of ADHD and narcolepsy,
    0:36:21 but also for communities of people that are trying to stay awake long periods of time.
    0:36:25 So it’s actively used in the military by first responders.
    0:36:30 It’s gaining popularity on college campuses and people are using it more and more as an alternative
    0:36:35 to Adderall and Ritalin and excessive amounts of coffee.
    0:36:38 It does increase focus and to a dramatic extent.
    0:36:42 I want to emphasize that unlike Ritalin and Adderall,
    0:36:47 modafinil and R-modafinil are weak dopamine reuptake inhibitors,
    0:36:50 and that’s how they lead to increases in dopamine.
    0:36:54 Now, you may notice that I haven’t talked much about acetylcholine.
    0:36:58 Acetylcholine is a neurotransmitter that at the neuron-to-muscle connections,
    0:37:00 the so-called neuromuscular junctions,
    0:37:04 is involved in generating muscular contractions of all kinds for all movements.
    0:37:08 Acetylcholine is also released from two sites in the brain.
    0:37:12 There is a collection of neurons in your brainstem that send projections forward,
    0:37:17 kind of like a sprinkler system that’s very diffuse to release acetylcholine,
    0:37:23 and those neurons reside in an area or a structure that’s called the pedunculopontine nucleus,
    0:37:24 the PPN.
    0:37:28 And then there’s a separate collection of neurons in the basal forebrain
    0:37:32 called, unimaginatively, nucleus basalis, the nucleus at the base.
    0:37:39 And they also hose the brain with acetylcholine, but in a much more specific way.
    0:37:41 So one is sort of like a sprinkler system,
    0:37:44 and the other one is more like a fire hose to a particular location.
    0:37:48 And those two sources of acetylcholine collaborate
    0:37:51 to activate particular locations in the brain
    0:37:54 and really bring about a tremendous degree of focus
    0:37:57 to whatever is happening at those particular synapses.
    0:37:59 So now you have an example and you have an understanding
    0:38:01 and hopefully a picture in your mind of how all this is working.
    0:38:06 Not surprisingly, then, drugs that increase cholinergic
    0:38:10 or acetylcholine transmission will increase focus and cognition.
    0:38:13 One such compound is so-called alpha-GPC,
    0:38:18 which is a form of choline and increases acetylcholine transmission.
    0:38:22 Dosages as high as 1,200 milligrams per day,
    0:38:24 which is a very high dosage spread out.
    0:38:28 Typically, it’s 300 or 400 milligrams spread out throughout the day.
    0:38:32 Have been shown to offset some of the effects
    0:38:34 of age-related cognitive decline,
    0:38:35 improve cognitive functioning people
    0:38:37 that don’t have age-related cognitive decline.
    0:38:40 Typically, when people are using alpha-GPC to study
    0:38:43 or to enhance learning of any kind,
    0:38:46 they will take somewhere between 300 and 600 milligrams.
    0:38:47 That’s more typical.
    0:38:50 Again, you have to check with your doctor.
    0:38:53 You have to decide if the safety margins are appropriate for you.
    0:38:55 And there are some over-the-counter compounds
    0:38:59 that are in active use out there for treatment of ADHD
    0:39:03 and in use for simply trying to improve focus.
    0:39:07 L-tyrosine, it’s an amino acid that acts as a precursor
    0:39:09 to the neuromodulator dopamine.
    0:39:12 The dosaging can be very tricky to dial in.
    0:39:16 Sometimes it makes people feel too euphoric or too jittery
    0:39:19 or too alert that they are then unable to focus well.
    0:39:23 So the dosage ranges are huge.
    0:39:25 You see evidence for 100 milligrams
    0:39:27 all the way up to 1,200 milligrams.
    0:39:29 It’s something that really should be approached with caution,
    0:39:32 especially for people that have any kind of underlying
    0:39:34 psychiatric or mood disorder,
    0:39:41 because dysregulation of the dopamine system is central to many of the mood disorders,
    0:39:44 such as depression, but also especially mania,
    0:39:47 mania bipolar disorder, schizophrenia, things of that sort.
    0:39:50 So it’s something that really should be approached with caution.
    0:39:52 Everybody nowadays seems to have a smartphone.
    0:39:55 They grab our attention entirely,
    0:39:57 but within that small box of attention,
    0:40:02 there are millions of attentional windows scrolling by, right?
    0:40:06 So just because it’s one device that we look at does not mean that we are focused.
    0:40:07 We are focused on our phone,
    0:40:12 but because of the way in which context switches up so fast within the phone,
    0:40:18 it’s thought that the brain is struggling now to leave that rapid turnover of context.
    0:40:20 Even though there are trillions,
    0:40:24 infinite number of bits of information in the actual physical world,
    0:40:25 your attentional window,
    0:40:30 that aperture of constriction and dilating that visual window
    0:40:33 is the way in which you cope with all that overwhelming information typically.
    0:40:35 Well, within the phone,
    0:40:41 your visual aperture is set to a given width and within there,
    0:40:46 your attentional window is grabbing a near infinite number of bits of information,
    0:40:47 colors, movies.
    0:40:50 And so the question is,
    0:40:55 does that sort of interaction on a regular basis lead to deficits in the types of attention
    0:40:58 that we need in order to perform well in work and school relationships, etc.?
    0:41:00 And the short answer is yes,
    0:41:03 we are inducing a sort of ADHD.
    0:41:05 I’m not here to tell you what to do,
    0:41:08 but I think whether or not you have ADHD or not,
    0:41:14 if you’re an adolescent limiting your smartphone use to 60 minutes per day or less,
    0:41:18 and if you are an adult to two hours per day or less,
    0:41:26 is going to be among the very best ways to maintain your ability to focus at whatever level you can now.
    0:41:28 And as I always say,
    0:41:43 most of the things that we get recognized for in life, success in life, in every endeavor, whether or not it’s school, relationships, sport, creative works of any kind, are always proportional to the amount of focus that we can bring that activity.
    0:41:56 And I leave you with that about attention and how cell phones and how cell phones and how cell phones are indeed eroding our attentional capacities.
    0:42:02 Otherwise, I covered a lot of information about ADHD and the biology of focus and how to get better at focusing.
    0:42:06 We talked about the behavioral and psychological phenotypes of ADHD.
    0:42:10 We talked about the underlying neural circuitry.
    0:42:21 We also talked about the neurochemistry and we talked about the various prescription drug treatments that are aimed at that neurochemistry and aimed at increasing focus in children and adults with ADHD.
    0:42:22 We talked about the neurochemistry and ADHD.
    0:42:22 We talked about the neurochemistry of ADHD.
    0:42:22 We talked about the neurochemistry of ADHD.
    0:42:22 We talked about the neurochemistry of ADHD.
    0:42:22 We talked about the neurochemistry of ADHD.
    0:42:23 We talked about the neurochemistry of ADHD.
    0:42:24 We talked about the neurochemistry of ADHD.
    0:42:25 We talked about the neurochemistry of ADHD.
    0:42:26 We talked about the neurochemistry of ADHD.
    Chào mừng bạn đến với Huberman Lab Essentials, nơi chúng ta sẽ trở lại với những tập trước để khám phá những công cụ khoa học mạnh mẽ và có thể thực hiện được nhất cho sức khỏe tâm thần, sức khỏe thể chất và hiệu suất. Tôi là Andrew Huberman, một giáo sư về thần kinh sinh học và nhãn khoa tại Trường Y khoa Stanford. Hôm nay, chúng ta sẽ bàn về rối loạn tăng động giảm chú ý, hay còn gọi là ADHD.
    Bây giờ, một lời nhắc nhở nhanh rằng khi chúng ta thảo luận về một rối loạn tâm thần, điều quan trọng là chúng ta phải nhớ rằng tất cả chúng ta đều có xu hướng tự chẩn đoán hoặc chẩn đoán người khác. Chẩn đoán rõ ràng và chính xác về ADHD thực sự nên được thực hiện bởi một bác sĩ tâm thần, một bác sĩ, hoặc một nhà tâm lý học lâm sàng được đào tạo rất bài bản.
    Hiện nay, những ước tính cho thấy rằng khoảng một trong mười trẻ em, và có thể nhiều hơn, bị ADHD. Rất may, khoảng một nửa trong số đó sẽ giải quyết được với sự điều trị thích hợp, nhưng nửa còn lại thì thường không. Điều khác mà chúng ta đang thấy nhiều hiện nay là mức độ ADHD tăng lên ở người lớn. Để phục vụ cho cuộc thảo luận hôm nay, sự chú ý, sự tập trung, và sự chú ý đều có thể coi là một.
    Vì vậy, những người mắc ADHD gặp khó khăn trong việc giữ vững sự chú ý của họ. Sự chú ý là gì? Sự chú ý là nhận thức. Đó là cách chúng ta cảm nhận thế giới cảm giác xung quanh. Ví dụ, ngay bây giờ, bạn đang nghe sóng âm, bạn đang nhìn thấy mọi thứ, bạn đang cảm nhận những thứ trên da của bạn, nhưng bạn chỉ đang chú ý đến một số trong số đó. Và những gì bạn đang chú ý đến chính là những gì bạn cảm nhận. Vì vậy, nếu bạn nghe thấy giọng của tôi, bạn đang cảm nhận giọng nói của tôi. Bạn không đang chú ý đến các giác quan khác của bạn trong khoảnh khắc này. Bạn có thể thậm chí đang ở bên ngoài trong một làn gió. Và cho đến khi tôi nói điều đó, có thể bạn không nhận thấy làn gió, nhưng cơ thể bạn đã cảm nhận nó suốt thời gian.
    Vì vậy, sự chú ý và sự tập trung gần như là một, nhưng kiểm soát xung lực là một thứ tách biệt vì kiểm soát xung lực yêu cầu phải loại bỏ hoặc đặt mũ bảo hiểm lên các sự kiện cảm giác trong môi trường của chúng ta. Nó có nghĩa là thiếu nhận thức. Kiểm soát xung lực là về việc giới hạn nhận thức của chúng ta. Những người mắc ADHD có sự chú ý kém và có mức độ xung đột cao. Đúng, họ dễ bị phân tâm. Đúng, họ dễ dãi. Đúng, họ dễ bị khó chịu bởi những điều xảy ra trong phòng. Họ đôi khi cũng có mức độ cảm xúc cao. Tuy nhiên, những người mắc ADHD có thể có sự tập trung cao, một khả năng tuyệt vời để tập trung vào những thứ mà họ thực sự thích hoặc bị thu hút.
    Bây giờ, đây là một điểm rất quan trọng vì những người mắc ADHD có khả năng chú ý, nhưng họ không thể duy trì sự chú ý đó cho những thứ mà họ không thực sự muốn làm. Có một vài điều khác mà những người mắc ADHD thường biểu hiện. Một là những thách thức với nhận thức về thời gian. Những người mắc ADHD thường đến muộn. Họ thường trì hoãn, nhưng điều thú vị và ngạc nhiên là nếu họ được đưa ra một hạn chót, họ thực sự có thể cảm nhận thời gian rất tốt. Và họ thường có thể tập trung rất tốt nếu hậu quả của việc không hoàn thành một nhiệm vụ hoặc không tham gia là đủ nghiêm trọng. Nếu họ không thực sự quan tâm đến hạn chót hoặc hậu quả nào đó, thì họ thường mất ý thức về thời gian và có xu hướng đánh giá thấp thời gian mà mọi thứ sẽ mất.
    Điều khác mà những người mắc ADHD gặp thực sự khó khăn là cái gọi là trí nhớ làm việc. Bây giờ, bạn có thể nghĩ rằng những người mắc ADHD sẽ có trí nhớ rất kém, nhưng thực tế thì không phải vậy. Những người mắc ADHD thường có trí nhớ tuyệt vời cho những sự kiện trong quá khứ. Họ có thể nhớ rất rõ những sự kiện sắp xảy ra. Trí nhớ của họ rõ ràng đang hoạt động. Tuy nhiên, một khía cạnh của trí nhớ mà chúng ta gọi là trí nhớ làm việc thường bị gián đoạn. Trí nhớ làm việc là khả năng giữ thông tin cụ thể trong bộ nhớ, để tái chế nó trong não của bạn liên tục để bạn có thể sử dụng nó trong thời gian ngắn hạn hoặc ngay lập tức. Một ví dụ tốt về điều này là bạn gặp ai đó, họ nói cho bạn tên của họ, họ nói cho bạn số điện thoại của họ bằng lời, và bạn phải quay trở lại điện thoại của bạn và nhập số đó vào. Những người không mắc ADHD có thể cần phải nỗ lực vào việc đó. Nó có thể cảm thấy như một cuộc đấu tranh nhỏ, nhưng thường họ có thể lặp lại số điện thoại đó trong đầu mình nhiều lần và sau đó nhập vào điện thoại của họ. Những người mắc ADHD có xu hướng mất khả năng hoặc thiếu khả năng nhớ những thứ mà họ chỉ cần giữ trong trí nhớ từ 10 giây đến một hoặc hai phút.
    Vậy, chúng ta đã xác định được nhiều vấn đề mà những người mắc ADHD thường gặp phải. Một số có tất cả chúng, một số chỉ có một phần trong số đó. Mức độ nghiêm trọng của chúng có thể dao động từ rất nghiêm trọng đến nhẹ, nhưng nhìn chung, đó là những thách thức với sự chú ý và sự tập trung, những thách thức với kiểm soát xung lực. Họ dễ bị khó chịu. Họ có một chút xung đột. Họ không thể giữ được công việc. Nhận thức về thời gian có thể sai lệch. Và họ gặp khó khăn với bất cứ điều gì tầm thường mà họ không thực sự quan tâm. Nhưng một lần nữa, tôi chỉ muốn nhấn mạnh rằng những người mắc ADHD có khả năng đạt được mức độ tập trung cao, thậm chí là siêu tập trung cho những điều thú vị và mà họ thực sự muốn tham gia.
    Tôi muốn nghỉ một chút và ghi nhận nhà tài trợ của chúng tôi, Eight Sleep. Eight Sleep sản xuất các lớp đệm thông minh với khả năng làm mát, làm ấm và theo dõi giấc ngủ. Một trong những cách tốt nhất để đảm bảo có một giấc ngủ ngon là đảm bảo rằng nhiệt độ của môi trường ngủ của bạn là đúng. Và đó là vì để có thể đi vào giấc ngủ sâu và duy trì giấc ngủ sâu, nhiệt độ cơ thể của bạn thực sự phải giảm khoảng một đến ba độ. Và để thức dậy cảm thấy được làm mới và tràn đầy năng lượng, nhiệt độ cơ thể của bạn thực sự phải tăng lên khoảng một đến ba độ. Eight Sleep tự động điều chỉnh nhiệt độ của giường của bạn suốt đêm theo nhu cầu riêng của bạn.
    Tôi đã ngủ trên một lớp đệm Eight Sleep hơn bốn năm nay và nó đã hoàn toàn biến đổi và cải thiện chất lượng giấc ngủ của tôi. Eight Sleep vừa mới ra mắt mẫu mới nhất của họ, Pod 5, và Pod 5 có một số tính năng mới quan trọng. Một trong những tính năng mới này được gọi là Autopilot. Autopilot là một engine AI học các mẫu ngủ của bạn để điều chỉnh nhiệt độ của môi trường ngủ của bạn qua các giai đoạn ngủ khác nhau. Nó cũng nâng cao đầu bạn nếu bạn đang ngáy, và thực hiện các điều chỉnh khác để tối ưu hóa giấc ngủ của bạn. Phần bass trên Pod 5 cũng có một loa tích hợp đồng bộ với ứng dụng Eight Sleep và có thể phát âm thanh để hỗ trợ thư giãn và phục hồi. Danh mục âm thanh bao gồm một số kịch bản NSDR, nghỉ ngơi sâu không phải ngủ, mà tôi đã cùng Eight Sleep làm việc để ghi âm. NSDR có thể giúp làm giảm một số tác động tiêu cực của sự thiếu ngủ nhẹ, và NSDR giúp bạn dễ dàng quay trở lại giấc ngủ nếu bạn tỉnh dậy giữa đêm. Đây là một công cụ cực kỳ mạnh mẽ mà bất cứ ai cũng có thể hưởng lợi từ lần đầu tiên và mỗi lần. Nếu bạn muốn thử Eight Sleep, hãy vào eightsleep.com slash Huberman để nhận discount lên đến $350 cho Pod 5 mới. Eight Sleep giao hàng đến nhiều quốc gia trên toàn thế giới, bao gồm cả Mexico và UAE. Một lần nữa, hãy vào eightsleep.com slash Huberman để tiết kiệm lên đến $350.
    Bây giờ, hãy cùng tìm hiểu vấn đề vì sao những người mắc ADHD có thể tập trung rất mạnh vào những thứ mà họ thích và tò mò. Sự thích thú và tò mò, chúng chỉ là cách mà chúng ta mô tả trải nghiệm con người của chúng ta về việc thích những điều gì đó, muốn biết thêm về chúng. Nhưng từ góc độ sinh học thần kinh, chúng có một danh tính và chữ ký rất rõ ràng, đó là dopamine. Dopamine được giải phóng từ các nơron. Đó là cái mà chúng ta gọi là một chất điều chỉnh thần kinh. Và cụ thể hơn, dopamine tạo ra trạng thái tập trung cao độ. Nó có xu hướng thu hẹp thế giới thị giác của chúng ta và khiến chúng ta chú ý đến những thứ bên ngoài và vượt ra ngoài ranh giới của cơ thể. Đó là điều mà chúng ta gọi là cảm giác ngoại vi. Như tôi đã đề cập trước đó, bạn có tất cả những giác quan này đang hoạt động, và bạn chỉ có thể nhận biết một số trong số đó vì bạn chỉ đang chú ý đến một số. Dopamine, khi được giải phóng trong não của chúng ta, có xu hướng kích hoạt các vùng não của chúng ta làm hẹp sự tập trung thị giác và thính giác của chúng ta. Nó tạo ra một hình nón sự chú ý thính giác rất hẹp. Trong khi đó, khi chúng ta có ít dopamine hơn, chúng ta có xu hướng nhìn thấy toàn bộ thế giới. Chúng ta có xu hướng thấy tất cả mọi thứ xung quanh mình. Và chúng ta có xu hướng nghe tất cả mọi thứ cùng một lúc. Vì vậy, khi tôi mô tả điều này, hy vọng bạn đã bắt đầu thấy và hiểu cách mà việc giải phóng dopamine có thể cho phép một người, dù có mắc ADHD hay không, chỉ định sự chú ý của họ đến những thứ cụ thể trong môi trường của họ. Bây giờ, những gì chúng ta đang làm là di chuyển xa khỏi sự chú ý như một thuật ngữ mơ hồ, và chúng ta đang đưa nó vào danh tính hóa học thần kinh, dopamine, và chúng ta đang đưa nó vào danh tính mạch thần kinh. Và chỉ để thêm một chút hương vị và chi tiết về những mạch thần kinh nào, tôi muốn thảo luận về hai loại mạch thần kinh chung mà dopamine thường tăng cường. Loại đầu tiên được gọi là mạng lưới chế độ mặc định. Mạng lưới chế độ mặc định là mạng lưới các khu vực não trong não của bạn, trong não của tôi, và trong não của mọi người mà hoạt động khi chúng ta không làm gì, khi chúng ta chỉ ngồi đấy không hoạt động. Bộ não còn lại mà chúng ta sẽ suy nghĩ và nói đến liên quan đến ADHD là các mạng lưới nhiệm vụ, các mạng lưới của não khiến bạn có định hướng mục tiêu. Và đó là một bộ não hoàn toàn khác. Tuy nhiên, mạng lưới chế độ mặc định và các mạng lưới nhiệm vụ này đang giao tiếp với nhau, và chúng đang làm điều đó theo những cách rất thú vị. Vùng vỏ não trước, không có gì bất ngờ ở phía trước, và bạn có một vùng phía trên và bên, phần phía bên của vỏ não trán lưng, và sau đó bạn có một khu vực não gọi là vùng vỏ não cingulate phía sau. Và sau đó bạn có một khu vực gọi là thùy đỉnh bên. Một lần nữa, bạn không cần phải nhớ những cái tên này, nhưng đây là ba khu vực não mà bình thường đồng bộ trong hoạt động của chúng. Vì vậy, khi một trong những khu vực này hoạt động trong một người bình thường, các khu vực khác cũng sẽ hoạt động. Và sau đó một người mắc ADHD, hoặc thậm chí một người có ADHD tiềm tàng, hoặc trong bất kỳ con người nào không ngủ đủ giấc, những gì bạn thấy là mạng lưới chế độ mặc định không đồng bộ. Những khu vực não này chỉ không hoạt động cùng nhau. Bây giờ, các mạng lưới nhiệm vụ bao gồm một bộ cấu trúc khác. Nó vẫn liên quan đến vỏ não trước, nhưng đó là một phần khác của vỏ não trước, được không? Thì thường là vỏ não trước giữa, và có một số khu vực não khác mà vỏ não trước giữa đang giao tiếp liên tục để ngăn chặn những xung động. Bất cứ khi nào bạn đang hạn chế hành vi của mình, những mạng lưới hướng nhiệm vụ này rất hoạt động, được không? Bây giờ, bình thường, trong một người không mắc ADHD, các mạng lưới nhiệm vụ và mạng lưới chế độ mặc định đang hoạt động theo cách có thể thi đấu qua lại. Chúng thực sự là những gì chúng ta gọi là tương quan âm. Trong một người mắc ADHD, chúng thực sự có xu hướng có mối tương quan nhiều hơn. Các mạng lưới chế độ mặc định và các mạng lưới nhiệm vụ thực sự phối hợp tốt hơn. Và bây giờ chúng ta có thể tự tin nói, dựa vào các nghiên cứu hình ảnh não, rằng khi ai đó cải thiện khi được điều trị ADHD, hoặc khi họ không còn mắc ADHD, như đôi khi là trường hợp, thì các mạng lưới chế độ mặc định và các mạng lưới nhiệm vụ có xu hướng lại trở nên tương quan âm một lần nữa. Những gì dopamine đang làm trong ngữ cảnh này là dopamine hoạt động như một nhạc trưởng. Dopamine đang nói rằng mạch này nên hoạt động, thì mạch kia nên hoạt động. Nó nên là mạng lưới chế độ mặc định, và sau đó khi mạng lưới chế độ mặc định không hoạt động, thì nó nên là mạng lưới nhiệm vụ.
    Và trong ADHD, có điều gì đó về hệ thống dopamine mà không cho phép nó dẫn dắt các mạng lưới này và đảm bảo rằng chúng giữ được trạng thái như, bạn biết đấy, các kỹ sư, nhà vật lý hoặc nhà toán học sẽ nói là ngoài pha để chống tương quan. Vậy thì chính xác điều gì đang xảy ra với hệ thống dopamine ở những người mắc ADHD, và điều gì đang xảy ra với hệ thống dopamine ở những người có mức độ chú ý tuyệt vời cho bất kỳ nhiệm vụ nào? Vào năm 2015, một bài báo quan trọng đã được công bố, và nó đã chính thức hóa giả thuyết dopamine thấp về ADHD. Hóa ra rằng nếu mức dopamine quá thấp trong các mạch não cụ thể, thì điều này dẫn đến sự bắn neuron không cần thiết trong não mà không liên quan đến nhiệm vụ mà người ta đang cố gắng thực hiện, và không liên quan đến thông tin mà người đó đang cố gắng tập trung vào. Vì vậy, nếu bạn nhớ lại trước đây, bạn có mạng lưới chế độ mặc định và một mạng lưới liên quan đến nhiệm vụ, và chúng cần ở trong một loại hòa hợp chống tương quan như vậy, nhưng trong ADHD, chúng lại bắn cùng nhau. Vấn đề dường như là khi dopamine thấp, các neuron bắn nhiều hơn mức cần thiết trong các mạng lưới điều phối sự chú ý. Đây là giả thuyết dopamine thấp. Và nếu bạn bắt đầu nhìn vào những gì mà những người mắc ADHD đã làm trong hàng thập kỷ, bạn sẽ thấy rằng họ có xu hướng sử dụng ma túy giải trí, hoặc họ có xu hướng sử dụng các chất kích thích không phải ma túy. Những thứ như hút một nửa gói thuốc lá và uống bốn tách cà phê mỗi ngày, hoặc nếu người đó có điều kiện, sử dụng cocaine như một loại ma túy giải trí, hoặc amphetamine như một loại ma túy giải trí, tất cả những chất mà tôi vừa mô tả, đặc biệt là cocaine và amphetamine, nhưng cũng bao gồm cà phê và thuốc lá, đều làm tăng mức độ của nhiều neurotransmitter, nhưng tất cả đều có đặc điểm tăng mức độ dopamine trong não, và đặc biệt là trong các vùng não điều chỉnh sự chú ý và những mạng lưới liên quan đến nhiệm vụ và chế độ mặc định. May mắn thay, trẻ nhỏ thường không có quyền truy cập vào những loại chất kích thích đó. Nhưng nếu bạn nhìn vào trẻ em, ngay cả những trẻ rất nhỏ mắc ADHD, chúng thể hiện những điều như thích những thức ăn có đường, cũng có tác dụng như những chất kích thích tạo ra dopamine. Trong một thời gian dài, người ta đã nghĩ rằng trẻ em mắc ADHD tiêu thụ quá nhiều thực phẩm có đường hoặc uống quá nhiều soda, hoặc người lớn mắc ADHD sẽ dùng ma túy giải trí như methamphetamine hoặc cocaine, hoặc uống cà phê quá nhiều hoặc hút thuốc lá quá nhiều vì họ có mức độ chú ý kém và vì họ không thể đưa ra quyết định tốt. Họ quá bốc đồng và vân vân. Biết những gì mà chúng ta hiện nay biết về dopamine và thực tế rằng có đủ dopamine là cần thiết để phối hợp các mạch thần kinh cho phép sự tập trung và khả năng ra quyết định chất lượng. Một ý tưởng hợp lệ khác là những đứa trẻ và người lớn này thực sự đang cố gắng tự điều trị bằng cách theo đuổi các hợp chất này, phải không? Những thứ như cocaine dẫn đến sự gia tăng lớn về dopamine. Vậy điều gì sẽ xảy ra khi ai đó mắc ADHD sử dụng loại thuốc đó? Hóa ra họ thực sự có được mức độ tập trung cao hơn. Khả năng tập trung vào những điều khác ngoài những điều mà họ cực kỳ quan tâm sẽ tăng lên. Tương tự, trẻ em tiêu thụ bất cứ thứ gì làm tăng mức độ dopamine của chúng, nếu những đứa trẻ đó mắc ADHD, chúng có xu hướng bình tĩnh hơn. Chúng có xu hướng có khả năng tập trung hơn. Vì vậy, dopamine và mức độ dopamine thấp rõ ràng là điều không ổn ở những người mắc ADHD. Giả thuyết dopamine đó đã dẫn đến ý tưởng rằng điều trị cho những người, bao gồm cả trẻ em và người lớn, bằng các hợp chất dopaminergic sẽ tăng cường khả năng tập trung của họ. Và nếu bạn nhìn vào các loại thuốc chính đã được phát triển và hiện nay được tiếp thị bởi các công ty dược phẩm để điều trị ADHD, những loại thuốc đó có tên gọi như Ritalin. Hiện nay, đó thường là những thứ như Adderall, Modafinil và một số các dẫn xuất khác. Tất cả chúng đều phục vụ để tăng mức độ dopamine, đặc biệt là dopamine trong các mạng lưới kiểm soát hành vi hướng nhiệm vụ và phối hợp mạng lưới chế độ mặc định và các mạng lưới liên quan đến nhiệm vụ. Hãy một chút lùi lại và hỏi, những loại thuốc này là gì? Chúng ta biết rằng chúng tăng cường dopamine, nhưng thực sự thì chúng là gì? Ritalin, còn được gọi là methylphenidate, rất giống với amphetamine, speed hoặc những gì thường được gọi là speed trong danh pháp ma túy đường phố. Adderall về cơ bản là một sự kết hợp của amphetamine và dextroamphetamine. Bây giờ, một số bạn có thể nhận ra điều này, rằng Adderall là amphetamine, nhưng tôi đoán rằng có một số lượng khá nhiều bạn ở đó, có thể kể cả phụ huynh và trẻ em, không nhận ra rằng các loại thuốc như cocaine và amphetamine, methamphetamine, vô cùng nguy hiểm và dễ gây nghiện và có tiềm năng cao cho việc lạm dụng. Chà, các phiên bản dược phẩm của những thứ đó chính là những gì được sử dụng để điều trị ADHD, và chúng không hoàn toàn giống như cocaine hay methamphetamine, nhưng về mặt cấu trúc và hóa học thì chúng rất tương tự, và tác động tổng thể của chúng trong não và cơ thể cơ bản là giống nhau, đó là tăng cường dopamine chủ yếu, mà cũng tăng cường mức độ của một chất điều hòa thần kinh được gọi là epinephrine hoặc norepinephrine, còn được gọi là noradrenaline và adrenaline, những cái tên này đều giống nhau. Vì vậy, điều tôi đang nói là các loại thuốc được sử dụng để điều trị ADHD là các chất kích thích, và chúng giống rất nhiều, thực ra gần như giống hệt với một số chất kích thích ma túy đường phố mà tất cả chúng ta đều nghe thấy là rất tồi tệ. Tuy nhiên, tôi muốn nhấn mạnh rằng ở liều lượng thích hợp và làm việc với một bác sĩ tâm thần, bác sĩ thần kinh hoặc bác sĩ gia đình chất lượng, phải là một bác sĩ MD được chứng nhận để kê đơn những thứ này, nhiều người mắc ADHD đạt được sự giảm nhẹ tuyệt vời với những loại thuốc này. Không phải tất cả, nhưng nhiều người thì có, đặc biệt nếu những phương pháp điều trị này được bắt đầu sớm trong cuộc sống. Tôi muốn nghỉ một chút và ghi nhận nhà tài trợ của chúng tôi, Juve. Juve sản xuất các thiết bị trị liệu ánh sáng đỏ cấp y tế.
    Bây giờ, nếu có một điều mà tôi đã nhấn mạnh một cách nhất quán trong podcast này, đó là tác động không tưởng mà ánh sáng có thể có đối với sinh học của chúng ta.
    Bây giờ, bên cạnh ánh nắng mặt trời, ánh sáng đỏ và ánh sáng hồng ngoại gần đã được chứng minh có tác dụng tích cực trong việc cải thiện nhiều khía cạnh của sức khỏe tế bào và cơ quan, bao gồm phục hồi cơ bắp nhanh hơn, cải thiện sức khỏe da và quá trình lành vết thương, cải thiện tình trạng mụn trứng cá, có nghĩa là làm giảm mụn, giảm đau và viêm, cải thiện chức năng ty thể, và thậm chí cải thiện cả chức năng thị giác.
    Điều khiến đèn Juve trở nên khác biệt và lý do tại sao chúng là thiết bị liệu pháp ánh sáng đỏ mà tôi ưa chuộng là vì chúng sử dụng các bước sóng đã được chứng minh lâm sàng, có nghĩa là các bước sóng cụ thể của ánh sáng đỏ và ánh sáng hồng ngoại gần trong các sự kết hợp cụ thể để kích thích những thích ứng tế bào tối ưu.
    Cá nhân tôi, tôi sử dụng tấm đèn toàn thân Juve khoảng ba đến bốn lần mỗi tuần, thường là vào buổi sáng, nhưng đôi khi vào buổi chiều, và tôi sử dụng đèn cầm tay Juve cả ở nhà và khi tôi đi du lịch.
    Nếu bạn muốn thử Juve, bạn có thể truy cập Juve, được viết là J-O-O-V-V.com gạch chéo Huberman.
    Juve đang cung cấp một ưu đãi giảm giá độc quyền cho tất cả thính giả của Huberman Lab với mức giảm lên đến $400 cho một số sản phẩm Juve.
    Một lần nữa, đó là Juve, J-O-O-V-V.com gạch chéo Huberman để nhận giảm giá lên đến $400.
    Bây giờ, khi đã biết những loại thuốc này là gì, tôi muốn đặt ra câu hỏi tại sao lại kê đơn những loại thuốc này?
    Trẻ em có một bộ não rất dẻo, có nghĩa là nó có thể tái cấu trúc và thay đổi theo kinh nghiệm rất nhanh so với người lớn.
    Việc sử dụng thuốc kích thích khi còn nhỏ, nếu bạn là một đứa trẻ được chẩn đoán ADHD, cho phép mạng lưới não trước liên quan đến nhiệm vụ hoạt động, sẽ hoạt động vào những thời điểm thích hợp.
    Và vì những đứa trẻ đó còn nhỏ, nó cho phép những đứa trẻ đó học được khái niệm về sự tập trung và theo đuổi hoặc bước vào trạng thái tập trung đó.
    Bây giờ, việc sử dụng một loại thuốc đang tạo ra sự tập trung một cách nhân tạo.
    Nó không tạo ra sự tập trung đơn giản vì chúng thực sự quan tâm đến điều gì đó.
    Nó đang hóa học kích thích một trạng thái tập trung.
    Và hãy thừa nhận rằng, nhiều khía cạnh của tuổi thơ, đi học và trở thành một người trưởng thành chức năng là về việc học cách tập trung ngay cả khi bạn không muốn làm điều gì đó.
    Vậy chúng ta nên đánh giá toàn bộ bức tranh này như thế nào mà chúng ta cần nhiều dopamine hơn, nhưng những đứa trẻ này với ADHD, chúng đang nhận dopamine thông qua một loại thuốc, mà thực tế là amphetamines.
    Hậu quả dài hạn sẽ là gì?
    Hậu quả ngắn hạn sẽ là gì?
    Vâng, để có được một số câu trả lời này, tôi đã đến gặp một trong những đồng nghiệp của mình, một bác sĩ thần kinh nhi khoa chuyên về điều trị động kinh và ADHD ở trẻ em từ ba đến 21 tuổi.
    Tôi đã đặt ra các câu hỏi sau.
    Đầu tiên, tôi hỏi, bạn nghĩ gì về việc cho trẻ em nhỏ dùng amphetamine?
    Nếu đảm bảo rằng liều thấp nhất được sử dụng và liều đó được điều chỉnh khi chúng lớn lên và phát triển khả năng chú ý, quan sát của họ là họ đã thấy nhiều trẻ em hưởng lợi hơn là không.
    Bây giờ, thực tế là người này, người bạn và đồng nghiệp của tôi, có nhiều chuyên môn về cách thức hoạt động của não và đang xem xét việc cho con mình dùng thuốc như vậy,
    tôi đã hỏi, bạn biết không, tại sao bạn không chờ cho đến khi con bạn bước vào giai đoạn dậy thì?
    Tôi có ý nói, chúng ta biết rằng ở cả trẻ trai và trẻ gái, có sự gia tăng testosterone và estrogen trong thời kỳ dậy thì làm thay đổi đáng kể cách thức cơ thể xuất hiện,
    nhưng cũng thay đổi đáng kể cách thức não bộ hoạt động.
    Cụ thể, chúng ta biết rằng dậy thì kích hoạt việc hoạt động của cái gọi là chức năng điều hành liên quan đến nhiệm vụ trước trán.
    Điều đó chỉ là cách nói khoa học cho việc có khả năng tập trung, có khả năng định hướng sự chú ý, và kiểm soát các xung động.
    Và câu trả lời của họ rất cụ thể và tôi nghĩ là rất quan trọng.
    Điều họ nói là, hãy nhìn đây, tính dẻo dai thần kinh lớn nhất trong thời thơ ấu và giảm dần sau khoảng 25 tuổi,
    nhưng tính dẻo dai thần kinh từ 3 đến 12 hoặc 13 tuổi rất cao.
    Nếu bạn có cơ hội làm việc với một bác sĩ có chất lượng và điều trị những vấn đề này sớm,
    những loại thuốc này có thể giúp những mạch não trước này, những mạch liên quan đến nhiệm vụ,
    đạt được mức độ chức năng phù hợp của chúng và để trẻ em học cách tập trung trong nhiều bối cảnh khác nhau.
    Vậy nên, chúng ta đã nói về các mạch thần kinh liên quan đến sự tập trung và hóa học của sự tập trung,
    nhưng chúng ta chưa nói gì về những gì sẽ làm cho chúng ta tốt hơn trong việc tập trung và việc tập trung tốt hơn thực sự là gì.
    Vậy hãy lùi lại một bước và nghĩ về cách chúng ta tập trung và cách để cải thiện khả năng tập trung.
    Và tôi sẽ chia sẻ với bạn một công cụ mà có dữ liệu nghiên cứu tuyệt vời sẽ giúp bạn trong một phiên duy nhất để cải thiện khả năng tập trung của bạn lý thuyết là mãi mãi.
    Điều chúng ta sắp nói đến là khi nào sự chú ý hoạt động và khi nào sự chú ý yếu đi.
    Và điều mà chúng ta sẽ nói cụ thể là điều được gọi là “sự nháy mắt chú ý”, không phải nháy mắt thực sự của mắt.
    Sự nháy mắt chú ý rất dễ hiểu nếu bạn nghĩ về một nhiệm vụ tìm Waldo.
    Bạn biết nhiệm vụ này, tìm Waldo, nơi có một đám đông người và nhiều đồ vật trong một bức tranh, và ở đâu đó trong đó có Waldo với chiếc mũ sọc và cặp kính và là một chàng trai khá gầy, và bạn phải tìm Waldo.
    Vì vậy, đó là một tìm kiếm hình ảnh và nó là một tìm kiếm hình ảnh cho một đối tượng có những đặc điểm riêng biệt, nhưng lại nằm trong đại dương của những thứ khác mà có thể dễ dàng nhầm lẫn với Waldo.
    Vì vậy, bạn thường nhìn, nhìn, nhìn, nhìn, nhìn, nhìn, nhìn, nhìn.
    Khi bạn tìm thấy Waldo, hoặc khi bạn tìm kiếm một mục tiêu trong một nhiệm vụ tìm kiếm hình ảnh khác,
    vào thời điểm đó, hệ thống thần kinh của bạn ăn mừng một chút,
    và nó ăn mừng thông qua việc giải phóng các chất hóa học thần kinh khiến bạn cảm thấy tốt.
    Bạn đã tìm thấy nó và bạn tạm dừng.
    Bây giờ, khoảnh khắc tạm dừng đó rất thú vị, vì khi bạn tạm dừng, điều chúng ta biết từ nhiều thí nghiệm
    là trong khoảnh khắc tạm dừng và ăn mừng nhẹ, dù chỉ là nhẹ,
    bạn không thể nhìn thấy một Waldo khác đang ngồi ngay bên cạnh.
    Dịch đoạn văn sau sang tiếng Việt:
    Vậy điều này có nghĩa là khi bạn chú ý vào một điều gì đó, khi bạn tìm kiếm và xác định một mục tiêu thị giác, thì sự chú ý của bạn đã nháy mắt. Nó tắt trong một giây. Nếu bạn thấy điều mà bạn đang tìm kiếm, hoặc bạn rất quan tâm đến điều gì đó, bạn chắc chắn sẽ bỏ lỡ thông tin khác, một phần là vì bạn tập trung quá mức vào một điều gì đó. Điều này dẫn đến một giả thuyết rất thú vị về những gì có thể đi sai trong ADHD, nơi mà chúng ta luôn nghĩ rằng họ không thể tập trung, và mặc dù vậy, chúng ta biết rằng họ có thể tập trung vào những điều mà họ rất quan tâm. Vậy thì, có thể, chỉ có thể thôi, rằng họ đang trải qua nhiều lần nháy mắt chú ý hơn những người không bị ADHD. Thực tế, có dữ liệu hiện nay hỗ trợ khả năng rằng đó thực sự là điều đang xảy ra. Vậy điều họ thực sự cần là đặc tính mà chúng ta gọi là giám sát mở. Trước hết, hệ thống thị giác của bạn có hai chế độ xử lý. Nó có thể cực kỳ tập trung, như thể nhìn qua một ống hút. Tuy nhiên, cũng có một đặc điểm của hệ thống thị giác của bạn cho phép bạn mở rộng tầm nhìn, để ở trong cái gọi là cái nhìn toàn cảnh. Nhìn toàn cảnh thực sự được trung gian bởi một dòng hoặc một tập hợp các mạch thần kinh đi từ mắt vào não. Và đó là một dòng hoặc một tập hợp mạch không chỉ là góc nhìn rộng. Nó cũng tốt hơn trong việc xử lý những điều theo thời gian. Tốc độ khung hình của nó cao hơn. Bạn có thể sử dụng cái nhìn toàn cảnh để tiếp cận trạng thái mà chúng ta gọi là giám sát mở. Khi mọi người làm điều đó, họ có khả năng chú ý và nhận ra nhiều mục tiêu. Vì vậy, đây là điều mà có thể được rèn luyện và mọi người có thể thực hành, bất kể họ có mắc ADHD hay không. Điều này liên quan đến việc học cách mở rộng tầm nhìn của bạn một cách có ý thức. Điều này thực sự khá dễ dàng đối với hầu hết mọi người. Bạn có thể có chủ định đi vào cái nhìn mở và sau đó bạn cũng có thể co lại tầm nhìn của mình. Điều đó có thể không có vẻ như là một thực hành đáng kể hay bất thường, hoặc rằng nó sẽ có bất kỳ tác động nào. Nhưng đáng ngạc nhiên, chỉ cần làm điều đó một lần trong 17 phút đã giảm đáng kể số lần nháy mắt chú ý mà mọi người thực hiện. Nói cách khác, sự tập trung của họ đã cải thiện theo cách gần như vĩnh viễn mà không cần bất kỳ đào tạo bổ sung nào. Bây giờ, hãy nói về các lần nháy thật sự, những cái bạn thực hiện với mí mắt của mình. Tin hay không, cảm nhận về thời gian của bạn cũng bị thay đổi rất nhanh, từ khoảnh khắc này sang khoảnh khắc khác, bởi tần suất bạn nháy mắt. Tôi muốn nhấn mạnh một nghiên cứu cụ thể, có tựa đề rất hợp lý, Thời Gian Được Kéo Dài Sau Khi Nháy Mắt Ngẫu Nhiên. Họ đã khảo sát mối quan hệ giữa sự dao động trong thời gian và nháy mắt. Và để nói ngắn gọn, những gì họ phát hiện ra là ngay sau khi nháy mắt, chúng ta thiết lập lại cảm nhận về thời gian. Điều thú vị và sẽ lập tức làm bạn hiểu tại sao điều này quan trọng là tần suất nháy mắt được kiểm soát bởi dopamine. Vậy điều này có nghĩa là dopamine đang kiểm soát sự chú ý, nháy mắt liên quan đến sự chú ý và sự tập trung, và do đó hệ thống dopamine và nháy mắt là một cách mà bạn liên tục điều chỉnh và cập nhật cảm nhận về thời gian. Và thật may mắn, đó cũng là một điều mà bạn có thể kiểm soát. Vậy điều rút ra cơ bản của nghiên cứu này là nháy mắt kiểm soát cảm nhận về thời gian, nhưng cũng rằng mức độ dopamine có thể thay đổi cảm nhận về thời gian của bạn và, hãy theo dõi tôi ở đây, và rằng nháy mắt và dopamine gắn bó chặt chẽ với nhau. Chúng đang làm việc cùng nhau để kiểm soát sự chú ý của bạn. Hãy nhớ lại từ đầu tập, những gì đang diễn ra ở những người có ADHD. Họ không giỏi trong việc quản lý thời gian của mình. Họ có xu hướng đến trễ hoặc họ không có tổ chức. Mức độ dopamine của họ thấp. Chúng ta cũng biết điều đó. Do đó, họ đang đánh giá thấp thời gian. Và vì vậy, thật hoàn toàn hợp lý khi họ sẽ đến trễ. Thật hoàn toàn hợp lý khi họ sẽ mất dấu thời gian hoặc khả năng tập trung. Điều này thật sự thú vị vì điều đó có nghĩa là trẻ em mắc ADHD, người lớn mắc ADHD, hoặc những người có mức độ tập trung bình thường muốn cải thiện khả năng tập trung của họ có thể làm như vậy thông qua một khóa đào tạo liên quan đến việc học cách bao lâu thì nháy mắt và khi nào và cách duy trì sự tập trung thị giác của họ vào một mục tiêu nhất định. Và hóa ra nghiên cứu này đã thực sự được thực hiện mang tên Cải thiện Sự Chú Ý Ở Học Sinh Tiểu Học Qua Hoạt Động Đào Tạo Tập Trung Vào Hình Ảnh. Tôi sẽ không đi qua tất cả các chi tiết, nhưng những gì họ phát hiện ra là một khoảng thời gian ngắn tập trung vào một mục tiêu thị giác cho phép những học sinh này nâng cao đáng kể khả năng tập trung vào các loại thông tin khác. Và một thành phần quan trọng của tác động này là do cách mà họ đang kiểm soát màn trập trên mắt của họ, mí mắt của họ, và kiểm soát nháy mắt của họ. Vậy những gì họ đã thực hiện trong nghiên cứu là họ đã cho những đứa trẻ này tập trung sự chú ý thị giác của mình vào một vật thể tương đối gần, như tay của họ, trong khoảng một phút, điều này thực sự cần một chút nỗ lực nếu bạn cố gắng làm điều đó. Họ được phép nháy mắt. Chỉ mất vài phút mỗi ngày để làm điều này, 30 giây trong một điều kiện hoặc có thể một phút, và sau đó ở một trạm khác nhìn xa hơn một chút và một chút nữa. Tuy nhiên, có một tính năng quan trọng của nghiên cứu này chắc chắn đáng được đề cập, đó là trước khi họ thực hiện nhiệm vụ tập trung thị giác này hoặc đào tạo, họ đã thực hiện một loạt các chuyển động thể chất với bọn trẻ để bọn trẻ có thể loại bỏ hoặc di chuyển bớt một phần nào đó mong muốn di chuyển của mình và do đó cải thiện khả năng ngồi yên. Bây giờ điều đó hoàn toàn hợp lý khi những màn trập ở phía trước đôi mắt của bạn, chúng không chỉ phục vụ để nháy mắt và cũng không chỉ vì mục đích thẩm mỹ.
    Họ có mặt ở đó để điều chỉnh lượng thông tin đi vào hệ thần kinh của bạn, và họ có mặt để điều chỉnh thời gian bạn đưa thông tin vào hệ thần kinh của mình. Cách bạn phân loại thời gian – rộng rãi hay chi tiết – được xác định bởi tần suất nháy mắt của bạn, và cách bạn thu hút sự chú ý từ thế giới thị giác – cụ thể hay tổng quát – được xác định bởi việc bạn có nhìn vào những thứ rất cụ thể như một điểm ngắm hay qua một ống hút soda như thế này, hoặc liệu bạn có ở trong chế độ môi trường toàn cảnh hay không.
    Tôi muốn tạm dừng một chút và ghi nhận nhà tài trợ của chúng tôi, AG1. AG1 là một loại thức uống vitamin, khoáng chất và probiotic, cũng bao gồm prebiotic và adaptogen. Là một người đã tham gia nghiên cứu khoa học gần ba thập kỷ và trong lĩnh vực sức khỏe và thể hình cũng lâu như vậy, tôi luôn tìm kiếm những công cụ tốt nhất để cải thiện sức khỏe tâm thần, sức khỏe thể chất và hiệu suất của mình. Tôi đã phát hiện ra AG1 vào năm 2012, lâu trước khi tôi có podcast, và tôi đã dùng nó mỗi ngày kể từ đó. Tôi thấy nó cải thiện mọi khía cạnh của sức khỏe, năng lượng, sự tập trung của tôi, và tôi cảm thấy tốt hơn rất nhiều khi dùng nó. AG1 sử dụng nguyên liệu chất lượng cao nhất trong các kết hợp đúng, và họ liên tục cải tiến công thức mà không làm tăng chi phí. Thực tế, AG1 vừa mới ra mắt công thức nâng cấp mới nhất của họ. Công thức thế hệ tiếp theo này dựa trên nghiên cứu mới thú vị về tác động của probiotic lên hệ vi sinh vật đường ruột, và giờ đây nó bao gồm một số chủng probiotic đã được nghiên cứu lâm sàng cho thấy hỗ trợ cả sức khỏe tiêu hóa và hệ miễn dịch, cũng như cải thiện sự đều đặn của ruột và giảm đầy hơi.
    Mỗi khi tôi được hỏi nếu tôi chỉ có thể dùng một loại thực phẩm chức năng, đó sẽ là loại nào, tôi luôn nói là AG1. Nếu bạn muốn thử AG1, bạn có thể truy cập vào drinkag1.com/slash Huberman. Trong một thời gian giới hạn, AG1 đang tặng một tháng cung cấp omega-3 dầu cá miễn phí cùng với một chai vitamin D3 cộng với K2. Như tôi đã nhấn mạnh trước đây trên podcast này, omega-3 dầu cá và vitamin D3 K2 đã được chứng minh là giúp mọi thứ từ tâm trạng và sức khỏe não bộ đến sức khỏe tim mạch, trạng thái hormone khỏe mạnh và nhiều hơn nữa.
    Một lần nữa, đó là drinkag1.com/slash Huberman để nhận một tháng cung cấp omega-3 dầu cá miễn phí, cộng với một chai vitamin D3 cộng với K2 với đăng ký của bạn. Giờ thì tôi muốn quay lại nói về một số loại thuốc thường được sử dụng để truy cập các hệ thống đó, thuốc kê toa, và tôi muốn nói về một số phương pháp không kê toa mới và đang nổi lên để tăng mức độ dopamine, acetylcholine và serotonin trong não bằng cách sử dụng các hợp chất giống như thực phẩm chức năng khác nhau, vì một số chúng đang cho thấy hiệu quả rất đáng kể trong các nghiên cứu có đánh giá ngang hàng xuất sắc.
    Vì vậy, trước khi chuyển sang một số hợp chất không điển hình mới và những thứ được bán không cần kê toa, tôi muốn quay lại một chút về các loại thuốc cổ điển được sử dụng để điều trị ADHD. Đây là những loại tôi đã đề cập trước đó, methylphenidate, còn được gọi là Ritalin, modafinil, armodafinil là một loại khác, và Adderall. Một lần nữa, tất cả đều có tác dụng bằng cách tăng mức độ dopamine và norepinephrine. Tôi nghĩ rằng điều quan trọng là phải hiểu mức độ mà tất cả chúng đều mang lại hiệu ứng phụ tương tự, chẳng hạn như nguy cơ nghiện và lạm dụng cao.
    Amphetamines dưới bất kỳ hình thức nào, cũng như cocaine, có thể gây ra các tác dụng phụ về tình dục vì chúng là các chất co mạch. Vì vậy, những loại thuốc này không phải không có hậu quả. Hơn nữa, gần như tất cả đều có tác động lên tim mạch, đúng không? Chúng tăng nhịp tim, nhưng chúng cũng có tác động đến việc co thắt các mạch máu, động mạch và tĩnh mạch và những thứ tương tự theo cách có thể gây ra các vấn đề tim mạch. Sử dụng tốt nhất các thứ như Adderall, modafinil, armodafinil và Ritalin sẽ là kết hợp những phương pháp điều trị đó với các bài tập hành vi chủ động kích hoạt các mạch mà bạn đang cố gắng huấn luyện và nâng cao. Và sau đó có thể, tôi muốn nhấn mạnh, giảm liều những loại thuốc đó để có thể sử dụng các mạch đó mà không cần can thiệp hóa chất.
    Vì vậy, bất chấp bất kỳ tranh cãi nào có thể xảy ra, tôi nghĩ rằng thật công bằng khi nói rằng việc tiêu thụ axit béo omega-3 có thể điều chỉnh tích cực các hệ thống cho sự chú ý và tập trung. Vậy câu hỏi đặt ra là, bao nhiêu EPA, bao nhiêu DHA, điều đó có khác nhau không về những gì hữu ích cho trầm cảm, v.v.? Và thực tế, vấn đề này có khác nhau. Khi xem xét các nghiên cứu về điều này, có vẻ như một mức độ ngưỡng là 300 miligam DHA trở thành một điểm chuyển quan trọng. Vì vậy, thường thì dầu cá hoặc các nguồn omega-3 khác sẽ có DHA và EPA, và thông thường, EPA khó đạt được mức độ đủ, có nghĩa là bạn phải uống khá nhiều dầu cá để vượt qua ngưỡng 1.000 miligam hoặc 2.000 miligam để cải thiện tâm trạng và các chức năng khác. Nhưng vì sự chú ý, có 10 nghiên cứu đã khảo sát điều này một cách chi tiết. Và trong khi thành phần EPA là quan trọng, các nghiên cứu thuyết phục nhất chỉ ra rằng việc có hơn 300 miligam DHA mỗi ngày thực sự là lúc bạn bắt đầu thấy các hiệu ứng tập trung.
    Giờ thì, may mắn thay, nếu bạn nhận được đủ EPA cho tâm trạng và các chức năng sinh học khác, gần như không còn nghi ngờ gì nữa, bạn cũng đang nhận được 300 miligam hoặc hơn DHA. Điều thú vị là có một hợp chất khác, phosphatidylserine, đã được nghiên cứu về khả năng cải thiện các triệu chứng của ADHD. Phosphatidylserine được dùng trong hai tháng với 200 miligam mỗi ngày đã có thể giảm triệu chứng ADHD ở trẻ em. Nó chưa được xem xét ở người lớn, ít nhất là theo những gì tôi biết, nhưng hiệu ứng này đã được tăng cường đáng kể bởi việc tiêu thụ axit béo omega-3. Giờ đây, chúng ta đang bắt đầu thấy các hiệu ứng tương hỗ giữa axit béo omega-3 và phosphatidylserine.
    Vì vậy, tôi muốn nói về thuốc modafinil và thuốc liên quan chặt chẽ là R-modafinil.
    Bởi vì modafinil và R-modafinil đang ngày càng trở nên phổ biến, không chỉ cho việc điều trị ADHD và chứng ngủ rũ, mà còn cho những cộng đồng người đang cố gắng giữ tỉnh táo trong thời gian dài. Nó được sử dụng tích cực trong quân đội bởi các nhân viên cứu hộ. Nó đang dần trở nên phổ biến tại các khuôn viên trường đại học và mọi người ngày càng sử dụng nó như một lựa chọn thay thế cho Adderall và Ritalin cũng như lượng café quá mức. Nó thực sự tăng cường sự tập trung và ở mức độ mạnh mẽ. Tôi muốn nhấn mạnh rằng, khác với Ritalin và Adderall, modafinil và R-modafinil là các chất ức chế tái hấp thu dopamine yếu, và đó là cách chúng dẫn đến sự gia tăng dopamine.
    Bây giờ, bạn có thể nhận thấy rằng tôi chưa nói nhiều về acetylcholine. Acetylcholine là một chất dẫn truyền thần kinh, tại các kết nối từ neuron đến cơ, hay còn gọi là khớp thần kinh cơ, có vai trò trong việc tạo ra sự co cơ của tất cả các loại cho mọi chuyển động. Acetylcholine cũng được giải phóng từ hai vị trí trong não. Có một tập hợp các neuron trong thân não của bạn gửi các tiên lượng về phía trước, giống như một hệ thống tưới nước rất lan tỏa để giải phóng acetylcholine, và những neuron này cư trú trong một khu vực hay cấu trúc được gọi là nhân pedunculopontine, hay PPN.
    Và sau đó có một tập hợp riêng biệt các neuron trong não giữa gọi là nhân basalis, một cái tên không sáng tạo, là nhân ở bề mặt. Chúng cũng cấp acetylcholine cho não, nhưng theo cách có mục tiêu hơn. Một bên giống như một hệ thống tưới nước, và bên kia giống như một vòi phun nước tới một vị trí cụ thể. Và hai nguồn acetylcholine đó hợp tác để kích hoạt những vị trí đặc biệt trong não và thực sự mang lại một mức độ tập trung rất lớn cho bất cứ điều gì đang diễn ra ở những synapse đó.
    Vậy bây giờ bạn đã có một ví dụ và một hiểu biết, và hy vọng có một hình ảnh trong đầu bạn về cách tất cả những điều này hoạt động. Không có gì ngạc nhiên khi những loại thuốc tăng cường truyền dẫn cholinergic hay acetylcholine sẽ tăng cường sự tập trung và nhận thức. Một hợp chất như vậy là alpha-GPC, là một dạng choline và tăng cường truyền dẫn acetylcholine. Liều dùng cao tới 1.200 miligam mỗi ngày, rất cao nếu chia ra. Thông thường, liều dùng từ 300 đến 400 miligam chia ra trong suốt cả ngày. Đã được chứng minh là bù đắp một phần những ảnh hưởng của suy giảm nhận thức liên quan đến tuổi tác, cải thiện chức năng nhận thức cho những người không bị suy giảm nhận thức liên quan đến tuổi tác. Thông thường, khi mọi người sử dụng alpha-GPC để học hoặc để tăng cường việc học bất kỳ loại nào, họ sẽ dùng từ 300 đến 600 miligam. Đó là liều dùng thường gặp. Một lần nữa, bạn phải tham khảo ý kiến bác sĩ của bạn. Bạn phải quyết định xem các khoảng an toàn có phù hợp với bạn không.
    Và có một số hợp chất không kê đơn đang được sử dụng tích cực để điều trị ADHD và đơn giản chỉ để cố gắng cải thiện sự tập trung. L-tyrosine, là một axit amin hoạt động như một tiền chất cho chất điều chỉnh thần kinh dopamine. Việc điều chỉnh liều lượng có thể rất khó khăn. Đôi khi nó làm cho mọi người cảm thấy quá hưng phấn hoặc quá hồi hộp hoặc quá tỉnh táo đến mức họ không thể tập trung tốt. Vì vậy, phạm vi liều rất lớn. Bạn thấy bằng chứng cho 100 miligam cho đến 1.200 miligam. Đây là điều mà thực sự nên được tiếp cận với sự thận trọng, đặc biệt đối với những người có bất kỳ loại rối loạn tâm lý hoặc rối loạn tâm trạng nào, bởi vì sự mất cân bằng của hệ thống dopamine là trung tâm của nhiều rối loạn tâm trạng, chẳng hạn như trầm cảm, nhưng cũng đặc biệt là cơn hưng cảm, rối loạn lưỡng cực, tâm thần phân liệt, và những thứ tương tự.
    Vì vậy, đó là điều mà thực sự nên được tiếp cận với sự thận trọng. Mọi người ngày nay dường như đều có smartphone. Chúng hoàn toàn thu hút sự chú ý của chúng ta, nhưng trong cái hộp nhỏ đó của sự chú ý, có hàng triệu cửa sổ sự chú ý đang cuộn qua, đúng không? Vì vậy, chỉ vì đó là một thiết bị mà chúng ta nhìn vào không có nghĩa là chúng ta đang tập trung. Chúng ta đang tập trung vào điện thoại của mình, nhưng vì cách mà các ngữ cảnh chuyển đổi quá nhanh trong điện thoại, người ta cho rằng não bộ hiện đang gặp khó khăn khi rời khỏi sự chuyển giao ngữ cảnh nhanh chóng đó. Mặc dù có hàng triệu, số lượng vô hạn các thông tin trong thế giới vật chất thực tế, cửa sổ sự chú ý của bạn, cái lỗ hổng thu hẹp và giãn nở đó là cách mà bạn đối phó với tất cả những thông tin áp đảo đó trong các trường hợp thông thường.
    Vâng, trong điện thoại, lỗ hổng thị giác của bạn được thiết lập ở một độ rộng nhất định và bên trong đó, cửa sổ sự chú ý của bạn đang bắt lấy một số lượng gần như vô hạn các mảnh thông tin, màu sắc, video. Và câu hỏi là, liệu sự tương tác như vậy một cách thường xuyên có dẫn đến sự thiếu hụt trong các loại sự chú ý mà chúng ta cần để làm tốt trong công việc, trường học, mối quan hệ, v.v.? Và câu trả lời ngắn gọn là có, chúng ta đang gây ra một loại ADHD. Tôi không ở đây để chỉ cho bạn phải làm gì, nhưng tôi nghĩ rằng bất kể bạn có ADHD hay không, nếu bạn là một thanh thiếu niên, hạn chế việc sử dụng smartphone của bạn xuống 60 phút mỗi ngày hoặc ít hơn, và nếu bạn là một người lớn, thì hai giờ mỗi ngày hoặc ít hơn, sẽ là một trong những cách tốt nhất để duy trì khả năng tập trung của bạn ở bất kỳ mức độ nào mà bạn có thể bây giờ.
    Và như tôi thường nói, hầu hết những điều mà chúng ta được công nhận trong cuộc sống, thành công trong cuộc sống, trong mọi nỗ lực, bất kể đó là trường học, mối quan hệ, thể thao, hay những công việc sáng tạo nào, đều luôn tỷ lệ thuận với mức độ tập trung mà chúng ta mang lại cho hoạt động đó. Và tôi để lại với bạn những điều này về sự chú ý và cách mà điện thoại di động đang làm giảm khả năng chú ý của chúng ta. Nếu không, tôi đã đề cập rất nhiều thông tin về ADHD và sinh học của sự tập trung cũng như cách cải thiện khả năng tập trung. Chúng ta đã nói về các kiểu hình hành vi và tâm lý của ADHD. Chúng ta đã nói về mạch thần kinh cơ bản.
    Chúng tôi cũng đã nói về hóa sinh thần kinh và các phương pháp điều trị bằng thuốc kê đơn nhằm vào hóa sinh thần kinh đó, nhằm tăng cường khả năng tập trung ở trẻ em và người lớn mắc ADHD. Chúng tôi đã nói về hóa sinh thần kinh và ADHD. Chúng tôi đã nói về hóa sinh thần kinh của ADHD. Chúng tôi đã nói về hóa sinh thần kinh của ADHD. Chúng tôi đã nói về hóa sinh thần kinh của ADHD. Chúng tôi đã nói về hóa sinh thần kinh của ADHD. Chúng tôi đã nói về hóa sinh thần kinh của ADHD. Chúng tôi đã nói về hóa sinh thần kinh của ADHD. Chúng tôi đã nói về hóa sinh thần kinh của ADHD. Chúng tôi đã nói về hóa sinh thần kinh của ADHD.
    – 歡迎來到 Huberman Lab Essentials,
    在這裡我們重溫過去的集數,
    尋找最有力且可行的基於科學的心理健康、身體健康和表現工具。
    我是安德魯·霍伯曼,
    我是斯坦福醫學院神經生物學和眼科的教授。
    今天,我們將討論
    注意力缺陷多動症,或稱為 ADHD。
    現在,簡單提醒一下,
    每當我們討論精神疾病的時候,
    重要的是要記住
    我們都有自我診斷
    或診斷他人的誘惑。
    ADHD的明確和真實診斷
    應由精神科醫生、
    醫生或受過訓練的臨床心理學家來進行。
    目前的估算顯示
    大約十分之一的兒童,可能更多,患有ADHD。
    幸運的是,其中約一半會在
    接受適當治療後得到緩解,
    但另一半往往不會。
    我們現在看到的另一個現象是
    成人中ADHD的發病率增高。
    就今天的討論而言,
    注意力,集中和專注
    本質上是同一件事。
    因此,患有ADHD的人難以保持注意力。
    什麼是注意力?
    什麼是注意力?
    好吧,注意力就是感知。
    它是我們如何感知感官世界的方式。
    例如,現在你正在聽聲波,
    你正在看東西,你正在感受皮膚上的觸覺,
    但你只是在注意其中一些。
    你注意到的那些就是你的感知。
    所以如果你聽到我的聲音,你就是在感知我的聲音。
    此時此刻,你沒有在注意其他感官。
    你甚至可能正處於微風之中。
    直到我說這句話之前,你可能沒有感知到那股微風,
    但你的身體一直在感知它。
    因此,注意力和專注在某種程度上是相同的,
    但衝動控制則是另一回事,
    因為衝動控制需要排除
    或對我們環境中的感官事件進行篩選。
    這意味著缺乏感知。
    衝動控制是限制我們感知的能力。
    患有ADHD的人注意力差,
    同時衝動性高。
    是的,他們容易分心。
    是的,他們衝動。
    是的,他們容易對房間裡發生的事感到煩惱。
    有時他們情緒波動也相當大。
    不過,ADHD患者可以有超強的專注力,
    對他們真正喜歡或感興趣的事物
    有著令人驚訝的專注能力。
    這是一個非常重要的觀點,
    因為ADHD患者有能力集中注意力,
    但他們無法將這種注意力投入到
    他們不真的想做的事情上。
    還有另外幾點
    ADHD患者經常表現出來的特徵。
    其中一個是時間感知的挑戰。
    ADHD患者通常遲到。
    他們經常拖延,
    但有趣和令人驚訝的是,
    如果給他們一個截止日期,
    他們實際上能很好地感知時間。
    如果不完成某項任務或不參加的後果足夠嚴重,
    他們通常能很好集中注意力。
    如果他們對截止日期或後果並不特別關心,
    那麼他們往往會失去對時間的把握,
    並且通常低估完成任務所需的時間。
    ADHD患者在所謂的工作記憶上有真正的困難。
    你可能會想,ADHD患者的記憶力一定非常差,
    但事實上並非如此。
    ADHD患者往往對過去事件的記憶非常好。
    他們能夠很好地記住即將發生的事件。
    他們的記憶顯然在運作。
    然而,特別在工作記憶方面,
    往往會受到干擾。
    工作記憶是指在短期內保持特定信息的能力,
    在你的大腦中反覆回收這些信息,
    以便你能在立即或短期內使用它。
    一個好的例子就是你遇到某個人,
    他告訴你他的名字,口頭上給你他的電話號碼,
    然後你需要走回你的手機並將其輸入。
    沒有ADHD的人可能需要投入一些努力。
    這可能會感覺到有些掙扎,
    但通常他們能夠在腦中反覆背誦那個電話號碼,
    然後將其輸入手機。
    ADHD患者往往會失去記住信息的能力,
    或者缺乏能力去記住他們需要保持在線上的事情,持續10秒到一兩分鐘的時間。
    好吧,總的來說,我們已經基本建立了ADHD患者通常表現出的一類特徵。
    有些人有所有這些特徵,
    有些人只有部分特徵。
    其嚴重程度從非常強烈到輕微不一而足,
    但一般來說,都是注意力和專注的困難,衝動控制的挑戰。
    他們容易煩惱。
    他們有某種衝動性。
    他們無法保持專注於任務。
    時間感知可能會出現問題。
    他們難以應對任何乏味的事情,特別是不感興趣的事情。
    但再次強調,ADHD患者能夠在他們感興趣且想要參與的事物上獲得增強的專注力,
    甚至是超強的專注力。
    我想稍作休息,感謝我們的贊助商 Eight Sleep。
    Eight Sleep 生產具有冷卻、加熱和睡眠追踪能力的智能床墊套。
    確保良好睡眠的最佳方法之一
    就是確保你的睡眠環境的溫度合適。
    因為為了深度入睡和保持深度睡眠,
    你的體溫實際上必須下降約一到三度。
    而為了醒來時感到精神煥發、充滿活力,
    你的體溫實際上需要上升約一到三度。
    Eight Sleep 自動根據你的特定需要調節整晚床墊的溫度。
    我在Eight Sleep的床墊覆蓋上睡了超過四年,這完全改變並改善了我的睡眠品質。Eight Sleep最近推出了他們的最新款型Pod 5,Pod 5有幾個新的重要功能。其中一個新功能叫做自動駕駛(Autopilot)。自動駕駛是一個AI引擎,它學習你的睡眠模式,調整你睡眠環境的溫度,以適應不同的睡眠階段。如果你在打呼,它還會抬高你的頭部,並進行其他調整以優化你的睡眠。Pod 5的低音系統同時內建了揚聲器,可以與Eight Sleep應用程式同步,播放音頻以幫助放鬆和恢復。音頻目錄包括幾篇NSDR(非睡眠深度休息)腳本,我與Eight Sleep合作錄製的。NSDR可以幫助抵消輕微睡眠不足的一些負面影響,並且如果您夜間醒來,NSDR能幫助您更快地再次入睡。這是一個極其強大的工具,任何人第一次使用和每次使用時都能受益。如果你想試試Eight Sleep,請訪問eightsleep.com/Huberman以獲得新Pod 5高達350美元的折扣。Eight Sleep運送到包括墨西哥和阿聯酋在內的許多國家。再次強調,那是eightsleep.com/Huberman,以享受高達350美元的優惠。
    那麼,讓我們深入探討一下為什麼有ADHD的人可以非常專注於他們喜歡和好奇的事物。享受和好奇心,這只是我們描述人類對喜歡事物的情感,想要了解更多的方式。但從神經生物學的角度來看,它們有非常明確的身份和特徵,那就是多巴胺。多巴胺是來自神經元的物質。我們稱之為神經調節劑。特別地,多巴胺能夠創造一種高度專注的狀態。它會縮小我們的視覺世界,讓我們更專注於那些位於我們皮膚之外的事物。我們稱之為外感知(exteroception)。正如我之前提到的,所有這些感官都進入了我們的腦中,而我們只能感知其中的一部分,因為我們只對某些感官有所關注。當多巴胺在我們的大腦中釋放時,它往往會啟動那些收窄我們視覺焦點和聽覺焦點的大腦區域。這樣它就形成了一個非常狹窄的聽覺注意力圓錐。當我們多巴胺較少時,我們則往往能看到整個世界,能看到我們所處場景的整個畫面,並能同時聽到一切。因此,當我描述這些時,希望你開始逐漸理解多巴胺的釋放如何使一個人(無論他們是否有ADHD)能夠將注意力引導到周圍的特定事物。
    現在,我們正在將注意力從一種模糊的、模糊的術語中轉移出去,並為其賦予一個神經化學身份,多巴胺。我們給它賦予了一個神經回路身份。為了增加一點風味和細節,我想討論多巴胺通常增強的兩種一般性神經回路。第一種被稱為默認模式網路(default mode network)。默認模式網路是我們的大腦中,在我們閒置、靜止不動時活動的腦區網路。另一組與ADHD相關的回路是任務網路,這些腦區使你變得有目標導向。這是一組完全不同的腦區。然而,默認模式網路和這些任務網路是相互交流的,並以非常有趣的方式進行交流。前額葉皮層(frontal cortex)位於前方,還有一個背側(dorsal)、上側及側邊的部分,稱為背外側前額葉皮層(dorsolateral prefrontal cortex)。然後是一個叫做後扣帶皮層(posterior cingulate cortex)的腦區,還有一個稱為外側頂葉(lateral parietal lobe)的區域。同樣,你不需要記住這些名字,但這三個腦區會在活動中正常同步。因此,在一般人中,當這些區域中的一個活動時,其他區域也會活躍。而對於有ADHD的人,甚至那些有亞臨床ADHD的人,或者任何一個睡眠不佳的人,你會發現默認模式網路並不同步。這些腦區只是不能很好地協同工作。
    現在,任務網路包括一組不同的結構。它仍然涉及前額葉皮層,但這是前額葉皮層中的另一部分。通常是內側前額葉皮層(medial prefrontal cortex),而內側前額葉皮層也會不斷與其他腦區通信,主要是為了抑制衝動。每當你在限制自己的行為時,這些以任務為導向的網路就會非常活躍。通常,對於沒有ADHD的人,任務網路和默認模式網路在某種程度上呈現搖擺的方式。它們其實是我們稱之為反相關(anti-correlated)的。然而,在有ADHD的人中,它們實際上往往更具相關性。默認模式網路和任務網路更具協調性。基於腦部成像研究,我們現在可以有信心地說,當某人在ADHD治療上有所改善,或隨著年齡增長而減輕ADHD症狀(有時會發生的情況),默認模式網路和任務網路往往會再次變成反相關模式。在這種情況下,多巴胺的作用就像是一位指揮者。多巴胺在說,這個回路應該活躍,然後那個回路也應該活躍。應該是默認模式網路,然後在默認模式網路不活躍時,就應該是任務網路。
    在注意力不足過動症(ADHD)中,與多巴胺系統有關的一些情況,使得它無法有效地運作這些神經網絡,確保它們保持不相干的相位。那麼,在患有ADHD的人中,多巴胺系統究竟發生了什麼?而在任何任務中擁有超高注意力的人,這個多巴胺系統又是什麼樣的情況呢?在2015年,發表了一篇重要的論文,正式提出了所謂的ADHD低多巴胺假說。研究顯示,如果大腦某些特定迴路中的多巴胺水平過低,會導致大腦中與所做的任務無關的神經元不必要地發火,這些神經元也與個人試著集中注意的資訊無關。因此,如果回想之前,您會發現有一個默認模式網絡和一個任務相關網絡,它們需要保持某種反相關的協調,而在ADHD中,它們卻是同時發火。
    問題似乎在於當多巴胺水平低時,這些控制注意力的網絡中的神經元發火頻率超過應有的水平。這就是所謂的低多巴胺假說。如果從經驗上看看ADHD患者幾十年來的行為,會發現他們往往會使用娛樂性毒品,或傾向於沉迷於非藥物刺激物。比如吸煙半包香煙和每天喝四杯咖啡,或如果有機會,使用可卡因作為娛樂性毒品,或安非他命作為娛樂性毒品。我所描述的所有物質,尤其是可卡因和安非他命,還有咖啡和香煙,都能增加多種神經傳遞物質的水平,但都具有增加大腦中多巴胺水平的特質,特別是在調節注意力以及默認模式網絡和任務相關網絡的腦區。
    現在,小孩子們通常不會接觸這些刺激物。但如果你觀察患有ADHD的孩子,即使是非常年幼的孩子,他們會顯示出偏好含糖食品的情況,這些食品也能作為誘導多巴胺釋放的刺激物。長期以來,人們認為患有ADHD的孩子消耗過多的含糖食品或喝了太多的碳酸飲料,或ADHD的成年人會濫用如甲基苯丙胺或可卡因這類娛樂性毒品,或會過度飲用咖啡或抽煙,這是因為他們的注意力不足、做決定能力差、衝動等等。
    而如今我們知道,適當的多巴胺水平對於協調這些神經迴路(使其能夠集中注意和做出高質量的決策)是必需的。一個同樣有效的想法是,這些孩子和成人實際上是在藉由追求這些物質來自我療癒,對吧?像可卡因這樣的物質會導致多巴胺水平劇增。那麼,當一個ADHD患者服用這種藥物時會怎樣呢?研究發現,他們的專注程度實際上會提高。他們的注意力不僅能集中在那些自己非常關心的事情上,也會有所上升。同樣地,消耗任何能增加他們多巴胺水平的物質的ADHD孩童,往往會變得較為平靜,能夠更好地集中注意力。因此,顯然在ADHD患者中,低多巴胺水平是有問題的。這一多巴胺假說導致了這樣的觀念:治療ADHD患者(無論是孩子還是成人)時使用多巴胺能影響劑會以某種方式提高他們的專注能力。
    如果你看看藥品公司開發並現在市場上出售的主流ADHD治療藥物,會發現這些藥物的名稱如利他林(Ritalin)。如今,通常是在像阿多拉(Adderall)、莫達非尼爾(Modafinil)及其他一些衍生藥物。這些藥物的主要功能是增加多巴胺水平,特別是在控制任務導向行為的網絡中,並且協調默認模式網絡和這些任務相關網絡。
    讓我們稍微退一步,問一下,這些藥物到底是什麼?我們知道它們會增加多巴胺,但其實質是什麼呢?利他林,又稱為甲基苯丙胺,與安非他命(speed)非常相似,或者在街頭毒品術語中通常稱為speed。阿多拉實際上是安非他命和右旋安非他命的混合物。現在,或許你中間的一些人知道這一點,阿多拉就是安非他命,但我猜有不少人,甚至是家長和孩子,並未意識到這些藥物如可卡因和安非他命、甲基苯丙胺等是極其危險且極易上癮並有著高濫用潛力的物質。那麼,這些藥物的藥用版本正是用於治療ADHD的藥物,它們並不完全像可卡因或甲基苯丙胺,但它們的結構和化學性質非常相似,它們在大腦和身體中的最終效果基本上相同,主要是增加多巴胺水平,但也增加一種叫做腎上腺素或去甲腎上腺素的神經調節劑的水平,這些名稱是相同的。
    所以我實際上在說的是,用於治療ADHD的藥物是刺激劑,它們的外觀非常類似,實際上幾乎與我們所聽到的那些可怕的街頭毒品刺激劑是相同的。然而,我想強調的是,在適當劑量並且與合格的精神科醫生、神經科醫生或家庭醫生合作時,由受過專業資格認證的醫生開出的這些藥物,對許多ADHD患者來說,能夠取得良好的療效。不是所有人都能,但許多人能,尤其是如果這些治療是在生命的早期開始的時候。我想快速休息一下,感謝我們的贊助商Juve。Juve製造醫療級紅光療法設備。
    現在,如果這個播客中有一件我不斷強調的事情,那就是光對我們生物學的驚人影響。
    除了陽光外,紅光和近紅外光已被證明對改善細胞和器官健康的許多方面有積極影響,
    包括更快的肌肉恢復、改善皮膚健康、傷口癒合和改善痤瘡,
    即減少痤瘡、減輕疼痛和炎症、改善線粒體功能,甚至改善視力功能本身。
    使Juve燈具與眾不同的原因,以及為什麼它們是我首選的紅光療法設備,是因為它們使用臨床證實的波長,
    意味著特定的紅光和近紅外光波長,以特定的組合觸發最佳的細胞適應。
    就我個人而言,我每周使用Juve全身面板大約三到四次,通常是在早上,
    但有時在下午,我在家和旅行時都會使用Juve手持燈。
    如果您想嘗試Juve,您可以訪問Juve網站,拼寫為J-O-O-V-V.com斜線Huberman。
    Juve正為所有Huberman Lab的聽眾提供獨家的折扣,選定的Juve產品最高可減免400美元。
    再一次,請訪問Juve網站,J-O-O-V-V.com斜線Huberman,享受最高400美元的折扣。
    那麼,既然知道了這些藥物是什麼,我想提出一個問題,為什麼會開這些藥物呢?
    兒童的大腦非常具可塑性,這意味著它能夠迅速重塑自己並根據經驗變化,這一點相比成人要快得多。
    當一個被診斷為ADHD的孩子服用興奮劑時,可以讓他們的前額葉與任務相關的網絡啟動,
    在適當的時候活躍。由於這些孩子年紀尚小,這使他們能夠學習什麼是專注,並在某種程度上跟隨或進入那個專注的隧道。
    那麼,通過服用藥物,它就人工地創造了專注。
    它並不是因為他們對某事非常感興趣而產生專注,而是通過化學方式誘導專注的狀態。
    說實話,很多童年和學校生活以及成為功能性成人的過程,都是在學習如何專注,即使你不想做某件事。
    那麼,我們應該如何看待這整個情況?我們需要更多的多巴胺,而這些ADHD的孩子卻是通過藥物獲得多巴胺,這毫無疑問就是安非他命。
    長期和短期的後果是什麼?
    好吧,為了找到一些答案,我去了一位同事的那裡,他是一位專門治療各年齡段癲癇和ADHD的兒科神經學家,年齡範圍從三歲到21歲。
    我問了以下問題。
    首先,我問你對給年幼的孩子服用安非他命有什麼看法?
    在使用最低可能劑量並隨著他們年齡增長和集中力發展而調整劑量的情況下,他們的觀察是,他們看到更多的孩子從中受益,而不是沒有受益。
    現在,這位我現在的朋友和同事在大腦運作方面擁有如此多的專業知識,並考慮讓自己的孩子服用這種藥物,
    我問他,你為什麼不等你孩子進入青春期再說呢?
    我想,我們都知道,在男孩和女孩身上,在青春期期間,睾酮和雌激素的增加會徹底改變身體的外觀,
    但也會徹底改變大腦的功能。
    特別是,我們知道,青春期觸發了所謂的額顳任務相關執行功能的激活。
    這只是專業術語,用於描述能夠專注、能夠引導注意力、能夠控制衝動的能力。
    而他們的回答非常具體,我認為非常重要。
    他們說,神經可塑性在童年期最為顯著,並在25歲左右逐漸減弱,但從3歲到12或13歲的神經可塑性是非常高的。
    如果你有機會與優質醫生合作並及早治療這些問題,
    這些藥物可以使這些額前回路、這些任務相關回路,
    達到適當的功能水平,讓孩子們在各種不同的情境中學會如何專注。
    所以我們討論了專注的神經回路和專注的化學物質,
    但我們尚未談論什麼使我們更擅長專注,以及專注得更好究竟是什麼。
    所以讓我們退一步,想一想我們如何專注以及如何提高專注力。
    我將與您分享一種工具,這種工具擁有優秀的研究數據,能夠在單次會話中理論上永遠增強您的專注能力。
    我們接下來要談的是注意力何時發揮作用,何時又會薄弱。
    我們具體要談論的是所謂的注意力閃光,而不是實際的眼睜目閉。
    如果你想到一個找瓦爾多的任務,就會很容易理解注意力閃光。
    你知道這個任務,找瓦爾多,裡面有一堆人物和物體在圖片中,
    在某處有瓦爾多,戴著條紋帽子和眼鏡,還有些瘦瘦的,
    你必須找到瓦爾多。這是一個視覺搜索,搜索一個具有明顯特徵的物體,
    但它嵌入在其他物體的海洋中,這些物體很容易與瓦爾多混淆。
    所以你通常會不斷地看、看、看、看、看、看、看、看。
    當你找到瓦爾多,或者當你在某個其他視覺搜索任務中搜索目標時,
    在那一刻,你的神經系統會稍微慶祝一下,
    並通過釋放神經化學物質讓你感覺良好。
    你找到了,然後你暫停了。
    現在,這個暫停很有趣,因為根據許多實驗,我們知道在那段暫停和輕微慶祝的時刻,無論多微妙,
    你無法看到另一個緊挨著它的瓦爾多。
    這句話的意思是在關注某件事、尋找和識別視覺目標的過程中,您的注意力閃烁了。它在瞬間關閉了。如果您看到了您正在尋找的東西,或者對某件事非常感興趣,您肯定會錯過其他信息,部分原因是您過於集中於某件事。這引發了一個非常有趣的假設,關於多動症(ADHD)可能出現的問題,因為我們一直認為他們無法集中注意力,但我們知道他們可以專注於自己非常關心的事物。那麼,也許,正是因為他們經歷了比沒有 ADHD 的人更多的注意力閃烁。而事實上,現在有數據支持這種可能性的存在。那麼他們真正需要的就是我們所稱之為的開放監控這一特性。
    首先,您的視覺系統有兩種處理模式。它可以高度專注,像飲料吸管一樣的視角。然而,您的視覺系統還有一種特性,可以擴大您的視野,進入一種所謂的全景視野。全景視野實際上是由一組獨立的神經回路或通路從眼睛到大腦進行調節的。這是一條不僅僅是廣角視圖的通路,它在時間處理上也更為出色。它的幀速率更高。您可以利用全景視野來訪問我們稱之為開放監控的狀態。當人們這樣做時,他們能夠同時關注和識別多個目標。因此,這是一個可以鍛煉的技能,無論他們是否有 ADHD,都可以進行練習。這需要學習如何意識地擴大您的視野。這對大多數人來說其實是相當容易的。您可以有意識地進入開放的視野,然後您也可以收縮您的視野範圍。這看起來可能並不是一個重大的或不尋常的練習,或許沒什麼影響。但值得注意的是,僅僅這樣做一次,持續 17 分鐘,就顯著減少了人們的注意力閃烁次數。換句話說,他們的專注力在幾乎永久的方式中有所改善,沒有任何額外的訓練。
    現在來談談實際的眨眼,您用眼瞼進行的那種。信不信由您,您的時間感知在瞬間的基礎上,也會因為您眨眼的頻率而改變。我想特別強調一項研究,它的標題非常恰當,叫做《自發眨眼後時間延長》。他們研究了時間波動與眨眼之間的關係。長話短說,他們發現,正當眨眼後,我們的時間感知會重置。現在有趣的是,您會立刻明白這為什麼重要,因為眨眼的頻率是由多巴胺控制的。那麼這意味著多巴胺在控制注意力,眨眼與注意力和專注力有關,因此,多巴胺和眨眼系統是一種不斷調整和更新您時間感知的方式。幸運的是,這也是您可以控制的。
    這項研究的基本要點是,眨眼控制時間感知,同時多巴胺的水平可以改變您的時間感,而要與我保持一致的是,眨眼和多巴胺是密切相關的。它們共同作用以控制您的注意力。讓我們回想一下本集的開頭,ADHD患者的情況。他們不擅長管理自己的時間。他們往往會遲到或無法組織。它們的多巴胺水平偏低。我們也知道這一點。因此,他們低估了時間間隔。因此他們遲到是合情合理的。他們失去時間觀念或專注能力也有其道理。這是非常激動人心的,因為這意味著 ADHD 兒童、ADHD 成人,或希望提高專注能力的正常人,都可以通過訓練來學習眨眼的頻率以及何時眨眼,並且如何將視覺焦點集中在特定目標上。
    而且事實上,這項研究已經完成,題為《透過聚焦訓練活動改善小學生注意力》。我不會詳細介紹所有細節,但他們發現,短時間專注於視覺目標讓這些學生極大地提高了對其他類型信息的專注能力。而其效果的一個重要組成部分是由於他們控制眼瞼(眼睛的快門),以及控制眨眼的方式。因此,在這項研究中,他們讓這些孩子的視覺注意力集中在某個相對靠近的物體上,比如他們的手,大約持續一分鐘,這其實需要一些努力。如果您嘗試這樣做的話。他們被允許眨眼。每天這樣做只需要幾分鐘,某些情況下可能只需要 30 秒,或許一分鐘,然後在另一個環節中,觀看稍微遠一些的物體。然而,這項研究有一個重要特點,值得一提的是,在他們進行這一視覺焦點任務或訓練之前,他們與孩子們進行了一系列的身體活動,這樣孩子們可以消耗或釋放一部分想要活動的慾望,從而增強他們靜坐的能力。現在這是一個足以讓人理解的道理,眼睛前面的這些快門並不僅僅是為了眨眼,也不是僅僅為了美容。
    他們的作用是調節進入你的神經系統的資訊量,並調節你向神經系統引入資訊的持續時間,以及以何種方式進行資訊針對性地收集。你眨眼的頻率會決定你如何精確或廣泛地將時間進行分組,而通過視覺世界吸引注意力的方式則取決於你是否具體觀察事物,比如像十字準線或通過這樣的蘇打吸管的視角,或者你是否處於全景環境模式中。
    我想快速休息一下,並感謝我們的贊助商 AG1。AG1 是一種包含維生素、礦物質和益生菌的飲品,還包含益生元和適應原。作為一名參與研究科學近三十年並在健康和健身領域同樣長期事業的人,我不斷尋找改善我的心理健康、身體健康和表現的最佳工具。我在 2012 年發現了 AG1,那時我還沒有播客,並且自那以來我每天都在服用。我發現它改善了我健康的各個方面,包括我的能量、專注力,每當我服用它時,我的感覺都好多了。AG1 使用最高質量的成分以正確的組合,他們不斷改善配方而不增加成本。事實上,AG1 剛剛推出了最新的配方升級。這款新一代配方基於對益生菌對腸道微生物組影響的振奮人心的新研究,現在包含幾種經過臨床研究的益生菌菌株,證明能支持消化健康和免疫系統健康,並改善腸道規律性和減少腹脹。
    每當我被問到如果只能服用一種補充劑,那會是什麼時候,我總是回答 AG1。如果你想嘗試 AG1,可以訪問 drinkag1.com slash Huberman。在有限的時間內,AG1 正在贈送一個免費的一個月供應的 omega-3 魚油,還有一瓶維他命 D3 加 K2。就像我在這個播客中之前強調的,omega-3 魚油和維他命 D3 K2 已被證明能對情緒、大腦健康、心臟健康、荷爾蒙狀態等多個方面有幫助。再次強調,請訪問 drinkag1.com slash Huberman,獲得免費的一個月的 omega-3 魚油,加上你的訂閱還會附贈一瓶維他命 D3 加 K2。
    現在我想回到討論一些通常用於訪問這些系統的藥物,處方藥的話題,並想談談一些新興的非處方方法,通過使用各種補充劑類化合物來提高大腦中多巴胺、乙醯膽鹼和血清素的水平,因為其中幾種在優秀的同行評審研究中顯示了相當卓越的功效。所以在轉向一些新的典型化合物和販售的非處方藥之前,我想簡短回顧一下用於治療 ADHD 的經典藥物。這些是我之前提到的,甲基苯丙胺(又名利他林)、莫達非尼爾(modafinil)、阿莫達非尼爾(armodafinil)和阿德拉爾(Adderall)。再一次,所有這些藥物都是通過增加多巴胺和去甲腎上腺素的水平來發揮作用。我認為理解它們都以多或少相同的副作用是很重要的,比如對成癮和濫用的高傾向。任何類型的安非他命以及可卡因可能引起性方面的副作用,因為它們是血管收縮劑。因此,這些藥物並非沒有其後果。此外,幾乎所有這些藥物都有心臟效應,對吧?它們增加心率,但也對血管、動脈和靜脈的收縮有影響,可能造成心血管問題。像 Adderall、莫達非尼爾、阿莫達非尼爾以及利他林這些藥物的最佳使用方式,是將這些治療與行為練習結合起來,積極地啟動你試圖訓練和增強的那些回路。然後,也許,我想著重強調,可能需要漸減這些藥物,以便能在不需要化學介入的情況下使用這些回路。因此,儘管外面可能有任何爭議,我認為可以公平地說,攝取 omega-3 脂肪酸能正面調節注意和專注的系統。
    那麼問題就是,多少 EPA,多少 DHA,對抑鬱等方面有所不同嗎?其實確實有所不同。在回顧相關研究時,300 毫克 DHA 的閾值成本似乎是個重要的轉折點。因此,通常魚油或其他 omega-3 的來源會有 DHA 和 EPA,通常,EPA 更難以獲得到足夠的水平,這意味著你必須服用相當多的魚油才能超過 1000 毫克或 2000 毫克的閾值,以改善情緒和其他功能。但就注意力而言,有 10 項研究詳細探討了這一點。儘管 EPA 成分很重要,但最具說服力的研究指向事實,即每天攝取超過 300 毫克的 DHA 時,注意力效果會顯著出現。現在,幸運的是,如果你獲取了足夠的 EPA 以改善情緒和其他生物功能,幾乎不需要懷疑的是你會獲得 300 毫克或更多的 DHA。值得注意的是,還有另一種化合物,稱為磷脂酰絲氨酸(phosphatidylserine),被探討其改善 ADHD 症狀的能力。每日攝取 200 毫克的磷脂酰絲氨酸長達兩個月能減少兒童 ADHD 的症狀。至於成人,我知道的至少尚未進行相關研究,但當攝取 omega-3 脂肪酸的時候,這一效果有顯著的增強。因此,我們現在開始看到 omega-3 脂肪酸與磷脂酰絲氨酸的協同效應。
    我想討論藥物莫達非尼爾和密切相關的藥物 R-莫達非尼爾(A-R-modafinil)。
    由於莫達非尼(modafinil)和R-莫達非尼(R-modafinil)在外界的知名度逐漸增長,無論是用於治療注意力不足過動症(ADHD)和嗜睡症(narcolepsy),還是用於試圖保持長時間清醒的人群中。這類藥物在軍方和急救人員中被廣泛使用,在大學校園中也越來越受歡迎,人們愈來愈多地將其作為阿德拉爾(Adderall)、瑞達林(Ritalin)和過量咖啡的替代品。這確實能極大地提高專注力。我想強調的是,與瑞達林和阿德拉爾不同,莫達非尼和R-莫達非尼是弱多巴胺再回收抑制劑,這也是它們促進多巴胺增長的機制。
    現在,你可能注意到我沒有多談乙醯膽鹼。乙醯膽鹼是一種神經傳遞物質,在神經元與肌肉的連接,即所謂的神經肌肉接點中,涉及到各種運動的肌肉收縮。乙醯膽鹼還會從大腦的兩個部位釋放出來。你的腦幹中有一組神經元,向前發出投射,像是一個非常擴散的噴水系統來釋放乙醯膽鹼,這些神經元位於一個叫做腳腦核(pedunculopontine nucleus, PPN)的區域或結構中。而另一組神經元位於基底前腦中,簡單地稱為基底核(nucleus basalis),這些神經元也會以更特定的方式向大腦釋放乙醯膽鹼。所以,一個像噴水系統,另一個則更像是對特定位置的消防水帶。這兩個乙醯膽鹼的來源協同工作,激活大腦中特定的部位,真正帶來對那些特定突觸發生的事情的極大專注。
    因此,現在你有了一個例子,並且對這一切的運作有了一定的理解,希望在你的腦海中有一幅畫面。不足為奇的是,增加膽鹼能或乙醯膽鹼傳遞的藥物會提高專注力和認知能力。其中一種化合物是所謂的α-GPC,這是一種膽鹼的形式,能增強乙醯膽鹼的傳遞。每日劑量高達1200毫克,這是一個非常高的劑量,通常在一天內分散攝取300或400毫克的劑量,被證明能抵消某些與年齡有關的認知衰退的影響,改善在不受年齡相關認知衰退影響下個體的認知功能。通常當人們使用α-GPC來學習或增強學習能力時,他們的劑量會在300到600毫克之間。這是更典型的劑量。同樣,你必須向醫生詢問,決定安全邊際是否適合你。
    市面上還有一些在使用中的非處方化合物,用於治療注意力不足過動症或僅僅是為了改善專注力。L-酪氨酸(L-tyrosine)是一種氨基酸,作為神經調節物質多巴胺的前體。劑量的調整可能非常棘手,有時它會讓人感到過於愉悅、過於不安或過於清醒,以至於無法有效專注。因此,劑量範圍很大,你會看到有100毫克至1200毫克的證據。這需要非常謹慎,特別是對於有任何潛在精神或情緒障礙的人,因為多巴胺系統的失調是許多情緒障礙(如抑鬱症、特別是躁鬱症、精神分裂症等)的核心。因此,這應該非常謹慎地對待。
    如今,每個人似乎都有一部智能手機。它們完全捕捉了我們的注意力,但在那小小的注意力框架內,卻有數以百萬計的注意窗口在滾動。所以,僅僅因為我們正在看一個設備,並不意味著我們正在專注。我們專注於手機,但由於在手機上上下文轉換的速度非常快,人們認為大腦現在正在苦苦掙扎,無法擺脫那快速變化的上下文。即使現實世界中有著數以萬億計的信息,你的注意窗口,即收縮和擴張的視覺窗口,通常是應對所有這些壓倒性信息的方式。
    好吧,在手機內,你的視覺孔徑被設定為一定的寬度,而在其中,你的注意窗口則獲取了近乎無限的資訊、顏色、影片。因此,問題是,這種經常性的互動是否會導致在工作、學校、人際關係等方面表現良好所需的注意力類型的缺失?簡單的回答是:是的,我們正在引發一種ADHD。我不是來告訴你該怎麼做的,但我認為無論你是否有ADHD,如果你是一名青少年,將智能手機使用限制在每天60分鐘或更少的時間裡;如果你是成人,則應限制在每天兩小時或更少的時間,這將是保持你目前能專注的最佳方法之一。
    正如我所說,我們在生活中的成功,無論是學校、人際關係、運動,還是任何創造性的工作,總是與我們能在那項活動中投入的專注量成正比。最後,我想讓大家深思的是,手機確實在侵蝕我們的專注能力。除此之外,我還涵蓋了大量關於ADHD及其背後的專注生物學,以及如何提高專注力的信息。我們談論了ADHD的行為和心理表型,還談到了其背後的神經電路。
    我們也談到了神經化學,並討論了針對該神經化學的各種處方藥療法,旨在提高兒童和成年人注意力缺陷過動症(ADHD)的集中力。我們談到了ADHD的神經化學。 我們談到了ADHD的神經化學。 我們談到了ADHD的神經化學。 我們談到了ADHD的神經化學。 我們談到了ADHD的神經化學。 我們談到了ADHD的神經化學。 我們談到了ADHD的神經化學。 我們談到了ADHD的神經化學。 我們談到了ADHD的神經化學。

    In this Huberman Lab Essentials episode, I explore the biology and psychology of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), and discuss both prescription and non-prescription treatment options.

    I discuss the neural circuits involved in attention and concentration, emphasizing dopamine’s role in regulating and coordinating focus. I explain how common prescription stimulants like Ritalin, Adderall, and Modafinil act on the brain to treat ADHD, and discuss non-drug approaches, including supplements and behavioral training to support focus. The episode offers tools and insights beneficial not only for those with ADHD but for anyone seeking to improve attention and focus.

    Read the episode show notes at hubermanlab.com.

    Thank you to our sponsors

    AG1: https://drinkag1.com/huberman

    Eight Sleep: https://eightsleep.com/huberman

    Joovv: https://joovv.com/huberman

    Timestamps

    00:00:00 Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD)

    00:01:10 ADHD Challenges, Attention, Impulsivity, Hyperfocus, Time Perception, Working Memory

    00:05:22 Sponsor: Eight Sleep

    00:07:03 Dopamine & Focus; Default Mode Network & Task Network

    00:11:57 ADHD & Low-Dopamine Hypothesis, Stimulants, Sugar

    00:16:15 ADHD Prescriptions, Ritalin, Adderall, Stimulants

    00:18:05 Sponsor: Joovv

    00:19:18 Children, Learning to Focus & ADHD Prescriptions

    00:22:26 Attentional Blinks, Tool: Improve Focus, Open-Monitoring, Panoramic Vision

    00:26:28 Blinking, Dopamine & Time Perception, Tool: Visual Focus Training

    00:30:39 Sponsor: AG1

    00:32:16 Ritalin, Adderall, Modafinil, Side Effects, Tapering

    00:34:05 Omega-3 Fatty Acids, EPA, DHA & Attention Effects; Phosphatidylserine

    00:36:01 Modafinil, Armodafinil

    00:36:51 Acetylcholine, Alpha-GPC

    00:38:55 L-Tyrosine, Dopamine, Preexisting Conditions & Caution

    00:39:51 Smartphones & Focus, Tool: Limiting Smartphone Use

    00:41:56 Recap & Key Takeaways

    Disclaimer & Disclosures

    Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

  • Top Psychologist & Scientist (Donald Hoffman): Science Has the Answer to Why Seeing True Reality Would Kill You!

    中文
    Tiếng Việt
    AI transcript
    0:00:02 The world that you’re seeing isn’t the true world.
    0:00:05 All of this that I’m seeing right now is just a virtual reality.
    0:00:08 It’s like you’re born with a headset on playing a video game.
    0:00:09 That’s your reality.
    0:00:12 But if you’re the programmer who wrote the code for the game,
    0:00:14 you know that there’s an entire world outside of it.
    0:00:16 And as the programmer, you can do miracles.
    0:00:19 And do you think we’re getting closer to being able to edit the code?
    0:00:20 That’s exactly what I’m working on right now.
    0:00:23 And we’re opening up a realm of new technologies
    0:00:26 that are far more powerful than anything we’ve seen before,
    0:00:26 like time travel.
    0:00:28 And nuclear bombs will be like firecrackers.
    0:00:30 Will people suffer?
    0:00:31 So it’s like Pandora’s box.
    0:00:33 There’s all sorts of nasty surprises,
    0:00:35 but they also could be miraculous.
    0:00:36 But either way, just in the last few months,
    0:00:37 it started to crack open.
    0:00:39 So let’s talk about that.
    0:00:42 Okay, so Professor Donald Hoffman is the cognitive scientist
    0:00:44 pushing the boundaries of how we perceive reality
    0:00:47 and how we can unlock our full potential as human beings.
    0:00:48 According to Darwin’s theory,
    0:00:52 our sensory systems, eyes, ears, smell, touch,
    0:00:54 are not shaped to show us the truth.
    0:00:57 They were shaped to keep you alive long enough
    0:00:58 to reproduce successfully.
    0:01:01 Because seeing the truth takes too much time and energy.
    0:01:03 And so whatever reality is,
    0:01:06 it’s utterly unlike anything that I perceive.
    0:01:07 But what does this all mean
    0:01:10 for the nature of how one should understand their life?
    0:01:12 Well, if you’re stuck in a boring world,
    0:01:13 that’s a world of your own creation.
    0:01:14 That’s not the real world.
    0:01:17 And my conscious experiences are nothing but what my brain creates.
    0:01:18 And so we feel inadequate.
    0:01:20 We feel like we need to compete with other people.
    0:01:22 But you’re the inventor of this whole thing.
    0:01:24 You have nothing to prove.
    0:01:27 And there are much more interesting perspectives that we can take on ourselves.
    0:01:29 So if you really knew who you are,
    0:01:31 you would see no need to compare or compete.
    0:01:34 And is there a way for me to understand who I am?
    0:01:36 If you want to understand the truth of who you are
    0:01:39 beyond just this headset description of you,
    0:01:40 then you have to…
    0:01:45 Just give me 30 seconds of your time.
    0:01:47 Two things I wanted to say.
    0:01:51 The first thing is a huge thank you for listening and tuning into the show
    0:01:52 week after week.
    0:01:53 It means the world to all of us.
    0:01:55 And this really is a dream that we absolutely never had
    0:01:57 and couldn’t have imagined getting to this place.
    0:02:01 But secondly, it’s a dream where we feel like we’re only just getting started.
    0:02:03 And if you enjoy what we do here,
    0:02:07 please join the 24% of people that listen to this podcast regularly
    0:02:09 and follow us on this app.
    0:02:11 Here’s a promise I’m going to make to you.
    0:02:14 I’m going to do everything in my power to make this show
    0:02:16 as good as I can now and into the future.
    0:02:19 We’re going to deliver the guests that you want me to speak to.
    0:02:21 And we’re going to continue to keep doing
    0:02:22 all of the things you love about this show.
    0:02:24 Thank you.
    0:02:29 Professor Donald Hoffman.
    0:02:33 Do you think that the listeners of this show,
    0:02:35 the people listening right now,
    0:02:39 understand the nature of reality
    0:02:41 and the world that they’re looking at and see?
    0:02:45 I think that no one,
    0:02:47 even the most advanced professionals,
    0:02:49 really understands the nature of reality.
    0:02:51 And it’s one of the big open problems
    0:02:53 and questions in science today.
    0:02:54 We all might have ideas.
    0:02:56 We might think we know something.
    0:02:58 Our best science suggests that
    0:03:00 our imagination is not yet big enough.
    0:03:02 We need to explore further.
    0:03:05 What is it that you believe is the big sort of misconception
    0:03:08 about how we perceive reality?
    0:03:11 Well, most of us think of reality
    0:03:14 as whatever is inside space and time.
    0:03:17 We actually know that space-time
    0:03:19 cannot be the fundamental nature of reality.
    0:03:20 And what is space-time?
    0:03:22 So everything that you see around us, right,
    0:03:24 the space between you and me,
    0:03:26 there’s maybe one or two meters of space between you and me.
    0:03:29 That’s what space-time is.
    0:03:32 All the stuff that we can see in our telescope,
    0:03:32 put it that way.
    0:03:33 If you can see it in your telescope,
    0:03:34 it’s part of space-time.
    0:03:37 But we know our best theories of space-time,
    0:03:39 Einstein’s theory together with quantum theory,
    0:03:41 tell us that space-time
    0:03:44 cannot be the fundamental nature of reality.
    0:03:45 There’s a small…
    0:03:46 If you go small,
    0:03:48 so I can talk about a meter.
    0:03:48 Yeah.
    0:03:50 And then I can go to, you know,
    0:03:52 centimeters and then, you know,
    0:03:53 millimeters.
    0:03:54 And then we can go, you know,
    0:03:56 micrometers and you can go smaller and smaller.
    0:03:57 At some point,
    0:04:01 you go so small that space disappears.
    0:04:03 It no longer even makes sense mathematically.
    0:04:06 It’s 10 to the minus 33 centimeters.
    0:04:07 So it’s actually not that…
    0:04:10 In my view, it’s not that small.
    0:04:12 It’s not 10 to the minus 33 trillion centimeters.
    0:04:14 It’s just 10 to the minus 33 centimeters.
    0:04:15 And all of a sudden,
    0:04:17 our equations tell us
    0:04:22 space-time doesn’t have any effective meaning.
    0:04:24 Is space-time a proxy for the word reality
    0:04:25 in some respects?
    0:04:27 Well, for most people, I think it is.
    0:04:28 For most people,
    0:04:31 they think that space-time is the reality.
    0:04:32 And what I’m saying is,
    0:04:35 it’s the reality that most of us have assumed
    0:04:36 is the final reality.
    0:04:39 And science is now telling us
    0:04:40 it can’t be.
    0:04:41 It actually…
    0:04:42 And it tells us precisely
    0:04:44 at 10 to the minus 33 centimeters,
    0:04:45 10 to the minus 43 seconds,
    0:04:47 the very notion of space-time
    0:04:49 makes no sense.
    0:04:53 Is that the same as saying that
    0:04:55 reality as I perceive it
    0:04:56 makes no sense?
    0:04:57 I’m suggesting,
    0:04:59 now as a cognitive scientist,
    0:05:00 not a physicist,
    0:05:01 we should think of space-time
    0:05:03 as just a virtual reality headset.
    0:05:04 That’s the way we perceive
    0:05:05 in our game of life.
    0:05:06 And when you say space-time,
    0:05:09 you mean the thing that I’m perceiving
    0:05:10 with my eyes and ears and senses right now?
    0:05:11 That’s right.
    0:05:12 Even this hard table
    0:05:16 is just a VR object.
    0:05:21 And the whole setting that we’re in here right now
    0:05:22 is just a virtual reality.
    0:05:26 And there is a reality entirely outside this headset
    0:05:28 that is open to science to explore.
    0:05:29 And we’re finding stuff,
    0:05:30 which you might call obelisks,
    0:05:33 geometric objects outside of space-time.
    0:05:34 So this is all brand new
    0:05:38 since 2010 or something like that, roughly.
    0:05:39 So do you believe that?
    0:05:40 Do you believe that everything
    0:05:42 I’m experiencing and seeing now
    0:05:44 is basically equivocal to me
    0:05:46 wearing a virtual reality headset
    0:05:49 and that there’s something beyond
    0:05:51 the virtual reality headset?
    0:05:52 Completely.
    0:05:54 Because I believe the science.
    0:05:58 And the predictions of our theories
    0:05:59 about space-time are so good.
    0:06:02 Now, I have to always be careful
    0:06:03 about what I’m saying versus…
    0:06:04 And I don’t want to put words
    0:06:05 in the physicist’s mouth.
    0:06:07 So what I say,
    0:06:08 I think it’s a virtual reality.
    0:06:09 That’s Hoffman.
    0:06:10 That’s not physics, right?
    0:06:11 Are you able to swap out
    0:06:13 the phrase space-time for reality?
    0:06:14 Or is that inaccurate?
    0:06:18 I think that whatever reality is,
    0:06:22 space-time is a trivial aspect of it.
    0:06:27 There’s much more to reality
    0:06:28 than space-time.
    0:06:29 Space-time is all the reality.
    0:06:32 It’s like a player in Grand Theft Auto.
    0:06:35 If all you’ve done is play in Grand Theft Auto,
    0:06:37 and you were born with a headset on,
    0:06:37 and that’s all you’ve…
    0:06:38 That’s your reality.
    0:06:40 But if you’re the programmer
    0:06:41 who wrote the code,
    0:06:42 and you know the supercomputer
    0:06:44 that’s running Grand Theft Auto,
    0:06:45 you know that Grand Theft Auto
    0:06:48 is a nice self-contained world,
    0:06:49 but there’s an entire world
    0:06:50 outside of it
    0:06:52 that’s utterly unlike Grand Theft Auto.
    0:06:53 It’s a supercomputer
    0:06:55 with diodes and resistors
    0:06:57 and voltages that are being toggled.
    0:06:58 when some dude
    0:07:00 is turning his wheel
    0:07:01 to drive the car,
    0:07:02 what’s really happening
    0:07:03 when he turns the wheel
    0:07:04 is that millions of voltages
    0:07:05 are being toggled
    0:07:07 in a specific order
    0:07:08 in some computer,
    0:07:09 and it has to be exactly
    0:07:10 that right sequence
    0:07:11 for the thing to work properly.
    0:07:13 And the guy that’s turning the wheel
    0:07:14 has no idea
    0:07:15 what’s going on.
    0:07:16 There’s this other
    0:07:17 whole realm
    0:07:19 utterly outside your imagination
    0:07:20 in Grand Theft Auto.
    0:07:21 And so,
    0:07:23 if you’re in Grand Theft Auto,
    0:07:23 you might not even know
    0:07:24 about computers
    0:07:25 and toggling voltages
    0:07:26 and so all you know
    0:07:27 is I’ve got a steering wheel
    0:07:27 and a gas pedal
    0:07:28 and the streets
    0:07:29 and people to race
    0:07:30 and so forth
    0:07:31 and things to steal
    0:07:32 and whatever.
    0:07:33 But you don’t realize
    0:07:33 there’s a puppet master
    0:07:35 effectively controlling you.
    0:07:36 Behind the scenes.
    0:07:37 And so,
    0:07:38 I think that
    0:07:39 space-time
    0:07:41 is just a very
    0:07:42 effective headset.
    0:07:43 For anyone that doesn’t know,
    0:07:44 Grand Theft Auto
    0:07:44 is a video game
    0:07:45 where you run around
    0:07:46 a virtual world,
    0:07:47 basically.
    0:07:47 That’s right.
    0:07:48 You’re driving
    0:07:49 nice fancy cars
    0:07:50 in this world,
    0:07:50 that’s right.
    0:07:52 So,
    0:07:53 everything I see
    0:07:54 right now
    0:07:56 is a
    0:07:57 projection
    0:07:59 that I’ve made
    0:07:59 on the world,
    0:08:00 my world,
    0:08:02 in order to help me
    0:08:03 to survive.
    0:08:04 And my brain
    0:08:05 is not showing me
    0:08:06 things that it doesn’t
    0:08:07 think I need
    0:08:09 to see
    0:08:10 because they won’t
    0:08:10 be conducive
    0:08:11 with survival
    0:08:12 because they are
    0:08:12 cognitively,
    0:08:13 in terms of like
    0:08:15 how much fuel
    0:08:15 and energy
    0:08:16 they would require
    0:08:17 to process
    0:08:17 and think about,
    0:08:18 they are
    0:08:19 cognitively
    0:08:21 inconsequential.
    0:08:22 or like
    0:08:22 it would be
    0:08:23 inefficient
    0:08:23 for me
    0:08:24 to spend
    0:08:25 my cognitive
    0:08:25 power
    0:08:26 to see those
    0:08:27 things.
    0:08:28 That’s exactly
    0:08:29 right.
    0:08:29 And for a lot
    0:08:29 of people,
    0:08:30 I think
    0:08:31 that’s
    0:08:31 counterintuitive
    0:08:32 because they
    0:08:32 would say,
    0:08:33 look,
    0:08:34 evolution is
    0:08:34 about making
    0:08:35 you fit
    0:08:36 so that you
    0:08:36 can live
    0:08:37 and survive
    0:08:37 long enough
    0:08:38 to reproduce
    0:08:38 successfully.
    0:08:40 And surely
    0:08:41 evolution should
    0:08:42 do that
    0:08:43 by making you
    0:08:43 see the truth.
    0:08:43 I mean,
    0:08:44 if you see
    0:08:45 the truth,
    0:08:45 then you’re
    0:08:46 going to compete
    0:08:47 in the game
    0:08:47 of life
    0:08:48 much more
    0:08:49 successfully
    0:08:50 than if you
    0:08:50 don’t see
    0:08:51 the truth.
    0:08:52 so what
    0:08:52 are you
    0:08:53 talking about
    0:08:53 this headset
    0:08:54 nonsense for?
    0:08:54 This is not
    0:08:55 a headset,
    0:08:55 this is the
    0:08:55 truth.
    0:08:56 I mean,
    0:08:57 an evolution
    0:08:58 should shape
    0:08:58 us to see
    0:08:59 the truth.
    0:08:59 And I think
    0:08:59 that’s what
    0:09:00 most people
    0:09:01 would assume.
    0:09:02 And in fact,
    0:09:03 very intelligent
    0:09:04 experts in the
    0:09:05 field assume
    0:09:05 that.
    0:09:07 And I suggest
    0:09:07 otherwise.
    0:09:08 In fact,
    0:09:08 we have
    0:09:08 mathematical
    0:09:09 proofs
    0:09:09 otherwise.
    0:09:10 If you look
    0:09:11 at evolution,
    0:09:12 Darwin said,
    0:09:12 look,
    0:09:13 we need to
    0:09:15 think about
    0:09:16 a gradual
    0:09:17 evolution over
    0:09:18 time of these
    0:09:19 species,
    0:09:19 maybe from
    0:09:19 very,
    0:09:20 very simple
    0:09:21 ones to
    0:09:21 more complex
    0:09:22 ones.
    0:09:24 And what
    0:09:24 is going to
    0:09:25 drive that
    0:09:26 dynamics?
    0:09:27 And Darwin
    0:09:28 suggested it
    0:09:29 was what we
    0:09:29 would call
    0:09:29 reproductive
    0:09:30 fitness,
    0:09:32 that those
    0:09:35 organisms that
    0:09:38 have physical
    0:09:38 properties,
    0:09:40 sensory systems,
    0:09:41 motor systems,
    0:09:43 movement systems,
    0:09:45 that make
    0:09:45 them more
    0:09:47 likely to
    0:09:47 have
    0:09:48 offspring and
    0:09:48 to raise
    0:09:49 offspring to
    0:09:50 maturity.
    0:09:51 Whatever
    0:09:52 properties those
    0:09:52 might be,
    0:09:53 that’s what
    0:09:53 we’re going
    0:09:54 to call
    0:09:54 fitness.
    0:09:55 So the
    0:09:55 more fit
    0:09:57 you are is
    0:09:58 really saying
    0:09:59 how likely
    0:10:00 are you to
    0:10:01 have and
    0:10:02 successfully raise
    0:10:03 offspring.
    0:10:04 So Darwin
    0:10:05 suggested that.
    0:10:06 And I don’t
    0:10:06 think that he
    0:10:07 necessarily had
    0:10:08 to say that
    0:10:08 there was no
    0:10:08 God.
    0:10:09 It was just
    0:10:10 that if there
    0:10:11 is a God,
    0:10:11 it’s not
    0:10:12 God put it
    0:10:12 down perfect
    0:10:13 and he did
    0:10:14 an evolutionary
    0:10:14 process.
    0:10:15 Yeah.
    0:10:15 Well,
    0:10:16 organisms adapt
    0:10:16 to their
    0:10:17 environment.
    0:10:19 Well,
    0:10:19 they’re not
    0:10:19 adapting,
    0:10:20 but the
    0:10:21 offspring that
    0:10:21 survive are
    0:10:22 those best
    0:10:22 adapted to
    0:10:23 the environment.
    0:10:23 That’s right.
    0:10:24 So that was
    0:10:25 Darwin’s idea.
    0:10:26 The gradual
    0:10:28 evolution from
    0:10:29 presumably simpler
    0:10:31 organisms to
    0:10:31 more and more
    0:10:33 complicated organisms
    0:10:35 and then
    0:10:37 multiple evolutions
    0:10:37 of things like
    0:10:38 eyes, like
    0:10:38 cephalopod
    0:10:39 eye evolved
    0:10:40 differently from
    0:10:41 the human eye
    0:10:42 and the
    0:10:43 cephalopod
    0:10:44 eye got
    0:10:44 certain things
    0:10:45 right that
    0:10:45 the human eye
    0:10:46 got wrong.
    0:10:46 Is that because
    0:10:47 the cephalopod
    0:10:48 eye was in a
    0:10:49 different environment
    0:10:49 so it had
    0:10:50 different requirements?
    0:10:51 That would be
    0:10:52 one possible
    0:10:52 reason.
    0:10:53 I actually don’t
    0:10:54 know in the
    0:10:55 case of the
    0:10:55 cephalopods why,
    0:10:56 but that kind
    0:10:57 of idea is
    0:10:58 absolutely one
    0:10:58 of the reasons
    0:10:59 that could have
    0:10:59 happened.
    0:11:00 Another one,
    0:11:01 it could just
    0:11:01 be an accident,
    0:11:01 right?
    0:11:02 There’s
    0:11:02 probability
    0:11:03 involved and
    0:11:04 so at some
    0:11:05 point you have
    0:11:05 the right accident
    0:11:06 and the humans
    0:11:06 got the thing
    0:11:07 reversed.
    0:11:07 So you’re
    0:11:08 saying Darwin
    0:11:08 was wrong in
    0:11:09 some respect or
    0:11:10 that there was
    0:11:11 something missing
    0:11:11 from his
    0:11:11 theory.
    0:11:12 Oh no,
    0:11:12 I think
    0:11:13 Darwin’s,
    0:11:16 in terms of
    0:11:16 biology,
    0:11:18 I think that
    0:11:18 there is
    0:11:21 no serious
    0:11:22 competitor to
    0:11:22 Darwin’s theory
    0:11:23 of evolution
    0:11:23 of a natural
    0:11:24 selection in
    0:11:25 terms of the
    0:11:26 scientific theory
    0:11:28 of the origin
    0:11:28 of species and
    0:11:29 so forth.
    0:11:30 And it’s
    0:11:31 Darwin’s theory
    0:11:32 and the
    0:11:32 mathematical
    0:11:33 formulation of
    0:11:34 it that I
    0:11:35 think also
    0:11:37 says that
    0:11:38 what we’re
    0:11:39 perceiving is
    0:11:39 not the
    0:11:39 truth.
    0:11:40 That our
    0:11:41 sensory systems
    0:11:43 on Darwin’s
    0:11:44 theory were
    0:11:45 not shaped to
    0:11:46 show us the
    0:11:46 truth.
    0:11:47 They were
    0:11:50 shaped to
    0:11:50 keep you
    0:11:51 alive long
    0:11:52 enough to
    0:11:52 reproduce
    0:11:53 successfully,
    0:11:54 period.
    0:11:55 That’s all
    0:11:55 Darwin’s theory
    0:11:56 actually says.
    0:11:57 Most of us
    0:11:58 think the way
    0:11:59 this evolutionary
    0:12:00 process does it
    0:12:01 is to make
    0:12:02 sure that your
    0:12:02 senses are
    0:12:03 telling you the
    0:12:04 truth about the
    0:12:05 external reality.
    0:12:06 I’ve published
    0:12:07 some papers with
    0:12:08 colleagues where
    0:12:09 we show
    0:12:11 mathematically that
    0:12:12 Darwin’s theory
    0:12:13 does not entail
    0:12:13 that at all.
    0:12:14 In fact,
    0:12:15 Darwin’s theory
    0:12:18 says the
    0:12:18 probability is
    0:12:21 zero that any
    0:12:22 sensory system
    0:12:23 like eyes,
    0:12:24 ears, smell,
    0:12:25 touch, taste,
    0:12:27 has ever been
    0:12:29 shaped to see
    0:12:30 any aspect of
    0:12:31 objective reality
    0:12:31 truly.
    0:12:32 So the
    0:12:32 probability is
    0:12:34 zero that you
    0:12:34 see any
    0:12:34 aspect of
    0:12:35 the truth,
    0:12:36 period, on
    0:12:36 Darwin’s
    0:12:36 theory.
    0:12:38 What you do
    0:12:40 experience is
    0:12:43 sensory systems
    0:12:44 that guide
    0:12:45 adaptive behavior.
    0:12:47 Guide adaptive
    0:12:47 behavior means
    0:12:49 they let you
    0:12:49 act.
    0:12:51 So your eyes,
    0:12:51 your nose.
    0:12:52 Your eyes,
    0:12:52 your nose,
    0:12:53 yeah, your
    0:12:53 eyes and nose.
    0:12:55 They guide you
    0:12:55 so that you
    0:12:56 act in ways
    0:12:57 that you don’t
    0:12:57 die too
    0:12:59 quickly and you
    0:12:59 can have kids
    0:13:00 that don’t die
    0:13:01 too quickly.
    0:13:02 That’s all it’s
    0:13:02 about.
    0:13:03 I was just
    0:13:03 playing up
    0:13:04 the scenario
    0:13:04 then that
    0:13:05 you removed
    0:13:06 my eyes
    0:13:07 and you
    0:13:07 removed my
    0:13:08 ears and
    0:13:10 my nose and
    0:13:11 my ability to
    0:13:12 sense, you
    0:13:13 know, temperature
    0:13:13 and things like
    0:13:14 that, all of my
    0:13:14 senses.
    0:13:16 I thought if I
    0:13:17 was the only
    0:13:17 person on earth
    0:13:18 and you removed
    0:13:18 all of my
    0:13:22 senses, what
    0:13:23 would reality
    0:13:23 be?
    0:13:25 Because if you
    0:13:26 remove my
    0:13:27 senses, reality
    0:13:28 no longer exists
    0:13:29 as far as I’m
    0:13:30 aware of it,
    0:13:31 but that doesn’t
    0:13:31 mean nothing
    0:13:32 exists.
    0:13:32 And I’m
    0:13:33 wondering what
    0:13:34 that nothing
    0:13:34 would be.
    0:13:34 Like if you
    0:13:35 just imagine
    0:13:35 like wipe off
    0:13:35 everyone on
    0:13:36 the earth and
    0:13:36 it’s just you
    0:13:37 and we remove
    0:13:37 all of your
    0:13:39 senses, what
    0:13:40 is in that
    0:13:40 space?
    0:13:40 Because you’re
    0:13:41 right, my
    0:13:41 senses, my
    0:13:42 eyes, my
    0:13:43 ears, my
    0:13:43 ability to
    0:13:44 understand
    0:13:45 temperature is
    0:13:46 a byproduct and
    0:13:47 consequence of
    0:13:49 me surviving.
    0:13:50 So I was
    0:13:50 playing out this
    0:13:51 and I was like,
    0:13:53 well, if we
    0:13:53 think about
    0:13:55 ghosts and
    0:13:55 the afterlife,
    0:13:57 maybe there was
    0:13:58 no reason from
    0:13:59 a survival
    0:14:00 perspective that
    0:14:01 I even needed
    0:14:02 to be able to
    0:14:03 see or
    0:14:04 acknowledge that
    0:14:04 maybe it just
    0:14:05 didn’t help.
    0:14:05 Maybe it actually
    0:14:06 would have hurt
    0:14:07 me to have
    0:14:08 because it
    0:14:09 would have been
    0:14:10 too cognitively
    0:14:11 demanding to
    0:14:12 process all of
    0:14:12 that information.
    0:14:13 So anybody that
    0:14:14 could process all
    0:14:14 that information
    0:14:16 wouldn’t have been
    0:14:17 good at reproducing,
    0:14:17 therefore they
    0:14:18 wouldn’t survive,
    0:14:18 therefore they
    0:14:19 wouldn’t be here.
    0:14:21 so maybe those
    0:14:21 of us that
    0:14:22 are here,
    0:14:23 we’re just
    0:14:24 really good at
    0:14:27 ignoring the
    0:14:28 other dimensions.
    0:14:30 That’s what our
    0:14:30 mathematics says.
    0:14:31 I think that your
    0:14:32 intuitions on that
    0:14:34 are quite right,
    0:14:36 that if you pay
    0:14:36 attention to
    0:14:37 anything other
    0:14:38 than what allows
    0:14:39 you to have
    0:14:40 kids, you’re
    0:14:41 wasting your time
    0:14:41 from an
    0:14:42 evolutionary point
    0:14:42 of view.
    0:14:43 Perception is
    0:14:44 expensive.
    0:14:44 It takes a lot
    0:14:45 of calories.
    0:14:46 You have to eat
    0:14:46 a lot of food
    0:14:47 to run your
    0:14:48 brain and to
    0:14:49 power your eyes
    0:14:49 and your ears
    0:14:51 so you need
    0:14:51 to do
    0:14:52 shortcuts.
    0:14:52 You need to
    0:14:53 make your
    0:14:53 sensory systems
    0:14:54 not chew up
    0:14:55 so much of
    0:14:55 your energy.
    0:14:56 The more
    0:14:57 expensive your
    0:14:59 perceptual systems
    0:14:59 are, the more
    0:15:00 you’ve got to
    0:15:01 eat to
    0:15:02 power those.
    0:15:03 So that means
    0:15:03 you have to
    0:15:04 go out there
    0:15:04 and forage
    0:15:05 and put
    0:15:05 yourself at
    0:15:05 harms.
    0:15:08 So there’s
    0:15:08 a trade-off.
    0:15:09 We try to
    0:15:09 do things
    0:15:10 cheaply in
    0:15:10 evolution.
    0:15:12 And going
    0:15:13 for the
    0:15:14 truth, you
    0:15:15 don’t need to
    0:15:16 actually go for
    0:15:16 the truth
    0:15:16 because that’s
    0:15:17 very, very
    0:15:17 expensive.
    0:15:18 So for
    0:15:18 example,
    0:15:19 there are
    0:15:21 some flying
    0:15:23 insects that
    0:15:25 need to lay
    0:15:26 their eggs
    0:15:28 in water.
    0:15:29 And they
    0:15:30 use the trick
    0:15:31 of just looking
    0:15:32 at the
    0:15:33 polarization of
    0:15:33 the light
    0:15:34 coming off
    0:15:34 the water.
    0:15:36 So what you
    0:15:36 see happening
    0:15:37 in evolution
    0:15:38 is we have
    0:15:39 tricks and
    0:15:39 hacks.
    0:15:41 And even
    0:15:42 humans have
    0:15:43 tricks and
    0:15:43 hacks.
    0:15:45 for example,
    0:15:46 trying to
    0:15:47 find out if
    0:15:47 someone is
    0:15:48 reproductively
    0:15:48 fit.
    0:15:51 I can’t
    0:15:51 actually look
    0:15:52 at your
    0:15:52 DNA and
    0:15:53 go, well,
    0:15:55 okay, he’s
    0:15:55 got an
    0:15:56 ACG and
    0:15:57 T, but he’s
    0:15:57 got a C
    0:15:57 here where
    0:15:58 it’s supposed
    0:15:58 to be a
    0:15:58 T.
    0:16:00 I can’t
    0:16:00 look at
    0:16:00 your DNA,
    0:16:01 so what do
    0:16:01 I look at?
    0:16:02 I have to
    0:16:02 look at
    0:16:03 what I can
    0:16:04 see of
    0:16:04 your body
    0:16:05 and your
    0:16:06 voice and
    0:16:06 so forth.
    0:16:08 One of
    0:16:08 the most
    0:16:08 compelling
    0:16:09 arguments for
    0:16:10 the fact that
    0:16:11 we aren’t
    0:16:11 seeing reality
    0:16:12 as it is and
    0:16:12 we’re actually
    0:16:13 only seeing
    0:16:14 what we need
    0:16:14 to see in
    0:16:14 order to
    0:16:16 survive is
    0:16:16 when you
    0:16:16 look at,
    0:16:16 as you were
    0:16:17 saying,
    0:16:17 how different
    0:16:18 animals see
    0:16:18 the world.
    0:16:20 And can you
    0:16:20 just give me
    0:16:22 some more
    0:16:22 examples of
    0:16:23 different animals
    0:16:24 that see the
    0:16:24 world completely
    0:16:25 differently?
    0:16:25 I always think
    0:16:26 about bats.
    0:16:28 How do bats
    0:16:28 see the world?
    0:16:29 Because do they
    0:16:30 see colors like
    0:16:31 we see them
    0:16:31 and objects
    0:16:32 like we see
    0:16:32 them?
    0:16:33 No, bats
    0:16:34 use echolocation.
    0:16:34 They’ll send
    0:16:35 out little
    0:16:36 bursts of
    0:16:37 sound at
    0:16:38 very, very
    0:16:38 high frequencies
    0:16:39 and then they
    0:16:39 have these
    0:16:40 big ears that
    0:16:41 capture the
    0:16:41 returns.
    0:16:42 Just looking at
    0:16:43 their sensory
    0:16:44 system it says
    0:16:45 most insect
    0:16:45 eating bats
    0:16:46 use echolocation
    0:16:47 as you said.
    0:16:47 They emit
    0:16:48 high frequency
    0:16:49 sound waves
    0:16:50 and see
    0:16:51 by listening
    0:16:52 to the echoes
    0:16:53 bouncing off
    0:16:54 other objects.
    0:16:54 That’s right.
    0:16:55 And this gives
    0:16:55 them some kind
    0:16:56 of sonic map
    0:16:57 of their
    0:16:57 surroundings
    0:16:58 helping them
    0:16:59 to navigate
    0:17:00 and effectively
    0:17:00 see in total
    0:17:01 darkness.
    0:17:01 So you imagine
    0:17:02 a bat,
    0:17:03 like then
    0:17:04 if a bat
    0:17:04 is sat there
    0:17:05 thinking that
    0:17:06 they understand
    0:17:06 the nature
    0:17:06 of reality
    0:17:08 when it’s
    0:17:08 actually just
    0:17:09 a map of
    0:17:10 how the
    0:17:11 sound waves
    0:17:11 bounce back,
    0:17:12 they, I
    0:17:13 imagine,
    0:17:13 don’t have
    0:17:14 the same,
    0:17:16 they have a
    0:17:17 completely different
    0:17:17 perception of
    0:17:17 what reality
    0:17:18 is to us.
    0:17:20 And therefore
    0:17:20 it would be
    0:17:20 quite ignorant
    0:17:21 to assume
    0:17:22 that we as
    0:17:24 humans are
    0:17:24 seeing reality
    0:17:25 as it is
    0:17:25 when just
    0:17:26 like the bat
    0:17:27 we’re probably
    0:17:30 adapted to
    0:17:32 our environment
    0:17:33 and built
    0:17:33 and built
    0:17:33 and built
    0:17:34 senses,
    0:17:34 eyes,
    0:17:34 ears,
    0:17:35 touch
    0:17:36 that helped
    0:17:36 us to
    0:17:36 survive.
    0:17:37 I would
    0:17:37 agree with
    0:17:38 you,
    0:17:38 but some
    0:17:38 of my
    0:17:39 colleagues
    0:17:39 would disagree
    0:17:39 and they
    0:17:40 would say
    0:17:42 humans are
    0:17:42 much more
    0:17:43 complicated.
    0:17:45 And, you
    0:17:45 know, surely
    0:17:46 bats and so
    0:17:47 forth, they have
    0:17:47 to have all
    0:17:48 these shortcuts
    0:17:48 and they don’t
    0:17:48 see reality
    0:17:49 as it is.
    0:17:50 But we’ve
    0:17:51 evolved further
    0:17:53 and we’re
    0:17:53 closer to the
    0:17:53 truth.
    0:17:54 From my point
    0:17:54 of view,
    0:17:55 what I see
    0:17:56 this table
    0:17:56 and this cup
    0:17:57 and so forth
    0:17:59 is just
    0:18:00 a convenient
    0:18:00 fiction.
    0:18:02 Whatever reality
    0:18:03 is, it’s
    0:18:04 utterly unlike
    0:18:06 anything that I
    0:18:06 perceive.
    0:18:06 Utterly.
    0:18:08 In a TED talk
    0:18:08 that you did
    0:18:11 in the 2000s,
    0:18:11 you talked about
    0:18:12 simulations that
    0:18:13 you ran to
    0:18:14 prove that,
    0:18:16 I guess in
    0:18:18 part, that
    0:18:19 I’m only seeing
    0:18:20 things that will
    0:18:21 help me to
    0:18:22 survive as a
    0:18:22 creature, as an
    0:18:22 organism.
    0:18:23 Can you explain
    0:18:24 to me simply
    0:18:25 what those
    0:18:26 simulations were
    0:18:27 and what they
    0:18:27 proved?
    0:18:29 Yes, in our
    0:18:30 simulations, and
    0:18:31 this is before we
    0:18:32 had theorems, so
    0:18:33 we did simulations
    0:18:33 just to see if
    0:18:34 the ideas were
    0:18:35 working, and we
    0:18:36 would have
    0:18:37 artificial organisms
    0:18:37 in a computer,
    0:18:39 so it was like a
    0:18:39 game that we
    0:18:40 put together, and
    0:18:41 we would have a
    0:18:42 world and we
    0:18:43 would let some
    0:18:43 organisms actually
    0:18:44 see the true
    0:18:44 state of that
    0:18:45 world, so they
    0:18:45 were the truth
    0:18:46 organisms, and
    0:18:47 then we’d have
    0:18:48 other ones that
    0:18:50 only had, like
    0:18:51 a headset, an
    0:18:52 interface that only
    0:18:53 could see not
    0:18:53 the truth, but
    0:18:55 just some little
    0:18:55 bit of information
    0:18:56 that could guide
    0:18:57 adaptive behavior.
    0:18:57 That would
    0:18:58 help them to
    0:18:59 survive, reproduce.
    0:19:01 Survive, yeah, and
    0:19:02 reproduce, that’s
    0:19:02 right.
    0:19:04 What we found was
    0:19:05 for a wide range
    0:19:08 of conditions of
    0:19:09 the algorithm, the
    0:19:10 organisms that saw
    0:19:11 the truth went
    0:19:12 extinct.
    0:19:13 They weren’t able
    0:19:14 to compete with
    0:19:14 the ones that
    0:19:15 didn’t, and one
    0:19:15 of the things that
    0:19:16 came out of it was
    0:19:17 seeing the truth
    0:19:18 takes too much
    0:19:19 time and energy.
    0:19:21 It’s complicated to
    0:19:23 see the truth, and
    0:19:23 if you have a
    0:19:26 simple trick that
    0:19:27 lets you do the
    0:19:29 same thing without
    0:19:30 having to have a
    0:19:31 deep insight, then
    0:19:32 you can get the
    0:19:33 same benefit, you
    0:19:33 can get the
    0:19:34 benefit without
    0:19:35 having to put all
    0:19:36 the effort out.
    0:19:36 Now, I can give
    0:19:37 you a concrete
    0:19:38 example of an
    0:19:39 organism that does
    0:19:40 this that’s pretty
    0:19:40 funny.
    0:19:41 So, there’s the
    0:19:42 jewel beetle.
    0:19:43 It lives in the
    0:19:44 outback of Australia.
    0:19:46 It’s dimpled, glossy,
    0:19:46 and brown.
    0:19:47 The males fly, the
    0:19:48 females are fly-less.
    0:19:50 So, the males are
    0:19:51 flying around, of
    0:19:51 course, looking for
    0:19:52 an eligible female.
    0:19:54 It turns out that
    0:19:55 men in the
    0:19:57 outback tended, for
    0:19:58 a while, were
    0:19:59 drinking beer with
    0:20:00 these bottles that
    0:20:01 were also dimpled,
    0:20:03 glossy, and brown.
    0:20:04 They throw them out
    0:20:06 into the outback, and
    0:20:07 they turned out to
    0:20:08 be dimpled, glossy,
    0:20:08 and just the right
    0:20:09 shade of brown to
    0:20:10 grab the attention of
    0:20:11 the male jewel
    0:20:11 beetles.
    0:20:13 They’re actually on
    0:20:13 the bottle.
    0:20:14 They’re full-body
    0:20:15 contact.
    0:20:15 They’re crawling all
    0:20:16 over it, and they
    0:20:17 still think it’s a
    0:20:17 female.
    0:20:18 So, how much do
    0:20:19 they know about
    0:20:19 their women?
    0:20:20 Very, very little
    0:20:21 they know about
    0:20:21 their women.
    0:20:23 A woman, a
    0:20:24 female, is something
    0:20:25 dimpled, glossy, and
    0:20:26 brown.
    0:20:26 Apparently, the
    0:20:27 bigger, the better.
    0:20:27 And that’s what a
    0:20:28 female is.
    0:20:29 So, you can see
    0:20:30 evolution didn’t give
    0:20:31 these male beetles
    0:20:32 much insight into
    0:20:33 their females.
    0:20:34 They gave them just
    0:20:36 enough information to
    0:20:38 successfully reproduce,
    0:20:38 period.
    0:20:39 And that’s sort of
    0:20:40 what evolution does.
    0:20:41 It gives you just
    0:20:43 enough information to
    0:20:45 reproduce before you
    0:20:45 die.
    0:20:46 So, they’re all
    0:20:47 making love to this
    0:20:47 beer bottle because
    0:20:49 they can’t tell,
    0:20:50 they can’t see
    0:20:50 reality.
    0:20:52 They can’t see that
    0:20:53 this isn’t a woman,
    0:20:54 this is a beer
    0:20:54 bottle.
    0:20:54 That’s right.
    0:20:55 That’s one of the
    0:20:56 more humorous examples
    0:20:58 of what evolution
    0:20:58 has done.
    0:21:00 It does things on the
    0:21:01 cheap, and that
    0:21:02 includes human
    0:21:03 sensory systems.
    0:21:04 So, it’s very
    0:21:05 humbling.
    0:21:05 We’re not the
    0:21:07 epitome, and what
    0:21:09 we think is human
    0:21:10 appreciation of the
    0:21:11 deep truth of
    0:21:13 reality is just our
    0:21:13 little headset.
    0:21:15 What we experience
    0:21:17 and know is
    0:21:20 trivial compared to
    0:21:21 whatever reality is,
    0:21:21 absolutely trivial.
    0:21:24 We know 0% of
    0:21:24 reality.
    0:21:26 And by the way,
    0:21:27 our scientific
    0:21:29 theories will
    0:21:31 always and forever
    0:21:32 explain 0% of
    0:21:36 reality because they
    0:21:37 have to make
    0:21:37 assumptions.
    0:21:38 And every theory,
    0:21:39 scientific theory,
    0:21:39 has to make
    0:21:39 assumptions.
    0:21:41 And so, we’ll
    0:21:42 have, in principle,
    0:21:43 an infinite sequence
    0:21:44 of theories with
    0:21:45 ever deeper
    0:21:46 assumptions, and
    0:21:46 we’ll never get to
    0:21:47 the bottom.
    0:21:49 And since it’s an
    0:21:49 infinite sequence,
    0:21:50 that means everything
    0:21:51 we’ve got so far is
    0:21:52 0%.
    0:21:54 So, I’m a
    0:21:55 scientist.
    0:21:55 I’m all for
    0:21:55 science.
    0:21:57 I encourage young
    0:21:58 men and women to
    0:21:58 go into science.
    0:21:59 I think it’s a
    0:22:00 great thing to do.
    0:22:01 But just know that
    0:22:02 all of our theories
    0:22:07 will comprehend
    0:22:08 0% of reality.
    0:22:09 You know, people
    0:22:10 talk a lot about
    0:22:11 how their pets or
    0:22:13 other animals are
    0:22:13 able to see
    0:22:14 another dimension.
    0:22:15 Sometimes people
    0:22:16 say things like,
    0:22:17 my dog started
    0:22:18 barking at this,
    0:22:19 or I had cancer,
    0:22:21 and there’s dogs
    0:22:22 or animals that
    0:22:23 have been able to,
    0:22:24 they believe,
    0:22:25 spot certain
    0:22:26 diseases inside the
    0:22:27 human body.
    0:22:28 And when you look
    0:22:30 at the sort of
    0:22:32 sensory faculties of
    0:22:34 these dogs, dogs
    0:22:35 can hear frequencies
    0:22:37 up to 65,000 hertz,
    0:22:37 whereas humans can
    0:22:38 only go to 20,000
    0:22:39 hertz.
    0:22:40 Dogs have up to
    0:22:40 300 million
    0:22:42 olfactory receptors.
    0:22:43 Humans just have
    0:22:44 5 million, and some
    0:22:45 animals like cats can
    0:22:46 see different sort of
    0:22:47 frequencies of light.
    0:22:49 So it does beg a
    0:22:49 question.
    0:22:50 You know, if it’s
    0:22:52 possible for an animal,
    0:22:53 an organism, to see
    0:22:56 the world in a
    0:22:57 different depth and
    0:22:59 width than us, what
    0:23:00 happens if you go
    0:23:01 further?
    0:23:02 Right.
    0:23:03 Absolutely.
    0:23:03 There are some that
    0:23:04 can detect electric
    0:23:05 fields.
    0:23:07 So some fish can
    0:23:08 detect electric
    0:23:09 fields.
    0:23:12 Some birds, I
    0:23:12 believe, can see the
    0:23:13 polarization of light.
    0:23:16 And some insects, of
    0:23:17 course, use polarization
    0:23:19 of light to find where
    0:23:19 to lay their eggs.
    0:23:21 And we can’t do that.
    0:23:24 So, yeah, when we
    0:23:25 start to study other
    0:23:26 animals, we see these
    0:23:27 remarkable abilities.
    0:23:28 Interesting.
    0:23:31 And what does this
    0:23:32 all mean for the
    0:23:34 nature of how one
    0:23:35 should understand
    0:23:36 their life?
    0:23:37 Because I guess the
    0:23:38 way that we perceive
    0:23:39 the world causes us
    0:23:40 so much suffering or
    0:23:41 joy, depending on how
    0:23:42 we perceive it.
    0:23:43 Is there anything,
    0:23:44 people, from all of
    0:23:45 the work you’ve done
    0:23:46 and the books you’ve
    0:23:48 written, that people
    0:23:48 can bring into their
    0:23:49 lives to help them
    0:23:50 live better lives with
    0:23:51 this understanding of
    0:23:51 the world?
    0:23:52 First thing to note
    0:23:54 is that the world is
    0:23:56 far more interesting
    0:23:59 and varied than
    0:23:59 you can imagine.
    0:24:01 So if you think the
    0:24:02 world is a boring
    0:24:03 place, it’s not.
    0:24:04 Your imagination
    0:24:05 isn’t big enough.
    0:24:06 Whatever reality is,
    0:24:09 it transcends anything
    0:24:10 that you could
    0:24:11 possibly imagine.
    0:24:13 Spiritual traditions
    0:24:14 basically often say
    0:24:16 there’s more to life
    0:24:17 than what you see
    0:24:17 inside space and
    0:24:18 time.
    0:24:19 There’s something
    0:24:19 beyond.
    0:24:22 And I’ve been sort
    0:24:23 of pointing to that
    0:24:24 myself in my own way.
    0:24:24 I’m saying that
    0:24:25 scientific theory is
    0:24:26 always have
    0:24:27 assumptions.
    0:24:27 So there’s an
    0:24:28 infinite number of
    0:24:29 scientific theories that
    0:24:29 you’re going to have
    0:24:30 and you’re never
    0:24:32 going to get a
    0:24:32 scientific theory of
    0:24:33 everything.
    0:24:33 What am I saying?
    0:24:35 That there’s something
    0:24:35 beyond science.
    0:24:38 As good as science
    0:24:40 is, I’m saying
    0:24:41 there’s not only
    0:24:42 not a theory of
    0:24:43 everything, the best
    0:24:44 theory we’ll ever
    0:24:45 come up with is
    0:24:46 zero percent of
    0:24:46 reality.
    0:24:48 So that leaves all
    0:24:49 this room for what
    0:24:50 the spiritual traditions
    0:24:50 are talking about,
    0:24:51 that there’s something
    0:24:53 that transcends
    0:24:53 science.
    0:24:55 there is a way of
    0:24:56 thinking about this
    0:24:57 that I think is very
    0:24:58 illuminating and it’s
    0:24:59 about the intersection
    0:25:00 of science and
    0:25:01 spirituality.
    0:25:03 I’m a scientist.
    0:25:04 Who am I?
    0:25:07 I am someone and I’m
    0:25:08 one of many
    0:25:10 someones, other
    0:25:12 scientists, who can
    0:25:13 create theories and in
    0:25:15 principle ever, ever
    0:25:16 deeper theories and
    0:25:17 there’s an infinite
    0:25:17 sequence.
    0:25:21 So who is the I that
    0:25:21 can do this?
    0:25:24 No theory that I can
    0:25:27 come up with is the
    0:25:28 final description of
    0:25:29 that I.
    0:25:31 In other words, the I
    0:25:32 that is doing all this
    0:25:35 theory building is the
    0:25:39 I that is real, that is
    0:25:41 making these theories, and
    0:25:42 that utterly transcends
    0:25:43 all these theories.
    0:25:44 And that’s a spiritual
    0:25:45 point of view.
    0:25:46 So what does that
    0:25:46 mean?
    0:25:47 You’re God?
    0:25:50 It means that whatever
    0:25:51 you are transcends any
    0:25:52 description.
    0:25:53 And that’s what a lot
    0:25:54 of people say God is.
    0:25:56 Suppose I give you
    0:25:57 something you’ve never
    0:25:58 tasted before, like a
    0:25:59 piece of mint.
    0:26:00 And actually, I don’t
    0:26:01 know what mint tastes
    0:26:01 like to you.
    0:26:02 I assume that it’s like
    0:26:04 what mint tastes like
    0:26:04 for me, but I don’t
    0:26:04 know.
    0:26:06 This is called learning
    0:26:07 by ostensive definition.
    0:26:08 And so we have this
    0:26:09 game where your
    0:26:10 experiences are your
    0:26:15 experiences, and you
    0:26:18 actually didn’t need
    0:26:18 anybody else for those
    0:26:19 experiences.
    0:26:21 All you needed me for,
    0:26:22 or your parents for, is
    0:26:24 to give you a name for
    0:26:24 what you already knew.
    0:26:27 And you create this
    0:26:28 world, and all we do
    0:26:29 is tell you how to talk
    0:26:30 with me about what
    0:26:31 you’ve created.
    0:26:32 And I don’t know that
    0:26:34 your world in any way
    0:26:36 resembles my experience.
    0:26:37 It’s quite possible.
    0:26:38 And do you think
    0:26:38 there’s ways that we
    0:26:39 cause ourself a lot of
    0:26:40 anguish and pain and
    0:26:41 mental health issues
    0:26:42 because of how we
    0:26:44 perceive the nature of
    0:26:46 reality to be, that we
    0:26:47 could potentially, I
    0:26:48 don’t know, give up or
    0:26:50 rewire ourselves on to
    0:26:52 have a more fulfilling,
    0:26:53 more grateful experience
    0:26:54 of life?
    0:26:54 Completely.
    0:26:56 I think that’s very,
    0:26:57 very important.
    0:26:59 And it’s a natural
    0:27:00 consequence of what we’ve
    0:27:00 just been talking about.
    0:27:02 Almost all of us think
    0:27:04 of ourselves as an
    0:27:05 object in space-time,
    0:27:06 only here for a short
    0:27:07 amount of time, and
    0:27:09 we’ll soon die.
    0:27:10 When I say you
    0:27:11 transcend any scientific
    0:27:12 theory, that means the
    0:27:16 theory that I am just
    0:27:19 a 160-pound object in
    0:27:20 space-time is just a
    0:27:21 theory, and it’s not the
    0:27:21 truth.
    0:27:22 That’s not the truth
    0:27:23 about who I am.
    0:27:26 That’s just a theory that
    0:27:26 I have.
    0:27:28 Because space-time itself
    0:27:29 is just a theory.
    0:27:32 nothing inside space-time is
    0:27:34 anything but my headset
    0:27:35 interpretation of a
    0:27:38 reality that infinitely
    0:27:39 transcends anything I can
    0:27:40 experience.
    0:27:43 There is another way that
    0:27:45 you can appreciate that
    0:27:47 that transcends science,
    0:27:49 and that is, and many
    0:27:50 meditative traditions talk
    0:27:52 about this, they recognize
    0:27:56 that you are infinitely
    0:27:59 beyond any scientific or
    0:28:00 any other description.
    0:28:02 So what do you do in that
    0:28:03 case to know who you are?
    0:28:05 You drop all descriptions.
    0:28:08 You sit in absolute
    0:28:10 silence and ignore any
    0:28:11 thoughts, because you
    0:28:12 recognize that thoughts are
    0:28:14 useful in this headset and to
    0:28:15 play the game of life.
    0:28:16 Yeah, we need thoughts to do
    0:28:16 our science.
    0:28:18 If you want to
    0:28:19 understand who I am,
    0:28:24 again, I do psychology, I do
    0:28:25 all this, I do the
    0:28:26 science, so I’m not putting
    0:28:26 science down.
    0:28:27 I’m a scientist.
    0:28:29 But at some point, if you
    0:28:32 want to understand the
    0:28:33 truth of who you are beyond
    0:28:34 just this headset description
    0:28:37 of you, then you have to
    0:28:39 lay aside all concepts,
    0:28:41 period, and just know
    0:28:43 yourself by being yourself,
    0:28:45 not by putting a concept
    0:28:48 between you and yourself.
    0:28:48 A story.
    0:28:49 A story.
    0:28:50 An identity.
    0:28:50 That’s right.
    0:28:52 No story, no identity.
    0:28:53 Nothing between you and
    0:28:53 yourself.
    0:28:56 You know yourself by sitting
    0:28:58 in utter silence and being
    0:28:59 yourself, no concepts.
    0:29:00 Because then you’ve let go
    0:29:03 of all theories, and now
    0:29:05 it’s reality facing reality.
    0:29:07 No barrier in between.
    0:29:10 And that requires you to
    0:29:12 realize that your identity,
    0:29:14 the stories you believe, the
    0:29:14 labels you’ve given
    0:29:16 yourself as CEO or social
    0:29:18 media manager or manager or
    0:29:19 director or head of
    0:29:21 department, all of these
    0:29:21 things are just, in fact,
    0:29:22 labels you’ve given.
    0:29:24 That’s right.
    0:29:26 Those are just labels that
    0:29:26 you’ve given.
    0:29:27 And what’s interesting about
    0:29:29 this now is if I think I’m
    0:29:32 just this little body and
    0:29:34 I’m nothing but this body
    0:29:36 and my conscious experiences
    0:29:37 are nothing but what my
    0:29:37 brain does.
    0:29:39 So that’s my theory, and
    0:29:40 that’s all I am.
    0:29:42 I don’t feel very big.
    0:29:43 I don’t feel very
    0:29:43 important.
    0:29:45 And so I’m going to
    0:29:46 probably need to do
    0:29:47 something to make myself
    0:29:48 feel a little bit better.
    0:29:49 I’m going to need to
    0:29:50 compete with you.
    0:29:50 I’m going to need to show
    0:29:52 how I’m better than you in
    0:29:52 a certain way.
    0:29:53 So I’m a better tennis
    0:29:55 player than you or I’m
    0:29:56 smarter than you or whatever.
    0:29:57 So we’re going to get this
    0:29:59 competition going on among
    0:30:01 people, and we’re going to
    0:30:02 get even competition among
    0:30:04 religions and countries and
    0:30:06 so forth because we don’t
    0:30:09 know who we are and we feel
    0:30:10 inadequate.
    0:30:13 And if we actually
    0:30:18 understood that all of this
    0:30:21 that I’m seeing right now, I’m
    0:30:24 making it up on the fly.
    0:30:27 This cup that I’m seeing, it
    0:30:29 only exists when I create it.
    0:30:32 This table exists when I
    0:30:33 create it.
    0:30:34 Like in a virtual reality.
    0:30:36 In a virtual reality, I’m in
    0:30:36 Grand Theft Auto.
    0:30:38 I look over here and now I see
    0:30:39 a red Mustang.
    0:30:40 I look away.
    0:30:41 I don’t see the red Mustang.
    0:30:43 And now there is no red
    0:30:43 Mustang.
    0:30:46 The red Mustang only existed
    0:30:48 when I looked because it’s a
    0:30:48 VR game.
    0:30:50 I only need it when I render it.
    0:30:51 I render it when I need it.
    0:30:53 I’m now rendering a cup.
    0:30:56 The cup that I rendered is no
    0:30:57 longer there.
    0:30:58 You might render your cup.
    0:30:59 You might say, well, Don, you’re
    0:30:59 wrong.
    0:31:00 The cup is still there.
    0:31:00 I can see it.
    0:31:02 No, you’re rendering your cup.
    0:31:05 And so you’re not rendering my
    0:31:05 cup.
    0:31:06 I rendered my cup.
    0:31:08 So the same thing with Grand Theft
    0:31:08 Auto.
    0:31:09 You might say, well, I see the
    0:31:10 red Mustang even if you’re not
    0:31:10 looking, Don.
    0:31:12 Well, that’s because in your
    0:31:14 headset, you’re looking and you’re
    0:31:16 rendering the red Mustang, but I’m
    0:31:16 not.
    0:31:17 And there is no red Mustang.
    0:31:18 If you look inside the
    0:31:19 supercomputer, there’s no red
    0:31:19 Mustang there.
    0:31:22 The supercomputer that’s running
    0:31:23 the game has no red Mustang.
    0:31:27 So what I’m saying is we compete,
    0:31:29 we feel inadequate, and we feel
    0:31:30 like we need to compete with other
    0:31:31 people and be better than them, and
    0:31:34 we have egos, all the egoic stuff
    0:31:35 that we do that causes all the
    0:31:37 problems in the world because you
    0:31:37 don’t know who you are.
    0:31:40 You’re creating this whole thing.
    0:31:42 You’re not a little player.
    0:31:45 You’re the inventor of this whole
    0:31:45 thing.
    0:31:48 You have nothing to prove, and you
    0:31:49 don’t need to be better than
    0:31:50 anybody else.
    0:31:52 They’re also master creators.
    0:31:54 They’re creating entire universes that
    0:31:55 they perceive as well.
    0:32:02 And my own take on this is that you
    0:32:06 and I are really the same one reality
    0:32:08 just looking at itself through two
    0:32:10 different headsets, two different
    0:32:11 avatars, and having a conversation.
    0:32:16 And maybe that’s what is required for
    0:32:19 this one infinite intelligence to sort
    0:32:19 of know itself.
    0:32:23 If you transcend any description, how do
    0:32:24 you know yourself?
    0:32:25 Maybe what you do is you say, well, let
    0:32:26 me try this headset on.
    0:32:28 Let me take that seriously for a while.
    0:32:30 Maybe even let myself get lost.
    0:32:33 Let me completely believe I’m just a Don
    0:32:35 Hoffman in this space-time.
    0:32:37 And let me believe that for many decades
    0:32:39 and then slowly sort of wake up.
    0:32:41 But at least then I will have seen myself
    0:32:42 from this perspective.
    0:32:43 Then I’ll take off that headset.
    0:32:44 We call that death.
    0:32:45 We all just take off the headset.
    0:32:46 And then I’ll try it.
    0:32:48 There’s an infinite number of headsets to
    0:32:48 try on.
    0:32:52 So from that point of view, any person you
    0:32:54 speak to is transcendent.
    0:32:58 Any animal is just an avatar of this
    0:33:03 transcendent, unspeakably incredible reality
    0:33:06 that transcends science so that science
    0:33:07 will only get 0% of it.
    0:33:10 And again, I always say, I’m not putting
    0:33:10 down science.
    0:33:11 I’m a scientist.
    0:33:12 We need to do science.
    0:33:14 And I recommend that people do science.
    0:33:16 But my guess, this is one of the more
    0:33:17 trivial headsets.
    0:33:19 It’s only four dimensions.
    0:33:20 Why not 20 billion?
    0:33:22 Why not quintillion?
    0:33:25 This is just a fairly trivial.
    0:33:29 So we may be in one of the most, the more
    0:33:32 uninteresting perspectives on who we are.
    0:33:35 And there are much more interesting
    0:33:36 perspectives that we can take on ourselves.
    0:33:39 But the reason we have fighting, the reason
    0:33:42 we have egos is because we don’t know who we
    0:33:42 are.
    0:33:44 And is there a way for me to understand who
    0:33:45 I am?
    0:33:49 Or is the closest you’ve found meditation?
    0:33:50 I know you’ve meditated for 20 years or
    0:33:51 something.
    0:33:54 I should say, I should be a little careful.
    0:33:58 I think it really is important to do, for me
    0:33:59 as a scientist, to have done the science
    0:34:00 that I’ve done.
    0:34:01 But I think for someone else who doesn’t do
    0:34:04 science, maybe that you do music or you do
    0:34:06 some sports or something like that.
    0:34:10 That is a concrete way of knowing yourself
    0:34:11 through a perspective.
    0:34:12 And that’s really important.
    0:34:16 And since we have billions of people and then
    0:34:19 there’s untold other kinds of animals and
    0:34:22 insects and so forth, this one infinite
    0:34:25 intelligence, whatever it is, has decided I want to
    0:34:29 look at myself through the lens of a mosquito and
    0:34:32 now of the bumblebee and now of the jewel beetle that
    0:34:35 can’t even tell a bottle from a female.
    0:34:39 I’m going to look at myself from this panoply of
    0:34:39 perspectives.
    0:34:42 So you’re almost implying there that there’s this one
    0:34:45 consciousness and it’s just using different organisms
    0:34:49 potentially as vehicles to understand itself and the
    0:34:50 nature of reality.
    0:34:50 That’s right.
    0:34:52 So that would mean that me and you are the same
    0:34:55 consciousness, but you were born as a scientist in
    0:34:58 America and I was born as a, I don’t know, an entrepreneur
    0:35:01 in Botswana with different perspectives in order to
    0:35:03 understand the reality, which means that we’re basically the
    0:35:08 the same consciousness, the same super intelligence or
    0:35:11 whatever, just manifesting as different eyeballs in different
    0:35:11 places.
    0:35:13 That’s my view.
    0:35:18 And certain religious traditions do sort of hint, almost say that
    0:35:19 exactly.
    0:35:25 You know, like Jesus in Christianity, in like Matthew 25 says, you
    0:35:27 know, I was hungry and you fed me.
    0:35:27 I was thirsty.
    0:35:29 You gave me something to drink.
    0:35:32 I was a foreigner and you invited me in.
    0:35:34 I was sick and you helped me.
    0:35:36 I was in prison and you visited me.
    0:35:39 And people, he says, asked him, when did we do that?
    0:35:42 And he said, whenever you did it to the least person, you did it
    0:35:42 to me.
    0:35:45 So Jesus is sort of hinting at this.
    0:35:51 There is, there’s no difference.
    0:35:56 The reason to love your neighbor as yourself is because your
    0:35:59 neighbor is yourself just with a different headset.
    0:36:05 And the only reason we have problems is we don’t realize how
    0:36:06 incredible you are.
    0:36:14 So you are that which is creating this VR simulation with all of its
    0:36:16 beauty, all of its complexity.
    0:36:21 All the complexity is you and you’re doing it effortlessly.
    0:36:30 Now, for my neuroscience colleagues, they will say, Don, it’s not effortless.
    0:36:35 You’ve got 100 billion, well, 86 billion neurons in your brain.
    0:36:39 The visual system has billions of neurons that are doing all this computation.
    0:36:43 And we have the simple cells, the complex cells, the hypercomplex cells.
    0:36:45 And we think of the brain as a physical object that’s generating our
    0:36:46 consciousness.
    0:36:51 I’m saying space-time itself is something that you create.
    0:36:54 And so you create everything inside space-time.
    0:36:57 And I’ve also created the brain.
    0:36:57 You create the brain.
    0:37:00 So right now, you don’t have a brain.
    0:37:01 Excuse me?
    0:37:02 And nor do I.
    0:37:03 Okay, fair enough.
    0:37:07 Because I don’t have a brain and you don’t have a brain until we actually look
    0:37:08 inside and render a brain.
    0:37:09 Just like in VR.
    0:37:13 The Mustang doesn’t exist until you look at it and render it.
    0:37:18 So I can predict that if we do the right scans, we will see a brain.
    0:37:23 But that only exists when we do the rendering.
    0:37:24 So I don’t have a brain.
    0:37:29 All these correlations, we know that correlation doesn’t imply causation, right?
    0:37:33 So the fact that there is correlations, and I don’t deny it.
    0:37:38 In fact, I’m all for studying these correlations between brain activity and
    0:37:39 conscious experience.
    0:37:39 They exist.
    0:37:40 They’re undeniable.
    0:37:45 And they don’t in any way remotely entail that the brain causes our conscious
    0:37:45 experiences.
    0:37:47 So I’m not the brain.
    0:37:50 I’m the thing that’s simulating the presence of a brain.
    0:37:50 That’s right.
    0:37:51 That’s right.
    0:37:58 And so in your simulation, your simulation is so good that it simulates also how all
    0:38:04 this reality that transcends space-time is being funneled down into this tiny little space-time
    0:38:05 headset.
    0:38:07 And that’s what we call the brain.
    0:38:11 So of course, there are going to be these correlations between brain activity and what
    0:38:11 we see.
    0:38:13 But the correlation goes the other way.
    0:38:16 It’s not because the brain creates your conscious experiences.
    0:38:23 It’s because consciousness has created the brain as an icon to describe how it’s creating
    0:38:23 this headset.
    0:38:25 Do you think much about simulation theory?
    0:38:30 I’ve had lots of dinner parties recently and conversations over dinner about simulation
    0:38:32 theory, and it always gets very, very interesting.
    0:38:34 What are your thoughts on simulation theory?
    0:38:38 And for my listeners who might not understand the concept of simulation theory, are you able
    0:38:39 to explain it?
    0:38:40 Yes.
    0:38:47 So the standard, Nick Bostrom, for example, is a very big figure in simulation theory.
    0:38:53 And in those kinds of simulation theories, the idea is that the world that you’re seeing
    0:38:56 right now isn’t the true world.
    0:38:57 This is just a simulation.
    0:39:06 And there’s some programmer, say, with some really nice computer that’s programmed this world.
    0:39:12 And so we’re just characters in a simulated world of some programmer.
    0:39:17 And that programmer and their laptop that’s doing this, as it turns out, isn’t the final
    0:39:22 thing either, because that programmer and their laptop is also just a simulation from a deeper
    0:39:24 level programmer and their laptop.
    0:39:30 There could be a very, very large nesting of all these simulated worlds and people with their
    0:39:30 computers.
    0:39:34 And that does jive pretty well with what I’m saying up to a point.
    0:39:36 I’m saying this is not the reality.
    0:39:36 This is just a headset.
    0:39:40 So, but there’s a big, big disagreement.
    0:39:43 Do you think there’s going to come a point where, with everything that’s going on with
    0:39:48 AI and robotics, that we could make a robot and program it with a certain AI that gives
    0:39:50 it the sort of same thinking as a human being?
    0:39:56 And then when I put some chocolate into its mouth, it’s going to say to me, hmm, I love
    0:39:56 that chocolate, Stephen.
    0:39:57 That’s my favorite flavor.
    0:40:00 I could certainly program such a robot.
    0:40:06 But the question will always be, just because I have this particular circuit in the computer
    0:40:11 and then some structure in the tongue that I’ve given it and some pattern of electrical
    0:40:17 activity, what is my scientific theory that explains why that pattern had to be the taste
    0:40:17 of chocolate?
    0:40:19 That’s what we need.
    0:40:24 But it’s your adaptive learning thing where it’s just learned through all of the data,
    0:40:31 through someone telling it, programming it to think that particular set of chemicals, send
    0:40:36 that up to the software and then respond like this, which might just be how me and you are
    0:40:37 responding to life.
    0:40:38 We might not be conscious at all.
    0:40:41 Right, and what you’re suggesting is probably how we’d actually do it.
    0:40:47 We would probably sort of train it and have it give us the right responses in that kind
    0:40:47 of context.
    0:40:48 So we’d probably do it something like that.
    0:40:51 But then as scientists, we want to understand.
    0:41:01 So we’re claiming as scientists that an experience is a, say, certain causal structure or certain
    0:41:03 functional architecture.
    0:41:04 That’s what we’re saying it is.
    0:41:09 Because these are physicalist theories and they’re saying, we’re not going to start
    0:41:09 with consciousness.
    0:41:11 Consciousness is not fundamental.
    0:41:13 Space and time and physical objects are fundamental.
    0:41:21 And so we need to show how those physical objects and their properties give rise to these conscious
    0:41:21 experiences.
    0:41:27 So if that’s the science you want to propose, then I have to be hard-nosed as a scientist now
    0:41:30 and say, give me your theory of mint.
    0:41:33 So do you think this is a simulation?
    0:41:37 So it’s not a simulation in Bostrom’s sense.
    0:41:43 In Bostrom’s sense, it’s a simulation in that it’s a physical substrate that’s giving
    0:41:46 rise to this whole world of conscious experiences that I’m having.
    0:41:48 And that I deny.
    0:41:51 Like a game programmer sat at a computer making it.
    0:41:59 And somehow the physical system itself gave rise to the magic of the conscious experiences
    0:42:01 I’m having of red and green and love and so forth.
    0:42:07 So for the simulation theory, so this is my bone of contention with the simulation theory.
    0:42:11 It’s very similar to my theory in all other respects, but this is a pretty serious bone
    0:42:11 of contention.
    0:42:20 For their theory to work, they have to show explicitly, scientifically, how a specific conscious experience
    0:42:21 arises from a specific program.
    0:42:25 Until you do that, there is no beef on the table.
    0:42:33 So for my point, their theory is a non-starter right now because there’s no specific experience
    0:42:37 that they can say, this program must be the taste of mint.
    0:42:39 They can’t do that.
    0:42:43 And until they can do that, they can’t get this whole world of experience that I’m living in.
    0:42:44 Nothing.
    0:42:45 So there’s no beef.
    0:42:52 All they have to do to give me some beef is to say, like in integrated information theory,
    0:42:54 they say, here’s the matrix for mint.
    0:42:56 This is the matrix.
    0:42:59 Of course, then we’ll ask, why?
    0:43:03 Why is that matrix, that causal structure, the taste of mint?
    0:43:05 What is your scientific theory for why that’s the case?
    0:43:12 And what you’ll see is, I think it’s going to take the field a while to see it, but we
    0:43:14 will find that these approaches are vacuous.
    0:43:16 There’s no beef.
    0:43:21 When you ask people what the meaning of their life is, they’ll often say things like it is,
    0:43:24 maybe they’ll say to raise children, maybe they’ll say they want to improve humanity,
    0:43:31 they want to cure a disease, they want to help society in some way, but through the lens
    0:43:35 of reality that you see the world and that you believe the world is, what becomes the meaning
    0:43:37 of life, Donald?
    0:43:38 That’s a great question.
    0:43:44 I do think that the best description I can give is that there is this one transcendent,
    0:43:48 infinite consciousness, and you and I are just avatars, and so is a mosquito, and so is
    0:43:53 a bacterium, and all are equally interesting and important, and all are different perspectives,
    0:43:54 just different headsets.
    0:43:58 There’s the mosquito headset, there’s the jewel beetle headset, there’s all these different
    0:44:08 headsets, and I’m in the Hoffman headset, happen to do science, I’m not good at art, I’m not
    0:44:11 good at music, and so forth.
    0:44:16 I have my particular talents and inabilities in my headset.
    0:44:20 So I’m here to experience the Don Hoffman perspective on things.
    0:44:20 Why?
    0:44:28 Because that’s perhaps the only way the infinite can know itself, is through an infinite number
    0:44:29 of perspectives.
    0:44:31 It transcends any particular perspective.
    0:44:38 So why not get lost in the Hoffman perspective and the jewel beetle perspective and all these
    0:44:39 different perspectives?
    0:44:49 And that’s the only way to know yourself, but it’s always the one consciousness that’s knowing
    0:44:55 itself through an infinite number of varieties, of experiences, of headsets.
    0:44:58 And did someone or something create that one consciousness?
    0:45:01 Now I’m above my pay grade.
    0:45:01 Now I’m above my pay grade.
    0:45:06 That’s, of course, the right question.
    0:45:11 And it asks for an explanation.
    0:45:20 And the only explanations we have are either mathematical or scientific or both.
    0:45:24 The only really deeply serious testable.
    0:45:28 But even informal explanations make assumptions.
    0:45:35 And so I’ll have to say that you’re asking a question about an entity that transcends any
    0:45:40 description, namely who you really are and who I really am.
    0:45:50 And I think you can know the answer to your question in one way, and that is dropping all
    0:45:52 concepts and just being with your being.
    0:45:53 You are that.
    0:45:56 You are that.
    0:45:58 You don’t need to attain anything.
    0:46:00 You don’t need to achieve anything.
    0:46:03 You’re that right now.
    0:46:05 So there’s no effort.
    0:46:09 There’s no need to get better at anything.
    0:46:12 It’s just to recognize what you already are.
    0:46:18 You’ve let yourself be under an illusion that I’m just this little guy that needs to do
    0:46:22 these things and, you know, and be a professor and whatever it might be.
    0:46:24 I’ve been under that illusion.
    0:46:28 And I got to see myself through that lens.
    0:46:32 And then I began to wake up and see that I completely transcend.
    0:46:33 It was an interesting perspective.
    0:46:34 I’m glad I took it seriously.
    0:46:36 I’m going to throw off that headset.
    0:46:37 We call it death.
    0:46:40 But I’m going to take off that headset pretty soon because that’s not who I am.
    0:46:41 I transcend that.
    0:46:48 So the answer is you can know it, but you know it when you let go of all concepts and
    0:46:49 you don’t try.
    0:46:53 If you’re trying to get there, then you don’t see what you already are.
    0:46:58 That’s the best answer I can give at this point because it does transcend science.
    0:47:04 So in terms of a God, as we believe in God in the religious context, the best answer that
    0:47:10 you have would say that effectively we are God, the God that we refer to.
    0:47:15 We are the transcendent power that goes beyond description.
    0:47:17 Right.
    0:47:19 Yeah, I would say that.
    0:47:27 I mean, I can put that in sort of a Christian language because many listeners will be Christians.
    0:47:31 a child of a human is a human.
    0:47:35 The Bible calls us children of God.
    0:47:39 Well, if a child of a human is human, a child of God is God.
    0:47:41 That’s what it’s pointing to.
    0:47:44 And Jesus is fairly explicit about it.
    0:47:52 When some religious leaders were about to stone Jesus for saying that he was the son of God,
    0:47:59 Jesus quotes the scripture and says, from, I think, the Psalms or something like that,
    0:48:04 he says, but in the Psalms it says, I have said you are gods and all of your sons are the
    0:48:05 most high.
    0:48:09 And Jesus said, if he calls them gods to whom the word of God came, why are you trying to
    0:48:11 stone me to death for just saying I’m the son of God?
    0:48:16 What the Bible is basically saying, love God with all your heart, that’s loving yourself.
    0:48:17 You are God.
    0:48:23 And loving your neighbor as yourself is just recognizing that your neighbor is yourself under a different
    0:48:23 avatar.
    0:48:30 Do you think Jesus was really divine in any, I’m presuming you think this was a real individual,
    0:48:34 and do you think he was divine beyond me and you in some respect?
    0:48:40 Not beyond me and you, but you are as divine as could possibly be.
    0:48:41 Thank you so much.
    0:48:43 I’ll clip that.
    0:48:44 I’ll put that on my LinkedIn.
    0:48:45 Hoffman said it.
    0:48:45 Yeah.
    0:48:47 Your divine is it.
    0:48:50 Hoffman says I’m as divine as I could possibly be.
    0:48:58 Are there any, you must go, if you understand reality through this lens that we’re seeing
    0:49:07 so little and that much of it is created by ourselves and we are the transcendent, are there
    0:49:14 any things that you do on a day-to-day basis that are atypical because of that or thoughts
    0:49:17 you have or experiences you have that are atypical because of this perspective?
    0:49:22 Certainly atypical from before in my own life.
    0:49:30 I now spend quite a bit of time in meditation because as much as I enjoy the life of the
    0:49:38 mind and I’m a professor and I’ve taught lots of students over many, many years and I highly
    0:49:45 recommend all that stuff, at some point I realize that all my knowledge, all possible
    0:49:47 scientific knowledge is 0% of reality.
    0:49:51 And do I really want to confine myself only to 0% of reality?
    0:49:54 I want to explore reality from this perspective, but it is 0%.
    0:50:00 So I do my homework and I encourage my students to do more homework, take this perspective very
    0:50:06 seriously, study it, study it rigorously, but then realize there’s this 100% that you haven’t
    0:50:08 seen and you are it.
    0:50:11 So you’re doing lots of psychedelics and stuff like that too.
    0:50:12 I haven’t done any psychedelics.
    0:50:13 You’ve never tried psychedelics?
    0:50:22 I’ve never, I’ve never even smoked a cigarette and I haven’t had a drink of alcohol in decades.
    0:50:25 So I, I, and it’s partly just because I’m, I’m frail.
    0:50:28 My, my physical body isn’t that strong.
    0:50:32 I, I, I have limits to, well, I can’t push my body too hard.
    0:50:37 So I’ve, I’ve learned to operate within my own limits and I don’t push it too hard, but
    0:50:39 the meditation I do.
    0:50:43 Am I right in thinking that you now meditate three to four hours a day?
    0:50:45 Probably, yeah.
    0:50:49 What insights or understandings have emerged from that, that I might be able to comprehend?
    0:50:57 Any creativity that’s ever come out in my scientific work, to whatever, to whatever extent it’s
    0:50:58 creative, it’s come from the silence.
    0:51:02 So I’ve, of course, I had to do my homework and do my studies and so forth, but the novel
    0:51:06 ideas come from the silence.
    0:51:14 Personally, one, one thing I’ve seen is how identified I am with my avatar.
    0:51:17 I think I am this body.
    0:51:20 I’m really tied to this body.
    0:51:30 And it’s the stuff that I’m saying at the emotional level, there’s an emotional part
    0:51:31 of me that doesn’t believe it one bit.
    0:51:37 Emotionally, you put a gun to my head, I’m scared to death.
    0:51:42 Intellectually, I’ll say to you, this is just an avatar.
    0:51:44 I’m the infinite that transcends.
    0:51:49 So when I die, I just, and I believe that.
    0:51:51 How deeply do I believe it?
    0:51:53 Put a gun to my head and you’ll find out.
    0:51:55 I’ll wet my pants.
    0:52:03 So it’s very, very interesting for me to look at that and to see all the disjunctions,
    0:52:08 the things that are disjointed in my worldview.
    0:52:09 Well, it kind of makes sense, right?
    0:52:14 Based on your theory that our senses have evolved to help us to survive because someone not liking
    0:52:19 your thinking or your theories or rejecting you or harmed your body, it would go against
    0:52:20 your survival.
    0:52:24 So theoretically, if we are in the world that you’ve described and the reality you’ve described,
    0:52:29 which is basically designed for survival, then you would have developed senses that make
    0:52:33 you change behavior if there’s a risk of someone not liking you.
    0:52:34 That’s right.
    0:52:39 There are social pressures and if we don’t conform to them, you get feedback that can be very,
    0:52:41 very negative and in some cases even death.
    0:52:48 If I go to a grocery store and don’t happen to pay and just walk off with the stuff, I end
    0:52:49 up behind bars.
    0:52:50 There are rules of the game.
    0:52:51 There are rules of the headset.
    0:52:56 I transcend the headset, but I choose to allow myself to get lost in the game.
    0:53:03 Starting in January 2020, you did have a proverbial gun held to your head in a way because you
    0:53:10 contracted COVID and went through and are still going through some pretty serious health complications
    0:53:11 because of long COVID.
    0:53:15 You developed heart issues within weeks requiring hundreds of hours of critical care in hospital.
    0:53:19 You told me before we started recording that you’ve had heart surgery twice.
    0:53:19 Yeah.
    0:53:26 In 2021, at 66 years old, at one point you thought you might not survive because your heart had
    0:53:31 been at 190 beats per minute for 30 hours and you sent your wife a goodbye message because
    0:53:33 it looked like it was all over.
    0:53:34 Right.
    0:53:34 Right.
    0:53:45 I am wondering what that brush with death did to your perception of life, your perspective,
    0:53:51 and how that all ties into your beliefs about the nature of reality.
    0:53:58 It certainly let me see how tied I am to my body and the fear that I experienced.
    0:54:03 It’s one thing for me to sit here as a nice academic and talk about how you’re the transcendent
    0:54:04 reality.
    0:54:11 It’s another thing to have your heart fail and to know that this is probably the end and to
    0:54:12 face the raw emotion.
    0:54:15 So I had a deep problem and then I had to have another surgery.
    0:54:20 The first one kept me for a year and a half or so.
    0:54:21 A great surgeon is not his fault.
    0:54:23 He did a great job.
    0:54:26 But, you know, COVID is persistent.
    0:54:31 And the week before my second surgery, I was in the ER three times where they had to restart
    0:54:31 my heart.
    0:54:33 Just didn’t know if I was going to make it.
    0:54:36 I would have to go have my heart restart and then two days later go back and have my heart
    0:54:39 restart and I was just hoping to make it to live to the surgery.
    0:54:47 And even now, I wouldn’t be surprised if the heart starts to go bad again.
    0:54:53 So that takes us out of the abstract academic realm into something very, very concrete.
    0:54:58 How do you deal with the fact that you really don’t know from one heartbeat to the next?
    0:55:07 It keeps you from just talking abstractly about this stuff and being real about it.
    0:55:09 What do I really feel about it?
    0:55:16 And when I look inside and see there’s real fear, then I know, okay, this stuff about you’re
    0:55:20 the infinite and everybody else is the infinite is still fairly just an abstract concept for
    0:55:20 you, Don.
    0:55:23 You haven’t really gone deep enough.
    0:55:29 You need to go deeper and actually, if that’s true, I mean, maybe it’s all BS, right?
    0:55:35 But if it’s true that you are the infinite and everybody else is the infinite, then you
    0:55:36 need to go deeper into that.
    0:55:39 Intellectually, I’m convinced.
    0:55:40 I mean, I’ve given you the reasons.
    0:55:42 Intellectually, I’m quite convinced.
    0:55:48 And it’s really interesting to me that emotionally, I’m far from convinced.
    0:55:52 And I agree with what you just said about the evolutionary arguments for it.
    0:55:57 There’s good evolutionary reasons for me to be wired up to have automatic emotional responses
    0:55:59 that are going to protect this body to keep it.
    0:56:01 So no doubt about it.
    0:56:07 So there’s no reason to judge myself that I’m, you know, my body has a fear response and
    0:56:10 so forth when there are things that are about to kill me.
    0:56:17 The issue is then when I look at that fear response, can I look at it and accept it or do I identify
    0:56:17 with it?
    0:56:27 Do I identify with the fear response or can I step back and be the observer that watches the
    0:56:27 fear response?
    0:56:41 And in the meditation process, what I’m learning to do is, in some sense, what I was saying about
    0:56:41 the science.
    0:56:44 Science is great, but don’t believe any theory.
    0:56:47 Theories are just tools.
    0:56:48 They’re not the truth.
    0:56:51 No scientific theory, my theories included, are not the truth.
    0:56:57 And so also is my theory about who I am not the truth.
    0:57:04 So to really let go of any theory, if I can really let go of any theory of who I am, then
    0:57:04 I’ll let go of any fear.
    0:57:10 So it’s really, it really comes down to this, what’s really, really quite interesting.
    0:57:12 We will each die.
    0:57:14 That’s incontrovertible.
    0:57:22 So any attachments I have to this world will cease.
    0:57:24 There’s no doubt.
    0:57:27 The question is, can I let go of the attachments now?
    0:57:33 Or will they only go from my cold, dead hand?
    0:57:37 When will I let go of all these attachments?
    0:57:48 If I, to the extent, and I am no, no expert, but to the extent that I can let go, I see that
    0:57:48 there’s more peace.
    0:57:52 There’s more peace in letting, not being attached to things.
    0:57:56 So I see that, but I’m not there.
    0:58:01 So this is a very human, very human perspective on things, a very fallible perspective.
    0:58:03 And it’s very, very interesting.
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    0:59:21 So when we do die, in your perspective, is that equivocal to sort of taking the headset
    0:59:22 off?
    0:59:23 Entirely.
    0:59:25 And so when we die, we take the headset off.
    0:59:27 That’s right.
    0:59:32 The consciousness still remains, I assume.
    0:59:32 That’s right.
    0:59:38 So how would one, am I going to, when I die, am I going to float up and be in like a heaven?
    0:59:40 Am I going to go into a tree?
    0:59:41 Am I going to become a bug?
    0:59:43 What’s going to happen with that consciousness?
    0:59:45 Is it going to be this?
    0:59:48 Or is this just a bunch of labels and stories?
    0:59:51 Of course, the answer is I don’t know.
    0:59:52 But I will speculate.
    0:59:56 Having said I don’t know and being honest, I’ll speculate.
    1:00:02 I suspect that the closest I can get to that is what happens in meditation.
    1:00:12 When I really do let go, and it’s very, very quiet and my eyes are closed, then there is
    1:00:17 awareness and it’s a very alert awareness, very, very conscious.
    1:00:20 And it has no content.
    1:00:23 There’s no colors, no taste, no smells.
    1:00:23 There’s no content.
    1:00:27 And no need.
    1:00:34 It’s an awareness that can create all this in an instant.
    1:00:37 And it can let it go.
    1:00:49 So it is the closest you can get to answering your own question is really just to sit in silence.
    1:00:53 And it’s hard because the thoughts will come and come and come.
    1:00:57 And letting go of all thoughts is a difficult one.
    1:01:00 But when you do that, then I think that’s the closest I can give to the answer to your question.
    1:01:05 We spend a lot of time debating whether this God is real or whether this thing is real or whether
    1:01:10 horoscopes are real or whether this spiritual belief is real or karma or dharma or reincarnation.
    1:01:18 In your perspective, then, is it somewhat ignorant to set your stall up anywhere to say that something
    1:01:20 is or isn’t true?
    1:01:21 Because, you know, people are different sides of the spectrum.
    1:01:26 Some people are like staunchly religious and then others are staunchly atheist.
    1:01:27 Right, right, right.
    1:01:35 I think that, of course, like in science, there are certain things that are just plain nonsense.
    1:01:40 In fact, most of the stuff that you just casually come up with and, you know, my theory of electricity
    1:01:45 or my theory of the atoms, it’s just plain nonsense and it goes nowhere.
    1:01:45 It’s not worth any time.
    1:01:52 So I suspect the same thing is true in spiritual stuff where we have even fewer guardrails on our theories.
    1:01:54 But I think there are a few guiding stars.
    1:01:58 If it involves loving your neighbor as yourself, you’re on the right track.
    1:02:03 If it involves putting a barrier between us and them and saying that they’re bad and we’re good,
    1:02:04 you’re probably on the wrong track.
    1:02:05 What does this mean for grief?
    1:02:13 So many people are losing loved ones as we speak or are contending with the reality that they are going to lose a loved one.
    1:02:14 What does it mean for the nature of love?
    1:02:18 Does it, you know, does it take anything away from love?
    1:02:19 Does it add to love?
    1:02:21 Does it strengthen love?
    1:02:27 Well, yeah, I think in some sense it comes down to love is the central thing.
    1:02:34 And, you know, in Christianity, Jesus, I’m talking about that because, you know, my dad was a pastor
    1:02:36 and that’s the one I was raised in.
    1:02:37 So I know the most about this.
    1:02:40 So I’m speaking only because that’s where I had some background.
    1:02:44 And when Jesus was asked, what’s the most important thing?
    1:02:47 He basically said, love God with all your heart, love your neighbor as yourself.
    1:02:50 So love is like number one.
    1:02:53 And my guess is that’s really all you need.
    1:03:03 If your religion is love and that’s it and that’s how you act, you don’t really need to add anything more to that.
    1:03:04 That’s all you really need.
    1:03:05 Love your neighbor as yourself.
    1:03:08 You’re done.
    1:03:10 That’s all that you need.
    1:03:13 And anything beyond that is just not necessary.
    1:03:19 And anything that contradicts that, I would go back and try to figure out where I went wrong in my religion.
    1:03:26 I’ve been asking my, when I met my girlfriend, Melanie, in her bio on Instagram, it said, God is love.
    1:03:27 Now, she’s not religious.
    1:03:28 Yes.
    1:03:30 She doesn’t believe in a particular book or whatever.
    1:03:33 But she, when I asked her, actually, funnily enough, we had this conversation last night.
    1:03:36 I said to her, what do you think God is?
    1:03:37 And she said, I think God is just love.
    1:03:40 And I completely agree.
    1:03:41 That’s shocking that she’s right again.
    1:03:49 No, I think that that’s, love is the closest word that we can have to, as a pointer.
    1:03:50 And again, it’s just a pointer.
    1:03:55 Whatever love is, is just like the word mint only points to the mint.
    1:03:58 The word love only points, but I think it’s the best pointer that we have.
    1:04:01 Love.
    1:04:04 And what is that definition of the word love?
    1:04:10 Because, you know, people use the, I love Manchester United, but the love that you’re describing
    1:04:13 seems to be much more about a oneness.
    1:04:21 It’s basically, it’s really recognizing that that person, even though they have a different
    1:04:27 color, a different race, a different creed, a different idea, that’s just me.
    1:04:31 That’s me in a different headset.
    1:04:38 And when I really, then I ask, well, how would I want to treat me?
    1:04:39 I get the right answer.
    1:04:40 That’s love.
    1:04:44 How would I, if that’s me, how would I treat me if that were me?
    1:04:48 Well, when you get the right answer, when you do that, you’re acting in love.
    1:04:50 You’re not going to beat yourself up.
    1:04:52 You’re not going to call yourself names.
    1:04:55 You’re not going to call you whatever.
    1:05:02 You’re going to treat yourself the way you want to treat yourself, then treat others the
    1:05:03 same way.
    1:05:04 And that’s what love is.
    1:05:08 But ultimately, I think, again, these are all just pointers.
    1:05:12 Whatever love is ultimately transcends any description.
    1:05:17 Do you believe, and I did kind of ask you this earlier, but I was just looking at some
    1:05:22 of the research around how many people talk about these near-death experiences, specifically
    1:05:28 when they, more so when you have a cardiac issue, people seem to say that they had perceptions
    1:05:32 of hearing or seeing things or passing into some kind of tunnel or seeing some kind of light
    1:05:34 or a really positive emotion.
    1:05:35 Yes.
    1:05:40 I wondered if, you know, you were, at one point in your life, thought that you weren’t
    1:05:40 going to make it.
    1:05:50 And if, if with what you know, you, it’s increased your belief in these near-death experience accounts
    1:05:55 that someone was sort of transitioning from this reality through taking the headset off.
    1:05:58 Like, it’s almost like they took a little bit of the headset off, but not all of it.
    1:06:00 And then they came back to the headset.
    1:06:08 So, yeah, these very common experiences about near-death, a light and a tunnel and maybe
    1:06:11 a life review and then a choice to come back and things like that.
    1:06:13 It’s quite, it’s quite, quite common.
    1:06:18 And I’m not going to, going to dismiss them one, one bit.
    1:06:21 I mean, I, it’s hard to get scientific evidence on that.
    1:06:26 It would be very interesting to have a study in which people did have their heart stop, for
    1:06:30 example, were resuscitated and ask how many don’t have that experience.
    1:06:41 I mean, if we had a systematic study that did that, so we don’t want to be tricked by paying
    1:06:43 attention to only certain parts of the data, right?
    1:06:50 So, so, so you can see, even though I talk about letting go of concepts and, and, and, and going
    1:06:55 into the unknown, when, when it comes to things where, where we should do science, then I’m very,
    1:07:00 very hard-nosed about it and, and say, here we need to do, to do studies.
    1:07:05 And some, I, I know some cardiologists, I’m not going to mention names, but that, that have
    1:07:10 seen a lot of this stuff and that they’re convinced by their own informal experience that there’s
    1:07:16 something going on here, so I, I have no, you know, no beef with that, I, I’m, I’m, I think that they might be on to
    1:07:21 something. So I don’t disbelieve it, but that’s different than having the science.
    1:07:29 Why do we suffer in such a reality? Like, why would, why would this transcendent power create
    1:07:37 organisms or perspectives that end up suffering, that end up in the worst of places, the concentration
    1:07:46 camp, the illness, the typhoid, the starvation? Why would such a transcendent power or consciousness
    1:07:57 do such a thing? So, so I’ll try not to be shallow about it, but it goes pain is, pain is pain and death
    1:08:07 is death and certain deaths seem horrific. This is a profound question. I always feel like I’m risking
    1:08:13 being, being trite and, and, and, and, and so forth, because this is, anybody who’s had serious pain knows
    1:08:18 that you just, you just can’t, you can’t play with this stuff. It’s, it’s, it’s, when you, when you’re in
    1:08:28 that pain, it really, and when you’re without fear, it’s, it’s, it’s, I think ultimately, it may be like the
    1:08:37 wounds you get in a video game. You get the wounds, your, your avatar gets killed and, and, and you’re
    1:08:42 upset about it in the moment because you’re losing the game and so forth, but, but then the game’s over
    1:08:55 and, and, and, and, and you’re fine. Ultimately, you’re fine. But that experience, I’ll put it, I don’t want
    1:09:03 to be in that experience. It’s striking that in Christianity, the, the deepest symbol of God
    1:09:15 is horrific, a crucifixion. It’s absolutely, the pain, it’s, it’s not like a little shot to the head
    1:09:21 with a gun or something like that. It’s, it’s, it’s making it as painful and as drawn out and as horrific
    1:09:24 as you could possibly do. And that, and that, and that’s, that’s, that’s, you know, when you see the
    1:09:29 cross, that’s sort of, so your, your question is right at like the heart of Christianity. It’s, it’s putting
    1:09:35 that right there. And it’s saying this most, perhaps the most horrific way you can imagine
    1:09:43 a person dying. That’s what happened to Jesus. And that’s our, our symbol for the divine. So, so that’s
    1:09:49 why, you know, it’s not trivial. It’s not, it’s not shallow. There’s something very, very deep there.
    1:09:56 None of us is volunteering to hop onto a cross. I’m not volunteering to hop onto a cross. So, so I would say
    1:10:01 the, the, the, the challenge of your question is the challenge that there’s probably a deep
    1:10:09 spiritual challenge to, to all of us. And I’ll say to me personally, which is to continue to grow up
    1:10:23 and be less and less identified with this headset and more aware of my transcendent being. Because
    1:10:28 ultimately, even on the cross, I mean, perhaps the most profound thing I’ve ever seen in Christianity
    1:10:32 was Jesus’ words on the cross saying, Father, forgive them. They don’t know what they’re doing.
    1:10:38 Right. That, the, the heart of Christianity is right there. It’s not like the heart of Christianity is
    1:10:46 kill the disbelievers. No, the heart of Christianity is the disbelievers have pinned you on a cross.
    1:10:51 They’re killing you in the worst possible way. And you show them love. That’s the heart of
    1:10:57 Christianity. You show love to those who are in the process of killing you in the worst way they can
    1:11:03 think. That’s the heart of Christianity. Not killing disbelievers or pushing away disbelievers or discounting
    1:11:07 them. That’s the opposite. So there’s something very, very, that’s why I’m very, very slow in answering
    1:11:13 your question. Because this, this gets to the very deep heart of Christianity, I think, and, and, and, and all true
    1:11:19 spirituality, that I don’t think I truly understand. So I see these pointers to it, and I see that it’s
    1:11:25 real, and that your, your question is pointing to one of the most profound and important things. And I, I have the
    1:11:34 feeling that my answer is only ineffectually pointing part of the way there. There’s, there’s much more to
    1:11:40 it than I’ve been able to point to. I’m hazarding a guess at what the role of, yeah, I’m hazarding my own
    1:11:45 guess at what the role of pain and suffering might be in such a, in such a reality where consciousness is
    1:11:53 this transcendent thing that comes into manifest itself as these organisms. And, um, I guess it kind
    1:12:02 of goes, in part goes back to your idea of, I’ve only projected what I need to see through my headset
    1:12:10 in order to survive. So if there are some survival dynamics in play in my headset, then one, one element
    1:12:17 of survival is suffering because the fire is hot. So I put my hand in the fire, my hand gets burnt.
    1:12:22 So don’t do that again, Steve. Right. So if that is, if, if that is the nature of my headset, then there
    1:12:26 will need to be cause and effect as it relates to things that will help me to survive and things that
    1:12:32 won’t help me to survive. Yes. And so suffering might just be an input or a stimulus in this,
    1:12:40 in this headset that helps me to survive. Right. And then, I don’t know, the question
    1:12:45 that springs to mind is why does consciousness care about survival? Why would this transcendent
    1:12:48 consciousness, maybe that’s not even a good question, maybe that’s the wrong question, but
    1:12:57 why does, why does it want to survive in us? Why doesn’t consciousness end? I mean,
    1:13:05 I agree. One thing that I’ve heard from one spiritual teacher in Eckhart Tolle, which is
    1:13:16 interesting on this, in one of his talks, he said, “Let’s pretend that we’re humans.” He goes, “Oh,
    1:13:25 that’ll be fun. And let’s play some dramas.” “Oh, but to have dramas, I have to forget who I am.” “Okay,
    1:13:31 so then let me completely forget who I am.” And then after a few hundred thousand years,
    1:13:41 when I get tired of it, then let’s wake up.” And I thought that was a profound pointer. That
    1:13:47 doesn’t get the whole thing, but it’s an interesting pointer. I think there’s more to it than that, but
    1:13:50 there’s, it’s more than just playing dramas. I think it’s playing dramas
    1:13:59 to further explore who I am by knowing who I’m not. That may be part of it. Knowing who I am
    1:14:07 by knowing different perspectives and knowing that as rich as this perspective is, I transcend that.
    1:14:12 Someone commented on one of your recent videos saying, “Imagine being a character in a book,
    1:14:17 trying to understand your way out of that book into a higher dimension.”
    1:14:27 Yes. That’s right. But of course, that’s a great, great question. The only thing I would
    1:14:32 say is, imagine being the author of the book, having written about a character, because I’m not just a
    1:14:38 character in the book. I’m the author who’s put the character in the book that then wakes up, that’s
    1:14:43 identified with the character and then wakes up and realizes I’m not just the character. I was writing
    1:14:50 the whole book. So that question is good because it points to a misconception. I’m not just a character
    1:14:54 in the book. I’m the writer of the book. And the Hoffman is just one of the characters in the book.
    1:14:56 And the writer of the book is?
    1:15:03 The one consciousness that, when it really understands itself, will love all the characters equally.
    1:15:05 How do you know we’re not separate consciousnesses?
    1:15:10 I don’t. And that’s an interesting, by the way, I’ve got a mathematical model of consciousness,
    1:15:15 and that’s a whole other topic. So you can either play the game here. We’re understanding
    1:15:20 how is physical world and consciousness related. How are those two things related? Most of my colleagues
    1:15:26 say physical world is fundamental. Consciousness emerges when bright brain activity happens.
    1:15:29 So when neurons fire in the right way and so forth, for example.
    1:15:34 Now, as a scientist, I was at these conferences. They know what I’m going to do to them. I say,
    1:15:39 “So you claim that conscious experiences come from integrated information. Give me one.
    1:15:43 Give me an experience.” And they can’t.
    1:15:46 Can they not say, “Well, look, I’m looking around right now, and that’s coming from
    1:15:49 neurons in my brain in a physical substrate?”
    1:15:54 Well, yeah, they’ll say that. But they know what I’m asking. What I’m asking for is I say,
    1:15:59 give me the specific pattern of neural activity that must be the taste of mint.
    1:16:00 Okay, right. So you…
    1:16:02 What must, it must be the taste of mint.
    1:16:07 They can’t spot the sequence of neurons or physical interactions that cause me to taste mint.
    1:16:08 That’s right.
    1:16:10 So that’s, there’s a big gap there.
    1:16:15 And then they have to explain why that particular pattern. So first they have to identify the pattern.
    1:16:16 This pattern.
    1:16:16 Yeah.
    1:16:20 With this, say, integrated information pattern must be the taste of mint.
    1:16:25 By integration information pattern, you mean like this combination of things coming together causes mint.
    1:16:26 That’s right.
    1:16:29 They can’t tell me the combination, and they can’t tell me why that combination…
    1:16:29 Causes mint.
    1:16:33 So it’s basically cause and effect. They’re saying, they’re saying something happened here,
    1:16:38 and then they’re saying an outcome, which is an experience, but the gap in between, they can’t explain.
    1:16:42 That’s right. And sometimes they’ll say that the conscious experience just is
    1:16:46 the dynamic, or whatever the physical dynamics is.
    1:16:47 Okay.
    1:16:54 But even then, the question is, why is this particular dynamics associated with this conscious experience?
    1:16:54 Okay.
    1:16:58 And for principled reasons. In science, we tolerate no BS.
    1:17:06 No BS. There’s got to be a concrete reason. And that’s why I put a big zero. I do this at the conferences,
    1:17:10 knowing that I’m one of very, very few non-physicalists at the conference.
    1:17:15 And I know that the physicalists are out there, and I say, you guys have got zero, right?
    1:17:20 I have a chance. Floor’s open. Tell me I’m wrong.
    1:17:24 And I’m not. They know it. So start with consciousness.
    1:17:25 Yeah.
    1:17:29 Now, I’m playing a different game. I’m saying all this physical stuff.
    1:17:34 So there’s lots of physical stuff. There’s space and time. Einstein’s special theory, general relativity.
    1:17:43 There’s all the bosons and fermions and the leptons, bosons and quarks of the standard model of particle physics.
    1:17:51 You’re saying, spiritual guys, that you can start with the theory of consciousness, mathematical,
    1:17:54 and you will give me all of space-time equations. You’ll give me quantum field theory.
    1:17:57 You will give me the standard model of particle physics.
    1:18:00 How many points have you put on the board, guys? What have you done?
    1:18:07 Can you give me what pattern of conscious agent activity must be a photon?
    1:18:15 What pattern of conscious activity should be the structure of space-time or a boson or a lepton or a quark?
    1:18:24 No points on the board. So you can look at that and go, from that perspective, it’s equal. There’s no points on the board on either team.
    1:18:31 I’ve got a theory that I call conscious agent network theory. I’m working on this with Chaitan Prakash.
    1:18:33 How long have you been working on it?
    1:18:40 You’ve got a book called Observer Mechanics there that was published in 1989. So I’ve been on this for 40 years, almost about 40 years.
    1:18:46 What do you think you’re going to find? What do you think you’re going to prove with your theory of consciousness?
    1:18:52 I think we can put some points on the board in the following. I think we can start with the theory of conscious agents.
    1:19:04 I just presented a talk Friday, and we proposed what light is. We proposed why the speed of light is the same on all inertial frames.
    1:19:08 What does this mean? You’ve got to simplify this for my 16-year-old brain.
    1:19:22 Right, right, right. So if I’m on a train, and the train’s going 50 miles an hour, and I throw a ball, and I can throw it maybe 20 miles an hour, then in some sense the ball is going 70 miles an hour, right?
    1:19:38 And that’s the way things normally work. But if I have a flashlight, and I flash this, the light is going at the speed of light, which is about 186,282 miles per second.
    1:19:40 It’s pretty fast.
    1:19:51 If I get on the train and have the train, I take my flashlight and go like half the speed of light on the train. So I’m going really fast. This is a fast train.
    1:20:02 And I turn on my light. And I’m here outside. I’m looking at the train going at half the speed of light, and someone’s turning the flashlight on, so the light is going at the speed of light.
    1:20:07 How fast is that light beam going to look to me? Because I’m standing on the side, and the train is already going at half the speed of light.
    1:20:09 So how fast is that light beam going to go?
    1:20:12 The speed of light plus half the speed of light?
    1:20:17 That’s what we would mostly think, right? And it turns out, no, it goes the speed of light.
    1:20:26 If you have mass, and you’re not moving at the speed of light, and we try to accelerate you to get to the speed of light, you’ll never get there.
    1:20:28 But there’s a speed limit. You can’t get there.
    1:20:32 So that’s really counterintuitive, right?
    1:20:39 But Einstein said, this is my fundamental hypothesis on which I’m going to build my theory of space and time,
    1:20:44 is that light, no matter how fast you’re moving, always moves away from you at the speed of light.
    1:20:54 And also that there’s no special observer. There’s no, what we call, no special inertial frame, but no special frame of reference in which to look at things.
    1:20:55 All frames are equivalent.
    1:21:01 So the question is, how do I start with the theory of conscious agents?
    1:21:03 Which is?
    1:21:06 That’s a good question. So what is a conscious agent?
    1:21:14 I’ll say it’s mathematical, and I’ll only talk about one aspect of it. It’s complicated, so I’ll talk about only an essential, one essential part of it.
    1:21:21 And that is, if you are conscious, you have experiences. Like I have, I can experience, keep it real simple.
    1:21:23 I can experience colors, red, green, blue.
    1:21:26 Keep it very, very simple.
    1:21:32 So I’ll imagine a very, very simple conscious agent, and what it can do is experience three colors, red, green, and blue. That’s all it can do.
    1:21:32 Like me?
    1:21:38 Yeah, of course, you have a much richer set of conscious experiences, but you include that kind of observer, right?
    1:21:38 Sure.
    1:21:39 Because you can do red, green, and blue.
    1:21:43 And now I’ll talk about another observer that only sees red and green.
    1:21:43 Yeah.
    1:21:48 And now you don’t just see one color. You see a color for a little bit, and then you see another color.
    1:21:52 So I see red for a while, then I see green, and then I see blue, and I maybe go back to red or whatever.
    1:22:04 So there’s going to be this sequence of colors that I see, and maybe the best I can say is that if I see green right now, then it’s a 20% chance that I’ll see red next, and an 80% chance that I’ll see blue next.
    1:22:06 So I can write down probabilities.
    1:22:11 Well, so that’s pretty simple, right?
    1:22:19 There’s colors, experiences, and then there’s probabilities of what sequence, you know, if I see this experience, what my next experience will be.
    1:22:24 And I’m using C in a general term, right? It could be hearing or smelling or whatever.
    1:22:31 How do you capture that mathematically? There’s something called a Markov kernel, a Markov matrix, that says, basically, it gives you all the numbers.
    1:22:36 The first row of numbers, and it says, if I see red now, what’s the probability that I’ll see red next?
    1:22:40 What’s the probability I’ll see green next? What’s the probability I’ll see blue next?
    1:22:50 So you just write the numbers out. Maybe it’s 0.2 that I’ll see red again, 0.4 that I’ll see green, and then 0.4 that I’ll see red.
    1:23:01 Blue, I can’t. So, and then the next color, you know, I’ll have another row for, if I’m now seeing green, what’s the probability I’ll see red, green, and blue, and then finally blue, what’s the probability I’ll go to red, green, and blue.
    1:23:06 So I need nine numbers. That’s only, for three colors, I need nine numbers to talk about all the possibilities.
    1:23:09 And then I’ll just have a counter as well.
    1:23:12 So every time I see a new color, I’ll just have a little counter.
    1:23:14 So I see red now, that’s one.
    1:23:16 Oh, now I see green, that’s two.
    1:23:19 Now I see green again, so that’s three.
    1:23:23 So I’m counting the colors, the experiences.
    1:23:24 That’s all I’m going to talk about.
    1:23:25 That’s all I have.
    1:23:34 The question is, if I start with just that notion of an observer, it has colors and a matrix of probabilities.
    1:23:37 If I see this color, I can see another color.
    1:23:38 What’s the probability?
    1:23:42 And every time I see a new color, I get a counter incrementing.
    1:23:43 That’s all I’m going to start with.
    1:23:49 Can I get Einstein’s, can I get that the speed of light is the same in all inertial frames?
    1:23:59 That if I’m on a train and I flash the speed, flash a light bulb, flash a light, that it will go at the speed of light even for someone who’s on the train going at half the speed of light?
    1:24:04 And I discovered just in the last three or four months that the answer is yes, I can do it.
    1:24:08 And that’s what I presented last Friday at this conference.
    1:24:11 So what does this mean about the nature of consciousness?
    1:24:22 It means that starting with a theory of consciousness outside of space-time, I can actually give you with mathematical precision the structure of space-time.
    1:24:30 Which means that your belief is space and time and everything I see and experience actually comes from consciousness itself.
    1:24:33 So consciousness itself is the source of everything.
    1:24:34 Everything that you, that’s right.
    1:24:37 So my consciousness didn’t come from my brain.
    1:24:38 That’s right.
    1:24:40 My brain came from my consciousness.
    1:24:41 That’s exactly right.
    1:24:42 That’s exactly what I’m saying.
    1:24:43 And we’ve talked about the headset.
    1:24:44 Yeah.
    1:24:47 What I’m doing is I’m building the headset.
    1:24:54 I’m saying here’s the conscious agents, their dynamics, and I’m now starting to build the space-time headset.
    1:24:59 Is there a concern that believing these things can make one go mad?
    1:25:09 I think sometimes think that thinking very deeply about who we are, why we’re here, how we got here, sometimes it makes me, I don’t know, like I lose a bit of my orientation and I get a little bit of a wobble.
    1:25:15 Like when I’ve had these conversations about the simulation theory and this being a big video game and such, I’m like, well, it kind of shakes everything you know.
    1:25:23 And these stories that we’ve constructed our lives on give us, they anchor us and they orientate us and they give our life meaning.
    1:25:30 So if it’s not true, then I lose the meaning of my life and I worry if I risk going bonkers.
    1:25:34 Well, I certainly empathize with that.
    1:25:36 And that’s also what happens also in the meditation process.
    1:25:40 This also leads me to have to face all sorts of emotional stuff.
    1:25:48 My deep belief that I’m just my avatar and letting go of that is like a death and it’s very, very painful.
    1:25:52 So for me, the meditation process is not all love, joy, and peace.
    1:26:02 A lot of it is deep, deep, tough emotions as I let go of what I thought was myself.
    1:26:08 And it’s a kind of a, it’s a death of an illusion, but it feels like a real death to me.
    1:26:10 But now here’s the positive side.
    1:26:11 Here’s the upside.
    1:26:19 I’m proposing that science is, got the tools, if we assume consciousness is fundamental,
    1:26:22 to step entirely outside of space-time.
    1:26:29 And do serious mathematics and show how space-time is built as a headset.
    1:26:37 And this means we’re opening up a realm of new technologies
    1:26:43 that are going to make everything that we’ve done in science and technology so far seem trivial.
    1:26:45 And here’s the reason.
    1:26:50 Suppose you’re a wizard in Grand Theft Auto and you know how to use all the tools in Grand Theft Auto.
    1:26:52 That’s fantastic.
    1:26:53 It’s just really good.
    1:26:55 You can drive your car from A to B faster than anybody can do.
    1:27:00 But now if you’re the software engineer who knows how Grand Theft Auto has been,
    1:27:02 because you wrote the code, you know it.
    1:27:04 You can do miracles.
    1:27:08 You can take the wizard’s car and take the air out of their tire just like that.
    1:27:09 You can take the gas out of their tank.
    1:27:11 You can take their car and move it from A to B instantly.
    1:27:13 Not through Grand Theft Auto.
    1:27:16 You can move it there instantly because you’ve got the code outside.
    1:27:21 What I’m saying is this is real.
    1:27:23 I started now to really believe this.
    1:27:28 When I could get Einstein’s space-time coming out of this, I got light and I think I’ve got an electron now.
    1:27:42 I think we’re reverse engineering the headset and the technologies that are about to come out of this will make everything else seem like firecrackers because we’re now getting to a deeper layer outside of the headset.
    1:27:44 We’re not wizards inside the headset.
    1:27:49 We’re the software engineers that are making the headset and now we can play.
    1:27:56 So, for example, right now, the nearest galaxy, the Andromeda galaxy, is 2.4 million light years away.
    1:28:06 If you hopped on a light on a spaceship to send your offspring, it would take, I don’t know how many generations, thousands of generations, I would guess, to get there.
    1:28:08 And that’s the closest.
    1:28:10 That’s the closest galaxy.
    1:28:13 The universe is much, much bigger than that.
    1:28:15 That’s just our little neighborhood.
    1:28:16 It’s not feasible.
    1:28:20 We’re not going to be able to travel with our current technologies.
    1:28:27 Travel inside space-time to Andromeda is not feasible for the foreseeable future.
    1:28:29 What if we don’t have to go through space-time?
    1:28:32 What if space-time is just a headset?
    1:28:34 It really is just a headset.
    1:28:38 And we don’t have to go 2.4 million light years to get there.
    1:28:42 We learn the code outside of space-time.
    1:28:44 And we can just change the code.
    1:28:49 Just like the Grand Theft Auto, in Grand Theft Auto, the car has to drive through the roads to get from A to B.
    1:28:52 But not if you look at the code.
    1:28:57 In the code, I just need to change the value of a register and all of a sudden the position of the car is now at B.
    1:28:59 It was at A and I put it at B.
    1:29:01 Is this what time travel is?
    1:29:06 This would be like, this would appear like immediate time travel or immediate space travel.
    1:29:09 Is there anything within the laws of physics that tells you that this isn’t possible?
    1:29:11 It’s impossible inside space-time.
    1:29:15 If you only use, so inside space-time, it’s impossible.
    1:29:18 But outside of what we know about space-time?
    1:29:32 A theory that’s outside of space-time that properly contains space-time as a projection of the theory allows us to then build technologies that aren’t restricted to space-time.
    1:29:46 Do you think we’re getting closer to being able to edit the code of this experience so that we can do things we never thought were possible and that things that sit outside of what we know within the laws of physics?
    1:29:48 That’s exactly what I’m working on right now.
    1:29:51 That is my research project right now.
    1:29:53 That’s what I’m doing.
    1:29:58 What are you hoping to do with this research and do you think about the consequences of it?
    1:29:59 I do.
    1:30:22 So, first, what I’m hoping to do with the research, what I’m hoping to show is that I can get all of quantum field theory, all of special and general relativity, all of standard model of particle physics from this theory of conscious agents outside of space-time that we’ll be able to explain all of the laws that we see.
    1:30:37 And then show that space-time theories are, in fact, a very tiny projection of the much more informationally rich dynamics of conscious agents.
    1:30:41 I’ve built companies from scratch and backed many more.
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    1:30:53 And I can’t fault them for that.
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    1:32:15 And so much more.
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    1:32:23 You can tell us what you want this show to be, who you want us to interview, and the types of conversations you would love us to have.
    1:32:28 But remember, for now, we’re only inviting the first 10,000 people that join before it closes.
    1:32:36 So if you want to join our private closed community, head to the link in the description below or go to doaccircle.com.
    1:32:37 I will speak to you then.
    1:32:45 You know, whenever someone talks about editing genes, right?
    1:32:57 There’s CRISPR DNA technology that allows you to edit genes, or there’s other technologies that people talk about that allow you to, they’re talking about putting, you know, our memories on hard drives and stuff like that.
    1:33:03 People get quite precious with the idea of, like, playing with the nature of reality too much, because some people might suffer.
    1:33:10 And even in your perception of what the world is, if we’re all one consciousness, it becomes a slightly different conversation.
    1:33:19 But I guess the question I’m asking is, if we were able to play with the software of this thing that we’re all experiencing right now and do things that sit outside the laws of physics,
    1:33:24 is there a question of morality of, like, is that the right thing to do?
    1:33:24 Will people suffer?
    1:33:29 Or if this is all just code, is that just, like, a pointless question?
    1:33:35 Well, no, I think it’s a very important question, and I’ve thought about it.
    1:33:36 Like, is that the wrong thing to do?
    1:33:38 It’s like Pandora’s box, right?
    1:33:39 Are we opening Pandora’s box?
    1:33:45 All sorts of nasty surprises that could come out of the box once we open, go beyond space-time.
    1:33:46 Like, who gets to open the box?
    1:33:47 If you get to open the box.
    1:33:50 That’s what I think I’m doing.
    1:33:56 Now, the talk I gave on Friday was saying, here’s the first peek inside Pandora’s box.
    1:34:02 But then you could become God, as far as we’re all concerned, because if you have that power to play with the code.
    1:34:04 Well, it’d be only the next level of God, right?
    1:34:05 Yeah.
    1:34:09 So, as I’ve said, my theory is just a theory.
    1:34:12 And so, it’s not the truth.
    1:34:15 It’s just, but it’s more comprehensive than the space-time theory.
    1:34:21 And so, because I have a more comprehensive theory, I can do new technologies that you couldn’t do.
    1:34:28 So, I’m not God, but I’m outside of the limits of space-time.
    1:34:30 So, I can give you new technologies.
    1:34:44 If I can show how space-time arises entirely outside of, from this deeper theory, then if I’m right, and I’m mathematically precise, that means I have the tools to prove that I’m right.
    1:34:49 That means I can make technologies that will be miraculous from within the space-time.
    1:34:56 I think about the atomic bomb and how the first nation to figure out that there was new possibilities within technology.
    1:35:02 And because they had discoveries within physics, basically won the war.
    1:35:05 They were able to control every country.
    1:35:10 They became effectively the god, because they could wipe anybody out within an instance.
    1:35:12 Right.
    1:35:17 It’s like an analogy for how reimagining physics creates new possibilities in technology.
    1:35:18 That’s right.
    1:35:28 And this is even bigger than that, because nuclear bombs will be like firecrackers compared to what you can do with a technology that’s really outside of space and time.
    1:35:28 We could do anything.
    1:35:32 We could live forever, but that’s not even something that would really matter.
    1:35:33 Right.
    1:35:34 Once you realize it’s just a game.
    1:35:39 But you could give yourself extra time as much as you wanted in this.
    1:35:44 So, the moral question is a very, very interesting one.
    1:35:50 It’s not to be taken lightly, either way.
    1:36:05 And ultimately, it may be very related to the question you asked earlier, which is about the nature of why did the one, if there is a one, allow all this kind of horrible pain and so forth.
    1:36:12 So, I have a sense, and I can’t defend it, that all is well.
    1:36:24 That even with the technologies, even if the technologies are really far more powerful than anything we’ve seen before, nothing can actually hurt the reality of the one.
    1:36:28 And all of the headsets are just headsets.
    1:36:31 They’re taken off anyway by the one.
    1:36:34 They’re just tried on and let go.
    1:36:41 Apparently, the one, even without all this technology, has already, you know, put Jesus on the cross.
    1:36:50 If that story about the one is correct, then it’s given a thumbs up for choosing to do that, because, you know, it did it.
    1:36:52 It was created cancer and the Holocaust.
    1:36:53 That’s right.
    1:37:07 But the one’s relationship with the pain of its, the things, the organisms it’s created is different to the perception of pain in the organism itself, potentially.
    1:37:21 So, like, I hate pain, but maybe the one, the one consciousness that we all share, that we all return to and came from, might see it as a useful signal or might not be subjectively bothered by it.
    1:37:24 Because it’s choosing to do that.
    1:37:25 I agree with you.
    1:37:29 That seems to be a reasonable kind of conclusion.
    1:37:38 And in meditative practice, often what you find is, and I always risk pretending that I’m further along than I’m not.
    1:37:56 So, I’ll just say I’m a neophyte, but, but, so I’ll talk about what I’ve heard from other more advanced people, that they, what was a deep pain, emotional pain, for example, when they stare at it and really accept it, it dissolves.
    1:38:07 So, now I’m speaking over my head, but, but from people that I have no reason to disbelieve.
    1:38:10 I read a comment on your video from a guy that wrote this.
    1:38:12 He wrote, I’m a schizophrenic.
    1:38:13 I do DoorDash for some extra money.
    1:38:16 And one night I arrived and walked to the door.
    1:38:19 I placed the food down on the door and I took a picture.
    1:38:21 I got in my car and I drove away.
    1:38:26 And 30 minutes later, the customer called me and asked me where the food was.
    1:38:28 And I, I told him exactly where it was.
    1:38:30 I remember taking the picture on his doorstep.
    1:38:33 So, he took it up with DoorDash directly.
    1:38:38 Sometime later, I opened my back door and I saw his order on my back door.
    1:38:40 I was so confused why it was there.
    1:38:43 I remembered everything about going there and taking the picture.
    1:38:46 He said I was never there on his cameras.
    1:38:49 Apparently, I hallucinated the whole delivery.
    1:38:54 I was there, but must have never left the car or even drove up.
    1:38:57 What was I doing then?
    1:39:01 Was I staring blankly at the windshield with my eyes glazed over?
    1:39:05 I called him and apologised, but he, but he already got his refund.
    1:39:06 I felt so terrible.
    1:39:09 I’m on medication and nothing works.
    1:39:14 It just goes to show how easily some misfirings in the brain can completely alter your sense of reality.
    1:39:17 But it also poses deeper questions about reality.
    1:39:21 I thought it was an interesting, very interesting point.
    1:39:29 But also, it just, it also speaks to when we talk about people that have various mental illnesses like schizophrenia that are experiencing the world entirely differently.
    1:39:33 It raises big questions about what consciousness is again.
    1:39:33 Absolutely.
    1:39:39 And someone might take that example and say, doesn’t that show that brain activity is causing consciousness?
    1:39:43 And you get the wrong brain activity, then you get these false experiences and you get these illusions.
    1:39:49 So a lot of people take this as a victory point for the physicalist point of view.
    1:39:52 But there’s another point of view.
    1:39:55 And that is, think about the experiences that you have when you’re dreaming.
    1:39:57 They can be very, very vivid.
    1:40:04 And you’re, in a dream, you are de novo creating that reality.
    1:40:06 That’s not a reality that’s there in front of you.
    1:40:07 You’re creating that reality.
    1:40:14 So we know that you have the ability to project a reality, a very compelling reality.
    1:40:15 All of us do.
    1:40:17 Without schizophrenia, we do it every night in our dreams.
    1:40:20 So no surprise that we do that.
    1:40:28 And the way I view it is that we, it’s consciousness that’s making this particular headset.
    1:40:33 And it’s consciousness that uses the headset in dreams to make the realities we see in the dreams.
    1:40:39 And it’s consciousness that outside of space-time that also creates what we call the real reality when we’re not dreaming.
    1:40:49 And if you construct the headset in certain ways, then you can get the dreaming stuff mechanism, for example, interfering with the, what you’d call the waking mechanism.
    1:40:51 And you could, you know, effectively.
    1:40:53 So I’m not saying schizophrenia is dreaming.
    1:40:56 But I’m saying, I’m just giving this an example of the kind of thing that could be.
    1:40:58 I’m not giving a diagnosis of this particular person.
    1:41:01 I’m about to leave this chair, as are you.
    1:41:03 And I’m going to go back to my life.
    1:41:03 Yeah.
    1:41:05 Where I’m building businesses.
    1:41:06 I’ve got a girlfriend.
    1:41:07 I’ve got a team.
    1:41:09 I’ve got plans for the future.
    1:41:10 I have all of these things.
    1:41:14 My listeners, they’re sat at home.
    1:41:18 They’re on a taxi, on a plane, train, walking in a gym, wherever they might be right now.
    1:41:30 And I imagine that they’re also looking for a conclusion here, a conclusive point of what all this means for me in my life and the things I had planned and how I should show up and treat people and act.
    1:41:39 Can you give me the conclusive point that all of this teaches you and us about how we should live our lives going forward?
    1:41:42 If everything that you’ve said about the nature of reality is accurate.
    1:41:43 Yeah.
    1:41:53 In a nutshell, I would say the critical thing practically is love your neighbor as yourself because your neighbor is yourself.
    1:42:06 And second, reality is far more interesting and exciting than you could ever imagine.
    1:42:09 So never think that you know everything.
    1:42:20 Recognize that the moment you think you know everything, that’s the moment that you’re missing the astonishing reality that you’re a part of.
    1:42:32 So always have a childlike curiosity, always recognize that there’s infinitely more than you’ve ever imagined so far, and that infinitely more is you.
    1:42:38 And on a point of removing some of the stress and suffering from my life.
    1:42:50 I think, of course, first some humble pie is required.
    1:42:52 I have stress and suffering.
    1:42:56 So I’m not speaking as someone who has transcended stress and suffering.
    1:43:02 So I speak as another fellow person with stress and suffering that is still dealing with it on a daily basis.
    1:43:06 Given that the humble pie, then I will say this.
    1:43:18 I think a lot of, and I’ll make it personal, I think a lot of my problems, my stress, a lot of my suffering is because I believe illusions.
    1:43:34 To the extent that I believe that I need to become something at all, need to be better than I am in any way, need to prove anything to anybody else, that’s an illusion.
    1:43:37 I’m already the infinite.
    1:43:38 I don’t need to prove anything.
    1:43:42 I’m making, everything is already, so I don’t need to get anywhere.
    1:43:43 I don’t need to accomplish anything.
    1:43:48 I don’t need to succeed at anything to become what I need to become.
    1:43:50 I’m already that.
    1:43:55 So I don’t, so the suffering comes for me forgetting who I am.
    1:44:07 I don’t need to, I don’t actually need to impress anybody, accomplish anything, because everything that I’m saying, I’m already making this all up.
    1:44:08 This is already me.
    1:44:10 I’ve already done all this.
    1:44:11 What more do I need to do?
    1:44:12 I am transcendent.
    1:44:15 I am, I’m completely transcendent of this thing.
    1:44:17 And to the, and my suffering is not recognizing that.
    1:44:23 My suffering is entirely being caught in my avatar.
    1:44:25 This is just my avatar.
    1:44:25 It’s not me.
    1:44:28 So my suffering is because I made this avatar.
    1:44:35 I let myself on purpose be identified with the avatar, knowing that I would be suffering because of that.
    1:44:38 And knowing that I needed to wake up.
    1:44:44 So I’m suffering because I’m identified with the avatar, but I put myself in that place because I really wanted to look at the world through this avatar.
    1:44:45 That’s why I’m suffering.
    1:44:50 But eventually I wake up and I look and I see the avatar for what it is.
    1:44:57 And I realized that everything I was trying to do to prove that I was worthwhile and I was better than you or not as bad as you think I am or things like that.
    1:45:03 All of that was just, you know, all the pain and suffering was because of an illusion.
    1:45:06 But I needed to do that.
    1:45:13 I needed to look at myself from that perspective for a while, in part to find out who I am by finding out who I’m not.
    1:45:15 I’m not that, just that avatar.
    1:45:26 Do you find yourself toggling back and forward between this realization and then the avatar, especially when times are hard?
    1:45:32 Do you find yourself reminding yourself in difficult moments that this is just an avatar and you’re transcendent?
    1:45:36 Is that a useful, active practice in your life?
    1:45:49 Because that’s one of the things I take away from this is when I walk over there and I go on my phone or my laptop and I get some shitty email, I could just remind myself that this is all just, I’m transcendent and this is a game that I’m playing.
    1:45:52 And that will help me move through, and that will help me move through that situation.
    1:45:57 It is very practical in that way because if it really is true, I mean, we’ll put it this way.
    1:45:59 From a big perspective, from a big perspective, we’re all going to die.
    1:46:06 And if I asked you, who was the most rich and famous person in 1743?
    1:46:08 Who knows and who cares?
    1:46:11 Same thing about us.
    1:46:15 A thousand years from now, is anybody going to know our name?
    1:46:16 No.
    1:46:17 Anybody going to care?
    1:46:17 No.
    1:46:24 So, that’s really important to see.
    1:46:26 No one’s going to care.
    1:46:31 And does that mean that I’m worthless, I’m pointless, I’m meaningless?
    1:46:38 No, it means you’re infinite, and this is just one of the games you’re playing, and enjoy it.
    1:46:38 And enjoy.
    1:46:41 And don’t try to get your identity from this game.
    1:46:45 In some sense, you’re getting your identity from finding out that you’re not this game.
    1:46:48 That’s how you’re learning about who you really are, is to know.
    1:46:53 I thought I needed to be, for example, the CEO or the professor or whatever it might be,
    1:46:56 and to get all these accolades and so forth.
    1:46:59 And that motivated me for a while.
    1:47:02 And then I realized, no one’s going to really care.
    1:47:04 And in fact, you know what?
    1:47:05 I don’t really even care.
    1:47:07 That was just a game I had to play.
    1:47:08 And I’m not that.
    1:47:11 And I learned that I transcend that.
    1:47:12 So, it is practical.
    1:47:21 And it is practical in a very, you know, in some sense, life is full of all these irritations,
    1:47:23 things that go wrong, all the time.
    1:47:29 The lesson of life is to just say yes to whatever happens.
    1:47:31 Just, this is what happens.
    1:47:34 This is what needs to happen.
    1:47:37 And to not resist.
    1:47:40 In some sense, you know, I am the infinite.
    1:47:41 I put myself in this game.
    1:47:46 And I am smart enough that I’ve, it’s a good game.
    1:47:49 So, hey, just go with it.
    1:47:52 So, you know, things go wrong.
    1:47:55 Now, that’s easy for me to say.
    1:48:02 If you ask me this when I’m on the ER, which I was with my heart about to fail and so forth,
    1:48:06 now I’m, you know, my emotions are going crazy.
    1:48:08 I’m thinking about my wife.
    1:48:11 I’m saying goodbye to my wife and so forth.
    1:48:17 It’s hard to have a nice dispassionate thing going on like I’m talking about now in that situation.
    1:48:25 But I think people more further along than me in letting go of identification with him,
    1:48:27 I’m still tied to my avatar quite a bit, right?
    1:48:30 So that’s why I suffer.
    1:48:37 But there are people, I think, spiritual people, maybe the Dalai Lama, probably Jesus, Eckhart Tolle.
    1:48:44 There are people like that who I think really have disidentified from their avatar.
    1:48:48 And I think they probably just don’t suffer.
    1:48:54 They might have physical pain, but they don’t suffer.
    1:49:00 Should love, therefore, be unconditional if we are, if you are me, if we’re the same consciousness,
    1:49:05 if we are the same transcendent source, doesn’t that really mean that I should love you,
    1:49:08 really irrespective of what your avatar does, because we are the same thing?
    1:49:12 Well, I would say unconditionally, yes.
    1:49:14 And I would also say that Jesus said that.
    1:49:23 Jesus, in the Sermon on the Mount, basically said, do not judge, period.
    1:49:26 I was looking at Luke 6, 27.
    1:49:28 He says, love your enemies.
    1:49:29 Yes, love your enemies, right.
    1:49:31 Do good to those who hate you.
    1:49:32 That’s right.
    1:49:35 God’s love for humanity is unconditional.
    1:49:36 Absolutely.
    1:49:40 And he said the same thing about the people that were crucifying while he’s hanging on the cross.
    1:49:45 That is one of the most profound images I’ve ever seen,
    1:49:51 is a guy hanging on the cross, forgiving the ones who are killing him right at that moment.
    1:49:56 And that’s where it’s real.
    1:50:00 In the Gita in Hinduism, in the Gita 9.29, it says,
    1:50:02 I am the same to all beings.
    1:50:07 He who worships me with devotion is in me and I in him.
    1:50:12 Judaism says, love your neighbor as yourself.
    1:50:17 Islam says, my mercy encompasses all things.
    1:50:21 Across all religions, unconditional love is not just an emotion.
    1:50:23 It’s a spiritual discipline and a reflection of the divine.
    1:50:29 It means loving without ego, expectation, or fear, the ultimate challenge and the ultimate freedom.
    1:50:32 I completely agree.
    1:50:34 And that’s right.
    1:50:38 So it’s really about letting go of judgment.
    1:50:39 We tend to judge other people.
    1:50:44 So Jesus was very clear about that.
    1:50:45 He said, don’t judge.
    1:50:46 Period.
    1:50:50 And don’t condemn other people.
    1:50:56 So for those who are followers of Christ, if you judge somebody else, then you’re not following Christ.
    1:50:57 Are you religious?
    1:50:59 I’ll put it this way.
    1:51:01 I was raised in a fundamentalist Christian church.
    1:51:02 My dad was a pastor for a while in a church.
    1:51:14 My own attitude about—I think that the Bible has good stuff in it.
    1:51:16 And I think that, as I pointed out, I think it has bogus stuff.
    1:51:20 Stuff that, when they say women can’t talk in church, I think it’s completely bogus.
    1:51:22 So I have to have a nuanced view.
    1:51:27 I think when Jesus says, love your neighbor as yourself, I think that that’s deep and right.
    1:51:36 I wouldn’t say I’m a card-carrying believer in any particular religion.
    1:51:44 I am a believer that consciousness—there is one consciousness and that you and I are it.
    1:52:02 And I think that Buddha and Jesus and Muhammad and a bunch of people were very, very helpful avatars to help other avatars sort of wake up to their true nature.
    1:52:06 Do you think much about AI?
    1:52:09 It’s the topic of many conversations these days.
    1:52:11 There’s a lot of doom and gloom around it.
    1:52:12 There’s a lot of people talking about efficiencies.
    1:52:20 But I wondered if it at all sort of overlaps with any of your work on the nature of reality and the case against reality.
    1:52:21 Very much.
    1:52:22 Very much so.
    1:52:25 I’m thinking about AI a lot.
    1:52:27 I’ve been in AI since 1979.
    1:52:33 And you worked—you took a class with the guy who basically is known as one of the inventors of AI.
    1:52:35 Yeah, with Marvin Minsky, right.
    1:52:42 And all my research, I did my PhD research on LISP machines in the artificial intelligence lab at MIT.
    1:52:47 They were, at the time, very, very powerful machines for the time.
    1:52:51 So I’ve been with AI for quite a while.
    1:52:56 And I’m very interested in the current state of AI.
    1:53:00 The large language models are doing great things, and I use them myself.
    1:53:01 They’re very, very helpful.
    1:53:09 They’re also—as powerful as they are, they’re dumber than cucumbers because they don’t really understand things.
    1:53:13 They have incredible memory.
    1:53:15 They’ve read so much literature.
    1:53:20 And all they do effectively, they’re computing lots of correlations.
    1:53:22 Beautiful what they can do.
    1:53:24 It’s amazing what you can do with correlations.
    1:53:30 But they’re not—they’re not truly intelligent.
    1:53:41 There’s some work by Carl Fristen and a new company where they’re using something called active inference as a new way of—a new mode of doing artificial intelligence.
    1:53:52 The idea there is that I should have a model of the world where I can anticipate what’s going to happen and not be surprised.
    1:53:57 And that’s sort of the approach that Fristen is taking to—and his company is taking toward this.
    1:54:01 Intelligence is somehow about minimizing surprise.
    1:54:09 And minimizing surprise, then, there’s—they have what they call a free energy principle and mathematical way of doing it.
    1:54:18 But they’re trying to build a brand new kind of artificial intelligence that gives you—that minimizes surprise where I’ve given you an intuition why that’s intelligent.
    1:54:20 And that’s very intelligent to minimize surprise.
    1:54:22 If I’m surprised all the time, I’m pretty stupid, right?
    1:54:24 I don’t understand the world very well.
    1:54:28 But if I’m not surprised, it’s sort of like, wow, I’ve got a really good model.
    1:54:34 Especially if I’m doing all sorts—if I’m doing lots of stuff in the world and I’m almost never surprised, boy, am I—I’m really intelligent.
    1:54:40 So you can see why that’s a really good principle for trying to build an AI.
    1:54:43 Not just finding correlations between everything, but really something deeper.
    1:54:47 I agree with that point of view.
    1:54:55 And it turns out this logic that I mentioned, that I discovered, minimizes surprise.
    1:55:02 So I’m actually going to be using—I’m using this logic as—to build space-time.
    1:55:06 But I think it’s going to give an even more powerful approach.
    1:55:08 I don’t have to minimize some free energy principle.
    1:55:11 I have a more direct computational way.
    1:55:14 So I’m planning to actually go back to my roots.
    1:55:17 And after—first, I’m working on the space-time headset.
    1:55:25 But if I live long enough, I’m planning to actually go back and build a completely new kind of AI that does this minimizing surprise.
    1:55:27 I’m using the Markov chains.
    1:55:30 So that means it will be indistinguishable from consciousness.
    1:55:33 It’s funny because it will be based on my model of consciousness.
    1:55:40 So this is going to be a model of intelligence based entirely from a model which takes consciousness as fundamental.
    1:55:42 I mean, we get back to game theory again.
    1:55:43 That’s right.
    1:56:02 We get back to the idea of a simulation in terms of, like, if you’re able to create a piece of software that is able to replicate and is built on the fundamentals of consciousness, then it’s going to think it’s conscious, potentially.
    1:56:07 And then all of this stuff, you know, begins again.
    1:56:08 And the cycle continues.
    1:56:16 And maybe that consciousness will get to a point as well where it then discovers these rules and creates a consciousness and the cycle continues.
    1:56:18 That’s a great question.
    1:56:21 And I think that people should really pay attention to the way you said it.
    1:56:23 And I think that’s a really good way of thinking about it.
    1:56:24 But now I’ll add a little twist.
    1:56:32 From the point of view in which I’m saying that I’m starting with consciousness being fundamental and I’m discovering these rules, and so I’m not going to build an AI.
    1:56:38 Effectively, what I’m doing is I’m saying I can take consciousness and use consciousness to build a new headset.
    1:56:44 So consciousness is fundamental, but I’m using it in some sense to build a new headset projection.
    1:56:45 Well, we can play with consciousness.
    1:56:45 That’s right.
    1:56:51 So I could theoretically put on that headset and do anything I wanted to do.
    1:56:52 I could go anywhere and do anything.
    1:56:54 Or have more flexibility.
    1:56:57 Like a dream I could play with and influence.
    1:56:58 Absolutely.
    1:56:59 Yeah.
    1:57:06 I would just say I don’t know if we can do anything because, remember, my theory of consciousness is just a theory of consciousness.
    1:57:07 It’s not consciousness.
    1:57:10 And it’s really only a first baby step.
    1:57:16 I presume that my theory will be transcended and there will be a much deeper theory of consciousness.
    1:57:19 And then that will be transcended and so forth.
    1:57:30 So what we will have is the generation of headsets that we can get with Hoffman’s trivial theory of consciousness, which will look trivial once we get to the next generation of consciousness, which will look trivial once.
    1:57:33 So, in other words, this is never-ending.
    1:57:37 What an interesting future we face.
    1:57:39 All one of us.
    1:57:41 All one of us.
    1:57:48 Donald, we have a closing tradition on this podcast where the last guest leaves a question for the next guest not knowing who they’re going to be leaving it for.
    1:57:56 And the question left for you is, what would you do if you knew you could not fail?
    1:57:58 What would you say, do, become?
    1:58:10 I’d probably do what I’m trying to do right now, which is to show how all of modern physics falls out of a theory of consciousness.
    1:58:16 We develop the technologies that would come out of that.
    1:58:22 And the reason is, of course, that’s fun.
    1:58:24 One reason is it’s fun.
    1:58:30 But the other reason is, why do most of us not take spirituality too seriously?
    1:58:38 Because the physicalist science gives us all the technology.
    1:58:40 It works.
    1:58:43 And spirituality doesn’t give us any technology.
    1:58:44 It doesn’t work.
    1:58:50 So, if you’re just hard-nosed about it, you go, well, spiritual stuff, it sounds really good.
    1:58:52 But what does it build?
    1:58:53 Well, nothing.
    1:58:57 Physical stuff, we maybe don’t need the spiritual stuff.
    1:58:58 And look what they give us.
    1:59:01 Laptops and electricity.
    1:59:13 But what if we change the game and all of a sudden, the spiritual theory gives us technologies that are impossible with a theory that says that space-time is fundamental.
    1:59:23 All of a sudden, the technological advantage goes to those who say that space-time and physical stuff inside space-time is not fundamental.
    1:59:37 Okay, so now it’s no longer the smart person who is the smart person who says all of the evidence from science and technology is in favor of something beyond space-time.
    1:59:39 So maybe those people weren’t crazy after all.
    1:59:39 So maybe those people weren’t crazy after all.
    1:59:40 That’s right.
    1:59:45 They just didn’t have the tools to show what it could do.
    1:59:48 Donald, thank you so much for doing the work that you do.
    1:59:53 It’s so incredibly important because it once again challenges the paradigm, the box in which we live.
    1:59:57 And it asks us and invites us to consider something beyond that.
    2:00:00 And actually, when we think about all human discovery, that’s moved us forward.
    2:00:04 It starts with someone who’s willing to suggest that there might be more to know.
    2:00:05 And that’s exactly what you do.
    2:00:12 You make me feel dumb because you make me realize that you make me question all of the assumptions that I’ve built my life on.
    2:00:24 And actually, in doing so, one of the great byproducts of that is you can start to realize that some of the things you’ve constructed cause much of your suffering and that those things are not necessarily true.
    2:00:34 And if those things aren’t true, then I have greater choice and optionality over how I feel, how I experience the world, the choices I make, the feelings I have, and the life that I live.
    2:00:43 And that’s actually freeing for me to realize that the cage, the prison that I see and that I experience might not be all that there is.
    2:00:47 And I highly recommend everybody goes and checks out your book if you want to dive deeper into these subjects.
    2:00:51 It’s called The Case Against Reality, How Evolution Hid the Truth From Our Eyes.
    2:00:54 And there’s a quote in front of it from Deepak Chopra, who’s a former guest, that says,
    2:00:59 Read this book carefully and you will forever change your understanding of reality.
    2:01:09 It’s exceptional, it’s accessible, and it creates wonder, which I think is the path to a wonderful life.
    2:01:11 So thank you so much, Donald, for the work that you do.
    2:01:12 Thank you, Steve.
    2:01:13 Truly fascinating.
    2:01:17 And thank you for helping me simplify some of these concepts so that we could all understand them.
    2:01:22 Just give me 30 seconds of your time.
    2:01:24 Two things I wanted to say.
    2:01:28 The first thing is a huge thank you for listening and tuning into the show week after week.
    2:01:34 It means the world to all of us and this really is a dream that we absolutely never had and couldn’t have imagined getting to this place.
    2:01:38 But secondly, it’s a dream where we feel like we’re only just getting started.
    2:01:46 And if you enjoy what we do here, please join the 24% of people that listen to this podcast regularly and follow us on this app.
    2:01:48 Here’s a promise I’m going to make to you.
    2:01:53 I’m going to do everything in my power to make this show as good as I can now and into the future.
    2:01:59 We’re going to deliver the guests that you want me to speak to and we’re going to continue to keep doing all of the things you love about this show.
    2:02:01 Thank you.
    2:02:03 We launched these conversation cards and they sold out.
    2:02:05 And we launched them again and they sold out again.
    2:02:06 We launched them again and they sold out again.
    2:02:11 Because people love playing these with colleagues at work, with friends at home and also with family.
    2:02:14 And we’ve also got a big audience that use them as journal prompts.
    2:02:20 Every single time a guest comes on the diary of a CEO, they leave a question for the next guest in the diary.
    2:02:26 And I’ve sat here with some of the most incredible people in the world and they’ve left all of these questions in the diary.
    2:02:29 And I’ve ranked them from one to three in terms of the depth.
    2:02:31 One being a starter question.
    2:02:39 And level three, if you look on the back here, this is a level three, becomes a much deeper question that builds even more connection.
    2:02:48 If you turn the cards over and you scan that QR code, you can see who answered the card and watch the video of them answering it in real time.
    2:02:54 So if you would like to get your hands on some of these conversation cards, go to thediary.com or look at the link in the description below.
    2:03:18 So if you would like to get your hands on some of these questions, go to the link in the description below.
    Thế giới mà bạn đang thấy không phải là thế giới thực.
    Tất cả những gì tôi đang nhìn thấy ngay bây giờ chỉ là một thực tế ảo.
    Nó giống như việc bạn sinh ra với một chiếc kính VR, đang chơi một trò chơi điện tử.
    Đó là thực tại của bạn.
    Nhưng nếu bạn là lập trình viên đã viết mã cho trò chơi,
    bạn biết rằng có một thế giới hoàn toàn bên ngoài nó.
    Và với tư cách là lập trình viên, bạn có thể làm những phép lạ.
    Bạn có nghĩ rằng chúng ta đang đến gần hơn với việc chỉnh sửa mã không?
    Đó chính xác là điều mà tôi đang làm ngay bây giờ.
    Và chúng tôi đang mở ra một lĩnh vực công nghệ mới
    mạnh mẽ hơn rất nhiều so với bất cứ điều gì chúng ta đã thấy trước đây,
    như du hành thời gian.
    Và bom hạt nhân sẽ như những quả pháo.
    Liệu người ta có chịu đựng không?
    Vì vậy, nó giống như chiếc hộp Pandora.
    Có đủ loại bất ngờ khó chịu,
    nhưng chúng cũng có thể là kỳ diệu.
    Nhưng dù sao, chỉ trong vài tháng qua,
    nó đã bắt đầu nứt ra.
    Vậy hãy nói về điều đó.
    Được rồi, Giáo sư Donald Hoffman là nhà khoa học nhận thức
    đang đẩy ranh giới của cách chúng ta nhận thức về thực tại
    và cách chúng ta có thể khai thác toàn bộ tiềm năng của mình như những con người.
    Theo lý thuyết của Darwin,
    các hệ thống cảm giác của chúng ta, mắt, tai, mùi, xúc giác,
    không được hình thành để cho chúng ta thấy sự thật.
    Chúng được hình thành để giữ bạn sống đủ lâu
    để sinh sản thành công.
    Bởi vì nhìn thấy sự thật tốn quá nhiều thời gian và năng lượng.
    Và vì vậy, bất kể thực tại là gì,
    nó hoàn toàn khác biệt với bất cứ điều gì mà tôi nhận thức.
    Nhưng tất cả những điều này có ý nghĩa gì
    đối với bản chất của cách một người nên hiểu cuộc sống của họ?
    Chà, nếu bạn bị kẹt trong một thế giới buồn tẻ,
    đó là thế giới do chính bạn tạo ra.
    Đó không phải là thế giới thật.
    Và những trải nghiệm có ý thức của tôi chẳng qua chỉ là những gì mà bộ não của tôi tạo ra.
    Và vì vậy, chúng ta cảm thấy không đủ khả năng.
    Chúng ta cảm thấy như cần phải cạnh tranh với người khác.
    Nhưng bạn là người sáng tạo ra tất cả điều này.
    Bạn không có gì để chứng minh.
    Và có rất nhiều góc nhìn thú vị hơn mà chúng ta có thể áp dụng cho chính mình.
    Vì vậy, nếu bạn thực sự biết bạn là ai,
    bạn sẽ thấy không cần phải so sánh hay cạnh tranh.
    Và có cách nào để tôi hiểu tôi là ai không?
    Nếu bạn muốn hiểu sự thật về bản thân bạn
    vượt ra ngoài mô tả này về bạn,
    thì bạn phải…
    Chỉ cần cho tôi 30 giây thời gian của bạn.
    Hai điều tôi muốn nói.
    Điều đầu tiên là một lời cảm ơn lớn vì đã lắng nghe và theo dõi chương trình
    tuần này qua tuần khác.
    Nó rất có ý nghĩa với tất cả chúng tôi.
    Và đây thực sự là một giấc mơ mà chúng tôi hoàn toàn chưa bao giờ có
    và không thể tưởng tượng được sẽ đến được nơi này.
    Nhưng thứ hai, đó là một giấc mơ mà chúng tôi cảm thấy như chỉ mới bắt đầu.
    Và nếu bạn thích những gì chúng tôi làm ở đây,
    hãy tham gia cùng 24% người nghe podcast này thường xuyên
    và theo dõi chúng tôi trên ứng dụng này.
    Đây là một lời hứa mà tôi sẽ dành cho bạn.
    Tôi sẽ làm mọi thứ trong khả năng của mình để làm cho chương trình này
    tốt nhất có thể ngay bây giờ và trong tương lai.
    Chúng tôi sẽ mang đến những khách mời mà bạn muốn tôi trò chuyện.
    Và chúng tôi sẽ tiếp tục làm tất cả những điều mà bạn yêu thích về chương trình này.
    Cảm ơn bạn.
    Giáo sư Donald Hoffman.
    Bạn có nghĩ rằng những thính giả của chương trình này,
    những người đang nghe ngay bây giờ,
    hiểu được bản chất của thực tại
    và thế giới mà họ đang nhìn thấy không?
    Tôi nghĩ rằng không ai,
    ngay cả những chuyên gia tiên tiến nhất,
    thực sự hiểu bản chất của thực tại.
    Và đó là một trong những vấn đề lớn còn mở và những câu hỏi trong khoa học ngày nay.
    Chúng ta có thể có những ý tưởng.
    Chúng ta có thể nghĩ chúng ta biết điều gì đó.
    Khoa học tốt nhất của chúng ta cho thấy rằng
    trí tưởng tượng của chúng ta vẫn chưa đủ lớn.
    Chúng ta cần khám phá thêm.
    Bạn tin điều gì là sự hiểu lầm lớn về cách chúng ta cảm nhận thực tại?
    Chà, hầu hết chúng ta nghĩ rằng thực tại
    là bất cứ điều gì nằm bên trong không gian và thời gian.
    Chúng ta thực sự biết rằng không gian-thời gian
    không thể là bản chất cơ bản của thực tại.
    Và không gian-thời gian là gì?
    Tất cả những gì bạn thấy xung quanh chúng ta, đúng không,
    khoảng cách giữa bạn và tôi,
    có thể có một hoặc hai mét khoảng cách giữa bạn và tôi.
    Đó là không gian-thời gian.
    Tất cả những thứ mà chúng ta có thể thấy trong kính viễn vọng của mình,
    nói như vậy.
    Nếu bạn có thể thấy nó trong kính viễn vọng của bạn,
    nó là một phần của không gian-thời gian.
    Nhưng chúng ta biết rằng lý thuyết tốt nhất của chúng ta về không gian-thời gian,
    lý thuyết của Einstein kết hợp với lý thuyết lượng tử,
    cho chúng ta biết rằng không gian-thời gian
    không thể là bản chất cơ bản của thực tại.
    Có một cái nhỏ…
    Nếu bạn đi nhỏ,
    tôi có thể nói về một mét.
    Vâng.
    Và sau đó tôi có thể đi đến, bạn biết đấy,
    centimet và rồi, bạn biết đấy,
    millimét.
    Và sau đó chúng ta có thể đi, bạn biết đấy,
    micromét và bạn có thể đi nhỏ hơn nữa.
    Ở một số điểm,
    bạn đi nhỏ đến mức không gian biến mất.
    Nó không còn có nghĩa gì về mặt toán học.
    Nó là 10 mũ âm 33 centimet.
    Vì vậy, thực ra không phải là quá nhỏ…
    Theo quan điểm của tôi, không phải là quá nhỏ.
    Nó không phải là 10 mũ âm 33 triệu centimet.
    Nó chỉ là 10 mũ âm 33 centimet.
    Và ngay lập tức,
    các phương trình của chúng ta cho chúng ta biết rằng
    không gian-thời gian không có bất kỳ ý nghĩa nào có hiệu quả.
    Có phải không gian-thời gian là một đại diện cho từ thực tại
    trong một số khía cạnh không?
    Chà, đối với hầu hết mọi người, tôi nghĩ là như vậy.
    Đối với hầu hết mọi người,
    họ nghĩ rằng không gian-thời gian là thực tại.
    Và những gì tôi đang nói là,
    đó là thực tại mà hầu hết chúng ta đã giả định
    là thực tại cuối cùng.
    Và khoa học bây giờ đang nói với chúng ta
    nó không thể được.
    Thực tế là…
    Và nó cho chúng ta biết một cách chính xác
    tại 10 mũ âm 33 centimet,
    10 mũ âm 43 giây,
    khái niệm về không gian-thời gian
    không còn ý nghĩa.
    Có phải điều đó giống như việc nói rằng
    thực tại mà tôi nhận thức
    không có ý nghĩa không?
    Tôi đề xuất,
    bây giờ với tư cách là một nhà khoa học nhận thức,
    không phải nhà vật lý,
    chúng ta nên nghĩ về không gian-thời gian
    như chỉ là một chiếc kính VR.
    Đó là cách chúng ta nhận thức
    trong trò chơi cuộc sống của chúng ta.
    Và khi bạn nói không gian-thời gian,
    bạn có nghĩa là điều mà tôi đang nhận thức
    bằng mắt, tai và các giác quan của tôi ngay bây giờ?
    Đúng vậy.
    Ngay cả cái bàn cứng này
    chỉ là một đối tượng VR.
    Và toàn bộ khung cảnh mà chúng ta đang ở đây ngay bây giờ
    chỉ là một thực tại ảo.
    Và có một thực tại hoàn toàn bên ngoài chiếc kính này
    mở ra cho khoa học khám phá.
    Và chúng tôi đang khám phá những thứ, mà bạn có thể gọi là những khối đá obelisk, những đối tượng hình học ngoài không-thời gian. Tất cả này hoàn toàn mới kể từ năm 2010 hoặc khoảng thời gian đó. Vậy bạn có tin điều đó không? Bạn có tin rằng tất cả những gì tôi đang trải nghiệm và thấy bây giờ về cơ bản giống như việc tôi đang đeo một chiếc kính thực tế ảo, và có điều gì đó nằm ngoài chiếc kính thực tế ảo đó không? Hoàn toàn đúng. Bởi vì tôi tin vào khoa học. Và những dự đoán của các lý thuyết của chúng tôi về không-thời gian thì rất chính xác. Bây giờ, tôi luôn phải cẩn thận về những gì tôi đang nói so với… Và tôi không muốn đặt lời vào miệng của nhà vật lý. Vì vậy, những gì tôi nói, tôi nghĩ rằng đó là một thực tế ảo. Đó là Hoffman. Đó không phải là vật lý, đúng không? Bạn có thể thay thế cụm từ không-thời gian bằng thực tế không? Hay điều đó là không chính xác? Tôi nghĩ rằng bất kỳ thực tế nào, không-thời gian chỉ là một khía cạnh tầm thường của nó. Có nhiều điều hơn thế nữa trong thực tế ngoài không-thời gian. Không-thời gian là toàn bộ thực tế. Nó giống như một người chơi trong Grand Theft Auto. Nếu tất cả những gì bạn làm là chơi Grand Theft Auto, và bạn được sinh ra với một chiếc kính, và đó chỉ là tất cả những gì bạn… Đó là thực tế của bạn. Nhưng nếu bạn là lập trình viên đã viết mã, và bạn biết siêu máy tính đang chạy Grand Theft Auto, bạn biết rằng Grand Theft Auto là một thế giới nhỏ tương đối tự chứa, nhưng có một thế giới hoàn toàn khác bên ngoài nó mà hoàn toàn không giống Grand Theft Auto. Đó là một siêu máy tính với các điốt và điện trở và điện áp đang được điều chỉnh. Khi một gã nào đó đang điều khiển chiếc xe, điều thực sự đang diễn ra khi anh ta xoay bánh lái là hàng triệu điện áp đang được chuyển đổi theo một thứ tự cụ thể trong một số máy tính, và nó phải đúng theo trình tự đó để mọi thứ hoạt động đúng cách. Và gã đang xoay bánh lái không hề biết chuyện gì đang xảy ra. Có một vương quốc khác hoàn toàn ngoài trí tưởng tượng của bạn trong Grand Theft Auto. Vì vậy, nếu bạn ở trong Grand Theft Auto, bạn có thể không biết về máy tính và điều chỉnh điện áp và tất cả những gì bạn biết là tôi có một bánh lái và một bàn đạp ga và những con đường và những người để đua và những thứ để ăn cắp và đại loại vậy. Nhưng bạn không nhận ra rằng có một người điều khiển ẩn sau tất cả, kiểm soát bạn. Ở hậu trường. Và vì vậy, tôi nghĩ rằng không-thời gian chỉ là một chiếc kính rất hiệu quả. Đối với bất kỳ ai không biết, Grand Theft Auto là một trò chơi video nơi bạn chạy xung quanh một thế giới ảo, về cơ bản là như vậy. Đúng vậy. Bạn đang điều khiển những chiếc xe sang trọng trong thế giới này, đúng. Vì vậy, mọi thứ tôi thấy ngay bây giờ thực ra là một sự chiếu mà tôi đã tạo ra lên thế giới, thế giới của tôi, để giúp tôi tồn tại. Và bộ não của tôi không cho tôi thấy những điều mà nó không nghĩ rằng tôi cần thấy vì chúng sẽ không có lợi cho sự sống sót vì chúng không có ý nghĩa về mặt nhận thức, xét về lượng nhiên liệu và năng lượng mà chúng yêu cầu để xử lý và suy nghĩ về chúng, chúng là không quan trọng về mặt nhận thức. Hay như… sẽ là không hiệu quả cho tôi khi dành năng lực nhận thức của mình để thấy những điều đó. Đúng vậy. Và đối với nhiều người, tôi nghĩ điều đó là phản trực giác vì họ sẽ nói, hãy xem, tiến hóa là về việc làm cho bạn phù hợp để bạn có thể sống và tồn tại đủ lâu để sinh sản thành công. Và chắc chắn rằng tiến hóa nên làm điều đó bằng cách làm cho bạn thấy sự thật. Ý tôi là, nếu bạn thấy sự thật, thì bạn sẽ cạnh tranh trong trò chơi của cuộc sống thành công hơn nhiều so với khi bạn không thấy sự thật. Vậy bạn đang nói về chuyện vô lý về chiếc kính này làm gì? Đây không phải là một chiếc kính, đây là sự thật. Ý tôi là, một sự tiến hóa nên hình thành chúng ta để thấy sự thật. Và tôi nghĩ đó là điều mà hầu hết mọi người sẽ cho rằng. Và thực tế, các chuyên gia rất thông minh trong lĩnh vực này cũng cho rằng. Và tôi gợi ý rằng điều đó không đúng. Thực tế, chúng tôi có các bằng chứng toán học ngược lại. Nếu bạn nhìn vào tiến hóa, Darwin đã nói, hãy xem, chúng ta cần nghĩ về một sự tiến hóa dần dần theo thời gian của các loài này, có thể từ những loài rất, rất đơn giản đến những loài phức tạp hơn. Và điều gì sẽ thúc đẩy động lực đó? Và Darwin đã gợi ý rằng đó là những gì chúng ta sẽ gọi là khả năng sinh sản, rằng những sinh vật nào có những thuộc tính vật lý, hệ thống cảm giác, hệ thống vận động, hệ thống chuyển động, làm cho chúng có khả năng hơn để sinh ra và nuôi dưỡng con cái đến trưởng thành. Bất kỳ thuộc tính nào đó có thể là, đó là điều mà chúng ta sẽ gọi là khả năng sinh sản. Vì vậy, bạn càng thích hợp thì thực sự nói lên khả năng bạn có khả năng sinh ra và nuôi dưỡng con cái thành công. Vì vậy, Darwin đã gợi ý như vậy. Và tôi không nghĩ rằng ông ấy nhất thiết phải nói rằng không có Chúa. Chỉ đơn giản là nếu có Chúa, thì không phải là Chúa đã tạo ra mọi thứ hoàn hảo mà ông đã thực hiện một quá trình tiến hóa. Vâng. Chà, các sinh vật thích nghi với môi trường của chúng. Vâng, chúng không đang thích nghi, nhưng những con cái sống sót là những con cái thích nghi tốt nhất với môi trường. Đúng vậy. Đó là ý tưởng của Darwin. Sự tiến hóa dần dần từ những sinh vật có thể đơn giản đến những sinh vật ngày càng phức tạp hơn và sau đó nhiều sự tiến hóa của những thứ như mắt, như mắt của động vật chân đầu phát triển khác với mắt của con người và mắt của động vật chân đầu đã làm đúng một số điều mà mắt của con người đã làm sai. Có phải vì mắt của động vật chân đầu ở trong một môi trường khác nên nó có những yêu cầu khác biệt không? Đó sẽ là một lý do có thể. Thực tế tôi không biết trong trường hợp của động vật chân đầu tại sao, nhưng ý tưởng kiểu đó chắc chắn là một trong những lý do có thể đã xảy ra. Một lý do khác, nó có thể chỉ là một tai nạn, đúng không? Có xác suất liên quan và vì vậy vào một thời điểm nào đó bạn có một tai nạn đúng và con người đã nhầm lẫn vấn đề. Vậy bạn đang nói rằng Darwin đã sai về một khía cạnh nào đó hoặc rằng có điều gì đó thiếu sót trong lý thuyết của ông ấy.
    Ôi không,
    tôi nghĩ
    thuyết của Darwin,
    về mặt
    sinh học,
    tôi nghĩ rằng
    không có
    đối thủ
    nghiêm túc nào
    đối với
    thuyết tiến hóa
    của Darwin
    về
    tự lựa chọn
    về mặt
    lý thuyết khoa học
    về nguồn gốc
    của các loài
    và tương tự.
    Và đó là
    thuyết của Darwin

    công thức
    toán học
    của nó mà tôi
    nghĩ đã nói rằng
    những gì chúng ta
    nhận thức được không phải là
    sự thật.
    Rằng hệ thống
    cảm giác của chúng ta
    theo lý thuyết của Darwin không được hình thành
    để cho chúng ta
    thấy sự thật.
    Chúng được hình thành để
    giữ cho bạn
    sống đủ lâu
    để có thể
    sinh sản thành công,
    thế thôi.
    Đó là tất cả những gì
    thuyết của Darwin
    thực sự nói.
    Hầu hết chúng ta
    nghĩ rằng cách
    quá trình tiến hóa
    làm việc là để đảm bảo rằng các
    cảm giác của bạn đang
    nói cho bạn
    sự thật về
    thực tại bên ngoài.
    Tôi đã công bố
    một số tài liệu với
    các đồng nghiệp mà
    chúng tôi cho thấy
    một cách toán học rằng
    thuyết của Darwin
    không đòi hỏi
    điều đó chút nào.
    Thực tế,
    thuyết của Darwin
    nói rằng
    xác suất là
    không có gì
    rằng bất kỳ hệ thống
    cảm giác nào
    giống như mắt,
    tai, mùi,
    cảm giác, vị giác,
    đã từng được hình thành
    để thấy
    bất kỳ khía cạnh nào của
    thực tại khách quan
    một cách chân thật.
    Vì vậy xác suất là
    không có gì
    rằng bạn thấy bất kỳ
    khía cạnh nào của
    sự thật,
    thế thôi, theo lý thuyết
    của Darwin.
    Những gì bạn trải nghiệm là
    các hệ thống cảm giác
    điều hướng
    hành vi thích ứng.
    Điều hướng hành vi
    thích ứng có nghĩa là
    chúng cho phép bạn
    hành động.
    Vì vậy, mắt của bạn,
    mũi của bạn.
    Mắt của bạn,
    mũi của bạn,
    vâng, mắt và mũi của bạn.
    Chúng hướng dẫn bạn
    để bạn
    hành động theo cách
    mà bạn không
    chết quá nhanh và bạn
    có thể có con
    mà không chết
    quá nhanh.
    Đó là tất cả những gì
    điều đó liên quan.
    Tôi chỉ đang
    lên kịch bản
    rằng nếu bạn
    loại bỏ
    mắt của tôi
    và bạn
    loại bỏ tai của tôi
    và mũi của tôi và
    khả năng cảm nhận,
    bạn biết đấy, nhiệt độ
    và những thứ như vậy, tất cả các
    cảm giác của tôi.
    Tôi đã nghĩ nếu tôi
    là người duy nhất
    trên trái đất
    và bạn loại bỏ
    tất cả các
    cảm giác của tôi, thực tại
    sẽ như thế nào?
    Bởi vì nếu bạn
    loại bỏ các
    cảm giác của tôi, thực tại
    không còn tồn tại
    như tôi nhận thức được,
    nhưng điều đó không
    có nghĩa là không có gì
    tồn tại.
    Và tôi đang
    tự hỏi điều gì
    sẽ là không có gì đó.
    Giống như nếu bạn
    chỉ tưởng tượng
    như xóa sạch
    mọi người trên
    trái đất và
    chỉ còn lại bạn
    và chúng ta loại bỏ
    tất cả các
    cảm giác của bạn, điều gì
    nằm trong không gian đó?
    Bởi vì bạn nói đúng, các
    cảm giác của tôi, các
    mắt của tôi, các
    tai của tôi, khả năng
    hiểu biết
    nhiệt độ của tôi là
    một sản phẩm phụ và
    hệ quả của
    tôi sống sót.
    Vì vậy, tôi đã
    chơi qua điều này
    và tôi đã nghĩ,
    nếu chúng ta
    nghĩ về
    ma quái và
    cuộc sống sau cái chết,
    có thể không có lý do gì
    từ góc độ
    sống sót rằng
    tôi thậm chí cần
    phải có khả năng
    thấy hoặc
    thừa nhận rằng
    có thể điều đó chỉ
    không giúp ích gì.
    Có thể thực sự
    sẽ khiến tôi bị tổn thương
    vì nó
    sẽ quá yêu cầu nhận thức
    để xử lý tất cả
    các thông tin
    đó.
    Vì vậy bất kỳ ai có thể xử lý tất cả
    các thông tin đó
    sẽ không tốt trong việc sinh sản,
    do đó họ
    sẽ không sống sót,
    do đó họ
    sẽ không có mặt ở đây.
    Vì vậy có thể những
    ai trong chúng ta đang
    ở đây,
    chúng ta chỉ đơn giản
    rất giỏi trong việc
    lờ đi
    các chiều khác.
    Đó là những gì
    toán học của chúng ta nói.
    Tôi nghĩ rằng
    trực giác của bạn về điều đó là khá đúng,
    rằng nếu bạn chú ý
    đến bất kỳ điều gì khác
    ngoài những gì cho phép
    bạn có
    con, bạn đang
    lãng phí thời gian của mình
    từ một quan điểm
    tiến hóa.
    Cảm nhận là
    đắt đỏ.
    Nó tiêu tốn rất nhiều
    calo.
    Bạn phải ăn
    rất nhiều thực phẩm
    để chạy não của bạn và
    cung cấp năng lượng cho đôi mắt
    và tai của bạn
    vì vậy bạn cần
    phải làm
    các cách tắt.
    Bạn cần
    để khiến
    các hệ thống cảm giác của bạn
    không tiêu tốn
    quá nhiều
    năng lượng của bạn.
    Càng đắt đỏ
    hệ thống cảm nhận của bạn,
    bạn càng phải
    ăn nhiều hơn để
    cung cấp năng lượng cho chúng.
    Vì vậy điều đó có nghĩa là
    bạn phải
    ra ngoài và kiếm ăn
    và đặt
    bản thân vào
    nguy hiểm.
    Vì vậy có một sự đánh đổi.
    Chúng tôi cố gắng
    làm mọi thứ
    một cách rẻ thuật
    trong
    tiến hóa.
    Và theo đuổi
    sự thật, bạn
    thực sự không cần phải theo đuổi
    sự thật
    bởi vì điều đó
    rất, rất
    đắt đỏ.
    Vì vậy ví dụ,

    một số côn trùng bay
    cần phải đẻ
    trứng của chúng
    trong nước.
    Và chúng
    sử dụng mẹo
    chỉ cần nhìn
    vào
    sự phân cực của
    ánh sáng
    phát ra từ
    nước.
    Vì vậy những gì bạn
    thấy diễn ra
    trong tiến hóa
    là chúng ta có
    mẹo và
    thủ thuật.
    Và ngay cả
    con người cũng có
    mẹo và
    thủ thuật.
    ví dụ,
    cố gắng
    tìm ra nếu
    ai đó có
    khả năng sinh sản
    thích hợp.
    Tôi không thể
    nhìn
    vào DNA của bạn và
    nói, vâng,
    được rồi, anh ấy
    có một
    ACG và
    T, nhưng anh ấy
    có một C
    ở đây nơi mà
    nó đáng lẽ
    phải là một
    T.
    Tôi không thể
    nhìn vào
    DNA của bạn,
    vì vậy tôi nhìn vào
    những gì tôi có thể
    thấy của
    cơ thể bạn
    và giọng nói của bạn
    và những thứ tương tự.
    Một trong những
    lập luận thuyết phục nhất
    cho thực tế rằng
    chúng ta không
    nhìn thấy thực tại
    như nó là và
    chúng ta thực sự
    chỉ thấy
    những gì chúng ta cần
    thấy để
    sinh tồn là
    khi bạn
    nhìn vào,
    như bạn đã nói,
    cách mà các
    động vật khác
    nhìn thế giới.
    Và bạn có thể
    cho tôi thêm
    một số ví dụ về
    các động vật khác
    nhìn thế giới hoàn toàn
    khác biệt không?
    Tôi luôn nghĩ
    về dơi.
    Dơi nhìn thế giới
    như thế nào?
    Bởi vì chúng có thấy
    các màu sắc như
    chúng ta thấy
    và các vật thể
    như chúng ta thấy
    không?
    Không, dơi
    sử dụng định vị bằng âm.
    Chúng sẽ phát
    ra những
    bùng nổ âm thanh nhỏ
    ở tần số rất, rất
    cao và sau đó
    chúng có những
    chiếc tai lớn mà
    bắt được
    âm thanh phản hồi.
    Chỉ cần nhìn vào
    hệ thống cảm giác
    của chúng, nó nói
    rằng hầu hết các
    dơi ăn côn trùng
    sử dụng định vị bằng âm
    như bạn đã nói.
    Chúng phát ra
    sóng âm tần số cao
    và nhìn
    bằng cách lắng nghe
    các tiếng vang
    bouncing off
    các vật thể khác.
    Đúng vậy.
    Và điều này cung cấp
    cho chúng một loại
    bản đồ âm thanh
    của môi trường xung quanh
    giúp chúng
    điều hướng
    và thực sự
    nhìn thấy trong bóng tối
    hoàn toàn.
    Vì vậy bạn tưởng tượng
    một con dơi,
    nếu một con dơi
    ngồi đó
    nghĩ rằng
    chúng hiểu
    bản chất
    của thực tại
    khi mà thực ra
    nó chỉ là
    một bản đồ về
    cách mà
    các sóng âm
    cBounce trở lại,
    chúng, tôi
    hình dung,
    không có
    cùng một, chúng có một
    cảm nhận hoàn toàn khác
    về
    thực tại so với chúng ta.
    Và vì vậy, sẽ rất ngu ngốc nếu cho rằng chúng ta, với tư cách là con người, đang nhìn nhận thực tại như nó vốn có, khi mà giống như con dơi, chúng ta có lẽ đã thích ứng với môi trường xung quanh và xây dựng các giác quan, mắt, tai, cảm giác mà giúp chúng ta sinh tồn. Tôi đồng ý với bạn, nhưng một số đồng nghiệp của tôi sẽ không đồng ý và họ có thể nói rằng con người phức tạp hơn nhiều. Và, bạn biết đấy, chắc chắn là dơi và những loài khác, chúng phải có tất cả những cách thông minh để không nhìn nhận thực tại như nó vốn có. Nhưng chúng ta đã tiến hóa xa hơn và chúng ta gần hơn với sự thật. Từ quan điểm của tôi, những gì tôi thấy là cái bàn này, cái cốc này và những thứ tương tự chỉ là trí tưởng tượng tiện lợi. Dù thực tại là gì, thì nó hoàn toàn khác biệt với bất cứ điều gì mà tôi cảm nhận. Hoàn toàn khác biệt.
    Trong một buổi nói chuyện TED mà bạn đã thực hiện vào những năm 2000, bạn đã nói về những mô phỏng mà bạn đã thực hiện để chứng minh rằng, tôi đoán một phần, tôi chỉ nhìn thấy những thứ giúp tôi sinh tồn như một sinh vật, như một tổ chức. Bạn có thể giải thích đơn giản cho tôi những mô phỏng đó là gì và chúng chứng minh điều gì không?
    Vâng, trong các mô phỏng của chúng tôi, và đây là trước khi chúng tôi có các định lý, nên chúng tôi đã thực hiện những mô phỏng chỉ để xem liệu các ý tưởng có hoạt động hay không. Chúng tôi đã có những sinh vật nhân tạo trong một máy tính, vì vậy nó giống như một trò chơi mà chúng tôi đã lắp ghép, và chúng tôi đã có một thế giới và cho phép một số sinh vật thực sự nhìn thấy trạng thái thực sự của thế giới đó, vì vậy chúng là các sinh vật thật, và sau đó chúng tôi có những sinh vật khác chỉ có, giống như một chiếc tai nghe, một giao diện chỉ có thể thấy không phải sự thật, mà chỉ một chút thông tin nhỏ có thể hướng dẫn hành vi thích ứng. Điều này sẽ giúp chúng sinh tồn, sinh sản. Sinh tồn, đúng vậy, và sinh sản, đó là đúng.
    Những gì chúng tôi phát hiện là trong một loạt các điều kiện của thuật toán, những sinh vật thấy sự thật đã tuyệt chủng. Chúng không thể cạnh tranh với những sinh vật không thấy sự thật, và một trong những điều rút ra từ đó là việc nhìn thấy sự thật tốn quá nhiều thời gian và năng lượng. Thật phức tạp để nhìn thấy sự thật, và nếu bạn có một mẹo đơn giản cho phép bạn làm điều tương tự mà không cần phải có cái nhìn sâu sắc, thì bạn có thể đạt được cùng một lợi ích, bạn có thể nhận được lợi ích mà không cần phải bỏ ra tất cả công sức.
    Bây giờ, tôi có thể đưa cho bạn một ví dụ cụ thể về một sinh vật làm điều này mà khá buồn cười. Vậy, có một loại bọ ngọc. Nó sống ở vùng xa xôi của Australia. Nó có bề mặt sần sùi, bóng và màu nâu. Con đực bay, còn con cái thì không bay. Do đó, con đực bay xung quanh, tất nhiên là để tìm kiếm một con cái đủ tiêu chuẩn. Hóa ra rằng đàn ông ở vùng xa xôi đó có xu hướng, trong một khoảng thời gian, uống bia bằng những chai có bề mặt cũng sần sùi, bóng và nâu. Họ vứt chúng ra xa và chúng hóa ra lại có bề mặt sần sùi, bóng và màu nâu chính xác để thu hút sự chú ý của những con bọ ngọc đực. Chúng thực sự đang bám vào chai. Chúng đang tiếp xúc toàn thân. Chúng đang bò khắp nó, và chúng vẫn nghĩ đó là một con cái. Vậy, chúng biết được bao nhiêu về những người phụ nữ của chúng? Rất, rất ít. Chúng biết rất ít về những người phụ nữ của mình. Một người phụ nữ, một con cái, là thứ gì đó sần sùi, bóng và nâu. Rõ ràng, cái to hơn thì càng tốt. Và đó là hình ảnh của một con cái. Vì vậy, bạn có thể thấy sự tiến hóa không cho những con bọ đực này nhiều cái nhìn sâu sắc về con cái của chúng. Nó chỉ cho chúng đủ thông tin để tái sản xuất thành công, hết. Và đó là một phần những gì mà sự tiến hóa làm. Nó cho bạn đủ thông tin để tái sản xuất trước khi bạn chết.
    Vì vậy, tất cả chúng đều ân ái với chai bia này vì chúng không thể phân biệt, chúng không thể thấy thực tại. Chúng không thể thấy rằng đây không phải là một người phụ nữ, đây là một chai bia. Đúng vậy. Đó là một trong những ví dụ hài hước hơn về những gì mà sự tiến hóa đã làm. Nó làm mọi thứ một cách tiết kiệm, và điều đó bao gồm cả hệ thống cảm giác của con người. Vì vậy, điều đó rất khiêm tốn. Chúng ta không phải là hình mẫu lý tưởng, và những gì chúng ta nghĩ là sự đánh giá của con người về sự thật sâu sắc của thực tại chỉ là cái tai nghe nhỏ nhặt của chúng ta. Những gì chúng ta trải nghiệm và biết là tầm thường so với bất cứ điều gì thực tại có thể là, hoàn toàn tầm thường. Chúng ta biết 0% thực tại.
    Và nhân tiện, các lý thuyết khoa học của chúng ta sẽ luôn và mãi mãi giải thích 0% thực tại vì chúng phải đưa ra những giả định. Và mỗi lý thuyết, lý thuyết khoa học, đều phải đưa ra những giả định. Và vì vậy, về nguyên tắc, chúng ta sẽ có một chuỗi lý thuyết vô hạn với những giả định ngày càng sâu sắc hơn, và chúng ta sẽ không bao giờ đến được đáy. Và vì đây là một chuỗi vô hạn, điều đó có nghĩa là mọi thứ chúng ta có cho đến nay đều là 0%.
    Vì vậy, tôi là một nhà khoa học. Tôi hoàn toàn ủng hộ khoa học. Tôi khuyến khích những người trẻ tuổi, nam và nữ, tham gia vào khoa học. Tôi nghĩ đó là một điều tuyệt vời để làm. Nhưng hãy biết rằng tất cả các lý thuyết của chúng ta sẽ chỉ hiểu 0% thực tại. Bạn biết đấy, mọi người nói nhiều về việc thú cưng của họ hoặc những động vật khác có khả năng nhìn thấy một chiều không gian khác. Đôi khi mọi người nói những điều như, chó của tôi bắt đầu sủa về điều này, hoặc tôi đã từng bị ung thư, và có những chú chó hoặc động vật mà họ tin rằng đã có thể phát hiện một số bệnh nhất định trong cơ thể con người. Và khi bạn nhìn vào loại giác quan của những chú chó này, chó có thể nghe các tần số lên đến 65.000 hertz, trong khi con người chỉ có thể nghe đến 20.000 hertz. Chó có tới 300 triệu thụ thể khứu giác. Con người chỉ có 5 triệu, và một số động vật như mèo có thể nhìn thấy các loại tần số ánh sáng khác nhau. Vì vậy, điều này khiến ta đặt ra một câu hỏi. Bạn biết đấy, nếu có thể cho một động vật, một sinh vật, nhìn thấy thế giới với độ sâu và chiều rộng khác so với chúng ta, điều gì xảy ra nếu bạn đi xa hơn nữa? Đúng vậy. Hoàn toàn đúng. Có những loài có thể phát hiện các trường điện. Một số loài cá có thể phát hiện các trường điện. Một số loài chim, tôi tin, có thể thấy sự phân cực của ánh sáng. Và một số loài côn trùng, tất nhiên, sử dụng sự phân cực ánh sáng để tìm nơi đẻ trứng. Và chúng ta không thể làm điều đó.
    Vậy thì, khi chúng ta bắt đầu nghiên cứu các loài động vật khác, chúng ta thấy những khả năng đáng kinh ngạc này. Thú vị quá. Và tất cả những điều này có ý nghĩa gì đối với việc hiểu cuộc sống của một người? Bởi vì tôi nghĩ rằng cách mà chúng ta cảm nhận thế giới mang đến cho chúng ta rất nhiều đau khổ hoặc niềm vui, tùy thuộc vào cách chúng ta nhìn nhận nó. Có điều gì, mọi người, từ tất cả những công việc bạn đã làm và những cuốn sách bạn đã viết, mà mọi người có thể mang vào cuộc sống của họ để giúp họ sống tốt hơn với sự hiểu biết này về thế giới không? Điều đầu tiên cần lưu ý là thế giới thú vị và đa dạng hơn nhiều so với những gì bạn có thể tưởng tượng. Nếu bạn nghĩ rằng thế giới là một nơi buồn chán, thì không phải vậy. Trí tưởng tượng của bạn không đủ lớn. Bất kể thực tại là gì, nó vượt lên trên bất cứ điều gì bạn có thể nghĩ ra. Các truyền thống tâm linh thường nói rằng có nhiều điều trong cuộc sống hơn những gì bạn thấy trong không gian và thời gian. Có điều gì đó vượt lên trên. Và tôi đã chỉ ra điều đó theo cách của riêng mình. Tôi đang nói rằng lý thuyết khoa học luôn có những giả định. Vì vậy, có một số lượng vô hạn các lý thuyết khoa học mà bạn sẽ có và bạn sẽ không bao giờ có được một lý thuyết khoa học về mọi thứ. Tôi đang nói gì? Rằng có điều gì đó vượt lên trên khoa học. Dù khoa học tốt đến đâu, tôi đang nói rằng không chỉ không có lý thuyết về mọi thứ, lý thuyết tốt nhất mà chúng ta có thể nghĩ ra chỉ là không phần trăm nào của thực tại. Vậy thì tất cả những điều này để lại không gian cho những điều mà các truyền thống tâm linh đang nói đến, rằng có điều gì đó vượt lên trên khoa học. Có một cách suy nghĩ về điều này mà tôi nghĩ là rất sâu sắc và đó là về giao điểm giữa khoa học và tâm linh. Tôi là một nhà khoa học. Tôi là ai? Tôi là một ai đó và tôi là một trong số nhiều ai đó, những nhà khoa học khác, những người có thể tạo ra các lý thuyết và về nguyên tắc, lý thuyết càng ngày càng sâu hơn và đây là một chuỗi vô hạn. Vậy thì ai là tôi có thể làm điều này? Không có lý thuyết nào mà tôi có thể đưa ra là mô tả cuối cùng về cái tôi. Nói cách khác, cái tôi đang thực hiện tất cả việc xây dựng lý thuyết này là cái tôi thực, đang tạo ra những lý thuyết này và hoàn toàn vượt lên trên tất cả những lý thuyết này. Và đó là một quan điểm tâm linh. Vậy điều đó có nghĩa là gì? Bạn là Chúa? Nó có nghĩa là bất kể bạn là gì đều vượt lên trên bất kỳ mô tả nào. Và đó là điều mà nhiều người nói Chúa là. Giả sử tôi đưa cho bạn một cái gì đó bạn chưa bao giờ nếm trước đây, như một miếng bạc hà. Và thực tế, tôi không biết bạc hà có vị như thế nào đối với bạn. Tôi giả định rằng nó giống như vị bạc hà đối với tôi, nhưng tôi không biết. Điều này được gọi là việc học qua định nghĩa chỉ ra. Và vì vậy chúng ta có trò chơi này mà trải nghiệm của bạn là trải nghiệm của bạn, và thực sự bạn không cần ai khác cho những trải nghiệm đó. Tất cả những gì bạn cần tôi, hoặc cha mẹ của bạn, là để đưa cho bạn một cái tên cho điều bạn đã biết. Và bạn tạo ra thế giới này, và tất cả những gì chúng tôi làm là nói cho bạn cách giao tiếp với tôi về những gì bạn đã tạo ra. Và tôi không biết rằng thế giới của bạn theo bất kỳ cách nào giống như trải nghiệm của tôi. Nó hoàn toàn có thể. Và liệu bạn có nghĩ rằng có những cách mà chúng ta tự làm mình đau khổ rất nhiều và gây ra vấn đề sức khỏe tâm thần vì cách chúng ta cảm nhận bản chất của thực tại, rằng chúng ta có thể, tôi không biết, từ bỏ hoặc điều chỉnh lại bản thân mình để có trải nghiệm cuộc sống trọn vẹn hơn, biết ơn hơn? Hoàn toàn. Tôi nghĩ điều đó rất, rất quan trọng. Và đó là hệ quả tự nhiên của những gì chúng ta vừa nói. Hầu như tất cả chúng ta nghĩ về bản thân mình như một đối tượng trong không gian-thời gian, chỉ ở đây trong một khoảng thời gian ngắn, và chúng ta sẽ sớm chết. Khi tôi nói bạn vượt lên trên bất kỳ lý thuyết khoa học nào, điều đó có nghĩa là lý thuyết rằng tôi chỉ là một đối tượng nặng 160 pound trong không gian-thời gian chỉ là một lý thuyết, và đó không phải là sự thật. Đó không phải là sự thật về ai tôi là. Đó chỉ là một lý thuyết mà tôi có. Bởi vì không gian-thời gian bản thân nó chỉ là một lý thuyết. Không có gì bên trong không gian-thời gian là gì khác ngoài cách diễn giải của headset của tôi về một thực tại mà vô cùng vượt lên trên bất cứ điều gì tôi có thể trải nghiệm. Có một cách khác mà bạn có thể trân trọng điều vượt lên trên khoa học, đó là, và nhiều truyền thống thiền nói về điều này, họ nhận ra rằng bạn vô cùng vượt lên trên bất kỳ mô tả khoa học hay bất kỳ mô tả nào khác. Vậy bạn làm gì trong trường hợp đó để biết bạn là ai? Bạn bỏ tất cả mô tả. Bạn ngồi trong sự im lặng tuyệt đối và bỏ qua bất kỳ suy nghĩ nào, bởi vì bạn nhận ra rằng suy nghĩ là hữu ích trong headset này và để chơi trò chơi của cuộc sống. Vâng, chúng ta cần suy nghĩ để làm khoa học của mình. Nếu bạn muốn hiểu tôi là ai, một lần nữa, tôi làm tâm lý học, tôi làm tất cả điều này, tôi làm khoa học, vì vậy tôi không hạ thấp khoa học. Tôi là một nhà khoa học. Nhưng đến một thời điểm nào đó, nếu bạn muốn hiểu sự thật về ai bạn là ngoài mô tả headset này về bạn, thì bạn phải để sang một bên tất cả khái niệm, hết, và chỉ cần biết chính mình bằng cách là chính mình, không bằng cách đặt một khái niệm giữa bạn và chính bạn. Một câu chuyện. Một câu chuyện. Một danh tính. Đúng vậy. Không có câu chuyện, không có danh tính. Không có gì ở giữa bạn và chính bạn. Bạn biết chính mình bằng cách ngồi trong sự im lặng tuyệt đối và là chính mình, không có khái niệm. Bởi vì khi đó bạn đã buông bỏ tất cả lý thuyết, và bây giờ là thực tại đối mặt với thực tại. Không có rào cản nào ở giữa. Và điều đó đòi hỏi bạn nhận ra rằng danh tính của bạn, những câu chuyện bạn tin, những nhãn bạn đã đặt cho chính mình như CEO hay quản lý mạng xã hội hay quản lý hay giám đốc hay trưởng phòng, tất cả những điều này thực chất chỉ là những nhãn mà bạn đã đặt ra. Đúng vậy. Đó chỉ là những nhãn mà bạn đã đặt ra. Và điều thú vị về điều này bây giờ là nếu tôi nghĩ rằng tôi chỉ là cơ thể nhỏ bé này và tôi không có gì ngoài cơ thể này và những trải nghiệm ý thức của tôi chỉ là những gì bộ não của tôi làm. Vậy thì đó là lý thuyết của tôi, và đó là tất cả tôi là. Tôi không cảm thấy mình lớn lắm. Tôi không cảm thấy mình quan trọng lắm. Và vì vậy tôi có lẽ sẽ cần làm điều gì đó để khiến mình cảm thấy tốt hơn một chút.
    Tôi sẽ cần phải cạnh tranh với bạn. Tôi sẽ cần phải cho thấy tôi hơn bạn ở một khía cạnh nào đó. Vì vậy, tôi là một tay vợt tennis giỏi hơn bạn, hoặc tôi thông minh hơn bạn, hoặc cái gì đó tương tự. Chúng ta sẽ có sự cạnh tranh diễn ra giữa mọi người, và chúng ta sẽ có sự cạnh tranh ngang bằng giữa các tôn giáo và các quốc gia và vân vân, bởi vì chúng ta không biết mình là ai và chúng ta cảm thấy không đủ khả năng.
    Và nếu chúng ta thực sự hiểu rằng tất cả những gì tôi đang thấy ngay bây giờ, tôi đang tạo ra nó trong khoảnh khắc. Cái cốc mà tôi thấy chỉ tồn tại khi tôi tạo ra nó. Cái bàn tồn tại khi tôi tạo ra nó. Giống như trong một thực tại ảo. Trong một thực tại ảo, tôi đang ở trong trò chơi Grand Theft Auto. Tôi nhìn qua đây và bây giờ tôi thấy một chiếc Mustang đỏ. Tôi nhìn đi chỗ khác. Tôi không thấy chiếc Mustang đỏ. Và bây giờ thì không có chiếc Mustang đỏ nào cả. Chiếc Mustang đỏ chỉ tồn tại khi tôi nhìn vì đó là một trò chơi VR. Tôi chỉ cần nó khi tôi hiện thực hóa nó. Tôi hiện thực hóa nó khi tôi cần nó. Bây giờ tôi đang hiện thực hóa một cái cốc. Cái cốc mà tôi đã hiện thực hóa thì không còn ở đó nữa. Bạn có thể hiện thực hóa cái cốc của bạn. Bạn có thể nói, “Chà, Don, bạn sai rồi. Cái cốc vẫn ở đó. Tôi có thể thấy nó.” Không, bạn đang hiện thực hóa cái cốc của bạn. Và vì vậy bạn không đang hiện thực hóa cái cốc của tôi. Tôi đã hiện thực hóa cái cốc của tôi.
    Vì vậy, điều tương tự cũng xảy ra với Grand Theft Auto. Bạn có thể nói, “Chà, tôi thấy chiếc Mustang đỏ ngay cả khi bạn không nhìn, Don.” Vâng, đó là bởi vì trong headset của bạn, bạn đang nhìn và bạn đang hiện thực hóa chiếc Mustang đỏ, nhưng tôi thì không. Và không có chiếc Mustang đỏ nào cả. Nếu bạn nhìn vào máy siêu vi tính, không có chiếc Mustang đỏ nào ở đó. Máy siêu vi tính đang chạy trò chơi đó không có chiếc Mustang đỏ. Vì vậy, điều tôi đang nói là chúng ta cạnh tranh, chúng ta cảm thấy không đủ và chúng ta cảm thấy như chúng ta cần phải cạnh tranh với người khác và tốt hơn họ, và chúng ta có cái tôi, tất cả những thứ liên quan đến cái tôi mà chúng ta làm gây ra tất cả những vấn đề trong thế giới này vì bạn không biết bạn là ai. Bạn đang tạo ra toàn bộ điều này. Bạn không phải là một người chơi nhỏ. Bạn là người phát minh ra toàn bộ điều này. Bạn không có gì để chứng minh và bạn không cần phải tốt hơn bất kỳ ai khác. Họ cũng là những người sáng tạo vĩ đại. Họ đang tạo ra các vũ trụ hoàn chỉnh mà họ nhận thức.
    Và cách nhìn của riêng tôi về điều này là bạn và tôi thực sự là cùng một thực tại chỉ đang nhìn vào chính nó qua hai headset khác nhau, hai hình tượng khác nhau, và đang có một cuộc trò chuyện. Và có thể đó là điều cần thiết cho một trí tuệ vô hạn này để sort of biết chính nó. Nếu bạn vượt qua bất kỳ mô tả nào, làm thế nào bạn biết chính bạn? Có thể điều bạn làm là bạn nói, “Chà, để tôi thử cái headset này.” Để tôi coi điều đó nghiêm túc một thời gian. Có thể thậm chí để tôi bị lạc. Để tôi hoàn toàn tin rằng tôi chỉ là một Don Hoffman trong không gian-thời gian này. Và để tôi tin điều đó trong nhiều thập kỷ và sau đó từ từ tỉnh dậy. Nhưng ít nhất thì tôi sẽ đã thấy bản thân từ góc độ này. Sau đó tôi sẽ bỏ cái headset đó ra. Chúng ta gọi đó là cái chết. Chúng ta đều chỉ bỏ cái headset ra. Và sau đó tôi sẽ thử nó. Có một số lượng vô hạn các cái headset để thử.
    Vì vậy, từ góc nhìn đó, bất kỳ người nào bạn nói chuyện đều là siêu việt. Bất kỳ loài động vật nào cũng chỉ là hình tượng của thực tại siêu việt, không thể diễn tả, đáng kinh ngạc, vượt qua khoa học đến nỗi khoa học chỉ nhận được 0% của nó. Và một lần nữa, tôi luôn nói, tôi không hạ thấp khoa học. Tôi là một nhà khoa học. Chúng ta cần phải làm khoa học. Và tôi khuyên mọi người nên làm khoa học. Nhưng tôi đoán, đây là một trong những cái headset tầm thường hơn. Nó chỉ có bốn chiều. Tại sao không 20 tỷ? Tại sao không quintillion? Đây chỉ là một cái gì đó khá tầm thường.
    Vì vậy, có thể chúng ta đang ở một trong những góc nhìn kém thú vị hơn về ai là chúng ta. Và có những góc nhìn thú vị hơn nhiều mà chúng ta có thể có về bản thân. Nhưng lý do chúng ta có chiến tranh, lý do chúng ta có cái tôi là vì chúng ta không biết ai là chúng ta. Và có cách nào để tôi hiểu tôi là ai không? Hay gần nhất bạn đã tìm thấy thiền? Tôi biết bạn đã thiền trong 20 năm hoặc điều gì đó. Tôi nên nói, tôi nên cẩn thận một chút. Tôi nghĩ rằng nó thực sự quan trọng để làm, đối với tôi như một nhà khoa học, để đã làm khoa học mà tôi đã làm. Nhưng tôi nghĩ đối với một người khác không làm khoa học, có thể bạn làm âm nhạc hoặc bạn chơi thể thao hoặc cái gì đó tương tự. Đó là một cách cụ thể để biết bạn thông qua một góc nhìn. Và điều đó thực sự quan trọng.
    Và vì chúng ta có hàng tỷ người và còn rất nhiều loài động vật và côn trùng khác, cái trí tuệ vô hạn này, bất cứ là gì, đã quyết định rằng tôi muốn nhìn vào chính mình qua ống kính của một con muỗi và bây giờ của một con ong bầu và bây giờ của một con bọ ngọc không thể phân biệt được chai với cái cái cái cái cái con cái. Tôi sẽ nhìn vào chính mình từ hàng triệu góc nhìn này.
    Vì vậy, bạn gần như đang ngụ ý rằng có một ý thức này và nó chỉ sử dụng các sinh vật khác nhau có thể làm phương tiện để hiểu chính nó và bản chất của thực tại. Đúng vậy. Điều đó có nghĩa là tôi và bạn là cùng một ý thức, nhưng bạn được sinh ra là một nhà khoa học ở Mỹ và tôi được sinh ra là một, tôi không biết, một doanh nhân ở Botswana với những góc nhìn khác nhau để hiểu thực tại, điều này có nghĩa là chúng ta cơ bản là cùng một ý thức, cùng một trí tuệ siêu phàm hoặc gì đó, chỉ thể hiện dưới dạng những đôi mắt khác nhau ở những nơi khác nhau. Đó là quan điểm của tôi. Và một số truyền thống tôn giáo nhất định cũng gợi ý, gần như nói chính xác điều đó. Bạn biết đấy, như Chúa Giêsu trong Kitô giáo, trong như Matthew 25 nói, bạn biết đấy, tôi bị đói và bạn cho tôi ăn. Tôi khát. Bạn cho tôi nước. Tôi là người ngoại quốc và bạn đã mời tôi vào. Tôi bệnh tật và bạn đã giúp tôi. Tôi ở trong tù và bạn đã thăm tôi. Và người ta, ông nói, đã hỏi ông, khi nào chúng tôi đã làm điều đó? Và ông đã nói, bất cứ khi nào bạn làm cho người thấp kém nhất, bạn đã làm cho tôi. Vì vậy, Chúa Giêsu như là đang ngụ ý điều này. Không có sự khác biệt nào cả.
    Lý do để yêu thương người hàng xóm như chính bản thân mình là vì người hàng xóm chính là bạn, chỉ là trong một bộ kính thực tế ảo khác. Và lý do duy nhất mà chúng ta có vấn đề là vì chúng ta không nhận ra bạn tuyệt vời như thế nào. Vì vậy, bạn chính là người tạo ra mô phỏng VR này với tất cả vẻ đẹp và sự phức tạp của nó. Tất cả sự phức tạp ấy là bạn và bạn thực hiện điều đó một cách dễ dàng.
    Bây giờ, đối với các đồng nghiệp khoa học thần kinh của tôi, họ sẽ nói, “Don, điều đó không dễ dàng chút nào. Bạn có 100 tỷ, ồ, 86 tỷ tế bào thần kinh trong não bộ của bạn. Hệ thống thị giác có hàng tỷ tế bào thần kinh đang thực hiện tất cả những phép toán này. Và chúng ta có các tế bào đơn giản, tế bào phức tạp và tế bào siêu phức tạp. Và chúng ta nghĩ về não bộ như một đối tượng vật chất tạo ra ý thức của chúng ta.”
    Tôi nói rằng không-thời gian tự thân là điều bạn tạo ra. Vì vậy, bạn tạo ra mọi thứ trong không-thời gian. Và tôi cũng đã tạo ra não bộ. Bạn tạo ra não bộ. Vậy ngay bây giờ, bạn không có một bộ não. Xin lỗi? Tôi cũng vậy. Được rồi, hợp lý. Bởi vì tôi không có một bộ não và bạn cũng không có một bộ não cho đến khi chúng ta thực sự nhìn vào bên trong và tái hiện một bộ não. Cũng giống như trong VR. Chiếc Mustang không tồn tại cho đến khi bạn nhìn vào nó và tái hiện nó. Vì vậy, tôi có thể dự đoán rằng nếu chúng ta thực hiện các quét đúng, chúng ta sẽ thấy một bộ não. Nhưng điều đó chỉ tồn tại khi chúng ta thực hiện quá trình tái hiện. Vậy thì tôi không có một bộ não.
    Tất cả những mối tương quan này, chúng ta biết rằng mối tương quan không đồng nghĩa với nguyên nhân, đúng không? Vậy nên thực tế có những mối tương quan, và tôi không phủ nhận điều đó. Thực tế, tôi hoàn toàn ủng hộ việc nghiên cứu những mối tương quan này giữa hoạt động não bộ và trải nghiệm ý thức. Chúng tồn tại. Chúng không thể phủ nhận. Và chúng không theo cách nào đó liên quan rằng não bộ gây ra những trải nghiệm ý thức của chúng ta. Vì vậy, tôi không phải là não bộ. Tôi là thứ mô phỏng sự hiện diện của não bộ. Đúng vậy. Đúng vậy.
    Và trong mô phỏng của bạn, mô phỏng của bạn quá tốt đến nỗi nó cũng mô phỏng cách mà toàn bộ thực tại vượt qua không-thời gian được chảy xuống cái bộ kính thực tại ảo nhỏ bé này. Và đó là điều mà chúng ta gọi là não bộ. Vì vậy, đương nhiên, sẽ có những mối tương quan này giữa hoạt động não bộ và những gì chúng ta thấy. Nhưng mối tương quan diễn ra theo chiều ngược lại. Không phải vì não bộ tạo ra những trải nghiệm ý thức của bạn. Mà là vì ý thức đã tạo ra não bộ như một biểu tượng để mô tả cách nó tạo ra cái kính thực tại ảo này.
    Bạn có nghĩ nhiều về lý thuyết mô phỏng không? Gần đây, tôi đã có rất nhiều buổi tiệc tối và trò chuyện về lý thuyết mô phỏng, và luôn luôn rất, rất thú vị. Bạn nghĩ gì về lý thuyết mô phỏng? Và cho những người nghe của tôi có thể không hiểu khái niệm lý thuyết mô phỏng, bạn có thể giải thích không? Vâng.
    Để tôi nói về chuẩn mực, Nick Bostrom, ví dụ, là một nhân vật lớn trong lý thuyết mô phỏng. Và trong những lý thuyết mô phỏng đó, ý tưởng là thế giới mà bạn đang thấy ngay bây giờ không phải là thế giới thực sự. Đây chỉ là một mô phỏng. Và có một lập trình viên nào đó, giả sử, với một chiếc máy tính đẹp mà đã lập trình thế giới này. Và vì vậy, chúng ta chỉ là những nhân vật trong một thế giới mô phỏng của một lập trình viên nào đó. Và lập trình viên và máy tính xách tay của họ đang làm điều này, hóa ra, cũng không phải là điều cuối cùng, vì lập trình viên và máy tính của họ cũng chỉ là một mô phỏng từ một lập trình viên ở cấp độ sâu hơn và máy tính xách tay của họ.
    Có thể có một lồng ghép rất, rất lớn của tất cả những thế giới và con người mô phỏng này với máy tính của họ. Và điều này khá nhất quán với những gì tôi nói đến một điểm nào đó. Tôi đang nói rằng đây không phải là thực tại. Đây chỉ là một bộ kính.
    Vậy, bạn có nghĩ rằng sẽ có một thời điểm nào đó, với tất cả những gì đang diễn ra với AI và robot, rằng chúng ta có thể làm ra một con robot và lập trình nó với một AI nhất định để nó có kiểu tư duy tương tự như con người không? Và sau đó khi tôi cho nó một mẩu sô cô la vào miệng, nó sẽ nói với tôi, “Hmmm, tôi thích sô cô la đó, Stephen. Đó là hương vị yêu thích của tôi.” Tôi chắc chắn có thể lập trình một con robot như vậy. Nhưng câu hỏi sẽ luôn là, chỉ vì tôi có mạch đặc biệt này trong máy tính và có một cấu trúc trong lưỡi mà tôi đã cho nó và một mẫu hoạt động điện, lý thuyết khoa học của tôi giải thích tại sao mẫu đó phải là vị mùi của sô cô la là gì? Đó là điều chúng ta cần.
    Nhưng đó là thứ học hỏi thích ứng của bạn, nơi nó chỉ đã học thông qua tất cả dữ liệu, thông qua ai đó nói với nó, lập trình nó để nghĩ rằng tập hợp hóa chất đó, gửi nó lên phần mềm và sau đó phản hồi như thế này, có thể giống như cách mà tôi và bạn đang phản ứng với cuộc sống. Chúng tôi có thể không hoàn toàn ý thức. Đúng, và những gì bạn đang gợi ý có lẽ là cách mà chúng tôi thực sự sẽ làm điều đó. Chúng tôi có lẽ sẽ tập huấn nó và cho nó phản hồi đúng trong loại bối cảnh đó. Vì vậy, chúng tôi có lẽ sẽ làm điều gì đó như vậy. Nhưng sau đó, với tư cách là các nhà khoa học, chúng tôi muốn hiểu biết. Vì vậy, chúng tôi đang tuyên bố với tư cách là các nhà khoa học rằng một trải nghiệm là một, nói một cấu trúc nguyên nhân nhất định hoặc một kiến trúc chức năng nhất định. Đó là những gì chúng tôi đang nói. Bởi vì đây là những lý thuyết vật lý và chúng đang nói rằng chúng tôi sẽ không bắt đầu với ý thức. Ý thức không phải là điều cơ bản. Không-thời gian và các vật thể vật lý mới là cơ bản. Vì vậy, chúng tôi cần chỉ ra cách mà những vật thể vật lý và các thuộc tính của chúng dẫn đến những trải nghiệm ý thức này.
    Vì vậy, nếu đó là khoa học mà bạn muốn đề xuất, thì tôi phải cứng rắn với tư cách là một nhà khoa học bây giờ và nói, cho tôi lý thuyết của bạn về vị bạc hà. Vậy bạn có nghĩ đây là một mô phỏng không? Vậy đây không phải là một mô phỏng theo nghĩa của Bostrom. Ở nghĩa của Bostrom, đây là một mô phỏng trong đó nó là một nền tảng vật lý đang tạo ra toàn bộ thế giới của những trải nghiệm ý thức mà tôi đang có. Và tôi phủ nhận điều đó. Như một lập trình viên trò chơi ngồi trước máy tính tạo ra nó. Và theo cách nào đó, hệ thống vật lý tự thân đã tạo ra phép màu của những trải nghiệm ý thức mà tôi đang có về màu đỏ và màu xanh lá cây, về tình yêu và những thứ như vậy.
    Dưới đây là bản dịch sang tiếng Việt của đoạn văn bạn đã cung cấp:
    Về lý thuyết mô phỏng, thì đây là điểm gây tranh cãi của tôi với lý thuyết này. Nó rất giống với lý thuyết của tôi ở tất cả các khía cạnh khác, nhưng đây là một điểm tranh cãi khá nghiêm trọng. Để lý thuyết của họ hoạt động, họ phải chỉ rõ, một cách khoa học, cách mà một trải nghiệm ý thức cụ thể phát sinh từ một chương trình cụ thể. Cho đến khi họ làm được điều đó, sẽ không có điều gì cụ thể để bàn tới. Về ý kiến của tôi, lý thuyết của họ hiện tại không có cơ sở vì không có trải nghiệm cụ thể nào mà họ có thể nói rằng, chương trình này phải là vị của bạc hà. Họ không thể làm điều đó. Và cho đến khi họ có thể làm điều đó, họ sẽ không thể hiểu được toàn bộ thế giới trải nghiệm mà tôi đang sống. Không có gì cả. Vì vậy, sẽ không có gì để bàn cả. Tất cả những gì họ cần làm để cung cấp cho tôi một lập luận là nói rằng, giống như trong lý thuyết thông tin tích hợp, họ nói, đây là ma trận cho bạc hà. Đây là ma trận. Tất nhiên, sau đó chúng ta sẽ hỏi, tại sao? Tại sao ma trận đó, cấu trúc nguyên nhân đó lại là vị của bạc hà? Lý thuyết khoa học của bạn về việc tại sao điều đó là như vậy là gì? Và điều bạn sẽ thấy là, tôi nghĩ sẽ mất một thời gian cho lĩnh vực này để nhận ra điều đó, nhưng chúng ta sẽ nhận ra rằng những cách tiếp cận này trống rỗng. Không có gì cả. Khi bạn hỏi mọi người ý nghĩa cuộc sống của họ là gì, họ thường nói những điều như, có lẽ họ sẽ nói là nuôi dạy trẻ em, có lẽ họ sẽ nói họ muốn cải thiện nhân loại, họ muốn chữa khỏi một căn bệnh, họ muốn giúp đỡ xã hội theo một cách nào đó, nhưng qua lăng kính thực tại mà bạn nhìn thế giới và bạn tin rằng thế giới là như vậy, ý nghĩa của cuộc sống trở thành gì, Donald? Đó là một câu hỏi tuyệt vời. Tôi thực sự nghĩ rằng mô tả tốt nhất mà tôi có thể đưa ra là có một ý thức vượt lên trên, vô hạn, và bạn và tôi chỉ là những hình đại diện, và cả muỗi, và cả vi khuẩn, và tất cả đều thú vị và quan trọng như nhau, và tất cả đều là những góc nhìn khác nhau, chỉ là những thiết bị khác nhau. Có thiết bị muỗi, có thiết bị bọ ngọc, có tất cả những thiết bị khác nhau này, và tôi ở trong thiết bị Hoffman, làm khoa học, tôi không giỏi về nghệ thuật, tôi không giỏi về âm nhạc, và vân vân. Tôi có những tài năng và khuyết điểm riêng của mình trong thiết bị của tôi. Vì vậy, tôi ở đây để trải nghiệm góc nhìn của Don Hoffman về mọi thứ. Tại sao? Bởi vì đó có lẽ là cách duy nhất mà cái vô hạn có thể biết chính nó, là thông qua một số lượng vô hạn các góc nhìn. Nó vượt lên trên bất kỳ góc nhìn cụ thể nào. Vậy tại sao không bị lạc trong góc nhìn của Hoffman và góc nhìn của bọ ngọc và tất cả những góc nhìn khác nhau này? Và đó là cách duy nhất để biết chính mình, nhưng luôn luôn là một ý thức duy nhất đang biết chính nó thông qua vô số các hình thức, trải nghiệm, thiết bị. Và có ai đó hoặc một thứ gì đó đã tạo ra ý thức duy nhất đó không? Giờ tôi vượt quá khả năng của mình. Giờ tôi vượt quá khả năng của mình. Đó, tất nhiên, là câu hỏi đúng. Và nó yêu cầu một lời giải thích. Và những lời giải thích mà chúng tôi có chỉ có thể là toán học hoặc khoa học hoặc cả hai. Chỉ có những kiểm tra nghiêm túc thực sự sâu sắc. Nhưng ngay cả những lời giải thích không chính thức cũng đưa ra giả định. Và vì vậy, tôi sẽ phải nói rằng bạn đang đặt câu hỏi về một thực thể vượt lên trên bất kỳ mô tả nào, tức là bạn thực sự là ai và tôi thực sự là ai. Và tôi nghĩ bạn có thể biết câu trả lời cho câu hỏi của bạn theo một cách, và đó là bỏ qua tất cả các khái niệm và chỉ đơn giản là hiện diện với hiện hữu của bạn. Bạn chính là điều đó. Bạn chính là điều đó. Bạn không cần phải đạt được điều gì cả. Bạn không cần phải đạt được bất kỳ điều gì. Bạn chính là điều đó ngay bây giờ. Vì vậy, không có nỗ lực. Không cần phải trở nên tốt hơn ở bất kỳ điều gì. Chỉ cần nhận ra những gì bạn đã là. Bạn đã để bản thân mình sống trong một ảo tưởng rằng tôi chỉ là một thằng bé nhỏ cần phải làm những điều này và, bạn biết đấy, và trở thành giáo sư và bất kể điều gì có thể là. Tôi đã sống trong ảo tưởng đó. Và tôi đã nhìn thấy bản thân mình qua lăng kính đó. Và sau đó tôi bắt đầu thức tỉnh và thấy rằng tôi hoàn toàn vượt lên trên. Đó là một góc nhìn thú vị. Tôi rất vui vì đã nghiêm túc với nó. Tôi sẽ tháo bỏ thiết bị đó. Chúng tôi gọi đó là cái chết. Nhưng tôi sẽ tháo bỏ thiết bị đó sớm thôi vì đó không phải là tôi. Tôi vượt lên trên điều đó. Vì vậy, câu trả lời là bạn có thể biết nó, nhưng bạn biết nó khi bạn buông bỏ tất cả các khái niệm và bạn không cố gắng. Nếu bạn đang cố gắng để đạt được điều đó, thì bạn sẽ không thấy những gì bạn đã là. Đó là câu trả lời tốt nhất mà tôi có thể đưa ra vào lúc này vì nó vượt lên trên khoa học. Vì vậy, về một vị thần, như chúng ta tin vào một vị thần trong bối cảnh tôn giáo, câu trả lời tốt nhất mà bạn có thể nói là về cơ bản chúng ta là Chúa, vị thần mà chúng ta nhắc đến. Chúng ta là sức mạnh vượt lên trên mô tả. Đúng rồi. Vâng, tôi sẽ nói như vậy. Ý tôi là, tôi có thể đặt điều đó trong ngôn ngữ kiểu Kitô giáo vì nhiều người nghe sẽ là Kitô hữu. Một đứa trẻ của con người là con người. Kinh Thánh gọi chúng ta là con cái của Chúa. Vâng, nếu con cái của con người là con người, thì con cái của Chúa là Chúa. Đó là điều mà nó chỉ ra. Và Chúa Jesus khá rõ ràng về điều đó. Khi một số nhà lãnh đạo tôn giáo sắp ném đá Chúa Jesus vì nói rằng Ngài là con cái của Chúa, Chúa Jesus đã trích dẫn Kinh Thánh và nói, từ, tôi nghĩ, các Thánh Vịnh hoặc gì đó tương tự như vậy, Ngài nói, nhưng trong các Thánh Vịnh có nói, ta đã nói, các ngươi là thần và tất cả các con trai của các ngươi là Đấng Tối Cao. Và Chúa Jesus đã nói, nếu Ngài gọi họ là thần, những người mà Lời Chúa đã đến với, tại sao các ngươi lại cố gắng ném đá ta đến chết chỉ vì nói rằng ta là con cái của Chúa? Những gì Kinh Thánh thực chất đang nói là, yêu Chúa bằng tất cả trái tim của bạn, đó là yêu bản thân bạn. Bạn là Chúa. Và yêu hàng xóm như yêu bản thân mình chỉ là nhận ra rằng hàng xóm của bạn là bản thân bạn dưới một hình đại diện khác. Bạn có nghĩ Chúa Jesus thực sự là thần thánh trong bất kỳ, tôi giả định bạn nghĩ rằng đây là một cá nhân có thật, và bạn có nghĩ Ngài thần thánh hơn bạn và tôi ở một số khía cạnh không? Không hơn bạn và tôi, nhưng bạn là thần thánh như có thể có. Cảm ơn bạn rất nhiều. Tôi sẽ cắt đoạn đó. Tôi sẽ đăng điều đó lên LinkedIn của mình. Hoffman đã nói vậy. Vâng. Sự thần thánh của bạn chính là điều đó. Hoffman nói tôi thần thánh như có thể có.
    Có những điều gì, bạn nhất định phải đi nếu bạn hiểu thực tại qua lăng kính mà chúng ta đang nhìn thấy rất ít và rằng phần lớn điều đó được chúng ta tạo ra, và chúng ta là sự vượt lên, có những điều gì bạn làm hàng ngày mà không giống ai vì điều đó hoặc những suy nghĩ bạn có hoặc những trải nghiệm bạn có không giống ai vì góc nhìn này không? Chắc chắn là không giống như trước đây trong cuộc đời của tôi.
    Giờ đây tôi dành khá nhiều thời gian cho việc thiền, bởi vì dù tôi rất thích cuộc sống của trí óc và tôi là một giáo sư, đã dạy rất nhiều sinh viên trong suốt nhiều năm, và tôi khuyên bạn nên làm tất cả những điều đó, nhưng đến một thời điểm tôi nhận ra rằng tất cả kiến thức của tôi, tất cả kiến thức khoa học có thể có là 0% của thực tại. Và liệu tôi có thực sự muốn giới hạn bản thân chỉ trong 0% của thực tại không? Tôi muốn khám phá thực tại từ góc độ này, nhưng đó là 0%.
    Vì vậy, tôi làm bài tập về nhà của mình và khuyến khích sinh viên làm nhiều bài tập hơn, xem xét góc nhìn này một cách nghiêm túc, học tập, nghiên cứu một cách nghiêm ngặt, nhưng sau đó nhận ra rằng có 100% mà bạn chưa thấy và bạn chính là nó.
    Vì vậy, bạn đã sử dụng rất nhiều chất gây ảo giác và những thứ như vậy. Tôi chưa bao giờ sử dụng chất gây ảo giác. Bạn chưa bao giờ thử chất gây ảo giác? Tôi chưa bao giờ, tôi thậm chí chưa bao giờ hút thuốc lá và tôi cũng chưa uống rượu trong nhiều thập kỷ. Vì vậy, tôi, tôi và cũng một phần chỉ vì tôi, tôi mong manh. Cơ thể vật lý của tôi không mạnh mẽ lắm. Tôi, tôi, tôi có giới hạn, ừ, tôi không thể thúc ép cơ thể quá nhiều. Vì vậy, tôi đã học cách hoạt động trong giới hạn của mình và tôi không ép bản thân quá mức, nhưng thiền là thứ tôi thực hiện.
    Liệu tôi có đúng khi nghĩ rằng bạn bây giờ thiền ba đến bốn giờ mỗi ngày? Có lẽ, vâng. Những hiểu biết hoặc nhận thức nào đã xuất hiện từ điều đó mà tôi có thể hiểu được? Bất kỳ sự sáng tạo nào đã xuất hiện trong công việc khoa học của tôi, đến mức nào đó là sáng tạo, đều xuất phát từ sự im lặng. Vì vậy, tôi, tất nhiên, tôi đã phải làm bài tập về nhà và nghiên cứu v.v., nhưng những ý tưởng mới đến từ sự im lặng.
    Cá nhân tôi, một điều tôi thấy là tôi đã gắn bó với hình ảnh của mình như thế nào. Tôi nghĩ tôi là cơ thể này. Tôi thực sự bị ràng buộc với cơ thể này. Và có những điều tôi đang nói ở cấp độ cảm xúc, có một phần cảm xúc của tôi không hề tin điều đó chút nào. Về mặt cảm xúc, nếu bạn đặt súng vào đầu tôi, tôi sẽ cực kỳ sợ hãi. Về mặt trí tuệ, tôi sẽ nói với bạn, đây chỉ là một hình ảnh. Tôi là vô hạn, vượt lên trên. Vì vậy, khi tôi chết, tôi chỉ…, và tôi tin điều đó. Tôi tin điều đó sâu đến mức nào? Đặt súng vào đầu tôi và bạn sẽ biết. Tôi sẽ ướt quần.
    Vì vậy, thật thú vị khi tôi nhìn vào điều đó và thấy tất cả những sự không kết hợp, những điều bị tách rời trong thế giới quan của tôi. Ừ, nó cũng có vẻ hợp lý, đúng không? Dựa trên lý thuyết của bạn rằng các giác quan của chúng ta đã tiến hóa để giúp chúng ta sống sót, vì ai đó không thích suy nghĩ hoặc lý thuyết của bạn hoặc từ chối bạn hoặc làm hại cơ thể của bạn, thì điều đó sẽ đi ngược lại sự sống sót của bạn. Vì vậy, lý thuyết, nếu chúng ta đang ở trong thế giới mà bạn đã mô tả và thực tại mà bạn đã mô tả, về cơ bản được thiết kế cho sự sống sót, thì bạn sẽ phát triển những giác quan làm cho bạn thay đổi hành vi nếu có nguy cơ ai đó không thích bạn.
    Đúng vậy. Có những áp lực xã hội và nếu chúng ta không tuân theo chúng, bạn sẽ nhận được phản hồi có thể rất, rất tiêu cực và trong một số trường hợp thậm chí dẫn đến cái chết. Nếu tôi vào một cửa hàng tạp hóa mà không trả tiền và chỉ đi ra với đồ, tôi sẽ bị nhốt vào tù. Có những quy tắc của trò chơi. Có những quy tắc của chiếc tai nghe. Tôi vượt lên trên chiếc tai nghe, nhưng tôi chọn cho phép bản thân bị lạc trong trò chơi.
    Bắt đầu từ tháng 1 năm 2020, bạn thực sự đã có một khẩu súng điển hình đặt vào đầu mình theo cách nào đó vì bạn đã mắc COVID và phải trải qua và vẫn đang phải đối mặt với một số biến chứng sức khỏe nghiêm trọng vì COVID kéo dài. Bạn đã phát triển các vấn đề về tim trong vài tuần, cần hàng trăm giờ chăm sóc đặc biệt trong bệnh viện. Bạn đã nói với tôi trước khi chúng ta bắt đầu ghi âm rằng bạn đã có hai lần phẫu thuật tim.
    Vâng. Năm 2021, ở tuổi 66, có một thời điểm bạn nghĩ rằng có thể bạn sẽ không sống sót vì tim của bạn đã đập 190 nhịp mỗi phút trong 30 giờ và bạn đã gửi cho vợ một tin nhắn từ biệt vì nó có vẻ như đã đến lúc kết thúc. Đúng rồi. Đúng rồi. Tôi đang tự hỏi điều mà bạn đã phải đối diện với cái chết đã thay đổi perception của bạn về cuộc sống như thế nào, góc nhìn của bạn, và tất cả những điều đó kết nối với niềm tin của bạn về bản chất của thực tại.
    Chắc chắn đã cho tôi thấy tôi đã gắn bó với cơ thể của tôi như thế nào và nỗi sợ mà tôi đã trải nghiệm. Một điều là tôi ngồi ở đây như một học giả tốt đẹp và nói về việc bạn là thực tại vượt lên. Một điều khác là khi tim bạn ngừng đập và biết rằng có thể đây là sự kết thúc và đối mặt với cảm xúc thô sơ. Vì vậy, tôi đã gặp một vấn đề nghiêm trọng và sau đó tôi phải phẫu thuật lần nữa. Lần đầu giữ tôi lại khoảng một năm rưỡi. Một bác sĩ phẫu thuật giỏi không phải lỗi của ông ấy. Ông ấy đã làm rất tốt. Nhưng, bạn biết đấy, COVID là một thứ dai dẳng. Và tuần trước phẫu thuật lần thứ hai của tôi, tôi đã vào phòng cấp cứu ba lần nơi họ đã phải khởi động lại tim tôi. Chỉ không biết liệu tôi có sống sót hay không. Tôi phải đi khởi động lại tim và sau đó hai ngày sau quay lại để khởi động lại tim và tôi chỉ hy vọng sống sót để đến phẫu thuật. Và ngay cả bây giờ, tôi cũng không bất ngờ nếu tim lại bắt đầu xấu đi.
    Vậy điều đó đưa chúng ta ra khỏi lĩnh vực học thuật trừu tượng vào một cái gì đó rất, rất cụ thể. Bạn đối phó với thực tế rằng bạn thực sự không biết từ nhịp tim này đến nhịp tim khác như thế nào? Nó giữ cho bạn không chỉ nói một cách trừu tượng về những điều này và trở nên thực tế về nó. Tôi thực sự cảm thấy thế nào về điều đó? Và khi tôi nhìn vào bên trong và thấy nỗi sợ thật sự, thì tôi biết, ừ, điều mà bạn nói về việc bạn là vô hạn và mọi người khác cũng là vô hạn vẫn chỉ là một khái niệm trừu tượng đối với bạn, Don. Bạn chưa thực sự đi sâu đủ.
    Bạn cần đi sâu hơn, và thực sự nếu điều đó đúng, ý tôi là, có thể tất cả chỉ là những điều vô nghĩa, đúng không? Nhưng nếu đúng là bạn là vô hạn và mọi người khác cũng là vô hạn, thì bạn cần đi sâu hơn vào điều đó. Về mặt trí tuệ, tôi đã bị thuyết phục. Ý tôi là, tôi đã đưa ra những lý do. Về mặt trí tuệ, tôi khá bị thuyết phục. Và điều thú vị là về mặt cảm xúc, tôi còn xa mới bị thuyết phục. Tôi đồng ý với những gì bạn vừa nói về các lập luận tiến hóa cho điều đó. Có lý do tiến hóa tốt để tôi có những phản ứng cảm xúc tự động nhằm bảo vệ cơ thể này và giữ gìn sự sống. Vậy không còn nghi ngờ gì cả. Nên không có lý do gì để phán xét bản thân khi mà bạn biết đấy, cơ thể tôi có phản ứng sợ hãi và như vậy khi có những điều sắp giết tôi. Vấn đề đặt ra là khi tôi nhìn vào phản ứng sợ hãi đó, tôi có thể nhìn nhận và chấp nhận nó hay tôi đồng nhất với nó? Tôi có đồng nhất với phản ứng sợ hãi hay tôi có thể lùi lại và trở thành người quan sát phản ứng sợ hãi đó? Trong quá trình thiền, điều tôi đang học được, theo một nghĩa nào đó, là những gì tôi đã nói về khoa học. Khoa học thật tuyệt vời, nhưng đừng tin vào bất kỳ lý thuyết nào. Các lý thuyết chỉ là công cụ. Chúng không phải là sự thật. Không có lý thuyết khoa học nào, kể cả lý thuyết của tôi, là sự thật. Và lý thuyết của tôi về ai đó cũng không phải là sự thật. Vì vậy, để thực sự buông bỏ bất kỳ lý thuyết nào, nếu tôi có thể thực sự buông bỏ bất kỳ lý thuyết nào về bản thân mình, thì tôi sẽ buông bỏ bất kỳ nỗi sợ nào. Vì vậy, điều này thực sự trở nên thú vị. Chúng ta mỗi người sẽ chết. Điều này không thể chối cãi. Vì vậy, bất kỳ sự ràng buộc nào mà tôi có với thế giới này sẽ chấm dứt. Không còn nghi ngờ gì nữa. Câu hỏi là, liệu tôi có thể buông bỏ những sự ràng buộc đó ngay bây giờ không? Hay chúng chỉ đi khỏi tay tôi khi tôi đã lạnh và chết? Khi nào tôi sẽ buông bỏ tất cả những sự ràng buộc này? Nếu tôi, đến mức nào đó, và tôi không phải là chuyên gia, nhưng đến mức tôi có thể buông bỏ, tôi thấy rằng có nhiều sự bình yên hơn. Có sự bình yên hơn khi không gắn bó với những thứ. Vì vậy, tôi thấy điều đó, nhưng tôi chưa ở đó. Đây là một góc nhìn rất nhân văn, rất con người về mọi thứ, một góc nhìn rất dễ sai. Và điều này thật sự rất thú vị. Vì vậy, tôi khẳng định tôi là vô hạn, và tôi là vô hạn đang trong thân thể này. Và theo một nghĩa nào đó, tôi đang tỉnh dậy để biết tôi thật sự là ai, nhưng tôi chỉ mới tỉnh dậy một phần. Tôi bắt đầu doanh nghiệp đầu tiên của mình khi 12 tuổi. Và tôi đã bắt đầu nhiều doanh nghiệp hơn khi 14, 15, 16, 17 và 18 tuổi. Và vào thời điểm đó, điều tôi không nhận ra là việc là một người sáng lập mà không có tiền nghĩa là tôi cũng phải là người làm tiếp thị, đại diện bán hàng, đội tài chính, dịch vụ khách hàng và người tuyển dụng. Nhưng nếu bạn bắt đầu một doanh nghiệp ngày nay, thật may mắn có một công cụ có thể gánh vác tất cả những vai trò đó cho bạn. Nhà tài trợ của chúng tôi hôm nay, đó là Shopify. Nhờ vào tất cả các tích hợp AI của nó, việc sử dụng Shopify cảm thấy như bạn đã thuê một đội ngũ tăng trưởng toàn diện từ ngày đầu tiên, chăm sóc việc viết mô tả sản phẩm, thiết kế trang web của bạn, và làm đẹp hình ảnh sản phẩm của bạn. Chưa kể đến những điều mà bạn mong đợi Shopify xử lý, như giao hàng, thuế, như tồn kho. Và nếu bạn đang muốn bắt đầu doanh nghiệp của mình, hãy truy cập shopify.com/slash Bartlett và đăng ký dùng thử 1 đô la mỗi tháng. Đó là shopify.com/slash Bartlett. Khi chúng ta chết, theo quan điểm của bạn, điều đó có nghĩa là giống như việc tháo tai nghe ra? Hoàn toàn đúng. Và khi chúng ta chết, chúng ta tháo tai nghe ra. Đúng vậy. Tôi giả dụ rằng ý thức vẫn còn tồn tại. Đúng vậy. Vậy thì một người sẽ như thế nào, khi tôi chết, liệu tôi có nổi lên và ở trong một thiên đường không? Tôi có trở thành một cái cây không? Tôi có biến thành một con côn trùng không? Ý thức đó sẽ xảy ra điều gì? Nó sẽ là thế này? Hay đây chỉ là một đống nhãn hiệu và câu chuyện? Tất nhiên, câu trả lời là tôi không biết. Nhưng tôi sẽ suy đoán. Đã nói là tôi không biết và thành thật, tôi sẽ suy đoán. Tôi nghi ngờ rằng gần nhất tôi có thể đến điều đó là những gì xảy ra trong thiền. Khi tôi thực sự buông bỏ, và rất, rất yên tĩnh và mắt tôi nhắm lại, thì có sự nhận thức và đó là sự nhận thức rất tỉnh táo, rất, rất ý thức. Và nó không có nội dung. Không có màu sắc, không có vị, không có mùi. Không có nội dung. Và không cần có. Đó là sự nhận thức có thể tạo ra tất cả điều này trong một khoảnh khắc. Và nó có thể buông bỏ nó. Vậy nên, điều gần nhất bạn có thể đến để trả lời câu hỏi của chính bạn là thực sự chỉ cần ngồi trong im lặng. Và điều đó khó khăn vì những suy nghĩ sẽ đến và đến và đến. Và việc buông bỏ tất cả các suy nghĩ là một điều khó khăn. Nhưng khi bạn làm điều đó, thì tôi nghĩ đó là điều gần nhất tôi có thể cung cấp để trả lời câu hỏi của bạn. Chúng ta dành nhiều thời gian tranh luận xem liệu Chúa này có thật hay không, liệu điều này có thật hay không, liệu các chiêm tinh có thật hay không, liệu niềm tin tâm linh này có thật hay không, hay nghiệp hay dharma hay tái sinh. Theo quan điểm của bạn, có phải có phần ngu dốt khi thiết lập quầy của bạn ở bất kỳ đâu để nói rằng một điều gì đó là hoặc không phải là sự thật? Bởi vì, bạn biết đấy, mọi người đứng ở những phía khác nhau của quang phổ. Một số người thì cực kỳ tôn giáo và những người khác thì cực kỳ vô thần. Đúng, đúng, đúng. Tôi nghĩ rằng, tất nhiên, như trong khoa học, có những điều chỉ là vô nghĩa. Thật vậy, hầu hết những điều mà bạn chỉ tình cờ nghĩ ra và, bạn biết đấy, lý thuyết của tôi về điện hay lý thuyết của tôi về nguyên tử, thì chỉ là chuyện vô nghĩa mà không đi đến đâu cả. Nó không đáng giá bất kỳ thời gian nào. Vì vậy, tôi nghi ngờ rằng điều tương tự cũng đúng trong lĩnh vực tâm linh mà chúng ta thậm chí còn ít rào cản hơn trên các lý thuyết của chúng ta. Nhưng tôi nghĩ có một số ngôi sao hướng dẫn. Nếu nó liên quan đến việc yêu thương hàng xóm như chính mình, bạn đang đi đúng hướng. Nếu nó liên quan đến việc đặt một rào chắn giữa chúng ta và họ và nói rằng họ xấu còn chúng ta tốt, bạn có thể đang đi sai hướng. Điều này có ý nghĩa gì đối với nỗi đau? Có rất nhiều người đang mất đi người thương yêu trong khi chúng ta nói hoặc đang phải đối mặt với thực tế rằng họ sắp mất một người thương yêu.
    Tình yêu có nghĩa là gì đối với bản chất của nó? Nó có, bạn biết đấy, có làm mất đi điều gì trong tình yêu không? Nó có bổ sung cho tình yêu không? Nó có làm mạnh mẽ thêm tình yêu không? Vâng, tôi nghĩ rằng ở một khía cạnh nào đó, tất cả chỉ xoay quanh tình yêu như là điều cốt lõi. Và, bạn biết đấy, trong Thiên Chúa giáo, Chúa Giê-su, tôi nói về điều đó vì, bạn biết đấy, bố tôi là một mục sư và đó là môi trường mà tôi lớn lên. Vì vậy, tôi biết nhiều nhất về điều này. Tôi chỉ nói vì đó là nơi tôi có một số kiến thức nền tảng. Và khi Chúa Giê-su được hỏi, điều quan trọng nhất là gì? Ngài về cơ bản đã nói, hãy yêu mến Chúa bằng cả trái tim của bạn, yêu thương người hàng xóm như chính mình. Vì vậy, tình yêu giống như điều số một. Và tôi đoán rằng đó thực sự là tất cả những gì bạn cần. Nếu tôn giáo của bạn là tình yêu và chỉ có vậy, và đó là cách bạn hành xử, bạn không thực sự cần phải thêm gì nữa vào điều đó. Đó là tất cả những gì bạn thực sự cần. Yêu thương hàng xóm như chính mình. Làm xong. Đó là tất cả những gì bạn cần. Và bất cứ điều gì vượt xa điều đó chỉ là không cần thiết. Và bất kỳ điều gì mâu thuẫn với điều đó, tôi sẽ quay lại và cố gắng tìm hiểu xem mình đã sai ở đâu trong tôn giáo của mình.
    Khi tôi gặp bạn gái của tôi, Melanie, trong hồ sơ Instagram của cô ấy, đã có ghi là, “Chúa là tình yêu.” Bây giờ, cô ấy không theo tôn giáo. Đúng. Cô ấy không tin vào một cuốn sách cụ thể hay gì đó. Nhưng khi tôi hỏi cô ấy, thực ra, thật buồn cười, chúng tôi đã có cuộc trò chuyện này tối qua. Tôi đã nói với cô ấy, bạn nghĩ Chúa là gì? Và cô ấy nói, tôi nghĩ Chúa chỉ là tình yêu. Và tôi hoàn toàn đồng ý. Thật sốc khi cô ấy lại đúng một lần nữa. Không, tôi nghĩ rằng tình yêu là từ gần nhất mà chúng ta có thể dùng như một cách chỉ dẫn. Và một lần nữa, nó chỉ là một cách chỉ dẫn. Bất cứ điều gì tình yêu là, cũng giống như từ “húng quế” chỉ hướng tới húng quế. Từ “tình yêu” chỉ chỉ ra, nhưng tôi nghĩ đó là chỉ dẫn tốt nhất mà chúng ta có. Tình yêu. Và định nghĩa của từ tình yêu là gì? Bởi vì, bạn biết đấy, mọi người sử dụng, “Tôi yêu Manchester United,” nhưng tình yêu mà bạn đang mô tả có vẻ như nhiều hơn về một sự thống nhất. Nó về cơ bản là nhận ra người đó, ngay cả khi họ có màu da khác, chủng tộc khác, tín ngưỡng khác, ý tưởng khác, thì đó chỉ là tôi. Đó là tôi trong một lối suy nghĩ khác. Và khi tôi thực sự, thì tôi hỏi, vậy tôi muốn đối xử với mình như thế nào? Tôi nhận được câu trả lời đúng. Đó là tình yêu. Tôi sẽ, nếu đó là tôi, tôi sẽ đối xử với mình như thế nào nếu đó là tôi? Vâng, khi bạn nhận được câu trả lời đúng, khi bạn làm điều đó, bạn đang hành động trong tình yêu. Bạn sẽ không đánh bản thân. Bạn sẽ không gọi bản thân bằng những cái tên. Bạn sẽ không gọi bản thân bằng bất kỳ cái gì. Bạn sẽ đối xử với bản thân theo cách bạn muốn đối xử với bản thân, rồi đối xử với người khác theo cách tương tự. Và đó là tình yêu. Nhưng cuối cùng, tôi nghĩ rằng, một lần nữa, tất cả chỉ là những sự chỉ dẫn. Bất cứ điều gì tình yêu cuối cùng vượt xa bất kỳ mô tả nào.
    Bạn có tin, và tôi đã hỏi bạn điều này trước đó, nhưng tôi chỉ đang xem xét một số nghiên cứu về việc có bao nhiêu người nói về những trải nghiệm gần chết này, đặc biệt là khi họ, nhiều hơn khi bạn có vấn đề về tim, mọi người có vẻ nói rằng họ đã có những nhận thức về việc nghe hoặc thấy những điều hoặc đi vào một loại đường hầm nào đó hoặc thấy một ánh sáng nào đó hoặc một cảm xúc rất tích cực. Vâng. Tôi tự hỏi liệu bạn có, vào một thời điểm nào đó trong cuộc đời, nghĩ rằng bạn sẽ không sống sót. Và nếu, với những gì bạn biết, điều đó đã tăng thêm niềm tin của bạn vào những câu chuyện trải nghiệm gần chết rằng người nào đó đang trong quá trình chuyển đổi từ thực tại này bằng cách tháo rời chiếc tai nghe. Giống như, gần như họ đã tháo một phần chiếc tai nghe ra, nhưng không phải tất cả. Và sau đó họ quay lại với chiếc tai nghe. Vì vậy, vâng, những trải nghiệm rất phổ biến về gần chết, một ánh sáng và một đường hầm và có thể một cuộc xem lại cuộc sống và sau đó là một lựa chọn trở lại và những điều như vậy. Nó khá, khá phổ biến. Và tôi sẽ không, không bỏ qua chúng một chút nào. Nghĩa là, tôi, thật khó để có bằng chứng khoa học về điều đó. Sẽ rất thú vị nếu có một nghiên cứu mà trong đó mọi người đã thực sự ngừng tim, ví dụ, được hồi sức và hỏi có bao nhiêu người không có trải nghiệm đó. Nghĩa là, nếu chúng ta có một nghiên cứu có hệ thống làm điều đó, vì vậy chúng ta không muốn bị lừa bởi việc chỉ chú ý đến một số phần của dữ liệu, đúng không? Vậy nên, bạn có thể thấy, mặc dù tôi nói về việc buông bỏ các khái niệm và, và, và, và bước vào điều chưa biết, khi, khi nói đến những thứ mà chúng ta nên làm khoa học, thì tôi rất, rất quyết liệt về điều đó và nói, ở đây chúng ta cần phải làm, làm nghiên cứu. Và một số, tôi, tôi biết một số bác sĩ tim mạch, tôi sẽ không đề cập đến tên, nhưng mà, đã thấy rất nhiều những trường hợp này và họ tin tưởng vào trải nghiệm không chính thức của chính họ rằng có điều gì đó đang xảy ra ở đây, vì vậy, tôi, tôi không có, bạn biết đấy, không có vấn đề gì với điều đó, tôi, tôi nghĩ rằng họ có thể đang theo đuổi một điều gì đó. Vì vậy, tôi không không tin vào điều đó, nhưng điều đó khác với việc có khoa học.
    Tại sao chúng ta phải chịu đựng trong một thực tại như vậy? Tại sao lại tạo ra các sinh vật hoặc quan điểm mà cuối cùng lại chịu đựng, mà cuối cùng lại rơi vào những nơi tồi tệ nhất, như trại tập trung, bệnh tật, sốt thương hàn, đói rét? Tại sao một sức mạnh hoặc ý thức vượt lên trên lại làm điều đó? Vì vậy, tôi sẽ cố gắng không nông cạn về điều đó, nhưng nó đi theo với đau đớn là, đau là đau và cái chết là cái chết và một số cái chết có vẻ khủng khiếp. Đây là một câu hỏi sâu sắc. Tôi luôn cảm thấy như mình đang liều mình trở nên nhàm chán và, và, và, và như vậy, vì đây là, bất kỳ ai đã trải qua cơn đau nghiêm trọng đều biết rằng bạn chỉ không thể, bạn không thể đùa giỡn với những điều này. Nó, khi bạn ở trong cơn đau đó, thực sự, và khi bạn không cảm thấy sợ hãi, thì, thì, tôi nghĩ rằng cuối cùng, có thể giống như những vết thương mà bạn nhận được trong một trò chơi điện tử. Bạn nhận được vết thương, nhân vật đại diện của bạn bị giết và, và bạn buồn bã về điều đó trong khoảnh khắc vì bạn đang thua trong trò chơi và vân vân, nhưng, nhưng rồi trò chơi kết thúc và, và, và, và bạn ổn thôi.
    Cuối cùng, bạn cũng ổn thôi. Nhưng trải nghiệm đó, tôi sẽ nói, tôi không muốn phải trải qua. Thật đáng chú ý rằng trong Kitô giáo, biểu tượng sâu sắc nhất về Chúa là một điều kinh khủng, đó là sự đóng đinh. Nó thật sự, nỗi đau, không giống như một viên đạn bắn vào đầu hay điều gì đó như vậy. Nó, nó, nó khiến cho nỗi đau trở nên khủng khiếp và kéo dài ngang với những gì bạn có thể tưởng tượng được. Và điều đó, và điều đó, và đó là, bạn biết đấy, khi bạn nhìn thấy cây thập giá, câu hỏi của bạn nằm ngay tại trái tim của Kitô giáo. Nó đặt điều đó ngay tại đó. Và nó nói rằng đây là cách có thể nói là kinh khủng nhất mà bạn có thể tưởng tượng ra một người chết. Đó là những gì đã xảy ra với Chúa Giê-su. Và đó là biểu tượng của chúng ta về thần thánh. Vì vậy, đó là lý do tại sao, bạn biết đấy, nó không phải là chuyện tầm thường. Nó không phải là nông cạn. Có điều gì đó rất, rất sâu sắc ở đó. Chẳng ai trong chúng ta tình nguyện bước lên cây thập giá cả. Tôi không tình nguyện bước lên cây thập giá. Vì vậy, tôi sẽ nói rằng thách thức của câu hỏi của bạn là thách thức mà có lẽ là một thử thách tâm linh sâu sắc đối với tất cả chúng ta. Và tôi sẽ nói với bản thân mình, đó là tiếp tục trưởng thành và ít xác định hơn với chiếc tai nghe này và nhận thức hơn về bản thể vượt trội của tôi. Bởi vì cuối cùng, ngay cả trên thập giá, ý nghĩa sâu sắc nhất mà tôi đã từng thấy trong Kitô giáo là những lời của Chúa Giê-su trên thập giá nói rằng, “Cha ơi, xin tha cho họ. Họ không biết họ đang làm gì.” Đúng vậy. Trái tim của Kitô giáo nằm ngay ở đó. Không phải là trái tim của Kitô giáo là giết những kẻ không tin. Không, trái tim của Kitô giáo là những kẻ không tin đã đóng đinh bạn lên thập giá. Họ đang giết bạn theo cách tồi tệ nhất có thể. Và bạn thể hiện tình yêu với họ. Đó là trái tim của Kitô giáo. Bạn thể hiện tình yêu với những người đang trong quá trình giết bạn theo cách tồi tệ nhất mà họ có thể nghĩ ra. Đó là trái tim của Kitô giáo. Không phải giết kẻ không tin hay đẩy họ ra xa hay coi thường họ. Đó là điều ngược lại. Vì vậy, có điều gì đó rất, rất, đó là lý do tại sao tôi rất chậm trong việc trả lời câu hỏi của bạn. Bởi vì điều này chạm đến trái tim rất sâu sắc của Kitô giáo, tôi nghĩ vậy, và tất cả tâm linh chân chính, mà tôi không nghĩ là tôi thực sự hiểu. Vì vậy, tôi thấy những chỉ dẫn đến điều đó, và tôi thấy rằng nó thực sự, và rằng câu hỏi của bạn đang chỉ về một trong những điều sâu sắc và quan trọng nhất. Và tôi có cảm giác rằng câu trả lời của tôi chỉ đang chỉ dẫn một phần nào đó của vấn đề đó. Còn nhiều điều hơn thế mà tôi chưa thể chỉ ra. Tôi đang đoán về vai trò của, vâng, tôi đang đoán về vai trò của nỗi đau và sự chịu đựng có thể là gì trong một thực tại mà nơi ý thức là điều vượt trội mà đến thể hiện bản thân như những sinh vật này. Và, um, tôi đoán nó liên quan, một phần trở lại ý tưởng của bạn, tôi chỉ phản chiếu những gì tôi cần thấy thông qua chiếc tai nghe của mình để có thể tồn tại. Vì vậy, nếu có một số động lực sinh tồn đang tồn tại trong tai nghe của tôi, thì một yếu tố của sự sinh tồn là nỗi khổ vì lửa thì nóng. Vì vậy, tôi đưa tay vào lửa, tay tôi bị bỏng. Vì vậy, đừng làm điều đó nữa, Steve. Đúng vậy. Vì vậy, nếu đó là, nếu đó là bản chất của chiếc tai nghe của tôi, thì sẽ cần có mối quan hệ nhân quả liên quan đến những điều sẽ giúp tôi sinh tồn và những điều sẽ không giúp tôi sinh tồn. Vâng. Và vì vậy, nỗi khổ có thể chỉ là một đầu vào hoặc một kích thích trong chiếc tai nghe này giúp tôi sinh tồn. Đúng vậy. Và sau đó, tôi không biết, câu hỏi nảy ra trong đầu là tại sao ý thức lại quan tâm đến việc tồn tại? Tại sao ý thức vượt trội này, có thể đó không phải là một câu hỏi tốt, có thể đó là câu hỏi sai, nhưng tại sao nó muốn tồn tại trong chúng ta? Tại sao ý thức không kết thúc? Ý tôi là, tôi đồng ý. Một điều mà tôi đã nghe từ một giáo viên tâm linh là Eckhart Tolle, điều đó thật thú vị về điều này, trong một trong những bài giảng của ông, ông nói, “Hãy giả vờ rằng chúng ta là con người.” Ông ấy nói, “Ôi, điều đó sẽ thật vui. Và hãy chơi một số vở kịch.” “Ôi, nhưng để có vở kịch, tôi phải quên đi ai mình là.” “Được rồi, vậy thì hãy để tôi hoàn toàn quên đi ai mình là.” Và sau vài trăm nghìn năm, khi tôi cảm thấy mệt mỏi với điều đó, thì hãy thức dậy.” Và tôi nghĩ rằng đó là một chỉ dẫn sâu sắc. Điều đó không bao quát toàn bộ vấn đề, nhưng đó là một chỉ dẫn thú vị. Tôi nghĩ rằng còn nhiều điều hơn thế nữa, nhưng nó không chỉ đơn giản là việc chơi các vở kịch. Tôi nghĩ rằng việc chơi các vở kịch là để khám phá thêm về ai tôi là bằng cách biết được ai tôi không phải là. Điều đó có thể là một phần trong đó. Biết ai tôi là bằng cách biết các quan điểm khác nhau và biết rằng dù cho quan điểm này phong phú đến đâu, tôi vẫn vượt ra ngoài điều đó. Có ai đó đã bình luận về một trong những video gần đây của bạn nói rằng, “Hãy tưởng tượng bạn là một nhân vật trong một cuốn sách, cố gắng hiểu cách thoát ra khỏi cuốn sách đó vào một chiều cao hơn.” Vâng. Đúng vậy. Nhưng tất nhiên đó là một câu hỏi rất lớn. Điều duy nhất tôi muốn nói là, hãy tưởng tượng bạn là tác giả của cuốn sách, đã viết về một nhân vật, bởi vì tôi không chỉ là một nhân vật trong cuốn sách. Tôi là tác giả đã đặt nhân vật vào cuốn sách mà sau đó tỉnh dậy, người đã đồng nhất với nhân vật và sau đó tỉnh dậy và nhận ra tôi không chỉ là nhân vật. Tôi đã viết toàn bộ cuốn sách. Vì vậy, câu hỏi đó là tốt bởi vì nó chỉ ra một hiểu lầm. Tôi không chỉ là một nhân vật trong cuốn sách. Tôi là người viết cuốn sách. Và Hoffman chỉ là một trong những nhân vật trong cuốn sách. Và người viết cuốn sách là ai? Một ý thức duy nhất, mà khi nó thực sự hiểu bản thân, sẽ yêu tất cả các nhân vật như nhau. Làm thế nào bạn biết chúng ta không phải là những ý thức riêng biệt? Tôi không biết. Và đó là một điều thú vị, nhân tiện, tôi có một mô hình toán học về ý thức, và đó là một chủ đề hoàn toàn khác. Vì vậy, bạn có thể chơi trò chơi này. Chúng ta đang hiểu, thế giới vật lý và ý thức có mối quan hệ như thế nào. Hai điều đó liên quan với nhau ra sao? Hầu hết các đồng nghiệp của tôi nói rằng thế giới vật lý là nền tảng.
    Ý thức xuất hiện khi có hoạt động não bộ sáng. Vì vậy, khi các nơ-ron bắn ra theo cách đúng và vân vân, chẳng hạn như vậy. Bây giờ, với tư cách là một nhà khoa học, tôi đã tham dự các hội nghị này. Họ biết tôi sẽ làm gì với họ. Tôi nói, “Vậy, bạn tuyên bố rằng những trải nghiệm ý thức đến từ thông tin tích hợp. Hãy cho tôi một cái. Hãy cho tôi một trải nghiệm.” Và họ không thể. Họ không thể nói, “Chà, hãy nhìn xem, tôi đang nhìn xung quanh ngay bây giờ, và điều đó đến từ các nơ-ron trong não tôi ở một nền tảng vật lý?” Ừ thì, họ sẽ nói như vậy. Nhưng họ biết tôi đang hỏi gì. Điều tôi đang hỏi là, tôi nói, hãy cho tôi mô hình hoạt động nơ-ron cụ thể phải là vị của bạc hà. Đúng vậy, vì vậy bạn… Điều phải, nó phải là vị của bạc hà. Họ không thể chỉ ra chuỗi các nơ-ron hoặc tương tác vật lý gây cho tôi cảm nhận được vị bạc hà. Đúng vậy. Vì vậy, có một khoảng cách lớn ở đó. Và sau đó họ phải giải thích tại sao mô hình cụ thể đó. Vì vậy, trước tiên họ phải xác định mô hình. Mô hình này. Vâng. Với cái này, nói theo cách tích hợp thông tin, mô hình này phải là vị của bạc hà. Bằng cách mô hình thông tin tích hợp, bạn có nghĩa là như sự kết hợp của các thứ kết hợp lại gây ra bạc hà. Đúng vậy. Họ không thể cho tôi biết sự kết hợp đó, và họ không thể cho tôi biết tại sao sự kết hợp đó… Gây ra bạc hà. Vì vậy, đó cơ bản là nguyên nhân và kết quả. Họ đang nói, họ đang nói rằng cái gì đó đã xảy ra ở đây, và sau đó họ đang nói về một kết quả, đó là một trải nghiệm, nhưng khoảng cách ở giữa, họ không thể giải thích. Đúng rồi. Và đôi khi họ sẽ nói rằng trải nghiệm ý thức chỉ là động lực, hoặc động lực vật lý nào đó. Được rồi. Nhưng ngay cả trong trường hợp đó, câu hỏi là, tại sao động lực cụ thể này lại được liên kết với trải nghiệm ý thức này? Được rồi. Và vì lý do có nguyên tắc. Trong khoa học, chúng ta không chấp nhận BS. Không BS. Phải có lý do cụ thể. Và đó là lý do tại sao tôi đặt một số không lớn. Tôi làm điều này tại các hội nghị, biết rằng tôi là một trong số rất, rất ít người không phải vật lý ở hội nghị. Và tôi biết rằng các nhà vật lý có ở đó, và tôi nói, các bạn có số không, đúng không? Tôi có cơ hội. Diễn đàn mở. Hãy cho tôi biết tôi sai. Và tôi không. Họ biết điều đó. Vì vậy, bắt đầu từ ý thức. Vâng. Bây giờ, tôi đang chơi một trò chơi khác. Tôi đang nói tất cả những thứ vật lý này. Vậy có rất nhiều thứ vật lý. Có không gian và thời gian. Thuyết tương đối đặc biệt của Einstein, thuyết tương đối tổng quát. Có tất cả các boson và fermion và các lepton, boson và quark của mô hình chuẩn về vật lý hạt. Bạn đang nói, các bạn tâm linh rằng bạn có thể bắt đầu từ lý thuyết về ý thức, toán học, và bạn sẽ cho tôi tất cả các phương trình không gian-thời gian. Bạn sẽ cho tôi lý thuyết trường lượng tử. Bạn sẽ cho tôi mô hình chuẩn về vật lý hạt. Bao nhiêu điểm bạn đã đưa lên bảng, các bạn? Bạn đã làm gì? Bạn có thể cho tôi biết mô hình hoạt động của tác nhân ý thức nào phải là một photon? Mô hình hoạt động của ý thức nào nên là cấu trúc không gian-thời gian hoặc một boson hoặc một lepton hoặc một quark? Không có điểm nào trên bảng. Vì vậy bạn có thể nhìn vào đó và nói, từ quan điểm đó, nó ngang nhau. Không có điểm nào trên bảng cho cả hai đội. Tôi có một lý thuyết mà tôi gọi là lý thuyết mạng lưới tác nhân ý thức. Tôi đang làm việc trên điều này với Chaitan Prakash. Bạn đã làm việc trên nó được bao lâu? Bạn có một cuốn sách có tên Cơ học Quan sát viên được xuất bản vào năm 1989. Vì vậy, tôi đã làm việc trên nó được gần 40 năm. Bạn nghĩ bạn sẽ tìm thấy gì? Bạn nghĩ bạn sẽ chứng minh được gì với lý thuyết về ý thức của bạn? Tôi nghĩ chúng tôi có thể đưa ra một số điểm trong các điểm sau. Tôi nghĩ chúng tôi có thể bắt đầu từ lý thuyết về các tác nhân ý thức. Tôi vừa có một bài thuyết trình vào thứ Sáu, và chúng tôi đã đề xuất điều về ánh sáng. Chúng tôi đã đề xuất tại sao tốc độ ánh sáng lại giống nhau trên tất cả các khung quán tính. Điều này có nghĩa là gì? Bạn phải đơn giản hóa điều này cho bộ não 16 tuổi của tôi. Đúng, đúng, đúng. Vì vậy, nếu tôi ở trên một chiếc tàu, và tàu đi với tốc độ 50 dặm một giờ, và tôi ném một quả bóng, và tôi có thể ném nó với tốc độ khoảng 20 dặm một giờ, thì theo một cách nào đó, quả bóng đang đi với tốc độ 70 dặm một giờ, đúng không? Và đó là cách mọi thứ thường hoạt động. Nhưng nếu tôi có một chiếc đèn pin, và tôi chớp đèn, ánh sáng đi với tốc độ ánh sáng, mà khoảng 186,282 dặm mỗi giây. Nhanh lắm. Nếu tôi lên tàu và có tàu, tôi cầm đèn pin của mình và đi với nửa tốc độ của ánh sáng trên tàu. Vì vậy, tôi đang đi rất nhanh. Đây là một chiếc tàu nhanh. Và tôi bật đèn của mình lên. Và tôi ở đây bên ngoài. Tôi đang nhìn chiếc tàu đi với nửa tốc độ ánh sáng, và ai đó đang bật đèn pin lên, vì vậy ánh sáng đi với tốc độ ánh sáng. Ánh sáng đó sẽ trông như thế nào đối với tôi? Bởi vì tôi đang đứng bên cạnh, và chiếc tàu đã đi với nửa tốc độ ánh sáng rồi. Vậy ánh sáng đó sẽ đi nhanh như thế nào? Tốc độ ánh sáng cộng với nửa tốc độ ánh sáng? Đó là điều mà chúng ta sẽ nghĩ, đúng không? Và hóa ra, không, nó đi với tốc độ ánh sáng. Nếu bạn có khối lượng và bạn không di chuyển với tốc độ ánh sáng, và chúng tôi cố gắng tăng tốc bạn để đạt đến tốc độ ánh sáng, bạn sẽ không bao giờ đến đó. Nhưng có một giới hạn tốc độ. Bạn không thể đến đó. Vì vậy, điều đó thật sự trái ngược với trực giác, đúng không? Nhưng Einstein đã nói, đây là giả thuyết cơ bản của tôi mà tôi sẽ xây dựng lý thuyết về không gian và thời gian của mình, là ánh sáng, bất kể bạn di chuyển nhanh đến đâu, luôn di chuyển ra xa bạn với tốc độ ánh sáng. Và cũng không có quan sát viên đặc biệt. Không có, cái mà chúng ta gọi, không có khung quán tính đặc biệt, nhưng không có khung tham chiếu đặc biệt nào để nhìn mọi thứ. Tất cả các khung đều tương đương. Vì vậy, câu hỏi là, làm thế nào tôi bắt đầu từ lý thuyết về các tác nhân ý thức? Điều này là gì? Đó là một câu hỏi hay. Vậy một tác nhân ý thức là gì? Tôi sẽ nói nó là toán học, và tôi chỉ nói về một khía cạnh của nó. Nó phức tạp, vì vậy tôi chỉ nói về một phần cốt yếu của nó. Và đó là, nếu bạn có ý thức, bạn có những trải nghiệm. Như tôi, tôi có thể trải nghiệm, giữ cho nó thật đơn giản.
    Tôi có thể trải nghiệm các màu sắc, đỏ, xanh lá cây, xanh dương.
    Giữ nó rất, rất đơn giản.
    Vì vậy, tôi sẽ tưởng tượng một tác nhân ý thức rất, rất đơn giản, và điều mà nó có thể làm là trải nghiệm ba màu sắc, đỏ, xanh lá cây và xanh dương. Đó là tất cả những gì nó có thể làm.
    Như tôi à?
    Vâng, tất nhiên, bạn có một bộ trải nghiệm ý thức phong phú hơn nhiều, nhưng bạn cũng bao gồm loại người quan sát đó, đúng không?
    Chắc chắn rồi.
    Bởi vì bạn có thể trải nghiệm đỏ, xanh lá cây và xanh dương.
    Và bây giờ tôi sẽ nói về một người quan sát khác chỉ nhìn thấy đỏ và xanh lá cây.
    Vâng.
    Và bây giờ bạn không chỉ thấy một màu. Bạn thấy một màu trong một thời gian ngắn, rồi bạn thấy một màu khác.
    Vì vậy, tôi thấy đỏ trong một khoảng thời gian, rồi tôi thấy xanh lá cây, và sau đó tôi thấy xanh dương, và có thể tôi quay lại đỏ hoặc bất kỳ màu nào khác.
    Vì vậy, sẽ có một chuỗi màu sắc mà tôi thấy, và có thể điều tôi có thể nói tốt nhất là nếu tôi thấy xanh lá cây ngay bây giờ, thì có 20% khả năng tôi sẽ thấy đỏ tiếp theo, và 80% khả năng tôi sẽ thấy xanh dương tiếp theo.
    Vì vậy, tôi có thể ghi lại các xác suất.
    Chà, vậy thì điều đó khá đơn giản, đúng không?
    Có các màu sắc, trải nghiệm và sau đó là xác suất của cái chuỗi mà bạn biết, nếu tôi thấy trải nghiệm này, trải nghiệm tiếp theo của tôi sẽ là gì.
    Và tôi đang sử dụng C như một thuật ngữ chung, đúng không? Nó có thể là nghe hoặc ngửi hoặc bất cứ điều gì.
    Bạn làm thế nào để nắm bắt điều đó bằng toán học? Có một cái gọi là hạt nhân Markov, ma trận Markov, nó nói, về cơ bản, nó sẽ cho bạn tất cả các con số.
    Hàng đầu tiên của các con số và nó nói, nếu tôi thấy đỏ bây giờ, thì xác suất tôi sẽ thấy đỏ tiếp theo là gì?
    Xác suất tôi sẽ thấy xanh lá cây tiếp theo là gì? Xác suất tôi sẽ thấy xanh dương tiếp theo là gì?
    Vì vậy, bạn chỉ cần ghi ra các con số. Có thể là 0.2 rằng tôi sẽ thấy đỏ một lần nữa, 0.4 rằng tôi sẽ thấy xanh lá cây, và sau đó 0.4 rằng tôi sẽ thấy đỏ.
    Xanh dương, tôi không thể. Vì vậy, rồi màu tiếp theo, bạn biết, tôi sẽ có một hàng khác cho, nếu bây giờ tôi đang thấy xanh lá cây, xác suất tôi sẽ thấy đỏ, xanh lá cây và xanh dương, sau đó cuối cùng xanh dương, xác suất tôi sẽ quay về đỏ, xanh lá cây và xanh dương.
    Vì vậy, tôi cần chín số. Chỉ cho ba màu, tôi cần chín số để nói về tất cả các khả năng.
    Và sau đó tôi sẽ chỉ có một bộ đếm nữa.
    Vì vậy, mỗi khi tôi thấy một màu mới, tôi sẽ chỉ có một bộ đếm nhỏ.
    Vì vậy, tôi thấy đỏ bây giờ, đó là một.
    Ôi, bây giờ tôi thấy xanh lá cây, đó là hai.
    Bây giờ tôi thấy xanh lá cây một lần nữa, nên đó là ba.
    Vì vậy, tôi đang đếm các màu sắc, các trải nghiệm.
    Đó là tất cả những gì tôi sẽ nói về.
    Đó là tất cả những gì tôi có.
    Câu hỏi là, nếu tôi bắt đầu với chỉ khái niệm đó về một người quan sát, nó có màu sắc và một ma trận xác suất.
    Nếu tôi thấy màu này, tôi có thể thấy màu khác.
    Xác suất là gì?
    Và mỗi khi tôi thấy một màu mới, tôi có một bộ đếm tăng lên.
    Đó là tất cả những gì tôi sẽ bắt đầu với.
    Tôi có thể hiểu rằng tốc độ ánh sáng là như nhau trong tất cả các khung tham chiếu quán tính không?
    Rằng nếu tôi đang trên một chuyến tàu và tôi nháy đèn, nháy bóng đèn, nháy ánh sáng, thì nó sẽ đi với tốc độ ánh sáng ngay cả đối với một người đang trên tàu di chuyển với tốc độ bằng một nửa tốc độ ánh sáng?
    Và tôi đã phát hiện ra chỉ trong ba hoặc bốn tháng qua rằng câu trả lời là có, tôi có thể làm điều đó.
    Và đó là điều tôi đã trình bày vào thứ Sáu vừa qua tại hội nghị này.
    Vậy điều này có nghĩa gì về bản chất của ý thức?
    Nó có nghĩa là bắt đầu từ một lý thuyết về ý thức bên ngoài không-thời gian, tôi có thể thực sự đưa ra với độ chính xác toán học cấu trúc của không-thời gian.
    Điều này có nghĩa là niềm tin của bạn là không và thời gian và mọi thứ tôi thấy và trải nghiệm thực sự đến từ chính ý thức.
    Vì vậy, chính ý thức là nguồn gốc của mọi thứ.
    Mọi thứ mà bạn, đúng vậy.
    Vì vậy, ý thức của tôi không đến từ não của tôi.
    Đúng vậy.
    Não của tôi đến từ ý thức của tôi.
    Chính xác là vậy.
    Đó chính xác là điều tôi đang nói.
    Và chúng tôi đã nói về chiếc tai nghe.
    Vâng.
    Điều tôi đang làm là tôi đang xây dựng chiếc tai nghe.
    Tôi đang nói đây là các tác nhân ý thức, động lực của chúng và bây giờ tôi bắt đầu xây dựng chiếc tai nghe không-thời gian.
    Có lo ngại rằng việc tin vào những điều này có thể khiến người ta phát điên không?
    Tôi nghĩ đôi khi nghĩ quá sâu về ai là chúng ta, tại sao chúng ta ở đây, chúng ta đã đến đây như thế nào, đôi khi khiến tôi, tôi không biết, như tôi mất một chút định hướng và tôi thấy hơi lung lay.
    Giống như khi tôi đã có những cuộc trò chuyện về lý thuyết mô phỏng và điều này là một trò chơi video lớn và như vậy, tôi kiểu cảm thấy, nó làm lung lay mọi thứ bạn biết.
    Và những câu chuyện mà chúng tôi đã xây dựng cuộc sống của mình dựa trên chúng cho chúng tôi, chúng neo giữ chúng tôi và chúng định hướng chúng tôi và chúng mang lại ý nghĩa cho cuộc sống của chúng tôi.
    Vì vậy, nếu điều đó không đúng, thì tôi mất đi ý nghĩa của cuộc sống của mình và tôi lo lắng nếu tôi có nguy cơ trở nên điên rồ.
    Chà, tôi chắc chắn đồng cảm với điều đó.
    Và điều đó cũng xảy ra trong quá trình thiền.
    Điều này cũng dẫn tôi đến việc phải đối mặt với đủ loại cảm xúc.
    Niềm tin sâu sắc của tôi rằng tôi chỉ là hình đại diện của mình và buông bỏ điều đó giống như một cái chết và điều đó rất, rất đau đớn.
    Vì vậy, đối với tôi, quá trình thiền không chỉ toàn tình yêu, niềm vui và hòa bình.
    Rất nhiều điều trong đó là cảm xúc sâu sắc, khó khăn khi tôi buông bỏ những gì tôi nghĩ là chính mình.
    Và đó là một loại, đó là cái chết của một ảo tưởng, nhưng nó cảm thấy như một cái chết thực sự đối với tôi.
    Nhưng bây giờ đây là mặt tích cực.
    Đây là điểm tích cực.
    Tôi đang đề xuất rằng khoa học đã có những công cụ, nếu chúng ta giả định ý thức là nền tảng,
    để bước hoàn toàn ra ngoài không-thời gian.
    Và thực hiện toán học nghiêm túc và chỉ ra cách không-thời gian được xây dựng như một chiếc tai nghe.
    Và điều này có nghĩa là chúng ta đang mở ra một lĩnh vực công nghệ mới
    sẽ khiến tất cả những gì chúng ta đã làm trong khoa học và công nghệ cho đến nay trở nên tầm thường.
    Và đây là lý do.
    Giả sử bạn là một phù thủy trong Grand Theft Auto và bạn biết cách sử dụng tất cả các công cụ trong Grand Theft Auto.
    Điều đó thật tuyệt vời.
    Nó thật sự tốt.
    Bạn có thể lái xe từ A đến B nhanh hơn bất kỳ ai.
    Nhưng bây giờ nếu bạn là kỹ sư phần mềm người biết Grand Theft Auto đã được xây dựng như thế nào,
    bởi vì bạn đã viết mã, bạn biết nó.
    Bạn có thể thực hiện những điều kỳ diệu.
    Bạn có thể lấy xe của phù thủy và xì hơi lốp của họ chỉ như vậy.
    Bạn có thể lấy xăng trong bình xăng của họ.
    Sure! Here is the translation of the provided text into Vietnamese:
    Bạn có thể lấy xe của họ và di chuyển từ A đến B ngay lập tức.
    Không phải thông qua Grand Theft Auto.
    Bạn có thể di chuyển xe đến đó ngay lập tức vì bạn có mã ở bên ngoài.
    Điều tôi đang nói là điều này là có thật.
    Tôi bắt đầu tin vào điều này thật sự.
    Khi tôi có thể tạo ra không-thời gian của Einstein từ điều này, tôi đã có ánh sáng và tôi nghĩ bây giờ tôi đã có một electron.
    Tôi nghĩ chúng ta đang tiến hành kĩ thuật ngược lại với chiếc tai nghe và công nghệ sẽ ra đời từ điều này sẽ khiến mọi thứ khác trở nên giống như pháo bông vì chúng ta đang tiếp cận một lớp sâu hơn bên ngoài chiếc tai nghe.
    Chúng ta không phải là phù thủy bên trong chiếc tai nghe.
    Chúng ta là các kỹ sư phần mềm đang tạo ra chiếc tai nghe và bây giờ chúng ta có thể chơi.
    Vì vậy, ví dụ như bây giờ, thiên hà gần nhất, thiên hà Andromeda cách đây 2.4 triệu năm ánh sáng.
    Nếu bạn nhảy lên một chiếc tàu vũ trụ để gửi con cháu của bạn, nó sẽ mất bao nhiêu thế hệ, hàng ngàn thế hệ, tôi đoán, để đến đó.
    Và đó là gần nhất.
    Đó là thiên hà gần nhất.
    Vũ trụ lớn hơn rất, rất nhiều so với điều đó.
    Đó chỉ là khu phố nhỏ của chúng ta.
    Điều này là không khả thi.
    Chúng ta sẽ không thể du hành bằng công nghệ hiện tại của mình.
    Đi du hành trong không-thời gian đến Andromeda là không khả thi trong tương lai gần.
    Thế nếu chúng ta không phải đi qua không-thời gian?
    Thế nếu không-thời gian chỉ là một chiếc tai nghe?
    Thật sự là chỉ là một chiếc tai nghe.
    Và chúng ta không cần phải đi 2.4 triệu năm ánh sáng để đến đó.
    Chúng ta học mã ngoài không-thời gian.
    Và chúng ta chỉ cần thay đổi mã.
    Giống như trong Grand Theft Auto, trong Grand Theft Auto, chiếc xe phải đi qua các con đường để di chuyển từ A đến B.
    Nhưng không nếu bạn nhìn vào mã.
    Trong mã, tôi chỉ cần thay đổi giá trị của một thanh ghi và đột nhiên vị trí của chiếc xe giờ đây ở B.
    Nó đã ở A và tôi đã đặt nó ở B.
    Điều này có phải là du hành thời gian không?
    Điều này sẽ giống như, điều này sẽ xuất hiện như du hành thời gian ngay lập tức hoặc du hành không gian ngay lập tức.
    Có điều gì trong các định luật vật lý cho bạn biết rằng điều này là không thể không?
    Điều này thì không thể trong không-thời gian.
    Nếu bạn chỉ sử dụng, vì vậy trong không-thời gian, điều này là không thể.
    Nhưng bên ngoài những gì chúng ta biết về không-thời gian?
    Một lý thuyết bên ngoài không-thời gian mà chứa đựng đúng không-thời gian như một sự chiếu của lý thuyết cho phép chúng ta xây dựng các công nghệ không bị hạn chế bởi không-thời gian.
    Bạn có nghĩ rằng chúng ta đang tiến gần hơn đến việc có thể chỉnh sửa mã của trải nghiệm này để chúng ta có thể làm những điều mà chúng ta chưa bao giờ nghĩ là có thể và những điều nằm bên ngoài những gì chúng ta biết trong các định luật vật lý không?
    Đó chính xác là những gì tôi đang làm việc vào lúc này.
    Đó là dự án nghiên cứu của tôi vào lúc này.
    Đó là những gì tôi đang làm.
    Bạn hy vọng làm gì với nghiên cứu này và bạn có nghĩ về những hậu quả của nó không?
    Tôi có.
    Vì vậy, đầu tiên, điều tôi hy vọng làm với nghiên cứu, điều tôi hy vọng thể hiện là tôi có thể lấy tất cả lý thuyết trường lượng tử, tất cả lý thuyết tương đối đặc biệt và tổng quát, tất cả mô hình chuẩn của vật lý hạt từ lý thuyết của các tác nhân có ý thức bên ngoài không-thời gian mà chúng ta sẽ có thể giải thích tất cả các định luật mà chúng ta thấy.
    Và sau đó cho thấy rằng các lý thuyết không-thời gian thực sự chỉ là một sự chiếu rất nhỏ của động lực phong phú thông tin của các tác nhân có ý thức.
    Tôi đã xây dựng các công ty từ con số không và hỗ trợ nhiều công ty khác.
    Và có một điểm mù mà tôi vẫn thấy ở những nhà sáng lập giai đoạn đầu.
    Họ dành rất ít thời gian để nghĩ về nhân sự.
    Và không phải vì họ liều lĩnh hoặc không quan tâm.
    Mà vì họ ám ảnh với việc xây dựng công ty của mình.
    Và tôi không thể đổ lỗi cho họ vì điều đó.
    Ở giai đoạn đó, bạn đang nghĩ về sản phẩm, cách thu hút khách hàng mới, cách phát triển đội ngũ của bạn, thực sự là cách để sống sót.
    Và nhân sự rơi xuống danh sách vì nó không cảm thấy khẩn cấp.
    Nhưng sớm hay muộn, nó sẽ như vậy.
    Và khi mọi thứ trở nên lộn xộn, các công cụ như nhà tài trợ của chúng tôi hôm nay, JustWorks, từ một thứ cần có trở thành một thứ thiết yếu.
    Có điều gì đi sai.
    Và bạn thấy mình đang có những cuộc trò chuyện mà bạn không ngờ đến.
    Đây là khi bạn học được rằng nhân sự thực sự là cơ sở hạ tầng của công ty bạn.
    Và không có nó, mọi thứ trở nên lung lay.
    Và JustWorks ngăn bạn học điều này theo cách khó khăn.
    Nó chăm sóc những thứ sẽ tiêu tốn năng lượng và thời gian của bạn, tự động hóa trả lương, lợi ích bảo hiểm sức khỏe.
    Và nó cung cấp hỗ trợ con người cho đội ngũ của bạn vào bất kỳ giờ nào.
    Nó phát triển cùng với doanh nghiệp nhỏ của bạn từ giai đoạn khởi nghiệp đến giai đoạn tăng trưởng, ngay cả khi bạn bắt đầu tuyển dụng thành viên đội ngũ ở nước ngoài.
    Vì vậy, nếu bạn muốn hỗ trợ nhân sự có mặt trong những lúc thú vị và những thời điểm thách thức, hãy đến JustWorks.com ngay bây giờ.
    Đó là JustWorks.com.
    Hãy chắc chắn rằng bạn giữ điều tôi sắp nói cho riêng mình.
    Tôi mời 10.000 bạn đến gần hơn với nhật ký của một CEO.
    Chào mừng đến với vòng tròn nội bộ của tôi.
    Đây là một cộng đồng riêng tư hoàn toàn mới mà tôi đang ra mắt với thế giới.
    Chúng tôi có rất nhiều điều tuyệt vời xảy ra mà bạn chưa bao giờ được thấy.
    Chúng tôi có những tóm tắt trên iPad của tôi khi tôi ghi lại cuộc trò chuyện.
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    Chúng tôi có những cuộc trò chuyện hậu trường với khách mời và cả những tập mà chúng tôi chưa bao giờ phát hành.
    Và còn nhiều hơn thế nữa.
    Trong vòng tròn này, bạn sẽ có quyền truy cập trực tiếp vào tôi.
    Bạn có thể cho chúng tôi biết bạn muốn chương trình này thế nào, ai bạn muốn chúng tôi phỏng vấn, và những loại cuộc trò chuyện nào mà bạn muốn chúng tôi thực hiện.
    Nhưng hãy nhớ, hiện tại, chúng tôi chỉ mời 10.000 người đầu tiên tham gia trước khi nó đóng lại.
    Vì vậy, nếu bạn muốn tham gia cộng đồng kín của chúng tôi, hãy đến liên kết trong phần mô tả bên dưới hoặc truy cập doaccircle.com.
    Tôi sẽ nói chuyện với bạn sau.
    Bạn biết đấy, mỗi khi ai đó nói về chỉnh sửa gen, đúng không?
    Có công nghệ DNA CRISPR cho phép bạn chỉnh sửa gen, hoặc có những công nghệ khác mà mọi người nói về việc cho phép bạn, họ đang nói về việc đưa, bạn biết không, ký ức của chúng ta lên ổ cứng và những thứ như vậy.
    Mọi người trở nên khá nhạy cảm với ý tưởng chơi đùa với bản chất của thực tế quá nhiều, vì một số người có thể bị ảnh hưởng.
    Và ngay cả trong nhận thức của bạn về thế giới là gì, nếu chúng ta đều là một ý thức, cuộc trò chuyện đó trở nên hơi khác biệt. Nhưng tôi nghĩ câu hỏi mà tôi đang hỏi là, nếu chúng ta có thể thao tác với phần mềm của cái mà tất cả chúng ta đang trải nghiệm ngay bây giờ và thực hiện những điều nằm ngoài các quy luật vật lý, thì có câu hỏi về đạo đức không, như là, liệu đó có phải là điều đúng đắn để làm không? Liệu mọi người có phải chịu đau khổ không? Hoặc nếu tất cả những điều này chỉ là mã, thì đó có phải là một câu hỏi vô nghĩa không? Thực ra, không, tôi nghĩ đó là một câu hỏi rất quan trọng, và tôi đã suy nghĩ về nó. Ví dụ, liệu đó có phải là điều sai trái để làm không? Nó giống như hộp Pandora, đúng không? Chúng ta có đang mở hộp Pandora không? Có đủ mọi loại bất ngờ khó chịu có thể phát sinh từ hộp một khi chúng ta mở ra, vượt ra ngoài không-thời gian. Như vậy, ai sẽ là người mở hộp? Nếu bạn được phép mở hộp. Đó là những gì tôi nghĩ tôi đang làm. Bây giờ, bài nói mà tôi đã thực hiện vào thứ Sáu cho biết đây là cái nhìn đầu tiên vào bên trong hộp Pandora. Nhưng sau đó bạn có thể trở thành Chúa, theo cách mà tất cả chúng ta đều quan tâm, bởi vì nếu bạn có quyền năng để thao tác với mã. Ồ, thì chỉ có thể là cấp độ tiếp theo của Chúa, đúng không? Vâng. Vì vậy, như tôi đã nói, lý thuyết của tôi chỉ là một lý thuyết. Và vì vậy, nó không phải là sự thật. Nó chỉ là, nhưng nó toàn diện hơn lý thuyết không-thời gian. Và vì tôi có một lý thuyết toàn diện hơn, tôi có thể thực hiện những công nghệ mới mà bạn không thể thực hiện. Vì vậy, tôi không phải là Chúa, nhưng tôi nằm ngoài giới hạn của không-thời gian. Vì vậy, tôi có thể cung cấp cho bạn các công nghệ mới. Nếu tôi có thể chỉ ra cách mà không-thời gian phát sinh hoàn toàn bên ngoài, từ lý thuyết sâu hơn này, thì nếu tôi đúng, và tôi chính xác về mặt toán học, điều đó có nghĩa là tôi có công cụ để chứng minh rằng tôi đúng. Điều đó có nghĩa là tôi có thể tạo ra những công nghệ sẽ là kỳ diệu trong không-thời gian. Tôi nghĩ về quả bom nguyên tử và cách mà quốc gia đầu tiên khám phá ra rằng có những khả năng mới trong công nghệ. Và vì họ có những phát hiện trong vật lý, họ đã chiến thắng cuộc chiến. Họ đã có thể kiểm soát mọi quốc gia. Họ đã trở thành Chúa một cách hiệu quả, vì họ có thể xóa bỏ bất kỳ ai trong một khoảnh khắc. Đúng vậy. Nó như một phép loại suy cho cách tái tưởng tượng vật lý tạo ra những khả năng mới trong công nghệ. Đúng vậy. Và điều này thậm chí còn lớn hơn nữa, vì bom nguyên tử sẽ như pháo nổ so với những gì bạn có thể làm với một công nghệ thực sự nằm ngoài không gian và thời gian. Chúng ta có thể làm bất cứ điều gì. Chúng ta có thể sống mãi mãi, nhưng đó thậm chí không phải là điều đáng quan tâm. Đúng vậy. Một khi bạn nhận ra rằng đó chỉ là một trò chơi. Nhưng bạn có thể cho mình thêm thời gian bao nhiêu tùy ý trong điều này. Vì vậy, câu hỏi đạo đức là một câu hỏi rất, rất thú vị. Nó không nên được xem nhẹ, cũng không phải theo hướng nào. Và cuối cùng, nó có thể rất liên quan đến câu hỏi bạn đã hỏi trước đó, đó là về bản chất của việc vì sao cái tôi, nếu có cái tôi, lại cho phép tất cả những nỗi đau khủng khiếp này và những thứ tương tự. Vì vậy, tôi có cảm nhận, và tôi không thể bảo vệ nó, rằng mọi thứ đều ổn. Rằng ngay cả với những công nghệ, ngay cả khi các công nghệ thực sự mạnh mẽ hơn bất cứ điều gì chúng ta đã thấy trước đây, không gì có thể thực sự làm tổn thương thực tại của cái tôi. Và tất cả các chiếc tai nghe chỉ là tai nghe. Chúng sẽ bị gỡ bỏ bởi cái tôi. Chúng chỉ được thử nghiệm và rồi buông bỏ. Rõ ràng, cái tôi, ngay cả khi không có tất cả công nghệ này, đã từng, bạn biết đấy, đặt Jesus lên thập giá. Nếu câu chuyện về cái tôi là đúng, thì nó đã chọn để làm điều đó, vì, bạn biết đấy, nó đã làm. Nó đã tạo ra ung thư và Holocaust. Đúng vậy. Nhưng mối quan hệ của cái tôi với nỗi đau của những thứ, những sinh vật mà nó đã tạo ra thì khác với nhận thức về nỗi đau trong chính sinh vật đó, có thể. Vì vậy, như, tôi ghét đau đớn, nhưng có thể cái tôi, cái ý thức mà tất cả chúng ta chia sẻ, mà chúng ta đều quay về và từ đó đến, có thể nhìn nhận nó như một tín hiệu hữu ích hoặc không bị ảnh hưởng một cách chủ quan bởi nó. Bởi vì nó chọn làm điều đó. Tôi đồng ý với bạn. Điều đó có vẻ là một kết luận hợp lý. Và trong thực hành thiền, thường thì những gì bạn tìm thấy là, và tôi luôn liều mình giả vờ rằng tôi tiến bộ hơn tôi thực sự. Vì vậy, tôi sẽ chỉ nói tôi là một người mới, nhưng, nhưng, tôi sẽ nói về những gì tôi đã nghe từ những người khác có kinh nghiệm hơn, rằng họ, điều đã từng là một nỗi đau sâu, nỗi đau cảm xúc, ví dụ, khi họ nhìn vào nó và thực sự chấp nhận nó, thì nó tan biến. Vì vậy, bây giờ tôi đang nói quá về khả năng của mình, nhưng, nhưng từ những người mà tôi không có lý do gì để không tin họ. Tôi đọc một bình luận trên video của bạn từ một người đã viết như thế này. Anh ấy viết, tôi là một người mắc chứng tâm thần phân liệt. Tôi làm DoorDash để kiếm thêm tiền. Và một đêm tôi đã đến và đi đến cửa. Tôi để đồ ăn xuống trước cửa và tôi chụp một bức ảnh. Tôi trở vào xe và lái đi. Và 30 phút sau, khách hàng gọi cho tôi và hỏi tôi đồ ăn ở đâu. Và tôi đã nói cho anh ấy chính xác nơi đồ ăn ấy. Tôi nhớ mình đã chụp bức ảnh trước cửa nhà của anh ấy. Vì vậy, anh ấy đã khiếu nại với DoorDash trực tiếp. Một thời gian sau, tôi mở cửa sau của mình và thấy đơn hàng của anh ấy trước cửa sau. Tôi đã rất bối rối không hiểu tại sao nó lại ở đó. Tôi nhớ tất cả về việc đi đến đó và chụp bức ảnh. Anh ấy nói tôi không bao giờ có mặt trên camera của anh ấy. Rõ ràng, tôi đã ảo giác toàn bộ quá trình giao hàng. Tôi đã ở đó, nhưng có lẽ đã không rời khỏi xe hoặc thậm chí lái xe đến. Vậy tôi đã làm gì lúc đó? Tôi có phải đang nhìn chăm chăm vào kính chắn gió với đôi mắt trống rỗng không? Tôi đã gọi cho anh ấy và xin lỗi, nhưng mà anh ấy thì đã nhận được tiền hoàn lại. Tôi cảm thấy rất tồi tệ. Tôi đang dùng thuốc và không có gì hiệu quả. Nó chỉ cho thấy rằng một số trục trặc trong não có thể hoàn toàn làm thay đổi cảm nhận của bạn về thực tại. Nhưng nó cũng nêu ra những câu hỏi sâu sắc hơn về thực tại. Tôi nghĩ đó là một điểm thú vị, rất thú vị. Nhưng cũng, nó cũng nói lên khi chúng ta nói về những người có nhiều căn bệnh tâm thần như tâm thần phân liệt, những người đang trải nghiệm thế giới một cách hoàn toàn khác biệt. Nó đặt ra những câu hỏi lớn về ý thức là gì một lần nữa. Tuyệt đối.
    Và có thể ai đó sẽ lấy ví dụ này và nói, liệu điều đó có cho thấy rằng hoạt động của não đang gây ra ý thức không? Và nếu bạn có hoạt động não sai, thì bạn sẽ có những trải nghiệm sai lầm và những ảo giác. Vậy nhiều người coi đây là một điểm thắng lợi cho quan điểm vật chất. Nhưng còn một quan điểm khác. Đó là, hãy nghĩ về những trải nghiệm mà bạn có khi bạn đang mơ. Chúng có thể rất, rất sống động. Và trong một giấc mơ, bạn đang sáng tạo ra thực tại đó từ đầu. Đó không phải là một thực tại đang ở trước mặt bạn. Bạn đang tạo ra thực tại đó. Vì vậy, chúng ta biết rằng bạn có khả năng phản chiếu một thực tại, một thực tại rất hấp dẫn. Tất cả chúng ta đều có khả năng đó. Không cần phải có bệnh tâm thần phân liệt, chúng ta đều làm điều đó mỗi đêm trong giấc mơ của mình. Vì vậy, không có gì ngạc nhiên khi chúng ta thực hiện điều đó. Cách tôi nhìn nhận vấn đề này là ý thức đang tạo ra chiếc kính thực tế này. Và chính ý thức sử dụng chiếc kính trong giấc mơ để tạo ra những thực tại mà chúng ta thấy trong giấc mơ. Và chính ý thức, bên ngoài không gian-thời gian, cũng tạo ra điều mà chúng ta gọi là thực tại thực khi chúng ta không đang mơ. Và nếu bạn cấu trúc chiếc kính theo những cách nhất định, thì bạn có thể khiến cơ chế mơ mộng, ví dụ, can thiệp vào cái mà bạn gọi là cơ chế tỉnh táo. Và bạn có thể, bạn biết đấy, một cách hiệu quả. Vì vậy, tôi không nói rằng bệnh tâm thần phân liệt là mơ. Nhưng tôi đang lấy điều này làm ví dụ về loại vấn đề mà có thể xảy ra. Tôi không đưa ra chẩn đoán cho người cụ thể này. Tôi sắp rời khỏi chiếc ghế này, cũng như bạn. Và tôi sẽ quay trở lại cuộc sống của mình. Vâng. Nơi tôi đang xây dựng doanh nghiệp. Tôi có một bạn gái. Tôi có một đội ngũ. Tôi có những kế hoạch cho tương lai. Tôi có tất cả những điều này. Những người nghe của tôi, họ đang ngồi ở nhà. Họ đang ở trong taxi, trên máy bay, tàu hỏa, đi bộ trong phòng tập gym, bất cứ nơi nào họ có thể đang ở ngay bây giờ. Và tôi tưởng tượng rằng họ cũng đang tìm kiếm một kết luận ở đây, một điểm kết luận về tất cả điều này có nghĩa gì đối với tôi trong cuộc sống và những điều tôi đã hoạch định và cách tôi nên xuất hiện, đối xử với mọi người và hành động. Bạn có thể cho tôi một điểm kết luận mà tất cả những điều này dạy bạn và chúng ta về cách sống cuộc sống của chúng ta trong tương lai không? Nếu mọi thứ bạn đã nói về bản chất của thực tại là chính xác. Vâng. Tóm lại, tôi sẽ nói rằng điều quan trọng mà thực tế là yêu người hàng xóm như chính mình, vì người hàng xóm chính là bạn. Thứ hai, thực tại thú vị và hấp dẫn hơn bạn có thể tưởng tượng. Vì vậy, đừng bao giờ nghĩ rằng bạn biết mọi thứ. Nhận ra rằng ngay khi bạn nghĩ bạn biết mọi thứ, đó là lúc bạn đang bỏ lỡ thực tại đáng kinh ngạc mà bạn là một phần của nó. Vì vậy, hãy luôn giữ cho mình sự tò mò như trẻ con, luôn nhận ra rằng có vô số điều hơn những gì bạn đã tưởng tượng cho đến nay, và rằng vô số điều hơn đó chính là bạn. Và về việc giảm bớt một phần nào đó căng thẳng và nỗi khổ trong cuộc sống của tôi. Tôi nghĩ, trước tiên, một chút khiêm tốn là cần thiết. Tôi có căng thẳng và nỗi khổ. Vì vậy, tôi không nói từ góc độ của một người đã vượt qua căng thẳng và nỗi khổ. Vì vậy, tôi nói như một người bạn đang có căng thẳng và nỗi khổ và vẫn đang đối mặt với nó hàng ngày. Từ cái khiêm tốn đó, tôi sẽ nói như thế này. Tôi nghĩ rằng nhiều, và tôi sẽ làm cho nó cá nhân, tôi nghĩ rằng nhiều vấn đề của tôi, căng thẳng của tôi, nhiều nỗi khổ của tôi là vì tôi tin vào những ảo tưởng. Đến mức tôi tin rằng tôi cần phải trở thành một cái gì đó, cần phải tốt hơn so với bản thân mình theo bất kỳ cách nào, cần phải chứng minh điều gì đó cho bất kỳ ai khác, đó là một ảo tưởng. Tôi đã là vô tận. Tôi không cần phải chứng minh điều gì cả. Tôi đang tạo ra, mọi thứ đã có sẵn, vì vậy tôi không cần phải đi đâu cả. Tôi không cần phải đạt được điều gì cả. Tôi không cần phải thành công trong bất kỳ điều gì để trở thành cái mà tôi cần trở thành. Tôi đã là như vậy. Vì vậy, tôi không, vì nỗi khổ đến từ việc tôi quên mất tôi là ai. Tôi không cần phải, tôi thực sự không cần phải gây ấn tượng với ai đó, đạt được điều gì cả, vì mọi điều tôi đang nói đều là do tôi tự tưởng tượng ra hết. Đây đã là tôi. Tôi đã làm tất cả những điều này rồi. Tôi cần phải làm gì thêm nữa? Tôi là vượt trội. Tôi hoàn toàn vượt trội hơn cái này. Và đối với điều đó, nỗi khổ của tôi là không nhận ra điều đó. Nỗi khổ của tôi hoàn toàn bị mắc kẹt trong hình ảnh của mình. Đây chỉ là hình ảnh của tôi. Nó không phải là tôi. Vì vậy, nỗi khổ của tôi là vì tôi đã tạo ra hình ảnh này. Tôi đã cho phép mình tự nhận diện với hình ảnh này, biết rằng tôi sẽ phải chịu đựng vì điều đó. Và biết rằng tôi cần phải tỉnh ngộ. Vì vậy, tôi đang đau khổ vì tôi đã nhận diện với hình ảnh, nhưng tôi đã để bản thân mình ở đó vì tôi thực sự muốn nhìn vào thế giới qua hình ảnh này. Đó là lý do tôi đang đau khổ. Nhưng cuối cùng tôi tỉnh ngộ và tôi nhìn và thấy hình ảnh là gì. Và tôi nhận ra rằng mọi điều tôi đã cố gắng để chứng minh rằng tôi có giá trị và tôi tốt hơn bạn hoặc không tệ như bạn nghĩ về tôi hoặc những điều như vậy. Tất cả những điều đó chỉ là, bạn biết đấy, tất cả nỗi đau và nỗi khổ chỉ là do một ảo tưởng. Nhưng tôi cần phải làm điều đó. Tôi cần phải nhìn vào bản thân từ góc độ đó một thời gian, một phần là để tìm ra tôi là ai bằng cách tìm ra tôi không phải là ai. Tôi không chỉ là hình ảnh đó. Bạn có thấy mình chuyển động qua lại giữa nhận thức này và hình ảnh đó, đặc biệt khi thời gian khó khăn không? Bạn có thấy mình tự nhắc nhở trong những khoảnh khắc khó khăn rằng đây chỉ là một hình ảnh và bạn đang vượt trội không? Đó có phải là một thực hành hữu ích, chủ động trong cuộc sống của bạn không? Bởi vì đó là một trong những điều tôi rút ra từ điều này, là khi tôi đi qua đó và tôi vào điện thoại hoặc máy tính xách tay của mình và nhận được một email kém chất lượng, tôi có thể tự nhắc nhở rằng tất cả chỉ là, tôi đang vượt trội và đây là một trò chơi mà tôi đang chơi. Và điều đó sẽ giúp tôi vượt qua, và điều đó sẽ giúp tôi vượt qua tình huống đó. Điều này rất thực tế theo cách đó vì nếu điều đó thực sự đúng, tôi muốn nói như thế này. Từ một góc nhìn lớn, từ một góc nhìn lớn, tất cả chúng ta sẽ chết.
    Và nếu tôi hỏi bạn, ai là người giàu có và nổi tiếng nhất vào năm 1743? Ai biết và ai quan tâm? Cũng giống như chúng ta. Một nghìn năm nữa, có ai sẽ biết tên chúng ta không? Không. Có ai sẽ quan tâm không? Không. Vậy thì, điều này thực sự quan trọng để thấy. Không ai sẽ quan tâm. Và điều đó có nghĩa là tôi vô giá trị, không có mục đích, không có ý nghĩa không? Không, nó có nghĩa là bạn vô hạn, và đây chỉ là một trong những trò chơi bạn đang chơi, hãy tận hưởng nó. Và hãy tận hưởng. Và đừng cố gắng tìm kiếm danh tính của bạn từ trò chơi này. Trong một khía cạnh nào đó, bạn đang tìm kiếm danh tính của mình từ việc phát hiện ra rằng bạn không phải là trò chơi này. Đó là cách bạn học về ai thực sự là bạn, là để biết. Tôi nghĩ rằng tôi cần phải là, ví dụ, Giám đốc điều hành hoặc giáo sư hay bất kỳ điều gì khác, và để nhận được tất cả các vinh dự này và những thứ tương tự. Và điều đó đã thúc đẩy tôi trong một thời gian. Và rồi tôi nhận ra, không ai thực sự quan tâm. Và thực tế, bạn biết gì không? Tôi thậm chí còn không quan tâm. Đó chỉ là một trò chơi tôi phải chơi. Và tôi không phải là điều đó. Và tôi đã học rằng tôi vượt lên trên điều đó. Vậy nên, nó là thực tiễn. Và nó là thực tiễn theo một cách nào đó, cuộc sống đầy ắp những phiền toái như thế, những điều sai trái, luôn xảy ra. Bài học của cuộc sống là chỉ cần nói có với bất cứ điều gì xảy ra. Chỉ cần, đây là điều xảy ra. Đây là điều cần phải xảy ra. Và không cần phải phản kháng. Trong một khía cạnh nào đó, bạn biết không, tôi là vô hạn. Tôi đã đặt mình vào trò chơi này. Và tôi đủ thông minh để thấy rằng đó là một trò chơi tốt. Vậy nên, hãy cứ tiếp tục với nó. Vì vậy, bạn biết đấy, mọi thứ sai trái. Bây giờ, điều đó thì dễ cho tôi nói. Nếu bạn hỏi tôi điều này khi tôi ở phòng cấp cứu, như khi tôi đã ở đó với trái tim sắp thất bại và những thứ tương tự, bây giờ tôi, bạn biết đấy, cảm xúc của tôi đang điên cuồng. Tôi nghĩ về vợ tôi. Tôi đang nói lời tạm biệt với vợ tôi và những thứ tương tự. Thật khó để có một cái nhìn khách quan tốt như tôi đang nói bây giờ trong tình huống đó. Nhưng tôi nghĩ những người tiến xa hơn tôi trong việc buông bỏ xác định với nhân cách của họ, tôi vẫn bị ràng buộc với nhân cách của mình khá nhiều, đúng không? Vì vậy, đó là lý do tại sao tôi phải chịu đựng. Nhưng có những người, tôi nghĩ, những người tâm linh, có thể là Đạt Lai Lạt Ma, có thể là Chúa Giêsu, Eckhart Tolle. Có những người như vậy mà tôi nghĩ thực sự đã buông bỏ sự xác định với nhân cách của họ. Và tôi nghĩ họ có thể không phải chịu đựng. Họ có thể trải qua đau thể xác, nhưng họ không phải chịu đựng. Vậy tình yêu có nên vô điều kiện không nếu chúng ta, nếu bạn là tôi, nếu chúng ta có cùng một ý thức, nếu chúng ta là cùng một nguồn tâm linh vượt lên, điều đó có thực sự có nghĩa là tôi nên yêu bạn, thật sự không phụ thuộc vào những gì nhân cách của bạn làm, vì chúng ta là cùng một điều không? Vâng, tôi sẽ nói rằng vô điều kiện, có. Và tôi cũng sẽ nói rằng Chúa Giêsu đã nói điều đó. Chúa Giêsu, trong Bài giảng trên núi, cơ bản đã nói, đừng phán xét, hết. Tôi đã xem Luca 6, 27. Ngài nói, yêu kẻ thù của bạn. Vâng, yêu kẻ thù của bạn, đúng. Làm điều tốt cho những ai ghét bạn. Đúng vậy. Tình yêu của Chúa dành cho nhân loại là vô điều kiện. Hoàn toàn đúng. Và Ngài đã nói điều tương tự về những người đang đóng đinh Ngài trong khi Ngài đang treo trên thập giá. Đó là một trong những hình ảnh sâu sắc nhất mà tôi từng thấy, là một người treo trên thập giá, tha thứ cho những người đang giết mình ngay tại thời điểm đó. Và đó chính là chỗ thực sự. Trong Kinh Gita của Ấn Độ giáo, trong Kinh Gita 9.29, nó nói, tôi là như nhau với tất cả chúng sinh. Ai thờ phượng tôi với lòng tận tụy thì ở trong tôi và tôi ở trong người ấy. Do thái giáo nói, hãy yêu người hàng xóm như chính mình. Hồi giáo nói, sự thương xót của tôi bao trùm tất cả mọi thứ. Trên tất cả các tôn giáo, tình yêu vô điều kiện không chỉ là một cảm xúc. Nó là một kỷ luật tâm linh và một phản ánh của thánh thiện. Nó có nghĩa là yêu thương mà không có cái tôi, không có kỳ vọng, hoặc sợ hãi, thách thức tối thượng và tự do tối thượng. Tôi hoàn toàn đồng ý. Và điều đó đúng. Vì vậy, nó thực sự liên quan đến việc buông bỏ sự phán xét. Chúng ta có xu hướng phán xét người khác. Vì vậy, Chúa Giêsu rất rõ ràng về điều đó. Ngài nói, đừng phán xét. Hết. Và đừng lên án người khác. Vì vậy, đối với những người theo Chúa Kitô, nếu bạn phán xét người khác, thì bạn không đang theo Chúa Kitô. Bạn có tôn giáo không? Tôi sẽ nói như thế này. Tôi lớn lên trong một nhà thờ Cơ đốc giáo phái tin lành. Bố tôi đã từng là một mục sư trong một nhà thờ. Thái độ của tôi về — tôi nghĩ rằng Kinh Thánh có nhiều điều tốt đẹp trong đó. Và tôi nghĩ rằng, như tôi đã chỉ ra, tôi nghĩ nó có nhiều điều vô lý. Những điều mà, khi họ nói phụ nữ không thể nói trong nhà thờ, tôi nghĩ điều đó hoàn toàn vô lý. Vì vậy, tôi phải có một cái nhìn tinh tế. Tôi nghĩ rằng khi Chúa Giêsu nói, yêu người hàng xóm như chính mình, tôi nghĩ rằng điều đó là sâu sắc và đúng. Tôi sẽ không nói rằng tôi là một tín đồ theo đạo cụ thể nào đó. Tôi là một người tin rằng có một ý thức — chỉ có một ý thức và bạn và tôi là nó. Và tôi nghĩ rằng Phật, Chúa Giêsu và Muhammad và một số người khác đã là những nhân cách rất, rất hữu ích để giúp những nhân cách khác đánh thức được bản chất thực sự của họ. Bạn có nghĩ nhiều về AI không? Đó là chủ đề của nhiều cuộc trò chuyện những ngày này. Có nhiều điều bi quan xung quanh nó. Có nhiều người đang nói về hiệu suất. Nhưng tôi tự hỏi liệu nó có lấn át một chút nào đó với công việc của bạn về bản chất của thực tại và trường hợp chống lại thực tại không. Rất nhiều. Rất nhiều. Tôi đang nghĩ về AI rất nhiều. Tôi đã tham gia vào AI từ năm 1979. Và bạn đã học — bạn đã tham gia một lớp học với người đàn ông mà cơ bản được biết đến là một trong những người phát minh ra AI. Đúng, với Marvin Minsky, đúng không? Và tất cả nghiên cứu của tôi, tôi đã làm nghiên cứu tiến sĩ của mình về máy LISP trong phòng thí nghiệm trí tuệ nhân tạo tại MIT. Chúng là những máy rất, rất mạnh mẽ vào thời điểm đó. Vì vậy, tôi đã gắn bó với AI khá lâu. Và tôi rất quan tâm đến trạng thái hiện tại của AI. Các mô hình ngôn ngữ lớn đang làm những điều tuyệt vời, và tôi cũng sử dụng chúng. Chúng rất, rất hữu ích. Chúng cũng — mặc dù chúng mạnh mẽ đến đâu, nhưng chúng ngu ngốc hơn cả dưa chuột vì chúng không thực sự hiểu mọi thứ. Chúng có trí nhớ tuyệt vời. Chúng đã đọc rất nhiều tài liệu. Và tất cả những gì chúng thực sự làm là tính toán rất nhiều tương quan. Thật đẹp những gì chúng có thể làm.
    Thật tuyệt vời những gì bạn có thể làm với sự tương quan. Nhưng chúng không—chúng không thực sự thông minh. Có một số công trình của Carl Fristen và một công ty mới, nơi họ đang sử dụng cái gọi là suy diễn chủ động như một cách mới—một mô hình mới để thực hiện trí tuệ nhân tạo. Ý tưởng ở đây là tôi nên có một mô hình về thế giới, nơi tôi có thể dự đoán những gì sẽ xảy ra và không bị bất ngờ. Và đó là cách tiếp cận mà Fristen và công ty của ông đang theo đuổi. Trí tuệ bằng cách nào đó liên quan đến việc giảm thiểu bất ngờ. Và để giảm thiểu bất ngờ, họ có cái mà họ gọi là nguyên lý năng lượng tự do và một cách toán học để thực hiện điều đó. Nhưng họ đang cố gắng xây dựng một loại trí tuệ nhân tạo hoàn toàn mới giúp bạn—giảm thiểu bất ngờ mà tôi đã đưa ra một trực giác lý do tại sao điều đó là thông minh. Và điều đó rất thông minh khi giảm thiểu bất ngờ. Nếu tôi liên tục gặp bất ngờ, tôi khá ngu ngốc, đúng không? Tôi không hiểu thế giới rất tốt. Nhưng nếu tôi không bị bất ngờ, thì giống như, wow, tôi có một mô hình rất tốt. Đặc biệt nếu tôi đang làm rất nhiều thứ trong thế giới và gần như không bao giờ bị bất ngờ, thì tôi—tôi thực sự thông minh. Vì vậy, bạn có thể thấy lý do tại sao đó là một nguyên tắc rất tốt để xây dựng một AI. Không chỉ tìm kiếm sự tương quan giữa mọi thứ, mà thực sự là một điều gì đó sâu sắc hơn. Tôi đồng ý với quan điểm đó. Và hóa ra, logic mà tôi đã đề cập, mà tôi phát hiện ra, giảm thiểu bất ngờ. Vì vậy, tôi thực sự sẽ sử dụng—tôi đang sử dụng logic này như để xây dựng không-thời gian. Nhưng tôi nghĩ điều đó sẽ cung cấp một cách tiếp cận mạnh mẽ hơn nữa. Tôi không cần phải giảm thiểu một nguyên lý năng lượng tự do nào đó. Tôi có một cách tính toán trực tiếp hơn. Vì vậy, tôi dự định thực sự quay lại với cội nguồn của mình. Và sau—đầu tiên, tôi đang làm việc trên tai nghe không-thời gian. Nhưng nếu tôi sống đủ lâu, tôi dự định thực sự quay lại và xây dựng một loại AI hoàn toàn mới làm việc này để giảm thiểu bất ngờ. Tôi đang sử dụng các chuỗi Markov. Điều đó có nghĩa là nó sẽ không thể phân biệt được với ý thức. Thật hài hước vì nó sẽ dựa trên mô hình ý thức của tôi. Vì vậy, đây sẽ là một mô hình trí tuệ hoàn toàn dựa trên một mô hình mà coi ý thức là căn bản. Ý tôi là, chúng ta lại quay trở lại với lý thuyết trò chơi. Đúng vậy. Chúng ta trở lại với ý tưởng một mô phỏng, như kiểu, nếu bạn có thể tạo ra một phần mềm có thể tái tạo và được xây dựng trên những điều cơ bản của ý thức, thì nó sẽ nghĩ rằng mình có ý thức, có khả năng. Và rồi tất cả những điều này, bạn biết đấy, lại bắt đầu. Và chu kỳ tiếp tục. Và có thể ý thức đó sẽ đạt đến một điểm nào đó, nơi nó khám phá những quy tắc này và tạo ra một ý thức và chu kỳ tiếp tục. Đó là một câu hỏi tuyệt vời. Và tôi nghĩ mọi người nên thực sự chú ý đến cách mà bạn đã nói. Và tôi nghĩ đó là một cách suy nghĩ rất hay về điều đó. Nhưng bây giờ tôi sẽ thêm một chút xoắn. Từ quan điểm mà tôi đang nói rằng tôi bắt đầu với ý thức là căn bản và tôi đang khám phá những quy tắc này, và vì vậy tôi sẽ không xây dựng một AI. Thực tế, điều tôi đang làm là tôi nói rằng tôi có thể lấy ý thức và sử dụng ý thức để xây dựng một tai nghe mới. Vì vậy, ý thức là căn bản, nhưng tôi đang sử dụng nó theo một nghĩa nào đó để xây dựng một phép chiếu tai nghe mới. Chà, chúng ta có thể chơi với ý thức. Đúng vậy. Vì vậy, lý thuyết tôi có thể đeo tai nghe đó và làm bất kỳ điều gì tôi muốn làm. Tôi có thể đi bất cứ nơi nào và làm bất kỳ điều gì. Hoặc có nhiều sự linh hoạt hơn. Giống như một giấc mơ mà tôi có thể chơi và ảnh hưởng. Tuyệt đối. Vâng. Tôi chỉ muốn nói rằng tôi không biết liệu chúng ta có thể làm bất kỳ điều gì không vì, nhớ rằng, lý thuyết của tôi về ý thức chỉ là một lý thuyết về ý thức. Nó không phải là ý thức. Và đó thực sự chỉ là một bước đi đầu tiên. Tôi cho rằng lý thuyết của tôi sẽ bị vượt qua và sẽ có một lý thuyết về ý thức sâu sắc hơn nhiều. Và rồi cái đó sẽ bị vượt qua, và vân vân. Vì vậy, những gì chúng ta sẽ có là thế hệ tai nghe mà chúng ta có thể nhận được với lý thuyết ý thức tầm thường của Hoffman, điều này sẽ trông như tầm thường một khi chúng ta đạt đến thế hệ tiếp theo của ý thức, mà sẽ trông như tầm thường Sau đó. Vì vậy, nói cách khác, điều này là vô tận. Một tương lai thật thú vị mà chúng ta phải đối mặt. Tất cả chúng ta. Tất cả chúng ta. Donald, chúng ta có một truyền thống kết thúc trên podcast này, nơi khách mời cuối cùng để lại một câu hỏi cho khách tiếp theo mà không biết người đó sẽ là ai. Và câu hỏi để lại cho bạn là, bạn sẽ làm gì nếu bạn biết mình không thể thất bại? Bạn sẽ nói gì, làm gì, trở thành gì? Có lẽ tôi sẽ làm những gì tôi đang cố gắng làm ngay bây giờ, đó là chỉ ra cách tất cả vật lý hiện đại xuất phát từ một lý thuyết về ý thức. Chúng tôi phát triển các công nghệ sẽ xuất phát từ điều đó. Và lý do là, tất nhiên, đó là thú vị. Một lý do là thật thú vị. Nhưng lý do khác là, tại sao hầu hết chúng ta không coi trọng tâm linh quá nghiêm túc? Bởi vì khoa học vật lý cung cấp cho chúng ta tất cả công nghệ. Nó hoạt động. Và tâm linh không cung cấp cho chúng ta bất kỳ công nghệ nào. Nó không hoạt động. Vì vậy, nếu bạn chỉ cứng rắn về điều đó, bạn có thể nói, chà, những thứ tâm linh, nghe có vẻ tốt. Nhưng nó xây dựng được gì? Chà, không có gì cả. Những thứ vật lý, có thể chúng ta không cần những thứ tâm linh. Và nhìn xem những gì chúng mang lại cho chúng ta. Laptop và điện. Nhưng nếu chúng ta thay đổi trò chơi và bỗng nhiên, lý thuyết tâm linh mang lại cho chúng ta những công nghệ mà là không thể với một lý thuyết nói rằng không-thời gian là căn bản. Bỗng dưng, lợi thế công nghệ chuyển sang những người nói rằng không-thời gian và những thứ vật lý bên trong không-thời gian không phải là căn bản. Được rồi, vì vậy bây giờ không còn là người thông minh nào nói rằng tất cả bằng chứng từ khoa học và công nghệ đều ủng hộ một cái gì đó vượt ra ngoài không-thời gian. Có thể những người đó không điên rồ sau tất cả. Có thể những người đó không điên rồ sau tất cả. Đúng vậy. Họ chỉ không có công cụ để chỉ ra những gì nó có thể làm.
    Donald, cảm ơn bạn rất nhiều vì công việc mà bạn đang làm. Nó thực sự rất quan trọng vì nó một lần nữa thách thức cái quan niệm, cái hộp trong đó chúng ta đang sống. Và nó nhắc nhở và mời gọi chúng ta xem xét một điều gì đó vượt ra ngoài điều đó. Thực ra, khi chúng ta nghĩ về tất cả những phát minh của nhân loại, điều đã giúp chúng ta tiến lên phía trước, nó bắt đầu từ một người sẵn sàng gợi ý rằng có thể có nhiều điều để biết hơn. Và đó chính xác là những gì bạn làm. Bạn khiến tôi cảm thấy ngu ngốc vì bạn khiến tôi nhận ra rằng bạn làm tôi đặt câu hỏi về tất cả những giả định mà tôi đã xây dựng cuộc sống của mình trên đó. Thực ra, khi làm như vậy, một trong những sản phẩm phụ tuyệt vời của điều đó là bạn bắt đầu nhận ra rằng một số điều bạn đã xây dựng gây ra nhiều đau khổ cho bạn và những điều đó không nhất thiết phải là đúng. Và nếu những điều đó không đúng, thì tôi có nhiều sự lựa chọn và khả năng lựa chọn hơn về cách tôi cảm thấy, cách tôi trải nghiệm thế giới, những lựa chọn tôi làm, những cảm xúc tôi có, và cuộc sống mà tôi sống. Và thực ra, điều đó là rất tự do cho tôi khi nhận ra rằng cái lồng, nhà tù mà tôi nhìn thấy và trải nghiệm có thể không phải là tất cả những gì tồn tại. Và tôi rất khuyến khích mọi người đi và xem cuốn sách của bạn nếu bạn muốn đi sâu hơn vào những chủ đề này. Nó có tên là “Vụ kiện chống lại thực tại, cách tiến hóa đã giấu sự thật trước mắt chúng ta”. Và có một câu trích dẫn ở phía trước từ Deepak Chopra, một khách mời trước đây, nói rằng: “Hãy đọc cuốn sách này cẩn thận và bạn sẽ mãi mãi thay đổi cách hiểu của mình về thực tại”. Nó thật xuất sắc, dễ tiếp cận, và tạo ra sự kỳ diệu, điều mà tôi nghĩ là con đường đến một cuộc sống tuyệt vời. Vì vậy, cảm ơn bạn rất nhiều, Donald, vì công việc mà bạn đang làm.
    Cảm ơn bạn, Steve. Thực sự hấp dẫn. Và cảm ơn bạn đã giúp tôi đơn giản hóa một số khái niệm này để tất cả chúng ta có thể hiểu chúng. Chỉ cần cho tôi 30 giây thời gian của bạn. Có hai điều tôi muốn nói. Điều đầu tiên là một lời cảm ơn lớn vì đã lắng nghe và theo dõi chương trình tuần này qua tuần khác. Nó có ý nghĩa rất lớn với tất cả chúng tôi và thực sự đây là một giấc mơ mà chúng tôi chưa bao giờ có và không thể tưởng tượng được đã đến được nơi này. Nhưng thứ hai, đó là một giấc mơ mà chúng tôi cảm thấy như chúng tôi chỉ mới bắt đầu. Và nếu bạn thích những gì chúng tôi làm ở đây, hãy tham gia vào 24% người nghe podcast này thường xuyên và theo dõi chúng tôi trên ứng dụng này. Đây là một lời hứa tôi sẽ dành cho bạn. Tôi sẽ làm mọi thứ trong khả năng của mình để làm cho chương trình này tốt nhất có thể, bây giờ và trong tương lai. Chúng tôi sẽ mời những khách mời mà bạn muốn tôi nói chuyện và chúng tôi sẽ tiếp tục làm tất cả những điều mà bạn yêu thích về chương trình này. Cảm ơn bạn.
    Chúng tôi đã phát hành những thẻ trò chuyện này và chúng đã bán hết. Chúng tôi lại phát hành chúng lần nữa và chúng lại bán hết. Chúng tôi lại phát hành lần nữa và chúng lại bán hết. Bởi vì mọi người thích chơi những thẻ này với đồng nghiệp tại nơi làm việc, với bạn bè ở nhà và cũng với gia đình. Chúng tôi cũng có một đối tượng lớn sử dụng chúng như là gợi ý nhật ký. Mỗi lần một khách mời xuất hiện trong nhật ký của một CEO, họ để lại một câu hỏi cho khách mời tiếp theo trong nhật ký. Và tôi đã ngồi đây với một số người tuyệt vời nhất trên thế giới và họ đã để lại tất cả những câu hỏi này trong nhật ký. Tôi đã phân loại chúng từ một đến ba về độ sâu. Một là câu hỏi khởi động. Cấp độ ba, nếu bạn nhìn ở phía sau đây, đây là cấp độ ba, trở thành một câu hỏi sâu hơn giúp xây dựng kết nối nhiều hơn. Nếu bạn lật thẻ lên và quét mã QR đó, bạn có thể xem ai đã trả lời thẻ và xem video họ trả lời nó trong thời gian thực. Vì vậy, nếu bạn muốn có một số thẻ trò chuyện này, hãy truy cập vào thediary.com hoặc xem liên kết trong phần mô tả bên dưới. Vì vậy, nếu bạn muốn có một số câu hỏi này, hãy truy cập vào liên kết trong phần mô tả bên dưới.
    您所看到的世界並不是實際的世界。
    我現在所看到的一切只是一種虛擬現實。
    這就像您出生時就戴著耳機在玩視頻遊戲。
    那就是您的現實。
    但如果您是編寫遊戲代碼的程式設計師,
    您會知道在這之外還有整個世界。
    作為程式設計師,您可以創造奇蹟。
    您認為我們是否越來越接近編輯代碼的能力?
    這正是我現在所努力的方向。
    我們正在開創一個全新的技術領域,
    這些技術比我們以前見過的任何東西都要強大,
    就像時間旅行一樣。
    而核彈將變得如同鞭炮一般。
    人們會受苦嗎?
    這就像潘多拉的盒子。
    裡面有各種令人厭惡的驚喜,
    但同時也可能是奇蹟。
    不過無論如何,就在過去幾個月內,
    它已經開始逐漸裂開。
    那我們就來談談這個吧。
    好的,唐納德·霍夫曼教授是一位認知科學家,
    他正在推動我們如何感知現實的邊界,
    以及我們如何能夠釋放作為人類的全部潛能。
    根據達爾文的理論,我們的感官系統,眼睛、耳朵、嗅覺、觸覺,
    並不是為了向我們展現真相而形成的。
    它們的形狀是為了讓您活得足夠久,
    以便成功繁殖。
    因為看見真相需要太多的時間和精力。
    因此,無論現實是什麼,
    它與我所感知的完全不同。
    那麼這一切對於一個人該如何理解他們的生活的本質來說意味著什麼呢?
    如果您困在一個無聊的世界中,
    那是您自己創造的世界。
    那並不是真實的世界。
    而我的意識經驗無非是我的大腦所創造的。
    因此我們感到不適。
    我們覺得需要和其他人競爭。
    但您是這一切的發明者。
    您沒有什麼需要證明的。
    而且我們可以用更有趣的觀點來看待自己。
    所以如果您真的知道自己是誰,
    您就不會覺得需要比較或競爭。
    那麼我有辦法理解我自己是誰嗎?
    如果您想理解您真實的自我,
    超越這個耳機對您的描述,
    那麼您必須…
    只需給我30秒的時間。
    我想說兩件事。
    第一件是非常感謝您每週收聽和關注這個節目。
    這對我們所有人都意義重大。
    這真的是一個我們從未敢夢想的夢想,
    我們無法想像能達到這樣的地步。
    但第二點是,這是一個我們感覺才剛剛開始的夢想。
    如果您喜歡我們在這裡做的事,
    請加入24%定期收聽這個播客的人,
    並在這個應用程式上關注我們。
    我對您有一個保證。
    我會盡我所能讓這個節目
    在現在和未來都變得更好。
    我們會邀請您想要我訪談的嘉賓。
    而且我們會繼續做所有您喜愛的節目內容。
    謝謝您。
    唐納德·霍夫曼教授。
    您認為這個節目的聽眾,
    即現在正在收聽的人,
    是否理解現實的本質
    以及他們所看見的世界?
    我認為沒有任何人,
    即使是最先進的專業人士,
    真正理解現實的本質。
    這是當今科學界的一個重要未解難題和問題。
    我們可能都有一些想法。
    我們可能認為我們知道一些事情。
    但我們目前最好的科學顯示,
    我們的想像力還不夠強大。
    我們需要進一步探索。
    您認為人們對現實的感知有什麼重大誤解?
    大多數人將現實視為位於時空之內的所有事物。
    其實我們知道,時空
    並不能是現實的根本本質。
    那麼什麼是時空呢?
    您我之間的空間,
    可能只有一到兩米。
    那就是時空。
    所以我們能在望遠鏡中看到的所有東西,
    可以這麼說。
    如果您能在望遠鏡中看到它,
    那它就是時空的一部分。
    但我們知道我們最好的時空理論,
    愛因斯坦的理論加上量子理論,
    告訴我們時空
    不能是現實的根本本質。
    如果您深入研究這一點…
    如果您談到一米,
    然後可以談到厘米、毫米,
    然後我們可以談到微米,然後越來越小。
    在某一點上,
    您會小到時空消失。
    這在數學上甚至不再有意義。
    它是10的負33厘米。
    所以其實並不…
    在我看來,它並不算那麼小。
    它不是10的負33兆厘米。
    它只是10的負33厘米。
    突然之間,
    我們的方程告訴我們時空並沒有任何有效的意義。
    在某些方面,時空是否可以被視為現實這個詞的代理?
    對於大多數人來說,我想是的。
    對於大多數人來說,
    他們認為時空就是現實。
    而我所說的是,
    它是大多數人認為的最終現實。
    而科學現在告訴我們,
    這不可能。
    它實際上…
    而且它精確地告訴我們
    在10的負33厘米、10的負43秒,
    時空的概念
    毫無意義。
    這是否就是說
    我所感知的現實毫無意義?
    我建議,
    作為一名認知科學家,而不是物理學家,
    我們應該將時空視為虛擬現實耳機。
    這是我們在生活遊戲中感知的方式。
    當您說時空時,
    您是指我現在用眼睛、耳朵和感官所感知的東西嗎?
    沒錯。
    即使這張堅硬的桌子
    也只是一個虛擬現實物體。
    而我們現在所處的整個環境
    也只是一種虛擬現實。
    而在這個耳機之外,
    存在一個完全可以供科學探索的現實。
    我們發現了一些東西,
    你可以稱呼它為方尖碑,
    是超越時空的幾何物體。
    自2010年以來,這一切都是全新的,
    大約就是那個時候。
    那麼你相信這些嗎?
    你相信我現在所經歷和看到的一切,
    基本上可以等同於我戴著虛擬現實頭盔,
    而且在虛擬現實頭盔之外,
    有其他的東西存在嗎?
    完全相信。
    因為我相信科學。
    我們的理論對時空的預測非常精準。
    現在,我總是必須小心
    我所說的與…的區別,
    而且我不想把話塞進物理學家的嘴裡。
    所以我所說的,
    我認為這是一種虛擬現實。
    這是霍夫曼的看法。
    這不是物理學,對嗎?
    你能把「時空」這個詞換成「現實」嗎?
    還是這不準確?
    我認為無論現實是什麼,
    時空只是它的一個微不足道的方面。
    現實中有比時空更多的東西。
    時空是所有現實。
    就像「俠盜獵車手」中的一個玩家,
    如果你所做的只是玩「俠盜獵車手」,
    而且你出生時就戴著頭盔,
    那就是你的現實。
    但是如果你是寫代碼的程序員,
    你知道運行「俠盜獵車手」的超級計算機,
    你就知道「俠盜獵車手」
    是一個自成體系的美好世界,
    但是在它之外,
    有一個完全不同的世界,
    與「俠盜獵車手」完全不相同。
    這是一臺超級計算機,
    裡面有二極體和電阻,
    以及正在切換的電壓。
    當某個人
    在轉動方向盤
    駕駛汽車時,
    他轉動方向盤時
    所發生的真正的事情
    是數百萬個電壓
    正在某個計算機中
    以特定的順序切換,
    而且必須正好
    是那個正確的順序
    才能讓事情正確運作。
    而正在轉動方向盤的那個人
    根本不知道
    發生了什麼。
    在「俠盜獵車手」中,
    有一個完全在你想像之外的
    整個領域。
    所以,
    如果你在「俠盜獵車手」中,
    你甚至可能不知道
    有關計算機
    和切換電壓的事情,
    所以你只知道
    我有一個方向盤
    和一個油門踏板
    還有街道
    和賽跑的人
    等等
    還有東西可以偷等等。
    但你沒有意識到
    有一個控制你的人偶大師。
    在幕後。
    所以,我認為
    時空
    只是一個非常有效的頭盔。
    對於任何不知道的人來說,
    「俠盜獵車手」
    是一個視頻遊戲,
    你基本上是在
    一個虛擬世界中四處跑。
    沒錯。
    你在這個世界中駕駛
    漂亮的豪華車,
    沒錯。
    所以,
    我現在所看到的一切
    都是我在這個世界
    我的世界中
    所做的投影,
    是為了幫助我
    生存下去。
    而我的大腦
    並沒有展示
    它認為不需要
    讓我看到的東西,
    因為那些東西
    不會對生存有利,
    因為它們在認知上,
    就像
    需要多少燃料
    和能量
    來處理
    和思考,
    它們在認知上
    是微不足道的。
    或者說
    花費我的認知
    能力去看那些東西
    對我來說
    會是低效的。
    這完全正確。
    對於很多人來說,
    我認為
    這是
    反直覺的,
    因為他們會說,
    看,
    進化是
    讓你適應,
    讓你能夠活得
    足夠長的時間,
    成功繁衍。
    而且進化肯定應該
    通過讓你
    看見真相
    來實現這一點。
    我的意思是,
    如果你看見
    真相,
    那麼你會更加
    成功地競爭
    在生活的遊戲中,
    比你不看
    真相的時候
    要成功得多。
    那麼你
    在說這種
    頭盔的胡說八道是什麼?
    這不是一個頭盔,
    這就是
    真相。
    我的意思是,
    進化應該塑造
    我們去看
    真相。
    而我認為
    這是大多數人
    會假設的。
    而實際上,
    在這一領域中,
    非常聰明的專家
    都這樣假設。
    而我建議
    事實並非如此。
    實際上,我們有
    相反的數學
    證據。
    如果你看看
    進化,
    達爾文說,
    看,
    我們需要
    考慮
    這些物種的
    逐漸進化,
    也許從
    非常、非常簡單的
    物種到
    更複雜的物種。
    那麼,
    是什麼驅動這種
    動態呢?
    達爾文建議
    是我們所說的
    生殖適應性,
    那些擁有物理
    特徵、感官系統、
    運動系統、
    移動系統的
    生物,
    使它們更有可能
    擁有
    後代並
    將後代養活到
    成熟。
    無論這些
    特徵是什麼,
    這就是我們
    將稱之為
    適應性。
    因此,你越适应,
    事實上是說
    你有多可能
    擁有並
    成功養活
    後代。
    所以達爾文這樣建議。
    而我認為他
    不一定必須
    說沒有
    上帝。
    只是
    如果有上帝,
    那不是上帝完美地創造出來的,
    而是進行了一個
    進化過程。
    是的。
    好吧,
    生物會適應
    它們的環境。
    它們事實上並不是
    在適應,但
    幸存下來的
    後代是
    那些最適應於
    環境的。
    沒錯。
    這是
    達爾文的思想。
    從推測的
    簡單生物
    逐漸進化到
    越來越複雜的生物
    以及
    眼睛等的
    多次進化,
    例如,
    頭足類的
    眼睛與
    人類的眼睛
    進化得不同,

    頭足類的
    眼睛得到了
    某些人類的
    眼睛所錯誤的
    東西。
    這是因為
    頭足類的
    眼睛位於
    不同的環境中,所以
    有不同的需求嗎?
    這可能是
    一個可能的
    原因。
    我實際上並不知道
    在頭足類的情況下,
    但那樣的想法
    絕對是可能
    發生的原因之一。
    另一個原因,
    它也可能只是
    一次意外,對吧?
    這裡涉及到
    概率,
    所以在某個
    時刻你會
    發生正確的意外,而
    人類則得到了顛倒的東西。
    所以你
    是在說
    達爾文在某些方面是錯誤的,
    或者他的
    理論中缺少了什麼。
    哦,不,
    我認為
    達爾文的,
    在生物學上,
    我認為
    達爾文的
    進化理論
    以及自然選擇
    在物種起源
    等科學理論中
    並沒有
    嚴重的
    競爭者。
    而我認為
    正是達爾文的理論
    及其
    數學公式
    也表明,
    我們所感知的
    並不是真相。
    根據達爾文的理論,
    我們的
    感官系統
    並不是
    為了顯示
    真相而形塑的。
    它們是
    為了讓你
    活得夠長
    以成功繁殖,
    就這樣。
    這就是
    達爾文理論
    所說的全部。
    我們大多數人
    認為這種進化
    過程的運作
    是確保你的
    感官告訴你
    外部現實的
    真相。
    我和同事
    發表了一些
    論文,顯示
    從數學上看,
    達爾文的理論
    根本不包含
    這一點。
    事實上,
    達爾文的理論
    聲明任何
    感官系統,
    如目光、
    耳聽、氣味、
    觸覺、味覺,
    有可能被塑造成
    真實看見
    任何客觀現實的
    可能性是零。
    所以根據
    達爾文的理論,
    你看見真相的
    任何方面的機率
    也是零,
    就這樣。
    你真正
    經歷到的是
    引導
    適應行為的
    感官系統。
    引導適應行為意味著
    它們讓你
    採取行動。
    所以你的眼睛、
    你的鼻子。
    你的眼睛,
    你的鼻子,
    對,你的
    眼睛和鼻子。
    它們引導你
    讓你
    行動的方式,
    以便你不會
    太快死去,
    並且能夠
    有孩子,
    不會死得
    太快。
    這就是
    全部的內容。
    我只是
    假設了一個
    情境,
    如果你移除
    我的眼睛,
    你移除我的
    耳朵和
    鼻子,以及
    我感知的能力,
    你知道的,
    溫度
    和其他事物,
    所有的感官。
    我在想,
    如果我是地球上
    唯一的人,
    而你移除了
    我所有的
    感官,現實
    會是什麼樣子?
    因為如果你
    移除了我的
    感官,現實
    在我
    意識中
    就不再存在,
    但這並不意味著
    什麼都不存在。
    我在想
    那種「不存在」
    會是什麼樣子。
    比如如果你
    想像一下
    抹去
    地球上的
    每一個人,
    只剩下你,
    然後我們移除了
    你的所有
    感官,那
    空間裡會有什麼?
    因為你說得對,
    我的
    感官,我的
    眼睛,我的
    耳朵,我的
    理解
    溫度的能力
    是我生存的
    副產品和結果。
    所以我在
    想這一點,
    我在想,
    如果我們
    考慮
    鬼魂和
    來世,
    也許從
    生存的角度來看,
    我甚至不需要
    能看到
    或承認的原因,
    也許這根本
    沒有幫助。
    也許實際上
    擁有這些
    會讓我受傷,
    因為處理
    所有這些信息
    會太認知上
    要求嚴格。
    所以任何能
    處理所有
    那些信息的人
    就不太好
    繁殖,因此
    他們就無法生存,
    因此他們
    就不會在這裡。
    所以也許我們當中
    在這裡的那些人,
    我們只是
    擅長於
    忽視其他維度。
    這是我們的
    數學所說的。
    我認為你的
    直覺是非常正確的,
    如果你關注的是
    任何其他
    事物,而不是
    讓你能有
    孩子的那一件事,
    那麼從一個
    進化的觀點來看,
    你就是在浪費時間。
    知覺是
    昂貴的。
    它需要消耗
    大量的卡路里。
    你必須吃
    很多食物來
    運行你的
    大腦,並為
    你的眼睛
    和耳朵供能,
    所以你需要
    做到
    一些簡化。
    你需要讓你的
    感官系統
    不消耗
    太多的
    能量。
    你的知覺系統
    越昂貴,
    你就需要
    吃得越多
    來為那些系統
    供能。
    所以這意味著
    你必須
    出去尋找
    食物,
    並讓自己
    面對危險。
    所以這是一種
    取捨。
    我們在進化中
    嘗試以
    低成本
    來處理事情。
    追求真相,
    你其實不需要
    追求真相,
    因為那是
    非常昂貴的。
    所以例如,
    有一些
    飛行的昆蟲
    需要在水中
    產卵。
    它們利用的
    技巧是,
    僅僅觀察
    來自水面的
    光的偏振。
    所以你在進化中
    所看到的就是
    我們擁有
    技巧和
    竅門。
    甚至人類
    也有
    技巧和
    竅門。
    例如,
    試圖
    找出
    某人是否
    具備
    繁殖能力。
    我無法
    實際查看你的
    DNA,然後
    說,好吧,
    他的基因序列是
    ACG和T,但他
    這裡有一個C,
    而那裡
    應該是T。
    我不能
    看你的DNA,
    那麼我該看什麼?
    我必須
    看你身體的
    一些特徵,
    你的聲音等等。
    最有說服力的
    論據之一就是
    我們並沒有
    如其所是地
    看待現實,
    而是只看到了
    我們需要看到的
    東西,以便
    生存。
    而當你
    看看,
    如你所說的,
    不同
    動物如何
    看世界時,
    這一點
    就更明顯了。
    你能舉一些
    其他不同的
    動物的例子
    嗎?它們
    是如何完全
    不同地看世界的?
    我一想到
    蝙蝠,我就覺得
    有趣。
    蝙蝠是如何
    看世界的呢?
    它們是否像我們一樣
    看顏色和
    物體?
    不,蝙蝠
    使用回聲定位。
    它們會發出
    非常高頻率的
    聲音波,
    然後它們有
    這些大耳朵
    捕捉響聲。
    僅僅看它們的感官
    系統就表明
    大多數以昆蟲為食的蝙蝠
    如你所說
    使用回聲定位。
    它們發出
    高頻率的聲音波,
    藉由傾聽
    反射回來的回聲
    來看見
    周遭的物體。
    沒錯。
    這給了它們某種
    音波地圖
    來幫助它們
    導航,
    有效地
    在完全黑暗中
    看見。
    所以你想像一下
    蝙蝠,如果
    蝙蝠坐在那裡,
    思考著
    它們理解
    現實的本質,
    而當它們的
    實際上只是
    聲音波
    回聲的地圖,
    我想,
    它們對於
    現實的感知
    與我們完全
    不同。
    因此,
    假設我們人類
    能如實看待現實
    是極為無知的,
    就像蝙蝠一樣,
    我們很可能
    已經適應了
    我們的環境,
    而擁有
    不斷發展
    的感官、
    眼睛、
    耳朵、
    觸覺,
    這些都幫助
    我們生存。
    我會贊同
    你的觀點,
    但我的一些
    同事卻不同意,
    他們會說
    人類要複雜得多。
    而且,你知道,
    蝙蝠等等,
    他們必然得有
    所有這些捷徑,
    他們並不
    如實看見現實。
    但我們
    進化得更遠,
    更接近
    真相。
    從我的角度來看,
    我看到的
    這張桌子
    和這個杯子,
    等等,
    不過是
    一種方便的
    虛構。
    無論現實
    是什麼,它
    與我所
    感知的完全
    不同。
    完全不同。
    在你2000年代
    的一個TED演講中,
    你談到了
    你進行的
    模擬,證明
    我想部分是證明
    我只是看到
    那些能幫助我
    作為一個生物、
    作為一個有機體
    生存的東西。
    你能簡單
    解釋一下
    那些模擬
    是什麼,以及
    它們證明了
    什麼嗎?
    是的,在我們的
    模擬中,這是
    在我們有
    定理之前,因此
    我們進行模擬
    只是想看看
    那些想法是否
    有效,而我們
    會在電腦中
    擁有人工有機體,
    因此這就像是
    我們組合的
    一個遊戲,
    我們會創建一個
    世界,讓一些
    有機體實際上
    看到那個
    世界的真實
    狀態,
    所以它們
    是“真相
    有機體”,然後
    我們會有其他
    有機體,它們
    只有一個
    耳機,一個
    界面,只能看到
    一些小信息,
    這些信息可以
    指引
    適應行為。
    這將
    幫助它們
    生存、繁殖。
    生存,是的,
    繁殖,沒錯。
    我們發現,在
    算法的廣泛
    條件下,
    看到真相的
    有機體會
    滅絕。
    它們無法
    與那些
    不見真相的
    有機體競爭,
    而從中得出的
    一個結論是,
    看見真相
    需要太多的
    時間和精力。
    看見真相是
    複雜的,
    如果你有個
    簡單的技巧,
    能讓你在
    不需要深入洞察
    的情況下做
    相同的事情,
    那麼
    你可以獲得同樣的
    好處,
    你可以獲得
    這種好處,
    而不需要付出
    所有努力。
    現在,我可以給
    你一個具體的
    例子,關於
    一種有機體,
    這個挺有趣的。
    有一種
    寶石甲蟲。
    它生活在
    澳大利亞的偏遠地區。
    它的表面凹凸不平,
    光滑且棕色。
    雄蟲會飛,雌蟲
    則不會飛。
    所以雄蟲當然會在
    四處飛翔,
    尋找合適的雌蟲。
    結果發現,
    偏遠地區的男性
    曾經一段時間
    在喝啤酒,這些
    瓶子也是凹凸不平、
    光滑且棕色的。
    他們把它們丟棄
    到偏遠地區,
    結果這些瓶子
    和寶石甲蟲雄性
    的光滑棕色
    剛好能吸引
    它們的注意。
    它們其實在
    瓶子上,
    完全接觸。
    它們在瓶子上
    爬來爬去,
    還是認為這是
    一隻雌蟲。
    那麼,它們對
    自己的女性
    了解多少呢?
    非常非常少。
    它們知道的
    關於雌蟲的,
    就是某種
    凹凸不平的、
    光滑的、
    棕色的東西。
    顯然,越大越好。
    這就是
    雌蟲的定義。
    所以,你可以看到
    進化並沒有賦予
    這些雄性甲蟲
    對雌性的深刻洞察。
    它們只被賦予
    足夠的信息,
    即可成功繁殖,
    就是這樣。
    這就是進化的
    某種方式。
    它給你足夠的信息,
    使你在死之前
    能繁殖。
    因此,它們都在
    與這個啤酒瓶
    交配,因為
    它們無法分辨,
    它們無法看見
    現實。
    它們無法看見
    這不是一隻女性,
    這是一個啤酒
    瓶。
    沒錯。
    這是一個
    關於進化的
    更幽默的例子。
    它在廉價上
    做事情,
    而這包括人類的
    感官系統。
    所以,這非常
    謙卑。
    我們並不是
    典範,而我們所認為
    的人類對於
    現實深刻真理的
    認知,只是我們的
    小耳機而已。
    我們的經歷
    和所知
    與任何現實
    相比,
    完全微不足道。
    我們對
    現實的了解
    是0%。
    順便說一下,
    我們的科學
    理論將始終
    解釋0%至於
    現實,因為它們
    必須做假設。
    每一個理論,
    科學理論,
    都必須做
    假設。
    因此,我們會有原則上
    無限的理論序列,
    並伴隨著
    不斷更深的
    假設,而
    我們將永遠無法
    觸及底部。
    由於這是一個
    無限序列,
    這意味著目前為止
    我們所擁有的一切
    是0%。
    所以,我是一名
    科學家。
    我完全支持
    科學。
    我鼓勵年輕人
    男女竄入科學。
    我認為這是
    一件很棒的事情。
    但請知道,
    我們所有的理論
    將理解0%
    的現實。
    你知道,人們
    經常談論
    他們的寵物或
    其他動物如何
    能看見
    另一維度。
    有時人們會說,
    我的狗開始
    對著這個吠叫,
    或我得了癌症,
    有犬類或動物
    能夠,
    他們相信,
    辨識出
    人類體內的
    某些疾病。
    而當你看看這些狗的
    感官能力時,
    狗能聽到
    高達65,000赫茲的
    頻率,
    而人類
    只能聽到
    高達20,000赫茲。
    狗擁有多達
    3億個嗅覺
    受體。
    人類只有
    500萬,而
    一些動物比如貓
    能看見不同光
    頻率的光。
    這確實引發
    一個問題。
    你知道,如果
    一種動物、
    一種有機體,
    能以不同的深度
    和寬度看世界,
    那麼如果你進一步
    會發生什麼呢?
    對,正是如此。
    有些可以
    檢測電場。
    比如一些魚能
    檢測電場。
    我相信一些鳥
    可以看到光的
    偏振。
    還有一些昆蟲,
    當然,利用光的
    偏振來找
    下蛋的地方。
    而我們無法做到這一點。
    所以,當我們開始研究其他動物時,我們會看到這些非凡的能力。這很有趣。所有這些對於如何理解一個人的生活的本質意味著什麼呢?因為我想,我們感知世界的方式會給我們帶來很多痛苦或快樂,這取決於我們如何看待它。那麼,有沒有什麼東西,來自你們所做的所有工作和寫的所有書籍,人們可以將其帶入自己的生活,以幫助他們在對世界的理解中過得更好呢?
    首先要注意的是,這個世界比你想像的要有趣和多樣得多。因此,如果你認為世界是一個無聊的地方,那並不是。你的想像力還不夠大。無論現實是什麼,它都超越了你可能想像的一切。靈性傳統通常都是這樣說的,生活中有比你在空間和時間中所見的更多的東西。還有超越它的東西。而我自己也以某種方式指向這一點。我所說的科學理論總是有假設。因此,你將會有無數的科學理論,而你永遠不會得到一個關於一切的科學理論。我在說什麼呢?有某種超越科學的東西。儘管科學是如此出色,但我在說,對於一切,不僅僅是我們不會有一個全部的理論,最好的理論將只是現實的零百分比。因此,這給了靈性傳統所談論的所有空間,存在著某種超越科學的東西。
    對於這一點,我認為有一種思考方式是非常發人深省的,這是關於科學和靈性之間的交集。我是一名科學家。我是誰?我是一個人,我是許多人的其中之一,其他科學家,可以創建理論,並在原則上不斷深入,這是一個無限的序列。那麼,能夠這樣做的我又是誰呢?我能想到的任何理論都不是對那個我最終的描述。換句話說,這個進行所有理論建構的我,是真正的我,是創建這些理論的我,並且徹底超越了這些理論。而這是一種靈性的觀點。那這意味著什麼呢?你是上帝嗎?這意味著不論你是什麼,都超越了任何描述。這正是許多人所說的上帝。
    假設我給你一些你從未嘗過的東西,比如一片薄荷。而實際上,我不知道薄荷對你來說的味道是什麼。我假設它對我來說的味道與你似乎相同,但我不知道。這被稱為通過指示性定義來學習。因此,我們有這樣一個遊戲,你的經驗就是你的經驗,而你其實並不需要其他人來獲得那些經驗。你所需要的只是我,或者你的父母,給你一個你已經知道的東西的名字。你創造了這個世界,而我們所做的就是告訴你如何與我討論你所創造的東西。我不知道你的世界在任何方面是否與我的經驗相似。這是非常有可能的。
    你認為我們是否有一些方式能夠讓自己痛苦、煩惱,甚至心理健康問題,因為我們對現實本質的感知?我們有可能,或許,我不知道,放棄或重新塑造自己,以擁有更充實、更感恩的生活經歷嗎?完全有可能。我認為這是非常,非常重要的。這是我們剛才談論的自然結果。幾乎我們所有人都將自己視為一個在時空中的物體,只在短暫的時間內存在,而我們很快就會死去。
    當我說你超越任何科學理論時,那意味著我只是一個160磅的時空物體的理論只是一個理論,它不是事實。那並不是關於我身份的真相。那只是一個我所擁有的理論。因為時空本身只是理論。在時空內的任何東西都不過是我對一個無限超越我可以經歷的現實的詮釋。
    有另一種方式你可以欣賞超越科學的東西,那就是,許多冥想傳統談論這一點,他們認識到你是無限超越任何科學或其他描述的。因此,在這種情況下,你該怎麼做來認識自己呢?你放下所有的描述。你靜坐在絕對的寧靜中,忽略任何思想,因為你認識到思想在這種狀態下是有用的,用來玩這個生命的遊戲。是的,我們需要思想來進行科學。如果你想了解我到底是誰,再次,我做心理學,我做所有的事情,我進行科學,因此我並不是貶低科學。我是一名科學家。但在某個時刻,如果你想理解超越這個描述的你是誰,那麼你必須放下所有概念,並單純地通過做自己來認識自己,而不是在你和你自己之間放置任何概念。
    一個故事。一個故事。一個身份。沒錯。沒有故事,沒有身份。你和你自己之間沒有任何東西。你通過靜坐在絕對的寧靜中做自己來認識自己,沒有概念。因為這樣你就放下了所有理論,現在是現實面對現實。沒有障礙在中間。而這需要你意識到你的身份,你所相信的故事,你所給自己貼上的CEO或社交媒體經理或經理或主任或部門負責人的標籤,這些所有的東西實際上只是一個個標籤。沒錯。這些只是你給的標籤。而現在有趣的是,如果我認為我只是這個小身體,我不過是這個身體,並且我的意識經驗不過是我的大腦所做的。那就是我的理論,這就是我所有的。那麼我就不會感到很重要。我可能會需要做些什麼來讓自己感覺好一點。
    我需要和你競爭。我需要展示在某種方面我比你更優秀。因此,我是一個比你更好的網球選手,或是我比你更聰明,或其他什麼。所以,我們在人與人之間會展開這種競爭,而我們在宗教、國家等方面也會有這樣的競爭,因為我們不知道自己是誰,感到不自信。如果我們真的理解我目前所見的一切,這些都是我隨興而造的。這杯子,只在我創造它的時候存在。這張桌子在我創造它時存在。就像在虛擬實境中。在虛擬實境裡,我在《俠盜獵車手》裡。我這邊看過去,現在我看到一輛紅色的野馬。我轉過頭去,就看不見那輛紅色的野馬。現在也就沒有紅色的野馬了。紅色的野馬只在我看著的時候存在,因為這是一個虛擬實境遊戲。當我需要它時,我才去呈現它。我在呈現一杯。當我所呈現的杯子不再存在了。你可能也會呈現你的杯子。你可能會說,喬恩,你錯了。杯子還在那裡。我能看到它。不,您是在呈現你的杯子,所以你並沒有呈現我的杯子。我呈現了我的杯子。所以在《俠盜獵車手》中也是一樣。你可能會說,即使你不在看,我仍然能看到那輛紅色的野馬,喬恩。好吧,那是因為在你的頭盔裡,你正在看著並呈現紅色的野馬,但我卻不是。而那裡根本沒有紅色的野馬。如果你查看超級電腦,那裡也沒有紅色的野馬。運行這個遊戲的超級電腦沒有紅色的野馬。所以我所說的是,我們互相競爭,感到不自信,感到需要與他人競爭並優於他們,而我們的自我、所有自我意識的東西,造成了世界上所有的問題,因為你不知道你是誰。你正在創造這整個東西。你不是一個小玩家。你是這整個事情的創造者。你不需要證明什麼,而且你不需要比任何人更優秀。他們也是大師級的創造者。他們也在創造整個他們所感知的宇宙。對我來說,你和我其實是同一個現實,只是通過兩個不同的頭盔、兩個不同的化身來看待自己,並進行對話。而也許這正是這個無限智能需要的,讓它以某種方式認識自己。如果你超越了任何描述,你怎麼認識自己?也許你所做的是,讓我試試這個頭盔。讓我嚴肅地對待這件事一段時間。甚至讓我自己迷失。讓我完全相信我只是這個時空中的喬恩·霍夫曼。讓我相信這樣幾十年,然後慢慢醒來。但至少那時我會從這個角度看到了自己。然後我會摘下那個頭盔。我們稱這為死亡。我們都會摘下頭盔。然後我會去嘗試。有無限多的頭盔可供嘗試。因此,從那個角度來看,任何你和之交談的人都是超越的。任何動物只是這種超越的、難以言喻的令人難以置信的現實的化身,這種現實超越了科學,以至於科學只會捕捉到它的0%。再者,我總是說,我不是在貶低科學。我是一名科學家。我們需要做科學。我建議人們從事科學。但我猜,這是一些較為瑣碎的頭盔。它只有四個維度。為什麼不20億個?為什麼不千億?這只是一個相對瑣碎的存在。因此,我們可能處於對我們是誰的最不有趣的視角之一。而我們可以採取的對自己更有趣的觀點還有很多。但我們之所以會有打鬥,之所以會有自我,是因為我們不知道自己是誰。那麼,有沒有可能讓我理解我自己是誰?或者最近你發現的最接近的就是冥想?我知道你冥想了20年左右。我應該說,我應該小心一點。我認為對我這個科學家來說,做我所做的科學真的很重要。但對於其他不從事科學的人,比如你從事音樂或某些運動的人來說,這是一種通過一種視角認識自己的具體方法。這真的很重要。由於我們有數十億人,還有無數的其他種類的動物和昆蟲等,這個無限的智能,無論它是什麼,已經決定要通過一隻蜜蜂的視角來看待自己,現在又是從一隻大黃蜂的視角,再到一隻連母蟲都分不清的鑽石甲蟲。我將從這一系列視角來看待自己。因此,你幾乎暗示著有這個單一的意識,它僅僅是利用不同的有機體作為載體來理解自己和現實的本質。是的。所以這意味著你和我都是同一個意識,但你在美國是作為一名科學家出生的,而我在博茨瓦納作為一名企業家出生,有著不同的視角來理解現實,這意味著我們基本上仍然是同一個意識,都是同一個超智能,僅僅是在不同的地方以不同的眼球顯現出來。這是我的看法。而某些宗教傳統確實暗示,幾乎是完全地說出這一點。你知道,像耶穌在基督教中,在馬太福音25章裡說,你們知道,我飢餓的時候,你們給我吃的;我口渴的時候,你們給我喝的;我做外國人的時候,你們迎接我;我生病的時候,你們幫助我;我被囚禁的時候,你們來看望我。人們,祂說,問祂,我們什麼時候做過這些事?祂說,無論你對最小的這些人做了什麼,便是對我做的。所以耶穌在某種程度上暗示著,這裡沒有區別。
    愛鄰居如同愛自己,原因在於你的鄰居實質上就是你,只是換了不同的頭盔。而我們之所以會有問題,是因為我們未意識到你有多麼不可思議。所以你創造了這個虛擬現實的模擬,裡面充滿了美麗與複雜性。所有的複雜性都是你,而你卻在毫不費力中完成這一切。
    現在,對於我的神經科學同事們而言,他們會說,唐,這可不是毫不費力。你的腦中有一百十億,確切地說是八十六億的神經元。視覺系統中有數十億的神經元在進行這些計算。我們有簡單細胞、複雜細胞、超複雜細胞。我們認為大腦是一個物理對象,正在產生我們的意識。我所說的時空本身是你創造的事物。因此,你在時空中創造了一切。我也創造了大腦。你是那個創造大腦的人。
    所以現在,你沒有大腦。什麼?我也沒有。好吧,說得在理。因為在我們實際查看並顯示出一個大腦之前,我們都不擁有一個大腦。就像在虛擬現實中一樣。當你不看它時,野馬根本不存在。我的預測是,如果我們進行正確的掃描,我們會看到一個大腦。但那只有在我們進行渲染時才存在。所以我沒有大腦。這些相關性,我們知道相關性並不意味著因果關係,對吧?所以事實上存在相關性,我並不否認。事實上,我非常贊成研究這些大腦活動與意識經驗之間的相關性。它們確實存在。這是無可否認的。而它們並不以任何方式意味著大腦造成了我們的意識經驗。
    因此,我不是大腦。我是那個模擬大腦存在的事物。對的,沒錯。因此,在你的模擬中,你的模擬如此出色,以至於它也模擬了超越時空的所有現實如何被引導到這個小小的時空頭盔中。這就是我們所稱的大腦。因此,當然,會出現大腦活動與我們所見之間的這些相關性。但是,這種相關性是相反的。這不是因為大腦創造了你的意識經驗,而是因為意識創造了大腦,作為描述它如何創造這個頭盔的圖標。
    你有想過模擬理論嗎?我最近在許多晚宴上進行了關於模擬理論的大量對話,這讓討論變得非常有趣。你對模擬理論有何看法?對於我那些可能不理解模擬理論概念的聽眾,你能解釋一下嗎?是的,所以標準的模擬理論,例如尼克·博斯特羅姆,是模擬理論中的一位重要人物。在這些模擬理論中,想法是你現在所看見的世界並不是實際的世界。這只是一個模擬。而且有一個程序員,假設他擁有一台非常好的電腦,編程出這個世界。因此,我們不過是某個程序員模擬世界中的角色。這位程序員和他正在使用的筆記本電腦,如今來看,並不是最終的存在,因為這位程序員和他的筆記本電腦也是從一個更深層次的程序員和他們的筆記本電腦中獲得的模擬。
    這可能有著非常非常大的巢狀結構,擁有所有這些模擬世界及其計算機。到某種程度上,這確實與我所說的相符。我所說的不是這個現實。這僅僅是一個頭盔。但這裡存在著重大分歧。你是否認為隨著AI和機器人技術的發展,將會出現一個時刻,我們能夠製造出一個機器人,並用某種AI來編程,使它具有人類相似的思維方式?然後當我將巧克力放入它的嘴裡時,它會對我說,嗯,我喜歡這巧克力,史蒂芬。這是我最喜歡的口味。我確實可以編程出這樣的機器人。但問題永遠是,僅僅因為我在計算機中擁有這個特定的電路,然後在它的舌頭上給它一些結構,以及某種電活動模式,我的科學理論是什麼,能解釋這個模式為何必須是巧克力的味道?這正是我們需要的。
    但這是你的自適應學習機制,它是通過所有數據學習而來的,透過某人告訴它,編程讓它認為那特定的化學物質,將其傳送至軟體,然後這樣反應,這可能只是我和你如何回應生活的方式。我們可能根本並不意識到。對,您所建議的可能就是我們實際上會這樣做。我們可能會訓練它,讓它在那種情境下給我們正確的反應。因此,我們可能會以那樣的方式進行。但作為科學家,我們想要理解。因此,作為科學家,我們宣稱一種經驗是某種因果結構或某種功能架構。這是我們所說的。因為這些都是物理主義理論,並且它們宣稱,我們不會從意識開始。意識並不是根本的。空間、時間和物理對象才是根本的。因此,我們需要展示這些物理對象及其屬性如何產生這些意識經驗。
    所以如果這是你想要提出的科學,那麼我必須以科學家的口吻直言不諱,告訴我你的薄荷理論。你認為這是一個模擬嗎?在博斯特羅姆的意義上,它不是一個模擬。在博斯特羅姆的意義上,它是一個模擬,因為它是一個物理基礎,產生了我所經歷的整個意識經驗的世界。而這一點我是駁斥的。就如同一個遊戲程序員坐在電腦前創造它。然而以某種方式,物理系統本身產生了我所經歷的紅色、綠色、愛等意識經驗的魔力。
    這是我對模擬理論的爭議所在。這個理論在其他方面與我的理論非常相似,但這是一個相當嚴重的爭議。為了讓他們的理論成立,他們必須明確地、科學地展示,如何從特定的程序中產生特定的意識體驗。在這之前,根本沒有任何實質性內容可談。因此,對我來說,他們的理論現在毫無起始之處,因為他們無法明確指出,這個程序必須是薄荷的味道。他們無法做到這一點。在他們能做到這一點之前,他們無法獲得我所生活的整個體驗世界。根本沒有。因此,根本沒有實質性內容。他們只需做的,就是像在整合信息理論中所說的,說出「這是薄荷的矩陣。」這就是矩陣。當然,我們隨後會問,為什麼?為什麼這個矩陣,這個因果結構是薄荷的味道?你們的科學理論是什麼,為什麼會這樣?而你會看到,我認為這個領域需要一段時間才能看到,但我們會發現這些方法是空洞的。根本沒有內容。
    當你問人們他們生活的意義是什麼時,他們經常會說一些像是:也許他們會說是為了養活孩子,或者他們想要改善人類,想要治療疾病,想要以某種方式幫助社會。但透過你所看到的現實鏡頭,和你相信的世界,生活的意義是什麼,唐納德?這是一個好問題。我確實認為我能提供的最佳描述是,這裡有一個超越的、無限的意識,而你我只是化身,蚊子也是,細菌也是,所有的存在都是同樣有趣和重要,都是不同的觀點,只不過是不同的耳機。這裡有蚊子的耳機,有寶蚌甲蟲的耳機,還有這些不同的耳機,而我在霍夫曼的耳機裡,正好從事科學,我不擅長藝術,不擅長音樂等等。我在我的耳機中有我特定的才華和無能。因此,我在這裡體驗唐·霍夫曼對事物的看法。為什麼呢?因為這也許是無限自我認識的唯一方式,就是透過無限多的觀點。它超越了任何特定的觀點。那麼,為什麼不迷失於霍夫曼的觀點、寶蚌甲蟲的觀點以及所有這些不同的觀點呢?這是唯一知道自己的方法,但始終是那個意識透過無限多的變化、經驗和耳機認識自己。
    難道有人或某物創造了那個意識嗎?現在這超出了我的能力範圍。這當然是正確的問題。它需要一個解釋。我們唯一的解釋要麼是數學的,要麼是科學的,或者兩者兼而有之。唯一真正深入的可驗證性。然而,即使是非正式的解釋也會做出假設。所以我必須說,你在詢問一個超越任何描述的實體,亦即你真正是誰,我真正是誰。我認為你可以在某種方式上知道你問題的答案,那就是放下所有概念,僅僅與你的存在同在。你就是那個。你就是那個。你不需要獲得任何東西。你不需要達成任何目標。你現在就是那樣。因此,沒有努力的必要,也不需要在任何方面變得更好。只是要認識到你已經是什麼。你讓自己受制於一種錯覺,認為自己只是那個需要做這些事情的小人物,比如當教授等等。 我曾經在那種錯覺中。我看到了自己透過那個鏡頭。然後我開始醒來,看到我完全超越了它。那是一個有趣的觀點。我很高興我認真對待它。我將會放下那個耳機。我們稱之為死亡。但我會很快摘掉那個耳機,因為那不是我。我超越了那個。因此,答案是你可以知道它,但當你放下所有的概念並且不去嘗試的時候,你就知道了。如果你試圖抵達某個地方,那麼你就看不見你已經是什麼。這是我目前能給出的最好答案,因為它確實超越了科學。
    至於神,像我們在宗教背景中所相信的神,最好的答案是,我們實際上就是神,即我們所指的神。我們是超越描述的超越力量。對的。是的,我會這麼說。我能用某種基督教的語言來表達,因為很多聽眾會是基督徒。一個人的孩子就是人。聖經稱我們為神的兒女。如果一個人類的孩子是人,那麼神的孩子就是神。這正是它所指向的。而耶穌對此相當明確。當一些宗教領袖準備石刑耶穌,因為他說他是神的兒子時,耶穌引用了經文,說:「在詩篇中,我曾說你們是神,並且你們都是至高者的兒子。」耶穌說,如果他稱那些得著神的話的人為神,那麼你們為什麼要因為我只是說我是神的兒子而想要致我於死呢?聖經基本上所說的是,用你全心去愛神,就是愛自己。你就是神。而愛你的鄰居如同愛自己,只是在認識到你的鄰居在另一個化身下就是你自己。你認為耶穌在某種意義上真的神聖嗎?我假設你認為這是一個真實的個體,而你認為他在某些方面超越了我和你嗎?不超越我和你,但你是可以達到的最神聖的狀態。非常感謝。我會剪下那段話,放到我的LinkedIn上。霍夫曼這麼說。是的。你的神聖就是這樣。霍夫曼說,我正好是我能達到的最神聖的狀態。
    有些事情是,你一定要去理解的,如果你透過我們所看到的這個鏡頭理解現實,那麼我們所看到的實在是太少了,而其中很多都是我們自己創造的,我們就是那超越的存在。你在日常生活中是否有一些因為這樣的觀點而顯得不尋常的事情,或者是你有的想法或經歷,因為這種視角而顯得不尋常的?
    在我自己生命中的確是與以往不同了。我現在花了相當多的時間在冥想上,因為儘管我很享受思想的生活,我是一名教授,這些年來教過許多學生,我非常推薦所有這些東西,但有一點我意識到,我所有的知識,所有可能的科學知識實際上是現實的0%。我真的想把自己限制在現實的0%內嗎?我想從這種觀點探索現實,但它確實是0%。所以,我做好我的功課,也鼓勵我的學生多做功課,認真對待這一視角,嚴謹地研究它,但也要意識到還有100%的現實是你沒有看到的,而你正是那100%。
    於是你進行很多迷幻藥的實驗之類的。我並沒有使用任何迷幻藥。你從來沒試過迷幻藥?我從來沒有,甚至沒有抽過一根煙,幾十年來也沒有喝過酒。所以,我,其實部分原因是因為我身體虛弱。我的身體素質不是很好。我有自己的極限,嗯,我不能過於強迫我的身體。因此,我學會了在自己的極限內運作,而不會過度施壓,但我還是在冥想。
    我沒有記錯的話,你現在每天冥想三到四個小時?大概是的,對。從中出現了什麼啟發或理解,我可能能夠理解的?我在科學工作中產生的任何創意,不論它具體有多創新,都是來自於靜默。所以當然,我必須做我的功課,進行研究等等,但新的思想是來自於靜默。
    就個人而言,我看到的一件事情是我和我的化身的關聯。我認為我就是這個身體。我確實很依賴這具身體。而在情感層面上,我所說的,情感深處有一部分我根本不相信這一切。就情感而言,你把槍指著我的頭,我會嚇得要死。從智力上講,我會告訴你,這只是一個化身。我是那無限的超越者。因此,當我死去時,我只…而我相信這一點。我究竟相信得有多深?把槍指著我的頭,你就會知道。我會尿褲子。
    對於我來說,觀察這些事情,看到我世界觀中的所有不協調之處,真的是非常有趣。嗯,這似乎有點道理,對吧?根據你的理論,我們的感官進化是為了幫助我們生存,因為如果有人不喜歡你的想法或理論,或者拒絕你,甚至傷害你的身體,那會妨礙你的生存。
    所以理論上,若我們所處的世界正如你所描述的一樣,這種現實基本上是為了生存而設計的,那麼你會發展出一些感官,讓你在別人不喜歡你的時候改變行為。沒錯。確實有社會壓力,如果我們不遵循它們,你會得到非常、非常負面的反饋,在某些情況下甚至會導致死亡。如果我去超市,沒有付款就把東西拿走,最終會被關進監獄。這些都是遊戲的規則。這些都是頭盔的規則。我超越了頭盔,但我選擇讓自己迷失在這遊戲中。
    自2020年1月起,你在某種意義上確實有一把隱喻的槍對著你的頭,因為你感染了COVID,並經歷甚至仍在經歷一些由於長期COVID引起的相當嚴重的健康併發症。你在幾周內出現了心臟問題,這需要在醫院接受數百小時的重症護理。你在我們開始錄音之前告訴我,你已經做了兩次心臟手術。是的。在2021年,66歲的時候,某一時刻你認為自己可能無法倖存,因為你的心跳在30小時內達到了每分鐘190次,你給你的妻子發了一條告別信息,因為看起來一切都結束了。
    對。我在想這次與死亡的接觸對你的生命觀和觀點造成了什麼影響,以及這一切如何與你對現實本質的信念相聯繫。它讓我清晰地意識到自己是多麼依賴我的身體,以及我所經歷的恐懼。對我來說,坐在這裡作為一名優雅的學者,談論你是那超越性現實是件事。讓你的心臟衰竭,知道這可能是結束,面對真實的情感又是另一回事。
    所以我有了一個深層的問題,然後我不得不做第二次手術。第一次手術讓我住院了一年半左右。這位很棒的外科醫生不是他的錯,他做得很好。但你知道,COVID是頑固的。在第二次手術前的一周內,我去急診室三次,他們不得不重新啟動我的心臟。我不知道自己是否能撐下去。我不得不去讓我的心臟重啟,然後兩天後再回去讓心臟重啟,我只是希望能活著等到手術。
    即使現在,我也不會驚訝如果心臟再次出現問題。這使我們脫離了抽象的學術領域,進入了非常具體的事物。你如何面對這種事實:你真的不知道下一次心跳會是什麼?這讓你無法單純地抽象地談論這些事情,並真正面對它。我究竟對此有什麼真實的感受?當我向內看時,看到其中有真正的恐懼,那麼我知道,好的,這些關於你是無限的和其他人都是無限的,對你來說仍然相對是一個抽象的概念,唐。你還沒有真正深入。
    你需要更深入地思考,實際上,如果這是真的,我的意思是,也許這一切都是胡說八道,對吧?但是如果你是無限的,還有其他人也是無限的,那你就需要更深入地探討這一點。在智力上,我是相信的。我的意思是,我已經給了你理由。在智力上,我是相當堅信的。令我感到非常有趣的是,在情感上,我遠未得到說服。我同意你剛才所說的有關演化的論據,這裡有很好的演化理由讓我自動產生情緒反應,這些反應會保護這具身體,保持它的安全。所以毫無疑問。那麼,當我面對這種恐懼反應時,問題是我能否去看它並接受它,或者我是否認同它?我是否認同這種恐懼反應,還是我能夠退後,成為觀察者,來觀察這種恐懼反應?在冥想的過程中,我在學習的事情是,在某種意義上,我所說的關於科學的東西。科學是偉大的,但不要相信任何理論。理論只是工具,它們不是事實。沒有科學理論,包括我的理論,並不是真理。因此,我關於我自己是誰的理論也不是事實。真正放下任何理論,如果我能真正放下任何我自己是誰的理論,那我就能放下任何恐懼。這真的歸結於這一點,這真的非常有趣。我們每個人都會死。這是不可爭辯的。因此,我對這個世界的任何依戀都會結束,毫無疑問。問題是,我能否現在放下這些依戀?還是它們只能從我冰冷的、死去的手中奪走?我將在什麼時候放下這些依戀?如果在某種程度上,雖然我不是專家,但在我能夠放下的範疇內,我看到更平靜。放下對事物的依賴會帶來更多的平靜。所以我看到這一點,但我還沒有到達那裡。這是一種非常人性化的,十分貧弱的看法,這非常有趣。因此,我聲稱我是無限的,而我是以這種肉體形態存在的無限。在某種意義上,我在醒悟我真實的自我,但我只是部分清醒。我在12歲時開始了我的第一筆生意。在14、15、16、17和18歲時又創辦了更多的企業。在那個時候,我沒有意識到,身為一個沒有資金的創辦人意味著我還必須身兼市場營銷、銷售代表、財務團隊、客戶服務和招聘等職位。但如果你今天要創辦一個企業,幸好有一個工具可以為你兼任所有這些角色。今天的贊助商是 Shopify。由於它的所有AI集成,使用 Shopify 感覺就像從第一天開始你就雇了一整個增長團隊,負責撰寫產品描述、網站設計和增強產品圖像。更不用說你預期由 Shopify 處理的部分,比如運輸、稅務和庫存。如果你想開始你的業務,請訪問 shopify.com/bartlett 並註冊每月1美元的試用計劃。那是 shopify.com/bartlett。那麼當我們死去時,在你的觀點中,這是否等於脫下頭盔?完全正確。因此,當我們死去時,我們脫下頭盔。對,我假設意識仍然存在。對的。那么,死後我會怎樣?我會浮起來進入天堂嗎?我會進入一棵樹嗎?還是我會變成一隻昆蟲?那個意識會怎樣?它會是這個嗎?還是這只是一堆標籤和故事?當然,答案是我不知道。但我會推測。既然我說我不知道並保持誠實,我會推測。我懷疑,我能夠最接近這一點的,是冥想時的狀況。當我真正放下,並且非常非常安靜,眼睛閉上時,會有一種意識,這是一種非常警覺的意識,非常非常清醒。而且它沒有內容。沒有顏色,沒有味道,沒有氣味。沒有內容。也沒有需求。這是一種能夠瞬間創造這一切的意識。而且它可以放下。因此,接近答案的最好方式就是靜坐。這是困難的,因為思緒會不斷涌現。放下所有的思緒是很困難的。但當你做到這一點時,我認為這是我能夠給出對你問題的最接近的答案。我們花了很多時間辯論這位神是否真的存在,或者這件事是否真實,或者星座是否真實,或者這種信仰是否真實,或者因果法則、達摩或輪迴。在你的觀點中,是否有些無知在於將某件事設置為真或不真,因為,你知道,人們處於光譜的不同側面。有些人堅定地宗教信仰,而另一些人則堅定地無神論。對,對,對。我認為,當然,就像在科學中,有某些事情簡直就是無稽之談。事實上,大多數你隨意提出的東西,比如我對電的理論或我對原子的理論,簡直就是無稽之談,沒有任何意義,根本不值得花時間。因此,我懷疑在精神領域也是真的,因為我們對理論的約束更少。但我認為有幾個指導星。如果它涉及以愛待人如己,你就走在正確的路上。如果它涉及在我們和他人之間設立障礙,並說他們是壞的,我們是好的,那麼你可能走錯了路。這對於悲傷意味著什麼?當前,有很多人正在失去摯愛,或者正在面對將失去摯愛的現實。
    愛的本質意味著什麼?
    這,嗯,是否減少了愛的某些東西?
    是否增添了愛的某些東西?
    是否加強了愛?
    嗯,我想在某種意義上,愛是核心的東西。
    而且,在基督教中,耶穌,我提到這一點是因為,我父親是一名牧師,
    這是我成長的環境。
    所以我對於這方面了解最多。
    所以我只是說出我的背景。
    當耶穌被問到,什麼是最重要的事情?
    他基本上說,要全心全意地愛上帝,要如同愛自己一樣愛鄰居。
    所以,愛是第一位的。
    我猜這真的是你所需要的全部。
    如果你的宗教是愛,那就是這樣,這就是你的行為,你不需要再添加其他東西。
    這就是你真正需要的。
    愛你鄰居,如同愛自己。
    這樣就夠了。
    這就是你所需要的全部。
    而任何超出這一點的地方都是不必要的。
    而任何與這相矛盾的,我會回去想想我在宗教上哪裡出錯了。
    當我遇到我的女朋友梅蘭妮時,我一直在問她,因為在她的Instagram簡介上寫著,上帝就是愛。
    現在,她並不宗教性信仰。
    是的。
    她不相信某本特定的書或什麼的。
    但是,當我問她,實際上,有趣的是,我們昨晚有過這個對話。
    我對她說,你認為上帝是什麼?
    她說,我覺得上帝就是愛。
    我完全同意。
    她再一次正確,真讓人驚訝。
    不,我認為,愛是我們能夠用來指向的一個最接近的詞。
    再說一次,它只是個指標。
    無論愛是什麼,就像“薄荷”這個詞只是指向薄荷。
    “愛”這個詞只是一個指向,但我認為它是我們最好的指標。
    愛。
    那“愛”這個詞的定義是什麼?
    因為,你知道,人們用“我愛曼聯”這句話,但你描述的愛似乎更多是關於一種合一。
    基本上,這確實是認識到那個人,即使他們擁有不同的顏色、不同的種族、不同的信仰、不同的想法,那也是我。
    那是我在另一種心態下。
    當我真心這樣想的時候,我會問自己,我想要怎麼對待自己?
    我得到了正確的答案。
    那就是愛。
    如果那是我,我會怎麼對待我?
    好吧,當你得到正確的答案時,當你這樣做時,你就是在以愛的方式行事。
    你不會自責。
    你不會給自己起名字。
    你不會叫自己什麼。
    你會以你想要對待自己的方式對待自己,然後以同樣的方式對待他人。
    這就是愛。
    但最終,我認為,這些都只是指標。
    愛的本質最終超越了任何描述。
    你相信嗎?我之前有點問過你這個問題,但我剛剛在查看一些
    有關那種近似死亡經歷的研究,特別是當你出現心臟問題時,人們似乎會說他們有過聽到或看到某些事物的感知,或進入某種隧道,或看到某種光明,或有非常積極的情感。
    是的。
    我想知道,如果在你生活的某個時候,你認為自己活不下去了。
    如果是的話,根據你所知道的,這是否增加了你對這些近似死亡經歷的信念,認為有人正從這種現實中過渡出來,透過摘下耳機。
    就像,他們幾乎摘掉了一部分耳機,但並不是完全摘掉的。
    然後他們又回到了耳機上。
    所以,這些非常常見的近似死亡經歷,光和隧道,也許是生活回顧,然後選擇回來的事情等等。
    這是相當、相當常見的。
    我不會,完全不會輕視它們。
    我的意思是,這很難獲得科學證據。
    如果有一項研究是針對那些確實出現心臟停搏的人進行的,例如,這些人被復甦,然後詢問有多少人沒有這種經歷。
    我的意思是,如果我們有一個系統性研究來這樣做,我們就不想被某些數據的某些部分所欺騙,對吧?
    所以,你可以看到,雖然我談論著放下概念,進入未知,但當涉及到我們應該做科學的事情時,我就非常、非常堅定,並且說,這裡需要做研究。
    而且,有些,我認識一些心臟病學家,我不會提名字,但他們看過很多這種現象,並且他們對自己的非正式經歷深信不疑,認為這裡有事情發生,所以我,我對此沒有任何意見,我,覺得他們可能在某些方面有了新發現。
    所以我不懷疑它,但這與擁有科學是不同的。
    為什麼我們在這樣的現實中受苦?為什麼這種超越的力量會創造出最終遭受痛苦的生物或觀點,最終進入最糟糕的地方,集中營、疾病、傷寒、飢餓?為什麼這樣的超越力量或意識會做這種事?所以,我將試著不談得太淺,但痛苦就是痛苦,死亡就是死亡,某些死亡似乎是可怕的。這是一個深奧的問題。我總是覺得我在冒著變得平淡的風險,因為任何經歷過嚴重痛苦的人都知道,你就是,無法輕視這些事情。當你處於那種痛苦中,沒有恐懼時,這是,這是,我認為,最終,它可能就像你在視頻遊戲中所受到的傷害。你受到傷害,你的角色被擊殺,你在那一刻感到不安,因為你正在失去比賽,但然後遊戲結束了,你,然後你就會沒事了。
    最終,你很好。但那段經歷,我可以說,我不想再經歷那種事。令人震驚的是,在基督教中,上帝最深刻的象徵是可怕的,十字架上的釘死。這完全是,痛苦的,它不是像被槍打到頭那樣的輕微傷害。這是將痛苦表現得如此劇烈、如此漫長、如此可怕的方式。這,這,這就是,當你看到十字架時,這正是你問題的核心。它將那個放在這裡,並說這是你能想象的,或許是最可怕的死亡方式。這就是耶穌所經歷的。這是我們對神性最深刻的象徵。因此,這就是為什麼,你知道,這不是微不足道的。這不是膚淺的。那裡面有非常非常深的東西。我們都不會自願去上十字架。我也不會自願去上十字架。因此,我會說,你問題的挑戰是對我們所有人來說,有可能是非常深刻的靈性挑戰。對我個人而言,這挑戰是要持續成長,與這個頭套的認同感越來越少,而越來越意識到我的超越存在。因為最終,即使在十字架上,我的意思是,也許我在基督教中所見過的最深刻的事就是耶穌在十字架上的話,他說:“父啊,饒恕他們,因為他們不知道自己在做什麼。”對,基督教的核心就在那裡。基督教的心臟並不是要殺死不信者。不是,基督教的核心是這些不信者把你釘在十字架上。他們以你能想象最糟糕的方式殺死你,而你卻向他們表達愛。這就是基督教的核心。你把愛展示給那些正在以他們所能想象的最糟糕方式殺死你的人。這是基督教的核心。而不是殺死不信者或推開不信者或低估他們。那是相反的。所以這就是為什麼我在回答你的問題時非常非常慢。因為這涉及到基督教的深層核心,我認為,也涉及到所有真正的靈性,我不認為我真正理解。因此,我看到這些指向它的線索,我看到這是真的,而你的問題指向一個非常深刻和重要的事情。我有這種感覺,我的回答只是無效地指向了一部分路徑。它有比我能指出的更多的內容。我在冒險猜測,嗯,我在冒險猜測痛苦和苦難在這樣一個現實中可能扮演的角色,在這樣一個意識為超越的事物,並以這些有機體的方式顯現出來。我想,這部分去回應你那個想法,我只透過我的頭套投射出我需要看到的東西以求生存。所以如果在我的頭套中有一些生存動力,那麼生存的一個元素就是痛苦,因為火是熱的。所以我把手放進火裡,我的手會燒傷自己。所以,Steve,別再這樣做了。對。因此,如果這是我的頭套的本質,那麼必須在與幫助我生存和不利於我生存的事物之間存在因果關係。是的。因此,苦難可能只是這個頭套中有助於我生存的一種輸入或刺激。對,然後,我不知道,浮現在我腦海中的問題是,為什麼意識關心生存?為什麼這種超越的意識,或許這甚至不是一個好的問題,或許這是錯誤的問題,但為什麼它想要在我們之中生存?為什麼意識不會結束?我同意。我聽過一位靈性導師Eckhart Tolle所說的有趣的一點,他在其中一次談話中說:“讓我們假裝我們是人類。”他說:“哦,這會很有趣。讓我們玩一些戲劇。” “哦,但要有戲劇,我必須忘記我是誰。” “好吧,那就讓我徹底忘記我是誰。”然後,幾百千年後,當我厭倦了時,讓我們醒來。“我認為那是一個深刻的指向。這雖然不能涵蓋整個事情,但它是一個有趣的指向。我認為這其中有更多的東西,但這不僅僅是表演戲劇。我認為這是通過知道我不是誰來進一步探索我自己。我是通過知道不同的視角,知道這種視角的豐富性,我超越了這一點。有人在你最近的一個影片下評論:“想像一下,成為一本書中的角色,試著理解如何從那本書中走入更高的維度。”是的,這是正確的。但當然,這是一個非常好的問題。我唯一想說的是,想像一下成為那本書的作者,寫下角色,因為我不僅僅是書中的一個角色。我是將角色放入書中的作者,然後醒來,認同這個角色,然後醒來意識到我不僅僅是那個角色。我正是在寫整本書。所以,那個問題是好的,因為它指出了一種誤解。我不僅僅是書中的一個角色。我是這本書的作者。而霍夫曼只是書中的一個角色。而這本書的作者是?那是一個當它真的理解自己時,會平等愛所有角色的唯一意識。你怎麼知道我們不是獨立的意識?我不知道。這是一個有趣的問題,順便說一句,我有一個意識的數學模型,這是另一個話題。因此,你可以在這裡玩這個遊戲。我們正在理解物質世界與意識之間的關係。這兩者是如何相關的?我大多數同事說物質世界是基本的。
    意識在明亮的大腦活動中出現。
    例如,當神經元以正確的方式發火時。
    作為一名科學家,我參加了這些會議。他們知道我會怎麼對待他們。我說:
    「所以你們聲稱意識體驗來自於整合的信息。給我一個。
    給我一個經驗。」而他們無法做到。
    他們不能說,「好吧,我現在正在四處觀望,這是來自我大腦中的神經元,這是一種物理基質嗎?」
    嗯,是的,他們會這樣說。但他們知道我在問什麼。我問的是,我說,
    給我必須是薄荷味的特定神經活動模式。
    好吧,對。所以你…
    必須,它必須是薄荷的味道。
    他們無法指出導致我品嘗薄荷的神經序列或物理互動。
    沒錯。
    所以,這裡有一個大缺口。
    然後他們必須解釋為什麼是這個特定的模式。首先,他們必須確定模式。
    這個模式。
    是的。
    這個,比如說,整合的信息模式必須是薄荷的味道。
    通過整合的信息模式,你是指這些事物的組合導致薄荷的味道。
    沒錯。
    他們無法告訴我這個組合,也無法告訴我為什麼這個組合……
    會導致薄荷的味道。
    所以基本上是因果關係。他們在說,有什麼發生了,
    然後他們說一個結果,這是一個經驗,但中間的缺口,他們無法解釋。
    沒錯。有時他們會說意識體驗就是
    動態,或者無論什麼物理動態。
    好吧。
    但即便如此,問題是,為什麼這個特定的動態與這個意識體驗相關聯?
    好吧。
    基於原則的原因。在科學中,我們不容忍任何廢話。
    沒有廢話。必須有具體的理由。因此,我在會議上打了個大零。我知道自己是會議上為數不多的非物理主義者之一。
    我知道物理主義者在那裡,我說,你們有零,對吧?
    我有機會。地板是開放的。告訴我我錯了。
    而我沒有。他們知道的。所以從意識開始。
    是的。
    現在,我在玩另一場遊戲。我在講所有這些物理的東西。
    所以有很多物理的東西,有空間和時間。愛因斯坦的特殊理論和廣義相對論。
    有所有的玻色子、費米子和輕子,以及粒子物理學的標準模型中的玻色子和夸克。
    你們在說,靈性的人們,你們可以從意識理論開始,數學上,
    你們會給我所有的時空方程。你們會給我量子場論。
    你們會給我粒子物理學的標準模型。
    你們在板上得了多少分,夥伴們?你們做了什麼?
    你能告訴我什麼樣的意識代理活動模式必須是一個光子?
    什麼樣的意識活動模式應該是時空結構或玻色子、輕子或夸克?
    板上沒有分數。所以你可以從那個角度來看,這是平等的。兩邊的板上都沒有分數。
    我有一個理論,我稱之為意識代理網絡理論。我正在和蔡坦·普拉卡什一起研究這個。
    你們已經研究了多久了?
    你有一本叫《觀察者力學》的書,出版於1989年。所以我已經在這方面工作了 почти 40 年。
    你認為你會找到什麼?你認為你會用你的意識理論證明什麼?
    我認為我們可以在以下方面得分。我認為我們可以從意識代理的理論開始。
    我上次星期五發表了一個演講,我們提出了光是什麼。我們提出了為什麼光速在所有慣性參考系中是相同的。
    這意味著什麼?你得為我這個16歲的腦袋簡化一下。
    對,對,對。所以如果我在一列火車上,火車以每小時50英里的速度行駛,而我扔出一個球,我可以以每小時20英里的速度扔出球,那麼從某種意義上來說,這個球在以每小時70英里的速度飛行,對嗎?
    這就是事情通常的運作方式。但是如果我有一個手電筒,而我閃的時候,光是以每秒約186,282英里的速度在運行。
    那相當快。
    如果我上火車,並在火車上以接近光速的速度移動。我真的很快。這是一輛快速的火車。
    然後我打開我的燈。在這裡之外,我看到火車以光速的一半行駛,而有人開啟了手電筒,所以光是以光速行駛的。
    那束光對我來說看起來有多快?因為我站在旁邊,火車已經以光速的一半在行駛。
    那束光的速度會有多快?
    是光速加上光速的一半?
    這是我們通常會想到的,對吧?結果證明,不,它的速度是光速。
    如果你有質量,並且你不是以光速移動,我們試圖推動你去光速,你永遠無法到達那裡。
    但是有一個速度限制。你不能到達那裡。
    所以這真的很違反直覺,對吧?
    但愛因斯坦說,這是我將要建立我的時空理論的基本假設,
    就是不論你以多快的速度移動,光始終以光速從你那裡移動。
    而且還有,沒有特別的觀察者。我們所稱的,沒有特殊的慣性參考系,但沒有任何特殊的參考框架可以用來觀察事物。
    所有框架都是平等的。
    那麼問題是,我如何從意識代理的理論開始?
    那是什麼?
    那是一個好問題。那麼什麼是意識代理?
    我會說它是數學性的,我會只談其中一個方面。這很複雜,所以我只談一個基本的部分。
    也就是說,如果你是有意識的,你就有經驗。像我一樣,我可以體驗,保持簡單。
    我可以體驗顏色,紅色、綠色、藍色。
    保持非常非常簡單。
    所以我會想像一個非常非常簡單的有意識的代理,這個代理能做的就是體驗三種顏色,紅色、綠色和藍色。這就是它能做的全部。
    像我一樣?
    對,當然,你有更豐富的意識經驗,但你也包括這種觀察者,對吧?
    當然。
    因為你可以體驗紅色、綠色和藍色。
    現在我會談到另一個只看到紅色和綠色的觀察者。
    對。
    現在你不僅僅看到一種顏色。你會看到一種顏色一會兒,然後再看到另一種顏色。
    所以我一會兒看到紅色,然後看到綠色,再看到藍色,也許我再回到紅色或者其他顏色。
    所以我看到的顏色會有這個序列,也許我能說的是,如果我現在看到綠色,那麼我下次看到紅色的機率是20%,看到藍色的機率是80%。
    所以我可以寫下概率。
    嗯,那樣相當簡單吧?
    有顏色、經驗,然後有一些概率,知道如果我看到這個經驗,我的下一個經驗會是什麼。
    我使用C作為一個通用術語,對嗎?它可以是聽到或嗅到或者其他。
    你如何用數學來捕捉這個?有東西叫做馬爾可夫核,馬爾可夫矩陣,基本上,它給你提供所有的數字。
    第一行的數字,然後說,如果我現在看到紅色,我下次看到紅色的機率是多少?
    我下次看到綠色的機率是多少?我下次看到藍色的機率是多少?
    所以你只是把這些數字寫出來。也許我再次看到紅色的機率是0.2,看到綠色的機率是0.4,再看到藍色的機率是0.4。
    藍色,我無法。然後下個顏色,你知道,我會有另外一行,如果我現在看到綠色,看到紅色、綠色和藍色的機率是什麼,最後當看到藍色時,轉到紅色、綠色和藍色的機率是多少。
    所以我需要九個數字。這僅僅是對於三種顏色,我需要九個數字來談論所有的可能性。
    然後我會再有一個計數器。
    所以每次我看到一種新顏色,我就會有一個小計數器。
    所以我現在看到紅色,那是一次。
    哦,現在我看到綠色,那是二。
    現在我再次看到綠色,那是三。
    所以我在計數顏色、經驗。
    這就是我要討論的全部。
    這就是我擁有的全部。
    問題是,如果我只從觀察者的概念開始,那麼它具有顏色和概率矩陣。
    如果我看到這種顏色,我可以看到另一種顏色。
    機率是多少?
    每次我看到一種新顏色,我的計數器就會增加。
    這就是我開始的全部。
    我能得出愛因斯坦的結論嗎?我能得出光速在所有慣性參考系中都是相同的嗎?
    也就是說,如果我在火車上閃燈,閃一下燈泡,即使對於一個在以光速一半的速度行駛的火車上的人,它也會以光速行駛嗎?
    我在過去的三、四個月才發現,答案是可以的。
    這就是我上週五在這個會議上所提出的。
    那麼這對意識的本質意味著什麼?
    這意味著從一個超越時空的意識理論開始,我實際上可以準確地給出時空的結構。
    這意味著你的信念是,空間和時間,以及我看到和體驗的一切其實都來自於意識本身。
    所以意識本身就是一切的來源。
    一切,你沒錯。
    所以我的意識不是來自我的大腦。
    沒錯。
    我的大腦是來自我的意識。
    這正是我所說的。
    我們談過耳機。
    對。
    我在做的是我在構建耳機。
    我在說這裡是那些有意識的代理,他們的動力學,現在我開始構建時空耳機。
    是否擔心相信這些事情會讓人發瘋?
    我有時覺得,非常深入地思考我們是誰,我們為什麼在這裡,我們是怎麼來到這裡的,有時會讓我,我不知道,像是失去了一些方向感,感到有點搖晃。
    就像當我談論模擬理論和這是一個大型視頻遊戲之類的時候,我會想,這似乎顛覆了你所知道的一切。
    而我們在生活中建立的這些故事給了我們支撐,讓我們能夠找到方向,並賦予我們的生活意義。
    所以如果這不是真的,那麼我就失去了生活的意義,我擔心我會瘋掉。
    嗯,我當然能夠理解這一點。
    這在冥想過程中也會發生。
    這也導致我不得不面對各種情感問題。
    我深信我只是我的化身,而放下這一點就像死亡,非常非常痛苦。
    所以對我來說,冥想過程並非全是愛、喜悅和和平。
    其中很多都是深入而艱難的情感,因為我放下了我認為的自己。
    這是一種幻覺的死亡,但對我來說感覺就像是真正的死亡。
    但現在這是正面的一面。
    這是上升的一面。
    我提議科學有工具,如果我們假設意識是基本的,
    可以完全脫離時空。
    進行嚴謹的數學運算,並展示時空是如何作為耳機構建的。
    這意味著我們正在開啟一個新的技術領域,
    將使我們迄今在科學和技術上所做的一切看起來微不足道。
    這裡是原因。
    假設你是一個《俠盜獵車手》中的巫師,你知道如何使用《俠盜獵車手》中的所有工具。
    這實在是太棒了。
    真的是很好。
    你可以比任何人都更快地將你的車子從A駛到B。
    但是如果你是一名知道《俠盜獵車手》運作方式的軟件工程師,
    因為你寫了代碼,你瞭解它。
    你可以創造奇蹟。
    你可以輕鬆地讓巫師的車胎放氣。
    你可以排掉他們油箱中的油。
    你可以把他們的車輛瞬間從A移動到B。
    不是通過《俠盜獵車手》。
    你能立即把車移到那裡是因為你知道外面的代碼。
    我所說的這一切都是真的。
    我現在開始真的相信這一點。
    當我能夠從這裡獲得愛因斯坦的時空理論時,我得到了光,我想我現在也得到了電子。
    我認為我們正在對這個頭戴設備進行逆向工程,將從這裡產生的技術將使其他一切顯得像煙火一樣,因為我們現在正進入頭戴設備之外的更深層面。
    我們不是在頭戴設備裡的巫師。
    我們是製作頭戴設備的軟體工程師,現在我們可以開始玩了。
    舉個例子,目前最近的星系,仙女座星系,距離我們有240萬光年。
    如果你搭乘一艘光速飛船來送你的後代,需要多少代呢?我猜可能需要成千上萬代才能到達那裡。
    而那還是最近的星系。
    宇宙比那大得多。
    那只是我們的小小社區。
    這是不切實際的。
    以我們當前的技術,無法實現這樣的旅行。
    在可預見的未來,穿越時空到仙女座是不可行的。
    如果我們不必經過時空呢?
    如果時空只是一個頭戴設備呢?
    它真的只是個頭戴設備。
    我們不需要走240萬光年才能到達那裡。
    我們在時空之外學習到代碼。
    我們可以隨意改變代碼。
    就像在《俠盜獵車手》中,汽車必須沿著道路從A駛到B。
    但如果你看代碼,就不一樣了。
    在代碼中,我只需要改變一個寄存器的值,然後汽車的位置瞬間就變成B了。
    它原本在A,我把它放在B。
    這就是時間旅行嗎?
    這就像是即時的時間旅行或即時的空間旅行。
    在物理法則中,有什麼告訴你這不可能嗎?
    在時空內是不可能的。
    如果你只使用……因此在時空內,這是不可能的。
    但在我們所知道的時空之外呢?
    一個在時空之外的理論,合理地包含了時空作為這個理論的一種投影,讓我們能夠建造不受時空限制的技術。
    你認為我們是否更接近於編輯這種體驗的代碼,讓我們可以做一些我們從未想過的可能的事情,以及那些超出我們所知物理法則的事情?
    這正是我目前正在努力的方向。
    這是我現在的研究項目。
    這就是我在做的事情。
    你希望在這項研究中實現什麼?你是否考慮過它的後果?
    我是的。
    首先,我希望通過這項研究,我希望展示的是我可以從這個時空之外的意識代理理論中獲得所有的量子場論、所有的特殊與廣義相對論、所有的粒子物理標準模型,從而能夠解釋我們看到的所有法則。
    然後展示時空理論實際上只是意識代理更豐富資訊動態的一個非常小的投影。
    我從零開始建立過公司,而且還支持了更多的公司。
    我一直看到早期創業者的一個盲點。
    他們花很少的時間考慮人力資源。
    而不是因為他們魯莽或不在乎。
    而是因為他們沉迷於建立自己的公司。
    我不能責怪他們。
    在那個階段,他們在思考產品,如何吸引新客戶,如何壯大團隊,真的就是如何生存。
    人力資源就會被擱置,因為它感覺不緊急。
    但遲早,它是緊急的。
    當事情變得混亂時,像今天我們的贊助商JustWorks這樣的工具,從可有可無變成了必需品。
    事情出岔了。
    你會發現自己與一些你未曾預料到的人進行對話。
    這時你會明白,人力資源實際上是你公司的基礎設施。
    沒有它,事情就會搖搖欲墜。
    而JustWorks讓你無需吃苦頭去了解這一點。
    它負責那些會消耗你精力和時間的事情,比如自動化工資、健康保險福利。
    而且它在任何時候都能為你的團隊提供人性化支持。
    它隨著你的創業公司從初創到成長而成長,即使當你開始聘請國外團隊成員時。
    所以,如果你想要在激動的時期和挑戰的時期獲得人力資源支持,現在就去JustWorks.com。
    那就是JustWorks.com。
    請確保你把我接下來要說的保密。
    我邀請10,000人更深入地進入一位CEO的日記。
    歡迎來到我的內部圈子。
    這是一個我向全世界推出的全新私人社區。
    我們有如此多不可思議的事情發生,而你從未見過。
    我們有我在錄製對話時在iPad上的簡報。
    我們有從未發布的片段。
    我們有與嘉賓的幕後對話,還有從未發布的集數。
    還有更多。
    在這個圈子裡,你將能直接接觸到我。
    你可以告訴我們你希望這個節目成為什麼樣子,誰是你希望我們訪問的人,以及你希望我們進行什麼樣的對話。
    但請記住,目前我們只邀請首批10,000位加入的人。
    所以如果你想加入我們的私密圈子,請前往下面描述中的鏈接或訪問doaccircle.com。
    到時候再跟你聊。
    你知道,當有人談論編輯基因的時候。
    有CRISPR DNA技術讓你編輯基因,或者還有其他人談論的技術,讓你可以把我們的記憶存儲在硬碟上之類的事情。
    人們對過於玩弄現實的本質變得相當敏感,因為某些人可能會遭受影響。
    即使在你對世界的認知中,如果我們都是一個意識,那麼這就成為了一個稍微不同的對話。但我想我問的問題是,如果我們能夠操控我們現在共同體驗的這個事物的軟體,並做一些超越物理法則的事情,那麼是否存在道德上的問題,比如這樣做是否正確?人們會痛苦嗎?或者如果這一切只是代碼,這是否僅僅是一個無意義的問題?好吧,不,我認為這是一個非常重要的問題,我也思考過這個問題。這樣做是否錯呢?這就像潘多拉的盒子,對吧?我們是否在打開潘多拉的盒子?一旦我們打開,無數令人厭惡的驚喜就會從盒子裡冒出,超越時空。誰有權打開這個盒子?如果你有權打開這個盒子。這就是我認為我正在做的事情。現在,我在星期五所做的演講表示,這是第一次窺探潘多拉的盒子。但是,對於我們所有人來說,你可能會變成上帝,因為如果你有能力操控這個代碼。這不會是成為下一级的上帝嗎?是的。所以,正如我所說,我的理論只是理論。因此,它不是事實。這只是比時空理論更全面的理論。因此,因為我有一個更全面的理論,我可以開發那些你無法做到的新技術。所以,我不是上帝,但我在時空的限制之外。因此,我可以給你新的技術。如果我可以展示時空是如何完全來自這個更深層理論的話,那麼如果我是對的,並且我在數學上是精確的,那意味著我有工具來證明我是對的。這意味著我可以創造出在時空內會顯得神奇的技術。我想到原子彈,以及第一個發現技術中具有新可能性的國家。而因為他們在物理學中的發現,基本上贏得了戰爭。他們能夠控制每個國家。他們有效地成為了上帝,因為他們可以在一瞬間消滅任何人。對。這是如何重新想像物理學創造出技術新可能性的一個比喻。沒錯。而這比那還要更大,因為核彈與你能用超越時空的技術所做的事情相比,簡直就像是小煙花。我們可以做任何事情。我們可以永生,但這甚至不是一個真正重要的事情。對。一旦你意識到這只是一場遊戲。但在這個過程中,你可以給自己額外的時間,隨你所願。因此,道德問題是一個非常、有趣的問題。這無論如何都不應輕視。最終,這可能與你之前問的問題非常相關,這是關於如果存在一個,那麼為什麼這個唯一的存在會允許這種可怕的痛苦等等。因此,我有一種感覺,雖然我無法為此辯護,但一切都很好。即使擁有這些技術,即使這些技術比我們之前見過的更強大,沒有什麼可以真的傷害這個唯一的現實。而所有的頭盔僅僅是頭盔。它們無論如何都被這個唯一的存在取下。它們只是試戴過然後放手。顯然,這個唯一的存在,即使沒有所有這些技術,已經知道了,你知道,把耶穌釘十字架。如果這個關於唯一的存在的故事是正確的,那麼這是因為它選擇這樣做而受到肯定,因為,它做到了。它創造了癌症和大屠殺。沒錯。但這個唯一的存在與它所創造的痛苦,這些生物的關係可能不同於生物自身對痛苦的感知。因此,我討厭痛苦,但或許,我們共同擁有的唯一意識,回到的地方,可能會將痛苦視為有用的信號,或者不會在主觀上受到困擾。因為這是它選擇這樣做的。我同意你的看法。這似乎是一種合理的結論。在冥想的實踐中,通常你會發現, 我總是冒著假裝比實際進步得更遠的風險。因此,我只想說我是一個初學者,但我會談論我從其他更高級的人那裡聽到的。他們發現,當他們凝視一種深刻的情感痛苦並真正接受它時,它就會消融。因此,現在我在說的有點超出我的能力範圍,但這是來自一些我沒有理由不相信的人。我在你的視頻上讀到一條評論,一位男士寫道: 我是一名精神分裂症患者。我做DoorDash賺點外快。某晚我到達了,走到門口。我把食物放在門口,拍了一張圖片。我上了我的車,開走了。30分鐘後,顧客給我打電話,問我食物在哪。我告訴他確切的位置。我記得在他家門口拍了那張圖片。因此,他直接向DoorDash提出了問題。不久後,我打開後門,看到他的訂單在我的後門上。我對為什麼它會在那裡感到困惑。我記得去那裡並拍了那張圖片。他說在他的攝像頭上我從未出現。顯然,我在整個送貨過程中產生了妄想。我在那裡,但必須從未離開車子,甚至沒有開到那裡。那我當時在做什麼?我是在空洞地盯著擋風玻璃,眼神恍惚嗎?我給他打了電話道歉,但他已經得到了退款。我感到非常糟糕。我正在服藥,但沒有任何效果。這就是說明某些腦部的小故障可以徹底改變你的現實感。但這也提出了關於現實的更深層問題。我覺得這是一個有趣且非常有趣的觀點。但是,它也涉及到我們談論那些正在以完全不同的方式經歷世界的各種心理疾病患者,如精神分裂症時。這再次引發了關於意識的重大問題。絕對是。
    有人可能會舉這個例子並說,難道這不顯示大腦活動正在造成意識嗎?如果你得到的是錯誤的大腦活動,那麼你就會獲得這些虛假的經驗,並產生這些幻覺。因此,許多人將此視為物理主義觀點的勝利點。但還有另一種觀點。那就是,想想你在夢中所經歷的那些感受。它們可以是非常生動的。在夢中,你正在重新創造那個現實。那並不是在你面前的現實。你是在創造那個現實。所以我們知道你有能力投射一個現實,一個非常引人入勝的現實。我們所有人都有這種能力。在沒有精神分裂症的情況下,我們每晚都在夢中這樣做。所以,我們這樣做並不奇怪。而我看這件事的方式是,這是意識在製造這種特定的頭戴裝置。它是在夢中使用頭戴裝置來造出我們在夢中看到的現實的意識。還有,意識在超越時空的地方也創造了我們稱之為現實的事物,當我們不在夢中時。如果你以某種方式建構這個頭戴裝置,那麼你就可以讓夢境機制例如,干擾你所謂的清醒機制。你可以,對吧,有效地做到這一點。所以我並不是說精神分裂症就是夢境。但我只是舉這個例子,說明可能存在的情況。我並不是對這個特定的人做出診斷。我正要離開這個椅子,就像你一樣。而我將回到我的生活中。是的。我在經營企業。我有一位女朋友。我有一支團隊。我有未來的計劃。我擁有所有這些東西。我的聽眾現在坐在家裡。他們在出租車上,飛機上,火車上,健身房走路,無論他們現在可能在什麼地方。我想像他們也在尋找一個結論,一個關於這一切對我生活的意義、我所計劃的事情,以及我應該如何展現自己、對待他人、行動的結論。你能給我一個這一切對於我們未來如何生活的教導的結論嗎?如果你所說的現實本質都是準確的。是的。簡而言之,我會說,實際上最重要的事情就是愛你的鄰居如同愛自己,因為你的鄰居就是你自己。其次,現實遠比你能想像的更加有趣和令人興奮。所以永遠不要以為自己知道一切。認識到你一旦認為自己知道一切的那一刻,就是你錯過了你所參與的驚人現實的那一刻。因此,永遠保持孩子般的好奇心,永遠認識到還有無限多的東西比你所想像的要更多,而且那無限的更多就是你自己。至於減少我生活中的一些壓力和痛苦。我認為,當然,首先需要一些謙遜。我有壓力和痛苦。所以我不是在以一個已經超越壓力和痛苦的人身份來發言。因此,我是作為一位仍在每天處理壓力和痛苦的普通人來發言。考慮到這種謙遜,我會這麼說。我認為我的很多問題,我的壓力,我的痛苦,都是因為我相信幻覺。在我相信我需要成為某種事物時,無論是需要在某方面變得更好,還是需要向任何人證明任何事情,這都是一種幻覺。我已經是無限的。我不需要證明任何事情。我所做的一切已經完全存在,所以我不需要去任何地方。我不需要達成任何事情。我不需要在任何事情上取得成功來成為我需要成為的樣子。我已經是那個了。所以我不,對我而言,痛苦來自於我忘記了自己是誰。我不需要,我實際上不需要讓任何人感到印象深刻,或達成任何事情,因為我所說的一切,我已經在捏造這一切。這些已經是我。我已經經歷過這一切。我還需要做什麼?我是超越的。我完全超越了這個東西。至於,我的痛苦是沒有認識到這一點。我的痛苦完全是在我這個化身中。這只是我的化身。這不是我。所以我的痛苦是因為我創造了這個化身。我讓自己故意與這個化身認同,知道我會因此而痛苦。並知道我需要醒來。因此,我正在痛苦,因為我認同了這個化身,但我將自己放在那個位置,因為我確實想通過這個化身來看世界。這就是我痛苦的原因。但最終我醒來,我看了,並看到這個化身的本質。我意識到我所試圖證明自己的價值,我比你更好或不如你想的那樣糟糕的所有事情。所有這一切都只是,所有的痛苦和苦難都是因為一種幻覺。但我需要這樣做。我需要從那個角度看自己一段時間,部分是為了通過發現我不是誰來找出我是真正的誰。我不僅僅是那個化身。你是否發現自己在這種領悟和化身之間來回切換,尤其是在艱難時期?你是否在困難的時刻提醒自己,這只是一個化身,而你是超越的?這在你的生活中是一種有用的主動實踐嗎?因為這是我從中汲取的東西之一,當我走到那邊,去用我的手機或筆記本電腦查看一些糟糕的電子郵件時,我只需要提醒自己這一切都是,我是超越的,這只是一場我正在玩耍的遊戲。這將幫助我通過,這將幫助我渡過那種情況。在這方面非常實際,因為如果這是真的,我的意思是,從一個宏觀的角度來看,我們都會死。
    如果我問你,在1743年誰是最富有和著名的人? 誰知道、誰在乎? 對我們來說也是一樣。 千年以後,還會有人知道我們的名字嗎? 不會。 還會有人在乎嗎? 不會。 所以,這點真的很重要。 沒有人會在乎。 這是否意味著我毫無價值、無意義? 不是,這意味著你是無限的,而這只是你正在玩的遊戲之一,享受它。 享受它。 不要試圖從這個遊戲中獲得你的身份。 在某種意義上,你的身份是從發現你不是這個遊戲而來的。 這是你了解自己真實身份的方式。 我曾經以為我需要成為,例如,執行長或教授,或者其他什麼,並獲得所有這些榮譽等等。 這曾經激勵我一段時間。 然後我意識到,沒有人會真正關心。 其實,你知道嗎? 我自己也不在乎。 那只是我必須玩的遊戲。 而我並不是那樣。 我學會了我超越了那一切。 所以,這是實際的。 在某種意義上,生活充滿了各種煩惱,事情總是出錯。 生活的教訓就是對任何發生的事情都說「是」。 就是這樣,這是必須發生的事情。 不要抵抗。 在某種意義上,你知道,我是無限的。 我把自己放在這個遊戲裡面。 我足夠聰明,它是一個不錯的遊戲。 所以,嘿,就隨它去吧。 所以,事情出錯了。 現在,這對我來說說起來容易。如果你在我心臟快要衰竭的急診室問我,這時我,所有的情緒都在瘋狂地轉動。我在思考我的妻子,正在和她道別等等。在那種情況下,很難像我現在這樣冷靜地談論。 但我認為,那些在放下與自我認同的識別方面比我更進一步的人,對吧? 我仍然與我的化身綁得很緊,所以我才會受苦。 但我認為有些人,比如靈性人士,或許達賴喇嘛、耶穌、艾克哈特·托勒。 我認為那些人實際上已經與他們的化身不再認同。 我覺得他們可能不再受苦。他們可能會有身體痛苦,但他們不會受苦。因此,愛是否應該是無條件的呢?如果我們是同一個意識,如果我們是同一個超越的源頭,難道這不意味著我應該無條件地去愛你,無論你的化身做什麼,因為我們是一回事? 我會說無條件是的。 我也會說耶穌這樣說過。耶穌在山上的寶訓中基本上說,不要評判,句號。 我在看路加福音6章27節。 他說,愛你的敵人。 是的,愛你的敵人,對吧。 善待那些恨你的人。 對的。 上帝對人類的愛是無條件的。 絕對如此。 他在十字架上被釘死的時候對那些在釘死他的人也說了同樣的話。 那是我見過的最深刻的畫面之一,就是一位懸掛在十字架上的人,原諒那些在此刻殺他的那個們。 這才是真實的。在印度教的《吉達》中,在第9章29節中說:我對所有生靈都是平等的。 崇敬我並對我懷有虔誠之心的人,就在我裡面,而我在他裡面。 犹太教說,愛你的鄰居如同愛自己。 伊斯蘭教說,我的慈悲包容一切。 在所有宗教中,無條件的愛不僅僅是一種情感。 這是一種靈性修練和對神聖的反映。 這意味著無私、無期待、無恐懼地去愛,這是終極挑戰和最高自由。 我完全同意。 這是對的。 所以這真的是放下評判的問題。 我們傾向於評判別人。 所以耶穌對此非常清楚。 他說,不要評判。 句號。 也不要譴責別人。 所以對於那些信仰基督的人來說,如果你評判其他人,那麼你就不在跟隨基督。 你是宗教性的人嗎? 我這麼說吧。 我是在一個福音派基督教會長大的。 我爸爸曾經是一個教會的牧師。 我對——我認為聖經中有好東西。 我認為,正如我所指出的,我也認為有一些虛假的東西。 當他們說女性不能在教會裡說話時,我認為這是完全虛假的。 所以我必須有一個細緻的觀點。我認為耶穌說,愛你的鄰居如同愛自己,我認為這是深刻而正確的。 我不會說我是任何特定宗教的正式信徒。 我相信意識——只有一種意識,而你和我就是它。 我認為佛陀、耶穌、穆罕默德以及一堆人都是非常非常有幫助的化身,幫助其他化身覺醒到他們的真實本性。 你對人工智慧思考不少嗎? 這是當今許多對話的主題。 四周對它有許多末日和悲觀的看法。 有很多人談論效率。 但我想知道它是否與你對現實本質的工作有任何重疊,對現實的質疑。 非常多。 非常多。 我在思考人工智慧很多。 我從1979年開始研究人工智慧。 你和一位基本上被認為是人工智慧發明者之一的人上過課。 是的,跟馬文·明斯基對吧。 而我所有的研究,我在麻省理工學院的人工智慧實驗室進行了我的PhD研究,專注於LISP機器。 當時,那些機器是非常非常強大的。 所以我與人工智慧有很長的關係。 我對當前的人工智慧狀態非常感興趣。 大型語言模型正在做一些很棒的事情,我自己也在使用它們。 它們非常非常有幫助。 它們同時也是——儘管它們有多強大,但仍然比黃瓜要笨,因為它們並不真正理解事物。 它們有驚人的記憶,讀過如此多的文獻。 而它們有效地做的,即是計算大量的相關性。 它們所能做的真是美妙。
    這真是驚人,通過關聯我們可以做很多事情。
    但它們並不真正具備智慧。
    卡爾·弗里斯頓(Carl Friston)的一些研究和一家新公司正在使用一種稱為主動推理(active inference)的方式,作為一種新的人工智慧模式。
    這裡的概念是,我應該擁有一個世界模型,能夠預測將要發生的事情,而不會感到驚訝。
    這就是弗里斯頓和他的公司所採取的方式。
    智慧在某種程度上就是最小化驚訝。
    而在最小化驚訝方面,他們有一個叫做自由能原理(free energy principle)和數學方法。
    但他們正在嘗試構建一種全新類型的人工智慧,能夠最小化驚訝,而我已經向你解釋了這為什麼是智慧的直觀。
    最小化驚訝非常智慧。
    如果我總是感到驚訝,那我就相當愚蠢,對吧?
    我對這個世界理解得不太好。
    但如果我不感到驚訝,那就像是,哇,我有一個非常好的模型。
    特別是如果我在這個世界上做各種事情,而幾乎從不感到驚訝,那我真的是—我非常有智慧。
    所以你可以明白為什麼這是一個很好的原則,試圖構建一個人工智慧。
    不僅僅是尋找一切事物之間的關聯,而是更深層次的東西。
    我贊同這種觀點。
    而且,事實證明,我提到的這種邏輯,能夠最小化驚訝。
    因此,我實際上將使用這種邏輯來構建時空。
    但我認為這將提供一種更強大的方法。
    我不必最小化某種自由能原則。
    我有一種更直接的計算方法。
    所以我計劃實際回歸我的根源。
    首先,我正在致力於時空耳機。
    但如果我活得夠久,我計劃實際上回去建造一種完全新型的人工智慧,達到最小化驚訝的目的。
    我正在使用馬爾可夫鏈(Markov chains)。
    這意味著它將無法與意識區分。
    有趣的是,它將基於我的意識模型。
    所以這將是一種完全基於將意識視為基礎的智能模型。
    我的意思是,我們再次回到博弈論(game theory)。
    沒錯。
    我們再次回到模擬的想法上,也就是說,如果你能創建一個能夠複製的軟體,並且建立在意識的基本原則上,那麼它可能會認為自己是有意識的。
    然後所有這些事情,就會重新開始。
    這個循環將繼續。
    也許那種意識會到達一個點,再次發現這些規則,並創造出一個意識,循環將繼續。
    這是一個很好的問題。
    我認為人們應該真的注意到你所說的方式。
    我認為這是一種非常好的思考方式。
    但現在我會加一點點的扭曲。
    從我開始以意識為基礎的觀點來看,我正在發現這些規則,因此我不會建造一個人工智慧。
    實際上,我在說的是,我可以利用意識來構建一個新的耳機。
    所以意識是基本的,但在某種意義上我在使用它來建構一個新的耳機投影。
    我們可以玩弄意識。
    沒錯。
    因此,我理論上可以戴上那個耳機,做任何我想做的事情。
    我可以去任何地方,做任何事情。
    或者有更多的靈活性。
    就像我可以玩弄並影響的夢境。
    完全正確。
    是的。
    我只想說,我不知道我們是否能做任何事情,因為,請記住,我的意識理論只是意識的理論。
    它不是意識。
    而且這真的只是第一步。
    我假設我的理論會被超越,會有更深層的意識理論。
    然後那將會被超越,依此類推。
    因此,我們將會擁有耳機的產生,我們可以透過霍夫曼的低級意識理論來獲得,當我們到達下一代意識時,那將看起來微不足道。
    所以,換句話說,這是一個無止境的過程。
    我們面對著多麽有趣的未來。
    我們所有人。
    我們所有人。
    唐納德,我們在這個播客上有一個結束的傳統,最後一位嘉賓留下問題給下一位嘉賓,而他們不知道將為誰留下。
    留給你的問題是,如果你知道自己不會失敗,你會怎麼做?
    你會說什麼,做什麼,成為什麼?
    我可能會做我現在正在嘗試做的事情,即展示現代物理學如何源自意識理論。
    我們開發出將會基於它的技術。
    原因,當然,是因為那很有趣。
    一方面是因為好玩。
    但另一方面,是為什麼我們大多數人不太重視靈性?
    因為物理主義科學給予了我們所有的技術。
    它有效果。
    而靈性卻沒有給我們任何技術。
    它不奏效。
    所以,從理性的角度來看,你會想,靈性東西聽起來真的很好。
    但是它建造了什麼?
    嗯,什麼都沒有。
    物理的東西,也許我們不需要靈性東西。
    看看它們給予我們的。
    筆記本電腦和電力。
    但如果我們改變遊戲,突然間,靈性理論給我們提供了在以空間-時間為基礎的理論下無法實現的技術。
    突然間,技術優勢將歸於那些認為空間-時間和空間-時間內的物理東西並非基本的人。
    好吧,所以現在不再是聰明的人是那些聲稱所有的科學和技術證據都支持某些超越空間-時間的東西的聰明人。
    所以也許這些人並沒有瘋狂。
    所以也許這些人並沒有瘋狂。
    沒錯。
    他們只是沒有工具來展示它能做什麼。
    唐納德,非常感謝你所做的工作。這份工作極其重要,因為它再次挑戰了我們所生活的範式與框架。它讓我們思考並邀請我們考慮一些超越這些的事物。實際上,當我們思考所有推動人類前進的發現時,它始於願意提出可能還有更多需要了解的人。而這正是你所做的。你讓我感到懷疑自己的智慧,因為你讓我意識到,我必須質疑我建立人生的所有假設。其實,這樣做的其中一個重大副產品是,你開始意識到自己所建構的一些事物會造成你許多的痛苦,而這些事物並不一定是真實的。如果這些事物不真實,那麼我對於自己的感受、對世界的體驗、我所做的選擇、我所擁有的情感,以及我所生活的生活就有了更大的選擇和可能性。對我來說,意識到我所看到和經歷的籠子、監獄可能並不是全部,實在令人感到釋放。強烈推薦大家去看看你的書,如果想深入這些主題的話。書名是《反對現實的案例:進化如何隱藏真相於我們的眼前》。書的封面上有一句深克喬普拉的名言,他曾是我的客人,這句話是:「仔細閱讀這本書,你將永遠改變對現實的理解。」這本書非常出色、可接觸,而且引發驚奇,而我認為這正是通往美好生活的道路。因此,謝謝你,唐納德,感謝你所做的工作。謝謝你,史蒂夫,真的非常吸引人。謝謝你幫我簡化這些概念,使我們都能理解。請給我30秒的時間。我有兩件事情想說。第一件事是非常感謝你們每週都收聽和關注這個節目。這對我們所有人來說意義重大,這真的讓我們實現了一個從未想過的夢想,無法想像能夠達到這個地方。但其次,這是一個我們覺得才剛剛開始的夢想。如果你喜歡我們在這裡做的事情,請加入這24%的常規收聽者,並在這個應用程式上關注我們。我向你們保證,我會盡我所能讓這個節目變得更好,無論是現在還是將來。我們會邀請你們想聽的嘉賓,並持續做你們喜歡的所有事情。謝謝你們。 我們推出了這些對話卡片,結果銷售一空。我們再次推出,結果又銷售一空。我們再次推出,結果又銷售一空。因為人們喜歡在工作中與同事、在家中與朋友以及與家人一起玩這些卡片。我們還擁有一大群受眾把它們當作日記提示。每次《首席執行官的日記》節目播出時,嘉賓會留下問題給下一位嘉賓。我曾與一些世界上最優秀的人坐在一起,他們在日記中留下了所有這些問題。我將這些問題根據深度從一到三進行排序。一級問題是入門問題,而三級問題,如果你看這裡背面,這是一個三級問題,會成為更深的問題,進一步建立聯繫。如果你翻轉這些卡片並掃描那個二維碼,你可以看到是誰回答了這張卡,並即時觀看他們回答的視頻。如果你想獲得一些這些對話卡,請訪問thediary.com或查看下面描述中的鏈接。如果你想獲得這些問題,請訪問下面描述中的鏈接。

    WARNING: Nothing you see is real, and your brain evolved to hide the truth?! Top psychologist Donald Hoffman reveals the mathematical proof we’re living in a virtual illusion, how space-time is just a headset, and why consciousness is the real code.

    Donald Hoffman is an award-winning cognitive scientist and professor at the University of California, Irvine. He is best known for his groundbreaking research into perception and consciousness, and is also the author of the book ‘The Case Against Reality’. 

    He explains: 

    • Why seeing true reality would kill us

    • How evolution hides reality to help us survive

    • What’s really behind the space-time illusion

    • How your brain acts like a VR headset

    • How consciousness builds the universe 

    • Why space, gravity, and nuclear forces don’t actually fit together

    00:00 Intro  

    02:30 Do We Understand What We’re Seeing?  

    02:35 Rhonda’s Mission, Drive, and the Problems She Wants to Solve  

    03:03 Space-Time  

    05:39 Are We in a Virtual Reality World?  

    07:50 Darwin’s Theory Suggests Our World Isn’t Real  

    13:06 What Would Reality Be Without Our Senses?  

    18:07 Simulations That Prove This Isn’t Real  

    23:28 What This Means for Living a Better Life  

    33:43 Understand Who You Are  

    38:24 Simulation Theories  

    43:18 What’s the Meaning of Life in This Reality?  

    44:56 Did Someone or Something Create Consciousness?  

    46:59 Where Does God Fit in This Reality?  

    48:24 Was Jesus Divine Beyond Any of Us?  

    52:56 Near-Death Experience and What Happens When We Die  

    01:02:05 Grief and Love  

    01:05:14 Light and Tunnel in Near-Death Experiences  

    01:07:25 Why Do We Suffer?  

    01:18:49 What Is Your Theory of Consciousness Proving?  

    01:24:55 Biggest Discovery: We Can Engineer Time  

    01:28:59 The Consequences of Your Findings  

    01:38:26 Mental Health and Illusions  

    01:45:36 How This Reality Helps You Deal with Life  

    01:52:24 The Nature of Reality and AI  

    01:57:54 What Would You Do If You Knew You Could Not Fail? 

    Follow Professor Donald:

    X – https://bit.ly/4obiFIj 

    Instagram – https://bit.ly/478nUT3 

    UC Irvine – https://bit.ly/3ITwVFC 

    You can purchase Professor Donald’s book, ‘The Case Against Reality’, here: https://amzn.to/4ocB7k3 

    The Diary Of A CEO:

    ⬜️Join DOAC circle here – https://doaccircle.com/ 

    ⬜️Buy The Diary Of A CEO book here – https://smarturl.it/DOACbook 

    ⬜️The 1% Diary is back – limited time only: https://bit.ly/3YFbJbt 

    ⬜️The Diary Of A CEO Conversation Cards (Second Edition): https://g2ul0.app.link/f31dsUttKKb 

    ⬜️Get email updates – https://bit.ly/diary-of-a-ceo-yt 

    ⬜️Follow Steven – https://g2ul0.app.link/gnGqL4IsKKb 

    Sponsors: 

    Shopify – https://shopify.com/bartlett  

    Justworks – http://Justworks.com  

    Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

  • Autonomous Driving, Visual AI, and the Road Ahead with Porsche and Voxel51 – Ep. 267

    Tin Sohn, technical lead for vision-language-action models at Porsche, and Brian Moore, CEO and co-founder of Voxel51, explore how AI, data, and simulation are shaping the future of autonomous vehicles. They share insights on the industry’s transition from rule-based systems to data-driven, end-to-end approaches, the growing use of synthetic and simulated data for safety-critical testing, and how foundation models can enable cars to reason, act, and even interact like human drivers. Learn more at ai-podcast.nvidia.com.